Assessment of Cumulative Impacts of Hydroelectric Projects ...
Finite Element and Reliability Analyses for Slope Stability of Subansiri Lower Hydroelectric...
Transcript of Finite Element and Reliability Analyses for Slope Stability of Subansiri Lower Hydroelectric...
ORIGINAL PAPER
Finite Element and Reliability Analyses for Slope Stabilityof Subansiri Lower Hydroelectric Project: A Case Study
Ganesh W. Rathod • K. Seshagiri Rao
Received: 21 September 2010 / Accepted: 10 October 2011 / Published online: 26 October 2011
� Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011
Abstract The partly constructed and excavated
power house slopes of Subansiri Lower Hydroelectric
Project experienced extensive collapses through com-
plex mode of failure. A detailed study is attempted in
this paper to understand the reasons for the failure and
assess the stability of the existing constructed slopes
using limit equilibrium and FEM solutions and also to
propose modified design for rebuilding the slopes. To
take into account the uncertainty associated with the
rockmass and soil properties, probability and reliabil-
ity analyses have also been carried out. Based on the
field observations and stability analyses of the natural
and cut slopes, suitable support systems such as slope
flattening with various angles, weldmesh, shotcrete,
rockbolts and drainage holes have been considered to
meet the stability requirements. In this study, it is
demonstrated that the probabilistic approach when
used in conjunction with deterministic approach helps
in providing a rational solution for quantification of
stability in the estimation of risk associated with the
power house slope construction.
Keywords Hydroelectric project � Earthquakes �Seismic slope stability � FEM � Reliability
1 Introduction
In geotechnical engineering analysis and design,
various sources of uncertainties are encountered and
well recognized. The sources of uncertainties can be
model uncertainty, model parameter uncertainties and
data uncertainties. Slope stability analyses are con-
ventionally assessed using Limit Equilibrium Method
(LEM) and lately the Finite Element Method (FEM)
have been found to be suitable in performing stability
calculations. Although the LEM does not consider the
stress–strain relation of soil, it can provide an estimate
of the factor of safety of a slope without the knowledge
of the initial conditions, hence it is favoured by many
engineers. The LEM is well known to be a statically
indeterminate problem and assumptions on the distri-
butions of internal forces are required for the solution
of the factor of safety. The variational approach to
determine the factor of safety proposed by Baker and
Garber (1978) does not require the assumption on the
internal force distribution but is tedious to use even for
a single failure surface. Besides the LEM, limit
analysis has also been used for simple problems, but
their application in complicated real problems is still
limited, so this method is seldom adopted for routine
analysis and design. Both the LEM and limit analysis
G. W. Rathod (&) � K. S. Rao
Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute
of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas,
New Delhi 110016, India
e-mail: [email protected]
K. S. Rao
e-mail: [email protected]
123
Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
DOI 10.1007/s10706-011-9465-2
methods require trial failure surfaces and optimization
analysis to locate the critical failure surface. Griffiths
and Lane (1999) highlighted that the FEM provides a
more powerful alternative to traditional LEM in
assessing stability in their study of unreinforced slopes
and embankments. Cheng (2003) provided detailed
discussions on various methods for locating the
critical failure surface.
In this paper, results are presented for a compara-
tive study that has been made between the FEM using
strength reduction technique and LEM using probabi-
listic approach for slope stability of Subansiri Lower
Hydroelectric Project. Relevant sources of uncertain-
ties involved in slope stability analysis are modelled
and analyzed.
2 The Project
The River Subansiri originates in the south of the Po
Rom peak (Mount Pororu, 5,059 m high). Po Rom
peak is 30 km from the Tsangpo and near 5 km from
Tarlung Chu (a tributary of Tsangpo). Subansiri is
called Lokong Chu (Tsari Chu) at its source. River
Subansiri is the major tributary of River Brahmaputra.
It contributes 10% of the flow of the River Brah-
maputra. Drainage area up to its confluence of River
Brahmaputra is 37,000 km2 of which 10,000 km2 lies
in Assam and 19,199 km2 in Arunachal Pradesh States
of India. Its length up to the confluence of River
Brahmaputra is 520 km. Location of the project site is
shown in Fig. 1.
The 2,000 MW Lower Subansiri hydel project is on
the Assam-Arunachal Pradesh border is the first large
project to be taken up in the Subansiri basin. Subansiri
Lower Hydroelectric Power Project is located in
Dhemaji and Lower Subansiri districts in the states
of Assam and Arunachal Pradesh. The project site falls
in the very active seismic belt of Himalayas (Zone V
as per BIS 1893:2002) as shown Fig. 1. The left bank
of the dam is in the state of Assam and right bank of
dam, power house (PH) and head race tunnels (HRT’s)
are in the state of Arunachal Pradesh. The layout plan
of the project site is shown in Fig. 2 and it is to harness
hydro potential of lower reaches of river Subansiri.
The project envisages generating 2,000 MW
(8 9 250 MW) of power utilizing 100 m of maximum
gross head through a 133 m high concrete gravity
dam. The typical section of the constructed slope is
shown in Fig. 3 and a full view of power house slope is
shown in Fig. 4. The specific technical features of the
project are as follows:
• A Concrete Gravity Dam 116 m high from river
bed level.
• Head Race Tunnel—8 Nos., 9.5 m diameter, Horse
shoe shaped having a length from 630 to 1,145 m.
• Pressure Shaft—8 Nos., Horse shoe/circular shaped
varying dia. of 9.5–7.0 m and length 192–215 m.
• Surface power house to accommodate 8 units of
Francis turbines of 250 MW capacity each.
• Tail race channel, 206 m 9 35 m (W 9 L).
The objective of the present work is to carry out
back analysis as well as to present the analysis of the
various slope sections (constructed, excavated and
proposed) at different locations of the hydroelectric
project. Deterministic, probabilistic and finite element
analyses were performed to assess the stability of
slope sections for static and pseudo-static loading
conditions and to suggest the support system for
reconstructing the slopes.
3 Geology of the Area
The power house area comprises of fine to medium
grained grey coloured sandstone of middle Shivalik
formation. Occurrence of quartzite pebbles, coal
patches and concretion of boulders and pebbles is
also a significant property of the rock of this locality
(Rao 2008). In this area, moderate to highly sheared
and fractured rockmass is present, which is the
continuation of the major slide plane in this area.
The fresh sandstone is massive and compact but
occasionally it is weathered to different degrees.
Along with several sets of joint planes clay fillings and
rock penetrative weathering also observed along the
discontinuity planes.
Several sets of major and minor joints and fractures
are present in the rockmass. Four sets of joints of
average orientation of N120�–165� and dip amount of
65�–80� (S1), N235�–260�/55�–75� (S2), N310�–350�/
50�–80� (S3), and N10�–80�/50�–85� (S4) are pre-
dominant. The joint planes are tight to partially open
of 2–4 mm with occasional clay and carbonaceous
filling. The persistence of these joint planes is 4–5 m
and the spacing between them is about 50–100 cm.
Apart from these joints, a major thick shear zone is
234 Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
123
also encountered at different elevations of the slope.
The rockmass in the shear zone area can be classified
as poor to very poor rockmass. The rockmass in the
shear zone is represented by a highly crushed, soft,
sandy and clayey gouge material. The shear zone
material is soft, sheared and very low strength
material, having low cohesion with damp to wet
ground condition as observed at the site. Both planes
of the shear zone are rough planar, slickensided and
filled with clay. The soft material, steep slopes, high
water precipitation, several sets of prominent joint sets
and presence of major shear zone culminated into a
complex geological setting at the power house area.
4 Observed Failures and Reasons
In August 2006, some cracks were observed at few
locations on the constructed slopes of the power house,
which was alarming to the whole project. So, a keen
monitoring programme was initiated to observe the
load in rock anchors, displacements and pore pressure
by installing load cells, multiple extensometers, incli-
nometers and piezometers. The monitoring pro-
gramme of slope is outside the scope of this paper
and hence not discussed in detail. In the month of
August 2006, the slopes were charged with water
precipitation and in addition the dynamic loads due to
III III
III
III
III
III
III
III
II
II
II
II
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
V
V
V
V
VV
V
DELHI
SRINAGAR
LUCKNOW
ALLAHABAD
AHMEDABAD
NAGPUR
MUMBAI
PANJI
THIRUVANANTHPURAM
CALICUT
CHENNAI
PUDUCHERRY
LAKSHADWEEP
NELLORE
VIJAYWADA
RAIPUR
BHOPAL
JAIPUR
HYDERABAD
BANGALOREMANGALORE
JODHPUR
VADODARA
MACHLIPATNAM
CHANDIGARH
DEHRADUN
JAMMU120 120 240 360 480 KM
MAP OF INDIASHOWING
SEISMIC ZONES OF INDIA
LEGENDZONE II
ZONE III
ZONE IV
ZONE V
LOWERSUBANSIRI
UPPERSUBANSIRI
PAPUMPARE
ITANAGAR
EASTKAMENG
WESTKAMENG
TAWANG
KURUNGKUMEY
WESTSIANG
UPPERSIANG
EASTSIANG
DIBANG VALLEY
LOWERDIBANGVALLEY LOHIT
CHANGLANG
TIRAP
NAGALAND
ASSAM
PROJECT SITE
Fig. 1 Location of Subansiri project site and seismic zonation map of India (Modified from BIS 1893:2002)
Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252 235
123
vehicular movements and temporary workshop activ-
ities at top of power house wall have contributed
significantly towards the instability of constructed
slopes. In the month of September 2006, first con-
structed slope failure occurred in power house block
and then successive failures in the various parts of the
power house including excavated, constructed and
partly constructed slopes. The back slope failures of
power house were massive and triggered due to
several reasons. The chronological order of the
failures of cut slopes is listed in the Table 1. The
failures are structurally and non structurally controlled
due to several sets of intersecting joints, presence of
thick shear zone and high degree of sandstone
weathering. The steepness of cut slopes, stress relax-
ation and excess presence of water also contributed
significantly for the successive slope failures. All these
factors resulted into the slope failing through complex
mode of failure mechanism (Hoek and Bray 1981;
Goodman and Kieffer 2000). The slope failed due to
shear zone slide on 3 July 2007 and power house
excavation at EL 200–111 m is shown in Fig. 5. A
panoramic view of failed slope at EL 225–93.5 m on
29 January 2008 is shown in Fig. 6.
During logging of the back slope, it has been
observed that a wide shear zone with associated
highly fractured/shattered rockmass with shearing
effect has been observed from Ch. ?74 to Ch.
?107 m between EL 156 and EL 145 m. However,
the main shear zone is encountered from Ch. ?85 to
Ch. ?107 m between EL 156 and EL 145 m. This
wide shear zone was also observed from Ch. ?66 to
Ch. ?99 m between EL 156 and EL 162 m during
cutting of the upper reach. During excavation of
rockmass from Ch. ?104.5 to Ch. ?80 m between
EL 156 and EL 149 m, the sheared rockmass failed
and subsequently, a big cavity/depression has been
formed inside the already supported slope. Further-
more, a number of cracks up to 3 cm aperture, have
already been developed in the upper reach of shear
zone area. The bulging of shotcrete and crack
developed within the slope is shown in Fig. 7.
Deformation of the rockmass was monitored with an
array of multiple-point borehole extensometer
(MPBX) systems. It is vividly clear from the
geological log that the encountered shear zone is
running without any defined trend. However, both
planes of the shear zone have been established at
Fig. 2 Layout plan of the
project site
236 Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
123
site. The upstream plane of the shear zone dips at
angle of 50� with dip direction N140� while
downstream plane dips slightly steeper at an angle
of 65� with dip direction N030�. The cut slope is
occupied by highly fractured/shattered rock zone
with shearing effect from Ch. ?75 to Ch. ?81 m,
having an attitude of N015�/85�. The rockmass in
between these two adverse zones of about 5 m
lengths is represented by moderately jointed sand-
stone, having high frequency of S2 joint sets.
5 Assessment of Slope Stability
Limit Equilibrium (LE) alongwith reliability analysis
as well as Finite Element Method (FEM) have been
used for the analyses. Slide (LE) and Phase2 (FEM)
software programs (RocScience Manual 2002) were
used in the study. To take into account the heteroge-
neity of the rockmass and soil, probability and
reliability analyses have also been carried out. These
analyses take care of the fluctuations of the material
properties in the field (Ramly et al. 2002; Low 2003).
Note: All dimensions are in mm and elevations in m
Fig. 3 Typical section of slope profile
Fig. 4 Full view of power house wall
Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252 237
123
5.1 Plan for the Analysis
A systematic study has been carried out to check the
effect of seismic and external (live) loading, presence of
shear zones and the fluctuation of material properties
within the rockmass and shear zones. A total of 8
sections of slopes at each power shaft (PS1 to PS8) were
selected for the analysis. Various combinations of
Table 1 Chronological order of the failures of cut slopes
Sr. no. Date Event
1 29.08.06 Cracks on shotcrete PH berm (EL 186 m, Ch. -35 m)
2 20.09.06 Slope failure in PH block (Ch. ?74 to 107 m, 156–145 m)
3 17.01.07 Cracks in PH region
4 02.05.07 Cracks in cut slope of PH region
5 11.05.07 Shear zone in cut slope of PH region
6 20.06.07 Cracks on shotcrete PH berm at intake approach road
7 24.06.07 Slide in PH back slope (Ch. ?75 to ?100 m, EL 156–145 m)
8 03.07.07 Slide in shear zone of PH slope (Ch. ?30 to ?100 m, EL 200–111 m)
9 03.09.07 Slide in the hill side cut slope at EL 126–111 m
10 12.09.07 Widening of cracks in cut slope of PH
11 27.10.07 Slide of cut slope berm at EL 86–76 m (Ch. ?36.6 to ?22 m)
12 02.01.08 Cracks in the shotcrete hill side cut slope of PH (EL 111–126 m)
13 06.01.08 Shear zone in cut slope of PH
14 25.01.08 Slide in cut slope berm at EL 112–126 m near end bay (Upstream side) Ch. ?140 to 165 m
15 29.01.08 Shear failure near shear zone in PH (Ch. -50 to ?40 m, EL 225–93.5 m)
16 11.02.08 Widening of cracks in cut slope of PH near tower crane area (EL 126–111 m)
17 11.02.08 New cracks on slopes of PH at EL 86–93.5 m (Ch. -100 to -90 m) and at EL 93.5–111 m (Ch. -110 to -65 m)
Fig. 5 A view of failed slope and power house excavation at
EL 200–111 m
Fig. 6 Panoramic view of failed slope at EL 225–93.5 m
Fig. 7 Bulging of Shotcrete and crack developed at EL 126 m
238 Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
123
loading and shear zones are adopted. A rigorous exercise
has been carried out using a three stage analysis
procedure with various combinations of loading and
shear zones for all sections (PS1 to PS8). The stages of
the analyses are as follows in order of sequence.
5.1.1 Stage 1: Trial Runs
Limit Equilibrium Analysis and Finite Element Anal-
ysis for all existing slope sections PS1 to PS8 with
various combinations of loading and shear zones using
generalized material properties and live load of 10 kN/
m2 is carried out. The material properties used in this
stage are shown in Table 2. The results for this
preliminary stage analysis are not discussed herein; as
they do not reflect the true situation of the field,
however, it would give an initial understanding of the
stability variations with change of material properties.
5.1.2 Stage 2: Back Analysis
Since the material properties provided in Table 2 does
not reflect the true representation of the field, a back
analysis has been carried out to come up with the best
suitable material properties reflecting the rockmass
and shear zone in the field. To cover large variation of
material properties of the slope and shear zone, four
cases (A, B, C and D) were used. A stable existing
slope profile i.e. Section PS1 is selected for the back
analysis. The seismic loading is not applied in the back
analysis but the effect of shear zone is considered. The
set of material properties selected are given in Table 3
for all the four cases. The effect of set of material
properties selected on factor of safety (FoS) and its
probability of failure is shown in Figs. 8 and 9,
respectively.
The correlation between FoS and cohesion, friction
angle and unit weight of rockmass and shear zone is
shown in Fig. 10. From this figure, it can be concluded
that increase in cohesion does not increase the FoS
significantly for the project area. A sensitivity analysis
was carried out for rockmass and shear zone material
properties and the results are shown in Fig. 11. An
increase in FoS with friction angle is observed from
the results.
5.1.3 Stage 3: Existing and Modified Slope Profiles
with Support System
The maximum external load coming on the road at EL
200 m for analysis is worked out to be 10 kN/m2. The
project area falls under the highly seismically active
zone (Zone V). The horizontal and vertical seismic
coefficients are calculated as per the guidelines given
in BIS:1893–2002. Limit Equilibrium (LE) and Finite
Element Analysis (FEA) for all sections PS1 to PS8
with various combinations of loading and shear zones
using the modified (after back analysis) material
properties (Table 4) is carried out separately on
existing and modified slope profiles and then on
modified slope profiles with suitable support system.
Several trial runs have been carried out to select the
appropriate support system.
5.2 Pseudo-Static Analysis
Analyses of seismic slope stability problems using
limit equilibrium methods in which the effect of an
earthquake loading are represented by a constant
horizontal and/or vertical acceleration, which pro-
duces inertial forces Fh and Fv acting at the centroid of
the failure mass are commonly referred to as pseudo-
static analyses. The magnitudes of the pseudo-static
forces in two directions are obtained by multiplying
mass of the failure surface with the acceleration
components in the respective directions. In the anal-
ysis, the pseudo-static coefficients ah and av are
defined as the ratio of the earthquake acceleration in
the respective directions with the gravitational accel-
eration. The selection of appropriate value of seismic
coefficient decides the magnitude of the inertial force
acting on the failure mass. Considering the fact that the
actual slopes are not rigid and the maximum earth-
quake acceleration (amax) acts for the short period, the
pseudo-static coefficients used in the analysis corre-
spond to the acceleration value well below the amax
value. Hynes-Griffin and Franklin (1984) applied the
Table 2 Initial material properties selected (before back
analysis)
Parameter Rockmass Shear zone
Friction angle (�) 32 15
Cohesion (kPa) 25 5
Unit weight (kN/m3) 24 18
Young’s modulus (GPa) 5 0.05
Poisson’s ratio 0.25 0.45
Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252 239
123
Newmark sliding block analysis to over 350 acceler-
ograms and studied the correlation between pseudo-
static factor of safety and calculated deformation
based on sliding block analysis. It was concluded that
when the pseudo-static factor of safety is more than
unity and horizontal earthquake coefficient, ah = 0.5
Table 3 Set of material properties selected for back analysis
Angle of internal friction
for rockmass
Various combinations of c, Ø values for the back analysis
Case-A Case-B
Material properties for shear
zone c = 5 kPa, Ø = 15�Material properties for shear
zone c = 5 kPa, Ø = 20�
Cohesion values for rockmass (kPa) Cohesion values for rockmass (kPa)
25 30 35 40 45 25 30 35 40 45
30� 0.664 0.673 0.679 0.686 0.694 0.679 0.71 0.725 0.739 0.752a
100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100b
35� 0.742 0.752 0.76 0.768 0.776 0.831 0.84 0.848 0.854 0.861
100 100 100 100 100 98.5 98.8 98.5 97.8 97.5
40� 0.828 0.836 0.844 0.852 0.86 0.921 0.929 0.939 0.947 0.955
99 98.7 98.4 97.6 96.9 84.4 81.2 77.9 73.8 69.8
45� 0.922 0.93 0.94 0.948 0.956 1.018 1.028 1.036 1.044 1.052
81.9 78.4 75 70.9 67.5 38.6 34.9 29.6 26.1 22.6
50� 1.03 1.037 1.045 1.053 1.063 1.134 1.143 1.151 1.159 1.169
35.1 30.9 27.1 24.4 21.2 5.9 4.9 3.6 3.2 2.2
55� 1.162 1.17 1.179 1.187 1.195 1.273 1.282 1.29 1.298 1.306
5 3.7 3.4 2.4 2.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Angle of internal friction
for rockmass
Various combinations of c, Ø values for the back analysis
Case-C Case-D
Material properties for shear
zone c = 10 kPa, Ø = 15�Material properties for shear
zone c = 10 kPa, Ø = 20�
Cohesion values for rockmass (kPa) Cohesion values for rockmass (kPa)
25 30 35 40 45 25 30 35 40 45
30� 0.668 0.676 0.683 0.691 0.697 0.697 0.71 0.726 0.739 0.752
100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
35� 0.745 0.755 0.763 0.771 0.779 0.831 0.843 0.851 0.858 0.864
100 100 100 100 100 98.5 98.7 98.5 97.8 97
40� 0.831 0.839 0.847 0.856 0.864 0.924 0.934 0.942 0.95 0.958
98.8 98.6 97.9 97.1 96.7 83.2 80.1 76.2 71.8 68
45� 0.926 0.934 0.943 0.951 0.959 1.023 1.031 1.039 1.047 1.055
80.4 77.5 73.6 69.9 66.3 36.8 32.6 28.2 24.8 21.4
50� 1.033 1.041 1.049 1.057 1.067 1.138 1.146 1.154 1.162 1.172
33.4 28.8 25.9 22.8 19.5 5.3 4.2 3.4 2.9 2.2
55� 1.166 1.174 1.182 1.191 1.199 1.277 1.285 1.293 1.302 1.31
4.3 1.174 3.1 2.2 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
a Factor of safetyb Probability of failure (Italicized)
240 Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
123
amax/g, there will not be significant deformations
(Kramer 2003).
For the selection of appropriate value of horizontal
seismic coefficient, Bureau of Indian Standard
(BIS:1893–2002) divided India into four different
zones (II to V) and horizontal (ah) and vertical (av)
seismic coefficients values are recommended for
different zones. As per BIS specifications, the study
area falls in Zone-V and the design horizontal seismic
coefficient was determined by the following
expression:
Ah ¼ZISa
2Rgð1Þ
where, Z is zone factor to obtain the design spectrum
depending on the perceived maximum seismic risk
characterized by Maximum Considered Earthquake
(MCE) in the zone in which the structure is located and
taken as 0.36, I is importance factor which depends
upon the functional use of the structures and taken as
1.5, R is response reduction factor by which the actual
base shear force, that would be generated if the
structure were to remain elastic during its response to
the Design Basis Earthquake (DBE) shaking, is
reduced to obtain the design lateral force and taken
as 3, Sa/g is structural response factor denoting the
acceleration response spectrum of the structure sub-
jected to earthquake ground vibrations and taken as
2.5.
Though the vertical pseudo-static force has less
influence on the factor of safety, two-thirds of the
design horizontal acceleration spectrum is adopted to
calculate the vertical seismic coefficient and used
along with the horizontal seismic coefficient in the
analysis. The limitation of the pseudo-static is clear as
the complex, transient dynamic effects of earthquake
Case A
Factor of Safety
0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.425
30
35
40
45
50
55
60c=25 kPac=30 kPac=35 kPac=40 kPac=45 kPa
Case B
Factor of Safety
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
c=25 kPac=30 kPac=35 kPac=40 kPac=45 kPa
Case C
Factor of Safety
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
c=25 kPac=30 kPac=35 kPac=40 kPac=45 kPa
Case D
Factor of Safety
0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4
0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4
Roc
kmas
s φ0
Roc
kmas
s φ0
Roc
kmas
s φ0
Roc
kmas
s φ0
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
c=25 kPac=30 kPac=35 kPac=40 kPac=45 kPa
Fig. 8 Factor of safety associated with different material properties (Case A, B, C, D)
Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252 241
123
shaking are replaced by static horizontal and/or
vertical forces. Although several researchers in the
past highlighted the limitations and drawbacks of the
pseudo-static approach (Seed et al. 1969), the positive
point in favour of pseudo-static approach lies in the
fact that the method can quantify the degree of safety
associated with a structure under static as well as
pseudo-static loading conditions. Since the objective
of the present work is to examine the stability and the
associated reliability both from deterministic and
probabilistic considerations for the slope sections, use
of pseudo-static approach is proved to be satisfactory.
5.3 Deterministic Versus Probabilistic Approach
The uncertainty associated with the properties of
geotechnical materials and the great care which has to
be taken in selecting appropriate values for analyses
have prompted several authors to suggest that the
traditional deterministic methods of slope stability
analyses should be replaced by probabilistic methods
(McMahon 1975; Vanmarcke 1980; Morriss and
Stoter 1983; Priest and Brown 1983; Read and Lye
1983).
In the deterministic approaches, uncertainties in the
input soil parameters are lumped in the factor of
safety. The factor of safety approach has the advantage
of being easily interpreted in terms of physical or
engineering meaning. However, in the recent years, it
is realized that the factor of safety alone is not a
sufficient measure for risk assessment. It is difficult to
evaluate how much safer a structure becomes as the
factor of safety increases (Duncan 2000; Whitman
2000). Normally, the selection of appropriate value of
allowable value of factor of safety is based on
experience and engineering judgment. Conceptually,
Case A
Probability of Failure (%)
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60c=25 kPac=30 kPac=35 kPac=40 kPac=45 kPa
Case B
Probability of Failure (%)
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60c=25 kPac=30 kPac=35 kPac=40 kPac=45 kPa
Case C
Probability of Failure (%)
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60c=25 kPac=30 kPac=35 kPac=40 kPac=45 kPa
Case D
Probability of Failure (%)
0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100
0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100
Roc
kmas
s φ0
Roc
kmas
s φ0
Roc
kmas
s φ0
Roc
kmas
s φ0
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60c=25 kPac=30 kPac=35 kPac=40 kPac=45 kPa
Fig. 9 Probability of failure associated with the particular FoS for different material properties (Case A, B, C, D)
242 Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
123
geotechnical structures with a factor of safety more
than 1.0 should be stable but in practice the acceptable
value of factor of safety is taken significantly greater
than unity due to uncertainties related to material
variability, measurement and model transformation
uncertainty (Phoon and Kulhawy 1999). In the case of
slope stability, analyses methods are well established
and hence model transformation uncertainty is negli-
gible. Measurement error arises if design properties
are arrived at using in situ testing and then using
appropriate equations to translate the in situ measured
quantities to design variables. In the probabilistic
approach, these uncertainties in the design parameters
are considered in a mathematical framework. The
main advantage of the probabilistic approach is a
direct linkage between uncertainty in the design
parameters and probability of failure/reliability.
Considering the importance of power house slopes
from safety as well as economy point of view, it should
be built with a negligibly small probability of failure.
In the reliability based design approaches, the
possible sources of uncertainties in the input variables
are identified using statistical analysis of the test data
and incorporated in the reliability based models to
assess the safety of the structure in terms of reliability
index values. The methods of evaluation of reliability
index and calculation procedures for statistical param-
eters such as mean, coefficient of variation and the role
of different types of probability distribution functions
are presented in Baecher and Christian (2003). In the
present work, material variability of input rockmass
parameters is considered to be the major source of
uncertainty due to controlled laboratory testing of rock
samples to get the numerical values of the required
Factor of Safety
Roc
k M
ass
Coh
esio
n (k
Pa)
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
Factor of Safety
0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1
Roc
k M
ass
φ0
35
40
45
50
55
Factor of Safety
Roc
k M
ass
Uni
t Wei
ght (
kN/m
3)
22
23
24
25
26
Factor of Safety
She
ar Z
one
φ0
10
15
20
25
30
)b()a(
(c) (d)
0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1
0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.10.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1
Fig. 10 Correlation between FoS and material properties for PS1. a Rockmass Cohesion. b Rockmass friction angle. c Rockmass unit
weight. d Shear zone friction angle
Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252 243
123
input soil parameters for stability assessment and
absence of model transformation uncertainty as indi-
cated earlier. Literature indicates that material param-
eters follow normal or lognormal distributions for
input random variables (USACE 1997). In order to
define the probabilistic assessment of the performance
of the structure in terms of reliability index (b), the
value of reliability index (b) is calculated from the
equations given below.
bLN ¼lFS � 1
rFSFor normally distributed FoS½ � ð2Þ
bLN ¼ln
lFSffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
1þV2ð Þp� �
ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
ln 1þV2ð Þp For Log normally distributed FoS½ �
ð3Þ
Where, lFS and rFS is the mean and standard deviation
of factor of safety obtained from N number of Monte
Carlo simulations. V is the coefficient of variation
defined as rFS / lFS. The input random rockmass
properties are taken as cohesion (c), friction angle (/)
and bulk density (c) and numerical values of these
input soil parameters are obtained from the execution
authorities of the construction projects. For the
probabilistic analysis, reported values of input rock-
mass parameters are taken as mean values for different
slope sections as indicated in Table 4.
5.4 Finite Element Analysis
The Shear Strength Reduction (SSR) technique (Daw-
son et al. 1999; Griffiths and Lane 1999; Hammah et al.
2004) enables the FEM to calculate factors of safety for
slopes. The advantage of a finite element approach in the
analysis of slope stability problems over limit equilib-
rium methods is that no assumption needs to be made in
advance about the shape or location of the failure
surface, slice side forces and their directions. The
method can be applied with complex slope configura-
tions and soil deposits in two or three dimensions to
model virtually all types of mechanisms. General soil
material models that include Mohr–Coulomb and
numerous others can be employed. The equilibrium
stresses, strains and the associated shear strengths in the
soil mass can be computed very accurately. The critical
failure mechanism developed can be extremely general
and need not be simple circular or logarithmic spiral
arcs. This method can give information about the
deformations at working stress levels and is able to
monitor progressive failure including overall shear
failure (Griffiths and Lane 1999).
There are three major aspects which influences the
slope stability analysis. The first is about the material
properties of the slope model. The second is the
influence of calculating factor of safety to slope
stability and the third aspect is the definition of the
slope failure.
5.4.1 Model Material Properties
This work applied only for two-dimensional plain-
strain problem. The Mohr–Coulomb constitutive model
used to describe the rockmass material properties. The
Mohr–Coulomb criterion relates the shear strength of
the material to the cohesion, normal stress and angle
of internal friction of the material. The failure surface of
the Mohr–Coulomb model can be presented as:
fs ¼I1
3sin /þ
ffiffiffiffiffi
J2
pcos H� 1
3sin H sin /
� �
� c cos /
ð4Þ
Percent of Range (mean = 50%)
0 20 40 60 80 100
Fact
or o
f Saf
ety
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
Rock Mass Cohesion (kPa)Rock Mass φ0
Rock Mass Unit Weight (kN/m3)Shear Zone Cohesion (kPa)Shear Zone φ0
Shear Zone Unit Weight (kN/m3)
Fig. 11 Sensitivity plot for rockmass and shear zone material
Table 4 Material properties adopted after back analysis
Parameter Rockmass Shear zone
Friction angle (�) 45 20
Cohesion (kPa) 30 5
Unit weight (kN/m3) 24 18
Young’s modulus (GPa) 5 0.05
Poisson’s ratio 0.25 0.45
244 Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
123
where / is the angle of internal friction, c is cohesion
and
I1 ¼ ðr1 þ r2 þ r3Þ ¼ 3rm ð5Þ
J2 ¼1
2S2
x þ S2y þ S2
z
� �
þ s2xy þ s2
yz þ s2zx
� �
ð6Þ
H ¼ 1
3sin�1 3
ffiffiffi
3p
J3
2J1=22
" #
ð7Þ
where, J3 ¼ SxSySzþ 2sxysyzszx� Sxs2yz� Sys2
xz� Szs2xy
and Sx ¼ rx�rm;Sy ¼ ry�rm;Sz ¼ rz�rm
For Mohr–Coulomb material model, six material
properties are required. These properties are the
friction angle /, cohesion c, dilation angle w, Young’s
modulus E, Poisson’s ratio m and unit weight of soil/
rock c.
Dilation angle, w affects directly the volume
change during soil yielding. If w = /, the plasticity
flow rule is known as ‘‘associated’’, and if w = /, the
plasticity flow rule is considered as ‘‘no-associated’’.
Slope stability analysis is relatively unconfined, thus
the choice of dilation angle is less important. Griffiths
and Lane (1999) have shown that the w = 0 enables
the model to give reliable factors of safety and a
reasonable indication of the location and shape of the
potential failure surfaces. The change in the volume
during the failure is not considered in this study and
therefore, the dilation angle is taken as 0. Therefore,
only three parameters (friction angle, cohesion and
unit weight of material) of the model material are
considered in the modelling of slope failure.
5.4.2 Factor of Safety (FoS) and Strength Reduction
Factor (SRF)
For slopes, the FoS is traditionally defined as the ratio
of the actual shear strength to the minimum shear
strength required to prevent failure. As Duncan (1996)
points out, FoS is the factor by which the shear
strength must be divided to bring the slope to the verge
of failure. An obvious way of computing FoS with a
finite element or a finite difference program is simply
to reduce the shear strength until collapse occurs. This
technique was used as early as 1975 by Zienkiewicz
et al. (1975) and has since been applied by Naylor
(1981); Matsui and San (1992); Ugai and Leschinsky
(1995); Dawson et al. (1999); Griffiths and Lane
(1999); Lechman and Griffiths (2000).
Slope fails because of its material shear strength on
the sliding surface is insufficient to resist the actual
shear stresses. Factor of safety is a value that is used to
examine the stability state of slopes. For FoS values
greater than 1 means the slope is stable, while values
lower than 1 means slope is instable. In accordance to
the shear failure, the factor of safety against slope
failure is simply calculated as:
FoS ¼ ssf
ð8Þ
where s is the shear strength of the slope material,
which is calculated through Mohr–Coulomb criterion
as:
s ¼ cþ rn tan / ð9Þ
and sf is the shear stress on the sliding surface. It can be
calculated as:
sf ¼ cf þ rn tan /f ð10Þ
where the factored shear strength parameters cf and /f
are:
cf ¼c
SRFð11Þ
/f ¼ tan�1 tan /SRF
� �
ð12Þ
where, SRF is strength reduction factor. This method
has been referred to as the ‘shear strength reduction
method’. To achieve the correct SRF, it is essential to
trace the value of FoS that will just cause the slope to
fail.
5.4.3 Slope Collapse
Non-convergence within a user-specified number of
iteration in finite element program is taken as a
suitable indicator of slope failure. This actually means
that no stress distribution can be achieved to satisfy
both the Mohr–Coulomb criterion and global equilib-
rium. Slope failure and numerical non-convergence
take place at the same time and are joined by an
increase in the displacements. Usually, value of the
maximum nodal displacement just after slope failure
has a big jump compared to the one before failure.
Gravity load is applied to the model and the
strength reduction factor (SRF) gradually increased
affecting Eqs. (11) and (12) until convergence could
Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252 245
123
not be achieved. Six nodded triangular elements are
used to discretize the slope geometry. Maximum
number of iteration and tolerance value are considered
to have effect on analysis. Two values of maximum
number of iteration are considered, i.e. 500 and 1,000.
Results from both these cases were very close. For
tolerance value, couple of values was assumed and the
tolerance of 0.005 is chosen as an indicator. In this
study, the procedure used to determine the strength
reduction factor is:
SRFn ¼ SRFn�1 �SRFn�2 � SRFn�1j j
2ð13Þ
Equation (13) determines whether to increase or
decrease the value of SRF in the next FoS.
6 Results and Discussion
6.1 Number of Simulation Cycles for Monte Carlo
Analysis
The number of simulation cycles influences the
accuracy in the estimation of reliability index values.
An exercise has been carried out to select the number of
simulations required for sufficient accuracy. The
analysis is carried out several times for incrementally
large number of simulations beyond the negligible
change in the value of coefficient of variation (CoV) of
estimated mean of the factor of safety and to check the
variations in the calculated value of reliability index.
The effect of number of simulation on standard
deviation (SD) and coefficient of variation of estimated
mean of the factor of safety is shown in Fig. 12 and it
can be observed that after 20,000 simulations, the value
of CoV and SD attains almost a constant value and
therefore, it can be stated that a further increase in
the number of simulation cycles does not affect the
accuracy of the results significantly. Hence, in the
present study, 30,000 simulations have been used.
6.2 Deterministic and Probabilistic Analyses
For the present study, commercially available soft-
ware SLIDE (2002) was used. It has options for the
deterministic and probabilistic, static as well as
pseudo-static analysis of the plain strain models of
geotechnical structures such as slopes and embank-
ments. Typical results of the analysis of the PS1
section considering all external, seismic loading and
presence of shear zone without and with support
system are shown in Fig. 13a, b, respectively. The
factor of safety and reliability index values are quite
low. Similar results were also obtained for other
sections. But the slope sections PS4 to PS8 were very
marginally safe. The results of the analysis of all the
eight slope profile sections without and with support
system are summarized in Tables 5 and 6, respec-
tively. An increase in FoS values was observed due to
application of support system but the probability of
failure was still there for PS1 and PS3 sections as
shown in Table 6. It may be noted that the determin-
istic and mean factor of safety indicated in figures are
defined separately. The former is related to the
deterministic approach (limit equilibrium approach),
while the latter is the average of all the values of factor
of safety obtained from the number of Monte Carlo
simulations.
6.3 Shear Strength Reduction Technique (FEM)
Commercially available software Phase2 (2002) was
used for the analysis. The analyses were carried out for
all slope sections considering all shear zones, seismic
and external loadings combinations. Typical results
for PS1 are shown in Fig. 14. The SRF values less than
1 are observed for slope sections PS1, PS2 and PS3
without support systems. After the application of
support system the SRF values increased marginally.
Whereas SRF value of around 1 is observed for other
slope sections and an increase in stability is observed
No. of Simulations0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000
Coe
ff. o
f Var
iatio
n &
Std
. Dev
iatio
n
0.060
0.065
0.070
0.075
0.080
0.085
0.090
0.095CoVSD
Fig. 12 Variation of SD and CoV with number of simulation
cycles
246 Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
123
after applying support system. The effect shear zone
almost parallel to the slope angle is seen from the
analyses. The shear zone in PS4 to PS8 is completely
chopped off during modification of slope profile while
the shear zone was still present in the PS1, PS2 and
PS3 and not removed as it is at higher depth. The
results are summarized in Table 7.
6.4 Proposed Geometry
No alteration has been made to the slope geometry of
section PS1 and PS2, as these two slopes are appar-
ently stable in the field presently. But the analysis
reveals that these two slopes are highly prone to failure
even after the provision of support system. Section
Fig. 13 FoS for PS1 for
existing slope profile,
a without support system,
b with support system
Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252 247
123
PS3 is made flat at an angle of 52�. At this slope angle,
the shear zone is at a minimum and maximum depth of
23–32 m from the modified geometry. The shear zone
present in this section made the slope unstable. All the
slopes were constructed on average slope angle of 64�.
PS4 and PS5 have shear zone at very shallow depth
and failed due to the slippage along the shear zone. So,
these two slopes have been made flatten (45�–50� and/
or combination of both) to remove the shear zone. The
details of all failed and modified slope sections are
given in Fig. 15. Slopes at sections PS4 to PS8 are also
made flat to meet the stability requirement, but not due
the shallow depth of shear zones.
6.5 Support System
Grouted rockbolts, shotcrete and weldmesh are con-
sidered for the support system. The length and spacing
Table 5 Results of deterministic and probabilistic analyses (without support system)
Section Set Existing slope Modified
slope
External and
seismic load
Shear
zone
FoS
(Deterministic)
FoS
(Mean)
Prob.
of
failure
RI
(Normal)
RI
(Lognormal)
PS1 S1 4 – – – 1.175 1.179 4.4 1.649 1.746
PS1 S2 4 – – 4 1.032 1.036 34.6 0.425 0.393
PS1 S3 4 – 4 – 0.875 0.878 93.5 -1.536 -1.486
PS1 S4 4 – 4 4 0.768 0.770 100.0 -3.630 -3.222
PS1 S5 4 – No seis loads 4 1.031 1.035 35.1 0.415 0.383
PS2 S1 Only EL
186–200 m
modified
4 – – 1.323 1.328 0.1 2.633 2.985
PS2 S2 4 – 4 1.314 1.318 0.0 2.910 3.295
PS2 S3 4 4 – 0.955 0.958 70.0 -0.479 -0.515
PS2 S4 4 4 4 0.950 0.953 72.0 -0.546 -0.579
PS3 S1 – 4 – – 1.283 1.288 0.5 2.519 2.813
PS3 S2 – 4 – 4 0.848 0.849 98.8 -2.160 -2.033
PS3 S3 – 4 4 – 0.909 0.913 86.7 -1.107 -1.102
PS3 S4 – 4 4 4 0.586 0.587 100.0 -7.921 -6.054
PS4 S1 – 4 – – 1.471 1.477 0.0 3.639 4.359
PS4 S2 – 4 – 4 1.408 1.413 0.0 3.460 4.057
PS4 S3 – 4 4 – 1.029 1.034 34.4 0.385 0.349
PS4 S4 – 4 4 4 0.978 0.981 59.4 -0.245 -0.283
PS5 S1 – 4 – – 1.423 1.429 0.0 3.320 3.910
PS5 S2 – 4 – 4 1.385 1.390 0.0 3.193 3.712
PS5 S3 – 4 4 – 0.946 0.946 87.1 -1.133 -1.128
PS5 S4 – 4 4 4 0.977 0.979 59.9 -0.256 -0.296
PS6 S1 – 4 – – 1.562 1.568 0.0 3.908 4.817
PS6 S2 – 4 – 4 1.560 1.567 0.0 3.903 4.809
PS6 S3 – 4 4 – 1.091 1.097 17.6 0.960 0.962
PS6 S4 – 4 4 4 1.091 1.097 17.6 0.960 0.962
PS7 S1 – 4 – – 1.474 1.480 0.0 3.520 4.217
PS7 S2 – 4 – 4 1.474 1.480 0.0 3.520 4.217
PS7 S3 – 4 4 – 1.035 1.042 32.9 0.446 0.411
PS7 S4 – 4 4 4 1.473 1.479 0.0 3.513 4.208
PS8 S1 – 4 – – 1.268 1.273 0.6 2.399 2.661
PS8 S2 – 4 – 4
PS8 S3 – 4 4 – 0.889 0.892 91.6 -1.426 -1.391
PS8 S4 – 4 4 4
248 Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
123
of the bolts are fixed based on several trials to achieve
the stability requirement. Details of the support system
are given in Table 8.
The Steel Fibre Reinforced Shotcrete (SFRS) is
applied in two layers i.e. 50 and 150 mm. The fully
grouted rock bolts of 15 m length and 36 mm diameter
are installed after the first layer of 50 mm thick SFRS.
The in plane and out of plane spacing for rockbolts are
adopted as 2 m after several trials. After installing the
rockbolts, a 100 9 100 mm grid weldmesh shall be
fixed with hooks and a final layer of 150 mm thick
shotcrete shall be applied.
7 Conclusions
The stability of slope sections due to presence of
shear zones, cuttings and support measures is
Table 6 Results of deterministic and probabilistic analyses (with support system)
Section Set Existing slope Modified
slope
External and
seismic load
Shear
zone
FoS
(Deterministic)
FoS
(Mean)
Prob.
of
failure
RI
(Normal)
RI
(Lognormal)
PS1 S1 4 – – – 2.041 2.048 0 8.115 11.347
PS1 S2 4 – – 4 1.461 1.464 0 4.916 5.883
PS1 S3 4 – 4 – 1.513 1.517 0 5.614 6.842
PS1 S4 4 – 4 4 1.034 1.037 29.9 0.548 0.527
PS1 S5 4 – No seis loads 4 1.460 1.463 0 4.906 5.871
PS2 S1 Only EL
186-200 m
modified
4 – – 2.038 2.044 0 7.751 10.829
PS2 S2 4 – 4 1.716 1.721 0 6.399 8.269
PS2 S3 4 4 – 1.494 1.498 0 4.889 5.916
PS2 S4 4 4 4 1.237 1.241 0 2.949 3.249
PS3 S1 – 4 – – 2.271 2.278 0 8.179 11.982
PS3 S2 – 4 – 4 1.597 1.600 0 6.619 8.273
PS3 S3 – 4 4 – 1.608 1.613 0 5.544 6.948
PS3 S4 – 4 4 4 1.090 1.092 7.0 1.425 1.461
PS4 S1 – 4 – – 2.652 2.661 0 8.724 13.661
PS4 S2 – 4 – 4 2.547 2.555 0 8.709 13.405
PS4 S3 – 4 4 – 1.853 1.859 0 6.577 8.801
PS4 S4 – 4 4 4 1.763 1.768 0 6.612 8.651
PS5 S1 – 4 – – 2.466 2.473 0 8.487 12.882
PS5 S2 – 4 – 4 2.380 2.388 0 8.408 12.571
PS5 S3 – 4 4 – 1.739 1.745 0 6.270 8.153
PS5 S4 – 4 4 4 1.667 1.672 0 5.908 7.531
PS6 S1 – 4 – – 2.551 2.559 0 8.696 13.394
PS6 S2 – 4 – 4 2.549 2.557 0 8.689 13.378
PS6 S3 – 4 4 – 1.781 1.786 0 6.275 8.245
PS6 S4 – 4 4 4 1.781 1.786 0 6.275 8.245
PS7 S1 – 4 – – 2.483 2.491 0 8.348 12.709
PS7 S2 – 4 – 4 2.483 2.491 0 8.348 12.709
PS7 S3 – 4 4 – 1.728 1.734 0 6.187 8.020
PS7 S4 – 4 4 4 1.728 1.734 0 6.187 8.020
PS8 S1 – 4 – – 2.277 2.284 0 8.279 12.143
PS8 S2 – 4 – 4
PS8 S3 – 4 4 – 1.612 1.617 0 5.546 6.958
PS8 S4 – 4 4 4
Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252 249
123
evaluated. The deterministic (LEM) method when
used alone needs assumption of the failure surface
shape and location. It cannot involve the stress–strain
behavior of soil. When the slope is supported with
anchors, the traditional method cannot be used for
these problems. In contrast, the strength reduction
technique and deterministic method along with
probabilistic analyses can be used. The strength
reduction technique gives a factor of safety with
respect to soil shear strength. It can monitor
progressive failure up to and including overall shear
failure. The result depends on the accuracy of
employed finite element mesh, boundary conditions
and the convergence criterion. The analysis reveals
that the presence of shear zone at shallow depth was
the main cause of failure for all eight slopes. The
results of analysis of all slope sections using
deterministic, probabilistic and SSRF (FEM)
Fig. 14 Maximum shear
strain and deformed mesh
for PS1 modified slope,
a without support system,
b with support system
250 Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
123
approaches show that the values obtained for factor of
safety (FoS), reliability index (b) and SRF are in the
acceptable range. This study has found that the FoS
from the SSRF (FEM) and the RI from probabilistic
methods are similar under most cases, and that all of
the FoS from the SSRF (FEM) are slightly greater
than those from the probabilistic methods. The SSRF
(FEM) and Reliability analysis can be used in
conjunction with the deterministic approach to ensure
an appropriate level of safety for the existing degree
of uncertainty and consequences of failure.
Table 7 Strength reduction factor values for all sections (with
seismic loads)
Section SRF (without
support system)
SRF (with
support system)
PS1 0.89 1.13
PS2 0.97 1.28
PS3 0.83 1.08
PS4 1.02 1.81
PS5 1.01 1.73
PS6 1.17 1.79
PS7 1.53 1.72
PS8 0.98 1.66
Fig. 15 Debris slope (Flow Path of Excavated Muck) and all slope sections with FoS (Mean) and SRF Values
Table 8 Final combination of support system
Shotcrete/SFRS
Thickness 5 cm ? 15 cm (in two stages)
Young’s modulus 3 9 107 kPa
Poisson’s ratio 0.2
Compressive strength 35,000 kPa
Tensile strength 5,000 kPa
Rockbolt
Type Fully Grouted Bolts
Length 15 m
Diameter 36 mm
Spacing 2 9 2 m
Tensile capacity 500 kN
Young’s modulus 2 9 108 kPa
Weldmesh
Type Welded Mesh
Diameter 4 mm
Spacing 100 mm 9 100 mm
Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252 251
123
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the help received from the
officials of M/S Larsen and Toubro Ltd., India and
NHPC Ltd., India during the field visits of the project.
References
Baecher GB, Christian JT (2003) Reliability and statistics in
geotechnical engineering. Wiley, New York
Baker R, Garber M (1978) Theoretical analysis of the stability of
slopes. Geotechnique 28(4):395–411
BIS:1893–2002. Part 1: 2002 Bureau of Indian Standards, cri-
teria for earthquake resistant design of structures, General
Provisions and Buildings
Cheng YM (2003) Locations of critical failure surface and some
further studies on slope stability analysis. Comput Geotech
30:255–267
Dawson EM, Roth WH, Drescher A (1999) Slope stability analysis
by strength reduction. Geotechnique 49(6):835–840
Duncan JM (1996) State of the art: limit equilibrium and finite-
element analysis of slopes. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng
ASCE 122(7):577–596
Duncan JM (2000) Factors of safety and reliability in geotech-
nical engineering. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng ASCE
126(4):307–316
Goodman RE, Kieffer DS (2000) Behaviour of rock in slopes.
J Geotech Geoenviron Eng ASCE 126(8):675–684
Griffiths DV, Lane PA (1999) Slope stability analysis by finite
elements. Geotechnique 49(3):387–403
Hammah RE, Curran JH, Yacoub TE, Corkum B (2004) Sta-
bility analysis of rock slopes using the finite element
method. In: Proceedings of the ISRM regional symposium
EUROCK 2004 and the 53rd Geomechanics Colloquy,
Salzburg, Austria
Hoek E, Bray J (1981) Rock slope engineering. The Institution
of Mining and Metallurgy, London
Hynes-Griffin ME, Franklin AG (1984) Rationalizing the seis-
mic coefficient method. Miscellaneous paper GL-84-13.
US Army Corps of Engineers Waterways Experiment
Station, Vicksburg
Kramer SL (2003) Geotechnical earthquake engineering. Pear-
son Education
Lechman JB, Griffiths DV (2000) Analysis of the progression of
failure of earth slopes by finite elements, Slope stability 2000.
In: Proceedings of sessions of Geo-Denver 2000, ASCE
Geotechnical Special Publication no. 101, pp 250–265
Low BK (2003) Practical probabilistic slope stability analysis.
In: Proceedings, soil and rock America 2003, 12th pan-
american conference on soil mechanics and geotechnical
engineering and 39th US rock mechanics symposium.
MIT, Cambridge, June 22–26, 2003, Verlag Gluckauf
GmbH Essen, vol 2, pp 2777–2784
Matsui T, San KC (1992) Finite element slope stability analysis by
shear strength reduction technique. Soils Found 32(1):59–70
McMahon BK (1975) Probability of failure and expected vol-
ume of failure in high rock slopes. In: Proceedings of 2nd
Australia-New Zealand conference on geomechanics,
Brisbane, pp 308–313
Morriss P, Stoter HJ (1983) Open-cut slope design using prob-
abilistic methods. In: Proceedings of 5th congress ISRM.,
Melbourne 1, Rotterdam, Balkema, pp C107–C113
Naylor DJ (1981) Finite elements and slope stability. In: Numerical
methods in geomechanics, proceedings of the NATO
advanced study institutes series, Lisbon, Portugal, pp 229–244
Phoon KK, Kulhawy FH (1999) Characterization of geotech-
nical variability. Can Geotech J 36:612–624
Priest SD, Brown ET (1983) Probabilistic stability analysis of
variable rock slopes. Inst Min Metall Trans (Sect. A) 92:1–12
Ramly H, Morgenstern NR, Cruden DM (2002) Probabilistic
slope stability analysis for practice. Can Geotech J
39:665–683
Rao KS (2008) Slope stability assessment and support measures
for Subansiri Lower Hydroelectric project, Technical
Report. Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, India
Read JRL, Lye GN (1983) Pit slope design methods, Bougain-
ville Copper Limited open cut. In: Proceedings of 5th
congress ISRM., Melbourne, Rotterdam, Balkema, pp
C93–C98
RocScience (2002) RocScience manual version 5. Rocscience
Inc., Canada
Seed HB, Lee KL, Idriss IM (1969) Analysis of Sheffield Dam
failure. J Soil Mech Found Div ASCE 95(SM6):1453–1490
Ugai K, Leschinsky D (1995) Three dimensional limit equilib-
rium and finite element analyses: a comparison of results.
Soils Found 29(4):1–7
USACE (1997) Risk-based analysis in geotechnical engineering
for support of planning studies, engineering and design. US
Army Corps of Engineers, Department of Army, Wash-
ington DC, 20314-100
Vanmarcke EH (1980) Probalistic analysis of earth slopes. Eng
Geol 16:29–50
Whitman RV (2000) Organizing and evaluating uncertainty in
geotechnical engineering. J Geotechn Geoenviron Eng
ASCE 126(7):583–593
Zienkiewicz OC, Humpheson C, Lewis RW (1975) Associated
and nonassociated viscoplasticity in soil mechanics. Geo-
technique 25(4):671–689
252 Geotech Geol Eng (2012) 30:233–252
123