Russia Ethiopia Kenya - ODC center

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China Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Vietnam Ecuado r Egypt Korea Nigeria Brazil Cameroon Russia Ethiopia Kenya Germany Poland Netherlands Philippines Cuba Guatemala USA Mexico Argentina Iran There were 47 trainees from 27 countries attended these courses.

Transcript of Russia Ethiopia Kenya - ODC center

China ●

● Indonesia ● Malaysia

Thailand ● ●Vietnam

●Ecuador

● Egypt ● Korea

Nigeria ●

●Brazil

● Cameroon

● Russia

●Ethiopia ● Kenya

● Germany

● Poland Netherlands

● Philippines

● Cuba Guatemala

● USA

● Mexico

● Argentina

● Iran

There were 47 trainees from 27 countries attended these courses.

CLIVAR-FIO SUMMER SCHOOL ON PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE SEA LEVEL CHANGES

AND WESTPAC/RTRC-ODC TRAINING COURSE

ON OCEAN FORECAST SYSTEM 25 June – 7 July, Qingdao, China

CLIVAR-FIO SUMMER SCHOOL ON PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE SEA LEVEL CHANGES

AND WESTPAC/RTRC-ODC TRAINING COURSE

ON OCEAN FORECAST SYSTEM 25 June – 7 July, Qingdao, China

Suriyan Saramul

THAILAND [email protected]

Chulalongkorn University

Coastal Ocean Modelling / Sediment Transport and

Morphological Modelling / Salt Intrusion

Pavel Kharlamov RUSSIA

[email protected]

Far Eastern Regional Hydrometeorological Research

Institute / V.I.Il’ichev Pacific Oceanological Institute /

Numerical Modeling / Multiscale circulation / Japan

(East) Sea / Sea ice

Poh Heng Kok MALAYSIA

[email protected]

University of Terengganu Malaysia/ Institute of

Oceanography and Environment

Coastal Upwelling / Ocean-climate interactions

Bruno Ferrero BRAZIL

[email protected]

University of Sao Paulo/ Institute of Oceanography / Ocean models / Sea level/

Heat Content

Wu Xiaofen CHINA

[email protected]

Second Institute of Oceanography / China Argo

Real-Time Data Center

Climate Change /

Upper Ocean Heat and Salt Content

Gayan Pathirana SRI LANKA

[email protected]

University of Ruhuna / South China Sea Institute

of Oceanology Air-Sea Interactions / Ocean Heat Content

Group 1

Knowledge gained: We had the opportunity to learn

sea level variability, the governing factors and how we can do future projections using numerical models. Also we had the opportunity to interact with

the people from different backgrounds.

Activities

Getachew Mehabie Mulualem

ETHIOPIA [email protected]

National Central University

Hydrology and Remote Sensing Laboratory

Climate models / Remote Sensing

Group 1

Future cooperation… Our group: Numerical Modelling / Observations Three members who represents Malaysia, Sri Lanka and Thailand highlighted the importance of developing (or modifying the existing) an Ocean Forecasting System (OFS) covering the Bay of Bengal and South China Sea. This will be important to mitigate hazards / disasters in the region. Also we highlighted the importance of enhancing the observation system in the region to increase the accuracy of the OFS. Further we have discussed how we can collaborate with other countries in the region to make the OFS more practical and useful with each others support. Three members who represents Brazil, Ethiopia and Russia highlighted the importance of sharing knowledge and experience on numerical modelling to support each others work in future, as well as to improve the OFS. As a team we have discussed the importance of understanding the dynamics in ocean and atmosphere in regional level, which will be more practical to address the issues we are experiencing at present. Further we are expecting to establish international networking with other countries in the future, work as a team and contribute for the global science.

CLIVAR-FIO Summer School On Past, Present And Future Sea Level Changes and

WESTPAC/RTRC-ODC Training Course On Ocean Forecast System

25 June - 7 July 2018, Qingdao, China

GROUP 2

•Joanna Kuczynska-Siehien •Researcher/Lecturer

•University of Calgary, Canada •University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, Poland •Keywords: Sea level change; physical geodesy

kuczynska.joanna@ gmail.com

•Matias G. Dinapoli •PhD Student

•Center of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, Argentina •Keywords: Ocean modelling and forecast

matias.dinapoli@ cima.fcen.uba.ar

•Song Chunyang •Assistant Researcher

•National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, China •Keywords: Climate prediction; oceanography

chunyang606@ 163.com

•Kai Li •Assistant Researcher

•National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, China •Keywords: Climate prediction; atmospheric chemistry

[email protected]

•Herlina Ika R. •Junior Researcher

•Marine Research Center, MInistry of Marine & Fisheries, Indonesia •Keywords: Ocean-climate variability & predictability; climate change

[email protected]

•Md. Sohel Parvez •Lecturer

•Noakhali Science and Technology University, Bangladesh •Keywords: Coastal processes, ecosystem dynamics, biological oceanography

[email protected] msparvez191@ gmail.com

•Yusri Yusup •Lecturer/Researcher

•Universiti Sains Malaysia, Malaysia •Keywords: Air-sea interaction; atmospheric physics

[email protected]

In this course, we have learned... • Factors influencing global mean sea level.

• Climate change and coastal hazards, i.e., flooding, erosion, and tropical cyclone.

• The three pillars of predictive science in ocean forecasting system: multi-platform and multi-disciplinary systems of observations.

• The application of coupled models for ocean and atmospheric forecasts.

• Data assimilation with uncertainty.

AIR-SEA INTERACTION OCEAN FORECASTING

CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE PREDICTION

SEA LEVEL CHANGE ECOSYSTEM

forcing

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analysis

HOW WE CAN WORK TOGETHER

K M Azam Chowdhury (Leader)

Research interests: hydrodynamics of the Bay of Bengal using ARGO data, circulation in the Bay of Bengal and its interaction with ecosystem using ROMS model. Email: [email protected]

Lecturer, Dept. of Oceanography, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh // PhD Student, Physical Oceanography, Ocean University of China

Rebecca Cleveland Stout Bachelor Candidate in Earth & Planetary Sciences, Harvard University Research interests: Paleoclimate, paleo sea level reconstruction Email: [email protected]

Researcher, Thailand-China Joint Laboratory for Climate and Marine Ecosystem Research interests: Monsoon onset monitoring, ocean forecasting in Southeast Asia

Email: [email protected]

Stefanny Quiroz

Dr. Nguyen Truong Thanh Hoi Dr. Ren Qiuping

Intern, CLIVAR International Office // Escuela Superior Politecnica Del Litoral Research interests: marine geology, remote sensing data, ENSO

Dept. of Marine Physics, Institute of Oceanography Vietnam Research interests: Modeling and calculating lithodynamics

Scientist, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences Research interests: Ocean modeling

Nuttida Chanthasiri

Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]

Email: [email protected]

a

b Course I: Sea Level Changes • Increased theoretical

understanding of sea level change components

• Necessity of accounting for GIA in sea level change estimates

Course II: Ocean Fore- cast System • Approaches to numerical

modeling and visual presentation

• Practice setting up the FESOM model

• Data sharing between group members

• Close the surface wind fields on the ocean, investigate the effects of wind on the western boundary currents in Western Pacific Ocean

• Work on joint forecast systems

• Potential for joint publication • Share information learned at

the summer school/training course with colleagues in home countries

Selected Lab Results

Future Work

New Concepts Learned

• Significance of Bjerknes conditions • Practical applications of 3DVar, 4DVar,

ENKF

Figure 1 (left): Ice concentration, Dec. 1948

Figure 3 (above): GREP Climatology,

Surface Temp.

Figure 2 (below): Forsmark Mean Sea Level, Corrected for

VLM (a), with residuals (b)

G R O U P

IV

CLIVAR-FIO SUMMER SCHOOL ON PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE SEA LEVEL CHANGES AND WESTPAC/RTRC-ODC TRAINING COURSE ON OCEAN FORECAST SYSTEM

25 JUNE – 7 JULY 2018, QINGDAO, CHINA

Dr. Chen, Meixiang (China) Associate Professor of Physical Oceanography at Hohai University Contact: [email protected]

Connecting young scientists for UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development

Dr. Long, Xiaoyu (China) Postdoctoral fellow at University of Hawaii Contact: [email protected]

Dr. Jamshidi, Siamak (Iran) Faculty member of Iranian National Institute for Oceanography and Atmospheric Science (INIOAS) and Head of Caspian Sea Oceanography Research Center Contact: [email protected]

Dr. Indasi, Victor (Kenya) Researcher in Climate System Analysis Group (CSAG) University of Cape Town Contact: [email protected] Ms. Cuellar-Ramirez, Palmira Consuelo (Mexico) Bachelor Earth Sciences, National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), RedLAtM, YESS Community. Contact: [email protected]

Mr. Jeong, Sang-Hun (Republic of Korea) Researcher at Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology, Ocean Disaster Research Center Contact: [email protected]

Dr. Sangmanee, Chalermrat (Thailand) Researcher at Phuket Marine Biological Center, Department of Marine and Coastal Resources Contact: [email protected]

Cooperation: Building a key knowledge together

New Knowledgen

The group 4 is integrated for members of six different countries. We detected gaps and lack of information and we found the necessity to share data, develop capacity building and work together.

South- South cooperation Triangular cooperation Capacity Building Share skills to data assimilation Share datasets

Activities

Group 4. Members countries

• Summer School We had learned each component; i.e., melted ice-sheet mass on Greenland and Antarctic, steric sea level, ground water, Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA), land water like ground water or surface water; contributing to sea level both globally and regionally, mechanism driving changes to such components, scenario-based future projection of sea level rise, and risk possibly caused by the change in sea level rise from case from distinguished professors in variety of fields. • WESTPAC/RTRC-ODC Training Course on

Ocean Forecast System We had learned state of art of climate-ocean modelling, advantage and disadvantage in the numerical model and breakthrough to the new era of ocean modeling using coupling wave-tide-circulation model. Moreover, applications or interpretation of numerical model were shown in many areas, e.g., Mediterranean Sea and East China Sea, and translate ocean variables into meaningful information, e.g., ocean front, red tide, and oil

spill, to serve decision making level. Moreover, choices of bias reduction were explained.

Teamwork, lectures, discussions, exercices e.g., Calculation of mean sea level Tide gauge sea level correction Visualization of model result

Figure 1,2 mean sea level anomaly in January 1993

(left) and December 2015 (right)

Figure 3. rate of change of relative sea level in mm/yr.

CLIVAR-FIO Summer School on Past, Present and Future Sea Level Changes

and WESTPAC/RTRC-ODC Training Course on Ocean Forecast System

Figure 4. Current tide gauge network with co-located GPS/GNSS receivers (<1 km

distance).

Figure 3. Mean sea surface temperature in the South China

Sea.

Figure 4 was discussed by Detlef Stammer during his presentation on Modern Observation last June 25. Figures 5 and 6 are the result of the group exercise on global model simulation using the Finite Element/Volume Sea-Ice Ocean Model (FESOM) discussed by Prof. Yunfei Zhang on July 4.

Figure 6. Mean sea surface height for December 1948.

Figure 3 is the result of the group exercise on the use of NCAR Command Language (NCL) in plotting ROMS Model outputs.

Figure 1. Sea level variation before the anthropocene.

Figure 2. Sea level over the last 300 years with the inset of satellite altimetry data.

In understanding and forecasting the sea level and the factors and processes affecting it, data from the past, present and future are necessary.

Figure 5. Arctic sea ice thickness.

Princess Hope T. Bilgera The Marine Science Institute, University of the Philippines (UP MSI) [email protected]

This training course provided me a good opportunity to review the development and history of ocean modelling. It also enriched my knowledge of operational application since the original intention of scientific research is to put it into practice.

It was a great opportunity to participate in this training course. In terms of gaining knowledge, I have learnt more about sea level science and its impact on our globe. I think that, this knowledge will help me in

my future works and researches.

It was useful for me to learn about the history of ocean forecasting from the beginning to the present through this course. There was also an opportunity to learned the importance of interpreting model results of the ocean forecast system & how to visualize the various types of outputs.

Sea level, a sensitive dynamical parameter integrating ocean variations from the surface to the bottom, is affected by many factors. Knowledge from modern observations could contribute greatly to the improvement of the process based models for sea level components.

This experience provided me a more in-depth understanding of sea level science, operational oceanography, and ocean modeling/ocean forecast system. Added knowledge on the current status, applications, challenges and gaps of each topics were also gained throughout the course.

The present challenges in the on-going sea level change is the contribution of the Ocean Heat Content, the Glacial Isostatic Adjustment & robust construction of downscale model. This summer school was an opportunity to update & upgrade my skills and introduce me to model forecasting.

Kwon Yeong Yeon Korea Institute of Ocean Science Technology (KIOST) [email protected]

Franck Eitel Kemgang Ghomsi The Unversity of Yaounde I, Cameroon [email protected]

Shouwen Zhang Climate Division, National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center [email protected]

Jinping Wang Ocean University of China [email protected]

Amr T. Salama Institute of Graduate Studies and Research, Alexandria University, Egypt [email protected]

Tim Hermans NIOZ, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research [email protected]

GROUP 5

Regional sea-level (SL) change can deviate strongly from global mean SL change, which is especially very relevant to coastal communities. In order to represent the true spatial variability of SL change at the coasts, delta and estuaries, it is likely that the coarse resolutions of the climate models that are currently being used to compute SL change projections, need to be improved.

CLIVAR-FIO SUMMER SCHOOL ON: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE SEA LEVEL CHANGES and

UNESCO/IOC ODC TRAINING COURSE ON: OCEAN FORECAST SYSTEMS

Ms. Uliana Moldanova is a engineer in the Department of Oceanography and Marine Ecology. She took part in the development of the technology of the modeling tides and tidal currents in the Sea of Okhotsk using ROMS ocean model

Mr. Jonathan Cedeño is an Oceanographer. He teaches and researches at ESPOL University (Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral) in Guayaquil, Ecuador. His research interest are Equatorial Dynamics, El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Coastal Oceanography. In the future, he plans to continues the study of Eastern Tropical Pacific ocean-atmosphere processes.

Mr. Yong-Yub Kim is a Ph.D student of the Seoul National University. He has studied role of the cold water in the formation of the western boundary current in the East/Japan Sea. He is also interested in regional sea level change around Korea according to global climate change. So he was established high-resolution northwestern pacific model of 6 km horizontally.

Mr. Yi Jin is a Ph.D. student from the Ocean University of China. He studied the regional circulation dynamics in marginal China sea using model and observation. He is going to study projected climate change in marginal China sea based on downscaling as a visiting student in CSIRO, Hobart, Australia.

Ms. Jyoti Jadhav is a PhD candidate at CCCR, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, India. Her research interest is focused on the Indian Ocean Dynamics and sea level variability. In future, she would like to work on better understanding of the regional sea level changes and their contributing factors in changing climate.

Dr. Kartadikaria (RK) is a lecturer at Bandung Institute of Technology (ITB), Indonesia. He is a pioneer in the development of high resolution Indonesian seas circulation model with a concurrent explicit tidal forcing. He is a key scientist for setting up a new near real-time operational ocean system for the complex Indonesian Seas administrated by BMKG, Indonesia.

Future cooperation Showing personal knowledge about regional

(ROMS, POM, HYCOM) and other global coupled models

Sharing knowledge about different analysis and visualization tools

(MATLAB, NCL, Python and others)

Sharing new ideas and techniques related to science with each other for a better

understanding of climate change and related risk

Attend the CLIVER-FIO summer school and UNESCO/IOC-ODC training courses

Knowledge Introducing as well as gaining many methods and sources

of coupled Ocean Model

Improve Scientific background

Figures

Concluding remarks

Figure 2. Luzon strait: Surface currents + Temperature from Simple Ocean Data Assimilation SODA (January 2017). Plot generated with NCL.

Figure 1. Monthly sea level from Forsmark (upper panel), and it correction using ICE6G GIA model (lower panel). Data source: Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL).

1. The sea level study demands an integral understanding of the global and regional circulation processes and their contributing factors.

2. The Global Mean Sea Level Rise GMSLR during the satellite era is dominated by mass contribution (glaciers and ice sheets from Greenland and Antarctica), and steric term. On a regional scale, these effects are superimposed to other that includes vertical land motion and dynamical variability (shelf wave propagation and climate variability modes like ENSO, PDO and AMO).

3. The major challenges of sea level studies is the lack of high resolution models and sea ice modelling. 4. The sea level rise demands to reduce the risk and to improve the resiliency of coastal areas through

identifying areas that are particularly vulnerable, monitoring for changes, and developing and implementing adaptation plans.

5. We get informed about the state-of-the-art in Ocean Forecast Modeling, and the importance of data assimilation, gridding methods and coupled models in order to reduce the uncertainty of their estimations.

6. CLIVAR-FIO and WESTPAC/RTRC-ODC Training course series offers an excellent opportunity to exchange knowledge and experience between researchers around the globe, and to promote opportunities and cooperation for our countries. Group 6

From left to right: A. Kartadikaria (Indonesia), Y. Jin (China), Y. Kim (Korea), J. Cedeño (Ecuador), J. Jadhav (India), U. Moldanova (Russia). June-July 2018 Qingdao

GROUP 7

Olusegun Dada ([email protected]) Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria I’m a researcher and lecturer in the Department of Marine Science & Technology of the Federal University of Technology in Akure, Nigeria. I hold a PhD in Marine Geosciences from the Ocean University of China, Qingdao. My research area is Coastal Oceanography, working mainly on coastal hazards and impacts assessment such as coastal erosion, flooding and subsidence along the Nigerian coast of the Gulf of Guinea.

Adnan Arshad ([email protected]) Potohar Organization for Development Advocacy (PODA). Islamabad, Pakistan I have four years of working experience as a researcher in climate change with PODA organization in Pakistan. During my work with PODA I have developed a research project for extreme climate change adaptation and climate modeling simulation for costal surrounded cities meteorological data analysis. Now, I am pursuing PhD degree and my research interest is the impact assessment of extreme weather events to enhance climate change mitigation and adaption measures over the short, medium and long term. Being a meteorologist I focus on the integration of GCM with RCM for effective data visualization and dissemination

Hyunkeun Jin ([email protected]) Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology (KIOST). Busan, Korea. I am a researcher at the Korea Institute Ocean Science and Technology (KIOST) on Busan, Korea. I have worked on the development of the Ocean Predictability Experiment for Marine environment (OPEM). This is the real-time ocean modeling system of KOOS (Korea Operational Oceanographic System) based on GFDL-MOM5. The OPEM has produced the reanalysis data since 2015, and has been tested for real-time operational prediction in the Northwest Pacific. My research interests are Real-time Ocean Prediction System on the Northwestern Pacific and Ocean Data Assimilation based on the Ensemble Optimal Interpolation (EnOI) methods.

Javier Cabrales Infante ([email protected]) Institute of Meteorology of Cuba. La Habana, Cuba

I have two years’ experience at the Institute of Meteorology of the Center of Marine Meteorology in La Habana, Cuba. Currently I am working at the Center for Atmospheric Physics of the same institution. I am doing research on the use of numerical methods in weather and climate forecast, with emphasis on coastal flooding and air-sea interaction. I am in charge of maintaining and upgrading the Ocean-Atmosphere Numerical Prediction System (SPNOA), which was designed to forecast the atmosphere and ocean variables under severe weather conditions, using a combination of deterministic numerical models like WRF, WW3, SWAN and ROMS.

Yue He ([email protected]) National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center. China

I am an assistant researcher at the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center in China, mainly engaged in ocean climate dynamical prediction. I monitor global sea surface temperature changes every week and make a product about global ocean climate every month. I’m also running an ocean model POP to research sea level changes.

Andrea Lira Loarca ([email protected]) Andalusian Institute for Earth System Research (IISTA), University of Granada,

Spain I am a researcher at the Environmental Fluid Dynamics Group of the Andalusian Institute for Earth System Research of the University of Granada, Spain. I work on maritime climate simulation of extreme events and numerical modeling of coastal areas. Currently I am working on the analysis of the changes in physical processes such as sea waves, fluvial discharges and sediment transport in the Mediterranean coast of Spain under different climate change and sea level rise scenarios.

Elke Meyer ([email protected]) Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht. Centre for Materials and Coastal Research. Hamburg, Germany I‘m interesting in historical Sturm surge modeling. I used the 20th Century Reanalysis Data and the products from Era Clim to force a tide surge model to reconstruct historical storm surges. e.g. 1906.

CLIVAR-FIO Summer School on Past, Present and Future Sea Level Changes AND

UNESCO/IOC-ODC Training Course on Ocean Forecast Systems June 25th – July 7th, 2018

Qingdao, China

Prof. Detlef Stammer Oceanography, Remote Sensing of the Earth System and Coupled Climate Assimilation, Universität Hamburg, Germany.

Prof. Fangli Qiao The First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, China.

Dr. Svetlana Jevrejeva Marine Physics and Ocean Climate. The National Oceanography Centre (NOC), Liverpool, UK

Prof. Qiang Wang Alfred Wegener Institute.

Dr. Gael Durand CNRS - Institute of Geosciences and Environmental research (IGE), France.

Prof. Yunfei Zhang National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center.

Dr. Karina von Schuckmann Mercator Ocean in Toulouse, France.

Prof. Shiqiu Peng South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese academy of Sciences.

Dr. Matt King School of Technology, Environments and Design, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia.

Dr. Bin Xiao The First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration.

Prof. Nadia Pinardi Department of Physics and Astronomy, Environmental Sciences. University of Bologna.

Prof. Guimei Liu National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center

Dr. Gonéri Le Cozannet Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières (BRGM), Orléans, France.

Prof. Shiyin Liu Institute of International Rivers and Eco-security, Yunnan University, China.

UNESCO/IOC-ODC Center 6 Xian-Xia-Ling Road, Qingdao, China, 266061 Tel/Fax: +86-532-8896-7415 E-mail: [email protected] Website: http://www.fio.org.cn/english/training_center/index.htm