Venture Valuation
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Transcript of Venture Valuation
Question 1
The main problem is valuing the early stage companies is that it
does not have any past record therefore, the whole valuation is
based on the future assumptions and operations of the company.
There are several issues that arise when assessing the financial
value of early-stage, high potential companies.
The issue of future equity contributions is confronted all around
by valuation experts in directing early stage company valuations.
Typical issuers of compensatory share options are early stage
technology or life sciences companies.
Such companies discover investment opportunities appealing
because of their desire to conserve limited cash resources and to
adjust an employee's close to personal inspirations with that of
the organization. While the timeline to development and an
extreme liquidity occasion can shift fundamentally, early stage
organizations by and large oblige different rounds of value
(and/or debt) financing until their business model matures.
The several main issues that arise when valuing the companies at
its early stage is as follows.
Firstly, the need to determine the likely additional financing in
the future that the subject company would need. Apart from just
the requirement of capital, it is also necessary to estimate the
time that capital would be needed by the company. The rate of
return may vary from time to time and so thus the interest rate
in case the company raise finance through debt obligations.
Secondly, the issue what in what form the finance would be raise
by the company. It could be either, debt or equity or some type
of hybrid debt/equity security. It is necessary to evaluate all
the options that are available to the company. These companies
usually look for the cheaper source of finance which is commonly
the raise of funds through the debt obligation for example, the
bank loan.
Further, it is also vital to determine that if the future
financing would be dilutive to existing shareholders or nor, at a
fair value. The main issue to consider is that whether the shares
would enhance existing shareholder value or not. This would also
include that what would the future financing terms be known or
unknown.
Moreover, the issue arise is that is there any condition where
the future funding can be looked over in a valuation method. And
addition to this, what is the more applicable way to model a
future funding based on facts and conditions, and the definite
valuation methods being applied.
Much energy has been spent deciding systems for esteeming
intellectual property, technology, or products. All accessible
approaches oblige distinctive measures of information and fill
different purposes (restrictions are intrinsic regardless of the
approach taken).
The valuation of technology base industry has a tendency to be
very complex, since the task of valuation includes deciding the
present value against a future technology or product. Different
techniques have been produced that utilize more or lesser
measures of financial economic theory. At last, as the quality
will generally be a negotiated figure, what is most essential is
to discover a system that both sides concur will deliver a value
they can accept.
The greatest component that influences valuation of technology
companies is risk: technology risk; market risk; and management
risk. A investor is taking a look at how to minimize these risks:
does the technology meet a genuine unmet require or tackle a
genuine issue or is it a technology searching for an issue to
tackle; is the innovation protectable and does it present
defensible competitive advantage or would it be able to be
effectively re-designed; is the management up to the test, would
they be able to work with investors, would they be able to
develop with the business.
Question 2
Corporations use a range of approaches to innovation, comprising
internal R&D, development of new companies, and strategic
investments and associations. Many are underlining a strategy of
“open innovation” to bring outer sources of innovation into the
organization. Given the achievement of venture capital in making
new entrepreneurial companies and technologies, firms have also
observed to that model as yet alternative approach to innovation.
Corporate venture capital (CVC) may be defined as series in
established companies that make investments in entrepreneurial
companies.
Usually, a CVC makes a financial investment—just as autonomous
venture capital does—and obtains a minority equity stake in the
entrepreneurial company. A CVC may also ease investment of in-
kind and further resources into the portfolio firm. In return,
the company gains a window on both new technologies and
strategically opposite companies that may become strategic
partners.
While the only objective of independent venture capital is
financial profit, CVCs usually have a strategic objective as
well. That goal may include leveraging outer sources of
innovation, getting new ideas and technologies into the company,
or taking “real options” on business models and technologies (by
spending in a wider array of technologies or firm directions than
the company can trail itself).
Corporate venture capital may be seen in the broader framework of
corporate venturing, with both internal and external venturing.
Internal venturing programs “go inside” the company and generate
entrepreneurial ventures from within the company. Entrepreneurial
teams are granted freedom and resources to innovate and establish
new business ventures. External venturing programs “go outside”
the company and tap external foundations of innovation, whether
through research alliances with universities, strategic alliances
with other companies, or partnerships with entrepreneurial
companies.
Often the company’s internal and external venturing attempts are
closely linked and relate with each other. CVC programs in
recognized corporations aim to build contacts with the
entrepreneurial venture community. They study about technology
and business instructions of strategic interest, and then put
investments that create new strategic chances for the firm. By
cooperating with the company’s R&D and business operating units,
CVC programs classify the operating units’ interests and
significances. CVCs support the company’s existing businesses by
merging new technologies and partnerships to its operational
groups.
At the same time, CVCs aid identify technologies and chances that
fall between or beyond the company’s existing businesses, which
could then procedure the basis for new business guidelines.
Organizations looking for development seek after an assortment of
"corporate wandering" exercises that go past or outside the
customary ways to deal with R&D and business advancement.
Corporate funding may be seen in this more extensive connection
of corporate wandering, which incorporates inside wandering
endeavors and in addition outside corporate funding.
While outer CVC projects mean to recognize and access outside
wellsprings of entrepreneurial advancement, inward wandering
projects try to encourage enterprise and entrepreneurial
advancement from inside the organization. Inward wandering
projects furnish entrepreneurial workers with assets and chance
to make new pursuits: for instance, seed subsidizing for R&D, or
hatching assets to make another business.
New inner endeavors that get to be fruitful may in the long run
be fused into a current business of the company, or made as a new
specialty unit, or spun-out as a free organization. Partnerships
may take an assortment of distinctive ways to deal with inner and
outside wandering all in the meantime. Different CVCs may exist
inside the same firm, for instance, to concentrate on distinctive
innovation ranges or serve diverse specialty unit intrigues. CVCs
may be implanted in more extensive corporate wandering endeavors
and collaborate with other inward wander projects.
Not at all like free funding, which has a solitary target of
expanding money related quantifiable profit, most CVCs have a
blend of key and budgetary targets. For CVCs, surveying money
related execution of speculations is generally clear on a
fundamental level, however practically speaking, it might be
risky since numerous CVCs don't have a sufficiently long
reputation of contributing to survey money related returns.
Surveying the key esteem the CVC adds to the more extensive
partnership is maybe more troublesome.
CVCs mean to shape associations with the outer wander group,
recognize new innovation and business bearings that may be of key
enthusiasm to the partnership, and make vital choices for the
company by making interests in entrepreneurial organizations. A
CVC's vital worth could be measured in various ways, including:
the amount furthermore, nature of data gave both to top
administration and to the partnership's working units; the
noteworthiness of referrals, presentations, outside contacts, and
connections encouraged by the CVC; and the vital effect of joint
efforts and organizations that create from CVC interests in
portfolio organizations. While a few parts of CVC execution may
be specifically measured (e.g., the quantity of speculations
made), a CVC's vital worth depends in extensive part on the
subjective judgment of CVC "partners."
'Activity Metrics' and 'Output metrics' are most effectively
measured, yet relate just in a roundabout way to extreme results
for the guardian organization regarding money related or key
effect. Organization particular benchmarks and general portfolio
monetary execution are measurements that an autonomous investment
trust would use to survey and deal with its venture portfolio.
The CVC's worth added commitment to the association may
incorporate innovation bits of knowledge what's more, briefings
introduced to R&D and specialties units, referrals and
acquaintances with outside contacts to aid R&D and specialties
units, and coordinated efforts and associations framed as a after
effect of CVC ventures. Throughout the years, numerous CVCs have
observed that keeping up top administration support for the CVC
is troublesome.
As rises in the funding venture cycle, numerous organizations are
drawn into framing CVCs, yet then rapidly forsake the exertion
when the funding cycle rotates toward the ground. A few
enterprises, notwithstanding, have demonstrated a supported
responsibility to corporate investment over the long haul,
keeping up financing backing through the good and bad times of
the investment cycle.
The source of capital for a CVC may be the corporate level of the
parent company, specialties units inside the guardian
organization, or even perhaps outer venture accomplices. Most
usually, CVCs are financed by corporate base camp. Frequently,
specialties units might additionally contribute financing,
particularly when the CVC mission is nearly adjusted to a
particular specialty unit. Sometimes, a CVC may have constrained
accomplice venture associations with one or more outside free
investment reserves.
Question 3
The valuation process of the company mainly involve three methods
of valuations based on the projections given in the case. The
three methods under consideration are Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
valuation, Venture Capital Methodology and Market Comparable
Analysis. These methods will help in analyzing the value of the
company by giving different estimates based on their relevant
assumptions.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
Discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation method uses future free cash
flow forecasts and discounts them (using the weighted average
cost of capital) to calculate a present value, which is used to
evaluate the value of the business.
Firstly, the stage of business is determined according to the
market, management and science and technology. The stage of
development is determined as second stage, as per table provided
in exhibit 2, which is the accelerating growth rate. In this
relation the discount rate for the valuation of the company is
assumed to be 30%. While the growth of the company is assumed to
be 20%.
The discounted cash flow is carried out on the basis of data
provided in the excel sheet. The earnings are adjusted for tax
and depreciation allowances which are then adjusted for the
working capital requirements and the capital expenditure
requirements for each year. The resulting profits are regarded as
the Free Cash Flows (FCFs) that the company will be able to
generate through its future operations.
The Free Cash flows are increasing at a high rate, which are
discounted using the discount rate of 30% as assumed in the
previous stage of calculation. These discounted cash flows are
summed up to accumulate the value of these cash flows over the
time period, shown as present values of FCFs.
Moreover, the terminal value of the FCFs are then calculated
using the formula for terminal value which is calculated to be $
203,304. The terminal value shows the value of the FCFs occurring
in perpetuity with the incorporation of given growth rate,
assumed to be constant. Finally, the total value is calculated as
the sum of present values of future cash flows and terminal value
which is calculated to be $ 220,389.
Venture Capital Methodology
Venture capital methodology is another method of valuing the
company. This determines the projected earnings of the company
and the last year of projection after which the terminal values
will be estimated using the formula, as shown in the excel sheet.
This method utilizes the PE multiple ion order of estimate the
value of the company.
In this case, the annual earnings of Genedata are taken as $
18300, that is, earnings in the year 2004. The PE multiple is
estimated to be 3.9 times, taken as the average PE multiple of
the industry. The required rate of return is taken as the
discount rate of the company that is 30%, as assumed in DCF
valuation.
The present value of the free cash flows are assumed to be same
as calculated in the DCF valuation whereas the terminal value is
calculated using this new method. The terminal values are
calculated to be $ 25,054. The total value of the company is then
accumulated to be $ 42,136. This is quite lower than that of DCF
valuation which might be due to nature of the company having
different values due to intangible assets of the company.
Comparable Company Analysis
The comparable company analysis is another technique that can be
used to value the company. The comparable company analysis
determines the average of the comparable companies showing
industry average.
The earnings of the company are then estimated for the value of
the company on the basis of this estimated comparable. In this
case, the comparable used is EV/EBIT multiple of the industry.
The earnings of Genedata are then multiplied with this multiple
to determine the value of the company. The value of the company
is therefore calculated to be $278,974.
Question 4
I would suggest to the customers that they ought not to invest
into the early start-up organization as the risk connected with
the already established business is relatively higher when
contrasted with the adult organization. The risk connected with
the early new company is higher in this manner, the customers
ought to put investment into bond securities through which they
can get the fixed return and the risk connected with the bond
securities are lower when contrasted with encouraging start-up
organizations.
In the event that the customers need to put investment into the
pharmaceutical business in this manner, they ought to put
investment into the listed organization instead of early new
business. The monetary valuation of early start-up organization
is not perfectly assessed on the grounds that in right on time
new businesses, past financial performance is used because of
which evaluation is evaluated on the basic of future assumption
and it is evident that future presumption is not genuine, and it
can change. Along these, the cost related expense of early start-
up organizations is not so much assessed, and it can mislead the
investors.
Technological Development In Industry: A Business-Economic Survey and Analysis, op.
cit.
"Industrial Technology". Education Portal. Retrieved 15
December 2012
McMillan, I., Roberts, E., Livada, V., Wang, A. (2008). Corporate
venture capital: Seeking innovation and corporate growth.
National Institute for Standards and Technology, US Department of
Commerce
Appendices:
DCF ValuationStage of Developm ent Second stage: Accelrating Growth
Discount Rate 30%Growth Rate 20%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
6,200 11,000 18,000 29,000 45,0001,400 2,000 2,500 3,500 4,5002,250 4,000 8,000 11,000 16,000
2,550 5,000 7,500 14,500 24,500637.5 1250 1875 3625 6125
517 500 583 917 133380 100 100 100 100
1,316 3,150 4,942 9,858 16,9421 0.769 0.592 0.455 0.350
1315.5 2423.1 2924.3 4487.0 5931.9
Norm alized FCF 20,330
PV of FCFs 17082Term inal Value 203304
Com pnay value ($ Thousand) 220386
Years
Discounted Cash Flows
SalesR&D ExpensesOther CostsEBITDATax @ 25%W C requirem entsInvestm entsFCF'sDiscount Rate
Venture Capital M ethodology
$18,300.00 last year date4 laste year date
3.950%
$14,134.68
PV of FCFs $17,082Term inal Value $14,135Total Firm Value $31,216
PE RatioM arket Cap Earnings PE Ratio
Lion 65988 -47588 -1.4Com pugen 38604 -15144 -2.5InforM ax 16928 -27459 -0.6Tripos 64315 3185 20.2Average 3.9
Value of firm
Discount the Term inal Value to Present Value
Annual Earnings(Projected NI)In YearPE(m ultiple)Required Rate of Return
M arket Com parablesM arket Com parables: Financial Aggregates
in $ thousand M arket. Cap. (P) NFD Enterprise Value
Sales EBIT Earnings Em ployee R&D EV/EBIT
Lion 65,988 -32,791 33197. 35139. -50,766 -47,588 520 46,945 -0.65392Com pugen 38,604 -32,347 6,257 11,360 -19,019 -15,144 176 15,976 -0.32899InforM ax 16,928 -50,956 -34,028 18,528 -27,632 -27632. 223 10,192 1.231471Tripos 64315. -16,010 48305. 52,331 1,062 3,185 267 9406. 45.48493
11.43
EV/EBIT (Avg) 11.43EBIT (Genedata) 24,400Enterprise Value 278974