Critical Appraisal of Energy Resources in Central Asia/Eurasia
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Transcript of Critical Appraisal of Energy Resources in Central Asia/Eurasia
rpgAlexamrne engaqe empower
Asia EnergySummit 2on
A cerebral forum examining cooperation forSecurity, Stability and S!stainability
The tr6t A5ia Enerey sumnit 2011
The everchanqing dynamcs ol g oba economics and geopo lics has b@ughlJodh a newword
oder wliere westem cou.tes, wlro once dôm naled the sandbox ol lhe iûtenal ona ene|gv
maûet, w I now have lo share it wilh Asias mosl vibanl aôd dynamc economiês Atrvâ ol
thes€ econômes on lhe nlernalionalscêne as êquas, an idea which evên live yea6 ago was
cônsidercd Io be an emelginq rrend, hâs now become an indispulâbe reaily. New reâlites
TheÀsiâEnerqySunmit20llorgâniædbylPPAl,soughllonilalêlh€processolcryslaLizalionol deas and apprcaches lo achleve lhe aloremenlioned oblecllve tlrrough a g obaL conve4enceol e&erls and rhouqhl eade6 in lhs area. For lhe rising asiâÔ economies, itwasan occas onro êxchanqe wilh each olher. lheir own conlemporary energy scena os and synchrcnize lheirpoices 10 aôliieve max mum benelils. For the weslem nalons, it wâs ân opporlunily 1o gel
àcô imalized wilh lhe new nlêmalionâl order and consequenlly dêvelop a b ueprnl lor lutur€
engagement wirh lhe rsinq pôweB. For lhe nlernalional enêQy supplerc, I was â unque
oppodunity lo communicale wilh these markels and underctand how lhe alesl g€opollicâlaûd
linanclâllrends may complcale an a €ady comp i.aled bùs ness
Th s li6t-oi ts-k nd coniluence ol ideas bbughllonh lor nirospeclion and d scussion alaspecls
ol lhe enerqy domâin. ll locused on lhe changing qeôpolllca dlmensions ol eneay supples
âround lhe ûord and lhe mpacr ol recent evenls lhroughoul lhê gob€ ând their blltedly ellect
onlh s seclor In addil on lwildeveooablueprnlolenhancodinlraconlinenla@opêalLonand
sel the lone ror an asân dialogue wlh lhe wesl on lhe issuês ol enercy.
The As â Ênergy Summii bouqhl togelher Asia s linesl and mosl inl uentiâl ûinds lo address
issues renloned âbove aôd more.
Agenda - The ̂5 a En-êrgv Sumnr t 201l
lnaùEuÉl Talk - []tr. Nllr oot arar., lvento. of ge.utity watch lndialppAl
f.lroducliôn tolhe Asia Enèrgy summit Mr larryDtrau DnecbraereEt, tppat
Sening the sænè A'nb T.mz Aii.d Aûba*adartuJ Kingdû of Saudj Aêbja
Ouesl on & Answer Sess ôn
Geopolilics- New realities démand new slrategiés-Dt Fia is \ na Vice Pêsiden. China tnstitute or tntenariûat Studes (CllS), Chitu
Indla's Enerqy srralegy in asiô and the retated porèntiat for conflicr ând cooperation,Ms Ianv [iâda] êæst Rêæarchet, Forcign potby studiæ, B@kings hstirJte
oùêstion & answer session
Energy Fesôu rce5 in Ca u casus Règion: Utlttsation psitemand prcsp€cretÂs tèt). At èra. PÆident cehtet fù National and lntena @a] stùdies, Bakù
Crlticâl Appraisal ol Enèrgy Fesources in cenrrat Asla/Èurasi.-Dr Zab k! ah S Sa pov UniveÊit! at Wôttd Ecanmy e Diptamcy, fættt@t
Energy Sæurily wllh spæilic èlerence lo Hydre Porer, tesson trem KyrgFstanMr Kubanyc rbck sma ov, Dy. Gene@l Directat Jsc (Narianât Etectri@t aùd at Kyayzstan)
tiloderalorandChâirperson-[4r l-]rmangshu WâlG, .seito. Edlfo t, fhe E@nûic fines.
Nuclear Power ceneràtion In mêeting Energy næds ot South and Soulh E st Asta:Stàrus and Prosp€cts.Dr K Sàr\nanan. Famet Diecbt GqeÊL 1DSA
Japan's issuæ a.d co.@rns ot energy secudty b€tore and afrèr ihe Énhquakê-Mr \tj) Mat ra seniat Resât h Felbv fhe lnstitute ot Enery! Eûnanic6, Japân
Nèw Pahdlgn lorlndia s Feglonat Enèrgy TÉdÈOr Sameena fâmeed. ,4ss,start Ptufesn Jania MiIâ lstffih, New Detht
Ouestion & Answer Session
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The eveÉdiangino dynâm ôs oi qroba èôonomics and gêopolilcs has broughl lodh a new worldrhe.ewestehcounraes,shôoncêdôminâlèdrhêsandboxotthe nlemalional enercy ûa el w I
o< v brârt ând dynânc e,o-oTies.
Welcome by Mr. Mâool Râza
9:50-10:20 lnircduclion lo the Asiâ Enerqy Sùnnll Mr.Hâry ohaul, DnecùGenenl,
10:20- 11:00 seting rhe sc€ne: Adb. Talûiz Ahmad, nrbassadotlôthê Kingdanol saudi
1r .00 . r1 .15 Teà Breàk
Gêopolitics- Nêw Ealitiës denand newstraleqies
Chlna Ênelgy Devélopmênl Sl€l€AyDr. Ronq Ylnq, vi.é-Prés,itéra Chinâ lnsïtuta a, lntemtianal Sludies lolts)
India s Eneçy s1É1e9ry ir As a and rhê rêlâl€d porânl al lor conl cl and æopeÉtuôMs,Tanvi Mâdan. Gue$ Aesærchet, Fa@gn Pôli.y Studiæ, lhe Ùo.kings lnstitution
13:30-17:00 Enerqy Baskel ôl A3lâ
Chânperson: H,E, kina Orofbaeva A! 9, / aûba*àdôt tô tndia
13:30.14:00 Enersy Resôùrcês InCalcâsùs Hegion: Urilisarion Panern and Prospeclsl!ts. Leila Alleva. Pêsdert centet lot NâIional and lnletMtiml studies Bâku
14:0014:30 crilical Appraisal ol Energy Resou.ces inCentrâl Asiâ/EurâsiâDr. Zàbihullè S, Saipov, Uave6i,/ ol Wodd E@ôaûy & Dipbnacy, îâshkenl
14:3$r5:O0 Enèqy Security wilh spêcitic Glerence lo Hydrc Poûêr, lesen lbm KyqyâtânMr. kmàild Kubsnychbek DepLt GeæÊl Diedôt, ltati@at Eéctic Gtid ol Kyt1:tzstan
15.00-1sr5 Tea Srcâk
rlroderâror ând chairperson: Mr. Himàn$hu w€il3, sen/orEdlor Eneoy & Po||er
151 5-15:45 ùclêâr Powêr Gen.Erion in mêêring Energy næds ot Soulh and southEâêl Aaiâ: SlâIrs ard ProspærsDt. K S.nrhan n, Famet Dnectu GeneÈI, IDSA
15:45-16:1s Japan s issu€s and ænæms of energy sæurily belo@ and aller lhé éârlfrquakêMr,Yuji Morita, Serbr Âesearch Fèllôv The hstitùte ol Ehetry EMn:s, Japan
Nêw Pa€digm lor Indias R€gionalEôe4yTradeDi Sanêenâ Hamêed, Àsstslarl P@tessot, Jâûia Milla
10:00-13:00 South Astan Energy Scênaio: An ovetoew
Overu'èw ot SÀARC Ma*er tor Etecfi,c,rt and tModê,âror ofthe Sèsson:10:00- 10:30 Mr.AnllSâsi. çptrÈt Cd G,pondèît H,tiL BLriôc<rt.ne
10:30-11t5 Ojl & ca! ErptoEtiôn ând produc ôn and En6ey Se.u.iryt A View trcû
itr. Nârendra Tânêiâ Soùth A..è BLGàj a hgt up.teèn Chtthè
Energy Sl.âièqvand Energy secunly: qlôsè^oconæf kol Bargtoo€.fAmb,Ir,!. HunâVun Kabir. y.."Pes@nt Bènatàde h En'èo.ee thstttu@
Trading ôl Power: The presenlscenafo and ils tulure, â view trom $ Lânka[!r Dânlrha Kumaræinghe, Dt ector Genehl, publlc utinæ cannissiôn ot sti
14:00-17:00 Energy Coûidors in Asta and Fuetrrading: Srrrùs ahdWay Fouâtd
Thêpar o , rno" .<rândrg drd .ooôe,d lon .o ,a . à r ene.gy ,ou p \ rhà . (c --è o Ù 1ore ôrÀ. rvê ?9o-d td d n .ôJ ,eo io .d bône. r .
overvrew an! chitrpersôn:
14:05.14:2s Amb, Tarmiz Ahmad Anbd..àdot to thè hhqdo4 at SaLù Atàû
14:25-14:55 Exisling Eneey Coriidors ând Fulure ptans in Soulh and Wesl & C€nlntAsiâProf. Abolqhâseû Mah.d.vt Mazdeh, Unive5irr' at fehmn. t6n
À oo.s b i lh ô , ' -e9 'a |nQ \du à tC"s na . " r , lp 'ped ând LNG)êva uaE po (y and weriare impidèronsD-r. ChangYoungho. d. .,,jrn,aak.sa. S.hodat ÈùranrÉ<
.ryTl'Y'"
15:00 Prospecls tô r Turkm€ n sla n.Aiqha i slan pak slan ndatTAp)pioetneAnb. Abdusâmât Khaydarov, Héad United Nâtûns Oiice Wætèh Atohanistan
o
TIFomet Sarctary. Seclntt Ga\onûent ôt tnùa
Univê6'ry or Woid tuùony & Dp omacy, rashkènt
zsbilidlo S, seip.v is a polidcal $i.dùr tom U,bdtùh, spe.ialùins iiÀned6 dd Middtc Fab !ùi6. He hs tudkd d ùe u veriry or wùtdEcoimy ûd Diplôhæy. u$€D (rhD pot.sci. lo)i srpÀ, cotumbâ univmiry, s
lTÙiô^D'p]omsslJcuûrly he ræhs NB m 1trd"u Dirto"a.f,,"I:he Bstts otDtpbùûy,,
où ,.oeiçn Paln ot uùêL,tu" r qo q ] 0 0 | | . $ J ' o r o ' p | o f u ' ' t r t r R j L \ e M n ' Ù y
ùf FoEisn aft^ or uzbcrisbr ssirs
Enbasy f limab His mùosnph ?,e rst@k Fûtt4vs F;EE|poticy,n
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Drân naLuEr qàs reætoes nI UzbekEran Tùrrmen6ràn andKâzaklr sran êqua more I han 236 tr riôncm. The €gonis totât ôit resodêsmay rêâch morc thân 60 br ôô barôrsor oir wirh some esrnaræ âs hiqhâs 200 binôn baïêts. The côunrêsunder @nsideraron arc un.t€r reparh ôr slatô drvetopmênr ot enêEy
process prômisestô be ir€vérsb e Tô compâre thecurEnr slal€ ôl oil and gâs nduslrywirh rhe slale ot âfiâtG ot twô decadêsback lhê devôopménr ls obMôus n1995,Ihê iêgon wâs producing ôny37,000 barcls per dây, and nôs ir
They hâvê Ea s€d rhe impôdanceoî prcjecls bêins undedâken ior theoir ând gas indùslJy tor thê be.ôft orrhê r counlri€s ând w€l-be ns ot lhê
Kâza khslan i Tu rkmenisrân and nôwUzbôksrân hav€ made a deôision nottôbe depêndénr on the sing e pipetinercûres ThôE âr€ morê prcssinqssuôs rhar tho munrles lâæ now:- rhe expànsion ol rêsource bâsê orcenrÉ asian expo.l€fs and rhéirtânspodaiion €pacly espec a yô rhe conrêxr or compe o. ior kêi
Kazakhsrân, lurkmén slan âidUzbêkisran sr ôn huge o andnarura aâs rcsêdês yel rhêy tacerhâreng€s in genng lhôse ræêruêsro grobâ ma.kê16ro expod rher €sôuræs through
Ru$an ôônlrc €d p petinæ, sô lhevsêek Io allâii epitar po ltcat soDoonfor pipe nes rhrough othêr adiacânrcounr'es Kazâkhslan hâs lhêlaeôsl ôil and !âs resëryê rhrcushrhe casp ân sea €oronat slarês. I sàfr,ng ro b@me one ôt rô word.sropôiexp0rrê6inlhecôminsde.adé.Tho déveropmênt or ls oit riêtds e.nake it onê ol ihê wôdd s lop rivê oprôducerc wrhin rhê néxr dôcâde,and wih a prcdùôton ot 1.54 m ionbaro s per day in 2009, Kâzaktrslan6 a rëady â major pr.ducef
an or Kâzâkhslan s proven oilreseruês werc esr mâled lo b€ 3obiutonbârels in Jânuary 2010, compaÉbtelo Aroêda at lhe low ond ând Libva arlhê hsh end. rhe counlrys mâjn oil
Pad or lhê counlry The onshôrê fietdsâcôountrors0% ollhê ôurcnt prcvênræêrues rl is bêæming one ot rh€Pillarc ol ênercy sêdurily in Asâ andEurope, and ptans rô producê 3.5mirrôn barels ôr oit per dây and 60.30 b lion cm ol âssocialod qas by2015. ll onê cra$tês Kazakhsiânspaneh oi potitiôât condûôt one mâyco.crude rhat ii hâs a w ngne$ lo
dip omâr. and êcononiô €jaronsw[h majd poliricâr prcwe$ n lhenrênatunat ârena, nâûety chinâ,US, Tûrkmen stân, Bussiâ, EuDp€âôd ihoAÉbÀ, lus imword
Chinâ has long v€Md cenùaiM ddte East The
initia pbposal ior rhe centEr asia,cbna gâs pipe n€ wæ proposedâs rhe cênrâ/ asia.Kâzakhsrânpipe nê which wâs tô ro ow âtôôs lhêKazakhsrân-chinaoitpipe n€ In June2003, durino Chinâse Prcsidenfsvsf lo Kazâkhslan, aqEênenls tôëxpêdiê the appÉsais to rhé prcjeclwerc sqned. on apr 3, 2006,chna and Turrinânktaô sgnêd âramêwork aoreomenton thê oipe nêconsltud on and loig remqâssuppty.ln 4pd2007, Chinâ made ânother b ssrep rowârds captû nq uzbêkisranând on apdr 30, 2007, uzbëkisrânand china signêd an aqrêemenr onthe consltuclion and éxploiatioi otlhê pipe nês uzbôkistân s€.tioô.On Jùy 2007, ù was rômanyânnounced lirai Uzbèklstan woutdtôri lhe oiq ôat kâzakhsran.chinappêrinê proi€d rhe whotê piperinewas inâuguGled2009. t ls abôur 1333 kms onq, ôrw,ricir 133 kms is in Tu*mentslân,ând 530 kms n Uzbekstân. Themùihun dischâae is 40 bi/to. cfrper yêâ. For this éason, diversil,ingtânsit nftasùuclurc caô hep rcducecênrar asas vutneÉbt ry ro po câlano êôonômc prôssue rom à s ngtô
rpgAl [email protected] .orçlrppal
