Programme - International Statistical Institute

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Programme Berlin, International Congress Centre (ICC) 13-20 August 2003 www.isi-2003.de 54th Session 2003 International Statistical Institute Institut International de Statistique Internationales Statistisches Institut

Transcript of Programme - International Statistical Institute

Programme

Berlin, International Congress Centre (ICC)13-20 August 2003www.isi-2003.de

54th Session 2003International Statistical InstituteInstitut International de StatistiqueInternationales Statistisches Institut

Contact Information Help Desk and Helpline A help desk is located at the Central Information Desk in the en-trance lobby of the ICC. It will be open from 08:00 h to 18:00 h. Furthermore, the helpline Tel: 3038 6301 (Fax: 3038 6060) will be open from 08:00 h to 22:00 h. When calling from outside Berlin dial + 49 (0)30 3038 6301 Executive Secretariat Address: Statistisches Bundesamt Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11

65189 Wiesbaden Germany

Telephone: +49 611 75 2351 or +49 1888 644 2351 Telefax: +49 611 75 3950 or +49 1888 644 3950 Tel at the ICC: +49 30 3038 7547 Fax at the ICC: +49 30 3038 81302 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: http://www.isi-2003.de Congress Office Address: CPO HANSER SERVICE GmbH Paulsborner Strasse 44 14193 Berlin Germany Tel at the ICC: +49 30 3038 7504 Fax at the ICC: +49 30 3038 81300 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: http://www.cpo-hanser.de Local Programme Committee Address: Mr Peter-Th. Wilrich Head of the Local Programme Committee ISI-Geschaeftsstelle Otto-Braun-Strasse 70/72 10178 Berlin Germany Tel at the ICC: +49 30 3038 7545 Fax at the ICC: +49 30 2038 81303 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: http://www.isi-2003.de

Programme

54th Session 2003International Statistical InstituteInstitut International de StatistiqueInternationales Statistisches Institut

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Welcome to Berlin, Germany The 54th ISI Session is embedded in a special historical context. The first International Statistical Congress (ISC), which is considered the precursor to ISI Sessions, took place in Brussels as early as 150 years ago. 118 years ago, in 1885, the International Statistical Institute was founded, and it became aparent that one of this organiation’s most important tasks is to organise statistical congresses, which normally take place every two years, in different locations all over the world. Exactly 100 years ago, the 9th ISI Session was held in Berlin for the very first time. Therefore, historical aspects of statistics will be one of the focal themes of this ISI Session. Apart from this, the Scientific Programme of the Session will reflect the entire range of subjects represented by the Sections – Bernoulli Society, IAOS, IASE, IASC, and IASS – as well as those subjects which are not represented by the Sections, in addition to several topics organised by invited ‘guest societies’. This broad range of topics will be united under the umbrella of the International Statistical Institute. The overall aim of all ISI Sessions, viz., the development and the improvement of statistical methods and their world-wide application, will feature prominently in the papers of both the Invited Paper Programme and the Contributed Paper Programme of the 54th ISI Session. Bearing in mind the further intent of ISI Sessions to provide a forum for the exchange of ideas and experiences among experts from all areas of statistics, and from all over the world, in order to create the conditions for global co-operation, the organisers of the 54th ISI Session have provided numerous opportunities for participants to come together both in the scientific meetings and at other events, such as the extensive exhibition which will take place in conjunction with the Session. In addition, papers dealing with topics such as "Statistics in international banking", "Problems of global population development", and "Modern techniques in government" will be of interest not only for statisticians but also to the general public. Finally, the Social Programme of the Session, taking place in specially selected beautiful settings and enabling participants to come face to face with monuments of the host country's history and culture, is organised with a view to creating an atmosphere which will both stimulate work in the Scientific Programme and provide participants with lasting memories of a special experience. Hans Günther Merk Chairman of the National Organising Committee

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Contents Welcome Address ........................................................... 02 1. International Statistical Institute .................................... 04

1.1. ISI Council 1.2. ISI Permanent Office 1.3. ISI Programme Committee for the 54th ISI Session 1.4. Programme Co-ordinating Committee for the

54th ISI Session 2. Organisation of the 54th ISI Session .............................. 06

2.1. Honorary Committee 2.2. National Organising Committee (NOC)

Executive Committee (EC) Executive Secretariat Local Programme Committee 3. Scientific Programme ..................................................... 09

3.1. Media Check and Speakers’ Lounge 3.2. Presentations 3.3. Poster Presentations 3.4. Discussants’ Papers 3.5. Proceedings 3.6. General Schedule ..................................................... 11 3.7. Invited Paper Meetings .............................................. 14 3.8. Contributed Paper Meetings ...................................... 18 3.9. Administrative Meetings ............................................ 23 3.10. Schedule of Invited Paper Meetings ......................... 26 3.11. Schedule of Contributed Paper Meetings ................. 31 3.12. Schedule for Poster Session .................................... 36 3.13. Schedule of Administrative Meetings ........................ 44 3.14. Daily Schedule of Scientific Meetings ....................... 47

4. Tutorials ........................................................................ 134 5. Special Sessions........................................................... 135

5.1. “Bund Online 2005” and e-statistics 5.2. Tools for a Wide Range of Challenges 5.3. Official statistics for a global economy

6. Official and Social Programme .................................... 137

6.1. Opening Ceremony 6.2. Welcome Reception 6.3. Concert “young.euro.classic” 6.4. Reception of the German Federal Government 6.5. Farewell Party 6.6. Mid Session Tours 6.7. Accompanying Persons’ Programme

7. Local Information and Services ................................... 140

7.1. Congress Office 7.2. Registration Fees and Session Materials 7.3. Name badges 7.4. Hotel list 7.5. Local Information 7.6. Services and Facilities

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1. International Statistical Institute 1.1. ISI Council Officers / Executive Committee (2001 – 2003): President: Dennis J. Trewin (Australia) President Elect: Stephen M. Stigler (USA) Vice Presidents: Jae Chang Lee (Korea) Denise A. Lievesley (UNESCO) Jef L. Teugels (Belgium) Council Members: 2001 – 2005 Jayant V. Deshpande (India) Nicholas I. Fisher (Australia) Frederick W.H. Ho (Hong Kong SAR, China) David S. Moore (USA) Sylvia Richardson (France) Paul Switzer (USA) Ib O. Thomsen (Norway) Norbert Victor (Germany) 1999-2003 L. Fabbris (Italy) Catherine Huber-Carol (France) Youri Ivanov (Russia) Farhad Mehran (Iran) Stephan Morgenthaler (Switzerland) Ryoichi Shimizu (Japan) Stephen M. Stigler (USA) Past President: Jean-Louis Bodin (France) Section Presidents 2001-2003: Bernoulli Society: Peter Hall (Australia) IAOS: Paul Cheung (Singapore) IASE: Carmen Batanero (Spain) IASC: Jae Chang Lee (Korea) IASS: Xavier Charoy (France) Ex-Officio Members: Larry Cox (Statistics and the Environment Committee) Nicholas I. Fisher (Statistics in Business and Industry Committee) Nanny Wermuth (Life Sciences Committee) Ruud B.J.C. Van Noort (Director General, Statistics Netherlands) Secretary / Treasurer: Marcel P.R. Van den Broecke (ISI)

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1.2. ISI Permanent Office Director: Marcel P.R. Van den Broecke Ass. Director: Daniel Berze Address: International Statistical Institute Prinses Beatrixlaan 428 P.O. Box 950 2270 AZ Voorburg The Netherlands Telephone: +31.70.3375737 Telefax: +31.70.3860025 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: http://www.cbs.nl/isi/ 1.3. ISI Programme Committee for the 54th ISI Session Chair: Susan Linacre (Australia) [email protected] Standby-Chair: Stephan Morgenthaler (Switzerland) [email protected] Vice-Chair: Peter-Th. Wilrich (Germany) [email protected] Members: Daniel Defays (Belgium) [email protected] C.J. Jeff Wu (USA) [email protected] H. Habermann (USA) [email protected] Isidoro P. David (Philippines) [email protected] Françoise Seillier-Moiseiwitch (USA/Belgium) [email protected] Rahul Mukherjee (India) [email protected] Patty Solomon (Australia) [email protected] 1.4. Programme Co-ordinating Committee for the 54th ISI Session Chair: Susan Linacre (Australia) [email protected] Vice-Chair: Peter-Th. Wilrich (Germany) [email protected] Members: Bernoulli Society: Rainer Dahlhaus (Germany) [email protected] IAOS: Siu-Ming Tam (Australia) [email protected] IASE: Gilberte Schuyten (Belgium) [email protected] IASC: Roger Payne (UK) [email protected] IASS: Danny Pfeffermann (Israel) [email protected]

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2. Organisation of the 54th ISI Session The 54th Session of the ISI is held under the patronage of the President of the Federal Republic of Germany, Mr Johannes Rau. 2.1. Honorary Committee Chair: Gerhard Schröder, Chancellor of the Federal

Republic of Germany Members: Otto Schily, Federal Minister of the Interior Hans Eichel, Federal Minister of Finance

Wolfgang Clement, Federal Minister of Economics and Labour Edelgard Bulmahn, Federal Minister of Education and Research

Klaus Wowereit, Governing Mayor of Berlin Matthias Platzeck, Minister-President of the Land of Brandenburg Ernst Welteke, President of the Federal Bank of Germany Dieter Philipp, Chair of the Joint Committee on German Trade and Industry and President of the National Federation of German Skilled Crafts and Trades Ernst-Ludwig Winnacker, President of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft

Peter Gruss, President of the Max Planck Society 2.2. National Organising Committee (NOC) Chair: Hans Günther Merk, President ret., Federal

Statistical Office Vice-Chairs: Günter Kopsch, Federal Statistical Office Peter-Th. Wilrich, German Statistical Society Members: Albert Benker, President ret., Land Office for

Data Processing and Statistics of North Rhine-Westphalia Hans-Hermann Bock, German Classification Society Eckart Elsner, Director ret., Land Statistical Office of Berlin

Joachim Frohn, University of Bielefeld Ursula Gather, University of Dortmund, German Mathematical Society, Special Interest Group for Probability and Statistics Rudolf Giehl, President ret., Bavarian Land Office for Statistics and Data Processing Christoph Grenzmann, Stifterverband, Science Statistics

Johann Hahlen, Federal Statistical Office Hans-Joachim Haß, Federation of German Industries Jürgen H. P. Hoffmeyer-Zlotnik, Working Party of Social Science Institutes, Centre for Survey Research and Methodology

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Members: Erhard Hruschka, President ret., Land Statistical Office of Hamburg Wolfgang Köpcke, University of Münster, German Association for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology

Helmut Maier, Berlin School of Economics Rosemarie Mank, Federal Ministry of the Interior

Iris Pigeot-Kübler, University of Bremen, German Region of the International Biometric Society Ernst-Joachim Richter, Union of German Municipal Statisticians Gert Ritter, Federal Ministry of Economics and Labour Ulrich Rieder, University of Ulm, Faculty of Mathematics and Economics, Department of Operations Research Erika Schulz, German Association for Demography

Reiner Stäglin, German Statistical Society Arend Steenken, Land Office for Data Processing and Statistics of Brandenburg Norbert Victor, Ruprecht Karl University, Heidelberg, German Association for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology Gert G. Wagner, German Institute for Economic Research Nanny Wermuth, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Department of Methodology and Statistics H.-Erich Wichmann, German Epidemiology Association Erich Wiegand, Association of German Market and Social Research Institutes

Executive Committee (EC) Chair: Hans Günther Merk, President ret., Federal

Statistical Office Members: Günter Kopsch, Federal Statistical Office, 1st

deputy Peter-Th. Wilrich, German Statistical Society, 2nd deputy Albert Benker, President ret., Land Office for Data Processing and Statistics of North Rhine-Westphalia Eckart Elsner, Director ret., Land Statistical Office of Berlin

Rosemarie Mank, Federal Ministry of the Interior Sibylle von Oppeln-Bronikowski, Federal Statistical Office Ernst-Joachim Richter, Union of German Municipal Statisticians

Dieter Sarreither, Federal Statistical Office Reiner Stäglin, German Statistical Society

Arend Steenken, Land Office for Data Processing and Statistics of Brandenburg Nanny Wermuth, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz

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Executive Secretariat Executive Secretary: Bernd Störtzbach

Assistant Executive Secretary: Alexander Loschky

Members: Lars Wittmann (scientific programme) Birgit Zimmermann (budget and administration) Monika Lacher (translation, editorial work) Fernanda Isidoro Losada (daily bulletin)

Supported by: Angela Schaff (press) Karl Heinz Liebig (budget) Werner Landvogt (information technology) Ernst Schrey (information technology) Roland Schlösser (administration) Frank Hennig (daily bulletin) Petra Kucera (daily bulletin) Berthold Peikert (information technology) Barbara Both (graphics and design) Georg Heer (information technology) Heidrun Stirner (public relations) Special thanks are due to George A. Wilson and Kosmas Papadopoulos who each spent an internship of 3 months working at the Executive Secretariat. Local Programme Committee Chair: Peter-Th. Wilrich, German Statistical Society Vice-Chair: Jürgen Chlumsky, Federal Statistical Office Members: Joachim Frohn, University of Bielefeld Ursula Gather, University of Dortmund Wolfgang Härdle, Humboldt University, Berlin

Iris Pigeot-Kübler, University of Bremen Jürgen Schmidt, Federal Statistical Office

Erika Schulz, German Association for Demography Norbert Victor, Ruprecht Karl University, Heidelberg Gert G. Wagner, German Institute for Economic Research

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3. Scientific Programme The Scientific Programme of the 54th Session of the International Statistical Institute consists of Invited Paper Meetings and Contributed Paper Meetings. In addition to these Invited and Contributed Paper Meetings, a tutorial on Bioinformatics and a tutorial on Statistical analysis from complex survey data with application to the social, biological and health sciences will also be held on one evening as a special event. 3.1. Media Check and Speakers’ Lounge Opposite the ICC’s main entrance, a room has been made available where the speakers can prepare their presentations and check the media they intend to use (Speakers’ Lounge).

Speakers are requested to hand in their electronic presentation materials (on CD-ROM or diskette) at the Media Check in the Speakers’ Lounge at least one day before their meeting.

The technical support staff will store electronic presentations on the Session Server, so that it can be accessed from the PC in the meeting room via the ICC's local network.

At the Speakers’ Lounge, PCs and printers are available. These PCs have the operating system MS Windows XP and are equipped with MS Office XP, Corel WordPerfect Office 2002, Adobe Acrobat Reader and MS Internet Explorer.

Furthermore, speakers have the opportunity to use their personal laptop. They can connect it to the locally provided beamer in order to check their presentations, and also use internet via an Ethernet RJ45 connection.

Participants will also be provided with a personal storage space and a web-based E-mail account (for further information see page 140 Local Information and services).

Technical support staff is in place to help speakers change or complete their presentations. 3.2. Presentations So that papers can be viewed, an overhead projector, a beamer and a networked PC are provided in each of the meeting rooms. Any participants wishing to use a computer for their presentations can work on their files at the ICC using the PCs provided in the Speakers' Lounge (printers are also available). These PCs have the operating system MS Windows XP and are equipped with MS Office XP, Corel WordPerfect Office 2002, Adobe Acrobat Reader and MS Internet Explorer.

It should be noted that the only formats of presentation that can be accepted are Powerpoint, Word, Excel, WordPerfect, Corel Presentations and PDF, and that users of PDF will not be able to make any changes to their files, as the PDF software available at the ICC will be of a read-only type. In order to maximize user comfort, and to minimize safety risks, participants are requested to hand in their electronic presentation materials (on CD-ROM or diskette) at the Media Check desk in the Speakers Lounge one day before their meeting. The technical support staff will store the electronic presentation on the Session server.

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3.3. Poster Presentations There is space available for poster presentation during the conference, with room for about 30 posters at the same time. The poster presentations are scheduled for the 4 full days of the conference, i.e. Thursday 14th August, Friday 15th August, Tuesday 19th August and Wednesday 20th August. The presenters of a poster are requested to be present for discussion at the following times of their session day:

09.00 h - 11.00 h 15.00 h - 17.00 h

A 1 metre x 1 metre white board with a heading strip containing the author’s name and the title of the poster will be available for each poster. Presenters are requested to provide the staff at the 1st floor information desk near the Bridge Lobby (blue/west side) with their poster on the evening before their poster session at the latest so that in can be fixed on the white board. 3.4. Discussants’ Papers Discussants are to hand in their papers, which may be written in one of the working languages of the ISI, i.e. English or French. Discussants are encouraged to submit their papers by E-mail (E-mail address: [email protected]); however, they can also hand in their papers stored on diskette or CD-ROM at the central information desk in the entrance lobby. The disk labels and the file names should show the discussant’s full name and the Invited Paper Session number. File formats other than Microsoft Word, WordPerfect, LaTex and PDF cannot be accepted. Length of Manuscripts The maximum length of a discussant’s paper is 2 pages. Longer manuscripts cannot be published.

Ready-made templates can be downloaded from the Session’s web site at http://www.isi-2003.de. Detailed instructions for creating manuscripts have been published in Information Bulletin No. 1 and at the Session’s web site.

The discussant should give a copy of the summary to the organiser/ chairman of the meeting and to the invited authors no later than the day of the meeting. Deadline for Discussants’ Papers The deadline for the submission of manuscripts to the Local Programme Committee is September 30th, 2003. 3.5. Proceedings The Proceedings of the 54th ISI Session are available on the internet at http://www.isi-2003.de. The Proceedings are also published on a CD-ROM and in a printed version. The CD-ROM publication will be given to each participant upon arrival at the Session in their congress bag. The printed version is available on request, for those participants who have ticked the appropriate box on the final registration form.

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3.6. General Schedule

Monday August 11

Tuesday August 12

Wednesday August 13

07.30

08.00

09.00

10.00

11.00

11.15

12.00

13.00

13.30

14.00

15.00

Registration

16.00

17.00

17.30

Opening Ceremony

18.00

19.00

Preparation Preparation

and Registration

19.30

20.00

Welcome Reception

21.00

22.00

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Thursday August 14

Friday August 15

Saturday August 16

07.30

08.00

Administrative Meetings

Administrative Meetings

09.00

10.00

11.00

Scientific Meetings

Scientific Meetings

11.15

12.00

Lunch Break Administrative

Meetings

Lunch Break Administrative

Meetings

13.00

Scientific Meetings

13.30

14.00

15.00

15.15

16.00

17.00

Scientific Meetings

Scientific Meetings

17.30

18.00

19.00

Excursions

19.30

20.00 Concert

21.00

22.00

Reception of the German

Federal Government

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Monday August 18

Tuesday August 19

Wednesday August 20

07.30 Administrative

Meetings Administrative

Meetings Administrative

Meetings 08.00

09.00

10.00 Scientific Meetings

Scientific Meetings

Scientific Meetings

11.00

11.15 Lunch Break Administrative

Meetings

Lunch Break Administrative

Meetings

Lunch Break Administrative

Meetings 12.00

13.00

13.30

14.00

President’s IP Meeting

15.00

15.15

16.00 ISI

General Assembly

Scientific Meetings

Scientific Meetings

17.00

17.30

18.00 Tutorials

19.00

19.30

20.00

21.00

Farewell Party

22.00

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3.7. Invited Paper Meetings IPM-01 President's invited paper meeting Monday, August 18 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-02 Celebrating 150 years of statistics since the 1853

International Statistics Congress Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-03 Official statistics in Germany under five different

political systems Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-04 Statistics - German Politics - Emigration Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 13:30), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-05 Best papers from developing countries Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 07 IPM-06 Mixture distributions and applications Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 04/05 IPM-07 Nonparametric Bayesian methods Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 04/05 IPM-08 Statistical challenges in genomics Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 04/05 IPM-09 Algorithmic modelling in statistics Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 04/05 IPM-10 Statistical models for financial data Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 04/05 IPM-11 Causation and graphical models Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 04/05 IPM-12 Statistics of extremes and risk modelling Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 04/05 IPM-13 High dimensional time series Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 07 IPM-14 Inference under shape restrictions Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Hall 04/05 IPM-15 Stochastic analysis and applications in finance Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 07 IPM-16 Stochastic geometry and its statistical applications Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 04/05 IPM-17 Statistical methods for high dimensional data Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 04/05 IPM-18 Bioinformatics Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 07 IPM-19 Numerical methods in statistics including iterative

methods for non-linear problems Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 09 IPM-20 Spatial and temporal modelling by residual maximum

likelihood Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 04/05 IPM-21 Multivariate graphics and visualisation Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 07 IPM-22 Open statistical systems Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 07 IPM-23 Data mining: visualisation, application and

statistification Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 06

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IPM-24 Mixed and generalised linear mixed models (Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches)

Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 07 IPM-25 Computer intensive methods for semiparametrics Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 07 IPM-26 Computational statistics in the environmental

sciences Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 07 IPM-27 New challenges with future tele-surveys Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Room Roof Garden IPM-28 Data fusion, imputation, non-response Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Room Roof Garden IPM-29 Household surveys sponsored by international

Agencies in transition and developing countries Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-30 Measuring survey quality Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 04/05 IPM-31 Estimation and analysis from complex surveys using

auxiliary information Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Room Roof Garden IPM-32 Design and analysis of evaluation studies Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 14.02 IPM-33 Small area design and estimation Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 04/05 IPM-34 Surveys of special populations Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Room Roof Garden IPM-35 Designing surveys to provide cross-national

comparable data Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-36 IAOS forum: knowledge and competence

management in national statistical offices Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 06 IPM-37 The measurement of economic progress Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-38 Micro data - managing the dilemma between access,

privacy and confidentiality Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 14.02 IPM-39 Managing and maintaining the independence and

integrity of national statistics - experience of developed and developing countries

Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 03 (Interpretation)

IPM-40 New directions in social statistics Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 06 IPM-41 Measuring the performance of National Statistics

Offices Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-42 Intra-city differentials and their measurement issues Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Room Roof Garden IPM-43 Impact of migration on urban areas Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 06 IPM-44 Teaching probability with a modelling approach Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15),

Room Roof Garden

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IPM-45 Statistical training for consultants and collaborators Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 14.02 IPM-46 International co-operation in research on statistics

education Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 06 IPM-47 Mathematics teachers teaching statistics Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 07 IPM-48 Statistics education for media reports Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 07 IPM-49 Teaching and learning approaches aimed at

developing statistical reasoning, thinking or literacy Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 07 IPM-50 Statistics teaching in the Internet age Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 06 IPM-51 Statistics, environment and health: air, soil and water Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-52 The use of hedonic methods for quality-adjusted

prices Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-53 Design and analysis of infectious disease studies Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 14.02 IPM-54 Public health in developing countries - statistical

problems and studies Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-55 Probabilistic methods for risk assessment Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Room Roof Garden IPM-56 21st century methodology for agricultural statistics in

developing and transition economies Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 14.02 IPM-57 Statistics in engineering and advanced technology Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 06 IPM-58 The experience of women statisticians in professional

life Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Hall 14.02 IPM-59 Ethical issues in surveys and how they affect our

society Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 06 IPM-60 Stochastic modelling in telecommunications Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Room Roof Garden IPM-61 Information technology and statistics Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 07 IPM-62 Quantum statistical information Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 07 IPM-63 Evolutionary biology meets functional data analysis Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15),

Room Roof Garden IPM-64 Accessibility and availability of statistics through metadata Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 14.02 IPM-65 Clustering and classification: models and algorithms Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Room Roof Garden IPM-66 New approaches to population censuses (a special

memorial to Leslie Kish) Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 03

(Interpretation)

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IPM-67 Use of administrative data for business statistics Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Hall 07 IPM-68 Education and assessment of literacy, numeracy and

other life skills Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-69 Impact of developments in information systems on

statistics education Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 06 IPM-70 Teaching biostatistics Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30),

Room Roof Garden IPM-71 Educational implications of statistical method and

modelling developments in psychometry Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 14.02 IPM-72 Emerging methods in longitudinal data analysis Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Room Roof Garden IPM-73 Forensic statistics and legal reasoning Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall14.02 IPM-74 Statistics and human rights: measuring and

monitoring progress Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 03

(Interpretation) IPM-75 Quality of official statistical systems

Guest Society Meeting: Eurostat Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 14.02 IPM-76 Gene expression data Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 04/05 IPM-77 Recent statistical advances in geological and

environmental applications Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Room Roof Garden IPM-78 Statistical aspects of projecting populations Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 14.02 IPM-79 Adaptive designs in clinical trials Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 14.02 IPM-80 Use of statistics in the financial markets Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Room Roof Garden IPM-81 Computer modelling and diagnostics Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 14.02 IPM-82 The relation of statistics with other sciences Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 06 IPM-83 Statistics in music Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 06 IPM-84 Evaluating tourism satellite accounts Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Room Roof Garden IPM-85 Use of statistics in developing monetary policy Friday, August 15 (09:00 – 11:15), Hall 14.02 IPM-86 Meeting changing policy in the Asian Region - NSO

perspectives Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 13:30), Hall 06 IPM-87 Modernising statistical infrastructure in National

Statistics Institutes Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 14.02

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3.8. Contributed Paper Meetings CPM-002-1 Probability I Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 13/14 CPM-002-2 Probability II Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 13/14 CPM-003-1 Stochastic processes I Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 15/16 CPM-003-2 Stochastic processes II Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 11/12 CPM-004-1 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) I Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 11/12 CPM-004-2 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) II Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 13/14 CPM-004-3 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) III Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 13/14 CPM-004-4 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) IV Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 15/16 CPM-004-5 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) V Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 13/14 CPM-004-6 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) VI Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 11/12 CPM-005-1 Multivariate methods I Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 13/14 CPM-005-2 Multivariate methods II Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 11/12 CPM-005-3 Multivariate methods III Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Room 11/12 CPM-005-4 Multivariate methods IV Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 13/14 CPM-006-1 The geometry of multivariate data Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 15/16 CPM-010-1 Factor analysis, classification and clustering I Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 15/16 CPM-010-2 Factor analysis, classification and clustering II Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 17/18 CPM-010-3 Factor analysis, classification and clustering III Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 17/18 CPM-011-1 Wavelets, Gibbs sampler and Markov chain Monte

Carlo methods Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 13/14 CPM-014-1 Resampling methods: jackknife, bootstrap and

cross validation I Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 15/16 CPM-014-2 Resampling methods: jackknife, bootstrap and

cross validation II Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 15/16 CPM-015-1 Time series I Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 19 CPM-015-2 Time series II Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 19 CPM-015-3 Time series III Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 19 CPM-015-4 Time series IV Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 15/16 CPM-015-5 Time series V Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 11/12

19

CPM-016-1 Smoothing and seasonal adjustment of time series

Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 15/16 CPM-018-1 Linear models I Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 17/18 CPM-018-2 Linear models II Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 15/16 CPM-019-1 Regression theory I Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 17/18 CPM-019-2 Regression theory II Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 19 CPM-020-1 Model selection I Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 19 CPM-020-2 Model selection II Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 09 CPM-021-1 Categorical data Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 15/16 CPM-023-1 Bayesian methods and decision theory Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 11/12 CPM-024-1 Outliers and robust statistics I Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 13/14 CPM-024-2 Outliers and robust statistics II Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 13/14 CPM-025-1 Data quality and statistics Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 17/18 CPM-026-1 Nonparametric statistics Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 13/14 CPM-027-1 Semiparametrics models Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 15/16 CPM-028-1 Nonparametric function estimation Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 15/16 CPM-029-1 Multiple comparisons, ranking, selection and

related topics Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 11/12 CPM-031-1 Spatial statistics Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 17/18 CPM-032-1 Computational statistics I Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 10 CPM-032-2 Computational statistics II Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 10 CPM-033-1 Data mining and Knowledge Discovery in

Databases (KDD) Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 15/16 CPM-034-1 Imputation techniques Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 08 CPM-035-1 Biometrics Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 10 CPM-036-1 Statistics in agriculture Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 17/18 CPM-039-1 Statistics and genetics Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 17/18 CPM-040-1 Statistics in medicine Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 15/16 CPM-041-1 Clinical trials Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 17/18 CPM-048-1 Survival analysis Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 19

20

CPM-050-1 Experimental design Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Room 13/14 CPM-051-1 Reliability I Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 13/14 CPM-051-2 Reliability II Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 11/12 CPM-052-1 Statistical quality control I Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 13/14 CPM-052-2 Statistical quality control II Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 17/18 CPM-053-1 Statistical process control III Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 19 CPM-054-1 Index theory and statistics of prices Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 10 CPM-055-1 Measuring poverty, inequality and income

distribution I Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 08 CPM-055-2 Measuring poverty, inequality and income

distribution II Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 10 CPM-056-1 Population statistics I Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 10 CPM-056-2 Population statistics II Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Hall 09 CPM-058-1 Official statistics I (Improving Quality) Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 08 CPM-058-2 Official statistics II (Improving Quality) Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 08 CPM-058-3 Official statistics III Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 08 CPM-058-4 Official statistics IV Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 08 CPM-058-5 Official statistics V Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 08 CPM-065-1 Health and social statistics Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 09 CPM-066-1 Statistical problems in developing and transition

countries I Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 09 CPM-066-2 Statistical problems in developing and transition

countries II Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 08 CPM-067-1 Educational statistics I Friday, August 15 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 08 CPM-067-2 Educational statistics II Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 10 CPM-068-1 Statistical teaching in the Internet age Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 13/14 CPM-069-1 Multimedia based statistical education Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 09 CPM-072-1 Gender statistics Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 10 CPM-073-1 Sampling I Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 10 CPM-073-2 Sampling II Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 10 CPM-073-3 Sampling III Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 08

21

CPM-074-1 Survey methodology I Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 09 CPM-074-2 Survey methodology II Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 08 CPM-075-1 Measuring survey quality Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 09 CPM-076-1 Data quality in complex surveys Tuesday, August 19 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 19 CPM-077-1 Innovative tools and methods for statistical

confidentiality I Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Room 17/18 CPM-077-2 Innovative tools and methods for statistical

confidentiality II Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 17/18 CPM-079-1 The sectoral and geographical allocation of

negotiable instruments holdership Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 10 CPM-080-1 International harmonisation of microdata on

households Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 08 CPM-081-1 New economy Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 09 CPM-082-1 Time use measurement and research Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 10 CPM-083-1 Small area statistical methods I Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 10 CPM-083-2 Small area statistical methods II Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Hall 10 CPM-084-1 Internet surveys Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 19 CPM-085-1 Statistical methods for business and industry I Wednesday, August 20 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 09 CPM-085-2 Statistical methods for business and industry II Wednesday, August 20 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 09 CPM-085-3 Statistical methods for business and industry III Wednesday, August 20 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 09 CPM-088-1 Econometrics I Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 11/12 CPM-088-2 Econometrics II Tuesday, August 19 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 11/12 CPM-089-1 The Internet and statistics I Friday, August 15 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 09 CPM-089-2 The Internet and statistics II Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 08 CPM-091-1 Trade in services - a challenge for statisticians I (The

GATS-Agreement and the four modes of supply) Thursday, August 14 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 09 CPM-091-2 Trade in services - a challenge for statisticians II

(The manual on statistics of international trade in services and its implementation)

Thursday, August 14 (15:15 – 17:30), Room 11/12 CPM-091-3 Trade in services - a challenge for statisticians III

(Methodological and analytical aspects of trade in services)

Saturday, August 16 (09:00 – 11:15), Room 11/12 CPM-092-1 Agricultural censuses Monday, August 18 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 10

22

CPM-093-1 Regional and urban tourism statistics Tuesday, August 19 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 19 CPM-094-1 Sports statistics Thursday, August 14 (15:15 - 17:30), Hall 08 CPM-097-1 Financial statistics I Saturday, August 16 (09:00 - 11:15), Hall 09 CPM-097-2 Financial statistics II Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Hall 08 CPM-098-1 The use of surveys in financial statistics Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Room 11/12 CPM-100-1 Other topics Saturday, August 16 (11:15 - 13:30), Room 19 CPM-101-1 Statistics and User Services Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 11/12 CPM-102-1 Demographic Challenges in the 21st Century Friday, August 15 (13:00 - 15:15), Hall 04 CPM-103-1 Research Data Centres, Service Centres and

Scientific Use Files Thursday, August 14 (09:00 - 11:15), Room 17/18

23

3.9. Administrative Meetings ISI - Outgoing ISI EC Tuesday, August 12 (13:00 - 17:30), Room 17/18 - Outgoing ISI EC Dinner Tuesday, August 12 (17:30) - ISI Outgoing Council Wednesday, August 13 (08:30 - 11:45), Hall 06 - Open Meeting of the ISI Committee on Professional Ethics Wednesday, August 13 (12:00 - 15:00), Hall 04/05 - Joint meeting of the ISI General Topics Committee and

Programme Co-ordinating Committee for the 55th Session with Outgoing Programme and Programme Co-ordinating Committee for the 54th Session and both Local Programme Committee Chairs

Thursday, August 14 (07:30 - 09:00), Hall 08 - ISI Nominations Committee I Thursday, August 14 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 42a - ISI Member Auditors Thursday, August 14 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 52 - Women in Statistics Committee Meeting Thursday, August 14 (11:15 - 13:00), Hall 08 - ISI Statistics in Business & Industry Committee Thursday, August 14 (11:15 - 13:00), Hall 09 - Mahalanobis Committee Thursday, August 14 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 13/14 - ISI General Topics Committee I Thursday, August 14 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 15/16 - ISI Committee on Risk Analysis Thursday, August 14 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 17/18 - Incoming & Outgoing ISI Council Friday, August 15 (07:30 - 09:00), Hall 06 - Life Sciences Committee Friday, August 15 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 11/12 - Khowarizmi Committee Friday, August 15 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 13/14 - Travel & Tourism Committee Friday, August 15 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 15/16 - ISI Programme Co-ordinating Committee I Friday, August 15 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 17/18 - Irving Fisher Committee on Central Bank Statistics Friday, August 15 (11:15 - 13:00), Hall 06 - Open Meeting of National Statistical Societies Friday, August 15 (11:15 - 13:00), Hall 09 - ISI Sports Statistics Committee Friday, August 15 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 15/16 - Agricultural Statistics Committee Monday, August 18 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 11/12 - History of Statistics Committee Monday, August 18 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 11/12 - ISI General Assembly & Jan Tinbergen Award Presentations Monday, August 18 (15:15 - 17:30), Room 03 - ICAS 3 Committee Tuesday, August 19 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 11/12 - ISI Committee on Professional Ethics Tuesday, August 19 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 13/14

24

- ISI Publications Committee Tuesday, August 19 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 11/12 - ISI Nominations Committee II Tuesday, August 19 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 13/14 - ISI General Topics Committee II Tuesday, August 19 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 15/16 - ISI Service Certificates Review Committee Tuesday, August 19 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 17/18 - ISI Programme Co-ordination Committee II Wednesday, August 20 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 17/18 - ISI Incoming Executive Committee

Wednesday, August 20 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 41/42 - ISI Environment Committee Tuesday, August 19 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 17/18 Bernoulli Society - BS East Asian & Pacific Regional Committee Thursday, August 14 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 31 - BS Publications Committee Friday, August 15 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 31 - BS Programme Committee Friday, August 15 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 31 - BS Council Meeting Monday, August 18 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 17/18 - BS European Regional Committee Monday, August 18 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 13/14 - BS Committee for Probability & Statistics in the Physical

Sciences Monday, August 18 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 31 - BS General Assembly Tuesday, August 19 (11:15 - 13:00), Hall 06 IASC - IASC Programme Committee Friday, August 15 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 33 - IASC Council Meeting I Monday, August 18 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 15/16 - IASC Council Meeting II Monday, August 18 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 15/16 - IASC General Assembly Tuesday, August 19 (07:30 - 09:00), Hall 06 - IASC EARS BoD Wednesday, August 20 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 15/16 IAOS - IAOS Executive Committee Thursday, August 14 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 15/16 - SCORUS Meeting Thursday, August 14 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 11/12 - IAOS Programme Committee Friday, August 15 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 32 - IAOS General Assembly Monday, August 18 (11:15 - 13:00), Hall 06

25

IASS - IASS Council Thursday, August 14 (07:30 - 09:00), Hall 10 - IASS General Assembly Thursday, August 14 (11:15 - 13:00), Hall 06 - IASS Programme Committee Friday, August 15 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 34 - IASS Executive Committee

Tuesday, August 19 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 34

IASE - IASE International Statistical Literacy Committee Thursday, August 14 (07:30 - 09:00), Room 11/12 - IASE Programme Committee Friday, August 15 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 11/12 - IASE Executive Committee Friday, August 15 (11:15 - 13:00), Room 35 - IASE General Assembly Monday, August 18 (07:30 - 09:00), Hall 06 - IASE ICOTS 7 Planning Meeting Tuesday, August 19 (11:15 - 13:00), Hall 08

26

3.10. Schedule for Invited Paper Meetings

Thursday, August 14 Hall/ Room

09:00 -

11:15

IPM-02 Celebrating 150 years of statistics since the 1853 International Statistics Congress (Interpretation)

03

IPM-09 Algorithmic modelling in statistics

04/05

IPM-24 Mixed and generalised linear mixed models (Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches)

07

IPM-27 New challenges with future tele-surveys

Roof Garden

IPM-56 21st century methodology for agricultural statistics in developing and transition economies

14.02

IPM-69 Impact of developments in information systems on statistics education

06

13:00 IPM-11 Causation and graphical models 04/05

- IPM-22 Open statistical systems 07

15:15 IPM-28 Data fusion, imputation, non-response

Roof Garden

IPM-41 Measuring the performance of National Statistics Offices (Interpretation)

03

IPM-50 Statistics teaching in the Internet age

06

IPM-73 Forensic statistics and legal reasoning

14.02

15:15 -

IPM-20 Spatial and temporal modelling by residual maximum likelihood

04/05

17:30 IPM-29 Household surveys sponsored by international Agencies in transition and developing countries (Interpretation)

03

IPM-48 Statistics education for media reports

07

IPM-60 Stochastic modelling in telecommunications

Roof Garden

IPM-81 Computer modelling and diagnostics

14.02

IPM-82 The relation of statistics with other sciences

06

27

Friday, August 15 Hall/ Room

09:00 -

11:15

IPM-03 Official statistics in Germany under five different political systems (Interpretation)

03

IPM-07 Nonparametric Bayesian methods 04/05

IPM-40 New directions in social statistics 06

IPM-61 Information technology and statistics

07

IPM-65 Clustering and classification: models and algorithms

Roof Garden

IPM-85 Use of statistics in developing monetary policy

14.02

13:00 -

15:15

IPM-19 Numerical methods in statistics including iterative methods for non-linear problems

09

IPM-37 The measurement of economic progress (Interpretation)

03

IPM-47 Mathematics teachers teaching statistics

07

IPM-55 Probabilistic methods for risk assessment

Roof Garden

IPM-59 Ethical issues in surveys and how they affect our society

06

IPM-64 Accessibility and availability of statistics through metadata

14.02

15:15 -

IPM-06 Mixture distributions and applications

04/05

17:30 IPM-15 Stochastic analysis and applications in finance

07

IPM-34 Surveys of special populations Roof Garden

IPM-43 Impact of migration on urban areas

06

IPM-52 The use of hedonic methods for quality-adjusted prices (Interpretation)

03

IPM-71 Educational implications of statistical method and modelling developments in psychometry

14.02

28

Saturday, August 16 Hall/ Room

09:00 -

13:30

IPM-04 Statistics - German Politics - Emigration (Interpretation)

03

09:00 -

11:15

IPM-30 Measuring survey quality 04/05

09:00 -

13:30

IPM-86 Meeting changing policy in the Asian Region - NSO perspectives

06

09:00 -

IPM-05 Best papers from developing countries

07

11:15 IPM-42 Intra-city differentials and their measurement issues

Roof Garden

IPM-45 Statistical training for consultants and collaborators

14.02

11:15 -

IPM-14 Inference under shape restrictions

04/05

13:30 IPM-58 The experience of women statisticians in professional life

14.02

IPM-67 Use of administrative data for business statistics

07

IPM-77 Recent statistical advances in geological and environmental applications

Roof Garden

Monday, August 18 Hall/ Room

09:00 -

IPM-33 Small area design and estimation

04/05

11:15 IPM-36 IAOS forum: knowledge and competence management in national statistical offices

06

IPM-49 Teaching and learning approaches aimed at developing statistical reasoning, thinking or literacy

07

IPM-53 Design and analysis of infectious disease studies

14.02

IPM-74 Statistics and human rights: measuring and monitoring progress (Interpretation)

03

IPM-84 Evaluating tourism satellite accounts

Roof Garden

13:00 -

15:15

IPM-01 President's invited paper meeting (Interpretation)

03

29

Tuesday, August 19 Hall/ Room

09:00 -

IPM-21 Multivariate graphics and visualisation

07

11:15 IPM-46 International co-operation in research on statistics education

06

IPM-66 New approaches to population censuses (a special memorial to Leslie Kish) (Interpretation)

03

IPM-76 Gene expression data 04/05

IPM-79 Adaptive designs in clinical trials 14.02

IPM-80 Use of statistics in the financial markets

Roof Garden

13:00 -

IPM-10 Statistical models for financial data

04/05

15:15 IPM-18 Bioinformatics 07

IPM-68 Education and assessment of literacy, numeracy and other life skills (Interpretation)

03

IPM-72 Emerging methods in longitudinal data analysis

Roof Garden

IPM-78 Statistical aspects of projecting populations

14.02

IPM-83 Statistics in music 06

15:15 -

IPM-08 Statistical challenges in genomics

04/05

17:30 IPM-13 High dimensional time series 07

IPM-23 Data mining: visualisation, application and statistification

06

IPM-31 Estimation and analysis from complex surveys using auxiliary information

Roof Garden

IPM-38 Micro data - managing the dilemma between access, privacy and confidentiality

14.02

IPM-54 Public health in developing countries - statistical problems and studies (Interpretation)

03

30

Wednesday, August 20 Hall/ Room

09:00 -

IPM-12 Statistics of extremes and risk modelling

04/05

11:15 IPM-25 Computer intensive methods for semiparametrics

07

IPM-44 Teaching probability with a modelling approach

Roof Garden

IPM-51 Statistics, environment and health: air, soil and water (Interpretation)

03

IPM-57 Statistics in engineering and advanced technology

06

IPM-87 Modernising statistical infrastructure in National Statistics Institutes

14.02

13:00 -

IPM-17 Statistical methods for high dimensional data

04/05

15:15 IPM-26 Computational statistics in the environmental sciences

07

IPM-32 Design and analysis of evaluation studies

14.02

IPM-39 Managing and maintaining the independence and integrity of national statistics - experience of developed and developing countries (Interpretation)

03

IPM-63 Evolutionary biology meets functional data analysis

Roof Garden

15:15 -

IPM-16 Stochastic geometry and its statistical applications

04/05

17:30 IPM-35 Designing surveys to provide cross-national comparable data (Interpretation)

03

IPM-62 Quantum statistical information 07

IPM-70 Teaching biostatistics

Roof Garden

IPM-75 Quality of official statistical systems Guest Society Meeting: Eurostat

14.02

31

3.11. Schedule for Contributed Paper Meetings

Thursday, August 14 Hall/ Room

09:00 CPM-005-1 Multivariate methods I 13/14

- 11:15

CPM-016-1 Smoothing and seasonal adjustment of time series

15/16

CPM-034-1 Imputation techniques 08

CPM-048-1 Survival analysis 19

CPM-075-1 Measuring survey quality 09

CPM-083-1 Small area statistical methods I

10

CPM-101-1 Statistics and User Services 11/12

CPM-103-1 Research Data Centres, Service Centres and Scientific Use Files

17/18

13:00 CPM-002-1 Probability I 13/14

- 15:15

CPM-004-1 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) I

11/12

CPM-010-1 Factor analysis, classification and clustering I

15/16

CPM-015-1 Time series I 19

CPM-018-1 Linear models I 17/18

CPM-058-1 Official statistics I (Improving Quality)

08

CPM-079-1 The sectoral and geographical allocation of negotiable instruments holdership

10

CPM-091-1 Trade in services - a challenge for statisticians I (The GATS-Agreement and the four modes of supply)

09

15:15 -

CPM-014-1 Resampling methods: jackknife, bootstrap and crossvalidation I

15/16

17:30 CPM-020-1 Model selection I 19

CPM-025-1 Data quality and statistics 17/18

CPM-051-1 Reliability I 13/14

CPM-072-1 Gender statistics 10

CPM-074-1 Survey methodology I 09

CPM-091-2 Trade in services - a challenge for statisticians II (The manual on statistics of international trade in services and its implementation)

11/12

CPM-094-1 Sports statistics 08

32

Friday, August 15 Hall/ Room

09:00 CPM-002-2 Probability II 13/14

- CPM-005-2 Multivariate methods II 11/12

11:15 CPM-015-2 Time series II 19

CPM-018-2 Linear models II 15/16

CPM-031-1 Spatial statistics 17/18

CPM-073-1 Sampling I 10

CPM-074-2 Survey methodology II 08

CPM-089-1 The Internet and statistics I 09

13:00 -

CPM-010-2 Factor analysis, classification and clustering II

17/18

CPM-021-1 Categorical data 15/16

15:15 CPM-052-1 Statistical quality control I 13/14

CPM-056-1 Population statistics I 10

CPM-058-2 Official statistics II (Improving Quality)

08

CPM-102-1 Demographic Challenges in the 21st Century

04

CPM-084-1 Internet surveys 19

CPM-098-1 The use of surveys in financial statistics

11/12

15:15 -

CPM-004-2 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) II

13/14

17:30 CPM-010-3 Factor analysis, classification and clustering III

17/18

CPM-014-2 Resampling methods: jackknife, bootstrap and crossvalidation II

15/16

CPM-020-2 Model selection II 09

CPM-035-1 Biometrics 10

CPM-051-2 Reliability II 11/12

CPM-067-1 Educational statistics I

08

33

Saturday, August 16 Hall/ Room

09:00 -

CPM-004-3 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) III

13/14

11:15 CPM-015-3 Time series III 19

CPM-019-1 Regression theory I 17/18

CPM-040-1 Statistics in medicine 15/16

CPM-058-3 Official statistics III 08

CPM-067-2 Educational statistics II 10

CPM-091-3 Trade in services - a challenge for statisticians III (Methodological and analytical aspects of trade in services)

11/12

CPM-097-1 Financial statistics I 09

11:15 CPM-005-3 Multivariate methods III 11/12

- CPM-050-1 Experimental design 13/14

13:30 CPM-056-2 Population statistics II 09

CPM-077-1 Innovative tools and methods for statistical confidentiality I

17/18

CPM-083-2 Small area statistical methods II

10

CPM-097-2 Financial statistics II 08

CPM-100-1 Other topics 19

Monday, August 18 Hall/ Room

09:00 -

CPM-004-4 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) IV

15/16

11:15 CPM-005-4 Multivariate methods IV 13/14

CPM-019-2 Regression theory II 19

CPM-052-2 Statistical quality control II 17/18

CPM-081-1 New economy 09

CPM-088-1 Econometrics I 11/12

CPM-089-2 The Internet and statistics II 08

CPM-092-1 Agricultural censuses

10

34

Tuesday, August 19 Hall/ Room

09:00 -

CPM-011-1 Wavelets, Gibbs sampler and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods

13/14

11:15 CPM-015-4 Time series IV 15/16

CPM-029-1 Multiple comparisons, ranking, selection and related topics

11/12

CPM-036-1 Statistics in agriculture 17/18

CPM-058-4 Official statistics IV 08

CPM-065-1 Health and social statistics 09

CPM-073-2 Sampling II 10

CPM-076-1 Data quality in complex surveys

19

13:00 CPM-003-1 Stochastic processes I 15/16

- 15:15

CPM-004-5 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) V

13/14

CPM-032-1 Computational statistics I 10

CPM-053-1 Statistical process control II 19

CPM-058-5 Official statistics V 08

CPM-069-1 Multimedia based statistical education

09

CPM-077-2 Innovative tools and methods for statistical confidentiality II

17/18

CPM-088-2 Econometrics II 11/12

15:15 -

CPM-006-1 The geometry of multivariate data

15/16

17:30 CPM-023-1 Bayesian methods and decision theory

11/12

CPM-032-2 Computational statistics II 10

CPM-039-1 Statistics and genetics 17/18

CPM-055-1 Measuring poverty, inequality and income distribution I

08

CPM-066-1 Statistical problems in developing and transition countries I

09

CPM-068-1 Statistical teaching in the Internet age

13/14

CPM-093-1 Regional and urban tourism statistics

19

35

Wednesday, August 20 Hall/ Room

09:00 -

CPM-004-6 Statistical inference (estimation and tests) VI

11/12

11:15 CPM-026-1 Nonparametric statistics 13/14

CPM-033-1 Data mining and Knowledge Discovery in Databases (KDD)

15/16

CPM-041-1 Clinical trials 17/18

CPM-055-2 Measuring poverty, inequality and income distribution II

10

CPM-080-1 International harmonisation of microdata on households

08

CPM-085-1 Statistical methods for business and industry I

09

13:00 CPM-015-5 Time series V 11/12

- CPM-024-1 Outliers and robust statistics I 13/14

15:15 CPM-027-1 Semiparametrics models 15/16

CPM-054-1 Index theory and statistics of prices

10

CPM-073-3 Sampling III 08

CPM-085-2 Statistical methods for business and industry II

09

15:15 CPM-003-2 Stochastic processes II 11/12

- CPM-024-2 Outliers and robust statistics II 13/14

17:30 CPM-028-1 Nonparametric function estimation

15/16

CPM-066-2 Statistical problems in developing and transition countries II

08

CPM-082-1 Time use measurement and research

10

CPM-085-3 Statistical methods for business and industry III

09

36

3.12. Schedule for Poster Sessions

Thursday, August 14, 09:00 - 17:30 Poster Session I Side Foyer West

A discriminant Analysis Model on Fuzzy Data and its Application in Medical Diagnosis Babaee Rochee, Gholamreza (Islamic Republic of Iran); Tahamtan, Mohamadpoor

Statistics of Solar Eclipses and Sunspots in Goryeo Period Park, Seokyun (Republic of Korea); Park, Seokin; Kim, Kyuyeung

Construction Mode and Analysis for Population & Geography Database Liu, Min (People's Republic of China)

Population-Size-Dependent Multitype Models with Dependent Offspring: the Limiting Behaviour Gonzalez Velasco, Miguel (Spain); Martinez Quintana, Rodrigo; Mota Medina, Manuel

Estimation for Bisexual Processes with Population-Size-Dependent Mating Mota Medina, Manuel (Spain); Manuel, Molina Fernández; Alfonso, Ramos Cantariño

Lognormal Diffusion Process with Polynomial Exogenous Factors Rico Castro, Nuria (Spain); Gutiérrez Jáimez, Ramón; Roman Roman, Patricia; Romero Molina, Desirée; Torres Ruiz, Francisco

The Multivariate Extremal Index and the Dependence Structure of a Multivariate Extreme Value Ferreira, Helena (Portugal)

Derivation of Linear Estimation Algorithms for a Signal Correlated with Observation Noise Using Covariance Information Fernandez-Alcala, Rosa M. (Spain)

Drop-out Models for Longitudinal Binary Data Chau, Ka Ki (Hong Kong SAR, China)

Some Remarks on Permutation Tests Domanski, Czeslaw (Poland)

The Role of Randomization in Assessing the Causal Effect of a Treatment Variable in the Logistic Regression Model Sfer de Grande, Ana Maria (Argentina)

Some Constraints on the Parametric Space for the Estimation of Causal Effects under the Weak Exclusion Restriction Mercatanti, Andrea (Italy)

Bartlett Adjustments for Two-Parameter Exponential Family Models Quintaneiro Aubin, Elisete C. (Brazil); Cordeiro, Gauss Moutinho

Causes of Oral Cancer Type Squamous Cell Carcima(SCC) in Iran: A Case Control Study Shariati, Batoul (Islamic Republic of Iran)

37

Thursday, August 14, 09:00 - 17:30 Poster Session I Side Foyer West

Performance of the EM Algorithm on Sampling a Mixture from two Watson Populations Figueiredo, Adelaide Maria (Portugal); Gomes, Paulo

An Alternative Dietary Assessment Methodology for Energy and Protein Adequacy Levels of Fil. Households in Selected Regions:An Application of Multivariate Analysis Candelaria, Luz (Philippines)

Poverty Factor Analysis in Armenia Garyaka, Marine (Armenia)

Dynamic Principal Component Analysis for Time Series from Intensive Care Lanius, Vivian (Germany)

Artificial Learning Classificators Constantinescu, Alina (Romania)

Classification by One-To-The-Others Comparison for Microarray Data Analysis Choi, Daewoo (Republic of Korea); Lee, Yong Sung; Lee, Sang Yun

Trans-dimentional Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods for Model Selection in the Study of Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) Models Amiri, Esmail (Islamic Republic of Iran)

A Comparison of Variance Estimation in Rotation Design Yoon, Yeanok Namgung (Republic of Korea)

Comparing Error Estimated Values Using Bootstrap and Greenwood for Kaplan-Meier Estimator Kazempour Dizagie, Mehdi (Islamic Republic of Iran); Pirmoazen, Noradin; Babaie, Gholmreza

A Note on Exhaustivity and Invariance Oyola, Jose Antonio (Spain); Montanero, Jesús; Nogales, Agustín G.; Pérez, Paloma; Oyola-Velasco, José Antonio

38

Friday, August 15, 09:00 - 17:30 Poster Session II Side Foyer West

Fractal Characterization of Complexity in Time Series of Psychological Interest Parra, María Isabel (Spain); Cuadros, Francisco; Salcedo, María Soledad; Gutiérrez, José Ramón; Calderón, Pablo

The Characteristics of the Interhousehold Transactions in Hungary in the Mid-Eighties and the Late-Nineties Bocz, Janos (Hungary)

Limits Theorems on a Regression Model for Time Series with a Non-linear Time Series Error Rajagopal, Parthasarathy (USA); Venkataraman, (Late) K. N.

Revised Composite Indexes of Business Indicators in Korea Kim, Hea-weon (Republic of Korea)

Autoregressive Net-Structured Models for Time Series Hoegn, Ralph (Germany); Czado, Claudia

Prediction-Based Estimating Functions for a State Space Model Papanastassiou, Demetrios (Greece)

Hierarchical Modeling by Wavelets Heiler, Mark (Germany)

Parallel Algorithm in Asynchronous Methods and Minimal Norm Least Squares for Solving Linear Systems Arising from Integral Equations Safdari, Hamid (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Conditional Specified Prior Distributions and Its Applications in Economics: Special Emphasis in Auditing and Actuarial Practice Francisco-Jose, Vazquez-Polo (Spain); Martel, Maria; Gomez, Emilio; Sarabia, Jose Maria

Nonparametric Robust Bayesian Analysis under Generalized Moment Conditions Guglielmi, Alessandra (Italy); Betro, Bruno; Bodini, Antonella

Elicited Priors in Bayesian Model Specifications with an Application to Comparative Politics Gill, Jeff (USA)

Three Multivariate Outlier Identification Methods Hentges, Adao Luiz (Brazil); Kokic, Philip N.

Analysis of Residuals and the Detection of Outliers Rosado, Fernando (Portugal)

Bootstrap Estimates for Capability Indices Postelnicu, Tiberiu (Romania)

An Application of Bagging to Tree-Based Image Classification Brambilla, Carla (Italy); Cusano, Claudio; Schettini, Raimondo

Double Length Artificial Regressions for Testing of Functional Form and Spatial Dependence Jung, Byoung Cheol (Republic of Korea); Song, Seuck Heun

39

Friday, August 15, 09:00 - 17:30 Poster Session II Side Foyer West

Spatial Effects in Insurance Mathematics Gschlößl, Susanne (Germany); Czado, Claudia

Interactive 3D-Visualization in R Nenadic, Oleg (Germany); Adler, Daniel

A Study of the Sequentail Conditional Test for Three Way Tables Sawae, Ryucihi (Japan)

Multivariate Decision Tree for Longitudinal Data Lee, Seong Keon (Japan); Lee, Jae Chang; Kang, Hyun Cheol

Statistica Nova: banques de donnees et fonctions statistiques mobiles Dorofte, Ionel (Romania)

Coverage-Accuracy Trade Off: An Application to WEB Searchers Salvatierra, Stella (Spain)

Regress Statistics: Understanding and Application Karpov, Volodymyr (Ukraine)

Optimal Process Control Based on Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages Frisén, Marianne (Sweden); Sonesson, Christian

40

Tuesday, August 19, 09:00 - 17:30

Poster Session III Side Foyer West

Full Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Polychoric and Polyserial Correlations with Missing Data Song, Xin-Yuan (Hong Kong SAR, China)

ML Analysis of Nonlinear Structural Equation Models with Continuous and Polytomous Data Lee, Sik Yum (Hong Kong SAR, China)

Analysis of Ordinal Responses with Applications in Meta-Analysis Poon, Wai-Yin (Hong Kong SAR, China)

Estimating Heritability of Complex Traits With Measurement Errors Chang, Hsing-Yi (Taiwan, China)

Estimating the Score Distributions of Induced and Non-Induced Genes in Microarray Experiments Scheid, Stefanie (Germany); Spang, Rainer

Markovian Models in Survival Studies Perez-Ocon, Rafael (Spain); Ruiz-Castro, Juan Eloy

Considerations Specific to the Design of a Randomized Clinical Trial Comparing Surgical Procedures Brown, Morton B (USA)

Klimek's Index: Impact of Its Application in Newborns in Argentina Gonzalez, Elba (Argentina); Avila, Elizabeth; Salvatierra, Adriana

Assessing Uncertainty in Toxicokinetic Models Exemplified by the Case of Human Life Long Exposure to TCDD Heinzl, Harald (Austria); Edler, Lutz

Incorporating Patients' Characterisitcs in Cost-Effectiveness Studies. A Flexible Bayesian Approach Negrin, Miguel (Spain); Vasquez, Francisco

Gender Differences in Duration of Studies: A Survival Analysis Approach Kalamatianou, Aglaia (Greece); McClean, Sally

Unbiased Estimation of Survival Function in the Right-Censored Data with a Random Sample Size Rossa, Agnieszka (Poland)

Nonparametric Estimation of Survival Function of AIDS with Doubly Interval Censored Data Shakeri, Nezhat (Islamic Republic of Iran); Grover, Gorprit

An Application of a Discrete-Time Duration Model to a Dataset on Students from the University of Pisa Ghilardi, Gilberto (Italy)

Sample Procedures for the Customer Satisfaction Validation Montinaro, Mario (Italy)

A Method for Measuring Customer Satisfaction for the Teaching at University De Battisti, Francesca (Italy); Nicolini, Giovanna

41

Tuesday, August 19, 09:00 - 17:30 Poster Session III Side Foyer West

Monitoring Cyclical Processes with Applications in Economy and Biology Andersson, Eva (Sweden)

The Role of Family Background and High-School Performance in College Achievement of Medical Students in Tehran Medical Sciences University Meshkani, Zahra S. (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Fourier Methods for the Detection of Change Points Meintanis, Simos (Greece); Huskova, Marie; Meintanis, Simon

42

Wednesday, August 20, 09:00 - 17:30 Poster Session IV Side Foyer West

Efficient and Secure Statistical Computing in Office Applications Aydinli, Gökhan (Germany)

Rudiments of Statistics in Czech Countries and Their Patterns from Germany Závodský, Prokop (Czech Republic)

Modelling Inequality Using the Generalized Gupta Lorenz Curve Sarabia, Jose Maria (Spain); Pascual, Marta; Sarabia, Maria

A Profile of Hong Kong Population Ng, Teresa (Hong Kong SAR, China)

ShenZhen´s Population & Sustainable Development Kong, Ai Ling (People's Republic of China)

EL: A Subroutine Library for the IRT Equatings and Their Asymptotic Standard Errors Ogasawara, Haruhiko (Japan)

Initial Conceptions about Sampling Types in Secondary Level Students Vallecillos, Angustias (Spain); Moreno, Antonio

Statistics Armenian Web Lab Shahumyan, Harutyun (Armenia)

Optimality Test for Benchmark Level of Capital Stock Choi, Kyungsoon (Republic of Korea); Choi, Kyungsoon

Improved Poststratified Estimation Ruiz Espejo, Mariano (Spain); Singh, Housila P.

On Mean Estimation and Population Stratification Skibicki, Marcin (Poland)

A Procedure for Stratification by Clustering Park, Jin-Woo (Republic of Korea); Kim, Young Won

Estimation Methods for a Mixed Population Nicolini, Giovanna (Italy); Presti, Anna Lo

Methods for the Estimation of Cross-Tabulated Data Applied to the Business Survey D'Alo, Michele (Italy); Di Consiglio, Loredana; Falorsi, Stefano

Comparison Two Modes of Data Collection WWW and Mail. Getka-Wilczynska, Elzbieta (Poland)

Time Lag Between Accounting Period and Calendar Year : Descriptive Study and Introduction to Two Adjustment Methods Sencey, Sophie (France)

Econometric Modeling of Volatility of Securities Traded on the Macedonian Stock Exchange Bucevska, Vesna (Republic of Macedonia)

Les défis des groupes d´entreprises à la statistique d´entreprise Picart, Claude (France)

43

Wednesday, August 20, 09:00 - 17:30 Poster Session IV Side Foyer West

The Analysis for the Dynamic Risk Structure of Stock Market Hu, Yonghong (People's Republic of China); Lu, Zhonghua

Foreign Investments (Business) Surveys: The First Experience of the Bank of Latvia Caune, Agris (Latvia); Lapins, Janis

Empirical Process Based on the Recursive Residuals in Measurement Errores Models Ghapani, Fatemeh (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Estimation of Fertility in Iran With Application of Own-Children Method (OCM) Nourollahi, Taha (Islamic Republic of Iran); Khalkhali, Hamid Reza

44

3.13. Schedule for Administrative Meetings

Tuesday, August 12

Hall/

Room

13:00

-

17:30

- Outgoing ISI EC

17/18

17:30

- Outgoing ISI EC Dinner

Wednesday, August 13

Hall/

Room

08:30

-

11:45

- ISI Outgoing Council

06

12:00

-

15:00

- Open Meeting of the ISI Committee

on Professional Ethics

04/05

Thursday, August 14

Hall/

Room

07:30

-

09:00

- Joint meeting of the ISI General

Topics Committee and Programme

Co-ordinating Committee for the

55th Session with Outgoing

Programme and Programme Co-

ordinating Committee for the 54th

Session and both Local

Programme Committee Chairs

08

- IASS Council 10

- IASE International Statistical

Literacy Committee

11/12

- IAOS Executive Committee 15/16

- ISI Nominations Committee I 42a

- ISI Member Auditors

52

45

11:15

- IASS General Assembly

06

- - Women in Statistics Committee

Meeting

08

13:00 - ISI Statistics in Business & Industry

Committee

09

- SCORUS Meeting 11/12

- Mahalanobis Committee 13/14

- ISI General Topics Committee I 15/16

- ISI Committee on Risk Analysis 17/18

- BS East Asian & Pacific Regional

Committee

31

Friday, August 15

Hall/

Room

07:30

- Incoming & Outgoing ISI Council

06

- - Life Sciences Committee 11/12

09:00 - Khowarizmi Committee 13/14

- Travel & Tourism Committee 15/16

- ISI Programme Co-ordinating

Committee I

17/18

- BS Publications Committee 31

11:15

-

- Irving Fisher Committee on Central

Bank Statistics

06

13:00 - Open Meeting of National

Statistical Societies

09

- IASE Programme Committee 11/12

- ISI Sports Statistics Committee 15/16

- BS Programme Committee 31

- IAOS Programme Committee 32

- IASC Programme Committee 33

- IASS Programme Committee 34

- IASE Executive Committee 35

Monday, August 18

Hall/

Room

07:30

- IASE General Assembly

06 - - Agricultural Statistics Committee 11/12

09:00 - IASC Council Meeting I 15/16 - BS Council Meeting 17/18

46

11:15

- IAOS General Assembly

06

- - History of Statistics Committee 11/12

13:00 - BS European Regional Committee 13/14

- IASC Council Meeting II 15/16

- BS Committee for Probability &

Statistics in the Physical Sciences

31

15:15

-

17:30

- ISI General Assembly & Jan

Tinbergen Award Presentations

03

Tuesday, August 19

Hall/

Room

07:30

- IASC General Assembly

06

- - ICAS 3 Committee 11/12

09:00 - ISI Committee on Professional

Ethics

13/14

- ISI Environment Committee 17/18

- IASS Executive Committee 34

11:15

- BS General Assembly

06

- - IASE ICOTS 7 Planning Meeting 08

13:00 - ISI Publications Committee 11/12

- ISI Nominations Committee II 13/14

- ISI General Topics Committee II 15/16

- ISI Service Certificates Review

Committee

17/18

Wednesday, August 20

Hall/

Room

07:30

-

09:00

- IASC EARS BoD

15/16

11:15

-

- ISI Programme Co-ordination

Committee II

17/18

13:00 - ISI Incoming Executive Committee

41/42

Thursday, August 14, 09:00 – 11:15

47

3.14. Daily Schedule of the Scientific Meetings

Thursday, August 14, 09:00 - 11:15 IPM-02 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Celebrating 150 years of statistics since the 1853 International Statistics Congress Organiser Bodin, Jean-Louis (France)

Papers

About the First International Statistical Meeting ( Brussels - 1853) Droesbeke, Jean-Jacques (Belgium)

Entre l'administration et la science: les transformations de l'internationalisme statistique entre 1853 et 1939 Desrosières, Alain (France)

Mathematical Statistics and the ISI (1885 - 1939) Stigler, Stephen (USA)

Statistics During Early Days in Developing Countries with Special Reference to India Rao, Talluri (India)

IPM-09 Hall 04/05

Algorithmic modelling in statistics Organiser Beran, Rudolf (USA)

Papers

A Connection Between Random Forests and Adaptive Nearest Neighbors Lin, Yi (USA); Jeon, Yongho

Learning with Support Vector Machines and Other Kernel Methods Schölkopf, Bernhard (Germany)

Discussant Sawitzki, Guenther

IPM-24 Hall 07

Mixed and generalised linear mixed models (Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches) Organiser Lee, Youngjo (Republic of Korea)

Papers

A New Extended Class of GLM Models with Dispersion Modelling and Random Effects in the Linear Predictors Nelder, John (United Kingdom)

Analysis of Binary Outcomes from Family Data Pawitan, Yudi (Sweden)

HGLM Approach for Survival Data Ha, Il Do (Republic of Korea)

Discussant Payne, Roger

Thursday, August 14, 09:00 – 11:15

48

IPM-27 Roof Garden

New challenges with future tele-surveys Organiser Ayhan, H. Öztas (Turkey)

Papers

What is the Future for Telephone Surveys? Collins, Martin (United Kingdom); Sykes, Wendy

How Visual Design Influences Responses to Internet and Other Self-Administered Questionnaires Dillman, Don (USA); Dillman, Don

Design and Measurement Issues in Web Surveys Couper, Mick (USA)

Mobile Phone Surveys Vehovar, Vasja (Slovenia); Fuchs, Marek

Discussant Nathan, Gad (Israel)

IPM-56 Hall 14.02

21st century methodology for agricultural statistics in developing and transition economies Organiser Vogel, Fred (USA)

Papers

Information Auditing in Mexico Galarza, Juan Manuel (Mexico)

Which Needs for Agricultural Statistics Systems? Lessons Learned from OECD Work with Transition Economies Lindner, Andreas (France)

Methodological Approaches for Agricultural Surveys Farrar, Martha (USA); Steiner, Michael

Discussant David, Isidoro P.

IPM-69 Hall 06

Impact of developments in information systems on statistics education Organiser Morin, Annie (France)

Papers

The Role of Models in Predictive Validation (Statistics for Budding Data Miners) Maindonald, John (Australia)

Teaching Statistical Inference Using Many Samples from a Real Large Dataset Chauchat, Jean-Hugues (France)

Testing Hypotheses with Induction Trees Ritschard, Gilbert (Switzerland)

Discussant Lee, Yonggo

Thursday, August 14, 09:00 – 11:15

49

CPM-005-1 Room 13/14

Multivariate methods I Chairperson Hiro, Shintaro (Japan)

Papers

Some Extensions of the Latent Class Model and Their Applications to the Analysis of POS Data Yamaguchi, Kazunori (Japan); Sakurai, Naoko; Watanabe, Michiko

Multivariate Location Models Shams, Sedigheh (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Characterization Results via Entropy for Multivariate Random Variables Mohtashami Borzadaran, Gholam Reza (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Gamma Stochastic Volatility Models Abraham, Bovas (Canada); Balakrishna, N.; Sivakumar, R.

Asymptotic Expansions of the Distributions of Manova Tests and Roots in High-Dimensional Case Fujikoshi, Yasunori (Japan)

Hall Type Projection Index for Relative Projection Pursuit Hiro, Shintaro (Japan); Komiya, Yuriko; Minami, Hiroyuki; Mizuta, Masahiro

CPM-016-1 Room 15/16

Smoothing and seasonal adjustment of time series Chairperson Heiler, Siegfried (Germany)

Papers

On Nonparametric Smoothing for One Dimensional Transformations of Gaussian Processes Ghosh, Sucharita (Switzerland)

A New Data Driven Semiparametric Approach for Decomposing Seasonal Time Series Feng, Yuanhua (Germany)

Using Multilevel Models to Estimate Seasonal Factors from Short Span Data McLaren, Craig (Australia); Xichuan, Zhang

BV4.1 - A New User-Friendly Software for Decomposing Economic Time Series Speth, Hans-Theo (Germany)

Korean Traditional Holiday Adjustment with regARIMA Lee, Geung-Hee (Republic of Korea)

Thursday, August 14, 09:00 – 11:15

50

CPM-034-1 Hall 08

Imputation techniques Chairperson Mittinty, Murthy (New Zealand)

Papers

The Fellegi-Holt Method of Data Editing: A Perspective from Logic Boskovitz, Agnes (Australia)

Imputation using Factor Analysis Lee, Sang Eun (Republic of Korea); Lee, Joo Young

Discriminant Analysis Using Imperfect Experts Opinions without True Classification Kim, JungRan (Republic of Korea); Kim, Semi; Lee, Sukhoon

Imputation for Economic Data Tempelman, Caren (Netherlands)

Imputation with MLP Neural Network Harhoff, Christian (Denmark); Linde, Peter

Data Reduction by Principal Components and Graphical Modelling Mittinty, Murthy (New Zealand); Chacko, Easaw; Penny, Richard; Hossain, Monir Estimation in Censored Linear Regression via Preliminary Smoothing Heuchenne, Cédric (Belgium)

CPM-048-1 Room 19

Survival analysis Chairperson Mansmann, Ulrich (Germany)

Papers

A Model of Crossing Survival Functions Sibuya, Masaaki (Japan)

Optimal Completion of the Product Limit Estimator Phadia, Eswar (USA)

Monotone Departures from Proportional Hazards with Respect to Continuous Covariates: Inference Procedures and Applications Bhattacharjee, Arnab (United Kingdom)

Age-Period-Cumulative-Environment Model for (Age, Period)-Specific Cancer Mortality Rates Hanayama, Nobutane (Japan)

Models for Censored Point Processes Hutton, Jane (United Kingdom); Cowling, Ben; Shaw, Ewart

Thursday, August 14, 09:00 – 11:15

51

CPM-075-1 Hall 09

Measuring survey quality Chairperson Hüfken, Volker (Germany)

Papers

A Quality Plan for Statistical Operations: The Experience in the Basque Statistics Institute Prado, Cristina (Spain); Ayestarán, Marina

Development of CTI/CATI System for Monitoring Field Survey Choi, Bong-Su (Republic of Korea)

Format and Content of Labels for Rating Scales Measuring Level of Agreement Cools, Walentina (Belgium); Strubbe, Marleen; Mairesse, Olivier; Theuns, Peter

Improving the Information System in Reform Countries Wernicke, Immo H. (Germany)

Variance Estimation under Imputation in Short-Term Business Surveys Aparicio Perez, Felix (Spain)

A Comparison of Respondents Before and After Reminders and their Consequences on the Relationship Between Self-Rated Health Status, Sociodemographic and Socioeconomic Variables Hüfken, Volker (Germany)

CPM-083-1 Hall 10

Small area statistical methods I Chairperson Cruddas, Marie (United Kingdom)

Papers

Selecting a Powerful Test for Detecting Risk Near Point Sources Bithell, John (United Kingdom); Bithell, John

Weighting in Small Area Estimation Ugarte, M.Dolores (Spain); Militino, Ana F.

Application of Switching Regression Models in Small Area Investigations Pruska, Krystyna (Poland)

Implementing Small Area Estimation Methods in the UK Cruddas, Marie (United Kingdom); Haworth, Marta

CPM-101-1 Room 11/12

Statistics and User Services Chairperson Brunner, Claudia (Germany)

Papers

Service Improvements in Statistics Canada Podehl, Martin (Canada)

Measuring Client Servicing - A Balanced Scorecard Approach Tam, Siu-Ming (Australia); Dickinson, Teresa

Thursday, August 14, 09:00 – 11:15

52

User Services: Keeping up with Users' Wishes Wulff, Annegrete (Denmark)

Quality Measurement for Information Services Brunner, Claudia (Germany)

CPM-103-1 Room 17/18

Research Data Centres, Service Centres and Scientific Use Files Chairperson Stäglin, Reiner (Germany)

Papers

Demand for Data and Options of Analysing Data: The Research Data Centres of Official Statistics in Germany Zuehlke, Sylvia (Germany)

Anonymization of Business Micro Data: A Glimpse of Work in Progress Sturm, Roland (Germany)

The Research Data Centre of the Federal Employment Services - The IAB Establishment Panel Data Services as a Model of Data Access Passenberger, Jürgen (Germany); Bellmann, Lutz

An Overview of DIW Berlin Research Projects Using Micro Data Official German Business Statistics Görzig, Bernd (Germany); Stephan, Andreas

Access to Microdata in the Nordic Countries Pettersson, Birgitta (Sweden)

Research Data Experiences in Denmark Mathiesen, Henrik; Westergaard-Nielsen, Niels (Denmark)

Thursday, August 14, 13:00 – 15:15

53

Thursday, August 14, 13:00 - 15:15 IPM-11 Hall 04/05

Causation and graphical models Organiser Dawid, A. Philip (United Kingdom)

Papers

Graphical Model for Surrogates Lauritzen, Steffen (Denmark)

Graphical Models and Sequential Decisions Didelez, Vanessa (United Kingdom)

Causal Interpretation of Graphical Models Shafer, Glenn (USA)

Discussants Smith, James (United Kingdom) Vansteelandt, Stijn (Belgium)

IPM-22 Hall 07

Open statistical systems Organiser Hinde, John (Ireland)

Papers

Data Mining by Scaling Up Open Source Software Ripley, Brian (United Kingdom); Chen, Fei

Overview of Some New R Language Features Tierney, Luke (USA)

Bioconductor for Open Source Statistical Genomics Carey, Vincent (USA); Gentleman, Robert

Discussants Sawitski, Gunther Dalgaard, Peter (Denmark)

IPM-28 Roof Garden

Data fusion, imputation, non-response Organiser Laaksonen, Seppo (Finland)

Papers

Methods for Handling Missing Survey Data and Their Effects Kalton, Graham (USA); Brick, J. Michael

Logical Constraints for Statistical Matching: A Tool for Decreasing Uncertainty Scanu, Mauro (Italy); D'Orazio, Marcello; Di Zio, Marco

How Accurate Can Data Fusion Be? Rässler, Susanne (Germany)

Discussants Rancourt, Eric (Canada) Zelatel, Metka

Thursday, August 14, 13:00 – 15:15

54

IPM-41 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Measuring the performance of National Statistics Offices Organiser Ho, Frederick Wing Huen (Hong Kong SAR, China)

Papers

Good, Better, Best; How to Measure Performance of National Statistical Organisations de Vries, Willem (USA)

Competence and Human Capital at National Statistics Offices: A Challenge for Performance Measurement Vihavainen, Hilkka (Finland); Liewendahl, Pirjo

Measuring Aspects of the Quality Performance of Important Data Series Published by National Statistics Offices: Illustrated by the case of Revisions to Gross Domestic Product Estimates in the UK Richardson, Craig (United Kingdom)

Discussants Barnabe, Richard (Canada) Ericta, Carmelita (Philippines)

IPM-50 Hall 06

Statistics teaching in the Internet age Organiser Härdle, Wolfgang (Germany)

Papers

Data-Oriented Learning System of Statistics Based on Analysis Scenario/Story (DOLStat) Mori, Yuichi (Japan); Yamamoto, Yoshiro; Yadohisa, Hiroshi; Inoue, Tatsuki

Virtual Experiments and Their Role in Teaching Design and Analysis of Experiments Darius, Paul (Belgium); van der Knaap, Henk C.M.; Schrevens, Eddie; Portier, Kenneth M.; Massonnet, Goele; Lievens, Liesbeth; Duchateau, Luc

e-stat: Views, Methods, Applications Cramer, Erhard (Germany); Härdle, Wolfgang; Kamps, Udo; Witzel, Rodrigo

Discussants Lee, Jung Jin (Republic of Korea) Yatchew, Adonis

IPM-73 Hall 14.02

Forensic statistics and legal reasoning Organiser Aitken, Colin (United Kingdom)

Papers

An Application of Chosen Similarity Measures of Objects for Forensic Purposes Zadora, Grzegorz (Poland); Piekoszewski, Wojciech; Parczewski, Andrzej

The Distribution of Recovered Glass Curran, James (New Zealand)

Thursday, August 14, 13:00 – 15:15

55

Epidemiology as Legal Evidence Gastwirth, Joseph (USA)

Discussants Sjerps, Marjan (Netherlands) Garbolino, Paolo (Italy)

CPM-002-1 Room 13/14

Probability I Chairperson Kumar, Pranesh (Canada)

Papers

A Family of Asymmetric Bivariate Copulas Ubeda Flores, Manuel (Spain); Rodríguez Lallena, José Antonio

A Class of Discrete Distributions Expressed as Difference of Two Random Variables Ong, Seng-Huat (Malaysia); Shimizu, Kunio

Sommes de variables aléatoires de dufresne Chamayou, Jean Francois (France)

Applications of the Ostrowski Type Integral Inequalities in Estimating the Moments of A Continuous Random Variable Kumar, Pranesh (Canada)

Harmonizable Stable Process with Rational Spectral Densities Rezakhah Varnousfaderani, Saeid (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Statistics and Quantum Mechanics Helland, Inge Svein (Norway)

CPM-004-1 Room 11/12

Statistical inference (estimation and tests) I Chairperson Streit, Franz (Switzerland)

Papers

Sequential Point Estimation of a Function of the Exponential Scale Parameter Uno, Chikara (Japan); Isogai, Eiichi

Minimax Estimation of a Bounded Parameter Under Some Bounded Loss Functions Towhidi, Mina (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Sequential Point Estimation of a Function of the Exponential Scale Parameter Isogai, Eiichi (Japan); Uno, Chikara

Optimal Hypothesis Testing Under Unbiased Estimates - Application to the Oblong Distributions Nogami, Keiko (Japan)

Iterated Tail-Index Estimation Müller, Samuel (Switzerland)

Sequential Tests for Poisson Type Distributions Streit, Franz (Switzerland)

Thursday, August 14, 13:00 – 15:15

56

CPM-010-1 Room 15/16

Factor analysis, classification and clustering I Chairperson Hennig, Christian (Switzerland)

Papers

A Control Chart Approach to Select Eigenvalues in Principal Component and Correspondence Analysis Saporta, Gilbert (France)

Implied Volatility String Dynamics Fengler, Matthias (Germany); Härdle, Wolfgang; Mammen, Enno

Classifying Time Series with Wavelets Maharaj, Elizabeth Ann (Australia)

The Use of the Discriminant Analysis for the Identification of High Energy Physics Processes Mjahed, Mostafa (Morocco)

Principal Component Analysis - A Powerful Unsupervised Learning Method in Data Mining Fernandez, George (USA)

Classification of Stationary Time Series by Functional Data Analysis Andersson, Jonas (Sweden)

Asymmetric Linear Dimension Reduction for Classification Hennig, Christian (Switzerland)

CPM-015-1 Room 19

Time series I Chairperson Soerensen, Michael (Denmark)

Papers

Fitting a Symmetric Stable Non-Normal Distribution to Suspended Particulate Matter Magtulis, Mary Ann (Philippines)

Locally Stationary AR Model and Its Estimation Hokimoto, Tsukasa (Japan); Huzii, Mituaki

Sampling Theory for Continuous Variables in Space and Time Hebbel, Hartmut (Germany); Steuer, Detlef

Posterior Mode Estimation for Nonlinear and Non-Gaussian State Space Models So, Mike K.P. (Hong Kong SAR, China)

A New Approach to the Analysis of Longitudinal Data and Its Application to the Economics Data and Investment in the Stock Market Kiany, Hooshang (Islamic Republic of Iran); Hasani, Hosein

Curve Estimation for Time-Varying ARCH Models Subba Rao, Suhasini (Germany)

Statistical Inference for Discrete-Time Samples from Stochastic Delay Differential Equations Soerensen, Michael (Denmark); Kuechler, Uwe

Thursday, August 14, 13:00 – 15:15

57

CPM-018-1 Room 17/18

Linear models I Chairperson Maiti, Taps (USA)

Papers

Ridge Residuals in Functional Measurement Error Models Rasekh, Abdolrahman (Islamic Republic of Iran)

On Estimating Linear Relationships when Both Variables are Subject to Heteroscedastic Measurement Errors Cheng, Chi-Lun (Taiwan, China)

A GIC Rule in Assessing Data Transformation in Regression Ip, Wai (Hong Kong SAR, China); Wong, Heung; Songgui, Wang; Zhong, Jia

Graphical Diagnostics for Generalized Linear Models with Discrete-Valued Response Stadie, Andreas (Germany)

Testing Hypotheses on the Among Group Variance Component in an Unbalanced and Heteroscedastic One-Way Random Effects Model Argac, Dogan (Germany)

Measurement Error Model for Binary Responses under Classification and Measurement Errors Maiti, Taps (USA); Banerjee, Tathagata

CPM-058-1 Hall 08

Official statistics I (Improving Quality) Chairperson Defays, Daniel (Luxembourg)

Papers

A Framework to Improve the Quality of the National Statistical System Production Lo Moro, Vincenzo (Italy); Carbini, Riccardo

Improving Statistical Systems: Problems and Perspectives Belkindas, Misha (USA)

Revisions Policy for Official Statistics: A Matter of Governance Carson, Carol S. (USA); Carson, Carol S.; Khawaja, Sarmad; Morrison, Thomas K.

A Comparison of Levels and Structures of Energy Consumption in China and Japan using Input-Output Tables in Uniform Prices Li, Jie (People's Republic of China); Izumi, Hiroshi

Macro-Processes for Official Statistics Defays, Daniel (Luxembourg); Nanopoulos, Photius

Thursday, August 14, 13:00 – 15:15

58

CPM-079-1 Hall 10

The sectoral and geographical allocation of negotiable instruments holdership Chairperson Kleinjung, Günter (Germany)

Papers

Recording of Cross-Border Transactions in Money Market Paper and Other Negotiable Instruments by Sector within the B.O.P. Statistics Framework and Derived Geographical Holdership Structure Timmermann, Beatrice (Germany)

Impacts of Securities Transactions on the Statistical Presentation of the Money Stock Development in the Euro Area Borgioli, Stefano (Germany)

Derivation of Geographical and Sectoral Holdership Structures for Negotiable Instruments by Use of Periodically Reports of Securities Settlement Systems Mayerlen, Frank (Germany)

Reliable Statistical Recording of Negotiable Instruments Holdership as a Pre-condition for the Compilation of Money Stock and Its Counterparts Brunken, Stefan (Germany)

Calculation of Holdership Structure for Marketable Instruments by Applying Estimation Procedures: UK Experience Walton, Richard (United Kingdom)

Recording Cross-Border Holdings of Securities in the Framework of B.O.P. Statistics- The Envisaged Role of the CSDB Neudorfer, Peter (Germany)

The Means of Estimating the Negotiable Instruments in the Japanese Money Stock Statistics Yasui, Mayuko (Japan)

CPM-091-1 Hall 09

Trade in services - a challenge for statisticians I (The GATS-Agreement and the four modes of supply) Chairperson Steger, Almut (Germany)

Papers

The GATS Agreement and the Four Modes of Supply- A New Ground for Statisticians Karsenty, Guy (Switzerland)

Measuring Tourism in the Context of International Trade in Services Massieu, Antonio (Spain)

Analytical Value and Limitations of FDI Statistics: A User´s Perspective Weigl, Katja (Switzerland); Fujita, Masataka

Thursday, August 14, 15:15 – 17:30

59

Temporary Movement of Natural Persons under the GATS Butkeviciene, Jolita (Switzerland)

FATS Data: Lessons from the French Experience Renard, Francois (France); Boccara, Frédéric

Thursday, August 14, 15:15 - 17:30 IPM-20 Hall 04/05

Spatial and temporal modelling by residual maximum likelihood Organiser Juritz, June (South Africa)

Papers

Spatial and Temporal Modelling in Ecology: A Study of the Kalahari Meerkats Thiart, Christien (South Africa)

Modelling and Estimation for the Genetic Analysis of Longitudinal Data Thompson, Robin (United Kingdom)

Spatial Analysis of Multi-Phase Experiments Cullis, Brian (Australia); Smith, Alison

Discussants Gumedze, Freedom Nkhululeko (South Africa) Welham, Sue

IPM-29 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Household surveys sponsored by international Agencies in transition and developing countries Organiser Chinnappa, Namjamma (India)

Papers

The National Family Health Survey-2, 1998-99: Sampling Design and Its Analytical Implications Mishra, Udaya Shankar (India)

Living Standards Surveys in Transitional Economies: Evolution and Outlook Munoz, Juan (Chile)

Survey Design, Sampling Methodology: The DHS and MICS Experiences Loaiza, Edilberto (USA)

Discussants Kalton, Graham (USA) Jones, Gareth

Thursday, August 14, 15:15 – 17:30

60

IPM-48 Hall 07

Statistics education for media reports Organiser Pfannkuch, Maxine (New Zealand)

Papers

Functional Demands of Statistical Literacy: Ability to Read Press Releases from Statistical Agencies Gal, Iddo (Israel)

Statistics for Journalists Podehl, Martin (Canada)

A Course Called Chance Snell, J. Laurie (USA)

Discussants Watson, Jane (Australia) Wild, Chris (New Zealand)

IPM-60 Roof Garden

Stochastic modelling in telecommunications Organiser Rootzen, Holger (Sweden)

Papers

The Extremal Dependence Measure and Asymptotic Independence Resnick, Sidney (USA)

Statistical Guarantees and the Economics of Communication Networks Lewis, John (Ireland)

Stochastic Geometry Modelling of Hybrid Wireless/Optical Networks Zuyev, Sergei (United Kingdom)

Discussant Kaj, Ingemar (Sweden)

IPM-81 Hall 14.02

Computer modelling and diagnostics Organiser Wu, C. F. Jeff (USA)

Papers

Statistical Models for Simulation Errors and Their Role in Prediction and Uncertainty Quantification Glimm, James (USA); Glimm, James

Integrated Analysis of Computer and Physical Experiments Reese, C. Shane (USA); Wilson, Alyson; Hamada, Mike; Martz, Harry

SAR: A Diagnosticanalysis of Heterogeneous Data Tiao, George (USA); Pena, Daniel

Thursday, August 14, 15:15 – 17:30

61

IPM-82 Hall 06

The relation of statistics with other sciences Organiser Bousbaine, Ahmed (Switzerland)

Papers

Statistics for Scientists: Just Another Toolbox? Grize, Yves-Laurent (Switzerland)

Working as a Statistician in a Multinational Food Company: Experiences from R&D and Supply Chain Management Baumgartner, Marcel (Switzerland)

Un système de Bonus-Malus optimal en assurance automobile Boukhetala, Kamal (Algeria); Brahimi, Nassima

The Challenges Towards the Relations of Statistics with Other Sciences Radilov, Dimitar (Bulgaria)

The Problems of Stability of the Respondent-National-Statistical Office-User Relations in Transitional Countries Yusifov, Yusif (Azerbaijan)

CPM-014-1 Room 15/16

Resampling methods: jackknife, bootstrap and crossvalidation I Chairperson Sakurai, Hirohito (Japan)

Papers

Bootstrap Confidence Intervals in Mixtures of Discrete Distributions Patilea, Valentin (France); Karlis, Dimitris

Iterated Smoothed Bootstrap Percentile Confidence Intervals for Population Quantiles Ho, Hoi Sheung (Hong Kong SAR, China)

Optimal Block Size Choices for Spatial Resampling Methods Nordman, Daniel (Germany); Lahiri, S.N.

M Out of N Bootstrapping for Nonstandard M-Estimation with Nuisance Parameters Pun, Man Chi (Hong Kong SAR, China); Lee, Stephen M.S.

The Empirical Edgeworth Expansion for a Studentized Trimmed Mean Helmers, Roelof (Netherlands); Gribkova, Nadezhda

Bootstrap Tests for Difference between Two Means in Paired Longitudinal Data Sakurai, Hirohito (Japan); Taguri, Masaaki

CPM-020-1 Room 19

Model selection I Chairperson Mittlboeck, Martina (Austria)

Papers

High Dimensional Portfolio Risk Minimization Welsch, Roy (USA); Samarov, Alexander; Lauprete, Geoffrey

Thursday, August 14, 15:15 – 17:30

62

Model Selection and Shrinkage Methods in Regression Analysis Droge, Bernd (Germany)

On the Use of Prequential Tools for Assessing the Goodness-of-Fit of Stochastic Processes El-Aroui, Mhamed-Ali (Tunisia)

Simultaneous Transformation into Interval Scales for a Set of Ordinal Categorical Variables Zanella, Angelo (Italy); Gabriele, Cantaluppi

Quantifying Overdispersion Effects in Count Regression Data Czado, Claudia (Germany); Sikora, Inka

Explained Variation in Over-/Under-Dispersed Poisson Regression Models Mittlboeck, Martina (Austria); Heinzl, Harald

CPM-025-1 Room 17/18

Data quality and statistics Chairperson Nimmergut, Anja (Germany)

Papers

Quality Indicators in Survey Process Kim, Kyung Hee (Republic of Korea)

Accuracy Improvement in Sample Redesign of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey: A Case Study in Busan Son, Young-Tae (Republic of Korea)

Comparing Predictive Mean Matching Imputation and Propensity Score Weighting for Item Non-Response Beissel-Durrant, Gabriele (United Kingdom); Skinner, Chris

Multiple Response Variables in Official Statistics Nolan, Frank (United Kingdom)

Overview of Results from the Euredit Project - Evaluating Methods for Data Editing and Imputation Charlton, John (United Kingdom)

Towards a Self Assessment Programme for Survey Managers Nimmergut, Anja (Germany); Körrner, Thomas

CPM-051-1 Room 13/14

Reliability I Chairperson Burkschat, Marco (Germany)

Papers

Planning Accelerated Life Tests under the Inverse Gaussian Model Jeng, Shuen-Lin (Taiwan, China)

Stochastic Model for Common Cause Failures and Human Error Bekker, Andriette (South Africa); Yadavalli, Venkata Seshachala Sarma

An Estimation Study of an Intermittently Used System Yadavalli, Venkata Seshachala Sarma (South Africa); Andriatte, Bekker

Thursday, August 14, 15:15 – 17:30

63

A Delayed Repair Model T. Castro, Inmaculada (Spain); L. Sanjuan, Eva

A Determination of the Number of Tests for a Specified Reliability Level Gunel, Erdogan (USA); Cukic, Bojan; Singh, Harshinder; Cortellessa, Vittorio

Progressive Type-II Censoring and Optimal Schemes Burkschat, Marco (Germany)

CPM-072-1 Hall 10

Gender statistics Chairperson Giaimo, Rosa (Italy)

Papers

Medical-Demographic Aspects of the Socuum in a Mirror of Gender Statistics Chikhladze, Nino (Georgian)

Gender Issues Through Korean Health Statistics Park, Kyung-Ae (Republic of Korea)

Gender Statistics Required in the Policy on Women Kim, Insik (Republic of Korea)

Measurement of Status of Womwn in Society- The Case of Developing Countries Pochun, Malati (Mauritius)

Situation of Women in Turkey: The Decision on Use of Their Earnings Dorsan, Nilgün (Turkey)

Women in New Technologies: Strategies of Training and Retraining in Europe Giaimo, Rosa (Italy); Bono, Filippa; Busetta, Annalisa; Matranga, Domenica; Zanna, Stefania

CPM-074-1 Hall 09

Survey methodology I Chairperson Farmakis, Nicolas (Greece)

Papers

A New Randomized Response Model Christofides, Tasos (Cyprus)

Consistent Estimation from Combined Surveys and Registers van Duin, Coen (Netherlands); Houbiers, Marianne; Snijders, Vincent

Hypothesis Testing in Sample Survey Experiments Karlberg, Martin (Sweden)

An Estimating Equations Technique for Valid Inference from Imputed Survey Data Reilly, James (New Zealand)

Fitting Models with Stratified Sampling Scott, Alastair (New Zealand)

Thursday, August 14, 15:15 – 17:30

64

Methodological Aspects for Conducting a Survey on Violence Against Women: The Use of Qualitative Methods to Implement Quantitative Studies Muratore, Maria Giuseppina (Italy); Baldry, Anna; Barletta, Roberta

Model Determination via Systematic Sampling in 2-Dimensional Populations Farmakis, Nicolas (Greece)

CPM-091-2 Room 11/12

Trade in services - a challenge for statisticians II (The manual on statistics of international trade in services and its implementation) Chairperson Steger, Almut (Germany)

Papers

Implementing the Manual on Statistics of International Trade in Services: Are We Progressing? Cave, William (France)

International Trade in Services - Migration Statistics and Mode 4 Becker, Ralf (USA)

Japan's Implementation of the Recommendation of the MSITS Yamaguchi, Eika (Japan)

Data Collection for Services- The Increasing Role of the Direct Reporting in the Czech Republic Vojtisek, Petr (Czech Republic)

Evolution of Data Collection System on Services in Russia: From Surveys to International Transactions Reporting System Shcherbakov, Serguei (Russia)

CPM-094-1 Hall 08

Sports statistics Chairperson Lewis, Tony (United Kingdom)

Papers

Commercialisation of Modelling Predictions at Swinburne Sports Statistics Clarke, Stephen (Australia)

Estimating the Probability of a Home Win, Draw and Away Win in Soccer Stefani, Raymond (USA)

The Best Batsmen and Bowlers in One-Day Cricket Swartz, Tim (Canada)

The Research on the Empirical Date of the Age Stucture of the Basketball Players Acording to the Position in the Field Pluta, Beata (Poland); Pluta, Beata

Friday, August 15, 09:00 – 11:15

65

Study on College Students' Consumption Inducement of Phsyical Training in Gansu Province Wang, Bin (People's Republic of China); Luo, Lili

Towards Fairer Cricketing Averages? Lewis, Tony (United Kingdom)

Friday, August 15, 09:00 - 11:15 IPM-03 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Official statistics in Germany under five different political systems Organiser Malaguerra, Carlo (Switzerland)

Papers

Between Liberalism and Totalitarism: The Development of Statistics in Germany 1872 - 1953 Tooze, J. Adams (United Kingdom)

The Political Role of Statistics in the Former German Democratic Republic von der Lippe, Peter (Germany)

The German Industrial Census of 1936 as Preparation for the War Fremdling, Rainer (Germany)

German Official Statistics in the Third Reich with Respect to Population Statistics Wietog, Jutta (Germany)

Discussant Sofia, Francesca (Italy)

IPM-07 Hall 04/05

Nonparametric Bayesian methods Organiser Walker, Stephen (United Kingdom)

Papers

Discrete Time Markov Gamma Processes and Time Dependent Covariates in Survival Analysis Nieto-Barajas, Luis (Mexico)

Bayesan Nonparametrics for Invariant, Non Exchangeable Data Rigo, Pietro (Italy); Berti, Patrizia

Comments on the Bayesian Nonparametric Quantile Process and Inferences about Percentiles Johnson, Richard (USA); sim, songyong

Discussant Lid Hjort, Nils

Friday, August 15, 09:00 – 11:15

66

IPM-40 Hall 06

New directions in social statistics Organiser Virola, Romulo (Philippines)

Papers

The System of Social Statistics Based on Micro-Integration of Different Sources van der Laan, Paul (Netherlands); Everaers, Pieter C. J.

Measuring Poverty in Transition Countries: The Statistical Challenges (Case of Mongolia) Davaasuren, Chultemjamts (Japan)

Setting the Scope of Social Statistics: New and Emerging Issues Banda, Jeremiah (USA); Menozzi, Clare

Discussants Maligalig, Dalisay Linacre, Susan (Australia)

IPM-61 Hall 07

Information technology and statistics Organiser Yu, Bin (USA) Chairperson Lin, Yi (USA)

Papers

Batch and Online Algorithms for Text Categorization Madigan, David (USA)

Fast Linear Prediction and Adaptive Quantization for Voice Compression Huang, Dawei (People's Republic of China)

Network Tomography Using the EM Algorithm Castro, Rui (USA); Nowak, Robert; Coates, Mark

Discussant Kolaczyk, Eric

IPM-65 Roof Garden

Clustering and classification: models and algorithms Organiser Bock, Hans-Hermann (Germany)

Papers

Clustering and Reduction of Three-Way Data Vichi, Maurizio (Italy)

Classification and Feature Selection on Matrix Data with Application to Gene-Expression Analysis Hochreiter, Sepp (Germany); Obermayer, Klaus

Discriminative Clustering Kaski, Samuel (Finland)

Discussant Rasson, Jean-Paul (Belgium)

Friday, August 15, 09:00 – 11:15

67

IPM-85 Hall 14.02

Use of statistics in developing monetary policy Organiser San Jose, Armida (USA)

Papers

Development and Use of Statistics for Monetary Policy in Cambodia Khay, Phousnith (Cambodia)

Macroeconomics Statistics and Monetary Policy Decision Cani, Shkelqim (Albania); Kolasi, Gramoz

Use of Statistics in the Monetary Policy of the Czech National Bank: The Case of the Country in Transition Matalik, Ivan (Czech Republic); Arlt, Josef

Use of Statistics in Developing UK Monetary Policy Lindsay, Craig (United Kingdom); Lindsay, Craig; Lynch, Robin

Statistics on Euro-Area Banks' Deposit and Bending Rates - Analytical Use, Concept and Implementation at the Bundesbank Brunken, Stefan (Germany)

Discussants Marco, Alfred de Giunigundo, Diwa

CPM-002-2 Room 13/14

Probability II Chairperson Massam, Hélène (Canada)

Papers

From Gene Families to Genera, and Incomes to Internet File Sizes - on the Ubiquity and Provenance of Distributions with Power-Law Tails. Reed, William (Canada)

On the Distance Between Multivariate Mixed Poisson and Poisson Distributions Roos, Bero (Germany)

Nonatomic Models for Markets Ramachandran, Doraiswamy (USA)

The Subjective Probability and a Calculating Method Wang, Yumin (People's Republic of China)

Wishart Matrices and the Matsumoto-Yor Independence Property Massam, Hélène (Canada); Wesolowski, Jacek

CPM-005-2 Room 11/12

Multivariate methods II Chairperson Tanaka, Yutaka (Japan)

Papers

Bivariate Distributions with Support Above the Diagonal Jones, Chris (United Kingdom)

Friday, August 15, 09:00 – 11:15

68

The Dissection of Polyhedral Cones and Its Application to the Evaluation of Multi-Normal Probabilities Miwa, Tetsuhisa (Japan); Hayter, Tony; Kuriki, Satoshi

Data-Adaptive Discriminant Analysis and Its Diagnosis Goto, Masashi (Japan); Shimokawa, Toshio

On Approximations for the Probability of a Sum of Lattice Random Vectors to Hit a Convex Set Ulyanov, Vladimir (Russia)

Cluster Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Hwang, Hyun-Sik (Republic of Korea)

Sensitivity Analysis in Independent Component Analysis Tanaka, Yutaka (Japan); Kim, Eugene; Oide, Norihiro

CPM-015-2 Room 19

Time series II Chairperson Praskova, Zuzana (Czech Republic)

Papers

Detection of Outliers and Structural Breaks Using the Gibbs Sampler Leitao, Teresa (United Kingdom)

On Testing for Serial Correlation in Large Number of Small Samples Using Tail Probability Approximations Peiris, Shelton (Australia); Rao, C.R.

A Test for Fractional Cointegration Using the Sieve Bootstrap Gerolimetto, Margherita (Italy); Procidano, Isabella

Goodness-of-Fit Tests for ARMA Models with Uncorrelated Errors Roy, Roch (Canada); Francq, Christian; Zakoïan, Michel

Testing Constancy in a Heteroscedastic RCA Model Praskova, Zuzana (Czech Republic)

CPM-018-2 Room 15/16

Linear models II Chairperson Yoshida, Kiyotaka (Japan)

Papers

Hierarchical Models in Complex Surveys? Modelling the Body Mass Index in the Brazilian Living Standards Measurement Survey Trindade Correa, Solange (Brazil); Silva, Denise Britz do N.

Fitting Relationships without Regression Tofallis, Chris (United Kingdom)

Best Linear Unbiased Predictor for Unbalanced Designs Poduri, S.R.S. Rao (USA); Katzoff, Myron

Synthesizing the Classical and Inverse Methods in Linear Calibration Shalabh, Shalabh (India)

Friday, August 15, 09:00 – 11:15

69

Tests of Dimensionality in MANOVA Model under Elliptical Populations Yoshida, Kiyotaka (Japan); Imai, Hideyuki; Sato, Yoshiharu

CPM-031-1 Room 17/18

Spatial statistics Chairperson de Haan, Laurens (Netherlands)

Papers

Hotspots Detection for Cellular Surface Data Kurihara, Koji (Japan)

Methodologic Problems of Small Area Epidemiologic Models Radnoti, Laszlo (Hungary)

Binary Spatial Regression Models with Cluster Effects with Application to Transport Planning in Munich, Germany Prokopenko, Sergiy (Germany); Czado, Claudia

Hierarchical Bayesian Models for Geographical Correlations Analysis Trevisani, Matilde (Italy)

Spatial Data Analysis on Kriging Method Namkung, Pyong (Republic of Korea); Hong, Taekyeong; Jang, Jihee

Spatial Extremes: The Stationary Case Themido Pereira, Teresa (Portugal)

Central Limit Theorem for Random Measures Generated by Stationary Processes of Compact Sets Pawlas, Zbynek (Czech Republic)

Spatial Extremes: The Stationary Case de Haan, Laurens (Netherlands)

CPM-073-1 Hall 10

Sampling I Chairperson György, Erika (Hungary)

Papers

Combined Weighting Procedures for Post-Survey Adjustment in Complex Sample Surveys Ayhan, H. Öztas (Turkey)

Exact Moments for Calibrated Estimators under pPS Sampling Sugden, Roger (United Kingdom)

Higher Consistency Between Calibration Estimates from Different Sources Vanderhoeft, Camille (Belgium); Luminet, Denis; Slock, Peter

On Calibration Methods for Design Based Finite Population Inferences Montanari, Giorgio Eduardo (Italy); Ranalli, M.Giovanna

Variance Estimation with the Jackknife Method in the Case of Calibrated Totals György, Erika (Hungary); Mihályffy, László

Friday, August 15, 09:00 – 11:15

70

CPM-074-2 Hall 08

Survey methodology II Chairperson Janke, Rudolf (Germany)

Papers

Multiple Imputation Using Semiparametric Modelling in Generalized Sequential Regressions Chen, Wei (USA); Raghunathan, Trivellore

Statistical Observation Programs Harmonization at Realization of Sample Surveys of Households in Ukraine Gladun, Oleksandr (Ukraine)

Creating Survey Blocks from Household Registers Upadhyaya, Shyam (Nepal)

Fundamental Research into Order Effects in Surveys Strubbe, Marleen (Belgium); Cools, Walentina; Mairesse, Olivier; Theuns, Peter

Application of Two-Phase Sampling in "Education Survey" in Tehran Abarin, Taraneh (Islamic Republic of Iran)

A Comparison of Variance Estimation in Rotation Design Yoon, Yeanok Namgung (Republic of Korea)

Der Einsatz ausschliesslich telefonbasierter Stichproben zur hochaktuellen Erfassung des ILO-Erwerbsstatus Janke, Rudolf (Germany); Riede, Thomas

CPM-089-1 Hall 09

The Internet and statistics I Chairperson van Delden, Arnout (Netherlands)

Papers

Internet Resources for Statistics Education Ameen, Hana (Sultanat of Oman)

Retrieval from Large Collections -- An Extreme Value Application Weissman, Ishay (Israel); Madigan, David; Vardi, Yehuda

A Web-Based Rainfall Atlas for Southern Africa Zucchini, Walter (Germany); Zucchini, Walter; Nenadic, Oleg; Kratz, Günther

Adaptive Spam Filtering with Text Mining Sato, Yusuke (Japan); Minami, Hiroyuki; Mizuta, Masahiro

A Study for Data Collection on Large-Scale Surveys (Census) Ryu, Gi Hyong (Republic of Korea)

Art of Cubism: Coherent Presentation of Output Data on the Internet van Delden, Arnout (Netherlands); Willeboordse, Ad

Friday, August 15, 13:00 – 15:15

71

Friday, August 15, 13:00 - 15:15 IPM-19 Hall 09

Numerical methods in statistics including iterative methods for non-linear problems Organiser Gentle, James E. (USA)

Papers

Computational Issues in Nonlinear Optimization for Robust Estimation And Outlier Detection Using a Multivariate Minimum Distance Criterion Scott, David W. (USA)

Clustering and Robust Estimation of Multivariate Location and Shape Rocke, David M. (USA); Woodruff, David L.

Parallel Computing for Parallel Magnetic Resonance Imaging Eddy, William (USA); Cao, Mingyu

Discussant Holmström, Lasse (Finland)

IPM-37 (Interpretation) Hall 03

The measurement of economic progress Organiser Giovannini, Enrico (France)

Papers

Measuring National Progress: Can the National Accounts Help? Schreyer, Paul (France)

A Stock/ Flow System Approach to the Measurement of Economic Progress Keuning, Steven (Germany)

Measuring the Use of E-Commerce and Its Impact Clayton, Tony (United Kingdom); Prestwood, Debra

Discussant Cheung, Paul (Singapore)

IPM-47 Hall 07

Mathematics teachers teaching statistics Organiser Starkings, Susan (United Kingdom)

Papers

Should Simple Markov Processes Be Taught by Mathematics Teachers? Wang, Ann-Lee (Malaysia); Kon, Song-How

Mathematics Teachers Teaching Statistics: What Are the Challenges for the Classroom Teacher? Nicholson, James (United Kingdom); Darnton, Catharine

Mathematicians Have Problems Teaching Model Assumptions in Statistics Dahl, Henrik (Norway)

Discussant Blejec, Andrej (Slovenia)

Friday, August 15, 13:00 – 15:15

72

IPM-55 Roof Garden

Probabilistic methods for risk assessment Organiser Edler, Lutz (Germany)

Papers

The Use of Probabilistic and Simulation Methods in the Assessment of Occupational Hazards Bailer, A. John (USA)

Contributions of Stochastic Carcinogenesis Modelling to Probabilistic Risk Assessment Kopp-Schneider, Annette (Germany)

Risk Assessment of Non-Secured Loan Ligeti, Csak (Hungary)

Discussant Kim, Byung Soo (Republic of Korea) in memorian of Kempton, Rob

IPM-59 Hall 06

Ethical issues in surveys and how they affect our society Organiser Vasconcellos, Mauricio (Brazil) Chairperson Elsner, Eckart (Germany)

Papers

Privacy and Survey Research: Ethical and Legal Questions from a Researcher´s Perspective Lohr, Sharon (USA)

Some New Challenges for Statistical Disclosure Control Willenborg, Leon (Netherlands)

Les modèles bioéthiques sont-ils utilisables pour protéger les populations humaines contre les abus de pouvoir résultant de la divulgation des informations statistiques ? Schramm, F. Roland (Brazil)

IPM-64 Hall 14.02

Accessibility and availability of statistics through metadata Organiser Westlake, Andrew (United Kingdom)

Papers

Metadata and Official Statistics: Future Directions Lamb, Joanne (United Kingdom)

Meta Data Matters: Standardizing Metadata for Improved Management and Delivery in National Information Systems Bradley, Bill (Canada); Ryssevik, Jostein; Gillmann, Daniel W.

Integrated Searching and Communication of Statistical Information Using Discovery Metadata Pullinger, David (United Kingdom)

Discussants Neumann, Klaus (Germany) Ward, Dennis

Friday, August 15, 13:00 – 15:15

73

CPM-010-2 Room 17/18

Factor analysis, classification and clustering II Chairperson Harris, Bernard (USA)

Papers

New Algorithm of IP-OLDF Shinmura, Shuichi (Japan)

Classification of Non-Normal Phoneme Data Ali, Qazi (India); Farooq, Omar

K-Means Method for Functional Data Mizuta, Masahiro (Japan)

Classification of Binary Data by Using the Entropy Distribution Lee, Jung Jin (Republic of Korea)

Classifying Criminal Activity: A Latent Class Approach to Longitudinal Event Data Francis, Brian (United Kingdom)

Algorithms for Colour Segmentation of Two Dimensional Images Korzeniewski, Jerzey (Poland)

The Application of Combinatorial Methods of Cluster Analysis to the Detection of Mixtures Harris, Bernard (USA)

CPM-021-1 Room 15/16

Categorical data Chairperson Hirotsu, Chihiro (Japan)

Papers

Conditional and Marginal Association and the Preservation of Monotonicity Cox, David (United Kingdom); Wermuth, Nanny

Pairwise Likelihood Approach to Grouped Continuous Model and Its Extension de Leon, Alexander (Canada)

Modeling and Describing Multiple Responses Given a Stratification Variable Liu, Ivy (New Zealand)

A Disorder Distance for Tied Rankings Großmann, Heiko (Germany)

On Construction of Correlated Ordinal Categorical Random Variables Biswas, Atanu (India)

Improved Goodness-of-Fit Statistics for Sparce Multinomials Taneichi, Nobuhiro (Japan)

Various Applications of the Maximal Component Chi-Squared in Contingency Tables Hirotsu, Chihiro (Japan)

Friday, August 15, 13:00 – 15:15

74

CPM-052-1 Room 13/14

Statistical quality control I Chairperson Kallenberg, Wilbert C.M. (Netherlands)

Papers

Multistage Statistical and Engineering Process Control Tsung, Fugee (Hong Kong SAR, China)

A Multi-Response Parameter Design Strategy Using Loss Functions and Joint Optimisation Plots Kuhnt, Sonja (Germany); Erdbrügge, Martina

A Simple Approach to Design Control Chart for Small Runs Jaupi, Luan (France)

Effects of Weather on Poultry Management: A Case Study of Cage Fowl Poultry at Meteorological Department Oshodi Oyetunji, Kayode Sunday (Nigeria); Muyiolu, S.K.

Statistical Quality Control Chart Based on Pair Ranked Set Sampling Muttlak, Hassen (Saudi Arabia)

Parametric Control Charts Kallenberg, Wilbert C.M. (Netherlands); Albers, Willem; Nurdiati, Sri

CPM-056-1 Hall 10

Population statistics I Chairperson Keiding, Niels (Denmark)

Papers

A Study of Xinjiang Population Dong, Yongmao (People's Republic of China)

Size and Characteristics of the Disabled from the Population Census: Some Reflections and Findings from the Caribbean Murthy, Nittala N (Jamaica)

A Scale Problem of Aggregated Population Census Data Kim, Hyung-seog (Republic of Korea)

Determinants of Attitudes Toward Children in Japan Kojima, Hiroshi (Japan)

Fertility Decline in South Korea and Policy Implications Jeong, Insook (Republic of Korea)

Age-Period-Cohort Modelling of the Mortality of Danish Women Keiding, Niels (Denmark); Jacobsen, Rune; Lynge, Elsebeth

CPM-058-2 Hall 08

Official statistics II (Improving Quality) Chairperson Revilla, Pedro (Spain)

Papers

Statistical Consultancies: Challenges and Opportunities Wingfield-Digby, Peter (Thailand)

Friday, August 15, 13:00 – 15:15

75

The Thoughts on Quality of Statistical Data Yang, Yuanheng (People's Republic of China)

Information Age Further Accentuates the Development Differential: A Malaysian Scenario Rathina Pandi, Asha (Malaysia)

Une gestion unifiée et active des cadres du système statistique public: l'exemple français Faure, Jean-Louis (France)

Survey Automation, Focused in Total Quality Management Segui, Federico (Uruguay)

Using a TQM Approach to Reduce Enterprise Burden in the Spanish Industrial Surveys Revilla, Pedro (Spain)

CPM-084-1 Room 19

Internet surveys Chairperson Pricking, Thomas (Germany)

Papers

Experiences with Implementation of Web Based Data Collection Jeon, Junwoo (Republic of Korea)

The Importance of Timeframe and Advertisement in Internet Surveys: An Exploratory Analysis Esteves, José (Spain); Casanovas, Josep; Pastor, Joan

Comparison Web versus Paper Respondents Using Supplemental Data Himmelmann, Maurizio (Italy)

Methodological Aspects of a Web&Paper Survey Romano, Maria Francesca (Italy)

Potentiality of Propensity Scores Methods in Weighting for Web Surveys: A Simulation Study Based on a Statistical Register Biffignandi, Silvia (Italy); Toninelli, Daniele; Pratesi, Monica

Statistik-Online- A New Approach to Collect Statistical Data by Internet Pricking, Thomas (Germany)

CPM-098-1 Room 11/12

The use of surveys in financial statistics Chairperson Hilpinen, Jorma (Finland)

Papers

Redesign of the Statistics on Insurance Corporations and Pension Funds de Boo, Abraham (Netherlands)

Performance Evaluation Model for Primary Non-Agricultural Credit Societies Das, Praggya (India); Thorat, Y.S.P.; Maria, Pardeep

Friday, August 15, 13:00 – 15:15

76

Utility of Surveys Undertaken by the Reserve Bank of India for Collection of Financial Statistics Rao, K. S. Ramachandra (India)

Selection of Reporting Agents for the Survey on MFI Interest Rate Statistics Schackis, Daniela (Germany)

The Implementation of the New ECB Interest Rate Statistics in Austria- A Pragmatic Approach to a Survey Schubert, Aurel (Austria); Swoboda, Gunther

Sample Design and Implementation of the Italian Survey on Harmonised Interest Rate Statistics Bolognesi, Fabio (Italy); Battipaglia, Paola

Sample Surveys at the Bank of Italy Tartaglia Polcini, Raffaele (Italy)

CPM-102-1 Hall 04

Demographic Challenges in the 21st Century Chairperson Höhn, Charlotte (Germany)

Papers

On the Change in Demographic Regime in Industrialized Societies van de Kaa, Dirk J. (Netherlands)

The End of World Population Growth, Human Capital and Sustainable Development Lutz, Wolfgang (Austria)

Future World Population: Coming to Terms with Malthus and Darwin Chamie, Joseph (USA)

Discussant Demeny, Paul (USA)

Friday, August 15, 15:15 – 17:30

77

Friday, August 15, 15:15 - 17:30 IPM-06 Hall 04/05

Mixture distributions and applications Organiser McLachlan, Geoffrey (Australia)

Papers

Model-Based Clustering with Large Samples Via Subsampling and Iterated Sampling Raftery, Adrian (USA); Wehrens, Ron; Fraley, Chris

The EM Algorithm with Gradient Function Update for Discrete Mixtures with Fixed (Known) Number of Components Böhning, Dankmar (Germany); Boehning, Dankmar

Oscillation Analysis for the Mixture Complexity Walther, Guenther (USA)

Discussants Seidel, Wilfried (Germany) Ambroise, Christophe

IPM-15 Hall 07

Stochastic analysis and applications in finance Organiser Föllmer, Hans (Germany)

Papers

Fractional Brownian Motion Models in Finance: Estimation & Market Microstructure Foundations Sircar, Ronnie (USA); Bayraktar, Erhan; Horst, Ulrich; Poor, H. Vincent

A Mean-Field Model for Dependent Defaults and Counterparty Risk Frey, Ruediger (Germany)

Discretization and Simulation of Backward SDE's Touzi, Nizar (France)

Discussant Bank, Peter (Germany)

IPM-34 Roof Garden

Surveys of special populations Organiser Pochun, Malati (Mauritius)

Papers

Issues Related to the Measurement of Unemployment in the U.S. Tucker, Clyde (USA); Polivka, Anne

Trying to Survey the Homeless Marker, David (USA)

Sampling Student Populations for Educational Assessment in Brazil Nascimento Silva, Pedro Luis do (Brazil); Bussab, Wilton; Andrade, Dalton

Discussants Templeton, Robert Panova, Verka

Friday, August 15, 15:15 – 17:30

78

IPM-43 Hall 06

Impact of migration on urban areas Organiser Trutzel, Klaus (Germany)

Papers

The Impact of Black Immigration on Patterns of Residential Settlement in New York City Spar, Edward (USA); Lobo, A. Peter; Salvo, Joseph

The Social Network Formed by Peasant Workers in Cities and Resources Flowing within Their Network Cao, Ziwei (People's Republic of China)

Improving Small Area Population Projections (SAPP) Based on Social Area Analysis Using SIKURS - A Case Study of Berlin Lebhart, Gustav (Austria); Lux-Henseler, Barbara

Discussant Ho, Frederick Wing Huen (Hong Kong SAR, China)

IPM-52 (Interpretation) Hall 03

The use of hedonic methods for quality-adjusted prices Organiser Meganck, Bart (Luxembourg)

Papers

Quality Adjustment of Euro Area Price Data: Assessing the Hedonic Methodology Kenny, Geoff (Germany); Ahnert, Henning

Comparison of Hedonic Functions for PCs Across EU Countries Konijn, Paul (Luxembourg); Moch, Dietmar; Dalen, Jorgen

Conceptual and Measurement Issues Relating to Hedonic Methods of Quality Adjustment of Prices: The UK Experience and Some Practical Proposals Fenwick, David (United Kingdom); Ball, Adrian

A Different Approach to Changes in Product Quality and Price Winkler, Othmar W. (USA)

Discussant Astin, John

IPM-71 Hall 14.02

Educational implications of statistical method and modelling developments in psychometry Organiser Bacelar Nicolau, Helena (Portugal) Chairperson Cristante, Francesca (Italy)

Papers

The Psychology of Mathematics and Mathematics for Psychologists Delbeke, Luc (Belgium)

Empirical Validation of a Knowledge Structure for Assessment and Learning of Psychometrics at University Level Stefanutti, Luca (Italy); Cristante, Francesca

Statistical Data: (Empirical) Facts or (Theoretical) Fictions? Micko, Hans Christoph (Germany)

Friday, August 15, 15:15 – 17:30

79

Teaching and Learning Hierarchical Clustering Probabilistic Models for Categorical Data Costa Nicolau, Fernando (Portugal); Bacelar Nicolau, Helena

Discussants Saporta, Gilbert (France) Townsend, James

CPM-004-2 Room 13/14

Statistical inference (estimation and tests) II Chairperson Jureckova, Jana (Czech Republic)

Papers

The Operating Characteristics of a Simple Large-Sample Omnibus Test for Circular Reflective Symmetry Pewsey, Arthur (Spain)

A Random Effects Model with Parallel Polynomial Growth Curves Yokoyama, Takahisa (Japan)

LR Tests for Some Linear Hypotheses in an Extended Growth Curve Model Kanda, Takashi (Japan); Fujikoshi, Yasunori; Ohtaki, Megu

On the Pitman Estimator for a Family of Non-Regular Distributions Akahira, Masafumi (Japan); Ohyauchi, Nao

Inference for Some Discretely Observed Semimartingale Processes Woerner, Jeannette (United Kingdom)

New Estimates of Pareto Tail Index Jureckova, Jana (Czech Republic)

CPM-010-3 Room 17/18

Factor analysis, classification and clustering III Chairperson Gather, Ursula (Germany)

Papers

Dimension Reduction by Partial Correlation Graphs and Latent Variable Analysis Fried, Roland (Germany)

An Asymmetirc MDS with a Graphical User Interface Sato, Yoshiharu (Japan)

Agrégation sous contraintes de contiguïté et d´homogénéité ou d´hétérogénéité : une méthode adaptée aux données locales Christine, Marc (France)

Classifying Schizophrenia using Spectral Analysis of the Electroencephalogram Öhrvik, John (Sweden); Piazza, Paolo

Interaction Detector Analysis with Reference to a Risk-Related Dependent Variable Fabbris, Luigi (Italy)

A Statistical Approach for Developing Food Security Indicators in Selected Regions in the Philippines Castillo, Elenita (Philippines)

Friday, August 15, 15:15 – 17:30

80

Applications of Clustering Methods to Textual Documents Rezankova, Hana (Czech Republic); Husek, Dusan; Vaclav, Snasel

CPM-014-2 Room 15/16

Resampling methods: jackknife, bootstrap and crossvalidation II Chairperson Belyaev, Yuri (Sweden)

Papers

Jackknife Linearization Variance Estimator in the Presence of Unit Non Response Via Two-Phase Sampling Solari, Fabrizio (Italy); Righi, Paolo; Lamberti, Aldo

Bootstrap Based Inference on Alpha-Stable Laws del Barrio, Eustasio (Spain)

Surrogate Data Tests Nandi, Swagata (Germany)

Assessing Covariate Effects for Over-Dispersed Categorical Data with Computer Intensive Methods Ochi, Yoshimichi (Japan)

The First Paper: Belyaev, Yuri (Sweden)

CPM-020-2 Hall 09

Model selection II Chairperson Davies, Laurie (Germany)

Papers

Log-Linear Modelling by Combining Marginal Models Kim, Sung-Ho (Republic of Korea)

Stepwise Fitting for Feed-Forward Neural Networks with Binary Outcomes Sadat Hashemi, S.Mehdi (Islamic Republic of Iran)

The Drane-Wang Modification of the Logistic Dose Response Function Drane, J. Wanzer (USA); Wang, Huei; Piegorsch, Walter W.; Hussey, James; Sy, Francisco

Modeling Count Data by Random Effect Poisson Model Gupta, Pushpa (USA); Gupta, Ramesh; Ong, S.H.

Model Choice and Rationality Davies, Laurie (Germany)

CPM-035-1 Hall 10

Biometrics Chairperson Gudmundsson, Gudmundur (Iceland)

Papers

Generalised Logistic Estimating Equations for Analysis of Correlated Binary Data Nairy, Subrahmanya (India); KallIanpura, Aruna Rao

Friday, August 15, 15:15 – 17:30

81

Genetic Linkage Analysis for the Pedegree Data of Hypodontia of Permanent Teeth Lee, Taerim (Republic of Korea)

Loglinear Modeling of Wildlife Monitoring Data with Missing Values: A Quasi-Likelihood Approach Pannekoek, Jeroen (Netherlands)

Biologically Based Stochastic Modeling of Hepatocarcinogenesis Groos, Jutta (Germany); Kopp-Schneider, Annette

The Effect of Migration on Similarity Index Yue, Jack (Taiwan, China); Clayton, Murray

Statistical Analysis of an Interlaboratory Prevalidation Study in Carcinogenic Risk Assessment Ittrich, Carina (Germany); Kopp-Schneider, Annette

Stochastic Growth with Size-Dependent Mortality Gudmundsson, Gudmundur (Iceland)

CPM-051-2 Room 11/12

Reliability II Chairperson Gupta, Ramesh (USA)

Papers

Stochastic Comparisons of Parallel Systems with Proportional Hazards Khaledi, Baha-Eldin (Islamic Republic of Iran); Kochar, Subhash

Bayesian Estimation of System Reliability with Provision for Errors Pham-Gia, Thu (Canada); Turkkan, Noyan

Simulation of (r,s) Out of (m,n): F Systems with Various Components Lifetime Distributions and Estimation of MTTF & MTBF Honari, Bahman (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Fast Reliability Prediction in Consumer Electronics Ion, Roxana Alice (Netherlands)

Some Characterization of Distributions by Functions of Failure Rate and Mean Residual Life Gupta, Ramesh (USA); Kirmani, S.N.K.A

CPM-067-1 Hall 08

Educational statistics I Chairperson Carlson, Beverley (Chile)

Papers

Intended and Attained Secondary School Statistics Syllabus and Assessment Objectives: Case Study of a Developing Country Chacko, Indira (South Africa)

Rater’s Agreement Diagnosis Comparing Item Response Theory and Generalizability Theory Blais, Jean-Guy (Canada)

Saturday, August 16, 09:00 – 11:15

82

Statistics of Impacts of the New Information Technology to Schools in Developing Nations Mua, Foghema (Cameroon); Chi, Nchia

The National Expenditure on Education Accounts of the Phlippines Virola, Romulo (Philippines)

Teaching Statistics at School: An Analysis of the Performance of Pupils Giambalvo, Ornella (Italy); Milito, Anna Maria

Statistical Education at the Higher Economic School in Russia Eliseeva, Irina (Russia)

Reforming Education in Chile: A Survey of New Teachers Carlson, Beverley (Chile)

Saturday, August 16, 09:00 - 11:15 IPM-05 Hall 07

Best papers from developing countries Organiser van Nieuwkerk, Marius

Papers

Robust Estimations for Multivariate Normal-Lognormal Distributions Toma, Aida (Romania)

Inference for Non-Ignorable Sampling Designs Burgos, Corinne Grace (Philippines)

A Multilevel Approach to Explore the Influences of Interviewers on Item Nonresponse in Complex Surveys Palipudi, Krishna Mohan. V. T. (India)

IPM-30 Hall 04/05

Measuring survey quality Organiser Lynn, Peter (United Kingdom)

Papers

Survey Quality: Concepts and Measurement Issues Lyberg, Lars (Sweden)

When ‘Truth’ is Latent: Evaluating Measurement Error with Latent Class Models Biemer, Paul (USA)

Developing Quality Indicators in Social Surveys Goodwyn, Guy (United Kingdom)

Discussants Bethlehem, Jelke (Netherlands) Lapins, Janis (Latvia)

Saturday, August 16, 09:00 – 11:15

83

IPM-42 Roof Garden

Intra-city differentials and their measurement issues Organiser Rai, Markandey (Kenya)

Papers

Sub-City Data-Led Process to Good Governance: A New Approach to Urban Management Lall, Vinay D. (India)

Socio-Economic Intra-City Differential Indicators. Their Measurement and Issues for the City of Karachi Larik, N.M (Pakistan)

Official Small Area Statistics in the United Kingdom Virdee, Jagdev Singh (United Kingdom)

Subdivisions of an Urban Region - An Observation Based on German Municipal Intra-City Statistics Neumann, Uwe (Germany)

Discussant Maier, Helmut (Germany)

IPM-45 Hall 14.02

Statistical training for consultants and collaborators Organiser Belli, Gabriella (USA)

Papers

The Use of Statistics in the Workplace: A Survey of Research Graduates in Diverse Disciplines. Harraway, John (New Zealand); Barker, Richard

Statistical Consulting: A Matter of Breaking Tradition in Applied Research Svensson, Elisabeth (Sweden)

Communication, Collaboration, and Consulting Jolliffe, Flavia (United Kingdom)

Consultancy Can Be of Service to Teaching, Research, and Extension Activities Cordani, Lisbeth (Brazil)

Discussant Ware, Herbert (USA)

CPM-004-3 Room 13/14

Statistical inference (estimation and tests) III Chairperson de Silva, Basil (Australia)

Papers

Some Statistical Tests of Random Numbers on Covariance Matrix Shinnohara, Takashi (Japan); Sugiyama, Takakazu

An Information Inequality for the Bayes Risk Koike, Ken-ichi (Japan)

Empirical Bayes Estimation with Kernel Density Estimators Mohammadzadeh, Mohsen (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Saturday, August 16, 09:00 – 11:15

84

Manifolds of Weighted Lognormal and Inverse Gaussian Distributions and Related Estimation Problems Ratnaparkhi, Makarand (USA)

Nonlinear Relationship in Binary Regression Oral, Evrim (Turkey)

Two-Stage Estimation of Negative Binomial Mean de Silva, Basil (Australia); Mukhopadhyay, Nitis

CPM-015-3 Room 19

Time series III Chairperson Sibbertsen, Philipp (Germany)

Papers

Forecasting Classical Business Cycle Turning Points at the Ends of Series Using Markov Switching Models Thomson, Peter (New Zealand); Buckle, Robert

Mixture Autoregression with Heavy-Tailed Conditional Distribution Kam, Po Ling (Hong Kong SAR, China); Chan, Wai Sum; Wong, Albert C.S.

Exact Local Whittle Estimation of the Fractional Integration Parameter in Time Series Models Boraine, Hermi (South Africa); Van Staden, Paul

Recent Advances in Forecasting Premature Voluntary Release (PVR) from the United Kingdom Armed Forces Moore, Paul (United Kingdom)

Univariate and Bivariate Pareto Minification Processes Thermadom, Alice Thomas (India); Jose, K.K.

Long Memory and Structural Breaks in Exchange Rates Sibbertsen, Philipp (Germany); Copeland, Laurence

CPM-019-1 Room 17/18

Regression theory I Chairperson Lee, Alan (New Zealand)

Papers

Some New Results About Large Sampling Theory of Perameter Estimate of Regression Model Mingzhong, Jin (People's Republic of China); Jin, Nana; Jin, Liangqiong

Exploring Non-Linear Structure with Non-Parametric Regression Sakamoto, Wataru (Japan)

Regression Analysis - The Parametric Robust Way Tsou, Tsung-Shan (Taiwan, China)

Consistency for the Least Squares Estimator in Nonlinear Regression Model Hu, Shuhe (People's Republic of China)

Development of Information Technology and Post-Materialistic Values Matsutani, Mitsuru (Japan)

Saturday, August 16, 09:00 – 11:15

85

Empirical Bayes Regression Lee, Alan (New Zealand)

CPM-040-1 Room 15/16

Statistics in medicine Chairperson Gigli, Anna (Italy)

Papers

Modeling Spatial Variation in Disease Risk: A Multivariate Geostatistical Approach Minozzo, Marco (Italy)

Within- and Between-Clusters Analysis of Binary Sample Survey Data Eslava, Guillermina (Mexico)

Changing Trends on Lung Cancer: An Overview of the European Countries Over the Last Thirty Years Francisci, Silvia (Italy); De Angelis, Roberta

Physical Growth of Height of Iranian Children Hasani, Hosein (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Breast Cancer Recurrence Khoshbin, Ehteram (Islamic Republic of Iran); Davies, Richard

Average Attributable Fractions in Multiexposed Patients Eide, Geir Egil (Norway); Heuch, Ivar

Statistical Method for the Estimation of Childhood Cancer Prevalence in the United States Gigli, Anna (Italy); Mariotto, Angela; Simonetti, Arianna; Tavilla, Andrea; Capocaccia, Riccardo

CPM-058-3 Hall 08

Official statistics III Chairperson Schweinert, Stefan (Germany)

Papers

Statistical Literacy in South Africa: ICOTS6 and Beyond Galpin, Jacky (South Africa); Lehohla, Pali

Short-Term Forecasting for Social Insurance Costs at the Swedish National Social Insurance Board: An Overview Karlberg, Forough (Sweden)

Reorganizing and Restructuring Official Statistics: Case of Serbia and Montenegro Nedeljkovic, Ranko (Serbia and Montenegro)

The Joint Population Census of Mercosur Countries Plus Bolivia and Chile: An Effort for Comparability. Bercovich, Alicia (Brazil)

Some New Questions on Statistical Application Based on Information Technology Li, Jun (People's Republic of China); Zhang, Zhaoping

Saturday, August 16, 09:00 – 11:15

86

Eco-Efficiencies in South Korea and Germany - Results of Environmental-Economic Accountings Schweinert, Stefan (Germany); Schoer, Karl; Choi, Jung Su

CPM-067-2 Hall 10

Educational statistics II Chairperson Pereira-Mendoza, Lionel (Singapore)

Papers

Data from Official Statistics in an ´Education Quality Portal´ Tønder, Johan-Kristian (Norway)

Statistical Reasoning and Its Relationship to Attitudes Towards Statistics and Achievement Tempelaar, Dirk (Netherlands)

Development of the Subject Economic Statistics at Ukrainian Universities Motoryn, Ruslan (Ukraine); Motoryna, Tatiana

Head for Figures and Mathematical Comprehension Duller, Christine (Austria)

Effect of Grade Cohorts on Test Linking Functions Lin, Miao-Hsiang (Taiwan, China); Holland, Paul W.

Computerized Adaptive Testing Using the Nearest-Neighbours Criterion Cheng, Philip E. (Taiwan, China); Liou, Michelle

What Do the Papers Say to Educators and Researchers? Pereira-Mendoza, Lionel (Singapore)

CPM-091-3 Room 11/12

Trade in services - a challenge for statisticians III (Methodological and analytical aspects of trade in services) Chairperson Steger, Almut (Germany)

Papers

Trade in Services- A Challenge for Statisticians Atingi-Ego, Michael (Uganda)

Costa Rica: Enhancements on the Services and the Current Transfer's Data for the Balance of Payments Calvo, William (Costa Rica)

Italian Business Travellers Abroad: A Multidimensional Perspective Ortolani, Giovanni Giuseppe (Italy); Alivernini, Andrea

Travel in Balance of Payments Statistics Gruic, Branimir (Croatia)

Saturday, August 16, 09:00 – 11:15

87

CPM-097-1 Hall 09

Financial statistics I Chairperson Fischer, Matthias (Germany)

Papers

An Empirical Study on GARCH Filters by BDS Test: The Case on Chinese Stock Markets Chu, Kuok Kun (Macao SAR, China)

Statistical Aspects of Modelling Credit Default Risk Müller, Marlene (Germany)

Tailoring Copula-Based Multivariate Generalized Hyperbolic Secant Distributions to Financial Return Data: An Empirical Investigation Fischer, Matthias (Germany)

Stock Exchange Ratio and Stock Holding Proportion in the Enterprise Merging Zhang, Qingdong (People's Republic of China); Zhong, Ziliang

The Application of GINI Type Coefficient to Measure Distribution of Official Development Assistance (ODA) Among LDC. AID Recipients Afshari, Zahra (Islamic Republic of Iran); Sheibani, Ebrahim

Saturday, August 16, 09:00 – 13:30

88

Saturday, August 16, 09:00 - 13:30 IPM-04 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Statistics - German Politics - Emigration Organiser Schappacher, Norbert (Germany)

Papers

E.J. Gumbel and Extreme-Value Statistics Hertz, Sebastien (France)

H.O. Hartley (1912 - 1980): From Germany to England and the USA David, Herbert A. (USA)

Richard von Mises Siegmund-Schultze, Reinhard (Norway)

Felix Bernstein Schappacher, Norbert (Germany)

Abraham Wald Schneeweiss, Hans (Germany) Round Table Discussion Stigler, Stephen (USA)

IPM-86 Hall 06

Meeting changing policy in the Asian Region - NSO perspectives Organiser Oh, Jong Nam (Republic of Korea)

Papers

Population Ageing in Korea: Trends, Issues and Policies Kim, Doo-Sub (Republic of Korea)

New Directions in Development of Government Statistical Services in Japan Obayashi, Senichi (Japan)

Meeting Demands for Micro-Level Poverty Statistics in the Philippines Virola, Romulo (Philippines)

Measuring Poverty in the Philippines: A Search for Alternative Methodologies? Ericta, Carmelita (Philippines)

Poverty Analysis in Thailand: Data Producer Perspectives Boonperm, Jirawan (Thailand)

Discussants Liminonda, Bhassorn Reyes, Celia (Philippines)

Saturday, August 16, 11:15 – 13:30

89

Saturday, August 16, 11:15 - 13:30 IPM-14 Hall 04/05

Inference under shape restrictions Organiser Duembgen, Lutz (Switzerland)

Papers

Taut Strings and Modality Kovac, Arne (Germany)

Testing for Monotonicity: A Review Gijbels, Irene (Belgium)

Nonparametric Estimation Under Shape Constraints: Montone, Convex, and Beyond Wellner, Jon A. (USA); Balabdaoui, Fadoua

Discussants Munk, Axel (Germany) Hall, Peter (Australia)

IPM-58 Hall 14.02

The experience of women statisticians in professional life Organiser Carlson, Beverley (Chile)

Papers

The Role of IASE Women in Developing Statistics Education Batanero, Carmen (Spain); Ottaviani, Maria Gabriella

Creative Education: A Way of Life! Habibullah, Saleha Naghmi (Pakistan)

Status of Women Statisticians in the Drug Industry Talwalker, Sheela (USA); Sikchi, Sonali T.

The Experience of Women Statisticians in Professional Life Surbakti, Soedarti (Indonesia)

Discussant Clark, Cynthia (USA)

IPM-67 Hall 07

Use of administrative data for business statistics Organiser Lee, Geoffrey F. (Australia)

Papers

Use of Tax Records to Construct and Maintain a Sampling Frame for Business Surveys at Statistics South Africa Arrow, Jairo (South Africa); Cronje, Marius; Nilson, Gosta

Integration of External Data from Tax and Public Accounts in the Central Business Register Saralegui, Jorge (Spain)

Integrating Business Statistics in the Netherlands Willenborg, Leon (Netherlands); Heerschap, Nico

Discussants Hidiroglou, Mike (Canada) Yu, Frank

Saturday, August 16, 11:15 – 13:30

90

IPM-77 Roof Garden

Recent statistical advances in geological and environmental applications Organiser Agterberg, Frederik (Canada)

Papers

Hidden Markov Models for Stratigraphic Sequences with Application to Well-Log Data Switzer, Paul (USA); Eidsvik, Jo; Mukerji, Tapan

Quantitative Methods for Geological Time Scale 2004 Gradstein, Felix (Norway)

New Lithostratigraphic Applications of the CORRELATOR System Olea, Ricardo A. (USA)

Discussants Fischer, Nicholas Schwarzacher, Walther (United Kingdom)

CPM-005-3 Room 11/12

Multivariate methods III Chairperson Stanghellini, Elena (Italy)

Papers

Development of Variable Selection Tools in Multivariate Methods -VASMM- Iizuka, Masaya (Japan); Mori, Yuichi; Tarumi, Tomoyuki; Tanaka, Yutaka

Influence Function for Generalized Radius Process Garcia-Escudero, Luis Angel (Spain); Gordaliza, Alfonso

Diagnostics for Quadratic Discriminant Analysis Joossens, Kristel (Belgium); Croux, Christophe

Conflicting Tests in the Formation of the Shrinkage Preliminary Test Estimators Hoque, Zahirul (Australia); Khan, Shahjahan; Billah, Baki

Linear and Non-Linear Principal Component Analysis Using Neural Networks Fallah, Nader (Islamic Republic of Iran)

On Identification of Directed Acyclic Graph Models with Hidden Variables Stanghellini, Elena (Italy)

CPM-050-1 Room 13/14

Experimental design Chairperson Kim, Youngil (Republic of Korea)

Papers

Knut Vik Designs Afsarinejad, Kasra (Sweden)

Orthogonal Blocking of Augmented Pairs Designs Dey, Aloke (India)

Saturday, August 16, 11:15 – 13:30

91

Bayesian Approaches to Model Robust Designs Agboto, Kokouvi (USA); Agboto, Kokouvi

The Application of Decision on Beliefs in Response Surface Methodology Eshragh Jahromi, Ali (Islamic Republic of Iran); Akhavan Niaki, Seyyed-Taghi

Balanced Arrays and Factorial Experiments Chopra, Dharam (USA)

Designs for Control-Test Diallel Cross Experiments Das, Ashish (India); Gupta, Sudhir; Kageyama, Sanpei

Multiple Constrained Optimal Experimental Design Kim, Youngil (Republic of Korea)

CPM-056-2 Hall 09

Population statistics II Chairperson Sommer, Bettina (Germany)

Papers

A Simple Way to Improve Maternal Mortality Statistics Aguirre, Alejandro (Mexico)

The Analysis of Demographic Changes in Croatia During the Past Fifty Years Rozga, Ante (Croatia)

Requirements for Demographic Harmonization in the Countries of the South-Caucasian Region Badurashvili, Irina (Georgian)

The Trend of Ageing in Korea Kim, Gyungtae (Republic of Korea)

Practical Study on Work of Gross-Roots Census Gao, Lihao (People's Republic of China)

Germany´s Population in the Next Decades - Assumptions of the 2003 Population Projection of the Federal Statistical Office Sommer, Bettina (Germany)

CPM-077-1 Room 17/18

Innovative tools and methods for statistical confidentiality I Chairperson Hundepool, Anco (Netherlands)

Papers

The ARGUS Software and the CASC Project Hundepool, Anco (Netherlands)

Statistical Disclosure Control for Microdata versus Artificial Intelligence Domingo-Ferrer, Josep (Spain); Domingo-Ferrer, Josep; Torra, Vicenç

Some Model Based Approaches to Statistical Disclosure Limitation Stander, Julian (United Kingdom); Franconi, Luisa; Burridge, Jim

Saturday, August 16, 11:15 – 13:30

92

Modelling the Re-Identification Risk per Record in Microdata Elamir, Elsayed (United Kingdom); Skinner, Chris

Methods for Tabular Data Protection in tau-ARGUS Giessing, Sarah (Germany)

Statistical Limitation Methodologies which Inherently Guarantee Protection: Disclosure Auding Phase is Unnecessary Salazar-Gonzalez, Juan-Jose (Spain)

CPM-083-2 Hall 10

Small area statistical methods II Chairperson Sarioglo, Volodymyr (Ukraine)

Papers

Study of Small Area Estimation for Unemployment Statistics in Korea Kim, Kyu-Yeung (Republic of Korea); Lee, Kay-O

Model Assisted Small Area Estimators in a Municipal Labour Force Survey Rocco, Emilia (Italy); Giommi, Andrea

Implementing Small Area Estimation Methods in the UK Haworth, Marta (United Kingdom); Cruddas, Marie

Small Area Estimation Assisted by Spatial Models Petrucci, Alessandra (Italy); Salvati, Nicola (Italy); Pratesi, Monica (Italy) Small Area Poverty Estimation in Ukraine Sarioglo, Volodymyr (Ukraine)

CPM-097-2 Hall 08

Financial statistics II Chairperson Kestel, Ayse Sevtap (Germany)

Papers

Balance of Payment Accounts in Brazil: A Flow-of-Funds Approach Silva-de-Araujo, Marcio (Switzerland)

The Flow of Funds in East Asia Zhang, Nan (Japan)

Real Estate Valuation: An Empirical Analysis for German Data Schulz, Rainer (Germany); Härdle, Wolfgang

A Study on Korean Stock Market Data Kim, Sahm (Republic of Korea)

CPM-100-1 Room 19

Other topics Chairperson You, Heping (People's Republic of China)

Papers

Review on the Independent Director System in China Su, Jindong (People's Republic of China); Zhong, Ziliang

Saturday, August 16, 11:15 – 13:30

93

The Strategic Consideration to Accelerate the Development of the Yellow River Delta Xu, Xiangdong (People's Republic of China); Tian, Maohua

Farmer Issue - Focus of China Building a Well-off Society in All-Around Way Liu, Ziyu (People's Republic of China)

Implementation of the New EU Waste Statistics Regulation (WSR) in Germany Nasse, Sarah (Germany)

The Relationship between Images of Aged Society and Newspapers Iwabuchi, Akiko (Japan)

On Theil's Errors Sinha, Ashoke Kumar (Netherlands); Magnus, Jan R. (Netherlands)

To Narrow Regional Disparity and Secure Co-prosperity Shi, Gengxin (People's Republic of China); Ji, Jiasu

The Sequencing Judgment Matrix in AHP and Their Applications You, Heping (People's Republic of China); Li, Ji-qian On Saturday 16th August and on Sunday 17th August, 2003, an extensive Social Programme will be offered. See p. 138 Official and Social Programme: Mid Session Tours

Monday, August 18, 09:00 – 11:15

94

Monday, August 18, 09:00 - 11:15 IPM-33 Hall 04/05

Small area design and estimation Organiser Kordos, Jan (Poland)

Papers

Developments in Small Area Estimation and Designs: An Appraisal Rao, J. N. K. (Canada)

Production of Statistics for Domains and Small Areas by Using Micro-Merged Data from Registers and Sample Surveys: Benefits and Challenges Lehtonen, Risto (Finland); Djerf, Kari; Tammilehto-Luode, Marja

Early Results from the EURAREA Project Heady, Patrick (United Kingdom)

Attempts to Estimate Unemployment for Small Domains in Poland Golata, Elzbieta (Poland)

Discussants Ghosh, Malay Chambers, Ray (United Kingdom)

IPM-36 Hall 06

IAOS forum: knowledge and competence management in national statistical offices Organiser Jeskanen-Sundström, Heli (Finland)

Papers

How to Recruit Skilled and Qualified Workforces to Statistical Offices? Bohata, Marie (Czech Republic)

Knowledge Management Tools and Practices at the ABS Palmer, Jonathan (Australia)

Innovative Approach to Competence Management - Qualification Scheme for Statistical Advisers Saeboe, Hans Viggo (Norway)

Enchanching Statistical Knowledge and Competence Kovacs, Karoly (USA)

IPM-49 Hall 07

Teaching and learning approaches aimed at developing statistical reasoning, thinking or literacy Organiser Garfield, Joan (USA) Organiser Ben-Zvi, Dani Chairperson Starkings, Susan (United Kingdom)

Papers

Asymmetric Fairness and Unfairness: Reinventing Distribution with a Computer Game Paparistodemou, Efi (Cyprus); Paparistodemou, Efi; Noss, Richard

Monday, August 18, 09:00 – 11:15

95

Statistical Thinking: How Can We Develop It? Pfannkuch, Maxine (New Zealand); Wild, Chris

Statistical Literacy at the School Level: What Should Students Know and Do? Watson, Jane (Australia)

Discussants Gal, Iddo Thompson, Pat

IPM-53 Hall 14.02

Design and analysis of infectious disease studies Organiser Dietz, Klaus (Germany)

Papers

The Design and Analysis of Studies an Density-Dependent Mechanisms in Infection Dynamics Nagelkerke, Nico (Netherlands); Basanez, Maria-Gloria; Borsboom, Gerard

Pattern and Process in the Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Childhood Infections Grenfell, Bryan (United Kingdom)

Estimating Vaccine Efficacy from Secondary Attack Rates Halloran, M Elizabeth (USA); Preziosi, Marie-Pierre; Chu, Haitao

Discussant Becker, Niels (Australia)

IPM-74 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Statistics and human rights: measuring and monitoring progress Organiser Orkin, F.M. (South Africa)

Papers

The Role of Statistics in Situations of Conflict and Post-Conflict Abu-Libdeh, Hasan (Palestinian Territories)

Le mesure de la gouvernance et de la démocratie à travers l´enquête 1-2-3: enseignements des expériences africaine et latino-américaine Roubaud, François (France); Razafindrakoto, Mireille

Surveying Sensitive Rights Violations: Insights from México Rubalcava, Rosa-Maria (Mexico)

Using Multiple System Estimation to Assess Mass Human Rights Violations: The Cases of Political Killings in Guatemala and Kosovo Ball, Patrick (USA)

Discussants Mottet, Carol (Switzerland) Byk, Daniel

Monday, August 18, 09:00 – 11:15

96

IPM-84 Roof Garden

Evaluating tourism satellite accounts Organiser Smith, Stephen (Canada)

Papers

The Tourism Satellite Account in the European Union Member States - A Process Under Way Schmidt, Hans-Werner (Luxembourg)

Transport Satellite Accounts: The Italian Expereince Putignano, Carlo (Italy); Montella, Monica

Issues and Methods in Constructing Tourism Satellite Accounts as a Time Series: Observations in the Australian Context Lee, Geoffrey F. (Australia)

Provincial Tourism Satellites as an Extension of the Canadian Tourism Satellite Account Barber-Dueck, Conrad (Canada)

Towards a Regional Satellite Account for Sochi, Russia: Approach, Results and Challenges Tatarinov, Andrei A. (Russia); Smith, Stephen

Discussant Smith, Stephen (Canada)

CPM-004-4 Room 15/16

Statistical inference (estimation and tests) IV Chairperson Chattopadhyay, Saibal (India)

Papers

On the Pitman Estimator for a Family of Non-Regual Distributions Ohyauchi, Nao (Japan); Akahira, Masafumi

Exponential Bounds for the Probability of Wrong Determination of the Order of a Markov Chain by Using the EDC Criterion Dorea, Chang C.Y. (Brazil)

Some Measures of Support for Statistical Hypotheses Emadi, Mahdi (Islamic Republic of Iran); Arghami, Naser Reza

Comparison of Estimates on Covariance Matrix Chen, Maoxue (People's Republic of China)

The Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for Consistency of LS in Linear Models Rao, Yaoxian (People's Republic of China); Yang, Fuxing

Sequential Estimation under LINEX Loss in Regression Model Chattopadhyay, Saibal (India)

Monday, August 18, 09:00 – 11:15

97

CPM-005-4 Room 13/14

Multivariate methods IV Chairperson Klar, Bernhard (Germany)

Papers

An Asymptotic Nonnull Distribution of Hotelling´s T-Square-Statistic under Elliptical Distributions Inoue, Tatsuki (Japan); Inoue, Tatsuki; Iwashita, Toshiya

Asymptotic Theory for Permutation Tests in Distance Based Discriminant Analysis Robinson, John (Australia); Anderson, Marti

The Leontief Inverse of a Beta Distributed Input Matrix Kogelschatz, Hartmut (Germany)

Meteorological Indexes Based on Quantitative Forecasters Casanova del Angel, Francisco (Mexico)

Multinomial Response Models, for Modeling and Determining Important Factores in Choice Contraceptive Methodes in Women Khalkhali, Hamid Reza (Islamic Republic of Iran); Hazijadeh, Ebrahim; Mohammad, Kazem

Testing for Affine Equivalence of Elliptically Symmetric Distributions Klar, Bernhard (Germany); Henze, Norbert; Gupta, Arjun K.

CPM-019-2 Room 19

Regression theory II Chairperson Schneeweiss, Hans (Germany)

Papers

Regression Analysis of Data with Observation Limit Baba, Yasumasa (Japan)

Two-Phase Multiple Regression Model with Some Order Autoregressive Process Mino, Tairai (Japan)

A Concept of the Fuzzy Linear Regression Nasrabadi, Mohammad Mehdi (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Sensitivity Analysis in Functional Regression Analysis Harasawa, Norihiro (Japan); Tanaka, Yutaka

Partial Quantile Regression Dodge, Yadolah (Switzerland)

Bias of the Quasi Score Estimator of a Measurement Error Model under Misspecification of the Latent Distribution Schneeweiss, Hans (Germany); Cheng, Chi-Lun

Monday, August 18, 09:00 – 11:15

98

CPM-052-2 Room 17/18

Statistical quality control II Chairperson Bourke, Patrick D. (Ireland)

Papers

Selective Editing to Improve the Quality of Banking Statistics Bruno, Giuseppe (Italy)

Monitoring Multivariate Process Variability for Individual Observations Huwang, Longcheen (Taiwan, China); Yeh, Arthur B.

Establishment Population Database (EPDB) in Korea Jeong, Dong-Wook (Republic of Korea)

Quasi-Robust Control Charts for Non-Normal Data Figueiredo, Fernanda Otília (Portugal); Gomes, Maria Ivette

Continuous Sampling Plans with Improved Switching Performance Bourke, Patrick D. (Ireland)

CPM-081-1 Hall 09

New economy Chairperson Manninen, Asta (Finland)

Papers

German Survey on Use of Information Technology in Enterprises- Problems Perpesenting Grouped Data Scaled in Percentages Kaumanns, Sven (Germany)

JIS:2001: The Japan Survey on Information Society 2001 Naoi, Atsushi (Japan); Sugano, Tsuyoshi

Measuring the Effect of IT Investment in Japan Wada, Kazumi (Japan); Kadono, Yasuo; Tsubaki, Hiroe

New Economy and Urban Regions Manninen, Asta (Finland); Lankinen, Leila

CPM-088-1 Room 11/12

Econometrics I Chairperson Frohn, Joachim (Germany)

Papers

On Finite Sample Distributions of the Empirical Likelihood Estimator and the GMM Estimator Kunitomo, Naoto (Japan)

Approximating the Probability Distribution of Functions of Random Variables: A New Approach Eriksson, Anders (Sweden); Forsberg, Lars; Ghysels, Eric

Impact of the Density Support on the Matching Bias Donze, Laurent (Switzerland)

Parametric Approximations of Nonparametric Frontier Models Simar, Leopold (Belgium)

Monday, August 18, 09:00 – 11:15

99

Optimal Statistical Decisions About Some Alternative Financial Models Stummer, Wolfgang (Germany)

A Continuous Time GARCH(1,1) Model Lindner, Alexander (Germany); Klueppelberg, Claudia; Maller, Ross

CPM-089-2 Hall 08

The Internet and statistics II Chairperson Neutze, Michael (Germany)

Papers

Online Forecasting of House Prices Sofyan, Hizir (Germany); Witzel, Rodrigo; Werwatz, Axel; Härdle, Wolfgang; Schulz, Rainer

The Internet and Statistics: The Experience of the Bank of Jamaica Brown, Louise (Jamaica); Halsall, Myrtle

Electronic Access to Literature in Theory and Practice of Statistics Education König, Gerhard (Germany)

What and How Japanese People Think about the Internet: Analyzing Open-Ended Questions Higuchi, Koichi (Japan)

Web Mining for Business Intelligence Statistics Fyhrlund, Alf (Sweden)

´Intelligent Graphics´ - SVG for Website Data Visualisation Neutze, Michael (Germany); Smith, Alan

CPM-092-1 Hall 10

Agricultural censuses Chairperson Becker, Bernd (Germany)

Papers

Quality and Cost Issues in Agricultural Censuses in Africa Keita, Naman (Italy)

Towards the Programme for the World Census of Agriculture 2010 Som, Hiek (Italy)

Green Input-Output Accounting for Natural Resource-Energy-Economy-Environment Lei, Ming (People's Republic of China)

What is the Money Equivalent in the Nature? Results of a Hedonic Approach Maier, Helmut (Germany)

Using Registers for Environmental Statistics: German Experiences Becker, Bernd (Germany); Grundmann, Thomas

Monday, August 18, 13:00 – 15:15

100

Monday, August 18, 13:00 - 15:15 IPM-01 (Interpretation) Hall 03

President's invited paper meeting Organiser Trewin, Dennis J. (Australia)

Papers

Official Statistics - Pressures and Challenges Fellegi, Ivan P. (Canada)

Environmental Statistics–A Personal View Guttorp, Peter (USA)

On the Interplay of Distributions, Graphs and Matrices to Improve Interpretations Wermuth, Nanny (Germany)

Monday, August 18, 17:30 - 19:30 Tutorial-01 Hall 06

Tutorial on Statistical Analysis from complex survey data with applications to social, biological and health sciences

Tutorial-02 Hall 07

Tutorial on Bioinformatics

Tuesday, August 19, 09:00 – 11:15

101

Tuesday, August 19, 09:00 - 11:15 IPM-21 Hall 07

Multivariate graphics and visualisation Organiser Groenen, Patrick J.F. (Netherlands)

Papers

Statistical Modelling Using Euclidean Distances De Rooij, Mark (Netherlands)

Visualisation in Multivariate and Multidimensional Data Analysis Gower, John (United Kingdom)

Graphics and Visualisation in Practice: Biplots for Exploring Multidimensional Reality Gardner, Sugnet (South Africa); le Roux, Niel J

Discussant Vichi, Maurizio (Italy)

IPM-46 Hall 06

International co-operation in research on statistics education Organiser Cordani, Lisbeth (Brazil)

Papers

Juarez Lincoln Marti Project: An Example of International Co-operation in Statistics Education and Research Romeu, Jorge (USA)

International Co-operation in Research: An Opportunity to Educate Collaborators Bangdiwala, Shrikant (USA)

International Co-operation: A Brazilian Example of Academic Exchange Demetrio, Clarice (Brazil)

Discussant Batanero, Carmen (Spain)

IPM-66 (Interpretation) Hall 03

New approaches to population censuses (a special memorial to Leslie Kish) Organiser Smith, Fred (United Kingdom)

Papers

A Tribute to Leslie Kish Fellegi, Ivan P. (Canada)

La rénovation du recensement français : principes et méthodes Durr, Jean-Michel (France); Grosbras, Jean-Marie

Combining Years of Data from a Rolling Sample Survey Tupek, Alan (USA); Alexander, Charles

Tuesday, August 19, 09:00 – 11:15

102

Under-Enumeration in the 2001 Census of England and Wales: An Assessment of the 'One Number Census' Process Diamond, Ian (United Kingdom)

Discussants Cheung, Paul (Singapore) Harala, Riitta

IPM-76 Hall 04/05

Gene expression data Organiser West, Mike (USA) Chairperson Mansmann, Ulrich (Germany)

Papers

Gene Expression Based Tumor Classification Using Biologically Informed Models Spang, Rainer (Germany); Lottaz, Claudio

Unified Cross-Validation Methodology for Estimator Selection and Applications to Genomics Dudoit, Sandrine (USA); van der Laan, Paul

Prediction Tree Models in Clinico-Genomics West, Mike (USA); Pittman, Jennifer; Huang, Erich; Nevins, Joseph

IPM-79 Hall 14.02

Adaptive designs in clinical trials Organiser Flournoy, Nancy (USA) Chairperson Coad, Steve (United Kingdom)

Papers

Adaptive Designs for Acute Animal Toxicity Studies Stallard, Nigel (United Kingdom)

A Hybrid Frequentist-Bayesian Approach to Design of Early Trials with Application to Peripheral Blood Stem Cell Transplantation Geller, Nancy (USA)

Adaptive Designs in Early Phase Clinical Trials Dragalin, Vladimir (USA)

IPM-80 Roof Garden

Use of statistics in the financial markets Organiser Mittnik, Stefan (Germany) Chairperson Herwartz, Helmut (Germany)

Papers

Stochastic Conditional Intensity Processes Bauwens, Luc (Belgium)

Modelling Liquidity Dynamics Grammig, Joachim (Switzerland)

Methods for Predicting Financial Risk: An Empirical Approach Mittnik, Stefan (Germany)

Tuesday, August 19, 09:00 – 11:15

103

CPM-011-1 Room 13/14

Wavelets, Gibbs sampler and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods Chairperson Jaenicke, Johannes (Germany)

Papers

An Application of Wavelet for Series of Images Nittono, Ken (Japan)

Wavelet Solution For Integro-Differential Equation Shahrezaee, Mohsen (Islamic Republic of Iran); Mesgarani, Hamid

Bayesian Analysis of Cointegration and Exchange Rate Regression Using MCMC Wago, Hajime (Japan)

Bayesian Latent Class Models with Application to Credit-Scoring and Capture-Recapture Data Scaccia, Luisa (Italy); Mira, Antonietta; Bartolucci, Francesco

Stochastic Volatility Models for Ordinal Valued Time Series Müller, Gernot (Germany); Czado, Claudia

Transdimentional Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods for Model Selection in the Study of Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) Models Amiri, Esmail (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Bivariate Probit Models of Social Interactions: Some Monte Carlo Results Jaenicke, Johannes (Germany)

CPM-015-4 Room 15/16

Time series IV Chairperson Wong, Chun Shan (Hong Kong SAR, China)

Papers

Asymptotics for Detecting Local Drifts in Stationary Processes and Random Walks Steland, Ansgar (Germany)

Forcasting Evaluation Based on Information Measures Lopez, Ana Jesus (Spain); Moreno, Blanca; Pérez, Rigoberto

Variance Stabilizing Transformation for Time Series Guerrero, Victor (Mexico); Perera, Rafael

Initialisation of Particle Filters for State Space Time Series Models Koopman, Siem Jan (Netherlands)

Mixture Time Series Models Wong, Chun Shan (Hong Kong SAR, China); Li, Wai Keung

Tuesday, August 19, 09:00 – 11:15

104

CPM-029-1 Room 11/12

Multiple comparisons, ranking, selection and related topics Chairperson Läuter, Jürgen (Germany)

Papers

Nonparametric Approaches in Multiple Comparisons Tests Parys, Dariusz (Poland)

Comparing Selection Procedures for Selecting the Normal Population with the Largest Mean Bose, Mausumi (India)

A Class of Selection Procedures for Selecting Least Dispersive Distribution Kumar, Narinder (India)

On Estimating the Truncation Parameter of the Selected Population for General Left or Right Truncation Parameter Families van der Meulen, Edward (Belgium); Misra, Neeraj

The Application of Method of Comprehensive Evaluation in China Wen, Jianwu (People's Republic of China); Yipin, Xu

How Difficulties, Didactic Supports and Teaching Quality in Disciplines Can Be Perceived Through the Structural Approach Civardi, Marisa (Italy); Zavarrone, Emma

Multiple Procedures of Multivariate Model Selection Läuter, Jürgen (Germany); Kropf, Siegfried

CPM-036-1 Room 17/18

Statistics in agriculture Chairperson Lophaven, Søren (Denmark)

Papers

Models of Natural Cubic Splines in Environmental Epidemiology Kregzdyte, Rima (Lithuania)

The Estimation of the Agricultural Sector in Latvian Economics Arhipova, Irina (Latvia)

Spatial Analyses to Enhance Precision and Efficiency of Selection in Plant Breeding Field Trials Singh, Murari (Syrian); Malhotra, R.S.; Ceccarelli, S.; Sarker, A.; Grando, S.; Erskine, W.

Experimentation with Crop Production and Yield Estimation in Uganda Muwanga-Zake, Esk (Uganda); Magezi-Apuuli, John Baptist; Schoning, Per; Nabasirye, Margaret

Modeling Population Growth in Random Environments: Ito or Stratonovich Calculus? Braumann, Carlos A. (Portugal)

Space-Time Modeling of Dissolved Inorganic Nitrogen Lophaven, Søren (Denmark); Carstensen, Jacob; Rootzen, Helle

Tuesday, August 19, 09:00 – 11:15

105

CPM-058-4 Hall 08

Official statistics IV Chairperson De Ree, Jos (Netherlands)

Papers

Are Censuses Becoming Statistical Operations?: Some Reflections about New Censuses Isnard, Michel (France)

False Captures in Capture- Recapture Experiments with Application to Census Adjustment Glickman, Hagit (Israel); Nirel, Ronit; Ben-Hur, Dan

Statistical Human Resource Development Program for the Regions: The Philippine Experience Guatlo, Chona (Philippines)

Choices in Matching Medical and Population Registrations De Ree, Jos (Netherlands); Kardaun, Jan

CPM-065-1 Hall 09

Health and social statistics Chairperson Schelhase, Torsten (Germany)

Papers

Patterns and Impacts of City People´s Health Activities at Parks in Bangkok Metropolitan Area Sirirangsi, Pakavadi (Thailand)

The Study for Implementation of Integrated Vital Statistics System Park, Ki Bong (Republic of Korea)

Using Alternative Sources of Immunization Histories to Improve Estimates of Vaccination Coverage in the U.S. Khare, Meena (USA); Piccinino, Linda; Hoaglin, David; Anderson, Elizabeth

Some Results of Hardships Facing Young People in Veneto: The HBSC OMS Europe 2000 Bolzan, Mario (Italy)

Health Monitoring of the Federation Taubmann, Doreen (Germany)

German Health Expenditure Accounts Zifonun, Natalie (Germany)

Achieving a Better Comparability of Internataional Death Statistics by the Invention of an Atomated Coding System for Causes of Death Schelhase, Torsten (Germany)

Tuesday, August 19, 09:00 – 11:15

106

CPM-073-2 Hall 10

Sampling II Chairperson Gabler, Siegfried (Germany)

Papers

Optimum Stratification on Exponential Study Variable Khan, M.G.M. (Fiji); Ahsan, M.J.

Complex Sampling Design Using Design Effect Kim, Kyuseong (Republic of Korea); Kim, Young-Won; Kim, Soo-Taek; Jeon, Jong-Woo

On the Equivalence of Two Algorithms for Sample Co-ordination Salamin, Paul-André (Switzerland)

Estimating the Number of Export Businesses Using Administrative Data Poskitt, Anna (Australia); Clark, Robert

Refining the Concept and Measurement of Desing Effects Gabler, Siegfried (Germany); Häder, Sabine; Lynn, Peter

CPM-076-1 Room 19

Data quality in complex surveys Chairperson Münnich, Ralf (Germany)

Papers

Software for Variance Estimation in Complex Surveys Ollila, Pauli (Finland)

On the Use of Register Data in Complex Surveys Knottnerus, Paul (Netherlands)

Variance Estimation for Measures of Change in Probability Sampling Berger, Yves (United Kingdom)

Variance Estimation for Ratio Raking Estimators D'Arrigo, Julia (United Kingdom); Skinner, Chris

Nonresponse and Imputation in Complex Surveys Rässler, Susanne (Germany) Resampling-Based Variance Estimation in DACSEIS Sardy, Sylvain (Switzerland), Davison, Anthony

Data Quality in Complex Surveys Münnich, Ralf (Germany)

Tuesday, August 19, 13:00 – 15:15

107

Tuesday, August 19, 13:00 - 15:15 IPM-10 Hall 04/05

Statistical models for financial data Organiser Ghysels, Eric (USA)

Papers

Stochastic Volatility Models with Transaction Time Risk Werker, Bas (Netherlands)

Change-Point in GARCH Models: Asymprtotic and Bootstrap Tests. Teyssiere, Gilles (France); Kokoszka, Piotr

Quality Control for Financial Risk Management: Monitoring Disruptions in the Distribution of Risk Exposure Andreou, Elena (Cyprus)

Discussants Drees, Holger (Germany) Grammig, Joachim (Switzerland) Andreou, Elena (Cyprus)

IPM-18 Hall 07

Bioinformatics Organiser de Turckheim, Elisabeth (France)

Papers

Alignment, Gene Finding and Generalized Pair HMM Alexandersson, Marina (USA)

Bacterial Identification Using HMM and Pyrosequency Koski, Timo (Sweden)

Sequence Alignment: Combinatorial versus Probabilistic Approaches, for a Reconciliation Cellier, Dominique (France)

Discussants von Haeseler, Arndt Nerman, Olle (Sweden)

IPM-68 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Education and assessment of literacy, numeracy and other life skills Organiser Lievesley, Denise (Canada)

Papers

Respondent Variability in Their Approach to Literacy Surveys - Some Cross National Comparisons Carey, Siobhan (United Kingdom)

Recent Assessments of Numeracy and Literacy and Their Proxies, in Latin America: Some Highlights. Froemel, Juan (Chile)

Tuesday, August 19, 13:00 – 15:15

108

Measuring Literacy in Developing Countries from an International Perspective Terryn, Benedicte (Canada)

Discussant Gordon, Nancy (USA)

IPM-72 Roof Garden

Emerging methods in longitudinal data analysis Organiser Davidian, Marie (USA)

Papers

Robust Likelihood-Based Analysis of Multivariate Data with Missing Values Little, Roderick (USA); An, Hyonggin

Generalized Functional Linear Models Stadtmueller, Ulrich (Germany); Mueller, Hans-Georg

Log-Linear Modelling for Categorical Longitudinal Survey Data with Nonresponse Binder, David (Canada); Roberts, Georgia; Lafortune, Yves

IPM-78 Hall 14.02

Statistical aspects of projecting populations Organiser Lutz, Wolfgang (Austria)

Papers

Quantifying the Uncertainty of Population Forecasts: An Overview Goldstein, Joshua R. (USA)

The Use of Probabilistic Demographic Projections for Long Run Economic Growth and Environmental Forecasts Fürnkranz-Prskawetz, Alexia (Germany)

Population and Socio-Economic Structure Simulation Using Micro Data Inagaki, Seiichi (Japan); Matsuda, Yoshiro

Discussants Long, John (USA) Ananta, Aris (Indonesia)

IPM-83 Hall 06

Statistics in music Organiser Beran, Jan (Germany) Chairperson Heiler, Mark (Germany)

Papers

EDA and Statistical Modelling in Musical Spaces Beran, Jan (Germany)

Music Plus One Raphael, Christopher (USA)

Bayesian Harmonic Hoamonic Models for Musical Pitch Analysis Godsill, Simon (United Kingdom); Davy, Manuel

Tuesday, August 19, 13:00 – 15:15

109

Automatic Transcription of Singing Performances Weihs, Claus (Germany); Ligges, Uwe

Discussant Sibbertsen, Philipp (Germany)

CPM-003-1 Room 15/16

Stochastic processes I Chairperson Renshaw, Eric (United Kingdom)

Papers

On the Covariance Functions of Perodically Correlated AR Processes Shishebor, Zohreh (Islamic Republic of Iran); Soltani, A. Reza; Nematollahi, Alireza

On Symmetric alpha_Stable Autoregressive Processes Nematollahi, Alireza (Islamic Republic of Iran); Soltani, Ahmad Reza

Ruin Theory under Levy Interest Processes Cai, Jun (Canada)

On Testing for Correlation Structure of Multivariate Time Series Yajima, Yoshihiro (Japan); Matsuda, Yasumasa

From the Malthusian Controversy to the Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) Jagers, Peter (Sweden); Klebaner, Fima

Metropolis-Hastings and the Mass Immigration/Annihilation Process Renshaw, Eric (United Kingdom)

CPM-004-5 Room 13/14

Statistical inference (estimation and tests) V Chairperson Gill, Richard (Netherlands)

Papers

Confidence Intervals Using Normalized Estimating Functions Wang, Jinfang (Japan); Taneichi, Nobuhiro

Maximum Entropy Density Reconstruction Methods Based on Integral and Fractional Moments: A Comparison Novi Inverardi, Pier Luigi (Italy); Tagliani, Aldo

Equivalence Confidence Sets Bachmaier, Martin (Germany)

The Second-Order Approximations For Some Multi-Stage Estimation Procedures Kumar, Anupam (India)

Higher Order Comparisons of Nonparametric Confidence Intervals Maesono, Yoshihiko (Japan)

Playing Games with Bell´s Theorem Gill, Richard (Netherlands)

Tuesday, August 19, 13:00 – 15:15

110

CPM-032-1 Hall 10

Computational statistics I Chairperson Erästö, Panu (Finland)

Papers

The Comparison on the Power of Square Sum of the Generalized Wilcoxon´s and Ansari´s Statistics Murakami, Hidetoshi (Japan); Sugiyama, Takakazu

Robust Image Denoising Meise, Monika (Germany)

Problems in Devloping a Helpsystem for the Statistical Programming Language XploRe Klinke, Sigbert (Germany)

Statistical Support System for Incomplete Data Fujino, Tomokazu (Japan); Tarumi, Tomoyuki

An Algorithm of Calculation Almost Free from Overflow/Underflow and Its Application to Calculation of Discrete Probability - Part II. Hirai, Yasuhisa (Japan); Nakamura, Tadashi

Bayesian SiZer - A Tool for Parametric Data Analysis of Scatter Plots Erästö, Panu (Finland); Holmström, Lasse

CPM-053-1 Room 19

Statistical process control III Chairperson Knoth, Sven (Germany)

Papers

An Enchanced Double EWMA Control Scheme Tseng, Sheng-Tsaing (Taiwan, China); Song, Wheyming

Preliminary Test Estimators for Process Capability Indices Han, Chien-Pai (USA)

Measuring Business Excellence Kanji, Gopal (United Kingdom)

Fast Initial Response Features for EWMA Control Charts Knoth, Sven (Germany)

CPM-058-5 Hall 08

Official statistics V Chairperson Stapel, Silke (Luxembourg)

Papers

An Improvement in Analytical Approach of Index Zhang, Xiaofei (People's Republic of China)

Primary Study on Competitive Capability of Oil-Field Enterprise Wang, Jianhua (People's Republic of China)

The Experience in the Elaboration of the Health Account of the Basque Country Garcia Olea, Marivi (Spain); Ugarte, Maite

Tuesday, August 19, 13:00 – 15:15

111

Real Sector Business Confidence Index of Turkey Hamsici, Türknur (Turkey); Oral, Ece; Ece, Dilard

The Household Satellite Account of Hungary Szep, Katalin (Hungary); Sik, Endre

PPP, National Accounts and the "Snapshot" Theory Stapel, Silke (Luxembourg)

CPM-069-1 Hall 09

Multimedia based statistical education Chairperson Kamps, Udo (Germany)

Papers

(e)Learning the Basics of Probability Neslehova, Johana (Germany); Cramer, Erhard

Interactive Graphics for Elementary Statistical Education Cramer, Katharina (Germany); Kamps, Udo

Teaching Stochastic Finance in a Multimedia Environment Mohn, Christian (Germany); Pfeifer, Dietmar

Features of an Internet-Based Learning Package for Advanced Statistics Genschel, Ulrike (Germany); Gather, Ursula; Paris Scholz, Sebastian

MyJavaStat: An Environment for Teaching Statistics Harner, Jim (USA); Xue, Hengyi

Statistical Teaching Based on Visual Simulations with JAVA Niwa, Tokihiko (Japan); Shirahata, Shingo

CPM-077-2 Room 17/18

Innovative tools and methods for statistical confidentiality II Chairperson Schulte Nordholt, Eric (Netherlands)

Papers

Microdata Protection via Simulation Polettini, Silvia (Italy)

Individual Risk Assessment of Social Microdata Seri, Giovanni (Italy); Franconi, Luisa; di Consiglio, Loredana

Disclosure Risk and PRAM de Wolf, Peter-Paul (Netherlands)

Generalizing Risk Measures for Tabular Data Merola, Giovanni Maria (Italy)

Tabular Protection with Cell Suppression Loeve, Anneke (Netherlands)

Disclosure Risk of Anonymized Business Microdata File - Illustrated with Empirical Key Variables Vorgrimler, Daniel (Germany); Lenz, Rainer

Applications of Statistical Disclosure Control Methods Schulte Nordholt, Eric (Netherlands)

Tuesday, August 19, 13:00 – 15:15

112

CPM-088-2 Room 11/12

Econometrics II Chairperson Frohn, Joachim (Germany)

Papers

Monetary Conditions Index for Turkey Mutluer, Defne (Turkey); Barlas, Yasemin

Finite Sample Properties of the Granger Non-Causality Test in Cointegrated VAR Systems Yamamoto, Taku (Japan)

Structural Models for Credit Migrations Chan, Ngai Hang (People's Republic of China)

A Direct Test for Cointegration in Vector Autoregressive Models Ahlgren, Niklas (Finland); Nyblom, Jukka

Linking Research to Labour Productivity: A Panel Data Analysis of European Countries Iezzi, Stefano (Italy)

Tuesday, August 19, 15:15 – 17:30

113

Tuesday, August 19, 15:15 - 17:30 IPM-08 Hall 04/05

Statistical challenges in genomics Organiser Wilson, Susan R. (Australia) Chairperson Hall, Peter (Australia)

Papers

Statistical Models for Short DNA Motifs Speed, Terry (Australia)

Probabilistic Tree Models for Oncogenesis von Heydebreck, Anja (Germany)

Linkage Detection for Complex Traits Thompson, Elizabeth (USA)

Discussants Bickeböller, Heike Zhao, Hongyu

IPM-13 Hall 07

High dimensional time series Organiser Hallin, Marc (Belgium)

Papers

Evaluating Latent and Observed Factors in Macroeconomics and Finance Ng, Serena (USA); Bai, Jushan

Static and Dynamic Methods in Factor Models with an Infinite Number of Time Series Lippi, Marco (Italy)

Discussants Gather, Ursula (Germany) Giannone, Domenico (Belgium)

IPM-23 Hall 06

Data mining: visualisation, application and statistification Organiser Wilhelm, Adalbert (Germany)

Papers

Visual Clustering of High-Dimensional Data Using Projections Wawryniuk, Markus (Germany); Hinneburg, Alexander; Keim, Daniel

Exploratory Analysis of Patient Level Databases: Building Patient Profiles for the MEPS Data Schonlau, Matthias (USA); Bigelow, James; Meili, Robin

A Day in the Life of a Data Miner Theus, Martin (Germany)

Tuesday, August 19, 15:15 – 17:30

114

IPM-31 Roof Garden

Estimation and analysis from complex surveys using auxiliary information Organiser Bethlehem, Jelke (Netherlands)

Papers

Nonparametric Estimation in Complex Surveys with Auxiliary Information Opsomer, Jean (USA); Breidt, Jay

Calage, calage generalise et hypercalage Deville, Jean-Claude (France)

Handling of Outliers with Complex Survey Data Hulliger, Beat (Switzerland); Béguin, Cédric

Discussants Binder, David (Canada) Münnich, Ralf (Germany)

IPM-38 Hall 14.02

Micro data - managing the dilemma between access, privacy and confidentiality Organiser Krizman, Irena (Slovenia)

Papers

Economic Research with Firm Data - Practices and Experiences in Finland Maliranta, Mika (Finland)

Managing Access to Linked Microdata - Balancing Benefits and Risks in New Zealand Cornish, John (New Zealand)

IPUMS-International: Integrated Census Microdata and Metadata for 40 countries from the Earliest Available (~1960) to the Present McCaa, Robert (USA), Esteve, Albert (USA)

Discussants Martin-Guzman, Pilar (Spain) Toczynski, Tadeusz (Poland)

IPM-54 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Public health in developing countries - statistical problems and studies Organiser Keogh, Erica (Zimbabwe)

Papers

Follow-Up in Longitudinal Studies in the Presence of HIV/AIDS: The Bloemfontein Vitamin A trial, A Case Study Chikobvu, Perpetual (South Africa); Joubert, G.; Steinberg, W.J.; van der Ryst, E.; Schall, R.

Bone Lead Mobilisation During Pregnancy and Lactation Tellez- Rojo, Martha Maria (Mexico)

Tuesday, August 19, 15:15 – 17:30

115

Health Information Systems in Developing Countries Krickeberg, Klaus (France)

Discussants Hutton, Jane (United Kingdom) Hanq, Phan Vu Diem

CPM-006-1 Room 15/16

The geometry of multivariate data Chairperson Mosler, Karl (Germany)

Papers

Multivariate Expectiles and Related Depths Averous, Jean (France)

Finite Sample Breakdown Definition for Convex Body Estimators Paris Scholz, Sebastian (Germany)

MVE, MCD, and MZE: The Geometry of Becker, Claudia (Germany)

Center-Outward Ranking and Multivariate Spread Liu, Regina (USA)

Classification Based on Data Depths Mosler, Karl (Germany); Hoberg, Richard

CPM-023-1 Room 11/12

Bayesian methods and decision theory Chairperson Madi, Mohamed (United Arab Emirates)

Papers

Utility as a Basis for Decision Making Bahovec, Vlasta (Croatia); Cizmesija, Mirjana

Highest Posterior Predictive Density Intervals with Approximate Frequentist Validity in a Normal Regression Model Mukerjee, Rahul (India)

Calculations of Posterior Distributions Weng, Chiu-Hsing (Taiwan, China)

A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for the Analysis of Multivariate Outcomes from Developmental Toxicity Studies. Faes, Christel (Belgium); Geys, Helena; Aerts, Marc; Molenberghs, Geert

UMP Test and Estimation of Accuracy in Hypothesis Testing with Parameter Space Restricted Wang, Hsiuying (Taiwan, China)

Multiple Regression Analysis for an Inverse Gaussian Response Variable via Empirical Bayes Approach Meshkani, M. Reza (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Bayesian Prediction of Future Records Using the Pareto Model Madi, Mohamed (United Arab Emirates); Raqab, Mohamed

Tuesday, August 19, 15:15 – 17:30

116

CPM-032-2 Hall 10

Computational statistics II Chairperson Dong, Qunming (USA)

Papers

Empirical Study of Parallel-Oriented Statistical Procedure Minami, Hiroyuki (Japan)

Costruction of BIBD by Computer Simulation Shirahata, Shingo (Japan); Niwa, Tokihiko

Improvement of Cluster Analysis by Voting Mucha, Hans-Joachim (Germany); Bartel, Hans-Georg

Fitting Parameters of an Agent Based Model of the Foreign Exchange Market Winker, Peter (Germany); Gilli, Manfred

Improving a Java-Based Statistical System Nakano, Junji (Japan); Yamamoto, Yoshikazu; Kobayashi, Ikunori; Fujiwara, Takeshi

Generating Truncated Multivariate Normal Vectors Dong, Qunming (USA); Naiman, Daniel

CPM-039-1 Room 17/18

Statistics and genetics Chairperson Vinh-Hung, Vincent (Belgium)

Papers

Estimating Mutation Rates from Paternity Data Dawid, A. Philip (United Kingdom); Vicard, Paola

Penalized Regression Modeling for Gene Expression Data Analysis Shimamura, Teppei (Japan); Minami, Hiroyuki; Komiya, Yuriko; Tada, Mitsuhiro; Moriuchi, Tetsuya

Bayesian Latent Class Modelling of Microarray Data Bhattacharjee, Madhuchhanda (Finland)

Hidden Markov Modelling of Genomic Interactions Wit, Ernst (United Kingdom)

Application of Graphical Gaussian Modeling to Gene Expression Data Horimoto, Katsuhisa (Japan)

From Data Mining to Biological Hypotheses: Modelling the Effect of Nodes and Tumour Size in Breast Cancer Vinh-Hung, Vincent (Belgium); Storme, Guy

Tuesday, August 19, 15:15 – 17:30

117

CPM-055-1 Hall 08

Measuring poverty, inequality and income distribution I Chairperson Regoli, Andrea (Italy)

Papers

Counting the Poor More Comprehensively Ward, Michael (USA)

Income or Expenditure? Which One to Choose for Characterizing Inequalities in the Living Conditions and Poverty of Households in the Context of an HBS? Eltetö, Ödön (Hungary); Havasi, Eva

Poverty Threat to Polish Households in 1996-2001 Panek, Tomasz (Poland)

Self Organizing Maps of Poverty Relations Among Regions and Provinces in the Philippines Albert, Jose Ramon (Philippines)

Methodological Issues in the Use of Energy Adequacy Ratio (Intake/Requirement) as Indicator of Household Nutritional Status Vasconcellos, Mauricio (Brazil)

Empirical Comparison of Commonly Used Deseasonalization Methods to Philippine Time Series data Suan, Eric (Philippines); Albert, Jose Ramon (Philippines)

Poverty Measurement in the Presence of Missing Income Data Regoli, Andrea (Italy); Quintano, Claudio; Castellano, Rosalia

CPM-066-1 Hall 09

Statistical problems in developing and transition countries I Chairperson Molina-Cruz, Roberto (Guatemala)

Papers

The Problematic Universal Insurance Health in Côte d'Ivoire and Challenge for Statistics Odounfa Epouse Kouadio, Alice (Ivory Coast)

Statistical Analysis of the Public Procurement Market in Poland and in the EU Starzynska, Waclawa (Poland); Starzynski, Stanislaw

Diversification of the Rural Households-Exploring Relationships of Household Types and Some Socio-Economic Factors Trenevska, Kalina (Republic of Macedonia)

Problems of Measuring Non-observed Economy in Georgia Beridze, Teimuraz (Georgia)

Surveying Employment in a Developing Country Molina-Cruz, Roberto (Guatemala)

Tuesday, August 19, 15:15 – 17:30

118

CPM-068-1 Room 13/14

Statistical teaching in the Internet age Chairperson Mittag, Hans-Joachim (Luxembourg)

Papers

Experiences with Online Examinations in an Introductory, Applied Statistics Course McKenzie, John (USA); William, Rybolt

Experiences with Internet-Based Quizzes in an Introductory Applied Statistics Course Rybolt, William (USA)

Software with Simulation for Statistical Education Yanagi, Kikuo (Japan); Tarumi, Tomoyuki; Fueda, Kaoru; Iizuka, Masaya; Fujino, Tomokazu

Teaching and Learning with the "Statistical Lab" Geukes, Albert (Germany); Grune, Christian

New Statistics: Elements for Blended Learning Razi, Negar (Germany); Hiemenz, Bea

Interactive Visualization for Statistics Education and for Official Statistics Mittag, Hans-Joachim (Luxembourg)

CPM-093-1 Room 19

Regional and urban tourism statistics Chairperson Smith, Stephen (Canada)

Papers

An Indicator for Cultural Tourism: The Case of Museums Milito, Anna Maria (Italy); Amenta, Carlo

The Foundation of an Online System of Urban Tourism Statistics by a Network of City Tourism Managers in Europe Wöber, Karl (Austria)

A Methodology Proposal to Develop and Establish an Information System on Tourism Statistics at Local Level Del Valle Tuero, Eduardo (Spain); Valdés Pelaez, Luis; Torres Manzanera, Emilio

A Survey of the Views of Tourists: A Case of Thailand Krongkaew, Kanlaya (Thailand)

Econometric Models for Tourism Expenditure. Inappropriateness of the Classical Estimation Methods Valdés Pelaez, Luis (Spain); Torres Manzanera, Emilio; Dominguez Menchero, J.S.

Wednesday, August 20, 09:00 – 11:15

119

Wednesday, August 20, 09:00 - 11:15 IPM-12 Hall 04/05

Statistics of extremes and risk modelling Organiser de Haan, Laurens (Netherlands)

Papers

On Occupation Times in Extreme Value Statistics Drees, Holger (Germany); Piterbarg, Vladimir

Statistics of Extremes on C[0,1] Einmahl, John (Netherlands); Lin, Tao

Bias Reduction in Financial Risk Modelling Gomes, M. Ivette (Portugal)

Discussant Beirlant, Jan

IPM-25 Hall 07

Computer intensive methods for semiparametrics Organiser Yang, Lijian (USA)

Papers

Estimation and Inference with Incomplete Data Horowitz, Joel (USA); Manski, Charles

Working-Independence or Covariance-Weight Should Be Used in Nonparametric Kernel Regression for Longitudinal Data Liang, Hua (USA)

Inference on Semiparametric Multi-Index Models Sperlich, Stefan (Spain); Spokoiny, Vladimir

Multiple Index Identification of Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Tschernig, Rolf (Netherlands); Yang, Lijian

Discussants Xia, Yingcun (United Kingdom) Yuanhua, Feng

IPM-44 Roof Garden

Teaching probability with a modelling approach Organiser Henry, Michel (France)

Papers

Teaching Probability to Pre-Service Primary School Teachers through Simulation Godino, Juan D. (Spain); Cañizares, M. Jesús; Díaz, Carmen

Computational Simulation and Conditional Probability Problem Solving Sánchez Sánchez, Ernesto (Mexico); Yañez, Gabriel

From Frequency to Probability. Some Questions Posed by the New French Senior High School Curricula Parzysz, Bernard (France)

Wednesday, August 20, 09:00 – 11:15

120

Conceptual, Computational and Didactic Aspects of Teachers´ Training in Probability and Statistics Leviatan, Talma (Israel)

Discussant Pereira-Mendoza, Lionel (Singapore)

IPM-51 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Statistics, environment and health: air, soil and water Organiser Cox, Lawrence (USA)

Papers

Comparability of Airborne and Ground-Based Gamma-Ray Spectrometry for Mapping Environmental Radioactivity Scott, Marian (United Kingdom); Sanderson, David; Cresswell, Alan; Lang, Joyce

The Role of Statistics in Assessing the Public Health Threat of Air Pollution Smith, Richard L. (USA)

The Use of Models in Restricting Fish Consumption in the Great Lakes el-Shaarawi, Abdel (Canada)

Discussant Bailar, John (USA)

IPM-57 Hall 06

Statistics in engineering and advanced technology Organiser Escobar, Luis A. (Colombia)

Papers

Roles of TP2 (Total Positivity of Order 2) in Reliability Theory and its Application for Advanced Technology Suzuki, Kazuyuki (Japan)

Use of a Transfer Function Model to Predict Field Reliability Meeker, William (USA)

The Role of Highly Structured Stochastic Models and Bayesian mcmc Based Inference in Complex Technological Problems Frigessi, Arnoldo (Norway)

Active Network Tomography and Bicast Probing Experiments Michailidis, George (USA); Nair, Vijay

IPM-87 Hall 14.02

Modernising statistical infrastructure in National Statistics Institutes Organiser Lane, Margaret (United Kingdom) Chairperson Kovar, John (Canada)

Papers

Modernising the Statistical Infrastructure of the Office for National Statistics Kinder, John (United Kingdom); Lane, Margaret

Standards Between Input and Output Pedersen, Lars (Denmark)

Wednesday, August 20, 09:00 – 11:15

121

Strategies or Development and Implementation of Statistical Metadata Systems Sundgren, Bo (Sweden)

Discussant Lee, Geoffrey F. (Australia)

CPM-004-6 Room 11/12

Statistical inference (estimation and tests) VI Chairperson Chen, Jie (USA)

Papers

Generalized Probability Weighted Moments Estimators in the Log-Logistic Distribution Ashkar, Fahim (Canada); Mahdi, Smail

Parameter Estimation of Shape Parameter for Weibull Distribution Free from Location Information Nagatsuka, Hideki (Japan); Kamakura, Toshinari

Two-Step Sequential Sampling for Normal and Gamma Distributions Moors, J.J.A. (Netherlands); Strijbosch, L.W.G.

Reserve Estimation of Non-Life Insurance Sector in Turkey Icoz, Uluc (Turkey)

Tests for Equality of Means of K Logarithmic Series Distributions KallIanpura, Aruna Rao (India)

Simultaneous Confidence Intervals for the Range of Multinomial Proportions Chen, Jie (USA); Glaz, Joseph

CPM-026-1 Room 13/14

Nonparametric statistics Chairperson Knüsel, Leo (Germany)

Papers

On the Kernel Tail Index Estimators Necir, Abdelhakim (Algeria)

Some Tests in Functional Principal Component Takeda, Yuichi (Japan); Sakaori, Fumitake

Smoothed L-Estimation of Regression Function Cizek, Pavel (Germany); Härdle, Wolfgang

Reconsideration of Moses Rank Test for Dispersion Ushizawa, Kenji (Japan); Sato, Yoshiharu; Sugiyama, Takakazu

Test of Wilcoxon in the Presence of Ties Knüsel, Leo (Germany)

Wednesday, August 20, 09:00 – 11:15

122

CPM-033-1 Room 15/16

Data mining and Knowledge Discovery in Databases (KDD) Chairperson Býcen, Pelýn (Turkey)

Papers

Data Mining of Official Data Bases Pejic-Bach, Mirjana (Croatia); Dumicic, Ksenija

Statistical Modeling for Large Databases Seleznjev, Oleg (Sweden); Thalheim, Bernhard

Text Mining On-Line Job Offers Balbi, Simona (Italy); Di Meglio, Emilio

Input Variable Importance in Supervised Learning Models Lee, Yonggoo (Republic of Korea); Huh, Myung-Hoe

Multivariate Decision Tree for Longitudinal Data Lee, Seong Keon (Japan); Lee, Jae Chang; Kang, Hyun Cheol

Knowledge Discovery in Databases and Data Mining: An Application of Customer Segmentation Analysis in Banking Sector Býcen, Pelýn (Turkey); Oktay Firat, S. Umit

CPM-041-1 Room 17/18

Clinical trials Chairperson Coad, Steve (United Kingdom)

Papers

Secondary Analyses of Case-Control Data Wild, Chris (New Zealand); Scott, Alastair; Jiang, Yannan

A Numerical Comparison of Sample Sizes in Second Phase Clinical Trials Kavehie, Behrooz (Islamic Republic of Iran)

Asymptotically Optimal Design Under Adaptive Urn Models Chen, Guijing (People's Republic of China); Zhu, Chunhua; Wang, Yaohung

Recruitment Time Analysis and Optimal Design in Multicentre Clinical Trials with Random Enrolment Anisimov, Vladimir (United Kingdom); Fedorov, Valerii; Jones, Byron

A General Multi-Treatment Adaptive Design for Multivariate Responses Coad, Steve (United Kingdom)

CPM-055-2 Hall 10

Measuring poverty, inequality and income distribution II Chairperson Pukelsheim, Friedrich (Germany)

Papers

A Multidimensional Measurement of Poverty in European Countries Costa, Michele (Italy)

Wednesday, August 20, 09:00 – 11:15

123

An Analysis of Spending Pattern in Korea; After Economic Crisis Kim, Yunsung (Republic of Korea)

Modelling Household Income in Italy: A Parametric Approach Quintano, Claudio (Italy); D'Agostino, Antonella; Castellano, Rosalia

The Generalized Lognormal Distribution as an Income Distribution Kleiber, Christian (Germany); Scheid, Stefanie

Purchasing Power Parities to Measure Poverty and Compare Economies Vogel, Fred (USA)

Measuring Inequality of Proportional Representation Apportionments Methods Pukelsheim, Friedrich (Germany)

CPM-080-1 Hall 08

International harmonisation of microdata on households Chairperson Rendtel, Ulrich (Germany)

Papers

Development of a Sampling Framework for Household Surveys in Post-War Bosnia and Hercegovina Lynn, Peter (United Kingdom)

An Access Panel for Official Statistics. A New Methodological Instrument for Voluntary Household Surveys Körrner, Thomas (Germany); Nimmergut, Anja

Methodology of Panel Data Conversion Using Additional Panel and Cross-Survey Information Minkel, Hartmut (Germany)

Quality of Income Data in Household Panel Surveys Hanisch, Jens (Germany)

The Analysis of Income-Dynamics Using Interview- and Register-Based Income Data Nordberg, Leif (Finland)

Attrition Effects in the European Community Household Panel Rendtel, Ulrich (Germany)

CPM-085-1 Hall 09

Statistical methods for business and industry I Chairperson Satorra, Albert (Spain)

Papers

Improving Predictive Models with Census Data Goutier, Sabine (France); Derquenne, Christian; Stephan, Veronique; Lembo, Sylvia

Noise in Ultrasonic Data Joossens, Elisabeth Bettie (Belgium)

Strategies for Semi-Folding Fractional Factorial Designs Wang, Pe-Cheng (Taiwan, China); Lee, Carl

Wednesday, August 20, 13:00 – 15:15

124

Territorial Loss Ratio Estimation of Korea Automobile Insurance Lee, Kang Sup (Republic of Korea)

The Valuation of Firms Human Capital: A Comparison Between Forward and Backward Measures Santini, Isabella (Italy)

Transactional Six Sigma Methods for Business and Industry Park, Sung (Republic of Korea)

On SEM Analysis of Longitudinal Data on ROA for a Large Sample of Firms Satorra, Albert (Spain)

Wednesday, August 20, 13:00 - 15:15 IPM-17 Hall 04/05

Statistical methods for high dimensional data Organiser van de Geer, Sara (Netherlands) Organiser van Houwelinhen, Hans (Netherlands)

Papers

Simulation Techniques to Support the Design and Analysis of Micro-Array Experiments Mansmann, Ulrich (Germany)

Mapping Quantitative Traits Siegmund, David (USA)

Asymmetric Linear Dimension Reduction for Classification Hennig, Christian (Switzerland)

Discussant Dudoit, Sandrine (USA)

IPM-26 Hall 07

Computational statistics in the environmental sciences Organiser Schimek, Michael G. (Austria)

Papers

Generalized Additive Models in Particulate Matter Studies: Statistical and Computational Perspectives Eilers, Paul H.C. (Netherlands); Schimek, Michael G.

Transitional Regression Models, with Application to Environmental Time Series Brumback, Babette (USA)

Parsimonious Covariance Matrix Estimation Smith, Michael (Australia); Kohn, Robert

Discussants Schwartz, Joel Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia (Austria)

Wednesday, August 20, 13:00 – 15:15

125

IPM-32 Hall 14.02

Design and analysis of evaluation studies Organiser Kaspryzk, Daniel (USA) Chairperson Gordon, Nancy (USA)

Papers

Combining Experimental and Non-Experimental Methods in Evaluating Social Programs: An Example from Welfare-to-Work Research Riccio, James (USA); Bloom, Howard S.; Hill, Carolyn J.

Evaluating the Impact of Social Infrastructure Projects: Design and Implementation Issues Rawlings, Laura (USA); Pradhan, Menno

Survey Design and Estimation Issues in the Evaluation of Labour Market Programmes in Great Britain Skinner, Chris (United Kingdom); Purdon, Susan

Combined Design for Sampling Service Facilities and the Client Population Verma, Vijay Kumar (Italy); Betti, Gianni

Discussant Frölich, Markus (Switzerland)

IPM-39 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Managing and maintaining the independence and integrity of national statistics - experience of developed and developing countries Organiser Ljones, Olav (Norway)

Papers

Statistical Independence and Political Transition: Some Experiences from Spain Martin-Guzman, Pilar (Spain)

Managing and Maintaining the Independence and Integrity of National Statistics - Uganda´s Experience Male-Mukasa, John (Uganda); Male-Mukasa, John

The Ideal Independence and the Real World Kinncannon, Louis (USA)

Discussants Pink, Brian (New Zealand) Cultemjamts, Davaasuren

IPM-63 Roof Garden

Evolutionary biology meets functional data analysis Organiser Heckman, Nancy E. (Canada) Chairperson Cullis, Brian (Australia)

Papers

Random Regression Models for Analyses of Longitudinal Data in Animal Breeding Meyer, Karin (Australia)

Wednesday, August 20, 13:00 – 15:15

126

Quantifying Nonlinear Modes of Variation of Curves Izem, Rima (USA) Modelling Covariate Effects for Functional Data in Biology Wang, Jane-Ling (USA)

Discussant Kneip, Alois (Germany)

CPM-015-5 Room 11/12

Time series V Chairperson Stoyan, Dietrich (Germany)

Papers

A Kind of Online Grey Forecasting Model Wang, Ziliang (People's Republic of China); Li, Weiling

A Method of Dynamic System Statistics Forecast Kong, Fanliang (People's Republic of China); Yan, Jianhua

Time Series Modeling of Life Insurance Interest Rates: Turkish Life Insurance Applications Evirgen, Gulden (Turkey)

The Euro Diffusion Project van Blokland, Piet (Netherlands)

Non-Stationary Time Series Models for Climatic Temperature Anomalies Subba Rao, Tata (United Kingdom)

Early Stages of the Euro Mixing Process in Germany Stoyan, Dietrich (Germany)

CPM-024-1 Room 13/14

Outliers and robust statistics I Chairperson Morgenthaler, Stephan (Switzerland)

Papers

Tests with a Model Close to the Normal Model Garcia-Perez, Alfonso (Spain)

Dealing with Representative Outliers in Survey Samplings Krieg, Sabine (Netherlands); Renssen, Robbert; Smeets, Marc; Carati, Tim

Statistical Analysis and Forecasting of Autoregressive Time Series under Missings Kharin, Yuriy (Belarus); Huryn, Aliaksandr

On the Detection of Outliers in Epidemiologic Studies Altenburg, Hans-Peter (Germany)

Robust Location and Shape Estimators from a Stem-Cell Procedure Mayo, Agustin (Spain); Matran, Carlos; Cuesta-Albertos, Juan A.

The Multihalver and Outlier Nomination Morgenthaler, Stephan (Switzerland); Fernholz, Luisa Turrin

Wednesday, August 20, 13:00 – 15:15

127

CPM-027-1 Room 15/16

Semiparametrics models Chairperson Pullattu, Jubin Antony (India)

Papers

Functional Data Analysis of Motion Trace Images Kamakura, Toshinari (Japan)

Semiparametric Regression for Repeated Outcomes with Nonignorable Intermittent Nonresponse Vansteelandt, Stijn (Belgium); Rotnitzky, Andrea

Semi-Parametric Influence Measures Hens, Niel (Belgium); Aerts, Marc; Molenberghs, Geert; Thijs, Herbert; Verbeke, Geert

On a Test Procedure for Assessing a Parametric Approximation to a Nonlinear Term in Semiparametric Models Scrucca, Luca (Italy)

Time and Space Analysis of Childhood Mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa Kandala, Ngianga-Bakwin (United Kingdom)

A Semiparametric Approach to Statistical Pattern Recognition Hoti, Fabian (Finland); Holmström, Lasse

Use of Generalised Estimation Equations in Contingent Valuation Studies Pullattu, Jubin Antony (India); KallIanpura, Aruna Rao

CPM-054-1 Hall 10

Index theory and statistics of prices Chairperson Dexheimer, Verena (Germany)

Papers

Some Progress in Compilation of CPI Aida, Masato (Japan)

Development of a Price Index for Owner Occupied Housing in Germany Dechent, Jens (Germany)

Computing Regional Consumer Price Indices Bernardini Papalia, Rosa (Italy); Daddi, Pierluigi

Measuring Prices of Goods with Technical Progress- Quality Adjustment Methods for Personal Computers Dexheimer, Verena (Germany); Linz, Stefan

Wednesday, August 20, 13:00 – 15:15

128

CPM-073-3 Hall 08

Sampling III Chairperson Tzavidis, Nikolaos (United Kingdom)

Papers

Model Based Analysis of Labour Force Survey Flow Data under Informative Sampling Eideh, Abdulhakeem (Palestinian Territories); Nathan, Gad

Optimum Periodicity for Longitudinal Surveys Ghosh, Dhirendra (USA)

Integrated Weighting Estimators in Household Surveys Neethling, Ariane (South Africa)

Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Labour Force Gross Flows under Misclassification and Double Sampling Tzavidis, Nikolaos (United Kingdom)

CPM-085-2 Hall 09

Statistical methods for business and industry II Chairperson Hauschild, Wolfgang (Germany)

Papers

Robustized Business Cycle Indicators and Their Performance in Japanese Economy Yoshizoe, Yasuto (Japan); Katsuura, Masaki; Sawada, Akira

How to Play Full Part of Statistics in Business Yu, Jiang Tao (People's Republic of China)

An Exploration on the New Statistical System of Modern Enterprise Wang, Yanming (People's Republic of China)

Data Fusion: Choosing the Common Variables for a Designed Fusion Chhana, Yoko (South Africa); Bekker, Dorette; Galpin, Jacky

Measuring Industrial Production Kovacs, Karoly (USA)

The Administrative Statistics and the Integrative Function of Realizing the Enterprise Business Statistics Meng, Zhaoyi (People's Republic of China)

Ad Hoc Survey on Inter-Enterprise Relations Hauschild, Wolfgang (Germany)

Wednesday, August 20, 15:15 – 17:30

129

Wednesday, August 20, 15:15 - 17:30 IPM-16 Hall 04/05

Stochastic geometry and its statistical applications Organiser Weil, Wolfgang (Germany)

Papers

Residuals and Diagnostics for Spatial Point Processes Baddeley, Adrian (Australia)

Locally Scaled Point Processes Jensen, Eva B. Vedel (Denmark); Hahn, Ute; Prokesova, Michaela

Hard Probles with Random Systems of Hard Particles Stoyan, Dietrich (Germany)

Coverage Properties of Boolean Models Molchanov, Ilya (Switzerland); Scherbakov, Vadim

Discussant Vitale, Rick (USA)

IPM-35 (Interpretation) Hall 03

Designing surveys to provide cross-national comparable data Organiser Wingfield-Digby, Peter (Thailand)

Papers

Collaborating on Company Research Surveys across Countries Mellor, Robert (Australia)

Enhancing Statistical Capacity and Data Quality - The GDDS Approach Chinganya, Oliver J.M (Kenya)

Establishing Comparability of Household Data Across Time and Countries Mungai, Rose (USA); Marchant, Timothy

Challenges for National Statistical Offices Collecting and Providing Data Requested by International Agencies - ´One Size Does not Fit All´ Pink, Brian (New Zealand); Potaka, Lyn; Sykes, Keith

Discussants Heeringa, Steven (USA) Simonpietri, Antoine (France)

IPM-62 Hall 07

Quantum statistical information Organiser Matsumoto, Keiji (Japan)

Papers

Information Geometry for Quantum Estimation Theory Nagaoka, Hiroshi (Japan)

Randomization and Entanglement Holevo, Alexander (Russia)

Wednesday, August 20, 15:15 – 17:30

130

Quantum Information and How to Estimate It Werner, Reinhard (Germany)

Discussants Gill, Richard (Netherlands) Matsumoto, Keiji (Japan)

IPM-70 Roof Garden

Teaching biostatistics Organiser Svensson, Elisabeth (Sweden) Organiser Goetghebeur, Els (Belgium)

Papers

Experiences in Teaching Biostatistics in the Pharmaceutical Industry and University Goto, Masashi (Japan); Hamasaki, Toshimitsu

Case Studies and Computing: Broadening the Scope of Statistical Education Nolan, Deborah (USA); Temple Lang, Duncan

Teaching the Likelihood Paradigm in Biostatistics Rohde, Charles (USA)

Discussant Hutton, Jane (United Kingdom)

IPM-75 Hall 14.02

Quality of official statistical systems Guest Society Meeting: Eurostat Chairperson Defays, Daniel (Luxembourg)

Papers

Quality Assessment of a Statistical System - Some Important Issues Elvers, Eva (Sweden)

Official Statistics, Capacity and Quality Becker, Ralf (USA)

Global Assessments of NSS: The Experience with the Candidate Countries Nanopoulos, Photis (Luxembourg); Wurm, Nikolaus; Grünewald, Werner

Discussants Gordon, Nancy (USA) Bohata, Marie (Czech Republic)

CPM-003-2 Room 11/12

Stochastic processes II Chairperson Klüppelberg, Claudia (Germany)

Papers

Coagulation Fragmentation Processes: Asymptotics for the Number of Groups at the Equilibrium Granovsky, Boris (Israel)

Validity of the Expected Euler Characteristic Heuristic Takemura, Akimichi (Japan); Taylor, Jonathan

Wednesday, August 20, 15:15 – 17:30

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Uniform Ergodicity and Strong Stability Estimates of Waiting Process Mouhoubi, Zahir (Algeria)

Stochastic versus Deterministic Uptake of Fatty Acids by Isolated Rat Livers Ditlevsen, Susanne (Denmark); De Gaetano, Andrea

Arbitrage-Free Skeleton of Fractional Brownian Motion Klüppelberg, Claudia (Germany)

CPM-024-2 Room 13/14

Outliers and robust statistics II Chairperson Bartkowiak, Anna (Poland)

Papers

On Robust Sequential Test Construction for Discrete Data Kharin, Alexey (Belarus)

Robust Diagnostics with Data Transformations Cheng, Tsung-Chi (Taiwan, China)

Generalized Elliptical Distributions Frahm, Gabriel (Germany); Junker, Markus

Robust Methods in Extreme Value Statistics Vandewalle, Björn (Belgium); Beirlant, Jan; Hubert, Mia

Outliers -- A Continuing Problem Bartkowiak, Anna (Poland); Zdziarek, Joanna

CPM-028-1 Room 15/16

Nonparametric function estimation Chairperson Mammitzsch, Volker (Germany)

Papers

Numerical Performance of Local Likelihood Density Estimator with Data-Driven Bandwidths Kang, Kee-Hoon (Republic of Korea)

Level Set Tree Based Visualizations of Multivariate Density Estimates Klemelä, Jussi (Germany)

The Role of Weighted Averages in Statistics Education and Practice Weldon, K. Laurence (Canada)

Design Adaptive and Efficient Estimators of Regression Curves and Surfaces Cheng, Ming-Yen (Taiwan, China)

Nonparametric Discontinuity Detection in Regression Surfaces Lambert, Alexandre (Belgium); Gijbels, Irene

Hypothesis Testing in Smoothing Spline Models Wang, Yuedong (USA); Liu, Anna

On Optimal Smoothing Kernels Mammitzsch, Volker (Germany)

Wednesday, August 20, 15:15 – 17:30

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CPM-066-2 Hall 08

Statistical problems in developing and transition countries II Chairperson Afari- Kumah, Ebenezer (Ghana)

Papers

Some Observation with Regard to Donor Financed Surveys in Developing Countries Fitch, David (Guatemala)

On Quality Measurement of Wages and Salaries Statistics Tamm, Ebu (Estonia); Kusma, Mare

Thoughts about Chinese Corporation's Statistical Innovation Lv, Yingzhi (People's Republic of China); Zhu, Konglai

A Tentative to Measuring and Monitoring Progress of Democracy, Governance and Human Rights: The Experience of Benin in West Africa Accrombessy, Félicien Donat Edgar Towènan (Benin)

Statistical Computing in the Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR), Ghana Afari- Kumah, Ebenezer (Ghana)

CPM-082-1 Hall 10

Time use measurement and research Chairperson Frohn, Joachim (Germany)

Papers

The German Time Use Surveys 1991/92 and 2001/02- Continuity and Change Ehling, Manfred (Germany)

Valuation of Unpaid Work in Estonia Kask, Urve (Estonia)

Working Hour Arrangements- New Insights from the German Time Use Survey Merz, Joachim (Germany); Burgert, Derik

Time-Use-Models - A Basis for the Inclusion of Social Aspects in Macroeconometric Models Frohn, Joachim (Germany)

CPM-085-3 Hall 09

Statistical methods for business and industry III Chairperson Wang, Xibin (People's Republic of China)

Papers

Study on Estimate Index System about Management Quality of Oil-Field Enterprise Li, Xingguo (People's Republic of China)

The Object Mode Research of Multiplicate Statistics Investigation Method Being Applied Synthetically in Petroleum Enterprise Yuan, Chunsheng (People's Republic of China)

Wednesday, August 20, 15:15 – 17:30

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Preliminary Study of the Index Evaluating Competition Ability of Oilfield Enterprises Wang, Yuanxing (People's Republic of China)

The Size Distribution of Firms: A Spatial Analysis for Italian Mechanical Sector Grossi, Luigi (Italy); Gozzi, Giorgio; Ganugi, Piero

Forecasting the Recent Development of Rizhao Port with Exponential Curse Model Wang, Xibin (People's Republic of China)

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4. Tutorials The topics of the tutorials offered at the 54th ISI Session are listed below. For further information, see the special announcements on the Session website, http://www.isi-2003.de. Bioinformatics organised by: Françoise Seillier Moiseiwitsch

([email protected]) presented by: Françoise Seillier Moiseiwitsch Date: Monday, 18 August 2003, starting at 17:30 h Venue: ICC Berlin, Hall 7 Statistical analysis from complex survey data with application to the social, biological and health sciences organised by: Danny Pfeffermann ([email protected]) presented by: Danny Pfeffermann and Wayne A. Fuller Date: Monday, 18 August 2003, starting at 17:30 h Venue: ICC Berlin, Hall 6

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5. Special Sessions 5.1. BundOnline 2005 and e-statistics – the e-Government initiative of the Federal Government and its implementation at the Federal Statistical Office Date: Thursday, August 14th, 2003, 11:45 – 12:35 h Venue: ICC Berlin, Hall 7 The Federal Government's aim in launching its "BundOnline 2005" programme is to go online with all services of the Federal Administration which are suitable for the Internet by the year 2005. The use of Internet technology is to reduce bureaucratic obstacles, to improve communication both inside the Federal Administration and with the Länder and the municipalities, and considerably to widen the range of services offered to citizens and the economy. Thus, the initiative makes an important contribution to the modernisation of the administration and to the strengthening of Germany as a location of industry and commerce. In order to be able to jointly use modern e-technology in official statistics, the Federal Statistical Office and the statistical offices of the Länder have launched their own initiative, "e-statistics 2005", with a view to realising purely electronic production processes requiring no change of media by the year 2005. At the statistical offices, the eGovernment project integrates all phases of statistical production: data collection from the informants, data processing and determination of results in the statistical offices as well as the publication of the results and their provision on the Internet, where they are available to clients. 5.2. Tools for a Wide Range of Challenges: 25 Years of Experience in Statistical Analytical Software / SAS

Examples presented by the Federal Statistical Office Germany and SAS

Date: Friday, August 15th, 2003, 11:30 – 12:40 h Venue: ICC Berlin, Hall 7 The contribution will present some aspects of the history and the development of SAS Institute from an institute for statistics to one of the leading vendors of business intelligence software. Special emphasis will be placed on the reference applications with analytical background, i.e. multivariate statistics, forecasting, quality control, operations research, data mining, and last but not least, text mining. Besides that, the Federal Statistical Office of Germany will show why it decided to use SAS and the Enterprise Guide as a strategic tool for enduser-oriented data-processing, and give some examples from the fields of calculating production indices or modelling the growth of population.

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5.3. Official statistics for a global economy by Eugenio Domingo Solans, Member of the Governing Council and of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank

Date: Wednesday, August 20th, 2003, 11:15 – 12:15 h Venue: ICC Berlin, Hall 7 Modern-day economies can only function efficiently if the public at large and policy makers are well informed about economic and social developments. Official statistics are by far the most important and reliable source of information. Their production requires a good balance between timeliness and accuracy; between the costs for respondents and the benefits for citizens; and between the relevance for a national economy and international comparability. The development of official statistics in recent years has been a silent revolution, particularly in the European Union.

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6. Official and Social Programme ISI Sessions have always been accompanied by official and social events and this is also the case in Berlin. The Social Programme is especially designed to provide participants with an opportunity to relax with quality entertainment and to maximize their networking opportunities. Interested participants were requested to register in advance for all events or tours of their choice. Participants who have not done so already should proceed to the Registration Desk on the entrance level of the ICC. Information on the public transport stops nearest to the venues of the individual activities is available on the website of the Session, http://www.isi-2003.de. 6.1. Opening Ceremony Date: Wednesday, August 13th, 2003, starting at 16:00 h Place: ICC Berlin, Hall 1 All participants and accompanying persons are encouraged to attend the opening ceremony. 6.2. Welcome Reception Date: Wednesday, August 13th, 2003 Place: ICC Berlin, Hall 2 Price: Included in the registration fee After the opening ceremony, all registered participants and accompanying persons are invited to the reception hosted by the Chair of the National Organising Committee. Participants will be able to network with colleagues from around the world while enjoying a buffet-style dinner with typical food and beverages from all German regions. 6.3. Concert “young.euro.classic” Date: Thursday, August 14th, 2003, 19:30 – 20:30 h Place: Concert Hall at Gendarmenmarkt Price: Included in the registration fee Registration required All registered participants and registered accompanying persons are invited to this classical music concert given by the Young Philharmonic Russia. As the capacity of the concert hall is limited to about 1,500 listeners, the tickets are allocated on a “first come first served” basis in order of reception of the final registration. Participants who have registered during the Final Registration period and have ticked the appropriate box will find their ticket in the envelope handed out to them during the local registration. All other interested participants should proceed to the Registration Desk in the entrance lobby of the ICC in order to receive one of the vacant tickets.

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6.4. Reception of the German Federal Government Date: Friday, August 15th, 2003, starting at 20:00 h Place: German Historical Museum, Zeughaus, Unter den Linden 2 Price: Included in the registration fee All participants and accompanying persons are invited to this reception hosted by the German Federal Government in the newly restored historic Zeughaus on the famous Boulevard "Unter den Linden". 6.5. Farewell Party Date: Tuesday, August 19th, 2003, starting at 20:00 h Place: Palais am Funkturm Price: € 80,00 for registered participants and accompanying

persons Registration required. Participants should proceed to the Registration Desk in the entrance lobby of the ICC to register for this social event, if they have not done so already. To round off the Session, a "Berlin Party" will take place at the Palais am Funkturm, not far from the ICC Berlin. All participants and accompanying persons are warmly invited to this special event, where they will be offered a buffet with hot and cold dishes, wine and beer in a relaxed atmosphere. Entertainment will be provided by German and international artists. 6.6. Mid Session Tours Several mid session tours will be organised for participants wishing to explore Berlin and its surroundings during the Session. For all Mid Session Tours registration is mandatory. Participants should proceed to the Registration Desk on the entrance lobby of the ICC to register for these tours, if they have not done so already. The prices of the mid session tours are per person and not included in the registration fee. Saturday afternoon (August 16th, 2003) is reserved for excursions within Berlin. Sunday (August 17th, 2003) is mainly reserved for excursions out of Berlin, but for those who do not wish to spend all day on tour, some half-day tours will be offered as well. Saturday, August 16th: • Berlin city tour by bus

(14:00 – 17:30 h), EUR 23,- • City tour by bus and pleasure boat

(14:00 – 17:30 h), EUR 33,- • Berlin city tour including a visit of Charlottenburg Palace

(14:00 – 17:00 h), EUR 27,- • City tour including a visit of the exhibition "Story of Berlin"

(14:00 – 17:00 h), EUR 34,-

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Saturday, August 16th: • City tour including a visit of the Checkpoint Charlie Museum

(14:00 – 18:00 h), EUR 32,- • Trip to Sachsenhausen Concentration Camp and

Plötzensee Memorial (14:00 – 18:00 h), EUR 27,-

Sunday, August 17th: • Daytrip to the palaces at Potsdam

(09:00 – 17:00 h), EUR 93,- • Daytrip to the Spree Forest, a unique Central European river

landscape (09:00 – 18:00 h), EUR 92,-

• Daytrip to Dresden, a city of arts and culture (09:00 – 19:00 h), EUR 90,-

• Daytrip to the Free and Hanseatic City of Hamburg, the gateway to the world (09:00 – 19:00 h), EUR 92,-

For those who do not wish to spend all day on tour, the following half-day tours which will have taken place on Saturday will be repeated on Sunday: • Berlin city tour by bus

(10:00 – 13:00 h), EUR 23,- • City tour including a visit of the exhibition "Story of Berlin"

(10:00 – 13:00 h), EUR 34,- 6.7. Accompanying Persons’ Programme An extensive tour programme has been set up especially for accompanying persons but delegates are also very welcome to join in. For all tours of the Accompanying Persons' Programme registration is mandatory. Interested persons should proceed to the Registration Desk on the entrance lobby of the ICC to register for these tours, if they have not done so already. The prices of the accompanying persons’ programme are per person and not included in the registration fee. • Thursday, August 14th : Visit of Museum Island

(10:00 – 13:30 h), EUR 32,- • Friday, August 15th: The architecture of Berlin's new centre

(10:00 – 13:00 h), EUR 27,- • Monday, August 18th: Daytrip to Potsdam

(09:00 – 15:00 h), EUR 46,- • Tuesday, August 19th: Visit of the Jewish Museum

(10:00 – 13:30 h), EUR 33,-

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7. Local Information and Services 7.1. Congress Office CPO HANSER SERVICE GmbH is the official congress office for the 54th Session of the ISI. CPO HANSER SERVICE is in charge of affairs related to registration, accommodation, tour reservations, the Social Programme, the Accompanying Persons' Programme, and the exhibition.

Address: CPO HANSER SERVICE GmbH Paulsborner Strasse 44 14193 Berlin Germany Telephone: +49 30 300 669 0 Telefax: +49 30 305 739 1 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: http://www.cpo-hanser.de

From August 12th – 20th, the Congress Office can be contacted as follows:

ISI Congress Office at the ICC Berlin (see 7.6.) Telephone: +49 30 3038 7504 Telefax: +49 30 3038 81300 E-mail: [email protected] 7.2. Registration Fees and Session Materials

Category On-site registration

1.

Members of ISI, Organisers of Invited Paper Meetings, Authors and Discussants of Invited Papers

350 EUR

2.

Members of the ISI Sections who are not members of the ISI

380 EUR

3. Other Participants 400 EUR

4. Accompanying Persons 190 EUR

5. Students 90 EUR

The registration fee for participants in categories 1, 2, 3 and 5 includes access to all scientific meetings, to the exhibition and to the social programme (except for the mid session tours, the accompanying persons’ programme and the farewell party). It also includes (except for students) a congress bag, all Session materials and the Proceedings of the 54th Session of the ISI. Normally, this is in the form of a CD-ROM. Participants who indi-cated on the Final Registration Form that they want a hard copy will find a voucher in the envelope handed out to them during local registration and can obtain their hard copies at the hand-out booth in the entrance lobby of the ICC on the red side/east. Students are entitled only to the CD-ROM version of the Proceedings and to a programme book.

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The registration fee for accompanying persons (category 4) includes access to the exhibition and to the social programme, and a limited set of materials in the Session bag. The fee neither includes the Proceedings nor admission to the scientific meetings. The registration fee for all participants (categories 1 to 5) also includes free use of Berlin's public transport from Wednesday, August 13th, to Wednesday, August 20th, 2003. Participants should show their 54th ISI Session name badge on request. 7.3. Name badges Participants are requested to wear their name badges at all times during the congress. The name badge is also valid for transportation on the Berlin public transport system from Wednesday, August 13th, to Wednesday, August 20th, 2003 except for exhibitors. The colours of the name badges have the following significance: blue: participants, accompanying persons and press yellow: exhibitors red: National Organising Committee (NOC) 7.4. Hotel list The Congress Office has reserved a large number of hotel rooms in various hotels in different price categories. Participants who have not yet reserved a hotel room should proceed to the registration desk on the entrance lobby of the ICC. The majority of the hotels are located in the city centre. The ICC Berlin can be easily reached from all hotels by public transport, particularly the U-Bahn and S-Bahn train networks (see leaflet enclosed in the congress bag). The most convenient routes from the hotels to the ICC can be planned individually on the website of Berlin's public transport services at http://www.fahrinfo-berlin.de (available in German and English). Budget Accommodation Those interested should proceed to the registration desk on the entrance lobby of the ICC to receive a list of budget hotels and guest houses.

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Hotel Address Telephone

Hotel Inter-Continental

Budapester Straße 2 10787 Berlin 030-26020

Kempinski Hotel Bristol

Kurfürstendamm 27 10719 Berlin 030-884340

Hotel Palace Berlin

Budapester Straße 45 10789 Berlin 030-25020

Dorint Schweizerhof

Budapester Straße 25 10787 Berlin 030-26960

Crowne Plaza Berlin

Nürnberger Straße 65 10787 Berlin 030-210070

Swissotel Berlin Augsburger Straße 44 10789 Berlin 030-220100

Hotel Berlin Lützowplatz 17 10785 Berlin 030-26050

Heckers Hotel Grolmannstraße 35 10623 Berlin 030-3088900

Berlin Excelsior Hotel

Hardenbergstraße 14 10236 Berlin 030-31550

Kanthotel Berlin Kantstraße 111 10627 Berlin 030-323020

Concept Hotel Grolmannstraße 41-43 10623 Berlin 030-884260

Alsterhof Augsburger Straße 5 10789 Berlin 030-212420

Berlin Plaza Hotel Knesebeckstraße 63 10719 Berlin 030-884130

Hotel Econtel Sömmeringstraße 24-26 10568 Berlin 030-346810

Berlin Mark Hotel Meinekestraße 18-19 10719 Berlin 030-880020

Hotel Hamburg Landgrafenstraße 4 10787 Berlin 030-264770

Mark Apart Hotel Lietzenburger Straße 82-84 10719 Berlin 030-889120

Hotel Ibis Berlin Messedamm 10 14057 Berlin 030-303930

Neotel Senator Freiheit 5 13597 Berlin 030-330980

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7.5. Local Information Transportation Lufthansa – The Official Carrier Lufthansa has been appointed the official carrier of the Session. The Lufthansa network links Berlin with the world via the Frankfurt and Munich hubs and offers direct access to the global Star Alliance network. Telephone.: +49 (0)180-LUFTHANSA (+49 (0)180-5 8384267) Public Transportation Berlin has an efficient network of suburban trains and buses throughout the city, plus a tram system in the east. Participants are entitled to use all means of public transport for free from 13th to 20th August. Their Session name badges will serve as tickets on all trains and buses in Berlin and Potsdam. For more information on public transportation in Berlin, participants can visit the website http://www.bvg.de/e_index.html. Public transport to the ICC The ICC is served by various public transport routes. The S-Bahn (train) and U-Bahn (underground) stops nearest to the ICC are "Messe Nord/ICC" (formerly "Witzleben") and "Kaiserdamm". A number of bus lines also stop near the ICC. For an overview of Berlin's train and underground networks see the leaflet enclosed in the congress bag. An area map of the ICC is published on the website of the Session, http://www.isi-2003.de. Routes (including bus routes) can also be planned individually on the website http://www.fahrinfo-berlin.de (available in German and English). Taxis In Berlin taxis are easiest to find at special taxi ranks. However, it is also possible to hail a taxi in the street. Passengers have to pay a basic fare of 2.50 EUR plus an additional 1.53 EUR per kilometre. For example, a taxi ride from Tegel airport to the city centre west ("Zoologischer Garten" station) costs about 15 EUR. Some taxis accept credit cards. Parking at the ICC There are parking facilities in the rear part of the ICC Berlin. The costs per day are 7.50 EUR. There is additional parking space in front of the Palais am Funkturm, which is usually free of charge. Emergency Phone Numbers The following toll-free phone numbers are valid throughout Germany (no area code required) in case of emergency: 110: Police 112: Fire and medical Medical care The addresses and telephone numbers of hospitals, health and dental clinics are available at the Central Information Desk.

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Language Germany’s official language is German, but many different regional dialects which one may find hard to follow can be heard. English is spoken in most hotels, restaurants, airports, railway stations, etc. Clothing There is no dress code for the Session. The Opening Ceremony, as well as the Reception of the Federal Government and the Farewell Party are more festive events, but no formal dress is required. Generally, the organisers recommend smart casual clothing. It is also suggested to bring along a jacket for chilly evenings and a raincoat. The organisers also recommend to wear comfortable shoes for tours and excursions. Currency and Exchange Rate Germany is a Euro zone participant. The Euro exchange rate is subject to daily fluctuations and is trading at US$ 1.13 per 1 EUR (as of 9th July, 2003). Time Germany is on Central European Time, which is two hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time) in summer. Germans use the 24 hour clock system (e.g. 2 PM is indicated as 14:00 h) and write the date before the month, so August 09th will appear as 09.08. Electricity In Germany, the standard electrical current is 230 volts, 50 cycles alternating current (AC); sockets take Euro-type plugs, with two round pins. However, outlets for both 115 and 230 volts are available at some hotels. Participants should check the power supply before using any electrical appliance. Tax A value-added tax (VAT) is levied on most goods and services at a standard rate of 16% and is included in the retail price. A refund of the VAT paid for all goods exported from the EU is possible for all non-EU citizens. In participating stores customers should ask for the "Tax free cheque". Tipping Service charges are included in all bills at hotels and restaurants. Nonetheless, it is customary to tip staff at hotels and restaurants (e.g. to round up the restaurant bill by about 5-10%, and leave a small sum at the hotel for the room-cleaning staff) as well as porters (about 1 Euro per bag) and taxi drivers (round up the fare a Euro or two). German Food Germany is a country famous for its many native dishes. As a rule, German cuisine is good value and of high quality. Although German food tends to be rich, it is accompanied by fresh vegetables and salads to compensate. Most menus are for carnivores, so vegetarians will find the cuisine less than ideal. However, it is getting easier to find vegetarian dishes. There is also a wide variety of ethnic dishes, with a heavy southern European bias.

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Shopping Most big stores normally open their doors around 09:00 h; newsagents and bakeries as early as 06:00 h; smaller or independent shops tend to open around 10:00 h or later. Shops can be open until 20:00 h from Monday to Saturday. Retailers in central areas tend to keep these hours, whereas many shops in residential areas close as early as 18:00 h or 18:30 h. Shops at major train stations and some small kiosks are often open until 22:00 h and on Sundays. Service shops at some petrol stations are open round the clock seven days a week. Pharmacies have a system of rotation for emergencies outside normal opening hours. 7.6. Services and Facilities Help Desk and Helpline A help desk is located at the Central Information Desk in the entrance lobby of the ICC. It will be open from 07:00 h to 18:00 h. Furthermore, the helpline +49 (0)30 3038 6301 will be open from 07:00 h to 22:00 h. Counter of the Congress Office The counter of the Congress Office is to be found in the entrance lobby of the ICC Berlin. It comprises the following departments:

West Side / Blue Side • On site Registration • Airline Service: Flight confirmations • Social Programme: Participants who have not yet registered

for certain activities in the Social Programme can do so at this counter.

• Accompanying Persons’ Programme: Tours and excursions in the Accompanying Persons’ Programme can be booked here even at short notice.

• Hotel Reservation: Last-minute reservation of hotel rooms. • Message Centre: At this counter, participants can leave and

collect personal messages.

East Side / Red Side • Pre Registration: Registered participants may pick up their

Session materials at the congress counter. • Central Information Desk (see below) • Lost and Found (see below)

The counter of the Congress Office will be open during the following hours: Tuesday August 12th: 09:00 - 20:00 h Wednesday August 13th: 08:00 - 18:00 h Thursday August 14th: 08:00 - 18:00 h Friday August 15th: 08:00 - 18:00 h Saturday August 16th: 08:00 - 12:00 h Sunday August 17th: 08:00 - 10:00 h Monday August 18th: 08:00 - 18:00 h Tuesday August 19th: 08:00 - 18:00 h Wednesday August 20th: 08:00 - 12:00 h

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From August 12th – 20th, the Congress Office can be contacted as follows: ISI Congress Office at the ICC Berlin Telephone: +49 30 3038 7504 Telefax: +49 30 3038 81300 E-mail: [email protected] Information Desks The Central Information Desk will be located in the entrance lobby of the ICC Berlin and an additional Information Desk will be located on the first floor in the blue side lobby west near the bridge lobby. Internet Area In the Internet Area in the Bridge Lobby of the ICC, computers and printers are available. These computers are PCs with the operating system MS Windows XP equipped with Acrobat Reader, and MS Internet Explorer. They provide access to up- to-date congress related information, to Congress Online and to the CongressMail and Internet Data Space (see below). Furthermore, participants have the possibility to connect their personal laptop to use internet via an Ethernet RJ45 connection. CongressMail and Internet Data Space The services CongressMail and Internet Data Space (Data Area) are available to participants for electronic communication and Internet-based file-management. CongressMail provides every participant with a congress-related e-mail address, thus giving him access to a mailbox of his own on the Internet. In the Internet Data Space participants can store files and make them available to others for download. Of course, they will be expected to observe the relevant rules of safety and data protection. CongressMail and Internet Data Space will be available until 30th September, 2003, so that participants can exchange data and ideas even after the end of the Session. These services were anounced by e-mail. For further information, participants can consult the ISI 2003 website, or contact the Information Desks in the ICC. Daily Bulletin A bulletin is being published daily to provide current information on the congress activities to the participants and accompanying persons during the Session. Lounges and Refreshments A cafeteria, which provides food at reasonable prices during the lunch time breaks, will be located in Hall 2 of the ICC during the Session. In addition, there are several refreshment points with seating space for informal meetings and recreation. They are located in the entrance lobby, in the bridge lobby, in the central lobby and in the main lobby.

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Those who take part in the early morning Administrative Meetings (07:30 h) will have the possibility of buying a small breakfast for themselves at a snack point in the bridge lobby which will be opened specifically for the purpose. Interpretation Simultaneous interpretation will be provided in the two ISI working languages, English and French, and, additionally, from English/French into German, during the Opening Ceremony, the ISI General Assembly, and, in each time slot, in one of the parallel Invited Paper Meetings (in Hall 3). It should be noted, however, that there will be no interpretation from German into any other language. Photocopying A photocopying machine will be available for participants at the help desk of the Internet Area. An additional photocopying machine and a fax can be found in the Business Centre in the entrance lobby on the blue side next to the main entrance. Photocopies and faxes will be charged. Wireless LAN (WLAN) The ICC Berlin provides opportunities to connect to the internet via WLAN technology. Interested participants should contact the Business Centre of the ICC in the entrance lobby on the blue side next to the main entrance for information on the precise locations of these so-called Access Points and on the technical and organisational conditions for use. The use of WLAN internet connections is liable to costs, which have to be borne by the participants. Telecommunications Public telephones to be used with phonecards or credit cards are available in the entrance lobby of the ICC Berlin. Phonecards are for sale at the kiosk of the ICC. Mail Please note that there is no post office at the congress venue. This means that participants are not able to send Proceedings or other Session materials home directly from the ICC. The nearest post office is located in "Soorstrasse" street no. 61-62, close to "Kaiserdamm" street, which is about 10 minutes walk from the ICC. This post office is open Monday to Friday 08:00 h to 18:00 h, and Saturday 08:00 h to 13:00 h. Banking There is an ATM (Automated Teller Machine) in the entrance lobby. The ATM accepts the following cards: EC card, Sparkassen card, Maestro, EUROCard, MasterCard, Visa, Eufiserv, Cirrus and Plus. First Aid For first aid assistance please proceed to the Central Information Desk in the entrance lobby. Disabled Persons The ICC Berlin has facilities for disabled persons. Participants who need assistance should inform the staff.

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Cloakroom A staffed cloakroom is provided for participants on the blue side of the entrance lobby, but it does not serve as a safe: participants leave coats and bags there at their own risk. Lost and Found Participants can enquire about their lost property at the Congress Counter on the red side of the entrance lobby of the ICC Berlin, where any items that are found should also be handed in.

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ISI 2005 - See you in Sydney, Australia.

The 55th Session of the International Statistical Institute (ISI) will be held in Sydney, Australia, 5-12 April 2005. The Session will provide an opportunity for delegates to exchange innovative ideas, develop new contacts and discuss current trends and developments in the statistical world. The Session will also provide days of special interest for those concerned with particular topics, for example population and demography. Australia is well-known for its culture, remarkable environment, sport, food and wine, and for its relaxed way of life. Visitors from all corners of the globe will find Australia an exciting country to explore, and Sydney a vibrant city to visit. The Session will be held in Sydney’s premier conference venue on the shores of one of the most beautiful harbours in the world and within walking distance of the city centre and a large range of hotels. A varied and exciting social program is being developed which will give delegates, colleagues and accompanying persons the opportunity to experience some of Sydney’s unique attractions. This may be “term time” for many academics from the Northern Hemisphere so you will need to plan for your attendance at this conference well in advance. To register your interest please contact: Statistics Conference Managers GPO Box 128 Sydney NSW 2001 Australia Fax: 61 2 9248 0894 Alternatively register your interest on the ISI Session website: www.tourhosts.com.au/isi2005

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Alphabetical Index Last, First Name Page

A

Abarin, Taraneh..................70 Abraham, Bovas.................49 Abu-Libdeh, Hasan.............95 Accrombessy, F.E.T. ........132 Adler, Daniel.......................39 Aerts, Marc...............115, 127 Afari- Kumah, E. ...............132 Afsarinejad, Kasra ..............90 Afshari, Zahra.....................87 Agboto, Kokouvi .................91 Agterberg, Frederik.............90 Aguirre, Alejandro...............91 Ahlgren, Niklas .................112 Ahnert, Henning .................78 Aida, Masato ....................127 Aitken, Colin .......................54 Akahira, Masafumi........79, 96 Akhavan Niaki, S.-T............91 Albers, Willem ....................74 Albert, Jose Ramon ..........117 Alexander, Charles ...........101 Alexandersson, Marina.....107 Alfonso, Ramos C...............36 Ali, Qazi..............................73 Alivernini, Andrea ...............86 Altenburg, Hans-Peter ......126 Ambroise, Christophe .........77 Ameen, Hana .....................70 Amenta, Carlo ..................118 Amiri, Esmail ..............37, 103 An, Hyonggin....................108 Ananta, Aris......................108 Anderson, Elizabeth .........105 Anderson, Marti ..................97 Andersson, Eva ..................41 Andersson, Jonas...............56 Andrade, Dalton .................77 Andreou, Elena.................107 Andriatte, Bekker................62 Anisimov, Vladimir ............122 Aparicio Perez, Felix...........51 Argac, Dogan .....................57 Arghami, Naser Reza .........96 Arhipova, Irina ..................104 Arlt, Josef ...........................67 Arrow, Jairo ........................89 Ashkar, Fahim ..................121 Astin, John .........................78 Atingi-Ego, Michael.............86 Averous, Jean ..................115

Avila, Elizabeth .................. 40 Aydinli, Gökhan.................. 42 Ayestarán, Marina .............. 51 Ayhan, H. Öztas ........... 48, 69

B

Baba, Yasumasa................ 97 Babaee Rochee, G............. 36 Babaie, Gholmreza ............ 37 Bacelar Nicolau, H. ...... 78, 79 Bachmaier, Martin ............ 109 Baddeley, Adrian.............. 129 Badurashvili, Irina............... 91 Bahovec, Vlasta ............... 115 Bai, Jushan ...................... 113 Bailar, John...................... 120 Bailer, A. John.................... 72 Balabdaoui, Fadoua ........... 89 Balakrishna, N.................... 49 Balbi, Simona................... 122 Baldry, Anna ...................... 64 Ball, Adrian......................... 78 Ball, Patrick ........................ 95 Banda, Jeremiah................ 66 Banerjee, Tathagata........... 57 Bangdiwala, Shrikant........ 101 Bank, Peter ........................ 77 Barber-Dueck, Conrad ....... 96 Barker, Richard .................. 83 Barlas, Yasemin............... 112 Barletta, Roberta................ 64 Barnabe, Richard ............... 54 Bartel, Hans-Georg .......... 116 Bartkowiak, Anna ............. 131 Bartolucci, Francesco....... 103 Basanez, Maria-Gloria........ 95 Batanero, Carmen...... 89, 101 Battipaglia, Paola ............... 76 Baumgartner, Marcel.......... 61 Bauwens, Luc .................. 102 Bayraktar, Erhan ................ 77 Becker, Bernd .................... 99 Becker, Claudia................ 115 Becker, Niels...................... 95 Becker, Ralf ............... 64, 130 Béguin, Cédric ................. 114 Beirlant, Jan............. 119, 131 Beissel-Durrant, G.............. 62 Bekker, Andriette................ 62 Bekker, Dorette ................ 128 Belkindas, Misha................ 57 Belli, Gabriella.................... 83 Bellmann, Lutz ................... 52 Belyaev, Yuri...................... 80 Ben-Hur, Dan ................... 105

152

Ben-Zvi, Dani .....................94 Beran, Jan........................ 108 Beran, Rudolf .....................47 Bercovich, Alicia.................85 Berger, Yves .................... 106 Beridze, Teimuraz ............ 117 Bernardini Papalia, R. ...... 127 Berti, Patrizia......................65 Bethlehem, Jelke........ 82, 114 Betro, Bruno.......................38 Betti, Gianni ..................... 125 Bhattacharjee, Arnab..........50 Bhattacharjee, M. ............. 116 Bickeböller, Heike ............ 113 Biemer, Paul ......................82 Biffignandi, Silvia................75 Bigelow, James ................ 113 Billah, Baki .........................90 Binder, David............ 108, 114 Biswas, Atanu ....................73 Bithell, John .......................51 Blais, Jean-Guy..................81 Blejec, Andrej .....................71 Bloom, Howard S. ............ 125 Boccara, Frédéric...............59 Bock, Hans-Hermann .........66 Bocz, Janos .......................38 Bodin, Jean-Louis ..............47 Bodini, Antonella ................38 Boehning, Dankmar............77 Bohata, Marie............. 94, 130 Böhning, Dankmar..............77 Bolognesi, Fabio ................76 Bolzan, Mario ................... 105 Bono, Filippa ......................63 Boonperm, Jirawan ............88 Boraine, Hermi ...................84 Borgioli, Stefano.................58 Borsboom, Gerard..............95 Bose, Mausumi ................ 104 Boskovitz, Agnes................50 Boukhetala, Kamal .............61 Bourke, Patrick D. ..............98 Bousbaine, Ahmed.............61 Bradley, Bill ........................72 Brahimi, Nassima ...............61 Brambilla, Carla..................38 Braumann, Carlos A. ........ 104 Breidt, Jay ........................ 114 Brick, J. Michael .................53 Brown, Louise ....................99 Brown, Morton B ................40 Brumback, Babette........... 124 Brunken, Stefan ........... 58, 67 Brunner, Claudia .......... 51, 52 Bruno, Giuseppe ................98 Bucevska, Vesna ...............42 Buckle, Robert....................84

Burgert, Derik................... 132 Burgos, Corinne Grace ...... 82 Burkschat, Marco......... 62, 63 Burridge, Jim ..................... 91 Busetta, Annalisa............... 63 Bussab, Wilton................... 77 Butkeviciene, Jolita ............ 59 Býcen, Pelýn.................... 122 Byk, Daniel ........................ 95

C

Cai, Jun ........................... 109 Calderón, Pablo ................. 38 Calvo, William.................... 86 Candelaria, Luz.................. 37 Cani, Shkelqim................... 67 Cañizares, M. Jesús ........ 119 Cao, Mingyu ...................... 71 Cao, Ziwei.......................... 78 Carati, Tim ....................... 126 Carbini, Riccardo ............... 57 Carey, Siobhan................ 107 Carey, Vincent ................... 53 Carlson, Beverley ...81, 82, 89 Carson, Carol S. ................ 57 Carstensen, Jacob........... 104 Casanova del Angel, F....... 97 Casanovas, Josep ............. 75 Catellano, R. .............117, 123 Castillo, Elenita.................. 79 Castro, Rui......................... 66 Caune, Agris...................... 43 Cave, William..................... 64 Ceccarelli, S. ................... 104 Cellier, Dominique ........... 107 Chacko, Easaw.................. 50 Chacko, Indira.................... 81 Chamayou, Jean F............. 55 Chambers, Ray.................. 94 Chamie, Joseph................. 76 Chan, Ngai Hang ............. 112 Chan, Wai Sum.................. 84 Chang, Hsing-Yi................. 40 Charlton, John ................... 62 Chattopadhyay, Saibal....... 96 Chau, Ka Ki ....................... 36 Chauchat, Jean-Hugues .... 48 Chen, Fei ........................... 53 Chen, Guijing................... 122 Chen, Jie ......................... 121 Chen, Maoxue ................... 96 Chen, Wei.......................... 70 Cheng, Chi-Lun............ 57, 97 Cheng, Ming-Yen............. 131 Cheng, Philip E. ................. 86 Cheng, Tsung-Chi............ 131

153

Cheung, Paul..............71, 102 Chhana, Yoko...................128 Chi, Nchia...........................82 Chikhladze, Nino ................63 Chikobvu, Perpetual .........114 Chinganya, Oliver J.M ......129 Chinnappa, Namjamma......59 Choi, Bong-Su....................51 Choi, Daewoo.....................37 Choi, Kyungsoon ................42 Chopra, Dharam.................91 Christine, Marc ...................79 Christofides, Tasos.............63 Chu, Haitao ........................95 Chu, Kuok Kun ...................87 Civardi, Marisa .................104 Cizek, Pavel .....................121 Cizmesija, Mirjana ............115 Clark, Cynthia.....................89 Clark, Robert ....................106 Clarke, Stephen..................64 Clayton, Murray ..................81 Clayton, Tony .....................71 Coad, Steve..............102, 122 Coates, Mark ......................66 Collins, Martin.....................48 Constantinescu, Alina.........37 Cools, Walentina ..........51, 70 Cordani, Lisbeth .........83, 101 Cornish, John ...................114 Cortellessa, Vittorio ............63 Costa Nicolau, F. ................79 Costa, Michele..................122 Couper, Mick ......................48 Cowling, Ben ......................50 Cox, David..........................73 Cox, Lawrence .................120 Cramer, Erhard...........54, 111 Cramer, Katharina ............111 Cresswell, Alan.................120 Cristante, Francesca ..........78 Cronje, Marius ....................89 Croux, Christophe...............90 Cruddas, Marie.............51, 92 Cuadros, Francisco ............38 Cuesta-Albertos, J.A.........126 Cukic, Bojan .......................63 Cullis, Brian ................59, 125 Cultemjamts, D. ................125 Curran, James....................54 Cusano, Claudio.................38 Czado, C. . 38, 39, 62, 69, 103

D

Daddi, Pierluigi .................127 D'Agostino, Antonella .......123

Dahl, Henrik ....................... 71 Dalen, Jorgen..................... 78 Dalgaard, Peter.................. 53 D'Alo, Michele .................... 42 Darius, Paul ....................... 54 Darnton, Catharine............. 71 D'Arrigo, Julia................... 106 Das, Ashish........................ 91 Das, Praggya ..................... 75 Davaasuren, C. .................. 66 David, Herbert A................. 88 David, Isidoro P.................. 48 Davidian, Marie ................ 108 Davies, Laurie .................... 80 Davies, Richard.................. 85 Davy, Manuel ................... 108 Dawid, A. Philip.......... 53, 116 De Angelis, Roberta ........... 85 De Battisti, Francesca ........ 40 de Boo, Abraham ............... 75 De Gaetano, Andrea ........ 131 de Haan, Laurens....... 69, 119 de Leon, Alexander ............ 73 De Ree, Jos ..................... 105 De Rooij, Mark ................. 101 de Silva, Basil .............. 83, 84 de Turckheim, E. .............. 107 de Vries, Willem ................. 54 de Wolf, Peter-Paul .......... 111 Dechent, Jens .................. 127 Defays, Daniel............ 57, 130 del Barrio, Eustasio ............ 80 Del Valle Tuero, E. ........... 118 Delbeke, Luc ...................... 78 Demeny, Paul .................... 76 Demetrio, Clarice ............. 101 Derquenne, C................... 123 Desrosières, Alain .............. 47 Deville, Jean-Claude ........ 114 Dexheimer, Verena .......... 127 Dey, Aloke.......................... 90 di Consiglio, Loredana...... 111 Di Consiglio, Loredana....... 42 Di Meglio, Emilio .............. 122 Di Zio, Marco...................... 53 Diamond, Ian.................... 102 Díaz, Carmen................... 119 Dickinson, Teresa .............. 51 Didelez, Vanessa ............... 53 Dietz, Klaus........................ 95 Dillman, Don ...................... 48 Ditlevsen, Susanne .......... 131 Djerf, Kari........................... 94 Dodge, Yadolah ................. 97 Domanski, Czeslaw............ 36 Domingo-Ferrer, Josep ...... 91 Dominguez M., J.S........... 119 Dong, Qunming................ 116

154

Dong, Yongmao .................74 Donze, Laurent...................98 D'Orazio, Marcello..............53 Dorea, Chang C.Y. .............96 Dorofte, Ionel......................39 Dorsan, Nilgün ...................63 Dragalin, Vladimir............. 102 Drane, J. Wanzer ...............80 Drees, Holger........... 107, 119 Droesbeke, J.-J. .................47 Droge, Bernd......................62 Duchateau, Luc ..................54 Dudoit, Sandrine ...... 102, 124 Duembgen, Lutz.................89 Duller, Christine..................86 Dumicic, Ksenija............... 122 Durr, Jean-Michel............. 101

E

Ece, Dilard ....................... 111 Eddy, William .....................71 Edler, Lutz.................... 40, 72 Ehling, Manfred ................ 132 Eide, Geir Egil ....................85 Eideh, Abdulhakeem ........ 128 Eidsvik, Jo..........................90 Eilers, Paul H.C................ 124 Einmahl, John .................. 119 Elamir, Elsayed ..................92 El-Aroui, Mhamed-Ali .........62 Eliseeva, Irina.....................82 el-Shaarawi, Abdel ........... 120 Elsner, Eckart.....................72 Eltetö, Ödön ..................... 117 Elvers, Eva....................... 130 Emadi, Mahdi .....................96 Erästö, Panu .................... 110 Erdbrügge, Martina.............74 Ericta, Carmelita........... 54, 88 Eriksson, Anders ................98 Erskine, W........................ 104 Escobar, Luis A. ............... 120 Eshragh Jahromi, Ali ..........91 Eslava, Guillermina ............85 Esteve, Albert................... 114 Esteves, José.....................75 Everaers, Pieter C. J. .........66 Evirgen, Gulden ............... 126

F

Fabbris, Luigi......................79 Faes, Christel ................... 115 Fallah, Nader......................90 Falorsi, Stefano..................42 Farmakis, Nicolas......... 63, 64

Farooq, Omar .................... 73 Farrar, Martha.................... 48 Faure, Jean-Louis.............. 75 Fedorov, Valerii................ 122 Fellegi, Ivan P. ..........100, 101 Feng, Yuanhua .................. 49 Fengler, Matthias ............... 56 Fenwick, David .................. 78 Fernandez, George............ 56 Fernandez-Alcala, R.M. ..... 36 Ferreira, Helena................. 36 Figueiredo, A.M. ................ 37 Figueiredo, Fernanda O. .... 98 Fischer, Matthias ............... 87 Fischer, Nicholas ............... 90 Fitch, David...................... 132 Föllmer, Hans .................... 77 Forsberg, Lars ................... 98 Frahm, Gabriel................. 131 Fraley, Chris ...................... 77 Francis, Brian..................... 73 Francisci, Silvia.................. 85 Francisco-Jose, V.-P.......... 38 Franconi, Luisa ...........91, 111 Francq, Christian ............... 68 Fremdling, Rainer .............. 65 Frey, Ruediger ................... 77 Fried, Roland ..................... 79 Frigessi, Arnoldo.............. 120 Frisén, Marianne................ 39 Froemel, Juan.................. 107 Frohn, Joachim...98, 112, 132 Frölich, Markus ................ 125 Frühwirth-Schnatter, S. .... 124 Fuchs, Marek..................... 48 Fueda, Kaoru................... 118 Fujikoshi, Yasunori....... 49, 79 Fujino, Tomokazu .....110, 118 Fujiwara, Takeshi............. 116 Fürnkranz-Prskawetz, A... 108 Fyhrlund, Alf ...................... 99

G

Gabler, Siegfried.............. 106 Gabriele, Cantaluppi .......... 62 Gal, Iddo...................... 60, 95 Galarza, Juan M. ............... 48 Galpin, Jacky ..............85, 128 Ganugi, Piero................... 133 Gao, Lihao......................... 91 Garbolino, Paolo ................ 55 Garcia Olea, Marivi .......... 110 Garcia-Escudero, L.A......... 90 Garcia-Perez, Alfonso...... 126 Gardner, Sugnet .............. 101 Garfield, Joan .................... 94

155

Garyaka, Marine.................37 Gastwirth, Joseph...............55 Gather, Ursula .... 79, 111, 113 Geller, Nancy....................102 Genschel, Ulrike ...............111 Gentle, James E. ................71 Gentleman, Robert .............53 Gerolimetto, Margherita......68 Getka-Wilczynska, E. .........42 Geukes, Albert..................118 Geys, Helena....................115 Ghapani, Fatemeh..............43 Ghilardi, Gilberto.................40 Ghosh, Dhirendra .............128 Ghosh, Malay .....................94 Ghosh, Sucharita................49 Ghysels, Eric ..............98, 107 Giaimo, Rosa......................63 Giambalvo, Ornella.............82 Giannone, Domenico........113 Giessing, Sarah..................92 Gigli, Anna..........................85 Gijbels, Irene ..............89, 131 Gill, Jeff ..............................38 Gill, Richard..............109, 130 Gilli, Manfred ....................116 Gillmann, Daniel W.............72 Giommi, Andrea .................92 Giovannini, Enrico ..............71 Giunigundo, Diwa ...............67 Gladun, Oleksandr..............70 Glaz, Joseph ....................121 Glickman, Hagit ................105 Glimm, James ....................60 Godino, Juan D. ...............119 Godsill, Simon ..................108 Goetghebeur, Els..............130 Golata, Elzbieta ..................94 Goldstein, Joshua R. ........108 Gomes, M. Ivette ..............119 Gomes, Maria Ivette ...........98 Gomes, Paulo.....................37 Gomez, Emilio ....................38 Gonzalez Velasco, M..........36 Gonzalez, Elba ...................40 Goodwyn, Guy....................82 Gordaliza, Alfonso ..............90 Gordon, Nancy . 108, 125, 130 Görzig, Bernd .....................52 Goto, Masashi ............68, 130 Goutier, Sabine ................123 Gower, John.....................101 Gozzi, Giorgio...................133 Gradstein, Felix ..................90 Grammig, J...............102, 107 Grando, S.........................104 Granovsky, Boris ..............130 Grenfell, Bryan ...................95

Gribkova, Nadezhda .......... 61 Grize, Yves-Laurent ........... 61 Groenen, Patrick J.F. ....... 101 Groos, Jutta ....................... 81 Grosbras, Jean-Marie....... 101 Grossi, Luigi ..................... 133 Großmann, Heiko............... 73 Grover, Gorprit ................... 40 Gruic, Branimir ................... 86 Grundmann, Thomas ....... 100 Grune, Christian............... 118 Grünewald, Werner .......... 130 Gschlößl, Susanne............. 39 Guatlo, Chona.................. 105 Gudmundsson, G. ........ 80, 81 Guerrero, Victor................ 103 Guglielmi, Alessandra ........ 38 Gumedze, Freedom N........ 59 Gunel, Erdogan.................. 63 Gupta, Arjun K. .................. 97 Gupta, Pushpa ................... 80 Gupta, Ramesh............ 80, 81 Gupta, Sudhir..................... 91 Gutiérrez Jáimez, R. .......... 36 Gutiérrez, José Ramón ...... 38 Guttorp, Peter .................. 100 György, Erika ..................... 69

H

Ha, Il Do............................. 47 Habibullah, Saleha N.......... 89 Häder, Sabine .................. 106 Hahn, Ute......................... 129 Hall, Peter .................. 89, 113 Hallin, Marc ...................... 113 Halloran, M Elizabeth ......... 95 Halsall, Myrtle .................... 99 Hamada, Mike.................... 60 Hamasaki, Toshimitsu...... 130 Hamsici, Türknur .............. 111 Han, Chien-Pai................. 110 Hanayama, Nobutane ........ 50 Hanisch, Jens .................. 123 Harala, Riitta .................... 102 Harasawa, Norihiro ............ 97 Härdle, W..54, 56, 92, 99, 121 Harhoff, Christian ............... 50 Harner, Jim ...................... 111 Harraway, John.................. 83 Harris, Bernard................... 73 Hasani, Hosein............. 56, 85 Hauschild, Wolfgang ........ 128 Havasi, Eva...................... 117 Haworth, Marta ............ 51, 92 Hayter, Tony ...................... 68 Hazijadeh, Ebrahim............ 97

156

Heady, Patrick....................94 Hebbel, Hartmut .................56 Heckman, Nancy E........... 125 Heeringa, Steven ............. 129 Heerschap, Nico.................89 Heiler, Mark................ 38, 108 Heiler, Siegfried..................49 Heinzl, Harald............... 40, 62 Helland, Inge Svein ............55 Helmers, Roelof .................61 Hennig, Christian........ 56, 124 Henry, Michel ................... 119 Hens, Niel ........................ 127 Hentges, Adao Luiz............38 Henze, Norbert...................97 Hertz, Sebastien.................88 Herwartz, Helmut ............. 102 Heuch, Ivar.........................85 Heuchenne, Cédric.............50 Hidiroglou, Mike .................89 Hiemenz, Bea................... 118 Higuchi, Koichi ...................99 Hill, Carolyn J. .................. 125 Hilpinen, Jorma ..................75 Himmelmann, Maurizio.......75 Hinde, John........................53 Hinneburg, Alexander....... 113 Hirai, Yasuhisa................. 110 Hiro, Shintaro .....................49 Hirotsu, Chihiro ..................73 Ho, Frederick Wing H. .. 54, 78 Ho, Hoi Sheung..................61 Hoaglin, David.................. 105 Hoberg, Richard ............... 115 Hochreiter, Sepp ................66 Hoegn, Ralph .....................38 Höhn, Charlotte..................76 Hokimoto, Tsukasa.............56 Holevo, Alexander ............ 129 Holland, Paul W. ................86 Holmström, L...... 71, 110, 127 Honari, Bahman .................81 Hong, Taekyeong...............69 Hoque, Zahirul....................90 Horimoto, Katsuhisa......... 116 Horowitz, Joel................... 119 Horst, Ulrich .......................77 Hossain, Monir ...................50 Hoti, Fabian...................... 127 Houbiers, Marianne............63 Hu, Shuhe..........................84 Hu, Yonghong ....................43 Huang, Dawei.....................66 Huang, Erich .................... 102 Hubert, Mia ...................... 131 Hüfken, Volker....................51 Huh, Myung-Hoe .............. 122 Hulliger, Beat.................... 114

Hundepool, Anco ............... 91 Huryn, Aliaksandr ............ 126 Husek, Dusan .................... 80 Huskova, Marie.................. 41 Hussey, James .................. 80 Hutton, Jane .......50, 115, 130 Huwang, Longcheen.......... 98 Huzii, Mituaki ..................... 56 Hwang, Hyun-Sik ............... 68

I

Icoz, Uluc......................... 121 Iezzi, Stefano................... 112 Iizuka, Masaya............90, 118 Imai, Hideyuki .................... 69 Inagaki, Seiichi................. 108 Inoue, Tatsuki .............. 54, 97 Ion, Roxana Alice............... 81 Ip, Wai ............................... 57 Isnard, Michel .................. 105 Isogai, Eiichi ...................... 55 Ittrich, Carina ..................... 81 Iwabuchi, Akiko.................. 93 Iwashita, Toshiya ............... 97 Izem, Rima ...................... 126 Izumi, Hiroshi..................... 57

J

Jacobsen, Rune................. 74 Jaenicke, Johannes ......... 103 Jagers, Peter ................... 109 Jang, Jihee ........................ 69 Janke, Rudolf..................... 70 Jaupi, Luan ........................ 74 Jeng, Shuen-Lin................. 62 Jensen, Eva B. Vedel....... 129 Jeon, Jong-Woo............... 106 Jeon, Junwoo..................... 75 Jeon, Yongho..................... 47 Jeong, Dong-Wook ............ 98 Jeong, Insook .................... 74 Jeskanen-Sundström, H..... 94 Ji, Jiasu ............................. 93 Jiang, Yannan.................. 122 Jin, Liangqiong................... 84 Jin, Nana ........................... 84 Johnson, Richard............... 65 Jolliffe, Flavia..................... 83 Jones, Byron.................... 122 Jones, Chris....................... 67 Jones, Gareth .................... 60 Joossens, Elisabeth B...... 123 Joossens, Kristel................ 90 Jose, K.K. .......................... 84 Joubert, G........................ 114

157

Jung, Byoung Cheol ...........38 Junker, Markus.................131 Jureckova, Jana .................79 Juritz, June.........................59

K

Kadono, Yasuo...................98 Kageyama, Sanpei .............91 Kaj, Ingemar.......................60 Kalamatianou, Aglaia..........40 Kallenberg, Wilbert C.M......74 KallIanpura, A.R. 80, 121, 127 Kalton, Graham ............53, 59 Kam, Po Ling......................84 Kamakura, T.............121, 127 Kamps, Udo................54, 111 Kanda, Takashi ..................79 Kandala, Ngianga-B. ........127 Kang, Hyun Cheol ......39, 122 Kang, Kee-Hoon...............131 Kanji, Gopal......................110 Kardaun, Jan....................105 Karlberg, Forough...............85 Karlberg, Martin..................63 Karlis, Dimitris ....................61 Karpov, Volodymyr .............39 Karsenty, Guy.....................58 Kask, Urve........................132 Kaski, Samuel ....................66 Kaspryzk, Daniel...............125 Katsuura, Masaki..............128 Katzoff, Myron ....................68 Kaumanns, Sven ................98 Kavehie, Behrooz .............122 Kazempour Dizagie, M. ......37 Keiding, Niels .....................74 Keim, Daniel .....................113 Keita, Naman......................99 Kempton, Bob.....................72 Kenny, Geoff ......................78 Keogh, Erica.....................114 Kestel, Ayse Sevtap ...........92 Keuning, Steven .................71 Khaledi, Baha-Eldin ............81 Khalkhali, Hamid .R. .....43, 97 Khan, M.G.M. ...................106 Khan, Shahjahan................90 Khare, Meena...................105 Kharin, Alexey ..................131 Kharin, Yuriy.....................126 Khawaja, Sarmad ...............57 Khay, Phousnith .................67 Khoshbin, Ehteram .............85 Kiany, Hooshang ................56 Kim, Byung Soo..................72 Kim, Doo-Sub.....................88

Kim, Eugene ...................... 68 Kim, Gyungtae ................... 91 Kim, Hea-weon .................. 38 Kim, Hyung-seog................ 74 Kim, Insik ........................... 63 Kim, JungRan .................... 50 Kim, Kyung Hee ................. 62 Kim, Kyuseong................. 106 Kim, Kyuyeung................... 36 Kim, Kyu-Yeung ................. 92 Kim, Sahm ......................... 92 Kim, Semi .......................... 50 Kim, Soo-Taek ................. 106 Kim, Sung-Ho..................... 80 Kim, Young Won ................ 42 Kim, Youngil................. 90, 91 Kim, Young-Won.............. 106 Kim, Yunsung................... 123 Kinder, John..................... 120 Kinncannon, Louis............ 125 Kirmani, S.N.K.A ................ 81 Klar, Bernhard.................... 97 Klebaner, Fima................. 109 Kleiber, Christian.............. 123 Kleinjung, Günter ............... 58 Klemelä, Jussi.................. 131 Klinke, Sigbert.................. 110 Klueppelberg, C. ................ 99 Klüppelberg, C. ........ 130, 131 Kneip, Alois ...................... 126 Knoth, Sven ..................... 110 Knottnerus, Paul............... 106 Knüsel, Leo...................... 121 Kobayashi, Ikunori............ 116 Kochar, Subhash................ 81 Kogelschatz, Hartmut ......... 97 Kohn, Robert.................... 124 Koike, Ken-ichi ................... 83 Kojima, Hiroshi................... 74 Kokic, Philip N. ................... 38 Kokoszka, Piotr ................ 107 Kolaczyk, Eric .................... 66 Komiya, Yuriko........... 49, 116 Kon, Song-How.................. 71 Kong, Ai Ling...................... 42 Kong, Fanliang................. 126 König, Gerhard................... 99 Konijn, Paul........................ 78 Koopman, Siem Jan......... 103 Kopp-Schneider, A. ...... 72, 81 Kordos, Jan........................ 94 Körrner, Thomas ........ 62, 123 Korzeniewski, Jerzey.......... 73 Koski, Timo ...................... 107 Kovac, Arne ....................... 89 Kovacs, Karoly ........... 94, 128 Kovar, John...................... 120 Kratz, Günther.................... 70

158

Kregzdyte, Rima............... 104 Krickeberg, Klaus ............. 115 Krieg, Sabine.................... 126 Krizman, Irena.................. 114 Krongkaew, Kanlaya ........ 118 Kuhnt, Sonja ......................74 Kumar, Anupam ............... 109 Kumar, Narinder............... 104 Kumar, Pranesh .................55 Kunitomo, Naoto ................98 Kurihara, Koji......................69 Kuriki, Satoshi ....................68 Kusma, Mare.................... 132

L

L. Sanjuan, Eva..................63 Laaksonen, Seppo .............53 Lahiri, S.N. .........................61 Lall, Vinay D.......................83 Lamb, Joanne ....................72 Lambert, Alexandre .......... 131 Lamberti, Aldo....................80 Lane, Margaret................. 120 Lang, Joyce...................... 120 Lanius, Vivian.....................37 Lankinen, Leila ...................98 Lapins, Janis ................ 43, 82 Larik, N.M...........................83 Lauprete, Geoffrey .............61 Lauritzen, Steffen ...............53 Läuter, Jürgen.................. 104 le Roux, Niel J.................. 101 Lebhart, Gustav..................78 Lee, Alan...................... 84, 85 Lee, Geoffrey F. ... 89, 96, 121 Lee, Geung-Hee.................49 Lee, Jae Chang.......... 39, 122 Lee, Joo Young..................50 Lee, Jung Jin................ 54, 73 Lee, Kang Sup ................. 124 Lee, Kay-O.........................92 Lee, Sang Eun ...................50 Lee, Sang Yun ...................37 Lee, Seong Keon ....... 39, 122 Lee, Sik Yum......................40 Lee, Stephen M.S...............61 Lee, Sukhoon.....................50 Lee, Taerim........................81 Lee, Yong Sung .................37 Lee, Yonggo.......................48 Lee, Yonggoo................... 122 Lee, Youngjo......................47 Lehohla, Pali ......................85 Lehtonen, Risto..................94 Lei, Ming ............................99 Leitao, Teresa ....................68

Lembo, Sylvia .................. 123 Lenz, Rainer .................... 111 Leviatan, Talma ............... 120 Lewis, John........................ 60 Lewis, Tony ................. 64, 65 Li, Jie ................................. 57 Li, Ji-qian ........................... 94 Li, Jun................................ 85 Li, Wai Keung .................. 103 Li, Weiling ........................ 126 Li, Xingguo....................... 132 Liang, Hua ....................... 119 Lievens, Liesbeth............... 54 Lievesley, Denise............. 107 Liewendahl, Pirjo ............... 54 Ligeti, Csak........................ 72 Ligges, Uwe..................... 109 Liminonda, Bhassorn ......... 88 Lin, Miao-Hsiang................ 86 Lin, Tao ........................... 119 Lin, Yi .......................... 47, 66 Linacre, Susan................... 66 Linde, Peter ....................... 50 Lindner, Alexander............. 99 Lindner, Andreas ............... 48 Lindsay, Craig.................... 67 Linz, Stefan...................... 128 Liou, Michelle..................... 86 Lippi, Marco ..................... 113 Little, Roderick ................. 108 Liu, Anna ......................... 131 Liu, Ivy ............................... 73 Liu, Min.............................. 36 Liu, Regina ...................... 115 Liu, Ziyu............................. 93 Ljones, Olav..................... 125 Lo Moro, Vincenzo............. 57 Loaiza, Edilberto................ 59 Lobo, A. Peter.................... 78 Loeve, Anneke................. 111 Lohr, Sharon...................... 72 Long, John....................... 108 Lopez, Ana Jesus ............ 103 Lophaven, Søren ............. 104 Lottaz, Claudio................. 102 Lu, Zhonghua..................... 43 Luminet, Denis................... 69 Luo, Lili .............................. 65 Lutz, Wolfgang............76, 108 Lux-Henseler, Barbara....... 78 Lv, Yingzhi ....................... 132 Lyberg, Lars....................... 82 Lynch, Robin...................... 67 Lynge, Elsebeth................. 74 Lynn, Peter .........82, 106, 123

159

M

Madi, Mohamed................115 Madigan, David ............66, 70 Maesono, Yoshihiko .........109 Magezi-Apuuli, John B......104 Magnus, Jan R. ..................93 Magtulis, Mary Ann.............56 Maharaj, Elizabeth Ann.......56 Mahdi, Smail.....................121 Maier, Helmut ...............83, 99 Maindonald, John ...............48 Mairesse, Olivier...........51, 70 Maiti, Taps..........................57 Malaguerra, Carlo...............65 Male-Mukasa, John ..........125 Malhotra, R.S. ..................104 Maligalig, Dalisay................66 Maliranta, Mika .................114 Maller, Ross .......................99 Mammen, Enno ..................56 Mammitzsch, Volker .........131 Manninen, Asta ..................98 Manski, Charles................119 Mansmann, U. .... 50, 102, 124 Manuel, Molina F. ...............36 Marchant, Timothy............129 Marco, Alfred de .................67 Maria, Pardeep...................75 Mariotto, Angela .................85 Marker, David .....................77 Martel, Maria ......................38 Martinez Quintana, R..........36 Martin-Guzman, P. ...114, 125 Martz, Harry........................60 Massam, Hélène.................67 Massieu, Antonio................58 Massonnet, Goele ..............54 Matalik, Ivan .......................67 Matran, Carlos..................126 Matranga, Domenica ..........63 Matsuda, Yasumasa.........109 Matsuda, Yoshiro..............108 Matsumoto, Keiji .......129, 130 Matsutani, Mitsuru ..............84 Mayerlen, Frank .................58 Mayo, Agustin...................126 McCaa, Robert .................114 McClean, Sally ...................40 McKenzie, John................118 McLachlan, Geoffrey ..........77 McLaren, Craig...................49 Meeker, William................120 Meganck, Bart ....................78 Meili, Robin.......................113 Meintanis, Simos ................41 Meise, Monika ..................110 Mellor, Robert...................129

Meng, Zhaoyi ................... 128 Menozzi, Clare ................... 66 Mercatanti, Andrea............. 36 Merola, Giovanni Maria .... 111 Merz, Joachim.................. 132 Mesgarani, Hamid ............ 103 Meshkani, M. Reza .......... 115 Meshkani, Zahra S. ............ 41 Meyer, Karin..................... 125 Michailidis, George........... 120 Micko, Hans Christoph ....... 78 Mihályffy, László................. 69 Militino, Ana F. ................... 51 Milito, Anna Maria ...... 82, 118 Minami, Hiroyuki... 49, 70, 116 Mingzhong, Jin................... 84 Minkel, Hartmut................ 123 Mino, Tairai ........................ 97 Minozzo, Marco.................. 85 Mira, Antonietta................ 103 Mishra, Udaya Shankar...... 59 Misra, Neeraj.................... 104 Mittag, Hans-Joachim....... 118 Mittinty, Murthy................... 50 Mittlboeck, Martina ....... 61, 62 Mittnik, Stefan .................. 102 Miwa, Tetsuhisa ................. 68 Mizuta, Masahiro.... 49, 70, 73 Mjahed, Mostafa................. 56 Moch, Dietmar.................... 78 Mohammad, Kazem ........... 97 Mohammadzadeh, M.......... 83 Mohn, Christian................ 111 Mohtashami B., G.R........... 49 Molchanov, Ilya ................ 129 Molenberghs, Geert . 115, 127 Molina-Cruz, Roberto ....... 117 Montanari, Giorgio E. ......... 69 Montanero, Jesús............... 37 Montella, Monica................ 96 Montinaro, Mario ................ 40 Moore, Paul........................ 84 Moors, J.J.A. .................... 121 Moreno, Antonio................. 42 Moreno, Blanca................ 103 Morgenthaler, Stephan..... 126 Mori, Yuichi .................. 54, 90 Morin, Annie....................... 48 Moriuchi, Tetsuya............. 116 Morrison, Thomas K........... 57 Mosler, Karl...................... 115 Mota Medina, Manuel......... 36 Motoryn, Ruslan................. 86 Motoryna, Tatiana .............. 86 Mottet, Carol ...................... 95 Mouhoubi, Zahir ............... 131 Mua, Foghema................... 82 Mucha, Hans-Joachim...... 116

160

Mueller, Hans-Georg ........ 108 Mukerjee, Rahul ............... 115 Mukerji, Tapan ...................90 Müller, Gernot .................. 103 Müller, Marlene ..................87 Müller, Samuel ...................55 Mungai, Rose................... 129 Munk, Axel .........................89 Münnich, Ralf ........... 106, 114 Munoz, Juan ......................59 Murakami, Hidetoshi......... 110 Muratore, Maria G. .............64 Murthy, Nittala N ................74 Mutluer, Defne.................. 112 Muttlak, Hassen .................74 Muwanga-Zake, Esk......... 104 Muyiolu, S.K.......................74

N

Nabasirye, Margaret......... 104 Nagaoka, Hiroshi.............. 129 Nagatsuka, Hideki ............ 121 Nagelkerke, Nico................95 Naiman, Daniel................. 116 Nair, Vijay......................... 120 Nairy, Subrahmanya...........80 Nakamura, Tadashi .......... 110 Nakano, Junji ................... 116 Namkung, Pyong................69 Nandi, Swagata..................80 Nanopoulos, Photis .......... 130 Nanopoulos, Photius ..........58 Naoi, Atsushi......................98 Nascimento Silva, P.L. .......77 Nasrabadi, M. Mehdi ..........97 Nasse, Sarah .....................93 Nathan, Gad............... 48, 128 Necir, Abdelhakim ............ 121 Nedeljkovic, Ranko.............85 Neethling, Ariane.............. 128 Negrin, Miguel ....................40 Nelder, John.......................47 Nematollahi, Alireza ......... 109 Nenadic, Oleg .............. 39, 70 Nerman, Olle.................... 107 Neslehova, Johana........... 111 Neudorfer, Peter.................58 Neumann, Klaus.................72 Neumann, Uwe ..................83 Neutze, Michael .................99 Nevins, Joseph................. 102 Ng, Serena....................... 113 Ng, Teresa .........................42 Nicholson, James...............71 Nicolini, Giovanna ..............42 Nieto-Barajas, Luis .............65

Nilson, Gosta ..................... 89 Nimmergut, Anja .........62, 123 Nirel, Ronit....................... 105 Nittono, Ken..................... 103 Niwa, Tokihiko ..........111, 116 Nogales, Agustín G............ 37 Nogami, Keiko ................... 55 Nolan, Deborah................ 130 Nolan, Frank ...................... 62 Nordberg, Leif .................. 123 Nordman, Daniel................ 61 Noss, Richard .................... 94 Nourollahi, Taha ................ 43 Novi Inverardi, Pier Luigi .. 109 Nowak, Robert ................... 66 Nurdiati, Sri........................ 74 Nyblom, Jukka ................. 112

O

Obayashi, Senichi.............. 88 Obermayer, Klaus.............. 66 Ochi, Yoshimichi ................ 80 Odounfa E. Kouadio, A. ... 117 Ogasawara, Haruhiko ........ 42 Oh, Jong Nam.................... 88

Ö

Öhrvik, John ...................... 79

O

Ohtaki, Megu ..................... 79 Ohyauchi, Nao............. 79, 96 Oide, Norihiro..................... 68 Oktay Firat, S. Umit.......... 122 Olea, Ricardo A. ................ 90 Ollila, Pauli....................... 106 Ong, S.H............................ 80 Ong, Seng-Huat................. 55 Opsomer, Jean ................ 114 Oral, Ece.......................... 111 Oral, Evrim......................... 84 Orkin, F.M.......................... 95 Ortolani, Giovanni G. ......... 86 Ottaviani, Maria G.............. 89 Oyetunji, Kayode S. ........... 74 Oyola, Jose Antonio........... 37 Oyola-Velasco, José A....... 37

161

P

Palipudi, Krishna M.V.T. .....82 Palmer, Jonathan ...............94 Panek, Tomasz ................117 Pannekoek, Jeroen.............81 Panova, Verka....................77 Papanastassiou, D. ............38 Paparistodemou, Efi ...........94 Parczewski, Andrzej ...........54 Paris Scholz, S. ........111, 115 Park, Jin-Woo.....................42 Park, Ki Bong ...................105 Park, Kyung-Ae ..................63 Park, Seokin.......................36 Park, Seokyun ....................36 Park, Sung .......................124 Parra, María Isabel .............38 Parys, Dariusz ..................104 Parzysz, Bernard..............119 Pascual, Marta ...................42 Passenberger, Jürgen ........52 Pastor, Joan .......................75 Patilea, Valentin .................61 Pawitan, Yudi .....................47 Pawlas, Zbynek ..................69 Payne, Roger .....................47 Pedersen, Lars .................120 Peiris, Shelton ....................68 Pejic-Bach, Mirjana...........122 Pena, Daniel.......................60 Penny, Richard...................50 Pereira-Mendoza, L. ...86, 120 Perera, Rafael ..................103 Pérez, Paloma....................37 Pérez, Rigoberto...............103 Perez-Ocon, Rafael ............40 Petrucci, Alessandra...........92 Pettersson, Birgitta .............52 Pewsey, Arthur ...................79 Pfannkuch, Maxine .......60, 95 Pfeifer, Dietmar ................111 Phadia, Eswar ....................50 Pham-Gia, Thu ...................81 Piazza, Paolo .....................79 Picart, Claude.....................42 Piccinino, Linda ................105 Piegorsch, Walter W...........80 Piekoszewski, W.................54 Pink, Brian................125, 129 Pirmoazen, Noradin............37 Piterbarg, Vladimir ............119 Pittman, Jennifer...............102 Pluta, Beata........................64 Pochun, Malati..............63, 77 Podehl, Martin ..............51, 60 Poduri, S.R.S. Rao .............68 Polettini, Silvia ..................111

Polivka, Anne ..................... 77 Poon, Wai-Yin .................... 40 Poor, H. Vincent ................. 77 Portier, Kenneth M. ............ 54 Poskitt, Anna.................... 106 Postelnicu, Tiberiu.............. 38 Potaka, Lyn...................... 129 Pradhan, Menno............... 125 Prado, Cristina ................... 51 Praskova, Zuzana .............. 68 Pratesi, Monica ............ 75, 92 Presti, Anna Lo .................. 42 Prestwood, Debra .............. 71 Preziosi, Marie-Pierre......... 95 Pricking, Thomas ............... 75 Procidano, Isabella............. 68 Prokesova, Michaela........ 129 Prokopenko, Sergiy............ 69 Pruska, Krystyna................ 51 Pukelsheim, F. ......... 122, 123 Pullattu, Jubin Antony....... 127 Pullinger, David.................. 72 Pun, Man Chi ..................... 61 Purdon, Susan ................. 125 Putignano, Carlo ................ 96

Q

Quintaneiro Aubin, E.C....... 36 Quintano, Claudio .... 117, 123

R

Radilov, Dimitar.................. 61 Radnoti, Laszlo .................. 69 Raftery, Adrian ................... 77 Raghunathan, Trivellore ..... 70 Rai, Markandey.................. 83 Rajagopal, P. ..................... 38 Ramachandran, D. ............. 67 Ranalli, M.Giovanna........... 69 Rancourt, Eric .................... 53 Rao, C.R. ........................... 68 Rao, J. N. K........................ 94 Rao, K. S. Ramachandra ... 76 Rao, Talluri......................... 47 Rao, Yaoxian ..................... 96 Raphael, Christopher ....... 108 Rasekh, Abdolrahman........ 57 Rässler, Susanne....... 53, 106 Rasson, Jean-Paul............. 66 Rathina Pandi, Asha .......... 75 Ratnaparkhi, Makarand...... 84 Rawlings, Laura ............... 125 Razafindrakoto, Mireille...... 95 Razi, Negar ...................... 118 Reed, William..................... 67

162

Reese, C. Shane................60 Regoli, Andrea ................. 117 Reilly, James......................63 Renard, Francois................59 Rendtel, Ulrich.................. 123 Renshaw, Eric.................. 109 Renssen, Robbert ............ 126 Resnick, Sidney .................60 Revilla, Pedro............... 74, 75 Reyes, Celia.......................88 Rezakhah V., Saeid............55 Rezankova, Hana...............80 Riccio, James................... 125 Richardson, Craig ..............54 Rico Castro, Nuria..............36 Riede, Thomas...................70 Righi, Paolo........................80 Rigo, Pietro ........................65 Ripley, Brian.......................53 Ritschard, Gilbert ...............48 Roberts, Georgia.............. 108 Robinson, John ..................97 Rocco, Emilia .....................92 Rocke, David.M..................71 Rodríguez Lallena, J.A. ......55 Rohde, Charles ................ 130 Roman Roman, Patricia .....36 Romano, Maria F. ..............75 Romero Molina, Desirée.....36 Romeu, Jorge................... 101 Roos, Bero .........................67 Rootzen, Helle.................. 104 Rootzen, Holger .................60 Rosado, Fernando..............38 Rossa, Agnieszka ..............40 Rotnitzky, Andrea............. 127 Roubaud, François .............95 Roy, Roch ..........................68 Rozga, Ante .......................91 Rubalcava, Rosa-Maria......95 Ruiz Espejo, Mariano .........42 Ruiz-Castro, Juan Eloy.......40 Rybolt, William ................. 118 Ryssevik, Jostein ...............72 Ryu, Gi Hyong....................70

S

Sadat Hashemi, S.Mehdi....80 Saeboe, Hans Viggo ..........94 Safdari, Hamid ...................38 Sakamoto, Wataru..............84 Sakaori, Fumitake ............ 121 Sakurai, Hirohito.................61 Sakurai, Naoko...................49 Salamin, Paul-André ........ 106 Salazar- Gonzalez, J-J. ......92

Salcedo, María Soledad..... 38 Salvati, Nicola.................... 92 Salvatierra, Adriana ........... 40 Salvatierra, Stella............... 39 Salvo, Joseph .................... 78 Samarov, Alexander .......... 61 San Jose, Armida .............. 67 Sánchez Sánchez, E........ 119 Sanderson, David ............ 120 Santini, Isabella ............... 124 Saporta, Gilbert............ 56, 79 Sarabia, Jose Maria ..... 38, 42 Sarabia, Maria ................... 42 Saralegui, Jorge................. 89 Sardy, Sylvain.................. 106 Sarioglo, Volodymyr........... 92 Sarker, A.......................... 104 Sato, Yoshiharu ....69, 79, 121 Sato, Yusuke ..................... 70 Satorra, Albert...........123, 124 Sawada, Akira.................. 128 Sawae, Ryucihi .................. 39 Sawitski, Gunther............... 53 Sawitzki, Guenther............. 47 Scaccia, Luisa.................. 103 Scanu, Mauro .................... 53 Schackis, Daniela .............. 76 Schall, R. ......................... 114 Schappacher, N. ................ 88 Scheid, Stefanie..........40, 123 Schelhase, Torsten.......... 105 Scherbakov, Vadim.......... 129 Schettini, Raimondo........... 38 Schimek, Michael G. ........ 124 Schmidt, Hans-Werner....... 96 Schneeweiss, Hans ..... 88, 97 Schoer, Karl....................... 86 Schölkopf, Bernhard .......... 47 Schoning, Per .................. 104 Schonlau, Matthias .......... 113 Schramm, F. Roland.......... 72 Schrevens, Eddie............... 54 Schreyer, Paul ................... 71 Schubert, Aurel .................. 76 Schulte Nordholt, Eric ...... 111 Schulz, Rainer ............. 92, 99 Schwartz, Joel ................. 124 Schwarzacher, W............... 90 Schweinert, Stefan....... 85, 86 Scott, Alastair..............63, 122 Scott, David W................... 71 Scott, Marian ................... 120 Scrucca, Luca.................. 127 Segui, Federico.................. 75 Seidel, Wilfried................... 77 Seleznjev, Oleg................ 122 Sencey, Sophie.................. 42 Seri, Giovanni .................. 111

163

Sfer de Grande, Ana M.......36 Shafer, Glenn .....................53 Shahrezaee, Mohsen .......103 Shahumyan, Harutyun........42 Shakeri, Nezhat..................40 Shalabh, Shalabh ...............68 Shams, Sedigheh ...............49 Shariati, Batoul ...................36 Shaw, Ewart .......................50 Shcherbakov, Serguei ........64 Sheibani, Ebrahim ..............89 Shi, Gengxin.......................93 Shimamura, Teppei ..........116 Shimizu, Kunio ...................55 Shimokawa, Toshio ............68 Shinmura, Shuichi ..............73 Shinnohara, Takashi...........83 Shirahata, Shingo.............116 Shishebor, Zohreh............109 Sibbertsen, Philipp......84, 109 Sibuya, Masaaki .................50 Siegmund, David ..............124 Siegmund-Schultze, R. .......88 Sik, Endre.........................111 Sikchi, Sonali T...................89 Sikora, Inka ........................62 Silva, Denise Britz do N. .....68 Silva-de-Araujo, Marcio ......92 sim, songyong ....................65 Simar, Leopold ...................98 Simonetti, Arianna ..............85 Simonpietri, Antoine .........129 Singh, Harshinder...............63 Singh, Housila P. ................42 Singh, Murari ....................104 Sinha, Ashoke Kumar.........93 Sircar, Ronnie.....................77 Sirirangsi, Pakavadi..........105 Sivakumar, R......................49 Sjerps, Marjan ....................55 Skibicki, Marcin ..................42 Skinner, Chris62, 92, 106, 125 Slock, Peter........................69 Smeets, Marc ...................126 Smith, Alan.........................99 Smith, Alison ......................59 Smith, Fred.......................101 Smith, James......................53 Smith, Michael..................124 Smith, Richard L. ..............120 Smith, Stephen...........96, 118 Snell, J. Laurie....................60 Snijders, Vincent.................63 So, Mike K.P.......................56 Soerensen, Michael............56 Sofia, Francesca.................65 Sofyan, Hizir .......................99 Solari, Fabrizio ...................80

Soltani, A. Reza ............... 109 Soltani, Ahmad Reza........ 109 Som, Hiek .......................... 99 Sommer, Bettina ................ 91 Son, Young-Tae................. 62 Song, Seuck Heun ............. 38 Song, Wheyming.............. 110 Song, Xin-Yuan.................. 40 Songgui, Wang .................. 57 Spang, Rainer ............ 40, 102 Spar, Edward ..................... 78 Speed, Terry .................... 113 Sperlich, Stefan................ 119 Speth, Hans-Theo.............. 49 Spokoiny, Vladimir ........... 119 Stadie, Andreas.................. 57 Stadtmueller, Ulrich.......... 108 Stäglin, Reiner ................... 52 Stallard, Nigel................... 102 Stander, Julian ................... 91 Stanghellini, Elena ............. 90 Stapel, Silke............. 110, 111 Starkings, Susan.......... 71, 94 Starzynska, Waclawa ....... 117 Starzynski, Stanislaw ....... 117 Stefani, Raymond............... 64 Stefanutti, Luca .................. 78 Steger, Almut ......... 58, 64, 86 Steinberg, W.J. ................ 114 Steiner, Michael ................. 48 Steland, Ansgar................ 103 Stephan, Andreas .............. 52 Stephan, Veronique ......... 123 Steuer, Detlef ..................... 56 Stigler, Stephen............ 47, 88 Storme, Guy..................... 116 Stoyan, Dietrich........ 126, 129 Streit, Franz ....................... 55 Strijbosch, L.W.G. ............ 121 Strubbe, Marleen.......... 51, 70 Stummer, Wolfgang ........... 99 Sturm, Roland .................... 52 Su, Jindong........................ 92 Suan, Eric ........................ 117 Subba Rao, Tata.............. 126 Sugano, Tsuyoshi .............. 98 Sugden, Roger................... 69 Sugiyama, T....... 83, 110, 121 Sundgren, Bo................... 121 Surbakti, Soedarti............... 89 Suzuki, Kazuyuki.............. 120 Svensson, Elisabeth... 83, 130 Swartz, Tim........................ 64 Switzer, Paul ...................... 90 Swoboda, Gunther ............. 76 Sy, Francisco ..................... 80 Sykes, Keith..................... 129 Sykes, Wendy .................... 48

164

Szep, Katalin.................... 111

T

T. Castro, Inmaculada ........63 Tada, Mitsuhiro ................ 116 Tagliani, Aldo ................... 109 Taguri, Masaaki..................61 Tahamtan, M. .....................36 Takeda, Yuichi ................. 121 Takemura, Akimichi.......... 130 Talwalker, Sheela...............89 Tam, Siu-Ming....................51 Tamm, Ebu ...................... 132 Tammilehto-Luode, M. .......94 Tanaka, Y......... 67, 68, 90, 97 Taneichi, Nobuhiro .............73 Tartaglia Polcini, R. ............76 Tarumi, T............ 90, 110, 118 Tatarinov, Andrei A.............96 Taubmann, Doreen .......... 105 Tavilla, Andrea ...................85 Taylor, Jonathan .............. 130 Tellez- Rojo, Martha M. .... 114 Tempelaar, Dirk..................86 Tempelman, Caren.............50 Temple Lang, Duncan ...... 130 Templeton, Robert..............77 Terryn, Benedicte............. 108 Teyssiere, Gilles............... 107 Thalheim, Bernhard.......... 122 Themido Pereira, T.............69 Thermadom, Alice T. ..........84 Theuns, Peter............... 51, 70 Theus, Martin ................... 113 Thiart, Christien..................59 Thijs, Herbert.................... 127 Thompson, Elizabeth........ 113 Thompson, Pat...................95 Thompson, Robin...............59 Thomson, Peter..................84 Thorat, Y.S.P......................75 Tiao, George ......................60 Tierney, Luke .....................53 Timmermann, Beatrice .......58 Toczynski, Tadeusz.......... 114 Tofallis, Chris .....................68 Toma, Aida.........................82 Tønder, Johan-Kristian.......86 Toninelli, Daniele................75 Tooze, J. Adams ................65 Torra, Vicenç......................91 Torres Manzanera, E........ 118 Torres Ruiz, Francisco .......36 Touzi, Nizar........................77 Towhidi, Mina.....................55 Townsend, James ..............79

Trenevska, Kalina ............ 117 Trevisani, Matilde............... 69 Trewin, Dennis J. ............. 100 Trindade Correa, S. ........... 68 Trutzel, Klaus..................... 78 Tschernig, Rolf................. 119 Tseng, Sheng-Tsaing....... 110 Tsou, Tsung-Shan ............. 84 Tsubaki, Hiroe.................... 98 Tsung, Fugee..................... 74 Tucker, Clyde..................... 77 Tupek, Alan ..................... 101 Turkkan, Noyan ................. 81 Tzavidis, Nikolaos............ 128

U

Ubeda Flores, Manuel........ 55 Ugarte, M.Dolores.............. 51 Ugarte, Maite ................... 110 Ulyanov, Vladimir............... 68 Uno, Chikara...................... 55 Upadhyaya, Shyam............ 70 Ushizawa, Kenji ............... 121

V

Vaclav, Snasel ................... 80 Valdés Pelaez, Luis ......... 118 Vallecillos, Angustias ......... 42 van Blokland, Piet ............ 126 van de Geer, Sara ........... 124 van de Kaa, Dirk J.............. 76 van Delden, Arnout ............ 70 van der Knaap, H.C.M. ...... 54 van der Laan, Paul......66, 102 van der Meulen, E............ 104 van der Ryst, E. ............... 114 van Duin, Coen.................. 63 van Houwelinhen, H......... 124 van Nieuwkerk, Marius....... 82 Van Staden, Paul............... 84 Vanderhoeft, Camille ......... 69 Vandewalle, Björn............ 131 Vansteelandt, Stijn......53, 127 Vardi, Yehuda.................... 70 Vasconcellos, M..........72, 117 Vasquez, Francisco ........... 40 Vehovar, Vasja .................. 48 Venkataraman, K. N........... 38 Verbeke, Geert ................ 127 Verma, Vijay Kumar......... 125 Vicard, Paola ................... 116 Vichi, Maurizio ............66, 101 Vihavainen, Hilkka ............. 54 Vinh-Hung, Vincent .......... 116 Virdee, Jagdev Singh......... 83

165

Virola, Romulo........66, 82, 88 Vitale, Rick .......................129 Vogel, Fred.................48, 123 Vojtisek, Petr ......................64 von der Lippe, Peter ...........65 von Haeseler, Arndt..........107 von Heydebreck, Anja.......113 Vorgrimler, Daniel.............111

W

Wada, Kazumi....................98 Wago, Hajime...................103 Walker, Stephen.................65 Walther, Guenther ..............77 Walton, Richard..................58 Wang, Ann-Lee ..................71 Wang, Bin...........................65 Wang, Hsiuying ................115 Wang, Huei.........................80 Wang, Jane-Ling ..............126 Wang, Jianhua .................110 Wang, Jinfang ..................109 Wang, Pe-Cheng..............123 Wang, Xibin ..............132, 133 Wang, Yanming................128 Wang, Yaohung................122 Wang, Yuanxing ...............133 Wang, Yuedong................131 Wang, Yumin......................67 Wang, Ziliang ...................126 Ward, Dennis......................72 Ward, Michael ..................117 Ware, Herbert.....................83 Watanabe, Michiko.............49 Watson, Jane ...............60, 95 Wawryniuk, Markus ..........113 Wehrens, Ron ....................77 Weigl, Katja ........................58 Weihs, Claus ....................109 Weil, Wolfgang .................129 Weissman, Ishay ................70 Weldon, K. Laurence........131 Welham, Sue......................59 Wellner, Jon A. ...................89 Welsch, Roy .......................61 Wen, Jianwu.....................104 Weng, Chiu-Hsing ............115 Werker, Bas......................107 Wermuth, Nanny.........73, 100 Werner, Reinhard .............130 Wernicke, Immo H. .............51 Werwatz, Axel ....................99 Wesolowski, Jacek .............67 West, Mike .......................102 Westergaard-Nielsen, N. ....52 Westlake, Andrew...............72

Wietog, Jutta...................... 65 Wild, Chris............ 60, 95, 122 Wilhelm, Adalbert ............. 113 Willeboordse, Ad................ 71 Willenborg, Leon .......... 72, 89 Wilson, Alyson ................... 60 Wilson, Susan R............... 113 Wingfield-Digby, P...... 74, 129 Winker, Peter ................... 116 Winkler, Othmar W............. 78 Wit, Ernst ......................... 116 Witzel, Rodrigo............. 54, 99 Wöber, Karl ...................... 118 Woerner, Jeannette............ 79 Wong, Albert C.S. .............. 84 Wong, Chun Shan............ 103 Wong, Heung ..................... 57 Woodruff, David L. ............. 71 Wu, C. F. Jeff ..................... 60 Wulff, Annegrete ................ 52 Wurm, Nikolaus................ 130

X

Xia, Yingcun..................... 119 Xichuan, Zhang.................. 49 Xu, Xiangdong ................... 93 Xue, Hengyi ..................... 111

Y

Yadavalli, Venkata S. ......... 62 Yadohisa, Hiroshi ............... 54 Yajima, Yoshihiro ............. 109 Yamaguchi, Eika ................ 64 Yamaguchi, Kazunori ......... 49 Yamamoto, Taku.............. 112 Yamamoto, Yoshikazu ..... 116 Yamamoto, Yoshiro............ 54 Yan, Jianhua.................... 126 Yanagi, Kikuo................... 118 Yañez, Gabriel ................. 119 Yang, Fuxing...................... 96 Yang, Lijian ...................... 119 Yang, Yuanheng ................ 75 Yasui, Mayuko ................... 58 Yatchew, Adonis ................ 54 Yeh, Arthur B. .................... 98 Yipin, Xu .......................... 104 Yokoyama, Takahisa.......... 79 Yoon, Yeanok .................... 70 Yoon, Yeanok N. ................ 37 Yoshida, Kiyotaka ........ 68, 69 Yoshizoe, Yasuto ............. 128 You, Heping ................. 92, 93 Yu, Bin ............................... 66 Yu, Frank ........................... 89

166

Yu, Jiang Tao................... 128 Yuan, Chunsheng ............ 132 Yuanhua, Feng................. 119 Yue, Jack ...........................81 Yusifov, Yusif .....................61

Z

Zadora, Grzegorz ...............54 Zakoïan, Michel..................68 Zanella, Angelo ..................62 Zanna, Stefania..................63 Zavarrone, E. ................... 104 Závodský, Prokop ..............42 Zdziarek, Joanna.............. 131

Zelatel, Metka .................... 53 Zhang, Nan........................ 92 Zhang, Qingdong ............... 87 Zhang, Xiaofei.................. 110 Zhang, Zhaoping................ 85 Zhao, Hongyu .................. 113 Zhong, Jia.......................... 57 Zhong, Ziliang.............. 87, 92 Zhu, Chunhua.................. 122 Zhu, Konglai .................... 132 Zifonun, Natalie................ 105 Zucchini, Walter ................. 70 Zuehlke, Sylvia .................. 52 Zuyev, Sergei..................... 60