The sensitivity of the Late Saalian (140 ka) and LGM (21 ka) Eurasian ice sheets to sea surface...

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The sensitivity of the Late Saalian (140 ka) and LGM (21 ka) Eurasian ice sheets to sea surface conditions Florence Colleoni Johan Liakka Gerhard Krinner Martin Jakobsson Simona Masina Vincent Peyaud Received: 29 December 2009 / Accepted: 14 June 2010 Ó Springer-Verlag 2010 Abstract This work focuses on the Late Saalian (140 ka) Eurasian ice sheets’ surface mass balance (SMB) sensi- tivity to changes in sea surface temperatures (SST). An Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM), forced with two preexisting Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 21 ka) SST reconstructions, is used to compute climate at 140 and 21 ka (reference glaciation). Contrary to the LGM, the ablation almost stopped at 140 ka due to the climatic cooling effect from the large ice sheet topography. Late Saalian SST are simulated using an AGCM coupled with a mixed layer ocean. Compared to the LGM, these 140 ka SST show an inter-hemispheric asymmetry caused by the larger ice-albedo feedback, cooling climate. The resulting Late Saalian ice sheet SMB is smaller due to the extensive simulated sea ice reducing the precipitation. In conclusion, SST are important for the stability and growth of the Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet. Keywords Sea surface temperatures Late Saalian Last Glacial Maximum Eurasian ice sheet Climate modelling Quaternary 1 Introduction The recent reconstructions of the Eurasian ice sheet span- ning the last 250,000 years (Svendsen et al 2004) show that during the Late Saalian glaciation, with its maximum at about 140 ka, the Eurasian ice sheet extended over nearly 11 9 10 6 km 2 and reached further southward and eastward than during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 21 ka) (Fig. 1). Numerical ice sheet model results suggest that the Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet was &54% larger in area than the LGM ice sheet and at least double the thickness (Peyaud 2006; Lambeck et al. 2006; Peltier 2004). This raises the question: Why did the Late Saalian ice sheet grow so large over Eurasia? The ice age cycles are generally thought to be ultimately driven by cyclical variations in the Earth’s orbit around the sun (e.g. Hays et al. 1976), although glacial inception results from a complex interaction between processes such as for example land-ice feedbacks, atmosphere-ice feed- backs, and ocean forcing. In comparison to the LGM, the Late Saalian period is characterized by a larger eccentricity of the Earth’s orbit (Berger and Loutre 1991) which enhances the effect of precession (Fig. 1). This difference in orbital configurations directly influences the amount of F. Colleoni (&) Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy e-mail: fl[email protected] F. Colleoni G. Krinner V. Peyaud Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Ge ´ophysique de l’Environnement, UJF, CNRS, Saint Martin d’He `res Cedex, France e-mail: [email protected] V. Peyaud e-mail: [email protected] F. Colleoni M. Jakobsson Department of Geological Sciences, Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockhlom, Sweden e-mail: [email protected] J. Liakka Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden e-mail: [email protected] S. Masina Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy e-mail: [email protected] 123 Clim Dyn DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0870-7

Transcript of The sensitivity of the Late Saalian (140 ka) and LGM (21 ka) Eurasian ice sheets to sea surface...

The sensitivity of the Late Saalian (140 ka) and LGM (21 ka)Eurasian ice sheets to sea surface conditions

Florence Colleoni • Johan Liakka • Gerhard Krinner •

Martin Jakobsson • Simona Masina • Vincent Peyaud

Received: 29 December 2009 / Accepted: 14 June 2010

� Springer-Verlag 2010

Abstract This work focuses on the Late Saalian (140 ka)

Eurasian ice sheets’ surface mass balance (SMB) sensi-

tivity to changes in sea surface temperatures (SST). An

Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM), forced

with two preexisting Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 21 ka)

SST reconstructions, is used to compute climate at 140 and

21 ka (reference glaciation). Contrary to the LGM, the

ablation almost stopped at 140 ka due to the climatic

cooling effect from the large ice sheet topography. Late

Saalian SST are simulated using an AGCM coupled with a

mixed layer ocean. Compared to the LGM, these 140 ka

SST show an inter-hemispheric asymmetry caused by the

larger ice-albedo feedback, cooling climate. The resulting

Late Saalian ice sheet SMB is smaller due to the extensive

simulated sea ice reducing the precipitation. In conclusion,

SST are important for the stability and growth of the Late

Saalian Eurasian ice sheet.

Keywords Sea surface temperatures � Late Saalian �Last Glacial Maximum � Eurasian ice sheet �Climate modelling � Quaternary

1 Introduction

The recent reconstructions of the Eurasian ice sheet span-

ning the last 250,000 years (Svendsen et al 2004) show

that during the Late Saalian glaciation, with its maximum

at about 140 ka, the Eurasian ice sheet extended over

nearly 11 9 106 km2 and reached further southward and

eastward than during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM,

21 ka) (Fig. 1). Numerical ice sheet model results suggest

that the Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet was &54% larger

in area than the LGM ice sheet and at least double the

thickness (Peyaud 2006; Lambeck et al. 2006; Peltier

2004). This raises the question: Why did the Late Saalian

ice sheet grow so large over Eurasia?

The ice age cycles are generally thought to be ultimately

driven by cyclical variations in the Earth’s orbit around the

sun (e.g. Hays et al. 1976), although glacial inception

results from a complex interaction between processes such

as for example land-ice feedbacks, atmosphere-ice feed-

backs, and ocean forcing. In comparison to the LGM, the

Late Saalian period is characterized by a larger eccentricity

of the Earth’s orbit (Berger and Loutre 1991) which

enhances the effect of precession (Fig. 1). This difference

in orbital configurations directly influences the amount of

F. Colleoni (&)

Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici,

Bologna, Italy

e-mail: [email protected]

F. Colleoni � G. Krinner � V. Peyaud

Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Geophysique de l’Environnement,

UJF, CNRS, Saint Martin d’Heres Cedex, France

e-mail: [email protected]

V. Peyaud

e-mail: [email protected]

F. Colleoni � M. Jakobsson

Department of Geological Sciences, Stockholm University,

106 91 Stockhlom, Sweden

e-mail: [email protected]

J. Liakka

Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University,

106 91 Stockholm, Sweden

e-mail: [email protected]

S. Masina

Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici,

Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy

e-mail: [email protected]

123

Clim Dyn

DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0870-7

solar downward radiation at top of the atmosphere

(Fig. 2). There were consequently cooler and longer Late

Saalian springs and early summers compared to during

LGM while there were at the same time shorter Late

Saalian falls in the Northern Hemisphere high latitudes

(Table 1). The nature of glacial maxima also depends on

the evolution of the solar insolation, as a function of the

Earth’s orbital parameters, prior to the glacial inception.

This evolution was markedly different between the Late

Saalian and the LGM (Fig. 1). Greenhouse gas concen-

trations seem to have been similar during these two gla-

cial periods (Petit et al. 2001; Spahni et al. 2005) (Fig. 1)

and therefore cannot directly explain the difference in ice

extent and volume of the Eurasian ice sheet. Although it

is possible to point out differences in orbital forcing

between the Late Saalian and the LGM glacial periods,

the question why the Eurasian ice sheet extended much

further to the east and south during the Late Saalian

remains unanswered.

Part of the answer might reside in different regional

continental and oceanic conditions during the two glacial

maxima such as the presence of ice dammed lakes, dust

deposition on snow, changes in vegetation and in the

ocean surface conditions (Krinner et al. 2004; Colleoni

et al. 2009a, b). There seem not to have been any ice

dammed lakes in front of the Eurasian ice sheet during

LGM (Mangerud et al. 2004) while the Late Saalian ice

sheet configuration suggests that rather large lakes may

have developed (Colleoni et al. 2009b). The LGM river

network near the Taymyr Peninsula was likely still con-

nected to the Arctic Ocean due to the relatively small

extent of the Eurasian ice sheet at this time while it was

certainly not the case during the Late Saalian (Svendsen

et al. 2004). According to Antarctic ice core dust con-

centration records, the dust transportation into the atmo-

sphere was larger during the LGM than during the Late

Saalian (Delmonte et al. 2004). In previous studies we

have shown that during the Late Saalian, the presence of

large ice dammed lakes and reduced dust deposition on

snow directly contributed to the relative stability of the

Eurasian ice sheet at 140 ka (Colleoni et al. 2009b) and

that the Late Saalian steady-state modeled vegetation

positively influenced the ice sheet surface mass balance

(SMB) (Colleoni et al. 2009a). However, in those studies,

we forced an Atmospheric General Circulation Model

(AGCM) using CLIMAP (CLIMAP 1984) and Paul and

Schaefer-Neth (2003) LGM sea surface temperature (SST)

reconstructions since no similar datasets have been pro-

duced for the Late Saalian. This limits the interpretation

of the other regional feedbacks whose amplitude and

intensity can be influenced by the climatic context and the

variations in ice sheet topography over continents

(Kageyama et al. 2006). In this work, we investigate the

influence of SST on the Late Saalian and LGM Northern

Hemisphere climates and on the SMB of the Eurasian ice

sheets during these periods.

Most of the previous modeling studies addressing the

influence of SST and the sea-ice cover on glacial climate

focused on the LGM since there is a considerably larger

Fig. 1 Summary of the main differences between the LGM and the

Late Saalian glacial maximum. Top: difference in ice extent between

the LGM (gray) and the Late Saalian (black). Ice extented further

during the Late Saalian southward and eastward than during the

LGM. Middle: Eccentricity, obliquity and June insolation at 60�N

(Berger and Loutre 1991). Bottom: greenhouses gas concentration

values from Vostok and Dome C (Petit et al. 2001; Spahni et al.

2005) for the Late Saalian, the LGM and present day

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

number of continental and marine geological records

available to compare with the numerical simulation results.

Some of these studies forced an AGCM with prescribed

LGM SST reconstructions (e.g. Kageyama et al. 1999) to

which a regional temperature perturbation is eventually

applied to explore the impacts of different North Atlantic

or tropical SSTs on the Northern Hemisphere climate (e.g.

Rind 2006; Toracinta et al. 2004). In other studies, SSTs

are computed using a coupled Atmosphere-Ocean GCM

(e.g. Ramstein and Joussaume 1995; Dong and Valdes

1998). Within the framework of the Paleoclimate Model

Intercomparison Projects (PMIP) I and II, Kageyama et al.

(1999, 2006) showed that the use of prescribed and simu-

lated SST in AGCM experiments leads to different climate-

related (mostly snow fall and temperatures) oceanic and

continental climate anomaly patterns of various amplitudes

over the North Atlantic and Eurasia. These discrepancies

are explained by the use of different models as the com-

puted climate depends on the physics of each model and on

the models own inter-annual variability partly resulting

from the strong fluctuations of the sea-ice cover extent. The

extent of sea ice also has a large impact on the transient

atmospheric activity, which in turn influences the regional

climate (Dong and Valdes 1998). Compared to present-day

Northern Hemisphere sea-ice extent, the larger LGM sea-

ice cover pulled the storm tracks eastward (Kageyama

et al. 1999). Ruddiman and McIntyre (1979) and Hebbeln

et al. (1994) show that seasonally open waters in the North

Atlantic, such as suggested by the recent MARGO LGM

SST reconstructions (Kucera et al. 2005a), significantly

influence the SMB of the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets

during the LGM.

There are a number of studies clearly showing that sea

surface conditions, primarily SST, strongly influence the

atmosphere due to effects on the mean oceanic heat

exchange. Forcings from different sea surface conditions

(prescribed or calculated) also modulate the model simu-

lated climate feedbacks. Consequently, it is important to

determine how different sea surface temperatures and

sea-ice extent reconstructions can influence the surface-

atmosphere interactions during the Late Saalian when

addressing the underlying reasons for the large ice extent.

Were the Late Saalian SSTs different from the LGM

ones? This question is currently difficult to answer because

there are few SST estimates based on marine sediment

units from Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 6, which corre-

spond to the time period of the Late Saalian. Some of these

estimates are listed in Table 2 together with the LGM SST

estimates allowing a direct comparison for each coring site.

From this table, it is not obvious whether the temperatures

of the Late Saalian and the LGM surface oceans were

significantly different.

In summary, to understand how SST could have influ-

enced the SMB of the Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet, we

first test the effects of two different prescribed LGM SST

reconstructions on the Late Saalian climate by forcing an

AGCM model with these two datasets. The same runs are

Fig. 2 Seasonal latitudinal

anomaly in solar downward

radiation at top of the

atmosphere between the Late

Saalian and the LGM (140–

21 ka). The 60�N latitude

indicates approximately the

center of the Eurasian ice sheet

(see Fig. 1a)

Table 1 Length of the seasons in days as calculated in the LMDZ4

AGCM model for the Late Saalian glacial maximum (140 ka) and for

the LGM (21 ka)

140 ka 21 ka

Winter 90 93

Spring 97 89

Summer 92 90

Fall 86 94

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

performed for the LGM to estimate the Eurasian ice sheet

sensitivity to the oceanic surface conditions. Then we

derive Late Saalian SST through a modeling experiment.

As a first step, we use a simplified AGCM coupled to an

ocean mixed layer model to simulate the Late Saalian SST

(the LGM SST are simulated as well as a control experi-

ment). As a second step, we estimate the influence of those

simulated Late Saalian SST on the surface mass balance of

the Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet and on the Northern

Hemisphere climate to finally understand if these simulated

oceanic surface conditions contribute to the stability of this

ice sheet over the continent.

2 Methods and settings

This work is divided into two distinct parts:

1. the sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian

ice sheets with respect to the prescribed LGM SST

reconstructions by CLIMAP (1984) and Paul and

Schaefer-Neth (2003).

2. the sensitivity of the Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet to

simulated SST

Concerning the first topic, the Late Saalian and the LGM

climates are explored and compared through 21 year

snap-shots generated using the LMDZ4 AGCM (see

description below, Hourdin et al. 2006). For the second

topic, Late Saalian SSTs are computed using the Planet

Simulator AGCM mixed layer model (Fraedrich et al.

2005). The Late Saalian climate is computed by the

LMDZ4 using these simulated Late Saalian SST. These

results are then compared with the Late Saalian climate

previously obtained forcing the LMDZ4 with Paul and

Schaefer-Neth (2003) LGM SST. The outline of this

procedure is presented in Fig. 3.

2.1 Late Saalian atmospheric simulations: the LMDZ4

model

Twenty-one year snap-shots are performed using the

LMDZ4 atmospheric general circulation model (Hourdin

et al. 2006) which takes into account the climatic impact of

Table 2 Measured SST from

various sources for both LGM

(21 ka) and Late Saalian

(140 ka)

Data are classified according to

annual values (Annu.), summer

values (Sum.) and winter values

(Win.). Data have been

measured and inverted

according different methods:

alkenone (Alk.), Mg/Ca ratio,

foraminifera

Ocean SST (�C) SST (�C) Season Method Ref.

21 ka 140 ka

Atl. 12.5 13.8 Annu. Alk. Calvo et al. (2001)

Atl. 21.5 21.5 Annu. Alk. Schneider et al. (1995)

Atl. 18.0 18.0 Annu. Alk. Schneider (1999)

Atl. 9.8 11.5 Annu. Alk. Pelejero et al. (2006)

Atl. 10.2 9.2 Annu. Alk. Pelejero et al. (2006)

Atl. 16.5 17.0 Annu. Alk. Schneider et al. (1995)

Atl. 23.0 24.0 Annu. Alk. Schneider et al. (1996)

Atl. 14.5 14.25 Annu. Alk. Kirst et al. (1999)

Atl. 8.8 14.0 Annu. Alk. Villanueva et al. (2002)

Atl. 13.0 16.0 Annu. Alk. Pahnke and Sachs (2006)

Pacif. 22.5 22.5 Annu. Mg/Ca Lea et al. (2000)

Pacif. 26.0 26.0 Annu. Mg/Ca Lea et al. (2000)

Pacif. 19.0 19.0 Annu. Mg/Ca Nurnberg and Groeneveld (2006)

Pacif. 22.0 21.25 Annu. Mg/Ca Wei et al. (2007)

Pacif. 21.0 22.0 Annu. 44Ca/40Ca Hippler et al. (2006)

Pacif. 9.8 9.0 Annu. Alk. Pahnke and Sachs (2006)

Ant. 6.6 7.0 Annu. Mg/Ca Mashiotta et al. (1999)

Atl. 5.0 8.0 Sum. foram Abreu et al. (2003)

Atl. 3.5 3.0 Sum. Mg/Ca Kandiano et al. (2004)

Atl. 11.75 12.5 Sum. mod. ana. Chapman et al. (2000)

Pacif. 27.4 28 Sum. planc. trans. Chen et al. (2003)

Pacif. 12.5 11 Sum. mod. ana. Schaefer et al. (2005)

Pacif. 4.0 3.5 Sum. mod. ana. Schaefer et al. (2005)

Pacif. 23.0 23.0 Win. planc. trans. Chen et al. (2003)

Pacif. 9.0 8.0 Win. mod. ana. Schaefer et al. (2005)

Atl. 11.0 13.0 Win. planc. trans. Chen et al. (2002)

Atl. 0.0 0.0 Win. Mg/Ca Kandiano et al. (2004)

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

open water surfaces and dust concentration in snow

(Krinner 2003; Krinner et al. 2006). The model is run with

96 9 72 grid cells and with 19 vertical layers. The hori-

zontal resolution is irregular, varying from 100 km in

Eurasia (at 65�N/60�E) to 550 km elsewhere.

2.1.1 LGM boundary conditions

In the LGM experiments, we use the ICE-5G ice sheet

extent and topography (Peltier 2004), the LGM dust

deposition map from Mahowald et al (1999) and the LGM

vegetation distribution from Crowley (1995). The eustatic

sea-level is set to 130 m below present-day sea-level,

which corresponds to the LGM global ice equivalent

sea-level of ICE-5G. Orbital parameters have been set

according to Berger and Loutre (1991) and greenhouse gas

(GHG) concentrations (Fig. 1) have been specified

according to the results from the Vostok and EPICA ice

cores recovered at Dome C in Antarctica respectively (Petit

et al. 2001; Spahni et al. 2005).

2.1.2 Late Saalian boundary conditions

With the exception for in the Eurasian region, we used the

LGM global ice topography and ice sheet extents provided

by Peltier (2004), assuming that the differences between

the Late Saalian glacial maximum and LGM geographies

far from our region of interest are sufficiently small to not

critically influence our results. The Eurasian Late Saalian

maximum ice sheet topography was computed with the

GRISLI ice model (Ritz et al. 2001; Peyaud 2006; Peyaud

et al. 2007) using the reconstructed ice limits from

Svendsen et al. (2004) and taking into account lithospheric

deflection (Fig. 1). Eustatic sea-level is set at 110 m below

present-day sea-level according to Shackleton et al. (1990)

and Peyaud (2006).

During this period, ice dammed lakes formed along the

southern margins of the Eurasian ice sheet (Colleoni et al.

2009b), dust transportation within the atmosphere was

reduced compared to that of the LGM (Delmonte et al.

2004; Winckler et al. 2008) and vegetation might have

been different from that of Crowley (1995) prescribed as

first approximation in our simulations. The impact of these

parameters on the regional climate and on the SMB of the

Eurasian ice sheet has been further addressed in Colleoni

et al. (2009a, b). In this present work orbital parameters

have been set according to Berger and Loutre (1991) and

greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations (Fig. 1) have been

specified according to Vostok and EPICA Dome C ice core

concentration records (Petit et al. 2001; Spahni et al.

2005).

2.2 Simulating the Late Saalian SST: the Planet

Simulator model

In order to compute the Late Saalian surface ocean con-

ditions, we use the Planet Simulator (PLASIM) general

circulation model of intermediate complexity (Fraedrich

et al. 2005) because the LMDZ4 does not include an

oceanic mixed layer. The atmospheric component of

PLASIM is an AGCM, which is based on the moist

primitive equations representing conservation of momen-

tum, mass and energy. The equations are solved on a

Gaussian grid in the horizontal direction, corresponding to

a T42 resolution (128 9 64) in the horizontal direction,

and on 10 vertical sigma levels.

The AGCM is interactively coupled to a mixed layer

ocean (mixed layer depth is set to 50 m by default) and to a

Fig. 3 Scheme of the simulations carried out using Planet Simulator

(Fraedrich et al. 2005) to compute the Late Saalian SSTs and using

the LMDZ4 (Hourdin et al. 2006) to obtain a final Late Saalian

climate. Methods and boundary conditions for each stage are detailed

in Sects. 2.2 and 2.1.2

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

simple thermodynamic sea-ice model. In this model, the

oceanic heat transport is monthly prescribed and is

parameterized according to:

Qc2¼ qwcwhmix

Tmixc� Tmix

sTð1Þ

where cw is the specific heat capacity of sea water, qw cor-

responds to the density of sea water, hmix stands for the mixed

layer depth, Tmix is the temperature of the mixed layer and sT

represents the time scale at which Tmix is relaxed to its cli-

matological value Tmixc (sT = 50 days). This method makes

it possible to calculate SST and has been previously used by

Romanova et al. (2005, 2006) to investigate the effect of

ocean heat fluxes on glacial climates.

In the absence of any available Late Saalian sea surface

reconstructions, the oceanic heat transports are calculated

using Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003) LGM SST recon-

structions. To extract the monthly oceanic heat fluxes, we

performed a LGM control simulation of 21 years forcing

PLASIM with Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003) LGM sea

surface conditions. We choose to base the calculation on

Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003) LGM SST because this

reconstruction is in closer agreement with the temperatures

estimated from analysis of marine sediment cores than the

LGM CLIMAP reconstruction (CLIMAP 1984). LGM

zonally averaged ocean heat fluxes are plotted together

with the present-day ocean heat fluxes (Rayner et al. 2003)

for comparison in Fig. 4b. In this LGM control run, we use

ICE-5G ice topography (Peltier 2004), vegetation is pre-

scribed as the fraction of forest extracted from the Crowley

(1995) LGM vegetation map, the CO2 concentration is set

to 194 ppm (Petit et al. 2001) and the orbital parameters

are calculated for 21 ka according to Berger and Loutre

(1991).

To validate the method and prevent model deviation, we

computed the LGM SST (refered to as PS21) forcing

PLASIM (50 model-years) with the monthly LGM ocean

heat fluxes extracted from the previous LGM control

simulation. The difference between the simulated LGM

SST and the Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003) LGM SST

reconstruction shows no significant anomaly except for in

the Indian ocean, off the Australian coasts (Fig. 4a). The

sea-ice cover is almost similar to that of Paul and Schaefer-

Neth (2003) (Fig. 5).

To simulate the Late Saalian surface oceanic conditions

(refered to as PS140), PLASIM is forced using the calcu-

lated monthly LGM ocean flux corrections. Orbital

parameters are adjusted to 140 ka, CO2 concentration is set

to 192 ppm (Petit et al. 2001). The simulation is performed

for 50 model-years, sea surface equilibrium is reached after

25 model-years and the last 15 years are used for analysis.

The various SST reconstructions used in this work are

summarized in Table 3.

2.3 Atmospheric General Circulation Model

Simulations

In total, five LMDZ4 snap-shots of 21 years each have

been carried out. P03140 and CLIM140 (140 refers to the

Late Saalian glacial maximum) have been forced using

Paul and Schaefer- Neth (2003) (refered to as P03) and

CLIMAP (1984) (refered to as CLIMAP) LGM sea surface

conditions respectively (Table 3 and 4). To allow for

comparison, similar experiments have been performed for

the LGM period (P0321 and CLIM21). Since the Paul and

Schaefer-Neth (2003) reconstruction agrees better with

geological data compared to the CLIMAP global recon-

struction, P03140 and P0321 will be considered as the ref-

erence simulations for the Late Saalian and the LGM

respectively and all impacts will be expressed as anomalies

to them (differences or ratio). Finally, to estimate the

impact of the simulated Late Saalian SST on the Late

Saalian Eurasian ice sheet, we simulated the climate at

140 ka (FULL140), using the LMDZ4 with the prescribed

PS140 simulated SST. Since these Late Saalian SSTs have

been generated using the computed ocean heat fluxes from

the LGM Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003) reconstruction,

FULL140 is further compared to P03140.

Fig. 4 Mean annual SSTs anomaly between the simulated LGM SST

PS21 (LGM control run) and the LGM SST reconstruction of Paul

and Schaefer-Neth (2003) (P03). Meridional oceanic heat fluxes

computed by Planet Simulator for both present-day (black) and LGM

(red, using P03)

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

The annual surface mass balance (SMB) of the ice sheet

is evaluated according to the temperature index method of

Ohmura and Reeh (1996). In this method, surface ablation

is diagnosed when mean summer surface air temperature

(TJJA), recalculated on a fine resolution grid with altitude-

correction, exceeds a prescribed threshold of -1.8�C. The

total ablation (in kg m-2 year-1) is then calculated as:

A ¼ 514�C�1 � TJJA þ 930 ð2Þ

where TJJA is in �C. We downscale the GCM surface air

temperature to a 20-km grid by applying a 5.5�C km-1

summer temperature correction to account for altitude

changes (Krinner and Genthon 1999; Abe-Ouchi et al.

2007). The surface mass balance B is then calculated as:

B ¼ PS � E � A ð3Þ

where PS and E represent solid precipitation and evapo-

ration, respectively. The mean annual SMB is calculated

for each simulation using the components listed in Table 5.

Student t tests have been performed between P03 and

CLIM, and P03 and PS140 to better assess the effective

impact of sea surface conditions on the Northern Hemi-

sphere climate. Since the simulated datasets are available

for 20 years each, the degree of freedom is 38 calculated

from (N1 ? N2 - 2) and results will be accepted if

probability is lower than 5%.

3 Results

In this section we compare the prescribed P03 and CLI-

MAP SSTs by analyzing their climatic impacts during the

Late Saalian (CLIM140 - P03140) and then during the LGM

(CLIM21 - P0321). Following this analysis we present the

simulated surface ocean reconstruction PS140 and evaluate

its impact on the Late Saalian Eurasian climate by com-

paring simulations FULL140 with P03140.

3.1 CLIMAP SST versus Paul and Schaefer-Neth

(2003) SST

The LGM sea surface temperatures P03 and CLIMAP are

generally similar except for in the North Atlantic and in the

tropical and equatorial regions. During boreal winter

Fig. 5 Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent for the four SST

reconstructions used in the present study (Figs. 4, 6 and 12): P03

(green), CLIMAP (black), PS21 (blue) and PS140 (red) for winter

(DJF) and summer (JJA)

Table 3 Summary of the various pre-existing or simulated sea sur-

face conditions (SSTs and sea-ice cover) used in the AGCM

simulations

ID Orbit (ka) Ice topography

P03 (Paul and Schaefer-Neth 2003) 21 21 ka

CLIMAP (CLIMAP 1984) 21 21 ka

PS21 21 ICE-5G

PS140 140 ICE-5G ? Euras140

PS140_t21 140 ICE-5G

PS140_orb21 21 ICE-5G ? Euras140

LGM reconstructions, PS21 and PS140 for the computed LGM and

Late Saalian surface ocean, respectively (this study, Sect. 2.2),

PS140_t21 (using the full LGM ICE-5G ice topography from Peltier

2004) and PS140_orb21 (setting the orbital at LGM but using the

140 ka ice topography) computed SSTs. The Late Saalian and the

LGM time period are referred to as 140 and 21 ka, respectively. ICE-

5G refers to the full LGM ice topography (including the LGM Eur-

asian component) while ICE-5G ? Euras140 refers to the LGM ice

topography in which the Eurasian ice sheet is substituted by that of

the Late Saalian (Fig. 1)

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

(December, January, February, DJF), the CLIMAP SST

reconstruction suggests about 2�C colder temperatures than

P03 in the Southern Hemisphere, while it is about 2 to 4�C

warmer in the Asian North Pacific. During boreal summer

(June, July, August, JJA), the CLIMAP North Pacific is

&1 to 2�C colder than P03. Along the tropical and equa-

torial African shorelines large differences of &4 to 8�C

between the two reconstructions can be observed during

both winter and summer (Fig. 6c, d).

In the North Atlantic high latitudes, the large CLIMAP

sea-ice cover induces a cooling of &2 to 5�C during both

winter and summer. During winter, the CLIMAP sea-ice

covers the entire North Atlantic from 45�N while this area is

open in P03 southward of Iceland in the east and from 60�N

in the west (Fig. 5). The CLIMAP sea-ice limit retreats

northward in summer but still covers a large part of the North

Atlantic while in P03, the southern portion of the Norwegian

Sea becomes open. In the North Pacific, sea-ice remains

confined to the Bering Sea and its extent is similar during

both winter and summer in P03 while in CLIMAP, the annual

cycle of sea-ice extent is more pronounced (Fig. 5).

3.1.1 The Late Saalian glacial maximum: comparing

CLIM140 and P03140

Compared to P03, the most extensive CLIMAP sea-ice

extent causes a large negative temperature anomaly of

about 20 to 25�C in the North Atlantic south of Iceland

(Fig. 7c). This lowers the temperature over the Arctic

Ocean by about 5�C and affects the 500 hPa geopotential

height which shows a strong negative anomaly of &50 to

110 m over this area (Fig. 7a). Storm tracks are generally

stronger where the meridional gradients of surface tem-

peratures are the strongest. In CLIM140, the storm tracks

are consequently strengthened along the sea-ice edge

(&45�N). This tends to reduce the Icelandic low located

further to the North and causes an increase in sea-level

pressure (SLP) by about 8 mb (Fig. 7b). This effect has

been documented by Simmonds and Wu (1993) in the

present-day Southern Hemisphere where cyclones become

weaker over the sea-ice area. An effect of the sea-ice cover

is that evaporation almost ceases and, thus, the precipita-

tion drops by approximately 40 to 60% over the North

Atlantic (Fig. 7c). Since the CLIMAP sea-ice reaches

further South, evaporation and precipitation are concen-

trated along the sea-ice edge (Fig. 7c–e). The storm tracks

activity is intensified and shifted further to East (Fig. 8a, b)

compared to P03140. This phenomenon has previously been

shown by Kageyama et al (1999) in which the simulated

LGM extensive sea-ice cover pulls the storm tracks east-

ward. An additional result from the regional cooling caused

by the CLIMAP sea-ice cover (Fig. 7c) is that precipitation

is decreased with about 50% over Central Eurasia. How-

ever, the more extensive sea-ice leads to a larger snow

mass in Siberia in CLIM140 (Fig. 7f).

SMB is more positive along the southern margins of

the Eurasian (300 kg m-2 year-1) when CLIMAP SST

reconstruction is prescribed (Fig. 9b) due to an increase in

precipitation by about 30 to 70% over these areas (Fig. 7e).

On the contrary, the Atlantic margin exhibits negative

SMB values (&- 200 kg m-2 year-1) due to a reduction

in precipitation over the Arctic Ocean also affecting this

margin (Fig. 7e). The mean annual SMB is positive in both

the CLIM140 and the P03140 simulations due to a small

ablation and evaporation (Table 5). The difference between

CLIM140 (239 kg m-2 year-1) and P03140 (225 kg m-2

Table 4 Summary of the LMDZ4 21 years snap-shots performed in this work and their boundary conditions

Time period SST Ice topo. Dust Lakes Vegetation

FULL140 140 ka PS140 ICE-5G ? Euras140 k Adapted from [2] Yes LGM

P03140 140 ka P03 ICE-5G ? Euras140 k Adapted from [2] Yes LGM

CLIM140 140 ka CLIMAP ICE-5G ? Euras140 k Adapted from [2] Yes LGM

P0321 21 ka P03 ICE-5G [1] No LGM

CLIM21 21 ka CLIMAP ICE-5G [1] No LGM

Simulations ran for the Late Saalian period (140 ka) and the LGM (21 ka). Refer to Table 3 for the SST reconstructions. As described in Sect.

2.1.2, we use ICE-5G (Peltier 2004) ice topography for both simulated time periods. For the Late Saalian, the Eurasian component (referred to as

Euras140k in this table) is from Peyaud (2006). Dust deposition map are from [1] Mahowald et al (1999) LGM reconstructions and are adapted to

the Late Saalian according to [2] Colleoni et al (2009b). Lakes correspond to the proglacial lakes that were present during the Late Saalian only

and we prescribed LGM vegetation (Crowley, 1995) for all the simulations

Table 5 Mean annual surface mass balance (SMB) and its compo-

nents (average over the Eurasian ice sheet, in kg m-2 year -1)

(kg m-2 year -1) FULL140 P03140 CLIM140 P0321 CLIM21

Tot. precip 238* 303 308 488 445*

Snow 236* 288 294* 430 401*

Evap. 37* 51 48* 104 86*

Ablation 0* 11 7* 118 67*

SMB 199* 225 239* 208 248*

* Significant difference from the Student t test (CLIM - P03 and

FULL - P03)

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

year-1) is statistically significant at 5%, but not very

strong.

3.1.2 The Last Glacial Maximum: comparing CLIM21 and

P0321

During the LGM, the climatic impact caused by the CLI-

MAP sea-ice cover shows a pattern similar to the Late

Saalian. Compared to P0321, CLIM21 presents a negative

anomaly of about 5 to 25�C over the North Atlantic. This

negative temperature anomaly spreads over Eurasia and

causes a cooling of &5�C (Fig. 10c). This in turn influ-

ences the 500 hPa geopotential height which is characteri-

zed by a negative anomaly of about 60 m over this region.

As explained previously, storm tracks are generally stron-

ger where the meridional gradients of surface temperatures

are the strongest. Consequently, the storm tracks in

CLIM21 are strengthened similarly to CLIM140 at the sea-

ice edge (&45�N). This reduces the Icelandic depression

located northward of the edge and causes an increase in

SLP by approximately 8 mb (Fig. 10b). Large sea-ice

cover almost stops evaporation. This results in decreased

precipitation by &60% over the North Atlantic (Fig. 10c,

e). As for CLIM140, evaporation and precipitation are

increased at the sea-ice edge in CLIM21 and the storm

tracks activity is intensified and shifted southward (Fig. 6c,

d). Contrary to the Late Saalian, the LGM Siberian snow

height is almost similar in the CLIM21 and P0321 simula-

tions (Fig. 10f).

The higher SMB values along the southern Eurasian ice

sheet margin in CLIM21 result from cooler temperatures

spreading over Eurasia (Fig. 9b). As for the Late Saalian,

the ice sheet margin near the Atlantic shows more negative

SMB in CLIM21 than in P0321 due to the CLIMAP sea-ice

cooling effect. However, this negative SMB anomaly

extends farther into the ice sheet during the LGM. This

contributes to strongly reduce evaporation from the ice

sheet. The LGM mean annual SMB in CLIM21

(248 kg m-2 year-1) is significantly higher than that of

P0321 (208 kg m-2 year-1, Table 5).

3.2 The Late Saalian surface ocean

In the previous section, we have shown that the Late

Saalian Eurasian ice sheet is less sensitive to changes in

SST than its LGM counterpart. The much higher Late

Saalian ice sheet confines most of the circulation anomalies

caused by the variation in the sea-ice extent into the North

Atlantic and the Arctic Ocean while they spread over

Eurasia during the LGM. This reduces the Late Saalian

Eurasian ice sheet sensitivity to the changes in SST. But

how will the Eurasian Late Saalian ice sheet react in

Fig. 6 Prescribed and simulated SST conditions: a Winter (December–January–February, DJF) from Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003) (P03),

b same as a. but for summer (June–July–August, JJA); LGM SST anomalies between CLIMAP and P03 during winter (c) and summer (d)

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

AGCM experiments if we infer simulated sea surface

temperatures in equilibrium with the more extreme Late

Saalian boundary conditions? Will the simulated Late

Saalian SST have the same impact on the Northern

Hemisphere climate as when using the LGM SST CLIMAP

(1984) and Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003)?

Fig. 7 Late Saalian climate anomalies between CLIM140 and P03140

over the Northern Hemisphere (30�–90�N). Differences are calculated

as (CLIM140–P03140) for: a geopotential height at 500 hPa (m), b sea-

level pressure (SLP in mb), c. air temperature at 2 m (t2m in �C); d, e

precipitation and evaporation anomalies expressed as the ratio

(CLIM140/P03140) and f snow height (kg m-2). Refer to Table 4 for

details about the settings of the simulations

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

In the following section, we present the results from the

numerical experiment carried out using PLASIM (AGC-

M ? ocean mixed layer). Comparison between LGM and

Late Saalian sea surface temperatures will be performed

using PS21, which correspond to the simulated LGM SST

control run (Table 3). The experimental setup has been

previously described in Sect. 2.2.

3.2.1 Simulated sea surface conditions

The Late Saalian SST derived from the PS140 PLASIM

simulation are generally in good agreement with the mean

annual temperatures estimated from the marine sediment

cores reported in Table 2. A comparison between the

sediment core data and the simulated summer SSTs is

displayed in Fig. 11. The methods used to estimate SST

from marine sediment records commonly hold a bias

towards summer temperatures (Goni et al. 2001). For this

reason we show the comparison for summer. In the tropical

and equatorial Atlantic, PS140 matches Late Saalian data

well. In our study, the North Atlantic and North Pacific

constitute key areas due to their impacts on the Eurasian

ice sheets. In the North Atlantic, our reconstruction is

colder than suggested by the paleo-temperatures from

marine sediment cores (Fig. 11). The sea-ice edge reaches

as far South as to northern Spain and northwestern Portugal

during winter (Fig. 5a) while it retreats a bit northward

during summer, opening the ocean (Fig. 5b). On the con-

trary in the North Pacific, the only evidence displayed in

Fig. 11 is in good agreement with the simulated SST. It

should be noted that the very few core data available with

SST estimates for MIS 6 in northern high to mid latitudes

are not enough to confirm the temperature/sea-ice trend in

the North Pacific, where the sea-ice edge reaches Northern

Canada during both winter and summer (Fig. 5a, b), or the

trend in the North Atlantic (Fig. 5a, b). Planktonic fora-

miniferal records from the eastern North Atlantic suggest

that the polar front was shifted much southward during the

Fig. 8 Northern Hemisphere variance of band pass filtered (3:7)

winter sea-level pressure (mb) following Kageyama et al (1999) for

the Late Saalian (a, b) and the LGM (c, d) for simulations forced with

CLIMAP and P03 SSTs. Black thick lines stand for the ice sheet

contours of both periods

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

Late Saalian glaciation than during the LGM (Crowley

1981). In summary, the sparse data available point to that

PLASIM may underestimate sea surface temperatures in

the North Atlantic and there might have been slightly more

open conditions over the Northern Hemisphere during

winter than simulated. For the North Pacific, the authors

are not aware of any references which can confirm the large

sea-ice extent simulated in our reconstruction. The mis-

match observed between the marine evidence summarized

in Table 2 and the simulated PS140 SST may be due the

limitation of the ocean mixed layer dynamics. In PLASIM,

the ocean heat transport is limited to the oceanic surface

layer, which is set to a depth of 50 m (this parameter is

further discussed below), and SSTs are equilibrated only

with the input from atmospheric fluxes (see Sect. 2.2).

Without any deep ocean dynamics, the mixed layer does

not redistribute efficiently the excess and/or lack of oceanic

heat over the latitudes and may strengthen the bias between

the marine evidence and our simulated reconstructions.

The difference between PS21 and PS140 presents a pro-

nounced asymmetric sea surface temperature distribution

between the Northern and the Southern Hemispheres during

Fig. 9 Surface mass balance (SMB) of the Eurasian ice sheet

reference simulations P0321 (a), P03140 (c) and SMB anomalies

between the reference simulations and CLIM21 (b) and CLIM140 (d);

e same as for c but for simulation FULL140 (with simulated Late

Saalian SSTs) and f corresponds SMB anomalies between FULL140

and the reference Late Saalian simulation P03140. Values indicated on

the figures correspond to the mean annual surface mass balance of

each simulations summarized in Table 5

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

both winter (DJF) and summer (JJA) (Fig. 12c, d). The

equilibrium state of PS140 is globally warmer than PS21

by about 4�C in the Southern Hemisphere and cooler by

about 4�C in the Northern Hemisphere. A zonal band of

8�C anomaly appears in the North Atlantic and in the

North Pacific at &40�N. This anomaly corresponds to

the difference between the sea-ice cover southward

extent in PS140 and PS21 (Fig. 5). In PS21, the North

Atlantic is open during both winter and summer while

this is not the case in PS140, where the North Atlantic

Fig. 10 Same as for Fig. 7 but for the LGM period: CLIM21-P0321 (see Table 4)

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

remains partly covered even during summer (Fig. 5). In

PS140, the sea-ice limit reaches the North of Spain

(&40�N), which is the southernmost sea-ice cover of all

the reconstructions we use in this study (CLIMAP sea-

ice cover stops in Brittany during winter and off Ireland

during summer). In the North Pacific, the negative sea

surface temperature anomaly is caused by the sea-ice

cover that extends more southward in PS140 than in

PS21 (sea-ice is confined to the Bering Sea). Due to the

similar sea-ice extent during both winter and summer in

PS140, seasonality is strongly reduced compared to

PS21.

Fig. 11 Comparison between

computed mean annual sea

surface temperatures PS140

(�C) and 140 ka marine

sediment cores SSTs (dots and

associated values in �C)

summarised in Table 2

Fig. 12 Simulated Late Saalian SST (referred as PS140) for winter (a) and summer (b) and SST anomalies between PS140 and PS21 for both

seasons (c, d)

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

To understand the origin of the pronounced inter-

hemispheric asymmetry observed in Fig. 12, we test whe-

ther it results from the exceptional Late Saalian Eurasian

ice sheet topography, which largely affects the atmospheric

circulation in the Northern Hemisphere, rather than from

the extreme orbital forcing amplifying the precession effect

during this period. We thus performed two more PLASIM

simulations, using the ocean mixed layer to equilibrate SST

(see Sect. 2.2). The outcomes are compared to PS21 in the

same manner as for PS140 in Fig. 12c and d. In the first

simulation PS140_orb21, we isolated the topographic

effect on SST using the 140 ka boundary conditions and

the Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet and setting the orbital

configuration to the 21 ka (Table 3). In the second simu-

lation PS140_t21, we isolated the effect of the orbital

parameters using the 140 ka boundary conditions and

orbital configuration together with the full LGM ICE-5G

ice topography, even over Eurasia. Comparison between

PS140_orb21 and PS21 (Fig. 13a) shows a large mean

annual inter-hemispheric SST asymmetry: colder Northern

Hemisphere SST (about - 6�C) and warmer Southern

Hemisphere SST (about ? 4�C) when using the huge Late

Saalian Eurasian topography. On the contrary, comparison

between PS140_t21 and PS21 (Fig. 13b) shows that the

orbital parameters do not have any significant effect on

mean annual SST. If we now compare these results with the

inter-hemispheric SST asymmetry visible between PS140

and PS21 in Fig. 12, the amplitude of this asymmetry is

similar to that observed between PS140_orb21 and PS21.

We can therefore conclude that this SST asymmetry only

results from the interactions between the large and high

Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet and the atmospheric cir-

culation. The extreme Late Saalian orbital forcing, com-

pared to the LGM, does not affect the simulated sea surface

temperatures. This has not been previously addressed in the

literature and will be the subject of future investigations.

Fig. 13 a Difference between the simulated SST PS21 (LGM SST

control run) and simulated 140 ka SST PS140_orb21 accounting for

the LGM orbital parameters (see Table 3). b Difference between

PS21 and simulated 140 ka SST PS140_t21 accounting for the LGM

ice sheets topography (see Table 3). c, d simulated 140 ka sea-ice

cover for the PS140 (green), the PS140_t21 (red) and for the

PS140_orb21 (blue)

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

3.2.2 Impact of the simulated SST on the Late Saalian

climate

In this section, we evaluate the impact of the simulated

Late Saalian SSTs on the Northern Hemisphere climate and

on the SMB of the Eurasian ice sheet. We forced the

LMDZ4 with the simulated SSTs reconstruction and

obtained a 21-year Late Saalian climate (FULL140, see

Table 4).

The cooling of the ocean surface causes an annual drop

in air temperature of about &10�C over the entire hemi-

sphere. This large decrease in temperature induces mean

annual anticyclonic conditions over the Northern Hemi-

sphere (Fig. 14b, c).

In both North Atlantic and North Pacific, the large

southward sea-ice extent (Fig. 5) causes a negative tem-

perature anomaly of &10 to 20�C (Fig. 14c). This

increases sea-level pressure by &8 mb over the North

Atlantic and the North Pacific where sea-ice is more

extended. This anticyclonic activity contributes to a large

reduction of precipitation of about 60% and evaporation

over this area by more than 90% (Fig. 14d, f). The large

sea-ice extent also globally affects the 500 hPa geopoten-

tial height over the Northern Hemisphere (&-60 m

anomaly) and large negative anomalies of &120 m are

located over the North Atlantic and the Bering Sea. These

circulation changes intensify the storm tracks activity

whose North Atlantic center is almost similar to that in

CLIM140 but larger and more intense than in P03140

(Figs. 8a, b, 14e).

In FULL140, a permanent snow cover develops over

Siberia and is more extended than in P03140 (Fig. 15).

However, in FULL140, moisture fluxes over Siberia nor-

mally coming from the North Pacific are reduced compared

to those of P03140 (not shown) due the more extended sea-

ice cover in the North Pacific in PS140 (Fig. 5). Therefore,

the larger snow cover in FULL140 only results from the

global cooling generated by the simulated SSTs which

reduces the melting of the snow during spring and summer

months. This can directly contribute to the eastward

development of the Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet while

during the LGM no permanent snow cover could develop

due to a larger amount of dust deposition on snow (Krinner

et al. 2006). Blocking the moisture fluxes coming from the

Atlantic as well as a cold and dry climate (Siegert and

Marsiat 2001) also favor the stability of this Eurasian ice

sheet.

Because of the global cooling caused by cooler SSTs

and greater sea-ice extent, there is no more ablation

occuring over the ice sheet (Fig. 9e). The SMB is more

positive over the western part of the ice sheet since the

global cooling reduces the ablation caused by the heat

fluxes coming from the East Atlantic (Fig. 9f). On the

contrary, due to the strong negative temperature anomaly

dramatically reducing precipitation over Siberia, the east-

ern part of the ice sheet exhibits a far more negative SMB

compared to P03140. Similarly, the Atlantic margin shows a

more negative SMB value because of the large reduction of

the moisture fluxes which cannot provide this area with

precipitation as in P03140. Mean annual surface mass bal-

ance is approximately 204 kg m-2 year-1 (Table 5).

Compared to P03140, the evaporation has been reduced by

10 kg m-2 year-1 and snow fall by 52 kg m-2 year-1. In

the case of FULL140, the lack of accumulation prevails on

the absence of ablation and decreases SMB.

4 Discussion

What causes the Eurasian ice sheet to be more than 75%

larger and twice as thick during the Late Saalian glaci-

ation compared to the LGM is not known. In this work

we investigate whether or not the ocean surface condi-

tions, more precisely SSTs, could have influenced the

Eurasian ice sheets extent and volume. The few available

marine sediment cores where SST has been estimated for

both the LGM and the Late Saalian time periods suggest

quite similar temperatures (Table 2). But these few data

points, widely spread out in the vast World Ocean, do

not allow us to conclude that the Late Saalian and the

LGM SST were globally similar and do not rule out that

SST could have played a critical role in explaining the

difference in Eurasian ice volume between the LGM and

the Late Saalian. Therefore, we specifically addressed,

using the PLASIM general circulation model of inter-

mediate complexity, whether the global sea surface

conditions may have been different during the Late

Saalian compared to the LGM and if the oceanic forc-

ings could explain the difference in ice topography. We

ultimately evaluated the sensitivity of the surface mass

balance to the various prescribed and simulated sea

surface conditions.

Three sets of experiments have been performed:

– Prescribing LGM Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003) SST

for both glacial periods,

– Prescribing LGM CLIMAP (1984) SST for both glacial

periods,

– Prescribing the simulated 140 ka (peak of the Late

Saalian) SST to simulate the Late Saalian climate.

4.1 CLIMAP versus Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003)

Changing sea surface conditions towards colder SST, i.e.

from P03 to CLIMAP LGM reconstructions, causes large

negative geopotential anomalies during both Late Saalian

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

Fig. 14 Late Saalian mean annual climate anomalies between

FULL140 and P03140 over the Northern Hemisphere (30–90�N).

Difference are calculated as (FULL140–P03140) for: a geopotential

height at 500 hPa (m), b sea-level pressure (SLP in mb), c air

temperature at 2 meters (t2m in �C); d, f precipitation and evapo-

ration anomalies expressed as the ratio (FULL140/P03140) and f winter

storm tracks activity (refer to Table 4 for details about the settings of

the simulations)

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

and LGM over the North Atlantic due to a larger southward

sea-ice extent. Compared to P03, the CLIMAP SST gene-

rates a global cooling leading to reduced ablation along the

southern margins of the Eurasian ice sheet and thus to a

more positive SMB. However, the amplitude and the

intensity of the climate anomalies over the North Atlantic

and Eurasia are strongly dependent on the Eurasian ice

sheet topography. In all the Late Saalian simulations, its

high orography systematically blocks climatic impacts due

to changed SST and sea-ice extent over the North Atlantic

and Arctic Ocean and prevents them from spreading over

Eurasia. This strengthens the contrast between ocean and

continent, and also intensifies the North Atlantic storm

tracks during the Late Saalian time period (Fig. 8). During

the LGM, the lower ice topography allows for an open

circulation over Eurasia and over the ice sheet itself.

For both time periods, the Atlantic and the Arctic mar-

gins are very sensitive to any changes in SST or sea-ice

extent (Fig. 5). However, since the LGM ice sheet is lower

and less extended over Eurasia than during the Late Saa-

lian, its SMB is more sensitive to the climatic conditions

along the North Atlantic and Arctic margins. On the con-

trary, since the Late Saalian ice sheet is higher and larger,

although responding similarly to the LGM ice sheet along

the oceanic margins, its SMB is less sensitive because the

higher elevation and the larger extent compensate for

temperature fluctuations and consequently reduce the effect

on ablation and sublimation (Table 5).

The differences between the mean annual SMB values

are statistically significant for both glacial periods as

shown by the Student t test at 5% (Table 5). Note that for

the Late Saalian simulations, total precipitation and snow

fall over the ice sheet are of the same order and differences

are mainly caused by ablation and evaporation variations.

This is not the case for the LGM simulations which show

significant differences between all the components. Con-

sequently, we can conclude that a seasonally open North

Atlantic induces more heat advection toward the continent

and this directly affects the ablation of the ice sheet.

Similarly to Dong and Valdes (1998), we show that cooler

SST do not impact significantly on precipitation but only

on ablation and evaporation when using the CLIMAP and

Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003) LGM SST, regardless of

the ice topography (Table 5, solid stars).

4.2 The Late Saalian surface ocean

4.2.1 Simulated oceanic conditions

In Sect. 3.2.1 we show that the Late Saalian simulated SST

are colder than the temperatures derived from the marine

records (Table 2) in the high latitudes of both hemispheres.

This suggests that slightly more open water conditions in

the North Atlantic and in the North Pacific may have

prevailed in the Northern Hemisphere than those simulated

in this work. The experiment using ocean heat fluxes cal-

culated with the prescribed CLIMAP SST to compute the

Late Saalian surface ocean leads to similar sea-ice extent

and sea surface temperatures as when using Paul and

Schaefer-Neth (2003)-derived ocean heat fluxes.

Differences between P03 and the simulated Late Saalian

SST PS140 result in a pronounced inter-hemispheric tem-

perature asymmetry (Fig. 12c, d). In our reconstruction,

the Northern Hemisphere surface ocean is approximately

4�C colder compared to Paul and Schaefer-Neth (2003)

while the Southern Hemisphere is warmer by about 4�C. At

a first glance it may seem like this asymmetry could be

associated with a ‘‘seesaw’’ effect previously documented

in literature (Broecker 1998; Stocker 1998; Ganopolski and

Fig. 15 Late Saalian snow frequency (days) of simulations P03140

and FULL140 over the Northern Hemisphere (30–90�N)

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

Rahmstorf 2001; Clark et al. 2002) resulting from ther-

mohaline variations in the Atlantic Ocean in turn causing

heat release from one of the two hemispheres out of phase

with the other. However, Planet Simulator does not sim-

ulate deep circulation and consequently, this inter-hemi-

spheric asymmetry cannot result from such a ’’seesaw’’

effect. Therefore, we perfomed a sensitivity test on the

impact from ice sheet topography on sea surface tem-

peratures. This test reveals that the Late Saalian ice

topography and the resulting larger albedo are mainly

responsible for the observed asymmetry both in terms of

spatial temperature distribution and amplitude (Fig. 13).

However, this effect has not been documented in the lit-

erature so far and will be the object of future detailed

investigations.

In our case, this topographic effect is strengthened by

the extreme orbital configuration of the Late Saalian

through the snow-albedo feedback. The Late Saalian

orbital configuration is characterized by a large eccen-

tricity, a perihelion occurring at early December (refer-

ring the vernal equinox to March 21st) implying

summers near the aphelion. In this typical glacial orbital

configuration, the effect of precession is strengthened by

the large eccentricity which causes relatively long but

cold springs reducing the melting of snow accumulated

during winter. This is not the case during the LGM when

the orbital configuration was almost similar to that of

present-day. This leads to a reduction in the incoming

solar radiation at the top of the atmosphere in the [30�N–

70�N] latitudes band of 20 W m-2 during the Late

Saalian spring and early summer compared to the LGM

and to an increase of 20 W m-2 during fall (Fig. 2). In

conclusion, the cooling effect resulting from simulated

PS140 SSTs allows for larger snow accumulation along

the ice sheet margins and especially in Siberia. Since the

orbital configuration causes cold springs and summers,

this snow cover becomes permanent, contributing to the

large cooling of the Northern Hemisphere temperatures

and helping for a larger stability of the Late Saalian

Eurasian ice sheet.

However, is it possible to develop such a large and

southward extending sea-ice cover in both North Atlantic

and North Pacific as our simulated Late Saalian SST sug-

gest (Fig. 5)? The effect of the ice sheet topography allows

sea-ice to extend equatorward while the southmost latitude,

here 40�N, reached by the sea-ice cover in both North

Atlantic and North Pacific seems however limited by the

140 ka obliquity. When we set the orbital parameters to

LGM and use the Late Saalian ice topography

(PS140_orb21, see Table 3), the simulated sea-ice extent is

almost identical to the PS140 reconstruction during both

winter and summer (Fig. 13d). When we keep the 140 ka

orbital forcings and use the LGM ice sheet topography

(PS140_t21) the sea-ice cover does not extend as far to

South as in PS140 and closely matches the LGM recon-

struction P03 (Figs. 5, 13). In conclusion, the large

southward Late Saalian sea-ice extent simulated in PS140

is governed by the exceptional Eurasian ice sheet topog-

raphy and the larger resulting albedo in both North Atlantic

and North Pacific.

If we compare the climatic implications from the large

PS140 sea-ice cover with the implications using the smaller

sea-ice cover from CLIMAP during the Late Saalian, the

role of the North Pacific is particularly important. Indeed,

the PS140 sea-ice cover is extensive over this region while

this is not the case in CLIMAP. On the contrary, the sea-ice

extents are broadly similar between the two reconstructions

in the North Atlantic (Fig. 5). Consequently, in FULL[140]

the simulated surface ocean causes a cooling of 10�C over

the entire Northern Hemisphere. This is probably due to the

presence of sea-ice in the North Pacific extending further to

South from the Bering Sea in PS140.

In the PS140, the mixed layer depth was set to the default

value of 50 m. However, during glacial periods, mixed

layer could have been deeper in some areas (Shin et al.

2003). We thus performed a Late Saalian experiment,

similar to PS140 but setting the mixed layer depth to 150 m.

Results (not presented) show that increasing the mixed layer

depth strengthens the inter-hemispheric asymmetry

observed when comparing the PS21 (LGM simulated SST)

by 2�C in the Northern Hemisphere and by 4�C in the

Southern Hemisphere. Since the ice sheet topography effect

strengthens the SST cooling, with a larger mixed layer, the

cooling will be more important. This may be due to the fact

that in that case, the mixed layer is deeper and consequently

equilibrates more slowly with atmospheric heat fluxes due a

larger thermal inertia. However in the North Atlantic, there

are few differences compared to PS140 and the sea-ice

cover obtained with a deeper mixed layer, extends as much

southward as in PS140 during winter but retreats much

northward opening almost all of the North Atlantic and the

Norwegian Sea contrary to PS140 in which this area

remains partially covered. In the North Pacific, the sea-ice

extent is similar to the extent in PS140 and shows a reduced

seasonality. Around Antarctica, the SSTs are about 6�C

warmer than in PS140. This makes the sea-ice cover to

retreat almost up to the present-day edge. This reconstruc-

tion is not realistic in this area since Bianchi and Gersonde

(2002) showed that during MIS 6 the sea-ice cover reached

53�S during austral winters and summers. In the North

Atlantic, on the contrary, the thicker mixed layer leads to a

better data agreement. From this we conclude that the North

Atlantic is more sensitive to the mixed layer depth leading

to simulated SSTs more in agreement with the estimated

SSTs derived from sediment cores. However, our exercise

clearly shows that a full ocean dynamics is needed to

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

realistically equilibrate the SSTs in the various oceanic

basins.

There are some caveats that should be considered when

evaluating our study on the sensitivity of the Late Saalian

Eurasian ice sheet to changes in SST. First, we test the

impacts from two SST reconstructions that were published

prior to the undertaking Multiproxy approach for the

Reconstruction of the Global Ocean surface MARGO

(Kucera et al. 2005a). Thus, the evaluated SST datasets

may hold biases compared to the more recent MARGO

reconstructions leading to a different regional climate

interpretation (Kageyama et al. 1999, 2006). However,

Waelbroeck et al. (2009) suggest that the Paul and

Schaefer-Neth (2003) LGM SST reconstruction is the best

available LGM reconstruction to date for the LGM North

Atlantic.

In our experiments, we assume an eustatic sea-level of

about 110 m below present-day sea-level. The Laurentide

ice sheet contributes &84 m Equivalent Sea-Level (ESL),

Antarctica contributes &20 m ESL and our Late Saalian

Eurasian ice sheet contributes &60 m ESL (comparable

to the reconstruction of Lambeck et al. 2006). This leads

to an ice volume in excess of &54 m ESL relatively to

the total eustatic sea-level. Estimating the variation of the

Antarctic ice volume since the LGM is still not easy and

values range in the various models from 28 m ESL

(Lambeck et al. 2003) to 7 m ESL (Ivins and James

2005). Reducing the Antarctic ice volume from 28 m ESL

to 7 m ESL (21 m ESL) cannot totally compensate for

our excess of 54 m ESL. As a consequence, and in any

case, the Laurentide ice volume should be reduced as well

to equilibrate the total eustatic sea-level. This suggests

that the Late Saalian Laurentide ice sheet could have been

smaller than during the LGM. This may have some

consequences on the atmospheric circulation (Kageyama

and Valdes 2000), on the distribution of the geopotential

anomalies even over Eurasia, and on the sea-ice extent in

the North Pacific.

Finally, a word of caution regarding the Late Saalian

Eurasian ice sheet reconstruction used in our simulations.

We have shown in this study that the huge Eurasian ice

sheet, extending far into Eastern Siberia with a high surface

elevation, significantly modifies circulation, cools tempera-

tures and reduces precipitation. This Eurasian Late Saalian

ice configuration (Svendsen et al. 2004) represents the

maximum MIS 6 geographic extent which may not have

been reached everywhere at the same time during MIS 6. In

other words, there is an uncertainty regarding the Late

Saalian ice sheet reconstruction and the ice sheet may have

been smaller at its glacial maximum and, if so, the climatic

impact may also have been different. Nevertheless, geo-

logical evidence suggests that the Late Saalian ice sheet

reached a much larger extent than the LGM and the 90 ka

glaciation (Svendsen et al. 2004) and marine records from

the central Arctic Ocean also suggest a more extensive

glaciation during MIS 6 than during MIS 2 (Polyak et al.

2001; Jakobsson et al. 2005, 2008).

5 Conclusions

In this work, we test the sensitivity of the Eurasian ice

sheet to different prescribed LGM and Late Saalian sea

surface conditions to determine how the oceanic forcings

contribute to the huge Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet

extent and volume. We show that the choice of the pre-

scribed SST can impact significantly and differently on the

surface mass balance depending on the ice volume and

extent.

– The Late Saalian Eurasian ice sheet is less sensitive to

oceanic changes since its huge topography leads to

compensation of regional climatic changes more than

the LGM Eurasian ice sheet. We also show that SST

and sea-ice impacts on regional climate are different

between the Late Saalian and the LGM due to the

differences in ice sheet extent and elevation.

– The surface mass balance of the Late Saalian Eurasian

ice sheet is affected and using sea-ice opened oceanic

conditions may increase its integrated mean annual

value.

– For the first time, we simulate the Late Saalian SST.

These SSTs are mostly in agreement with the marine

core sediment evidence except in the North Atlantic

and Pacific where sea-ice cover extends too much

southward than suggested by the data.

– Compared to the LGM SST reconstructions, the

simulated Late Saalian SST present a large inter-

hemispheric asymmetry caused by the huge Late

Saalian ice sheet topography and its albedo which

affects a larger surface than during the LGM. This leads

to cooler (warmer) SST in the Northern (Southern)

Hemisphere than during the LGM.

– The large simulated Late Saalian sea-ice extent,

reducing the oceanic moisture fluxes, combined to the

Northern Hemisphere cooling causes a reduction of the

surface mass balance of the Eurasian ice sheet entirely

due to the reduction of accumulation.

This may explain how this ice sheet could have

remained so large and stable over Eurasia during the end of

MIS 6. But how did it become so large? Part of the answer

may reside in the Late Saalian orbital configuration. During

the Late Saalian, the incoming solar radiation during spring

is 20 W m-2 lower than during the LGM and the Late

Saalian springs are longer than during the LGM. This may

first have allowed a permanent snow cover to accumulate

F. Colleoni et al.: The sensitivity of the Late Saalian and LGM Eurasian ice sheets

123

more southward than during the LGM inducing cooler

atmospheric temperatures over the Northern Hemisphere.

This cold atmosphere may then have caused cooler oceanic

temperatures, with a reduced seasonality, allowing sea-ice

to spread equatorward. This strengthened the effect of

albedo and cooled atmospheric temperatures favoring the

ice sheet growth and stability over Eurasia. Finally, as we

have shown in this work, the interaction between the ice

sheet albedo and topography and the sea-ice cover may

then have strengthened the positive feedback allowing both

the sea-ice cover and the Eurasian ice sheet for reaching

such unusual southward latitudes. In the case of the Late

Saalian, the interaction between ocean and atmosphere

might be particularly important. That is why coupled

atmosphere-ocean simulations are needed to proceed with

the study of this period and understand better its extreme

climate.

A word of caution should be addressed about the choice

of boundary conditions and the fact that the LGM climate

response cannot be directly applied to other ice ages,

specially when ice distribution over continents is very

different. One perspective is to simulate the Late Saalian

surface oceanic temperatures from a coupled climate model

simulation at equilibrium with the climate of the period. In

this way the SST will depend not only on air-sea fluxes but

also on oceanic surface and deep circulation. One other

perspective is to model surface ocean conditions for the

entire Late Saalian periods (160–140 ka) which includes

one important insolation peak toward 150 ka to understand

the evolution of climate prior to the last glacial maximum

of the Late Saalian.

Acknowledgments We would like to thank Myriam Khodri, Antje

Voelker, Catherine Ritz and Thomas Crowley for their useful con-

tributions. The authors acknowledge support by the Agence Nationale

de la Recherche (project IDEGLACE), the Region Rhone Alpes

(programme Explora’Doc) and the Ministere des Affaires Etrangeres

Francais and The Bert Bolin Centre for Climate Research (Stockholm

University) for their support. The climate simulations were carried out

at IDRIS/CNRS and on the Mirage scientific computing plateform in

Grenoble (France).

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