Over-indebted Households and Poverty
Transcript of Over-indebted Households and Poverty
2013 IIPPE Annual Conference
Fourth Annual Conference in Political Economy July 9-11, 2013, International
Institute for Social Studies, The Hague, The Netherlands
“Over-indebted Households and Poverty”
Marsellou Emilia
Ph.D Candidate in the UadPhilEcon Doctoral Program, Economics Department,
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens,
Research Associate Labour Institute of General Confederation of Greek Workers
Bassiakos Yiannis
Assistant Professor at National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Economics
Department
Abstract
Household over-indebtedness has become one of the most crucial social problems of
the current economic crisis in Greece. Unemployment and wage cuts have left many
households with insufficient income to meet essential living expenses and debt
repayments as they fall due. These external factors are largely beyond the power of
the individual to control and are found by most of the relative literature as the main
causes of personal over-indebtedness. Other factors are health problems and divorce
or separation.
In this paper we use data collected from a sample of cases of bankrupt filers whose
cases have been judged by the Greek courts throughout the country. This data cover
the first wave of Greek bankrupt debtors since the personal bankruptcy law went into
effect in January 2011. The data collected emphasize the financial condition of the
debtors: debts, assets, and income as well as some demographics.
The data revealed the social and economic profile of the bankrupt debtors who filed
during 2011-2012. As expected we find that the majority of people who filed for
bankruptcy are people, who lost their job during the crisis, suffered a significant drop
in their wage or pension, had health problems, especially the pensioners, and raise
children. The data permitted us to compare the characteristics of debtors with those of
the general population. Finally, we examined where the debtors stand with regard to
the poverty line.
Keywords: Greek economic crisis, over-indebted households, Greek Bankruptcy
Code, Absolute Poverty
Introduction
Amid economic crisis and deteriorating recession, the fears fuelled by the
remarkably rising of household borrowing during the last fifteen or so years and its
potential consequences in the event of an economic downturn, came true. Since the
implementation of the measures of the Memorandum in 2010 that aimed to cut the
country’s deficits, the Greek economy has plunged into a spiral recession with no
visible end. Unemployment, from 12.5% in 2010 climbed to 17.7% in 2011 and
rocketed to 26% in 2012. It is expected that during 2013 it will hit 30% while Greek
Trade Unions expect unemployment to rise as high as 35% in 2013. The wage and
pension cuts range from 20% to 30%. The risk of poverty increased from 16.3% in
2010 to 22.9% in 2011.1 Within the first two years, 2010-2012, of implementation of
the Greek Personal Bankruptcy Law 3689/2010, hundreds of thousands of households
have filed for bankruptcy.
Usually, the topic of Poverty and Inequality in the literature is distinguished
from the phenomenon of Over-indebtedness. However, in a period of generalized
economic crisis these two sets feed one another. On the one hand, poverty, due to
income loss, affects households that previously could serve their debts resulting to a
fall below the poverty line as well as losing part of their property, while on the other
hand, increasing indebtedness due to low income, leads inevitably to over-
indebtedness forcing those people’s standard of living below the poverty line in order
not to lose their assets.
This paper is an extended part of a study concerning “Over-indebted
households in Greece” conducted at the Observatory of the Labour Institute of the
General Confederation of Greek Workers (INE/GSEE) under the research program
Macroeconomic Analysis and Economic Transformation. This work attempts to
explore the phenomenon of over-indebted Greek households and to relate it to
poverty by examining the percentage of over-indebted that fall below the poverty
line. When studying over-indebted households our first priority is to identify them.
The next step is to determine the common features among the indebted households
and to compare the frequency of occurrence of these common features between the
group of over-indebted households and an appropriate control group. The most direct
way to do this is to investigate which are over-indebted, if they have some common
features, if those features are detected more frequently in them than in the population
that does not face the problem of indebtedness. For this purpose, a sample of
judgments of cases of indebted households that filed for the beneficial provisions of
the Bankruptcy Law 3689/2010 was collected. These files are a rich source of data:
demographic, occupational and financial (income and debt). These features were
tested with statistical methods against a sample of households drawn by the micro-
data basis of EU-SILC 2008, from which all those households that appeared to be in
the range of over-indebtedness were removed. This sample formed the control group.
We then calculate the net disposable household income in both samples (the over-
indebted and the over-indebtedness –free) and examine the percentage of households
in the two populations that falls below the threshold of poverty.
This paper is organized as follows: section 1 presents information on the
macroeconomic context of Greece emphasizing on wage and labor cost cuts and
unemployment due to the implementation of the Memorandum, as well as recent
1 Hellenic Statistical Authority (2013), “Living conditions in Greece”, Population Statistics and Labor
Market Division. The at-risk-of-poverty threshold is calculated using 2005 as a base year.
trends on household debt. Section 2 presents the results of the examination of
characteristics (demographic, professional and financial) of the over-indebted
households as well as provides comparisons with those of the population of non-
indebted households. Other aspects included are methodological issues and
comparisons with the results of the relevant literature. In section 3 the percentage of
households below the poverty line in both populations is calculated. These rates are
compared and conclusions are derived. Also there is a discussion on various
methodological issues. A summary of results and concluding remarks are provided in
Section 4.
1. The Greek Macroeconomic Context
The dominant view within and across borders, is that the country's economic
recovery will only come through a reduction in labor costs. The implementation of
these policies has led the Greek economy to a deep recession and have a significant
negative impact on the country's budget deficit due to the dramatic drop in demand
and hence GDP. Moreover, according to the Report of the Governor of the Bank of
Greece (BoG) of 2010, "the deficit remained high despite the horizontal cuts in wages
and pensions and increasing taxes which appears to be due solely to the rapid
contraction of GDP of 4,5% due to an expected decline in domestic demand." This
assumption, however, does not seem to affect next years’ report, 2011, according to
which "in this context and given the loss of competitiveness in the period after 2000
[...] it is certain that, among other things, required and is useful to reduce the labor
cost per unit of output. This reduction can be achieved in two ways: reducing wages
or increasing productivity. Since productivity growth takes time, in fact the only way
left for the short-term decline in labor costs per unit of output is the reduction of total
labor costs." (Report of the Governor of the BoG, 2011). Employees’ income
therefore is stifled both by reducing their salaries in order to reduce unit labor costs
and increase competitiveness, other than a tax increase in order to consolidate public
finances. Consequently, the breakdown of family budgets and the inability of a
growing number of households to meet their loan obligations is inevitable. Table-1
presents detailed estimates of the evolution of earnings and labor costs of employees
2005-2012.
Table-1: Wages and Labor Costs (2005-2012) (annual percentage changes)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012*
Average gross earnings (nominal)
-Total Economy 4,4 5,7 5,2 6,2 4,6 -4,8 -3,0 -8,4/-9,2
-Public Sector 2,3 3,1 3,8 7,1 5,2 -8,5 -4,9 -7,4
-Utilities 7,6 7,0 7,1 8,2 7,7 -5,5 -7,9 -9,5
-Banks 1,5 10,8 8,9 0,0 3,7 -1,8 0,1 -7,5
-non-financial private sector 5,6 6,8 6,1 6,5 2,8 -2,9 -1,7 -8,5/-10,1
Minimum Wages 4,9 6,2 5,4 6,2 5,7 1,7 0,9 -19,6
Average gross earnings (real) 0,9 2,4 2,2 1,9 3,3 -9,1 -6,4 -9,3/-10,1
Source: Monetary Policy 2011-2012, BoG. Note: Hellenic Statistical Authority (GDP 2005-2010) and
forecasts of the BoG (for the GDP in 2011-12 and the remaining annual volumes 2005-2012).
In Greece, the development of household credit (consumer and mortgage)
started relatively late compared to most countries of the European Union, and the US.
During the last fifteen years, converging trends have occurred in the financial sector
and particularly in the banking sector to households. These developments were
primarily triggered by the supply side. The supply side explanations of increasing
household indebtedness mostly concern the competition between financial institutions
that induced banks to lower interest rates, relax credit rationing processes, remove
debt burden ceilings, proliferate securitization etc. On the other hand, the demand
side explanations of rising household borrowing are linked to the increasing
inequality as well as stagnant or anemic increases in wages (Barba and Pivetti, 2009;
Pollin, 1988, 1990) and the struggle of wagers to keep up with their socially
acceptable living standard.
In the case of Greece, the 1990s were marked by the privatization and
deregulation of the financial sector following the developments taking place in
advanced capitalist economies. This process as an aspect of financialization, made
access to credit widespread, and especially after the country's accession to the
Eurozone in 2001 that provided the security of a stable financial environment.
Interest rates have fallen considerable since 1995.2 There are evidences that the
inequality argument of the demand side explanation for the rise of household
indebtedness also holds for the case of Greece. In Figure 1 below we observe the
course of the hourly real wage index in Greece during the last 50 years. The index
indicates that from 1985 to 1993 it fell by approximately 26.0% whereas it increased
from 1994 until 2009, by 32.2%, only to reach the levels of 1985 in 2008.
Meanwhile, the real GDP grew almost twice this rate, by approximately 63.0%,
during the period 1994-2008. Thus, the picture that emerges is one in which workers
even if they experienced increases in real wages since 1995, they were in a worse
financial position than they were more than ten years ago (1978-1985) (Marsellou,
2011). In a more macroeconomic context, one could argue that the inability of Greece
to improve its competitiveness in comparison with European core countries of the
euro zone forced the Greek economy to rely on domestic demand and therefore on
consumer credit. However, the general trends and interpretations based on the above
macro-data should be combined with an investigation of micro-data at the household
level in order to shed more light on the causes of this phenomenon.
Figure-1: Hourly Real Wage Index. Greece 1960-2009.
Source: Hellenic Statistical Authority. National Accounts
2 For the majority of the debtors the fall in the interest rates balanced out the amounts spent in
installment payments due to increased borrowing. The cost of servicing loans was less than 30% of the
debtors’ income in 2002 for the 80% of the debtors, for the 75% in 2005 and back to 80 % in 2007
(BoG, May-2008).
100 103 107 110
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Hourly real wage index Linear (Hourly real wage index)
Table-2 presents the ratio of household debt to households’ net disposable income.
Housing debt accounts for the most part of total household debt. The proportion of
housing to consumer debt was 2.74 in 1996. In the following decade this proportion
fell and stabilized around 2 implying that consumer credit was growing faster than
housing. Since 2010, when the Greek crisis started, the proportion increased to 2.27
and 2.31 in 2011 more likely because it is easier to constrain consumer credit than to
reduce the housing debt. Practically, it means that debtors choose to be in arrears
many months in their consumer loans instead of the housing and consequently banks
write the non-performing loans (NPLs) off.
Table-2: Household Debt as % of Households’ Net Disposable Income
Total Debt
Housing
Loans
Consumer
Credit Other
Housing/Consumer
Loans
Year
1996 0.08 0.06 0.02 - 2.74
2000 0.16 0.11 0.05 0.00 2.17
2005 0.46 0.30 0.15 0.01 2.01
2009 0.73 0.49 0.22 0.02 2.17
2010 0.80 0.54 0.24 0.02 2.27
2011 0.85 0.58 0.25 0.02 2.31
Source: BoG - AMECO (Net disposable income: h/h and NPISH). Authors’ Calculations
The evolution of NPLs at least until 2007, before the effects of the mortgage
crisis started to be felt, was moving to acceptable levels, to begin to rise in 2008 and
be ejected from 2010 onwards to double digit (Figure-2). Figure-2 shows the
evolution of the unemployment rate and the rates of consumer and housing loans in
arrears. It is obvious from the diagram that unemployment and arrears are in parallel,
with the arrears in consumer credit to react rapidly to increases in unemployment.
Non- performing housing loans also increased but not quite so rapidly. Note also that
while, as we have already seen in Table-2, mortgage and consumer loans showed a
remarkable rise from 1996 onwards, the levels of arrears seem to have a declining
tendency up to 2008. As soon as the crisis started to affect the real economy arrears
began to rise massively.
Figure-2: Unemployment Rate and Percentage of NPLs to the total of all loans
Source: Unemployment Rate, AMECO. NPLs as a % to Total Loans, BoG
0.0
5.0
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25.0
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35.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Unemployment rate Consumer Loans Housing Loans
Review of the Literature
Over-indebtedness is a matter of concern especially since the burst of the
financial crisis in the US in 2007/2008. As has been pointed out, “contrary to the
standard life cycle model, the reason that the burst haven’t occurred until 2008 is the
favorable macroeconomic environment that sustained household debt obligations at
reasonable levels and not the rational smoothing of consumption during the last 25
years” Cynamon and Fazzari (2008). Nowadays, that the favorable macroeconomic
environment has been replaced by unstable financial sector and recession, over-
indebtedness concerns an increasing fraction of previously responsible debtors.
In the report conducted by the European Communities Economic and Social
Committee (2000) it was noted that “no common definition of the concept of over-
indebtedness […] exists at European level and neither are reliable statistics available
to gauge the scale of the problem in the different Member States. No determined
efforts have yet been made to harmonize measures to prevent and deal with over-
indebtedness”. Since then and although the issue of household indebtedness has been
growing very rapidly, there is still confusion about the meaning of the term
(European Commission, 2008). This is due to the fact that there is no commonly
accepted definition and concepts vary from country to country, mainly reflecting the
special characteristics, sophistication and dimensions of this complex phenomenon as
it appears in each of them. Different definitions are also found among analyses that
have an institutional or public policy orientation and those who are academic or
counseling (European Commission, 2008). In the same report it is noted that the
concept of indebtedness initially tended to cover more of the daily expenditures of a
household, while towards the end of the decade (2007/8) a broader range of debts that
ranges from household debts to the daily expenses of a household was adopted. Betti
et al. (2001) also note, that the definition of over-indebtedness in many cases depends
on the specific legal framework for consumer indebtedness, the absence of which
(mostly in Mediterranean countries) means that it is unlikely to have any data
collected.
In several recent studies, some use the term indebtedness solely in terms of
the debt due to borrowing (Betti et al., 2001 cited in European Commission (2008)),
while others include debts on utility bills, such as electricity, water, telephone (e.g.
Kempson, 2002, Kempson et al., 2008). In many cases, the meaning adopted comes
from the legal term insofar there is a Personal Bankruptcy Law. According to the
Greek Bankruptcy Law “over-indebted are the citizens, who do not have a
commercial activity, and have proven and permanent inability to service their debts”
[…] while the “debts owed to the public sector are excluded”. Since, utilities are State
owned it turns out that household indebtedness concerns mostly debts owed to
financial institutions. In this study, we adopt this interpretation of over-indebtedness
since our sample of over-indebted households comes from those who have filed for
the Bankruptcy Code and their case was accepted.
Before the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis in 2008, in the relative literature
there were claims for both irresponsible lending as well as irresponsible borrowing as
a cause of over-indebtedness. Irresponsible lending practices include (Kempson,
2002): a) the automatic raising of credit limits on credit and store cards and on
overdraft facilities, b) encouraging people to transfer balances on credit cards, by
offering low initial interest rates and higher credit limits, c) reducing the minimum
payment on credit cards and d) issuing cheques that can be used to draw on credit
card accounts. On the other hand what includes irresponsible borrowing is quite
straightforward (Kempson, 2002): a) borrowing money when already in financial
difficulty to pay off other credit or to pay off arrears on bills and other commitments,
b) taking on credit agreements, despite knowing that they will struggle to repay the
money and c) impulsive shopping and credit use by consumers who buy things on the
spur of the moment and know they will not be able to repay or do not consider
whether they will be able to do so. There is a number of works that provide evidence
for both cases. However, as it mentioned by author, each of these practices,
borrowing or lending, affects only a relatively small proportion of high-risk
households. The interest and concern would have better focus on the effects of a
potential economic downturn or a period of sustained increase of interest rates
(Kempson, 2002).
Clare (1990) argues that in most cases of personal bankruptcy the attribution
to the failure to credit management and lack of knowledge about this is in general
rather simplistic. The study showed that very often over-extension of credit to the
point of driving the household into bankruptcy is directly linked to personal and
lifestyle problems.
Sullivan et al. (2000) for the US, identified a number of possible reasons for
over-indebtedness: a) the growing instability of jobs and wages, b) the explosive
growth of consumer loans with high interest rates, c) divorce and changes in
parenting patterns e.g. increase in single-parenthood, d) rising healthcare costs, e) the
social obsession with home ownership. The instability of the capitalist system
combined with a thin social safety net, ensures that there will always be some
households that will fail to meet their financial obligations (Sullivan et al., 2000).
There is a strong link between financial difficulties and low income and
poverty (Berthoud and Kempson, 1992; Kempson, 2002; Kempson et al, 2004;
Mitrakos et al, 2005, Woods (2006)). Low income for long periods of time increases
the possibility of having arrears on the amounts owed (Berthoud and Kempson,
(1992); Dearden et al., (2010)). Unemployment is of equal importance as low income
and poverty in affecting the ability of the debtor to pay on schedule his debts
(Berthoud and Kempson (1992); Kempson (2002); Kempson et al. (2004); Korczak
(2000); Kearns (2003)).
The tenancy status is also related to financial difficulties in Belgium, France
and the UK (Banque de France, 2005; Berthoud and Kempson, 1992; Kempson,
2002; Kempson et al, 2004; Observatoire du Crédit et de l’endettement, 2005). This is
due to fact that tenants tend to have fewer resources than homeowners. Equivalently,
homeownership is associated with lower risk of over-indebtedness in UK and
Norway (Bridges and Disney, 2004 for UK; Poppe, 1999 for Norway).
The size and the composition of the household play a significant role in its
ability to cope with financial obligations. Divorced and separated with children are in
higher risk of over-indebtedness as well as married with two and more children
(Sullivan et al. (2000) for the US; Berthoud and Kempson (1992); Kempson (2002);
Kempson et al, (2004) for UK; Kearns (2003) for Ireland).
2. Empirical Study
The dynamics of economic aggregates are determined not only by
macroeconomic variables, but also by household-specific factors (ECB, 2009).
Several macroeconomic variables such as household borrowing, debt, balance sheets
are to a considerable degree driven by social, demographic as well as job related
characteristics. These characteristics reveal valuable insights about different group of
the population and hence determine to a large extent the implications any policy
might have. However, these characteristics can only be accessed through micro-level
data.
For the purposes of this study we needed micro-level data concerning some
basic economic variables such as personal and household income (net/gross wages
and salaries, pensions, unemployment benefits, inability, health children benefits,
taxes on income and social insurance contributions etc), outstanding debt (housing,
consumer, credit cards and other) as well as several demographic variables such as
gender, age, marital status, household size, children protected, basic activity,
occupation, private property.
As has already been mentioned, we use two samples of households: one
sample contains those who are over-indebted and the other those households that do
not face any debt problems. The first sample was collected from cases that have been
accepted from courts around the country according to the Bankruptcy Law
3869/2010. This is the first Personal Bankruptcy Law in Greece which came into
effect in 2010, and hence these are the first micro-level data concerning the over-
indebted. It is worth noting, that Courts do not collect or report data of any kind so
we had to collect the publicized judgments, and then record all the data of interest.
Apart from the demographical data, the economic data come from the tax statements
of the debtors. These data have been crosschecked by representatives of the creditors,
debtors and the court. From January 2011 to September 2012, the total number of
applications submitted in the Greek Territory was 26,869, 6,641 of which have been
filed in the County Court of Athens. According to the General Secretariat of
Consumer up to September 2012, only 3,000 have been judged, while only a small
number is publicized. From our research we collected a sample of 553 judgments,
287 (51.9%) of which had a positive result, 229 (41.4%) were rejected and 37 (6.7%)
were postponed. Our sample consists of the 287 positively judged cases.
The second sample comes from the household micro-level data of the
European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) of 2008.3 We
constructed the second sample by using the stratified (by geographic segment)-
random sampling method, in which first we have excluded all the cases that there
were evidences of over-indebtedness. In order to do this we used the following
variables: ‘‘Arrears on utility bills’’ (HS021), removed those who answered they
were on arrears for ‘‘two or more months’’, ‘‘Arrears on mortgage or paying rent’’
(HS011), removed those who answered ‘‘Arrears for two or more months’’, ‘‘Arrears
on hire purchase installments or other loans payments’’ (HS031), removed those who
answered ‘‘two or more months’’, ‘‘Ability to face unexpected financial expenses’’
(HS060), removed the respondents' who answered ‘‘no’’, ‘‘Ability to meet current
expenses’’ (HS120), removed those who answered ‘‘with great difficulty’’. We also
3 The data of the EU-SILC 2008 used in this paper have been provided to the Labour Institute of
GSEE (INE-GSEE/ADEDY) in the framework of the cooperation with the PhD Program UadPhilEcon
of the Department of Economics of the National and Kapodistrian University of Athens.
checked variables ‘‘Financial pressure from the costs of housing’’ and ‘‘financial
pressure to repay debts on hire purchase installments and other loans" and we found
that this population was already excluded due to the previous questions.
Consequently, we constructed a sample population from which we have removed
those households that could be considered as "highly indebted" in the conventional
sense used by the European Commission (2008).
Over indebtedness and gender
The percentage of women, who have made individual application and are
subject to the Law 3869/2010, although lower than that of men, is impressive.
Women amount to 44.3%, while men and those who have made a joint application as
a couple are 53.5% and 2.2%, respectively. Studies from several countries,
particularly the U.S. which has a long tradition in personal bankruptcy processes,
refer to the increasing trend for single women to file individually for bankruptcy. The
reasons for this trend, according to some are related to the economic independency of
women, their increased participation in the labor market, educational level, spreading
single-parenthood and ultimately with the general independency experienced by
women from the 1960s onwards. However, there are a number of other causes, as
reported by Sullivan et al. (2000), associated with the marital status of women, such
as a divorce or a separation as well as the existence of dependent children that
interpret the increased appearance of women in the population of indebted
households. Such strong female presence is not due to gender-equality but largely due
to heavier financial burdens a woman faces after a divorce/separation/widowhood
especially when there are dependent children.
Table 3 shows the relation between gender and marital status. We observe that
while 69.3% of men are married, the percentage of women is 40.5%, while 23.4% are
divorced. Within unmarried, men (53.7%) are more than women (46.3%), while
within the divorced, women (72.2%) are by far the majority. Women are also the
majority among the separated.
Table-3: Gender and Marital Status (Sample Over-Indebted) Marital status
To
tal
Sin
gle
Div
orc
ed
Mar
ried
Sep
arat
ed
Wid
ow
Gen
der
Male % within gender 15.7 7.1 69.3 4.3 3.6 100.0
% within marital status 53.7 27.8 68.3 42.9 27.8 55.8
Female % within gender 17.1 23.4 40.5 7.2 11.7 100.0
% within marital status 46.3 72.2 31.7 57.1 72.2 44.2
To
tal % within gender 16.3 14.3 56.6 5.6 7.2 100.0
% within marital status 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Pearson Chi-Square = 27,227, p (2-tailed) = 0.000 <0.001
Comparing the gender distribution in the over-indebtedness free population
and the sample of bankrupt households we find that there are significant differences.
We should first note that in the sample population, the husband is usually considered
as the representative (leader) of the household. In the sample of bankrupt households
the filer is usually identified by the head of household in married couples. The data
show that women who apply and are the head of household are most of the times
divorced or separated. However, there are cases where the choice of who the filer
might be depends on who owns the property (house) so that the debtor can avoid
chapter 9 of the law that force him to payments in order to keep their house.
Table-4: Gender distribution in the sample of over-indebted and over-indebtedness
free households Over-indebted
households
Over-indebtedness
free households Total
Gen
der
Male % within gender 42.8 57.2 100.0
% within sample 55.8 75.1 65.4
Female % within gender 64.2 35.8 100.0
% within sample 44.2 24.9 34.6
Total % within gender 50.2 49.8 100.0
% within sample 100.0 100.0 100.0
Pearson Chi-Square = 20,626, p (2-tailed) = 0.000 <0.001
Over-indebtedness and age
The age of the head of the over-indebted households gives us important
information about the stage of the debtors’ life. The ages range from 28 to 85 years
old. However, the majority of the applicants belong to the so-called "middle age",
that of 45 to 54. The average and the median is at ages 53 and 53.3, respectively.
Table-5: Age distribution in the sample of over-indebted and over-indebtedness free
households Sample Total
Over-indebted Over-indebtedness free
Age Group 20-24 1.6 0.9
25-34 4.2 10.1 7.5
35-44 16.7 17.3 17.0
45-54 33.3 18.1 24.8
55-64 29.2 14.9 21.1
65+ 16.7 37.9 28.6
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0
Fisher’s exact statistic = 45.949, p (2-tailed) = 0.000 <0.001
In Table-5 we observe that the two samples differ with respect to the age. The
age groups of 45-54 and 55-64 appear more frequently in the sample of the over-
indebted while the most frequent age group in the sample of non-over-indebted is
65+. The age groups of 20-24 and 25-34 are the least frequent in the sample of over-
indebted. This is in contrast to other studies that find young people as being “at
greater risk of arrears (e.g. Kempson et al. (2004), European Commission (2008)-EU-
SILC reference period 2005). Taking into account both age groups of 45-54 and 54-
64, one could argue that almost two-thirds of the sample (62.5%) belongs to the
postwar generation of the «baby-boomers», i.e. those born after the II.W.W. and the
civil war that followed, between 1948 and 1965. They are nowadays middle-aged,
some of whom have retired recently, that grew up and evolved professionally during
a period of relative stable, secure and developing economic environment. Perhaps,
this is the reason that this generation is more debt-burdened than the other age
groups. This is not peculiar if one considers that the "baby boomers" were those
whose economic and professional maturity coincided with the rapid expansion of
personal debt from 1995 onwards. It also coincided with their personal maturity, a
family housing market and overall increase in family expenditure.
Over-indebtedness and family
A series of studies in the UK, France, Belgium, Germany and Portugal show
that the probability for a household to face financial difficulties climbs when there are
dependent children.4 This is also found for 25 European countries in European
Commission (2008) where data from the Eurobarometer (2006 release) were used. In
a similar analysis using data from the EU-SILC, it is also found that families with
dependent children are about twice as likely to experience delays in the repayment of
their debts (within the last 12 months) compared to those without children.
Furthermore, the number of protected children seems to affect the probability of
indebtedness of the household, and there is a positive relation between the number of
children and the probability of indebtedness even when other variables such as age
and income are controlled (Kempson et al (2004); Poppe (1999); Pyper (2002);
Worthington (2006)). Niviere (2006) offers a possible explanation according to which
families with children have very inelastic expenditures. Besides, the birth of a child is
usually accompanied by a parent abstention from work or reduced working time
(part-time work) (European Commission, 2008).
In our sample of over-indebted households however, the majority (61.0%) has
no protected children. This is due to the fact that most of the fillers are middle-aged.
Note, however, that a sizable proportion of the sample households have adult children
that are financially dependent on their parents because they are unemployed. For
economy of space, in Table-7 below we relate the number of protected children with
the marital status.
Over-indebtedness and marital status
It seems that there is a relation between the probability of being over-indebted
and the number of adult members of a household, while the unmarried living alone
are much more likely to be over-indebted compared to a married couple or cohabiting
couple (European Commission, 2008). Similarly, single parent households face a
higher risk.5 The European Commission (2008), reports that the presence of
dependent children is a more important factor affecting the probability of becoming
over-indebted than the number of adult members in the household is.
In our sample, more than half of households are married (56.5%), followed by
singles (16.4%), divorced (14.5%), widows (7.0%) and separated (5.5%). In short, the
sample is divided between households with married couples and households that
consist of one adult (possibly living with his children, or in the case of unmarried
hosted by their parents but are financially independent). However, when we compare
the two samples (over-indebted and over-indebtedness free) we find that those who
are divorced and separated face a greater risk of finding themselves into over-
indebtedness (Table-6).
4 European Commission (2008) reports the following studies: Berthoud and Kempson, (1992), Frade
et al. (2005), Kempson (2002), Nivière (2006), Davydoff et al. (2008), Observatoire du Crédit et de
l’endettement, 2005; Springeneer et al, 2007. 5 See for example: Nivière (2006), Observatoire du Crédit et de l’endettement (2005), Springeneer et
al. (2007), Central Statistics Office (Ireland) (2005), Kempson (2002).
Table-6: Marital Status in the sample of over-indebted and over-indebtedness free
households
Sample
Total Over-indebted Over-indebtedness free
Marital Status
Single 16.3 16.9 16.6
Divorced 14.3 4.8 9.6
Married 56.6 60.6 58.6
Separated 5.6 0.8 3.2
Widow 7.2 16.9 12.0
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0
Pearson Chi-Square=30.881, p(2-tailed)=0.000<0.001
Table-7 shows the cross-tabulation between the variables of marital status and
the number of dependent children. First note that nearly half of all married
households have dependent children. What is, however, interesting is that 65.6% of
separated have at least one protected child, a rate apparently higher than that of
married couples (50.7%). Also, 30.4% filers in widowhood have at least one
protected child while for the divorced the percentage is 25.6%. It seems, therefore,
that in a fairly large extent the coexistence of divorce/separation/widowhood with
dependent children is a situation which can cause serious pressure on the household's
financial position which becomes quite unmanageable in the event of an unfavorable
development either in income or employment.
Table-7: Marital Status and Protected Children Number of Protected Children Total
0 1 2 3 4
Marital
Status
Single 95.1 4.9 100.0
Divorced 73.0 16.2 8.1 2.7 100.0
Married 49.3 23.2 21.8 4.2 1.4 100.0
Separated 35.7 35.7 21.5 7.1 100.0
Widow 66.7 27.8 5.6 100.0
Total 60.7 20.2 15.1 2.8 1.2 100.0
Fisher’s exact statistic = 42.465, p (2-tailed) = 0.000 <0.001
Over-indebtedness and income
The link between household income and over-indebtedness is interesting in
that the median income6 of over-indebted households is lower than the median
6 When we refer to income we mean total disposable household income which is the sum of: the sum
for all household members of gross personal income components (gross employee cash or near cash
income), gross cash benefits or losses from self-employment (including royalties), unemployment
benefits, old-age benefits, survivor' benefits, sickness benefits, disability benefits and education-related
allowances, income from rental of a property or land, family/children related allowances, housing
allowances, regular inter-household cash transfers received; interests, dividends, profit from capital
investments in unincorporated business, income received by people aged under 16, minus regular taxes
on wealth, regular inter-household cash transfer paid and tax on income and social insurance
contributions.
income of those who do not face any financial difficulties (Table-8). This kind of
result is in agreement with many surveys that find that households with low income
tend to be in greater risk of over-indebtedness (Berthoud and Kempson, 1992;
Kempson, 2002; Kempson et al, 2004; Mitrakos et al, 2005).
Table-8: Median Total Household Disposable Income in the sample of over-indebted
and over-indebtedness free households Over-indebted Over-indebtedness free
Median 15.283,34 25.169,77
p-value (Wilcoxon) Ho: The medians are the same
across samples 0.000
p-value (Wilcoxon) Ho: The distribution is the
same across samples 0.000
In particular, Kempson (2002) in a survey of over-indebtedness in UK found
that low income was considered as the main cause for being in arrears or difficulties
in past 12 months by 14% of households, for being in arrears by 15% of households,
for having difficulties by 9% of the households, while among young people in arrears
or difficulties the percentage amounted to 25%. Likewise in a survey for adults
seeking debt counseling, in Germany, Korczak (2000) reports that 19% considered its
low income as the basic factor for this position. Similarly, in another study for
Germany, Springeneer (2005) found that 8% in the West and 29% in the East were
over-indebted because of their low income. Similar results were found in a study for
the case of Belgium, according to which 19% of households filing for cancelation of
debt considered low income as the causal factor for their position. Dearden et al.
(2010), take into account the dimension of the time period a household remains in
low income and suggest that budgeting is difficult for households who remain on a
low income for a sustained period of time and that frequent small scale borrowing can
ultimately leave people over-indebted and struggling to manage.
Table-8: Total Household Disposable Income in the sample of over-indebted and
over-indebtedness free households
Sample
Total Over-indebted Over-indebtedness free
Total
Household
Income Group
0-10.000 66.3 33.7 100.0
10.001-15.000 53.8 46.2 100.0
15.001-20.000 61.9 38.1 100.0
20.001+ 35.2 64.8 100.0
Total 50.4 49.6 100.0
Pearson Chi-Square=33.969, p(2-tailed)=0.000<0.001
Table-8 is quite interesting because it offers an even stronger confirmation of
the above mentioned evidences. The table presents the percentage of over-indebted
and over-indebtedness free households by income group. Over-indebted households
of the lowest income group are twice as many as the households that are not over-
indebted. Similarly, but not quite as much, the concentration of over-indebted
households is larger in the second and third income groups. On the contrary, in the
fourth income group the proportion totally changes and those with no debt problems
are almost twice as many as the over-indebted.
Over-indebtedness and property
The most important asset of Greek households is their house. Home
ownership is traditionally a symbol of wealth and social status not only in Greece but
almost everywhere. It constitutes the most valuable asset of most households, and
hence it is considered a “shelter” both in the physical and the financial sense. The rate
of home ownership in Greece is among the highest in EU and its significance is even
stronger if we consider the fact that "a very large percentage reflects net property
without debt commitments from mortgages" (Emmanuel, 2006). The Greek State has
always supported home ownership with a variety of institutions and settings, although
not always in a coherent way.
Tenants tend to have a higher probability to face financial difficulties. This
seems to be the case in Belgium, France and the UK.7 At the same time, however, it
should be noted that the risk of a household to face financial difficulties is greater
when it is involved into mortgage loan than when a household already owns the
house (European Commission, 2008).
In Table-9 we observe that the majority in both populations are home owners.
This is due to the high rate of home ownership that exists historically in Greece, as
we noted before. Within the sample of over-indebted households the percentage of
those who do not own a house is 25.5% while for those who do is 74.5%. Similarly,
for the over-indebtedness free population the proportions are 20.5% and 79.5%. It is
worth noting, that the χ2
test fails to reject the null hypothesis and hence we conclude
that the two samples do not differ as far as the private property is concerned.
Table-9: Private property: Over-indebted and Over-indebtedness free households Sample
Total Over-
indebted
Over-
indebtedness
free
Private
House
No % within those with no private house 55.7 44.3 100.0
% within sample 25.5 20.5 23.0
Yes % within those with private house 48.6 51.4 100.0
% within sample 74.5 79.5 77.0
Total % within those with private house 50.2 49.8 100.0
% within sample 100.0 100.0 100.0
Pearson Chi-Square=1.776, p(2-sided)=0.183>0.05
Over-indebtedness and employment
The link between unemployment and increased risk of over-indebtedness is
straight forward. Numerous studies confirm this relation for several countries (US,
UK, Belgium, Germany etc). Households whose head is unemployed are more likely
to experience delays in payment of their debts. This result maintains even when other
factors such as disposable income are taken into account. A recent study for Ireland
showed that the proportion of over-indebted working people tends to increase
(Central Statistics Office, 2005). This is a rather inevitable situation that is expected
to prevail especially in those countries where massive austerity policies are
implemented, such as Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain. As noted by Sullivan et al.
7 European Commission (2008) reports the results of the following studies: Banque de France, 2005;
Berthoud and Kempson, 1992; Kempson, 2002; Kempson et al, 2004; Observatoire du Crédit et de
l'endettement, 2005.
(2000), who examined the over-indebted middle class in the U.S. during the 1990s,
"if there is one factor that can undermine the "economic security" of the middle class,
this is the rupture of employment and employment structure." The evidence suggests
that the "job instability" is an indicator of financial fragility of households in the
middle class (Sullivan et al. 2000). The reforms imposed to Greece by the Troika in
the labor market, public sector and the rest it took decades to be implemented in the
US economy. Those periods of reforms coincided with recession and massive waves
of personal bankruptcies.
Table-10: Basic Activity of the filer or the head of the household in the sample of
over-indebted and over-indebtedness free households. Sample
Total Over-
indebted
Over-indebtedness
free
Basic
Activity
At work % within activity 45,7 54,3 100,0
% within sample 42,1 50,6 46,3
Unemployed % within activity 96,9 3,1 100,0
% within sample 24,6 0,8 12,8
Retired % within activity 46,7 53,3 100,0
% within sample 30,6 35,3 32,9
Inactive % within activity 17,5 82,5 100,0
% within sample 2,8 13,3 8,0
Total % within activity 50,3 49,7 100,0
% within sample 100,0 100,0 100,0
Pearson Chi-Square=75.592, p(2-sided)=0.00<0.05
In Table-10, we observe that working people and the retired that are over-
indebted are less than those without debt problems. These two categories of activities
represent 72.7% and 85.9% of the over-indebted and the over-indebtedness free
population, respectively. The unemployed, however, are less in absolute terms within
the samples, while almost all of them (96.9%) come from the sample of the over-
indebted.
Over-indebtedness and debt
The most prevailing form of borrowing is credit cards, consumer loans come
next and the most common type of secured debt, mortgage loans, follows. EU-SILC
does not provide such detailed data so we cannot compare the two samples. However,
these figures are much higher than in the general population. Based on the most
recently published survey by the Bank of Greece (2007), it is reported that one in
three adults over the age of 20 have two credit cards. The increased use of credit card
payments is attributed to the easiness and flexibility it provides, despite the fact that
the interest rates charged are higher than the other categories of loans (BoG, 2008).
Another interesting difference with respect to the BoG survey rests in the finding that
in the BoG survey the second most common category of loans is that mortgage and
the third is consumer loans. In contrast, in our sample, average consumer loans are
close to the credit cards while housing loans are by far less. In other words, the non
secured forms of credit are more frequent in the population of over-indebted. This
difference between the two studies8 provides some evidence of verification to the
consideration according to which consumer credit commitments especially those
8 Note that the BoG survey covers the whole population irrespective of being indebted or not.
from credit cards contributes to over-indebtedness more than the other types of credit.
Note also that 81.3% of the over-indebted households has more than one form of
credit.
The above findings are confirmed by the relevant literature. The use of credit
without collateral is positively associated with the likelihood of delays in the
repayment of debts (Poppe, 1999). Studies have shown that the greater the number of
credit loans, the greater the proportion of the income which is directed to the
repayment of these debts, and the probability of significant delays in repayments
(Kempson, 2002; Kempson et al., 2004). In the same studies, the authors also find
that large amounts of unsecured debt (credit cards or consumer loans) have strong
predictive power for over-indebtedness.
Table-11: Number of Loans per filer
Housing
loans
Consumer
Loans
Credit
Cards
Entrepreneurial
Loans Other
Mean 1.11 3.08 3.62 0.11 0.05
Sum 279 774 908 27 12
Income and Debt
One way of measuring the financial pressure households undergo is through
the ratio of outstanding debt to total disposable household income. Unsurprisingly the
poorest households, although they have the least debt obligations, face the greatest
financial stress. In Table-12 we observe that the first income group (low-income
households) has the higher ratio for all types of debt. The ratio falls as we move from
the lower-income group to the higher in all types of debt, too. The same relationship
between income groups and debt is reported in the three surveys of the Bank of
Greece (2008)9. Poor households undergo greater financial pressures. The same
trends were observed in the work of Sullivan et al. (2008), in which the authors use
data from U.S. households’ court judgments.
This phenomenon obviously raises questions about the lending policy of
banks towards customers who appear not to have sufficient resources to repay their
loans. In general, low income households do not have assets and therefore their
access to credit is limited. The lending policy of banks has frequently been criticized
in Greece as well as internationally especially after the mortgage crisis in the U.S. in
2007-8.
In Greece during the period 2003-2007 credit expansion to households grew
at an average annual rate of 27.5%, which resulted in significant indebtedness as
measured by the ratio of outstanding loans to income (Mitrakos etc., 2008). In the
same survey it is implied that already since 2007 the banks were starting to realize the
credit risk of providing loans to low-income households and therefore "within a more
effective management of credit risk, competition of banks to attract customers
increasingly focuses on households of the two highest income groups."
9 Mitrakos, et al. (2005), Simigiannis and Tzamourani (2006) and Simigiannis and Tzamourani (2007)
Table-12: Households Total Debt by income group. Ratios of Total Debt to
Disposable Household Income
Income Group Total debt
Proportion of Income
Group debt to sample’s
total debt
Mean
Ratio of Total Debt to
Disposable Household
Income*
0-10.000 6285123.6 17.1 98169.8 23.5
10.001-15.000 7061408.0 19.2 125675.6 9.9
15.001-20.000 10119439.0 27.6 168963.1 9.6
20.001+ 13227922.3 36.1 189334.1 6.8
Income Group Housing
debt
Proportion of Income
Group’s housing debt to
sample’s housing debt
Mean
Ratio of Housing Debt
to Disposable
Household Income
0-10.000 2771294.1 17.3 43285.9 10.3
10.001-15.000 3191171.1 19.9 56794.9 4,5
15.001-20.000 3713103.7 23.1 61997.3 3,5
20.001+ 6377447.6 39.7 91281.8 3,3
Income Group Credit Cards
debt
Proportion of Income
Group’s credit cards’ debt
to sample’s housing debt
Mean
Ratio of Credit Card’s
Debt to Disposable
Household Income
0-10.000 698899.6 16.7 10916.4 2.6
10.001-15.000 1064496.4 25.4 18945.4 1.5
15.001-20.000 848460.7 20.3 14166.7 0.8
20.001+ 1577965.4 37.7 22585.8 0.8
Income Group Consumer
Loans Debt
Proportion of Income
Group‘s consumer debt to
sample’s housing debt
Mean
Ratio of Consumer
Debt to Disposable
Household Income
0-10.000 1573674.9 16.7 24579.8 5.9
10.001-15.000 2342149.4 24.8 41684.5 3.3
15.001-20.000 2457078.6 26.0 41025.6 2.3
20.001+ 3076440.3 32.6 44033.8 1,6
Income Group Other Loans
Debt
Proportion of Income
Group’s Other loans debt
to sample’s housing debt
Mean
Ratio of Other Loans
Debt to Disposable
Household Income
0-10.000 691.564,4 53,9 10801.8 2,6
10.001-15.000 34.365,8 2,7 611.6 0,1
15.001-20.000 85.763,1 6,7 1431.9 0,1
20.001+ 471.353,4 36,7 6746.6 0,2
* This ratio is the ratio of the mean outstanding debt of the income group to the mean income of the
respective income group.
3. Over-indebtedness and Poverty
In this study we use the concept of absolute poverty. Absolute poverty can be
defined as the situation where a person and his/her dependents lack the minimum
amount of goods and services they need to survive and be reproduced in an orderly
way in a given historical and social context. As a result, of this lack of means a
person is unable to perform his/hers basic functions or to participate in usual
activities needed to survive and reproduce itself in an orderly way. As a measure of
Absolute Poverty we use the Index developed by Labrinidis et al. (2010) and
calculated for Greece for the reference period 2011 by Labrinidis et al. (2011). This
index expresses in monetary terms the needs for housing, feeding, clothing and
footwear, transport, education, health, and leisure.
In addition to the Index developed by Lamprinidis et al. (2010), we also
examine two different indicators used as the official and the alternative complement
indicator for poverty line in the U.S. that have been calculated in Lamprinidis et al.
(2011). The first is the index of US Census Bureau structured by Orshansky (1965).
The writers have calculated this Index by using the latest released data of the
Household Budgets Survey of 2008, where the cost of nutrition (including non-
alcoholic drinks, expenditure category HE01) represents the 13.06% of the total
expenditure for households, and multiplied the cost of nutrition of the Index 2011 for
each household type with the inverse of the share of food we take the poverty line
("Orshansky line") in accordance with the methodology of the US Census Bureau.
The second alternative indicator is the one proposed by the Committee of National
Academy of Sciences (NAS) of the U.S. The NAS index calculates the poverty line
according to the following formula, which is based on the actual consumption of the
median household in three basic categories of needs: Poverty line = (80% of the
median consumption of total population for food, clothing, housing) * 1.20. Table-13
summarizes the three alternative poverty thresholds mentioned above.
Table-13: Absolute Poverty Thresholds (in euros)
Household size* 1 2 3 4 5
Index-2011 804.58 1203.60 1537.94 1848.56 2183.79
“Orshansky line” 1106.42 2024.34 3100.16 3644.72 3858.64
NAS (100%) 747.66 1135.92 1434.05 1540.49 1545.65
*Where 1 is for a household with one adult, 2 for a household with two adults, 3 for a household with
two adults and one child, 4 for a household with two adults and two children, 5 for a household with
two adults and three children.
Source: Labrinidis et al. (2011).
In Table-14 below, we present the median household income and the
proportion of households below the poverty line according to Index-2011, for both
of our two samples in order to make comparisons. Our calculations were made for
the total and for each household size category.
Table-14: Median and proportion below Poverty Line comparisons by household
size and in total (Index-2011) Size OVER-INDEBTED SILC (median) (percent)
Median % below
poverty line median
% below
poverty line
p-value
(Wilcoxon)
p-value
(Fisher’s
exact test)
1 12124.00 25.23% 12575.00 10.00% NS (0.1233) 0.0121
2 15657.00 23.61% 21650.00 16.67% 0.0359 NS (0.7529)
3 14896.00 40.74% 26000.00 17.14% 0.0008 0.0487
4 21558.55 40.91% 32671.09 25.00% 0.0037 NS (0.3480)
510
15165.00 66.67% 41130.00 14.29% NS (0.0633) NS (0.1026)
TOTAL 14720.19 28.99% 23240.40 14.94% < 0.0001 0.0014
From Table-14 above it is clear that there exist statistically significant
differences both in median income and in proportion of families below the poverty
line. Since the distribution of household size is dissimilar between the two groups the
analysis was also carried out within each household size category. As it is evident in
Table-14 above,
for household size 1 there is no statistically significant difference in median income,
but there exists statistically significant difference in proportion of families below
the poverty line.
for household size 2 there is no statistically significant difference in proportion of
families below the poverty line, but there exists statistically significant difference in
median income.
for household size 3 there exists statistically significant difference in both the
proportion of families below the poverty line and the median income.
for household size 4 there is no statistically significant difference in proportion of
families below the poverty line, but there exists statistically significant difference in
median income.
for household size 5 there is no statistically significant difference in both the
proportion of families below the poverty line and the median income. As noted in
the footnote below, this is directly attributable to the very small sample size (total
n=13). Otherwise the actual differences are the largest observed.
Table-15: Proportion below Poverty Line (NAS and Orshansky) comparisons by
household size and in total NAS ORSHANSKY
% below poverty line p-value % below poverty line p-value
Size OVER-
INDEBTED SILC
OVER-
INDEBTED SILC
1 31.53% 25.71% 0.5026 61.26% 54.29% 0.3582
2 40.28% 16.67% 0.0969 23.61% 16.67% 0.7529
3 59.26% 25.71% 0.0099 92.59% 80.00% 0.2768
4 40.91% 25.00% 0.3480 40.91% 25.00% 0.3480
51 66.67% 14.29% 0.1026 100.00% 71.43% 0.4615
TOTAL 39.08% 24.03% 0.0021 75.63% 65.58% 0.0386
10
For household of size=5 the lack of statistically significant differences is directly attributable to the
very small sample size (total n=13). Otherwise the actual differences are the largest observed.
As it can be seen from Table-15 above, the only statistically significant difference is
observed in the case where the poverty line used is the one proposed by NAS and the
household size is 3. The overall difference observed is attributable to the bigger
overall sample size and the difference in the size distribution between the two groups.
In all the differences observed, the over-indebted households have smaller
incomes and higher proportions below the poverty line than the general population, as
represented by the SILC group. The lack of differences observed when poverty
threshold is defined by the Orshansky line, is attributable to the fact that this line is
placed very high, thus the proportions of households below the poverty line are very
elevated compared to the same proportions defined using the poverty group’s
definition.
4. Concluding Remarks
As in many other studies of the over-indebtedness phenomenon, we have
found a strong relation between low income, poverty, unemployment, children
protected, divorced/separated, gender when combined with divorce and there are
dependent children and age with over-indebtedness and personal bankruptcy.
Contrary to the literature, homeownership doesn’t seem to affect the possibility of
having arrears or any financial difficulty. This is probably due to the high rate of
homeownership in Greece.
Although we have no micro-level statistical data concerning over-
indebtedness before the implementation of the Bankruptcy Law in 2010, we do know
that the majority of the unemployed (with only few exceptions of long-run
unemployed) lost their jobs after the outbreak of the crisis in 2010. We also know
from the judgment files that most of the files of working people and the retired have
started having arrears after 2010 and especially after the first austerity measures that
involved cuts in wages and pensions along with increases in tax on income. This has
also been obvious from the data of non-performing loans released by the bank of
Greece.
There is no doubt that lending as well as borrowing practices have changed
during the last fifteen or so years. This shift in attitude towards credit has contributed
to the indebtedness of households for sure. However, before the outbreak of the crisis,
only a small proportion of the households was identified as over-indebted is the sense
of not being able to repay its debts. The bulk of indebted households could make ends
meet without having arrears. This implies that measures that aim at the promotion of
responsible borrowing (such as promoting consumer awareness of the terms and
conditions of the agreements or knowledge of the rate of interest they are charged
though financial education) and lending (such as upgrading of risk management
departments etc), although they are welcomed, they will only affect a minority of
cases and by no means the waves of over-indebted and bankrupt households that
found themselves in this situation because of reasons outside their control.
The phenomenon of over-indebtedness has already spread to a large
proportion of the population and due to this fact more fundamental measures need to
be taken. The settlement of the Bankruptcy Law in 2010 was a first positive step.
However, due to the massive applications there are huge delays that schedule the
trials in 5 or 8 years from now. Consequently, more debt settlement structures and
procedures should be implemented. Moreover, the debt cancellation should be more
brave and correspond to more realistic repayment plans so that debtors can abide
them during the cool off periods. Lastly and more importantly, measures should be
taken to stop the rise of unemployment and increase employment, increase
unemployment benefits, support the income of separated women with protected
children and other socioeconomic groups that are at the risk of poverty and over-
indebtedness.
Acknowledgements
Part of this study was conducted at the Labour Institute, General Confederation of
Greek Workers: Marsellou and Bassiakos (2013). This part was funded by the
European Social Fund and the Ministry of Labour and Social Security under the
Operational Programme "Human Resources Development" 2007-2013.
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