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WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex A: Energy Units, Coverstion Factors, and Abbreviations
456
TABLE A1. ENERGY CONVERSIONS*
* IEA figures. Additional conversion figures available at http://www.iea.org/stat.htm
To:
From:
Terajoule (TJ)
Megatonne oil (equiv) (Mtoe)
Million British thermal units (Mbtu)
Gigawatt-hour (GWh)
Terajoule (TJ)
Multiply by:
1
4.1868 x 104
1.0551 x 10-3
3.6
Gigacalorie(Gcal)
238.8
107
0.252
860
Megatonne oil (equiv)
(Mtoe)
2.388 x 10-5
1
2.52 x 10-8
8.6 x 10-5
Million Britishthermal units
(Mbtu)
947.8
3.968 x 107
1
3,412
Gigawatt-hour(GWh)
0.2778
11,630
2.931 x 10-4
1
ANNEX A: ENERGY UNITS, CONVERSION FACTORS, AND ABBREVIATIONS
TABLE A2. UNIT PREFIXES
k kilo (103)
M mega (106)
G giga (109)
T tera (1012)
P peta (1015)
E exa (1018)
TABLE A4. UNIT ABBREVIATIONS
EJ Exajoule
GJ Gigajoule
Gtoe Giga tonnes oil equivalent
GWe Giga Watt electricity
GWth Giga Watt thermal
ha Hectare
km2 Square kilometre
kWh Kilo Watt hour
Mtoe Million tonnes oil equivalent
MWe Mega Watt electricity
PJ Petajoule
t Tonne
TWh Tera Watt hour
TABLE A3. ASSUMED EFFICIENCY IN ELECTRICITY GENERATION
(FOR CALCULATING PRIMARY ENERGY)
Type of power Assumed efficiency
Nuclear power . 33
Hydroelectric 1.00
Wind and solar 1.00
Geothermal .10
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex B: Data Consistency
457
Energy is defined as the ability to do work and is measured in joules(J), where 1 joule is the work done when a force of 1 newton (N) isapplied through a distance of 1 metre. (A newton is the unit of forcethat, acting on a mass of one kilogram, increases its velocity by onemetre per second every second along the direction in which it acts.)Power is the rate at which energy is transferred and is commonlymeasured in watts (W), where 1 watt is 1 joule per second. Newton,joule, and watt are defined in the International System of Units. Otherunits used to measure energy are tonnes of oil equivalent (toe; 1 toeequals 41.87 x 109 J) and barrels of oil equivalent (boe; 1 boe equals5.71 x 109 J), used by the oil industry; tonnes of coal equivalent (tce;1 tce equals 29.31 x 109 J), used by the coal industry; and kilowatt-hour (kWh; 1 kWh equals 3.6 x 106 J), used to measure electricity.See also annex A, which provides conversion factors for energy units.)
Studies on national, regional, and global energy issues use a varietyof technical terms for various types of energy. The same terminologymay reflect different meanings or be used for different boundaryconditions. Similarly, a particular form of energy may be defined differently. For example, when referring to total primary energy use,most studies mean commercial energy—that is, energy that is tradedin the marketplace and exchanged at the going market price. Althoughnon-commercial energy is often the primary energy supply in manydeveloping countries, it is usually ignored. Non-commercial energyincludes wood, agricultural residues, and dung, which are collectedby the user or the extended family without involving any financialtransaction. Because there are no records and a lack of data on actualuse, most energy statistics do not report non-commercial energy use.Estimates of global non-commercial energy use range from 23-35exajoules a year. In contrast, wood and other biomass sold in themarketplace is reported as solids (often lumped together with coal)and becomes part of commercial energy.
Traditional energy is another term closely related to non-commercialenergy. This term generally refers to biomass used in traditional ways—that is, in the simplest cooking stoves and fireplaces—and is often meantas a proxy for inefficient energy conversion with substantial indoor andlocal air pollution. But traditional does not always mean non-commercial:wood burned in a kitchen stove may have been bought commerciallyand be reflected in commercial data. Estimates of biomass used intraditional ways range from 28-48 exajoules per year.
The term modern (or new) renewables is used to distinguishbetween traditional renewables used directly with low conversiontechnology and renewables using capital-intensive high-tech energyconversion such as solar, wind, geothermal, biomass, or oceanenergy to produce state-of-the-art fuels and energy services.
Another issue concerns the heating value of chemical fuels assumedin statistics and analyses. The difference between the higher heatingvalue (HHV) and the lower heating value (LHV) is that the higher heatingvalue includes the energy of condensation of the water vapour containedin the combustion products. The difference for coal and oil is about5 percent and for natural gas 10 percent. Most energy productionand use are reported on the basis of the lower heating value.
Yet another source of inconsistency comes from different conversion
factors to the primary energy equivalent of electricity generated byhydropower, nuclear, wind, solar, and geothermal energy. In the past,non-combustion-based electricity sources were converted to theirprimary equivalents by applying a universal conversion efficiency of38.5 percent. More recently, hydropower, solar, and wind electricityin OECD statistics are converted with a factor of 100 percent,nuclear electricity with 33 percent, and geothermal with 10 percent.
The quality of data differs considerably between regions.Statistical bureaus in developing countries often lack the resourcesof their counterparts in industrialised countries, or data are simplynot collected. Countries of the former Soviet Union used to have different classifications for sectoral energy use. Data reported bydifferent government institutions in the same country can differgreatly, often reflecting specific priorities.
The composition of regions also varies in statistical compendiumsand energy studies. At times, North America is composed of Canadaand the United States—but it might also include Mexico. Except whereotherwise noted, the following countries joined the Organisation forEconomic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in 1961: Australia(1971), Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic (1995), Denmark,Finland (1969), France, Germany, Greece, Hungary (1996), Iceland,Ireland, Italy, Japan (1964), Korea (1996), Luxembourg, Mexico(1994), the Netherlands, New Zealand (1973), Norway, Poland(1996), Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the UnitedKingdom, the United States. Depending on when the data was collected,OECD data may or may not include the Czech Republic, Hungary, theRepublic of Korea, Mexico, or Poland.
Finally, a word on the efficiency of energy conversion. Energy efficiency is a measure of the energy used in providing a particularenergy service and is defined as the ratio of the desired (usable)energy output to the energy input. For example, for an electricmotor this is the ratio of the shaft power to the energy (electricity)input. Or in the case of a natural gas furnace for space heating,energy efficiency is the ratio of heat energy supplied to the home tothe energy of the natural gas entering the furnace. Because energyis conserved (the first law of thermodynamics), the differencebetween the energy entering a device and the desirable output is dissipated to the environment in the form of heat. Thus energy is notconsumed but conserved. What is consumed is its quality to do useful work (as described by the second law of thermodynamics).
What this means is that a 90 percent efficient gas furnace for spaceheating has limited potential for further efficiency improvements.While this is correct for the furnace, it is not the case for deliveringspace heat. For example, a heat pump operating on electricityextracts heat from a local environment—outdoor air, indoorexhaust air, groundwater—and may deliver three units of heat forone unit of electrical energy to the building, for a coefficient of performance of 3. Not accounted for in this example, however, arethe energy losses during electricity generation. Assuming a moderngas-fired combined cycle power plant with 50 percent efficiency, theoverall coefficient of performance is 1.5—still significantly higherthan the gas furnace heating system. ■
ANNEX B: DATA CONSISTENCY
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex C: Energy Trends
458
ANNEX C: ENERGY TRENDS
TABLE C.1. PRIMARY ENERGY USE PER CAPITA BY REGION, 1971–97
1971 (gigajoules)
266
36
118
76
135
35
23
20
15
94
62
16112420
1980 (gigajoules)
276
42
134
108
178
61
26
25
17
113
69
17716525
1985 (gigajoules)
258
39
134
112
192
72
27
28
19
117
69
17317727
1990 (gigajoules)
263
40
137
108
195
77
27
32
21
142
70
18118029
1997 (gigajoules)
272
47
141
84
129
95
27
38
26
174
70
19412134
Change,1990– 97(percent)
3.7
15.4
3.3
-21.8
-33.9
23.9
0.1
18.8
18.9
23.2
-0.1
7.0-32.416.0
Change,1971– 97(percent)
2.4
27.7
19.9
10.6
-4.2
175.9
17.1
93.6
66.3
85.1
12.5
20.4-2.066.2
Annualgrowth rate,1990–97(percent)
0.5
2.1
0.5
-3.4
-5.7
3.1
0.0
2.5
2.5
3.0
0.0
1.0-5.42.1
Annualgrowth rate,1971–97(percent)
0.3
3.6
2.6
1.5
-0.6
15.6
2.3
9.9
7.5
9.2
1.7
2.7-0.37.5
Region
North America
Latin America
OECD Europea
Non-OECD Europeb
Former Soviet Union
Middle East
Africa
China
Asiac
Pacific OECDd
World total
Memorandum itemsOECD countriesTransition economiesDeveloping countries
a. Includes Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland. b. Excludes the former Soviet Union. c. Excludes China. d. Includes Republic of Korea. Source: IEA, 1999a.
TABLE C.2. ELECTRICITY USE PER CAPITA BY REGION, 1980–96 (KILOWATT-HOURS)
Region
North America
OECD
East Asia
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
Middle East
China
Transition economies
Least developedcountriesa
World
1980
8,986
5,686
243
116
444
485
253
2,925
74
1,576
1985
9,359
6,277
314
157
440
781
331
3,553
66
1,741
1990
20,509
7,177
426
228
448
925
450
3,823
60
1,927
1996
11,330
8,053
624
313
439
1,166
687
2,788
83
2,027
a. As defined by the United Nations. Source: World Bank, 1999.
TABLE C.3. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTION LOSSES BY REGION, 1980–96 (PERCENT)
Region
North America
OECD
East Asia
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
Transition economies
Least developedcountriesa
World
1980
6.9
7.6
8.4
19.4
9.2
8.4
11.0
8.3
1985
6.8
6.8
8.8
19.1
8.6
8.9
15.8
8.0
1990
7.0
7.2
8.2
18.8
8.8
8.4
20.3
8.3
1996
7.6
6.4
10.1
18.7
9.6
11.0
20.9
8.5
a. As defined by the United Nations. Source: World Bank, 1999.
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex C: Energy Trends
459
FIGURE C.1. CHANGES IN GDP, POPULATION, PRIMARY ENERGY USE, AND ELECTRICITY USE BY REGION, 1971–97 (INDEX: 1971=1)
Source: IEA, 1999a.
World2.8
2.6
2.4
2.2
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.01971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995
2.4
2.2
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.01971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.01971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
11971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995
5.5
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995
Electricity
GDP
Primary energy use
Population
China
Electricity
GDP
Primary energy use
Population
Developing countries
Electricity
GDP
Primary energy use
Population
Economies in transition
Electricity
GDP
Primary energy use
Population
Africa
Electricity
GDP
Primary energy use
Population
Latin America
Electricity
GDP
Primary energy use
Population
FIGURE C.3. DEVELOPMENT OF PRIMARY AND FINAL ENERGY INTENSITIES BY REGION, 1971–1997
FIGURE C.4. GLOBAL TRADE IN CRUDE OIL, OIL PRODUCTS, COAL, AND NATURAL
GAS, IN ABSOLUTE AND RELATIVE TERMS
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex C: Energy Trends
460
FIGURE C.2. ENERGY USE BY SECTOR IN SELECTED REGIONS, 1980–97 (EXAJOULES)
Source: IEA, 1999a.
Transformation Non-energy Residential
Commercial Agriculture Transportation Industry
4003503002502001501005001971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995
250
200
150
100
50
01980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996
90807060504030201001980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996
60
50
40
30
20
10
01980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996
20
15
10
5
01980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995
World
OECD
Total Asia
Africa
Exa
joule
s Perc
ent
Former Soviet Union
Note: Total traded shows share of total specific fuel use that is traded,that is total traded energy/primary energy.
Source: BP, 1999, IEA, 1999a, World Bank, 1999.
Source: IEA, 1999a.
% Coal % Oil % Gas % Total traded
Coal Crude oil Oil products Gas
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995
Megajo
ule
s per
1995 d
olla
r of
GD
P
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995
Megajo
ule
s per
1995 d
olla
r of
GD
P
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Former Soviet Union
Total Asia
Africa
Africa
Middle East
Middle East
World Latin America
Pacific OECD
OECD
Final energy intensities
Primary energy intensities
Former Soviet Union
Total Asia
WorldLatin America
Pacific OECDOECD
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex C: Energy Trends
461
FIGURE C.5. MAJOR OIL IMPORTERS AND EXPORTERS, 1980–98
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998
Exa
joule
s Perc
ent
Importers
Source: BP, 1999.
Source: IEA, 1999b. Source: World Bank, 1999.
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Developing countries
Western Europe
United States
Japan
Rest of world
Exa
joule
s
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Exporters
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998
Africa
Middle East
Transition economies
North America
Rest of worldLatin America
FIGURE C.6. GROSS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN FINANCING BY REGION, 1980–97
Perc
ent
of
GD
P
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
Gross foreign direct investment
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996
Perc
ent
of
GD
P
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
Domestic and foreign financing
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998
FIGURE C.7. ENERGY TAXES IN SELECTED COUNTRIES, 1998
Light oil(industry)
Light oil(household)
High-sulphuroil (industry)
Electricity(industry)
Electricity(household)
Perc
ent
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1
2
3
4
56
81
23
4
5
6
7
8
4
5 7
1
4
5
8
7
1, France2. Germany3. Hungary4. Italy5. Mexico6. Norway7. Turkey8. United Kingdom
1
2
4
7
6
8
OECD
Leastdevelopedcountries
SouthAsia
Sub-SaharanAfrica
Latin Americaand Caribbean
East Asiaand Pacific
Domestic financing,
East Asia and Pacific
Foreign financing, East Asia and Pacific
Foreign financing, South Asia
Domestic financing, South Asia
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex C: Energy Trends
462
FIGURE C.8. EFFICIENCY OF COAL-FUELLED AND NATURAL GAS–FUELLED ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY REGION, 1971–97
Source: Adapted from IEA, 1999a.
OECD Transition economies Africa China Asia Latin America World
Perc
ent
40
38
36
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
201971 1980 1990 1997
Coal
Perc
ent
45
40
35
30
25
201971 1980 1990 1997
Natural gas
Middle East and North Africa
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex C: Energy Trends
463
FIGURE C.9. NATURAL GAS AND STEAM COAL PRICES FOR ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY REGION, 1990–98
Source: IEA, 1999b.
U.S
. dolla
rs p
er
gig
ajo
ule
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Steam coal
Germany Hungary Japan Mexico Turkey United Kingdom United States
U.S
. dolla
rs p
er
gig
ajo
ule
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
01990 1995 1996 1997 1998
GermanyFrance Italy Japan Mexico Turkey United Kingdom United States
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998
Natural gas
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex C: Energy Trends
464
FIGURE C.10. ELECTRICITY PICES IN SELECTED COUNTRIES, 1990–98
Source: IEA, 1999b.
0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30
Industry Household
U.S. cents per kilowatt-hour U.S. cents per kilowatt-hour
France
Germany
Hungary
Italy
Japan
Mexico
Norway
Turkey
United Kingdom
United States
South Africa
Taiwan
Thailand
Venezuela
1990
1995
1996
1997
1998
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex C: Energy Trends
465
FIGURE C.11. OIL PRODUCT PRICES IN SELECTED COUNTRIES, 1990–98
Source: IEA, 1999b.
Perc
ent
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Taxes on different fuels
GermanyFrance Italy Mexico Norway Turkey
Light oil industry Light oil household High-sulphur oil industry Electricity industry Electricity household
Hungary
U.S
. dolla
rs p
er
gig
ajo
ule
25
20
15
10
5
0
Light oil prices for industry
GermanyFrance Italy Japan Mexico Norway United Kingdom United States India
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998
Hungary
U.S
. dolla
rs p
er
gig
ajo
ule
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Light oil prices for household
GermanyFrance Italy Japan ThailandNorway United Kingdom United States India
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998
Turkey
United Kingdom
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex C: Energy Trends
466
References
BP (British Petroleum). 1999. BP Statistical Review of World Energy. London.
IEA (International Energy Agency). 1999a. Energy Balances. Organisationfor Economic Co-operation and Development. Paris.
———. 1999b. Energy Prices and Taxes. Quarterly statistics (secondquarter). Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Develop-ment. Paris.
World Bank. 1999. World Development Indicators 1999. CD-ROM.Washington, D.C.
FIGURE C.12. UNLEADED GASOLINE PRICES IN SELECTED COUNTRIES, 1998
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2
United States
Canada
Australia
South Africa
New Zealand
Mexico
Taiwan
Poland
Czech Republic
India
Slovakia
Greece
Spain
Turkey
Hungary
Luxembourg
Ireland
Switzerland
Japan
Austria
Portugal
Germany
Belgium
Sweden
France
Italy
Denmark
Netherlands
Finland
United Kingdom
Norway
U.S. dollars per litre
Source: IEA, 1999b.
Tax component of price
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex D: Carbon Emissions
467
The fossil energy used in 1998 contained about 6.5 gigatonnes ofcarbon, down slightly from 1997. The slight reduction was causedby the economic crisis in East Asia, which curbed energy use in thisfast-growing region, and China’s closure of inefficient and coal-intensive heavy industry enterprises. All this carbon essentially endsup in the atmosphere in the form of carbon dioxide, the inevitableby-product of any combustion process involving hydrocarbon fuels.
The energy sector emitted about 2.8 gigatonnes of carbon duringthe extraction and conversion of primary energy to fuels and electricity, and during transmission and distribution to final use. Therest, about 3.7 gigatonnes of carbon, was emitted at the point of enduse. Included are 0.4 gigatonnes of carbon embodied in durablehydrocarbon-based materials and products such as plastics,asphalt, lubricants, and pharmaceuticals. Although these materialsdo not necessarily contribute to carbon emissions in the year theyare statistically accounted for as energy or non-energy use, mostmaterials manufactured from hydrocarbons are eventually oxidisedto carbon dioxide.
Carbon is also released from the combustion of biomass. Annualnet emissions from biomass conversion are difficult to determineand depend on the extent to which the biomass use is truly renewable.The information presented here assumes that biomass-based energyservices are renewable and so do not result in net additions toatmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide.
Box D.1 reports the range of carbon emission factors found inthe literature and the IPCC factors used to calculate the past andcurrent carbon emissions shown in figure D.1. Global carbon
ANNEX D: CARBON EMISSIONS
BOX D.1. CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSION FACTORS
Carbon dioxide emissions are measured in units of elemental carbon.For example, in 1998 global carbon dioxide emissions were 6.5gigatonnes (billion tonnes) of carbon. In the literature carbon dioxideemissions are often reported as the mass of the carbon dioxidemolecules (1 kilogram of carbon corresponds to 3.67 kilograms ofcarbon dioxide).
Note: HHV is the higher heating value, LHV is the lower heatingvalue. The difference is that the higher heating value includes the energy of condensation of the water vapour contained in thecombustion products (see annex A). Source: IPCC, 1996.
Carbon emission factors for some primary energy sources (kilograms of carbon per gigajoule)
Source
Wood
Peat
Coal (bituminous)
Crude oil
Natural gas
Heatingvalue
HHVLHV
HHVLHV
HHVLHV
HHVLHV
HHVLHV
OECD andIPCC, 1995
28.9
25.8
20.0
15.3
Literaturerange
26.8–28.428.1–29.9
30.3
23.9–24.525.1–25.8
19.0–20.320.0–21.4
13.6–14.015.0–15.4
FIGURE D.1. CARBON EMISSIONS BY REGION, 1965–98
Source: Calculated from BP, 1999 data using carbon emission factors of IPCC, 1996.
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995
Gig
ato
nnes
of
carb
on
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Asia
China
Pacific OECD
Former Soviet Union
North America
OECD Europe
Africa Middle East Non-OECD Europe Latin America
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Annex D: Carbon Emissions
468
emissions effectively doubled between 1965 and 1998, correspondingto an average increase of 2.1 percent a year—not surprisingly, amirror image of the fossil fuel–dominated global energy use. Since1990 the average rate of increase has slowed to 0.7 percent a year,not because of carbon emission mitigation efforts but because of theeconomic collapse of the former Soviet Union and the financial crisisin East Asia. Although figure D.1 clearly identifies industrialisedcountries as the main source of carbon emissions, it also shows thegrowing emissions from developing countries.
The carbon intensity (carbon per unit of primary energy) of theglobal energy system fell by 0.3 percent a year in the 20th centurybecause of substitutions of oil and gas for coal, the expansion ofhydropower, and the introduction of nuclear power. Figure D.2shows carbon intensities for 1971–97. The drop in the carbonintensity of the energy system and the decline in the energy intensi-ty of economic production have reduced the carbon intensity of GDPby 1 percent a year. Carbon emissions per capita have not changedmuch since 1971. In 1997 the average carbon intensity was 16.3grams of carbon per megajoule, the carbon intensity per unit of
economic activity was 258 grams of carbon per 1995 U.S. dollar,and carbon emissions per capita were 1.15 tonnes.
Regional carbon emissions per capita vary considerably aroundthe average of 1.15 tonnes. In 1997 the average North Americanemitted 4.70 tonnes of carbon, while the average African emittedjust 0.28 tonnes—6 percent of the North American’s emissions(table D.1). ■
References BP (British Petroleum). 1999. BP Statistical Review of World Energy. London.
IEA (International Energy Agency). 1992. Energy Balances. Organisationfor Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris.
______. 1999. Energy Balances. International Energy Agency of theOrganization for Economic Cooperation and Development(OECD/IEA). Paris, France.
IPCC. 1996. Primer. In Climate Change 1995 - Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of Climate Change: Scientific-Technical Analyses.R.T. Watson, M.C. Zinyowera, R.H. Moss, eds., Second AssessmentReport of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, 879 pp.
FIGURE D.2. GLOBAL CARBON EMISSIONS, CARBON EMISSIONS PER CAPITA, AND
DECARBONISATION OF THE ENERGY SYSTEM AND OF ECONOMIC PRODUCTION, 1971–97
Source: IEA, 1999.
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
1971 =
1.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
Global carbon emissionsCarbon emissions per capita
Carbon emissions per 1995 U.S. dollar ofeconomic activity
Carbon emissions in primary energy use
TABLE D.1. CARBON EMISSIONS PER CAPITA BY REGION, 1975–97 (TONNES OF CARBON)
1975
4.84
2.42
2.06
1.71
3.16
0.53
0.78
0.15
0.35
0.21
1.14
1980
4.96
2.59
2.19
2.05
3.47
0.57
1.13
0.18
0.42
0.25
1.21
1985
4.54
2.41
2.14
2.10
3.53
0.50
1.34
0.20
0.50
0.29
1.16
1990
4.54
2.35
2.52
1.99
3.50
0.53
1.41
0.25
0.59
0.28
1.17
1995
4.55
2.26
2.86
1.45
2.36
0.57
1.62
0.31
0.72
0.28
1.13
1997
4.70
2.29
3.02
1.44
2.15
0.63
1.73
0.34
0.73
0.28
1.15
Region
North Americaa
OECD Europe
Pacific OECDb
Non-OECD Europe
Former Soviet Union
Latin America
Middle East
Asiac
China
Africa
World
a. Includes Mexico. b. Includes the Republic of Korea. c. Excludes China.Source: Calculated from IEA, 1999 energy data and IPCC carbon emission factors (see box D.1).
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Dennis Anderson is a Professor and the Director of theImperial College Centre of Energy Policy and Technology, London,and a visiting Professor at the University College, London. Andersonholds degrees in economics from the London School of Economics(1967) and in engineering from the University of Manchester(1963). He is a Research Associate at the Oxford University Centrefor the Study of African Economies and a Member of St. Antony’sCollege. A former Senior Economist for the World Bank and ChiefEconomist for Shell, Anderson has published several works on ruralenergy and development, economic and environmental interactions,and climate change technology. His current research interestsinclude economic and environmental interactions, energy pricingand regulation, and development policy. ■
Safiatou Franciose Ba-N’Daw is a former Minister ofEconomic Infrastructure in the Ministry of Energy of Côte d’Ivoire.She holds an M.Sc. in Economic Sciences from the University ofAbidjan, studied statistics at Georgetown University, Washington,D.C., and received an MBA from Harvard University. She is also aCertified Public Accountant. Ba-N’Daw has worked as FinancialAnalyst for the World Bank, and has extensive experience in thedevelopment of small and medium-sized businesses in Hungary,Turkey and Tunisia. She has served as Senior Financial Specialistwith the Central Bank of Pakistan and the Government of Pakistanon the development of financial institutions in that country. She alsoworked on financial issues in Sri Lanka until her promotion to theMinistry of Energy. ■
John W. Baker, Chairman of the World Energy Council from1995-98, currently serves as the Deputy Chairman of CelltechGroup, a pharmaceuticals company, and is a non-executive directorfor several other companies. He is also a member of the EducationStandards Task Force and the Welfare to Work Task Force for theBritish Government. An arts graduate of Oxford University, he spentten years dealing with transport policy and finance, and anotherdecade in the field of urban renewal and public housing. In 1979 hemoved into the energy sector to become the Corporate ManagingDirector of the Central Electricity Generating Board, and later ledthe man-agement of the UK electricity privatisation and restructuringprogramme. He was Chief Executive Officer of National Power sinceits establishment in 1990, then serving as its Chairman from 1995to 1997. ■
JoAnne DiSano is the Director of the Division for SustainableDevelopment for the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs.DiSano has a degree in psychology and sociology from the Universityof Windsor, Ontario, and a Masters of Education from Wayne StateUniversity (U.S.). Before joining the United Nations, she held severalsenior management positions with the Government of Canada, culminating in her work with the Department of Arts, Sport, theEnvironment, Tourism and Territories, where she served as the FirstAssistant Secretary, Environment and Conservation Policy Division,
and as Deputy Executive Director, Environment Strategies Directorate.From 1996 to 1998, DiSano was the Deputy Head of the EnvironmentProtection Group of that department. She has also held positionswith the Canadian Employment and Immigration Commission andthe Treasury Board in Ottawa. ■
Gerald Doucet is the Secretary General of the World EnergyCouncil, a position he has held since September 1998. A graduateof Ottawa University, with a Masters in Economics from CarltonUniversity, Doucet worked for the Government of Canada in variouseconomic and policy roles from 1967-1981. He then joined theRetail Council of Canada as Senior Vice President, and in 1988 hebecame the Agent General for Ontario in Europe for the Province ofOntario. From 1992 to 1994 he served as President and a FoundingDirector of the Europe-Canada Development Association, and from1994 – 98 as President and CEO of the Canadian Gas Association. ■
Emad El-Sharkawi is chairman of the Egyptian NationalCommittee of the World Energy Council, vice-chair of WEC’s executiveassembly for Africa, general coordinator for UN-financed energyprojects in Egypt, and advisor to numerous energy organizationsand commissions. He has a post-graduate diploma in electricalpower engineering from King’s College, University of Durham, and aPh.D. in electrical power systems from the University of Manchester.After supervising engineering projects in Egypt early in his career,he taught and led research on electrical power systems and energyat universities in Iraq. Returning to Egypt, El-Sharkawi joined theMinistry of Electricity and Energy and later the Nuclear Power PlantsAuthority as Manager of Technical Affairs (1977-78). Since that timehe has supervised many renewable energy programmes in Egypt and served as a member of the country’s specialised councils onenergies. In 1986 he was named Chairman of the Board of Directorsfor the Egyptian Electricity Authority. El-Sharkawi has co-authoredmany papers on energy and systems planning, and his efforts in thefield of energy led to his election to the Royal Swedish Academy forEngineering Sciences. ■
José Goldemberg is a member of the Brazilian Academy ofSciences and the Third World Academy of Sciences. Trained in physicsat the University of Saskatchewan (Canada) and the University ofIllinois, Goldemberg holds a Ph.D. in Physical Sciences from theUniversity of São Paulo. During his long academic career, he hastaught at the University of São Paulo (where he also served as Rectorfrom 1986–89), Stanford University, and the University of Paris(Orsay). He was a Visiting Professor at Princeton University in1993–94, at the International Academy of the Environment inGeneva in 1995, and at Stanford University in 1996–97. He servedthe Federal Government in Brazil as Secretary of State of Scienceand Technology in 1990–91, Minister of Education in 1991–92, andActing Secretary of State of the Environment in 1992. The author ofseveral books and technical papers, Goldemberg is an internationallyrespected expert on nuclear physics, the environment, and energy.
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In 1991 Goldemberg was the co-winner of the Mitchell Prize forSustainable Development, and in 1994 he was honoured with theestablishment of the José Goldemberg Chair in Atmospheric Physics at Tel Aviv University. In 2000, he was awarded the VolvoEnvironmental Prize, along with three of his colleagues on theWorld Energy Assessment. ■
John P. Holdren is the Teresa and John Heinz Professor ofEnvironmental Policy and Director of the Program on Science,Technology, and Public Policy in the John F. Kennedy School ofGovernment, and a Professor of Environmental Science and PublicPolicy in the Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences at Harvard University. Trained in engineering and plasma physics atMIT and Stanford, from 1973–96 Holdren co-founded and co-ledthe interdisciplinary graduate programme in energy and resourcesat the University of California, Berkeley. He is a member of thePresident’s Committee of Advisors on Science and Technology(PCAST) and has chaired PCAST panels on protection of nuclearbomb materials, the U.S. fusion-energy R&D program, U.S. energyR&D strategy for the climate-change challenge, and internationalcooperation on energy. He is also a member of the U.S. NationalAcademy of Sciences (NAS) and National Academy of Engineering(NAE), Chairman of the NAS Committee on International Securityand Arms Control, and Chairman of the NAS/NAE Committee on U.S.-India Cooperation on Energy. ■
Michael Jefferson runs a consulting firm, Global Energy andEnvironment Consultants, in the United Kingdom. A graduate of theUniversities of Oxford and the London School of Economics,Jefferson has worked extensively in the private sector, from merchant banking to head of oil supply strategy and planning forEurope at the Royal Dutch/Shell Group of Companies. In 1990Jefferson was seconded to the World Energy Council (WEC) asDeputy Secretary General, and he later became director of studiesand policy development for WEC. He is the author of numerousbooks and articles related to energy and climate change, includingEnergy for Tomorrow’s World (written for a WEC commission in1993). He was a lead author and contributing author for theIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) SecondAssessment Report, a member of the drafting team for the IPCC’sSynthesis Report, and an IPCC peer review editor for the ThirdAssessment Report. He is technical coordinator and lead consultantto the G8 Renewable Energy Task Force. He also participated in theUNDP report, Energy after Rio, written in 1997. ■
Eberhard Jochem is the Senior Scientist at the FraunhoferInstitute of Systems and Innovation Research (Karlsruhe, Germany)and Co-director of the Centre for Energy Policy and Economics(Zurich, Switzerland). Jochem holds degrees in chemical engineering(Aachen, 1967) and economics (Munich, 1971), and a Ph.D. intechnical chemistry (Munich, 1971). He was a research fellow at
Munich University and Harvard University. As an internationallyacknowledged expert in systems analysis, technical and socio-economic research, and policy evaluation, Jochem is a member ofseveral national and international scientific organizations and advisorycommittees, including the IPCC Bureau and the Enquête Commissionon “Sustainable Energy, Liberalization, and Globalization” of theGerman Parliament. He presented lectures at the universities inKarlsruhe and Kassel until 1999 and since then in Zurich andLausanne, Switzerland. He is a member of the Editorial AdvisoryBoard of Energy Environment and Climate Policy. ■
Thomas B. Johansson, who is on leave from the Universityof Lund in Sweden, is the Director of the Energy and AtmosphereProgramme of the Bureau for Development Policy of UNDP.Johansson, who holds a Ph.D. in nuclear physics from the LundInstitute of Technology, is International Co-Chairman of the WorkingGroup on Energy Strategies and Technologies of the China Councilfor International Cooperation on Environment and Development. Hehas served as Convening Lead Author, Energy Supply MitigationOptions (Working Group IIA of the Intergovernmental Panel onClimate Change); Vice-Chairman, UN Committee on New andRenewable Sources of Energy and on Energy for Development;Chairman, UN Solar Energy Group for Environment andDevelopment; and Director of Vattenfall, the Swedish State PowerBoard. He is has authored or co-authored numerous books andarticles including Energy after Rio; Renewable Energy: Sourcesfor Fuels and Electricity; Electricity-Efficient End Use and NewGeneration Technologies and their Planning Implications; andEnergy for a Sustainable World. Along with three other membersof the editorial board, he was awarded the Volvo Environment Prizein 2000. ■
Hisham Khatib, an engineer and economist, serves as honoraryVice Chairman of the World Energy Council, as a member of theRoster of Experts for the Global Environment Facility’s Scientific andAdvisory Panel, and as the Advisory Editor to the Utilities Policy andEnergy Policy journals (U.K.) and the Natural Resources Forum(U.S.). Khatib received an M.Sc. from the University of Birmingham,and a Ph.D. in electrical engineering from the University of London,where he also received a B.Sc. in economics. Khatib has more than40 years’ experience in matters relating to electricity, energy, water,and environmental issues. He has consulted to the United Nations,UNDP, UNEP, Global Environment Facility, UNIDO, World Bank, ArabFund, Islamic Development Bank, and many other regional andinternational development agencies. Khatib also served as Ministerof Planning, Minister of Water and Irrigation, and Minister of Energyand Mineral Resources for the government of Jordan. He is theauthor of two books, Economics of Reliability in Electrical PowerSystems and Financial and Economic Evaluation of Projects, andof more than 100 articles and papers. In 1998 he was honoured withthe “Achievement Medal” of the Institution of Electrical Engineers. ■
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Kui-Nang Mak has been chief of the Energy and TransportBranch of the Division for Sustainable Development, UN Departmentof Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) since 1990. He holds a M.Sc.in electrical engineering from the University of Illinois, where he has completed all requirements except dissertation for a Ph.D. inelectrical engineering; an I.E. degree in industrial economics andmanagement from Columbia University and a Certificate from theExecutive Programme on Climate Change and Development fromHarvard University. He has worked for the United Nations since1975, acting as an Economic Affairs Officer specializing in energyfor DESA from 1978 to 1990. He is the author of several papers and reports on global energy issues, particularly on internationalcooperation and financing. His professional affiliations include servingas a member of the Sub-Committee on International Practices,Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers; a member of theCommittee on Cleaner Fossil Fuel Systems of the World Energy Council;and an advisor for the China Coal Preparation Association. ■
Nebojsa Nakicenovic is the Project Leader of the Transitionsto New Technologies Project at the International Institute forApplied Systems Analysis (IIASA). He is also the Convening LeadAuthor of the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios by theIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and Guest Professor atthe Technical University of Graz. Nakicenovic holds bachelor’s andmaster’s degrees in economics and computer science from PrincetonUniversity and the University of Vienna, where he completed his Ph.D.He also received an honoris causa Ph.D degree in engineering fromthe Russian Academy of Sciences. Before joining IIASA, Nakicenovicworked with the Research Centre (Karlsruhe, Germany) in the fieldof nuclear materials accountability. He is the author or co-author ofmany scientific papers and books on the dynamics of technologicaland social change, economic restructuring, mitigation of anthropogenicimpacts on the environment, and response strategies to globalchange. Nakicenovic has been Associate Editor of the InternationalJournal on Technological Forecasting and Social Change and ofthe International Journal on Energy, and he serves as an advisor tomany groups, including the United Nations Commission on SustainableDevelopment. Currently, his research focuses on the diffusion ofnew technologies and their interactions with the environment. ■
Anca Popescu is the Director of the Institute of Power Studiesand Design in Romania. Popescu holds a B.Sc. in electrical engineeringand a Ph.D. University in high-voltage technique from the BucharestPolytechnic. An expert in energy policy, integrated resources planning,and power sector development and investment planning, she hasserved as a scientific and technical expert to the UN FrameworkConvention on Climate Change and was the Chief ScientificInvestigator on the role of nuclear power plants in greenhouse gasemission reductions in Romania in a study sponsored by theInternational Atomic Energy Agency. The author of numerouspapers on energy planning, policy, and development, Popescu hasalso served as a guest lecturer at Bucharest Polytechnic Universityand at the National Electricity Company Training Centre. ■
Amulya Reddy was President of the International EnergyInitiative until April 2000. Reddy received his Ph.D. in applied physicalchemistry from the University of London in 1958. From 1970–91 hewas a professor at the Indian Institute of Science, in Bangalore,India, and was a visiting Senior Research Scientist at the Center forEnergy and Environmental Studies at Princeton University in 1984.From 1990–93, Reddy was a member of the Scientific and TechnicalAdvisory Panel of the Global Environment Facility. He has also beena member of the Energy Research Group of the InternationalDevelopment Research Centre in Canada; the Economic andPlanning Council, Government of Karnataka; and a member of thePanel of Eminent Persons on Power for the Minister of Power, India.He is the author of more than 250 papers, and co-author and editorof several books on energy, rural technology, and science and technology policy. Reddy was awarded the Volvo EnvironmentalPrize for 2000, along with three other members of the World EnergyAssessment editorial board. ■
Hans-Holger Rogner is the Head of the Planning and EconomicStudies Section in the Department of Nuclear Energy in theInternational Atomic Energy Agency. He holds an industrial engineering degree and a Ph.D. in energy economics from theTechnical University of Karlsruhe. He specialised in applying systemsanalysis to long-term energy demand and supply issues and in identifying technologically and economically feasible paths to sustainable energy systems. At the International Atomic EnergyAgency, Rogner’s activities focus on sustainable energy developmentand technology change. He contributes to UN efforts targeted atAgenda 21, including combating climate change. ■
Kirk R. Smith is Professor of Environment Health Sciences,Associate Director for International Programs at the Center forOccupational and Environment Health, and Deputy Director of theInstitute for Global Health at the University of California, Berkeley.Smith holds a Ph.D. and M.P.H. in biomedical and environmentalhealth sciences from Berkeley. He has been a Senior Fellow at theEast-West Center’s Program on Environment (Honolulu), and wasthe founding head of the East-West Center’s Energy Program (1978-1985). Smith is the author of more than 200 articles and 7 books,sits on the boards of 7 international scientific journals, and is advisorto the governments of several developing countries on environment.He is also a member of the India-U.S. Academies of Science Energy/Environment Program and of the World Health Organisation’sComparative Risk Assessment and Air Quality Guidelines committees.In 1997, he was elected to the US National Academy of Sciences. ■
Wim C. Turkenburg is Professor and Head of the Departmentof Science, Technology, and Society at Utrecht University. He is alsoa member of the Council on Housing, Physical Planning, andEnvironment of the Netherlands, Vice Chairperson of the UNCommittee on Energy and Natural Resources for Development (UN-CENRD), and Chairperson of the Subcommittee on Energy of the
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UN-CENRD. He studied physics, mathematics, and astronomy atLeiden University and the University of Amsterdam, and received hisPh.D. in science and mathematics from the University of Amsterdamin 1971. Turkenburg is an expert on energy, the environment, andsystema analysis. He is author or co-author of many articles onrenewables (wind energy, photovoltaics, biomass energy), energyefficiency improvement, cleaner use of fossil fuels (decarbonizationtechnologies), and energy and climate change. He has been memberof a number of national and international boards, committees andworking groups on energy, energy research, and energy and environmental policy development, serving inter alia the Inter-national Solar Energy Society, the World Energy Council, theIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and the Government of the Netherlands. ■
Francisco Lopez Viray is the Secretary of Energy in thePhilippines, and chairs its subsidiary agencies, including the NationalPower Corporation, the Philippine National Oil Company, and theNational Electrification Administration. Viray holds an M.Sc. in electricalengineering from the University of the Philippines and a Ph.D. inengineering from West Virginia University. His extensive career hasincluded advisory and research positions on a number of energyand power planning projects. A specialist in the areas of power systemengineering, computer applications in engineering and energy planningand management, Viray has received several citations and awards,including the ASEAN Achievement Award in Engineering, and theOutstanding Professional in Electrical Engineering from theProfessional Regulation Committee of the Philippines. ■
Robert H. Williams is a Senior Research Scientist at PrincetonUniversity’s Center for Energy and Environmental Studies, with aPh.D. in physics from the University of California, Berkeley (1967).He served on two panels of the President’s Committee of Advisors onScience and Technology: the Energy R&D Panel (1997), as chair ofits Renewable Energy Task Force; and the International EnergyResearch, Development, Demonstration, and Deployment Panel(1999), as chair of its Energy Supply Task Force. Since 1993 he hasbeen a member of the Working Group on Energy Strategies andTechnologies of the China Council for International Cooperation onEnvironment and Development. He was a member of the Scientificand Technical Advisory Panel for the Global Environment Facilityand chaired its Climate and Energy Working Group (1995-1998).He has written many articles and coauthored several books on awide range of energy topics. He is recipient of the American PhysicalSociety’s Leo Szilard Award for Physics in the Public Interest (1988),the U.S. Department of Energy’s Sadi Carnot Award (1991) for hiswork on energy efficiency, and a MacArthur Foundation Prize(1993). In 2000, along with three other members of the WorldEnergy Assessment editorial board, he received the VolvoEnvironmental Prize. ■
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Acid deposition: fallout of substances from the atmosphere(through rain, snow, fog or dry particles) that have the potential toincrease the acidity of the receptor medium. They are primarily theresult of the discharge of gaseous sulphur oxides and nitrogenoxides from the burning of coal and oil e.g. in electricity generation,smelting industries and transport. "Acid rain" is the result of thecombination of these gases in the air with vapor. Acidifying depositioncan be responsible for acidification of lakes, rivers and groundwater,with resulting damage to fish and other components of aquaticecosystems, and for damage to forests and other harmful effects onplants. (Note: precipitation is naturally acid as a result of theabsorption of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.)
Agenda 21: a comprehensive plan of action to be taken globally,nationally and locally in every area in which human impacts on theenvironment. It was adopted by more than 175 governments at theUN Conference on Environment and Development in 1992 (alsoknown as the Rio Earth Summit).
Animate energy: energy derived from human or animal power.
Anthropogenic emissions: the share of emissions attributedto human activities.
API degree: the American Petroleum Institute has adopted ascale of measurement for the specific gravity of crude oils andpetroleum products that is expressed in degrees.
Biofuels: fuels obtained as a product of biomass conversion(such as alcohol or gasohol).
Biomass: organic, non-fossil material oil of biological origin, apart of which constitutes an exploitable energy resource. Althoughthe different forms of energy from biomass are always considered asrenewable, it must be noted that their rates of renewability are different. These rates depend on the seasonal or daily cycles ofsolar flux, the vagaries of climate, agricultural techniques or cyclesof plant growth, and may be affected by intensive exploitation.
Biogas: a gas composed principally of a mixture of methane andcarbon dioxide produced by anaerobic digestion of biomass.
Breeder reactor: a reactor which produces a fissile substanceidentical to the one it consumes and in greater quantity than the oneit has consumed, that is, it has a conversion ratio greater than unity.
Business-as-usual: the projected future state of energy andeconomic variables in the event that current technological, economic,political, and social trends persist.
Capacity building: developing skills and capabilities for technologyinnovation and deployment in the relevant government, private-sector,academic, and civil institutions.
Carbon sequestration: the capture and secure storage ofcarbon that would otherwise be emitted or remain in the atmosphere,either by (1) diverting carbon from reaching the atmosphere; or(2) removing carbon already in the atmosphere. Examples of thefirst type are trapping the CO2 in power plant flue gases, and capturing CO2 during the production of decarbonised fuels. Thecommon approach to the second type is to increase or enhance carbon sinks.
Carbon tax: a levy exacted by a government on the use of carbon-containing fuel for the purpose of influencing human behavior(specifically economic behavior) to use less fossil fuels (and thuslimit greenhouse gas emissions).
Carbon sinks: places where CO2 can be absorbed, such as forests,oceans and soil.
Clean Development Mechanism (CDM): is one of four‘flexibility’ mechanisms adopted in the Kyoto Protocol to the UNFramework Convention on Climate Change. It is a cooperativearrangement through which certified greenhouse gas emissionreductions accruing from sustainable development projects indeveloping countries can help industrialized countries meet part oftheir reduction commitments as specified in Annex B of the Protocol.
Cogeneration: see combined heat and power
Combined cycle plant: electricity generating plant comprisinga gas-turbine generator unit, whose exhaust gases are fed to a waste-heatboiler, which may or may not have a supplementary burner, and thesteam raised by the boiler is used to drive a steam-turbine generator.
Combined heat and power (CHP) station: also referredto as a cogeneration plant. A thermal power station in which all thesteam generated in the boilers passes to turbo-generators for electricity generation, but designed so that steam may be extractedat points on the turbine and/or from the turbine exhaust as back-pressure steam and used to supply heat, typically for industrialprocesses or district heating.
Commercial energy: energy that is subject to a commercialtransaction and that can thus be accounted for. This contrasts tonon-commercial energy, which is not subject to a commercialexchange, and thus difficult to account for in energy balances. The term non-commercial energy thus is technically distinct fromtraditional energy, but in practice they are often used interchangeably.
Commission on Sustainable Development (CSD):was created in December 1992 to ensure effective follow-up of theUnited Nations Conference on Environment and Development, tomonitor and report on implementation of the agreements at thelocal, national, regional and international levels.
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Compressed natural gas (CNG): natural gas stored underpressure in cylinders and used as fuel for automotive engines.
Cost buy-down: the process of paying the difference in unitcost (price) between an innovative energy technology and a conventional energy technology in order to increase sales volume,thus stimulating cost reductions through manufacturing scale-upand economies of learning throughout the production, distribution,deployment, use, and maintenance cycle.
Developing countries: generally used in this report to referto the countries that are members of the Group of 77 Countries and China.
Digester: a tank designed for the anaerobic fermentation of biomass.
Dimethyl ether (DME): an oxygenated fuel that can be producedfrom any carbonaceous feedstock by a process that begins with syngas production.
Discount rate: the annual rate at which the effects of future events are reduced so as to be comparable to the effect ofpresent events.
Economies in transition: national economies that are movingfrom a period of heavy government control toward lessened inter-vention, increased privatization, and greater use of competition.
Energy innovation chain: the linked process by which anenergy-supply or energy-end-use technology moves from its conception in theory and the laboratory to its feasibility testingthrough demonstration projects, small-scale implementation andfinally large-scale deployment.
Energy intensity: ratio between the consumption of energy toa given quantity, usually refers to the amount of primary or finalenergy consumed per unit of gross domestic or national product.
Energy efficiency: the amount of utility or energy serviceprovided by a unit of energy (U/E), which can be used as a measureof energy efficiency in end-use applications. An increase in energyefficiency enables consumers to enjoy an increase in utility or energy service for the same amount of energy consumed or to enjoythe same utility of energy services with reduced energy consumption,U = (U/E) E. The usual situation is one in which an increase in energyefficiency (U/E) boosts both energy use and the utility derived fromeach unit of energy consumed.
Energy payback/time: the time of exploitation of an energyinstallation, necessary for recuperating all the energy consumed in its construction and operation during the projected lifespan of the installation.
Energy sector restructuring and reform: encouragingmarket competition in energy supply (often by transfer of ownershipfrom the public to the private sector), while removing subsidies andother distortions in energy pricing and preserving public benefits.
Energy services: the utility of energy is often referred to byengineers as energy services, although that term can be confusingsince units vary between applications and sometimes are not definedat all. For example, lumens is a natural unit in lighting services, andThomas Edison proposed charging for lumens rather than kilowatthours when electricity was first used for lighting; for practical reasonshe eventually settled on charging by the kilowatt hour instead. JamesWatt charged for his steam engines not by their motive power, butby the difference in the costs of fuel he and his customers savedwhen they substituted his engine for their old one. However, whenthe utility or ‘services’ provided by energy are felt through a hotshower, chilled drinks, refrigerated food, a comfortably warm orcool house, increased transport miles, or labour saved in washingand ironing or in producing an innumerable array of industrialgoods and services, it is only practicable to charge for energy inenergy units.
Environmental taxes (ecotaxes): levies on products orservices collected to account for environmental impacts associatedwith them.
Ethanol (ethyl alcohol): alcohol produced by the fermentationof glucose. The glucose may be derived from sugary plants such assugar cane and beets or from starchy and cellulosic materials byhydrolysis. The ethanol may be concentrated by distillation, and canbe blended with petroleum products to produce motor fuel.
Exergy: the maximum amount of energy that can be converted intoany other form or energy under given thermodynamic conditions;also known as availability of work potential.
Externalities: benefits or costs resulting as an unintendedbyproduct of an economic activity that accrue to someone otherthan the parties involved in the activity. While energy is an economic‘good’ that sustains growth and development and human well-being,there are by-products of energy production and use that have anundesirable effect on the environment (economic ‘bads’). Most ofthese are emissions from the combustion of fossil fuels.
Final energy: is the energy transported and distributed to thepoint of final use. Examples include gasoline at the service station,electricity at the socket, or fuelwood in the barn. The next energytransformation is the conversion of final energy in end-use devices,such as appliances, machines, and vehicles, into useful energy, suchas work and heat. Useful energy is measured at the crankshaft of anautomobile engine or an industrial electric motor, by the heat of ahousehold radiator or an industrial boiler, or by the luminosity of alight bulb. The application of useful energy provides energy services,such as a moving vehicle, a warm room, process heat, or illumination.
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Foreign direct investment (FDI): is net inflows of investmentto acquire a lasting management interest (10 percent or more ofvoting stock) in an enterprise operating in an economy other thanthat of the investor. It is the sum of equity capital, reinvestment ofearnings, other long-term capital, and short-term capital as shownin the balance of payments. Gross foreign direct investment is thesum of the absolute values of inflows and outflows of foreign directinvestment recorded in the balance of payments financial account.It includes equity capital, reinvestment of earnings, other long-termcapital, and short-term capital. Note that this indicator differs fromthe standard measure of foreign direct investment, which capturesonly inward investment.
Fuel cells: devices that enable chemical energy to be converteddirectly into electrical energy without the intervention of the heat engine cycle, in which electrical power is produced in a controlled reaction involving a fuel, generally hydrogen, methanolor a hydrocarbon.
Fuelwood: wood and wood products, possibly including coppices, scrubs, and branches, bought or gathered, and used bydirect combustion.
Global Environment Facility (GEF): a financial institutionthat provides grants and concessionary financing to developingcountries and economies-in-transition for projects and activitiesthat provide global benefits in four topical areas: climate change;biological diversity; international waters; and stratospheric ozone.The GEF was established for the purpose of implementing agreementsstemming from the 1992 UN Conference on Environment andDevelopment including the UN Framework Convention on ClimateChange. The World Bank Group is one of the three implementingagencies for the GEF, together with the United Nations DevelopmentProgram and the United Nations Environment Program.
Green pricing: labelling and pricing schemes that allow consumers to pay a premium for environmentally friendly servicesand products if they choose.
Greenfield investment: starting up an entirely new plant, incontrast to rebuilding an older one.
Greenhouse Gases (GHGs): heat-trapping gases in theatmosphere that warm the Earth's surface by absorbing outgoinginfrared radiation and re-radiating part of it downward. Water vapouris the most important naturally occurring greenhouse gas, but theprincipal greenhouse gases, whose atmospheric concentrations arebeing augmented by emission from human activities are carbondioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and halocarbons.
Grid extension: extending the infrastructural network that suppliesenergy, such as transmission wires for electricity.
Gross National Product (GNP): total production of goodsand services by the subjects of a country at home and abroad. In
national income accounting, it is a measure of the performance of thenation's economy, within a specific accounting period (usually a year).
Higher heating value (HHV): quantity of heat liberated bythe complete combustion of a unit volume or weight of a fuel in thedetermination of which the water produced is assumed completelycondensed and the heat recovered. Contrast to lower heating value.
Industrialized countries: for purposes of this report, thisterm refers primarily to high-income OECD countries. While manytransitional economies are also characterized by a high degree ofindustrialization, they are often considered and discussed separatelybecause of their specific development requirements.
Infrastructure: the physical structures and delivery systemsnecessary to supply energy and end-users. In the case of powerplants, the infrastructure is the high-tension wires needed to carrythe electricity to consumers; in the case of natural gas, it is thepipeline network; in the case of liquid fuels, it is the fueling stations.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC):a multilateral scientific organization established by the United NationsEnvironment Programme (UNEP) and the World MeteorologicalOrganization to assess the available scientific, technical, and socio-economic information in the field of climate change and to assesstechnical and policy options for reducing climate change and its impacts.
Irradiance: the quantity of solar energy falling per area of planesurface and time.
Kyoto Protocol (to the UN Framework Conventionon Climate Change): contains legally binding emissions targetsfor industrialized (Annex I) countries for the post-2000 period.Together they must reduce their combined emissions of six keygreenhouse gases by at least 5% by the period 2008-2012, calculatedas an average over these five years. The Protocol will enter into force90 days after it has been ratified by at least 55 Parties to the ClimateChange Convention; these Parties must include industrialized countriesrepresenting at least 55% of this group’s total 1990 carbon dioxideemissions. See also Clean Development Mechanism.
Leapfrogging: moving directly to most cleanest, mostadvanced technologies possible, rather than making incrementaltechnological progress.
Liberalisation: the doctrine that advocates the greatest possibleuse of markets and the forces of competition to co-ordinate economicactivity. It allows to the state only those activities which the marketcannot perform (e.g. the provision of public goods) or those thatare necessary to establish the framework within which the privateenterprise economy cannot operate efficiently (e.g. the establishmentof the legal framework on property and contract and the adoptionof such policies and anti-monopoly legislation).
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Lifecycle cost: the cost of a good or service over its entire lifetime.
Light water reactor (LWR): a nuclear reactor in whichordinary water, as opposed to heavy-water, or a steam/water mixtureis used as reactor coolant and moderator. The boiling water reactor(BWR) and the pressurized water reactor (PWR) are examples oflight water reactors.
Liquefied natural gas (LNG): natural gas made up mainlyof methane and ethane and which, generally to facilitate its transport, has been converted to the liquid phase by having its temperature lowered.
Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG): light hydrocarbons,principally propane and butane, which are gaseous under normalconditions, but are maintained in a liquid state by an increase ofpressure or lowering of temperature.
Lower heating value (LHV): quantity of heat liberated by the complete combustion of a unit volume or weight of a fuel inthe determination of which the water produced is assumed toremain as a vapour and the heat not recovered. Contrast to higherheating value.
Macroeconomic: pertaining to a study of economics in termsof whole systems, especially with reference to general levels of outputand income and to the interrelations among sectors of the economy.
Marginal cost: the cost of one additional unit of effort. Interms of reducing emissions, it represents the cost of reducingemission by one more unit.
Marginal cost pricing: a system of setting the price of energyequal to the marginal cost of providing the energy to a class of consumer.
Market barriers: conditions that prevent or impede the diffusionof cost-effective technologies or practices.
Market penetration: the percentage of all its potential purchasersto which a good or service is sold per unit time.
Market potential (or currently realizable potential):the portion of the economic potential for GHG emissions reductionsor energy-efficiency improvements that could be achieved underexisting market conditions, assuming no new policies and measures.
Methanol (methyl alcohol): alcohol primarily producedby chemical synthesis but also by the destructive distillation ofwood. Methanol is regarded as a marketable synthetic motor fuel.
New renewables: used in this report to refer to modern bio-fuels, wind, solar, small hydropower, marine and geothermal energy.Geothermal energy cannot be strictly considered renewable, but isincluded for practical reasons.
Nitrogen oxides (NOx): oxides formed an released in allcommon types of combustion at high temperature. Direct harmfuleffects of nitrogen oxides include human respiratory tract irritationand damage to plants. Indirect effects arise from their essential role in photochemical smog reactions and their contribution to acidrain problems.
Nuclear fuel cycle: a group of processes connected withnuclear power production; using, storing, reprocessing and disposingof nuclear materials used in the operation of nuclear reactors. Theclosed fuel cycle concept involves the reprocessing and reuse of fissionable material from the spent fuel. The once-through fuelcycle concept involves the disposal of the spent fuel following its usein the reactor.
Opportunity cost: the cost of an economic activity foregoneby the choice of another activity.
Organisation for Economic Co-operation andDevelopment (OECD): a multilateral organization of 29industrialized nations, producing among them two-thirds of the world's goods and services. The objective of the OECD is thedevelopment of social and economic policies and the coordinationof domestic and international activities.
Pollution associated with energy use. This is usuallymeasured as pollution per unit of energy use, or P = (P/E)E.Modern methods of pollution control and emerging energy tech-nologies are capable of reducing the ratio P/E—and thus P—tovery low levels, sometimes to zero. This means that if environmentalpolicies focus on P rather than E, there is no reason why high levelsof energy use (and the utility derived from it) cannot be enjoyed andpollution virtually eliminated in the long term, a process known asdelinking environmental concerns from energy use.
Primary energy is the energy that is embodied in resources asthey exist in nature: chemical energy embodied in fossil fuels (coal,oil, and natural gas) or biomass, the potential energy of a waterreservoir, the electromagnetic energy of solar radiation, and theenergy released in nuclear reactions. For the most part, primaryenergy is not used directly but is first mined, harvested or convertedand transformed into electricity and fuels such as gasoline, jet fuel,heating oil, or charcoal.
Public Benefits Fund (PBF): a financial mechanism createdto serve the greater public interest by funding programs for environmentand public health, services to the poor and disenfranchised, energytechnology innovation, or other public goods not accounted for bya restructured energy sector.
Purchasing power parity (PPP): GDP estimates based onthe purchasing power of currencies rather than on currentexchange rates. Such estimates are a blend of extrapolated and
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regression-based numbers, using the result of the InternationalComparison Program. PPP estimates tend to lower per capita GDPs in industrialized countries and raise per capita GDPs in developing countries.
Research and development (R&D): the first two stagesin the energy innovation chain. R, D & D refers to demonstrationprojects as well.
Reserves: those occurrences of energy sources or mineral that are identified and measured as economically and technicallyrecoverable with current technologies and prices (see chapter 5).
Resources: those occurrences of energy sources or mineralswith less certain geological and/or economic/technical recoverabilitycharacteristics, but that are considered to become potentially recoverable with foreseeable technological and economic development(see chapter 5).
Revenue neutral taxes: governmental levies placed on certaingoods or services that replace other taxes and thus do not add tototal revenues collected, but rather attempt to change behaviours.
Scenario: a plausible description of how the future may developbased on analysis of a coherent and internally consistent set ofassumptions about key relationships and driving forces (e.g. rate of technology changes, prices). Note that scenarios are neitherpredictions nor forecasts.
Standards/performance criteria: a set of rules or codesmandating or defining product performance (e.g. grades, dimensions,characteristics, test methods, rules for use).
Structural changes: changes in the relative share of GDPproduced by the industrial, agricultural or services sectors of aneconomy; or, more generally, systems transformations wherebysome components are either replaced or partially substituted byother ones.
Subsidies: publicly supported cost reductions that may begranted to producers and consumers – directly, through pricereductions, or in less visible forms, through tax breaks, market support or inadequate metering.
Sulphur oxides (S0x): oxides produced by the combustion offossil fuels containing sulphur. Sulphur oxides, the most widespreadof which is sulphur dioxide, a colorless gas having a strong andacrid odor, are toxic at a given concentration for the respiratory system and gave harmful effects on the environment, in particular onbuildings and vegetation. They contribute to the acid rain problem.
Sustainable energy: as the term is used in this document, isnot meant to suggest simply a continual supply of energy. Rather it
means environmentally sound, safe, reliable, affordable energy; inother words, energy that supports sustainable development in all itseconomic, environmental, social and security dimensions.
Syngas: a gaseous mixture composed mainly of carbon monoxideand hydrogen and synthesized from a carbonaceous feedstock suchas coal or biomass. It is used as a building block for the productionof synthetic liquid fuels. Syngas-based systems can make it possibleto extract energy services from carbonaceous feedstocks with verylow levels of pollutant or greenhouse gas emissions.
Transitional economies: see economies in transition
Unproven reserves: the estimated quantities, at a given date,which analysis of geologic and engineering data indicates might beeconomically recoverable from already discovered deposits, with asufficient degree of probability to suggest their existence. Becauseof uncertainties as to whether, and to what extent, such unprovenreserves may be expected to be recoverable in the future, the estimates should be given as a range but may be given as a singleintermediate figure in which all uncertainties have been incorporated.Unproven reserves may be further categorized as probable reservesor possible reserves.
United Nations Framework Convention on ClimateChange (UNFCCC): a major global convention adopted in1992 that establishes a framework for progress in stabilizing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases at safe levels. Itdirects that "such a level should be achieved within a time-framesufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate change,to ensure that food production is not threatened and to enable economic development to proceed in a sustainable manner". It also recognizes the right of developing countries to economic development, their vulnerability to the effects of climate change, and that rich countries should shoulder greater responsibility forthe problem.
United Nations Conference on Environment andDevelopment (UNCED): also known as the Rio EarthSummit. The first of a series of major United Nations conferences onglobal issues that were convened in the 1990s.
World Bank Group: a multilateral, United Nations affiliatedlending institution which annually makes available roughly $20 billion in loans to developing countries, mainly but not exclusivelyfor large scale infrastructure projects. The World Bank Group comprises five agencies: the International Bank for Reconstructionand Development, the International Development Association, theInternational Finance Corporation (IFC), the Multilateral InvestmentGuarantee Agency (MIGA), and the International Centre forSettlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). The World Bank Groupraises capital from both public sources and financial markets.
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n initial draft of the World Energy Assessment formed thebasis for the first round of peer review at an Advisory Panel
meeting that took place in July, 1999 in Geneva. Based on commentsfrom working groups at that meeting, as well as comments receivedfrom hundreds of experts around the world, a second draft was prepared.
The second draft of the report was circulated to the AdvisoryPanel, energy experts, governments and NGOs by mail and via awebsite. With input from that second round of comments, as well asfrom careful scrutiny by the Editorial Board, the final versions of thechapters were produced. A list of Advisory Panel members and peerreviewers appears below.
Advisory Panel Mohamad Ali Abduli, Ministry of Energy, IranMohammed Taoufik Adyel, Ministère de l’Energie et des Mines, MoroccoJassim Al-Gumer, Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting
Countries, KuwaitHani Alnakeeb, Organization for Energy Planning, EgyptBoris Berkovski, United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural
Organisation, FranceRufino Bomasang, PNOC Exploration Corporation, PhilippinesHernán Bravo, Instituto Costarricense de Electricidad, Costa RicaTimothy Brennand, University of East Anglia, U.K.Anthony Derrick, IT Power Ltd., U.K.Bernard Devin, ADEME, UN-CERND, FranceDaniel Doukoure, Ministère de l’Energie, Côte d’IvoireDanilo Feretic, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computing, CroatiaH.E. Irene Freudenschuss-Reichl, Austrian Mission to the United
Nations, AustriaZdravko Genchev, Center for Energy Efficiency EnEffect, BulgariaGustav R. Grob, CMDC-WSEC (World Sustainable Energy Coalition),
SwitzerlandFilino Harahap, Institute of Technology of Bandung, IndonesiaAnhar Hegazi, Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia, LebanonSawad Hemkamon, Ministry of Science Technology and Environment,
ThailandNesbert Kanyowa, Zimbabwe Mission, SwitzerlandChristian Katsande, Ministry of Transport and Energy, ZimbabweJean-Étienne Klimpt, Hydro-Québec, CanadaRon Knapp, World Coal Institute, U.K.Mansika Knut, Ministry of Petroleum and Energy, NorwayCatherine P. Koshland, University of California at Berkeley, U.S.George Kowalski, Economic Commission for Europe, SwitzerlandRaymond Lafitte, International Hydropower Association, SwitzerlandHans Larsen, RISØ National Laboratory, DenmarkKevin Leydon, European Commission, BelgiumPaul Llanso, World Meteorological Organization, SwitzerlandAlphonse MacDonald, United Nations Population Fund, SwitzerlandAndrei Marcu, United Nations Development Programme, U.S.Manuel F. Martínez, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, MexicoWilliam R. Moomaw, IVM Free University of Amsterdam, Netherlands
Mark J. Mwandosya, University of Dar-Es-Salaam, TanzaniaRaymond Myles, INFORSE, Integrated Sustainable Energy and
Ecological Development Association, IndiaGary Nakarado, United Nations Foundation, U.S.Merle S. Opelz, International Atomic Energy Agency, SwitzerlandJanos Pasztor, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change, GermanyNeculai Pavlovschi, Romanian Gas Corporation (Romgaz-S.A.), RomaniaH.E. Per Kristian Pedersen, Royal Ministry of Foreign Affairs, NorwayAtiq Rahman, Bangladesh Centre for Advanced Studies, BangladeshMorris Rosen, International Atomic Energy Agency, AustriaPranesh Chandra Saha, Economic and Social Commission for Asia
and the Pacific, ThailandT. Lakshman Sankar, Administrative Staff College of India, IndiaE.V.R. Sastry, Ministry of Non-conventional Sources of Energy, IndiaHari Sharan, DESI Power, IndiaSlav Slavov, Economic Commission for Europe, GenevaYouba Sokona, Environment Development Action in the Third World
(ENDA-TM), SenegalLee Solsbery, Foundation for Business and Sustainable Development, U.K.Istvan Tokes, United Nations Development Programme, HungaryEric Usher, United Nations Environment Programme, FranceDmitri Volfberg, Ministry of Science and Technologies, RussiaYasmin Von Schirnding, World Health Organization, Switzerland
Peer ReviewersMark Reed AberdeenDean E. Abrahamson, University of Minnesota, U.S.Jiwan Sharma Acharya, University of Flensburg, GermanyJim Adam, Executive Assembly, World Energy Council, U.S.Adam Edow AdawaAnthony O. Adegbulugbe, Obafemi Awolowo University, NigeriaBernard Aebisher, ETH Zentrum, SwitzerlandCarlos Alberto Aguilar Molina, Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y
Recursos Naturales, El SalvadorHusamuddin Ahmadzai, Swedish Environmental Protection Agency
(SIDA), SwedenRafeeuddin Ahmed, United Nations Development Programme, U.S.Francois Ailleret, World Energy Council, FranceAli Ainan Farah, Ministère de l’Industrie de l’Énergie et des Mines, DjiboutiArif Alauddin, Ministry of Water & Power, PakistanM. Albert, Union for the Coordination of Production and Transmission
of Electricity, PortugalIssam Al-Chalabi, Consultant, JordanAbdlatif Y. Al-Hamad, Arab Fund for Economic and Social
Development (AFSED), KuwaitSuleiman Abu Alim, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, JordanHugo Altomonte Popescu Anca, Institute of Power Studies and Design, RomaniaPer Dannemand Andersen, DenmarkDean Anderson, Center for Economic Analysis r.e. (ECON), Norway
A
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Dean Anderson, Royal Institute of International Affairs, U.K.Michael J. Antal, Jr., University of Hawaii at Manoa, U.S.H.E. Bagher Asadi, Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of
Iran to the United Nations, U.S.Mie Asaoka, Yanaginobanba-dori, JapanHarry Audus, International Energy Agency, FranceMohamaed M. Awad, Egyptian Electricity Authority, EgyptKazi Obaidul Awal, Bangladesh Atomic Energy Commission, BangladeshA. Awori, Kenya Energy and Environment Organisations (KENGO), KenyaEmine Aybar, Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources, TurkeyMurfat Badawi, Arab Fund for Economic & Social Development, KuwaitSheila Bailey, NASA Glen Research Center, U.S.Venkatrama Bakthavatsalam, Indian Renewable Energy Development
Agency, Ltd., IndiaJuraj Balajka, Profing, s.r.o., Slovak RepublicGuillermo R. Balce, Asean Centre for Energy, IndonesiaAlexander Barnes, World Energy Council, FranceFritz Barthel, World Energy Council, GermanyA. Bartle, International Hydropower Association, U.K.Reid Basher, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction
(IRI), U.S.Sujay Basu, Jadavpur University, IndiaBauer, Mexican Autonomous National University (UNAM), MexicoPierre Beaudouin, Federation Rhone-Alpes de Protection de la Nature
(FRAPNA), FranceCarol Bellamy, United Nations Children’s Fund, U.S.Abdelali Bencheqroun, Ministry of Energy and Mines, MoroccoNatan Bernot, World Energy Council, SloveniaGustavo Best, Food and Agriculture Organization, ItalyJos Beurskens, Netherlands Energy Research Foundation (ECN),
NetherlandsSomnath Bhattacharjee, Tata Energy Research Institute, IndiaZbigniew Bicki, Zbigniew Bicki Consulting, PolandJakob Bjornsson, IcelandEdgar Blaustein, Energy21, FranceArie Bleijenberg, Centrum voor Engergiebesparing en Scvhone
Technologie, NetherlandsKornelis Blok, Ecofys Cooperatief Advies- en Onderzoeksbureau,
NetherlandsDavid Bloom, Harvard Institute for International Development, U.S.Brenda Boardman, St. Hilda’s College, University of Oxford, U.K.Teun Bokhoven, NetherlandsBert Bolin, Stockholm Environment Institute, SwedenJames Bond, World Bank, U.S.Pal Borjesson, SwedenDaniel Bouille, Hydro-Québec, CanadaMessaoud Boumaour, Silicon Technology Development Unit, AlgeriaJean-Marie Bourdaire, International Energy Agency and Organisation
for Economic Co-operation and Development, FranceChristophe Bourillon, European Wind Energy Association, U.K.Gunnar Boye Olesen, International Network for Sustainable Energy
(INFORSE), DenmarkDuncan Brack, Royal Institute of International Affairs, U.K.Adrian John Bradbrook, University of Adelaide, Australia
Rob Bradley, Climate Network Europe, BelgiumRoberto Brandt, World Energy Council, U.K.Klaus Brendow, World Energy Council, SwitzerlandHenri Bretaudeau, World Bank, U.S.Lucien Y. Bronicki, ORMAT Industries Ltd., IsraelJenny Bryant, United Nations Development Programme, FijiTommy Buch, INVAP, ArgentinaMarites Cabrera, Asian Institute of Technology, ThailandAndre Caille, Hydro-Québec, CanadaMartin Cames, Institute for Applied Ecology, GermanyAllen Chen, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, U.S.Viravat Chlayon, Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand, ThailandJoy Clancy, University of Twente, NetherlandsGerald Clark, Uranium Institute, U.K.Andrew Clarke, World Association of Nuclear Operators, U.K.Denis Clarke, World Bank, U.S.Suani Teixeira Coelho, National Reference Center on Biomass
(CENBIO), BrazilGerry Collins, Canadian International Development Agency, CanadaHelene Connor, Helio Global Sustainable Energy Observatory, FranceStefano ConsonniMichael Corrigall, World Energy Council, South AfricaJos Cosijnsen, The Environmental Defense Fund, NetherlandsTeodorescu Cristinel-Dan, Romanian Gas Corporation (Romgaz
S.A.), RomaniaJames Currie, European Commission, DG XI, BelgiumZhou Da Di, Energy Research Institute, State Planning Commission, ChinaAnibal de Almeida, University of Coimbra, PortugalPiet de Klerk, International Atomic Energy Agency, AustriaDmitry Derogan, UkraineJean Pierre Des Rosiers, International Energy Agency, FranceV. V. Desai, ICICI, IndiaEric Donni, European Commission, DG VIII, BelgiumSeth Dunn, Worldwatch Institute, U.S.Knut Dyrstad, Statkraft, NorwayAnton Eberhard, University of Cape Town, South AfricaSimon Eddy, Ministry of Energy, Cote d’IvoireDominique Egré, Hydro-Québec, CanadaMohamed T. El-Ashry, Global Environment Facility, U.S.Mohamed El-Baradei, International Atomic Energy Agency, AustriaBaldur Eliasson, ABB Corporate Research, SwitzerlandR. Bryan Erb, Sunsat Energy Council, U.S.Andre Faaij, Utrecht University, NetherlandsMalin Falkenmark, Stockholm International Water Institute, SwedenUgo Farinelli, Conferenza Nazionale Energia E Ambiente, ItalyLilian Fernandez, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre, JapanSusan Fisher, University of California at Berkeley, U.S.Pamela Franklin, University of California at Berkeley, U.S.Jean-Romain Frisch, Environmental Defense Fund, FranceYasumasa Fujii, University of Tokyo, JapanHoward Geller, American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, U.S.Shokri M. Ghanem, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries, AustriaMarc Georges Giroux, International Atomic Energy Agency, France
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S. Goethe Vattenfall, SwedenDonna Green, AustraliaReg Green, International Federation of Chemical, Energy & General
Workers’ Unions, BelgiumInna Gritsevich, Center for Energy Efficiency, RussiaVioletta Groseva, European Commission Energy Centre Sofia, BulgariaGaétan Guertin, Hydro-Québec, CanadaShen Guofang, Permanent Mission of the People’s Republic of China
to the United Nations, U.S.H.E. Ali Hachani, Permanent Mission of Tunisia to the United
Nations, U.S.Oystein Haland, Statoil, NorwayRichard Heede, Rocky Mountain Institute, U.S.Peter Helby, University of Lund, SwedenSam Holloway, British Geological Survey, U.K.Ian Hore-Lacy, Uranium Information Centre, AustraliaRoberto Hukai, BVI Technoplan, BrazilHassan Ibrahim, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre, JapanIstrate Ioan Ilarie, Romanian Gas Corporation (Romgaz S.A.), RomaniaJon Ingimarsson, Ministries of Industry and Commerce Arnarhvoli, IcelandH.E. Samuel Rudy Insanally, Permanent Mission of Indonesia to the
United Nations, U.S.Karin Ireton, Industrial Environmental Forum of Southern Africa,
South AfricaA. Jagadeesh, Nayudamma Centre for Development Alternatives, IndiaAntero Jahkola, Finnish Academies of Technology, FinlandRodney Janssen, Helio International, FranceGilberto Januzzi, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, U.S.Tamas Jaszay, Technical University of Budapest, HungaryKarl Jechoutek, World Bank, U.S.Sathia Jothi, New Clean Energy Development Society (NERD), IndiaTian Jun, ChinaYonghun Jung, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre, JapanOlav Kaarstad, Statoil R&D Centre, NorwayVladimir Kagramanian, International Atomic Energy Agency, AustriaDaniel M. Kammen, University of California at Berkeley, U.S.Owen MacDonald Kankhulungo, Ministry of Water Development, MalawiRené Karottki, International Network for Sustainable Energy, ZimbabweArun Kashyap, The Rockefeller Foundation, U.S.Badr Kasme, Syrian Mission to the United Nations, SwitzerlandMartti Kätkä, World Energy Council, FinlandYoichi Kaya, World Energy Council, JapanWilliam Kennedy, United Nations Fund for International Partnerships, U.S.Andrzej Kerner, Energy Information Centre, PolandNancy Kete, World Resources Institute, U.S.Hyo-Sun Kim, Korea Gas Corporation, KoreaEvans N. Kituyi, Kenya National Academy of Sciences, KenyaTord Kjellstorm, Health and Environment International Consultants,
New ZealandIsrael Klabin, Fundacao Brasileira Para O Desenvolvimento
Sustentavel, BrazilHans Jurgen Koch, International Energy Agency, FranceSerguei Kononov, International Atomic Energy Agency, AustriaKeith Kozloff, World Resources Institute, U.S.
Tom Kram, Netherlands Energy Research Foundation (ECN), NetherlandsFlorentin Krause, International Project for Sustainable Energy Paths
(ISEP), U.S.Emilio La Rovere, Federal School of Rio de Janeiro, BrazilOddvar Lægreld, Royal Ministry of Foreign Affairs, NorwayAri Lampinen, University of Jyvaskyla, FinlandJonathan Lash, World Resources Institute, U.S.Tõnu Lausmaa, Renewable Energy Center TAASEN, EstoniaGerald Leach, Stockholm Environment Institute, U.K.Barrie Leay, New ZealandThierry Lefevre, Centre for Energy-Environment Research & Development;
Asian Institute of Technology, ThailandJostein Leiro, Permanent Mission of Norway to the United Nations, U.S.Stella Lenny, Hydro-Québec, CanadaJip Lenstra, Ministry of the Environment, NetherlandsAndre Liebaert, European Commission, DG VIII/E/5, BelgiumKrister Lönngren, Ministry for Foreign Affairs, FinlandLaurraine Lotter, Chemical and Allied Industries’ Association, South AfricaPhilip Lowe, European Commission, DG VIII, BelgiumHaile Lul Tebicke, TERRA plc, EthiopiaJoachim Luther, GermanyErik Lysen, University of Utrecht, NetherlandsRobert Mabro, Oxford Energy Policy Club, EnglandTim Mackey, Department of Industry, Science and Resources, AustraliaBirger Madson, DenmarkPreben Maegaard, Folkecenter for Renewable Energy, DenmarkMaswabi M. Maimbolwa, The World Conservation Union (IUCN), ZambiaAlexj Makarov, Energy Research Institute, RussiaMarkku J. Makela, Geological Survey of Finland, FinlandJose Malhaes da Silva, Developing Countries Committee, BrazilJulio Torres Martinez, Ministerio de Ciencia Technologia y Medio
Ambiente, CubaJohn Michael Matuszak, U.S.Charles McCombie, Pangea Resources International, SwitzerlandGene McGlynn, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development, FranceJ. F. Meeder, International Gas Union, NetherlandsAnita Kaniz Mehdi Zaidi, Pakistan Public Health Foundation, PakistanWafik M. Meshref, Committee on Energy and Natural Resources for
Development (UN-CENRD), EgyptTim Meyer, Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE, GermanyAxel Michaelowa, FranceJoseph Milewski, Hydro-Québec, CanadaDavid Mills, University of Sydney, AustraliaSandor Molnar, Systemexpert Consulting Ltd., HungaryBarros Monteiro, Ministry of Economy, PortugalClaus Montenem, Technology for Life, FinlandRobert B. Moore, U.S.José Roberto Moreira, Biomass Users Network, BrazilJohn O. Mugabe, African Centre for Technology Studies, KenyaSurya Mulandar, Climate Action Network South East Asia, IndonesiaPablo Mulás del Pozo, World Energy Council, MexicoJ. M. Muller, International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers
(OICA), France
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Michel Muylle, World Bank, U.S.Emi Nagata, JapanWeidou Ni, Tsinghua University, ChinaLars J. Nilson, Lund University, SwedenAinun Nishat, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology,
BangladeshM. Nizamuddin, United Nations Population Fund, U.S.Richard Noetstaller, Registered Consulting Office, AustriaKieran O’Brien, EirGrid, Ireland Jose Ocampo, Economic Commission for Latin America and the
Caribbean, ChilePeter Odell, Erasmus University Rotterdam, NetherlandsAndy Oliver, International Petroleum Industry, U.K.Derek Osborn, U.K.Richard Ottinger, Pace University, U.S.Nataa Oyun-Erdene, MongoliaRajenda K. Pachauri, Tata Energy Research Institute, IndiaJyoti P. Painuly, RISØ National Laboratory, DenmarkClaudia Sheinbaum PardoAlain Parfitt, Energy Charter Secretariat, BelgiumJyoti Parikh, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, IndiaJean-Michel Parrouffe, ENERZONIA, CanadaMaksimiljan Peènik, Slovenian Nuclear Safety Administration, SloveniaStanislaw M. Pietruszko, Warsaw University of Technology – Solar
Energy – Photovoltaics, Polish Society for Solar Energy (ISES), PolandAsif Qayyum Qureshi, Sustainable Development Policy Institute, PakistanPierre Radane, Institut d’Evaluation des Strategies sur l’Energie et
l’Energie et l’Environnement, FranceJamuna Ramakrishna, Hivos, IndiaRobert L. Randall, The RainForest ReGeneration Institute, U.S.Chris Rapley, British Antarctic Survey, U.K.Jean-Pierre Reveret, Université du Quebec à Montreal, CanadaJohn B. Robinson, University of British Columbia, CanadaZoilo Rodas, Environmental Assessment, ParaguayHumberto Rodriguez, National University, ColombiaCarlos Rolz, Guatemalan Academy of Sciences, GuatemalaFelix A. Ryan, Ryan Foundation, IndiaJacques Saint-Just, Gaz de France, FranceHiroshi Sakurai, The Engineering Academy of Japan, JapanLiam Salter, Climate Network Europe, BelgiumAngelo Saullo, ICC Energy Commission, ItalyFulai Sheng, World Wildlife Fund, U.S.Ralph E.H. Sims, Massey University, U.S.Rajendra Singh, Pricing Energy in Developing Countries CommitteeWim C. Sinke, Netherlands Energy Research Foundation (ECN),
NetherlandsDoug SmithEddy Kofi Smith, Committee on Energy and Natural Resources for
Development (UN-CENRD), GhanaBent Sørensen, Roskilde University, DenmarkManuel Soriano, PT Hagler Bailly, IndonesiaS. Kamaraj Soundarapandian, Non-conventional Energy and Rural
Development Society, India
Randall Spalding-Fecher, University of Cape Town, South AfricaHelga V.E. Steeg, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, GermanyAchim Steiner, World Commission on Dams, South AfricaJeffrey Stewart, U.S.Andy Stirling, University of Sussex, U.K.Peter Stokoe, Natural Resources Canada, CanadaCarlos Enrique Suárez, Fundación Bariloche, ArgentinaBudi Sudarsono, National Nuclear Energy Agency, IndonesiaR. Taylor, International Hydropower Association, U.K.Teng Teng, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences; Tsinghua University, ChinaJefferson Tester, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, U.S.Jacques Theys, Ministère de l’Equipement, du Logement, des Transports
et du Tourisme, FranceSteve Thorne, Energy Transformations cc, South AfricaYohji Uchiyama, Central Research Institute of Electric Power
Industry, JapanMatthew Vadakemuriyil, Malanadu Development Society, IndiaGiap van Dang, Asian Institute of Technology, ThailandMaarten J. van der Burgt, Energy Consultancy B.V., NetherlandsNico van der Linden, Netherlands Energy Research Foundation
(ECN), NetherlandsFrank van der Vleuten, Free Energy Europe, NetherlandsJean-Marc van Nypelseer, Association for the Promotion of
Renewable Energies (APERE), BelgiumRangswamy Vedavalli, U.S.Toni Vidan, Green Action, Zelena Akcija Zagreb, CroatiaAntonio Vignolo, Regional Electrical Integration Commission
(CIER), UruguayDelia Villagrasa, Climate Network Europe, BelgiumArturo VillevicencioMichael S. Von Der, United Nations Development Programme, IranShem O. Wandiga, Kenya National Academy of Sciences, KenyaXiaodong Wang, Global Environment Facility, U.S.Werner Weiss, Arbeitsgemeinschaft Erneuerbare Energie – AEE, AustriaJohn Weyant, Stanford University, U.S.H.E. Makarim Wibisono, Permanent Mission of Indonesia to the
United Nations, U.S.Quentin Wodon, World Bank, U.S.Nobert Wohlgemuth, RISØ National Laboratory, DenmarkBeth Woroniuk, Goss Gilroy Inc, CanadaErnst Worrell, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, U.S.Raymond M. Wright, Petroleum Corporation of Jamaica PCJ Resource
Center, JamaicaAnatoli Yakushau, Institute Power Engineering Problem, National
Academy of Sciences, BelarusRemko Ybema, Netherlands Energy Research Foundation (ECN),
NetherlandsKeiichi Yokobori, Asia Pacific Research Centre, JapanS. Zarrilli, United Nations Commission on Trade and Development,
SwitzerlandGuocheng Zhang, Ministry of Science and Technology, ChinaZhongXiang Zhang, University of Groningen, NetherlandsFengqi Zhou, State Development Planning Commission, China
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Index
491
Note: Page numbers followedby letters b, f, n, and t indicatematerial presented in boxes,figures, notes, and tables,respectively.
a-Si. See Amorphous siliconABB/Combustion Engineering
System, 313Absolute poverty, 44, 59nAbsorption cooling, 249ABWR. See Advanced Boiling
Water ReactorAccess
to electricity, global populationand, 374t
market liberalisation andincrease in, 409–410
to modern energy forms, benefits of, 397–399
poverty and, 47to urban transportation
systems, 55widening
and energy regulation, 410responding to challenge
of, 420–422strategies for, 421
Acid deposition, 83–84causes of, 81, 83impacts of, 11, 83–84, 83bprojections for, 102, 359, 361f
Adequacy, and security, 114,115–118
Adsorption cooling, 249Advanced Boiling Water Reactor
(ABWR), 313Advanced energy technologies,
14–18, 273–318fossil, 14–17, 274, 275–306nuclear, 17–18, 274, 306–318residual problems of, 379
Advanced Reciprocating Engine Systems (ARES) programme, 286
Aerosols, impacts of, 95on climate change, 86on global energy balance, 88tprojections for, 360–361
AFBC. See Atmospheric pressurefluidised-bed combustion
Affordabilityconcept of, 382of energy servicesfactors limiting, 383and sustainable development,
383–384Africa. See also specific countries
acid deposition in, 84biogas experience in, 373biomass potential in, 158t, 159carbon dioxide emissions in, 92f
changes in, 444tcoal resources in, 148t, 149tconsumption in, 395t
of primary energy, 33, 33tratio to GDP, 398f
economic efficiency potentialin, 197–200, 197t
GDP inand consumption, 398fper capita, 343t
geothermal energy inpotential of, 165tuse of, 255t
household fuel choice in, 65thydroelectricity in
dams for, 79potential of, 154, 154t,
155f, 253timproved cooking stoves in,
dissemination of, 371, 371tintensity trends in, 180–181, 180tleaded fuel in, 76bnatural gas resources in,
145t, 146toil exportation by, projections
for, 357f, 358oil reserves in, 139t,
140t–141tsolar energy potential in, 163tsulphur dioxide emissions in, 82thorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151turban population in, 421urbanisation in, 54–55water balance in, 153twater resources in, 159twind energy resources in, 164t
programme for, 231tAgenda 21, 26n, 419, 443
on energy in sustainabledevelopment, i, 3
on need for change, 3, 42–43Programme for the Further
Implementation of, 419, 445Agriculture
vs. biomass production, 158efficiency of
barriers to, 205in China, 194, 194tin India, 193, 193tpolicies on, 210
environmental impacts of, 64f, 161
productivity of, climatechange and, 90–91, 105n
residues from (See Crop residues)water use in, 155
Agrochemicals, biomass energysystems and, 226
Air conditionersgeothermal heat pumps for, 257solar, 249
Air pollution. See also specificpollutantsfrom biomass consumption, 397in China, 374, 384–385from crop-residue burning,
66, 384–385from fossil fuels, cost of,
277, 277thealth effects of, 97indoor, 11, 66–69, 67f, 70fnear-zero
promising technologicaloptions for, 278, 279
technologies and strategiesfor, 279–302
projections for, 359–360regional, 80–86
urban, 49, 49f, 73–77in developing countries,
76–77in industrialised countries,
74–76long-term control of, 77
Air quality, value of, 98–100Air travel, efficiency of, 177, 205, 211Alcohols
as alternative automotivefuels, 293–294
biomass production of, 225emissions from, 293–294
Aluminum, production intensityfor, 178b
Americas. See also Latin America;North America; specific countrieswind energy programme in, 231t
Ammonia emissions, regionalimpacts of, 81
Amorphous silicon (a-Si), photo-voltaic cell, 238t
Anaerobic digestion, of biomass,224t, 224–225
Animal biomass, 156. See also DungAntarctica, water balance in, 153, 153tAnthracosis, 72APERC. See Asia Pacific Energy
Research CentreAppliances
efficiency oflabels regarding, 428, 429obstacles to, 203policies on, 208–209, 209t
fuel cycle of, 100in United States, 57
Aquifer(s), deep, carbon dioxidestorage in, 289–290, 319n–320n
Aquifer gasdefinition of, 147resources of, 146t, 147
Arctic Ocean, in global water balance, 153t
ARES. See Advanced ReciprocatingEngine Systems
Argentinaeconomic efficiency potential
in, 195geothermal electricity
generation capacity in, 256tintensity trends in, 180tmarket reform in, 426rural energy development
in, concession schemefor, 382b
urban PM10 concentrations in, 75f
Armenia, intensity trends in, 179Arrhenius, Svante, 86Asia. See also specific countries
acid deposition in, 84, 97bprojections for, 359, 361f
ammonia emissions in, 81biomass energy in
conversion of, 224potential of, 158t, 159use of, 227–228
carbon dioxide emissions in, 92fchanges in, 444tcarbon monoxide
emissions in, 83climate change in, sulphate
aerosols and, 86coal energy in
resources of, 148, 148t, 149tsecurity of, 126
coalbed methane resourcesin, 145, 146t
consumption in, 397tof primary energy, 33, 33t
economic efficiency potentialin, 189–190, 189t
environmental policies in, effects on sulphurdioxide emissions, 403f
GDP in, per capita, 343tgeothermal energy in
potential of, 165tuse of, 255t
household fuel choice in, 65fhydropower in, 77
potential of, 154t, 155f, 253tintensity trends in, 180–181
projections for, 343, 344fmarket in
liberalisation of, 129trade patterns of, 34
natural gas energy ingrids for, 125resources of, 145t, 146t
nitrogen oxide emissions in, 83nuclear power in, 126oil energy in
importation of, 120reserves of, 139t, 140t–141t
ozone concentrations in, 85particulate concentrations in, 85regional emissions in, 80tsolar energy potential in, 163tsulphur dioxide emissions
in, 82, 82f, 403fthorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151turban population in, 421urbanisation in, 54–55water balance in, 153twater resources in, 159twind energy in
programme on, 231tresources for, 164t
Asia Alternative Energy Program(ASTAE), 432
Asia Least Cost Greenhouse GasAbatement Strategy, 189
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation(APEC), 122, 123b
Asia Pacific Energy ResearchCentre (APERC), 122
Assistance, developmentconditionality in, 432decline in, 440inadequacy of, 420–421official, 6, 37
ASTAE. See Asia AlternativeEnergy Program
Atlantic Ocean, in global waterbalance, 153t
Atmospheric pressure fluidised-bed combustion (AFBC), 303–304and carbon dioxide
emissions, 321nAustralia
in APEC, 123bcoal reserves in, 148
A
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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coalbed methane productionin, 145
geothermal electricity generationcapacity in, 256t
intensities infor automobile fuel, 429btrends in, 179f
oil shale resources in, 141solar collectors in, 248tsolar energy technologies in, 246solar thermal electricity
developments in, 244bthorium resources in, 152tidal current model
demonstration in, 260urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwater balance in, 153twind energy in
potential of, 164tprogramme on, 231t
Austriabiomass energy in, 162, 226, 227tenergy research and
development funding in, 448solar collectors in, 248turban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fAutomobiles
alternative, 77, 78bfuels for, 293–294CIDI hybrids, 294costs of environmental damage
from, 278t, 279tfuel cell, 17, 280b, 299–302gasoline hybrids, 294hybrid internal combustion
engine, 301–302pollution from
in developing countries, 77health costs of, 99–100in industrialised countries, 74
in United States, 57Azores, geothermal electricity
generation capacity in, 256t
Bachu, Stefan, 290Backyard industries, in urban
areas, 55Balance, global energy, 168f
history of changes in, 88fBalance-of-system (BOS), term, 238Bangladesh
financing of renewable energyin, 432
photovoltaic programme in, 383brural electrification cooperatives
in, 381Baruch plan, 310bBasic human needs, energy
requirements for satisfying,369–370, 420
Battery-powered electric vehicle(BPEV), 300
Beijing Fourth World Conference onWomen, 26n
Belarusintensity trends in, 179, 180turban PM10 concentrations in, 75f
Belgium, urban PM10 concentrationsin, 75f
Benzene, reducing levels of, 293BIG/CC. See Biomass integrated
gasification/combined cycle systems
Bilateral insurance schemes, 430Bio-oil, biomass production of, 225
performance data for, 226tBiocrude, 225Biodiversity
on biomass plantations, 162, 226hydropower impact on, 252
Biofuelsparticulate emissions from, 85regional impacts of, 80–81, 85
Biogashousehold use of
for cooking, 373greenhouse gas emission
from, 70, 71flimitations of, 379production of, 225, 373
Biomass, 222–230advantages of, 222–223, 224, 230air pollution from, 66–67, 66b,
372, 397anaerobic digestion of, 224t,
224–225biogas derived from, 225, 373vs. charcoal, in cooking stoves,
371–372combustion of, 224, 224t, 226
emissions from, 66–67, 66b,372, 395
commercial collection of, 70–71competitiveness of, 225consumption of, 4–5
household, 65–70, 396fcontribution of, 220, 222,
222t, 223conversion routes for, 223f,
223–225, 224tas cooking fuel, 371–372relative to GNP per capita, 396fcosts of, 15t, 162, 220, 223, 227,
228, 402tdefinition of, 221, 222and demographic indicators,
53, 53teconomics of, 226–227and electricity production, 223f,
224, 224tenvironmental aspects of, 46,
161–162, 225–226ester production from, 225ethanol production from, 225externalities offered by, 230fossil energy technology
advances and, 277fuel-cycle analysis of, 102b, 103band fuel production, 223f, 225performance data, 226tgasification of, 224, 224t, 225, 226health risks with, 46, 49and heat production, 223f,
223–224, 224thydrocarbon production from, 225hydrogen production from, 225implementation issues, 227–230industrial uses of, 228bland use requirements for,
222b, 228
methanol production from, 225modern, 222
contribution of, 220plantation production of,
157–162, 160tcosts of, 162environmental impacts
of, 161–162polygeneration strategy for,
229–230producer gas derived from,
373–374resource base of, 156–162
adequacy of, 117–118potential of, 14, 157–160,
158t, 222t, 223problems with, 157
risks of, 31sources of, 156–157, 157t
degradation of, 47, 59ntechnologies, 221t, 223–225
current status of, 266ttraditional
contribution of, 220sustainability of, 222
transportation of, 160Biomass integrated gasification/
combined cycle (BIG/CC) systems, 224, 224t
Birds, wind turbines and, 233Births, desired number of, 52Bitumen, natural (tar sands), 141t,
142, 142bBituminous coal, 147
resources of, 148, 148t, 149tBlack carbon, 85Black shale deposits, uranium
concentrations in, 151BOOT. See Build-own-operate-transferBOS. See Balance-of-systemBOT. See Build-own-transferBPEV. See Battery-powered
electric vehicleBrazil
biomass energy inconversion of, 225, 227t, 228production of, 162, 169n
biomass integrated gasification/combined cycle (BIG/CC)project in, 224
consumption in, 396tdemand in, income and, 7, 9f, 45fefficiency in
economic potential of, 195,196, 197b
programme for, 428electricity conservation
programme in, 427electricity subsidies in, 425ethanol production in, 157, 439eucalyptus plantations in, 227foreign direct investment in, 431gasification-based projects
in, 298thydroelectricity in, 154intensity trends in, 180tLPG programme in, 372, 410market reform in, 426PRO-ALCOOL programme
in, 225, 229bthorium resources in, 152urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75f
BRG. See Bundesanstalt fürGeowissenschaften undRohstoffe
Brine gas, 147Brundtland Commission, 449n
definition of sustainable development, 419
Brundtland Report, 26nBrunei Darussalam, in APEC, 123bBuild-own-operate-transfer
(BOOT) schemes, 433Build-own-transfer (BOT) schemes, 433Building(s)
design of, and passive solarenergy use, 250
efficiency ofobstacles to, 203policies on, 208, 208bpotential for, 188
Bulgariageothermal energy production
in, 257tintensity trends in, 180turban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fBundesanstalt für Geowissenschaften
und Rohstoffe (BRG) (FederalInstitute for Geosciences andNatural Resources), 139
Burundi, improved cooking stovesdisseminated in, 371t
Bush, George, 57–58Buy-down programmes,
technology, 437in developing countries, 439
Cadmium emissions, sources of, 10t, 64t
Cadmium telluride (CdTe), photo-voltaic cell, 238thealth concerns regarding, 240materials availability for, 239
CAFE standards. See CorporateAverage Fuel Economy standards
Canadain APEC, 123bBay of Fundy, tidal energy
potential of, 259carbon dioxide emissions in,
changes in, 444tconsumption in, 395tefficiency in
economic potential of,187–189, 187t
policies on, 209theavy crude oil resources
in, 142hydroelectric dams in, 78intensities in
for automobile fuel, 429btrends in, 177, 179f
research and development indecline in support for, 406bprivate sector spending
on, 447tar sands in, 116, 142thorium resources in, 152urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme in, 231t
B
C
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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Capacity 21 Programme, UNDP, 431Capacity building
and sustainable energy technologies, 440–441
World Bank and, 431Capacity Development Initiative
(CDI), 431Capacity factor, definition of, 262Car(s). See AutomobilesCarbon, emissions of
from deforestation vs. dams,79–80
fates of, 86–87, 87tvs. fossil fuel resource base,
148–149sources of, 87t, 91–92, 91t
Carbon dioxide emissionsatmospheric pressure
fluidised-bed combustion(AFBC) and, 321n
changes in, 443–444, 444tin coal mining, 72from direct coal liquefaction, 305from fossil fuels, options for
reducing, 278–279geographic distribution of, 91–92from geothermal fields, 258and global energy balance, 88tas greenhouse gas, 86history of, 86–87, 87ffrom hydrogen production, 299ocean thermal energy conversion
(OTEC) and, 261optimism about elimination
of, 408pressurised fluidised-bed
combustion and, 321nprojections for, 91–94, 92f,
93t, 361–363, 362f, 363f,405–406, 407f
recovery and disposal ofalternative strategies for,
performance and costcalculations for, 290t,291–293
fuel cells and, 288–289savings
photovoltaic solar energyand, 239
solar thermal electricity and,246–247
sequestration strategies for, 289–293, 423deep aquifer, 289–290,
319n–320ndeep ocean, 288b, 289
sources of, 10t, 11, 63, 64ttaxes on, 264, 423, 424, 424b
Carbon monoxideemissions
in coal mining, 72regional impacts
of, 80–81, 80tfuture of, 83, 101–102
poisoning, risk ofcharcoal and, 372producer gas and, 374, 379
Cardiovascular disease, householdsolid fuel use and, 69, 69b
Caribbeanbiomass potential in, 158tcoal resources in, 148t, 149t
geothermal potential in, 165thousehold fuel choice in, 65fhydroelectricity in, potential
of, 154t, 253tnatural gas resources
in, 145t, 146toil reserves in, 139t, 140t–141tsolar energy potential in, 163tthorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151twater resources in, 159twind energy resources in, 164t
Cars. See AutomobilesCarter, Jimmy, and synfuel
development efforts, 275Cascaded energy use, 199Catalytic converters, reduced air
pollution with, 74, 76bCDI. See Capacity Development
InitiativeCdTe. See Cadmium tellurideCement, final energy use for, 181tCentral America. See Latin AmericaCentral Europe. See also
specific countriescarbon dioxide emissions in,
changes in, 444tcoal resources in, 148t, 149tGDP in, per capita, 343thydroelectric potential in,
154t, 253tintensities in, projections for, 344fnatural gas resources
in, 145t, 146toil reserves in, 139t,140t–141tsolar energy potential in, 163tthorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151twater resources in, 159t
Central receiver, solar, 245–246Ceramic Jiko initiative (Kenya), 198bCetane number, 320nCFCs. See ChlorofluorocarbonsChains, energy
definition of, 4efficiency of, 32example of, 5f
Charcoalproduction of, and wood resource
depletion, 66stoves, 371–372
Chernobyl accident, 308Children, as wage earners, and
desired number of births, 52Chile
in APEC, 123beconomic efficiency potential
in, 195urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fChina
acid deposition in, 84air pollution in, 374, 384–385
from biomass consump-tion, 397
in APEC, 123bbiogas experience in, 373, 439biomass potential in, 158tcarbon dioxide emissions in, 92f
reductions in, 443–444climate change in, sulphate
aerosols and, 86
and coal-based polygenerationstrategies, 297
coal reserves in, 148coal use in
delivery costs of, 148health costs of, 98–99mining deaths from, 73pollutants from, 68, 98–99projections for, 276security of, 126
coalbed methane resourcesin, 145
consumption in, 396tof primary energy, 33, 33tratio to GDP, 398f
crop-residue-derived modernenergy carriers in, 384–388
demand in, shifts in, 118fefficiency in
economic potential of,194–195, 194t, 195b
obstacles to, 205programme for, 428
electrical grids in, 385foreign direct investment in, 431fossil fuel subsidies in, 425gasification-based projects
in, 298tgasifiers used in, problems posed
by, 374GDP in
and consumption, 398fper capita, 343t
geothermal energy inelectricity generation
capacity for, 256tpotential of, 165tproduction of, 257t
greenhouse gas emissions in,win-win strategies for, 97b
heavy crude oil resources in, 142household use in
fuel choice for, 65–66, 65fwind systems for, 377
hybrid wind, battery, anddiesel systems in, 233b
hydropower indams, 77, 78, 79small-scale stations, 375
intensities inhistory of, 8fprojections for, 343, 344frecent trends in, 180t
NMVOCs in, 81nuclear forecasts for, 321noil shale resources in, 141ozone concentrations in, 85producer gas option in, 374projections for, 360brural regions of, 378solar energy in
collectors for, 248, 248tfor cookers, 250market for, 248
stove programme in, 370b, 371sulphur dioxide emissions
in, 82, 82fthorium resources in, 152Two Control Zone policy of, 82urban areas of
air pollutant concentrationsin, 76–77
PM10 concentrations in, 75f
wind energy inprogramme for, 231tresources for, 164t
Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), asgreenhouse gases, 87
Choice, fuel, poverty and, 45CIDI. See Compression-ignition
direct-injectionCIGS. See Copper-indium/
gallium-diselenideCirculation, atmospheric and oceanic,
climate change and, 90CITES, 440Cities. See Urban areasClean Air Act (United States)
and acid deposition, 84and sulphur dioxide
emissions, 82, 360Clean Development Mechanism,
Kyoto Protocol, 431, 433, 444CLFR. See Compact linear
fresnel reflectorClimate change, 86–95
awareness of, 41computer models of, 88, 105nconsequences of, 89–91forms of, 88fossil fuels and concerns
about, 278greenhouse gas emissions as
cause of, 81, 86–89international agreements on,
94–95, 96international cooperation on,
443–445magnitude of, 88–89, 103mitigating, 404–408observations of, 88–89population growth and, 51projections for, 88–89, 91–94,
102, 360–364rate of, 103regional, 86, 90technological options for
mitigation of, 422win-win strategies for reduction
of, 96–98Clinch River Breeder Reactor
demonstration project, U.S., 323nCo-combustion, cost of, 227Coal
cost of, 276direct liquefaction of, 305drawbacks and attractions of, 276electricity from, cost of, 292t,
292–293energy density of, 370fuel-cycle analysis of, 102b, 103bgasification of, 15–16, 282–
284, 303health costs of, 99, 99thousehold use of, 65–67, 370
emissions from, 66b, 67–68hydrogen manufacture from, 320nmining of
health risks with, 71–72, 73mortality rates for, 73
power production based on, vs.biomass energy, 224
price of, 35, 36, 276production of
global, 35, 148health risks with, 72
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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regional impacts of, 85resource base of, 116t, 147–150,
148t, 149tadequacy of, 117units for, 139
supplies of, 276security of, 126
trade of, 35, 148transportation of, health risks
with, 72types of, 147versatility of, 114
Coal dust, health hazards of, 72Coal integrated gasifier combined
cycle (IGCC). See Integratedgasifier combined cycle
Coal plantsair pollutant emissions from,
costs of, 277tcarbon dioxide emissions
from, alternative strategiesfor reducing, 290t, 291
Coalbed methanedefinition of, 145resources of, 145, 146t
Coale, A. J., 52Cogeneration strategies, 15–16
with conventional steam turbinetechnology, 283–284, 285t
forms of, 198–199with integrated gasifier
combined cycle, 283, 285tin Japan, 190bwith natural gas combined
cycle, 282, 282tfor near-zero emissions, 279obstacles to, 205output ratios of electricity to
steam, 281f, 281–282policies on, 210–211for rural areas, 380tvs. separate production of
electricity and steam, 282tsmall engines for, 284–287
Coke, conversion of coal to, healthrisks with, 72
Colombia, urban PM10 concentrationsin, 75f
Combustionbiomass, 224, 224t, 226
pollution from, 66–67, 66b,372, 397
cost of, 227fuel-cycle analysis of, 103bin households, 66–70emissions from, 66–70, 66b
Commercial energy, consumption ofdata on, 4global rate of, 4impacts of, 64t
Commercial use of energy, economicefficiency potential forin Asia, 189–190, 189tin Eastern Europe, 190t, 191in Latin America, 195, 196tin Western Europe, 186, 186t
Commission on SustainableDevelopment (CSD), ninthsession of, focus of, i
Commonwealth of IndependentStates. See also Soviet Union, former
efficiency ineconomic potential of, 191–
192, 192b, 192tobstacles to, 202policies on, 207
intensity trends in, 177–179, 180tCommunities, environmental and
health risks in, 73–80projections for, 101
Compact linear fresnel reflector(CLFR), 246
Comparative risk assessments,100–101, 102b–103b
Competition, market barriers to, 423encouragement of, 426introducing in energy sector, 426and sustainable energy
development, 417Compressed natural gas vehicles, 78bCompression-ignition direct-
injection (CIDI) engines,hybrids based on, 294
Compression-ignition engines, syngas-derived fuels for, 294–295
CONAE programme, 428Concentrating solar power tech-
nologies, 243key elements of, 244
Concessionsrenewable energy, 235rural energy, 382, 382b, 422and technological innovation, 438
Construction, in urban areas, 56Consumption
approaches toconventional, 41new, 41–43
early advances in, 3, 41economic development and,
34, 34fenergy
vs. conversion, 31and economic well-being,
395–399efficiency as limitation on, 58global, 116, 116tincome level and, 396t,
399, 399tincreases in, and
environmental protection, 400–408
population size and, 51–52, 398t
in rural areas, 52–53poverty and, 46projections for, 5, 395ratio to GDP, 398f, 399, 428urbanisation and, 54by world region, 395t
environmental problems from,awareness of, 41
GDP and, 5, 7f, 34, 34f, 58industry vs. residential, taxes
on, 36per capita, and demand, 51trends in, 58
Conti, Piero Ginori, 255Contract markets, 36Convention on Climate Change.
See United NationsFramework Convention onClimate Change
Convention on Nuclear Safety, 127Conventional energy. See also
Traditional energydefinition of, 26nsubsidies for
phasing out, 264, 424–425problems with, 382, 425
Conversionvs. consumption, 31technology in, 32
Cookingbiogas for, 373with biomass
combustion in, 66–67and demographic indicators,
53, 53tclean fuels for, 276, 277,
373–374improving access to, 421
dimethyl ether for, 379electricity for, 374energy ladder for, 45fuel choice for, 65, 65ffuel demand for, 65fuel preferences for, 411nneeds, energy requirements
for satisfying, 369, 420producer gas for, 373–374
case study, 385solar, 250synthetic liquefied petroleum
gas for, 379Cooking stoves
biomass, 371–372charcoal, 371–372combustion in, 66–68, 69with commercial and
non-commercial fuels,comparison of, 370f
efficiency of, 198emissions from, 66–70, 66b, 67fhealth effects of, 68–69energy flows in, 67fimproved, 371–372kerosene, 372–373liquefied petroleum gas, 372–373
Cooling devicesgeothermal heat pumps for, 257solar, 249
Cooperationinternational, 441–445encouraging, 446–447policies for, 25–26regional, 442–443
Cooperatives, rural electrification, 381COP-6 (Sixth Conference of the Parties
to the Climate Convention), 444Copenhagen Social Summit, 26nCopper-indium/gallium-diselenide
(CIGS), photovoltaic cell, 238thealth concerns regarding, 240materials availability for, 239
Corporate Average Fuel Economy(CAFE) standards, 204, 428
Cost(s). See also Environmental costsof biomass energy, 15t, 162, 220,
223, 227, 228, 402tbiomass integrated
gasification/combinedcycle (BIG/CC) unit, 224
of carbon dioxide emissionsavoided, 290t, 291
of coal, 98–99, 148, 276of electricity
with alternative engine-generators, 386t
from coal and natural gas,292t, 292–293
in rural areas, 369security with, 115, 115bstorage, 263, 263t
of externalities, 423fixed vs. variable, 45of geothermal energy, 220, 256direct use, 256of health impacts, 99–100from emissions, 319nof hydropower, 220, 251, 254to marginal producers, and
prices, 35of marine energy, 260, 260tof modern energy options, 382of NGCC operation, 280of non-fossil fuel technologies,
uncertainties about, 405of nuclear fuel, 307–308of pollution control, 402–403polygeneration strategies and
reductions in, 276vs. prices, 36of renewable technology, 15t,
220, 402t (See also specific technologies)
of solar energy, 236photovoltaic, 240t,
240–241, 241t, 402tsolar domestic hot water
system, 248–249solar thermal electricity, 220,
246, 402tspace-based, 243
technology, buying down,437, 439
of wind energy, 230, 234potential reductions in, 234f
and women, 47Cost efficiency, and energy
regulation, 410Cost Reduction Study for Solar
Thermal Power Plants, 243Costa Rica
geothermal energy inelectricity generation
capacity with, 256tuse of, 255, 256
urban PM10 concentrations in, 75f
Credit schemes, innovative, 432Croatia, urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fCrop drying, solar, 250
world practical potential estimation for, 250t
Crop residuesas biomass, 160burning of, air pollution from,
384–385harvesting of, environmental
impact of, 66household use of, greenhouse
gas emissions from, 71fthermochemical gasification
of, 384–388Crude oil
heavy, 140t–141t, 141–142, 142b
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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prices of, 35projections for, 123, 123tas source of insecurity,
122–124resource base of, adequacy
of, 116security with, 119–124importance of, 114stocks of, 121trade of, 34–35transportation of, 122versatility of, 114
Crystalline silicon films (f-Si), photovoltaic cell, 238t
CSD. See Commission onSustainable Development
Current energy, tidal and marine,259–260current status of, 260t
Cyprus, solar collectors in, 248tCzech Republic
gasification-based projects in, 298t
IGCC project in, 283t, 284intensity trends in, 179, 180tsulphur dioxide emissions in, 402furban PM10 concentrations
in, 75f
Dams, hydroelectricconstruction of, advanced
technologies for, 252energy densities of, 156impact of, 77–80
on ecosystems, 79, 79tfuture of, 102on greenhouse gas
emissions, 79–80on humans, 78–79, 156
prevalence of, 77–78Debt, national
vs. natural debt, 94boil prices and, 23, 41
Decentralisationregulatory options for, 425–427of rural energy planning, 375–379,
381, 421–422Deforestation
greenhouse gas emissionsfrom, 91
vs. dam systems, 79–80household fuel demand and, 66
Demand, energyclimate change and, 91in developing countries, rise
in, 394economic development and,
shifts in, 118ffactors affecting, 399–400focus on, vs. supply, 41–42and GDP (See Intensity)by households, for woodfuel, 66per capita use and, 51population growth and, 51, 409projections for, 127–128, 395, 399
efficiency and, 199–200spatial distribution of,
352, 352frecent trends in, 178b
Demand-side management, andenergy efficiency, 428
Dematerialization, and demand,178b
Demographic transitions, 7, 9t,50–51, 340b
Demonstrated resources, 138Demonstration projects, 437
in developing countries, needfor, 439
Denmarkbiomass energy conversion in,
224, 227t, 228efficiency in, policies on, 209tenergy R&D in, funding for, 448intensity trends in, 179frenewables obligation in, 427solar district heating in, 249urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme
in, 231t, 266costs of, 234f
Desertificationcauses of, 66fuel demand and, 66
Desiccant cooling, 249Developing countries. See also
specific countriesair quality goals in, challenge
of addressing, 319ncarbon dioxide emissions in
changes in, 444tscenarios of, 405–406, 407f
carbon emissions in, 92, 92f,93–94
comparative advantage inusing renewable energy, 405
consumption in, 33–34, 33tprojections for, 395rates of, 4–5by wealthy, 51
definition of, 26ndemand in
projections for, 23rise in, 394
demographic transition in, 51demonstration projects
in, need for, 439efficiency in, 399
intensity trends and, 180– 181, 180t
measures to increase, 428obstacles to, 202–205policies on, 207
technology transfer and, 181–183environmental problems in, 23, 51and global warming, 402health concerns in, for women, 49improved cooking stoves in,
dissemination of, 370b, 371intensities in, 127, 180–181, 180tinvestment needs of, 430living standards in, 44oil trade and, 34–35, 35fpolicies for, 25pollution in
from biomass consump-tion, 397
options for reducing, 401–404in urban areas, 76–77
population growth in, 51
poverty in, 43–46private investment in power
sectors of, 409t, 431conditions for attracting,
430b, 431privatisation of electric sector
in, 254and research and development,
435, 449rural areas of, 21–22
energy needs of, 368–388lack of adequate energy
services in, 369security in
economic growth and, 127problems with, 114–115of supply, 118
technological innovation in,encouraging, 438–441
technology transfer in, private-sector led, 440
transportation in, 55under-pricing of electricity in, 425urban areas of, air pollution
in, 76–77Development
economic (See Economicdevelopment)
of energy systems, 6–7, 36–37human, 3, 44, 340–341
Development assistanceconditionality in, 432decline in, 440inadequacy of, 420–421official, 6, 37
Diesel-engine generators, electrifi-cation with, 375, 376b
Diesel fuelesters suited to replace, 225prices of, 74
Diesel vehiclesair pollutant emissions, costs
of, 278texhaust from, in coal mining, 72particulate emissions from, 85
Diffusion, technologicalprojections for, implications of,
353–355, 356–357supporting, 439–440
Digestion, anaerobic, of biomass,224t, 224–225
Dimethyl ether (DME), 294, 295advantages of, 379applications of, 276crop residues converted
into, 387, 388production of, liquid-phase reactor
technology for, 298Direct current, renewed interest
in, 261Direct investments, foreign, 6, 37, 37f,
430b, 431Disease(s)
burden ofdefinition of, 104nglobal, 70ffrom household solid fuel
use, 69, 69bclimate change and, 90, 91hydroelectric dams and, 79
Dish/engine power plants, 246Distributed utility (DU), concept
of, 261–262
District heating, solar energy and, 249DME. See Dimethyl etherDominican Republic, photovoltaic
system in, 377Droughts, climate change and, 89DU. See Distributed utilityDung
harvesting of, environmentalimpact of, 66
household use of, greenhousegas emissions from, 71f
EAR-I resources, 151EAR-II resources, 151Earth Summit, 419, 443
goals developed in, 3, 42–43Eastern Europe. See also
specific countriescarbon dioxide emissions in, 92f
changes in, 444tcoal resources in, 148t, 149tefficiency ineconomic potential of, 190–
192, 190tobstacles to, 202, 205policies on, 207GDP in, per capita, 343tgeothermal potential in, 165thousehold fuel choice in, 65–
66, 65fhydroelectric potentials in,
154t, 155f, 253tintensity trends in, 177–179, 180t
projections for, 343, 344fnatural gas resources in,
145t, 146toil reserves in, 139t, 140t–141tregional emissions in, 80tsolar energy potential in, 163tsulphur dioxide emissions in,
81–82, 82fthorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151twater resources in, 159twind energy resources in, 164t
Economic costs. See Cost(s)Economic development
assistance for, inadequacy of, 420–421
consumption and, 34, 34fand demand, shifts in, 118fdistribution of, 341, 342fand electrification, 375energy access and, 421and environmental risk
transitions, 95–96projections for, 340–342, 342f
Economic efficiency, and energyregulation, 410
Economic potentials, definition of, 138Economic prosperity
energy and, 23–24, 393–402environmental policies and, 394
Economic and Social Council(ECOSOC), 138
Economy, energy intensity of, 399ECOSOC. See Economic and
Social CouncilEcuador, urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75f
D
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WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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496
Edison, Thomas, 261Education
liberal market policies and, 408bof women, 50, 53
Efficiency, energyand consumption, 58definition of, 26nand demand, 400in developing countries, 399economic
and energy regulation, 410increasing, 423–429
end-use (See End-use efficiency)funding for, 435improvements in, poverty
reduction with, 46and intensity, 128market barriers for, 427raising, 427–429security and, 128transition to modern fuels and
gains in, 398Egypt
consumption in, 396teconomic efficiency potential
in, 198solar thermal electricity
developments in, 244burban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fEl Niño/Southern Oscillation, global
warming and, 90El Salvador
geothermal development in, 256geothermal electricity generation
capacity in, 256tElectric vehicles, 78bElectricity
access to, global populationand, 374t
biomass conversion routes, 223f,224, 224tcost of, 227
from coal and natural gas, costof, 292t, 292–293
for cooking, 374coproduction with synthetic
liquefied petroleum gas, 387–388
costs of, with alternativeengine-generators, 386t
diesel-engine generators for, 375, 376b
fuel-cycle analysis of, 103bgeneration of, efficiency of, 36–37grids for, regional, 130hydrogen compared with, 280bhydropower generation
of, 251–255small-scale, 375–376
lack of, health impacts of, 7nuclear, costs of, 307–308photovoltaics for, 376–377price of, 36in rural areas, 374t, 374–379
costs of, 369technological options for, 380t
security with, 113, 114–115cost of, 115, 115b
solar thermal, 243–247storage of, 262–263
costs for, 263, 263t
supplies of, unreliable, dysfunctional marketsand, 423b
Electricity systemdesign, rethinking of, 262institutional innovations and, 261pillars of, 261technical innovations and, 261
Electrification programmes, 374–379centralised approach, 374–375decentralised approach, 375–
379, 381, 421–422Electropaulo, 421, 425Emissions. See also Air pollution;
specific typescontaminant content of fuels
and, 66health damages from, cost
of, 319nfrom households, 66–70, 66b, 67fphysical form of fuels and, 66trading of, greenhouse gases, 424
Encephalitis, hydropower and,252–253
Encyclopaedia of OccupationalSafety and Health (Stellman), 70
End-use efficiency, 13–14, 173–211intensities and, 13, 175–181obstacles to, 13, 200–205, 206fpolicies on, 14, 24–25,
205–211, 206fpotentials for, 13–14, 175,
176f, 184blong-term, 199–200by region and sector, 184–198systemic approach to,
198–199types of, 183–184, 183f
technology transfers for, benefitsof, 181–183
Energy Charter Conference, 125Energy Charter Protocol on Energy
Efficiency and Related Environ-mental Aspects, 211
Energy Charter Treaty, 12, 26n, 114,122, 124–125, 442
Energy Efficiency and RelatedEnvironmental Aspects protocol, 122
Energy Research Corporation, 287Energy after Rio: Prospects and
Challenges (UNDP), 43Energy sector
components of, 32liberalisation of, 24, 32occupational hazards in, 70–73restructuring of, 24, 425–427
regulations for, 25trends in, 261–262
Energy technology innovation pipeline, 265
Energy for Tomorrow’s World(World Energy Council), 83
Energy Work Group, 122Environmental costs
with biomass use, 46of fossil fuels, 277t, 277–278, 278tinternalising, 264, 423–424of nuclear power production, 306reductions in
policies for, 422–423transition to modern fuels
and, 398
of technological innovation, 438Environmental policies
and economic prosperity, 394market liberalisation and, 409trade and, 420
Environmental protectionenergy efficiency and, 400increased energy consumption
and, 400–408Environmental quality, 61–104
awareness of problems with, 41impacts on, 9–11, 10t, 63, 64t
community-level, 73–80cross-scale, 95–101future of, 101–104global, 86–95household-level, 65–70projections for, 358–360regional, 80–86
population growth and, 51and security, 128urbanisation and, 54, 55win-win strategies for, 96–98and women, 49
Environmental risk transitions,95–96, 95f
EPR. See European pressurisedwater reactor
Equity issueseconomic development
and, 340–342, 342fphotovoltaic technology
and, 377bErosion
biomass energy systems and, 225
on biomass plantations, 161–162Eskom, photovoltaic programme
of, 376–377, 421Ester, biomass production of, 225Estonia
intensity trends in, 179oil shale resources in, 141
Ethanolas alternative automotive
fuel, 293–294biomass production of, 225emissions from, 293–294
Ethiopiaeconomic efficiency potential
in, 198improved cooking stoves
disseminated in, 371tEucalyptus plantations, 162, 169n
cost of, 227energy production from, 224water-use efficiency of, 225–226
Europe. See also specific countriesacid deposition in, 83–84biomass potential in, 159coal prices in, 276consumption in, 395tgeothermal energy use in, 255thealth impacts in, costs of, 99, 99thydroelectric dams in, 78ozone concentrations in, 85solar collectors in, 248tsolar domestic hot water systems
in, 248tsolar energy market in, 248water balance in, 153twind energy programme in, 231t
European Business Council forSustainable Energy Future, 444
European Energy Charter, 122European pressurised water reactor
(EPR), 314European Union
carbon dioxide emissions in, changes in, 444t
geothermal energy use in, 255tphotovoltaic solar energy
programme in, 242bEvaporation
climate change and, 89in global water balance, 153t
Experience curves, 435, 436fwith renewable technologies,
14, 16fExportation, security and, 118
projections for, 357–358Externalities
biomass energy and, 230including in energy prices, 423–424
f-Si. See Crystalline silicon filmsF-T process. See Fischer-
Tropsch processFast breeder reactors (FBRs), 315–316Federal Institute for Geosciences
and Natural Resources, 139Feedbacks
in climate change, 86, 89, 105ndefinition of, 104n
Fertilisers, biomass energy systems and, 226
Fertilitybenefits and costs of, 7, 52–53commercial energy use and, 42fdefinition of, 59ntransitions in
and population size, 50–51preconditions for
decline, 7, 52–53Final energy
conversion of, efficiency of, 32requirements of, projections
for, 348–351, 350fFinancing
of hydroelectric power projects, 254
of pollution control, 403private sectorattracting, 431–432in developing countries, 409tfor R&D, 435, 447–448public sector, for R&D, 433–434,
437, 448–449of renewable energy technolo-
gies, 264, 431, 435of research and development, 435trends in, 447–449of rural energy projects, 382–383,
383b, 422of sustainable energy
systems, 430–433Finland
biomass in energy system of, 227t
research and development in,funding for, 448
F
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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497
solar crop drying in, 250sulphur dioxide emissions in,
trends in, 402furban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme
in, 231tFires, forest, particulate emissions
from, 85Firm capacity, solar capacity
transformed into, 246fFischer-Tropsch (F-T) process, 295,
298, 387syngas requirements for, 321n
Fish, impacts onwith hydropower, 252with marine energy technol-
ogies, 261Fissile materials. See also
specific typesreserves and resources
of, 150–152Fission, vs. fusion, 317Fixed costs, 45Fixed tariff systems, as incentive
for renewable energy use, 235Flooding
climate change and, 89from dams, 78–79
Flows, capital, 37Fluidised-bed gasifiers, 284, 321nFood security, 43Foreign direct investments, 6, 37,
37f, 431conditions for attracting, 430b
Forest(s)acid deposition in, 83–84depletion of, fuelwood
demand and, 66fires in, particulate emissions
from, 85Forestry
health hazards of, 71mortality rates in, 73number of workers in, 70–71, 73residues from, as biomass, 160
Fossil energy technologies,advanced, 14–17, 274, 275–306goal-setting for, 276–279and sustainable development,
14, 276Fossil fuels
vs. bio-energy, 230carbon dioxide emissions from
atmospheric concentrationsof, 86
changes in, 443–444, 444toptions for reducing,
278–279competition with renewable
energy, 407consumption of, 149tcosts of
vs. costs of renewableenergy, 405
environmental, 277t, 277–278, 278t
regional impacts of, 80–81resource base of, 116t, 148–
150, 149tadequacy of, 115–118, 148projections for, 166–167
risks of, 31shortages due to resource
constraints, projectionsregarding, 264
vs. solar thermal electricity, 247subsidies for, 423supply considerations, and fossil
energy innovation, 275–276transition away from, 167
Foundries, efficiency of, 193bFrame 7H technology, 283Framework Convention on
Climate Change. See UnitedNations Framework Conventionon Climate Change
Franceconsumption in, 119b
ratio to GDP, 398fFPR prototype in, 323nfuel ethanol programme in, 225geothermal energy in
electricity generationcapacity for, 256t
production of, 257tIGCC projects in, 283tintensity trends in, 179fnatural gas importation by, 124nuclear power in, 126RD&D in, decline in, 406bsecurity in, enhancement of, 119bsolar collectors in, 248ttidal barrage in, 259uranium recovery from seawater
in, 151burban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fvehicular pollution in, health
costs of, 99, 100twind energy programme in, 231t
Franchises, and technologicalinnovation, 438
Free-rider problem, energy R&Dand, 435, 449n
Fuel(s). See also specific fuelsadvanced, 293–302
policy framework needed for, 294
alcohol, 293–294biomass conversion routes,
223f, 225cost of, 227performance data for, 226t
oxygenated, 293in rural areas, 370–374, 380tsolar, research on, 246
Fuel cell(s), 17, 287–289and carbon dioxide recovery
and disposal, 288–289hybrid, with gas turbine/steam
turbine, 288vs. microturbines, 286types of, 287–288
Fuel cell vehicles, 78b, 280bcompetitiveness of, 301–302efforts toward development
of, 301t, 320ncompetition in, 300
gasoline, 300hydrogen, 299–302
efficiency gain of, 320nmethanol, 300
Fuel choice, poverty and, 45
Fuel cyclesanalysis of, 100–101, 102b–103bdefinition of, 100insults vs. impacts of, 100
Fuelwood. See WoodfuelFunding. See FinancingFusion, 17, 317
Garbage, burning of, air pollutionfrom, 77
Gashydrates, 146–147, 146t, 147bnatural (See Natural gas)tight formation, 146, 146t
Gas-fired combined-cycle powerplant, costs of, 402t
Gas turbines, experience curvefor, 16f, 436f
Gasificationof biomass, 224, 224t, 225, 226of coal, 15–16, 282–284, 303
Gasifiers, efficiency of, 388nGasoline
air pollutant emissions, costsof, 278t
benzene levels in, reducing, 293coal-derived, 305lead in, 76, 76bvs. natural gas, 78bprice of
vs. diesel fuel, 74leaded vs. unleaded, 76bin United States, 57
processing onboard cars, 300GCC. See Gulf Cooperation CouncilGDP. See Gross domestic productGEF. See Global Environment FacilityGenerators, insecurity and use
of, 114Geological reservoirs, carbon
dioxide sequestration in, 289–290Geopressed thermal energy, 165Geopressured gas, 146t, 147Georgia
efficiency in, barriers to, 201geothermal energy production
in, 257tGeothermal energy, 255–258
costs of, 15t, 220, 256, 402tdefinition of, 165, 221direct application of, 255,
255t, 256electricity production, 255t,
255–256environmental aspects of, 258heat pump applications of,
256–257market developments, potential,
257t, 257–258potential of, 255resources for, 165, 165ttechnologies, 221t, 255–257
current status of, 266ttypes of, 165
Germanyconsumption in, 396t
ratio to GDP, 398fefficiency in
economic benefits of, 185bpolicies on, 208b
FPR programme in, 323ngasification-based projects
in, 298tgeothermal energy production
in, 257tIGCC project in, 284industry use in, 175market liberalisation in, 426photovoltaic solar energy
programme in, 242bRD&D in, decline in, 406bsolar collectors in, 248tsolar district heating in, 249urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fvoluntary agreements in, 429wind energy programme
in, 231t, 427Ghana
consumption in, 396teconomic efficiency potential
in, 198urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fGlobal Environment Facility
(GEF), 405, 432recommendations for, 430and solar thermal electricity
development, 244bGlobal Knowledge Partnership, 431Global Scenario Group, 335Global warming. See Climate changeGlobalisation, 24
and capital flows, 37implications for energy
industry, 408–409and security, 128and trade, 34–35
Goalsdefinition of, 59policy, for sustainable devel-
opment, 417t, 418–423Government, role in
markets, 129–130Government programmes
for energy research and development, 433–434,437, 448–449
need for, 417–418short-term orientation of, 423
Grameen Shakti, 383b, 432Granite rocks, uranium
concentrations in, 151Greece
solar collectors in, 248tsolar thermal electricity
developments in, 244burban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme
in, 231tGreen Light Programme (China), 195bGreenhouse gas. See also
specific typesdefinition of, 86
Greenhouse gas emissions. See also Climate changecomparative risk assessment
for, 103bcurrent vs. cumulative, 94bby households, 67f, 69–70, 71fhydropower and, 79–80, 152, 251
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WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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mitigation of, costs of, 402as natural debt, 94bnear-zero reduction in, goal
of, 279projections for, 91–94, 360–364trading, 424win-win strategies for reduction
of, 96–98Greenland, thorium resources in, 152Greenpeace, 336Grid(s)
and efficiency improvements,201, 202
for electricity, regional, 130supplies for, costs of, 402t
Grid-connected electricity systems,value of renewables for, 263
Grid-connected ground-basedphotovoltaic systems, energypayback time of, 239
Grid-connected rooftop photovoltaicsystems, energy payback timeof, 239, 239t
Gross domestic product (GDP)and consumption, 5, 7f, 34,
34f, 58demand and (See Intensity)ratio to energy consumption,
398f, 399, 428and research and development
funding, 448tGround-based photovoltaic systems,
energy payback time of, 239Ground source heat pumps, 256Groundwater contamination
from methanol, 320nfrom methyl tertiary butyl
ether, 293, 294Guadeloupe, geothermal electricity
generation capacity in, 256tGuatemala
geothermal electricity generationcapacity in, 256t
urban PM10 concentrations in, 75f
Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)states, and oil security, 120
Gulf region, oil exportation in, 120,121f, 123
Gulf War, and energy security, 120
H2-O2 Rankine cycle plant, 290t, 291Habitat II (United Nations
Conference on SustainableHuman Settlements), 26n, 54
Halocarbons, and global energybalance, 88t
Harvesting, of woodfuel, forhouseholds, 66
HDI. See Human Development IndexHealth, 61–104
impacts on, 9–11, 10tassessment of, 98–101biomass stoves and, 372in communities, 73–80costs of, 99–100cross-scale, 95–101by emissions, 319nfuture of, 101–104
global, 86–95in households, 65–70hydropower and, 252–253photovoltaic solar cell
modules and, 240producer gas and, 374regional, 80–86in workplaces, 70–73
improvements in, modernenergy forms and, 397
value of, 98–100of women, 49
Hearing loss, among coal miners, 72Heart disease, household solid
fuel use and, 69, 69bHeat, biomass conversion routes,
223f, 223–224, 224tHeat pumps
geothermal, 256–257ground source, 256solar, 248, 249
Heating systemsefficiency of
obstacles to, 205technology transfer and, 182
solar energy and, 247, 249Heavy crude oil
definition of, 141extraction of, 142, 142breserves and resources of,
140t–141t, 141–142Hedonistic pricing, 423Heliostats, 245Helsinki Protocol, 82High-efficiency concentrator
cells, 238tHigh-efficiency tandem cells, 238tHigh-temperature gas-cooled
reactors (HTGRs), 314–315,322n–323n
High Temperature Winkler gasifier, 284Hitachi, heating system in, 190bHonduras, urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fHong Kong (China)
in APEC, 123burban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fHot dry rock energy, 165House(s), size of, 57, 175Households, 65–70
combustion in, 66–70economic efficiency potential for
in Africa, 197t, 198in China, 194–195, 194tin Commonwealth
of IndependentStates, 191t, 192
in Eastern Europe, 190t, 191in India, 193, 193tin Japan, 189, 189tin Latin America, 195, 196tin North America, 187tin Southeast Asia, 189, 189tin Western Europe,
185–186, 186tenergy ladder for, 65fuel choice in
income and, 45by region, 65f
greenhouse gas emission by, 69–70, 71f
harvesting for, 66indoor air pollution in, 11, 66–68
health effects of, 69, 70fpoverty in, 43–47projections for, 101requirements of, calculation
of, 58taxes on use by, 36
HTGRs. See High-temperaturegas-cooled reactors
HTU. See Hydrothermal upgradingHuman development
definition of, 340–341energy in, 3poverty and, 44
Human Development Index (HDI), 44Human disruption index, 9–10,
10t, 63, 64tHuman energy, on energy ladder, 369Human poverty index, 44Hungary
electricity subsidies in, elimination of, 201b
geothermal energy productionin, 257t
intensity trends in, 179, 180tsulphur dioxide emissions in,
trends in, 402furban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fHurricanes, climate change and, 90Hybrid vehicles, 78b, 294, 301–302Hydrates, gas
definition of, 146, 147brecovery of, 146–147, 147bresources of, 146–147, 146t
Hydrocarbon(s)biomass production of, 225
performance data for, 226tnon-methane emissions,
sources of, 10t, 11, 64tpolycyclic aromatic emissions,
with coal use, 72Hydrogen
as energy carrier, 17strategic importance of, 280b
fuel cell vehicles, 299–302and near-zero emissions, 299production
advanced technologiesfor, 302
from biomass, 225from coal, 320nfrom fossil fuels, 299from syngas, 321n
removal, by inorganic membranes, 293
safety considerations, 299, 299bstorage for motor vehicles, 300b
Hydrolysis, ethanol productionthrough, 225
Hydropower, 251–255. See also Damsconstraints to expansion
of, 155–156contribution of, 220cost of, 15t, 220, 251, 254economic and financial
aspects of, 254environmental and social
impacts of, 152–153, 251,252–253, 254
fuel-cycle analysis of, 102b
occupational hazards with, 72potential of, 251, 253tprevalence of, 4, 77resource base for, 152–156
adequacy of, 117economic potential
of, 154–155, 154ttechnical potential
of, 153–154, 154ttheoretical potential of,
153, 154tsmall-scale, 375–376system aspects of, 253technologies, 221t, 251–253
current status of, 266tHydropower complementation, 253Hydropressured gas, 147Hydrothermal energy, 165Hydrothermal upgrading (HTU), 225
IAEA. See International AtomicEnergy Agency
Ice, sea, global warming and, 90Iceland
geothermal electricity generationcapacity in, 256t
geothermal energy use in, 255,256, 257t
urban PM10 concentrations in, 75f
Identified resources, definition of, 138IEA. See International Energy AgencyIEP. See International Energy
ProgrammeIGCC. See Integrated gasifier
combined cycleIIASA. See International Institute
for Applied Systems AnalysisIlliteracy. See LiteracyIllumination of Mexico (ILUMEX)
programme, 209bImpacts. See also under
Environmental quality; Healthdefinition of, 26n, 104nscale of, 63
Incentive programmesfor renewable energy use, 235,
250, 264–265for solar energy use, 250for wind energy use, 235, 235t
Incomeand energy requirements, 7, 58growth in, and energy
consumption, 399, 399tper capita, and modern energy
forms, 396t, 397poverty of, 44
Indiaair pollution from biomass
consumption in, 397biogas in
experience with, 373production of, 225
biomass use in, 227climate change in, sulphate
aerosols and, 86coal reserves in, 148coal use in, costs of, 148coalbed methane production
in, 145
H
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WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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cogeneration in, 205consumption in, 396t
ratio to GDP, 398fin rural areas, 52, 60n
efficiency ineconomic potential of, 192–
194, 193b, 193tobstacles to, 205policies on, 209, 210btechnology transfers and, 182
financing of renewable energyin, 432
gas hydrates in, 146gasification-based projects
in, 298thousehold fuel choice in, 65f
health effects of, 69, 69bpollutants from, 66b, 70, 71f
intensities inhistory of, 8frecent trends in, 180, 180t
LPG programme in, 372, 381microfinance scheme in,
proposal for, 382natural gas grids in, 125nuclear energy installations
in, safety status of, 322nozone concentrations in, 85photovoltaic solar energy
programme in, 242bphotovoltaic technology for
rural areas in, equityissues relating to, 377b
plutonium recycling in, 322nproducer gas in, 378rural electrification programme
in, 375solar collectors in, 248tsolar cookers in, 250solar thermal electricity
developments in, 244bstove programme in, 370b, 371thorium resources in, 152urban areas of
air pollutant concentrationsin, 76–77
PM10 concentrations in, 75fwind energy programme in, 231t
Indian Ocean, in global water balance, 153t
Indicated reserves, 138Indonesia
in APEC, 123bappliance use in households
with electricity, 397tbiomass energy conversion
in, 224financing of renewable energy
in, 432fires in, particulate emissions
from, 85geothermal electricity generation
capacity in, 256tgeothermal energy use in, 255intensity trends in, 180tphotovoltaic solar energy
programme in, 242burban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fIndoor air pollution, in house-
holds, 11, 66–68, 67fhealth effects of, 69, 70f
Industrial collaboration, and technology transfer, 440
Industrialised countries. See alsospecific countriesbiomass use in, projections
for, 157carbon dioxide emissions in, 92,
92f, 93–95consumption in
and environmental problems, 51
rates of, 4definition of, 26ndemographic transition in, 51low-polluting technologies in, 402nuclear power in, 126poverty in, 46–47urban areas of, air pollution
in, 74–76Industry, energy, occupational
hazards of, 70–73Industry energy use
economic efficiency potential forin Africa, 197t, 198in China, 194, 194tin Commonwealth
of IndependentStates, 191t, 192
in Eastern Europe,190–191, 190t
in India, 192–193, 193tin Japan, 189, 189tin Latin America, 195, 196tin North America, 187t, 188in Southeast Asia, 189, 189tin Western Europe, 185, 186t
taxes on, 36Infant mortality
commercial energy use and, 42fand desired number of births, 52reductions in, energy technologies
and, 53Inferred reserves, 138Inferred resources, 138Infrastructure, projections
for, 348, 348fInner Mongolia, household wind
systems in, 377Innovation, energy
in developing countries,encouraging, 438–441
policy options for promoting, 25,437–438
public policies in support of,rationale for, 435–437
spending on, 435Innovation chain/pipeline, energy,
265, 434–435stages in, 433, 434t
Inorganic membrane reactors,293, 302
Insolation, average monthly, variations in, 236, 236f
Institution building, and sustainableenergy technologies, 440–441
Institutional structures, for ruralenergy services, 422
Insults, environmental. See alsospecific typesdefinition of, 26n, 104n
Insurance schemes, bilateral, 430Integrated gasifier combined
cycle (IGCC)
biomass, 387coal, 15, 282–284, 303
air pollution emissionsfrom, costs of, 277t
carbon dioxide recoveryfrom syngas in, 291
carbon dioxide separationand disposal in, costof, 292
cogeneration with, 283, 285tcommercial-scale plants,
world-wide, 283tcost and performance
characteristics of, 281tsolid waste management
advantages of, 283Integrated rural development, 380–381Intensity
definition of, 33efficiency and, 13, 175–181projections for, 127, 342–
344, 344frecent trends in, 7f, 175–181security and, 127–128
Intergovernmental Panel onClimate Change (IPCC), 43on biomass use, 157on fuel efficiency, 205projections by, 88–93, 278, 280b
Interlaboratory Working Group on Energy-Efficient and Low-Carbon Technologies, 188
Intermittent renewablesand energy storage, 262–263grid integration of, 262vs. stable, 262
Internal combustion engine, vs.fuel cell vehicle, 301
Internal combustion engine vehicles, hybrid, 301–302
International agreements. Seealso specific agreementson climate change, 94–95, 96on energy efficiency, 211on nuclear non-proliferation, 310and security, 122
International Atomic Energy Agency(IAEA), 127, 150–151, 310b, 322n
International cooperation, 441–445encouraging, 446–447
International Energy Agency (IEA), 122, 335expenditures in, 406b
International Energy Programme(IEP), 122
International Fuel CycleEvaluation, 312
International industrial collaboration,and technology transfer, 440
International Institute for AppliedSystems Analysis (IIASA),scenarios by, 335, 337–340,338t, 339t
International Labour Organisation, 442Investments, energy, 36–37
capital flows in, 37conditions conductive to,
430b, 431current status of, 36and efficiency improvements,
200–201, 203foreign direct, 6, 37, 37f
government role in, 129longevity of, 36in natural gas, political risks
with, 125official development
assistance, 6, 37policies on, 25private, 37
attracting, 431–432in developing countries,
409t, 431projections for, 355–356public, in energy R&D, 437returns on, 36, 37in sustainable development,
430–433, 446and system development, 6–7vs. total investments, 36
Invisible trees, 66IPCC. See Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate ChangeIran, Islamic Republic of
oil resources in, 120urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fIraq
heavy crude oil resources in, 142invasion of Kuwait by, 120–121oil resources in, 120
Irelandurban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme in, 231t
IS92a scenario, 278, 280bIsrael
geothermal energy productionin, 257t
solar collectors in, 248tItaipu dam, 77Italy
aquifer gas in, 147geothermal electricity generation
capacity in, 256tgeothermal energy use
in, 255, 257tIGCC projects in, 283tphotovoltaic solar energy
programme in, 242bresearch and development in
decline in, 406bprivate sector spending
on, 447urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme in, 231t
Japanadvanced light water reactors
in, 313–314in APEC, 123baquifer gas in, 147cogeneration in, 190bconsumption in, ratio to
GDP, 398fefficiency in, economic potential
of, 189–190, 189t, 190bFPR programme in, 323ngas hydrates in, 146gasoline hybrid vehicles in, 294
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WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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geothermal electricity generationcapacity in, 256t
geothermal energy use in, 255, 257t
intensities inautomobile fuel, 429bhistory of, 8frecent trends of, 175, 179f
nuclear forecasts for, 321nnuclear power in, 126photovoltaic solar energy
programme in, 242bplutonium recycling in, 322nRD&D in
decline support for in, 406bspending on, 447, 448
solar collectors in, 248tsolar energy market in, 248technological experience
curves in, 16f, 436ftidal current model demonstration
in, 260uranium recovery from seawater
in, 151burban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fjiko (stove), 371Joint Implementation and Clean
Development Mechanism, 405Jordan, oil shale resources in, 141
Kazakhstan, FPR programme in, 323nKeeling, Charles, 104nKenya
air pollution from biomassconsumption in, 397
Ceramic Jiko initiative in, 198beconomic efficiency potential
in, 198geothermal development in, 256geothermal electricity generation
capacity in, 256timproved cooking stoves
disseminated in, 371tphotovoltaic solar energy
programme in, 242brural electrification in, 421urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fKerosene, household use of, 68,
372–373greenhouse gas emissions
from, 71fKorea, Republic of
in APEC, 123bconsumption in, 396tenergy efficiency programme
in, 428energy transition in, 372,
372f, 397nuclear power in, 126urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fKuwait
heavy crude oil resources in, 142invasion by Iraq, 120–121oil resources in, 120
Kuznets, Simon, 96bKuznets curve, 96b, 412n
Kyoto Protocol, 443Clean Development Mechanism
of, 431, 433, 444criticism of, 95and efficiency, 211goals of, 351implementation of, 128status of, 95
Kyrgyzstan, intensity trends in, 179
La Rance scheme, France, 259Labelling, efficiency
for appliances, 428, 429for buildings, 208
Laboursavings in, modern energy
forms and, 397by women, 48, 48f
Ladder, energy, 45for households, 65leapfrogging on, 369, 379
barriers to trade and,439–440
developing countries and,438–439
encouraging, 422movement along, 370poverty and, 45rungs on, 369rural populations and, 22
Land availability, for biomass production, 158–159
Land usebiomass energy and, 222b, 228current global patterns of, 158thydroelectricity generation
and, 253, 254solar thermal electricity and, 247
Landfill gas, conversion to electricity, 225
Large gasification, of biomass,224, 224t
Latin America. See also specific countriesacid deposition in, 84biomass potential in, 158t, 159carbon dioxide emissions in, 92f
changes in, 444tcoal resources in, 148t, 149tconsumption in, 395t
of primary energy, 33, 33tratio to GDP, 398f
efficiency ineconomic potential of, 195–
197, 196tobstacles to, 205
GDP in, 343t, 398fgeothermal energy in
potential of, 165tuse of, 255t
household fuel choice in, 65fhydropower in, 77potential of, 154t, 155f, 253tintensity trends in, 180–181liberalisation and privatisation
in, effects of, 426LPG programmes in, 372natural gas resources
in, 145t, 146t
oil reserves in, 139t, 140t–141tphotovoltaic system in, 377solar energy potential in, 163tsulphur dioxide emissions in, 82thorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151turban population in, 421urbanisation in, 54water balance in, 153, 153twater resources in, 159twind energy in
programme on, 231tresources for, 164t
Latitude, solar radiation by, 163Latvia
intensity trends in, 179urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fLeach, Gerald, 66Lead emissions
from gasoline, 76, 76bhealth effects of, 76sources of, 10t, 64t
Leadership, technological, opportunities for, 439
Leapfrogging, on energy ladder, 369, 379barriers to trade and, 439–440developing countries
and, 438–439encouraging, 422
Liberalisation, market, 24constraints on, 425and education policies, 408band environmental policies, 409implications for energy
industry, 408, 426and increased energy
access, 409–410in Latin America, 426and security, 129
Life expectancycommercial energy use and, 42fincreases in, 51poverty and, 44
Lifestyles, 57–58Light water reactors (LWRs), 274,
308, 322nadvanced, 313–315vs. fast breeder reactors
(FBRs), 315fuel-reprocessing
systems, 310–311safety of, 17
Lignite, 147resources of, 116t, 148, 148t, 149t
Liquefaction, direct, 305Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG)
for household use, 372–373preferences for, 411nresidual problems of, 379synthetic (SLPG), 379
crop residues convertedinto, 387–388
Liquid-metal cooled fast breederreactor (LMFBR), 315
Liquid natural gas (LNG) facilities, 298Liquid-phase reactors, 297Literacy
commercial energy use and, 42fpoverty and, 44among women, 50
Lithuania, urban PM10 concentrationsin, 75f
Living standards, in developingcountries, 44
LMFBR. See Liquid-metal cooledfast breeder reactor
LNG. See Liquid natural gasLoans, energy, 432Low-polluting technologies, 402
relative pollution intensitiesand costs of, 401t
Low-temperature solar energy, 247–251active conversion, 247cost of, 15timplementation issues, 250–251market developments, 247–
248, 248tpassive conversion, 247potential of, 247technologies, 248–250
current status of, 266tLPG. See Liquefied petroleum gasLung cancer
coke production and, 72household solid fuel use and, 69b
LWRs. See Light water reactors
Macedonia FYR, geothermal energyproduction in, 257t
Magma geothermal energy, 165Malaria
dam systems and, 79hydropower and, 252–253
Malaysiain APEC, 123bbiomass energy conversion
in, 224gasification-based projects
in, 298tsynthetic middle distillate
plant in, 295urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fMali, diesel engines in, 376bManufacturing, insults caused by, 64tManure, biomass energy systems
and, 226Marginal producers, costs to, and
prices, 35Marine energy, 258–261
cost of, 15tdefinition of, 221economic aspects of, 260, 260tenvironmental aspects
of, 260–261implementation issues, 261potential of, 258–260technologies, 221t, 259–260
current status of, 260t, 266tMarket(s)
vs. administered systems, 423benefits of, 129competitive, and sustainable
energy development, 417contract vs. spot, 36dysfunctional, and unreliable
electric supplies, 423befficiency of, increasing, 423–
429, 445
K
L
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WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Index
501
and energy efficiencyimprovements, 200–201
government role in, 129–130liberalisation of, 24, 32, 129
constraints on, 425and education policies, 408band environmental
policies, 409implications for energy
industry, 408and increased energy
access, 409–410policies for, 24–25privatisation of, 426projections for, 349fand security, 12, 121–122,
128–130short-term orientation of, 423
Mbeki, Thabo, 420–421MC Power, 287mc-Si. See Multi-crystalline siliconMCFCs. See Molten carbonate
fuel cellsMcKelvey box, 137f, 138Megacities, 369Mercosur customs union, 442Mercury emissions, sources
of, 10t, 64tMetal-cooled fast reactors, 316Meters, barriers to, 202Methane
coalbed, 145, 146temissions of
in coal mining, 72from dam systems, 79–80and global energy
balance, 88tas greenhouse gas, 86history of, 87from households, 69regional impacts of, 80–
81, 80tsources of, 10t, 64t
Methane clathrate hydratecarbon content of, 321ntechnology, 277
Methane hydrates, 146, 146bnatural gas resources associated
with, 275–276Methanol
as alternative automotive fuel, 293–294
biomass production of, 225performance data for, 226t
DME production from, 295emissions from, 293–294processing onboard cars, 300toxicity of, 294trigeneration vs. separate
production of, 296tMethyl tertiary butyl ether
(MTBE), 293groundwater contamination
from, 293, 294Mexico
in APEC, 123befficiency in
economic potential of,195, 196–197
policies on, 209bprogramme on, 428
foreign direct investment in, 431
geothermal electricity generationcapacity in, 256t
geothermal energy use in, 255heavy crude oil resources in, 142intensity trends in, 180tlead content of fuel in, 76bsolar thermal electricity
developments in, 244burban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme in, 231t
Microcredit schemes, 432Microfinance schemes, 382–383, 383bMicroturbines, 286–287, 378Middle East. See also
specific countriescarbon dioxide emissions in, 92f
changes in, 444tcoal resources in, 148t, 149tconsumption in, 395t
of primary energy, 33, 33tGDP in, per capita, 343tgeothermal potential in, 165thousehold fuel choice in, 65fhydroelectric potentials in,
154t, 155f, 253tintensity trends in, 180–181leaded fuel in, 76bnatural gas resources
in, 145t, 146toil exportation by, projections
for, 357f, 358oil reserves in, 139t, 140t–141toil resources in
exportation of, 120and security, 120
solar energy potential in, 163tsulphur dioxide emissions in, 82thorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151twater resources in, 159twind energy programme in, 231twind energy resources in, 164t
Mixed-oxide uranium-plutonium(MOX), 310–311
Mobility, in urban transportationsystems, 55
Modern energy formsaccess to, benefits of, 397–399conflicting perspectives on, 395transition to, 396–397
Molten carbonate fuel cells(MCFCs), 287
Monazite, as source of thorium, 152Monopoly, public, challenges of
breaking up, 425Monsoons, global warming and, 90Montreal Protocol, 440, 443bMorocco
solar thermal electricity developments in, 244b
uranium resources in, 151Mortality
from air pollution, 97infant, 42f, 52, 53occupational, for energy pro-
duction and distribution, 73transitions in, and population
size, 7, 50–51MOX. See Mixed-oxide
uranium-plutoniumMozambique, economic efficiency
potential in, 198
MTBE. See Methyl tertiary butyl etherMulti-crystalline silicon (mc-Si),
photovoltaic cell, 238tMultilateral agencies. See also
specific agenciesrole of, 431
Multilateral Investment GuaranteeAgency, 430
Municipal waste, as biomass, 160–161
National Board for Industrial and Technical Development(NUTEK), 429
National Energy Strategy, 207Natural bitumen (tar sands), 141t,
142, 142bNatural debt, 94bNatural gas
alternatives to, need for, 275consumption of, 124
projections for, 124electricity from, cost of, 292t,
292–293fuel-cycle analysis of, 103bnational markets for, 125–126occupational hazards with, 72pipeline grids for, 125political risks with, 124–125preferences for, 411nproduction of, global
cumulative, 144recovery of, 144–146
enhanced, carbon dioxideinjection for, 289
resource base of, 116t, 144–147adequacy of, 116conventional, 144–145, 145tunconventional, 145–
147, 146tunits for, 139
shortages due to resourceconstraints, projectionsregarding, 264
supplies of, 275supply security of, 124–126trade of, 35transportation of, 124, 125versatility of, 114
Natural gas combined cycle(NGCC), 275, 280–282air pollution emissions from,
cost of, 277tcarbon dioxide separation and
disposal in, cost of, 292cogeneration with, 282, 282tcost and performance
characteristics of, 281teconomic and environmental
benefits of, 282health costs of, 99, 99t
Natural gas vehicles, compressed, 78bNEA. See Nuclear Energy AgencyNear-zero emissions
hydrogen and, 299promising technological
options for, 278, 279technologies and strategies
for moving toward, 279–302
Needs, basic human, energyrequirements for satisfying,369–370, 420
Nepalair pollution from biomass
consumption in, 397biogas experience in, 373burban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fNetherlands
efficiency in, barriers to, 204electricity storage systems in,
studies of, 262–263IGCC projects in, 283tintensity trends in, 179ftax incentives for renewable
energy use in, 265urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fvoluntary agreements in, 429wind energy programme in, 231t
New renewables, definition of, 26nNew Zealand
in APEC, 123bgeothermal electricity generation
capacity in, 256tgeothermal energy use
in, 255, 257turban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme in, 231t
NGCC. See Natural gas combined cycle
NGOs. See Nongovernmentalorganisations
Nicaraguaelectricity production from
bagasse in, potential for, 228b
geothermal development in, 256geothermal electricity generation
capacity in, 256turban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fNigeria
economic efficiency potentialin, 198
generator use in, 114urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fNitrogen, in soil, biomass production
and, 161Nitrogen dioxide emissions, in
urban areas, 74Nitrogen fixation, sources of, 10t, 64tNitrogen oxides emissions
from automobiles, 279tas greenhouse gas, 86history of, 87from hydrogen production, 299from NGCC operation, 280from reciprocating engines, 286regional impacts of, 80–81, 80t
future of, 83, 101–102sources of, 10t, 64t
NMVOC. See Non-methanevolatile organic compounds
Non-commercial energy, definitionof, 26n
Non Fossil Fuel Obligation,England, 235
Non-methane hydrocarbon emissions, sources of, 10t, 11, 64t
N
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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502
Non-methane volatile organiccompounds (NMVOC), regionalimpacts of, 80t, 81future of, 83, 101–102
Non-OECD Europe, primary energyuse in, 33, 33t
Nongovernmental organisations(NGOs), and sustainabledevelopment, 445
North Americaacid deposition in, 84ammonia emissions in, 81biomass potential in, 159coal resources in, 148, 148t, 149tcoalbed methane resources
in, 145, 146tconsumption in, of primary
energy, 33, 33teconomic efficiency potential
in, 187–189, 187tGDP in, per capita, 343tgeothermal energy in
potential of, 165tuse of, 255t
hydroelectric potentials in, 154, 154t, 155f, 253t
intensities in, projections for, 344fnatural gas resources
in, 145t, 146toil reserves in, 139t, 140t–141tozone concentrations in, 85regional emissions in, 80tsolar energy potential in, 163tsulphur dioxide emissions
in, 81–82, 82fthorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151twater balance in, 153twater resources in, 159twind energy resources in, 164t
Norwayenergy R&D in, private sector
spending on, 447intensity trends in, 179fmarket liberalisation in, 426solar crop drying in, 250urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fNuclear Energy Agency
(NEA), 150–151Nuclear energy parks,
internationalised, 317Nuclear energy technologies
advanced, 17–18, 274, 306–318nuclear weapons proliferation
risks posed by, 309bNuclear-explosive materials, 322nNuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, 17,
309, 310bstatus of, 127
Nuclear powerchallenges related to, 307–313confidence in, 126cost of, 126, 131ncurrent status of, 17environmental cost of, 306fuel-cycle analysis of, 102bfuture technology
development, 315–317history of, lessons from, 407peaceful vs. military uses of, 17prevalence of, 4, 126
proliferation risks with, 17,127, 308–311, 322n
prospects for, 321nrationale for reconsidering,
306–307resource base for, adequacy
of, 117risks of, 31
to community, 80occupational, 72–73
routine emissions from, 80safety issues, 308security of, 12, 126–127and waste disposal, 17–18,
311–313, 322nNUTEK. See National
Board for Industrial andTechnical Development
Nutrients, biomass energy systemsand, 226
Nutritionconnection with energy, 43fuelwood shortages and, 68b
Obligations to buy, for renewablespromotion, 265successful examples of, 427
Obligations to supply, for renewables promotion, 265
Occupational hazards, 70–73in biomass collection, 70–71in coal industry, 71–72mortality rates for, 73with nuclear power, 72–73in oil and gas industries, 72projections for, 101with renewable power, 72
Occurrences, other, definition of, 138Ocean(s)
carbon dioxide sequestrationin, 288b, 289
oil in, sources of, 10t, 64tOcean energy
resources of, 166, 166ttypes of, 166
Ocean thermal energy, 166, 166tOcean thermal energy conversion
(OTEC), 260current status of, 260tenvironmental impact of, 261
Oceaniageothermal energy use in, 255twater balance in, 153t
Octane ratings, 320nOECD. See Organisation for
Economic Co-operation and Development
OECD countries. See alsoPacific OECDcarbon dioxide emissions in,
changes in, 444tdemand by, shifts in, 118fdevelopment assistance from,
decrease in, 440efficiency in
obstacles to, 200–201,203–204
policies on, 207hydroelectric potential in, 253t
intensities in, 127recent trends in, 175–
177, 177foil importation to, 120, 120tRD&D in, 435
decline in public supportfor, 406b
security in, markets and, 118, 129trade patterns in, 34use by, 33–34, 33t
Oil. See also specific typesalternatives to, need for, 275costs of, 143, 149enhanced recovery of, carbon
dioxide injection for, 289industry health hazards with, 72in oceans, sources of, 10t, 64tprices of
OPEC influence on, 122projections for, 12, 143, 149
resource base of, 139–144conventional, 139t,
140–141, 149–150distribution of, 118economists' view of, 142–144geologists' view of,
139–142, 143–144global, 116tproduction and, 139–140,
144, 144fprojections for, 149–150unconventional, 140–144,
140t–141t, 142b,149–150
units for, 139security with, 118shortages due to resource
constraints, projectionsregarding, 264
supplies of, 275Oil products, trade of, 34–35Oil shale
definition of, 141extraction of, 141, 142breserves and resources
of, 140t, 141Oilseeds, ester production from, 225One kilowatt per capita scenario
and population growth, 53–54in poverty alleviation, 46
OPEC. See Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
Organic photovoltaic cells, 238tOrganisation for Economic Co-
operation and Development(OECD). See also OECD countrieson uranium reserves, 150–151
Organisation of the PetroleumExporting Countries (OPEC)control of market by, 34–35influence on oil prices, 122
Oscillating water column (OWC), 259Oslo Protocol, 82OTEC. See Ocean thermal
energy conversionOur Common Future (World
Commission on Environmentand Development), definitionof sustainable developmentin, 31
Output, world, women’s contributionto, 48, 48f
OWC. See Oscillating water columnOxygen-blown coal gasification, 282–
284, 303Oxygenated fuels, 293Ozone
stratospheric, depletion of,86, 88t
tropospheric, increases in, 84–85, 87, 88t
Pa Mong Dam, 78Pacific Ocean, in global water
balance, 153tPacific OECD
coal resources in, 148t, 149tconsumption in, of primary
energy, 33, 33tGDP in, per capita, 343thydroelectric potentials in,
154t, 155fintensities in, projections for, 344fnatural gas resources
in, 145t, 146toil reserves in, 139t, 140t–141tsolar energy potential in, 163tthorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151twater resources in, 159t
PAFCs. See Phosphoric acid fuel cellsPakistan, urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fPanama, urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fPaper production, final energy use
for, 181tPapua New Guinea
air pollution from biomassconsumption in, 397
in APEC, 123bParabolic dish systems, 246Parabolic trough system (solar
farm), 245Particulate emissions, 278
costs associated with, 294and global warming, 87–88,
95, 104nhealth effects of, 74, 95as indicator of air quality, 74projections for, 92, 360–361provisional guidelines for,
74–76, 76fregional impacts of, 80–81,
85, 95sources of, 10t, 11, 64tstrategies for reduction of, 98
Partnership for a New Generationof Vehicles (PNGV), 294
Passive solar energy use, 250Payments system, definition of, 26nPBMR. See Pebble bed
modular reactorPebble bed modular reactor
(PBMR), 17, 314–315, 323nelectricity generation cost for, 315t
PEMFCs. See Proton exchangemembrane fuel cells
Persian Gulf, dependence on oilfrom, 275
Peru, in APEC, 123b
O
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WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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503
Pest(s), global warming and, 90Pesticides
biomass energy systems and, 226
impacts of, 161Petroleum-based liquid and
gaseous fuels, household useof, emissions from, 68
Petroleum gas, liquefied, house-hold use of, 68greenhouse gas emissions
from, 71fPew Center on Global Climate
Change, 444PFBC. See Pressurised fluidised-
bed combustionPhilippines
in APEC, 123benergy efficiency programme
in, 428geothermal electricity generation
capacity in, 256tgeothermal energy use
in, 255, 256urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fPhosphate(s), biomass energy
systems and, 226Phosphate deposits, uranium
concentrations in, 151Phosphoric acid fuel cells
(PAFCs), 287Photovoltaic panels
fuel-cycle analysis of, 102brisks of, 31
Photovoltaic solar cell modulescarbon dioxide mitigation
potential of, 239components of, 238cost of, 240, 240tefficiency of, 237, 238, 238tenergy payback time of, 239, 239thealth issues regarding, 240materials availability for, 239performance ratio of, 239storage needs of, 238–239types of, 237–238
Photovoltaic solar energy, 235–243economic aspects of, 15t,
240t, 240–241, 241t, 402tenvironmental aspects
of, 239–240equity issues, 377bexperience curve for, 16f, 436fimplementation issues, 241–242market development of, 237, 237fnational and international
programmes, 242bpotential of, 236t, 236–237for rural areas, 22, 241, 376–
377, 382source characteristics, 236system aspects of, 238–239technologies, 237–238, 238t
(See also Photovoltaicsolar cell modules)current status of, 266t
Pinon Pine IGCC Power Project,Nevada, 321n
Plant(s)as biomass, 156, 157tglobal warming and, 90
Plantations, biomass, 157–162,160t, 222costs of, 227impact on biodiversity, 226land availability for, 223
Plutoniumfast breeder reactors, 17,
315–316recycling of, 310–311, 322nwaste repositories, recovery
from, 312–313PM10 concentrations, 104n
in cities, 74, 75fhuman development and, 96b
Pneumoconiosis, coal workers, 72Pneumoconiosis silicosis, 71–72PNGV. See Partnership for a New
Generation of VehiclesPoint absorber, 259
current status of, 260tPoland
coalbed methane productionin, 145
consumption in, increase inGDP and, 428
geothermal energy productionin, 257t
intensity trends in, 179, 180turban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fPolicy(ies), 24–26
definition of, 59on end-use efficiency, 205–
211, 206ffor international
cooperation, 25–26on investments, 25perspectives on, 409–411scenarios and, 353for sustainable
development, 416–449goals, 417t, 418–423
on technological innovations, 25and women, 47–48
Policy instruments, for sustainabledevelopment, 418
Pollution. See also Air pollution; Emissionslocal and regional, options for
reducing, 401–404, 422prevention and control
costs of, 402–403potential for, 411
reductions inand economic output, 410modern energy forms
and, 397, 400–408Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon
emissions, with coal use, 72Polygeneration strategies, 15–16
for biomass energy, 229–230and cost reductions, 276for near-zero emission, 279for synthetic fuel production,
277, 295–299, 296tcoal-based, 297natural gas-based, 297–298
Polymer, production intensity for, 178bPopulation(s), 50–54
and consumption, 51–52, 398tin rural areas, 52
and demand, 51, 409
demographic transitions in, 7,9t, 50–51, 340b
growth rate of, 50–51projections for, 340b
momentum of, 51nexus with energy, 51–52
at global level, 53–54rural, 52, 369urban, 421urbanisation and, 54
Portfolio approach, to technologydevelopment, 438
Portugalgasification-based projects
in, 298tgeothermal electricity generation
capacity in, 256tsolar collectors in, 248turban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme in, 231t
Potentials, technical vs. economic, 138
Poverty, 43–46consumption patterns with, 7in developing countries, 7, 43–46
strategies for alleviationof, 9t, 23, 45–46
dimensions of, 43–44energy ladder and, 45eradication of, and sustainable
development, 419and fuel choice, 45in industrialised countries, 46–47nexus with energy, 9, 44–45as obstacle to widening energy
access, 420prevalence of, 44prices of energy and, 9
Poverty index, human, 44Power stations, coal use in, health
risks of, 72Power tower, solar, 245–246Precipitation
climate change and, 89in global water balance, 153t
Pregnancy, adverse outcomes of, household solid fuel useand, 69, 69b
Pressurised fluidised-bed combustion(PFBC), 290t, 291, 303–305and carbon dioxide
emissions, 321nPressurised water reactor (PWR), 313Price(s), 35–36
changes in, effects of, 5, 35of coal, 35, 36, 276vs. costs, 36
to marginal producers, 35of crude oil, 35, 122–124,
123, 123tand developing countries,
economies of, 35, 35fof diesel fuel, 74of electricity, 36of gasoline, 57, 74, 76bhigh, effects of, 5, 35including externalities in, 423–424marginal producer costs and, 35of oil, 122
projections for, 12, 143, 149privatisation and, 426of renewable energy sources, 14
role in sustainable development, 442
of uranium, 322nPrice efficiency, and energy
regulation, 410Primary energy
consumption ofglobal, 6t, 33, 33t, 345fgrowth in, 33–34, 33tintensities for, 5, 8fper capita, 4, 6f
conversion efficiency for, 13, 32requirements and supply of
history of, 345fprojections for, 20, 20f, 22f,
23, 344–348, 345f, 346fPrivate investments, 37
attracting, 431–432in developing countries, 409t, 431in research and development
(R&D), 435, 447–448Private sector, and technology
transfer, 440Privatisation, of energy markets, 426PRO-ALCOOL programme,
Brazil, 225, 229bProbable reserves, 138PROCEL programme, 197b, 427, 428Producer gas
combined heat and powerusing, 385–387
cooking with, 373–374case study, 385
electrification with, 377–378limitations of, 379
Production, environmental problemsfrom, awareness of, 41
Programme for the Further Implemen-tation of Agenda 21, 419, 445
Proliferation, nuclear, risks of, 17,308–311, 322n
Proton exchange membrane fuelcells (PEMFCs), 287competitiveness of, 301vs. microturbines, 286
Prototype Carbon Fund, WorldBank, 444
Public benefits fund, 427Public monopolies, challenges of
breaking up, 425Public-private partnerships, for
technology innovation, 431–432, 438
Public procurement policies, andenergy efficiency, 429
Public sector use, economic efficiency potential forin Asia, 189–190, 189tin Eastern Europe, 190t, 191in Latin America, 195, 196tin Western Europe, 186, 186t
Pulp and paper production, finalenergy use for, 181t
PWR. See Pressurised water reactorPyrolysis, bio-oil production
through, 225
Qataroil resources in, 120synthetic middle distillate (SMD)
plant in, plans for, 295
Q
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Index
504
Quadgeneration, 296t, 297Quality of service, and energy
regulation, 410Quota systems, as incentive for
renewable energy use, 235
Radiation exposure, as occupational hazard, 73
Radioactive products, fromnuclear fission, 80
Radon, in uranium mining, 73RAINS-ASIA model
on nitrogen oxide emissions, 83on sulphur deposition, 97bon sulphur dioxide emissions, 82
Rankine cycle, 291Rape methyl esters. See RMERCC. See Roller compacted concreteR&D. See Research and developmentRD&D. See Research, development,
and demonstrationReciprocating engines, 284–286
nitrogen oxide emissionsfrom, 286
Recoverable resourcesdefinition of, 138oil, 139–142
Recycling, of biomass remainders, 226
Refuse, burning of, air pollutionfrom, 77
Regional climate change, 86, 90Regional cooperation, 442–443Regional pollution, impacts on
ecosystems and humans, 80–86projections for, 101–102,
358–360Regulation(s)
air quality, vs. actual emissionlevels, 278, 279t
economic efficiency and, 410and energy sector
restructuring, 425–427and security, 129–130
Relative poverty, 44Renewable energy sources, 219–267
abundance of, 404–405advantages of, 221competitiveness of, 222consumption of, 117
global, 4, 14fuel-cycle analysis of, 103bincentives for use of, 235,
235t, 264–265intermittentand energy storage, 262–263grid integration of, 262vs. stable, 262new, definition of, 26npolicies regarding, 264–267, 427prices of, 14resource base for, 138, 167t
adequacy of, 12, 117–118potential of, 14, 220, 221–222
types of, 221 (See also specific types)
value of, 263Renewable energy technologies, 14
barriers to, 14
categories of, 221t (See alsospecific categories)
competition from fossil fuels, 407costs of, 15t, 220, 404t
vs. costs of fossil fuels, 405current status of, 266tdevelopment of, 264–267, 427experience curves with, 14, 16ffinancing of, 264, 431, 435occupational hazards with, 72policies regarding, 410–411system aspects of, 261–264transition to, 220
Renewables. See Renewableenergy sources
Research, development, anddemonstration (RD&D), publicsupport for, decline in, 406b
Research and development (R&D)funding for
GDP and, 448treturns on, 435trends in, 447–449
government programmes for, 433–434, 437
interpreting data on, 447bpolicy initiatives to support, 433returns on, 435
Reservesdefinitions of, 115, 138economic potentials of, 138global, estimates of, 116tproduction costs of, 138vs. resources, 138types of, 138
Residential use. See HouseholdsResource(s), 135–167. See also
specific typesadequacy of, 12–13classification of, 137f, 138cost estimates for, 138definitions of, 115, 138distribution of, 118, 167global, estimates of, 116t, 166tvs. reserves, 138technical potentials of, 138types of, 138units of, 139
Resource basedefinition of, 115global, 116tand women, 47
Respiratory diseases, householdsolid fuel use and, 69, 69b
Rio Declaration, 443Rio Earth Summit, goals
developed in, 3, 42–43Risk assessments, comparative,
100–101, 102b–103bRisk transitions,
environmental, 95–96, 95fRivers, dam construction on,
advanced technologies for, 252RME (rape methyl esters), biomass
production of, 225performance data for, 226t
Rock energy, hot dry, 165Roller compacted concrete (RCC)
dams, 252Romania
geothermal energy productionin, 257t
intensity trends in, 180t
urban PM10 concentrations in, 75f
Rooftop photovoltaic systems, energypayback time of, 239, 239t
Runoff, in global water balance,153t, 155
Rural areasaccess to electricity in, 374tbiopower in, 377–378consumption in, and population
growth, 52–53in developing countries, 21–22
energy needs of, 368–388lack of adequate energy
services in, 369diesel-engine electricity
generation in, 375, 376belectrification programmes
for, 374–379, 431barriers to, 421centralised approach
to, 374–375decentralised approach to,
375–379, 381, 421–422examples of successful, 421
energy development inaccelerating, 380–381time horizon for, 379–380
energy services inlack of adequate, 369strategies for
expanding, 381–382strategies for making
affordable, 382–384fuels in, 370–374, 380thydropower in, small-
scale, 375–376photovoltaic electricity
for, 22, 241, 376–377, 382equity issues in, 377b
pollution in, 49, 49fpopulation in, 369renewable energy projects in, 431sustainable development
goals for, 22technological options for, 380twind power in, 377woodfuel harvest in, 66
Russia. See also Russian Federation;Soviet Union, formercoalbed methane production
in, 145efficiency in
economic potential of, 191–192, 192t
obstacles to, 201, 202policies on, 207
fossil fuel subsidies in, 425FPR programme in, 323ngeothermal electricity generation
capacity in, 256tgeothermal energy production
in, 257tintensity trends in, 179, 180tplutonium recycling in, 322nsubsidies in, 202
Russian Federationin APEC, 123bcoal resources in, 148oil shale deposits in, 116urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fRwanda, improved cooking
stoves disseminated in, 371t
Salt gradient energy, 166, 166tSalter Duck, 259Sanitation, 49Saturation, consumption, income
and, 58Saudi Arabia, oil resources in, 120sc-Si. See Single crystal siliconScenarios, 18–21, 333–365
alternative development pathsin, 335–336
definition of, 335descriptive vs. normative, 335economic development and
equity in, 340–342, 342fenvironmental issues in, 358–360final energy requirements
in, 348–351, 350fhistory in, 352–353of IIASA/WEC study, 19t,
337–340, 338t, 339timplications of, 353–364intensities in, 342–344, 344finternational trade in, security
and, 357–358, 357fand policies, 353primary energy in, requirements
and supply of, 344–348,345f, 346f
review of literature on, 336–337spatial scales of, 351–352, 352fsustainability in, 20, 21t, 336technology in, 348, 348ftemporal scales of, 335, 351–352
Schistosomiasisdam systems and, 79hydropower and, 252–253
Scotlandnorthwest coast of, wave
energy potential of, 259tidal current model
demonstration in, 260SDHW. See Solar domestic hot
water systemSea level, climate change and, 90, 91Seasonal storage, of solar energy, 249Seawater, uranium recovery
from, 150, 151, 151b, 316–317Secretary-General, United Nations,
1997 report of, 419–420Sector, energy. See Energy sectorSecurity, 11–12, 111–130
adequacy and, 114, 115–118challenges of, 113–115costs of, 120definition of, 11, 113dimensions of, 113–115efficiency and, 128enhancement of, 11–12, 115
long-term, 119environment and, 128intensity and, 127–128markets and, 128–130
projections for, 357–358, 357f
significance of, 113of supply, 118–128
Sedimentation, hydropower and, 252Self-reliance, 59n
importance of, 41
R
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WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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505
Separations Technology andTransmutation Systems(STATS), committee on, 312
Separations and transmutation(S&T) proposals, 312
Serbia, geothermal energy production in, 257t
Services, energycomponents of, 32definition of, 4demand for, 32–34driving forces in, 32–33priorities in, 41–42
Shares, of energy in trade, 34Siemens Westinghouse, and
SOFC development, 288Sierra Leone, economic efficiency
potential in, 198Silica, in coal mining, health
risks of, 71–72Singapore
in APEC, 123bIGCC projects in, 283tleaded gasoline in, 76burban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fSingle crystal silicon (sc-Si),
photovoltaic cell, 238tSixth Conference of the Parties
to the Climate Convention(COP-6), 444
Slovak Republicgeothermal energy production
in, 257turban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fSlovenia, intensity trends in, 180tSLPG. See Synthetic liquefied
petroleum gasSmall gasification, of biomass,
224, 224tSmall-particle pollution. See
Particulate emissionsSMDs. See Synthetic
middle distillatesSNA. See System of
National AccountsSocial issues, 7–9, 9t. See also
specific issuesapproaches to, 41–43, 43f
SOFC. See Solid-oxide fuel cellSoil, on biomass plantations, 161–162Solar capacity, transformed into
firm capacity, 246fSolar domestic hot water system
(SDHW), 247, 248–249costs of, 248–249energy payback time of, 249
Solar energycost of, 236fuel-cycle analysis of, 102blow-temperature, 247–251occupational hazards with, 72photovoltaic, 235–243potential of, 221, 236–237resource base for, 162f, 163, 163tsolar thermal electricity, 243–247source characteristics, 236space-based, 242–243technologies, 221t (See also
specific technologies)current status of, 266t
value of, 263Solar farm (parabolic trough
system), 245Solar insolation, developing
countries and, 405Solar radiation, 236Solar thermal electricity
(STE), 243–247advantages of, 245costs of, 15t, 220, 246, 402tdish/engine system, 244dispatchable applications,
243–244distributed applications, 244environmental and social
aspects of, 246–247market introduction of, 243–
244, 245fpotential of, 243technologies, 244–246
current status of, 266tSolid fuels. See Biomass; CoalSolid-oxide fuel cell (SOFC), 287–
288, 290t, 291Soluz, photovoltaic programme
of, 377Somalia, improved cooking stoves
disseminated in, 371tSources of energy, early, 41South Africa
coal reserves in, 148gasification-based projects
in, 298tnuclear disarmament of, 310bphotovoltaic solar energy
programme in, 242bphotovoltaic systems in, 376–377R&D spending in, 448urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fSouth America. See Latin AmericaSoviet Union, former. See also
specific statescarbon dioxide emissions in, 92fcoal resources in, 148, 148t, 149tcoalbed methane resources
in, 145, 146tconsumption in, 395t
of primary energy, 33, 33tratio to GDP, 398f
economic efficiency potentialsin, 191–192, 191t
GDP in, 343t, 398tgeothermal potential in, 165theavy crude oil resources in, 142household fuel choice in, 65fhydroelectricity in
dams for, 78potential of, 154, 154t,
155f, 253tintensities in
history of, 8fprojections for, 343, 344f
oil reserves in, 139t, 140t–141tprojections for, 358b, 359fregional emissions in, 80tsolar energy potential in, 163tsulphur dioxide emissions
in, 81–82, 82fthorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151twater resources in, 159t
wind energy programme in, 231twind energy resources in, 164t
Space-based solar energy, 242–243Space heating, solar, 249Spain
energy R&D in, private sectorspending on, 447
IGCC projects in, 283tsolar energy technologies in, 246solar thermal electricity
developments in, 244burban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme in, 231t
Special Report on EmissionsScenarios (IPCC), 335
Spot markets, 36S&T. See Separations and
transmutationStandalone electricity systems,
value of renewables for, 263Standalone photovoltaic systems,
energy payback time of, 239STATS. See Separations Technology
and Transmutation SystemsSTE. See Solar thermal electricitySteel
final energy use in, 181tproduction intensity for, 178b
Stocks, oil, and security, 121Storage
electricity, 262–263costs for, 263, 263t
energyhydroelectric, 253intermittent renewables
and, 262–263solar, 249
Storms, climate change and, 90Stoves. See Cooking stovesStrategy, definition of, 59Stratospheric ozone, depletion
of, 86, 88tSub-bituminous coal, 147
resources of, 148, 148t, 149tSubsidies
conventional energyphasing out, 264, 424–425problems with, 382, 425
for developing countries, poorareas of, 23
and energy regulation, 410fossil fuel, 423fuel, vs. equipment, 372hidden, 425as obstacle to efficiency, 202, 207phasing out, 24renewable energy,
recommendation for, 264rural, 22and sustainable development,
383–384Sudan, improved cooking stoves
disseminated in, 371tSugar(s), ethanol production
from, 225performance data for, 226tSugarcane, ethanol from, 157Sulphate aerosols, in climate
change, 86Sulphur, emissions of
from geothermal fields, 258
human disruption index for, 9–10sources of, 10t, 63, 64tSulphur dioxide emissionsin Asia, environmental policies
and, 403freduction of
goals for, 101strategies for, 98
regional impacts of, 80–81, 80tprojections for, 81–83, 82f,
101, 359–360, 361ftrends in selected countries, 402f
Supply, energyfocus on, vs. demand, 41–42global, share of fuels in, 116fsecurity of, 118–128, 275
cooperative efforts toensure, 277, 442–443
disruptions and, 118–119unreliable, market dysfunction
and, 423bSustainable development
advanced fossil energy technologies and, 14, 276
advanced nuclear energytechnologies and, 17–18
affordability factor in, 383–384barriers to, 423capacity and institution building
for, 440–441definition of, 419industrialisation as instrument
for, 440international cooperation
and, 441–445investments in, 430–433, 446market failure to support, 423nongovernmental organisations
(NGOs) and, 445objectives of, 7–12options for, 12–18policies for, 24–26, 416–449poverty eradication and, 419regulatory options for
encouraging, 425–427role of energy in, i, 3, 31in rural areas, goal for, 22scenarios for, 20, 21t, 336strategies to encourage, 416,
425–427, 433–438technological innovation
and, 433–438traditional biomass and, 222
Swedenbiomass energy in, 162conversion of, 224, 227t,
228, 229bbiomass integrated gasification/
combined cycle (BIG/CC)project in, 224
carbon dioxide taxes in, 264efficiency in, policies on, 209tenergy R&D in, private sector
spending on, 447geothermal energy production
in, 257tnuclear waste disposal in, 312recycling of biomass
remainders in, 226solar district heating in, 249urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75f
WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
Index
506
wind energy programme in, 231t
Switzerlandcarbon tax in, proposals for, 424efficiency in
approach to improving, 429policies on, 209t
energy R&D in, funding for, 448geothermal energy production
in, 257tgeothermal heat pumps in, 256solar crop drying in, 250urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fSynfuels, projections for, 348, 349fSyngas (synthesis gas), 15, 17, 279
carbon dioxide recovery from, 291
coal-derived, polygenerationbased on, 297
fuels derived from, for compression-ignitionengines, 294–295
hydrogen manufacture from, 321n
natural gas-derived, polygen-eration based on, 297–298
Synthesis gas. See SyngasSynthetic fuels, 15
applications of, 276development efforts for, oil
crises of 1970s and, 275polygeneration strategies for
production of, 277, 295–299, 296t
Synthetic liquefied petroleum gas (SLPG)advantages of, 379crop residues converted
into, 387–388Synthetic middle distillates
(SMDs), 294–295System(s), energy
adequacy of, 114climate change and, 91definition of, 4development of, investments
and, 6–7efficiency of, 32evolution of, 31–32goals of, 31–32, 59health effects of, comparisons
of, 98–101history of, 346f, 347projections for, 345–348, 346fsustainability of current, 3
System of National Accounts(SNA), 48, 59n
Systems benefits charges, 427
Taiwan, Chinagasification-based projects
in, 298tin APEC, 123bnuclear power in, 126solar collectors in, 248t
Taj Mahal, acid deposition and, 84Tajikistan, intensity trends in, 179Tanzania, improved cooking
stoves disseminated in, 371t
Tar sandsdefinition of, 142environmental impacts of
use, 142bextraction of, 142, 142breserves and resources
of, 141t, 142Tax(es), 24, 36
carbon dioxide, 264, 423,424, 424b
case for, 410on leaded vs. unleaded
gasoline, 76bmix of, 423revenue-neutral, 449n
Tax incentives, for renewableenergy use, 265
Technological diffusion, projections for, implicationsof, 353–355, 356–357
Technological innovation, 265in developing countries,
encouraging, 438–441diffusion of, supporting, 439–440leadership in, opportunities
for, 439policy options for
promoting, 437–438portfolio approach to, 438public policies in support of,
rationale for, 435–437spending on, 435stages in, 433, 434tand sustainable
development, 433–438Technological innovations, policies
for, 25Technology(ies)
components of, 32costs of, buying down, 437, 439experience curves, 435, 436fsmall-scale, 438
Technology Development Board(India), 182
Technology transfer, internationalindustrial collaboration and, 440
Temperatures, climate changeand, 88–90
Thailandin APEC, 123bbiomass energy conversion
in, 224efficiency in, 190programme for, 428geothermal electricity generation
capacity in, 256tozone concentrations in, 85urban areas ofair pollution in, 77PM10 concentrations in, 75f
Thermal power plants, efficiencyof, and air pollution, 74
Thermonuclear fusion, 317Thin-film photovoltaic
modules, 237, 238materials availability for, 239
Thorium, resource base of, 150,152, 152t
Three Gorges dam, 77, 78Three Mile Island accident, 308Tidal barrage energy, 259
current status of, 260t
environmental impact of, 260–261
Tidal energy, 166, 166tTidal and marine current
energy, 259–260current status of, 260t
Tight formation gasdefinition of, 146resources of, 146, 146t
Time, savings in, modern energyforms and, 397
Tophat cycle, 280Town gas, 299
operation of reciprocatingengines on, 286
quadgeneration vs. separateproduction of, 296t
Tradebarriers to, and technological
leapfrogging, 439–440of coal, 35, 148of crude oil, 34–35, 120and environment, policies on, 420globalisation and, 34–35of natural gas, 35of oil products, 34–35
and security, 121–122,123–124
projections for, 357–358, 357fsecurity and, 118, 120
Traditional energydefinition of, 26ninsults caused by, 9, 64tuse of, 3data on, 4
Transition economiesdefinition of, 26ndemand by, shifts in, 118fefficiency in
intensity trends and, 177–179, 180t
obstacles to, 201–202,204, 205
policies on, 207technology transfer
and, 181–182Transportation, 7
of biomass, 160in cities, strategies for, 55–56,
77, 198of crude oil, security in, 122economic efficiency potential for
achieving, 429bin Africa, 197t, 198in Asia, 189t, 190in China, 194t, 195in Commonwealth
of IndependentStates, 191t, 192
in Eastern Europe, 190t, 191in India, 193–194, 193tin Japan, 189t, 190in Latin America, 196–
197, 196tin North America, 187t,
188–189obstacles to, 204–205policies on, 209–210in Southeast Asia, 189t, 190in Western Europe, 186t, 187
energy use for, recent trendsin, 175–177, 179f
of fossil fuels, 148Trash burning, air pollution from, 77Trees. See also Forest(s)
invisible, 66Trigeneration, 296t, 297Tropospheric ozone, increases
in, 84–85, 87, 88tTuberculosis, household solid fuel
use and, 69bTunisia, geothermal energy
production in, 257tTurkey
geothermal electricity generationcapacity in, 256t
geothermal energy productionin, 257t
urban PM10 concentrations in, 75f
Two Control Zone policy (China), 82Typhoons, climate change and, 90
Ugandaeconomic efficiency potential
in, 198improved cooking stoves
disseminated in, 371tUI. See Uranium InstituteUkraine
coalbed methane productionin, 145
economic efficiency potentialsin, 191t, 192
intensity trends in, 180tsubsidies in, 202urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fUltrasupercritical pulverised coal
steam turbine plant, 290t,291, 303limitations of, 303
UN. See United NationsUnconventional resources
projections for, 149–150resource base of
natural gas, 145–147, 146toil, 140–144, 140t–141t, 142b
types of, 138UNCTAD. See United Nations
Conference on Trade and Development
Undernutrition, 43UNDESA. See United Nations
Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Undiscovered resources, 138UNDP. See United Nations
Development ProgrammeUNECE. See United Nations
Economic Commission on Europe
UNFC. See United NationsInternational FrameworkClassification forReserves/Resources
UNFCCC. See United NationsFramework Convention onClimate Change
United Arab Emirates, oilresources in, 120
T
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WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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507
United Kingdombiomass gasification
demonstration in, 224biomass production and use
in, 162climate change levy in, plans
for, 424coalbed methane production
in, 145consumption in, 396t
ratio to GDP, 398fenergy R&D in, spending
on, 447, 448FPR prototype in, 323nmarket liberalisation in, 426Non Fossil Fuel
Obligation, 235, 427Severn Estuary, tidal energy
potential of, 259sulphur dioxide emissions in,
trends in, 402ftidal current resources in, 259urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fwind energy programme
in, 231tUnited Nations Commission on
Sustainable Development,159, 420, 441
United Nations Conference onEnvironment and Development.See Earth Summit
United Nations Conference onTrade and Development(UNCTAD), 442
United Nations Conference onPopulation, 26n
United Nations Conference onSmall Island DevelopingStates, 26n
United Nations Conference on Sustainable HumanSettlements (1996), 26n, 54
United Nations Department ofEconomic and Social Affairs(UNDESA), i
United Nations DevelopmentProgramme (UNDP)definition of human
development, 340human poverty index of, 44outreach effort by, i
United Nations EconomicCommission on Europe(UNECE), 138
United Nations EnvironmentProgramme, 104n
Capacity 21 Programme, 431United Nations Framework
Convention on ClimateChange (UNFCCC), 42–43,433, 443, 443bgoals of, 94–95on greenhouse gas
emissions, 3, 318nimplementation of, 26, 128status of, 94
United Nations General AssemblySpecial Session on SmallIsland Developing States, 26n
United Nations InternationalFramework Classification forReserves/Resources (UNFC), 138
United Statesair pollution in, reduction
of, 74, 82in APEC, 123bappliance use in households
with electricity, 397taquifer gas in, 147biomass in
gasification demonstration, 224
potential of, 159production of, 162
biomass in energy system of, 227t
carbon dioxide emissions in, 92f, 93changes in, 444t
Clean Air Act of, 82, 84, 360Clinch River Breeder Reactor
demonstration project, 323ncoal prices in, 276coal reserves in, 148consumption in, 57–58, 395t, 396t
ratio to GDP, 398fCorporate Average Fuel
Economy (CAFE) standards, 204, 428
efficiency ineconomic benefits of, 185beconomic potential of, 187–
189, 187tpolicies on, 209t
FPR prototype in, 323nfuel ethanol programme in, 225gas hydrates in, 147gasification-based projects
in, 298tgeothermal energy in
electricity generationcapacity for, 256t
heat pumps for, 256use of, 255, 257t
heavy crude oil resources in, 142hydroelectricity in
dams for, 78generation of, 254potential of, 154–155
IGCC projects in, 283tintensities in, 127
automobile fuel, 429bhistory of, 8frecent trends in, 175–
177, 179foil importation by, 57oil shale resources in, 141photovoltaic solar energy
programme in, 242bPublic Utility Regulatory
Policy Act (1978), 432RD&D in
decline in support for, 406bfunding for, 435, 447, 448
renewables portfolio standardsin, 427
security inwith coal, 126cost of, 115, 115b, 120intensity and, 127with natural gas, 125with oil, 120
solar energy incollectors for, 248t
market for, 248technologies for, 245–246thermal electricity
developments in, 244bsulphur dioxide emissions in,
trends in, 402ftechnological experience
curves in, 16f, 436fthorium resources in, 152tight gas resources in, 146urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fvoluntary agreements in, 429wind energy programme
in, 231twindpower capacity in, 427Yucca Mountain, Nevada,
311, 312, 322nUranium
cost of, 126, 131n, 150, 151occupational hazards with, 72–73price of, 322nrecovery of
cost of, 150, 151from seawater, 150, 151,
151b, 316–317reprocessing of, 150resource base of, 116t, 150–
151, 150t, 151tadequacy of, 117unconventional, 151units for, 139
resource constraints, 17, 315Uranium Institute (UI), 150, 167–169nUranium-thorium, denatured, LWR
operated on, 314Urban areas
air pollution in, 73–77concentrations of, 49, 49fin developing
countries, 76–77in industrialised
countries, 74–76long-term control of, 77
transportation in, strategiesfor, 55–56, 77, 198
Urbanisation, 7, 54–57challenges of, 421construction and, 56and fuelwood market, 71population growth and, 54rate of, 54strategies for improvements
in, 56–57transportation and, 55–56trends, 369
U.S. Department of Energyfossil energy programme of, 278Vision 21 Program, 319n
U.S. Energy Star labeling scheme, 429Use. See Consumption
Valuation, economic, of health, 98–100
Variable costs, 45Vehicles. See AutomobilesVenezuela
heavy crude oil resources in, 142intensity trends in, 180t
leaded fuel in, 76boil reserves in, 116urban PM10 concentrations
in, 75fViet Nam
in APEC, 123beconomic efficiency potential
in, 189hydropower stations in, small-
scale, 375Vision 21 Program, U.S.
Department of Energy, 319nVoluntary agreements, and energy
efficiency, 429
Wafer-type photovoltaic modules, 237–238
Waste, municipal, as biomass, 160–161
Waste disposal, nuclear, 17–18,311–313, 322n
Water balance, annual world, 153,153t, 155–156
Water heating systems, solar, 249Water quality, hydropower impact
on, 252Water supply
and biomass production, 159–160in developing countries, rural
areas of, 49environmental decline and, 49shortages in, 155–156sufficiency of, 159t
Water use, biomass energy systems and, 225–226
Water vaporatmospheric concentrations
of, 86, 104nas greenhouse gas, 86
Wave energy, 166, 166t, 259current status of, 260t
WCED. See World Commission onEnvironment and Development
Weather, and solar energyresources, 163
WEC. See World Energy CouncilWestern Europe. See also
specific countriesammonia emissions in, 81carbon dioxide emissions in, 92fcoal resources in, 148t, 149teconomic efficiency potentials
in, 185–187, 186tGDP in, per capita, 343tgeothermal potential in, 165thydroelectric potential in, 154,
154t, 155f, 253tintensities in, projections for, 344fnatural gas resources
in, 145t, 146toil reserves in, 139t, 140t–141tregional emissions in, 80tsolar energy potential in, 163tsulphur dioxide emissions
in, 81–82, 82fthorium resources in, 152uranium resources in, 150t, 151twater resources in, 159twind energy resources in, 164t
V
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WORLD ENERGY ASSESSMENT: ENERGY AND THE CHALLENGE OF SUSTAINABILITY
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Western Germany, sulphur dioxideemissions in, trends in, 402f
Westinghouse AP600, 313WHO. See World Health OrganizationWillingness to pay, in economic
valuation of health, 98–100Win-win strategies, for environmental
improvements, 96–98Wind-battery-diesel hybrid
systems, 377Wind energy, 230–235
costs of, 15t, 220, 234, 404tpotential reductions in, 234f
definition of, 221economic aspects of, 234environmental aspects
of, 233–234experience curve for, 16f, 436fgrowth of, scenarios for, 231–232implementation issues for, 234incentives for use of, 235, 235tinstalled wind power, 231, 231toccupational hazards with, 72potential of, 230–231resource base for, 163–165, 164t
adequacy of, 117potential of, 164t, 165
for rural needs, 377system aspects of, 232–233technologies, 221t, 232, 232t
current status of, 266tWind turbines, 232–233
decommissioning of, 233–234energy output of, estimates
of, 234household-scale, 377
Women, 47–50economic activities of, 47, 49–50education of, 50environmental quality and, 49fuelwood collection by, 70health of, 49policies and, 47–48position of, 48
and desired number of births, 52
strategies for improvementin, 50
resource base for, 47world output by, 48, 48f
Woodfuelcoal compared with, 370commercial collection of, 70–71household use of, 65–68
emissions from, 67f, 71fshortages of, 66
health effects of, 68bWorkplaces
hazards in, 70–73projections for, 101
World Association of NuclearOperators, 127
World BankAsia Alternative Energy
Program (ASTAE), 432and capacity building, 431hydroelectric power projects
financed by, 254main energy-related activity
of, suggestion for, 430photovoltaic solar energy
programme of, 242tPrototype Carbon Fund, 444
World Business Council forSustainable Development,336, 337, 444
World Commission on Dams, 104n, 156
World Commission onEnvironment and Development(WCED), 26n, 449n
World Energy Council (WEC)definition of resources, 137–138on oil reserves, 141outreach effort by, irecommendations by, 3scenarios by, 335, 336–340,
338t, 339t17th Congress of, 3on uranium reserves, 150
World Energy Outlook (InternationalEnergy Agency), 337
World Food Summit, 26nWorld Health Organisation (WHO), 97World Meteorological
Organisation, 104nWorld Trade Organisation
(WTO), 441and security, 128–129
Yucca Mountain, Nevada, 311,312, 322n
Yugoslavia, former, intensitytrends in, 180t
Zambia, economic efficiencypotential in, 198
Zero-emission-vehicle (ZEV), 300ZEV. See Zero-emission-vehicleZimbabwe
biomass consumption in, 227tair pollution from, 397economic efficiency potential
in, 198fuel ethanol programme
in, 225improved cooking stoves
disseminated in, 371t
Y
Z