Do Development Aid Donors Give More Aid to Democracies than Autocracies?
Transcript of Do Development Aid Donors Give More Aid to Democracies than Autocracies?
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Do Development Aid Donors Give More Aid to Democracies than
Autocracies?
Introduction
Foreign aid, which is also designed to promote democracy,
is considered a major goal of some liberal democratic donor
countries. In support of this idea, some scholars have argued
that through the “modernization” of developing country
societies, foreign aid could promote democracy and this would
improve the prospects for economic growth, but only
indirectly. Based on empirical studies, scholars have found
that the level of democracy could be increased by improving
levels of literacy and increasing per capita income, both of
which correlate and overlap with democracy. Since increases in
per capita income and literacy have long been considered
essential elements of modernization, many aid programmes are
targeted to improving literacy and access to education (Knack
2004).
On the other hand, other scholars have argued that
conditioning aid on democratic political reforms by recipient
nations is largely ineffective. They argue that such
conditional foreign aid can undermine democratic governance,
because this foreign aid goes to the country’s government
instead of the private sector. Friedman and other scholars
have shown that when economic activity is organized by the
public sector, “Democracy and freedom” are less likely to take
hold and grow (Knack 2004).
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This paper examines the volume of foreign aid which goes
from liberal democratic developed countries to developing
nations, the volume of aid which goes to democratic developing
countries, and the volume of aid going to autocratic
developing countries. This comparison is being made in order
to determine if more aid is being given to democratic
developing countries than to autocratic nations, then this
would appear to show support for the idea that democratic
donor countries are also trying to promote democratic
governance; by providing more foreign aid to democracies than
they provide to autocracies.
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
(OECD) is considered to be the largest group of democratic
developed country donor nations. According to OECD statistics,
the total foreign aid given by OECD members in 2009 was $119.6
billion and this total rose to $128.7 billion in 2010 (OECD
2010). Foreign aid from the OECD member states and the OECD’s
Development Assistance Committee (DAC), which is also known as
“Official Development Assistance”, is believed to represent
about 80% of all international foreign aid and 30% of Official
Development Assistance (ODA). But donors have to be careful
about promoting social movements in favour of more democracy
when they provide foreign aid because this can sometimes lead
to instability and civil unrest. Therefore, developed country
donors prefer to work for a careful balance between supporting
domestic social movements on the one hand and supporting human
rights conventions on the other (Eyben 2010)
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“Aid is only effective if it achieves good development
results and good development results are not possible if
gender inequalities persist, environmental damage is
accepted or human rights are abused. “
According to the DAC member countries, the concept of
political conditionality is based on the idea that these
developed countries have a moral responsibility to promote
human rights and democracy as universal values, so they have
been using foreign aid allocation as a tool to not only
transfer money and resources, but also as a tool to transfer
human rights values and democratic principles (Zanger 2000).
These liberal democratic donors believe that when they
deal with countries which are democratic and respect human
rights, this means that those countries practice good
governance, which is believed to be a significant determinant
of the developmental aid returns for ODA.
Moreover, European country donors also take into
consideration the importance of promoting democracy outside
their national boundaries. They attempt: first, to diminish
the potential threat from unstable nations in the developing
world. Secondly, they also try to spread the Western ideals of
democracy and respect for human rights in developing nations,
in order to facilitate the economic development process
(Zanger 2000).
This essay will be organized as follows: we will begin
with a literature review, which will include an overview of
bilateral aid by OECD countries to democratic and autocratic
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developing countries, as well as the bilateral aid allocations
of one of the largest OECD donor nations, Germany. Then, we
will use a case study of German development aid in an attempt
to answer the research question about whether donor countries
do indeed take the democratic governance or the lack of
democratic governance of recipient countries into
consideration when they give foreign aid. The case study will
use Germany as a democratic donor country and compare the
volume of aid that it has provided both before and after the
end of the cold war to three African countries: Mali as a
democratic nation, Niger as a democratizing country and Guinea
as an autocratic nation. Finally, we will discuss the
conclusions of our research and attempt to answer the question
“Do democratic donor nations give more aid to democratic
countries than they provide to autocratic developing
countries?”
Literature Review
In this research paper we will see how the formal
commitments to democracy and social freedoms were made by all
major donors of bilateral foreign aid. They promised to
withhold or reduce giving aid to regimes that violate human
rights and to support the promotion and consolidation of
democracy (Hyde, 2008 pp.91). For example the United Nations
(UN) has expressed its support for democracy promotion for
more than 20 years:
“Since 1988, the Assembly has adopted at least one
resolution annually dealing with some aspect of
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democracy, and the Commission has examined democracy
increasingly from a human rights perspective. Through a
series of resolutions, it has attempted not only to
clarify the concept of democracy but also to elaborate on
democratic principles, values, processes, institutions
and mechanisms”. (Office of the United Nations
Commission for Human Rights)
Furthermore, in 1994 the International Conference of New
or Restored Democracies asked the UN to study how it could
promote democracy:
“The 1993 World Conference on Human Rights concluded
that democracy, development and respect for human rights
are interdependent and mutually reinforcing, and
recommended that priority be given to national and
international actions to promote democracy, development
and human rights. The Plan of Action adopted in 1994 at
the Second International Conference of New or Restored
Democracies called on the United Nations Secretary-
General to undertake a study of ways in which the United
Nations system could support the efforts of Governments
to promote and consolidate new or restored democracies.”
(Office of the United Nations Commission for Human
Rights)
As a result of the aforementioned international push for
greater respect for human rights as well as democracy
promotion, the goals of foreign aid began to move beyond
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economic liberalisation towards support for democracy as a way
to strengthen states burdened with failed institutions.
Figure 1 below displays data provided by the Development
Assistance Committee of the OECD with respect to bilateral aid
flows, which covers a wide range of donors. However, it should
be noted that 70% of aid is coming from the U.S.A., Japan,
France and Germany. (Alesina &Dollar 2000)
Figure 1
In fact, the flow of bilateral aid was actually linked to
several different policy objectives; such as trade openness,
democracy, civil liberties, direct foreign investment, initial
income, bilateral aid per capita (small countries get more per
capita) and it was also interrelated to the colonial status of
the developing country (Table 1). (Alesina &Dollar 2000)
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However, some scholars have argued that bilateral aid is
not only correlated with the variables which are mentioned in
Table 1, but this aid is also connected to political and
strategic considerations. For example, in Figure 2 we notice
that the volume of aid which came from some egoistic donors in
1985; such as the United States, France, Italy, Germany and
Japan, was high for Egypt (about 400% higher) and also for
Israel (where it was about 500% greater) even though Israel is
considered to be a rich country with no colonial past. This
shows that some donors have more political and not as
altruistic (interested in providing aid based on a country’s
needs and merits) motives in providing aid, and that the
relationship between political democracy and aid is important.
For that reason, more democratic and open countries appear to
receive more aid than autocratic nations (Claude Berthelemy
2006).
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In contrast to the more egoistic donor countries, some
donors such as Switzerland, Austria, Ireland, and the Nordic
states (with the exception of Finland, and possibly Sweden),
which are considered more altruistic than other donors,
believe that selectivity should depend on recipient countries’
needs and the merits of the aid (Claude Berthelemy 2006.
p193).
Now, some scholars have begun to question why more
egoistic bilateral and multilateral aid donors also appear to
select democratic nations to receive more aid than autocracies
when they choose recipient countries. In other words; why is
Germany concerned about promoting democracy and supporting the
rule of law in other nations such as those of the Arab
homeland? For example, recently Germany pledged an amount of
100 million Euros to support democracy in the countries of the
Arab Spring like Tunisia for the years 2012-2013 and to
promote all projects which ensure a smooth transition for
Tunisia into a democratic and self-sufficient nation (Melki
2011).
One possible explanation is that Germany, as member of
the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral
Assistance (IDEA), believes that the direct relationship
between promoting democracy and good governance is very
important. Therefore, it is a matter of principle for many
liberal democratic donors to pursue the promotion of democracy
as a goal in its own right (Federal Ministry for Economic
Cooperation and Development 2005). Many scholars also note
there is an equally important indirect relationship between
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democracy and good governance because they believe democracy
strengthens the capacity of governments and thus enhances the
economic performance of developing countries private and
public sectors, as mentioned in Figure 3 (Federal Ministry for
Economic Cooperation and Development 2005).
Figure 3
(Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development
2005)
Furthermore, as seen previously in figure 2, America and its
allies have also provided large amounts of aid to Israel and
Egypt as a way to encourage peaceful resolution of their
conflict over Palestine and Gaza.
Figure 19.1 (Hopkins 2000)
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After the Second World War, the role of bilateral aid
became more important because regional conflicts led to a need
for more emergency relief (Hopkins 2000). The chart in Figure
19.1 (above) shows OECD aid volumes from 1960 to 1996. The
chart shows that foreign aid started to decrease in 1994 due
to a variety of different reasons such as; the end of the cold
war, globalization, and disappointment with the effectiveness
of aid and neo-liberal philosophies (Hopkins 2000). Before the
1980s foreign aid was allocated in favour of countries with
poor economic governance, but after the second half of 1980s
bilateral aid donors started to place more emphasis on
democracy and began allocating more aid in favour of
democratic developing countries. Furthermore, there is also
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some evidence that multilateral organizations channel
significantly more aid to countries with good economic
governance (Dollar & Levin 2006). This is probably because
multilateral aid is more selective than bilateral aid and more
dependent on good economic governance, which creates a climate
for growth and poverty reduction as well as enhances foreign
aid effectiveness.
OECD Aid before and after 1989
The total volume of foreign aid has increased
dramatically during the last four decades, particularly during
the early 1980s. For example, according to the OECD, foreign
aid flows have grown around 3% a year but in 2004 real
official development assistance (ODA) from all donors actually
increased by 4.6%. However, since the end of 1990s the overall
share of development aid going to Asia has been reduced while
the amount of aid provided to sub-Saharan African countries
has increased because of the African nations’ need for debt
relief. By 2015, the EU recommends giving Euro 46 billion
instead of Euro 20 billion a year in ODA, with 50% of this
increase heading to Africa (Gupat et al 2006).
In addition, in 1960 overall ODA was approximately US$30
billion but by 2004 the overall amount of ODA was almost US$80
billion, an increase of over 150%. However it should be noted
that foreign aid donors also have different targets. For
example, by 2010 Belgium wants to meet the UN aid target of
0.7% of GNI but the United Kingdom (UK) committed to 0.47% of
GNI by 2007-08 instead of the UN GNI target. EU members have
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also decided to increase their aid to poor countries by 2015
with half of that going to countries in Africa. Furthermore,
the richest 15 EU member states agreed to increase their
foreign aid allocation to at least 0.51% of national income
and to raise this share to 0.7% by 2015. However, developed
countries’ total populations, the volume of aid they provide
and the selectivity of their aid are correlated, and countries
like the US and Japan also give less aid per capita than
countries with much smaller populations like Denmark and
Norway.
“The difference in donors’ aid efforts can also bemeasured in terms of their populations. In addition tothe total volume of aid, the degree of aidconcessionality is also important for itseffectiveness...” (Gupat, Pattillo and Wagh 2006)
Since 2000 bilateral grants have increased due to the
debt crisis in poor countries such as those in Africa. For
instance, in the 1990s the volume of bilateral aid was less
than 2% a year, but it is has increased by almost 7% a year
since 2000 with the biggest increase coming in 2004 (i.e.
bilateral aid was US$ 22 billion in 1960 but US$ 59 billion in
2004). The United States also increased its grants by over 40%
in the year following the Monterrey summit.
In order to answer the question “Do democratic donor
countries indeed give democratic recipient countries more aid
than autocratic countries?” we will examine the volumes of
OECD aid which have been given to countries and their levels
of democracy at the same time. It should be noted that before
1989 the allocation of foreign aid was not selective and
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bilateral and multilateral development agencies used to focus
primarily on nations with low levels of income, but sometimes
was also distributed in favour of democratic recipient nations
with poor economic governance. However, much of this aid
proved to be ineffective because there is no real relationship
between low incomes and democracy among the poorest developing
countries. Today the OECD is one of the multilateral
development agencies that has allocated aid more selectively
since the end of the Cold War, by also using an assessment of
economic governance that is based on an index of property
rights and the rule of law.
For multilateral assistance, signi cantly more aid is nowfi
channelled to countries with good economic governance,
the opposite of the case in the 1984–89 periods (Dollar
and Levin 2006)
CASE STUDY
German bilateral aid to democratic and autocratic countries
Germany was selected as the donor nation for this case
study because it is a long-time member of the OECD and one of
the world’s largest bilateral aid donors. Mali, Niger and
Guinea were selected as recipient nations for this case study
because they are all low income developing countries at
approximately the same level of economic development that rely
heavily on development aid and are located in the same region
of sub-Saharan Africa. Furthermore, while Mali and Niger share
a common border and most of their territory lies in the Sahara
desert, all three nations’ farmers rely on the Niger River for
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water. However, there is a notable difference in these three
nations level of democracy, with Mali considered to be a
democracy, Niger a democratizer, and Guinea considered to be
an autocracy (See Table 2).
Table 2
Mali
as a
democratic country
Mali geographically lies at the great bulge of West
Africa and shares its southern border with Guinea But most of
its land to the north and east is part of the Sahara desert
and is mostly uninhabited. Mali’s economy depends on
subsistence farming and three other main resources: livestock,
mining and tourism. However, because of the drought that
occurred in the late 1970s and mid-1980s livestock herding was
seriously affected. So, with support of U.S agency for
International Development (USAID) Mali has made serious
efforts since then to increase its cattle exports.
Mali’s political governance and transition to democracy
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During the 1980s the political situation in Mali was
stable, but there was also a lack of democracy. By 1990, there
was growing dissatisfaction with the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) economic reform programs’ demands for austerity.
But even though the people were weary of Mali’s dictatorship,
the country also was not ready for democracy. In 1991 Mali
started to move towards democracy, but the transition did not
go smoothly due to misunderstandings about the concept of
democracy.
Mali’s first democratic constitution established a five-
year presidency with a limit of two-terms and Alpha Konaré won
the first two elections in 1992 and 1997 while Mali also
established comprehensive political and religious freedom. But
according to the 2005 United Nations Human Development Index
(UNHDI), Mali was ranked 174, while Guinea was ranked 156 and
Niger was at 177 among the 177 countries covered by the
report. However, it should be noted that Guinea has also
regressed since then and is now ranked lower than Mali in the
latest 2011 United Nations Human Development Index.
The 2005 United Nations Human Development Index, based on
a combination of economic, demographic, and educational
data, lists Mali as fourth from the bottom among 177
countries. Only Burkina Faso, Niger, and Sierra Leone
rank lower. But despite persistent poverty and on-going
turmoil in neighboring states, in a single decade Mali
has launched one of the most successful democracies in
Africa (Pringle 2006)
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Mali - Foreign Aid
Mali is considered a major recipient of foreign aid from
many sources. This foreign aid is very essential for this
country because it is considered to be a way to exchange new
ideas which are important for developing new policies and
changing existing policies as well as for financial support.
Germany is also considered to be one of the major sources of
foreign aid for Mali because of its funding of multilateral
organizations and bilateral programs.
During the period 1980 – 1990, per capita incomes in Mali
shrunk by 20% to $ 250 and aid flows to Mali averaged 15-20%
of Mali’s GDP. Before the end of the Cold War, (1991) the
Soviet Union was the major source of economic and military aid
for Mali, but during 2010 Mali received $117.87 million in
bilateral foreign assistance from the US Department of State
and USAID. However, Germany has been a long-time donor of
foreign aid to Mali and has given Mali foreign aid totalling
more than $1,767 billion since 1978.
Niger as a democratizer country
Niger is located east of Mali with whom it shares an 821
km border as well as the water resources of the Niger River.
Like Mali, over 80% of Niger’s territory (north of the Niger
River and its southern border area with Nigeria) lies in the
Sahara desert and is mostly uninhabitable. Niger is also an
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economically poor nation like its western neighbour Mali and
its economy relies on livestock and mining (particularly
uranium and gold) as well as subsistence agriculture.
Beginning during the early 1970s, drought, desertification,
government intervention and bad economic governance have
further aggravated a poor economic environment. Although
Niger was a country that had long been dominated by
agriculture, Niger experienced a boom in uranium mining during
the late 1970s. But this boom subsided very quickly and as a
result, significant national debts incurred between 1983 and
1986 necessitated an IMF structural adjustment program.
However, due to on-going political instability, the
implementation of this program was plagued by substantial
irregularities, which led to its intermittent suspension (U.S
Department of State, Niger 2011).
Niger’s political governance and transition to democracy
Niger was governed by series of authoritarian rulers from
1958 until 1991 when it took the first steps in the direction
of democracy by holding a constitutional referendum in 1992
followed by free elections in 1993 when Mahamane Ousmane, of
the Democratic and Social Convention party, became the
country’s first democratically elected president.
However the country reverted to authoritarianism
following a military coup in 1996 and real democratization
didn’t begin until the beginning of the Fifth Republic era in
1999. During the first years of its democratic transition,
donors such as Germany, France, Italy and United States did
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not withdraw basic support, but financial assistance from
these countries was decreased enormously especially from 1992
onwards (Gazibo 2005) because of political instability and
armed conflicts with Tuareg tribes. However, between 1994 and
1995 the conflict with the Tuaregs was settled and another
period of political instability ensued from 1995 until new
elections were held in 1999. Current President Mamadou Tandja
and the coalition made up of the MNSD-Nassara, the CDS-Rahama
and a number of smaller parties emerged as victors.
(Bertelsmann Niger 2009)
Niger- Foreign Aid
In general, the volume of foreign aid from the bilateral
and multilateral organisation is still limited. This is due to
the breakdown of its democratic processes even though the
government was committed to a free market economy.
Furthermore, the level of corruption in Niger was still very
high and most of the announced economic reforms were not fully
implemented. Like its neighbour Mali, Niger is also heavily
dependent on foreign aid from Western donor’s (around 11.4% of
GDP in 2006). Figure 5, shows the fluctuations in Niger’s
bilateral and multilateral aid between 1988 and 2002. Note the
sharp decrease in 1994 when the Tuareg unrest began and an
increase in aid in 1996 after a peace agreement was reached.
Figure 5 (Gazibo 2005)
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As Figure 5 shows Niger also experienced another decrease
in foreign aid due to civil unrest and questionable democratic
elections, followed by another increase in 2000 after new free
and fair democratic elections were held in 1999. Niger then
received 25 million euros in development aid from the European
Union (EU) based on a commitment from the EU to support
Niger’s new democratically elected government. EU Development
Commissioner Andris Piebalgs says, “It is a sign of our
confidence in the new government and of our commitment to
supporting (it).” However, EU development aid to Niger was
suspended again in 2009 after then president Mamadou Tandja
attempted to overturn the constitution in order to remain in
power. But he was arrested and Mahamadou Issoufou won the next
set of democratic elections in March 2011. As a result, the EU
has allocated a total of 458 million euros in aid for Niger
through 2013 for health and education programs (IOL News
2011).
Niger’s democratic reforms were also supported by the
United Nations Development Program (UNDP), which allocated USD
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40 million from the UN donor community for electoral
commission programs designed to organize a constitutional
referendum, two rounds of presidential, parliamentary and
municipal elections as well as assistance dealing with
problems related to the food crisis and drought in Niger (UNDP
2011).
Guinea as an autocratic country
The Republic of Guinea, which is also known as either
Guinea-Conakry to distinguish it from its neighbour Guinea-
Bissau or as French Guinea because of its French colonial
history, is located on the Atlantic coast of West Africa. It
is bordered on the west by the Atlantic Ocean, by Guinea-
Bissau and Senegal to the north, Mali to the north east, and
by Sierra Leone, Liberia and the Ivory Coast on the south-
east. Its total land mass is about 246,000 square kilometres
and the Niger, Gambia and Senegal rivers all have their
origins in Guinea. While it was a colony of France gold and
diamonds were Guinea’ main exports, but since 25% of the
world’s bauxite reserves were discovered in Guinea, its
economy also relies on exports of bauxite as well as
pineapples, cocoa, bananas, coffee, livestock and peanuts.
However, due to civil wars and political unrest linked to
Guinea’s autocratic political leaders, investment in Guinea’s
export industries has been restricted (www.worldatlas).
Guinea’s political governance
Throughout its history Guinea has been governed by a
series of autocratic rulers. Following the defeat of the
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French by the armies of Almamy Samory Touré, Guineans rejected
membership in the proposed French Community and Guinea became
an independent republic under the presidency of Touré.
However, Touré was a dictator who repressed political
opposition, human rights and freedom of expression and who
also implemented economic policies which destroyed Guinea’s
economy. His relationship with the West and foreign aid donor
nations was also very bad due to the tyranny of his autocratic
government which drove more than a million Guineans into
exile. In 1984 Lt. Col. Lansana Cone seized the power after
the death of Sékou Touré and announced the establishment of
the Second Republic. In an effort to pull Guinea out of its
isolation and revive its economy, the Second Republic
announced that it would implement policies to protect human
rights, encourage foreign investment and freedom of speech and
other measures designed to liberalize tis developing country’s
economy (Cheryl 2009). However, there were many election
irregularities and after Conté was elected the president of
Guinea from 1998 until 2003 conflict with the opposition led
to civil war and conflicts with its neighbours Sierra Leone
and Liberia (Cheryl 2009).
Guinea – Foreign Aid
The amount of foreign aid provided to Guinea has always
been less than what its African neighbours, Mali and Niger
receive. Despite its high levels of poverty and need for
foreign aid, except for humanitarian assistance, beginning in
the late 1990s foreign aid to Guinea was suspended by most
donor nations. Poor institutional development in Guinea,
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corruption, economic inefficiencies, and bureaucratic systems
as well as a lack of democracy are often cited as reasons for
the volume of aid to Guinea being lower than that of Mali
(which is a democratic nation) and Niger (which is considered
a democratiser).
Analysis of German foreign aid to Mali, Niger and Guinea
Democracy
Since all three of the developing countries in this case study
have experienced autocratic rule during the years being studied, it
was necessary to determine how many years, if any, these countries
had democratic regimes. The democracy index data used in Bar Graph 1
is from a data set provided by Aid Data that indicates a country's
type of political regime. It is based on Freedom House’s regime
statistics and for every year of a country's independence, each
country's political regime for that year is designated with a 1 or
0. For each year, states that are either fully or partly democratic
for that year are marked as a 1 and states that are semi-autocratic
or fully autocratic that year are given a 0.
Bar Graph 1 (Years of Democratic rule 1978-2009)
Guinea/0 years Mali/13 years Niger/ 4years02468101214
Total
Total
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Bar Graph 1 shows that between the years 1978 and 2009
Guinea was never governed by what could be considered a
democratic regime. On the other hand, Mali had experienced 13
years of democratic rule while Niger was governed by
democratic regimes for four years.
Democratic Electoral freedom
The level of democratic electoral freedom index used in
Bar Graph 2 is based on the Polity data in the data set
provided by Aid Data. The Polity data series is a widely used
data series in political science research that contains coded
annual information on levels of democratic freedom for all
independent states. Polity’s scores reflect scholars’
conclusions about a nation’s level of democracy and are based
on an evaluation of the country’s elections for
competitiveness, openness and level of participation (Casper
and Tufis 2003).
Bar Graph 2 (Polity Democratic electoral freedom index 1978-
2009)
Guinea Mali Niger
-160-140-120-100-80-60-40-200
Total
Total
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Bar graph 2 shows that according to the Polity index of
democratic electoral freedom, Guinea’s total score of -138
from 1978 and 2009 shows that Guinea has very low levels of
democratic freedom. On the other hand, Mali’s Polity score of
-5 shows the effects of 13 years of democratic rule while
Niger’s Polity score of -59 shows the effects of 4 years of
democratic electoral freedom and is also much better than
Guinea’s score.
German foreign aid volumes
In order to determine if democratic donor nations provide
more aid to democratic developing countries than autocratic
developing countries, Germany’s foreign aid to the countries
of Mali, Niger and Guinea from 1978 to 2009 was analysed. Bar
Graph 3 illustrates the differences in Germany’s foreign aid
allocations to these sub Saharan developing African nations.Bar Graph 3’s data, which shows Germany's total volume of foreign
aid to Mali, Niger and Guinea, is taken from OECD data for 1978 to
2009 provided by Aid Data.
Bar Graph 3 (German foreign aid 1978-2009)
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Guinea/0 years
Mali/13 years Niger/4 years0
200400600800100012001400160018002000
Total
Total
Bar Graph 3 clearly shows that between 1978 and 2009
Germany gave a total of only $723 million in foreign aid to
Guinea (an autocracy), but gave its more democratic neighbour
Mali over $1 billion more in total aid as well as almost $500
million in additional aid to Niger, a country which is
considered a democratizer. Since all three countries are
desperately poor and have equally low Human Development Index
rankings, they would seem to be equally in need of foreign aid
and development assistance. So it appears that Germany is
allocating its aid in this region of Africa based on more
factors than just a recipient’s needs.
Selectivity of Foreign aid before and after the end of the
Cold War
Table 3’s comparison of Germany’s foreign aid to Guinea
in the 12 years before the end of the Cold war (1978-1989) and
the aid it gave this autocratic state in the 12 years after
the Cold War (1990-2002) also shows some evidence that
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Germany’s foreign aid was allocated more selectively after the
end of the Cold War than it was during the Cold War. The OECD
data provided by AidData shows that in the first 12 years
after the end of the Cold War, Germany cut the total amount of
foreign aid it was giving to the autocratic nation of Guinea
by almost 30% (from $308 million to $216 million) compared to
what it gave Guinea during the Cold War.
Table 3 (German aid to Guinea before and after the end of the
Cold War)
German aid to Guinea 1978-1989 1990-2001Sum of
aid_USD_millions Total Total
Total $307.7822219 $216.4833
Conclusions
The three case study’s recipient countries: Mali, Niger
and Guinea, are shared three important features. First, before
1978 they were all colonial states that had been ruled by
authoritarian regimes after they became independent countries.
Second, all three were among the poorest countries in sub
Saharan Africa and were adversely affected by the drought
which occurred during the 1970s and 1980s. Third, because they
were all so economically poor, they all needed or were very
dependent on foreign aid from democratic Western donors.
Based on the allocations of foreign aid made by one of
the world’s largest donor countries, we found that Germany
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allocated far more aid to the most democratic of the three
countries studied, Mali (44% more than Niger and 144% more
than Guinea), than it did to Mali’s less democratic
neighbours, Niger and Guinea. Germany also provided about more
aid to the democratizing country of Niger (69% more) than it
did to Guinea’s autocratic regime.
This appears to show support for scholars who claim that
donor countries have become more inclined to provide more aid
to democracies now that Cold War politics is no longer an
issue. Therefore, it seems that bilateral and multilateral aid
takes into account not only the recipient’s needs and merits,
but also other donor variables. So, foreign aid represents a
combination of donor nation self- interests and the
development needs of recipient nations (Claude Berthelemy
2006, pp. 183).
Accordingly, this case study shows that foreign aid is
not allocated just on the basis of a recipient country’s needs
because poorer countries would then receive more aid than
richer countries, but it also depends on if the recipient
nation is democratic and has good economic governance, and is
thus less likely to be affected by corruption, civil wars and
interstate conflicts (Claude Berthelemy 2006).
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