DC Charging for Plug-in Electric Vehicles 2021 - Sample - i ...

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From Technologies to Markets © 2021 DC Charging for Plug-in Electric Vehicles 2021 Sample Market and Technology Report 2021

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From Technologies to Markets

© 2021

DC Charging for Plug-in Electric Vehicles 2021

Sample

Market and Technology

Report 2021

2

ABOUT THE AUTHORS

Biographies & contacts

Dr. Milan ROSINA

Dr. Milan Rosina is Principal Analyst, Power Electronics & Batteries, at Yole Développement (Yole), within the Power & Wireless division. Milan has 20

years of scientific, industrial, and managerial experience in equipment and process development. He also has experience in due diligence, technology,

and market surveys in the fields of renewable energy, EV/HEV, energy storage, batteries, power electronics, thermal management, and innovative

materials and devices. Dr. Rosina received his Ph.D. degree from the National Polytechnic Institute (Grenoble, France). He previously worked for the

Institute of Electrical Engineering in Slovakia; Centrotherm in Germany; Fraunhofer IWS in Germany; CEA LETI in France; and at Direction of

Research and Innovation, ENGIE.

E-mail: [email protected]

Abdoulaye LY

Abdoulaye LY is a Technology & Market Analyst specializing in Power Electronic Systems at Yole Développement. As part of the Power Electronics &

Wireless division atYole, Abdoulaye’s expertise is focused on power electronics system design.

Prior to Yole, Abdoulaye served as an electrical engineer and power electronics system engineer at Centum Adetel Transportation Solution for 3

years, where he was in charge of converter design. He also performed simulations for catenary free tramways, tested qualifying auxiliary power

supplies (APS) for railway applications and managed a team developing a new battery cooling system.

Abdoulaye graduated with a technical degree in 2014 from Bethune University Institute of Technology and in 2017 and received an electrical

engineering degree from Grenoble Institute of Technology.

E-mail: [email protected]

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33DC Charging For Plug-In Electric Vehicles 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE DEFINITIONS

• A Charging station is a facility that can include one or several

chargers that allow charging of EVs.

• A Charger is an interface that enables energy transfer from

the grid or from an ESS either directly to the EV battery or

via the on-board charger (OBC). It can be equipped with one

or several charging points. Power conversion devices can be

integrated into a charger cabinet or a separate cabinet.

• A Charging point is a cable equipped with a socket that allows

the charger to connect to the EV plug-in.

• A Charger module is a sub-unit charger (which can be rated

for 10, 15, 30 kW…). With these sub-units, charger

manufacturers will be able to address easily the total market

from 10 kW to 350 kW.

• An OBC is a converter embedded in the EV. It converts

Alternative Current (AC) from the grid to the required Direct

Current Voltage to charge the EV high-voltage battery. In an

EV, the space constraint is very high, which directly impacts

the OBC power rating.

• An Off-Board charger generally includes DC/AC converter(s)

that allows the electricity grid to charge directly the EV high

voltage battery. The charger is off-board so space constraint is

very low. Therefore, the power rating can be higher and

charging time can be reduced dramatically.

Charging station

Charger module

Main charging types

DC EV charger with its power conversion

unit (here in a separate cabinet)

(Image courtesy: Tritium)

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• Glossary and definitions 2

• Table of contents 6

• Report objectives 9

• Focus of the report and report scope 10

• About the authors 13

• Who should be interested in this report 14

• Companies cited in this report 15

• Yole Group related reports 16

• Three-page summary 17

• Executive summary 21

• EV charging solutions 62

o Where does the demand for charging solutions come from?

o PHEV/BEV charging solutions overview

o Many different technology solutions exist for EV chargers

o Why don’t all car owners buy 100% electric?

o Alternatives to conventional EV charging

o Charging solutions examples

• Market forecasts 69

o Methodology

o Relationship between plug-in electric vehicles and DC charger markets

o 2020-2026 EV DC charger market in units

o 2020-2026 EV DC charger market in units – market share evolution

o Rationale behind the EV DC charger market evolution

o What does the EV DC charger price depend on?

o Charger prices

o 2020-2026 EV DC chargers market value in $M

o 2020 and 2026 EV DC charger market - split by geographic region

o EV DC market: regional specificities

o 2020-2026 power module market for EV DC chargers, in units

o 2020-2026 power device market value for EV DC Chargers, in $M

o 2020-2026 discrete power device market for EV DC chargers

o 2020-2026 discrete power device market value for EV DC chargers, in $M

o 2020-2026 power device market value for EV DC chargers, in $M (split

discretes/power modules, split by device type)

TABLE OF CONTENTS (1/3)• Market trends 91

o Megatrends driving EV DC charger demand

o Main drivers for electric mobility and related charging infrastructure

o Societal and global industrial environment being reshaped by battery revolution

o CO2 emission reduction targets for vehicles as the main EV/HEV driver

o EV/HEV classification

o EV/HEV becomes a part of the global energy ecosystem; Internet of Energy

o Application and supply chain trends

o How much does it cost to charge a plug-in EV?

o Why to charge at home?

• Impact of market trends on semiconductor industry 102

o From EV DC charger to semiconductor wafer

o Driving applications - Historical perspective

o Where does the acceleration of vehicle electrification come from?

o Where is the business opportunity for power electronics?

• Supply chain analysis 109

o BEV/PHEV, electric bus and electric truck manufacturers

o Location of charging infrastructure companies

o DC charging infrastructure manufacturers

o EV charging connector manufacturers – geographic location

o EV charging cable manufacturers – geographic location

o EV DC charging infrastructure supply chain structure

o Where is the highest differentiation in EV DC infrastructure?

o Charging infrastructure supply chain movements

o Mergers, acquisitions & IPOs

o Why invest into charging infrastructure?

o Energy providers leading the EV infrastructure investments

o Partnerships and key drivers for partnerships

o What was the original business of DC charger manufacturers?

o Why are so many players interested in providing a part of charging infrastructure

solution?

o V2H and V2G players

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TABLE OF CONTENTS (2/3)

• Technology trends 132

o Main Technology trends in EV DC chargers – Overview

o AC charging vs. DC charging

o Comparison of dedicated power line and battery buffer solution

o Charging station architecture example

o Trends in charger topologies (AC/DC stage, DC/DC stage)

o EV charging modes (Mode 1, 2, 3 and 4)

o EV charging levels (Level 1, 2 and 3)

o Overview of the main technology trends in DC chargers

o Charging infrastructure

o Technology trends in charging connectors

o ChaoJi: toward a unified connector?

o Connector standard timelines

o Technology trends in charger cables

o Charging power range for different applications

o Why is demand for fast charging solutions increasing?

o Fast charging bottleneck – availability of high-power lines

o What factors do reduce the need for fast charging power?

o AC vs. DC charging: DC charging for fast charging

o Most common charging levels by location

o EV users’ needs evolution & trends towards high-power chargers

o Charging time vs. charging power – slow (overnight) charging

o Charging time vs. charging power – fast charging

o Key parameter = kilometers per hour of charging

o Different approaches to increase car driving range

o Technology trends in DC charger power

o Very-high-power DC chargers

o Battery safety issues

o Case study: Hyundai Kona electric vehicle fire issues

o Battery as a charging speed bottleneck

o Towards EV battery higher charging power capability

o Why are very high-power chargers being installed now?

o Multiple DC charger outputs

o High-power charging challenges

o EV DC charging power: two opposing trends observed

o Technology trends in EV DC charger power

o Towards the end of on-board chargers?

o Drivers for low power DC chargers

o Monolithic vs. modular EV charger

o Discrete components vs. power modules in chargers

o Growing potential for power modules in charger modules

o 50 kW EV charger module from Rectifier Technologies

o Towards high power density

o SiC MOSFET power modules for DC chargers

o Si and SiC discrete devices for DC chargers

o What will be the impact of technology trends on passive devices?

o Technology trends in charger voltage

o Towards double-green mobility

o Synergies between DC charging and other markets

o Chargers with electricity battery buffer storage

o New stationary battery segment - buffer battery for EV/HEV charging

o Where are high efficiency chargers sought?

o Do weight, size and form factors of EV DC chargers matter?

o Bi-directional DC chargers

o Vehicle-to-something functionalities

o Mobile power stations for EV charging

o Automated charging solutions

• Alternatives to conventional EV charging solutions 200

o Alternatives to cables in charging

o Alternatives to conventional EV chargingDC Charging For Plug-In Electric Vehicles 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

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TABLE OF CONTENTS (3/3)• Wireless charging 203

o Take away

o Wireless charging systems

o BMW 2018 530e iPerformance, PHEV – an integrated solution

o Audi A8 e-tron, PHEV

o Plugless charging upgrade for Tesla Model S, EV – an after-market solution

o Qualcomm Halo WEVC technology

o Hyundai wireless charging concept for electric vehicles with automated parking system

o Jaguar I-Pace electric taxis in Norway

o 2020 McLaren Speedtail Hyper-GT hypercar

o WiTricity push for EV wireless charging

o ORNL’s 120kW wireless charging system, a laboratory experiment

o What type of electric vehicle will be the first adopter?

o Wireless charging for small e-mobility

o EV/HEV wireless charging challenges

• Battery swap 231

o Take away

o Battery charging vs. battery swap

o Advantages and challenges for battery swapping

o EV battery swapping – a challenging path to success?

o Battery swap solution from Nio (CN)

o Battery swap solution from BAIC BJEV (CN)

o Aulton New Energy Automotive Technology Co., Ltd.

o Battery swap for small-mobility

o Battery module swap for passenger vehicles from Ample

o Battery swapping for buses, trucks and AGVs

o Battery Swapping station for buses

• Outlook 243

• Yole Group presentation 245DC Charging For Plug-In Electric Vehicles 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

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FOCUS OF THIS REPORT

Mobility

FCEV ICE Vehicles Small mobility MHEV HEV PHEV/BEV

Charging solutions

DC chargers AC chargers Wireless charging Battery swap

Powertrain Others

For other aspects please refer to our Power Electronics report collection, such as the “Power Electronics for E -mobility 2021” report.

Wireless charging and battery swap technologies and supply chains are also covered in this report.

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REPORT SCOPE

Applications – Systems – Technology – Supply chain

Application

Charging infrastructure for plug-in vehicles*

System

DC chargersPackaging type

Discrete components

Power modules

Power device

Si MOSFET

Si IGBT

SiC MOSFET

Applications and technology trends

Supply chain analysis

Your needs are out

of scope of this

report?

Contact us for a custom report:

Covered in this report

• On-board chargers → see the

EV/HEV report

• This report does not analyze the

charging infrastructure for industrial

applications such as AGV, consumer

electronics and other applications

such as rail, aerospace, etc.

*Although some trials to develop rechargeable fuel-cell electric vehicles (with a relatively large battery capacity) were observed in the

past, we do not consider this segment as a viable solution for the future as it would represent the most complex technological solution

for clean mobility.

Not covered in this report

Geographical scope: worldwide

Units, $ million

Units, $ million

Units, $ million*Dedicated charging solutions for buses and trucks, such as

pantograph charger, are considered here.

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PHEV/BEV CHARGING SOLUTIONS OVERVIEW

There are two main types of PHEV/BEV charging: AC on-board charging and DCoff-board charging.

Some vehicles are also offered with a wireless charging option.

Off-board Charger

Wireless

Wireless

Charger Location Typical power range

On-board charger (AC) Integrated in the vehicle 3.7-11 kW, up to 22 kW (43 kW)

Wireless charger (AC)Receiver integrated in the vehicle /mounted on the vehicle

Transmitter located outside of the vehicle3.2kW – 11 kW

Off-board charger (DC) Outside of the vehicle Up to 350 kW

Images courtesy of:

WiTricity, Brusa, ABB

Charging station compatible

with AC and DC charging

Hig

h-p

ow

er

AC

ch

arge p

oin

t

PHEVs are typically

designed for lower

charging power than

BEVs

High speed

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WHY DON’T ALL CAR OWNERS BUY 100% ELECTRIC?

Higher price, range anxiety, charge anxiety, waiting anxiety

Three of the four main issues hindering customers from buying a full battery electric vehicle are associated with vehicle charging.

Range anxiety Charge anxiety Waiting anxiety

• Larger battery capacity

• More efficient power

electronics and motors i.e.,

less energy losses

• Reduced energy

consumption in auxiliary

devices

• Fuel-cell EVs

• High-power DC

chargers

• Enhanced battery

and battery

thermal

management

• Fuel-cell EVs - five

min refueling time

• Building an extensive

and dense network of

charging / H2 refueling

points

• But many EV owners

do not have the

possibility of charging

at home and no FCEV

owner can refuel H2 at

home.

Can I drive far enough

between recharges?Can I charge/refuel

my car rapidly?

Can I rapidly access a

charging point?

Driving range

Higher EV car price

compared to an ICE car

EV charging-related issues

• Subsidies on car purchase

• Production volume scaling

• Technology improvements at

all levels from raw materials to

devices and system integration

• Car leasing

• Battery leasing

• Cost of ownership instead of

car price evaluation

Solu

tions

Why should I pay more

for an electric car?

ICE EV

Actually, starting

price for an EV is

much higher than

starting price for a

low-end ICE

vehicle.

Especially for

low end cars

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METHODOLOGY

DC charger market forecast

by category in units

DC charger market forecast

by category in $M

Number of active electronic

components by type per

charger

Active electronic components

market forecast by type in units

Active electronic

components ASP by type

Active electronic components

market forecast by type in $M

✓ Analysis

✓ Hypothesis

✓ Aggregation

DC charger ASP by category

Calculation Calculation

Calculation

DC chargers' market in 2019

(in Units)

✓ Discussion with DC charger players

✓ Government incentives & policies

✓ PHEV & BEV market forecast

✓ Desk research

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2020-2026 EV DC CHARGER MARKET

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2020-2026 EV DC CHARGER POWER DEVICE MARKET

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MAIN DRIVERS FOR ELECTRIC MOBILITY AND RELATED CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE

Government regulations to reduce

CO2

emissions Air-pollution issues in

cities

Government incentives to

promote electro-mobility

Stronger involvement from OEMs in electro-mobility

Increase in mileage

capability in electric cars

A shift in consumer perception of electric

cars

Increasing availability of charging

points

Increasing charging speed

Low cost of electricity

compared to petroleum-based fuels

Source: Yole Développement1,000 km

Charging

infrastructure

Charging

infrastructure

Charging

infrastructure

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EV/HEV CLASSIFICATION

To reach significant emission reduction, MHEV and full HEV electrification approaches are not sufficient.

CO2emissions compared to

thermal vehicles (in %)*

Level of electrification

Thermal

vehicle (ICE)Mild-hybrid

EV (MHEV)

Full HEV

Toyota Prius

VW Golf Life 1st eTSI

VW Golf

EV/HEV

Hybrid electric vehicles Full electric vehicles

No battery charging from the grid

ICE taken as a reference

Example of a vehicle for each category is given

Toyota Mirai II

H2

Electric motor only (Zero-emission vehicle)

48V mild-hybrid

vehicles are

included here

* CO2 emission

in car operationICE + electric motor

Diesel/gasoline

0 %

100 %

309-100 gCO2/km

133-90 gCO2/km

156-76 gCO2/km

50 %

FCEV

PHEV

BMW Series 5 PHEV

Battery charging

from the grid

75-31 gCO2/km

Tesla Model S

BEV 0 gCO2/km

Plug-in electric vehicles

The emission reduction is significant starting

from the PHEV electrification type

Charging infrastructure

required here DC Charging For Plug-In Electric Vehicles 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

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FROM EV DC CHARGER TO SEMICONDUCTOR WAFER

DC chargers is a new and growing business opportunity for system manufacturers, discrete and power module makers, packaging companies, die manufacturers and wafer manufacturers.

Discrete / Power module level

Device levelWafer level

Charger(here considered with integrated power conversion unit)

Business opportunities here !

• Discretes and power modules

• Encapsulation

• Ceramic substrates

• Electrical interconnections

• Baseplates

• …

• Silicon IGBT

• SiC MOSFETs

• …

• Silicon wafers

• SiC wafers

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SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS

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MAIN TECHNOLOGY TRENDS IN EV DC CHARGERS - OVERVIEW

The technology trends in DC chargers are interlinked with the trends in Li-ion batteries and EV/HEVs.

Technology trends at charging solution level

Automated charging

Charging solutions with integrated or linked battery energy storage solution

Charging solution integrated with renewable energy sources (PV, wind)

Smart charging solution (communication, energy supply/demand management…)

Technology trends at DC charger level

Maximum charging power increase (superchargers, ultrafast chargers…)

Maximum charging power decrease (to offer a DC alternative to low-power AC chargers)

Charger voltage increase

Modular/monolithic systems

Bi-directional chargers for V2G and V2H

Simultaneous charging of multiple cars at the same time using one charger with several outputs

Technology trends at component level

Discretes → Modules

Silicon → Silicon, SiC

These trends are analyzed in the following slides.DC Charging For Plug-In Electric Vehicles 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

1919

TECHNOLOGY TRENDS

DC Charging For Plug-In Electric Vehicles 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

2020

TECHNOLOGY TRENDS

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2121

TECHNOLOGY TRENDS

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Contact our

Sales Team

for more

information

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Contact our

Sales Team

for more

information

YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS

DC Charging For Plug-In Electric Vehicles 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021

Power Electronics for E-Mobility 2021

Power SiC: Materials, Devices and Applications

2020

Status of the Power Electronics Industry 2020

Status of the Power Module Packaging Industry

2020

Li-ion Battery Packs for Automotive and Stationary Storage Applications 2020

Yole Développement

23

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