Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd - Axis Direct

20
Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd

Transcript of Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd - Axis Direct

APCOTEX Limited

Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd

Axis Annual Analysis

20th September 2021

BUY

Target Price

215

Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd. Specialty Chemicals

1

Novel Opportunities to Drive Topline Growth and Profitability

Summary

Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd. (CFS) delivered robust growth in FY21, driven by the addition of new downstream products, higher capacity utilization at the Dahej plant, and encouraging recovery in the global economic activities in H2FY21. Its EBITDA Margins expanded by 290bps to 15.3% from 12.5% in FY20 due to the benefits of operating leverage as well as the steady ramp-up of the Dahej Facility. To drive future growth, CFS plans to focus on 1) Capacity expansion, 2) Adding new downstream products, and 3) Strengthening its presence in the fermentation segment.

Key Highlights

Financial Review: In FY21, CFS registered a top-line growth of 13% YoY despite the

adverse impact of COVID-19 led restrictions. While the Operating Profit grew by 39%

to Rs 182 Cr, the Operating Margins came in at 15%, recording a 290bps YoY

expansion over FY20 levels. The growth was on primarily account of improved Gross

Margins and cost rationalization measures undertaken by the company during the year.

Furthermore, strong operating performance and a 137% increase in Other Income led

to a 119% rise in the bottom line to Rs 65 Cr resulting in PAT margins expansion of

266bps to 5.5% from 2.8% in FY20.

Operational Review: Export contributed ~87% of total consolidated revenues in FY21

and was driven by a 22% YoY growth in CFS’s Europe subsidiary. The domestic

market contributed 13% of the consolidated top-line and grew by 18% YoY. Overall

topline reported a growth of 13% YoY led by strong YoY growth of 25%/39% in the

anti-oxidants and performance chemicals segments. The Net Debt/EBITDA ratio

improved to 2.03x in FY21 from 3.53x in FY20.

Key competitive strengths: a) Strategically Integrated Player, b) Diversified Product

Portfolio, c) Healthy Margin Profile, d) Improving financial strength, and e) Worldwide

Presence.

Growth drivers: a) High growth expectations in the Blends segment, b) Foray into the

Omega 3 fermentation business, c) Lockheed Martin’s Battery Project deal, and d)

Introducing Value-added downstream Products.

Key Strategies moving forward: a) Adding new customers across segments, b)

Commercializing Ethyl Vanillin Plant, c) Ramping up Dahej Facility, and d) Focus on

expansion.

OOutlook & Recommendation

Attributes such as the strategic focus on expansion, worldwide presence, expected growth in

blends segment, and increasing demand of vanillin worldwide augur well for the company’s

growth prospects. Furthermore, CFS’ strategic vertical integration, step-up in innovation/new

launches of downstream products, healthy margin profile, growth prospects of fermentation

business, and improving balance sheet have bolstered its competitive position further. The

company is in a sweet spot to capitalize on growing opportunities in India as well as the

overseas markets. We maintain a BUY rating on the stock with an unchanged TP of Rs

215/share valuing the stock at 17x FY24E EPS. Key risks – a) Slower-than-expected ramp-up

in plant commissioning, b) Volatility in RM prices and Forex, c) COVID-led disruptions and

business uncertainties.

Key Financials (Consolidated)

(Rs. cr) FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Net Sales 1,187 1,512 1,797 2,018

EBITDA 182 246 304 347

Net Profit 65 101 141 167

EPS (Rs.) 5.1 7.9 11.1 13.1

PER (x) 35.3 22.9 16.3 13.8

EV/EBITDA (x) 15.0 11.2 9.1 7.8

P/BV (x) 3.2 3.0 2.5 2.1

ROE (%) 9.2% 12.9% 15.3% 15.4%

Source: Company, Axis Research

(CMP as of September 17, 2021)

CMP (Rs) 178

Upside/Downside (%) 21%

High/Low (Rs) 231/87

Market cap (Cr) 2,273

Avg. daily vol. (6m) Shrs. 387,568

No. of shares (Cr) 13

Shareholding (%)

Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21

Promoter 21.6 21.6 21.6

FIIs 1.7 4.7 5.3

MFs / UTI 18.6 18.7 17.9

Banks / FIs 0.0 0.0 0.0

Others 58.1 55.0 55.2

Financial & Valuations

Y/E Mar (Rs. cr) FY22E FY23E FY24E

Net Sales 1,512 1,797 2,018

EBITDA 246 304 347

Net Profit 101 141 167

EPS (Rs.) 7.9 11.1 13.1

PER (x) 22.9 16.3 13.8

EV/EBITDA (x) 11.2 9.1 7.8

P/BV (x) 3.0 2.5 2.1

ROE (%) 12.9% 15.3% 15.4%

ESG disclosure Score**

Environmental Disclosure core 2

Social Disclosure Score 14

Governance Disclosure Score 39

Total ESG Disclosure Score 14

Source: Bloomberg, Scale: 0.1-100 **Note: This score measures the amount of ESG data a company reports publicly, and does not measure the company's performance on any data point. All scores are based on 2020 disclosures

Relative performance

Source: Capitaline, Axis Securities

25

75

125

175

225

275

Jan-20 Jun-20 Nov-20 Apr-21 Sep-21

Camlin Fine BSE Sensex

Darshita Shah Research Associate email: [email protected]

Suvarna Joshi Sr. Research Analyst

Call: (022) 4267 1740 email: [email protected]

2

FY21 - Performance round-up

Camlin Fine Sciences (CFS) was formed after de-merging the fine chemical business of Kokoyu Camlin (erstwhile Camlin Ltd) in 2006.

The company is vertically integrated and engages in research, development, manufacturing, commercializing, and marketing of specialty

chemicals and blends. Its products find applications in a wide array of sectors such as food, feed and pet nutrition, pharma,

petrochemicals, polymers, flavours and fragrances, agrochemicals, dyes and pigments, and biodiesel, among others. The business can

be categorised into 3 different verticals based on the product profile namely a) Shelf Life Solutions, b) Performance Chemicals, c) Aromas

Chemicals, and d) Health and Wellness Segment.

Encouraging revenue growth: The revenue for FY21 stood at Rs 1,187 Cr, registering a growth of 13% YoY. This was led by a

25% growth in the Anti-Oxidants segment and a 39% growth in the performance chemicals segment driven by higher hydroquinone

sales in CFS Europe.

Excellent Operating Profit growth: The operating profit grew by a robust 39% on a YoY basis to Rs 182 Cr as a result of the

commercialization of the Dahej Facility and cost savings. High growth in Operating Profits resulted in 290bps YoY expansion in

EBITDA Margins to 15%.

Improved bottom line: PAT was reported at Rs 65 Cr, registering a 119% YoY growth on account of strong operating performance,

13% drop in the interest costs, and 45% rise in Other Income.

Segmental Performance

Revenue by Segments

CFS’s revenues is contributed by 3 verticals namely, a) Shelf Life Solutions which consists of the Anti-oxidants segment and Blends Segment, b) Performance Chemicals, Aromas Chemicals, and c) Health & Wellness segment.

Shelf Life Solutions (53% Revenue): The Shelf Life Solutions segment is further subdivided into Anti-oxidants and Blends. The

anti-oxidants segment grew by 25% YoY and contributed 25% to the top-line while blends grew by 6% YoY, contributing 28% to the

top-line. The Shelf Life Solutions business for India and the rest of the Asian markets was quite stable during the year. The company

has successfully increased its distribution network and plans to widen the product basket to the application industries using its

antioxidants. Also, the company intends to launch new products from this division in FY22 for various food and beverage industries

to cater to the Asia Pacific markets.

Performance Chemicals (29% Revenue): While the overall global demand for Performance Chemicals plummeted in FY21 due to

pandemic, hampering its performance, CFS Europe provided positive results with higher hydroquinone sales in FY21. The

company’s vertical integration continued to provide a competitive edge with a steady supply of its products all over the world. It

attained a historic milestone with the expansion of Hydroquinone and Catechol capacity at Dahej in 2020. The expansion has

coincided with the rapidly increasing needs of industries such as Petrochemicals, Polymers, Agrochemicals, Dyes, and Pigments

that will be high-performance gainers in the near future and will contribute to the fast-growing demand for high-quality additives for

food and feed globally.

Aromas Chemicals (17% Revenue): The Company supplied vanillin to clients in several continents and won key accounts with

reputed companies in Europe, Brazil, Asia and the Middle East. The division also catered to leading and popular chocolate & cocoa

product firms, various flavour & fragrance houses, and many other global taste & nutrition solutions companies.

Health & Wellness Segment (1% Revenue): CFS would continue to actively promote its product portfolio to cater to the growing

population’s aspires to live a healthy lifestyle. The company has already approved the strategic investment in AlgalR NutraPharms

(AlgalR) by way of acquisition. AlgalR uses exclusive fermentation-based technology for manufacturing Omega-3 acids from algal.

sources. Compared to fish oil, it has the advantage of being sustainable, clean as well as vegetarian.

Exhibit 1: Segment-wise Contribution

Particulars

Shelf Life Solutions Performance Chemicals

Aromas Chemicals

Health & Wellness Segment

Total Anti-Oxidants Blends

FY21 Revenue (Rs in Cr) 296 332 202 344 12 1187

% to top-line 25% 28% 29% 17% 1% 100%

FY20 Revenue (Rs in Cr) 238 314 247 202 49 1049

% to top-line 23% 30% 24% 19% 5% 100%

Growth (% YoY) 25% 6% 39% 17% (76%) 13%

Source: Company, Axis Research

3

CFS has a diversified and strong geographical presence in the domestic as well as export market. The export/domestic markets

grew by 26%/18% YoY to Rs 1,109 Cr/Rs161 Cr respectively. For FY21, Export/Domestic revenue contribution stood at 87%/13%

respectively.

CFS India: CFS India caters to the Shelf Life Solution segment. Constraints for new trials and introductions at the customer’s end

during the pandemic time adversely affected the demand for packaged food products such as cakes, sweets and ice-creams.

However, the bread and biscuits units were fully operational which helped recover losses from the other segments. With lockdown

relaxations in the last two quarters across the nation, businesses have started to gradually gain traction. There is a positive trend

with natural extracts for a premium range of products; the Company’s NaSure range fulfils the shelf life challenges.

CFS Mexico: CFS Mexico also caters to the Shelf Life Solutions segment. Even though the Mexican food market did not see much

decline, the Mexican pet food companies offering premium and super-premium range suffered an ebb to nearly 28% as some of

the pet food companies withdrew few additives in order to make formulations that were simpler and affordable. The interlinked

rendering industry too saw a slight slowdown on production which led to low usage of additives

CFS Europe: CFS Europe provided some support to the Performance Chemicals segment through higher hydroquinone sales in

the European market during the year. The Shelf Life Solutions business in CFS Europe SpA saw stability compared to FY20. In

the EU, several projects are running with the core focus on antioxidant range, animal nutrition, rendering, and aqua-feed segments.

CFS Brazil: The Latin American market was severely affected due to the pandemic which reduced antioxidant consumption and

thereby affected the Shelf Life Solutions segment. The region had large wins including bids from edible oil and fat manufacturers,

and other food and animal nutrition companies from different parts of the continent during the year. The company is focusing on

strengthening the portfolio and aggressively expanding its distributorship to bolstering its presence in the market. The COVID-19

outbreak and consequent supply chains disruptions restrained the Brazilian pet food market in 2020, resulting in a consumption

decline. Currently, CFS caters to the Brazilian pet food market with a lean portfolio of protection solutions as the pet food

manufacturers take sufficient time to validate and accept new products as part of their formulation or allow access into their

manufacturing plant. The company has been able to consistently undertake contacts with the industry which has led to important

projects with pet food brands in 2020. In a breakthrough, CFS received global approvals from a leading pet food company which

has opened the doors for further expansion in the market.

CFS Wanglong: CFS produces vanillin at its plant in Yuyao City, Zhejiang Province, China. It is a joint venture between CFS and

Wanglong Technology where Wanglong holds 49% stake and CFS controls the remaining 51% stake. Pursuant to a penalty of ~Rs

180 Cr levied by the Supreme Court of China for alleged infringement of intellectual property used in the process for manufacturing

Vanillin, the company undertook an extended maintenance shut‐down as an abundant caution. While the partner is filing a re-trial

application and is confident of the positive outcome, the plant is likely to be shut down till the final verdict.

CFS North America: The Shelf Life Solutions Business in CFS North America was adversely impacted due to the pandemic and

thus could not accomplish several key growth projects in FY21. The fresh meat and poultry sector were ripe for the opportunity with

its distinct label-friendly product offering natural extracts. However, the meat industry collapsed on account of the COVID-19

outbreak which forced several plants to shut down, resulting in a sharp contraction of the meat supply for an extended period.

Furthermore, the food industry quickly shifted to retail production of food items from food service earlier which negatively impacted

sales of the company’s additives.

Exhibit 2: Segment-wise Contribution

Source: Company, Axis Securities

41%

18%

22%

4% 12%

3%

FY20

India Mexico Europe Brazil Wanglong North America

39%

18%

24%

5% 12%

2%

FY21

India Mexico Europe Brazil Wanglong North America

4

Key operational activities during the year

Capex plans

During FY21, the consolidated Capex was Rs 204 which primarily included capitalization on account of Dahej Diphenol Plant of Rs

183 Cr.

The Dahej Diphenol Capex was a greenfield expansion to add a capacity of 10,000 MTPA for manufacturing diphenols such as

Hydroquinone and Catechol which are major raw materials and the downstream products.

Additionally, a Capex of Rs 185 Cr was undertaken to set up an additional multi-purpose plant with a capacity of 6,000 MTPA to

manufacture Guaiacol (raw material for Vanillin), Vanillin, Ethyl Vanillin, Methyl Vanillin and its derivatives to ramp up the revenues

of the aromas segment, making the facility entirely integrated. In FY21, the capital work in progress included Rs 124 Cr for the

Vanillin plant. Capex is expected to commercialize in Q1FY23.

The company’s FY22 Capex plans of ~Rs 75 Cr are targeted to all projects for downstream products.

Strategic Capital Re-Allocation

During FY21, Infinity Holdings decided to invest Rs 170 Cr which is to be utilized as growth capital for future expansion and

enhancement of the company’s operations.

The investment was through allotment of 35,500,000 warrants, wherein each warrant is convertible into one equity share of the

face value of Rs 1/- each.

Key competitive strengths

Strategically Integrated Player: The company is a backward integrated player through its facility in Italy and recently commissioned

Dahej facility that manufactures di-phenols. CFS is thus the 2nd largest and lowest-cost producer of Hydroquinone and Catechol and is

the 3rd largest producer of Vanillin in the world. CFS gains a significant cost advantage over peers as it can strategically procure raw

materials from the Dahej plant at competitive rates and thereby produce more downstream products cost-effectively. The integration will

also help the company in gaining further control over the price and availability of the raw materials and gradually reduce dependence on

the Italian plant.

Worldwide Presence: CFS has a global presence through its subsidiaries across various geographies, enabling its to acquire a diverse

set of customers and deliver value-added and customized services, products and technological upgrade. In a business like blends,

customization plays an important role due to clients’ varying requirements, thereby having a worldwide presence enables CFS to serve

its existing clients well while onboarding more clients under its fold by leveraging its expertise. The taste and fragrance preferences differ

in different geographies and having a widespread presence coupled with a deep market-specific knowledge help CFS in providing value-

added solutions based on unique regional requirements.

Improving Financial Strength: The company’s Net Debt/EBITDA ratio improved to 2.0 in FY21 from 3.5 in FY20 led by strong bottom-

line performance as well as debt repayment. Furthermore, its ROE/ROCE rose to 9.2%/11.3% in FY21 from 6.4%/10.2% in FY20, implying

the company’s consistently improving financial strength.

Healthy Margin Profile: The EBITDA Margin expanded by 287bps on a YoY basis to 15.3% in FY21 post commercialization of the Dahej

facility. The company’s efforts in process reengineering, process and yield improvements, technological up-gradation, and other cost-

saving measures resulted in cost optimization which further pushed up the EBITDA Margins.

Key Growth Drivers

Blends segment expected to deliver high Growth: The Blends segment, though impacted due to COVID-19 disruptions, is expected

to report healthy growth of over 20% moving forward. The blends business uniquely involves customization based on clients’ requirements

which require physical presence to the client office or plant, which places the company in a sweet spot due to its global presence. With

the blends business picking up across geographies in America (North and South), South East Asian countries, the management aims to

grow the segment at a 25%+ in FY23 with the targeted market share of 30%.

Entering the Omega 3 Fermentation Business: CFS acquired AlagalR NutraPharms – an India-based manufacturer of nutritional lipids

or omega-3 fatty acids through the fermentation process, which significantly reduces the burden on marine life. This business is expected

to be a long-term driver for the company considering market size and a limited number of players that procure Omega 3 from algae.

Lockheed Martin Project: CFS also has a strategic tie-up with Lockheed Martin – a US-based company that is working on innovative

technologies to unlock the full potential of green energy of flow batteries to store renewable energy. CFS would be supplying the key raw

material for this project and an association with Lockheed Martin would aid CFS in developing sustainable products that will benefit the

environment at large.

Introducing value-added downstream products: The successful commercialization of the Diphenol plant at Dahej is expected to be

the stepping stone for the second phase of the company’s growth as it will aid in widening the downstream product portfolio. The company

aims to use Hydroquinone (HQ) for captive consumption and production of margin-accretive downstream products instead of selling it in

the open market.

5

Key R&D Highlights

In FY21, the company’s R&D Centre focused on numerous products and process improvements for all its business verticals with a

pipeline of developments leaning towards Performance Chemicals and Shelf Life Solutions.

CFS India developed a green and commercially viable product with one of its antioxidants for industrial production and has also

begun work on newer antioxidant developments both synthetic and plant-based. In addition, the development of products for the

bakery and snack food industries are at commercial phases and have been focused on developing products for the animal nutrition

industry to promote the growth and health of birds (poultry).

To expand its current offering to the biodiesel industry, the R&D team at CFS Brazil is working jointly with a technological firm in

Argentina for commercializing few innovative products.

Exhibit 3: R&D Expenditure

Particulars FY20 FY21

R&D Expenditure (Rs. Cr) 4.18 4.68

R&D Expenditure as a % to top-line 0.72% 0.78%

Source: Company, Axis Research

Key strategies moving forward

Commercialization of the Vanillin Plant: The company decided to set up an additional multi-purpose plant with a capacity of 6,000

MTPA for Rs 185 Cr to manufacture Guaiacol (raw material for Vanillin), Vanillin, Ethyl Vanillin, Methyl Vanillin, and its derivatives

to ramp up the revenues of the Aromas segment. This will make the facility entirely integrated which is expected to commercialize

by Q1FY23 and is expected to add incremental revenues of Rs 400-500 Cr.

Ramp up of Dahej Facility: The recently commercialized Dahej Facility had a capacity utilization of 63% by FY21 end and CFS

has plans of ramping up the capacity utilization to 90% by Q2FY22. The Dahej Facility would not only provide additional raw material

security but also reduce the turnaround time to produce the downstream products. This will facilitate the company in churning higher

volumes at lower costs, thereby improving the top line and margins.

Focus on expansion: With additional availability of Hydroquinone and Catechol post-Dahej Facility commercialization, the CFS has

been focusing on adding newer and high-margin downstream products in the Performance Chemicals and Shelf Life Solutions

segments. The blends segment, which had a subdued performance in FY21, is expected to rebound to its 20%+ growth with the

economy opening up. Additionally, entry into the fermentation business through the acquisition of AlgaIR NutraPharms and

advancement in the Lockheed Martin deal has set CFS up for the second phase of growth.

6

Sustainability: ESG score

CFS has carefully adopted operations, raw materials sourcing, product portfolio expansion and practices that are friendly from an

environmental and social perspective. The company is also proactively working towards sourcing clean energy from wind energy farms with

a capacity of 1.25 MW. This renewable energy could replace up to 20% of the existing grid power supply. CFS has initiated various ESG

initiatives with an objective to:

Safeguard employee well being by enabling work-from-home amidst the pandemic

Focus on ‘sustainable solutions’ for food wastage

Undertake energy conservation measures

Augment environment-friendly technologies

Pursue strategic collaboration for renewable energy sources

Enhance the well-being of the community

Risks & Mitigation

The company maintains a strategic approach to risk management and approaches it cautiously to reap its rewards and accelerate growth.

Currency Fluctuation: The company’s operations expose it to foreign currency risk, affecting its financial position and cash flows.

The company mitigates this risk through an effective forex management policy. Furthermore, the company being the net exporter

on the currency front judicially uses a natural hedge provided by exports against imports.

Margin Sustainability: The inflationary pressure on the raw materials can affect the margins, thereby affecting the company’s

profitability. The company regularly and closely monitors manufacturing costs to ensure operating margins are maintained. It

undertakes process reengineering, process improvements, yield improvements, technological up-gradation and other cost-saving

measures to optimize overall manufacturing costs.

Government Policies: Lack of clarity on future Government policies continues to be an area of major concern for the industry. The

exact impact of this cannot be assessed until the proposed changes are introduced and implemented.

COVID-19 Pandemic: Any disruption in the economic activities on account of the COVID-19 resurgence may impact raw material

manufacturers, customers, or operational sites partially or fully. Due to the nature of the pandemic, it is uncertain to predict the

impact of COVID-19 in the near future.

7

Financial Statement Analysis

Profitability Analysis

Particulars (Rs cr)

FY20 FY21 Change Comments/Analysis

Sales 1,049 1,187 13% Revenue grew on account of strong growth in the Antioxidants and Performance Chemicals Business.

Raw Materials 534 585 9% Raw material cost grew in line with the top-line growth.

Gross Profits 515 604 17% Gross Profit grew on account of the commercialization of the Dahej Facility and better product mix.

Operating Expenses

417 466 12% Operating expenses grew due to a 35% increase in depreciation as the fixed assets increased.

Interest 43 38 -13% Interest cost was lower due to foreign exchange gain in FY21 vs. a foreign exchange loss in FY20.

EBIT 98 138 41% EBIT rose on account of improvement in gross profit, improved product mix, and cost rationalization measures.

PAT 30 65 119% PAT was higher due to strong operating performance and a 45% increase in Other Income.

EPS 2.5 5.3 115%

Source: Company; Axis Securities

Growth Indicators

Particulars FY20 FY21 Change Comments/Analysis

Revenue 1,049 1,187 13% Revenue grew on account of the addition of more downstream products.

EBITDA 131 182 39% EBITDA rose owing to improvement in the Gross Margins and optimal product mix.

PAT 29.8 65.4 119% PAT was higher due to strong operational performance and a 45% increase in Other Income.

EPS 2.5 5.3 115%

Source: Company; Axis Securities

Profitability Margins

Particulars FY20 FY21 Change Comments/Analysis

GPM 49.1% 50.8% 172 bps GPM rose after the commercialization of the Dahej Facility which resulted in savings in the raw material cost.

EBITDAM 12.5% 15.3% 286 bps EBITDA Margins improved due to superior product mix, cost rationalization measures, and excellent Gross Margin performance.

PATM 2.8% 6.7% 266 bps PAT Margin was higher on account of robust operating performance.

Source: Company; Axis Securities

8

Exhibit 4: Revenue and Revenue Growth Trend

Source: Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 5: Blended EBITDA and EBITDA Margin Trend

Source: Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 6: Net Profit & Net Profit Margin Trend

Source: Company, Axis Securities

547 723 892 1049 1187

8

32

23

18

13

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

%

Rs. in

Cr

Revenue YoY Growth

28 13 69 131 182

5

2

8

12

15

0

5

10

15

20

0

50

100

150

200

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

%

Rs. in

Cr

EBITDA EBITDA Margin

-4 -243

30

65

-1

-3

0

3

6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

%

Rs. in

Cr

Net Profit Net Profit Margin

9

Financial Ratios

Particulars FY20 FY21 Change Comments/Analysis

ROE 6.4% 9.2% 279 bps ROE rose on account of strong PAT performance.

ROCE 10.2% 11.3% 112 bps ROCE rose due to robust operational performance.

Asset Turn 3.6x 2.5x -1.1x Asset turn was lower on account of a higher asset base.

Net Debt/Equity 1.0x 0.6x -0.4x Net Debt/Equity improved as the equity base increased.

EV/EBITDA 19.5x 14.1x -5.4x EV/EBITDA was lower as EBITDA grew by 39% on a YoY basis

Source: Company; Axis Securities

Exhibit 7: EV/EBITDA, ROE & ROCE Trend

Source: Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 8: Book Value

Source: Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 9: EPS

Source: Company, Axis Securities

57.9

215.2

42.820.0 14.4

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

%x

EV/EBITDA ROE ROCE

230

433 430 460

713

0

200

400

600

800

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

Rs. in

Cr

-0.4

-2.0

0.3

2.5

5.3

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

10

Key Balance Sheet Takeaways

Working Capital Management

During the year, the working capital intensity increased as the cash conversion cycle increased to 72 days in FY21 from 66 days in

FY20. This was on account of declining trade payable days.

Cash Conversion Cycle

Particulars FY20 FY21 Change Comments/Analysis

Inventory Days 102 95 6 Inventory days decreased on account of better inventory management.

Trade Receivables 80 80 - Receivable days stayed flattish.

Trade Payables 116 104 -12 Trade payable days decreased as the terms with suppliers were impacted due to COVID-19.

Cash Conversion Cycle 66 72 5 Overall CCC increased by 5 days due to decrease in trade payable days.

Source: Company; Axis Securities

Exhibit 10: Cash Conversion Cycle

Source: Company, Axis Securities

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

No. of D

ays

Debtors Days Payable Days Inventory Days Net Working Capital Days

11

Key Balance Sheet Takeaways (Cont…)

Debt Levels: The company’s debt remained flat at Rs 490 Cr while net Debt/EBITDA improved to 2.03x in FY21from 3.53x in FY20.

Gross Block: Gross Block rose by 103% from Rs 310Cr in FY20 to Rs 630Cr in FY21 on account of the capitalization of the Dahej

Diphenol facility.

Capex plans: A Capex of Rs 185 Cr was undertaken to set up an additional multi-purpose plant having a capacity of 6,000 MTPA

to manufacture Guaiacol (raw material for Vanillin), Vanillin, Ethyl Vanillin, Methyl Vanillin, and its derivatives to grow the Aromas

segment’s revenues as well as to make the facility completely integrated. The said plant is expected to be commercialized in Q1FY23.

The company also has Capex plans for FY22 including all projects for downstream products in the range of Rs 75 Cr.

Cash and liquidity position: The company’s liquidity position rose from Rs 65 Cr in FY20 to Rs 137 Cr in FY21 on account of

deposits made with a maturity of fewer than 3 months and 12 months.

Exhibit 11: Cash & Cash Equivalent

Source: Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 12: Gross & Net Block

Source: Company, Axis Securities

31

48

103

65

138

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

Rs. in

Cr

162

261 277310

630

152207 205 203

482

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

Rs. in

Cr

Gross Block Net Block

12

Key Cash Flow Takeaways

Particulars (Rs. Cr) FY20 FY21 Change Comments/Analysis

PBT 58 105 81% PBT was higher on account of strong top-line and operational performance.

Non-cash expenses

Depreciation 34 44 30% Depreciation increased due to the addition in PPE.

Finance Cost 43 38 -13% Interest cost was lower due to foreign exchange gain in FY21 vs. a foreign exchange loss in FY20.

Working Capital Adjustments -41 -66 62% Increased due to a rise in other financial liabilities.

CFO 86 117 36% Higher YoY owing to healthy PBT growth.

CFI 90 133 47% Higher YoY owing to the maturity of fixed deposits.

CFF 3.3 38.6 1089% Higher due to cash inflow from the Infinity Holdings deal.

Capex 134 84 37% Lower YoY owing to the impact of Covid-19

Free Cash Flow Generation -4.1 33.5 -- Higher YoY owing to higher CFO in FY21.

Exhibit 13: CFO, Capex, FCF Trend

Source: Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 14: CFO, EBITDA & Conversion Ratio trend

Source: Company, Axis Securities

-9 -15 -9

86117

31 19

69

134

84

-92

-164

-11 -4

34

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

Rs. in

Cr

CFO Capex FCF

-9 -15 -9

86

117

2813

69

131

182

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21

%

Rs. in

Cr

CFO EBITDA Conversion Ratio

13

Forex Analysis

~87% of the company’s revenue come from international markets across all the business verticals. With the addition of global

customers across all lines of business, the company’s international business continues to grow YoY.

The company underpins its global presence by working closely with its foreign subsidiaries – CFS Mexico, CFS North America,

CFS China, CFS Europe, CFS Brazil.

Particulars FY20 FY21 Change Comments/Analysis*

Total foreign exchange outgo 294.0 321.4 9% NA

Total foreign exchange earned 409.5 422.2 3% NA

Source: Company; Axis Securities

Contingent Liability Analysis

Particulars (Rs. crores) FY20 FY21 Change Comments/Analysis

Income Tax 0.6 0.6 -- Claims for Excise Duties, Taxes and Other Matters.

Excise Duty/VAT/CST 3.6 3.6 -- Claims for Excise Duties, Taxes and Other Matters.

Bank Guarantees issued to VAT, Excise and Custom Authorities

4.1 2.6 57% Claims for Excise Duties, Taxes and Other Matters.

Penalty levied by the National Green Tribunal (NGT)

-- 5.2 --

For alleged violation of environmental norms by the Company at its factory located at Tarapur MIDC. As per the directions of the Supreme Court dated December 14, 2020, the Holding Company has deposited 30% of the penalty amounting to Rs 154.97 lakh. The order of penalty has been stayed by the Supreme Court and has directed to hear the case afresh by giving opportunity to the concerned parties.

Commitments 2.3 49.1 1987% Value of contracts remaining to be executed on capital account not provided for

Source: Company; Axis Securities,

Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR):

Sr. No. Project Sector State & District Amount outlay

(Rs in Cr)

Amount spent through an

agency

1

Development support to

people belonging to tribal

backward class

Upliftment Tribal

Backward Class

Nashik,

Maharashtra 0.2

Vanvasi Kalyan Ashram, a

public trust formed in 1952.

14

Financials

Profit & Loss (Rs Cr)

Y/E March FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Total Net Sales 1,187 1,512 1,797 2,018

% Change 13.1% 27.3% 18.9% 12.2%

Total Raw material Consumption 583 748 883 985

Staff costs 120 147 180 208

Other Expenditure 301 370 431 478

Total Expenditure 1,005 1,265 1,494 1,671

EBITDA 182 246 304 347

% Change 39.2% 35.4% 23.3% 14.2%

EBITDA Margin % 15.3% 16.3% 16.9% 17.2%

Depreciation 44 66 74 81

EBIT 138 180 230 266

% Change 40.6% 30.9% 27.4% 16.1%

EBIT Margin % 11.6% 11.9% 12.8% 13.2%

Interest 38 42 43 45

Other Income 5 6 7 8

PBT 105 144 194 229

Tax 40 43 52 62

Tax Rate % 37.8% 30.0% 27.0% 27.0%

APAT 65 101 141 167

% Change 119.1% 54.1% 40.3% 18.3%

Source: Company, Axis Securities

Balance Sheet (Rs Cr)

Y/E March FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Share Capital 13 13 13 13

Reserves & Surplus 631 697 838 1,006

Net Worth 713 780 921 1,088

Total Loan funds 490 529 539 504

Deferred Tax Liability 6 6 6 6

Long Term Provisions 3 5 6 7

Other Long Term Liability 8 8 8 8

Capital Employed 1,221 1,329 1,481 1,614

Net Block 607 627 681 714

Investments 27 31 35 39

Sundry Debtors 271 311 369 387

Cash & Bank Bal 138 135 142 202

Loans & Advances 11 11 11 11

Inventory 320 390 447 500

Other Current Assets 55 76 90 101

Total Current Assets 795 922 1,060 1,200

Current Liabilities & Provisions 261 305 347 391

Net Current Assets 534 617 712 809

Capital Deployed 1,221 1,329 1,481 1,614

Source: Company, Axis Securities

15

Cash Flow (Rs Cr)

Y/E March FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

PBT 105 144 194 229

Depreciation & Amortization 44 66 74 81

Chg in Working cap -66 -87 -88 -67

Direct tax paid -36 -43 -52 -62

Cash flow from operations 117 117 163 219

Chg in Gross Block -84 -165 -128 -114

Purchase of Non-Current Assets 0.1 -4.7 -4.1 -3.2

Chg in Investments -50 0 0 0

Cash flow from investing -133 -164 -124 -109

Proceeds / (Repayment) of Short Term Borrowings (Net) -61 101 6 -21

Loans 84 -62 4 -14

Finance Cost paid -48 -42 -43 -45

Dividends paid -5 0 0 0

Cash flow from financing 39 44 -32 -80

Chg in cash 23 -3 7 30

Cash at start 52 76 72 79

Cash at end 76 72 79 109

Source: Company, Axis Securities

16

Ratio Analysis (%)

Y/E March FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Growth (%)

Net Sales 13.1% 27.3% 18.9% 12.2%

EBITDA 39.2% 35.4% 23.3% 14.2%

APAT 119.1% 54.1% 40.3% 18.3%

Per Share Data (Rs.)

Adj. EPS 5.3 7.9 11.1 13.1

BVPS 57.8 61.1 72.2 85.3

Profitability (%)

EBITDA Margin 15.3% 16.3% 16.9% 17.2%

Adj. PAT Margin 5.5% 6.7% 7.9% 8.3%

ROCE 12.3% 14.7% 16.8% 18.1%

ROE 9.2% 12.9% 15.3% 15.4%

Valuations (x)

PER 33.8 22.7 16.1 13.6

P/BV 3.1 2.9 2.5 2.1

EV / EBITDA 14.4 11.1 9.0 7.7

EV / Net Sales 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.3

Turnover Days

Asset Turnover (x) 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.4

Inventory days 95 94 91 90

Debtors days 81 75 75 70

Creditors days 104 100 95 95

Working Capital days 72 69 71 65

Gearing Ratio

Total Debt to Equity (x) 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4

Source: Company, Axis Securities

17

Camlin Fine Sciences Price Chart and Recommendation History

Date Reco TP Research 19-Feb-21 BUY 155 Initiating Coverage

03-May-21 BUY 184 Top Picks

17-May-21 BUY 184 Event Update

01-Jun-21 BUY 215 Top Picks

01-Jun-21 BUY 215 Result Update

01-Jul-21 BUY 215 Top Picks

02-Aug-21 BUY 215 Top Picks

13-Aug-21 BUY 215 Result Update

20-Sep-21 BUY 215 AAA

Source: Axis Securities

(Rs)

18

About the analyst

Analyst: Darshita Shah

Contact Details: [email protected]

Sector: Specialty Chemicals, Mid-Caps

Analyst Bio: Darshita Shah is CFA Level III candidate and has over a year experience in Equity

Market and Research.

About the analyst

Analyst: Suvarna Joshi

Contact Details: [email protected]

Sector: FMCG, Consumption sector, Mid-Caps, Agrochemical

Analyst Bio: Suvarna Joshi is MBA (Finance) from Mumbai University with about 10 years of

experience in Equity market and research

Disclosures:

The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).

1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in

the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products.

ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company and one of India’s largest private sector bank and has its various

subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking, Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect

of which are available on www.axisbank.com.

2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities and with the

Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a corporate agent for insurance business

activity.

3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report.

4. I/We, Darshita Shah, MBA-Finance and Suvarna Joshi MBA-Finance , author/s and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the

views expressed in this research report Apcotex urately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We (Research Analyst) also certify

that no part of my/our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or

my/our relative or ASL does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have

beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report.

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companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its associate does not have any material

conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12-month period.Any holding in stock – No

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Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the subject company of this research

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19

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DEFINITION OF RATINGS

Ratings Expected absolute returns over 12-18 months

BUY More than 10%

HOLD Between 10% and -10%

SELL Less than -10%

NOT RATED We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning valuation and recommendation

UNDER REVIEW We will revisit our recommendation, valuation and estimates on the stock following recent events

NO STANCE We do not have any forward looking estimates, valuation or recommendation for the stock