Appendix B - Los Gatos

192
North 40 Specific Plan DRAFT Last Modified: July 2, 2014 Appendix A Market Study and Business Opportunities Assessment Appendix B Tree List Appendix C Young Adult, Senior, and Empty Nester Design Summary Appendix D Los Gatos Sustainability Plan Appendix E Discretionary Approval Table

Transcript of Appendix B - Los Gatos

North 40 Specific Plan DRAFT Last Modified: July 2, 2014

Appendix A Market Study and Business Opportunities Assessment

Appendix B Tree List

Appendix C Young Adult, Senior, and Empty Nester Design Summary

Appendix D Los Gatos Sustainability Plan

Appendix E Discretionary Approval Table

This Page Intentionally Left Blank

draft | May 2014

North 40 Specific Plan DRAFT Last Modified: July 2, 2014

Appendix A - Market Study and Business Opportunities Assessment

This Page Intentionally Left Blank

appendixA

draft | May 2014

1

M

arke

t Stu

dy &

Bus

ines

s O

ppor

tuni

ties

Ass

essm

ent

To

wn

of L

os G

atos

Sub

mitt

ed b

y B

AE

Urb

an E

cono

mic

s A

ugus

t 12,

201

1

bae

urba

n ec

onom

ics

Aug

ust 1

2, 2

011

Ms.

Jess

ica

von

Bor

ck

Econ

omic

Vita

lity

Man

ager

To

wn

of L

os G

atos

P.

O. B

ox 9

49

Los G

atos

, CA

950

31

Dea

r Ms.

Von

Bor

ck:

On

beha

lf of

BA

E U

rban

Eco

nom

ics,

Inc.

, we

are

plea

sed

to su

bmit

the

encl

osed

Nor

th 4

0 M

arke

t St

udy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

for t

he T

own

of L

os G

atos

pur

suan

t to

Purc

hase

Ord

er

Con

tract

#20

1103

17.

W

e ha

ve e

njoy

ed w

orki

ng w

ith y

ou a

nd y

our s

taff

col

leag

ues a

s wel

l as t

he N

orth

40

Adv

isor

y C

omm

ittee

, Pla

nnin

g C

omm

issi

on, a

nd T

own

Cou

ncil

on th

is e

xciti

ng o

ppor

tuni

ty to

enh

ance

the

Tow

n’s e

cono

mic

vita

lity

thro

ugh

the

deve

lopm

ent o

f the

Nor

th 4

0 Sp

ecifi

c Pl

an a

rea.

Si

ncer

ely,

Dav

id L

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hive

r R

aym

ond

Ken

nedy

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inci

pal

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e Pr

esid

ent

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Fran

cisc

o Sa

cram

ento

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s An

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ashi

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ork

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eryv

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avis

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ashi

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ble

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nte

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ecut

ive

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mar

y ...

......

......

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Site

Des

crip

tion

and

Loca

tion .

......

......

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.. 1 

Dem

ogra

phic

and

Eco

nom

ic O

verv

iew

.....

......

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. 1 

Ret

ail M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent ..

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. 2 

Off

ice

Mar

ket A

sses

smen

t ....

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fere

nce/

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ting

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e M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent .

......

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.... 8 

Stra

tegi

es fo

r Nor

th 4

0 D

evel

opm

ent ..

......

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Site

Des

crip

tion

......

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Site

Loc

atio

n ....

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......

......

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ogra

phic

Ove

rvie

w ..

......

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Def

initi

on o

f Ret

ail T

rade

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a vs

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ket A

rea .

......

......

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. 19 

Popu

latio

n an

d H

ouse

hold

Tre

nds .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

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24 

Hou

seho

ld C

hara

cter

istic

s ....

......

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6 Em

ploy

men

t Tre

nds .

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......

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Ret

ail M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent:

Exis

ting

Ret

ail R

eal E

stat

e C

ondi

tions

......

......

......

......

. 33 

Ret

ail R

eal E

stat

e M

arke

t Con

ditio

ns ..

......

......

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......

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......

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......

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.....

33 

Ove

rvie

w o

f Los

Gat

os a

nd R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

Ret

ail N

odes

.....

......

......

......

......

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.. 34

 

Ret

ail M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent:

Sale

s an

d Le

akag

e A

naly

sis .

......

......

......

......

......

......

..... 4

Estim

ated

Ret

ail S

ales

in L

os G

atos

and

the

RTA

by

Maj

or R

etai

l Cat

egor

y ....

......

......

......

.. 45

 R

etai

l Sal

es b

y M

ajor

Ret

ail C

ateg

ory

in L

os G

atos

, San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty,

and

Cal

iforn

ia ..

.. 49

 Lo

s Gat

os T

axab

le R

etai

l Sal

es b

y D

istri

ct ...

......

......

......

......

......

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......

......

......

......

......

......

.. 54

 Le

akag

e an

d In

ject

ion

Ana

lysi

s for

Los

Gat

os a

nd th

e R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

(RTA

) .....

......

......

. 59 

Ret

ail M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent:

Sum

mar

y ...

......

......

......

......

......

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......

......

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......

......

.... 7

Exis

ting

Con

ditio

ns ...

......

......

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akag

e an

d In

ject

ion

Ana

lysi

s ....

......

......

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74 

Pote

ntia

l for

New

Ret

ail D

evel

opm

ent i

n Lo

s Gat

os ...

......

......

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......

......

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75 

Offi

ce M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent .

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77 

Off

ice

Inve

ntor

y ....

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77 

Off

ice

Mar

ket T

rend

s ....

......

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7 O

ffic

e Em

ploy

men

t Tre

nds .

......

......

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......

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.... 8

0 O

ffic

e D

eman

d A

naly

sis .

......

......

......

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......

......

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.. 82

 

Hot

el M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent ..

......

......

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. 89 

Exis

ting

Supp

ly ...

......

......

......

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......

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.. 89

 Pl

anne

d an

d Pr

opos

ed C

ompe

titio

n ...

......

......

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......

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......

......

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......

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......

. 91 

Perf

orm

ance

Tre

nds .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

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......

......

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Mee

ting

Spac

e M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent .

......

......

......

......

......

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... 97

 

Hot

el M

eetin

g Sp

ace .

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.. 97

 D

ay-U

se M

eetin

g Fa

cilit

ies .

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2 D

eman

d fr

om M

ajor

Em

ploy

ers .

......

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......

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......

107

 

Opp

ortu

nitie

s &

Str

ateg

ies

for D

evel

opm

ent .

......

......

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09 

Ove

rvie

w ...

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09 

Ret

ail D

evel

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ent O

ppor

tuni

ties .

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10 

Ret

ail D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gies

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.... 1

14 

Off

ice

Dev

elop

men

t Opp

ortu

nitie

s ....

......

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116 

Hot

el D

evel

opm

ent O

ppor

tuni

ties .

......

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... 1

18 

Con

fere

nce

and

Mee

ting

Spac

e D

evel

opm

ent O

ppor

tuni

ties .

......

......

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.... 1

19 

Prio

ritiz

ing

Opp

ortu

nitie

s ....

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App

endi

ces .

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..... 1

25 

Ex

ec

uti

ve

Su

mm

ary

Site

Des

crip

tion

and

Loca

tion

The

Nor

th 4

0 si

te is

a h

ighl

y st

rate

gic

loca

tion

in th

e W

est V

alle

y fo

r new

com

mer

cial

de

velo

pmen

t:

− Th

e N

orth

40

site

is lo

cate

d at

the

inte

rsec

tion

of H

ighw

ays 8

5 an

d 17

, mak

ing

it a

high

ly v

isib

le a

nd d

esira

ble

loca

tion

for a

var

iety

of u

ses,

parti

cula

rly fo

r ret

ail,

hote

l, an

d m

eetin

g/co

nfer

ence

faci

litie

s.

− Th

e N

orth

40’

s loc

atio

n at

the

cros

sroa

ds o

f the

Wes

t Val

ley’

s fre

eway

syst

em m

akes

it

easi

ly a

cces

sibl

e to

man

y of

the

regi

on’s

maj

or h

ubs o

f act

ivity

, inc

ludi

ng m

ajor

em

ploy

ers s

uch

as A

pple

Com

pute

r, N

etfli

x, a

nd c

ultu

ral a

ttrac

tions

in d

ownt

own

San

Jose

. D

emog

raph

ic a

nd E

cono

mic

Ove

rvie

w

Whi

le L

os G

atos

itse

lf is

a sm

all c

omm

unity

, the

Tow

n an

d th

e Re

tail

Trad

e Ar

ea (R

TA) t

hat i

t is

situ

ated

in h

ave

a si

gnifi

cant

con

cent

ratio

n of

hig

h-in

com

e ho

useh

olds

and

hig

h ra

tes o

f ho

meo

wne

rshi

p th

at re

taile

rs a

nd h

otel

ope

rato

rs w

ill li

kely

find

attr

activ

e –d

espi

te m

odes

t fut

ure

popu

latio

n an

d ho

useh

old

grow

th:

The

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os h

ad a

pop

ulat

ion

of 2

9,41

3 in

201

0 an

d ex

perie

nced

lim

ited

popu

latio

n or

hou

seho

ld g

row

th in

the

last

dec

ade.

− Lo

s Gat

os is

cha

ract

eriz

ed b

y re

lativ

ely

smal

l hou

seho

lds,

a hi

gh ra

te o

f hom

e ow

ners

hip,

and

hig

h in

com

es.

The

med

ian

hous

ehol

d si

ze fo

r Los

Gat

os w

as 2

.35

pers

ons p

er h

ouse

hold

in 2

010

com

pare

d to

the

Bay

Are

a av

erag

e ho

useh

old

size

of

2.69

. Th

e To

wn’

s med

ian

annu

al h

ouse

hold

inco

me

is o

ver $

115,

000,

sign

ifica

ntly

hi

gher

than

the

$79,

000

figur

e fo

r the

Bay

Are

a. A

ppro

xim

atel

y 63

per

cent

of

occu

pied

hou

sing

uni

ts a

re o

wne

r-oc

cupi

ed, i

n co

ntra

st to

just

ove

r 56

perc

ent f

or th

e B

ay A

rea.

− W

hile

not

at t

he le

vels

of t

he T

own,

the

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a (R

TA) w

ith a

201

0 po

pula

tion

of 6

06,0

00 a

lso

has h

igh

inco

mes

and

hig

h ra

tes o

f hom

e ow

ners

hip.

The

m

edia

n ho

useh

old

inco

me

was

just

ove

r $94

,000

in 2

010.

The

RTA

’s h

omeo

wne

rshi

p ra

te w

as 6

1 pe

rcen

t of o

ccup

ied

hous

ing

units

. Th

e R

TA re

pres

ents

pop

ulat

ion

and

buyi

ng p

ower

with

in a

10

min

ute

driv

e of

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te.

Bot

h Lo

s Gat

os a

nd th

e R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

will

exp

erie

nce

mod

est p

opul

atio

n gr

owth

fr

om 2

010

to 2

020.

Bas

ed o

n th

e To

wn’

s rec

ently

ado

pted

Gen

eral

Pla

n, th

e To

wn

is

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

of 1

50

slat

ed to

add

app

roxi

mat

ely

3,20

0 re

side

nts o

ver t

he d

ecad

e, b

ased

in p

art o

n th

e po

tent

ial f

or n

ew h

ousi

ng a

t the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te.

Futu

re re

side

ntia

l dev

elop

men

t op

portu

nitie

s in

the

Tow

n an

d th

e R

TA w

ill la

rgel

y be

infil

l on

site

s suc

h as

the

Nor

th 4

0.

D

espi

te a

com

mut

e pa

ttern

of m

ore

resi

dent

s com

mut

ing

out o

f the

RTA

than

oth

ers c

omm

utin

g in

, th

ere

are

near

ly 1

00,0

00 w

orke

rs c

omm

utin

g in

to th

e RT

A ev

ery

day

who

mos

t lik

ely

patr

oniz

e lo

cal r

etai

lers

and

serv

ice

prov

ider

s. T

he N

orth

40

site

ben

efits

from

the

prox

imity

of m

ajor

em

ploy

ers i

n th

e ad

jace

nt G

ood

Sam

arita

n H

ospi

tal a

nd o

ther

med

ical

faci

litie

s –th

ese

empl

oyee

s m

ay b

e ta

rget

mar

ket f

or n

ew re

tail:

− Lo

s Gat

os a

nd th

e R

TA fu

nctio

n as

a b

edro

om re

side

ntia

l com

mun

ity in

Sili

con

Val

ley

with

mor

e re

side

nts c

omm

utin

g ou

t eve

ry d

ay fo

r wor

k (1

86,9

00) t

han

com

mut

e in

(9

8,30

0).

− G

ood

Sam

arita

n ho

spita

l is t

wo

min

ute

driv

e fr

om th

e N

orth

40

site

, em

ploy

s 1,8

00

peop

le a

nd g

ener

ates

88,

000

patie

nt d

ays a

nnua

lly.

Col

umbi

a H

ealth

Car

e/M

issi

on O

aks H

ospi

tal i

s a th

ree

min

ute

driv

e fr

om th

e N

orth

40

and

em

ploy

s 2,0

00 p

eopl

e.

Ret

ail M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent

Los G

atos

has

a v

ery

stro

ng re

tail

sect

or w

ith a

div

erse

mix

of r

etai

lers

:

− R

etai

l sal

es fo

r the

Tow

n fo

r 200

8 ar

e es

timat

ed a

t app

roxi

mat

ely

$838

mill

ion.

Th

e th

ree

larg

est c

ateg

orie

s by

sale

s vol

ume

are

mot

or v

ehic

le a

nd p

arts

dea

lers

at

30 p

erce

nt, f

ood

and

beve

rage

stor

es a

t 23

perc

ent,

and

food

serv

ices

and

drin

king

pl

aces

at 1

5 pe

rcen

t. T

he p

ropo

rtion

of t

he T

own’

s tot

al re

tail

sale

s in

mot

or

vehi

cle

and

food

stor

e sa

les a

re v

ery

high

, alth

ough

mot

or v

ehic

le sa

les h

ave

decl

ined

sinc

e 20

08.

− O

n a

per c

apita

bas

is, r

etai

l sal

es in

Los

Gat

os a

re q

uite

hig

h, a

t $28

,653

ann

ually

co

mpa

red

to le

ss th

an $

14,0

00 a

nnua

lly fo

r the

RTA

; the

onl

y se

ctor

s lag

ging

the

RTA

in p

er c

apita

sale

s are

the

build

ing

mat

eria

ls g

roup

and

gen

eral

mer

chan

dise

st

ores

.

The

Tow

n is

unu

sual

in th

at it

als

o at

tract

s sho

pper

s for

eve

ryda

y ite

ms s

uch

as

groc

erie

s, du

e in

par

t to

the

loca

tion

of su

perm

arke

ts a

nd d

rugs

tore

s nea

r the

edg

es

of T

own

and

in p

art d

ue to

the

lack

of s

hopp

ing

in M

onte

Ser

eno,

Sar

atog

a an

d ot

her n

earb

y un

inco

rpor

ated

are

as.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

2 o

f 150

Long

-term

dec

lines

in re

tail

sale

s in

Los G

atos

ove

r the

last

dec

ade

have

bee

n re

late

d la

rgel

y to

the

decl

ine

in th

e au

tom

otiv

e se

ctor

. In

201

0, ta

xabl

e m

otor

ve

hicl

e sa

les i

n th

e To

wn

wer

e on

ly 2

1 pe

rcen

t of 2

000

leve

ls a

fter a

djus

ting

for

infla

tion.

− W

ith it

s hig

h pe

r cap

ita sa

les l

evel

s, Lo

s Gat

os sh

ows i

njec

tions

of s

ales

in m

ost

maj

or re

tail

cate

gorie

s, in

dica

ting

attra

ctio

n of

shop

pers

from

out

side

the

Tow

n.

The

Tow

n is

unu

sual

in th

at it

als

o at

tract

s sho

pper

s for

eve

ryda

y ite

ms s

uch

as

groc

erie

s, du

e in

par

t to

the

loca

tion

of su

perm

arke

ts a

nd d

rugs

tore

s nea

r the

edg

es

of T

own

and

in p

art d

ue to

the

lack

of r

etai

l in

Mon

te S

eren

o, S

arat

oga

and

othe

r ne

arby

uni

ncor

pora

ted

area

s.

Inje

ctio

ns a

re a

lso

high

for m

otor

veh

icle

and

par

ts d

eale

rs a

nd fo

od se

rvic

es

(whi

ch in

clud

es re

stau

rant

s).

Two

cate

gorie

s, bu

ildin

g m

ater

ials

and

gen

eral

m

erch

andi

se st

ores

, sta

nd o

ut fo

r the

ir su

bsta

ntia

l lea

kage

s.

The

Tow

n’s p

rimar

y re

tail

area

s are

the

Dow

ntow

n, L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd a

nd th

e fo

ur n

eigh

borh

ood

cent

ers.

The

se a

reas

com

bine

d m

ake

up 5

9 pe

rcen

t of a

ll Lo

s G

atos

reta

il ou

tlets

but

gen

erat

e 88

per

cent

of t

he T

own’

s tax

able

reta

il sa

les.

Lo

s Gat

os’ D

ownt

own,

whi

le im

pact

ed b

y re

gion

al a

nd n

atio

nal e

cono

mic

tren

ds, h

as re

mai

ned

a st

rong

regi

onal

reta

il de

stin

atio

n, a

ttrac

ting

shop

pers

from

out

side

the

Tow

n.

Dow

ntow

n is

seen

as a

reta

il de

stin

atio

n, d

raw

ing

shop

pers

from

Los

Gat

os a

s wel

l as

oth

er n

earb

y co

mm

uniti

es.

Dow

ntow

n is

als

o a

tour

ist d

estin

atio

n, w

ith o

ut-o

f-to

wne

rs c

omin

g to

exp

erie

nce

the

smal

l tow

n an

d pe

dest

rian-

frie

ndly

am

bien

ce.

In

2010

, Dow

ntow

n Lo

s Gat

os g

ener

ated

app

roxi

mat

ely

$209

mill

ion

in ta

xabl

e re

tail

sale

s, or

ove

r 50

perc

ent o

f the

Tow

n’s t

otal

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les,

conf

irmin

g its

si

gnifi

canc

e as

a sh

oppi

ng d

estin

atio

n an

d as

a ta

x ge

nera

tor f

or th

e To

wn.

− O

n an

infla

tion-

adju

sted

bas

is, t

his s

ales

leve

l has

dec

lined

from

taxa

ble

sale

s of

$225

mill

ion

in 2

008,

but

has

rebo

unde

d fr

om $

198

mill

ion

in 2

009.

Thi

s rec

ent

uptic

k is

due

in p

art t

o in

crea

sing

sale

s at t

he A

pple

Sto

re.

− Th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e ar

ea a

ccou

nts f

or n

early

thre

e-qu

arte

rs o

f all

busi

ness

es in

the

Dow

ntow

n. T

he la

rges

t con

cent

ratio

ns a

re in

app

arel

, eat

ing

and

drin

king

, and

ot

her r

etai

l, w

hich

incl

udes

var

ious

type

s of s

peci

alty

reta

il ou

tlets

such

as s

porti

ng

good

s, to

y, a

nd b

ooks

/sta

tione

ry st

ores

. Th

e C

ore

is c

hara

cter

ized

by

smal

ler f

loor

pl

ates

, and

bec

ause

of t

he fo

rmul

a re

tail

ordi

nanc

e as

wel

l as t

he li

mite

d nu

mbe

r of

larg

er st

ore

spac

es a

vaila

ble,

the

Cor

e co

ntai

ns fe

w c

hain

reta

ilers

.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 3

of 1

50

Form

ula

reta

il, w

hile

rest

ricte

d in

the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore,

nev

erth

eles

s acc

ount

s for

a

sign

ifica

nt p

ropo

rtion

of t

axab

le re

tail

sale

s. In

201

0, st

ores

des

igna

ted

as fo

rmul

a re

tail

in th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e pr

ovid

ed o

ver 3

0 pe

rcen

t of t

axab

le re

tail

sale

s in

the

area

, whi

le m

akin

g up

onl

y 11

per

cent

of t

he re

tail

outle

ts (e

xclu

ding

food

-rel

ated

re

tail

and

serv

ice

stat

ions

). E

xclu

ding

thes

e sa

me

outle

ts, (

not s

ubje

ct to

the

form

ula

reta

il or

dina

nce)

, for

mul

a re

taile

rs a

ccou

nt fo

r ove

r hal

f of t

he ta

xabl

e re

tail

sale

s in

the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore.

Lo

s Gat

os B

oule

vard

is a

mix

of c

omm

unity

shop

ping

cen

ters

anc

hore

d by

supe

rmar

kets

, aut

o de

aler

s and

rela

ted

busi

ness

es, a

nd fr

ee-s

tand

ing

reta

il ou

tlets

.

The

four

larg

er sh

oppi

ng c

ente

rs a

re a

ll an

chor

ed b

y su

perm

arke

ts, i

n a

clus

ter t

hat

serv

es L

os G

atos

and

nea

rby

area

s of C

ampb

ell a

nd S

an Jo

se.

The

high

pro

porti

on

of su

perm

arke

ts in

dica

tes t

he a

rea

is a

shop

ping

des

tinat

ion

for f

ood

item

s.

− Lo

s Gat

os B

oule

vard

had

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les o

f app

roxi

mat

ely

$152

mill

ion

in

2010

, a st

eep

decl

ine

from

ear

lier y

ears

resu

lting

larg

ely

from

dec

reas

ing

sale

s in

the

auto

mot

ive

sect

or.

Th

e ne

ighb

orho

od c

ente

rs a

re la

rgel

y oc

cupi

ed b

y lo

cal-s

ervi

ng re

taile

rs p

rovi

ding

eve

ryda

y co

nven

ienc

e go

ods a

nd se

rvic

es.

Los G

atos

has

four

maj

or n

eigh

borh

ood

cent

ers:

Rin

cona

da C

ente

r, D

owni

ng

Cen

ter,

Wal

gree

ns S

quar

e, a

nd V

ason

a St

atio

n.

Thes

e ne

ighb

orho

od c

ente

rs a

re a

ll lo

cate

d at

or n

ear t

he T

own

boun

darie

s, th

us

attra

ctin

g sh

oppe

rs fr

om o

utsi

de th

e To

wn

sinc

e th

ey re

pres

ent t

he c

lose

st g

roce

ry

or d

rug

stor

e sh

oppi

ng.

Thes

e ce

nter

s com

bine

d ac

coun

ted

for a

muc

h sm

alle

r pr

opor

tion

of re

tail

sale

s tha

n D

ownt

own

or L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd.

Th

e Re

tail

Trad

e Ar

ea c

onta

ins a

larg

e m

ix a

nd v

arie

ty o

f reg

iona

l ret

ail s

hopp

ing

dest

inat

ions

w

hich

will

be

com

petit

ive

with

any

regi

on-s

ervi

ng re

tail

at th

e N

orth

40.

− Th

e R

TA’s

reta

il sa

les f

or 2

008

are

estim

ated

at a

ppro

xim

atel

y $8

.4 b

illio

n, a

bout

10

tim

es th

e sa

les i

n Lo

s Gat

os a

lone

. Th

e R

TA’s

leve

ls o

f per

cap

ita re

tail

sale

s ar

e on

ly a

bout

hal

f the

leve

ls fo

r the

Tow

n.

Leve

ls o

f lea

kage

s and

inje

ctio

ns a

ppea

r to

be m

uch

low

er o

n a

per c

apita

bas

is,

indi

catin

g a

rela

tive

bala

nce

betw

een

reta

il sa

les a

nd re

side

nt e

xpen

ditu

res i

n m

ost

cate

gorie

s.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

4 o

f 150

The

Tow

n m

ay b

e ab

le to

enh

ance

its r

etai

l bas

e in

a ra

nge

of re

tail

type

s.

Alo

ng w

ith g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se st

ores

and

hom

e im

prov

emen

t cen

ters

, spe

cific

st

ore

type

s tha

t app

ear t

o be

lack

ing

in sa

les i

n th

e To

wn

incl

ude

appl

ianc

e st

ores

, an

d sp

ecia

lty fo

od st

ores

such

as m

eat m

arke

ts, f

ish

and

seaf

ood

mar

kets

, and

pr

oduc

e m

arke

ts.

The

sale

s inj

ectio

ns fo

r clo

thin

g an

d cl

othi

ng a

cces

sorie

s sto

res

refle

cts a

n ov

eral

l stre

ngth

, but

the

appa

rel s

tore

s in

the

Tow

n te

nd to

be

high

-end

st

ores

, not

nec

essa

rily

carr

ying

the

type

s of i

nexp

ensi

ve e

very

day

appa

rel m

ore

com

mon

ly fo

und

in m

any

gene

ral m

erch

andi

se st

ores

.

Giv

en th

e To

wn’

s alre

ady-

stro

ng a

ttrac

tion

as a

food

shop

ping

des

tinat

ion

and

dem

ogra

phic

pro

file,

the

lack

of s

peci

alty

food

stor

es m

ay a

lso

repr

esen

t an

oppo

rtuni

ty to

bro

aden

the

food

reta

iling

mix

and

enh

ance

the

Tow

n’s s

trong

po

sitio

n fo

r thi

s ret

ail c

ateg

ory.

− To

som

e ex

tent

, the

leak

age

of re

tail

sale

s in

certa

in c

ateg

orie

s dom

inat

ed b

y la

rge-

form

at st

ores

of 3

0,00

0 sq

uare

feet

or m

ore

refle

cts t

he T

own’

s des

ire to

reta

in a

sm

all-t

own

feel

, with

smal

ler s

hops

and

in th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e, li

mite

d fo

rmul

a re

tail.

As a

resu

lt, th

ere

are

few

reta

il sp

aces

in L

os G

atos

of a

ppro

xim

atel

y 10

,000

squa

re fe

et o

r mor

e th

at a

re a

vaila

ble

to a

ccom

mod

ate

larg

er u

sers

such

as

appl

ianc

e st

ores

, hom

e im

prov

emen

t sto

res,

or g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se st

ores

. W

hile

th

e To

wn

will

und

oubt

edly

seek

to re

tain

its c

hara

cter

, app

ropr

iate

ly d

esig

ned

deve

lopm

ent a

t the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te m

ay p

rese

nt a

n op

portu

nity

to p

rovi

de re

tail

spac

e fo

r lar

ger u

sers

that

mig

ht c

ompl

emen

t the

exi

stin

g re

tail

mix

in L

os G

atos

an

d pr

ovid

e go

ods a

nd se

rvic

es th

at re

side

nts c

urre

ntly

seek

els

ewhe

re.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 5

of 1

50

Offi

ce M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent

Whi

le th

e Lo

s Gat

os o

ffice

mar

ket c

ompr

ises

a sm

all p

erce

ntag

e of

the

regi

onal

offi

ce m

arke

t it h

as

perf

orm

ed b

ette

r offi

ce sp

ace

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a an

d So

uth

Bay,

− Lo

s Gat

os c

urre

ntly

has

an

offic

e in

vent

ory

estim

ated

by

Cor

nish

and

Car

ey

Com

mer

cial

New

mar

k K

nigh

t Fra

nk to

be

appr

oxim

atel

y 1.

4 m

illio

n sq

uare

feet

, re

pres

entin

g ap

prox

imat

ely

2.2

of to

tal i

nven

tory

in th

e So

uth

Bay

.

− H

isto

rical

ly th

e Lo

s Gat

os o

ffic

e m

arke

t has

gen

eral

ly o

utpe

rfor

med

its M

arke

t Are

a an

d So

uth

Bay

ben

chm

arks

with

hig

her o

ccup

ancy

rate

s and

rent

s. T

he c

urre

nt

aver

age

full-

serv

ice

aski

ng re

nt in

Los

Gat

os is

$2.

58 p

er sq

uare

foot

com

pare

d to

$2

.39

for s

pace

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a an

d $2

.48

in th

e So

uth

Bay

as a

who

le.

Los G

atos

ha

s an

offic

e va

canc

y ra

te o

f 8.8

per

cent

com

pare

d to

9.3

per

cent

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a an

d 16

.6 p

erce

nt in

the

Sout

h B

ay.

The

Tow

n’s h

ighe

r lea

se ra

tes a

nd lo

wer

vac

ancy

ra

te in

dica

te th

at is

an

attra

ctiv

e an

d de

sira

ble

offic

e lo

catio

n.

Dur

ing

the

Gre

at R

eces

sion

Los

Gat

os re

nts w

ere

com

pres

sed

to n

ear t

he m

arke

t av

erag

e an

d ha

ve re

boun

ded

slig

htly

dur

ing

the

curr

ent r

ecov

ery.

Whi

le d

eman

d el

sew

here

in th

e So

uth

Bay

has

sign

ifica

ntly

stre

ngth

ened

, off

ice

dem

and

has n

ot fu

lly

reco

vere

d in

Los

Gat

os.

Dem

and

tend

s to

be d

riven

by

smal

ler u

sers

and

end

use

rs th

at

requ

ire la

rger

floo

r pla

tes s

uch

as N

etfli

x.

The

Nor

th 4

0 w

ould

be

an a

ttrac

tive

site

for o

ffice

and

em

ploy

men

t pro

ject

ions

supp

ort

cons

truc

tion

of o

ffice

spac

e, ta

king

into

acc

ount

exi

stin

g va

cant

spac

e an

d pl

anne

d an

d pr

opos

ed

proj

ects

.

− B

ased

upo

n em

ploy

men

t pro

ject

ions

pre

pare

d by

the

Ass

ocia

tion

of B

ay A

rea

Gov

ernm

ents

(AB

AG

), B

AE

estim

ates

that

the

Mar

ket A

rea

can

supp

ort a

n ad

ditio

nal

698,

000

to 9

57,0

00 fe

et o

f new

off

ice

spac

e be

twee

n 20

10 a

nd 2

030

afte

r acc

ount

ing

for p

lann

ed a

nd p

ropo

sed

proj

ects

, inc

ludi

ng th

e pr

opos

ed 5

50,0

00 sq

uare

foot

off

ice

use

at th

e A

lbrig

ht si

te in

Los

Gat

os.

− W

ith it

s stro

ng lo

catio

n, th

e N

orth

40

site

cou

ld c

aptu

re b

etw

een

70,0

00 a

nd 1

91,0

00

squa

re fe

et o

f thi

s tot

al n

et d

eman

d, a

pply

ing

a 10

and

20

perc

ent c

aptu

re ra

te.

Pote

ntia

l off

ice

prod

uct t

ypes

cou

ld in

clud

e la

rger

Cla

ss A

spac

e fo

r lar

ger u

sers

or a

n en

d us

er (1

00,0

00+

squa

re fe

et) o

r med

ical

off

ices

. A

noth

er p

oten

tial t

arge

t mar

ket

coul

d be

mul

titen

ant C

lass

B o

r A sp

ace

for s

tart-

ups,

smal

l ven

ture

s, an

d m

edic

al

offic

e th

at w

ould

find

the

who

le p

acka

ge o

f Nor

th 4

0 am

eniti

es h

ighl

y at

tract

ive

(e.g

., re

tail

and

hote

l/mee

ting

spac

e).

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

6 o

f 150

Hot

el M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent

Los G

atos

has

two

exis

ting

high

-end

full

serv

ice

hote

l pro

pert

ies.

The

per

form

ance

of h

otel

s with

in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

has f

ollo

wed

the

busi

ness

cyc

le b

ut h

as o

ut-p

erfo

rmed

its S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y be

nchm

ark.

− Th

e M

arke

t Are

a fo

r hot

els h

as a

n in

vent

ory

of a

lmos

t 2,0

00 ro

oms,

repr

esen

ting

7.6

perc

ent o

f the

tota

l roo

ms i

n Sa

nta

Cla

ra C

ount

y. O

ver 7

9 pe

rcen

t of t

hese

room

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

are

in p

rope

rties

con

side

red

as “

upsc

ale”

or b

ette

r by

Smith

Tra

vel

Res

earc

h (S

TR).

Los G

atos

is h

ome

to tw

o hi

gh-e

nd fu

ll se

rvic

e ho

tels

with

186

room

s, or

9%

of h

igh-

end

hote

l roo

ms i

n th

e M

arke

t Are

a.

Thro

ugho

ut th

e cu

rren

t bus

ines

s cyc

le, h

otel

pro

perti

es in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

have

co

nsis

tent

ly o

ut-p

erfo

rmed

thos

e in

oth

er p

arts

of S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y w

ith re

spec

t to

occu

panc

y le

vels

and

room

reve

nues

. O

ccup

ancy

in M

arke

t Are

a pr

oper

ties p

eake

d at

75

per

cent

in 2

007,

fell

to a

low

of 6

5 pe

rcen

t, an

d re

cove

red

to 7

2 pe

rcen

t as o

f the

en

d of

201

0. I

n co

ntra

st, p

rope

rties

in S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y ro

se to

a h

igh

of 7

0 pe

rcen

t in

200

7, d

ropp

ed to

a lo

w o

f 58

perc

ent i

n 20

09, a

nd ro

se b

ack

to 6

8 pe

rcen

t in

2010

.

Rev

enue

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

have

not

reco

vere

d as

stro

ngly

as o

ccup

ancy

: the

ave

rage

da

ily ra

te p

eake

d at

$14

8 in

200

8 an

d no

w st

ands

at $

127.

Rev

enue

per

ava

ilabl

e ro

om

also

follo

ws a

sim

ilar t

rend

. H

ighe

r occ

upan

cies

hav

e be

en a

chie

ved

by m

aint

aini

ng

com

petit

ive

room

rate

s. W

hile

a sm

all p

art o

f the

Mar

ket A

rea

and

Sant

a C

lara

hos

pita

lity

mar

ket,

Los G

atos

has

bee

n an

at

trac

tive

dest

inat

ion.

− In

terv

iew

s with

key

com

mun

ity a

nd b

usin

ess i

nfor

man

ts in

dica

te th

at L

os G

atos

’ ex

istin

g lo

dgin

g fa

cilit

ies a

nd o

vera

ll co

mm

unity

am

eniti

es c

ompl

emen

t the

mai

n de

man

d dr

iver

s for

ove

rnig

ht ro

om st

ays i

n Lo

s Gat

os, w

hich

incl

ude:

• B

usin

ess t

rave

l gen

erat

ed n

ot o

nly

by fi

rms l

ocat

ed in

Los

Gat

os, b

ut a

lso

thos

e lo

cate

d in

dow

ntow

n Sa

n Jo

se a

nd o

ther

are

as o

f cen

tral S

ilico

n V

alle

y; g

ener

al m

anag

ers o

f loc

al h

otel

s hav

e fo

und

cons

ider

able

succ

ess

mar

ketin

g to

hig

h-le

vel b

usin

ess t

rave

lers

, par

ticul

arly

thos

e w

ho tr

avel

w

ith th

eir s

pous

es;

• Le

isur

e tra

vel r

elat

ed to

shop

ping

and

din

ing

in d

ownt

own

Los G

atos

, as

wel

l as a

rea

win

erie

s; a

nd

• W

eddi

ngs a

nd o

ther

soci

al e

vent

s.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 7

of 1

50

New

hot

el c

onst

ruct

ion

is p

lann

ed in

Cup

ertin

o.

Two

plan

ned

and

prop

osed

hot

el p

roje

cts w

ould

add

as m

any

as 3

70 ro

oms t

o th

e M

arke

t Are

a w

ith a

t lea

st 1

23 ro

oms d

eem

ed u

psca

le o

r bet

ter.

The

se tw

o pr

ojec

ts a

re

loca

ted

at th

e no

rther

n en

d of

the

Mar

ket A

rea

in C

uper

tino.

Th

ere

are

oppo

rtun

ities

for n

ew h

otel

dev

elop

men

t at t

he N

orth

40

site

.

− Th

ere

is a

not

ewor

thy

lack

of n

atio

nal a

nd g

loba

l lux

ury

hote

l bra

nded

pro

perti

es in

Si

licon

Val

ley.

The

loca

tion

and

setti

ng o

f the

Nor

th 4

0 co

uple

d w

ith L

os G

atos

’ ric

h se

t of a

men

ities

may

be

attra

ctiv

e to

luxu

ry h

otel

iers

look

ing

for a

Sili

con

Val

ley

pres

ence

or t

o bo

utiq

ue o

pera

tors

/dev

elop

ers s

eeki

ng to

exp

and

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a.

One

dis

adva

ntag

e to

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te fo

r glo

bal l

uxur

y br

ands

is it

s loc

atio

n ou

tsid

e a

maj

or b

usin

ess c

lust

er.

Con

fere

nce/

Mee

ting

Spac

e M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent

Ther

e is

a g

ener

al la

ck o

f mee

ting

and

conf

eren

ce sp

ace

that

can

acc

omm

odat

e m

ore

than

250

per

sons

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a.

Inte

rvie

ws w

ith k

ey in

form

ants

indi

cate

that

ther

e w

ould

be

loca

l sup

port

for n

ew,

stat

e-of

-the-

art m

eetin

g fa

cilit

ies w

ith a

cap

acity

of 2

50 to

500

per

sons

.

Stra

tegi

es fo

r Nor

th 4

0 D

evel

opm

ent

Dev

elop

ing

Use

s C

ompl

emen

tary

to D

ownt

own

Los

Gat

os

The

Gen

eral

Pla

n EI

R g

uida

nce

stat

es th

at n

ew d

evel

opm

ent a

t the

Nor

th 4

0 sh

ould

“co

mpl

emen

t an

d no

t com

pete

with

Los

Gat

os’ d

ownt

own

and

the

rest

of t

he c

omm

unity

.” B

AE

has f

orm

ulat

ed

seve

ral s

trate

gies

to h

onor

this

goa

l of c

ompl

emen

tary

reta

il de

velo

pmen

t: R

etai

l Stra

tegy

1: E

stab

lish

a cl

ear d

iffer

ence

in th

e sh

oppi

ng e

xper

ienc

e be

twee

n th

e D

ownt

own

and

Nor

th 4

0. T

he T

own’

s For

mul

a R

etai

l Ord

inan

ce h

elps

mai

ntai

n th

e do

wnt

own’

s sm

all-t

own

feel

and

a la

rge

pres

ence

of i

ndep

ende

nt re

taile

rs w

ith u

niqu

e pr

oduc

ts a

nd se

rvic

es a

nd

limits

the

num

ber o

f for

mul

a re

taile

rs su

ch a

s the

pre

sent

mix

of S

ur L

a Ta

ble,

App

le S

tore

, B

anan

a R

epub

lic, R

esto

ratio

n H

ardw

are,

and

the

Gap

am

ong

othe

rs.

The

Nor

th 4

0 ex

perie

nce

shou

ld b

e di

ffer

entia

ted

by a

focu

s on

form

ula

reta

il w

ith le

ss e

mph

asis

on

inde

pend

ent r

etai

lers

. A

ddin

g fo

rmul

a re

tail

to th

e To

wn-

wid

e in

vent

ory

of re

tail

prop

ertie

s wou

ld h

elp

Los G

atos

ca

ptur

e sa

les (

and

gene

rate

add

ition

al sa

les t

ax re

venu

e) fr

om T

own

resi

dent

s who

cur

rent

ly tr

avel

ou

tsid

e th

e to

wn

to sh

op a

t for

mul

a re

tail

outle

ts a

s wel

l as f

rom

shop

pers

who

wou

ld c

ome

from

ou

tsid

e Lo

s Gat

os.

Ther

e ar

e se

vera

l loc

al e

xam

ples

of d

ownt

owns

and

new

shop

ping

com

plex

es

com

plem

entin

g ea

ch o

ther

with

such

diff

eren

tiate

d sh

oppi

ng e

xper

ienc

es: D

ownt

own

and

Stan

ford

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

8 o

f 150

Shop

ping

Cen

ter i

n Pa

lo A

lto, a

nd E

lmw

ood/

Roc

krid

ge a

nd B

ay S

treet

in th

e in

ner E

ast B

ay

(Ber

kele

y, O

akla

nd, a

nd E

mer

yvill

e).

Ret

ail S

trat

egy

1.1:

For

mul

ate

a co

ordi

nate

d m

arke

t cam

paig

n fo

r bo

th th

e D

ownt

own

and

Nor

th 4

0 re

tail

deve

lopm

ent.

A c

oope

rativ

e m

arke

ting

effo

rt be

twee

n th

e To

wn

of L

os G

atos

, loc

al D

ownt

own

mer

chan

ts, a

nd th

e N

orth

40

deve

lope

r can

hel

p br

and

and

posi

tion

each

reta

il di

stric

t app

ropr

iate

ly to

rein

forc

e th

eir r

espe

ctiv

e co

re

stre

ngth

s and

cro

ss-m

arke

t eve

nts a

nd a

nnou

ncem

ents

–al

l to

rein

forc

e Lo

s Gat

os a

s a

shop

ping

des

tinat

ion.

R

etai

l Str

ateg

y 1.

2: C

ontin

ue a

nd E

nhan

ce D

ownt

own

Mer

chan

t Vita

lity

Prog

ram

s.

The

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os p

rese

ntly

ope

rate

s sev

eral

pro

gram

s orie

nted

to b

usin

ess

deve

lopm

ent a

nd m

erch

ant a

ssis

tanc

e. T

hese

pro

gram

whi

ch in

clud

e bu

sine

ss w

orks

hops

in

par

tner

ship

with

the

Cha

mbe

r of C

omm

erce

and

Wes

t Val

ley

Col

lege

, men

torin

g se

rvic

es fo

r sm

all b

usin

esse

s, an

d m

arke

ting

even

ts, s

houl

d be

con

tinue

d an

d en

hanc

ed to

of

fer a

ssis

tanc

e to

mer

chan

ts d

ownt

own

to e

ffec

tivel

y m

arke

t to

new

shop

pers

bro

ught

in

by th

e N

orth

40.

R

etai

l Str

ateg

y 1.

3: R

einf

orce

the

Dow

ntow

n’s R

ole

as C

omm

unity

Hub

and

Soc

ial

Cen

ter.

By

cont

inui

ng to

pro

gram

Far

mer

s Mar

kets

, mus

ic a

nd a

rt fe

stiv

als,

and

spec

ial

even

ts, L

os G

atos

can

mai

ntai

n th

e D

ownt

own

as th

e To

wn’

s com

mun

ity h

ub.

With

its

dive

rse

set o

f bui

ldin

gs a

nd tr

aditi

onal

stre

et la

yout

the

Dow

ntow

n of

fers

an

auth

entic

sm

all d

ownt

own

expe

rienc

e th

at is

har

d fo

r a n

ew d

evel

opm

ent t

hat i

s pla

nned

at o

ne ti

me

to re

prod

uce

and

com

pete

with

. Th

e re

cent

repo

rted

purc

hase

of t

he L

os G

atos

The

ater

by

a lo

cal i

nves

tmen

t gro

up to

kee

p it

as a

smal

l mov

ie th

eate

r will

boo

st th

e To

wn’

s eff

orts

to

mai

ntai

n a

vita

l Dow

ntow

n.

R

etai

l Str

ateg

y 1.

4: B

rand

ing

and

Iden

tify

for

Los

Gat

os S

hopp

ing

Dis

tric

ts.

The

bran

ding

of t

he N

orth

40

for a

ny re

tail

use

shou

ld b

e ap

proa

ched

from

the

idea

that

stro

ng

iden

titie

s for

all

Los G

atos

’ sho

ppin

g di

stric

ts sh

ould

be

rein

forc

ed a

nd b

rand

ed to

off

er

Los G

atos

as a

who

le “

pack

age”

of s

hopp

ing

and

leis

ure

activ

ities

, inc

ludi

ng n

earb

y w

iner

ies.

Bra

ndin

g an

d id

entit

y sh

ould

be

acco

mpl

ishe

d in

par

t by

wel

l des

igne

d an

d co

nsis

tent

ly a

pplie

d w

ayfin

ding

and

sign

age

treat

men

ts th

at c

lear

ly id

entif

y w

here

one

is

with

in th

e To

wn.

For

new

shop

pers

com

ing

into

Los

Gat

os fo

r ret

ail a

t the

Nor

th 4

0, th

e N

orth

40

coul

d se

rve

as a

“ga

tew

ay”

to th

e To

wn

with

info

rmat

ion

kios

ks (b

oth

porta

ble/

seas

onal

and

per

man

ent).

R

etai

l Str

ateg

y 1.

5: Im

prov

e W

ay F

indi

ng a

nd P

ublic

Par

king

Sig

nage

. So

me

key

info

rman

ts re

porte

d th

at a

per

cept

ion

of la

ck o

f par

king

pre

sent

s a b

arrie

r to

loca

l res

iden

ts

patro

nizi

ng D

ownt

own

mer

chan

ts a

nd b

usin

esse

s. M

ost r

esid

ents

vis

it D

ownt

own

by c

ar

and

park

ing

whi

le a

dequ

ate

is so

met

imes

be

diff

icul

t to

find

or is

not

alw

ays i

n th

e m

ost

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 9

of 1

50

conv

enie

nt lo

catio

ns.

Inst

alla

tion

of b

ette

r d

irect

iona

l sig

nage

or e

lect

roni

c si

gns w

ith

avai

labl

e sp

aces

not

ed lo

ts c

ould

hel

p ov

erco

me

this

per

cept

ion.

R

etai

l Str

ateg

y 1.

6: P

rovi

de S

hutt

le o

r “S

hare

d B

ike”

Pro

gram

to L

ink

Nor

th 4

0 an

d D

ownt

own.

By

prov

idin

g a

shut

tle c

onne

ctio

n an

d/or

free

bic

ycle

rent

al, t

he N

orth

40

and

Dow

ntow

n co

uld

be li

nked

to p

rom

ote

easy

mov

emen

t bet

wee

n th

e tw

o di

stric

ts.

Man

y ci

ties i

n bo

th th

e U

nite

d St

ates

and

Eur

ope

(suc

h as

Par

is, P

ortla

nd, a

nd P

ragu

e) p

rovi

de

free

, sha

red-

use

bicy

cles

to e

ncou

rage

sust

aina

ble

and

heal

thy

alte

rnat

ive

trans

porta

tion

over

shor

t dis

tanc

es.

Stat

ions

cou

ld b

e es

tabl

ishe

d at

the

Nor

th 4

0 an

d D

ownt

own.

Stra

tegy

2: P

rom

ote

New

Ret

ail a

t the

Nor

th 4

0 to

Pro

vide

Goo

ds a

nd S

ervi

ces

that

are

Le

akin

g fro

m th

e C

omm

unity

and

Gen

erat

e M

ore

Sal

es T

ax R

even

ue fo

r the

Tow

n. T

o st

reng

then

and

div

ersi

fy it

s sal

es ta

x ba

se, t

he T

own

shou

ld c

onsi

der p

rom

otin

g ne

w fo

rmul

a re

tail

at th

e N

orth

40

site

sinc

e th

e To

wn’

s ow

n ex

perie

nce

with

form

ula

reta

il D

ownt

own

has s

how

n th

at ju

st a

few

form

ula

reta

ilers

can

gen

erat

e a

larg

e am

ount

of s

ales

tax

reve

nue.

The

Nor

th 4

0 co

uld

offe

r a n

ew a

nd fr

esh

shop

ping

exp

erie

nce

in c

ontra

st to

som

e of

the

olde

r fac

ilitie

s out

side

th

e To

wn

in th

e R

TA, t

hus p

oten

tially

attr

actin

g ne

w sh

oppe

rs fr

om o

utsi

de th

e To

wn.

Stra

tegy

2.1

: Avo

id “

Tax

-shi

ftin

g” fr

om R

eloc

atio

n of

For

mul

a R

etai

l Dow

ntow

n to

N

orth

40.

Whi

le so

me

may

dis

favo

r for

mul

a re

tail

Dow

ntow

n, in

ord

er fo

r the

Tow

n to

re

aliz

e a

net f

isca

l gai

n, fo

rmul

a re

taile

rs D

ownt

own

shou

ld b

e en

cour

aged

to re

mai

n D

ownt

own

and

not r

eloc

ate

to th

e N

orth

40.

Thi

s can

be

achi

eved

thro

ugh

non-

com

pete

cl

ause

s in

the

Tow

n’s d

evel

opm

ent a

gree

men

t with

the

Nor

th 4

0 de

velo

per o

r thr

ough

ot

her l

egal

ly a

ppro

pria

te m

echa

nism

s. S

trate

gy 4

: Pro

mot

e N

ew R

etai

lers

that

will

Cap

ture

Exi

stin

g S

ales

Lea

kage

. Lo

s Gat

os

shou

ld c

onsi

der u

sing

the

Nor

th 4

0 de

velo

pmen

t opp

ortu

nity

to e

stab

lish

new

reta

il us

es in

the

gene

ral m

erch

andi

se h

ome

impr

ovem

ent c

ateg

orie

s by

perm

ittin

g la

rger

floo

r pla

te (e

.g.,

over

30

,000

squa

re fo

ot) f

loor

pla

tes.

Ret

ail S

trate

gy 5

: Enc

oura

ge N

ew S

peci

alty

Ret

ail a

t Nor

th 4

0. L

os G

atos

shou

ld w

ork

with

th

e N

orth

40

deve

lope

r to

iden

tify

new

spec

ialty

reta

il us

es th

at w

ill c

ompl

emen

t the

Tow

n’s m

ix

such

as s

peci

alty

food

s (e.

g., “

mar

ket h

all”

), an

app

lianc

e st

ore,

as w

ell a

s for

mul

a re

tail

that

will

br

ing

in sh

oppe

rs fr

om o

utsi

de L

os G

atos

. R

etai

l Stra

tegy

3: E

ncou

rage

Nei

ghbo

rhoo

d an

d C

onve

nien

ce R

etai

l at t

he N

orth

40.

The

To

wn

shou

ld e

ncou

rage

nei

ghbo

rhoo

d an

d co

nven

ienc

e re

tail

at th

e N

orth

40

to su

ppor

t not

onl

y ne

w re

side

nts a

t the

site

but

oth

er n

earb

y re

side

ntia

l and

bus

ines

s nei

ghbo

rhoo

d ac

ross

Los

Gat

os

Bou

leva

rd.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

0 of

150

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

1 of

150

Offi

ce S

trate

gy 1

: Pro

mot

e N

ew O

ffice

Spa

ce to

Exp

and

Tow

n In

vent

ory.

Los

Gat

os sh

ould

en

cour

age

a m

ix o

f new

off

ice

spac

e at

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te g

eare

d to

pro

vidi

ng la

rge-

plac

e C

lass

A

offic

e as

wel

l as n

ew C

lass

A o

r B sp

ace

conf

igur

ed fo

r mul

titen

ants

. O

ffice

Stra

tegy

2: P

ursu

e th

e C

once

pt o

f a “L

os G

atos

Inno

vatio

n C

ente

r.” T

he N

orth

40

repr

esen

ts a

pot

entia

l opp

ortu

nity

to a

ccom

mod

ate

star

t-up

and

new

ven

ture

s and

cre

ate

jobs

by

esta

blis

hing

a fa

cilit

y pr

ovid

ing

shar

e-w

ork

spac

es a

nd so

cial

net

wor

king

/col

labo

ratio

n op

portu

nitie

s. H

otel

Stra

tegy

1:

Dev

elop

Lan

guag

e in

the

Spe

cific

Pla

n th

at w

ill E

ncou

rage

/Per

mit

a N

ew H

igh-

end

Hot

el/L

odgi

ng U

se a

t the

Nor

th 4

0. T

he T

own

shou

ld c

onsi

der a

hot

el u

se fo

r th

e N

orth

40

to e

xpan

d th

e To

wn’

s inv

ento

ry o

f hig

h-en

d ho

tel p

rope

rties

and

com

plet

e an

ove

rall

amen

ity p

acka

ge a

t the

Nor

th 4

0.

Mee

ting

Spa

ce S

trate

gy 1

: In

corp

orat

e M

eetin

g S

pace

into

a H

otel

Dev

elop

men

t. S

ince

a

day

conf

eren

ce c

ente

r typ

ical

ly re

quire

s sub

sidy

, the

Tow

n sh

ould

con

side

r inc

orpo

ratin

g a

conf

eren

ce/m

eetin

g sp

ace

use

into

a n

ew h

otel

pro

perty

. To

mee

t the

larg

e m

eetin

g sp

ace

gap

in

the

Mar

ket A

rea,

Los

Gat

os c

ould

con

side

r req

uirin

g as

has

the

City

of C

uper

tino

a sp

ace

with

a

capa

city

for u

p to

400

to 5

00 a

s a c

ondi

tion

of h

otel

use

. Th

e ho

tel w

ould

hav

e to

be

size

d ov

er

150

to 2

00 ro

oms t

o su

ppor

t suc

h a

mee

ting

spac

e.

Sit

e D

es

cri

pti

on

Th

e N

orth

40

site

is lo

cate

d in

the

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os w

ithin

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty.

The

Nor

th 4

0 ar

ea is

bou

nded

to th

e ea

st b

y Lo

s Gat

os B

oule

vard

, to

the

wes

t by

Hig

hway

17,

to th

e so

uth

by

Lark

Ave

nue,

and

to th

e no

rth b

y H

ighw

ay 8

5, a

nd c

onsi

sts o

f app

roxi

mat

ely

44 a

cres

. Th

e ar

ea is

pr

edom

inan

tly a

gric

ultu

ral i

n us

e, w

ith p

ocke

ts o

f exi

stin

g re

side

ntia

l use

prim

arily

alo

ng B

enne

tt W

ay, a

nd B

urto

n R

oad

and

seve

ral n

onre

side

ntia

l use

s loc

ated

alo

ng L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd.

The

area

con

sist

s of A

PNs 4

24-0

7-00

9, 0

10, 0

24 th

roug

h 02

7, 0

31 th

roug

h 03

7, 0

52 th

roug

h 05

4, 0

60,

063

thro

ugh

065,

070

, 081

thro

ugh

086,

090

, 094

thro

ugh

096,

099

, 100

, and

424

-06-

115,

116

, and

12

9. T

he si

te sl

opes

dow

nwar

d sl

ight

ly to

the

wes

t fro

m L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd.

Fi

gure

1:

Site

Map

Sou

rce:

Goo

gle

Ear

th P

ro

North 40 

Project 

Site

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

3 of

150

Sit

e L

oc

ati

on

Th

e N

orth

40

Spec

ific

Plan

Are

a (th

e “N

orth

40”

) is l

ocat

ed a

t the

inte

rsec

tion

of H

ighw

ay 1

7,

whi

ch c

onne

cts S

anta

Cru

z to

Sili

con

Val

ley,

and

Hig

hway

85,

whi

ch sw

ings

thro

ugh

wes

tern

Sa

nta

Cla

ra C

ount

y fr

om M

offe

tt Fi

eld

in M

ount

ain

Vie

w to

Sou

th S

an Jo

se.

In a

dditi

on, L

os

Gat

os B

oule

vard

, a b

usy

com

mer

cial

thor

ough

fare

, run

s alo

ng th

e ea

ster

n ed

ge o

f the

site

. Th

ese

high

way

s car

ry su

bsta

ntia

l vol

umes

of t

raff

ic, m

akin

g th

e N

orth

40

wel

l pos

ition

ed in

term

s of b

oth

vehi

cula

r acc

ess a

nd v

isib

ility

for a

var

iety

of c

omm

erci

al u

ses.

The

Nor

th 4

0’s l

ocat

ion

at th

e cr

ossr

oads

of t

he W

est V

alle

y’s f

reew

ay sy

stem

mak

es it

eas

y to

re

ach

man

y of

the

regi

on’s

maj

or a

ttrac

tions

. Si

tuat

ed in

Los

Gat

os a

mid

st S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y’s

afflu

ent r

esid

entia

l bel

t, th

e N

orth

40

is p

roxi

mat

e to

bot

h th

e sc

enic

San

ta C

ruz

Mou

ntai

ns a

nd th

e no

des o

f hig

h te

chno

logy

that

def

ine

Silic

on V

alle

y. T

he fo

llow

ing

two

tabl

es (T

able

s 1 a

nd 2

) de

tail

dist

ance

s and

driv

e tim

es b

etw

een

the

Nor

th 4

0 an

d th

e re

gion

’s k

ey a

ttrac

tions

and

maj

or

empl

oyer

s, re

spec

tivel

y. (

Not

e th

at th

e lis

t of m

ajor

em

ploy

ers i

s lim

ited

to th

e M

arke

t Are

a as

de

fined

for t

he o

ffic

e an

d ho

tel m

arke

ts.)

A d

iscu

ssio

n of

the

stra

tegi

c im

porta

nce

of th

ese

near

by

“dem

and

gene

rato

rs”

is p

rovi

ded

in th

e an

alyt

ical

sect

ions

that

follo

w.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

5 of

150

Tabl

e 1:

Dem

and

Gen

erat

ors,

Sel

ecte

d So

uth

Bay

and

San

ta C

ruz

Are

a

Dis

tanc

efr

om S

iteD

rive

Tim

eD

eman

d G

ener

ator

s(m

iles)

(min

utes

) (a)

Not

es (b

)G

ood

Sam

arita

n H

ospi

tal (

San

Jos

e)0.

82

88,0

00 a

nnua

l pat

ient

day

sE

l Cam

ino

Hos

pita

l Los

Gat

os (c

)1.

87

Dow

ntow

n Lo

s G

atos

2.7

8S

anta

Cla

ra V

alle

y M

edic

al C

ente

r (S

an J

ose)

5.4

1012

6,00

0 an

nual

pat

ient

day

sS

anta

na R

ow/V

alle

y Fa

ir (S

an J

ose)

6.4

7O

ver 2

.0 m

illio

n sf

com

bine

d re

tail

Mon

talv

o A

rts C

ente

r (S

arat

oga)

6.5

1420

0,00

0 an

nual

vis

itors

Win

ches

ter M

yste

ry H

ouse

(San

Jos

e)6.

811

San

ta C

lara

Uni

vers

ity8.

512

9,00

0 fu

ll-tim

e st

uden

tsD

ownt

own

San

Jos

e9.

312

Det

ails

bel

owTr

iton

Mus

eum

of A

rt (S

anta

Cla

ra)

9.8

1517

5,00

0 an

nual

vis

itors

Nor

man

Y. M

inet

a S

an J

ose

Int'l

Airp

ort

10.8

178.

2 m

illion

ann

ual p

asse

nger

sS

anta

Cla

ra C

onve

ntio

n C

ente

r10

.819

302,

000

sf m

eetin

g sp

ace

NA

SA

Am

es R

esea

rch

Cen

ter (

Mtn

. Vie

w)

14.4

20C

ompu

ter H

isto

ry M

useu

m (M

tn. V

iew

)14

.919

75,0

00 a

nnua

l vis

itors

CA

's G

reat

Am

eric

a Th

eme

Par

k (S

anta

Cla

ra)

15.5

21S

tanf

ord

Uni

vers

ity21

.929

14,5

00 fu

ll-tim

e st

uden

tsU

C S

anta

Cru

z27

.138

16,7

50 fu

ll-tim

e st

uden

ts

Attr

actio

ns in

Dow

ntow

n Sa

n Jo

se

Chi

ldre

n's

Dis

cove

ry M

useu

m8.

312

300,

000

annu

al v

isito

rsS

an J

ose

Con

vent

ion

Cen

ter

8.9

1227

2,00

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mee

ting

spac

eS

an J

ose

Cen

ter f

or P

erfo

rmin

g A

rts8.

912

HP

Pav

ilion

9.0

1228

0,00

0 sf

mee

ting

spac

e;

seat

s up

to 2

0,00

0B

alle

t San

Jos

e9.

213

64,0

00 a

nnua

l atte

ndee

sTe

ch M

useu

m o

f Inn

ovat

ion

9.3

1344

6,00

0 an

nual

vis

itors

San

Jos

e S

tate

Uni

vers

ity9.

313

24,0

00 fu

ll-tim

e st

uden

tsS

an J

ose

Rep

erto

ry T

heat

er9.

514

100,

000

annu

al a

ttend

ees

San

Jos

e M

useu

m o

f Art

9.6

1489

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ann

ual v

isito

rsO

pera

San

Jos

e (C

alifo

rnia

The

ater

)9.

813

76,0

00 a

nnua

l atte

ndee

s

Not

es:

(a) D

rive

times

cal

cula

ted

from

the

inte

rsec

tion

of L

ark

Ave

. and

Los

Gat

os B

lvd.

usi

ng G

oogl

e M

aps.

(b) A

ll pe

rform

ance

figu

res

are

repo

rted

for 2

009.

(c) F

orm

erly

Com

mun

ity H

ospi

tal o

f Los

Gat

os.

Info

rmat

ion

on th

e nu

mbe

r of p

atie

nt d

ays

is u

nava

ilabl

e be

caus

e pa

tient

day

s at

the

Los

Gat

os c

ampu

s ar

e re

porte

d in

agg

rega

te w

ith th

ose

at th

e M

ount

ain

Vie

w c

ampu

s.S

ourc

es: S

ilicon

Val

ley/

San

Jos

e B

usin

ess

Jour

nal;

City

of S

an J

ose,

201

0; B

AE

, 201

1.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

16

of 1

50

Tabl

e 2:

Maj

or P

ublic

and

Priv

ate

Sect

or E

mpl

oyer

s, M

arke

t Are

a, 2

010

D

ista

nce

Driv

e Ti

me

from

Site

(min

utes

)Pr

ivat

e Se

ctor

Em

ploy

ers

(a)

Indu

stry

Loca

tion

(mile

s) (b

)(b

) (c)

Empl

oyee

s(d

)G

ood

Sam

arita

n H

ospi

tal

Hea

lth c

are

San

Jos

e0.

82

1,85

0C

ourts

ide

Tenn

is C

lub

Hea

lth &

fitn

ess

Los

Gat

os1.

04

200

Col

umbi

a H

ealth

Car

e/M

issi

on O

aks

Hos

pita

lH

ealth

car

eLo

s G

atos

1.2

32,

000

Net

flix

E-c

omm

erce

Los

Gat

os1.

36

900

El C

amin

o H

ospi

tal L

os G

atos

Hea

lth c

are

Los

Gat

os1.

87

700

Bar

racu

da N

etw

orks

Inc.

Tele

com

mun

icat

ions

Cam

pbel

l1.

87

250

Xilin

x In

c.S

emic

ondu

ctor

sS

an J

ose

2.1

71,

320

Ala

in P

inel

Rea

ltors

Hom

e re

alty

Los

Gat

os2.

47

220

Ver

izon

Tele

com

mun

icat

ions

Los

Gat

os2.

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Cup

ertin

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ic S

ecto

r Em

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Los

Gat

os U

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trict

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Gat

os1.

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Gat

os-S

arat

oga

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h S

choo

l Dis

trict

Sch

ool d

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ctLo

s G

atos

2.1

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0S

anta

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ra V

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eS

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Jose

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en C

omm

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Dis

trict

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her e

duca

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San

Jos

e (f)

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tino

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on S

choo

l Dis

trict

Sch

ool d

istri

ctC

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tino

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Foot

hill/

De

Anz

a C

omm

. Col

lege

Dis

trict

Hig

her e

duca

tion

Cup

ertin

o (f)

8.7

131,

241

(f)

Not

es:

(a) L

arge

reta

ilers

wer

e om

itted

from

the

tabl

e as

they

are

unl

ikel

y to

gen

erat

e de

man

d fo

r eith

er c

onfe

renc

e sp

ace

orov

erni

ght r

oom

sta

ys.

(b) D

ista

nces

and

driv

e tim

es a

re re

porte

d fo

r the

hea

dqua

rters

or p

rinci

pal o

ffice

loca

tion

with

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a.(c

) Driv

e tim

es c

alcu

late

d fro

m th

e in

ters

ectio

n of

Lar

k Av

e. a

nd L

os G

atos

Blv

d. u

sing

Goo

gle

Map

s.(d

) Est

imat

es d

raw

n fro

m d

iffer

ent s

ourc

es w

ith d

iffer

ent s

tand

ards

of r

epor

ting.

The

refo

re, w

hile

som

e fig

ures

repr

esen

tfu

ll-tim

e eq

uiva

lent

em

ploy

ees,

oth

ers

repr

esen

t ful

l- an

d pa

rt-tim

e em

ploy

ees.

(e) N

umbe

r of e

mpl

oyee

s re

porte

d fo

r 200

9 be

caus

e 20

10 d

ata

was

not

ava

ilabl

e. H

owev

er, a

s To

wn

of L

os G

atos

reco

rds

show

em

ploy

men

t rem

aini

ng fl

at b

etw

een

2005

and

200

9, th

is a

ssum

ptio

n is

dee

med

fair

and

accu

rate

.(f)

Num

ber o

f em

ploy

ees

are

repo

rted

for a

ll of

Sili

con

Val

ley.

Est

imat

es o

f the

num

ber l

ocat

ed s

olel

y w

ithin

the

Mar

ket A

rea

wer

e no

t ava

ilabl

e.(g

) HP

has

sol

d its

Cup

ertin

o of

fices

to A

pple

and

pla

ns to

con

solid

ate

its w

orkf

orce

in P

alo

Alto

by

Oct

ober

201

2.

Sou

rces

: Sili

con

Val

ley/

San

Jos

e B

usin

ess

Jour

nal;

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os; C

ity o

f Cam

pbel

l; C

ity o

f Cup

ertin

o; C

ity o

f San

Jose

, 201

0; C

ount

y of

San

ta C

lara

; BA

E, 2

011.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

7 of

150

De

mo

gra

ph

ic O

ve

rvie

w

In th

is se

ctio

n B

AE

pres

ents

bac

kgro

und

info

rmat

ion

on c

urre

nt a

nd p

roje

cted

dem

ogra

phic

and

ec

onom

ic c

ondi

tions

in th

e To

wn

of L

os G

atos

and

the

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a. F

or c

ompa

rison

pu

rpos

es, d

ata

from

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

as a

who

le a

nd th

e B

ay A

rea

are

also

pro

vide

d.

Dev

elop

ing

a pr

ofile

of h

ow L

os G

atos

and

surr

ound

ing

com

mun

ities

hav

e ch

ange

d—an

d ar

e ex

pect

ed to

cha

nge—

help

s to

iden

tify

key

fact

ors t

hat w

ill in

fluen

ce fu

ture

mar

ket c

ondi

tions

, an

d to

ass

ess t

he p

oten

tial i

mpa

cts o

f pro

spec

tive

deve

lopm

ent o

n ex

istin

g co

mm

erci

al p

rope

rties

an

d ce

nter

s. Th

is a

naly

sis u

tiliz

es d

ata

publ

ishe

d by

the

U.S

. Cen

sus B

urea

u, th

e C

alifo

rnia

Em

ploy

men

t D

evel

opm

ent D

epar

tmen

t (ED

D),

the

Ass

ocia

tion

of B

ay A

rea

Gov

ernm

ents

(AB

AG

), an

d C

larit

as—

a pr

ivat

e ve

ndor

that

pro

vide

s est

imat

es o

f cur

rent

and

futu

re d

emog

raph

ic c

ondi

tions

. D

efin

ition

of R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

vs. M

arke

t Are

a O

ne g

oal o

f thi

s res

earc

h ef

fort

is to

pro

vide

an

over

view

of t

he m

arke

t dem

and

for s

ever

al

com

mer

cial

real

est

ate

prod

ucts

und

er c

onsi

dera

tion

as u

ses o

f the

Nor

th 4

0 Sp

ecifi

c Pl

an

prop

ertie

s (N

orth

40)

, inc

ludi

ng: r

etai

l, of

fice,

hot

el, a

nd m

eetin

g sp

ace.

In

a d

ense

ly u

rban

ized

are

a su

ch a

s Wes

tern

Sili

con

Val

ley

(Wes

t Val

ley)

, com

mer

cial

act

ivity

ex

tend

s acr

oss p

oliti

cal b

ound

arie

s. R

esid

ents

of L

os G

atos

will

trav

el to

Cam

pbel

l, Sa

n Jo

se,

and

beyo

nd to

wor

k an

d sh

op, a

nd v

ice

vers

a. T

here

fore

, whe

n an

alyz

ing

the

dem

and

for n

ew

com

mer

cial

dev

elop

men

t, it

is c

ritic

al to

iden

tify

the

popu

latio

n th

at c

an re

ason

ably

be

expe

cted

to

use

the

deve

lopm

ent i

n qu

estio

n, ra

ther

than

just

the

popu

latio

n liv

ing

in th

e im

med

iate

vi

cini

ty.

In

this

ana

lysi

s, tw

o su

ch b

road

er g

eogr

aphi

es a

re u

sed:

the

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a (th

e “R

TA”)

and

th

e O

ffic

e/H

otel

/Mee

ting

Spac

e M

arke

t Are

a (th

e “M

arke

t Are

a”).

Whi

le th

ese

two

area

s sha

re

muc

h in

com

mon

, the

y fe

atur

e di

stin

ct b

ound

arie

s tha

t ref

lect

the

fact

that

reta

il ac

tivity

in th

e W

est V

alle

y fo

llow

s a d

iffer

ent g

eogr

aphi

c lo

gic

than

bus

ines

s act

ivity

, whi

ch e

ncom

pass

es

offic

e, h

otel

, and

mee

ting

uses

. Th

e fo

llow

ing

sect

ion

defin

es th

e R

TA a

nd M

arke

t Are

a ac

cord

ing

to th

ese

dist

inct

logi

cs.

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a

For m

ost c

onsu

mer

s, th

e de

cisi

on a

bout

whe

ther

or n

ot to

shop

at a

cer

tain

reta

il ou

tlet i

s de

term

ined

in la

rge

part

by tr

avel

tim

e an

d w

heth

er o

r not

ther

e is

a c

ompa

rabl

e ou

tlet t

hat c

an b

e re

ache

d in

less

tim

e. S

ince

the

pote

ntia

l ret

ail o

utle

ts to

be

loca

ted

on th

e si

te a

re st

ill u

nkno

wn,

B

AE

has c

hose

n a

reta

il tra

de a

rea

that

refle

cts t

hat t

he si

te is

like

ly to

dra

w fr

om b

eyon

d Lo

s G

atos

itse

lf. S

ince

the

larg

er W

est V

alle

y ar

ea c

onta

ins a

n ab

unda

nce

of re

tail

oppo

rtuni

ties,

as a

st

artin

g po

int a

10-

min

ute

driv

e tim

e w

as u

sed

in d

elin

eatin

g th

e re

tail

trade

are

a. H

owev

er, a

s sh

own

in F

igur

e 2,

a g

eogr

aphy

bas

ed o

n dr

ive

time

is h

ighl

y irr

egul

ar, s

kew

ed b

y th

e im

pact

of

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

9 of

150

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

20

of 1

50

free

way

s and

geo

grap

hic

boun

darie

s suc

h as

hill

side

s. B

AE

has t

hus t

rans

late

d dr

ive

time

into

a

corr

espo

ndin

g gr

oup

of Z

ip C

odes

in o

rder

to c

reat

e an

are

a fo

r whi

ch d

emog

raph

ic a

nd m

ore

relia

ble

reta

il sa

les d

ata

can

be d

eriv

ed.

Not

e th

at w

hile

som

e Zi

p C

odes

gro

ssly

exp

and

the

boun

darie

s of t

he R

TA b

eyon

d th

e 10

-min

ute

thre

shol

d, th

ey e

ncom

pass

spar

sely

dev

elop

ed

hills

ides

in th

e Sa

nta

Cru

z M

ount

ains

. W

hile

resi

dent

s of t

hese

are

as m

ay li

ve b

eyon

d a

10-

min

ute

driv

e tim

e, L

os G

atos

and

the

mor

e ur

bani

zed

porti

ons o

f the

RTA

repr

esen

t the

clo

sest

av

aila

ble

shop

ping

opp

ortu

nitie

s. Th

e ul

timat

e re

tail

mix

at t

he N

orth

40

may

attr

act a

dditi

onal

shop

pers

from

out

side

this

def

ined

R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea.

How

ever

, usi

ng th

is a

rea

for t

he a

naly

sis a

ssur

es th

at a

“w

orst

cas

e” sc

enar

io

with

resp

ect t

o po

tent

ial i

mpa

cts o

n ex

istin

g re

tail

node

s in

Los G

atos

.

Figu

re 2

: Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a

S

ourc

e: B

AE

, 201

1.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 2

1 of

150

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

22

of 1

50

Offi

ce/H

otel

/Mee

ting

Spac

e M

arke

t Are

a Th

e M

arke

t Are

a (s

ee F

igur

e 3)

diff

ers s

light

ly fr

om th

e R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

desc

ribed

abo

ve.

Whi

le it

is a

lso

base

d on

a 1

0-m

inut

e dr

ive

time,

the

Mar

ket A

rea

is tr

imm

ed d

own

in o

rder

to

refle

ct th

e re

aliti

es o

f Sili

con

Val

ley’

s com

petit

ive

busi

ness

subm

arke

ts.

Spec

ifica

lly, t

he M

arke

t A

rea

has b

een

desi

gned

to e

xclu

de d

ownt

own

San

Jose

, Sun

nyva

le, a

nd S

anta

Cla

ra.

Dow

ntow

n Sa

n Jo

se is

a d

istin

ct c

omm

erci

al n

ode

that

feat

ures

a d

ense

clu

ster

of c

orpo

rate

of

fices

, maj

or h

otel

and

con

fere

nce

faci

litie

s, an

d la

rge

cultu

ral i

nstit

utio

ns.

If a

bus

ines

s tra

vele

r is

vis

iting

the

Sout

h B

ay in

ord

er to

atte

nd a

mee

ting

or e

vent

dow

ntow

n, th

en it

is li

kely

that

he

/she

will

stay

at o

ne o

f dow

ntow

n’s m

any

hote

ls.

Sim

ilarly

, if a

com

pany

wan

ts to

be

loca

ted

amid

st th

e hi

gh v

olum

e of

bus

ines

s ser

vice

s and

tran

sit o

ptio

ns th

at d

ownt

own

prov

ides

, the

n th

at

com

pany

is u

nlik

ely

to se

ek o

ffic

e sp

ace

else

whe

re.

As s

uch,

dow

ntow

n Sa

n Jo

se sh

ould

be

cons

ider

ed a

dis

tinct

bus

ines

s sub

mar

ket w

ith w

hich

the

Nor

th 4

0 w

ill n

ot c

ompe

te d

irect

ly.

The

Mar

ket A

rea

ther

efor

e ex

clud

es m

ost l

and

east

of H

ighw

ay 8

7.

In a

sim

ilar v

ein,

the

area

surr

ound

ing

San

Jose

Inte

rnat

iona

l Airp

ort a

nd H

ighw

ay 1

01—

incl

udin

g N

orth

San

Jose

, San

ta C

lara

, and

Sun

nyva

le—

feat

ures

uni

que

qual

ities

that

dis

tingu

ish

it fr

om L

os G

atos

and

adj

acen

t are

as.

If a

bus

ines

s tra

vele

r wan

ts to

be

clos

e to

the

airp

ort,

then

th

ere

he/s

he w

ill o

pt to

stay

at o

ne o

f the

man

y ho

tels

nea

rby,

rath

er th

an o

n th

e N

orth

40

site

, w

hich

is a

ppro

xim

atel

y 10

min

utes

aw

ay.

Sim

ilarly

, the

Nor

th 4

0 lie

s too

far f

rom

the

101

Cor

ridor

to a

ttrac

t off

ice

tena

nts f

or w

hom

that

par

ticul

ar m

ilieu

of i

nnov

atio

n pr

ovid

es a

st

rate

gic

posi

tion.

As s

uch,

mos

t lan

d no

rth a

nd w

est o

f I-2

80 a

nd I-

880

has b

een

excl

uded

from

th

e M

arke

t Are

a.1

From

a c

omm

erci

al st

andp

oint

, the

Nor

th 4

0 is

loca

ted

in a

dis

tinct

regi

on o

f Sili

con

Val

ley

that

is

as m

uch

defin

ed b

y its

loca

tion

at th

e fo

ot o

f the

San

ta C

ruz

Mou

ntai

ns a

s it i

s by

its a

bilit

y to

at

tract

tech

nolo

gy fi

rms.

The

bou

ndar

ies o

f the

Mar

ket A

rea

refle

ct th

is re

ality

by

enco

mpa

ssin

g la

rge

resi

dent

ial a

reas

, inc

ludi

ng e

xclu

sive

enc

lave

s and

hill

side

s, hi

stor

ic d

ownt

owns

, and

a fe

w

clus

ters

of b

usin

ess a

ctiv

ity w

ith th

e po

tent

ial t

o at

tract

the

Val

ley’

s lea

ding

inno

vato

rs.

How

ever

, thi

s bou

ndar

y lin

e do

es n

ot se

rve

as a

“ha

rd”

edge

. D

ecis

ions

rega

rdin

g w

heth

er o

r not

a

site

loca

ted

outs

ide

of th

e M

arke

t Are

a w

as re

leva

nt to

the

anal

ysis

at h

and

wer

e m

ade

on a

ca

se-b

y-ca

se b

asis

. In

such

inst

ance

s, B

AE

used

its l

ongs

tand

ing

know

ledg

e of

Sili

con

Val

ley

busi

ness

pat

tern

s to

judg

e th

e lik

elih

ood

that

such

pro

perti

es w

ould

com

pete

with

the

Nor

th 4

0 fo

r off

ice,

hot

el, a

nd/o

r con

fere

nce

user

s.

1 It

shou

ld b

e no

ted

that

key

info

rman

ts in

terv

iew

ed fo

r thi

s rep

ort i

ndic

ate

that

hot

els i

n do

wnt

own

Los G

atos

are

abl

e to

attr

act s

ome

busi

ness

trav

el a

way

from

the

hear

t of S

ilico

n V

alle

y by

mar

ketin

g Lo

s Gat

os’ u

niqu

e an

d w

alka

ble

hist

oric

env

ironm

ent.

How

ever

, as t

he N

orth

40

is lo

cate

d ou

tsid

e of

the

orbi

t of d

ownt

own

Los G

atos

, a p

rosp

ectiv

e ho

tel s

houl

d no

t be

cons

ider

ed d

irect

ly c

ompe

titiv

e w

ith st

anda

rd h

otel

pro

duct

s in

dow

ntow

n Sa

n Jo

se a

nd th

e 10

1 C

orrid

or.

Figu

re 3

: Offi

ce/H

otel

/Mee

ting

Spac

e M

arke

t Are

a

Sou

rce:

BA

E, 2

011.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 2

3 of

150

Popu

latio

n an

d H

ouse

hold

Tre

nds

Popu

latio

n gr

owth

has

bee

n lim

ited

in th

e To

wn

of L

os G

atos

; bet

wee

n 20

00 a

nd 2

010,

the

Tow

n ad

ded

only

821

resi

dent

s to

reac

h a

popu

latio

n of

29,

413

in 2

010,

am

ount

ing

to o

nly

a 0.

3 pe

rcen

t co

mpo

und

annu

al ra

te o

f gro

wth

. Th

e R

TA g

rew

at a

slig

htly

mor

e ra

pid

rate

yea

r-ov

er-y

ear,

addi

ng a

ppro

xim

atel

y 30

,000

resi

dent

s. W

hile

the

RTA

gre

w o

n pa

r with

the

Bay

Are

a as

a

who

le (0

.5 p

erce

nt p

er a

nnum

), Sa

nta

Cla

ra C

ount

y ex

perie

nced

a sl

ight

ly h

ighe

r gro

wth

rate

. Th

e sl

ower

gro

wth

for L

os G

atos

and

the

RTA

is li

kely

due

to th

e fa

ct th

at th

e de

velo

pabl

e la

nd

in th

e W

est V

alle

y is

rela

tivel

y bu

ilt o

ut.

Tabl

e 3:

Pop

ulat

ion

Tren

ds, 2

000-

2010

Avg.

Ann

ual

% C

hang

eG

eogr

aphy

2000

2010

2000

-201

0To

wn

of L

os G

atos

28,5

9229

,413

0.3%

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a (a

)57

5,58

260

6,05

60.

5%S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y1,

682,

585

1,78

1,64

20.

6%9-

Cou

nty

Bay

Are

a (b

)6,

783,

760

7,15

0,73

90.

5%

Not

es:

(a) S

ee F

igur

e 2

for d

efin

ition

of t

he R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea.

(b) T

he B

ay A

rea

cons

ists

of t

he C

ount

ies

of A

lam

eda,

Con

tra C

osta

,M

arin

, Nap

a, S

an F

ranc

isco

, San

Mat

eo, S

anta

Cla

ra, S

olan

o, a

ndS

onom

a.

Sou

rces

: U.S

. Cen

sus,

200

0 &

201

0; B

AE

, 201

1.

Acc

ordi

ng to

the

Ass

ocia

tion

of B

ay A

rea

Gov

ernm

ents

’ Pro

ject

ions

200

9, L

os G

atos

will

co

ntin

ue to

see

very

lim

ited

grow

th o

ver t

he n

ext t

wo

deca

des,

with

the

RTA

show

ing

a sl

ight

ly

high

er g

row

th ra

te.

As s

how

n in

Tab

le 4

, AB

AG

pro

ject

s tha

t Los

Gat

os w

ill a

dd o

nly

500

new

re

side

nts b

etw

een

2010

and

203

0. T

his a

mou

nts t

o ju

st a

1.7

per

cent

cha

nge

over

all,

refle

ctin

g th

e fa

ct th

at A

BA

G e

stim

ated

that

Los

Gat

os h

as a

lim

ited

abili

ty to

acc

omm

odat

e fu

ture

re

side

ntia

l exp

ansi

on.

How

ever

, the

Tow

n’s r

ecen

tly a

dopt

ed G

ener

al P

lan

allo

ws f

or e

noug

h ad

ditio

nal h

ousi

ng su

ch th

at th

e pr

ojec

ted

popu

latio

n of

the

Tow

n in

202

0 co

uld

reac

h 32

,600

.2 A

sign

ifica

nt p

ortio

n of

this

gro

wth

(750

hou

sing

uni

ts),

thou

gh, i

s pro

ject

ed fo

r the

Nor

th 4

0 si

teso

the

abili

ty o

f the

Tow

n to

reac

h th

is fi

gure

will

dep

end

larg

ely

on th

e ou

tcom

e of

the

Nor

th 4

0 Sp

ecifi

c Pl

an p

roce

ss c

urre

ntly

und

erw

ay.

,

AB

AG

pro

ject

s tha

t the

pop

ulat

ion

of th

e R

TA (e

xclu

ding

San

Jose

3 ) will

gro

w b

y fiv

e pe

rcen

t, or

aro

und

8,60

0 pe

ople

. R

elat

ive

to th

e si

ze o

f the

RTA

, thi

s is v

ery

limite

d gr

owth

.

2 Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os 2

020

Gen

eral

Pla

n D

raft

Envi

ronm

enta

l Im

pact

Rep

ort,

prep

ared

for t

he T

own

of L

os

Gat

os b

y D

esig

n, C

omm

unity

& E

nviro

nmen

t, M

arch

10,

201

0.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

24

of 1

50

3 AB

AG

doe

s not

pub

lish

proj

ectio

ns fo

r sub

-city

are

as.

Ther

efor

e, th

e R

TA in

Tab

le 5

is tr

eate

d as

the

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os a

nd th

e C

ities

of M

onte

Ser

eno,

Sar

atog

a, C

uper

tino,

and

Cam

pbel

l, as

wel

l as t

heir

In c

ontra

st, S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y an

d th

e B

ay A

rea,

bot

h of

whi

ch h

ave

a re

lativ

ely

high

er

prop

ortio

n of

land

suita

ble

for n

ew re

side

ntia

l dev

elop

men

t, ar

e pr

ojec

ted

to g

row

by

27 p

erce

nt

and

19 p

erce

nt, r

espe

ctiv

ely.

Tabl

e 4:

Pop

ulat

ion

Proj

ectio

ns, 2

010-

2030

Pr

ojec

ted

% C

hang

eG

eogr

aphy

2010

(a)

2015

2020

2025

2030

2010

-203

0To

wn

of L

os G

atos

(b)

29,6

0029

,900

30,0

0030

,000

30,1

001.

7%R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

(c)

165,

900

168,

400

171,

500

173,

100

174,

500

5.2%

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

1,82

2,00

01,

945,

300

2,06

3,10

02,

185,

800

2,31

0,80

026

.8%

9-C

ount

y B

ay A

rea

(d)

7,34

1,70

07,

677,

500

8,01

8,00

08,

364,

900

8,71

9,30

018

.8%

Not

es:

(a) A

BA

G P

roje

ctio

ns w

ere

com

plet

ed p

rior t

o re

leas

e of

Cen

sus

2010

, and

thus

est

imat

es fo

r 201

0 m

aydi

ffer f

rom

pre

viou

s ta

ble.

(b) B

ased

on

Tow

n bo

unda

ries,

not

Sph

ere

of In

fluen

ce.

(c) A

BA

G d

oes

not p

ublis

h pr

ojec

tions

for s

ub-c

ity a

reas

. Th

eref

ore,

the

Mar

ket A

rea

is tr

eate

d as

the

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os a

nd th

e C

ities

of M

onte

Ser

eno,

Sar

atog

a, C

uper

tino,

and

Cam

pbel

l, as

wel

l as

thei

rre

spec

tive

Sph

eres

of I

nflu

ence

. S

an J

ose

is e

xclu

ded

in it

s en

tiret

y be

caus

e th

e m

ajor

ity o

f the

city

islo

cate

d ou

tsid

e of

the

Mar

ket A

rea.

(d) T

he B

ay A

rea

cons

ists

of t

he C

ount

ies

of A

lam

eda,

Con

tra C

osta

, Mar

in, N

apa,

San

Fra

ncis

co, S

anM

ateo

, San

ta C

lara

, Sol

ano,

and

Son

oma.

Sou

rces

: Ass

ocia

tion

of B

ay A

rea

Gov

ernm

ents

, 200

9; B

AE

, 201

1.

Hou

seho

ld g

row

th tr

ends

bet

wee

n 20

00 a

nd 2

010

mirr

or th

ose

popu

latio

n tre

nds d

escr

ibed

abo

ve.

Bet

wee

n 20

00 a

nd 2

010,

Los

Gat

os a

dded

onl

y 36

7 ne

w h

ouse

hold

s, am

ount

ing

to a

0.3

per

cent

co

mpo

und

annu

al ra

te o

f gro

wth

. Th

e R

TA a

dded

10,

203

new

hou

seho

lds.

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

and

the

Bay

Are

a ad

ded

hous

ehol

ds a

t a sl

ight

ly h

ighe

r rat

e th

an th

e R

TA.

H

ouse

hold

size

cha

nged

ver

y lit

tle in

the

Tow

n, th

e R

TA, t

he C

ount

y, o

r the

Sta

te.

As s

how

n in

Ta

ble

5, L

os G

atos

in 2

010

feat

ured

a m

uch

low

er a

vera

ge h

ouse

hold

size

(2.3

5 pe

rson

s), t

han

eith

er th

e R

TA a

t 2.6

9 pe

rson

s per

hou

seho

ld o

r San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty,

with

2.9

0 pe

rson

s per

ho

useh

old,

feat

ured

the

larg

est h

ouse

hold

s, on

ave

rage

. Th

e B

ay A

rea

had

an a

vera

ge h

ouse

hold

si

ze in

201

0 of

2.6

9 pe

rson

s.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

resp

ectiv

e Sp

here

s of I

nflu

ence

. Sa

n Jo

se is

exc

lude

d in

its e

ntire

ty b

ecau

se th

e m

ajor

ity o

f the

City

is

loca

ted

outs

ide

of th

e R

TA.

Pa

ge 2

5 of

150

Tabl

e 5:

Hou

seho

ld T

rend

s, 2

000-

2010

Avg.

Ann

ual

% C

hang

eAr

ea20

0020

1020

00-2

010

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

osN

umbe

r of H

ouse

hold

s11

,988

12,3

550.

3%A

vg. H

ouse

hold

Siz

e2.

332.

350.

1%

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a (a

)N

umbe

r of H

ouse

hold

s21

3,27

322

3,47

60.

5%A

vg. H

ouse

hold

Siz

e2.

682.

690.

0%

Sant

a C

lara

Cou

nty

Num

ber o

f Hou

seho

lds

565,

863

604,

204

0.7%

Avg

. Hou

seho

ld S

ize

2.92

2.90

-0.1

%

9-C

ount

y B

ay A

rea

(b)

Num

ber o

f Hou

seho

lds

2,46

6,01

92,

608,

023

0.6%

Avg

. Hou

seho

ld S

ize

2.69

2.69

0.0%

Not

es:

(a) S

ee F

igur

e 2

for d

efin

ition

of t

he R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea.

(b) T

he B

ay A

rea

cons

ists

of t

he C

ount

ies

of A

lam

eda,

Con

tra C

osta

,M

arin

, Nap

a, S

an F

ranc

isco

, San

Mat

eo, S

anta

Cla

ra, S

olan

o, a

ndS

onom

a.

Sou

rces

: U.S

. Cen

sus,

200

0 &

201

0; B

AE

, 201

1.

Hou

seho

ld C

hara

cter

istic

s W

hile

it sh

ould

be

antic

ipat

ed th

at L

os G

atos

and

the

RTA

will

exp

erie

nce

rela

tivel

y sl

ow ra

tes o

f po

pula

tion

and

hous

ehol

d gr

owth

mov

ing

forw

ard,

bot

h ge

ogra

phie

s fea

ture

hou

seho

ld

char

acte

ristic

s tha

t are

favo

rabl

e to

reta

il de

velo

pmen

t. A

s sho

wn

in T

able

6, a

s of 2

010,

the

med

ian

hous

ehol

d in

com

e in

Los

Gat

os w

as o

ver $

115,

000,

or

27

perc

ent h

ighe

r tha

n th

e co

unty

wid

e m

edia

n of

aro

und

$90,

500,

whi

ch w

as it

self

subs

tant

ially

hig

her t

han

in th

e gr

eate

r Bay

Are

a. A

t app

roxi

mat

ely

$94,

000,

the

med

ian

hous

ehol

d in

com

e in

the

RTA

mor

e cl

osel

y m

atch

ed th

at o

f the

Cou

nty.

How

ever

, the

se fi

gure

s ob

scur

e m

ore

subs

tant

ial d

iffer

ence

s in

per c

apita

inco

me

resu

lting

from

var

iatio

ns in

hou

seho

ld

size

. A

t aro

und

$64,

000,

the

per c

apita

inco

me

in L

os G

atos

in 2

010

was

app

roxi

mat

ely

62 p

erce

nt

high

er th

an th

e co

unty

wid

e av

erag

e of

just

und

er $

40,0

00.

Sim

ilarly

, per

cap

ita fi

gure

s rev

eal

that

the

RTA

feat

ures

subs

tant

ially

hig

her i

ncom

es o

n a

per p

erso

n ba

sis t

han

the

Cou

nty

(15

perc

ent).

In

fact

, onc

e Sa

nta

Cla

ra C

ount

y’s a

bove

-ave

rage

hou

seho

ld si

ze is

take

n in

to a

ccou

nt,

Cou

ntyw

ide

per c

apita

inco

me

mor

e cl

osel

y m

atch

es th

at o

f the

ent

ire B

ay A

rea.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

26

of 1

50

Tabl

e 7

show

s rat

es o

f ow

ner-

occu

panc

y th

at c

orre

spon

d to

the

hier

arch

y of

hou

seho

ld in

com

e di

scus

sed

abov

e. A

s of 2

010,

app

roxi

mat

ely

63 a

nd 6

1 pe

rcen

t of h

ouse

hold

s in

Los G

atos

and

th

e R

TA, r

espe

ctiv

ely,

ow

ned

the

hom

es in

whi

ch th

ey li

ved,

as c

ompa

red

to 5

8 an

d 56

per

cent

in

the

Cou

nty

and

Bay

Are

a, re

spec

tivel

y. T

aken

toge

ther

, the

se d

ata

indi

cate

that

the

Tow

n of

Los

G

atos

and

the

RTA

feat

ure

abov

e-av

erag

e le

vels

of p

er c

apita

inco

me

and

hom

eow

ners

hip,

bot

h of

whi

ch li

kely

tran

slat

e to

incr

ease

d co

nsum

er sp

endi

ng.

Tabl

e 6:

Inc

ome,

201

0

M

edia

nH

ouse

hold

Per C

apita

Geo

grap

hyIn

com

eIn

com

eTo

wn

of L

os G

atos

$115

,371

$64,

227

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a (a

)$9

4,26

4$4

5,61

3S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y$9

0,58

1$3

9,54

99-

Cou

nty

Bay

Are

a (b

)$7

8,98

1$3

8,28

2

Not

es:

(a) S

ee F

igur

e 2

for d

efin

ition

of t

he R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea.

(b) T

he B

ay A

rea

cons

ists

of t

he C

ount

ies

of A

lam

eda,

Con

tra C

osta

, Mar

in, N

apa,

San

Fra

ncis

co, S

an M

ateo

, San

ta

Cla

ra, S

olan

o, a

nd S

onom

a.

Sou

rces

: Cla

ritas

, 201

0; B

AE

, 201

1.

Tabl

e 7:

Ow

ner a

nd R

ente

r Occ

upan

cy, 2

010

O

ccup

ied

Hou

sing

Uni

ts%

Ow

ner-

% R

ente

r-G

eogr

aphy

Occ

upie

dO

ccup

ied

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os63

.0%

37.0

%R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

(a)

61.4

%38

.6%

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

57.6

%42

.4%

9-C

ount

y B

ay A

rea

(b)

56.2

%43

.8%

Not

es:

(a) S

ee F

igur

e 2

for d

efin

ition

of t

he R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea.

(b) T

he B

ay A

rea

cons

ists

of t

he C

ount

ies

of A

lam

eda,

Con

tra C

osta

, Mar

in, N

apa,

San

Fra

ncis

co, S

an M

ateo

, San

ta

Cla

ra, S

olan

o, a

nd S

onom

a.

Sou

rces

: U.S

. Cen

sus

2010

; BA

E, 2

011.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 2

7 of

150

Empl

oym

ent T

rend

s Ta

ble

8 co

ntai

ns in

form

atio

n on

com

mut

er fl

ows i

n an

d ou

t of t

he R

TA in

200

0, th

e m

ost r

ecen

t ye

ar fo

r whi

ch su

ch d

ata

are

avai

labl

e. T

hese

flow

s are

of i

nter

est t

o th

is re

port

beca

use

wor

kers

co

mm

utin

g in

to th

e R

TA re

pres

ent a

n ad

ditio

nal s

ourc

e of

dem

and

for r

etai

l sal

es, w

hile

co

mm

utin

g ou

t rep

rese

nt a

pot

entia

l los

s of s

ales

, as t

hose

wor

kers

may

cho

ose

to sh

op c

lose

r to

whe

re th

ey w

ork

rath

er th

an w

here

they

resi

de.

As o

f 200

0, 6

5 pe

rcen

t of w

orke

rs re

sidi

ng in

side

the

RTA

com

mut

ed e

lsew

here

to w

ork,

whi

le

only

49

perc

ent o

f tho

se w

orke

rs w

orki

ng in

side

the

RTA

com

mut

ed in

from

els

ewhe

re.

On

the

who

le, r

ough

ly tw

ice

as m

any

wor

kers

(187

,000

) com

mut

ed o

ut o

f the

RTA

on

a da

ily b

asis

than

th

e nu

mbe

r tha

t com

mut

ed in

(98,

000)

.

Tabl

e 8:

Com

mut

er F

low

s, 2

000

RTA

Res

iden

ts b

y Pl

ace

of W

ork

(a)

Plac

e of

Wor

kN

umbe

r%

Tot

alIn

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a10

0,66

5

35.0

%E

lsew

here

in S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y15

8,91

3

55.3

%E

lsew

here

out

side

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

28,0

16

9.

7%To

tal

287,

594

100.

0%

Res

iden

ts C

omm

utin

g ou

t of A

rea

186,

929

65.0

%

RTA

Wor

kers

by

Plac

e of

Res

iden

ce (a

)

Plac

e of

Res

iden

ceN

umbe

r%

Tot

alIn

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a10

0,66

5

50.6

%E

lsew

here

in S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y68

,291

34.3

%E

lsew

here

out

side

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

29,9

64

15

.1%

Tota

l19

8,92

010

0.0%

Wor

kers

Com

mut

ing

into

Are

a98

,255

49

.4%

Sour

ces:

Cen

sus

Tran

spor

tatio

n P

lann

ing

Pac

kage

, 200

0; B

AE

,20

11.

A

s sho

wn

in F

igur

e 4,

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

has u

nder

gone

two

econ

omic

cyc

les o

ver t

he c

ours

e of

the

past

dec

ade,

bot

h of

whi

ch c

ause

d la

rge

chan

ges i

n re

gion

al e

mpl

oym

ent.

Bet

wee

n 20

00

and

2004

, em

ploy

men

t fel

l mar

kedl

y as

a re

sult

of th

e In

tern

et b

ust.

The

num

ber o

f em

ploy

ed

resi

dent

s in

Los G

atos

and

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

fell

by 1

6 pe

rcen

t and

15

perc

ent,

resp

ectiv

ely,

ca

usin

g un

empl

oym

ent t

o ne

arly

dou

ble

(see

Tab

le 9

).

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

28

of 1

50

Figu

re 4

: Em

ploy

men

t Tre

nds

in th

e C

ivili

an L

abor

For

ce, 2

000-

Mar

ch 2

011

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

13,5

00

14,0

00

14,5

00

15,0

00

15,5

00

16,0

00

16,5

00

17,0

00

17,5

00

Resident Unemployment Rate

Employed Residents

Em

ploy

men

tU

nem

ploy

men

t Rat

e

S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0

%

12.0

%

750,

000

775,

000

800,

000

825,

000

850,

000

875,

000

900,

000

925,

000

950,

000

Resident Unemployment Rate

Employed Residents

Em

ploy

men

tU

nem

ploy

men

t Rat

e

S

ourc

es: C

alifo

rnia

Em

ploy

men

t Dev

elop

men

t Dep

artm

ent;

BA

E, 2

011.

B

etw

een

2004

and

200

8, th

e ec

onom

y un

derw

ent a

reco

very

. H

owev

er, o

nly

abou

t a th

ird o

f the

jo

bs lo

st d

urin

g th

e In

tern

et b

ust w

ere

reca

ptur

ed, r

efle

ctin

g th

e fa

ct th

at th

e do

t-com

“bu

bble

” at

th

e on

set o

f the

dec

ade

led

to u

nrea

listic

em

ploy

men

t inf

latio

n. T

he m

id-d

ecad

e re

cove

ry,

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 2

9 of

150

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

30

of 1

50

ther

efor

e, d

id n

ot le

ad to

reco

very

to th

e pe

ak le

vels

of e

mpl

oym

ent a

chie

ved

in 2

000.

Sin

ce

2008

, the

regi

onal

eco

nom

y ha

s dec

lined

con

side

rabl

y, o

win

g la

rgel

y to

the

natio

nwid

e re

cess

ion

spur

red

by th

e ho

usin

g m

arke

t bus

t. T

houg

h th

e jo

b lo

sses

incu

rred

dur

ing

the

late

st c

rash

hav

e be

en sm

all r

elat

ive

to th

e In

tern

et b

ust,

unem

ploy

men

t has

spik

ed to

unp

rece

dent

ed le

vels

due

to

pers

iste

ntly

hig

h un

empl

oym

ent i

n th

e co

nstru

ctio

n se

ctor

. It

shou

ld b

e no

ted

that

the

unem

ploy

men

t rat

e in

Los

Gat

os re

mai

ned

cons

iste

ntly

low

er th

an in

th

e re

st o

f the

Cou

nty

thro

ugh

the

two

econ

omic

boo

m/b

usts

that

cha

ract

eriz

ed th

e pr

evio

us

deca

de.

As o

f Mar

ch 2

011,

une

mpl

oym

ent i

n Lo

s Gat

os w

as u

nder

seve

n pe

rcen

t, as

opp

osed

to

over

ten

perc

ent i

n th

e C

ount

y as

a w

hole

. A

fter p

eaki

ng in

201

0, th

e ra

te o

f une

mpl

oym

ent i

n bo

th g

eogr

aphi

es h

as b

egun

to fa

ll, th

ough

the

long

-term

traj

ecto

ry o

f em

ploy

men

t rem

ains

un

certa

in.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 3

1 of

150

Tabl

e 9:

Em

ploy

men

t Tre

nds

in th

e C

ivili

an L

abor

For

ce, 2

000-

Mar

ch 2

011

To

wn

of L

os G

atos

Labo

rU

nem

ploy

men

tYe

ar (a

)Fo

rce

(b)

Empl

oym

ent

Une

mpl

oym

ent

Rat

e20

0016

,800

16,5

0030

01.

8%20

0116

,700

16,1

0050

03.

0%20

0215

,600

14,8

0090

05.

8%20

0314

,900

14,1

0080

05.

4%20

0414

,600

13,9

0060

04.

1%20

0514

,500

14,0

0050

03.

4%20

0614

,600

14,2

0040

02.

7%20

0715

,000

14,6

0050

03.

3%20

0815

,400

14,8

0060

03.

9%20

0915

,200

14,1

001,

100

7.2%

2010

15,2

0014

,000

1,10

07.

2%M

arch

201

115

,200

14,1

001,

000

6.6%

Cha

nge

2000

-201

0N

umbe

r-1

,600

-2,5

00-3

00A

vg. A

nnua

l % C

hang

e-1

.0%

-1.6

%13

.9%

Sant

a C

lara

Cou

nty

Labo

rU

nem

ploy

men

tYe

ar (a

)Fo

rce

(b)

Empl

oym

ent

Une

mpl

oym

ent

Rat

e20

0094

0,70

091

1,60

029

,200

3.1%

2001

939,

500

891,

800

47,7

005.

1%20

0289

1,60

081

6,90

074

,700

8.4%

2003

850,

100

779,

200

71,0

008.

4%20

0482

4,90

077

1,70

053

,200

6.4%

2005

817,

000

773,

200

43,7

005.

3%20

0682

3,60

078

6,70

036

,900

4.5%

2007

845,

100

805,

600

39,5

004.

7%20

0886

9,70

081

8,00

051

,800

6.0%

2009

874,

300

779,

400

94,9

0010

.9%

2010

874,

000

776,

500

97,4

0011

.1%

Mar

ch 2

011

871,

600

781,

700

89,9

0010

.3%

Cha

nge

2000

-201

0N

umbe

r-6

6,70

0-1

35,1

0068

,200

Avg

. Ann

ual %

Cha

nge

-0.7

%-1

.6%

12.8

%

Not

es:

(a) D

ata

repr

esen

t ann

ual a

vera

ges

of m

onth

ly la

bor f

orce

dat

a. B

ased

on

Mar

ch 2

011

benc

hmar

k.(b

) Civ

ilian

Lab

or F

orce

refe

rs to

wor

kers

by

plac

e of

resi

denc

e. S

ums

may

not

equ

al p

arts

due

to in

depe

nden

t rou

ndin

g.

Sou

rces

: Cal

iforn

ia E

mpl

oym

ent D

evel

opm

ent D

epar

tmen

t; B

AE

, 201

1.

Re

tail

Ma

rke

t A

ss

es

sm

en

t:

Ex

isti

ng

Re

tail

Re

al

Es

tate

C

on

dit

ion

s

This

cha

pter

pro

files

exi

stin

g re

tail

real

est

ate

cond

ition

s in

the

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a (R

TA) a

nd L

os

Gat

os.

The

RTA

has

a la

rge

num

ber o

f ret

ail n

odes

and

cen

ters

pot

entia

lly c

ompe

titiv

e w

ith th

e N

orth

40,

and

als

o w

ith e

xist

ing

reta

il ce

nter

s and

dis

trict

s in

Los G

atos

. Th

is c

hapt

er

sum

mar

izes

ove

rall

mar

ket t

rend

s in

the

regi

onal

and

loca

l ret

ail r

eal e

stat

e m

arke

t, fo

llow

ed b

y br

ief p

rofil

es o

f som

e of

the

key

reta

il no

des i

n Lo

s Gat

os a

nd th

e R

TA.

The

anal

ysis

her

e is

ba

sed

on se

vera

l are

a to

urs,

inte

rvie

ws w

ith b

roke

rs h

andl

ing

reta

il pr

oper

ties,

and

addi

tiona

l re

sear

ch in

clud

ing

onlin

e se

arch

es a

nd c

onta

cts w

ith st

ore

oper

ator

s and

staf

f in

Los G

atos

and

ot

her j

uris

dict

ions

in th

e ar

ea.

The

next

cha

pter

dis

cuss

es re

tail

sale

s and

pro

vide

s a le

akag

e an

alys

is, a

nd th

e ch

apte

r fol

low

ing

that

sum

mar

izes

the

reta

il m

arke

t ass

essm

ent.

Ret

ail R

eal E

stat

e M

arke

t Con

ditio

ns

In a

ny re

tail

mar

ket,

exis

ting

reta

il sp

ace

is v

acat

ed o

n a

regu

lar b

asis

due

to fu

nctio

nal

obso

lesc

ence

or t

he g

ener

al c

ycle

of r

etai

l clo

sure

s and

ope

ning

s ove

r tim

e. F

or in

stan

ce, u

ntil

rece

ntly

ther

e ha

d be

en a

long

-term

tren

d in

the

supe

rmar

ket i

ndus

try to

war

d la

rger

stor

es a

nd

cons

olid

atio

n, w

ith o

lder

stor

es re

used

by

“sec

ond

gene

ratio

n” te

nant

s suc

h as

dol

lar s

tore

s, fu

rnitu

re o

utle

ts, a

nd e

ven

non-

reta

il us

es su

ch a

s fitn

ess c

ente

rs.4 T

hus a

ny re

tail

mar

ket i

s lik

ely

to h

ave

a ce

rtain

per

cent

age

of v

acan

t spa

ce d

ue to

nor

mal

turn

over

and

cha

nges

in re

taili

ng; i

n fa

ct, s

ome

amou

nt o

f vac

anci

es k

eeps

rent

s mor

e af

ford

able

and

pre

vent

s the

mar

ket f

rom

st

agna

ting

due

to ro

adbl

ocks

to th

e en

try o

f new

com

petit

ors.

O

vera

ll, th

e re

tail

real

est

ate

mar

ket i

n Lo

s Gat

os h

as fa

red

wel

l thr

ough

the

curr

ent e

cono

mic

do

wnt

urn.

Acc

ordi

ng to

Ter

rano

mic

s, a

maj

or re

gion

al re

tail

brok

erag

e fir

m, a

t the

end

of 2

010,

th

e re

tail

vaca

ncy

rate

in L

os G

atos

was

5.0

per

cent

, wel

l with

in n

orm

al ra

nges

for c

omm

erci

al

vaca

ncie

s.5 O

vera

ll, W

est C

ount

y6 show

ed a

vac

ancy

rate

of 5

.5 p

erce

nt a

t yea

r-en

d 20

10.

Cou

ntyw

ide,

the

repo

rted

rate

was

som

ewha

t hig

her,

at 6

.7 p

erce

nt.

With

in th

e R

TA, C

uper

tino

show

ed th

e hi

ghes

t vac

ancy

rate

, at 1

8.5

perc

ent.

The

5.0

per

cent

rate

for L

os G

atos

was

up

from

3.

7 pe

rcen

t at y

ear-

end

2009

, but

bec

ause

of t

he si

ze o

f the

inve

ntor

y co

vere

d fo

r the

Tow

n, a

si

ngle

vac

ant s

pace

of a

ppro

xim

atel

y 10

,000

squa

re fe

et c

ould

cau

se th

is fl

uctu

atio

n. B

roke

rs

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

4 Mor

e re

cent

ly, n

iche

gro

cery

stor

es su

ch a

s Tra

der J

oe’s

, Fre

sh &

Eas

y, G

roce

ry O

utle

t, an

d et

hnic

su

perm

arke

ts h

ave

star

ted

to o

ccup

y sm

alle

r spa

ces t

hat a

re e

ither

new

or t

hat h

ave

been

vac

ated

by

supe

rmar

ket c

hain

stor

es, i

n so

me

case

s sub

divi

ding

a la

rger

supe

rmar

ket s

pace

and

onl

y us

ing

a po

rtion

of i

t. 5 S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y Re

tail

Repo

rt, Y

ear-

End

2010

, Ter

rano

mic

s. It

is im

porta

nt to

not

e th

at T

erra

nom

ics

does

not

nec

essa

rily

cove

r all

reta

il sp

ace

in a

n ar

ea, b

ut th

e tre

nds s

how

n sh

ould

be

indi

cativ

e of

ove

rall

mar

ket c

ondi

tions

.

6 Def

ined

by

Terr

anom

ics a

s Pal

o A

lto, M

ount

ain

Vie

w, L

os A

ltos,

Sunn

yval

e, C

uper

tino,

Sar

atog

a, a

nd L

os

Gat

os.

Pa

ge 3

3 of

150

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

34

of 1

50

inte

rvie

wed

als

o co

nfirm

ed th

e To

wn’

s low

reta

il va

canc

y ra

te, e

spec

ially

rela

tive

to th

e C

ount

y ov

eral

l.7 The

bro

kers

stat

ed tw

o ke

y re

ason

s for

the

stro

ng o

ccup

ancy

in T

own:

a li

mite

d su

pply

, pa

rticu

larly

for l

arge

r spa

ces o

f 10,

000

squa

re fe

et o

r mor

e; a

nd th

e ve

ry st

rong

dem

ogra

phic

s of

Los G

atos

. Fo

r the

se la

rger

floo

r pla

tes,

dem

and

exce

eds s

uppl

y, so

whe

n su

ch a

spac

e be

com

es

avai

labl

e (e

.g.,

due

to la

rger

cor

pora

te b

ankr

uptc

ies,

such

as B

orde

rs),

they

are

re-te

nant

ed in

sh

ort o

rder

. In

fact

, one

of t

he k

ey d

river

s for

vac

anci

es n

atio

nally

in th

e la

st fe

w y

ears

has

bee

n th

e cl

osur

e of

ch

ain

stor

es d

ue to

ban

krup

tcie

s and

dow

nsiz

ing;

Circ

uit C

ity a

nd B

orde

rs a

re tw

o ex

ampl

es o

f th

is.

In L

os G

atos

, the

rece

ntly

clo

sed

Bor

ders

in O

ld T

own

exem

plifi

es th

is tr

end,

as d

oes t

he

cons

olid

atio

n of

the

Gap

und

er o

ne ro

of.

How

ever

, man

y of

thes

e va

cant

box

es n

atio

nally

are

in

prim

e or

hig

h-vi

sibi

lity

loca

tions

and

are

bei

ng re

-tena

nted

as a

resu

lt. I

n an

y ca

se, t

he li

mite

d am

ount

of n

atio

nal c

hain

reta

il in

the

Tow

n ha

s lim

ited

its e

xpos

ure

to th

ese

type

s of v

acan

cies

. R

ents

dro

pped

dur

ing

the

rece

ssio

n, b

ut a

re st

ill st

rong

er th

an su

rrou

ndin

g co

mm

uniti

es a

nd h

ave

rebo

unde

d so

mew

hat.

Bro

kers

repo

rt re

nts r

angi

ng fr

om $

2 to

$5

per s

quar

e fo

ot, w

ith

Dow

ntow

n co

mm

andi

ng th

e hi

ghes

t ren

ts, p

artic

ular

ly a

t the

sout

h en

d of

Dow

ntow

n. O

ne

brok

er a

ctiv

e in

mul

tiple

cen

ters

and

pro

perti

es re

porte

d th

at re

nts i

n Lo

s Gat

os d

ropp

ed 1

5 to

20

perc

ent o

vera

ll, b

ut o

nly

five

to te

n pe

rcen

t dow

ntow

n.

Ove

rvie

w o

f Los

Gat

os a

nd R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

Ret

ail N

odes

Th

e R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

(RTA

) has

a la

rge

num

ber o

f ret

ail n

odes

and

cen

ters

that

cou

ld b

e co

mpe

titiv

e w

ith th

e N

orth

40,

and

that

com

pete

with

exi

stin

g re

taile

rs in

Los

Gat

os, w

ho a

re in

tu

rn c

once

ntra

ted

in c

erta

in a

reas

of t

he T

own.

Fol

low

ing

is a

des

crip

tion

of so

me

of th

e ke

y re

gion

-ser

ving

reta

il no

des,

follo

wed

by

a de

scrip

tion

of th

e re

tail

dist

ricts

of L

os G

atos

. Th

e To

wn’

s ret

ail d

istri

cts a

re d

escr

ibed

in m

ore

deta

il, w

ith th

e fo

cus f

or th

e R

TA o

n m

ajor

cen

ters

ra

ther

than

an

inve

ntor

y of

all

reta

il ce

nter

s. C

ompe

titiv

e R

etai

l Cen

ters

in R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

The

RTA

con

tain

s a n

umbe

r of r

etai

l con

cent

ratio

ns.

The

focu

s her

e is

on

maj

or re

tail

node

s and

ce

nter

s tha

t wou

ld c

onst

itute

the

com

petit

ion

for r

egio

n-se

rvin

g re

tail

at th

e N

orth

40

site

. Th

ese

node

s and

cen

ters

are

show

n in

Fig

ure

5. W

hile

ther

e ar

e m

any

smal

ler c

onve

nien

ce-o

rient

ed

cent

ers a

nd o

ther

reta

il ce

nter

s, th

ey a

re se

en a

s prim

arily

loca

l-ser

ving

and

not

com

petit

ive

with

th

e N

orth

40’

s pot

entia

l ret

ail t

enan

ts.8

7 A

list

of b

roke

rs in

terv

iew

ed c

an b

e fo

und

in A

ppen

dix

F.

8 Muc

h of

the

info

rmat

ion

on th

e re

gion

al c

ente

rs w

as p

rovi

ded

by H

urst

/Har

rigan

Ass

ocia

tes,

with

add

ition

al

rese

arch

and

ver

ifica

tion

by B

AE.

Figu

re 5

: Maj

or R

etai

l Cen

ters

in th

e R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

W

estg

ate

Mal

l/El P

aseo

de

Sara

toga

/Wes

tgat

e W

est.

The

se th

ree

cent

ers a

re in

San

Jose

cl

uste

red

near

the

bord

er w

ith S

arat

oga,

app

roxi

mat

ely

eigh

t min

utes

driv

e tim

e fr

om th

e N

orth

40

site

.9 Wes

tgat

e M

all i

s a 6

45,0

00 sq

uare

-foo

t cen

ter w

hich

ope

ned

in 1

961,

with

reno

vatio

ns

in 1

989

and

1996

. It

is c

onfig

ured

in p

art a

s a tr

aditi

onal

enc

lose

d m

all,

and

in p

art h

as st

ores

fa

cing

out

war

d, a

nd it

is n

o lo

nger

anc

hore

d by

trad

ition

al d

epar

tmen

t sto

res;

inst

ead,

the

larg

est

stor

es is

a T

arge

t, an

d an

othe

r for

mer

dep

artm

ent s

tore

spac

e is

co-

anch

ored

by

a N

ords

trom

R

ack

and

a B

urlin

gton

Coa

t Fac

tory

. O

ther

tena

nts i

nclu

de O

ld N

avy,

Ros

s, B

arne

s & N

oble

, A

ny M

ount

ain,

and

Saf

eway

. W

estg

ate

Wes

t is a

235

,768

squa

re-f

oot o

pen-

air c

ente

r with

Tr

ader

Joe’

s CV

S, a

nd O

rcha

rd S

uppl

y H

ardw

are.

Thi

s cen

ter i

s ow

ned

by G

rosv

enor

, the

de

velo

per f

or th

e N

orth

40,

and

ope

ned

in 1

965.

El P

aseo

de

Sara

toga

is a

340

,949

squa

re-f

oot

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

9 All

driv

e tim

es m

easu

red

from

the

Bou

leva

rd T

aver

n on

Los

Gat

os B

oule

vard

, usi

ng M

apQ

uest

.

Pa

ge 3

5 of

150

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

36

of 1

50

open

-air

cent

er o

rigin

ally

ope

ned

in 1

974,

and

was

com

plet

ely

rebu

ilt in

199

7. I

t is a

ncho

red

by

REI

, Pet

co, L

ucky

, Off

ice

Max

, and

an

AM

C 1

4-sc

reen

mov

ie th

eate

r com

plex

.

Val

lco

Shop

ping

Mal

l. T

his e

nclo

sed

mal

l spa

ns N

orth

Wol

fe R

oad

in C

uper

tino

in th

e no

rthw

est p

ortio

n of

the

RTA

and

is a

ppro

xim

atel

y 13

min

utes

driv

e tim

e fr

om th

e N

orth

40

site

. Th

e 1.

3 m

illio

n sq

uare

-foo

t cen

ter o

pene

d in

197

5, a

nd is

anc

hore

d by

Mac

y’s,

JC P

enne

y, a

nd

Sear

s, an

d in

clud

es a

n A

MC

16-

scre

en th

eate

r com

plex

, an

ice

rink,

and

a b

owlin

g al

ley.

Whi

le

som

e re

nova

tions

wer

e co

mpl

eted

in 2

007,

esp

ecia

lly w

ith re

spec

t to

the

mov

ie th

eate

r com

plex

, th

is c

ente

r has

per

haps

the

mos

t dat

ed a

ppea

ranc

e of

the

RTA

cen

ters

dis

cuss

ed h

ere.

Acc

ordi

ng

to th

e C

ity o

f Cup

ertin

o, th

is c

ente

r has

app

rova

ls fo

r a 4

6,00

0 sq

uare

-foo

t exp

ansi

on, b

ut th

e de

velo

per i

ndic

ates

a y

ear o

r mor

e of

inte

rnal

revi

ew w

ill o

ccur

prio

r to

brea

king

gro

und.

10

The

Pru

neya

rd/K

ohl’s

/Fry

’s E

lect

roni

cs.

This

reta

il co

ncen

tratio

n is

loca

ted

near

the

Ham

ilton

A

venu

e ex

it fr

om H

ighw

ay 1

7 in

Cam

pbel

l, ap

prox

imat

ely

seve

n m

inut

es d

rive

time

from

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te.

The

Prun

eyar

d is

a 2

50,0

00 sq

uare

foot

life

styl

e ce

nter

loca

ted

at S

outh

Bas

com

an

d Ea

st C

ampb

ell A

venu

e w

hich

firs

t ope

ned

in 1

969,

and

und

erw

ent s

ubst

antia

l ren

ovat

ion

in

the

1990

s and

late

r. It

is p

art o

f a la

rger

mix

ed-u

se p

roje

ct w

hich

incl

udes

a h

otel

and

off

ice

spac

e. K

ey te

nant

s inc

lude

Bar

nes &

Nob

le, T

rade

r Joe

’s, M

arsh

alls

, and

the

Cam

era

7 C

inem

as.

N

earb

y on

the

othe

r sid

e of

Hig

hway

17

on H

amilt

on a

re tw

o m

ajor

free

-sta

ndin

g st

ores

, Koh

l’s

and

Fry’

s Ele

ctro

nics

. Th

e Fr

y’s s

ells

a w

ide

varie

ty o

f ele

ctro

nics

and

app

lianc

es, a

nd w

ould

pr

ovid

e su

bsta

ntia

l com

petit

ion

for a

sim

ilar o

utle

t at t

he N

orth

40.

T

arge

t/Hom

e D

epot

on

Hill

sdal

e. T

hese

stor

es in

San

Jose

are

the

hom

e im

prov

emen

t cen

ter

and

larg

e-fo

rmat

dis

coun

t gen

eral

mer

chan

dise

stor

e cl

oses

t to

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te, a

t six

min

utes

dr

ive

time

from

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te.

Each

of t

hese

stor

es is

app

roxi

mat

ely

110,

000

squa

re fe

et.

Ther

e ar

e a

num

ber o

f oth

er b

usin

esse

s clu

ster

ed in

the

vici

nity

, inc

ludi

ng T

J Max

x, 2

4 H

our

Fitn

ess,

and

Payl

ess S

hoe

Sour

ce.

W

estf

ield

Oak

ridg

e an

d E

nvir

ons.

Wes

tfiel

d O

akrid

ge is

a re

gion

al m

all o

f app

roxi

mat

ely

1.3

mill

ion

squa

re fe

et, a

ncho

red

by M

acy’

s, Se

ars,

and

Targ

et, w

ith a

tota

l of o

ver 2

00 st

ores

, in

clud

ing

a 20

-scr

een

thea

ter c

ompl

ex.

This

cen

ter o

pene

d in

197

3, a

nd h

as b

een

exte

nsiv

ely

rem

odel

ed o

ver t

he y

ears

, inc

ludi

ng a

maj

or re

cons

truct

ion

of th

e ci

nem

a co

mpl

ex in

200

3. I

t is

appr

oxim

atel

y ei

ght m

inut

es d

rive

time

from

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te.

Ther

e ar

e se

vera

l oth

er c

ente

rs a

nd fr

eest

andi

ng re

tail

stor

es in

the

vici

nity

of t

his m

all.

The

se

incl

ude

the

559,

000

squa

re-f

oot A

lmad

en P

laza

, anc

hore

d by

Cos

tco,

with

Bar

nes &

Nob

le, R

oss,

and

Trad

er Jo

e’s,

and

Hill

view

Pla

za, a

ncho

red

by K

ohl’s

and

Hom

e D

epot

. A

lmad

en R

anch

is a

pr

opos

ed p

ower

cen

ter t

o th

e no

rth o

f Hig

hway

85

on A

lmad

en E

xpre

ssw

ay, p

lann

ed a

t 350

,000

to

400

,000

squa

re fe

et w

ith a

pos

sibl

e op

enin

g da

te in

201

2. A

dditi

onal

ly, W

alm

art h

as p

lans

to

10

For

pla

nned

and

pro

pose

d pr

ojec

ts in

the

RTA

, see

App

endi

x B

.

re-te

nant

a v

acan

t Exp

o D

esig

n C

ente

r spa

ce o

n th

e no

rthw

est c

orne

r of A

lmad

en E

xpre

ssw

ay

and

Hig

hway

85.

The

re is

a B

est B

uy fr

ontin

g A

lmad

en E

xpre

ssw

ay a

djac

ent t

o th

is fo

rmer

Ex

po D

esig

n C

ente

r.

The

Pla

nt.

The

Plan

t is a

val

ue-o

rient

ed p

ower

cen

ter a

t the

eas

tern

edg

e of

the

RTA

at

Mon

tere

y H

ighw

ay a

nd C

urtn

er A

venu

e in

San

Jose

, 13

min

utes

driv

e tim

e fr

om th

e N

orth

40

site

. O

pene

d in

200

7, th

e Pl

ant t

otal

s 643

,325

squa

re fe

et, a

ncho

red

by T

arge

t and

Hom

e D

epot

, w

ith B

est B

uy, T

oys R

Us/

Bab

ies R

Us a

nd R

oss a

s oth

er m

ajor

tena

nts.

W

estf

ield

Val

ley

Fair

. Th

is u

psca

le re

gion

al m

all i

s loc

ated

at t

he n

orth

ern

edge

of t

he R

TA,

stra

ddlin

g th

e Sa

n Jo

se/S

anta

Cla

ra b

orde

r,11 n

ine

min

utes

driv

e tim

e fr

om th

e N

orth

40

site

. O

rigin

ally

ope

ned

as tw

o ce

nter

s in

the

1950

s and

con

solid

ated

into

one

larg

e m

all i

n th

e la

te

1980

s, th

e ce

nter

has

seen

subs

tant

ial r

emod

elin

g an

d re

conf

igur

atio

n ov

er th

e ye

ars,

and

curr

ently

incl

udes

app

roxi

mat

ely

1.5

mill

ion

squa

re fe

et o

f spa

ce.

Anc

hor t

enan

ts in

clud

e N

ords

trom

, Mac

y’s,

and

Mac

y’s M

en’s

& H

ome,

with

ove

r 250

add

ition

al st

ores

. Th

e ce

nter

has

ap

prov

ed p

lans

for a

n ad

ditio

nal 5

50,0

00 sq

uare

-foo

t exp

ansi

on, p

ossi

bly

incl

udin

g N

eim

an

Mar

cus a

nd B

loom

ingd

ale’

s as a

dditi

onal

anc

hors

, but

thes

e pl

ans h

ave

been

on

hold

pen

ding

ec

onom

ic re

cove

ry.

Ther

e is

a m

ovie

thea

ter c

ompl

ex ju

st to

the

sout

h of

this

cen

ter o

n W

inch

este

r Bou

leva

rd.

Sant

ana

Row

. A

n up

scal

e op

en-a

ir lif

esty

le c

ente

r, Sa

ntan

a R

ow fi

rst o

pene

d in

200

3, a

nd is

lo

cate

d di

rect

ly a

cros

s Ste

vens

Cre

ek B

oule

vard

from

Wes

tfiel

d V

alle

y Fa

ir, w

ith a

dditi

onal

co

nstru

ctio

n oc

curr

ing

sinc

e th

en, i

nclu

ding

reta

il, o

ffic

e, a

nd re

side

ntia

l spa

ce.

This

mix

ed-u

se

com

plex

cur

rent

ly in

clud

es 5

82,0

00 sq

uare

feet

of r

etai

l spa

ce, a

nd a

lso

incl

udes

resi

dent

ial,

offic

e, a

nd h

otel

use

s, in

an

atte

mpt

to c

reat

e an

env

ironm

ent r

esem

blin

g an

urb

an M

ain

Stre

et.

Tena

nts i

nclu

de B

est B

uy, A

nthr

opol

ogie

, Bro

oks B

roth

ers,

Cra

te &

Bar

rel,

and

the

six-

scre

en

Cin

éArts

San

tana

Row

mov

ie th

eate

r com

plex

show

ing

a m

ix o

f firs

t-run

maj

or m

ovie

s and

in

depe

nden

t, fo

reig

n, a

nd d

ocum

enta

ry fi

lms.

Whi

le d

omin

ated

by

form

ula

reta

ilers

, the

reta

il m

ix o

f thi

s cen

ter s

omew

hat r

esem

bles

that

of d

ownt

own

Los G

atos

in ta

rget

ing

high

er-in

com

e sh

oppe

rs a

nd in

the

mix

of s

hops

and

din

ing,

and

its o

peni

ng w

as th

e su

bjec

t of c

once

rn a

mon

g re

taile

rs in

Los

Gat

os.

The

impa

cts o

f its

ope

ning

on

Dow

ntow

n ar

e di

scus

sed

late

r in

this

repo

rt in

the

sale

s ana

lysi

s cha

pter

. H

itach

i Site

. A

t the

far e

aste

rn e

dge

of th

e R

TA o

n C

ottle

Roa

d ne

ar w

here

Hig

hway

85

term

inat

es a

t U.S

. 101

at 1

1 m

inut

es d

rive

time

from

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te, i

s a 1

00-a

cre

site

pro

pose

d fo

r bot

h re

side

ntia

l and

com

mer

cial

dev

elop

men

t, w

ith 3

0 ac

res e

ntitl

ed fo

r ret

ail d

evel

opm

ent,

adja

cent

to a

Low

e’s a

nd a

n O

rcha

rd S

uppl

y H

ardw

are,

with

a W

alm

art a

cros

s Mon

tere

y H

ighw

ay.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

11 W

hile

the

map

of t

he R

TA sh

ows t

his c

ente

r as i

nsid

e its

bou

ndar

ies,

the

cent

er u

ses a

San

ta C

lara

Zip

C

ode

that

is n

ot in

clud

ed in

the

RTA

def

initi

on.

Thus

the

sale

s in

this

cen

ter a

re n

ot p

art o

f tho

se re

porte

d fo

r th

e R

TA.

Pa

ge 3

7 of

150

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

38

of 1

50

In su

mm

ary,

the

RTA

con

tain

s a la

rge

mix

and

var

iety

of r

egio

nal r

etai

l cen

ters

rang

ing

from

di

scou

nt to

hig

h en

d sh

oppi

ng, a

nd fr

om p

ower

cen

ters

to li

fest

yle

cent

ers t

o m

ajor

enc

lose

d m

alls

. In

add

ition

to th

ese

cent

ers,

ther

e ar

e ot

her r

egio

nal c

ente

rs b

eyon

d th

e R

TA th

at d

raw

sh

oppe

rs fr

om th

e R

TA; f

or e

xam

ple,

Sta

nfor

d Sh

oppi

ng C

ente

r is a

n up

scal

e op

en-a

ir m

all w

ith

Nei

man

Mar

cus a

nd B

loom

ingd

ale’

s and

oth

er sm

all h

igh-

end

shop

s; si

mila

r ret

ail o

r new

out

lets

fo

r the

se st

ores

in L

os G

atos

cou

ld re

capt

ure

high

-inco

me

dest

inat

ion

shop

pers

from

the

RTA

. A

t th

e ot

her e

nd o

f the

spec

trum

, the

Gre

at M

all i

n M

ilpita

s is a

larg

e ou

tlet m

all t

hat i

s eas

ily

acce

ssib

le fr

om th

e R

TA.

Ther

e ar

e nu

mer

ous o

ther

cen

ters

in th

e re

gion

that

may

als

o at

tract

R

TA re

side

nts.

Dev

elop

men

t at t

he N

orth

40

coul

d se

rve

to a

ttrac

t and

reca

ptur

e sa

les i

n ty

pes o

f re

tail

not c

urre

ntly

foun

d in

Los

Gat

os, a

chie

ving

the

Tow

n’s g

oals

as s

tate

d in

its r

ecen

tly

adop

ted

Gen

eral

Pla

n to

“su

ppor

t an

activ

e bu

sine

ss c

omm

unity

that

pro

vide

s a w

ide

varie

ty o

f go

ods a

nd se

rvic

es a

nd a

bro

ad ra

nge

of e

mpl

oym

ent o

ppor

tuni

ties,

min

imiz

ing

the

need

to tr

avel

to

oth

er c

omm

uniti

es,”

12 a

s wel

l as e

nhan

cing

the

fisca

l hea

lth o

f the

Tow

n.

Ret

ail D

istr

icts

and

Cen

ters

in L

os G

atos

Th

e To

wn

of L

os G

atos

has

a n

umbe

r of d

istin

ct re

tail

dist

ricts

and

cen

ters

. Fo

r ana

lytic

al

purp

oses

, the

maj

ority

of r

etai

lers

in th

e To

wn

are

in o

ne o

f the

follo

win

g ar

eas:

• D

ownt

own

• Lo

s Gat

os B

oule

vard

Nei

ghbo

rhoo

d C

ente

rs

Dow

ntow

n. T

his l

arge

r are

a in

clud

es th

ree

suba

reas

, the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore,

Dow

ntow

n N

orth

, and

th

e B

loss

om H

ill/U

nive

rsity

dis

trict

, as s

how

n in

Fig

ure

6. T

he D

ownt

own

Cor

e re

pres

ents

the

“hea

rt” o

f Los

Gat

os, w

ith a

mix

of s

mal

l sho

ps in

a sm

all-t

own

mai

n-st

reet

setti

ng w

ith m

any

hist

oric

stru

ctur

es, p

rimar

ily a

long

San

ta C

ruz

Ave

nue

and

Mai

n St

reet

. D

ownt

own

Nor

th is

m

ore

auto

-orie

nted

, with

a fe

w la

rger

stor

es, a

nd m

ore

conv

entio

nal s

trip

cent

ers a

s wel

l as

scat

tere

d fr

ee-s

tand

ing

outle

ts a

long

Nor

th S

anta

Cru

z. B

loss

om H

ill/U

nive

rsity

con

sist

s lar

gely

of

non

-ret

ail u

ses,

incl

udin

g of

fice

and

resi

dent

ial,

with

the

larg

est c

once

ntra

tion

of re

tail

and

serv

ice

busi

ness

es a

long

the

east

side

of U

nive

rsity

sout

h of

Blo

ssom

Hill

Roa

d.

Bas

ed o

n St

ate

Boa

rd o

f Equ

aliz

atio

n (S

BO

E) d

ata,

the

mix

of b

usin

esse

s by

type

is a

s sho

wn

in

Tabl

e 10

, kee

ping

in m

ind

that

bec

ause

of v

aryi

ng st

ore

size

s, th

e m

ix b

y bu

sine

ss ty

pe d

oes n

ot

nece

ssar

ily re

pres

ent t

he p

ropo

rtion

s of s

ales

for e

ach

cate

gory

.13 R

etai

l sal

es a

re d

iscu

ssed

in

mor

e de

tail

in su

bseq

uent

sect

ions

of t

his r

epor

t.

12

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os 2

020

Gen

eral

Pla

n, p

repa

red

for t

he T

own

of L

os G

atos

, pre

pare

d by

Des

ign,

C

omm

unity

& E

nviro

nmen

t, Ja

nuar

y 7,

201

1, p

. VIS

-1.

13 N

ote

that

bus

ines

ses n

ot re

quire

d to

col

lect

sale

s tax

es a

re n

ot in

the

SBO

E lis

tings

, so

the

focu

s her

e is

la

rgel

y on

the

reta

il se

ctor

. In

clud

es b

usin

esse

s act

ive

at a

ny ti

me

in 2

010.

Figu

re 6

: Los

Gat

os R

etai

l Dis

tric

ts

A

s sho

wn

in T

able

10,

the

Cor

e ar

ea a

ccou

nts f

or n

early

thre

e-qu

arte

rs o

f all

busi

ness

es in

the

Dow

ntow

n, a

nd h

as th

e st

rong

est o

rient

atio

n to

war

d re

tail.

SB

OE

lists

243

reta

il bu

sine

sses

in

the

Cor

e, a

cros

s all

the

maj

or re

tail

cate

gorie

s. T

he la

rges

t con

cent

ratio

ns a

re in

app

arel

, eat

ing

and

drin

king

, and

oth

er re

tail.

App

roxi

mat

ely

one-

third

of b

usin

esse

s are

in th

e “a

ll ot

her o

utle

ts”

cate

gory

, whi

ch in

clud

es w

hole

sale

, ind

ustry

, and

bus

ines

s and

per

sona

l ser

vice

s. T

able

11

prov

ides

a m

ore

deta

iled

brea

kdow

n of

thes

e ca

tego

ries f

or th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e; th

e m

ajor

ity o

f th

e ot

her o

utle

ts a

re a

lso

cons

umer

orie

nted

per

sona

l ser

vice

s bus

ines

ses (

e.g.

, hai

r sal

ons)

.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 3

9 of

150

Tabl

e 10

: D

ownt

own

Bus

ines

ses

by T

ype,

201

0

Dow

ntow

n C

ore

Dow

ntow

n N

orth

Blo

ssom

Hill

/Uni

vD

ownt

own

Tota

lB

usin

ess

Cat

egor

y (a

)N

umbe

r%

of T

otal

Num

ber

% o

f Tot

alN

umbe

r%

of T

otal

Num

ber

% o

f Tot

al A

uto

Dea

lers

& A

uto

Sup

plie

s2

0.6%

3

3.3%

1

1.9%

6

1.

2% H

ome

Furn

ishi

ngs/

App

lianc

es26

7.

2%3

3.

3%1

1.

9%30

6.

0% B

ldg.

Mat

rl./F

arm

Impl

emen

ts5

1.4%

2

2.2%

1

1.9%

8

1.

6% F

ood

Sto

res

13

3.6%

5

5.6%

-

0.

0%18

3.

6% S

ervi

ce S

tatio

ns1

0.3%

2

2.2%

1

1.9%

4

0.

8% A

ppar

el S

tore

s50

13

.9%

4

4.4%

-

0.

0%54

10

.7%

Gen

eral

Mer

chan

dise

Sto

res

1

0.

3%1

1.

1%-

0.0%

2

0.

4% E

atin

g an

d D

rinki

ng P

lace

s59

16

.4%

9

10.0

%2

3.

8%70

13

.9%

Oth

er R

etai

l Sto

res

86

23.9

%18

20.0

%11

20.8

%11

5

22

.9%

Ret

ail S

tore

s To

tal

243

67.5

%47

52

.2%

17

32.1

%30

7

61

.0%

All

Oth

er O

utle

ts11

7

32

.5%

43

47

.8%

36

67

.9%

196

39.0

%

Tota

l36

0

10

0%90

100%

53

10

0%50

3

10

0%

(a)

Cat

egor

ies

used

her

e ar

e ba

sed

on th

e 20

07 a

nd e

arlie

r SB

OE

cla

ssifi

catio

n sy

stem

.

Sou

rces

: S

BO

E; U

.S. B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics;

Mun

i Ser

vice

s; T

own

of L

os G

atos

; BA

E, 2

011.

Dow

ntow

n N

orth

mak

es u

p on

ly 1

8 pe

rcen

t of t

he b

usin

esse

s lis

ted,

and

show

s a h

ighe

r pr

opor

tion

of n

on-r

etai

l bus

ines

ses,

with

onl

y sl

ight

ly m

ore

than

hal

f of t

he li

stin

gs fo

r SB

OE

as

reta

ilers

; res

taur

ants

and

oth

er re

tail

stor

es m

ake

up th

e la

rges

t pro

porti

ons o

f the

se 4

7 ou

tlets

. B

loss

om H

ill/U

nive

rsity

has

onl

y el

even

per

cent

of t

he D

ownt

own’

s bus

ines

ses,

and

less

than

on

e-th

ird o

f the

se 5

3 ar

e cl

assi

fied

as re

taile

rs.

Th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e is

cha

ract

eriz

ed b

y sm

alle

r flo

or p

late

s, an

d be

caus

e of

the

form

ula

reta

il or

dina

nce,

the

Cor

e co

ntai

ns fe

w c

hain

reta

ilers

. Th

e ch

ain

reta

ilers

are

clu

ster

ed la

rgel

y in

the

Old

Tow

n de

velo

pmen

t stra

ddlin

g U

nive

rsity

. W

ith th

e ex

cept

ion

of th

e ea

ster

n po

rtion

of O

ld

Tow

n, th

e C

ore

busi

ness

es a

re fo

r the

mos

t par

t dire

ctly

on

the

stre

ets,

with

par

king

pro

vide

d on

-st

reet

and

in m

unic

ipal

lots

beh

ind

the

stor

es o

n Sa

nta

Cru

z. T

he lo

t bet

wee

n Sa

nta

Cru

z an

d U

nive

rsity

pro

vide

s acc

ess t

o bo

th st

reet

s, w

ith so

me

stor

es p

rovi

ding

ent

ranc

es d

irect

ly fr

om th

e lo

t. B

roke

rs a

nd o

ther

key

info

rman

ts st

ated

that

ther

e is

a p

erce

ptio

n th

at p

arki

ng is

lim

ited

dow

ntow

n, a

lthou

gh si

te v

isits

by

BA

E, in

one

cas

e on

Sun

day

durin

g th

e fa

rmer

s mar

ket,

indi

cate

d th

at w

hile

the

best

-loca

ted

lots

wer

e fu

ll, p

arki

ng w

as st

ill a

vaila

ble.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 4

0 of

150

Tabl

e 11

: D

ownt

own

Cor

e B

usin

ess

Det

ail,

2010

Bus

ines

s C

ateg

ory

(a)

Num

ber

% o

f Tot

al A

uto

Dea

lers

& A

uto

Sup

plie

s2

0.

6% H

ome

Furn

ishi

ngs/

App

lianc

es26

7.2%

Bld

g. M

atrl.

/Far

m Im

plem

ents

5

1.4%

Foo

d S

tore

s13

3.6%

Ser

vice

Sta

tions

1

0.3%

App

arel

Sto

res

50

13

.9%

Gen

eral

Mer

chan

dise

Sto

res

1

0.3%

Eat

ing

and

Drin

king

Pla

ces

59

16

.4%

Oth

er R

etai

l Sto

res

Art,

Gift

, Nov

eltie

s8

2.

2%B

oat/M

otor

cycl

e1

0.

3%C

igar

Sto

res

2

0.6%

Flor

ists

2

0.6%

Jew

elry

Sto

res

1 2

3.

3%Li

quor

Sto

res

2

0.6%

Mus

ic S

tore

s2

0.

6%O

ffice

Eqp

mt S

tore

Cou

n t1

0.

3%S

econ

d H

and

Sto

res

4

1.1%

Spe

cial

ty S

tore

s44

12.2

%S

porti

ng G

oods

5

1.4%

Sta

tione

ry/B

ooks

3

0.8%

Oth

er R

etai

l Sub

tota

l86

23.9

%

Ret

ail S

tore

s To

tal

243

67.5

%

All

Oth

er O

utle

tsB

usin

ess

To B

usin

ess

3610

.0%

Per

sona

l Ser

vice

s65

18.1

%M

isce

llane

ous

164.

4%A

ll O

ther

Out

lets

Sub

tota

l11

732

.5%

Tota

l36

0

10

0%

Sour

ces:

SBO

E; U

.S. B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics;

Mun

i Ser

vice

s; T

own

of L

os G

atos

; BAE

, 201

1.

In th

e N

orth

suba

rea,

ther

e ar

e so

me

larg

er st

ores

, esp

ecia

lly W

algr

eens

and

the

soon

-to-o

pen

rebu

ilt a

nd e

xpan

ded

Safe

way

,14 a

nd c

onve

ntio

nal s

trip

cent

ers s

uch

as th

e W

algr

eens

Cen

ter a

nd

the

Los G

atos

Sho

ppin

g C

ente

r, w

ith st

ores

set b

ack

from

the

stre

et b

y pa

rkin

g lo

ts.

Th

e m

ix o

f ret

ail t

ypes

, as w

ell a

s the

leak

age

anal

ysis

for L

os G

atos

as d

iscu

ssed

in th

e ne

xt

chap

ter,

indi

cate

that

Dow

ntow

n is

seen

as a

reta

il de

stin

atio

n, d

raw

ing

shop

pers

from

Los

Gat

os

as w

ell a

s oth

er n

earb

y co

mm

uniti

es.

Inte

rvie

ws w

ith re

taile

rs, b

roke

rs, a

nd o

ther

key

in

form

ants

15 c

onfir

med

this

. B

ecau

se o

f a la

ck o

f ret

ail,

Mon

te S

eren

o an

d Sa

rato

ga re

side

nts i

n pa

rticu

lar a

ppea

r to

be a

ttrac

ted

to L

os G

atos

for b

oth

the

dow

ntow

n sp

ecia

lty sh

ops,

as w

ell a

s th

e co

nven

ienc

e-or

ient

ed re

tail

in th

e D

ownt

own

Nor

th a

rea

and

on L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd.

For

inst

ance

, the

re-o

peni

ng S

afew

ay w

ill b

e th

e cl

oses

t sup

erm

arke

t to

Mon

te S

eren

o re

side

nts.

14

Gra

nd o

peni

ng is

set f

or A

ugus

t 26,

201

1. h

ttp://

safe

way

dow

ntow

nlos

gato

s.com

, acc

esse

d Ju

ly 1

5, 2

011.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

15 A

list

of k

ey in

form

ants

can

be

foun

d in

App

endi

x F.

Pa

ge 4

1 of

150

Shop

pers

from

oth

er n

earb

y ci

ties,

such

as C

uper

tino,

Cam

pbel

l, an

d Sa

n Jo

se, h

ave

ampl

e co

nven

ienc

e-or

ient

ed re

tail

near

by b

ut c

ome

to L

os G

atos

for t

he D

ownt

own

expe

rienc

e.

Add

ition

ally

, som

e in

form

ants

stat

ed th

at th

e D

ownt

own

is a

lso

a to

uris

t des

tinat

ion,

with

out

-of-

tow

ners

(par

ticul

arly

thos

e st

ayin

g at

the

loca

l hot

els)

com

ing

to e

xper

ienc

e th

e sm

all t

own

and

pede

stria

n-fr

iend

ly a

mbi

ence

. L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd.

Los G

atos

Bou

leva

rd is

a m

ix o

f com

mun

ity sh

oppi

ng c

ente

rs, a

uto

deal

ers a

nd re

late

d bu

sine

sses

, and

free

-sta

ndin

g re

tail

outle

ts.

The

four

larg

est s

hopp

ing

cent

ers

are

each

anc

hore

d by

a su

perm

arke

t. T

he a

rea

is d

efin

ed a

s sho

wn

in F

igur

e 6

abov

e.

Los G

atos

Bou

leva

rd is

stro

ngly

diff

eren

tiate

d fr

om D

ownt

own

in it

s ret

ail m

ix, w

ith a

mor

e lim

ited

num

ber o

f sto

res c

arry

ing

“com

paris

on”

good

s suc

h as

hom

e fu

rnis

hing

s and

app

arel

(see

Ta

ble

12).

The

re a

re c

onsi

dera

bly

mor

e m

id-s

ize

stor

e sp

aces

, suc

h as

the

supe

rmar

kets

, dru

g st

ores

, and

har

dwar

e st

ore.

The

re a

re a

ppro

xim

atel

y 10

0 re

tail

outle

ts in

the

area

, as c

ompa

red

to

over

300

Dow

ntow

n. T

here

are

als

o a

subs

tant

ial n

umbe

r of n

on-r

etai

l bus

ines

ses s

uch

as

busi

ness

and

per

sona

l ser

vice

s, su

ch a

s aut

o re

pair

whi

ch d

oes a

lso

sell

parts

and

thus

repo

rts

taxa

ble

sale

s.

Tabl

e 12

: Lo

s G

atos

Bou

leva

rd B

usin

esse

s by

Typ

e, 2

010

Bus

ines

s C

ateg

ory

(a)

Num

ber

% o

f Tot

al A

uto

Dea

lers

& A

uto

Sup

plie

s13

7.

9% H

ome

Furn

ishi

ngs/

App

lianc

es3

1.

8% B

ldg.

Mat

rl./F

arm

Impl

emen

ts2

1.

2% F

ood

Sto

res

13

7.9%

Ser

vice

Sta

tions

4

2.4%

App

arel

Sto

res

1

0.6%

Gen

eral

Mer

chan

dise

Sto

res

2

1.2%

Eat

ing

and

Drin

king

Pla

ces

23

13.9

% O

ther

Ret

ail S

tore

s37

22

.4%

Ret

ail S

tore

s To

tal

98

59.4

%

All

Oth

er O

utle

ts67

40

.6%

Tota

l16

5

10

0%

(a)

Cat

egor

ies

used

her

e ar

e ba

sed

on th

e 20

07 a

nd e

arlie

r SB

OE

cla

ssifi

catio

n sy

stem

.

Sour

ces:

SBO

E; U

.S. B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics;

Mun

i Ser

vice

s; T

own

of L

os G

atos

; BAE

, 201

1.

W

hile

the

Dow

ntow

n co

nfig

urat

ion

allo

ws f

or a

stro

ng p

edes

trian

-orie

nted

exp

erie

nce,

Los

Gat

os

Bou

leva

rd is

gen

eral

ly a

uto-

orie

nted

. Th

e B

oule

vard

’s re

tail

mix

is b

ifurc

ated

bet

wee

n th

e au

to-

rela

ted

reta

il an

d th

e co

nven

ienc

e-or

ient

ed sh

oppi

ng p

rovi

ded

by th

e fo

ur su

perm

arke

t-orie

nted

ce

nter

s. H

owev

er, t

wo

of th

e su

perm

arke

ts, W

hole

Foo

ds a

nd T

rade

r Joe

’s, a

re n

iche

su

perm

arke

ts ra

ther

than

mor

e ge

neric

mar

kets

. Lu

nard

i’s is

par

t of a

smal

ler r

egio

nal c

hain

, and

br

oker

inte

rvie

ws a

nd o

ther

sour

ces i

ndic

ate

extre

mel

y st

rong

sale

s. A

s will

be

seen

from

the

leak

age

anal

ysis

dis

cuss

ion,

the

Tow

n is

a st

rong

attr

acto

r for

gro

cery

shop

pers

, lik

ely

due

in p

art

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

42

of 1

50

to th

e va

riety

of s

tore

s on

Los G

atos

Bou

leva

rd th

at a

re a

lso

easi

ly a

cces

sibl

e to

par

ts o

f C

ampb

ell a

nd S

an Jo

se.

B

ecau

se o

f the

reta

il m

ix th

is a

rea

serv

es la

rgel

y as

a sh

oppi

ng d

estin

atio

n fo

r eve

ryda

y ne

eds

(asi

de fr

om th

e re

mai

ning

new

car

dea

lers

), co

mpl

emen

ting

the

Dow

ntow

n’s m

ore

spec

ializ

ed

and

regi

on-s

ervi

ng m

ix.

This

was

con

firm

ed b

y th

e ke

y in

form

ants

inte

rvie

wed

, alth

ough

ther

e ar

e so

me

spec

ialty

shop

s suc

h as

the

Woo

den

Toy

Hor

se S

tore

whi

ch d

raw

from

a b

road

er a

rea.

Th

e re

mai

ning

new

car

dea

lers

are

Moo

re B

uick

, Los

Gat

os A

cura

, and

Los

Gat

os L

uxur

y C

ars.

In

rece

nt y

ears

, Los

Gat

os B

oule

vard

has

lost

Che

vrol

et, H

onda

, and

For

d de

aler

ship

s as t

he

auto

mot

ive

indu

stry

has

rest

ruct

ured

in th

e fa

ce o

f dec

linin

g sa

les.

The

re a

re a

var

iety

of a

uto-

rela

ted

anci

llary

bus

ines

ses,

whi

ch in

clud

e ca

r ren

tal f

acili

ties,

auto

repa

ir, a

nd a

uto

parts

out

lets

.

In a

dditi

on to

the

thre

e su

perm

arke

ts m

entio

ned

abov

e, th

ere

is a

Nob

Hill

Foo

ds in

the

El G

ato

Vill

age

cent

er.

Rite

Aid

is lo

cate

d in

the

Blo

ssom

Hill

Sho

ppin

g C

ente

r with

Who

le F

oods

, and

C

VS/

Phar

mac

y is

in K

ings

Cou

rt w

ith L

unar

di’s

. Th

e C

VS

is m

ovin

g to

a fr

ee-s

tand

ing

stor

e in

th

e ne

ar fu

ture

on

the

form

er si

te o

f the

Che

vrol

et d

eale

rshi

p. T

here

are

als

o pl

ans f

or

appr

oxim

atel

y 30

,000

squa

re fe

et o

f com

mer

cial

spac

e on

the

form

er si

te o

f the

For

d de

aler

ship

(s

ee A

ppen

dix

B fo

r pla

nned

and

pro

pose

d de

velo

pmen

ts).

Oth

er re

tail

in th

e ar

ea in

clud

es a

bro

ad v

arie

ty o

f res

taur

ants

, one

of t

he T

own’

s tw

o ha

rdw

are

stor

es, L

os G

atos

Ace

Har

dwar

e, a

nd a

n O

ffic

e D

epot

acr

oss f

rom

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te.

Unl

ike

Dow

ntow

n, se

vera

l of t

he re

stau

rant

s are

fast

-foo

d fr

anch

ises

such

as M

cDon

ald’

s and

Jack

-in-

the-

Box

. N

eigh

borh

ood

Serv

ing

Cen

ters

. Lo

s Gat

os h

as fo

ur m

ajor

nei

ghbo

rhoo

d ce

nter

s, as

show

n in

ab

ove

in F

igur

e 6:

Rin

cona

da C

ente

r •

Dow

ning

Cen

ter

• W

algr

eens

Squ

are

• V

ason

a St

atio

n Th

ese

cent

ers a

re c

onve

nien

ce-o

rient

ed, w

ith a

ncho

rs a

nd o

ther

stor

es th

at la

rgel

y se

rve

near

by

resi

dent

s rat

her t

hat a

ttrac

ting

a re

gion

al c

lient

ele.

Int

eres

tingl

y, th

ese

neig

hbor

hood

cen

ters

are

al

l loc

ated

at o

r nea

r the

Tow

n bo

unda

ries,

thus

attr

actin

g sh

oppe

rs fr

om o

utsi

de th

e To

wn

sinc

e th

ey re

pres

ent t

he c

lose

st g

roce

ry o

r dru

g st

ore

shop

ping

. Th

e tw

o su

perm

arke

ts a

nd tw

o dr

ug

stor

es in

thes

e ce

nter

s thu

s con

tribu

te to

the

Tow

n’s c

aptu

re o

f sal

es e

ven

in lo

cal-s

ervi

ng re

tail

cate

gorie

s, as

dis

cuss

ed in

the

leak

age

anal

ysis

.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 4

3 of

150

The

follo

win

g ta

ble

pres

ents

the

mix

of b

usin

esse

s by

type

for e

ach

of th

e ne

ighb

orho

od c

ente

rs.16

Ta

ble

13:

Nei

ghbo

rhoo

d C

ente

rs B

usin

esse

s by

Typ

e, 2

010

Down

ing

Cent

erRi

ncon

ada C

ente

rVa

sona

Sta

tion

Walg

reen

s Squ

are

Tota

lBu

sines

s Cat

egor

y (a)

Num

ber

% o

f Tot

alNu

mbe

r%

of T

otal

Num

ber

% o

f Tot

alNu

mbe

r%

of T

otal

Num

ber

% o

f Tot

al A

uto D

ealer

s & A

uto S

uppli

es-

0.0%

-

0.0

%-

0.0%

-

0.0

%-

0.0%

Hom

e Fur

nishin

gs/A

pplia

nces

-

0.0

%-

0.0%

1

10.0%

-

0.0

%1

1.8

% B

ldg. M

atrl./F

arm

Imple

ments

-

0.0

%-

0.0%

-

0.0

%-

0.0%

-

0.0

% F

ood S

tores

2

16.7%

2

11.1%

1

10.0%

-

0.0

%5

8.8

% S

ervic

e Stat

ions

-

0.0

%-

0.0%

-

0.0

%1

5.9

%1

1.8

% A

ppar

el St

ores

1

8.3%

-

0.0

%-

0.0%

-

0.0

%1

1.8

% G

ener

al Me

rchan

dise S

tores

-

0.0

%1

5.6

%1

10

.0%1

5.9

%3

5.3

% E

ating

and D

rinkin

g Plac

es5

41

.7%4

22

.2%4

40

.0%3

17

.6%16

28

.1% O

ther R

etail S

tores

2

16.7%

4

22.2%

1

10.0%

4

23.5%

11

19.3%

Reta

il Sto

res T

otal

10

83

.3%11

61.1%

8

80.0%

9

52.9%

38

66

.7%

All O

ther O

utlets

2

16.7%

7

38.9%

2

20.0%

8

47.1%

19

33.3%

Tota

l12

10

0%18

10

0%10

10

0%17

10

0%57

10

0%

(a)

Categ

ories

used

here

are b

ased

on th

e 200

7 and

earlie

r SBO

E cla

ssific

ation

syste

m.

Sour

ces:

SBO

E; U

.S. B

urea

u of L

abor

Stat

istics

; Mun

i Ser

vices

; Tow

n of L

os G

atos;

BAE,

2011

.

Dow

ning

Cen

ter

is a

ncho

red

by a

Saf

eway

, with

a m

ix o

f ot

her

smal

l sto

res

incl

udin

g a

liquo

r st

ore,

a c

onsi

gnm

ent s

hop,

rest

aura

nts a

nd o

ther

smal

l bus

ines

ses a

nd se

rvic

es.

R

inco

nada

Cen

ter,

in th

e no

rthw

est p

ortio

n of

the

Tow

n on

the

bord

er w

ith C

ampb

ell,

is a

lso

anch

ored

by

a Sa

few

ay a

nd a

CV

S, a

nd in

clud

es a

num

ber o

f sm

alle

r bus

ines

ses i

n a

mix

of r

etai

l st

ores

, res

taur

ants

, and

bus

ines

s and

per

sona

l ser

vice

s.

Wal

gree

ns is

the

anch

or te

nant

for W

algr

eens

Squ

are,

on

the

bord

er w

ith S

an Jo

se in

the

east

ern

porti

on o

f Los

Gat

os.

In a

dditi

on to

the

phar

mac

y, th

e ce

nter

has

a n

umbe

r of s

mal

ler b

usin

esse

s, in

clud

ing

a hi

gh p

ropo

rtion

of p

erso

nal s

ervi

ces,

thre

e re

stau

rant

s, an

d ot

her m

isce

llane

ous r

etai

l. U

nlik

e th

e ot

her n

eigh

borh

ood

cent

ers,

the

smal

ler V

ason

a St

atio

n is

not

anc

hore

d by

a

supe

rmar

ket o

r maj

or c

hain

dru

g st

ore

(alth

ough

ther

e is

a sm

all p

harm

acy

that

is la

rgel

y pr

escr

iptio

n-or

ient

ed).

Inst

ead,

it is

a m

ix o

f sm

alle

r bus

ines

ses,

parti

cula

rly re

stau

rant

s. T

he

larg

est a

nd b

usie

st o

f the

rest

aura

nts i

s Ald

o’s R

isto

rant

e &

Bar

. Th

is c

ente

r is l

ocat

ed o

n W

inch

este

r Bou

leva

rd a

t the

Tow

n bo

unda

ry a

djac

ent t

o C

ampb

ell.

The

re a

re se

vera

l off

ice-

orie

nted

bus

ines

ses i

n th

e ce

nter

als

o.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

44

of 1

50

16 N

ote

once

aga

in th

at b

usin

esse

s not

requ

ired

to c

olle

ct sa

les t

axes

are

not

in th

e SB

OE

listin

gs; t

he

busi

ness

es li

sted

are

thus

onl

y th

ose

that

sell

tang

ible

item

s rat

her t

han

just

serv

ices

, suc

h as

reta

ilers

and

pe

rson

al se

rvic

es (e

.g.,

hair

salo

ns th

at a

lso

sell

beau

ty p

rodu

cts)

. In

clud

es b

usin

esse

s act

ive

at a

ny ti

me

in

2010

.

Re

tail

Ma

rke

t A

ss

es

sm

en

t:

Sa

les

an

d L

ea

ka

ge

An

aly

sis

Th

is se

ctio

n ex

amin

es re

tail

sale

s con

ditio

ns in

Los

Gat

os a

nd th

e R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

(RTA

).

Dat

a fo

r the

Tow

n an

d th

e R

TA a

re p

rese

nted

, alo

ng w

ith c

ompa

rativ

e da

ta fr

om S

anta

Cla

ra

Cou

nty

and

Cal

iforn

ia.

The

anal

ysis

pre

sent

s an

over

view

of r

etai

l sal

es fo

cusi

ng o

n ca

tego

ries

that

mig

ht re

pres

ent t

he p

rimar

y co

mpe

titio

n w

ith re

tail

at th

e N

orth

40

site

. A

leak

age

anal

ysis

fo

r the

Tow

n an

d th

e R

TA is

und

erta

ken

to id

entif

y th

e re

lativ

e st

reng

th o

f maj

or re

tail

sect

ors.

Th

e pr

imar

y so

urce

of i

nfor

mat

ion

on g

ener

al re

tail

expe

nditu

res i

n C

alifo

rnia

is th

e ta

xabl

e re

tail

sale

s dat

a pu

blis

hed

by th

e St

ate

Boa

rd o

f Equ

aliz

atio

n (S

BO

E).

SBO

E pu

blis

hes T

axab

le S

ales

in

Cal

iforn

ia, a

qua

rterly

and

ann

ual p

ublic

atio

n th

at re

ports

taxa

ble

sale

s by

maj

or st

ore

cate

gorie

s by

city

and

cou

nty.

With

adj

ustm

ents

mad

e to

take

into

acc

ount

non

taxa

ble

sale

s suc

h as

food

and

pre

scrip

tions

, thi

s sou

rce

usua

lly o

ffer

s the

bes

t bas

elin

e da

ta fo

r jur

isdi

ctio

ns fo

r w

hich

it is

ava

ilabl

e. H

owev

er, b

egin

ning

in 2

009

SBO

E us

ed a

new

cat

egor

izat

ion

of b

usin

esse

s th

at m

akes

com

paris

ons w

ith e

arlie

r dat

a an

d a

cont

inue

d tim

e se

ries d

iffic

ult i

f not

impo

ssib

le.

B

ecau

se o

f the

lim

itatio

ns w

ith S

BO

E da

ta w

ith re

spec

t to

avai

labi

lity

for s

ubar

eas o

f lar

ger c

ities

su

ch a

s San

Jose

whi

ch m

akes

up

a la

rge

porti

on o

f the

RTA

, and

for u

ninc

orpo

rate

d ar

eas (

whi

ch

also

con

stitu

te p

art o

f the

RTA

), th

e le

akag

e an

alys

is it

self

utili

zes e

stim

ates

bas

ed o

n 20

08 Z

ip

Cod

e an

d C

ount

y B

usin

ess P

atte

rns e

mpl

oym

ent d

ata

benc

hmar

ked

to a

djus

ted

data

on

sale

s per

em

ploy

ee fr

om th

e 20

07 E

cono

mic

Cen

sus,

with

adj

ustm

ents

by

cate

gory

mad

e ba

sed

on

cros

sche

cks w

ith S

BO

E da

ta a

nd to

refle

ct m

ore

curr

ent c

ondi

tions

. Th

e us

e of

this

dat

a so

urce

al

so a

llow

s ana

lysi

s by

far m

ore

deta

il by

reta

il se

ctor

. Es

timat

ed R

etai

l Sal

es in

Los

Gat

os a

nd th

e R

TA

by M

ajor

Ret

ail C

ateg

ory

As n

oted

abo

ve, r

etai

l sal

es d

ata

for t

he o

vera

ll R

TA c

anno

t be

deriv

ed fr

om th

e av

aila

ble

taxa

ble

sale

s dat

a, si

nce

thos

e da

ta a

re n

ot p

ublis

hed

sepa

rate

ly fo

r sal

es in

the

porti

on o

f San

Jose

whi

ch

is in

the

RTA

or f

or th

e un

inco

rpor

ated

por

tions

of t

he R

TA.

Furth

erm

ore,

bec

ause

of d

iscl

osur

e is

sues

, the

leve

l of d

etai

l ava

ilabl

e fo

r som

e of

the

citie

s in

the

RTA

is in

suff

icie

nt fo

r the

ana

lysi

s he

re.

In o

rder

to c

ompa

re a

ctua

l exp

endi

ture

s for

all

RTA

resi

dent

s with

pot

entia

l exp

endi

ture

s by

stor

e ca

tego

ry, a

n al

tern

ativ

e es

timat

e m

etho

dolo

gy fo

r est

imat

ing

sale

s for

the

over

all R

TA

has b

een

deve

lope

d. T

his p

oint

-in-ti

me

estim

ate

can

then

als

o ac

coun

t for

the

entir

e po

pula

tion

of th

e R

TA to

der

ive

per c

apita

sale

s est

imat

es fo

r use

in c

ompa

rison

with

a b

ench

mar

k fo

r the

le

akag

e an

alys

is.

For c

ompa

rativ

e pu

rpos

es, s

imila

r est

imat

es h

ave

been

der

ived

for t

he T

own

of

Los G

atos

, San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty,

and

Cal

iforn

ia.

Th

ese

estim

ates

hav

e be

en d

eriv

ed u

sing

the

mos

t rec

ent a

vaila

ble

data

from

the

Cen

sus o

f Ret

ail

Trad

e an

d Zi

p C

ode

Bus

ines

s Pat

tern

s. T

hese

est

imat

es p

rovi

de p

oint

-in-ti

me

data

for t

he T

own

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 4

5 of

150

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

46

of 1

50

al ,

ell

and

the

RTA

by

deta

iled

reta

il ca

tego

ry.

Furth

er e

xpla

natio

n of

the

met

hodo

logy

can

be

foun

d in

A

ppen

dix

I. Fo

r the

pur

pose

s of t

he a

naly

sis h

ere,

the

estim

ated

reta

il sa

les h

ave

been

gro

uped

into

ele

ven

cate

gorie

s:

Mot

or V

ehic

le a

nd P

arts

Dea

lers

Hom

e Fu

rnis

hing

s and

App

lianc

e St

ores

Bld

g. M

atrl.

and

Gar

den

Equi

p. a

nd S

uppl

ies

• Fo

od a

nd B

ever

age

Stor

es

• H

ealth

and

Per

sona

l Car

e St

ores

Gas

olin

e St

atio

ns

• C

loth

ing

and

Clo

thin

g A

cces

sorie

s Sto

res

• Sp

ortin

g G

oods

, Hob

by, B

ook,

and

Mus

ic S

tore

s •

Gen

eral

Mer

chan

dise

Sto

res17

Mis

cella

neou

s Sto

re R

etai

lers

Food

Ser

vice

s and

Drin

king

Pla

ces18

Sa

les a

t non

-sto

re re

taile

rs (e

.g. m

ail o

rder

and

auc

tion

hous

es) a

re n

ot in

clud

ed in

the

anal

ysis

, no

r are

sale

s occ

urrin

g at

non

-ret

ail o

utle

ts.

Los

Gat

os

As s

how

n in

Tab

le 1

4, re

tail

sale

s for

the

Tow

n fo

r 200

8 ar

e es

timat

ed a

t app

roxi

mat

ely

$838

m

illio

n (a

ll sa

les a

re p

rese

nted

in in

flatio

n-ad

just

ed 2

010

dolla

rs).

The

thre

e la

rges

t cat

egor

ies

are

mot

or v

ehic

le a

nd p

arts

dea

lers

at 3

0 pe

rcen

t of s

ales

,19 fo

od a

nd b

ever

age

stor

es a

t 23

perc

ent,

and

food

serv

ices

and

drin

king

pla

ces a

t 15

perc

ent.

The

pro

porti

on o

f the

Tow

n’s t

otre

tail

sale

s in

mot

or v

ehic

le a

nd fo

od st

ore

sale

s are

con

side

rabl

y hi

gher

than

foun

d in

the

RTA

the

Cou

nty,

or t

he S

tate

. Th

e To

wn

show

s alm

ost n

o sa

les i

n G

ener

al M

erch

andi

se st

ores

, wbe

low

the

prop

ortio

ns fo

r the

oth

er g

eogr

aphi

es.

On

a pe

r cap

ita b

asis

, ret

ail s

ales

in L

os G

atos

ar

e qu

ite h

igh,

at $

28,6

53 a

nnua

lly c

ompa

red

to le

ss th

an $

14,0

00 a

nnua

lly fo

r the

oth

er th

ree

geog

raph

ies.

Sev

eral

sect

ors h

ave

per c

apita

sale

s at m

ore

than

twic

e th

e le

vels

foun

d in

the

RTA

; the

onl

y se

ctor

s lag

ging

the

RTA

in p

er c

apita

sale

s are

the

build

ing

mat

eria

ls g

roup

and

ge

nera

l mer

chan

dise

stor

es.

Whi

le th

e le

akag

e an

alys

is w

ill p

rese

nt a

mor

e re

fined

pic

ture

, the

pr

opor

tions

of p

er c

apita

sale

s by

cate

gory

are

a fi

rst i

ndic

ator

of s

treng

ths a

nd w

eakn

esse

s in

the

reta

il se

ctor

in L

os G

atos

.

17

Incl

udes

stor

es th

at se

ll a

broa

d ra

nge

of m

erch

andi

se.

Exam

ples

incl

ude

tradi

tiona

l dep

artm

ent s

tore

s suc

h as

Mac

y’s,

disc

ount

dep

artm

ent s

tore

s suc

h as

Wal

mar

t, an

d w

areh

ouse

stor

es su

ch a

s Cos

tco.

18

Thi

s cat

egor

y in

clud

es a

ll ty

pes o

f res

taur

ants

, as w

ell a

s cat

erin

g se

rvic

es.

19 A

s not

ed, t

hese

are

est

imat

ed sa

les f

rom

200

8; a

s will

be

seen

from

the

SBO

E da

ta, m

otor

veh

icle

sale

s ha

ve d

eclin

ed c

onsi

dera

bly

sinc

e th

en.

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a Th

e R

TA’s

reta

il sa

les f

or 2

008

are

estim

ated

at a

ppro

xim

atel

y $8

.4 b

illio

n, a

bout

10

times

the

sale

s in

Los G

atos

alo

ne.

Whi

le so

mew

hat s

mal

ler p

ropo

rtion

ally

than

for t

he T

own,

mot

or

vehi

cle

and

parts

dea

lers

, foo

d an

d be

vera

ge st

ores

, and

food

serv

ices

and

drin

king

pla

ces a

re th

e th

ree

larg

est c

ateg

orie

s for

sale

s. W

hile

ther

e ar

e so

me

varia

tions

by

stor

e ca

tego

ry, t

he R

TA’s

le

vels

of p

er c

apita

sale

s are

muc

h cl

oser

to th

e co

unty

wid

e an

d st

atew

ide

leve

ls th

an th

e To

wn’

s.

Onc

e ag

ain,

the

leak

age

anal

ysis

will

pre

sent

a m

ore

refin

ed p

ictu

re, b

ut th

ese

leve

ls o

f per

cap

ita

sale

s rel

ativ

e to

the

larg

er a

reas

are

indi

cativ

e of

a g

ener

al b

alan

ce b

etw

een

the

reta

il su

pply

and

de

man

d fo

r the

RTA

as a

who

le.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 4

7 of

150

Tabl

e 14

: To

tal E

stim

ated

200

8 R

etai

l Sal

es

Sal

es in

201

0 $0

00 (a

)To

wn

ofM

arke

tSa

nta

Cla

raLo

s G

atos

Area

Cou

nty

Cal

iforn

iaM

otor

Veh

icle

and

Par

ts D

eale

rs$2

49,0

00$1

,816

,000

$4,4

28,0

00$9

9,92

3,00

0H

ome

Furn

ishi

ngs

and

App

lianc

e S

tore

s$3

9,00

0$6

32,0

00$1

,750

,000

$27,

409,

000

Bld

g. M

atrl.

and

Gar

den

Equ

ip. a

nd S

uppl

ies

$19,

000

$613

,000

$1,6

71,0

00$3

1,26

6,00

0Fo

od a

nd B

ever

age

Sto

res

$190

,000

$1,3

16,0

00$3

,738

,000

$77,

082,

000

Hea

lth a

nd P

erso

nal C

are

Sto

res

$70,

000

$395

,000

$1,1

69,0

00$2

4,31

3,00

0G

asol

ine

Sta

tions

$52,

000

$603

,000

$1,5

62,0

00$4

1,59

0,00

0C

loth

ing

and

Clo

thin

g A

cces

sorie

s S

tore

s$4

7,00

0$5

82,0

00$1

,869

,000

$30,

438,

000

Spo

rting

Goo

ds, H

obby

, Boo

k, a

nd M

usic

Sto

res

$18,

000

$257

,000

$593

,000

$9,5

27,0

00G

ener

al M

erch

andi

se S

tore

s$1

,000

$796

,000

$2,7

45,0

00$6

0,01

3,00

0M

isce

llane

ous

Sto

re R

etai

lers

$30,

000

$202

,000

$617

,000

$11,

799,

000

Food

Ser

vice

s an

d D

rinki

ng P

lace

s$1

23,0

00$1

,125

,000

$3,4

68,0

00$6

0,31

6,00

0R

etai

l Out

lets

Tot

al$8

38,0

00$8

,337

,000

$23,

610,

000

$473

,676

,000

Sal

es p

er C

apita

in 2

010

$ To

wn

ofM

arke

tSa

nta

Cla

raLo

s G

atos

Area

Cou

nty

Cal

iforn

iaM

otor

Veh

icle

and

Par

ts D

eale

rs$8

,514

$3,0

28$2

,514

$2,7

34H

ome

Furn

ishi

ngs

and

App

lianc

e S

tore

s$1

,333

$1,0

54$9

94$7

50B

ldg.

Mat

rl. a

nd G

arde

n E

quip

. and

Sup

plie

s$6

50$1

,022

$949

$855

Food

and

Bev

erag

e S

tore

s$6

,496

$2,1

94$2

,122

$2,1

09H

ealth

and

Per

sona

l Car

e S

tore

s$2

,393

$659

$664

$665

Gas

olin

e S

tatio

ns$1

,778

$1,0

05$8

87$1

,138

Clo

thin

g an

d C

loth

ing

Acc

esso

ries

Sto

res

$1,6

07$9

70$1

,061

$833

Spo

rting

Goo

ds, H

obby

, Boo

k, a

nd M

usic

Sto

res

$615

$428

$337

$261

Gen

eral

Mer

chan

dise

Sto

res

$34

$1,3

27$1

,558

$1,6

42M

isce

llane

ous

Sto

re R

etai

lers

$1,0

26$3

37$3

50$3

23Fo

od S

ervi

ces

and

Drin

king

Pla

ces

$4,2

06$1

,876

$1,9

69$1

,650

Ret

ail O

utle

ts T

otal

$28,

653

$13,

899

$13,

404

$12,

959

2008

Pop

ulat

ion

(b)

29,2

4759

9,83

51,

761,

375

36,5

51,8

09

Not

es:

Sal

es e

stim

ates

wer

e in

itial

ly g

ener

ated

usi

ng 2

008

Zip

Cod

e an

d C

ount

y B

usin

ess

Pat

tern

s em

ploy

men

t dat

a an

dpe

r-em

ploy

ee s

ales

dat

a by

det

aile

d N

AIC

S c

ode

from

the

2007

Eco

nom

ic C

ensu

s.

Thes

e nu

mbe

rs b

y m

ajor

cate

gory

abo

ve w

ere

then

cro

ss-c

heck

ed a

gain

st S

BO

E d

ata

and

2007

Eco

nom

ic C

ensu

s da

ta w

here

ava

ilabl

e to

conf

irm, w

ith s

ome

adju

stm

ents

mad

e as

indi

cate

d by

inco

nsis

tenc

ies

betw

een

the

sour

ces.

Bec

ause

of d

iffer

ence

s in

cate

goriz

atio

n sc

hem

es, d

ata

by c

ateg

ory

may

not

be

dire

ctly

com

para

ble

to S

BO

E n

umbe

rs p

rese

nted

els

ewhe

re.

2008

repr

esen

ts m

ost r

ecen

t dat

a av

aila

ble

at ti

me

of a

naly

sis.

Mar

ket a

rea

defin

ition

s ar

e th

e sa

me

as fo

r the

dem

ogra

phic

s an

alys

is, b

ut in

clud

e so

me

poin

t-lev

el Z

ip C

odes

not

pre

sent

in th

e de

mog

raph

ic a

naly

sis.

See

App

endi

x A

for Z

ip C

odes

cov

ered

.

(a) R

etai

l sal

es h

ave

been

adj

uste

d to

201

0 do

llars

bas

ed o

n th

e B

ay A

rea

and

Cal

iforn

ia C

onsu

mer

Pric

e In

dex

calc

ulat

ed b

y th

e C

alifo

rnia

Dep

artm

ent o

f Ind

ustri

al R

elat

ions

(bas

ed o

n da

ta fr

om th

e B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics)

for

Cal

iforn

ia, a

nd th

e B

ay A

rea

Con

sum

er P

rice

Inde

x fro

m th

e U

.S. B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics

for t

he s

mal

ler a

reas

. To

tal s

ales

est

imat

es ro

unde

d to

nea

rest

mill

ion

$.(b

) P

opul

atio

n es

timat

es fo

r the

mar

ket a

reas

der

ived

bas

ed o

n C

ensu

s 20

00 a

nd C

larit

as 2

010

estim

ates

, ass

umin

g a

cons

tant

rate

of g

row

th o

ver t

he p

erio

d to

obt

ain

the

2008

est

imat

e.

Sou

rces

: 20

00 a

nd 2

010

U.S

. Cen

sus;

U.S

. Cen

sus

of R

etai

l Tra

de, 2

007;

Zip

Cod

e an

d C

ount

y B

usin

ess

Pat

tern

s,20

07 a

nd 2

008;

CA

Dep

t. of

Indu

stria

l Rel

atio

ns; U

.S. B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics;

BA

E, 2

011.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

48

of 1

50

Ret

ail S

ales

by

Maj

or R

etai

l Cat

egor

y in

Los

Gat

os, S

anta

Cla

ra

Cou

nty,

and

Cal

iforn

ia

The

follo

win

g se

ctio

n pr

esen

ts h

isto

ric d

ata

on re

tail

sale

s by

maj

or st

ore/

outle

t cat

egor

y, to

su

pple

men

t the

sing

le-y

ear e

stim

ate

prov

ided

in th

e pr

evio

us se

ctio

n. T

he fo

llow

ing

disc

ussi

on

relie

s on

taxa

ble

sale

s dat

a pu

blis

hed

by S

BO

E. U

nfor

tuna

tely

, SB

OE

taxa

ble

sale

s dat

a ar

e no

t av

aila

ble

for t

he R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

as a

who

le; t

he d

iscu

ssio

n he

re fo

cuse

s on

Los G

atos

, with

co

mpa

rativ

e da

ta fr

om S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y an

d th

e C

alifo

rnia

pro

vide

d. A

ll da

ta a

re p

rese

nted

in

cons

tant

201

0 do

llars

, bas

ed o

n th

e B

ay A

rea

and

Cal

iforn

ia C

onsu

mer

Pric

e In

dexe

s. It

is

impo

rtant

to n

ote

that

the

disc

ussi

on h

ere

spec

ifica

lly c

over

s tax

able

sale

s, no

t tot

al sa

les.

For

in

stan

ce, f

ood

purc

hase

s, pr

escr

iptio

n dr

ugs,

and

serv

ices

(e.g

., au

to re

pair)

are

not

taxa

ble.

N

ever

thel

ess t

he ta

xabl

e sa

les d

ata

are

the

best

indi

cato

r ava

ilabl

e of

reta

il sa

les t

rend

s by

maj

or

stor

e ca

tego

ry o

ver a

per

iod

of y

ears

, eve

n th

ough

they

do

not p

rovi

de c

ompl

ete

cove

rage

of t

he

reta

il se

ctor

, and

thus

the

estim

ates

are

low

er th

an p

rovi

ded

by th

e Zi

p C

ode

data

dis

cuss

ed

abov

e. T

he le

akag

e an

alys

is fo

llow

ing

the

mar

ket o

verv

iew

is b

ased

on

the

stat

ic e

stim

ate

deriv

ed fr

om Z

ip C

ode

and

Cou

nty

Bus

ines

s Pat

tern

s and

the

Econ

omic

Cen

sus i

n or

der t

o co

ver

the

tota

l ret

ail s

ecto

r. B

ecau

se o

f the

recl

assi

ficat

ion

of b

usin

esse

s by

SBO

E be

ginn

ing

with

200

9, it

is n

ot p

ossi

ble

to

cons

iste

ntly

trac

k re

tail

sale

s by

maj

or st

ore

cate

gory

into

200

9 w

ith th

e pu

blis

hed

data

. Ev

en a

tim

e se

ries f

or o

vera

ll re

tail

sale

s is n

ot a

vaila

ble,

as s

ome

busi

ness

es w

ere

mov

ed o

ut o

f ret

ail

and

into

the

“all

othe

r out

lets

” ca

tego

ry.

This

is p

artic

ular

ly a

pro

blem

in L

os G

atos

, whe

re

Net

flix,

a m

ajor

sale

s tax

gen

erat

or, w

as m

oved

out

of t

he re

tail

grou

p –

thus

the

trend

line

for

tota

l ret

ail s

ales

show

s a si

gnifi

cant

dro

p fr

om 2

008

to 2

009,

but

this

is n

ot d

ue to

an

actu

al

decl

ine

in sa

les.

As a

resu

lt, re

tail

sale

s by

maj

or c

ateg

ory

are

disc

usse

d fo

r the

200

0 to

200

8 pe

riod,

and

then

sepa

rate

ly fo

r 200

9.

For L

os G

atos

, BA

E ob

tain

ed m

ore

rece

nt d

ata

for t

he 2

008

thro

ugh

2010

per

iod,

usi

ng th

e ol

der

clas

sific

atio

n sy

stem

. H

owev

er, t

hese

dat

a ar

e no

t dire

ctly

com

para

ble

to th

e 20

00 th

roug

h 20

08

data

due

to d

iffer

ing

data

repo

rting

met

hodo

logi

es, a

nd th

e sa

me

sour

ce d

ata

was

not

ava

ilabl

e fo

r Sa

nta

Cla

ra C

ount

y or

Cal

iforn

ia.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 4

9 of

150

Los

Gat

os

Bet

wee

n 20

00 a

nd 2

008,

tota

l inf

latio

n-ad

just

ed ta

xabl

e re

tail

sale

s in

Los G

atos

dip

ped

in th

e ea

rly p

art o

f the

dec

ade

follo

win

g th

e do

t-com

bus

t, an

d th

en g

radu

ally

incr

ease

d to

pea

k at

ne

arly

$76

0 an

nual

ly in

200

6 (s

ee F

igur

e 7)

. B

y 20

08, t

otal

reta

il sa

les h

ad d

eclin

ed a

gain

to

$694

mill

ion

in 2

010

dolla

rs.

How

ever

, prio

r to

2009

, Net

flix

was

cla

ssifi

ed a

s a re

tail

outle

t (in

th

e “o

ther

reta

il st

ores

” ca

tego

ry),

skew

ing

sale

s upw

ard

as th

eir s

ales

boo

med

. Fi

gure

7 a

lso

show

s tot

al re

tail

sale

s exc

ludi

ng N

etfli

x an

d th

e en

tire

othe

r ret

ail s

ubca

tego

ry; t

his s

how

s the

re

mai

nder

of t

axab

le re

tail

sale

s pea

king

in 2

005,

with

a d

eclin

e in

eve

ry y

ear t

hrou

gh 2

008.

Th

ese

chan

ges i

n re

tail

sale

s occ

urre

d ag

ains

t a b

ackg

roun

d of

ver

y lim

ited

popu

latio

n gr

owth

in

the

Tow

n.

Figu

re 7

: Lo

s G

atos

Tax

able

Ret

ail S

ales

and

Pop

ulat

ion

Tren

ds, 2

000-

2008

Not

es: P

opul

atio

n da

ta d

eriv

ed fr

om 2

000

and

2010

Cen

sus,

with

ass

umpt

ion

of c

onst

ant a

nnua

l gro

wth

. Al

l sal

es s

how

n in

201

0 do

llars

. Fo

r det

ails

, see

App

endi

x C

.

Sour

ce:

BA

E 2

011,

bas

ed o

n so

urce

s as

not

ed in

App

endi

x C

.

‐10,000

 

20,000

 

30,000

 

40,000

 

50,000

 

60,000

 

70,000

 

80,000

 

$0 

$100

,000

 

$200

,000

 

$300

,000

 

$400

,000

 

$500

,000

 

$600

,000

 

$700

,000

 

$800

,000

 

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Population

Taxable Sales in $000

Total Retail Sales

Exclud

ing Other Retail Stores

Popu

latio

n

SB

OE-

publ

ishe

d sa

les d

ata

from

200

9 ar

e no

t com

para

ble

to e

arlie

r yea

rs, d

ue to

SB

OE’

s re

clas

sific

atio

n of

all

outle

ts.

How

ever

, ann

ual s

ales

for t

he 2

008

thro

ugh

2010

per

iod

are

show

n in

the

data

obt

aine

d fo

r the

City

onl

y. A

s sho

wn

in F

igur

e 8,

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les c

ontin

ued

thei

r de

clin

e in

to 2

009,

but

stab

ilize

d an

d re

boun

ded

slig

htly

in 2

010.

In

2010

, tot

al ta

xabl

e re

tail

sale

s w

ere

estim

ated

at s

light

ly m

ore

than

$40

0 m

illio

n.20

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

50

of 1

50

20 N

ote

that

this

tota

l exc

lude

s Net

flix.

The

key

fact

or in

the

long

-term

dec

line

of re

tail

sale

s (ex

clud

ing

Net

flix)

in L

os G

atos

is th

e de

clin

e in

the

mot

or v

ehic

le se

ctor

. B

y 20

10, t

axab

le m

otor

veh

icle

sale

s in

the

Tow

n w

ere

only

21

per

cent

of 2

000

leve

ls a

fter a

djus

ting

for i

nfla

tion

(see

App

endi

ces C

-1 a

nd C

-2).

Thu

s thi

s de

clin

e is

not

just

a re

sult

of th

e ec

onom

ic d

ownt

urn

of th

e la

st fe

w y

ears

. N

o ot

her s

ecto

r sho

ws

this

leve

l of d

eclin

e; in

fact

, mos

t of t

he m

ajor

reta

il se

ctor

s hav

e 20

10 in

flatio

n ad

just

ed sa

les

sim

ilar t

o th

ose

in 2

000.

Onl

y th

e ot

her r

etai

l gro

up sh

ows a

subs

tant

ial d

eclin

e, to

60

perc

ent o

f 20

00 le

vels

.

Figu

re 8

: Lo

s G

atos

Tax

able

Ret

ail S

ales

and

Pop

ulat

ion

Tren

ds, 2

008-

2010

Not

es: P

opul

atio

n da

ta d

eriv

ed fr

om 2

000

and

2010

Cen

sus,

with

ass

umpt

ion

of c

onst

ant a

nnua

l gro

wth

. A

ll sa

les

show

n in

201

0 do

llars

. Fo

r det

ails

, see

App

endi

x C

.

Sou

rce:

BA

E 2

011,

bas

ed o

n so

urce

s as

not

ed in

App

endi

x C

.

‐5,000 

10,000

 

15,000

 

20,000

 

25,000

 

30,000

 

35,000

 

40,000

 

45,000

 

50,000

 

$0 

$50,00

$100

,000

 

$150

,000

 

$200

,000

 

$250

,000

 

$300

,000

 

$350

,000

 

$400

,000

 

$450

,000

 

$500

,000

 

2008

2009

2010

Population

Taxable Sales in $000

Total Retail Sales

Popu

latio

n

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 5

1 of

150

Sant

a C

lara

Cou

nty

The

Cou

nty

also

show

s a p

atte

rn o

f tax

able

reta

il sa

les d

eclin

e ea

rly in

the

deca

de, f

ollo

wed

by

a m

id-d

ecad

e in

crea

se, a

nd a

noth

er d

eclin

e la

te in

the

deca

de.

On

an in

flatio

n-ad

just

ed b

asis

, sal

es

neve

r aga

in a

chie

ve th

e 20

00 le

vels

of n

early

$25

bill

ion

in a

nnua

l tax

able

reta

il sa

les;

in 2

008

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les w

ere

belo

w $

20 b

illio

n in

the

Cou

nty

(see

Fig

ure

9).

In 2

009,

this

fell

furth

er

to u

nder

$17

bill

ion.

21

Figu

re 9

: Sa

nta

Cla

ra C

ount

y Ta

xabl

e R

etai

l Sal

es a

nd P

opul

atio

n Tr

ends

, 200

0-20

08

Not

es: P

opul

atio

n da

ta d

eriv

ed fr

om 2

000

and

2010

Cen

sus,

with

ass

umpt

ion

of c

onst

ant a

nnua

l gro

wth

. Al

l sal

es s

how

n in

201

0 do

llars

. Fo

r det

ails

, see

App

endi

x C

.

Sour

ce:

BA

E 2

011,

bas

ed o

n so

urce

s as

not

ed in

App

endi

x C

.

‐500,000 

1,000,000 

1,500,000 

2,000,000 

2,500,000 

3,000,000 

$0 

$5,000,000

 

$10,00

0,000 

$15,00

0,000 

$20,00

0,000 

$25,00

0,000 

$30,00

0,000 

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Population

Taxable Sales in $000

Total Retail Sales

Popu

latio

n

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

52

of 1

50

21 B

ecau

se o

f the

recl

assi

ficat

ion

of b

usin

esse

s in

2009

, it i

s pos

sibl

e th

at so

me

of th

e ch

ange

bet

wee

n 20

08

and

2009

is d

ue to

bus

ines

ses f

orm

erly

cla

ssifi

ed a

s ret

ail n

ow b

eing

exc

lude

d fr

om th

at g

roup

(e.g

., N

etfli

x in

Los

Gat

os).

Cal

iforn

ia

As s

how

n in

Fig

ure

10, t

axab

le re

tail

sale

s lev

els f

or C

alifo

rnia

wer

e re

lativ

ely

flat f

rom

200

0 th

roug

h 20

02, r

efle

ctin

g th

e do

t-com

bus

t and

pos

t 9/1

1 de

clin

e, e

ffec

ts o

f whi

ch w

ere

not a

s gr

eatly

felt

stat

ewid

e as

in S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y. S

tate

wid

e sa

les t

hen

incr

ease

d th

roug

h 20

05,

with

dec

lines

sinc

e th

at y

ear.

Infla

tion-

adju

sted

est

imat

ed sa

les o

f $36

1 bi

llion

for 2

008

are

belo

w 2

000

leve

ls (a

lso

infla

tion-

adju

sted

), ev

en th

ough

the

popu

latio

n of

the

stat

e in

crea

sed

by

eigh

t per

cent

in th

e sa

me

perio

d. I

n 20

09, t

otal

infla

tion-

adju

sted

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les f

or th

e st

ate

wer

e re

porte

d at

$31

5 bi

llion

, ind

icat

ing

a fu

rther

dec

line.

22

Figu

re 1

0: C

alifo

rnia

Tax

able

Ret

ail S

ales

and

Pop

ulat

ion

Tren

ds, 2

000-

2008

Not

es: P

opul

atio

n da

ta d

eriv

ed fr

om 2

000

and

2010

Cen

sus,

with

ass

umpt

ion

of c

onst

ant a

nnua

l gro

wth

. Al

l sal

es s

how

n in

201

0 do

llars

. Fo

r det

ails

, see

App

endi

x C

.

Sour

ce:

BA

E 2

011,

bas

ed o

n so

urce

s as

not

ed in

App

endi

x C

.

‐5,000,000 

10,000,000

 

15,000,000

 

20,000,000

 

25,000,000

 

30,000,000

 

35,000,000

 

40,000,000

 

45,000,000

 

50,000,000

 

$0 

$50,00

0,000 

$100,000,000

 

$150,000,000

 

$200,000,000

 

$250,000,000

 

$300,000,000

 

$350,000,000

 

$400,000,000

 

$450,000,000

 

$500,000,000

 

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Population

Taxable Sales in $000

Total Retail Sales

Popu

latio

n

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

22 A

s with

the

Cou

nty,

the

recl

assi

ficat

ion

of b

usin

esse

s in

2009

mak

es it

pos

sibl

e th

at so

me

of th

e ch

ange

be

twee

n 20

08 a

nd 2

009

is d

ue to

bus

ines

ses f

orm

erly

cla

ssifi

ed a

s ret

ail n

ow b

eing

exc

lude

d fr

om th

at g

roup

.

Pa

ge 5

3 of

150

Los

Gat

os T

axab

le R

etai

l Sal

es b

y D

istr

ict

The

follo

win

g an

alys

is is

bas

ed o

n in

form

atio

n pr

ovid

ed b

y th

e To

wn,

bro

ken

out b

y th

ree

sepa

rate

suba

reas

: Dow

ntow

n, in

clud

ing

the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore,

Dow

ntow

n N

orth

, and

Blo

ssom

H

ill/U

nive

rsity

; Los

Gat

os B

oule

vard

; and

the

neig

hbor

hood

serv

ing

cent

ers,

incl

udin

g R

inco

nada

Cen

ter,

Vas

ona

Stat

ion,

Wal

gree

ns S

quar

e, a

nd D

owni

ng C

ente

r. Fi

gure

11

prov

ides

an

over

view

of r

ecen

t tax

able

reta

il sa

les b

y su

bare

a, a

s wel

l as a

n in

dica

tion

of th

e le

vels

of s

ales

tax

gene

ratio

n by

eac

h su

bare

a re

lativ

e to

eac

h ot

her a

nd th

e To

wn.

D

ownt

own

is th

e la

rges

t of t

he th

ree

suba

reas

in te

rms o

f tax

able

sale

s, w

ith L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd

slig

htly

low

er a

nd th

e ne

ighb

orho

od c

ente

rs c

ontri

butin

g a

far s

mal

ler s

hare

of t

he T

own’

s ove

rall

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les.

23

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

54

of 1

50

23 T

he d

iscu

ssio

n he

re is

with

resp

ect t

o ta

xabl

e re

tail

sale

s, no

t tot

al re

tail

sale

s. T

he th

ree

stor

e ty

pes w

here

th

is is

sign

ifica

nt fa

ctor

are

aut

o de

aler

s (w

hich

ofte

n pr

ovid

e no

n-ta

xabl

e se

rvic

es),

food

stor

es, a

nd d

rug

stor

es.

Not

e th

at N

etfli

x sa

les h

ave

been

exc

lude

d fr

om a

ll ye

ars.

Dow

ntow

n In

201

0, D

ownt

own

Los G

atos

gen

erat

ed a

ppro

xim

atel

y $2

09 m

illio

n in

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les,

or

over

50

perc

ent o

f the

Tow

n’s t

otal

, ind

icat

ing

its si

gnifi

canc

e as

a sh

oppi

ng d

estin

atio

n an

d as

a

tax

gene

rato

r for

the

Tow

n (s

ee T

able

15)

. O

n an

infla

tion-

adju

sted

bas

is, t

his s

ales

leve

l has

de

clin

ed fr

om $

225

mill

ion

in 2

008,

but

has

rebo

unde

d fr

om $

198

mill

ion

in 2

009.

Thi

s upt

ick

is

due

in p

art t

o in

crea

sing

sale

s at t

he A

pple

Sto

re, w

hich

is o

ne o

f the

top

25 la

rges

t sal

es ta

x ge

nera

tors

in th

e To

wn.

W

hile

dis

clos

ure

rule

s for

SB

OE

data

lim

it th

e de

tail

that

can

be

prov

ided

, the

Tab

le a

lso

show

s so

me

sale

s by

cate

gory

. O

f the

dis

clos

ed c

ateg

orie

s, Ea

ting

and

Drin

king

Pla

ces s

how

ann

ual

taxa

ble

sale

s in

the

rang

e of

app

roxi

mat

ely

$64

mill

ion

to $

67 m

illio

n, a

nd A

ppar

el S

tore

s hav

e sa

les a

t app

roxi

mat

ely

$25

to $

27 m

illio

n an

nual

ly.

Bot

h of

thes

e ca

tego

ries h

ad y

ear-

over

-yea

r sa

les d

eclin

es b

etw

een

2008

and

200

9, b

ut in

crea

ses b

etw

een

2009

and

201

0. A

ppar

el sa

les i

n 20

10 w

ere

abov

e 20

08 le

vels

on

an in

flatio

n-ad

just

ed b

asis

. M

ost o

f the

rem

aini

ng ta

xabl

e sa

les

are

lum

ped

toge

ther

in th

e O

ther

Ret

ail S

tore

s cat

egor

y, w

hich

bec

ause

of t

he d

iscl

osur

e is

sues

al

so in

clud

es a

utom

otiv

e, h

ome

furn

ishi

ngs/

appl

ianc

es, s

ervi

ce st

atio

ns, a

nd g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se

stor

es.24

Thi

s lar

ge g

roup

ing

of st

ores

show

s dec

linin

g ta

xabl

e sa

les i

n 20

09, w

ith li

mite

d re

cove

ry in

201

0 to

$10

6 m

illio

n.

With

in th

e ov

eral

l Dow

ntow

n ar

ea, t

he C

ore

is re

spon

sibl

e fo

r 80

perc

ent o

f tot

al ta

xabl

e sa

les

(als

o sh

own

in T

able

15)

. D

ownt

own

Nor

th m

akes

up

16 p

erce

nt o

f the

Dow

ntow

n to

tal,

with

the

rem

aind

er c

omin

g fr

om th

e B

loss

om H

ill/U

nive

rsity

are

a. T

hese

per

cent

ages

var

y lit

tle o

ver t

he

thre

e-ye

ar p

erio

d.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

24 U

nder

this

cla

ssifi

catio

n sy

stem

ther

e ar

e tw

o ge

nera

l mer

chan

dise

stor

es, t

he tw

o ph

arm

acie

s. In

som

e ot

her t

able

s in

the

anal

ysis

her

e fo

r rec

ent d

ata,

they

hav

e be

en p

lace

d in

the

heal

th a

nd p

erso

nal c

are

stor

es

cate

gory

per

NA

ICS.

Pa

ge 5

5 of

150

Tabl

e 15

: D

ownt

own

Taxa

ble

Ret

ail S

ales

Tre

nds,

200

8-20

10

Sal

es in

201

0 $0

00 (a

) (b)

(c)

2008

2009

2010

Aut

o D

eale

rs &

Aut

o S

uppl

ies

##

# H

ome

Furn

ishi

ngs

and

App

lianc

es#

##

Bld

g. M

atrl.

and

Far

m Im

plem

ents

$5,5

28$4

,399

$5,6

54 F

ood

Sto

res

$4,7

10$4

,323

$4,4

57 S

ervi

ce S

tatio

ns#

##

App

arel

Sto

res

$26,

413

$24,

805

$26,

574

Gen

eral

Mer

chan

dise

Sto

res

##

# E

atin

g an

d D

rinki

ng P

lace

s$6

7,83

2$6

3,87

9$6

5,61

4 O

ther

Ret

ail S

tore

s (c

)$1

20,6

33$1

00,2

44$1

06,3

71R

etai

l Sto

res

Tota

l$2

25,1

15$1

97,6

50$2

08,6

71

Dow

ntow

n C

ore

$180

,586

$160

,168

$166

,913

Dow

ntow

n N

orth

$34,

448

$29,

771

$32,

508

Blo

ssom

Hill

/Uni

vers

ity$1

0,08

0$7

,710

$9,2

50

(a)

Ret

ail s

ales

hav

e be

en a

djus

ted

to 2

010

dolla

rs b

ased

on

the

Bay

Are

a C

onsu

mer

Pric

e In

dex,

U.S

.B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics.

C

ateg

orie

s us

ed h

ere

are

base

d on

the

2007

and

ear

lier S

BO

E c

lass

ifica

tion

syst

em, d

ue to

the

sour

ce u

sed.

(b)

Ana

lysi

s ex

clud

es a

ll no

n-re

tail

outle

ts (b

usin

ess

and

pers

onal

ser

vice

s) re

porti

ng ta

xabl

e sa

les.

(c)

A "#

" sig

n in

dica

tes

data

una

vaila

bilit

y fo

r the

cat

egor

y du

e to

SB

OE

con

fiden

tialit

y ru

les

that

sup

pres

sda

ta w

hen

ther

e ar

e fo

ur o

r few

er o

utle

ts o

r sal

es in

a c

ateg

ory

dom

inat

ed b

y on

e st

ore.

Sup

pres

sed

sale

sha

ve b

een

com

bine

d w

ith O

ther

Ret

ail S

tore

s.

Sour

ces:

SBO

E; U

.S. B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics;

Mun

i Ser

vice

s; T

own

of L

os G

atos

; BAE

, 201

1.

Fo

rmul

a re

tail,

whi

le re

stric

ted

in th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e, n

ever

thel

ess a

ccou

nts f

or a

sign

ifica

nt

prop

ortio

n of

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les.

In 2

010,

stor

es d

esig

nate

d as

form

ula

reta

il in

the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore

prov

ided

ove

r 30

perc

ent o

f all

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les i

n th

e ar

ea, w

hile

mak

ing

up o

nly

11

perc

ent o

f the

reta

il ou

tlets

(exc

ludi

ng fo

od-r

elat

ed re

tail

and

serv

ice

stat

ions

). A

ppen

dix

J pr

ovid

es a

map

show

ing

the

loca

tion

of fo

rmul

a re

taile

rs in

the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore.

O

ver h

alf o

f the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore’

s tax

able

sale

s in

appa

rel s

tore

s are

in fo

rmul

a re

tail

stor

es, a

nd

a m

uch

high

er p

ropo

rtion

of t

axab

le sa

les i

n ho

me

furn

ishi

ngs a

nd a

pplia

nces

are

in fo

rmul

a re

tail

stor

es.

The

only

dru

g st

ore

dow

ntow

n is

Pha

rmac

a, a

form

ula

reta

iler.

The

rece

ntly

clo

sed

Bor

der’

s, a

form

ula

stor

e, w

as th

e on

ly b

ooks

tore

. Ex

clud

ing

rest

aura

nts a

nd fo

od st

ores

(nei

ther

of

whi

ch a

re su

bjec

t to

the

form

ula

reta

il or

dina

nce)

, for

mul

a re

taile

rs a

ccou

nt fo

r ove

r hal

f of t

he

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les i

n th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e.

Long

-term

tren

ds in

ove

rall

taxa

ble

sale

s in

the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore

from

200

0 th

roug

h 20

10 a

re

pres

ente

d in

Tab

le 1

6.25

Thi

s per

iod

cove

rs tw

o m

ajor

rece

ssio

ns a

nd th

e op

enin

g in

200

3 of

Sa

ntan

a R

ow, a

maj

or p

erce

ived

com

petit

or fo

r Dow

ntow

n Lo

s Gat

os.

As s

how

n, in

infla

tion-

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

56

of 1

50

25 A

dditi

onal

det

ail b

y ca

tego

ry is

una

vaila

ble

due

to S

BO

E di

sclo

sure

rule

s.

adju

sted

dol

lars

, sal

es w

ere

subs

tant

ially

hig

her i

n 20

00 th

an in

201

0. S

ales

dec

lined

from

200

0 th

roug

h 20

03, b

ut re

boun

ded

in 2

004

even

with

San

tana

Row

ope

ning

in 2

003.

Sal

es in

crea

sed

agai

n in

200

5, d

eclin

ed in

200

6, in

crea

sed

to a

pos

t-201

0 pe

ak in

200

7, a

nd th

en d

eclin

ed a

s the

re

cess

ion

took

hol

d, re

achi

ng th

e lo

w p

oint

of t

he d

ecad

e in

200

9. A

mod

est i

ncre

ase

was

seen

in

2010

. It

appe

ars t

hat g

ener

al m

acro

econ

omic

regi

onal

tren

ds w

ere

a gr

eate

r fac

tor i

nflu

enci

ng

sale

s lev

els i

n th

e C

ore

than

the

addi

tiona

l com

petit

ion

prov

ided

by

Sant

ana

Row

. M

uch

of th

is d

eclin

e, h

owev

er, w

as n

ot in

the

maj

or re

tail

cate

gorie

s for

the

Cor

e, b

ut in

stea

d in

au

to-r

elat

ed re

tail

(dea

lers

and

serv

ice

stat

ions

) and

non

-ret

ail o

utle

ts (p

erso

nal a

nd b

usin

ess

serv

ices

). T

he k

ey re

tail

sect

ors c

ombi

ned

show

ed sm

alle

r dec

lines

ove

r the

dec

ade,

and

eat

ing

and

drin

king

pla

ces s

how

ed m

uch

less

var

iatio

n ov

er th

e te

n ye

ars.

Ta

ble

16:

Dow

ntow

n C

ore

Taxa

ble

Ret

ail S

ales

Tre

nds

Sales

in 20

10 $0

00 (a

)20

0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

0520

0620

0720

0820

0920

10Re

tail S

tore

s Tot

al$2

26,50

9$1

91,59

6$1

69,50

9$1

64,74

9$1

79,01

6$2

02,58

4$1

91,59

0$2

07,46

5$1

80,58

6$1

60,16

8$1

66,91

3

All O

ther O

utlets

$23,0

38$2

0,582

$12,5

79$1

0,526

$10,3

64$9

,398

$11,7

66$1

2,011

$10,0

01$9

,385

$8,22

0

Tota

l All O

utlet

s$2

49,54

7$2

12,17

9$1

82,08

8$1

75,27

5$1

89,38

0$2

11,98

2$2

03,35

6$2

19,47

5$1

90,58

7$1

69,55

4$1

75,13

4

Key R

etail S

ector

s (b)

$119

,352

$106

,677

$91,4

09$8

3,804

$91,1

38$9

2,523

$89,5

97$9

5,287

$95,2

31$8

4,540

$97,8

07Ea

ting &

Drin

king P

laces

$62,4

07$5

7,763

$55,5

96$5

7,526

$57,7

12$6

2,057

$61,1

72$6

6,876

$62,0

53$5

8,503

$59,1

08Ot

her O

utlets

, Com

bined

(c)

$33,1

05$2

8,353

$19,4

13$1

7,746

$17,9

41$1

7,480

$18,8

84$1

6,275

$13,9

35$1

2,611

$11,9

77

(a)

Retai

l sale

s hav

e bee

n adju

sted t

o 201

0 doll

ars b

ased

on th

e Bay

Are

a Con

sume

r Pric

e Ind

ex, fr

om th

e U.S

. Bur

eau o

f Lab

or S

tatist

ics.

(b)

Includ

es al

l retai

l sec

tors e

xcep

t auto

deale

rs &

supp

lies,

servi

ce st

ation

s, an

d eati

ng an

d drin

king p

laces

.(c)

Inclu

des a

uto de

alers

& su

pplie

s, se

rvice

s stat

ions,

and n

on-re

tail (a

ll othe

r outl

ets).

Sour

ces:

2000

and 2

010 U

.S. C

ensu

s; St

ate B

oard

of E

quali

zatio

n; CA

Dep

t. of In

dustr

ial R

elatio

ns; U

.S. B

urea

u of L

abor

Stat

istics

; BAE

, 201

1.

In

sum

mar

y, D

ownt

own’

s tax

able

reta

il sa

les d

eclin

ed a

s the

rece

ssio

n to

ok h

old

in 2

009,

but

ha

ve re

cove

red

som

ewha

t in

2010

, alb

eit n

ot to

the

leve

ls o

f 200

8. T

he C

ore

cons

titut

es th

e la

rge

maj

ority

of s

ales

in th

e ov

eral

l Dow

ntow

n ar

ea.

Whi

le fo

rmul

a re

tail

outle

ts m

ake

up o

nly

a sm

all p

ropo

rtion

of a

ll st

ores

in th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e, th

ey g

ener

ate

near

ly o

ne-th

ird o

f the

Cor

e’s

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les,

and

are

dom

inan

t sal

es in

app

arel

stor

es, h

ome

furn

ishi

ngs a

nd a

pplia

nce

stor

es, a

nd g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se/d

rug

stor

es.

Excl

udin

g re

stau

rant

s and

food

stor

es (w

hich

are

no

t sub

ject

to th

e fo

rmul

a re

tail

ordi

nanc

e), f

orm

ula

reta

ilers

acc

ount

for o

ver h

alf o

f the

taxa

ble

sale

s in

the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore.

Lo

s G

atos

Bou

leva

rd

As s

how

n in

Tab

le 1

7, th

e Lo

s Gat

os B

oule

vard

com

mer

cial

dis

trict

had

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les o

f ap

prox

imat

ely

$152

mill

ion

in 2

010.

Thi

s is a

stee

p de

clin

e fr

om $

191

mill

ion

in 2

008

(infla

tion

adju

sted

), an

d re

sults

larg

ely

from

dec

lines

in th

e au

tom

otiv

e se

ctor

, due

to th

e cl

osur

e of

two

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 5

7 of

150

maj

or d

eale

rshi

ps.

Taxa

ble

sale

s in

the

auto

mot

ive

sect

or o

n Lo

s Gat

os B

oule

vard

dec

lined

from

$8

0 m

illio

n in

200

8 to

$57

mill

ion

in 2

010.

D

ue to

SB

OE

data

rule

s, th

e on

ly o

ther

sect

ors p

rese

nted

sepa

rate

ly a

re fo

od st

ores

and

eat

ing

and

drin

king

pla

ces.

Foo

d st

ore

sale

s hav

e be

en re

lativ

ely

cons

tant

at s

light

ly b

elow

$22

mill

ion

annu

ally

, as c

onsu

mer

s con

tinue

to p

urch

ase

groc

erie

s eve

n as

they

forg

o la

rger

pur

chas

es su

ch

as c

ars.

Mos

t of t

hese

sale

s occ

ur a

t the

four

supe

rmar

kets

, with

lim

ited

sale

s at s

catte

red

smal

ler

outle

ts.

It sh

ould

be

note

d th

at a

s a “

rule

of t

hum

b,”

only

abo

ut o

ne-th

ird o

f foo

d st

ore

sale

s are

ta

xabl

e; if

non

-taxa

ble

sale

s are

con

side

red,

the

food

stor

es g

ener

ate

a m

uch

larg

er sh

are

of re

tail

sale

s on

Los G

atos

Bou

leva

rd.

Eatin

g an

d dr

inki

ng p

lace

s hav

e se

en a

ver

y sl

ight

dec

line

over

th

e 20

08 to

201

0 pe

riod,

to a

ppro

xim

atel

y $1

4 m

illio

n an

nual

ly in

201

0. O

ther

reta

il ou

tlets

co

mbi

ned

have

als

o se

en a

dec

line

in ta

xabl

e sa

les,

from

$73

mill

ion

in 2

008

to $

59 m

illio

n in

20

10.

Tabl

e 17

: Lo

s G

atos

Bou

leva

rd T

axab

le R

etai

l Sal

es T

rend

s, 2

008-

2010

Sal

es in

201

0 $0

00 (a

) (b)

(c)

2008

2009

2010

Aut

o D

eale

rs &

Aut

o S

uppl

ies

$80,

449

$57,

481

$56,

771

Hom

e Fu

rnis

hing

s an

d A

pplia

nces

##

# B

ldg.

Mat

rl. a

nd F

arm

Impl

emen

ts#

##

Foo

d S

tore

s$2

1,55

7$2

1,53

6$2

1,79

2 S

ervi

ce S

tatio

ns#

##

App

arel

Sto

res

##

# G

ener

al M

erch

andi

se S

tore

s#

##

Eat

ing

and

Drin

king

Pla

ces

$15,

528

$15,

276

$14,

498

Oth

er R

etai

l Sto

res

(c)

$73,

102

$59,

962

$59,

018

Ret

ail S

tore

s To

tal

$190

,636

$154

,255

$152

,078

(a)

Ret

ail s

ales

hav

e be

en a

djus

ted

to 2

010

dolla

rs b

ased

on

the

Bay

Are

a C

onsu

mer

Pric

e In

dex,

U.S

.B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics.

C

ateg

orie

s us

ed h

ere

are

base

d on

the

2007

and

ear

lier S

BO

E c

lass

ifica

tion

syst

em, d

ue to

the

sour

ce u

sed.

(b)

Ana

lysi

s ex

clud

es a

ll no

n-re

tail

outle

ts (b

usin

ess

and

pers

onal

ser

vice

s) re

porti

ng ta

xabl

e sa

les.

(c)

A "#

" sig

n in

dica

tes

data

una

vaila

bilit

y fo

r the

cat

egor

y du

e to

SB

OE

con

fiden

tialit

y ru

les

that

sup

pres

sda

ta w

hen

ther

e ar

e fo

ur o

r few

er o

utle

ts o

r sal

es in

a c

ateg

ory

dom

inat

ed b

y on

e st

ore.

Sup

pres

sed

sale

sha

ve b

een

com

bine

d w

ith O

ther

Ret

ail S

tore

s.

Sour

ces:

SBO

E; U

.S. B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics;

Mun

i Ser

vice

s; T

own

of L

os G

atos

; BAE

, 201

1.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 5

8 of

150

Nei

ghbo

rhoo

d C

ente

rs

The

neig

hbor

hood

cen

ters

(Dow

ning

Cen

ter,

Rin

cona

da C

ente

r, V

ason

a St

atio

n, a

nd W

algr

eens

Sq

uare

) pro

vide

a m

uch

smal

ler s

hare

of t

he T

own’

s sal

es ta

x th

an D

ownt

own

or L

os G

atos

B

oule

vard

. Th

ese

cent

ers c

ombi

ned

acco

unte

d fo

r app

roxi

mat

ely

$34

mill

ion

in ta

xabl

e re

tail

sale

s in

2010

(see

Tab

le 1

8).

With

the

exce

ptio

n of

Vas

ona

Stat

ion,

thes

e ce

nter

s are

dom

inat

ed

by su

perm

arke

ts o

r cha

in p

harm

acie

s and

thus

dis

clos

ure

rule

s pro

hibi

t sho

win

g in

form

atio

n on

in

divi

dual

cen

ters

or b

y ty

pe o

f ret

ail.

Ta

ble

18:

Nei

ghbo

rhoo

d C

ente

rs T

axab

le R

etai

l Sal

es T

rend

s, 2

008-

2010

Sal

es in

201

0 $0

00 (a

) (b)

(c)

2008

2009

2010

Ret

ail S

tore

s To

tal

$38,

604

$36,

769

$33,

741

(a)

Ret

ail s

ales

hav

e be

en a

djus

ted

to 2

010

dolla

rs b

ased

on

the

Bay

Are

a C

onsu

mer

Pric

e In

dex,

U.S

.B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics.

C

ateg

orie

s us

ed h

ere

are

base

d on

the

2007

and

ear

lier S

BO

E c

lass

ifica

tion

syst

em, d

ue to

the

sour

ce u

sed.

(b)

Ana

lysi

s ex

clud

es a

ll no

n-re

tail

outle

ts (b

usin

ess

and

pers

onal

ser

vice

s) re

porti

ng ta

xabl

e sa

les.

(c)

A "#

" sig

n in

dica

tes

data

una

vaila

bilit

y fo

r the

cat

egor

y du

e to

SB

OE

con

fiden

tialit

y ru

les

that

sup

pres

sda

ta w

hen

ther

e ar

e fo

ur o

r few

er o

utle

ts o

r sal

es in

a c

ateg

ory

dom

inat

ed b

y on

e st

ore.

Sup

pres

sed

sale

sha

ve b

een

com

bine

d w

ith O

ther

Ret

ail S

tore

s.

Sour

ces:

SBO

E; U

.S. B

urea

u of

Lab

or S

tatis

tics;

Mun

i Ser

vice

s; T

own

of L

os G

atos

; BA

E, 2

011.

Le

akag

e an

d In

ject

ion

Ana

lysi

s fo

r Los

Gat

os a

nd th

e R

etai

l Tr

ade

Are

a (R

TA)

Ove

rvie

w o

f Met

hodo

logy

R

etai

l lea

kage

and

inje

ctio

n an

alys

is c

ompa

res a

ctua

l ret

ail s

ales

in a

n ar

ea w

ith so

me

benc

hmar

k th

at p

rovi

des a

mea

sure

of t

he p

oten

tial s

ales

gen

erat

ed b

y th

at a

rea's

resi

dent

s. If

sale

s lev

els a

re

belo

w th

e pr

edic

ted

leve

l, th

e ar

ea m

ay b

e ab

le to

supp

ort i

ncre

ased

sale

s, ei

ther

thro

ugh

the

open

ing

of n

ew o

utle

ts ta

rget

ing

thos

e le

akag

es o

r a re

posi

tioni

ng o

f exi

stin

g ou

tlets

thro

ugh

chan

ges i

n st

rate

gy a

nd m

arke

ting,

mer

chan

dise

mix

, or s

tore

con

figur

atio

n su

ch th

at th

ey c

ould

ca

ptur

e a

porti

on o

f tha

t lea

kage

.

A lo

wer

-than

-pre

dict

ed sa

les v

olum

e is

a st

rong

indi

cato

r tha

t con

sum

ers a

re tr

avel

ing

outs

ide

the

area

to sh

op; t

hus,

the

sale

s are

“le

akin

g” o

ut o

f the

stud

y ar

ea.

Con

vers

ely,

if th

e ar

ea sh

ows

mor

e sa

les t

han

wou

ld b

e ex

pect

ed fr

om th

e ar

ea's

char

acte

ristic

s, th

ere

are

sale

s “in

ject

ions

” in

to

the

stud

y ar

ea.

Ofte

n, a

n in

ject

ion

of sa

les i

ndic

ates

that

the

stud

y ar

ea is

serv

ing

as th

e re

gion

al

shop

ping

des

tinat

ion

for a

bro

ader

are

a. O

n th

e ot

her h

and,

if a

n ar

ea sh

ows s

ubst

antia

l lea

kage

, it

may

be

due

to th

e pr

esen

ce o

f a re

gion

-ser

ving

reta

il no

de o

utsi

de b

ut n

ear t

he st

udy

area

ca

ptur

ing

thos

e “l

eake

d” sa

les.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 5

9 of

150

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

60

of 1

50

Ther

e ar

e a

num

ber o

f fac

tors

that

can

be

used

to p

redi

ct sa

les l

evel

s, w

ith th

e tw

o m

ost i

mpo

rtant

fa

ctor

s bei

ng th

e nu

mbe

r of p

erso

ns in

the

area

and

the

disp

osab

le in

com

e av

aila

ble

to th

at

popu

latio

n. A

dditi

onal

fact

ors i

nflu

enci

ng re

tail

spen

ding

in a

n ar

ea in

clud

e ho

useh

old

type

, age

of

pop

ulat

ion,

num

ber o

f wor

kers

in th

e ar

ea (i

.e.,

dayt

ime

popu

latio

n), t

ouris

m e

xpen

ditu

res,

tenu

re p

atte

rns (

owne

r vs.

rent

er),

and

cultu

ral f

acto

rs.

A

s not

ed a

bove

, Los

Gat

os a

nd th

e R

TA h

ave

over

all p

er c

apita

sale

s abo

ve c

ount

y an

d st

atew

ide

leve

ls.

This

alo

ne, h

owev

er, d

oes n

ot in

dica

te th

at th

ese

area

s are

nec

essa

rily

capt

urin

g sa

les

from

oth

er lo

cale

s; fo

r ins

tanc

e, h

ighe

r inc

ome

leve

ls c

ould

acc

ount

in p

art f

or d

iffer

ing

loca

l sp

endi

ng p

atte

rns,

and

shop

ping

pat

tern

s may

var

y du

e to

con

sum

er p

refe

renc

es a

s wel

l as t

he

reta

il op

tions

ava

ilabl

e lo

cally

.

To b

ette

r det

erm

ine

the

leve

ls o

f lea

kage

s and

inje

ctio

ns fo

r Los

Gat

os a

nd th

e R

TA, B

AE

has

obta

ined

a N

iels

en/C

larit

as R

etai

l Mar

ket P

oten

tial O

ppor

tuni

ty G

ap (R

MP)

repo

rt fo

r the

two

geog

raph

ies.

Thi

s rep

ort e

stim

ates

reta

il de

man

d ba

sed

on th

e C

onsu

mer

Exp

endi

ture

Sur

vey,

a

natio

nal s

urve

y co

nduc

ted

for t

he D

epar

tmen

t of L

abor

Bur

eau

of L

abor

Sta

tistic

s by

the

U.S

. C

ensu

s Bur

eau

whi

ch m

easu

res c

onsu

mer

exp

endi

ture

s and

pro

vide

s dat

a on

diff

erin

g sp

endi

ng

patte

rns b

y ag

e, in

com

e, e

thni

city

, and

oth

er v

aria

bles

. Th

is so

urce

info

rmat

ion

is c

onve

rted

to

expe

cted

exp

endi

ture

s by

stor

e ty

pe, t

o ob

tain

an

estim

ate

of d

eman

d by

reta

il st

ore

cate

gory

. N

ext,

BA

E fin

e-tu

ned

the

RM

P ex

pend

iture

est

imat

es b

ased

on

actu

al e

xpen

ditu

re p

atte

rns i

n Sa

nta

Cla

ra C

ount

y as

refle

cted

in to

tal r

etai

l sal

es b

y m

ajor

stor

e ca

tego

ry.

Fo

llow

ing

the

calc

ulat

ion

of th

e R

MP

expe

nditu

re e

stim

ate,

the

next

step

in th

e le

akag

e an

alys

is

is th

e us

e of

an

adju

stm

ent f

acto

r by

stor

e ca

tego

ry to

take

into

acc

ount

cha

nges

in a

ctua

l sal

es

and

pote

ntia

l dem

and

sinc

e 20

08, t

he y

ear f

or w

hich

act

ual d

ata

wer

e ob

tain

ed.26

For

Los

Gat

os,

thes

e ad

just

men

t fac

tors

are

der

ived

from

the

chan

ge in

act

ual s

ales

by

maj

or st

ore

cate

gory

be

twee

n 20

08 a

nd 2

010

as in

dica

ted

in th

e an

alys

is o

f tax

able

sale

s dat

a, a

nd o

n a

natio

nal

dem

and

adju

stm

ent f

acto

r bas

ed o

n ch

ange

s in

infla

tion-

adju

sted

per

cap

ita sa

les d

eriv

ed fr

om

natio

nal d

ata

on e

stim

ated

reta

il sa

les.

The

se m

ultip

liers

var

y by

reta

il st

ore

type

; for

inst

ance

, si

nce

food

item

s are

a d

aily

nec

essi

ty, f

ood

stor

e sa

les h

ave

not d

eclin

ed a

s muc

h on

a p

erce

ntag

e ba

sis a

s oth

er c

ateg

orie

s.27

For

the

RTA

, the

nat

iona

l adj

usto

r is u

sed

thro

ugho

ut, s

ince

no

com

para

tive

data

for 2

010

are

avai

labl

e fo

r the

are

a.

The

refin

ed d

eman

d/ex

pend

iture

dat

a ar

e th

en c

ompa

red

to th

e es

timat

ed sa

les b

y m

ajor

stor

e ca

tego

ry fo

r Los

Gat

os a

nd th

e R

TA a

s sho

wn

abov

e in

Tab

le 1

9, o

n a

tota

l and

per

cap

ita b

asis

.

26

Tax

able

sale

s dat

a co

uld

not b

e ob

tain

ed fo

r the

RTA

as i

t cro

sses

juris

dict

iona

l bou

ndar

ies a

nd in

clud

es

unin

corp

orat

ed a

reas

for w

hich

dat

a ar

e no

t pub

lishe

d. T

he d

ata

sour

ce u

sed

also

take

s int

o ac

coun

t tot

al

reta

il sa

les,

not j

ust t

axab

le sa

les.

27 T

he p

roce

dure

her

e is

con

serv

ativ

e in

that

it a

djus

ts e

xpec

ted

sale

s dow

nwar

d to

refle

ct c

urre

nt

rece

ssio

nary

con

ditio

ns.

It is

pos

sibl

e th

at e

cono

mic

con

ditio

ns w

ill im

prov

e by

the

time

any

reta

il ou

tlets

ac

tual

ly o

pen

in th

e N

orth

40.

The

resu

lts o

f the

leak

age

anal

ysis

are

sum

mar

ized

in F

igur

e 12

and

Tab

le 1

9, w

ith d

etai

l on

this

an

alys

is p

rovi

ded

in A

ppen

dice

s D a

nd E

. Lo

s G

atos

Lea

kage

Ana

lysi

s W

ith it

s hig

h pe

r cap

ita sa

les l

evel

s, Lo

s Gat

os sh

ows i

njec

tions

of s

ales

in m

ost m

ajor

stor

e ca

tego

ries,

as sh

own

in F

igur

e 12

. In

ject

ions

are

par

ticul

arly

hig

h fo

r foo

d an

d be

vera

ge st

ores

, m

otor

veh

icle

and

par

ts d

eale

rs, f

ood

serv

ices

, and

hea

lth a

nd p

erso

nal c

are

stor

es.28

Tw

o ca

tego

ries,

build

ing

mat

eria

ls a

nd g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se st

ores

, sta

nd o

ut fo

r the

ir su

bsta

ntia

l le

akag

es; o

ver h

alf o

f pot

entia

l res

iden

t exp

endi

ture

s in

the

build

ing

mat

eria

ls c

ateg

ory

are

leak

ing

out o

f Los

Gat

os, a

nd n

early

all

resi

dent

exp

endi

ture

s for

gen

eral

mer

chan

dise

stor

es

appe

ar to

be

leak

ing

out o

f Los

Gat

os.

The

lack

of s

ales

in g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se st

ores

is d

irect

ly

rela

ted

to th

e la

ck o

f suc

h st

ores

in L

os G

atos

;29 in

fact

, the

Cal

iforn

ia S

tate

Boa

rd o

f Equ

aliz

atio

n (S

BO

E) d

oes n

ot c

urre

ntly

repo

rt an

y ou

tlets

in th

is c

ateg

ory

in th

e To

wn.

For

the

build

ing

mat

eria

ls g

roup

, the

re a

re se

vera

l out

lets

incl

udin

g tw

o ha

rdw

are

stor

es, b

ut th

e To

wn

does

not

ha

ve a

larg

e ho

me

impr

ovem

ent s

tore

such

as H

ome

Dep

ot o

r an

inde

pend

ent l

umbe

r yar

d.

Ove

rall,

the

anal

ysis

indi

cate

s tha

t by

maj

or st

ore

cate

gory

, Los

Gat

os h

as e

stim

ated

com

bine

d in

ject

ions

of n

early

$32

0 m

illio

n in

reta

il sa

les a

nnua

lly, a

nd c

ombi

ned

estim

ated

leak

ages

of

appr

oxim

atel

y $8

0 m

illio

n an

nual

ly.

Th

e hi

gh le

vel o

f inj

ectio

ns o

f sal

es fo

r foo

d an

d be

vera

ge st

ores

is p

artic

ular

ly n

otew

orth

y, si

nce

groc

erie

s are

a c

onve

nien

ce it

em th

at is

usu

ally

pur

chas

ed lo

cally

. To

som

e ex

tent

, thi

s is d

ue to

th

e lo

catio

n of

the

stor

es in

Los

Gat

os.

The

Safe

way

stor

es in

the

Dow

ning

and

Rin

cona

da

Cen

ters

are

nea

r the

Tow

n bo

unda

ry, a

nd th

eir s

peci

fic lo

cal t

rade

are

as in

clud

e ar

eas o

utsi

de th

e To

wn.

Fur

ther

mor

e, th

e tw

o ne

ighb

orin

g ci

ties o

f Sar

atog

a an

d es

peci

ally

Mon

te S

eren

o an

d th

e un

inco

rpor

ated

are

as to

the

sout

h of

Tow

n ha

ve li

mite

d re

tail

offe

rings

, with

Los

Gat

os o

ffer

ing

the

clos

est s

hopp

ing

for s

ome

of th

eir r

esid

ents

. Th

is m

ay b

e a

fact

or fo

r oth

er st

ore

type

s als

o,

parti

cula

rly h

ealth

and

per

sona

l car

e st

ores

.

Add

ition

ally

, Los

Gat

os B

oule

vard

has

four

supe

rmar

kets

on

a m

ajor

arte

rial s

treet

whi

ch

cont

inue

s int

o ne

ighb

orin

g C

ampb

ell a

nd S

an Jo

se; t

wo

of th

ese

stor

es, W

hole

Foo

ds a

nd T

rade

r Jo

e’s,

are

nich

e st

ores

whi

ch li

kely

dra

w fr

om a

larg

er a

rea

than

a g

ener

ic n

eigh

borh

ood-

serv

ing

stor

e w

ould

, and

Lun

ardi

’s is

a sm

alle

r loc

al c

hain

whi

ch a

lso

attra

cts s

hopp

ers f

rom

a la

rger

tra

de a

rea.

A

noth

er is

sue

to c

onsi

der i

n ev

alua

ting

leak

ages

and

inje

ctio

ns is

the

pote

ntia

l for

subs

titut

ion

by

stor

e ty

pe.

For e

xam

ple,

app

arel

can

be

purc

hase

d in

bot

h cl

othi

ng st

ores

and

gen

eral

m

erch

andi

se st

ores

. In

Los

Gat

os, t

he la

ck o

f gen

eral

mer

chan

dise

stor

es m

ay b

e re

spon

sibl

e fo

r so

me

inje

ctio

ns, p

artic

ular

ly fo

r dru

g st

ores

, whi

ch a

re in

the

heal

th a

nd p

erso

nal c

are

stor

e

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

28 T

he h

ealth

and

per

sona

l car

e st

ores

cat

egor

y in

clud

es p

harm

acie

s as t

he la

rges

t sub

cate

gory

. 29

The

clo

sest

maj

or g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se st

ore

to L

os G

atos

is th

e Ta

rget

on

Hill

side

Ave

nue

in S

an Jo

se.

Pa

ge 6

1 of

150

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

62

of 1

50

cate

gory

.30 W

hile

the

maj

ority

of d

rug

stor

e do

llars

are

spen

t at t

he p

resc

riptio

n co

unte

r, ch

ain

drug

stor

es st

ock

a va

riety

of e

very

day

item

s tha

t are

typi

cally

foun

d in

larg

er d

isco

unt

depa

rtmen

t sto

res.

Sup

erm

arke

ts a

lso

carr

y a

sele

ctio

n of

hou

sew

ares

, pap

er g

oods

, and

oth

er

item

s tha

t one

mig

ht a

lso

purc

hase

at a

dis

coun

t dep

artm

ent s

tore

.

One

add

ition

al k

ey fa

ctor

is th

at o

ne o

utle

t with

ext

rem

ely

stro

ng sa

les c

an m

ask

poor

pe

rfor

man

ce b

y th

e re

st o

f tha

t sto

re c

ateg

ory.

For

exa

mpl

e, in

Los

Gat

os th

e ho

me

furn

ishi

ngs

and

appl

ianc

es c

ateg

ory

is d

omin

ated

by

sale

s in

the

App

le S

tore

. Th

is st

ore’

s ext

rem

ely

stro

ng

sale

s may

be

mas

king

lim

ited

sale

s acr

oss t

he re

mai

nder

of t

he c

ateg

ory.

Thi

s iss

ue w

ill b

e ex

plor

ed in

the

disc

ussi

on o

f per

cap

ita sa

les b

y m

ore

deta

iled

stor

e ty

pe fo

und

afte

r the

leak

age

anal

ysis

for t

he R

TA.

R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

Leak

age

Ana

lysi

s Fo

r the

larg

er R

TA, t

he le

vels

of l

eaka

ges a

nd in

ject

ions

app

ear t

o be

muc

h lo

wer

on

a pe

r cap

ita

basi

s, in

dica

ting

a re

lativ

e ba

lanc

e be

twee

n re

tail

sale

s and

resi

dent

exp

endi

ture

s in

mos

t ca

tego

ries.

Eve

n th

ough

the

RTA

is m

uch

mor

e po

pulo

us th

an th

e To

wn,

est

imat

ed c

ombi

ned

inje

ctio

ns a

re lo

wer

, at a

ppro

xim

atel

y $2

30 m

illio

n an

nual

ly, a

nd a

re c

once

ntra

ted

in a

uto-

rela

ted

reta

il. T

he c

ombi

ned

leak

ages

are

gre

ater

, at n

early

$59

0 m

illio

n an

nual

ly, b

ut a

re sp

read

acr

oss

a nu

mbe

r of c

ateg

orie

s, w

ith th

e la

rges

t lea

kage

s in

the

gene

ral m

erch

andi

se st

ore

cate

gory

. Th

e le

akag

es in

the

gene

ral m

erch

andi

se c

ateg

ory

may

be

rela

ted

in p

art t

o W

estfi

eld

Val

ley

Fair’

s pr

esen

ce ju

st o

utsi

de th

e R

TA a

lthou

gh it

cer

tain

ly a

ttrac

ts sa

les o

ut o

f the

RTA

to it

s anc

hor

stor

es.31

30

In fa

ct, u

p un

til 2

009,

SB

OE

clas

sifie

d dr

ug st

ores

as g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se st

ores

. 31

Val

ley

Fair

stra

ddle

s the

San

ta C

lara

/San

Jose

city

line

and

has

a S

anta

Cla

ra Z

ip C

ode

addr

ess w

hich

is n

ot

part

of th

e R

TA.

Figu

re 1

2: P

er C

apita

Ret

ail S

ales

Lea

kage

s by

Maj

or R

etai

l Sto

re C

ateg

ory

Sou

rce:

BA

E U

rban

Eco

nom

ics,

bas

ed o

n so

urce

s as

not

ed in

Tab

le 1

9 an

d A

ppen

dice

s D

and

I.

General Merchandise Stores

Bldg. M

atrl. and Garden Equip. and Supplies

Sporting G

oods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores

Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores

Hom

e Furnishings and Appliance Stores

Miscellaneous Store Retailers

Gasoline Stations

Health and Personal Care Stores

Food Se

rvices and Drinking Places

Motor Vehicle and Parts D

ealers

Food and Beverage Stores

Ann

ual Per Cap

ita Leakages/Injection

s

Los Gatos Per Cap

ita Re

tail Sales Leakages

Injections

→ba

e←Leakages

General Merchandise Stores

Food Services and Drinking Places

Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores

Food and Beverage Stores

Health and Personal Care Stores

Miscellaneous Store Retailers

Hom

e Furnishings and Appliance Stores

Bldg. M

atrl. and Garden Equip. and Supplies

Gasoline Stations

Sporting G

oods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores

Motor Vehicle and Parts D

ealers

Ann

ual Per Cap

ita Leakages/Injection

s

Trad

e Area Pe

r Ca

pita Retail Sales Leakages

Injections

→ba

e←Leakages

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 6

3 of

150

Tabl

e 19

: Su

mm

ary

of L

eaka

ge A

naly

sis

Los

Gat

os20

10 T

otal

Ann

ual

Inje

ctio

n/R

etai

l Sal

es in

$00

0To

tal

Per C

apita

Leak

age

Inje

ctio

n/In

ject

ion/

(Lea

kage

)(L

eaka

ge)

Estim

ated

Estim

ated

as %

of

Sale

sR

esid

ent

Pote

ntia

lSt

ore

Cat

egor

yin

Are

aEx

pend

iture

s$0

00

Sale

sM

otor

Veh

icle

and

Par

ts D

eale

rs$1

61,3

39$9

2,14

8$6

9,19

1$2

,352

75%

Hom

e Fu

rnis

hing

s an

d A

pplia

nce

Sto

res

$47,

964

$36,

100

$11,

864

$403

33%

Bld

g. M

atrl.

and

Gar

den

Equ

ip. a

nd S

uppl

ies

$14,

043

$35,

723

Food

and

Bev

erag

e S

tore

s$1

79,3

36$7

6,83

6$1

02,5

00$3

,485

133%

Hea

lth a

nd P

erso

nal C

are

Sto

res

$70,

701

$26,

001

$44,

700

$1,5

2017

2%G

asol

ine

Sta

tions

$44,

782

$28,

923

$15,

858

$539

55%

Clo

thin

g an

d C

loth

ing

Acc

esso

ries

Sto

res

$48,

247

$39,

330

$8,9

17$3

0323

%S

porti

ng G

oods

, Hob

by, B

ook,

& M

usic

Sto

res

$18,

819

$13,

141

$5,6

78$1

9343

%G

ener

al M

erch

andi

se S

tore

s$9

99$5

8,32

2M

isce

llane

ous

Sto

re R

etai

lers

$26,

420

$13,

389

$13,

031

$443

97%

Food

Ser

vice

s an

d D

rinki

ng P

lace

s$1

19,8

18$7

3,75

8$4

6,06

0$1

,566

62%

T

otal

$732

,467

$493

,672

$238

,795

$8,1

1948

%

Mar

ket A

rea

($21

,680

)($

737)

-61%

($57

,323

)($

1,94

9)-9

8%

2010

Tot

al A

nnua

l

In

ject

ion/

Ret

ail S

ales

in $

000

Tota

lPe

r Cap

itaEs

timat

edEs

timat

edas

% o

fSa

les

Res

iden

tPo

tent

ial

Stor

e C

ateg

or

Leak

age

Inje

ctio

n/In

ject

ion/

(Lea

kage

)(L

eaka

ge)

yin

Are

aEx

pend

iture

s$0

00

Sale

sM

otor

Veh

icle

and

Par

ts D

eale

rs$1

,682

,675

$1,5

13,9

89$1

68,6

86$2

7811

%H

ome

Furn

ishi

ngs

and

App

lianc

e S

tore

s$5

60,8

62$5

81,0

31B

ldg.

Mat

rl. a

nd G

arde

n E

quip

. and

Sup

plie

s$5

60,2

38$5

77,2

76Fo

od a

nd B

ever

age

Sto

res

$1,3

19,4

41$1

,361

,405

Hea

lth a

nd P

erso

nal C

are

Sto

res

$399

,097

$436

,516

Gas

olin

e S

tatio

ns$5

34,0

82$5

10,1

14$2

3,96

8$4

05%

Clo

thin

g an

d C

loth

ing

Acc

esso

ries

Sto

res

$565

,599

$658

,592

Spo

rting

Goo

ds, H

obby

, Boo

k, &

Mus

ic S

tore

s$2

52,7

96$2

14,3

17$3

8,47

9$6

318

%G

ener

al M

erch

andi

se S

tore

s$7

98,9

72$1

,002

,377

Mis

cella

neou

s S

tore

Ret

aile

rs$1

96,3

99$2

23,7

13Fo

od S

ervi

ces

and

Drin

king

Pla

ces

$1,1

27,3

84$1

,276

,097

T

otal

$7,9

97,5

44$8

,355

,427

All

sale

s an

d le

akag

es a

re in

201

0 do

llars

. Fo

r det

ail o

n m

etho

dolo

gy a

nd s

ourc

es, s

ee A

ppen

dice

s D

and

I.

Sou

rces

: B

AE

, bas

ed o

n so

urce

s as

not

ed in

App

endi

x D

.

($20

,169

)($

33)

-3%

($17

,038

)($

28)

-3%

($41

,963

)($

69)

-3%

($37

,419

)($

62)

-9%

($92

,993

)($

153)

-14%

($20

3,40

5)($

336)

-20%

($27

,314

)($

45)

-12%

($14

8,71

4)($

245)

-12%

($35

7,88

2)($

591)

-4%

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

64

of 1

50

Com

para

tive

Ret

ail S

ales

by

Det

aile

d St

ore

Cat

egor

y W

hile

the

leak

age

anal

ysis

abo

ve p

rovi

des a

bro

ad-b

rush

pic

ture

of t

he re

tail

mar

ket i

n Lo

s Gat

os

and

the

RTA

, a m

ore

deta

iled

appr

oach

shou

ld g

ive

a be

tter v

iew

of p

artic

ular

subc

ateg

orie

s tha

t m

ay h

ave

wea

k or

stro

ng sa

les r

elat

ive

to th

e po

pula

tion

base

. Th

e fo

llow

ing

anal

ysis

dril

ls d

own

to m

ore

deta

iled

stor

e ty

pes b

y N

AIC

S co

de, b

y co

mpa

ring

annu

al p

er c

apita

sale

s for

Los

Gat

os

and

the

RTA

with

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty.

Th

is a

naly

sis i

s not

a m

ore

deta

iled

vers

ion

of th

e le

akag

e an

alys

is it

self,

but

a sl

ight

ly d

iffer

ent

type

of a

naly

sis.

Firs

t, it

does

not

take

into

acc

ount

cha

nges

in sa

les s

ince

200

8, a

s it w

as n

ot

poss

ible

to p

rovi

de a

djus

tmen

ts a

t thi

s gre

ater

leve

l of d

etai

l. F

or e

xam

ple,

the

decl

ines

in m

otor

ve

hicl

e sa

les d

ue to

dea

ler c

losu

res i

s not

take

n in

to a

ccou

nt, n

or a

re th

e in

crea

sing

sale

s for

the

App

le S

tore

, whi

ch w

ere

cons

ider

ably

hig

her i

n 20

10 th

an 2

008.

Thi

s is n

oted

in th

e di

scus

sion

w

hich

follo

ws w

ith re

spec

t to

car d

eale

rs a

nd th

e A

pple

Sto

re.

Seco

nd, t

he a

naly

sis i

nclu

des n

o ad

just

men

ts fo

r loc

al d

emog

raph

ics (

e.g.

, hig

h in

com

es a

nd h

ome

owne

rshi

p) a

s pro

vide

d by

the

RM

P re

port

from

Nie

lsen

/Cla

ritas

. Th

e ab

ility

of c

onsu

mer

s to

subs

titut

e be

twee

n st

ore

type

s an

d th

e qu

ality

of t

he R

MP

data

do

not r

easo

nabl

y al

low

per

cap

ita sa

les a

djus

tmen

t fac

tors

for

thes

e m

ore

deta

iled

stor

e ty

pes.

Th

e ta

bles

in th

e fo

llow

ing

disc

ussi

on h

ighl

ight

the

subc

ateg

orie

s whe

re L

os G

atos

’ per

cap

ita

sale

s are

mor

e th

an 5

0 pe

rcen

t bel

ow th

ose

for S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y, a

s the

se m

ay re

pres

ent s

ome

of th

e be

tter o

ppor

tuni

ties t

o ex

pand

reta

il in

the

Tow

n, a

nd b

ecau

se th

is e

xtre

me

leve

l of

varia

tion

wou

ld st

ill b

e pr

esen

t eve

n if

adju

stm

ents

for l

ocal

con

ditio

ns in

the

Tow

n an

d th

e R

TA

had

been

pos

sibl

e. S

ince

the

Cou

nty

has l

ower

ove

rall

inco

me

leve

ls a

nd lo

wer

exp

ecte

d re

side

nt

expe

nditu

res,

this

is a

stro

ng in

dica

tor o

f sub

cate

gorie

s whe

re th

ere

is a

subs

tant

ial g

ap b

etw

een

sale

s and

exp

endi

ture

s in

the

Tow

n.32

The

follo

win

g di

scus

sion

is o

rgan

ized

by

maj

or re

tail

cate

gory

as s

how

n in

the

leak

age

anal

ysis

abo

ve.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

32 It

shou

ld a

lso

be n

oted

that

the

sale

s fig

ures

her

e in

this

det

aile

d an

alys

is a

re b

ased

on

2008

sale

s and

are

in

flatio

n-ad

just

ed o

nly,

and

hav

e no

t bee

n ad

just

ed to

acc

ount

for c

hang

es in

the

econ

omy

and

reta

il m

ix

subs

eque

nt to

200

8, su

ch a

s the

dec

line

in n

ew c

ar sa

les i

n Lo

s Gat

os d

ue to

the

clos

ure

of se

vera

l car

de

aler

ship

s and

the

over

all d

eclin

e in

the

econ

omy.

The

prio

r ove

rall

leak

age

anal

ysis

sect

ion

mak

es

adju

stm

ents

for t

hese

fact

ors.

Pa

ge 6

5 of

150

Mot

or V

ehic

le a

nd P

arts

Dea

lers

. A

s not

ed in

the

leak

age

anal

ysis

abo

ve, L

os G

atos

is

attra

ctin

g sa

les i

n th

is c

ateg

ory,

eve

n af

ter a

djus

ting

for t

he c

onsi

dera

bly

low

er sa

les l

evel

s of

2010

. W

ithin

the

cate

gory

, the

Tow

n’s s

ales

are

con

cent

rate

d in

the

new

car

dea

ler s

ubca

tego

ry;33

fu

rther

mor

e, L

os G

atos

has

two

luxu

ry c

ar d

eale

rs se

lling

rela

tivel

y ex

pens

ive

auto

mob

iles.

The

To

wn

has n

o us

ed c

ar, R

V, o

r boa

t dea

lers

, but

thes

e ar

e re

tail

type

s unl

ikel

y to

find

suita

ble

site

s in

Los

Gat

os.

Furth

erm

ore,

thes

e su

bcat

egor

ies a

ppea

r to

be b

ette

r-re

pres

ente

d in

the

larg

er

RTA

, so

the

gene

ral r

egio

n is

fairl

y w

ell-s

erve

d. O

nce

agai

n, it

is im

porta

nt to

not

e th

at th

e sa

les

in th

is d

etai

led

anal

ysis

are

from

200

8, a

nd d

o no

t alw

ays r

efle

ct c

urre

nt c

ondi

tions

, e.g

., de

aler

cl

osur

es.

Lo

s Gat

osRe

tail T

rade

Are

a20

08 E

stim

ated

Ann

ual P

er C

apita

Sale

s in

2010

$Pe

r Cap

itaAs

%Pe

r Cap

itaAs

%Sa

nta C

lara

Sales

of C

ount

ySa

lesof

Cou

nty

Coun

tyNe

w ca

r dea

lers

$8,10

036

6%$2

,699

122%

$2,21

1Us

ed ca

r dea

lers

$00%

$59

153%

$39

Recr

eatio

nal v

ehicl

e dea

lers

$00%

$00%

$17

Motor

cycle

, ATV

, and

perso

nal w

atercr

aft de

alers

$154

297%

$68

131%

$52

Boat

dea

lers

$00%

$12

166%

$7Al

l oth

er m

otor

vehi

cle d

ealer

s$0

0%$1

225

9%$5

Auto

motiv

e par

ts an

d acc

esso

ries s

tores

$123

114%

$98

90%

$108

Tire d

ealer

s$1

4419

2%$8

010

7%$7

5Mo

tor V

ehicl

e and

Par

ts D

ealer

s$8

,521

$3,02

8$2

,514

H

ome

Furn

ishi

ngs a

nd A

pplia

nce

Stor

es.

The

broa

d-br

ush

leak

age

anal

ysis

in th

e pr

evio

us

sect

ion

of th

is re

port

indi

cate

s sub

stan

tial i

njec

tions

for t

his m

ajor

cat

egor

y ov

eral

l, lik

ely

driv

en

in la

rge

part

by th

e A

pple

Sto

re.

Unf

ortu

nate

ly, t

he sa

les d

ata

pres

ente

d do

not

show

this

eff

ect

fully

, as t

he st

ore

had

not y

et re

ache

d cu

rren

t sal

es le

vels

and

the

follo

win

g nu

mbe

rs d

o no

t tak

e in

to a

ccou

nt th

e in

crea

se in

sale

s in

the

App

le S

tore

sinc

e 20

08.

Nev

erth

eles

s, th

e da

ta d

o in

dica

te so

me

pote

ntia

l opp

ortu

nitie

s for

Los

Gat

os.

Whi

le th

e To

wn

also

show

s stro

ng p

er

capi

ta fu

rnitu

re st

ore

sale

s, ap

plia

nce

stor

e an

d el

ectro

nics

(exc

ludi

ng c

ompu

ters

) sto

res s

how

sa

les b

elow

cou

ntyw

ide

leve

ls.

App

lianc

e st

ores

in p

artic

ular

app

ear t

o be

a g

ap in

the

reta

il m

ix.

Alth

ough

com

pute

r sto

re sa

les s

how

n he

re b

ased

on

2008

dat

a ap

pear

low

, thi

s sub

cate

gory

may

no

long

er h

ave

such

low

per

cap

ita sa

les d

ue to

the

App

le S

tore

’s in

crea

sing

sale

s.

Los G

atos

Reta

il Tra

de A

rea

2008

Est

imat

ed A

nnua

l Per

Cap

ita S

ales i

n 20

10 $

Per C

apita

As %

Per C

apita

As %

Sant

a Clar

aSa

lesof

Cou

nty

Sales

of C

ount

yCo

unty

Furn

iture

stor

es$4

4832

0%$1

4310

2%$1

40Flo

or co

verin

g stor

es$2

756

%$4

185

%$4

9W

indow

trea

tmen

t stor

es$1

727

4%$6

96%

$6Al

l othe

r hom

e fur

nishin

gs st

ores

$561

374%

$207

138%

$150

Hous

ehol

d ap

plian

ce st

ores

$10

20%

$47

95%

$50

Radi

o, te

levisi

on, a

nd o

ther

elec

troni

cs st

ores

$89

37%

$251

104%

$241

Com

pute

r and

softw

are s

tore

s$1

1635

%$3

3410

0%$3

35Ca

mera

and p

hotog

raph

ic su

pplie

s stor

es$7

230

6%$2

610

9%$2

3Ho

me F

urni

shin

gs an

d Ap

plian

ce S

tore

s$1

,340

$1,05

4$9

94

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

66

of 1

50

33 T

he so

urce

s for

thes

e ta

bles

can

be

foun

d in

App

endi

x A

.

Bui

ldin

g M

ater

ials

, and

Gar

den

Equ

ipm

ent a

nd S

uppl

ies.

Thi

s maj

or st

ore

cate

gory

was

one

of

the

two

that

show

ed le

akag

es fo

r Los

Gat

os.

This

is la

rgel

y du

e to

the

lack

of a

larg

e ho

me

impr

ovem

ent s

tore

such

as L

owe’

s or H

ome

Dep

ot.

The

Tow

n’s s

ales

in th

is c

ateg

ory

are

conc

entra

ted

in th

e ha

rdw

are

stor

e su

bcat

egor

y, w

hich

has

per

cap

ita sa

les h

ighe

r tha

n th

e R

TA

or th

e C

ount

y. T

his i

s lik

ely

an e

xam

ple

whe

re lo

cal s

hopp

ers a

re su

bstit

utin

g pu

rcha

ses a

t loc

al

hard

war

e st

ores

and

gar

den

cent

ers f

or p

urch

ases

at h

ome

impr

ovem

ent c

ente

rs.

This

pro

pens

ity

to p

urch

ase

loca

lly ra

ther

than

driv

e ou

t of t

own

to a

hom

e im

prov

emen

t cen

ter i

s lim

ited,

thou

gh,

as th

e ov

eral

l bui

ldin

g m

ater

ials

/gar

den

equi

pmen

t cat

egor

y st

ill h

as e

stim

ated

per

cap

ita sa

les

belo

w R

TA a

nd c

ount

ywid

e le

vels

.

Los G

atos

Reta

il Tra

de A

rea

2008

Est

imat

ed A

nnua

l Per

Cap

ita S

ales i

n 20

10 $

Per C

apita

As %

Per C

apita

As %

Sant

a Clar

aSa

lesof

Cou

nty

Sales

of C

ount

yCo

unty

Hom

e cen

ters

$00%

$407

108%

$378

Paint

and w

allpa

per s

tores

$10

36%

$51

179%

$29

Hard

ware

stor

es$3

9735

6%$2

2920

5%$1

12Ot

her b

uild

ing

mat

erial

dea

lers

$103

29%

$243

68%

$360

Outd

oor p

ower

equi

pmen

t sto

res

$00%

$12

112%

$11

Nurse

ry, ga

rden

cente

r, an

d far

m su

pply

store

s$1

5025

0%$8

013

3%$6

0Bl

dg. M

atrl.

and

Gard

en E

quip

. and

Sup

plies

$6

60$1

,023

$949

Fo

od a

nd B

ever

age

Stor

es.

Los G

atos

is u

nusu

al in

the

leve

l of s

ales

cap

ture

in th

is o

vera

ll ca

tego

ry, w

here

per

cap

ita sa

les a

re e

stim

ated

to b

e ov

er tw

ice

the

leve

l of l

ocal

resi

dent

ex

pend

iture

s. A

s dis

cuss

ed a

bove

, thi

s is d

ue in

par

t to

the

loca

tion

of m

any

of th

e st

ores

, pa

rticu

larly

the

two

Safe

way

s nea

r opp

osite

edg

es o

f the

Tow

n, a

s wel

l as t

he a

ttrac

tion

to th

ese

stor

es o

f res

iden

ts o

f nea

rby

unin

corp

orat

ed a

reas

to th

e so

uth

of T

own,

sinc

e Lo

s Gat

os

supe

rmar

kets

are

the

clos

est s

uch

stor

es.

Als

o di

scus

sed

abov

e, th

e cl

uste

r of s

uper

mar

kets

on

Los G

atos

Bou

leva

rd in

clud

es st

ores

that

hav

e a

mor

e re

gion

-ser

ving

nat

ure,

and

the

lack

of

gene

ral m

erch

andi

se st

ores

in T

own

may

lead

to lo

cal s

hopp

ers p

urch

asin

g a

high

er p

ropo

rtion

of

non-

groc

ery

item

s in

thes

e lo

cal s

uper

mar

kets

. A

dditi

onal

ly, t

he d

ownt

own

Safe

way

is th

e cl

oses

t sup

erm

arke

t to

Mon

te S

eren

o an

d so

me

of S

arat

oga.

D

espi

te th

e To

wn’

s pro

file,

with

hig

h ho

me

owne

rshi

p an

d in

com

e le

vels

, the

Tow

n ha

s lim

ited

spec

ialty

food

reta

il, sh

owin

g no

sale

s in

mea

t mar

kets

, fis

h an

d se

afoo

d m

arke

ts, a

nd p

rodu

ce

mar

kets

.34 G

iven

the

Tow

n’s a

lread

y-st

rong

attr

actio

n as

a fo

od sh

oppi

ng d

estin

atio

n, th

is m

ay

repr

esen

t an

oppo

rtuni

ty to

bro

aden

the

food

reta

iling

mix

and

enh

ance

the

Tow

n’s s

trong

po

sitio

n fo

r thi

s ret

ail c

ateg

ory.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

34 L

os G

atos

Mea

ts a

nd S

mok

ehou

se p

rovi

des s

ome

spec

ialty

mea

ts, b

ut is

cla

ssifi

ed a

s a re

stau

rant

.

Pa

ge 6

7 of

150

Los G

atos

Reta

il Tra

de A

rea

2008

Est

imat

ed A

nnua

l Per

Cap

ita S

ales i

n 20

10 $

Per C

apita

As %

Per C

apita

As %

Sant

a Clar

aSa

lesof

Cou

nty

Sales

of C

ount

yCo

unty

Supe

rmar

kets

and o

ther g

roce

ry (e

xcep

t con

venie

nce)

stor

es$6

,055

319%

$1,96

710

4%$1

,897

Conv

enien

ce st

ores

$301

335%

$75

84%

$90

Meat

mar

kets

$00%

$12

100%

$12

Fish

and

seaf

ood

mar

kets

$00%

$412

2%$3

Frui

t and

vege

tabl

e mar

kets

$00%

$866

%$1

2Ba

ked g

oods

stor

es$3

73%

$371

%$5

Confe

ction

ery a

nd nu

t stor

es$5

859

2%$1

818

5%$1

0Al

l othe

r spe

cialty

food

stor

es$1

717

1%$1

514

7%$1

0Be

er, w

ine, a

nd liq

uor s

tores

$68

82%

$92

111%

$83

Food

and

Beve

rage

Sto

res

$6,50

3$2

,195

$2,12

2

Hea

lth a

nd P

erso

nal C

are

Stor

es.

This

cat

egor

y is

dom

inat

ed b

y dr

ug st

ores

, and

show

s su

bsta

ntia

l inj

ectio

ns in

Los

Gat

os.

As n

oted

in th

e le

akag

e an

alys

is, s

ome

of th

ese

inje

ctio

ns

may

be

due

to lo

cal r

esid

ents

usi

ng d

rug

stor

es a

s gen

eral

mer

chan

dise

stor

es d

ue to

the

lack

of

such

stor

es in

the

Tow

n. A

dditi

onal

ly, m

any

of th

e dr

ug st

ores

are

at o

r nea

r the

edg

es o

f the

To

wn,

with

eve

n th

e D

ownt

own

Wal

gree

ns a

s the

clo

sest

pha

rmac

y fo

r Mon

te S

eren

o an

d so

me

of S

arat

oga.

Los G

atos

Reta

il Tra

de A

rea

2008

Est

imat

ed A

nnua

l Per

Cap

ita S

ales i

n 20

10 $

Per C

apita

As %

Per C

apita

As %

Sant

a Clar

aSa

lesof

Cou

nty

Sales

of C

ount

yCo

unty

Phar

macie

s and

drug

stor

es$1

,658

313%

$509

96%

$530

Cosm

etics

, bea

uty su

pplie

s, an

d per

fume s

tores

$636

882%

$81

112%

$72

Optic

al go

ods s

tores

$17

63%

$31

112%

$27

Food

(hea

lth) s

upple

ment

store

s$1

795

%$2

312

7%$1

8Al

l othe

r hea

lth an

d per

sona

l car

e stor

es$5

532

7%$1

592

%$1

7He

alth

and

Pers

onal

Care

Sto

res

$2,38

3$6

58$6

64

Clo

thin

g an

d C

loth

ing

Acc

esso

ries

Sto

res.

Los

Gat

os h

as st

rong

sale

s in

this

maj

or re

tail

cate

gory

, and

in m

ost o

f the

subc

ateg

orie

s. T

here

are

no

estim

ated

sale

s in

the

clot

hing

ac

cess

orie

s sub

cate

gory

, but

this

subc

ateg

ory

repr

esen

ts a

fairl

y sm

all p

ropo

rtion

of s

ales

in th

e cl

othi

ng st

ore

grou

p. T

hus t

he o

vera

ll sa

les i

njec

tions

for c

loth

ing

and

clot

hing

acc

esso

ries s

tore

s re

flect

s an

over

all s

treng

th, w

ith li

mite

d op

portu

nitie

s to

capt

ure

addi

tiona

l sal

es fr

om L

os G

atos

re

side

nts.

How

ever

, it s

houl

d be

not

ed th

at th

e ap

pare

l sto

res i

n th

e To

wn

tend

to b

e hi

gh-e

nd

stor

es, n

ot n

eces

saril

y re

flect

ing

the

type

s of i

nexp

ensi

ve e

very

day

appa

rel m

ore

com

mon

ly

foun

d in

dis

coun

t gen

eral

mer

chan

dise

stor

es su

ch a

s Tar

get,

Km

art,

or W

alm

art,

or in

low

er-e

nd

mal

l dep

artm

ent s

tore

s suc

h as

JC P

enne

y or

Sea

rs.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

68

of 1

50

Los G

atos

Reta

il Tra

de A

rea

2008

Est

imat

ed A

nnua

l Per

Cap

ita S

ales i

n 20

10 $

Per C

apita

As %

Per C

apita

As %

Sant

a Clar

aSa

lesof

Cou

nty

Sales

of C

ount

yCo

unty

Men's

cloth

ing st

ores

$41

89%

$38

82%

$46

Wom

en's

clothi

ng st

ores

$431

231%

$113

60%

$186

Child

ren's

and i

nfants

' clot

hing s

tores

$65

147%

$43

98%

$44

Fami

ly clo

thing

stor

es$5

5712

9%$4

6310

7%$4

33Cl

othi

ng ac

cess

ories

stor

es$1

031

%$1

134

%$3

3Ot

her c

lothin

g stor

es$9

219

6%$7

014

8%$4

7Sh

oe st

ores

$106

83%

$102

80%

$128

Jewe

lry st

ores

$222

184%

$119

99%

$120

Lugg

age a

nd le

ather

good

s stor

es$8

236

5%$1

253

%$2

2Cl

othi

ng an

d Cl

othi

ng A

cces

sorie

s Sto

res

$1,60

7$9

70$1

,061

Sp

ortin

g G

oods

, Hob

by, B

ook,

and

Mus

ic S

tore

s. A

mon

g th

is g

roup

of s

tore

type

s, Lo

s Gat

os

show

s per

cap

ita sa

les a

bove

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

for m

ost s

ubca

tego

ries.

Spo

rting

goo

ds st

ore

sale

s, th

e la

rges

t cat

egor

y, a

re d

ue in

larg

e pa

rt to

the

Tow

n’s b

icyc

le sh

ops.

Los

Gat

os sh

ows n

o sa

les f

or n

ews d

eale

rs/n

ewss

tand

s and

pre

reco

rded

tape

, com

pact

dis

c, a

nd re

cord

stor

es, b

ut

thes

e ca

tego

ries a

re sm

all c

ateg

orie

s whi

ch h

ave

been

impa

cted

by

a sw

itch

to o

nlin

e ne

ws

read

ing

and

dow

nloa

dabl

e m

usic

. A

dditi

onal

ly, t

he p

er c

apita

boo

k st

ore

sale

s sho

wn

here

for t

he

Tow

n do

not

take

into

acc

ount

the

rece

nt c

losu

re o

f Bor

ders

; it i

s pos

sibl

e th

ere

may

now

be

an

oppo

rtuni

ty fo

r a sm

alle

r, in

depe

nden

t boo

ksto

re in

Los

Gat

os, b

ut th

is su

bcat

egor

y ha

s als

o be

en

impa

cted

by

onlin

e sa

les (

e.g.

, Am

azon

) and

now

by

e-re

ader

s, w

hich

may

aff

ect t

he p

oten

tial

long

-term

via

bilit

y of

such

a st

ore.

Los G

atos

Reta

il Tra

de A

rea

2008

Est

imat

ed A

nnua

l Per

Cap

ita S

ales i

n 20

10 $

Per C

apita

As %

Per C

apita

As %

Sant

a Clar

aSa

lesof

Cou

nty

Sales

of C

ount

yCo

unty

Spor

ting g

oods

stor

es$2

7420

7%$2

0815

8%$1

32Ho

bby,

toy, a

nd ga

me st

ores

$144

218%

$82

124%

$66

Sewi

ng, n

eedle

work,

and p

iece g

oods

stor

es$5

144

7%$2

218

8%$1

1Mu

sical

instru

ment

and s

uppli

es st

ores

$14

52%

$24

91%

$27

Book

stor

es$1

1612

9%$8

494

%$9

0Ne

ws d

ealer

s and

new

ssta

nds

$00%

$00%

$1Pr

erec

orde

d ta

pe, c

ompa

ct d

isc, a

nd re

cord

stor

es$0

0%$9

89%

$10

Spor

ting

Good

s, Ho

bby,

Book

, and

Mus

ic St

ores

$5

98$4

29$3

37

Gen

eral

Mer

chan

dise

Sto

res.

Los

Gat

os is

alm

ost e

ntire

ly la

ckin

g in

gen

eral

mer

chan

dise

st

ores

, and

as a

resu

lt ha

s alm

ost n

o sa

les i

n th

is c

ateg

ory.

Whi

le so

me

of th

ese

sale

s may

be

occu

rrin

g in

oth

er ty

pes o

f out

lets

such

as d

rug

stor

es, t

his c

ateg

ory

over

all r

epre

sent

s a

subs

tant

ial g

ap in

the

reta

il m

ix in

the

Tow

n.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 6

9 of

150

Los G

atos

Reta

il Tra

de A

rea

2008

Est

imat

ed A

nnua

l Per

Cap

ita S

ales i

n 20

10 $

Per C

apita

As %

Per C

apita

As %

Sant

a Clar

aSa

lesof

Cou

nty

Sales

of C

ount

yCo

unty

Depa

rtmen

t sto

res (

exce

pt d

iscou

nt d

epar

tmen

t sto

res)

$00%

$449

103%

$435

Disc

ount

dep

artm

ent s

tore

s$0

0%$4

5978

%$5

87W

areh

ouse

club

s and

supe

rcen

ters

$00%

$239

51%

$468

All o

ther g

ener

al me

rchan

dise s

tores

$44

65%

$181

264%

$68

Gene

ral M

erch

andi

se S

tore

s $4

4$1

,328

$1,55

8

Mis

cella

neou

s Sto

re R

etai

lers

. Lo

s Gat

os h

as e

xtre

mel

y st

rong

per

cap

ita sa

les a

cros

s the

stor

e ty

pes c

ompr

isin

g th

is c

atch

-all

maj

or c

ateg

ory.

The

two

stor

e ty

pes w

ith v

ery

limite

d pe

r cap

ita

sale

s hav

e sp

ecia

l mar

ket n

iche

s tha

t are

not

subs

tant

ial o

ppor

tuni

ties i

n th

e co

ntex

t of t

he L

os

Gat

os re

tail

mix

.

Los G

atos

Reta

il Tra

de A

rea

2008

Est

imat

ed A

nnua

l Per

Cap

ita S

ales i

n 20

10 $

Per C

apita

As %

Per C

apita

As %

Sant

a Clar

aSa

lesof

Cou

nty

Sales

of C

ount

yCo

unty

Floris

ts$3

830

0%$1

915

3%$1

3Of

fice s

uppli

es an

d stat

ioner

y stor

es$2

0928

9%$8

011

0%$7

2Gi

ft, no

velty

, and

souv

enir s

tores

$431

825%

$70

134%

$52

Used

mer

chan

dise

stor

es$1

028

%$3

082

%$3

6Pe

t and

pet s

uppli

es st

ores

$243

374%

$76

117%

$65

Art d

ealer

s$2

149

5%$7

169%

$4Ma

nufa

ctur

ed (m

obile

) hom

e dea

lers

$00%

$00%

$51

Toba

cco s

tores

$17

107%

$21

133%

$16

All o

ther m

iscell

aneo

us st

ore r

etaile

rs (e

xcep

t toba

cco s

tores

)$5

814

3%$3

586

%$4

1Mi

scell

aneo

us S

tore

Ret

ailer

s $1

,026

$337

$350

Fo

od S

ervi

ces a

nd D

rink

ing

Plac

es.

The

Tow

n’s o

vera

ll st

reng

th in

this

cat

egor

y as

indi

cate

d ab

ove

in th

e le

akag

e an

alys

is c

arrie

s thr

ough

for a

lmos

t all

of th

e su

bcat

egor

ies.

Ful

l-ser

vice

re

stau

rant

s hav

e pa

rticu

lar s

trong

per

cap

ita sa

les o

n an

abs

olut

e ba

sis,

mak

ing

up a

ppro

xim

atel

y ha

lf of

the

rest

aura

nt sa

les i

n th

e To

wn.

The

onl

y su

btyp

e la

ckin

g in

Los

Gat

os is

caf

eter

ias/

grill

bu

ffet

s/bu

ffet

s. T

his n

iche

is p

roba

bly

not p

artic

ular

ly w

ell-s

uite

d to

the

area

dem

ogra

phic

pr

ofile

of h

igh

inco

me

hous

ehol

ds.

Lo

s Gat

osRe

tail T

rade

Are

a20

08 E

stim

ated

Ann

ual P

er C

apita

Sale

s in

2010

$Pe

r Cap

itaAs

%Pe

r Cap

itaAs

%Sa

nta C

lara

Sales

of C

ount

ySa

lesof

Cou

nty

Coun

tyFu

ll-ser

vice r

estau

rants

$2,18

126

3%$8

7310

5%$8

31Lim

ited-

servi

ce re

staur

ants

$684

110%

$648

104%

$622

Cafe

teria

s, gr

ill bu

ffets

, and

buf

fets

$00%

$26

91%

$29

Snac

k and

nona

lcoho

lic be

vera

ge ba

rs$4

6827

6%$1

9211

3%$1

70Fo

od se

rvice

contr

actor

s$5

6123

3%$8

335

%$2

40Ca

tere

rs$1

2345

5%$1

763

%$2

7Mo

bile f

ood s

ervic

es$7

753%

$192

%$1

Drink

ing pl

aces

(alco

holic

beve

rage

s)$1

8537

9%$3

673

%$4

9Fo

od S

ervic

es an

d Dr

inkin

g Pl

aces

$4

,209

$1,87

6$1

,969

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 7

0 of

150

Re

tail

Ma

rke

t A

ss

es

sm

en

t: S

um

ma

ry

Exis

ting

Con

ditio

ns

Los G

atos

has

fare

d re

lativ

ely

wel

l with

resp

ect t

o its

reta

il re

al e

stat

e ov

er th

e pa

st fe

w y

ears

. C

urre

ntly

, the

reta

il va

canc

y ra

te fo

r the

Tow

n is

est

imat

ed a

t app

roxi

mat

ely

five

perc

ent,

indi

cativ

e of

a b

alan

ced

mar

ket w

here

vac

anci

es o

ccur

as a

regu

lar p

art o

f the

bus

ines

s cyc

le.

Vac

ancy

rate

s for

the

entir

ety

of w

est S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y ar

e sl

ight

ly h

ighe

r, bu

t stil

l not

at

extre

mel

y hi

gh ra

tes o

n av

erag

e. F

or th

e To

wn,

low

vac

anci

es h

ave

been

driv

en b

y th

e st

rong

de

mog

raph

ics o

f the

are

a, a

nd b

y a

cons

train

ed su

pply

; the

supp

ly o

f spa

ces o

f 10,

000

squa

re fe

et

or m

ore

is p

artic

ular

ly li

mite

d. T

he li

mite

d pr

esen

ce o

f nat

iona

l cha

ins s

uch

as B

orde

rs th

at h

ave

unde

rgon

e do

wns

izin

g an

d liq

uida

tion

has a

lso

help

ed k

eep

vaca

ncie

s low

er in

Los

Gat

os.

Ren

ts

in L

os G

atos

dec

lined

at t

he o

nset

of t

he re

cess

ion,

but

hav

e si

nce

rebo

unde

d so

mew

hat.

D

ownt

own

has s

how

n th

e st

rong

est r

ents

and

less

er d

olla

r dec

reas

es.

The

RTA

con

tain

s a la

rge

mix

and

var

iety

of r

egio

nal r

etai

l cen

ters

rang

ing

from

dis

coun

t to

high

en

d sh

oppi

ng, a

nd fr

om p

ower

cen

ters

to li

fest

yle

cent

ers t

o m

ajor

enc

lose

d m

alls

. In

add

ition

to

thes

e ce

nter

s, th

ere

are

othe

r reg

iona

l cen

ters

bey

ond

the

RTA

that

dra

w sh

oppe

rs fr

om th

e R

TA.

Som

e of

thes

e ce

nter

s bot

h w

ithin

and

out

side

the

RTA

will

be

com

petit

ive

with

any

regi

on-s

ervi

ng

reta

il at

the

Nor

th 4

0, d

epen

ding

on

the

parti

cula

r sho

ppin

g ex

perie

nce

that

is p

rovi

ded

by th

e pr

ojec

t. T

he R

TA’s

reta

il sa

les f

or 2

008

are

estim

ated

at a

ppro

xim

atel

y $8

.4 b

illio

n, a

bout

10

times

the

sale

s in

Los G

atos

alo

ne.

Whi

le so

mew

hat s

mal

ler p

ropo

rtion

ally

than

for t

he T

own,

m

otor

veh

icle

and

par

ts d

eale

rs, f

ood

and

beve

rage

stor

es, a

nd fo

od se

rvic

es a

nd d

rinki

ng p

lace

s ar

e th

e th

ree

larg

est c

ateg

orie

s for

sale

s in

the

RTA

. Th

ere

are

som

e va

riatio

ns b

y st

ore

cate

gory

, bu

t the

RTA

’s le

vels

of p

er c

apita

sale

s are

muc

h cl

oser

to th

e co

unty

wid

e an

d st

atew

ide

leve

ls

than

the

Tow

n’s.

R

etai

l sal

es fo

r the

Tow

n fo

r 200

8 ar

e es

timat

ed a

t app

roxi

mat

ely

$838

mill

ion

(in in

flatio

n-ad

just

ed 2

010

dolla

rs).

The

thre

e la

rges

t cat

egor

ies b

y sa

les v

olum

e ar

e m

otor

veh

icle

and

par

ts

deal

ers a

t 30

perc

ent,

food

and

bev

erag

e st

ores

at 2

3 pe

rcen

t, an

d fo

od se

rvic

es a

nd d

rinki

ng p

lace

s at

15

perc

ent.

The

pro

porti

on o

f the

Tow

n’s t

otal

reta

il sa

les i

n m

otor

veh

icle

and

food

stor

e sa

les

are

cons

ider

ably

hig

her t

han

foun

d in

the

RTA

, the

Cou

nty,

or t

he S

tate

, alth

ough

they

hav

e de

clin

ed si

nce

2008

. Th

e To

wn

show

s alm

ost n

o sa

les i

n ge

nera

l mer

chan

dise

stor

es, w

ell b

elow

th

e pr

opor

tions

for t

he o

ther

geo

grap

hies

. O

n a

per c

apita

bas

is, r

etai

l sal

es in

Los

Gat

os a

re q

uite

hi

gh, a

t $28

,653

ann

ually

com

pare

d to

less

than

$14

,000

ann

ually

for t

he o

ther

thre

e ge

ogra

phie

s.

Seve

ral s

ecto

rs h

ave

per c

apita

sale

s at m

ore

than

twic

e th

e le

vels

foun

d in

the

RTA

; the

onl

y se

ctor

s lag

ging

the

RTA

in p

er c

apita

sale

s are

the

build

ing

mat

eria

ls g

roup

and

gen

eral

m

erch

andi

se st

ores

.

Tota

l inf

latio

n-ad

just

ed ta

xabl

e re

tail

sale

s in

Los G

atos

dip

ped

in th

e ea

rly p

art o

f the

last

dec

ade

follo

win

g th

e do

t-com

bus

t, an

d th

en g

radu

ally

incr

ease

d to

a p

eak

in 2

006;

sale

s dec

lined

aga

in

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 7

1 of

150

thro

ugh

2009

, the

n re

cove

red

slig

htly

in 2

010.

The

se c

hang

es in

reta

il sa

les o

ccur

red

agai

nst a

ba

ckgr

ound

of v

ery

limite

d po

pula

tion

grow

th in

the

Tow

n.

The

key

fact

or in

the

long

-term

dec

line

of re

tail

sale

s in

Los G

atos

is th

e de

clin

e in

the

mot

or

vehi

cle

sect

or.

By

2010

, tax

able

mot

or v

ehic

le sa

les i

n th

e To

wn

wer

e on

ly 2

1 pe

rcen

t of 2

000

leve

ls a

fter a

djus

ting

for i

nfla

tion.

Mos

t of t

he m

ajor

reta

il se

ctor

s hav

e 20

10 in

flatio

n ad

just

ed

sale

s sim

ilar t

o th

ose

in 2

000.

Asi

de fr

om th

e au

tom

otiv

e se

ctor

, onl

y th

e ca

tch-

all o

ther

reta

il gr

oup

(whi

ch in

clud

es sp

ecia

lty re

tail

such

as s

porti

ng g

oods

and

boo

ks) s

how

s a su

bsta

ntia

l de

clin

e, to

60

perc

ent o

f 200

0 le

vels

.

The

Tow

n’s p

rimar

y re

tail

area

s are

the

Dow

ntow

n, L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd a

nd th

e ne

ighb

orho

od

cent

ers.

Dow

ntow

n ha

s thr

ee su

bare

as: t

he D

ownt

own

Cor

e, D

ownt

own

Nor

th, a

nd th

e B

loss

om

Hill

/Uni

vers

ity d

istri

ct.

The

Dow

ntow

n C

ore

repr

esen

ts th

e “h

eart”

of L

os G

atos

, with

a m

ix o

f sm

all s

hops

in a

smal

l-tow

n m

ain-

stre

et se

tting

with

num

erou

s his

toric

stru

ctur

es, p

rimar

ily a

long

Sa

nta

Cru

z A

venu

e an

d M

ain

Stre

et.

Th

e C

ore

area

acc

ount

s for

nea

rly th

ree-

quar

ters

of a

ll bu

sine

sses

in th

e D

ownt

own,

and

has

the

stro

nges

t orie

ntat

ion

tow

ard

reta

il. T

he la

rges

t con

cent

ratio

ns a

re in

app

arel

, eat

ing

and

drin

king

, an

d ot

her r

etai

l, w

hich

incl

udes

var

ious

type

s of s

peci

alty

reta

il ou

tlets

such

as s

porti

ng g

oods

, toy

, an

d bo

oks/

stat

ione

ry st

ores

. Th

e C

ore

is c

hara

cter

ized

by

smal

ler f

loor

pla

tes,

and

beca

use

of th

e fo

rmul

a re

tail

ordi

nanc

e, th

e C

ore

cont

ains

few

cha

in re

taile

rs.

With

the

exce

ptio

n of

the

east

ern

porti

on o

f Old

Tow

n, th

e C

ore

busi

ness

es a

re fo

r the

mos

t par

t dire

ctly

adj

acen

t to

the

stre

et a

nd

side

wal

ks, w

ith p

arki

ng p

rovi

ded

on-s

treet

and

in m

unic

ipal

lots

beh

ind

the

stor

es o

n Sa

nta

Cru

z.

In th

e N

orth

suba

rea,

ther

e ar

e so

me

larg

er st

ores

, esp

ecia

lly W

algr

eens

and

the

soon

-to-o

pen

rebu

ilt a

nd e

xpan

ded

Safe

way

, and

con

vent

iona

l stri

p ce

nter

s suc

h as

the

Wal

gree

ns C

ente

r and

the

Los G

atos

Sho

ppin

g C

ente

r, w

ith st

ores

set b

ack

from

the

stre

et b

y pa

rkin

g lo

ts.

D

ownt

own

is se

en a

s a re

tail

dest

inat

ion,

dra

win

g sh

oppe

rs fr

om L

os G

atos

as w

ell a

s oth

er n

earb

y co

mm

uniti

es, e

spec

ially

Mon

te S

eren

o an

d Sa

rato

ga, w

hich

hav

e lim

ited

reta

il of

ferin

gs a

nd c

ome

to D

ownt

own

for e

very

day

item

s, sp

ecia

lty g

oods

and

serv

ices

, and

din

ing.

Sho

pper

s fro

m o

ther

ne

arby

citi

es su

ch a

s Cup

ertin

o, C

ampb

ell,

and

San

Jose

, hav

e am

ple

conv

enie

nce-

orie

nted

reta

il ne

arby

but

com

e to

Los

Gat

os fo

r the

dow

ntow

n ex

perie

nce.

Dow

ntow

n is

als

o a

tour

ist

dest

inat

ion,

with

out

-of-

tow

ners

com

ing

to e

xper

ienc

e th

e sm

all t

own

and

pede

stria

n-fr

iend

ly

ambi

ence

. In

201

0, D

ownt

own

Los G

atos

gen

erat

ed a

ppro

xim

atel

y $2

09 m

illio

n in

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les,

or

over

50

perc

ent o

f the

Tow

n’s t

otal

, con

firm

ing

its si

gnifi

canc

e as

a sh

oppi

ng d

estin

atio

n an

d as

a

tax

gene

rato

r for

the

Tow

n. O

n an

infla

tion-

adju

sted

bas

is, t

his s

ales

leve

l has

dec

lined

from

$22

5 m

illio

n in

200

8, b

ut h

as re

boun

ded

from

$19

8 m

illio

n in

200

9. T

his u

ptic

k is

due

in p

art t

o in

crea

sing

sale

s at t

he A

pple

Sto

re, w

hich

is o

ne o

f the

larg

est s

ales

tax

gene

rato

rs in

the

Tow

n.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

72

of 1

50

With

in th

e ov

eral

l Dow

ntow

n ar

ea, t

he C

ore

is re

spon

sibl

e fo

r 80

perc

ent o

f tot

al ta

xabl

e sa

les.

Lo

ng-te

rm tr

ends

in o

vera

ll ta

xabl

e sa

les i

n th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e sh

ow th

at in

infla

tion-

adju

sted

do

llars

, sal

es w

ere

subs

tant

ially

hig

her i

n 20

00 th

an in

201

0. S

ales

dec

lined

from

200

0 th

roug

h 20

03, b

ut re

boun

ded

in 2

004

even

with

San

tana

Row

ope

ning

in 2

003.

Sal

es in

crea

sed

agai

n in

20

05, d

eclin

ed in

200

6, in

crea

sed

to a

pos

t-201

0 pe

ak in

200

7, a

nd th

en d

eclin

ed a

s the

rece

ssio

n to

ok h

old,

reac

hing

the

low

poi

nt o

f the

dec

ade

in 2

009.

A m

odes

t inc

reas

e w

as se

en in

201

0. I

t ap

pear

s tha

t gen

eral

mac

roec

onom

ic re

gion

al tr

ends

wer

e a

grea

ter f

acto

r inf

luen

cing

sale

s lev

els

in th

e C

ore

than

the

addi

tiona

l com

petit

ion

prov

ided

by

Sant

ana

Row

. M

uch

of th

is d

eclin

e, h

owev

er, w

as n

ot in

the

maj

or re

tail

cate

gorie

s con

side

red

key

sect

ors f

or th

e C

ore,

but

inst

ead

in a

uto-

rela

ted

reta

il (d

eale

rs a

nd se

rvic

e st

atio

ns) a

nd n

on-r

etai

l out

lets

(per

sona

l an

d bu

sine

ss se

rvic

es).

The

key

reta

il se

ctor

s com

bine

d sh

owed

smal

ler d

eclin

es o

ver t

he d

ecad

e,

and

eatin

g an

d dr

inki

ng p

lace

s sho

wed

lim

ited

varia

tion

over

the

ten

year

s.

Form

ula

reta

il, w

hile

rest

ricte

d in

the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore,

nev

erth

eles

s acc

ount

s for

a si

gnifi

cant

pr

opor

tion

of ta

xabl

e re

tail

sale

s. In

201

0, st

ores

des

igna

ted

as fo

rmul

a re

tail

in th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e pr

ovid

ed o

ver 3

0 pe

rcen

t of t

axab

le re

tail

sale

s in

the

area

, whi

le m

akin

g up

onl

y se

ven

perc

ent o

f the

reta

il ou

tlets

. O

ver h

alf o

f the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore’

s tax

able

sale

s in

appa

rel s

tore

s are

in

form

ula

reta

il st

ores

, and

a m

uch

high

er p

ropo

rtion

of t

axab

le sa

les i

n ho

me

furn

ishi

ngs a

nd

appl

ianc

es a

re in

form

ula

reta

il st

ores

(due

to th

e A

pple

Sto

re).

The

onl

y dr

ug st

ore

dow

ntow

n is

Ph

arm

aca,

a fo

rmul

a re

taile

r. T

he re

cent

ly c

lose

d B

orde

r’s,

a fo

rmul

a st

ore,

was

the

only

bo

okst

ore.

Exc

ludi

ng re

stau

rant

s and

food

stor

es (n

eith

er o

f the

m su

bjec

t to

the

form

ula

reta

il or

dina

nce)

, for

mul

a re

taile

rs a

ccou

nt fo

r ove

r hal

f of t

he ta

xabl

e re

tail

sale

s in

the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore.

Lo

s Gat

os B

oule

vard

is a

mix

of c

omm

unity

shop

ping

cen

ters

, aut

o de

aler

s and

rela

ted

busi

ness

es,

and

free

-sta

ndin

g re

tail

outle

ts.

The

four

larg

est s

hopp

ing

cent

ers a

re e

ach

anch

ored

by

a su

perm

arke

t. L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd is

stro

ngly

diff

eren

tiate

d fr

om D

ownt

own

in it

s ret

ail m

ix, w

ith

a m

ore

limite

d nu

mbe

r of s

tore

s car

ryin

g “c

ompa

rison

” go

ods s

uch

as h

ome

furn

ishi

ngs a

nd

appa

rel.

The

re a

re c

onsi

dera

bly

mor

e m

id-s

ize

stor

e sp

aces

, suc

h as

the

supe

rmar

kets

, dru

g st

ores

, an

d th

e ha

rdw

are

stor

e. W

hile

the

Dow

ntow

n co

nfig

urat

ion

allo

ws f

or a

stro

ng p

edes

trian

-orie

nted

ex

perie

nce,

Los

Gat

os B

oule

vard

is g

ener

ally

aut

o-or

ient

ed.

Lo

s Gat

os B

oule

vard

had

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les o

f app

roxi

mat

ely

$152

mill

ion

in 2

010.

Thi

s is a

st

eep

decl

ine

from

$19

1 m

illio

n in

200

8 (in

flatio

n ad

just

ed),

resu

lting

larg

ely

from

dec

lines

in th

e au

tom

otiv

e se

ctor

, due

to th

e cl

osur

e of

two

maj

or d

eale

rshi

ps.

Taxa

ble

sale

s in

the

auto

mot

ive

sect

or o

n Lo

s Gat

os B

oule

vard

dec

lined

from

$80

mill

ion

in 2

008

to $

57 m

illio

n in

201

0.

Los G

atos

has

four

maj

or n

eigh

borh

ood

cent

ers:

Rin

cona

da C

ente

r, D

owni

ng C

ente

r, W

algr

eens

Sq

uare

, and

Vas

ona

Stat

ion.

The

se c

ente

rs a

re c

onve

nien

ce-o

rient

ed, w

ith a

ncho

rs a

nd o

ther

stor

es

that

larg

ely

serv

e ne

arby

resi

dent

s rat

her t

hat a

ttrac

ting

a re

gion

al c

lient

ele.

Int

eres

tingl

y, th

ese

neig

hbor

hood

cen

ters

are

all

loca

ted

at o

r nea

r the

Tow

n bo

unda

ries,

thus

attr

actin

g sh

oppe

rs fr

om

outs

ide

the

Tow

n si

nce

they

repr

esen

t the

clo

sest

gro

cery

or d

rug

stor

e sh

oppi

ng.

Thes

e ce

nter

s

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 7

3 of

150

com

bine

d ac

coun

ted

for a

ppro

xim

atel

y $3

4 m

illio

n in

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les i

n 20

10, a

muc

h sm

alle

r pr

opor

tion

than

Dow

ntow

n or

Los

Gat

os B

oule

vard

.

Leak

age

and

Inje

ctio

n A

naly

sis

Ret

ail l

eaka

ge a

nd in

ject

ion

anal

ysis

com

pare

s act

ual r

etai

l sal

es in

an

area

with

som

e be

nchm

ark

that

pro

vide

s a m

easu

re o

f the

pot

entia

l sal

es g

ener

ated

by

that

are

a's re

side

nts.

If sa

les l

evel

s are

be

low

the

pred

icte

d le

vel,

the

area

may

be

able

to su

ppor

t inc

reas

ed sa

les,

eith

er th

roug

h th

e op

enin

g of

new

out

lets

targ

etin

g th

ose

leak

ages

or a

repo

sitio

ning

of e

xist

ing

outle

ts th

roug

h ch

ange

s in

stra

tegy

and

mar

ketin

g, m

erch

andi

se m

ix, o

r sto

re c

onfig

urat

ion

such

that

they

cou

ld

capt

ure

a po

rtion

of t

hat l

eaka

ge.

Lo

s G

atos

W

ith it

s hig

h pe

r cap

ita sa

les l

evel

s, Lo

s Gat

os sh

ows i

njec

tions

of s

ales

in m

ost m

ajor

stor

e ca

tego

ries.

Inje

ctio

ns a

re p

artic

ular

ly h

igh

for f

ood

and

beve

rage

stor

es, m

otor

veh

icle

and

par

ts

deal

ers,

food

serv

ices

(whi

ch in

clud

es re

stau

rant

s), a

nd h

ealth

and

per

sona

l car

e st

ores

. Tw

o ca

tego

ries,

build

ing

mat

eria

ls a

nd g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se st

ores

, sta

nd o

ut fo

r the

ir su

bsta

ntia

l le

akag

es; o

ver h

alf o

f pot

entia

l res

iden

t exp

endi

ture

s in

the

build

ing

mat

eria

ls c

ateg

ory

are

leak

ing

out o

f Los

Gat

os, a

nd n

early

all

resi

dent

exp

endi

ture

s for

gen

eral

mer

chan

dise

stor

es a

ppea

r to

be

leak

ing

out o

f Los

Gat

os.

The

lack

of s

ales

in g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se st

ores

is d

ue to

the

near

or

com

plet

e ab

senc

e of

such

stor

es in

Los

Gat

os.

For t

he b

uild

ing

mat

eria

ls g

roup

, the

re a

re se

vera

l ou

tlets

incl

udin

g tw

o ha

rdw

are

stor

es, b

ut th

e To

wn

does

not

hav

e a

larg

e ho

me

impr

ovem

ent s

tore

su

ch a

s Hom

e D

epot

or a

n in

depe

nden

t lum

ber y

ard.

Ove

rall,

the

anal

ysis

indi

cate

s tha

t by

maj

or

stor

e ca

tego

ry, L

os G

atos

has

est

imat

ed c

ombi

ned

inje

ctio

ns o

f nea

rly $

320

mill

ion

in re

tail

sale

s an

nual

ly, a

nd c

ombi

ned

estim

ated

leak

ages

of a

ppro

xim

atel

y $8

0 m

illio

n an

nual

ly.

Th

e hi

gh le

vel o

f inj

ectio

ns o

f sal

es fo

r foo

d an

d be

vera

ge st

ores

and

for h

ealth

and

per

sona

l car

e st

ores

is p

artic

ular

ly n

otew

orth

y, si

nce

groc

erie

s and

dru

g st

ore

item

s are

con

veni

ence

goo

ds th

at

are

usua

lly p

urch

ased

loca

lly.

To so

me

exte

nt, t

his i

s due

to th

e lo

catio

n of

the

stor

es in

Los

Gat

os,

ofte

n in

cen

ters

nea

r the

bou

ndar

ies o

f the

Tow

n. F

urth

erm

ore,

the

two

neig

hbor

ing

citie

s of

Sara

toga

and

esp

ecia

lly M

onte

Ser

eno

and

the

unin

corp

orat

ed a

reas

to th

e so

uth

of T

own

have

lim

ited

reta

il of

ferin

gs, w

ith L

os G

atos

off

erin

g th

e cl

oses

t eve

ryda

y sh

oppi

ng fo

r som

e of

thei

r re

side

nts.

O

ne a

dditi

onal

key

fact

or is

that

one

out

let w

ith e

xtre

mel

y st

rong

sale

s can

mas

k po

or p

erfo

rman

ce

by th

e re

st o

f tha

t sto

re c

ateg

ory.

For

exa

mpl

e, in

Los

Gat

os th

e ho

me

furn

ishi

ngs a

nd a

pplia

nces

ca

tego

ry is

dom

inat

ed b

y sa

les i

n th

e A

pple

Sto

re.

This

stor

e’s e

xtre

mel

y st

rong

sale

s are

mas

king

lim

ited

sale

s acr

oss t

he re

mai

nder

of t

he c

ateg

ory.

R

etai

l Tra

de A

rea

For t

he la

rger

RTA

, the

leve

ls o

f lea

kage

s and

inje

ctio

ns a

ppea

r to

be m

uch

low

er o

n a

per c

apita

ba

sis,

indi

catin

g a

rela

tive

bala

nce

betw

een

reta

il sa

les a

nd re

side

nt e

xpen

ditu

res i

n m

ost

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

74

of 1

50

cate

gorie

s. E

ven

thou

gh th

e R

TA is

muc

h m

ore

popu

lous

than

the

Tow

n, e

stim

ated

com

bine

d in

ject

ions

are

low

er, a

t app

roxi

mat

ely

$230

mill

ion

annu

ally

, and

are

con

cent

rate

d in

aut

o-re

late

d re

tail.

The

com

bine

d le

akag

es a

re g

reat

er, a

t nea

rly $

590

mill

ion

annu

ally

, but

are

spre

ad a

cros

s a

num

ber o

f cat

egor

ies,

with

the

larg

est l

eaka

ges i

n th

e ge

nera

l mer

chan

dise

stor

e ca

tego

ry.

C

ompa

rativ

e R

etai

l Sal

es b

y D

etai

led

Stor

e C

ateg

ory

The

anal

ysis

dril

led

dow

n to

mor

e de

taile

d st

ore

type

s, co

mpa

ring

annu

al p

er c

apita

sale

s for

Los

G

atos

and

the

RTA

with

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

and

the

Stat

e by

det

aile

d N

AIC

S su

bcat

egor

y. T

his

com

paris

on h

ighl

ight

s the

subc

ateg

orie

s tha

t mig

ht re

pres

ent s

ome

of th

e be

tter o

ppor

tuni

ties t

o ex

pand

reta

il in

the

Tow

n. S

peci

fic st

ore

type

s tha

t app

ear t

o be

lack

ing

in sa

les i

n th

e To

wn

incl

ude

appl

ianc

e st

ores

, and

spec

ialty

food

stor

es su

ch a

s mea

t mar

kets

, fis

h an

d se

afoo

d m

arke

ts,

and

prod

uce

mar

kets

. Th

e sa

les i

njec

tions

for c

loth

ing

and

clot

hing

acc

esso

ries s

tore

s ref

lect

s an

over

all s

treng

th, b

ut th

e ap

pare

l sto

res i

n th

e To

wn

tend

to b

e hi

gh-e

nd st

ores

, not

nec

essa

rily

carr

ying

the

type

s of i

nexp

ensi

ve e

very

day

appa

rel m

ore

com

mon

ly fo

und

in m

any

gene

ral

mer

chan

dise

stor

es.

The

per c

apita

boo

k st

ore

sale

s for

the

Tow

n do

not

take

into

acc

ount

the

rece

nt c

losu

re o

f Bor

ders

; whi

le th

ere

mig

ht n

ow b

e an

opp

ortu

nity

for a

smal

ler,

inde

pend

ent

book

stor

e in

Los

Gat

os, t

his s

ubca

tego

ry h

as b

een

serio

usly

impa

cted

by

onlin

e sa

les a

nd n

ow b

y e-

read

ers,

whi

ch m

ay a

ffec

t the

pot

entia

l lon

g-te

rm v

iabi

lity

of su

ch a

stor

e.

As n

oted

pre

viou

sly,

Los

Gat

os is

alm

ost e

ntire

ly la

ckin

g in

all

cate

gorie

s of g

ener

al m

erch

andi

se

stor

es, a

nd a

s a re

sult

has a

lmos

t no

sale

s in

this

cat

egor

y. W

hile

som

e of

thes

e sa

les m

ay b

e oc

curr

ing

in o

ther

type

s of o

utle

ts su

ch a

s dru

g st

ores

, thi

s cat

egor

y ov

eral

l rep

rese

nts a

subs

tant

ial

gap

in th

e re

tail

mix

in th

e To

wn.

Po

tent

ial f

or N

ew R

etai

l Dev

elop

men

t in

Los

Gat

os

Los G

atos

has

a v

ery

stro

ng re

tail

sect

or, e

ven

taki

ng in

to a

ccou

nt th

e de

clin

e in

aut

o sa

les o

ver t

he

last

dec

ade.

The

Dow

ntow

n, w

hile

impa

cted

by

regi

onal

and

nat

iona

l eco

nom

ic tr

ends

, has

re

mai

ned

a st

rong

reta

il de

stin

atio

n, b

ringi

ng in

shop

pers

from

out

side

the

Tow

n. T

he T

own

is

unus

ual i

n th

at it

als

o at

tract

s sho

pper

s for

eve

ryda

y ite

ms s

uch

as g

roce

ries,

due

in p

art t

o th

e lo

catio

n of

supe

rmar

kets

and

dru

gsto

res n

ear t

he e

dges

of T

own

and

in p

art d

ue to

the

lack

of

shop

ping

in M

onte

Ser

eno,

Sar

atog

a an

d ot

her n

earb

y un

inco

rpor

ated

are

as.

Th

e le

akag

e an

alys

is sh

ows t

hat t

he T

own

is lo

sing

reta

il sa

les i

n th

e ge

nera

l mer

chan

dise

stor

e an

d bu

ildin

g m

ater

ials

stor

e ca

tego

ries t

o ot

her r

etai

l out

lets

. Th

ese

leak

ages

are

due

larg

ely

to th

e la

ck

of la

rge-

form

at st

ores

in th

ese

cate

gorie

s in

Los G

atos

. In

par

ticul

ar, t

here

are

alm

ost n

o sa

les i

n To

wn

in th

e ge

nera

l mer

chan

dise

stor

e ca

tego

ry.

Ther

e ar

e sa

les i

n th

e bu

ildin

g m

ater

ials

cat

egor

y,

as th

ere

are

two

hard

war

e st

ores

and

seve

ral o

ther

out

lets

in T

own

in th

is c

ateg

ory,

but

ther

e is

not

a

hom

e im

prov

emen

t cen

ter s

uch

as H

ome

Dep

ot o

r Low

e’s.

Add

ition

ally

, the

Tow

n ha

s lim

ited

optio

ns fo

r app

lianc

es a

nd c

onsu

mer

ele

ctro

nics

; the

App

le S

tore

, whi

le e

xtre

mel

y su

cces

sful

, pr

ovid

es a

lim

ited

rang

e of

item

s lar

gely

from

one

man

ufac

ture

r.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 7

5 of

150

Giv

en th

e To

wn’

s alre

ady-

stro

ng a

ttrac

tion

as a

food

shop

ping

des

tinat

ion

and

dem

ogra

phic

pr

ofile

, the

lack

of s

peci

alty

food

stor

es m

ay a

lso

repr

esen

t an

oppo

rtuni

ty to

bro

aden

the

food

re

taili

ng m

ix a

nd e

nhan

ce th

e To

wn’

s stro

ng p

ositi

on fo

r thi

s ret

ail c

ateg

ory.

Whi

le sp

ecia

lty fo

od

stor

es m

ight

cap

ture

som

e sa

les g

oing

to th

e su

perm

arke

ts, t

hey

coul

d al

so c

reat

e a

syne

rgy

that

at

tract

s mor

e fo

od sh

oppe

rs to

the

Tow

n. F

or e

xam

ple,

in th

e R

ockr

idge

nei

ghbo

rhoo

d in

Nor

th

Oak

land

, a T

rade

r Joe

’s c

an b

e fo

und

in c

lose

pro

xim

ity to

Mar

ket H

all w

ith it

s mix

of s

peci

alty

fo

od v

endo

rs in

clud

ing

a pr

oduc

e st

ore,

a m

eat c

ount

er, a

seaf

ood

coun

ter,

and

a pa

sta

shop

. Sa

few

ay a

lso

has a

stor

e ne

ar M

arke

t Hal

l, w

ith p

lans

for e

xpan

sion

. A

cros

s fro

m th

e Sa

few

ay a

re

a st

anda

lone

but

cher

shop

and

ano

ther

pro

duce

mar

ket.

In B

erke

ley,

ther

e ar

e se

vera

l spe

cial

ty

food

stor

es c

lust

ered

nea

r the

Mon

tere

y M

arke

t on

Hop

kins

Stre

et.

To

som

e ex

tent

, the

leak

ages

refle

ct th

e To

wn’

s des

ire to

reta

in a

smal

l-tow

n fe

el, w

ith sm

alle

r sh

ops a

nd in

the

Dow

ntow

n C

ore,

lim

ited

form

ula

reta

il. A

s a re

sult,

ther

e ar

e fe

w re

tail

spac

es in

Lo

s Gat

os o

f app

roxi

mat

ely

10,0

00 sq

uare

feet

or m

ore

that

are

ava

ilabl

e to

acc

omm

odat

e la

rger

us

ers s

uch

as a

pplia

nce

stor

es, h

ome

impr

ovem

ent s

tore

s, or

gen

eral

mer

chan

dise

stor

es.

Whi

le th

e To

wn

will

dou

btle

ss se

ek to

reta

in it

s cha

ract

er, a

ppro

pria

tely

des

igne

d de

velo

pmen

t at t

he N

orth

40

site

may

pre

sent

an

oppo

rtuni

ty to

pro

vide

reta

il sp

ace

for l

arge

r use

rs th

at m

ight

com

plem

ent

the

exis

ting

reta

il m

ix in

Los

Gat

os.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

76

of 1

50

Off

ice

Ma

rke

t A

ss

es

sm

en

t Th

e pu

rpos

e of

this

sect

ion

is to

off

er a

n ov

ervi

ew o

f the

loca

l off

ice

mar

ket a

nd id

entif

y po

tent

ial

oppo

rtuni

ties f

or fu

rther

eva

luat

ion

as p

art o

f the

Nor

th 4

0 Sp

ecifi

c Pl

an p

roce

ss.

Cur

rent

and

hi

stor

ical

dat

a ar

e pr

ovid

ed in

ord

er to

reve

al h

ow th

e lo

cal o

ffic

e m

arke

t has

per

form

ed o

ver t

he

cour

se o

f the

mos

t rec

ent e

cono

mic

cyc

le a

nd su

gges

t whe

re th

e m

arke

t is h

eadi

ng.

In a

dditi

on,

this

sect

ion

cons

ider

s em

ploy

men

t tre

nds i

n Sa

nta

Cla

ra C

ount

y—co

mbi

ning

his

toric

al d

ata

and

futu

re p

roje

ctio

ns—

in o

rder

to d

eter

min

e th

e po

tent

ial d

eman

d fo

r new

off

ice

spac

e. A

n ex

haus

tive

list o

f pro

ject

s cur

rent

ly in

the

deve

lopm

ent p

ipel

ine

is p

rovi

ded

in o

rder

to d

eter

min

e w

heth

er fu

ture

con

stru

ctio

n w

ill a

bsor

b an

y an

d al

l pot

entia

l dem

and,

or w

heth

er th

ere

will

rem

ain

resi

dual

dem

and

that

may

supp

ort o

ffic

e us

e as

one

com

pone

nt o

f the

Nor

th 4

0 de

velo

pmen

t pr

ogra

m.

Offi

ce In

vent

ory

As s

how

n in

Tab

le 2

0, th

e To

wn

had

appr

oxim

atel

y 1.

4 m

illio

n sq

uare

feet

of o

ffic

e sp

ace

at th

e en

d of

the

first

qua

rter 2

011,

acc

ordi

ng to

dat

a fu

rnis

hed

by C

orni

sh &

Car

ey C

omm

erci

al

New

mar

k K

nigh

t Fra

nk.

This

repr

esen

ts a

bout

12

perc

ent o

f the

11.

7 m

illio

n sq

uare

feet

of o

ffic

e sp

ace

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a bu

t onl

y a

frac

tion

of th

e So

uth

Bay

inve

ntor

y of

61.

6 m

illio

n sq

uare

feet

(2

.2 p

erce

nt).

A re

pres

enta

tive

of C

orni

sh &

Car

ey c

onta

cted

by

BA

E in

dica

ted

that

mos

t of t

he

Tow

n’s o

ffic

e in

vent

ory

is c

ompr

ised

of C

lass

C a

nd B

bui

ldin

gs a

nd th

at d

ue to

the

age

and

floor

pl

ate

conf

igur

atio

n of

the

Tow

n’s e

xist

ing

build

ings

it is

diff

icul

t to

find

spac

e in

the

75,0

00 to

10

0,00

0 sq

uare

foot

rang

e in

Cla

ss A

bui

ldin

gs.

Offi

ce M

arke

t Tre

nds

Figu

re 1

3 ch

arts

the

fluct

uatio

ns o

f bot

h av

erag

e as

king

rent

s and

vac

ancy

rate

s in

Los G

atos

, the

M

arke

t Are

a, a

nd th

e en

tire

Sout

h B

ay o

ver t

he la

st fi

ve y

ears

.35 A

s sho

wn,

vac

ancy

rate

s in

crea

sed

in b

oth

Los G

atos

and

the

Mar

ket A

rea

betw

een

2006

and

200

9, ri

sing

fast

er a

t the

ons

of th

e G

reat

Rec

essi

on in

200

8/20

09.

Like

wis

e, a

fter d

eclin

ing

at th

e on

set o

f the

stud

y pe

riod,

va

canc

y th

roug

hout

the

Sout

h B

ay sp

iked

in

et

201

0.

Star

ting

in 2

010

vaca

ncy

rate

s dec

lined

in L

os G

atos

and

the

Mar

ket A

rea

and

fell

shar

ply

in th

e fir

st q

uarte

r of 2

011.

Acr

oss t

he S

outh

Bay

, vac

anci

es re

mai

ned

high

unt

il th

e en

d of

the

first

qu

arte

r 201

1 w

hen

leas

ing

activ

ity p

icke

d up

to re

duce

vac

ancy

rate

s. T

he sh

ift in

vac

ancy

rate

s ge

nera

lly re

flect

s an

incr

ease

in te

chno

logy

and

tech

nolo

gy-r

elat

ed le

asin

g. D

espi

te re

cent

gai

ns,

vaca

ncy

rate

s in

Los G

atos

, the

Mar

ket A

rea,

and

Sou

th B

ay a

re st

ill m

arke

dly

high

er a

t the

end

of

the

deca

de th

an th

ey w

ere

in th

e m

iddl

e. T

rend

s ove

r the

last

five

yea

rs in

dica

te th

at L

os G

atos

35

Acc

ordi

ng to

Cor

nish

& C

arey

Com

mer

cial

New

mar

k K

nigh

t Fra

nk’s

form

ulat

ion,

the

Sout

h B

ay c

onsi

sts o

f C

ampb

ell,

Cup

ertin

o, L

os G

atos

, Milp

itas,

Mou

ntai

n V

iew

, San

ta C

lara

, San

Jose

, Sar

atog

a, a

nd S

unny

vale

. It

excl

udes

Pal

o A

lto.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 7

7 of

150

tend

s to

expe

rienc

e sl

ight

ly lo

wer

leve

ls o

f vac

ancy

than

the

Mar

ket A

rea,

whi

ch it

self

feat

ures

su

bsta

ntia

lly lo

wer

vac

ancy

than

the

regi

on.

The

Tow

n’s p

erfo

rman

ce m

ay b

e at

tribu

ted

to

med

ical

off

ice

tena

nts t

hat t

end

to b

e st

able

dur

ing

rece

ssio

ns a

s wel

l as d

eman

d by

bus

ines

s ow

ners

and

exe

cutiv

es th

at se

ek a

n of

fice

loca

tion

clos

e to

thei

r res

iden

ce.

A

ll th

ree

geog

raph

ies s

aw a

n in

crea

se in

ave

rage

ask

ing

rent

s bet

wee

n 20

06 a

nd 2

008.

Ren

ts

bega

n to

bac

kslid

e th

erea

fter d

urin

g th

e G

reat

Rec

essi

on, a

lbei

t at a

diff

eren

t rat

e de

pend

ing

on

geog

raph

y. A

s of t

he e

nd o

f firs

t qua

rter o

f 201

1, a

skin

g re

nts i

n Lo

s Gat

os w

ere

low

er th

an th

ey

wer

e in

200

6, m

arki

ng a

rela

tivel

y sw

ift ra

te o

f dec

line

afte

r pea

king

abo

ve $

3.00

in 2

008.

By

cont

rast

, ave

rage

ask

ing

rent

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

and

Sout

h B

ay d

eclin

ed m

ore

slow

ly, c

ausi

ng th

e pe

rfor

man

ce g

ap b

etw

een

Los G

atos

and

surr

ound

ing

subm

arke

ts to

nar

row

.

Figu

re 1

3: A

vera

ge A

skin

g R

ent a

nd V

acan

cy R

ate,

Los

Gat

os v

s. M

arke

t Are

a vs

. Sou

th

Bay

, 200

6-Q

1 20

11 (a

)

$0.0

0

$0.5

0

$1.0

0

$1.5

0

$2.0

0

$2.5

0

$3.0

0

$3.5

0

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Q1-

2011

Average Asking Rent (full svc.

0%3%6%9%12%

15%

18%

21%

Vacancy Rate

Los

Gat

os V

acan

cyM

arke

t Are

a Va

canc

ySo

uth

Bay

Vaca

ncy

(a)

Los

Gat

os R

ent

Mar

ket A

rea

Rent

Sout

h Ba

y Re

nt (a

)

Not

e:

(a) T

he S

outh

Bay

offi

ce m

arke

t inc

lude

s C

ampb

ell,

Cup

ertin

o, L

os G

atos

, Milp

itas,

Mou

ntai

n V

iew

, San

ta C

lara

, San

Jose

, Sar

atog

a, a

nd S

unny

vale

. It

excl

udes

Pal

o A

lto.

Sou

rces

: Cor

nish

& C

arey

Com

mer

cial

New

mar

k K

nigh

t Fra

nk, 2

005-

2010

; BA

E, 2

011.

Ta

ble

20 p

rovi

des a

mor

e de

taile

d ov

ervi

ew o

f mar

ket c

ondi

tions

as o

f the

firs

t qua

rter o

f 201

1.

The

snap

shot

pro

vide

d re

veal

s tha

t at p

rese

nt, r

egio

nal v

acan

cy ra

tes a

re c

ontin

uing

to d

eclin

e,

fuel

ed su

bsta

ntia

lly b

y po

sitiv

e ne

t abs

orpt

ion

in C

uper

tino

whe

re A

pple

Com

pute

r Inc

. is

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

78

of 1

50

head

quar

tere

d. T

he S

outh

Bay

has

seen

subs

tant

ial n

et a

bsor

ptio

n (a

ppro

xim

atel

y 76

3,00

0 sq

uare

fe

et) i

n th

e fir

st q

uarte

r of 2

011,

acc

ount

ed fo

r by

larg

e bl

ocks

of s

pace

at M

offe

tt To

wer

s in

Sunn

yval

e be

ing

leas

ed to

tech

nolo

gy c

ompa

nies

. O

n th

e w

hole

, ask

ing

rent

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

are

cont

inui

ng to

slid

e, th

ough

ask

ing

rent

s are

clim

bing

, slig

htly

, in

Los G

atos

.36 T

here

fore

, the

lo

cal o

ffic

e m

arke

t is s

how

ing

som

e si

gns o

f rec

over

y, p

artic

ular

ly in

Los

Gat

os.

Tabl

e 20

: Offi

ce M

arke

t Ove

rvie

w, S

outh

Bay

, Fou

rth

Qua

rter

201

1 (a

)

Ove

rall

Net

Abs

orpt

ion

Avg.

Ask

ing

Offi

ce M

arke

tIn

vent

ory

(sf)

Vaca

ncy

Rat

eQ

4 20

10-Q

1 20

11R

ent (

$/sf

) (b)

Los

Gat

os1,

368,

790

8.8%

(64)

$2.5

8M

arke

t Are

a11

,745

,205

9.3%

52,6

72$2

.39

Cam

pbel

l2,

267,

022

16.7

%(1

9,01

9)$2

.19

Cup

ertin

o4,

054,

170

7.9%

34,7

54$2

.85

Los

Gat

osse

e ab

ove

Sar

atog

a32

3,12

89.

9%1,

686

$2.6

7W

est S

an J

ose

(c)

3,73

2,09

56.

5%35

,315

$1.9

1S

outh

Bay

(a)

61,6

17,1

1516

.6%

762,

961

$2.4

8

Not

es:

(a) T

he S

outh

Bay

offi

ce m

arke

t inc

lude

s C

ampb

ell,

Cup

ertin

o, L

os G

atos

, Milp

itas,

Mou

ntai

n V

iew

, San

Jos

e, S

anta

Cla

ra, S

arat

oga,

and

Sun

nyva

le.

It ex

clud

es P

alo

Alto

.(b

) Offi

ce re

nts

are

full

serv

ice.

(c) D

ata

prov

ider

trac

ks o

ffice

sub

mar

ket c

ondi

tions

in W

est S

an J

ose,

whi

ch fa

lls w

holly

insi

deth

e M

arke

t Are

a.

Sou

rces

: Cor

nish

& C

arey

Com

mer

cial

New

mar

k K

nigh

t Fra

nk; B

AE

, 201

1.

In su

m, a

t the

pea

k of

an

econ

omic

cyc

le, w

hen

offic

e sp

ace

is in

hig

h de

man

d, L

os G

atos

ou

tper

form

s bot

h th

e M

arke

t Are

a an

d So

uth

Bay

with

low

er v

acan

cies

and

hig

her r

ents

. A

t the

tro

ugh

of th

e cy

cle,

how

ever

, whi

le L

os G

atos

mai

ntai

ns a

bove

-ave

rage

occ

upan

cy, r

enta

l rat

es

conv

erge

with

the

regi

onal

ave

rage

. A

s the

loca

l eco

nom

y re

cove

rs, i

t rem

ains

to b

e se

en w

heth

er

this

pat

tern

will

reem

erge

, cau

sing

off

ice

rent

s in

Los G

atos

to ri

se a

bove

com

petin

g su

bmar

kets

, on

ce a

gain

. To

just

ify n

ew sp

ecul

ativ

e C

lass

A, s

teel

fram

e co

nstru

ctio

n, re

nts w

ould

nee

d to

rise

to

abo

ve $

3.25

to $

3.50

per

squa

re fo

ot o

n a

full

serv

ice

basi

s –th

is re

ntal

rang

e re

flect

s the

rent

re

quire

d to

mak

e a

new

off

ice

proj

ect f

inan

cial

ly fe

asib

le.

36

“A

skin

g re

nt”

refe

rs to

the

liste

d re

ntal

rate

and

doe

s not

refle

ct th

e ac

tual

con

tract

rate

that

a la

ndlo

rd a

nd

tena

nt a

gree

to in

an

exec

uted

leas

e; a

skin

g re

nts t

end

to b

e so

mew

hat h

ighe

r tha

n ac

tual

con

tract

rent

s.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 7

9 of

150

Offi

ce E

mpl

oym

ent T

rend

s A

s dis

cuss

ed in

the

Dem

ogra

phic

and

Eco

nom

ic O

verv

iew

sect

ion

abov

e, S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y un

derw

ent t

wo

maj

or e

cono

mic

cyc

les o

ver t

he c

ours

e of

the

last

dec

ade:

the

Inte

rnet

Boo

m th

at

peak

ed in

200

0 an

d th

e cr

edit-

led

expa

nsio

n fr

om 2

004

thro

ugh

2007

. Th

roug

hout

this

tum

ultu

ous

perio

d, h

owev

er, t

he u

nem

ploy

men

t rat

e in

Los

Gat

os re

mai

ned

cons

iste

ntly

low

er th

an in

the

rest

of

the

Cou

nty.

As o

f Mar

ch 2

011,

une

mpl

oym

ent i

n Lo

s Gat

os w

as u

nder

seve

n pe

rcen

t, as

op

pose

d to

ove

r ten

per

cent

in th

e C

ount

y as

a w

hole

, and

app

eare

d to

be

on th

e de

clin

e in

bot

h th

e m

icro

- and

mac

ro-r

egio

ns (S

ee F

igur

e 4

in th

e D

emog

raph

ic &

Eco

nom

ic O

verv

iew

cha

pter

). D

urin

g th

e m

ost r

ecen

t boo

m/b

ust (

2004

to p

rese

nt),

tota

l em

ploy

men

t with

in th

e Sa

n Jo

se-

Sunn

yval

e-Sa

nta

Cla

ra M

etro

polit

an S

tatis

tical

Are

a bo

ttom

ed o

ut a

t abo

ut th

e sa

me

leve

l at

whi

ch it

beg

an.

How

ever

, the

ove

rall

bala

nce

of th

e cy

cle

obsc

ures

diff

eren

tial t

rend

s by

indu

stry

. A

few

sect

ors u

nder

wen

t ste

ady

incr

ease

s in

empl

oym

ent,

even

gro

win

g am

idst

the

mar

ket

dow

ntow

n be

twee

n 20

08 a

nd 2

010,

incl

udin

g: In

form

atio

n (4

6 pe

rcen

t); E

duca

tiona

l Ser

vice

s (25

pe

rcen

t); a

nd H

ealth

Car

e &

Soc

ial A

ssis

tanc

e (2

0 pe

rcen

t). I

n ad

ditio

n, jo

bs in

Pro

fess

iona

l, Sc

ient

ific

& T

echn

ical

Ser

vice

s gre

w b

y se

ven

perc

ent o

ver t

he c

ours

e of

the

cycl

e, d

espi

te

decl

inin

g so

mew

hat f

rom

thei

r pea

k in

200

8. O

n th

e ot

her h

and,

a fe

w se

ctor

s con

tract

ed ra

pidl

y du

ring

the

bust

, cau

sing

ove

rall

decl

ines

in e

mpl

oym

ent o

ver t

he c

ours

e of

the

cycl

e. S

ever

al o

f th

e se

ctor

s tha

t suf

fere

d th

e w

orst

ove

rall

job

loss

es w

ere

thos

e tie

d to

the

hous

ing

mar

ket,

incl

udin

g: C

onst

ruct

ion

(29

perc

ent);

Rea

l Est

ate

& R

enta

l & L

easi

ng (1

6 pe

rcen

t); a

nd F

inan

ce &

In

sura

nce

(11

perc

ent).

Ta

ble

21 a

ggre

gate

s em

ploy

men

t tre

nds i

nto

two

broa

d ca

tego

ries:

thos

e th

at te

nd to

gen

erat

e de

man

d fo

r off

ice

spac

e an

d th

ose

that

don

’t (s

ee T

able

foot

note

for a

det

aile

d br

eakd

own)

. A

s sh

own,

dur

ing

the

upsw

ing

of th

e la

st c

ycle

(200

4 to

200

8), o

ffic

e em

ploy

men

t gre

w a

t nea

rly

twic

e th

e ra

te o

f non

-off

ice

empl

oym

ent.

Dur

ing

the

bust

that

follo

wed

, off

ice

empl

oym

ent

decl

ined

by

less

than

one

per

cent

, whi

le n

on-o

ffic

e em

ploy

men

t fel

l by

an e

stim

ated

ten

perc

ent.

Th

eref

ore,

des

pite

the

econ

omic

tum

ult,

offic

e de

man

d se

ctor

s add

ed a

n es

timat

ed 2

7,00

0 jo

bs

betw

een

2004

and

Mar

ch 2

011,

whi

le n

on-o

ffic

e se

ctor

s she

d ar

ound

29,

000

jobs

. Th

is tr

end

indi

cate

s a sh

ift o

f tec

hnol

ogy

empl

oym

ent f

rom

trad

ition

al R

&D

to o

ffic

e fu

nctio

ns.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

80

of 1

50

Tabl

e 21

: Em

ploy

men

t Tre

nds

by S

ecto

r, Sa

n Jo

se-S

unny

vale

-San

ta C

lara

MSA

, 200

4-M

arch

201

1 (a

)

Empl

oym

ent

% C

hang

e20

08-

2004

-In

dust

ry S

ecto

r20

0420

08M

ar. 2

011

2004

-200

8M

ar. 2

011

Mar

. 201

1To

tal F

arm

Em

ploy

men

t6,

700

6,10

04,

400

-9.0

%-2

7.9%

-34.

3%M

inin

g &

Log

ging

100

300

200

200.

0%-3

3.3%

100.

0%C

onst

ruct

ion

43,0

0044

,200

30,5

002.

8%-3

1.0%

-29.

1%M

anuf

actu

ring

167,

200

168,

000

155,

800

0.5%

-7.3

%-6

.8%

Who

lesa

le T

rade

34,5

0039

,800

35,5

0015

.4%

-10.

8%2.

9%R

etai

l Tra

de82

,900

84,4

0077

,400

1.8%

-8.3

%-6

.6%

Tran

spor

tatio

n, W

areh

ousi

ng &

Util

ities

13,5

0013

,500

11,9

000.

0%-1

1.9%

-11.

9%In

form

atio

n32

,600

42,3

0047

,500

29.8

%12

.3%

45.7

%Fi

nanc

e &

Insu

ranc

e20

,500

19,9

0018

,200

-2.9

%-8

.5%

-11.

2%R

eal E

stat

e &

Ren

tal &

Lea

sing

14,7

0014

,400

12,4

00-2

.0%

-13.

9%-1

5.6%

Pro

fess

iona

l, S

cien

tific

& T

echn

ical

Ser

vice

s10

0,90

011

4,00

010

7,80

013

.0%

-5.4

%6.

8%M

anag

emen

t of C

ompa

nies

& E

nter

pris

es12

,100

9,70

09,

800

-19.

8%1.

0%-1

9.0%

Adm

inis

trativ

e &

Sup

port

& W

aste

Ser

vice

s52

,600

55,2

0048

,000

4.9%

-13.

0%-8

.7%

Edu

catio

nal S

ervi

ces

28,4

0033

,000

35,5

0016

.2%

7.6%

25.0

%H

ealth

Car

e &

Soc

ial A

ssis

tanc

e66

,800

75,2

0080

,300

12.6

%6.

8%20

.2%

Leis

ure

& H

ospi

talit

y70

,900

78,1

0072

,800

10.2

%-6

.8%

2.7%

Oth

er S

ervi

ces

25,0

0025

,400

25,2

001.

6%-0

.8%

0.8%

Gov

ernm

ent

96,3

0097

,800

94,1

001.

6%-3

.8%

-2.3

%To

tal (

b)86

8,70

092

1,00

086

7,30

06.

0%-5

.8%

-0.2

%

Offi

ce D

eman

d Se

ctor

s (c

)34

9,05

037

8,80

037

6,50

08.

5%-0

.6%

7.9%

Non

-Offi

ce S

ecto

rs51

9,65

054

2,20

049

0,80

04.

3%-9

.5%

-5.6

%

Not

es:

(a) T

he S

an J

ose-

Sun

nyva

le-S

anta

Cla

ra M

SA

was

use

d in

stea

d of

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

beca

use

mor

e up

-to-d

ate

info

rmat

ion

was

ava

ilabl

e fo

r the

MS

A, w

hich

incl

udes

bot

h S

anta

Cla

ra a

nd S

an B

enito

Cou

ntie

s.(b

) Num

bers

may

not

sum

to to

tal d

ue to

roun

ding

erro

r.(c

) Con

sist

s of

thos

e se

ctor

s th

at p

redo

min

antly

gen

erat

e de

man

d fo

r offi

ce s

pace

, inc

ludi

ng: I

nfor

mat

ion;

Fin

ance

&In

sura

nce;

Pro

fess

iona

l, S

cien

tific

& T

echn

ical

Ser

vice

s; M

anag

emen

t of C

ompa

nies

& E

nter

pris

es H

ealth

Car

e &

Soc

ial

Ass

ista

nce;

Gov

ernm

ent;

and

50%

of e

mpl

oym

ent i

n bo

th R

eal E

stat

e &

Ren

tal &

Lea

sing

and

Oth

er S

ervi

ces,

refle

ctin

gth

e fa

ct th

at th

ese

cate

gorie

s co

mbi

nes

offic

e an

d no

n-of

fice

task

s.S

ourc

es: C

alifo

rnia

Em

ploy

men

t Dev

elop

men

t Dep

artm

ent,

2010

; BA

E, 2

011.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 8

1 of

150

Offi

ce D

eman

d A

naly

sis

The

follo

win

g ta

ble

calc

ulat

es th

e lo

ng-te

rm d

eman

d fo

r new

off

ice

spac

e ba

sed

on th

e A

ssoc

iatio

n of

Bay

Are

a G

over

nmen

ts’ (

AB

AG

) pro

ject

ion

of e

mpl

oym

ent g

row

th b

y br

oad

indu

stry

sect

or b

etw

een

2010

and

203

0. B

y ap

plyi

ng th

e ap

prox

imat

e pe

rcen

tage

of j

obs i

n ea

ch

sect

or th

at ta

ke p

lace

in a

n of

fice

and

a de

man

d fa

ctor

of 2

50 g

ross

squa

re fe

et o

f bui

ldin

g sp

ace

per n

ew j

ob, t

he c

alcu

lato

r est

imat

es h

ow m

uch

offic

e sp

ace

will

be

need

ed in

ord

er to

ac

com

mod

ate

job

grow

th o

ver t

he n

ext t

wen

ty y

ears

. Ta

ble

22: P

roje

cted

Lon

g-Te

rm D

eman

d fo

r Offi

ce S

pace

, Mar

ket A

rea,

201

0-20

30

Pr

ojec

ted

Perc

ent

New

Offi

cePr

ojec

ted

New

Job

sO

ffice

Offi

ceD

eman

dD

eman

d Pe

rIn

dust

ry S

ecto

r20

10-2

030

(a)

Jobs

(b)

Jobs

(sf)

(c)

Year

(sf)

Mar

ket A

rea

(d)

Fina

ncia

l & P

rofe

ssio

nal S

ervi

ces

4,13

074

%3,

039

759,

680

37,9

84H

ealth

, Edu

catio

n &

Rec

reat

iona

l Ser

vice

s4,

850

38%

1,82

645

6,42

622

,821

Oth

er2,

690

53%

1,41

835

4,49

317

,725

Tota

l11

,670

6,28

21,

570,

599

78,5

30

Not

es:

(a) B

ased

on

AB

AG

pro

ject

ions

from

200

9.(b

) Bas

ed o

n B

LS d

ata

rega

rdin

g in

dust

ry e

mpl

oym

ent b

y oc

cupa

tion

in 2

008.

Num

bers

repr

esen

t the

per

cent

age

of

wor

kers

with

in e

ach

indu

stry

that

tend

to la

bor i

n an

offi

ce.

(c) D

eriv

ed b

y ap

plyi

ng th

e nu

mbe

r of n

ew o

ffice

jobs

to 2

50 s

quar

e fe

et, o

r the

est

imat

ed g

ross

squ

are

foot

age

requ

ired

per e

mpl

oyee

with

an

effic

ienc

y fa

ctor

of 9

0%.

(d) A

BA

G d

oes

not p

ublis

h pr

ojec

tions

for s

ub-c

ity a

reas

. Th

eref

ore,

the

Mar

ket A

rea

is tr

eate

d as

the

Tow

n of

Los

G

atos

and

the

Citi

es o

f Mon

te S

eren

o, S

arat

oga,

Cup

ertin

o, a

nd C

ampb

ell,

as w

ell a

s th

eir r

espe

ctiv

e S

pher

es o

f In

fluen

ce.

San

Jos

e is

exc

lude

d in

its

entir

ety

beca

use

the

maj

ority

of t

he c

ity is

loca

ted

outs

ide

of th

e M

arke

t Are

a.S

ourc

es: A

ssoc

iatio

n of

Bay

Are

a G

over

nmen

ts, 2

009;

U.S

. Bur

eau

of L

abor

Sta

tistic

s; B

AE

, 201

1.

As s

how

n, th

e M

arke

t Are

a37 w

ill g

ain

appr

oxim

atel

y 6,

300

new

off

ice

jobs

by

2030

, cre

atin

g a

dem

and

for o

ver 1

.5 m

illio

n gr

oss s

quar

e fe

et o

f off

ice

spac

e, o

r 78,

000

squa

re fe

et p

er y

ear.

H

owev

er, s

ome

of th

at d

eman

d w

ill b

e ab

sorb

ed b

y va

canc

ies i

n ex

istin

g bu

ildin

gs, w

hile

ano

ther

po

rtion

may

be

abso

rbed

by

new

bui

ldin

gs c

onst

ruct

ed e

lsew

here

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a. T

able

23

take

s the

se so

urce

s of c

ompe

titiv

e su

pply

und

er c

onsi

dera

tion

in o

rder

to c

alcu

late

the

proj

ecte

d re

sidu

al d

eman

d fo

r new

off

ice

spac

e, w

hich

cou

ld p

rese

nt a

mar

ket o

ppor

tuni

ty fo

r off

ice

deve

lopm

ent a

t the

Nor

th 4

0.

37 A

BA

G d

oes n

ot p

ublis

h pr

ojec

tions

for s

ub-c

ity a

reas

. Th

eref

ore,

the

Mar

ket A

rea

is tr

eate

d as

the

Tow

n of

Lo

s Gat

os a

nd th

e C

ities

of M

onte

Ser

eno,

Sar

atog

a, C

uper

tino,

and

Cam

pbel

l, as

wel

l as t

heir

resp

ectiv

e Sp

here

s of I

nflu

ence

. Sa

n Jo

se is

exc

lude

d in

its e

ntire

ty b

ecau

se th

e m

ajor

ity o

f the

City

is lo

cate

d ou

tsid

e of

th

e M

arke

t Are

a.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

82

of 1

50

Tabl

e 23

: Res

idua

l Dem

and

Cal

cula

tor,

Mar

ket A

rea

Proj

ecte

d D

eman

d fo

r Offi

ce S

pace

, 201

0-20

30 (s

f)1,

570,

599

Vaca

ncy

Vaca

ntEx

istin

g In

vent

ory

and

Vaca

ncy,

1Q

11 (a

)In

vent

ory

(sf)

Rat

e (s

f)In

vent

ory

(sf)

Los

Gat

os1,

368,

790

8.8%

121,

001

Cam

pbel

l2,

267,

022

16.7

%37

8,81

9C

uper

tino

4,05

4,17

07.

9%31

8,25

2S

arat

oga

323,

128

9.9%

31,9

90To

tal

8,01

3,11

085

0,06

2

Cal

cula

tion

of R

esid

ual D

eman

d: 7

% M

arke

t Vac

ancy

v. 1

0% M

arke

t Vac

ancy

(b)

Low

Vac

anc y

Hig

h Va

canc

yC

alcu

late

Exi

stin

g In

vent

ory

Ded

uctio

nV

acan

cy R

ate,

1Q

1110

.6%

10.6

%Le

ss "N

orm

al" V

acan

cy (b

)7.

0%-

10.0

%-

Per

cent

Abs

orba

ble

3.6%

0.6%

Exi

stin

g In

vent

ory

(sf)

8,01

3,11

0x

8,01

3,11

0x

Abso

rbab

le A

vaila

ble

Inve

ntor

y (s

f)28

9,14

548

,751

Cal

cula

te D

educ

tion

for N

ew P

lann

ed a

nd P

ropo

sed

Offi

ce

Exp

ecte

d N

et N

ew O

ffice

(sf)

(c)

613,

770

613,

770

Less

"Nor

mal

" Vac

ancy

(b)

42,9

64-

61,3

77-

Abso

rbab

le N

et N

ew O

ffice

(sf)

570,

806

552,

393

Cal

cula

te N

et R

esid

ual D

eman

dP

roje

cted

Dem

and

for O

ffice

Spa

ce, 2

010-

2030

(sf)

1,57

0,59

91,

570,

599

Less

Abs

orba

ble

Ava

ilabl

e In

vent

ory

(sf)

289,

145

-48

,751

-Le

ss A

bsor

babl

e N

et N

ew O

ffice

(sf)

570,

806

-55

2,39

3-

Res

idua

l Dem

and

(sf)

710,

648

969,

455

Not

es:

(a) W

est S

an J

ose

is e

xclu

ded

in o

rder

to m

atch

the

geog

raph

ies

used

in th

e pr

ojec

ted

offic

e de

man

dca

lcul

ator

(AB

AG

).(b

) It i

s as

sum

ed th

at a

cer

tain

am

ount

of "

norm

al" v

acan

cy w

ill a

lway

s ex

ist.

Bas

ed o

n ob

serv

atio

n of

his

toric

altre

nds,

it is

ass

umed

that

bet

wee

n 7

to 1

0 pe

rcen

t of c

urre

nt a

nd fu

ture

inve

ntor

y w

ill re

mai

n va

cant

.(c

) R

epre

sent

s Ex

pect

ed N

ew O

ffice

Con

stru

ctio

n fro

m T

able

24.

Sou

rces

: Cor

nish

& C

arey

Com

mer

cial

New

mar

k Kn

ight

Fra

nk; B

AE

, 201

1.

A

s of t

he fo

urth

qua

rter o

f 201

0, th

e M

arke

t Are

a fe

atur

ed a

roun

d 93

0,00

0 sq

uare

feet

of v

acan

t in

vent

ory,

am

ount

ing

to a

n 11

.6 p

erce

nt v

acan

cy ra

te (W

est S

an Jo

se w

as e

xclu

ded

from

this

ta

bula

tion

in o

rder

to m

atch

the

avai

labl

e da

ta o

n em

ploy

men

t gro

wth

from

AB

AG

). H

owev

er, n

ot

all o

f thi

s vac

ant s

uppl

y sh

ould

be

cons

ider

ed c

ompe

titiv

e fo

r fut

ure

dem

and

abso

rptio

n. O

ffic

e m

arke

ts n

ever

ach

ieve

100

per

cent

occ

upan

cy.

Ther

efor

e, it

shou

ld b

e as

sum

ed th

at th

ere

will

al

way

s be

a no

rmal

ized

am

ount

of v

acan

cy.

Bas

ed o

n ob

serv

atio

n of

his

toric

al tr

ends

, thi

s ana

lysi

s as

sum

es th

at th

e M

arke

t Are

a w

ill a

lway

s fea

ture

a se

ven

to te

n pe

rcen

t rat

e of

vac

ancy

. A

s suc

h,

Tabl

e 23

pre

sent

s tw

o an

alys

es o

f res

idua

l dem

and:

one

in w

hich

a “

norm

al”

vaca

ncy

rate

of s

even

pe

rcen

t is a

ssum

ed, a

nd o

ne in

whi

ch a

“no

rmal

” va

canc

y ra

te o

f ten

per

cent

is a

ssum

ed.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 8

3 of

150

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

84

of 1

50

If th

e m

arke

t exp

erie

nces

a h

igh

dem

and

for o

ffic

e, le

adin

g to

a se

ven

perc

ent n

orm

aliz

ed ra

te o

f va

canc

y, th

en a

roun

d 37

0,00

0 sq

uare

feet

of e

xist

ing

avai

labl

e in

vent

ory

can

be c

onsi

dere

d co

mpe

titiv

e w

ith a

Nor

th 4

0 of

fice

proj

ect.

On

the

othe

r han

d, a

ssum

ing

a te

n pe

rcen

t nor

mal

ized

ra

te, a

roun

d 13

0,00

0 sq

uare

feet

of e

xist

ing

avai

labl

e in

vent

ory

mig

ht c

ompe

te w

ith th

e N

orth

40.

Ei

ther

scen

ario

wou

ld le

ave

the

bulk

of t

he p

roje

cted

1.5

mill

ion

squa

re fe

et o

f dem

and

as re

sidu

al.

Som

e of

that

resi

dual

dem

and,

how

ever

, will

like

ly b

e ca

ptur

ed b

y ot

her n

ew o

ffic

e de

velo

pmen

ts

with

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a. T

able

24

lists

all

offic

e de

velo

pmen

ts c

urre

ntly

und

er c

onst

ruct

ion

or

unde

r pla

nnin

g re

view

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a.38

Whi

le th

ere

are

five

larg

e de

velo

pmen

ts o

r sub

stan

tial

reha

bs u

nder

con

side

ratio

n in

the

vici

nity

, all

but o

ne o

f the

m a

re st

alle

d du

e to

stric

t com

mer

cial

le

ndin

g st

anda

rds a

nd li

nger

ing

econ

omic

unc

erta

inty

(sm

alle

r, ne

ighb

orho

od-s

ervi

ng p

rodu

cts

seem

to b

e m

ovin

g fo

rwar

d). 3

9 Whi

le c

ity o

ffic

ials

pla

n to

pro

vide

con

tinuo

us su

ppor

t to

thes

e la

rger

pro

ject

s, th

eir e

vent

ual r

ealiz

atio

n w

ill b

e tie

d to

the

busi

ness

cyc

le, a

nd it

is th

eref

ore

unkn

own

whe

n an

d if

they

will

com

e on

-line

. To

mov

e fo

rwar

d, th

ese

proj

ect d

evel

oper

s wou

ld

have

to se

cure

eith

er a

sing

le e

nd-u

ser t

enan

t or “

pre-

leas

e” o

ver 5

0 pe

rcen

t of p

ropo

sed

spac

e to

m

ultip

le te

nant

s (e.

g., s

ecur

e bi

ndin

g le

ase

agre

emen

ts fo

r spa

ce to

satis

fy lo

an u

nder

writ

ing

stan

dard

s).

Proj

ects

with

out s

uch

com

mitm

ents

are

refe

rred

as “

spec

ulat

ive”

pro

ject

s and

are

ty

pica

lly d

iffic

ult t

o fin

ance

whe

n cr

edit

cond

ition

s are

tigh

tene

d.

In o

rder

to a

ccou

nt fo

r thi

s unc

erta

inty

, it i

s ass

umed

that

onl

y 50

per

cent

of t

he g

ross

net

new

of

fice

spac

e in

the

deve

lopm

ent p

ipel

ine—

amou

ntin

g to

aro

und

614,

000

squa

re fe

et—

will

be

built

in

a ti

mef

ram

e th

at is

com

petit

ive

with

the

deve

lopm

ent o

f the

Nor

th 4

0. A

ssum

ing,

aga

in, t

hat

seve

n to

ten

perc

ent o

f new

off

ice

cons

truct

ion

will

rem

ain

vaca

nt, t

his l

eave

s som

ewhe

re b

etw

een

698,

000

and

957,

000

squa

re fe

et o

f res

idua

l pro

ject

ed d

eman

d in

the

Mar

ket A

rea.

A

s dis

cuss

ed a

bove

, the

Nor

th 4

0 is

a h

ighl

y de

sira

ble

loca

tion

for m

arqu

ee o

ffic

es.

Hig

hway

s 17

and

85 p

rovi

de e

asy

acce

ss fo

r em

ploy

ees,

as w

ell a

s exc

elle

nt v

isib

ility

with

Sili

con

Val

ley

com

mut

ers,

man

y of

who

m a

re in

dust

ry th

ough

t-lea

ders

and

eng

age

regu

larly

in in

ter-

firm

ne

twor

king

. Th

eref

ore,

it sh

ould

be

assu

med

that

a N

orth

40

offic

e pr

ojec

t wou

ld b

e a

desi

rabl

e pr

oduc

t cap

able

of c

aptu

ring

a co

mpe

titiv

e po

rtion

of r

esid

ual d

eman

d. A

ssum

ing

a 10

to 2

0 pe

rcen

t cap

ture

rate

, the

Nor

th 4

0 co

uld

supp

ort a

nyw

here

from

70,

000

to 1

91,0

00 sq

uare

feet

of

offic

e sp

ace,

mak

ing

offic

e a

pote

ntia

lly st

rate

gic

use

for t

he si

te. 4

0

38

On

June

7, 2

011,

App

le C

ompu

ter I

nc. a

nnou

nced

pla

ns to

dev

elop

a 1

.1 m

illio

n sq

uare

foot

cor

pora

te

cam

pus o

n a

50-a

cre

site

with

exi

stin

g im

prov

emen

ts th

at it

pur

chas

ed in

200

6. A

s of t

he d

ate

of th

is d

raft

repo

rt, n

o su

bmitt

al h

as b

een

mad

e to

the

City

of C

uper

tino.

Hen

ce, n

o in

form

atio

n is

ava

ilabl

e to

inco

rpor

ate

into

the

anal

ysis

rega

rdin

g de

mol

ition

/rete

ntio

n of

exi

stin

g st

ruct

ures

and

new

con

stru

ctio

n (e

.g.,

an e

stim

ate

of

net n

ew sp

ace

to b

e de

velo

ped

on it

s pro

perty

).

39 T

he A

lbrig

ht O

ffic

e R

edev

elop

men

t pro

ject

in L

os G

atos

, whi

ch c

ould

yie

ld a

s muc

h as

550

,000

squa

re fe

et

of n

ew C

lass

A o

ffic

e sp

ace,

is c

urre

ntly

act

ive,

but

the

Tow

n C

ounc

il ha

s yet

to a

ppro

ve th

e re

quire

d re

zoni

ng.

40 T

his e

stim

ate

may

und

erst

ate

dem

and

for n

ew o

ffic

e sp

ace

sinc

e it

does

not

diff

eren

tiate

bet

wee

n C

lass

A

spac

e an

d C

lass

B/C

spac

e. D

eman

d fo

r new

off

ice

spac

e is

typi

cally

for C

lass

A w

hile

ava

ilabl

e in

vent

ory

may

be

prim

arily

com

pose

d of

old

er, l

ess f

unct

iona

l Cla

ss B

and

C p

rope

rties

.

Table 24: Planned and Proposed Office Developments, Market Area, April 2011 Name

Location/Drive TimeDeveloper Size (sf) Est. Timing Comments

Under Construction

San Jose (a)Willow Glen Town Square Office 24,000 office Early 2012 Class A office w/ common amenities over ground-floor retail1104 Lincoln Ave. (14 mins) 0 demo (office) (completion) requires demolition of 9,500 sf of existing retailPaja Investments 24,000 new Class A

Approved (Construction Not Yet Commenced)

Los GatosWalker Medical Building 20,600 office Late 2011 2-story medical office building located between Good14881 National Ave. (1 min) 0 demo (office) (start); see Samaritan Hospital and the North 40; requires the demolition oLee Walker 20,600 new Class A comments two single-family homes; developer in the process of applying

for extension, but hopes to break ground in 2011

15400 Los Gatos Blvd. (1 min) 20,000 office Start date Redevelopment of former auto dealership for 2-story mixed-Developer unknown 0 demo (office) unknown; use structure w/ Class A office above restaurant/retail;

20,000 new Class A see comments developer is not moving forward at the moment; Town hasgranted approval for Planned Development.

55 Los Gatos-Saratoga Rd. (5 mins) 2,000 office Stalled; see Mixed-use structure w/ office and retail and renovation ofPelio & Associates 0 demo comments adjacent 56-room Los Gatos Motor Inn; developer currently

2,000 new Class A in dispute with San Jose Water; project will not move forwarduntil dispute is resolved

Campbell649 Creekside Way (5 mins) 170,000 office Stalled; see 5-story glass office building; developer has received twoSouth Bay Development Co. 0 demo comments extensions; developer intention is to construct when

170,000 new Class A a specific user for the project is identified.

CupertinoMain Street Cupertino 100,000 office Start date 17-acre mixed-use development w/ Class A office, retail, Stevens Creek Blvd. & Finch Ave. (14 mins) 0 demo unknown; athletic club, hotel, and senior housing around 1-acre park; Sand Hill Property Co. 100,000 new Class A see comments EIR outlines several options; final development program is yet

to be determined; City has seen no activity since approvalswere granted in 2009 and believes that developer intends totenant commercial space before commencing construction

North Forty Specific Plan

Market Study and Business Development Strategy

Page 85 of 150

Table 24: Planned and Proposed Office Developments, Market Area, April 2011 (cont.) Name Location/Drive TimeDeveloper Size (sf) Est. Timing Comments

Approved (continued)

One Results Way Campus Redevelopment 155,500 office Stalled; see 3 new, 2-story glass office buildings; requires demolition ofMcClellan & Bubb Rds. (14 mins) 140,000 demo (Class B) comments 140,000 sf of existing office space; HP recently acquiredEmbarcadero Capital Partners LLC 155,500 new Class A major tenant ArcSight and is moving firm to Sunnyvale; project

stalled in the meantime; City has granted long-term extensionon permits & expects that it will move forward eventually

San Jose (a)Monroe Mixed Use 90,000 office Stalled; see Planned office adjacent to 104 townhomes & new park in485 S. Monroe St. (8 mins) 110,000 demo (Class B) comments vicinity of Santana Row; requires demolition of 110,000 sfSilverstone Development 90,000 new Class A of existing office; project not moving forward pending

identification of tenant.

Pending Approval

Los GatosAlbright Office Redevelopment 550,000 office Start date Proposed redevelopment of 21.6-acre office site to includeAlbright Way & Winchester Blvd. (3 mins) 250,000 demo (Class B) unknown; up to 550,000 sf of new Class A office adjacent to up to 168Huetigg & Schromm Inc. 550,000 new Class A see comments housing units; Town Council has yet to approve

required rezoning

16005 Los Gatos Blvd. (3 mins) 30,790 comm. Mid-2012 Redevelopment of former auto dealership for twoCHL Ventures LP 0 demo (office) (start); see neighborhood-serving commercial buildings and 25 units of

0 to comments housing; Project is entitled and developer must obtain30,790 new Class A building permits.

475-485 Alberto Way (6 mins) 15,650 office Start date Expansion of existing 55,600 sf office campus; applicationAlberto Way Holdings LLC 0 demo unknown; pending; Town has no further information on project timeline

15,650 new Class A see comments

CampbellMerrill Gardens 17,000 comm. Spring/ Mixed-use development w/ 127 senior housing units &2041-2127 S. Winchester Blvd. (8 mins) 0 demo (office) Summer 2013 21 Alzheimer care units over ground-floor commercial space;SRM Development LLC 0 to (completion) commercial space could accommodate small office users

17,000 new Class A

Saratoga12250 Saratoga-Sunnyvale Rd. (13 mins) 16,000 office Fall 2011 2-story mixed-use building clad w/ prefinished paneling;Timespace Investment Development 0

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy

demo (office) (start); see professional/medical office condos w/ retail & children's16,000 new Class A comments learning center; requires demolition of 14,000 sf of existing

retail & light industrial; developer has submitted for approvals;City expects construction to commence soon after approval.

Page 86 of 150

North Forty Specific Plan

Market Study and Business Development Strategy

Page 87 of 150

Table 24: Planned and Proposed Office Developments, Market Area, April 2011 (cont.) NameLocation/Drive TimeDeveloper Size (sf) Est. Timing Comments

Pending Approval (continued)

12260 Saratoga-Sunnyvale Rd. (13 mins) 16,000 office Fall 2011 Mixed-use Muslim community center w/ prayer space, retail Muslim Community Group (name unknown) 0 demo (office) (start); see & office; requires demolition of existing light industrial uses

16,000 new Class A comments (sf unknown); City expects developer to submit for approvalssoon & commence construction thereafter; Ancillory office.

Summary

Max. Planned and Proposed Class A Office (sf) (b) 1,227,540Planned Demolition of Class A Space (sf) 0Net New Planned and Proposed Class A Office (sf) 1,227,540Expected % Completed in Competitive Timeframe (c 50% xExpected Net New Class A Office (sf) 613,770

Notes:(a) List of projects in San Jose only includes those with 25,000 sf or more office space.(b) Assumes that all "commercial" space is fully tenanted with office users.(c) Many of these projects face significant hurdles in terms of financial feasibility before they may come to fruition. Therefore, it is assumed that only 50% of thesupply in the pipeline will be completed within a timeframe deemed competitive with prospective office development at the North 40 site.Sources: Silicon Valley/San Jose Business Journal, 2009-2011; Los Gatos Patch; Town of Los Gatos; City of Campbell; City of Cupertino; City of San Jose; City of Saratoga; BAE, 2011.

Ho

tel

Ma

rke

t A

ss

es

sm

en

t Th

e pu

rpos

e of

this

sect

ion

is to

ass

ess t

he p

oten

tial f

or m

arke

t abs

orpt

ion

of a

new

hot

el

deve

lopm

ent a

t the

Nor

th 4

0. T

his a

naly

sis d

raw

s on

perf

orm

ance

dat

a fr

om a

rea

hote

ls p

rovi

ded

by S

mith

Tra

vel R

esea

rch

(STR

) to

reve

al h

ow th

e M

arke

t Are

a pe

rfor

ms i

n re

latio

n to

the

Cou

nty

as a

who

le, a

nd h

ow th

e G

reat

Rec

essi

on h

as a

ffec

ted

that

per

form

ance

. In

add

ition

, thi

s sec

tion

cons

ider

s how

the

site

rela

tes g

eogr

aphi

cally

to k

ey d

eman

d dr

iver

s—su

ch a

s maj

or in

stitu

tions

and

le

isur

e de

stin

atio

ns—

as w

ell a

s com

petin

g pr

oper

ties i

n or

der t

o ju

dge

the

viab

ility

of n

ew h

otel

de

velo

pmen

t. In

sigh

ts fr

om in

terv

iew

s con

duct

ed w

ith k

ey in

form

ants

kno

wle

dgea

ble

abou

t the

lo

cal h

otel

mar

ket a

re p

rovi

ded,

whe

n ap

plic

able

, as w

ell.

Exis

ting

Supp

ly

Tabl

e 25

on

the

follo

win

g pa

ge p

rese

nts a

bre

akdo

wn

of th

e ho

tel r

oom

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

and

Sant

a C

lara

Cou

nty

acco

rdin

g to

STR

’s b

rand

cla

ssifi

catio

n sy

stem

.41 A

s sho

wn,

the

Mar

ket A

rea

feat

ures

nea

rly 2

,000

hot

el ro

oms,

or a

roun

d 7.

6 pe

rcen

t of t

he to

tal n

umbe

r of r

oom

s in

the

Cou

nty.

Com

pare

d to

the

Cou

nty,

how

ever

, the

Mar

ket A

rea

feat

ures

an

abov

e-av

erag

e pr

opor

tion

of u

psca

le ro

oms,

refle

ctin

g th

e fa

ct th

at th

e W

est V

alle

y is

com

pris

ed o

f hig

h-en

d re

side

ntia

l co

mm

uniti

es.

Hot

el ro

oms q

ualif

ied

by S

TR a

s “up

scal

e” o

r bet

ter (

incl

udin

g ro

oms a

t upp

er-ti

er

inde

pend

ent p

rope

rties

) acc

ount

for 7

9 pe

rcen

t of s

uppl

y in

the

Mar

ket A

rea,

as c

ompa

red

to

arou

nd 6

8 pe

rcen

t in

the

Cou

nty

as a

who

le.

Inte

rvie

ws w

ith re

pres

enta

tives

of t

he L

os G

atos

Cha

mbe

r of C

omm

erce

indi

cate

that

this

co

ncen

tratio

n to

war

ds st

ylis

h pr

oper

ties w

ith h

igh-

qual

ity a

men

ities

com

plem

ents

the

mai

n de

man

d dr

iver

s for

ove

rnig

ht ro

om st

ays i

n Lo

s Gat

os, w

hich

incl

ude:

• B

usin

ess t

rave

l gen

erat

ed n

ot o

nly

by fi

rms l

ocat

ed in

Los

Gat

os, b

ut a

lso

thos

e lo

cate

d in

dow

ntow

n Sa

n Jo

se a

nd o

ther

are

as o

f cen

tral S

ilico

n V

alle

y;

• Le

isur

e tra

vel r

elat

ed to

shop

ping

and

din

ing

in d

ownt

own

Los G

atos

, as

wel

l as a

rea

win

erie

s; a

nd

• W

eddi

ngs a

nd o

ther

soci

al e

vent

s.

Hot

el L

os G

atos

and

Tol

l Hou

se H

otel

, for

exa

mpl

e, b

oth

feat

ure

upsc

ale

rest

aura

nts a

nd p

rovi

de

acce

ss to

full-

serv

ice

day

spas

. Lo

cate

d ad

jace

nt to

dow

ntow

n Lo

s Gat

os’ u

niqu

e re

tail

envi

ronm

ent a

nd th

e m

any

vine

yard

s in

the

near

by S

anta

Cru

z M

ount

ains

, the

se h

otel

s are

wel

l-po

sitio

ned

to c

aptu

re lu

crat

ive

wee

kend

trav

el.

Furth

er, t

hey

prov

ide

an a

llurin

g al

tern

ativ

e to

ho

tels

loca

ted

in d

ownt

own

San

Jose

or o

ff o

f Hig

hway

101

, whi

ch la

ck th

e hi

stor

ical

cha

rm a

nd

conv

enie

nt w

alka

bilit

y of

dow

ntow

n Lo

s Gat

os.

Acc

ordi

ng to

the

Cha

mbe

r, th

e ge

nera

l man

ager

s

41 S

mith

Tra

vel R

esea

rch

only

pub

lishe

s dat

a on

thos

e ho

tels

and

mot

els t

hat r

espo

nd to

the

com

pany

’s su

rvey

s.

Ther

efor

e, a

ll ST

R d

ata

repr

esen

ts a

sam

ple,

rath

er th

an a

100

per

cent

cou

nt.

How

ever

, as t

heir

surv

eys y

ield

a

very

hig

h pa

rtici

patio

n ra

te, S

TR d

ata

is d

eem

ed a

relia

ble

repr

esen

tatio

n of

the

hote

l mar

ket a

s a w

hole

.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

89

of 1

50

of lo

cal h

otel

s hav

e fo

und

cons

ider

able

succ

ess m

arke

ting

to h

igh-

leve

l bus

ines

s tra

vele

rs,

parti

cula

rly th

ose

who

trav

el w

ith th

eir s

pous

es.

Oth

er h

otel

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

cate

r to

a si

mila

r set

of d

eman

d dr

iver

s. F

or in

stan

ce, H

otel

V

alen

cia—

the

only

hot

el o

n Sa

ntan

a R

ow—

feat

ures

styl

ish

déco

r, hi

gh-e

nd d

inin

g, a

roof

top

loun

ge, a

nd a

full-

serv

ice

spa,

not

to m

entio

n th

e ca

chet

of S

an Jo

se’s

mos

t pop

ular

reta

il de

stin

atio

n. B

oth

of th

ese

hote

ls, a

s wel

l as t

he K

impt

on C

ypre

ss H

otel

in C

uper

tino,

pro

vide

de

sira

ble

venu

es fo

r wed

ding

s and

oth

er m

ajor

soci

al e

vent

s.

Tabl

e 25

: Roo

m S

uppl

y by

Hot

el C

lass

, Mar

ket A

rea

vs.

Sant

a C

lara

Cou

nty,

201

1 (a

)

Mar

ket A

rea

Sant

a C

lara

Cou

nty

Hot

el C

lass

(b)

Roo

ms

% T

otal

Roo

ms

% T

otal

Eco

nom

y16

88.

6%3,

424

13.3

%M

idsc

ale

00.

0%2,

150

8.3%

Upp

er M

idsc

ale

196

10.0

%2,

300

8.9%

Ups

cale

555

28.4

%5,

031

19.5

%U

pper

Ups

cale

374

19.1

%5,

396

20.9

%Lu

xury

00.

0%84

93.

3%In

depe

nden

t66

233

.9%

6,68

825

.9%

Tota

l1,

955

100.

0%25

,838

100.

0%

Ups

cale

or B

ette

r (c)

1,54

479

.0%

17,4

8967

.7%

Not

es:

(a) I

nclu

des

all h

otel

s an

d m

otel

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

and

Cou

nty

that

parti

cipa

te in

Sm

ith T

rave

l Res

earc

h's

surv

eys.

Fig

ures

do

not r

epre

sent

a10

0 pe

rcen

t cou

nt.

(b) S

TR a

lloca

tes

prop

ertie

s by

cla

ss a

ccor

ding

to th

e na

tionw

ide

AD

R o

f the

chai

n w

ith w

hich

it is

affi

liate

d. A

n in

depe

nden

t hot

el is

ass

igne

d a

clas

sba

sed

on it

s A

DR

, rel

ativ

e to

the

chai

n ho

tels

in it

s ge

ogra

phic

pro

xim

ity.

(c) I

nclu

des

all r

oom

s in

ups

cale

, upp

er u

psca

le, a

nd lu

xury

hot

els,

as

wel

las

room

s in

inde

pend

ent h

otel

s w

ith A

DR

s th

at a

re c

ompa

rabl

e to

"ups

cale

"ho

tels

cha

ins.

The

per

cent

age

of in

depe

nden

t roo

ms

that

are

ups

cale

was

calc

ulat

ed fo

r the

Mar

ket A

rea

only

, but

was

app

lied

to b

oth

the

Mar

ket A

rea

and

Cou

nty.

The

refo

re, t

he C

ount

y fig

ures

are

an

appr

oxim

atio

n an

d lik

ely

over

stat

e th

e nu

mbe

r of r

oom

s th

at a

re u

psca

le o

r bet

ter.

Sou

rces

: Sm

ith T

rave

l Res

earc

h; B

AE

, 201

1.

Thes

e cu

stom

er se

gmen

ts c

ompl

emen

t one

ano

ther

to b

uoy

perf

orm

ance

with

in th

e ov

eral

l Mar

ket

Are

a. S

TR d

ata

on p

erfo

rman

ce b

y da

y of

the

wee

k, w

hich

can

be

foun

d in

App

endi

x H

, ind

icat

es

that

whi

le b

usin

ess t

rave

l sup

ports

ope

ratio

ns d

urin

g th

e w

eek,

leis

ure

trave

lers

and

wed

ding

gue

sts

help

boo

st o

ccup

ancy

dur

ing

the

wee

kend

. O

n Fr

iday

and

Sat

urda

y ni

ghts

, Cou

ntyw

ide

occu

panc

y dr

ops b

elow

60

perc

ent,

whi

le M

arke

t Are

a ho

tels

man

age

to m

aint

ain

occu

panc

y ra

tes e

ight

to

nine

per

cent

age

poin

ts a

bove

the

base

line

(see

App

endi

x H

). B

ut th

e up

scal

e na

ture

of t

he h

otel

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

asid

e, T

able

25

also

reve

als t

hat l

uxur

y

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

90

of 1

50

hote

l roo

ms r

epre

sent

a m

inut

e sh

are

of C

ount

y w

ide

supp

ly (t

hree

per

cent

). T

he F

airm

ont S

an

Jose

, with

805

room

s, co

mpr

ises

the

vast

maj

ority

of t

his m

arke

t seg

men

t, w

hile

the

Ros

ewoo

d R

esor

t at C

orde

Val

le in

San

Mar

tin a

ccou

nts f

or th

e re

mai

ning

44

room

s.42

The

Mar

ket A

rea

does

no

t con

tain

any

nam

e-br

and

luxu

ry p

rope

rties

. D

espi

te S

ilico

n V

alle

y’s g

loba

l rep

utat

ion

as a

cen

ter o

f hig

h te

chno

logy

, man

y of

the

wor

ld’s

mos

t fa

mou

s hot

el p

rodu

cts a

re m

issi

ng fr

om th

e re

gion

. M

anda

rin O

rient

al, S

t. R

egis

, and

Le

Mer

idie

n al

l hav

e ho

tels

in S

an F

ranc

isco

, and

Ritz

-Car

lton

has h

otel

s in

both

San

Fra

ncis

co a

nd H

alf M

oon

Bay

. B

ut n

one

of th

ese

bran

ds h

ave

a pr

esen

ce in

the

Sout

h B

ay, w

here

the

only

luxu

ry p

rodu

cts o

f gl

obal

not

orie

ty a

re W

Sili

con

Val

ley

in N

ewar

k an

d Fo

ur S

easo

ns S

ilico

n V

alle

y in

Eas

t Pal

o A

lto.

Alth

ough

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te is

out

side

a m

ajor

bus

ines

s clu

ster

it is

a sh

ort d

rive

from

man

y de

man

d ge

nera

tors

and

off

ers a

n en

hanc

ed le

vel o

f cul

tura

l and

recr

eatio

nal a

men

ities

. Pl

anne

d an

d Pr

opos

ed C

ompe

titio

n A

t the

tim

e of

writ

ing,

onl

y tw

o ne

w h

otel

s wer

e pr

opos

ed fo

r dev

elop

men

t with

in th

e M

arke

t A

rea,

as s

how

n in

Tab

le 2

6. I

f bui

lt, th

ese

proj

ects

will

add

app

roxi

mat

ely

123

room

s dee

med

up

scal

e or

bet

ter t

o th

e M

arke

t Are

a. H

owev

er, b

oth

pros

pect

ive

site

s are

loca

ted

appr

oxim

atel

y 15

m

inut

es a

way

alo

ng S

teve

ns C

reek

Blv

d. in

Cup

ertin

o, w

here

the

inte

nt is

like

ly to

cap

ture

bus

ines

s ge

nera

ted

by A

pple

and

oth

er m

ajor

cor

pora

te te

nant

s. F

urth

er, o

ne o

f the

pro

pose

d ho

tels

is to

be

loca

ted

amid

st th

e M

ain

Stre

et m

ixed

-use

dev

elop

men

t, w

hich

will

striv

e to

cre

ate

a se

lf-co

ntai

ned

hub

of a

ctiv

ity a

kin

to S

anta

na R

ow.

As s

uch,

thes

e pr

ojec

ts, i

n th

e ca

se th

at th

ey sh

ould

com

e to

fr

uitio

n, sh

ould

be

cons

ider

ed in

dire

ctly

com

petit

ive

with

a p

rosp

ectiv

e N

orth

40

hote

l in

term

s of

room

stay

s. Ta

ble

1, fi

rst d

iscu

ssed

in th

e Si

te D

escr

iptio

n ab

ove,

pro

vide

s a li

st o

f maj

or in

stitu

tions

and

le

isur

e de

stin

atio

ns in

the

San

Jose

-San

ta C

ruz

met

ro a

rea

that

may

be

capa

ble

of sp

arki

ng d

eman

d fo

r ove

rnig

ht ro

om st

ays a

t a N

orth

40

hote

l.

This

list

reve

als t

hat t

he m

etro

are

a fe

atur

es m

yria

d po

tent

ial d

eman

d ge

nera

tors

, inc

ludi

ng a

nu

mbe

r of a

rts a

nd e

nter

tain

men

t ven

ues,

busi

ness

hub

s, an

d un

iver

sitie

s. H

owev

er, m

ost a

ll of

the

site

s lis

ted

are

serv

ed b

y ex

istin

g no

des o

f hot

el ro

oms t

hat,

for a

ll in

tent

s and

pur

pose

s, ha

ve th

e ca

paci

ty to

abs

orb

dem

and

gene

rate

d by

nea

rby

attra

ctio

ns.

42 R

osew

ood

Res

ort a

lso

has a

pro

perty

in M

enlo

Par

k ou

tsid

e th

e M

arke

t Are

a to

the

north

(app

roxi

mat

ely

23

mile

s).

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

91

of 1

50

Tabl

e 26

: Pla

nned

and

Pro

pose

d H

otel

Dev

elop

men

ts, M

arke

t Are

a, A

pril

2011

Nam

eLo

catio

n/D

rive

Tim

eB

rand

Mee

ting

Dev

elop

erC

lass

Roo

ms

Est.

Tim

ing

Spac

e (s

f)R

esta

uran

tAm

eniti

es

Cup

ertin

oH

yatt

Pla

ce C

uper

tino

Hya

tt P

lace

123

Sum

mer

201

16,

000

The

Gal

lery

:Fi

tnes

s ce

nter

, 10

165

N. D

e A

nza

Blv

d. (1

3 m

ins)

Ups

cale

(sta

rt); p

lans

gues

t kitc

hen/

pool

, sau

na,

Sha

shi C

orpo

ratio

nto

ope

n by

win

e ba

rsp

a, e

xecu

tive

end

of 2

012

boar

d ro

om &

lo

unge

Mai

n S

treet

Cup

ertin

oY

et to

be

Up

to 2

50S

tart

date

Mos

t det

ails

are

yet

to b

e de

term

ined

; as

aS

teve

ns C

reek

Blv

d. &

de

term

ined

unkn

own

cond

ition

of a

ppro

val,

City

has

stip

ulat

ed th

at if

Finc

h A

ve. (

14 m

ins)

hote

l inc

lude

s 16

0+ ro

oms,

then

dev

elop

erS

and

Hill

Pro

perty

Co.

mus

t pro

vide

a b

anqu

et fa

cilit

y fo

r 400

peo

ple

Sou

rces

: City

of C

uper

tino;

BA

E, 2

011.

Dem

and

Gen

erat

ors

Whi

le d

ownt

own

San

Jose

, for

inst

ance

, hou

ses a

den

se c

lust

er o

f mee

ting

and

cultu

ral c

ente

rs, i

t al

so fe

atur

es o

ne o

f the

regi

on’s

larg

est c

once

ntra

tions

of h

otel

room

s. W

hile

ther

e ar

e so

me

indi

catio

ns th

at e

xecu

tive-

leve

l tra

vele

rs m

ay c

hoos

e to

stay

in L

os G

atos

—ra

ther

than

clo

ser t

o th

eir p

oint

of b

usin

ess i

n Sa

n Jo

se o

r els

ewhe

re, a

s dis

cuss

ed a

bove

—th

e av

erag

e bu

sine

ss tr

avel

er

or to

uris

t is l

ikel

y to

opt

for a

hot

el th

at p

rovi

des m

ore

read

y ac

cess

to th

e re

gion

’s p

rinci

pal

attra

ctio

ns.

Sim

ilarly

, whi

le S

tanf

ord

Uni

vers

ity a

nd U

C S

anta

Cru

z ha

ve th

e po

tent

ial t

o ge

nera

te

room

dem

and,

esp

ecia

lly a

roun

d gr

adua

tion,

they

bot

h re

pres

ent a

driv

e tim

e of

30

min

utes

or

mor

e, a

nd th

eref

ore

mar

k th

e ab

solu

te o

uter

orb

it of

the

Nor

th 4

0’s r

each

in th

e ho

spita

lity

mar

ket.

On

the

othe

r han

d, n

earb

y m

edic

al c

ente

rs m

ay p

rese

nt a

via

ble

mar

ket c

apab

le o

f sup

porti

ng

addi

tiona

l hot

el su

pply

. Th

e N

orth

40

sits

dire

ctly

acr

oss L

os G

atos

Blv

d. fr

om th

e ex

pans

ive

Goo

d Sa

mar

itan

Hos

pita

l, w

hich

was

rank

ed th

e fo

urth

larg

est h

ospi

tal i

n Si

licon

Val

ley

in te

rms o

f gr

oss p

atie

nt re

venu

e in

200

9 by

the

Silic

on V

alle

y/Sa

n Jo

se B

usin

ess J

ourn

al.

In a

dditi

on, E

l C

amin

o H

ospi

tal L

os G

atos

(for

mer

ly C

omm

unity

Hos

pita

l of L

os G

atos

) and

San

ta C

lara

Val

ley

Med

ical

Cen

ter—

the

seco

nd la

rges

t hos

pita

l in

Silic

on V

alle

y, a

ccor

ding

to th

e Jo

urna

l—ar

e bo

th

loca

ted

with

in a

10-

min

ute

driv

e of

the

site

. C

ombi

ned,

thes

e fa

cilit

ies a

mou

nt to

wel

l ove

r 20

0,00

0 pa

tient

cen

sus d

ays p

er y

ear,

mea

ning

that

, on

any

give

n da

y, th

ere

are

an a

vera

ge o

f ove

r 55

0 pa

tient

s hos

pita

lized

in th

e su

rrou

ndin

g ar

ea.

In a

dditi

on, e

ach

of th

ese

hosp

itals

is fl

anke

d by

co

mpl

emen

tary

med

ical

labs

and

off

ices

, man

y of

whi

ch h

andl

e ou

tpat

ient

pro

cedu

res.

Th

ese

com

plex

es h

ave

the

pote

ntia

l to

gene

rate

dem

and

for n

earb

y ho

tel r

oom

s. In

terv

iew

s with

ad

min

istra

tive/

gues

t ser

vice

s sta

ff fr

om G

ood

Sam

arita

n an

d El

Cam

ino

Hos

pita

ls in

dica

te th

at

both

org

aniz

atio

ns re

ly o

n ar

ea h

otel

s to

acco

mm

odat

e vi

sitin

g do

ctor

s, re

sear

cher

s, an

d ex

ecut

ives

, as

wel

l as p

atie

nts t

rave

lling

long

-dis

tanc

es fo

r hos

pita

l pro

cedu

res a

nd/o

r ext

ende

d re

habi

litat

ion.

In

the

case

of t

he la

tter,

patie

nts m

ay b

e tra

velli

ng w

ith fa

mily

and

frie

nds t

hat a

lso

requ

ire

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

92

of 1

50

acco

mm

odat

ions

. U

nder

such

circ

umst

ance

s, pr

oxim

ity is

at a

pre

miu

m, a

s pat

ient

s and

thei

r vi

sito

rs w

ant t

o be

abl

e to

reac

h th

e ho

spita

l as q

uick

ly a

s pos

sibl

e.

At p

rese

nt, G

ood

Sam

arita

n pl

aces

trav

ellin

g st

aff i

n th

e M

arrio

tt R

esid

ence

Inn

or L

arks

pur

Land

ing,

as t

hey

prov

ide

amen

ities

that

less

en th

e bu

rden

of e

xten

ded

stay

s, an

d pl

aces

exe

cutiv

es

in H

otel

Val

enci

a on

San

tana

Row

. B

oth

exte

nded

stay

pro

perti

es a

re lo

cate

d w

ithin

a fi

ve to

ten

min

ute

driv

e in

Cam

pbel

l. H

owev

er, a

repr

esen

tativ

e of

the

Hos

pita

l ind

icat

es th

at a

Nor

th 4

0 ho

tel

wou

ld b

e a

wel

com

ed c

onve

nien

ce, p

artic

ular

ly if

it w

ere

to o

ffer

rate

s or d

isco

unts

bel

ow th

e ex

istin

g pr

ice

poin

t for

com

para

ble

prop

ertie

s. S

imila

rly, a

repr

esen

tativ

e of

El C

amin

o H

ospi

tal

Los G

atos

, whi

ch sp

ecia

lizes

in h

ip a

nd jo

int w

ork,

bel

ieve

s tha

t a h

otel

gea

red

tow

ards

long

-term

st

ays—

one

that

has

a p

ool a

nd a

llow

s pet

s, fo

r exa

mpl

e—co

uld

acco

mm

odat

e th

eir r

ehab

pat

ient

s. In

add

ition

to d

eman

d ge

nera

ted

by n

earb

y m

edic

al c

ompl

exes

, hig

h-en

d le

isur

e tra

vel f

ocus

ed o

n re

tail,

scen

ery,

and

the

arts

may

pre

sent

a se

cond

ary

oppo

rtuni

ty fo

r hot

el d

evel

opm

ent.

The

Nor

th

40 si

te is

loca

ted

mid

way

bet

wee

n do

wnt

own

Los G

atos

and

San

tana

Row

/Val

ley

Fair,

am

ount

ing

to a

maj

or a

xis o

f ups

cale

reta

il. S

imila

rly, t

he si

te p

rovi

des s

trate

gic

acce

ss to

par

ks a

nd v

iney

ards

ne

stle

d in

to th

e hi

lls a

bove

Los

Gat

os a

nd S

arat

oga,

whi

ch is

als

o ho

me

to th

e po

pula

r Mon

talv

o A

rts C

ente

r. It

shou

ld b

e no

ted

that

Sar

atog

a is

und

erse

rved

by

hote

l roo

ms,

and

both

pub

lic

offic

ials

and

bus

ines

s rep

rese

ntat

ives

stee

r vis

itors

to lo

dgin

g op

tions

in L

os G

atos

. H

owev

er, a

s ex

istin

g ho

tels

in d

ownt

own

Los G

atos

pro

vide

imm

edia

te a

cces

s to

loca

l sho

ppin

g an

d di

ning

, thi

s st

rate

gy w

ould

rely

on

prov

idin

g co

nven

ient

tran

spor

tatio

n lin

kage

s bet

wee

n th

e N

orth

40

and

near

by a

ttrac

tions

. Pe

rfor

man

ce T

rend

s D

ata

prov

ided

by

STR

allo

ws f

or c

ompa

rison

bet

wee

n th

e pe

rfor

man

ce o

f hot

els l

ocat

ed w

ithin

the

Mar

ket A

rea

and

thos

e lo

cate

d w

ithin

San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

at la

rge.

STR

gat

hers

info

rmat

ion

on

key

perf

orm

ance

indi

cato

rs fr

om p

artic

ipat

ing

hote

ls.

Whi

le S

TR d

oes n

ot c

aptu

re 1

00 p

erce

nt

parti

cipa

tion,

the

vast

maj

ority

of a

rea

hote

ls sh

are

info

rmat

ion,

allo

win

g fo

r a m

eani

ngfu

l ana

lysi

s of

the

hosp

italit

y m

arke

t.

As s

how

n in

Fig

ure

14, o

vera

ll oc

cupa

ncy

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a pe

aked

in 2

007

at 7

5 pe

rcen

t. W

hile

oc

cupa

ncy

fell

rapi

dly

over

the

follo

win

g tw

o ye

ars d

ue to

the

natio

nal r

eces

sion

, bot

tom

ing

out

arou

nd 6

5 pe

rcen

t in

2009

, it s

hot b

ack

up in

201

0 to

72

perc

ent,

near

ing

peak

leve

ls.

Roo

m

dem

and

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a in

201

0 ac

tual

ly e

xcee

ded

dem

and

in 2

007,

clim

bing

to o

ver 5

10,0

00

room

-nig

hts f

rom

a p

revi

ous p

eak

of a

roun

d 49

0,00

0. T

his g

row

th in

dem

and

is o

bscu

red

by th

e fa

ct th

at th

e M

arrio

t Cou

rtyar

d in

Cam

pbel

l ope

ned

in e

arly

201

0, a

ddin

g 16

2 ro

oms t

o th

e M

arke

t A

rea,

thus

supp

ress

ing

the

over

all o

ccup

ancy

rate

. In

oth

er w

ords

, the

Mar

ket A

rea

expe

rienc

ed

mor

e de

man

d fo

r hot

el ro

om-n

ight

s in

2010

than

it d

id d

urin

g its

pre

-rec

essi

on p

eak.

For

mor

e-de

taile

d ST

R d

ata,

see

App

endi

x H

.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 9

3 of

150

Figu

re 1

4: O

ccup

ancy

Rat

e an

d R

oom

Dem

and,

Mar

ket A

rea,

200

5-20

10 (a

)

350,

000

400,

000

450,

000

500,

000

550,

000

600,

000

650,

000

54%

58%

62%

66%

70%

74%

78%

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Room Demand (b)

Occupancy Rate

Occ

upan

cyR

oom

Dem

and

(b)

N

otes

: (a

) Inc

lude

s al

l hot

els

and

mot

els

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a an

d C

ount

y th

at p

artic

ipat

e in

Sm

ith T

rave

l Res

earc

h’s

surv

eys.

Fi

gure

s do

not

repr

esen

t a 1

00 p

erce

nt c

ount

. (b

) Roo

m d

eman

d re

pres

ents

the

num

ber o

f roo

ms

sold

ove

r a g

iven

tim

e pe

riod,

exc

ludi

ng c

ompl

imen

tary

room

s.

Sour

ces:

Sm

ith T

rave

l Res

earc

h; B

AE, 2

011.

H

owev

er, t

his i

ncre

ase

in d

eman

d ha

s not

cau

sed

a pr

opor

tiona

l inc

reas

e in

reve

nue.

As s

how

n in

Fi

gure

15,

loca

l hot

els h

ave

enco

urag

ed sa

les b

y dr

oppi

ng ra

tes.

Bet

wee

n 20

05 a

nd 2

008,

the

aver

age

daily

rate

(AD

R) i

n th

e M

arke

t Are

a cl

imbe

d fr

om $

122

to $

148,

bef

ore

falli

ng to

$12

9 in

20

09.

Bet

wee

n 20

09 a

nd 2

010,

loca

l hot

els a

ctua

lly lo

wer

ed th

eir r

ates

a li

ttle

furth

er, t

hus

ince

ntiv

izin

g de

man

d. T

his t

actic

has

pro

ven

succ

essf

ul, a

nd w

hile

rate

s dro

pped

slig

htly

from

20

09 to

201

0, re

venu

e pe

r ava

ilabl

e ro

om (R

evPA

R) r

ever

sed

its re

cess

iona

ry d

eclin

e, re

boun

ding

fr

om $

83 to

$92

. Th

eref

ore,

whi

le h

otel

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

have

em

erge

d fr

om th

e re

cess

ion

show

ing

stro

ng d

eman

d an

d oc

cupa

ncy,

hot

el re

venu

es m

ovin

g fo

rwar

d w

ill d

epen

d on

the

abili

ty

of o

pera

tors

to ra

ise

room

rate

s with

out d

isco

urag

ing

sale

s. N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 9

4 of

150

Figu

re 1

5: A

DR

and

Rev

PAR

, Mar

ket A

rea,

200

5-20

10 (a

)

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

$ Per Room

AD

RR

evP

AR

(b)

N

otes

: (a

) Inc

lude

s al

l hot

els

and

mot

els

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a an

d C

ount

y th

at p

artic

ipat

e in

Sm

ith

Trav

el R

esea

rch’

s su

rvey

s. F

igur

es d

o no

t rep

rese

nt a

100

per

cent

cou

nt.

(b) R

evPA

R, o

r Rev

enue

per

Ava

ilabl

e R

oom

, is

calc

ulat

ed b

y di

vidi

ng to

tal r

oom

reve

nue

by th

e to

tal s

uppl

y of

room

s fo

r a g

iven

per

iod.

So

urce

s: S

mith

Tra

vel R

esea

rch;

BAE

, 201

1.

Figu

re 1

6 on

the

follo

win

g pa

ge c

ompa

res t

he h

isto

rical

per

form

ance

of h

otel

s thr

ough

out S

anta

C

lara

Cou

nty

to th

ose

loca

ted

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a, w

hich

con

sist

ently

out

perf

orm

the

coun

tyw

ide

base

line.

As s

how

n, th

e di

ffer

ence

bet

wee

n th

e tre

nd li

ne o

f the

Mar

ket A

rea

and

that

of t

he

Cou

nty

rem

aine

d re

lativ

ely

stab

le b

efor

e, d

urin

g, a

nd a

fter t

he G

reat

Rec

essi

on, r

egar

dles

s of

perf

orm

ance

indi

cato

r. T

his i

mpl

ies t

hat w

hile

the

Mar

ket A

rea

is a

s vul

nera

ble

to th

e bu

sine

ss

cycl

e as

the

rest

of S

anta

Cla

ra C

ount

y, lo

cal h

otel

s, in

the

aggr

egat

e, h

ave

perf

orm

ed b

ette

r tha

n th

e co

rres

pond

ing

Cou

nty

aver

age

for a

ll ho

tel p

rope

rties

rega

rdle

ss o

f whe

ther

the

mar

ket i

s in

a pe

ak o

r tro

ugh.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 9

5 of

150

Figu

re 1

6: O

ccup

ancy

Rat

e, A

DR

and

Rev

PAR

, Mar

ket A

rea

vs. S

anta

Cla

ra

Cou

nty,

200

5-20

10 (a

)

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Occupancy Rate

Mar

ket A

rea

Cou

nty

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

$ Per Room

Mar

ket A

rea

AD

RC

ount

y A

DR

Rev

PA

R (b

)R

evP

AR

(b)

N

otes

: (a

) Inc

lude

s al

l hot

els

and

mot

els

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a an

d C

ount

y th

at p

artic

ipat

e in

Sm

ith T

rave

l R

esea

rch’

s su

rvey

s. F

igur

es d

o no

t rep

rese

nt a

100

per

cent

cou

nt.

(b) R

evPA

R, o

r Rev

enue

per

Ava

ilabl

e R

oom

, is

calc

ulat

ed b

y di

vidi

ng to

tal r

oom

reve

nue

by th

e to

tal s

uppl

y of

room

s fo

r a g

iven

per

iod.

Sour

ces:

Sm

ith T

rave

l Res

earc

h; B

AE, 2

011.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 9

6 of

150

Me

eti

ng

Sp

ac

e M

ark

et

As

se

ss

me

nt

The

purp

ose

of th

is se

ctio

n is

to a

sses

s the

pot

entia

l for

mar

ket a

bsor

ptio

n of

mee

ting

faci

litie

s on

the

Nor

th 4

0. T

wo

type

s of f

acili

ties a

re c

onsi

dere

d: (1

) hot

els t

hat f

eatu

re sp

ace

for b

usin

ess

mee

tings

of 5

0 to

500

peo

ple

and

(2) d

edic

ated

day

-use

con

fere

nce

faci

litie

s tha

t can

hos

t mee

tings

of

a si

mila

r sca

le, b

ut d

o no

t fea

ture

atta

ched

hot

el ro

oms.

No

data

is a

vaila

ble

to a

sses

s the

ut

iliza

tion

or p

erfo

rman

ce o

f the

se ty

pes o

f fac

ilitie

s. T

here

fore

, thi

s ana

lysi

s ser

ves m

ostly

to

desc

ribe

the

type

and

geo

grap

hica

l dis

tribu

tion

of e

xist

ing

faci

litie

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea,

whi

ch

mak

e up

the

com

petit

ive

supp

ly.

In a

dditi

on, a

n an

alys

is o

f how

the

site

rela

tes g

eogr

aphi

cally

to

maj

or e

mpl

oyer

s is p

rovi

ded

in o

rder

to sh

ed li

mite

d in

sigh

t ont

o w

heth

er o

r not

dem

and

can

supp

ort a

dditi

onal

con

fere

nce

faci

litie

s. In

sigh

ts fr

om in

terv

iew

s con

duct

ed w

ith k

ey in

form

ants

kn

owle

dgea

ble

abou

t the

loca

l con

fere

nce

mar

ket a

re p

rovi

ded,

as w

ell,

in o

rder

to fu

rther

sugg

est

the

mag

nitu

de a

nd ty

pe o

f exi

stin

g de

man

d.

Hot

el M

eetin

g Sp

ace

As s

how

n in

Fig

ure

17 a

nd T

able

s 27

and

28, t

he h

otel

s tha

t fea

ture

mee

ting

spac

e fo

r 50

to 5

00

peop

le a

re c

once

ntra

ted

in a

few

dis

tinct

clu

ster

s with

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a. D

ownt

own

Los G

atos

fe

atur

es a

col

lect

ion

of fu

ll-se

rvic

e ho

tels

with

mee

ting

spac

e. A

noth

er c

lust

er e

xist

s in

Cam

pbel

l ar

ound

the

Prun

eyar

d Sh

oppi

ng C

ente

r, in

clud

ing

two

limite

d-se

rvic

e fa

cilit

ies a

nd th

e C

ourty

ard

San

Jose

Cam

pbel

l, w

hich

ope

ned

in 2

010.

43 S

an Jo

se fe

atur

es Jo

ie d

e V

ivre

’s M

oorp

ark

Hot

el

and

Hot

el V

alen

cia,

whi

ch p

rovi

des t

he o

nly

sour

ce o

f mee

ting

spac

e on

San

tana

Row

. Fi

nally

, th

e la

rges

t clu

ster

of r

oom

s exi

sts i

n C

uper

tino

in th

e vi

cini

ty o

f App

le’s

cor

pora

te h

eadq

uarte

rs

and

a la

rge

outp

ost o

f Ora

cle

empl

oyee

s. T

he a

rea

of C

uper

tino

arou

nd S

teve

ns C

reek

and

Nor

th

De

Anz

a B

oule

vard

s is o

ne o

f the

stro

nges

t off

ice

hubs

with

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a, a

nd it

s pro

min

ent

tech

nolo

gy te

nant

s lik

ely

driv

e a

sign

ifica

nt p

ortio

n of

the

dem

and

for b

usin

ess t

rave

l and

mee

ting

spac

e. I

n fa

ct, t

wo

mor

e ho

tels

are

pla

nned

for t

his a

rea,

repr

esen

ting

the

only

hot

el d

evel

opm

ents

cu

rren

tly in

the

pipe

line

in th

e en

tire

Mar

ket A

rea.

At p

rese

nt th

ere

are

no h

otel

s in

the

Mar

ket

Are

a th

at c

an a

ccom

mod

ate

mor

e th

an 2

85 p

eopl

e in

a si

ngle

room

. A

123

-roo

m H

yatt

Plac

e re

cent

ly re

ceiv

ed p

lann

ing

appr

oval

, and

the

proj

ect i

s sla

ted

for

com

plet

ion

by th

e en

d of

201

2. W

ith 6

,000

squa

re fe

et o

f mee

ting

spac

e, th

e H

yatt

Plac

e w

ill

beco

me

the

Mar

ket A

rea’

s lar

gest

hot

el m

eetin

g fa

cilit

y in

term

s of c

onfe

renc

e sq

uare

foot

age.

A

noth

er h

otel

is p

lann

ed a

s par

t of t

he 1

7-ac

re M

ain

Stre

et C

uper

tino

deve

lopm

ent a

t Val

lco

Park

way

. W

hile

the

over

all p

roje

ct is

pro

gres

sing

slow

ly, a

s the

dev

elop

er se

eks t

o te

nant

the

offic

e an

d re

tail

com

pone

nts b

efor

e br

eaki

ng g

roun

d, th

e ho

tel w

ill li

kely

be

the

first

pha

se to

m

ove

forw

ard.

The

dev

elop

er h

as n

ot y

et a

nnou

nced

whe

ther

or n

ot th

e pr

ojec

t will

incl

ude

43 F

ull s

ervi

ce h

otel

s off

er m

ore

in se

rvic

es a

nd a

ccom

mod

atio

ns th

an li

mite

d se

rvic

e ho

tel p

rope

rties

, typ

ical

ly

an a

ttach

ed re

stau

rant

, 24-

hour

val

et se

rvic

e, d

ry c

lean

ing,

hea

ted

pool

s and

saun

as, w

ell-e

quip

ped

fitne

ss

cent

ers,

guar

ante

ed h

igh-

spee

d w

irele

ss In

tern

et a

cces

s, an

d hi

gher

-end

furn

ishi

ng a

nd fi

nish

es.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

97

of 1

50

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

98

of 1

50

mee

ting

spac

e. H

owev

er, a

s a c

ondi

tion

of a

ppro

val,

Sand

Hill

Pro

perty

Co.

has

agr

eed

to p

rovi

de

a 40

0-pe

rson

ban

quet

faci

lity

if th

e ho

tel e

xcee

ds 1

60 ro

oms.

Figu

re 1

7: E

xist

ing

and

Prop

osed

Mee

ting

Hot

els,

Mar

ket A

rea

So

urce

: BAE

, 201

1

Table 27: Comparable Hotels with Meeting Space, Market Area (a) Name AmenitiesLocation/Drive Time Meeting Bus. Outdoor FitnessBrand (if applicable) Class Rooms Built Rates (a) Food & Bev. Space (sf) Center Pool Hot tub Center Other

Full Service

Los GatosLos Gatos Lodge Independent 128 1958 $99-159 Los Gatos 5,000 No Yes No Yes Bocce court,55 Los Gatos-Saratoga Rd. (5 mins) Lodge Bar & putting green

Grill

Hotel Los Gatos Upper 71 2002 $189-279 Dio Deka 3,472 No Heated Yes No Full svc. Spa 210 E. Main St. (7 mins) Upscale Rest. Elia on-site; Summit Hotel & Resorts afternoon tea

available; comp.access to nearby gym

Toll House Hotel Independent 115 1983 $184-344 3 Degrees 3,694 Yes No Yes Yes Full svc. Spa 140 S. Santa Cruz Ave. (8 mins) Rest. & Los Gatos Larkspur Collection Lounge next door;

comp. bike rentals, same-day laundry

CampbellCourtyard San Jose Upscale 162 2010 $115-205 The Bistro 1,738 Yes Yes Yes Yes655 Creekside Way (8 mins)Courtyard by Marriott

CupertinoHilton Garden Inn Cupertino Upscale 164 1998 $79-139 Great 1,650 Yes Yes Yes Yes10741 N. Wolfe Rd. (12 mins) AmericanHilton Garden Inn Grill

Cypress Hotel Upper 224 2002 $159-259 Park Place 3,625 Yes Heated No Yes Hosted wine 10050 S. De Anza Blvd. (13 mins) Upscale Rest. hourKimpton

North Forty Specific Plan

Market Study and Business Development Strategy

Page 99 of 150

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy Page 100 of 150

Table 27: Comparable Hotels with Meeting Space, Market Area (a) (cont.) Name AmenitiesLocation/Drive Time Meeting Bus. Outdoor FitnessBrand (if applicable) Class Rooms Built Rates (a) Food & Bev. Space (sf) Center Pool Hot tub Center Other

San JoseHotel Valencia Santana Row Independent 212 2003 $226-256 Citrus Rest. 3,804 Yes Yes No Yes Full svc. Ayoma355 Santana Row (8 mins) V Bar Lifespa; Valencia Group Cielo Lounge balcony rooms

available

Moorpark Hotel Upper 79 2001 $111-149 Park Bar & 1,865 Yes Heated Yes Yes Billiards loft; 4241 Moorpark Ave. (9 mins) Upscale Grill comp. wine Joie de Vivre hour

Limited Service

CampbellPruneyard Plaza Hotel Independent 171 1989 $144-244 N/A 4,090 Yes Heated Yes Yes1995 S. Bascom Ave. (9 mins)

Campbell Inn Independent 95 1985 $114-249 N/A 1,000 Yes Yes No No Tennis courts;675 E. Campbell Ave. (10 mins) comp. access

to nearby gym, bike rentals, 24-hour shuttleto SJO

CupertinoCupertino Inn Independent 125 1987 $219-239 N/A 1,720 No Heated Yes No Comp. access10889 N. De Anza Blvd. (11 mins) to nearby gym,

limo service to SJO, cocktails/hors d'ouevres nightly

Notes:(a) Includes all hotels that feature indoor meeting spaces that can accommodate groups of 50 to 500 persons seated theater style.(b) Price survey conducted on April 18, 2011. Ranges exclude ultra-luxury suites on the high end.Sources: Smith Travel Research; BAE, 2011.

Tabl

e 28

: Sum

mar

y of

Mee

ting

Spac

es a

t Com

para

ble

Hot

els,

Mar

ket A

rea

(a)

Nam

eC

apac

ity b

y C

onfig

urat

ion

Loca

tion/

Driv

e Ti

me

Mee

ting

Spac

e (a

)Si

ze (s

f)Th

eate

rC

lass

Ban

quet

Rec

eptio

n

Los

Gat

osLo

s G

atos

Lod

geE

l Gat

o R

oom

1,80

015

080

120

N/A

55 L

os G

atos

-Sar

atog

a R

d. (5

min

s)D

e A

nza

Roo

m1,

242

100

4080

N/A

Gar

den

Roo

m1,

240

9035

75N

/A

Hot

el L

os G

atos

Mon

te S

eren

o R

oom

1,90

010

080

150

200

210

E. M

ain

St.

(7 m

ins)

Sal

ons

AB

C o

r CD

E1,

225

6060

80N

/AS

alon

s B

C o

r CB

953

5040

60N

/A

Toll

Hou

se H

otel

Lark

spur

1/2

1,92

018

090

150

N/A

140

S. S

anta

Cru

z A

ve. (

8 m

ins)

Lark

spur

11,

152

100

4080

N/A

Lark

spur

275

870

3050

N/A

Din

ing

Roo

m57

650

3036

N/A

Cam

pbel

lC

ourty

ard

San

Jos

eC

ampb

ell R

oom

1,39

090

5464

N/A

655

Cre

eksi

de W

ay (8

min

s)

Pru

neya

rd P

laza

Hot

elH

arve

st R

oom

1,06

090

6590

9019

95 S

. Bas

com

Ave

. (9

min

s)O

rcha

rd R

oom

730

6040

6080

Fire

side

Atri

um81

260

3650

50

Cam

pbel

l Inn

Din

ing

Roo

m1,

000

60N

/AN

/A60

675

E. C

ampb

ell A

ve. (

10 m

ins)

Cup

ertin

oC

uper

tino

Inn

De

Anz

a R

oom

760

6040

55N

/A10

889

N. D

e A

nza

Blv

d. (1

1 m

ins)

Hilt

on G

arde

n In

n C

uper

tino

Gar

den

Roo

m A

BC

1,65

012

060

9012

010

741

N. W

olfe

Rd.

(12

min

s)G

arde

n R

oom

AB

or B

C1,

100

8040

6080

Cyp

ress

Hot

elC

ali B

allro

om3,

040

250

150

200

250

1005

0 S

. De

Anz

a B

lvd.

(13

min

s)C

ali A

, B o

r C1,

026

7030

6070

Par

kvie

w1,

245

100

5080

125

Par

kvie

w W

est

745

6030

5075

San

Jos

eH

otel

Val

enci

a S

anta

na R

owV

alen

cia

2,26

820

010

017

028

535

5 S

anta

na R

ow (8

min

s)V

alen

cia

I or I

I1,

134

100

5684

140

San

tana

768

5030

5080

Moo

rpar

k H

otel

Gen

try R

oom

1,08

660

3240

8042

41 M

oorp

ark

Ave

. (9

min

s)

Not

e:(a

) Inc

lude

s al

l spa

ces

that

can

acc

omm

odat

e a

busi

ness

mee

ting

of 5

0 to

500

per

sons

sea

ted

thea

ter s

tyle

. O

utdo

orsp

aces

are

exc

lude

d.S

ourc

e: B

AE

, 201

1.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

101

of 1

50

Day

-Use

Mee

ting

Faci

litie

s Fi

gure

18

and

Tabl

e 29

reve

al th

at th

e M

arke

t Are

a is

larg

ely

devo

id o

f ded

icat

ed, d

ay-u

se m

eetin

g fa

cilit

ies t

hat a

re d

esig

ned

for b

usin

ess u

se. 4

4 Whi

le a

num

ber o

f fac

ilitie

s exi

st th

at c

an

acco

mm

odat

e bu

sine

ss m

eetin

gs o

f 50

to 5

00 p

eopl

e, th

e bu

lk o

f the

m a

re p

ublic

ly ru

n co

mm

unity

ce

nter

s and

com

mun

ity c

olle

ges.

Tho

ugh

man

y of

thes

e pr

oper

ties w

ere

rece

ntly

con

stru

cted

or

reno

vate

d, a

nd a

ll ar

e ou

tfitte

d w

ith so

me

degr

ee o

f mee

ting

equi

pmen

t, th

ey m

ay n

ot a

ppea

r pr

ofes

sion

al e

noug

h to

app

eal t

o ce

rtain

bus

ines

s use

rs.

H

isto

ric b

uild

ings

com

pris

e th

e ne

xt la

rges

t seg

men

t of d

ay-u

se m

eetin

g sp

ace.

The

se fa

cilit

ies

incl

ude

the

Ope

ra H

ouse

and

Tes

taro

ssa

Win

ery

in L

os G

atos

, the

Foo

thill

Clu

b in

Sar

atog

a, a

nd

the

Vill

a R

agus

a in

Cam

pbel

l. H

owev

er, h

isto

ric fa

cilit

ies m

ay b

e m

ore

appr

opria

te fo

r wed

ding

s an

d so

cial

func

tions

than

they

are

for m

eetin

gs.

In o

rder

to h

old

a m

eetin

g on

-site

, bus

ines

ses

ofte

n ha

ve to

eith

er su

pply

thei

r ow

n au

diov

isua

l equ

ipm

ent o

r wor

k th

roug

h th

e fa

cilit

y to

obt

ain

it fo

r a fe

e.

44 W

hile

the

HP

Pavi

lion

is a

lso

loca

ted

with

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a, it

is n

ot li

kely

that

a lo

cal b

usin

ess l

ooki

ng to

ho

ld a

mee

ting

wou

ld v

iew

it a

s a d

esira

ble

site

. B

AE

atte

mpt

ed u

nsuc

cess

fully

on

seve

ral o

ccas

ions

to c

onta

ct

mee

ting

staf

f at t

he P

avili

on in

ord

er to

con

firm

the

user

pro

file.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

102

of 1

50

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

03 o

f 150

Figu

re 1

8: E

xist

ing

Day

-Use

Mee

ting

Faci

litie

s, M

arke

t Are

a

So

urce

: BAE

, 201

1

Table 29: Comparable Day-Use Meeting Facilities, Market Area (a) Name Capacity by ConfigurationLocation/Drive Time Description Meeting Space Size (sf) Theater Class Banquet Reception Amenities

Los GatosOpera House Banquet Facility Historic building Main Room 3,500 250 60 260 350 Comp. WiFi, 140 W. Main St. (7 mins) in downtown Mezzanine 1,400 75 30 50 190 tables, chairs,

Los Gatos dinnerware;on-site caterer

Testarossa Winery Historic vineyard Palazzio Room 1,655 80 60 120 120 Comp. WiFi, 300-A College Ave. (9 mins) near downtown tables, chairs,

Los Gatos dinnerware,non-alcoholic drinks; meetingequipmentavailable (fee);wine discounts

Jewish Community Center Modern community Auditorium 4,000 450 N/A 250 N/A Meeting14855 Oka Rd. (1 min) center across equipment

Hwy. 17 from the avalable;North 40 on-site caterer;

kosher only

CampbellVilla Ragusa Historic building East Gallery Combo 8,700 600 500 475 N/A Comp. tables, 35 S. Second St. (9 mins) in downtown West Gallery Combo 7,000 500 350 350 N/A chairs,

Campbell East Gallery 5,000 450 350 250 N/A dinnerware;Campbell Gallery 3,700 275 175 175 N/A full commercialWest Gallery 3,200 275 175 175 N/A kitchen; meeting

equipment available (fee)

CupertinoDe Anza College Community Main Dining Room 10,080 528 450 450 N/A21250 Stevens Creek Blvd. (12 mins) college w/ renov. Conference A/B 5,022 400 280 280 N/A

meeting spaces Conference A 2,494 150 72 72 N/Aavailable for rent Conference B 3,132 200 125 125 N/A

Fireside Lounge 2,250 90 120 120 N/A

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy Page 104 of 150

Table 29: Comparable Day-Use Meeting Facilities, Market Area (a) (cont.)

Name Capacity by ConfigurationLocation/Drive Time Description Meeting Space Size (sf) Theater Class Banquet Reception Amenities

Community Hall Modern, City- Community Room N/A 170 50 152 320 Comp. tables,10350 Torre Ave. (13 mins) owned event chairs; meeting

facility in Civic equipmentCenter; doubles available;as Council catering kitchen;chambers; built green room2007

Quinlan Community Center City-owned Cupertino Room 4,000 300 100 275 300 Comp. tables,10185 N. Stelling Rd. (13 mins) community center; Social Room 875 80 50 80 100 chairs; meeting

doubles as City equipmentoffices and available;multipurpose full svc. kitchenspace; built 1990

San JoseCamden Community Center City-owned Multiuse Room 4,200 300 200 250 400 Comp. tables,3369 Union Ave. (6 mins) community center; chairs; meeting

renov. 2006 equipmentavailable

SaratogaSaratoga Community Center City-owned Multipurpose Room 3,250 300 200 200 300 Comp. tables,19655 Allendale Ave. (10 mins) community/senior Senior Center Room 2,200 200 125 125 200 chairs; projector

center in Civic available; 2 fullCenter svc. kitchens

Saratoga Foothill Club Historic social hall Main Room N/A 200 N/A 150 150 Comp. tables,20399 Park Pl. (12 mins) near downtown chairs; full svc.

Saratoga; redwood kitcheninteriors; designedby Julia Morgan

North Forty Specific Plan

Market Study and Business Development Strategy

Page 105 of 150

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy Page 106 of 150

Table 29: Comparable Day-Use Meeting Facilities, Market Area (a) (cont.) Name Capacity by ConfigurationLocation/Drive Time Description Meeting Space Size (sf) Theater Class Banquet Reception Amenities

Saratoga Prospect Center City-owned event Friendship Hall 2,264 250 150 150 250 Comp. tables,19848 Prospect Rd. (13 mins) facility; built 2009 Main Room 2,200 75 30 30 75 chairs; projector

available; full svc. kitchen inFriendship Hall; kitchenette in Main Room

Note:(a) Includes all facilities within the Hospitality Market Area that provide an appropriate venue for a corporate meeting or event for 50 to 500 persons seated theater-style. Auditoriums, restaurants, libraries, and informal facilities such as rec halls and lodges were excluded.Sources: Here Comes the Guid e; BAE, 2011.

Dem

and

from

Maj

or E

mpl

oyer

s It

is a

ssum

ed th

at th

e pr

imar

y so

urce

of d

eman

d fo

r mee

ting

faci

litie

s on

the

Nor

th 4

0 w

ould

be

near

by fi

rms o

r org

aniz

atio

ns th

at re

quire

spac

e fo

r lar

ge g

roup

act

iviti

es, s

uch

as se

min

ars,

sale

s m

eetin

gs, a

nd tr

ade

show

s. T

able

2 in

the

Site

Des

crip

tion

sect

ion

lists

maj

or p

rivat

e- a

nd p

ublic

-se

ctor

em

ploy

ers l

ocat

ed w

ithin

the

Mar

ket A

rea

in o

rder

of d

ista

nce

from

the

subj

ect s

ite.

As d

iscu

ssed

abo

ve, m

edic

al c

ente

rs a

ccou

nt fo

r a si

gnifi

cant

shar

e of

em

ploy

men

t in

the

proj

ect

vici

nity

. G

ood

Sam

arita

n H

ospi

tal,

Col

umbi

a H

ealth

Car

e/M

issi

on O

aks H

ospi

tal,

El C

amin

o H

ospi

tal L

os G

atos

, San

ta C

lara

Val

ley

Med

ical

Cen

ter,

and

O’C

onno

r Hos

pita

l all

lie w

ithin

a

ten-

min

ute

driv

ing

radi

us.

Col

lect

ivel

y, th

is c

onst

ella

tion

of c

ore

heal

th c

are

prov

ider

s em

ploy

s ov

er 1

0,00

0 pe

ople

. Ta

king

into

con

side

ratio

n th

e cl

uste

rs o

f med

ical

off

ices

and

labs

that

ag

glom

erat

e ar

ound

eac

h ho

spita

l, he

alth

car

e is

a m

ajor

eco

nom

ic fo

rce

in th

e W

est V

alle

y—on

e th

at g

rew

by

over

two

perc

ent a

nnua

lly C

ount

ywid

e be

twee

n 20

00 a

nd 2

009.

W

hile

San

ta C

lara

Val

ley

Med

ical

Cen

ter a

nd O

’Con

nor H

ospi

tal a

re si

tuat

ed c

lose

r to

mee

ting

hote

ls in

Cam

pbel

l and

San

Jose

, as w

ell a

s Cam

pbel

l’s V

illa

Rag

usa,

the

Nor

th 4

0 is

idea

lly

situ

ated

to se

rve

Goo

d Sa

mar

itan,

Mis

sion

Oak

s, an

d El

Cam

ino’

s Los

Gat

os c

ampu

s. In

terv

iew

s w

ith m

eetin

g pl

anne

rs fr

om G

ood

Sam

arita

n an

d El

Cam

ino

Hos

pita

l ind

icat

e th

at w

hile

El

Cam

ino

gene

rate

s litt

le d

eman

d fo

r off

-site

mee

ting

spac

e, G

ood

Sam

arita

n co

nduc

ts a

n av

erag

e of

tw

o of

f-si

te m

eetin

gs p

er q

uarte

r. T

hese

incl

ude

boar

d m

eetin

gs, d

irect

or m

eetin

gs, u

nion

-ba

rgai

ning

sess

ions

, and

oth

er e

vent

s. G

ood

Sam

arita

n cu

rren

tly u

ses t

he T

oll H

ouse

Hot

el fo

r co

nven

tiona

l mee

tings

bec

ause

of i

ts p

roxi

mity

, but

ofte

n lo

oks u

p to

15

mile

s aw

ay fo

r ven

ues t

o ho

st it

s dire

ctor

mee

tings

, whi

ch re

quire

an

ambi

ence

that

app

eals

to e

xecu

tive

clie

ntel

e. H

igh-

end

mee

tings

mak

e up

the

bulk

of o

ff-s

ite e

vent

s gen

erat

ed b

y th

e ho

spita

l. In

add

ition

to h

ealth

car

e, T

able

2 sh

ows t

hat i

nfor

mat

ion

tech

nolo

gy is

the

othe

r key

priv

ate

empl

oym

ent e

ngin

e in

the

Mar

ket A

rea.

Los

Gat

os it

self

hous

es a

por

tion

of V

eriz

on’s

cor

pora

te

offic

es a

nd th

e he

adqu

arte

rs o

f ris

ing

e-co

mm

erce

pow

erho

use

Net

flix,

loca

ted

only

a fe

w m

inut

es

from

the

Nor

th 4

0. H

owev

er, t

he la

rges

t clu

ster

s of t

ech

firm

s with

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a ar

e lo

cate

d in

Cup

ertin

o an

d Sa

n Jo

se.

In

San

Jose

, the

Mar

ket A

rea

enca

psul

ates

the

offic

es o

f eB

ay a

nd X

ilinx

—a

sem

icon

duct

or

desi

gner

—w

hile

exc

ludi

ng th

e bu

lk o

f the

city

’s te

ch fi

rms,

whi

ch a

re lo

cate

d do

wnt

own

and

in

Nor

th S

an Jo

se.

Nev

erth

eles

s, bo

th o

f the

se fi

rms h

ave

the

pote

ntia

l to

gene

rate

dem

and

for N

orth

40

mee

ting

spac

e, p

artic

ular

ly X

ilinx

, who

se C

ambr

ian

Park

off

ices

are

loca

ted

in re

lativ

e is

olat

ion

from

mos

t of t

he V

alle

y’s b

usin

ess s

ervi

ces.

In a

dditi

on, C

uper

tino

is h

ome

to th

e w

orld

wid

e he

adqu

arte

rs o

f App

le a

s wel

l as o

ffic

es o

f Red

woo

d C

ity-b

ased

Ora

cle

and

smal

ler s

oftw

are

com

pani

es su

ch a

s Tre

nd M

icro

and

Peg

asys

tem

s.45

Whi

le th

ese

firm

s and

oth

ers a

mou

nt to

a

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

07 o

f 150

45 W

hile

HP

curr

ently

hou

ses a

ppro

xim

atel

y 3,

000

empl

oyee

s in

Cup

ertin

o, th

e co

mpa

ny h

as a

nnou

nced

pla

ns

to re

loca

te th

ose

jobs

to P

alo

Alto

by

the

end

of 2

012;

App

le In

c. h

as re

cent

ly a

nnou

nced

pla

ns to

rede

velo

p th

e

sign

ifica

nt n

ode

with

in S

ilico

n V

alle

y’s i

nnov

atio

n ec

onom

y, C

uper

tino

is re

lativ

ely

satu

rate

d w

ith

both

hot

el a

nd d

ay-u

se m

eetin

g op

tions

, and

will

onl

y be

com

e m

ore

so o

nce

mee

ting

hote

ls n

ow in

th

e pi

pelin

e be

com

e av

aila

ble.

H

P si

te fo

r a n

ew c

orpo

rate

cam

pus t

hat c

ould

ulti

mat

e pe

rmit

the

com

pany

to h

ouse

up

to 1

2,00

0 em

ploy

ees i

n C

uper

tino

.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

108

of 1

50

Op

po

rtu

nit

ies

& S

tra

teg

ies

fo

r D

ev

elo

pm

en

t

Ove

rvie

w

The

Nor

th 4

0 si

te, a

t the

inte

rsec

tion

of tw

o m

ajor

free

way

s in

a m

ajor

met

ropo

litan

are

a, in

a

loca

le w

ith a

ver

y st

rong

dem

ogra

phic

pro

file,

is e

xtre

mel

y w

ell-s

ituat

ed to

cap

ture

reta

il sa

les a

nd

othe

r bus

ines

s fro

m re

side

nts o

f Los

Gat

os a

nd o

ther

nea

rby

com

mun

ities

, and

bey

ond.

Giv

en th

e si

te’s

stro

ng lo

catio

nal a

ttrib

utes

, it i

s lik

ely

that

any

of a

bro

ad ra

nge

of b

usin

ess t

ypes

wou

ld b

e ve

ry su

cces

sful

at s

ite.

How

ever

, Los

Gat

os re

side

nts a

nd e

lect

ed o

ffic

ials

are

legi

timat

ely

conc

erne

d ab

out i

mpa

cts o

n ot

her b

usin

esse

s in

the

Tow

n, p

artic

ular

ly th

e D

ownt

own

Cor

e w

hich

is

a m

ajor

ass

et o

f the

Tow

n, a

nd se

eks u

ses t

hat w

ould

be

com

plem

enta

ry to

the

Dow

ntow

n. T

he

Tow

n al

so d

esire

s to

pres

erve

its s

mal

l-tow

n ch

arac

ter,

as st

ated

in it

s Gen

eral

Pla

n. T

he G

ener

al

Plan

als

o st

ates

, tho

ugh,

that

ther

e is

ove

rall

com

mun

ity c

onse

nsus

that

the

tow

n be

a “

full-

serv

ice

com

mun

ity th

at is

als

o en

viro

nmen

tally

sens

itive

” an

d sh

ould

“su

ppor

t an

activ

e bu

sine

ss

com

mun

ity th

at p

rovi

des a

wid

e va

riety

of g

oods

and

serv

ices

and

a b

road

rang

e of

em

ploy

men

t op

portu

nitie

s, m

inim

izin

g th

e ne

ed to

trav

el to

oth

er c

omm

uniti

es.”

46 T

he p

roce

ss o

f dev

elop

ing

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te is

in la

rge

part

a pr

oces

s of b

alan

cing

the

goal

s of r

etai

ning

the

Tow

n’s s

mal

l-to

wn

char

acte

r whi

le e

xpan

ding

the

busi

ness

com

mun

ity su

ch th

at L

os G

atos

resi

dent

s hav

e le

ss

need

to tr

avel

els

ewhe

re fo

r goo

ds a

nd se

rvic

es.

Th

e G

ener

al P

lan

EIR

pro

vide

s gen

eral

gui

delin

es fo

r the

cur

rent

Nor

th 4

0 Sp

ecifi

c Pl

an P

roce

ss:

Com

plem

ent a

nd n

ot c

ompe

te w

ith L

os G

atos

’ Dow

ntow

n an

d th

e re

st o

f the

com

mun

ity.

• B

e ba

sed

on su

stai

nabl

e an

d “s

mar

t” d

evel

opm

ent p

ract

ices

. •

Inco

rpor

ate

mix

ed-u

se d

evel

opm

ent w

ith re

side

ntia

l use

s to

the

sout

h an

d re

tail

mix

ed-u

se to

the

north

. •

Incl

ude

a pl

aza

at th

e ce

nter

of t

he m

ixed

-use

are

a an

d a

park

at t

he c

ente

r of t

he re

side

ntia

l are

a.

• Pr

ovid

e fo

r a v

arie

ty o

f res

iden

tial h

ousi

ng ty

pes,

both

rent

al a

nd o

wne

r occ

upie

d.

• Pr

ovid

e at

leas

t 150

uni

ts o

f hou

sing

aff

orda

ble

to h

ouse

hold

s at t

he m

oder

ate

inco

me

leve

l or

belo

w.

• In

clud

e hi

gh-q

ualit

y ar

chite

ctur

e an

d de

sign

that

refle

cts t

he ru

ral a

nd a

gric

ultu

ral h

isto

ry o

f the

site

. •

Prov

ide

pede

stria

n-or

ient

ed b

uild

ings

alo

ng th

e Lo

s Gat

os B

oule

vard

fron

tage

, with

min

imal

pa

rkin

g or

ient

ed to

the

stre

et.

• Ta

ke a

dvan

tage

of t

he g

rade

cha

nge

acro

ss th

e si

te b

y in

clud

ing

split

-leve

l bui

ldin

gs th

at a

llow

for

two

floor

s of r

etai

l and

“tu

ck u

nder

” pa

rkin

g.

• C

ontin

ue th

e “b

oule

vard

trea

tmen

t” a

long

Los

Gat

os B

oule

vard

, with

inte

rcon

nect

ions

from

one

pa

rcel

’s d

rive

aisl

e to

the

next

.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

09 o

f 150

46 T

own

of L

os G

atos

202

0 G

ener

al P

lan,

pre

pare

d fo

r the

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os, p

repa

red

by D

esig

n, C

omm

unity

&

Env

ironm

ent,

Janu

ary

7, 2

011,

p. V

IS-1

.

• In

clud

e co

nnec

tions

to e

xist

ing

inte

rsec

tions

alo

ng L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd a

nd L

ark

Ave

nue.

Dev

elop

gat

eway

or l

andm

ark

feat

ures

at L

os G

atos

Bou

leva

rd a

nd L

ark

Ave

nue,

and

at L

os G

atos

B

oule

vard

and

the

Hig

hway

85

off r

amp.

Prov

ide

an e

asily

acc

essi

ble,

fully

con

nect

ed st

reet

net

wor

k th

at e

ncou

rage

s wal

king

. •

Prov

ide

a ve

geta

tive

buff

er a

nd sc

reen

ing

alon

g H

ighw

ays 1

7 an

d 85

. •

Pres

erve

Tow

n ch

arac

ter a

nd v

iew

s, in

clud

ing:

Pres

ervi

ng v

iew

s of t

he h

ills f

rom

Hig

hway

s 17

and

85.

Li

mit

build

ing

heig

hts t

o a

two-

stor

y m

axim

um a

long

Los

Gat

os B

oule

vard

.

Lim

it bu

ildin

g he

ight

s to

a fo

ur-s

tory

max

imum

on

mos

t of t

he si

te.

Pr

ovid

e fo

r the

pos

sibl

e de

velo

pmen

t of a

max

imum

five

stor

y ho

tel.47

Th

e G

ener

al P

lan,

for t

he p

urpo

ses o

f its

EIR

, des

crib

es a

max

imum

bui

ldab

le e

nvel

ope

for t

he si

te

to a

sses

s im

pact

s and

gui

de fu

ture

dev

elop

men

t. T

he st

ated

land

use

mix

pro

vide

s for

max

imum

ca

paci

ty o

f 750

hou

sing

uni

ts a

nd 5

80,0

00 sq

uare

feet

of r

etai

l and

off

ice

uses

on

the

site

, as w

ell a

s a

hote

l. T

he u

ltim

atel

y ap

prov

ed p

lan

may

pro

vide

for a

low

er d

ensi

ty o

f dev

elop

men

t. Th

e fo

llow

ing

disc

ussi

on o

f pot

entia

l ret

ail,

offic

e, h

otel

, and

con

fere

nce

cent

er o

ppor

tuni

ties i

s in

the

cont

ext o

f bot

h th

e m

arke

t ass

essm

ent a

nd th

ese

Tow

n gu

idel

ines

for t

he N

orth

40

site

. R

etai

l Dev

elop

men

t Opp

ortu

nitie

s La

rge-

Form

at R

etai

l Th

e re

tail

anal

ysis

not

ed se

vera

l gap

s in

the

over

all r

etai

l mix

in L

os G

atos

, whe

re th

ere

wou

ld b

e op

portu

nitie

s to

broa

den

the

Tow

n’s r

etai

l bas

e. T

he tw

o m

ajor

cat

egor

ies w

ith su

bsta

ntia

l lea

kage

ar

e ge

nera

l mer

chan

dise

stor

es a

nd b

uild

ing

mat

eria

ls st

ores

. In

par

ticul

ar, t

he T

own

is la

ckin

g in

a

larg

e de

partm

ent s

tore

(dis

coun

t/goo

d va

lue

such

as T

arge

t or N

ords

trom

Rac

k or

regu

lar,

such

as

Nor

dstro

m M

acy’

s, or

JC P

enne

y), a

nd a

hom

e im

prov

emen

t cen

ter s

uch

as H

ome

Dep

ot.

Whi

le

som

e of

the

item

s sto

cked

by

thes

e st

ores

can

be

foun

d at

loca

l dru

g st

ores

, har

dwar

e st

ores

, and

ot

her o

utle

ts, t

he le

vel o

f lea

kage

con

firm

s tha

t Tow

n re

side

nts a

re le

avin

g Lo

s Gat

os to

shop

at

larg

er st

ores

such

as T

arge

t or m

all d

epar

tmen

t sto

res t

hat c

arry

a b

road

rang

e of

goo

ds.

Los G

atos

al

so h

as li

mite

d sa

les i

n st

ores

car

ryin

g m

ajor

app

lianc

es, s

uch

as B

est B

uy, S

ears

, or W

este

rn

App

lianc

e. A

s not

ed th

e lik

ely

cand

idat

es a

re la

rge-

form

at st

ores

whi

ch u

sual

ly re

quire

larg

e flo

or

plat

es48

, suc

h as

Tar

get,

Low

e’s,

or B

est B

uy.49

Whi

le th

ese

stor

es w

ould

be

com

plem

enta

ry to

the

47 T

own

of L

os G

atos

202

0 G

ener

al P

lan,

pre

pare

d fo

r the

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os, p

repa

red

by D

esig

n, C

omm

unity

&

Env

ironm

ent,

Janu

ary

7, 2

011,

pp.

3-2

1 to

3-2

3.

48 In

the

cont

ext o

f the

reta

il sp

ace

inve

ntor

y in

Los

Gat

os, l

arge

-for

mat

reta

il is

def

ined

her

e as

stor

es re

quiri

ng

30,0

00 sq

uare

feet

or m

ore

of sp

ace.

49

Eve

n th

ough

ther

e is

a T

arge

t nea

rby

in S

an Jo

se, t

his s

ite is

a st

rong

er lo

catio

n, a

nd if

the

mar

ket i

s stro

ng

enou

gh, T

arge

t will

bui

ld st

ores

in c

lose

pro

xim

ity.

One

exa

mpl

e is

in th

e Ea

st B

ay, w

here

Tar

get r

ecen

tly

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

110

of 1

50

exis

ting

reta

il m

ix in

the

Tow

n, a

nd w

ould

be

less

like

ly to

com

pete

with

exi

stin

g st

ores

, esp

ecia

lly

thos

e D

ownt

own,

it is

cle

ar th

at sa

tisfy

ing

this

reta

il de

man

d w

hile

reta

inin

g th

e To

wn’

s sm

all-

tow

n ch

arac

ter a

nd m

eetin

g th

e ge

nera

l gui

delin

es fo

r dev

elop

men

t on

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te re

pres

ents

a

com

plex

bal

anci

ng a

ct.

His

toric

ally

, the

com

pani

es o

pera

ting

thes

e st

ores

pre

fer l

arge

floo

r pla

tes o

n a

sing

le fl

oor w

ith

exte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pa

rkin

g, b

ut in

rece

nt y

ears

they

hav

e sh

own

mor

e fle

xibi

lity

in st

ore

conf

igur

atio

n in

ord

er to

ent

er d

esira

ble

unde

rser

ved

mar

kets

whe

re la

rge

vaca

nt p

arce

ls a

re

unav

aila

ble

for t

radi

tiona

l lar

ge-f

orm

at re

tail

deve

lopm

ent,

parti

cula

rly in

bui

lt ou

t urb

aniz

ed a

reas

. A

ppen

dix

G p

rese

nts s

ever

al e

xam

ples

of s

tore

s on

mul

tiple

-flo

or st

ore

spac

es a

nd in

mix

-use

co

nfig

urat

ions

acr

oss t

he n

atio

n, in

clud

ing

Targ

et, W

alm

art,

Bes

t Buy

, Hom

e D

epot

, and

Who

le

Food

s in

seve

ral m

ajor

U.S

. citi

es.

In a

noth

er m

ore

loca

l exa

mpl

e, in

San

Fra

ncis

co T

arge

t rec

ently

be

gan

reno

vatio

ns to

bui

ld a

smal

ler-

form

at st

ore

of a

ppro

xim

atel

y 85

,000

squa

re fe

et in

the

Met

reon

com

plex

in S

an F

ranc

isco

. W

hile

Los

Gat

os re

pres

ents

a le

ss u

rban

mar

ket t

han

thes

e ex

ampl

es, T

arge

t has

bui

lt st

ores

in a

two-

stor

y co

nfig

urat

ion

else

whe

re in

mor

e su

burb

an lo

catio

ns

in th

e B

ay A

rea,

incl

udin

g th

e st

ore

in A

lban

y in

the

East

Bay

. A

maj

or h

ome

impr

ovem

ent s

tore

is

pro

babl

y no

t sui

tabl

e fo

r thi

s site

giv

en d

esig

n an

d si

te c

onst

rain

ts, b

ut e

ven

Low

e’s h

as

cons

truct

ed a

t lea

st o

ne st

ore

in a

hor

izon

tal m

ixed

use

con

figur

atio

n; in

Cha

rlotte

, NC

, the

re is

a

Low

e’s p

rovi

ding

roof

top

park

ing

whi

ch is

buf

fere

d fr

om a

resi

dent

ial n

eigh

borh

ood

by

tow

nhou

ses o

n tw

o si

des.

Sp

ecia

lty F

ood

For s

peci

alty

food

stor

es su

ch a

s mea

t mar

kets

and

pro

duce

mar

kets

, a c

onfig

urat

ion

sim

ilar t

o M

arke

t Hal

l in

the

Roc

krid

ge n

eigh

borh

ood

in N

orth

Oak

land

whe

re sh

oppe

rs c

an w

alk

thro

ugh

mul

tiple

stor

es u

nder

one

roof

, or i

nste

ad w

ith e

ach

stor

e or

ient

ed m

ore

tow

ard

the

side

wal

k an

d st

reet

, sho

uld

prov

ide

an a

ppro

pria

te sc

ale

of b

uild

ing

deve

lopm

ent f

or th

is c

ompo

nent

. Th

is ty

pe

of u

se, a

long

with

som

e sm

alle

r per

sona

l ser

vice

bus

ines

ses,

or o

ther

loca

l-ser

ving

bus

ines

ses,

wou

ld a

lso

be su

ppor

ted

by re

side

nts o

f any

new

hou

sing

dev

elop

ed o

n th

e N

orth

40

site

, en

hanc

ing

the

pede

stria

n or

ient

atio

n of

the

deve

lopm

ent.

Alth

ough

ther

e is

som

e ris

k th

at sp

ecia

lty

food

mar

kets

cou

ld c

anni

baliz

e sa

les f

rom

the

exis

ting

supe

rmar

kets

, the

y w

ould

als

o en

hanc

e Lo

s G

atos

Bou

leva

rd’s

pos

ition

as a

gro

cery

des

tinat

ion

and

thus

may

attr

act a

dditi

onal

food

shop

pers

to

Los

Gat

os.

Fo

rmul

a R

etai

l Th

e re

tail

anal

ysis

indi

cate

d th

at w

hile

form

ula

reta

ilers

con

stitu

te a

smal

l per

cent

age

of st

ores

in

the

Dow

ntow

n, th

ey a

ccou

nt fo

r a si

gnifi

cant

ly h

ighe

r per

cent

age

of re

tail

sale

s, es

peci

ally

in th

e ap

pare

l and

hom

e fu

rnis

hing

s/ap

plia

nces

cat

egor

y. G

iven

the

build

able

env

elop

e of

com

mer

cial

sp

ace

at th

e N

orth

40

site

, eve

n if

som

e la

rger

gen

eral

mer

chan

dise

or a

pplia

nce

stor

es lo

cate

in th

e pr

ojec

t alo

ng w

ith so

me

smal

l spe

cial

ty a

nd lo

cal-s

ervi

ng b

usin

esse

s, th

ere

is th

e po

tent

ial f

or

cons

ider

ably

mor

e re

tail

spac

e. A

s not

ed p

revi

ousl

y, th

e lo

catio

n at

the

inte

rsec

tion

of tw

o m

ajor

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

11 o

f 150

open

ed a

stor

e in

Em

eryv

ille,

onl

y a

few

min

ute’

s driv

e tim

e fr

om it

s Alb

any

stor

e. I

n C

olm

a/D

aly

City

, Ta

rget

has

stor

es e

ven

clos

er to

geth

er, o

n op

posi

te si

des o

f the

sam

e hi

ghw

ay in

terc

hang

e.

free

way

s ind

icat

es th

at th

is is

a p

rime

loca

tion

for r

egio

n-se

rvin

g re

tail,

whi

ch c

ould

take

the

form

of

add

ition

al fo

rmul

a re

tail

stor

es.

A

s the

Dow

ntow

n fo

cus h

as b

een

to re

tain

and

exp

and

its sm

all t

own

appe

al, i

t may

ulti

mat

ely

beco

me

even

mor

e fo

cuse

d on

inde

pend

ent s

tore

s as i

t rep

ositi

ons.

If th

e To

wn,

how

ever

, is

proa

ctiv

e in

con

tinui

ng to

sche

dule

con

certs

, far

mer

s mar

kets

, and

oth

er e

vent

s Dow

ntow

n, a

s wel

l as

wor

king

with

the

deve

lope

r of t

he N

orth

40

site

on

coor

dina

ted

mar

ketin

g ef

forts

, the

impa

cts

mig

ht b

e su

ffic

ient

ly m

itiga

ted.

The

Dow

ntow

n w

ould

still

pro

vide

an

attra

ctiv

e sh

oppi

ng a

nd

dini

ng d

estin

atio

n; R

ockr

idge

Ave

nue

or P

iedm

ont A

venu

e in

Nor

th O

akla

nd p

rovi

de e

xam

ples

of

succ

essf

ul re

tail

dist

ricts

with

ver

y lit

tle fo

rmul

a re

tail.

Th

e st

reng

ths o

f the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te a

s a re

gion

al d

estin

atio

n w

ith st

rong

dem

ogra

phic

s sho

uld

prov

ide

the

ince

ntiv

e fo

r ret

aile

rs to

be

mor

e fle

xibl

e as

to h

ow a

stor

e is

scal

ed a

nd c

onfig

ured

, su

ch th

at th

e de

sign

is d

eem

ed a

ppro

pria

te fo

r the

Tow

n an

d do

es n

ot g

ive

the

appe

aran

ce o

f a

subu

rban

pow

er c

ente

r. F

or th

is p

artic

ular

site

, the

larg

er re

tail

uses

shou

ld b

e co

nfig

ured

on

the

north

end

of t

he si

te w

ith a

ny o

ther

larg

e us

ers (

e.g.

, hot

el),

with

smal

ler m

ixed

-use

, suc

h as

bu

ildin

gs c

onta

inin

g sp

ecia

lty fo

od o

r oth

er sm

alle

r sho

ps w

ith o

ffic

e or

resi

denc

es a

bove

, cou

ld

act a

s a b

uffe

r for

mor

e re

side

ntia

l are

as.

M

ovie

The

ater

s/En

tert

ainm

ent C

ente

r O

ne c

omm

erci

al u

se th

at h

as n

ot b

een

expl

ored

in th

is re

port

but w

as m

entio

ned

in th

e ke

y in

form

ant i

nter

view

s is t

he p

oten

tial f

or a

new

mov

ie th

eate

r/ent

erta

inm

ent c

ompl

ex.

Dow

ntow

n Lo

s Gat

os h

as a

smal

l mov

ie th

eate

r, bu

t the

Tow

n m

ight

ben

efit

from

add

ition

al sc

reen

s off

erin

g a

broa

der v

arie

ty o

f mov

ies;

som

e th

eate

r-go

ers a

t the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te m

ight

als

o ch

oose

to d

ine

in th

e D

ownt

own,

esp

ecia

lly if

cro

ss-p

rom

otio

nal e

ffor

ts a

re u

nder

take

n. I

n ad

ditio

n to

mov

ie th

eate

rs,

ther

e m

ay b

e op

portu

nitie

s to

inco

rpor

ate

othe

r lar

ger f

amily

ent

erta

inm

ent v

enue

s suc

h as

a

bow

ling

alle

y, a

rock

clim

bing

gym

, an

indo

or sp

orts

cen

ter,

or si

mila

r oth

er re

crea

tion-

rela

ted

uses

. W

hile

the

anal

ysis

her

e ha

s not

cov

ered

thes

e us

es, t

he d

evel

oper

s sho

uld

expl

ore

the

pote

ntia

l for

such

use

s at t

he N

orth

40

site

. Th

e D

ownt

own

thea

ter h

as re

cent

ly se

en a

n ow

ners

hip

chan

ge, a

nd T

own

staf

f rep

ort t

hat p

lans

are

to c

onve

rt ba

ck to

a si

ngle

aud

itoriu

m, a

nd re

purp

ose

it su

ch th

at it

is a

lso

avai

labl

e as

a lo

cal p

erfo

rmin

g ar

ts o

r mee

ting

spac

e.

Sum

mar

y of

Ret

ail O

ppor

tuni

ties

The

dow

ntow

n th

eate

r iss

ue e

pito

miz

es so

me

of th

e is

sues

that

nee

d to

be

cons

ider

ed in

co

nsid

erin

g th

e ba

lanc

e be

twee

n th

e ex

istin

g bu

sine

sses

in L

os G

atos

, and

gro

win

g th

e ov

eral

l bu

sine

ss b

ase

to th

e be

nefit

of t

he e

ntire

Tow

n an

d w

ith re

spec

t to

bein

g ab

le to

pro

vide

a g

reat

er

varie

ty o

f sho

ppin

g op

portu

nitie

s. S

ome

of th

e ke

y fa

ctor

s to

cons

ider

in th

is b

alan

cing

act

are

as

follo

ws:

• W

hile

man

y of

thes

e re

tail

and

ente

rtain

men

t use

s wou

ld g

ener

ally

be

com

plem

enta

ry to

th

e D

ownt

own,

it is

impo

rtant

to re

cogn

ize

that

it w

ould

be

virtu

ally

impo

ssib

le to

find

a

reta

il us

e th

at w

ould

not

com

pete

at l

east

som

ewha

t with

exi

stin

g st

ores

in th

e D

ownt

own

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

112

of 1

50

and

else

whe

re in

Los

Gat

os.

For e

xam

ple,

Tar

get s

tore

s ofte

n in

clud

e a

phar

mac

y, w

hich

co

uld

com

pete

with

exi

stin

g dr

ug st

ores

in T

own,

and

Bes

t Buy

sells

a se

lect

ion

of A

pple

pr

oduc

ts.

How

ever

, the

four

nei

ghbo

rhoo

d ce

nter

s wou

ld p

roba

bly

be re

lativ

ely

unaf

fect

ed

by re

gion

-ser

ving

use

s at t

he N

orth

40

site

, sin

ce th

ey a

re st

rong

ly o

rient

ed to

war

d ne

ighb

orho

od c

onve

nien

ce sh

oppi

ng.

The

Dow

ntow

n’s u

niqu

e ch

arac

ter i

s bas

ed o

n th

e la

rge

varie

ty o

f and

mix

of i

ndep

ende

nt

shop

s in

smal

ler s

pace

s cre

atin

g a

smal

l-tow

n at

mos

pher

e, w

ith a

lim

ited

num

ber o

f fo

rmul

a re

tail

busi

ness

es.

How

ever

, the

form

ula

reta

il cu

rren

tly lo

cate

d in

the

Cor

e ac

coun

ts fo

r a si

gnifi

cant

per

cent

age

of re

tail

sale

s, an

d dr

aws s

hopp

ers t

hat m

ay a

lso

patro

nize

the

inde

pend

ent s

tore

s. T

o th

e ex

tent

that

new

dev

elop

men

t at t

he N

orth

40

coul

d ca

use

any

form

ula

reta

ilers

to re

loca

te fr

om D

ownt

own,

this

cou

ld h

ave

impa

cts o

n re

mai

ning

bus

ines

ses t

here

, and

may

requ

ire a

djus

tmen

ts th

at c

ould

be

less

pro

blem

atic

if

the

chan

ge is

mor

e gr

adua

l.

• Th

e N

orth

40

also

has

the

pote

ntia

l to

serv

e as

a h

ospi

talit

y di

stric

t ser

ving

nea

rby

med

ical

fa

cilit

ies,

offic

es, a

nd c

linic

s bor

derin

g Lo

s Gat

os in

San

Jose

. N

eigh

borh

ood

and

conv

enie

nce

reta

il, a

long

with

lodg

ing

and

mee

ting

spac

e, w

ould

be

attra

ctiv

e to

the

area

’s

robu

st m

edic

al c

omm

unity

sinc

e it

is w

ithin

a sh

ort w

alk

or d

rive

acro

ss L

os G

atos

B

oule

vard

.

• If

the

Nor

th 4

0 is

dev

elop

ed a

s mix

ed u

se, t

here

will

be

syne

rgie

s ben

efic

ial t

o al

l the

use

s.

For e

xam

ple,

loca

l res

iden

ces w

ould

ben

efit

from

reta

il th

at c

ould

acc

esse

d on

foot

rath

er

than

by

auto

mob

ile.

Ente

rtain

men

t use

s wou

ld b

enef

it fr

om n

earb

y re

stau

rant

s or s

hops

, as

wou

ld a

hot

el/c

onfe

renc

e ce

nter

use

. O

ffic

e us

es m

ight

allo

w fo

r sha

red

park

ing

with

re

tail.

Th

e st

reng

ths o

f the

Nor

th 4

0 si

te a

s a re

gion

al d

estin

atio

n w

ith st

rong

dem

ogra

phic

s sho

uld

prov

ide

the

ince

ntiv

e fo

r ret

aile

rs to

be

mor

e fle

xibl

e as

to h

ow a

stor

e is

scal

ed a

nd c

onfig

ured

, su

ch th

at th

e de

sign

is d

eem

ed a

ppro

pria

te fo

r the

Tow

n an

d do

es n

ot g

ive

the

appe

aran

ce o

f a

subu

rban

pow

er c

ente

r. F

or th

is p

artic

ular

site

, the

larg

er re

tail

uses

shou

ld b

e co

nfig

ured

on

the

north

end

of t

he si

te w

ith a

ny o

ther

larg

e us

ers (

e.g.

, hot

el),

with

smal

ler m

ixed

-use

, suc

h as

bu

ildin

gs c

onta

inin

g sp

ecia

lty fo

od o

r oth

er sm

alle

r sho

ps w

ith o

ffic

e or

resi

denc

es a

bove

, cou

ld

act a

s a b

uffe

r for

mor

e re

side

ntia

l are

as.

In

sum

mar

y, th

ere

is n

o “i

deal

wor

ld”

solu

tion

that

will

per

fect

ly m

eet a

ll th

e va

rious

goa

ls o

f the

Lo

s Gat

os c

omm

unity

– a

ny c

omm

erci

al la

nd u

se p

rodu

ct c

omes

with

som

e le

vel o

f bot

h bu

sine

ss

risk

and

a ne

ed fo

r adj

ustm

ent a

s exi

stin

g bu

sine

sses

adj

ust t

o ac

com

mod

ate

and

com

pete

with

new

re

tail

user

s. C

hang

e re

pres

ents

bot

h ris

k an

d op

portu

nity

. H

opef

ully

, the

Spe

cific

Pla

n pr

oces

s w

ill le

ad to

thou

ghtfu

l con

side

ratio

n of

thes

e is

sues

as t

he p

lann

ing

and

deve

lopm

ent p

roce

ss

cont

inue

s.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

113

of 1

50

Ret

ail D

evel

opm

ent S

trat

egie

s D

evel

opin

g U

ses

Com

plem

enta

ry to

Dow

ntow

n Lo

s G

atos

Th

e G

ener

al P

lan

EIR

gui

danc

e st

ates

that

new

dev

elop

men

t at t

he N

orth

40

shou

ld “

com

plem

ent

and

not c

ompe

te w

ith L

os G

atos

’ dow

ntow

n an

d th

e re

st o

f the

com

mun

ity.”

BA

E ha

s for

mul

ated

se

vera

l stra

tegi

es to

hon

or th

is g

oal o

f com

plem

enta

ry re

tail

deve

lopm

ent:

Ret

ail S

trate

gy 1

: Est

ablis

h a

clea

r diff

eren

ce in

the

shop

ping

exp

erie

nce

betw

een

the

Dow

ntow

n an

d N

orth

40.

The

Tow

n’s F

orm

ula

Ret

ail O

rdin

ance

hel

ps m

aint

ain

the

dow

ntow

n’s

smal

l-tow

n fe

el a

nd a

larg

e pr

esen

ce o

f ind

epen

dent

reta

ilers

with

uni

que

prod

ucts

and

serv

ices

and

lim

its th

e nu

mbe

r of f

orm

ula

reta

ilers

such

as t

he p

rese

nt m

ix o

f Sur

La

Tabl

e, A

pple

Sto

re, B

anan

a R

epub

lic, R

esto

ratio

n H

ardw

are,

and

the

Gap

am

ong

othe

rs.

The

Nor

th 4

0 ex

perie

nce

shou

ld b

e di

ffer

entia

ted

by a

focu

s on

form

ula

reta

il w

ith le

ss e

mph

asis

on

inde

pend

ent r

etai

lers

. A

ddin

g fo

rmul

a re

tail

to th

e To

wn-

wid

e in

vent

ory

of re

tail

prop

ertie

s wou

ld h

elp

Los G

atos

cap

ture

sale

s (a

nd g

ener

ate

addi

tiona

l sal

es ta

x re

venu

e) fr

om T

own

resi

dent

s who

cur

rent

ly tr

avel

out

side

the

tow

n to

shop

at f

orm

ula

reta

il ou

tlets

as w

ell a

s fro

m sh

oppe

rs w

ho w

ould

com

e fr

om o

utsi

de L

os

Gat

os.

Ther

e ar

e se

vera

l loc

al e

xam

ples

of d

ownt

owns

and

new

shop

ping

com

plex

es

com

plem

entin

g ea

ch o

ther

with

such

diff

eren

tiate

d sh

oppi

ng e

xper

ienc

es: D

ownt

own

and

Stan

ford

Sh

oppi

ng C

ente

r in

Palo

Alto

, and

Elm

woo

d/R

ockr

idge

and

Bay

Stre

et in

the

inne

r Eas

t Bay

(B

erke

ley,

Oak

land

, and

Em

eryv

ille)

.

R

etai

l Str

ateg

y 1.

1: F

orm

ulat

e a

coor

dina

ted

mar

ket c

ampa

ign

for

both

the

Dow

ntow

n an

d N

orth

40

reta

il de

velo

pmen

t. A

coo

pera

tive

mar

ketin

g ef

fort

betw

een

the

Tow

n of

Los

Gat

os, l

ocal

Dow

ntow

n m

erch

ants

, and

the

Nor

th 4

0 de

velo

per c

an h

elp

bran

d an

d po

sitio

n ea

ch re

tail

dist

rict a

ppro

pria

tely

to re

info

rce

thei

r res

pect

ive

core

st

reng

ths a

nd c

ross

-mar

ket e

vent

s and

ann

ounc

emen

ts –

all t

o re

info

rce

Los G

atos

as a

sh

oppi

ng d

estin

atio

n.

Ret

ail S

trat

egy

1.2:

Con

tinue

and

Enh

ance

Dow

ntow

n M

erch

ant V

italit

y Pr

ogra

ms.

Th

e To

wn

of L

os G

atos

pre

sent

ly o

pera

tes s

ever

al p

rogr

ams o

rient

ed to

bus

ines

s de

velo

pmen

t and

mer

chan

t ass

ista

nce.

The

se p

rogr

am w

hich

incl

ude

busi

ness

wor

ksho

ps

in p

artn

ersh

ip w

ith th

e C

ham

ber o

f Com

mer

ce a

nd W

est V

alle

y C

olle

ge, m

ento

ring

serv

ices

for s

mal

l bus

ines

ses,

and

mar

ketin

g ev

ents

, sho

uld

be c

ontin

ued

and

enha

nced

to

offe

r ass

ista

nce

to m

erch

ants

dow

ntow

n to

eff

ectiv

ely

mar

ket t

o ne

w sh

oppe

rs b

roug

ht in

by

the

Nor

th 4

0.

Ret

ail S

trat

egy

1.3:

Rei

nfor

ce th

e D

ownt

own’

s Rol

e as

Com

mun

ity H

ub a

nd S

ocia

l C

ente

r. B

y co

ntin

uing

to p

rogr

am F

arm

ers M

arke

ts, m

usic

and

art

fest

ival

s, an

d sp

ecia

l ev

ents

, Los

Gat

os c

an m

aint

ain

the

Dow

ntow

n as

the

Tow

n’s c

omm

unity

hub

. W

ith it

s di

vers

e se

t of b

uild

ings

and

trad

ition

al st

reet

layo

ut th

e D

ownt

own

offe

rs a

n au

then

tic

smal

l dow

ntow

n ex

perie

nce

that

is h

ard

for a

new

dev

elop

men

t tha

t is p

lann

ed a

t one

tim

e to

repr

oduc

e an

d co

mpe

te w

ith.

The

rece

nt re

porte

d pu

rcha

se o

f the

Los

Gat

os T

heat

er b

y

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

114

of 1

50

a lo

cal i

nves

tmen

t gro

up to

kee

p it

as a

smal

l mov

ie th

eate

r will

boo

st th

e To

wn’

s eff

orts

to

mai

ntai

n a

vita

l Dow

ntow

n.

R

etai

l Str

ateg

y 1.

4: B

rand

ing

and

Iden

tify

for

Los

Gat

os S

hopp

ing

Dis

tric

ts.

The

bran

ding

of t

he N

orth

40

for a

ny re

tail

use

shou

ld b

e ap

proa

ched

from

the

idea

that

stro

ng

iden

titie

s for

all

Los G

atos

’ sho

ppin

g di

stric

ts sh

ould

be

rein

forc

ed a

nd b

rand

ed to

off

er

Los G

atos

as a

who

le “

pack

age”

of s

hopp

ing

and

leis

ure

activ

ities

, inc

ludi

ng n

earb

y w

iner

ies.

Bra

ndin

g an

d id

entit

y sh

ould

be

acco

mpl

ishe

d in

par

t by

wel

l des

igne

d an

d co

nsis

tent

ly a

pplie

d w

ayfin

ding

and

sign

age

treat

men

ts th

at c

lear

ly id

entif

y w

here

one

is

with

in th

e To

wn.

For

new

shop

pers

com

ing

into

Los

Gat

os fo

r ret

ail a

t the

Nor

th 4

0, th

e N

orth

40

coul

d se

rve

as a

“ga

tew

ay”

to th

e To

wn

with

info

rmat

ion

kios

ks (b

oth

porta

ble/

seas

onal

and

per

man

ent).

R

etai

l Str

ateg

y 1.

5: Im

prov

e W

ay F

indi

ng a

nd P

ublic

Par

king

Sig

nage

. So

me

key

info

rman

ts re

porte

d th

at a

per

cept

ion

of la

ck o

f par

king

pre

sent

s a b

arrie

r to

loca

l res

iden

ts

patro

nizi

ng D

ownt

own

mer

chan

ts a

nd b

usin

esse

s. M

ost r

esid

ents

vis

it D

ownt

own

by c

ar

and

park

ing

whi

le a

dequ

ate

is so

met

imes

be

diff

icul

t to

find

or is

not

alw

ays i

n th

e m

ost

conv

enie

nt lo

catio

ns.

Inst

alla

tion

of b

ette

r d

irect

iona

l sig

nage

or e

lect

roni

c si

gns w

ith

avai

labl

e sp

aces

not

ed lo

ts c

ould

hel

p ov

erco

me

this

per

cept

ion.

R

etai

l Str

ateg

y 1.

6: P

rovi

de S

hutt

le o

r “S

hare

d B

ike”

Pro

gram

to L

ink

Nor

th 4

0 an

d D

ownt

own.

By

prov

idin

g a

shut

tle c

onne

ctio

n an

d/or

free

bic

ycle

rent

al, t

he N

orth

40

and

Dow

ntow

n co

uld

be li

nked

to p

rom

ote

easy

mov

emen

t bet

wee

n th

e tw

o di

stric

ts.

Man

y ci

ties i

n bo

th th

e U

nite

d St

ates

and

Eur

ope

(suc

h as

Par

is, P

ortla

nd, a

nd P

ragu

e) p

rovi

de

free

, sha

red-

use

bicy

cles

to e

ncou

rage

sust

aina

ble

and

heal

thy

alte

rnat

ive

trans

porta

tion

over

shor

t dis

tanc

es.

Stat

ions

cou

ld b

e es

tabl

ishe

d at

the

Nor

th 4

0 an

d D

ownt

own.

Stra

tegy

2: P

rom

ote

New

Ret

ail a

t the

Nor

th 4

0 to

Pro

vide

Goo

ds a

nd S

ervi

ces

that

are

Le

akin

g fro

m th

e C

omm

unity

and

Gen

erat

e M

ore

Sal

es T

ax R

even

ue fo

r the

Tow

n. T

o st

reng

then

and

div

ersi

fy it

s sal

es ta

x ba

se, t

he T

own

shou

ld c

onsi

der p

rom

otin

g ne

w fo

rmul

a re

tail

at th

e N

orth

40

site

sinc

e th

e To

wn’

s ow

n ex

perie

nce

with

form

ula

reta

il D

ownt

own

has s

how

n th

at

just

a fe

w fo

rmul

a re

taile

rs c

an g

ener

ate

a la

rge

amou

nt o

f sal

es ta

x re

venu

e. T

he N

orth

40

coul

d of

fer a

new

and

fres

h sh

oppi

ng e

xper

ienc

e in

con

trast

to so

me

of th

e ol

der f

acili

ties o

utsi

de th

e To

wn

in th

e R

TA, t

hus p

oten

tially

attr

actin

g ne

w sh

oppe

rs fr

om o

utsi

de th

e To

wn.

Stra

tegy

2.1

: Avo

id “

Tax

-shi

ftin

g” fr

om R

eloc

atio

n of

For

mul

a R

etai

l Dow

ntow

n to

N

orth

40.

Whi

le so

me

may

dis

favo

r for

mul

a re

tail

Dow

ntow

n, in

ord

er fo

r the

Tow

n to

re

aliz

e a

net f

isca

l gai

n, fo

rmul

a re

taile

rs D

ownt

own

shou

ld b

e en

cour

aged

to re

mai

n D

ownt

own

and

not r

eloc

ate

to th

e N

orth

40.

Thi

s can

be

achi

eved

thro

ugh

non-

com

pete

cl

ause

s in

the

Tow

n’s d

evel

opm

ent a

gree

men

t with

the

Nor

th 4

0 de

velo

per o

r thr

ough

ot

her l

egal

ly a

ppro

pria

te m

echa

nism

s.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

115

of 1

50

Stra

tegy

4: P

rom

ote

New

Ret

aile

rs th

at w

ill C

aptu

re E

xist

ing

Sal

es L

eaka

ge.

Los G

atos

sh

ould

con

side

r usi

ng th

e N

orth

40

deve

lopm

ent o

ppor

tuni

ty to

est

ablis

h ne

w re

tail

uses

in th

e ge

nera

l mer

chan

dise

hom

e im

prov

emen

t cat

egor

ies b

y pe

rmitt

ing

larg

er fl

oor p

late

(e.g

., ov

er

30,0

00 sq

uare

foot

) flo

or p

late

s. S

trate

gy 5

: Enc

oura

ge N

ew S

peci

alty

Ret

ail a

t Nor

th 4

0. L

os G

atos

shou

ld w

ork

with

the

Nor

th 4

0 de

velo

per t

o id

entif

y ne

w sp

ecia

lty re

tail

uses

that

will

com

plem

ent t

he T

own’

s mix

such

as

spec

ialty

food

s (e.

g., “

mar

ket h

all”

), an

app

lianc

e st

ore,

as w

ell a

s for

mul

a re

tail

that

will

brin

g in

shop

pers

from

out

side

Los

Gat

os.

Stra

tegy

3: E

ncou

rage

Nei

ghbo

rhoo

d an

d C

onve

nien

ce R

etai

l at t

he N

orth

40.

The

Tow

n sh

ould

enc

oura

ge n

eigh

borh

ood

and

conv

enie

nce

reta

il at

the

Nor

th 4

0 to

supp

ort n

ot o

nly

new

re

side

nts a

t the

site

but

oth

er n

earb

y re

side

ntia

l and

bus

ines

s nei

ghbo

rhoo

d ac

ross

Los

Gat

os

Bou

leva

rd.

O

ffice

Dev

elop

men

t Opp

ortu

nitie

s Th

e O

ffic

e M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent c

hapt

er in

dica

ted

that

the

Los G

atos

off

ice

mar

ket h

as g

ener

ally

ou

tper

form

ed th

e br

oade

r Mar

ket A

rea

and

Sout

h B

ay b

y m

aint

aini

ng lo

wer

vac

ancy

rate

s and

hi

gher

leas

e re

ntal

rate

s ove

r the

pas

t sev

eral

yea

rs.

How

ever

, muc

h of

the

Tow

n’s i

nven

tory

is in

ol

der C

lass

B a

nd C

bui

ldin

gs w

ith fe

w p

rope

rties

that

can

acc

omm

odat

e co

mpa

nies

seek

ing

spac

e in

the

75,0

00 to

100

,000

squa

re fo

ot ra

nge.

A re

sidu

al d

eman

d es

timat

e su

gges

ts th

at th

e si

te c

ould

ca

ptur

e be

twee

n 70

,000

to 1

91,0

00 sq

uare

feet

of n

ew o

ffic

e de

man

d. T

he N

orth

40

site

off

ers a

n at

tract

ive

loca

tion

and

can

enha

nce

the

Tow

n’s o

ffic

e in

vent

ory

in se

vera

l pos

itive

way

s. N

ew C

lass

A O

ffice

Spa

ce T

arge

ted

to L

arge

or S

ingl

e U

sers

O

ne o

ppor

tuni

ty fo

r off

ice

deve

lopm

ent a

t the

Nor

th 4

0 w

ould

be

allo

catin

g a

porti

on o

f the

site

to

new

Cla

ss A

off

ice

spac

e ta

rget

ed to

tena

nts s

eeki

ng la

rge

floor

pla

tes (

25,0

00 to

35,

000

per f

loor

or

50,

000

to 1

05,0

00 sq

uare

feet

per

bui

ldin

g, a

ssum

ing

two

or th

ree

stor

ies.

Loc

al b

roke

rage

firm

s re

port

that

dur

ing

the

first

six

mon

ths o

f 201

1 th

ere

has b

een

a si

gnifi

cant

incr

ease

in th

e nu

mbe

r of

tena

nts s

eeki

ng o

ver 1

00,0

00 sq

uare

feet

of s

pace

. B

y of

ferin

g la

rger

floo

r pla

tes,

new

off

ice

spac

e at

the

Nor

th 4

0 w

ould

like

ly n

ot c

ompe

te si

gnifi

cant

ly w

ith th

e D

ownt

own

sinc

e th

e D

ownt

own

offic

e m

arke

t is c

ompr

ised

of o

lder

and

smal

ler p

rope

rties

. In

stea

d, n

ew o

ffic

e sp

ace

at th

e N

orth

40

wou

ld m

ost l

ikel

y co

mpe

te w

ith o

ther

com

para

ble

Cla

ss A

pro

perti

es in

the

Wes

t Val

ley.

N

ew C

lass

B o

r A M

ultit

enan

t Spa

ce

In a

dditi

on to

add

ing

larg

er fl

oor p

late

spac

e to

the

Los G

atos

inve

ntor

y, th

e N

orth

40

site

cou

ld

also

add

new

Cla

ss B

or A

spac

e de

sign

ed fo

r mul

titen

ant o

ccup

ancy

for s

mal

l to

med

ium

tena

nts,

parti

cula

rly m

edic

al se

rvic

e pr

ovid

ers,

labs

, and

supp

ort f

irms,

taki

ng a

dvan

tage

of t

he si

te’s

pr

oxim

ity to

a si

gnifi

cant

clu

ster

of m

edic

al in

stitu

tions

and

clin

ics.

Thi

s opp

ortu

nity

wou

ld

expa

nd th

e To

wn’

s inv

ento

ry b

y ad

ding

new

spac

e to

mee

t dem

and

gene

rate

d in

the

curr

ent

busi

ness

cyc

le b

ut w

ould

pot

entia

lly c

ompe

te w

ith o

ther

exi

stin

g pr

oper

ties i

n Lo

s Gat

os.

The

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

116

of 1

50

bene

fit to

the

Tow

n w

ould

be

addi

ng n

ew st

ate-

of-th

e-ar

t fac

ilitie

s to

its o

ffic

e in

vent

ory,

ther

eby

offe

ring

a gr

eate

r cho

ice

to b

usin

esse

s wis

hing

to lo

cate

in L

os G

atos

. N

ew M

ultit

enan

t Offi

ce S

pace

Pac

kage

d as

Los

Gat

os’ “

Inno

vatio

n C

ente

r”

A th

ird o

ppor

tuni

ty fo

r the

Tow

n an

d N

orth

40

deve

lope

r to

cons

ider

wou

ld b

e to

est

ablis

h an

“i

nnov

atio

n ce

nter

” or

“te

chno

logy

hub

” th

at o

ffer

s a v

arie

ty o

f off

ice

and

shar

ed w

ork

spac

es

targ

eted

to v

entu

re c

apita

l com

pani

es a

nd st

art-u

p fir

ms.

The

se c

ente

rs ty

pica

lly o

ffer

flex

ible

sp

ace

conf

igur

atio

ns fr

om a

sing

le d

esk

to sp

ace

for 2

0 to

30

empl

oyee

s as w

ell a

s fle

xibl

e le

ase

term

s fro

m m

onth

-to-m

onth

to a

typi

cal t

erm

of t

hree

-to-f

ive

year

s. T

hese

faci

litie

s are

des

igne

d to

pr

omot

e co

llabo

ratio

n an

d cr

oss f

ertil

izat

ion

of id

eas a

nd te

chno

logy

am

ong

tena

nts w

ith sh

ared

ki

tche

ns, l

oung

es, a

nd sp

ecia

l eve

nts s

pace

s. T

he re

viva

l of e

arly

-sta

ge v

entu

re fu

ndin

g of

new

te

chno

logy

com

pani

es a

long

with

the

larg

e ba

se o

f ven

ture

cap

ital a

nd te

chno

logy

pro

fess

iona

ls in

Lo

s Gat

os a

nd su

rrou

ndin

g co

mm

uniti

es m

ay p

rovi

de a

bas

e of

supp

ort f

or su

ch a

con

cept

. H

avin

g on

site

am

eniti

es su

ch a

s a h

otel

, mee

ting

spac

e, a

nd c

onve

nien

ce re

tail

wou

ld b

e cr

itica

l to

mak

e th

is c

once

pt fe

asib

le.

Man

y of

thes

e ce

nter

s are

size

d be

twee

n 5,

000

and

30,0

00 sq

uare

feet

and

th

us w

ould

not

pre

empt

oth

er o

ffic

e de

velo

pmen

t at t

he N

orth

40

site

. A

pot

entia

l con

stra

int f

or

this

opp

ortu

nity

, how

ever

, may

be

the

Nor

th 4

0’s d

ista

nce

from

exi

stin

g st

art-u

p cl

uste

rs in

Pal

o A

lto, M

enlo

Par

k, a

nd M

ount

ain

Vie

w.

Sum

mar

y of

Offi

ce O

ppor

tuni

ties

Off

ice

deve

lopm

ent a

t the

Nor

th 4

0 w

ould

be

cons

iste

nt w

ith th

e To

wn’

s Gen

eral

Pla

n by

pr

ovid

ing

a su

ppor

tabl

e us

e to

com

plem

ent r

etai

l and

oth

er c

omm

erci

al u

ses i

n th

e no

rther

n po

rtion

of

the

site

. Th

e G

ener

al P

lan

guid

elin

es c

allin

g fo

r sus

tain

able

and

“sm

art”

dev

elop

men

t, pe

dest

rian-

orie

nted

des

ign,

and

am

eniti

es su

ch a

s pla

zas a

nd la

ndm

ark

feat

ures

wou

ld e

nhan

ce th

e m

arke

tabi

lity

of n

ew o

ffic

e de

velo

pmen

t by

givi

ng th

e N

orth

40

a st

rong

bra

nd a

nd im

age

to

dist

ingu

ish

it fr

om o

ther

pro

perti

es in

the

Mar

ket A

rea.

The

Tow

n ha

s sev

eral

off

ice

deve

lopm

ent

oppo

rtuni

ties t

hat c

an b

e pu

rsue

d by

the

Nor

th 4

0 de

velo

per.

As s

een

with

oth

er p

lann

ed a

nd

prop

osed

off

ice

proj

ects

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a, sp

ecul

ativ

e of

fice

inve

stm

ent m

ay b

e di

ffic

ult t

o fin

ance

with

out h

avin

g pr

e-le

ased

50

perc

ent o

r mor

e of

pla

nned

spac

e. L

endi

ng re

quire

men

ts m

ay

then

mak

e pr

ovis

ion

of n

ew C

lass

B o

r A m

ultit

enan

t and

“in

nova

tion

cent

er”

mor

e ch

alle

ngin

g to

fin

ance

com

pare

d to

off

ice

spac

e fo

r an

iden

tifie

d cr

edit-

wor

thy

sing

le te

nant

requ

iring

a la

rge

quan

tity

of sp

ace.

Hen

ce, t

he u

ltim

ate

feas

ibili

ty o

f off

ice

spac

e at

the

Nor

th 4

0 w

ill d

epen

d to

gr

eat e

xten

t upo

n th

e de

velo

per’

s cap

acity

to fi

nanc

e ne

w d

evel

opm

ent a

nd su

cces

s at s

ecur

ing

leas

ing

com

mitm

ents

. O

vera

ll, n

ew o

ffic

e de

velo

pmen

t at t

he N

orth

40

site

will

add

new

, hig

hly

func

tiona

l spa

ce th

e To

wn’

s inv

ento

ry, i

mpr

ovin

g its

abi

lity

to re

tain

and

attr

act b

usin

ess a

nd

bols

terin

g th

e To

wn’

s ove

rall

econ

omic

pro

sper

ity.

Offi

ce S

trate

gy 1

: Pro

mot

e N

ew O

ffice

Spa

ce to

Exp

and

Tow

n In

vent

ory.

Los

Gat

os sh

ould

de

velo

p la

ngua

ge a

s par

t of t

he S

peci

fic P

lan

proc

ess t

hat w

ould

pro

mot

e th

e ex

pans

ion

of th

e To

wn’

s inv

ento

ry o

f off

ice

spac

e, sp

ecifi

cally

enc

oura

ging

a m

ix o

f new

off

ice

spac

e at

the

Nor

th

40 si

te g

eare

d to

pro

vidi

ng la

rge-

plac

e C

lass

A o

ffic

e as

wel

l as n

ew C

lass

A o

r B sp

ace

conf

igur

ed

for m

ultit

enan

ts.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

17 o

f 150

Offi

ce S

trate

gy 2

: Pur

sue

the

Con

cept

of a

“Los

Gat

os In

nova

tion

Cen

ter.”

The

Nor

th 4

0 re

pres

ents

a p

oten

tial o

ppor

tuni

ty to

acc

omm

odat

e st

art-u

p an

d ne

w v

entu

res a

nd c

reat

e jo

bs b

y es

tabl

ishi

ng a

faci

lity

prov

idin

g sh

ared

-wor

k sp

ace,

col

labo

rativ

e w

orks

pace

, or c

o-w

orki

ng

faci

litie

s, an

d so

cial

net

wor

king

/col

labo

ratio

n op

portu

nitie

s. L

os G

atos

shou

ld c

onsi

der a

dopt

ing

Spec

ific

Plan

lang

uage

enc

oura

ging

est

ablis

hmen

t of a

“Lo

s Gat

os In

nova

tion

Cen

ter”

that

is

targ

eted

to st

art-u

ps, e

ntre

pren

eurs

, or s

elf-

empl

oyed

indi

vidu

als s

eeki

ng a

ltern

ativ

e w

orks

pace

an

d/or

aff

orda

ble

offic

e sp

ace

and

supp

ort s

ervi

ces.

Hot

el D

evel

opm

ent O

ppor

tuni

ties

The

Ass

ocia

tion

of B

ay A

rea

Gov

ernm

ents

pro

ject

s tha

t San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty

will

add

nea

rly

500,

000

resi

dent

s and

386

,000

jobs

by

2030

. W

hile

the

Mar

ket A

rea

is sl

ated

to g

row

at a

muc

h sl

ower

pac

e, it

is n

onet

hele

ss p

roje

cted

to a

dd n

early

9,0

00 re

side

nts a

nd o

ver 1

1,00

0 jo

bs.

In su

m,

both

the

mic

ro- a

nd m

acro

-reg

ions

in w

hich

the

Nor

th 4

0 si

ts a

re sl

ated

to g

row

ove

r the

com

ing

deca

des,

gene

ratin

g as

yet

unm

et d

eman

d fo

r new

hot

el ro

oms.

The

Nor

th 4

0 is

idea

lly si

tuat

ed to

se

rve

this

gro

win

g po

pula

tion

beca

use

of it

s loc

atio

n at

the

inte

rsec

tion

of tw

o of

Sili

con

Val

ley’

s m

ost-t

rave

rsed

hig

hway

s.

This

loca

tion

puts

the

Nor

th 4

0 w

ithin

a re

lativ

ely

shor

t driv

ing

dist

ance

of m

any

of th

e re

gion

’s

larg

est c

orpo

ratio

ns a

nd in

stitu

tions

, as w

ell p

opul

ar le

isur

e de

stin

atio

ns.

Whi

le so

me

of th

ose

dem

and

driv

ers a

re a

lread

y w

ell-s

erve

d by

nea

rby

hote

ls, t

he N

orth

40

is g

eogr

aphi

cally

pos

ition

ed

to c

aptu

re st

rate

gic

mar

ket s

hare

am

ong

the

thriv

ing

med

ical

com

plex

es a

nd le

isur

e at

tract

ions

of

the

Wes

t Val

ley.

At t

he ti

me

of th

is w

ritin

g, o

nly

two

new

hot

els w

ere

bein

g co

nsid

ered

for

deve

lopm

ent w

ithin

the

Mar

ket A

rea,

indi

catin

g a

lack

of c

ompe

titio

n m

ovin

g its

way

thro

ugh

the

pipe

line.

Fur

ther

, bot

h of

thos

e pr

ojec

ts w

ere

orie

nted

tow

ard

capt

urin

g bu

sine

ss fr

om A

pple

and

ot

her m

ajor

cor

pora

te te

nant

s in

Cup

ertin

o.

As s

how

n in

the

Hot

el M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent c

hapt

er, a

n an

alys

is o

f com

para

tive

trend

dat

a fr

om S

TR

indi

cate

s tha

t exi

stin

g ho

tels

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a co

nsis

tent

ly o

utpe

rfor

med

the

coun

tyw

ide

base

line

befo

re, d

urin

g, a

nd a

fter t

he G

reat

Rec

essi

on in

term

s of b

oth

room

rate

s and

occ

upan

cy.

This

fa

vora

ble

perf

orm

ance

ow

es, i

n pa

rt, to

the

fact

that

the

Mar

ket A

rea

is a

n am

enity

-ric

h en

viro

nmen

t cap

able

of a

ttrac

ting

high

-pay

ing

busi

ness

cus

tom

ers,

leis

ure

trave

lers

, and

par

ties

seek

ing

a pi

ctur

esqu

e se

tting

for w

eddi

ngs o

r oth

er so

cial

eve

nts.

By

appe

alin

g to

this

bal

ance

d bl

end

of m

arke

t seg

men

ts, A

rea

hote

ls re

tain

abo

ve-a

vera

ge ro

om ra

tes o

n th

e w

eeke

nd, w

hen

pric

es fa

ll of

f mor

e dr

astic

ally

in le

ss-a

llurin

g pa

rts o

f the

Cou

nty.

Th

e So

uth

Bay

app

ears

und

erse

rved

by

nam

e-br

and

luxu

ry h

otel

pro

duct

s giv

en th

e si

ze o

f its

bu

sine

ss m

arke

t with

onl

y th

e Fa

irmon

t in

Dow

ntow

n Sa

n Jo

se, F

our S

easo

n in

Eas

t Pal

o A

lto, W

H

otel

in N

ewar

k, a

nd R

osew

ood

Sand

Hill

in P

alo

Alto

.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

118

of 1

50

The

Nor

th 4

0, th

eref

ore,

mig

ht p

rove

via

ble

as a

site

for a

flag

ship

nam

e-br

and

luxu

ry h

otel

in th

e So

uth

Bay

. B

y as

soci

atin

g th

e br

and

with

Los

Gat

os’ s

tylis

h re

puta

tion—

as in

, “Th

e R

itz-C

arlto

n Lo

s Gat

os”—

such

a h

otel

has

a p

oten

tial t

o be

com

e th

e go

-to d

estin

atio

n fo

r man

y of

Sili

con

Val

ley’

s mos

t dis

crim

inat

ing

trave

lers

. H

owev

er, a

pot

entia

l lim

itatio

n of

the

Nor

th 4

0 fo

r a

glob

ally

bra

nded

hot

el is

its l

ocat

ion

outs

ide

a m

ajor

bus

ines

s hub

such

as d

ownt

own

San

Jose

or

Palo

Alto

, acc

ordi

ng to

ope

rato

rs a

nd h

otel

indu

stry

exp

erts

con

tact

ed b

y th

e N

orth

40

deve

lope

r.

Alte

rnat

ivel

y, a

ppea

ling

to a

regi

onal

bou

tique

hot

elie

r cou

ld p

rese

nt a

n ad

ditio

nal o

ppor

tuni

ty.

Joie

de

Viv

re a

nd K

impt

on a

re b

oth

Bay

Are

a-ba

sed

oper

ator

s tha

t are

look

ing

to e

xpan

d th

eir

pres

ence

in d

estin

atio

n en

viro

nmen

ts su

ch a

s Los

Gat

os.

Whi

le e

ach

of th

ese

com

pani

es o

pera

tes a

pr

oper

ty w

ithin

the

Mar

ket A

rea—

Joie

de

Viv

re in

Wes

t San

Jose

, and

Kim

pton

in C

uper

tino—

they

hav

e de

mon

stra

ted

a w

illin

gnes

s and

des

ire to

find

new

opp

ortu

nitie

s for

mar

ket s

hare

, eve

n in

lo

catio

ns w

here

they

alre

ady

have

a p

rese

nce.

With

its m

arqu

ee lo

catio

n an

d po

tent

ial t

o ap

peal

to

exec

utiv

e-le

vel t

rave

lers

and

recr

eatio

nalis

ts a

like,

the

Nor

th 4

0 co

uld

repr

esen

t jus

t suc

h an

op

portu

nity

to th

ese

grow

ing

hosp

italit

y gr

oups

. H

otel

Stra

tegy

1:

Dev

elop

Lan

guag

e in

the

Spe

cific

Pla

n th

at w

ill E

ncou

rage

/Per

mit

a N

ew H

igh-

end

Hot

el/L

odgi

ng U

se a

t the

Nor

th 4

0. T

he T

own

shou

ld c

onsi

der a

hot

el u

se fo

r th

e N

orth

40

to e

xpan

d th

e To

wn’

s inv

ento

ry o

f hig

h-en

d ho

tel p

rope

rties

and

com

plet

e an

ove

rall

amen

ity p

acka

ge a

t the

Nor

th 4

0.

Con

fere

nce

and

Mee

ting

Spac

e D

evel

opm

ent O

ppor

tuni

ties

The

Mee

ting

Spac

e M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent i

ndic

ated

that

the

area

dire

ctly

surr

ound

ing

the

Nor

th 4

0 is

un

ders

erve

d by

bot

h ex

istin

g an

d pr

opos

ed m

eetin

g ho

tels

. A

ppro

xim

atel

y 38

per

cent

of t

he h

otel

m

eetin

g sp

ace

in th

e M

arke

t Are

a is

loca

ted

in L

os G

atos

—tw

ice

as m

uch

as is

loca

ted

in e

ither

C

ampb

ell o

r Cup

ertin

o, th

e tw

o ne

xt la

rges

t mee

ting

hote

l clu

ster

s (no

te th

at th

is b

alan

ce w

ill

chan

ge w

hen

two

new

hot

els i

n C

uper

tino

com

e on

-line

). L

os G

atos

’ exi

stin

g su

pply

of h

otel

m

eetin

g sp

ace

is c

once

ntra

ted

dow

ntow

n. I

nter

view

s with

key

info

rman

ts c

onfir

m th

at th

e m

ajor

ity o

f exi

stin

g co

nfer

ence

act

ivity

in L

os G

atos

take

s pla

ce a

t the

Tol

l Hou

se H

otel

and

Hot

el

Los G

atos

. Th

ese

faci

litie

s, ho

wev

er, a

re h

ampe

red

by th

eir s

ize.

As s

how

n in

Tab

le 2

8 in

the

Mee

ting

Spac

e M

arke

t Ass

essm

ent c

hapt

er, m

ost o

f the

mee

ting

hote

ls in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

are

unab

le to

ac

com

mod

ate

mor

e th

an 2

50 p

erso

ns se

ated

thea

ter-

styl

e (a

ll ch

airs

), an

d, in

fact

, the

ave

rage

se

ated

cap

acity

is c

lose

r to

100.

The

Tol

l Hou

se H

otel

and

Hot

el L

os G

atos

can

seat

a m

axim

um

of 1

80 a

nd 1

50 g

uest

s, re

spec

tivel

y. R

epre

sent

ativ

es o

f the

Los

Gat

os C

ham

ber o

f Com

mer

ce

conf

irm th

at th

ere

is a

nee

d fo

r eve

nt sp

ace

in L

os G

atos

that

can

hol

d m

ore

than

200

peo

ple.

Th

e ex

istin

g da

y-us

e fa

cilit

ies,

on th

e ot

her h

and,

are

dis

tribu

ted

mor

e ev

enly

thro

ugho

ut th

e M

arke

t Are

a, a

nd b

oth

the

Jew

ish

Com

mun

ity C

ente

r (JC

C) i

n Lo

s Gat

os a

nd th

e C

amde

n C

omm

unity

Cen

ter i

n Sa

n Jo

se a

re lo

cate

d in

clo

se p

roxi

mity

to th

e N

orth

40.

Whi

le th

e

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

19 o

f 150

Test

aros

sa W

iner

y an

d th

e O

pera

Hou

se a

re a

lso

som

ewha

t res

trict

ed w

ith re

gard

to si

ze—

seat

ing

up to

80

and

250

peop

le th

eate

r-st

yle,

resp

ectiv

ely—

the

JCC

can

seat

up

to 4

50 p

eopl

e. I

ndee

d,

man

y of

the

day-

use

faci

litie

s els

ewhe

re w

ithin

the

Mar

ket A

rea

can

acco

mm

odat

e gr

oups

in

exce

ss o

f 250

peo

ple.

How

ever

, mos

t of t

hese

faci

litie

s are

focu

sed

on c

omm

unity

use

rs a

nd d

o no

t nec

essa

rily

prov

ide

the

ambi

ence

requ

ired

by m

ore-

prof

essi

onal

gro

ups.

Rep

rese

ntat

ives

of

the

Los G

atos

Cha

mbe

r of C

omm

erce

indi

cate

that

the

JCC

, for

exa

mpl

e, is

not

a c

ompe

titiv

e ve

nue

for S

ilico

n V

alle

y bu

sine

ss m

eetin

gs b

ecau

se it

is re

lativ

ely

info

rmal

and

impo

ses k

oshe

r re

stric

tions

on

dini

ng.

Acc

ordi

ng to

loca

l exp

erts

, Los

Gat

os la

cks a

des

tinat

ion

conf

eren

ce c

ente

r tha

t has

the

pote

ntia

l to

com

pete

with

hig

h-en

d fa

cilit

ies i

n C

uper

tino

and

San

Jose

. Th

ey e

nvis

ion

a st

eady

stre

am o

f us

ers f

rom

with

in th

e Lo

s Gat

os c

omm

unity

, inc

ludi

ng lo

cal b

usin

esse

s, tra

de a

ssoc

iatio

ns, a

nd

non-

prof

it gr

oups

look

ing

to h

old

a fu

ndra

iser

. Th

e C

ham

ber i

tsel

f is i

n ne

ed o

f a la

rge

spac

e th

at

can

acco

mm

odat

e tra

de e

vent

s tha

t sho

wca

se lo

cal i

ndus

tries

, suc

h as

a “

Tast

e of

Los

Gat

os”

high

light

ing

loca

l res

taur

ants

. D

eman

d w

ould

als

o lik

ely

be g

ener

ated

by

Goo

d Sa

mar

itan

Hos

pita

l, w

hich

val

ues e

xecu

tive-

leve

l spa

ce th

at is

clo

se b

y.

The

Cha

mbe

r als

o fo

rese

es a

stro

ng re

gion

al d

eman

d fo

r hig

h-en

d m

eetin

g sp

ace

in L

os G

atos

, w

hich

it w

ould

like

to fu

rther

pro

mot

e as

a d

estin

atio

n by

wor

king

with

a c

onfe

renc

e fa

cilit

y to

m

arke

t the

spac

e to

indu

stry

lead

ers i

n th

e W

est V

alle

y. K

ey in

form

ants

obs

erve

that

a su

cces

sful

fa

cilit

y of

this

nat

ure

wou

ld fe

atur

e th

e fo

llow

ing:

a la

rge

spac

e to

acc

omm

odat

e 20

0 or

mor

e pe

ople

as w

ell a

s sm

alle

r bre

akou

t roo

ms;

the

abili

ty to

tran

sitio

n fr

om a

bus

ines

s mee

ting

to a

n ev

enin

g ev

ent;

top-

of-th

e-lin

e au

diov

isua

l equ

ipm

ent a

nd W

iFi;

high

-qua

lity

food

opt

ions

; and

ne

arby

hot

el ro

oms,

espe

cial

ly if

mar

ketin

g to

larg

e co

nfer

ence

s and

/or w

eddi

ngs.

New

con

fere

nce

and

mee

ting

spac

e w

ith 2

00+

capa

city

cou

ld c

ompl

emen

t the

exi

stin

g fa

cilit

ies i

n Lo

s Gat

os b

y ex

pand

ing

the

size

of t

he m

arke

t tha

t cou

ld b

e ac

com

mod

ated

. N

ew c

onfe

renc

e an

d m

eetin

g sp

ace

faci

litie

s at t

he N

orth

40

wou

ld a

dvan

ce th

e G

ener

al P

lan

goal

s for

mix

ed

com

mer

cial

use

s at t

he n

orth

ern

end

of th

e si

te a

nd, i

nteg

rate

d w

ith n

ew re

tail

and

offic

e us

es,

wou

ld p

oten

tially

off

er a

dyn

amic

setti

ng fo

r bus

ines

s and

pro

fess

iona

l mee

tings

as w

ell a

s exp

and

the

scop

e of

off

erin

gs fo

r lar

ger s

peci

al e

vent

s.

Whi

le th

is re

port

finds

that

ther

e m

ay b

e m

arke

t sup

port

for n

ew c

onfe

renc

e an

d m

eetin

g sp

ace

faci

litie

s, ne

w st

and-

alon

e co

nfer

ence

cen

ters

are

rare

ly p

rofit

able

and

typi

cally

requ

ire a

n op

erat

ing

subs

idy.

Typ

ical

ly c

onfe

renc

e ce

nter

s and

mee

ting

spac

e fa

cilit

ies a

re o

ffer

ed in

as

soci

atio

n w

ith a

hot

el, l

ever

agin

g m

eetin

g an

d co

nfer

ence

spac

e to

gen

erat

ing

over

nigh

t sta

ys a

s w

ell a

s foo

d an

d be

vera

ge sa

les f

rom

mee

ting

atte

ndee

s. H

ence

the

scop

e an

d sc

ale

of a

ny n

ew

conf

eren

ce a

nd m

eetin

g sp

ace

at th

e N

orth

40

wou

ld b

e dr

iven

prim

arily

by

a ho

tel o

pera

tor

brou

ght t

o th

e pr

oper

ty.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

20 o

f 150

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

21 o

f 150

Mee

ting

Spa

ce S

trate

gy 1

: In

corp

orat

e M

eetin

g S

pace

into

a H

otel

Dev

elop

men

t. S

ince

a

day

conf

eren

ce c

ente

r typ

ical

ly re

quire

s sub

sidy

, the

Tow

n sh

ould

con

side

r inc

orpo

ratin

g a

conf

eren

ce/m

eetin

g sp

ace

use

into

a n

ew h

otel

pro

perty

. To

mee

t the

larg

e m

eetin

g sp

ace

gap

in

the

Mar

ket A

rea,

Los

Gat

os c

ould

con

side

r req

uirin

g as

has

the

City

of C

uper

tino

a sp

ace

with

a

capa

city

for u

p to

400

to 5

00 a

s a c

ondi

tion

of h

otel

use

. Th

e ho

tel w

ould

hav

e to

be

size

d ov

er

150

to 2

00 ro

oms t

o su

ppor

t suc

h a

mee

ting

spac

e.

Prio

ritiz

ing

Opp

ortu

nitie

s To

ass

ist t

he T

own

of L

os G

atos

with

furth

er e

valu

atin

g an

d fo

rmul

atin

g a

com

mer

cial

de

velo

pmen

t pro

gram

for t

he N

orth

40,

BA

E ha

s pre

pare

d a

mat

rix th

at su

mm

ariz

es fi

ndin

gs b

y ke

y de

cisi

on-m

akin

g cr

iteria

. Th

is m

atrix

can

be

foun

d on

the

follo

win

g tw

o pa

ges.

Criteria Retail Office Hotel Conference/Meeting Space

Market Feasibility Yes, leakage and injection analyses indicate areas for expansion of retail mix

Yes, analysis indicates residual demand for new office space

Likely, analysis limited to survey of key performance indicators; boutique operators are in market seeking opportunities

Likely, analysis limited to survey of facilities; identifies gap in market for facility with capacity for over 250; stand alone conference centers frequently not financially feasible without public investment

Competition with Downtown?

Limited if North 40 focused on formula retail, leakage categories, and convenience retail serving nearby residential and commercial neighborhoods; limited if North 40 and Downtown packaged and branded as destination retail and other retail strategies implemented to support existing Town merchants

Lack of large Class A properties offering 75,000 to 100,000 sq. ft. means limited competition with existing inventory; addition of new Class A or B multitenant space expands supply in relatively balanced market; Innovation Center would be new concept with no existing facility in Town

New hotel would strengthen Los Gatos position as high-end/boutique destination; Market Area has performed well compared to Santa Clara County; new hotel with conference meeting facility with capacity for over 250 would expand Town’s overall hospitality market share

New conference and meeting facility with capacity over 250 would not compete with existing facilities due to lack of comparable facilities in Market Area

Fiscal Impacts Diversifies sales tax base to mitigate Netflix impact; generates new net sales tax receipts; net sales tax receipts maximized if non-compete condition attached to North 40 to protect existing formula retail Downtown.

Office often generates net fiscal benefits over costs; ability to retain and attract firms adds to overall retail expenditures by new employees

Transient occupancy tax would add to diversity of tax base; new room nights adds to overall potential retail sales

Limited; supports other commercial uses

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy Page 122 of 150

North Forty Specific Plan

Market Study and Business Development Strategy

Page 123 of 150

Criteria Retail Office Hotel Conference/Meeting Space

Economic Vitality Creates new jobs in retail sector at one job per 500 sq.ft.; bolsters Los Gatos as retail destination both among Town residents and nearby communities

Ability to retain and attract firms seeking larger and/or new space; Innovation Center grows future office tenants; creates one job per 250 sq. ft.

Creates hospitality sector jobs and expands Town’s package of amenities supporting other business activity; creates one job per one or two hotel rooms, depending on overall package of services

Creates hospitality jobs

Environmental Sustainability

Expanded retail at North 40 encourages residents to shop closer to home reducing trip distances; potential trip reduction with new neighborhood retail for nearby residents and medical complex; shuttle and/or shared bicycle program can reduce auto trips

Improves jobs-housing balance by adding jobs close to residential districts in West Valley; shuttle and/or shared bicycle program can reduce auto trips

As part of North 40 mixed use commercial project, adds to overall project diversity and potential to reduce overall project trips generated; shuttle and/or shared bicycle program can reduce auto trips

See hotel statement

General Plan Consistency – Guiding Principles for North 40

A mixed use commercial program at the North 40 will achieve many of the guidelines set forth the General Plan EIR and preliminary site conceptual plans indicate that physical design elements will advance the guidelines.

Ap

pe

nd

ice

s

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

25 o

f 150

Appe

ndix

A:

Zip

Cod

es in

Ret

ail T

rade

Are

a

Zip

Cod

eC

ity95

008

Cam

pbel

l95

009

Cam

pbel

l PO

Box

9501

1C

ampb

ell P

O B

ox95

014

Cup

ertin

o95

015

Cup

ertin

o P

O B

ox95

030

Los

Gat

os95

031

Los

Gat

os P

O B

ox95

032

Los

Gat

os95

033

Los

Gat

os95

042

New

Alm

aden

9507

0S

arat

oga

9507

1S

arat

oga

PO

Box

9511

7S

an J

ose

9511

8S

an J

ose

9512

0S

an J

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9512

3S

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4S

an J

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9512

5S

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6S

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9513

0S

an J

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9513

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an J

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Not

e: P

O B

oxes

Zip

Cod

es m

ay h

ave

busi

ness

es li

sted

in Z

ip C

ode

Bus

ines

s P

atte

rns.

Sou

rce:

BA

E U

rban

Eco

nom

ics,

201

1.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

126

of 1

50

Appendix B: Planned and Proposed Retail Developments, Retail Trade Area, April 2011

ProjectLocation/Drive TimeDeveloper Size (sf) Est. Timing Comments

Under Construction

Los GatosSafeway expansion 45,600 retail Aug. 2011 (completion) Replacement of aging Safeway in downtown Los Gatos;470 N. Santa Cruz Ave. (6 mins) 25,000 demo new store to include 55,000 sf of underground parkingSafeway Inc. 20,600 net new retail

CampbellSafeway 80,500 retail Safeway & gas station Remodel of existing 75,000 sf building (former Mervyn's) for 950 W. Hamilton Ave. (8 mins) 75,000 remodel recently opened; TI app. 56,000 sf grocery store & 19,000 sf in-line retail; Safeway Inc. 5,500 net new retail for in-line furniture store construction of new 4,650 sf pad building & 16-pump gas

under review station w/ 850 sf retail kiosk

CupertinoRose Bowl 60,000 retail Late 2012/early 2013 Mixed-use development w/ 204 condominiums over ground-Stevens Creek Blvd. & Wolfe Rd. (14 mins) 0 demo (completion) floor retail; construction halted while foundation was beingThe Evershine Group (KCR Development) 60,000 net new retail poured; after attempting to sell project mid-construction,

developer plans to move forward; City is currently reviewingconstruction documents for the superstructure

San Jose (a)Willow Glen Town Square Retail 17,000 retail Early 2012 (completion) Neighborhood-serving retail (mostly restaurants); some 1104 Lincoln Ave. (14 mins) 9,500 demo businesses relocated from other locations in Willow GlenPaja Investments 7,500 net new retail

Approved (Construction Not Yet Commenced)

Los Gatos15400 Los Gatos Blvd. (1 min) 20,000 office Start date unknown; Redevelopment of former auto dealership for 2-story mixed-Developer unknown 0 demo (office) see comments use structure w/ Class A office above restaurant/retail;

20,000 new Class A developer is not moving forward at the moment; Town hasgranted approval for Planned Development, which does notexpire; developer will need to resubmit for Architectural andSite Approval at a later date; Town has no indication whenand if project will be completed

55 Los Gatos-Saratoga Rd. (5 mins) 2,000 office Stalled; see comments Mixed-use structure w/ office and retail and renovation ofPelio & Associates 0 demo adjacent 56-room Los Gatos Motor Inn; developer currently

2,000 new Class A in dispute with San Jose Water; project will not move forwarduntil dispute is resolved

North Forty Specific Plan

Market Study and Business Development Strategy

Page 127 of 150

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy Page 128 of 150

Appendix B, cont.: Planned and Proposed Retail Developments, Retail Trade Area, April 2011ProjectLocation/Drive TimeDeveloper Size (sf) Est. Timing Comments

Approved (continued)

Campbell1677 S. Bascom Ave. (6 mins) 14,000 retail Stalled; see comments Mixed-use development w/ 123 condominiums over ground-Bascom Financial LLC 0 demo floor retail; developer can't obtain financing w/ current

14,000 net new retail unit plan, but desired changes are not allowed by GeneralPlan w/o amendment; making project feasible would requirere-submitting for approvals, adding at least 1 year to timeline

651-671 W. Hamilton Ave. (9 mins) 11,150 retail Site under remediation; Mixed-use development w/ 108 residential units overSanta Clara Development Co. 44,000 demo start date unknown; ground-floor retail; developer currently considering making (Robson Homes) -32,850 net new retail see comments revisions to drawings

276 E. Campbell Ave. (9 mins) 10,400 retail Pending building permit Renovation of 5,400 sf existing building in CBD to create 3 Imwalle Properties 5,400 remodel approval; see comments new retail spaces & addition of 5,000 sf on adjacent parking

5,000 net new retail lot; project has obtained financing; developer plans to beginconstruction prior to securing tenants, pending building permit approval

CupertinoHomestead Square 204,000 retail Rite Aid to move to Remodel of existing 153,000 sf building & construction of 420580-20680 Homestead Rd. (12 mins) 153,000 remodel 17,500 sf pad by late pad buildings totaling 51,000 sf of new retail; developer hasSobrato Development Co. 51,000 net new retail 2011; see comments not secured any new anchor tenants; first step is to move

Rite Aid from principal building to new pad, but developer hasnot yet pulled building permits

Tantau Retail & Parking Garage 10,500 retail Start date unknown; Retail building constructed around 1-story, 26,500 sfStevens Creek Blvd. & N. Tantau Ave. (12 mins) 0 demo see comments parking garage; City extended approvals in late 2010, but hasRocktino Fee LLC (Four Corners Property) 10,500 net new retail seen no further activity from the developer

Vallco Shopping Mall Improvements 46,000 retail Start date unknown; Addition to existing mall; developer has indicated that theyStevens Creek Blvd & N. Wolfe Rd. (12 mins) 0 demo see comments have at least 1 year of internal review to complete beforeVallco Shopping Mall LLC 46,000 net new retail moving forward

Cupertino Village 24,500 retail Start date unknown; Neighborhood-serving retail; project stalled pending economicHomestead Rd. & N. Wolfe Rd. (12 mins) 0 demo see comments recovery; approvals expire August 2011Kimco Realty 24,500 net new retail

Main Street Cupertino 128,000 retail total Start date unknown; 17-acre mixed-use development w/ Class A office, retail, Stevens Creek Blvd. & Finch Ave. (14 mins) 164,000 in lieu of gym see comments athletic club, hotel, and senior housing around 1-acre park; Sand Hill Property Co. 0 demo EIR outlines several options; final development program is yet

128,000 to to be determined; City has seen no activity since approvals164,000 net new retail were granted in 2009 and believes that developer intends to

tenant commercial space before commencing construction

North Forty Specific Plan

Market Study and Business Development Strategy

Page 129 of 150

Appendix B, cont.: Planned and Proposed Retail Developments, Retail Trade Area, April 2011ProjectLocation/Drive TimeDeveloper Size (sf) Est. Timing Comments

Approved (continued)

San Jose (a)Valley Fair Expansion 550,000 retail Stalled; see comments Expansion into surrounding parking lots to create space for 952855 Stevens Creek Blvd. (7 mins) 0 demo new stores and 2 additional anchors; developer in negotiationsWestfield Group 550,000 net new retail w/ Neiman Marcus & Bloomingdale's; project put on hold in

2009 & is stalled pending economic recovery

Fruitdale Station (Phase II) 25,000 retail Stalled; see comments Mixed-use development w/ 80 condos over ground-floorSW Expy. & Fruitdale Ave. (9 mins) 0 demo retail; no developer activity in over a year; likely waiting forDe Anza Properties 25,000 net new retail housing market to rebound

Ohlone Mixed Use 30,000 retail Start date unknown; Mixed-use development w/ 800 units of housing in threeW. San Carlos & Sunol Sts. (11 mins) 0 demo see comments 15-story towers around new light-rail station and park;Green Republic LLLP 30,000 net new retail zoning approved recently; developer waiting for financing

and market to be right

Whole Foods 33,000 retail Start date unknown; Stand-alone grocery store; project scaled back 25% fromThe Alameda & Stockton Ave. (13 mins) 0 demo see comments original application; City has no sense of project timingWhole Foods Market 33,000 net new retail

Pending Approval

Los Gatos16005 Los Gatos Blvd. (3 mins) 30,790 comm. Mid-2012 (start); Redevelopment of former auto dealership for twoCHL Ventures LP 0 demo (retail) see comments neighborhood-serving commercial buildings and 25 units of

0 to housing; developer must complete drawings and obtain 30,790 net new retail building permits, but project is active and moving ahead

CampbellMerrill Gardens 17,000 comm. Spring/Summer 2013 Mixed-use development w/ 127 senior housing units &2041-2127 S. Winchester Blvd. (8 mins) 31,000 demo (retail) (completion) 21 Alzheimer care units over ground-floor commercial space;SRM Development LLC -31,000 to commercial space could accommodate small office users

-14,000 net new retail

San Jose (a)Almaden Ranch 400,000 retail Start date unknown; Power center on 40 acres of agricultural land w/ 2 anchors;Almaden Expy. & Highway 85 (7 mins) 0 demo see comments developer has not disclosed potential anchor tenants; projectHunter Storm LLC 400,000 net new retail is in early stages of zoning approval & moving forward

Calvary Church Commercial 24,250 retail Fall 2011 (start); Neighborhood-serving retail adjacent to Calvary Church;Almaden Expy. & Hillsdale Ave. (13 mins) 0 demo see comments Walgreen's interested in occupying 14,500 sf pad; developerSand Hill Property Co. 24,250 net new retail actively pursuing approvals; City believes construction will

commence by the end of 2011

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy Page 130 of 150

Appendix B, cont.: Planned and Proposed Retail Developments, Retail Trade Area, April 2011ProjectLocation/Drive TimeDeveloper Size (sf) Est. Timing Comments

Pending Approval (continued)

Saratoga12250 Saratoga-Sunnyvale Rd. (13 mins) 3,500 retail Fall 2011 (start); Mixed-use development w/ professional/medical officeTimespace Investment Development 14,000 demo see comments condos, retail & children's learning center; developer has

-10,500 net new retail submitted for approvals; City expects construction to commence soon after

12260 Saratoga-Sunnyvale Rd. (13 mins) 6,000 retail Fall 2011 (start); Mixed-use Muslim community center w/ prayer space, retail &Muslim Community Group (name unknown) 0 demo (retail) see comments office; City expects developer to submit for approvals soon &

6,000 net new retail commence construction thereafter

Summary

Max. Planned and Proposed Retail (sf) (b) 1,829,190Planned Remodel of Existing Retail (sf) -233,400Planned Demolition of Existing Retail (sf) -123,500Planned Net New Retail (sf) 1,472,290

Note:(a) List of projects in San Jose only includes those with 25,000 sf or more retail space.(b) Assumes the maximum allowable buildout of retail at the Cupertino Main St. project and that all "commercial" projects are fully tenanted with retail users.Sources: Silicon Valley/San Jose Business Journal, 2009-2011; Los Gatos Patch; Town of Los Gatos; City of Campbell; City of Cupertino; City of San Jose; City of Saratoga; BAE, 2011.

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Appendix C: Retail Sales Trends Appendix C-1: Los Gatos Taxable Retail Sales Trends, 2000-2009

Sales in 2010 $000 (a) (b) (c) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $297,832 $264,904 $235,020 $196,148 $195,073 $207,525 $182,137 $158,495 $100,134 Home Furnishings and Appliances $39,533 $34,463 $27,916 $27,636 $31,111 $31,786 $28,937 $24,400 $17,112 Building Materials $12,564 $12,646 $11,218 $10,687 $10,892 $13,023 $14,253 $15,092 $16,701 Food Stores $48,956 $47,049 $45,994 $44,179 $46,122 $47,001 $46,845 $47,573 $46,371 Service Stations $48,920 $42,777 $37,597 $41,462 $45,867 $48,562 $51,677 $54,181 $56,145 Apparel Stores $33,540 $31,468 $27,996 $26,521 $29,677 $30,397 $29,203 $29,948 $27,845 General Merchandise Stores $21,419 $20,045 $19,171 $19,412 $20,289 $19,886 $20,201 $20,422 $20,473 Eating and Drinking Places $87,819 $82,981 $81,790 $82,288 $87,206 $90,580 $90,482 $98,751 $94,598 Other Retail Stores $122,102 $107,630 $118,799 $145,139 $208,666 $244,936 $295,123 $305,340 $315,119

Retail Stores Total $712,685 $643,962 $605,501 $593,473 $674,903 $733,697 $758,859 $754,202 $694,498Excluding Other Retail Stores $590,582 $536,332 $486,702 $448,334 $466,237 $488,761 $463,737 $448,862 $379,379

Sales per Capita in 2010 $ (d) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $10,417 $9,239 $8,173 $6,802 $6,746 $7,156 $6,263 $5,435 $3,424 Home Furnishings and Appliances $1,383 $1,202 $971 $958 $1,076 $1,096 $995 $837 $585 Building Materials $439 $441 $390 $371 $377 $449 $490 $517 $571 Food Stores $1,712 $1,641 $1,600 $1,532 $1,595 $1,621 $1,611 $1,631 $1,585 Service Stations $1,711 $1,492 $1,308 $1,438 $1,586 $1,675 $1,777 $1,858 $1,920 Apparel Stores $1,173 $1,097 $974 $920 $1,026 $1,048 $1,004 $1,027 $952 General Merchandise Stores $749 $699 $667 $673 $702 $686 $695 $700 $700 Eating and Drinking Places $3,071 $2,894 $2,844 $2,854 $3,016 $3,124 $3,111 $3,386 $3,234 Other Retail Stores $4,271 $3,754 $4,132 $5,033 $7,216 $8,446 $10,148 $10,470 $10,774

Retail Stores Total $24,926 $22,459 $21,058 $20,581 $23,339 $25,300 $26,094 $25,860 $23,746Excluding Other Retail Stores $20,656 $18,705 $16,926 $15,548 $16,123 $16,854 $15,946 $15,391 $12,972

Population 28,592 28,673 28,754 28,836 28,918 29,000 29,082 29,164 29,247

(a) Retail sales have been adjusted to 2010 dollars based on the Bay Area Consumer Price Index, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. At the beginning of 2007, SBOE madesome minor changes to their classification system, thus year-to-year comparisons with previous years should be made with caution. Beginning in 2009, SBOE mademajor changes in their classification system, such that comparisons with the data here cannot be made. 2009 data presented in a separate table.(b) Analysis excludes all non-retail outlets (business and personal services) reporting taxable sales.(c) A "#" sign indicates data unavailability for the category due to SBOE confidentiality rules that suppress data when there are four or fewer outlets or sales in acategory dominated by one store. Suppressed sales have been combined with Other Retail Stores.(d) Per capita sales calculated based on sales divided by population. Population for each year has been estimated by assuming a constant annual growth rate from 2000through 2010. 2000 population from decennial Census, and 2010 population estimate from Claritas.

Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census; State Board of Equalization; CA Dept. of Industrial Relations; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; BAE, 2011.

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Appendix C-2: Los Gatos Taxable Retail Sales Trends, 2008-2010

Sales in 2010 $000 (a) (b) (c) 2008 2009 2010 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers $101,090 $72,599 $63,785 Home Furnishings and Appliance Stores $33,377 $31,445 $39,973 Bldg. Matrl. and Garden Equip. & Supplies $18,245 $13,862 $13,132 Food and Beverage Stores $51,706 $50,460 $47,525 Gasoline Stations $54,464 $41,206 $45,675 Clothing & Clothing Accessories Stores $31,333 $28,968 $31,322 General Merchandise Stores $0 $0 # Food Services and Drinking Places $91,248 $85,161 $86,559 Other Retail Group $81,359 $70,605 $73,794Retail Stores Total $462,822 $394,306 $401,764

Sales per Capita in 2010 $ (d) 2008 2009 2010 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers $3,456 $2,475 $2,169 Home Furnishings and Appliance Stores $1,141 $1,072 $1,359 Bldg. Matrl. and Garden Equip. & Supplies $624 $473 $446 Food and Beverage Stores $1,768 $1,720 $1,616 Gasoline Stations $1,862 $1,405 $1,553 Clothing & Clothing Accessories Stores $1,071 $988 $1,065 General Merchandise Stores $0 $0 # Food Services and Drinking Places $3,120 $2,904 $2,943 Other Retail Group $2,782 $2,407 $2,509Retail Stores Total $15,825 $13,444 $13,659

Population 29,247 29,330 29,413

(a) Retail sales have been adjusted to 2010 dollars based on the California ConsumerPrice Index calculated by the California Department of Industrial Relations (based on datafrom the Bureau of Labor Statistics) for California. At the beginning of 2007, SBOE madesome minor changes to their classification system, thus year-to-year comparisons withprevious years should be made with caution. Beginning in 2009, SBOE made majorchanges in their classification system, such that comparisons with the data here cannotbe made. 2009 data presented in a separate table.(b) Analysis excludes all non-retail outlets (business and personal services) reportingtaxable sales.(c) A "#" sign indicates data unavailability for the category due to SBOE confidentialityrules that suppress data when there are four or fewer outlets or sales in a categorydominated by one store. Suppressed sales have been combined with Other Retail Stores.(d) Per capita sales calculated based on sales divided by population. Population foreach year has been estimated by assuming a constant annual growth rate from 2000through 2010. 2000 population from decennial Census, and 2010 population estimatefrom Claritas.

Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census; State Board of Equalization; CA Dept. ofIndustrial Relations; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; BAE, 2011.

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Appendix C-3: Campbell Taxable Retail Sales Trends

Sales in 2010 $000 (a) (b) (c) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $29,553 $29,448 $24,457 $25,945 $27,386 $33,478 $32,619 $28,239 $24,761 Home Furnishings and Appliances $49,176 $41,412 $37,166 $32,810 $40,082 $14,545 $19,919 $26,330 $55,131 Building Materials $164,012 $142,786 $130,739 $131,992 $157,045 $155,747 $152,911 $135,163 $105,582 Food Stores $31,480 $32,574 $32,342 $32,367 $31,879 $32,245 $33,754 $33,737 $32,022 Service Stations $70,019 $60,345 $62,600 $64,704 $68,319 $73,646 $71,980 $74,366 $77,807 Apparel Stores $30,978 $27,771 $26,766 $26,267 $28,542 $28,330 $40,562 $40,906 $32,401 General Merchandise Stores $64,186 $60,599 $57,985 $53,307 $53,496 $53,581 $53,275 $51,271 $50,793 Eating and Drinking Places $114,778 $111,665 $110,383 $102,625 $104,291 $108,089 $110,271 $114,787 $114,852 Other Retail Stores $222,199 $172,348 $137,458 $133,533 $135,889 $160,876 $161,516 $148,830 $127,585Retail Stores Total $776,382 $678,945 $619,895 $603,549 $646,928 $660,538 $676,806 $653,629 $620,936

Sales per Capita in 2010 $ (d) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $775 $770 $637 $674 $709 $864 $839 $724 $633 Home Furnishings and Appliances $1,289 $1,082 $968 $852 $1,038 $375 $513 $675 $1,410 Building Materials $4,301 $3,732 $3,407 $3,429 $4,067 $4,020 $3,935 $3,467 $2,700 Food Stores $825 $851 $843 $841 $825 $832 $869 $865 $819 Service Stations $1,836 $1,577 $1,631 $1,681 $1,769 $1,901 $1,852 $1,908 $1,990 Apparel Stores $812 $726 $697 $682 $739 $731 $1,044 $1,049 $829 General Merchandise Stores $1,683 $1,584 $1,511 $1,385 $1,385 $1,383 $1,371 $1,315 $1,299 Eating and Drinking Places $3,010 $2,919 $2,876 $2,666 $2,701 $2,790 $2,838 $2,945 $2,937 Other Retail Stores $5,826 $4,505 $3,582 $3,469 $3,519 $4,153 $4,156 $3,818 $3,263Retail Stores Total $20,357 $17,747 $16,153 $15,678 $16,752 $17,051 $17,417 $16,768 $15,879

Population 38,138 38,257 38,377 38,497 38,618 38,739 38,860 38,982 39,104

(a) Retail sales have been adjusted to 2010 dollars based on the Bay Area Consumer Price Index, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. At the beginning of 2007, SBOE madesome minor changes to their classification system, thus year-to-year comparisons with previous years should be made with caution. Beginning in 2009, SBOE mademajor changes in their classification system, such that comparisons with the data here cannot be made. 2009 data presented in a separate table.(b) Analysis excludes all non-retail outlets (business and personal services) reporting taxable sales.(c) A "#" sign indicates data unavailability for the category due to SBOE confidentiality rules that suppress data when there are four or fewer outlets or sales in a categorydominated by one store. Suppressed sales have been combined with Other Retail Stores.(d) Per capita sales calculated based on sales divided by population. Population for each year has been estimated by assuming a constant annual growth rate from 2000through 2010. 2000 and 2010 population from decennial Census.

Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census; State Board of Equalization; CA Dept. of Industrial Relations; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; BAE, 2011.

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Appendix C-4: Saratoga Taxable Retail Sales Trends

Sales in 2010 $000 (a) (b) (c) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $4,388 $4,112 $4,145 $4,176 $4,228 $4,332 $4,454 $4,278 $4,256 Home Furnishings and Appliances $10,057 $7,858 $6,855 $5,285 $5,436 $5,802 $5,107 $5,721 $4,334 Building Materials # # # $3,087 # # # # # Food Stores $12,499 $12,413 $11,699 $10,342 $9,741 $9,369 $9,273 $8,932 $9,296 Service Stations $9,259 $7,805 $6,670 $7,389 $8,958 $9,784 $10,066 $10,892 # Apparel Stores $1,192 $1,776 $1,543 $1,189 $1,703 $1,178 $1,123 $1,704 $1,483 General Merchandise Stores $7,314 $6,870 $6,683 # $6,782 # # # # Eating and Drinking Places $35,047 $28,998 $28,357 $25,154 $26,604 $27,560 $27,937 $22,024 $23,461 Other Retail Stores $20,607 $20,496 $19,034 $21,658 $17,709 $22,603 $22,096 $21,129 $29,274Retail Stores Total $100,363 $90,329 $84,985 $78,280 $81,160 $80,629 $80,056 $74,680 $72,103

Sales per Capita in 2010 $ (d) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $147 $138 $139 $140 $142 $145 $149 $143 $142 Home Furnishings and Appliances $337 $263 $230 $177 $182 $194 $171 $191 $145 Building Materials # # # $103 # # # # # Food Stores $419 $416 $392 $346 $326 $314 $310 $299 $311 Service Stations $310 $261 $223 $247 $300 $327 $337 $364 # Apparel Stores $40 $60 $52 $40 $57 $39 $38 $57 $50 General Merchandise Stores $245 $230 $224 # $227 # # # # Eating and Drinking Places $1,174 $971 $950 $842 $890 $922 $935 $737 $784 Other Retail Stores $691 $687 $637 $725 $593 $756 $739 $707 $979Retail Stores Total $3,363 $3,026 $2,846 $2,621 $2,717 $2,698 $2,678 $2,498 $2,411

Population 29,843 29,851 29,860 29,868 29,876 29,884 29,893 29,901 29,909

(a) Retail sales have been adjusted to 2010 dollars based on the Bay Area Consumer Price Index, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. At the beginning of 2007, SBOE madesome minor changes to their classification system, thus year-to-year comparisons with previous years should be made with caution. Beginning in 2009, SBOE mademajor changes in their classification system, such that comparisons with the data here cannot be made. 2009 data presented in a separate table.(b) Analysis excludes all non-retail outlets (business and personal services) reporting taxable sales.(c) A "#" sign indicates data unavailability for the category due to SBOE confidentiality rules that suppress data when there are four or fewer outlets or sales in a categorydominated by one store. Suppressed sales have been combined with Other Retail Stores.(d) Per capita sales calculated based on sales divided by population. Population for each year has been estimated by assuming a constant annual growth rate from 2000through 2010. 2000 and 2010 population from decennial Census.

Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census; State Board of Equalization; CA Dept. of Industrial Relations; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; BAE, 2011.

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Appendix C-5: Cupertino Taxable Retail Sales Trends

Sales in 2010 $000 (a) (b) (c) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $56,273 $53,152 # # $20,864 $3,257 $3,524 $3,295 $3,212 Home Furnishings and Appliances $45,819 $30,429 $25,229 $20,999 $15,310 $16,165 $10,329 $10,276 $9,810 Building Materials $8,595 $6,528 $5,815 $4,612 # # # # # Food Stores $31,689 $30,024 $29,869 $28,320 $28,305 $29,345 $28,300 $30,826 $31,200 Service Stations $58,475 $52,898 $45,317 $50,496 $56,881 $64,243 $63,152 $67,564 $68,515 Apparel Stores $41,148 $33,569 $29,579 $26,371 $23,756 $22,769 $20,138 $19,231 $16,145 General Merchandise Stores $241,853 $223,030 $195,546 $176,279 $176,379 $168,180 $158,377 $159,050 $143,162 Eating and Drinking Places $119,193 $113,281 $100,376 $98,065 $96,902 $109,771 $116,023 $118,231 $112,054 Other Retail Stores $156,062 $149,798 $140,683 $110,273 $77,314 $73,682 $77,731 $275,321 $214,737Retail Stores Total $759,108 $692,707 $572,415 $515,415 $495,711 $487,413 $477,574 $683,794 $598,836

Sales per Capita in 2010 $ (d) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $1,113 $1,037 # # $390 $60 $64 $59 $57 Home Furnishings and Appliances $906 $593 $485 $398 $286 $298 $188 $184 $173 Building Materials $170 $127 $112 $87 # # # # # Food Stores $627 $586 $574 $537 $529 $541 $514 $552 $551 Service Stations $1,157 $1,032 $871 $957 $1,063 $1,183 $1,147 $1,210 $1,209 Apparel Stores $814 $655 $569 $500 $444 $419 $366 $344 $285 General Merchandise Stores $4,785 $4,350 $3,760 $3,341 $3,296 $3,098 $2,876 $2,847 $2,527 Eating and Drinking Places $2,358 $2,209 $1,930 $1,859 $1,811 $2,022 $2,107 $2,117 $1,978 Other Retail Stores $3,088 $2,922 $2,705 $2,090 $1,445 $1,357 $1,412 $4,929 $3,790Retail Stores Total $15,018 $13,510 $11,006 $9,769 $9,263 $8,979 $8,673 $12,242 $10,569

Population 50,546 51,273 52,010 52,758 53,516 54,286 55,066 55,858 56,661

(a) Retail sales have been adjusted to 2010 dollars based on the Bay Area Consumer Price Index, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. At the beginning of 2007, SBOE madesome minor changes to their classification system, thus year-to-year comparisons with previous years should be made with caution. Beginning in 2009, SBOE mademajor changes in their classification system, such that comparisons with the data here cannot be made. 2009 data presented in a separate table.(b) Analysis excludes all non-retail outlets (business and personal services) reporting taxable sales.(c) A "#" sign indicates data unavailability for the category due to SBOE confidentiality rules that suppress data when there are four or fewer outlets or sales in a categorydominated by one store. Suppressed sales have been combined with Other Retail Stores.(d) Per capita sales calculated based on sales divided by population. Population for each year has been estimated by assuming a constant annual growth rate from 2000through 2010. 2000 and 2010 population from decennial Census.

Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census; State Board of Equalization; CA Dept. of Industrial Relations; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; BAE, 2011.

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Appendix C-6: San Jose Taxable Retail Sales Trends

Sales in 2010 $000 (a) (b) (c) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $2,246,877 $1,895,444 $1,699,864 $1,695,468 $1,777,480 $1,766,284 $1,722,330 $1,630,225 $1,161,933 Home Furnishings and Appliances $534,878 $451,038 $414,410 $389,236 $392,143 $407,490 $396,502 $379,454 $413,622 Building Materials $919,880 $870,164 $863,878 $854,269 $954,004 $957,969 $951,797 $822,866 $714,557 Food Stores $515,471 $500,637 $479,433 $460,596 $453,354 $450,808 $444,997 $449,822 $419,588 Service Stations $988,115 $914,038 $770,909 $862,294 $997,982 $1,145,959 $1,226,762 $1,311,833 $1,428,528 Apparel Stores $402,134 $400,181 $406,380 $430,972 $490,782 $534,272 $559,487 $566,337 $599,003 General Merchandise Stores $1,606,208 $1,454,137 $1,352,055 $1,326,210 $1,364,526 $1,429,670 $1,448,971 $1,501,148 $1,389,893 Eating and Drinking Places $1,126,989 $1,073,618 $1,024,134 $1,041,052 $1,118,423 $1,174,522 $1,226,715 $1,270,164 $1,256,330 Other Retail Stores $2,372,973 $1,937,026 $1,661,955 $1,577,785 $1,543,576 $1,590,265 $1,713,726 $1,789,965 $1,333,694Retail Stores Total $10,713,525 $9,496,283 $8,673,016 $8,637,880 $9,092,270 $9,457,240 $9,691,285 $9,721,815 $8,717,148

Sales per Capita in 2010 $ (d) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $2,511 $2,106 $1,878 $1,863 $1,943 $1,920 $1,862 $1,752 $1,242 Home Furnishings and Appliances $598 $501 $458 $428 $429 $443 $429 $408 $442 Building Materials $1,028 $967 $955 $939 $1,043 $1,041 $1,029 $884 $764 Food Stores $576 $556 $530 $506 $495 $490 $481 $484 $449 Service Stations $1,104 $1,016 $852 $948 $1,091 $1,245 $1,326 $1,410 $1,527 Apparel Stores $449 $445 $449 $474 $536 $581 $605 $609 $640 General Merchandise Stores $1,795 $1,616 $1,494 $1,457 $1,491 $1,554 $1,566 $1,614 $1,486 Eating and Drinking Places $1,259 $1,193 $1,132 $1,144 $1,222 $1,277 $1,326 $1,365 $1,343 Other Retail Stores $2,652 $2,152 $1,837 $1,734 $1,687 $1,728 $1,852 $1,924 $1,426Retail Stores Total $11,971 $10,552 $9,584 $9,493 $9,937 $10,279 $10,475 $10,450 $9,318

Population 894,943 899,917 904,918 909,947 915,004 920,089 925,203 930,344 935,515

(a) Retail sales have been adjusted to 2010 dollars based on the Bay Area Consumer Price Index, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. At the beginning of 2007, SBOE madesome minor changes to their classification system, thus year-to-year comparisons with previous years should be made with caution. Beginning in 2009, SBOE mademajor changes in their classification system, such that comparisons with the data here cannot be made. 2009 data presented in a separate table.(b) Analysis excludes all non-retail outlets (business and personal services) reporting taxable sales.(c) A "#" sign indicates data unavailability for the category due to SBOE confidentiality rules that suppress data when there are four or fewer outlets or sales in a categorydominated by one store. Suppressed sales have been combined with Other Retail Stores.(d) Per capita sales calculated based on sales divided by population. Population for each year has been estimated by assuming a constant annual growth rate from 2000through 2010. 2000 and 2010 population from decennial Census.

Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census; State Board of Equalization; CA Dept. of Industrial Relations; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; BAE, 2011.

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Appendix C-7: Santa Clara County Taxable Retail Sales Trends

Sales in 2010 $000 (a) (b) (c) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $4,968,565 $4,265,768 $3,772,377 $3,640,370 $3,757,926 $3,796,149 $3,733,332 $3,651,501 $2,767,127 Home Furnishings and Appliances $1,486,510 $1,159,752 $1,003,560 $924,979 $950,271 $954,578 $956,731 $948,802 $1,091,072 Building Materials $1,792,956 $1,647,928 $1,566,758 $1,581,975 $1,827,088 $1,849,946 $1,880,555 $1,665,481 $1,385,137 Food Stores $1,064,362 $1,031,159 $982,775 $949,633 $937,851 $931,964 $923,447 $937,407 $886,946 Service Stations $1,825,002 $1,662,170 $1,460,927 $1,636,789 $1,890,416 $2,140,128 $2,284,313 $2,443,177 $2,579,392 Apparel Stores $1,106,359 $1,058,166 $1,039,426 $1,076,539 $1,202,588 $1,311,924 $1,374,616 $1,404,572 $1,452,716 General Merchandise Stores $3,604,051 $3,258,536 $3,028,507 $2,998,936 $3,110,365 $3,186,897 $3,239,571 $3,277,075 $3,008,658 Eating and Drinking Places $2,893,614 $2,681,991 $2,518,527 $2,477,754 $2,612,452 $2,738,626 $2,876,838 $2,962,251 $2,937,559 Other Retail Stores $6,218,929 $4,719,754 $3,985,797 $3,840,683 $3,991,103 $4,303,219 $4,520,575 $4,599,032 $3,612,357Retail Stores Total $24,960,348 $21,485,224 $19,358,654 $19,127,657 $20,280,059 $21,213,429 $21,789,977 $21,889,299 $19,720,964

Sales per Capita in 2010 $ (d) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $2,953 $2,521 $2,217 $2,127 $2,183 $2,193 $2,144 $2,085 $1,571 Home Furnishings and Appliances $883 $685 $590 $540 $552 $551 $549 $542 $619 Building Materials $1,066 $974 $921 $924 $1,061 $1,068 $1,080 $951 $786 Food Stores $633 $609 $577 $555 $545 $538 $530 $535 $504 Service Stations $1,085 $982 $858 $956 $1,098 $1,236 $1,312 $1,395 $1,464 Apparel Stores $658 $625 $611 $629 $699 $758 $789 $802 $825 General Merchandise Stores $2,142 $1,926 $1,779 $1,752 $1,807 $1,841 $1,860 $1,871 $1,708 Eating and Drinking Places $1,720 $1,585 $1,480 $1,448 $1,518 $1,582 $1,652 $1,691 $1,668 Other Retail Stores $3,696 $2,789 $2,342 $2,244 $2,318 $2,485 $2,596 $2,626 $2,051Retail Stores Total $14,835 $12,696 $11,374 $11,175 $11,780 $12,252 $12,513 $12,499 $11,196

Population 1,682,585 1,692,238 1,701,946 1,711,709 1,721,529 1,731,405 1,741,338 1,751,328 1,761,375

(a) Retail sales have been adjusted to 2010 dollars based on the Bay Area Consumer Price Index, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. At the beginning of 2007, SBOE madesome minor changes to their classification system, thus year-to-year comparisons with previous years should be made with caution. Beginning in 2009, SBOE mademajor changes in their classification system, such that comparisons with the data here cannot be made. 2009 data presented in a separate table.(b) Analysis excludes all non-retail outlets (business and personal services) reporting taxable sales.(c) A "#" sign indicates data unavailability for the category due to SBOE confidentiality rules that suppress data when there are four or fewer outlets or sales in a categorydominated by one store. Suppressed sales have been combined with Other Retail Stores.(d) Per capita sales calculated based on sales divided by population. Population for each year has been estimated by assuming a constant annual growth rate from 2000through 2010. 2000 population from decennial Census, and 2010 population estimate from Claritas.

Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census; State Board of Equalization; CA Dept. of Industrial Relations; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; BAE, 2011.

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy Page 138 of 150

Appendix C-8: California Retail Sales Trends

Sales in 2010 $000 (a) (b) (c) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $73,642,245 $75,900,902 $77,819,616 $79,912,840 $82,184,658 $82,436,082 $77,157,652 73,870,970 55,052,561 Home Furnishings and Appliances $17,645,813 $16,650,104 $17,050,368 $18,001,228 $19,051,612 $19,475,949 $18,739,358 17,451,059 17,360,769 Building Materials $32,201,355 $33,046,559 $34,232,032 $36,580,862 $43,119,528 $44,417,809 $42,916,841 34,082,440 26,897,348 Food Stores $23,852,975 $23,508,143 $23,108,197 $23,130,272 $23,023,767 $23,664,615 $23,569,585 23,441,943 21,706,335 Service Stations $32,725,704 $30,753,380 $29,176,773 $33,030,343 $38,043,921 $43,195,866 $46,978,937 49,141,160 52,503,918 Apparel Stores $16,677,991 $16,720,376 $17,106,352 $18,091,201 $19,692,408 $20,958,227 $21,376,110 21,766,676 22,327,906 General Merchandise Stores $59,494,013 $58,935,268 $59,121,960 $60,246,539 $62,640,249 $63,603,573 $63,887,556 62,513,093 56,955,574 Eating and Drinking Places $46,035,129 $46,019,714 $46,432,224 $47,731,290 $50,255,519 $51,983,992 $53,069,313 53,914,527 52,540,412 Other Retail Stores $70,385,615 $65,577,936 $63,720,144 $64,910,580 $68,645,636 $71,181,970 $71,718,413 67,744,788 55,330,512 Retail Stores Total $372,660,839 $367,112,382 $367,767,667 $381,635,156 $406,657,299 $420,918,084 $419,413,765 $403,926,655 $360,675,335

Sales per Capita in 2010 $ (d) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Motor Vehicles and Parts $2,174 $2,220 $2,254 $2,293 $2,336 $2,321 $2,151 $2,040 $1,506 Home Furnishings and Appliances $521 $487 $494 $516 $541 $548 $523 $482 $475 Building Materials $951 $966 $992 $1,050 $1,225 $1,250 $1,197 $941 $736 Food Stores $704 $687 $669 $664 $654 $666 $657 $647 $594 Service Stations $966 $899 $845 $948 $1,081 $1,216 $1,310 $1,357 $1,436 Apparel Stores $492 $489 $495 $519 $560 $590 $596 $601 $611 General Merchandise Stores $1,756 $1,723 $1,712 $1,729 $1,780 $1,790 $1,781 $1,727 $1,558 Eating and Drinking Places $1,359 $1,346 $1,345 $1,369 $1,428 $1,463 $1,480 $1,489 $1,437 Other Retail Stores $2,078 $1,918 $1,846 $1,862 $1,951 $2,004 $2,000 $1,871 $1,514Retail Stores Total $11,002 $10,735 $10,653 $10,950 $11,557 $11,849 $11,695 $11,156 $9,868

Population 33,873,086 34,196,883 34,523,776 34,853,794 35,186,966 35,523,323 35,862,895 36,205,713 36,551,809

(a) Retail sales have been adjusted to 2010 dollars based on the California Consumer Price Index, from the CA Dept. of Industrial Relations, based on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.At the beginning of 2007, SBOE made some minor changes to their classification system, thus year-to-year comparisons with previous years should be made with caution. Beginning in 2009,SBOE made major changes in their classification system, such that comparisons with the data here cannot be made. 2009 data presented in a separate table.(b) Analysis excludes all non-retail outlets (business and personal services) reporting taxable sales.(c) A "#" sign indicates data unavailability for the category due to SBOE confidentiality rules that suppress data when there are four or fewer outlets or sales in a categorydominated by one store. Suppressed sales have been combined with Other Retail Stores.(d) Per capita sales calculated based on sales divided by population. Population for each year has been estimated by assuming a constant annual growth rate from 2000through 2010. 2000 population from decennial Census, and 2010 population estimate from Claritas.

Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census; State Board of Equalization; CA Dept. of Industrial Relations; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; BAE, 2011.

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy

Page 139 of 150

Appendix D: Leakage Analysis Detail

Los Gatos Unadjusted Baseline Per Estimated Estimated Adjusted Baseline Annual 2010 Total Annual Injection/Capita Retail Sales (a) Sales Resident Per Capita Retail Sales Retail Sales in $000 (d) Total Per Capita Leakage

AEstimated Estimated djustor Expenditure Estimated Estimated Estimated EstimatedSales Resident

Injection/ Injection/ as % ofAdjustor Sales Resident Sales Resident ) Potential

Store Categor(Leakage) (Leakage

in Area Expenditures(a) (b)y (c) (c) in Area Expenditures in Area Expenditures SalesMotor Vehicle and Parts Dealers $8,514 $3,416 64% 92% $5,485 $3,133 $161,339 $92,148 $69,191 $2,352 75%Home Furnishings and Appliance Stores $1,333 $1,397 122% 88% $1,631 $1,227 $47,964 $36,100 $11,864 $403 33%Bldg. Matrl. and Garden Equip. and Supplies $650 $1,343 73% 90% $477 $1,215 $14,043 $35,723Food and Beverage Stores $6,496 $2,633 94% 99% $6,097 $2,612 $179,336 $76,836Health and Personal Care Stores $2,393 $884 100% 100% $2,404 $884 $70,701 $26,001 $44,700 $1,520 172%Gasoline Stations $1,778 $1,122 86% 88% $1,523 $983 $44,782 $28,923 $15,858 $539 55%Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores $1,607 $1,390 102% 96% $1,640 $1,337 $48,247 $39,330 $8,917 $303 23%Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores $615 $459 104% 97% $640 $447 $18,819 $13,141 $5,678 $193 43%General Merchandise Stores $34 $1,996 99% 99% $34 $1,983 $999 $58,322Miscellaneous Store Retailers $1,026 $473 88% 96% $898 $455 $26,420 $13,389Food Services and Drinking Places $4,206 $2,528 97% 99% $4,074 $2,508 $119,818 $73,758 $46,060 $1,566 62%

Total $28,653 $17,641 $24,903 $16,784 $732,467 $493,672 $238,795 $8,119 48%

Market Area

$000

($21,680) ($737) -61%$102,500 $3,485 133%

($57,323) ($1,949) -98%$13,031 $443 97%

Unadjusted Baseline Per Estimated Estimated Adjusted Baseline Annual 2010 Total Annual Injection/Capita Retail Sales Sales in $000Sales Resident Per Capita Retail Sales Retail (a) (d) Total Per Capita

Estimated EstimatedLeakage

Adjustor Expenditure Estimated Estimated Estimated Estimated as % ofSales Resident

Injection/ Injection/Adjustor Sales Resident Sales Resident ) Potential

Store Categor(Leakage) (Leakage

in Area Expenditures(a) (b)y (c) (c) in Area Expenditures in Area Expenditures $000 SalesMotor Vehicle and Parts Dealers $3,028 $2,724 92% 92% $2,776 $2,498 $1,682,675 $1,513,989 $168,686 $278 11%Home Furnishings and Appliance Stores $1,054 $1,092 88% 88% $925 $959 $560,862 $581,031Bldg. Matrl. and Garden Equip. and Supplies $1,022 $1,053 90% 90% $924 $953 $560,238 $577,276Food and Beverage Stores $2,194 $2,264 99% 99% $2,177 $2,246 $1,319,441 $1,361,405Health and Personal Care Stores $659 $720 100% 100% $659 $720 $399,097 $436,516Gasoline Stations $1,005 $960 88% 88% $881 $842 $534,082 $510,114 $23,96 $40 5%Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores $970 $1,130 96% 96% $933 $1,087 $565,599 $658,592Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores $428 $363 97% 97% $417 $354 $252,796 $214,317 $38,47 $63 18%General Merchandise Stores $1,327 $1,665 99% 99% $1,318 $1,654 $798,972 $1,002,377Miscellaneous Store Retailers $337 $384 96% 96% $324 $369 $196,399 $223,713Food Services and Drinking Places $1,876 $2,123 99% 99% $1,860 $2,106 $1,127,384 $1,276,097 Total $13,899 $14,477 $13,196 $13,787 $7,997,544 $8,355,427

All sales and leakages are in 2010 dollars.(a) Estimated unadjusted actual per capita sales from Table 14.(b) Estimated expenditures per capita sales are derived from Claritas/Nielsen RMP Opportunity Gap Report, adjusted to account for local expenditure patterns in Santa Clara County. These levels of consumer potentialare assumed as a benchmark against which to compare actual sales. Sales assumed to be "leaking" from the area if that area has per capita sales below benchmark sales. Per capita calculated based on 2010population per the U.S. Census:

2010 Los Gatos Population: 29,413 2010 Market Area Population: 606,056

(c) Sales levels in the Town of Los Gatos have been adjusted based on full-year 2010 taxable sales data in comparison with 2008 data. Estimated resident expenditure potential has been adjusted based on changes inretail sales nationally as reported by the Annual Retail Trade Survey published by the U.S. Census Bureau. As noted some sectors show greater declines than others. Since comparable data for 2010 were notavailable for the Retail Trade Area, the national adjustment figure has been used for both estimated sales in the area and estimated resident expenditures by residents of the area. To be conservative, the adjustmentfactor from the national data has been capped at 100%. See Appendix E for details.(d) Total sales = adjusted sales/expenditures per capita times area population.

Sources: 2010 U.S. Census; CA Department of Industrial Relations. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Census of Retail Trade, 2007; 2007 & 2008 Zip Code and County Business Patterns; Annual RetailTrade Survey, U.S. Census; Claritas/Nielsen; BAE, 2011.

($20,169) ($33) -3%($17,038) ($28) -3%($41,963) ($69) -3%($37,419) ($62) -9%

8($92,993) ($153) -14%

9($203,405) ($336) -20%($27,314) ($45) -12%

($148,714) ($245) -12%($357,882) ($591) -4%

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy Page 140 of 150

Appendix E: Retail Sales Potential Adjustment Factors

Retail Sales in the United StatesLos Gatos

in millions Per Capita Expenditure SalesUninflated (a) Inflation-Adjusted (b) Inflation-Adjusted (c) Adjustment Adjustment

2008 2010 2008 2010 2008 2010 Factor (d) Factor (e)

Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers $788,688 $744,268 $798,773 $744,268 $2,626 $2,408 92% 64%Home Furnishings and Appliance Stores $208,782 $188,700 $211,452 $188,700 $695 $611 88% 122%Bldg. Matrl. and Garden Equip. and Supplies $305,085 $283,970 $308,986 $283,970 $1,016 $919 90% 73%Food and Beverage Stores $571,245 $583,306 $578,549 $583,306 $1,902 $1,887 99% 94%Health and Personal Care Stores $246,976 $262,978 $250,134 $262,978 $822 $851 100% 100%Gasoline Stations $502,469 $453,252 $508,894 $453,252 $1,673 $1,467 88% 86%Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores $216,087 $213,872 $218,850 $213,872 $719 $692 96% 102%Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores $84,323 $84,474 $85,401 $84,474 $281 $273 97% 104%General Merchandise Stores $596,541 $609,816 $604,169 $609,816 $1,986 $1,973 99% naMiscellaneous Store Retailers $113,170 $112,062 $114,617 $112,062 $377 $363 96% 88%Food Services and Drinking Places $456,568 $465,977 $462,406 $465,977 $1,520 $1,508 99% 97%

$4,089,934 $4,002,675 $4,142,230 $4,002,675 13,618 12,952

(a) From U.S. Census Bureau Monthly and Annual Retail Trade Survey Data.(b) 2008 data have been inflated to 2010 dollars using U.S Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers.

2008-2010 inflator: 1.012787(c) Per capita based on inflation-adjusted total sales divided by total U.S. population as estimated in Table 1. Preliminary Annual Estimates of the Resident Populationfor the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2010(NST-PEST2010-01). Release Date: February 2011. 2010 number does not vary significantly from official counts from 2010 Census.

July 1, 2008 population: 304,177,401July 1, 2010 population: 309,050,816

(d) Based on change in sales by category from 2008 to 2010. To be conservative, adjustment factor has been capped at 100%. Factor is used for both Los Gatos andRTA. For the RTA, since sales adjustment factor data are unavailable, the expenditure adjustment factor is also used for sales.(e) Based on change in taxable retail sales from 2008 to 2010.

Sources: Monthly and Annual Retail Trade Survey, U.S. Census; U.S. Census Population Division; BAE, 2011.

App

endi

x F:

Lis

t of K

ey In

form

ants

Li

sa P

orria

M

anag

er, A

dmin

istra

tive

Serv

ices

Sa

mar

itan

Med

ical

Cen

ter

Jean

Altm

an

Man

ager

, Gue

st S

ervi

ces &

Gov

ernm

ent R

elat

ions

Off

icer

El

Cam

ino

Hos

pita

l R

onee

Nas

si

Exec

utiv

e D

irect

or

Los G

atos

Cha

mbe

r of C

omm

erce

D

iann

e A

nder

son

Cha

ir of

the

Boa

rd

Los G

atos

Cha

mbe

r of C

omm

erce

Sl

oan

Muk

ai

Prop

rieto

r Th

e W

oode

n H

orse

Toy

Sto

re

Fred

dy H

owel

l Pr

oprie

tor

Los G

atos

Bird

wat

cher

B

ob B

ortfi

eld

Prop

rieto

r V

inta

ges –

Est

ate

Sale

Ant

ique

s Sh

aron

Ste

rling

B

roke

r G

rosv

enor

Pr

oper

ties:

Tra

der J

oe’s

Sho

ppin

g C

ente

r (N

ot p

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nally

invo

lved

with

Nor

th 4

0 pr

ojec

t) Sh

ahra

m M

ouss

avi

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ker

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anom

ics

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ertie

s: O

ld T

own

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ter,

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gs C

ourt

N

orth

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ty S

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ket S

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s Dev

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t Stra

tegy

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ge 1

41 o

f 150

Dou

g Fe

rrar

i Pr

inci

pal

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e C

omm

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al

Prop

ertie

s: L

os G

atos

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g C

ente

r, Lo

s Gat

os V

illag

e Sq

uare

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n Sh

oppi

ng C

ente

r, va

rious

bui

ldin

gs in

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n co

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es C

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r Te

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s Pr

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ties:

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th S

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ght F

rank

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th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

142

of 1

50

App

endi

x G

: In

nova

tive

Floo

r Pla

tes

for L

arge

-For

mat

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aile

rs

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et |

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cago

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ptow

n ne

ighb

orho

od

Ta

rget

ope

ned

in C

hica

go’s

Upt

own

neig

hbor

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in Ju

ly 2

009.

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on Y

ard

deve

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s tw

o bl

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adw

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clud

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get,

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ler-

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tail,

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d tw

o af

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able

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uild

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144

of 1

50

Hom

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hatta

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bet

wee

n $3

00,0

00 a

nd $

1,00

0,00

0. T

he si

te is

loca

ted

385

feet

from

th

e Te

nley

tow

n m

etro

stop

. N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

46 o

f 150

Lock

woo

d Pl

ace

| Bal

timor

e

Lo

ckw

ood

Plac

e is

a d

evel

opm

ent t

hat c

onta

ins m

ixed

-use

off

ice,

reta

il, a

nd p

arki

ng lo

cate

d in

do

wnt

own

Bal

timor

e by

the

Inne

r Har

bor.

The

com

plex

con

tain

s a m

ulti-

stor

y of

fice

tow

er w

ith

250,

000

squa

re fe

et o

f Cla

ss A

off

ice

spac

e. A

djac

ent t

o th

e of

fice

tow

er is

a th

ree-

stor

y sh

oppi

ng

com

plex

that

cov

ers 9

8,00

0 sq

uare

feet

. B

est B

uy (3

7,00

0 sf

) and

File

ne’s

Bas

emen

t (30

,000

sf)

are

the

anch

or te

nant

s, an

d th

ere

are

a va

riety

of s

mal

ler-

scal

e re

stau

rant

s. A

940

-spa

ce st

ruct

ured

pa

rkin

g ga

rage

is lo

cate

d at

the

back

of t

he b

uild

ing.

The

pro

ject

was

dev

elop

ed b

y D

avid

S.

Bro

wn

Ente

rpris

es a

nd A

&R

Dev

elop

men

t. T

he si

te is

loca

ted

with

in th

e do

wnt

own

in a

n ur

ban

loca

tion,

and

has

har

bor v

iew

s.

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

47 o

f 150

App

endi

x H

: Hot

el M

arke

t Ove

rvie

w, M

arke

t Are

a vs

. San

ta C

lara

Cou

nty,

200

5-Fe

b. 2

011

(a)

His

toric

Ove

rvie

w (2

005-

2010

)

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Aver

age

Dai

ly R

ate

Rev

PAR

(b)

Roo

m D

eman

d (c

)M

arke

tM

arke

tM

arke

tM

arke

tYe

arAr

eaC

ount

yD

iff.

Area

Cou

nty

Diff

.Ar

eaC

ount

yD

iff.

Area

Cou

nty

% S

hare

2005

66.5

%62

.6%

4.0%

$122

$100

$23

$81

$62

$19

414,

316

5,99

7,75

46.

9%20

0672

.1%

68.3

%3.

8%$1

33$1

08$2

5$9

6$7

4$2

247

1,93

76,

414,

232

7.4%

2007

75.0

%69

.9%

5.2%

$144

$119

$25

$108

$83

$25

491,

106

6,53

6,06

87.

5%20

0872

.5%

66.1

%6.

4%$1

48$1

24$2

4$1

07$8

2$2

547

4,16

46,

170,

795

7.7%

2009

64.5

%57

.9%

6.6%

$129

$105

$24

$83

$61

$22

421,

849

5,38

1,56

17.

8%20

1072

.1%

66.6

%5.

5%$1

27$1

05$2

2$9

2$7

0$2

251

0,91

26,

228,

963

8.2%

Cur

rent

Mar

ket O

verv

iew

(Mar

ch 2

010-

Feb.

201

1)

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Aver

age

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ly R

ate

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PAR

(b)

Roo

m D

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26$1

06$2

0$8

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440

,162

519,

157

7.7%

Apr

-10

66.2

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$125

$104

$21

$83

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$14

38,8

0150

5,82

67.

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ay-1

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25$1

06$2

0$9

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346

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546,

109

8.4%

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28$1

06$2

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03$7

7$2

547

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561,

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8.4%

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02$2

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346

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8.3%

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78.3

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$127

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47,4

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0,90

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ep-1

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746

,141

540,

492

8.5%

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-10

80.6

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$130

$110

$20

$105

$81

$23

48,8

3958

7,92

18.

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073

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09$2

0$9

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342

,840

503,

532

8.5%

Dec

-10

62.1

%52

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9.6%

$125

$101

$24

$78

$53

$24

37,6

5541

8,08

39.

0%Ja

n-11

64.9

%61

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$136

$111

$25

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$20

39,3

2748

7,39

18.

1%Fe

b-11

75.7

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ly A

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age

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ly R

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(b)

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ket

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ket

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ket

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of W

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ount

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$137

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tal

69.7

%63

.4%

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$134

$111

$23

$94

$70

$24

Not

es:

(a) I

nclu

des

all h

otel

s an

d m

otel

s in

the

Mar

ket A

rea

and

Cou

nty

that

par

ticip

ate

in S

mith

Tra

vel R

esea

rch'

s su

rvey

s. F

igur

es d

o no

tre

pres

ent a

100

per

cent

cou

nt.

(b) R

evP

AR

, or R

even

ue p

er A

vaila

ble

Roo

m, i

s ca

lcul

ated

by

divi

ding

tota

l roo

m re

venu

e by

the

tota

l sup

ply

of ro

oms

for a

giv

en p

erio

d.(c

) Roo

m D

eman

d re

pres

ents

the

num

ber o

f roo

ms

sold

ove

r the

cou

rse

of a

giv

en ti

me

perio

d, e

xclu

ding

com

plim

enta

ry ro

oms.

(d) D

aily

Ave

rage

s ca

lcul

ated

ove

r the

last

thre

e ye

ars,

from

Mar

ch 2

008

to F

eb. 2

011.

Sou

rces

: Sm

ith T

rave

l Res

earc

h; B

AE

, 201

1.

Nor

th F

orty

Spe

cific

Pla

n M

arke

t Stu

dy a

nd B

usin

ess D

evel

opm

ent S

trate

gy

Page

148

of 1

50

N

orth

For

ty S

peci

fic P

lan

Mar

ket S

tudy

and

Bus

ines

s Dev

elop

men

t Stra

tegy

Pa

ge 1

49 o

f 150

y.

App

endi

x I:

Not

es o

n M

etho

dolo

gy fo

r Ret

ail S

ales

and

Lea

kage

Est

imat

es

BA

E ha

s dev

elop

ed p

oint

-in-ti

me

estim

ates

of r

etai

l sal

es b

y si

x-di

git N

AIC

S50 c

ateg

ory,

app

lyin

g sa

les p

er e

mpl

oyee

dat

a by

NA

ICS

from

the

2007

Cen

sus o

f Ret

ail T

rade

to g

ener

ate

estim

ates

of

tota

l ret

ail s

ales

by

cate

gory

for 2

008,

the

mos

t rec

ent d

ata

avai

labl

e at

the

time

of a

naly

sis.

It

shou

ld b

e no

ted

that

thes

e es

timat

es sh

ould

be

cons

ider

ed a

s app

roxi

mat

e, si

nce

the

exac

t em

ploy

men

t num

bers

for e

ach

stor

e ty

pe a

re n

ot a

vaila

ble;

inst

ead,

the

publ

ishe

d da

ta g

roup

stor

es

into

an

empl

oym

ent c

lass

size

.51 H

owev

er, t

he a

vaila

bilit

y of

SB

OE

and

Econ

omic

Cen

sus d

ata

for t

he sa

me

gene

ral p

erio

d (2

007

or 2

008)

mad

e re

finem

ents

pos

sibl

e ba

sed

on c

ross

-che

ckin

g th

e Zi

p C

ode-

deriv

ed e

stim

ates

aga

inst

the

othe

r sou

rces

and

mak

ing

adju

stm

ents

acc

ordi

ngly

, so

thes

e th

e fig

ures

shou

ld re

ason

ably

est

imat

e th

e or

der o

f mag

nitu

de o

f ove

rall

reta

il sa

les b

y ca

tego

rTh

ese

estim

ates

hav

e th

e ad

vant

age

over

est

imat

es b

ased

on

taxa

ble

data

in th

at a

ll re

tail

sale

s are

in

clud

ed, s

o no

adj

ustm

ent f

acto

rs a

re n

eces

sary

to g

et fr

om S

BO

E da

ta to

tota

l ret

ail s

ales

. Th

e di

sadv

anta

ge o

f the

se e

stim

ates

is th

at th

e da

ta a

re n

ot a

s cur

rent

as w

hat S

BO

E ca

n pr

ovid

e. I

t is

impo

rtant

to n

ote

the

data

are

from

200

8, w

hen

the

impa

cts o

f the

hou

sing

mar

ket m

eltd

own

and

rece

ssio

n w

ere

not y

et a

t the

ir pe

ak.

The

leak

age

anal

ysis

in th

is re

port

adju

sts t

hese

sale

s lev

els t

o ta

ke in

to a

ccou

nt m

ore

curr

ent c

ondi

tions

, as s

how

n in

App

endi

x E.

W

ith re

spec

t to

the

taxa

ble

reta

il sa

les a

naly

sis b

ased

on

Stat

e B

oard

of E

qual

izat

ion

data

, it i

s ex

trem

ely

impo

rtant

to n

ote

that

tota

l tax

able

reta

il sa

les f

rom

the

2008

thro

ugh

2010

Tow

n da

ta

(e.g

., Fi

gure

8 a

nd 1

1) a

re g

roup

ed so

mew

hat d

iffer

ently

, and

thus

can

not b

e co

mpa

red

to th

e 20

00

thro

ugh

2008

SB

OE

data

.

50

The

Nor

th A

mer

ican

Indu

stria

l Cla

ssifi

catio

n Sy

stem

(NA

ICS)

is a

fede

rally

-dire

cted

syst

em fo

r cla

ssify

ing

esta

blis

hmen

ts b

y in

dust

ry.

51

For

exa

mpl

e, o

ne st

ore

size

cat

egor

y in

the

Zip

Cod

e B

usin

ess P

atte

rns r

ange

s fro

m 2

5 to

49

empl

oyee

s;

estim

ates

are

bas

ed o

n a

cent

ral p

oint

in th

is ra

nge,

sinc

e th

e ex

act n

umbe

r of e

mpl

oyee

s is u

nkno

wn.

North Forty Specific Plan Market Study and Business Development Strategy Page 150 of 150

Appendix J: Location of Formula Retail Businesses in the Downtown Core

North 40 Specific Plan DRAFT Last Modified: July 2, 2014

Appendix B - Tree List

This Page Intentionally Left Blank

appendixB

draft | May 2014

B-1Last Modified: July 2, 2014 North 40 Specific Plan

appendix BAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Perimeter Trees

Pinus Radiata Monterey Pine Y Minimal Full E 80'-100' 25'-35'

fast growing, can be susceptible to disease

Populus Nigra Lombardy Poplar N Moderate Full D 40'-100' 15'-30'

fast growing, tough trees, rural character

Sequoia Sempervirens Redwood Y Moderate Full,

Partial E 70’-90' 15'-30' plant 7’ min apart

B-2 draft | May 2014

appendixBAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Orchard Trees

Juglans Californica Hindsii

California Black Walnut Y Full D 30’-60’ 30’-40’ Bears fruit

Malus Floribunda "Parrsi" Pink Crabapple N Moderate Full D 12'-20' 12'-20'

small flowering tree, bears fruit (not very edible) but nice form

Prunus Blireana Purple Leaf Plum N Moderate Full D 40’ 25’

pink blossoms, well drained soil, ornamental, no fruit

Prunus Cerasifera Cherry Plum N Moderate Full D 10’-18’ 10’-18’

pink blossoms, ornamental, no fruit

B-3Last Modified: July 2, 2014 North 40 Specific Plan

appendix BAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Orchard Trees (continued)

Prunus Kwansan or Aki Bono Japanese Cherry N Moderate Full D 40’ 25’

flowering accent tree, formal shape, evokes orchard but no fruit

Prunus Persica Peach N Moderate Full D 10’-18’ 10’-18’ bears fruit

Prunus Persica Nucipersica Nectarine N Moderate Full D 40’ 25’ bears fruit

Prunus Salicina Japanese Plum N Moderate Full D 10’-18’ 10’-18’ bears fruit

B-4 draft | May 2014

appendixBAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Orchard Trees (continued)

Pyrus Calleryana Callery Pear N Moderate Full D 40’ 25’flowering, ornamental, no fruit

Common Open Space Trees

Acer ‘Sango Kaku’ Coral Bark Japanese Maple N Moderate Partial,

Shade D 15’-20’ 15’-20’ Beautiful fall color

Aesculus Californica

California Buckeye Y Moderate,

Minimal Full D 10’-20’+ 30’+

male only, seeds are slightly toxic if ingested, drought tolerant

Arbutus Menziesii Pacific Madrone Y Moderate, Minimal Full E 20’-100’ 20’-100’

needs good drainage, beautiful bark

B-5Last Modified: July 2, 2014 North 40 Specific Plan

appendix BAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Common Open Space Trees (continued)

Cedrus Deodara Deodar Cedar N Moderate, Minimal Full E 80’ 40’ Well

drained soil

Koelreuteria Paniculata Goldenrain Tree N Moderate Full D 20’-35’ 25’-40’

Showy yellow flowers

Lagerstroemia Species Crape Myrtles N Moderate, Low Full D 15’-25' 20'-25'

flowering specimen, nice branch structure, beautiful flowers

B-6 draft | May 2014

appendixBAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Common Open Space Trees (continued)

Liquidambar Styraciflua Sweet Gum N Moderate Full D 60' 20'-25' fall color

Liriodendron Tulipifera Tulip Tree N Moderate Full D 60'-80' 40'

fall color, tulip like flowers

Magnolia Grandiflora

Southern Magnolia N Moderate Full,

Partial D/E 80' 60'

don't crowd, rich, well drained, neutral to slightly acidic

B-7Last Modified: July 2, 2014 North 40 Specific Plan

appendix BAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Common Open Space Trees (continued)

Magnolia Grandiflora "Little Gem"

Dwarf Southern Magnolia N Moderate Full E 8’ 12'-15'

neat small columnar tree, nice flowers, fragrance evergreen

Magnolia Soulangiana "Stellata"

Saucer Magnolia N Moderate Full, Partial D 12'-18' 6'-12'

flowering specimen, nice branch structure, beautiful flowers

Malus Floribunda "Parrsi" Pink Crabapple N Moderate Full D 12'-20' 12'-20'

small flowering tree, bears fruit (not very edible) but nice form

Pinus Canariensis Canary Island Pine N Minimal Full E 50'-80' 20'-35'

B-8 draft | May 2014

appendixBAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Common Open Space Trees (continued)

Pinus Pinea Italian Stone Pine N Minimal Full E 40'-80' 40'-60'

develops into an umbrella

Pistacia Chinensis Chinese Pistachio N Moderate,

Minimal Full D 30'-60' 30'-60' fall color, edible nuts

Platanus Racemosa Sycamore Y Moderate Full D 30'-80' 20'-50'tolerates heat and wind

B-9Last Modified: July 2, 2014 North 40 Specific Plan

appendix BAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Common Open Space Trees (continued)

Prunus Kwansan or Aki Bono Japanese Cherry N Moderate Full D 20’-25’ 20'-25'

flowering accent tree, formal shape, evokes orchard but no fruit

Quercus Agrifolia Coast Live Oak Y Minimal Full E 20'-70' 20'-70'

greedy roots, drops leaves in early spring

Quercus Douglasii Blue Oak Y Minimal Full D 30'-50' 40'-70' fall colors

B-10 draft | May 2014

appendixBAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Common Open Space Trees (continued)

Quercus Ilex Holly Oak N Minimal Full E 30'-60' 30'-60'

Quercus Lobata Valley Oak Y Minimal Full D 50'-70' 50'-70'

Quercus Suber Cork Oak N Minimal Full E 30'-60' 30'-60'

Zelkova Serrata Sawleaf Zelkova N Moderate Full D 60' 60'

good high canopy when trimmed

B-11Last Modified: July 2, 2014 North 40 Specific Plan

appendix BAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Specimen Trees

Acer Palmatum Japanese Maple N Moderate Partial, Shade D 20' 20' beautiful

fall color

Betula Utilis Jacquemontii Himalayan Birch N Moderate Full D 40' 20'

Cercidiphyllum Japonicum Katsura Tree N Moderate Full,

Partial D 40' 25' fall colors

Cercis Occidentalis Western Redbud Y Moderate, Minimal

Full, Partial D 10'-18' 10'-18' pink

blossoms

B-12 draft | May 2014

appendixBAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Street Trees

Cinnamomum Camphora Camphor Tree N Minimal Full,

Partial E 50'+ 60'some amount of litter

Ginkgo Biloba Maiden Hair Tree N Moderate Full D 30'-50' 15'-25'

Laurus Nobilis Sweet Bay N Moderate, Minimal

Full, Partial E 12'-40' 12'-40'

B-13Last Modified: July 2, 2014 North 40 Specific Plan

appendix BAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Street Trees (continued)

Liquidambar Styraciflua Sweet Gum N Moderate Full D 60' 20'-25' fall color

Magnolia Grandiflora

Southern Magnolia N Moderate Full,

Partial D/E 80' 60'

don't crowd, rich, well drained, neutral to slightly acidic

B-14 draft | May 2014

appendixBAppendix B - Tree List

Botanical Name Common Name Native? Water Needs Sunlight Type Height Width Notes

Street Trees (continued)

Melaleuca Linariifolia Melaleuca N Minimal Full E 20'-30' 20'-25'

Tilia Cordata Little Leaf Linden Y Moderate Full D 30'-50' 15'-30'

tolerant of city conditions

North 40 Specific Plan DRAFT Last Modified: July 2, 2014

Appendix C - Young Adult, Senior, and Empty Nester Design Summary

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RESIDENTIAL CHARACTERISTICS FOR SPECIFIC DEMOGRAPHICSAt the time of this Specific Plan, some of the unmet needs of the Town of Los Gatos include residential product types that respond to emerging needs of the senior, empty nester, and young adult population. The following is a summary of current trends associated with these demographics.

GEN Y Gen Y - The generation born between 1981 - 1999 (13-31 years old) - now larger than the baby boomer generation.

Gen Y residential/neighborhood design focuses on the wants and needs of the 20–30 year old. There are numerous articles written about Gen Y and the ways that new development can attract this demographic.

Below is a summary of key points of what Gen Y is looking for in their living spaces and neighborhoods:

• Smaller household sizes (more married couples without kids, more people living alone, and more single parents)

• Smaller units with some larger units featuring loft characteristics

• Loft characteristics include: Open floor plan; few, if any, bedrooms; unfinished character (exposed ductwork, brick; industrial look)

• Affordable studio units with ample common areas for socializing

• Denser neighborhoods - this generation is more ethnically diverse and more comfortable in denser housing alternatives

• Urban/infill locations or suburban mixed-use neighborhoods as they seek more activity and a sense of place

• Lifestyle amenities nearby: large coffee shops like Kreuzberg or Starbucks, entertainment, music, technology, theaters, restaurants, shopping, parks, nightlife, wine bars

• Cultural activities

• Walkable distance to services, activities, jobs, and transit

• Lively and vibrant neighborhood

• Amenities within living complex: common gathering areas, clubhouse, barbecue area, common gardens, fitness center, pool, hot tub, tanning beds, wine bar

• Safe

• Affordable

• Stairs are acceptable as opposed to elevators

• Architectural Design: flexible spaces (rooms that can be utilized for office, entertainment or sleeping) authentic, tall ceilings, environmentally friendly design elements, sunny protected plaza spaces, modern design elements, technologically advanced, environmentally efficient)

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• Walkable neighborhoods with public transit

• Affordable housing and services

• Access to quality health care

• Opportunities for continuing education, culture, and an active lifestyle

• Access to passive open space and trails

• Multi-generational settings

BABY BOOMERS Baby Boomers - the generation born between 1946 - 1964 (48-66 years old)

Residential design focused on attracting the ‘empty nester’ or move-down residential is a current trend for new development. The baby boomer generation is diverse and no one product type will suit their needs. Evidence suggests that as baby boomer households mature, a greater number of them will be interested in more housing options that are oriented towards smart growth principles, (a North 40 guiding principle in the 2020 General Plan).

The trends suggest that baby boomers want:

• Smart Growth developments in the suburbs. Despite speculation that a large number of maturing baby boomers will return to urban areas when they reach retirement age, the data suggests that only 11 percent of retirement-aged suburbanites have moved back to central cities. There is a greater tendency for baby boomers that are interested in being close to urban amenities to stay in the suburbs so there will be demand for Smart Growth developments in the suburban communities.

• Luxury move-down units

• On the luxury end, larger units ranging from 1,500 to over 2,000 sf; moderately priced housing could be smaller in size

• Stacked flats

• Elimination of stairs

• Low-maintenance balconies/terraces instead of yards

• Places where baby boomers can meet new friends, have a social life, live healthier, be close to essential services, and have low-maintenance housing. In a traditional retirement setting, the community center serves this purpose. In a smart growth setting a plaza, coffee shop, or bookstore will satisfy more sophisticated interests

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DESIGNING FOR GEN Y AND BABY BOOMERS How does design attract Gen Y and Baby Boomers instead of families?

There is an art to designing residential products to target certain generations. The desirable design characteristics are ever-evolving.

Some current trends include:

• Design of units (e.g., families want attached vs. detached units; yard vs. patio/terrace, direct access to yards vs. elevators – ease of access for riding a bike, playing outside, etc.)

• Size of units – typically for both the Gen Y and Baby Boomers, the units are smaller than those required for families; however, there are some hip Gen Y loft products and higher-end Baby Boomer products designed with larger footprints.

• Garage access – families prefer garages connected directly to homes (for storage, child safety, infant carrier, ease of access, unloading groceries, etc.)

• Density - higher density products (stacked flats) are not good for families due to noise issues (children running and playing in flats)

• Common amenities within complex (tot lots vs. wine bar)

• Amenities in the locale (nightlife, personal service and recreation vs. schools, parks and grocery stores)

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Appendix D - Los Gatos Sustainability Plan

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LOS GATOS SUSTAINABILITY PLAN EXCERPTS

TR-1a Emphasis on Pedestrian Entrances

Measure TR-1a requires all new buildings, excluding single-family homes, to include a principal functional entry that faces a public space such as a street, square, park, paseo, or plaza, in addition to any entrance from a parking lot, to encourage pedestrian foot traffic.

Action Items and Responsible Parties

To implement this measure, the Town will amend the Municipal Code and Design Guidelines to include this requirement. New residential and nonresidential development, except for single-family homes, will be subject to this requirement, incorporating it either into the project design or as mitigation in the applicable environmental document pursuant to the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). In addition, the Community Development Department will review architectural plans for consistency with this measure.

TR-1b Pedestrian or Bicycle Connections

Measure TR-1b requires new projects, excluding single-family homes, to include pedestrian or bicycle through-connections to existing sidewalks and existing or future bicycle facilities, unless prohibited by topographical conditions.

Action Items and Responsible Parties

To implement this measure, the Town will amend the Municipal Code and Design Guidelines to include this requirement. New residential and nonresidential development, except for single-family homes, will be subject to this requirement, incorporating it either into the project design or as mitigation in the applicable environmental document pursuant to CEQA. In addition, the Community Development Department will review development applications for consistency with this measure.

TR-4b Bicycle Facilities in Development Projects

Measure TR-4b requires bicycle parking facilities and on-site showers in major non-residential development and redevelopment projects.

Action Items and Responsible Parties

To implement this measure, the Town will amend the Municipal Code to include this requirement. Significant new non-residential development and redevelopment will be subject to this requirement, incorporating it either into the project design or as mitigation in the applicable environmental document pursuant to CEQA. In addition, the Community Development Department will review development applications for consistency with this measure.

TR-4b Bicycle Facilities in Development Projects

Measure TR-4b requires bicycle parking facilities and on-site showers in major non-residential development and redevelopment projects.

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Action Items and Responsible Parties

To implement this measure, the Town will amend the Municipal Code to include this requirement. Significant new non-residential development and redevelopment will be subject to this requirement, incorporating it either into the project design or as mitigation in the applicable environmental document pursuant to CEQA. In addition, the Community Development Department will review development applications for consistency with this measure.

GB-4 Solar Orientation

Measure GB-4 requires that development reduce energy use through solar orientation by taking advantage of shade, prevailing winds, landscaping, and sun screens.

RE-2 New Solar Homes Partnership

Measure RE-2 requires that residential projects of six units or more participate in the California Energy Commission’s New Solar Homes Partnership, which provides rebates to developers of six units or more who offer solar power in 50 percent of new units and is a component of the California Solar Initiative, or a similar program with solar power requirements equal to or greater than those of the California Energy Commission’s New Solar Homes Partnership.

RE-3 Renewable Energy Generation in Projects

Measure RE-3 requires that new or major rehabilitations of commercial, office, or industrial development greater than or equal to 20,000 square feet in size incorporate solar or other renewable energy generation to provide 15 percent or more of the project’s energy needs.

RE-5 Solar Ready Features

Measure RE-5 requires that all new buildings be constructed to allow for the easy, cost-effective installation of future solar energy systems, where feasible.

EC-1 Energy-Efficient Appliances and Lighting

Measure EC-1 requires new development to use energy-efficient appliances that meet ENERGY STAR standards and energy-efficient lighting technologies that exceed Title 24 standards by 30 percent.

EC-3 Energy-Efficient Outdoor Lighting

Measure EC-3 requires that outdoor lighting fixtures be energy-efficient.

EC-9 Heat Island Mitigation Plan

Measure EC-9 directs the Town to develop a “heat island” mitigation plan that requires cool roofs, cool pavements, and strategically placed shade trees.

EC-10 Heat Gain Reduction

Measure EC-10 requires all new development and major rehabilitation projects to incorporate strategies to reduce heat gain for 50 percent of the nonroof impervious site landscape.

WW-1 Water Use and Efficiency Requirements

Measure WW-1 requires all water use and efficiency measures identified as voluntary in the California Green Building Standards Code for all new development.

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WW-3 Bay Friendly Landscaping

Measure WW-3 requires new development to use native plants or other appropriate non-invasive plants that are drought-tolerant.

OS-1 Community Garden and Urban Farm Sites Inventory

Measure OS-1 directs the Town to identify and inventory potential community garden and urban farm sites, and develop a program to establish community gardens in appropriate locations. (We have a group that is pushing for community gardens at this site)

OS-2 Garden Areas in New Development

Measure OS-2 encourages significant new residential developments over 50 units to include space that can be used to grow food.

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Appendix E - Discretionary Approval Table

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Chapter Item SummaryDevelopment Review

CommitteePlanning

CommissionTown Council

2 Mixed-use parking reductionArchitecture and Site

Review (A & S)

2 Shared parking agreements Review and approval by Director of Community

Development

2North 40 Neighborhood identification signage

(entry features - location and quantity)Architecture and Site

Review (A & S)

2 Specific Plan standards and guidelines exceptionsArchitecture and Site

Review (A & S)

2Height exceptions (limited towers, spires, elevator penthouses…)

as described in Chapter 2 Architecture and Site

Review (A & S)

2Additional height allowances to the 35' or the 45' limits

in the Transition District per Chapter 2

Architecture and Site Review (A & S) and

Conditional Use Permit (CUP)

2Additional height for office (over 35') and hotel (over 45')

uses located in Transition and Northern Districts per Chapter 2

Architecture and Site Review (A & S) and

Conditional Use Permit (CUP)

2 Final street frontage setbacksArchitecture and Site

Review (A & S)

2 Reduced parking requirement for senior/affordable housingApproval by Director of

Community Development if findings can be made

2 Tandem parking restriction per Chapter 2Approval by the Director of Community Development

4 Street locations and dimensionsArchitecture and Site

Review (A & S)

6 Development applications for new structuresArchitecture and Site

Review (A & S)

Minor Specific Plan AmendmentDirector of Community

Development

6 Major Specific Plan AmendmentPlanning Commission

Recommendation Town Council Approval

Discretionary Approval Summary Table

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