Download - Deliverable 4.1 (D13)_Global Model_Annex1.pdf

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EUFrameworkProgramforResearchandInnovationactions(H2020LCE-21-2015)

ProjectNr:691287

GuidingEuropeanPolicytowardalow-carboneconomy.ModellingsustainableEnergy

systemDevelopmentunderEnvironmentalAndSocioeconomicconstraints

D4.1(D13)Annex1:VariablesReportofMEDEASGlobal(World)Model

Version3.0.0

Duedateofdeliverable: 30/06/2017 Actualsubmissiondate: 30/06/2017

Pg.MarítimdelaBarceloneta,[email protected]+34932309500F+34932309555


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DisclaimerofwarrantiesandlimitationofliabilitiesThisdocumenthasbeenpreparedbyMEDEASprojectpartnersasanaccountofworkcarriedoutwithintheframeworkoftheEC-GAcontractno691287.

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DocumentinfosheetLeadBeneficiary:UniversityofValladolid

WP:4,Modelbuildingandmodelsimplementation

Task:4.1,MEDEASModelandIOAimplementationatglobalgeographicallevel

Authors:

UVa: IñigoCapellán-Pérez (ICM-CSIC), Ignacio deBlas, JaimeNieto, Carlos deCastro, Luis JavierMiguel,MargaritaMediavilla,ÓscarCarpintero,PaulaRodrigo, FernandoFrechosoandSantiagoCáceres

Disseminationlevel:Public



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Annex1:DescriptionofVariables(0001)"'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA5') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA6') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA7') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA8') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA9') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA10') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA11') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA12') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA13') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA14') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"["Electric/electroniccomponents"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA15') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA16') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA17') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA18') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA19') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA20') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA21') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA22') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA23') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA24') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA25')



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"'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA26') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA27') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA28') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA29') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA30') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA31') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA32') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA33') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA34') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA35') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA36') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA37') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA38') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA39') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA40') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA41') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA42') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA43') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA44') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA45') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA46') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA47')



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"'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA48') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA49') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA50') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA51') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA52') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA53') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA54') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA55') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA56') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA57') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA58') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA59') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA60') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA61') "'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BA62') Units:Mt/Year (0002)"'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB5') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB6') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB7') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB8') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB9') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB10')



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"'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB11') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB12') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB13') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB14') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"["Electric/electroniccomponents"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB15') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB16') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB17') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB18') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB19') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB20') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB21') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB22') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB23') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB24') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB25') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB26') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB27') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB28') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB29') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB30') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB31') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB32')



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"'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB33') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB34') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB35') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB36') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB37') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB38') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB39') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB40') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB41') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB42') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB43') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB44') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB45') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB46') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB47') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB48') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB49') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB50') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB51') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB52') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB53') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB54')



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"'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB55') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB56') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB57') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB58') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB59') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB60') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB61') "'b'extractionprojectionminerals"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BB62') Units:Mt/Year (0003)"'dynamic'EROIRESelecvar"[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(CEDtotRESelecvar[RESelec,scenarios]=0,0,realgenerationRESelecEJ [RESelec,scenarios]/CEDtotRESelecvar [RESelec,scenarios]) Units:Dmnl EvolutionofEROIovertimeperRESvariabletechnology, consideringCEDdynamicovertime.(0004)"'static'EROIRESelec"[hydro,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch[hydro,scenarios]=0,0, outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec[hydro, scenarios]/(CEDtot over lifetime RES elec dispatch[hydro,scenarios]*quality ofelectricity [scenarios])) "'static'EROIRESelec"["geot-elec",scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch["geot-elec",scenarios ]=0,0,outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec[ "geot-elec",scenarios]/(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch["geot-elec" ,scenarios]*qualityofelectricity[scenarios])) "'static'EROIRESelec"["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch["solidbioE-elec",scenarios ]=0,0,outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec ["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]/(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch["solidbioE-elec" ,scenarios]*qualityofelectricity[scenarios])) "'static'EROIRESelec"[oceanic,scenarios]=



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IFTHENELSE(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch[oceanic,scenarios]=0, 0,outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec[oceanic ,scenarios]/(CEDtot over lifetime RES elec dispatch[oceanic,scenarios]*quality ofelectricity [scenarios])) "'static'EROIRESelec"[windonshore,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[windonshore,scenarios]=0, 0,outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec[windonshore ,scenarios]/CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[windonshore,scenarios]) "'static'EROIRESelec"[windoffshore,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[windoffshore,scenarios]=0 ,0,outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec[windoffshore ,scenarios]/CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[windoffshore,scenarios]) "'static'EROIRESelec"[solarPV,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(CEDtotover lifetimeRESelecvar[solarPV,scenarios]=0,0,outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec [solarPV, scenarios]/CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[solarPV,scenarios]) "'static'EROIRESelec"[CSP,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[CSP,scenarios]=0,0,outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec [CSP, scenarios]/CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[CSP,scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Energyreturnonenergyinvested(overthefulllifetimeofthe infrastructure)perREStechnologyforgeneratingelectricity.(0005)"'static'EROIgridRESelec"[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("'static'EROIRESelec"[RESelec,scenarios]<=0,0,(1-fractionstored [RESelec,scenarios]+fractionstored[RESelec ,scenarios]*rtelecstorageefficiency[scenarios])/(1/"'static'EROIRESelec" [RESelec,scenarios]+fractionstored[RESelec,scenarios ]*rtelecstorageefficiency[scenarios]/ESOIelecstorage[scenarios])) Units:Dmnl SystemEROIafteraccountingfortheenergylossesof electricitystorage.EquationfromBarnhartetal(2013).(0006)"'static'EROIgridtot-effectiveforallocationRESelec"[scenarios] = ZIDZ(SUM(outputelecoverlifetimeRESelecforallocation2[RESelec!,scenarios ]),SUM(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecforallocation[RESelec!,scenarios] )) Units:Dmnl EROIoftheaggregatedoutputsandinputsofRESforgenerating



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electricity.(0007)"'static'EROItotRESelec"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(SUM(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelec[RESelec!,scenarios])<0,0 ,SUM(outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec [RESelec!,scenarios])/(SUM(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelec[RESelec!,scenarios ]))) Units:Dmnl EROIoftheaggregatedoutputsandinputsofRESforgenerating electricity.(0008)"'static'EROItot-effectiveforallocationRESelec"[scenarios]= ZIDZ(SUM(outputelecoverlifetimeRESelecforallocation[RESelec!,scenarios ]),SUM(CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecforallocation[RESelec!,scenarios] )) Units:Dmnl EROIoftheaggregatedoutputsandinputsofRESforgenerating electricity.(0009)alinealregr[scenarios]= (initialESOIPHS-ESOIPHSfullpotential)/(0-maxcapacitypotentialPHS[ scenarios]) Units:**undefined** (0010)AMatrix[sectors,sectors1]= IFTHENELSE(Time<1996,Amatrix1995[sectors,sectors1],IFTHENELSE(Time <1997,Amatrix1996[sectors ,sectors1],IFTHENELSE(Time<1998,Amatrix1997[sectors,sectors1],IFTHENELSE (Time<1999,Amatrix1998[sectors,sectors1],IFTHENELSE(Time<2000,Amatrix1999 [sectors,sectors1],IFTHENELSE(Time<2001,Amatrix2000[sectors,sectors1 ],IFTHENELSE( Time<2002,Amatrix2001[sectors,sectors1],IFTHENELSE(Time<2003,Amatrix2002 [sectors,sectors1],IFTHENELSE(Time<2004,Amatrix2003[sectors,sectors1 ],IFTHENELSE(Time<2005,Amatrix2004[sectors,sectors1],IFTHENELSE(Time <2006,Amatrix2005[sectors,sectors1],IFTHENELSE(Time<2007,Amatrix2006 [sectors,sectors1],IFTHENELSE(Time<2008,Amatrix2007[sectors,sectors1 ],IFTHENELSE(Time<2009,Amatrix2008[sectors,sectors1],Amatrix2009[ sectors,sectors1])))))))))))))) Units:Dmnl LeontiefMatrix(1995-2009).WIODdata(0011)A1coeftH= ((Liq4w0/DemandH0)-(A2coeftH*percent2wliq0))/percent4wliq0 Units:EJ/T$



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Coeficientsforthecalculationofvariationsoftrasnport intensitiesA1=(LHt(0)/DH(0)-A2%Hliq2w)/%Hliq(0012)A2coeftH= Electricity2wE0/(DemandH0*percentHvehicles initial[elec2wheels]*savinratio2wE ) Units:EJ/T$ Coeficientsforthecalculationofvariationsoftrasnport intensitiesA2=EH2w(0)/(DH(0)%HE2w·srE2w)=(0013)abundancecoal[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]>PEDcoalEJ[scenarios],1,1-ZIDZ ((PEDcoalEJ[scenarios]-extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]),PEDcoalEJ[scenarios ])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Abundance=1while thesupplycoversthedemand;theclosestto0indicatesa higherdivergencebetweensupplyanddemand.(0014)Abundanceelectricity[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(TotalFEElecgenerationTWh[scenarios]>TotalFEElecdemandTWh [scenarios],1,1-((TotalFEElecdemandTWh[scenarios]-TotalFEElecgenerationTWh [scenarios])/TotalFEElecdemandTWh[scenarios])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Abundance=1while thesupplycoversthedemand;theclosestto0indicatesa higherdivergencebetweensupplyanddemand.(0015)abundancegases[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(PEDgases[scenarios]<PESgases[scenarios],1,1-(PEDgases[scenarios ]-PESgases[scenarios])/PEDgases[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Abundance=1while thesupplycoversthedemand;theclosestto0indicatesa higherdivergencebetweensupplyanddemand.(0016)Abundanceheat[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(TotalFEHeatgenerationEJ[scenarios]>TotalFEDHeatEJ[scenarios ],1,1-((TotalFEDHeatEJ[scenarios]-TotalFEHeatgenerationEJ[scenarios ])/TotalFEDHeatEJ[scenarios])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Abundance=1while thesupplycoversthedemand;theclosestto0indicatesa



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higherdivergencebetweensupplyanddemand.(0017)abundanceliquids[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios]<PESLiquidsEJ[scenarios],1,1-(( PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios]-PESLiquidsEJ[scenarios])/PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios ])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Abundance=1while thesupplycoversthedemand;theclosestto0indicatesa higherdivergencebetweensupplyanddemand.(0018)abundanceliquidsCTL[scenarios]= SQRT(ABS((PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios]-CTLpotentialproduction[scenarios])/ PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios])) Units:Dmnl VariabletomoderatethegrowthofCTLwhenitcomescloseto supplyalltheliquids.Thisvariablelimitsthegrowthofa technologysupplyingaparticularfinalenergytypewhenits supplyincreasesitsshareinrelationtothetotalsupplyof thisenergytype(toavoidovershootings).(0019)abundanceliquidsGTL[scenarios]= SQRT(ABS((PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios]-GTLpotentialproduction[scenarios])/ PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios])) Units:Dmnl VariabletomoderatethegrowthofGTLwhenitcomescloseto supplyalltheliquids.Thisvariablelimitsthegrowthofa technologysupplyingaparticularfinalenergytypewhenits supplyincreasesitsshareinrelationtothetotalsupplyof thisenergytype(toavoidovershootings).(0020)abundanceofenergy[scenarios,liquids]= abundanceliquids[scenarios] abundanceofenergy[scenarios,gases]= abundancegases[scenarios] abundanceofenergy[scenarios,solids]= abundancesolids[scenarios] abundanceofenergy[scenarios,electricity]= 1 abundanceofenergy[scenarios,heat]= 1 Units:**undefined** (0021)abundanceofenergyH[scenarios,liquids]=



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abundanceliquids[scenarios] abundanceofenergyH[scenarios,gases]= abundancegases[scenarios] abundanceofenergyH[scenarios,solids]= abundancesolids[scenarios] abundanceofenergyH[scenarios,electricity]= 1 abundanceofenergyH[scenarios,heat]= 1 Units:**undefined** (0022)abundanceRESelec[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(TotalFEElecdemandafterprioritiesTWh[scenarios]=0,0, IF THEN ELSE(Total FE Elec demand after priorities TWh[scenarios] > FE real totgenerationRESelecTWh [scenarios], (TotalFEElecdemandafterprioritiesTWh[scenarios]-FErealtotgenerationRESelecTWh [scenarios])/TotalFEElecdemandafterprioritiesTWh[scenarios],0)) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Theclosestto1 indicatesthatelectricitygenerationfromRESisfartocover towholeelectricitydemand,if"abundanceRESelec"=0itmeans thatRESeleccoverthewholeelectricitydemand.(0023)abundanceRESheat0[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("FEDHeat-comafterprioritiesEJ"[scenarios]=0,0,ZIDZ(("FEDHeat-comafterprioritiesEJ" [scenarios]-FErealsupplyRESforheattotEJ0[scenarios]),"FEDHeat-comafterprioritiesEJ" [scenarios])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Theclosestto1 indicatesthatheatgenerationfromRESisfartocovertowhole heatdemand,if"abundanceRESheat"=0itmeansthatRESheat coverthewholeheatdemand.IFTHENELSE(TotalFEDHeatEJ delayed1yr[scenarios]=0,0,IFTHENELSE(TotalFEDHeatEJ delayed1yr[scenarios]>FErealsupplyRESforheattot EJ[scenarios],(TotalFEDHeatEJdelayed1yr[scenarios]-FEreal supplyRESforheattotEJ[scenarios])/TotalFEDHeatEJdelayed 1yr[scenarios],0))(0024)"abundanceRESheat-com"[scenarios]=



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IFTHENELSE("FEDHeat-comafterprioritiesEJ"[scenarios]=0,0,ZIDZ(("FEDHeat-comafterprioritiesEJ" [scenarios]-"FE real supply RES for heat-com tot EJ"[scenarios]) , "FED Heat-com afterprioritiesEJ" [scenarios])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Theclosestto1 indicatesthatheatgenerationfromRESisfartocovertowhole heatdemand,if"abundanceRESheat"=0itmeansthatRESheat coverthewholeheatdemand.IFTHENELSE(TotalFEDHeatEJ delayed1yr[scenarios]=0,0,IFTHENELSE(TotalFEDHeatEJ delayed1yr[scenarios]>FErealsupplyRESforheattot EJ[scenarios],(TotalFEDHeatEJdelayed1yr[scenarios]-FEreal supplyRESforheattotEJ[scenarios])/TotalFEDHeatEJdelayed 1yr[scenarios],0))(0025)"abundanceRESheat-com2"[scenarios]= SQRT("abundanceRESheat-com"[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Adaptationoftheparameterabundanceforbetterbehaviourof themodel.(0026)"abundanceRESheat-nc"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("TotalFEDHeat-ncEJ"[scenarios]=0,0,ZIDZ(("TotalFEDHeat-ncEJ" [scenarios]-"FErealsupplyRESforheat-nctotEJ"[scenarios]),"TotalFEDHeat-ncEJ" [scenarios])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Theclosestto1 indicatesthatheatgenerationfromRESisfartocovertowhole heatdemand,if"abundanceRESheat"=0itmeansthatRESheat coverthewholeheatdemand.IFTHENELSE(TotalFEDHeatEJ delayed1yr[scenarios]=0,0,IFTHENELSE(TotalFEDHeatEJ delayed1yr[scenarios]>FErealsupplyRESforheattot EJ[scenarios],(TotalFEDHeatEJdelayed1yr[scenarios]-FEreal supplyRESforheattotEJ[scenarios])/TotalFEDHeatEJdelayed 1yr[scenarios],0))(0027)"abundanceRESheat-nc2"[scenarios]= SQRT("abundanceRESheat-nc"[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Adaptationoftheparameterabundanceforbetterbehaviourof themodel.(0028)abundanceRESheat20[scenarios]=



16

SQRT(abundanceRESheat0[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Adaptationoftheparameterabundanceforbetterbehaviourof themodel.(0029)abundancesolids[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(PESsolids[scenarios]>PEDsolids[scenarios],1,1-((PEDsolids [scenarios]- PESsolids[scenarios])/PEDsolids[scenarios])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Abundance=1while thesupplycoversthedemand;theclosestto0indicatesa higherdivergencebetweensupplyanddemand.(0030)abundanceTPE[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(TPESEJ[scenarios]>TPEDbyfuel[scenarios],1,1-((TPEDbyfuel [scenarios]-TPESEJ[scenarios])/TPEDbyfuel[scenarios])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Abundance=1while thesupplycoversthedemand;theclosestto0indicatesa higherdivergencebetweensupplyanddemand.(0031)abundanceunconvoil[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]=0,0, IFTHENELSE(PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]>realextractionunconvoilEJ[ scenarios], (PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]-realextractionunconvoilEJ[scenarios])/PEDtotaloilEJ [scenarios],0)) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Theclosestto1 indicatesthatunconventionaloilextractioneisfartocoverto wholeoildemand,if"abundanceunconvoil"=0itmeansthat unconventionaloilextractioncoversthewholedemandofoil.(0032)abundanceunconvoildelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( abundanceunconvoil[scenarios],1,1) Units:Dmnl (0033)abundanceunconvoilstock[scenarios]=INTEG( increaseabundanceunconvoil[scenarios], 1) Units:Dmnl (0034)abundanceunconvoil2[scenarios]=



17

abundanceunconvoilstock[scenarios] Units:Dmnl Adaptationoftheparameterabundanceforbetterbehaviourof themodel.Thisvariablelimitsthegrowthofatechnology supplyingaparticularfinalenergytypewhenitssupply increasesitsshareinrelationtothetotalsupplyofthis energytype(toavoidovershootings).(0035)abundanceuranium[scenarios]= IF THEN ELSE(PE demand uranium EJ[scenarios]=0, 1, IF THEN ELSE(extractionuraniumEJ [scenarios]>PEdemanduraniumEJ [scenarios],1,1-((PEdemanduraniumEJ[scenarios]-extractionuraniumEJ [scenarios])/PEdemanduraniumEJ[scenarios]))) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Abundance=1while thesupplycoversthedemand;theclosestto0indicatesa higherdivergencebetweensupplyanddemand.(0036)"activateELFallscen?"[scenarios]= 1 Units:Dmnl Active/deactivatetheenergylossfunctionbyscenario:1: activate0:notactive(0037)"activateELFbyscen?"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C119') "activateELFbyscen?"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C119') "activateELFbyscen?"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C119') "activateELFbyscen?"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C119') "activateELFbyscen?"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C119') "activateELFbyscen?"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C119') Units:Dmnl Active/deactivatetheenergylossfunctionbyscenario:1: activate0:notactive(0038)"ActivateEROIFCfeedback?"= 1 Units:Dmnl



18

0-EROIFCfeedbackNOTactivated1-EROIFCfeedabckactivated(0039)Activatepolicy2050Htransp[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C171') Activatepolicy2050Htransp[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C171') Activatepolicy2050Htransp[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C171') Activatepolicy2050Htransp[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C171') Activatepolicy2050Htransp[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C171') Activatepolicy2050Htransp[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C171') Units:**undefined** 1tosetgrowthofalternativehouseholdstransportationbased ondesiredsharein2050,0forBAUlineargrowth(0040)Activatepolicy2050inlandT[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C172') Activatepolicy2050inlandT[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C172') Activatepolicy2050inlandT[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C172') Activatepolicy2050inlandT[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C172') Activatepolicy2050inlandT[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C172') Activatepolicy2050inlandT[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C172') Units:**undefined** 1tosetgrowthofalternativeinlandtransportationbasedon desiredsharein2050,0forBAUlineargrowth(0041)AdaptCO2emissionsunconvgas[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2050,0.01+(0.22-0.01)*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2000 )/50,IFTHENELSE(Time<2100,0.22+(0.6-0.22)*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time) -2050)/50,0.6)) Units:Dmnl Unconventionalgasemissionsare3,53tCO2/toevs2,35for conventional.Sincewehaveallnaturalgasmodeledinan aggregatedmanner,thisfunctioncorrectstheseemissions assumingthatunconventionalgaswouldfollowtheshareun relationtonaturalgasasestimatedby[Mohr&Evans2011](BG)for



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2050and2100(linearinterpolation).(0042)Adaptemissionsshaleoil[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2050,0.001+(0.15-0.001)*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2000 )/50,IFTHENELSE(Time<2100,0.15+(0.72-0.15)*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time )-2050)/50,0.72)) Units:Dmnl Shaleoilemissionsare6,14tCO2/toevs3,84forunconventional oil.Sincewehaveunconventionaloilsinanaggregatedmanner, thisfunctionscorrectstheseemissionsassumingthatshaleoil wouldfollowtheshareinrelationtothetotalunconventional oilasestimatedby[Mohr&Evans2010](LowCase)for2050and2100 (linearinterpolation)(0043)adaptgrowthbiofuels2gen[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0,IFTHENELSE(Time<2020,pastbiofuels2gen+(Pbiofuels2gen [scenarios]-pastbiofuels2gen)*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2015)/5,Pbiofuels2gen [scenarios])) Units:1/Year Modelingofasofttransitionfromcurrenthistoricannual growthtoreachthepolicy-objective5yearslater.IFTHEN ELSE(Time<2015,0,IFTHENELSE(Time<2020,pastsolar+(P solar[scenarios]-pastsolar)*(Time dmnl[scenarios](Time)-2015)/5,Psolar[scenarios]))(0044)adaptgrowthbiogas[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,pastbiogasgrowth,IFTHENELSE(Time<2020,pastbiogasgrowth +(growthbiogas[scenarios]-pastbiogasgrowth)*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time) -2015)/5,growthbiogas[scenarios])) Units:1/Year Annualgrowthperforbiogas.Modelingofasofttransitionfrom currenthistoricannualgrowthtoreachthepolicy-objective5 yearslater.(0045)adaptgrowthRESelecafterallocation[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(activateEROIallocationrule=0,adaptgrowthRESelec[RESelec ,scenarios],adaptgrowthRESelec[RESelec ,scenarios]*EROI allocation rule per RES elec[RES elec,scenarios])*remainingpotentialelecstoragebyREStechn2 [scenarios,RESelec] Units:Dmnl AnnualgrowthperRESelectechnologyafteraccountingforthe



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allocationrule.(0046)adaptgrowthRESforheat0[RESheat,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,"pastRESgrowthforheat-com0"[RESheat],IFTHENELSE (Time<2019,"pastRESgrowthforheat-com0"[RESheat]+ (PRESforheat0[RESheat,scenarios]-"pastRESgrowthforheat-com0"[RESheat ])*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2014)/5,PRESforheat0[RESheat,scenarios ])) Units:1/Year Modelingofasofttransitionfromcurrenthistoricannual growthtoreachthepolicy-objective5yearslater.(0047)"adaptgrowthRESforheat-com"[RESheat,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,"pastRESgrowthforheat-com"[RESheat],IFTHENELSE (Time<2019,"pastRESgrowthforheat-com"[RESheat]+ (PRESforheat[RESheat,scenarios]-"pastRESgrowthforheat-com"[RESheat ])*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2014)/5,PRESforheat[RESheat,scenarios] )) Units:1/Year Modelingofasofttransitionfromcurrenthistoricannual growthtoreachthepolicy-objective5yearslater.(0048)"adaptgrowthRESforheat-nc"[RESheat,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,"pastRESgrowthforheat-nc"[RESheat],IFTHENELSE (Time<2019,"pastRESgrowthforheat-nc" [RESheat]+(PRESforheat[RESheat,scenarios]-"pastRESgrowthforheat-nc" [RESheat])*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2014 )/5,PRESforheat[RESheat,scenarios]))*"Deactivateheatdemcorrection?" Units:1/Year Modelingofasofttransitionfromcurrenthistoricannual growthtoreachthepolicy-objective5yearslater.(0049)adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,vehicleT]= auxPinlandtransp[scenarios,vehicleT]*EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios ,vehicleT] Units:**undefined** Growthofpercentofvehiclesadaptedtosaturationandshorgate ofenergy(0050)adjustenergyfortransporttoinlandtransport= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G72') Units:**undefined** 'InternationalEnergyAgency(2016),EnergyTechnology Perspectives2016,OECD/IEA,considersin2015about34EJof



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liquidsforcommercialtransport.HoweverWIODdatabase considerstoinlandtransportsectorabout12EJ.Provisionally, weadjustOECD/IEAdatatoWIOD.WeconsiderOECD/IEAdatain relativeterms(0051)adjustexogenousGDPgrowthrate= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G73') Units:Dmnl AdjustinexogenousGDPgrowthin2009-2014period(provisional(0052)aux1[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( "share-ElossesCClogisticuntil2015"[scenarios],0.03125,0) Units:Dmnl Auxiliaryvariabletoestimatetheenergylossesduetoclimate changeimpactsintheyear2015.(0053)aux2[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( overdemandelectotuntil2015[scenarios],0.03125,0) Units:Dmnl Auxiliaryvariabletoestimatetheoverdemandduetoelectricity EROIintheyear2015.(0054)aux4[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( EROIstuntil2015[scenarios],TIMESTEP,"EROIst(1995)") Units:Dmnl AuxiliaryvariabletoestimatetheEROIstofthesysteminthe year2015.(0055)batnumber2w[scenarios]= NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,elec2wheels]*bateriesratio2wE Units:**undefined** (0056)batnumberEV[scenarios]= NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,elec4wheels]+vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,LVelec ]+vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,buselec]*bateriesratiobusE Units:**undefined** (0057)batnumberhib0[scenarios]= vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,LVhib]*bateriesratiohibLV+vehiclesinlandT [scenarios,HVhib]*bateriesratiohibHV+vehiclesinlandT [scenarios,bushib]*bateriesratiohibbus+NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,hib4wheels ]*bateriesratiohibLV Units:**undefined** sumolasbateriasdetodosloshibridos,tantodeHcomodel



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sector,lasdelospesadoslasmultiplicoporunfactorporque sonmasgrandes(0058)"bateriesEV+hib+2wE"[scenarios]=INTEG( newbateries[scenarios]-discardedbateries[scenarios], 1) Units:**undefined** (0059)abundanceRESelec2[scenarios]= SQRT(abundanceRESelec[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Adaptationoftheparameterabundanceforbetterbehaviourof themodel.(0060)"abundancetotalnat.gas"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios]<"PESnat.gas"[scenarios],1,1 -ZIDZ(("PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios]-"PESnat.gas"[scenarios]),"PEDnat.gasEJ" [scenarios])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Abundance=1while thesupplycoversthedemand;theclosestto0indicatesa higherdivergencebetweensupplyanddemand.(0061)ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[MiningandQuarrying]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[FoodBeveragesandTobacco]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[TextilesandTextileProducts]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[LeatherLeatherandFootwear]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[RubberandPlastics]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[OtherNonMetalicMineral]=



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0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[MachineryNec]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[TransportEquipment]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[ManufacturingNecRecycling]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[Construction]= 0 Activate BOTTOM UP method[Sale Maintenance and Repair of Motor Vehicles andaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[Wholesale Trade andCommissions Trade Except ofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[HotelsandRestaurants]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[InlandTransport]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DL2') ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[WaterTransport]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[AirTransport]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[PostandTelecommunications]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[FinancialIntermedation]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[RealEstateActivities]=



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0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[Education]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[HealthandSocialWork]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices]= 0 ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons]= 0 Units:Dmnl 0.Bottom-upNOTactivated1.Bottom-upactivated(0062)activateEROIallocationrule= 1 Units:Dmnl Activate/DeactivateEROIallocationrulefortheRESelec technologies:1.Activated0.Deactivated(0063)adaptgrowthRESelec[hydro,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[hydro],IFTHENELSE (Time<2020,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[hydro]+(RESelecgrowth[hydro,scenarios ]-pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[hydro])*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2015)/ 5,RESelecgrowth[hydro,scenarios])) adaptgrowthRESelec["geot-elec",scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2013,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth["geot-elec"],IFTHENELSE (Time<2018,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth["geot-elec"]+(RESelecgrowth ["geot-elec",scenarios]-pastRESeleccapacitygrowth["geot-elec"])*(Timedmnl [scenarios](Time)-2013)/5,RESelecgrowth["geot-elec", scenarios ])) adaptgrowthRESelec["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2013,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth["solidbioE-elec"], IFTHENELSE(Time<2018,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth["solidbioE-elec"]+ (RESelecgrowth["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]-pastRESeleccapacitygrowth ["solidbioE-elec"])*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2013)/5,RESelecgrowth[ "solidbioE-elec",scenarios])) adaptgrowthRESelec[oceanic,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[oceanic],IFTHENELSE (Time<2019,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[oceanic]+(RESelecgrowth[oceanic



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,scenarios]-pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[oceanic])*(Timedmnl[scenarios ](Time)-2014)/5,RESelecgrowth[oceanic,scenarios])) adaptgrowthRESelec[windonshore,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[windonshore],IFTHENELSE (Time<2020,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[windonshore]+(RESelecgrowth [windonshore,scenarios]-pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[windonshore])*(Timedmnl [scenarios](Time)-2015)/5,RESelecgrowth[windonshore ,scenarios])) adaptgrowthRESelec[windoffshore,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[windoffshore],IFTHENELSE (Time<2019,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[windoffshore]+(RESelecgrowth [windoffshore,scenarios]-pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[windoffshore])* (Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2014)/5,RESelecgrowth[windoffshore ,scenarios])) adaptgrowthRESelec[solarPV,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[solarPV],IFTHENELSE (Time<2019,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[solarPV]+(RESelecgrowth[solarPV ,scenarios]-pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[solarPV])*(Timedmnl[scenarios ](Time)-2014)/5,RESelecgrowth[solarPV,scenarios])) adaptgrowthRESelec[CSP,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[CSP],IFTHENELSE( Time<2019,pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[CSP]+(RESelecgrowth[CSP,scenarios ]- pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[CSP])*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2014)/5,RESelecgrowth [CSP,scenarios])) Units:1/Year AnnualgrowthperRESelectechnology.Modelingofasoft transitionfromcurrenthistoricannualgrowthtoreachthe policy-objective5yearslater.(0064)adaptgrowthwaste[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,Pastwastegrowth,IFTHENELSE(Time<2020,Pastwastegrowth +(wastechange[scenarios]-Pastwastegrowth )*(Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)-2015)/5,wastechange[scenarios])) Units:1/Year Modelingofasofttransitionfromcurrenthistoricannual growthtoreachthepolicy-objective5yearslater.(0065)AdditionalPEproductionofbioenergyforbiofuels[scenarios]= PEbiomassforbiofuelsproductionEJ[scenarios]-OilliquidssavedbybiofuelsEJ [scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Additionalprimaryenergydemandofbioenergy(NPP)forbiofuels



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inrelationtothePEavail.Weassumethan1unitofenergyof biofuelssubstitutes1unitofenergyofoil.(0066)Afforestationprogram2020GtCO2[scenarios]= Afforestationprogram2020*activateAfforesprogram[scenarios]/(CperCO2 *MtperGt) Units:GtCO2/Year Annualemissionscapturedbytheafforestationprogram.(0067)"Allmineralsvirgin?"= 1 Units:Dmnl 0.Allmineralsarevirgin:currentandfuturerecyclingrates setto0%(pptiontocomparewithresultsofflineMEDEAS).1. Realshareofvirgin/recycledminerals(fornormalsimulations).(0068)alogistic= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','H111') Units:Dmnl Valueofparameter"a"inthelogisticequation.(0069)Amatrix1995[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','A246') Units:**undefined** (0070)Amatrix1996[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','AJ246') Units:**undefined** (0071)Amatrix1997[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','BS246') Units:**undefined** (0072)Amatrix1998[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','DB246') Units:**undefined** (0073)Amatrix1999[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','EK246') Units:**undefined** (0074)Amatrix2000[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','FT246') Units:**undefined**



27

(0075)Amatrix2001[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','HC246') Units:**undefined** (0076)Amatrix2002[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','IL246') Units:**undefined** (0077)Amatrix2003[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','JU246') Units:**undefined** (0078)Amatrix2004[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','LD246') Units:**undefined** (0079)Amatrix2005[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','MM246') Units:**undefined** (0080)Amatrix2006[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','NV246') Units:**undefined** (0081)Amatrix2007[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','PE246') Units:**undefined** (0082)Amatrix2008[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','QN246') Units:**undefined** (0083)Amatrix2009[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','RW246') Units:**undefined** (0084)abundancetotaloil[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]<PESoilEJ[scenarios],1,1-ZIDZ ((PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]-PESoilEJ[scenarios]),PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios ])) Units:Dmnl Theparameterabundancevariesbetween(1;0).Abundance=1while thesupplycoversthedemand;theclosestto0indicatesa



28

higherdivergencebetweensupplyanddemand.(0085)activateAfforesprogram[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','B65') activateAfforesprogram[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','B65') activateAfforesprogram[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','B65') activateAfforesprogram[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','B65') activateAfforesprogram[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','B65') activateAfforesprogram[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','B65') Units:Dmnl 1.Activated.2.No.(0086)Additionallandcompetavailableforbiofuels[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C41') Additionallandcompetavailableforbiofuels[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C41') Additionallandcompetavailableforbiofuels[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C41') Additionallandcompetavailableforbiofuels[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C41') Additionallandcompetavailableforbiofuels[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C41') Additionallandcompetavailableforbiofuels[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C41') Units:MHa/Year Availablelandforbiofuelsincompetitionwithotheruses dependingonthescenario.(0087)"AdditionalPEproductionofCTL+GTLforliquids"[scenarios]= PEDcoalforCTLEJ[scenarios]+"PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ"[scenarios]-"FESCTL+GTLEJ" [scenarios] Units:EJ/Year AdditionalprimaryenergyproductionofCTLandGTLforliquids. Weneedtoaccountforthisdifferencesincetheoilreplacedby CTLliquidsisaccountedforprimaryenergyinWoLiM,while thereareadditionallossestoprocesscoaltoobtainCTL (requiredtobalancetheTPESwiththeTPED).(0088)Afforestationprogram2020:INTERPOLATE::=



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GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','125','C126') Units:MtC/Year Afforestationprogramfrom2020following[Nilsson1995](time toinversethedeforestationtrend).(0089)Annualadditionalhistoriclandusebiofuels2gen[scenarios]= Annual additional historic product biofuels 2gen*EJ per ktoe/Land productivitybiofuels2genEJMHa Units:MHa/Year (0090)Annualadditionalhistoricproductbiofuels2gen= IF THEN ELSE(Time<2015, Historic produc biofuels 2gen(Time+1)-Historic producbiofuels2gen (Time),0) Units:ktoe/Year Annualadditionalhistoricproductionofliquidsfrombiofuels ethanolandbiodiesel,ktoe/Year(1990-2015).Ref:BP2016.(0091)AnnualGDPgrowthrate[scenarios]= -1+GDP[scenarios]/GDPdelayed1yr[scenarios] Units:Dmnl AnnualGDPgrowthrate.(0092)AnnualshareRESvsTFECgrowthrate[scenarios]= -1+shareRESvsTFEC[scenarios]/shareRESvsTFECdelayed1yr[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (0093)AnnualshareRESvsTPESgrowthrate[scenarios]= -1+shareRESvsTPES[scenarios]/shareRESvsTPESdelayed1yr[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (0094)AnnualTFECRESgrowthrate[scenarios]= -1+TFECRESEJ[scenarios]/TFECRESdelayed1yr[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (0095)AnnualTPESRESgrowthrate[scenarios]= -1+TPEfromRESEJ[scenarios]/TPESRESdelayed1yr[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (0096)"Annualvariationnon-energyuse"[scenarios,finalsources]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2009,"variationnon-energyuse"[finalsources,scenarios ],"Historicnon-energyuse"[finalsources](Time+1)-"Historicnon-energyuse" [finalsources](Time)) Units:EJ



30

Annualvariationnon-energyusebyfinalfuel.(0097)AtmosUOceanTemp[scenarios]=INTEG( ChgAUOTemp[scenarios], initAtmosUOceanTemp) Units:DegreesC TemperatureoftheAtmosphereandUpperOcean[T](degreesC) [Cowles,pg.24]Historicaldatafrom: http://cdiac.ornl.gov/ftp/trends/temp/hansen/gl_land_ocean.txt(0098)auxhistH[scenarios,liq4wheels]= -histvarpercentH[scenarios,hib4wheels]-histvarpercentH[scenarios,elec4wheels ]-histvarpercentH[scenarios,gas4wheels] auxhistH[scenarios,hib4wheels]= histvarpercentH[scenarios,hib4wheels] auxhistH[scenarios,elec4wheels]= histvarpercentH[scenarios,elec4wheels] auxhistH[scenarios,liq2wheels]= -histvarpercentH[scenarios,elec2wheels] auxhistH[scenarios,elec2wheels]= histvarpercentH[scenarios,elec2wheels] auxhistH[scenarios,gas4wheels]= histvarpercentH[scenarios,gas4wheels] Units:**undefined** auxiliarvariabletosetthevariationofliquidvehicles(0099)auxPinlandtransp[scenarios,vehicleT]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2050,IFTHENELSE(Activatepolicy2050inlandT[scenarios ]=1 :AND:Time>TpolicyT[scenarios], (P inlandT 2050[scenarios,vehicleT]-initial percent Tvehicles [vehicleT])/(2050-TpolicyT[scenarios]),histvarinlandT[scenarios,vehicleT ]),0) Units:**undefined** (0100)aux3[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( qualityofelectricity2015[scenarios],0.03125,0.75) Units:Dmnl Auxiliaryvariabletoestimatethequalityofelectricityuntil theyear2015.(0101)availableimprovementefficiency[scenarios,sectors]= MIN(1,IFTHENELSE(Time>2009,ZIDZ((Globalenergyintensitybysector[scenarios ,sectors]-(minenergy intensityvs intial[scenarios]*Initialglobalenergy intensitybysector2009



31

[sectors])),0.7*Initialglobalenergyintensitybysector2009[sectors]), 1)) Units:**undefined** (0102)availableimprovementefficiencyH[scenarios]= MIN(1,IFTHENELSE(Time>2009,ZIDZ((GlobalenergyintensityH[scenarios] -(minenergyintensityvsintialH[scenarios]*InitialglobalenergyintensityH2009 )),0.7*InitialglobalenergyintensityH2009),1)) Units:**undefined** (0103)availablePEpotentialsolidbioEforelecEJ[scenarios]= MAX(0,"TotalPEsolidbioEpotentialheat+elecEJ"[scenarios]-"PESRESforheat-combytechn" ["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]-"PESRESforheat-ncbytechn"["solidbioE-heat" ,scenarios]) Units:EJ Available(primaryenergy)potentialsolidbioenergyfor electricity.(0104)availablePEpotentialsolidbioEforheatEJ[scenarios]= MAX(0, "Total PE solid bioE potential heat+elec EJ"[scenarios]-PE bioE for ElecgenerationEJ [scenarios]) Units:EJ Available(primaryenergy)potentialsolidbioenergyforheat.(0105)availablepotentialFEsolidbioEforelecEJ[scenarios]= availablePEpotentialsolidbioEforelecEJ[scenarios]*efficiencyconversionbioEtoElec Units:EJ Available(finalenergy)potentialsolidbioenergyfor electricity.(0106)AverageAtmosRetention[scenarios]= (CO2NetEmiss[scenarios]-CO2Storage[scenarios])/TotalCarbonEmisions[scenarios ] Units:Dmnl Averageatmosphericretention.(0107)Averageelecconsumptionpercapita[scenarios]= TotalFEElecconsumptionTWh[scenarios]*kWhperTWh/Population[scenarios ] Units:kWh/people Electricityconsumptionpercapita(kWhpercapita).



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(0108)"AverageTPESpc(withouttradbiomass)"[scenarios]= "TPES (without trad biomass)"[scenarios]*GJ per EJ/Pop not dependent on tradbiomass [scenarios] Units:GJ/people AveragepercapitaTPESwithoutaccountingfortheenergy suppliedbytraditionalbiomass.Thepopulationconsideredfor estimatingtheaverageisnottheglobalpopulation,butthe shareofthepopulationnotrelyingontraditionalbiomassfor coveringtheirenergyuses.(0109)blinealregr[scenarios]= ESOIPHSfullpotential-alinealregr[scenarios]*maxcapacitypotentialPHS [scenarios] Units:**undefined** (0110)blogistic= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','H112') Units:Dmnl Valueofparameter"b"inthelogisticequation.(0111)Balancingcosts[scenarios]= (Balancingcostsref(SharevariableRESelecgenerationvstotal[scenarios ]))/MperT Units:Tdollars/TWh Balancingcosts(1995T$/TWhproduced).(0112)baterieslifetime= 10 Units:**undefined** ??(0113)bateriesratio2wE= 0.113 Units:**undefined** tomadodelartiodelpesodel2wrespectoalligeroestosdatos toimadosdelascuentasecologicasdeltransporte162frentea 1441kg(0114)bateriesratiobusE= 1 Units:**undefined** ?????



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(0115)bateriesratiohibHV= 0.583 Units:**undefined** tomadodelartiodepotenciaenKwhdeunabateriatipicade cocheelectricopuroquecarlostomaen21KWhrespectoalasde loshibridosquetieneunamediade1,4KWh(datoswikiparaesto ultimo).Ydelratiodelpesodelvehiculopesadorespectoal ligeroestosdatostoimadosdelascuentasecologicasdel transporte1400frentea5300aprox(0116)bateriesratiohibLV= 0.067 Units:**undefined** tomadodelartiodepotenciaenKwhdeunabateriatipicade cocheelectricopuroquecarlostomaen21KWhrespectoalasde loshibridosquetieneunamediade1,4KWh(datoswikiparaesto ultimo).(0117)Bet0lab= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','C334') Units:Dmnl Betacoefficient(intercept)inpaneldataregressionof householdsconsumption(0118)beta0cap= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','C329') Units:Dmnl Betacoefficient(intercept)ofpaneldataregressionofGross fixedcapitalformation(0119)beta1cap[sectors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','B331') Units:Dmnl BetacoefficientofpaneldataregressionofGrossfixedcapital formation(0120)Beta1lab[sectors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','B336') Units:Dmnl Betacoefficientinpaneldataregressionofhouseholds consumption(0121)beta2cap=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','E329') Units:Dmnl BetacoefficientofpaneldataregressionofGrossfixedcapital formation(0122)beta2lab= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','E334') Units:Dmnl betacoefficientinpaneldataregressionofhouseholds consumption(0123)BioECO2emissions[scenarios]= gCO2 per MJ conv gas*(Oil liquids saved by biofuels EJ[scenarios]+solid biofuelsemissionsrelevantEJ [scenarios]+"PEStotbiogasforheat-com"[scenarios])*MJperEJ/gperGt Units:GtCO2/Year CO2emissionsfrombiomass.Weassumethatbiofuelshavean emissionintensitysimilartonaturalgas(duetoILUCs,see TechnicalReport),andfortherest(traditionalbiomass, biomassforelectricityandbiomassforheat)weasssumethat thecarbonbalanceisnull.(0124)BioEgenlandmargavailable[scenarios]= (MaxPEavailpotentialbiofuelsmarginal lands[scenarios]-PotentialPEavailbiofuelslandmargEJ [scenarios])/MaxPEavailpotentialbiofuelsmarginallands[scenarios] Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasgivenasafractionofunity.(0125)BioEpotentialNPPmarginallands= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C60') Units:EJ/Year Potentialinmarginallands,i.e.witoutcompetitionwith currentuses.(Fieldetal.,2008)findthat27EJofNPPcanbe extractedfrom386Mhaofmarginallands.Weassumethatallthe productionfrommarginallandsisusedforproducingliquids.(0126)"BioEresiduesforheat+elecavailable"[scenarios]= (MaxNPPpotentialBioEresiduesforheatandelec[scenarios]-"PEbioEresiduesforheat+elecEJ" [scenarios])/MaxNPPpotentialBioEresiduesforheatandelec[scenarios] Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableofbioenergyresiduesforheatand electricityasgivenasafractionofunity.



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(0127)Biofuels3genlandcompetavailable[scenarios]= (Max land compet biofuels 2gen[scenarios]-Land compet biofuels 3genMha[scenarios ])/Maxlandcompetbiofuels2gen[scenarios ] Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentiallandavailable(dedicatedto2ndgeneration) asgivenasafractionofunity.Weassumethatnonewland startsdirectlytoproducebiofuels3rdgenerationbiofuels.(0128)Biofuelslandcompetavailable[scenarios]= (Max land compet biofuels 2gen[scenarios]-Land compet biofuels 2genMha[scenarios ]-Landcompetbiofuels3genMha[scenarios])/Maxlandcompetbiofuels2gen[ scenarios] Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentiallandavailableasgivenasafractionof unity.(0129)biogasevol[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','G40') biogasevol[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','G40') biogasevol[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','G40') biogasevol[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','G40') biogasevol[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','G40') biogasevol[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','G40') Units:Dmnl Thisvariablerepresentstheprojectedannualgrowthinrelation topastgrowthtrends.(0130)CperCO2= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C11') Units:GtC/GTCO2e 1kgofCO2contains3/11ofcarbon.(0131)capacityinconstructionnuclearTW[scenarios]=INTEG( newcapunderconstructionnuclear[scenarios]+replacementnuclear[scenarios ]-newcapacityinstallednuclear



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[scenarios], initialcapacityinconstructionnuclear) Units:TW Capacityunderconstructionofnuclearpowerplants.(0132)capacityinconstructionRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]=INTEG( newcapunderconstructionRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]+replacementRESelec [RESelec,scenarios]-newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios ], initialcapacityinconstructionRESelec[RESelec]) Units:TW CapacityunderconstructionofRESforelectricity.(0133)capitalshare[scenarios]= 1-labourshare[scenarios] Units:Dmnl Capitalshare.(0134)"CarbonfootprinttCO2/person"[scenarios]= TotalCO2emissionsGTCO2[scenarios]*tperGt/Population[scenarios] Units:tCO2/person CO2emissionspercapita.(0135)"CarbonfootprinttonnesC/person"[scenarios]= "CarbonfootprinttCO2/person"[scenarios]*CperCO2 Units:tonnesC/person Carbonfootprint.(0136)CCimpactsfeedbackshortagecoeff[scenarios]= (1-"shareE-lossesCC"[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Thiscoefficientadaptstherealfinalenergybyfueltobeused byeconomicsectorstakingintoaccountclimatechangeimpacts.(0137)CCsectoral[scenarios,sectors]= CCtotal[scenarios]*shareCCsectoral[sectors] Units:Mdollars Capitalcompensationbyindustrialsectors(0138)CCsectoralnextstep[scenarios,sectors]= CCsectoral[scenarios,sectors]+variationCCsectoral[scenarios,sectors] Units:Mdollars (0139)CCtotal[scenarios]=INTEG(variationCC[scenarios]-CCtotalnotcovered



37

[scenarios], initialCCtotal) Units:Mdollars Capitalcompensation(0140)CCtotalnotcovered[scenarios]= demandnotcoveredtotalFD[scenarios]*capitalshare[scenarios] Units:Mdollars/Year Gapbetweencapitalcompensationrequiredandrealcapital compensation(afterenergy-economyfeedback)(0141)CEDcoalforelec[scenarios]= FEElecgenerationfromcoalTWh[scenarios]*EJperTWh/EROIcoal Units:EJ (0142)CEDconvgasforelec[scenarios]= FEElecgenerationfromconvgasTWh[scenarios]*EJperTWh/EROIconvgas Units:EJ (0143)CEDdecomRESeleccapacity[RESelec,scenarios]= ZIDZ(EnergyrequirementsfordecomRESelec[RESelec]*CEDtotnewcapRESelecvar [RESelec,scenarios]*wearRESelec[RESelec,scenarios],newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW [RESelec,scenarios]) Units:EJ Cumulativeenergydemand(CED)requiredtodecommissionRES electricitygenerationplantswhichhaveendedtheirlifetime.(0144)CEDnewcappermaterialRESelecvar[RESelec,materials,scenarios] = materials required fornewRESelecMt[RESelec,materials,scenarios]*Energy consperunitofmaterialconsforRESelec [materials,scenarios]*kgperMt/MJperEJ Units:EJ Cumulativeenergydemandpermaterialofnewinstalledcapacity ofRESvariablespertechnology.(0145)"CEDO&MoverlifetimepermaterialRESelecvar"[RESelec,materials ,scenarios]= new capacity installed RES elec TW[RES elec,scenarios]*"materials for O&M percapacityinstalledRESelec" [RESelec,materials]*EnergyconsperunitofmaterialconsforRESelec[materials ,scenarios]*lifetimeRESelec[RESelec]*(MperT/kgperMt)*(kgperMt/MJperEJ )



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Units:EJ CumulativeenergydemandpermaterialforO&MofRESvariables pertechnologyoverallthelifetimeoftheinfrastructure.(0146)"CEDO&MoverlifetimeperwaterRESelecvar"[RESelec,water,scenarios ]= newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]*"waterforO&M-RESelec" [RESelec,water]* Energyrequirementsperunitofwaterconsumption[water]*lifetimeRESelec [RESelec]*(MperT/kgperMt)*(kgperMt/MJperEJ ) Units:EJ CumulativeenergydemandperwatertypeforO&MofRESvariables pertechnologyoverallthelifetimeoftheinfrastructure.(0147)CEDtotnewcapRESelecvar[RESelec,scenarios]= SUM(CEDnewcappermaterialRESelecvar[RESelec,materials!,scenarios]) Units:EJ CumulativeenergydemandofnewcapacityforRESvariablesper technology.(0148)"CEDtotO&MRESelecvar"[RESelec,scenarios]= SUM("CED O&M permaterial RES elec var"[RES elec,materials!,scenarios])+"TotalenergyrequirementsO&MforwaterconsumptionRESelec" [RESelec,scenarios] Units:EJ CumulativeenergydemandofO&MforRESvariablespertechnology.(0149)CEDtotoverlifetimeNREelec[scenarios]= CEDcoalforelec[scenarios]+CEDconvgasforelec[scenarios]+CEDtotaloilforelec [scenarios]+CEDunconvgasforelec[scenarios]+CEDuraniumforelec[scenarios ] Units:EJ (0150)CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelec[hydro,scenarios]= CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch[hydro,scenarios] CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelec["geot-elec",scenarios]= CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch["geot-elec",scenarios] CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelec["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]= CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch["solidbioE-elec",scenarios] CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelec[oceanic,scenarios]= CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch[oceanic,scenarios] CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelec[windonshore,scenarios]= CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[windonshore,scenarios]



39

CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelec[windoffshore,scenarios]= CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[windoffshore,scenarios] CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelec[solarPV,scenarios]= CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[solarPV,scenarios] CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelec[CSP,scenarios]= CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[CSP,scenarios] Units:EJ (0151)CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecforallocation[RESelec,scenarios]= CEDtot over lifetime RES elec[RES elec,scenarios]*remaining potential RES elecswitch [RESelec,scenarios] Units:EJ (0152)CEDtotpermaterialRESelecvar[RESelec,materials,scenarios]= CEDnewcappermaterialRESelecvar[RESelec,materials,scenarios]+"CEDO&MoverlifetimepermaterialRESelecvar" [RESelec,materials,scenarios] Units:EJ Totalcumulativeenergydemand(construction+O&M)permaterial ofRESvariablespertechnology.(0153)CEDtotperTWoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch[RESelec,scenarios]= ZIDZ( (1-"RES elec variables?"[RES elec])*("Cp-ini RES elec"[RES elec]*lifetime RESelec [RESelec]*EJperTWh/TWeperTWh) ,"EROI-iniRESelecdispatch"[RESelec]*qualityofelectricity2015[scenarios ]) Units:EJ/TW Totalcumulativeenergydemand(includinginstallationofnew capacityandO&M)perMWforRESdispatchablespertechnology overthelifetimeoftheinfrastructure.(0154)CEDtotperTWpermaterialRESelecvar[RESelec,materials,scenarios ]= ZIDZ(CEDtotpermaterialRESelecvar[RESelec,materials,scenarios],newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW [RESelec,scenarios]) Units:EJ/TW Totalcumulativeenergydemand(construction+O&M)perpower installedpermaterialofRESvariablespertechnology (consideringonlymaterialrequirements).(0155)CEDtotperTWRESelecvar[RESelec,scenarios]=



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SUM(CEDtotperTWpermaterialRESelecvar[RESelec,materials!,scenarios ])*1e+006 Units:MJ/MW Totalcumulativeenergydemand(construction+O&M)perpower installedofRESvariablespertechnology(consideringonly materialrequirements).(0156)CEDtotRESelecvar[RESelec,scenarios]= (CEDtotnewcapRESelecvar[RESelec,scenarios]*(1+GridcorrectionfactorRESelec [RESelec])+CEDdecomRESeleccapacity [RES elec,scenarios]+"CEDtot O&M RES elec var"[RES elec,scenarios])*quality ofelectricity [scenarios]+real generation RES elec EJ[RES elec,scenarios]*"self-electricity consumptionRESelec" [RESelec] Units:EJ Totalcumulativeenergydemand(includinginstallationofnew capacityandO&M)forRESvariablespertechnology.(0157)CEDtotsolarPV[scenarios]= CEDtotRESelecvar[solarPV,scenarios] Units:EJ (0158)Cellulosicbiofuelsavailable[scenarios]= (Max NPP potential BioE residues for cellulosic biofuels[scenarios]-Potential PEcellulosicbiofuelEJ [scenarios])/MaxNPPpotentialBioEresiduesforcellulosicbiofuels[scenarios ] Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasgivenasafractionofunity.(0159)CH4emissionscoalwithoutCTL[scenarios]= extractioncoalemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]*gCH4perMJcoal*MJperEJ /gperMt Units:MtCH4 CH4emissionscoal.(0160)CH4emissionsconvgaswithoutGTL[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvgas?"[scenarios]=1, realextractionconvgasemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]*gCH4perMJconvgas , (1-AdaptCO2emissionsunconvgas[scenarios])*realextractionconvgasemissionsrelevantEJ [scenarios]*gCH4perMJconvgas+AdaptCO2emissionsunconvgas[scenarios]



41

*realextractionconvgasemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]*gCH4perMJunconvgas )*MJperEJ/gperMt Units:MtCH4 CH4emissionsconventionalgas.(0161)CH4emissionsCTL[scenarios]= extractioncoalforCTLEJ[scenarios]*gCH4perMJCTL*MJperEJ/gperMt Units:MtCH4 CH4emissionsCTL.(0162)CH4emissionsoil[scenarios]= PESoilEJ[scenarios]*gCH4perMJoil*MJperEJ/gperMt Units:MtCH4 CH4emissionsoil.(0163)CH4emissionsunconvgas[scenarios]= realextractionunconvgasemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]*gCH4perMJunconvgas *MJperEJ/gperMt Units:MtCH4 CH4emissionsunconventionalgas.(0164)changetotalintensitytorest[scenarios,liquids]= STEP(-1.245,2009) changetotalintensitytorest[scenarios,gases]= STEP(-0.01711,2009) changetotalintensitytorest[scenarios,electricity]= STEP(-0.00472,2009) Units:EJ/Tdollar Adjusttoseparatein2009amongtransporthouseholdsandthe restinhouseholds.Weassumethatin2009,78%ofthe householdsliquidsarefromtransport.ThisdataisfromWIOD (Diesel&gasolinefromhouseholdsisfortransport) 1,245=0.78*1.596Forothersources,weasume0%oftheenergyis fortransport(0165)checkgases[scenarios]= (PEDgases[scenarios]-PESgases[scenarios])/PESgases[scenarios] Units:Dmnl Variabletoavoidenergyoversupplycausedbyexogenouslydriven policies.(0166)checkliquids[scenarios]= ZIDZ((PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios]-PESLiquidsEJ[scenarios]),PESLiquidsEJ [scenarios])



42

Units:Dmnl If=1,demand=supply.If>1,demand>supply.If<0,demand<supply. Variabletoavoidenergyoversupplycausedbyexogenouslydriven policies.(0167)checkTPE[scenarios]= (TPEDbyfuel[scenarios]-TPESEJ[scenarios])*100/TPESEJ[scenarios] Units:percent ComparisonbetweenTPEDbyfuelandTPEDbysector(theyshould correspond).(0168)chooseextractioncurveconvoil[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D68') chooseextractioncurveconvoil[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D68') chooseextractioncurveconvoil[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D68') chooseextractioncurveconvoil[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D68') chooseextractioncurveconvoil[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D68') chooseextractioncurveconvoil[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D68') Units:Dmnl 1=Maggio12middle2=Maggio12High3=Maggio12Low4=User defined(0169)chooseextractioncurvetotaggoil[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D76') chooseextractioncurvetotaggoil[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D76') chooseextractioncurvetotaggoil[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D76') chooseextractioncurvetotaggoil[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D76') chooseextractioncurvetotaggoil[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D76') chooseextractioncurvetotaggoil[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D76') Units:Dmnl 1-Laherrère122-Userdefined(0170)chooseextractiontotagggascurve[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D92')



43

chooseextractiontotagggascurve[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D92') chooseextractiontotagggascurve[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D92') chooseextractiontotagggascurve[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D92') chooseextractiontotagggascurve[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D92') chooseextractiontotagggascurve[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D92') Units:Dmnl 1-Laherrère102-BGMohr123-Userdefined(0171)Chooseextractionuraniumcurve[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D105') Chooseextractionuraniumcurve[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D105') Chooseextractionuraniumcurve[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D105') Chooseextractionuraniumcurve[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D105') Chooseextractionuraniumcurve[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D105') Chooseextractionuraniumcurve[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D105') Units:Dmnl 1-EWG132-Other(0172)AUOHeatCap= 1/Climateequationcoefficientforupperlevel Units:watt*Year/DegreesC/(meter*meter)[8,400] [Fiddaman]Atmosphere&UpperOceanHeatCapacityperUnitArea [1/R1](W-yr/m^2/degreesC).Note:equals1/0.0226[DICE-2013R] c1Climateequationcoefficientforupperlevel/0.098/(0173)Annualshiftfrom2gento3gen[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C44') Annualshiftfrom2gento3gen[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C44') Annualshiftfrom2gento3gen[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C44') Annualshiftfrom2gento3gen[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C44') Annualshiftfrom2gento3gen[SCEN4]=



44

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C44') Annualshiftfrom2gento3gen[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C44') Units:1/Year Shareofthelanddedicatedforbiofuelsfromthe2ndgeneration shiftedto3rdgenerationinthenextyear.(0174)AverageTPESpercapita[scenarios]= TPESEJ[scenarios]*GJperEJ/Population[scenarios] Units:GJ/(Year*people) AverageTotalPrimaryEnergySupplypercapita(GJpercapita).(0175)Balancingcostsref( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','22','B23')) Units:dollars/MWh BalancingcostsadaptingdatafromHolttinenetal(2011).(0176)carbonbudget= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C122') Units:GtC Carbonbudget,theamountofcarbondioxideemissionswecan emitwhilestillhavingalikelychanceoflimitingglobal temperatureriseto2degreesCelsiusabovepre-industrial levels(IPCC2014).(0177)CarbonemissionsGtC[scenarios]= TotalCO2emissionsGTCO2[scenarios]*CperCO2 Units:GtC/Year Totalanualcarbonemissions.(0178)checkgasdelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( checkgases[scenarios],1,1) Units:Dmnl Variabletoavoidenergyoversupplycausedbyexogenouslydriven policies.(0179)checkliquidsdelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( checkliquids[scenarios],1,1) Units:Dmnl Variabletoavoidenergyoversupplycausedbyexogenouslydriven policies.(0180)ChgAUOTemp[scenarios]= (TotalRadiativeForcing[scenarios]-FeedbackCooling[scenarios]-HeatTransfer



45

[scenarios])/AUOHeatCap Units:DegreesC/Year ChangeintheAtmosphere&UpperOceanTemperature(degrees C/yr)[Cowles,pg.27](0181)ChgDOTemp[scenarios]= HeatTransfer[scenarios]/DOHeatCap Units:DegreesC/Year ChangeintheDeepOceanTemperature(degreesC/yr)[Cowles,pg. 30](0182)chooseextractioncoalcurve[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D100') chooseextractioncoalcurve[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D100') chooseextractioncoalcurve[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D100') chooseextractioncoalcurve[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D100') chooseextractioncoalcurve[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D100') chooseextractioncoalcurve[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D100') Units:Dmnl 1=Mohr122=Other(0183)chooseextractionconvgascurve[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D84') chooseextractionconvgascurve[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D84') chooseextractionconvgascurve[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D84') chooseextractionconvgascurve[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D84') chooseextractionconvgascurve[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D84') chooseextractionconvgascurve[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D84') Units:Dmnl 1-BGMohr152-LowMohr153-HighMohr154-Userdefined(0184)Climateequationcoefficientforupperlevel= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C118') Units:**undefined**[8,400]



46

[Fiddaman]Atmosphere&UpperOceanHeatCapacityperUnitArea [1/R1](W-yr/m^2/degreesC).Note:equals1/0.0226[DICE-2013R] c1Climateequationcoefficientforupperlevel/0.098/(0185)ClimateFeedbackParam[scenarios]= CO2RadForceCoeff/ClimateSensitivity[scenarios] Units:watt/meter/meter/DegreesC ClimateFeedbackParameter[lambda](W-m^2/degreeC)Thecrucial climatesensitivityparameter-determinesgainoffeedbackfrom temperatureincreaseandthusdeterminesequilibriumresponseto forcing.TheSchneider-Thompson2-stockmodeluses1.33[Cowles, TableIII-B1].[ManagingGlobalCommons,pg.21](0186)ClimateSensitivity[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C116') ClimateSensitivity[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C116') ClimateSensitivity[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C116') ClimateSensitivity[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C116') ClimateSensitivity[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C116') ClimateSensitivity[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C116') Units:DegreesC [Fiddaman]Equilibriumtemperaturechangeinresponsetoa2xCO2 equivalentchangeinradiativeforcing./2.908/.[DICE-2013R] t2xco2Equilibriumtempimpact(ºCperdoublingCO2)/2.9/(0187)CO2emissionscoalwithoutCTL[scenarios]= extractioncoalemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]*gCO2perMJcoal*MJperEJ /gperGt Units:GtCO2/Year EmissionsfromcoalwithougaccountingforCTL-relatedemissions.(0188)CO2emissionsconvgaswithoutGTL[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvgas?"[scenarios]=1,realextractionconvgasemissionsrelevantEJ [scenarios]*gCO2perMJconvgas,(1-AdaptCO2emissionsunconvgas[scenarios ])*realextractionconvgasemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]*gCO2perMJconvgas +AdaptCO2emissionsunconvgas[scenarios]*realextractionconvgasemissionsrelevantEJ [scenarios]*gCO2perMJunconvgas)*MJperEJ/gperGt Units:GtCO2/Year



47

CO2emissionsfromconventionalgas(withouthGTL)whenthegas extractionisdisaggregatedinconventionalandunconventional resource,andCO2emissionsfromtotalgaswhentheextraction isaggregated.(0189)CO2emissionsconvoil[scenarios]= realextractionconvoilemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]*gCO2perMJconvoil *MJperEJ/gperGt Units:GtCO2/Year CO2emissionsfromconventionaloil.(0190)CO2emissionsCTL[scenarios]= gCO2perMJCTL*extractioncoalforCTLEJ[scenarios]*MJperEJ/gperGt Units:GtCO2/Year CO2emissionsassociatedtoCTLproduction.(0191)CO2emissionsGTL[scenarios]= "PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ"[scenarios]*gCO2perMJGTL*MJperEJ/gperGt Units:GtCO2/Year CO2emissionsassociatedtoGTLproduction.(0192)CO2emissionspeat= PESpeatEJ*gCO2perMJshaleoil*MJperEJ/gperGt Units:GtCO2/Year CO2emissionsfrompeat.(0193)CO2emissionspervalueadded[scenarios]= TotalCO2emissionsGTCO2[scenarios]/GDP[scenarios] Units:GtCO2/(Year*T$) CO2emissionspervalueadded(GDP).(0194)CO2emissionsunconvgas[scenarios]= realextractionunconvgasemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]*gCO2perMJunconvgas *MJperEJ/gperGt Units:GtCO2/Year CO2emissionsfromunconventionalgas.(0195)CO2emissionsunconvoil[scenarios]= (realextractionunconvoilemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]*(gCO2perMJunconvoil +(gCO2perMJshaleoil-gCO2perMJunconvoil )*Adaptemissionsshaleoil[scenarios]))*MJperEJ/gperGt Units:GtCO2/Year CO2emissionsfromunconventionaloil.



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(0196)CO2fossilfuelemissions[scenarios]= CO2emissionsconvgaswithoutGTL[scenarios]+CO2emissionsunconvgas[scenarios ]+CO2emissionsGTL[scenarios]+CO2emissionsconvoil[scenarios]+CO2emissionsunconvoil [scenarios]+CO2emissionscoalwithoutCTL[scenarios]+CO2emissionsCTL[scenarios ] Units:GtCO2/Year TotalCO2emissionsfromfossilfuels.(0197)CO2inAtmos[scenarios]=INTEG( CO2NetEmiss[scenarios]-CO2Storage[scenarios], initCO2inAtmos) Units:TonC CO2inatmosphere.(0198)"CO2land-usechangeemissions":INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','102','C103') Units:GtCO2/Year [DICE-2013R]Land-usechangeemissions.Cteat2010levelfor theperiod1990-2100asfirstapproximation.(0199)CO2RadForceCoeff= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C114') Units:watt/meter/meter [Fiddaman]CoefficientofRadiativeForcingfromCO2(W/m^2). Coeff.ofadditionalsurfacewarmingfromaccumulationofCO2. /4.1/[DICE-2013R]fco22xForcingsofequilibriumCO2doubling (Wm-2)/3.8/(0200)coaltoleaveunderground[scenarios]= RURRcoal2015*shareRURRcoaltoleaveunderground[scenarios] Units:EJ Coaltobeleftundergroundduetotheapplicationofapolicy.(0201)"constraingasexogenousgrowth?delayed1yr"[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED ( "constraingasexogenousgrowth?"[scenarios],1,1) Units:Dmnl (0202)"constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(checkliquids[scenarios]>0,1,checkliquids[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Ifnegative,thereisoversupplyofliquids.Thisvariableis usedtoconstraintheexogenousgrowthofexogenously-driven



49

policies.(0203)chooseextractioncurveunconvgas[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D88') chooseextractioncurveunconvgas[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D88') chooseextractioncurveunconvgas[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D88') chooseextractioncurveunconvgas[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D88') chooseextractioncurveunconvgas[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D88') chooseextractioncurveunconvgas[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D88') Units:Dmnl 1=BGMohr152=LowMohr153=HighMohr15(0204)chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D72') chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D72') chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D72') chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D72') chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D72') chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D72') Units:Dmnl 1=BGMohr152=LowMohr153=HihgMohr154=Userdefined(0205)CO2NetEmiss[scenarios]= MarginalAtmosRetention*TotalCarbonEmisions[scenarios] Units:TonC/Year CO2emissionslessshort-runuptake(tomixedoceanlayer).(0206)CO2ppmconcentrations[scenarios]= CO2inAtmos[scenarios]/(2.13*1e+009) Units:ppm 1partpermillionofatmosphericCO2isequivalentto2.13 GigatonnesCarbon.HistoricalMaunaLoaCO2Record: ftp://ftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_mm_mlo.txt



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(0207)CO2RadForcing[scenarios]= CO2RadForceCoeff*LOG(CO2inAtmos[scenarios]/PreindustrialCO2,2) Units:watt/meter/meter RadiativeForcingfromCO2[F(t)](W/m^2)Additionalsurface warmingfromaccumulationofCO2.[Cowles,pg.22](0208)CO2Storage[scenarios]= (CO2inAtmos[scenarios]-PreindustrialCO2)*RateofCO2Transfer Units:TonC/Year CO2removalfromtheatmosphereandstoragebylong-term processes.(0209)"constraingasexogenousgrowth?"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(checkgases[scenarios]>-0.01,1,checkgases[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Ifnegative,thereisoversupplyofgas.Thisvariableisused toconstraintheexogenousgrowthofexogenously-drivenpolicies.(0210)"constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?delayed1yr"[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED ( "constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?"[scenarios],1,1) Units:Dmnl (0211)ConvefficiencyfromNPPtobiofuels= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C61') Units:Dmnl Conversionefficiencyfromnetprimaryproductivity(NPP)of biomasstobiofuelsof15%.Ref:deCastro&Carpintero(2014).(0212)convgastoleaveunderground[scenarios]= RURRconvgas2015*shareRURRconvgastoleaveunderground[scenarios] Units:EJ Conventionalnaturalgastobeleftundergroundduetothe applicationofapolicy.(0213)convoiltoleaveunderground[scenarios]= RURRconvoil2015*shareRURRconvoiltoleaveunderground[scenarios] Units:EJ Conventionaloiltobeleftundergroundduetotheapplication ofapolicy.(0214)Cpbaseloadreduction[RESelec,scenarios]= CpRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]/"Cp-iniRESelec"[RESelec] Units:Dmnl



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(0215)CpexogenousRESelecdispatchreduction[scenarios]= MIN(1,-0.6209*(SharevariableRESelecgenerationvstotalgen[scenarios ])^2-0.3998*(SharevariableRESelecgenerationvstotalgen[scenarios]) +1.0222) Units:Dmnl Reductionofthecapacityfactorofthedispatchable(baseload) plantsasafunctionofthepenetrationofvariablesRESinthe electricitygeneration(Source:NREL(2012)).(0216)CpexogenousRESelecreduction[hydro,scenarios]= CpexogenousRESelecdispatchreduction[scenarios] CpexogenousRESelecreduction["geot-elec",scenarios]= CpexogenousRESelecdispatchreduction[scenarios] CpexogenousRESelecreduction["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]= CpexogenousRESelecdispatchreduction[scenarios] CpexogenousRESelecreduction[oceanic,scenarios]= CpexogenousRESelecdispatchreduction[scenarios] CpexogenousRESelecreduction[windonshore,scenarios]= CpexogenousRESelecvarreduction[scenarios] CpexogenousRESelecreduction[windoffshore,scenarios]= CpexogenousRESelecvarreduction[scenarios] CpexogenousRESelecreduction[solarPV,scenarios]= CpexogenousRESelecvarreduction[scenarios] CpexogenousRESelecreduction[CSP,scenarios]= CpexogenousRESelecvarreduction[scenarios] Units:Dmnl ReductionofCpofRESelecduetothepenetrationofRESelec variables(modellingofovercapacitiesduetotheintermittence ofRESelecvariables).(0217)CpexogenousRESelecvarreduction[scenarios]= 1/(1+0.0001*EXP(9.85*SharevariableRESelecgenerationvstotalgen[scenarios ])) Units:Dmnl ReductionofthecapacityfactoroftheRESelecvariables plantsasafunctionofthepenetrationofvariablesRESinthe electricitygeneration(Source:Delarue&Morris(2015)).(0218)CphistoricCSP= IFTHENELSE(Time<2000,0.15,IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,0.00714286*Time-14.1357 ,0.25)) Units:Dmnl CapacityfactorevolutionofCSPovertime(source:IRENA).



52

(0219)Cphydro2015= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','I13') Units:Dmnl Cpconventionalhydroin2015.(0220)Cplimitnuclear[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Cpnuclear[scenarios]>minCpnuclear,1,0) Units:Dmnl (0221)Cpnuclear[scenarios]= Cpnuclearinitial*CpexogenousRESelecdispatchreduction[scenarios] Units:Dmnl Capacityfactorofnuclearpowercentrals.(0222)Cpnuclearinitial= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F15') Units:Dmnl Capacityfactorofnucleartakinghistoricdataasreference:in 2011,therewere374GWofnuclearcapacityoperatingthat generated2,507TWh.(0223)CpPHS= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G53') Units:Dmnl Capacityfactorofpumpedhydrostorage(PHS).(0224)CpRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= MAX(minCpbaseloadRES[RESelec],"Cp-iniRESelec"[RESelec]*CpexogenousRESelecreduction [RESelec,scenarios]) Units:Dmnl CapacityfactorofREStechnologies(afteraccountingforthe overcapacitiesrequiredtomanagetheintermittencyofRESelec variables).(0225)CpRESforheat["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F17') CpRESforheat["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F18') CpRESforheat["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F19') Units:Dmnl



53

(0226)"Cp-iniRESelec"[hydro]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','6','G13') "Cp-iniRESelec"["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F7') "Cp-iniRESelec"["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F8') "Cp-iniRESelec"[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F9') "Cp-iniRESelec"[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F10') "Cp-iniRESelec"[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F12') "Cp-iniRESelec"[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F11') "Cp-iniRESelec"[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F16') Units:Dmnl Initialcapacityfactor(beforeaccountingforthereductionof Cpofthebase-loadplantswiththepenetrationofthe intermittentRES(solarandwind)intheelectricitygeneration mix).(0227)CTLefficiency= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C49') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofCTLplants.Source:IEAbalances(seeTechnical Report).(0228)CTLpotentialproduction[scenarios]=INTEG( replacementCTL[scenarios]+variationCTL[scenarios]-wearCTL[scenarios], initialCTLproduction) Units:EJ/Year AnnualCTLpotentialproduction.(0229)CTLproduction[scenarios]= CTLpotentialproduction[scenarios]*(1-"shareCTL+GTLovercapacity"[scenarios ]) Units:EJ CTLproduction.(0230)"CTL+GTLGb"[scenarios]= "FESCTL+GTLEJ"[scenarios]/GboeperEJ Units:Gboe/Year CTLandGTLproduction.



54

(0231)cummaterialsrequirementsforEVbatteries[materials,scenarios]=INTEG ( TotalmaterialsrequiredforEVbatteries[materials,scenarios], initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforEVbatteries1995) Units:Mt TotalcumulativematerialsrequirementsforEVbatteries.(0232)cummaterialsrequirementsforRESelec[materials,scenarios]=INTEG ( TotalmaterialsrequiredforRESelecMt[materials,scenarios], initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforRESelec1995) Units:Mt Totalcumulativematerialsrequirementsfortheinstallationand O&MofRESforelectricitygeneration.(0233)cummaterialstoextractforalttechnfrom2015[materials,scenarios ]= cummaterialstoextractforEVbatteriesfrom2015[materials,scenarios]+ cummaterialstoextractforRESelecfrom2015[materials,scenarios] Units:Mt Cumulativematerialsdemandforalternativetechnologies(RES elec&EVbatteries)fromtheyear2015.(0234)cummaterialstoextractforEVbatteries[materials,scenarios]=INTEG ( TotalmaterialstoextractforEVbatteriesMt[materials,scenarios], initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforEVbatteries1995) Units:Mt CumulativematerialstobeminedforEVbatteries.(0235)cummaterialstoextractforEVbatteriesfrom2015[materials,scenarios ]=INTEG( TotalmaterialstoextractforEVbatteriesfrom2015Mt[materials,scenarios ], initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforEVbatteries1995) Units:Mt CumulativematerialstobeminedforEVbatteries.(0236)cummaterialstoextractforRESelecfrom2015[materials,scenarios ]=INTEG( TotalmaterialstoextractforRESelecfrom2015Mt[materials,scenarios] , initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforRESelec1995)



55

Units:Mt CumulativematerialstobeminedfortheinstallationandO&Mof RESforelectricitygeneration.(0237)cumulatedcoalextractionto1995= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C98') Units:EJ Cumulatedcoalextractionto1995(Mohretal.,2015).(0238)cumulatedconvgasextractionto1995= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C96') Units:EJ Cumulatedconventionalgasextractionto1995(Mohretal., 2015).(0239)cumulatedconvoilextractionto1995= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C94') Units:EJ Cumulatedconventionaloilextractionto1995(Mohretal., 2015).(0240)cumulatedinvestEgrid[scenarios]=INTEG( extramonetinvesttocopewithvariableElecRES[scenarios], 0) Units:Tdollars Cumulatedmonetaryinvestmentfordevelopingelectricitygrids tointegraterenewableintermittentsources.(0241)cumulatedtotaggextractionto1995= cumulatedconvoilextractionto1995+cumulatedunconvoilextractionto1995 Units:EJ Cumulatedtotalaggregatedoilextractionto1995.(0242)cumulatedtotagggasextraction[scenarios]=INTEG( extractiontotagggasEJ[scenarios], cumulatedtotagggasextractionto1995) Units:EJ Cumulatedtotalaggregatedgasextraction.(0243)cumulatedtotaggoilextraction[scenarios]=INTEG( extractiontotaggoilEJ[scenarios], cumulatedtotaggextractionto1995) Units:EJ Cumulatedconventionaloilextraction.



56

(0244)CumulatedtotalmonetinvestRESforElec[scenarios]=INTEG( TotalmonetinvestRESforelecTdolar[scenarios], 0) Units:Tdollars CumulatedtotalmonetaryinvestmentinRESforelectricity generationfrom1995(1995US$).(0245)cumulatedunconvoilextractionto1995= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C95') Units:EJ Cumulatedunconventionaloilextractionto1995(Mohretal., 2015).(0246)currentrecyclingratesminerals[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR5') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR6') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR7') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR8') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR9') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR10') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR11') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR12') currentrecyclingratesminerals[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR13') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR14') currentrecyclingratesminerals["Electric/electroniccomponents"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR15') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR16') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR17') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR18') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR19')



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currentrecyclingratesminerals[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR20') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR21') currentrecyclingratesminerals[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR22') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR23') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR24') currentrecyclingratesminerals[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR25') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR26') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR27') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR28') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR29') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR30') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR31') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR32') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR33') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR34') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR35') currentrecyclingratesminerals[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR36') currentrecyclingratesminerals[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR37') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR38') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR39') currentrecyclingratesminerals["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR40') currentrecyclingratesminerals["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR41')



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currentrecyclingratesminerals[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR42') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR43') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR44') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR45') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR46') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR47') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR48') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR49') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR50') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR51') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR52') currentrecyclingratesminerals[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR53') currentrecyclingratesminerals[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR54') currentrecyclingratesminerals[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR55') currentrecyclingratesminerals[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR56') currentrecyclingratesminerals[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR57') currentrecyclingratesminerals[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR58') currentrecyclingratesminerals[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR59') currentrecyclingratesminerals[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR60') currentrecyclingratesminerals[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR61') currentrecyclingratesminerals[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AR62') Units:Mt Currentrecyclingratesminerals(UNEP,2011).



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(0247)"Deactivateheatdemcorrection?"= 1 Units:Dmnl 1.Demandheatcorrectiontoexplictelyaccountfor non-commercialheatisACTIVATED.0.DEACTIVATED(Heataccounts onlyforcommercialheat).*****DONOTWORK******(0248)Demandconvgas[scenarios]= MAX("PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios]-extractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios],0) Units:EJ/Year Demandofconventionalgas.Itisassumedthatconventionalgas coverstherestoftheliquidsdemandafteraccountingforthe contributionsfromunconventionalgas.(0249)DemandconvoilEJ[scenarios]= MAX(PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]-extractionunconvoilEJ[scenarios],0) Units:EJ/Year Demandofconventionaloil.Itisassumedthatconventionaloil coverstherestoftheliquidsdemandafteraccountingforthe contributionsfromotherliquidsandunconventionaloil.(0250)demandElecgasandcoalTWh[scenarios]= demandElecplantsfossilfuelsTWh[scenarios]-FEdemandoilElecplantsTWh [scenarios] Units:**undefined** (0251)DemandH0= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B67') Units:T$ InitialhouseholdseconomicdemandinTdollars,intheyearof startofalternativehouseholdsvehiclepolicy(default2015) 30.3(0252)demandstoragecapacity[scenarios]= "sharecapacitystorage/RESelecvar"[scenarios]*TotalinstalledcapacityRESelecvar [scenarios] Units:TW Requiredstoragecapacitytoinstalltodealwiththe variabilityofRESforelectricity.(0253)desirednumberofbateries[scenarios]= batnumber2w[scenarios]+batnumberEV[scenarios]+batnumberhib0[scenarios ]+1



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Units:**undefined** (0254)discardedbateries[scenarios]= "bateriesEV+hib+2wE"[scenarios]*(1/baterieslifetime) Units:**undefined** (0255)"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts"[scenarios,finalsources]= RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,finalsources]*"shareE-lossesCC"[scenarios ]*MethodCCimpacts Units:EJ EnergylossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts(0256)effectsshortageeleconEV[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Abundanceelectricity[scenarios]>0.8,((Abundanceelectricity [scenarios]-0.8)*5)^2,0) Units:Dmnl Theeventualscarcityofelectricitywouldlikelyconstrainthe developmentofEVs.Theproposedrelationshipavoidsanabrupt limitationbyintroducingarange(1;0.8)intheelectricity abundancethatconstrainsthedevelopmentofEVs.(0257)"effectsshortageeleconEV/hib"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Abundanceelectricity[scenarios]>0.8,((Abundanceelectricity [scenarios]-0.8)*5)^2,0) Units:Dmnl Theeventualscarcityofelectricitywouldlikelyconstrainthe developmentofEVs.Theproposedrelationshipavoidsanabrupt limitationbyintroducingarange(1;0.8)intheelectricity abundancethatconstrainsthedevelopmentofEVs.(0258)bateriesratiohibbus= 0.58 Units:**undefined** tomadodelartiodepotenciaenKwhdeunabateriatipicade cocheelectricopuroquecarlostomaen21KWhrespectoalasde loshibridosquetieneunamediade1,4KWh(datoswikiparaesto ultimo).Ydelratiodelpesodelbusrespectoalligeroestos datostoimadosdelascuentasecologicasdeltransporte1400 frentea12000aprox(0259)"CEDO&MoverlifetimeRESelecvar"[RESelec,scenarios]= (SUM("CEDO&MoverlifetimepermaterialRESelecvar"[RESelec,materials !,scenarios])+SUM("CEDO&MoverlifetimeperwaterRESelecvar" [RESelec,water!,scenarios]))



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Units:EJ CumulativeenergydemandforO&MofRESvariablespertechnology overallthelifetimeoftheinfrastructure.(0260)"CEDO&MpermaterialRESelecvar"[RESelec,materials,scenarios]= "materialsrequiredforO&MRESelecMt"[RESelec,materials,scenarios]*EnergyconsperunitofmaterialconsforRESelec [materials,scenarios]*kgperMt/MJperEJ Units:EJ Cumulativeenergydemandpermaterialofnewinstalledcapacity ofRESvariablespertechnology.(0261)CEDtotaloilforelec[scenarios]= FEElecgenerationfromtotaloilTWh[scenarios]*EJperTWh/EROItotaloil Units:EJ (0262)CEDunconvgasforelec[scenarios]= FEElecgenerationfromunconvgasTWh[scenarios]*EJperTWh/EROIunconvgas Units:EJ (0263)CEDuraniumforelec[scenarios]= FEnuclearElecgenerationTWh[scenarios]*EJperTWh/EROIuranium Units:EJ (0264)CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecdispatch[RESelec,scenarios]= CEDtot per TW over lifetime RES elec dispatch[RES elec,scenarios]*new capacityinstalledRESelecTW [RESelec,scenarios] Units:EJ (0265)CEDtotoverlifetimeRESelecvar[RESelec,scenarios]= (CEDtotnewcapRESelecvar[RESelec,scenarios]*(1+EnergyrequirementsfordecomRESelec [RESelec]+GridcorrectionfactorRESelec [RES elec])+"CED O&M over lifetime RES elec var"[RES elec,scenarios])*quality ofelectricity [scenarios]+output elec over lifetime RES elec[RES elec,scenarios]*"self-electricityconsumptionRESelec" [RESelec] Units:EJ Totalcumulativeenergydemand(includinginstallationofnew capacityandO&M)forRESvariablespertechnologyoverthe lifetimeoftheinfrastructure.



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(0266)CH4emissionsGTL[scenarios]= "PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ"[scenarios]*gCH4perMJGTL*MJperEJ/gperMt Units:MtCH4 CH4emissionsGTL.(0267)consumptionliqperXLV= 0.02581 Units:EJ/Mvehicle data'InternationalEnergyAgency(2016),EnergyTechnology Perspectives2016,OECD/IEA,(0268)CpEVbatteriesforelecstorage= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G47') Units:Dmnl WeassumethattheEVbatteriesforstorageareavailablethe sametimeastheyareusedfortransportationtoallowits lifetimetolastitswholelifetime.(0269)CpRESforheat0["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F17') CpRESforheat0["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F18') CpRESforheat0["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','F19') Units:Dmnl (0270)cummaterialstoextractforRESelec[materials,scenarios]=INTEG( TotalmaterialstoextractforRESelecMt[materials,scenarios], initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforRESelec1995) Units:Mt CumulativematerialstobeminedfortheinstallationandO&Mof RESforelectricitygeneration.(0271)cummaterialstoextractRest[materials,scenarios]=INTEG( MaterialstoextractRestMt[materials,scenarios], initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforRest1995) Units:Mt Cumulativematerialstobeminedfortherestoftheeconomy.(0272)cummaterialstoextractRestfrom2015[materials,scenarios]=INTEG ( MaterialstoextractRestfrom2015Mt[materials,scenarios], initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforRest1995) Units:Mt



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Cumulativematerialstobeminedfortherestoftheeconomy from2015.(0273)Cumulatedcoalextraction[scenarios]=INTEG( extractioncoalEJ[scenarios], cumulatedcoalextractionto1995) Units:EJ Cumulatedcoalextraction.(0274)cumulatedconvgasextraction[scenarios]=INTEG( extractionconvgasEJ[scenarios], cumulatedconvgasextractionto1995) Units:EJ Cumulatedconventionalgasextraction.(0275)cumulatedconvoilextraction[scenarios]=INTEG( extractionconvoilEJ[scenarios], cumulatedconvoilextractionto1995) Units:EJ Cumulatedconventionaloilextraction.(0276)cumulatedtotagggasextractionto1995= cumulatedconvgasextractionto1995+cumulatedunconvgasextractionto1995 Units:EJ Cumulatedtotalagggasextractionto1995.(0277)Cumulatedunconvgasextraction[scenarios]=INTEG( extractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios], cumulatedunconvgasextractionto1995) Units:EJ Cumulatedunconventionalgasextraction.(0278)cumulatedunconvgasextractionto1995= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C97') Units:EJ Cumulatedunconventionalgasextractionto1995(Mohretal., 2015).(0279)cumulatedunconvoilextraction[scenarios]=INTEG( extractionunconvoilEJ[scenarios], cumulatedunconvoilextractionto1995) Units:EJ Cumulatedunconventionaloilextracted.



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(0280)Cumulateduraniumextraction[scenarios]=INTEG( extractionuraniumEJ[scenarios], cumulateduraniumextractionto1995) Units:EJ Cumulateduraniumextraction.(0281)Cumulateduraniumextractionkt[scenarios]= Cumulateduraniumextraction[scenarios]*kturaniumperEJ Units:Kt Cumulateduraniumextraction(kt).(0282)cumulateduraniumextractionto1995= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C99') Units:EJ Cumulatedcoalextractionto1995(EWG2006).(0283)Cumulativeemissionsto1995= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C108') Units:GtC Cumulativeemissions1751-1995duetocarbonemissionsfrom fossilfuelconsumption,cementproductionandland-usechanges. DatafromCDIACandWorldResourcesInstitute.(0284)currentmineralreservesMt[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV5') currentmineralreservesMt[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV6') currentmineralreservesMt[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV7') currentmineralreservesMt[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV8') currentmineralreservesMt[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV9') currentmineralreservesMt[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV10') currentmineralreservesMt[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV11') currentmineralreservesMt[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV12') currentmineralreservesMt[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV13') currentmineralreservesMt[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV14') currentmineralreservesMt["Electric/electroniccomponents"]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV15') currentmineralreservesMt[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV16') currentmineralreservesMt[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV17') currentmineralreservesMt[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV18') currentmineralreservesMt[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV19') currentmineralreservesMt[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV20') currentmineralreservesMt[Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV21') currentmineralreservesMt[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV22') currentmineralreservesMt[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV23') currentmineralreservesMt[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV24') currentmineralreservesMt[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV25') currentmineralreservesMt[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV26') currentmineralreservesMt[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV27') currentmineralreservesMt[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV28') currentmineralreservesMt[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV29') currentmineralreservesMt[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV30') currentmineralreservesMt[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV31') currentmineralreservesMt[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV32') currentmineralreservesMt[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV33') currentmineralreservesMt[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV34') currentmineralreservesMt[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV35') currentmineralreservesMt[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV36') currentmineralreservesMt[NaNO3synthetic]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV37') currentmineralreservesMt[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV38') currentmineralreservesMt[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV39') currentmineralreservesMt["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV40') currentmineralreservesMt["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV41') currentmineralreservesMt[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV42') currentmineralreservesMt[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV43') currentmineralreservesMt[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV44') currentmineralreservesMt[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV45') currentmineralreservesMt[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV46') currentmineralreservesMt[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV47') currentmineralreservesMt[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV48') currentmineralreservesMt[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV49') currentmineralreservesMt[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV50') currentmineralreservesMt[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV51') currentmineralreservesMt[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV52') currentmineralreservesMt[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV53') currentmineralreservesMt[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV54') currentmineralreservesMt[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV55') currentmineralreservesMt[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV56') currentmineralreservesMt[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV57') currentmineralreservesMt[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV58') currentmineralreservesMt[titaniumdioxide]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV59') currentmineralreservesMt[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV60') currentmineralreservesMt[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV61') currentmineralreservesMt[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AV62') Units:Mt Currentmineralreserves.(0285)currentmineralresourcesMt[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY5') currentmineralresourcesMt[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY6') currentmineralresourcesMt[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY7') currentmineralresourcesMt[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY8') currentmineralresourcesMt[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY9') currentmineralresourcesMt[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY10') currentmineralresourcesMt[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY11') currentmineralresourcesMt[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY12') currentmineralresourcesMt[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY13') currentmineralresourcesMt[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY14') currentmineralresourcesMt["Electric/electroniccomponents"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY15') currentmineralresourcesMt[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY16') currentmineralresourcesMt[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY17') currentmineralresourcesMt[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY18') currentmineralresourcesMt[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY19') currentmineralresourcesMt[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY20') currentmineralresourcesMt[Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY21')



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currentmineralresourcesMt[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY22') currentmineralresourcesMt[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY23') currentmineralresourcesMt[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY24') currentmineralresourcesMt[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY25') currentmineralresourcesMt[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY26') currentmineralresourcesMt[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY27') currentmineralresourcesMt[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY28') currentmineralresourcesMt[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY29') currentmineralresourcesMt[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY30') currentmineralresourcesMt[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY31') currentmineralresourcesMt[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY32') currentmineralresourcesMt[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY33') currentmineralresourcesMt[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY34') currentmineralresourcesMt[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY35') currentmineralresourcesMt[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY36') currentmineralresourcesMt[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY37') currentmineralresourcesMt[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY38') currentmineralresourcesMt[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY39') currentmineralresourcesMt["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY40') currentmineralresourcesMt["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY41') currentmineralresourcesMt[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY42') currentmineralresourcesMt[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY43')



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currentmineralresourcesMt[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY44') currentmineralresourcesMt[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY45') currentmineralresourcesMt[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY46') currentmineralresourcesMt[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY47') currentmineralresourcesMt[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY48') currentmineralresourcesMt[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY49') currentmineralresourcesMt[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY50') currentmineralresourcesMt[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY51') currentmineralresourcesMt[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY52') currentmineralresourcesMt[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY53') currentmineralresourcesMt[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY54') currentmineralresourcesMt[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY55') currentmineralresourcesMt[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY56') currentmineralresourcesMt[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY57') currentmineralresourcesMt[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY58') currentmineralresourcesMt[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY59') currentmineralresourcesMt[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY60') currentmineralresourcesMt[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY61') currentmineralresourcesMt[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AY62') Units:Mt Currentmineralresources.(0286)DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,finalsources]= IFTHENELSE((ZIDZ(EvolfinalenergyintensityH[scenarios,finalsources]



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,GlobalenergyintensityH[scenarios]))>=minimumfractionH [finalsources] ,MaxyearlychangeH[finalsources]*EvolfinalenergyintensityH[scenarios ,finalsources]*PressuretochangeenergytechnologyH [scenarios,finalsources],0) Units:EJ/Tdollars Wheninhouseholds,onetypeofenergy(a)isreplacedby another(b),theenergyintensityof(b)willincreaseandthe energyintensityof(a)willdecrease.Thisflowrepresentsthe decreaseof(a).(0287)DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,finalsources]= IFTHENELSE(ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[sectors]=0,IFTHENELSE((ZIDZ(Evolfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel [scenarios,sectors,finalsources],Globalenergyintensitybysector [scenarios,sectors]))>=minimumfraction[sectors,finalsources] ,Maxyearlychange[sectors,finalsources]*Evolfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel [scenarios,sectors,finalsources ]*Pressuretochangeenergytechnology[scenarios,sectors,finalsources] ,0),0) Units:**undefined** Wheninoneeconomicsector,onetypeofenergy(a)isreplaced byanother(b),theenergyintensityof(b)willincreaseand theenergyintensityof(a)willdecrease.Thisflowrepresents thedecreaseof(a).(0288)DeepOceanTemp[scenarios]=INTEG( ChgDOTemp[scenarios], initDeepOceanTemp) Units:DegreesC TemperatureoftheDeepOcean[T*](degreesC)[Cowles,pg.24](0289)Demandbysector[scenarios,sectors]= DemandbysectorFD[scenarios,sectors] Units:Mdollars (0290)DemandbysectorFD[scenarios,sectors]=INTEG( variationdemandflowFD[scenarios,sectors]-demandnotcoveredbysectorFD [scenarios,sectors], initialdemandbysectot[sectors]) Units:Mdollars Finaldemandby35industrialsectors



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(0291)DemandElecNRETWh[scenarios]= MAX(0,TotalFEElecdemandTWh[scenarios]-FEtotgenerationallRESelecTWh [scenarios]-FESelecfromwasteTWh[scenarios]) Units:TWh/Year ThemodelassignsprioritytoRESgenerationtocoverthe electricitydemand.(0292)demandElecplantsfossilfuelsTWh[scenarios]= MAX(DemandElecNRETWh[scenarios]-FEnuclearElecgenerationTWh[scenarios ]-FESElecfossilfuelCHPplantsTWh[scenarios ],0) Units:TWh/Year ThemodelassignsprioritytoRES,CHPplantsandnuclear generation(dependingontheselectednuclearscenario)among theelectricitygeneration.(0293)demandnotcoveredbysectorFD[scenarios,sectors]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2009,Demandby sectorFD[scenarios,sectors]-Realdemandbysector [scenarios,sectors],0) Units:Mdollars/Year (0294)demandnotcoveredtotalFD[scenarios]= SUM(demandnotcoveredbysectorFD[scenarios,sectors!]) Units:Mdollars/Year (0295)diffannualGDPgrowthrate[scenarios]= (AnnualGDPgrowthrate[scenarios]-ExogenousannualGDPgrowthrate[scenarios ])/ExogenousannualGDPgrowthrate[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (0296)DOHeatCap=HeatCapacityRatio*HeatTransCoeff Units:watt*Year/DegreesC/meter/meter DeepOceanHeatCapacityperUnitArea[R2](W-yr/m^2/degreesC) Note:ManagingGlobalCommonsuses.44*Heat_Trans_Coeff=220; Cowlesreportuses223.7(page30).[ManagingGlobalCommons, pg.21](0297)dollarstoTdollars= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C15') Units:Dmnl ConversionfromdollarstoTdollars(1T$=1e12$).



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(0298)Dynamicqualityofelectricity[scenarios]= RealTFEC[scenarios]/(TPESEJ[scenarios]-"Totalrealnon-energyuseconsumptionEJ" [scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Dynamicqualityofelectricity(TFES/TPES,thelatterwithout takingintoaccountthenon-energyuses).(0299)"E-lossesheat-comduetoCCimpacts"[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,heat]*"shareE-lossesCC" [scenarios]*MethodCCimpacts Units:EJ (0300)EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,HVliq]= 1 EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,HVhib]= 1 EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,HVgas]= effectsshortagegas[scenarios] EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,LVliq]= 1 EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,LVelec]= effectsshortageeleconEV[scenarios] EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,LVgas]= effectsshortagegas[scenarios] EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,busliq]= 1 EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,buselec]= effectsshortageeleconEV[scenarios] EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,bushib]= 1 EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,busgas]= effectsshortagegas[scenarios] EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,trainliq]= 1 EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,trainelec]= effectsshortageeleconEV[scenarios] EfectsshortageinlandT[scenarios,LVhib]= 1 Units:Dmnl Efectsofshortageofalternativefuels(0301)effectsshortagegas[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundancegases[scenarios]>0.8,((abundancegases[scenarios] -0.8)*5)^2,0)



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Units:Dmnl Theeventualscarcityofgaswouldlikelyconstrainthe developmentofNGVs/GTLs.Theproposedrelationshipavoidsan abruptlimitationbyintroducingarange(1;0.8)inthegas abundancethatconstrainsthedevelopmentofNGVs/GTLs.(0302)effectsshortagegasHveh[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundancegases[scenarios]>0.8,((abundancegases[scenarios] -0.8)*5)^2,0) Units:Dmnl Theeventualscarcityofgaswouldlikelyconstrainthe developmentofNGVs/GTLs.Theproposedrelationshipavoidsan abruptlimitationbyintroducingarange(1;0.8)inthegas abundancethatconstrainsthedevelopmentofNGVs/GTLs.(0303)effectsshortageuranium[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(extractionuraniumEJ[scenarios]=0,0, IFTHENELSE(abundanceuranium[scenarios]>0.8,((abundanceuranium[scenarios ]-0.8)*5)^2,0)) Units:Dmnl Theeventualscarcityofcoalwouldlikelyconstrainthe developmentofCTL.Theproposedrelationshipavoidsanabrupt limitationbyintroducingarange(1;0.8)inthegasabundance thatconstrainsthedevelopmentofCTL.(0304)EfficiencybioEresiduestocellulosicliquids[scenarios]= ConvefficiencyfromNPPtobiofuels Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofthetransformationfrombioenergyresiduesto cellulosicliquids.Weassumeitisthesameefficiencythanfor theconversionfrombiomassto2ndgenerationbiofuels.(0305)efficiencybiogasforelecCHPplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G86') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofthetransformationofbiogasinelecinCHPplants.(0306)efficiencybiogasforelecplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G84') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofthetransformationofbiogasinelecplants.(0307)efficiencybiogasforheatCHPplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G85')



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Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofthetransformationofbiogasinheatinCHPplants.(0308)efficiencybiogasforheatplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G83') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofthetransformationofbiogasinheatplants.(0309)efficiencycoalforelectricity= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C46') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofcoalgaspowercentrals.Stabletrendbetween1971 and2014(IEABalances),averageoftheperiod.(0310)efficiencycoalforheatplants:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','219','B223') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofcoalheatplants.WeassumeconstantlastdataIEA.(0311)EfficiencyconversionBioEplantstoheat= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C43') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofthetransformationfrombioenergytoheatinheat andCHPplants(aggregated).Efficiencyofthetransformation frombioenergytoelectricity(estimationfor2014fromtheIEA balances.(0312)EfficiencyconversionBioEplantstoheat0= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C43') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofthetransformationfrombioenergytoheatinheat andCHPplants(aggregated).Efficiencyofthetransformation frombioenergytoelectricity(estimationfor2014fromtheIEA balances.(0313)efficiencyconversionbioEtoElec= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C44') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofthetransformationfrombioenergytoelectricity inbothelectricityplantsandCHPs(estimationfor2014from theIEAbalances).(0314)EfficiencyconversiongeotPEtoElec= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C42')



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Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofthetransformationfromgeothermal(primary energy)toelectricity.(0315)efficiencyEleccoalCHPplants:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','219','B224') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofelecincoalCHPplants.Weassumeconstantlast dataIEA.(0316)efficiencyElecgasCHPplants:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','219','B221') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofelecingasCHPplants.Weassumeconstantlast dataIEA.(0317)efficiencyElecoilCHPplants:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','219','B227') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofliquidsingasCHPplants.Weassumeconstantlast dataIEA.(0318)Efficiencyenergyaceleration[scenarios,sectors,finalsources]= Maximunyearlyaceleratuinofintensityimprovement[scenarios,sectors,finalsources ]*Pressuretoimproveenergyintensityefficiency [scenarios,sectors,finalsources] Units:**undefined** Thisvariablerepresentstheaccelerationoftheprocessof variationoftheenergyintensitythatcanbeproducedby polítcasormarketpressures.(0319)EfficiencyenergyacelerationH[scenarios,finalsources]= MaximunyearlyaceleratuinofintensityimprovementH[scenarios,finalsources ]*PressuretoimproveenergyintensityefficiencyH[scenarios,finalsources ] Units:**undefined** (0320)efficiencygasforelectricity=INTEG( improvementefficiencygasforelectricity, initialefficiencygasforelectricity*percenttoshare) Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofthegaspowercentrals.(0321)efficiencygasesforheatplants:INTERPOLATE::=



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GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','219','B220') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofgasheatplants.WeassumeconstantlastdataIEA.(0322)Efficiencygeothermalforheat= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G43') Units:Dmnl (0323)Efficiencygeothermalforheat0= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G43') Units:Dmnl (0324)efficiencyHeatcoalCHPplants:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','219','B225') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofheatingasCHPplants.Weassumeconstantlast dataIEA.(0325)efficiencyHeatgasCHPplants:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','219','B222') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofheatingasCHPplants.Weassumeconstantlast dataIEA.(0326)efficiencyHeatoilCHPplants:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','219','B228') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofheatinoilCHPplants.Weassumeconstantlast dataIEA.(0327)Efficiencyimprovgasforelectricity= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C52') Units:Dmnl Annualefficiencyimprovementinpercentageofthegaspower centralsforelectricityproduction.(0328)Efficiencyimprovementbiofuels3gen= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C47') Units:**undefined** Efficiencyimprovementsof3rdgeneration(cellulosic)in relationto2ndgenerationbiofuels.(0329)efficiencyliquidsforelectricity= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C45')



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Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofoilinelectricitypowercentrals.Stabletrend between1971and2014(IEABalances),averageoftheperiod.(0330)efficiencyliquidsforheatplants:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','219','B226') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofliquidsheatplants.Weassumeconstantlastdata IEA.(0331)efficiencyrateofsubstitution[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing ,finalsources,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[MiningandQuarrying,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','G16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[FoodBeveragesandTobacco,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','L16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[TextilesandTextileProducts,finalsources ,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','Q16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[LeatherLeatherandFootwear,finalsources ,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','V16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork,finalsources ,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AA16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing,finalsources ,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AF16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel,finalsources ,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts,finalsources ,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AP16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[RubberandPlastics,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AU16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[OtherNonMetalicMineral,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AZ16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal,finalsources



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,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BE16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[MachineryNec,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BJ16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment,finalsources ,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BO16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[TransportEquipment,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BT16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[ManufacturingNecRecycling,finalsources, finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BY16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply,finalsources ,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CD16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[Construction,finalsources,finalsources1] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CI16') efficiency rate of substitution[Sale Maintenance and Repair of Motor Vehicles andaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CN16') efficiency rate of substitution[Wholesale Trade and Commissions Trade Except ofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CS16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ,finalsources,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CX16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[HotelsandRestaurants,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DC16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[InlandTransport,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DH16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[WaterTransport,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DM16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[AirTransport,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DR16')



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efficiencyrateofsubstitution[OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,finalsources,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DW16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[PostandTelecommunications,finalsources, finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EB16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[FinancialIntermedation,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EG16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[RealEstateActivities,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EL16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities ,finalsources,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EQ16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,finalsources,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EV16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[Education,finalsources,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FA16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[HealthandSocialWork,finalsources,finalsources1 ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FF16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ,finalsources,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FK16') efficiencyrateofsubstitution[PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons,finalsources ,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FP16') Units:**undefined** (0332)efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[finalsources,finalsources1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FU16') Units:**undefined** (0333)EfficiencyRESheat["solar-heat"]= Efficiencysolarpanelsforheat*Lossessolarforheat EfficiencyRESheat["geot-heat"]= Efficiencygeothermalforheat EfficiencyRESheat["solidbioE-heat"]= EfficiencyconversionBioEplantstoheat Units:Dmnl



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(0334)EfficiencyRESheat0["solar-heat"]= Efficiencysolarpanelsforheat0*Lossessolarforheat0 EfficiencyRESheat0["geot-heat"]= Efficiencygeothermalforheat0 EfficiencyRESheat0["solidbioE-heat"]= EfficiencyconversionBioEplantstoheat0 Units:Dmnl (0335)Efficiencysolarpanelsforheat= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G41') Units:Dmnl (0336)Efficiencysolarpanelsforheat0= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G41') Units:Dmnl (0337)efficiencyuraniumforelectricity= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C41') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofuraniuminnuclearpowercentrals.[IEABalances].(0338)efficiencywasteforelecCHPplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C86') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofthetransformationofwasteinelecinCHPplants.(0339)efficiencywasteforelecplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C84') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofthetransformationofwasteinelecplants.(0340)efficiencywasteforheatCHPplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C85') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofthetransformationofwasteinheatinCHPplants.(0341)efficiencywasteforheatplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C83') Units:Dmnl Efficiencyofthetransformationofwasteinheatplants.(0342)EJperktoe= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C16') Units:EJ/ktoe



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1ktoe=0.000041868EJ.(0343)EJperTWh= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C5') Units:EJ/TWh Unitconversion(3.6EJ=1000TWh)(0344)ElecgenrelatedlossesEJ[scenarios]= PElossesNREelecgeneration[scenarios]+PElossesRESforelec[scenarios ] Units:EJ/Year Electricitygenerationlosses(EJ).(0345)"Elecgenerationbase-loadfromRESTWh"[scenarios]= FE Elec generation from bioE TWh[scenarios]+"FE Elec generation from geot-elecTWh" [scenarios]+FEElecgenerationfromhydroTWh [scenarios]+FEElecgeneration fromoceanicTWh[scenarios]+FESelec frombiogasTWh [scenarios] Units:TWh Base-loadelectricitygenerationfromRES.(0346)ElecgenerationvariablefromRESTWh[scenarios]= FEElecgenerationfromsolarPVTWh[scenarios]+FEElecgenerationfromCSPTWh [scenarios]+FEElecgenerationfromonshorewindTWh[scenarios]+FEElecgenerationfromoffshorewindTWh [scenarios] Units:TWh/Year VariableelectricitygenerationfromRES.(0347)ElectricaldistributionlossesEJ[scenarios]= ElectricaldistributionlossesTWh[scenarios]*EJperTWh Units:EJ/Year Electicaldistributionlosses(EJ)(0348)ElectricaldistributionlossesTWh[scenarios]= TotalFEElecdemandTWh[scenarios]*"sharetransm&distreleclosses"[scenarios ] Units:TWh Electricaltransmissionanddistributionlosses.(0349)Electricity2wE0= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','C52')



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Units:EJ Initialelectricityusedby2wheelersintheyearofstartof policies(2015default)0.3415(0350)EmploymentfactorsnewRESelec[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y13') EmploymentfactorsnewRESelec["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y7') EmploymentfactorsnewRESelec["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y8') EmploymentfactorsnewRESelec[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y9') EmploymentfactorsnewRESelec[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y10') EmploymentfactorsnewRESelec[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y12') EmploymentfactorsnewRESelec[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y11') EmploymentfactorsnewRESelec[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y16') Units:people/MW Employmentfactorsforthemanufacture,constructionand installationofRESpowerplantsforelectricitygeneration.(0351)EmploymentfactorsnewRESheat["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y17') EmploymentfactorsnewRESheat["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y18') EmploymentfactorsnewRESheat["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Y19') Units:people/MW Employmentfactorsforthemanufacture,constructionand installationofRESpowerplantsforheatgeneration.(0352)"EmploymentfactorsO&MRESelec"[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z13') "EmploymentfactorsO&MRESelec"["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z7') "EmploymentfactorsO&MRESelec"["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z8') "EmploymentfactorsO&MRESelec"[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z9') "EmploymentfactorsO&MRESelec"[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z10')



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"EmploymentfactorsO&MRESelec"[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z12') "EmploymentfactorsO&MRESelec"[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z11') "EmploymentfactorsO&MRESelec"[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z16') Units:people/MW EmploymentfactorsfortheO&MofRESpowerplantsfor electricitygeneration.(0353)EnergyconsperunitofmaterialconsforRESelec[materials,scenarios ]= recyclingratesmineralsalttechn[materials,scenarios]*"Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)" [materials]+(1-recycling ratesminerals alt techn[materials,scenarios])*"Initial energy consperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)" [materials] Units:MJ/kg Averageenergyconsumptionperunitofmaterialconsumption accountingforrecyclingratesforRESelectechnologies. recyclingratesmineralsRESelec[materials,scenarios]*"Initial energyconsperunitofmaterialcons (recycled)"[materials]+(1-recyclingratesmineralsRES elec[materials,scenarios])*"Initialenergyconsperunitof materialcons(virgin)"[materials](0354)Energycostpressure[scenarios,finalsources]= 1-abundanceofenergy[scenarios,finalsources] Units:**undefined** (0355)EnergycostpressureH[scenarios,finalsources]= 1-abundanceofenergyH[scenarios,finalsources] Units:**undefined** (0356)Energyinitialinlandtransport[HVliq]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B54') Energyinitialinlandtransport[HVhib]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B55') Energyinitialinlandtransport[HVgas]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B56') Energyinitialinlandtransport[LVliq]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B57') Energyinitialinlandtransport[LVhib]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B59')



84

Energyinitialinlandtransport[LVelec]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B58') Energyinitialinlandtransport[LVgas]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B61') Energyinitialinlandtransport[busliq]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B61') Energyinitialinlandtransport[buselec]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','F60') Energyinitialinlandtransport[bushib]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','F61') Energyinitialinlandtransport[busgas]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B62') Energyinitialinlandtransport[trainliq]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','F62') Energyinitialinlandtransport[trainelec]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','F63') Units:EJ/Year ELDATODELTRENESTAMAL,HAYQUEDESGLOSARELECTRICOYDE LIQUIDOSYNOTENGODATOS,APROXInitialenergyconsumedbythe inlandtransportsector,beforepolitics,TpolicyT(default 2015)data'InternationalEnergyAgency(2016),Energy TechnologyPerspectives2016,OECD/IEA,(0357)Energyintensityofhouseholds[scenarios,finalsources]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2009,Energyintensityofhouseholdsrest[scenarios,finalsources ],Energy intensity of households transport[scenarios,final sources]+Energy intensity ofhouseholdsrest [scenarios,finalsources]) Units:**undefined** (0358)Energyintensityofhouseholdsrest[scenarios,liquids]= EvolfinalenergyintensityH[scenarios,liquids]+changetotalintensitytorest [scenarios,liquids] Energyintensityofhouseholdsrest[scenarios,solids]= EvolfinalenergyintensityH[scenarios,solids] Energyintensityofhouseholdsrest[scenarios,gases]= EvolfinalenergyintensityH[scenarios,gases] Energyintensityofhouseholdsrest[scenarios,electricity]= EvolfinalenergyintensityH[scenarios,electricity] Energyintensityofhouseholdsrest[scenarios,heat]= EvolfinalenergyintensityH[scenarios,heat] Units:**undefined** (0359)Energyintensityofhouseholdstransport[scenarios,finalsources]=INTEG



85

( variationenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport[scenarios,finalsources ], Initialenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport2009[finalsources]) Units:EJ/T$ (0360)Energymarketpressure[scenarios,sectors,finalsources]= 0*relativeabundanceofenergy Units:**undefined** Currently,thispartisnotworking.(0361)EnergymarketpressureH[scenarios,finalsources]= 0*relativeabundanceofenergyH Units:**undefined** Currently,thispartisnotworking.(0362)"energyown-useconstant830Mtoein2013"= 830 Units:**undefined** (0363)energyperXt[scenarios,HVliq]= liquidsperXHV*savingratiosV[HVliq] energyperXt[scenarios,HVhib]= liquidsperXHV*savingratiosV[HVhib] energyperXt[scenarios,HVgas]= liquidsperXHV*savingratiosV[HVgas] energyperXt[scenarios,LVliq]= liquidsperXLV*savingratiosV[LVliq] energyperXt[scenarios,LVelec]= liquidsperXLV*savingratiosV[LVelec] energyperXt[scenarios,LVhib]= liquidsperXLV*savingratiosV[LVhib] energyperXt[scenarios,LVgas]= liquidsperXLV*savingratiosV[LVgas] energyperXt[scenarios,busliq]= liquidsperXbus*savingratiosV[busliq] energyperXt[scenarios,bushib]= liquidsperXbus*savingratiosV[bushib] energyperXt[scenarios,busgas]= liquidsperXbus*savingratiosV[busgas] energyperXt[scenarios,trainliq]= energyperXtrain[scenarios]*0.8 energyperXt[scenarios,trainelec]= energyperXtrain[scenarios]*0.2



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energyperXt[scenarios,buselec]= liquidsperXbus*savingratiosV[buselec] Units:**undefined** electricvehiclesarepurebateryelectricandpluginhybrids(0364)energyperXtrain[scenarios]= Energy initial inland transport[train liq]*adjust energy for transport to inlandtransport /initialXtinland Units:**undefined** MALLOSDATOSDELTREN(0365)EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionforEVbatteries[RESelec, materials,scenarios]= materialsrequiredforEVbatteriesMt[materials,scenarios]*EnergyconsperunitofmaterialconsforRESelec [materials,scenarios]*kgperMt/MJperEJ Units:EJ EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionforEVbatteries.(0366)EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionfornewRESelec[RESelec, materials,scenarios]= materials required fornewRESelecMt[RESelec,materials,scenarios]*Energy consperunitofmaterialconsforRESelec [materials,scenarios]*kgperMt/MJperEJ Units:EJ EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionfornewRESelec.(0367)"EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionforO&MRESelec"[RESelec ,materials,scenarios]= "materialsrequiredforO&MRESelecMt"[RESelec,materials,scenarios]*EnergyconsperunitofmaterialconsforRESelec [materials,scenarios]*kgperMt/MJperEJ Units:EJ (0368)EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionperRESelec[RESelec,materials ,scenarios]= "EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionforO&MRESelec"[RESelec,materials ,scenarios]+EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionfornewRESelec[RESelec ,materials,scenarios]+EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionforEVbatteries [RESelec,materials,scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Energyrequiredformaterialconsumptionpermaterialfor alternativetechnologies(RESelec&EVbatteries).



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(0369)EnergyrequirementsfordecomRESelec[hydro]= 0 EnergyrequirementsfordecomRESelec["geot-elec"]= 0 EnergyrequirementsfordecomRESelec["solidbioE-elec"]= 0 EnergyrequirementsfordecomRESelec[oceanic]= 0 EnergyrequirementsfordecomRESelec[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D122') EnergyrequirementsfordecomRESelec[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E122') EnergyrequirementsfordecomRESelec[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C122') EnergyrequirementsfordecomRESelec[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B122') Units:Dmnl EnergyrequirementsfordecomissioningpowerRESplantsasa shareoftheenergyrequirementsfortheconstructionofnew capacity.(0370)"EnergyrequirementsforO&MforwaterconsumptionRESelec"[RESelec ,water,scenarios]= Energy requirements per unit of water consumption[water]*"Water for O&MrequiredforRESelec" [RESelec,water,scenarios]*kgperMt /MJperEJ Units:EJ Energyrequirementsforoperationandmaintenanceofwater consumptionbyREStechnologyforgeneratingelectricity.(0371)Energyrequirementsperunitofwaterconsumption["clean,pumpedwater" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y114') Energyrequirementsperunitofwaterconsumption["distilled,deionizedwater" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y115') Units:MJ/kg EnergyrequirementsforwaterconsumptioninRESplantsfor generationofelectricity.(0372)Energyscarcityfeedbackshortagecoeff[scenarios,finalsources]= MIN(1,realFEconsumptionbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,finalsources



88

]/RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection [scenarios,finalsources]) Units:Dmnl Thiscoefficientadaptstherealfinalenergybyfueltobeused byeconomicsectorstakingintoaccountenergyavailability.(0373)"EOL-RRmineralsvariableRESvs.thetotaleconomy"= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G57') Units:Dnml RecyclingrateofmineralsusedinvariableREStechnologiesin relationtothetotaleconomy.(0374)EROIallocationruleperRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,1, IFTHENELSE("ratioEROIpertechnvsEROItot(static)"[RESelec,scenarios ]=0,0, IFTHENELSE("ratioEROIpertechnvsEROItot(static)"[RESelec,scenarios ]<0.1,0,0.434294*LN("ratioEROIpertechnvsEROItot(static)"[RESelec,scenarios ])+1))) Units:Dmnl AllocationrulefortheRESelectechnologiesbasedontheir EROI.(0375)EROIFC[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("ActivateEROIFCfeedback?"=0,1, IFTHENELSE(Time>2016,(EROIstdelayed1yr[scenarios]/(EROIstdelayed1yr [scenarios]-1))*((EROIstuntil2015[scenarios]-1)/EROIstuntil2015[scenarios ]),1)) Units:Dmnl EROIFeedbackCoeficient.Thiscoeficientallowstofeedbackthe yearlychangeofthetotalEROIofthesystemontherealenergy consuptionofthesystem.IFTHENELSE("ActivateEROIFC feedback?"=0,1,(EROEIDelayed1yr[scenarios]/(EROEIDelayed 1yr[scenarios]-1))*((EROEIDelayed2yr[scenarios]-1)/EROEI Delayed2yr[scenarios]))(0376)EROIunconvgas= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G67') Units:Dmnl (0377)"EROI-iniRESelecdispatch"[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','W13') "EROI-iniRESelecdispatch"["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','W7')



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"EROI-iniRESelecdispatch"["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','W8') "EROI-iniRESelecdispatch"[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','W9') "EROI-iniRESelecdispatch"[windonshore]= 0 "EROI-iniRESelecdispatch"[windoffshore]= 0 "EROI-iniRESelecdispatch"[solarPV]= 0 "EROI-iniRESelecdispatch"[CSP]= 0 Units:Dmnl EnergyreturnonenergyinvestedofREStechnologiesfor generatingelectricitydispatchablesattheinitialCplevel.(0378)"EROI=1"= 1 Units:Dmnl (0379)EROIpoutotelec[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(EROIsttotelec[scenarios]-testirrestandoalEROIpou>0,EROIsttotelec [scenarios]-testirrestandoalEROIpou,0.5) Units:Dmnl (0380)EROIst[scenarios]= RealTFEC[scenarios]/((("energyown-useconstant830Mtoein2013"/MToeperEJ )/375.5)*RealTFEC[scenarios]+Totalenergyrequiredfortotalmaterialconsumptionforalttechn [scenarios]) Units:Dmnl (0381)EROIstdelayed[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( EROIst[scenarios],TIMESTEP,"EROIst(1995)") Units:Dmnl EROIstofthesystemdelayed.Thisvariableisintroducedto avoidsimultaneousequations.(0382)EROIstdelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( EROIst[scenarios],1,"EROIst(1995)") Units:Dmnl EROIstofthesystemdelayed1year.(0383)EROIsttotelec[scenarios]=



90

(FE Elec generation fromNRE TWh[scenarios]*EJ per TWh+SUM(output elec overlifetimeRESelec [RESelec!,scenarios]))/(( SUM(CEDtotover lifetimeRESelec[RESelec!,scenarios])+CEDtotover lifetimeNREelec [scenarios])*qualityofelectricity[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl (0384)EROIstuntil2015[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,EROIstdelayed[scenarios],aux4[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl EROIstoftheenergysystemuntiltheyear2015.(0385)"EROIst(1995)"= 10.79 Units:Dmnl EROIstofthesystemintheyear1995.(0386)ESOIelecstorage[scenarios]= (ESOIPHS[scenarios]*InstalledPHScapacity[scenarios]+ESOIEVbatteries* UsedEVbatteriesforstorage[scenarios])/(InstalledPHScapacity[scenarios ]+UsedEVbatteriesforstorage[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl ESOIofelectricstorage(PHSandEVbatteries).(0387)ESOIEVbatteries= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G48') Units:Dmnl ESOIofelectricvehiculebateries.(0388)ESOIPHS[scenarios]= alinealregr[scenarios]*InstalledPHScapacity[scenarios]+blinealregr[ scenarios] Units:Dmnl ESOIofthePHS.(0389)EVbatteriesavailableforstorage[scenarios]= EVbatteriesTW[scenarios]*CpEVbatteriesforelecstorage Units:TW Bateriesfromelectricvehiclesavailableforstorageassuming thesamenumberofcyclesarededicatedtostoragethanto transport.(0390)EVbatteriesTW[scenarios]=



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"bateriesEV+hib+2wE"[scenarios]*kWperbatteryEV/kWhperTWh Units:TW Electricbatteriesfromelectricvehicles.(0391)Evolfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[scenarios,sectors,finalsources ]=INTEG(IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN [scenarios,sectors,finalsources]+inertialrateenergyintensityTOPDOWN[ scenarios,sectors,finalsources]+ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios ,sectors,finalsources]-DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN [scenarios,sectors,finalsources], Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[sectors,finalsources]) Units:**undefined** Thisvariablemodelsthedynamicevolutionofthematrixof energyintensitiesofthe35economicsectorsandthe5typesof finalenergy.Itisa35x5matrix.Theevolutionofthe intensitiesisconsideredtobeduetotwomaineffects:(1)the variationoftheenergyefficiency(flowduetothevariable inertialrateenergyintensity)and(2)thechangeofonetype offinalenergybyanother,Asaconsequenceofatechnological change(flowduetothevariablesIncrease/decreaseof intensityduetoenergytotechnologychange),asforexample thechangeduetotheelectrificationofthetransport.(0392)EvolfinalenergyintensityH[scenarios,finalsources]=INTEG( IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,finalsources ]+inertial rate energy intensity H TOP DOWN[scenarios,final sources]-Decrease ofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,finalsources], Initialenergyintensity1995H[finalsources]) Units:EJ/Tdollars Energyintensityofhouseholdsbyfinalsource.Thisvariable modelsthedynamicevolutionofthevetoroffinalenergy intensitiesofthe5typesoffinalenergy.Theevolutionofthe intensitiesisconsideredtobeduetotwomaineffects:(1)the variationoftheenergyefficiency(flowduetothevariable inertialrateenergyintensity)and(2)thechangeofonetype offinalenergybyanother,Asaconsequenceofatechnological change(flowduetothevariablesIncrease/decreaseof intensityduetoenergytotechnologychange),asforexample thechangeduetotheelectrificationofthetransport.(0393)evolutionshareunconvgasvstotagg[scenarios]= (shareunconvgasvstotaggin2050[scenarios]-0.1082)/(2050-2012)*Time+



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(shareunconvgasvstotaggin2050[scenarios]-((shareunconvgasvstotaggin2050 [scenarios]-0.1082)/(2050-2012))*2050) Units:Dmnl Linearrelationoftheevolutionoftheshareofunconventional gasvstotalaggregatedgas.(0394)evolutionshareunconvoilvstotagg[scenarios]= (shareunconvoilvstotaggin2050[scenarios]-0.059)/(2050-2012)*Time+( shareunconvoilvstotaggin2050[scenarios]-((shareunconvoilvstotaggin2050 [scenarios]-0.059)/(2050-2012))*2050) Units:Dmnl Linearrelationoftheevolutionoftheshareofunconventional oilvstotalaggregatedoil.(0395)ExogenousannualGDPgrowthrate[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2014,PannualGDPgrowthrate[scenarios],(historicGDPgrowth )) Units:Dmnl ScenariosofGDPgrowth(0396)ExogenousGDPgrowthratecorrected[scenarios]= IF THEN ELSE(Time>2009:AND:Time<2014,Exogenous annual GDP growthrate[scenarios ]*(1+adjustexogenousGDPgrowthrate),ExogenousannualGDPgrowthrate[scenarios ]) Units:Dmnl AdjustinexogenousGDPgrowthin2009-2014period(provisional)(0397)exponentavailabilityconvgas= 1/4 Units:Dmnl Thesmallertheexponent,moreprioritytoconventionalvs unconventionalgas:1:lineal1/2:squareroot1/3:cuberoot...(0398)exponentavailabilityconvoil= 1/4 Units:Dmnl Thesmallertheexponent,moreprioritytoconventionalvs unconventionaloil:1:lineal1/2:squareroot1/3:cuberoot...(0399)extramonetinvesttocopewithvariableElecRES[scenarios]= (FE Elec generation from onshore wind TWh[scenarios]+FE Elec generation fromoffshorewindTWh [scenarios])*Balancingcosts



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[scenarios]+GridreinforcementcostsTdollar[scenarios] Units:Tdollars/Year Annualadditionalmonetaryinvestmenttocopewiththe intermittencyofRES(takingwindasaproxy)including balancingandgridreinforcementcosts(1995US$).(0400)extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(RURRcoal[scenarios]<0,0, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,PEDcoalEJ[scenarios], IFTHENELSE("unlimitedcoal?"[scenarios]=1,PEDcoalEJ[scenarios],MIN(PEDcoalEJ [scenarios],maxextractioncoalEJ[scenarios])))) Units:EJ/Year Annualextractionofcoal.(0401)extractioncoalemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]= MAX(0,extractioncoalwithoutCTLEJ[scenarios]-"Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ" [scenarios,solids]) Units:EJ Extractionofemission-relevantcoal,i.e.exceptingthe resourceusedfornon-energyuses.(0402)extractioncoalforCTLEJ[scenarios]= PEDcoalforCTLEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year ExtractionofcoalforCTL.CTLdemandisgivenpriorityover otherusessinceitisanexogenousassumptiondependingonthe scenario.(0403)extractioncoalMtoe[scenarios]= extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]*MToeperEJ Units:MToe/Year Annualextractionofcoal.(0404)extractioncoalwithoutCTLEJ[scenarios]= MAX(extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]-extractioncoalforCTLEJ[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ/Year Extractionofconventionalgasexceptingtheresourceusedto produceGTL.(0405)"extractionconvgas-totagg"[scenarios]= extractiontotagggasEJ[scenarios]*shareconvgasvstotagg[scenarios] Units:EJ



94

(0406)extractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(RURRconvgas[scenarios]<0,0, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,Demandconvgas[scenarios], IFTHENELSE("unlimitedgas?"[scenarios]=1,Demandconvgas[scenarios], MIN(Demandconvgas[scenarios],maxextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios])))) Units:EJ/Year Annualextractionofconventionalgas.(0407)"extractionconvoil-totagg"[scenarios]= extractiontotaggoilEJ[scenarios]*shareconvoilvstotagg[scenarios] Units:EJ (0408)extractionconvoilEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(RURRconvoil[scenarios]<0,0, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,DemandconvoilEJ[scenarios] , IFTHENELSE("unlimitedoil?"[scenarios]=1,DemandconvoilEJ[scenarios] , MIN(DemandconvoilEJ[scenarios],maxextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios]) ))) Units:EJ/Year Annualextractionofconventionaloil.(0409)extractiontotaggoilEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(RURRtotaggoil[scenarios]<0,0, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios], IFTHENELSE("unlimitedoil?"[scenarios]=1,PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios], MIN(PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios],maxextractiontotaggoilEJ[scenarios]) ))) Units:EJ/Year Annualextractionoftotalaggregatedoil.(0410)"extractionunconvgas-totagg"[scenarios]= extractiontotagggasEJ[scenarios]*shareunconvgasvstotagg[scenarios ] Units:EJ (0411)extractionunconvgasdelayed[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( extractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios],TIMESTEP,0) Units:EJ/Year (0412)"extractionunconvoil-totagg"[scenarios]= extractiontotaggoilEJ[scenarios]*shareunconvoilvstotagg[scenarios



95

] Units:EJ (0413)extractionunconvoildelayed[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( extractionunconvoilEJ[scenarios],TIMESTEP,1.09) Units:EJ/Year Extractionofunconventionaloildelayed1year.DatafromMohr etal(2015)for1989.(0414)extractionuraniumkt[scenarios]= extractionuraniumEJ[scenarios]*kturaniumperEJ Units:Kt/Year Extracciónofuraniuminkt.(0415)FEdemandcoalElecplantsTWh[scenarios]= sharecoalforElec[scenarios]*demandElecgasandcoalTWh[scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Finalenergydemandofcoalforelectricityconsumption(TWh).(0416)FEdemandElecconsumTWh[scenarios]= FEElecdemandconsumafterCCimpactsEJ[scenarios]/EJperTWh Units:TWh/Year Electricityconsumption(TWh)(0417)FEdemandgasElecplantsTWh[scenarios]= "sharegas/(coal+gas)forElec"[scenarios]*demandElecgasandcoalTWh[ scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Finalenergydemandofnaturalgasforelectricityconsumption (TWh).(0418)FEdemandoilElecplantsTWh[scenarios]= shareoilforElec[scenarios]*TotalFEElecdemandTWh[scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Finalenergydemandofoiltoproduceelectricity.(0419)FEElecdemandconsumafterCCimpactsEJ[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,electricity]+"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts" [scenarios,electricity] Units:EJ Electricityconsumption(EJ)(0420)FEElecgenerationfrombioETWh[scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]



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Units:TWh/Year Annualelectricitygeneration.(0421)FEElecgenerationfromCSPTWh[scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh[CSP,scenarios] Units:TWh Annualelectricitygeneration.(0422)FEElecgenerationfromfossilfuelsTWh[scenarios]= FEElecgenerationfromcoalTWh[scenarios]+FEElecgenerationfromconvgasTWh [scenarios]+FEElecgenerationfromunconvgasTWh [scenarios]+FEElecgenerationfromtotaloilTWh[scenarios]+FESElecfossilfuelCHPplantsTWh [scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Finalenergyelectricitygenerationfromfossilfuels(TWh).(0423)"FEElecgenerationfromgeot-elecTWh"[scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh["geot-elec",scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Annualelectricitygeneration.(0424)FEElecgenerationfromhydroTWh[scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh[hydro,scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Annualelectricitygeneration.(0425)FEElecgenerationfromNRETWh[scenarios]= FEElecgenerationfromfossilfuelsTWh[scenarios]+FEnuclearElecgenerationTWh [scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Electricitygenerationfromnon-renewableresources(fossil fuelsanduranium).(0426)FEElecgenerationfromoceanicTWh[scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh[oceanic,scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Annualelectricitygeneration.(0427)FEElecgenerationfromoffshorewindTWh[scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh[windoffshore,scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Annualelectricitygeneration.



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(0428)FEElecgenerationfromonshorewindTWh[scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh[windonshore,scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Annualelectricitygeneration.(0429)FEElecgenerationfromsolarPVTWh[scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh[solarPV,scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Annualelectricitygeneration.(0430)FEheatdemandconsumafterCCimpactsEJ[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,heat]+"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts" [scenarios,heat] Units:EJ HeatdemandconsumptionafterCCimpacts.(0431)"FErealgenerationRESheat-comEJ0"[RESheat,scenarios]= potentialFESRESforheatEJ0[RESheat,scenarios]*(1-RESheattotovercapacity0 [scenarios]) Units:EJ HeatgenerationbyREStechnology.(0432)"FErealgenerationRESheat-comEJ"[RESheat,scenarios]= "potential FES RES for heat-com EJ"[RES heat,scenarios]*(1-"RES heat-com totovercapacity" [scenarios]) Units:EJ CommercialheatgenerationbyREStechnology.(0433)"FErealgenerationRESheat-ncEJ"[RESheat,scenarios]= "potential FES RES for heat-nc EJ"[RES heat,scenarios]*(1-"RES heat-nc totovercapacity" [scenarios]) Units:EJ Non-commercialheatgenerationbyREStechnology.(0434)FErealsupplyRESforheattotEJ0[scenarios]= MIN(MAX("FEDHeat-comafterprioritiesEJ"[scenarios],0),potentialFEStotRESforheatEJ0 [scenarios]) Units:EJ TotalfinalenergysupplydeliveredbyRESforheat(commercial andnon-commercialuses).



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(0435)"FErealsupplyRESforheat-comtotEJ"[scenarios]= MIN(MAX("FEDHeat-comafterprioritiesEJ"[scenarios],0),"potentialFEStotRESforheat-comEJ" [scenarios]) Units:EJ TotalfinalenergysupplydeliveredbyRESforcommercialheat.(0436)"FErealsupplyRESforheat-nctotEJ"[scenarios]= MIN(MAX("TotalFEDHeat-ncEJ"[scenarios],0),"potentialFEStotRESforheat-ncEJ" [scenarios]) Units:EJ TotalfinalenergysupplydeliveredbyRESfornon-commercial heat.(0437)FErealtotgenerationRESelecTWh[scenarios]= MIN(MAX(Total FE Elec demand after priorities TWh[scenarios], 0), potential totgenerationRESelecTWh [scenarios]) Units:TWh (0438)FEtotgenerationallRESelecEJ[scenarios]= FEtotgenerationallRESelecTWh[scenarios]*EJperTWh Units:EJ ElectricitygenerationfromallREStechnologies.(0439)FEtotgenerationallRESelecTWh[scenarios]= FErealtotgenerationRESelecTWh[scenarios]+FESelecfromRESwithpriorityTWh [scenarios] Units:TWh ElectricitygenerationfromallREStechnologies.(0440)"FEDbyfuelforheat-nc"[electricity,scenarios]= 0 "FEDbyfuelforheat-nc"[heat,scenarios]= 0 "FEDbyfuelforheat-nc"[liquids,scenarios]= "FEDoilforheat-nc"[scenarios] "FEDbyfuelforheat-nc"[gases,scenarios]= "FEDnat.gasforheat-nc"[scenarios] "FEDbyfuelforheat-nc"[solids,scenarios]= "FEDcoalforheat-nc"[scenarios]+"FEDsolidbioEforheat-nc"[scenarios] Units:EJ Finalenergydemand(excludingdistributionandgeneration losses)ofnon-commercialheatbyfinalfuel.



99

(0441)"FEDcoalforheat-nc"[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,solids]*(shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel [solids,scenarios]-shareFEHoverFEDsolidbioE)*efficiencycoalforheatplants /(1+Shareheatdistributionlosses) Units:EJ Finalenergydemand(excludingdistributionandgeneration losses)ofnon-commercialheatfromcoal.(0442)FEDheatcoalCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= FEDheatfossilfuelsCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]*shareCHPplantscoal Units:EJ FinalenergydemandofcoaltoproduceheatinCHPplants.(0443)FEDheatfossilfuelsCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= MAX("FEDheat-combyNRECHPplantsEJ"[scenarios]-"FESHeat-comnuclearCHPplantsEJ" [scenarios],0) Units:EJ FinalenergydemandoffossilfuelsinCHPplants.(0444)FEDheatgasCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= FEDheatfossilfuelsCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]*historicshareCHPplantsgas Units:EJ FinalenergydemandofgastoproduceheatinCHPplants.(0445)FEDHeatgasplantsEJ[scenarios]= "FEDHeatgas+coalEJ"[scenarios]*"sharegas/(coal+gas)forheatplants" Units:EJ Finalenergydemandofgastoproduceheat.(0446)"FEDHeatgas+coalEJ"[scenarios]= "FEDHeat-complantsfossilfuelsEJ"[scenarios]-FEDHeatliquidsplantsEJ [scenarios] Units:**undefined** (0447)FEDheatliquidsCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= FEDheatfossilfuelsCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]*shareCHPplantsoil Units:EJ FinalenergydemandofoiltoproduceheatinCHPplants.(0448)FEDHeatliquidsplantsEJ[scenarios]= "FEDHeat-complantsfossilfuelsEJ"[scenarios]*shareliquidsfotheatplants



100

[scenarios] Units:EJ Finalenergydemandofliquidstoproduceheat.(0449)"FEDheat-combyNRECHPplantsEJ"[scenarios]= "Shareheat-comCHPplantsNREvsNREtotheat-comgeneration"*"FEDHeat-comNREEJ" [scenarios] Units:EJ FinalenergydemandofcommercialheatinCHPplantswithoutRES.(0450)"FEDHeat-comNREEJ"[scenarios]= MAX("FEDHeat-comafterprioritiesEJ"[scenarios]-"TotalFErealsupplyRESforheat-comEJ" [scenarios],0) Units:EJ DemandofnonrenewableenergytoproducecommercialHeat(final energy).WegiveprioritytoRES.(0451)"FEDHeat-complantsfossilfuelsEJ"[scenarios]= MAX("FEDHeat-comNREEJ"[scenarios]-"FESheat-comfossilfuelsCHPplantsEJ" [scenarios]-"FESHeat-comnuclearCHPplantsEJ"[scenarios],0) Units:EJ Demandoffossilfuelsforcommercialheatplants.Fossilfuels CHPplantshaveprioritydueabetterefficiency.(0452)"FEDHeat-ncEJ"[scenarios]= FEheatdemandconsumafterCCimpactsEJ[scenarios]-"Requiredheat-comafterCCimpacts" [scenarios] Units:EJ Finalenergy(non-commercial)heatdemand.(0453)"FEDnat.gasforheat-nc"[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,gases]*shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel [gases,scenarios]*efficiencygasesforheatplants/(1+Shareheatdistributionlosses ) Units:EJ Finalenergydemand(excludingdistributionandgeneration losses)ofnon-commercialheatfromnaturalgas.(0454)"FEDNREforheat-nc"[scenarios]=



101

"FEDcoalforheat-nc"[scenarios]+"FEDnat.gasforheat-nc"[scenarios]+"FEDoilforheat-nc" [scenarios] Units:EJ (0455)"FEDoilforheat-nc"[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,liquids]*shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel [liquids,scenarios]*efficiencyliquidsforheatplants/(1+Shareheatdistributionlosses ) Units:EJ Finalenergydemand(excludingdistributionandgeneration losses)ofnon-commercialheatfromoil.(0456)"FEDsolidbioEforheat-nc"[scenarios]= RequiredFEDby fuelbeforeheat correction[scenarios,solids]*shareFEHoverFEDsolidbioE *EfficiencyconversionBioEplantstoheat/(1+Shareheatdistributionlosses ) Units:EJ Finalenergydemand(excludingdistributionandgeneration losses)ofnon-commercialheatfromsolidbioenergy.(0457)"FESCTL+GTLEJ"[scenarios]= MIN(PEDNRELiquids[scenarios],"PotentialFESCTL+GTLEJ"[scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year CTLandGTLproduction.(0458)extractiontotagggasEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(RURRtotagggas[scenarios]<0,0, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,"PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios], IFTHENELSE("unlimitedgas?"[scenarios]=1,"PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios], MIN("PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios],maxextractiontotagggasEJ[scenarios ])))) Units:EJ/Year Annualextractionoftotalaggregatednaturalgas.(0459)extractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(RURRunconvgas[scenarios]<0,0, IF THEN ELSE(Time<2013, Historic unconv gas, IF THEN ELSE("separate conv andunconvgas?" [scenarios]=1,MIN(maxextractionunconvgas [scenarios],maxunconvgasgrowthextractionEJ[scenarios]),0))) Units:EJ/Year



102

Annualextractionofunconventionalgas.IFTHENELSE("separate convandunconvgas?"[scenarios]=1,IFTHENELSE(Time<2011, Historicunconvgas[scenarios](Time),MIN(maxextractionunconv gas[scenarios],maxunconvgasgrowthextractionEJ [scenarios])),0)(0460)"FEDHeat-comafterprioritiesEJ"[scenarios]= MAX(0,"TotalFEDHeat-comEJ"[scenarios]-"FESheat-comfromwasteEJ"[scenarios ]-"FESheat-comfrombiogasEJ"[scenarios]) Units:EJ Totalcommercialheatdemandincludingdistributionlossesafter technologieswithpriorityinthemix(wasteandbiogas).(0461)"FEDHeat-comEJ"[scenarios]= "Requiredheat-comafterCCimpacts"[scenarios] Units:EJ Finalenergydemandheatcommercial.(0462)FeedbackCooling[scenarios]= AtmosUOceanTemp[scenarios]*ClimateFeedbackParam[scenarios] Units:watt/meter/meter Heatlossoftheatmosphere/upperoceansystemfromfeedback effectsofwarming(i.e.increasedblackbodyradiation). [Cowles,pg.27](0463)"FESbiogasforheat-complants"[scenarios]= "PESbiogasforheat-complants"[scenarios]*efficiencybiogasforheatplants Units:EJ FinalenergysupplyofcommercialheatinHeatplantsfrom biogas.(0464)FESElecfossilfuelCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= MIN(PotentialFEgenElecfossilfuelCHPplantsEJ[scenarios],DemandElecNRETWh [scenarios]*EJperTWh) Units:EJ/Year FinalEnergysupplyofelectricityfromfossilfuelsinCHP plants.Weassignprioritytoitduetoitsbetterefficiency.(0465)FESElecfossilfuelCHPplantsTWh[scenarios]= FESElecfossilfuelCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]/EJperTWh Units:TWh/Year FinalEnergyoffossilfuelstoproduceelectricity(TWh)inCHP plants.



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(0466)FESelecfrombiogasEJ[scenarios]= FESelecfrombiogasinCHPplants[scenarios]+FESelecfrombiogasinelecplants [scenarios] Units:EJ TFESelectricityfrombiogas.(0467)FESelecfrombiogasinCHPplants[scenarios]= PESbiogasforCHP[scenarios]*efficiencybiogasforelecCHPplants Units:EJ FinalenergysupplyofelecinCHPplantsfrombiogas.(0468)FESelecfrombiogasinelecplants[scenarios]= PESbiogasforelecplants[scenarios]*efficiencybiogasforelecplants Units:EJ FinalenergysupplyofelectricityinElecplantsfrombiogas.(0469)FESelecfrombiogasTWh[scenarios]= FESelecfrombiogasEJ[scenarios]/EJperTWh Units:TWh TFESelectricityfrombiogas.(0470)FESelecfromBioW[scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]+FESelecfrombiogasTWh [scenarios]+FESelecfromwasteTWh[scenarios] Units:TWh Electricitygenerationoftotalbioenergyandwaste(tocompare withmorecommonstatistics).(0471)FESelecfromRESwithpriorityTWh[scenarios]= FESelecfrombiogasTWh[scenarios] Units:TWh (0472)FESelecfromwasteEJ[scenarios]= FESelecfromwasteinCHPplants[scenarios]+FESelecfromwasteinelecplants [scenarios] Units:EJ TFESelectricityfromwaste.(0473)FESelecfromwasteinCHPplants[scenarios]= PESwasteforCHPplants[scenarios]*efficiencywasteforelecCHPplants Units:EJ FinalenergysupplyofelecinCHPplantsfromwaste.(0474)FESelecfromwasteinelecplants[scenarios]=



104

PESwasteforelecplants[scenarios]*efficiencywasteforelecplants Units:EJ FinalenergysupplyofelectricityinElecplantsfromwaste.(0475)FESelecfromwasteTWh[scenarios]= FESelecfromwasteEJ[scenarios]/EJperTWh Units:TWh TFESelectricityfromwaste.(0476)FESelecPHSTWh[scenarios]= InstalledPHScapacity[scenarios]*CpPHS/TWeperTWh Units:TWh Electricitygenerationfrompumpedhydrostorage.Itdoesnot adduptotheelectricitygenerationofothersourcessincethis electricityhasalreadybeenaccountedfor!(stored)(0477)FESheatfromBioW[scenarios]= "FErealsupplyRESforheat-comtotEJ"[scenarios]+"FErealsupplyRESforheat-nctotEJ" [scenarios]+"FESheat-comfrombiogasEJ"[scenarios]+"FESheat-comfromwasteEJ" [scenarios] Units:EJ Heatgenerationoftotalbioenergyandwaste(tocomparewith morecommonstatistics).(0478)FESHeatfromcoal[scenarios]= ("PEScoalforHeat-complants"[scenarios]+"PEScoalforHeat-ncplants"[ scenarios])*efficiencycoalforheatplants Units:EJ HeatfromHeatplantsthatburncoal(bothcommercialand non-commercial).(0479)"FESheat-comfrombiogasEJ"[scenarios]= "FES biogas for heat-com plants"[scenarios]+"FES heat-com from biogas in CHPplants" [scenarios] Units:EJ TFEScommercialheatfrombiogas.(0480)"FESheat-comfrombiogasinCHPplants"[scenarios]= PESbiogasforCHP[scenarios]*efficiencybiogasforheatCHPplants Units:EJ FinalenergysupplyofcommercialheatinCHPplantsfrombiogas.



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(0481)"FESheat-comfromwasteEJ"[scenarios]= "FESwasteforheat-complants"[scenarios]+"FESheat-comfromwasteinCHPplants" [scenarios] Units:EJ TFEScommercialheatfromwaste.(0482)"FESheat-comfromwasteinCHPplants"[scenarios]= PESwasteforCHPplants[scenarios]*efficiencywasteforheatCHPplants Units:EJ FinalenergysupplyofcommercialheatinCHPplantsfromwaste.(0483)FESNREforheat[scenarios]= "FESheat-comfossilfuelsCHPplantsEJ"[scenarios]+FESHeatfromcoal[scenarios ]+"FESHeatfromnat.gas"[scenarios]+ FESHeatfromoil[scenarios]+"FESHeat-comnuclearCHPplantsEJ"[scenarios ] Units:EJ Heatfromnon-renewableenergyresources.(0484)FESRESforheatEJ[scenarios]= "FErealsupplyRESforheat-comtotEJ"[scenarios]+"FErealsupplyRESforheat-nctotEJ" [scenarios]+"FESheat-comfrombiogasEJ"[scenarios] Units:EJ Heatfromrenewableenergysources.(0485)FEStotalbiofuelsproductionEJ[scenarios]= +PEavailbiofuels2genlandcompetEJ[scenarios]+PEavailbiofuels3genlandcompetEJ [scenarios]+PEavailbiofuelslandmargEJ[scenarios]+PEavailcellulosicbiofuelEJ [scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Finalenergysupplytotalbiofuelsliquidsproduction. Equivalentto"FEStotalbiofuelsproductionEJ2"butobtained disaggregately.(0486)FEStotalbiofuelsproductionEJ2[scenarios]= MIN(PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios],PotentialPEavailtotalbiofuels[scenarios ]) Units:EJ/Year Finalenergysupplytotalbiofuelsliquidsproduction. Equivalentto"FEStotalbiofuelsproductionEJ"butobtained aggregatelytoestimatethe"sharebiofuelsovercapacity".



106

(0487)"FEStotalbiofuelsproductionMb/d"[scenarios]= FEStotalbiofuelsproductionEJ[scenarios]*"Mb/dperEJ/year" Units:Mb/d Finalenergysupplytotalbiofuelsliquidsproduction.(0488)EROIuranium= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G69') Units:Dmnl (0489)FEElecgenerationfromunconvgasTWh[scenarios]= realextractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios]*"sharenat.gasdemforElec"[scenarios ]*efficiencygasforelectricity/EJperTWh Units:TWh/Year Finalenergyelectricitygenerationfromunconventionalgas (TWh).(0490)FEnuclearElecgenerationTWh[scenarios]= extractionuraniumEJ[scenarios]*efficiencyuraniumforelectricity/EJperTWh Units:TWh/Year Finalenergyelectricitygenerationfromuranium(TWh).(0491)FEDHeatcoalplantsEJ[scenarios]= "FEDHeatgas+coalEJ"[scenarios]*"sharecoal(coal+gas)forheatplants" Units:EJ Finalenergydemandofcoaltoproduceheat.(0492)"FESwasteforheat-complants"[scenarios]= "PESwasteforheat-complants"[scenarios]*efficiencywasteforheatplants Units:EJ FinalenergysupplyofheatincommercialHeatplantsfromwaste.(0493)Finalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,sectors ]= IF THENELSE("Method final energy intensity?"=1,Historic final energy intensitybysectorandfuel [finalsources,sectors ](Time),Evolfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[scenarios,sectors, finalsources]) Units:EJ/Tdollars IFTHENELSE(Time>2009,Evolfinalenergyintensitybysector andfuel[scenarios,sectors,finalsources],Historicfinalenergy intensitybysectorandfuel[finalsources,sectors])Historic finalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[final sources,sectors](Time)+Evolfinalenergyintensitybysectorand



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fuel[sectors,finalsources]*0*Time(0494)finalsources: electricity,heat,liquids,gases,solids (0495)finalsources1: electricity,heat,liquids,gases,solids (0496)FINALTIME=2050 Units:Year Thefinaltimeforthesimulation.(0497)Flowcoalleftinground[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<Startpolicyleaveingroundcoal[scenarios],0, IFTHENELSE(Time>=Startpolicy leave ingroundcoal[scenarios]+1,0,coalto leaveunderground [scenarios])) Units:EJ Flowofcoalleftintheground.Weassumethatthisamountis removedfromthestockofcoalavailablein1year.(0498)Flowconvgasleftinground[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<Startpolicyleaveingroundconvgas[scenarios],0, IFTHENELSE(Time>=Startpolicyleaveingroundconvgas[scenarios]+1,0, convgastoleaveunderground[scenarios])) Units:EJ Flowofconventionalnaturalgasleftintheground.Weassume thatthisamountisremovedfromthestockofconventional naturalgasavailablein1year.(0499)Flowconvoilleftinground[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<Startpolicyleaveingroundconvoil[scenarios],0, IFTHENELSE(Time>=Startpolicyleaveingroundconvoil[scenarios]+1,0, convoiltoleaveunderground[scenarios])) Units:EJ Flowofconventionaloilleftintheground.Weassumethatthis amountisremovedfromthestockofconventionaloilavailable in1year.(0500)Flowtotagggasleftinground[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<Startpolicyleaveingroundtotagggas[scenarios],0, IFTHENELSE(Time>=Startpolicyleaveingroundtotagggas[scenarios]+1, 0,totagggastoleaveunderground[scenarios])) Units:EJ



108

Flowoftotalaggregatednaturalgasleftintheground.We assumethatthisamountisremovedfromthestockof conventionalnaturalgasavailablein1year.(0501)Flowtotaggoilleftinground[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<Startpolicyleaveingroundtotaggoil[scenarios],0, IFTHENELSE(Time>=Startpolicyleaveingroundtotaggoil[scenarios]+1, 0,totaggoiltoleaveunderground[scenarios])) Units:EJ Flowoftotalaggregatedoilleftintheground.Weassumethat thisamountisremovedfromthestockoftotalaggregatedoil availablein1year.(0502)Flowunconvgasleftinground[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvgas[scenarios],0, IFTHENELSE(Time>=Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvgas[scenarios]+1,0 ,unconvgastoleaveunderground[scenarios])) Units:EJ Flowofunconventionalnaturalgasleftintheground.Weassume thatthisamountisremovedfromthestockofunconventional naturalgasavailablein1year.(0503)Flowunconvoilleftinground[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvoil[scenarios],0, IFTHENELSE(Time>=Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvoil[scenarios]+1,0 ,unconvoiltoleaveunderground[scenarios])) Units:EJ Flowofunconventionaloilleftintheground.Weassumethat thisamountisremovedfromthestockofunconventionaloil availablein1year.(0504)"futuresharegas/(coal+gas)forElec"= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C39') Units:Dmnl Assumptionforthefutureshareofgasvs.fossilfuelsfor electricitygeneration.Sincethissharehasremainedfairly constantsince1990,weassumethatthevalueforthelastyear (2013)ismaintainedinthefuture.(0505)gperGt= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','K23') Units:Dmnl Unitconversion.



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(0506)gperMt= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','G23') Units:Dmnl 1e12grams=1Mtonne.(0507)GperT= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C22') Units:Dmnl (0508)GboeperEJ= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C18') Units:EJ/Gboe Unitconversion(1EJ=5.582Gb).(0509)gCH4perMJcoal= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C99') Units:GtCO2/MToe CH4emissionsassociatedtotheextractionofcoal.Ref:Fig.2 Howarth(2015).(0510)gCH4perMJconvgas= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C97') Units:GtCO2/MToe CH4emissionsassociatedtotheextractionofconventionalgas. Ref:Fig.2Howarth(2015).(0511)gCH4perMJCTL= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G97') Units:GtCO2/MToe CH4emissionfactorofCTL.(0512)gCH4perMJCTL1= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G97') Units:GtCO2/MToe CH4emissionfactorofCTL.(0513)gCH4perMJGTL= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G98') Units:GtCO2/MToe CH4emissionfactorofGTL.(0514)gCH4perMJunconvgas= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C98') Units:GtCO2/MToe



110

CH4emissionsassociatedtotheextractionofunconventionalgas (shalegas).Ref:Fig.2Howarth(2015).(0515)gCO2perMJcoal= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C91') Units:gCO2/MJ CO2emissionfactorcoal.(0516)gCO2perMJconvgas= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C92') Units:gCO2/MJ CO2emissionfactorconventionalnaturalgas.(0517)gCO2perMJconvoil= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C93') Units:gCO2/MJ CO2emissionfactorconventionaloil.(0518)gCO2perMJGTL= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C90') Units:gCO2/MJ CO2emissionscoefficientofGTL.(0519)gCO2perMJunconvgas= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C94') Units:gCO2/MJ CO2emissionfactorofunconventionalgas.(0520)gCO2perMJunconvoil= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C95') Units:gCO2/MJ Emissionfactorunconventionaloil(tarsands/extraheavyoil).(0521)gCO2eperGTCO2e0= 1/1000 Units:GTCO2e/gCO2e /*Comprobarestarelacióndeunidades*/(0522)gCO2eperGTCO2e1= 1/1000 Units:GTCO2e/gCO2e /*Comprobarestarelacióndeunidades*/(0523)gCO2eperGTCO2e3=



111

1/1000 Units:GTCO2e/gCO2e /*Comprobarestarelacióndeunidades*/(0524)gCO2eperGTCO2e4= 1/1000 Units:GTCO2e/gCO2e /*Comprobarestarelacióndeunidades*/(0525)GDP[scenarios]= Realdemand[scenarios]/1e+006 Units:T$ GlobalGDPinT1995T$.(0526)GDPdelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( GDP[scenarios],1,29.16) Units:Tdollars/Year GDPprojectiondelayed1year.(0527)GDPpc[scenarios]= GDP[scenarios]*dollarstoTdollars/Population[scenarios] Units:$/people GDPpercapita(1995T$percapita).(0528)GeotPEpotentialforheatTWth[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C56') GeotPEpotentialforheatTWth[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C56') GeotPEpotentialforheatTWth[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C56') GeotPEpotentialforheatTWth[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C56') GeotPEpotentialforheatTWth[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C56') GeotPEpotentialforheatTWth[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C56') Units:TWth Geothermalprimaryenergypotentialforheat.(0529)GFCFnotcovered[scenarios,sectors]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2009,0,Grossfixedcapitalformation[scenarios,sectors] -RealGFCF[scenarios,sectors]) Units:Mdollars/Year Gapbetweengrossfixedcapitalformationrequiredandreal



112

grossfixedcapitalformation(afterenergy-economyfeedback)(0530)Globalarableland= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C70') Units:MHa Currentglobalarableland:1526MHa(FAOSTAT).(0531)GlobalenergyintensityH[scenarios]= SUM(EvolfinalenergyintensityH[scenarios,finalsources!]) Units:**undefined** (0532)GridcorrectionfactorRESelec[hydro]= 0 GridcorrectionfactorRESelec["geot-elec"]= 0 GridcorrectionfactorRESelec["solidbioE-elec"]= 0 GridcorrectionfactorRESelec[oceanic]= 0 GridcorrectionfactorRESelec[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D64') GridcorrectionfactorRESelec[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E64') GridcorrectionfactorRESelec[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C64') GridcorrectionfactorRESelec[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B64') Units:Dmnl Gridcorrectionfactortotakeintoaccounttheelectricity lossesduetoJouleeffectineachpowerplant.(0533)Gridreinforcementcosts= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C73') Units:dollars/kW Gridreinforcementcosts.Wetakethemedianfromthestudyof Millsetal(2012)forwind:300$/kW(238.33US1995$).(0534)growthbiogas[scenarios]= biogasevol[scenarios]*pastbiogasgrowth Units:1/Year Biogasesgrowthfunctionofgrowthpasttrends(0535)growthlabourshare[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2014,IFTHENELSE(Time>2050,0,Plabourshare[scenarios]



113

*"Laborsharecte?"),historicgrowthlabourshare) Units:Dmnl Realvariationrateoflaboursharedependingonactivation.(0536)GtCO2historicemissionsRCPs[scenarios]= GtChistoricemissionsRCPs[scenarios](Time)/CperCO2 Units:GTCO2e (0537)GTLefficiency= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C50') Units:Dmnl EfficiencyofGTLplants.Source:IEAbalances(seeTechnical Report).(0538)GTLproduction[scenarios]= GTLpotentialproduction[scenarios]*(1-"shareCTL+GTLovercapacity"[scenarios ]) Units:EJ GTLproduction.(0539)H2winitialgrowth[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2050,IFTHENELSE(Activatepolicy2050Htransp[scenarios ]=1:AND:Time>TpolicyHveh[scenarios],(PHvehicle2050[scenarios,elec2wheels ]-percentHvehiclesinitial[elec2wheels])/(2050-TpolicyHveh[scenarios ]),auxhistH[scenarios,elec2wheels]),0) Units:**undefined** Growthofpercentofelectric2wwithoutrestrictionsderived fromsaturationandshortageofelectricityPercentrelativeto totalnumberofvehicles2w+4w.(0540)H2wEadaptgrowth[scenarios]= H2winitialgrowth[scenarios]*effectsshortageeleconEV[scenarios] Units:1/Year Percentrelativetototalnumberofvehicles2w+4w.growthof thepercentageofelectric2wheelersvehiclesislinearat firstbutslowsdownwhenthemaximumisreached.Noefectson theelectricityshortagearenoticedforthesevehiclessince theirconsumptionissolowcomparedtoothers.(0541)HEVadaptgrowth[scenarios]= HEVinitialgrowth[scenarios]*effectsshortageeleconEV[scenarios] Units:1/Year Percentrelativetototalnumberofvehicles2w+4w.growthofthe percentageofEVvehiclesislinearatfirstbutadaptedtothe



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shortageofelectricityandslowsdownwhenthemaximumis reached(0542)HEVinitialgrowth[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2050,IFTHENELSE(Activatepolicy2050Htransp[scenarios ]=1:AND:Time>TpolicyHveh[scenarios],(PHvehicle2050 [scenarios,elec4wheels]-percentHvehiclesinitial[elec4wheels])/(2050 -TpolicyHveh[scenarios]),auxhistH[scenarios ,elec4wheels]),0) Units:1/Year Growthofpercentofelectrical4wwithoutrestrictionsderived fromsaturationandshortageofelectricityPercentrelativeto totalnumberofvehicles2w+4w.(0543)Hgasadaptgrowth[scenarios]= Hgasinitialgrowth[scenarios]*effectsshortagegasHveh[scenarios] Units:1/Year Percentrelativetototalnumberofvehicles2w+4w.growthof thepercentageofgasvehiclesislinearatfirstbutadaptedto theshortageofgasandslowsdownwhenthemaximumisreached.(0544)Hgasinitialgrowth[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2050,IFTHENELSE(Activatepolicy2050Htransp[scenarios ]=1:AND:Time>TpolicyHveh[scenarios],(PHvehicle2050[scenarios,gas4wheels ]-percentHvehiclesinitial[gas4wheels])/(2050-TpolicyHveh[scenarios ]),auxhistH[scenarios,gas4wheels]),0) Units:1/Year Growthofpercentofgas4wwithoutrestrictionsderivedfrom saturationandshortageofelectricityPercentrelativetototal numberofvehicles2w+4w.(0545)Hhibadaptgrowth[scenarios]= Hhibinitialgrowth[scenarios] Units:1/Year Percentrelativetototalnumberofvehicles2w+4w.growthofthe percentageofhibridvehiclesislinearatfirstbutslowsdown whenthemaximumisreached(0546)Hhibinitialgrowth[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2050,IFTHENELSE(Activatepolicy2050Htransp[scenarios ]=1:AND:Time>TpolicyHveh[scenarios],(PHvehicle2050[scenarios,hib4wheels ]-percentHvehiclesinitial[hib4wheels])/(2050-TpolicyHveh[scenarios ]),auxhistH[scenarios,hib4wheels]),0) Units:1/Year



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Growthofpercentofhibrid4wwithoutrestrictionsderivedfrom saturationandshortageofelectricityPercentrelativetototal numberofvehicles2w+4w.(0547)"Heat-comdistributionlosses"[scenarios]= "FEDHeat-comEJ"[scenarios]*Shareheatdistributionlosses Units:EJ/Year Distributionlossesassociatedtoheatcommercial.(0548)"Heat-ncdistributionlosses"[scenarios]= "TotalFEDHeat-ncEJ"[scenarios]-"FEDHeat-ncEJ"[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Distributionlossesassociatedtonon-commercialheat.(0549)"FESHeatfromnat.gas"[scenarios]= ("PESnat.gasforHeat-complants"[scenarios]+"PESnat.gasforHeat-ncplants" [scenarios])*efficiencygasesforheatplants Units:EJ HeatfromHeatplantsthatburnfossilnaturalgas(both commercialandnon-commercial).(0550)FESHeatfromoil[scenarios]= ("PESoilforHeat-complants"[scenarios]+"PESoilforHeat-ncplants"[scenarios ])*efficiencyliquidsforheatplants Units:EJ HeatfromHeatplantsthatburnoil(bothcommercialand non-commercial).(0551)"FESheat-comfossilfuelsCHPplantsEJ"[scenarios]= FEDheatfossilfuelsCHPplantsEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ FinalEnergysupplyofheatfromfossilfuelsinCHPplants.We assignprioritytoitduetoitsbetterefficiency.(0552)"FESHeat-comnuclearCHPplantsEJ"[scenarios]= MIN("PotentialFESHeat-comnuclearCHPplantsEJ"[scenarios],"FEDHeat-comNREEJ" [scenarios]) Units:EJ Commercialheatproducedincogerationnuclearplants.(0553)fractionstored[hydro,scenarios]= 0 fractionstored["geot-elec",scenarios]=



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0 fractionstored["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]= 0 fractionstored[oceanic,scenarios]= 0 fractionstored[windonshore,scenarios]= 0.2 fractionstored[windoffshore,scenarios]= 0.2 fractionstored[solarPV,scenarios]= 0.2 fractionstored[CSP,scenarios]= 0.2 Units:Dmnl (0554)gCH4perMJoil= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C100') Units:GtCO2/MToe CH4emissionsassociatedtotheextractionofoil.Ref:Fig.2 Howarth(2015).(0555)gCO2perMJshaleoil= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C96') Units:gCO2/MJ CO2emissionfactorshaleoil.(0556)gCO2eperKWhbiomass= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','E8') Units:gCO2e/kWh Nodata.(0557)GJperEJ= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C14') Units:Dmnl ConversionfromGJtoEJ(1EJ=1e9GJ).(0558)Globalenergyintensitybysector[scenarios,sectors]= SUM(Evolfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[scenarios,sectors,finalsources !]) Units:**undefined** (0559)Grossfixedcapitalformation[scenarios,sectors]=INTEG( variationGFCF[scenarios,sectors]-GFCFnotcovered[scenarios,sectors], initialGFCF[sectors])



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Units:Mdollars Valueofgrossfixedcapitalformation(0560)GtCcumulated: GtCA2,GtCA1G,GtCB1 (0561)GtCO2IPCCemissions: GtCO2eA1,GtCO2eA2,GtCO2eB1,GtCO2eB2 (0562)GTLpotentialproduction[scenarios]=INTEG( replacementGTL[scenarios]+variationGTL[scenarios]-wearGTL[scenarios], initialGTLproduction) Units:EJ/Year AnnualGTLpotentialproduction.(0563)HeatCapacityRatio= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C117') Units:watt/(meter*meter*DegreesC)[0.1,1] [Fidddaman]RatioofThermalCapacityofDeepOceantoHeat TransferTimeConstant[R2/Tau12]./0.44/[DICE-2013R]c3 Transfercoefficientuppertolowerstratum/0.088/(0564)HistgrowthCTL= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C82') Units:1/Year HistoricgrowthofCTL1990-2014(IEABalances).(0565)HistgrowthGTL= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C83') Units:1/Year HistoricgrowthofGTL2000-2014(IEABalances).(0566)"Histsharegas/(coal+gas)Elec":INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H40') Units:Dmnl Shareofnaturalgasforelectricityinrelationtothetotal gas+coal.(0567)HistshareoilElec:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H39') Units:Dmnl Shareofoilforelectricity(DataextractedfromdatabaseWorld Bank:"Electricityproductionfromoilsources(%oftotal)"/ "Electricityproductionfromoil,gasandcoalsources(%of



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total)").(0568)histvarinlandT[scenarios,vehicleT]= 0 Units:**undefined** historicalgrowthofalternativepercentagesoftransport vehicles.(0569)histvarpercentH[scenarios,liq4wheels]= 0 histvarpercentH[scenarios,hib4wheels]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2005,(percentHvehiclesinitial[hib4wheels]-0)/(ThistHtransp [BAU]-2005),0) histvarpercentH[scenarios,elec4wheels]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2005,0,(percentHvehiclesinitial[elec4wheels]-0)/( ThistHtransp[BAU]-2005)) histvarpercentH[scenarios,gas4wheels]= IF THEN ELSE( Time<2005,0, (percent H vehicles initial[gas 4wheels]-0)/(T hist Htransp [BAU]-2005)) histvarpercentH[scenarios,liq2wheels]= 0 histvarpercentH[scenarios,elec2wheels]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2005,0,(percentHvehiclesinitial[elec2wheels]-0)/( ThistHtransp[BAU]-2005)) Units:Mvehicles/yr historicalevolutionofpercentofvehiclesbasedonthelinear interpolationbetween2005andThistHtransp(default2015). Before2005allvehiclesareliquidbased.Percentsrelativeto 2w+4w(0570)HistoricbiogasPES= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','216','B231') Units:EJ/Year Historicproductionofbiogases(1990-2014).(0571)Historicdemandbysector[sectors]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','1','B2') Units:Mdollars Historicdemand(35WIODsectors).US$1995(0572)Historicfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[electricity,sectors ]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','47','C48')



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Historicfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[heat,sectors]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','47','C84') Historicfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[liquids,sectors]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','47','C120') Historicfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[gases,sectors]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','47','C156') Historicfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[solids,sectors]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','47','C192') Units:EJ/Tdollars Energyintensity.(35WIODsectors&finalsources).US$1995(0573)HistoricfinalenergyintensityH[electricity]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','47','C83') HistoricfinalenergyintensityH[heat]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','47','C119') HistoricfinalenergyintensityH[liquids]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','47','C155') HistoricfinalenergyintensityH[solids]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','47','C227') HistoricfinalenergyintensityH[gases]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','47','C191') Units:EJ/Tdollars Historicfinalenergyintensitybyfinalsouerce(WIODdata)(0574)historicGDPgrowth:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Economy','324','B325') Units:Dmnl HistoricGDPWorld.WIOD(1995-2009)andWorldBank(2009-2014)(0575)HistoricGFCF[sectors]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','514','B515') Units:Mdollars Historicgrossfixedcapitalformation(WIOD-35sectors)(0576)historicgrowthcapitalshare[scenarios]= -growthlabourshare[scenarios]*labourshare[scenarios]/(1-labourshare[scenarios ]) Units:Dmnl Historiccapitalsharevariation(owncalculationsfrom WIOD-SEA).(0577)historicgrowthlabourshare:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Economy','324','B326') Units:Dmnl



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Historicvariationoflabourshare(owncalculationsfrom WIOD-SEA).(0578)HistoricHD[sectors]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','475','B476') Units:**undefined** Historicalfinaldemandbyhouseholds(WIOD-35sectors)(0579)Historicimprovementrecyclingratesminerals[materials]= 0 Units:percent Duetothelargeuncertaintyandslowevolutionofthesedata, historicalrecyclingratesmineralscorrespondwiththecurrent estimates(UNEP,2011).(0580)HistoricnewplannedcapacityRESelec[RESelec]= tablehistcapacityRESelec[RESelec](Time+"totaltimeplan+constrRESelec" [RESelec]+1)-tablehistcapacityRESelec[RESelec](Time+"totaltimeplan+constrRESelec" [RESelec]) Units:TW (Assuming100%ofplannedwasconstructed).(0581)"Historicnon-energyuse"[liquids]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','189','C191') "Historicnon-energyuse"[solids]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','189','C190') "Historicnon-energyuse"[gases]= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','189','C192') "Historicnon-energyuse"[electricity]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','189','C193')) "Historicnon-energyuse"[heat]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','189','C193')) Units:EJ Historicdatanon-energyusebyfinalfuel.(0582)HistoricnucleargenerationTWh( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','C69')) Units:TWh/Year HistoricdataofannualproductionfromnuclearenergyinTWh.(0583)HistoricPESpeatEJ:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','216','B230') Units:EJ Historicprimaryenergysupplyofpeat.



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(0584)HistoricPESwasteEJ= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','216','B218') Units:EJ/Year Historicprimaryenergysupplyofwaste(1990-2014).(0585)historicratefinalenergyintensity[sectors,finalsources]= Historicfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[finalsources,sectors] (Time+1)-Historicfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[finalsources, sectors](Time) Units:**undefined** (0586)historicratefinalenergyintensityH[finalsources]= HistoricfinalenergyintensityH[finalsources](Time+1)-HistoricfinalenergyintensityH [finalsources](Time) Units:EJ/Tdollars/Year Historicvariationoffinalenergyintensitybyfinalsouerce (WIODdata)(0587)"HistoricREScapacityforheat-com0"["solar-heat"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H66')) "HistoricREScapacityforheat-com0"["geot-heat"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H67')) "HistoricREScapacityforheat-com0"["solidbioE-heat"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H65')) Units:TW HistoricinstalledcapacityofREStechnologiesforheat generation.(0588)"HistoricREScapacityforheat-com"["solar-heat"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H66')) "HistoricREScapacityforheat-com"["geot-heat"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H67')) "HistoricREScapacityforheat-com"["solidbioE-heat"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H65')) Units:TW HistoricinstalledcapacityofREStechnologiesforcommercial heatgeneration.(0589)"HistoricREScapacityforheat-nc"["solar-heat"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H62')) "HistoricREScapacityforheat-nc"["geot-heat"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H63'))



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"HistoricREScapacityforheat-nc"["solidbioE-heat"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H61')) Units:TW HistoricinstalledcapacityofREStechnologiesfor non-commercialheatgeneration.(0590)historicshareCHPplantsgas:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H30') Units:Dmnl Historicshareofnaturalgasforelectricityinrelationtothe totalfossilfuelsforCHPplants(0591)historicshareCHPplantsoil:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H32') Units:Dmnl historicshareCHPplantsoil(0592)Historicshareliquidsforheatplants:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H75') Units:Dmnl Historicshareliquidsforheatplants(0593)Historicshareoflossesvsextraction[liquids]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','196','B198') Historicshareoflossesvsextraction[solids]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','196','B197') Historicshareoflossesvsextraction[gases]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','196','B199') Units:Dmnl Historicsharelossesofeachfossilfuelvsannualextraction. (OwnelaborationfromIEAbalances)(0594)Historicshareoftransformationlossesvsextraction[liquids]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','203','B204') Historicshareoftransformationlossesvsextraction[solids]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','203','B205') Units:Dmnl Historicsharetransformationlossesofeachfossilfuelvs annualextraction.(OwnelaborationfromIEAbalances)(0595)Historicunconvgas:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','C35') Units:EJ/Year HistoricunconventionalextractionfromMohretal(2015).



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(0596)Historicunconvoil:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','C34') Units:EJ/Year HistoricunconventionalextractionfromMohretal(2015).(0597)historicvariationdemand[scenarios,sectors]= Historicdemandbysector[sectors](Time+1)-Historicdemandbysector[sectors ](Time) Units:Mdollars Historicvariationofdemand(35WIODsectors).US$1995(0598)HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Adhesive]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD5')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Aluminium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD6')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Aluminiummirrors]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD7')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Cadmium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD8')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Carbonfiber]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD9')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Cement]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD10')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Chromium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD11')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Copper]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD12')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[diesel]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD13')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Dy]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD14')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest["Electric/electroniccomponents"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD15')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Evacuationlines]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD16')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Fiberglass]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD17')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Foamglass]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD18')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Galium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD19')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Glass]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD20'))



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HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Glassreinforcingplastic]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD21')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[gravel]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD22')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Indium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD23')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Iron]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD24')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[KNO3mined]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD25')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Asphalt]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD26')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Lime]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD27')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Limestone]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD28')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Lithium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD29')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Lubricant]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD30')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Magnesium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD31')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Manganese]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD32')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Heavyequipment]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD33')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Concrete]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','3','BD34')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Molybdenum]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD35')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[NaNO3mined]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD36')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[NaNO3synthetic]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD37')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Neodymium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD38')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Nickel]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD39')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest["Overgrid(15%)"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD40')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest["Overgrid(5%)"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD41')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Paint]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD42'))



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HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Lead]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD43')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Plastics]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD44')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Polypropylene]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD45')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Rock]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD46')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Rockwool]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD47')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Sand]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD48')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Siliconsand]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD49')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Siliconwafermodules]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD50')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Silver]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD51')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Sitepreparation]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD52')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[Tin]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD53')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[sodaash]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD54')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[steel]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD55')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[syntheticoil]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD56')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[tellurium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD57')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[titanium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD58')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[titaniumdioxide]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD59')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[vanadium]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD60')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[wires]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD61')) HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[zinc]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','3','BD62')) Units:tonnes Historicalextractionofmineralsoftherestoftheeconomy.(0599)historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing



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,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[MiningandQuarrying,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','G4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[FoodBeveragesandTobacco,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','L4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[TextilesandTextileProducts,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','Q4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[LeatherLeatherandFootwear,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','V4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork, finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AA4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AF4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AP4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[RubberandPlastics,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AU4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[OtherNonMetalicMineral,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AZ4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BE4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[MachineryNec,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BJ4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BO4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[TransportEquipment,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BT4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[ManufacturingNecRecycling,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BY4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply,finalsources



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]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CD4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[Construction,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CI4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[SaleMaintenanceandRepairofMotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CN4') historicalmean rate energy intensity[Wholesale Trade andCommissions Trade Except ofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CS4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CX4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[HotelsandRestaurants,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DC4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[InlandTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DH4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[WaterTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DM4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[AirTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DR4') historicalmean rate energy intensity[Other Supporting and Auxiliary Transport ActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies , finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DW4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[PostandTelecommunications,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EB4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[FinancialIntermedation,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EG4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[RealEstateActivities,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EL4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EQ4')



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historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EV4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[Education,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FA4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[HealthandSocialWork,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FF4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FK4') historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FP4') Units:**undefined** (0600)historicalmeanrateenergyintensityH[finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FU4') Units:Dmnl Historicaltrendofhouseholdsenergyintensitybyfinalsouerce (OLSmethod)(0601)HistoricalvariationmineralsextractionRest[materials]= HistoricalextractionmineralsRest[materials](Time+1)-HistoricalextractionmineralsRest [materials](Time) Units:tonnes Historicalvariationintheextractionofmineralsoftherest oftheeconomy.(0602)Householddemand[scenarios,sectors]=INTEG(variationhouseholddemand [scenarios,sectors]-Householddemandnotcovered[scenarios,sectors], initialhouseholddemand[sectors]) Units:Mdollars FinalddemandbyHouseholds(0603)Householddemandnotcovered[scenarios,sectors]= IF THEN ELSE(Time<2009,0,Household demand[scenarios,sectors]-Real Householddemand [scenarios,sectors]) Units:Mdollars/Year Gapbetweenhouseholdsconsumptionrequiredandhouseholdsreal consumption(afterenergy-economyfeedback)



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(0604)Householddemandtotal[scenarios]= SUM(Householddemand[scenarios,sectors!])/1e+006 Units:Tdollars Economichouseholdsdemand(inmillionUS$1995)(0605)Householdsfinalenergydemand[scenarios,finalsources]= Householddemandtotal[scenarios]*Energyintensityofhouseholds[scenarios ,finalsources] Units:EJ Finalenergydemandofhouseholds(0606)Householdsvehicles: liq4wheels,hib4wheels,elec4wheels,gas4wheels,liq2wheels,elec2wheels (0607) IMatrix[sectors,sectors1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','A282') Units:**undefined** IdentityMatrix(0608) IAMatrix[sectors,sectors1]= IMatrix[sectors,sectors1]-AMatrix[sectors,sectors1] Units:**undefined** Matrix(I-A)inIOA.AprevioussteptoobtainLeontiefMatrix andtocalculatefinalddemandonceproductionisgiven.(0609) Implementatiopolicytochangefinalenergy[scenarios,sectors,finalsources ]= IFTHENELSE(Yearpolicychangeenergy[sectors,finalsources]=2020,IFTHENELSE (Policychangeenergyspeed[sectors ,finalsources]=1,QuickimplementationpolicyOT,IFTHENELSE(Policychangeenergyspeed [sectors,finalsources]=3,SlowimplementationpolicyOT,MediumimplementationpolicyOT )),IFTHENELSE(Yearpolicychangeenergy[sectors,finalsources]=2030,IFTHENELSE (Policychangeenergyspeed[sectors,finalsources]=1,QuickimplementationpolicyMLT1 , IFTHENELSE(Policychangeenergyspeed[sectors,final sources]=3,Slow implementationpolicyMLT1 ,MediumimplementatiopolicyMLT1)),IFTHENELSE(Yearpolicychangeenergy [sectors,finalsources]=2040,IFTHENELSE(Policychangeenergyspeed[sectors ,final sources]=1,Quick implementation policyMLT2, IF THENELSE(Policy change energyspeed [sectors,finalsources]=3,SlowimplemenationpolicyMLT2,MediumimplementationpolicyMLT2 )),0))) Units:**undefined**



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(0610) ImplementatiopolicytochangefinalenergyH[scenarios,finalsources ]= IFTHENELSE(YearpolicychangeenergyH[finalsources]=2020,IFTHENELSE (PolicychangeenergyspeedH[finalsources]=1,QuickimplementationpolicyOTH , IFTHENELSE(PolicychangeenergyspeedH[finalsources]=3,SlowimplementationpolicyOTH ,MediumimplementationpolicyOTH )),IFTHENELSE(YearpolicychangeenergyH[finalsources]=2030,IFTHENELSE (PolicychangeenergyspeedH[finalsources]=1,QuickimplementationpolicyMLT1H ,IFTHENELSE(PolicychangeenergyspeedH[finalsources]=3,SlowimplementationpolicyMLT1H ,MediumimplementatiopolicyMLT1H)),IFTHENELSE(YearpolicychangeenergyH [finalsources]=2040,IFTHENELSE(PolicychangeenergyspeedH[finalsources ]=1,QuickimplementationpolicyMLT2H,IFTHENELSE(PolicychangeenergyspeedH [finalsources]=3,SlowimplemenationpolicyMLT2H,MediumimplementationpolicyMLT2H )),0))) Units:**undefined** (0611) Implementationpolicytoimproveenergyintensityeffciency[scenarios ,sectors,finalsources]= IFTHENELSE(Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[sectors,finalsources]=2020 ,IFTHENELSE(Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[sectors,finalsources]=1 ,QuickimplementationpolicyOT,IFTHENELSE(Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed [sectors,finalsources]=3,SlowimplementationpolicyOT,MediumimplementationpolicyOT )),IFTHENELSE(Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[sectors,finalsources] =2030,IFTHENELSE(Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[sectors,finalsources ]=1,QuickimplementationpolicyMLT1,IFTHENELSE(Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed [sectors,finalsources]=3,SlowimplementationpolicyMLT1,MediumimplementatiopolicyMLT1 )),IFTHENELSE(Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[sectors,finalsources]= 2040,IFTHENELSE(Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[sectors,finalsources ]=1,QuickimplementationpolicyMLT2,IFTHENELSE(Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed [sectors,finalsources]=3,SlowimplemenationpolicyMLT2,MediumimplementationpolicyMLT2 )),0))) Units:**undefined** (0612) ImplementationpolicytoimproveenergyintensityeffciencyH[scenarios ,finalsources]= IFTHENELSE(YearpolicytoimproveefficiencyH[finalsources]=2020,IFTHENELSE (PolicytoimproveefficiencyspeedH[finalsources]=1,QuickimplementationpolicyOTH



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, IFTHENELSE(PolicytoimproveefficiencyspeedH[finalsources]=3,SlowimplementationpolicyOTH ,MediumimplementationpolicyOTH )),IFTHENELSE(YearpolicytoimproveefficiencyH[finalsources]=2030, IFTHENELSE(PolicytoimproveefficiencyspeedH[finalsources]=1,QuickimplementationpolicyMLT1H ,IFTHENELSE(PolicytoimproveefficiencyspeedH[finalsources]=3,SlowimplementationpolicyMLT1H ,MediumimplementatiopolicyMLT1H)),IFTHENELSE(YearpolicytoimproveefficiencyH [finalsources]=2040,IFTHENELSE(PolicytoimproveefficiencyspeedH[finalsources ]=1,QuickimplementationpolicyMLT2H,IFTHENELSE(PolicytoimproveefficiencyspeedH [finalsources]=3,SlowimplemenationpolicyMLT2H,MediumimplementationpolicyMLT2H )),0))) Units:**undefined** (0613) improvementrecyclingratesmineralsalttechn[materials,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,Historicimprovementrecyclingratesminerals[materials ],recyclingratesmineralsalttechn[materials,scenarios]*remainingrecyclingrateimprovforalttechnpermineral [materials,scenarios]*Precyclingmineralsalttechn[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Annualimprovementoftherecyclingratesofmineralsfor alternativetechnologies(RESelec&EVbatteries).(0614) improvementrecyclingratesmineralsRest[materials,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,Historicimprovementrecyclingratesminerals[materials ],recyclingratesmineralsRest [materials,scenarios]*remainingrecyclingrateimprovRestpermineral[materials ,scenarios]*PrecyclingmineralsRest [scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Annualimprovementoftherecyclingratesofmineralsforthe restoftheeconomy.(0615)"includematerialsforovergrids?"= 0 Units:Dmnl 1.IncludematerialsforovergridsintheCEDofRESelecvar0: NOTincludematerialsforovergridsintheCEDofRESelecvar(0616) increaseabundanceunconvoil[scenarios]= abundanceunconvoil[scenarios]-abundanceunconvoildelayed1yr[scenarios



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] Units:Dmnl (0617) IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,liquids]= DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,solids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[liquids,solids]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,gases]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[liquids,gases]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,electricity]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[liquids,electricity ]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,heat]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[liquids,heat] IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,gases]= DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,solids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[gases,solids]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,electricity]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[gases,electricity ]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,heat]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[gases,heat]+Decreaseof intensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,liquids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[gases,liquids] IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,solids]= DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,gases]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[solids,gases]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,electricity]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[solids,electricity ]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,heat]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[solids,heat]+Decreaseof intensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,liquids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[solids,liquids] IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,electricity]= DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,solids]*efficiency rate of substitution H[electricity,solids]+Decrease of intensity due toenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,gases]*efficiency rate of substitution H[electricity,gases]+Decrease of intensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,heat]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[electricity,heat]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,liquids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[electricity,liquids] IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios



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,heat]= DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,solids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[heat,solids]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,gases]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[heat,gases]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN [scenarios,electricity]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[heat,electricity ]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeHTOPDOWN[scenarios ,liquids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitutionH[heat,liquids] Units:EJ/Tdollars Wheninhouseholds,onetypeofenergy(a)isreplacedby another(b),theenergyintensityof(b)willincreaseandthe energyintensityof(a)willdecrease.Thisflowrepresentsthe increaseof(b).(0618) IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,liquids]= DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,solids]*efficiency rate of substitution[sectors,liquids,solids]+Decrease of intensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN [scenarios,sectors,gases]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,liquids, gases]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,electricity]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,liquids,electricity ]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,heat]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,liquids,heat] IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,gases]= DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,solids]*efficiency rate of substitution[sectors,gases, solids]+Decrease of intensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN [scenarios,sectors,electricity]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,gases ,electricity]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN [scenarios,sectors,heat]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,gases,heat ]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,liquids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,gases,liquids] IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,solids]= DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,gases]*efficiency rate of substitution[sectors,solids,gases]+Decrease of intensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN [scenarios,sectors,electricity]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,solids ,electricity]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN [scenarios,sectors,heat]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,solids,heat ]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios



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,sectors,liquids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,solids,liquids] IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,electricity]= DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,solids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,electricity,solids ]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,gases]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,electricity,gases] +DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,heat]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,electricity,heat]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN [scenarios,sectors,liquids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,electricity ,liquids] IncreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,heat]= DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,solids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,heat,solids]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN [scenarios,sectors,gases]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,heat,gases ]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,electricity]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,heat,electricity ]+DecreaseofintensityduetoenergyatechnologychangeTOPDOWN[scenarios ,sectors,liquids]*efficiencyrateofsubstitution[sectors,heat,liquids] Units:**undefined** Wheninoneeconomicsector,onetypeofenergy(a)isreplaced byanother(b),theenergyintensityof(b)willincreaseand theenergyintensityof(a)willdecrease.Thisflowrepresents theincreaseof(b).(0619) increasescarcityconvgas[scenarios]= scarcity convgas stock[scenarios]*ZIDZ( (scarcity convgas[scenarios]-scarcity convgasdelayed1yr [scenarios]),scarcityconvgas[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl (0620) inertialrateenergyintensityHTOPDOWN[scenarios,finalsources]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2008,IFTHENELSE((historicalmeanrateenergyintensityH [finalsources]+EfficiencyenergyacelerationH [scenarios,finalsources])<0,EvolfinalenergyintensityH[scenarios,finalsources ] *(historicalmeanrateenergyintensityH[finalsources] +Efficiency energy aceleration H[scenarios,final sources])*available improvementefficiencyH [scenarios],Initialenergyintensity1995H [finalsources]



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*(historicalmeanrateenergyintensityH[finalsources]+EfficiencyenergyacelerationH [scenarios,finalsources])), historicratefinalenergyintensityH[finalsources]) Units:EJ/Tdollars Thisvariablemodelsthevariationoftheenergyintensity accordingtothehistoricaltrendandrepresentsthevariation ofthetechnologicalenergyefficiencyinhouseholdsforeach typeofenergy.Bydefaultitwillfollowthehistoricaltrend butcanbemodifiedbypoliciesormarketconditionsthat acceleratechange.(0621) inertialrateenergyintensityTOPDOWN[scenarios,sectors,finalsources ]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2008,IFTHENELSE(ActivateBOTTOMUPmethod[sectors]=0 :OR:ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,sectors,finalsources]=0,IFTHENELSE ((historicalmeanrateenergyintensity [sectors,finalsources]+Efficiencyenergyaceleration[scenarios,sectors,finalsources ])<0,Evolfinalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel [scenarios,sectors,finalsources]*(historicalmeanrateenergyintensity [sectors,finalsources ]+Efficiency energy aceleration[scenarios,sectors,final sources])*availableimprovementefficiency [scenarios,sectors],Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995 [sectors,finalsources]*(historicalmeanrateenergyintensity[sectors,finalsources ]+Efficiencyenergyaceleration[scenarios ,sectors,finalsources])),0), historicratefinalenergyintensity[sectors,finalsources]) Units:**undefined** Thisvariablemodelsthevariationoftheenergyintensity accordingtothehistoricaltrendandrepresentsthevariation ofthetechnologicalenergyefficiencyineacheconomicsector foreachtypeofenergy.Bydefaultitwillfollowthe historicaltrendbutcanbemodifiedbypoliciesormarket conditionsthatacceleratechange.(0622) initCO2inAtmos= initCO2inAtmosppm*ppmperGtC*tperGt Units:TonC InitialCO2inatmosphere.[DICE-1994]InitialGreenhouseGases inAtmosphere1965[M(t)](tCequivalent).[Cowles,pg.21] /6.77e+011/[DICE-2013R]mat0:Initialconcentrationin atmosphere2010(GtC)/830.4/



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(0623) initCO2inAtmosppm= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C111') Units:ppm InitialCO2inatmosphere.HistoricalMaunaLoaCO2Record: Averagebetween1standlastmonthof1990was: (353.74+355.12)/2=354.43ppmHistoricalMaunaLoaCO2Record: Averagebetween1standlastmonthof1995was: (359.92+360.68)/2=360.3ppm ftp://ftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_mm_mlo.txt [DICE-1994]InitialGreenhouseGasesinAtmosphere1965[M(t)] (tCequivalent).[Cowles,pg.21]/6.77e+011/[DICE-2013R] mat0:Initialconcentrationinatmosphere2010(GtC)/830.4/(0624) initial2wpercent= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B32') Units:**undefined** 2015percentof2wheelers0,332(0625) initialcapacityinconstructionnuclear= 0 Units:TW Initialcapacityinconstructionofnuclear(year1995).(0626) initialcapacityinconstructionRESelec[RESelec]= initialplannedcapacityRESelec[RESelec] Units:GW InitialcapacityofRESbytechnologyinconstruction(year 1995).Weassumethatitisthesamethantheadditional installedcapacitybetween1995and1996.(0627) initialcapacityinstallednuclear= initialgennuclear*TWeperTWh/Cpnuclearinitial Units:TW Initialcapacityinstalledofnuclearpower.(0628) initialCTLproduction= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H36') Units:EJ/Year CTLproductionintheinitialyear1995(IEAbalances).(0629) initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforEVbatteries1995= 0 Units:Mt



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(0630) initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforRESelec1995= 0 Units:Mt (0631) initialcumulatedmaterialrequirementsforRest1995= 0 Units:Mt (0632) initialdemandbysectot[sectors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','B341') Units:Mdollars (0633)"Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Adhesive ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z5') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Aluminium ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z6') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Aluminiummirrors ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z7') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Cadmium] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z8') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Carbonfiber ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z9') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z10') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Chromium ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z11') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z12') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z13') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z14') "Initial energy cons per unit of material cons (recycled) - data"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z15') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Evacuationlines ]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z16') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Fiberglass ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z17') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Foamglass ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z18') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z19') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z20') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Glassreinforcingplastic ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z21') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z22') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z23') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z24') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[KNO3mined ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z25') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Asphalt] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z26') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z27') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Limestone ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z28') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Lithium] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z29') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Lubricant ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z30') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Magnesium ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z31') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Manganese ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z32') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Heavyequipment



139

]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z33') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Concrete ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z34') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Molybdenum ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z35') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[NaNO3mined ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z36') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[NaNO3synthetic ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z37') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Neodymium ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z38') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z39') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"["Overgrid(15%)" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z40') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"["Overgrid(5%)" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z41') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z42') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z43') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Plastics ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z44') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Polypropylene ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z45') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z46') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Rockwool ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z47') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z48') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Siliconsand ]=



140

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z49') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Siliconwafermodules ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z50') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z51') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Sitepreparation ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z52') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z53') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[sodaash ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z54') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z55') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[syntheticoil ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z56') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[tellurium ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z57') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[titanium ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Z58') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[titaniumdioxide ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y59') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[vanadium ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y60') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y61') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y62') Units:MJ/kg Energyconsumptionrequiredtouserecycledmaterialsperunit ofmaterialconsumption.Thisvariablereadsdirectlyfrom "inputs.xlsx"buthas0sforthosematerialsforwhich informationwasnotfound.(0634)"Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)"[materials ]= IFTHENELSE("Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"



141

[materials]=0,"Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[materials ],"Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(recycled)-data"[materials ]) Units:MJ/kg Energyconsumptionrequiredtouserecycledmaterialsperunit ofmaterialconsumption.Whendataforrecycledmaterialswas notavailable,theenergyconsumptionforvirginmaterialswas assumed.(0635)"Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y5') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y6') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Aluminiummirrors ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y7') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y8') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y9') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y10') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y11') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y12') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y13') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y14') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y15') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Evacuationlines] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y16') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y17') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y18') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y19') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y20')



142

"Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Glassreinforcingplastic ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y21') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y22') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y23') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y24') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y25') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y26') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y27') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y28') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y29') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y30') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y31') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y32') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y33') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y34') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y35') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y36') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y37') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y38') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y39') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"["Overgrid(15%)" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y40') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"["Overgrid(5%)"] =



143

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y41') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y42') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y43') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y44') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y45') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y46') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y47') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y48') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y49') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Siliconwafermodules ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y50') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y51') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Sitepreparation] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y52') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y53') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y54') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y55') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y56') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y57') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y58') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[titaniumdioxide] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y59') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y60') "Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y61')



144

"Initialenergyconsperunitofmaterialcons(virgin)"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','Y62') Units:MJ/kg Energyconsumptionrequiredtoextractandusevirginmaterials perunitofmaterialconsumption.(0636) Initialenergyintensity1995H[finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FU5') Units:**undefined** (0637) Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[MiningandQuarrying,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','G5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[FoodBeveragesandTobacco ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','L5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[TextilesandTextileProducts ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','Q5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[LeatherLeatherandFootwear ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','V5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AA5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AF5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AP5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[RubberandPlastics,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AU5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[OtherNonMetalicMineral ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AZ5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal



145

,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BE5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[MachineryNec,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BJ5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BO5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[TransportEquipment,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BT5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[ManufacturingNecRecycling ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BY5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CD5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[Construction,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CI5') Initial energy intensity by fuel and sector 1995[Sale Maintenance and Repair of MotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CN5') Initial energy intensity by fuel and sector 1995[Wholesale Trade andCommissions TradeExceptofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CS5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CX5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[HotelsandRestaurants,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DC5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[InlandTransport,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DH5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[WaterTransport,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DM5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[AirTransport,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DR5')



146

Initial energy intensityby fuel and sector 1995[Other Supporting andAuxiliary TransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DW5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[PostandTelecommunications ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EB5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[FinancialIntermedation,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EG5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[RealEstateActivities,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EL5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EQ5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EV5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[Education,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FA5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[HealthandSocialWork,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FF5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FK5') Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FP5') Units:**undefined** (0638) Initialenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport2009[liquids]= 1.245 Initialenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport2009[solids]= 0 Initialenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport2009[gases]= 0.01711 Initialenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport2009[electricity]= 0.00472 Initialenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport2009[heat]= 0 Units:**undefined**



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(0639) initialESOIPHS= "EROI-iniRESelecdispatch"[hydro]*(CpPHS/Cphydro2015) Units:Dmnl InitialESOIofPHS(beforeaccountingforthereductionofCp ofthebase-loadplantswiththepenetrationoftheintermittent RES(solarandwind)intheelectricitygenerationmix).(0640) initialgennuclear= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H69') Units:TWh Electricgenerationfromnuclearintheinitialyear1995.(0641) initialGFCF[sectors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','B340') Units:Mdollars Initialgrossfixedcapitalformation(0642) InitialglobalenergyintensityH2009= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK37') Units:**undefined** InitialglobalenergyintensityH2009(0643) initialGTLproduction= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H37') Units:EJ/Year GTLproductionintheinitialyear1995(IEAbalances).(0644) initialhouseholddemand[sectors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Economy','B339') Units:**undefined** Initialfinaldemandbyhouseholds(0645) initialinstalcapRESelec[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H174') initialinstalcapRESelec["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H175') initialinstalcapRESelec["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H176') initialinstalcapRESelec[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H177') initialinstalcapRESelec[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H178') initialinstalcapRESelec[windoffshore]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H179') initialinstalcapRESelec[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H180') initialinstalcapRESelec[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H181') Units:TWh InstalledcapacityperRESelecbytechnologyintheinitial year1995.(0646) initialmineralsextractionRest[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE5') initialmineralsextractionRest[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE6') initialmineralsextractionRest[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE7') initialmineralsextractionRest[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE8') initialmineralsextractionRest[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE9') initialmineralsextractionRest[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE10') initialmineralsextractionRest[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE11') initialmineralsextractionRest[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE12') initialmineralsextractionRest[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE13') initialmineralsextractionRest[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE14') initialmineralsextractionRest["Electric/electroniccomponents"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE15') initialmineralsextractionRest[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE16') initialmineralsextractionRest[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE17') initialmineralsextractionRest[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE18') initialmineralsextractionRest[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE19') initialmineralsextractionRest[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE20') initialmineralsextractionRest[Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE21') initialmineralsextractionRest[gravel]=



149

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE22') initialmineralsextractionRest[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE23') initialmineralsextractionRest[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE24') initialmineralsextractionRest[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE25') initialmineralsextractionRest[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE26') initialmineralsextractionRest[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE27') initialmineralsextractionRest[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE28') initialmineralsextractionRest[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE29') initialmineralsextractionRest[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE30') initialmineralsextractionRest[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE31') initialmineralsextractionRest[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE32') initialmineralsextractionRest[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE33') initialmineralsextractionRest[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE34') initialmineralsextractionRest[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE35') initialmineralsextractionRest[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE36') initialmineralsextractionRest[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE37') initialmineralsextractionRest[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE38') initialmineralsextractionRest[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE39') initialmineralsextractionRest["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE40') initialmineralsextractionRest["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE41') initialmineralsextractionRest[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE42') initialmineralsextractionRest[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE43') initialmineralsextractionRest[Plastics]=



150

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE44') initialmineralsextractionRest[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE45') initialmineralsextractionRest[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE46') initialmineralsextractionRest[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE47') initialmineralsextractionRest[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE48') initialmineralsextractionRest[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE49') initialmineralsextractionRest[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE50') initialmineralsextractionRest[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE51') initialmineralsextractionRest[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE52') initialmineralsextractionRest[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE53') initialmineralsextractionRest[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE54') initialmineralsextractionRest[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE55') initialmineralsextractionRest[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE56') initialmineralsextractionRest[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE57') initialmineralsextractionRest[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE58') initialmineralsextractionRest[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE59') initialmineralsextractionRest[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE60') initialmineralsextractionRest[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE61') initialmineralsextractionRest[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','BE62') Units:tonnes Initialmineralsextractionoftherestoftheeconomy.(0647)"initialnon-energyuse"[solids]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C190') "initialnon-energyuse"[liquids]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C191')



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"initialnon-energyuse"[gases]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C192') "initialnon-energyuse"[electricity]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C193') "initialnon-energyuse"[heat]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C193') Units:EJ Non-energyuseconsumptionintheyear1995.(0648) initialpercentTvehicles[HVliq]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B34') initialpercentTvehicles[HVhib]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B35') initialpercentTvehicles[HVgas]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B36') initialpercentTvehicles[LVliq]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B37') initialpercentTvehicles[LVelec]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B38') initialpercentTvehicles[LVhib]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B39') initialpercentTvehicles[LVgas]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B40') initialpercentTvehicles[busliq]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B41') initialpercentTvehicles[bushib]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','E41') initialpercentTvehicles[busgas]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B42') initialpercentTvehicles[trainliq]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B43') initialpercentTvehicles[trainelec]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B44') initialpercentTvehicles[buselec]= 0 Units:**undefined** Initialpercentageofvehiclesofeachfuel,percentsrelative toeachclassofvehicles(LV;HV,bus,train)(0649) initialPESwaste= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','B218') Units:EJ Wasteprimaryenergysupplyin1995.



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(0650) initialplannedcapacitynuclear= 0 Units:TW Initialplannedcapacityofnuclear(year1995).(0651) initialplannedcapacityRESelec[RESelec]= tablehistcapacityRESelec[RESelec](1996)-tablehistcapacityRESelec [RESelec](1995) Units:TW InitialplannedcapacityofRESbytechnology(year1995).We assumethatitisthesamethantheadditionalinstalled capacitybetween1995and1996.(0652) INITIALTIME=1995 Units:Year Theinitialtimeforthesimulation.(0653) initialvaluelandcompetbiofuels2genMha= initialvaluelandcompetbiofuels2genktoe*EJperktoe Units:EJ/Year Initialvalueoflandoccupationbybiofuelsofsecond generation.(0654) initialvalueRESforheat0["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H66') initialvalueRESforheat0["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H67') initialvalueRESforheat0["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H65') Units:TW RESsupplyforheatintheyear1995.(0655)"initialvalueRESforheat-com"["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H66') "initialvalueRESforheat-com"["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H67') "initialvalueRESforheat-com"["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H65') Units:TW RESsupplybytechnologyforcommercialheatintheyear1995.(0656)"initialvalueRESforheat-nc"["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H62') "initialvalueRESforheat-nc"["geot-heat"]=



153

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H63') "initialvalueRESforheat-nc"["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H61') Units:TW RESsupplybytechnologyfornon-commercialheatintheyear 1995.(0657) initialXtinland= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B65') Units:T$ Economicactivityofinlandtransportsectorintheyearof startofpolicies(2015default)T$(0658) installedcapacitynuclearTW[scenarios]=INTEG( newcapacityinstallednuclear[scenarios]-"nuclearcapacityphase-out"[scenarios ]-wearnuclear[scenarios], initialcapacityinstallednuclear) Units:TW Annualinstalledcapacityofnuclearpower.(0659) installedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]=INTEG( newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]-wearRESelec[RESelec ,scenarios], initialinstalcapRESelec[RESelec]) Units:TW Annualinstalledcapacityofnuclearpower.(0660) installedcapacityRESheatTW0[RESheat,scenarios]=INTEG( "newREScapacityforheat-comTW0"[RESheat,scenarios]+replacementRESforheatTW0 [RESheat,scenarios]-wearREScapacityforheatTW0[RESheat,scenarios], initialvalueRESforheat0[RESheat]) Units:TW InstalledcapacityofRESforheat.(0661)"installedcapacityRESheat-comTW"[RESheat,scenarios]=INTEG( "newREScapacityforheat-comTW"[RESheat,scenarios]+"replacementRESforheat-comTW" [RESheat,scenarios]-"wearREScapacityforheat-comTW"[RESheat,scenarios ], "initialvalueRESforheat-com"[RESheat]) Units:TW InstalledcapacityofRESforcommercialheat.



154

(0662)"installedcapacityRESheat-ncTW"[RESheat,scenarios]=INTEG( "newREScapacityforheat-ncTW"[RESheat,scenarios]+"replacementRESforheat-ncTW" [RESheat,scenarios]-"wearREScapacityforheat-ncTW"[RESheat,scenarios ], "initialvalueRESforheat-nc"[RESheat]*"Deactivateheatdemcorrection?" ) Units:TW InstalledcapacityofRESfornon-commercialheat.(0663) InstalledPHScapacity[scenarios]= MIN(demandstoragecapacity[scenarios],maxcapacitypotentialPHS[scenarios ]) Units:TW Installedpumpedhydrostorage(PHS)capacity.(0664) investbioWTdolar[scenarios]= investRESelecTdolar["solidbioE-elec",scenarios] Units:Tdollars/Year Investmentcosts.(0665) investcostnuclear:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','6','G15') Units:Tdollars/TWe Investmentcostofnuclearpowerconsideringthatfuture reactorswouldrequirethesameinvestmentastherecentHinkley PointCnuclearpowerstationinUKof8,000US$/kW(5536.71 1995US$/kW).(0666) investCSPTdolar[scenarios]= investRESelecTdolar[CSP,scenarios] Units:Tdollars/Year Investmentcosts.(0667)"investgeot-elecTdolar"[scenarios]= investRESelecTdolar["geot-elec",scenarios] Units:Tdollars/Year Investmentcosts.(0668) initialvaluelandcompetbiofuels2genktoe= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H56') Units:EJ/Year Initialvaluein1995derivedfrom(BP2016).



155

(0669) investcostRESelec[hydro]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','6','G14') investcostRESelec["geot-elec"]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','6','G7') investcostRESelec["solidbioE-elec"]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','6','G8') investcostRESelec[oceanic]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','6','G9') investcostRESelec[windonshore]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','6','G10') investcostRESelec[windoffshore]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','6','G12') investcostRESelec[solarPV]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','6','G11') investcostRESelec[CSP]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','6','G16') Units:T$/TW InputassumptiononinstallationcostofnewREScapacityfor electricity.(0670) investhydroTdolar[scenarios]= investRESelecTdolar[hydro,scenarios] Units:Tdollars/Year Investmentcosts.(0671) investnuclearTdolar[scenarios]= MAX(0, IF THEN ELSE(new capacity installed nuclear[scenarios]<0,0,(new capacityinstallednuclear [scenarios]+replacementnuclear[scenarios])*investcostnuclear/1000)) Units:Tdollars/Year (0672) investoceanicTdolar[scenarios]= investRESelecTdolar[oceanic,scenarios] Units:Tdollars/Year Investmentcosts.(0673) investoffshorewindTdolar[scenarios]= investRESelecTdolar[windoffshore,scenarios] Units:Tdollars/Year Investmentcosts.(0674) investonshorewindTdolar[scenarios]= investRESelecTdolar[windonshore,scenarios] Units:Tdollars/Year



156

Investmentcosts.(0675) investRESelecTdolar[RESelec,scenarios]= MAX(0,newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]*investcostRESelec [RESelec]) Units:**undefined** (0676) investsolarTdolar[scenarios]= investRESelecTdolar[solarPV,scenarios] Units:Tdollars/Year Investmentcosts.(0677)JobsnewinstalledRESelecpertechn[RESelec,scenarios]= newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]*EmploymentfactorsnewRESelec [RESelec]*MperT Units:people (0678)JobsnewinstalledRESheatpertechn[RESheat,scenarios]= ("new RES capacity for heat-com TW"[RES heat,scenarios]+"replacement RES forheat-comTW" [RESheat,scenarios])*EmploymentfactorsnewRESheat [RESheat]*MperT Units:people (0679)"JobsO&MRESelecpertechn"[RESelec,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]*"EmploymentfactorsO&MRESelec" [RESelec]*MperT Units:people (0680)kgperMt= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C24') Units:Dmnl ConversionfactorfromMttokg.(0681)kWperbatteryEV= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G49') Units:W/battery AveragekWperbatteryofelectricalvehicle.(0682)kWhperTWh= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C9') Units:kWh/TWh



157

ConversionbetweenkWhandTWh(1TWh=1e9kWh).(0683)"Laborsharecte?"= 1 Units:Dmnl 0:Laborshare:cte1:Laborshareevolvesfollowing"Plabor share"(0684) labourshare[scenarios]=INTEG( variationlabourshare[scenarios], 0.6374) Units:Dmnl (0685)Landcompetbiofuels3genMha[scenarios]=INTEG( Landshiftedtobiofuels3gen[scenarios], 0) Units:MHa Landsubjecttocompetitiondedicatedtobiofuels3rdgeneration asashiftofsurfacepreviouslydedicatedtobiofuelsfromthe 2ndgeneration.(0686)Landcompetrequireddedicatedcropsforbiofuels[scenarios]= Land compet biofuels 2gen Mha[scenarios]+Land compet biofuels 3genMha[scenarios ] Units:MHa Landrequirementsforcropsforbiofuels2ndand3rdgeneration (inlandcompetingwithotheruses).(0687)Landoccupationratiobiofuelsmargland= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C62') Units:MHa/EJ Fieldetal.(2008)foundthat27EJofNPPcanbeextracted from386MHaofmarginallands.So,thelandoccupationratio wouldbe386MHa/27EJ,i.e.14.3MHa/EJNPP.(0688)Landrequiredbiofuelslandmarg[scenarios]= Potential PEavail biofuels land marg EJ[scenarios]*Land occupation ratio biofuelsmargland /ConvefficiencyfromNPPtobiofuels Units:MHa/Year Marginallandsoccupiedbybiofuels.(0689)LC[scenarios]=INTEG(variationLC[scenarios]-LCnotcovered[scenarios



158

], initialLCtotal) Units:Mdollars Labourcompensation(0690)LCnextstep[scenarios]= LC[scenarios]+variationLC[scenarios] Units:Mdollars (0691)LCnotcovered[scenarios]= demandnotcoveredtotalFD[scenarios]*labourshare[scenarios] Units:Mdollars/Year Gapbetweenlabourcompensationrequiredandreallabour compensation(afterenergy-economyfeedback)(0692) lifetimenuclear= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C15') Units:Year Lifetimeofnuclear.(0693) lifetimeRESforheat["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C17') lifetimeRESforheat["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C18') lifetimeRESforheat["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C19') Units:Year LifetimeRESthermaltechnologiesandplants.(0694) lifetimeRESforheat0["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C17') lifetimeRESforheat0["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C18') lifetimeRESforheat0["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C19') Units:Year LifetimeRESthermaltechnologiesandplants.(0695) lifetimeCTL= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','K47') Units:Year LifetimeofCTLplants.(0696) lifetimeGTL=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','K48') Units:Year LifetimeofGTLplants.(0697)Liq4w0= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B47') Units:EJ liquidsuserdinhouseholds4wheelersintheinitialyearof policy(2015default)45.9341(0698) liquidsperXbus= Energyinitialinlandtransport[busliq]*adjustenergyfortransporttoinlandtransport /initialXtinland Units:**undefined** data'InternationalEnergyAgency(2016),EnergyTechnology Perspectives2016,OECD/IEA,forenergynumberofbusesfrom http://www.theicct.org/global-transportation-roadmap-model(0699) liquidsperXHV= Energyinitialinlandtransport[HVliq]*adjustenergyfortransporttoinlandtransport /initialXtinland Units:**undefined** EJ/vehicleAverageconsumptionofvehiclesfromhistoricaldata= energyusedinthatkindoftransport/numverofvehiclesdata 'InternationalEnergyAgency(2016),EnergyTechnology Perspectives2016,OECD/IEA,(0700) liquidsperXLV= Energyinitialinlandtransport[LVliq]*adjustenergyfortransporttoinlandtransport /initialXtinland Units:**undefined** data'InternationalEnergyAgency(2016),EnergyTechnology Perspectives2016,OECD/IEA,(0701)LossesEJ[scenarios,liquids]= PES fossil fuel extraction delayed[scenarios,liquids]*Historic share of losses vsextraction [liquids] LossesEJ[scenarios,solids]= PES fossil fuel extraction delayed[scenarios,solids]*Historic share of losses vsextraction [solids] LossesEJ[scenarios,gases]=



160

PES fossil fuel extraction delayed[scenarios,gases]*Historic share of losses vsextraction [gases] LossesEJ[scenarios,electricity]= 0 LossesEJ[scenarios,heat]= 0 Units:EJ/Year Lossesofeachfossilfuel(0702)LossesincharcoalplantsEJ:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','216','B229') Units:EJ Lossesofenergy(EJ)producedincharcoalplants.(0703)Lossessolarforheat= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G42') Units:Dmnl (0704)Lossessolarforheat0= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G42') Units:Dmnl (0705)MperT= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C23') Units:Dmnl ConversionfactorfromTera(T,1e12)toMega(M,1e6).(0706)materials: Adhesive, Aluminium, Aluminium mirrors, Cadmium, Carbon fiber, Cement,Chromium ,Copper,diesel,Dy,"Electric/electroniccomponents",Evacuationlines, Fiberglass,Foamglass,Galium,Glass,Glassreinforcingplastic,gravel, Indium,Iron,KNO3mined,Asphalt,Lime,Limestone,Lithium,Lubricant,Magnesium ,Manganese,Heavyequipment,Concrete,Molybdenum,NaNO3mined,NaNO3synthetic ,Neodymium,Nickel,"Overgrid(15%)","Overgrid(5%)",Paint,Lead,Plastics ,Polypropylene,Rock,Rockwool,Sand,Siliconsand,Siliconwafermodules ,Silver,Sitepreparation,Tin,sodaash,steel,syntheticoil,tellurium ,titanium,titaniumdioxide,vanadium,wires,zinc (0707)"materialsavailability(annualextraction)"[materials,scenarios]= IF THEN ELSE(Totalmaterials to extractMt[materials,scenarios]<maximum annualextractionmaterials [materials],1,0)



161

Units:Dmnl If=1:OKIf=0:supplyconstraints.(0708)"materialsavailability(reserves)"[materials,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(sharetotcumdemvsreservesmaterials[materials,scenarios] <1,1,0) Units:Dmnl =1whilethecumulativedemandislowerthantheestimated resources,and=0whenthecumulativedemandsurpassesthe estimatedresources.(0709)"materialsavailability(resources)"[materials,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(sharetotcumdemvsresourcesmaterials[materials,scenarios ]<1,1,0) Units:Dmnl =1whilethecumulativedemandislowerthantheestimated reserves,and=0whenthecumulativedemandsurpassesthe estimatedreserves.(0710)"materialsforO&MpercapacityinstalledRESelec"[hydro,materials ]= 0 "materialsforO&MpercapacityinstalledRESelec"["geot-elec",materials ]= 0 "materialsforO&MpercapacityinstalledRESelec"["solidbioE-elec",materials ]= 0 "materialsforO&MpercapacityinstalledRESelec"[oceanic,materials]= 0 "materialsforO&MpercapacityinstalledRESelec"[windonshore,materials ]= "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[materials] "materialsforO&MpercapacityinstalledRESelec"[windoffshore,materials ]= "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[materials] "materialsforO&MpercapacityinstalledRESelec"[solarPV,materials]= "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[materials] "materialsforO&MpercapacityinstalledRESelec"[CSP,materials]= "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[materials] Units:kg/MW (0711)"materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C5')



162

"materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C6') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C7') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C8') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C9') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C10') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C11') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C12') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C13') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C14') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C15') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C16') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C17') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C18') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C19') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C20') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C21') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C22') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C23') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C24') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C25') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C26') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Lime]=



163

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C27') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C28') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C29') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C30') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C31') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C32') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C33') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C34') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C35') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C36') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C37') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C38') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C39') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C40') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C41') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C42') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C43') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C44') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C45') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C46') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C47') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C48') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Siliconsand]=



164

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C49') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C50') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C51') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C52') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C53') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C54') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C55') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C56') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C57') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C58') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C59') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C60') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C61') "materialspercapacityinstalled-PV0"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C62') Units:kg/MW (0712)"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F5') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F6') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F7') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F8') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F9') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F10') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F11') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Copper]=



165

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F12') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F13') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F14') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F15') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F16') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F17') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F18') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F19') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F20') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Glassreinforcingplastic ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F21') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F22') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F23') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F24') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F25') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F26') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F27') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F28') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F29') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F30') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F31') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F32') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Heavyequipment]=



166

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F33') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F34') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F35') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F36') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F37') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F38') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F39') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F40') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F41') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F42') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F43') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F44') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F45') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F46') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F47') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F48') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F49') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Siliconwafermodules ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F50') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F51') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F52') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F53') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F54')



167

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F55') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F56') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F57') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F58') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F59') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F60') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F61') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','F62') Units:kg/MW MaterialsrequirementsperEVbattery.(0713)"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C5') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C6') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C7') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C8') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C9') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C10') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C11') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C12') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C13') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C14') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C15') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C16')



168

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C17') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C18') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C19') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C20') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C21') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C22') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C23') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C24') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C25') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C26') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C27') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C28') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C29') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C30') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C31') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C32') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C33') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C34') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C35') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C36') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C37') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C38')



169

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C39') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C40') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C41') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C42') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C43') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C44') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C45') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C46') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C47') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C48') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C49') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C50') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C51') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C52') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C53') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C54') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C55') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C56') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C57') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C58') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C59') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C60')



170

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C61') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C62') Units:kg/MW Materialsrequirementsperunitofnewinstalledcapacityof solarPV.(0714)"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E5') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E6') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E7') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E8') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E9') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E10') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E11') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E12') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E13') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E14') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E15') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E16') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E17') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E18') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E19') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E20') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Glassreinforcingplastic ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E21')



171

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E22') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E23') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E24') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E25') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E26') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E27') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E28') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E29') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E30') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E31') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E32') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E33') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E34') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E35') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E36') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E37') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E38') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E39') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E40') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E41') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E42') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E43')



172

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E44') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E45') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E46') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E47') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E48') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E49') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Siliconwafermodules ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E50') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E51') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E52') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E53') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E54') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E55') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E56') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E57') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E58') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E59') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E60') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E61') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E62') Units:kg/MW Materialsrequirementsperunitofnewinstalledcapacityof windoffshore.(0715)materialsrequiredforEVbatteriesMt[materials,scenarios]=



173

EVbatteriesTW[scenarios]*"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-EVbatteries" [materials]*MperT/kgperMt Units:Mt AnnualmaterialsrequiredforthefabricationofEVbatteries.(0716)MaterialstoextractRestfrom2015Mt[materials,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0,MaterialstoextractRestMt[materials,scenarios ]) Units:Mt/Year Annualmaterialstobeminedfortheitherestoftheeconomy from2015.(0717)MaterialstoextractRestMt[materials,scenarios]= MineralsextractionprojectionRestwithrr[materials,scenarios] Units:Mt/Year Annualmaterialstobeminedfortherestoftheeconomy.(0718)maxcapacityelecstorage[scenarios]= maxcapacitypotentialPHS[scenarios]+EVbatteriesavailableforstorage[ scenarios] Units:TW Maximumcapacitypotentialofelectricitystorage(PHSand electricbateries).(0719)maxcapacitypotentialPHS[scenarios]= maxpotentialPHSTWe[scenarios]/CpPHS Units:TW MaximumcapacitypotentialofPHS.(0720)maxCSPonlandMHa[scenarios]= maxsolaronlandMha[scenarios]-surfacesolarPVMha[scenarios] Units:MHa AvailablelandforsolarCSPtakingintoaccountthetotalland availabilityforsolarandtheactualoccupationfromsolarPV onland.(0721)maxCSPTWe[scenarios]= maxCSPonlandMHa[scenarios]*powerdensityCSP Units:TWe Techno-ecologicalpotentialofsolarCSP.Thispotentialdepends ontheassumedlandavailabilityforsolarCSPpowerplants ("maxsolarPVonlandMHa")anditspowerdensity(1TWe=8760 TWhinoneyear).



174

(0722)maxextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvoil?"[scenarios]=1, IF THEN ELSE(choose extraction curve conv oil[scenarios]=1, tablemax extractionMaggio12middleconvoilEJ (TotRURRconvoil[scenarios]), IF THEN ELSE(choose extraction curve conv oil[scenarios]=2, tablemax extractionMaggio12HighconvoilEJ (TotRURRconvoil[scenarios]), IF THEN ELSE(choose extraction curve conv oil[scenarios]=3, tablemax extractionMaggio12LowconoilEJ (TotRURRconvoil[scenarios]),tablemaxconvoilextractionUserdefined (TotRURRconvoil[scenarios])))),0) Units:EJ/Year Maximumextractioncurveselectedforthesimulations.(0723)maxextractiontotagggasEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvgas?"[scenarios]=0, IFTHENELSE(chooseextractiontotagggascurve[scenarios]=1,tablemaxextractiontotalgasLaherrère10 (TotRURRtotagggas[scenarios]), IFTHENELSE(chooseextractiontotagggascurve[scenarios]=2,tablemaxextractiontotalgasBGMohr12 (TotRURRtotagggas [scenarios]),tablemaxextractiontotalgasUserdefined(TotRURRtotagggas [scenarios]))),0) Units:EJ/Year Maximumextractioncurveselectedforthesimulations.(0724)maxextractiontotaggoilEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvoil?"[scenarios]=0, IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurvetotaggoil[scenarios]=1,tablemaxextractiontotaggoilLahèrrere2006 (TotRURRtotaggoil[scenarios]),tablemaxextractiontotaggoilUserdefined (TotRURRtotaggoil[scenarios])),0) Units:EJ/Year Maximumextractioncurvefortotalaggregatedoilselectedfor thesimulations.(0725)MaxFEpotentialRESforheat["solar-heat",scenarios]= MaxPEpotentialRESforheat["solar-heat",scenarios]+EfficiencyRESheat ["solar-heat"]*0 MaxFEpotentialRESforheat["geot-heat",scenarios]= MaxPEpotentialRESforheat["geot-heat",scenarios]*EfficiencyRESheat[ "geot-heat"]



175

MaxFEpotentialRESforheat["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]= MaxPEpotentialRESforheat["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]*EfficiencyRESheat ["solidbioE-heat"] Units:EJ Potential(finalenergy)forproducingheatfromrenewables.(0726)Maxlandcompetbiofuels2gen[scenarios]= Additional land compet available for biofuels[scenarios]+Historic land competavailableforbiofuels2gen [scenarios] Units:MHa/Year Annualpotentialofbiofuels(finalenergy)2ndgeneration competingwithotherlanduses.(0727)MaxPEavailbiofuelspotential[scenarios]= MaxPEavailpotentialbioE residues forcellulosicbiofuels[scenarios]+"MaxPEavailpotentialbiofuels2-3gen" [scenarios ]+MaxPEavailpotentialbiofuelsmarginallands[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Maximumbiofuelspotential(primaryenergy)available.(0728)MaxPEavailpotentialbioEresiduesforcellulosicbiofuels[scenarios ]= Max NPP potential BioE residues for cellulosic biofuels[scenarios]*Efficiency bioEresiduestocellulosicliquids [scenarios] Units:**undefined** (0729)"MaxPEavailpotentialbiofuels2-3gen"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<startyear3gen[scenarios],Maxlandcompetbiofuels2gen [scenarios]*Landproductivitybiofuels2genEJMHa,Maxlandcompetbiofuels2gen [scenarios]*Land productivity biofuels 2gen EJ MHa*(1+Efficiency improvement biofuels3gen )) Units:EJ/Year Annualbiofuelspotential(primaryenergy)availablefromland competition.(0730)"EmploymentfactorsO&MRESheat"["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z17') "EmploymentfactorsO&MRESheat"["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z18') "EmploymentfactorsO&MRESheat"["solidbioE-heat"]=



176

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','Z19') Units:people/MW EmploymentfactorsfortheO&MofRESpowerplantsforheat generation.(0731)EROIcoal= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G68') Units:Dmnl (0732)EROIconvgas= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G66') Units:Dmnl (0733)EROItotaloil= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G64') Units:Dmnl (0734)ESOIPHSfullpotential= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G54') Units:Dmnl ESOIPHSofthefullpotentialoftheresource.Weassumethe ESOIofPHSlinearlydecreaseswiththePHScumulatedinstalled capacity.(0735)extractionunconvoilEJ[scenarios]= MIN(IFTHENELSE(RURRunconvoilEJ[scenarios]<0,0, IFTHENELSE(Time>2012, IF THEN ELSE("separate conv and unconv oil?"[scenarios]=1, MIN(max extractionunconvoil [scenarios],maxunconvoilgrowthextractionEJ [scenarios]),0),Historicunconvoil)),PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year Annualextractionofunconventionaloil.MIN(IFTHENELSE(RURR unconvoilEJ[scenarios]<0,0,IFTHENELSE(Time<=2013,Historic unconvoil,IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconv oil?"[scenarios]=1,MIN(maxextractionunconvoil[scenarios], maxunconvoilgrowthextractionEJ[scenarios]),0))),PEDtotal oilEJ[scenarios])(0736)extractionuraniumEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,PEdemanduraniumEJ[scenarios ], IFTHENELSE("unlimiteduranium?"[scenarios]=1,PEdemanduraniumEJ[scenarios ],



177

MIN(PEdemanduraniumEJ[scenarios],maxextractionuraniumEJ[scenarios] ))) Units:EJ/Year Annualextractionofuranium.(0737)FEElecgenerationfromcoalTWh[scenarios]= extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]*efficiencycoalforelectricity*sharecoaldemforElec [scenarios]/EJperTWh Units:TWh/Year Finalenergyelectricitygenerationfromcoal(TWh).(0738)FEElecgenerationfromconvgasTWh[scenarios]= realextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]*"sharenat.gasdemforElec"[scenarios ]*efficiencygasforelectricity /EJperTWh Units:TWh/Year Finalenergyelectricitygenerationfromconventionalgas(TWh).(0739)FEElecgenerationfromtotaloilTWh[scenarios]= PESoilEJ[scenarios]*shareoildemforElec[scenarios]*efficiencyliquidsforelectricity /EJperTWh Units:TWh/Year Electricitygeneration(finalenergy)fromtotaloil.(0740)FEsolarpotentialforheat[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C53') FEsolarpotentialforheat[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C53') FEsolarpotentialforheat[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C53') FEsolarpotentialforheat[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C53') FEsolarpotentialforheat[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C53') FEsolarpotentialforheat[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C53') Units:EJ/Year Globalsolarthermalpotential.Weassumethattheprimary energycoincideswiththefinalenergy.SeeTechnicalReport AppendixD.(0741)GeotPEpotentialforheatEJ[scenarios]= GeotPEpotentialforheatTWth[scenarios]*EJperTWh/TWeperTWh Units:EJ/Year



178

Geothermalpotential(primaryenergy)forproducingheat.(0742)GridreinforcementcostsTdollar[scenarios]= Gridreinforcementcosts*newcapacityinstalledonshorewindTW[scenarios ]/GperT Units:Tdollar 1995US$.(0743) increasescarcityconvoil[scenarios]= scarcityconvoil[scenarios]-scarcityconvoildelayed1yr[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (0744) increasevariableRESshareelecvstotalgeneration[scenarios]= SharevariableRESelecgenerationvstotal[scenarios]-SharevariableRESelecvstotalgenerationdelayed1yr [scenarios] Units:Dmnl (0745) initialCCtotal= 1.05739e+007 Units:Mdollars (0746) Initialglobalenergyintensitybysector2009[sectors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B37') Units:**undefined** Initialglobalenergyintensitybysector2009(0747) initialLCtotal= 1.85847e+007 Units:Mdollars Initiallabourcompensation(0748) initialsharevariableRESelecgenvstotal= 0.0071 Units:Dmnl InitialshareofvariableRESelectricityinrelationtothe totalgeneration.(0749) InvestRESforElec[scenarios]= MAX(invest bioW Tdolar[scenarios]+"invest geot-elec Tdolar"[scenarios]+investhydroTdolar [scenarios]+investoceanicTdolar[scenarios]+investsolarTdolar[scenarios ]+investonshorewindTdolar[scenarios]+investoffshorewindTdolar[scenarios ]+investCSPTdolar[scenarios],0)



179

Units:Tdollars/Year AnnualinvestmentfortheinstallationofREScapacityfor electricity.(0750)"JobsO&MRESheatpertechn"[RESheat,scenarios]= "installed capacity RES heat-com TW"[RES heat,scenarios]*"Employment factorsO&MRESheat" [RESheat]*MperT Units:people (0751)LeontiefMatrix[sectors,sectors1]= INVERTMATRIX(IAMatrix[sectors,sectors1],35) Units:**undefined** (I-A)^-1.LeontiefinverseinIOA:sensitivenessofproudction tovariationsindemand.(0752) lifetimeRESelec[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C13') lifetimeRESelec["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C7') lifetimeRESelec["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C8') lifetimeRESelec[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C9') lifetimeRESelec[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C10') lifetimeRESelec[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C12') lifetimeRESelec[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C11') lifetimeRESelec[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C16') Units:Years LifetimeofeachREStechnologyforelectricitygeneration.(0753)LossesCHPbiogas[scenarios]= PESbiogasforCHP[scenarios]-"FESheat-comfrombiogasinCHPplants"[scenarios ]-FESelecfrombiogasinCHPplants[scenarios] Units:EJ LossesinbiogasCHPplants.(0754)LossesCHPwaste[scenarios]= PESwasteforCHPplants[scenarios]-FESelecfromwasteinCHPplants[scenarios ]-"FESheat-comfromwasteinCHPplants"[scenarios]



180

Units:EJ LossesinwasteCHPplants.(0755)materialsfornewRESelecpercapacityinstalled[hydro,materials]= 0 materialsfornewRESelecpercapacityinstalled["geot-elec",materials]= 0 materialsfornewRESelecpercapacityinstalled["solidbioE-elec",materials ]= 0 materialsfornewRESelecpercapacityinstalled[oceanic,materials]= 0 materialsfornewRESelecpercapacityinstalled[windonshore,materials] = "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[materials]+("materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs" [materials]+"materialspernewRESeleccapacity installed -materialovergridhighpower" [materials])*"includematerialsforovergrids?" materialsfornewRESelecpercapacityinstalled[windoffshore,materials ]= "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[materials]+("materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs" [materials]+"materialspernewRESeleccapacity installed -materialovergridhighpower" [materials])*"includematerialsforovergrids?" materialsfornewRESelecpercapacityinstalled[solarPV,materials]= "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-PV"[materials]+("materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs" [materials ]+"materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [materials])*"includematerialsforovergrids?" materialsfornewRESelecpercapacityinstalled[CSP,materials]= "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[materials]+("materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs" [materials ]+"materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [materials])*"includematerialsforovergrids?" Units:kg/MW (0756)"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Adhesive]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B99')



181

"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Aluminiummirrors]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Cadmium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B100') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Cement]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Chromium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B101') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B102') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Dy]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Evacuationlines]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B103') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Foamglass]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Galium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B104') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Glassreinforcingplastic ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B105') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[gravel]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Indium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Iron]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[KNO3mined]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Asphalt]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B106')



182

"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Limestone]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Lithium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B107') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B108') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Manganese]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Heavyequipment]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Concrete]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Molybdenum]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[NaNO3mined]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[NaNO3synthetic]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Neodymium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Nickel]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"["Overgrid(15%)"]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"["Overgrid(5%)"]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Paint]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Lead]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B109') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Polypropylene]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Rock]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Rockwool]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Sand]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B110')



183

"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B111') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B112') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Sitepreparation]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[Tin]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[sodaash]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[steel]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B113') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[tellurium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[titanium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[titaniumdioxide]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[vanadium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[wires]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-CSP"[zinc]= 0 Units:kg/MW Materialsrequirementsforoperationandmaintenanceperunitof newinstalledcapacityofsolarCSP.(0757)"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Adhesive]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C99') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Aluminiummirrors]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Cadmium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C100') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Cement]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Chromium]= 0



184

"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C101') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C102') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Dy]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Evacuationlines]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C103') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Foamglass]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Galium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C104') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Glassreinforcingplastic] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C105') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[gravel]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Indium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Iron]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[KNO3mined]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Asphalt]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C106') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Limestone]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Lithium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C107') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C108') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Manganese]= 0



185

"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Heavyequipment]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Concrete]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Molybdenum]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[NaNO3mined]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[NaNO3synthetic]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Neodymium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Nickel]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"["Overgrid(15%)"]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"["Overgrid(5%)"]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Paint]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Lead]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C109') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Polypropylene]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Rock]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Rockwool]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Sand]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C110') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C111') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C112') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Sitepreparation]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[Tin]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[sodaash]= 0



186

"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[steel]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C113') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[tellurium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[titanium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[titaniumdioxide]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[vanadium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[wires]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-PV"[zinc]= 0 Units:kg/MW Materialsrequirementsforoperationandmaintenanceperunitof newinstalledcapacityofsolarPV.(0758)"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Adhesive] = 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E99') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Aluminiummirrors ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Cadmium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E100') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Cement]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Chromium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E101') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E102') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Dy]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]=



187

0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Evacuationlines ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E103') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Foamglass]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Galium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E104') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Glassreinforcingplastic ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E105') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[gravel]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Indium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Iron]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[KNO3mined]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Asphalt]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E106') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Limestone]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Lithium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E107') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E108') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Manganese]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Heavyequipment ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Concrete]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Molybdenum]= 0



188

"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[NaNO3mined]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[NaNO3synthetic ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Neodymium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Nickel]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"["Overgrid(15%)" ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"["Overgrid(5%)" ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Paint]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Lead]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E109') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Polypropylene]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Rock]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Rockwool]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Sand]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E110') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Siliconwafermodules ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E111') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E112') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Sitepreparation ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[Tin]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[sodaash]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[steel]=



189

0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E113') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[tellurium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[titanium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[titaniumdioxide ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[vanadium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[wires]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windoffshore"[zinc]= 0 Units:kg/MW Materialsrequirementsforoperationandmaintenanceperunitof newinstalledcapacityofwindoffshore.(0759)"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Adhesive]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D99') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Aluminiummirrors ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Cadmium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D100') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Cement]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Chromium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D101') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D102') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Dy]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= 0



190

"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Evacuationlines ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D103') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Foamglass]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Galium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D104') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Glassreinforcingplastic ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D105') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[gravel]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Indium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Iron]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[KNO3mined]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Asphalt]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D106') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Limestone]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Lithium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D107') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D108') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Manganese]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Heavyequipment] = 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Concrete]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Molybdenum]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[NaNO3mined]=



191

0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[NaNO3synthetic] = 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Neodymium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Nickel]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"["Overgrid(15%)" ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"["Overgrid(5%)" ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Paint]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Lead]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D109') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Polypropylene]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Rock]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Rockwool]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Sand]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D110') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Siliconwafermodules ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D111') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D112') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Sitepreparation ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Tin]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[sodaash]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[steel]= 0



192

"materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D113') "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[tellurium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[titanium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[titaniumdioxide ]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[vanadium]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[wires]= 0 "materialsforO&Mpercapacityinstalled-windonshore"[zinc]= 0 Units:kg/MW Materialsrequirementsforoperationandmaintenanceperunitof newinstalledcapacityofwindonshore.(0760)"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B5') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B6') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B7') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B8') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B9') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B10') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B11') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B12') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B13') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B14') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B15') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B16')



193

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B17') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B18') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B19') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B20') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B21') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B22') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B23') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B24') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B25') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B26') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B27') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B28') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B29') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B30') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B31') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B32') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B33') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B34') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B35') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B36') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B37') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B38')



194

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B39') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B40') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B41') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B42') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B43') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B44') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B45') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B46') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B47') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B48') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B49') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B50') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B51') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B52') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B53') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B54') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B55') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B56') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B57') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B58') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B59') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B60')



195

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B61') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-CSP"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B62') Units:kg/MW Materialsrequirementsperunitofnewinstalledcapacityof solarCSP.(0761)"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D5') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D6') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D7') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D8') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D9') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D10') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D11') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D12') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D13') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D14') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D15') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D16') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D17') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D18') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D19') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D20') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Glassreinforcingplastic ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D21')



196

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D22') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D23') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D24') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D25') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D26') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D27') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D28') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D29') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D30') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D31') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D32') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D33') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D34') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D35') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D36') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D37') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D38') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D39') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D40') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D41') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D42') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D43')



197

"materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D44') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D45') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D46') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D47') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D48') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D49') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Siliconwafermodules ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D50') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D51') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D52') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D53') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D54') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D55') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D56') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D57') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D58') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D59') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D60') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D61') "materialspernewcapacityinstalled-windonshore"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D62') Units:kg/MW Materialsrequirementsperunitofnewinstalledcapacityof windonshore.(0762)"materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Adhesive]=



198

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H5') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H6') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Aluminiummirrors] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H7') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H8') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H9') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H10') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H11') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H12') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H13') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H14') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"["Electric/electroniccomponents" ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H15') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H16') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H17') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H18') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H19') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H20') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Glassreinforcingplastic ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H21') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H22') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H23') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H24') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H25')



199

"materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H26') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H27') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H28') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H29') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H30') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H31') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H32') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H33') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H34') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H35') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H36') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H37') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H38') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H39') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"["Overgrid(15%)"] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H40') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H41') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H42') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H43') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H44') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H45') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H46') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Rockwool]=



200

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H47') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H48') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H49') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Siliconwafermodules ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H50') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H51') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H52') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H53') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H54') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H55') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H56') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H57') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H58') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H59') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H60') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H61') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-HVDCs"[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','H62') Units:kg/MW Materialsrequirementsforinter-regionalgrids(HVDCs)perunit ofnewinstalledcapacityofRESvariableforelectricity.(0763)"materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G5') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G6') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Aluminiummirrors]=



201

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G7') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G8') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G9') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G10') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G11') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G12') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G13') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G14') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" ["Electric/electroniccomponents"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G15') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G16') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G17') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G18') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G19') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G20') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G21') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower"



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[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G22') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G23') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G24') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G25') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G26') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G27') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G28') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G29') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G30') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G31') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G32') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G33') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G34') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G35') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G36')



203

"materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G37') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G38') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G39') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" ["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G40') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" ["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G41') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G42') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G43') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G44') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G45') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G46') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G47') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G48') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G49') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G50') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Silver]=



204

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G51') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G52') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G53') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G54') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G55') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G56') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G57') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G58') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G59') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G60') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G61') "materialspernewRESeleccapacityinstalled-materialovergridhighpower" [zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','G62') Units:kg/MW Materialsrequirementsforovergridhighpowerperunitofnew installedcapacityofRESvariableforelectricity.(0764)materialsrequiredfornewCSPMt[materials,scenarios]= materialsrequiredfornewRESelecMt[CSP,materials,scenarios] Units:Mt Annualmaterialsrequiredfortheinstallationofnewcapacity ofsolarCSP.



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(0765)materialsrequiredfornewPVMt[materials,scenarios]= materialsrequiredfornewRESelecMt[solarPV,materials,scenarios] Units:Mt Annualmaterialsrequiredfortheinstallationofnewcapacity ofsolarPV.(0766)materialsrequiredfornewRESelecMt[RESelec,materials,scenarios ]= newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]*materialsfornewRESelecpercapacityinstalled [RESelec,materials]*MperT/kgperMt Units:Mt Annualmaterialsrequiredfortheinstallationofnewcapacity ofRESforelectricitybytechnology.(0767)materialsrequiredfornewwindoffshoreMt[materials,scenarios]= materialsrequiredfornewRESelecMt[windoffshore,materials,scenarios] Units:Mt Annualmaterialsrequiredfortheinstallationofnewcapacity ofwindoffshore.(0768)materialsrequiredfornewwindonshoreMt[materials,scenarios]= materialsrequiredfornewRESelecMt[windonshore,materials,scenarios] Units:Mt Annualmaterialsrequiredfortheinstallationofnewcapacity ofwindoshore.(0769)"materialsrequiredforO&MCSPMt"[materials,scenarios]= "materialsrequiredforO&MRESelecMt"[CSP,materials,scenarios] Units:Mt Annualmaterialsrequiredfortheoperationandmaintenanceof solarCSP.(0770)"materialsrequiredforO&MPVMt"[materials,scenarios]= "materialsrequiredforO&MRESelecMt"[solarPV,materials,scenarios] Units:Mt Annualmaterialsrequiredfortheoperationandmaintenanceof solarPV.(0771)"materialsrequiredforO&MRESelecMt"[RESelec,materials,scenarios ]= installedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]*"materialsforO&MpercapacityinstalledRESelec" [RESelec,materials]*MperT/kgperMt



206

Units:Mt Annualmaterialsrequiredfortheoperationandmaintenanceof thecapacityofRESforelectricityinoperationbytechnology.(0772)"materialsrequiredforO&MwindoffshoreMt"[materials,scenarios]= "materialsrequiredforO&MRESelecMt"[windoffshore,materials,scenarios ] Units:Mt Annualmaterialsrequiredfortheoperationandmaintenanceof windoffshore.(0773)"materialsrequiredforO&MwindonshoreMt"[materials,scenarios]= "materialsrequiredforO&MRESelecMt"[windonshore,materials,scenarios ] Units:Mt Annualmaterialsrequiredfortheoperationandmaintenanceof windonshore.(0774)maxBioETWe[scenarios]= availablepotentialFEsolidbioEforelecEJ[scenarios]*TWeperTWh/EJperTWh Units:TWe Techno-ecologicalpotentialofbiomass&waste.Thispotentialis dynamicanddependantonthepotentialassignedforbioenergy residues.(0775)maxbiogasEJ[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','G41') maxbiogasEJ[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','G41') maxbiogasEJ[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','G41') maxbiogasEJ[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','G41') maxbiogasEJ[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','G41') maxbiogasEJ[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','G41') Units:EJ Maximunpotencialofbiogasesproduction.(0776)maxextractioncoalEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncoalcurve[scenarios]=1, tablemaxextractioncoalMohr2012EJ (TotRURRcoal[scenarios]),



207

IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncoalcurve[scenarios]=2, tablemaxextractioncoalLowMohr15 (TotRURRcoal[scenarios]), IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncoalcurve[scenarios]=3,tablemaxextractioncoalBGMohr15 (TotRURRcoal[scenarios]), IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncoalcurve[scenarios]=4, tablemaxextractioncoalHighMohr15 (TotRURRcoal[scenarios]),tablemaxextractioncoalUserdefined(TotRURRcoal [scenarios]))))) Units:EJ/Year Maximumextractioncurveselectedforthesimulations.(0777)maxextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvgas?"[scenarios]=1, IFTHENELSE(chooseextractionconvgascurve[scenarios]=1, tablemaxextractionconvgasBGMohr15 (TotRURRconvgas[scenarios]), IFTHENELSE(chooseextractionconvgascurve[scenarios]=2, tablemaxextractionconvgasLowMohr15 (TotRURRconvgas[scenarios]), IFTHENELSE(chooseextractionconvgascurve[scenarios]=3, tablemaxextractionconvgasHighMohr15 (TotRURRconvgas[scenarios]),tablemaxextractionconvgasUserdefined (TotRURRconvgas[scenarios])))),0) Units:EJ/Year Maximumextractioncurveselectedforthesimulations.(0778)maxextractionunconvgas[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvgas[scenarios]=1,tablemaxextractionunconvgasBGMohr15 (TotRURRunconvgas[scenarios]), IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvgas[scenarios]=2,tablemaxextractionunconvgasLowMohr15 (TotRURRunconvgas[scenarios]), IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvgas[scenarios]=3,tablemaxextractionunconvgasHighMohr15 (TotRURRunconvgas[scenarios]),tablemaxextractionunconvgasUserdefined (TotRURRunconvgas[scenarios])))) Units:EJ/Year Maximumextractioncurveselectedforthesimulations.(0779)maxextractionuraniumEJ[scenarios]=



208

IF THENELSE(Chooseextractionuraniumcurve[scenarios]=1, tablemaxextractionuraniumEWG13EJ (RURRuranium[scenarios ]),IFTHENELSE(Chooseextractionuraniumcurve[scenarios]=2,tablemaxextractionuraniumZittel12 (RURRuranium[scenarios]),tablemaxextractionuraniumuserdefined(RURRuranium [scenarios]))) Units:EJ/Year Maximumextractioncurveselectedforthesimulations.(0780)"maxgeot-elecTWe"[scenarios]= "maxPEgeot-elecTWth"[scenarios]*EfficiencyconversiongeotPEtoElec Units:TWe Techno-ecologicalpotentialofelectricgeothermal(1TWe=8760 TWhinoneyear).Weassumethattheglobalpotentialof0.2TWe.(0781)maxhydroTWe[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C24') maxhydroTWe[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C24') maxhydroTWe[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C24') maxhydroTWe[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C24') maxhydroTWe[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C24') maxhydroTWe[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C24') Units:TWe Techno-ecologicalpotentialofhydro(1TWe=8760TWhinone year).(0782)MaxNPPpotentialbioEresidues[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','G43') MaxNPPpotentialbioEresidues[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','G43') MaxNPPpotentialbioEresidues[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','G43') MaxNPPpotentialbioEresidues[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','G43') MaxNPPpotentialbioEresidues[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','G43') MaxNPPpotentialbioEresidues[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','G43')



209

Units:EJ/Year PotencialfollowingWBGU(2009).(0783)MaxNPPpotentialBioEresiduesforcellulosicbiofuels[scenarios]= Max NPP potential bioE residues[User defined]*share cellulosic biofuels vs BioEresidues [scenarios] Units:EJ/Year PotentialassignedtothecellulosicbiofuelsfrombioEresidues.(0784)MaxNPPpotentialBioEresiduesforheatandelec[scenarios]= MaxNPPpotentialbioEresidues[Userdefined]*(1-sharecellulosicbiofuelsvsBioEresidues [scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year ShareofbioEforheatandelectricity.(0785)maxoceanicTWe[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C27') maxoceanicTWe[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C27') maxoceanicTWe[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C27') maxoceanicTWe[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C27') maxoceanicTWe[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C27') maxoceanicTWe[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C27') Units:TWe Techno-ecologicalpotentialofoceanic(1TWe=8760TWhinone year).(0786)maxoffshorewindTWe[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C29') maxoffshorewindTWe[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C29') maxoffshorewindTWe[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C29') maxoffshorewindTWe[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C29') maxoffshorewindTWe[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C29') maxoffshorewindTWe[Userdefined]=



210

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C29') Units:TWe Techno-ecologicalpotentialofoffshorewind(1TWe=8760TWh inoneyear).(0787)maxonshorewindTWe[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C28') maxonshorewindTWe[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C28') maxonshorewindTWe[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C28') maxonshorewindTWe[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C28') maxonshorewindTWe[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C28') maxonshorewindTWe[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C28') Units:TWe Techno-ecologicalpotentialofonshorewind(1TWe=8760TWhin oneyear).(0788)"maxPEgeot-elecTWth"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C25') "maxPEgeot-elecTWth"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C25') "maxPEgeot-elecTWth"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C25') "maxPEgeot-elecTWth"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C25') "maxPEgeot-elecTWth"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C25') "maxPEgeot-elecTWth"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C25') Units:TWe Primaryenergyofgeothermalforelectricity.(0789)maxPEpotentialbiogasforheat[scenarios]= maxbiogasEJ[scenarios]*sharePESbiogasforheat[scenarios] Units:EJ Primaryenergypotentialofbiogasforheattakingintoaccount thecurrentshare.(0790)MaxPEpotentialRESforheat["solar-heat",scenarios]= FEsolarpotentialforheat[scenarios]



211

MaxPEpotentialRESforheat["geot-heat",scenarios]= GeotPEpotentialforheatEJ[scenarios] MaxPEpotentialRESforheat["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]= availablePEpotentialsolidbioEforheatEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ Potential(primaryenergy)forproducingheatfromrenewables.(0791)maxPEpotentialtotRESheatEJ[scenarios]= maxPEpotentialbiogasforheat[scenarios]+SUM(MaxPEpotentialRESforheat [RESheat!,scenarios]) Units:EJ MaximumtotalprimaryenergypotentialofRESforheat.(0792)MaxPEavailpotentialbiofuelsmarginallands[scenarios]= BioEpotentialNPPmarginallands*ConvefficiencyfromNPPtobiofuels Units:EJ/Year Annualbiofuelspotential(primaryenergy)availablefrom marginallands(0793)maxpercent2wheels[scenarios]=INTEG( rate4wto2w[scenarios], initial2wpercent) Units:Dmnl maximumshareof2wheelvehicles(intermsofnumberof vehicles)policiesorshortagecanmakepeoplemoveform4wheel vehiclestotwowheelers(0794)maxpercent4wheels[scenarios]=INTEG( -rate4wto2w[scenarios], 1-initial2wpercent) Units:Dmnl maxpercentof4wheelersrelativetototalamount2w+4w(0795)MaxpotentialNPPbioEconventionalforheat[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','G42') MaxpotentialNPPbioEconventionalforheat[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','G42') MaxpotentialNPPbioEconventionalforheat[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','G42') MaxpotentialNPPbioEconventionalforheat[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','G42') MaxpotentialNPPbioEconventionalforheat[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','G42') MaxpotentialNPPbioEconventionalforheat[SCEN4]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','G42') Units:EJ/Year SustainablepotentialNPPofconventionalbioenergyforheat. Source:TechnicalReport.(0796)"MaxpotentialPEnon-electricRES"[scenarios]= maxPEpotentialtotRESheatEJ[scenarios]+MaxPEavailbiofuelspotential [scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Techno-ecologicalsustainablepotential(primaryenergy)of non-electricRES.(0797)maxpotentialPHSTWe[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','G24') maxpotentialPHSTWe[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','G24') maxpotentialPHSTWe[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','G24') maxpotentialPHSTWe[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','G24') maxpotentialPHSTWe[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','G24') maxpotentialPHSTWe[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','G24') Units:TWe MaximumpotentialforPHS.(0798)maxpotentialRESelecTWe[hydro,scenarios]= maxhydroTWe[scenarios] maxpotentialRESelecTWe["geot-elec",scenarios]= "maxgeot-elecTWe"[scenarios] maxpotentialRESelecTWe["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]= maxBioETWe[scenarios] maxpotentialRESelecTWe[oceanic,scenarios]= maxoceanicTWe[scenarios] maxpotentialRESelecTWe[windonshore,scenarios]= maxonshorewindTWe[scenarios] maxpotentialRESelecTWe[windoffshore,scenarios]= maxoffshorewindTWe[scenarios] maxpotentialRESelecTWe[solarPV,scenarios]= maxsolarPVonlandTWe[scenarios] maxpotentialRESelecTWe[CSP,scenarios]= maxCSPTWe[scenarios] Units:TWe



213

MaximumpotentialofRESforelectricitypertechnology consideringanoptimalCp.(0799)maxpotentialRESelecTWh[RESelec,scenarios]= maxpotentialRESelecTWe[RESelec,scenarios]/TWeperTWh Units:TWh MaximumpotentialofRESforelectricitypertechnology consideringanoptimalCp.(0800)maxpotentialtotRESelecTWh[scenarios]= SUM(maxpotentialRESelecTWh[RESelec!,scenarios])+maxpotentialPHSTWe [scenarios]/TWeperTWh+maxbiogasEJ[scenarios]*sharePESbiogasforelec [scenarios]/EJperTWh Units:TWh MaximumtotalpotentialofRESforelectricityconsideringan optimalCp.(0801)Maxrecyclingratesminerals= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G56') Units:Dnml Maximumassumedrecyclingratepermineral.(0802)"Maxsharetransm&distreleclosses"= "sharetransm&distreleclossesinitial"*(1+0.0115*EXP(4.2297*1)-0.00251) Units:Dnml Assumedmaximumshareoftransmissionanddistributionelectric losses(whenRESsupply100%ofthetotalconsumption).(0803)demandgasforoilrefinerygains[scenarios]= OilrefinerygainsEJ[scenarios]*Efficiencygasforoilrefinerygains Units:EJ/Year Demandofnaturalgastobeusedasinputintherefineriesto obtaintheso-called"oilrefinerygains".(0804)Efficiencygasforoilrefinerygains= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C51') Units:Dmnl Weassumea100%efficiencyasfirstapproximation.(0805)gCO2perMJCTL= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C89') Units:gCO2/MJ CO2emissionscoefficientofCTL.



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(0806)GenlossesvsPEforelec[scenarios]= ElecgenrelatedlossesEJ[scenarios]/TotalPEforelectricityconsumptionEJ [scenarios] Units:Dmnl GenerationlossesasashareofthetotalPEforelectricity.(0807)GtChistoricemissionsRCPs[scenarios]( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1990,6.144),(1995,6.4395),(2000,6.735),(2005,7.971)) Units:GtC RCPdatabase: http://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at:8787/RcpDb/dsd?Action=htmlpage&page=wel come(0808)HeatTransCoeff= 1/Transfercoefficientforlowerlevel Units:Year[100,4000] [Fiddaman]HeatTransferCoefficient[tau12](years). Coefficientofheattransferbetweentheatmosphere&upper oceanandthedeepocean./500/[DICE-2013R]1/c4;c4Transfer coefficientforlowerlevel/0.025/(0809)HeatTransfer[scenarios]= TempDiff[scenarios]*DOHeatCap/HeatTransCoeff Units:watt/meter/meter HeatTransferfromtheAtmosphere&UpperOceantotheDeepOcean(0810)HistoricCTLproduction= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','C36') Units:EJ/Year HistoricgenerationofCTL1990-2014(IEABalances).(0811)Historicefficiencygasforelectricity( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H70')) Units:percent Historicalevolutionofefficiencyofnaturalgaspowercentrals 1995-2013(IEABalances).(0812)HistoricGTLproduction= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','C37') Units:EJ/Year HistoricgenerationofGTL1990-2014(IEABalances).(0813)Historiclandcompetavailableforbiofuels2gen[scenarios]= 74847.7*EJperktoe/Landproductivitybiofuels2genEJMHa



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Units:MHa/Year Landoccupiedbybiofuelsin2015.Biofuelsproductionin2015: 7,4847.7ktoe(BP2016).(0814)Historicpop( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','C28')) Units:people Historicpopulation(1990-2015).Ref:Worldbank.(0815)Historicproducbiofuels2gen( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','C56')) Units:ktoe/Year Historicproductionofbiofuels2ndgeneration(1990-2015).(0816) improvementefficiencygasforelectricity= IFTHENELSE(Time<2013,(Historicefficiencygasforelectricity(Time+1)- Historicefficiencygasforelectricity(Time))*percenttoshare,efficiencygasforelectricity *remainingefficiencyimprovgasforelectricity*Efficiencyimprovgasforelectricity ) Units:Dmnl Annualefficiencyimprovementofthegaspowercentrals.(0817) initAtmosUOceanTemp= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C119') Units:DegreesC GlobalAnnualTemperatureAnomaly(Land+Ocean)in1990from NASAGISSSurfaceTemperature(GISTEMP):+0.43ºC.5-year average:+0.35ºC. http://cdiac.ornl.gov/ftp/trends/temp/hansen/gl_land_ocean.txt [DICE-1994]InitialTemperatureoftheAtmosphereandUpper Ocean[T](degreesC)1965[Cowles,pg.24]/0.2/[DICE-2013R] tatm0Initialatmospherictempchange(degreesCfrom1900)2010 /0.80/(0818) initDeepOceanTemp= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C120') Units:DegreesC [DICE-1994]TemperatureoftheDeepOcean[T*](degreesC). [Cowles,pg.24]1965/0.1/[DICE-2013R]tocean0Initiallower stratumtempchange2010(degreesCfrom1990)/0.0068/(0819) initialefficiencygasforelectricity= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H70') Units:percent



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Efficiencyofgaspowercentralsintheinitialyear1995(IEA balances).(0820) initialpopulation= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','H28') Units:people InitialvaluefromWorldBankin1995.(0821) inlandtransportvariationintensity[scenarios,electricity]= varIinlandElec[scenarios] inlandtransportvariationintensity[scenarios,heat]= 0 inlandtransportvariationintensity[scenarios,liquids]= varIinlandTliq[scenarios] inlandtransportvariationintensity[scenarios,solids]= 0 inlandtransportvariationintensity[scenarios,gases]= varIinlandTGas[scenarios] Units:**undefined** (0822)kturaniumperEJ= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C10') Units:Kt/EJ Unitconversion(1EJthermal=2.3866).SeeEWG(2006).(0823) landcompet2genvstotallandcompet[scenarios]= Landcompetbiofuels2genMha[scenarios]/Landcompetrequireddedicatedcropsforbiofuels [scenarios] Units:**undefined** Landdedicatedto2ndgenerationbiofuelsvstotalland competitionforbiofuels[topreventstock"Landcompetbiofuels 2genMha"goesnegative].(0824)Landcompetbiofuels2genMha[scenarios]=INTEG( newbiofuels2genlandcompet[scenarios]-Landshiftedtobiofuels3gen[scenarios ], initialvaluelandcompetbiofuels2genMha*Landproductivitybiofuels2genEJMHa ) Units:MHa Totalannuallanddedicatedtobiofuelproductioninland competingwithotheruses.



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(0825)Landproductivitybiofuels2genEJMHa= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C59') Units:EJ/MHa Energyoutputperareaofbiofuels2ndgeneration(final energy).Source:[Mediavilla2013]:118Gboe/MHa=0.047305EJ/MHa(0826)Landshiftedtobiofuels3gen[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<startyear3gen[scenarios],0, IFTHENELSE(Time<(startyear3gen[scenarios]+5),Annualshiftfrom2gento3gen [scenarios]*Landcompetbiofuels2genMha[scenarios]*Biofuels3genlandcompetavailable [scenarios]*landcompet2genvstotallandcompet[scenarios],Pbiofuels3gen [scenarios]*Landcompetbiofuels3genMha[scenarios]*Biofuels3genlandcompetavailable [scenarios]*landcompet2genvstotallandcompet[scenarios])) Units:MHa/Year Newlanddedicatedtobiofuels3rdgenerationinlandcompeting withotherusesasashiftofsurfacepreviouslydedicatedto biofuelsfromthe2ndgeneration.Weassumethatnonewland startsdirectlytoproducebiofuels3rdgenerationbiofuels.IF THENELSE(Time<startyear3gen[scenarios],0,IFTHENELSE(check liquids[scenarios]<0,"constrainliquidsexogenous growth?"[scenarios]*Landcompetbiofuels3genMha[scenarios],IF THENELSE(Time<(startyear3gen[scenarios]+5),Annualshiftfrom 2gento3gen[scenarios]*Landcompetbiofuels2gen Mha[scenarios]*Biofuels3genlandcompet available[scenarios]*landcompet2genvstotalland compet[scenarios],Pbiofuels3gen[scenarios]*Landcompet biofuels3genMha[scenarios]*Biofuels3genlandcompet available[scenarios]*landcompet2genvstotalland compet[scenarios])))(0827)MarginalAtmosRetention= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C110') Units:Dmnl MarginalAtmosphericRetentionFraction.FractionofGreenhouse GasEmissionswhichaccumulateintheatmosphere.(0828)Maxefficiencygaspowerplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C48') Units:Dnml Assumedmaximumefficiencylevelforgaspowercentrals.(0829)maxextractioncoalMtoe[scenarios]= maxextractioncoalEJ[scenarios]*MToeperEJ Units:MToe/Year



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Maximumextractioncurveselectedforthesimulations.(0830)maxextractionunconvoil[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[scenarios]=1,tablemaxextractionunconvoilBGMohr15 (TotRURRunconvoil[scenarios]), IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[scenarios]=2,tablemaxextractionunconvoilLowMohr15 (TotRURRunconvoil[scenarios]), IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[scenarios]=3,tablemaxextractionunconvoilHighMohr15 (TotRURRunconvoil[scenarios]),tablemaxextractionunconvoilUserdefined (TotRURRunconvoil[scenarios])))) Units:EJ/Year Maximumextractioncurveselectedforthesimulations.(0831)maxpercentofchange[scenarios]= 0.448 Units:Dmnl (0832)maxsolaronlandMha[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C30') maxsolaronlandMha[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C30') maxsolaronlandMha[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C30') maxsolaronlandMha[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C30') maxsolaronlandMha[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C30') maxsolaronlandMha[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C30') Units:MHa Assumedlandavailabilityforsolarpowerplantsonland(PVand CSP).(0833)maxsolarPVonlandMHa[scenarios]= maxsolaronlandMha[scenarios]-surfaceCSPMha[scenarios] Units:MHa AvailablelandforsolarPVtakingintoaccountthetotalland availabilityforsolarandtheactualoccupationfromCSP.(0834)maxsolarPVonlandTWe[scenarios]= maxsolarPVonlandMHa[scenarios]*powerdensitysolarPV



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Units:TWe Techno-ecologicalpotentialofsolarPVonland.Thispotential dependsontheassumedlandavailabilityforsolarPVpower plants("maxsolarPVonlandMHa")anditspowerdensity(1TWe =8760TWhinoneyear).(0835)maxunconvgasgrowthextraction[scenarios]= 1+IFTHENELSE(Selectionconstraintextractionunconvgas[scenarios]=1,( Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvgas[scenarios ])*TIME STEP*scarcity conv gas stock[scenarios],("User-defined extraction growthunconvgas" (Time))*TIMESTEP) Units:Dmnl Constrainttomaximumannualunconventionalgasextraction(%).(0836)maxunconvgasgrowthextractionEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(checkgasdelayed1yr[scenarios]<-0.01,(1+"constraingasexogenousgrowth?delayed1yr" [scenarios])*extractionunconvgasdelayed[scenarios], extractionunconvgasdelayed[scenarios]*maxunconvgasgrowthextraction [scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year Constrainedunconventionalgasextractiongrowth(EJ/Year),i.e. maximumannualgrowthcompatiblewiththeconstraintselectedin thescenario.(0837)maxunconvoilgrowthextraction[scenarios]= 1+(IFTHENELSE(Selectionconstraintextractionunconvoil[scenarios]=1,( Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvoil[scenarios ])*TIME STEP*scarcity conv oil stock[scenarios],("User-defined extraction growthunconvoil" (Time)*TIMESTEP)))*abundanceunconvoil2 [scenarios ] Units:Dmnl Constrainttomaximumannualunconventionalgasextraction(%).(0838)maxunconvoilgrowthextractionEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(checkliquidsdelayed1yr[scenarios]<0,(1+"constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?delayed1yr" [scenarios ])*extractionunconvoildelayed[scenarios],extractionunconvoildelayed [scenarios]*maxunconvoilgrowthextraction[scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year



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Constrainedunconventionaloilextractiongrowth(EJ/Year),i.e. maximumannualgrowthcompatiblewiththeconstraintselectedin thescenario.(0839)maxwaste[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C10') maxwaste[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C10') maxwaste[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C10') maxwaste[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C10') maxwaste[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C10') maxwaste[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C10') Units:EJ Maximunpotencialofwaste(primaryenergysupply).(0840)Maxyearlychange[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B14') Maxyearlychange[MiningandQuarrying,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','G14') Maxyearlychange[FoodBeveragesandTobacco,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','L14') Maxyearlychange[TextilesandTextileProducts,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','Q14') Maxyearlychange[LeatherLeatherandFootwear,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','V14') Maxyearlychange[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AA14') Maxyearlychange[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AF14') Maxyearlychange[CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK14') Maxyearlychange[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AP14') Maxyearlychange[RubberandPlastics,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AU14') Maxyearlychange[OtherNonMetalicMineral,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AZ14') Maxyearlychange[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BE14')



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Maxyearlychange[MachineryNec,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BJ14') Maxyearlychange[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BO14') Maxyearlychange[TransportEquipment,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BT14') Maxyearlychange[ManufacturingNecRecycling,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BY14') Maxyearlychange[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CD14') Maxyearlychange[Construction,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CI14') Maxyearlychange[SaleMaintenanceandRepairofMotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CN14') Maxyearlychange[WholesaleTradeandCommissionsTradeExceptofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CS14') Max yearly change[Retail Trade Except of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles Repair ofHouseholdgoods ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CX14') Maxyearlychange[HotelsandRestaurants,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DC14') Maxyearlychange[InlandTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DH14') Maxyearlychange[WaterTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DM14') Maxyearlychange[AirTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DR14') Maxyearlychange[OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DW14') Maxyearlychange[PostandTelecommunications,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EB14') Maxyearlychange[FinancialIntermedation,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EG14') Maxyearlychange[RealEstateActivities,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EL14') Maxyearlychange[RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities,finalsources ]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EQ14') Maxyearlychange[PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EV14') Maxyearlychange[Education,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FA14') Maxyearlychange[HealthandSocialWork,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FF14') Maxyearlychange[OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FK14') Maxyearlychange[PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FP14') Units:**undefined** (0841)MaxyearlychangeH[finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FU14') Units:**undefined** (0842)maximum2w= Pshare2wheelers2050[BAU] Units:**undefined** Maximumpercentof2wheeltransportvehicles(0843)maximumannualextractionmaterials[Adhesive]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT5') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Aluminium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT6') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Aluminiummirrors]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT7') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Cadmium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT8') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Carbonfiber]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT9') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Cement]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT10') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Chromium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT11') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Copper]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT12') maximumannualextractionmaterials[diesel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT13') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Dy]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT14')



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maximumannualextractionmaterials["Electric/electroniccomponents"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT15') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Evacuationlines]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT16') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Fiberglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT17') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Foamglass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT18') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Galium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT19') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Glass]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT20') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Glassreinforcingplastic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT21') maximumannualextractionmaterials[gravel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT22') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Indium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT23') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Iron]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT24') maximumannualextractionmaterials[KNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT25') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Asphalt]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT26') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Lime]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT27') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Limestone]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT28') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Lithium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT29') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Lubricant]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT30') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Magnesium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT31') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Manganese]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT32') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Heavyequipment]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT33') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Concrete]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT34') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Molybdenum]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT35') maximumannualextractionmaterials[NaNO3mined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT36')



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maximumannualextractionmaterials[NaNO3synthetic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT37') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Neodymium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT38') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Nickel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT39') maximumannualextractionmaterials["Overgrid(15%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT40') maximumannualextractionmaterials["Overgrid(5%)"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT41') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Paint]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT42') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Lead]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT43') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Plastics]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT44') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Polypropylene]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT45') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Rock]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT46') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Rockwool]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT47') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Sand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT48') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Siliconsand]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT49') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Siliconwafermodules]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT50') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Silver]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT51') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Sitepreparation]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT52') maximumannualextractionmaterials[Tin]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT53') maximumannualextractionmaterials[sodaash]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT54') maximumannualextractionmaterials[steel]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT55') maximumannualextractionmaterials[syntheticoil]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT56') maximumannualextractionmaterials[tellurium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT57') maximumannualextractionmaterials[titanium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT58')



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maximumannualextractionmaterials[titaniumdioxide]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT59') maximumannualextractionmaterials[vanadium]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT60') maximumannualextractionmaterials[wires]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT61') maximumannualextractionmaterials[zinc]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','AT62') Units:Mt/Year MaximumannualextractionpermaterialasestimatedbyL.D. Roper.(0844)Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[MiningandQuarrying ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','G9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[FoodBeveragesandTobacco ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','L9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[TextilesandTextileProducts ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','Q9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[LeatherLeatherandFootwear ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','V9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AA9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AF9') Maximun yearly aceleration of intensity improvement pct[Coke Refined Petroleum andNuclearFuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AP9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[RubberandPlastics ,finalsources]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AU9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[OtherNonMetalicMineral ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AZ9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BE9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[MachineryNec,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BJ9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BO9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[TransportEquipment ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BT9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[ManufacturingNecRecycling ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BY9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CD9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[Construction,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CI9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[SaleMaintenanceandRepairofMotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CN9') Maximun yearly aceleration of intensity improvement pct[Wholesale Trade andCommissionsTradeExceptofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CS9') Maximun yearly aceleration of intensity improvement pct[Retail Trade Except of MotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CX9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[HotelsandRestaurants ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DC9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[InlandTransport,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DH9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[WaterTransport,finalsources



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]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DM9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[AirTransport,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DR9') Maximunyearlyacelerationof intensity improvementpct[OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DW9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[PostandTelecommunications ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EB9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[FinancialIntermedation ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EG9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[RealEstateActivities ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EL9') Maximun yearly aceleration of intensity improvement pct[Renting od MEq and OtherBusinessActivities ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EQ9') Maximun yearly aceleration of intensity improvement pct[Public Admin and DefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EV9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[Education,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FA9') Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[HealthandSocialWork ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FF9') Maximun yearly aceleration of intensity improvement pct[Other Community Social andPersonaServices ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FK9') Maximun yearly aceleration of intensity improvement pct[Private Households withEmployedPersons ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FP9') Units:**undefined** (0845)MaximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpctH[finalsources ]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FU9') Units:**undefined** (0846)Maximunyearlyaceleratuinofintensityimprovement[scenarios,sectors ,finalsources]= -Maximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpct[sectors,finalsources ]*Initialenergyintensitybyfuelandsector1995[sectors,finalsources] Units:**undefined** (0847)MaximunyearlyaceleratuinofintensityimprovementH[scenarios,finalsources ]= -MaximunyearlyacelerationofintensityimprovementpctH[finalsources] *Initialenergyintensity1995H[finalsources] Units:**undefined** (0848)"Mb/dperEJ/year"= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C17') Units:Mb*Year/(EJ*d) ConversionbetweenMb/dtoEJ/year.(0849)MediumimplementatiopolicyMLT1=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2030), ([(0,0)-(20,1)],(0,0),(20,1))) Units:**undefined** (0850)MediumimplementatiopolicyMLT1H=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2030), ([(0,0)-(20,1)],(0,0),(20,1))) Units:**undefined** (0851)MediumimplementationpolicyMLT2=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2040), ([(0,0)-(10,1)],(0,0),(10,1))) Units:**undefined** (0852)MediumimplementationpolicyMLT2H=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2040), ([(0,0)-(10,1)],(0,0),(10,1))) Units:**undefined** (0853)MediumimplementationpolicyOT=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2020), ([(0,0)-(30,1)],(0,0),(30,1))) Units:**undefined**



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(0854)MediumimplementationpolicyOTH=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2020), ([(0,0)-(30,1)],(0,0),(30,1))) Units:**undefined** (0855)MethodCCimpacts= 0 Units:Dmnl 0:Impactsaffectonlyrealfinalenergyconsumptionviathe shortagecoefficient.1:Impactsaffectbothrealfinalenergy consumptionviatheshortagecoefficientandthedemandofeach finalfuel.***ComentariodeIñigo:yocreoqueestemétodoes incorrecto,aunquenoinfluyemuchoenlosresultados***(0856)"Methodfinalenergyintensity?"= 0 Units:Dmnl 1:Constantfinalenergyintensitiesbyfuelandsectorsafter 2009.0:Evolutionofthefinalenergyintensitiesfollowingthe view"ENERGYINTENSITIES".(0857)minCpbaseloadRES[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','V13') minCpbaseloadRES["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','V7') minCpbaseloadRES["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','V8') minCpbaseloadRES[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','V9') minCpbaseloadRES[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','V10') minCpbaseloadRES[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','V12') minCpbaseloadRES[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','V11') minCpbaseloadRES[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','V16') Units:Dmnl AssumptionofminimumCpforbaseloadRESplants.(0858)minCpnuclear= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','V15') Units:Dmnl



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AssumptionofminimumCpfornuclear.(0859)minenergyintensityvsintial[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','G10') minenergyintensityvsintial[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','G10') minenergyintensityvsintial[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','G10') minenergyintensityvsintial[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','G10') minenergyintensityvsintial[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','G10') minenergyintensityvsintial[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','G10') Units:**undefined** (0860)minenergyintensityvsintialH[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','G10') minenergyintensityvsintialH[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','G10') minenergyintensityvsintialH[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','G10') minenergyintensityvsintialH[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','G10') minenergyintensityvsintialH[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','G10') minenergyintensityvsintialH[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','G10') Units:**undefined** (0861)MineralsconsumptionestimationRestcterr[materials,scenarios]= Minerals extractionprojectionRest cte rr[materials,scenarios]/(1-current recyclingratesminerals [materials]) Units:Mt Projectionofannualmineralconsumptionoftherestofthe economyusinghistoricaldataandassumingrecyclingrates remaingconstant.(0862)MineralsextractionprojectionRestcterr[materials,scenarios]=INTEG ( variationmineralsextractionRest[materials,scenarios], initialmineralsextractionRest[materials]*Mtpertonne) Units:Mt



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Projectionofannualmineralextractionoftherestofthe economyusinghistoricaldataandassumingrecyclingrates remaingconstant.(0863)MineralsextractionprojectionRestwithrr[materials,scenarios]= MineralsconsumptionestimationRestcterr[materials,scenarios]*(1-recyclingratesmineralsRest [materials,scenarios]) Units:Mt Mineralsextractionprojectionoftherestoftheeconomy accountingforthedynamicevolutionofrecyclingrates.(0864)minimumfraction[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B13') minimumfraction[MiningandQuarrying,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','G13') minimumfraction[FoodBeveragesandTobacco,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','L13') minimumfraction[TextilesandTextileProducts,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','Q13') minimumfraction[LeatherLeatherandFootwear,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','V13') minimumfraction[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AA13') minimumfraction[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AF13') minimumfraction[CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK13') minimumfraction[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AP13') minimumfraction[RubberandPlastics,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AU13') minimumfraction[OtherNonMetalicMineral,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AZ13') minimumfraction[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BE13') minimumfraction[MachineryNec,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BJ13') minimumfraction[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BO13') minimumfraction[TransportEquipment,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BT13') minimumfraction[ManufacturingNecRecycling,finalsources]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BY13') minimumfraction[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CD13') minimumfraction[Construction,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CI13') minimumfraction[SaleMaintenanceandRepairofMotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CN13') minimumfraction[WholesaleTradeandCommissionsTradeExceptofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CS13') minimum fraction[Retail Trade Except of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles Repair ofHouseholdgoods ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CX13') minimumfraction[HotelsandRestaurants,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DC13') minimumfraction[InlandTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DH13') minimumfraction[WaterTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DM13') minimumfraction[AirTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DR13') minimum fraction[Other Supporting andAuxiliary Transport Activities Activities of TravelAgencies ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DW13') minimumfraction[PostandTelecommunications,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EB13') minimumfraction[FinancialIntermedation,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EG13') minimumfraction[RealEstateActivities,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EL13') minimumfraction[RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EQ13') minimumfraction[PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EV13') minimumfraction[Education,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FA13') minimumfraction[HealthandSocialWork,finalsources]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FF13') minimumfraction[OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FK13') minimumfraction[PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FP13') Units:**undefined** (0865)minimumfractionH[finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FU13') Units:**undefined** (0866)MJperEJ= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','G22') Units:Dmnl (0867)modernBioEinhouseholds[scenarios]= Householdsfinalenergydemand[scenarios,solids]-PEtraditionalbiomassEJ [scenarios] Units:EJ (0868)MtperGt= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C21') Units:**undefined** ConversionfromMegatoGiga(1000M=1G).(0869)Mtpertonne= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','G21') Units:Dmnl Mtonnepertonne.(0870)MToeperEJ= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C6') Units:MToe/EJ Unitconversion(1000Mtoe=41.868EJ)(0871)NElecLDvehicles[scenarios]= NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,elec4wheels]+vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,LVelec ] Units:Mvehicles Numberofelecetricityligthduttyvehicles(0872)NHibLDvehicles[scenarios]= NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,hib4wheels]+vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,LVhib



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] Units:Mvehicles NumberofhibridsLDvehicles(0873)NTotalLDvehicles[scenarios]= NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,liq4wheels]+NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,hib4wheels ]+NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,elec4wheels]+NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,gas4wheels ]+vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,LVliq]+vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,LVelec]+vehiclesinlandT [scenarios,LVhib]+vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,LVgas] Units:Mvehicles Totalnumberofligthduttyvehicles(0874)NvehiclesH0= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B10') Units:Mvehicles InitialnumberofhouseholdvehiclesintimeTinitial,2015by default,millionvehicles2w+4w2476(0875)Nvehiclesinlandt0[HVliq]= 58.4539 Nvehiclesinlandt0[HVhib]= 0.02642 Nvehiclesinlandt0[HVgas]= 0.02642 Nvehiclesinlandt0[LVliq]= 209.703 Nvehiclesinlandt0[LVelec]= 0.15923 Nvehiclesinlandt0[LVhib]= 0.0769961 Nvehiclesinlandt0[LVgas]= 3.40648 Nvehiclesinlandt0[busliq]= 15.6 Nvehiclesinlandt0[buselec]= 0 Nvehiclesinlandt0[bushib]= 0 Nvehiclesinlandt0[busgas]= 0 Nvehiclesinlandt0[trainliq]= 1.62958*0.8 Nvehiclesinlandt0[trainelec]= 1.62958*0.2



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Units:Mvehicle LOSDATOSDELTRENESTANMAL,NOTENGOLASENERGIASDESGLOSADAS, APROX.InitialnumberofvehiclesintimeTpolicyT,2015by default,millionvehicles'InternationalEnergyAgency(2016), EnergyTechnologyPerspectives2016,OECD/IEA,Paris'(0876)"NetcoalextractiondeCastroPhD-ScenI"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,1378.15),(1986,1422.43),(1987,1466.37),(1988,1509.97 ),(1989,1553.27),(1990,1596.27),(1991,1639),(1992,1681.45),(1993,1723.6),( 1994,1765.43),(1995,1806.88),(1996,1847.87),(1997,1888.31),(1998,1928.08), (1999,1967.04),(2000,2005.02),(2001,2041.85),(2002,2077.35),(2003,2111.34) ,(2004,2143.61),(2005,2174.01),(2006,2202.36),(2007,2228.55),(2008,2252.45 ),(2009,2274),(2010,2293.18),(2011,2310),(2012,2324.5),(2013,2336.78),(2014 ,2346.97),(2015,2355.23),(2016,2360.56),(2017,2358.93),(2018,2349.91),(2019 ,2333.02),(2020,2308.36),(2021,2276.56),(2022,2238.66),(2023,2196.02),(2024 ,2150.19),(2025,2102.72),(2026,2055.42),(2027,2009.48),(2028,1965.96),(2029 ,1925.6),(2030,1888.94),(2031,1856.22),(2032,1827.53),(2033,1802.76),(2034 ,1781.69),(2035,1764.05),(2036,1748.05),(2037,1733.15),(2038,1718.83),(2039 ,1704.69),(2040,1690.47),(2041,1676.02),(2042,1661.3),(2043,1646.32),(2044 ,1631.17),(2045,1615.96),(2046,1598.98),(2047,1581.36),(2048,1563.41),(2049 ,1545.42),(2050,1521.06),(2051,1491.54),(2052,1462.02),(2053,1433.79),(2054 ,1407.58),(2055,1383.71),(2056,1362.23),(2057,1342.98),(2058,1325.69),(2059 ,1310.03),(2060,1295.68),(2061,1282.28),(2062,1269.52),(2063,1257.12),(2064 ,1244.82),(2065,1232.39),(2066,1219.62),(2067,1206.36),(2068,1192.45),(2069 ,1177.78),(2070,1162.23),(2071,1145.74),(2072,1128.25),(2073,1109.71),(2074 ,1090.12),(2075,1069.47),(2076,1047.78),(2077,1025.09),(2078,1001.45),(2079 ,976.929),(2080,951.611),(2081,925.587),(2082,898.96),(2083,871.837),(2084 ,844.332),(2085,816.56),(2086,788.637),(2087,760.675),(2088,732.784),(2089 ,705.067),(2090,677.624),(2091,650.543),(2092,623.906),(2093,597.787),(2094 ,572.25),(2095,547.351),(2096,523.135),(2097,499.642),(2098,476.902),(2099 ,454.936),(2100,433.76)) Units:MToe/Year (0877)"NetcoalextractiondeCastroPhD-ScenIII"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,1945.63),(1986,1995.96),(1987,2045.03),(1988,2092.89 ),(1989,2139.62),(1990,2185.28),(1991,2229.93),(1992,2273.61),(1993,2316.36 ),(1994,2358.19),(1995,2399.06),(1996,2438.96),(1997,2477.8),(1998,2515.5) ,(1999,2551.95),(2000,2587.03),(2001,2620.58),(2002,2652.48),(2003,2682.56 ),(2004,2710.7),(2005,2736.76),(2006,2760.66),(2007,2782.31),(2008,2801.7) ,(2009,2818.82),(2010,2833.73),(2011,2846.52),(2012,2857.31),(2013,2865.65 ),(2014,2871.1),(2015,2873.47),(2016,2871.23),(2017,2859.31),(2018,2837.16 ),(2019,2804.26),(2020,2760.86),(2021,2707.91),(2022,2646.88),(2023,2579.6 ),(2024,2508.07),(2025,2434.29),(2026,2360.07),(2027,2286.98),(2028,2216.23 ),(2029,2148.71),(2030,2084.94),(2031,2025.17),(2032,1969.39),(2033,1917.4



236

),(2034,1868.88),(2035,1823.41),(2036,1779.85),(2037,1737.75),(2038,1696.69 ),(2039,1656.32),(2040,1616.38),(2041,1576.69),(2042,1537.11),(2043,1497.56 ),(2044,1458),(2045,1418.41),(2046,1378.78),(2047,1339.14),(2048,1299.51), (2049,1259.91),(2050,1215.03),(2051,1164.71),(2052,1113.39),(2053,1062.05) ,(2054,1011.37),(2055,961.747),(2056,913.409),(2057,866.46),(2058,820.93), (2059,776.805),(2060,734.051),(2061,692.63),(2062,652.506),(2063,613.653), (2064,576.054),(2065,539.706),(2066,504.611),(2067,470.782),(2068,438.236) ,(2069,406.994),(2070,377.077),(2071,348.507),(2072,321.3),(2073,295.471), (2074,271.027),(2075,247.969),(2076,226.292),(2077,205.981),(2078,187.015) ,(2079,169.365),(2080,152.995),(2081,137.864),(2082,123.924),(2083,111.123 ),(2084,99.4056),(2085,88.714),(2086,78.9881),(2087,70.1672),(2088,62.1905 ),(2089,54.9978),(2090,48.5302),(2091,42.7303),(2092,37.5432),(2093,32.916 ),(2094,28.7988),(2095,25.1446),(2096,21.9093),(2097,19.0516),(2098,16.5334 ),(2099,14.3195),(2100,12.3777)) Units:MToe/Year (0878)"NetgasextractiondeCastroPhD-ScenI"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,1378.15),(1986,1422.43),(1987,1466.37),(1988,1509.97 ),(1989,1553.27),(1990,1596.27),(1991,1639),(1992,1681.45),(1993,1723.6),( 1994,1765.43),(1995,1806.88),(1996,1847.87),(1997,1888.31),(1998,1928.08), (1999,1967.04),(2000,2005.02),(2001,2041.85),(2002,2077.35),(2003,2111.34) ,(2004,2143.61),(2005,2174.01),(2006,2202.36),(2007,2228.55),(2008,2252.45 ),(2009,2274),(2010,2293.18),(2011,2310),(2012,2324.5),(2013,2336.78),(2014 ,2346.97),(2015,2355.23),(2016,2360.56),(2017,2358.93),(2018,2349.91),(2019 ,2333.02),(2020,2308.36),(2021,2276.56),(2022,2238.66),(2023,2196.02),(2024 ,2150.19),(2025,2102.72),(2026,2055.42),(2027,2009.48),(2028,1965.96),(2029 ,1925.6),(2030,1888.94),(2031,1856.22),(2032,1827.53),(2033,1802.76),(2034 ,1781.69),(2035,1764.05),(2036,1748.05),(2037,1733.15),(2038,1718.83),(2039 ,1704.69),(2040,1690.47),(2041,1676.02),(2042,1661.3),(2043,1646.32),(2044 ,1631.17),(2045,1615.96),(2046,1598.98),(2047,1581.36),(2048,1563.41),(2049 ,1545.42),(2050,1521.06),(2051,1491.54),(2052,1462.02),(2053,1433.79),(2054 ,1407.58),(2055,1383.71),(2056,1362.23),(2057,1342.98),(2058,1325.69),(2059 ,1310.03),(2060,1295.68),(2061,1282.28),(2062,1269.52),(2063,1257.12),(2064 ,1244.82),(2065,1232.39),(2066,1219.62),(2067,1206.36),(2068,1192.45),(2069 ,1177.78),(2070,1162.23),(2071,1145.74),(2072,1128.25),(2073,1109.71),(2074 ,1090.12),(2075,1069.47),(2076,1047.78),(2077,1025.09),(2078,1001.45),(2079 ,976.929),(2080,951.611),(2081,925.587),(2082,898.96),(2083,871.837),(2084 ,844.332),(2085,816.56),(2086,788.637),(2087,760.675),(2088,732.784),(2089 ,705.067),(2090,677.624),(2091,650.543),(2092,623.906),(2093,597.787),(2094 ,572.25),(2095,547.351),(2096,523.135),(2097,499.642),(2098,476.902),(2099 ,454.936),(2100,433.76)) Units:MToe/Year (0879)"NetgasextractiondeCastroPhD-ScenIII"(



237

[(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,1378.15),(1986,1422.43),(1987,1466.37),(1988,1509.97 ),(1989,1553.27),(1990,1596.27),(1991,1639),(1992,1681.45),(1993,1723.6),( 1994,1765.43),(1995,1806.88),(1996,1847.87),(1997,1888.31),(1998,1928.08), (1999,1967.04),(2000,2005.02),(2001,2041.85),(2002,2077.35),(2003,2111.34) ,(2004,2143.61),(2005,2174.01),(2006,2202.36),(2007,2228.55),(2008,2252.45 ),(2009,2274),(2010,2293.18),(2011,2310),(2012,2324.47),(2013,2336.18),(2014 ,2344.72),(2015,2349.88),(2016,2350.38),(2017,2342.04),(2018,2324.36),(2019 ,2296.96),(2020,2260.1),(2021,2214.64),(2022,2161.88),(2023,2103.47),(2024 ,2041.17),(2025,1976.72),(2026,1911.72),(2027,1847.53),(2028,1785.2),(2029 ,1725.49),(2030,1668.87),(2031,1615.53),(2032,1565.49),(2033,1518.59),(2034 ,1474.56),(2035,1433.08),(2036,1393.24),(2037,1354.7),(2038,1317.14),(2039 ,1280.29),(2040,1243.98),(2041,1208.07),(2042,1172.48),(2043,1137.16),(2044 ,1102.09),(2045,1067.27),(2046,1032.71),(2047,998.441),(2048,964.476),(2049 ,930.845),(2050,893.625),(2051,852.817),(2052,811.701),(2053,771.01),(2054 ,731.211),(2055,692.579),(2056,655.254),(2057,619.284),(2058,584.664),(2059 ,551.358),(2060,519.318),(2061,488.491),(2062,458.831),(2063,430.297),(2064 ,402.855),(2065,376.484),(2066,351.166),(2067,326.892),(2068,303.655),(2069 ,281.454),(2070,260.289),(2071,240.158),(2072,221.061),(2073,202.995),(2074 ,185.952),(2075,169.922),(2076,154.893),(2077,140.845),(2078,127.756),(2079 ,115.6),(2080,104.347),(2081,93.9612),(2082,84.4072),(2083,75.6455),(2084, 67.6349),(2085,60.3331),(2086,53.697),(2087,47.6834),(2088,42.2492),(2089, 37.3523),(2090,32.9516),(2091,29.0072),(2092,25.481),(2093,22.3367),(2094, 19.5399),(2095,17.0583),(2096,14.8618),(2097,12.922),(2098,11.2131),(2099, 9.71091),(2100,8.39349)) Units:MToe/Year (0880)"NetoilextractiondeCastroPhD-ScenI"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,2586.21),(1986,2657.24),(1987,2727.03),(1988,2795.64 ),(1989,2863.08),(1990,2929.39),(1991,2994.56),(1992,3058.58),(1993,3121.38 ),(1994,3182.87),(1995,3242.92),(1996,3301.35),(1997,3357.93),(1998,3412.41 ),(1999,3464.47),(2000,3513.79),(2001,3559.99),(2002,3602.72),(2003,3641.58 ),(2004,3676.21),(2005,3706.25),(2006,3731.41),(2007,3751.42),(2008,3766.07 ),(2009,3775.24),(2010,3778.86),(2011,3776.96),(2012,3769.61),(2013,3756.99 ),(2014,3739.31),(2015,3716.84),(2016,3688.03),(2017,3646.76),(2018,3592.8 ),(2019,3525.96),(2020,3446.96),(2021,3357.36),(2022,3259.3),(2023,3155.32 ),(2024,3048.04),(2025,2940),(2026,2833.9),(2027,2731.45),(2028,2633.99),( 2029,2542.41),(2030,2457.18),(2031,2378.41),(2032,2305.92),(2033,2239.3),( 2034,2178.03),(2035,2121.51),(2036,2067.41),(2037,2015.01),(2038,1963.69), (2039,1913.01),(2040,1862.72),(2041,1812.75),(2042,1763.12),(2043,1713.95) ,(2044,1665.41),(2045,1617.7),(2046,1569.24),(2047,1521.33),(2048,1474.43) ,(2049,1428.88),(2050,1378.91),(2051,1326.44),(2052,1276.28),(2053,1229.49 ),(2054,1186.64),(2055,1147.86),(2056,1113.07),(2057,1082.06),(2058,1054.53 ),(2059,1030.2),(2060,1008.79),(2061,990.086),(2062,973.882),(2063,960.031 ),(2064,948.419),(2065,938.964),(2066,931.608),(2067,926.306),(2068,923.025



238

),(2069,921.731),(2070,922.385),(2071,924.939),(2072,929.328),(2073,935.469 ),(2074,943.259),(2075,952.569),(2076,963.248),(2077,975.123),(2078,987.996 ),(2079,1001.65),(2080,1015.86),(2081,1030.38),(2082,1044.96),(2083,1059.33 ),(2084,1073.23),(2085,1086.43),(2086,1098.65),(2087,1109.67),(2088,1119.27 ),(2089,1127.24),(2090,1133.4),(2091,1137.59),(2092,1139.68),(2093,1139.56 ),(2094,1137.17),(2095,1132.46),(2096,1125.41),(2097,1116.04),(2098,1104.39 ),(2099,1090.55),(2100,1074.6)) Units:MToe/Year (0881)"NetoilextractiondeCastroPhD-ScenIII"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,2586.21),(1986,2657.24),(1987,2727.03),(1988,2795.64 ),(1989,2863.08),(1990,2929.39),(1991,2994.56),(1992,3058.58),(1993,3121.38 ),(1994,3182.87),(1995,3242.92),(1996,3301.35),(1997,3357.93),(1998,3412.41 ),(1999,3464.47),(2000,3513.79),(2001,3559.99),(2002,3602.72),(2003,3641.58 ),(2004,3676.21),(2005,3706.25),(2006,3731.41),(2007,3751.42),(2008,3766.07 ),(2009,3775.24),(2010,3778.86),(2011,3776.96),(2012,3769.56),(2013,3756.02 ),(2014,3735.73),(2015,3708.45),(2016,3672.29),(2017,3621.03),(2018,3554.53 ),(2019,3472.85),(2020,3377.15),(2021,3269.46),(2022,3152.43),(2023,3029.07 ),(2024,2902.39),(2025,2775.22),(2026,2649.98),(2027,2528.6),(2028,2412.5) ,(2029,2302.57),(2030,2199.24),(2031,2102.59),(2032,2012.4),(2033,1928.26) ,(2034,1849.64),(2035,1775.94),(2036,1705.9),(2037,1639),(2038,1574.79),(2039 ,1512.89),(2040,1453.04),(2041,1395.04),(2042,1338.77),(2043,1284.12),(2044 ,1231.05),(2045,1179.51),(2046,1129.49),(2047,1080.95),(2048,1033.89),(2049 ,988.283),(2050,939.916),(2051,888.983),(2052,838.921),(2053,790.425),(2054 ,743.889),(2055,699.498),(2056,657.297),(2057,617.242),(2058,579.24),(2059 ,543.177),(2060,508.93),(2061,476.381),(2062,445.423),(2063,415.961),(2064 ,387.915),(2065,361.216),(2066,335.808),(2067,311.643),(2068,288.683),(2069 ,266.895),(2070,246.251),(2071,226.726),(2072,208.297),(2073,190.943),(2074 ,174.638),(2075,159.36),(2076,145.082),(2077,131.775),(2078,119.409),(2079 ,107.95),(2080,97.3636),(2081,87.6112),(2082,78.6537),(2083,70.4503),(2084 ,62.9592),(2085,56.1382),(2086,49.9448),(2087,44.3368),(2088,39.2727),(2089 ,34.7122),(2090,30.6158),(2091,26.9459),(2092,23.6663),(2093,20.743),(2094 ,18.1435),(2095,15.8376),(2096,13.797),(2097,11.9953),(2098,10.4082),(2099 ,9.01332),(2100,7.79015)) Units:MToe/Year (0882)newbateries[scenarios]= 0.9*"bateriesEV+hib+2wE"[scenarios]*(1-("bateriesEV+hib+2wE"[scenarios] /desirednumberofbateries[scenarios])) Units:**undefined** (0883)"newBioEresiduesforheat+elec"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<"startyearBioEresiduesforheat+elec"[scenarios],0,



239

IFTHENELSE(Time<"startyearBioEresiduesforheat+elec" [scenarios]+5,startproductionbiofuels(Time-"startyearBioEresiduesforheat+elec" [scenarios])*EJperktoe, "PbioEresiduesforheat+elec"[scenarios]*"PEbioEresiduesforheat+elecEJ" [scenarios]*"BioEresiduesforheat+elecavailable" [scenarios])) Units:EJ/(Year*Year) BioEresiduesusedforheatandelectricity.(0884)newbiofuels2genlandcompet[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(checkliquids[scenarios]<0,"constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?" [scenarios]*Landcompetbiofuels2genMha[scenarios], MAX(Annual additional historic land use biofuels 2gen[scenarios]+adapt growthbiofuels2gen [scenarios] *Landcompetbiofuels2genMha[scenarios]*Biofuelslandcompetavailable[ scenarios],0)) Units:MHa/Year Newlanddedicatedtobiofuels2ndgenerationinlandcompeting withotheruses.(0885)newbiofuelslandmarg[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<startyearbiofuelslandmarg[scenarios],0, IF THEN ELSE(Time<start year biofuels land marg[scenarios]+5, start productionbiofuels (Time-startyearbiofuelslandmarg[scenarios])*EJperktoe, IFTHENELSE(checkliquids[scenarios]<0,"constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?" [scenarios]*PotentialPEavailbiofuelslandmargEJ[scenarios], adaptgrowthbiofuels2gen[scenarios]*BioEgenlandmargavailable[scenarios ]*PotentialPEavailbiofuelslandmargEJ[scenarios]))) Units:EJ/Year Newannualproductionfrombiofuelsinmarginallands.EJper ktoe[scenarios](0886)newCGtC[scenarios]= CarbonemissionsGtC[scenarios] Units:GtC/Year Annualcarbonemissions.(0887)newcapunderconstructionnuclear[scenarios]= MAX(0,plannedcapacitynuclearTW[scenarios]/timeplanificationnuclear) Units:TW NewcapacityunderconstructionofRESforelectricity generation.



240

(0888)newcapunderconstructionRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= MAX(0,plannedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]/timeplanificationRESelec [RESelec]) Units:TW NewcapacityunderconstructionofRESforelectricity generation.(0889)newcapacityinstalledgrowthrateRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(installedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]<=0,0,newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW [RESelec,scenarios]/installedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]) Units:Dmnl (0890)newcapacityinstallednuclear[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2013,(HistoricnucleargenerationTWh(Time+1)-HistoricnucleargenerationTWh (Time)) *TWeperTWh/Cpnuclear[scenarios],capacityinconstructionnuclearTW[scenarios ]/timeconstructionnuclear) Units:TW Newcapacityinstalledofnuclearpower.(0891)newcapacityinstalledonshorewindTW[scenarios]= newcapunderconstructionRESelec[windonshore,scenarios] Units:TW (0892)newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]= capacityinconstructionRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]/timeconstructionRESelec [RESelec] Units:TW NewcapacityinstalledperREStechnologyforelectricity generation.(0893)newcellulosicbiofuels[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<startyearcellulosicbiofuels[scenarios],0, IF THEN ELSE(Time<start year cellulosic biofuels[scenarios]+5, start productionbiofuels (Time-startyearcellulosicbiofuels [scenarios])*EJperktoe, IFTHENELSE(checkliquids[scenarios]<0,"constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?" [scenarios]*PotentialPEcellulosicbiofuelEJ[scenarios ], Pcellulosicbiofuels[scenarios]*PotentialPEcellulosicbiofuelEJ[scenarios



241

]*Cellulosicbiofuelsavailable[scenarios]))) Units:EJ/Year NewannualproductionofcellulosicbiofuelsfrombioEresidues.(0894)newPESbiogas[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,(HistoricbiogasPES(Time+1)-HistoricbiogasPES( Time)),((maxbiogasEJ[scenarios]-PESBiogasEJ[ scenarios])/maxbiogasEJ[scenarios])*adaptgrowthbiogas[scenarios]*PESBiogasEJ [scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year Newannualprimaryenergysupplyofbiogas.(0895)newplannedcapacitynuclear[scenarios]= MAX(0, IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,0, IFTHENELSE(DemandElecNRETWh[scenarios]=0,0,installedcapacitynuclearTW [scenarios]*Pnuclearelecgen [scenarios])))*effectsshortageuranium[scenarios]*Cplimitnuclear[scenarios ] Units:TW Newplannedcapacityofnuclearpowerplants.(0896)newplannedcapacityRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<(2014-"totaltimeplan+constrRESelec"[RESelec]),HistoricnewplannedcapacityRESelec [RESelec],installedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]*adaptgrowthRESelecafterallocation [RESelec,scenarios]*remainingpotentialconstraintonnewRESeleccapacity [RESelec,scenarios]*abundanceRESelec2[scenarios]) Units:TW NewplannedcapacityofREStechnologiesforelectricity generation.Weassume100%oftheplannedinfraestructureis constructed(0897)"newREScapacityforheat-comTW0"[RESheat,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2013,"HistoricREScapacityforheat-com0"[RESheat]( Time+1)-"HistoricREScapacityforheat-com0"[RESheat](Time),adaptgrowthRESforheat0 [RESheat,scenarios]*installedcapacityRESheatTW0[RESheat,scenarios]* remainingpotentialconstraintonnewRESheatcapacity0 [RESheat,scenarios])*abundanceRESheat20[scenarios] Units:TW/Year NewannualinstalledcapacityofREStechnologiesforheat.



242

(0898)"newREScapacityforheat-comTW"[RESheat,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2013,"HistoricREScapacityforheat-com"[RESheat](Time +1)-"HistoricREScapacityforheat-com"[RESheat](Time),"adaptgrowthRESforheat-com" [RESheat,scenarios]*"installedcapacityRESheat-comTW"[RESheat,scenarios ]*remainingpotentialconstraintonnewRESheatcapacity [RESheat,scenarios])*"abundanceRESheat-com2"[scenarios] Units:TW/Year NewannualinstalledcapacityofREStechnologiesforcommercial heat.(0899)"newREScapacityforheat-ncTW"[RESheat,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2013,"HistoricREScapacityforheat-nc"[RESheat](Time +1)-"HistoricREScapacityforheat-nc"[RESheat ](Time),"adaptgrowthRESforheat-nc"[RESheat,scenarios]*"installedcapacityRESheat-ncTW" [RESheat,scenarios]*remainingpotentialconstraintonnewRESheatcapacity [RES heat,scenarios])*"abundance RES heat-nc2"[scenarios]*"Deactivate heat demcorrection?" Units:TW/Year NewannualinstalledcapacityofREStechnologiesfor non-commercialheat.(0900)newwastesupplyEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,(HistoricPESwasteEJ(Time+1)-HistoricPESwasteEJ (Time)), IFTHENELSE(maxwaste[scenarios]=0,PESwasteEJ[scenarios]*Pwastechange [scenarios], ((max waste[scenarios]-PES waste EJ[scenarios])/max waste[scenarios])*adaptgrowthwaste [scenarios]*PESwasteEJ[scenarios])) Units:EJ/Year Newannualwasteprimaryenergysupply.(0901)"Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ"[scenarios,finalsources]=INTEG ( "Annualvariationnon-energyuse"[scenarios,finalsources], "initialnon-energyuse"[finalsources]) Units:EJ Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuel(0902)"nuclearcapacityphase-out"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(selectionofnuclearscenario[scenarios]=4, IF THEN ELSE(Time<"start year nuclear growth scen3-4"[scenarios], 0 , "P nuclearscen3-4"



243

[scenarios]*installedcapacitynuclearTW[scenarios]),0) Units:TW Annualnuclearcapacityphase-out(Scenario4fornuclear evolution).(0903)nuclearovercapacity[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(potentialgenerationnuclearelecTWh[scenarios]=0,0, (potentialgenerationnuclearelecTWh[scenarios]-FEnuclearElecgenerationTWh [scenarios])/potentialgenerationnuclearelecTWh[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Overcapacityofnuclearpowertakingintoaccounttheinstalled capacityandtherealgeneration.(0904)Number2w[scenarios]= Number vehicles H[scenarios,liq 2wheels]+Number vehicles H[scenarios,elec2wheels ] Units:**undefined** totalnumberof2wvehicleshousehols(0905)Number4w[scenarios]= NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,liq4wheels]+NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,hib4wheels ]+NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,elec4wheels]+NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,gas4wheels ] Units:**undefined** agregatednumberof4wvehicles(0906)Numberall[scenarios]= Number2w[scenarios]+Number4w[scenarios] Units:**undefined** (0907)NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,Householdsvehicles]= ratio N veh Demand H*Household demand total[scenarios]*1e+006*percents Hvehicles [scenarios,Householdsvehicles] Units:Mvehicles Estimatednumberofhouseholdsvehiclesasumingconstantretios ofvehiclesperhouseholdsdemand(0908)NXbusinlandT= (Nvehiclesinlandt0[busliq]+Nvehiclesinlandt0[bushib]+Nvehiclesinlandt0 [busgas]+Nvehiclesinlandt0[buselec])/initialXtinland Units:Mvehicles/Mdollar numberofvehiclesperunitofeconomicactivity(e6dollars)



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initialvaluesintheyearofinitialpolicy(default2015)(0909)NXHVinlandT= (Nvehiclesinlandt0[HVliq]+Nvehiclesinlandt0[HVhib]+Nvehiclesinlandt0 [HVgas])/initialXtinland Units:Mvehicles/Mdollar numberofvehiclesperunitofeconomicactivity(e6dollars) initialvaluesintheyearofinitialpolicy(default2015)(0910)NXLVinlandT= (Nvehiclesinlandt0[LVliq]+Nvehiclesinlandt0[LVelec]+Nvehiclesinlandt0 [LVhib]+Nvehiclesinlandt0[LVgas])/initialXtinland Units:Mvehicles/Mdollar numberofvehiclesperunitofeconomicactivity(e6dollars) initialvaluesintheyearofinitialpolicy(default2015)(0911)NXtraininlandT= 1/initialXtinland Units:Mvehicles/Mdollar nonumberoftrainsfoundindata,assumethenumberoftrains is1(0912)NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[HVliq]= NXHVinlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[HVhib]= NXHVinlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[HVgas]= NXHVinlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[LVliq]= NXLVinlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[LVelec]= NXLVinlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[LVhib]= NXLVinlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[LVgas]= NXLVinlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[busliq]= NXbusinlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[bushib]= NXbusinlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[busgas]= NXbusinlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[trainliq]= NXtraininlandT



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NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[trainelec]= NXtraininlandT NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[buselec]= NXbusinlandT Units:**undefined** (0913)OilliquidssavedbybiofuelsEJ[scenarios]= FEStotalbiofuelsproductionEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Oilliquidssavedbybiofuels.(0914)OilrefinerygainsEJ[scenarios]= Oilrefinerygainsshare*PESoilEJdelayed[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Oilrefinerygains.(0915)Oilrefinerygainsshare= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C74') Units:Dmnl Weassumetheseenergygainsarereachedbyapplyingnaturalgas asenergyinput.Historically,theirsharehasbeengrowingin thelastdecades(1.9%in1980).WEO(2010)givesa2.8%forthe year2009andBP(2007)2.6%.Thevalue2.7%istaken.(0916)OilsavedbybiofuelsMtoe[scenarios]= OilliquidssavedbybiofuelsEJ[scenarios]*MToeperEJ Units:MToe Oilliquidssavedbybiofuels.(0917)oneyear= 1 Units:Year (0918)Othergasesrequired[scenarios]= +TransformationLossesEJ[scenarios,gases]+LossesEJ[scenarios,gases]+"Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ" [scenarios,gases] Units:EJ (0919)OtherGHGRadForcing:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','102','C104') Units:watt/(meter*meter) Source:baselinescenariofromDICE-2013R."Estimatesoffuture impactsofaerosolshaveprovenchallenging,andthecurrent



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modelusesestimatesfromthescenariospreparedfortheFifth AssessmentoftheIPCC.TheestimatesinDICE-2013Raredrawn fromtheguidanceforthe“RepresentativeConcentration Pathways"(RCPs,seehttp://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at:8787/RcpDb/ dsd?ction=htmlpage&page=compare).Thehighpathhas exceptionallyhighandunreasonableestimatesofmethane forcings.TheestimateshereusetheRCP6.0W/m2 representativescenario,whichismoreconsistentwiththeother scenariosandwithhistoricaltrends.Theseestimatenon-CO2 forcingsof0.25W/m2in2010and0.7W/m2in2100.Non-CO2 forcingsaresmallrelativetoestimatedCO2forcings,with6.5 W/m2offorcingsfromCO2in2100intheDICEbaseline projection."Nordhaus&Sztorc(2013).(0920)OtherliquidsrequiredEJ[scenarios]= LossesEJ[scenarios,liquids]+TransformationLossesEJ[scenarios,liquids]+ "Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ"[scenarios,liquids] Units:EJ (0921)OtherliquidssupplyEJ[scenarios]= Oil refinery gains EJ[scenarios]+"FES CTL+GTL EJ"[scenarios]+FES total biofuelsproductionEJ [scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Otherliquidsreferto:refinerygains,CTL,GTLandbiofuels.(0922)Othersolidsrequired[scenarios]= TransformationLossesEJ[scenarios,solids]+LossesEJ[scenarios,solids]+"Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ" [scenarios,solids] Units:EJ (0923)outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= realCpRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]*newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW[RESelec ,scenarios]*(1/TWeperTWh)*lifetimeRESelec[RESelec]*EJperTWh Units:EJ Totalelectricityoutputgeneratedoverthefulloperationof theinfrastructureofthenewcapacityinstalled.(0924)outputelecoverlifetimeRESelecforallocation[RESelec,scenarios ]= outputelecoverlifetimeRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]*remainingpotentialRESelecswitch [RESelec,scenarios]



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Units:EJ (0925)outputelecoverlifetimeRESelecforallocation2[RESelec,scenarios ]= "'static' EROIgrid RES elec"[RES elec,scenarios]*CEDtot over lifetime RES elec forallocation [RESelec,scenarios]*qualityofelectricity[scenarios] Units:**undefined** (0926)"overcapacityvs.intermittentRESpenetration0"[scenarios]= MAX(1,0.9599*EXP(0.8938*SharevariableRESelecvstotalgenerationdelayed1yr [scenarios])) Units:Dmnl Totalovercapacityvs.intermittentRESpenetrationin electricitygeneration.(0927)overdemandelectot[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(EROIpoutotelec[scenarios]>1.1,1/(EROIpoutotelec[scenarios ]-1),5) Units:Dmnl OverdemandduetoEROIpouoftheelectricitysector.Notethat iftheEROIoftheelectricalsystemishigherthanintheyear 2015,theoverdemandisnegative,i.e.lesselectricitythanthe initialestimateddemandisrequired.(0928)overdemandelectotuntil2015[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,overdemandelectot[scenarios],aux2[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl OverdemandduetoEROIpouoftheelectricitysectoruntilthe year2015.(0929)P2wE2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C180') P2wE2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C180') P2wE2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C180') P2wE2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C180') P2wE2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C180') P2wE2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C180') Units:Dmnl



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Desiredpercentofelectrical2wheelersin2050ourofTOTAL2 WHEELvehicles(0930)PannualGDPgrowthrate[BAU]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','BAU','3','E4') PannualGDPgrowthrate[SCEN1]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','3','E4') PannualGDPgrowthrate[SCEN2]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','3','E4') PannualGDPgrowthrate[SCEN3]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','3','E4') PannualGDPgrowthrate[SCEN4]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','3','E4') PannualGDPgrowthrate[Userdefined]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','3','E4') Units:Dmnl ExogenousannualGDPgrowthratefrom2015.(0931)"PbioEresiduesforheat+elec"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C46') "PbioEresiduesforheat+elec"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C46') "PbioEresiduesforheat+elec"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C46') "PbioEresiduesforheat+elec"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C46') "PbioEresiduesforheat+elec"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C46') "PbioEresiduesforheat+elec"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C46') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinenergyoutputdemanddependingonthepolicyof thescenario.(0932)Pbiofuels2gen[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C40') Pbiofuels2gen[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C40') Pbiofuels2gen[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C40') Pbiofuels2gen[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C40') Pbiofuels2gen[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C40')



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Pbiofuels2gen[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C40') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinenergyoutputdemanddependingonthepolicyof thescenario.(0933)Pbiofuels3gen[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C42') Pbiofuels3gen[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C42') Pbiofuels3gen[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C42') Pbiofuels3gen[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C42') Pbiofuels3gen[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C42') Pbiofuels3gen[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C42') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinenergyoutputdemanddependingonthepolicyof thescenario.(0934)Pbuselec2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C188') Pbuselec2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C188') Pbuselec2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C188') Pbuselec2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C188') Pbuselec2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C188') Pbuselec2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C188') Units:**undefined** Policyofchangeofbus.Percentofbuselectricin2050 relativetothetotalofbus(0935)Pbusgas2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C190') Pbusgas2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C190') Pbusgas2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C190')



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Pbusgas2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C190') Pbusgas2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C190') Pbusgas2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C190') Units:**undefined** Policyofchangeofbus.Percentofbusgasin2050relativeto thetotalofbus(0936)Pbushib2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C189') Pbushib2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C189') Pbushib2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C189') Pbushib2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C189') Pbushib2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C189') Pbushib2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C189') Units:**undefined** Policyofchangeofbus.Percentofbushibridin2050relative tothetotalofbus(0937)Pcellulosicbiofuels[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C49') Pcellulosicbiofuels[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C49') Pcellulosicbiofuels[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C49') Pcellulosicbiofuels[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C49') Pcellulosicbiofuels[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C49') Pcellulosicbiofuels[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C49') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinenergyoutputdemanddependingonthepolicyof thescenario.(0938)Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvgas[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C96')



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Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvgas[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C96') Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvgas[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C96') Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvgas[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C96') Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvgas[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C96') Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvgas[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C96') Units:Dmnl Constantconstrainttoannualextractionofunconventionalgas.(0939)Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvoil[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C80') Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvoil[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C80') Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvoil[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C80') Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvoil[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C80') Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvoil[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C80') Pconstraintgrowthextractionunconvoil[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C80') Units:Dmnl Constantconstrainttoannualextractionofunconventionaloil.(0940)PCSPgrowth[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','G38') PCSPgrowth[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','G38') PCSPgrowth[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','G38') PCSPgrowth[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','G38') PCSPgrowth[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','G38') PCSPgrowth[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','G38') Units:Dmnl Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0941)PCTL[BAU]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C110') PCTL[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C110') PCTL[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C110') PCTL[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C110') PCTL[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C110') PCTL[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C110') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinenergyoutputdemanddependingonthepolicyof thescenario.(0942)PEV2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C177') PEV2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C177') PEV2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C177') PEV2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C177') PEV2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C177') PEV2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C177') Units:Dmnl Desiredpercentofelectricalvehicles(4wheelers)in2050our ofTOTAL4WHEELvehicles(0943)Pgas2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C179') Pgas2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C179') Pgas2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C179') Pgas2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C179') Pgas2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C179') Pgas2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C179') Units:Dmnl



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Desiredpercentofgasvehicles(4wheelers)in2050ourof TOTAL4WHEELvehicles(0944)Pgeotgrowth[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C33') Pgeotgrowth[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C33') Pgeotgrowth[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C33') Pgeotgrowth[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C33') Pgeotgrowth[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C33') Pgeotgrowth[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C33') Units:Dmnl Annualgrowthinrelationtopastgrowthtrends.(0945)Pgeothermalforheat[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F58') Pgeothermalforheat[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F58') Pgeothermalforheat[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F58') Pgeothermalforheat[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F58') Pgeothermalforheat[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F58') Pgeothermalforheat[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F58') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0946)Pgeothermalforheat0[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F58') Pgeothermalforheat0[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F58') Pgeothermalforheat0[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F58') Pgeothermalforheat0[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F58') Pgeothermalforheat0[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F58') Pgeothermalforheat0[Userdefined]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F58') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0947)Pgrowthpop[BAU]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','BAU','7','A8') Pgrowthpop[SCEN1]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','7','A8') Pgrowthpop[SCEN2]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','7','A8') Pgrowthpop[SCEN3]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','7','A8') Pgrowthpop[SCEN4]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','7','A8') Pgrowthpop[Userdefined]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','7','A8') Units:1/Year Annualpopulationgrowth.(0948)PGTL[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C112') PGTL[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C112') PGTL[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C112') PGTL[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C112') PGTL[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C112') PGTL[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C112') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinenergyoutputdemanddependingonthepolicyof thescenario.(0949)PHvehicle2050[scenarios,liq4wheels]= (1-Pshare2wheelers2050[scenarios])*(-PEV2050[scenarios]-Pgas2050[ scenarios]-Phib2050[scenarios]) PHvehicle2050[scenarios,elec4wheels]= PEV2050[scenarios]*(1-Pshare2wheelers2050[scenarios]) PHvehicle2050[scenarios,hib4wheels]= Phib2050[scenarios]*(1-Pshare2wheelers2050[scenarios]) PHvehicle2050[scenarios,gas4wheels]= Pgas2050[scenarios]*(1-Pshare2wheelers2050[scenarios])



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PHvehicle2050[scenarios,liq2wheels]= Pshare2wheelers2050[scenarios]*(1-P2wE2050[scenarios]) PHvehicle2050[scenarios,elec2wheels]= Pshare2wheelers2050[scenarios]*P2wE2050[scenarios] Units:Dmnl desiredpercentofvehiclesfromeachtypein2050.Theseare percentagesrelativesTOTHETOTALAMOUNTOFVEHICLES(2 wheelers+4wheelers).(0950)Phib2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C178') Phib2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C178') Phib2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C178') Phib2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C178') Phib2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C178') Phib2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C178') Units:Dmnl Desiredpercentofhibridvehicles(4wheelers)in2050ourof TOTAL4WHEELvehicles(0951)PHVgas2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C184') PHVgas2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C184') PHVgas2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C184') PHVgas2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C184') PHVgas2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C184') PHVgas2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C184') Units:**undefined** Policyofchangeofheavyvehicles.PercentofHVgasin2050 relativetothetotalofHV(0952)PHVhib2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C183') PHVhib2050[SCEN1]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C183') PHVhib2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C183') PHVhib2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C183') PHVhib2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C183') PHVhib2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C183') Units:**undefined** Policyofchangeofheavyvehicles.PercentofHVhibridin2050 relativetothetotalofHV(0953)Phydrogrowth[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C32') Phydrogrowth[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C32') Phydrogrowth[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C32') Phydrogrowth[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C32') Phydrogrowth[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C32') Phydrogrowth[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C32') Units:Dmnl Annualgrowthinrelationtopastgrowthtrends.(0954)PinlandT2050[scenarios,HVliq]= -PHVgas2050[scenarios]-PHVhib2050[scenarios] PinlandT2050[scenarios,HVhib]= PHVhib2050[scenarios] PinlandT2050[scenarios,HVgas]= PHVgas2050[scenarios] PinlandT2050[scenarios,LVliq]= -PLVelec2050[scenarios]-PLVhib2050[scenarios]-PLVgas2050[scenarios ] PinlandT2050[scenarios,LVelec]= PLVelec2050[scenarios] PinlandT2050[scenarios,LVgas]= PLVgas2050[scenarios] PinlandT2050[scenarios,busliq]= -Pbushib2050[scenarios]-Pbusgas2050[scenarios]-Pbuselec2050[scenarios ]



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PinlandT2050[scenarios,buselec]= Pbuselec2050[scenarios] PinlandT2050[scenarios,bushib]= Pbushib2050[scenarios] PinlandT2050[scenarios,busgas]= Pbusgas2050[scenarios] PinlandT2050[scenarios,trainliq]= -Ptrainelec2050[scenarios] PinlandT2050[scenarios,trainelec]= Ptrainelec2050[scenarios] PinlandT2050[scenarios,LVhib]= PLVhib2050[scenarios] Units:Dmnl Desiredpercenteachtipeofinlandtransportvehiclein2015, Liquidspoliciesareobtainedbysubstractingtherestof vehicles,becarefulnottosurpass1%(0955)Plabourshare[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C4') Plabourshare[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C4') Plabourshare[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C4') Plabourshare[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C4') Plabourshare[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C4') Plabourshare[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C4') Units:Dmnl Variationoflabourshare.(0956)PLVelec2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C185') PLVelec2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C185') PLVelec2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C185') PLVelec2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C185') PLVelec2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C185') PLVelec2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C185')



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Units:**undefined** Policyofchangeoflightcargovehicles.PercentofLVelectric in2050relativetothetotalofLV(0957)PLVgas2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C187') PLVgas2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C187') PLVgas2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C187') PLVgas2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C187') PLVgas2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C187') PLVgas2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C187') Units:**undefined** Policyofchangeoflightcargovehicles.PercentofLVgasin 2050relativetothetotalofLV(0958)PLVhib2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C186') PLVhib2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C186') PLVhib2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C186') PLVhib2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C186') PLVhib2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C186') PLVhib2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C186') Units:**undefined** Policyofchangeoflightcargovehicles.PercentofLVhibrid in2050relativetothetotalofLV(0959)"Pnuclear2-3"= 1 Units:Dmnl SiP_nuclear=0-->escenario2.P_nuclear=1-->escenario3 (PLEX)(0960)Pnuclearelecgen[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(selectionofnuclearscenario[scenarios]=1,0,



259

IFTHENELSE(selectionofnuclearscenario[scenarios]=2,0, IFTHENELSE(selectionofnuclearscenario[scenarios]=4,0, IFTHENELSE(selectionofnuclearscenario[scenarios]=3, IF THEN ELSE(Time<"start year nuclear growth scen3-4"[scenarios], 0 , "P nuclearscen3-4" [scenarios]) ,0)))) Units:1/Year Annualincreaseofnewplannednuclearcapacity.(0961)Pnuclearscen1= 0 Units:Dmnl SiP_nuclear_1=0-->escenario1.P_nuclear_1=1-->permito losescenarios2y3(PLEX)(0962)"Pnuclearscen3-4"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F22') "Pnuclearscen3-4"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F22') "Pnuclearscen3-4"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F22') "Pnuclearscen3-4"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F22') "Pnuclearscen3-4"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F22') "Pnuclearscen3-4"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F22') Units:1/Year Annualvariation(growthorphase-out)ofnewnuclearpower plants(scenarios3and4ofnuclearevolution)fromtheyear "startyearnucleargrowthscen3-4".(0963)Poceanicgrowth[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C35') Poceanicgrowth[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C35') Poceanicgrowth[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C35') Poceanicgrowth[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C35') Poceanicgrowth[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C35') Poceanicgrowth[Userdefined]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C35') Units:Dmnl Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0964)Precyclingmineralsalttechn[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C17') Precyclingmineralsalttechn[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C17') Precyclingmineralsalttechn[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C17') Precyclingmineralsalttechn[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C17') Precyclingmineralsalttechn[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C17') Precyclingmineralsalttechn[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C17') Units:Dmnl Annualrecyclingrateimprovementpermineralforalternative technologies(RESelec&EVbatteries).(0965)PrecyclingmineralsRest[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C16') PrecyclingmineralsRest[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C16') PrecyclingmineralsRest[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C16') PrecyclingmineralsRest[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C16') PrecyclingmineralsRest[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C16') PrecyclingmineralsRest[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C16') Units:Dmnl Annualrecyclingrateimprovementpermineralfortherestof theeconomy.(0966)PRESelecgrowth[hydro,scenarios]= Phydrogrowth[scenarios] PRESelecgrowth["geot-elec",scenarios]= Pgeotgrowth[scenarios] PRESelecgrowth["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]= "PsolidbioE-elecgrowth"[scenarios] PRESelecgrowth[oceanic,scenarios]= Poceanicgrowth[scenarios]



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PRESelecgrowth[windonshore,scenarios]= Pwindonshoregrowth[scenarios] PRESelecgrowth[windoffshore,scenarios]= Pwindoffshoregrowth[scenarios] PRESelecgrowth[solarPV,scenarios]= PsolarPVgrowth[scenarios] PRESelecgrowth[CSP,scenarios]= PCSPgrowth[scenarios] Units:**undefined** Forhydro,geot-elecandsolidbioenergythisvariable representstheprojectedannualgrowthinrelationtopast growthtrends,fortherestofRESelec(oceanic,wind&solar), itrepresentstheannualgrowthinrelationtotheexisting installedcapacity.(0967)PRESforheat["solar-heat",scenarios]= Psolarforheat[scenarios] PRESforheat["geot-heat",scenarios]= Pgeothermalforheat[scenarios] PRESforheat["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]= PsolidbioEforheat[scenarios] Units:1/Year AnnualgrowthinRESsupplyforheatdependingonthepolicyof thescenario.(0968)PRESforheat0["solar-heat",scenarios]= Psolarforheat0[scenarios] PRESforheat0["geot-heat",scenarios]= Pgeothermalforheat0[scenarios] PRESforheat0["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]= PsolidbioEforheat0[scenarios] Units:1/Year AnnualgrowthinRESsupplyforheatdependingonthepolicyof thescenario.(0969)Pshare2wheelers2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C181') Pshare2wheelers2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C181') Pshare2wheelers2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C181') Pshare2wheelers2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C181') Pshare2wheelers2050[SCEN4]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C181') Pshare2wheelers2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C181') Units:Dmnl desiredpercentofall2WHEELSvehiclesin2050relativeto total2w+4w,initialvaluein2015is0.34(0970)Psolarforheat[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F57') Psolarforheat[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F57') Psolarforheat[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F57') Psolarforheat[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F57') Psolarforheat[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F57') Psolarforheat[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F57') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0971)Psolarforheat0[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F57') Psolarforheat0[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F57') Psolarforheat0[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F57') Psolarforheat0[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F57') Psolarforheat0[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F57') Psolarforheat0[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F57') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0972)PsolarPVgrowth[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C38') PsolarPVgrowth[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C38') PsolarPVgrowth[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C38') PsolarPVgrowth[SCEN3]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C38') PsolarPVgrowth[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C38') PsolarPVgrowth[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C38') Units:Dmnl Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0973)PsolidbioEforheat[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F59') PsolidbioEforheat[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F59') PsolidbioEforheat[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F59') PsolidbioEforheat[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F59') PsolidbioEforheat[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F59') PsolidbioEforheat[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F59') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0974)PsolidbioEforheat0[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F59') PsolidbioEforheat0[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F59') PsolidbioEforheat0[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F59') PsolidbioEforheat0[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F59') PsolidbioEforheat0[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F59') PsolidbioEforheat0[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F59') Units:1/Year Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0975)"PsolidbioE-elecgrowth"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C34') "PsolidbioE-elecgrowth"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C34') "PsolidbioE-elecgrowth"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C34')



264

"PsolidbioE-elecgrowth"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C34') "PsolidbioE-elecgrowth"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C34') "PsolidbioE-elecgrowth"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C34') Units:Dmnl Annualgrowthinrelationtopastgrowthtrends.(0976)Ptrainelec2050[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C191') Ptrainelec2050[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C191') Ptrainelec2050[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C191') Ptrainelec2050[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C191') Ptrainelec2050[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C191') Ptrainelec2050[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C191') Units:**undefined** Policyofchangeoftrains.Percentoftrainelectricin2050 relativetothetotaloftrains(0977)Pwastechange[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C11') Pwastechange[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C11') Pwastechange[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C11') Pwastechange[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C11') Pwastechange[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C11') Pwastechange[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C11') Units:1/Year AnnualPESgrowthdependingonthepolicyofthescenario.(0978)Pwindoffshoregrowth[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C37') Pwindoffshoregrowth[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C37')



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Pwindoffshoregrowth[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C37') Pwindoffshoregrowth[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C37') Pwindoffshoregrowth[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C37') Pwindoffshoregrowth[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C37') Units:Dmnl Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0979)Pwindonshoregrowth[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C36') Pwindonshoregrowth[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C36') Pwindonshoregrowth[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C36') Pwindonshoregrowth[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C36') Pwindonshoregrowth[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C36') Pwindonshoregrowth[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C36') Units:Dmnl Annualgrowthinrelationtotheexistinginstalledcapacity.(0980)pastbiofuels2gen= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C81') Units:1/Year Currentgrowthpatterns(1990-2015).(0981)pastbiogasgrowth= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','X231') Units:1/Year Currentgrowthpatterns.(0982)pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C85') pastRESeleccapacitygrowth["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C86') pastRESeleccapacitygrowth["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C87') pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C88')



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pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C89') pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C90') pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C91') pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C92') Units:1/Year Currentgrowthpatters.(0983)"pastRESgrowthforheat-com0"["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C101') "pastRESgrowthforheat-com0"["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C102') "pastRESgrowthforheat-com0"["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C103') Units:1/Year Historicannualaveragegrowth.(0984)"pastRESgrowthforheat-com"["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C101') "pastRESgrowthforheat-com"["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C102') "pastRESgrowthforheat-com"["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C103') Units:1/Year Historicannualaveragegrowth.(0985)"pastRESgrowthforheat-nc"["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C104') "pastRESgrowthforheat-nc"["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C105') "pastRESgrowthforheat-nc"["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C106') Units:1/Year Historicannualaveragegrowth.(0986)Pastwastegrowth= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','X218') Units:Dmnl PastgrowthinPESofwastesupply.(0987)"pctGFCFvsGFCF+HD"[scenarios,sectors]=



267

Grossfixedcapitalformation[scenarios,sectors]/(Grossfixedcapitalformation [scenarios,sectors]+Householddemand[scenarios,sectors]) Units:Dmnl ShareofGrossFixedCapitalFormationinfinaldemandby householdsandenterprises.(0988)PEbioEforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]= PErealgenerationRESelec["solidbioE-elec",scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Annualprimaryenergytogenerateelectricity(DirectEquivalent Method).(0989)"PEbioEresiduesforheat+elecEJ"[scenarios]=INTEG( "newBioEresiduesforheat+elec"[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ/Year TotalannualbioEresiduesproduction.(0990)PEbiofuelslandmargEJ[scenarios]= PEavailbiofuelslandmargEJ[scenarios]/ConvefficiencyfromNPPtobiofuels Units:**undefined** Totalannualprimaryenergybiomassforbiofuelproductionin marginallands.(0991)"PEbiofuelsprod2gen+3genEJ"[scenarios]= (PEavailbiofuels2genlandcompetEJ[scenarios]+PEavailbiofuels3genlandcompetEJ [scenarios])/ConvefficiencyfromNPPtobiofuels Units:EJ/Year Totalannualprimaryenergybiomassforbiofuelproduction(2nd and3rdgeneration)inmarginallands.(0992)PEbiomassforbiofuelsproductionEJ[scenarios]= PEbiofuels landmargEJ[scenarios]+PEcellulosicbiofuelEJ[scenarios]+"PEbiofuelsprod2gen+3genEJ" [scenarios ] Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergyofbiomassforbiofuelsproduction.(0993)PEBioWforElecgenerationMtoe[scenarios]= PErealgenerationRESelec["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]*MToeperEJ Units:MToe/Year Annualprimaryenergytogenerateelectricity(DirectEquivalent



268

Method).(0994)PEcellulosicbiofuelEJ[scenarios]= PotentialPEcellulosicbiofuelEJ[scenarios]*(1-sharebiofuelsovercapacity [scenarios]) Units:EJ Annualprimaryenergybiomassusedforcellulosicbiofuels.(0995)"PEcoalextractiondeCastroPhD-ScenII"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,2081.44),(1986,2135.51),(1987,2188.27),(1988,2239.78 ),(1989,2290.12),(1990,2339.37),(1991,2387.58),(1992,2434.81),(1993,2481.08 ),(1994,2526.43),(1995,2570.82),(1996,2614.21),(1997,2656.54),(1998,2697.73 ),(1999,2737.64),(2000,2776.16),(2001,2813.12),(2002,2848.39),(2003,2881.79 ),(2004,2913.19),(2005,2942.43),(2006,2970.14),(2007,2996.14),(2008,3020.47 ),(2009,3043.2),(2010,3064.45),(2011,3084.36),(2012,3103.16),(2013,3121.08 ),(2014,3138.41),(2015,3155.49),(2016,3171.11),(2017,3180.04),(2018,3181.73 ),(2019,3175.59),(2020,3161.8),(2021,3141.21),(2022,3115.28),(2023,3085.91 ),(2024,3055.2),(2025,3025.33),(2026,2998.72),(2027,2977.04),(2028,2961.66 ),(2029,2953.52),(2030,2953.18),(2031,2960.78),(2032,2976.17),(2033,2998.94 ),(2034,3028.5),(2035,3064.18),(2036,3101.34),(2037,3138.56),(2038,3174.51 ),(2039,3208.26),(2040,3239.24),(2041,3267.14),(2042,3291.87),(2043,3313.47 ),(2044,3332.03),(2045,3347.68),(2046,3360.5),(2047,3370.53),(2048,3377.77 ),(2049,3382.15),(2050,3369.61),(2051,3346.49),(2052,3321.23),(2053,3294.99 ),(2054,3268.1),(2055,3240.42),(2056,3211.63),(2057,3181.37),(2058,3149.3) ,(2059,3115.17),(2060,3078.78),(2061,3040.04),(2062,2998.94),(2063,2955.52 ),(2064,2909.85),(2065,2862.1),(2066,2812.42),(2067,2761.01),(2068,2708.07 ),(2069,2653.84),(2070,2598.53),(2071,2542.37),(2072,2485.58),(2073,2428.5 ),(2074,2374.08),(2075,2323.46),(2076,2276.45),(2077,2232.72),(2078,2191.9 ),(2079,2153.67),(2080,2117.71),(2081,2083.74),(2082,2051.52),(2083,2020.82 ),(2084,1991.45),(2085,1963.21),(2086,1935.96),(2087,1909.56),(2088,1883.85 ),(2089,1858.74),(2090,1834.13),(2091,1809.91),(2092,1786.01),(2093,1762.35 ),(2094,1738.88),(2095,1715.54),(2096,1692.29),(2097,1669.09),(2098,1645.91 ),(2099,1622.73),(2100,1599.53)) Units:MToe/Year Primaryenergy(Add"Energíaperdida"tothenetenergy extractionintheoriginalmodel).(0996)PEconsumptiontradbiomassref= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C57') Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergyconsumptionoftradbiomass.FromIEAbalances, 39.626EJwereconsumedasprimarysolidsbiofuelsforTFCin 2008.



269

(0997)PECSPforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]= PErealgenerationRESelec[CSP,scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Annualprimaryenergytogenerateelectricity(DirectEquivalent Method).(0998)PEdemandcoalElecplantsEJ[scenarios]= (FEdemandcoalElecplantsTWh[scenarios]/efficiencycoalforelectricity )*EJperTWh Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofcoal(EJ)forelectricityconsumption (includinggenerationlosses).(0999)PEdemandgasElecplantsEJ[scenarios]= (FEdemandgasElecplantsTWh[scenarios]/efficiencygasforelectricity) *EJperTWh Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofnaturalgas(EJ)forelectricity consumption(includinggenerationlosses).(1000)PEdemandoilElecplantsEJ[scenarios]= (FEdemandoilElecplantsTWh[scenarios]/efficiencyliquidsforelectricity )*EJperTWh Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofoil(EJ)forelectricgeneration (includinggenerationlosses).(1001)PEdemanduraniumEJ[scenarios]= potentialgenerationnuclearelecTWh[scenarios]*EJperTWh/efficiencyuraniumforelectricity Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofuraniumfornuclearpowergeneration.(1002)PEElecgenerationfromRESEJ[scenarios]= PEbioEforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]+"PEgeot-elecforElecgenerationEJ" [scenarios]+PEhydroforElecgenerationEJ [scenarios]+PE oceanic for Elec generation EJ[scenarios]+PE solar PV for ElecgenerationEJ [scenarios]+PECSPforElecgenerationEJ [scenarios]+PEonshorewindforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]+PEoffshorewindforElecgenerationEJ [scenarios]+PEStotbiogasforelec[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year PrimaryenergyfromRESelectricitygeneration.Forallsources



270

excepting"Bio"thefactor"REStofossilaccounting"isapplied fortheequivalentprimaryenergy.(1003)"PEgasextractiondeCastroPhD-ScenII"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,1511.25),(1986,1560.28),(1987,1609),(1988,1657.46), (1989,1705.67),(1990,1753.67),(1991,1801.48),(1992,1849.09),(1993,1896.51) ,(1994,1943.7),(1995,1990.62),(1996,2037.18),(1997,2083.29),(1998,2128.84) ,(1999,2173.66),(2000,2217.6),(2001,2260.46),(2002,2302.05),(2003,2342.18) ,(2004,2380.64),(2005,2417.18),(2006,2452.25),(2007,2485.65),(2008,2517.3) ,(2009,2547.21),(2010,2575.39),(2011,2601.9),(2012,2626.83),(2013,2650.34) ,(2014,2672.6),(2015,2693.85),(2016,2713.04),(2017,2725.69),(2018,2731.16) ,(2019,2728.82),(2020,2718.75),(2021,2701.64),(2022,2678.7),(2023,2651.58) ,(2024,2622.12),(2025,2592.25),(2026,2564.02),(2027,2538.98),(2028,2518.29 ),(2029,2502.75),(2030,2492.79),(2031,2488.48),(2032,2489.57),(2033,2495.59 ),(2034,2505.9),(2035,2519.76),(2036,2533.25),(2037,2544.98),(2038,2553.75 ),(2039,2558.7),(2040,2559.31),(2041,2555.33),(2042,2546.69),(2043,2533.45 ),(2044,2515.76),(2045,2493.79),(2046,2467.71),(2047,2437.67),(2048,2403.82 ),(2049,2366.26),(2050,2315.78),(2051,2256.66),(2052,2195.62),(2053,2133.79 ),(2054,2071.61),(2055,2009.2),(2056,1946.54),(2057,1883.58),(2058,1820.32 ),(2059,1756.81),(2060,1693.17),(2061,1629.56),(2062,1566.17),(2063,1503.21 ),(2064,1440.92),(2065,1379.52),(2066,1319.21),(2067,1260.2),(2068,1202.66 ),(2069,1146.75),(2070,1092.58),(2071,1040.26),(2072,989.855),(2073,941.438 ),(2074,895.994),(2075,853.858),(2076,814.762),(2077,778.406),(2078,744.501 ),(2079,712.786),(2080,683.028),(2081,655.029),(2082,628.61),(2083,603.618 ),(2084,579.92),(2085,557.398),(2086,535.948),(2087,515.482),(2088,495.919 ),(2089,477.189),(2090,459.233),(2091,441.995),(2092,425.428),(2093,409.491 ),(2094,394.147),(2095,379.364),(2096,365.113),(2097,351.369),(2098,338.109 ),(2099,325.314),(2100,312.966)) Units:MToe/Year Primaryenergy(Add"Energíaperdida"tothenetenergy extractionintheoriginalmodel).(1004)"PEgeot-elecforElecgenerationEJ"[scenarios]= PErealgenerationRESelec["geot-elec",scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Annualprimaryenergytogenerateelectricity(DirectEquivalent Method).(1005)PEhydroforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]= PErealgenerationRESelec[hydro,scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Annualprimaryenergytogenerateelectricity(DirectEquivalent Method).



271

(1006)PElossesBioEforElecEJ[scenarios]= PErealgenerationRESelec["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]-FEElecgenerationfrombioETWh [scenarios]*EJperTWh Units:EJ/Year (Primaryenergy)lossesduetotheproductionofelectricity fromsolidbioenergy.(1007)PElossesbiogasforelec[scenarios]= PEStotbiogasforelec[scenarios]-FESelecfrombiogasEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ (1008)PElossescoalforElecEJ[scenarios]= extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]*sharecoaldemforElec[scenarios]*(1-efficiencycoalforelectricity ) Units:EJ/Year (Primary)Energylossesinthegenerationofelectricityincoal powercentrals.(1009)PElossesconvgasforElecEJ[scenarios]= realextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]*"sharenat.gasdemforElec"[scenarios ]*(1-efficiencygasforelectricity) Units:EJ/Year (Primary)Energylossesinthegenerationofelectricityingas powercentrals.(1010)PElossesNREelecgeneration[scenarios]= PElossescoalforElecEJ[scenarios]+PElossesconvgasforElecEJ[scenarios ]+PElossesoilforElecEJ[scenarios]+PElossesuncongasforElecEJ[scenarios ]+PElossesuraniumforElecEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ Lossesforelectricitygenerationfromnon-renewableenergy resources.(1011)PElossesoilforElecEJ[scenarios]= PES oil EJ[scenarios]*share oil dem for Elec[scenarios]*(1-efficiency liquids forelectricity ) Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergylossesrelatedwithoilforelectricity generation.(1012)PElossesRESforelec[scenarios]=



272

PElossesBioEforElecEJ[scenarios]+PElossesbiogasforelec[scenarios ]+PElosseswasteforelec[scenarios] Units:EJ (1013)PElossesuncongasforElecEJ[scenarios]= realextractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios]*"sharenat.gasdemforElec"[scenarios ]*(1-efficiencygasforelectricity) Units:EJ/Year (Primary)Energylossesinthegenerationofelectricityingas powercentrals.(1014)PElossesuraniumforElecEJ[scenarios]= extractionuraniumEJ[scenarios]*(1-efficiencyuraniumforelectricity) Units:EJ/Year (Primary)Energylossesinthegenerationofelectricityin nuclearpowercentrals.(1015)PElosseswasteforelec[scenarios]= PEStotwasteforelec[scenarios]-FESelecfromwasteEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ (1016)PEoceanicforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]= PErealgenerationRESelec[oceanic,scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Annualprimaryenergytogenerateelectricity(DirectEquivalent Method).(1017)PEoffshorewindforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]= PErealgenerationRESelec[windoffshore,scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Annualprimaryenergytogenerateelectricity(DirectEquivalent Method).(1018)"PEoilextractiondeCastroPhD-ScenII"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,2853.6),(1986,2932.69),(1987,3010.55),(1988,3087.22 ),(1989,3162.74),(1990,3237.16),(1991,3310.47),(1992,3382.67),(1993,3453.7 ),(1994,3523.47),(1995,3591.83),(1996,3658.6),(1997,3723.55),(1998,3786.39 ),(1999,3846.79),(2000,3904.4),(2001,3958.81),(2002,4009.62),(2003,4056.42 ),(2004,4098.78),(2005,4136.27),(2006,4169.57),(2007,4198.24),(2008,4222.15 ),(2009,4241.19),(2010,4255.33),(2011,4264.62),(2012,4269.17),(2013,4269.15 ),(2014,4264.78),(2015,4256.34),(2016,4242.11),(2017,4215.12),(2018,4174.81 ),(2019,4120.76),(2020,4053.66),(2021,3975.16),(2022,3887.67),(2023,3794.08 ),(2024,3697.45),(2025,3600.71),(2026,3506.78),(2027,3417.66),(2028,3334.64 ),(2029,3258.44),(2030,3189.17),(2031,3126.44),(2032,3069.5),(2033,3017.29



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),(2034,2968.65),(2035,2922.37),(2036,2873.74),(2037,2821.48),(2038,2764.72 ),(2039,2703.17),(2040,2637.04),(2041,2566.93),(2042,2493.69),(2043,2418.33 ),(2044,2341.94),(2045,2265.58),(2046,2190.28),(2047,2116.99),(2048,2046.54 ),(2049,1979.65),(2050,1909.2),(2051,1839.5),(2052,1776.01),(2053,1719.36) ,(2054,1669.55),(2055,1626.19),(2056,1588.74),(2057,1556.59),(2058,1529.08 ),(2059,1505.57),(2060,1485.41),(2061,1467.99),(2062,1452.74),(2063,1439.12 ),(2064,1426.63),(2065,1414.83),(2066,1403.34),(2067,1391.81),(2068,1379.96 ),(2069,1367.57),(2070,1354.44),(2071,1340.44),(2072,1325.47),(2073,1309.44 ),(2074,1293.54),(2075,1278.69),(2076,1264.85),(2077,1251.89),(2078,1239.63 ),(2079,1227.89),(2080,1216.49),(2081,1205.3),(2082,1194.17),(2083,1182.97 ),(2084,1171.6),(2085,1159.95),(2086,1147.95),(2087,1135.52),(2088,1122.6) ,(2089,1109.14),(2090,1095.1),(2091,1080.45),(2092,1065.16),(2093,1049.24) ,(2094,1032.67),(2095,1015.47),(2096,997.651),(2097,979.238),(2098,960.264 ),(2099,940.765),(2100,920.786)) Units:MToe/Year Primaryenergy(Add"Energíaperdida"tothenetenergy extractionintheoriginalmodel).(1019)PEonshorewindforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]= PErealgenerationRESelec[windonshore,scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Annualprimaryenergytogenerateelectricity(DirectEquivalent Method).(1020)PErealgenerationRESelec[hydro,scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh[hydro,scenarios]*EJperTWh*REStofossilaccounting PErealgenerationRESelec["geot-elec",scenarios]= real generation RES elec TWh["geot-elec",scenarios]*EJ per TWh*RES to fossilaccounting PErealgenerationRESelec["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]= (realgenerationRESelecTWh["solidbioE-elec",scenarios]/efficiencyconversionbioEtoElec )*EJperTWh PErealgenerationRESelec[oceanic,scenarios]= real generation RES elec TWh[oceanic,scenarios]*EJ per TWh*RES to fossilaccounting PErealgenerationRESelec[windonshore,scenarios]= real generation RES elec TWh[wind onshore,scenarios]*EJ per TWh*RES to fossilaccounting PErealgenerationRESelec[windoffshore,scenarios]= real generation RES elec TWh[wind offshore,scenarios]*EJ per TWh*RES to fossilaccounting PErealgenerationRESelec[solarPV,scenarios]=



274

real generation RES elec TWh[solar PV,scenarios]*EJ per TWh*RES to fossilaccounting PErealgenerationRESelec[CSP,scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh[CSP,scenarios]*EJperTWh*REStofossilaccounting Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyofelectricityproductionofRES.(1021)PEsolarPVforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]= PErealgenerationRESelec[solarPV,scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Annualprimaryenergytogenerateelectricity(DirectEquivalent Method).(1022)"PEsupplyfromRESnon-elecwithouttradbioEEJ"[scenarios]= PEStotRESforheat[scenarios]+FEStotalbiofuelsproductionEJ[scenarios ]+PESbiogasforTFC[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergy(nonelectric)supplyfromRESwithout traditionalbiomass.(1023)"PEsupplyRESnon-ElecEJ"[scenarios]= "PEsupplyfromRESnon-elecwithouttradbioEEJ"[scenarios]+PEtraditionalbiomassEJdelayed1yr [scenarios]+LossesincharcoalplantsEJ Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergy(nonelectricity)fromRES,includingtraditional biomass.(1024)PEtraditionalbiomassEJ[scenarios]= Households final energy demand[scenarios,solids]*share trad biomass vs solids inhouseholds Units:EJ Annualprimaryenergyconsumptionoftraditionalbiomass.It alsoincludescharcoalandbiosolidsforsolids.(1025)PEtraditionalbiomassEJdelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( PEtraditionalbiomassEJ[scenarios],1,30) Units:EJ/Year Annualprimaryenergyconsumptionoftraditionalbiomass.It alsoincludescharcoalandbiosolidsforsolids.(1026)PEavailbiofuels2genlandcompetEJ[scenarios]= Potential PEavail biofuels 2gen land compet EJ[scenarios]*(1-share biofuelsovercapacity



275

[scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergyavailableofbiofuelsfromdedicatedcrops(2nd generation).(1027)PEavailbiofuels3genlandcompetEJ[scenarios]= PotentialPEavailbiofuelsprod3genEJ[scenarios]*(1-sharebiofuelsovercapacity [scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergyavailableofbiofuelsfromdedicatedcrops(3rd generation).(1028)PEavailbiofuelslandmargEJ[scenarios]= PotentialPEavailbiofuelslandmargEJ[scenarios]*(1-sharebiofuelsovercapacity [scenarios]) Units:EJ Totalannualbiofuelproductioninmarginallands.(1029)PEavailcellulosicbiofuelEJ[scenarios]= PEcellulosicbiofuelEJ[scenarios]*EfficiencybioEresiduestocellulosicliquids [scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Cellulosicbiofuelsproductionfrombioenergy-residues.(1030)PEDcoalEJ[scenarios]= MAX(0,PEDsolids[scenarios]-(PEtraditionalbiomassEJdelayed1yr[scenarios ]+PESpeatEJ+PESwasteforTFC[scenarios]+LossesincharcoalplantsEJ)) Units:EJ (1031)PEDcoalforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= FEDheatcoalCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]/efficiencyHeatcoalCHPplants Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofcoal(EJ)forCHPplants.(1032)PEDcoalforCTLEJ[scenarios]= CTLproduction[scenarios]/CTLefficiency Units:EJ/Year DemandofcoalforCTL.(1033)PEDcoalforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios]= FEDHeatcoalplantsEJ[scenarios]/efficiencycoalforheatplants Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofcoal(EJ)forheatconsumption (includinggenerationlosses).



276

(1034)"PEDcoalHeat-nc"[scenarios]= "TotalFEDNREHeat-nc"[scenarios]*"shareFEDcoalvsNREheat-nc"[scenarios ]/efficiencycoalforheatplants Units:EJ Primaryenergydemandheatnon-commercialtobecoveredbycoal. ItcorrespondstotheFEH(finalenergyuseforheat)metric whichincludesthedistributionandgenerationlosses(seeIEA, 2014).(1035)PEDcoalwithoutCTL[scenarios]= PEDcoalEJ[scenarios]-PEDcoalforCTLEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ TotaldemandofcoalwithoutCTL.(1036)PEDgasforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= FEDheatgasCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]/efficiencyHeatgasCHPplants Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofgas(EJ)forCHPplants.(1037)"PEDgasHeat-nc"[scenarios]= "TotalFEDNREHeat-nc"[scenarios]*"shareFEDgasvsNREheat-nc"[scenarios ]/efficiencygasesforheatplants Units:EJ Primaryenergydemandheatnon-commercialtobecoveredby naturalgas.ItcorrespondstotheFEH(finalenergyusefor heat)metricwhichincludesthedistributionandgeneration losses(seeIEA,2014).(1038)PEDgases[scenarios]= MAX(0,RequiredFEDbygas[scenarios]+"PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ"[scenarios ]+PEdemandgasElecplantsEJ[scenarios]+PEDgasesforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios ]+PEDgasforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]+"PEDgasHeat-nc"[scenarios]+Othergasesrequired [scenarios]+"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts"[scenarios,gases]) Units:EJ Primaryenergydemandtotalgases.(1039)PEDgasesforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios]= FEDHeatgasplantsEJ[scenarios]/efficiencygasesforheatplants Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofgas(EJ)forheatconsumption (includinggenerationlosses).(1040)PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios]=



277

MAX(0,RequiredFEDbyliquidsEJ[scenarios]+OtherliquidsrequiredEJ[scenarios ]+PEdemandoilElecplantsEJ[scenarios ]+PEDoilforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios]+PEDoilforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios ]+"PEDliquidsHeat-nc"[scenarios]+"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts" [scenarios,liquids]) Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandoftotalliquids.(1041)"PEDliquidsHeat-nc"[scenarios]= "TotalFEDNREHeat-nc"[scenarios]*"shareFEDliquidsvsNREheat-nc"[scenarios ]/efficiencyliquidsforheatplants Units:EJ Primaryenergydemandheatnon-commercialtobecoveredby liquids.ItcorrespondstotheFEH(finalenergyuseforheat) metricwhichincludesthedistributionandgenerationlosses (seeIEA,2014).(1042)"PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios]= MAX(0,PEDgases[scenarios]-PESbiogasforTFC[scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofnatural(fossil)gas.(1043)"PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ"[scenarios]= GTLproduction[scenarios]/GTLefficiency Units:EJ/Year DemandofgasforCTL.(1044)"PEDnat.gaswithoutGTL"[scenarios]= MAX(0,"PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios]-"PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ"[scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year TotaldemandofnaturalgaswithoutGTL.(1045)PEDNRELiquids[scenarios]= MAX(0,PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios]-FEStotalbiofuelsproductionEJ[scenarios ]) Units:EJ Primaryenergydemandofnon-renewableenergyfortheproduction ofliquids.(1046)PEDoilforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= FEDheatliquidsCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]/efficiencyHeatoilCHPplants Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofoil(EJ)forCHPplants.



278

(1047)PEDoilforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios]= FEDHeatliquidsplantsEJ[scenarios]/efficiencyliquidsforheatplants Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandofoil(EJ)forheatconsumption (includinggenerationlosses).(1048)PEDsolids[scenarios]= MAX(0,Required FED solids[scenarios]+PED coal forCTLEJ[scenarios]+PEdemandcoalElecplantsEJ [scenarios]+PEDcoalforHeatplantsEJ [scenarios]+PEDcoalforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]+"PEDcoalHeat-nc"[scenarios ]+Othersolidsrequired[scenarios]+"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts" [scenarios,solids]) Units:EJ Primaryenergydemandofsolids.(1049)PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]= MAX(0,PEDNRELiquids[scenarios]-"FESCTL+GTLEJ"[scenarios]-OilrefinerygainsEJ [scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year Primaryenergydemandoftotaloil(conventionaland unconventional).(1050)Peoplerelyingtradbiomassref= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C58') Units:people Peoplerelyingontraditionalbiomassin2008.WEO2010reportad thatin2008,2.5billionpeopleconsumed724Mtoeof traditionalbiomass.(1051)percent2w[scenarios]= percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq2wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios, elec2wheels] Units:**undefined** (1052)percent2wliq0= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B29') Units:**undefined** Percentof2wheelersofliquidsintheinitialyearofpolicy (2015default).percentsrelativetototalnumber4w+2wDEFAULT: 0.2712(1053)percent4w[scenarios]= percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,



279

hib4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec4wheels]+percentsHvehicles [scenarios,gas4wheels] Units:**undefined** (1054)percent4wliq0= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B25') Units:Dmnl Percentof4wheelersofliquidsintheinitialyearofpolicy (2015default).percentsrelativetototalnumber4w+2w0.658(1055)percentall[scenarios]= percent2w[scenarios]+percent4w[scenarios] Units:**undefined** (1056)percentHvehiclesinitial[liq4wheels]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B25') percentHvehiclesinitial[elec4wheels]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B26') percentHvehiclesinitial[hib4wheels]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B27') percentHvehiclesinitial[gas4wheels]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B28') percentHvehiclesinitial[liq2wheels]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B29') percentHvehiclesinitial[elec2wheels]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Transportation','B30') Units:Dmnl percentsintheyearofbeginingofpolicy(2015default)of vehcilesrelativetototal4w+2w:(1057)percentTvehicles[scenarios,vehicleT]=INTEG( varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,vehicleT], initialpercentTvehicles[vehicleT]) Units:**undefined** Percentsofinlandtransportvehicles,eachtyperelativetoits own:heavyvehicles(%liq+%hib+%gas)add1,lightvehicles (%liq+%elec+%gas+%hib)add1,bus(%liq+%elec+%gas+%hib)add1 andtrains((%liq+%elec)add1.(1058)percenttoshare= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C12') Units:Dmnl Conversionofpercenttoshare.



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(1059)percents2wHvehicles[scenarios,liq2wheels]= percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq2wheels]/(percentsHvehicles[scenarios ,elec2wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq2wheels]) percents2wHvehicles[scenarios,elec2wheels]= percentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec2wheels]/(percentsHvehicles[scenarios ,elec2wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq2wheels]) percents2wHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]= 0 percents2wHvehicles[scenarios,elec4wheels]= 0 percents2wHvehicles[scenarios,gas4wheels]= 0 percents2wHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels]= 0 Units:**undefined** Percentofelectrica2wheelerasapercentofONLYTWOWHEELERS(1060)percents4wHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]= percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]/(percentsHvehicles[scenarios ,elec4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels]+percentsHvehicles [scenarios,gas4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]) percents4wHvehicles[scenarios,elec4wheels]= percentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec4wheels]/(percentsHvehicles[scenarios ,elec4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels]+percentsHvehicles [scenarios,gas4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]) percents4wHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels]= percentsHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels]/(percentsHvehicles[scenarios ,elec4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels]+percentsHvehicles [scenarios,gas4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]) percents4wHvehicles[scenarios,gas4wheels]= percentsHvehicles[scenarios,gas4wheels]/(percentsHvehicles[scenarios ,elec4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels]+percentsHvehicles [scenarios,gas4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]) percents4wHvehicles[scenarios,liq2wheels]= 0 percents4wHvehicles[scenarios,elec2wheels]= 0 Units:**undefined** Percentofalternative4wheelersasapercentofONLY4WHEELERS(1061)percentsbus[scenarios,HVliq]= 0 percentsbus[scenarios,HVhib]= 0



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percentsbus[scenarios,HVgas]= 0 percentsbus[scenarios,LVliq]= 0 percentsbus[scenarios,LVelec]= 0 percentsbus[scenarios,LVgas]= 0 percentsbus[scenarios,busliq]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,busliq] percentsbus[scenarios,buselec]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,buselec] percentsbus[scenarios,bushib]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,bushib] percentsbus[scenarios,busgas]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,busgas] percentsbus[scenarios,trainliq]= 0 percentsbus[scenarios,trainelec]= 0 percentsbus[scenarios,LVhib]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,LVhib] Units:Dmnl percentsofbusofinlandtransportsectorrealtivetoall vehiclesofthistype.(1062)percentsbus0[scenarios,HVliq]= 0 percentsbus0[scenarios,HVhib]= 0 percentsbus0[scenarios,HVgas]= 0 percentsbus0[scenarios,LVliq]= 0 percentsbus0[scenarios,LVelec]= 0 percentsbus0[scenarios,LVgas]= 0 percentsbus0[scenarios,busliq]= 0 percentsbus0[scenarios,buselec]= 0 percentsbus0[scenarios,bushib]= 0



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percentsbus0[scenarios,busgas]= 0 percentsbus0[scenarios,trainliq]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,trainliq] percentsbus0[scenarios,trainelec]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,trainelec] percentsbus0[scenarios,LVhib]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,LVhib] Units:Dmnl percentsoftrainsofinlandtransportsectorrealtivetoall vehiclesofthistype.(1063)percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]=INTEG( varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels], 1-initial2wpercent) percentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec4wheels]=INTEG( varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec4wheels], 0) percentsHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels]=INTEG( varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels], 0) percentsHvehicles[scenarios,gas4wheels]=INTEG( varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,gas4wheels], 0) percentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq2wheels]=INTEG( varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq2wheels], initial2wpercent) percentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec2wheels]=INTEG( varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec2wheels], 0) Units:**undefined** Percentrelativetototalnumberofvehicles2w+4w.Initial percentagesin1995ofalternativevehiclesareconsideredcero, Thisisdonethatwayinordertoallowanexponentialgrowth thatmatcheshistoricalvehaviourfrom2005to2015.Percents relativetototal4w+2w.(1064)percentsHV[scenarios,HVliq]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,HVliq] percentsHV[scenarios,HVhib]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,HVhib] percentsHV[scenarios,HVgas]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,HVgas] percentsHV[scenarios,LVliq]=



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0 percentsHV[scenarios,LVelec]= 0 percentsHV[scenarios,LVgas]= 0 percentsHV[scenarios,busliq]= 0 percentsHV[scenarios,buselec]= 0 percentsHV[scenarios,bushib]= 0 percentsHV[scenarios,busgas]= 0 percentsHV[scenarios,trainliq]= 0 percentsHV[scenarios,trainelec]= 0 percentsHV[scenarios,LVhib]= 0 Units:Dmnl percentsofheavyvehiclesrealtivetoallvehiclesofthistype.(1065)percentsLV[scenarios,HVliq]= 0 percentsLV[scenarios,HVhib]= 0 percentsLV[scenarios,HVgas]= 0 percentsLV[scenarios,LVliq]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,LVliq] percentsLV[scenarios,LVelec]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,LVelec] percentsLV[scenarios,LVgas]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,LVgas] percentsLV[scenarios,busliq]= 0 percentsLV[scenarios,buselec]= 0 percentsLV[scenarios,bushib]= 0 percentsLV[scenarios,busgas]= 0 percentsLV[scenarios,trainliq]= 0



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percentsLV[scenarios,trainelec]= 0 percentsLV[scenarios,LVhib]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,LVhib] Units:Dmnl percentsoflightcargovehiclesofinlandtransportsector realtivetoallvehiclesofthistype.(1066)PESBiogasEJ[scenarios]=INTEG( newPESbiogas[scenarios], 0.13135) Units:EJ Biogasesprimaryenergysupply.Includesalluses:heat, electricity,totalfinalenergyconsumption,etc.Thesameshare forfinalenergyusesaswellastheefficiencyof transformationthanfornaturalfossilgasareassumed.(1067)PESbiogasforCHP[scenarios]= PESBiogasEJ[scenarios]*sharePESbiogasforCHP Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplybiogasforCHPplants.(1068)PESbiogasforelecplants[scenarios]= PESBiogasEJ[scenarios]*sharePESbiogasforelecplants Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyofheatinHeatplantsfrombiogas.(1069)"PESbiogasforheat-complants"[scenarios]= PESBiogasEJ[scenarios]*"sharePESbiogasforheat-complants" Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyofheatincommercialHeatplantsfrom biogas.(1070)PESbiogasforTFC[scenarios]= MIN(PEDgases[scenarios],PotentialPESbiogasforTFC[scenarios]) Units:EJ Primaryenergysupplybiogasfortotalfinalconsumption.(1071)"PEScoalforHeat-complants"[scenarios]= extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]*"sharecoaldemforHeat-com"[scenarios] Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyofcoalforcommercialHeatplants.(1072)"PEScoalforHeat-ncplants"[scenarios]=



285

extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]*"sharecoaldemforHeat-nc"[scenarios] Units:EJ Primaryenergysupplyofcoalfornon-commercialHeatplants.(1073)PESfossilfuelextraction[scenarios,liquids]= PESoilEJ[scenarios] PESfossilfuelextraction[scenarios,solids]= extractioncoalEJ[scenarios] PESfossilfuelextraction[scenarios,gases]= "PESnat.gas"[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Annualextractionoffossilfuels(1074)PESfossilfuelextractiondelayed[scenarios,liquids]=DELAYFIXED( PESfossilfuelextraction[scenarios,liquids],TIMESTEP,139) PESfossilfuelextractiondelayed[scenarios,solids]=DELAYFIXED( PESfossilfuelextraction[scenarios,solids],TIMESTEP,101) PESfossilfuelextractiondelayed[scenarios,gases]=DELAYFIXED( PESfossilfuelextraction[scenarios,gases],TIMESTEP,79) Units:EJ/Year Annualextractionoffossilfuelsdelayed(1075)PESgases[scenarios]= "PESnat.gas"[scenarios]+PESbiogasforTFC[scenarios] Units:EJ Primaryenergysupplygas.(1076)PESheatRES[scenarios]= "PEStotbiogasforheat-com"[scenarios]+SUM("PESRESforheat-combytechn" [RESheat!,scenarios])+SUM("PESRESforheat-ncbytechn" [RESheat!,scenarios]) Units:EJ PrimaryenergyofRESforheat.(1077)PESLiquidsEJ[scenarios]= PESoilEJ[scenarios]+OtherliquidssupplyEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Totalprimarysupplyofliquids.(1078)"PESnat.gasforHeat-complants"[scenarios]= "PESnat.gas"[scenarios]*"sharenat.gasdemforHeat-com"[scenarios] Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyoffossilnaturalgasforcommercialHeat plants.



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(1079)"PESnat.gasforHeat-ncplants"[scenarios]= (PES gases[scenarios]-"PED nat. gas for GTL EJ"[scenarios])*"share gases dem forHeat-nc" [scenarios] Units:EJ Primaryenergysupplyofnaturalgasfornon-commercialHeat plants.(1080)"PESnat.gaswithoutGTL"[scenarios]= "PESnat.gas"[scenarios]-"PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ"[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Totalextractionofconventionalgasandunconventional(without GTL).(1081)"PESnat.gas"[scenarios]= realextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]+realextractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios ] Units:EJ/Year (1082)PESNREheat[scenarios]= "PESNREHeat-com"[scenarios]+"PESNREHeat-nc"[scenarios] Units:EJ (1083)"PESNREHeat-com"[scenarios]= "PEScoalforHeat-complants"[scenarios]+"PESnat.gasforHeat-complants" [scenarios]+"PESoilforHeat-complants"[scenarios] Units:EJ (1084)"PESNREHeat-nc"[scenarios]= "PEScoalforHeat-ncplants"[scenarios]+"PESnat.gasforHeat-ncplants" [scenarios]+"PESoilforHeat-ncplants"[scenarios] Units:EJ (1085)PESoilEJ[scenarios]= realextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios]+realextractionunconvoilEJ[scenarios ] Units:EJ/Year Totaloil(conventional+unconventional)extraction.(1086)PESoilEJdelayed[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( PESoilEJ[scenarios],0.1,139.5) Units:EJ/Year PEStotaloilextractiondelayed.



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(1087)"PESoilforHeat-complants"[scenarios]= PESoilEJ[scenarios]*"shareoildemforHeat-com"[scenarios] Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyofoilforcommercialHeatplants.(1088)"PESoilforHeat-ncplants"[scenarios]= PESLiquidsEJ[scenarios]*"shareliquidsdemforHeat-nc"[scenarios] Units:EJ Primaryenergysupplyofnaturaloilfornon-commercialHeat plants.(1089)"PESoilMb/d"[scenarios]= PESoilEJ[scenarios]*"Mb/dperEJ/year" Units:Mb/d Totaloil(conventional+unconventional)extraction.(1090)PESpeatEJ= MAX(IFTHENELSE(Time>2014,-0.0125*(Time)+25.3125,HistoricPESpeatEJ) ,0) Units:EJ (1091)PESRESforheatbytechn0["geot-heat",scenarios]= "FErealgenerationRESheat-comEJ0"["geot-heat",scenarios]/EfficiencyRESheat0 ["geot-heat"] PESRESforheatbytechn0["solar-heat",scenarios]= "FE real generation RES heat-com EJ 0"["solar-heat",scenarios]*Efficiency solarpanelsforheat0 /EfficiencyRESheat0["solar-heat"] PESRESforheatbytechn0["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]= "FE real generationRESheat-comEJ0"["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]/EfficiencyRESheat0 ["solidbioE-heat"] Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyofREStechnologiesforheat.(1092)"PESRESforheat-combytechn"["geot-heat",scenarios]= "FErealgenerationRESheat-comEJ"["geot-heat",scenarios]/EfficiencyRESheat ["geot-heat"] "PESRESforheat-combytechn"["solar-heat",scenarios]= "FErealgenerationRESheat-comEJ"["solar-heat",scenarios]*Efficiencysolarpanelsforheat /EfficiencyRESheat["solar-heat"] "PESRESforheat-combytechn"["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]=



288

"FErealgenerationRESheat-comEJ"["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]/EfficiencyRESheat ["solidbioE-heat"] Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyofREStechnologiesforcommercialheat.(1093)"PESRESforheat-ncbytechn"["geot-heat",scenarios]= "FErealgenerationRESheat-ncEJ"["geot-heat",scenarios]/EfficiencyRESheat ["geot-heat"] "PESRESforheat-ncbytechn"["solar-heat",scenarios]= "FE real generation RES heat-nc EJ"["solar-heat",scenarios]*Efficiency solar panelsforheat /EfficiencyRESheat["solar-heat" ] "PESRESforheat-ncbytechn"["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]= "FErealgenerationRESheat-ncEJ"["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]/EfficiencyRESheat ["solidbioE-heat"] Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyofREStechnologiesfornon-commercial heat.(1094)PESsolids[scenarios]= extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]+PEtraditionalbiomassEJdelayed1yr[scenarios ]+PESpeatEJ+PESwasteforTFC[scenarios]+LossesincharcoalplantsEJ Units:EJ Primaryenergysupplysolids.(1095)"PESsolidsbioE&wasteEJ"[scenarios]= PESsolidsbioEEJ[scenarios]-PESwasteEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ Totalprimaryenergysupplysolidsbiofuelsandwaste.(1096)PESsolidsbioEEJ[scenarios]= LossesincharcoalplantsEJ+PEbioEforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]+PEtraditionalbiomassEJdelayed1yr [scenarios] +"PESRESforheat-combytechn"["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]+"PESRESforheat-ncbytechn" ["solidbioE-heat",scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Totalbiomasssupply.Itaggregatessupplyforelectricity,heat andtraditionalbiomass.(1097)PEStotbiogasforelec[scenarios]= PESbiogasforelecplants[scenarios]+FESelecfrombiogasinCHPplants[



289

scenarios]+LossesCHPbiogas[scenarios]*shareefficiencybiogasforelecinCHPplants Units:EJ Totalprimaryenergysupplyforgeneratingelectricityfrom biogas(includingCHPplants).(1098)"PEStotbiogasforheat-com"[scenarios]= "PES biogas for heat-com plants"[scenarios]+"FES heat-com from biogas in CHPplants" [scenarios]+LossesCHPbiogas[scenarios]*(1-shareefficiencybiogasforelecinCHPplants ) Units:EJ Totalprimaryenergysupplyforgeneratingcommercialheatfrom biogas(includingCHPplants).(1099)PEStotRESforheat[scenarios]= SUM("PESRESforheat-combytechn"[RESheat!,scenarios])+SUM("PESRESforheat-ncbytechn" [RESheat!,scenarios])+"PEStotbiogasforheat-com"[scenarios] Units:EJ Totalprimaryenergysupplyforgeneratingcommercialand non-commercialheatfromrenewables.(1100)PEStotwasteforelec[scenarios]= PESwasteforelecplants[scenarios]+FESelecfromwasteinCHPplants[scenarios ]+LossesCHPwaste[scenarios]*shareefficiencywasteforelecinCHPplants Units:EJ Totalprimaryenergysupplyforgeneratingelectricityfrom biogas(includingCHPplants).(1101)"PEStotwasteforheat-com"[scenarios]= "PES waste for heat-com plants"[scenarios]+"FES heat-com from waste in CHPplants" [scenarios]+LossesCHPwaste[scenarios]*(1-shareefficiencywasteforelecinCHPplants ) Units:EJ Totalprimaryenergysupplyforgeneratingcommercialheatfrom waste(includingCHPplants).(1102)PESwasteEJ[scenarios]=INTEG( newwastesupplyEJ[scenarios], initialPESwaste) Units:EJ Wasteprimaryenergysupply(includesindustrialandmunicipal (renewandnon-renew).



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(1103)PESwasteforCHPplants[scenarios]= PESwasteEJ[scenarios]*sharePESwasteforCHP Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplywasteforCHPplants.(1104)PESwasteforelecplants[scenarios]= PESwasteEJ[scenarios]*sharePESwasteforelecplants Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyofheatinHeatplantsfromwaste.(1105)"PESwasteforheat-complants"[scenarios]= PESwasteEJ[scenarios]*"sharePESwasteforheat-complants" Units:EJ PrimaryenergysupplyofcommercialheatinHeatplantsfrom waste.(1106)PESwasteforTFC[scenarios]= PESwasteEJ[scenarios]*sharePESwasteTFC Units:EJ Primaryenergysupplywastefortotalfinalconsumption.(1107)"pipelinetransportconstant2.6EJin2014"= 2.6 Units:EJ IEAbalances(1108)plannedcapacitynuclearTW[scenarios]=INTEG( newplannedcapacitynuclear[scenarios]-newcapunderconstructionnuclear [scenarios], initialplannedcapacitynuclear) Units:TW Plannedcapacityofnuclearpowerplants.(1109)plannedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]=INTEG( newplannedcapacityRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]-newcapunderconstructionRESelec [RESelec,scenarios], initialplannedcapacityRESelec[RESelec]) Units:TW PlannedcapacityofREStechnologiesforelectricitygeneration.(1110)policy2wheels[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2050,IFTHENELSE(Activatepolicy2050Htransp[scenarios



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]=1:AND:Time>TpolicyHveh[scenarios],(Pshare2wheelers2050[scenarios] -initial2wpercent)/(2050-TpolicyHveh[scenarios]),0),0) Units:**undefined** relativetoallvehicles2w+4w(1111)Policychangeenergyspeed[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing, finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B12') Policychangeenergyspeed[MiningandQuarrying,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','G12') Policychangeenergyspeed[FoodBeveragesandTobacco,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','L12') Policychangeenergyspeed[TextilesandTextileProducts,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','Q12') Policychangeenergyspeed[LeatherLeatherandFootwear,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','V12') Policychangeenergyspeed[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AA12') Policychangeenergyspeed[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AF12') Policychangeenergyspeed[CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK12') Policychangeenergyspeed[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AP12') Policychangeenergyspeed[RubberandPlastics,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AU12') Policychangeenergyspeed[OtherNonMetalicMineral,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AZ12') Policychangeenergyspeed[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BE12') Policychangeenergyspeed[MachineryNec,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BJ12') Policychangeenergyspeed[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment,finalsources] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BO12') Policychangeenergyspeed[TransportEquipment,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BT12') Policychangeenergyspeed[ManufacturingNecRecycling,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BY12') Policychangeenergyspeed[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply,finalsources]



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= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CD12') Policychangeenergyspeed[Construction,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CI12') Policy change energy speed[Sale Maintenance and Repair of Motor Vehicles andaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CN12') Policy change energy speed[Wholesale Trade and Commissions Trade Except of MotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CS12') Policychangeenergyspeed[RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CX12') Policychangeenergyspeed[HotelsandRestaurants,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DC12') Policychangeenergyspeed[InlandTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DH12') Policychangeenergyspeed[WaterTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DM12') Policychangeenergyspeed[AirTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DR12') Policychangeenergyspeed[OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DW12') Policychangeenergyspeed[PostandTelecommunications,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EB12') Policychangeenergyspeed[FinancialIntermedation,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EG12') Policychangeenergyspeed[RealEstateActivities,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EL12') Policychangeenergyspeed[RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EQ12') Policychangeenergyspeed[PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EV12') Policychangeenergyspeed[Education,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FA12') Policychangeenergyspeed[HealthandSocialWork,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FF12')



293

Policychangeenergyspeed[OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FK12') Policychangeenergyspeed[PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FP12') Units:**undefined** (1112)PolicychangeenergyspeedH[finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FU12') Units:**undefined** (1113)PolicyCTL[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundanceliquids[scenarios]>0.95,HistgrowthCTL,PCTL[scenarios ]) Units:1/Year Ifthereisnotscarcityofliquids,CTLproductionincreasesat historicalpastrates.(1114)PolicyGTL[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundanceliquids[scenarios]>0.95,HistgrowthGTL,PGTL[scenarios ]) Units:1/Year Ifthereisnotscarcityofliquids,GTLproductionincreasesat historicalpastrates.(1115)PolicytoimproveefficiencyspeedH[finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FU8') Units:**undefined** (1116)popvariation[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,variationhistoricpop,Population[scenarios]*Pgrowthpop [scenarios]) Units:people/Year Populationgrowth.(Historicdatafrom1990-2010;projection 2011-2100)2011UST$(1117)Population[scenarios]=INTEG( popvariation[scenarios], initialpopulation) Units:people Populationprojection.(1118)PotentialFEgenElecfossilfuelCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]=



294

(PotentialFEgenEleccoalCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]+PotentialFEgenElecgasCHPplantsEJ [scenarios]+PotentialFEgenElecliquidsCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year PotentialelectricitygenerationfromCHPplantsburningfossil fuels.(1119)"PotentialFESCTL+GTLEJ"[scenarios]= CTLpotentialproduction[scenarios]+GTLpotentialproduction[scenarios] Units:EJ (1120)"PotentialFESHeat-comnuclearCHPplantsEJ"[scenarios]= FEnuclearElecgenerationTWh[scenarios]*shareofheatproductioninCHPplantsvstotalnucelarelecgeneration Units:EJ Potentialcommercialheattobeproducedincogerationnuclear plants.(1121)potentialFESRESforheatEJ0[RESheat,scenarios]= potentialFESRESforheatTWh0[RESheat,scenarios]*EJperTWh Units:EJ Potentialfinalenergysupplyrenewablesforheatgiventhe installedcapacity.(1122)potentialFESRESforheatTWh0[RESheat,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESheatTW0[RESheat,scenarios]*EfficiencyRESheat0 [RESheat]*CpRESforheat0[RESheat]/TWeperTWh Units:TWh Potentialfinalenergysupplyrenewablesforheatgiventhe installedcapacity.(1123)"potentialFESRESforheat-comEJ"[RESheat,scenarios]= "potentialFESRESforheat-comTWh"[RESheat,scenarios]*EJperTWh Units:EJ Potentialfinalenergysupplyrenewablesforcommercialheat giventheinstalledcapacity.(1124)"potentialFESRESforheat-ncEJ"[RESheat,scenarios]= "potentialFESRESforheat-ncTWh"[RESheat,scenarios]*EJperTWh Units:EJ Potentialfinalenergysupplyrenewablesfornon-commercialheat giventheinstalledcapacity.(1125)"potentialFESRESforheat-ncTWh"[RESheat,scenarios]=



295

"installedcapacityRESheat-ncTW"[RESheat,scenarios]*EfficiencyRESheat [RESheat]*CpRESforheat[RESheat]/TWeperTWh Units:TWh Potentialfinalenergysupplyrenewablesfornon-commercialheat giventheinstalledcapacity.(1126)PEpcconsumptionpeopledependingontradbiomass= PEconsumptiontradbiomassref/Peoplerelyingtradbiomassref Units:MToe/people Primaryenergypercapitaconsumptionofpeoplecurrently dependingontradbiomass.(1127)Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[MiningandQuarrying,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','G8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[FoodBeveragesandTobacco,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','L8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[TextilesandTextileProducts,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','Q8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[LeatherLeatherandFootwear,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','V8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AA8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AF8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AP8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[RubberandPlastics,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AU8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[OtherNonMetalicMineral,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AZ8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal,finalsources



296

]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BE8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[MachineryNec,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BJ8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BO8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[TransportEquipment,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BT8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[ManufacturingNecRecycling,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BY8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CD8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[Construction,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CI8') Policy to improve efficiency speed[SaleMaintenance andRepair ofMotor Vehicles andaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CN8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[WholesaleTradeandCommissionsTradeExceptofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CS8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CX8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[HotelsandRestaurants,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DC8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[InlandTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DH8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[WaterTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DM8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[AirTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DR8') Policy to improve efficiency speed[Other Supporting and Auxiliary Transport ActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DW8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[PostandTelecommunications,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EB8')



297

Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[FinancialIntermedation,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EG8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[RealEstateActivities,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EL8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EQ8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EV8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[Education,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FA8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[HealthandSocialWork,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FF8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FK8') Policytoimproveefficiencyspeed[PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FP8') Units:**undefined** (1128)Popnotdependentontradbiomass[scenarios]= Population[scenarios]-Populationdependentontradbiomass[scenarios] Units:people Globalpopulationnotdependentontraditionalbiomass.(1129)Populationdependentontradbiomass[scenarios]= PE traditional biomass EJ[scenarios]/PEpc consumption people depending on tradbiomass Units:people Populationdependentontraditionalbiomass.(1130)PotentialFEgenEleccoalCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= PEDcoalforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]*efficiencyEleccoalCHPplants Units:EJ PotentialelectricitygenerationfromCHPplantsburningcoal.(1131)PotentialFEgenElecgasCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= PEDgasforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]*efficiencyElecgasCHPplants Units:EJ PotentialelectricitygenerationfromCHPplantsburningnatural gas.



298

(1132)PotentialFEgenElecliquidsCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= PEDoilforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]*efficiencyElecoilCHPplants Units:EJ PotentialelectricitygenerationfromCHPplantsburningoil liquids.(1133)"potentialFESRESforheat-comTWh"[RESheat,scenarios]= "installedcapacityRESheat-comTW"[RESheat,scenarios]*EfficiencyRESheat [RESheat]*CpRESforheat[RESheat]/TWeperTWh Units:TWh Potentialfinalenergysupplyrenewablesforcommercialheat giventheinstalledcapacity.(1134)potentialFEStotRESforheatEJ0[scenarios]= SUM(potentialFESRESforheatEJ0[RESheat!,scenarios]) Units:EJ Potentialtotalfinalenergysupplyrenewablesforheatgiven theinstalledcapacity.(1135)"potentialFEStotRESforheat-comEJ"[scenarios]= SUM("potentialFESRESforheat-comEJ"[RESheat!,scenarios]) Units:EJ Potentialtotalfinalenergysupplyrenewablesforcommercial heatgiventheinstalledcapacity.(1136)"potentialFEStotRESforheat-ncEJ"[scenarios]= SUM("potentialFESRESforheat-ncEJ"[RESheat!,scenarios]) Units:EJ Potentialtotalfinalenergysupplyrenewablesfor non-commercialheatgiventheinstalledcapacity.(1137)potentialgenerationnuclearelecTWh[scenarios]= MIN(installedcapacitynuclearTW[scenarios]*Cpnuclear[scenarios]/TWeperTWh ,DemandElecNRETWh[scenarios]) Units:TWh/Year Totalpotentialgenerationofelectricityfromnuclearpower plantsgiventheinstalledcapacity.Aminimumfunctionis introducedtoassurethatnomorenuclearthanelectricity required(aftertheRESandoilcontribution)isproduced.(1138)potentialgenerationRESelecTWh[RESelec,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]*CpRESelec[RESelec,scenarios ]/TWeperTWh Units:TWh



299

PotentialgenerationofelectricitybyREStechnologygiventhe installedcapacity.(1139)PotentialmaxHDI[scenarios]= MIN(1,0.1395*LN(TFECpercapita[scenarios])+0.1508) Units:Dmnl (1140)PotentialPEcellulosicbiofuelEJ[scenarios]=INTEG( newcellulosicbiofuels[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ/Year Potentialannualprimaryenergybiomassusedforcellulosic biofuels.(1141)PotentialPEavailbiofuels2genlandcompetEJ[scenarios]= Landcompetbiofuels2genMha[scenarios]*Landproductivitybiofuels2genEJMHa Units:EJ/Year Potentialprimaryenergyavailableofbiofuelsfromdedicated crops(2ndgeneration).(1142)PotentialPEavailbiofuelslandmargEJ[scenarios]=INTEG( newbiofuelslandmarg[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ/Year Potentialtotalannualbiofuelproductioninmarginallands.(1143)PotentialPEavailbiofuelsprod3genEJ[scenarios]= Landcompetbiofuels3genMha[scenarios]*Landproductivitybiofuels2genEJMHa *(1+Efficiencyimprovementbiofuels3gen) Units:EJ/Year PotentialFinalEnergyproduction(EJ)ofbiofuelsfrom dedicatedcrops(3rdgeneration).(1144)PotentialPEavailcellulosicbiofuelEJ[scenarios]= PotentialPEcellulosicbiofuelEJ[scenarios]*ConvefficiencyfromNPPtobiofuels Units:EJ (1145)PotentialPEavailtotalbiofuels[scenarios]= PotentialPEavailbiofuels2genlandcompetEJ[scenarios]+PotentialPEavailbiofuelsprod3genEJ [scenarios]+Potential PEavail biofuels landmarg EJ[scenarios]+Potential PEavail cellulosicbiofuelEJ [scenarios] Units:EJ



300

(1146)PotentialPESbiogasforTFC[scenarios]= PESBiogasEJ[scenarios]*sharePESbiogasTFC Units:EJ Potentialprimaryenergysupplybiogasfortotalfinal consumption.(1147)potentialRESelecafterintermittTWh[RESelec,scenarios]= maxpotentialRESelecTWe[RESelec,scenarios]*Cpbaseloadreduction[RESelec ,scenarios]/TWeperTWh Units:TWh PotentialofRESforelectricitypertechnologyafteraccounting forthereductionofthemaximalpotentialgiventhereduction oftheCp.(1148)potentialtotgenerationRESelecTWh[scenarios]= SUM(potentialgenerationRESelecTWh[RESelec!,scenarios]) Units:TWh TotalpotentialgenerationofelectricityfromRESgiventhe installedcapacity.(1149)potentialtotRESelecafterintermitt[scenarios]= SUM(potentialRESelecafterintermittTWh[RESelec!,scenarios]) Units:TWh TotalpotentialofRESforelectricityafteraccountingforthe reductionofthemaximalpotentialgiventhereductionoftheCp.(1150)powerdensityCSP= "powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"[CSP] Units:TWe/MHa PowerdensityofCSPpowerplants.(1151)"powerdensityRESelecTW/Mha"[RESelec]= "powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"[RESelec]/"Cp-iniRESelec"[RESelec] Units:TW/MHa (1152)"powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','B13') "powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','B7') "powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"["solidbioE-elec"]= 0 "powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"[oceanic]= 0



301

"powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','B10') "powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','B12') "powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','B11') "powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','B16') Units:TWe/MHa Inputparameter:powerdensityperREStechnologyfordelivering electricity.(1153)powerdensitysolarPV= "powerdensityRESelecTWe/Mha"[solarPV] Units:TWe/MHa Powerdensity:3.3We/m2(deCastroetal.,2013b;Smil,2015)(1154)ppmperGtC= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C19') Units:(ppm*Year)/GtC ConversionfromppmtoGtC(1ppmCO2=2.12GtC).(1155)preindustrialvalueppm= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C20') Units:ppm Pre-industrialCO2concentrations(275ppm).(1156)PreindustrialCO2= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C113') Units:TonC PreindustrialCO2contentofatmosphere.[DICE-2013R]588GtC(1157)Pressuretochangeenergytechnology[scenarios,sectors,finalsources ]= MIN(MAX(Energymarketpressure[scenarios,sectors,finalsources]+Implementatiopolicytochangefinalenergy [scenarios,sectors,finalsources],0),1) Units:**undefined** Thisvariablerepresentsthepressureineacheconomicsector forsubstitutingafinalenergysourceforanother.Thischange dependingonthesectorswillhavedifferenttechnological difficultyanddifferentcost.Thispressuremaybedueto(1) energypolicies,egsubstitutionoffossilfuelsforelectrical energy,or(2)byvariationsinthepriceofeachtypeoffinal



302

energy.Thispricevariationwillberelatedtotherelative abundanceofenergysources.(1158)PressuretochangeenergytechnologyH[scenarios,finalsources]= MIN(MAX(EnergymarketpressureH[scenarios,finalsources]+ImplementatiopolicytochangefinalenergyH [scenarios,finalsources],0),1) Units:**undefined** Thisvariablerepresentsthepressureinhouseholdsfor substitutingafinalenergysourceforanother.Thispressure maybedueto(1)energypolicies,egsubstitutionoffossil fuelsforelectricalenergy,or(2)byvariationsintheprice ofeachtypeoffinalenergy.Thispricevariationwillbe relatedtotherelativeabundanceofenergysources.(1159)Pressuretoimproveenergyintensityefficiency[scenarios,sectors,finalsources ]= Energy cost pressure[scenarios,final sources]+Implementation policy to improveenergyintensityeffciency [scenarios,sectors,finalsources] Units:**undefined** Thisvariablerepresentsthepressureineacheconomicsectorto improveenergyefficiencyinthetechnologyused.Thischange accordingtothesectorswillhavedifferenttechnological difficultyanddifferentcost.Thispressuremaybedueto(1) energypolicies,egincentivesforenergyefficiency,or(2) significantvariationsinthepricesofeachtypeoffinal energy.Thispricevariationwillberelatedtotheabsolute abundanceofeachenergysource.(1160)PressuretoimproveenergyintensityefficiencyH[scenarios,finalsources ]= Energy costpressureH[scenarios,final sources]+Implementationpolicy to improveenergyintensityeffciencyH [scenarios,finalsources] Units:**undefined** Thisvariablerepresentsthepressureinhouseholdstoimprove energyefficiencyinthetechnologyused.Thispressuremaybe dueto(1)energypolicies,egincentivesforenergyefficiency, or(2)significantvariationsinthepricesofeachtypeof finalenergy.Thispricevariationwillberelatedtothe absoluteabundanceofeachenergysource.(1161)"PrimarycoalextractiondeCastroPhD-Scen'madcoal'"(



303

[(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,2058.92),(1986,2092.27),(1987,2125.72),(1988,2159.47 ),(1989,2193.76),(1990,2228.81),(1991,2264.86),(1992,2302.13),(1993,2340.84 ),(1994,2381.18),(1995,2423.34),(1996,2467.47),(1997,2513.71),(1998,2562.15 ),(1999,2612.87),(2000,2665.92),(2001,2721.31),(2002,2779.03),(2003,2839.06 ),(2004,2901.33),(2005,2965.74),(2006,3032.57),(2007,3101.67),(2008,3172.97 ),(2009,3246.4),(2010,3321.9),(2011,3399.43),(2012,3478.96),(2013,3560.51) ,(2014,3644.12),(2015,3729.86),(2016,3816.11),(2017,3897.75),(2018,3974.81 ),(2019,4046.62),(2020,4112.97),(2021,4174.06),(2022,4230.44),(2023,4282.94 ),(2024,4332.57),(2025,4380.4),(2026,4427.69),(2027,4475.38),(2028,4524.25 ),(2029,4574.94),(2030,4627.89),(2031,4683.41),(2032,4741.63),(2033,4802.57 ),(2034,4866.15),(2035,4932.23),(2036,4997.04),(2037,5059.9),(2038,5120.05 ),(2039,5176.96),(2040,5230.21),(2041,5279.47),(2042,5324.46),(2043,5364.9 ),(2044,5400.52),(2045,5431.05),(2046,5456.18),(2047,5475.61),(2048,5489.04 ),(2049,5496.15),(2050,5485.53),(2051,5462.41),(2052,5433),(2053,5397.99), (2054,5357.58),(2055,5311.76),(2056,5260.45),(2057,5203.57),(2058,5141.1), (2059,5073.11),(2060,4999.72),(2061,4921.11),(2062,4837.56),(2063,4749.39) ,(2064,4656.95),(2065,4560.64),(2066,4460.9),(2067,4358.16),(2068,4252.9), (2069,4145.55),(2070,4036.59),(2071,3926.47),(2072,3815.6),(2073,3704.47), (2074,3595.32),(2075,3489.22),(2076,3386.16),(2077,3286.01),(2078,3188.63) ,(2079,3093.87),(2080,3001.58),(2081,2911.63),(2082,2823.91),(2083,2738.31 ),(2084,2654.74),(2085,2573.11),(2086,2493.35),(2087,2415.41),(2088,2339.22 ),(2089,2264.73),(2090,2191.92),(2091,2120.74),(2092,2051.16),(2093,1983.17 ),(2094,1916.73),(2095,1851.84),(2096,1788.49),(2097,1726.66),(2098,1666.35 ),(2099,1607.54),(2100,1550.24)) Units:MToe/Year Primaryenergy(Add"Energíaperdida"tothenetenergy extractionintheoriginalmodel).(1162)qualityofelectricity[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("static/dynamicqualityofelectricity?"=1,qualityofelectricity2015 [scenarios],Dynamicqualityofelectricity[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Qualityofelectricity(TFES/TPES,thelatterwithouttaking intoaccountthenon-energyuses).(1163)qualityofelectricity2015[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,Dynamicqualityofelectricity[scenarios],aux3[ scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Qualityofelectricityuntiltheyear2015.(1164)QuickimplementationpolicyMLT1=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2030), ([(0,0)-(20,1)],(0,0),(1.2844,0.381579),(2.263,0.561404),(3.5474,0.710526



304

),(6.23853,0.842105),(10.6422,0.929825),(14.5566,0.97807),(20,1))) Units:**undefined** (1165)QuickimplementationpolicyMLT1H=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2030), ([(0,0)-(20,1)],(0,0),(1.2844,0.381579),(2.263,0.561404),(3.5474,0.710526 ),(6.23853,0.842105),(10.6422,0.929825),(14.5566 ,0.97807),(20,1))) Units:**undefined** (1166)QuickimplementationpolicyMLT2=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2040), ([(0,0)-(10,1)],(0,0),(0.550459,0.346491),(1.10092,0.535088),(1.83486,0.684211 ),(3.08869,0.789474),(4.31193,0.868421),(6.69725,0.95614),(10,1))) Units:**undefined** (1167)QuickimplementationpolicyMLT2H=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2040), ([(0,0)-(10,1)],(0,0),(0.550459,0.346491),(1.10092,0.535088),(1.83486,0.684211 ),(3.08869,0.789474),(4.31193,0.868421), (6.69725,0.95614),(10,1))) Units:**undefined** (1168)QuickimplementationpolicyOT=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2020), ([(0,0)-(30,1)],(0,0),(1.00917,0.438596),(2.29358,0.622807),(4.6789,0.79386 ),(7.88991,0.894737),(13.7615,0.929825),(21.2844,0.964912),(30,1))) Units:**undefined** (1169)QuickimplementationpolicyOTH=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2020), ([(0,0)-(30,1)],(0,0),(1.00917,0.438596),(2.29358,0.622807),(4.6789,0.79386 ),(7.88991,0.894737),(13.7615,0.929825),(21.2844,0.964912),(30,1))) Units:**undefined** (1170)rate4wto2w[scenarios]= policy2wheels[scenarios] Units:1/Year changefrom4wheelersbasedmobilityto2wheelers,linear changeuntilthelimitaproaches(1171)ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing



305

,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,MiningandQuarrying,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,FoodBeveragesandTobacco,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,TextilesandTextileProducts,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,LeatherLeatherandFootwear,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,WoodandProductsofWooodandCork ,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing ,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel ,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,ChemicalsandChemicalproducts, finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,RubberandPlastics,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,OtherNonMetalicMineral,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal ,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,MachineryNec,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,ElectricalandOpticalEquipment ,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,TransportEquipment,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,ManufacturingNecRecycling,finalsources



306

]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,ElectricityGasandWaterSupply ,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,Construction,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,SaleMaintenanceandRepairofMotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources]= 0 rate change intensity BOTTOM UP[scenarios,Wholesale Trade and Commissions TradeExceptofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources]= 0 rate change intensity BOTTOM UP[scenarios,Retail Trade Except of Motor Vehicles andMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,HotelsandRestaurants,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,InlandTransport,finalsources]= IF THEN ELSE( Activate BOTTOMUPmethod[Inland Transport]=1,inland transportvariationintensity [scenarios,finalsources],0) ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,WaterTransport,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,AirTransport,finalsources]= 0 rate change intensity BOTTOM UP[scenarios,Other Supporting and Auxiliary TransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,PostandTelecommunications,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,FinancialIntermedation,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,RealEstateActivities,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities



307

,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,Education,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,HealthandSocialWork,finalsources ]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ,finalsources]= 0 ratechangeintensityBOTTOMUP[scenarios,PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons ,finalsources]= 0 Units:**undefined** (1172)RateofCO2Transfer= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C112') Units:1/Year FractionalrateofCO2storage(correspondsto120year residencetime)./0.008333/(1173)"ratio=1"= 1 Units:Dmnl (1174)"ratioEROIpertechnvsEROItot(static)"[RESelec,scenarios]= XIDZ("'static'EROIgridRESelec"[RESelec,scenarios],"'static'EROIgridtot-effectiveforallocationRESelec" [scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl (1175)"ratioEROIgridvsEROI(static)"[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("'static'EROIRESelec"[RESelec,scenarios]<=0,0,"'static'EROIgridRESelec" [RESelec,scenarios]/"'static'EROIRESelec"[RESelec,scenarios]) Units:Dmnl (1176)"ratioFEDforheat-ncvsFEDforheat-com"[scenarios]= SUM("FED by fuel for heat-nc"[final sources!,scenarios])*"Deactivate heat demcorrection?"



308

/RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,heat] Units:Dmnl RatioFEDfornon-commercialheatvsFEDforcommercialheat (beforeclimatechangeimpacts).(1177)Ratiogaingasvslosesolidsintranfprocesses:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','203','B206') Units:Dmnl Gasgainintransformationprocessesofcoal(Cokeoven,Blust furnace,...)(OwnelaborationfromIEAbalances)(1178)ratioNvehDemandH= NvehiclesH0/DemandH0 Units:Mvehicles/T$ Rationofnumberofvehiclesbyunitofhouseholdconomic demand,weassumethatitiskeptconstantandvariationsare duetothechangeinthenumberofvehiclesfromonetypeto another(1179)realCpRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,CpRESelec[RESelec,scenarios], IFTHENELSE(installedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios]=0,0,realgenerationRESelecTWh [RESelec,scenarios]*TWeperTWh/installedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios ])) Units:Dmnl (1180)Realdemand[scenarios]= SUM(Realdemandbysector[scenarios,sectors!]) Units:Mdollars Totaldemand(1181)Realdemandbysector[scenarios,sectors]= MAX(0,IAMatrix[sectors,AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing ]+IAMatrix[sectors,MiningandQuarrying]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,MiningandQuarrying]+IAMatrix[ sectors ,FoodBeveragesandTobacco]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,FoodBeveragesandTobacco ]+IAMatrix[sectors,TextilesandTextileProducts ]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,TextilesandTextileProducts]+IAMatrix [sectors,LeatherLeatherandFootwear



309

]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,LeatherLeatherandFootwear] +IAMatrix[sectors,WoodandProductsofWooodandCork]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,WoodandProductsofWooodandCork ] +IAMatrix[sectors,PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing ]+IAMatrix[sectors,CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel ]+IAMatrix[sectors,ChemicalsandChemicalproducts]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,ChemicalsandChemicalproducts ]+IAMatrix[sectors,RubberandPlastics]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios ,RubberandPlastics]+IAMatrix[sectors , Other Non Metalic Mineral]*Real total output by sector[scenarios,Other NonMetalicMineral ]+IAMatrix [sectors,BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal]+ IAMatrix [sectors,MachineryNec]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,MachineryNec ]+IAMatrix[sectors,ElectricalandOpticalEquipment ]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,ElectricalandOpticalEquipment] +IAMatrix[sectors,TransportEquipment]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,TransportEquipment]+IAMatrix[sectors,ManufacturingNecRecycling ]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios, ManufacturingNecRecycling]+IAMatrix[sectors,ElectricityGasandWaterSupply ]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios ,Electricity Gas and Water Supply] + IA Matrix [sectors, Construction]*Real totaloutputbysector [scenarios,Construction ]+ IA Matrix [sectors, Sale Maintenance and Repair of Motor Vehicles andaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ]*Real total output by sector[scenarios,Sale Maintenance and Repair of MotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ]+IAMatrix [sectors,Wholesale Trade and Commissions Trade Except ofMotor vehicles andMotorcycles ]*Realtotaloutputbysector[ scenarios,Wholesale Trade and Commissions Trade Except ofMotor vehicles andMotorcycles ] +IAMatrix[sectors,RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods



310

]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,Retail Trade Except of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles Repair ofHouseholdgoods ]+IAMatrix[sectors,HotelsandRestaurants ]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,HotelsandRestaurants]+IAMatrix [sectors,InlandTransport]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,InlandTransport]+IAMatrix[sectors,WaterTransport]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,WaterTransport ]+IAMatrix [sectors,AirTransport]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,AirTransport ]+IAMatrix[sectors,OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ]*Real total output by sector[scenarios,Other Supporting and Auxiliary TransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ]+IAMatrix [sectors,PostandTelecommunications]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios ,PostandTelecommunications]+IAMatrix[sectors , Financial Intermedation]*Real total output by sector[scenarios,FinancialIntermedation ]+IAMatrix[sectors,RealEstateActivities ]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,RealEstateActivities]+IAMatrix [sectors,RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities ]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities ]+IAMatrix[sectors,PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ]*Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ]+IAMatrix[sectors,Education ] *Real total output by sector[scenarios,Education]+ IAMatrix [sectors, Health andSocialWork ]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,HealthandSocialWork]+IAMatrix[sectors,OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ]*Realtotaloutputbysector [scenarios,OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices]+IAMatrix[sectors ,PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons]* Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons ]) Units:dollars Realdemandbysector(35WIODsectors).US$1995(1182)Realdemandbysectordelayed[scenarios,sectors]= DELAYFIXED(Realdemandbysector[scenarios,sectors],1,10)



311

Units:$ (1183)realextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvgas?"[scenarios]=1,extractionconvgasEJ [scenarios],"extractionconvgas-totagg" [scenarios]) Units:EJ (1184)realextractionconvgasemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]= MAX(0,realextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]-("PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ"[ scenarios]+"Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ"[scenarios,gases])*shareconvvstotalgasextraction [scenarios]) Units:EJ Extractionofemission-relevantconventionalgas,i.e.excepting theresourceusedtoproduceGTLandfornon-energyuses.We assumeconventionalandunconventionalresourceareusedto produceGTLandfornon-energyusesfollowingthesameshareas fortheirrelativeextraction.(1185)realextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvoil?"[scenarios]=1,extractionconvoilEJ [scenarios],"extractionconvoil-totagg"[scenarios]) Units:EJ (1186)realextractionconvoilemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]= MAX(0,realextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios]-("Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ" [scenarios,liquids])*shareconvvstotaloilextraction [scenarios]) Units:EJ Extractionofemission-relevantconventionaloil,i.e.excepting theresourceusedfornon-energyuses.Weassumeconventional andunconventionalresourceareusedfornon-energyuses followingthesameshareasfortheirrelativeextraction.(1187)"realextractionconvoilMb/d"[scenarios]= realextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios]*"Mb/dperEJ/year" Units:Mb/d (1188)realextractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvgas?"[scenarios]=1,extractionunconvgasEJ [scenarios],"extractionunconvgas-totagg"[scenarios])



312

Units:EJ (1189)realextractionunconvgasemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]= MAX(0,realextractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios]-("PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ" [scenarios]+"Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ"[scenarios,gases])*(1- shareconvvstotalgasextraction[scenarios])) Units:EJ Extractionofemission-relevantunconventionalgas,i.e. exceptingtheresourceusedtoproduceGTLandfornon-energy uses.Weassumeconventionalandunconventionalresourceare usedtoproduceGTLandfornon-energyusesfollowingthesame shareasfortheirrelativeextraction.(1190)realextractionunconvoilEJ[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvoil?"[scenarios]=1,extractionunconvoilEJ [scenarios],"extractionunconvoil-totagg" [scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year (1191)realextractionunconvoilemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]= MAX(0, realextractionunconvoil EJ[scenarios]-("Non-energyusedemandby finalfuelEJ" [scenarios,liquids])*(1-shareconvvstotaloilextraction[scenarios])) Units:EJ Extractionofemission-relevantunconventionaloil,i.e. exceptingtheresourceusedfornon-energyuses.Weassume conventionalandunconventionalresourceareusedfornon-energy usesfollowingthesameshareasfortheirrelativeextraction.(1192)realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,electricity]= TotalFEElecconsumptionEJ[scenarios] realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,heat]= TotalFEHeatconsumptionEJ[scenarios] realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,liquids]= realFEconsumptionliquidsEJ[scenarios] realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,solids]= realFEconsumptionsolidsEJ[scenarios] realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,gases]= realFEconsumptiongasesEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ Realfinalenergyconsumptionbyfuelafteraccountingfor energyavailability.(1193)realFEconsumptionbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,electricity



313

]= realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,electricity] realFEconsumptionbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,heat]= real FE consumption by fuel[scenarios,heat]/(1+"ratio FED for heat-nc vs FED forheat-com" [scenarios]) realFEconsumptionbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,liquids]= realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,liquids]/(1-shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel [liquids,scenarios]) realFEconsumptionbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,gases]= realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,gases]/(1-shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel [gases,scenarios]) realFEconsumptionbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,solids]= realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,solids]/(1-shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel [solids,scenarios]) Units:EJ (1194)realFEconsumptiongasesEJ[scenarios]= (PESgases[scenarios]-"PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ"[scenarios]-"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts" [scenarios,gases]-Othergasesrequired[scenarios])*sharegasesforfinalenergy [scenarios] Units:EJ Realfinalenergyconsumptionbygasesafteraccountingfor energyavailability.(1195)realFEconsumptionliquidsEJ[scenarios]= (PESLiquidsEJ[scenarios]-"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts"[scenarios , liquids]-OtherliquidsrequiredEJ[scenarios])*shareliquidsforfinalenergy [scenarios] Units:EJ Realfinalenergyconsumptionbyliquidsafteraccountingfor energyavailability.(1196)realFEconsumptionsolidsEJ[scenarios]= (extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]+(PEtraditionalbiomassEJdelayed1yr[scenarios ]+PESwasteforTFC[scenarios ]+PESpeatEJ+LossesincharcoalplantsEJ)-PEDcoalforCTLEJ[scenarios ]-"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts"[scenarios ,solids]-Othersolidsrequired[scenarios])*sharesolidsforfinalenergy[ scenarios] Units:EJ Realfinalenergyconsumptionbysolidsafteraccountingfor



314

energyavailability.(1197)Realfinalenergybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,sectors ]= Requiredfinalenergybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,sectors] *Energy scarcity feedback shortage coeff[scenarios,final sources]*CC impacts feedbackshortagecoeff [scenarios] Units:EJ Realfinalenergytobeusedbyeconomicsectorsandfuelafter accountingforenergyscarcityandCCimpacts.(1198)realgenerationRESelecEJ[RESelec,scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecTWh[RESelec,scenarios]*EJperTWh Units:EJ ElectricitygenerationbyREStechnology.(1199)realgenerationRESelecTWh[RESelec,scenarios]= potentialgenerationRESelecTWh[RESelec,scenarios]*(1-RESelectotovercapacity [scenarios]) Units:TWh ElectricitygenerationbyREStechnology.(1200)realgenerationsolarPVEJ[scenarios]= realgenerationRESelecEJ[solarPV,scenarios] Units:EJ (1201)RealGFCF[scenarios,sectors]= Real demand by sector[scenarios,sectors]*(1-share consum goverment andinventories [sectors])*"pctGFCFvsGFCF+HD"[scenarios,sectors] Units:Mdollars RealGrossFixedCapitalFormation(1202)realgrowthCTL[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundancecoal[scenarios]>=abundanceliquids[scenarios], IFTHENELSE(abundancecoal[scenarios]=1,PolicyCTL[scenarios],0 ),0)*abundanceliquidsCTL [scenarios]*scarcityconvoil[scenarios] Units:1/Year TherealgrowthofCTLdependsontherelativeabundanceofcoal andliquids,aswellasontheavailabilityofcoal.(1203)realgrowthGTL[scenarios]=



315

IFTHENELSE(abundancegases[scenarios]>=abundanceliquids[scenarios], IFTHENELSE(abundancegases[scenarios]=1,PolicyGTL[scenarios],0),0)*abundanceliquidsGTL [scenarios]*scarcityconvoil[scenarios] Units:1/Year TherealgrowthofGTLdependsontherelativeabundanceofgas andliquids,aswellasontheavailabilityofgas.(1204)RealHouseholddemand[scenarios,sectors]= Real demand by sector[scenarios,sectors]*(1-share consum goverment andinventories [sectors])*(1-"pctGFCFvsGFCF+HD"[scenarios,sectors]) Units:Mdollars (1205)realPEDintensityofElectricity[scenarios]= (TotalFEElecdemandEJ[scenarios]+ElecgenrelatedlossesEJ[scenarios] )/GDP[scenarios] Units:EJ/Tdollars Primaryenergydemandintensityoftheelectricitysector.Note thattheparameter"'a'I-ELECprojection"referstofinal energywhileherewerefertoprimaryenergy.The"realPED intensityofelectricity"maythusdecreasewiththepenetration ofRESintheelectricitygeneration(see"shareRESvsNRE electricitygeneration").(1206)RealTFEC[scenarios]= SUM(realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,finalsources!]) Units:EJ Realtotalfinalenergyconsumption.(1207)Realtotaloutput[scenarios]= SUM(Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,sectors!]) Units:dollars Totaloutput(1995$).(1208)Realtotaloutputbyfuelandsector[scenarios,finalsources,sectors ]= XIDZ(Realfinalenergybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,sectors ],Finalenergyintensitybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,sectors ],Requiredtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,sectors]/1e+006)*1e+006 Units:dollars Realtotaloutputbysector(35WIODsectors).US$1995(1209)Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,sectors]=



316

MIN(Realtotaloutputbyfuelandsector[scenarios,electricity,sectors], MIN(Realtotaloutputbyfuelandsector[scenarios,heat,sectors],MIN(Realtotaloutputbyfuelandsector [scenarios,liquids,sectors],MIN(Realtotaloutputbyfuelandsector[scenarios ,gases,sectors],Realtotaloutputbyfuelandsector[scenarios,solids,sectors ])))) Units:dollars Realtotaloutputbysector(35WIODsectors).US$1995.We assumethemostlimitingresources.(1210)Realtotaloutputinlandtransport[scenarios]= Realtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,InlandTransport] Units:**undefined** (1211)recyclingratesmineralsalttechn[materials,scenarios]=INTEG( improvementrecyclingratesmineralsalttechn[materials,scenarios], currentrecyclingratesminerals[materials]*"EOL-RRmineralsvariableRESvs.thetotaleconomy" *"Allmineralsvirgin?") Units:Dmnl Recyclingratesmineralsofalternativetechnologies(RESelec& EVbatteries).(1212)recyclingratesmineralsRest[materials,scenarios]=INTEG( improvementrecyclingratesmineralsRest[materials,scenarios], currentrecyclingratesminerals[materials]*"Allmineralsvirgin?") Units:Dmnl Recyclingratesmineralsfortherestoftheeconomy.(1213)"reduceoilshareforelectricity?"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C135') "reduceoilshareforelectricity?"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C135') "reduceoilshareforelectricity?"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C135') "reduceoilshareforelectricity?"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C135') "reduceoilshareforelectricity?"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C135') "reduceoilshareforelectricity?"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C167') Units:Dmnl Activationofapoliciestoreduceoilcontributionin electricitylinearlyfollowinglineardecreasingtrend:If=1:



317

ACTIVATED,If=0:DEACTIVATED.(1214)"reduceoilshareforheat-com?"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C136') "reduceoilshareforheat-com?"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C136') "reduceoilshareforheat-com?"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C136') "reduceoilshareforheat-com?"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C136') "reduceoilshareforheat-com?"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C136') "reduceoilshareforheat-com?"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C168') Units:Dmnl Activationofapoliciestoreduceoilcontributioninheat commerciallinearlyfollowinglineardecreasingtrend:If=1: ACTIVATED,If=0:DEACTIVATED.(1215)relativeabundanceofenergy= 0 Units:**undefined** Currently,thispartisnotworking.(1216)relativeabundanceofenergyH= 0 Units:**undefined** Currently,thispartisnotworking.(1217)remainingefficiencyimprovgasforelectricity= (Max efficiency gas power plants-efficiency gas for electricity)/Max efficiency gaspowerplants Units:Dmnl Remainingefficiencyimprovementforgaspowercentrals.(1218)remainingpotentialBioE[scenarios]= IF THEN ELSE(max potential RES elec TWh["solid bioE-elec",scenarios] > realgenerationRESelecTWh ["solidbioE-elec",scenarios], (max potential RES elec TWh["solid bioE-elec",scenarios]-real generation RES elecTWh ["solidbioE-elec",scenarios])/maxpotentialRESelecTWh["solidbioE-elec" ,scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl



318

Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.(1219)remainingpotentialconstraintonnewRESeleccapacity[RESelec,scenarios ]= IFTHENELSE(remainingpotentialRESelecafterintermitt[RESelec,scenarios ]>thresholdremainingpotentialnewcapacity,1,remainingpotentialRESelecafterintermitt [RESelec,scenarios]*(1/thresholdremainingpotentialnewcapacity)) Units:Dmnl ConstraintofremainingpotentialonnewRESeleccapacity. Anotheralternative:SQRT(remainingpotentialRESelecafter intermitt[RESelec,scenarios])(1220)remainingpotentialconstraintonnewRESheatcapacity[RESheat,scenarios ]= IF THEN ELSE(remaining potential RES for heat[RES heat,scenarios]>thresholdremainingpotentialnewcapacity ,1,remaining potential RES for heat[RES heat,scenarios]*(1/threshold remainingpotentialnewcapacity )) Units:Dmnl ConstraintofremainingpotentialonnewRESeleccapacity. Anotheralternative:SQRT(remainingpotentialRESelecafter intermitt[RESelec,scenarios])(1221)remainingpotentialconstraintonnewRESheatcapacity0[RESheat,scenarios ]= IF THEN ELSE(remaining potential RES for heat 0[RES heat,scenarios]>thresholdremainingpotentialnewcapacity ,1,remaining potential RES for heat 0[RES heat,scenarios]*(1/threshold remainingpotentialnewcapacity )) Units:Dmnl ConstraintofremainingpotentialonnewRESeleccapacity. Anotheralternative:SQRT(remainingpotentialRESelecafter intermitt[RESelec,scenarios])(1222)remainingpotentialCSP[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxpotentialRESelecTWh[CSP,scenarios]>realgenerationRESelecTWh [CSP,scenarios], (maxpotentialRESelecTWh[CSP,scenarios]-realgenerationRESelecTWh[CSP ,scenarios])/maxpotentialRESelecTWh[CSP,scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.



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(1223)remainingpotentialelecstoragebyREStechn[scenarios,RESelec]= IFTHENELSE("RESelecvariables?"[RESelec]=0,1, IFTHENELSE(maxcapacityelecstorage[scenarios]>=demandstoragecapacity [scenarios], (maxcapacityelecstorage[scenarios]-demandstoragecapacity[scenarios]) /maxcapacityelecstorage[scenarios],0)*"RESelecvariables?"[RESelec]) Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.This feedbackensuresthattheelectricitystoragelevelsrequiredby thepenetrationoftheRESvariablesforthegenerationof electricityarerespected.(1224)remainingpotentialelecstoragebyREStechn2[scenarios,RESelec]= IFTHENELSE(remainingpotentialelecstoragebyREStechn[scenarios,RESelec ]>threshold remaining potential new capacity,1,remaining potential elec storage by REStechn [scenarios,RESelec]*(1/thresholdremainingpotentialnewcapacity)) Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunityafter accountingforthreshold.(1225)"remainingpotentialgeot-elec"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxpotentialRESelecTWh["geot-elec",scenarios]> realgenerationRESelecTWh ["geot-elec",scenarios], (maxpotentialRESelecTWh["geot-elec",scenarios]-realgenerationRESelecTWh ["geot-elec",scenarios])/maxpotentialRESelecTWh["geot-elec",scenarios] ,0) Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.(1226)remainingpotentialhydro[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxpotentialRESelecTWh[hydro,scenarios]>realgenerationRESelecTWh [hydro,scenarios], (maxpotentialRESelecTWh[hydro,scenarios]-realgenerationRESelecTWh [hydro,scenarios])/maxpotentialRESelecTWh[hydro,scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.(1227)remainingpotentialoceanic[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxpotentialRESelecTWh[oceanic,scenarios]>realgenerationRESelecTWh



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[oceanic,scenarios], (maxpotentialRESelecTWh[oceanic,scenarios]-realgenerationRESelecTWh [oceanic,scenarios])/maxpotentialRESelecTWh[oceanic,scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.(1228)remainingpotentialoffshorewind[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxpotentialRESelecTWh[windoffshore,scenarios]>realgenerationRESelecTWh [windoffshore,scenarios], (maxpotentialRESelecTWh[windoffshore,scenarios]-realgenerationRESelecTWh [windoffshore,scenarios])/maxpotentialRESelecTWh[windoffshore,scenarios ],0) Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.(1229)remainingpotentialonshorewind[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxpotentialRESelecTWh[windonshore,scenarios]>realgenerationRESelecTWh [windonshore,scenarios], (maxpotentialRESelecTWh[windonshore,scenarios]-realgenerationRESelecTWh [windonshore,scenarios])/maxpotentialRESelecTWh[windonshore,scenarios ],0) Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.(1230)remainingpotentialRESelecafterintermitt[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(potentialRESelecafterintermittTWh[RESelec,scenarios]> potentialgenerationRESelecTWh[RESelec,scenarios],(potentialRESelecafterintermittTWh [RESelec,scenarios]-potentialgenerationRESelecTWh[RESelec,scenarios] )/potentialRESelecafterintermittTWh[RESelec,scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl (1231)remainingpotentialRESelecswitch[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(remainingpotentialRESelecafterintermitt[RESelec,scenarios ]<0.025,0,1) Units:Dmnl ThisvariabledetectswhenaRESelectechnologyhas(almost, 97.5%)reacheditsfullpotentialsothistechnologyisnot takenintoaccountintheestimationofthetotalEROI aggregatedforthecalculationofthemixallocation.(1232)remainingpotentialRESforheat[RESheat,scenarios]=



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(MaxFEpotentialRESforheat[RESheat,scenarios]-"potentialFESRESforheat-comEJ" [RESheat,scenarios]-"potentialFESRESforheat-ncEJ"[RESheat,scenarios ])/MaxFEpotentialRESforheat[RESheat,scenarios] Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasgivenasafractionofunity.(1233)remainingpotentialRESforheat0[RESheat,scenarios]= (MaxFEpotentialRESforheat[RESheat,scenarios]-potentialFESRESforheatEJ0 [RESheat,scenarios])/MaxFEpotentialRESforheat[RESheat,scenarios] Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasgivenasafractionofunity.(1234)"remainingpotentialsolar-elecPV"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxpotentialRESelecTWh[solarPV,scenarios]>realgenerationRESelecTWh [solarPV,scenarios], (maxpotentialRESelecTWh[solarPV,scenarios]-realgenerationRESelecTWh [solarPV,scenarios])/maxpotentialRESelecTWh[solarPV,scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.(1235)remainingpotentialtotRESelec[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxpotentialtotRESelecTWh[scenarios]>FEtotgenerationallRESelecTWh [scenarios],(maxpotentialtotRESelecTWh[scenarios]-FEtotgenerationallRESelecTWh [scenarios])/maxpotentialtotRESelecTWh[scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.(1236)remainingpotentialtotRESelecafterintermitt[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(potentialtotRESelecafterintermitt[scenarios]>FErealtotgenerationRESelecTWh [scenarios], (potentialtotRESelecafterintermitt[scenarios]-FErealtotgenerationRESelecTWh [scenarios])/potentialtotRESelecafterintermitt[scenarios],0) Units:**undefined** (1237)remainingpotentialtotRESheat[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxPEpotentialtotRESheatEJ[scenarios]>PEStotRESforheat [scenarios],(maxPEpotentialtotRESheatEJ [scenarios]-PEStotRESforheat[scenarios])/maxPEpotentialtotRESheatEJ [scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl



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Remainingpotentialavailableasafractionofunity.(1238)remainingrecyclingrateimprovforalttechnpermineral[materials, scenarios]= ZIDZ(Maxrecyclingratesminerals-recyclingratesmineralsalttechn[materials ,scenarios],Maxrecyclingratesminerals) Units:Dmnl Remainingrecyclingrateimprovementforalternative technologies(RESelec&EVbatteries)permaterial.(1239)remainingrecyclingrateimprovRestpermineral[materials,scenarios ]= ZIDZ(Maxrecyclingratesminerals-recyclingratesmineralsRest[materials ,scenarios],Maxrecyclingratesminerals) Units:Dmnl Remainingrecyclingrateimprovementfortherestoftheeconomy permaterial.(1240)"remainingsharetransm&distreleclosses"[scenarios]= ("Maxsharetransm&distreleclosses"-"sharetransm&distreleclosses"[scenarios ])/"Maxsharetransm&distreleclosses" Units:Dmnl Remainingshareinrelationtotheassumedmaximumtransmission anddistributionlosses.(1241)replacementCTL[scenarios]= IF THEN ELSE(Time<2015,0, IF THEN ELSE(check liquids[scenarios]<0, "constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?" [scenarios]*wearCTL [scenarios],wearCTL[scenarios]))*scarcityconvoil[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year (1242)replacementGTL[scenarios]= IF THEN ELSE(Time<2015,0, IF THEN ELSE(check liquids[scenarios]<0, "constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?" [scenarios]*wearGTL [scenarios],wearGTL[scenarios]))*scarcityconvoil[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year (1243)replacementnuclear[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2013,newcapacityinstallednuclear[scenarios], IFTHENELSE(selectionofnuclearscenario[scenarios]=2,0, IFTHENELSE(selectionofnuclearscenario[scenarios]=4,0,replacementratenuclear *wearnuclear[scenarios]*(1-nuclearovercapacity[scenarios]))))*Cplimitnuclear



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[scenarios] Units:TW Itisassumedthatthestepofplanningofreplaced infraestructurecanbedonewhiletheinfraestructuretobe replacedisstillunderoperation.(1244)replacementratenuclear= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','D15') Units:Dmnl If=1,weasumethatallthepowerthatreachestheendofits lifetimeisreplaced.(1245)replacementrateRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(potentialgenerationRESelecTWh[RESelec,scenarios]<potentialRESelecafterintermittTWh [RESelec,scenarios],1,0.9) Units:Dmnl ReplacementrateofRESforelectricity:bydefaultall decommissionedcapacityisreplaced(=1).Inthecaseof overcapacityinrelationtothepotentialafteraccountingfor intermittency,wereducetheannualreplacementrateto0.9.(1246)replacementRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0,replacementrateRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]*wearRESelec [RESelec,scenarios]*(1-RESelectotovercapacity [scenarios]))*remainingpotentialelecstoragebyREStechn2[scenarios,RESelec ] Units:TW AnnualreplacementofRESforelectricityheatbytechnology.It isassumedthatthestepofplanningofreplacedinfraestructure canbedonewhiletheinfraestructuretobereplacedisstill underoperation.(1247)replacementRESforheat0["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','D17') replacementRESforheat0["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','D18') replacementRESforheat0["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','D19') Units:Dmnl If=1,weasumethatallthepowerthatreachestheendofits lifetimeisreplaced.



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(1248)replacementRESforheatTW0[RESheat,scenarios]= wearREScapacityforheatTW0[RESheat,scenarios]*replacementRESforheat0 [RESheat]*(1-RESheattotovercapacity0[scenarios]) Units:TW/Year (1249)"replacementRESforheat-comTW"[RESheat,scenarios]= "wear RES capacity for heat-com TW"[RES heat, scenarios]*"replacement RES forheat-com" [RESheat]*(1-"RESheat-comtotovercapacity"[scenarios]) Units:TW/Year AnnualreplacementofRESforcommercialheatbytechnology.(1250)"replacementRESforheat-com"["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','D17') "replacementRESforheat-com"["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','D18') "replacementRESforheat-com"["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','D19') Units:Dmnl If=1,weasumethatallthepowerthatreachestheendofits lifetimeisreplaced.(1251)"replacementRESforheat-ncTW"[RESheat,scenarios]= "wearREScapacityforheat-ncTW"[RESheat,scenarios]*"replacementRESforheat-nc" [RESheat]*(1-"RESheat-nctotovercapacity"[scenarios]) Units:TW/Year AnnualreplacementofRESfornon-commercialheatbytechnology.(1252)"replacementRESforheat-nc"["solar-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','D17') "replacementRESforheat-nc"["geot-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','D18') "replacementRESforheat-nc"["solidbioE-heat"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','D19') Units:Dmnl If=1,weasumethatallthepowerthatreachestheendofits lifetimeisreplaced.(1253)RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,electricity]= RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,electricity] RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,heat]= RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,heat]*(1+"ratioFEDforheat-ncvsFEDforheat-com"



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[scenarios]) RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,liquids]= RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,liquids]*(1-shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel [liquids,scenarios]) RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,gases]= RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,gases]*(1-shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel [gases,scenarios]) RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,solids]= RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,solids]*(1-shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel [solids,scenarios]) Units:EJ Requiredfinalenergydemandbyfuelafterheatdemand correction.(1254)RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,finalsources ]= (required FED sectors by fuel[scenarios,final sources]+Households final energydemand [scenarios,finalsources]) *EROIFC[scenarios] Units:EJ Requiredfinalenergydemandbyfuelbeforeheatdemand correction.Thefinalenergydemandismodifiedwiththe feedbackfromthechangeoftheEROEI.(1255)RequiredFEDbygas[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,gases] Units:EJ Requiredfinalenergydemandbygas.(1256)RequiredFEDbyliquidsEJ[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,liquids] Units:EJ Requiredfinalenergydemandbyliquids.(1257)requiredFEDsectorsbyfuel[scenarios,finalsources]= SUM(Requiredfinalenergybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,sectors !]) Units:EJ (1258)RequiredFEDsolids[scenarios]=



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RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,solids] Units:EJ Requiredfinalenergydemandsolids.(1259)Requiredfinalenergyairtransport[scenarios,finalsources]= Requiredfinalenergybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,AirTransport ] Units:EJ/Year AirtransportfinalEnergyEJ(1260)Requiredfinalenergybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,sectors ]= Requiredtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,sectors]*Finalenergy intensitybysectorandfuel [scenarios,finalsources,sectors]/1e+006 Units:EJ Requiredfinalenergybysectorandfuel(35WIODsectors&5 finalsources).(1261)Requiredfinalenergyinlandtransport[scenarios,finalsources]= Requiredfinalenergybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,InlandTransport ] Units:EJ/Year Inlandtransportfinalenergy(1262)Requiredfinalenergyothertransport[scenarios,finalsources]= Requiredfinalenergybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ] Units:EJ/Year OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivities ofTravelAgenciesFinalEnergy(1263)Requiredfinalenergywatertransport[scenarios,finalsources]= Requiredfinalenergybysectorandfuel[scenarios,finalsources,WaterTransport ] Units:EJ/Year WatertransportfinalenergyEJ(1264)"Requiredheat-comafterCCimpacts"[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,heat]*(1+"shareE-lossesCC" [scenarios]*MethodCCimpacts) Units:EJ



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(1265)RequiredTFED[scenarios]= SUM(RequiredFEDbyfuel[scenarios,finalsources!]) Units:EJ Requiredtotalfinalenergydemandafterheatdemandcorrection.(1266)RequiredTFEDbeforeheatdemcorr[scenarios]= SUM(RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,finalsources!] ) Units:EJ Totalfinalenergydemandbeforeheatdemandcorrection.(1267)Requiredtotaloutputbysector[scenarios,sectors]= LeontiefMatrix[sectors,AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing]*Demandbysector [scenarios,AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,MiningandQuarrying]*Demandbysector[scenarios ,MiningandQuarrying]+LeontiefMatrix[ sectors , Food Beverages and Tobacco]*Demand by sector[scenarios,Food Beverages andTobacco ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,TextilesandTextileProducts ]*Demandbysector[scenarios,TextilesandTextileProducts]+LeontiefMatrix [sectors,LeatherLeatherandFootwear]*Demandbysector [scenarios,Leather Leather and Footwear]+ Leontief Matrix [sectors, Wood andProductsofWooodandCork ]*Demandbysector [scenarios,WoodandProductsofWooodandCork]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors ,PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing]*Demandbysector [scenarios,PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors, CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel]*Demandbysector [scenarios,CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors ,ChemicalsandChemicalproducts]*Demandbysector [scenarios,ChemicalsandChemicalproducts]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,RubberandPlastics ]*Demandbysector[scenarios, RubberandPlastics ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,OtherNonMetalicMineral]*Demandbysector [scenarios,OtherNonMetalicMineral]+LeontiefMatrix [sectors,BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal]*Demandbysector[scenarios, BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal]+LeontiefMatrix [sectors, Machinery Nec]*Demand by sector[scenarios,Machinery Nec]+ LeontiefMatrix [sectors,ElectricalandOpticalEquipment ]*Demandbysector[scenarios,ElectricalandOpticalEquipment]+LeontiefMatrix [sectors,TransportEquipment]*Demandbysector



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[scenarios,Transport Equipment]+ Leontief Matrix [sectors, Manufacturing NecRecycling ]*Demandbysector[scenarios,ManufacturingNecRecycling ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,ElectricityGasandWaterSupply]*Demandbysector [scenarios,ElectricityGasandWaterSupply ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,Construction]*Demandbysector[scenarios,Construction ]+ Leontief Matrix [sectors, Sale Maintenance and Repair of Motor Vehicles andaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ]*Demandbysector[scenarios,SaleMaintenanceandRepairofMotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ]+LeontiefMatrix [sectors,Wholesale Trade and Commissions Trade Except ofMotor vehicles andMotorcycles ]*Demandby sector[scenarios,Wholesale TradeandCommissions TradeExceptofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ]*Demandbysector [scenarios,Retail Trade Except of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles Repair ofHouseholdgoods ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors, HotelsandRestaurants ]*Demandbysector[scenarios,HotelsandRestaurants]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors ,InlandTransport]*Demandbysector[scenarios ,InlandTransport]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,WaterTransport]*Demandbysector [scenarios,WaterTransport]+LeontiefMatrix [sectors,AirTransport]*Demandbysector[scenarios,AirTransport]+LeontiefMatrix [sectors,OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ]*Demand by sector[scenarios,Other Supporting and Auxiliary Transport ActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ]+LeontiefMatrix [sectors,Post and Telecommunications]*Demand by sector[scenarios,Post andTelecommunications ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors ,FinancialIntermedation]*Demandbysector[scenarios,FinancialIntermedation ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,RealEstateActivities ]*Demandbysector[scenarios,RealEstateActivities]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors ,RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities ]*Demandbysector[scenarios,RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ]*Demandbysector[scenarios,PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,Education ]



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*Demandbysector[scenarios,Education]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,HealthandSocialWork ]*Demandbysector[scenarios,HealthandSocialWork ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ]*Demandbysector[scenarios,OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ]+LeontiefMatrix[sectors,PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons]*Demandbysector [scenarios,PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons ] Units:dollars Requiredtotaloutputbysector(35WIODsectors).US$1995(1268)RESelec: hydro,"geot-elec","solidbioE-elec",oceanic,windonshore,windoffshore ,solarPV,CSP (1269)"RESelecevolve?"[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','U13') "RESelecevolve?"["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','U7') "RESelecevolve?"["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','U8') "RESelecevolve?"[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','U9') "RESelecevolve?"[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','U10') "RESelecevolve?"[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','U12') "RESelecevolve?"[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','U11') "RESelecevolve?"[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','U16') Units:Dmnl (1270)RESelecgrowth[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("RESelecevolve?"[RESelec]=0,PRESelecgrowth[RESelec,scenarios ],pastRESeleccapacitygrowth[RESelec]*PRESelecgrowth[RESelec,scenarios ]) Units:1/Year Annualcapacitygrowthofnewcapacitydependingonthepolicy ofthescenario.(1271)RESelectotovercapacity[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(potentialtotgenerationRESelecTWh[scenarios]=0,0,



330

(potential tot generationRES elec TWh[scenarios]-FE real tot generationRES elecTWh [scenarios])/potentialtotgenerationRESelecTWh[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl OvercapacityforeachtechnologyRESforelectricitytakinginto accounttheinstalledcapacityandtherealgeneration.(1272)"RESelecvariables?"[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','X13') "RESelecvariables?"["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','X7') "RESelecvariables?"["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','X8') "RESelecvariables?"[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','X9') "RESelecvariables?"[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','X10') "RESelecvariables?"[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','X12') "RESelecvariables?"[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','X11') "RESelecvariables?"[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','X16') Units:Dmnl VectortodistinguisbetweenRESelecvariablesand dispatchables:*If=1,RESelecvariables(fullyendogenous calculationfromthematerialsrequirements).*If=0,RESelec dispatchables(partiallyendogenouscalculationrequiringa valueofEROIasstartingpoint).(1273)RESheat: "solar-heat","geot-heat","solidbioE-heat" (1274)RESheattotovercapacity0[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(potentialFEStotRESforheatEJ0[scenarios]=0,0, (potentialFEStotRESforheatEJ0[scenarios]-FErealsupplyRESforheattotEJ0 [scenarios])/potentialFEStotRESforheatEJ0 [scenarios]) Units:Dmnl OvercapacityforeachtechnologyRESforelectricitytakinginto accounttheinstalledcapacityandtherealgeneration.(1275)"RESheat-comtotovercapacity"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("potentialFEStotRESforheat-comEJ"[scenarios]=0,0,



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("potentialFEStotRESforheat-comEJ"[scenarios]-"FErealsupplyRESforheat-comtotEJ" [scenarios])/"potentialFEStotRESforheat-comEJ" [scenarios]) Units:Dmnl OvercapacityforeachtechnologyRESforheat-comtakinginto accounttheinstalledcapacityandtherealgeneration.(1276)"RESheat-nctotovercapacity"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("potentialFEStotRESforheat-ncEJ"[scenarios]=0,0, ("potentialFEStotRESforheat-ncEJ"[scenarios]-"FErealsupplyRESforheat-nctotEJ" [scenarios])/"potentialFEStotRESforheat-ncEJ" [scenarios]) Units:Dmnl OvercapacityforeachtechnologyRESforheat-nctakinginto accounttheinstalledcapacityandtherealgeneration.(1277)REStofossilaccounting= 1 Units:Dmnl Therearedifferentmethodstoreportprimaryenergy.If=1,it correspondswiththedirectequivalentmethodwhichcountsone unitofsecondaryenergyprovidedfromnon-combustiblesources asoneunitofprimaryenergy,thatis,1kWhof(useful) electricityorheatisaccountedforas1kWh=3.6MJof primaryenergy.FormoreinformationseeAnnexIIof(IPCC, 2011).(1278)rtelecstorageefficiency[scenarios]= (rtstorageefficiencyPHS*InstalledPHScapacity[scenarios]+rtstorageefficiencyEVbatteries *UsedEVbatteriesforstorage[scenarios])/(InstalledPHScapacity[scenarios ]+UsedEVbatteriesforstorage[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Round-tripstorageefficiencyofelectricstorage(PHSandEV batteries).(1279)rtstorageefficiencyEVbatteries= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G46') Units:Dmnl Round-tripstorageefficiencyofelectricbatteriesfrome electricvehicles.



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(1280)rtstorageefficiencyPHS= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G51') Units:Dmnl Round-tripstorageefficiency.(1281)RURRcoal[scenarios]=INTEG( -extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]-Flowcoalleftinground[scenarios], URRcoal[scenarios]-cumulatedcoalextractionto1995) Units:EJ RURRcoal.4400EJextractedbefore1990.(1282)RURRcoal2015= 20310 Units:EJ RURRofcoalin2015.(1283)RURRconvgas[scenarios]=INTEG( -Flowconvgasleftinground[scenarios]-extractionconvgasEJ[scenarios ], URRconvgas[scenarios]-cumulatedconvgasextractionto1995) Units:EJ RURRconventionalgas.(1284)RURRconvgas2015= 9619 Units:EJ RURRofconventionalnaturalgasin2015.(1285)RURRconvoil[scenarios]=INTEG( -extractionconvoilEJ[scenarios]-Flowconvoilleftinground[scenarios ], URRconvoil[scenarios]-cumulatedconvoilextractionto1995) Units:EJ RURRconventionaloil.(1286)RURRconvoil2015= 8986 Units:EJ RURRofconventionaloilin2015.(1287)RURRtotagggas[scenarios]=INTEG( -extractiontotagggasEJ[scenarios]-Flowtotagggasleftinground[scenarios ], URRtotagggas[scenarios]-cumulatedtotagggasextractionto1995)



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Units:EJ RURRtotalaggregatednaturalgas.(1288)RURRtotagggas2015= RURRconvgas2015+RURRunconvgas2015 Units:EJ RURRoftotalaggregatednaturalgasin2015.(1289)RURRtotaggoil[scenarios]=INTEG( -extractiontotaggoilEJ[scenarios]-Flowtotaggoilleftinground[scenarios ], URRtotaggoil[scenarios]-cumulatedtotaggextractionto1995) Units:EJ RURRtotalaggregatedoil.(1290)RURRtotaggoil2015= RURRconvoil2015+RURRunconvoil2015 Units:EJ RURRoftotalaggregatedoilin2015.(1291)RURRunconvgas[scenarios]=INTEG( -extractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios]-Flowunconvgasleftinground[scenarios ], URRunconvgas[scenarios]-cumulatedunconvgasextractionto1995) Units:EJ RURRunconventionalgas.(1292)RURRunconvgas2015= 14420 Units:EJ RURRofunconventionalnaturalgasin2015.(1293)RURRunconvoil2015= 21890 Units:EJ RURRofunconventionaloilin2015.(1294)RURRunconvoilEJ[scenarios]=INTEG( -extractionunconvoilEJ[scenarios]-Flowunconvoilleftinground[scenarios ], URRunconvoil[scenarios]-cumulatedunconvoilextractionto1995) Units:EJ RURRunconventionaloil.



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(1295)RURRuranium[scenarios]=INTEG( -extractionuraniumEJ[scenarios], URRuranium[scenarios]-cumulateduraniumextractionto1995) Units:EJ RURRuranium.720EJextractedbefore1990.(1296)SAVEPER= TIMESTEP Units:Year[0,?] Thefrequencywithwhichoutputisstored.(1297)savinratio2wE= 1/3 Units:**undefined** revisardato,ahorroelectricorespectoaliquidosenmotos(1298)savingratiosV[HVliq]= 1 savingratiosV[HVhib]= 0.6 savingratiosV[HVgas]= 1 savingratiosV[LVliq]= 1 savingratiosV[LVelec]= 0.333 savingratiosV[LVhib]= 0.6 savingratiosV[LVgas]= 1 savingratiosV[busliq]= 1 savingratiosV[bushib]= 0.6 savingratiosV[busgas]= 1 savingratiosV[trainliq]= 1 savingratiosV[trainelec]= 0.42 savingratiosV[buselec]= 0.333 Units:**undefined** savingratiosofdiferentevehiclesperKmcomparedto



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conventionalliquidsvechicles(1299)scarcityconvgas[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]=0,0, IFTHENELSE(maxextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]>=extractionconvgasEJ [scenarios],1-((maxextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]-extractionconvgasEJ [scenarios])/maxextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios])^exponentavailabilityconvgas ,0)) Units:Dmnl Prioritytoconventionalresourcetocoverthedemandwhilethe maximumextractionlevelofenergy/timeisnotreached.(1300)scarcityconvgasdelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( scarcityconvgas[scenarios],1,0.2502) Units:Dmnl (1301)scarcityconvgasstock[scenarios]=INTEG( increasescarcityconvgas[scenarios], 0.2502) Units:Dmnl (1302)scarcityconvoil[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(maxextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios]=0,0, IFTHENELSE(maxextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios]>=extractionconvoilEJ [scenarios],1-((maxextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios ]-extractionconvoilEJ[scenarios])/maxextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios] )^exponentavailabilityconvoil,0)) Units:Dmnl Prioritytoconventionalresourcetocoverthedemandwhilethe maximumextractionlevelofenergy/timeisnotreached.If scarcity=1thereisnomoreavailableflowtobeextracted.(1303)scarcityconvoildelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( scarcityconvoil[scenarios],1,0.3989) Units:Dmnl (1304)scarcityconvoilstock[scenarios]=INTEG( increasescarcityconvoil[scenarios], 0.3989) Units:Dmnl (1305)scenarios: SCEN1,SCEN2,SCEN3,SCEN4,BAU,Userdefined



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(1306)sectors: AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing,MiningandQuarrying,FoodBeveragesandTobacco ,TextilesandTextileProducts,LeatherLeatherandFootwear,WoodandProductsofWooodandCork ,PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing,CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel ,ChemicalsandChemicalproducts,RubberandPlastics,OtherNonMetalicMineral ,BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal,MachineryNec,ElectricalandOpticalEquipment ,TransportEquipment,ManufacturingNecRecycling,ElectricityGasandWaterSupply ,Construction,SaleMaintenanceandRepairofMotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,WholesaleTradeandCommissionsTradeExceptofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ,HotelsandRestaurants,InlandTransport,WaterTransport,AirTransport ,OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,PostandTelecommunications,FinancialIntermedation,RealEstateActivities ,RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities,PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,Education,HealthandSocialWork,OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ,PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons (1307)sectors1: AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing,MiningandQuarrying,FoodBeveragesandTobacco ,TextilesandTextileProducts,LeatherLeatherandFootwear,WoodandProductsofWooodandCork ,PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing,CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel ,ChemicalsandChemicalproducts,RubberandPlastics,OtherNonMetalicMineral ,BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal,MachineryNec,ElectricalandOpticalEquipment ,TransportEquipment,ManufacturingNecRecycling,ElectricityGasandWaterSupply ,Construction,SaleMaintenanceandRepairofMotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,WholesaleTradeandCommissionsTradeExceptofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ,HotelsandRestaurants,InlandTransport,WaterTransport,AirTransport ,OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,PostandTelecommunications,FinancialIntermedation,RealEstateActivities ,RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities,PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,Education,HealthandSocialWork,OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ,PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons (1308)Selectionconstraintextractionunconvgas[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D96')



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Selectionconstraintextractionunconvgas[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D96') Selectionconstraintextractionunconvgas[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D96') Selectionconstraintextractionunconvgas[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D96') Selectionconstraintextractionunconvgas[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D96') Selectionconstraintextractionunconvgas[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D96') Units:Dmnl Selectionoftypeofconstrainttoannualgrowthextractionof unconventionalgas:3?1=Constraintannualgrowth(%)2=User definedasafunctionoftime(1309)Selectionconstraintextractionunconvoil[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D80') Selectionconstraintextractionunconvoil[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D80') Selectionconstraintextractionunconvoil[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D80') Selectionconstraintextractionunconvoil[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D80') Selectionconstraintextractionunconvoil[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D80') Selectionconstraintextractionunconvoil[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D80') Units:Dmnl Selectionoftypeofconstrainttoannualgrowthextractionof unconventionaloil:1=Constraintannualgrowth(%)2=User definedasafunctionoftime(1310)selectionofnuclearscenario[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','D19') selectionofnuclearscenario[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','D19') selectionofnuclearscenario[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','D19') selectionofnuclearscenario[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','D19') selectionofnuclearscenario[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','D19') selectionofnuclearscenario[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','D19')



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Units:Dmnl If=1:Constantpowercapacityatcurrentlevels,If=2:No morenuclearinstalled,currentcapacitydepreciates,If=3: Growthofnuclearpower.(1311)selectionshapeELF= 1 Units:Dmnl Parametertoselectdifferentshapesfortheenergylosses function:1:logistic(1312)"self-electricityconsumptionRESelec"[hydro]= 0 "self-electricityconsumptionRESelec"["geot-elec"]= 0 "self-electricityconsumptionRESelec"["solidbioE-elec"]= 0 "self-electricityconsumptionRESelec"[oceanic]= 0 "self-electricityconsumptionRESelec"[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D120') "self-electricityconsumptionRESelec"[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E120') "self-electricityconsumptionRESelec"[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C120') "self-electricityconsumptionRESelec"[CSP]= 0 Units:Dmnl (1313)"separateconvandunconvgas?"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C83') "separateconvandunconvgas?"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C83') "separateconvandunconvgas?"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C83') "separateconvandunconvgas?"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C83') "separateconvandunconvgas?"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C83') "separateconvandunconvgas?"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C83') Units:Dmnl Switchtodisaggregatebetweenconventionalandunconventional fuel:"1"=disaggregation,"0"=conv+unconvaggregated(all



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thegasflowsthenthroughtherightsideofthisview,i.e.the "conventionalgas"modellingside).(1314)"separateconvandunconvoil?"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C67') "separateconvandunconvoil?"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C67') "separateconvandunconvoil?"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C67') "separateconvandunconvoil?"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C67') "separateconvandunconvoil?"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C67') "separateconvandunconvoil?"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C67') Units:Dmnl Switchtodisaggregatebetweenconventionalandunconventional fuel:"1"=disaggregation,"0"=conv+unconvaggregated(all theoilflowsthenthroughtherightsideofthisview,i.e.the "conventionaloil"modellingside).(1315)sharebiofuelsovercapacity[scenarios]= ZIDZ((PotentialPEavailtotalbiofuels[scenarios]-FEStotalbiofuelsproductionEJ2 [scenarios]),PotentialPEavailtotalbiofuels[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl (1316)"sharecapacitystorage/RESelecvar"[scenarios]= 0.099+0.1132*shareElecdemandcoveredbyRES[scenarios] Units:Dmnl Shareinstalledcapacityofstoragevsinstalledcapacityof variableRESforelectricity.EstimationfromNREL(2012).(1317)shareCCnextstep[sectors]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Economy','554','C349') Units:Dmnl (1318)shareCCsectoral[sectors]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Economy','348','B349') Units:Dmnl Sectoralshareofcapitalcompensation.(Capital compensation[i]/Totalcapitalcompensation)(1319)sharecellulosicbiofuelsvsBioEresidues[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C51')



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sharecellulosicbiofuelsvsBioEresidues[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C51') sharecellulosicbiofuelsvsBioEresidues[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C51') sharecellulosicbiofuelsvsBioEresidues[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C51') sharecellulosicbiofuelsvsBioEresidues[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C51') sharecellulosicbiofuelsvsBioEresidues[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C51') Units:Dmnl Sharebioenergyresiduespotentialallocatedtocellulosic biofuelsproduction.(1320)shareCHPplantscoal= 1-historicshareCHPplantsgas-shareCHPplantsoil Units:Dmnl CoalisassumedtocovertherestoftheCHPplantsdemandafter RES,nuclear,oilandgas.(1321)shareCHPplantsoil= MAX(IFTHENELSE(Time>2014,-0.002985*(Time)+6.04554,historicshareCHPplantsoil ),0) Units:Dmnl Oilshareofheatdemand.Sincethissharehasbeenfalling globallysincethefirstoilshock,andgiventhedifficulties tosubstituteoilinothersectors(e.g.Transportation)and thattherearemanymoreresourcesthatcansupplyheat,we assumeanexogenouslineardecreasingtrendfortheoilshareof heatdemandtoreach0%around2025.(1322)sharecoaldemforElec[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(PEDcoalEJ[scenarios]>0,PEdemandcoalElecplantsEJ[scenarios ]/PEDcoalEJ[scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl ShareofcoaldemandtocoverelectricityconsumptioninElec plants.(1323)"sharecoaldemforHeat-com"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(PEDcoalEJ[scenarios]>0,PEDcoalforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios ]/PEDcoalEJ[scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl Shareofcoaldemandtocovercommercialheatconsumptionin



341

Heatplants.(1324)"sharecoaldemforHeat-nc"[scenarios]= ZIDZ("PEDcoalHeat-nc"[scenarios],PEDcoalEJ[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Shareofcoaldemandtocovernon-commercialheatconsumptionin Heatplants.(1325)sharecoalforElec[scenarios]= 1-"sharegas/(coal+gas)forElec"[scenarios] Units:Dmnl Coalisassumedtocovertherestoftheelectricitydemand afterRES,nuclear,oilandgas.(1326)"sharecoal(coal+gas)forheatplants"= 1-"sharegas/(coal+gas)forheatplants" Units:Dmnl CoalisassumedtocovertherestoftheheatdemandafterRES, nuclear,oilandgas.(1327)shareconsumgovermentandinventories[sectors]= shareinventories[sectors]+shareconsumgoverments[sectors] Units:Dmnl (1328)shareconsumgoverments[sectors]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Economy','392','B393') Units:Dmnl (1329)shareconsumgovermentsandinventoriesnextstep[sectors]= shareconsumgovermentsnextstep[sectors]+shareinventoriesnextstep[sectors ] Units:Dmnl SumofshareofPublicexpendituresandchangesininventories.(1330)shareconsumgovermentsnextstep[sectors]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Economy','554','C393') Units:Dmnl Shareofpublicexpendituresovertotal(1331)shareconvgasvstotagg[scenarios]= 1-shareunconvgasvstotagg[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (1332)shareconvoilvstotagg[scenarios]=



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1-shareunconvoilvstotagg[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (1333)shareconvvstotalgasextraction[scenarios]= ZIDZ(realextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios],(realextractionconvgasEJ [scenarios]+realextractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios])) Units:EJ Shareofconventionalgasvstotalgasextracted.(1334)shareconvvstotaloilextraction[scenarios]= ZIDZ(realextractionconvoilEJ[scenarios],(realextractionconvoilEJ [scenarios]+realextractionunconvoilEJ[scenarios])) Units:EJ Shareofconventionaloilvstotaloilextracted.(1335)"shareCTL+GTLovercapacity"[scenarios]= ZIDZ(("PotentialFESCTL+GTLEJ"[scenarios]-"FESCTL+GTLEJ"[scenarios]) ,"PotentialFESCTL+GTLEJ"[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl (1336)sharecumdemmaterialstoextractalttechnvstotal[materials,scenarios ]= IFTHENELSE(totalcumulativedemandmaterialstoextractfrom2015[materials ,scenarios]<=0,0,(cummaterialstoextractforalttechnfrom2015[materials ,scenarios])/totalcumulativedemandmaterialstoextractfrom2015[materials ,scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Yearlyshareofcumulativedemandofmaterialstoextractfor alternativetechnologies(RESelec&EVbatteries)vs.total.(1337)Sharedemandbyfuelintransport[scenarios,finalsources]= TotaltransportFEDbyfuel[scenarios,finalsources]/TransportTFED[scenarios ] Units:Dmnl Sharedemandbyfuelintransport(1338)Sharedemandelectricityintransport[scenarios]= Sharedemandbyfuelintransport[scenarios,electricity] Units:Dmnl Shareofelectricityintransport(1339)Sharedemandgasintransport[scenarios]= Sharedemandbyfuelintransport[scenarios,gases] Units:Dmnl



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Shareofgasintransport(1340)Sharedemandheatintransport[scenarios]= Sharedemandbyfuelintransport[scenarios,heat] Units:Dmnl Sharedemandheatintransport(1341)Sharedemandliquidsintransport[scenarios]= Sharedemandbyfuelintransport[scenarios,liquids] Units:Dmnl Shareofliquidsintransport(1342)Sharedemandsolidsintransport[scenarios]= Sharedemandbyfuelintransport[scenarios,solids] Units:Dmnl Sharedemandsolidsintransport(1343)"shareE-lossesCClogisticfrom2015"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0,MAX(0,MIN(1,"shareE-lossesCClogistic"[scenarios ]-"share-ElossesCClogisticuntil2015"[scenarios]))) Units:Dmnl WeinitializetheshareofenergylossesinrelationtoTFEDto theyear2015((optimistic)assumptionthattherehavenotbeen lossesbefore2015).(1344)"shareE-lossesCClogistic"[scenarios]= 1-1/(1+EXP((CO2ppmconcentrations[scenarios]-alogistic)/blogistic)) Units:Dmnl Logisticequationthatestimatestheshareofenergylossesin relationtoTFEDduetoclimatechangeimpactsgiventhelevel ofCO2concentrationlevels.(1345)"shareE-lossesCC"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0, IFTHENELSE("activateELFallscen?"[scenarios]=0,0, IFTHENELSE("activateELFbyscen?"[scenarios]=0,0, IFTHENELSE(selectionshapeELF=0,0, IFTHENELSE(selectionshapeELF=1,"shareE-lossesCClogisticfrom2015" [scenarios],0))))) Units:Dmnl ShareofenergylossesinrelationtoTFEDduetoclimatechange impacts.(1346)shareefficiencybiogasforelecinCHPplants=



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efficiencybiogasforelecCHPplants/(efficiencybiogasforelecCHPplants +efficiencybiogasforheatCHPplants) Units:Dmnl (1347)shareefficiencywasteforelecinCHPplants= efficiencywasteforelecCHPplants/(efficiencywasteforelecCHPplants +efficiencywasteforheatCHPplants) Units:Dmnl (1348)shareElecdemandcoveredbyRES[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(TotalFEElecdemandTWh[scenarios]>0,FEtotgenerationallRESelecTWh [scenarios]/TotalFEElecdemandTWh[scenarios],0.5) Units:Dmnl ShareoftheelectricitydemandcoveredbyRES.Conditionto avoiderrorwhenthedenominatoriszero(0.5isanarbitrary value).(1349)"shareElec+Hibvehicles"[scenarios]= (NHibLDvehicles[scenarios]+NElecLDvehicles[scenarios])/NTotalLDvehicles [scenarios] Units:Dmnl Shareofelectricity+hibridLDvehicles(1350)shareelectricityvsTFES[scenarios]= realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,electricity]/SUM(realFEconsumptionbyfuel [scenarios,finalsources!]) Units:Dmnl ShareofelectricityvsTFES.(1351)shareenergyformaterialconsumptionforalttechnvsTFEC[scenarios ]= Totalenergyrequiredfortotalmaterialconsumptionforalttechn[scenarios ]/RealTFEC[scenarios] Units:Dmnl Shareofenergyrequirementsforalternativetechnologies(RES elec&EVBatteries)vsTFES.(1352)shareextramonetinvesttocopewithvariableElecRES[scenarios]= extramonetinvesttocopewithvariableElecRES[scenarios]/TotalmonetinvestRESforelecTdolar [scenarios] Units:**undefined** Shareoftheanualadditionalmonetaryinvestmenttocopewith



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theintermittencyofRES(takingwindasaproxy)inrelationto thetotalinvestmentforRES.(1353)"shareFEDcoalvsNREheat-nc"[scenarios]= ZIDZ("FEDcoalforheat-nc"[scenarios],"FEDNREforheat-nc"[scenarios ]) Units:Dmnl Sharecoalvsnon-renewableenergysourcesfornon-commercial heatgeneration.(1354)"shareFEDgasvsNREheat-nc"[scenarios]= ZIDZ("FEDnat.gasforheat-nc"[scenarios],"FEDNREforheat-nc"[scenarios ]) Units:Dmnl Sharegasvsnon-renewableenergysourcesfornon-commercial heatgeneration.(1355)"ShareFEDheat-comvstotalheat"[scenarios]= "TotalFEDHeat-comEJ"[scenarios]/(TotalFEDHeatEJ[scenarios]+"TotalFEDHeat-comEJ" [scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Shareofcommercialheatinrelationtototalfinalenergyuse forheat.(1356)"shareFEDliquidsvsNREheat-nc"[scenarios]= ZIDZ("FEDoilforheat-nc"[scenarios],"FEDNREforheat-nc"[scenarios] ) Units:Dmnl Shareliquidsvsnon-renewableenergysourcesfornon-commercial heatgeneration.(1357)shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel[electricity,scenarios]= 0*"Deactivateheatdemcorrection?" shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel[heat,scenarios]= 0*"Deactivateheatdemcorrection?" shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel[liquids,scenarios]= shareFEHoverFEDoil*"Deactivateheatdemcorrection?" shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel[gases,scenarios]= "shareFEHoverFEDnat.gas"*"Deactivateheatdemcorrection?" shareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel[solids,scenarios]= (share FEH over FED coal+share FEH over FED solid bioE)*"Deactivate heat demcorrection?" Units:Dmnl



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ShareFEHoverFEDbyfinalfuel.(1358)shareFEHoverFEDcoal= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','K40') Units:Dmnl EstimatedshareofFEHoverFEDforcoalsolids(IEA,2014and owncalculations).GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx', 'Parameters','K40')FEHcoaldelayed[scenarios]/RequiredFEDby fuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,solids](1359)"shareFEHoverFEDnat.gas"= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','K39') Units:Dmnl EstimatedshareofFEHoverFEDforgases(IEA,2014andown calculations).GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters', 'K39')FEHgasdelayed[scenarios]/RequiredFEDbyfuelbefore heatcorrection[scenarios,gases](1360)shareFEHoverFEDoil= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','K38') Units:Dmnl EstimatedshareofFEHoverFEDforliquids(IEA,2014andown calculations).GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters', 'K38')FEHoildelayed[scenarios]/RequiredFEDbyfuelbefore heatcorrection[scenarios,liquids](1361)shareFEHoverFEDsolidbioE= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','K41') Units:Dmnl EstimatedshareofFEHoverFEDforsolidbioenergyfortheyear 2011(IEA,2014andowncalculations).(1362)sharegasforoilrefinerygains[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("PEDnat.gaswithoutGTL"[scenarios]>0,demandgasforoilrefinerygains [scenarios]/"PEDnat.gaswithoutGTL"[scenarios],0.5) Units:Dmnl Shareofgastocoveroilrefinerygains.Conditiontoavoid errorwhenthetotaldemandofgaswithoutGTLfallstozero (0.5isanarbitraryvalue).(1363)"sharegas/(coal+gas)forElec"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2014,"futuresharegas/(coal+gas)forElec","Histsharegas/(coal+gas)Elec"



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) Units:Dmnl Shareofnaturalgasforelectricityinrelationtothetotal fossilfuelsforelectricity.(1364)"sharegas/(coal+gas)forheatplants":INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H72') Units:Dmnl Shareofnaturalgasforelectricityinrelationtothetotal fossilfuelsforheat(1365)"sharegasesdemforHeat-nc"[scenarios]= ZIDZ("PEDgasHeat-nc"[scenarios],(PESgases[scenarios]-"PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ" [scenarios])) Units:Dmnl Shareofnaturalgasdemandfornon-commercialHeatplantsin relationtothedemandofnaturalfossilgas.(1366)sharegasesforfinalenergy[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbygas[scenarios]/(PEDgases[scenarios]-"PEDnat.gasforGTLEJ" [scenarios]-"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts" [scenarios,gases]-Othergasesrequired[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl (1367)sharegasesvsTFES[scenarios]= realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,gases]/SUM(realFEconsumptionbyfuel [scenarios,finalsources!]) Units:Dmnl ShareofgasesvsTFES.(1368)shareglobalpopdependentontradbiomass[scenarios]= Populationdependentontradbiomass[scenarios]/Population[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (1369)Shareheatdistributionlosses= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C77') Units:Dmnl Currentshareofheattransmissionanddistributionlossesin relationtoheatconsumption.Wedefinetheselossesataround 6.5%followinghistoricaldataofIEAdatabase.(1370)shareheatvsTFES[scenarios]= realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,heat]/SUM(realFEconsumptionbyfuel [scenarios,finalsources!])



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Units:Dmnl ShareofheatvsTFES.(1371)"Shareheat-comCHPplantsNREvsNREtotheat-comgeneration":INTERPOLATE: := GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Constants','25','H29') Units:Dmnl ShareofcommercialheatproducedinCHPplantsfrom non-renewableenergiesvs.totalcommercialheatgenerationfrom NRE.(1372)shareinventories[sectors]:= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Economy','392','B432') Units:Dmnl (1373)shareinventoriesnextstep[sectors]:INTERPOLATE::= GETXLSDATA('inputs.xlsx','Economy','554','C432') Units:Dmnl (1374)Sharelandcompetbiofuels[scenarios]= Landcompetrequireddedicatedcropsforbiofuels[scenarios]/Globalarableland Units:**undefined** Shareofglobalarablelandrequiredbydedicatedcropsfor biofuels(inlandcompetition).(1375)sharelandRESlandcompetvsarable[scenarios]= (Landcompetrequireddedicatedcropsforbiofuels[scenarios]+surfacesolarPVMha [scenarios])/Globalarableland Units:Dmnl LandrequirementsforRESthatcompetewithotherland-uses (solaronlandandbiofuelsonlandcompetition)asashareof theglobalarableland.(1376)sharelandtotalRESvsarable[scenarios]= TotallandrequirementsrenewMha[scenarios]/Globalarableland Units:MHa LandrequirementsforallRESasashareoftheglobalarable land.(1377)sharelandtotalRESvsurbansurface[scenarios]= TotallandrequirementsrenewMha[scenarios]/urbansurface2008 Units:**undefined** LandrequirementsforallRESasashareoftheglobalurban land.



349

(1378)"shareliquidsdemforHeat-nc"[scenarios]= ZIDZ("PEDliquidsHeat-nc"[scenarios],PESLiquidsEJ[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Shareofliquidsdemandfornon-commercialHeatplantsin relationtothetotaldemandofliquids.(1379)shareliquidsforfinalenergy[scenarios]= RequiredFEDbyliquidsEJ[scenarios]/(PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios]-"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts" [scenarios,liquids]-OtherliquidsrequiredEJ[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl (1380)shareliquidsfotheatplants[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2014,Historicshareliquidsforheatplants, IFTHENELSE("reduceoilshareforheat-com?"[scenarios]=1,MAX(0,-0.005936 *(Time)+12.0211),Historicshareliquidsforheatplants)) Units:Dmnl Oilshareofheatdemand.Sincethissharehasbeenfalling globallysincethefirstoilshock,andgiventhedifficulties tosubstituteoilinothersectors(e.g.Transportation)and thattherearemanymoreresourcesthatcansupplyheat,we assumeanexogenouslineardecreasingtrendfortheoilshareof heatdemandtoreach0%around2025.(1381)shareliquidsvsTFES[scenarios]= realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,liquids]/SUM(realFEconsumptionbyfuel [scenarios,finalsources!]) Units:Dmnl ShareofliquidsvsTFES.(1382)sharematerialscumdemandtoextractvsreservesforRESelec[materials ,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(currentmineralreservesMt[materials]=0,0,cummaterialstoextractforalttechnfrom2015 [materials,scenarios]/currentmineralreservesMt[materials]) Units:Dmnl ShareofmaterialscumulativedemandtoextractinminesforRES elecvsreservesofeachmaterial.(1383)sharematerialscumdemandtoextractvsresourcesforRESelec[materials ,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(currentmineralresourcesMt[materials]=0,0,cummaterialstoextractforalttechnfrom2015



350

[materials,scenarios]/currentmineralresourcesMt[materials]) Units:Dmnl ShareofmaterialscumulativedemandtoextractinminesforRES elecvsresourcesofeachmaterial.(1384)sharemineralsconsumptionalttechnvstotaleconomy[materials,scenarios ]= ZIDZ("TotalmaterialsrequiredforRESelec+EVbatteriesMt"[materials ,scenarios],(MineralsconsumptionestimationRestcterr[materials,scenarios ]+"TotalmaterialsrequiredforRESelec+EVbatteriesMt"[materials,scenarios ])) Units:Dmnl (1385)"sharenat.gasdemforElec"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios]>0,PEdemandgasElecplantsEJ [scenarios]/"PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl Shareofnaturalgasdemandtocoverelectricityconsumption.(1386)"sharenat.gasdemforHeat-com"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios]>0,PEDgasesforHeatplantsEJ [scenarios]/"PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl ShareofnaturalgasdemandforcommercialHeatplantsin relationtothedemandofnaturalfossilgas.(1387)shareofelectricLDvehicles[scenarios]= NElecLDvehicles[scenarios]/NTotalLDvehicles[scenarios] Units:Dmnl ShareofelectricLDvehicles(1388)shareofheatproductioninCHPplantsvstotalnucelarelecgeneration = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G60') Units:Dmnl ShareofheatproductioninCHPplantsvstotalnucelarelec generation.(1389)shareoildemforElec[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]>0,PEdemandoilElecplantsEJ[ scenarios]/PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl Shareofoildemandtocoverelectricityconsumption.



351

(1390)"shareoildemforHeat-com"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]>0,PEDoilforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios ]/PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios],0) Units:Dmnl ShareofoildemandforcommercialHeatplantsinrelationto thetotaldemandofoil.(1391)shareoilforElec[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2010,HistshareoilElec, IFTHENELSE("reduceoilshareforelectricity?"[scenarios]=1,MAX(-0.0029251 *Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)+5.91871,0),HistshareoilElec)) Units:Dmnl Oilshareofelectricitydemand.Sincethissharehasbeen fallinggloballysincethefirstoilshock,andgiventhe difficultiestosubstituteoilinothersectors(e.g. Transportation)andthattherearemanymoreresourcesthatcan supplyelectricity,weassumeanexogenouslineardecreasing trendfortheoilshareofelectricitydemandtoreach0%around 2025.SeeTechnicalReport.IFTHENELSE(Time>2010, MAX(-0.0029251*Timedmnl[scenarios](Time)+5.91871,0),Histshare oilElec)(1392)shareothercumulativedemandtoextractvsreservesmaterials[materials ,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(currentmineralreservesMt[materials]<=0,0,cummaterialstoextractRestfrom2015 [materials,scenarios]/currentmineralreservesMt[materials]) Units:Dmnl Yearlyshareofothercumulativedemandtobeextractedinmines ofmaterialsvs.reserves.(1393)shareothercumulativedemandtoextractvsresourcesmaterials[materials ,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(currentmineralresourcesMt[materials]<=0,0,cummaterialstoextractRestfrom2015 [materials,scenarios]/currentmineralresourcesMt[materials]) Units:Dmnl Yearlyshareofothercumulativedemandtobeextractedinmines ofmaterialsvs.resources.(1394)sharePESbiogasforCHP= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G81') Units:Dmnl ShareofPESbiogasforCHPplants.



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(1395)sharePESbiogasforelec[scenarios]= PEStotbiogasforelec[scenarios]/PESBiogasEJ[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (1396)sharePESbiogasforelecplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G80') Units:Dmnl ShareofPESbiogasforelecplants.(1397)sharePESbiogasforheat[scenarios]= "PEStotbiogasforheat-com"[scenarios]/PESBiogasEJ[scenarios] Units:Dmnl (1398)"sharePESbiogasforheat-complants"= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G79') Units:Dmnl ShareofPESbiogasforcommercialheatplants.(1399)sharePESbiogasTFC= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G82') Units:Dmnl ShareofPESbiogasfortotalfinalconsumption.(1400)sharePESwasteforCHP= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C81') Units:Dmnl ShareofPESwasteforCHPplants.(1401)sharePESwasteforelecplants= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C80') Units:Dmnl ShareofPESwasteforelecplants.(1402)"sharePESwasteforheat-complants"= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C79') Units:Dmnl ShareofPESwasteforcommercialheatplants.(1403)sharePESwasteTFC= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C82') Units:Dmnl ShareofPESwastefortotalfinalconsumption.



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(1404)shareRESelectricitygeneration[scenarios]= FEtotgenerationallRESelecTWh[scenarios]/TotalFEElecgenerationTWh [scenarios] Units:Dmnl ShareofRESintheelectricitygeneration.(1405)shareRESforElecvsTPERES[scenarios]= PEElecgenerationfromRESEJ[scenarios]/("PEsupplyRESnon-ElecEJ"[scenarios ]+PEElecgenerationfromRESEJ[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl ShareofRESforelectricityinrelationtoTPERES.(1406)shareRESheatgeneration[scenarios]= FESRESforheatEJ[scenarios]/TotalFEHeatgenerationEJ[scenarios] Units:Dmnl ShareofRESinthetotalheatgeneration.(1407)shareRESvsTFEC[scenarios]= ZIDZ(TFECRESEJ[scenarios],RealTFEC[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl ShareoftotalfinalenergyconsumptionfromRESoverthetotal.(1408)shareRESvsTFECdelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( shareRESvsTFEC[scenarios],1,0.1614) Units:Dmnl (1409)shareRESvsTPES[scenarios]= TPEfromRESEJ[scenarios]/TPESEJ[scenarios] Units:Dmnl ShareofprimaryenergyfromRESintheTPES.(1410)shareRESvsTPESdelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( shareRESvsTPES[scenarios],1,0.123) Units:Dmnl (1411)shareRURRcoaltoleaveunderground[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C131') shareRURRcoaltoleaveunderground[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C131') shareRURRcoaltoleaveunderground[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C131') shareRURRcoaltoleaveunderground[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C131') shareRURRcoaltoleaveunderground[SCEN4]=



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GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C131') shareRURRcoaltoleaveunderground[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C131') Units:Dmnl RURR'scoaltobeleftinthegroundasashareoftheRURRin theyear2015.(1412)shareRURRconvgastoleaveunderground[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C127') shareRURRconvgastoleaveunderground[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C127') shareRURRconvgastoleaveunderground[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C127') shareRURRconvgastoleaveunderground[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C127') shareRURRconvgastoleaveunderground[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C127') shareRURRconvgastoleaveunderground[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C127') Units:Dmnl RURR'sconventionalgastobeleftinthegroundasashareof theRURRintheyear2015.(1413)shareRURRconvoiltoleaveunderground[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C123') shareRURRconvoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C123') shareRURRconvoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C123') shareRURRconvoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C123') shareRURRconvoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C123') shareRURRconvoiltoleaveunderground[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C123') Units:Dmnl RURR'sconventionaloiltobeleftinthegroundasashareof theRURRintheyear2015.(1414)shareRURRtotagggastoleaveunderground[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F128') shareRURRtotagggastoleaveunderground[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F128') shareRURRtotagggastoleaveunderground[SCEN2]=



355

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F128') shareRURRtotagggastoleaveunderground[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F128') shareRURRtotagggastoleaveunderground[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F128') shareRURRtotagggastoleaveunderground[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F128') Units:Dmnl RURR'stotalaggregatednaturalgastobeleftinthegroundas ashareoftheRURRintheyear2015.(1415)shareRURRtotaggoiltoleaveunderground[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F124') shareRURRtotaggoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F124') shareRURRtotaggoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F124') shareRURRtotaggoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F124') shareRURRtotaggoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F124') shareRURRtotaggoiltoleaveunderground[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F124') Units:Dmnl RURR'stotalaggregatoidoiltobeleftinthegroundasashare oftheRURRintheyear2015.(1416)shareRURRunconvgastoleaveunderground[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C129') shareRURRunconvgastoleaveunderground[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C129') shareRURRunconvgastoleaveunderground[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C129') shareRURRunconvgastoleaveunderground[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C129') shareRURRunconvgastoleaveunderground[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C129') shareRURRunconvgastoleaveunderground[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C129') Units:Dmnl RURR'sunconventionalnaturalgastobeleftinthegroundasa shareoftheRURRintheyear2015.(1417)shareRURRunconvoiltoleaveunderground[BAU]=



356

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C125') shareRURRunconvoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C125') shareRURRunconvoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C125') shareRURRunconvoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C125') shareRURRunconvoiltoleaveunderground[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C125') shareRURRunconvoiltoleaveunderground[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C125') Units:Dmnl RURR'sunconventionaloiltobeleftinthegroundasashareof theRURRintheyear2015.(1418)sharesolidsforfinalenergy[scenarios]= RequiredFEDsolids[scenarios]/(PEDsolids[scenarios]-PEDcoalforCTLEJ [scenarios]-"E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts" [scenarios,solids]-Othersolidsrequired[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Shareoffinalenergyvsprimaryenergyforsolids.(1419)sharesolidsvsTFES[scenarios]= realFEconsumptionbyfuel[scenarios,solids]/SUM(realFEconsumptionbyfuel [scenarios,finalsources!]) Units:Dmnl ShareofsolidsvsTFES.(1420)sharetotcumdemvsreservesmaterials[materials,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(currentmineralreservesMt[materials]<=0,0,totalcumulativedemandmaterialstoextractfrom2015 [materials,scenarios]/currentmineralreservesMt[materials]) Units:Dmnl Yearlyshareoftotalcumulativedemandofmaterialsvs. reserves.(1421)sharetotcumdemvsresourcesmaterials[materials,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(currentmineralresourcesMt[materials]<=0,0,totalcumulativedemandmaterialstoextractfrom2015 [materials,scenarios]/currentmineralresourcesMt[materials]) Units:Dmnl Yearlyshareoftotalcumulativedemandofmaterialsvs. resources.



357

(1422)sharetotmonetinvestElecRESvsGDP[scenarios]= TotalmonetinvestRESforelecTdolar[scenarios]/GDP[scenarios] Units:1/Year AnnualtotalmonetaryinvestmentforRESforelectricityasa shareoftheannualGDP.(1423)sharetradbiomassvssolidsinhouseholds= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','G33') Units:Dmnl (1424)"sharetransm&distreleclossesinitial"= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C54') Units:Dmnl Currentshareofelectricaltransmissionanddistributionlosses inrelationtoelectricityconsumption.Wedefinetheselosses ataround9.5%followinghistoricaldata.(1425)"sharetransm&distreleclosses"[scenarios]=INTEG( "variationsharetransm&distreleclosses"[scenarios], "sharetransm&distreleclossesinitial") Units:Dmnl Evolutionovertimeoftheshareoftransmissionand distributionlossesofelectricity.Itisassumedthatthese lossesincreaseovertimeastheshareofRESincreaseinthe electricitymix.(1426)shareunconvgasvstotagg[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2012,MIN(evolutionshareunconvgasvstotagg[scenarios ],1),Historicunconvgas/"PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Evolutionoftheshareofunconventionalgasvstotalaggregated gas.(1427)shareunconvgasvstotaggin2050[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(chooseextractiontotagggascurve[scenarios]=1,shareunconvgasvstotaggin2050Lahèrrere2010 , IFTHENELSE(chooseextractiontotagggascurve[scenarios]=2,shareunconvgasvstotaggin2050Mohr12BG ,shareunconvgasvstotaggin2050Userdefined)) Units:Dmnl Shareofunconventionalgasvstotalaggregatedgasin2050 dependingonthemaximumextractioncurveselectedfortotal aggregatedgas.



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(1428)shareunconvgasvstotaggin2050Lahèrrere2010= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','B153') Units:Dmnl (1429)shareunconvgasvstotaggin2050Mohr12BG= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','B155') Units:Dmnl (1430)shareunconvgasvstotaggin2050Userdefined= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','B150') Units:Dmnl (1431)shareunconvoilvstotagg[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2012,MIN(evolutionshareunconvoilvstotagg[scenarios ],1),Historicunconvoil/PEDtotaloilEJ[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Evolutionoftheshareofunconventionaloilvstotalaggregated oil.(1432)shareunconvoilvstotaggin2050[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurvetotaggoil[scenarios]=1,shareunconvoilvstotaggin2050Lahèrrere2006 ,shareunconvoilvstotaggin2050Userdefined) Units:Dmnl Shareofunconventionaloilvstotalaggregatedoilin2050 dependingonthemaximumextractioncurveselectedfortotal aggregatedoil.(1433)shareunconvoilvstotaggin2050Lahèrrere2006= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','B138') Units:Dmnl (1434)shareunconvoilvstotaggin2050Userdefined= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','B143') Units:Dmnl (1435)SharevariableRESelecgenerationvstotal[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE((FEElecgenerationfromNRETWh[scenarios]+ElecgenerationvariablefromRESTWh [scenarios]+"Elec generation base-load from RES TWh"[scenarios])>0, Elec generationvariablefromRESTWh [scenarios]/(FEElecgenerationfromNRETWh[scenarios]+ElecgenerationvariablefromRESTWh



359

[scenarios]+"Elecgenerationbase-loadfromRESTWh"[scenarios]),0.5) Units:Dmnl Shareofvariablevs.totalelectricitygeneration.Conditionto avoiderrorwhenthedenominatoriszero(0.5isanarbitrary value).(1436)SharevariableRESelecgenerationvstotalgen[scenarios]=INTEG( increasevariableRESshareelecvstotalgeneration[scenarios], initialsharevariableRESelecgenvstotal) Units:Dmnl SharevariableRESelectricitygenerationvstotalelectricity generation.Samevariableas"sharevariableRESelecgeneration vstotal"butintroducedasstockinordertoavoidsimultaneous equations.(1437)SharevariableRESelecvstotalgenerationdelayed1yr[scenarios]= DELAYFIXED( SharevariableRESelecgenerationvstotal[scenarios],1,0.0071) Units:Dmnl "SharevariableRESelecgenerationvstotal"delayed1year.(1438)"share-ElossesCClogisticuntil2015"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,"shareE-lossesCClogistic"[scenarios],aux1[scenarios ]) Units:Dmnl ShareofenergylossesinrelationtoTFEDduetoclimatechange impactsuntiltheyear2015.(1439)"ShortagecoefwithoutMINwithoutE-losses"[scenarios,finalsources ]= realFEconsumptionbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,finalsources ]/RequiredFEDbyfuelbeforeheatcorrection[scenarios,finalsources] Units:Dmnl ***Variabletotesttheconsistencyofthemodeling.ITCAN NEVERBE>1!(thatwouldmeanconsumption>demand.***(1440)SlowimplemenationpolicyMLT2=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2040), ([(0,0)-(10,1)],(0,0),(1.95719,0.0307018),(3.42508,0.0877193),(5.71865,0.184211 ),(7.21713,0.289474),(8.59327,0.464912),(9.57187,0.741228),(9.78593,0.837719 ),(10,1))) Units:**undefined**



360

(1441)SlowimplemenationpolicyMLT2H=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2040), ([(0,0)-(10,1)],(0,0),(1.95719,0.0307018),(3.42508,0.0877193),(5.71865,0.184211 ),(7.21713,0.289474),(8.59327,0.464912) ,(9.57187,0.741228),(9.78593,0.837719),(10,1))) Units:**undefined** (1442)SlowimplementationpolicyMLT1=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2030), ([(0,0)-(20,1)],(0,0),(3.48624,0.0263158),(7.33945,0.0745614),(11.3761,0.114035 ),(13.5168,0.149123),(16.2691,0.289474),(18.2263,0.535088),(19.5719,0.745614 ),(20,1))) Units:**undefined** (1443)SlowimplementationpolicyMLT1H=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2030), ([(0,0)-(20,1)],(0,0),(3.48624,0.0263158),(7.33945,0.0745614),(11.3761,0.114035 ),(13.5168,0.149123),(16.2691,0.289474) ,(18.2263,0.535088),(19.5719,0.745614),(20,1))) Units:**undefined** (1444)SlowimplementationpolicyOT=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2020), ([(0,0)-(30,1)],(0,0),(7.24771,0.0438596),(13.4862,0.0964912),(19.0826,0.175439 ),(23.578,0.276316),(26.422,0.447368),(28.0734,0.692982),(30,1))) Units:**undefined** (1445)SlowimplementationpolicyOTH=WITHLOOKUP( (Time-2020), ([(0,0)-(30,1)],(0,0),(7.24771,0.0438596),(13.4862,0.0964912),(19.0826,0.175439 ),(23.578,0.276316),(26.422,0.447368),( 28.0734,0.692982),(30,1))) Units:**undefined** (1446)solidbiofuelsemissionsrelevantEJ[scenarios]= PEbioEforElecgenerationEJ[scenarios]+"PESRESforheat-combytechn" ["solidbioE-heat",scenarios]+"PESRESforheat-ncbytechn"["solidbioE-heat" ,scenarios] Units:EJ



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SolidsbiofuelsprimaryenergysupplyforestimatingtheCO2 emissions(weassumetheXO2emissionsfromtraditionalbiomass arealreadyincludedinland-usechangeemissions).(1447)Startpolicyleaveingroundcoal[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C130') Startpolicyleaveingroundcoal[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C130') Startpolicyleaveingroundcoal[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C130') Startpolicyleaveingroundcoal[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C130') Startpolicyleaveingroundcoal[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C130') Startpolicyleaveingroundcoal[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C130') Units:Year Yearwhenthepolicytoleaveinthegroundanamountofcoal RURRentersintoforce.(1448)Startpolicyleaveingroundconvgas[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C126') Startpolicyleaveingroundconvgas[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C126') Startpolicyleaveingroundconvgas[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C126') Startpolicyleaveingroundconvgas[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C126') Startpolicyleaveingroundconvgas[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C126') Startpolicyleaveingroundconvgas[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C126') Units:Year Yearwhenthepolicytoleaveinthegroundanamountof conventionalgasRURRentersintoforce.(1449)Startpolicyleaveingroundconvoil[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C122') Startpolicyleaveingroundconvoil[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C122') Startpolicyleaveingroundconvoil[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C122') Startpolicyleaveingroundconvoil[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C122')



362

Startpolicyleaveingroundconvoil[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C122') Startpolicyleaveingroundconvoil[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C122') Units:Year Yearwhenthepolicytoleaveinthegroundanamountof conventionaloilRURRentersintoforce.(1450)Startpolicyleaveingroundtotagggas[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F126') Startpolicyleaveingroundtotagggas[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F126') Startpolicyleaveingroundtotagggas[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F126') Startpolicyleaveingroundtotagggas[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F126') Startpolicyleaveingroundtotagggas[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F126') Startpolicyleaveingroundtotagggas[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F126') Units:Year Yearwhenthepolicytoleaveinthegroundanamountoftotal aggregatedgasRURRentersintoforce.(1451)Startpolicyleaveingroundtotaggoil[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','F122') Startpolicyleaveingroundtotaggoil[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','F122') Startpolicyleaveingroundtotaggoil[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','F122') Startpolicyleaveingroundtotaggoil[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','F122') Startpolicyleaveingroundtotaggoil[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','F122') Startpolicyleaveingroundtotaggoil[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','F122') Units:Year Yearwhenthepolicytoleaveinthegroundanamountoftotal aggregatedoilRURRentersintoforce.(1452)Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvgas[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C128') Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvgas[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C128')



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Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvgas[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C128') Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvgas[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C128') Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvgas[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C128') Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvgas[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C128') Units:Year Yearwhenthepolicytoleaveinthegroundanamountof unconventionalgasRURRentersintoforce.(1453)Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvoil[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C124') Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvoil[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C124') Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvoil[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C124') Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvoil[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C124') Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvoil[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C124') Startpolicyleaveingroundunconvoil[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C124') Units:Year Yearwhenthepolicytoleaveinthegroundanamountof unconventionaloilRURRentersintoforce.(1454)startproductionbiofuels= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','28','B29') Units:ktoe/Year Exogenousstartproductionscenariofromtheyear"startyear biofuelslandmarg".Itmimicsthebiofuel2ndgeneration deploymentfromtheyear2000.(1455)startyear3gen[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C43') startyear3gen[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C43') startyear3gen[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C43') startyear3gen[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C43') startyear3gen[SCEN4]=



364

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C43') startyear3gen[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C43') Units:Year Firstyearwhen3rdgenerationbiofuelsareavailable.(1456)"startyearBioEresiduesforheat+elec"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C47') "startyearBioEresiduesforheat+elec"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C47') "startyearBioEresiduesforheat+elec"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C47') "startyearBioEresiduesforheat+elec"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C47') "startyearBioEresiduesforheat+elec"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C47') "startyearBioEresiduesforheat+elec"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C47') Units:Year Firstyearwhenthetechnologyisavailable.(1457)startyearbiofuelslandmarg[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C45') startyearbiofuelslandmarg[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C45') startyearbiofuelslandmarg[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C45') startyearbiofuelslandmarg[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C45') startyearbiofuelslandmarg[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C45') startyearbiofuelslandmarg[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C45') Units:Year Firstyearwhenthetechnology"biofuelslandmarg"isavailable.(1458)startyearcellulosicbiofuels[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C50') startyearcellulosicbiofuels[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C50') startyearcellulosicbiofuels[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C50') startyearcellulosicbiofuels[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C50')



365

startyearcellulosicbiofuels[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C50') startyearcellulosicbiofuels[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C50') Units:Year Firstyearwhenthetechnologyisavailable.(1459)"startyearnucleargrowthscen3-4"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','H22') "startyearnucleargrowthscen3-4"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','H22') "startyearnucleargrowthscen3-4"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','H22') "startyearnucleargrowthscen3-4"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','H22') "startyearnucleargrowthscen3-4"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','H22') "startyearnucleargrowthscen3-4"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','H22') Units:Year Startyearofincrease/phase-outofnuclearpowerplants (Nuclearscenarios3and4).(1460)"static/dynamicqualityofelectricity?"= 0 Units:Dmnl Thisvariablecontrolsthemethodofcalculationofthe parameter"qualityofelectricity"fromstatic(2015value)or dynamic(MEDEASendogenouscalculation:1.StaticEROI calculation(2015value)0.DynamicEROIcalculation(endogenous MEDEAS)(1461)sum4wshares[scenarios]= percentsHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios, elec4wheels]+percentsHvehicles[scenarios,gas4wheels] Units:Dmnl (1462)sumvariation[scenarios]= SUM(variationdemandflowFD[scenarios,sectors!]) Units:Mdollars/Year Variationoftotalfinaldemand(1463)surfaceCSPMha[scenarios]= surfaceRESelec[CSP,scenarios]



366

Units:MHa ArearequiredforCSP.(1464)surfacehydroMha[scenarios]= surfaceRESelec[hydro,scenarios] Units:MHa Surfacerequiredbyhydropowerplants.(1465)surfaceonshorewindMha[scenarios]= surfaceRESelec[windonshore,scenarios] Units:MHa Surfacerequiredtoproduce"onshorewindTWe".(1466)surfaceRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("powerdensityRESelecTW/Mha"[RESelec]=0,0,installedcapacityRESelecTW [RESelec,scenarios]/"powerdensityRESelecTW/Mha"[RESelec]) Units:MHa (1467)surfacesolarPVMha[scenarios]= surfaceRESelec[solarPV,scenarios] Units:MHa ArearequiredforsolarPVplantsonland.(1468)ThistHtransp[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C175') ThistHtransp[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C175') ThistHtransp[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C175') ThistHtransp[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C175') ThistHtransp[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C175') ThistHtransp[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C175') Units:**undefined** Yearusedtocalibratethehistoricalgrowthofvehicles,2015(1469)tperGt= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C13') Units:TonC/GtC ConversionfromtonestoGigatonnesofcarbon.



367

(1470)Tperx= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','G20') Units:Dmnl 1e12=1T(1471)TpolicyHveh[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C173') TpolicyHveh[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C173') TpolicyHveh[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C173') TpolicyHveh[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C173') TpolicyHveh[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C173') TpolicyHveh[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C173') Units:Year Timewhenpoliciesofchangeinpercentagesofhousehold vehiclesstart(1472)tablehistcapacityRESelec[hydro]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','172','H174')) tablehistcapacityRESelec["geot-elec"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','172','H175')) tablehistcapacityRESelec["solidbioE-elec"]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','172','H176')) tablehistcapacityRESelec[oceanic]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','172','H177')) tablehistcapacityRESelec[windonshore]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','172','H178')) tablehistcapacityRESelec[windoffshore]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','172','H179')) tablehistcapacityRESelec[solarPV]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','172','H180')) tablehistcapacityRESelec[CSP]( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','172','H181')) Units:TW/Year (1473)tablemaxconvoilextractionUserdefined( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','139','E140')) Units:EJ/Year (1474)tablemaxextractionASPOoilEJ[scenarios](



368

[(0,0)-(13200,200)],(0,0),(600,29.9783),(1200,46.7403),(1800,59.4953),(2400 ,71.3603),(3000,84.9357),(3600,96.0997),(4200,107.465),(4800,118.46),(5400 ,127.537),(6000,137.018),(6600,145.888),(7200,152.005),(7800,156.288),(8400 ,162.47),(9000,166.659),(9600,171.044),(10200,171.044),(10800,171.044),(11400 ,171.044),(12000,171.044),(12600,171.044),(13200,171.044)) Units:EJ/Year CurvaASPOdeextraccióndeoilhasta2050.Unidades:EJ.Para lospuntosapartirdel2050seharealizadounaexponencial negativahastaanularlasreservasen2100./*Consideracrudey unconvencionaloil,asíqueunavezseparadonovaleesta tabla*/(1475)tablemaxextractioncoalBGMohr15( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','162','E163')) Units:EJ/Year (1476)tablemaxextractioncoalHighMohr15= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','164','E165') Units:EJ/Year (1477)tablemaxextractioncoalLowMohr15= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','160','E161') Units:EJ/Year (1478)tablemaxextractioncoalMohr2012EJ( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','158','E159')) Units:EJ/Year Curva[Mohr2012]HighCase.updatede[Mohr2009](1479)tablemaxextractioncoalUserdefined( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','153','E154')) Units:EJ/Year (1480)tablemaxextractionconvgasBGMohr15( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','145','E146')) Units:EJ/Year (1481)tablemaxextractionconvgasHighMohr15= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','143','E144') Units:EJ/Year (1482)tablemaxextractionconvgasLowMohr15= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','141','E142') Units:EJ/Year



369

(1483)tablemaxextractionconvgasUserdefined( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','146','E147')) Units:EJ/Year (1484)tablemaxextractiongasLaherrere2010[scenarios]( [(0,0)-(13000,175)],(0,0),(500,23.8621),(1000,44.631),(1500,62.3067),(2000 ,77.7729),(2500,93.8891),(3000,107.821),(3500,119.752),(4000,129.033),(4500 ,137.87),(5000,144.16),(5500,148.917),(6000,151.78),(6500,152.895),(7000,152.895 ),(7500,152.895),(8000,152.895),(8500,152.895),(9000,152.895),(9500,152.895 ),(10000,152.895),(10500,152.895),(11000,152.895),(11500,152.895),(12000,152.895 ),(12500,152.895),(13000,152.895)) Units:EJ/Year CurvaLaherrere2010deextraccióndegashasta2100.Unidades: EJ.Paralospuntosapartirdel2100seharealizadouna exponencialnegativahastaanularlasreservasen2120.(1485)tablemaxextractiongasMohrBG2012[scenarios]( [(0,0)-(20000,200)],(0,0),(1000,27.4739),(2000,42.1041),(3000,51.2745),(4000 ,58.1215),(5000,69.3726),(6000,79.5334),(7000,99.1636),(8000,115.575),(9000 ,128.798),(10000,138.387),(11000,147.465),(12000,150.753),(13000,157.008), (14000,159.247),(15000,159.247),(16000,159.247),(17000,159.247),(18000,159.247 ),(19000,159.247),(20000,159.247)) Units:EJ/Year CurvaMohrBG2012deextraccióndegashasta2100.Unidades:EJ.(1486)tablemaxextractiongasMohrHigh2012[scenarios]( [(0,0)-(30000,200)],(0,0),(1500,36.4477),(3000,58.3656),(4500,72.8198),(6000 ,98.5),(7500,130.439),(9000,159.979),(10500,177.268),(12000,190.383),(13500 ,194.052),(15000,194.197),(16500,194.197),(18000,194.197),(19500,194.197), (21000,194.197),(22500,194.197),(24000,194.197),(25500,194.197),(27000,194.197 ),(28500,194.197)) Units:EJ/Year CurvaMohrHighcase2013deextraccióndegashasta2100. Unidades:EJ.(1487)tablemaxextractionMaggio12HighconvoilEJ( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','130','E131')) Units:EJ/Year [Maggio2012].Oilconventional+NGLs.HighscenarioconURR=3000 Gb.(1488)tablemaxextractionMaggio12LowconoilEJ= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','126','E127')



370

Units:EJ/Year (1489)tablemaxextractionMaggio12middleconvoilEJ( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','128','E129')) Units:EJ/Year [Maggio2012].Oilconventional+NGLs.ScenarioconURR=2600 Gb.(Middlescenario)(1490)tablemaxextractiontotaggoilLahèrrere2006= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','138','E139') Units:EJ/Year (1491)tablemaxextractiontotaggoilUserdefined= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','143','E144') Units:EJ/Year (1492)tablemaxextractiontotalgasBGMohr12= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','155','E156') Units:EJ/Year (1493)tablemaxextractiontotalgasLaherrère10= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','153','E154') Units:EJ/Year (1494)tablemaxextractiontotalgasUserdefined= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','150','E151') Units:EJ/Year (1495)tablemaxextractionunconvgasBGMohr15( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','147','E148')) Units:EJ/Year (1496)tablemaxextractionunconvgasHighMohr15( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','149','E150')) Units:EJ/Year (1497)tablemaxextractionunconvgasLowMohr15( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','151','E152')) Units:EJ/Year (1498)tablemaxextractionunconvgasUserdefined( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','148','E149')) Units:EJ/Year



371

(1499)tablemaxextractionunconvoilBGMohr15( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','132','E133')) Units:EJ/Year (1500)tablemaxextractionunconvoilHighMohr15( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','134','E135')) Units:EJ/Year (1501)tablemaxextractionunconvoilLowMohr15( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','136','E137')) Units:EJ/Year (1502)tablemaxextractionunconvoilUserdefined( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','141','E142')) Units:EJ/Year (1503)tablemaxextractionuraniumEWG13EJ( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','169','E170')) Units:EJ/Year [EWG2013](1504)tablemaxextractionuraniumuserdefined= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','156','E157') Units:EJ/Year (1505)tablemaxextractionuraniumZittel12= GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','167','E168') Units:EJ/Year (1506)Tempchange2C= 2 Units:DegreesC Temperaturechangeof2Casreference.(1507)TempDiff[scenarios]= AtmosUOceanTemp[scenarios]-DeepOceanTemp[scenarios] Units:DegreesC TemperatureDifferencebetweenUpperandDeepOcean(degreesC)(1508)Temperaturechange[scenarios]= AtmosUOceanTemp[scenarios] Units:DegreesC Itcorrespondswiththevariable"AtmosUOceanTemp"thatitis notrenamedinordertokeeptheoriginalnomenclaturefromDICE.



372

(1509)testconstr[RESelec,scenarios]= ZIDZ(SUM(CEDnewcappermaterialRESelecvar[RESelec,materials!,scenarios ]),newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW [RESelec,scenarios]) Units:EJ/TW (1510)testirrestandoalEROIpou= 4 Units:**undefined** (1511)"testO&M"[RESelec,scenarios]= ZIDZ(SUM("CEDO&MoverlifetimepermaterialRESelecvar"[RESelec,materials !,scenarios]),newcapacityinstalledRESelecTW [RESelec,scenarios]) Units:EJ/TW (1512)TFECfromRESpercapita[scenarios]= ZIDZ(TFECRESEJ[scenarios]*GJperEJ,Population[scenarios]) Units:GJ/person (1513)TFECpercapita[scenarios]= ZIDZ(RealTFEC[scenarios]*GJperEJ,Population[scenarios]) Units:GJ/person (1514)TFECRESdelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( TFECRESEJ[scenarios],1,43) Units:EJ (1515)TFECRESEJ[scenarios]= FEtotgenerationallRESelecEJ[scenarios]+FESRESforheatEJ[scenarios ]+PEtraditionalbiomassEJ[scenarios]+FEStotalbiofuelsproductionEJ [scenarios]+PESbiogasforTFC[scenarios] Units:EJ TotalfinalenergyconsumptionfromRES.(1516)TFESintensityEJT$[scenarios]= ZIDZ(RealTFEC[scenarios],GDP[scenarios]) Units:EJ/Tdollars Totalfinalenergyintensity.(1517)TFESintensityEJT$delayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( TFESintensityEJT$[scenarios],1,8.827) Units:Tdollars/Year



373

TFESintensitydelayed1year.(1518)TFESintensitygrowthrate[scenarios]= -1+TFESintensityEJT$[scenarios]/TFESintensityEJT$delayed1yr[scenarios ] Units:Dmnl TFESintensitygrowthrate.(1519)thresholdremainingpotentialnewcapacity= 0.5 Units:**undefined** Thisthresholdrepresentstheleveloftheremainingpotential thatstartstoaffectstheplanificationofnewRESelec capacity(decreasingreturns).Avoidproblemsof(erroneously) affectingpasthistoricalgrowthtrends.(1520)Time95pcTSpotentialRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(remainingpotentialRESelecafterintermitt[RESelec,scenarios ]>0.05,0,Time) Units:**undefined** Timewhentheremainingresourceavailabilityfallsbellow5%of thetechno-ecologicalpotential,i.e.whenthe95%ofthe techno-ecologicalpotentialisreached.(1521)timeconstructionnuclear= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','T15') Units:Time Averageconstructiontimefornuclearpowerplants.(1522)timeconstructionRESelec[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','T13') timeconstructionRESelec["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','T7') timeconstructionRESelec["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','T8') timeconstructionRESelec[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','T9') timeconstructionRESelec[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','T10') timeconstructionRESelec[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','T12') timeconstructionRESelec[solarPV]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','T11') timeconstructionRESelec[CSP]=



374

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','T16') Units:Year AverageconstructiontimeforeachRESgeneratingelectricity.(1523)Timedmnl[scenarios]( [(1990,1990)-(2100,2100)],(1990,1990),(1991,1991),(1992,1992),(1993,1993) ,(1994,1994),(1995,1995),(1996,1996),(1997,1997),(1998,1998),(1999,1999),( 2000,2000),(2001,2001),(2002,2002),(2003,2003),(2004,2004),(2005,2005),(2006 ,2006),(2007,2007),(2008,2008),(2009,2009),(2010,2010),(2011,2011),(2012,2012 ),(2013,2013),(2014,2014),(2015,2015),(2016,2016),(2017,2017),(2018,2018), (2019,2019),(2020,2020),(2021,2021),(2022,2022),(2023,2023),(2024,2024),(2025 ,2025),(2026,2026),(2027,2027),(2028,2028),(2029,2029),(2030,2030),(2031,2031 ),(2032,2032),(2033,2033),(2034,2034),(2035,2035),(2036,2036),(2037,2037), (2038,2038),(2039,2039),(2040,2040),(2041,2041),(2042,2042),(2043,2043),(2044 ,2044),(2045,2045),(2046,2046),(2047,2047),(2048,2048),(2049,2049),(2050,2050 ),(2051,2051),(2052,2052),(2053,2053),(2054,2054),(2055,2055),(2056,2056), (2057,2057),(2058,2058),(2059,2059),(2060,2060),(2061,2061),(2062,2062),(2063 ,2063),(2064,2064),(2065,2065),(2066,2066),(2067,2067),(2068,2068),(2069,2069 ),(2070,2070),(2071,2071),(2072,2072),(2073,2073),(2074,2074),(2075,2075), (2076,2076),(2077,2077),(2078,2078),(2079,2079),(2080,2080),(2081,2081),(2082 ,2082),(2083,2083),(2084,2084),(2085,2085),(2086,2086),(2087,2087),(2088,2088 ),(2089,2089),(2090,2090),(2091,2091),(2092,2092),(2093,2093),(2094,2094), (2095,2095),(2096,2096),(2097,2097),(2098,2098),(2099,2099),(2100,2100)) Units:Dmnl Vectorthatassignsforeveryyearthenumberofthatsameyear.(1524)timeplanificationnuclear= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','S15') Units:Year Averageplanificationtimefornuclearpowerplants.(1525)timeplanificationRESelec[hydro]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','S13') timeplanificationRESelec["geot-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','S7') timeplanificationRESelec["solidbioE-elec"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','S8') timeplanificationRESelec[oceanic]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','S9') timeplanificationRESelec[windonshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','S10') timeplanificationRESelec[windoffshore]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','S12') timeplanificationRESelec[solarPV]=



375

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','S11') timeplanificationRESelec[CSP]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','S16') Units:Year AverageplanificationtimeforeachRESgeneratingelectricity.(1526)TIMESTEP=0.03125 Units:Year[0,?] Thetimestepforthesimulation.(1527)"TNESdeCastroPhD-ScenI"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,7173.13),(1986,7368.39),(1987,7560.95),(1988,7750.95 ),(1989,7938.54),(1990,8123.85),(1991,8306.94),(1992,8487.87),(1993,8666.6 ),(1994,8843.01),(1995,9016.91),(1996,9188),(1997,9355.9),(1998,9520.11),( 1999,9680.06),(2000,9835.12),(2001,9984.57),(2002,10127.7),(2003,10263.7), (2004,10391.9),(2005,10511.6),(2006,10622.1),(2007,10723.1),(2008,10814.1) ,(2009,10894.8),(2010,10965.4),(2011,11025.8),(2012,11076.5),(2013,11117.8 ),(2014,11150.3),(2015,11174.8),(2016,11187.2),(2017,11171.3),(2018,11125.6 ),(2019,11048.7),(2020,10941.3),(2021,10806.3),(2022,10648.5),(2023,10473.6 ),(2024,10288),(2025,10098.3),(2026,9914.3),(2027,9737.27),(2028,9572.49), (2029,9422.99),(2030,9290.79),(2031,9176.91),(2032,9081.61),(2033,9004.54) ,(2034,8944.92),(2035,8901.71),(2036,8868.15),(2037,8842.36),(2038,8822.52 ),(2039,8807.44),(2040,8796.45),(2041,8789.34),(2042,8786.33),(2043,8787.93 ),(2044,8794.91),(2045,8800.9),(2046,8805.38),(2047,8813.47),(2048,8826.89 ),(2049,8847.13),(2050,8844.22),(2051,8829.3),(2052,8822.62),(2053,8829.47 ),(2054,8853.12),(2055,8895.31),(2056,8956.7),(2057,9037.27),(2058,9136.56 ),(2059,9253.94),(2060,9388.68),(2061,9540.13),(2062,9707.65),(2063,9890.73 ),(2064,10089),(2065,10302),(2066,10529.6),(2067,10771.5),(2068,11027.7),( 2069,11298),(2070,11582.2),(2071,11880.5),(2072,12192.5),(2073,12518.4),(2074 ,12857.9),(2075,13211),(2076,13577.5),(2077,13957.4),(2078,14350.4),(2079, 14756.5),(2080,15175.4),(2081,15606.9),(2082,16051),(2083,16507.3),(2084,16975.7 ),(2085,17456),(2086,17947.9),(2087,18451.3),(2088,18965.9),(2089,19491.6) ,(2090,20028),(2091,20575.1),(2092,21132.7),(2093,21700.6),(2094,22278.8), (2095,22867.1),(2096,23465.6),(2097,24074.2),(2098,24693.1),(2099,25322.3) ,(2100,25962.1)) Units:MToe/Year TotalnetenergysupplyscenarioI.(1528)"TNESdeCastroPhD-ScenIII"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,7173.13),(1986,7368.39),(1987,7560.95),(1988,7750.95 ),(1989,7938.54),(1990,8123.85),(1991,8306.94),(1992,8487.87),(1993,8666.6 ),(1994,8843.01),(1995,9016.91),(1996,9188),(1997,9355.9),(1998,9520.11),( 1999,9680.06),(2000,9835.12),(2001,9984.57),(2002,10127.7),(2003,10263.7), (2004,10391.9),(2005,10511.6),(2006,10622.1),(2007,10723.1),(2008,10814.1)



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,(2009,10894.8),(2010,10965.4),(2011,11025.8),(2012,11075),(2013,11109.9), (2014,11131.5),(2015,11139.1),(2016,11127.4),(2017,11079.5),(2018,10993.9) ,(2019,10869.3),(2020,10707.1),(2021,10511.3),(2022,10287.5),(2023,10042.6 ),(2024,9783.87),(2025,9518.5),(2026,9252.88),(2027,8992.4),(2028,8741.21) ,(2029,8502.22),(2030,8277.14),(2031,8066.69),(2032,7870.72),(2033,7688.5) ,(2034,7518.87),(2035,7360.42),(2036,7209.45),(2037,7064.52),(2038,6924.25 ),(2039,6787.58),(2040,6653.67),(2041,6521.96),(2042,6392.02),(2043,6263.61 ),(2044,6136.56),(2045,6010.8),(2046,5886.31),(2047,5763.1),(2048,5641.19) ,(2049,5520.62),(2050,5379.15),(2051,5222.66),(2052,5064.42),(2053,4907.35 ),(2054,4753.31),(2055,4603.4),(2056,4458.15),(2057,4317.76),(2058,4182.18 ),(2059,4051.27),(2060,3924.82),(2061,3802.6),(2062,3684.43),(2063,3570.15 ),(2064,3459.62),(2065,3352.78),(2066,3249.57),(2067,3149.98),(2068,3054.03 ),(2069,2961.73),(2070,2873.14),(2071,2788.3),(2072,2707.25),(2073,2630.04 ),(2074,2556.68),(2075,2487.21),(2076,2421.6),(2077,2359.84),(2078,2301.9) ,(2079,2247.7),(2080,2197.16),(2081,2150.2),(2082,2106.69),(2083,2066.5),( 2084,2029.49),(2085,1995.52),(2086,1964.42),(2087,1936.03),(2088,1910.19), (2089,1886.73),(2090,1865.5),(2091,1846.32),(2092,1829.04),(2093,1813.51), (2094,1799.59),(2095,1787.14),(2096,1776.03),(2097,1766.14),(2098,1757.35) ,(2099,1749.56),(2100,1742.67)) Units:MToe/Year TotalnetenergysupplyscenarioIII.(1529)totagggastoleaveunderground[scenarios]= RURRtotagggas2015*shareRURRtotagggastoleaveunderground[scenarios ] Units:EJ Totalaggregatednaturalgastobeleftundergroundduetothe applicationofapolicy.(1530)totaggoiltoleaveunderground[scenarios]= RURRtotaggoil2015*shareRURRtotaggoiltoleaveunderground[scenarios ] Units:EJ Totalaggregatedoiltobeleftundergroundduetothe applicationofapolicy.(1531)TotRURRcoal[scenarios]= RURRcoal[scenarios]+Totalcoalleftinground[scenarios] Units:EJ TotalRURRofcoalconsideringtheavailableRURRandthe eventualamountofRURRleftinthegroundasapolicy.(1532)TotRURRconvgas[scenarios]= RURRconvgas[scenarios]+Totalconvgasleftinground[scenarios]



377

Units:EJ TotalRURRofconventionalnaturalgasconsideringtheavailable RURRandtheeventualamountofRURRleftinthegroundasa policy.(1533)TotRURRconvoil[scenarios]= RURRconvoil[scenarios]+Totalconvoilleftinground[scenarios] Units:EJ TotalRURRofconventionaloilconsideringtheavailableRURR andtheeventualamountofRURRleftinthegroundasapolicy.(1534)TotRURRtotagggas[scenarios]= RURRtotagggas[scenarios]+Totalagggasleftinground[scenarios] Units:EJ TotalRURRoftotalaggregatednaturalgasconsideringthe availableRURRandtheeventualamountofRURRleftinthe groundasapolicy.(1535)TotRURRtotaggoil[scenarios]= RURRtotaggoil[scenarios]+Totalaggoilleftinground[scenarios] Units:EJ TotalRURRoftotalaggregatedoilconsideringtheavailable RURRandtheeventualamountofRURRleftinthegroundasa policy.(1536)TotRURRunconvgas[scenarios]= RURRunconvgas[scenarios]+Totalunconvgasleftinground[scenarios] Units:EJ TotalRURRofunconventionalnaturalgasconsideringthe availableRURRandtheeventualamountofRURRleftinthe groundasapolicy.(1537)TotRURRunconvoil[scenarios]= RURRunconvoilEJ[scenarios]+Totalunconvoilleftinground[scenarios] Units:EJ TotalRURRofunconventionaloilconsideringtheavailableRURR andtheeventualamountofRURRleftinthegroundasapolicy.(1538)Totalagggasleftinground[scenarios]=INTEG( Flowtotagggasleftinground[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ Totalamountofaggregatednaturalgasleftinthegrounddueto policies.



378

(1539)Totalaggoilleftinground[scenarios]=INTEG( Flowtotaggoilleftinground[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ Totalamountofaggregatedoilleftinthegrounddueto policies.(1540)TotalcapacityelecstorageTW[scenarios]= InstalledPHScapacity[scenarios]+UsedEVbatteriesforstorage[scenarios ] Units:TW (1541)TotalCarbonEmisions[scenarios]= TotalCO2emissionsGTCO2[scenarios]*CperCO2*tperGt Units:TonC/Year Totalannualcarbonemissions.(1542)TotalCH4emissionsfossilfuels[scenarios]= CH4emissionsconvgaswithoutGTL[scenarios]+CH4emissionsunconvgas[scenarios ]+CH4emissionscoalwithoutCTL[scenarios ]+CH4emissionsoil[scenarios]+CH4emissionsCTL[scenarios]+CH4emissionsGTL [scenarios] Units:MtCH4 TotalCH4emissionsfromfossilfuels.(1543)TotalCO2emissionsGTCO2[scenarios]= CO2 fossil fuel emissions[scenarios]+"CO2 land-use change emissions"+BioE CO2emissions [scenarios]+CO2emissionspeat-Afforestationprogram2020GtCO2[scenarios] Units:GtCO2/Year TotalannualCO2emissions.Originalunit:"millTnCO2"(1544)Totalcoalleftinground[scenarios]=INTEG( Flowcoalleftinground[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ (1545)Totalconvgasleftinground[scenarios]=INTEG( Flowconvgasleftinground[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ Totalamountofconventionalnaturalgasleftinthegrounddue topolicies.



379

(1546)Totalconvoilleftinground[scenarios]=INTEG( Flowconvoilleftinground[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ Totalamountofconventionaloilleftinthegrounddueto policies.(1547)totalcumulativedemandmaterialstoextractfrom2015[materials,scenarios ]= cummaterialstoextractforalttechnfrom2015[materials,scenarios]+cummaterialstoextractRestfrom2015 [materials,scenarios] Units:Mt Totalcumulativedemandmaterialstoextractinmines.(1548)TotalcumulativeemissionsGtC[scenarios]=INTEG( newCGtC[scenarios], Cumulativeemissionsto1995) Units:GtC Totalcumulativeemissions.(1549)TotalcumulativeemissionsGtCO2[scenarios]= TotalcumulativeemissionsGtC[scenarios]/CperCO2 Units:GtCO2 Totalcumulativeemissions.(1550)totaldemand[scenarios]= SUM(DemandbysectorFD[scenarios,sectors!])/1e+006 Units:Tdollars Totalfinaldemand(1551)"Totaldemandliquidsmb/d"[scenarios]= PEDliquidsEJ[scenarios]*"Mb/dperEJ/year" Units:Mb/d Totaldemandofliquids.(1552)Totaldistributionlosses[scenarios]= ElectricaldistributionlossesEJ[scenarios]+"Heat-comdistributionlosses" [scenarios]+"Heat-ncdistributionlosses"[scenarios ]+"pipelinetransportconstant2.6EJin2014"+LossesEJ[scenarios,solids ]+LossesEJ[scenarios,liquids]+LossesEJ[scenarios,gases] Units:EJ/Year



380

(1553)"TotalE-lossesduetoCCimpacts"[scenarios]= SUM("E-lossesbyfinalfuelduetoCCimpacts"[scenarios,finalsources!]) Units:EJ (1554)TotalelectricallossesEJ[scenarios]= ElecgenrelatedlossesEJ[scenarios]+ElectricaldistributionlossesEJ[scenarios ] Units:EJ/Year Totallossesfromelectricitygeneration(generation+ distribution).(1555)Totalenergyrequiredfortotalmaterialconsumptionforalttechn[scenarios ]= SUM(EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionperRESelec[RESelec!,materials !,scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year Totalenergyrequiredfortotalmaterialconsumptionfor alternativetechnologies(RESelec&EVBatteries).(1556)Totalenergyrequiredpermaterialforalttechn[materials,scenarios ]= SUM(EnergyrequiredformaterialconsumptionperRESelec[RESelec!,materials ,scenarios]) Units:EJ/Year Totalenergyrequiredfortotalmaterialconsumptionper materialforalternativetechnologies(RESelec&EVBatteries).(1557)"TotalenergyrequirementsO&MforwaterconsumptionRESelec"[RESelec ,scenarios]= SUM("EnergyrequirementsforO&MforwaterconsumptionRESelec"[RESelec ,water!,scenarios]) Units:EJ Totalenergyrequirementsforwaterconsumption(alltypes)by REStechnologyforelectricitygeneration.(1558)TotalextractionNREEJ[scenarios]= extractioncoalEJ[scenarios]+realextractionconvgasEJ[scenarios]+realextractionconvoilEJ [scenarios] +realextractionunconvgasEJ[scenarios]+realextractionunconvoilEJ[scenarios ]+extractionuraniumEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Annualtotalextractionofnon-renewableenergyresources.



381

(1559)TotalFEElecconsumptionEJ[scenarios]= TotalFEElecconsumptionTWh[scenarios]*EJperTWh Units:EJ Totalfinalenergyelectricityconsumption(fossilfuels, nuclear,waste&renewables)(TWh)excludingdistributionlosses andtheenergylossesduetoimpactsofClimateChange.(1560)TotalFEElecconsumptionTWh[scenarios]= TotalFEElecgenerationTWh[scenarios]/((1+"sharetransm&distreleclosses" [scenarios])*(1+"shareE-lossesCC"[scenarios]*MethodCCimpacts)) Units:TWh/Year Totalfinalenergyelectricityconsumption(fossilfuels, nuclear,waste&renewables)(TWh)excludingdistributionlosses.(1561)TotalFEElecdemandafterprioritiesTWh[scenarios]= MAX(TotalFEElecdemandTWh[scenarios]-FESelecfromRESwithpriorityTWh [scenarios]-FESelecfromwasteTWh[scenarios],0) Units:TWh (1562)TotalFEElecdemandEJ[scenarios]= TotalFEElecdemandTWh[scenarios]*EJperTWh Units:EJ/Year Electricitydemandgeneration(finalenergy,includes distributionlosses).(1563)TotalFEElecdemandTWh[scenarios]= (FEdemandElecconsumTWh[scenarios])*(1+"sharetransm&distreleclosses" [scenarios]) Units:TWh/Year Totalfinalenergyelectricitydemand(TWh).Itincludesnew electricuses(e.g.EV&HEV)andelectricaltransmissionand distributionlosses.(1564)TotalFEElecgenerationTWh[scenarios]= FEElecgenerationfromNRETWh[scenarios]+FEtotgenerationallRESelecTWh [scenarios]+FESelecfromwasteTWh[scenarios] Units:TWh/Year Totalfinalenergyelectricitygeneration(fossilfuels, nuclear,waste&renewables)(TWh).(1565)TotalFEHeatconsumptionEJ[scenarios]= TotalFEHeatgenerationEJ[scenarios]/((1+Shareheatdistributionlosses )*(1+"shareE-lossesCC"[scenarios]*MethodCCimpacts)) Units:EJ



382

Totalfinalheatconsumption(fossilfuels,nuclear,waste& renewables)(EJ).(1566)TotalFEHeatgenerationEJ[scenarios]= FESRESforheatEJ[scenarios]+"FESheat-comfromwasteEJ"[scenarios]+FESNREforheat [scenarios] Units:EJ Totalfinalheatgeneration(fossilfuels,nuclear,waste& renewables)(EJ).(1567)"TotalFErealsupplyRESforheat-comEJ"[scenarios]= SUM("FErealgenerationRESheat-comEJ"[RESheat!,scenarios]) Units:EJ TotalfinalenergysupplydeliveredbyRESforcommercialheat.(1568)"TotalFErealsupplyRESforheat-ncEJ"[scenarios]= SUM("FE real generation RES heat-nc EJ"[RES heat!,scenarios])*"Deactivate heatdemcorrection?" Units:EJ TotalfinalenergysupplydeliveredbyRESfornon-commercial heat.(1569)TotalFEDHeatEJ[scenarios]= "TotalFEDHeat-comEJ"[scenarios]+"TotalFEDHeat-ncEJ"[scenarios] Units:EJ Totalfinalenergydemand(includingdistributionlosses)of heat.(1570)"TotalFEDHeat-comEJ"[scenarios]= "FEDHeat-comEJ"[scenarios]*(1+Shareheatdistributionlosses) Units:EJ Totalcommercialheatdemandincludingdistributionlosses.(1571)"TotalFEDHeat-ncEJ"[scenarios]= "FEDHeat-ncEJ"[scenarios]*(1+Shareheatdistributionlosses) Units:EJ Totalnon-commercialheatdemandincludingdistributionlosses (andclimatechangeimpacts).(1572)"TotalFEDNREHeat-nc"[scenarios]= MAX(0,("TotalFEDHeat-ncEJ"[scenarios]-"TotalFErealsupplyRESforheat-ncEJ" [scenarios])) Units:EJ



383

Finalenergydemandheatnon-commercialtobecoveredbyNRE (includingdistributionlossesandclimatechangeimpacts).(1573)TotalgenlossesdemandforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]= PEDgasforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]*(1-efficiencyElecgasCHPplants-efficiencyHeatgasCHPplants )+PEDoilforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]*(1-efficiencyElecoilCHPplants-efficiencyHeatoilCHPplants )+PEDcoalforCHPplantsEJ[scenarios]*(1-efficiencyHeatcoalCHPplants -efficiencyEleccoalCHPplants) Units:EJ TotalgenerationlossesassociatedtoCHPplants.(1574)TotalgenlossesdemandforElecplantsEJ[scenarios]= PEdemandgasElecplantsEJ[scenarios]*(1-efficiencygasforelectricity )+PEdemandcoalElecplantsEJ[scenarios]*(1-efficiencycoalforelectricity )+PEdemandoilElecplantsEJ[scenarios]*(1-efficiencyliquidsforelectricity )+PElossesuraniumforElecEJ[scenarios]+PElossesBioEforElecEJ[scenarios ] Units:EJ/Year Totalgenerationlossesassociatedtoelectricitydemand.(1575)TotalgenlossesdemandforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios]= PEDgasesforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios]*(1-efficiencygasesforheatplants )+PEDoilforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios]*(1-efficiencyliquidsforheatplants )+PEDcoalforHeatplantsEJ[scenarios]*(1-efficiencycoalforheatplants ) Units:EJ Totalgenerationlossesassociatedtoheatplants.(1576)TotalinstalledcapacityRESelecvar[scenarios]= installedcapacityRESelecTW[windonshore,scenarios]+installedcapacityRESelecTW [windoffshore,scenarios]+installedcapacityRESelecTW[solarPV,scenarios ]+installedcapacityRESelecTW[CSP,scenarios] Units:TW TotalinstalledcapacityofRESvariablesforelectricity generation.(1577)TotaljobsRES[scenarios]= TotaljobsRESelec[scenarios]+TotaljobsRESheat[scenarios] Units:people TotaljobsRES.



384

(1578)TotaljobsRESelec[scenarios]= SUM(TotaljobsRESelecpertechn[RESelec!,scenarios]) Units:people TotaljobsRESelec.(1579)TotaljobsRESelecpertechn[RESelec,scenarios]= JobsnewinstalledRESelecpertechn[RESelec,scenarios]+"JobsO&MRESelecpertechn" [RESelec,scenarios] Units:people (1580)TotaljobsRESheat[scenarios]= SUM(TotaljobsRESheatpertechn[RESheat!,scenarios]) Units:people TotaljobsRESheat.(1581)TotaljobsRESheatpertechn[RESheat,scenarios]= JobsnewinstalledRESheatpertechn[RESheat,scenarios]+"JobsO&MRESheatpertechn" [RESheat,scenarios] Units:people (1582)TotallandrequirementsrenewMha[scenarios]= surfacesolarPVMha[scenarios]+surfaceCSPMha[scenarios]+surfacehydroMha [scenarios]+Landcompetrequireddedicatedcropsforbiofuels [scenarios]+Landrequiredbiofuelslandmarg[scenarios]+surfaceonshorewindMha [scenarios]*0 Units:MHa LandrequiredforRESpowerplantsandtotalbioenergy(land competition+marginallands).(1583)TotalmaterialsrequiredforEVbatteries[materials,scenarios]= materialsrequiredforEVbatteriesMt[materials,scenarios] Units:Mt/Year TotalannualmaterialsrequirementsforEVbatteries.(1584)TotalmaterialsrequiredfornewRESelecMt[materials,scenarios]= SUM(materialsrequiredfornewRESelecMt[RESelec!,materials,scenarios] ) Units:Mt Totalannualmaterialsrequirementspernewinstalledcapacity ofRESforelectricitygeneration.(1585)"TotalmaterialsrequiredforO&MRESelecMt"[materials,scenarios]



385

= SUM("materialsrequiredforO&MRESelecMt"[RESelec!,materials,scenarios ]) Units:Mt Totalannualmaterialsrequiredfortheoperationand maintenanceofthecapacityofRESforelectricityinoperation bytechnology.(1586)"TotalmaterialsrequiredforRESelec+EVbatteriesMt"[materials, scenarios]= Total materials required for EV batteries[materials,scenarios]+Total materialsrequiredforRESelecMt [materials,scenarios] Units:Mt/Year (1587)TotalmaterialsrequiredforRESelecMt[materials,scenarios]= TotalmaterialsrequiredfornewRESelecMt[materials,scenarios]+"TotalmaterialsrequiredforO&MRESelecMt" [materials,scenarios] Units:Mt/Year TotalannualmaterialsrequirementsfortheinstallationandO&M ofRESforelectricitygeneration.(1588)TotalmaterialstoextractforEVbatteriesfrom2015Mt[materials,scenarios ]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0,TotalmaterialstoextractforEVbatteriesMt[materials ,scenarios]) Units:Mt/Year AnnualmaterialstobeminedforEVbatteriesfrom2015.(1589)TotalmaterialstoextractforEVbatteriesMt[materials,scenarios]= Total materials required for EV batteries[materials,scenarios]*(1-recycling ratesmineralsalttechn [materials,scenarios]) Units:Mt/Year AnnualmaterialstobeminedfortheconstructionofEV batteries.(1590)TotalmaterialstoextractforRESelecfrom2015Mt[materials,scenarios ]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0,TotalmaterialstoextractforRESelecMt[materials ,scenarios]) Units:Mt/Year AnnualmaterialstobeminedfortheinstallationandO&MofRES



386

forelectricitygenerationfrom2015.(1591)TotalmaterialstoextractforRESelecMt[materials,scenarios]= Total materials required for RES elec Mt[materials,scenarios]*(1-recycling ratesmineralsalttechn [materials,scenarios]) Units:Mt/Year AnnualmaterialstobeminedfortheinstallationandO&MofRES forelectricitygeneration.(1592)TotalmaterialstoextractMt[materials,scenarios]= MaterialstoextractRestMt[materials,scenarios]+TotalmaterialstoextractforRESelecMt [materials,scenarios]+TotalmaterialstoextractforEVbatteriesMt[materials ,scenarios] Units:Mt (1593)TotalmonetinvestRESforelecTdolar[scenarios]= InvestRESforElec[scenarios]+extramonetinvesttocopewithvariableElecRES [scenarios] Units:Tdollars/Year AnnualtotalmonetaryinvestmentforRESforelectricity: capacity,balancingcostsandgridimprovementstocopewith variability(1995US$).(1594)totalNumberLVelec[scenarios]= NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,elec4wheels]+vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,LVelec ] Units:**undefined** numerodevehiculosligeroselectricosdehogares+delsector transporte(1595)totalNumberLVgas[scenarios]= NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,gas4wheels]+vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,LVgas ] Units:**undefined** numerodevehiculosligerosdegasdehogares+delsector transporte(1596)totalNumberLVhib[scenarios]= NumbervehiclesH[scenarios,hib4wheels]+vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,LVhib ] Units:**undefined** numerodevehiculosligeroshibridosdehogares+delsector



387

transporte(1597)TotalPEforelectricityconsumptionEJ[scenarios]= TotalFEElecdemandEJ[scenarios]+ElecgenrelatedlossesEJ[scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Totalprimaryenergyforelectricityconsumption(EJ).(1598)"TotalPEsolidbioEpotentialheat+elecEJ"[scenarios]= Max potential NPP bioE conventional for heat[scenarios]+"PE bioE residues forheat+elecEJ" [scenarios] Units:EJ (1599)TotalRadiativeForcing[scenarios]= CO2RadForcing[scenarios]+OtherGHGRadForcing Units:watt/meter/meter RadiativeForcingfromAllGHGs(W/m^2)Additionalsurface warmingfromaccumulationofCO2&CFCs.[Cowles,Sec.III.F](1600)"Totalrealnon-energyuseconsumptionEJ"[scenarios]= SUM("Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ"[scenarios,finalsources!]) Units:EJ (1601)TotalrecycledmaterialsforEVbatteriesMt[materials,scenarios]= Total materials required for EV batteries[materials,scenarios]-Total materials toextractforEVbatteriesMt [materials,scenarios] Units:Mt TotalrecycledmaterialsforEVbatteries.(1602)TotalrecycledmaterialsforotherMt[materials,scenarios]= Minerals consumption estimation Rest cte rr[materials,scenarios]-MineralsextractionprojectionRestwithrr [materials,scenarios] Units:Mt (1603)TotalrecycledmaterialsforRESelecMt[materials,scenarios]= Total materials required for RES elec Mt[materials,scenarios]-Total materials toextractforRESelecMt [materials,scenarios] Units:Mt TotalrecycledmaterialsforREStechnologiesforthegeneration ofelectricity.



388

(1604)"totaltimeplan+constrRESelec"[RESelec]= timeconstructionRESelec[RESelec]+timeplanificationRESelec[RESelec ] Units:Year (1605)TotaltransportFEDbyfuel[scenarios,finalsources]= Required final energy air transport[scenarios,final sources]+Required final energyinlandtransport [scenarios,finalsources]+Requiredfinalenergyothertransport[scenarios, finalsources]+Requiredfinalenergywatertransport[scenarios,finalsources ]+Transporthouseholdsfinalenergydemand[scenarios,finalsources] Units:EJ/Year Totalenergyintransport.Thismodelconsiderstransportthe foursectorinWIODrelatedwithtransportandhouseholds transport.(1606)Totalunconvgasleftinground[scenarios]=INTEG( Flowunconvgasleftinground[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ Totalamountofunconventionalnaturalgasleftintheground duetopolicies.(1607)Totalunconvoilleftinground[scenarios]=INTEG( Flowunconvoilleftinground[scenarios], 0) Units:EJ Totalamountofunconventionaloilleftinthegrounddueto policies.(1608)"TotalwaterforO&MrequiredbyRESelec"[RESelec,scenarios]= SUM("WaterforO&MrequiredforRESelec"[RESelec,water!,scenarios]) Units:Mt AnnualtotalwaterrequiredbyREStechnologyforgenerating electricity.(1609)TPEfromRESEJ[scenarios]= PEElecgenerationfromRESEJ[scenarios]+"PEsupplyRESnon-ElecEJ"[scenarios ] Units:EJ/Year TotalprimaryenergysupplyfromallRES.(1610)TPEfromRESMtoe[scenarios]= TPEfromRESEJ[scenarios]*MToeperEJ



389

Units:MToe/Year TotalprimaryenergysupplyfromallRES.(1611)TPEDacceptablestandardliving= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C76') Units:GJ/people Approximativeenergyusevaluetofulfilltheaceptablestandard ofliving(intermsoftotalprimaryenergyuse).Source: (Goldemberg,2011;Raoetal,2014,WBGU,2003)citedinArtoet al.,(2016).(1612)TPEDbyfuel[scenarios]= extraction uranium EJ[scenarios]+"PE supply RES non-Elec EJ"[scenarios]+PE ElecgenerationfromRESEJ [scenarios]+PEDtotaloilEJ [scenarios]+PEDcoalEJ[scenarios]+"PEDnat.gasEJ"[scenarios]+PESwasteEJ [scenarios] Units:EJ/Year Totalprimaryenergydemandbyfuel.(1613)TPEFpcthresholdhighdevelopment= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C75') Units:GJ/people Energyusethreshold(intermsoftotalprimaryenergy footprint)foundbyArtoetal.,(2016)toreachhigh development(HDI>0.8).(1614)"TPES(withouttradbiomass)"[scenarios]= TPESEJ[scenarios]-PEtraditionalbiomassEJdelayed1yr[scenarios] Units:EJ TPESwithoutaccountingfortraditionalbiomass.(1615)"TPESdeCastroPhD-Scen'madcoal'EJ"= "TPESdeCastroPhD-Scen'madcoal'"(Time)/MToeperEJ Units:EJ/Year (1616)"TPESdeCastroPhD-Scen'madcoal'"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,7727.25),(1986,7904.71),(1987,8090.31),(1988,8272.83 ),(1989,8453.11),(1990,8632.09),(1991,8810.72),(1992,8989.94),(1993,9170.63 ),(1994,9353.55),(1995,9539.38),(1996,9728.58),(1997,9921.49),(1998,10118.2 ),(1999,10318.7),(2000,10522.5),(2001,10729.3),(2002,10938.4),(2003,11148.8 ),(2004,11359.5),(2005,11569.5),(2006,11786.3),(2007,11999.6),(2008,12211.4 ),(2009,12420.8),(2010,12626.9),(2011,12829.2),(2012,13027.3),(2013,13221) ,(2014,13410.5),(2015,13596.1),(2016,13774),(2017,13924.7),(2018,14047.6),



390

(2019,14141.5),(2020,14208.3),(2021,14251.8),(2022,14277.8),(2023,14292.7) ,(2024,14303.7),(2025,14317.3),(2026,14343.2),(2027,14382.9),(2028,14441.4 ),(2029,14521.6),(2030,14625.6),(2031,14754.7),(2032,14909.2),(2033,15089.5 ),(2034,15295.1),(2035,15525.7),(2036,15768.7),(2037,16021.4),(2038,16282.5 ),(2039,16551.3),(2040,16827.5),(2041,17111.3),(2042,17402.7),(2043,17701.8 ),(2044,18008.4),(2045,18322.2),(2046,18642.6),(2047,18968.8),(2048,19299.8 ),(2049,19634.2),(2050,19970.7),(2051,20218.4),(2052,20503.9),(2053,20792.3 ),(2054,21082),(2055,21370.6),(2056,21655.5),(2057,21933.9),(2058,22202.8) ,(2059,22459.9),(2060,22702.5),(2061,22928.4),(2062,23135.7),(2063,23322.3 ),(2064,23486.7),(2065,23627.4),(2066,23743.2),(2067,23833.1),(2068,23896.3 ),(2069,23932.3),(2070,23940.6),(2071,23921.3),(2072,23874.3),(2073,23810.4 ),(2074,23774.2),(2075,23753),(2076,23746.1),(2077,23752.7),(2078,23771.8) ,(2079,23802.3),(2080,23843.3),(2081,23893.7),(2082,23952.6),(2083,24018.9 ),(2084,24091.6),(2085,24169.7),(2086,24252.2),(2087,24338.1),(2088,24426.4 ),(2089,24516.1),(2090,24606.1),(2091,24695.4),(2092,24783),(2093,24868),( 2094,24949.3),(2095,25026),(2096,25097.2),(2097,25162),(2098,25219.5),(2099 ,25268.9),(2100,25309.5)) Units:MToe/Year Totalprimaryenergyextraction(Add"Energíaperdida"tothe netenergyextractionintheoriginalmodel).(1617)"TPESdeCastroPhD-ScenIIEJ"= "TPESdeCastroPhD-ScenII"(Time)/MToeperEJ Units:EJ/Year TPES.(Add"Energíaperdida"tothenetenergyextractionin theoriginalmodel).(1618)"TPESdeCastroPhD-ScenII"( [(0,0)-(10,10)],(1985,7749.13),(1986,7949.4),(1987,8160.47),(1988,8369.05 ),(1989,8575.33),(1990,8779.44),(1991,8981.51),(1992,9181.61),(1993,9379.72 ),(1994,9575.75),(1995,9769.52),(1996,9960.74),(1997,10149),(1998,10333.8) ,(1999,10514.5),(2000,10690.6),(2001,10861.1),(2002,11025.4),(2003,11182.6 ),(2004,11331.9),(2005,11472.6),(2006,11613.1),(2007,11744),(2008,11868.2) ,(2009,11985.7),(2010,12096.8),(2011,12202),(2012,12302.1),(2013,12398),(2014 ,12490.6),(2015,12581.3),(2016,12667.2),(2017,12730),(2018,12767.9),(2019, 12779.1),(2020,12764.7),(2021,12728.4),(2022,12676),(2023,12615),(2024,12553.4 ),(2025,12499.7),(2026,12465.2),(2027,12453.3),(2028,12470.3),(2029,12519.7 ),(2030,12603.9),(2031,12723.6),(2032,12878.5),(2033,13067.2),(2034,13287.8 ),(2035,13538.2),(2036,13805),(2037,14082.5),(2038,14367),(2039,14656.3),( 2040,14949),(2041,15244.7),(2042,15543.8),(2043,15846.7),(2044,16154.3),(2045 ,16467.1),(2046,16785.7),(2047,17110),(2048,17439.8),(2049,17774.5),(2050, 18113.2),(2051,18354.1),(2052,18638.3),(2053,18929.8),(2054,19227.6),(2055 ,19529.3),(2056,19832.1),(2057,20132.6),(2058,20427.7),(2059,20714.2),(2060 ,20989.2),(2061,21250.3),(2062,21494.8),(2063,21720.8),(2064,21926.3),(2065



391

,22109.7),(2066,22269.4),(2067,22404.4),(2068,22513.5),(2069,22596.2),(2070 ,22651.7),(2071,22679.9),(2072,22680.6),(2073,22664.5),(2074,22677.2),(2075 ,22706.2),(2076,22750.8),(2077,22809.7),(2078,22881.7),(2079,22965.5),(2080 ,23059.8),(2081,23163.4),(2082,23275.1),(2083,23393.7),(2084,23518),(2085, 23647),(2086,23779.6),(2087,23914.5),(2088,24050.7),(2089,24187.2),(2090,24322.8 ),(2091,24456.4),(2092,24587),(2093,24713.6),(2094,24835.1),(2095,24950.6) ,(2096,25059.1),(2097,25159.7),(2098,25251.6),(2099,25333.9),(2100,25405.8 )) Units:MToe/Year TPES.(Add"Energíaperdida"tothenetenergyextractionin theoriginalmodel).(1619)TPESEJ[scenarios]= TotalextractionNREEJ[scenarios]+TPEfromRESEJ[scenarios]+PESwasteEJ [scenarios] Units:EJ/Year TotalPrimaryEnergySupply.(1620)TPESheat[scenarios]= PESNREheat[scenarios]+PESheatRES[scenarios]+"PEStotwasteforheat-com" [scenarios] Units:EJ (1621)TPESintensityEJT$[scenarios]= ZIDZ(TPESEJ[scenarios],GDP[scenarios]) Units:EJ/Tdollars Totalprimaryenergyintensity.(1622)TPESintensityEJT$delayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( TPESintensityEJT$[scenarios],1,13.14) Units:Tdollars/Year TPESintensitydelayed1year.(1623)TPESintensitygrowthrate[scenarios]= -1+TPESintensityEJT$[scenarios]/TPESintensityEJT$delayed1yr[scenarios ] Units:Dmnl TPESintensitygrowthrate.(1624)TPESMtoe[scenarios]= TPESEJ[scenarios]*MToeperEJ Units:MToe/Year TotalPrimaryEnergySupply.



392

(1625)TPESRESdelayed1yr[scenarios]=DELAYFIXED( TPEfromRESEJ[scenarios],1,48.03) Units:Dmnl (1626)TpolicyT[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','C174') TpolicyT[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','C174') TpolicyT[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','C174') TpolicyT[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','C174') TpolicyT[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','C174') TpolicyT[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C174') Units:**undefined** (1627)Transfercoefficientforlowerlevel= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C116') Units:1/Year[100,4000] [Fiddaman]HeatTransferCoefficient[tau12](years). Coefficientofheattransferbetweentheatmosphere&upper oceanandthedeepocean./500/[DICE-2013R]1/c4;c4Transfer coefficientforlowerlevel/0.025/(1628)TransformationLossesEJ[scenarios,liquids]= PESfossilfuelextractiondelayed[scenarios,liquids]*Historicshareoftransformationlossesvsextraction [liquids] TransformationLossesEJ[scenarios,solids]= PESfossilfuelextractiondelayed[scenarios,solids]*Historicshareoftransformationlossesvsextraction [solids] TransformationLossesEJ[scenarios,electricity]= 0 TransformationLossesEJ[scenarios,gases]= Transformation Losses EJ[scenarios,solids]*Ratio gain gas vs lose solids in tranfprocesses TransformationLossesEJ[scenarios,heat]= 0 Units:**undefined** Lossesintransformationprocessesofeachfossilfuel



393

(1629)Transporthouseholdsfinalenergydemand[scenarios,finalsources]= Energy intensity of households transport[scenarios,final sources]*Householddemandtotal [scenarios] Units:EJ Finalenergyintransporthouseholds(1630)TransportTFED[scenarios]= SUM(TotaltransportFEDbyfuel[scenarios,finalsources!]) Units:EJ/Year TotalFinalEnergydemandintransport(1631)TransportTFEDenergyintensity[scenarios]= TransportTFED[scenarios]/GDP[scenarios] Units:EJ/Tdollars (1632)TWeperTWh= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C7') Units:TWe/(TWh/Year) Unitconversion(1TWe=8760TWhperyear)(1633)TWhpergCO2e0= 0.02 Units:gCO2e/TWh 17-22gCO2e/KWh[Arvesen2011]/*Comprobarestarelación*/(1634)unconvgastoleaveunderground[scenarios]= RURRunconvgas2015*shareRURRunconvgastoleaveunderground[scenarios ] Units:EJ Unconventionalnaturalgastobeleftundergroundduetothe applicationofapolicy.(1635)unconvoiltoleaveunderground[scenarios]= RURRunconvoil2015*shareRURRunconvoiltoleaveunderground[scenarios ] Units:EJ Unconventionaloiltobeleftundergroundduetotheapplication ofapolicy.(1636)"unlimitedcoal?"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','E83') "unlimitedcoal?"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','E83')



394

"unlimitedcoal?"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','E83') "unlimitedcoal?"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','E83') "unlimitedcoal?"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','E83') "unlimitedcoal?"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','E83') Units:Dmnl Switchtoconsiderifcoalisunlimited(1),orifitislimited (0).Iflimitedthentheavailabledepletioncurvesare considered.(1637)"unlimitedgas?"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','E83') "unlimitedgas?"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','E83') "unlimitedgas?"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','E83') "unlimitedgas?"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','E83') "unlimitedgas?"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','E83') "unlimitedgas?"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','E83') Units:Dmnl Switchtoconsiderifgasisunlimited(1),orifitislimited (0).Iflimitedthentheavailabledepletioncurvesare considered.(1638)"unlimitedNRE?"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','E66') "unlimitedNRE?"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','E66') "unlimitedNRE?"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','E66') "unlimitedNRE?"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','E66') "unlimitedNRE?"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','E66') "unlimitedNRE?"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','E66') Units:Dmnl Switchtoconsiderifnon-renewableresources(oil,gas,coal



395

anduranium)areunlimited(1),orifitislimited(0).If limitedthentheavailabledepletioncurvesareconsidered.(1639)"unlimitedoil?"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','E67') "unlimitedoil?"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','E67') "unlimitedoil?"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','E67') "unlimitedoil?"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','E67') "unlimitedoil?"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','E67') "unlimitedoil?"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','E67') Units:Dmnl Switchtoconsiderifoilisunlimited(1),orifitislimited (0).Iflimitedthentheavailabledepletioncurvesare considered.(1640)"unlimiteduranium?"[BAU]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','BAU','E104') "unlimiteduranium?"[SCEN1]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN1','E104') "unlimiteduranium?"[SCEN2]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN2','E104') "unlimiteduranium?"[SCEN3]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN3','E104') "unlimiteduranium?"[SCEN4]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','SCEN4','E104') "unlimiteduranium?"[Userdefined]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','E104') Units:Dmnl Switchtoconsiderifuraniumisunlimited(1),orifitis limited(0).Iflimitedthentheavailabledepletioncurvesare considered.(1641)urbansurface2008= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Parameters','C71') Units:MHa Areaoccupiedbyhumansettlementandinfraestructures.This areaisroughly200-400MHa(Wackernageletal.,2002;WWF,2008; Young,1999).



396

(1642)URRcoal[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,URRcoalunlimited, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedcoal?"[scenarios]=1,URRcoalunlimited, IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncoalcurve[scenarios]=1,URRcoalMohr2012EJ , IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncoalcurve[scenarios]=2,URRcoalLowMohr15 , IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncoalcurve[scenarios]=3,URRcoalBGMohr15 , IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncoalcurve[scenarios]=4,URRcoalHigh15, URRcoalUserdefinedEJ)))))) Units:EJ UltimatelyRecoverableResources(URR)associatedtothe selecteddepletioncurve.(1643)URRcoalBGMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C162') Units:EJ (1644)URRcoalHigh15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C164') Units:EJ (1645)URRcoalLowMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C160') Units:EJ (1646)URRcoalMohr2012EJ= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C158') Units:EJ (1647)URRcoalunlimited= URRcoalHigh15*10000 Units:EJ WeassumethattheURRfortheunlimitedscenariois10000times thehighestestimate.(1648)URRcoalUserdefinedEJ= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C153') Units:EJ (1649)URRconvgas[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvgas?"[scenarios]=1, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,URRconvgasunlimited,



397

IFTHENELSE("unlimitedgas?"[scenarios]=1,URRconvgasunlimited, IF THEN ELSE(choose extraction conv gas curve[scenarios]=1, URR conv gas BGMohr15 , IF THEN ELSE(choose extraction conv gas curve[scenarios]=2, URR conv gas LowMohr15 , IF THEN ELSE(choose extraction conv gas curve[scenarios]=3, URR conv gas HighMohr15 ,URRconvgasUserdefined))))),0) Units:EJ UltimatelyRecoverableResources(URR)associatedtothe selecteddepletioncurve.(1650)URRconvgasBGMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C145') Units:EJ (1651)URRconvgasHighMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C143') Units:EJ (1652)URRconvgasLowMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C141') Units:EJ (1653)URRconvgasunlimited= URRconvgasHighMohr15*10000 Units:EJ WeassumethattheURRfortheunlimitedscenariois10000times thehighestestimate.(1654)URRconvgasUserdefined= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C146') Units:EJ (1655)URRconvoil[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvoil?"[scenarios]=1, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,URRconvoilunlimited, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedoil?"[scenarios]=1,URRconvoilunlimited, IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveconvoil[scenarios]=1,URRconvoilMaggio12middle ,



398

IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveconvoil[scenarios]=2,URRconvoilMaggio12High , IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveconvoil[scenarios]=3,URRconvoilMaggio12Low ,URRconvoilUserdefined))))),0) Units:EJ UltimatelyRecoverableResources(URR)associatedtothe selecteddepletioncurve.(1656)URRconvoilMaggio12High= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C130') Units:EJ [Maggio2012].Oilconventional+NGLs.HighscenarioconURR=3000 Gb.(1657)URRconvoilMaggio12Low= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C126') Units:EJ (1658)URRconvoilMaggio12middle= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C128') Units:EJ [Maggio2012].Oilconventional+NGLs.ScenarioconURR=2600 Gb.(Middlescenario)(1659)URRconvoilunlimited= URRconvoilMaggio12High*10000 Units:EJ WeassumethattheURRfortheunlimitedscenariois10000times thehighestestimate.(1660)URRconvoilUserdefined= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C139') Units:EJ (1661)URRgasLeherrere2010[scenarios]= 13600 Units:EJ (1662)URRgasMohrBG2012[scenarios]= 19900 Units:EJ



399

(1663)URRgasMohrHigh2013[scenarios]= 28500 Units:EJ (1664)URRoilASPO[scenarios]= 12800 Units:EJ (1665)URRtotagggas[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvgas?"[scenarios]=1,0, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,URRtotalagggasunlimited, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedgas?"[scenarios]=1,URRtotalagggasunlimited, IF THEN ELSE(choose extraction tot agg gas curve[scenarios]=1, URR total gasLaherrère10 , IFTHENELSE(chooseextractiontotagggascurve[scenarios]=2,URRtotalgasMohr12BG ,URRtotalgasUserdefined))))) Units:EJ UltimatelyRecoverableResources(URR)associatedtothe selecteddepletioncurve.(1666)URRtotaggoil[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("separateconvandunconvoil?"[scenarios]=1,0, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedoil?"[scenarios]=1,URRtotaggoilunlimited, IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,URRtotaggoilunlimited, IF THEN ELSE(choose extraction curve tot agg oil[scenarios]=1, URR tot agg oilLaherrère2006 ,URRtotaggoilUserdefined)))) Units:EJ UltimatelyRecoverableResources(URR)associatedtothe selecteddepletioncurve.(1667)URRtotaggoilLaherrère2006= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C138') Units:EJ (1668)URRtotaggoilunlimited= URRtotaggoilLaherrère2006*10000 Units:EJ WeassumethattheURRfortheunlimitedscenariois10000times thehighestestimate.(1669)URRtotaggoilUserdefined=



400

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C143') Units:EJ (1670)URRtotalagggasunlimited= URRtotalgasMohr12BG*10000 Units:EJ (1671)URRtotalgasLaherrère10= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C153') Units:EJ (1672)URRtotalgasMohr12BG= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C155') Units:EJ (1673)URRtotalgasUserdefined= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C150') Units:EJ (1674)URRunconvgas[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvgas[scenarios]=1,URRunconvgasBGMohr15 ,IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvgas [scenarios]=2,URRunconvgasLowMohr15,IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvgas [scenarios]=3,URRunconvgasHighMohr15,URRunconvgasUserdefined))) Units:EJ (1675)URRunconvgasBGMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C147') Units:EJ (1676)URRunconvgasHighMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C149') Units:EJ (1677)URRunconvgasLowMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C151') Units:EJ (1678)URRunconvgasUserdefined= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C148') Units:EJ



401

(1679)URRunconvoil[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[scenarios]=1,URRunconvoilBGMohr15 , IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[scenarios]=2,URRunconvoilLowMohr15 , IFTHENELSE(chooseextractioncurveunconvoil[scenarios]=3,URRunconvoilHighMohr15 ,URRunconvoilUserdefined))) Units:EJ (1680)URRunconvoilBGMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C132') Units:EJ (1681)URRunconvoilHighMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C134') Units:EJ (1682)URRunconvoilLowMohr15= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C136') Units:EJ (1683)URRunconvoilUserdefined= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C141') Units:EJ (1684)URRuranium[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("unlimitedNRE?"[scenarios]=1,URRuraniumunlimited, IFTHENELSE("unlimiteduranium?"[scenarios]=1,URRuraniumunlimited, IFTHENELSE(Chooseextractionuraniumcurve[scenarios]=1,URRuraniumEWG13 , IFTHENELSE(Chooseextractionuraniumcurve[scenarios]=2,URRuraniumZittel12 ,URRuraniumUserdefined)))) Units:EJ UltimatelyRecoverableResources(URR)associatedtothe selecteddepletioncurve.(1685)URRuraniumEWG13= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C169') Units:EJ 3900Según[EWG2013](curvas_recursos.xlsx).



402

(1686)URRuraniumunlimited= URRuraniumEWG13*10000 Units:EJ WeassumethattheURRfortheunlimitedscenariois10000times thehighestestimate.(1687)URRuraniumUserdefined= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','C156') Units:EJ (1688)URRuraniumZittel12= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Constants','C167') Units:EJ (1689)UsedEVbatteriesforstorage[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE((demandstoragecapacity[scenarios]-InstalledPHScapacity[scenarios ])=0,0,MIN((demandstoragecapacity[scenarios]-InstalledPHScapacity[scenarios ]),EVbatteriesavailableforstorage[scenarios])) Units:TW Fromthetotalstockofelectricbatteriesinelectricvehicles, poweravailableforelectricstorage(prioritygiventoPHS).(1690)"User-definedextractiongrowthunconvgas"( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','163','D164')) Units:Dmnl User-definedannualextractiongrowthconstraintpathasa functionoftimeforunconventionalgas.(1691)"User-definedextractiongrowthunconvoil"( GETXLSLOOKUPS('inputs.xlsx','Userdefined','161','D162') ) Units:Dmnl User-definedannualextractiongrowthconstraintpathasa functionoftimeforunconventionaloil.(1692)varIinlandElec[scenarios]= energyperXt[scenarios,LVelec]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,LVelec ]+energyperXt[scenarios,trainelec]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,trainelec ]+energyperXt[scenarios,buselec]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,buselec ] Units:**undefined** (1693)varIinlandTGas[scenarios]=



403

energyperXt[scenarios,HVgas]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,HVgas] +energyperXt[scenarios,busgas]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,busgas ]+energyperXt[scenarios,LVgas]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,LVgas ] Units:**undefined** (1694)varIinlandTliq[scenarios]= energyperXt[scenarios,HVliq]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,HVliq] +energyperXt[scenarios,LVliq]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,LVliq] +energyperXt[scenarios,busliq]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,busliq ]+energyperXt[scenarios,HVliq]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,HVhib ]+energyperXt[scenarios,LVliq]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,LVhib ]+energyperXt[scenarios,busliq]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,bushib ]+ energyperXt[scenarios,trainliq]*varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,trainliq ] Units:**undefined** (1695)varIHE2[scenarios]= A1coeftH*varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec4wheels]*savingratiosV [LVelec]+A2coeftH*varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec2wheels]*savinratio2wE Units:**undefined** (1696)varIHgas2[scenarios]= A1coeftH*varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,gas4wheels]*savingratiosV [LVgas] Units:**undefined** (1697)varIHliq2[scenarios]= A1coeftH*varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]+A1coeftH*varpercentsHvehicles [scenarios,hib4wheels]+A2coeftH*varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq2wheels ] Units:**undefined** (1698)varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,HVliq]= -adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,HVhib]-adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,HVgas] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,HVhib]= adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,HVhib] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,HVgas]= adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,HVgas] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,LVliq]= -adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,LVhib]-adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,LVelec] -adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,LVgas]



404

varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,LVelec]= adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,LVelec] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,LVhib]= adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,LVhib] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,LVgas]= adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,LVgas] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,busliq]= -adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,buselec]-adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,bushib ]-adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,busgas] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,bushib]= adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,bushib] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,busgas]= adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,busgas] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,trainliq]= -adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,trainelec] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,trainelec]= adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,trainelec] varpercentTvehicles[scenarios,buselec]= adaptvarinlandT[scenarios,buselec] Units:**undefined** growthofpercentsofinlandtransportvehicles,eachtype relativetoitsown:heavyvehicles(%liq+%hib+%gas)add1, lightvehicles(%liq+%elec+%gas+%hib)add1,bus (%liq+%elec+%gas+%hib)add1andtrains((%liq+%elec)add1.The growthofliquidsallwaysadaptstotheoneoftherest,we assumethatthepoliciesarepassingfromliquidstootherfuels(1699)varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq4wheels]= IFTHENELSE(Time<TpolicyHveh[scenarios],auxhistH[scenarios,liq4wheels ],-HEVadaptgrowth[scenarios]-Hhibadaptgrowth[scenarios]-Hgasadaptgrowth [scenarios]-rate4wto2w[scenarios]) varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec4wheels]= IFTHENELSE(Time<TpolicyHveh[scenarios],auxhistH[scenarios,elec4wheels ],HEVadaptgrowth[scenarios]) varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,hib4wheels]= IFTHENELSE(Time<TpolicyHveh[scenarios],auxhistH[scenarios,hib4wheels ],Hhibadaptgrowth[scenarios]) varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,gas4wheels]= IFTHENELSE(Time<TpolicyHveh[scenarios],auxhistH[scenarios,gas4wheels ],Hgasadaptgrowth[scenarios]) varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,liq2wheels]= IFTHENELSE(Time<TpolicyHveh[scenarios],auxhistH[scenarios,liq2wheels ],-H2wEadaptgrowth[scenarios]+rate4wto2w [scenarios])



405

varpercentsHvehicles[scenarios,elec2wheels]= IFTHENELSE(Time<TpolicyHveh[scenarios],auxhistH[scenarios,elec2wheels ],H2wEadaptgrowth[scenarios]) Units:**undefined** Percentsrelativetototal4w+2w.BeforeTpolicyHveh(2015by default)thepercentagesfollowhistoricalvariations(1700)variationCC[scenarios]= capitalshare[scenarios]*(ExogenousGDPgrowthratecorrected[scenarios]+ historicgrowthcapitalshare[scenarios]+ExogenousGDPgrowthratecorrected [scenarios]*historicgrowthcapitalshare[scenarios])*Realdemand[scenarios ] Units:Mdollars/Year Variationofcapitalcompensation(1701)variationCCsectoral[scenarios,sectors]= ((CCtotal[scenarios]+variationCC[scenarios])*shareCCnextstep[sectors ])-(CCtotal[scenarios]*shareCCsectoral[sectors]) Units:Mdollars/Year Variationofcapitalcompensationbyindustrialsectors(1702)variationCTL[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2013,HistoricCTLproduction(Time+1)-HistoricCTLproduction (Time), IFTHENELSE(checkliquids[scenarios]<0,"constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?" [scenarios]*CTLpotentialproduction[scenarios], CTLpotentialproduction[scenarios]*realgrowthCTL[scenarios])) Units:EJ/Year NewannualCTLproduction.(1703)variationdemandflowFD[scenarios,sectors]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2009 ,historicvariationdemand[scenarios,sectors],(Gross fixedcapitalformation [scenarios,sectors]* (1-((1-share consum goverments and inventories next step[sectors])/(1-shareconsumgovermentandinventories [sectors]))) +Household demand[scenarios,sectors]*(1-((1-share consum goverments andinventoriesnextstep [sectors])/(1-shareconsumgovermentandinventories [sectors])))+variationGFCF[scenarios,sectors]+variationhouseholddemand [scenarios,sectors])/(1-shareconsumgovermentsandinventoriesnextstep [sectors])) Units:Mdollars/Year



406

variationoffinaldemandbyindustrialsectors(1704)variationenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport[scenarios,liquids ]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2009,0,varIHliq2[scenarios]) variationenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport[scenarios,solids]= 0 variationenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport[scenarios,gases]= IFTHENELSE(Time>2009,varIHgas2[scenarios],0) variationenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport[scenarios,electricity] = IFTHENELSE(Time>2009,varIHE2[scenarios],0) variationenergyintensityofhouseholdstransport[scenarios,heat]= 0 Units:**undefined** (1705)variationGFCF[scenarios,sectors]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2009,variationhistoricGFCF[scenarios,sectors],EXP(beta0cap )*EXP(beta1cap[sectors])*((CCsectoralnextstep[scenarios,sectors])^beta2cap -(CCsectoral[scenarios, sectors])^beta2cap)) Units:Mdollars/Year Variationofgrossfixedcapitalformationbyindustrialsectors(1706)variationGTL[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2013,HistoricGTLproduction(Time+1)-HistoricGTLproduction (Time), IFTHENELSE(checkliquids[scenarios]<0,"constrainliquidsexogenousgrowth?" [scenarios]*GTLpotentialproduction[scenarios], GTLpotentialproduction[scenarios]*realgrowthGTL[scenarios])) Units:EJ/Year NewannualGTLproduction.(1707)variationhistoricdemand[scenarios,sectors]= HistoricHD[sectors](Time+1)-HistoricHD[sectors](Time) Units:Mdollars/Year Variationoffinaldemandbyhouseholds(1708)variationhistoricGFCF[scenarios,sectors]= HistoricGFCF[sectors](Time+1)-HistoricGFCF[sectors](Time) Units:Mdollars/Year Historicvariationofgrossfixedcapitalformation(WIOD-35 sectors)



407

(1709)variationhistoricpop= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,Historicpop(Time+1)-Historicpop(Time),0) Units:people/Year Populationhistoricvariation.(1710)variationhouseholddemand[scenarios,sectors]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2009,variationhistoricdemand[scenarios,sectors],EXP(Bet0lab )*EXP(Beta1lab[sectors])*((LCnextstep[scenarios])^beta2lab-(LC[scenarios ])^beta2lab)) Units:Mdollars/Year Variationoffinaldemandbyhouseholdsbyindustrialsectors(1711)variationlabourshare[scenarios]= growthlabourshare[scenarios]*labourshare[scenarios] Units:1/Year Realvariationoflaborshare.(1712)variationLC[scenarios]= Real demand[scenarios]*labour share[scenarios]*(Exogenous GDP growth ratecorrected [scenarios]+growthlabourshare[scenarios ]+ExogenousGDPgrowthratecorrected[scenarios]*growthlabourshare[scenarios ]) Units:Mdollars Variationoflabourcompensation(1713)variationmineralsextractionRest[materials,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,HistoricalvariationmineralsextractionRest[materials ], IFTHENELSE(MineralsextractionprojectionRestcterr[materials,scenarios ]>0.01,("'a'extractionprojectionminerals"[materials]*(GDP[scenarios]-GDPdelayed1yr [scenarios])),0))*Mtpertonne Units:Mt Variationofmineralsextractionoftherestoftheeconomy.(1714)"variationnon-energyuse"[electricity,scenarios]= 0 "variationnon-energyuse"[heat,scenarios]= 0 "variationnon-energyuse"[liquids,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ"[scenarios,liquids]> 0.01,0.461414*(GDP[scenarios]-GDPdelayed1yr[scenarios]),0) "variationnon-energyuse"[gases,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ"[scenarios,gases]>0.01



408

,0.123925*(GDP[scenarios]-GDPdelayed1yr[scenarios]),0) "variationnon-energyuse"[solids,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("Non-energyusedemandbyfinalfuelEJ"[scenarios,solids]>0.01 ,0.0797511*(GDP[scenarios]-GDPdelayed1yr[scenarios]),0) Units:EJ (1715)"variationsharetransm&distreleclosses"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0,"variationsharetransm&distrlosseselec"[scenarios ]*"remainingsharetransm&distreleclosses"[scenarios]) Units:Dmnl Annualvariationoftheshareoftransmissionanddistribution lossesofelectricity.(1716)"variationsharetransm&distrlosseselec"[scenarios]= "share transm&distr elec losses initial"*(0.0115*EXP(4.2297*share Elec demandcoveredbyRES [scenarios])-0.00251) Units:Dmnl Relationshipbetweentransmissionanddistributionlossesof electricityandthepenetrationofRESintheelectricitymix. Source:NREL(2012).(1717)VEobjetiveUE2020= 1 Units:Dmnl (1718)VEobjetiveUE2020extrap= 1 Units:Dmnl (1719)vehiclesinlandT[scenarios,vehicleT]= percentTvehicles[scenarios,vehicleT]*Realtotaloutputinlandtransport [scenarios]*NX0vehiclesperXinlandT[vehicleT] Units:**undefined** (1720)vehicleT: HVliq,HVhib,HVgas,LVliq,LVelec,LVhib,LVgas,busliq,buselec,bushib ,busgas,trainliq,trainelec (1721)wastechange[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(AnnualGDPgrowthrate[scenarios]<0,AnnualGDPgrowthrate[ scenarios],Pwastechange[scenarios]) Units:1/Year IfGDPbecomesnegative,annualPESchangefollowsitdecreasing



409

trends.(1722)water: "clean,pumpedwater","distilled,deionizedwater" (1723)"waterforO&M-CSP"["clean,pumpedwater"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B114') "waterforO&M-CSP"["distilled,deionizedwater"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','B115') Units:kg/MW (1724)"waterforO&M-PV"["clean,pumpedwater"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C114') "waterforO&M-PV"["distilled,deionizedwater"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','C115') Units:kg/MW (1725)"waterforO&M-RESelec"[hydro,water]= 0 "waterforO&M-RESelec"["geot-elec",water]= 0 "waterforO&M-RESelec"["solidbioE-elec",water]= 0 "waterforO&M-RESelec"[oceanic,water]= 0 "waterforO&M-RESelec"[windonshore,water]= "waterforO&M-windonshore"[water] "waterforO&M-RESelec"[windoffshore,water]= "waterforO&M-windoffshore"[water] "waterforO&M-RESelec"[solarPV,water]= "waterforO&M-PV"[water] "waterforO&M-RESelec"[CSP,water]= "waterforO&M-CSP"[water] Units:kg/MW (1726)"waterforO&M-windoffshore"["clean,pumpedwater"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E114') "waterforO&M-windoffshore"["distilled,deionizedwater"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','E115') Units:kg/MW (1727)"waterforO&M-windonshore"["clean,pumpedwater"]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D114') "waterforO&M-windonshore"["distilled,deionizedwater"]=



410

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Materials','D115') Units:kg/MW (1728)"WaterforO&MrequiredforRESelec"[hydro,water,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESelecTW[hydro,scenarios]*"waterforO&M-RESelec" [hydro,water]*MperT/kgperMt "WaterforO&MrequiredforRESelec"["geot-elec",water,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESelecTW["geot-elec",scenarios]*"waterforO&M-RESelec" ["geot-elec",water]*MperT/kgperMt "WaterforO&MrequiredforRESelec"["solidbioE-elec",water,scenarios]= installed capacity RES elec TW["solid bioE-elec",scenarios]*"water for O&M - RESelec" ["solidbioE-elec",water]*MperT/kgperMt "WaterforO&MrequiredforRESelec"[oceanic,water,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESelecTW[oceanic,scenarios]*"waterforO&M-RESelec" [oceanic,water]*MperT/kgperMt "WaterforO&MrequiredforRESelec"[windonshore,water,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESelecTW[windonshore,scenarios]*"waterforO&M-RESelec" [windonshore,water]*MperT /kgperMt "WaterforO&MrequiredforRESelec"[windoffshore,water,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESelecTW[windoffshore,scenarios]*"waterforO&M-RESelec" [windoffshore,water]*MperT /kgperMt "WaterforO&MrequiredforRESelec"[solarPV,water,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESelecTW[solarPV,scenarios]*"waterforO&M-RESelec" [solarPV,water]*MperT/kgperMt "WaterforO&MrequiredforRESelec"[CSP,water,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESelecTW[CSP,scenarios]*"waterforO&M-RESelec"[ CSP,water]*MperT/kgperMt Units:Mt Annualwaterrequiredfortheoperationandmaintenanceofthe capacityofRESforelectricityinoperationbytechnology.(1729)wearCTL[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0,CTLpotentialproduction[scenarios]/lifetimeCTL ) Units:EJ/Year DepreciationofCTLplants.(1730)wearGTL[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0,GTLpotentialproduction[scenarios]/lifetimeGTL ) Units:EJ/Year



411

DepreciationofGTLplants.(1731)wearnuclear[scenarios]= IF THEN ELSE(Time<2012, 0, installed capacity nuclear TW[scenarios]/life timenuclear ) Units:TW Depreciationofnuclearpowerplants.(1732)wearREScapacityforheatTW0[RESheat,scenarios]= installedcapacityRESheatTW0[RESheat,scenarios]/lifetimeRESforheat0 [RESheat] Units:TW Decommissionofthecapacitythatreachstheendofitslifetime.(1733)"wearREScapacityforheat-comTW"[RESheat,scenarios]= "installedcapacityRESheat-comTW"[RESheat,scenarios]/lifetimeRESforheat [RESheat] Units:TW Decommissionofthecapacitythatreachstheendofitslifetime.(1734)"wearREScapacityforheat-ncTW"[RESheat,scenarios]= "installedcapacityRESheat-ncTW"[RESheat,scenarios]/lifetimeRESforheat [RESheat] Units:TW Decommissionofthecapacitythatreachstheendofitslifetime.(1735)wearRESelec[RESelec,scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Time<2015,0,installedcapacityRESelecTW[RESelec,scenarios ]/lifetimeRESelec[RESelec]) Units:TW DepreciationofRESinfraestructures.(1736)yearadjust[scenarios]= 1 Units:Year (1737)Yearpolicychangeenergy[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[MiningandQuarrying,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','G11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[FoodBeveragesandTobacco,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','L11')



412

Yearpolicychangeenergy[TextilesandTextileProducts,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','Q11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[LeatherLeatherandFootwear,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','V11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AA11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AF11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AP11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[RubberandPlastics,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AU11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[OtherNonMetalicMineral,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AZ11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal,finalsources] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BE11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[MachineryNec,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BJ11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BO11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[TransportEquipment,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BT11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[ManufacturingNecRecycling,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BY11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CD11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[Construction,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CI11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[SaleMaintenanceandRepairofMotorVehiclesandaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CN11') Year policy change energy[Wholesale Trade and Commissions Trade Except of MotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CS11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[RetailTradeExceptofMotorVehiclesandMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods



413

,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CX11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[HotelsandRestaurants,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DC11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[InlandTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DH11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[WaterTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DM11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[AirTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DR11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[OtherSupportingandAuxiliaryTransportActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DW11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[PostandTelecommunications,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EB11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[FinancialIntermedation,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EG11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[RealEstateActivities,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EL11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EQ11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EV11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[Education,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FA11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[HealthandSocialWork,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FF11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FK11') Yearpolicychangeenergy[PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FP11') Units:**undefined** (1738)YearpolicychangeenergyH[finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FU11') Units:**undefined** (1739)Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[AgricultureHuntingForestryandFishing ,finalsources]=



414

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','B7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[MiningandQuarrying,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','G7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[FoodBeveragesandTobacco,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','L7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[TextilesandTextileProducts,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','Q7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[LeatherLeatherandFootwear,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','V7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[WoodandProductsofWooodandCork,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AA7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[PulpPaperPrintingandPublishing,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AF7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[CokeRefinedPetroleumandNuclearFuel, finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AK7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[ChemicalsandChemicalproducts,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AP7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[RubberandPlastics,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AU7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[OtherNonMetalicMineral,finalsources] = GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','AZ7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[BasicMetalsandFabricatedMetal,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BE7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[MachineryNec,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BJ7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[ElectricalandOpticalEquipment,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BO7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[TransportEquipment,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BT7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[ManufacturingNecRecycling,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','BY7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[ElectricityGasandWaterSupply,finalsources ]=



415

GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CD7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[Construction,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CI7') Year policy to improve efficiency[Sale Maintenance and Repair of Motor Vehicles andaMotorcyclesRetailSaleoffuel ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CN7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[WholesaleTradeandCommissionsTradeExceptofMotorvehiclesandMotorcycles ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CS7') Year policy to improve efficiency[Retail Trade Except ofMotorVehicles andMotorcyclesRepairofHouseholdgoods ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','CX7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[HotelsandRestaurants,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DC7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[InlandTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DH7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[WaterTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DM7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[AirTransport,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DR7') Year policy to improve efficiency[Other Supporting and Auxiliary Transport ActivitiesActivitiesofTravelAgencies ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','DW7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[PostandTelecommunications,finalsources ]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EB7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[FinancialIntermedation,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EG7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[RealEstateActivities,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EL7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[RentingodMEqandOtherBusinessActivities ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EQ7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[PublicAdminandDefenceCompulsorySocialSecurity ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','EV7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[Education,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FA7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[HealthandSocialWork,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FF7')



416

Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[OtherCommunitySocialandPersonaServices ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FK7') Yearpolicytoimproveefficiency[PrivateHouseholdswithEmployedPersons ,finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FP7') Units:**undefined** (1740)YearpolicytoimproveefficiencyH[finalsources]= GETXLSCONSTANTS('inputs.xlsx','Energyintensities','FU7') Units:**undefined** (1741)Yearscarcitycoal[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundancecoal[scenarios]>0.95,0,Time) Units:Year Yearwhentheparameterabundancefallsbelow0.95,i.e.year whenscarcitystarts.(1742)YearscarcityElec[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Abundanceelectricity[scenarios]>0.95,0,Time) Units:Year Yearwhentheparameterabundancefallsbelow0.95,i.e.year whenscarcitystarts.(1743)Yearscarcitygases[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundancegases[scenarios]>0.95,0,Time) Units:Year Yearwhentheparameterabundancefallsbelow0.95,i.e.year whenscarcitystarts.(1744)YearscarcityHeat[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(Abundanceheat[scenarios]>0.95,0,Time) Units:Year Yearwhentheparameterabundancefallsbelow0.95,i.e.year whenscarcitystarts.(1745)Yearscarcityliquids[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundanceliquids[scenarios]>0.95,0,Time) Units:Year Yearwhentheparameterabundancefallsbelow0.95,i.e.year whenscarcitystarts.(1746)Yearscarcityoil[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundancetotaloil[scenarios]>0.95,0,Time)



417

Units:**undefined** Yearwhentheparameterabundancefallsbelow0.95,i.e.year whenscarcitystarts.(1747)"Yearscarcitytotalnat.gas"[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE("abundancetotalnat.gas"[scenarios]>0.95,0,Time) Units:**undefined** Yearwhentheparameterabundancefallsbelow0.95,i.e.year whenscarcitystarts.(1748)YearscarcityTPE[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundanceTPE[scenarios]>0.95,0,Time) Units:Year Yearwhentheparameterabundancefallsbelow0.95,i.e.year whenscarcitystarts.(1749)Yearscarcityuranium[scenarios]= IFTHENELSE(abundanceuranium[scenarios]>0.95,0,Time) Units:Year Yearwhentheparameterabundancefallsbelow0.95,i.e.year whenscarcitystarts.