Super PAC vs. Candidate Ads: The Influence of Sponsorship and Involvement on Candidate Affect
Transcript of Super PAC vs. Candidate Ads: The Influence of Sponsorship and Involvement on Candidate Affect
Running Head: SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
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Super PAC vs.Candidate Ads:
The Influence of Sponsorship and Involvementon Candidate Affect
David Lynn Painter, Ph.D.Full Sail [email protected]
Paper submitted to the 2014 Meetings of the Association of Educators in Journalism and Mass
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Abstract
This investigation uses a two- (candidate vs. super PAC
sponsorship) by three- (Republicans, Democrats, Independents)
experimental design (n = 554) to parse the influence of ad
sponsorship and enduring involvement on viewers’ changes in
affect toward Obama and Romney. The results suggest Independents’
changes in affect toward both candidates were greater after
viewing the Super PAC ads, but partisans’ changes in affect
toward the opposition party’s nominee were greater after viewing
the candidate sponsored ads.
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Super PAC vs.Candidate Ads:
The Influence of Sponsorship and Involvement on Candidate Affect
The 2012 presidential campaign surpassed all preexisting
fundraising and spending records, with approximately $1 billion
spent on campaign advertising alone (Nyczepri, 2012). Even more
remarkable, third party groups spent more on ad buys than did
the presidential candidates in this first presidential election
after the Citizens United v. FCC (2010) decision (WSJ, 2012).
Specifically, 266 Super PACs spent $546.5 million, Barack Obama
(D) spent $333 million, and Mitt Romney (R) spent $147 million
on 2012 campaign advertising (LA Times,
2012). This shift in ad sponsorship was not the only noteworthy
element of the 2012 campaign. In addition to the campaign spots
more likely to be sponsored by groups such as “Restore Our
Future” or “Priorities USA” than the candidates, the
overwhelmingly negative tone of the 2012 ads was also
unprecedented (Fowler & Ridout, 2012). Third-party groups
contributed to this negativity since 78% of the Super PACs ads
focused on attacking the opponent rather than promoting their
preferred candidate (Washington Post, 2012). Although outside
groups historically aired higher proportions of negative ads
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
4than did candidates (Kaid & Dimitrova,
2005; Kaid & Johnston, 1991), 85% of Barack Obama’s ads and
91% of Mitt Romney’s ads were also negative, making the tone
of 2012 campaign both predominantly and abysmally negative
(Wihbey, 2013).
The primary goal of negative or attack advertising is to
lower viewers’ relative affect toward the opponent of the
candidate on whose behalf the spot was produced and aired
(Kaid,
2004). By providing negative information about one of the
electoral choices in the contest, attack ads are intended to
suppress support for the target among those predisposed to vote
for him or her; to swing undecided voters away from the opposing
candidate; and to activate voters with
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preexisting negative attitudes toward the target. Thus, largely
dependent on the viewers’ partisanship, conceptualized as
enduring involvement in this study, negative advertising
strategies are designed to improve viewers’ relative affect
toward the candidate on whose behalf they were produced (Dowling
& Wichowsky, 2014).
The purpose of this investigation is to parse the influence
of negative ads on changes in viewers’ affect toward the
candidates based on sponsorship identification and viewers’
enduring involvement levels, or partisanship. Prior research
presents limited and somewhat mixed results on the influence of
ad sponsorship on affect toward presidential candidates after
sponsor identification requirements were mandated (BCRA, 2002)
and Super PACs were legitimized Citizens United v. FCC, 2010).
Nevertheless, we expect viewers to find negative ads sponsored by
unfamiliar and ambiguously named groups such as Restore Our
Future, American Crossroads, and Priorities USA will exert more
influence on viewers’ changes in candidate affect than will those
sponsored by the candidates. We also expect to find a main effect
of enduring involvement levels, or partisanship, on viewers’
changes in affect toward the candidates. Specifically, we expect
partisans, or those with high levels of enduring involvement in
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
6politics, to be more stable than Independents in their affective
responses to the negative ads, especially toward their own
political party’s nominee. Finally, we expect to find an
interaction between sponsorship and enduring involvement, with
Independents exposed to the negative Super PAC ads reporting the
greatest changes in affect toward the candidates.
Sponsorship Influence on Candidate Affect
The rationale for studying changes in viewers’ affect
toward the candidates after exposure to negative advertising is
supported by research showing attitudes toward a candidate are
an important predictor of voting decisions (Arcuri, et al,
2008; Miller, Wattenberg, &
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Malanchuk 1986). Rather than solely cognitive or emotional
responses to political information, research indicates attitudes
toward the candidates are based on affective intelligence
processes, or a combination of political socialization,
information-processing, and attitudinal variables that shape
political judgments (Marcus, Neuman, & MacKuen, 2000; Redlawsk,
Civettini, &
Emmerson, 2010). The influence of candidate affect on voting
behavior has also been verified by research indicating voters’
affect toward the candidates summarizes these electoral
judgments, accounting for half the variation in voting decisions
(Rahn, Aldrich, Borgida, & Sullivan, 1990).
Most negative political advertising research focuses on the
effects of candidate-sponsored messages on specific sets of
cognitive, attitudinal, and behavioral variables (for summary,
see Kaid, 2004). This body of research provides compelling
evidence that negative candidate- sponsored messages may
negatively influence viewers’ affect toward the target (Cundy,
1986; Lang, 1991; Marcus, Neuman, & MacKuen, 2000; Tinkham &
Weaver-Lariscy, 1993; West,
1993). Since candidates risk incurring negative responses to
their own candidacy, or a backlash effect when attacking
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
8opponents in political advertising, the affective effects of
negative advertising are not necessarily simple and
straightforward (Dowling & Wichowsky, 2014; Jasperson & Fan,
2002; Lemert, Wanta, & Lee, 1999; Merritt, 1984; Sonner, 1988).
To avoid a backlash effect, many campaigns in the 2012
primaries used their attendant Super PACs to sponsor negative
advertisements targeting Republican candidates and the
Democratic president (Brooks & Murov, 2012; Naylor, 2012).
Continuing the trend of increasingly negative candidate-
sponsored advertising, Obama and Romney actually aired higher
percentages of negative ads than did the Super PACs in the
2012 general election campaign (Washington Post, 2012). Clearly,
the perception that negative ads work, regardless of sponsor,
is the predominant wisdom among campaign operatives when
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formulating their advertising strategies (Brader, 2005; Green, 2013; Thurber & Nelson, 2000). In
2012, however, there was a clear divergence in campaign
advertising strategies between the two major party candidates and
their attendant Super PACs. That is, the Obama campaign spent
more than twice the total of the Romney campaign on advertising,
but the pro-Romney Super PACS outspent the pro-Obama Super PACs
by nearly the same margin, evening the playing field, but using
different sponsor identifications in the ads (Beckel & Choma,
2012). This difference in advertising sponsorship strategies is
also reflected in academic research on the influence of negative
ad sponsorship on viewers’ relative affect toward both the target
and the sponsor.
The results of research on the differential effects of
negative advertising dependent upon whether it was sponsored by a
candidate or a third-party group are equivocal. Some research
indicates third-party attacks may allow sponsoring candidates to
avoid backlash effects, thus they are more effective than
candidate-sponsored negative ads in lowering relative preference
for the target (Garramone, 1985; Shen & Wu, 2002). Some research
indicates viewers may perceive candidate-sponsored negative ads
as more credible than third-party ads, making them more effective
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
10than third-party sponsored negative ads (Jasperson & Fan, 2002;
Meirick, 2005). Still other research found no differential main
effect on relative candidate affect based on
sponsorship, but did find significant sponsorship
interactions with viewers’ partisan group memberships
(Brooks & Murov, 2012; Pfau, Holbert, Szabo, & Kaminski,
2002).
Although negative advertising spurred a great deal of
research when it began dominating the airwaves over the past
several decades, only four major published studies were conducted
after the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (BCRA) mandated clear ad
sponsorship requirements. The first of these studies compared
candidate- versus political party-sponsored advertising in the
2008 election (Meirick & Nisbett, 2011). Although Meirick and Nisbett (2011) found
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participants were more likely to vote for the candidate in the
candidate- versus political party- sponsored condition, the
association between Obama and McCain and their respective
political parties in this hyper-partisan campaign environment
may have limited their results (Dowling & Wichowsky, 2014;
Weber, Dunaway, & Johnson, 2012).
In another study conducted after BCRA, and the first after
the Citizens United (2010) decision, Brooks and Murov (2012)
compared the differential effects of a single image-based attack
ad on a fictional State Assembly candidate and manipulated source
attribution. Contrary to Meirick and Nisbett’s (2011) findings,
Brooks & Murov (2012) found a single attack ad focused on a
fictional candidate’s image characteristics and sponsored by a
fictional independent group was more influential on net candidate
favorability ratings than when it was attributed to a competing,
fictional candidate, but these effects were dependent on other
individual-level characteristics. Similarly, Dowling and
Wichowsky (2012) found that a single, negative ad against a
fictional State Assembly candidate was more effective if
attributed to an interest group than a candidate or party.
Finally, Weber, Dunaway, and Johnson (2012) also used a single
negative ad and manipulated attribution as a stimulus in their
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12experiment testing the effects of
this campaign spot on viewers’ candidate ratings in a fictional,
state-level race that had already occurred. The results of the
Weber Dunaway, and Johnson (2012) study also indicated the ad
was more persuasive when it was sponsored by an unknown interest
group, but the effects were
mixed and limited when examining the main and interaction
effects of ad sponsorship, candidate and viewer partisanship.
Since the 2012 election was the first presidential campaign
after the Citizens United (2010) decision, the literature on the
effects of Super PAC advertising is understandably limited.
Thus, this exploratory investigation finds its place in the
literature by using a series of negative
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issue ads from the two major party candidate campaigns and the
four highest spending Super PACs in the 2012 election. This
approach was selected to maximize external validity since the
vast majority of negative ads focus on issues, not images
(Joslyn, 1980; Kaid, 2004; West, 2014). Further, viewers, and
especially those in battleground states, were much more likely to
see a series of negative ads attacking both candidates rather
than a single ad attacking only one
fictional candidate during a commercial television break (Fowler
& Ridout, 2012). We also chose to focus on a presidential
general election campaign with its attendant higher involvement
levels and distinct agendas that may limit the explanatory power
of analyses focused on fictional state-level races (Houston &
Rothschild, 1978; Zaichkowsky, 1985). Finally, instead of
analyzing simple effects such as comparing posttest candidate
preference scores or summing affect changes across candidates,
this investigation uses a pretest to control for preexisting
attitudes towards the candidates and focuses the analysis on the
differential influence of ad sponsorship on changes in affect toward
the two candidates among participants with varying levels of
involvement.
Although research on the differential effects of ad
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14sponsorship in the post-Citizens United (2010) political world is
still emerging, there is compelling evidence that negative
campaign advertising may lower evaluations of targeted candidates
(Garramone, 1985; Kaid & Boydston,
1987; Walkosz, 2003). Further, research also indicates negative
ads attributed to third parties are frequently more effective
than those sponsored by candidates (Brooks and Murov, 2012;
Garramone & Smith, 1984; Shen & Wu, 2002; Dowling & Wichowsky,
2014; Weber, Dunaway,
& Johnson, 2012). Thus, we pose our first hypothesis to test for
a main effect of ad sponsorship on viewers’ changes in affect
toward the candidates.
H1: Negative Super PAC ads will exert greater influence on
affect changes toward the candidates than will
candidate-sponsored negative ads.
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Enduring Involvement: Partisanship
Scholars have long known that partisans (Democrats and
Republicans) have emotional attachments to their respective
groups that significantly influence their processing of
political messages (Campbell, Gurin, & Miller, 1954; Campbell,
et al, 1960; Iyengar & Simon, 2000), including negative
advertising (Kahn & Kenny, 1999; Stevens, Sullivan, Allen, &
Alger, 2008). Compared to nonpartisans, partisans are more
interested in and knowledgeable about the candidates and issues
at stake in the election; they participate in the political
process more; and they sustain higher levels of involvement in
politics over time (Delli Carpini & Keeter, 1996). Thus,
partisans may be classified as having higher levels of enduring
involvement in politics than nonpartisans.
Although widely regarded as an influential variable, there
is no consensus or uniformity in the operationalization of
involvement (Roser, 1990). These conceptualization differences
resulted in mixed findings, but classifications of involvement
as either a physical, enduring, or a situational variable
facilitate more nuanced analyses (Houston & Rothschild, 1978;
Zaichkowsky, 1985). Some researchers have adopted a physical
conceptualization of involvement determined by the level of the
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
16election: local, state, and national. The results of these
investigations reveal that greater knowledge gains occur among
those in the low involvement (lower-level contest) condition
(Rothschild, 1978). Other researchers have
classified involvement in terms of an individual’s levels of
particular interest in politics: whether it is enduring, or
sustained over a long period of time, or whether it is
situational, or more immediate in nature. Research results
operationally defining involvement in both enduring and
situational terms indicate both of these variables significantly
influence the effects of exposure to negative advertising
(Hofstetter & Buss, 1980; Patterson & McClure, 1974; Faber &
Storey,
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1984; Garramone, 1984a, 1984b; Painter, 2013).
Although previous research indicates negative advertising
may decrease evaluations of targeted candidates, viewers in
battleground states are exposed to series of ads containing
negative information about all of the candidates. In these
presidential elections, partisans’ responses to the ads are
expected to be more stable than those without such attachments
to a political party, or enduring involvement levels (Sears &
Funk, 1999). Since they do not “have a team in the game,”
Independents are conceptualized as less involved in politics
than are partisans, and their affect toward the candidates may
be more volatile than that of partisans (Green, Palmquist, &
Schickler, 2002, p. 209). Therefore, the second hypothesis
predicts:
H2: Independents will report greater changes in affect
toward the candidates than will partisans.
To specifically identify the group among whom the
greatest effects of exposure to negative Super PAC ads
occurs, the theoretical mechanisms underlying both of the
previous hypotheses converge to form the prediction in the
third hypothesis:
H3: The greatest changes in affect toward the
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
18candidates will occur among
Independents exposed to negative Super PAC ads.
Method
Participants and Design
A two- (ad sponsorship) by-three (partisanship) pretest-
posttest experimental design was used to test the hypotheses.
Participants were 554 students from a large southeastern
research institution who completed the project between October
16 and October 25, 2012, during the “hot phase” of the general
election campaign. Although all participants in this study were
undergraduates, the results of meta-analysis indicate there are
no significant differences between
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student and non-student samples when investigating the effects oftelevised political advertising
(Benoit, Leshner, & Chattopadhyay, 2007).
Procedure and Manipulation
Participants in all conditions completed a pretest
questionnaire that included demographic and political party
affiliation items, and measurements of affect toward the
candidates. Upon completion of the pretest questionnaire,
Qualtrics software randomized the order of the stimuli ads in
each condition and would not advance until each embedded
advertisement played in full, forcing exposure to the
advertisements. After exposure to the stimuli, participants were
directed to the posttest questionnaire that included items
reassessing affect toward the candidates and political parties.
Stimuli
Six of the most frequently aired negative television
advertisements in the 2012 general election campaign were used
as stimuli (Washington Post, 2013). Those in candidate-sponsored
negative ad condition watched six negative ads, three each from
the Obama and Romney campaigns. Those in the Super PAC negative
ad condition watched six negative ads from the highest spending
Super PACS, with three attacking Obama and three attacking
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
20Romney. Both conditions watched six ads for 240 seconds. Please
see the Appendix for a list of the ads. Independent Variable
Measurement
Enduring Involvement. The pretest questionnaire included a
seven-point item anchored by “Strongly Republican” and “Strongly
Democrat” asking participants, “Generally, how would you describe
your identification with the political parties in the United
States?” Participants responding that they were strongly or
weakly affiliated with either the Republican or Democratic Party
were coded as either Republicans or Democrats. Those responding
that they were strongly
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Independent or an Independent who leaned toward one of the two parties were coded as
Independents.
Dependent Variable Measurement
Affect toward Candidates and Political Parties. The pretest
and posttest questionnaires included feeling thermometers ranging
from 0 to 100 points to assess participants’ affect towards Mitt
Romney and Barak Obama. This thermometer is similar to the one
used by the NES to measure affect toward the candidates
(Rosenstone, Kinder, Miller, & NES, 1997).
Results
The first hypothesis investigated the main effect of ad
sponsorship on changes in affect toward the candidates and
political parties. To calculate the affect change variable,
several steps were completed. First, participants’ pretest and
posttest feeling thermometer scores were compared. As shown in
Table One, the results of a series of paired-samples t-tests
revealed participants’ posttest affect toward Obama (M = 57.36,
SD = 30.77) was lower than their pretest levels (M = 58.16, SD =
30.37), and this difference was significant, t(554) = 2.10, p <
.05. Similarly, participants’ posttest affect toward Romney (M =
39.85, SD = 30.50) was lower than their pretest levels (M = 43.19,
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
22SD = 29.13), and this difference was significant, t(554) = 7.60,
p < .01. Finally, participants’ pretest feeling thermometer
scores for Obama and Romney were subtracted from their posttest
scores to create an affect change variable for each political
actor. Once these variables were calculated, the main and
interaction effects of ad sponsorship and partisanship on
affect change toward the political actors were investigated.
The first hypothesis predicted negative Super PAC ads would
exert greater influence on affect toward the candidates and
political parties than would negative candidate-sponsored
negative ads. The results of an analysis of variance revealed
that the differences in affect change
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toward Obama and Romney between those exposed to negative Super
PAC ads or negative candidate-sponsored ads were not
significant, p > .05. Thus, hypothesis one was not supported
because negative candidate-sponsored ads were equivalently
effective as negative Super PAC ads in lowering viewers’ affect
toward the target.
The second hypothesis tested for main effects of enduring
involvement, or partisanship, on changes in affect toward the
political actors. Specifically, the second hypothesis predicted
Independents would report greater changes in affect toward the
candidates than would partisans. As shown in Table Two, the
results of an analysis of variance revealed the differences in
affect change toward Obama among Independents (M = -1.40, SD =
11.15), Democrats, (M = -0.72, SD = 6.80), and Republicans (-2.03,
SD = 9.53) were significant, F(2, 551) = 5.11, p < .01. To test for
differences among specific groups, a post hoc comparison using
the Tukey HSD test revealed Independents’ affect change toward
Obama was not greater than Democrats or Republicans (p. > .05),
but the decrease in affect toward Obama was greater among
Republicans than among Democrats, p < .01. In regard to Romney,
the results of an analysis of variance revealed that the
differences in affect change among Independents (M = -8.17, SD =
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
2411.90), Democrats (M =-2.73, SD = 9.10), and Republicans (M = -
0.37, SD = 9.10) were significantly different, F(2, 551) = 26.37,
p < .01. Further, the results of a post hoc comparison using the
Tukey HSD test revealed Independents’ affect change toward
Romney was greater than that of Democrats and Republicans, p <
.01. These results indicate there was a main effect of
partisanship on changes in affect toward Romney and Obama, but
the overall results are not as clear-cut when comparing
Independents to partisans. Although Independents’ decrease in
affect
toward Romney was significantly greater than that of Democrats and Republicans, Independents’
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affect change toward Obama was not greater than that of
Democrats or Republicans. Thus, since the results were
candidate-dependent, they provide limited support for the second
hypothesis.
The third hypothesis explored interaction effects between ad
sponsorship and enduring involvement, or partisanship, on affect
change toward the candidates. Specifically, the third hypothesis
predicted Independents exposed to negative Super PAC ads would
report the greatest changes in affect toward the candidates. The
results of a factorial analysis of variance revealed the
interaction between ad sponsorship and partisanship exerted
significant effects on affect change toward Obama, F(5, 553) =
8.85, p < .01. As shown in the first row of Table Three,
Republicans’ affect change toward Obama was significantly less
among those exposed to negative Super PAC ads (M =-0.44, SD =
7.03) than among those exposed to negative
candidate-sponsored ads (M = -3.87, SD = 11.54), F(1, 192) = 6.41,
p < .01. Alternately, Democrats’ affect change toward Obama in
the negative Super PAC condition (M = 0.41, SD =
4.90) was statistically equivalent to their affect change in the negative candidate-sponsored (M =
-1.00, SD = 8.19) condition, p > .10. Independents’ affect change
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26toward Obama, however, was significantly greater among those
exposed to negative Super PAC ads (M -4.03, SD = 11.34) than
among those exposed to negative candidate-sponsored ads (M =
0.80, SD = 10.56), F(1,
143) = 7.02. p < .01.
The interaction between ad sponsorship and partisanship also
exerted significant effects on affect change toward Romney, F(5,
553) = 26.46, p < .01. As shown in the second row of Table Two,
Republicans’ affect toward Romney in the negative Super PAC (M =
-0.44, SD = 7.03)
and negative candidate-sponsored (M = -0.40, SD = 8.92) conditions was statistically equivalent,
p > .10. Comparable to the partisan effect for Obama, however,
Democrats’ affect change toward Romney was significantly greater
among those exposed to negative candidate-sponsored
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ads (M = -6.10, SD = 10.33) than among those exposed to negative
Super PAC ads (M = 0.36, SD = 6.45), F(1, 213) = 30.62, p < .01.
Alternately, Independents’ affect change toward Romney was
significantly greater among those exposed to negative Super PAC
ads (-12.76, SD = 14.75) than among those exposed to negative
candidate-sponsored ads (M = -4.34, SD = 6.90), F(1,143) = 7.02, p
< .01. Thus, the effects of negative candidate ads on partisans’
affect toward the opposing candidate notwithstanding, these
results provide strong support for the third hypothesis because
negative Super PAC ads exerted the greatest influence on
changes in affect toward the candidates among Independents.
Further, these results also indicate affect change toward the
candidates among Republicans and Democrats was greatest toward
the opposition party’s nominee among those exposed to negative
candidate-sponsored ads.
Discussion
Consistent with previous research, the results of this
study indicate exposure to negative ads in the 2012 campaign
exerted significant effects on viewers’ affect toward the
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
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candidates. Although the analysis in this investigation focused
on differences in viewers’ changes in affect toward the
candidates, it is important to note that viewers’ affect toward
both candidates significantly decreased after exposure to the
ads across the sample. Although this result failed to provide
support for the prediction that attack ads sponsored by groups
with names such as “Restore Our Future” or “Priorities USA”
were more effective across the sample than candidate-sponsored
ads, testing for the influence of viewers’ enduring involvement
levels revealed more nuanced effects.
The results of testing the second hypothesis provide
support for a main effect of enduring involvement, or
partisanship, on viewers’ affect change toward the candidates.
When examining the differences in affect change between
candidates and among partisanship categories, however, the
results indicate our prediction that Independents would report
significantly greater changes in affect is candidate-
dependent. Specifically, Independents’ affect change toward
Obama was not greater than that of Democrats or Republicans,
but the decrease in affect toward Obama was greater among
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29
Republicans than among Democrats. In fact, Democrats’ and
Independents’ affect toward Obama in the pretest was not
significantly different from their posttest scores.
Republicans, on the other hand, reported significantly lower
posttest affect toward Obama (M = 26.53, SD = 23.12) than in the
pretest (M = 28.56, SD =25.76), t(194) = 2.97, p < .01.
When examining the main effect of enduring involvement,
or partisanship, on affect change toward Romney, the results
provide strong support for the prediction in the second
hypothesis. Specifically, Independents reported the greatest
changes in affect toward Romney, but it is also interesting
to note that Democrats also reported significant, but less
dramatic decreases in affect toward Romney, while
Republicans affect toward Romney in the posttest was
equivalent to that in their pretest. Altogether, these mixed
results present strong evidence of a main effect of enduring
involvement in viewers’ changes in affect toward the
candidates. This result indicates viewers’ partisanship not
only summarized their level of enduring involvement in
politics, but also the direction of their involvement in terms
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
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of in-group or out-group candidates. Put simply, partisans’
affect toward their in-group political party’s nominee was
stable, but their affect toward the out-group or opposition
party’s nominee decreased significantly after viewing the
ads.
Finally, the third hypothesis tested for interactions
between ad sponsorship and enduring involvement that influenced
viewers’ affect change toward the candidates. The results
provided strong support for the prediction that Independents
exposed to the negative Super PAC ads would report the greatest
changes in affect toward the candidates across this
investigation’s six conditions. These results not only bolster
the argument that those with lower levels of enduring
involvement will report greater changes in affect after viewing
negative ads, but they also indicate ad sponsorship
significantly influences this effect. Indeed, while
Independents exposed to Super PAC ads reported the greatest
changes in affect toward the candidates, partisans’ affect
toward the candidates was essentially stable after exposure to
the same Super PAC spots. In fact, partisans’ changes in affect
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
31
toward the candidates were significant only toward the
opposition party’s nominee - and only when exposed to
candidate-sponsored ads. Thus, the only significant change in
affect reported by Republicans was toward Obama among those
exposed to candidate- sponsored ads. Similarly, the only
significant affect change reported by Democrats was toward
Romney among those exposed to candidate-sponsored ads.
In sum, the results of this investigation indicate
negative Super PAC ads are effective at lowering the relative
affect toward their target among Independents. Moreover, the
results also suggest negative candidate-sponsored ads are
effective at lowering Republican and Democrats’ relative
affect toward the targeted opposition party’s candidate. By
parsing the influence of negative ad sponsorship
identification and viewers’ enduring involvement, the results
of this investigation suggest presidential campaigns may not
only make strategic decisions about campaign spot content and
ad buy tactics, but they may also consider the purpose of
these ads and their target audience when making strategic
decisions. That is, to reinforce partisans’ relative attitudes
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
32
toward the candidates and to activate in-group supporters,
campaigns may be more effective when using candidate-sponsored
ads because voters may use this sponsorship identification as
a heuristic cue or mental shortcut when processing the
information (Chaiken, Liberman, & Eagly, 1989; Goodmane &
Murray, 2007; Mondack, 1993; Rahn, 1993). Should the campaigns
strategically focus on Independents in a specific market,
however, negative Super PAC ads sponsored by groups such as
“American Crossroads” or “Priorities USA” may be more
effective in lowering relative affect toward the target. Since
recent judicial decisions ruled televised political
advertising is a form of protected speech (Citizens United,
2010; SpeechNOW, 2010), the candidates and their attendant
Super PACs are only limited by their budgets and sponsorship
identification in the production and airing of spot ads. Thus,
based on market research determining the political
characteristics of specific markets and the potential
influence of viewer’s voting behavior on electoral outcomes,
presidential campaigns make strategic decisions about the
spots’ content, sponsorship and ad buy tactics (Kaid, 2012;
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
33
Lau & Pomper, 2002; Skaperdas & Grofman, 1995; Theilman &
Wilhite, 1998).
Theoretically, this investigation suggests negative
advertising in the 2012 election achieved its purpose by
lowering affect toward the target, especially among
Independents exposed to Super PAC ads. Although not predicted,
the results also indicate partisans’ affect toward the
opposition party candidate was significantly influenced by
negative candidate- sponsored ads, but not the Super PAC ads.
This interaction between ad sponsorship and viewers’ enduring
involvement indicates both source attribution and individual
characteristics influence viewers’ information processing.
Indeed, viewers may have used the sponsorship identification in
the ads as a heuristic device determining whether the
information comes from an in-group, out-group, or unfamiliar
source. Previous research indicated Super PAC-sponsored ads,
especially when the source identification was ambiguous and
unfamiliar, were more effective in lowering relative affect
toward the target than candidate-sponsored ads (Brooks & Murov,
201; Dowling & Wichowsky, 2014; Weber, Dunaway, & Johnson,
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
34
2012). These investigations, however, used fictional
candidates, so the viewers’ association between the candidates
and their political party may not have functioned as a
heuristic cue as it would in a presidential election.
The results of this study notwithstanding, there were some
limitations that must be noted. First, the participants were
college students. A meta-analysis of experimental research on
political advertising, however, reveals that effect sizes in
studies using student samples were not significantly different
from effect sizes in studies using non-student participants
(Benoit, Leshner, & Chattopadhyay, 2007). Second, the stimuli
in this investigation were actual ads, so control over content
was sacrificed to maximize external validity. That said,
differences in the content of the negative ads may have
influenced the results. Third, the conceptualization of
partisanship as enduring involvement focused on levels of
involvement, and not direction. Thus, future research on group
identities and attitudes among Republicans, Democrats, and
Independents as well as how individual self-categorization
triggers these processes and influence responses to partisan
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
35
cues may better specify their heuristic value. Future research
on viewers’ responses to Super PAC names, which are generally
ambiguous and unfamiliar to viewers, could provide insight into
how they influence credibility and information processing.
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
36
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Appendix
Candidate-sponsored Condition: 240 seconds and order randomized
1. Negative Obama Ad: Policy (30 seconds)
2. Negative Obama Ad: Cameras (60 seconds)
3. Negative Obama Ad: Firms (30 seconds)
4. Negative Romney Ad: Give Me a Break (30 seconds)
5. Negative Romney Ad: Broken Promises (60 seconds)
6. Negative Romney Ad: Failing American Families (30 seconds)
Super PAC-Sponsored Condition: 240 seconds and order randomized
1. Anti-Obama (Restore Our Future) Ad: Doing Fine (30 seconds)
2. Anti-Obama (Restore Our Future) Ad: Flatline (30 seconds)
3. Anti-Obama (American Crossroads) Ad: Obama’s War on Women (60 seconds)
4. Anti-Romney (Priorities USA) Ad: Stage (60 seconds)
5. Anti-Romney (Priorities USA) Ad: Heads or Tails (30 seconds)
6. Anti-Romney (AFSCME) Ad: Greed (30 seconds)
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
52
Table 1: Affect Change toward the CandidatesPretest Posttest Affect Change df t p
Obama (D)
Romney (R)
58.16*
(SD =
30.37)
43.19
(SD =29.13)
57.36*
(SD =
30.77)
39.85
(SD =30.50)
-0.80 553 2.10 .04
-3.33** 553 7.60 .00
*Affect toward Obama higher than Romney, p < .01.**Affect change toward Romney greater than toward Obama, p < .01.
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
53
Table 2: Main Effect of Enduring Involvement on affect change toward candidatesRepublicans
Democrats
Independents
df F p
n = 194 n = 215 n = 145
Obama (D) -2.03* -0.72 -1.40
2 5.11 .00
Romney (R)
-0.37
-2.73** - 8.17***
2 26.37
.00
*Republicans affect change toward Obama greater than Democrats, p < .01.**Democrats affect change toward Romney greater than Republicans, p < .01**Independents’ affect change toward Romney greater than Democrats or Republicans, p < .01.
SUPER PAC VS. CANDIDATE ADS IN CAMPAIGN 2012
54
Table 3: Effects of Sponsorship and Enduring Involvement on Affect Change toward Candidates
GOP
Super PACAdsN =282DEM
IND GOP
CandidateAdsN =272DEM
IND F df p
n = 104
n = 112 n = 66 n = 90
n = 103
n = 79
Obama -0.44 -1.00 -4.03* -3.87* -0.41 -0.80 8.85 5 .00
Romney 0.36 0.72 -12.76**
0.40 -6.09 -4.34 26.46 5 .00
*Affect change toward Obama interaction among Independents in Super PAC and GOP in candidate ad conditions.**Affect change toward Romney interaction among Independents in Super PAC condition.