Dr Dian Kusuma SKM MPH ScD

Centre for Health Economics and Policy Innovation

Imperial College Business School

Diskusi Publik COVID-19, 16 Juli 2021

PANDEMI, KRISIS NASIONAL, PPKM DARURAT

2

Pandemi

https://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2020/health/coronavirus-maps-and-cases/

Pandemi

3

UK daily cases

UK daily deaths

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/caseshttps://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths

26 Mar – 31 May 2020: Lockdown #1

5 Nov – 2 Dec 2020: Lockdown #2 6 Jan – 12 Apr 2021:

Lockdown #3

Pfizer vaccine #1: 8 Dec 2020AZ vaccine #1: 4 Jan 2021

4

5https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57102422

6

17 May 2021

7

State lockdown April onward

140 confirmed deaths

1030 deaths

3774 deaths

1068 deaths

8

2.1% population

9.6% population

19.7% population

9

IN

BD

ID

https://ourworldindata.org/covid-cases

UK

10https://www.bbc.com/indonesia/indonesia-57774501

4 Juli 2021

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

11

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/may/28/covid-uk-coronavirus-cases-deaths-and-vaccinations-today

12

13

900 deaths

414 deaths

223 deaths

163 deaths

PPKM Darurat 3 Juli

14

14.2%

4%

4.8%

10.7%

15https://www.thaipbsworld.com/thai-study-finds-2-doses-of-sinovac-cant-beat-delta-variant-astrazeneca-can/

16https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/singapore-not-counting-sinovac-shots-covid-19-vaccination-tally-2021-07-07/https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/malaysia-stop-using-sinovac-vaccine-after-supply-ends-minister-2021-07-15/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-15/thailand-sinovac-astrazeneca-combination-supply-issues/100288920

17https://www.ifpri.org/blog/survey-major-food-transfer-program-bangladesh-fell-short-during-covid-19-pandemic

Sri Lanka

• Survey in Aug 2020 among 2,800 households.

• Severe impacts on the poor, >50% respondents reporting primary income-earning member had lost their job, and 90% reporting that their July 2020 income was less than their pre-pandemic income.

• Households were forced to resort to a variety of coping strategies to meet basic needs, including reducing expenditures on health (62%) and non-food items like clothes and education (90%), and spending from their savings (76%).

• Food transfer programs more important than ever as a source for meeting basic food needs. But FFP program fell short: 64% of respondents receiving their full entitlement of 60 kg of rice in March-April.

• Factors: supply disruptions, movement restrictions, lack of proper info about eligibility conditions.

18https://www.isas.nus.edu.sg/papers/covid-19-lockdown-in-india-impact-on-the-poor-and-the-governments-response/

Sri Lanka

• Employment: • To address the sudden job losses, the government launched a new rural public works scheme in 116

districts across six states in the country. In 2020-21, the government also increased the allocation under National Rural Employment Scheme by S$7.3 billion.

• It is the primary anti-poverty vehicle of the government that ensures up to 100 days of paid work per year for adults.

• Nutrition:• The COVID-19 Rural Shock Survey across six states showed that 1/3 rural households had to

compromise on its food intake since the lockdown. To address the situation, the government has introduced a variety of relief packages, including the distribution of free rations and LPG cylinders, among others.

KESIMPULAN

PPKM-D perlu untuk menekan kasus, RS penuh, kematian

Namun perlu dukungan untuk kelompok sosioekonomi rendah

Perluasan vaksinasi untuk menekan kasus, RS penuh, kematian

Namun perlu dipastikan vaksin efektif terhadap varian Delta