Industrial Location Policy - World Bank Documents

149
SWP620 Industrial Location Policy The Indian Experience A. Uday Sekhar WORLD BANK STAFF WORKING PAPERS Number 620 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

Transcript of Industrial Location Policy - World Bank Documents

SWP620

Industrial Location PolicyThe Indian Experience

A. Uday Sekhar

WORLD BANK STAFF WORKING PAPERSNumber 620

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WORLD BANK STAFF WORKING PAPERSNumber 620

Industrial Location PolicyThe Indian Experience

A. Uday Sekhar

INTERNATIO??EL MO'?-EARY FuNDJOINT MEH99Y

[A/AR 2'. 1984

INTEIRNATIONAL D:piiK FORrL'.E:O5i'JTrCTION i!JD DIVELCPIENT

WARlSl2NOTCN,'L .C. 2Ve91

The World BankWashington, D.C., U.S.A.

Copyright 0 1983The International Bank for Reconstructionand Development / THE WORLD BANK1818 H Street, N.W.Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A.

First printing October 1983All rights reservedManufactured in the United States of America

This is a working document published informally by the World Bank. Topresent the results of research with the least possible delay, the typescript hasnot been prepared in accordance with the procedures appropriate to formalprinted texts, and the World Bank accepts no responsibility for errors. Thepublication is supplied at a token charge to defray part of the cost ofmanufacture and distribution.

The views and interpretations in this document are those of the author(s) andshould not be attributed to the World Bank, to its affiliated organizations, or toany individual acting on their behalf. Any maps used have been preparedsolely for the convenience of the readers; the denominations used and theboundaries shown do not imply, on the part of the World Bank and its affiliates,any judgment on the legal status of any territory or any endorsement oracceptance of such boundaries.

The full range of World Bank publications is described in the Catalog of WorldBank Publications; the continuing research program of the Bank is outlined inWorld Bank Research Program: Abstracts of Current Studies. Both booklets areupdated annually; the most recent edition of each is available without chargefrom the Publications Sales Unit of the Bank in Washington or from theEuropean Office of the Bank, 66, avenue d'Iena, 75116 Paris, France.

A. Uday Sekhar is deputy manager of the Industrial Development Bank ofIndia and a consultant to the World Bank.

Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data

Sekhar, Uday.Industrial location policy.

(World Bank staff working papers ; no. 620)Bibliography: p.1. India--Industries--Location. I. Title. II. Series.

HC44o.D5S44 1983 338.6'042'0954 83-21774ISBN 0-8213-0273-6

ABSTRACT

The Government of India has been utilizing a wide-ranging setof measures to influence the location of industry. They are generallyintended to disperse industries from large metropolitan areasand to promote the development of less developed regions. Thispaper probes into the working and impact of individual location policies,and demonstrates certain serious deficiencies and lacunae in thejustification, design and implementation of many of them. These short-comings call for a thorough overhauling in the approach of the Governmenttowards industrial location policy. In particular, this paper recommendsthat whenever there is evidence that the existing concentration isinoptimal or inequitable, policy makers should operate with incentivesrather than controls, as this form of industrial location policyinstrument appears to provide the least damage to the economy whileachieving the locational objectives.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The views expressed in this paper are personal and do not reflectthose of the institution in which I am employed. I wish to record mydeep indebtedness tco Rakesh Mohan, Professor Edwin Mills, Douglas Keare,Peter Townroe, Koichi Mera and other members of the former Urban andRegional Economics Division of the World Bank for their invaluableassistance in the preparation of this paper.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

SUMMARY ................................................................... viii

Chapter I -- INTRODUCTION ................................................ 1

Chapter II -- INDUSTRIAL LOCATION POLICIES IN INDIA .......................1. Policies Influencing Inter-State Distribution of Industry .. 15

i. IndustriaL Licensing ........................ 15ii. Location of Public Sector Plants ............................ 22iii. Distribution and Pricing Policies for Basic

Industrial Inputs ...................................... 31iv. State Government Incentives ................................. 35

2. Policies Influencing the Intra-Regional Distributionof Industry ............................................ 36

i. Policies to Encourage the Small Scale Sector ................ 37ii. IndustriaL Estate Program ................................... 43iii. Rural Industries Projects ................................... 49iv. Metropolitan Planning ....................................... 56v. Incentives to Develop Backward Districts .................... 59

Chapter III -- TRENDS 'IN INDIAN INDUSTRIAL LOCATION ...................... 691. Trends in the Inter-State Distribution of Industry ............... 692. Trends in the :Intra-Regional Distribution of Industry ............ 77

Chapter IV -- AN OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF INDUSTRIAL LOCATION POLICY ......... 911. Rationale of Industrial Location Policy . . 91

i. Resource ALlocation and Growth ............................... 92ii. Equity .................... ..... ...... ............... 96

2. Limitations of Industrial Location Policy . . 97

POSTCRIPT..102POSCRPT.................................................................101. National Committee on the Development of Backward Areas .......... 102

i. Policy Recommendations for Medium and LargeIndustries ............................................. 103

ii. Policy Recommendations for Small Industries,Anci:Llary Industries and Agro-Industries ............... 104

iii. Recommendations for Maximizing the Local Impact ofIndustrial Development ................................. 105

2. A Critique of lthe NCDBA Report ................................... 106

BIBLIOGRAPHY .............................................................. 109

APPENDIX I: Maximum and Minimum Values of Hirschman-Herfindahl andThei:L Indices .......................................... ll

APPENDIX II: A Shift-Shasre Analysis of Industrial Growth inthe lMajor Industrial States of India ................... 113

LIST OF TABLES

Table Page

1. Share of Manufacturing in GDP (7) in some DevelopingEconomies, 1977 2

2. Structure of the Indian Manufacturing Sector, 1974 4

3. Trend Growth Rates (7 per annum) in the Manufacturing 6Sector

4. Value Added in Factory Manufacturing Sectoras a Proportion of State NDP (7) 7

5. VAM/NDP For Each State Divided by VAM/NDP for All-India 8

6. Share of States in Total Value Added in FactoryManufacturing Sector (7) 10

7. Share of States in Total Factory Employment inManufacturing (7) 11

8. Distribution of Urban Employment and Population inNon-Household Industry by the Size of Cities,Towns, and Town Groups (TG)/Urban Agglomerations (UA) 12India, 1961 & 1971

9. Approved Licenses as a Percentage of LicenseApplications, 1959-66 18

10. Correlation Coefficients between State-WiseProportions of Licenses Approved and Indices ofState Development 20

11. Share of States in Cumulative Investment(Gross Block) in Central Public Undertakings (7) 24

12. Share of States in Annual Investment In CentralPublic Undertakings (7) 25

13. Correlation Coefficients Between State-Wise PerCapita Investment in Central Public Undertakings andIndicators of State Development 26

14. Distribution of Cumulative Public SectorInvestment (7) 28

15. Share of Employment in Central Public Undertakingsin Total Employment in Manufacturing and Mining (7) 29

16. Orders placed by Public Sector Undertakings to SmallScale Units as a Percentage of Output of Modern SmallScale Sector 30

17. Region-Wise Installed Capacity of Cement (%) 31

18. Share of Unregistered Sector in Value Added inManufacturing (%) 38

19. Employment and Output in Modern Small Scale Sector,1972 39

20. Percentage of Sheds Completed but not Functioning 46

21. Share of Industrial Estates in Industrial Employmentand Output (%) 50

22. Public Expenditure on Rural Industries Projects 53

23. Proportion of Saimple Units Availing of R.I.P.Assistance (%) 54

24. Estimated Public Sector Expenditure on Small ScaleIndustries 55

25. Share of Backward Districts in Area and Population,1971 60

26. Reimbursement of Central Investment Subsidy byGovernment of India (Rs.m) 62

27. Share of States and Union Territories in the CentralInvestment Subsidly Disbursed during 1972/73 to1978/79 63

28. Terms of Concess ional Finance for Units in BackwardDistrict/Areas, 1975 66

29. Trends in the Share (%) of Backward Districts inAssistance Sanctioned and Disbursed by the IndustrialDevelopment Bank of India, 1964/65 to 1980/81 67

30. Value Added per Employee (Rs. '000) in Industry 72

31. State Share in Value Added/State Share in Employmentin Factory Manufacturing Sector 73

32. Measures of State-Wise Concentration of Industry(Factory Sector) 74

33. Distribution of Industrial Employment in Cities,Towns, and Town Groups (TG)/Urban Agglomerations (UA),1961 & 1971 79

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure Page

1. Share of Backward Districts in Factory Employment(7), Maharashtra 86

2. Share of Backward Districts in Factory Employment(7), Haryana 87

3. Share of Backward Districts in Factory Employment(7), Punjab 88

4. Share of Backward Districts in Factory Employment(7), Andhra Pradesh 89

5. Share of Backward Districts in Factory Employment(.), Kerala 90

Map

1. Map of India 118

SUMMARY

As in most other developing countries, India had been experiencing

since her independence a high and perhaps increasing concentration of

population and economic activities at selected locations such as Bombay and

Calcutta and severe disparity in welfare among different regions within the

country. In response, the Government of India adopted a series of measures to

promote a more decentralized and spatially "balanced" development. Most of

the measures are directed at influencing the location of manufacturing

establishments as they are viewed as the prime determinant of spatial

development. This policy has been followed by state and local governments as

well. However, these measures cannot be without unintended side effects.

The purposes of this paper are first to identify the intended

objectives of industrial location policies which have been instituted in India

in order to assess to the extent possible their effectiveness in achieving the

objectives, and then to evaluate their possible unintended as well as intended

effects in order to arrive at a more balanced view on this subject.

In the first chapter, the manufacturing sector of India is reviewed

with emphasis on identifying its spatial pattern of distribution. On the

state basis, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Gujarat and Tamil Nadu are most

industrialized, although the share of West Bengal has been eroding

consistently since the early 1960's.

Chapter 2 presents a review of industrial location policies

currently in effect. Those influencing interstate distribution of industry

comprise (1) industrial licensing, (2) location of public sector plants, (3)

distribution and pricing policies for intermediate industrial inputs and (4)

state government incentives. Since 1951, the Central Government has been

authorized to license a new industrial establishment or a substantial

expansion. This instrument has been used to achieve a "balanced" regional

development. This policy orientation has been strengthened since 1965, and

since 1977 an explicit decision has been made to prohibit the setting up of

licensable industries within certain geographical limits of large metropolitan

cities with a population exceeding one million and urban agglomerations with a

population greater than half a million.

Location decisions of public sector plants are also an important

policy instrument, because many basic and capital goods are produced by the

public sector in India. The less developed states of Madhya Pradesh and Bihar

received large shares of investment, followed by Orissa and West Bengal.

Since location decisions were made on the basis of technical and economic

considerations as well as regional balance, it is impossible to isolate the

degree of regional consideration which went into location decisions, but an

analysis shows that the per capita cumulative investment in this sector has

been consistently negatively related to state per capita income and

undoubtedly it contributed to balancing the distribution of industry among

states.

With regard to the distribution of such basic commodities as cement,

steel and coal, "freight-pooling" is exercised by the Central Government so

that firms in every location may equally benefit from the provision of these

goods. This policy, as well as the preceding ones, disturts firms' locations

from the economically rational locations.

State governments provide a host of incentives aimed at attracting

industries to their own states. They include financial assistance for

investment, the provisioin of infrastructure and industrial estates,

concessions in power and water tariffs and concessions in taxes.

The policies Lnfluencing intra-regional distribution of industries

include (1) those for encouraging village and cottage industries as well as

modern small-scale enterprises, (2) industrial estate programs, (3) the Rural

Industries Project Program, (4) metropolitan planning and (5) incentives to

promote industrial development in backward districts. Generally they are

designed to promote the development of rural and backward areas by encouraging

industries in those areas or by encouraging traditional or small enterprises

which are more equally distributed over space. One exception is metropolitan

planning which is frequently oriented to zoning out industries to peripheral

areas. One example is the Bombay Metropolitan Regional Plan of 1973 which

attempted to divert most industries to the "counter magnet" across the bay.

Then, Chapter 3 analyzes changes in the spatial pattern of

industrial location during recent decades. As far as interstate distribution

of industry is concerned, various indices indicate that the concentration of

industry subsided from the 1960's to the 1970's. For example, converging

trends among states were observable from 1961 to 1975 in the share of the

manufacturing sector in the state product and in the value added per employee

in the manufacturing sector. Also, the industrial value added and employment

became more equally distributed among states from 1960 to 1975 as measured by

the Theil's Inequality and the Hirschman-Herfindhal Indices. Since the trends

in industrial location are results of both market forces and government

policy, it is not possible to conclude that the industrial location policies

have successfully narrowed disparities among states. However, there are good

reasons for speculating that some of the policies were instrumental in

narrowing the disparities.

The intra-regional distribution of industry was examined next. By

comparing the degree of concentration of industrial employment in 1961 and

1971 by grouping cities by size, the following conclusions were obtained: for

India as a whole, the employment in the household industry lost the degree of

concentration substantially from 1961 to 1971, due to a reduction of

concentration (relative to population) in the smaller classes of towns.

However, the non-household industry maintained its level of concentration

during the period. This means that the industrial policy apparently had not

resulted in any substantial shift of industry away from large cities to

smaller towns.

Chapter 4 presents an overall assessment of industrial location

policy. From the viewpoint of efficiency in resource allocation, one should

not expect a regionally balanced industrial development because natural

resources are not evenly distributed and there are economies of scale and

agglomeration in production processes. Industrial policies by the public

sector are needed for the provision of infrastructure because in principle

they cannot be provided adequately by the private sector and for correcting

externalities which arise in the form of congestion and pollution. However,

the former can best be provided by identifying gaps in infrastructure based on

the demand for infrastructure and the costs of providing it. Externalities

can best be dealt with by adjusting prices to reflect externalities.

Therefore, from the viewpoint of efficiency, the best set of measures to

correct inefficient locational distribution of industries operates via

readjustments in infrastructural investment and the prices charged for their

utilization. Direct industrial location policies such as licensing and input

rationing are poor substitutes. Even if the best solutions are not workable,

it would be advisable to operate through incentives and disincentives rather

than through controls, because the latter were crude devices and may lead to

extremely large efficiency loss in the national economy without being detected

by any observer.

A stronger argument may be made for industrial location policy for

the sake of spatial equity. However, as population and labor are mobile

within a country and particularly within a state, the need of achieving

spatial equity itself can be questioned.

In addition, there is serious doubt about the effectiveness of

industrial location policy in achieving spatial equity. One serious

limitation of locational control is that, contrary to expectations, controls

cannot induce industrialists to invest in non-viable areas. Therefore, if

licensing is utilized actively for locational purposes, the result will be a

decrease in investment in the restricted areas without a compensating increase

in the other areas. This involves not only a loss in efficiency, but also a

defeat of the objective of industrializing non-restricted areas.

This and other examples of serious inefficiencies generated by

industrial location policies imply that not enough thought has been given to

the rationale of these policies. Our exploration of their ramifications

reveals that a thorough overhauling is required in the approach toward

locational concentration of industry.

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Chapter I

INTRODUCTION

Economic development, by its very nature, is a dynamic process

characterized by various types of "imbalances." Nowhere is this more striking

than in the spatial dimensions of growth, growth which tends to get

concentrated in certain regions within the economy and, in the case of

non-agricultural activities, at a few nodal metropolitan centers. Whether

this spatial "imbalance" is a "natural" and dynamically efficient (in the

Pareto sense) concomitant of the growth process or whether it is partly a

result of imperfectly functioning markets and externalities is a debatable

issue. The answer varies, of course, from country to country and must be

settled by empirical evidence. Even if spatial concentration is efficient,

one is still faced with the equity issue, which is extremely important in a

geographically large federal polity such as India. Motivated by these welfare

and efficiency considerations, the Indian government has been adopting a

series of measures to promote a more decentralized and "balanced" form of

development. In this study, we are only concerned with those measures

affecting the manufacturing sector. Our objective is to examine the various

explicit policies that have been used by the state to influence industrial

location and to assess their effects. But before embarking on a study of

these policies, it would be useful to set the stage by briefly surveying the

pattern of industrial growth in India.

The origins of modern industry in India can be traced as far back as

the nineteenth century. Even the diversification of the manufacturing sector

from its predominant emphasis on consumer goods started early in the twentieth

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century when Jamshedji Tata succeeded in setting up a steel plant in 1911

against tremendous odds. Because of these early origins, the Indian

manufacturing sector at the time of independence in 1947 was already quite

large in comparison with other developing countries. After 1947, the era

of planned development began, and this gave further impetus to

industrialization. The State also took an active role in setting up

industries producing basic and capital goods, especially during the Second

Five-year Plan (1956-61).

However, despite these early traditions of entrepreneurship,

agriculture continues to dominate the Indian economy. In 1977, the

manufacturing sector accounted for only 157. of GDP, which is rather low

compared with other developing nations with relatively well developed

industrial sectors like Brazil, Mexico, Argentina and Korea (Table 1).

But, given the size of the Indian economy, the manufacturing sector is

extremely large in absolute terms. In 1973, India had the sixteenth

largest manufacturing sector among all market economy countries.

Table 1

Share of Manufacturing in GDP (C) in some DevelopingEconomies, 1977

Argentina 33Korea 27Mexico 24Brazil 23India 15Pakistan 14Kenya 11Nigeria 8

SOURCE: United Nations, Yearbook of NationalAccounts Statistics, 1978.

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As Table 2 shows, the Indian manufacturing sector is quite

diversified, with capital goods constituting as much as 22% of value added

in manufacturing in 1974. The corresponding shares for consumer and

intermediate goods were 32% and 46% respectively. The institutional

milieu of Indian manufacturing displays an interesting diversity. The

most remarkable aspect is the importance of production by traditional and

small scale enterprise. The so-called "unregistered sector," consisting

predominantly of cottage and village industries utilizing traditional

techniques and employing household labor to a significant extent,

contributed more than a third of total value added in manufacturing in

1975. Small modern enterprises (which, in 1980, were defined as factories

with fixed capital value of less than Rs. two million) accounted for 16%.

In addition, there are imanufacturing units operated by the State, whose

output constituted only 12% of total manufacturing output in 1973.

However, this understates their real importance, since public sector units

are mainly engaged in tlhe production of certain critical items like steel

and various types of machinery and transport equipment. In comparison

with certain other deveLoping countries, foreign capital plays a

relatively minor role in the Indian industrial sector. Only 8.5% of total

paid-up capital in Indimn joint stock companies in 1969-70 originated from

foreign sources. Value added in foreign subsidiaries constituted only

about one tenth of total value added in manufacturing in the same year.

The remaining part of the manufacturing sector is, of course, the private

sector steered by domestic entrepreneurship.

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Table 2

Structure of the Indian Manufacturing Sector, 1974.

Share in TotalManufacturingValue added (IL)

Food Products 8.6Beverages 0.6Tobacco 2.1Textiles 21.2Wearing Apparel and Footwear 0.5Leather and Products 0.3Wood Products 0.6Paper and Products 3.5Printing and Publishing 1.9Industrial Chemicals 10.2Other Chemical Products 7.1Drugs and Modicine 2.8Rubber Products 1.8Plastic Products 0.5Non-metallic Mineral Products 3.3Metals and Metal Products 15.6Non-electrical Machinery 7.8Electrical Machinery 6.9Transport Equipment 7.1

MANUFACTURING 100.0

NOTE: The data pertains to establishments with ten or more workersusing power or 20 or more workers without power.

SOURCE: United Nations, Yearbook of Industrial Statistics, New York 1978.

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Table 3 shows the growth rates of value added in the registered

and unregistered manufaLcturing sectors and in the index of manufacturing

production during the periods 1951-64 and 1965-78. The major feature of

industrial development during Lhe post 1965 period that has attracted

attention is the slowdown in growth of the organized sector, which

declined sharply from 7.37 per annum to about 3.47 per annum in the two

periods. The deceleration of the unregistered manufacturing sector has

been more moderate, though significant. The net result has been that the

growth rate of real value added in the manufacturing sector as a whole

fell from 6.37 per annum in 1950-64 to 3.67 per annum during 1965-75.

One of the striking characteristics of Indian industrial

development is its uneven geographical spread. In order to identify the

relative degree of industrialization of different states, we computed the

share of value added in the factory manufacturing sector in NDP for each

state (Tables 4 & 5). Comparing the ratios for 1976, one finds that

Maharashtra, West Bengal, Gujarat and Tamil Nadu were the industrial

leaders, in the sense that they had an above average manufacturing value

added/NDP (VAM/NDP) ratio. In 1961, also, these states (along with Delhi)

were relatively more industrialized (with the exception of Tamil Nadu).

However, during 1961-76, the manufacturing sectors of the other states

have been growing at a faster pace relative to NDP. As a result, a trend

towards equalization of state VAMP/NDP ratios is apparent.

In 1976, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Gujarat, and Tamil Nadu

together accounted for about 557 of value added and 527 of employment in

the manufacturing sector (Tables 6 & 7). The contribution of Maharashtra

alone was about 257 of value added and 197 of employment. However, the

shares of these states hiave been falling since 1961, when they

contributed as much as two-thirds of value added and 587 of employment.

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Table 3

Trend Growth Rates (. Rer annum) in the Manufacturinz Sector

1950-64 1965-75

Value added in the registeredmanufacturing sector (in constantprices) 7.3 3.4

Value added in the unregisteredmanufacturing sector (in constantprices) 5.0 3.9

Value added in manufacturing(in constant prices) 6.3 3.6

Index of manufacturing production 6.7 3.9(1951-64) (1965-78)

NOTE: The growth rates have been estimated from log-linear trendlines. The contant prices are 1960-61 prices for 1950-70and 1970-71 prices for 1970-75. The two have been mergedand the trend growth rate computed with the help of a dummyvariable. Changes in base years in the index ofmanufacturing production have also been accomodated with thehelp of a dummy.

SOURCE: Sekhar (1981), p.6

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Table 4

Value Added in Factory Manufacturing Sector as a Proportion of State NDP (%)

Karna- Maha-A.P. BihaLr Gujarat taka Kerala M.P. Rashtra

1961 3.4 7.1 14.8 5.9 6.7 3.9 19.21962 3.4 8.2 13.5 5.9 7.0 2.8 19.21963 3.5 7.4 13.6 6.7 6.7 3.9 18.81964 3.6 7.5 12.4 6.7 5.9 4.4 18.71965 4.2 7.31 14.1 7.2 6.2 4.9 19.81966 4.0 8.7 13.2 7.1 7.8 5.4 18.71967 3.4 6.4 12.5 7.1 8.5 4.2 17.61968 3.8 6.8 13.9 7.3 8.5 6.0 17.91969 4.9 7.1 13.6 8.5 9.9 4.8 20.21970 5.0 7.7 13.0 9.2 7.3 5.6 21.11971 5.0 8.3 12.7 10.1 8.7 5.0 21.919721973 6.2 6.7 14.3 7.8 7.3 6.9 20.81974 5.6 9.2 20.3 8.1 8.3 7.6 21.41975 7.3 12.2 16.0 10.1 7.6 7.7 20.71976 8.3 9.C0 16.9 10.9 8.0 9.6 21.1

Punjab &Haryana Orissa Rajasthan T.N. U.P. W.B. Delhi India

1961 3.3 2.0 8.7 3.7 15.9 11.6 8.31962 4.0 2.3 9.7 3.6 18.0 10.4 8.61963 4.8 2.6 9.6 3.7 18.1 12.0 8.51964 5.1 2.4 10.5 3.5 18.2 11.8 8.31965 7.2 7.5 2.9 11.4 4.2 18.1 11.5 9.01966 6.3 4.4 2.7 10.7 3.5 16.1 10.7 8.51967 5.0 2.8 2.9 10.9 2.6 14.0 9.6 7.51968 6.7 4.6 4.1 10.9 4.3 13.4 9.8 8.01969 6.1 4.7 3.9 12.2 4.6 13.7 11.0 8.71970 6.6 5.5 4.2 12.8 4.9 13.4 10.0 9.11971 7.1 4.8 4.9 11.6 4.8 13.9 10.0 9.319721973 6.4 5.6 3.7 12.2 4.8 14.1 9.2 9.11974 7.8 6.3 4.9 15.2 5.6 15.6 8.6 10.21975 8.7 5.4 6.3 13.9 6.0 16.4 8.1 10.51976 8.9 6.5 16.3 6.8 16.9 10.8 11.3

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Table 5:

VAM/NDP* For Each State Divided by VAM/NDPFor All-India

Karna MIahaA.P. Bihar Gujarat taka Kerala M.P. Rashtra

1961 0.4 0.9 1.8 0.7 0.8 0.5 2.31962 0.4 1.0 1.6 0.7 0.8 0.3 2.21963 0.4 0.9 1.6 0.8 0.8 0.5 2.21964 0.4 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.5 2.31965 0.5 0.8 1.6 0.8 0.7 0.5 2.21966 0.5 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.9 0.6 2.21967 0.5 0.9 1.7 0.9 1.1 0.6 2.41968 0.5 0.9 1.8 0.9 1.1 0.8 2.21969 0.6 0.8 1.6 1.0 1.1 0.6 2.31970 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 2.31971 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.5 2.419721973 0.7 0.7 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 2.31974 0.6 0.9 2.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 2.11975 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.7 2.01976 0.7 0.8 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.9

Punjab & Raja-Haryana Orissa sthan T.N. U.P. W.B. Delhi

1961 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.4 1.9 1.41962 0.5 0.3 1.1 0.4 2.1 1.21963 0.6 0.3 1.1 0.4 2.1 1.41964 0.6 0.3 1.3 0.4 2.2 1.41965 0.8 0.8 0.3 1.3 0.5 2.0 1.31966 0.7 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.4 1.9 1.31967 0.7 0.4 0.4 1.5 0.4 1.9 1.31968 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.4 0.5 1.7 1.21969 0.7 0.5 0.4 1.4 0.5 1.6 1.31970 0.1 0.6 0.5 1.4 0.5 1.5 1.11971 0.8 0.5 0.5 1.3 0.5 1.5 1.119721973 0.7 0.6 0.4 1.3 0.5 1.6 1.01974 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.5 0.6 1.5 0.81975 0.8 0.5 0.6 1.3 0.6 1.6 0.81976 0.8 0.6 1.4 0.6 1.5 1.0

* Value Added in Factory Manufacturing Sector as a Proportion of NDP.

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The distribution of industrial employment (in household and

non-household industry) among different classes of cities and towns in

1961 and 1971 is presented in Table 8. Factory industry is heavily

concentrated in cities with population exceeding 100,000 - cities which in

1971 employed over 70'S of factory workers.

We shall ana:lyze trends in industrial location in greater depth

later in this paper. Here, we have merely tried to present the marked

inter- and intrastate differences in industrialization which are the

motivating forces behind the design and implementation of locational

policies, to which we now turn our attention.

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Table 6

Share of States in Total Value Added in FactoryManufacturing Sector (7.)

Karna- Maha-A.P. Bihar Gujarat taka Kerala M.P. rashtra Orissa

1961 3.1 6.3 10.5 3.8 2.7 3.0 27.0 1.11962 2.9 7, 8.8 3.7 2.7 1.9 27.1 1.61963 3.1 6.5 8.5 4.3 2.4 2.8 26.3 1.91964 3.2 6.5 8.3 4.4 2.2 3.3 25.4 2.01965 3.4 6.5 8.6 4.5 2.3 2.9 24.8 2.61966 3.5 6.8 8.7 4.9 2.9 3.3 25.3 1.71967 3.3 6.2 9.4 5.1 3.7 3.5 26.1 1.21968 3.3 5.9 9.1 5.2 3.7 4.4 25.8 1.91969 3.9 5.6 8.7 5.4 4.0 3.3 26.6 1.81970 4.0 5.5 9.1 5.7 2.9 3.6 26.b 1.91971 4.0 5.7 8.3 6.0 3.1 3.3 27.4 1.519721973 5.1 4.9 9.5 5.1 2.8 4.8 26.8 2.01974 4.3 b.2 10.0 4.5 2.8 4.7 26.2 1.71975 5.0 7.8 8.9 5.1 2.5 4.3 24.6 1.61976 5.1 5.4 9.4 4.9 2.5 4.8 24.4 2.2

Punjab & Raja-harjana sthan T.N. U.P. W.B. Delhi Total

1961 3.0 1.1 8.5 6.1 18.9 1.9 100.01962 3.1 1.1 8.8 5.6 21.0 1.7 100.01963 3.6 1.1 8.2 5.7 21.6 1.9 100.01964 4.0 1.2 8.8 b.0 21.0 1.9 100.01965 4.1 1.3 9.1 6.6 20.0 1.8 100.01966 4.5 1.4 9.1 6.0 18.4 1.7 100.01967 4.1 1.7 9.6 5.0 17.8 1.7 100.01968 5.1 1.8 9.1 7.2 16.0 1.7 100.01969 4.5 1.7 9.5 6.9 14.8 1.8 100.01970 4.7 2.1 9.8 6.6 13.6 1.7 100.01971 5.0 2.1 9.4 6.2 14.4 1.7 100.019721973 4.5 1.8 9.3 6.4 13.3 1.5 100.01974 4.6 1.9 9.5 6.5 12.9 1.4 100.01975 5.2 2.4 8.5 6.5 13.3 1.4 100.01976 5.4 2.3 9.4 7.4 12.1 1.7 100.0

-11-

Table 7

Share of States in Total Factory Employment in Manufacturing (X)

Karna- Maha-A.P Bihar Gujarat taka Kerala M.P. rashtra Orissa

1960 5.8 5.0 9.2 4.6 4.5 4.2 20.8 0.81961 5.8 4.9 9.2 4.5 4.4 4.3 21.1 1.01962 5.7 4.9 9.2 4.7 4.3 4.2 20.7 1.11963 5.6 4.9 9.0 5.1 4.0 4.3 20.7 1.21964 5.6 5.0 8.8 5.1 4.1 4.3 20.5 1.41965 5.5 5.1 8.8 4.8 4.2 4.5 20.2 1.41966 5.4 5.1 8.8 5.1 4.3 4.5 19.9 1.41967 5.6 5.3 8.7 5.2 4.3 4.4 19.8 1.41968 5.9 5.4 8.5 5.3 4.3 4.7 19.7 1.61969 5.4 5.5 8.6 5.4 4.3 4.4 20.4 1.51970 5.2 5.6 8.8 5.6 4.1 4.6 20.1 1.51971 5.2 5.6 8.8 5.5 4.1 4.4 20.7 1.41972 6.0 5.4 8.9 5.9 4.3 4.4 19.8 1.31973 6.3 5.5 9.1 5.8 4.5 4.3 19.8 1.31974 6.5 5.6 9.2 5.9 4.6 4.3 19.2 1.31975 6.9 5.9 9.2 6.0 4.6 4.3 18.7 1.3

Punjab & Raja-Haryana sthan T.N. U.P. W.B. Delhi Total

1960 3.4 1.5 8.6 8.3 19.2 1.8 100.01961 3.4 1.5 8.4 b.6 18.9 1.8 1U0.O1962 3.5 1.b 8.3 8.5 19.3 1.8 100.01963 3.5 1.5 8.3 8.5 19.4 1.8 100.01964 3.6 1.6 8.2 8.7 19.2 1.8 100.01965 3.7 1.6 8.2 8.7 19.3 1.8 100.01966 3.7 1.6 8.6 8.8 18.6 1.9 100.01967 3.8 1.7 8.8 8.5 18.2 1.8 100.01968 3.8 1.7 8.6 8.1 17.9 1.8 100.01969 4.0 1.7 8.8 8.3 17.1 1.9 100.01970 4.2 1.7 9.0 8.4 16.8 1.9 100.01971 4.4 1.7 9.0 8.3 16.5 1.9 100.01972 4.4 1.8 9.0 8.3 16.1 1.9 100.01973 4.5 1.8 8.8 8.2 15.9 1.9 100.01974 4.4 1.8 9.1 8.2 15.6 1.9 100.01975 4.5 1.9 8.7 8.3 15.2 2.0 100.0

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Table 8

Distribution of Urban Employment and Population In Non-Household Industry by the Size of

Cities, Towns, and Town Groups (TG)/Urban Agglomerations (UA)India, 1961 & 1971

Share (.) of Different Classes of Cities/Towns in

City/Town/TG-UA Employment b/ Population

Class a/ 1961 1971 1961 1971

Class I 62.6 71.8 48.4 55.8

Class II 11.5 8.8 11.9 11.3

Class III 15.1 10.9 18.5 16.3

Class IV 7.2 5.9 13.0 11.3

Class V 3.2 2.4 7.2 4.7

Class VI 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

NuTE: a/ Cities, towns and town groups/urban agglomerations arecategorized into the following classes:

Class I: Population of 100,000 or moreClass II: 50,0UU to 99,999Class III: 2U,000 to 49,999Class IV: 10,000 to 19,999Class V: 5,000 to 9,999Class VI: Below 5000

For other concepts and definitions, see Table 33

b/ Employment in non-household industry

Source: Government of India, Census of India 1961 and 1971.

-13-

Chapter II

INDUSTRIAL LOCATION POLICIES IN INDIA

Before examining the content of the industrial location policies,

we shall aLtempt to throw some light on the factors that influenced the

policy-makers in adopting these measures. Unfortunately, these factors

are not clearly formulated in any of the policy documents, for example,

the five-year plans. The justifications for state intervention in

industrial location are couched in efficiency and equity terms, but there

is no precise idea about the trade-offs involved (wherever these exist).

This probably reflects, to a significant extent, a major weakness of the

theoretical development literature and its failure to develop an empirical

methodology to assess the most "desirable" spatial distribution of

industry.

However, a clear difference in motivation can be perceived

between policies influencing inter and intra regional distribution of

industry. In India, It is individual states that form the basis of

regionalization by the decision makers, though sometimes the

North-South-East-West divisions are also utilized. The original

demarcation of the states was on a linguistic basis, with a corresponding

cultural and ethnic homogeneity. Thus, strong sociological bonds tie the

inhabitants of each state together, and create effective demands for

receiving "just" shares of the national pie. The Indian Republic attained

independence only about three decades back, so that these demands can be

backed by arguments about unequal treatment during the colonial period.

The setting-up of infrastructure and transportation networks during

British rule was determined largely by political exigencies and the

colony-metropolis tracle relationship. This obviously meant that, at the

-14-

time of independence, the regions started with different infrastructural

endowments - a problem with which the new government had to come to

terms. Apart from these historical reasons, physical endowments and

various socio-economic factors are responsible for the diverging

performances of different regions. However, even in instances where these

factors dominate, it is politically infeasible to let these differences in

growth exceed certain limits in keeping with the character of the federal

polity. All these political and equity considerations have led the Indian

government to attempt to implement policies to promote a more balanced

inter-state distribution of industry.

Policies targeted at affecting intra-regional industrial location

have been motivated both by efficiency and welfare arguments. Efficiency

justifications have focused on the inoptimal distribution of

infrastructure and imperfectly functioning markets that have led to the

concentration of industry in certain metropolitan regions to the neglect

of smaller towns and backward areas. It is argued that the latter possess

industrial potential but have not developed because of insufficient

infrastructural investment, high risk aversion on the part of

entrepreneurs in the face of uncertainty, and imperfectly functioning

capital markets. Proponents of these policies also point out that

agglomeration economies and economies of scale have been exhausted in

certain cities, and their continued expansion implies inefficient resource

allocation. However, apart from these efficiency issues, equity factors

are also seen as extremely important justifications of policies such as

those encouraging the village and handicrafts industries that have

traditionally formed an important component of rural economic life. These

industries utilize highly labor-intensive techniques which may be able to

-15-

absorb some part of the under-employment that characterizes Indian

agriculture. It is felt that encouragement of modern small-scale

enterprises, which tencl to be concentrated in the metropolitan areas, will

promote a moro equitable distribution of income by increasing the returns

to small entrepreneurs.

All these efficiency and equity issues and their implications for

industrial location and policy will be explored at length in Chapter 4

where we draw lessons from the Indian experience with industrial location

policies. First, however, we look at those designed to promote a more

balanced inter-state distribution of industry.

1. Policies Influencing Inter-State Distribution of Industry

Chronologically arranged in order of their implementation, these

policies have been of the following kinds:

(i) Industrial licensing;

(ii) Location oDf Public Sector Plants;

(iii) Distribution and pricing policies for intermediate industrial

inputs; and

(iv) State Government incentives.

(i) Industrial Licensing

The basic attitude of the Government of India towards the

direction and character of industrial development is still epitomized by

the "Industrial Policy Rtesolution" (IPR) that was adopted in 1956. 1/ One

of the important objectives of industrial policy listed in the IPR is

1/ This replaced an earlier resolution formulated soon after independence.

-16-

balanced regional development.l/ The mechanism of implementing industrial

policy was the Industries (Development and Regulation) Act of 1951. This

Act provided the legislative framework for the licensing and regulation of

industrial investment. A licence from the Central Government was required

for the establishment of a 'new' industrial undertaking or for

'subsLantial expansion' of existing units. 2/

There is heuristic evidence that the state governments have tried

to influence the licensing authorities in order to attract industry. The

testimony of officials to the Estimates Committee (1967-68) illustrates

this:

"It has been sLated by the official representative of the

Ministry that 'Quite a number of states keep on representing that

their areas have not received adequate share of licenses' we have

no compulsive means of attracting people to particular areas. We

consider the applications as we receive them and provided the

location in a particular area is not too uneconomic, other things

being reasonably equal, we do give preference to the more

underdeveloped areas." 3/

1/ Other, perhaps more important, objectives are: rapid industrializationin conformity with plan priorities and targets, development of basicand capital goods industries, expansion of the public and co-operativesector, protection and encouragement of the small scale sector and thecurbing of monopoly in industry.

2/ The precise rules relating to the licensing system have varied overtime. It must also be noted that additional licenses were requiredfor imports of equipment. Furthermore, there are a number of otherGovernment controls, e.g. price and distribution controls. Freshinvestment involving the large business houses or foreigncollaboration were subjected to further scrutiny by special statutorycommittees.

3/ However, the correlation coefficient with per capita income is only0.07.

-17-

The Industrial Licensing Policy Inquiry Committee Report (1967)

also reported that "there have been cases where, because of persistent

pressure by the state authorities concerned, licenses have been granted

for location within those states. Our case studies show that there were

certain states which followed up applications for location in their

territories very systematically and persistently and these states were

often able to ensure that applicants for licenses within their territory

succeeded." (p. 113)

However, the actual weightage assigned to regional location by

the licensing authorities is a moot point. The Hazari report, which

examined industrial planning and licensing policy, contains information

relating to state-wise licensing applications and approvals for the-period

1959-66. This is presented in Table 9. In order to assess the importance

of the "balanced regional development" objective, we correlated these

approval ratios with an index of state industrial development, i.e., the

share of industry in GDI?. The correlation coefficient turned out to be

0.40. 1/ Now, this result cannot be interpreted from a purely regional

perspective. This is because the approval ratio Is a function of many

other variables, like the techno-economic character of license

applications, and the other industrial policy objectives including the

relationship with plan piriorities, encouragement of the public and

small-scale sector, and the curbing of monopoly. Despite these

qualifications, the positive correlation does Indicate that the "balanced

regional development" objective has not prevented the more advanced

industrial states from faring better in the licensing decision process.

1/ However, the correlation coefficient with per capita Income is only0.07

-18-

Table 9

Approved Licences as a Percentage of Licence Applications, 1959-66

Approved Licenses Share of MIanufacturing Per capita incomeLicence Applications (X) in GDP (%) (Rs. at current prices)1960 1965 1959-6 1961 1965 1960 1965

A.P. 48 47 48 3.4 4.2 275 387Bihar 63 48 48 7.1 7.3 215 332Delhi 54 32 49 11.6 11.5 6W8 887Gujarat 50 40 49 14.8 14.1 362 498Kerala 50 64 53 6.7 6.2 259 380M.P. 51 40 44 3.9 4.9 260 305Tamil Nadu 47 57 57 8.7 11.4 334 403Miaharashtra 56 48 53 19.2 19.8 409 534Karnataka 56 37 55 5.9 7.2 296 448Orissa 52 63 55 3.3 7.5 21b 329Punjab, Harayana& H.P. 39 49 44 6.0 7.2 347 506Rajasthan 36 37 41 2.0 2.9 284 373U.P. 46 50 44 3.7 4.2 252 373West Bengal 55 43 50 15.9 1i.1 390 532

Source: L.K. liazari - Industrial Planning and Licensing Policy, Final Report(Government of India, Planning Commission, 1967)

-19-

An important contributory factor - apart from techno-economic superiority

of the applications from the advanced states - could be that the big and

more established producers in these states had the resources to

successfully lobby for allocation of licenses. For example, it was

financially less burdensome for them to maintain liaison offices at New

Delhi for this purpose.

This general conclusion pertains to the period 1959-66 as a

whole. The period is too small to permit trend analysis. Nevertheless,

it is interesting to compute the relationship between license approvals

and state development separately for 1960 and 1965 and compare the two

years. The results are presented in Table 10. The picture for 1960 is

essentially the same as that for the period 1959-66 as a whole, the

license approval ratio having a significant positive correlation with the

level of state industrial development while being almost unrelated to

state per capita incomes. However, for 1965, there is a dramatic switch -

the approval ratio displays a significant negative correlation with state

industrial development, while continuing to show little relationship with

per capita income. Thisi may be indicative of an increased importance

assigned to the objective of allocating licenses on an equitable basis to

the states.

-20-

Table 10

Correlation Coefficients between State-Wise Proportionsof Licenses Approved and Indices of State Development

Correlation of state-wise "approvedlicenses as a proportion of licenseapplications" with

1960 1965 1959-66 3/

Value added in manufacturingGDP for States 0.44 -0.09 0.40

State per capita income 2/ -0.10 -0.50 0.07

Notes

1/ Certain small states and union territories havebeen left out for lack of data.

2/ In current prices.

3/ The indices of state development used in computingthe coefficients are the averages of 1960 and 1965.

-21-

However, it would be premature to reach a definitive conclusion until it

is possible to extend our licensing data beyond 1966.

In our discusslon of industrial licensing, we have focused only

on inter-state allocation of licenses. In 1971, another regional

dimension was added to the licensing criteria by the decision to prohibit

the setting up of licensable industries within certain geographical limits

of large metropolitan cities with a population exceeding one million, and

urban agglomerations with a population greater than 0.5 million as per the

1971 census. 1/ In 1980, it was decided that undertakings in a large

number of industries could increase their capacity by 257 over a five year

period without having tco apply for a licence. Moreover, undertakings in

certain industries "of importance to the national economy" and "engaged in

the production of articles of mass consumption" which had installed

capacities in excess of licensed capacity were permitted to regularize

these. Both these types of liberalizations were available even to

undertakings located in the metropolitan areas mentioned earlier which had

been barred from expanding under the 1977 policy. Moreover, this

locational policy was also relaxed in certain other cases including those

units exporting 1007 of their output.

1/ Earlier, in 1973, it had been decided that units normally exempt fromthe licensing requir,ement (for example, the small scale sector) wouldhave to apply for a license if they were located in these areas.

-22-

(ii) Location of Public Sector Plants

Soon after independence, in 1954, the ruling Congress party

adopted the resolution of "constructing a socialistic pattern of society"

in India. Since then, the industrial policy statements of the Indian

government have given considerable priority to the development of the

public sector. In 1972, public sector units contributed to 127. of total

value added in the manufacturing sector. The Indian goverment has

explicitly sought to restrict the production of many types of basic and

capital goods to the public sector. Therefore, the public sector is the

major supplier of items like iron and steel, heavy electricals, petroleum

products, shipping and railway equipment. V/

Direct public investment in manufacturing commenced on a large

scale during the Second Fivo-year plan (1951-61). Regional considerations

have always been quite important in the location of these units. For

example, the Third Five-year plan (1961-66) stated that "in the location

of public sector projects, the claims of relatively backward areas have

been kept in view wherever this could be done without giving up essential

technical and economic criteria. The location of several important

projects like the steel plants have been determined on the basis of expert

study and on economic considerations. But as they are situated in areas

which were hitherto industrially backward, the latter will benefit." (3rd

Five-year plan, p. 145)

1/ For example, in the early '70s, the share of the public sector wasover 90% of output of saleable pig iron, heavy electrical equipmentlike synchronous condensers, steam and hydro turbines, generators andalternators, ships and locomotive boilers.

-23-

The shares of the states in cumulative and annual investment in

central public undertakings during 1963-78 are exhibited in Tables 11 and

12. In 1963, about 80* of this investment was concentrated in the four

states of Bihar, Nadhya Pradesh, Orissa and West Bengal. Since 1963, many

important public undertakings have come up in the other states, so that

the distribution across states has become somewhat more balanced. By

1978, the share of thet four states (just mentioned) in cumulative

investment had come down to 57*. We attempted an empirical test of the

importance of regional considerations in the location of public sector

units. Just as in evaluating industrial licensing, this was done by

correlating Investment in Central Government public sector undertakings

per capita for each state with indices of state backwardness like per

capita income and the share of manufacturing in state income. The results

are presented in Table 13.

It appears that before 1970, states with low per capita incomes

have been favored in their share of public sector projects. However, as

the just-cited quote from the Third Plan suggests, this result may be

explained by the plentiful supply of appropriate raw materials in the

backward states rather than explicit locational considerations. To

illustrate this, consider the composition of the public sector in the

major low-income states favored before 1970 - Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and

Orissa. One finds that in 1969, steel plants accounted for one-third of

cumulative investment in Bihar, two-thirds in Madhya Pradesh and 90% in

Orissa.

-24-

Table 11

Share of States in Cumulative Investment (Gross Block)in Central Public Undertakings (%)

A.P. Assam Bihar Gujarat Karnataka Kerala Harayana Punjab

1963 0.8 1.5 15.9 0 3.6 0.2 - -

1964 1.0 1.8 16.9 0.1 3.5 1.5 - -

1965 1.5 2.1 17.7 0.1 3.0 1.8 - -1966 2.4 1.5 17.0 1.4 2.9 2.0 - -1967 3.0 1.4 17.2 1.4 2.9 2.2 - -1968 2.9 2.0 17.8 2.9 2.7 2.6 0.3 1.21969 2.9 2.1 20.8 2.9 2.7 3.4 0.2 1.1

1970 2.9 2.2 23.0 2.9 2.7 3.4 0.2 1.0

1971 3.0 2.1 24.9 4.2 2.7 3.4 0.2 0.9

1972 3.1 3.1 25.9 4.3 2.8 3.3 0.2 0.9

1973 3.5 3.2 26.9 4.7 2.9 3.2 0.2 0.8

1974 3.8 3.0 27.8 4.7 3.0 3.3 0.2 0.81975 4.3 3.2 26.8 4.8 3.0 3.2 0.3 1.2

1976 4.2 3.6 25.1 5.8 2.8 3.3 0.7 2.2

1977 4.2 3.4 27.2 5.7 2.9 3.0 1.5 2.1

1978 4.4 3.3 25.2 5.6 3.7 2.9 1.3 2.0

Punjab & TamilM.P. Maharashtra Orissa Harayana Rajasthan Nadu U.P. W.B. Total

1963 23.7 2.0 21.4 2.8 0.2 8.3 0.2 19.4 100.0

1964 23.5 2.6 19.2 2.6 0.2 9.1 0.7 17.4 100.0

1965 23.9 2.7 17.4 2.4 0.2 9.3 1.8 16.2 100.0

1966 23.3 3.1 15.2 2.0 0.2 9.1 2.6 17.2 100.01967 21.8 3.2 14.3 1.8 0.3 9.3 3.5 17.7 100.0

1968 19.6 3.5 14.8 1.5 0.7 8.9 4.8 15.3 100.0

1969 18.2 3.4 14.2 1.3 0.9 8.8 4.6 13.8 100.0

1970 16.5 3.6 13.4 1.2 1.0 9.2 4.6 13.5 100.0

1971 15.5 3.5 12.6 1.1 1.1 8.8 4.3 12.7 100.0

1972 14.8 3.6 11.7 1.1 1.4 8.4 4.2 12.6 100.()1973 14.0 3.9 11.0 1.0 1.8 7.5 4.0 12.5 100.0

1974 13.8 3.9 10.1 1.0 2.2 6.9 4.1 12.3 100.0

1975 13.4 4.9 9.3 1.6 2.6 6.2 4.1 12.6 100.01976 18.2 5.0 8.3 2.9 2.5 6.7 4.1 7.6 100.01977 16.2 6.8 7.0 3.7 2.5 5.1 4.1 8.3 100.01978 16.1 8.1 5.9 3.3 2.5 5.1 4.4 9.5 100.0

Source: Bureau of Public Enterprises, Annual Report on theWorkinz of Industrial and Commercial Undertakingsof the Central Government- various issues.

-25-

Table 12

Share of States in Annual Investment inCentral Public Undertakings (%)

A.P. Assam Bihar Gujarat Karnataka Kerala Harayana Punjab

1964 2.1 3.1 21.6 0.3 2.8 7.91965 3.7 3.5 22.2 0 0.8 3.11966 7.5 -1.9 12.9 8.7 2.2 3.21967 8.1 0.9 18.6 1.6 2.9 4.31968 2.5 4.7 20.6 9.4 1.7 4.21969 2.9 3.0 44.1 2.6 2.6 9.5 0 01970 2.8 2.7 39.6 2.6 2.6 3.7 0 0.31971 4.4 1.1 42.8 16.3 3.0 2.8 0.2 0.21972 3.5 12.6 35.4 5.3 3.3 2.9 0.1 0.21973 6.1 4.0 34.3 7.7 3.6 2.3 0.2 0.31974 6.9 1.3 35.2 5.1 4.5 3.9 0.3 0.91975 6.9 4.3 21.3 5.4 2.8 3.0 0.9 3.71976 3.3 5.8 16.8 10.5 2.0 3.6 2.6 7.01977 4.6 2.4 36.0 5.2 3.2 1.6 5.2 1.91978 5.1 3.0 15.9 5.4 7.6 2.7 0.1 1.4

Punjab & TamilM.P. Maharashtra Orissa Harayana Rajasthan Nadu U.P. W.B. Total

1964 22.4 5.3 8.8 1.7 0.1 13.0 3.3 7.5 100.01965 26.0 3.1 8.0 1.1 0 5 10.4 7.2 10.1 100.01966 19.9 5.7 3.1 0.1 0.2 8.1 7.1 23.1 100.01967 9.4 3.2 6.6 0.1 1.1 10.4 11.1 21.7 100.01968 10.4 5.0 17.0 0.1 2.1 7.5 10.0 4.8 100.01969 7.3 2.4 9.3 0 2.9 7.7 3.3 2.4 100.01970 3.4 4.9 7.6 0.3 1.6 12.7 4.3 12.0 100.01971 6.5 3.0 5.0 0.4 2.1 5.0 2.2 5.4 100.01972 7.8 4.1 2.8 0.3 4.0 3.7 2.8 11.6 100.01973 8.3 6.1 6.4 0.5 4.5 1.5 2.3 12.2 100.01974 12.3 3.8 2.0 1.2 5.6 2.2 5.4 10.7 100.01975 11.3 10.7 4.9 4.6 4.7 2.0 4.1 14.1 100.01976 42.1 5.2 3.4 9.6 2.2 9.1 3.9 -17.5 100.01977 7.3 14.9 1.5 7.1 2.3 -1.8 4.1 11.6 100.01978 15.6 14.5 0.4 1.5 2.6 5.0 5.7 15.1 100.0

Source: Bureau of Public Enterprises, op. cit.

-26-

TABLE 13

Correlation Coefficients Between State-Wise Per CapitalInvestment In

Central Public Undertakinms and Indicators of State Development

Per Capita Per Capita Aggregate

Cumulative Investment Investment durinR

1965 1970 1975 1950-65 1965-70 1970-77

State per capita incomes -0.44 -0.52 -0.50 -0.44 -0.56 -0.16

Share of Manufacturing in state GDP -0.01 * -0.1 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04

a/ Per Capita income, share of manufacturing in GDP and populationfigures used to compute the correlations are the averages ofthe end-points of the time period.

-27-

Clearly the availability of iron ore and coal was the major

reason for the location of the steel plants in these states. In this

context, it is interesting to find that during 1970-77, the correlation of

per capita investment in public undertakings with state per capita income

turns out to be extremely weak (though negative). Thus, it could be

hypothesized that once the steel plants had been constructed and the

public sector started diversifying into other types of products (Table 14)

where the techno-economic advantages of different states were more

balanced, the link between investment and regional backwardness becomes

tenuous. This argument seems to be further buttressed by the low

correlations of public investment with the share of manufacturing in state

GDP. However, a more important explanation for this result is that the

operation of the public sector plants in the backward states has directly

contributed to their industrial development. This is quite clear from

Table 15. One finds that in states like Assam, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and

Orissa, employment in Central Public Undertakings constitutes more than

307 of total employment in the factory sectors.

Apart from the direct contribution of public enterprises to the

state economy through their production and employment, they also promote

industrial development through their backward (input demand) and forward

(supply of output) linkages with the other sectors. 1/ These are

difficult to measure with the exception of one type of linkage. Public

sector undertakings have made special attempts to develop small-scale

ancillary units to suplply various kind of components and sub-assembled

1/ Moreover, public sector units have invested significantly in townshipsfor their employeeis as a means of fulfilling broader social goals.The spatial implications of these townships have not been analyzedsince they fall somewhat outside the scope of our paper.

-28-

Table 14

Distribution of Cumulative Public Sector Investment (7)

1965 1970 1977

Steel 44 33 24Engineering Products 18 24 11Chemicals 10 11 20Mining and Minerals 8 9 19Petroleum 12 9 6Others 8 14 20Total 100 100 100

Source: Bureau of Public Enterprises, op. cit.

products, and, in many cases, the undertakings have set up industrial

estates for these units with infrastructural and technical facilities.

Information relating to the orders placed by the public sector plants with

these small entrepreneurs is available and is presented in Table 16. One

finds that the contribution made by the public sector in promoting these

small scale units is still rather small, with the most significant impact

in Orissa, Karnataka, Bihar and Madhya Pradesh.

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Table 15

Share of Employment in Central Public Undertakings in Total Employment

in Manufacturing & Mining (%)

A.P. Assam Bihar Gujarat Haryana Karnataka Kerala M.P.

1973 9.9 30.8 31.7 3.5 0 22.9 4.6 14.0

1974 11.0 29.7 38.2 3.5 0 24.3 5.9 35.8

1975 12.5 30.1 39.8 4.2 0.1 26.8 7.1 37.0

TamilMaharashtra Orissa Punjab Rajasthan Nadu U.P. W.B. J & K

1973 1.9 34.1 6.1 4.3 7.5 5.1 6.3 0

1974 9.4 34.4 6.6 6.8 7.5 17.9 7.6 6.6

1975 12.7 36.2 8.4 9.1 9.5 20.4 8.5 8.2

SOURCE: Bureau of Public Enterprises, op.cit.

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Table 16

Orders placed by Public Sector Undertakings to Small Scale Units as a

Percentage of Output of Mbdern Small Scale Sector

1974-75 1975-76

A.P. 1.8 1.2

Bihar 1.0 2.2

Gujarat 0.7 0

Harayana n.a. 0

Karnataka 1.9 4.1

Kerala n.a. 0.1

M.P. 1.7 4.4

Maharashtra 0.1 0.2

Orissa 6.6 0.5

Rajasthan 0.2 0.2

Tamil Nadu 0 4.1

U.P. 0 0.3

West Bengal 0.9 0.5

SOURCE: Data on orders by public sector undertakings in Bureau of PublicEnterprises, op.cit.

Data on small sector output from Ministry of Industries, All-IndiaReport on the Census of Small Scale Industries, 1976. The coverageof the census was restricted to units registered with the Directoratesof Industries. These comprise essentially the 'modern' small-scale sector (and exclude the large traditional sector operatingin rural areas and small towns). Small scale units are definedas those with capital of less than Rs. 750,000 in original valueof plant and machinery. The Census relates to 1972/73. However,the Report estimates total output for 1974/75 and 1975/76. Wehave applied this growth rate to the output for individual statesduring 1972/73 to derive the outputs for 1974/75 and 1975/76.

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(iii) Distribution and Pricinz Policies for Basic Industrial Inouts

There are certain products that are crucial for the establishment

and operation of industrial projects; chief among these in the Indian

context are cement, steel and coal. As with any other comodity, regional

production of these inputs is determined by factors like the availability

of raw materials, transport costs and proximity to markets. The Indian

Government has followed a policy of control on the prices and distribution

of these cozmodities with the objective of regional equity. Given the

crucial nature of these products in industrialization, the official

justification is that states blessed with easy availability of these

inputs should not gain in relation to others.

The mechanism Of operation of these controls and their economic

effects will be illustrated with the case of cement. The regional

distribution of cement capacity is presented in Table 17.

Table 17

Region-wise Installed Capacity of Cement jfl

Year North East West South All -India

1971 17.6 16.9 28.6 36.9 1001975 17.5 17.6 29.3 35.6 100

Source: Govt. of India, Office of the Cement Controller: CementProduction and Despatches, Various issues.

Note : States covered in different regions.North - Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jaiu and Kashmir,

Punjab, U.P., Chandigarh, Delhi and Rajasthan.East - Bihar, Orissa, Meghalaya, West Bengal, Manipur,

Nagaland, Sikki, Tripura, Arunachal Pradesh Mizoramand Assam.

West - Gujarat, Kaharashtra, M.P., Goa, Daman, Diu, Dadra andNagar Haveli.

South - Tamil Nadu, A.P. Karnataka, Kerala, Pondicherry andAndaman, Nicobar and Lacadive Islands.

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Production of cement is concentrated in the Western and Southern

regions which accounted for almost two-thirds of cement capacity in 1971

and 1976. Furthermore, within these regions, there is considerable

variation in production by individual states. The price control exercised

by the Government to balance these regional variations takes the following

shape. In the first instance, the Government fixes the 'retention price'

- the price payable to the manufacturer. Second, through suitable

subsidies, railway freight charges for the transportation of cement to all

destinations are kept the same. Thus, the F.O.R. (free on rail) price of

cement is uniform in all parts of the country. However, the actual retail

prices vary according to the incidence of state taxes.

These prices and distribution controls have resulted in various

kinds of distortions of the market mechanism and led to certain

irrationalities in the industrial location process. The most important

effects are explored below. .

First, the "freight-pooling" arrangement has obvious implications

for the location of cement plants. Since transportation charges to

markets are the same irrespective of distance, entrepreneurs will locate

their plants in accordance with raw material availability - the major ones

being limestone, gypsum and coal. As a corollary, these controls lead to

the disappearance of natural protection in the form of transportation

charges that would have led to some development of cement capacity in

states less well-endowed with these raw materials.

Second, freight-pooling was introduced in 1966. Thus, cement

units set up earlier in proximity to markets have found themselves at a

disadvantage vis-a-vis new units.

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Third, there is less of an incentive for the utilization of

substitutes for cement in "deficit" states. For instance, in the North

Eastern Region, states like Kashmir and other areas with plentiful timber

resources, the utilization of these is sub-optimal because of the

artificial lowering of cement prices.

Fourth, there is8 an excessive use of railway transport especially

to distant consuming areas. This is particularly important in the context

of frequent bottlonecks in transport that have affected Indian industrial

growth.

Fifth, a fiscal burden is imposed on the Government to the extent

that a subsidy has to be provided to support this freight equalization

mechanism.

Finally, the transportation subsidy reduces the scope for "split

location" of clinker and grinding plants, i.e. setting up of clinker

plants near raw materials and grinding plants at consuming centers. A

major advantage of this division is saving in transportation costs

(because of reductions in tonnage that needs to be transported) and

convenience in transportstion (clinker can be dispatched in bulk in open

wagons). Because of the subsidy on transport, these advantages are not

enough to outweigh the additional expenses involved in setting up grinding

facilities in consuming areas.

There has been it persistent shortage of cement in India despite

the ready availability of' essential raw materials. There is little doubt

that price and distribution controls are important reasons for this

phenomenon. Cement produc:ers have resented the "unremunerative" prices

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fixed by the Government. 1/ Besides this, irrationalities in the location

of production and utilization of cement resulting from these controls have

also played their part.

It is not easy to assess the precise locational impact of the

freight equalization schemes without a detailed study of the regional

distribution of raw materials, markets and other factors influencing the

industrial location process and the policy changes and their linkage in

a general equilibrium context. It is obvious that, in the case of

cement, the concentration of capacity in the Southern and Western Regions

implies that freight equalization has benefited the Northern and Eastern

Regions. 2/ On the other hand, for steel and coal, the Eastern Region

which dominates in production has lost vis-a-vis the rest of India. A

careful analysis of these policies is urgently called for to eliminate

some of the resulting irrationalities and to gauge the extent of

efficiency loss in relation to the gains in regional equity.

1/ Recently, in February 1982, the Government introduced a policy ofpartial decontrol of the cement industry whereby units could sellcement output in excess of two-thirds of their capacity at free marketprices. In the short while that this policy has been in force,available information indicates that there has been a dramaticimprovement in the supply situation of cement. Moreover, a number ofcompanies have started diversifying into the production of cement inresponse to the increased profitability of this industry.

2/ For a detailed analysis, see National Council of Applied EconomicResearch. Cement Industry in India, 1979, New Delhi.

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(iv) State Government Incentives

A variety of ilncentives are offered by individual states to

attract entrepreneurs to establish industries within their borders. There

are also state-level financial institutions and industrial development

agencies whose major taisk is the provision of industrial finance and

promotion of industry. The major incentives fall into three broad

categories: 1/

a. Reduction in capital cost and infrastructural expenditure

Provision of financial assistance (both in the form of loans and

equity); infrastructural facilities and availability of plots and sheds in

industrial estates; assistance in acquisition of land; and assistance in

the preparation of feasibility reports.

b. Incentives related to the prices and availability of inputs

Reductions in power tariffs and electricity duties; financial

assistance to units for setting up power generating sets; reduced water

rates; and assistance in the procurement of controlled raw materials.

c. Tax incentives

Concessions (on loans) for payment of sales taxes, octroi stamp

duties and property taxes.

These three types of incentives exist in almost every state.

However, the precise content of each incentive varies from state to

state. It would be interesting to determine the extent to which these

differences have influenced the decisions of entrepreneurs In plant

location. Unfortunately, there has been no research study of this nature

essentially because of the paucity of detailed information required for a

rigorous analysis. For example, one needs state-level data relating to

1/ The magnitude of the incentives are often increased further for smallscale units or units set up in "backward" districts.

-36-

land rents, location of estates, power tariffs, water rates, tax levels etc.

The task is also complicated by the fact that these incentives keep changing

over time for every state. A priori, it can be argued that if the Governments

of individual states were serious enough about industrialization within their

boundaries, they would not allow the overall attractiveness of their

incentives to fall much below those offered by other states. However,

"rationality" cannot always be taken for granted in Governmental decision

making. Moreover, there are other objective factors which influence the

offering of incentives - the budgetary position, for instance. Finally, it is

not merely the announcement of incentives but the actual effectiveness with

which they are implemented that will influence industrial location. Here

again, there is little doubt that the efficiency of the implementing agences

varies across states.

Finally, there is the similarity between state incentives and the

phenomenon of different developing countries competing with each other to

attract foreign investment. The advantages that are derived from

inter-country co-operation in this analogy may be of some relevance.

Otherwise, there is the danger that unhealthy competition between the state

Governments will unnecessarily drain state budgetary resources (in the form of

transfers to the private sector) with no net gain from a national viewpoint.

2. Policies Influencing the Intra-Regional Distribution of Industry

Having looked at the locational policies aimed at a more equitable

inter-state distribution of industry, we now turn our attention to those

affecting intra-regional industrial growth. Chronologically arranged in the

order of their implementation, these consist of:

(i) policies for encouraging (a) village and cottage industries and

(b) modern small scale enterprises;

-37-

(ii) the indusltrial estates program;

(iii) The Rural Industries Project Program;

(iv) metropolitan planning in the major cities;

(v) incentives to promote industrial development in backward

districts: (a) Central Government incentives, (b) Concessional

finance from all-India financial institutions and (c) State

Government incentives. 1/

(i) Policies to Encourage the Small Scale Sector

A major aspect of Indian industrial policy has been its emphasis on

encouraging the small scale sector. The reasons for this are summed up in the

following quote from the Industrial Policy Resolution of 1956:

'They (village and small scale enterprises) provide immediate large

scale employment, they offer a method of ensuring a more equitable

distribution of national income and they facilitate an effective mobilization

of resources of capital and skill which might otherwise remain unutilized.

Some of the problems that unplanned urbanization tends to create will be

avoided by the establishmaent of small centers of industrial production all

over the country.'

Thus, the desire to promote a decentralized form of development is

quite central in the rationale for supporting the small scale sector.

The small scale sector can conceptually be broken up into two

categories - the traditional village and cottage industries operating in the

rural and semi-urban areas and modern small scale enterprises. It is

extremely difficult to draw a precise dividing line between the small scale

sector and the rest of the manufacturing sector. The Government uses capital

investment as the criterion for defining the modern small sector. The precise

1/ We have described State Government incentives in an earlier section

-38-

cut-ott has obviously been increasing with time. In 1963, when factories with

fixed capital less than five lakhs V/ comprised the small sector, the latter

contributed to 20.77 of factory value added. In 1973-74, the limit was raised

to Re. 7.5 lakhs. By this criterion, in 1973 and 1974, the sector's share in

value added was 17.37 and 14.67 respectively. In 1975-76, the figure was

again increased to Rs. 10 lakhs. The sector's contribution in this year was

16.17. Obviously because of these arbitrary changes in definitions, these

figures cannot be used as indicative of trends in the development of the

modern small scale sector. A crude index of trends in the small scale sector

as a whole (both modern and traditional) is provided by the share of the

"unregistered" sector (i.e. units employing less than ten workers with power

or 20 workers without power) in national income. This is displayed in Table

18; in 1975, the share of the unregistered sector was as high as 37t.

Table 18

Share of Unregistered Sector in Value Addedin Manufacturing

Year Share (%)1965 39.51966 39.41967 41.41968 40.71969 38.01970 37.31971 38.11972 38.21973 37.41974 36.71975 37.4

Note: The unregistered sector consists of units employing less than tenworkers with power or 20 workers without power.

Source National accounts statistics presented in Reserve Bank of India,Report on Currency and Finance.

I/ A lakh is a unit used in India and is equal to 100,000.

TABLE 19

Employment and Output in Modern Small Scale Sector, 1972

EMPLOYMENT GROSS OUTPUTRatio of Ratio of

Number Percentage small scale sector Value Percentage small scale sector to(000s) distribution to factory sector(%) (Rs.crs)-/distribution factory sector(%)

Food Products 131.2 7.9 1.9 152.3 5.9 4.5Beverages 4.6 0.3 2.3 7.4 0.3 1.4Hosiery & Readymade

garments 75.3 4.6 393.8 155.4 6.0 322.0Wood Products 94.7 5.7 125.5 102.6 3.9 81.9Paper Products,Printing, etc. 89.1 5.4 35.5 126.4 4.9 20.9

Leather Products 31.8 1.9 71.3 88.6 3.4 49.2Rubber & Plastic

Prods. 81.7 4.9 87.7 151.2 5.8 62.5Chemicals 159.0 9.6 49.5 346.7 13.3 15.1Glass & Ceramics 202.3 12.2 250.4 125.5 4.8 106.6Basic Metal Indus. 109.6 6.6 24.0 294.1 11.3 14.4Metal Products 300.1 18.2 170.8 469.1 18.0 87.9Machinery & parts 145.3 8.8 44.8 211.0 8.1 20.3Electrical &

Electronic Prods. 65.9 4.0 26.1 151.7 5.8 13.6Transport equip. 83.5 5.1 21.3 134.8 5.2 12.0Miscellaneous 40.0 2.4 - 62.7 2.4 -Repairing, servicing& job work 39.0 2.4 26.3 23.3 0.9 9.8

TOTAL 1653.2 100.0 31.3 2602.7 100.0 14.1

2/ Crore is a unit used in India and is equal to ten million.

SOURCE: Computed from Development Commissioner, Small Scale Industries (Ministry of Industry & Civil Supplies),All-India Report on the Census of Small Scale Industries (1976).

-40-

In sharp contrast to the concentration of traditional enterprises in

simple consumer goods production, modern small scale units are engaged in

manufacturing a wide variety of commodities (Table 19). In fact, basic

metals, metal products, machinery and transport equipment are the most

important activities, together accounting for 437 of employment and 487 of

gross output in this sector.

Despite the problems of definition, there is no doubt about the

critical importance of trends in the small sector in an analysis of Indian

industrial development. Within the small scale sector, it is the traditional

industries that dominate. Because of the labor-intensive character of

production in traditional enterprises, their share in employment is striking.

The 1971 census estimated that as much as 77.4* of the labor force in the

manufacturing sector was employed in household units. The most important

activities in traditional enterprises are textiles and textile products; in

1971, almost one-third of household workers were engaged in this activity.

Another indication of the significance of these industries is the estimate

that, in 1976, about 50* of total cloth output in the country was produced by

the decentralized sector, i.e., the non-mill sector where the utilization of

handlooms is quite common. Apart from textiles, other major household

industries are agro-processing (like the processing of cereals and pulses,

&ur 1/ and khandsari 1/), carpentry and blacksmiths, coir and coir products,

sericulture and handicrafts.

The Indian Constitution assigns major responsibility for development

of small scale industries to the State Governments. However, the Government

of India through the Small Scale Industries Development Organization (SSIDO),

renders advice and coordinates the state programs. The SSIDO also performs an

1/ Crude varieties of sugar.

-41-

industrial extension service to small scale enterprises by providing

access to improved technology and products and imparting training to them

in management, finance and marketing. Two other important agencies set up

by the Government of India to assist the Small Scale sector are the

National Small Industries Corporation (NSICO)and the Small Industry

Extension Training Institute (SIETI). The NSICO performs the following

duties:

1. it supplies machinery on a hire-purchase basis;

2. it acts as a contractor for Government orders;

3. it operates EPrototype Production and Training Centers;

4. it distributes scarce items on a bulk basis; and

5. it markets thle export of products produced by the small scale

sector.

The SIETI conducts research on small scale enterprises and provides

training to officers concerned with extension services.

These three organizations are primarily concerned with modern

small scale industries. Responsibility for household and village

industries 1/ is assigned at the Central Government to the Khadi and

Village Industries Comnission. At the State Government level, the

Director of Industries is in overall charge of development of all

industries (both large and small).

As we have stated earlier, the most important activities in

traditional enterprises are textiles and textile products most of which

are produced on handlooms. The All-India Handloom Board assists the

handloom textile industry through a variety of policies:

1/ Excluding textiles other than "khadi" (crude handspun cloth).

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1. reservation of certain types of cotton textiles for production by

the handloom industry;

2. encouragement of co-operative societies;

3. loans to weavers to subscribe to the share capital of the

co-operatives;

4. supply of yarn to the co-operatives;

5. schemes for improvement of handlooms;

6. aid for marketing and rebates on sale of handloom cloth;

7. training facilities for weavers.

Especially after the nationalization of the major commercial

banks in 1967, the financial needs of the small scale sector are being

taken care of on a priority basis, with concessionary interest rates and

collateral. In the states, the State Financial Corporations make loan

capital available to small industry.

Finally, since 1978, a number of "District Industries Centers"

have been set up as district-level governmental organizations to oversee

the development of the small scale sector.

Up to this point, we have examined policies operating mainly

through Government expenditure on the small scale sector. However, many

of the policies are in the form of controls. For example, the licensing

system bans the production of certain items in large factories, reserving

them for the small sector. Moreover, small scale enterprises do not have

to go through the licensing system to set up new units or to expand

capacity. These sorts of restrictions are also important to protect the

handloom sector. As we pointed out, certain items of clothing are

reserved for production by handlooms. In addition, the Government also

directs spinning mills to allocate part of their yarn production to

satisfy the raw material requirements of the handloom sector.

-43-

Having examined the general state policies used to encourage the

small scale sector, Wv now turn our attention to policies specifically

targeted at the location of small scale units - namely, the industrial

estates program and tlhe rural industries projects program.

(ii) Industrial Estate Proaram

Industrial esstates have been defined as "a group of factories

constructed on an economic scale in suitable sites with facilities of

water, transport, electricity, steam, bank, post office, canteen, watch

and ward and first aid and provided with special arrangements for

technical guidance and common service facilities." 1/ The Indian

Government has taken the initiative of setting up industrial estates with

two objectives in mind. One is the encouragement of the small scale

sector, through the provision of various infrastructural facilities and

economic incentives which are essential characteristics of the industrial

estate. The second igi the dispersal of industry away from central

metropolitan regions through suitable location of the industrial estates

and their catalytic influence on economic activity in their area of

operation.

The industrial estates program was initiated in 1955, toward the

end of the First Five-Year Plan (1951-56). The first industrial estate to

commence operation was the one at Rajkot (in Gujarat). The program gained

signlficant momentum during the Second Five-Year Plan (1956-61). The Plan

made a provision of RE. lllm. for the construction of 110 industrial

estates, of which Rs. 104 m. was actually spent. By the end of the Plan,

67 estates were constructed of which 53 were actually functioning. In

l/ Alexander, P.C. Industrial Estates in India, Bombay: Asia PublishingHouse, 1963. In practice, an industrial estate does not have all

these characteristics

-44-

terms of factory sheds, 2077 had been completed though only 1049 were

operating The geographical distribution of the 119 estates sanctioned

during the First and Second Plans is as follows: 1/

Places with population of less than 20,000 25

Places with population of 20,000 - 50,000 25

Places with population of 50,000 - 100,000 21

Places with population of over 100,000 48

Total 119

The momentum of the industrial estates program was maintained

during the Third Plan (1961-66), which allocated Rs. 282 m. for this

purpose. The actual expenditure incurred during the plan amounted to Rs.

227 m., which was more than double the expenditure of the Second Plan

period. 2/ 216 estates were constructed during 1961-66, of which 145 were

actually functioning. The Third Plan placed a much greater emphasis on

utilization of industrial estates as an instrument for dispersal of

industry in towns and rural areas. For this purpose, the plan fostered

the idea of "rural Industrial estates," i.e., those in villages with less

than 5,000 inhabitants and located at a "sufficient" distance from large

cities and towns. The Plan also subdivided the other individual estates

into "urban" estates (in cities and towns with a population exceeding

50,000) and "semi-urban" estates (in small towns with population between

5,000 and 50,000). At the end of the Third Plan, out of the 198

functioning Industrial estates, 187 were rural, 307 were semi-urban and

V/ From Bandyopadhaya, 1969

2/ This comparison is unadjusted for prices.

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52* were urban. During 1966-69 (which was the period of the three Annual

Plans ), Rs. 76 m was spent on industrial estates. In 1969, there were

285 functioning industrial estates of which 227 were rural, 327 semi-urban

and 467 urban.

During the mid-sixties, a number of evaluation studies were

undertaken to examine the working of the industrial estates during the

previous decade. 1/ 'rhese studies cast grave doubts on the extent to

which the industrial eastates program was achieving its twin goals of

promoting industrial development and industrial dispersal. This was

reflected in non-occupation of the constructed sheds and only partial

functioning of the occupled sheds. Table 20 shows that during the

sixties, more than 401L of the completed sheds were not operating. The

rural industrial estates fared the worst; in 1969, 50* of the completed

sheds were functioning. The estates in semi-urban areas did not fare much

better with only 57* of sheds operating. The urban industrial estates

performed much more satisfactorily; 767 of the completed sheds were

working in 1969. The reasons for this disquieting performance,

particularly of the rural and semi-urban industrial estates, have been

made clear by the evaluation studies.

The most important factor was the wrong choice of location for

the industrial estate. In many cases, careful techno-economic surveys

were not conducted to ascertain the suitability of the area in terms of

proximity to markets, availability of raw materials, labor, transportation

facilities, etc. For example, in their enthusiasm to promote the program,

1/ These included studies by the State Governments, the Central SmallIndustries Organization and the Estimates Committee (Lok Sabha).

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TABLE 20

Percentage of Sheds Completed but not functioning

December 1961 48

December 1962 43

March 1964 38

March 1965 40

March 1966 41

March 1967 42

March 1968 41

March 1969 41

March 1972 35

March 1974 29

SOURCE: D. Nagaiya (1971), pp.41Bharti (1978)Sanghvi (1979)

-47-

certain states decided to locate one or two estates in every district.

"In many of the states, it was considered a matter of political prestige

to locate an estate in each district as the district was not considered to

have come of age otherwise." 1/

Another case olf economic irrationality was the response to the

general advisability of locating the estates outside municipal limits in

order to encourage dispersal. While this made sense for cities and large

towns, some states decided to locate the estates two to four miles away

from the center even in the case of small towns. This inevitably resulted

in serious bottlenecks in transport facilities and the supply of other

essential inputs like water and electricity. There were many other cases

of poor pre-investment planning. After a critical examination of the

operation of the industrial estates program, the Estimates Committee noted

that "a little delay in the selection of a location in the beginning is a

small price compared to the waste of public funds and private resources

resulting from the wrong location of an industrial estate." 2/

The problems encountered in the choice of location reflect the

limitations of using industrial estates as tools in the industrialization

of backward areas. Merely setting up an estate in a backward region is

quite insufficient; there has to be coordinated provision of

infrastructural investments in transport, communications, power, water

supply, etc. Otherwise, it is quite unprofitable for entrepreneurs to set

up production units in rural and semi-urban areas. In fact, this has been

a major problem encountered in the implementation of the industrial

1/ Nagaiya, 1971, p. 66

2/ Government of India, Estimates Committee of the Third Lok Sabha, 106thReport, New Delhi, 1'966.

-48-

estates program. In some areas, the "District Industries Officers had to

practically plead with industrialists to set up industries in the newly

constructed estates." 1/

Another disconcerting feature of the performance of the program

has been the inordinate delay that has characterized the various stages of

implementation, like administrative approval of the scheme, land

acquisition, construction of sheds and other facilities, allocation and

occupation of sheds and the commencement of production. These have arisen

because of administrative inefficiency and poor coordination between the

various agencies involved.

The poor performance of the industrial estates program aroused a

great deal of concern, and policies followed since the mid sixties have

emphasized consolidation rather than expansion in the number of estates.

In contrast to the actual expenditure of Rs. 226 m. on the program during

the Third Plan, the estimated expenditure in the Fourth Plan (1969-74) was

only Rs. 157 m. (in current prices). While expenditure on industrial

estates amounted to 12, 19 and 24* of total expenditure on small scale

industries 2/ in the First, Second and Third Plans respectively, the share

during the Fourth Plan was only 16S. The outlay for the Fifth Plan

(1974-79) is Rs. 210 m., which is only 9.57 of total expenditure on small

scale industries. By 1975, there were 469 functioning estates of which

227. were rural, 297. semi-urbin and 49S urban.

However, the performance of the rural and semi-urban industrial

estates has still been rather unsatisfactory. In 1974, only 457 of the

V/ Nagaiya, 1971, p. 71

2/ i.e., expenditure on modern small scale industries, industrial estatesand rural industries projects.

-49-

completed sheds in rural estates were operating (the corresponding ratios

for urban and semi-urban estates were 817 and 667 respectively).

The impact of the industrial estates program can be assessed by

relating production and employment on the estates to overall trends in the

industrial sector. In comparison with the entire registered sector (i.e.,

factories employing more than ten workers with power or 20 workers without

power), output and employment on the estates are rather small (Table 21).

However, these shares have been gradually increasing over the sixties and,

in 1969, amounted to 1.0 and 1.6 percent respectively. By 1974, the share

in total output and employment had gone up further to 1.7% and 3.07.. The

Annual Surveys of Industries conducts yearly sample surveys for

enterprises employing between 10-49 workers (with power) or 50-99 workers

(without power). We can treat this "sample sector" as the modern

small-scale sector (in contrast with the traditional village and household

units that constitute the "unregistered" sector). The share of industrial

estates in sample sector output amounted to six percent in 1969. The

share in employment was more significant - nine percent in 1969 and 167 in

1974.

(iii) Rural Industries Projects

The Rural Industries Projects program was initiated in 1962-63 to

promote rural industrialization in certain parts of the country. This

objective is to be realized by "identification and moLivation of

prospective entrepreneurs, guiding them in selecting suitable products and

appropriate technology, lproviding them technical extension services and

helping them in obtaininlg their inputs including credit facilities, raw

materials and skilled labor." 1/ The program was to be coordinated with

1/ R.V. Rao, 1978, p. 31

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TABLE 21

Share of Industrial Estates in Industrial Employment and Output (X)

Share (Z) of Industrial Share (%) of IndustrialEstates in Employment in Estates in Output of

Sample/a Factory /b Sample FactorySector Sector Sector Sector

1961 2.2 0.4 1961 1.6 0.3

1962 3.3 0.6 1962 2.2 0.4

1963 n.a. n.a. 1963 n.a. n.a.

1964 4.0 0.6 1964 3.1 0.5

1965 6.6 1.0 1965 3.7 0.5

1966 7.0 1.1 1966 4.5 0.8

1967 9.4 1.6 1967 6.5 1.1

1968 8.3 1.4 1968 6.5 1.1

1969 9.3 1.6 1969 6.0 1.0

1974 16.0 3.0 1975 n.a. 1.7

NOTES: /a Sample sector consists of units employing between 10-49workers Twith power) or 50-99 workers (without power).

/b Factor sector consists of units employing more than 10workers Twith power) or more than 20 workers (without power).

SOURCE: Computed from data in Nagaiya (1971) and Annual Surveys ofIndustries, various issues.

-51-

other area development plans so as to achieve integrated regional

development. However, the rural industries projects (R.I.P.) program was

conceived essentially as a pilot scheme to gain experience and to identify the

crucial factors for promloting rural industrialization. Initially, the program

covered 49 areas each with a population of about 350,000. These areas were

chosen on the basis of the following criteria:

"(i) areas with favorable agricultural conditions and considerable

organized agricultural effort and also a heavy pressure of population.

(ii) areas with agriculture undertaken mainly under unirrigated

conditions and consiiderable need for additional employment;

(iii) areas with considerable under-employment because of unfavorable

natural conditions and lack of development potential;

(iv) tribal and otber backward areas;

(v) areas with large industrial projects established or to be

established; or

(vi) areas in the neighborhood of rural universities and institutes." 1/

During the Thircl Plan (1961-66), an expenditure of Rs. 48 m. was

incurred on the R.I.P. program, which constituted 2.27 of total public

expenditure on village and small scale industries (Table 22). In the Fifth

Plan (1974-79), planned eixpenditure had risen to Rs. 211 m., and the share to

3.97.

In 1969, the value of production in rural industries projects formed

only 1.1 and 0.27 of output in the sample and factory sectors respectively.

In 1973, these proportions were almost exactly the same (1.2 and 0.27).

Because of the labor-intensive nature of the products manufactured in the

rural industries projects and the technological processes utilized by them,

1/ O.P. Jain, 1975, p. 49

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their contribution is much more significant in terms of employment - 13.1 and

2.3* in relation to sample and factory sector employment. By 1973, these

shares had risen to 15 and 2.87.

In the Fifth Plan (1974-79), the decision was taken to extend the

R.I.P. areas to entire districts, excluding towns with population exceeding

15,000 (1961 Census). 1/ By 1975-76, the number of R.I.P. projects had more

than doubled from the original 49 to 111.

In 1974, the Programme Evaluation Organisation (PEO) of the Planning

Commission conducted an evaluation or the working of the rural industries

projects. 2/ This study brought out a number of deficiencies in the working

of the program.

A key component of the program was an industrial potential survey of

the area to guide the priorities of assistance to dirferent types of

industrial units. However, the evaluation study found that the quality of

these surveys left much to be desired, and the actual pattern of units that

sprung up bore little relation to the "potential" as brought out in the

surveys.

There were various critical administrative inefficiencies. The State

Governments did not attach much priority to the implementation of the program

and the quality of staff assigned to administer the scheme was poor.

The P.E.O. tried to assess the impact of the R.I.P. program on

industrial development in the areas covered, by detailed investigations of a

large sample of industrial units in existence in these areas. The percentage

of units which availed themselves of the various components of assistance

1/ O.P. Jain, 1975, p. 49.

2/ Programme Evaluation Organisation, Planning Commission - Evaluation Studyof Rural Industries Projects, Govt. of India, 1978.

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Table 22

Public Expenditure on Rural Industries Projects

Share in Total Publicexpenditure on village and

Actual expenditure. (Rs.m) small-scale industries (7).

Third Plan (1961-66) 48 2.2Annual Plan

Period (1966-69) 66 4.9

Fourth Plan (1969-74) 101 3.4

Fifth Plan (1974-79) 211 a/ 3.9

a/ Planned outlay

SOURCE : Planning Commission, Various Five Year Plan documents.

provided by the program is given in Table 23. One finds that with the

exception of loan assistance, the other components have only had a marginal

impact on the industrial units.

The principal objective of the R.I.P. Program is to promote

industrial development in the rural areas. However, a clear perspective is

lacking of both the character of rural industrialization to be promoted and

the economic viability of' such a strategy. In particular, there is

-54-

Table 23

Proportion of SaSUle Units Availing ofR.I.P. Assistance (1)

Type of Assistance

i) Technical assistance provided 5.9

ii) Supply of raw materials etc. 12.0

iii) Supply of machinery and tools 4.3

iv) Marketing facilities 1.0

v) Loans for

a) term finance 5.8b) working capital 8.8c) term finance as well as

working capital 4.0

vi) Miscellaneous and other assistance 2.9

Source: Evaluation study of Rural Industries Projects: ProgrammeEvaluation Organisation, Planning Commission, Government ofIndia, March, 1978.

ambivalence regarding the priorities to be attached to the promotion of

villase industries and artisanship versus the development of small

industries utilizing relatively modern techniques of production. The

former are scattered in numerous villages and small towns while the latter

-55-

are concentrated in towns of medium to large sizes. Thus, the strategy

regarding which type of industry to aid would have an impact on the

locational pattern of rural industrialization. The current policy is to

exclude towns with population exceeding 15,000 (by the 1961 census) or

25,000 (by the 1971 ce!nsus) from the orbit of the program. However, even

with this cut-off point, locational issues like the choice between

concentration of assistance in certain towns or villages (to act as growth

centers) versus the spireading of assistance among all locations of

industrial units have yet to be resolved at a policy level.

This section, has described the gamut of policies designed to

influence the growth and location of the small scale sector. To give some

idea about the relative importance of these various programs, Table 24

displays estimated public expenditure on the various components during

1966-69 and 1969-74.

Table 24

Estimated Public Sector ExDenditure onSmall Scale Industries

(Rs. Crores) 1/1966-69 1969-74

Small Scale Industries 52.46 70.33Industrial Estates 7.35 15.73Handloom Industries 13.37 28.57Powerlooms 0.46 3.90[hadi and Village Industries 54.03 102.66Sericulture 3.75 8.39Coir Industry 1.21 4.49Handicrafts 4.80 6.24Rural rndustries Projects 6.70 10.13

Total 144.13 251.01

1/ A Crore is a unit used in India and is equal to ten million.

Source: Government of India (Planning Commission), Fifth Five-Year Plan.

-56-

(iv) Metropolitan Planning

Attempts at regional planning in India have been made essentially

in the context of metropolitan areas. While metropolitan plans exist for

most big towns and cities in India, the most well-established and

effective ones are those for Delhi, Bombay and Calcutta. Unfortunately,

we do not have the detailed data that would permit a study of their

operation and impact. Therefore, we shall restrict ourselves to a cursory

and descriptive look at these plans.

Delhi has the distinction of having been the object of the first

attempt at city planning. The Delhi Development Authority was established

in 1955 and prepared the "Delhi Master Plan" for the period 1962-81. V/

The plan indicated the directions for optimum socio-economic development

of the ci,ty. As far as the industrial development of Delhi was concerned,

the plan was in favor of restricting and controlling the process. The

growth of industrial workers during 1962-81 was to be limited to 257.

Industry was to be restricted in urban Delhi and deflected to the "ring

towns" of Ghaziabad, Faridabad, Ballabgarh, Gurgaon, Bahadurgarh and

Loni. Only small and medium-sized industries satisfying local consumption

needs and services would be considered for location in urban Delhi. The

Delhi Master Plan also recognized another level of spatial planning - the

"National Capital Region," consisting of the area (within a radius of 80

km) around Delhi and encompassing tehsils in the neighboring states of

Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Rajasthan. The development of the "ring towns"

and the National Capital Region in synchronization with plans for the

Delhi urban area requires a high degree of coordination between the

1/ Delhi Development Authority, Delhi Master Plan, Vols. I & II, NewDelhi, 1961.

-57-

metropolitan organizat;ions of Delhi and those of neighboring states.

Unfortunately, this Was lacking for a number of years. However, recently,

serious attempts are being made to establish an effective political and

administrative apparatus for this purpose. 1/

The CalcuLta Metropolitan Planning Organisation was established

in 1961 and prepared the "Calcutta Metropolitan Regional Plan" in 1966. 2/

The plan was more in the nture of an "indicative" rather than a master

plan detailing the physical development of the Calcutta region. Another

distinctive feature was that "the Calcutta plan looks far beyond the

immediate environs of Calcutta and emphasizes the need for linking the

hierarchy of towns throughout the city's hinterland, which includes not

merely the whole of West Bengal but also the neighboring states and

territories, to establish a meaningful reciprocity between agriculture and

industry and to integrate the development of material and human

resources." 3/

The first major step towards metropolitan planning in Bombay was

taken in 1964 with the preparation of the Development Plan for Greater

Bombay. As far as industrial location was concerned, the thrust of the

Plan was to strongly discourage the coming up of new industrial units or

the expansion of existing ones in the Greater Bombay area. The state

Government accepted this as a general policy, but was quite lax in

permitting expansions of textile firms. However, in 1968, the Government

1/ See Town and Country Planning Organisation, National Capital RegionalPlan 1972.

2/ Calcutta Metropolitan Planning Organisation, Basic Development Planfor Calcutta Metropolitan District, Calcutta, 1966.

3/ Nisra et al., p. 136

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reviewed this industrial location policy. A distinction was introduced

between 'conforming" and "non-conforming" zones. Units in the former would be

freely permitted to expand and a liberal attitude was adopted towards the

setting up of small-scale units.

The other major development was the setting up of the Gadgil

Comhittee in 1965 for recommending policies for development of the

Metropolitan Regions of Bombay-Panvel and Pune. On the recommendations of

this Committee, the Bombay Metropolitan Regional Plan was drafted 1/ and

formally adopted by the State Government in 1973. As far as industrial

location was concerned, dispersal and decentralization of industries were

accepted as the major policy goals. Industries were not to be encouraged in

certain areas (like the Kalyan-Ulhasnagar-Ambarnath and Thane-Kavesar

complexes) and would be diverted to new zones (like Nhava Sheva and Bhiwandi

and Bassein tehsils). Only consumer-oriented industries (satisfying local

consumption and service needs) would be allowed in Greater Bombay. These

industrial policies outlined in the plan were formalized by the State

Government of Maharashtra with the announcement of an "Industrial Location

Policy" in 1974. The Metropolitan region was divided into four zones with

restrictive policies for the central areas and more liberal ones for the

periphery. A system was introduced whereby new industrial units or existing

units wishing to expand operations or shift location in the Bombay

Metropolitan Region required "No Objection Certificatesm from the Commissioner

of Industries of the Government of Maharashtra.

I/ Bombay Metropolitan Regional Planning Board, Report of the Draft RegionalPlan of Bombay Metropolitan Region, Vols. I & II, 1970.

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(v) Incentives to Develo2 Backward Districts

After 1979, a number of steps were initiated to promote the

industrial development of backward areas. The Planning Comission recomended

certain criteria for the identification of these backward regions consisting

of per capita agricultural production and industrial output, agricultural

workers, factory employees and other workers as a proportion of the

population, per capita consumption of electricity, and the length of surfaced

roads and railway mileage in relation to population. However, the states have

introduced their own -variations to these criteria. The definition of backward

areas varies accordinlg to the type of incentive (elaborated below). The

shares of those backward districts eligible for concessional finance in area

and population in indlvidual states and union territories in 1971 are listed

in Table 25. 1/ For India as a whole, these backward districts account for

607. of the population and 707. of area.

The policies adopted for encouraging industrial growth in the

backward districts operate through the following incentives:

(a) Capital InvesBtment Subsidy;

(b) Transport subsidy;

(c) Income tax concessions;

Cd) Concessional finance from all-India financial institutions; and

Ce) State Government incentives. 2/

1/ The correlation coefficient of these population shares of backwarddistricts in individual states with state per capita incomes in 1971 was0.54. Thus backward districts form a relatively larger segment ofpopulation in backward states.

2/ These have been described earlier.

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TABLE 25

SHARE OF BACKWARD DISTRICTS IN AREA AND POPULATION, 1971

Backward Districts as% of total for the States

States Area Population

Andhra Pradesh 72.4 59.3Assam 77.4 75.6Bihar 47.2 55.0Gujarat 67.2 49.1Haryana 50.0 39.0Himachal Pradesh 88.0 73.0Jammu & Kashmir 100.0 100.0Karnataka 66.7 62.5Kerala 42.3 50.0Madhya Pradesh 87.0 83.0Maharashtra 54.7 41.7Manipur 100.0 100.0Meghalaya 100.0 100.0Nagaland 100.0 100.0Orissa 61.0 48.0Punjab 38.9 35.0Rajasthan 61.9 54.2Tamil Nadu 64.4 60.1Tripura 100.0 100.0Uttar Pradesh 68.4 61.9West Bengal 82.5 68.4Union Territories* 100.0 100.0

All India 71.3 59.0

"Backward Districts" in this Table refer to those selectedfor concessional finance from Financial Institutions.

*Excluding Delhi and Chandigarh

SOURCE: K.S.V. Menon, 1979, pp.54

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The Central Government capital investment subsidy scheme was

introduced in 1971. Under this scheme, new or expanding units in selected

backward districLs were entitled to a subsidy of ten percent of their total or

additional fixed capital investment. The ceiling on investment, eligible for

subsidy, was fixed at Rs. 5 m.; however, units with investments exceeding this

ceiling would also be considered at the discretion of the Government though

the maximum amount of subsidy would still be Rs. 500,000. In 1973, major

modifications were introduced. The rate of subsidy was raised to 157 and the

investment ceiling to Rs. 10 m. The discretionary clause for units with

investment exceeding this limit would still hold, subject to a subsidy limit

of Rs. 1.5 m.

One indicator of the progress of the scheme is provided by the

reimbursement of Central subsidy by the Government (Table 26). In the initial

years, the scheme did not evoke much response. However, from 1974-75 onwards,

there has been a significant and almost continuous increase in the

reimbursement of central subsidy. The state-wise picture of disbursement

during 1973-79 is depicted in Table 27. Four states consisting of Tamil Nadu,

Maharashtra, Gujarat and Karnataka account for over 427 of total disbursement

during 1973-79.

Simultaneously with the introduction of the capital investment

subsidy in 1971, a transport subsidy was also announced to aid industrial

development in hilly backward areas. Under this scheme, new industrial units

in the States or Union territories of Jammu and Kashmir, Assam, Manipu,

Meghalaya, Nagaland, Tripura, Arunachal Pradesh, Mizoram, Andamans and Nicobar

Islands, Lakshadweep, Himachal Pradesh and the hilly districts of U.P. were

eligible to a subsidy amounting to 501 of the transportation costs of both raw

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TABLE 26

Reimbursement of Central Investment Subsidy by Government

of India (Re. million)

1972-73 1.2

1973-74 5.9

1974-75 38.6

1975-76 60.0

1976-77 111.7

1977-78 199.6

1978-79 154.1

SOURCE: National Committee on the Development of Backward Areas,1980, pp. 21

-63-

Table 27

Share of States and Union Territories in the Central InvestmentSubsidy Disbursed durin& 1972/73 to 1978/79

State/Union Share (%) in Subsidy DisbursedTerritory uDtil 1978/79

1. Andhra Pradesh 12.12. Assam 2.33. Bihar 2.14. Gujarat 7.55. Haryana 2.86. Himachal Pradesh 3.47. Jammu and Kashmir 2.68. Karnataka 7.09. Kerala 4.8

10. Madhya Pradesh 5.011. Naharashtra 11.712. Manipur 0.113. Meghalaya 0.314. Nagaland 0.715. Orissa 1.116. Punjab 3.317. Rajasthan 8.318. Sikkim 0.119. Tamil Nadu 15.520. Tripura 0.321. Uttar Pradesh 2.622. West Bengal 1.923. Andaman & Nicobar 0.124. Dadra & Nagar Haveli 0.325. Arunachal Pradesh 0.226. Goa, Daman & Diu 3.327. Lakshadweep -28. Mizoram 0.129. Pondicherry 0.5

Total 100.0

Source: National Committee on the Development of Backward Areas, 1980, 9. 21.

-64-

materials and finished goods. Expanding units are also eligible for this

subsidy for their expansion programs, provided that the increase in production

exceeds 257 of average annual output during the last three years.

During the first five years of its operation, the transport subsidy

scheme failed to make any impact on industrial development in these regions;

only two small claims (from Tripura) were received during these years. The

decision relating to the desirability of continuing the scheme is currently

under consideration by the Ministries of Industry and Finance.

One of the criticisms voiced against the transport subsidy scheme is

that it may lead manufacturers to substitute raw materials imported from

outside for those available locally, for example, to utilize cement instead of

timber in construction. This would adversely affect the objective of

promoting industries based on local resources. This criticism has remained

largely academic because of the poor response to the scheme.

Income tax concessions for new industrial units (including hotels) in

backward districts were announced in 1974. These units were allowed a

deduction of 207. of profits while computing taxable income. All projects

consencing operation after 1970 were eligible for this concession for a period

of ten years thereafter. Unfortunately, data pertaining to the number

availing themselves of these income tax concessions are not readily available.

In 1970, schemes of concessional finance for investment in backward

areas were introduced by the all-India financial institutions - the Industrial

Development Bank of India (IDBI), the Industrial Finance Corporation of India

(IFCI), the Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India (ICICI), the

Industrial Reconstruction Corporation of India and the National Small

Industries Corporation. These included direct assistance to industries as

well as refinance facilities for the state-level institutions. The precise

-65-

terms of the concessions (especially the rate of interest) have varied over

the years. Those prevailing in 1975 are summarized in Table 28.

Table 29 presents trends in assistance provided to units in backward

areas by the Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI) which is the apex

development bank for industry in India. One finds that there has been an

impressive increase in the share of backward areas in sanctioned assistance

since 1970-71, with a corresponding lagged effect on disbursements. This

trend has been particularly noticeable after 1974-75. In 1980-81, almost half

of sanctioned assistance from IDBI was going to units in backward regions.

Even though these trends pertain only to assistance from IDBI, they would be

broadly reflective of trends in overall corporate sector investment. This is

because most medium and large projects in the corporate sector seek assistance

from one or more of the term-lending financial institutions operating in the

industrial sector; 1/ and IDBI is the largest of these institutions. 2/

Thus, the data appear to indicate that the capital investment subsidy

and the schemes of conce!ssional finance have had a significant impact on the

industrial development of backward regions. However, an important

qualification needs to be made before such a conclusion can be drawn. This

relates to the distribution of assistance among the 247 districts that qualify

for concessions. Only a small proportion of the districts have benefited from

these incentives. For instance, 15 districts account for over 567 of the

1/ During 1971-79, on average about half of corporate investment in theprivate sector was financed by these institutions. See IDBI, Report onDevelopment Banking in India, 1980-81, p. 2

2/ In 1980-81, for example, assistance sanctioned by IDBI (excluding exportfinance and subscription to shares and bonds of financial institutions)constituted 53* of total assistance sanctioned by all the term-lendingfinancial institutions operating in the industrial sector. See IDBI ODcit. pp. 1, 19.

TABLE 28

TERMS OF CONCESSIONAL FINANCE FOR UNITS IN BACKWARD DISTRICTS/AREAS, 1975

Rate of Interest Grace Period Amortisation Participation Underwriting Com-(Per Cent) (Years) Period in risk mission (per cent)

Name of Institution (Years) capital

Industrial Development 8.5 5 15 to 20 Relatively 1.25 for shares

Bank of India (10.25) (3) (10 to 12) heavily on (2.5)merits 0.75 for debentures

(1.5)Indus. Finance On rupee loans-- 9.5 5 15.to 18 Relatively 50 per cent of

Corp. of India (11.25) (3) (10 to 12) to a greater the normalOn foreign currency 10.5 extent onloans-- (11.5) merits

Indus. Credit and On rupee loans-- 8.5 5 20 -- 50 per cent of

Investment Corp. (10.25) (2 to 3) (12) the normalof India On foreign Currency

loans-- 9.5(10.5)

Indus. Reconstruction 7 -- -- -- --

Corp. of India (8.5)National Small Indus. 11 to 13 -- -- -- --

CoERoration* (13 to 15)

COMMITMENT CHARGE REFINANCING FACILITIES PROMOTERS' OTHER CONCESSIONSCONTRIBUTION

Industrial Development Reduced by 0.5 per To State Finance Cor-Bank of India cent or waived al- porations and Banks

together in excep- up to Rs. 30 lakhs attional cases 5.5 per cent

Industrial Finance Cor- 50 percent of the -- Lower than usual 50% reduction in other chargesporation of India normalIndustrial Credit and 50 percent of the -- Lower than usualInvest. Corp. of India normalIndustrial Reconstruc-tion Corporation of -- -- 7% (8.5%) interest on loans forIndia reconstructing/modernizing

IndustriesNational Small Indus- -- -- 10%(15%) interest on earnesttries Corporation money for supplying machinery and

NOTE: Figures in brackets indicate normal terms for advanced areas. equipment under the hire-purchaseSOURCE: M.D. Godbole, 1978, pp.72-73. scheme.

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TABLE 29

Trends in the Share (Z) of Backward Districts in Assistance Sanctioned &Disbursed by the Industrial Development Bank of India

1964-65 to 1980-81

Year -/ Share (X) of Backward Districts in

Total Sanctions Total Disbursements

1964-65 10.7 18.5

1965-66 8.7 11.6

1966-67 12.9 6.6

1967-68 14.2 15.8

1968-69 32.2 22.7

1969-70 23.7 18.2

1970-71 24.2 16.6

1971-72 33.2 20.4

1972-73 33.2 24.1

1973-74 36.8 34.5

1974-75 35.2 36.8

1975-76 42.9 39.5

1976-77 52.7 41.4

1977-78 47.3 51.7

1978-79 39.4 50.9

1979-80 47.9 40.6

1980-81 47.2 41.8

1/ Defined as July of any year to June of the following year.

Source: Industrial Development Bank of India, Operational Statistics,various issues.

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Central Investment subsidy disbursed up until 1978-79. 1/ Similarly, 22

districts received 497 of Lhe total disbursals of concessional finance by

thefinancial institutions. 2/ Data relating to IDBI disbursement of

concessional finance reveals that the Lop 50 districts accountted for about 70*

of this assistance as of December 1979. 3/ This concentration of investment

in certain districts is natural. Only a small number of the districts that

qualify for incentives possess thc potential for icii(ustrial growth in terms of

factors such as the availability of raw materials, infrastructure and

proximity to markets. Entrepreneurs will only locate their uniits in such

areas. Certain other limitations of these incentives for backward area

development will he elaborated on in the concluding chapLer 4, where we shall

provide a critique of the Indian experience with industrial location policy.

1/ NCDRA, 1980, p. 14

2/ NCDBA, Op cit,_p. 15

3/ N.R. Shenoy, and S.K. Guptya, Regional Pattern of IDBT's Assistance,published in IDBI, 1980, p. 278.

-69-

Chapter III

TRENDS IN INDIAN INDUSTRIAL LOCATION

In the last chapter, we described the various policies used by

the Indian Government to influence industrial location and their method of

operation. We have also attempted to throw some light on the effect of

each of these policies, to the extent permitted by data. On the basis of

our analysis, we find that the effectiveness of each of the locational

instruments has varied considerably. What, then has been the overall

impact of these policies on the inter- and intrastate distribution of

industry? An investigation of this issue involves an analysis of the

actual trends in the location of industry. These trends are the result of

both market forces and Governmental policy. The separation of these two

determinants is an analytically complex task, one which is ruled out

because of data constraints. In lieu of this, we shall merely present the

findings relating to the inter and intra-state trends in the distribution

of industry and draw some simple conclusions, which would at least be

useful as a background for more intensive studies to be conducted in a

future research project.

1. Trends in the Inter-State Distribution of Industry

We first examine trends in the inter-state distribution of

industry. The data that we have used comes mainly from the following

sources:

(a) the Annual Survey of Industries (ASI);

(b) statistics on factory labor collected under the

Factories Act, 1948 by the Labor Bureau;

-70-

(c) state income data from Central Statistical

Organisation, Monthly Abstract of Statistics, June

1979; and

(d) state population estimates from Institute of Applied

Manpower Research, Facts Book on Manpower, 1977.

The concepts, tabulation and time-frame utilized in these sources

constrain us in a number of ways.

First, the industrial data only relates to the factory sector -

i.e., units employing more than ten workers if using power or 20 workers

without power. The ASI is conducted in two parts. A Census is conducted

for units employing more than 50 workers with power or 100 workers without

power. The rest of the factory sector is covered on a sample basis.

Thus, the entire so-called "unregistered" sector, consisting of producing

units employing less than ten workers with power and 20 workers without

power, falls outside the ambit of these industrial and labor surveys.

Secondly, the ASI was launched only in 1960. Before 1960, a

"Census of Manufacturing Industries" was conducted annually only for about

half of industry groups into which all establishments were classified. A

"Sample Survey of Manufacturing Industries" covered the entire

manufacturing sector on a yearly basis, but, unfortunately, no state-wise

data were presented. Because of the absence of comprehensive regional

data, we have only analyzed trends since 1960.

Certain problems crop up because of creation of new states and

re-definition of state boundaries. Most of these alterations in

political sub-division occurred before 1960. However, in the

north-eastern region, there have been some changes after 1960. Since the

statistical documents are unclear about the handling of these alterations,

-71-

we have chosen to neglect the union territories and states in

north-eastern India. In any case, this region accounts for a very small

portion of industrial output and employment. The same kind of reasoning

justifies the exclusion of certain other minor states and union

territories.

In the introductory chapter of this paper, we looked at trends in

the levels of industrialization in the states and their shares in value

added and employment in the Indian manufacturing sector during 1961-76.

We tried to explore the differences between state shares in value added

and employment by examining the value added/employment ratios for states

and relating these to the all-India average (Tables 30 and 31). One finds

that, in 1975, value added per worker was higher than average for

Maharashtra, Bihar, Rajasthan, Orissa, Punjab and Haryana and

significantly lower than average for Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Delhi. If

we look at the period 1961-75 (and, in particular, the decade 1961-71),

there seems to be a trend towards equalization of value added per employee

across states.

Variations in value added per employee across states and over

time are the result of many factors, such as capital intensity of

production, inherent labor productivity (owing to, say, skill levels) or

variations in product rnix of the manufacturing sector. Unless one

examines each of these in depth, it will not be possible to identify the

precise contributory factors to the trends noted above.

Finally, two iindices were computed in order to come to an overall

assessment about trends in state-wise concentration of industry (Table

32). These are Theil'El inequality index and the Hirschman-Herfindahl

index.

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TABLE 30

Value added per employee (Rs '000) in Industry

KARNA- MAHA-A.P. BIHAR GUJARAT TAKA KERALA M.P. RASHTRA

1961 1.6 3.8 3.4 2.5 1.8 2.0 3.81962 1.6 4.5 3.0 2.5 1.9 1.4 4.11963 1.9 4.4 3.1 2.8 2.0 2.2 4.21964 2.1 4.8 3.4 3.1 1.9 2.7 4.51965 2.5 5.1 3.9 3.7 2.2 2.5 4.91966 2.8 5.9 4.3 4.2 3.0 3.2 5.51967 2.6 5.2 4.8 4.4 3.8 3.6 5.91968 2.7 5.3 5.2 4.7 4.1 4.5 6.31969 4.1 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.4 4.3 7.61970 4.8 6.2 6.6 6.5 4.3 4.9 8.41971 5.1 6.9 6.4 7.4 5.1 5.1 9.019721973 6.8 7.5 8.8 7.4 5.4 9.5 11.41974 7.1 11.9 11.6 8.2 6.5 11.7 14.61975 8.1 14.8 10.8 9.4 6.1 11.3 14.7

PUNJAB & RAJA-HARYANA ORISSA STHAN T.N. U.P. W.B. DELHI INDIA

1961 2.7 3.5 2.3 3.0 2.1 3.0 3.1 3.01962 2.8 4.4 2.2 3.3 2.1 3.4 3.0 3.11963 3.4 5.3 2.5 3.3 2.2 3.7 3.5 3.31964 4.0 5.3 2.8 3.9 2.5 4.0 3.7 3.61965 4.4 7.2 3.2 4.4 3.0 4.1 3.8 4.01966 5.2 5.1 3.6 4.6 2.9 4.3 4.0 4.31967 4.7 3.7 4.4 4.8 2.6 4.3 4.0 4.41968 6.5 5.9 5.0 5.1 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.81969 6.5 6.9 5.6 6.2 4.8 5.0 5.5 5.81970 6.9 7.9 7.8 6.9 5.0 5.1 5.5 6.31971 7.7 7.3 8.2 7.0 5.0 5.9 6.0 6.819721973 8.6 12.8 8.8 8.9 6.6 7.1 6.7 8.41974 11.1 14.0 11.7 11.2 8.5 8.9 7.9 10.71975 12.9 13.6 14.2 10.9 8.8 9.8 7.6 11.2

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Table 31: STATE SHARE IN VALUE ADDED/STATE SHARE INEMPLOYMENT IN FACTORY MANUFACTURING SECTOR

KARNA- MAHA-A.P. BIHAR GUJARAT TAKA KERELA M.P. RASHTRA

1961 0.5 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.31962 0.5 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.31963 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.31964 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.8 1.21965 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.6 1.21966 0.6 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.31967 0.6 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.31968 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.31969 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.7 1.31970 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.31971 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.319721973 0.8 (.9 1.0 0.9 0.6 1.1 1.41974 0.7 L1.1 1.1 0.8 0.6 1.1 1.41975 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.5 1.0 1.3

COEFFICIENTPUNJAB & RAJA- OFHARYANA ORISSA STHAN T.N. U.P. W.B. DELHI VARIATION

1961 0.9 1.2 0.8 1.0 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.2731962 0.9 1.3 0.7 1.1 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.3341963 1.0 1.6 0.7 1.0 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.3141964 1.1 1.'5 0.8 1.1 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.2861965 1.1 1.8 0.8 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.3281966 1.2 1.2 0.8 1.1 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.2571967 1.1 0.83 1.0 1.1 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.2161968 1.3 1.:2 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.1891969 1.1 1.:2 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.1781970 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.1891971 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.17619721973 1.0 1.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.2481974 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.2461975 1.2 1.:2 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.263

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TABLE 32

MEASURES OF STATE-WISE CONCENTRATION OF INDUSTRY(FACTORY SECTOR)

VALUE ADDED EMPLOYMENTTheil's Hirschman- Theil's Hirschman-

Inequality Herfindahl Inequality HerfindahlIndex Index Index Index

1960 11.70

1961 15.65 14.09 11.04 11.70

1962 16.43 14.72 10.87 11.66

1963 15.75 14.38 10.75 11.65

1964 14.72 13.82 10.38 11.51

1965 13.79 13.33 10.17 11.43

1966 13.29 13.03 9.70 11.16

1967 14.33 13.30 9.37 10.97

1968 12.86 12.79 8.99 10.80

1969 12.48 12.79 9.10 10.84

1970 11.97 12.60 8.92 10.72

1971 12.55 12.93 9.06 10.81

1972

1973 11.59 12.52 8.71 10.46

1974 10.84 12.25 8.28 10.25

1975 9.40 11.54 7.83 9.99

1976 11.27

NOTE: The Hirschman-Herfindahl Index is defined as Ep 2/100, wherepi is the percentage share of each state i in value added or employment.The value of the index rises with the degree of concentration.

We have defined the Theil's Inequality Index with respect tostate share of population. The Index is defined as Epi log (p /qi), whereqi is the percentage share of each statei in population. Intuitively, theindex provides us with a measure of the divergence of state shares of industryfrom population shares. The value of the index rises with the degree of con-centration.

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We have defined Tlheil's inequality index with respect to state

share of population. The index is defined as Ep log (pi/qi), where Pi

is the percentage share of each state (i) in value added or employment while

qi is the percentage share of each state in population. Intuitively, the

index provides us witlh a measure of the divergence of state shares of

industry from populatlon shares. The value of the index rises with the

degree of concentration. Further elaboration of the Hirschman-Herfindhl and

Theil indices is prov:Lded by Appendix I where, in particular, the maximum

and minimim values of the indices are discussed.

The Hirschmani-Herfindhl index is defined as E pi 2/100. The value

of this index also rises with the degree of concentration.

The measures (particularly Theil's index) indicate a significant

decline in state-wise concentration - especially in manufactured value added.

For example, comparing the two years 1961 and 1975, Theil's index exhibits

a decline of 40% for value added and 30% for employment. The decrease in the

case of the Hirschman-Herfindhl index is 18% and 15% respectively.

We have seen earlier that certain types of locational policy were

explicitly targetted at influencing the inter-state distribution of industry.

However, our evidence does not permit an assessment of the precise

contribution of these policies to the reduction of inter-state imbalances

in industrial developm,ent that has been observed. But, certain tentative

hypotheses could be advanced., For instance, we have examined the policy

cf locating public sector undertaking in backward states. Our analysis

indicates that this policy has been implemented in practice - even though

pratmatic considerations (like availability of raw materials) may have

been dominant in the locational decisions. Moreover, we have found

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that these undertakings have had a significant impact on the industrial

development of the backward states. Our examination of the industrial

licensing system is somewhat inconclusive but suggests that, at least

after 1965, increased importance may have been assigned to the objective

of allocating licenses on an equitable basis among the states. Evidence

pertaining to the other major policies directly affecting inter-state

distribution of industry (like state government incentives, distribution

and price controls) does not warrant any conclusions regarding the

direction or magnitude of impact.

There are other types of Governmental policy which have

influenced inter-state distribution of industry even though this has not

been their immediate objective. For instance, considerations of regional

equity are extremely important when deciding on the inte;-state allocation

of tax revenue collected by the Central Government. Similarly, grants are

provided by the Central Government to the states, and the quantum of these

going to different states is also decided on, to a significant extent, by

equity considerations. These revenue transfers and grants are used for

both developmental (infrastructure, agriculture, transport, etc.) and

non-developmental (mainly drought and famine relief) purposes by the

states. To the extent that this expenditure influences economic

development in the states, there would also be a differential impact on

industrial growth through both supply and demand factors. We have not

examined these types of policies in this study since we are concerned only

with direct policies affecting industrial location.

However, in the last analysis, as we have emphasized earlier,

trends in industrial location are the result of both market forces and

Governmental policy. For instance, trends in inter-state variations in

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factor prices, natural endowments and incomes are important explanatory

variables. Unless one studies these complex interdependencies, it would

not be possible to judge the magnitude of contribution of locational

policy to the reduction in inter-state imbalances.

2. Trends in Intra-Regional Distribution of Industry

We now turn Ito trends in the intra-regional distribution of

industry. The data used comes essentially from two sources:

(a) Population Census; and

(b) Labor Bureau Statistics

The Labor Bureau statiistics contains data only for the factory sector

while the population census also includes information for household

industry.

The population censuses of 1961 and 1971 contain information

relating to the population engaged in industry in different classes of

towns, cities and town groups/urban agglomerations categorized in the

following manner. 1/

Class I: Population of 100,000 or more

Class II: Population of 50,000 to 99.999

Class III: Population of 20,000 to 49,999

Class IV: Population of 10,000 to 19,999

Class V: Population of 5,000 to 9,999

Class VI: Population of below 5,000

The distinction between the concepts of "town group" and "urban

agglomeration" used in the 1961 and 1971 censuses is explained in the

notes to Table 33. This distinction obviously poses problems in comparing

1/ Unfortunately, the 1951 census contains this type of classificationonly for total population but not for industrial workers.

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the two censuses. However, a much more serious problem of comparison is

the change in definition of "worker". Put briefly, the change consists of

the dichotomy of persons into "workers" and "non-workers" according to

labor time disposition in 1971, rather than gainful occupation

irrespective of time spent on it in 1961. The measurement of the

work-force engaged in household industry is especially sensitive to this

change in definition because a significant proportion of workers allocate

part of their time to agricultural activities. Moreover, this allocation

of time among different activities is a more important characteristic of

the smaller towns in comparison with the large ones. For these reasons,

one cannot draw strict conclusions regarding changes in the distribution

of industry between different sizes of urban groupings based on a

comparison of the 1961 and 1971 censuses. Furthermore, comparability is

also affected by the fact, that between the two censuses, towns move

between size classes because of population growth. For example, a number

of class III towns in 1961 became class II towns in 1971. Despite these

serious problems, we shall persist with comparisons of the two censuses

because of the absence of alternative data.

Table 33 contains data relating to the distribution of population

and industrial employment (in household and non-household industry) among

different classes of cities and towns in 1961 and 1971. The data is

presented for India as a whole and for the eight most important industrial

states. We have also computed the employment to population shares and the

Theil inequality indices (defined earlier).

The first thing to note is that, as one would expect, relative to

population, employment in household industry tends to be more concentrated

in the smaller classes of towns where the demand of the population for

TABLE 33

Distribution of Industrial Employment in Cities, Towns, andTown Groups (TG)/Urban Agglomerations(UA), 1961 & 1971

SHARE(%) OF DIFFERENT CLASSESOF CITIES/TOWNS IN:

INDIA POPULATION EMPLOYMENT- IN: EMPLOYMENT SHARE/POPULATION SHARE(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)

C/ ~~~~C,Household-z Non-Household-/ Household Non-Household

City/Town/TG-UA Industry Industry Industry Industry

Class a/ 1961 1971 1961 1971 1961 1971 1961 1971 1961 1971

Class I 48.4 55.8 31.1 42.8 62.6 71.8 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.3Class II 11.9 11.3 12.9 12.9 11.5 8.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.8 1Class III 18.5 16.3 22.6 20.5 15.1 10.9 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.7 %Class IV 13.0 11.3 20.3 16.2 7.2 5.9 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.5 1Class V 7.2 4.7 11.9 7.1 3.2 2.4 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.5Class VI 0.9 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.5All Classes 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Theil Inequality:- 3.05 1.60 2.38 2.52Index (TII) ofIndustrial Employ-ment in Relation toPopulation

MAHARASHTRA

Class I 65.0 70.8 51.6 56.0 82.6 86.7 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.2Class II 6.9 6.9 9.8 10.3 4.7 5.0 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.7Class III 12.3 11.1 14.6 15.1 7.4 4.7 1.2 1.4 0.6 0.4Class IV 10.6 8.1 15.9 14.4 4.0 2.7 1.5 1.8 0.4 0.3Class V 4.9 2.8 7.7 4.0 1.2 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.3Class VI 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.3

100.0 100.0 100.O 100.0 100.0 100.0

TII: 1.76 2.27 3.73 3.40

Contd. TABLE 33

WEST BENGAL

Class I 56.5 71.0 26.1 49.7 60.9 85.7 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.2

Class II 17.8 11.8 29.3 22.0 17.4 4.5 1.6 1.9 1.0 0.4

Class III 17.0 9.6 22.8 14.3 17.9 5.8 1.3 1.5 1.1 0.6

Class IV 5.8 5.0 16.5 10.4 2.7 2.5 2.8 2.1 0.5 0.5

Class V 2.4 2.5 4.5 3.2 1.0 1.5 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.6

Class VI 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0 2.1 3.9 0.3 0.2

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

TII: 9.38 4.61 0.85 2.75

GUJARAT

Class I 43.5 49.0 34.2 39.2 65.0 68.3 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.4

Class II 11.7 15.4 10.6 15.3 8.5 11.1 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.7

Class III 22.5 15.7 24.4 17.9 14.6 9.2 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6

Class IV 13.2 12.8 19.0 17.0 7.5 7.3 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.6

Class V 8.5 6.8 11.2 10.5 4.1 3.9 1.3 1.6 0.5 0.6

Class VI 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.4 1.0

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

TII: 1j17 1.20 4.20 3.41

TAMIL NADU

Class I 41.3 57.7 29.5 46.3 51.4 68.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.2

Class II 16.2 14.2 19.6 18.2 16.6 13.5 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.0

Class III 20.5 15.1 22.2 17.4 17.8 11.2 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.7

Class IV 14.5 9.9 13.9 11.1 9.9 4.9 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.5

Class V 6.8 2.8 14.0 6.5 4.0 1.6 2.0 2.3 0.6 0.6

Class VI 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.5 0.6

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

TII: 2.24 1.67 1.27 1.45

Contd. TABLE 33

UTTAR PRADESH

Class I 54.4 57.1 41.2 50.4 67.5 67.2 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2Class II 11.8 10.8 9.6 14.1 12.0 8.3 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.8Class III 16.7 16.7 20.9 16.3 11.6 13.8 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.8Class IV 11.0 10.4 18.6 12.7 6.2 7.9 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.8Class V 5.9 4.7 9.6 6.3 2.6 2.8 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.6Class VI 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

TII: 2.43 0.59 2.07 1.01

ANDHRA PRADESH

Class I 42.7 48.4 19.8 25.8 52.8 56.3 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.2Class II 8.5 13.3 9.5 12.5 8.0 11.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9Class III 24.2 20.9 29.9 36.4 24.2 19.7 1.2 1.7 1.0 0.9Class IV 15.8 13.4 28.5 20.2 11.3 9.2 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.7Class V 8.7 3.8 12.2 4.8 3.6 3.2 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.8Class VI 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0 1.5 1.9 1.6 0.3Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

TII: 5.65 5.53 1.64 0.71

KARNATAKA

Class I 41.3 51.1 20.0 31.5 56.8 67.3 0.5 0.6 1.4 1.3Class II 12.6 8.2 10.3 6.9 13.4 6.2 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.8Class III 16.0 15.4 27.2 30.7 15.2 13.7 1.7 2.0 1.0 0.9Class IV 19.8 19.3 30.2 24.6 10.4 9.5 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.5Class V 8.1 4.7 8.8 5.5 3.4 2.6 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.6Class VI 2.4 1.2 3.4 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.5Total 100.0 1.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

TII: 5.57 4.87 3.35 2.83

Contd.

BIHAR

Class I 43.1 45.4 33.9 43.8 56.4 64.3 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4

Class II 12.9 11.1 12.7 8.6 8.6 8.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7

Class III 21.6 23.9 21.3 23.0 20.2 17.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.7

Class IV 14.9 14.4 22.1 19.4 9.5 6.9 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.5

Class V 7.0 4.8 9.4 5.0 5.0 3.3 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.7

Class VI 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.7

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

TII: 1.28 0.55 1.82 3.36

NOTES: a/ In the 1961 Census, the concept of "urban" group was introduced to identify well-formed urban clusters

based on facility of road and railway transport and the interchange of population on account of business

and work. In the 1971 Census, the concept of "town group"was replaced with that of "urban agglomeration"

with a stricter and more uniform definition. According to the Census document, "an urban agglomeration

was formed by taking into account a contiguous urban spread constituting a town and its adjoining out-

growths or two or more physically contiguous towns together with contiguous well-recognized urban outgrowths,

if any, of such towns." These cities, towns and town groups/urban agglomerations are categorized into O

the following classes:

Class I: Population of 100,000 or moreClass II: 50,000 to 99,999Class III: 20,000 to 49,999Class IV: 10,000 to 19,999Class V: 5,000 to 9,999Class VI: Below 5,000

b/ The differences in definitions of 'workers' in the 1961 and 1971 population censuses pose problems of

comparison. In brief, the conceptual difference revolves around "the dichotomy of persons into 'workers'

and 'non-workers' according to labor time disposition in 1971 rather than gainful occupation irrespective

of time spent on it in 1961."

c/ Industry is defined as 'manufacturing, processing, servicing and repairs'. A household industry is

defined as an "industry conducted by the Head of the household himself/herself and/or mainly by the

members of the household at home or within the village in rural areas and only within the premises of

the house where the household lives in urban areas".

d/ The Theil Inequality Index is defined as E pi log (pi/q ), where pi & qi are the percentage shares of

the different classes of towns/cities in employment ana population respectively. Intuitively, the

index provides us with a measure of the divergence of share in employment from population shares of

the different classes. The value of the index rises with concentration.

-83-

small quantities of simlple manufactured products are met by household

production units. 1/ The reverse is true of non-household industry where

economies of scale and t:echnological and infrastructural requirements

dictate location in the larger classes of cities and towns.

Comparing 1961 and 1971, we find markedly different trends in the

distribution of employment in household and non-household industry. For

household industry, the Theil inequality index for India as a whole

declines by almost 50% from 3.1 in 1961 to 1.6 in 1971. This reflects a

reduction of concentration (relative to population) of household industry

in the smaller classes of towns. Part of the reason for this may be

spurious, and may be connected with changes in the definitions of the work

force. As we have stated earlier, in smaller towns there is a greater

intermingling of industrial and other activities; in the 1971 Census,

their inclusion in the work force depends on their allocation of time,

whereas in the 1961 Census, gainful occupation (irrespective of time

disposition) is used to define "workers." Thus, there may be a downward

bias in the estimate of household industry workers in the smaller classes

of towns in the 1971 Census compared to the 1961. Apart from this

definitional reason, the phenomenon of household industry moving away the

smaller towns is a natural concomitant of the development process. As the

level of technology in household units improves, economies of scale become

more important and there is a shift to larger towns.

1/ In 1971, about 50% of household industry workers were operating intowns falling in classes II, III and IV. These towns accounted forabout 40% of the population which was relatively evenly distributedamong the three classes.

-84-

The Theil inequality index has also fallen significantly between

1961 and 1971 in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, U.P., Karnataka and Bihar. It

has gone up for Maharashtra and remained roughly the same for Gujarat and

A.P.

For non-household industry, there is hardly any change in the

Theil inequality index; the index was 2.4 in 1961 and 2.5 in 1971. Thus,

between 1961 and 1971, industrial policy has not resulted in any

substantial shift of industry away from large cities and towns to the

smaller ones. However, it must be pointed out that this conclusion only

holds in the aggregate because the pattern varies for different states.

Between 1961 and 1971, the Theil inequality index rose significantly for

West Bengal and Bihar, fell considerably in Maharashtra, Gujarat, Uttar

Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka and remained approximately the same

in Tamil Nadu.

The analysis that we have been conducting thus far of

intra-regional industrial distribution ends at 1971, which is the year

when the last population census was conducted. However, as we have seen

earlier, certain important policies were introduced after 1970-71 to

promote the industrial development of backward areas. Fortunately,

district-wise data relating to factory employment exists for some states.

This data can be utilized to investigate whether these policies have had

any impact on industrial employment in the backward districts. The

different schemes described earlier adopted different definitions for

identifying the backward districts. In computing trends in the share of

backward districts in total factory employment, we have chosen those

qualifying for concessional finance, since these have been defined in the

broadest sense and encompass the set of districts eligible for the other

-85-

incentives. These shares have been plotted in figures for the states for

which data is available - namely, Maharashtra, A.P., Punjab, Haryana and

Kerala.

Since the incentives were introduced around 1971 and data is only

available till around 1975, it may be somewhat premature to judge the

success of these incentives on the basis of these graphs, especially

because of the lag between policy formulation and implementation and

because the oil shock of 1973 might have had a much greater impact.

Nevertheless, the figures reveal a change in the trend after 1971-72 for

most of these states. Ihe share of the backward districts in factory

employment was falling up to 1971-72 and since then has either risen or

stabilized. However, the magnitude of these changes has been relatively

minor (a few percentage points at the most) in most states. Thus, it

would be premature to make definite inferences about the efficacy of post-

1970 locational policies based on these trends.

Share of Backward Disticts In Factory Employment (%)Maharashtra

8.5 85

8.0 8.0

7.5 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~7.51g / ' 1 1XLD 7.0 ' 7.0

6.5 6.5

6.0 I 6.01961 '62 '63 '64 '65 '66 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72 '73 '74 1975

Time

Woild Bcx*-25347

Share of Backward Districts In Factory Employment (%)Haryana

17.0 17.0

16.0 16.0

15.0 15.0

14.0 14.0

13.0 I I l l l 13.01965 '6 '67 68 '69 '70 '71 '72 '73 '74 '75 1976

Tir8e

'1dd SOM-25M4

Share of Backward Districts In Factory Employment (%)Punjab

15.0 15.0

14.0 - 14.0

13.0 13.0

12.0 12.0

11.0 11.0

10.0 109.

9.0 9.0

8.0 I 8.01964 '65 '66 '67 ' '69 '70 '71 '72 '73 '74 '75 1976

Wold Bank-25349

Share of Backward Districts in Factory Employment (%)Andhra Pradesh

30.0 130.0

28.0 28.0

26.0 26.0

24.0 24.0

22.0 22.01960 '61 '62 '63 '64 '65 '66 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72 '73 1974

Time

Worid Bar*-25350

Share of Backward Districts In Factory Employment (%)Kerola

30.0 30.0

29.0 29.0

28.0 28.0

> 27.0 27.0

26.0 - 26.0

25.0 I I l 25.01963 '64 '65 '66 '67 '68 '69 70 '71 '72 '73 1974

Tine

fkdd Bon*-253S1

-91-

Chapter IV

AN OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF INDUSTRIAL LOCATION POLICY

In Chapter II, we examined the operation of the various types of

policies that have been pursued in India to directly influence industrial

location. Thereafter, Chapter III was devoted to an exploration of

statistical trends in the spatial distribution of industry that have

emerged as a result of market forces and the working of these policies.

In this concluding Chapter, we make an overall evaluation of industrial

location policy, which involves probing into the justifications and

rationale of these policies. It appears that these fundamental issues

have not been adequately sorted out by the policy makers. As a result,

critical deficiencies have emerged in the context of locational policies

that have been pursued so far, many of which have already been pointed out

in Chapter II.

1. Rationale of Industrial Location Policy

As we saw in Chapters I and III, there have been marked regional

disparities in industrial development in India. These disparities have

taken the form of sharp inter-state differences in industrial development

as well as the concentration of industry in certain metropolitan areas.

Now why should the Government take any remedial action relating

to these disparities? The answers can be grouped into two broad

categories:

i. the disparities are a result of inefficient resource

allocation and, in a dynamic context, will hinder further

industrial and economic growth; and

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ii. these disparities are inequitable and therefore, in the

interest of social justice, should be curbed.

Let us examine each of these in detail.

(i) Resource Allocation and Growth

The location of industries is determined by a variety of

factors. On the supply side, the important ones are the availability of

raw materials, infrastructure (especially power and transport) and labor

(both skilled and unskilled). On the demand side, the crucial factor is

the size of the market for the commodity and its proximity to the

production site. We will not elucidate on the various theories of

location which have been developed because these are well known. However,

the crucial point to recognize is that it would be naive to expect

regionally balanced inudstrial growth in an economy. In the first

instance, natural resources are unevenly distributed and therefore,

industries utilizing these will tend to develop in an uneven fashion. The

tendency for industries to concentrate in large towns and cities can also

be easily explained in terms of economies of scale and agglomeration

economies. Thus it is natural to expect concentration of industry in

certain regions and metropolitan areas.

But, having said this, it must be recognized that there are

certain factors that could lead to this concentration exceeding "optimal"

levels. This may result in an inefficient resource allocation with

harmful implications of growth. Now, what are these factors?

A basic requirement for industrial growth is the availability of

infrastructure (power, water, transport, communications, etc.). The

natural economies of scale that characterize infrastructure sectors have

meant that these are operated by the public sector in most countries. The

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Governments must ensure that the provision of infrastructure in every

location is in keeping with the current economic levels of different

regions and their growth prospects. This requires, on the one hand,

timely and flexible responses to regional requirements and careful

long-term planning on the other.

There are good reasons to believe that the provision of

infrastructure in India has not fulfilled these requirements. First, the

decision to undertake infrastructure investment has been more frequently

based on political judgment than sound economic analysis. Second,

resources for infrastructure investment are frequently supplied from other

than the beneficiaries; in the form of Central or State government grants.

The absence of a cost recovery system allows deviation of supply from

demand.

Apart from faulty allocation of infrastructural investment, there

are certain other factors that may lead to distortions in the location of

industries. First, there are certain externalities which private

entrepreneurs do not incorporate in their investment decisions. For

example, pollution and congestion that arise from setting up industrial

units in cities are social costs which entrepreneurs neglect. Thus, the

resulting concentration of industry in cities is inoptimal from a social

viewpoint because of tlhe divergence between private and social costs.

However, the introduction of measures to eliminate such externalities do

not necessarily lead to a reduction in concentration. It may, as Tolley

(1974) demonstrated, lead a big city to further expansion. Second, it is

argued that certain regions and metropolitan areas possess industrial

potential but entrepreneurs are not willing to invest there because of

high risk aversion on their part.

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The extent to which these factors are important in the Indian

economy should be carefully studied before corrective policies are

undertaken. Unfortunately, there is a gross deficiency of research in

this important area and policies have been initiated without a sound

empirical base. In particular, it is surprising that there are no

satisfactory published studies which compare the industrial potential of

different sizes of cities and towns, and assess whether the provision of

physical and social infrastructure is in keeping with these

potentialities. 1/ To be sure, there are numerous industrial potential

surveys of towns, cities and regions 2/; but these tend to be mere

identification of possible industries that could be established. The

surveys are non-analytical in character and cannot be used as a basis for

making decisions regarding the precise allocation of scarce budgetary

resources for development of infrastructure in different cities and

towns.

Granting that the existing locational pattern of industry is

inoptimal because of the various factors outlined earlier, the question

arises as to the best policies for rectifying this. The best policies are

clearly those which tackle the root of the problem. As far as the

distribution of infrastructure is concerned, certain regions and

metropolitan areas should be identified where there is significant

industrial potential but which suffer from deficiencies in

1/ A few isolated studies do exist, for example, Kulkarni & Kulkarni(1968) and Ministry of Works& Housing (1977). However, these aremarred by serious lacunae. To illustrate, both the reports justreferred to concentrate on infrastructure provision and do not relateit to industrial potential.

2/ See, for example, I.D.B.I. et al. (1972), F.I.C.C.I (1977).

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infrastructure. Adequate physical and social infrastructure should then

be provided to these areas. The user-charges for public services in

cities should be raisecl to reflect their true costs. This will not

necessarily reduce or increase in-migration to large cities. User-charges

are desirable not only as a way of rationing demand for services but also

for checking whether investments are justified based on revenues and costs

of increments in infrastructure. Further, the prices that industries in

large cities have to pay for the utilization of infrastructure should be

raised to incorporate externalities like pollution costs. From the

viewpoint of efficiency in the allocation of resources, the best set of

measures to correct inefficient locational distribution of industries

operates via readjustments in infrastructural investment and the prices

charged for their utilization. Direct industrial location policies such

as licencing and input rationing are poor substitutes for these measures.

However, if some of the latter are not workable (for example, large

increases in public transportation fares are often politically

infeasible), then, as a second-best solution, one may have to resort to

industrial location policies. However, even here, the choice of

instruments must be devised carefully. In particular, it would be

advisable to operate through incentives and disincentives rather than

through controls. This is because it is possible to fine tune the former

according to the extent of excess concentration of industry. For example,

taxation could be used as a substitute for increases in the prices charged

for the utilization of infrastructure. Controls are, by nature, crude

devices and also result in large discretionary powers being granted to

inflexible bureaucracies.

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Industrial location policies operating via incentives would

probably also have to be utilized to induce entrepreneurs to invest in new

areas that have just been provided with the necessary infrastructure.

There is always a natural reluctance on the part of industrialists to

venture into new regions even though these may be profitable. Besides, it

takes some time for these enterprises to overcome certain initial problems

that arise from the newness of the region. Thus, analogous to the

"infant" industry argument in the theory of international trade, these

industries may have to be subsidized to some extent to get over these

initial problems. However, this should be done only for a limited period

and gradually phased out, otherwise the infants will never grow into

adults.

(ii) Equity

The other argument cited for industrial dispersal is that

regional "imbalances" in economic growth are inequitable. By influencing

the location of industries, the Government seeks to correct these

"imbalances" and thus promote a more equitable pattern of economic growth.

Two basic issues can be raised here. The first relates to the

basis for characterizing regional "imbalances" as inequitable. The second

is whether industrial location policies are the right instruments for

balanced regional growth. Let us take these issues in turn.

In the world economy today, there are marked differences between

the developed and less developed countries. The reasons for the evolution

of this international economic order are complex. Factor endowments,

technology, trade, entrepreneurial motivation, the role of the state and

good fortune have all played their roles. The same factors can also be

expected to operate within an individual economy. Thus, in all economies,

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areas displaying rapid growth co-exist with those undergoing stagnation

and retardation. In the international economy, there are all sorts of

barriers to international migration so that one could decry the sharp

"north-south" division as inequitable to the extent that low income

populations are deprived of the opportunity of bettering themselves by

migrating. However, in an individual economy with free mobility, such an

argument is untenable. But, in the Indian context, strong sociological

bonds - resulting from cultural and ethnic homogeneity - tie the

inhabitants of individual states together. This inhibits the process of

inter-state migration as; an automatic mechanism for equalizing state

incomes. Thus, there is; something to be said for the equity argument at

the inter-state level. However, at the intra-state level, the relative

absence of obstacles to population migration from depressed to

comparatively prosperous regions weakens substantially the case for direct

state intervention to promote development in depressed geographical areas

based on equity considerations.

Now assuming that some corrective measures have to be adopted to

reduce these inter-state disparities in economic levels in the interest of

equity, is the location of industry the best measure? The answer is

negative. The experience with the policy in the past speaks eloquently

for this. We shall turn to this in the next section.

2. Limitations of Industrial Location Policy

The preceding analysis casts serious doubts on the fundamental

justifications for initiaLting direct measures to influence industrial

location. Without giving; adequate thought to these basic issues, a wide

range of industrial location policies have been pursued in India. Some of

these have had little effect on the geographical distribution of

industries. In general, most of the policies have resulted in a wastage

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of resources and led to distortions in allocative efficiency and growth.

Let us expand on these observations and provide illustrations from Chapter

II.

First, we look at some policies operating through controls.

Consider the use of the licensing mechanism to promote industries in

backward regions. Now, the basic fact is that licensing can be used to

prevent industries from being set up in certain regions but cannot induce

industrialists to invest in non-viable areas. Therefore, if licensing is

utilized actively for locational purposes, the result will be a fall in

investment in the restricted regions without a compensating increase in

the others, thus defeating the basic objective. Moreover, by favoring

applications from certain states or backward regions over other more

viable propositions, a loss in efficiency results.

Policies to maintain a uniform price in all regions of basic

inputs like cement, iron and steel (through freight pooling arrangements)

have resulted in various distortions. For instance, producers of these

inputs located close to raw materials find themselves at an advantage

vis-a-vis those located in proximity to markets. Thus, ironically, these

policies encourage locational concentration in production of these inputs

which offset to some extent their broader impact on development of the

other industries. Even regarding the latter, the uniform-price policy

discourages the use of substitutes (for example, wood for cement) in areas

located far from the producers of these inputs. The other types of

distortions have been described in Chapter II.

There has been great disappointment regarding the lack of spread

effects of large public sector units on the local economy. However, this

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is quite natural in an area characterized by low agricultural productivity

and poor infrastructural support (the state of Bihar, for example).

Furthermore, there has been concern about the setting up of inefficient

public sector units because of the importance given to location in

backward regions. But, in practice, as we have seen, techno-economic

considerations have been predominant in public sector location and, to

some extent, their location in low-income states is fortuitous.

Let us now look at the case of policies operating through the

market mechanism. The various types of incentives for setting up and

operating industrial units in backward districts have already been

described. The backward districts that are eligible for these concessions

have been defined in a very broad manner, for example, those that qualify

for concessional finance constitute more than two-thirds of the area of

India as a whole. It wouLd be naive to expect that, merely by virtue of

this broad definition, industrial development would be generated in all

these areas. Only a small handful of these districts possess the

environment (especially in terms of infrastructure) for industrial growth;

shrewd entrepreneurs would only venture into these few areas. They will

set up units in the other regions only under exceptional circumstances -

for example, the availability of a specific kind of raw material. This

sort of locational decision would be made even in the absence of

incentives. Thus, the taking up of concessions by these units represents

an inefficient use of Government expenditure.

To the extent that industrial development is only feasible in

towns and metropolitan areas of certain size, the question may be

legitimately raised whether the areas eligible for incentives should be

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defined in terms of towns rather than districts. In practice, of course,

industry will typically congregate in the most viable towns of districts

defined as backward. However, defining backwardness in terms of districts

implies that certain viable but industrially under-developed towns in

"non-backward" districts are not benefited. Finally, another serious

criticism of concessional finance and the investment subsidy is that they

operate through cheapening the cost of capital. In a labor surplus

economy like India, this will add to distortions in factor markets.

The poor response to the transport subsidy scheme to encourage

industrial development in hilly backward regions is again a natural result

of the absence of basic preconditions for industrial growth in these

areas. Moreover, just as in the case of price equalization policies, the

transport subsidy could result in misallocation of resources by inducing

manufacturers to substitute raw materials from outside for those available

locally.

Finally, yet another example of the futility of industrial

location policies where preconditions for viability (especially proximity

to markets) and heavy infrastructural support (like transportation and

communications) are lacking is provided by the rural industrial estates

program. As we have seen, efforts were made to promote rural

industrialization by setting up rural industrial estates in remote areas.

The outcome, naturally, was that these estates performed very poorly as

reflected by low occupation rates of sheds. It proved to be extremely

difficult to attract small entrepreneurs to these estates. Thus, again,

there was enormous wastage of resources from the expenses incurred in

constructing these estates.

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These are some examples of serious inefficiencies generated by

industrial location policies. They have arisen largely on account of not

enough thought being given to the rationale of these policies. Our

exploration of their ramifications reveals that a thorough overhauling is

required in the approach towards locational concentration of industry. In

particular, we have argued that wherever it is thought that this

concentration is inoptimal or inequitable, policy makers should operate

with incentives rather than controls. Of two typical forms of incentives,

financial incentives and infrastructure provisior, the latter has several

desirable properties. Iit provides long-lasting support for industrial

development and its benefits are received by all activities within the

service areas. Although infrastructure provision may be more costly than

the alternative, it would be more consistent with the development

objectives for which industrial location policies are maintained.

Incentives should be used sparingly to overcome lethargy or risk aversion

on the part of entrepreneurs toward locational shifts. If the current

battery of industrial location policies is allowed to continue

operating in an unmodified manner, there is the real danger that, instead

of correcting the inoptimality of industrial location, these policies will

add further to the distortions.

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POSTSCRIPT

National Committee on the Development of Backward Areas

In November 1978, the Planning Commission set up a National

Committee on the Development of Backward Areas (NCDBA) to " formulate

appropriate strategies for effectively tackling the problems of backward

areas." 1/ To assist the NCDBA, a Working Group on Industrial Development

in Backward Areas was formed with instruction, among other things, "to

recommend programs and policy mesures for influencing and controlling the

locational pattern of industrial activity." 2/

The views of the NCDBA on industrial location policy were

submitted in October 1980 in their "Report on Industrial Dispersal". The

recommendations of the report are currently being considered by the

Government. The NCDBA report is an important policy document which may

result in significant modifications in industrial location policy.

Therefore, it is necessary for us to assess its recommendations in the

light of our study of the working of industrial location policies in India

The NCDBA makes the distinction between two sets of industries:

(i) medium and large industries; and

(ii) small, ancillary and agro - industries.

It recommends different types of policies for influencing the location of

each of these sets.

1/ NCDBA (1980), Page 197.

2/ NCDBA (1980), Page 198.

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The major recommendations are summarized below.

(i) Policy Recommendatios for Medium and Large Industries

The NCDBA advocates the "growth center" concept for developing

these industries in backward areas. A hundred new industrial centers

should be identified and provided with sufficient infrastructure for

attracting industry. Three basic criteria have been used for selecting

these centers:

"1) They should have a population of 50,000 or more as per the 1971

census;

2) They should have less than 10,000 workers in non-household

manufacturing as per the 1971 census;

3) They should not be near existing centers.

Existing centers may be defined as all centers with a level of employment

in non-household manufacturing exceeding 10,000. Nearness may be defined

in terms of the following cut-off distance from each category of existing

centers:

Level of employment in non- Cut-off distance beyondhousehold manufacturing in which new centers shouldexisting centers be chosen

Over 150 thousand 150 kms.

50-150 thousand 100 kms.

25-5 thousand 75 kms.

10-25 thousand 50 kms. " 1/

1/ NCDBA (1980), pp. vi and vii.

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Furthermore, to make allowances for disparities in industrial

development between states, the NCDBA recommends that these hundred

centers be allocated between industrially "developed" 1/ and "backward"

states 1/ in the ratio 30:70. Further preference may be shown to the

hilly states of Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh and the states

(excluding Assam) and Union territories of the North-eastern Region by

allocating them ten of the 70 centers reserved for backward states. The

state-wise distribution of the centers should be proportional to area and

population (with equal weights for both).

Once the hundred industrial centers have been identified, the

NCDBA recommends tht an Industrial Development Authority (IDA) should be

established in each of them. The IDA should coordinate the efforts of the

various implementing agencies required for developing the center,

concentrating on the provision of infrastructure in the forms of power

supply, access to regional and national transport networks,

telecommunications, industrial estates, housing and urban infrastructure.

(ii) Policy Recommendations for Small Industries, Ancillary Industries and

Agro - Industries

The NCDBA is of the opinion that existing industrial estates in

the selected industrial centers should be rehabilitated and new estates

should be established in those centres which do not possess one already.

Moreover, to further decentralize industry, an additional 100 industrial

estates should be constructed in areas away from the industrial centers

identified above.

l/ These categories have been defined according to whether value addedper capita in manufacturing in a state exceeds or falls below thenational average.

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As we noted in Chapter II, a number of "District Industries

Centers" (DICs) have been established since 1978 as district-level

governmental organizat:ions to oversee the development of the small scale

sector. The NCDBA reiterates its faith in the DICs as coordinating bodies

for assisting the sma]Ll scale sector. It also advocates more effective

implementation of existing Government policies like priority purchase of

small sector output, adequate provision and allotment of raw materials,

and technical and financial assistance.

The NCDBA feels that the rehabilitation of existing industrial

estates and the development of new ones will be made possible, among other

ways, through the encouragement of ancillary industries. It recommends

that the latter should be developed by exerting active pressure on public

and private sector medium and large units to promote ancillaries. These

should be provided with raw materials and the "mother" units should

guarantee the purchase of their output.

Agricultural development will generate the need for certain types

of industries like repairs, services and agro-processing industries. The

NCDBA recommends the encouragement of such industries through appropriate

policies.

(iii) Recommendations for Maximizing the Local Impact of Industrial

Development

Finally, the NCDBA advocates certain measures for maximizing the

impact of industrial development in backward areas on the local economy.

As far as unskilled labor is concerned, it recommends that the current

obligation of public sector units to recruit through the local employment

exchange should be continued and the possibility of extending this

requirement to private sector units should be considered whenever the

latter receive concessions for location in backward areas.

-106-

For skilled labor, the NCDBA feels that the establishment or improved

functioning of local training institutes would be necessary. Local

entrepreneurship should also be actively encouraged through

entrepreneurship development and training programs.

A Critique of the NCDBA Report

It is in regard to the location of medium and large industry that

the NCDBA has made innovative policy suggestions. In general, their

recommendations for small and ancillary industries seek to operate through

programs already being implemented. Therefore, we shall consider first

the suggestions for developing industrial centers to attract medium and

large industry.

There is a healthy recognition of agglomeration economies by

adoption of the growth center approach. As the report states:

"Left to itself, industry goes to urban areas because of the

availability of infrastructure and ready demand for products. ....

Public cannot ignore these advantages of agglomeration and any attempt to

distribute large and medium industry, at any rate, throughout the country

in small lots is bound to fail. Hence, the aim of policy must be to

develop viable industrial growth centers in backward regions." 1/

Furthermore, the NCDBA is correct in isolating insufficient infrastructure

in small towns and urban centers as a major inhibiting factor in their

industrialization.

However, there are certain problems with the criteria that the

NCDBA has used to identify the most viable industrial centers. The mere

utilization of the indices of population size and number of workers in

1/ NCDBA (1980), Page 80.

-107-

manufacturing will nolt give an accurate picture of the industrial

potential of particular towns. A proper assessment would involve thorough

techno-economic surveys to ascertain the raw material base, market size,

linkages with larger iindustrial centers, characteristics of the labor

force and existing availability of infrastructure. It is only on this

basis that non-industrialized towns can be arranged in some sort of

hierarchy of potential for industrial development. Therefore, the cut-off

point can be defined atccording to the availability of funds for

infrastructure developiment. In terms of these prerequisites for proper

identification of growrth centers, the NCDBA's criteria are far too

simplistic. Moreover, the NCDBA introduces the additional dimension of

inter-state equity by giving additional weightage to "backward states."

From a purely efficiency viewpoint, a national perspective is preferable

since intra-state disparities are just as marked as inter-state

differences in industrial development. However, as we pointed out in

Chapter 2, political realities make it imperative that economic

disparities across states be taken into account in all national policies.

In recommending the development of small and ancillary

industries, the NCDBA does not examine the critical issue of the

efficiency of the smaLl scale sector in relation to the medium and large

sector. Furthermore, iit is not at all obvious that modern small scale and

ancillary industries are more easily decentralized than medium and large

industries. In fact, the NCDBA does recognize the convenience of locating

ancillaries close to large "mother" units. Despite this, it recommends

that ancillary units should be located in industrial estates away from

industrial centers. It is clear that the lessons from the unsuccessful

experiment of developing semi-urban and rural industrial estates have not

been learned. Moreover, compelling public sector units to purchase from

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small ancillary units where economic considerations dictate otherwise,

would mean that there is an implicit subsidy for developing these units.

This should be taken into account when implementing policies for promoting

ancillarization.

The NCDBA advocates the development of agro-based industries.

However, it fails to consider household and handicraft industries (which

are the most dispersed industries in the small sector) and to re-evaluate

the plethora of programs and policies that exist to assist these.

The process of economic development implies gradual integration

and homogenization of labor markets. The recommendation of the NCDBA that

units should be compelled to recruit from local areas militates against

this concomitant of economic growth. It implies discouragement of

migration and further segmentation of labor markets which is quite

retrogressive from the viewpoint of promoting growth.

The NCDBA's recommendations to promote training institutes and

entrepreneurship development and training programs are in the right

direction. However, here again, limited budgetary resources imply that

decisions regarding the location of new training centers should be

carefully taken, keeping a national perspective in mind.

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BIBLIOGRAPHY

Alexander, P.C., Industrial Estates in India, Asia PublishingHouse, Bombay (1963).

Armstrong, H.W. and Taylor, J., Regional Economic Policy and itsAnalyses (1980).

Bandyopadhyaya, K., Industrialisation through Industrial Estates,Bookland Pvt. Ltd., Calcutta (1969).

Bhagwati, J.N. and Desai, P., India : Planning for Industrialisation,Oxford University Press (1970).

Bharti, R.K., Industrial Estates in Developing Economies, NationalPublic House, Delhi (1978).

Bombay Metropolitan Regional Planning Board, Regional Plan for BombayMetropolitan Region, 1970-91 (1974).

Bureau of Public Enterprises (Government of India), Annual Report onthe Working of Industrial and Commercial Undertakings of the CentralGovernment.

Calcutta Metropolitan Planning Organisation, Basic Development Planfor Calcutta Metropolitan District (1966).

Central Statistical Organisation (Government of India), StatisticalAbstract.

Delhi Development Authority, Delhi Master Plan, Vols. I & II (1961).

Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, IndustrialDevelopment Potential Survey of Selected Towns of India, Delhi (1977).

Godbole, M.D., Industrial Dispersal Policies, Himalaya PublishingHouse, Bombay (1978).

Hanson, A.H., The Process of Planning, Oxford University Press (1966).

Hazari, R.K., Industrial Planning and Licensing Policy, Final Report,Government of India, Planning commission (1967).

The Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India Ltd.,Attracting Industries to Developing Areas (1975).

Industrial Development Bank of India, et. al., Industrial PotentialSurveys of Various States and Union Territories (1972).

Industrial Development Bank of India, Industrial Development ofBackward Regions (1974;).

Industrial Development Bank of India/National Committee onDevelopment of Backward Areas, Seminar on Industrial Development ofBackward Areas, Bombay (1980).

Jain, O.P., Rural Industrialisation, Commercial Publications Bureau,Delhi (1974).

Kulkarni, G.S. and Kulkarni, A.P., Community Cost of IndustrialLocation at Bombay and Nasik, The State Industrial and InvestmentCorporation of Maharashtra LTD., Bombay (1968).

Menon, K.S.V., Development of Backward Areas through Incentives,Vidhya Vahini, Bombay (1979).

Ministry of Works & Housing, Government of India, Report of the TaskForce on Planning and Development of Small and Medium Towns and Cities,New Delhi (1977).

Mishra, R.P., Sundaram, K.V. and Prakasa Rao, V.L.S., RegionalDevelopment Planning in India, Vikas Publishing House, Delhi (1974).

Nagaiya, D., Industrial Estate Programme, Small Industry ExtensionTraining Institute, Hyderabad (1977).

National Committee on the Development of Backward Areas, Report onIndustrial Dispersal, Planning Commission, Government of India, New Delhi(1980).

Office of the Registrar General, Census of India (General EconomicTables), 1961 & 1971.

Planning Commission, Government of India, Report of the Working Groupon Identification of Backward Areas (1969).

Rao, R.V., Rural Industrialisation in India, Concept PublishingCompany, Delhi (1978).

Sanghvi, R.L, Role of Industrial Estates in a Developing Economy,Multi-tech publishing company, Bombay (1979).

Sekhar, A.U., Factors in India's Industrial Development 1965-75,Unpublished Ph.D. dissertation, Princeton University (1981).

Sundaram, K.V., Urban and Regional Planning in India, VikasPublishing House, Delhi (1977)

Theil, H., Economics and Information Theory, North-Holland PublishingCompany, Amsterdam (1967).

Tolley, G.S, "The Welfare Economics of City Bigness," Journal ofUrban Economics, 1., 321-345 (1974).

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APPENDIX I

Maximum and Minimum Values of Hirschman-Herfindahl and Theil Indices.

Definitions

Pi percentage share of a region i in total value added inmanufacturing

qi : percentage share of a region i in total population

N number of regions

Hirschman-Herfindahl (HH) Index E p2/100

Theil Inequality Index : E p log(p /qi)

The maximum value of the HH index is 100 when the entire

manufacturing sector is located in one region. The minimum value is

obtained when industrial value added is distributed equally in all

regions. Then, the value of the index becomes 100/N. In Table 32, where

we have considered 13 states while calculating the index, the minimum

value is 7.7.

The waxi.T-im value of the Theil inequality index is infinitely

large when p.>q= 0 for some i. Intuitively, there is an enormous

divergence between the share of a region in industry and its share in

population. On the other hand, when pi = qi for every i, i.e. the

shares of regions in both industry and population are exactly equal for

every region, the index attains a minimum value of 0.

Since the two indices are constructed on entirely different

lines, it is obvious that any value of one index cannot be compared with

that of the other. It is only valid to compare values of the same index

and these must also be seen in relation to the maximum and minimum values

of that index.

-112-

The Theil inequality index has certain advantages over the HH

index. The chief advantage relates to its "aggregation" properties. It

is beyond the scope of this appendix to elaborate on this; a detailed

explanation is provided in Theil (1967).

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APPENDIX II

A Shift-Share Analysis of Industrial Growth inthe lMjor Industrial States of India

In explaining divergences in the industrial performance of

different states, one of the important factors to be kept in mind is the

product mix of industry in the states. A technique of isolating this

factor is "shift-share analysis." The method is best explained by

Armstrong and Taylor (1980):

"Shift-shaLre analysis is a method of calculating the extent

to which the difference between a region's growth and the

nation's growth can be explained by the region's

industry-muix. The method is easily explained. We start

with three definitions.

1. Regional growth rate (g r

Er t- Zr0

g m

Zr0

1ii

where:

r. = regional employment in industry i

Erl t sum of employment across all industries in the

region

t - finaL year of study period

o = initial year of study period

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2. National growth rate (g )

t 0 nEnt - En0i i ±

gn 0niEn

Where:

ni - national employment in industry i

En - sum of employment across all industries in

the national economy.

3. Regional growth at national growth rates per industry(grn)

t{r (nt/no)} - Ero

grnEr0

This is the crucial calculation. It is the growth rate that

would have occurred in the region if each industry had grown

at the same rate as the corresponding national industry

during the study period. In other words, national growth

rates are applied to the region's industry mix as it existed

at the beginning of the study period.

With the help of these three definitions, the regional

growth rate can be divided into three separate elements:

gr (gr -grn) + (grn -gn) +gn

-115-

Taking the elements in reverse order, the third element

(gn) is the region's 'share' of national growth. The

faster the national growth in employment, the faster we

expect the region to grow. The second element (g -

g ) is tihe structural component. It is the difference

between:

(i) the rate at which we expected the region to grow (given

its industry mix and given national growth rates for each

industry:),

(ii) the national growth rate.

Thus, if the region possesses a 'favorable' industry mix we

would expect this element to be positive since g would

exceed gr in that case. If the region is endowed with an

'unfavora[ble' industry mix we would expect this element to

be negative since g would exceed g . Finally, the

first element (gr - grn ) is simply that part of the

region's growth that remains unexplained. It is a residual,

or a 'rag-bag' which can be given a wide variety of

interpretations. A positive residual (gr > grn ) means

that the region's growth rate exceeded the growth rate that

would have occurred if each industry in the region had grown

at the same rate as its national counterpart. A negative

residual (gr ' grn) means the reverse.I1l/

We carried out the shift-share decomposition for eight major

industrial states in India - namely, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Gujarat,

1/ pp. 301-302.

-116-

Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Bihar - for the

period 1960-70. The results are presented in Table 1.

Before interpreting these results, we must point out certain

serious limitations of the shift-share method. 1/ First, the method

neglects inter-industry linkages and improperly assigns growth based on

these linkages into the residual rather than structural component.

Second, the results are sensitive to the level of industrial

disaggregation used in the computation. Third, the shift-share method is

essentially an accounting identity and not a theoretical model for

explaining growth differences - a task which is more elaborate and

problematic.

From Table 1, we find that the regional growth of industrial

employment during 1960-70 is markedly below national growth for West

Bengal and Andhra Pradesh. While industry-mix is the main explanatory

factor for Andhra Pradesh, residual factors are dominant in the case of

West Bengal. On the other hand, regional growth greatly exceeds national

growth for Karnataka and Bihar. The structural component dominates for

Bihar, whereas the divergence in Karnataka growth is essentially the

result of residual factors. For Maharashtra, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu and

Uttar Pradesh, there is not much of a difference between national and

regional growth (regional being smaller than national growth except in

Tamil Nadu). Whatever difference exists falls largely in the residual

component (with the exception of Gujarat).

To go to the next level and delve into the factors affecting the

structural and residual components involves intensive studies of

industrial growth in each state.

1/ These are elaborated in Armstrong and Taylor (1980), pp.3 05-3 0 8.

-117-

Appendix Table 1

A shift-share analysis of employment in manufacturing in the majorindustrial States of India, 1960-70

Percentage Change in Components of the Shift-Share IdentityEmployment in Manufacturing Regional-National Structural Residual

Actual Hylpothetical Growth Component Component

Maharashtra gr grn gr -gnn -gn gr -grn

1960-65 23.8 26.3 -3.3 -0.8 -2.51965-70 5.6 5.3 -0.1 -0.4 -0.31970-74 7.3 9.3 -2.9 -1.0 -1.9

West Bengal

1960-70 16.2 42.3 -18.3 7.9 -26.2

Gujarat

1960-70 28.8 20.3 - 5.6 -14.2 8.6

Tamil Nadu

1960-70 39.1 32.8 4.7 -1.6 6.3

U.P.

1960-70 31.6 :36.3 -2.8 1.9 -4.6

A.P.

1960-70 20.6 7.7 -13.8 -26.7 12.9

Karnataka

1960-70 76.1 45.3 41.7 10.9 30.8

Bihar

1960-70 46.6 51.7 12.2 17.2 -5.0

All-India

1960-65 27.11965-70 5.81960-70 34.41970-74 10.2

Notes: (1) Disaggregation is at the 2-digit I.S.I.C. level; (2) Data only relatesto the factory sector; (3) Computed from Labor Bureau data presentedin Central Statistical Organization, Statistical Abstract, various issues

World Bank Capital Utilization In Devekopent FinanceManufacturing: Colomba. Co p sPubUcations Isel. Malaysia, and the Examines the role of development

of Related Pblilippines Inance companies as mqjor mecha-Of Relate d Romeo M. Bautista. nbLs for assisting medium-saleInterest lHelen Hughes, David Lim, productive industriesm assesses teirpotential for aiding srmall enterprisesDavid Morawetz. and In meeting soeconomic obJectives

7rancdsco E. Thoumi of deveioping countries, andThe authors surveyed L 200 discusses the evoludon of Worldmanufacturing firms In four develop- Bank assistance to them.Ing countries to establish acta Sector Policy Paper. April 1976. 68levels of capital utlizadon. The Infor- 7 annexes). English,mation collected was the first and pages (including, annx sh.remains the only data base avallabie French, German, and Spanish.for the study of capital udlizadon. It Stock Mlos. PP-7601-E, PP-7601-F,was found that capital udlization Is PP-7601-G, PP-7601-S. $5.00.Automotve Industites In not as low as had been supposed.

Developing Countries The study is concened with factorsJack Baranson that cause differences In levels of Empiidcal Justfcatio forThe role of International corpora- capital udlizadon and the policies Inftnt Industry ProtectionTons, tle adaptation problems of that might be used to Increase IL Larry E. Westphaltheir affliates, and the impact of Oxford Uniuersity Prcss, 1982.288 Reviews the empirical evidenceeconomic pollcy on market structure. pages (Including bibliography, Index). available conceming the nature ofThe Johns Hopkins University Press, LC 81-9526. ISBtl 0-19-520268-6, the costs and beneflts of Infant1969. 120 pages (including statistical $22.00 hardcouer. Industry development and formsannexp. some hypotheses about policies topromote Infant industries. Based onLC 77-85339. ISBNt 0-8018-1086-8, Co Benflt Evaluation Of research conducted under the$3.00 (13.00) paperback. CSources of Industrbial Growth andSpanish: La industria automotriz en los LLDC lndwtrial Sctors Structual Change" research proJecLpalses en desarrollo. Editorial Tecnos, wch lasVe Fore World Bank Staff Working Paper (1o.197n. O nrhp445. March 1981. 38 page-s (Including320 pesetas. Garry G. Pursell references).

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outlines ways to reduce risks and + 211 pages. (Auallable from ILS, Yung W. Rhee, andadministrative costs over time. 1715 ConnecticutAuenue, N.W., Garry G. PursellWorld Bank Staff Working Paper (1o. Washigton, D.C. 20009, U.SA.) Discusses how K~orea has been able519. May 1982. 41 pages (includIng $5.00 paperback. to establish successfully an Indepen-

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Case Study Occupational Structures Volume 2: The Planning ofMartin Schrenik of Industries nVolumen2:Th Plganning theExplores the managerial procedures Manuel Zymelman Investment Programs In tand practices that have evolved in FertUlzer IndustyYugoslavia's manufacturing Industriies Eighty-four tables profile the occupa- Armeane M. Choksi,under the Yugoslav system of 'self- tional composition of industries in Alexander Meeraus, andmanagement socialism," discusses each of twenty-six countries. Datathe inferences that can be drawn show the structure of employment by Ardy J. Stoutjesdijkfrom these observations regarding sectors and Industries for each coun- Discusses the main products andeconomic efficiency, and concludes try; cross-classify 120 occupations processes of relevance to fertilizerwith some observations on the with flfty-eight Industries; and provide production and a systematic descrip-strengths and weaknesses of this information about productivity (value tion of the planning problems thatparticular pluralistic system. added per person engaged), energy need to be addressed during the

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bibitngraphy, 1 ndex). The role of small industries In the World Bank Staff Working Paper No.development process has been the 424. October 1980. 32 pages (includ-

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oISB1 0-8018-2227-0, $13.50 (17.00)Presents an ex post evauation of th paprback.Small and Medium Industries Pro-grm Introduced In the Philippines In1974, and reassesses the assump-dons behind the programs. One of asers of case studis and surveysbeing financed by the World BanksRexamh Committee.

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The Bertaud Models A Mlodelk Dedgu thle St and Ser- Cie the Dewloplfor the Anali of Alter- vice fmot Allocation Procusm lllsW : Fbllcies owTheirtives for Low-income Shelter Leoios i frm roject Equitable and E_leitIn the Deveoingf Worid E periec Growth(Prepared by PADCO, Inc., In Laure E. Cooper Johannes P Linncollaboration with the staff of TMs ana"lss provides a framework In Deinetes tmo poltc iuesthe World Bank.) which to kIntify and trace the steps tVat arlse In the eforb to aat toThis model is a working tool for quired to Impleent the site and te growth of dties In developingtechnicians and pollcy cakers who are savkce plot alcatdon process. It is counties and discusses poicesresponsible for low-lncome settie- based on a survey of twelve urban desined to lncaae the effiency

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MEW MBEW lousing for Low-incomeUrban Families: Economics

Environmental Management Evuation of Sites and and Policy In theof Urban Solid Wastes in Servies Projects: The Developing WotidDeveloping Countries: A Experience from Lusaka, Orville 11 Grimes, Jr.Project Guide Zambia Analyzes the operation of urbanSandra J. Cointreau Michael Bamberger, housing markets in developing coun-This guide provides Inforrnation and Bishwapriya Sanyal. and tries to determine the kinds of dwell-procedures for planning and Impie- Nelson Valverde ings affordable by the urban poor.mentaion of solid-waste manage- This report presents the flndings of a The Johns Hopkins Uniuersity Pess,ment improvements. It Is designed to five-year evaluation of the Mrrst 1976. 190 pages (including statisticalfaclitate project preparation, Lusaka Upgrading and Sites and Ser- appendix. select bibliography, Index).appraisal, and Implementation of vices Project made possible through a LC 76-4934. ISBN 0-8018-1853-2.Bank-assisted solid-waste projects In cooperative research project sup- $18.50 (.9.50) hardcover;urban areas. Current Bank objectives, ported Jointy by the World Bank and ISB1 0-8018-1854-0, $8.95 (3.50)policies, and project requirements are the International Developmentsummarized. Research Centre of Canada. paperback.Urban Development Technical Paper World Bank Staff Working Paper Spanish: Vivienda para familias urbanasNumber 5. August 1982. 214 pages o. 548.1982.201 pages. de bajos ingresos: aspectos econ6micos(including 5 annexes). y de poiftica en el mundo en desarrollo.

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House Registration in Developing CountriesEvaluation of Shelter Handbook: A Model for Bertrand M. RenaudPrograms for the Urban Registering Houses and National urbanization policies InPoor Principal Findings Plots in Unplanned developing countries often attemptDouglas IH. Keare and Settlements without a full understanding of theScott Parris Saad Yahya fomres at work, to block the growth ofthe largest cities and to InduceThis report provides an evaluation of A manual for professionals and decentralization. This book takes afour sites and services and area administrators working In urban critical look at such policies and theirupgrading projects In El Salvador, the uncontrolled settlements In the third weak conceptual foundations andPhilippines, Senegal. and Zambia and world. Examines the problem of describes problems Inherent Inconfirms that Bank-supported urban registering of houses and plots In implementation. The coverage Isshelter projects have been remarkably unplanned setUements In the large comprehensive, and both global andsuccessful and recommendations are urban centers of the developing national trends are analyzed.made for future projects. countries. Oxford Uniuersily Press, 1982.192

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Evaluation of Sites and Ser- Housing Settlements.vices Projects: The Evidence Revie vs the importance of housingfrom El Salvador withir~ the framework of urban O nrhpadEfcecMichaEl Sahberader development problems, and makes Ownership and Es dencyMichael Bamberger, recommendations for World Bank in Urban BusesEdgardo Gonzalez-Polio, and assistance in integrated urban Charles Feibel andUmnuay Sae-Hau planning. A. A. WaltersThis report presents the flndings of Sector Policy Paper. May 1975. World Bank Staff Working Paper N1o.a five-year evaluation of the first 75 pages (including 13 annexes). 3 71. February 1980. 19 pages (includ-El Salvador sites and services project EngiLsh, French, Spanish, and Arabic. Ing selected bibliography).rmade possible through a cooperativeresearch project supported joinUy by Stock Nos. PP-7506-E, PP-7506-P, Stock 11o. WP-03 71. $3.00.the World Bank and the IntemaaUonal PP-7506-S, PP-7506-A. $5.00.Development Resarch Centre ofCanada.

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The People of Bogota: Whbo Urban and Spatial mewThey Are, What They Earn,, Development In MexicoWhere They Live Ian Scott Urban Land Poicy IssuesRakesh Mohan Examines urbanization in a country ad OpportunitlesWorld Bank Staff Working Paper No. In which that process has been Harold B. Dunkerley,390. May 1980. 153 pages (including 2 particularly rapid and in which such coordinating editor, with theappendixes, bbilography).issues as provision ofjobs, shelter. sitneoappendixes, bibliography), public services. and mass transit are assistance ofStock No. WP-0390. $5.00. urgent. Also considers issues that Christine M. E. Whitehead

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