Growth and Change in a Paradigmatic Region. Is It Sustainable? Does Planning Make a Difference?

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0 GROWTH AND CHANGE IN A PARADIGMATIC REGION: IS IT SUSTAINABLE? DOES PLANNING MAKE A DIFFERENCE? DISSERTATION Presented to the Graduate Council of Texas State University-San Marcos in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of PHILOSOPHY by James Vaughan, M.A.G. San Marcos, Texas December 2006

Transcript of Growth and Change in a Paradigmatic Region. Is It Sustainable? Does Planning Make a Difference?

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GROWTH AND CHANGE IN A PARADIGMATIC REGION:

IS IT SUSTAINABLE?

DOES PLANNING MAKE A DIFFERENCE?

DISSERTATION

Presented to the Graduate Council of Texas State University-San Marcos

in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements

for the Degree

Doctor of PHILOSOPHY

by

James Vaughan, M.A.G.

San Marcos, Texas December 2006

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GROWTH AND CHANGE IN A PARADIGMATIC REGION:

IS IT SUSTAINABLE?

DOES PLANNING MAKE A DIFFERENCE?

Committee Members Approved: ____________________________________ David Stea, Ph.D., Chair ____________________________________ Fred Day, Ph.D. ____________________________________ Richard Earl, Ph.D. ____________________________________ Kent Butler, Ph.D. Approved: __________________________________ J. Michael Willoughby Dean of the Graduate College

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

I am very grateful to the members of my dissertation committee. My deep

appreciation goes to Dr. Stea for “taking me on” and to Dr. Day for inspiring me and

helping solidify my ideas. Thanks go to Dr. Earl for being so willing to help and to Dr.

Butler for his planning expertise and friendship.

I would also like to especially thank Emariana Taylor for her help and support in

focusing my thoughts, proof-reading chapter drafts, and putting up with my ups and

downs over the duration of writing this dissertation. And finally I wish to thank Rick

Young for reading the critical chapters and offering many good ideas to improve the

dissertation’s “readability.”

This manuscript was submitted on September 21, 2006.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS....................................................................................................... iii LIST OF TABLES..................................................................................................................... vii LIST OF FIGURES .................................................................................................................. viii ABSTRACT..................................................................................................................................x CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................1 Statement of the Research Problem Research Goals and Questions The Research Problem in the Context of the Study Area Significance of the Study Definitions – Some Words about “Urb” II. BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY AREA .......................................................14 Notable Physical Characteristics The Balcones Escarpment The Edwards Aquifer A History of Growth and Changer Water, Development, and Political Economy Austin San Antonio Vested Rights III. URBAN GROWTH AND CHANGE.................................................................40 Overview Urban Growth and Change

Approaches to the Study of Urban Growth and Change: Morphology and Complexity Continuity Amidst Change in American Urban Geography Theories and Models Relevant to the Research Urban Ecology Conflict Approaches

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Other Relevant Models Sprawl Background The Debate – Is Sprawl Good, Bad, or Indifferent? The Costs of Sprawl Measuring Sprawl IV. PLANNING AND SUSTAINABILITY.............................................................67 Planning The Condition of Planning Planning Theories/Models Planning and Sprawl Sustainability The Sustainability Debate – Weak or Strong? Sustainability and Urban Growth and Change Measuring Sustainability Planning for Sustainable Urban Development

V. METHODOLOGY .............................................................................................90 Research Goals and Questions to be Answered The Study Areas Data Acquisition Operational Definitions Measurement and Quantitative/Map Analysis Sprawl Inequality Energy Flows Qualitative Analysis of Planning Policies Possible Conclusions

VI. PLANNING ANALYSIS .................................................................................108 Comprehensive Planning in Austin The Austin Tomorrow Planning Process Comprehensive Planning in San Antonio The Not-so-Comprehensive Comprehensive Plan Plan Analysis The Austin Tomorrow Plan The San Antonio Plan Summary and Comparison

VII. QUANTITATIVE AND MAP ANALYSIS.....................................................138 Sprawl

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The Location of Growth by Density Classification Planned vs. Unplanned Inside or Outside the Region’s Cities Socio-Economic Distance/Inequality Wealth: Income, Poverty, and House Value Race/Ethnicity – Segregation Indices Energy Flows Houses with Four or More Bedrooms Commuting Traffic Congestion Available Vehicles Concluding Comments

VIII. DISCUSSION OF RESULTS, AND CONCLUSION....................................172 Summary of Results Summary Discussion Sprawl Socio-Economic Distance/Inequality Energy Flows Framing the Results Overwhelming Forces: The Power of Growth Discussion of Results “New” Approaches/Ideas Reality Check – The Root of the Problem Conclusion

APPENDIX...............................................................................................................................194 REFERENCES .........................................................................................................................196

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LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1. Population Growth in the Corridor Region ........................................................................26 2. Operational Matrix .............................................................................................................94 3. Densities for Measuring Sprawl .........................................................................................95 4. Possible Results for Plan Analysis and Growth Outcomes in the Study Areas ...............107 5. Strength and Sustainability Analysis of the Austin Tomorrow Plan................................129 6. Strength and Sustainability Analysis of the San Antonio Land Use Plan........................134 7. Housing Units and Growth Rates by Sub-Region and Tract Classification.....................143 8. Housing Growth in the Region’s Cities and Unincorporated Areas: 1980 - 2000...........145 9. Percentage of Housing Units in City and County: 1970 to 2000 .....................................146 10. Coefficients of Variation for Household Income ...........................................................149 11. Dissimilarity Indices. Top: Black/Non-Hispanic White; Bottom: Hispanic/Non-

Hispanic White ...............................................................................................................156 12. Interaction Indices. Top: Black/NH White; Bottom: Hispanic/NH White ....................158 13. Isolation Indices. Top: Black; Middle: Hispanic; Bottom: NH White...........................159 14. Houses with Four or More Bedrooms ............................................................................163 15. Workers with Commute Times Greater than Forty-five Minutes ..................................165 16. Percentage of Occupied Housing Units with Three or More Cars.................................169

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LIST OF FIGURES

Figure Page 1. The Austin/San Antonio Study Region ..............................................................................13 2. Hill Country and Blackland Prairie in the Study Area .......................................................14 3. Left: Hill Country Scene in Hays County; Right: Blackland Prairie in Caldwell

County................................................................................................................................15 4. Left: Residential Development in the Hill Country West of New Braunfels; Right:

Residential Development in the Blackland Prairie East of New Braunfels.......................16 5. The Edwards Aquifer .........................................................................................................17 6. Barton Springs Pool............................................................................................................19 7. Plan of San Antonio: ca. 1777............................................................................................20 8. Plan of Austin: 1839...........................................................................................................21 9. Above: Population Growth Trends in the Corridor Region; Below: Population

Growth Trends in Austin, San Antonio, and the Rest of the Region.................................23 10. The Edwards Aquifer in Bexar County ............................................................................30 11. Encino Ridge ....................................................................................................................38 12. Comal County Housing Unit Density and Housing Unit Growth Rate ...........................95 13. Distribution of Household Income in the USA: 1967 and 2001 ......................................98 14. Travis County Houses with Four or More Bedrooms ....................................................100 15. Travis County Four or More Bedrooms Trend Line: 1970 to 2000...............................101 16. Austin’s Preferred Growth Corridor...............................................................................115 17. Disturbing Dots ..............................................................................................................123

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18. SuperPlanner ..................................................................................................................124 19. Housing Unit Density in 1980, 1990, and 2000 .............................................................141 20. Housing Unit Growth Rates by Census Tracts – 1980 to 2000......................................142 21. Regional Share of Total Housing Units for 1980 and 2000 ...........................................142 22. Share of Total Housing Units for Sub-Regions Based on 1980 Tract Classification ....143 23. Incorporated Cites in the Corridor Region .....................................................................144 24. City and County Tracts for Travis and Bexar Counties .................................................145 25. Housing Unit Proportions for Travis and Bexar Counties .............................................146 26. Density Classifications and Growth Rates for Travis and Bexar Counties....................147 27. Mean Household Income................................................................................................150 28. Poverty Level: Person Below the Poverty Level............................................................151 29. Coefficients of Variation for Mean Household Income: Austin and San Antonio ........152 30. Mean Household Income for Austin and San Antonio ..................................................153 31. House Value Ranked by Standard Deviation .................................................................154 32. Isolated Tracts in the Corridor Region ...........................................................................160 33. Isolated Tracts in Travis County (above) and the City of Austin (below) .....................161 34. Isolated Tracts in Bexar County (above) and the City of San Antonio (below) ............162 35. Percentage of Housing Units with Four or More Bedrooms by Census Tract...............164 36. Percentage of Workers with Commute Times Greater than Forty-five Minutes ...........166 37. Annual Delay-per-Traveler ............................................................................................167 38. Occupied Housing Units with Three or More Vehicles Available ................................170

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ABSTRACT

GROWTH AND CHANGE IN A PARADIGMATIC REGION:

IS IT SUSTAINABLE?

DOES PLANNING MAKE A DIFFERENCE?

by

James W. Vaughan, M.A.G.

Texas State University-San Marcos

December 2006

SUPERVISING PROFESSOR: DAVID STEA

Over the years, geographers and planners have struggled with the patterns,

dynamics, and consequences of urban growth and change. The Austin-San Antonio

corridor in central Texas is, to modify Nijman’s term, a paradigmatic region which

clearly displays the fundamental features and trends of rapidly changing urban systems.

Rural land at and beyond the urban fringe, within this and other urban regions, is

undergoing rapid, sprawling growth. Sprawl impacts the use of resources, the

environment, transportation systems, and the way money is spent and time allocated. This

research examines change, whether the evolving patterns are sustainable, and the effects

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that comprehensive planning has on development in the Austin-San Antonio

paradigmatic region. Austin has a long history of promoting sustainable development

and Smart Growth, whereas the policy of San Antonio reflects almost the antithesis of

this philosophy. Do the growth dynamics and the resulting morphology of these two

urban systems reveal that “good” planning is effective, ineffective, or irrelevant? This

research builds upon the literature confirming ecological planning as a way to achieve

sustainable development, but not within the existing property rights regime. Geographers

can lead the way in a restructuring of values which includes personal responsibility and

recognition of the value of all aspects of the natural world, whether they have economic

value or not.

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CHAPTER I

INTRODUCTION

Statement of the Research Problem

Over the years, geographers and planners have struggled with the patterns,

dynamics, and consequences of urban growth and change over time, and more recently as

it relates to sustainability. Urban growth in America mostly follows a sprawling,

amorphous morphology that is rapidly transforming rural land in the urban fringe into

suburban tracts, big-box-retail roof tops and parking lots, and exurban enclaves. This

form of growth negatively impacts the use of resources, the environment, and the way

money is spent and time allocated. The desire to move out and away, essentially

abandoning places for “greener pastures,” has resulted in an urban spatial geography that

takes the natural environment for granted, and reflects ever increasing socio-economic

distance, or what Platt (2004a, 13) describes as the “social pathology of inequality in

American society.” To help inform theory, make planning and policy more effective, and

improve decision-making, research into the outcomes of growth and change in urban

regions over defined time periods is necessary.

Research Goals and Questions

The goals of this research are to identify aspects and outcomes of growth and

change in an urban region located in central Texas – locally known as the Austin/San

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Antonio corridor - to help determine whether growth and change in the region is

sustainable, and whether planning policies are reflected in growth outcomes. There are

two primary research questions related to achieving these goals. My first question is: Are

growth trends in the Austin/San Antonio region sustainable? Or, to put the question

another way: Does the evolution of sprawling urban growth in the Austin/San Antonio

region erode the natural and socio-cultural environments? The second question is: Does

comprehensive planning (as historically practiced in the region) promote sustainable

growth patterns? Or, to put the question another way: Do growth outcomes reflect

comprehensive plan policies related to promoting sustainable growth, if any?

The Research Problem in the Context of the Study Area

I have chosen the Austin-San Antonio corridor in central Texas because it is a

paradigmatic region which clearly displays the fundamental features and trends of

rapidly growing and changing urban systems in America (Nijman 2000). Much of the

growth in the region is spreading out into unincorporated and formerly rural areas on

large lots with on-site disposal systems, many located over the Edwards Aquifer recharge

zone. Increased numbers of personal vehicles and time spent in those vehicles has

pushed the region to the brink of air quality non-attainment. Water availability is an

increasingly critical factor for any development. Vast amounts of impervious cover for

parking lots and rooftops threaten water quality and exacerbate flooding problems in an

already flood-prone area.

This research examines change, whether the evolving patterns of urbanizing areas

are sustainable, and whether comprehensive planning has an effect on development in the

Austin-San Antonio paradigmatic region. Austin purportedly promotes so-called

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sustainable development and Smart Growth, while San Antonio has the reputation of

being a “developer’s town” and grandfathers away efforts to protect trees and the

Edwards Aquifer, the region’s primary source of drinking water. I will relate growth and

change to comprehensive planning policies in the region, paying particular attention to

differences in planning paradigms between Austin and San Antonio to determine whether

either planning approach contributes to sustainable growth patterns. Do the growth

dynamics and resulting morphology of Austin and San Antonio reveal that

comprehensive planning is effective, ineffective, or is it (inadvertently) exacerbating the

problems of sprawl?

Significance of the Study

It is important to notice the trends and outcomes of growth and change in rapidly

growing American urban areas, not only as gauged by the quantity of growth (i.e.

economic and real estate development), but also in terms of the quality of growth and the

urban system’s ability to perpetuate itself over time. Many academicians and

practitioners alike argue that current urban growth trends are not sustainable, and

planning practice is seemingly ineffective at reversing this trend, thus new perspectives

and approaches are needed within the urban landscape to ensure the common future of

both humankind and its environment. Granted, there have been many models and

theories put forward to try and grasp the moving target that is urban growth and change,

and several of these theories inform the analysis in my research. Yet it seems there is still

a lack of either an epistemological framework or simply the wherewithal to understand

the consequences of urban processes - to verify whether urban policies and resultant

interventions actually lead to the intended effect, or whether they instead have

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inadvertent (or even purposeful) results that degrade the urban web. The relationship

between urban planning goals and urban growth outcomes needs serious investigation in

order that planning policies can simultaneously accommodate economic growth while

improving - or at least not degrading - the socio-cultural and natural environments of

rapidly growing urban areas. Studies of the interrelationships among the environmental

and cultural characteristics of human settlements are crucial if planners, developers, and

policy-makers are to effectively apply an integrated perspective to sustainability while

planning for social, economic, and environmental change.

Of further significance, while this research is a case study of a particular region

and its two major cities, I will be exploring and identifying general (not idiosyncratic)

outcomes of spatial and demographic change across an urban region which is arguably a

paradigmatic urban system in the U.S.A. Calling for more comparative studies on the

urban condition, Nijman (2000) gives us the notion of the “paradigmatic city,” the city

(and/or urban region) that clearly displays the fundamental features and trends of wider

urban systems. Many urban areas are affected by trends that are presently manifested in

the paradigmatic city, such as global orientation of urban economies and a lack of locally

shared place-based identity. Within this context, analyzing social, economic, and

environmental variables over space and time in the Austin/San Antonio region can offer

new insights on the relationship between humans and nature in other urban settings, and

help determine the (in)effectiveness of land use planning policies. In this way, urban

theory, policy and praxis can all be improved.

Finally, there is a long history of studying change at the regional level (Geddes

1911; Mumford 1923; MacKaye 1940; Forman 1995). At this level, the environment,

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economy and society coalesce. In other words, the region connects the local to the

global, and those seeking sustainable urban environments must think globally, act locally,

but plan regionally. Yet little sustainability literature exists at the regional scale, even

though it is this scale that is most important for effective planning and attaining

sustainability (Forman 1995). My study of the Austin/San Antonio region will add to the

limited literature which addresses sustainability at the regional scale.

Synopsis of the Dissertation Plan

This introductory chapter will conclude with a discussion of terminology

commonly used in urban research. In Chapter 2 Background of the Study Area, I will

look at the history of urban development in Austin and San Antonio, and discuss general

patterns of growth and change in each city and the corridor region, particularly since the

1970s. I will discuss growth over the Edwards aquifer, the dichotomy of the Hill Country

and the blackland prairie, and major development and planning issues.

I have divided the literature review into two chapters (Chapters 3 and 4) due to its

length and scope. For the review, I draw on the disciplines of geography, sociology,

ecology, and planning as they relate to urban morphogenesis, planning, and

sustainability. These three elements are the determining factors which drive my selection

of research variables. In both chapters I point out how urban morphology, sprawl (a

particular type of urban morphology), planning, and sustainability relate to my study,

provide a critical analysis of the relevant research, and discuss the status of current

knowledge.

In Chapter 3 Urban Growth and Change, I discuss approaches to the study of

urban growth and change, and then point out that continuity is a surprisingly significant

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theme in American urban geography. I also cover urban theories and models relevant to

my research, including urban/human ecology, complexity, conflict theory, and

postmodernism. I conclude Chapter 3 with a discussion of sprawl, a specific pattern of

urban growth and change which has its own literature. I cover this topic in the context of

its socio-economic and environmental costs and the debate over whether it is truly an

undesirable pattern of land development.

In Chapter 4 Planning and Sustainability, I consider the condition and efficacy of

current urban planning practice in America, particularly the relationships between local

government land use planning policies, real estate development activities, and the

political economy. In this way, I set the stage for an analysis of planning effectiveness

within the context of the current political and economic state of America’s communities.

In this chapter, I address sustainability in the context of both modern American urban

development and urban planning as they apply to my study area. Further, I define the

meaning of sustainability and sustainable development, and examine how these terms are

applied to the urban context. I also outline the concept of the ecological footprint and

reveal how it helps inform the measurement of sustainability within my study area.

In the next chapter of this dissertation (Chapter 5 - Methodology) I outline my

research methodology. The chapter includes a review of the research questions to be

answered and a flowchart of the research model. I also define the different study areas,

variables and data acquisition, and how I will measure sprawl, economic distance, and

energy flows.

Chapters 6 and 7 consist of an analysis of comprehensive planning in Austin and

San Antonio, and an analysis of physical growth and change in the two cities and the

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corridor region. In chapter 6, Planning Analysis, I evaluate the planning processes and

comprehensive plans in Austin and San Antonio, focusing on parallel planning efforts in

the 1970s that led to adopted plans in each city. In Chapter 7, Quantitative and Map

Analysis, I examine selected sustainability indicators to determine whether either city,

their extended Metropolitan Statistical Areas, and the corridor region as a whole are

moving toward or away from sustainable development patterns. In the final chapter,

Discussion and Conclusion, I will bring together my findings in the qualitative and

quantitative chapters and discuss them in light of the literature.

Definitions - Some Words about “Urb”

Some clarification of urban terminology is needed before I discuss the

background of the study area. Various words with the root “urb” are used both in the

literature and in this dissertation. The U.S. Census Bureau (2002) defines urban as “All

territory, population, and housing units located within urbanized areas and urban

clusters.” An urbanized area (UA) generally consists of a large, densely settled (1,000

people per square mile) central place, and adjacent densely settled (500 people per square

mile) census blocks that together have a total population of at least 50,000. An

urbanized cluster needs only a total population of 2,500. By default, rural is defined as

territory, population and housing units not classified as urban. Urban and rural

(farm/non-farm) classifications cut across metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas.

However, my study involves research into a region, which is not specifically defined by

the Census Bureau, but which I define based on the literature and the level of commuting

between census tracts.

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My study examines the Austin/San Antonio region as well as Austin and San

Antonio – the central cities in the two Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs). The region

includes not only urban areas and clusters but also suburban and exurban areas (fringe

areas) within the urban fields of the two primary cities. Much of the growth analyzed in

this study is occurring in these suburban and exurban areas, some outside city limits and

extraterritorial jurisdictions, and also outside the MSA boundaries.

Suburbs are not a new phenomenon. In 1854 James Cole and Son, promoting the

first commuter suburb Brooklyn Heights, advertised lots “close to the New York stock

exchange but easier to reach thanks to the ferry” (Jackson 1985, 68). Other advertised

advantages included lower taxes and cheaper lots, two factors which still drive sprawling

development. An important aspect of the suburban phenomenon is that globalization

forces related to the transition to a post-industrial economy have accelerated the suburban

transformation of the American city, which Muller (1997) claims has turned inside out

since the 1970s, the beginning of my study period. Today’s intra-metropolitan social

organization is increasingly polycentric and “splitting asunder into a set of increasingly

self-contained realms …the metropolitan ring is becoming a true outer city, whose

increasingly independent realms are decidedly no longer ‘sub’ to the ‘urb’ at the core that

spawned them (Muller 1997, 47).” This “new” urban form promises the kind of living

and working environments people purportedly want, but has the problem of increasing

differentiation among communities, and among socio-economic classes within

communities. While suburbs may be the quintessential physical achievement of the U.S.,

they are also the “quintessential embodiment of Leave it to Beaver values: conspicuous

consumption, reliance upon the private automobile, upward mobility, the separation of

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the family into nuclear units, the widening division between work and leisure, and a

tendency toward racial and economic exclusiveness” (Jackson 1985, 212). The new ideal

is no longer to be part of a close community, but to have a self-contained unit, a “private

wonderland walled off from the rest of the world” (Schmitt 1969, 182).

A more recent urban geographic phenomenon is growth in exurban areas.

Exurban is a term first coined by Spectorsky (1955, 6) who wrote:

The word ‘exurb’ (and its derivatives ‘exurban’ and ‘exurbanite’) carries no connotation of something that has ceased to be, or something in the past; rather, what is intended is a clarification of something extra that has characterized the journey of the exurbanite, out and away from the city, in a wistful search for roots, for the realization of a dream, for a home.

A characteristic of exurban households is that the inhabitants are typically more highly

educated and earn more income than the MSA average. Nelson and Dueker (1990)

define exurban counties as being within 80 miles of an outer circumferential limited

access highway or within 100 miles of the center of a central city, and either inside or

outside MSAs. Their county-level definition misses the fine scale of exurban

development, but I overcome this problem in my research by using census tracts as the

units of analysis.

Exurban growth is dynamic and occurs at the urban-rural interface, which has

variously been called the fringe, edge, or periphery (Friedmann and Miller 1965; Pryor

1968; Foot 2000). Fringe growth is nothing new, but the scale of it has increased. There

has been a massive extension in the space covered by urban landscapes of various types.

Urbanity is now “a potential quality of all inhabited places and no longer a dimension

based upon the link between buildings and a certain geographic area” (Foot 2000, 18).

The U.S. Census (2002) defines the urban fringe as those areas that have densities of at

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least 1,000 people per square mile and that are more or less within 1.5 road miles of an

urban core. This census definition has the drawback of presenting a vision of continuous

growth while the reality of fringe growth is one “of a great deal of interpenetration, much

of it rather fine-grained” (Theobald 2001, 549). Thomas (1990, 131) notes that “like the

poor, the rural-urban fringe we have always had with us” since civilization emerged 6000

years ago and settlements gradually began to expand. The first use of the term urban

fringe was T. L. Smith’s (1937) discussion of built-up areas just outside the corporate

limits of cities in Louisiana. According to Pryor (1968), the fringe is the residual zone

between two more readily defined poles, the urban center and its rural hinterland. In an

exhaustive survey of fringe literature, Pryor (1968, 206) developed the following rather

lengthy definition:

It is a residual zone between two more readily defined poles – a continuum. The rural-urban fringe is the zone of transition in land use, social and demographic characteristics, lying between (a) the rural hinterland, characterized by the almost complete absence of nonfarm dwellings, occupations and land use, and of urban and rural social orientation; an incomplete range and penetration of urban utility services; uncoordinated zoning or planning regulations; area extension beyond although contiguous with the political boundary of the central city; and an actual and potential increase in population density, with the current density above that of surrounding rural districts but lower than the central city.

In the Austin/San Antonio corridor region, fringe areas generally have no zoning,

houses are newer, and residents and homebuilders are beyond the control of an

incorporated city. In fact, the only land use planning-related powers in fringe

areas are the weak subdivision platting regulations of Texas counties.

Primary reasons for moving to the fringe are the search for privacy and less traffic

congestion, and the quest for amenity environments, or: “. . . expanded lifestyles

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associated with post industrial society and the urban field . . . characterized by a number

of singular concurrent attributes such as scenery, historical integrity and rural sentiment”

(Coppack 1988, 356). The reasons for the choice of a particular site are suitability of the

house (big) and desirable lot size (big) (Vogt and Marans 2004). Factors affecting the

development of a particular site are physical characteristics (views, trees and water),

regulatory measures (minimal), characteristics of the original rural landowners (need to

sell), availability of public services, site accessibility, and developer initiative (Lee 1979).

Residents of the fringe commute to work, have an exclusionary social orientation, and are

characterized by a low degree of community participation, all elements that are analyzed

in my research.

But is the term fringe adequate to capture the essence of current growth patterns

in rapidly growing areas? The term (fringe) connotes an edge, but, with apologies to

Garreau (1991), Sunbelt urban growth seems edgeless. In reality, there is no longer a

“simple, uninterrupted march of metropolitanization across a rural landscape” but rather

the existence of a “complex rural-area pattern evolving around corridors and hierarchical

sets of nonmetropolitan cities” (Taffe, Krakover, and Gauthier 1992, 503). As a result,

the term urban field may be more meaningful to understanding the patterns of growth in

the Austin/San Antonio corridor. The urban field has variously been called metropolitan

region, spread-city, megalopolis, and ecumenopolis (Gottman 1961; Doxiadis 1965).

Freidmann and Miller (1965, 313) claim the urban field is “the new ecological unit of

America’s post-industrial society.” The paradigmatic urbanizing area is no longer a

physical entity, but a pattern of point locations and connecting flows of people,

information, money and commodities - a matrix in which living patterns, planning, and

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growth forces can result in “the desecration of the landscape, in grey formlessness, the

spoliation of resources” (Freidmann and Miller 1965, 320). The urban field concept fits

within the paradigm of complexity and general systems theory accepted in my research.

In actuality, the urban field is MacKaye’s (1940, 350) region: “… something more than

area, it is area or seat of movement; it is what the dictionary calls a sphere (‘a circuit or

range of action or influence’).” A range of action can include the flow of water,

commodities, and/or people. Similarly, the urban field is Geddes’ valley section (i.e.

valley region): characterized by “a strong connection of three major elements – physical

environment, occupations, and settlement types – as each influences the other” (Welter

2002, 61). The delineation of my study area will be based on this notion of the urban

field.

My study area includes the Austin MSA which consists of 5 counties (Travis,

Caldwell, Hays, Williamson and Bastrop), the San Antonio MSA which consists of 4

counties (Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe and Wilson), and certain census tracts in four other

counties (Atascosa, Medina, Bandera, and Kendall). For more historical analysis (pre

1970 or 1980) I will include all of Atascosa, Medina, Bandera and Kendall counties. The

rationale and methodology for the areas included in the study are explained in depth in

Chapter 5. The reader should be aware that there is a defined Austin San Antonio

“Corridor” that includes all nine of the MSA counties plus Bell County to the north.

However, when I refer to the Austin/San Antonio corridor, I am referring to my study

region as illustrated in Figure 1. For purposes of clarification, when I refer to this defined

study area, I will capitalize the term “Corridor Region.”

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Figure 1. The Austin/San Antonio Study Region.

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CHAPTER II

BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY AREA

In this chapter I will look at the study region’s physical characteristics that have

influenced the location, pattern, and pace of growth and change in the region, and then

present a focused history of the region’s development, with an emphasis on comparing

Austin and San Antonio. I will also discuss the dichotomy of the Hill Country and

Blackland Prairie, the politics of the Edwards Aquifer, and major development and

planning issues – all in light of the theoretical perspectives of this dissertation. The

application of theories discussed in the literature review such as the growth machine,

political economy, conflict, urban ecology, and abstract and social space are evident in

the region.

Figure 2. Hill Country and Blackland Prairie in the Study Area.

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Notable Physical Characteristics

The Balcones Escarpment

The most notable physiographic feature of the Corridor Region is the Balcones

Escarpment, the “topographic expression” of a geologic fault zone that extends

northeastward from San Antonio through Austin, separating the area into two distinct

landscapes: the Hill Country/Edwards Plateau to the west and the Blackland Prairie to the

east (Figures 2 and 3). Indeed, the escarpment marks the break between “two grand

physiographic divisions of North America: the Great Plains Province to the West and the

Coastal Plains on the East” (Abbott and Woodruff 1986). Referring to San Antonio (but

applicable to the entire Corridor Region), Petersen (2001, 17) notes that the city is “an

environmental crossroads” lying just east of the climatic transition between the humid

east and the arid west. Annual precipitation ranges from 39 inches in eastern areas of the

region to 22 inches in western parts of the region. The escarpment is the first topographic

break inland from the Gulf of Mexico and thus is a major weather maker acting as an

orographic influence on unstable, water-laden air masses. As a result, the region has a

history of intense rain events and severe flooding that is exacerbated by the character of

the land itself: steep, sparsely vegetated slopes, narrow valleys, thin upland soils on

Figure 3. Left: Hill Country Scene in Hays County; Right: Blackland Prairie in Caldwell County.

16

limestone bedrock, and soils with low infiltration capacity; and by man-made changes

related to development: impervious cover, stream channel modification, and development

adjacent to or in the floodplain (Abbott and Woodruff 1986). Some claim that land-use

practices alone can increase central Texas peak flood discharges by as much as three-

hundred percent (Espey, Morgan, and Masch 1966). In fact, stormwater management is a

major planning issue addressed by the region’s cities and counties.

Since the mid 1800’s the Balcones Escarpment has also marked a cultural break

from the cotton economy of the Old South to the ranching and cattle economy of the Old

West (Abbott and Woodruff 1986). It is a line where the American west really begins, an

image that holds today in marketing for large lot subdivisions with names like Kicking

Horse Estates, Laurel Canyon Ranch, Buffalo Crossing, Saddle Ridge, and Stallion

Estates. This east-west dichotomy is perhaps even more evident today in that the Hill

Country is the location of choice for high-dollar residential developments, whereas tract

developments are more prevalent in the prairie lands to the east (Figure 4). Rapid

development and sprawling growth patterns have varied impacts that will be discussed in

Chapter Four, but the rural to urban transformation of the Hill Country is especially

problematic due to another distinctive physical feature in the region, the Edwards

Aquifer.

Figure 4. Left: Residential Development in the Hill Country West of New Braunfels; Right: Residential Development in the Blackland Prairie East of New Braunfels.

17

The Edwards Aquifer The Balcones Escarpment created favorable sites for settlements, not only

because people could draw on two economies, but also because of the dependable water

supply provided by the springs that issued forth along the Balcones fault zone (Abbott

and Woodruff 1986). These springs provided a power source for flour mills, grist mills,

and saw mills, and were influential in the settling of both Austin and San Antonio, as well

as other towns located along the escarpment such as New Braunfels, San Marcos, and

Georgetown (See Figure 1 above). The Comal and San Marcos Springs provide not only

a portion of water for downstream interests in the Guadalupe River basin, but also aquatic

habitat for a number of threatened or endangered species: the San Marcos gambusia,

fountain darter, Texas blind salamander, and Peck’s cave amphipod (Texas Parks and

Wildlife 2005).

The water source for the springs along the escarpment is the Edwards Aquifer

(Figure 5), one of the most permeable and productive aquifers in the United States

Figure 5. The Edwards Aquifer.

18

(Naismith Engineering Inc. 2005). The Edwards is a karst aquifer characterized by

extremely high porosity and permeability, the presence of sinkholes, sinking streams,

caves, and a well-integrated subsurface drainage system. All aquifer recharge occurs at

the surface outcrop of the Edwards formation (the recharge zone), an area under intense

residential and commercial development pressures (Naismith Engineering Inc. 2005).

Because development removes natural vegetation and increases impervious cover, and

because fissures in the limestone provide very little filtration, there is great concern for

pollution of the aquifer from urban runoff. Water quality begins to be significantly

impacted when the amount of impervious cover in a watershed is greater than five to

eighteen percent (Marsh and Hill-Rowley 1989). Human activity, fertilizers, domestic

wastewater collection, treatment and discharge add to the threat. Excessive pumping and

diversion can cause springs and seeps to dry up resulting in loss of habitat, water

intrusion into groundwater, and reduction of streamflow necessary to sustain downriver

interests (Vottler 1998). These threats can be mitigated with comprehensive planning,

low-impact development, open space, the use of Transfers of Development Rights

(TDRs), site planning, pre-development review, location of development, intensity of

development, structural Best Management Practices (BMPs), and other planning tools.

Differences in hydrogeologic characteristics allow division of the aquifer into

three distinct regions: 1) the San Antonio segment, extending 175 miles from

Brackettville in Kinney County to north Hays County and the source of water for over 1.7

million people; 2) the Barton Springs segment-Austin area, extending from Kyle in Hays

County to the Colorado River in downtown Austin; and 3) the northern segment - Austin

area, underlying parts of Travis and Williamson counties and supplying water to the

19

rapidly growing cities of Round Rock and Georgetown. The natural discharge for the

Barton Springs segment occurs mainly in Austin’s Zilker Park at Barton Springs, the

largest natural swimming pool in an urban area in the USA, and highly revered as a

symbol of the city’s sense of place (Figure 6). Indeed, “for many Austinites, there is no

better benchmark of environmental quality than the purity of Barton Springs Pool and its

aquifer” (Butler 1987, 285). The Texas Commission for Environmental Quality named

the Barton Springs segment of the Edwards Aquifer the most pollution-prone aquifer in

the state (Texas Water Commission 1989). Both the quantity and quality of water in the

Edwards Aquifer is critical to the future of the Corridor Region. Struggles over limiting

withdrawals from the aquifer, as well as limiting development over the recharge zone, are

part of the socio-economic and environmental forces at work in the region, and will be

covered later in this chapter. Regardless, these struggles are a result of the region’s rapid

population growth.

Figure 6. Barton Springs Pool.

20

A History of Growth and Change

Implementation of a cedula, or royal decree, issued by the King of Spain in 1729

marked the beginning of urban development in the Corridor Region. A reliable supply of

water was the principle reason for locating San Antonio de Béxar at a loop in the San

Antonio River near San Pedro Springs, and the city owed its subsequent growth to a

reliable and inexpensive artesian supply of water from the Edwards Aquifer (Reps 1979).

San Antonio was laid out according to the Laws of the Indies, royal ordinances governing

the founding of new cites, proclaimed by Philip II of Spain in 1573 (Figure 7). The

author of these laws was “thorough and conscientious, for there are more than three

dozen specifications and admonitions set forth as guiding principles” (Reps 1965, 29).

Planning was comprehensive and very detailed calling for a uniform street width of about

37 feet, blocks of three different dimensions, and a plaza measuring 400 by 600 feet. The

town surveyor marked the boundary between the town and commons with a plowed

furrow “in order that willows and other trees may be planted to serve not only to beautify

[the town] but . . . to furnish shade to the settlers,” an early concern with trees that will

be echoed almost three centuries later with struggles to enforce a tree preservation

Figure 7. Plan of San Antonio: ca. 1777. Source: John W. Reps’ Cities of the American West – A history of frontier urban planning; Princeton University Press 1979, 69.

21

ordinance (Reps 1979, 66).

Austin (originally called Waterloo) was settled gradually in the mid-1830s, again

thanks to a reliable source for water power from artesian springs. The original town site

of Austin, established in 1839, was a 640 acre grid between Waller and Shoal Creeks

(Figure 8). Edwin Waller, the agent appointed to sell lots in the new town, selected the

location along the Colorado River, and laid out 80 foot wide streets, with two principle

thoroughfares entering the mid-point of the square, a 640,000 square foot reservation for

the capitol. In 1856 Frederick Law Olmstead wrote of Austin:

Austin has a fine situation upon the left bank of the Colorado. Had it not been the capital of the state, and a sort of bourne to which we had looked forward for a temporary rest, it would still have struck us as the pleasantest place we had seen in Texas (Reps 1979, 139).

Settlement in San Antonio, Austin and the eastern edge of the escarpment did not

begin in earnest until after the Texas Revolution in 1836 when release from Mexico

Figure 8. Plan of Austin: 1839. Source: John W. Reps’ Cities of the American West – A history of frontier urban planning; Princeton University Press 1979, 137.

22

allowed almost “unrestricted individual initiative” (Handbook of Texas Online 2005). At

this time land west of the Balcones Escarpment was free of Anglo influence, but when

Olmstead visited in the mid 1850’s, he noted that the area was dotted with farmsteads –

one of the earliest indicators of the region’s rapid growth and change. By the 1860s land

in farms had increased greatly, from 73,300 to 1,363,500 acres in Travis County alone.

Several ethnic groups settled in the region, but the most influential were Germans who

founded the City of New Braunfels. In New Braunfels each settler was to have one-half

acre in town and ten acres within walking distance, so that these yeoman farmers could

live in town and work their nearby lands (Reps 1979). However, with increasing

population, this nuclear village concept quickly broke down; good lands within

reasonable walking distance were spoken for so new arrivals began looking farther afield

for farmlands, occupying the alluvial valleys in the hills to the west of the escarpment.

Common elements driving urbanization in the region included promotion by land

speculators, favorable transportation (railroads), and political boosterism. By the late

nineteenth century San Antonio had expanded well beyond the limits of the San Antonio

River loop, and developers broke with the tradition of the grid and incorporated curving

streets and irregular blocks into their subdivisions. Austin’s existence and growth was

nourished by politics and higher education; in 1872 the city officially became the state

capital, and in 1881 it was chosen as the site for the University of Texas. The preeminent

civic booster of that time, Alexander Woolridge, promoted construction of a dam on the

Colorado River to generate electricity and stimulate growth. The dam was completed in

1893 but collapsed seven years later due to siltation behind it – an early example of the

consequences of the oft-times disparate goals of economic development and

23

environmental well-being. In the early part of the twentieth century Austin grew slower

than most other Texas cities, becoming a mostly residential city. A second dam was

completed in 1940 creating twenty-one mile long Lake Austin; just upriver to the

northwest, another dam (Mansfield) created Lake Travis. Land along both lakes would

become highly desirable for up-scale residential development.

In the nineteenth century growth in the region had been mostly rural, but

beginning in 1900 more and more people moved into urbanized areas. This population

shift accelerated after the Great Depression. Population growth in the region’s two major

urban counties (Bexar and Travis) was much more rapid than growth in the region’s

exurban counties up until 1970, at which point the trend reversed and the percentage of

the region’s total population in exurban counties began to increase (Figure 9). A similar

trend is apparent when comparing population growth in Austin, San Antonio, and the rest

Figure 9. Above: Population Growth Trends in the Corridor Region; Below: Population Growth Trends in Austin, San Antonio, and the Rest of the Region.

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24

of the Corridor Region. Since 1960 growth in the region has been more rapid outside the

incorporated limits of Austin and San Antonio as defined at the time of each census, in

spite of aggressive annexation policies on the part of both cities. In Austin, beginning in

the 1970s, development spread along Lake Travis to the west of Interstate 35 as well as

into the northern and southern suburban communities. By 1990 Lago Vista, Jonestown,

Lakeway and Pflugerville in Travis County, and Georgetown and Round Rock in

Williamson County became popular alternatives to the City of Austin.

The corridor’s rapid growth can be attributed to the booming Texas economy

during the 1970s and early 1980s when most of the nation was experiencing economic

recession (Handbook of Texas Online 2005). High crude oil prices favored the state’s

economy. The corridor had certain economic advantages including relatively low wages,

lack of a unionized labor force, low cost of living, a major research university, and a

reputation as being “business friendly”. Perhaps just as importantly, the region offered

many environmental amenities such as a temperate climate, spring-fed streams, clear

rivers, scenery, and a variety of recreational opportunities. In 1967 Datapoint

Corporation (originally known as Computer Terminal Corporation) located in San

Antonio, while IBM located in Austin. In 1969 Texas Instruments located in Austin, as

did Motorola in 1974. The Mayor of San Antonio, Henry Cisneros, and others formed

the Greater Austin-San Antonio Corridor Council with plans for expansion of airports,

highways, and high-speed rail. The selection of Austin in 1983 by Microelectronics and

Computer Technology (MCC) marked the height of achievement by the corridor

promoters. MCC selected Austin over dozens of other potential sites only after

coordinated inducements from the City of Austin, Governor of Texas, and the University

25

of Texas. With the founding of Dell Computer in 1984 forty percent of Austin’s non-

government work-force was employed in high-tech occupations (twice that of Dallas and

seven times that of Houston). In the 1990s there were 400 high-tech manufacturers in the

Austin area. This growth in high tech industry paralleled growth at the University of

Texas which in 2000 employed 21,000 people and had over $300 million in research

grants (Handbook of Texas Online 2005). San Antonio, with less university influence

and a lower wage scale, was more oriented toward traditional assembly-type industry,

tourism, and employment related to five military bases located in the area. Mayor

Cisneros wanted to make the city a center of high-tech manufacturing, as opposed to the

research focus of Austin.

After relocation of MCC to the Hill Country northwest of Austin, land prices in

the immediate area doubled and tripled overnight. A definite change in perception

developed rather quickly toward the Blackland Prairie land on one hand and Hill Country

land on the other. Cities located along the Balcones Escarpment can encourage growth

either in the Hill Country to the west or the Blackland Prairie to the east. Ecological

considerations, conservation of wildlife habitat, and protection of the Edwards Aquifer

are compelling reasons against development in the hills. Attempts by Austin and San

Antonio to discourage urban sprawl into the hills by withholding water have met with

limited success because developers have found that services can be purchased from the

regional river authority, or property owners can provide their own water with individual

wells. Since the 1970s there has been greater demand for non-agricultural land for

weekend retreats, and suburban/exurban lots with a view. As a result, Hill Country land

26

has replaced prairie land as the high-dollar location and prestigious address in central

Texas real estate.

From 1970 to 2000 the Corridor Region’s population increased by 120 percent.

This can be broken down as follows: Austin’s population increased by 162 percent, San

Antonio’s population by 75 percent, and the region’s population outside the Austin and

San Antonio city limits by 162 percent (Table 1). During this period Austin’s

incorporated land area grew more than 258 percent (from 72.1 to 258.4 square miles),

and San Antonio’s incorporated area grew by 124 percent (from 184.0 to 412.1 square

miles). From 1974 to 2003 urban/developed land in the Austin MSA increased by 1.5%

annually (141,222 to 216,306 acres) while agricultural land declined by 1.8% annually

(from 1,180,985 to 706,828 acres) (Sherrouse et al. 2005). Metropolitan Statistical Area

(MSA) density decreased as people spread out to suburban and exurban locations. In the

Austin/Round Rock MSA density decreased from 9.1 persons per acre in 1983 to 4.3

persons per acre in 2000. Between 1990 and 2002 the City of Austin’s road network

increased 32 percent in lane miles. The rural-urban interface (the length of undeveloped

land adjoining urban land) also increased: edge length per urban cluster increased from

1,441 meters in 1983 to 3,095 meters in 2000 (Sherrouse et al. 2005).

Table 1. Population Growth in the Corridor Region. Source: U.S. Census. 1970 2000 % Change Corridor Region Austin San Antonio Outside Austin/San Antonio

1,365,801 251,808 654,153 459,840

3.004,031 656,562

1,144,646 1,202,823

120.0 161.7 75.0 161.6

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However, beginning in the 1970s, rapid population growth in the region and its

effect on the landscape met with resistance. The stories of how San Antonio and Austin

have dealt with or plan to deal with the impacts of rapid growth on the Edwards Aquifer

illustrate the differences in their attitudes toward planning and growth management. In

the next section I will compare the two city’s approaches and set them within the

theoretical context to be presented in the literature review.

Water, Development and Political Economy

There is a false naiveté overlooking the communality of the Edwards Aquifer and its vulnerability to the collective effects of individual actions. The Edwards region has finally reached the point where the aquifer is unable to provide for the needs of all those who depend upon it during dry years…without a fundamental change in the value the region places on fresh water, a major effort to conserve and reuse aquifer water, and implement plans to import supplemental supplies of water, the region’s quality of life and economic future is imperiled

Sierra Club v. San Antonio, No MO-96-CA-097, slip op. at 1 (W.D. Tex. Aug. 23, 1996) – from the order mandating Federal management of the aquifer

The lines between proponents of rapid, minimally managed growth and advocates

of slower, more managed growth “seem to have been more clearly drawn in Austin than

in San Antonio” (Abbott and Woodruff 1986, 160). San Antonio is known in

construction and development circles as a “good place to do business” (Palmer 1986,

160). Austin has moved in a different direction, earning a reputation with developers as

overly regulated and difficult to deal with. In spite of this, since 1970 Austin’s growth

rate has been more than twice that of San Antonio’s.

Austin

Austin’s rapid population growth in the 1970s and the sprawling pattern of the

accompanying development west, north and south of the city prompted the creation and

adoption in 1979 of the Austin Tomorrow Comprehensive Plan with goals and objectives

28

that called for the development and implementation of a series of innovative (at the time)

watershed protection ordinances (City of Austin 1980). A survey in 1982 revealed

widespread citizen support for aggressive programs to address urban expansion over the

aquifer and to manage potential water quality problems (Butler 1987). The Texas Water

Code enables home-rule cities to adopt area-wide (including the ETJ) water pollution

abatement programs to protect their water supplies from urban runoff. City elections

during these years featured struggles over the management of growth with neighborhood

groups and environmentalists on one side and business and development interests on the

other. A new city council, elected in 1984 after years of business-oriented city

government, promised to manage and direct growth to preserve and enhance Austin’s

quality of life. A popular slogan at the time was Don’t Houstonize Austin. Citizens and

activist groups such as the Save Barton Creek Association and the Zilker Park Posse

worked with the Austin City Council to develop watershed protection ordinances that

utilized a combination of engineering and land use management techniques based on the

philosophy that the best way to protect groundwater was through “proper location,

design, construction, and maintenance of new urban development and its associated

drainage systems” (Butler 1987, 261). Austin also adopted watershed protection

measures in its subdivision ordinances and site development standards. In the plat review

process, special final plat requirements included completion of erosion-sedimentation and

drainage plans, designation of watershed zones and building setbacks, delineation of

critical environmental features such as sinkholes and exposed faults, certification of

plans, and special assessments for water quality monitoring and maintenance. At the

29

time, these Austin ordinances represented an important departure from traditional

structural urban drainage criteria. In summary:

The elected officials of many communities would not have taken such aggressive measures as adopting Austin’s watershed ordinances to protect groundwater quality and the natural environment. But the citizens of Austin are unusually earnest about retaining a high quality of life in face of an expanding metropolitan area (Butler 1987, 284-5). More recently, this proactive attitude has been evident in Austin’s participation in

a regional planning effort, somewhat of a rarity in the State of Texas. In 2002 a group of

citizen leaders “saw the need to respond to the effects of growth” and started Envision

Central Texas (ECT) (Walz 2005, 16). The planning region included the five counties in

the Austin-Round Rock MSA. ECT’s studies indicated the need for regional policies to

address:

• Land Use: how much to be developed and redeveloped, in what style, at what density, and mixed use

• Social Equity: residential and job development in low-income areas

• Environment: development in aquifer recharge or contributing zones, amount

of impervious cover, loss of agricultural land, and urban parks per capita

• Housing: housing mix (diversity), single family, townhouse, and multi-family

• Transportation: Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) per capita, travel mode shares, air quality, fuel consumption, and connectivity (number of intersections and intersections per acre)

• Economy: cost of new infrastructure, jobs-housing balance, distribution of

employment space (retail, office, industrial), relative tax burden

In 2004 Austin Mayor Will Wynn proposed that a committee be formed to recommend

open space projects and infrastructure for a bond issue to implement ECT policy

recommendations. New-found regional awareness may have helped pass a transit

initiative for funding a 32-mile commuter rail line in 2005.

30

San Antonio

In San Antonio, protection of the Edwards Aquifer from urban development

began in earnest in the 1970s with battles over proposals for several large developments

in the recharge zone, including the University of Texas at San Antonio, the Southwest’s

largest mall (at the time), and a federally funded “New Town” residential development.

San Antonio had adopted an aggressive annexation policy and was expanding mostly to

the north and northwest where much of the land is in the artesian, recharge, and

contributing zones of the Edwards Aquifer (Figure 10). In 1973, Sam Barshop, a local

developer, proposed construction of a large retail mall in the recharge zone. The San

Antonio City Council approved rezoning for Barshop’s development, but many citizens

refused to accept their decision. The core opposition groups were Citizens for a Better

Environment and Citizens Organized for Public Service (COPs), which was affiliated

with Saul Alinsky’s Industrial Areas Foundation. Together they forced a vote on a

construction moratorium and won, but the vote was overturned by the Texas Supreme

Figure 10. The Edwards Aquifer in Bexar County.

31

Court which ruled that the Texas State Constitution disallowed overturning a city council

zoning decision by referendum. A new group, the Aquifer Protection Association,

collected 20,000 signatures calling on the county and city to jointly purchase the land, but

the city council rejected their idea.

In 1974 developers proposed a 9,300 acre federally-funded “New Town” planned

community, the San Antonio Ranch to be located in northern Bexar County over the

aquifer’s recharge zone. Citizen groups such as Aquifer Protection, Citizens for a Better

Environment, and the League of Women Voters wanted the San Antonio Ranch

developers to accept responsibility for treating aquifer water if it became polluted. The

Alamo Area Council of Governments (AACOG) felt that water protection measures in

place at the time could not safeguard the aquifer, and wanted the Texas Water Quality

Board (TWQB) to change its regulations to control density over the aquifer. San Antonio

environmental activist groups opposed approval of the New Town plan, but developers,

City Council and most city officials and planners favored approval as a stimulus for

economic development (Wimberley 2001).

Fortunately for the activist groups, their concern for the Edwards Aquifer

dovetailed with national interest in water quality at the time. Getting nowhere with local

officials (unlike similar groups in Austin), the activists enlisted the aid of U.S.

Representative Henry Gonzalez to stop development of the San Antonio Ranch.

Gonzalez attached a rider to the 1974 Safe Drinking Water Act requiring EPA protection

of aquifers that provide at least fifty percent of a region’s water supply, such as the

Edwards Aquifer. Sole source designation would limit federal contributions “to an often

oblivious public intent on spoiling its own nest” (Wimberley 2001, 181). Business

32

interests and local government were vehemently opposed to Gonzalez’ action. The North

Side Chamber of Commerce claimed the Gonzalez amendment would “adversely affect

the growth and prosperity of our community” (Wimberley 2001, 176). The San Antonio

City Council drafted a resolution urging the U.S. Senate to delay action on the safe

Drinking Water Act until local hearings could be held. Gonzalez responded that

“commercial interests had taken over local politics and that the council had greater

interest in protecting developers’ investments than the city’s water supply” (Wimberley

2001, 176). The amendment was included in the Safe Drinking Water Act approved in

December 1974. In January 1975, the Sierra Club, League of Women Voters, and San

Antonio Citizens for a Better Environment filed a petition for sole source designation for

the Edwards Aquifer. Proponents of local control, including San Antonio Ranch

attorneys, the North San Antonio Chamber of Commerce, and the City Water Board

argued that “citizens would not welcome yet another instance of federal control in their

economy” (Wimberley 2001, 179). Proponents of sole source designation argued that

enforcement of existing aquifer protection orders by the Texas Water Quality Board were

“slipshod” with only a minimal number of inspectors sent out at random times and who

only checked septic tanks.

After all was said and done, the southern San Antonio segment of the Edwards

aquifer did receive sole source designation. The Texas Water Quality Board issued the

first specific orders designed to protect aquifer water quality, marking the beginning of

the Edwards Rules (Title 30, Texas Administrative Code Chapter 213). A major

provision of the Edwards Rules that affected land development patterns in the aquifer’s

recharge and contributing zones addressed wastewater and lot size. The minimum lot

33

size for a house with an on-site wastewater system and connected to a public water

supply was one acre. The minimum lot size for a house with an on-site wastewater

system and its own private water well was five acres. By requiring such large lots, these

rules, designed to protect water quality, actually encouraged a sprawling residential

pattern in much of the Corridor Region. For a more detailed analysis of this

phenomenon, please see my master’s thesis, The Dynamics of Land Development in a

Rapidly Urbanizing Area (Vaughan 1994).

Today the university, expansive shopping centers, big-box retail, and residential

subdivisions cover portions of the recharge zone, but struggles over the pace, pattern and

location of development continue. In January 2006 Bexar County commissioners finally

approved a Professional Golf Association (PGA) golf resort, Cibolo Canyons, in northern

Bexar County, a project that County Judge Nelson Wolff called the “most debated issue

since I’ve been in office” (Allen 2006). It was an anti-climatic finale to a long and

arduous battle over whether and how to build the resort. Not only did the developers

want to build in the recharge zone, they also wanted eminent domain powers of a city and

favorable tax treatment that would repay their investment in infrastructure. This resulted

in a public outcry against “corporate welfare” and environmental irresponsibility, a

referendum drive that collected more than 77,000 signatures, and an election in 2003 that

called for abandonment of the agreement between the city and developers (Allen 2006).

City officials altered the agreement slightly to get around the referendum, but the deal

later collapsed on its own accord.

Not to be denied, city, county, and business interests resurrected negotiations with

the land owner and brokered a twenty-nine year non-annexation agreement with the

34

developer. Judge Wolff spoke of the “delicate tightrope the project's backers had to

endure in the face of fierce public opposition” and “behind-the-scenes machinations that

were required to revive the hyper-controversial golf resort over the Edwards Aquifer

recharge zone” (Allen 2006). Those dealings included going to the Texas Legislature to

pass a bill that lets the Cibolo Canyons Development District levy taxes and issue bonds.

It can be argued that, after these conflicts began in the early stages of the area’s

rapid growth, San Antonio, like most Sunbelt cities, “succumbed to the lure of urban

sprawl,” and that Gonzales’ end-run around city council and the efforts of citizens and

activist groups only temporarily forestalled the process (Wimberley 2001, 181). Indeed

the Sole Source designation does not seem to have had much of an impact on the

location, pattern, and pace of the broader suburban/exurban surge that has fundamentally

altered the city since the early 1970s. Hutton (2001, 238) succinctly summarizes growth

and change in San Antonio:

The combination of its social climate and the surrounding environment, its hopes of attracting commerce and its fear of setting limits or even basic parameters for controlling growth, combine to produce a lasting paradox: an attractive, decentralized city increasingly surrounded by and filled in with monotonous office and shopping blocks, devoid of imagination, bare of the slightest shade, and virtually identical to analogous sites across the country.

Vested Rights

Before concluding this background chapter, I need to address the impact of the

vested rights or grandfather statute that has enabled “development-as-usual” growth

advocates to bypass Austin and San Antonio ordinances addressing land development,

water quality, and tree preservation - ordinances that had widespread and enthusiastic

citizen support. The vesting statute was written for developers who were unhappy with

35

the watershed ordinances in Austin. In 1987 a group of anonymous developers, angered

at the City of Austin’s efforts to protect growth over the Barton Springs watershed,

founded the Texas Real Estate Association which lobbied for House Bill 4 (HB4),

purportedly an economic development bill, in an effort to jump-start the Texas economy

which was suffering from the real estate crash of the mid-1980s. The original focus of

HB4 was to establish the Texas Chamber of Commerce to “alleviate bureaucratic

obstacles to economic development,” and contained no vesting language (Tedesco 2005,

7A). However, the law, touted by its supporters as a way “to protect the ordinary citizen

from overbearing government, has been used by large development companies to trump

efforts by citizens to tame explosive growth…” (Tedesco 2005, 1A).

In 1992, a ballot initiative in Austin to restrict development in the Barton Creek

watershed triggered a debate over vested rights exemptions. The Save Our Springs

ordinance (SOS) limited impervious cover to a maximum of fifteen percent in the Barton

Creek recharge zone, twenty percent in the Barton Creek watershed outside the recharge

zone, and twenty-five percent in the remainder of the contributing zone, all in all a large

area in the southwestern part of the city that was, and is, highly desirable for residential

and commercial development. Existing city rules allowed up to seventy percent

impervious cover. The SOS ordinance included a provision that exemptions under the

vested rights statute would expire after one year. City rules in place at the time allowed a

developer to submit a final plat for a single lot and exempt the entire project permanently

from changes in development regulations. A city study showed that from 1986 through

the end of 1990 more than eighty-six percent of all development projects in the Barton

Springs watershed were exempt from city regulations (Collier 1992). Environmentalists

36

argued that exemptions needed to be eliminated as quickly as possible to ensure that the

springs were protected. Real estate interests and the Chamber of Commerce, led by Karl

Rove who later became President Bush’s advisor, campaigned to defeat the SOS

ordinance, but it was adopted in August 1992 when Austin voters approved the initiative

by a two-to-one margin.

The success of the SOS initiative was not the end of conflicts between vested

rights advocates and citizen-backed efforts to protect the springs. In 2005, thirteen years

after implementation of the SOS ordinance, chip-maker Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

received approval to locate its 800,000 square foot office/manufacturing complex on a

fifty-seven acre tract within the Barton Springs watershed. City officials said they were

bound by a 2001 agreement that allowed the property owner to develop land under

regulations in place in 1986 when the property was first zoned. Environmentalists argued

that AMD should not locate at this particular location because “for decades Austin had

recognized a scientific, economic and public consensus that major employers do not

belong in the Barton Springs watershed” (Novak 2005). Instead, Austin had been

encouraging development and major employment centers to locate in the “Desired

Development Zone” away from Hill Country watersheds. Indeed, this had been the

central concept of the Austin Tomorrow Comprehensive Plan, the 1992 voter-approved

SOS ordinance, Smart Growth policies approved in the late 1990s, and Envision Central

Texas’ recently recommended policies. The Save Our Springs Alliance argued that

AMD chose “to ignore this long-standing consensus” (Bunch and Clark 2005).

San Antonio has been especially generous in granting exemptions to its

ordinances under vested rights law. In 1995, City Council passed Water Quality Rules to

37

a “thunderous ovation” from citizens present at the meeting. These rules were hailed as

“a hallmark of planning for a city not known for its foresight” (Tedesco 2005, 10/16:

1A). But many plats had been filed months before the ordinance went into effect,

specifically to avoid the aquifer ordinance. It was argued that “the vested rights law has

been a boon to developers while hampering efforts by residents, community groups, and

officials to make San Antonio a better place to live” (Tedesco 2005, 10/16:15A). The

San Antonio Water Department has essentially handed out blanket exemptions from

aquifer rules while the Planning Department has been almost as lenient with exemptions

from city codes. Between 1997 and 2001 San Antonio planners exempted 500 projects

covering 70,000 acres over the recharge zone, about one-fourth of city’s total recharge

acreage (Tedesco 2005).

The Texas Association of Realtors has lobbied successfully to broaden the type of

permits that trigger vesting. Now vesting starts with a plat, master plan, many other types

of permits and agreements, or water contracts used by planners to force developers to

install oversized pipelines to accommodate future growth. The oldest permit used thus

far in San Antonio to trigger a vesting claim was a 1908 hand-drawn plan for a site that

HEB, a grocery chain, wanted to use to expand one of its stores in 2001. HEB did not

own any property or have any stores in San Antonio in 1908, but the Texas statute allows

rights to transfer from owner to owner.

In 2004, in order to avoid the 1995 Water Quality Rules and 2003 Tree

Ordinance, developers of Bulverde Village cited a 1984 water contract between a

previous land owner and the San Antonio Water Department that did not even describe

the type of proposed development. The site for Bulverde Village was clear-cut and

38

graded flat. Sendero Ridge, a subdivision adjacent to the Bulverde Village site, was

developed in accordance with the tree ordinance, and is “thick with both live oaks and

cedar.” The developer of Sendero Ridge feels that “the land should dictate how it should

be used. They’re [the developers of Bulverde Village] not a good neighbor. They’re not

contributing anything to society. They’re creating liabilities” (Tedesco 2005,

10/16:18A). In the same year, Pulte Homes, a Michigan-based company that grossed

$11.7 billion in revenue in 2004, claimed vested rights to clear-cut fifty acres for Encino

Ridge, a residential development in the northern quadrant of San Antonio and in the

recharge zone (Figure 11). Pulte claimed most of the site was covered with mountain

cedar, but neighbors maintained there were many healthy live oaks on the property (Jesse

2004). Ironically, encino means live oak in Spanish. The Edwards Aquifer Authority

(EAA) attempted to limit impervious cover over the recharge zone, but State Senator Ken

Armbrister sponsored a bill that grandfathered state rules in addition to local rules that

could already be grandfathered away (Tedesco 2005).

Figure 11. Encino Ridge.

39

Rapid population growth in the Corridor Region will only intensify the types of

conflicts over land use change described in this chapter. Essentially these are struggles

over abstract versus social space. Ultimately, the vested rights law seems to mean that

the abstract spatial perceptions of urban growth coalitions (bankers, businesspeople,

corporate property owners, developers, politicians, investors and some planners), and not

local citizens or some planners with their perceptions of social space and sense of place,

are the final arbiters of what, where and how land is developed in the Corridor Region.

Regardless, research is needed into the outcomes of growth and change in the Austin/San

Antonio paradigmatic region to help determine whether the resulting pattern of

development is sustainable, and whether citizens’ concerns and planning policies are

reflected in growth outcomes.

40

CHAPTER III

URBAN GROWTH AND CHANGE

Overview

Over the past century, as urbanization has come to dominate the pattern of human

settlement, urban growth and change has received considerable attention in a wide range

of disciplines. In this literature review, I draw upon geography, sociology, ecology, and

planning as they relate to urban morphogenesis, planning, and sustainability. These three

elements are the determining factors which drive my selection of research variables. To

facilitate an understanding of such vast literature, this review is divided into two chapters:

Chapter 3 - Urban Growth and Change, and Chapter 4 - Planning and Sustainability. In

each chapter, I point out how urban morphology, sprawl (a particular type of urban

morphology), planning, and sustainability relate to my study, provide a critical analysis

of the relevant research, and discuss the status of current knowledge.

In this chapter, I discuss approaches to the study of urban growth and change, and

then point out that continuity is a surprisingly significant theme in American urban

geography. I also cover urban theories and models relevant to my research, including

urban/human ecology, complexity theory, conflict theory, and postmodernism. Sprawl is

covered in the context of its costs and the debate over whether it is truly an undesirable

pattern of land development. In the next chapter, I consider the condition and efficacy of

current urban planning practice in America, particularly the relationships between local

41

government land use planning policies, real estate development activities, and the

political economy. In this way I set the stage for my analysis of planning effectiveness

within the context of the current political and economic state of America’s communities.

I address sustainability in the context of both modern American urban development and

as it applies to my study area. Further, I define the meaning of sustainability and

sustainable development, examine how these terms are applied to the urban context, and

outline the concept of the ecological footprint as a measurement of sustainability within

my study area. I conclude by pointing out how the sustainability paradigm can help

planners become more effective and perhaps even revive the idea that planning can be

visionary.

Urban Growth and Change

The urban geographer has taken on the study of change, particularly of process where that evolution is most prevalent, the city.

Vance 1978, 132 City shape, it is suggested, should be thought of as morphology, a logic of

changing and transmission, rather than a static shape. Crang 2000, 303

Approaches to the Study of Urban Growth and Change: Morphology and Complexity

Geographers as well as planners, sociologists, economists, and many others have

been modeling the patterns and dynamics of urban growth for quite a while. Early

geographic research on urban morphology focused on static site and situation developing

out of the man-land philosophical approach espoused by Carl Sauer in his 1925 essay The

Morphology of Landscape (Thornwaite 1930; James 1931; Hartshorne 1932). Later

research embraced the complexity and dynamics of urban systems. Conzen (1949)

contributed three important perspectives to this type of research in urban growth and

42

change: functionalist, evolutionary, and morphological. His morphological approach,

which focused on change and structure within the city, is particularly relevant to my

research because it helped establish a relationship between geography and planning. This

new relationship resulted from the change in the pattern of residential development and

the emerging predominance of suburban growth, which required the broader spatial

perspective of geographers to be integrated with the limited spatial scale in which

planners had traditionally worked (Vance 1978). Today, urban morphologists see the city

as an accumulation and integration of many individual and small group actions, governed

by cultural traditions and shaped by social and economic forces over time (Moudon 2002;

Kropf 2001). Whitehand and Carr (2001) stated that morphological analysis is based on

both scale and time. Urban form can be understood at different levels of resolution, for

example the building/lot, street/block, neighborhood/district, and city/region.

Temporally, urban form can best be understood as continuous replacement and

transformation, or what Park, Burgess and McKenzie (1925) called invasion and

succession.

Complex systems are inherently evolutionary and provide a way of

conceptualizing time that permits a proper understanding of the relationship between the

temporal and the social aspects of urban development. To this end, Salingaros (1998,

2000) outlines fundamental processes behind urban form that are based on rules derived

from connective principles in complexity theory. In a similar vein, Crang (2000, 304)

argues that the city is a dynamic site of flows, movements, and minglings of people,

information, and things. “. . . The city is becoming an all-encompassing infinite space as

cities lose their old structure and identity, giving way to the formlessness that is produced

43

by urbanization. New environments of division and connection, power and inequality

are emerging. Complexity theory can facilitate an understanding of how a city grows and

changes.

At the end of Death and Life of Great American Cities, Jane Jacobs (1961, 433)

reminds the reader that “cities happen to be problems in organized complexity, like the

sciences.” But “because the life sciences and cities happen to pose the same kinds of

problems does not mean they are the same problems” (Jacobs 1961, 439). According to

Montgomery (1998, 271) Jacobs was in tune with the modern city with her “fierce

passion for the complexity of the everyday life she so keenly observed.” Pure science is

discovery, not invention or prediction. Thus, because understanding complex systems “. .

. entails investigating empirical particulars and constructing general abstractions” (Peet,

1998, 3), my research uses the case study approach in which certain variables are

analyzed over time with the goal of seeking understanding within the context of the

literature related to urban growth and change.

Continuity Amidst Change in American Urban Geography

Geographic research provides a reminder of the durability of spatial forms and

processes of American urbanization. Many of the apparently new trends in urban areas

are as much a matter of changes in scale and terminology as they are changes in process.

In other words, plots have been transformed into building areas; neighborhoods into

planning sectors or zones; streets into transportation infrastructure; traditional public

buildings into facilities; open space and parks into lawns and playing fields; and public

squares into shopping malls. Underlying patterns resulting from human actions viewed

over a long period of time have been the quest of urban geographers such as Conzen

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(1960), Ward (1964), Pred (1977), Borchert (1978) and Vance (1977, 1990). More

recently, and along the same line of research, Ford (1995) and Wyly (1999, 310)

reinforce the idea of the value of underlying patterns, especially “the long term stability

of residential differentiation”, albeit at a larger scale. Residential segregation by race or

income, and suburban/exurban development processes are evidence of continuity in the

American urban landscape. Residential morphology has “gone from having the elite on

one block and the poor on the next or in the alley to discrete neighborhoods for different

classes to distinct, unrelated regions for different types of people and different economic

activities” (Ford 1995, 560). Florida (2002, 8), in his examination of such distinct,

unrelated regions, differentiates between creative class cities and more traditional

corporate centers or old economy cities. Creative cities have “a thriving music scene,

ethnic and cultural diversity, outdoor recreation, great night life, and creative class people

– those in science and engineering, architecture, etc. whose economic function is to create

new ideas.” Examining forty-nine large urban regions of the USA based on the above

criteria, Florida (2002, 246) has created a creativity index in which Austin ranks second

(San Francisco is number one), while San Antonio ranks thirty-fourth. This

differentiation is one of the reasons there may be a difference in the planning paradigms

and growth outcomes between these two communities.

Kevin Lynch (1981, 181), noting that no single theory deals successfully with

continuous change, affirmed that the decisive elements of urban transformation are

“political leaders, families and ethnic groups, major investors, the technicians of

transport, the decision elite, and the revolutionary classes.” Rather than arriving at a

particular model, Lynch developed a set of performance criteria that were mutually

45

independent and included vitality, sense, access, control, efficiency, and justice.

Following Lynch’s philosophy, to a degree, my research will examine the Austin/San

Antonio corridor region in terms of its performance toward sustainability, using variables

based on the literature, but within the context of certain urban theories and models that

can inform the methodology and research results.

Theories/Models Relevant to the Research

A brief explanation of the role of theories and models in geography is needed to

avoid confusion over the use of these terms in my study. A theoretical framework

provides the context for general understanding and making enlightening connections

within a given sphere of science - such as geography. Theory tries to replicate “. . . in the

imagination a certain particular sequence of events or category of real occurrences using

the device of generalization, usually (or conventionally) looking for commonalities

and/or differences . . .” (Peet 1998, 5). Harvey (1969, 145-6) admits that models are

multi-functional and difficult to define, but should be regarded as a “. . . formalised [sic]

expression of a theory . . . the model serves to transfer the theory into realms which are

more familiar, more understandable, more controllable, or more easily manipulated.” A

model may be thought of as a kind of skeletal representation of the theory. My research

relies, to an extent, on certain models and/or theories. Based on the above definitions,

and for the sake of brevity, in this paper I will often combine the two words into

“theories/models.”

For my study, the test of a theory is not its validation against empirical evidence

but, rather, its coherence and its capacity to provide insight into an issue. Societies are

open systems in which the same conditions are rarely reproduced; theories cannot, as

46

positivists contend, predict the future; they can only “illuminate the past and the present,

and provide guidance to an appreciation of the future" (Johnston et al. 1994, 622-623).

For the purposes of my research, the logical positivist approach is too limiting, given the

complexity and multi-scale interactions of the various processes that give rise to urban

form. Rather, as mentioned earlier, I will draw understanding for the current urban

pattern from several classic urban theories/models: it is not the goal of this research to

promote any one particular theory or model. However, there are several that will provide

a general framework necessary for my study of urban growth and change within the

context of sustainability. Earlier I discussed complexity theory. Other theories/models

that will inform my research include urban ecology, conflict theory, and postmodernism

(really more of a paradigm). Urban ecology and conflict theory are used as rationales for

measuring social distance; complexity and general systems theories justify the

methodology used in my study; and conflict theory and postmodernism inform the

research questions related to the efficacy of planning and quality of life.

Urban Ecology

The processes of segregation establish moral distances which make the city a mosaic of little worlds which touch but do not interpenetrate.

Park 1915, 608

A community develops from simple to more complex forms through a sequence of developmental stages known as succession . . . the series culminates in a climax state in which a dominant species appears. The dominant species is related to the environment in such a way that it is able to control and maintain the community.

Lawrence 2003, 31

One of the first urban models to address the internal arrangement of cities, and

one that is relevant to this study, is the zonal model that is rooted in the concept of urban

ecology as developed by Park, Burgess and McKenzie (1925) at the University of

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Chicago in the 1920s and 1930s. Urban ecology, also called human ecology, is the study

of how society is organized spatially (Kaplan, Wheeler and Holloway 2004). The

Chicago School theorists described cities as being like ecological communities in which

urban patterns emerge from the competition among social groups over resources (similar

to how plants compete for sunlight and moisture). Central to urban ecology (and to my

research into urban growth and change) is the notion of social distance where social

groups avoid contact with other social groups, often trying to live as far away from them

as possible (Simmel 1983 [1908]; Park 1924; Bogardus 1925). In this way, social

distance creates spatial distance. Also critical to urban ecology is the process of invasion

and succession that drives neighborhood change. In Park and Burgess’ zonal model, the

arrival of new immigrant groups is like tossing a pebble into a pond, with the impact

radiating outward in concentric circles. New arrivals, needing to live near employment in

the central business district (CBD or Zone 1), settle in neighborhoods encircling the

CBD. This area becomes a transition zone (Zone 2) as former residents, feeling

uncomfortable living with a “foreign group”, leave for the workingmen’s homes (Zone 3);

whose residents then leave for the residential zone (Zone 4); whose residents then leave

for the commuters’ zone (Zone 5). This process results in natural areas. For example,

land in the city center is advantageous for retail and office land uses while lands near a

railroad or port are best suited for industrial uses. In this way, slums, business districts,

suburbs, etc. are all natural areas, meaning they are culturally distinct land-use patterns

determined, not by urban planners, but by social and economic competition (Lyon 1989).

This conception of urban planning would support the finding that planning as currently

practiced in the study areas may be ineffectual or even counter productive.

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Much of the literature on urban growth and change was framed within Park and

Burgess’ zonal model, but their model is not the ‘be all – end all’ as it has its detractors

who argue that it is simplistic and no longer relevant. For example, Hoyt (1939) claimed

urban sectors (not zones) more accurately portrayed the American industrial city, while

Harris and Ullman (1945) argued that multiple nuclei best described urban morphology.

Alternatively, Berry and Kasarda (1977) point out that choice has more of a role in the

evolution of a city than Park and Burgess allowed, and the reliance on unrestrained

competition and population movements was problematic. Harris and Lewis (1998)

contend the zonal dichotomy over-simplified the urban dynamic so as to emphasize the

supposed contrast between suburban affluence with inner-city poverty.

Still, the processes in the urban ecology approach remain relevant and are

considered in this research. While current patterns of urban growth and change may not

reflect the exact morphology of the zonal model, the process of invasion and succession

and social distance may still be at work. In my study I investigate this idea, and am open

to other driving forces of growth and change, such as marketing, consumption, political

economy, conflict, and investments in the urban infrastructure. Today, as in the Chicago

of Park and Burgess, the most desirable land still goes to those who can use it the most

‘efficiently’ (or highest and best use in real estate parlance), and this struggle determines

the shape of the community.

Conflict Approaches

The urban ecological perspective includes the concepts of struggle and separation,

ideas at the core of the conflict approach in urban geography. In this epistemology

(which is rooted in Marxist and neo-Marxist theory), cities exist in a larger urban

49

structure; local economies are interconnected; and political and economic institutions

shape urban life. Uneven development and political economy (investment and

disinvestment) are the critical factors in understanding urban form and its change (Harvey

1973). Conflict theorists feel that capitalism is exploitative and causes class and racial

polarization, with almost all richer people moving to the suburb/exurb, abandoning the

central city to the elderly, jobless, poor and minorities (Morrill 1970, 1973, Bunge 1975).

Castells (1977) replaced the primacy of economics with a system based on economic,

political, and cultural functions. In his analysis of Detroit, Bunge (1975) put forward an

exploitative model of urban structure consisting of three interdependent units: the city of

death (poor inner city residents), the city of superfluity (suburbs, the home of the

powerful elite class, professionals, and politicians), and the city of need (home of the

blue-collar workers and union members). In an updated exploitative model, Marcuse

(1997) identifies three fundamental elements of the globalizing city: the citadel (insulated

areas of upper-income residence), enclave (voluntary spaces of social concentration such

as San Francisco’s Chinatown or Santa Fe’s artist communities) and ghetto (places

maintained by forces external to the desires of their residents) – all elements that are

based on separation of classes, or socio-economic distance.

Referring to Lefebvre’s (1970, 1991) two circuits of capital, the spatial patterning

of cities reflects exploitative injustices where capitalists maximize profit by maximizing

production (primary circuits), but that leads to glutted markets and falling prices that can

be alleviated only by switching to investment in secondary circuits (warehouses, offices,

commercial strip centers and big-box retail, residential subdivisions, etc.). Today, it is

consumption more so than production that drives urban growth, consumption that is

50

reflected in the landscapes of Home Depots, Wal-Marts, and destination outlet malls. Is

this growth for growth’s sake, or, to put it another way, the ascendancy of “acquisitive

man or homo oeconomicus whose ethos is rooted in growthmania and . . . conspicuous

consumption” (Jung and Jung 1993, 86)? Gober (2005), when asked about the economic

base of Phoenix, replied that the primary industry was growth, or growth for growth’s

sake - continuous investment in secondary circuits of capital as the primary driving force

of a post-industrial urban economy. This phenomenon is reflected in the study area with

the planning and construction of the new Texas 130 highway, a bypass purportedly

designed to relieve traffic congestion on Interstate 35 that goes through the heart of

Austin. In reality, the “tollway will create a new growth corridor, dangling the

possibilities of valuable development for the region as well as the threat of costly, long-

term sprawl problems” (Scheibal 2005).

Risa Palm (1981) argued that urban form and change was a direct result of the

economic goals of builders, speculators, investors, and Chambers of Commerce, perhaps

a precursor to Logan and Molotch’s (1987) urban growth machine. In this approach

Logan and Molotch apply Lefebvre’s abstract and social space in concentrating on battles

between pro- and anti-growth factions. Abstract space (a la VonThunen) is what

business people, investors and governments have in mind when they discuss development

size, location, profit, and sales tax revenues. Social space (a la Tuan) is what individuals

who live, work and play in an area think of their environment. Government and business

interests are working in abstract space when Wal-Mart comes to town, while locals,

living in social space, may see the store’s arrival as contributing to the destruction of their

51

sense of place and environmental amenities, critical elements to sustainable communities.

There are numerous examples of these “battles” in the Austin/San Antonio study area.

Other Relevant Models

During the 1950s and 60s, data, more so than fieldwork, became the

preoccupation of most geographers. In urban geography the statistician’s modular space

took the place of the field researcher’s infinitely variable space. One example of this

change in research methodology is social area analysis, the “census-born descendant of

classical [urban] ecology’s natural areas” (Lyon 1989, 43). In social area analysis, census

tracts (or groupings of census tracts) take the place of Park’s natural areas as the unit of

analysis. And growth and change is not only measured spatially, but temporally by

comparing different census dates. For example, Shevky and Williams (1949) developed

socioeconomic, family, and ethnic status indices in their study of Los Angeles’ census

tracts. Socioeconomic indices’ variables include population and housing indicators such

as education, occupation, income, housing quality, rent, and household facilities. Family

(or urbanization) indices’ variables include age of population and housing, family size,

fertility, marital status and type of housing unit. And finally, ethnic indices’ variables

include racial and linguistic groups.

By applying factor analysis to an extended list of census tract variables (including

Shevky and Bell’s variables), factorial ecology was borne in the 1960s (Sweetser 1965;

Janson 1980). Using fifty or more characteristics, the factorial approach replaced strict

deductive social area analysis with an inductive search for common dimensions of

variation within urban areas. According to this method, five factors - socioeconomic

status, family status, ethnicity, residential mobility and population, and functional size -

52

explain the ecological structure of most American cities. The selection and use of

variables in social area analysis and factorial ecology help inform the selection and use of

variables in my research.

While social area analysis and factorial ecology focus on social dimensions of

urban life, edge cities represent a relatively new model for the spatial pattern of urban

development (Garreau 1991). Edge city development, which is evident in the Austin/San

Antonio study area, is driven by the automobile and associated parking requirements, the

communications revolution, and the entry of women in large numbers into the labor

market. While agreeing with Fishman (1987) that new city forms appear chaotic in their

early stages, Garreau (1991, 116) nevertheless manages to identify basic types of edge

cities: uptowns or peripheral pre-automobile settlements that have been absorbed by

urban sprawl; boomers or edge cities located at freeway intersections; and greenfields

occurring at “the intersection of several thousand acres of farmland and one developer’s

monumental ego.” In the edge city model, community occurs not through propinquity,

but via telephone, fax, and private mail service. Privatopia is the term used to describe

the “secession of the successful”, residential edge cities which consist of private housing

or common-interest developments (CIDs), and are administered by homeowner

associations (McKenzie 1994, 196). CIDs have promoted an ideology of “hostile

privatism” that has resulted in a culture of nonparticipation, in which the duties of

citizenship “. . . consist of satisfying one’s obligations to private property” (McKenzie

1994, 19, 196). Then again, Davis (1990) argues that unequal capital concentration,

relentless business and real estate competition, and power struggles among competing

elites make the city a place of ominous struggle. Both McKenzie’s privatism and Davis’s

53

struggle fit within the paradigm of urban ecology and socio-economic distance that is part

if my research.

In the Chicago School, the ominous struggle was invasion and succession at the

local scale driven by immigration at the global scale. Similarly, in the postmodern

perspective (sometimes called the Los Angeles School), the struggle manifests itself at the

local scale, but is based on economic rules set at the global scale (Soja 1989; Davis 1990;

Scott and Soja 1996). Fundamental urban dynamics include a “global-local connection

[scale], a ubiquitous social polarization [social distance], and a reterritorialization of the

urban process in which the hinterland organizes the center,” all dynamics that are

mirrored in the Austin/San Antonio paradigmatic region (Dear and Flusty 1998, 50).

Knox (1991, 191) identifies “new” urban settings “including private master-planned

communities, high-tech corridors, mixed-use developments, festival settings, gentrified

neighborhoods, and preserved historic buildings and neighborhoods.” Three groups are

responsible for this landscape genre: 1) a development industry of large scale, long term

players; 2) civic planners who no longer have any control of the built environment; and

3) the new bourgeoisie, “materialistic and slavish to conservative ideals and fashions”

(Knox 1991, 184). Sorkin (1992) envisions the modern American city as a theme park –

similar to Relph’s (1976) other-directed, disneyfied places such as vacationland and

consumerland - in which prepackaged landscapes are engineered to satisfy the fantasies

of suburban/exurban living and urban wanabees, a perception mirrored in San Antonio’s

River Walk, Austin’s Sixth Street, San Marcos’ Outlet Mall, and Buda’s Cabelas. For

Soja, Smith and Sorkin, modern American cities like Los Angeles and San Antonio are

54

decentered metropolises powered by real estate developers and manufacturers of culture

who define taste and consumption patterns.

Postmodern perspectives amplify the need to examine the “restless urban

landscape” at different scales as I do in this research, and also reinforce the contention

that planning is ineffectual and planners do very little planning. In the postmodern city

(as in Garreau’s edge city), conventional politics is dysfunctional, and local government

land use regulations are anachronistic at best. In the Austin/San Antonio region,

municipalities mostly use zoning, subdivision regulations, and subsequent variances that

seem incapable of dealing with real estate development driven by large scale, long-term

players such as KB Homes and Wal-Mart. Exurban areas don’t even have all these

planning tools. Such development has environmental consequences beyond city limits

and needs to be dealt with at a regional level.

Sprawl

Our property seems to me the most beautiful in the world. It is so close to Babylon that we enjoy all the advantages of the city, and yet when we come home we are away from all the noise and dust.

539 BC cuneiform tablet to King of Persia – Utne Reader 1987, Harold Henderson.

Background

Between 1987 and 1997 urbanized areas (as defined by the U.S. Census)

increased forty-seven percent, while the nation’s population grew by seventeen percent

(Platt 2004a). This pattern of urban development in America has been described,

somewhat pejoratively, as sprawl. Sprawl is auto-dependent, spread out development,

where the activities of daily life are separated by long distances linked only by pavement.

As a result, sprawl entrains the excessive transformation of natural areas to hard surfaces,

55

such as ever-widening roads, parking lots, driveways, and roofs (Otto et al. 2002).

Galster et al. (2001) define sprawl as:

… a pattern of land use in a UA [urban area] that exhibits low levels of some combination of eight distinct dimensions: density, continuity, concentration, clustering, centrality, nuclearity, mixed uses and proximity.

Sprawl is a modern manifestation of the urban theories and models discussed above, and,

as such, is a major theme in my research. I will use the measurement of sprawl as an

indicator of social-economic and environmental sustainability after establishing the

negative consequences of this pattern and process on urban quality of life.

As is evident from the cuneiform tablet quote at the beginning of this section, the

desire to spread out and away from the central city has been a longstanding phenomenon.

In the U.S., during the nineteenth century antipathy for urban living grew as cities

became ugly, uncomfortable places in which to live (So and Getzels 1988). Nineteenth

century romantics reinforced the urge to escape the industrial city by espousing the

Arcadian ideal of a comforting nature and the Jeffersonian ideal of agrarian democracy, a

world of individual freedom, privacy and rurality (Blackwood and Carpenter 1978;

(Jackson 1985; Herbers 1986; Coppack 1988). In his pattern books, Andrew Jackson

Downing presented images of single family, detached villas and cottages on landscaped

lots - the ideal residential morphology for American pastoral democracy (Stilgoe 1988;

Marsh 1990). Nineteenth century essayists glorified “…a proximate, partly mythic

wilderness and inspired a generation of readers to take up ‘county living’ ” (Dubbink

1984, 416). Frederick Law Olmstead and Calvert Vaux designed subdivisions for single

family, detached housing in park-like settings: “..a private world of peace and harmony

set in an imaginary past” (Dubbink 1984, 416); “…a home built along a country road,

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near hills or water…within one and one-half hours commuting distance from the city”

(Schmitt 1969, 182). Today Jeffersonian and Arcadian ideals continue to affect

perceptions of the ideal living space as developers and homebuyers spread into the urban

field seeking privacy and “the city in nature” (Vance, Jr. 1972, 209). In the study area

the city in nature is sought in the Hill Country west of Interstate 35 and/or near the waters

of the region’s rivers and lakes.

In twentieth century America, transportation and communications networks,

cheap land, inexpensive construction methods, abundant energy, and racial polarization

facilitated outward movement and population deconcentration. Governmental policies,

beginning with the National Housing Act 1934 designed to stimulate the depressed U.S.

economy, subsidized the urban to suburban/exurban movement, increasing sprawl by

underpricing the costs of development in fringe areas (Blackwood and Carpenter 1978;

Blake 1979; Peiser 1989). The Home Owner’s Loan Corporation (HOLC) overtly

promoted segregation in housing with its four color-coded grades of housing quality –

with red giving rise to the term redlining, or refusal to insure loans in mixed, racially

diverse neighborhoods. The 1949 and 1954 Federal Housing Redevelopment Acts and

Federal Housing Administration (FHA) and Veterans Administration (VA) rules for

mortgage insurance promoted single family, detached housing over clustered housing,

new construction over rehabilitation, peripheral development over central city

development, and segregation over integration. Over the past fifty years, the fruits of

these policies have been reflected by the tripling of average floor area and lot size of new

single family homes while at the same time the average family size decreased – all

factors exacerbating sprawl (Platt 2004a).

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After World War II people could afford larger and larger houses as income grew

faster than housing costs, and the Federal government granted income tax deductions for

mortgage interest payments. The substitution of inexpensive septic systems and

individual water wells for city sewerage and water enabled large-lot, dispersed

development in the urban field (Davis, Nelson and Dueker 1994). The resulting urban

pattern is characterized by mass regional urbanization with everything traditionally

associated with the city now increasingly evident almost everywhere in the post-

metropolis. The urban condition and urbanism, as a way of life, are becoming virtually

ubiquitous (Peet 1998). In such a condition, larger lots for single family dwellings force

a rapid consumption of land at and beyond the urban fringe, and the resulting dispersed

population remains dependent upon the subsidized expressways that resulted from the

Interstate Highway Act of 1956 (Hartshorn 1992). In the study area, many of the larger

houses in the Hill Country region are dependent upon private wells for water, septic

systems for waste disposal, and federally-funded expressways for daily travel needs.

Overall, the Austin/San Antonio paradigmatic region exhibits many of the qualities

associated with sprawl, and thus offers an excellent opportunity to examine the region’s

sustainability based on the degree and evolution of sprawling development. Therefore, I

will next cover the sprawl debate with the intention of establishing the validity of using

sprawl as an indicator of quality of life, i.e. social, economic and environmental well-

being.

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The Debate – Is Sprawl Good, Bad, or Indifferent?

Sprawl is “… one name for many conditions and has both critics and defenders”

(Galster et al. 2001, 681). According to Bourne (1996, 690):

There are two starkly opposing views on the dispersed North American metropolis. One argues that the decentralized and discontinuous pattern of contemporary urban development is wasteful, inefficient and inequitable, and that it may be unsustainable in social environmental and economic terms in the long run. The extreme image is of a vast, low-density politically fragmented urban region with sprawling isolated suburbs surrounding a dark and decaying inner core. The alternative view sees this dispersed form as the logical outcome of unassailable market forces, rapid structural and technological changes, rising incomes, and explicit consumer preferences. Indeed, some argue that these same forces are leading to a more efficient organization of urban space for both firms and individuals. Each view solicits different policy responses, the former designed to encourage more compact and sustainable forms, the latter less regulation, more choice, and lower investment in older urban cores.

Early in the sprawl debate, it was argued that scatteration is the gradual filling-in of

undeveloped areas within communities and provides flexibility in urban development,

enabling efficient adaptation to change (Wright 1958; Lessinger 1962). Residential

compaction (today’s New Urbanism or Smart Growth?) loads the community with the

fashions of the day, and hence the obsolescences of tomorrow. Sprawl can foster

interdependence by spreading urbanity and creating prospects for a “maze of subcultures

within an amazingly diverse society organized upon a broadly shared cultural base”

(Webber 1964, 29). Lessinger (1962, 159) reasons that “the new ideology of anti-

scatteration carries the danger of every swing of the pendulum in human affairs: it goes

too far and it travels along the identical path taken by the ‘problem’.” He concludes that:

…scatter suits an economy where growth and technological, social, and economic change predominate. Compaction may suit a stabilized economy, without inequalities in the distribution of income, seeking optimization of its resources. Every economy will need to find its most appropriate combination of the two (Lessinger 1962, 168).

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Over time, other observers of the urban scene have reinforced Wright and

Lessinger’s position that spatial dispersion in cities is the overwhelming choice for

residential living, and the impact of discontinuous urban development is very likely

positive rather than negative (Peiser 1989; Gordon and Richardson 1997, 2000). The

traffic consequences of sprawl are benign; the ‘efficiency’ of compact development has

not been adequately demonstrated; and concentrated settlement is only worthwhile if

transport and communication costs are high, but these have been falling for many years

(Gordon and Richardson 1997). Related to transport costs, Gordon and Richardson

(1997) asserted that the energy costs of sprawl are “overblown” as there is a global

energy glut, a stance that is undermined by rising gas prices in 2005. It is even possible

that growth management policies promoting compact development oversimplify issues

and inadvertently exacerbate environmental problems (Audirac, Shermyen, and Smith

1990).

On the other side of the debate, Guest (1975), and Healy and Rosenburg (1979)

note that sprawl is development that stretches out carelessly along transportation routes

and aimlessly over the countryside leapfrogging over usable space. Sprawling urban

fringe growth is:

…a pattern of urbanization lacking in human scale and interest; stripped of a sense of public life; stratified by social and economic class; destructive of land, energy, and natural resources; inconvenient and wasteful of time; poorly organized and disorienting; and ill-suited to adaptation and change (Southworth and Owens 1993, 285).

Related to the issue of consumerism, Neuman (1991, 346) adds that: “the mass-producing

industrial economy has commodified the American dream of the single family home the

only way it could – into large-scale suburban sprawl.”

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When discussing sprawl, it is important to keep in mind that it is the impacts of

development that render development patterns undesirable, not the patterns themselves

(Ewing 1997). Impacts can be directly assessed which is one of the goals of this

research. While discussing one state’s (Florida) anti-sprawl rules, Ewing notes that two

primary sprawl indicators are poor accessibility and lack of functional open space, or

open space that is held in private, not public, hands. The ultimate caricature of this

situation is the walled and gated subdivision where no land, including street right-of-way,

is public. There are approximately 355 gated and/or walled subdivisions platted in the

San Antonio area alone (Young 2005). Another criticism of sprawl is diminishing street

connectivity (because of the inward focus of fringe area subdivisions). A weakening

connection between buildings and streets has adversely affected the fringe area sense of

place. A major influence on these street patterns has been the Institute of Transportation

Engineers’ emphasis on vehicular movement (Southworth and Parthasarathy 1996).

Anyone can see that the multi-car garage has come to monopolize the suburban/exurban

streetscape. This emphasis on vehicular movement is reflected in the U.S. where vehicle

miles traveled (VMT) increased by 147.7 percent between 1970 and 2000, almost four

times more than the rate of population growth for the same period, which was 38.4

percent. Also, the number of registered vehicles grew by 103.0 percent between 1970

and 2000. Increased vehicle miles traveled means more time spent in vehicles, usually

alone, as well as increased air pollution and cost of upkeep, variables that are used in my

study to reflect quality of life and the condition of the environment.

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The Costs of Sprawl

If sprawl in its current form is indeed undesirable, exactly what are its negative

features and impacts? There has been considerable research into the economic, social

and environmental costs of sprawl, primarily using traditional cost-benefit analyses, but

these costs have not been directly related to the economic, equity, and environmental

aspects of sustainability (or the three E’s which are discussed in the next section of this

chapter) (Real Estate Research Corporation 1974; Lamb 1983; Ewing 1997; Burchell et

al. 2002; Johnson 2002). Some of the economic costs examined using the cost-benefit

analysis approach include the high price of public infrastructure, facilities and services;

residential capital costs; and rising property taxes. Nelson and Dueker (1990, 1994) warn

that sprawled types of development will cause scarce resources to be devoted to public

services and a transportation system that will be “…very costly to provide over large

areas at low densities.” Orfield (1997) draws attention to the negative fiscal impacts not

just in areas that are experiencing sprawl but in inner cities and inner suburbs that are

losing population which results in a shrinking tax base. Similarly, social costs

investigated in this way include lack of usable public or open space; segregated land uses

resulting in homogenous populations in terms of race, ethnicity, class and housing status;

impacts on central cities and downtowns; limitation of housing opportunity; increased

traffic and commuting time; isolation, resistance to change, and loss of sense of

community; loss of resource lands and favorable externalities such as scenic landscapes;

and political fragmentation coupled with the inability of local governments to work

together, or the lack of integrated government networks. To a great extent, the social

costs are caused by seclusion in suburbia and dependence on the automobile which

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devours time and space, increasing peoples’ frustrations and ennui, as well as sense of

community loss (Fromm 1955; Jacobs 1961; Haworth 1963; Packard 1972). Lastly,

environmental impacts of sprawl include excessive energy consumption, air and water

pollution, increased water and energy consumption, increase in the risk of floods and

landslides, fragmented habitat, loss of wildlife and vegetative habitat, and extinction of

indigenous species (Healy and Rosenberg 1979; Ewing 1997; Sierra Club 1999; Johnson

2002).

The Austin/San Antonio corridor region relies on groundwater for much of its

water supply, but “planless and piecemeal development” can reduce the natural recharge

of groundwater aquifers (Platt 1976, 7). Stormwater runoff and septic systems can cause

changes in the hydrologic balance and threaten groundwater quality. Furthermore, not

only is groundwater affected, but surface water as well. For example, VanMetre, Mahler

and Furlong (2000) found a positive relationship between increasing automobile traffic

associated with sprawl and the presence of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in

aquatic sedimentation. In fact, the issue of sprawl and its impact on both surface and

groundwater, in and of itself, has been the subject of considerable research (Terstreip,

Voorhees and Bender 1976; Herbers 1986; Marsh and Hill-Rowley 1989; Otto et al.

2002).

The relationship between the costs or impacts of sprawl and sustainable

development has yet to be firmly established. One way to help establish the relationship

is to connect the local scale to the global scale, which is essential for sustainable

communities and a healthy globe. Within the notion of their “ecological footprint,”

(which will be discussed in the next section), Wackernagel and Rees (1996) assert that

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the decisions of many individual landowners acting in their own self-interest results in

cumulative impacts that are not restricted to the local area of interest, an evolution of

Hardin’s (1968) Tragedy of the Commons extrapolated to a larger scale. In other words,

land use changes in one area have environmental repercussions in other distant areas. For

instance, Hahn and Simonis (1991) claim that potentially disastrous (global)

environmental changes, such as the greenhouse effect and decrease in biodiversity, are

directly related to sprawling urban development. Thus, what happens in the Austin/San

Antonio region has repercussions at the global scale.

Urbanized areas are places that represent the most materialized form of society’s

interaction with the natural environment, but today’s cities exemplify careless treatment

of environmental resources, in part due to the present approach to city planning that

stands in direct conflict to the “already endangered ecological basis of the earth” (Hahn

and Simonis 1991, 199). The car-oriented city and the separation of urban functions have

led to a staggering increase in the settlement surface per inhabitant, and this exponential

expansion of developed land has grave ecological consequences. Relating sprawl’s social

impacts to environmental impacts, Hahn and Simonis (1991, 200), speaking of societal

problems such as individual malaise, go so far as to note that “the atrophy of the inner

world takes place parallel to the destruction of the outer environment.”

The literature confirms that the sprawling pattern of urban growth and change

results in a multitude of economic, social, and environmental impacts at all scales – the

neighborhood, community, region, and globe. Thus, analysis of past urban growth and

change may be undertaken in terms of certain criteria such as environmental deterioration

(or improvement), economic decline (or growth), and social indicators as previously used

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in social area analysis and factorial ecology related to quality of life and social distance -

or, more generally, against the criterion of sustainability. Consequently, my research will

measure sprawl in the study region as an index of sustainability.

Measuring Sprawl

There have been many efforts at measuring the characteristics, impacts, and

extent of sprawl in the urban field (Lamb 1983; Alberti 1999; Sierra Club 1999; Downs

1999; Malpezzi 1999; Torrens and Alberti 2000; Galster et al. 2001; El Nasser and

Overberg 2001; Ewing, Pendall, and Chen 2002; Wolman et al. 2002). No single

methodology is necessarily the best way to measure sprawl, but I will discuss methods

that can be operationalized in this study. It must be noted that the measurement of land

use change has proven to be difficult due to the coarseness of much of the data (county-

and state-level) and the blurring of land-use and land-cover categories (Theobald 2001).

For example, the National Resources Inventory (NRI) uses aerial photographic

interpretation and field surveys to measure land use change, but the data is reported at the

county level, and thus of limited use for identifying the dynamics of change in the urban

field. The Land Use and Land Cover data set developed by the U.S. Geological Survey

categorizes land cover into nine major categories, but in so doing misses exurban growth

in which the use is more urban in nature, but the land cover appears rural (Anderson et al.

1976). A ranchette is, in actuality, more urban than rural, but may appear rural in aerial

photographs or satellite imagery. Similarly, the Land Cover Characteristics (LCC)

dataset was created using satellite imagery, but at lower land-use intensities (i.e. sprawl)

the “relationship between land cover and land use degrades rapidly” (Theobald 2001,

547). Thus these efforts at sprawl measurement underestimate large areas of low-density

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settlement in the urban field. Indeed, there is growing recognition that human-dominated

ecosystems are becoming commonplace in the urban field, but are not recognizable using

land cover categories derived from aerial photography and satellite imagery.

On the other hand, census data has long proven to be useful in estimating sprawl.

For example, Lamb (1983) used population data to develop a concentration index (CI) to

measure three basic components of sprawl: isolated homes, strip development, and

leapfrog development, all of which can be found in the Austin/San Antonio corridor

region. The index measures the proportion of total population growth in a region which

occurs within urban centers with a population of at least one thousand people. Lamb’s

method is appealing in its relative simplicity, but measuring sprawling growth, based on

population, underestimates change due to the presence of second homes and vacation

homes, a feature common in my study region (Theobald 2001). For example, there are

high rates of unoccupied housing that occur in amenity areas such as the Hill Country and

lands around Canyon Lake, Lake Travis, Lake Austin and other highland lakes along the

Colorado River. To overcome this weakness in Lamb’s method, Theobald analyzes

sprawl by classifying housing density (or all housing units on the ground) into urban

(more than one unit per acre), suburban (0.1 to 1.0 units per acre), exurban (0.025 to 0.1

units per acre), and rural (fewer than 0.025 units per acre) categories.

In one of the most comprehensive analyses of sprawl, Ewing, Pendall and Chen

(2002) used a variety of data sources along with principle components analysis to reduce

twenty-two variables to four factors that represent various aspects of sprawl: residential

density; mix of homes, jobs, and services; strength of town centers; and accessibility of

street network. These four factors are summed to yield an index which is then used to

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rank eighty-three metropolitan areas according to their overall sprawl score. The most

sprawling (number one ranking) metropolitan area is Riverside-San Bernadino in

southern California, and the least sprawling (83rd ranking) is New York City.

Interestingly, both the Austin and San Antonio MSAs ended up with similar rankings:

58th and 53rd respectively, a fact that may prove significant in the event that their

planning paradigms are dissimilar.

I will measure sprawl in the study region based on a combination of these

methods, but with the addition of a “level-of-planning” dimension. My variables will be

limited to census data that can be used to measure change in number of housing units in

particular types (i.e. urban or exurban) of land areas. I will also analyze growth in

incorporated places (planned and generally less spread-out places, or Lamb’s

“concentrated” areas), versus growth in unincorporated areas (less planned and generally

more spread-out areas).

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CHAPTER IV

PLANNING AND SUSTAINABILITY

Planning

. . . the emergence and growth of planning are to a large extent a reaction to the shortcomings of the private property regime. Planning is a means by which society acts collectively to influence and regulate the way in which individuals use their private property (i.e. land).

Rushman 2000, 261 The Condition of Planning

Ironically, many sprawling developments have been “subject to more planning,

and more . . . controls than developments at any time in history” (Southworth and Owens

1993, 285). If planning can be defined as “the arrangement of possible futures” (Steiner

2002, 28), one must question the role of planning in urban growth and change. What is

the current condition of planning in the U.S.A. and in the study area?

Ideally, planning is like planting a tree. The initial action is critical to laying a

solid foundation from which the tree can grow. The arborist, or planner, then lets go (to

an extent) and lets nature and culture take their course (Steiner 2000b). Planning

involves “foresight in formulating and implementing programs and policies” (Hudson

1979, 387). It should be a process of opening peoples’ eyes and engaging them in their

own development activities (Goodman 1971). However, in reality, urban growth and

change are determined by thousands of private development decisions within a

framework of land use regulations administered by city, county, regional, state, and

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federal governments. From the viewpoint of real estate development, the urban region is

an enormous playing field on which thousands of competitors struggle to capture value

by buying and selling land or constructing improvements on that land, a perspective that

fits well with Park and Burgess’ model and urban (human) ecology’s survival of the

fittest paradigm.

The purported goal of urban planning is to intervene in this game to promote the

common good, control for harmful externalities, and protect public health, safety, and

welfare. It should be noted that human ecologists question the degree of intervention

possible, or even advisable, given that city growth is a product of natural forces in which

the growth process is “one of organization and disorganization or, of tendency toward

equilibrium and counteracting disequilibrium” (Kligman 1945, 89). Even modern

ecologists reinforce such thinking by stating that interventionist planning may be trying

to “stabilize inherently unstable states” (Alberti and Marzluff 2004, 249).

Still, planning is necessary because, historically, planners have been the only ones

who can look after the city as a whole. However, working within the current regulatory

framework, and with the exception of the comprehensive plan, planners are compelled to

consider only the subdivision or building site, and not the community or region. In

addition to the question of scale, it is fair to ask if planners even plan. Peiser (1990)

argues that planners are reactors to developer’s initiatives, and are no longer (if they ever

were) the dominant influence in shaping American communities. Today, planners may

be no more than the rule enforcers of contemporary urban America, and the rules they

enforce are based on urban conditions such as over-crowding and disease which are no

longer relevant.

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Since the 1950s planners have become specialists, exercising an “overriding

concern with functional efficiency, objective organization, and manipulative planning” -

or what Relph (1976, 81) calls technique:

Through technique attention is directed to objects and busyness and care for things, to the best way of achieving narrowly defined ends. Inevitably the technician manipulating the world of the public loses sight of the ‘overarching personal structures which give things meaning and ceases to look for meaning in his own existence’ (Wild, 1959, 104).

Planning and public policy have suffered a “sectoralization” with planners carving out

niches, creating jargon and venturing “little past the walls they had erected” (Neuman

1998, 211). Overly mechanical planning becomes the kind of feckless planning which

has contributed to reducing the complex urban landscape “into an asphalt network

stitched together from coast to coast out of a dozen or so crude design ‘templates’ ” (Van

der Ryn and Cowan 1996, 9). Town plans have given way to “developers’ site plans,

highway engineers’ concrete cloverleafs and asphalt ribbons, federal officials’ urban

renewal, environmental regulations and impact reports, and lawyers’ codes” (Neuman

1998, 211). Current development standards protect groups who lack vision and make

errors, as long as one follows the code (Forman 1995, 440). Ultimately, planners are

trapped using standards based on minimum setbacks, lot sizes, and street widths - efforts

focused on only the smallest scales. Suburbia is a case in point. Suburbs are highly

planned at the fine scale and nearly unplanned at the community and regional scales.

Given current land use policies, paradigms, and regulations, planners are ultimately (and

unavoidably) abetting unimaginative, minimalist development proposals which result in

processes and sprawling patterns that may not be sustainable and detract from quality of

life (Pendall 1999).

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In 1964, Melvin Webber (1964, 6) assembled a prescient collection of essays

authored by Berkeley planners, sociologists, and geographers, the goal of which was to

“get closer to the spatial, processural [sic] procedural aspects of the community’s social

and economic life than do traditional city-planning approaches …”. In one essay,

Wheaton (1964, 195) argues that the direct exercise of public policy upon decisions

which shape metropolitan growth is ineffective for several reasons: including the absence

of regional planning agencies; the unwillingness of local governments to make decisions

based on long-range planning; the powerlessness of urban planners; the diffusion of

public and private power and influence; and the indifference and divided interests of

various publics. Planners seemingly have been relegated to serve the narrow interests of

their clients - governmental authorities and bureaucracies (Marcuse 1976).

Institutionalized city planning is lodged within the existing structures of government, and

constrained by the prevailing alignment of political and economic forces within the city

(Molotch 1976).

More and more, civic planning is reduced to the quest for increased property or

sales tax revenues, or ratables. Such quests were first enabled with the 1981 Poletown

Neighborhood Council v. City of Detroit ruling in which the City of Detroit condemned a

residential neighborhood for the construction of an automobile manufacturing plant.

More recently (June 2005), the U.S. Supreme Court, in Kelo v. New London, ruled a

municipal redevelopment authority could condemn an established “middle-class”

waterfront neighborhood to make room for a private office and apartment development

that would generate more sales and property tax revenue than the existing residences.

The precedent for municipalities to use eminent domain for “for tax-generating private

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development such as hotels, malls, and marinas” in which “. . . the beneficiaries are likely

to be those citizens with disproportionate influence and power in the political process,

including large corporations and development firms” is now firmly established (San

Antonio Express News 2005).

Given this state of affairs, perhaps planners should acknowledge that private

developers (or Knox’s large-scale, long-term players) are the architects of urban spatial

organization in a capitalist America (Whitehand and Carr 2001). But the big picture is

still being ignored as developers’ mental maps are sketchy and limited in detail to small

localities (Bourne 1996); a scale at which analyses miss the larger issues of the

community and region, and short circuits the possibility of overall urban design. Key

elements in this development paradigm are making money, the essentially random

selection of a development site, and the developer’s eventual site purchase decision, all of

which are only accidentally related to an overall structure of the city or urban region.

The costs and ease of land assembly, not notions of Lynch’s (1981) “good city form” or

of a sustainable human habitat, drive urban transformation.

Planning Theories/Models

Just as urban geography theories/models help shed light on urban growth and

change, so do urban planning theories/models. The rational model, rooted in general

systems theory and the scientific method, has been predominant in America for half a

century (Martin and Banfield 1955; Lichfield 1970; Levy 2004). Rational planning has

four classical elements: goal-setting, identification of policy alternatives, evaluation of

means, and implementation of policy; techniques can include cost-benefit analyses,

operations research, systems analysis, Monte Carlo methods, Markov chains, Delphi

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techniques, and so forth (Hudson 1979). The rational model calls for the production and

implementation of comprehensive (or master) plans that combine land use policies with a

graphic vision of the future patterns of physical development (Kent 1964; Chapin 1965;

Kaiser et al. 1995). Criticisms of the rational method include its insensitivity to existing

institutional capabilities, reductionism, and failure to appreciate the cognitive limits of

decision-makers who are more likely to “satisfice” rather than optimize (Simon 1955).

The primary criticism of comprehensive plans is that they lack implementation and

political clout, especially in states which don’t require cities to have comprehensive plans

before enacting and enforcing land use ordinances (e.g. Texas) (Levy 2004).

Additionally, Berke (2002) found that most of the rational model’s comprehensive plans

do not take a balanced, holistic approach because their focus is primarily on physical

development, the historic underpinning of the rational planning model. As a result of this

narrow focus, mainstream rational/comprehensive planning may not be able to achieve a

sustainable and livable built environment.

While the rational/comprehensive model has dominated American planning

practice, its deficiencies have given rise to several other schools of thought. Well-known

alternative models include incremental planning, transactive planning, advocacy planning

and radical planning (Hudson 1979). Each model has both its own epistemology for

validating information, and its own perception of the public interest, reflecting a range of

interventions in social, economic, and political processes.

Incremental planning, also known as muddling through, partisan mutual

adjustment, or disjointed incrementalism, emphasizes getting things done through the free

market and democratic political economy (Lindblom 1959). A policy that is an

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adjustment to a previous policy is more likely to gain acceptance with different

stakeholder groups, and also requires less knowledge, time, and money. However, if a

situation calls for a new direction, the incremental approach probably will not work.

Dependence on precedent and past experience makes incrementalists incapable of taking

on new ideas. As a result, excessive caution leads to missed opportunities, a serious flaw

in this approach, given that planning practitioners and academicians alike are calling for

new directions in planning policy and practice to deal with the serious socio-economic

and environmental problems that result from the current pattern of urban growth and

change.

Theoretically, new directions in urban development can be taken at the behest of a

community’s citizens. Transactive planning emphasizes mutual learning and face-to-face

contact with the people affected by land use regulations and decisions. An updated

version of transactive planning is Randolph’s (2004, 53) collaborative environmental

planning which focuses less on government mandates and more on “... the actions of

people, communities, industries, nonprofit organizations, landowners, and others,

working together, often voluntarily, to protect the environment while achieving other

economic and social objectives.” In the transactive model, planners act as

communicators, facilitators, consensus builders, and mediators between different

stakeholder groups (Susskind and Cruikshank 1987; Godschalk et al. 1994; Susskind et

al. 1999). Over the last two decades, local participation in the planning process has

become more prevalent; however “today participatory design is more likely to be used to

preserve the quality of life for affluent and powerful citizens than to fight poverty and

environmental racism … participation has evolved into a movement that can be

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characterized as selfish, short sighted, segregated, sophisticated and scared” (Smith,

Smith, and Hester 1996, 46-7). Citizen involvement seems to have moved away from the

idea that individuals collectively act for the common good. Local groups are increasingly

reactive and oppositional (e.g. the NIMBY – “not in my backyard” - syndrome) resulting

in planning decisions that are often narrow in scope and made in favor of parochial

interests or powerful special interest groups.

Advocacy planning evolved in the sixties during the Civil Rights movement, with

the goal of defending the interests of the weak against strong community groups and the

established powers of businesses and governments (Davidoff 1965; Alinsky 1971).

Radical planning stresses the importance of cooperation and freedom from manipulation

by anonymous forces, but insists that collective actions can achieve concrete results

relatively quickly (Goodman 1971; Illich 1973; Katz and Bender 1976). Radical

planners, similar to conflict theorists, view main-stream planners as “agents of the state”

working to “facilitate economic activity and growth” (Levy 2004, 343); and conventional

planning as a form of Mandarinism playing “handmaiden to conservative politics”

(Kravitz 1970). While much planning effort is expended on promoting economic health,

“ecological health and geopolitical security are taken for granted” (Rees 1997, 73). There

have been dramatic benefits for capital while the urban, regional, and global commons

are being degraded (Clark 1995).

Planning and Sprawl

Well-intentioned, but poorly crafted or poorly applied planning policies result in

actions that in actuality have unexpected results (Platt 1976; Herbers 1986; Popper 1988).

For instance, growth management standards designed to restrict the pace and extent of

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growth into the surrounding countryside often increase growth in this area because many

developers will naturally search for cheaper land and a less constraining regulatory

environment (Esparza and Carruthers 2000; Byan and Esparza 2005). This leap frogging

practice is common in the Austin/San Antonio region because counties in Texas have

little control over land use decisions and real estate development. Thus, areas outside a

city’s limits or extra-territorial-jurisdiction (ETJ) are enticing to many developers and

homebuyers alike.

The use of relatively inexpensive private water wells and easy-to-permit on-site

wastewater disposal systems (OSDS or septic systems) enable urban expansion outside

municipalities with water and sewer infrastructure. In spite of the fact that much of the

Austin/San Antonio region has a fragile ground water hydrology (e.g. the Edwards

aquifer), there are still only minimal restrictions on drilling water wells for single family

residences. Furthermore, the widespread use of septic systems (even if properly installed

and maintained) induces sprawl by allowing previously undevelopable land out of range

of central sewerage to be opened up for subdivision (Popper 1988). And what land-use

rules are in place in fringe areas actually force developers to plat large-lot, dispersed

subdivisions. For much of the Corridor Region, the Edwards Rules require either a one

or five-acre minimum lot-size depending on the type of water supply. Throughout the

state, health policy is being misapplied as land use policy, resulting in inadvertent effects

unrelated to the intent of the law. For example, lot size minimums required by state

health laws for on-site sewerage are one of the few regulatory tools available to Texas

counties, and in the absence of county land use planning policy and regulation, have

become the primary land use regulatory mechanism by default (Vaughan 1994). In this

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situation, the issue of scale is raised once again, as health regulations focus on individual

building sites and are “…not designed to be concerned with broad planning issues, such

as land use and environmental impacts” (Hanson and Jacobs 1989, 178).

The misapplication of planning tools and the narrowly focused nature of the very

tools themselves reiterate the need for new planning paradigms and policies. Within the

context of the literature, it would appear that new planning theories/models are needed to

address changing political, socio-economic, and environmental conditions. Many

planners argue that the concepts of sustainability and sustainable development offer the

foundation for such a model.

Sustainability Sustainable development is a dynamic process in which communities anticipate and accommodate the needs of current and future generations in ways that reproduce and balance local social, economic and ecological systems, and link local action to global concerns.

Berke and Conroy 2000, 23 The Sustainability Debate – Weak or Strong?

I will measure the evolution of sprawl as one indicator of progress toward (or

away from) sustainability and sustainable development in the study region. As with

sprawl, the word sustainability and the term sustainable development are loaded with

nuance, but there appear to be consistencies among the many definitions, primarily

focusing on the long term ability of a system to reproduce (Campbell 1996).

Reproduction is defined as the rate of change of any (urban) system that “must be

sustained over time without exceeding the innate ability of the surroundings to absorb the

impacts of the process” (Neuman 2000, 3). Surroundings can be defined at local,

regional, and global scales. According to Portney (2003) sustainability has six different

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dimensions related to sustainable biological resource use, sustainable agriculture,

carrying capacity, sustainable energy use, sustainable society and economy, and

sustainable development.

When used to describe a system of development, sustainability has another set of

varied definitions. In fact, Saunders (2002) found as many as fifty-seven definitions for

sustainable development. However, there is general consensus among most researchers

that sustainable development should include a balance among economic, social and

environmental considerations. In fact, sustainable development is often described as a

three-legged stool, with each leg representing economic, environmental, and social

(equity) impacts, or the three Es (Berke and Cortez 1995; Goodland and Daly 1996).

Some researchers expand their definition to include additional considerations. Berke

(2002), for example, notes two other dimensions of sustainable development: system

reproduction and the need to link the local to the global, adding that the best way to link

local to global is at the regional level. Similarly, Randolph (2004) agrees that

sustainability involves the three Es, but adds engagement and eternity to draw attention to

necessary political participation and a future orientation. In reality, achieving balance

between the three Es is often difficult because there is a greater focus on the economic

leg of the stool (Clark, 1995).

When the World Commission on Environment and Development (1987) adopted

the term “sustainable development” in 1987, it was linked to the idea that economic

development and environmental protection were compatible, suggesting that economic

growth furthered sustainability. The U.S. President’s Commission on Sustainable

Development (1994) promised harmony between environmental protection and economic

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development. Today, there are definitely opposing viewpoints on how best to achieve

sustainability. On the one hand, cornucopians, believing in an expansionist worldview

associated with neo-classical economics, promote economic development as the way to a

sustainable future (Hotelling 1931; Ricardo 1973 [1817]; Barnett 1974; Simon and Kahn

1984; Sagoff 1990; Panayotou 1993). On the other hand, neo-Malthusians, having a

steady state, ecological worldview, focus more on the natural environment, and they call

for cooperation rather than competition, and for changes in our values, policies, and

personal commitments (Kropotkin 1955 [1902]; Boulding 1966, 1968; Ehrlich 1989;

Daly 1992, 1990, 1974; Etzioni 1994). Attempting to bridge this divide, Blassingame

(1998) and Orr (1992) argue that it is necessary to have changes at both physical

(technological) and ethical (social) levels. As an example, at the technological level,

people can live and consume as they are, but drive more efficient cars; at the social level,

people would change their residential preferences, and live in pedestrian-oriented

communities and have other options for travel.

Owens (1994) classifies these antipodal environmental and economic

development positions as weak and strong sustainable development. The weak definition

states that environmental considerations must be balanced against the benefits of

economic development, and various kinds of capital (human, human-made, natural and

social) are (infinitely) substitutable. Conversely, the strong definition gives

environmental considerations greater weight. Environmental capacities ultimately place

restraints on economic activity, and natural and human-made capital are not perfect

substitutes for each other. From this perspective, when people engage in individualistic

or “rational” economic behavior, they inevitably contribute to the depletion of resources

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(Portney 2003). In the extreme, mainstream economic development undermines the

earth’s carrying capacity, especially with regard to “commons” resources such as air and

water. Malthus (1999 [1798]) and Mill (1965 [1848]), and more recently Ehrlich and

Ehrlich (1991), Hardin (1968, 1993) and Daly (1990, 1992), contend that the

environment needs to be protected from this kind of unfettered growth using a systematic

ecological filtering of all economic development strategies. However, current patterns of

(urban) growth appear to imply quantitative material increase rather than qualitative

improvement and change. Today, the scale of the human economy is resulting in growth

outcomes that exceed the vast, but finite, capacities of environmental sources and sinks

(Lyle 1999). In summary, the “fundamental question for ecological sustainability is

whether remaining natural capital stocks, including ecosystems and biophysical

processes, are adequate to support the anticipated demand of the human economy into the

next century while simultaneously maintaining the general life-support functions of the

ecosphere” (Rees 1997, 65). This fundamental question is ignored by mainstream

economic development analyses.

Arguing for strong sustainability, Clark (1995) contends that the term “sustainable

development” has been co-opted by the World Bank and corporations such as General

Motors, a company that has “consistently opposed environmental regulation.” He urges

us to:

Look outside! Everywhere you see fields asphalted, top soil flowing into storm sewers or contaminated by chemicals, wetlands drained, seashores developed, air and water polluted, grasslands and forests ravaged…These are common sights in the First World (developed countries). Restraint and careful planning are difficult to discern; uninhibited growth predominates (Clark 1995, 227).

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An example of Clark’s vision in the study area is the recent clear-cutting of a huge swath

of wooded land over the Edwards recharge zone north of San Antonio for the Encino

Ridge residential subdivision referred to Chapter 2 of this dissertation. Furthermore,

Clark argues that those engaged in economic and real estate development are either

indifferent to or ignorant of the concept of sustainable development. Cornucopians fail to

acknowledge the first and second laws of thermodynamics, and the fact that people live

in a condition of high entropy compared to the past. “Millions of individual decisions,

based on conventional economic understanding of returns on investments, unleash

activity that further degrades the environment,…” (Clark 1995, 227). Likewise Boulding

(1966) and Daly (1974, 1992), calling for steady state economics, note that sustainability

is subordinate to development, and point out the fallacy of conventional market-driven

economics for ignoring humanity’s dependence on the natural world. Similarly,

MacNeill, Cox, and Jackson (1991, 198) ask the question: “How can the social and

cultural role of cities be enhanced to strengthen the economic and other roles of the city?”

In response, Clark would turn this question around to ask how economics can strengthen

the social and cultural roles of cities. After all, a good economy should free people from

economic concerns.

Sustainability and Urban Growth and Change

If some consider sustainable development to be an oxymoron, even more might

argue that the term “sustainable cities” is a malapropism (Blassingame 1998).

Nevertheless, cities, being “nodes of spatial, economic, social, and political geography

networks” are focal points in the debate about sustainable development (Button 2002,

217). Critical environmental thresholds at the global scale are being approached due to

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actions and policies in urban areas, or at the local scale. For instance, the prospects of

irreversible climate change and ozone depletion are related to sprawling patterns of urban

growth and associated energy consumption (Rees 1997; Alberti and Marzluff 2004).

Clearly, most production, consumption, and transportation activities take place in

metropolitan areas. In the U.S.A., metropolitan area population increased from fifty-five

percent of total population in 1950 to eighty percent of total population in 2000 (Platt

2004a). It is for these very reasons that the challenge for a sustainable future is largely an

urban one (Capello and Nijkamp 2002).

Applying the three “E’s” to the post-industrial, postmodern city, Castells (2000,

119) contends that economic sustainability requires connectivity, or the ability of people

to link up, and a stock of “human resources capable of creating added value in the

information economy.” Social sustainability requires that people avoid social exclusion

and acknowledge the “plural identities that increasingly characterize our cities…”

(Castells 2000, 119). That is to say, neo-tribalism, or retrenchment in walled and gated

communities (CIDs) ends urban life as described by Mumford (1938, 480):

The city … is a geographic plexus, an economic organization, an institutional process, a theater of social action, and an esthetic symbol of collective unity . . . it is the city, the city as theater, that man’s more purposive activities are formulated and worked out, through conflicting and cooperating personalities, events, groups, into more significant culminations.

The key to sustainable communities is the involvement and common interest of its

members in protecting an identifiable, shared environment, and quality of life, similar to

Etzioni’s (1994) communitarianism and Tönnie’s (1963 [1887]) gemeinschaft. Finally,

ecological sustainability is the fight against the “irreversible deterioration of the

environment and quality of life,” a fight that is difficult given the fragmented status of

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urban governments and resultant piece-meal planning efforts (Castells 2000, 119). For

example, in the Austin/San Antonio corridor region, there are currently eighty-eight

incorporated municipalities and thirteen County Commissioners’ Courts (U.S. Census

2005a).

Much of the ecological output of the planet is required to sustain an increasingly

urban society, but ecologically speaking, cities have become the human equivalent of

cattle feedlots, or, to put it more elegantly, they have become “the entropic black holes of

industrial society” (Rees 1995, 356). Thus, urban areas are appropriate for examining

sustainability initiatives, especially based on the notion of the ecological footprint (EF),

which measures the biologically productive area necessary to support current

consumption patterns, given prevailing technological and economic processes

(Wackernagel 1994; Wackernagel and Rees 1996; Holmberg et al. 1999). For every item

of material or energy consumption, a certain amount of land in different ecosystem

categories is required to provide the consumption-related flows and waste sinks. The

maximum load that can be imposed on the environment is a function not only of the

number of people, but even more so of per capita consumption, which is affected by the

form that human habitats take as well a culture’s lifestyle. To measure sustainability in

the study region, I will use variables related to energy consumption and sprawling urban

form.

A sustainable community is a place that seeks to contain the extent of the

footprint and keep to a minimum the destruction of habitat and the conversion of open

land to urban and developed uses. Along this line of thinking, Grant, Manuel, and

Joudrey (1996) note that many of today’s popular urban design models - e.g. Duany’s

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(1991) Traditional Neighborhood Development or TND, and Calthorpe’s (1993) Transit

Oriented Development or TOD - do not confront the issue of sustainable development.

There is little consensus on a philosophy to guide the design of residential environments

other than that mandated by conventional urban planners. In fact, conventional urban

planning probably promotes development that is the opposite of sustainable, and will

require infusions of energy and dollars that will come from rising property taxes, sales

taxes, and user fees.

The larger question, which emerges relating to the impacts of urban growth and

change, is: What is the sustainability of development at all spatial scales. The urban

pattern of land use and its change is of central importance in conceptualizing

sustainability as a balance between social, economic, and environmental goals. Negative

environmental and socio-economic impacts of current land use patterns erode both the

environmental and the socio-economic resource base of an area, thus reducing the

environment’s ability to equitably support the needs of its population both in the short

and longer terms. From this point of view, it is important to measure progress toward

sustainability.

Measuring Sustainability

There have been numerous efforts at developing and measuring sustainability

using a variety of indicators. In fact, “dozens of communities throughout the country

have sustainable development programs” (Krizek and Power 1996, 33). At the local

scale, indicators should be used to provide guidelines as to the effects of growth on the

urban environment; they should be few in number and reflect important environmental

and socio-economic trends of interest (Button 2002). However, the use of indicators has,

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in many cases, arguably been for purposes of economic development, or city promotion,

which actually can be counterproductive for global sustainability if one is an adherent of

the steady-state paradigm. Still, these efforts have given rise to some useful tools and

methods. For example, the City of Seattle, Washington, in a relatively genuine effort at

strong sustainability, published the 1995 Indicators of Sustainable Community in which

forty variables within five categories (environment, resources, economy, education, and

health) were used to ascertain either declining or improving trends towards sustainability.

Variables ranged from number of wild salmon in Puget Sound to water and energy use,

crime, employment concentration, and childhood asthma (Krizek and Power 1996). Yet,

one has to wonder if the interest in salmon is actually a “red herring” – are the presence

of salmon indicative of a healthy ecosystem, or an opportunity to collect tourist dollars,

or both? The City of Santa Monica, California uses sixteen indicators to track progress

toward sustainability, including wastewater flows, public open space, trees in public

spaces, and community gardens. The Urban Ecology Coalition in Minneapolis measures

such variables as percent of residents earning a living wage; percent of residents living

within the community and not commuting to work; travel time to work (which indicates

fossil fuel consumption as well as commitment to community); utility consumption; ratio

of highest annual income earned to lowest annual income earned; and the ecological

footprint of the city. In the Austin area, the Central Texas Sustainability Indicators

Project measures water consumption and water quality trends; energy use; air quality

(highest eight hour concentrations of ozone and nitrogen oxides); density in new

development; and building permits. Indicators can be used for multiple purposes as with

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travel time to work, which, in the Minneapolis project, denotes energy use as well as

community involvement.

Examining traditional aggregate economic indicators such as local Gross

Domestic Product (GDP) and unemployment misses “important shifts in both the spatial

composition of economic activity (from core to green field, peripheral sites) and shifts

from manufacturing to service activities” (Button 2002, 222). In idealized circumstances,

environmental costs are fully internalized, information is perfect, and economic

indicators are true reflections of environmental costs. However, in the case of

environmental goods, not withstanding the work of Costanza (1996) and others, the

primary failing of using traditional economic indicators is that environmental resources

are outside market mechanisms and hence external to the costing process. This a major

failing of mainstream indicators, as it was in the efforts at measuring the costs of sprawl,

because the most apparent impact of sprawling urban development is its rearrangement of

biophysical attributes which cause a variety of interrelated local and global effects

(Forman 1995). To get to more genuine indicators, Alberti (1999) draws on concepts of

carrying capacity, ecological footprint, environmental space, and appropriated ecosystem

area. Azar et al. (1996) emphasize societal activities that affect nature rather than

environmental quality indicators, which is exactly what I am going to do. Focusing on

societal activities reveals trends which can provide indices of existing unsustainable

patterns.

To both highlight cultural consumption patterns, and to make the local/global

connection, Wackernagel and Rees (1996) developed the ecological footprint (EF). The

ecological footprint is a methodology which informs the selection of sustainability

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indicators used in my research. The EF builds on earlier attempts to estimate the

dependence of human life on nature (Holdren and Ehrlich 1974; Whittaker 1975;

Martinez-Alier 1987; Meadows et al. 1992; Odum 1994; Duchin and Lange 1994; Cohen

1995; Opschoor and Costanza 1996; Folke et al. 1997). A key concept that underlies the

ecological footprint is the fair Earth share. Given the amount of productive land on

Earth, each person’s fair Earth share is approximately 1.5 hectares (3.7 acres); the

American per capita footprint required to support current consumption levels is 9.7

hectares (24.0 acres) (Wackernagel, Monfreda, and Duemling 2002). Needless to say,

people in developed countries would need to alter their consumption and waste habits to

approach the global average. This could involve building smaller homes and driving less.

Wackernagel and Rees go on to define five major categories of consumption: food,

housing, transportation, consumer goods, and services.

In this research, I will use census data to measure housing and transportation

consumption, as well as variables related to energy use as indicators of sustainable or

unsustainable outcomes. In the Austin-San Antonio corridor study area, people appear to

be building bigger houses and driving more. While it is not the purpose of this research

to measure in detail the ecological footprint of the study region, this theory helps

operationalize the measurement of sustainability in the next chapter. In line with the

sustainability indicators projects (Seattle, Santa Monica, and Minneapolis) and other

similar research efforts, I will include, among other data, house size, commuting time and

distance, and the geography of income to measure both the socio-economic and

environmental aspects of sustainability.

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Planning for Sustainable Urban Development

If the Austin/San Antonio region exhibits unsustainable development patterns,

what, if anything, can be done to make a change - if change is deemed necessary by

policy-makers? To effectively use comprehensive plans and planning tools such as

zoning ordinances, subdivision regulations, etc., and find new tools appropriate to

modern urban morphology, policy-makers would need to understand the dynamics of

urban fringe sprawl and anticipate the wide-ranging effects of continuous urban

deconcentration (Nelson and Dueker 1990, 1994). In fact, “without planning and

coordination of government services attuned to the special challenges of exurban

development, the result may be exurban sprawl that could make suburban sprawl seem a

highly desirable alternative” (Nelson and Dueker 1994, 45).

Recent literature reveals that the sustainability paradigm(s) can enable planners to

successfully grapple with Nelson and Dueker’s “special challenges.” Embracing

sustainability can help planners focus on big ideas, systems, interrelationships,

connectivity, and multi-scales; it can help make planning proactive, overcoming the lack

of a shared civic vision rooted in a sense of place. The growing interest in sustainability

and the “new” urban ecology of Steiner (2000a), Collins et al. (2000), and others offer

opportunities for a revival of the idea that planning can be visionary, practiced on a large

scale, and involve meaningful and equitable civic involvement. Berke (2002, 34)

contends that sustainable development can enable planners to “shift the practice of local

participation from dominance by narrow special interests to a more holistic and inclusive

view.” In other words, the sustainability paradigm can serve as the much needed

overarching guide planners sorely lack (Beatly and Manning 1998). Within the context

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of weak sustainability (i.e. the approach that emphasizes mainstream economic growth),

planners must be able to reconcile three conflicting interests: promote economic growth,

equitably distribute growth, and not degrade the ecosystem in the process (Campbell

1996). Within the context of strong sustainability (i.e. the approach that gives ecological

and economic considerations equal weight), planners need to nurture a sound economy,

help create fair and humane places, and promote sound resource management and/or eco-

development (Randolph 2004). [Eco-development is a paradigm in which human society

and nature co-develop, and includes a restructured economic system which goes beyond

giving economic values to environmental resources, but rather considers economic values

in ecological terms (Colby 1991).]

Berke (2002) defines a set of six operational performance principles for

sustainability: 1) harmony with nature, 2) livable built environment, 3) place-based

economy, 4) equity, 5) polluters pay, and 6) responsible regionalism. (In the

methodology chapter, I will use these principles to analyze the comprehensive plans of

Austin and San Antonio.) With these principles in mind, it becomes possible to “consider

local plans and development projects that account for cumulative impacts of actions

beyond the immediate locality as well as ecological and equity implications of local

choices about housing size, accessibility of jobs, quality schools, retail, and daily

transportation” (Berke 2002, 34). Berke’s performance principles help inform my choice

of variables with regard to the measurement of growth and change in the Austin/San

Antonio paradigmatic region. Planners should be focusing on performance rather than

form. In my research, I will be measuring performance more than specific urban

patterns. After all, sprawl takes on many forms (Galster et al. 2001; Talen 2003).

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Planners have a long history of believing that there are ideal urban forms or ideal cities,

e.g. Howard, LeCorbusier, Wright, Soleri, Duany, and Calthorpe (Audirac 1990). But in

today’s America, urban citizens and planners alike might be best served by letting go of

the notion of the “eco-garden of Eden lost by modern society … our involuntary diaspora

from a pre-industrial, ecotopian Eden” (Campbell 1996, 303). Better places can be

created by focusing on function, process, and performance – that is the underpinning

philosophy of my research and the rationale for the research methods outlined in the next

chapter.

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CHAPTER V

METHODOLOGY

Research Goals and Questions to be Answered

The goals of this research are: 1) to determine whether growth trends in the

Austin/San Antonio paradigmatic region are sustainable; and 2) to determine whether

planning policies are reflected in growth outcomes. To this end, I will use both

quantitative and qualitative methods as presented in Figure A1 in the Appendix to answer

two sets of questions. The first set of questions relates to sustainability, in particular

whether urban growth trends are eroding the natural and socio-cultural environments.

The second set of questions relate to whether growth outcomes reflect (comprehensive)

planning policies. Sustainability questions include:

Are growth trends in the Austin/San Antonio paradigmatic region, as measured through socio-economic and urban performance indicators, sustainable?

1. Has sprawl increased during the study period of 1970/80 to 2000? (Data availability will determine whether 1970 or 1980 is used as the beginning year).

2. Are social distance and geographic polarization (i.e. inequality)

increasing?

3. How has energy use as measured by footprint variables (e.g. larger and more spread out homes) changed over time?

Based on these indicators, how do the Austin and San Antonio extended MSAs compare to each other and the region; and how do the cities of Austin and San Antonio compare to each other and the region?

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Based on the answers to the above questions and comparisons, how has quality of life in the region changed over time (if it has changed)?

Planning policy questions are:

How do the comprehensive plans of Austin and San Antonio rate as measured by Berke-Conroy’s sustainability principles? 1. Do the outcomes for sprawl, socio-economic distance and energy

flows for the two cities reflect the sustainability “score” of the comprehensive plans?

2. What policy issues can be identified?

The Study Areas

I will be examining variables over a twenty to thirty year period at the local scale

through my analyses of the major urban centers, Austin and San Antonio; at the macro

scale through my analyses of the two (extended) MSAs or “sub-regions;” and at the

regional scale as defined by the Austin/San Antonio corridor. I will use census tracts as

my basic geographic units for measurement. Census tracts are ideal micro-level units of

analysis over time because they are small, basically permanent statistical subdivisions of

a county that have relatively homogenous populations within each tract.

To delineate the Corridor Region, I will use census tracts within the Austin/Round

Rock and San Antonio MSAs as defined by the 2000 Census, as well as selected tracts in

the adjacent counties of Kendall, Atascosa, Medina, and Bandera. I will include tracts

outside the two MSAs based on their “relationship” with either one or both of the two

MSAs as measured by the Economic Research Service’s (ERS) rural-urban commuting

area (RUCA) codes. These codes are based on measures of urbanization, population

density, and daily commuting, and basically define the level of commuting from a tract to

work centers (Morrill, Cromartie, and Hart 1999). The use of RUCA codes enables me to

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define the study area in the spirit of MacKaye’s “sphere” and Geddes’ “urban field”. For

the analysis of sprawl, I will further divide the Corridor Region into two sub-regions: the

Austin/Round Rock MSA which includes Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis, and

Williamson counties; and the San Antonio “extended” MSA which includes additional

tracts in Atascosa, Bandera, Kendall, and Medina counties based on their RUCA codes.

For purposes of comparing growth outcomes and planning policies, the cities of

Austin and San Antonio will be defined based on their city limits as of 1980. Since 1970,

1980 and 1990 census data has been normalized to the year 2000, tract boundaries as of

the year 2000 will be used to determine which tracts are within and without the 1980 city

limits. A tract that straddles a city boundary will be determined to be a “city tract” if it is

more than fifty percent within the boundary line, or if the majority of the tract’s

population appears to live within the city limits.

Data Acquisition

I will acquire data to measure the operational variables sprawl, inequality, and

energy flows from the U.S. Census for the years 1970, 1980, 1990, and 2000, primarily

as presented in the Neighborhood Change Database (NCDB) 1970 – 2000 Tract Data

CD, produced by Geolytics, Incorporated and the Urban Institute. The NCDB has US

Census Long Form data for the years of the study at the census tract level. The data is

accessible by tract per census year or normalized by 2000 tract boundaries.

Unfortunately, in addition to the usual problems of changes in census design and

definitions over time (especially from 1970 to 1980), there are a limited amount of data in

the Geolytics CD from the earlier censuses compared to 1990 and 2000. As a result,

trend analysis and direct comparison over time for certain variables will be problematic

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or impossible. To supplement the NCDB I will use printed historic censuses, but in most

cases measurements of change will be limited to the twenty years from 1980 to 2000, or

in some cases the ten years from 1990 to 2000. Finally, statistical analyses for separate

tracts using the Geolytics CD are limited to 240 census tracts at a time. The only county

in the study area with more than 240 tracts is Bexar County, which has 278 tracts. The

Geolytics software does allow analyses of tracts as subsets of counties, but in most cases,

I will export the data to more robust programs such as ArcMap or Microsoft Excel.

Operational Definitions

I will use three groups of variables - sprawl, socio-economic distance (inequality), and

energy flows - to operationalize sustainability in the study areas (Table 2). Increases over

time in sprawl, social distance (inequality and separation), and energy use would be

indicative of trends that may not be sustainable as well as a deteriorating quality of life.

Historically, sprawl has been examined through the cost-benefit analysis paradigm, but I

will use sprawl as an indicator of socio-economic and environmental sustainability as

well as quality of life. I will use changes in social-economic distance (or inequality), an

on-going theme in American urban geography as pointed out in the literature review, to

measure progress (or lack of progress) toward sustainability, quality of life, and

community involvement. Measuring changes in inequality can help determine the

effectiveness of policies aimed at affecting equity (such as affordable housing), and

generate data necessary for policy analysis. Finally, while my study does not delve into

ecological footprint analysis in depth, the literature justifies the use of indicators related

to energy flows and consumption to measure trends in sustainability (Rees 1995;

Wackernagel and Rees 1996).

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Table 2. Operational Matrix. Conceptual

Factor Variable Measure Definition Possible

Outcome Location (tract), Sprawl Housing

Units Density Growth rate higher in exurban areas

Household income, Unearned income, Poverty level

Income

Widening social distance/inequality of wealth

House Value Median housing value Exurban houses worth more

Travel time to work,

Socio-Economic Distance/ Inequality

Commuting Ethnicity

Time leaving for work Ethnic Distribution

Increasing travel time, earlier time leaving for work Increasing segregation

Median number of rooms

House Size

Number of bedrooms

Newer exurban houses bigger

Commuting distance and time Number of vehicles per HH

Sustainability (Quality of Life)

Energy Flows

Commuting

VMT

Increasing commuting distance, VMT, and more vehicles per HH

Measurement and Quantitative/Map Analysis Sprawl

I will use census data at the tract and county levels to measure sprawl by focusing

on housing densities and changes in number of housing units. For instance, using the “all

years normalized to 2000” function of the Geolytics CD, I can compare housing units in

urban and rural tracts in Comal County for the years 1980 and 2000 (Figure 12). In this

sample case, the data is not available for 1970. Tract 310601 (a Canyon Lake amenity

area) has a year 2000 density of 34 housing units per square mile (or 0.05 units per acre

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which is within Theobald’s rural range of 0.025 to 0.1 units/acre (Table 3). Tract

310401, entirely within the city of New Braunfels, has a year 2000 density of 663 units

per square mile (or 1.04 units per acre which is within Theobald’s urban range of more

than one unit per acre). From 1980 to 2000 the housing units in the rural tract increased

by 229 percent (from 1,217 to 4,007) whereas housing units in the urban tract increased

by 41 percent (from 1,242 to 1,756). Thus, in this particular case, it appears that

sprawling growth, or housing unit growth in less dense areas, is over five times greater

than housing unit growth in denser or more compact areas.

Table 3. Densities for Measuring Sprawl. Rural Exurban Suburban Urban

Housing Units/Acre < 0.025 0.025 to 0.1 0.1 to 1.0 > 1.0

Housing Units/Sq.Mile < 16 16 to 64 64 to 640 > 640

Figure 12. Comal County Housing Unit Density and Housing Unit Growth Rate.

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I will also compare growth in incorporated cities versus growth in unincorporated

areas. Recall that areas within a city’s limits and extra-territorial jurisdiction (ETJ) are

subject to more regulations, or planning, than growth outside these boundaries. For

example, in Comal County there was primarily only one incorporated city during the time

frame of my study - New Braunfels. From 1970 to 2000 population within this city’s

limits (as defined at the time of each census) grew by 115 percent (from 17,859 to

38,376) while the rest of the county grew by 333 percent (6,306 to 39,645). Most of the

growth outside the city was on large lots, (many relying on septic systems for sewage

disposal), and thus can most likely be categorized as sprawling growth. In this example,

sprawling growth was three times higher than more compact and presumably more

planned and controlled growth within the City of New Braunfels.

I will use: descriptive statistics to summarize sprawl characteristics; inferential

statistics to describe trends; and map analysis to illustrate changes in growth patterns over

the twenty to thirty years of the study (the number of years will depend on data

availability). I will compare tracts and groups of tracts, and then make comparisons over

time at the metropolitan and regional scales, sometimes building these larger scales with

county-wide data. Descriptive statistics and trend analyses will indicate whether the rate

of housing growth is greater in rural and exurban areas than it is in urban areas. Maps

will illustrate the evolution and extent of sprawl in the Austin MSA and San Antonio

extended MSA as well as in the entire Corridor Region. Comparisons at different scales

and trend analyses will indicate whether sprawl is occurring as well as its spatial extent

and direction, and whether the Austin and San Antonio sub-regions exhibit differences in

their growth patterns.

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Inequality

As shown in the Operational Matrix (Table 2), I will assess sustainability vis-à-vis

changes in socio-economic distance and inequality, or the geography of wealth. I will

use income, house value, commuting time, and race/ethnicity to measure the

inequality/separation variable. Income is defined using census data for household

income, unearned income, and percent households below the poverty level. House value

is defined using census data for median value for all owner-occupied housing units, and

commuting time is defined using census data for travel time to work and time leaving for

work. I can also compare average persons per room as a surrogate measure for wealth.

Race/ethnicity is defined using population data for blacks, Hispanics and whites.

To analyze social distance (inequality), I will use descriptive and inferential

statistics to explain and summarize inequality characteristics and trends; and map

analysis to illustrate changes in growth patterns of inequality over the time frame of the

study. Potential statistical methods include range, range ratio, the McLoone Index, the

Coefficient of Variation, the Lorenz Curve (Gini Coefficient), and segregation indices

such as the dissimilarity index, interaction index, and isolation index (Hale 2005).

The COV is a way to quantify scatter, and describes the peakedness of a unimodal

frequency distribution (Hale 2005). I will use the Lorenz curve only if the data is

available cumulatively. The Lorenz Curve orders all observations and then plots the

cumulative percentage of the population against the cumulative percentage of the

resource. A diagonal line represents perfect equality. If there is any inequality, the

Lorenz curve falls below this “line of equality.” The Lorenz curve can be used to

measure the actual distribution of income, housing value, or other measures of wealth.

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The total amount of inequality can be summarized by the Gini Coefficient which is

simply twice the area enclosed between the Lorenz curve and the equality diagonal.

Figure 13 depicts income equality (or inequality) in the USA for 1967 and 2001 based on

household shares of aggregate income by fifths of the income distribution. Apparently,

income inequality has increased in the nation over the thirty-four year time period.

Segregation indices can include the dissimilarity, isolation, and interaction

indices. The dissimilarity index measures the evenness or spatial distribution of groups

in a specified area. The isolation index is an “exposure” index that measures the degree

of potential contact or interaction between minority and majority group members. And

the interaction index, which is also an exposure index, measures the degree of potential

contact - or interaction – between minority and majority group members, or the

probability that a minority person shares an areal unit (census tract) with a majority

person (U.S. Census 2005b).

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 20 40 60 80 100

Percent Households

Perc

ent I

ncom

e

Equality Diagonal20011967

Figure 13. Distribution of Household Income in the USA: 1967 and 2001. Source: Historical Income Tables – Income Equality, U.S. Census: Housing and Household Economics Statistics Division.

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I will analyze changes in socio-economic distance from 1980 or 1990 to 2000. In

a few cases I can use 1970 data. Analysis at the city scale will reveal trends in

sustainability and enable comparisons between the (extended) MSAs and cities of Austin

and San Antonio. Regional analysis will set the context within which growth and change

in the two major cities is occurring, and help reveal regional trends in socio-economic

distance. I will ask the question: “Why do the spatial patterns in the maps look the way

they do?” and relate the patterns to the comprehensive plan analysis.

Energy Flows

I will measure energy flows using house size and commuting data as surrogates

for energy consumption. House size will be defined using census data for median

number of rooms and number of bedrooms. Commuting will be defined using census

data for commuting distance and number of vehicles per household, as well as vehicle

miles traveled (VMT) derived from the Texas Transportation Institute’s Travel Time

Index. Energy flows can also be measured using mean miles per gallon (if available) and

the outcomes of the sprawl measurements. As pointed out earlier, housing growth in

incorporated areas is more likely to be more compact and “energy efficient” than growth

in exurban or unincorporated areas.

To analyze energy flows I will use descriptive statistics to describe and

summarize measurement results, inferential statistics to describe and summarize trends,

and map analysis to illustrate changes in growth patterns over the twenty to thirty years

of the study. By way of example, Figures 14 and 15 illustrate change from 1970 to 2000

in number of bedrooms in Travis County. In the series of maps, darker shaded census

tracts are those in which houses with more than four bedrooms account for more than

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Figure 14. Travis County Houses with Four or More Bedrooms. Shaded tracts have more than thirty-three percent of housing units with four or more bedrooms.

thirty-three percent of total housing units in the tract. Almost all darker-shaded tracts are

west of Interstate 35, in the higher amenity Hill Country part of the county. The chart

tracks the changes in total number of housing units in Travis County with four or more

bedrooms. An exponential trend line (solid without markers) was created with Microsoft

Excel, and includes regression equation and R2. The maps and accompanying chart

indicate a dramatic increase from 1970 to 2000 in number of housing units with four or

more bedrooms in Travis County.

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y = 4961.1e0.5918x

R2 = 0.9906

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

1970 1980 1990 2000

Hou

ses

with

4-P

lus

Bed

room

s

Figure 15. Travis County Four or More Bedroom Trend Line: 1970 to 2000. Total number of housing units in Travis County with four or more bedrooms. Chart includes exponential trend line (solid, without markers) with regression equation and R2. Source: U.S. Census.

Qualitative Analysis of Planning Policies

To determine whether planning policies are reflected in growth outcomes (Goal 2

of my research) I must evaluate the comprehensive plans and planning processes of

Austin and San Antonio. To do this, I will examine the historical processes that led up to

the adoption of two comprehensive plans, one adopted by Austin in 1977 and 1979, and

the other adopted by San Antonio in 1980 and 1983. I will also do a content analysis of

each plan. More recent planning efforts in the late 1980s and in the 1990s will not be

analyzed as there is insufficient time for their outcomes to be reflected in the census data.

For clarification, planners use the terms comprehensive plan, master plan, and

general plan interchangeably. Comprehensive plan is the term most commonly used, and

refers to a long-term (usually twenty years) basic plan designed to guide a community’s

development. In the context of planning, the meaning of the word comprehensive is two-

fold. Physically, a comprehensive plan covers the entire community, usually including

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its extra-territorial jurisdiction (ETJ), and often includes the surrounding region that the

city is a part of. Conceptually, a comprehensive plan covers all aspects of a community’s

development, typically including chapters or “elements” on land use, services,

transportation, historic preservation, etc. My analysis will focus on the land use element

of the two plans, but will also include other elements such as housing and transportation

that are part of the physical development of a city.

Regardless, I am analyzing comprehensive plans because they are the only

documents that look at the big picture of a community’s development over time. Today,

it seems planners are busy dealing with myriad details of the development process.

Zoning and subdivision ordinances address urban growth at the lot and block scale, one

development at a time. Developers naturally focus on their particular project. Thus, the

comprehensive plan, despite its drawbacks, is the document by default that has the

potential to address the larger scale that sustainable development requires.

First, I will provide a historical review for both the Austin and San Antonio

comprehensive plans, paying particular attention to the issues uncovered in the

background chapter. These issues include battles over abstract space versus social space,

or who or what special interest groups affect the location and pattern of growth in the two

cities and their regions. For this part of the analysis, I will rely heavily on a series of

interviews conducted in the 1980s as part of a compilation of urban-planning history in

Texas conducted by the Texas Chapter of the American Planning Association (1977-

1994). Transcripts of the interviews and relevant documents are available for viewing at

the University of Texas Alexander Architectural Archive located in Austin.

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To measure how well the two adopted plans support sustainable development, I

will conduct a content analysis of each plan. I will base my analysis on Berke and

Conroy’s (2000) plan evaluation protocol. Berke and Conroy evaluated thirty plans’

policies and/or goals based on how that policy or goal was related to one of six

sustainability principles, and whether the policy or goal was suggested or required. They

defined the six basic principles for sustainable development as follows:

1. Harmony with Nature - land development should support ecosystem functions rather than modify or overwhelm them. Activities should maintain water quality and reduce flooding, two critical issues in the Corridor Region.

2. Livable Built Environments - development should create places adapted to the

desired activities of inhabitants. This principle is best defined by Lynch’s (1981) five dimensions of good city form: vitality, sense, fit, access, and control. Development should promote a sense of place and support community identity and attachment.

3. Place-based Economy – the local economy should work within natural system

limits and not cause a deterioration of the resource base, including air and water quality. The economy should meet locally defined needs and aspirations, doubtless a challenge in today’s global economy, and should enhance community livability.

4. Equity – land use patterns should improve the conditions of low-income

populations and afford equitable access to social and economic resources in the community.

5. Polluters Pay – interests that cause adverse community impacts should bear

the cost of pollution and other harms.

6. Responsible Regionalism – communities should be responsible for the consequences of their actions and not harm other jurisdictions in pursuit of their own objectives.

Berke and Conroy had several findings in their research. First, most plans

strongly advanced the Livable Built Environment principle. Transportation elements

emphasized reducing congestion and creating pedestrian-friendly streets. Land-use

elements emphasized density, proportion, mixed-use, and compatibility. Environmental

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elements supported livable built environment needs more so than ecological integrity.

The two sustainability principles that received minimal attention were Polluters Pay and

Responsible Regionalism.

I will look closely at the plans adopted by Austin and San Antonio and ask 1)

How do the plan’s policies fit into these six basic principles for sustainable development;

and 2) How strong are the plan’s policies? I will determine the strength of the policy

according to the strength of the terms employed. Strong verbs require action, and include

words such as will, must, assure, develop, and adopt. Weak verbs suggest an action, and

include words such as encourage, recommend, should, would, could, promote, improve,

and investigate. As an example, the policy statement “encourage transportation patterns

that reinforce the image of distinct areas” falls within the Livable Built Environment

principle, but is weak because the word encourage is used. If the word ensure had been

used, the statement would have been considered strong. Another example is a city

designating stream corridors as worthy of protection for water quality and wildlife

habitat. The city intends to establish an overlay zone based on a buffer around streams.

This goal fosters the Harmony with Nature principle, but is considered weak because of

the use of the suggestive word intends. The goal would have been considered strong if

the word will had been used, i.e. “will establish an overlay zone.” Berke and Conroy

used the scoring results to create indices of each sustainable development principle for

each of the plan’s elements - usually housing, transportation, environment, energy, land

use and design, economic development, and public facilities. I will not take this final

step because the San Antonio Master Plan is not a traditional comprehensive plan as were

the plans that Berke and Conroy analyzed. The San Antonio Plan has a very limited

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number of policies and elements. I will explain this point in more detail in the next

chapter. This type of qualitative analysis is unavoidably subjective, and my

interpretations of the sustainability principles will be broad-based. However, my

academic and professional background qualifies me for this task.

Admittedly, there is a drawback to using comprehensive plans as units of analysis.

The plans’ authors may be using catch phrases with “little meat on the bones”, especially

when discussing “sustainability” or “sustainable development.” In fact, Berke and

Conroy (2000, 30) note “the frequent criticism that the sustainable development concept

is superficial, lacks political commitment, and cannot serve as an influential basis for

policy development.” Indeed, what would make comprehensive plans that claim to deal

with sustainable growth actually deal with it? This is a topic for further research.

However, I must point out that neither the Austin or San Antonio plans have to claim to

promote sustainable development per se, but simply growth patterns and dynamics that

could result in sustainable outcomes.

Possible Conclusions

In the discussion and conclusions phase of the research, I will assess whether

there appear to be differences between Austin and San Antonio in their planning

approaches and growth outcomes, as set within the regional context. I will need to

consider the political economy and environmental “personalities” of the two cities as

affecting each area’s planning approaches and growth outcomes. If indeed there is a

difference in the city’s planning approach to sustainability (as measured by their

comprehensive plans), I will relate that difference back to the findings in the quantitative

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and map analysis phase of this search (the analysis of sprawl, socio-economic distance

and energy flows).

Based on my understanding of the literature and my insights into the urban

growth dynamics gained from living and working in the region for over thirty years, I

anticipate that the research will indicate that growth and change in the region is not

sustainable. Rather, it is becoming increasingly characterized by fragmentation and

polarization of people living in and moving about the Corridor Region. I expect to find

bigger and more expensive homes demanding more energy inputs being built west of

Interstate 35 on environmentally fragile land. Commute times and distances are likely

increasing which adds to air quality woes and contributes to a loss of community and a

lower quality of life. Maps of the two sub-regions showing trends in sprawl, socio-

economic distance, and energy flows may look the same, even though qualitative analysis

might indicate a difference in planning paradigms between Austin and San Antonio. I

will discuss the research in light of the literature, and anticipate discussing whether

planning can be used to achieve sustainable development. Regardless of the outcome of

the research, the findings should shed light on the patterns and dynamics of contemporary

American urban development and the relationship of planning to sustainable

development. Table 4 summarizes the range of possible outcomes and their conclusions.

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Table 4. Possible Results for Plan Analysis and Growth Outcomes

in the Study Areas. Plans Results Meaning and Conclusion

Same Different Discuss effectiveness of planning in each area; consider political economy and growth machine for each area to determine why. Determine what worked and what did not work.

Different Different Determine relationship between planning paradigm and outcome. Does it appear that planning practice worked? Did outcomes match goals? If so, why? If not, why not? Consider political economy and the power of the growth machine, the emphasis of short term economic gain over long-term stability.

Same Same Conduct further research on each area’s ordinances; discuss comprehensive planning versus reality of planning. What would make comprehensive plan that appear to promote sustainable development actually promote it?

Different Same If the plans are significantly different but both areas exhibit unsustainable growth patterns, comprehensive planning may not be effective at achieving sustainability goals.

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CHAPTER VI

PLANNING ANALYSIS

The 1970s was a decade of intense interest in comprehensive planning in both

Austin and San Antonio. Rapid growth, threats to the environment, citizens’ concerns for

each city’s unique characteristics and sense of place, and the availability of federal

funding all coalesced at that time to produce comprehensive plans adopted in 1977-79 in

Austin and 1980-83 in San Antonio. Sustainable development is dependent upon the

location of urban growth. In the planning processes that produced these comprehensive

plans, each community addressed the issue of where development should go. In both

cases, this element of the plan proved to be the most controversial.

In this chapter, I evaluate Austin and San Antonio’s planning processes and

comprehensive plans, focusing on parallel planning efforts that led to the plans adopted in

the late 1970s and early 1980s. First, I will present a historical analysis of

comprehensive planning in each city, highlighting the evolution of key issues that have

contributed to each community’s planning temperament. Second, I will present a content

analysis of the strength and sustainability principles within each adopted comprehensive

plan. Finally, I conclude this chapter by discussing the similarities and differences

between the Austin and San Antonio plans and how each plan relates to sustainable

development, the location of growth, and battles over land use that will determine the

form and function that the communities will take in the future.

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Comprehensive Planning in Austin

In 1924, Austin changed from a City Commission to a Council-Manager form of

government, a move that San Antonio would make almost three decades later. The shift

was part of a nationwide movement away from a form of municipal government that was

frequently corrupt toward a more professional and scientific approach to managing

American cities. Part of this progressive movement was the legitimization and rebirth of

urban planning. The idea that city planning could become official city policy was an

outgrowth of the City Beautiful movement, and Austin was no exception. The first City

Manager assessed the condition of Austin as deplorable (Humphrey 1985), a view echoed

in A Social Survey of Austin (Hamilton, 1913). In fact, the Survey could be considered an

Austin version of Jacob Riis’ (1890) pivotal work How the Other Half Lives, which

exposed sordid social conditions in New York City, and initiated housing reforms and

spurred interest in planning across the nation.

As a consequence of this new-found community awareness, the Austin City

Council called for the development of a comprehensive plan. The result was the 1928

plan, written by Dallas consulting firm Koch and Fowler, which called upon Austin to

develop its strengths as a residential, cultural, educational, and recreational center.

Significantly, the 1928 plan emphasized the importance of preserving the city’s natural

beauty and open space, a theme that would prove enduring throughout all of Austin’s

comprehensive planning efforts. In essence, this emphasis on natural beauty and open

space marks the genesis of Austin’s environmentalism. Another important aspect of the

1928 plan was the provision of infrastructure, which would prove critical to the plan’s

realization. Successful implementation of the plan depended upon voter approval of what

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was at the time the largest bond issue for the provision of public works in the city’s

history. The bond issue was overwhelmingly approved by the citizens, and the plan was

successfully implemented with the provision or roads, parks, and water and sewer

infrastructure.

There were several attempts to update the Koch and Fowler plan in the 1940s, and

in 1953 a new City Charter established the Department of Planning and required that the

City Planning Commission draft and maintain a new master plan. The result was the

1958 Austin Plan which concerned itself with functional issues such as transportation,

streets, open space, and parks. Indeed, following from the 1928 plan’s focus on open

space, the 1958 plan’s land use map indicates a huge amount of parkland and open space.

Looking back at these first two plans, it is notable that both strongly emphasized

environmental amenities, the location of new development, and citizen support.

During this time, the rapid growth in Austin began to take on a new form. In the

1950s land use was relatively contiguous within the city limits, but by 1970 residential,

industrial, and commercial uses had developed on the urban fringe, not necessarily

contiguous to the existing built-up city. Large retail malls were located at the

intersections of expressways and major arterials, an economic response to the shift of

purchasing power to the periphery made possible by the expressway and arterial systems

built in the 1950s and 1960s. The pattern of growth in Austin was following the national

trend toward suburbanization which accelerated after World War II. Soldiers returning

from the war favored the more tranquil suburban neighborhood, and the Baby Boom

accelerated the need for homes where families could raise their children. Government

loan assurances for new single family homes and the application of assembly-line

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production techniques in the housing industry accommodated and dictated rapid growth

on the urban fringe.

The Austin Tomorrow Planning Process

In 1972, the Planning Department, Planning Commission, and City Council,

concerned with the sprawling pattern of this rapid and seemingly unmanaged growth,

decided a new comprehensive plan was needed (Knickerbocher 1981). The eventual

result was the Austin Tomorrow Plan, adopted by the City Council in 1979. Since the

plan was put together and adopted at the beginning of my study period, it would - or

should - have an impact on the pattern of growth during the 1980s and 1990s. There was

another comprehensive planning effort after the Austin Tomorrow Plan – the Austinplan

– but it was never adopted and thus did not become official city policy. As a result, the

Austin Tomorrow Plan was Austin’s last officially adopted comprehensive plan and thus

critical to understanding the city’s planning paradigm during my study’s time period.

The Austin Planning Director had secured a HUD 701 grant to fund the Austin

Tomorrow Plan, and one of the funding requirements was to involve as many citizens as

possible in the plan’s creation, especially in the goal-setting stage. The Council

appointed 250 members to a Goals Assembly Committee, the planning program was

widely publicized, and over the next year, fifty-six neighborhood meetings were held

involving the participation of approximately 2,800 citizens (City of Austin 1980). This

kind of citizen participation is somewhat unusual and thus a significant aspect of Austin’s

approach to planning that must be recognized. In fact, the assistant planning director at

the time commented that “citizen participation in this city is so deep-rooted that it has

become part of our heritage” (Knickerbocher 1981, 19). The question to keep in mind is

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whether this exceptional level of civic activism resulted in a plan that promoted

sustainable growth patterns.

These citizen efforts resulted in the Goals Program and included alternative

scenarios to the current sprawling land development trend. One scenario called for more

high density neighborhoods within the city limits, or “Limited Expansion.” Another

looked at “Directed Expansion” where development was to occur in a northerly and

southerly direction, primarily along the Interstate 35 corridor, an area preferred because

of its relatively flat terrain and deep soils that were suitable for intensive urban

development. In this scenario, real estate development was essentially prohibited in the

environmentally sensitive Hill Country to the west. A third scenario promoted residential

living in the downtown area, or “Inner City Development.” At the same time, San

Antonio was also developing alternative growth scenarios or “sketches” for its future

development. Thus, an important phenomenon was taking place. The process of creating

a plan was getting people to think about alternatives to “business-as-usual” land

development. People were calling for alternative, more sustainable patterns of

development.

On May 7, 1975 members of the Austin Tomorrow Goals Assembly presented the

Goals Report to City Council, which unanimously adopted it. These goals were to be the

foundation of the new comprehensive plan. According to the Planning Department, “the

report was not a bland statement of support for the status quo, nor a mere cheerleading

exercise in civic pride. . . . the people . . . called for a shift in priorities in a spirit that was

optimistic” (City of Austin 1980, 7). The approach to growth management included

guidelines for directing growth away from areas of environmental sensitivity and toward

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those areas which were more suitable for urban development. The report’s city-wide

goals reflected an aggressive attitude toward land use policy and included all six

sustainability principles:

A review of the city-wide goals shows clearly that Austin citizens are concerned with the destructive effects of continued urbanization on the neighborhoods and natural environment of the city and surrounding area. Citizens wish to develop land use patterns which protect neighborhoods, increase open space and protect natural areas, to develop a zoning ordinance which is environmentally protective, to extend land use controls beyond the city limits to environmentally sensitive areas, to control growth in the interest of quality and the environment, to preserve neighborhoods and historic landmarks and to end all forms of environmental pollution . . . (City of Austin 1980, 9) Even the plan’s economic goals reflected five of the six sustainability principles.

I list these initial goals in some detail as later, during the process of adapting the goals to

the comprehensive plan, they were modified to be more congenial to outside business

interests (City of Austin 1975, 37-8):

• A healthy economy …that should be maintained through moderate natural growth rather than indiscriminate solicitation of for new businesses and residents. …Protective environmental policies must be instituted to avert the problems that might result from even a moderate growth rate (Placed-based Economy, Livable Built Environment).

• More equitable property taxes could be achieved if valuations were based on actual

and not potential land uses . . . there should be greater citizen participation in city government, particularly in zoning and development policies. Austin and Travis County should cooperate for the sake of economy, for better land use control in unincorporated areas … (Equity, Responsible Regionalism).

• Job opportunities for unskilled labor should be created for the poor and

elderly…acquisition of new industries should be based on an inventory of job needs in the area. Increase the per capita income of low-income groups by providing training for better jobs (Equity, Place-based Economy).

• Regional planning is necessary in order to coordinate growth and land use outside

the city limits (Responsible Regionalism).

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After the Council received the Goals Report, they appointed an Ongoing

Committee to work with city boards, commissions, the planning department, and other

groups to translate the goals into the comprehensive plan. The planning department’s

version of the plan still emphasized giving attention to existing businesses, increasing

housing stock for all income levels, and expanding job opportunities, especially for entry-

level positions and at locations accessible to the largest concentrations of unemployed

and underemployed. However, during this “translation” process – from citizen goals to

politically acceptable goals - the tenet of not encouraging outside business in-migration

(or a place-based economy) was weakened by business interests (Blunt, Walker and Frye

2001). It is important to understand the general “softening” of goals, objectives, and

policies as they work their way through the political process on their way to a final

version acceptable to most of the community’s stakeholder groups, including the

community’s power-brokers. This emasculation process is especially common in areas

that revere private enterprise and private individual effort more than group efforts,

planning, and public concern (Smith 1991). Indeed, Texans have a reputation as

prioritizing individualism and individual rights over communal interests.

On March 28, 1977, the Planning Commission submitted a draft of the plan to

City Council, and the plan was approved minus the growth management segment which

was proving to be more controversial than the rest of the plan. Still, even though

Austin’s development community was leery of any growth constraints in the Hill

Country, the Growth Management Chapter was adopted by Council in 1979, completing

the evolution of the citizens’ Goals Report into the Austin Tomorrow Comprehensive

Plan (Watson 1990).

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In the adopted plan, the desire of the citizens to guide the location of growth had

remained more or less intact, exemplifying Austin’s overarching and enduring themes of

environmentalism and civic activism. The plan called for restricting new development in

the environmentally sensitive watershed on the city’s hilly western fringe, but

complementing these restrictions were policies directing development towards a

preferred growth corridor running north-south through the heart of the city along

Interstate 35 and to the already developing north-west (Figure 16). This preferred growth

area was an outgrowth of the alternative development scenarios from five years earlier.

Figure 16. Austin's Preferred Growth Corridor. The Austin region was divided into priority growth areas, with the CBD and areas north and south along I-35 having the highest priority. The darker shaded areas to the west were environmentally fragile but were experiencing “considerable growth to which the State and City [had] made commitments for the provision of utilities and roads.” The remaining lighter shaded areas were considered least suitable for development. From the Austin Tomorrow Plan, page 151.

CBD

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City officials expected this strategy of directing growth along the 1-35 corridor to shape

development into a “compact and environmentally sensitive configuration” (Watson

1990). In a letter to the City Manager, the Chairman of the Planning Commission,

Miguel Guerrero, called for directed growth and urged the City to avoid “leap-frog and

sprawl,” and stated that if the Austin Tomorrow Plan were implemented, that by 1995:

• The extension of municipal water and wastewater service would be limited to priority growth areas.

• Economically and ethnically segregated neighborhoods would tend

to diminish . . .

• Commercial development would concentrate in multi-use centers . . .

• The amount of additional urban development in environmentally sensitive areas would diminish . . .

To implement this plan, all city leaders had to do was get the money to provide

infrastructure in the preferred growth corridor, and growth would follow the direction

called for in the Austin Tomorrow Plan. It could be argued that Austin’s strategy to

implement its plan, by financing new infrastructure in preferred growth areas, “led the

way for Texas growth management” (Butler and Myers 1984, 447). Also, responding to

the environmental thrust of the Austin Tomorrow Plan, shortly after the plan’s adoption

the City Council passed a “medley of development controls” designed to guide the

location of growth and protect environmental quality (Butler and Myers 1984, 449).

Comprehensive Planning in San Antonio

The Austin Tomorrow Plan can be considered traditional in so far as it had several

elements in one adopted document. In contrast to the Austin experience, San Antonio’s

planning process resulted in a series of individual functional-plans which, as a result,

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lacked the coherence that is the hallmark of the traditional comprehensive plan. The San

Antonio City Council adopted the pithy Foreward and Basic Plan segments of a

comprehensive plan in 1980 and in the following years functional plans for parks,

neighborhoods, and land use. The central document, the Basic Plan, at seventeen pages,

was one-tenth the length of the 176-page Austin Tomorrow Plan. San Antonio’s Land

Use Plan, the most important aspect of a comprehensive plan for growth management,

had proven to be so controversial that it was not adopted until 1983, and was

considerably watered-down from its original versions in the mid-1970s.

As in Austin, planning in San Antonio made a “comeback” in the 1920s. Harlan

Bartholomew and Associates began work on the City’s first comprehensive plan for the

modern era in 1928, and the City Commissioners adopted the resulting plan in 1933. The

Bartholomew plan proposed rules for the subdivision of land, a fact which hints at an

early priority for clarifying, or streamlining, the development process. In the spirit of the

City Beautiful Movement, the plan also promoted rehabilitation of the San Antonio

River, parks, open space, civic art, and boulevards connecting places of interest.

However, much of the Bartholomew plan was never implemented due to the national

Depression, and local factors including inadequate legislation, the lack of a Planning

Commission, and perhaps to the corrupt commission form of government (Ashcroft

1985).

In 1951 the city adopted a new charter and replaced the commission form of

government with a council/manager type of government. Article 9 of the charter

established the city’s planning function, stating that, even though the State did not require

a master plan, that San Antonio shall have one. Also during this time, the availability of

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federal money provided a renewed incentive for comprehensive planning (Ashcroft

1985). As a result, the city hired local consultant Walter H. Lilly to develop the plan - a

plan which was essentially a justification for urban renewal, and, in actuality, the

justification for the provision of infrastructure to promote development on the north and

west sides of San Antonio, well away from ethnic minorities on the south and east sides

of the city (Powell 1984). Lilly’s plan included traditional plan elements such as streets,

transportation, utilities, flood control and drainage, recreation and parks, urban

redevelopment, civic improvement, and capital improvements, but interestingly it lacked

a land use element. Rather, to help facilitate development, Lilly’s plan “clarified” the

City’s subdivision regulations and “improved” its zoning ordinance (Powell 1984). The

Lilly Plan achieved its purpose of fulfilling requirements for receipt of federal funds, but

it provided limited guidance for managing growth, a weakness of the plan perhaps

attributable to a lack of support from an influential mayor (Walter McAllister) who did

not want “planning interfering with certain areas of town” (Ashcroft 1985).

Just as in Austin and other Sunbelt cities, San Antonio was experiencing rapid

suburban development in the 1950s and 1960s. Growth pressures may have been even

more intense than those in Austin because many of the military personnel, who had been

stationed at one of the area’s military bases during World War II, returned to San Antonio

to start their families. At the time, the City seemed to embrace this pattern of growth and

ignore environmental issues such as threats to the Edwards aquifer that supplied the city’s

drinking water. For example, in the mid 1960s, in order to meet requirements for federal

highway dollars, the Planning Department prepared a Development Plan of San Antonio

brochure (City of San Antonio 1965). The brochure’s land use map was amazingly

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accurate in predicting where most new development actually occurred over the next

twenty years: to the north and northwest. The brochure also dealt with population, the

economy, and transportation. Addressing residential land use, the Plan notes:

With practically unlimited land available for expansion and the progressive attitude of public officials with respect to providing transportation facilities and utilities, developers have found it feasible and profitable to cater to the great demand for suburban living (City of San Antonio 1965).

Such a statement demonstrates San Antonio’s philosophy of civic boosterism and

willingness to provide infrastructure to wherever influential developers owned land.

However, even with such a pro-development statement, the mayor and city council

considered the brochure’s future land use map threatening to private property interests

because it designated specific places for new development. As a result, practically all

copies of it were confiscated and locked in the City Hall basement (Ashcroft 1985).

In the early 1970s the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD)

began making funds available for a variety of planning projects. As a result, the San

Antonio Community Renewal Program and the Planning Department published

numerous planning reports and studies (but not a comprehensive plan), including two that

showed an aggressive approach to growth management, regulating the location of new

development, and protecting and enhancing the community’s amenities and sense of

place. The Development of the Central City District indicated that “mixed-land-use is the

kind of development that must take place . . .” (City of San Antonio 1972a, 3). Typical

wording included strong verbs such as provide, develop, plan, reshape, and create. The

San Antonio Urban Design Mechanisms Study touted “San Antonio’s unique natural and

manmade assets,” and set a goal to “preserve the beauty of San Antonio and improve the

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quality of its environment while encouraging new development in strategic locations”

(City of San Antonio 1972b, i). The study concluded that unless something were done,

problems would result, including overbuilding in amenity areas, traffic congestion, and

elimination of unique architectural, open space, and historic resources.

A technical report, Population and Employment Distribution - San Antonio-Bexar

County 1970-1990, forecast the location of population growth between 1970 and 1990,

and was to be used as a basis for area-wide, comprehensive planning, and, most

importantly, to “provide base data which would allow an investigation of the effects of

alternative development patterns” (City of San Antonio 1973, 2). The study’s conditional

model and stepwise discriminant analysis indicated that the vast majority of development

in Bexar County between 1970 and 1990 could be anticipated along San Antonio’s

northern and western urban fringe, a forecast that proved to be accurate. The report

addressed the issue of who decides where growth goes, albeit in a fait-accompli fashion:

Ultimately what really explains leap-frog development is where developers own land . . . if this assumption is accepted and then coupled with an attitude of providing transportation facilities and utilities “on demand” the phenomena of Bexar County’s development pattern unfolds (City of San Antonio 1973, 46).

The Not-so-Comprehensive Comprehensive Plan

By the mid-1970s incidents such as Ranch Town had elevated the issue of

development location into the public arena. Activists were challenging the unfettered

growth paradigm of the Development of San Antonio brochure. In fact, the City’s

boosterism had proved to exaggerate things to the point where after the 1970 census, all

the city limits signs had to be changed because population figures had been so inflated

(Powell 1984).

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In 1975, the Planning Department published the Alternative Growth Study, the

most aggressive land-use planning document in the city’s modern planning history (City

of San Antonio 1975). It was supposed to be the basis for the key land use element of a

forthcoming comprehensive plan. The Study looked at alternatives to the expected

growth patterns that had been laid out in 1973 Population and Employment Distribution

report and the 1965 Development of San Antonio brochure. In an introductory letter,

Planning Director Cipriano Guerra, being careful not to rile anti-planning interests,

disclaimed that “This is a study and not a master plan.” However, he went on to say that

the current pattern of growth in San Antonio was one of “substantial leapfrogging,”

mostly due to the pull factors on the northern fringe such as attractive topography, an

extensive transportation network, business and commercial centers, prestigious housing,

and highly regarded school districts” (City of San Antonio 1975, 6). Guerra questioned

the high costs of fringe development, citing the Costs of Sprawl (Real Estate Research

Corporation 1974), and then argued for less-costly, alternative development patterns

based on public service efficiency, contiguous development, and an equitable distribution

of housing. Development control was needed to minimize negative environmental

impacts on the Edwards aquifer recharge zone. Similar to the Austin strategy, the

provision of infrastructure was touted as the tool of choice to direct growth. The study

concluded that the alternative growth patterns all “represent a change from the

unplanned, inefficient and wasteful patterns of the past… they all provide for growth

without environmental damage” (City of San Antonio 1975, 59). Guerra may have

started out with a disclaimer about planning, but he certainly concluded with an

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aggressive planning stance that may be considered the highpoint of the City’s growth

management efforts and planning for more sustainable development patterns:

Experience in San Antonio and in many other American cities shows that the accumulation of hundreds of individual development decisions do not constitute a growth policy which leads to a desired development pattern. Rather, City Council must decide its future by providing policy direction along the lines recommended in this report” (City of San Antonio 1975, 59). In 1976 the City Council formally charged the Planning Commission with putting

together a comprehensive plan. Building on the idea of Guerra’s Alternative Growth

Study, the Planning Department issued Growth Sketches for San Antonio, a report

intended as a general guide for preparation of the master plan. In this report Guerra’s

alternatives had evolved into four distinct growth scenarios addressing development

location. The first scenario, or sketch, was Existing Trends, which essentially proposed

business-as-usual. The other three – Aquifer Deflection, Southside Development, and

Inner City Revitalization - all called for varied degrees of growth management (City of

San Antonio 1976a). The Growth Sketches report included strongly worded general

assumptions:

• Growth is desirable within San Antonio’s city limits.

• Growth is not equally desirable in all sectors of the urban area.

• Some sectors are preferred for growth based on efficient provision of service, ecological considerations, and fiscal responsibility.

• A planned and comprehensive approach will help the city anticipate growth

needs and lead to a better environment to encourage further quality growth.

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Similar to Guerra’s forceful comments of a year earlier, the report concluded that:

In a free market growth occurs in a distinct fashion which may or may not be in the public interest . . . it should be recognized that the primary objective of private enterprise is to maximize profit. Such an objective can sometimes be in conflict with public goals (City of San Antonio 1976a, 15).

Needless to say, Growth Sketches proved to be controversial. Developers did not

like the “dots” on the sketches (dots represented preferred locations for development)

(Figure 17). This was the first time that someone had suggested that development might

not be all right. Developers called the planners communists and the Costs of Sprawl was

held up to ridicule (Powell 1984). In my review of the planning process in San Antonio,

Figure 17. Disturbing Dots. From the San Antonio Light, June 28, 1976.

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in order to understand the city’s planning paradigm, it is important to realize that during

this decade city staff were producing dynamic and forward-looking land-use studies and

plans. These efforts were intended to ultimately become part of a comprehensive plan.

The land use assumptions from Growth Sketches were synthesized and softened

into the Preferred Growth Sketch (City of San Antonio 1976b), and a public outreach

program was undertaken to interest citizens in discussing the four different growth

scenarios. Part of the outreach program included Super Planner, a pullout section in one

of the two local newspapers describing each sketch (Figure 18). In spite of these efforts,

and unlike Austin, public reaction was either apathetic or negative. After eight public

hearings, the San Antonio Growth Sketch (City of San Antonio 1977), a toned-down

version of the earlier sketches, emerged and was adopted by the City Council on March

24, 1977. The Preferred Growth Sketch’s general goals were weaker and more

Figure 18. SuperPlanner. From the San Antonio Light, June 28, 1976.

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amorphous than the general goals from the earlier Growth Sketches. For example, this is

illustrated by the use of suggestive words such as promote and encourage, and nebulous

terms such as “quality of life,” “sensible growth,” and “best possible” in the goals from

the Preferred Growth Sketch reprinted below. Interestingly, the strong verb ensure is

reserved for promoting growth:

• Provide the best quality of life through responsible use of limited resources. • Promote sensible growth for the city, reversing and preventing decline and

encouraging steady, contiguous development.

• Identify the best possible distribution of land uses by quantity and type to meet the physical, social, cultural, economic, energy and environmental needs of the present and future population.

• Ensure use of land is managed efficiently and designated equitably in the

best interest of promoting growth which maximizes public assets.

• Encourage growth and development in the following areas: areas already fully serviced with utilities; areas where minor service extensions would be necessary; area of underused existing facilities; areas within reasonable contiguous annexation range.

The Preferred Growth Sketch was to be used to develop the land use goals,

objectives, and policies for Chapter 4 of the forthcoming comprehensive plan. In 1978 a

draft of this critical plan element was presented to the Planning Commission, but it

proved to be controversial among the business community, perhaps due to its detail and

statements such as “the volume of growth is less significant than the distribution of

growth”; or Objective D6: “distribute population growth throughout the planning area;”

or Objective D12: “indicate an optimum pattern and location which can guide future

development of various intensities . . .” (City of San Antonio 1976b). After some

discussion, the Planning Commission sent Chapter 4 to the City Council which quickly

rejected it and asked that the whole idea of what a plan should look like be restructured.

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At this point, the Planning Commission essentially abandoned much of the work

done over the past decade, and sent two very brief and general planning documents to the

Council. The Foreward and Basic Plan sections of the San Antonio Master Plan were

finally adopted in August, 1980. The Council then adopted a series of functional plans

including the Land Use Plan (City of San Antonio 1983). The brevity and lack of detail

and firm direction of the San Antonio planning documents is in sharp contrast to Austin’s

plan that was adopted around the same time. The Land Use Plan pointedly avoided the

earlier approach of preferred growth scenarios and the need for growth management with

statements such as:

The principles stated herein are not mandates or suggestions that current policies and regulations are in any respect improper or undesirable and therefore must be modified, but rather are general goals which are desirable objectives and philosophies (City of San Antonio 1983, 1).

In this chapter’s next section, I will analyze the Foreward, Basic Plan, and Land Use

Plan in more detail.

Plan Analysis

The Austin Tomorrow Plan

The Austin Tomorrow Plan has eight plan elements as well as chapters on

“Development Suitability” and “Growth Management.” Directed growth,

environmentalism, and the primacy of social space over abstract space are aggressively

promoted throughout the plan. For example, the first element, Urban Design, calls for

development that is compatible with the “the unique natural and constructed features of

the Austin area,” and site planning that is “tolerant of natural topographic conditions”

(City of Austin 1980, 15). A separate element on environmental management addresses

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the “monitoring and regulation of society’s impacts on natural physical elements,” and

the fundamental premise that “urban and suburban development of land should be

restricted in areas with limited ability to absorb urbanization without severe

environmental degradation” (33). The Economic Development element emphasizes the

“preservation and improvement of the natural and cultural environment,” and the need to

“anticipate and control the environmental impact of economic growth” (26). The element

on Housing and Neighborhoods calls for increasing the availability of housing for low

and moderate income households in “an integrated setting” (69). Transportation system

policy must be coordinated with the overall goals of urban design, neighborhood

protection, environmental protection and urban growth management, and it must

emphasize the need for the increased use of non-motorized travel modes, rather than

continued dependency on the automobile as the primary travel mode. Finally, a key

element of the plan, Government and Utility Services, cites the critical need for using the

provision of utility service “to guide growth into a compact, contiguous and planned

form” (55); basic municipal utilities can be provided within “a framework of preserving

Austin’s natural environment, managing urban growth and reducing urban sprawl” (51).

The “Development Suitability” chapter serves as justification for the preferred

growth corridor mapped out in the plan’s final chapter, “Growth Management.” Using a

process of elimination in the vein of McHarg’s Design with Nature (1969), it maps

environmental constraints to show the location of land not suitable for development.

Comparisons are drawn between the continuation of trends toward sprawling

development and a shift toward a more contained urban form. Controlling development

location by the provision of infrastructure is again emphasized: “utilities and services

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should be extended on a coordinated basis to those areas where growth is relatively most

suitable” (112). Performance principles and standards for urban development require

“compensation for, or mitigation of, the environmental and social costs incurred by

development in areas with one or more limiting factor[s],” a rare example of the Polluters

Pay sustainability principle (114).

The final chapter recommends a priority growth pattern based on a synthesis of

development constraints and the alternative growth patterns created in the early stages of

the Austin Tomorrow planning process. The resulting “preferred growth corridor would

offer the best opportunity for low and moderate housing, reduced racial segregation, more

amenities and open space, and the reduction of urban sprawl” (148). All in all, the Austin

Tomorrow Plan’s goals, objectives, and policies addressed all six sustainability principles

(Table 5). Almost three out of four (261 out of 356 or 73.3%) of the policies relate to one

or more sustainability principles. Of these 261 policies, 152 are suggested (58.2%), and

109 are required (41.8%).

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Table 5. Strength and Sustainability Analysis of the Austin Tomorrow Plan. In the column “Plan Element” the numbers in parentheses are the number of policies for each plan element. The numbers in the last row are the percent of plan policies that relate to each sustainability principle. “S” means the policy is suggested, and “R” indicates the policy is required.

Plan Element (no. of Policies)

Stre

ngth

Har

mon

y w

ith N

atur

e

Liva

ble

Bui

lt En

viro

nmen

t

Plac

e-B

ased

Ec

onom

y

Equi

ty

Pollu

ters

Pay

Res

pons

ible

R

egio

nalis

m

Urban Design (34) S R

1 29 2

Economic Development (21)

S R

1 1 5 11 1

Environmental Management (60)

S R

24 5

7 9

2 1

1 1

Utility Services (45) S R

7 5

9 3

3 2

2 2

Neighborhoods & Housing (26)

S R

4 5

11 5

Parks, Open Space (62) S R

3 5

11 11

7 2

1

Transportation (91) S R

2 6

11 31

3

Health & Human Services (17)

S R

4

2

3

Sustainability Policies 59 137 7 48 3 7 Percent of Total Plan Policies

16.6% 38.5% 2.0% 13.5% 0.9% 2.0%

The San Antonio Plan

The San Antonio Master Plan adopted in 1980 consists of the three-page

Foreward and the seventeen-page Basic Plan (City of San Antonio 1980). The Foreward

discusses the “redefinition of the role of public planning in San Antonio . . .” and

contains such general statements as “The San Antonio Master Plan . . . is a guide which

permits individuals in government (as well as private enterprise) to make informed

decisions with some degree of understanding of the potential longer-range effects of a

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specific decision” (City of San Antonio 1980, I). No goals, objectives, or policies are

stated in the Foreward.

The seventeen-page Basic Plan sets out five general goals and five guidelines for

the community’s land use policy. Since there are only five goals, they are reprinted in

their entirety below:

1. Provide economic opportunity for the people of San Antonio by encouraging economic growth through an active governmental partnership with private enterprise in efforts to strengthen and expand existing industrial and commercial activities and to attract businesses to San Antonio and its environs.

2. Conserve and enhance our natural and cultural resources and reduce natural and

manmade hazards; preserve and protect our historical resources and encourage their productive use.

3. Prudently invest public funds and other resources in area that are deficient in

municipal infrastructure to encourage the investment of private capital in redevelopment activities which will promote the use and reuse of public and private resources; maintain and strengthen stable and growing areas of the City by providing an adequate level of service and maintenance.

4. Accommodate the requirements of an expanding economy and an increasing

population by coordinating the interrelated roles of government and private enterprise in providing residential, commercial and industrial development and redevelopment within the corporate limits of the city and within its extraterritorial jurisdiction.

5. Annex additional territory to the city in an orderly manner giving due

consideration to the effects on the well-being of the citizens of San Antonio. The overall thrust of the five goals is towards accommodating economic growth. The

second goal relates to the Harmony with Nature sustainability principle in a broad but

anthropocentric sense: e.g., the “productive use” of natural resources. Suggestive words

such as encourage, promote, and accommodate are used, and the word environment is no

where to be found.

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Compare the tenor of the Basic Plan’s adopted goals to some of the earlier

Chapter IV goals that were rejected by the San Antonio City Council in 1977 , and the

“lost-in-translation” phenomenon is evident (City of San Antonio 1977):

• Conserve existing urban resources so as to maximize their use and minimize the demand for expansion of scattered suburban development.

• Achieve urban development in those areas capable of supporting development

in terms of adequate public utilities, community facilities and services, and in terms of positive environmental impacts.

• Indicate an optimum pattern and location which can guide future development

of various intensities and identify areas for the planning and programming of adequate and efficient service for the community.

• Recognize geographic characteristics of and differences between geographic

areas of the planning area which warrant selective policy treatment in order to achieve the goals of the plan.

• Ensure the use of land meets social, economic and physical needs of the

present and future population in an orderly manner that supports efficient and compatible development and respect for the land.

These discarded goals dealt with the location of urban development head-on and used

strong verbs requiring action such as maximize, achieve, and ensure.

The Land Use Plan adopted in 1983 emphasized “a coordinated and mutually

consistent City philosophy to guide the physical development of the San Antonio

Planning Area,” an issue important to real estate and business interest groups (City of San

Antonio 1983, 1). It noted that the “public sector is a partner with the private sector –

developers, builders, and financial interests – in the development, maintenance, and

redevelopment of the community” (10). The plan called for policies that:

. . . for the most part, reflect current practices and procedures. The real estate market, which the Land Use Plan seeks to positively influence, is dynamic and flexible; thus continuous planning will facilitate an appropriate public response to changing market conditions (11).

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The plan pointedly avoids the planning staffs’ earlier preferred growth sketches and their

call for growth management:

The principles stated herein are not mandates or suggestions that current policies and regulations are in any respect improper or undesirable and therefore must be modified, but rather are general goals which are desirable objectives and philosophies (1).

Indeed, the overarching theme seems to be monetary value-oriented, revolving around the

commodification of social space into abstract – reminiscent of the 1965 brochure’s

growth boosterism. For example, there are statements stressing the instrumental or

consumptive value of the landscape such as: “visual sensitivity can promote economic

development . . . the preservation of natural resources adds to the value and attractiveness

of an area” (City of san Antonio 1983, 7); and finally:

The demand to use or be near these natural amenities [trees, viewscapes, naturally vegetated open spaces and watercourses] can be balanced by construction activities and site designs that enable the use of the land without destroying the value of the natural features, which increased the demand and the value of that land for physical development in the first instance” (14). Land use policies are grouped into six sections. Words such as sensitivity and

flexibility are found in the “Natural Resources” section, intimating that development

should be “sensitive” to the environment but regulations “flexible” so as not to encumber

the prevailing development process. Indeed, in the “Regulatory Measures” section, a

primary objective is to:

. . . increase the effectiveness and objectivity of the City’s land use regulatory system, eliminate counterproductive and inconsistent requirements, and streamline land use regulatory provisions in order to minimize complexity and uncertainty” (32).

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Referring to growth constraints, the plan makes the somewhat incongruous

statement that “these constraints do not represent prohibitions for development but . . .

development in these areas will be more expensive” (14). As for “Utility Infrastructure”

it notes that “as a growing community, San Antonio requires adequate utility services to

accommodate that growth,” and then follows with an objective to “assure that an

adequate utility infrastructure exists to foster and encourage economic growth in all parts

of the Planning Area” (17). No policy statement included the word environment. The

San Antonio Land Use Plan concludes with a put down of Guerra’s earlier

comprehensive planning efforts stating that “traditional land use plans have often been

regarded not so much as guides to growth but as obstacles to change” (5).

All in all, the Land Use Plan reflects the complete evisceration of the preferred

growth area policies developed and debated in the 1970s. The plan focuses on economic

development and accommodating growth with minimal government influence on its

location or form. Twenty-two of the plan’s fifty-eight policies (37.9%) relate to the

sustainability principles (Table 6). Fourteen of those twenty-two polices relate to the

Livable Built Environment sustainability principle. Only four polices relate to the

Harmony with Nature principle.

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Table 6. Strength and Sustainability Analysis of the San Antonio Land Use Plan.

Plan Element (# of Policies)

Stre

ngth

Har

mon

y w

ith N

atur

e

Liva

ble

Bui

lt En

viro

nmen

t

Plac

e B

ased

Ec

onom

y

Equi

ty

Pollu

ters

Pay

Res

pons

ible

R

egio

nalis

m

Natural Resources (8) S R

3 2

Utilities (6) S R

1 1

Transportation (15) S R

1 3

Urban Form (12) S R

3 1

1

Regulatory (9) S R

2 2

Annexation, Services (8) S R

2

Sustainability Policies 4 14 0% 3 0% 1 Percent of Total Plan Policies

7.0% 26.3% 0% 5.3% 0% 1.8%

Summary and Comparison

My plan analysis has revealed that, although there are similarities between the

two city’s planning processes, the resulting comprehensive plans were quite different

from each another. As for the similarities, both comprehensive planning efforts began at

a time of increasing conflict over land use brought on by the region’s rapid growth.

Citizens, civic officials, and planners questioned the pace and form of the growth that

was changing the landscape. As a result, both communities turned to comprehensive

planning to consider “different arrangements of possible futures,” and in the process

generated new outlooks on where urban development should take place. Alternative

growth scenarios, or sketches, challenged the predominant trend toward sprawling

development on the urban fringe. Both plans took several years to complete, necessitated

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by the complexity of urban growth dynamics, the sheer numbers of stakeholder and

neighborhood groups involved, and the need to reach a politically acceptable consensus -

one of the rational planning model’s basic tenets. Finally, both the citizens of Austin and

the planning staff of San Antonio determined that the key tool to managing the location

of development should be the provision of utility and transportation infrastructure.

But the purpose behind the use of the infrastructure tool in the two cities was not

the same. The San Antonio Land Use Plan noted that, “as a growing community, San

Antonio requires adequate utility services to accommodate that growth . . . and the City

should assure that an adequate utility infrastructure exists to foster and encourage

economic growth . . . (City of San Antonio 1983, 17). For Austin, infrastructure was to

be used to guide growth away from the less suitable hills to the west of I-35 to the more

developable lands of the Blackland prairie to the east of the I-35 corridor. The Austin

plan’s capital-improvements policies included (City of Austin 1980, 159):

• Capital improvements should provide incentives for a compact, contiguous, and efficient urban form.

• Municipal utilities, especially water, wastewater and streets, should be

expanded into those areas with the greater environmental suitability for urbanization and withheld from those areas with the greatest environmental limitations.

The Austin Tomorrow Plan prioritizes the environment, sense of place, a

regional perspective, and equity - aspects of a community that contribute to sustainable

development and social space. On the other hand, the San Antonio Master Plan touts

economic development and the instrumental value of environmental and cultural

amenities, and thus prioritizes the abstract space of business groups and developers. The

Austin planning process resulted in a “traditional” comprehensive plan that combined

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land use policies with a graphic vision of desired future patterns of physical

development. It included geographic specifics – growth should go here, or growth

should not go there. The Austin plan included maps with lines drawn around areas

designated for growth, limited growth, or no growth, whereas the San Antonio plans did

not include a single map. Conflict comes to a head when lines – or dots – on a map are

given the force of official policy. And these defining lines aroused the passion, emotion

and power struggles among those involved in urban development. As stated in the

literature review, the urban region is an enormous playing field on which thousands of

competitors struggle to capture value or build community, and “who wins and who

loses, who sits at the table, and how the game is played are gauged by planners’ lines”

(Neuman 1998, 215). In San Antonio, plans with maps were locked in the City Hall

basement.

The Austin plan was a result of transactive planning, or planning that emphasizes

mutual learning and face-to-face contact with the people affected by land use regulations

and decisions (see page 72). Citizens proactively developed goals and objectives, and

wrestled with the location of new development while the planning staff acted as

facilitators and mediators, and focused on “crossing t’s” and “dotting i’s.” In the case of

San Antonio, the planning staff, more so than the citizens, called for development

alternatives and growth management tools with which to implement them. The growth

management element of the Austin Tomorrow Plan stayed more or less intact from the

plan’s inception in 1973 to its adoption in 1979, whereas this was not the case for San

Antonio. There, planning staff created progressive studies and reports, and put forth a

strongly worded Chapter IV for a comprehensive plan that was not subsequently

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supported by the citizenry and never considered for adoption by the City Council. The

growth management strategies developed by the San Antonio planners were completely

eviscerated in the translation from ideas to official policy.

In conclusion, the Austin Tomorrow Plan has sustainability as an overarching

theme, whereas the San Antonio Master Plan and Land Use Plan revolve around the

principle of economic development and abstract space. This is not to say that sustainable

development and economic development are mutually exclusive, but the San Antonio

plans gave little weight to environmental amenities other than seeing them as resources to

attract more development. Almost three out of four of the Austin Tomorrow policies

relate to one or more sustainability principles – double the percentage of such polices in

the San Antonio Land Use Plan. The Austin plan also gives twice the emphasis to the

Harmony with Nature and Equity principles than does the San Antonio plan. In addition,

far more of the Austin plan’s polices are “required” than those of the San Antonio plan.

Have these differences in land use policy translated into different growth

outcomes? In the next chapter I will use quantitative and map analysis to examine

growth and change in Austin, San Antonio, and the Corridor Region.

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CHAPTER VII

QUANTITATIVE AND MAP ANALYSIS

In this chapter, I will use three groups of variables related to sprawl, socio-

economic distance/inequality, and energy flows to measure the growth patterns and

trends within the Corridor Region. I will use three different scales: the region itself, the

Austin MSA and San Antonio extended MSA or “sub-regions,” and finally the region’s

two primary cities set within the context of their respective counties. The time frame for

most of the analyses is from 1980 to 2000. In the next and final chapter, I will discuss

the patterns and changes over time in the different areas and relate these findings to the

comprehensive plans analyzed in the previous chapter.

Sprawl

I use two methods to determine whether the region’s growth pattern is sprawling.

First, I look at the locations of the highest housing growth rates. Are there significant

differences in housing growth rates depending on whether the location is rural, exurban,

suburban, or urban? Higher growth rates in rural and exurban tracts would indicate a

sprawling growth pattern. Second I compare housing growth occurring within the

region’s incorporated cities to housing growth occurring outside the boundaries of the

region’s incorporated cities. Residential development in unincorporated areas is

generally on larger lots and thus more spread-out than development within incorporated

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cities. In addition, unincorporated areas in Texas are subject to minimal land use

regulation whereas the state’s cities are able to plan comprehensively.

The Location of Growth by Density Classification I first categorized the study area’s 591 census tracts at a point in time into

Theobald’s four density classes: rural, exurban, suburban, and urban. I used 1980 as the

benchmark year because that is when the comprehensive plans analyzed in the last

chapter were intended to “take effect.” Also, Geolytics standardized the 1980 census

data to the year 2000 census tract boundaries for all but forty-two of the 591 tracts in my

study area. The forty-two tracts are located in eight rural counties outside the 1980

Austin/San Marcos and San Antonio MSAs. In 1980 the U.S. Census Bureau did not

collect tract-level data for rural counties, but rather by Census County Districts (CCDs).

Of the forty-two subject tracts, the CCD boundaries matched eight year-2000 tract

boundaries, and for these I was able to use the CCD housing data.

For each of the other thirty-four tracts I calculated the housing growth rate from

1990 to 2000, and then used this rate to estimate the number of housing units in 1980 for

each tract. I adjusted the result for the actual number of 1980 housing units for the CCD

in which the tracts were located. For example, the LaVernia CCD in Wilson County had

been combined into two census tracts by 2000. The 1990 – 2000 housing growth rates

for the two tracts were 56 percent and 57 percent. I then divided the 1990 housing units

for each tract (1,250 and 668) by 1.56 and 1.57, yielding 801 and 426 units (or 1,227 total

units) for 1980. The actual number of 1980 CCD housing units was 1,119, so I divided

each estimate by 1.0965 (the percent difference between 1,227 and 1,119), yielding final

tract estimates of 730 and 389 units.

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Once my data table was complete, I used ArcMap 9.0 to calculate and map the

1980, 1990, and 2000 housing densities and growth rates from 1980 to 2000 for all 591

tracts based on their four housing density classifications as of the benchmark year

(Figures 19 and 20). In 1980 there were 70 rural tracts, 67 exurban tracts, 200 suburban

tracts, and 254 urban tracts. The housing growth rate for the entire study region was 77.5

percent, or a mean annual growth rate of 3.9 percent. For the same time period, the

growth rate for Texas was 47.0 percent, or 2.4 percent annually. The highest growth

rates occurred in tracts classified as exurban, rural, and suburban, and the lowest growth

rate in the urban tracts. In fact, housing growth in the region’s rural and exurban tracts

was more than ten times that in urban tracts: 197.1 percent and 18.3 percent respectively.

By the year 2000, the percentage of the region’s total housing units located in what were

rural and exurban tracts in 1980 had increased from 14.9 percent in 1980 to 24.9 percent

in 2000 (Figure 21).

Comparing the Austin and San Antonio sub-regions reveals that housing growth

in the Austin MSA was almost twice that of housing growth in the San Antonio extended

MSA: 111.8 percent compared to 57.8 percent (Table 7 and Figure 22). In the Austin

area, housing growth in what were rural and exurban tracts in 1980 was greater than

similar tracts in the San Antonio area: 253.7 percent compared to 153.0 percent.

Between 1980 and 2000 the share of the Austin area’s housing units located in rural and

exurban tracts increased from 17.8 percent to 29.8 percent, compared to from 13.1

percent to 21.1 percent in the San Antonio area. It appears that sprawling growth is more

pronounced in the Austin MSA. Looking more closely at Travis and Bexar County tracts

reveals similar patterns, and I will cover this in the next section.

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Figure 19. Housing Unit Density in 1980, 1990, and 2000. Bar chart illustrates housing growth rate from 1980 to 2000 based on 1980 tract classification.

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Figure 20. Housing Unit Growth Rates by Census Tract – 1980 to 2000.

Figure 21. Regional Share of Total Housing Units for 1980 and 2000. Based on 1980 tract classification.

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Figure 22.Share of Total Housing Units for Sub-Regions Based on 1980 Tract Classification.

Table 7. Housing Units and Growth Rates by Sub-Region and Tract Classification.

Class Austin Sub-Region SA Sub-Region 2000 HU 1980 HU % Change 2000 HU 1980 HU % Change Rural 73,944 24,033 207.8 75,874 30,116 151.9 Exurban 73,957 17,787 315.8 59,629 23,441 154.4 Suburban 183,364 61,908 196.2 201,236 86,167 133.5 Urban 165,227 130,864 26.3 305,830 267,475 14.3 Total 496,762 234,592 111.8 642,569 407,199 57.8

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Planned vs. Unplanned: Inside or Outside the Region’s Cities In 1980 the study area had eighty-five incorporated cities (Figure 23). As of the

year 2000 there were eighty-eight incorporated cites; new cities added were Bulverde,

Fair Oaks Ranch, and Woodcreek, all located within rural or exurban tracts. The housing

growth rate was almost one-third higher for unincorporated areas than for incorporated

areas: 96.6 percent compared to 73.0 percent (Table 8). This is in spite of liberal

annexation laws allowing Texas cities to aggressively annex land in their extra-territorial

jurisdictions. Much of the housing unit growth in unincorporated areas was on large lots,

many relying on septic systems for sewage disposal.

Figure 23. Incorporated Cities in the Corridor Region.

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Table 8. Housing Growth in the Region’s Cities and Unincorporated Areas: 1980 - 2000.

2000 1980 Change Within 899,938 (79.0%) 520,034 (81.0%) 73.0% Outside 239,393 (21.0%) 121,757 (19.0%) 96.6%

To look more closely at Travis and Bexar counties, I have designated year 2000

census tracts that were at least 50 percent within the 1980 city limits of Austin and San

Antonio as “city tracts” (Figure 24). This enables me to get a more accurate picture of

where new development occurred within the twenty year time period based on the tract

classifications and city limits at the beginning of the study period. It is obvious that the

highest growth rates occurred in the counties’ rural and exurban tracts located in Austin

or San Antonio’s extra-territorial jurisdiction (ETJ), or in county tracts (Figure 25).

Additionally, there is little difference between Austin and San Antonio’s growth patterns

Figure 24. City and County Tracts for Travis and Bexar Counties. Tract designation is based on 1980 city boundaries.

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(Table 9 and Figure 25). In fact, a linear trend line for the declining percentage of San

Antonio’s share of total Bexar County housing units has an R-square = 99.7, and the

same type of trend line for Austin and Travis County has an R-square = 98.6.

Table 9. Percentage of Housing Units in City and County: 1970 to 2000. Based on 1980 city boundaries.

1970 1980 1990 2000 Austin City Tracts Rest of Travis County

88.4 11.6

83.5 16.5

75.3 24.7

66.7 33.3

San Antonio City Tracts Rest of Bexar County

92.1 7.9

83.9 16.1

75.5 24.5

69.0 31.0

Figure 25. Housing Unit Proportions for Travis and Bexar Counties. “City” indicates tracts that are more than fifty percent within the 1980 city limits of each city, and “County” indicates the remaining tracts in each county.

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Figure 26. Density Classifications and Growth Rates for Travis and Bexar Counties. Maps include ETJ buffer based on 1980 city limits.

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Socio-Economic Distance/Inequality

In this section I analyze changes in socio-economic distance and inequality

between 1980 and 2000 in the region, extended MSAs, and Austin and San Antonio. I

use census data for mean household income, persons below the poverty rate, house value,

commuting time, and distribution of racial/ethnic groups, to measure the inequality-

separation variable. House value is the median value for all owner-occupied housing

units, and commuting time is based on travel time to work. Since commuting time is

used as an energy flow measure in the next section, I will reserve that analysis for later in

the chapter. I will analyze the distribution of non-Hispanic white, black and Hispanic

racial/ethnic groups. The inequality research will include map analysis, the calculation of

coefficients of variation for income, and the calculation of several “segregation” indices.

Wealth: Income, Poverty, and House Value

An examination of the household-income regional map reveals that above-

average income tracts are practically all west of Interstate 35 for all three census years,

but this pattern has dramatically expanded in geographic area (Figure 27). The number

of tracts that are more than one-half standard deviation below the income mean has

decreased, but all are located east of Interstate 35 or in southern Bexar County. An

examination of regional household poverty rates reveals a similar pattern: an expansion

of tracts that have low poverty rates to the west of Interstate 35 in the Hill Country fringe

areas of each MSA. Higher poverty tracts remain located mostly in the southern part of

the Corridor Region or in more densely populated urban areas.

The increase in household income was more pronounced for the Austin MSA –

161.0 percent for the Austin MSA compared to 131.8 percent for the San Antonio

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extended MSA (these figures are not adjusted for inflation). The Coefficient of Variation

(COV) enables more detailed analysis of these income statistics. The Coefficient of

Variation quantifies scatter, and, as stated in Chapter 5, is defined as a distribution’s

standard deviation divided by its mean (standardizing the standard deviation). The higher

the COV, the more inequality there is in the variable being measured.

The COVs for household income in the entire Corridor Region have increased

since 1980, following the national trend of increasing differentiation between high and

low income households (U.S. Census 2005b). Comparing the two sub-regions, the COV

increase since 1980 is slightly higher for the Austin MSA (Table 10). When focusing on

Travis and Bexar Counties, the difference is more pronounced. Since 1970 Travis

County has showed a steady increase in its COV while Bexar County’s COV has been

more stable. When looking at Austin and San Antonio (based on their 1980 boundaries),

Austin’s COV has increased steadily since 1970 and exceeded San Antonio’s by 2000.

San Antonio’s COV has remained relatively stable, albeit high as a result of its more

Table 10. Coefficients of Variation for Household Income. Area 1970 1980 1990 2000

Corridor Region 41.43 36.80 47.30 51.31 Austin MSA 32.55 34.42 46.92 51.33 San Antonio Extended MSA 46.48 38.05 47.08 47.27 Travis County 32.53 36.55 51.20 56.74 Bexar County 46.78 42.05 50.26 50.83 Austin 35.73 40.41 49.38 57.10 Rest of Travis County 25.46 22.46 40.31 48.32 San Antonio 52.28 43.17 54.78 53.00 Rest of Bexar County 27.22 27.71 33.03 35.91 Source: Neighborhood Change Database. The result of dividing the standard deviation by the mean is multiplied by 100. COVs for Austin and San Antonio are based on the 1980 city limit boundaries. Thus “Austin” includes tracts that were mostly within the 1980 Austin city limits, and “Travis Rest” includes the remaining tracts in Travis County. Note that 1970 data is limited for counties outside the 1970 Austin and San Antonio MSA boundaries. Data for 1970 is complete for Travis and Bexar counties.

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Figure 27. Mean Household Income. Figure includes bar chart of income change by extended MSA. The “no data” tract in northern Bexar County for year 2000 is Camp Bullis, federal property used for military purposes. The U.S. Census collected data for this tract in 1980 and 1990, but not for 2000.

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Figure 28. Poverty Level – Persons Below the Poverty Level.

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numerous low-income tracts (Figure 29). The distribution of income in the two cities

reflects the “head-for-the-hills” movement of higher income households evident at the

regional level. In Austin higher income tracts have historically been located west of

Interstate 35, but the number of tracts at least one standard deviation above the mean

household income has decreased from 1980 to 2000, and these tracts appear to be isolated

on the western edge of the 1980 city boundaries (Figure 30). The same phenomenon is

evident in San Antonio as, with the exception of the up-scale enclave of Alamo Heights

located in the northeast quadrant of San Antonio, higher income households have moved

northwest.

Similar patterns are evident when looking at median house value at the regional,

sub-regional, or city scales. Practically all tracts with above-average value are located

west of Interstate 35, and the geographic area has expanded since 1980 (Figure 31). The

increase in house value from 1970 to 2000, similar to household income, is especially

dramatic for the Austin MSA compared to the San Antonio extended MSA: 300.8 percent

compared to 175.2 percent respectively (figures are not adjusted for inflation).

Figure 29. Coefficients of Variation for Household Income: Austin and San Antonio.

Austin

San Antonio

COV

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Figure 30. Mean Household Income for Austin and San Antonio. Tracts are ranked by standard deviation.

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Figure 31. House Value Ranked by Standard Deviation. Bar chart compares 1980, 1990, and 2000 house values for the Austin and San Antonio sub-regions.

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Race/Ethnicity – Segregation Indices

To measure racial/ethnic distance and inequality I will use three segregation

indices: the Index of Dissimilarity, Index of Interaction, and Index of Isolation.

Dissimilarity Index

The index of dissimilarity is the proportion of a group that would have to move

(change tract in my study) to achieve an even distribution of that group in a specified area

(U.S. Census Bureau 2005b). The formula is:

D = ∑ (ti| pi – P|) / 2TP (1 – P) where

• ti is the total population of tract i.

• pi is the minority proportion of tract i’s population.

• P is the minority proportion of the study area’s population; the study area can be the Corridor Region, MSAs, or cities.

• T is the study area’s total population.

The higher the index, the more minority persons would have to move to achieve equality

in the study area. Indices are calculated for blacks/whites and Hispanics/whites where

whites are considered the majority group. The specified areas are the Corridor Region,

the extended MSAs, Travis and Bexar counties, and Austin and San Antonio. The

dissimilarity index has two weaknesses: 1) it measures only two groups at a time, and 2)

it is aspatial – it does not tell you the spatial patterns of segregation, only the relative

degree of segregation. This second weakness is partially overcome by supplementing the

index calculations with a map (Figure 32).

Between 1980 and 2000 there was an overall reduction in residential segregation

for blacks in U.S. metropolitan areas (U.S. Census Bureau 2005b). The index for all U.S.

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metropolitan areas has declined from 72.7 in 1980 to 64.0 in 2000. However, for

Hispanics, the index showed a slight increase: 50.2 in 1980 to 50.9 in 2000). The highest

level of segregation for Hispanics is normally in areas with high percentages of

Hispanics, such as San Antonio (U.S. Census Bureau 2005b). Indices calculated for the

Corridor Region reveal that, similar to national trends, black/white segregation has

indeed decreased but, unlike the national trend, Hispanic/white segregation has also

decreased (Table 11). Dissimilarity indices for the extended MSAs are similar to the

regional results, as they are for Travis and Bexar counties. Blacks are more segregated in

Travis County than they are in Bexar County; and they are more segregated in Austin

than in San Antonio. Hispanics are equally segregated in Travis and Bexar counties, but

the trends have been opposite – segregation has increased in Travis County while it has

decreased in Bexar County. The trends are similar for Austin and San Antonio.

Table 11. Dissimilarity Indices. Top: Black/Non-Hispanic White; Bottom:

Hispanic/Non-Hispanic White. Area 1980 1990 2000

Corridor Region 62.53 49.96 50.81 Austin MSA 61.89 54.30 50.66 San Antonio Ext. MSA 63.11 55.63 50.56 Travis County 66.27 56.92 55.45 Bexar County 61.44 52.55 43.84 Austin 66.58 59.12 58.14 San Antonio 62.21 52.64 47.46

Area 1980 1990 2000

Corridor Region 55.83 51.74 50.00 Austin MSA 44.42 41.12 45.46 San Antonio Ext. MSA 54.85 52.12 49.40 Travis County 44.85 41.66 49.21 Bexar County 58.03 53.82 49.83 Austin 45.97 43.05 49.60 San Antonio 59.23 56.71 53.56

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Segregation - Interaction Index

The interaction index is an “exposure” index that measures the degree of potential

contact - or interaction - between minority and majority group members, or the

probability that a minority person shares an areal unit with a majority person (U.S.

Census 2005b). The index measures the exposure of minority group members to

members of the majority group as the minority weighted-average of the majority

proportion of the population in each areal unit. The formula is:

Int = ∑ [(xi / X) * (yi / ti)] where,

• xi is the minority population of tract i.

• X is the total minority population.

• yi is the majority population of tract i.

• ti is the total population of tract i.

The maximum value is 100 and the minimum value is zero. A higher value of the

interaction index indicates more integration, or increasing possibilities of a minority

group “interacting” with the majority group. Examination of the indices for the different

levels of the study reveals patterns and trends similar to those uncovered with the

dissimilarity indices (Table 12). Interaction with blacks has risen slightly which is in

keeping with nation-wide trends and the findings from the dissimilarity calculations.

Interaction is steady with Hispanics or slightly trending downward, except for the City of

Austin, where the index went from 50.26 in 1980 to 39.33, indicating decreasing

interaction, or increasing segregation, of Hispanics from the majority non-Hispanic white

population. Some of this is due to the increasing percentage of Hispanics, relative to

blacks, in the total population.

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Table 12. Interaction Indices. Top: Black/NH White; Bottom: Hispanic/NH White. Area 1980 1990 2000

Corridor Region 36.10 41.43 40.55 Austin MSA 38.38 45.57 44.51 San Antonio Ext. MSA 34.34 37.79 36.94 Travis County 35.43 41.35 38.55 Bexar County 32.92 37.03 35.67 Austin 32.89 37.44 32.09 Rest of Travis County 62.69 68.87 59.36 San Antonio 31.41 35.12 33.99 Rest of Bexar County 65.73 53.11 43.93

Area 1980 1990 2000 Corridor Region 34.06 35.97 34.79 Austin MSA 51.00 55.10 49.12 San Antonio Ext. MSA 30.52 30.91 29.44 Travis County 52.91 52.96 44.18 Bexar County 27.83 28.23 26.32 Austin 50.26 48.89 39.33 Rest of Travis County 74.72 71.36 59.49 San Antonio 26.02 25.15 23.00 Rest of Bexar County 55.62 51.35 42.03

Isolation Index

Like the Interaction Index, the Isolation Index is an “exposure” index that

measures the degree of potential contact between minority and majority group members,

but in this case it is the extent to which groups are exposed only to one another, or the

segregation of any one group from any group. The formula is:

Iso = ∑ [(xi / X) * (xi / ti)] where

• xi is the minority population of tract i.

• X is the total minority population.

• ti is the total population of tract i.

The maximum value is 100 and the minimum value is zero. The higher the value the

more “isolated” the particular group is. Nationwide, the isolation index for blacks in

metropolitan areas has decreased from 65.5 in 1980 to 59.1 in 2000, due primarily to an

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increase in their percentage in suburban areas; and for Hispanics the index has increased

from 45.4 in 1980 to 55.2 in 2000 (Census 2005b). The Corridor Region follows the

wider trend for blacks, but isolation for Hispanics has remained stable at the regional and

sub-regional level (Table 13). However, looking more closely at Travis County and

Austin, Hispanic isolation has increased. Non-Hispanic white isolation shows declines

from 1980 to 2000 at all scales, but non-Hispanic white isolation continues to be more

pronounced in the Austin MSA, Travis County, and the City of Austin than in the San

Antonio extended MSA, Bexar County, and San Antonio. White isolation is also more

evident in the Hill Country portion of the Corridor Region (Figures 32, 33, and 34).

Table 13. Isolation Indices. Top: Black; Middle: Hispanic; Bottom: NH White. Area 1980 1990 2000

Corridor Region 36.42 27.39 20.04 Austin MSA 38.95 29.41 20.41 San Antonio Ext. MSA 34.38 25.62 19.78 Travis County 44.82 33.76 23.86 Bexar County 35.77 26.55 20.69 Austin 46.99 37.19 27.09 San Antonio 37.09 28.60 22.90

Area 1980 1990 2000 Corridor Region 59.60 57.61 57.91 Austin MSA 34.30 33.53 39.70 San Antonio Ext. MSA 64.84 64.10 64.85 Travis County 34.67 33.96 42.87 Bexar County 67.48 66.51 67.55 Austin 36.84 36.87 46.57 San Antonio 69.18 69.55 70.92

Area 1980 1990 2000 Corridor Region 73.57 70.47 67.49 Austin MSA 80.86 77.67 74.62 San Antonio Ext. MSA 68.15 64.06 59.47 Travis County 82.09 77.16 73.89 Bexar County 67.12 61.76 55.23 Austin 80.97 74.98 70.40 San Antonio 66.09 60.41 53.13

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Figure 32. Isolated Tracts in the Corridor Region. Highlighted tracts are eighty percent or more of one ethnicity or race. The bar chart illustrates the number of isolated tracts for each ethnicity or race.

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Figure 33. Isolated Tracts in Travis County (above) and City of Austin (below). Based on 1980 city limits. Highlighted tracts are eighty percent or more of one ethnicity or race.

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Figure 34. Isolated Tracts in Bexar County (above) and City of San Antonio (below). Based on 1980 city limits. Highlighted tracts are eighty percent or more of one ethnicity or race.

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Energy Flows

In this section house size and commuting data are used to measure energy

consumption and waste production. Of Rees and Wackernagel’s (1996) five categories

of human consumption, four relate to housing: the house itself, transportation to get to

and from that house, consumer goods, and services (the fifth is food). House size is

defined using census data for median number of bedrooms. Commuting is defined using

census data for commuting time and households with three or more vehicles available,

and traffic data from the Texas Transportation Institute related to vehicle miles traveled

(VMT) and traffic congestion (Schrank and Lomax 2005).

Houses with Four or More Bedrooms

The number of housing units with four or more bedrooms has increased

dramatically. Between 1980 and 2000 total housing units in the Corridor Region

increased by 77.5 percent, but housing units with four or more bedrooms increased by

168.2 percent (Table 14). Tracts with the largest increase in houses with four or more

bedrooms are mostly located west of Interstate 35, in the higher amenity Hill Country

part of the Corridor Region (Figure 35). The increase was even more dramatic for the

Austin MSA: 228.0 percent compared to 137.6 percent for the San Antonio extended

Table 14. Houses with Four or More Bedrooms. Area 1980 1990 2000 Change (%)

Corridor Region 66,985 105,275 179,631 168.2 Austin Sub-region 25,024 42,905 82,080 228.0 San Antonio Sub-region 41,061 62,370 97,551 137.6 Travis County 17,942 29,431 50,997 184.2 Austin 13,306 17,849 21,238 59.6 Rest of Travis County 4,636 11,582 29,759 541.9 Bexar County 40,134 59,028 90,724 126.1 San Antonio 40,760 40,925 53,536 31.3 Rest of Bexar County 5,684 13,078 26,912 373.5

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Figure 35. Percentage of Housing Units with Four or More Bedrooms by Census Tract. Figure includes chart of total housing units with four or more bedrooms for each extended MSA.

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percent for the San Antonio extended MSA. Looking at Austin and San Antonio (as

defined by their 1980 city boundaries) reveals that the growth in the number of houses

with four or more bedrooms is approximately ten times higher in county or ETJ tracts

located outside the 1980 city limits: 59.6 percent and 541.9 percent for Austin and the

rest of Travis County respectively; and 31.3 percent and 373.5 percent for San Antonio

and the rest of Bexar County respectively.

Commuting

At the regional level, one-way travel times more than forty-five minutes from

home to work increased at a rate almost two and a half times the increase in the number

of workers: 216.5 percent to 91.6 percent (Table 15 and Figure 36). Between 1980 and

2000, the number of workers in the Austin MSA making time-consuming commutes

increased almost three times more than the number of such workers in the San Antonio

extended MSA: 388.9 percent compared to 132.1 percent. At the county scale, the

number of Travis County workers with lengthy commutes increased four times more than

the number of such workers in Bexar County. Workers in unincorporated areas of the

two counties making time-consuming commutes increased dramatically, albeit from

Table 15. Workers with Commute Time Greater than Forty-five Minutes.

Area 1980 1990 2000 Change (%) Corridor Region 56,259 97,234 178,047 216.5 Austin Sub-region 18,488 40,215 90,401 388.9 San Antonio Sub-region 37,761 57,019 87,646 132.1 Travis County 9,837 18,707 42,740 334.5 Austin 6,770 11,051 22,208 228.0 Rest of Travis County 3,202 8,071 21,175 561.3 Bexar County 30,889 38,497 55,495 79.7 San Antonio 21,824 29,274 38,524 76.5 Rest of Bexar County 3,968 9,223 16,971 327.7

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Figure 36. Percentage of Workers with Commute Times Greater than Forty-five Minutes. Percentages for Medina, Bastrop, Caldwell, and parts of Atascosa and Wilson counties are county-wide averages. Bar chart is number of workers with commute times greater than 45 minutes.

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small initial numbers. Finally, at the city scale, time consuming commutes in Austin

increased by 228.0 percent compared to 76.5 percent for San Antonio.

Traffic Congestion

One reason for lengthy commutes is living far from work, an aspect of sprawling

development. However, commute time is also affected by traffic congestion. The Texas

Transportation Institute examined traffic congestion levels and trends from 1982 through

2003 in eighty-five U.S. urban areas, including Austin and San Antonio (Schrank and

Lomax 2005). Their results indicate that Austin-area congestion is worse than San

Antonio’s, quite remarkable considering traffic congestion is generally positively related

to an urban area’s size.

The Annual Delay-per-Traveler index measures extra travel time for annual peak-

period travel divided by the number of travelers who begin a trip during the peak period.

Extra time spent on Austin-area roads has increased so much that it now surpasses the

national average (Figure 37). The Travel Time Index measures the additional time

Figure 37. Annual Delay-per-Traveler. Source: Texas Transportation Institute.

Hou

rs

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1982 1993 2003

San Antonio Urban AreaAustin Urban AreaU.S. Urban Areas

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needed to make a trip during peak travel times in comparison to traveling at free-flow

speeds. The average Travel Time Index for the eighty-five urban areas examined in the

Institute’s study is 1.37, which means that a twenty-minute free-flow trip takes twenty-

seven to twenty-eight minutes in peak-flow conditions. From 1982 to 2003 Austin’s

index increased from 1.08 in 1982 to 1.33; and for San Antonio it increased from 1.05 to

1.22. Thus, both the Annual Delay per Traveler and the Travel Time indices reveal that

congestion is worse and worsening faster in the Austin urban area than it is in the San

Antonio urban area.

One reason for increasing delays is that since 1982 freeway daily vehicle-miles-

traveled (VMT) in Austin have more than trebled, increasing by 206.7 percent (from

3,000,000 miles to 9,200,000 miles in 2003) whereas in San Antonio freeway VMT have

increased by 135.6 percent (from 6,835,000 miles to 16,100,000 miles) (Schrank and

Lomax 2005). This emphasis on vehicular movement is also evident using total roadway

VMT (not just freeway). Between 1982 and 2003 total roadway VMT increased 192% in

the Austin urban area and 76.3 percent in the San Antonio urban area.

Available Vehicles

The number of the region’s occupied housing units with three or more vehicles

available increased, but not as much as the total number of occupied housing units

(Figure 38 and table 16). In fact the percentage of such housing units has decreased from

20.5 percent in 1980 to 15.8 percent in 2000. At the national level, the percentage of

housing units with three-plus vehicles has been stable: 17.5 percent in 1980 and 17.1% in

2000. In Texas, the proportion has declined from 22.1 percent in 1980 to 15.7 percent in

2000, perhaps reflecting the increasingly urban character of the state. Rural tracts

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generally have higher rates of multi-vehicle ownership than urban/suburban tracts, most

likely as a result of the need for farm and ranching trucks. As the region has become

more urban, the need for work vehicles has apparently declined. People are still driving

more and spending more time commuting to and from work, but are generally relying on

one or two cars per household. In hindsight, I should have measured the increase in the

number of occupied housing units with two or more vehicles available. This will be a

topic for future research.

Table 16. Percentage of Occupied Housing Units with Three or More Cars.

Area 1980 1990 2000 Corridor Region 20.5 15.4 15.8 Austin MSA 20.9 14.6 15.6 San Antonio Extended MSA 20.0 15.9 15.9 Travis County 18.9 12.6 13.5 Austin 16.5 10.5 11.0 Travis - Remainder 31.7 20.0 19.4 Bexar County 18.8 14.9 14.6 San Antonio 17.9 14.0 13.4 Bexar - Remainder 27.0 19.5 19.0

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Figure 38. Occupied Housing Units with Three or More Vehicles Available.

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Concluding Comments

This concludes the quantitative and map analysis of sustainability variables in the

Corridor Region. Research results have been presented for all the measures listed in the

“Operational Matrix” from Chapter 5 (Table 2), with the exception of unearned income

and median number of rooms. It seems these data are not comparable from 1980 to 2000,

perhaps due to changes in the wording of the census questionnaire. Still, I purposely

built in some redundancy in the selection of variable measures, and thus have the results

necessary to draw conclusions about the Corridor Region’s development. The next and

final chapter reviews the results of this chapter and the plan analysis chapter, and

discusses whether growth and change at the multiple scales of my study appear to be

sustainable, and whether comprehensive planning made a difference in the type and

location of urban development that has been taking place.

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CHAPTER VIII

DISCUSSION OF RESULTS, AND CONCLUSION

In the first chapter two basic research questions were posed: 1) Do growth

outcomes reflect comprehensive plan policies? And 2) are growth trends in the

Austin/San Antonio paradigmatic region sustainable? In this final chapter the results of

the plan and quantitative/map analyses will be used to answer these questions. I will

discuss why the spatial patterns in the maps look the way they do, and whether

development patterns and processes reveal that comprehensive planning is effective,

ineffective, or irrelevant. I will revisit the background chapter and literature review to

enlighten and frame the results, and then conclude with some general recommendations

for future action.

Summary of Results

Growth outcomes do not necessarily reflect comprehensive plan policies.

• Plans are different.

• The Austin plan supported sustainable development to a much higher degree than the San Antonio plan.

• Growth outcomes are the same.

• Differences between the two plans in support of sustainable development are not reflected in growth trends in the two cities.

• Sprawl, socio-economic distance, and geographic polarization increased in both cities and their respective MSAs.

• Energy use increased throughout the Corridor Region.

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Growth trends in the Austin/San Antonio paradigmatic region are not sustainable. • Indicators support unsustainable growth trends at multiple scales.

• Sprawl

• Highest growth is encountered in rural and exurban areas, and outside municipal city limits.

• Socio-economic distance and geographic polarization

• Income and house value differentials have increased. • Non-Hispanic white isolation continues.

• Energy use

• House size, commuting time, and traffic congestion have all increased.

Summary Discussion

In the methodology chapter, four possible outcomes of my plan and growth

outcome analyses were offered (Table 4, page 106). The findings support the fourth

outcome: the plans are different, and the growth outcomes are essentially the same. The

associated “Meaning and Conclusion” for this research outcome was: “If the plans are

significantly different but both areas exhibit unsustainable growth patterns,

comprehensive planning may not be effective at achieving sustainability goals.” The

Austin and San Antonio comprehensive plans certainly were very different. The Austin

Tomorrow Plan reflected a higher sustainability standard than the San Antonio

Foreward, Basic Plan, and Land Use Plan, which focused on economic development and

accommodating growth. The plans reflect the differences in the two community’s

planning paradigms over the years. If comprehensive plans are effective at achieving

their goals, Austin should have exhibited either a more sustainable pattern of urban

growth than San Antonio, or, at minimum, progress toward a “higher sustainability

standard.” Granted, growth pressures were greater in Austin than they were in San

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Antonio making a direct comparison between the two cities difficult. Arguably, due to its

more rapid growth, things could have “been worse” in Austin if not for the Austin

Tomorrow Plan. Regardless, as will be shown in this review of the research results,

Austin neither exhibits a more sustainable growth pattern than San Antonio, nor does it

seem to be achieving the sustainability goals of its comprehensive plan. This conclusion

is based on my measurements of sprawl, socio-economic distance, and energy flows for

the two cities, their MSA or extended MSA, and the Corridor Region.

Sprawl

The Corridor Region’s sprawling growth pattern – one of the primary reasons for

Austin and San Antonio’s comprehensive planning efforts in the 1970s – continued from

1980 to 2000. When a city grows it can expand outward or upward, or in some cases by

infilling vacant urban land. Outward growth can take different forms, including compact

“villages” (or nodes) and low-density sprawl. Maps reveal that the region’s urban field is

expanding rapidly. There has been a massive expansion in the space covered by new

housing units and associated urban landscapes. The highest housing growth rates were in

what were rural, exurban and suburban tracts at the beginning of the study period.

The City of Austin and its MSA faced the most intense growth pressures: their

overall housing growth rates were approximately twice those of San Antonio and its

extended MSA. The fastest housing growth occurred mostly west of Interstate 35 in

high-amenity Hill Country tracts. Most growth in Bexar County occurred on the favored

north side, and by 2000 new housing had expanded into formerly rural and exurban tracts

in Comal, Kendall, Bandera, Medina, and Guadalupe counties. In the Austin MSA, the

most rapid growth was in the western and northern parts of Travis County and in the

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rural/exurban tracts of Hays, Williamson, and Bastrop counties, well outside the Austin

Tomorrow Plan’s preferred growth corridor. Finally, growth outside the region’s

incorporated city limits was more rapid than within their limits.

There seems to be little difference - other than the growth rate - between the

housing growth patterns of Austin and San Antonio, or between the Austin MSA and the

San Antonio extended MSA. Other research reinforces this finding, at least for a point-

in-time, if not for the continuing trend. For instance, Ewing, Pendall, and Chen (2002),

in their analysis of eighty-three U.S. metropolitan areas, found that both the Austin and

San Antonio MSAs were more or less equally sprawling. Their “four factor sprawl

index” used not only residential density as a variable, but also neighborhood mix of

homes, jobs, and services, strength of activity centers, and accessibility of the street

network. A higher index meant a higher sprawl level. Both the Austin and San Antonio

MSAs ended up with relatively high indices: fifty-eighth and fifty-third respectively.

Socio-Economic Distance/Inequality

Quantitative and map analyses illustrate increasing differentials in the region’s

mean household income. In 2000 practically all the highest income and lowest poverty-

level tracts were located west of Interstate 35. The Balcones Escarpment has long been a

“cultural divide,” but the total area of high income tracts has expanded in geographic area

further into the Hill Country. Similarly, practically all of the Corridor Region’s high-

value housing has been located west of Interstate 35, but the geographic area has

expanded since 1980. Tracts with lowest incomes and highest poverty rates remain in the

region’s two principle cities or in southern Bexar County. Looking at Austin, higher

incomes appear to be retreating to the west, and extremely low-income tracts were more

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concentrated east of Interstate 35 in 2000 than they were in 1980. In San Antonio higher

income tracts are thinning out in the northern suburbs and moving further north,

northwest and northeast. The Coefficients of Variation (COV) reinforce the visual

evidence that there is an increasing spatial distance between the highest and lowest

incomes in the area. Between 1970 and 2000, Austin and Travis County had a steady

increase in their COVs. During this time, the COVs for San Antonio and Bexar County

remained relatively stable. Based on these results, there seems to be an increasing spatial

differential in income in the Corridor Region, and the differential appears to be more

extreme in Austin and Travis County in spite of the Austin Tomorrow Plan’s emphasis on

equity, perhaps due to faster growth and more high-tech industries in the area.

Map analysis and segregation indices indicate that Blacks have become less

segregated in the Corridor Region while Hispanic segregation has increased or remained

the same depending upon the area analyzed. The dissimilarity and interaction indices

indicate higher levels of black segregation in Austin than in San Antonio, and higher

levels of Hispanic segregation in San Antonio than in Austin. The higher level of

Hispanic segregation in San Antonio is to be expected with its very high proportion of

Hispanic population.

Non-Hispanic whites have the highest isolation indices in the Corridor Region.

There has been a decline in the number of predominantly non-Hispanic white tracts east

of Interstate 35, and by 2000 most of such tracts were located in the Hill Country. Non-

Hispanic white isolation is more pronounced in the Austin MSA, Travis County, and the

City of Austin than it is in the San Antonio extended MSA, Bexar County, or the City of

San Antonio. Looking more closely at the cities of San Antonio and Austin, the pattern is

similar to the household income pattern. In 2000, predominantly non-Hispanic white

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tracts were located further to the west in Austin or further to the northwest in San

Antonio than they were in 1980. Formerly non-Hispanic white tracts closer to the center

of each city are becoming more integrated.

Energy Flows

My house size analysis indicates an exponential growth in the region’s number of

houses with four or more bedrooms. In fact, the number of houses with four-plus

bedrooms increased at a rate that was twice that of total housing units. Highest growth

rates are outside the cities of Austin and San Antonio in formerly rural and exurban

tracts. Indeed, most Americans are buying bigger and bigger houses. Average house size

in the U.S.A. has been increasing while the number of persons-per-household has been

decreasing. In the 1950s the average home was only 1,140 square feet. It grew to 1,800

square feet in the 1970s, and by 2004 it was 2,349 square feet (U.S. Census 2005c).

Evidently there has been a change in the perception of what a home should be since the

earliest days of suburbanization. Andrew Jackson Downing’s suburban villas and

Levittown’s eight-hundred square foot “dream homes” have given way to houses with big

family rooms, walk-in closets, spacious bedrooms, and large backyards. This spacious

dream home has prevailed over other housing visions, one based on the efficient

consumption of scare resources, and the other based on the neighborhood (Hayden 1984).

To an extent this housing pattern is due to investment in the secondary circuit of

capital, i.e. houses, streets and other infrastructure, and associated commercial and retail

land uses. Growth as an economic stimulus had its beginnings with Herbert Hoover’s

Commission on Home Building and Home Ownership which “established the private,

single family home as a national goal to promote long-term economic growth and

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recovery from the Depression.” At the time, both union leaders and manufacturers

agreed that a more spacious, mass-produced house was essential to enable workers and

their families to consume thus stimulating the economy (Hayden 1984).

Looking at commuting and traffic in the Corridor Region, from 1980 to 2000 the

number of workers with time-consuming commutes increased almost three times faster

than population growth. The increase in the number of such workers in the City of

Austin and its MSA was almost three times the increase for the City of San Antonio and

its extended MSA. Given that the rate of population growth in the Austin MSA was

approximately double the rate in the San Antonio extended MSA, the data indicate an

apparent failure to implement the Austin Tomorrow Plan policies of accessible and

walkable neighborhoods, increased public transportation, and a shift away from

development practices centered on the automobile. Furthermore, Austin urban-area

vehicle miles traveled (VMT) increased much more than VMT in the San Antonio urban

area. Annual-delay-per-traveler increased so much in Austin that it surpassed the

national average for eighty-five urban areas, most of them larger than Austin. At the

same time lane miles are increasing. Today toll roads are planned, an approach to

congestion that gives even more space to cars, hastening the removal of uncommodified

space and turning it into profit-generating commodifed space.

In summary I found bigger and more expensive homes demanding more energy

being built west of Interstate 35 on environmentally fragile land. This growth pattern

inevitably results in a rapid consumption of land in the urban field, and the resulting

dispersed population becomes increasingly dependent upon the subsidized expressways

that resulted from the Interstate Highway Act of 1956. Commute times are increasing

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which not only adds to air quality woes but also contributes to loss of community and a

lower quality of life as people spend more and more time alone in their vehicles.

Framing the Results

Based on this research, I would have to conclude that the pattern of development

in the Austin/San Antonio paradigmatic region raises doubts as to its long-term

regenerative capabilities. Growth trends do not seem sustainable. Peet’s (1998) “urban

condition” is becoming virtually ubiquitous in the region. In the literature review, I

pointed out that there are underlying, continuous patterns at work in American urban

geography, but the geographic scale has changed. Corridor growth patterns are evidence

of process continuity in the American urban landscape, but a change in scale. Residential

morphology has “gone from having the elite on one block and the poor on the next . . . to

distinct, unrelated regions for different types of people and different economic activities”

(Ford 1995, 560). In the Corridor Region, Interstate 35 serves as the dividing line

between “distinct regions.” The urbanized area has expanded, with “elites” moving

further into the Hill Country. The region’s morphology reflects the desire to spread out

and away from the central city. The results are an urban form that promises the kind of

living and working environments people purportedly want, but degrades the environment,

increases differentiation among communities, with lifestyle communities or communities

of interest taking the place of traditional, geographically-defined communities, or

communities of place (Newman 1980; Bellah et al. 1985).

One of the first urban models to address urban growth and change was the zonal

model that is rooted in the concept of urban ecology (Park, Burgess, and McKenzie 1925,

Kaplan, Wheeler, and Holloway 2004). Urban patterns emerge from the competition

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among groups over the use of space – a competition that manifests itself today at the local

scale, but is based on economic rules set at the global scale (Soja 1989; Davis 1990; Scott

and Soja 1996). The model’s social distance creates spatial distance; e.g. higher income

tracts and predominantly non-Hispanic white tracts move west into the Hill Country,

often into gated residential enclaves. In the model’s 1930s Chicago, invasion and

succession drove neighborhood change; in today’s urban field, invasion and succession

drive regional change. The process of transition continues but at a different scale and

with different dynamics. Transition occurs as residents, feeling uncomfortable living

with a “foreign group”, leave for the workingmen’s homes - the Corridor Region’s inner

suburbs; whose residents then leave for the residential zone - the region’s outer suburbs;

whose residents then leave for the commuters’ zone - the region’s exurban and rural

zones. This process results in land-use patterns determined not necessarily by urban

planning but by social and economic competition, or the pursuit of the highest and best

use of the land. Human ecologists do indeed question the degree of planning intervention

possible, or even advisable, given that urbanization is a product of forces in which the

growth process is “one of organization and disorganization or, of a tendency toward

equilibrium and counteracting disequilibrium” (Kligman 1945, 89). Comprehensive

planning may be trying to “stabilize inherently unstable states” and thus be fighting an

uphill battle (Alberti and Marzluff 2004, 249).

Overwhelming Forces: The Power of Growth

Why did the Austin Tomorrow Plan fail to achieve its sustainability goals, or at

least to direct growth away from areas less suitable for urban development? Was it

overwhelmed by the most intense growth pressures in the Corridor Region? With the

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plan’s adoption, the Austin planning director had hoped that the extension of municipal

water and wastewater service would be limited to priority growth areas, economically

and ethnically segregated neighborhoods would tend to diminish, and the amount of

additional urban development in environmentally sensitive areas would diminish.

However, neither the City of Austin, Travis County, nor the Austin MSA appeared to

show a development pattern that is more compact, less sprawling, more equitable, more

energy efficient, and thus more sustainable than the City of San Antonio, Bexar County,

or the San Antonio extended MSA. An Austin city planner was dismayed to see that in

the 1980s growth actually accelerated on the fringe, in the higher amenity western edge

of the city farthest from black and Hispanic minority neighborhoods and closest to the

region’s prime scenic and recreational resources. Plan policies were not reflected in

growth outcomes in spite of the fact that Austin seemingly made every effort towards

comprehensive planning (Butler 1987).

The value of a comprehensive plan is derived from the process of preparing the

plan and the use of the plan after its preparation (Hollander et al. 1988). The Austin

comprehensive planning process was citizen-based, however the business community

saw the plan as stifling and no-growth - which threatened its use. Developers felt that it

was too restrictive (especially the preferred growth corridor) and should not be

implemented, or, at a minimum, it should not be followed strictly (Polnau 1986). In other

words it should not be used. Soon after the plan was adopted the Council approved a

Motorola plant at a location that was contrary to the plan’s policies. When the Barton

Creek Mall was developed in the Edwards recharge zone, the tops of hills were scalped

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and two-to-one slopes put in that destroyed many of the natural scenic features (Wetzel

1981).

One of the keys to implementing the Austin Tomorrow Plan was obtaining bond

funding for the provision of infrastructure in the preferred growth area. Unlike the

successful bond issuance in 1928, municipal bonds to provide the aforesaid infrastructure

were rejected by the voters or watered-down by the Council. At the same time as the

bond election failure, developers discovered how useful Municipal Utility Districts

(MUDs) were at avoiding the city’s supposed control over the provision of infrastructure,

especially water (Watson 1990). As it turned out, the Lower Colorado River Authority

(LCRA) and Municipal Utility Districts had a stronger influence than the city on shaping

the area’s development trends. Developers were able to establish MUDs and purchase

water directly from the LCRA, and thus the city’s most essential growth management

tool was lost. MUDs, established in 1971 by the Municipal Water District Act, had

attractive financing opportunities. The developer could include soft costs in the bond

issue and then pass them on to homebuyers in the form of district taxes or utility

surcharges. Unlike MUD financing, Austin’s city charter required voter approval of bond

issues. MUDs did not need public input or approval (Butler and Myers 1984).

In San Antonio there was no need for MUDs. The San Antonio planning director

pointed out that the City’s policy should lean toward not granting consent for MUDs as

their proliferation would undermine an important growth management tool. But MUDs

never had the impact in San Antonio as in Austin because the City usually provided the

infrastructure anywhere the developers decided to develop, anyway. Recall the 1965

Development Plan of San Antonio brochure statement that:

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With practically unlimited land available for expansion and the progressive attitude of public officials with respect to providing transportation facilities and utilities, developers have found it feasible and profitable to cater to the great demand for suburban living (City of San Antonio 1965).

By design, San Antonio really did not have a plan that could fail. The city seemed to

embrace the abstract spatial perceptions of urban pro-growth coalitions. Radical planners

and conflict theorists would view planning in San Antonio as working to “facilitate

economic activity and growth” (Levy 2004, 343); or as a form of Mandarinism playing

“handmaiden to conservative politics” (Kravitz 1970).

Politics contributed to both the Austin and San Antonio plans’ lack of use. City

leadership alternated between “sensible” growth proponents and “pro-growth” economic-

development interests, or urban growth coalitions, more so in Austin than in San

Antonio. With inconsistent political support no comprehensive plan can be consistently

implemented. Continuity is impossible. Also, in areas like the Austin/San Antonio

corridor, development spills over myriad jurisdictional boundaries. Fractured

government entities are not able to deal with problems that are regional in scale. Finally,

the vested rights law exacerbated the problem by allowing developers in many cases to

get around the “medley of regulations” passed in the early 1980s. As it turned out, urban

planning in both San Antonio and Austin was lodged within the existing structures of

government, and constrained by the prevailing alignment of political and economic

forces, and therefore ineffective.

Discussion of Results

Urban morphologists see the city as an accumulation and integration of many

individual and special interest group decisions, shaped by social and economic forces

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over time. Logan and Molotch (1987) employed political economy theory to determine

that these decision-makers are urban growth coalitions that pressure city governments to

create a “good business climate.” These coalitions always seek to boost population

growth, increase the market value of land, and stimulate the city’s economy through

investment and development (Macionis and Parrillo 2004). Given this growth-for-

growth’s sake perspective, the paradigmatic American urban growth pattern yields

dramatic benefits for capital while the urban, regional, and global commons are being

degraded, even with the best efforts at comprehensive planning. Many different theorists

give credence to the growth-for-growth’s sake and/or growth machine idea.

Postmodernists proclaim that real estate developers and manufacturers of culture drive

the new urban frontier. Risa Palm (1981) intimated that urban form is a direct result of

the economic goals of builders, speculators, investors, and chambers of commerce.

Kevin Lynch (1981, 181) felt that decisive elements of urban transformation may indeed

be political leaders, major investors, the technicians of transport, and the “decision elite.”

The global economy influences urban change because local political action is less

effective at influencing decisions made in distant corporate headquarters. Local people

have less power to oppose the corporate agenda, just as corporations have more power to

get their way. These forces overwhelm the comprehensive plan, at least in Texas and

other states that revere private property rights and embrace the growth paradigm. In this

political environment, the focus of decision-makers all too often only extends to

Lefebvre’s abstract space issues involving the high profits that accompany real estate

development. Battles between pro- and anti-growth factions continue in the region.

Several recent conflicts were sparked by the original big-box retail giant Wal-Mart:

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• In 2003 Wal-Mart dropped plans to build a Supercenter in Austin over the recharge zone after a “maelstrom” of opposition. A Wal-Mart spokeswoman stated that “Wal-Mart has never backed off a site solely because of community opposition,” but that environmental concerns and talks between senior company executives and the Austin mayor were the deciding factors (Scheibal 2003).

• Also in 2003, citizens of Lakeway (in Travis County) threatened a recall election

if the City Council approved a proposed development featuring a Wal-Mart Supercenter. The developer, Larry Stauffer, said the project would be built with pitched roofs and a limestone facade to blend into the Hill Country environs. "We're trying to do something nice and unique and provide some jobs and tax benefits that will allow (the city) to do some other things," Stauffer said. But many residents felt there was nothing unique about a big-box retail development and the attendant traffic and noise. "It's going to change the very nature of our community," said Bill Schweitzer, one of the organizers of the community opposition group, Lakeway First. "The fact is, we don't need it” (Alexander 2003).

• In 2004 Wal-Mart attempted to locate a store in Helotes, a small community (in

2000 the voting age population was 3,285) northwest of San Antonio. Over 1,000 city residents and 3,000 residents from the surrounding area signed a petition asking the Council to oppose the store out of concern over “how the idyllic Hill County land would be affected” (San Antonio Express News 2005). As of this writing the store has not been built.

Others confrontations include:

• In 2006, after environmental advocates and toll road critics halted construction of toll lanes on U.S. Highway 281 north of San Antonio, the Texas Department of Transportation (TxDOT) officials said they would “build toll roads in San Antonio whether local leaders want them or not” (Driscoll 2006).

• In 2004 the Dripping Springs City Council passed a moratorium on new

development as their ordinances had been criticized by environmental and neighborhood groups for their huge loopholes. Dripping Springs is a rapidly growing town in northwestern Hays County within commuting distance to Austin. But the moratorium proved ineffective because of the vested rights statute – any project with a completed application before the moratorium continued to receive review. One pro-growth advocate said the “moratorium could harm economic development in the area.” In an effort to legitimize their opposition, the town began working on an interim comprehensive plan (Price 2004).

At the heart of all these battles is a focus on the profit-bias, or the most profitable use of

land. Because profit-seeking and competition are inherent and incessant, this process of

change is never-ending (Hall 1984). Profit-making and capitalism may be the “natural

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forces” of the urban ecologists. Illustrative of this perspective, Orum (1987, 308),

writing a history of the City of Austin, concluded that:

…beginning in the late 1970s and lasting through the mid-1980s, …[t]he rush to buy and to sell land…profoundly violated the sense of intimate community as well as the sense of public trust that had taken hold of Austin residents. Spurred on by the infusion of the huge amounts of cash into the Austin real estate market, the land boom made it evident that this physical setting is not public property, that the community is not a public trust, and that in the end, when all is said and done, private property always reigns victorious over the common good.

Ideally, comprehensive planning is the exercise of public policy upon myriad

decisions to shape urban growth into livable, memorable, and sustainable communities.

This does not seem to be the case in the Corridor Region. Mainstream

rational/comprehensive planning has arguably failed to contribute to a sustainable built

environment in the Austin area and elsewhere in America (Berke 2002). It seems

incapable of dealing with the big issues raised in the sustainability debate.

If comprehensive plans lack political clout and are not implemented, what can be

done to make them more effective at reducing sprawl and building sustainable

environments? What is needed: regional planning agencies, local governments willing to

make decisions based on long-range planning, or more power given to urban planners?

Can planning help achieve sustainable development, or have planners lost their way? It

has been a long time since Daniel Burnham urged that we “make no small plans” and

planners laid claim to the “high ground of ideal visions and big plans” (Levy 1992; Hoch

1994; Neuman 1998). The intellectual and moral basis for planning was originally a

positive notion of how to shape society towards some broadly agreed on social ends, but

lately has degenerated into technique – how to enforce the minutia of endless ordinances.

During the times I was a planning director, whenever a land use question arose, I was

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asked by the mayor or council to study the wording of the zoning, subdivision or relevant

ordinance to clarify what the city could and could not do, mostly on such picayune items

as whether the side setback was five or six feet or how high a privacy fence should be.

Rarely was I asked or expected to refer to the comprehensive plan for a policy

perspective. In some locales, planners seem to have evolved into “mere pragmatists,

perhaps through no fault of their own, either no longer interested in ‘big ideas’ or

convinced that the big idea is that there should be no such idea” (Breheny 1996, 20). Or,

as in San Antonio in the 1970s, planners may have had the ideas, but not the wherewithal

to see them come to fruition. Perhaps it is time to emphasize place-making rather than

place-regulating (Stea and Turan 1993).

“New” Approaches/Ideas

The literature has long offered different directions for planning that would

provide opportunities for a revival of the idea that implemented plans can result in

memorable and sustainable places. A predominant theme is sustainable development

which emphasizes a “multigenerational vision of community building,” and a “more

holistic and integrated vision of community building” (Berke 2002, 21). Sustainable

development can extend new-urbanist principles to embrace urban ecology, place-based

economies, and social equity, as well as broader global and regional concerns. Similar

approaches include Hersperger’s (1994) landscape ecology, and planning for sustainable

landscapes - “residential environments [that] reflect a philosophy of sustainable

development that values landscapes and protects their functions while supporting healthy

communities for residents” (Grant, Manuel, and Joudrey 1996, 331). Along this line of

thinking, Kimmel (1992, 180) proffers the concept of ecological adaptation in which

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planning techniques are flexible and redefined over time, and allow “environmental

management decisions to be made with sensitivity to the range of both biophysical and

cultural issues.” Add to the mix Van der Ryn’s (1996) ecological design, Lyle’s (1999)

regenerative design, and Rosenzweig’s (2003) reconciliation ecology, all concepts that

call for patterns and forms of urbanization that minimize the need for energy input and

maintain ecosystem functions in tact as much as possible. Finally, Wackernagel (1994)

lists five areas where cities can plan to reduce their ecological footprint: integrated city

planning to reduce energy and land use requirements, increased use of green areas,

integrated open space planning, protecting the integrity of local ecosystems, and

economic development that has zero impact on ecosystems.

Indeed, there is no shortage of ideas and the interest in ecological planning

continues to grow. Frederick Steiner (2002, 2000a) encapsulates these ideas in his “new”

urban ecology, or urban human ecology. For any landscape there exists an optimal

spatial arrangement of ecosystems and land uses to maximize ecological integrity and

achieve human needs. The question then arises as to just what is the optimum

arrangement of residential land uses (the human habitat) in an (urban) landscape. This

arrangement is not based on specific, pre-determined forms or “ideal” communities such

as Howard’s Garden City, Wright’s Broadacres, Corbusier’s Radiant City, or Duany’s

neo-traditional town, but rather more in terms of systems, connections, nodes, and

landscapes. After all, there are multiple possibilities for how and where to live, and these

possibilities change with time. Indeed, spatial solutions to sprawl exist now and have for

quite a while as the mosaics, linkages, and patches of landscape ecology. The ideal

pattern of a development should be determined by what is already there. The challenge is

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to discover the arrangement. After all, developing a piece of land is really designing an

ecosystem.

Ecological planning enables planners and policy-makers to analyze urban growth

and change as they relate to the local and regional landscapes, and to national and global

political and economic structure. Ecological planning can suggest opportunities and

constraints for the use of the landscape. It is the use of biophysical and sociocultural

information to reveal where specific land uses may best be practiced and is fundamental

for sustainable development. This approach can enable decision-makers to take into

account the unpredictability that is inherent in chaotic systems, or the “organized

complexity” that a changing city is (Jacobs 1961). But isn’t that [ecological planning]

exactly what the citizens of Austin did with the Austin Tomorrow Plan?

Reality Check – The Root of the Problem

How can ecological planning be translated into sustainable urban growth in an

abstract world of isotrophic flat plains inhabited by Homo economicus? Such a world

eliminates all variables other than economic ones and all motivations other than selfish

ones. Nature is taken for granted. Given this world view, rational-comprehensive

planning may never work. Many have proposed sustainability and/or ecology as under-

girding philosophies for a new planning ethic. But planning in the face of power without

power may not work regardless of new ideas and paradigms - unless a new property

regime is developed. Property is a reflection of the values, beliefs and knowledge of a

culture. That is why it is so often the battleground in the struggle between spatial

perspectives. Current land-use laws and regulations disregard the basic cultural and

environmental facets of the very resource they govern. The law does not reflect the

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principles of biology, ecology, and other natural sciences to anywhere near the extent that

it reflects the economics of “highest and best use.” The Texas vested rights law is an

example of this kind of legislation that favors an individual’s property rights over

communal and environmental interests. The statute, passed at the behest of pro-growth

developers disgruntled with Austin’s watershed ordinances, negated a community’s

efforts at growth management and sustainable development.

The march of auto-dependent, low-density development, loss of natural

landscape, and increasing consumption and waste all indicate the need for a wake-up call.

The right ideas have been around for a long time, but rarely implemented. Over one-

hundred and forty years ago George Perkins Marsh (1864) pointed out that to avoid the

Earth’s destruction mankind must pay attention to the laws of nature. The Austin

Tomorrow Plan did pay attention to those laws of nature. But it was never implemented

because of the laws of man. Perhaps it is time to step back, take a look at the prevailing

property rights regime, and either figure out ways to make it work, or change it. A new

property regime could elevate the status of ecological and cultural communities, and thus

protect and sustain environmental habitats and community life.

In the paradigmatic regions of America, growth is driven by the predominance of

the commodified space paradigm and competition over land use. There seems to be no

coordination, no authority, and no public responsibility. No one seems responsible for

the way the landscape turns out. Sustainable development and ecological planning may

be seen as a fundamental challenge to a market-led economy, but the concept of

sustainable development should be much more than “fashionable language.” Indeed,

sustainable development will not only require an ecological filtering of proposed land

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uses, but also an alteration of human behavior patterns not just in relation to the

environment, but also in relation to the “broader systems which shape human behavior”

(Haughton 1999). Only then can it work.

Conclusion

In this dissertation I have emphasized societal activities that affect nature.

Focusing on societal activities reveals trends which can provide indices of existing

unsustainable patterns. This approach is not new - it first appeared almost forty years ago

with Ehrlich’s (1968) efforts to quantify the environmental impacts of human activities.

The shorthand expression I = ∫(P,A,T) was used to operationalize the relationship

between environmental impact (I) and its principal determinants: population (P),

affluence (A), and technology (T). Various analysts have used this expression to assess

the global-level impacts of changes in these three factors (Ehrlich 1968; Commoner

1971; Ehrlich and Ehrlich 1991; Harrison 1992). Similarly, the well-known modeling

exercises of the Club of Rome (Meadows et al. 1972) and Forrester’s (1969) world

dynamic models have focused on the interactions between population, production,

pollution, and resources. Environmental impact is land use impact. The PAT expression

offers a guide for exploring the land use implications of changes in population, affluence,

technology and, consequently, resource use.

Why has this approach not been worked into our legal framework? Cities have an

assortment of “impact fees” for traffic, stormwater, sewerage, etc. Why not have a global

or regional impact fee? Techniques used to determine an area’s ecological footprint can

be adapted for this purpose. The fee could help developers broaden their “sketchy mental

maps” and encourage the wider, ecological perspective. Assuredly, there would be

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resistance to such an idea, but there has always been aversion to change, even when it

was desperately needed. Urban researchers who urge that sustainability be built into land

use law are echoing the sentiments of the social reformers of the late nineteenth century,

but with an awareness that technology will always fall short of a permanent fix for

human-induced problems. The urban reform legislation introduced to relieve the

intolerable living conditions in 1880s New York City tenements were vehemently

resisted by property owners and businessmen who predicted such laws would strangle

enterprise in red tape. What needs to change has long been identified, but taking the hard

steps toward a truly sustainable future has been overwhelmed by incessant growth fueled

by legalized selfishness.

The global/regional impact fee and the questions I have raised in the last chapter

of this dissertation are topics for further research. Ecological planning provides a

synthesis that values both the necessities of rule-making and place-making. Geographers

are positioned to bridge the gap between rule-makers and place-makers and thus to help

induce change. Geographic education can facilitate a value shift toward a property

regime that reflects the complexity and interconnectedness of the natural world and

modern urban systems. Petr Kropotkin saw geography as a powerful tool for

understanding man’s integration with nature. Aldo Leopold (1949) suggests the answer is

a moral one in which there is a restructuring of values which include personal

responsibility and recognition of the aspects of the natural world which have economic

value as well as those that have not been or can not be assigned an economic value. And

geographers, steeped in the “man-land” tradition, are perfectly placed to carry on much of

the education and research on the interaction of the human and natural environments.

193

Platt (2004b) has already linked physical, socio-economic, and legal phenomena in a

model that helps his readers understand the urban scene as a dynamic process where law

affects society, which affects the environment, which affects the law, and so on.

Geographers such as VonHumboldt and Sauer looked at places not just from a

reductionist perspective, but rather from a perspective that assembled the parts into a

whole that enabled them to see “what was there.” The thread that runs through

geographic thinking is the ability to see more than what may be obvious to the

professional steeped in Relph’s technique, or academics with paradigmatic blinders on.

The geographic perspective enables the kind of understanding that is needed to address

the problems of how we build our habitats. Almost two decades ago, Robert Kates

(1987) urged geographers to use their skills, knowledge, and values to take the lead in

facing the three great, enduring scientific challenges of the human environment: the

Malthusian dilemma of population and resources, the human transformation of the Earth,

and sustainable development of the biosphere. At the time, that leadership role was “the

road not taken, the road still beckoning.” Today, the three great questions persist, and the

road still beckons.

194

APPENDIX

195

FIGURE A1. The Research Model. (Q1: Are growth trends sustainable? and Q2: Do growth outcomes reflect the sustainability index?)

COMPARE PLAN SUSTAINABILITY

SCORE TO OUTCOMES (Statistical/Qualitative

Assessment) (Q2)

1970/80 – 2000 SUMMARY MAPS, CHARTS, AND

TABLES OF REGION AND TWO URBAN AREAS

(Q1)

COMPARE SAN ANTONIO TO

AUSTIN (Q1 & Q2)

City of AUSTIN

City of SAN ANTONIO

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS – PER CENT CHANGE (TRENDS)

(Q1)

SUSTAINABILITY SCORE

SPRAWL MEASURE GROWTH

& CHANGE SOCIAL DISTANCE

ENERGY FLOWS

Study Areas

Preparation

Outcomes

Analysis

CORRIDOR & SUB-REGIONS

LEGEND

ANALYZE COMPREHENSIVE PLANS

(Berke-Conroy Method)

196

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VITA

James Willis Vaughan was born in Atlanta, Georgia on September 13, 1946. He

received his Bachelor’s degree in Economics from Stanford University and his Masters of

Applied Geography from Texas State University-San Marcos. He is the proud father of

two daughters, Kelly and Jamie, both of whom attended Texas State. James has worked

in the remodeling and real estate businesses, has served as Planning Director for the cities

of New Braunfels and Bulverde, Texas, and, as a planning consultant, has authored

comprehensive plans for Victoria and Bulverde, Texas. In addition, he has served as an

economic consultant with Kavoussi and Associates in San Antonio.

Permanent Address: 583 Lakeview Circle

New Braunfels, Texas 78130

This dissertation was typed by James Willis Vaughan.

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