PRESENTATIONON

ECONOMIC COST ON BY ELECTION

(2013)

PRESENTED BY MBA 2ndSpecial Thanks

Sir Abdul Latif

ARSALAN AND TEAM

OVERVIEW

General election held on 11 may,2013.PML(N) win maximum national assembly seats.so PML(N) become 1st party (183 seats) and PPPP is 2nd (39 seats)and PTI is on 3rd (36 seats).

DATA COLLECTION

National Assembly of Pakistan

Pakistan National Assembly seats by region

Province/Territory General Seats Women Non-Muslims Total

Federal Capital 2 – – 2

Punjab 148 35 – 183

Sindh 61 14 – 75

KPK 35 8 – 43

Balochistan 14 3 – 17

FATA 12 – – 12

Total 272 60 10 342

Election Results* 2013Party NA Votes % PP PS PK PB (268/272) (293/297) (122/130) (99/99) (49/51)

PML N 125 32.9% 214 4 12 9 PPP 32 14.9% 6 63 2 0 PTI 29 16.7% 20 1 35 0 MQM 18 5.5% 0 37 0 0 JUI-F 11 3.1% 0 0 13 6 PML-F 5 2.2% 0 6 0 0

Provincial Assembly of the PunjabAssembly was established under Article 106 of the Constitution of Pakistan as having a total of 371 seats, with 66 seats reserved for women and eight reserved for non-Muslims.

Wining party 2013Pakistan Muslim League – Nawaz (PML-N)PML(N) 201 Seats (14th May 2013)

Provincial Assembly of Sindh Under the article 106 the total number of seats for the Assembly through direct vote is 168, of which 30 seats are reserved for women and 8 seats for non-Muslims.

Wining party 2013Pakistan people party parliamentarians (PPPP)PPPP 69 Seats (14th May 2013)

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly Under Article 106 the assembly has 124 elected members, 99 regular seats, 22 seats reserved for women and 3 seats for Non-Muslims.

Wining party 2013Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI)PTI 34 Seats (14th May 2013) 

Provincial Assembly of Balochistan Under Article 106 assembly has 51 directly elected Members as well as 11 seats reserved for women and 3 for non-Muslims.

 

Wining party 2013Pakhtunkhwa Milli Awami Party (PkMAP)PkMAP 10 Seats (14th May 2013)

Cost Analysis Election 2013REFERENCE THE NATIONAL NEWS\Arshad BhattiI\11 MAY,2013

Elections 2013 to cost Rs 23.96b

(expenditure does not exceed allowed limit of ECP) A total of 4,671 candidates are contesting on the 272 National spend Rs 7 billion on their campaigns. 

Likewise, 10,958 candidates of all the four provincial assemblies will spend Rs 10.9 billion on their election campaigns.

The ECP had proposed Rs 6 billion election budget to be spent on election 2013.

240 Hrs Air Travel Costs 120 Million Pakistani Rupees – Election 2013REFERENCE DAILY UMAT KARACHI|28 MAY,2013|

The leaders of PML-N and PTI have traveled through Charter Planes or Helicopter during elections 2013 both parties has collectively spend around 120 Million PKR for just 240 Hours of Air travel.

The most expensive elections ever: ECPREFERENCE: From the DAWN NEWS | Kalbe Ali | 11th May, 2013

The budget for elections 2013 is three to four times higher than the two previous exercises. In 2008, it was worth Rs1.84 billion, while in 2002 it was Rs1.43 billion.

Election 2013: Political parties channel millions into ads .

For medium-sized channels, an average minute of advertising costs $460-500 during 6pm to midnight prime time or $250-300 earlier in the day.

Top-rated channels charge $2,200 dollars a minute for the 9-10pm slot, a source in the advertising business told AFP, adding that up to $300,000 is being spent a day by the main three parties on their television campaigns

Total Contribution of parties in election campaigns 2013

REFFRENCE: Program KHABAR NAAK|GEO NEWS

PPPP 400 MillionPML-N 230 MillionPML-Q 120 MillionPTI 100 Million

Total 850 Million

ANALYSIS

Candidates who have multiple seats in National Assembly

S:NO Candidates Party’s Contingency

1 Imran khan PTI NA-1, NA-71, NA-56

2 Molana Fazal Ur Rehman JUI(F) NA-24, NA-25, NA-27

3 Makhdom Javed Hashmi PTI NA-48, NA-149

4 Mian Nawaz sharif PML(N) NA-68, NA-120

5 Jamshaid Ahmad Ind NA-177, NA-178

6 Mehmood Khan Achakzai PkMAP NA-259, NA-262

Candidate who win from Provisional Assembly and National Assembly.

S:NO Candidates Party’s Contingency

1 Pervez Khattak PTI NA-5, PP-13

2 Amir Haider Khan AWAMI NATIONAL PARTY NA-9, PP-23

3 Asad Qaisar PTI NA-13, PP-35

4 CH NISAR ALI KHAN PML(N)IND

NA-52, PP-7,PP-6

5 Khawaja Muhammad Asif PML(N) NA-110, PP-123

6 HAMZA SHABAZ SHARIF PML(N) NA-119, PP-142

7 MEHAR ISHTIAQ AHMED PML(N) NA-121, PP-150

8 MIAN MUHAMMAD SHEHBAZ SHARIF PML(N) NA-129, PP-159, PP-161, PP-247

9 AKRAM KHAN DURANI JUI NA-26, PK-70

10 MOONAS ELAHI PML(Q) PP-118, PP-110

CALCULATION

Members have multiple seats in national assembly and provisional assembly.

NATIONAL ASSEMBLY 06NATIONAL ASSEMBLY+PROVIONAL ASSEMBLY + 10TOTAL 16

(16 members have 37 multiple seats)

seats will be left for by election 21

TOTAL MULTIPLE SEATS 37SELECTED SEATS FOR CANDIDATES -16REMAINING SEATS FOR BY ELECTION 21

(NA have 8 and PA+NA have 13)*

TOTAL SEATS in NA and PA is 849

National Assembly Provisional Assemble NA PP PS PK

PB 272 297 130 99 51 (577)

272+577=849

Economic Cost analysis

(Budget cost)

Election campaign cost

Budget cost Election commission budget is 6 billion

Total seats of NA+PA=849 So = 600000000/849 = Rs706713.7 Which is approximate Rs800000 (8 lakh) Rs800000 cost for each Seat RS800000×21 seats = 16,800,000 Which is 17 million* (approximate)

Election campaign cost

According to election commission Pakistan if the candidates do not spend or exceed more than allowed amount on their campaign which is RS 1 million for provincial assembly and 1.5 million for national assembly . 

The cost on National assembly is 7 billion

The cost on per National assembly seat is 7billion/272=2.5million (approximate)

2.5m×8(By election seats in NA) = 20 million*

The cost on provincial assembly is 11 billion

The cost on per provincial assembly seat is 11billion/559=2million (approximate)

2m×13(By election seats in PA) = 26 million*

Total economic cost

Budget cost = 17 million

NA cost = 20 million

PA cost = 26 millionTotal = 63

million*

If 23.9b (24 billion) approximate cost on general election 2013 then what would be cost on By election 2013?

If 24b cost on general election cost, this is the cost on 849 seats of provincial assembly and national assembly.

24billion/849 seats =2.8m (3 million) approximate

3 million is cost on per seat then The cost for 21 seats of By election3 million×21 seats=63 million*

CONCLUSION

 

We conclude that 63 million is the cost on by-election 2013 because the number of candidates who win from national assembly either provisional assembly is 16 if each candidate select its one seat than the remaining seat will be 21 on which by-elections are to be held. The cost of election commission of Pakistan for each seats is 8 lakch. And the election campaign cost is for each seats in national assembly is 2.5million and provincial assembly is 2 million sum cost of each candidate is 2 million. If we multiply these amount with respect to by election seats then we get 63million cost on by election 2013. we can say that more then 6 crore is the extra cost on by-election if the ECP conduct these election.

RECOMMANDATION

We assume that if election commission of Pakistan should not conduct By-election than this extra amount of 63 million can be save. So we recommend to ECP that should not allow the candidates who stand more than one seats or multiple seats in general election. If the candidates stand more than one seat the probability of their winning will be more.

THE END

Thanks