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Transcript of 2018 Investor Day - Seeking Alpha
© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation. November 16, 2018
2018 Investor Day
22018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Jason LandkamerDirector, Investor Relations
OPENING REMARKS
32018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Safe Harbor StatementThis presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the expected financial performance of Fluor Corporation and its subsidiaries (“we,” “our” or the “Company”) and the Company’s strategic and operation plans, including statements about our projected earnings level, expenses, market outlook, new awards, backlog levels, and client capital investments. Words such as “believes,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “assumes,” “may,” “positions,” “looking ahead,” “views,” “think,” “target,” “trend,” “can,” “appears,” “estimates,” “should,” “prospects,” “outlook,” “guidance” or other similar expressions often identify forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on current management expectations as to what may occur in the future. Risks and uncertainties may cause actual results to differ materially from the results predicted, and reported results should not be considered as an indication of future performance. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, which speak only as of the date hereof. The company disclaims any intent or obligation, other than as required by law, to update this information in light of new information or future events. Additional information about potential risk factors that could affect the Company’s business and financial results is included in our Form 10-K filed on February 20, 2018.
42018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Agenda8:00 Welcome Jason Landkamer8:05 HSE Topic: Safer Together Marc van Heyningen8:10 State of Fluor Today David Seaton8:30 Value Creation Topic: Lump Sum Projects Rick Koumouris8:50 Global Sales Overview and Outlook Jose Bustamante9:10 Finance Overview Bruce Stanski9:30 Introduction to Project Governance Jim Brittain
10:00 Break10:20 IBM / Watson Overview and Demo Ray Barnard10:40 Data-Driven Execution Matt McSorley11:05 Project Review: LNG Canada Phil Clark11:15 Project Review: Quellaveco Craig LaFortune11:25 Q&A Fluor Management11:55 Closing Remarks and Adjourn David Seaton
52018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Marc van HeyningenVice President, Health, Safety, and Environmental
SAFER TOGETHER
62018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
2015
2013
2003
1994
2017
Our Safety Journey
72018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Safer Together: Fluor’s New Safety Initiative
Embodies our commitment to a caring, preventive safety culture.
Increases worker and leadership engagement.
HSE site standardization: sites look, feel, know and do the same.
Share high severity near miss incident learnings
Celebrate safety successes and recognize teams
Safer Together
82018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Safer Together Project Adoption
92018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Safer Together Project Adoption
102018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
David SeatonChairman & Chief Executive Officer
STATE OF FLUOR TODAY
112018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
The Fluor Journey So Far
122018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
State of EPFCM - Circa 2010
SRA Model• Limited dispersed execution
• Project data not leveraged
• Siloed approach
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1995 2002 2009
Mostly U.S.
ICA Fluor Yards only
SRAHolder
FLUOR
Client
ConsultingServices
SupplierIntegration
132018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
What We Knew in 2011
Fluor margins not sustainable
Client expectations increasing
More competitors, more sophisticated
Super cycle coming to an end
142018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Business Transformation Initiative
Lump Sum Execution Supply Chain Self Perform
ConstructionMarket
Platforms
Themes
Differentiators
Project Execution
Supply Chain
Attack the Markets
Commercial Model10 S
olut
ion
Team
s
Data as a Strategic Asset
Forging the Workforce of
Tomorrow
Strategic Client Service
Excellence
Branding for Value
Enablers Org./InfrastructureCore Business
Organize for the Future
Drive up Corporate Value
152018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
What We Didn’t Know in 2011
Rise of populismLength of down
turnCommodity price
collapse Poor Execution
162018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Successful Business Transformation
3rd Gen ModularICA-FluorCOOEC-Fluor JV
Other
Improved dispersed execution Predictive Analytics Data-Centric Execution Zero Base Execution
New Leadership Cost-Focus Commercial Strategies
Self-Perform Construction Elite Craft Corps
Acquired StorkOne Fluor Business ModelOrg Restructure Reduced Overhead
Significantly
172018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Goals
182018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
How we get there
Take Advantageof Markets
ImproveExecution
Capital andCost Discipline
192018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Market Contracting Trends (reimbursable/lump sum)
North America 70/30Industry
Reimbursable/Lump Sum
Upstream 50/50Downstream 75/25Chemicals 25/75Mining 80/20Infrastructure 5/95LS&AM 60/40Power 5/95Government 80/20Latin America 60/40
Middle East / Africa 10/90
Australia 60/40
Asia 5/95Europe 60/40
202018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Rick KoumourisGroup President, Mining, Industrial, Infrastructure, & Power
SELECTIVITY, RISK, AND LUMP SUM PROJECTS
212018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Before We Start….. History shows that a “Bad Lump Sum (LS)” struck at the outset greatly diminishes the
probability of a project meeting stated expectations “Bad LS” – unrealistic/incorrect estimates, flawed/incomplete execution plan, inadequate
identification of risks, unbalanced contract, unachievable commercial model However, well structured “Good LS” can also fail due to poor execution, lack of
governance, poor change management or poor decision making Increasing the success rate of LS projects Fluor takes on;
Psychology & Risk – Biases and Implications Lessons from our Past – What can we learn from “Good LS” vs. “Bad LS” Selectivity – Early sorting of the “Good” from the “Bad” Risk Identification and Management – Making the “Good” better Project Execution Governance – Delivering the As-Sold Expectations
222018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Beware the Biases
Forms of BiasOptimism Confirmation Anchoring
Overestimate probability of success
Emphasize data which confirms what we
want/believe
Different biases can exist in different parts of the chain of
command
Remedies include:
• EPHD “Watson” insights to challenge
• Use of similar class data/history
• Awareness of bias (and self awareness)
• Use “similar class” data to challenge
• Wary of anecdotes• Awareness of Bias
(Groupthink)
• “Must Win” or “Strategic” -when communicated from leadership has implications for risk appetite
• Awareness (and self awareness) of unintended messaging
Awareness of the distinction between “risk intelligence” and “risk appetite” when discussing risk
232018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Good Lump Sum vs. Bad Lump Sum
The notion that all LS contracts are inherently “bad” is unsupported, and counterproductive, as our markets are increasingly moving towards LS
“All happy families are alike – each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way.” ~ Tolstoy
History shows that successful LS contracts share the same underpinnings “Good LS”– High definition baseline documents including a balanced contract, a thorough risk
plan with fair risk adjusted commercials executed in accordance with the contract “Good LS” provides a highly probable path to success for a qualified team
242018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Good Lump Sum vs. Bad Lump Sum
Segmentation analysis of major LS EPC/CM projects from 2007 with the aim of identifying symptoms or early cautions
Segments: Process technology FEED Competitor type
Goal of identifying correlation between success/failure and segment
252018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
LS Analysis (2007 – 2017)
Process TechnologyNew
16%
SUCCESS RATE
65%
Existing
FEEDNo FEED/ FEED by other
52%
FEED by Fluor
Competitor TypeOther
67%
Like Fluor
80%
100%
262018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
LS Analysis (2007 – 2017)
What does the analysis tell us? We had more success with proven process technologies We had greater success with FEED by Fluor We had better project outcomes when bidding was limited to like peers
How do we increase performance of LS projects? Selectivity Project Risk Management Project Execution Governance
272018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Annual Strategic Plan update confirms continued participation in Segments (or entry or exit) Market/Segment Reviews focused on
Size of segment – does it offer sustainable revenues/margins? Competitive landscape – why will we win? Do we have a differentiator for that segment (or a
path to one)? Risk/Reward – Can we meet our aspirations in this segment?
Which Segments (Country, Region, Industry, Client, Commodity, Facility Scope, Services, etc.) Or meaningful intersections of segments (e.g. transit projects/USA or iron ore
projects/Australia/tier I ) Recent examples of segment selectivity decisions include:
Life Sciences added Advanced Manufacturing Segment in 2017 – data centres, composite materials
Power exited gas fired segment in 2018 Mining added underground design expertise
Market Selectivity – Which Segments?
282018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Established process and criteria (and Approval Matrix) to evaluate which projects to Pursue or Not Pursue, and Bid or Not Bid (BnB)
Key Questions How probable or real is the opportunity (The “Go”)? Are we familiar with Client, Scope/Technology and Region? Is there an opportunity consistent with Strategic Plan Segment Selectivity (Will do/Won’t
do) - if not why is it so compelling? Regarding the competitive landscape and do we have a compelling solution and proposition
(The “Get”)? Can we meet our (risk adjusted) commercial aspirations?
Project Selectivity – Which Projects?
292018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Project Risk Management
Begins with having complete, credible and prescriptive baseline documents Defined Scope of Work - Execution Plan - Schedule - Cost estimate (and supporting
design definition) - Clear understanding of our and owner’s obligations (contract) A Commercial/Pricing model which clearly shows how and where we make money
Starting point to begin the process of risk identification and quantification
Ongoing, consistent & methodical status review of each risk element and the aggregate risk register to continuously inform project status
302018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
A consistent monthly review of the status of our projects
Established Project Status Review (PSR) and prescriptive documentation which has evolved over decades
PSR- objective, accurate, and timely information- informs proposed mitigating actions when needed
Success hinges on methodical and disciplined reviews
Inclusion of Watson insights allows for elimination of bias
Project Governance
312018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Selectivity to drive Coverage (Margin + Contingency) upwards
Risk Management & Governance to eliminate Leakage
What results do we expect?
2015 2016 2017 2018
Cove
rage
Rat
io
Improving Coverage Ratio
322018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Our imperatives are to deliver capital efficiency & certainty of outcomes to our Clients
Capital efficiency Application of Integrated Solutions (IS) is the path to capital efficiency for our Clients
Certainty of outcomes Market Selectivity points Fluor to where IS can add most value for Clients and Fluor Project selectivity & risk management ensure we pursue & structure “Good LS” Integrated Solutions and execution governance increase the certainty of outcomes,
for Fluor and for our Clients
Today and The Future
332018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Jose BustamanteExecutive Vice President, Business Development & Strategy
GLOBAL SALES OVERVIEW AND OUTLOOK
342018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
New Awards & Backlog
$37.6
$32.9$30.9 $29.1 $29.3
$34.9
2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
$3.2$3.8
$3.2$2.5
$5.4
$9.6$8.5
2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18 4Q 18
BACKLOG ($B)NEW AWARDS ($B)
*
*LNG CANADA AS OF NOV 1ST
352018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Fluor Market Cycles
Accelerating Growth
Decelerating Growth
AcceleratingDecline
DeceleratingDecline
Chemicals
Downstream
Government
Pipelines
Infrastructure
Power-Renewables
Life Sciences
Upstream
LNG
Power-Fossil
Adv. Mfg/StaffingConstruction Equip
Copper
Offshore
Iron Ore
SustainingCapital
362018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Energy & Chemicals
Focus AreasLNGChemicalsDownstreamUpstreamOffshorePipelines
Market Growth
8%
15.1
19.8
2017A 2018 YTD*
Backlog ($B)
4.0
10.3
2017A 2018 YTD*
New Awards ($B)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Brent Crude Price ($USD/bbl)
Source: Thompson Reuters
*includes LNG Canada (4Q booking)
372018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Mining, Industrial, Infrastructure and Power
Focus Areas Copper Iron ore Pot ash Bauxite/Alumina Biotechnology
Market Growth
5%
9.6
16.5
2017A 2018 YTD
Backlog ($B)
4.0
10.3
2017A 2018 YTD
New Awards ($B)
Advanced Materials Transportation Renewable Energy
Mining Cycle Duration
Infrastructure Investment
Industrial
100
150
200
250
300
2015 2016 2017e 2018f 2019f 2020fSource: ARTBA
US Transportation Market ($B)
40
60
80
100
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Source: US Census Bureau
US Manuf. Construction Spend ($B)
Source: Bank of Canada
382018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
E&C and M&M Capital Expenditures
100
150
200
2017A 2018E 2019E
Energy & Chemicals ($B)
50
100
2017A 2018E 2019E
Mining & Metals ($B)
Source: Bloomberg, Fluor internal estimates
Largest IOC’s & Mining Clients
392018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Diversified Services
Focus AreasMaintenanceConstruction equipmentProject staffingAsset integrity
Market Growth
2%
2.52.0
2017A 2018 YTD
Backlog ($B)
2.01.3
2017A 2018 YTD
New Awards ($B)
Billings
Rental Equipment
40
45
50
55
60
Aug-17 Nov-17 Feb-18 May-18 Aug-18
Source: AIA
AIA Billings Index
0
25
50
75
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022Source: American Rental Association
Construction Rental Equipment ($B)
75
100
125
150
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022Source: Oxford Economics
Global Construction IndexConstruction
402018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Government
Focus AreasNuclear securityEnvironmental
managementIntelligence communityContingency operations
Market Growth
3%
3.85.1
2017A 2018 YTD
Backlog ($B)
2.64.1
2017A 2018 YTD
New Awards ($B)
U.S. DOE
U.S. DoD
400
500
600
700
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20Source: US DoD Budget Requests
DoD Funding ($B)
0
10
20
30
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Source: US Treasury
US DOE Budget Outlays ($B)
412018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
Government E&N $3.8B
E&C LNG$8.5 B | EPC
E&C Upstream$0.8 B | EPCM
E&C Upstream$4 B | EPC
Mining Copper$4 B | EPCM
Mining Potash$0.5 B | EPC
Infra Transportation$0.8 B | EPC
Mining Iron$1.4 B | EPCM
Infra Transportation$0.6 B | EPC
E&C Upstream$2.7 B | EPCM
E&C Chemicals$5.5 B | EFPC
E&C Chemicals$1 B | EPC
November 2018Major Prospects on the Horizon
Mining Copper$1.1 B | EPCM
E&C Chemicals$2.7 B | EPC
E&C Downstream$1 B | EP
E&C Chemicals$1.3 B | EPC
E&C Downstream$2.8 B | EPCF
Government E&N$4 B
Mining Copper$0.4 B | EPC
E&C LNG$5.5 B | EPC
E&C Chemicals$1 B | EPCF
Mining Copper$0.6 B | EPC
E&C Upstream$0.3 B | Stork
Government E&N$0.7 B
Mining & Metals$0.4 B | EPC
E&C Downstream$0.9 B | EPFC
E&C LNG$0.5 B | EPC
E&CMiningGovernmentInfrastructureDiversified Services
422018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Key Differentiator : Integrated SolutionsStrategic advantage of fabrication and construction self-perform capabilities
Enable integrated EPFC
execution
Provide control over full schedule
Capture margin from additional
services
Eliminating interface risks
432018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
COOEC-FLUOR Heavy Industries (CFHI)
442018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Scope Value Progression
Engineering only
EP & Fabrication
EPF & Construction
EPFC + O&M
ControlServ
ices
Additional Margin Streams
Cost &Schedule Certainty
E & Procurement
Earn
ings
Earn
ings
452018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Bruce StanskiChief Financial Officer
FINANCE OVERVIEW
462018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Three Main Financial Focuses in 2019 and Beyond
Deliver onour promises
ControlCost
GenerateCash
472018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Committed to meeting or exceeding expectations Re-establish consistent track record / focus on predictability Leverage investments in technology and innovation Capitalize on concurrent market up cycles Deliver excess capital to shareholders
Deliver On Our Promises
482018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Early in projects we recognize less profit than we would have under the old revenue recognition standards
But as projects continue we will take more profit which elongates the earnings cycle
Revenue Recognition
10%3%
37%
17%
32%
31%
10%
26%
8%
17%
3% 6%
Old Rev Rec New Rev Rec
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
ENGINEERING CONSTRUCTION
Profit Split by Year (Old vs. New Rev Rec)
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
Old Rev Rec PGM New Rev Rec PGM
492018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Peak Margins by Segment
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0%
Government
Diversified Services
MIIP
E&C
Typical Segment Margins Peak Segment Margins
8.0% - 9.0%
6.0% - 7.0%
5.5% - 6.5%
3.5% - 4.0%
PEAK MARGINS
502018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Action Item Commitment
Reduce NuScale spend • Reduce 2019 spend to $40MM from $75MM in 2018
Exit marginal businesses• Exited U.S. lump-sum gas-fired power business in 2018• Reduced exposure to offshore wind development
(Sale of Seagreen)• Aggressively manage exposure to non-core end markets
Monetize investments• Focus assets on highest return end markets• Drive new earnings streams• Leverage Global Execution Centers• Benefit from prolonged OpEx cycle via Stork
Manage corporate G&A expense • Corporate G&A expense is in-line with revenue
Control Costs & Investments
512018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
While Fluor guides to $50MM in G&A each quarter, there is a lot of variability in that number Normalized corporate G&A has moved in-line with
revenue
Compensation is incentive based
Nonrecurring expenses include FX, pension expenses, and restructuring costs
Expenses in 2018 include select early cycle investments in technology, training, and project execution standardization
Control CostCorporate G&A Expense
$61$49 $48
$102
$90 $78
$28$53
$14
2016 2017 2018 YTDOverhead Incentive Compensation Nonrecurring Expenses
522018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Fluor has been committed to square footage reduction and efficiency Since 2015, Fluor has reduced its major office real estate
footprint by over 500 thousand sq. ft. Planned and committed reductions will reduce footprint
by an additional 21%
Average sq. ft./seat has been reduced by 11% while seating capacity has remained flat for offices that have been densified
In down cycle we shed real estate, in up cycle we leverage efficiency Over next three years, we expect to increase revenue per
square foot by approximately 45%
Optimize Real Estate Footprint
$3.7
$2.9
$2.4 $2.6 $2.7
$2.9
$-
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
$3.5
$4.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018YTD
Major Office* Revenue per Sq. Ft. (in $M)
*Includes 22 of our largest offices
532018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Focused on driving available domestic cash to $1B Participate in Public Private Partnership (PPP)
investments Fund our share of joint ventures Look for strategic niche M&A opportunities Return capital to shareholders Able to quickly deploy cash as needed
− In Puerto Rico, Fluor was able to use available cash to restore power after Hurricane Maria; this cash is returned with earnings
Generate Domestic Cash
(250)
(200)
(150)
(100)
(50)
-
50
100
150
200
Puerto Rico Cash Flow ($M)
Cash Inflow Cash Outflow
542018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
No expected diversion of cash to fund loss position projects
Multi-market upcycles will increase net income and more quickly grow cash balance
Cash advances on fixed price projects stay with the project
Maintain cash balances in locations of future cash uses (projects)
Improve flow of project working capital balances through better alignment of contract and supply chain terms
Maintain Cash Discipline for Projects
552018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Effective utilization of capital structure to invest in projects that meet a high return criteria
Investment decisions are made independent of business line desire to pursue EPCM bid
Currently have over a dozen open investments
Average return for all investments is 31 percent
Equity Investment Returns
0%
20%
40%
60%
A B C
IRR for Significant Investments
Target IRR: 20 – 40%
562018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Cost Profile – Typical Fluor Project
Values shown are illustrative, actual results vary.
Direct & Indirect Project Cost 92.9¢
Client FurnishedMaterial
Engineering Labor
Fabrication Materials OtherConstruction Labor
Sub-contracts
572018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Cost Profile - Traditional SolutionDirect & Indirect Project Cost 92.9¢
Client FurnishedMaterial
Engineering Labor
Fabrication Materials OtherConstruction Labor
Sub-contracts
Values shown are illustrative, actual results vary.
582018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Cost Profile - Integrated SolutionsDirect & Indirect Project Cost < 92.9¢
Client FurnishedMaterial
Engineering Labor
Fabrication Materials OtherConstruction Labor
Sub-contracts
Values shown are illustrative, actual results vary.
592018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Jim BrittainGroup President, Energy & Chemicals
PROJECT GOVERNANCE
602018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Project Governance = Project Predictability
612018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Project Governance Focuses on both "Bid Governance" & "Execution Governance" Established Office of Project Management & Execution Governance (PMEG)
Established criteria for higher risk project along with additional governance (Deep Dive Red Team Review, Watson Analytics, The Historian)
Revised Bid-No-Bid, Approval Matrix and Review Requirements for Bids
Prime Contract Manager
Need for Change
622018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Project Governance In Action (Watson Analytics) Challenges On Recent Project Pursuit
European Refinery Project with multiple locations Greenfield & Revamp Works
Aggressive Schedule with schedule completion LDs EU Construction Cost Risks – performance reliant on
cost and schedule of subcontractors Condensed Pre-FEED / FEED and Early EPC works
already ongoing (site prep, piling, TF)
Project Governance Results from Red Team Review developed de-risked pursuit model Schedule Risk Analysis of critical path performed
and analyzed for engineering in support of 1 pass engineering and early procurement schedule added to dead band
Revised early works strategy Developed low risk early procurement strategy Adjusted construction strategy, Tier-1
Construction Contractors and Integrated Construction Subcontractor Partnership
Changed execution Model – Stork self perform construction
Revised risk / reward execution model
632018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Fluor developed Advance Work Packaging by integrating Construction Driven Execution Concepts early in the project cycle
Fluor’s Integrated Solutions Model makes it possible to merge deliverables and eliminate duplication of effort
Supported by Fluor’s tools and systems
Starts in Home Office and delivers to Field
AWP increases productivity by delivering constraint free Installation Work Packages
Demonstrated 15-18% Cost Savings
Governing Construction - Advanced Work Packaging
AWP/WFP Implemented on 18 Projects
642018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Project Governance In Action – Advance Work Packaging Large Marque Project Challenges On Recent Project
Large scale mega Upstream Project Scope -Engineering, Procurement & Construction Management
Reimbursable Contract Challenging logistics Labor shortages
Project Governance - AWP Client visited Canadian project site to witness
AWP in action and implementation on project Provide sub-contractor access to Fluor tools &
systems to prepare IWPs Target of 90 days of constraint free work
packages available at all times ~10,000 IWP released (~30,000 total) ~12,000 constraints removed early Tool time increased by 10% Increased productivity by 25% Field productivity >1.0 Reduced cost by increased productivity,
minimized delays and avoided rework
652018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Brings all aspects of Fluor’s offering together in one solution to provide: Single-point responsibility – FEED through EPFC Continuity from engineering to fabrication to construction site Minimized interfaces Maximum accountability High Productivity High Quality Improved Safety Full control to improve cost
and schedule certainty
Fabrication - Creating Execution Certainty
Engineering
Procurement
Fabrication
Construction
662018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
COOEC – Fluor Heavy Industries Fabrication Yard
2018 Fabrication CFHI Yard Metrics Safety significantly better than industry avg.
>6,000 MT Steel / month
>45,000 piping welds / month
~2% Weld reject rate
~1% Structural steel reject rate
~4% Pipe reject rate
672018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
LNG Canada
682018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Project Governance = Project Predictability
© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation. November 16, 2018
Break
702018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Ray BarnardExecutive Vice President, Systems & Supply Chain
IBM / WATSON OVERVIEW
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Leveraging Fluor domain expertise together with IBM T.J. Watson Research Center to create two proprietary predictive analytics systems EPC Project Health Diagnostics (EPHDSM) powered by Watson Market Dynamics / Spend Analytics (MD/SASM) powered by Watson
Deliver value from proposal through execution phases Innovation leading to Strategic Competitive Advantage First of their kind systems in EPC industry Meaningful and actionable business insights Rapidly predict best-in-class pricing globally, project status and outcomes, and
improves quality and services Thousands of sophisticated mathematical data analytics models leveraged
Vision
722018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
ValueEPHDSM
Deliver fact based insights and early warning indicators on project performance
Predict issues such as rising costs or schedule delays based on historical trends and patterns
Identify the root causes of issues and the potential impacts of changes as input to the decision-making process including estimate analysis, forecast evaluation, project risk assessment and critical path analysis
Drive more certainty into project schedules and costs for our clients
MD/SASM
Leading edge tool providing supply chain insight and precise estimates
Sourcing and negotiation strategy Showcases market trends for key raw materials
and potential opportunities and risks for timing of purchases
Validate and benchmark current pricing trends against data from multiple projects and identify most competitive suppliers globally
Combines historical and current pricing on materials to predict future prices by incorporating raw materials, currency, and market intelligence
Incorporates project specific requirements such as sourcing country, suppliers, etc.
732018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
2015 Data collection
Semantic data modeling
Fluor ontology Correlation
analysis Predictive
models 1st Engineering
deep dive
2016 Descriptive
analytics EPHD user
interface Diagnostic
Neural Network (DNN)
Improved data quality and data collection
2017 Executive
dashboard Automated
standard story Sr. executive
reviews Expert driven
predictive models 1st Construction
deep dive Tail end
engineering prediction models
2018 Project Health
Monitor control system (PHMcs)
Cognitive interface to EPHD
Enhanced data visualization and descriptive analytics
Feature bundle/belief network
“Watson” best fit selection
EPHDSM Timeline
Note: Italicized items are under development
742018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
EPHDSM Metrics
New EPC and EPFC projects being added as engineering starts General criteria:
− Projects over $500 million in Total Installed Cost (TIC)− E&C, Power and Mining− Will expand criteria to include additional business lines and TIC values
752018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
MD/SASM Timeline20
15 Data collection
2016
2017
2018 Material
Market Bulletin (MMB) Equipment &
Materials• Pipe• Steel• Vessels• Pumps• Fittings• Flanges
Equipment & Materials• Valves (manual
& automatic) Stick-built
Contracts Modules
• Pipe Rack• Process Logistics
Storyboard access to Lump Sum projects Executive
Dashboard Equipment &
Materials• E&I • Other
mechanical categories
Note: Italicized items are under development
762018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
In The Future… “Construction” Continues on EPHDSM
Evaluate potential construction execution analytics (CEA) viability – congestion modelingCost prediction models validation/testing
Belief network/feature bundle predictive modelingMulti-modal Cognitive user interface (UI)Continue expansion of descriptive analytics and UI
PM Forecast monitor and Hierarchical Prediction ModelHigher order “Watson” AI
772018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
IBM / WATSON VIDEO
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YESTERDAY’S KNOWLEDGE
TODAY’S INTELLIGENCE
BETTER TOMORROW
792018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Matt McSorleyExecutive Vice President, Project Support Services
DATA-DRIVEN EXECUTION
802018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Lack of investment in R&D and IT/Data Solutions
Engineering output/hour has lagged other industries
Construction productivity is flat or decreased over the last 40 years
Limited focus and no consistency of data
Challenges with project predictions
Engineering & Construction Industry
Significant opportunity to differentiate Data provided by McKinsey
812018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Inconsistency of data causes: Inability to estimate accurately Challenges with forecasting Excessive hours spent in project set up and data
scrubbing Inability to compare projects Difficulty using systems to perform data analytics
Industry issue driven by different markets and Clients
Focus on the right data and not all dataDecisions made with accurate historical data…not
opinions
Data-Centric Execution
822018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Unison is an integral part of Fluor’s drive towards data-centric execution. It is data standardization, consistent work processes and the capture and application of historical data to achieve accurate forecasting for more predicable project outcomes.
UnisonSM
Unison is not a tool or software, it is a new way of working
832018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
UnisonSM is About the Data…
842018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Linked with standard systems:
Execution Responsibility
Quantification
Material Pricing
Subcontract Management
Engineering Data Maturity
Document Control
Scheduling
Project Controls & EstimatingName System
The Mobilizer Project Personnel Management
The Administrator Project Controls Data Management
The Projector Project Financial Forecast Generator
The Coordinator Change Management
The Resourcer Project Staffing & Utility System
The Generator Services Cost & Revenue Generator
The Tracker Planning & Progress
The Estimator Conceptual & Detailed Estimating
The Forecaster Capital Cost Forecast
The Reporter Business Intelligence Reporting
852018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Quality – The right data, context, accuracy, format, place and purpose
Standards – Identifies reference and master data attributes with one set of definitions and usage
Stewardship – Manages data assets and enforces policies
Practices & Work Instructions – Data modeling, naming, retention, quality and security
How Is Data Being Governed?“…the overall management of the availability, usability, integrity and security of the data employed in a project.”
862018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Phil ClarkSenior Vice President Project Director LNG Canada
PROJECT REVIEW:LNG CANADA
872018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Shell (40%), PETRONAS (25%), PetroChina (15%), Mitsubishi Corporation (15%) and KOGAS (5%)
Phase 1 (Trains 1 & 2) Lump sum EPFC contract Reimbursable start-up support
Limited Notice to Proceed Received June 1st Incorporated JFJV bid enhancements into FEED
package LNTP period requested by Fluor to update project
baseline Excellent internal & client relations and working
relationships developed Commenced engagement with First Nations, local
community and key contractors
FID achieved October 1st Full Notice to Proceed received October
30th Mobilizing to site for:
− Early works & site establishment
− Establish a community footprint
Phase 2 (Trains 3 & 4)− Client has option to award Phase 2− Initial study has been released
LNG Canada Project – Project Facts
882018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Strong JGC Fluor JV partnership JGC Corporation− Involved in more than 50 LNG trains
globally − Third of the world’s LNG trains Fluor Corporation− 70 years of Canadian project experience− Innovative modularization − Self-perform construction experience− Executed the world’s largest projects in
remote locations like Kitimat
LNG Canada Project – Why JGC Fluor Joint Venture?
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Project Milestones
2018 Before mid decadeMajor Recruitment/ Employment
902018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
LNG Canada Project – Start to Finish!
Project Siteapprox. 1,100 acres
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Craig LaFortuneSenior Vice PresidentProject Director, Quellaveco
PROJECT REVIEW:QUELLAVECO
922018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Anglo American (Owner) Headquarters in London, UK
− Listed on London & Johannesburg stock exchanges− Established in 1917
Mining Operations in South Africa, North/South America & Australia Produce Diamonds, Copper, Platinum, Coal, Nickel and Iron Ore 69,000 employees worldwide
Project partner is Mitsubishi (40%)
Quellaveco
932018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
One of the world’s largest undeveloped copper resources, located in the Southern Region of Peru
127,500 tons of ore per day
Proven grinding / flotation process
Extensive Feasibility Study finished Feb 2018
Full investment decision Aug 2018
Investment Value is 5+ Billion USD
First Ore is in 2022
Quellaveco
942018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
Why Fluor? Strong presence in South America Extensive experience with the
project Excellent credentials (e.g. CV1/2) Strong Project Mgmt. Team Senior Mgmt. Relationships
Fluor Services Engineering
− Multiple Offices Procurement Construction Management and Pre-
Commissioning Reimbursable contract with
incentives
Quellaveco and Fluor
952018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
High Mountain Vizcachas Dam and 96km Water Pipeline
Mine Area Asana Diversion System, Primary Crushing,
Overland Conveyor and Truck Maintenance
Plant Area Grinding, Flotation, Filtration
Tailings Starter Dam, Cyclones, Launder / Tunnels
Infrastructure Roads, Power Supply
Project Details
962018 INVESTOR DAY© 2018 Fluor Corporation. All Rights Reserved.Fluor is a registered service mark of Fluor Corporation.
High Mountain
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Mine
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Plant
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Q&A