SKRIPSI PENGARUH ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH …hi.umm.ac.id/files/file/winda.pdf · menerapkan...

22
SKRIPSI PENGARUH ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH PERBATASAN IRAN TERHADAP PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 Disusun dan diajukan untuk memenuhi salah satu syarat memperoleh gelar sarjana ilmu politik (S.IP) strata-1 Jurusan Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Oleh: WINDA NIM: 05260050 UNIVERSITAS MUHAMMADIYAH MALANG FAKULTAS ILMU SOSIAL DAN ILMU POLITIK 2009 i

Transcript of SKRIPSI PENGARUH ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH …hi.umm.ac.id/files/file/winda.pdf · menerapkan...

SKRIPSI

PENGARUH ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH PERBATASAN

IRAN TERHADAP PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR

ERA AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009

Disusun dan diajukan untuk memenuhi salah satu syarat

memperoleh gelar sarjana ilmu politik (SIP) strata-1

Jurusan Ilmu Hubungan Internasional

Oleh

WINDA

NIM 05260050

UNIVERSITAS MUHAMMADIYAH MALANG

FAKULTAS ILMU SOSIAL DAN ILMU POLITIK

2009

i

LEMBAR PERSETUJUAN SKRIPSI

Nama Winda

NIM 05260050

Jurusan Hubungan Internasional

Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik

Judul Skripsi PENGARUH ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN TERHADAP PENGEMBANGAN

TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD

TAHUN 2005-2009

Disetujui

DOSEN PEMBIMBING Pembimbing I Pembimbing II Gonda Yumitro SIP Yusli Effendi SIP MA

Mengetahui

Dekan FISIP UMM Ketua Jurusan Hubungan Internasional DR Wahyudi MSi Dyah Estu Kurniawati SSos MSi

ii

LEMBAR PENGESAHAN

Nama Winda

NIM 05260050

Jurusan Hubungan Internasional

Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik

Judul Skripsi PENGARUH ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN TERHADAP PENGEMBANGAN

TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD

TAHUN 2005-2009

Telah dipertahankan dihadapan Dewan Penguji Ujian Skripsi

Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik

Jurusan Hubungan Internasional

Dan dinyatakan LULUS

Pada hari Sabtu

Tanggal 31 Oktober 2009

Tempat Laboratorium Hubungan Internasional UMM

Mengesahkan

Dekan FISIP- UMM

DR Wahyudi MSi

Dewan Penguji

1 Dyah Estu Kurniawati SSos MSi ( )

2 Idin Fasisaka MA ( )

3 Yusli Effendi SIP MA ( )

4 Gonda Yumitro SIP ( )

iii

KATA PENGANTAR

Bismillahirrahmanirrahim

Assalamursquoalaikum warahmatullahhi wa barakatuh

Telah banyak referensi di Indonesia yang membahas masalah keterkaitan

antara pengembangan teknologi nuklir Iran di era Ahmadinejad tahun 2005-2009

dengan sejarah konflik AS-Iran yang berlangsung selama 30 tahun terakhir

Namun tidak banyak yang membahas secara spesifik identifikasi ancaman AS

yang terdapat di wilayah perbatasan Iran sebagai pertimbangan penting Iran untuk

menerapkan strategi deterens dalam pengembangan teknologi nuklir tersebut

Penulis menyadari bahwa didalam proses pengerjaan dan penyajian skripsi

ini masih terdapat celah - celah kekurangan yang perlu ditambal dan

disempurnakan Oleh karena itu masukan dan kritikan yang membangun sangat

diharapkan oleh penulis untuk membantu menutup celah kekurangan tersebut

Akhir kata penulis berharap skripsi ini dapat memberikan kontribusi

seklaipun kecil yang tidak hanya bermanfaat untuk menambah dan

mengembangkan pengetahuan mengenai studi Hubungan Internasional di

lingkungan Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang saja akan tetapi juga disiplin

Ilmu Hubungan Internasional di Indonesia secara umum Amien

Wassalamursquoalaikum warahmatullahhi wa barakatuh

Malang 6 Oktober 2009

Penulis

Winda

iv

UNGKAPAN PRIBADI DAN MOTTO

ldquoMandirilah Maka kamu akan jadi orang merdeka dan maju Cukuplah bantuan Tuhan yang menjadi anutanmu Just going to extra miles Man shabara

zhafirardquo(dikutip dari Novel Negeri 5 Menara karya A Fuadi)

Sebagai rasa syukur atas terselesaikannya skripsi ini maka penulis ingin

mengucapkan rasa terima kasih sebesar-besarnya kepada

1 Allah SWT atas berkat kehidupan untuk saya Alhamdulillah ya Allah

2 Kedua mata kehidupan saya yakni Bapak dan Bunda saya MHerman

Suwadji dan Niniek Bintarto serta saudara saya di keluarga inti Mbak

Eeng Mbak Lina Mas Wiwin Mas Yudo dan adekku Lia Penyandang

besar dana kuliah saya Mr Naveh Milo dan Om Dewo serta seluruh

Keluarga Besar di Gemeh (Denpasar) Malang (Lawang dan Kasembon)

Doa dan harapan serta keberadaan kalian semua sungguh memberi saya

kekuatan untuk menghadapi keadaan sulit saat mengerjakan skripsi ini

3 Kedua pembimbing saya yang terhormat Bapak Gonda Yumitro SIP dan

Bapak Yusli Effendi SIP MA atas arahan dan kesabarannya dalam

membimbing dan mendidik saya untuk menjadi pribadi yang lebih baik

selama proses pengerjaan skripsi ini I was trying to living up the process

Sir Please forgive me for all the bad of me I tried to do my best

Therefore I need to ask you sometimes Jazakumullah ya ustad

4 Segenap staf di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM terutama kepada

Ibu Dyah Estu Kurniawati SSos MSi selaku Ketua Jurusan Hubungan

Internasional UMM Makasih ya Mam atas review-nya Tak lupa juga

v

kepada Bapak Idin Fasisaka MA yang telah bersedia me-review dan

memberikan masukan konstruktif dalam perbaikan skripsi ini

5 Direktur dan Sekretaris ACICIS UMM Bapak Prof HMMasrsquoud Said

PhD dan Bu Isnani Dzuhrina SSos yang telah memberikan kesempatan

menimba pengalaman kerja selama 2 periode berturut-turut di ACICIS

UMM Semoga saya tidak menyalahgunakan kepercayaan dan pengertian

yang telah Pak Masrsquoud dan Ibu Is berikan kepada saya untuk

menyelesaikan skripsi ini di sela-sela tugas kantor Matur nuwun

6 Teman-teman seperjuangan saya di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM

(maaf tidak bisa disebutkan satu persatu disini karena akan sangat banyak

sekali) dan di Carrer Center (Mas Wahyu terima kasih untuk sharing dan

advice untuk skripsiku ya Mas It means a lot for me)

7 Bapak Wahyudi selaku Dekan FISIP UMM dan segenap lingkungan

FISIP UMM terutama para staf TU yang mengingatkan akan ujian skripsi

8 Prof Anak Agung Banyu Perwita Pak Saiful Amien Pak Saiman Pak

Syamsiar Aulia Rahman Pak Muradi Clark Pak Yana Syafrie Ibu Umiati

Jawas dan Ibu Yusnarida Eka Nizmi untuk diskusi dan masukannya terkait

dengan skripsi saya Nice to have chat with you Muchas gracias

9 Sahabat setiaku Diah Septiana di Solo yang selalu bersedia mendengarkan

keluh kesah saya selama mengerjakan skripsi ini You are my best Di

Dan kepada seluruh pihak yang belum atau lupa saya sebutkan disini saya

mohon maaf dan terima kasih atas bantuan serta partisipasinya

Allah yubarik fiik

vi

DAFTAR ISI

Lembar CoverSampul Dalami Lembar Persetujuan Skripsiii Lembar Pengesahaniii Lembar Originalitasiv Ungkapan PribadiMottov Abstraksivii Kata Pengantarix Daftar Isix Daftar Gambarxii Daftar Tabelxiii Daftar Skemaxiv BAB I PENDAHULUAN

11 Latar Belakang Masalah1 12 Rumusan Permasalah5 13 Tujuan Penelitian5 14 Kerangka Pemikiran5

141 Peringkat Analisis7 142 Penelitian Terdahulu7 143 Teori Balance of Threat9 144 Konsep Deterens12 145 Konsep Negara Revisionis13

15 Hipotesis18 16 Metode Penelitian18

161 Konseptualisasi18 1611 Kedekatan Geografis18 1612 Strategi Deterens19 1613 Negara Revisionis21

162 Tipe Penelitian23 163 Teknik Pengumpulan Data23 164 Teknik Analisis Data23 165 Ruang Lingkup Penelitian24

17 Sistematika Penulisan24 BAB II ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH PERBATASAN

IRAN TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Kepentingan geostrategis AS di Iran26

411 Kepentingan Minyak26 412 Kepentingan Militer30

42 Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200931 421 Rencana Serangan AS ke Iran Dalam Doktrin Bush

Tahun 200231

vii

422 Pembangunan Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200933

423 Operasi Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200940

BAB III PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR IRAN ERA

AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 31 Iran Sebagai Negara Revisionis51

311 Karakter Revisionis Politik Luar Negeri Iran51 312 Konflik Iran-AS53 313 Pembuatan Kebijakan Pengembangan Nuklir Iran57

32 Strategi deterens Iran Terhadap Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200959

321 Pernyataan dan Doktrin Pertahanan Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad59

322 Peningkatan Teknologi Nuklir Iran Tahun 2005-200962 323 Uji Coba Produk Nuklir Iran di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200966 BAB IV HUBUNGAN ANTARA ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN DENGAN PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Korelasi Positif Antara Ancaman Militer AS Di Wilayah

Perbatasan Iran Dengan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-200976

42 Kepentingan Keamanan Nasional Iran era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-2009 78

421 Kepentingan Pertahanan Fisik (physical survival)80 422 Kepentingan Melindungi Perekonomian84 423 Kepentingan Melindungi ideologi85

BAB V PENUTUP Kesimpulan90 Daftar Pustaka93

viii

DAFTAR GAMBAR

Gambar 1 Peta Geostrategis Iran30 Gambar 2 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 2002-200334 Gambar 3 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 200435 Gambar 4 Peta Pembangunan Basis Militer di Perbatasan Iran-Irak

Tahun 200536 Gambar 5 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 200637 Gambar 6 Peta Basis Militer AS di Halabja Irak38 Gambar 7 Peta Basis Militer AS di Shindand Afganistan39 Gambar 8 Perbandingan Jumlah Fasilitas Nuklir Iran Antara

Tahun 2003 dengan Tahun 200663 Gambar 9 Estimasi Daya Jangkau Rudal Balistik Iran74 Gambar 10Grafik Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS

di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran dengan Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Tahun 2005-200977

ix

DAFTAR TABEL Tabel 1 Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200950 Tabel 2 Perbandingan Kekuatan Militer AS dan Iran tahun 2007-200855 Tabel 3 Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Iran era Ahmadinejad75

x

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

LEMBAR PERSETUJUAN SKRIPSI

Nama Winda

NIM 05260050

Jurusan Hubungan Internasional

Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik

Judul Skripsi PENGARUH ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN TERHADAP PENGEMBANGAN

TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD

TAHUN 2005-2009

Disetujui

DOSEN PEMBIMBING Pembimbing I Pembimbing II Gonda Yumitro SIP Yusli Effendi SIP MA

Mengetahui

Dekan FISIP UMM Ketua Jurusan Hubungan Internasional DR Wahyudi MSi Dyah Estu Kurniawati SSos MSi

ii

LEMBAR PENGESAHAN

Nama Winda

NIM 05260050

Jurusan Hubungan Internasional

Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik

Judul Skripsi PENGARUH ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN TERHADAP PENGEMBANGAN

TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD

TAHUN 2005-2009

Telah dipertahankan dihadapan Dewan Penguji Ujian Skripsi

Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik

Jurusan Hubungan Internasional

Dan dinyatakan LULUS

Pada hari Sabtu

Tanggal 31 Oktober 2009

Tempat Laboratorium Hubungan Internasional UMM

Mengesahkan

Dekan FISIP- UMM

DR Wahyudi MSi

Dewan Penguji

1 Dyah Estu Kurniawati SSos MSi ( )

2 Idin Fasisaka MA ( )

3 Yusli Effendi SIP MA ( )

4 Gonda Yumitro SIP ( )

iii

KATA PENGANTAR

Bismillahirrahmanirrahim

Assalamursquoalaikum warahmatullahhi wa barakatuh

Telah banyak referensi di Indonesia yang membahas masalah keterkaitan

antara pengembangan teknologi nuklir Iran di era Ahmadinejad tahun 2005-2009

dengan sejarah konflik AS-Iran yang berlangsung selama 30 tahun terakhir

Namun tidak banyak yang membahas secara spesifik identifikasi ancaman AS

yang terdapat di wilayah perbatasan Iran sebagai pertimbangan penting Iran untuk

menerapkan strategi deterens dalam pengembangan teknologi nuklir tersebut

Penulis menyadari bahwa didalam proses pengerjaan dan penyajian skripsi

ini masih terdapat celah - celah kekurangan yang perlu ditambal dan

disempurnakan Oleh karena itu masukan dan kritikan yang membangun sangat

diharapkan oleh penulis untuk membantu menutup celah kekurangan tersebut

Akhir kata penulis berharap skripsi ini dapat memberikan kontribusi

seklaipun kecil yang tidak hanya bermanfaat untuk menambah dan

mengembangkan pengetahuan mengenai studi Hubungan Internasional di

lingkungan Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang saja akan tetapi juga disiplin

Ilmu Hubungan Internasional di Indonesia secara umum Amien

Wassalamursquoalaikum warahmatullahhi wa barakatuh

Malang 6 Oktober 2009

Penulis

Winda

iv

UNGKAPAN PRIBADI DAN MOTTO

ldquoMandirilah Maka kamu akan jadi orang merdeka dan maju Cukuplah bantuan Tuhan yang menjadi anutanmu Just going to extra miles Man shabara

zhafirardquo(dikutip dari Novel Negeri 5 Menara karya A Fuadi)

Sebagai rasa syukur atas terselesaikannya skripsi ini maka penulis ingin

mengucapkan rasa terima kasih sebesar-besarnya kepada

1 Allah SWT atas berkat kehidupan untuk saya Alhamdulillah ya Allah

2 Kedua mata kehidupan saya yakni Bapak dan Bunda saya MHerman

Suwadji dan Niniek Bintarto serta saudara saya di keluarga inti Mbak

Eeng Mbak Lina Mas Wiwin Mas Yudo dan adekku Lia Penyandang

besar dana kuliah saya Mr Naveh Milo dan Om Dewo serta seluruh

Keluarga Besar di Gemeh (Denpasar) Malang (Lawang dan Kasembon)

Doa dan harapan serta keberadaan kalian semua sungguh memberi saya

kekuatan untuk menghadapi keadaan sulit saat mengerjakan skripsi ini

3 Kedua pembimbing saya yang terhormat Bapak Gonda Yumitro SIP dan

Bapak Yusli Effendi SIP MA atas arahan dan kesabarannya dalam

membimbing dan mendidik saya untuk menjadi pribadi yang lebih baik

selama proses pengerjaan skripsi ini I was trying to living up the process

Sir Please forgive me for all the bad of me I tried to do my best

Therefore I need to ask you sometimes Jazakumullah ya ustad

4 Segenap staf di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM terutama kepada

Ibu Dyah Estu Kurniawati SSos MSi selaku Ketua Jurusan Hubungan

Internasional UMM Makasih ya Mam atas review-nya Tak lupa juga

v

kepada Bapak Idin Fasisaka MA yang telah bersedia me-review dan

memberikan masukan konstruktif dalam perbaikan skripsi ini

5 Direktur dan Sekretaris ACICIS UMM Bapak Prof HMMasrsquoud Said

PhD dan Bu Isnani Dzuhrina SSos yang telah memberikan kesempatan

menimba pengalaman kerja selama 2 periode berturut-turut di ACICIS

UMM Semoga saya tidak menyalahgunakan kepercayaan dan pengertian

yang telah Pak Masrsquoud dan Ibu Is berikan kepada saya untuk

menyelesaikan skripsi ini di sela-sela tugas kantor Matur nuwun

6 Teman-teman seperjuangan saya di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM

(maaf tidak bisa disebutkan satu persatu disini karena akan sangat banyak

sekali) dan di Carrer Center (Mas Wahyu terima kasih untuk sharing dan

advice untuk skripsiku ya Mas It means a lot for me)

7 Bapak Wahyudi selaku Dekan FISIP UMM dan segenap lingkungan

FISIP UMM terutama para staf TU yang mengingatkan akan ujian skripsi

8 Prof Anak Agung Banyu Perwita Pak Saiful Amien Pak Saiman Pak

Syamsiar Aulia Rahman Pak Muradi Clark Pak Yana Syafrie Ibu Umiati

Jawas dan Ibu Yusnarida Eka Nizmi untuk diskusi dan masukannya terkait

dengan skripsi saya Nice to have chat with you Muchas gracias

9 Sahabat setiaku Diah Septiana di Solo yang selalu bersedia mendengarkan

keluh kesah saya selama mengerjakan skripsi ini You are my best Di

Dan kepada seluruh pihak yang belum atau lupa saya sebutkan disini saya

mohon maaf dan terima kasih atas bantuan serta partisipasinya

Allah yubarik fiik

vi

DAFTAR ISI

Lembar CoverSampul Dalami Lembar Persetujuan Skripsiii Lembar Pengesahaniii Lembar Originalitasiv Ungkapan PribadiMottov Abstraksivii Kata Pengantarix Daftar Isix Daftar Gambarxii Daftar Tabelxiii Daftar Skemaxiv BAB I PENDAHULUAN

11 Latar Belakang Masalah1 12 Rumusan Permasalah5 13 Tujuan Penelitian5 14 Kerangka Pemikiran5

141 Peringkat Analisis7 142 Penelitian Terdahulu7 143 Teori Balance of Threat9 144 Konsep Deterens12 145 Konsep Negara Revisionis13

15 Hipotesis18 16 Metode Penelitian18

161 Konseptualisasi18 1611 Kedekatan Geografis18 1612 Strategi Deterens19 1613 Negara Revisionis21

162 Tipe Penelitian23 163 Teknik Pengumpulan Data23 164 Teknik Analisis Data23 165 Ruang Lingkup Penelitian24

17 Sistematika Penulisan24 BAB II ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH PERBATASAN

IRAN TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Kepentingan geostrategis AS di Iran26

411 Kepentingan Minyak26 412 Kepentingan Militer30

42 Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200931 421 Rencana Serangan AS ke Iran Dalam Doktrin Bush

Tahun 200231

vii

422 Pembangunan Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200933

423 Operasi Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200940

BAB III PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR IRAN ERA

AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 31 Iran Sebagai Negara Revisionis51

311 Karakter Revisionis Politik Luar Negeri Iran51 312 Konflik Iran-AS53 313 Pembuatan Kebijakan Pengembangan Nuklir Iran57

32 Strategi deterens Iran Terhadap Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200959

321 Pernyataan dan Doktrin Pertahanan Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad59

322 Peningkatan Teknologi Nuklir Iran Tahun 2005-200962 323 Uji Coba Produk Nuklir Iran di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200966 BAB IV HUBUNGAN ANTARA ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN DENGAN PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Korelasi Positif Antara Ancaman Militer AS Di Wilayah

Perbatasan Iran Dengan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-200976

42 Kepentingan Keamanan Nasional Iran era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-2009 78

421 Kepentingan Pertahanan Fisik (physical survival)80 422 Kepentingan Melindungi Perekonomian84 423 Kepentingan Melindungi ideologi85

BAB V PENUTUP Kesimpulan90 Daftar Pustaka93

viii

DAFTAR GAMBAR

Gambar 1 Peta Geostrategis Iran30 Gambar 2 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 2002-200334 Gambar 3 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 200435 Gambar 4 Peta Pembangunan Basis Militer di Perbatasan Iran-Irak

Tahun 200536 Gambar 5 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 200637 Gambar 6 Peta Basis Militer AS di Halabja Irak38 Gambar 7 Peta Basis Militer AS di Shindand Afganistan39 Gambar 8 Perbandingan Jumlah Fasilitas Nuklir Iran Antara

Tahun 2003 dengan Tahun 200663 Gambar 9 Estimasi Daya Jangkau Rudal Balistik Iran74 Gambar 10Grafik Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS

di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran dengan Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Tahun 2005-200977

ix

DAFTAR TABEL Tabel 1 Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200950 Tabel 2 Perbandingan Kekuatan Militer AS dan Iran tahun 2007-200855 Tabel 3 Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Iran era Ahmadinejad75

x

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

LEMBAR PENGESAHAN

Nama Winda

NIM 05260050

Jurusan Hubungan Internasional

Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik

Judul Skripsi PENGARUH ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN TERHADAP PENGEMBANGAN

TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD

TAHUN 2005-2009

Telah dipertahankan dihadapan Dewan Penguji Ujian Skripsi

Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik

Jurusan Hubungan Internasional

Dan dinyatakan LULUS

Pada hari Sabtu

Tanggal 31 Oktober 2009

Tempat Laboratorium Hubungan Internasional UMM

Mengesahkan

Dekan FISIP- UMM

DR Wahyudi MSi

Dewan Penguji

1 Dyah Estu Kurniawati SSos MSi ( )

2 Idin Fasisaka MA ( )

3 Yusli Effendi SIP MA ( )

4 Gonda Yumitro SIP ( )

iii

KATA PENGANTAR

Bismillahirrahmanirrahim

Assalamursquoalaikum warahmatullahhi wa barakatuh

Telah banyak referensi di Indonesia yang membahas masalah keterkaitan

antara pengembangan teknologi nuklir Iran di era Ahmadinejad tahun 2005-2009

dengan sejarah konflik AS-Iran yang berlangsung selama 30 tahun terakhir

Namun tidak banyak yang membahas secara spesifik identifikasi ancaman AS

yang terdapat di wilayah perbatasan Iran sebagai pertimbangan penting Iran untuk

menerapkan strategi deterens dalam pengembangan teknologi nuklir tersebut

Penulis menyadari bahwa didalam proses pengerjaan dan penyajian skripsi

ini masih terdapat celah - celah kekurangan yang perlu ditambal dan

disempurnakan Oleh karena itu masukan dan kritikan yang membangun sangat

diharapkan oleh penulis untuk membantu menutup celah kekurangan tersebut

Akhir kata penulis berharap skripsi ini dapat memberikan kontribusi

seklaipun kecil yang tidak hanya bermanfaat untuk menambah dan

mengembangkan pengetahuan mengenai studi Hubungan Internasional di

lingkungan Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang saja akan tetapi juga disiplin

Ilmu Hubungan Internasional di Indonesia secara umum Amien

Wassalamursquoalaikum warahmatullahhi wa barakatuh

Malang 6 Oktober 2009

Penulis

Winda

iv

UNGKAPAN PRIBADI DAN MOTTO

ldquoMandirilah Maka kamu akan jadi orang merdeka dan maju Cukuplah bantuan Tuhan yang menjadi anutanmu Just going to extra miles Man shabara

zhafirardquo(dikutip dari Novel Negeri 5 Menara karya A Fuadi)

Sebagai rasa syukur atas terselesaikannya skripsi ini maka penulis ingin

mengucapkan rasa terima kasih sebesar-besarnya kepada

1 Allah SWT atas berkat kehidupan untuk saya Alhamdulillah ya Allah

2 Kedua mata kehidupan saya yakni Bapak dan Bunda saya MHerman

Suwadji dan Niniek Bintarto serta saudara saya di keluarga inti Mbak

Eeng Mbak Lina Mas Wiwin Mas Yudo dan adekku Lia Penyandang

besar dana kuliah saya Mr Naveh Milo dan Om Dewo serta seluruh

Keluarga Besar di Gemeh (Denpasar) Malang (Lawang dan Kasembon)

Doa dan harapan serta keberadaan kalian semua sungguh memberi saya

kekuatan untuk menghadapi keadaan sulit saat mengerjakan skripsi ini

3 Kedua pembimbing saya yang terhormat Bapak Gonda Yumitro SIP dan

Bapak Yusli Effendi SIP MA atas arahan dan kesabarannya dalam

membimbing dan mendidik saya untuk menjadi pribadi yang lebih baik

selama proses pengerjaan skripsi ini I was trying to living up the process

Sir Please forgive me for all the bad of me I tried to do my best

Therefore I need to ask you sometimes Jazakumullah ya ustad

4 Segenap staf di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM terutama kepada

Ibu Dyah Estu Kurniawati SSos MSi selaku Ketua Jurusan Hubungan

Internasional UMM Makasih ya Mam atas review-nya Tak lupa juga

v

kepada Bapak Idin Fasisaka MA yang telah bersedia me-review dan

memberikan masukan konstruktif dalam perbaikan skripsi ini

5 Direktur dan Sekretaris ACICIS UMM Bapak Prof HMMasrsquoud Said

PhD dan Bu Isnani Dzuhrina SSos yang telah memberikan kesempatan

menimba pengalaman kerja selama 2 periode berturut-turut di ACICIS

UMM Semoga saya tidak menyalahgunakan kepercayaan dan pengertian

yang telah Pak Masrsquoud dan Ibu Is berikan kepada saya untuk

menyelesaikan skripsi ini di sela-sela tugas kantor Matur nuwun

6 Teman-teman seperjuangan saya di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM

(maaf tidak bisa disebutkan satu persatu disini karena akan sangat banyak

sekali) dan di Carrer Center (Mas Wahyu terima kasih untuk sharing dan

advice untuk skripsiku ya Mas It means a lot for me)

7 Bapak Wahyudi selaku Dekan FISIP UMM dan segenap lingkungan

FISIP UMM terutama para staf TU yang mengingatkan akan ujian skripsi

8 Prof Anak Agung Banyu Perwita Pak Saiful Amien Pak Saiman Pak

Syamsiar Aulia Rahman Pak Muradi Clark Pak Yana Syafrie Ibu Umiati

Jawas dan Ibu Yusnarida Eka Nizmi untuk diskusi dan masukannya terkait

dengan skripsi saya Nice to have chat with you Muchas gracias

9 Sahabat setiaku Diah Septiana di Solo yang selalu bersedia mendengarkan

keluh kesah saya selama mengerjakan skripsi ini You are my best Di

Dan kepada seluruh pihak yang belum atau lupa saya sebutkan disini saya

mohon maaf dan terima kasih atas bantuan serta partisipasinya

Allah yubarik fiik

vi

DAFTAR ISI

Lembar CoverSampul Dalami Lembar Persetujuan Skripsiii Lembar Pengesahaniii Lembar Originalitasiv Ungkapan PribadiMottov Abstraksivii Kata Pengantarix Daftar Isix Daftar Gambarxii Daftar Tabelxiii Daftar Skemaxiv BAB I PENDAHULUAN

11 Latar Belakang Masalah1 12 Rumusan Permasalah5 13 Tujuan Penelitian5 14 Kerangka Pemikiran5

141 Peringkat Analisis7 142 Penelitian Terdahulu7 143 Teori Balance of Threat9 144 Konsep Deterens12 145 Konsep Negara Revisionis13

15 Hipotesis18 16 Metode Penelitian18

161 Konseptualisasi18 1611 Kedekatan Geografis18 1612 Strategi Deterens19 1613 Negara Revisionis21

162 Tipe Penelitian23 163 Teknik Pengumpulan Data23 164 Teknik Analisis Data23 165 Ruang Lingkup Penelitian24

17 Sistematika Penulisan24 BAB II ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH PERBATASAN

IRAN TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Kepentingan geostrategis AS di Iran26

411 Kepentingan Minyak26 412 Kepentingan Militer30

42 Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200931 421 Rencana Serangan AS ke Iran Dalam Doktrin Bush

Tahun 200231

vii

422 Pembangunan Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200933

423 Operasi Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200940

BAB III PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR IRAN ERA

AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 31 Iran Sebagai Negara Revisionis51

311 Karakter Revisionis Politik Luar Negeri Iran51 312 Konflik Iran-AS53 313 Pembuatan Kebijakan Pengembangan Nuklir Iran57

32 Strategi deterens Iran Terhadap Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200959

321 Pernyataan dan Doktrin Pertahanan Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad59

322 Peningkatan Teknologi Nuklir Iran Tahun 2005-200962 323 Uji Coba Produk Nuklir Iran di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200966 BAB IV HUBUNGAN ANTARA ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN DENGAN PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Korelasi Positif Antara Ancaman Militer AS Di Wilayah

Perbatasan Iran Dengan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-200976

42 Kepentingan Keamanan Nasional Iran era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-2009 78

421 Kepentingan Pertahanan Fisik (physical survival)80 422 Kepentingan Melindungi Perekonomian84 423 Kepentingan Melindungi ideologi85

BAB V PENUTUP Kesimpulan90 Daftar Pustaka93

viii

DAFTAR GAMBAR

Gambar 1 Peta Geostrategis Iran30 Gambar 2 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 2002-200334 Gambar 3 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 200435 Gambar 4 Peta Pembangunan Basis Militer di Perbatasan Iran-Irak

Tahun 200536 Gambar 5 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 200637 Gambar 6 Peta Basis Militer AS di Halabja Irak38 Gambar 7 Peta Basis Militer AS di Shindand Afganistan39 Gambar 8 Perbandingan Jumlah Fasilitas Nuklir Iran Antara

Tahun 2003 dengan Tahun 200663 Gambar 9 Estimasi Daya Jangkau Rudal Balistik Iran74 Gambar 10Grafik Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS

di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran dengan Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Tahun 2005-200977

ix

DAFTAR TABEL Tabel 1 Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200950 Tabel 2 Perbandingan Kekuatan Militer AS dan Iran tahun 2007-200855 Tabel 3 Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Iran era Ahmadinejad75

x

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

KATA PENGANTAR

Bismillahirrahmanirrahim

Assalamursquoalaikum warahmatullahhi wa barakatuh

Telah banyak referensi di Indonesia yang membahas masalah keterkaitan

antara pengembangan teknologi nuklir Iran di era Ahmadinejad tahun 2005-2009

dengan sejarah konflik AS-Iran yang berlangsung selama 30 tahun terakhir

Namun tidak banyak yang membahas secara spesifik identifikasi ancaman AS

yang terdapat di wilayah perbatasan Iran sebagai pertimbangan penting Iran untuk

menerapkan strategi deterens dalam pengembangan teknologi nuklir tersebut

Penulis menyadari bahwa didalam proses pengerjaan dan penyajian skripsi

ini masih terdapat celah - celah kekurangan yang perlu ditambal dan

disempurnakan Oleh karena itu masukan dan kritikan yang membangun sangat

diharapkan oleh penulis untuk membantu menutup celah kekurangan tersebut

Akhir kata penulis berharap skripsi ini dapat memberikan kontribusi

seklaipun kecil yang tidak hanya bermanfaat untuk menambah dan

mengembangkan pengetahuan mengenai studi Hubungan Internasional di

lingkungan Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang saja akan tetapi juga disiplin

Ilmu Hubungan Internasional di Indonesia secara umum Amien

Wassalamursquoalaikum warahmatullahhi wa barakatuh

Malang 6 Oktober 2009

Penulis

Winda

iv

UNGKAPAN PRIBADI DAN MOTTO

ldquoMandirilah Maka kamu akan jadi orang merdeka dan maju Cukuplah bantuan Tuhan yang menjadi anutanmu Just going to extra miles Man shabara

zhafirardquo(dikutip dari Novel Negeri 5 Menara karya A Fuadi)

Sebagai rasa syukur atas terselesaikannya skripsi ini maka penulis ingin

mengucapkan rasa terima kasih sebesar-besarnya kepada

1 Allah SWT atas berkat kehidupan untuk saya Alhamdulillah ya Allah

2 Kedua mata kehidupan saya yakni Bapak dan Bunda saya MHerman

Suwadji dan Niniek Bintarto serta saudara saya di keluarga inti Mbak

Eeng Mbak Lina Mas Wiwin Mas Yudo dan adekku Lia Penyandang

besar dana kuliah saya Mr Naveh Milo dan Om Dewo serta seluruh

Keluarga Besar di Gemeh (Denpasar) Malang (Lawang dan Kasembon)

Doa dan harapan serta keberadaan kalian semua sungguh memberi saya

kekuatan untuk menghadapi keadaan sulit saat mengerjakan skripsi ini

3 Kedua pembimbing saya yang terhormat Bapak Gonda Yumitro SIP dan

Bapak Yusli Effendi SIP MA atas arahan dan kesabarannya dalam

membimbing dan mendidik saya untuk menjadi pribadi yang lebih baik

selama proses pengerjaan skripsi ini I was trying to living up the process

Sir Please forgive me for all the bad of me I tried to do my best

Therefore I need to ask you sometimes Jazakumullah ya ustad

4 Segenap staf di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM terutama kepada

Ibu Dyah Estu Kurniawati SSos MSi selaku Ketua Jurusan Hubungan

Internasional UMM Makasih ya Mam atas review-nya Tak lupa juga

v

kepada Bapak Idin Fasisaka MA yang telah bersedia me-review dan

memberikan masukan konstruktif dalam perbaikan skripsi ini

5 Direktur dan Sekretaris ACICIS UMM Bapak Prof HMMasrsquoud Said

PhD dan Bu Isnani Dzuhrina SSos yang telah memberikan kesempatan

menimba pengalaman kerja selama 2 periode berturut-turut di ACICIS

UMM Semoga saya tidak menyalahgunakan kepercayaan dan pengertian

yang telah Pak Masrsquoud dan Ibu Is berikan kepada saya untuk

menyelesaikan skripsi ini di sela-sela tugas kantor Matur nuwun

6 Teman-teman seperjuangan saya di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM

(maaf tidak bisa disebutkan satu persatu disini karena akan sangat banyak

sekali) dan di Carrer Center (Mas Wahyu terima kasih untuk sharing dan

advice untuk skripsiku ya Mas It means a lot for me)

7 Bapak Wahyudi selaku Dekan FISIP UMM dan segenap lingkungan

FISIP UMM terutama para staf TU yang mengingatkan akan ujian skripsi

8 Prof Anak Agung Banyu Perwita Pak Saiful Amien Pak Saiman Pak

Syamsiar Aulia Rahman Pak Muradi Clark Pak Yana Syafrie Ibu Umiati

Jawas dan Ibu Yusnarida Eka Nizmi untuk diskusi dan masukannya terkait

dengan skripsi saya Nice to have chat with you Muchas gracias

9 Sahabat setiaku Diah Septiana di Solo yang selalu bersedia mendengarkan

keluh kesah saya selama mengerjakan skripsi ini You are my best Di

Dan kepada seluruh pihak yang belum atau lupa saya sebutkan disini saya

mohon maaf dan terima kasih atas bantuan serta partisipasinya

Allah yubarik fiik

vi

DAFTAR ISI

Lembar CoverSampul Dalami Lembar Persetujuan Skripsiii Lembar Pengesahaniii Lembar Originalitasiv Ungkapan PribadiMottov Abstraksivii Kata Pengantarix Daftar Isix Daftar Gambarxii Daftar Tabelxiii Daftar Skemaxiv BAB I PENDAHULUAN

11 Latar Belakang Masalah1 12 Rumusan Permasalah5 13 Tujuan Penelitian5 14 Kerangka Pemikiran5

141 Peringkat Analisis7 142 Penelitian Terdahulu7 143 Teori Balance of Threat9 144 Konsep Deterens12 145 Konsep Negara Revisionis13

15 Hipotesis18 16 Metode Penelitian18

161 Konseptualisasi18 1611 Kedekatan Geografis18 1612 Strategi Deterens19 1613 Negara Revisionis21

162 Tipe Penelitian23 163 Teknik Pengumpulan Data23 164 Teknik Analisis Data23 165 Ruang Lingkup Penelitian24

17 Sistematika Penulisan24 BAB II ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH PERBATASAN

IRAN TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Kepentingan geostrategis AS di Iran26

411 Kepentingan Minyak26 412 Kepentingan Militer30

42 Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200931 421 Rencana Serangan AS ke Iran Dalam Doktrin Bush

Tahun 200231

vii

422 Pembangunan Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200933

423 Operasi Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200940

BAB III PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR IRAN ERA

AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 31 Iran Sebagai Negara Revisionis51

311 Karakter Revisionis Politik Luar Negeri Iran51 312 Konflik Iran-AS53 313 Pembuatan Kebijakan Pengembangan Nuklir Iran57

32 Strategi deterens Iran Terhadap Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200959

321 Pernyataan dan Doktrin Pertahanan Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad59

322 Peningkatan Teknologi Nuklir Iran Tahun 2005-200962 323 Uji Coba Produk Nuklir Iran di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200966 BAB IV HUBUNGAN ANTARA ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN DENGAN PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Korelasi Positif Antara Ancaman Militer AS Di Wilayah

Perbatasan Iran Dengan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-200976

42 Kepentingan Keamanan Nasional Iran era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-2009 78

421 Kepentingan Pertahanan Fisik (physical survival)80 422 Kepentingan Melindungi Perekonomian84 423 Kepentingan Melindungi ideologi85

BAB V PENUTUP Kesimpulan90 Daftar Pustaka93

viii

DAFTAR GAMBAR

Gambar 1 Peta Geostrategis Iran30 Gambar 2 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 2002-200334 Gambar 3 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 200435 Gambar 4 Peta Pembangunan Basis Militer di Perbatasan Iran-Irak

Tahun 200536 Gambar 5 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 200637 Gambar 6 Peta Basis Militer AS di Halabja Irak38 Gambar 7 Peta Basis Militer AS di Shindand Afganistan39 Gambar 8 Perbandingan Jumlah Fasilitas Nuklir Iran Antara

Tahun 2003 dengan Tahun 200663 Gambar 9 Estimasi Daya Jangkau Rudal Balistik Iran74 Gambar 10Grafik Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS

di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran dengan Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Tahun 2005-200977

ix

DAFTAR TABEL Tabel 1 Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200950 Tabel 2 Perbandingan Kekuatan Militer AS dan Iran tahun 2007-200855 Tabel 3 Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Iran era Ahmadinejad75

x

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

UNGKAPAN PRIBADI DAN MOTTO

ldquoMandirilah Maka kamu akan jadi orang merdeka dan maju Cukuplah bantuan Tuhan yang menjadi anutanmu Just going to extra miles Man shabara

zhafirardquo(dikutip dari Novel Negeri 5 Menara karya A Fuadi)

Sebagai rasa syukur atas terselesaikannya skripsi ini maka penulis ingin

mengucapkan rasa terima kasih sebesar-besarnya kepada

1 Allah SWT atas berkat kehidupan untuk saya Alhamdulillah ya Allah

2 Kedua mata kehidupan saya yakni Bapak dan Bunda saya MHerman

Suwadji dan Niniek Bintarto serta saudara saya di keluarga inti Mbak

Eeng Mbak Lina Mas Wiwin Mas Yudo dan adekku Lia Penyandang

besar dana kuliah saya Mr Naveh Milo dan Om Dewo serta seluruh

Keluarga Besar di Gemeh (Denpasar) Malang (Lawang dan Kasembon)

Doa dan harapan serta keberadaan kalian semua sungguh memberi saya

kekuatan untuk menghadapi keadaan sulit saat mengerjakan skripsi ini

3 Kedua pembimbing saya yang terhormat Bapak Gonda Yumitro SIP dan

Bapak Yusli Effendi SIP MA atas arahan dan kesabarannya dalam

membimbing dan mendidik saya untuk menjadi pribadi yang lebih baik

selama proses pengerjaan skripsi ini I was trying to living up the process

Sir Please forgive me for all the bad of me I tried to do my best

Therefore I need to ask you sometimes Jazakumullah ya ustad

4 Segenap staf di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM terutama kepada

Ibu Dyah Estu Kurniawati SSos MSi selaku Ketua Jurusan Hubungan

Internasional UMM Makasih ya Mam atas review-nya Tak lupa juga

v

kepada Bapak Idin Fasisaka MA yang telah bersedia me-review dan

memberikan masukan konstruktif dalam perbaikan skripsi ini

5 Direktur dan Sekretaris ACICIS UMM Bapak Prof HMMasrsquoud Said

PhD dan Bu Isnani Dzuhrina SSos yang telah memberikan kesempatan

menimba pengalaman kerja selama 2 periode berturut-turut di ACICIS

UMM Semoga saya tidak menyalahgunakan kepercayaan dan pengertian

yang telah Pak Masrsquoud dan Ibu Is berikan kepada saya untuk

menyelesaikan skripsi ini di sela-sela tugas kantor Matur nuwun

6 Teman-teman seperjuangan saya di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM

(maaf tidak bisa disebutkan satu persatu disini karena akan sangat banyak

sekali) dan di Carrer Center (Mas Wahyu terima kasih untuk sharing dan

advice untuk skripsiku ya Mas It means a lot for me)

7 Bapak Wahyudi selaku Dekan FISIP UMM dan segenap lingkungan

FISIP UMM terutama para staf TU yang mengingatkan akan ujian skripsi

8 Prof Anak Agung Banyu Perwita Pak Saiful Amien Pak Saiman Pak

Syamsiar Aulia Rahman Pak Muradi Clark Pak Yana Syafrie Ibu Umiati

Jawas dan Ibu Yusnarida Eka Nizmi untuk diskusi dan masukannya terkait

dengan skripsi saya Nice to have chat with you Muchas gracias

9 Sahabat setiaku Diah Septiana di Solo yang selalu bersedia mendengarkan

keluh kesah saya selama mengerjakan skripsi ini You are my best Di

Dan kepada seluruh pihak yang belum atau lupa saya sebutkan disini saya

mohon maaf dan terima kasih atas bantuan serta partisipasinya

Allah yubarik fiik

vi

DAFTAR ISI

Lembar CoverSampul Dalami Lembar Persetujuan Skripsiii Lembar Pengesahaniii Lembar Originalitasiv Ungkapan PribadiMottov Abstraksivii Kata Pengantarix Daftar Isix Daftar Gambarxii Daftar Tabelxiii Daftar Skemaxiv BAB I PENDAHULUAN

11 Latar Belakang Masalah1 12 Rumusan Permasalah5 13 Tujuan Penelitian5 14 Kerangka Pemikiran5

141 Peringkat Analisis7 142 Penelitian Terdahulu7 143 Teori Balance of Threat9 144 Konsep Deterens12 145 Konsep Negara Revisionis13

15 Hipotesis18 16 Metode Penelitian18

161 Konseptualisasi18 1611 Kedekatan Geografis18 1612 Strategi Deterens19 1613 Negara Revisionis21

162 Tipe Penelitian23 163 Teknik Pengumpulan Data23 164 Teknik Analisis Data23 165 Ruang Lingkup Penelitian24

17 Sistematika Penulisan24 BAB II ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH PERBATASAN

IRAN TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Kepentingan geostrategis AS di Iran26

411 Kepentingan Minyak26 412 Kepentingan Militer30

42 Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200931 421 Rencana Serangan AS ke Iran Dalam Doktrin Bush

Tahun 200231

vii

422 Pembangunan Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200933

423 Operasi Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200940

BAB III PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR IRAN ERA

AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 31 Iran Sebagai Negara Revisionis51

311 Karakter Revisionis Politik Luar Negeri Iran51 312 Konflik Iran-AS53 313 Pembuatan Kebijakan Pengembangan Nuklir Iran57

32 Strategi deterens Iran Terhadap Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200959

321 Pernyataan dan Doktrin Pertahanan Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad59

322 Peningkatan Teknologi Nuklir Iran Tahun 2005-200962 323 Uji Coba Produk Nuklir Iran di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200966 BAB IV HUBUNGAN ANTARA ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN DENGAN PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Korelasi Positif Antara Ancaman Militer AS Di Wilayah

Perbatasan Iran Dengan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-200976

42 Kepentingan Keamanan Nasional Iran era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-2009 78

421 Kepentingan Pertahanan Fisik (physical survival)80 422 Kepentingan Melindungi Perekonomian84 423 Kepentingan Melindungi ideologi85

BAB V PENUTUP Kesimpulan90 Daftar Pustaka93

viii

DAFTAR GAMBAR

Gambar 1 Peta Geostrategis Iran30 Gambar 2 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 2002-200334 Gambar 3 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 200435 Gambar 4 Peta Pembangunan Basis Militer di Perbatasan Iran-Irak

Tahun 200536 Gambar 5 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 200637 Gambar 6 Peta Basis Militer AS di Halabja Irak38 Gambar 7 Peta Basis Militer AS di Shindand Afganistan39 Gambar 8 Perbandingan Jumlah Fasilitas Nuklir Iran Antara

Tahun 2003 dengan Tahun 200663 Gambar 9 Estimasi Daya Jangkau Rudal Balistik Iran74 Gambar 10Grafik Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS

di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran dengan Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Tahun 2005-200977

ix

DAFTAR TABEL Tabel 1 Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200950 Tabel 2 Perbandingan Kekuatan Militer AS dan Iran tahun 2007-200855 Tabel 3 Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Iran era Ahmadinejad75

x

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

kepada Bapak Idin Fasisaka MA yang telah bersedia me-review dan

memberikan masukan konstruktif dalam perbaikan skripsi ini

5 Direktur dan Sekretaris ACICIS UMM Bapak Prof HMMasrsquoud Said

PhD dan Bu Isnani Dzuhrina SSos yang telah memberikan kesempatan

menimba pengalaman kerja selama 2 periode berturut-turut di ACICIS

UMM Semoga saya tidak menyalahgunakan kepercayaan dan pengertian

yang telah Pak Masrsquoud dan Ibu Is berikan kepada saya untuk

menyelesaikan skripsi ini di sela-sela tugas kantor Matur nuwun

6 Teman-teman seperjuangan saya di Jurusan Hubungan Internasional UMM

(maaf tidak bisa disebutkan satu persatu disini karena akan sangat banyak

sekali) dan di Carrer Center (Mas Wahyu terima kasih untuk sharing dan

advice untuk skripsiku ya Mas It means a lot for me)

7 Bapak Wahyudi selaku Dekan FISIP UMM dan segenap lingkungan

FISIP UMM terutama para staf TU yang mengingatkan akan ujian skripsi

8 Prof Anak Agung Banyu Perwita Pak Saiful Amien Pak Saiman Pak

Syamsiar Aulia Rahman Pak Muradi Clark Pak Yana Syafrie Ibu Umiati

Jawas dan Ibu Yusnarida Eka Nizmi untuk diskusi dan masukannya terkait

dengan skripsi saya Nice to have chat with you Muchas gracias

9 Sahabat setiaku Diah Septiana di Solo yang selalu bersedia mendengarkan

keluh kesah saya selama mengerjakan skripsi ini You are my best Di

Dan kepada seluruh pihak yang belum atau lupa saya sebutkan disini saya

mohon maaf dan terima kasih atas bantuan serta partisipasinya

Allah yubarik fiik

vi

DAFTAR ISI

Lembar CoverSampul Dalami Lembar Persetujuan Skripsiii Lembar Pengesahaniii Lembar Originalitasiv Ungkapan PribadiMottov Abstraksivii Kata Pengantarix Daftar Isix Daftar Gambarxii Daftar Tabelxiii Daftar Skemaxiv BAB I PENDAHULUAN

11 Latar Belakang Masalah1 12 Rumusan Permasalah5 13 Tujuan Penelitian5 14 Kerangka Pemikiran5

141 Peringkat Analisis7 142 Penelitian Terdahulu7 143 Teori Balance of Threat9 144 Konsep Deterens12 145 Konsep Negara Revisionis13

15 Hipotesis18 16 Metode Penelitian18

161 Konseptualisasi18 1611 Kedekatan Geografis18 1612 Strategi Deterens19 1613 Negara Revisionis21

162 Tipe Penelitian23 163 Teknik Pengumpulan Data23 164 Teknik Analisis Data23 165 Ruang Lingkup Penelitian24

17 Sistematika Penulisan24 BAB II ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH PERBATASAN

IRAN TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Kepentingan geostrategis AS di Iran26

411 Kepentingan Minyak26 412 Kepentingan Militer30

42 Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200931 421 Rencana Serangan AS ke Iran Dalam Doktrin Bush

Tahun 200231

vii

422 Pembangunan Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200933

423 Operasi Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200940

BAB III PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR IRAN ERA

AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 31 Iran Sebagai Negara Revisionis51

311 Karakter Revisionis Politik Luar Negeri Iran51 312 Konflik Iran-AS53 313 Pembuatan Kebijakan Pengembangan Nuklir Iran57

32 Strategi deterens Iran Terhadap Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200959

321 Pernyataan dan Doktrin Pertahanan Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad59

322 Peningkatan Teknologi Nuklir Iran Tahun 2005-200962 323 Uji Coba Produk Nuklir Iran di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200966 BAB IV HUBUNGAN ANTARA ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN DENGAN PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Korelasi Positif Antara Ancaman Militer AS Di Wilayah

Perbatasan Iran Dengan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-200976

42 Kepentingan Keamanan Nasional Iran era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-2009 78

421 Kepentingan Pertahanan Fisik (physical survival)80 422 Kepentingan Melindungi Perekonomian84 423 Kepentingan Melindungi ideologi85

BAB V PENUTUP Kesimpulan90 Daftar Pustaka93

viii

DAFTAR GAMBAR

Gambar 1 Peta Geostrategis Iran30 Gambar 2 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 2002-200334 Gambar 3 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 200435 Gambar 4 Peta Pembangunan Basis Militer di Perbatasan Iran-Irak

Tahun 200536 Gambar 5 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 200637 Gambar 6 Peta Basis Militer AS di Halabja Irak38 Gambar 7 Peta Basis Militer AS di Shindand Afganistan39 Gambar 8 Perbandingan Jumlah Fasilitas Nuklir Iran Antara

Tahun 2003 dengan Tahun 200663 Gambar 9 Estimasi Daya Jangkau Rudal Balistik Iran74 Gambar 10Grafik Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS

di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran dengan Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Tahun 2005-200977

ix

DAFTAR TABEL Tabel 1 Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200950 Tabel 2 Perbandingan Kekuatan Militer AS dan Iran tahun 2007-200855 Tabel 3 Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Iran era Ahmadinejad75

x

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

DAFTAR ISI

Lembar CoverSampul Dalami Lembar Persetujuan Skripsiii Lembar Pengesahaniii Lembar Originalitasiv Ungkapan PribadiMottov Abstraksivii Kata Pengantarix Daftar Isix Daftar Gambarxii Daftar Tabelxiii Daftar Skemaxiv BAB I PENDAHULUAN

11 Latar Belakang Masalah1 12 Rumusan Permasalah5 13 Tujuan Penelitian5 14 Kerangka Pemikiran5

141 Peringkat Analisis7 142 Penelitian Terdahulu7 143 Teori Balance of Threat9 144 Konsep Deterens12 145 Konsep Negara Revisionis13

15 Hipotesis18 16 Metode Penelitian18

161 Konseptualisasi18 1611 Kedekatan Geografis18 1612 Strategi Deterens19 1613 Negara Revisionis21

162 Tipe Penelitian23 163 Teknik Pengumpulan Data23 164 Teknik Analisis Data23 165 Ruang Lingkup Penelitian24

17 Sistematika Penulisan24 BAB II ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH PERBATASAN

IRAN TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Kepentingan geostrategis AS di Iran26

411 Kepentingan Minyak26 412 Kepentingan Militer30

42 Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200931 421 Rencana Serangan AS ke Iran Dalam Doktrin Bush

Tahun 200231

vii

422 Pembangunan Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200933

423 Operasi Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200940

BAB III PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR IRAN ERA

AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 31 Iran Sebagai Negara Revisionis51

311 Karakter Revisionis Politik Luar Negeri Iran51 312 Konflik Iran-AS53 313 Pembuatan Kebijakan Pengembangan Nuklir Iran57

32 Strategi deterens Iran Terhadap Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200959

321 Pernyataan dan Doktrin Pertahanan Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad59

322 Peningkatan Teknologi Nuklir Iran Tahun 2005-200962 323 Uji Coba Produk Nuklir Iran di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200966 BAB IV HUBUNGAN ANTARA ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN DENGAN PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Korelasi Positif Antara Ancaman Militer AS Di Wilayah

Perbatasan Iran Dengan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-200976

42 Kepentingan Keamanan Nasional Iran era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-2009 78

421 Kepentingan Pertahanan Fisik (physical survival)80 422 Kepentingan Melindungi Perekonomian84 423 Kepentingan Melindungi ideologi85

BAB V PENUTUP Kesimpulan90 Daftar Pustaka93

viii

DAFTAR GAMBAR

Gambar 1 Peta Geostrategis Iran30 Gambar 2 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 2002-200334 Gambar 3 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 200435 Gambar 4 Peta Pembangunan Basis Militer di Perbatasan Iran-Irak

Tahun 200536 Gambar 5 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 200637 Gambar 6 Peta Basis Militer AS di Halabja Irak38 Gambar 7 Peta Basis Militer AS di Shindand Afganistan39 Gambar 8 Perbandingan Jumlah Fasilitas Nuklir Iran Antara

Tahun 2003 dengan Tahun 200663 Gambar 9 Estimasi Daya Jangkau Rudal Balistik Iran74 Gambar 10Grafik Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS

di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran dengan Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Tahun 2005-200977

ix

DAFTAR TABEL Tabel 1 Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200950 Tabel 2 Perbandingan Kekuatan Militer AS dan Iran tahun 2007-200855 Tabel 3 Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Iran era Ahmadinejad75

x

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

422 Pembangunan Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200933

423 Operasi Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200940

BAB III PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR IRAN ERA

AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 31 Iran Sebagai Negara Revisionis51

311 Karakter Revisionis Politik Luar Negeri Iran51 312 Konflik Iran-AS53 313 Pembuatan Kebijakan Pengembangan Nuklir Iran57

32 Strategi deterens Iran Terhadap Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 2005-200959

321 Pernyataan dan Doktrin Pertahanan Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad59

322 Peningkatan Teknologi Nuklir Iran Tahun 2005-200962 323 Uji Coba Produk Nuklir Iran di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200966 BAB IV HUBUNGAN ANTARA ANCAMAN MILITER AS DI WILAYAH

PERBATASAN IRAN DENGAN PENGEMBANGAN TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR ERA AHMADINEJAD TAHUN 2005-2009 41 Korelasi Positif Antara Ancaman Militer AS Di Wilayah

Perbatasan Iran Dengan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-200976

42 Kepentingan Keamanan Nasional Iran era Ahmadinejad Tahun 2005-2009 78

421 Kepentingan Pertahanan Fisik (physical survival)80 422 Kepentingan Melindungi Perekonomian84 423 Kepentingan Melindungi ideologi85

BAB V PENUTUP Kesimpulan90 Daftar Pustaka93

viii

DAFTAR GAMBAR

Gambar 1 Peta Geostrategis Iran30 Gambar 2 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 2002-200334 Gambar 3 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 200435 Gambar 4 Peta Pembangunan Basis Militer di Perbatasan Iran-Irak

Tahun 200536 Gambar 5 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 200637 Gambar 6 Peta Basis Militer AS di Halabja Irak38 Gambar 7 Peta Basis Militer AS di Shindand Afganistan39 Gambar 8 Perbandingan Jumlah Fasilitas Nuklir Iran Antara

Tahun 2003 dengan Tahun 200663 Gambar 9 Estimasi Daya Jangkau Rudal Balistik Iran74 Gambar 10Grafik Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS

di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran dengan Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Tahun 2005-200977

ix

DAFTAR TABEL Tabel 1 Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200950 Tabel 2 Perbandingan Kekuatan Militer AS dan Iran tahun 2007-200855 Tabel 3 Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Iran era Ahmadinejad75

x

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

DAFTAR GAMBAR

Gambar 1 Peta Geostrategis Iran30 Gambar 2 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 2002-200334 Gambar 3 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran

Tahun 200435 Gambar 4 Peta Pembangunan Basis Militer di Perbatasan Iran-Irak

Tahun 200536 Gambar 5 Peta Basis Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran Tahun 200637 Gambar 6 Peta Basis Militer AS di Halabja Irak38 Gambar 7 Peta Basis Militer AS di Shindand Afganistan39 Gambar 8 Perbandingan Jumlah Fasilitas Nuklir Iran Antara

Tahun 2003 dengan Tahun 200663 Gambar 9 Estimasi Daya Jangkau Rudal Balistik Iran74 Gambar 10Grafik Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS

di Wilayah Perbatasan Iran dengan Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Tahun 2005-200977

ix

DAFTAR TABEL Tabel 1 Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200950 Tabel 2 Perbandingan Kekuatan Militer AS dan Iran tahun 2007-200855 Tabel 3 Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Iran era Ahmadinejad75

x

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

DAFTAR TABEL Tabel 1 Peningkatan Ancaman Militer AS di Wilayah Perbatasan

Iran Tahun 2005-200950 Tabel 2 Perbandingan Kekuatan Militer AS dan Iran tahun 2007-200855 Tabel 3 Peningkatan Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Iran era Ahmadinejad75

x

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

DAFTAR SKEMA

Skema 1 Alur Pemikiran Penelitian17 Skema 2Definisi Operasional Konsep Kedekatan Geografis19 Skema 3Definisi Operasional Konsep Strategi Deterens21 Skema 4Definisi Operasional Konsep Negara Revisionis22 Skema 5Struktur Politik Iran era Ahmadinejad58

xi

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Buku Art Robert J dan Robert Jervis International Politics Enduring Concept and

Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education Burchill Scott dan Andrew Linklater dkk 1996 Theories of International

Relations USA St Martin Press Buzan Barry 1991 People State amp Fear An Agenda For International Security

Studies in The Post Cold War Era Great Britain Harvester Whatsheaf Dougherty James E dan Robert L Pfaltzgraff Jr Contending Theories of

International Relations A Comprehensive Survey 5th editions United States Addison Wesley Longman

Ehteshami Anoushiravan 2002 ldquoThe Middle East Iran and Israelrdquo dalam Mark Webber dan Michael Smith dkk Foreign Policy in A Transformed World United Kingdom Pearson Education Limited

Elman Colin and Miriam Fendius Elman (eds) 2003 Progress in International Relations Theory Appraising the Field Cambridge The MIT Press

Elman Colin ldquoRealismrdquo dalam Paul DWilliams Paul D Williams (Ed) 2008 Security Studies An Introduction USA Taylor amp Francis

Grygiel Jacub J 2006 Great Powers and Geopolitical Change USA The John Hopkins University Press

Hastedt Glenn P dan Kay M Knickrehm 2003 International Politics in A Changing World United States Pearson Educations Inc

Hobson John M The State and International Relations UK Cambridge University Press

Holsti KJ 1995 International Politics A Framework for Analysis 7th editions New Jersey Prentice Hall Inc

Kahn Herman 1996 ldquoThe Three Types of Deterrencerdquo dalam John A Vasques Classic of International Relations New Jersey Prentice Hall

Lake David A dan Robert Powell 1999 Strategic Choice and International Relations New JerseyPrinceton University Press

Lamborn Alan C dan Joseph Lepgold 2003 World Politics Into The Twenty First Century Unique Context Enduring Patterns New Jersey Pearson Education Inc

Masrsquooed Mohtar 1990 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional Disiplin dan Metodologi PT Pustaka LP3ES Indonesia Jakarta

______________ Studi Hubungan Internasional Tingkat Analisis dan Teorisasi Yogya Pusat Antar Universitas- Studi Sosial Universitas Gajah Mada

Milani Mohsen M 2002 ldquoIranrsquos Ambivalent World Rolerdquo dalam Steven W Cook (Ed) Comparative Foreign Policy Adaptation Strategies of The Great and Emerging Power USA Pearson Education Inc

Papp Daniel S 2001 Contemporary International Relations Framework For Understanding Addison Wesley Longman Inc United States

Rezon Miron ldquoThe Pariah Syndrome The Complexities of The Iranian Predicamentrdquo dalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

xii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

Roskin Michael G dan Nicholas OBerry 2002 ldquoIRThe New World of International Relationsrdquo 5th edition USA Pearson Education Inc

Savory Roger M ldquoReligious Dogma ad the Economic and Political Imperatives of Iranian Foreign Policyrdquodalam Miron Rezon (Ed) Iran At The Crossroad Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade 1990 United States Westview Press

Silalahi Ulber 2009 Metode Penelitian Sosial Bandung Refika Adhitama Spiegel Stephen L dan Fred L Wehling 1999 World Politics in A New Era

USAWadsworth Spector Leonard S 1990 Nuclear AmbitionsThe Spread of Nuclear Weapons

1989-1990 Westview Press A Carniegie Endowment Book SuryabrataSumadi 1997 Metodologi Penelitian Jakarta PT Raja Grafindo

Persada Walt Stephen M 2007 ldquoTaming American Powerrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan

Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

_______________ 2007 ldquoAlliancesBalancing or Bandwagoningrdquo dalam Robert J Art dan Robert Jervis International PoliticsEnduring Consept and Contemporary Issues 8th editions USA Pearson Education

Buku Elektronik Chubin Shahram 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Ambitions Washington D C Carnegie

Endowment for International Peace lthttpwwwbrookingsedupressBooks2006iransnuclearambitionsaspxgtdiakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Kapstein Ethan B dan Michael Mastanduno 1999 Unipolar Politics Realism and State Strategies After The Cold War USA Columbia University Press

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwallacademiccommetap_mla_apa_research_citation17988pages179888p179888-6phpgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Jurnal dan Makalah Elektronik Amuzegar Jahangir 2006 ldquoNuclear Iran Perils and Prospectrdquo Middle East

Policy volXIII no2 Summer 2006 dari lt httpwwwmepcorgjournal_vol130606_Amuzegarpdfgt diakses tanggal 2 Februari 2009

Amirahmadi Hooshang Nuclear Geopolitics in US-Iran Relations The Case For A Big Push Toward Confidence Building Logos A Journal Of Modern Society amp Culture 2008 Vol7 Issue 2 lthttpwwwlogosjournalcomq=naode63gt diakses tanggal 6 Mei 2009

Ansari Ali ldquoIran Under Ahmadinejad Populism And Its Malcontentsrdquo International Affairs 84 4 (2008) Blackwell Publishing LtdThe Royal Institute of International Affairs lthttpwwwuisedunewsbureaueventsIranunderAhmadinejadpdfgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

xiii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

BazerganKayhan ldquoThe Geopolitical Factor in Iranrsquos Foreign Policyrdquo Viewpoints The Iranian Revolutions At 30 Special Editions 29 Januari 2009 lthttpwwwbelfercenterksgharvardedupublication18953geopolitical_factor_in_irans_foreign_policyhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Bowman Bradley L ldquoAfter Iraq Future US Military Posture in the Middle Eastrdquo The Washington 78 Quarterly Spring 2008 lthttpwwwtwqcom08springdocs08spring_bowmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Chossudovsky Michel Americarsquos War on Terrorism Second Edition Global Research 2005lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=4888gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Elman Colin 2004 Theoretical Typologies in the Qualitative Study of International Politics USA Arizona State University dari lthttpwwwasueduclaspoliscicqrmAPSA2004Elmanpdfgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Gause III F Gregory ldquoSystemic Approaches to The Middle East International Relationsrdquo International Studies Review Vol1 No1 1999 dapat diakses di httpwwwjstororgstable3186364

Inbar Effraim ldquoThe Need to Block A Nuclear Iranrdquo Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Vol 10 no1 Maret 2006 lthttpwwwmeriaidcaciljournal2006issuegt diakses tanggal 14 Maret 2009

Kamrava Mehran rdquo29 The United States and Iran A Dangerous But Contained Rivalry The Middle East Institute Policy Brief No 9 Maret Tahun 2008 lthttpwwwmideastiorgfilesThe20United20States20and20Iran-dangerous-but-contained-rivalrypdfgt diakses tanggal 4 Mei 2009

Kaufman Robert G 2007 ldquoIn the Defense of the Bush Doctrinerdquo University Press of Kentucky dalam Wattenberg Ben J The Bush Doctrine Think Tank PBS lthttpwwwpbsorgthinktanktranscript1000html gtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Mansharof Y and A Savyon ldquoIrans Response to Western Warnings lsquoFirst Strike lsquoPreemptive Attack Long-Range Ballistic Missiles lsquoAsymmetric [Guerilla] Warfarerdquo lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=archivesampArea=iaampID=IA40707gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Moshirzadeh Homeira Discursive Foundations of Irans Nuclear Policy lthttpsdisagepubcomcgicontentabstract384521gt diakses tanggal 23

Juni 2009 Pemberton Miriam dan Lawrence Korb Report of the Task Force on A Unified

Security Budget for the United States 2007 lthttpwwwfpiforgfpiftxt3253gt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Schwarz Klaus-Dieter ldquoThe Future of Deterrencerdquo German Institute for International and Security Affairs Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) SWP Research Paper Juni 2005 p 5 diakses dari lthttpwwwswpberlin orgencommonget_documentphpasset_id=2356gt tanggal 3 Juni 2009

xiv

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

Shamkhani ldquoIrans Defense Doctrine And Statementsrdquo MEMRI Special Dispatch No 502 Iranian Defense Minister on Irans Defense Doctrine May 9 2003 lthttpmemriorgbinarticlescgiPage=countriesampArea=iranampID=SP50203gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Yazdan-Fam Mahmoud ldquoPersian Gulf Oil US Challenges and Policiesrdquo The Iranian Journal of International Affairs Vol XX No1111-157 Winter 2007-08 diambil dari lthttpdermfairpdfWinter-2007-08-issuePersian-Gulf-Oil-US-Challenges-and-Policiespdfgt diakses tan ggal 26 Juni 2009

Surat Kabar Anak Agung Banyu Perwita rdquoNuklir Iran dan Keamanan Internasionalrdquo 2006

Kompas 18 April rdquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Bela Program Nuklirrdquo 2005 Kompas 19 September ldquoIran Memulai Program Pengayaan Uraniumrdquo 2006 Kompas 10 Januari ldquoMiliter Iran Bisa Menjangkau Target ASrdquo 2007 Kompas 18 September Situs Internet Abdurrahman Musthafa Dampak Regional dari Pendudukan AS di Irak lthttpwwwkompascoidkompas-cetak031111ln674199htmgt diakses

tanggal 3 Juni 2009 Amir Menashe President-Elect Ahmadinejad Deepens Iranian Nuclear Threat

lthttpwwwisracastcomtranscripts270605b_transhtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

Arkin A-D William 2005 Supplement to Code Names Deciphering US Military Plans Programs and Operations in the 911 World httpwwwapfnnetmessageboard01-24discussioncgi36html diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Bakhtiar Abbas Why The United States Invaded Iraq And Now Is Thinking About Invading Iran Al-Jazeerah May 31 2006 lthttpwwwaljazeerahinfoOpinion20editorials2006htmgt diakses tanggal 27 Juli 2009

Baxter Sarah ldquoPentagon lsquoThree-Day Blitzrsquo Plan for Iranrdquo Sunday Times September 2 2008 lthttpwwwtimesonlinecouk

tolnewsworldarticle1909896eceprint=yesgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009 Bennett Richard M A Reality Check on Iran and The Bomb

lthttpwwwatimescomatimesMiddle_EastKB28Ak01htmlgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Broad William J dan David E Sanger Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon

lthttpwwwnytimescom20081120worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2amphpamporef=slogingt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

xv

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

Chossudovsky Michel Theater Iran Near Term (TIRANNT)rdquo Global Research 21 Februari 2007 lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Crail Peter Iran Missile Tests Heighten International Concerns Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies lthttpwwwwmdinsightscomI11I11_ME1_IranMissilehtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Deckel Yaron ldquoInterview of the President by Israeli Television Channel 1rdquo Israeli TV Channel 1 Bush Ranch Crawford Texas August 11 2005 lthttpwwwacronymorgukdocs0508doc04gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) September 30 2004 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs09militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) December 30 2005 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2006 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2007 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Department Of Defense Active Duty Military Personnel Strengths By Regional Area And By Country (309a) 2008 lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1232militarypersonnelpdfgt diakses tanggal 23 juni 2009

Feng Liu dan Zhang Ruizhuang ldquoThe Typologies of Realismrdquo diakses dari ltwwwirchinaorgennewsviewaspid=408gt diakses tanggal 28 Juni 2009

Hoch Christopher ICE Case Studies The Strait of Hormuz Potential for Conflict lthttpwww1americaneduTEDicehormuzhtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Inbar Efraim Deterring the Iranian Nuclear Threat Jerusalem Post December 4 2005 lthttpwwwbiuacilSOCbesaefraim_inbaroped041205docgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Isenberg David US Military amp Iran -- Part 6 lthttpwwwcatoorgpub_displayphppub_id=8865gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

Jeffery Simon Where Is The Programme At Now lthttpwwwiissorgwhats-newiiss-in-the-presspress-coverage-2006april-2006qa-irans-nuclear-programmegt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xvi

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

Katzman Kenneth Iran US Concerns and Policy Responses 2006 lthttpwwwcrsorggt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

Millar Alistair ldquoNext Stop Iranrdquo ltwwwiranexpertcom2003nextstopiran15decemberhtmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

North Andrew All Quiet On Afghanistans Western Front lthttpnewsbbccouk2hisouth_asia4371413stmgt diakses tanggal 3 Juni

2009 Novosti Ria Russian Intelligence Sees US Military Buildup on Iran Border

lthttpwwwinformationclearinghouseinfoarticle19640htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Perl Raphael The Department of Statersquos Patterns of Global Terrorism Report Trends State Sponsors and Related Issues 2004 lthttpwwwfasorgirpcrsRL32417pdfgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Rogers Paul 2006 Iran Consequences of A War lthttpwwwoxfordresearchgrouporggt diakses tanggal 1 April 2009

Synovitz Ron Eurasia Insight Us Building Military Base Near Iraqi-Iranian Border lthttpwwweurasianetorgdepartmentsinsightarticlespp093007shtmlgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Squassoni Sharon 2006 Iranrsquos Nuclear Program Recent Developments lthttpwwwiaeaorggt diakses tanggal 12 Februari 2009

Pasakhanlou Arash Heydarian Comparing and Contrasting Classical Realism and Neo-Realism dari lthttpwwwe-irinfop=1921gt diakses tanggal 28 Agustus 2009

Pincus Walter ldquoUS Planning Upgrade At Base Near Iranian Borderrdquo The Washington Post diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009 dari lthttpwwwsignonsandiegocomuniontrib20080506news_1n6basehtmlgt

Sanger David E lthttpwwwnytimescom20090220worldmiddleeast20nukehtml_r=2gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

SRES1769 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1737 (2006)Non Proliferation SRES1747 (2007)Non Proliferation SRES1803(2008) Non Proliferation SRES1810 (2008) Non Proliferation of Weapon of Mass Destruction SRES1835 (2008) Non Proliferation lthttpwwwunorgDocsscunsc_resolutionshtmlgt diakses tanggal 4 Maret 2009

Sadjadpour Karim ldquoIrans PoliticalNuclear Ambitions and US Policy Optionsrdquo lthttpwwwcrisisgrouporghomeindexcfmid=4143gt diakses tanggal 16 September 2009

Spector Leonard S Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze of Weapons-Relevant Activities Described in New US National Intelligence Estimate lthttpcnsmiisedustories071206htmgt diakses tanggal 4 Juni 2009

xvii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

StrangeLove US Armada EnRoute Iran lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarynews200702070228-casualtypdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

The White House National Security Strategy of the United States of America lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Zahedi Dariush dan Omid Memarian Ahmadinejad Iran and America lthttpwwwopendemocracynetdemocracyirandemocracyelection_ahmadinejad_4248jspgt diakses tanggal 16 Agustus 2009

Walt Stephen M 1987 Origins of Alliances Ithaca Cornell University Press dari lthttpwwwpeoplefasharvardedu~plamirnotes07Walt1987pdfgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Agresi Militer Bush Berencana Serang Iran Senin 2 Januari 2006 lthttpwwwsuarakarya-onlinecomnewshtmlid=131539gt diakses tanggal 16 Februari 2009

American-Iranian Relations A Code Of Conduct And Guide For Action lthttpwwwarmscontrolcenterorgpolicyiranarticles070708_us_iran_military_capabilitiesgt diakses tanggal 23 April 2009

Ayatollah Vows Irans Nuclear Program Will Go On The Associated Press 3 Juni 2008 lthttpwwwisnairMainNewsViewaspxID=News-603209gt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Balance Of Threat lthttpwwwnationmastercomencyclopediaBalance-of-Threatgt diakses tanggal 25 Mei 2009

Balance of Threat lthttpwwwabsoluteastronomycomtopicsBalance_of_threatgt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Bush US Probes Possible Iran Links To 911 CNN July 20 2004 lthttpwwwcnncomgt diakses tanggal 2 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Criticizes Iran Election Process as Unfairrdquo Reuters June 16 2005 dalam Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaarticlesJEN502Ahtmlgt diakses tanggal 5 Juni 2009

ldquoBush Declares Solidarity With Europe On Iran MSNBC February 18 2005 lthttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid6992154gt diakses tanggal 7 Mei 2009

CIA The World Fact Book lthttpwwwciagovlibrarypublicationsthe-world-factbookgeosushtmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

Doctrine lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgwmdworldirandoctrinehtmgt diakses tanggal 3 April 2009

Dibalik Latihan Militer Berulang-kali Iran lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Hoot Jenis Torpedo Bawah Laut Tercepat di Dunia lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses 30 Mei 2009

Excerpts of Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 Middle East Iran lthttpwwwamericagovsttexttrans-

xviii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

nglish2009May20090504173250eaifas08747217htmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0207pdfgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpwwwiaeaorgPublicationsDocumentsBoard2008gov2008-87pdfgt diakses tanggal 24 Juni 2009

Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran lthttpfasorgnukeguideirannukeiaea0209pdfgt diakses 11 Mei 2009

International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis lthttpcnsmiiseduiranreactiongt diakses tanggal 22 Mei 2009

Irans Defense Plans dari lthttpwwweaglespeakus200807irans-defense-planshtmgtdiakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Irans Critical Geo-Strategic Environment lthttpazadeganirancomGeoStrategicaspgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Iraq Report Securing the Border

lthttpwwwweeklystandardcomweblogsTWSFP200709iraq_report_securing_the_bordeaspgt diakses tanggal 28 Mei 2009

Iran US Air Base Being Built Near Iranian Border lthttpwwwadnkronoscomAKIEnglishSecurityid=102435636429gt diakses tanggal 3 juni 2009

ldquoIran Declares Nuclear Advancerdquo The Washington Post April 12 2006 lthttpwwwwashigtonpostcom gt diakses tanggal 23 Mei 2009

Iranian Politics 101 The Graphic Version lthttpwwwthetradingreportcom20090613iranian-politics-101-the-graphic-versiongt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Iran Timeline March to A War httpwwwteachpeacecomIranpdf diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009Map of Iran lthttpwwwworldatlascomwebimagecountrysmehtmgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

Iran Uji Coba Rudal Bawah Air Tercepat lthttpwwwgatracom2006-04-03artikelphpid=93458gt 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Defense Planslt httpwwweaglespeakus200607irans-defense-planshtmlgt diakses 20 Februari 2009

IRGC In Manouevers Held In 2006 IRNA 4 April 2006 lthttpwwwirnairennewsviewline-170604049859171922htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Irans Power of Deterrence lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=viewArticleampcode=CHO20061105amparticleId=3713gt diakses tanggal 4 April 2009

Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought William J Broad and Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

xix

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

Iran Tests Missiles in Exercise lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iran Uji Coba Peluncuran Rudal Baru Dilaut Oman lthttpwebpab-indonesiacomcontentview209869gt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

Iran Satellite Launch Raises ICBM Concernslt httpwwwnewyork-timescomgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Iranrsquos Balistic Missile Program An Overview lthttpfasorgnukeguideiranmissileindexhtmlgt diakses tanggal 11 Mei 2009

Map of US Facilities in Middle East lthttpwwwaporgus_facilities_middleeastgt diakses tanggal 8 juni 2009

Map of US Global US Military Bases 2008

lthttpwwwglobalpolicyorgimagespdfs1030globalbasespdfgt diakses tanggal 8 Juni 2009

Militer Iran Mulai Latihan Perang di Teluk Persia

lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Neorealism and New Life for Realism Kenneth Waltz di lthttpwwwuni-muensterdePolitikwissenschaftDoppeldiplomdocsNeorealismpdfgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Oil lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsIranOilhtmlgtdiakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009 Operation Enduring Freedom Participants

lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibraryreportcrsRL31152pdfgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Pesan bagi Kekuatan Lintas Regional lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Persiapan Iran menghadapi Invasi Amerika lthttpforum detikcomarchiveindexphpt-48255htmlgt diakses tanggal 16 Mei 2009

ldquoPresidential Address to the Nation October 7 2001 White House Archives lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases200110print20011007-8htmlgt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

Strait of Hormuz lthttpwwweiadoegovcabsWorld_Oil_Transit_ChokepointsHormuzhtmlgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

The Bush Administration US Public Diplomacy and Iran lthttpwwwstategovpusrm200662779htmgt diakses tanggal 26 Juni 2009

The IR Theory Knowledge Base Realism Defensive Realism Offensive Realism lthttpwwwirtheorycomknowhtmgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

Tehran Reaction to Military Threats lthttpirancoveragecom20080629tehran-reaction-to-military-threatsgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

xx

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

Uji coba Ketiga Rudal dari Udara ke Laut di hari Keenam Latihan lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt 30 Mei 2009

Ujicoba Rudal Balistik Terbaru Bernama Kautsar lthttpindonesiancricn120070208158601htmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

Update ndash The Impasse Continues lthttpwwwspacedailycomreportsIran_builds_new_longer-range_missile_999htmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

Uji Coba Peluru Kendali Jarak Menengah Iran Sejil-2 lthttperabaruorid200905252493uji-coba-rudal-iran-menjelang-pemiluhtmlgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military National Security Strategy Report-September 2002 lthttpwwwwhitehousegovnscnss2006nss2006pdfgt dan lthttpwwwglobalsecurityorgmilitarylibrarypolicynationalnss-020920htmgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

US Military Bases Around Iran in 2001-2002 lthttpwwwstopthewarnownetiranmapshtmlgt diakses tanggal 12 Juni 2009

US Plans Base On Iraq-Iran Border lthttpnewsbbccouk2himiddle_east6987306stmgt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Military Bases on Iran-Iraq Border lthttpwwwpresstvirdetailaspxid=63993ampsectionid=351020101gt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

US Preparation in Attacking Iran lthttpwwwglobalresearchcaindexphpcontext=vaampaid=5322gt diakses tanggal 30 Mei 2009

US Building Big Army Base Near Iran Border dari lthttpwwwrensecomgeneral60USbuildingbigarmybasehtmgt diakses tanggal 26 Mei 2009

USCENTCOM lthttpwwwmilnetcommilnetpentagoncentcomchap1stratgichtmUSPolicygt diakses tanggal 13 Juni 2009

US Plans to Attack Iran lthttpintelligencehousegovMediaPDFSIranReport082206v2pdfgt diakses tanggal 29 Mei 2009

What is Important Strait in The World lthttpwwwbigsiteofamazingfactscomwhats-the most-important-strait-in-the-worldgt diakses tanggal 17 Juni 2009

ldquoWe Are Determined 2006 lthttpwwwiran-press-servicecomipsarticles-2006may- 2006ahmadi-31506shtmlgt diakses tanggal 23 Juni 2009

World Military Spending lthttpwwwglobalissuesorgarticle75world-military-spendinggt diakses tanggal 22 Juni 2009

lthttpgeorgewbush-whitehousearchivesgovnewsreleases20081220081217-5htmlgt diakses tanggal 1 Juni 2009

xxi

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii

lthttpindonesianiribirindexphpoption=com_contentamptask=viewampid=1238ampItemid=26gt diakses tanggal 3 Juni 2009

lthttpwww2iribirworldservicemelayuRadiolapsussenjatasenjata_iranhtmgt diakses tanggal 6 Juni 2009

lthttpwwwrferlorgreportsiran-report2006037-030306aspgt diakses tanggal 27 Agustus 2009

Skripsi dan Disertasi Heriyanto Yayak 2007 Politik Luar Negeri Iran Dalam Upaya Menjaga

Kepentingan Nasional (1979-2006) Studi Kasus Tentang Pengembangan Teknologi Nuklir Dalam Memenuhi Kebutuhan Energi Iran Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411110amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Sakinah Destri Nur 2006 Kepentingan Iran Mengembangkan Kembali Program Nuklirnya Thesis Jakarta Universitas Indonesia lthttptesispdiilipigoidtesiscgidaftaramp1180411019amp1ampampgt diakses tanggal 8 Mei 2009

Schimdt Oliver 2008 ldquoUnderstanding and Analysing Iranrsquos Nuclear Intentions Testing Scott Saganrsquos Argument of rdquoWhy Do States Build Nuclear Weaponrdquo Disertasi Master of Art in International Relations of Politics and International Relations UK Lancaster University

xxii