What if Scenarios...
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What if…• Coup based on theory of probabilities
Sedat Bozkurt [email protected] The New Anatolian 30 November 2006 Zeyno Baran, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute, wrote a commentary published in Newsweek International where she claimed Turkey had a 50 percent chance of seeing a military coup next year. The piece, which appeared in a foreign journal and was written by Baran, who is known to be in close contact with power circles in the U.S., drew much attention and has sparked a tense debate.
WHAT IF…• A coup threat?
Ilnur Cevik [email protected] The New Anatolian 30 November 2006 Someone seems to have pulled a fast one on the Newsweek magazine, suggesting that there is a 50 percent chance of a military coup in Turkey for 2007. Yes, it is true that in relative terms the Turkish military leaders have become more vocal in the past few months since new Chief of Staff Gen. Yasar Buyukanit took office. It is also true that some people feel the ruling Justice and Development Party (AK Party) with its huge parliamentary majority in a position to dominate the elections for the new president and thus has to be stopped at all costs and a coup would really do the job. But none of these really could create the conditions that would justify or lead to a military takeover of any kind.