Vascular plant diversity and climate change in the alpine zone of the Snowy Mountains, Australia
Transcript of Vascular plant diversity and climate change in the alpine zone of the Snowy Mountains, Australia
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Vascular plant diversity and climate change in theupper zone of Sierra Nevada, SpainM. R Fernández Calzado a , J. Molero Mesa a , A. Merzouki a & M. Casares Porcel aa Faculty of Pharmacy, Department of Botany, University of Granada, Campus de Cartuja,18071, Granada, SpainAccepted author version posted online: 13 Jul 2012.Version of record first published: 17 Aug2012.
To cite this article: M. R Fernández Calzado, J. Molero Mesa, A. Merzouki & M. Casares Porcel (2012): Vascular plant diversityand climate change in the upper zone of Sierra Nevada, Spain, Plant Biosystems - An International Journal Dealing with allAspects of Plant Biology: Official Journal of the Societa Botanica Italiana, 146:4, 1044-1053
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Vascular plant diversity and climate change in the upper zone ofSierra Nevada, Spain
M. R. FERNANDEZ CALZADO, J. MOLERO MESA, A. MERZOUKI, &
M. CASARES PORCEL
Faculty of Pharmacy, Department of Botany, University of Granada, Campus de Cartuja, 18071, Granada, Spain
AbstractThis study examines the effects of altitudinal, temperature and aspect gradients on vascular plant species richness onmountain tops in Sierra Nevada (Spain) at different spatial scales (1 m2 quadrats, plot clusters of 4 m2, upper summit areadown to the 5-m contour line, entire summit down to the 10-m contour line). The methodology follows the GlobalObservation Research Initiative in Alpine Environments (GLORIA) programme. Floristic and soil temperature data of eightsummits sites in two neighbouring regions of the high part of Sierra Nevada (from 2668 m to 3327 m a.s.l.) were used in thisstudy. In total, 102 taxa were recorded (84 genera; 29 families). The species richness decreased, whereas the proportion ofendemic taxa increased with elevation. There were significant linear relationships between species richness and altitude andaverage soil temperature at each spatial scale. However, there was no significant relationship between species richness andaspect variables. Facing continued climate change, the high-altitude flora of Sierra Nevada is expected to be particularlyvulnerable and prone to warming-induced biodiversity losses due to the high proportion of endemic taxa, ranging from 23%at lower elevations up to 67% at higher ones.
Keywords: Altitude gradient, biodiversity, climate change, endemics plants, mountain, temperature
Introduction
Since the last century, the influence of climate change
on local-large scale biodiversity pattern has been
emphasized by several studies. Warming-induced
species migrations lead to latitudinal and altitudinal
shifts in species’ distribution ranges and may result in
species extinctions, especially in highly fragmented
ecosystems (Ozenda & Borel 1991; Grabherr et al.
1994; Hansen et al. 2001; Houghton et al. 2001;
Pearson & Dawson 2003; Araujo et al. 2005a,b;
Broennimann et al. 2006; Thuiller et al. 2006).
In this context, high mountain regions are of
particular interest as they usually harbour small-
scaled and fragmented ecosystems and, in some
regions, species with strongly restricted distribution
ranges (Nagy & Grabherr 2009). High mountain
areas appear to be very suitable places to study
the impacts of current climate change on natural
ecosystems. This is because they exhibit steep
ecological gradients and narrow ecotones dominated
by abiotic factors in relation to climate conditions,
and scarce anthropogenic disturbance compared to
lower altitudes (Theurillat 1995; Grabherr et al.
1994, 2001; Korner 1994, 2002; Pauli et al. 1996,
2004; Dullinger et al. 2007). Therefore, the long-
term monitoring programme GLORIA (Global
Observation Research Initiative in Alpine Environ-
ments: www.gloria.ac.at) was initiated at the turn of
the century.
The field work of GLORIA started in 2001 by
applying a common monitoring protocol in summit
areas of 18 European mountain regions with Sierra
Nevada among them. This protocol involved the
recording of the composition and cover of vascular
plant species and soil temperatures (Grabherr et al.
2000; Pauli et al. 2003, 2004). The peculiarities of
the highest zone of Sierra Nevada (geographical
location, Mediterranean climate, high floristic biodi-
versity and endemism rate) and its being considered
as one of the most sensible and vulnerable zones to
climate change effects in Spain (Fernandez-Gonzalez
et al. 2005) motivated us to extend the number of
summit sites (Molero Mesa et al. 2009). Currently,
Correspondence: M. R. Fernandez Calzado, Department of Botany, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Granada, Campus de Cartuja, 18071, Granada, Spain.
Tel: 0034 607 678 047. Fax: 0034 958 243 916. Email: [email protected]
Plant Biosystems, Vol. 146, No. 4, December 2012, pp. 1044–1053
ISSN 1126-3504 print/ISSN 1724-5575 online ª 2012 Societa Botanica Italiana
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/11263504.2012.710273
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Sierra Nevada has eight summit sites distributed over
two neighbouring regions within Sierra Nevada’s
upper zone.
The aim of this article was to analyse the effect of
altitude on vascular plant species richness at different
spatial scales by using data from standardized
GLORIA plots established on summit sites of
different elevations. In particular, we aim to deter-
mine if there are correlations between species
richness and distribution (endemic vs. more wide-
spread species) altitude and average soil temperature.
Possible implications of climate warming for biodi-
versity conservation are discussed.
Study area
The Sierra Nevada is part of the Baetic Cordillera of
southern Spain, and stretches over about 90 km in
the west-east direction (Figure 1). Its altitude
exceeds any other part of the Baetic Cordillera by
41100 m, with numerous summits above 3000 m
a.s.l., including the highest peak on the Iberian
Peninsula (Mulhacen, 3481 m).
Figure 1. Location of the Sierra Nevada mountain (Spain) and sampling summits.
Diversity and climate change in Sierra Nevada (Spain) 1045
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Eight summits, assembled in two neighbouring
regions (target regions) of the high part of Sierra
Nevada, were selected and permanently marked
(Figure 1), using criteria specified in the GLORIA
field manual (Pauli et al. 2004). The Sierra Nevada
west target region (coded ES-SNE) is situated in the
central-occidental zone of the range, with four
summit sites: Machos (MAC) 3327 m; Tosal Car-
tujo (TCA) 3150 m; Cupula (CUP) 2968 m and
Pulpitito (PUL) 2778 m. The second target region,
Sierra Nevada northeast (coded ES-SNN), is located
in the oriental part of the high Sierra Nevada, also
with four summit sites: Cuervo (CUE) 3144 m;
Diegisa (DIE) 2800 m; Miron (MIR) 2717 m and
Monte Rosa (MOR) 2668 m. Species data from the
ES-SNE sites were from 2001, and those from the
ES-SNN sites from 2004 to 2006.
All of the summits are exposed to the same local
climate, namely a Mediterranean bioclimate in its
pluviseasonal oceanic variant (Rivas-Martınez et al.
2007), with a pronounced summer drought at all
altitudes and with precipitation occurring almost
exclusively as snow during winter at altitudes above
2500 m. They also have similar siliceous bedrock
except for PUL, having a less acidic substrate. The
vegetation changes between the lower summits (i.e.
PUL or MOR) where dwarf shrub communities are
predominant in the landscape, and in the highest
summits such us MAC, TCA, CUE, where the
vegetation is composed of scattered psycroxerophytic
grasses and scree plants.
Materials and methods
Sampling design
The sampling design and the recording methods
follow the GLORIA field manual (Pauli et al. 2004).
Firstly, the survey area on each summit was defined
as a polygon with four corners, at each point of the
compass (N, S, E and W), and at an altitude
difference of 5 m form the highest summit point
(HSP) and a lower area extending from five vertical
metres below the summit to 10 vertical metres below
the summit. Intersection lines from the HSP to the
NE, SE, SW and NW directions resulted in eight
summit area sections (SASs; four upper and four
lower ones). Recording in each SAS included a
complete list of all vascular plants species, and
visually estimated percentage top cover of surface
types such as total vegetation cover (vascular plants),
solid rock, scree, etc.
Secondly, to evaluate the quantitative floristic
compositions at each aspect, four quadrat clusters
(3 m63 m resulting in nine 1-m2 quadrats) were
established at each cardinal direction (N, E, S, W).
The vegetation sampling (vascular plant species
and their percentage cover) was recorded in the
four corners-quadrats of each 3 m63 m quadrat
cluster.
Thirdly, data-loggers (StowAway TidbiT, Onset
Corporation, MA, USA) were installed at 10 cm
below the surface in each central quadrat in the
3 m63 m quadrat clusters, to measure the soil
temperature every hour. Temperature was recorded
from August 2001 to July 2008 in the ES-SNE target
region, and from October 2005 to March 2008 in the
ES-SNN target region.
Data analysis
The effect of aspect and altitude on species richness
at each spatial scale, i.e. (1 m2 and 4 m2 of one plot
cluster in the upper summit area (from the top down
to the 5-m level), and the entire summit area (from
the top to the 10-m level) was tested by Analysis of
Covariance (ANCOVA) with altitude as the covari-
ate. Linear regression was used to analyse the
relation between species richness, altitude and
average soil temperature. Both analyses were per-
formed using the statistical package SPSS.
Flora Iberica (Castroviejo et al. 1986–2009) and
regional floras (Molero Mesa & Perez-Raya 1987;
Molero Mesa et al. 1996) were used as references to
define the distribution and the altitudinal ranges of
species.
Soil temperature data (hourly time series from
October 2006 to September 2007) were used in this
analysis as mean annual temperature. This was the
first time period in which vegetation sampling was
done on all eight summits.
Results
Species richness and life forms
The total number of vascular plants species of all
eight summit sites (entire summit areas down to the
10-m contour line) was 102, belonging to 84 genera
(Table I). It was impossible to distinguish the species
in five genera (Cerastium, Rumex, Viola, Veronica and
Helictotrichon) across different summits on the ES-
SNN. The taxa are included within 29 families, the
most common being the typical Mediterranean
families such as Asteraceae (17 species), Poaceae
(15), Brassicaceae (11) and Caryophyllaceae (10).
The altitudinal distribution of the species found on
the eight GLORIA summits in Sierra Nevada range
from almost sea level to a maximum altitude of
around 3500 m a.s.l., but shows a pronounced peak
between 2500 and 3000 m (Figure 2). The total
vascular plant species richness on the study summits
decreased with increasing elevation, with the excep-
tion of MIR (2717 m) and CUP (2968 m), which
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Table I. List of vascular plant taxa on the eight GLORIA summits in Sierra Nevada.
Type taxon Taxon name Family Life form Distribution
subsp. Acinos alpinus subsp. meridionalis Lamiaceae Ch Eu-N
subsp. Aethionema saxatile subsp. marginatum Brassicaceae Ch Eu-N
S Agrostis nevadensis Poaceae He_g Ne
S Alyssum nevadense Brassicaceae He_ng Ne
subsp. Androsace vitaliana subsp. nevadensis Primulaceae Ch Ne
S Andryala agardhii Asteraceae He_ng Be
subsp. Anthyllis vulneraria subsp. pseudoarundana Fabaceae He_ng Ne
S Arenaria armerina Caryophyllaceae Ch Ib-N
S Arenaria grandiflora Caryophyllaceae He_ng Eu-N
S Arenaria pungens Caryophyllaceae Ch Be
subsp. Arenaria tetraquetra subsp. amabilis Caryophyllaceae Ch Ne
S Artemisia granatensis Asteraceae Ch Ne
subsp. Asperula aristata subsp. scabra Rubiaceae He_ng Eu-N
S Asplenium septentrionale Aspleniaceae He_ng Others
subsp. Astragalus nevadensis subsp.nevadensis Fabaceae Ch Be
S Avenella iberica Poaceae He_g Ib
S Biscutella glacialis Brassicaceae He_ng Ne
S Bromus tectorum Poaceae Te Others
subsp. Campanula rotundifolia subsp. hispanica Campanulaceae He_ng Eu
subsp. Carduus carlinoides subsp. hispanicus Asteraceae He_ng Ne
G Cerastium sp. Caryophyllaceae Te
S Cerastium ramosissimum Caryophyllaceae Te Others
S Chaenorhinum glareosum Scrophulariaceae He_ng Ne
S Cirsium gregarium Asteraceae He_ng Be
subsp. Coincya monensis subsp. nevadensis Brassicaceae He_ng Ne
S Crepis oporinoides Asteraceae Ch Be
subsp. Cystopteris fragilis subsp. fragilis Athyriaceae He_ng Others
S Cuscuta planiflora Convolvulaceae Te Others
S Dactylis juncinella Poaceae He_g Ne
subsp. Dianthus pungens subsp. brachyanthus Caryophyllaceae Ch Ib-N
subsp. Digitalis purpurea subsp. purpurea Scrophulariaceae He_ng Eu-N
subsp. Draba hispanica subsp. laderoi Brassicaceae Ch Ne
S Erigeron frigidus Asteraceae He_ng Ne
S Erigeron major Asteraceae He_ng Be
S Erodium cheilanthifolium Geraniaceae Ch Be
S Erophila verna Brassicaceae Te Others
S Erysimum nevadense Brassicaceae He_ng Be
S Eryngium glaciale Apiaceae He_ng Ib-N
S Euphorbia nevadensis Euphorbiaceae Ch Ib
S Euphrasia willkommii Scrophulariaceae Te Ib-N
S Festuca clementei Poaceae He_g Ne
S Festuca indigesta Poaceae He_g Ib-N
S Festuca pseudeskia Poaceae He_g Ne
S Galium nevadense Rubiaceae He_ng Ib-N
S Galium pyrenaicum Rubiaceae Ch Ib
S Galium rosellum Rubiaceae He_ng Be
S Genista versicolor Fabaceae Ch Be
G Helictotrichon sp. Poaceae He_g
S Herniaria boissieri Caryophyllaceae Ch Be
S Hieracium castellanum Asteraceae He_ng Eu
S Holcus caespitosus Poaceae He_g Ne
S Hormathophylla spinosa Brassicaceae Ch Eu-N
subsp. Iberis carnosa subsp. embergeri Brassicaceae He_ng Ne
subsp. Jasione crispa subsp. tristis Campanulaceae Ch Ne
subsp. Juniperus communis subsp. hemisphaerica Cupressaceae Ph Others
S Juniperus sabina Cupressaceae Ph Others
S Jurinea humilis Asteraceae He_ng Eu-N
S Koeleria crassipes subsp. nevandensis Poaceae He_g Ne
subsp. Lactuca perennis subsp. granatensis Asteraceae He_ng Be
S Leontodon boryi Asteraceae He_ng Be
S Lepidium stylatum Brassicaceae He_ng Ne
S Leucanthemopsis pectinata Asteraceae Ch Ne
(continued)
Diversity and climate change in Sierra Nevada (Spain) 1047
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showed slightly higher numbers of species than the
lowest sites.
The life form spectrum over all sites revealed the
predominant role of hemicryptophytes (52 taxa: 13
graminoid and 39 non graminoid) and chamaephytes
(36 taxa) (Table I). Hemicryptophytes grow in
number with increasing altitude reaching 55.6% in
MAC, whereas chamaephytes have similar percen-
tages on the eight summits. The number of taxa
belonging to the phanerophytes declines along the
elevation gradient, becoming absent on the three
highest summits, while therophytes occurr on all the
summits, except at the highest one, with percentages
ranging between 1.9% and 20%.
Biogeographic elements and endemism
Out of the total number of vascular plant species
(except for the five unidentified ones), 35% are
endemic to Sierra Nevada (Ne), 16% to the Baetic
range of southern Spain (Be), 9% are restricted to
the Iberian Peninsula (Ib) and 7% are present in the
Iberian Peninsula and in North Africa (Ib-N), 5%
are more widely distributed in Europe (Eu) and 9%
in Europe as well as in North Africa (Eu-N). The
remaining taxa (Others, 17%) have an even wider
distribution (compare Table I).
The proportion of taxa from each of the seven
biogeographic elements on a summit varied with
Table I. (Continued).
Type taxon Taxon name Family Life form Distribution
S Linaria nevadensis Scrophulariaceae He_ng Ne
S Logfia arvensis Asteraceae Te Eu
subsp. Lotus corniculatus subsp. glacialis Fabaceae Ch Ne
S Luzula hispanica Juncaceae He_ng Ib
S Myosotis minutiflora Borraginaceae Te Others
S Nevadensia purpurea Brassicaceae He_ng Ne
S Plantago nivalis Plantaginaceae He_ng Ne
S Plantago holosteum Plantaginaceae Ch Eu
subsp. Nepeta amethystina subsp. laciniata Lamiaceae Ch Ne
S Paronychia polygonifolia Caryophyllaceae Ch Others
S Pimpinella procumbens Apiaceae He_ng Ne
S Poa ligulata Poaceae He_g Ib-N
subsp. Poa minor subsp. nevadensis Poaceae He_g Ne
S Poa nemoralis Poaceae He_g Eu
S Prunus prostrata Rosaceae Ch Others
S Polygonum aviculare Polygonaceae Te Others
S Potentilla reuteri Rosaceae He_ng Be
S Rhamnus pumila Rhamnaceae Ch Eu-N
S Ranunculus demissus Ranunculaceae He_ng Others
S Reseda complicata Resedaceae Ch Ne
G Rumex sp. Polygonaceae Te
S Saxifraga granulata Saxifragaceace He_ng Others
S Saxifraga nevadensis Saxifragaceace Ch Ne
S Scutellaria javalambrensis Lamiaceae He_ng Ib
S Sedum amplexicaule Crassulaceae Ch Others
S Sedum dasyphyllum Crassulaceae Ch Eu-N
S Sempervivum minutum Crassulaceae Ch Be
S Senecio boissieri Asteraceae Ch Ib
S Senecio nebrodensis Asteraceae He_ng Ib
subsp. Senecio pyrenaicus subsp. granatensis Asteraceae Ch Be
S Sideritis glacialis Lamiaceae Ch Ne
S Silene boryi Caryophyllaceae He_ng Ib
S Solidago virgaurea Asteraceae He_ng Others
S Teucrium aureum subsp. angustifolium Lamiaceae Ch Ib
S Thymus serpylloides Lamiaceae Ch Ne
S Trisetum glaciale Poaceae He_g Ne
S Urtica dioica Urticaceae Ch Others
G Veronica sp. Scrophulariaceae Te
G Viola sp. Violaceae Te
S Viola crassiuscula Violaceae He_ng Ne
Notes: Type of taxon: S¼ species; G¼ genus; subsp.¼ subspecies. Life form: Ph¼ phanerophytes, Ch¼ chamaephytes, He_g¼ graminoid
hemicryptophytes, He_ng¼non graminoid hemicryptophytes, Ge¼ geophytes, Te¼ therophytes. Distribution: Ne¼Nevadense (restricted
to Sierra Nevada); Be¼Baetican; Ib¼ Iberian; Ib-N¼ Iberian-North African; Eu¼European; Eu-N¼European-North African;
Others¼more widely distributed.
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altitude (Figure 3). The pattern of restricted Sierra
Nevada taxa is striking because these increase almost
perfectly along the elevation gradient, whereas the
other biogeographic elements show a more indiffer-
ent pattern.
Altitude, aspect and temperatures
Species richness on the study summits decreases
with increasing elevation, varying from 39 on the
lowest summit (MOR 2668 m) to 18 on the highest
one (MAC 3327 m, Table II). If we consider our
two target regions separately (ES-SNN, ES-SNE),
species richness shows a pronounced peak at middle
altitudes: between 2700 and 2800 m for the first one,
and 2900 and 3000 m for the second one.
There was a significant linear relationship between
species richness and altitude at each spatial scale
(Table III, Figure 4). A decrease of 1.2 species with
every 100 m rise in altitude was calculated for the
1-m2 level (R-squared¼ 0.449, Figure 4a), two
species at the 4-m2 level (R-squared¼ 0.514, Figure
4b), 2.6 species for the upper summit area level
(R-squared¼ 0.484, Figure 4c) and 3.2 species for
the entire summit area level (R-squared¼ 0.450,
Figure 4d). There was no significant relationship
between species richness and the four aspects of the
summits (Table III).
Species richness also correlated with average soil
temperature (2006–2007) at each spatial scale
(Table III). With one degree increase in average soil
temperature, species richness rises, on average, by
1.4 species at the 1-m2 level (R-squared¼ 0.395), 2.1
at the 4-m2 level (R-squared¼ 0.406), 3.1 at the
upper summit area (R-squared¼ 0.467, Figure 5),
and 3.7 at the entire summit area level (R-
squared¼ 0.411).
Discussion
Species richness and endemic taxa
The species numbers found on the sampling
summits in Sierra Nevada fitted well into the overall
altitudinal distribution pattern of the species (com-
pare Figure 2).
Species richness decreased with the increase in
altitude at different spatial scales and, thus, confirms
Figure 2. Vascular plant species richness on each of the eight
summits (triangles) and the overall vertical distribution of all
species found on the summits (horizontal bars).
Figure 3. Biogeographic distribution of taxa on each summit. Ne¼Nevadense; Be¼Baetic range; Ib¼ Iberian peninsula; Ib-N¼ Iberian
peninsula and North Africa; Eu¼Europe; Eu-N¼Europe and North Africa; Others¼more widely distributed.
Diversity and climate change in Sierra Nevada (Spain) 1049
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Table II. Summary of the features of the eight GLORIA summits in Sierra Nevada.
MOR MIR PUL DIE CUP CUE TCA MAC
Altitude (m a.s.l.) 2668 2717 2778 2800 2968 3144 3150 3327
Species richness per summit 39 65 47 48 52 25 40 18
Percentage top cover vascular plants per summit 31.25 15.37 18.7 19.87 17.5 4.89 15 4.9
Number of Sierra Nevada endemics 12 17 11 19 25 12 22 12
Percentage of Sierra Nevada endemics 31.58 26.98 23.4 42.22 48.08 48 55 66.67
Table III. Results of the One-Way ANCOVA and linear regressions for different measures of species richness against three independent
variables: aspect, altitude, and average soil temperature (2006–2007).
1 m2 plots
Four 1 m2 plots
combined
Upper summit area
(down to 5 m line)
Entire summit area
(down to 10 m line)
Species richness F P F P F P F P
ANCOVA
Aspect 0.208 0.890 0.128 0.942 0.837 0.485 1.169 0.340
Altitude 22.482 50.001 29.015 50.001 27.711 50.001 24.916 50.001
Linear regressions
Altitude 24.415 50.001 31.785 50.001 28.169 50.001 24.503 50.001
Average soil temperature 19.565 50.001 20.529 50.001 26.235 50.001 20.918 50.001
Figure 4. Changes in species richness with increasing altitude at the four aspects and at different spatial levels for eight summits in Sierra
Nevada. (a) Species richness 1 m quadrats; (b) Species richness 4 6 1 m quadrats; (c) Species richness – 5 m SAS; (d) Species richness –
10 m SAS. Full circle¼North, empty circle¼South, Full triangle¼East, empty triangle¼West.
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a common pattern in high-mountain regions (Korner
2002; Nagy & Grabherr 2009) as this was also
reported form GLORIA regions in the Alps (Pauli
et al. 2003; Erschbamer et al. 2010), Carpathians
(Coldea & pop 2004), Pyrenees (Villar & benito
alonso 2003), Apennines (Stanisci et al. 2005), Crete
(Kazakis et al. 2007), Australian Alps (Pickering
et al. 2008), and from sites in the tropical Andes
(Halloy et al. 2010). The decrease in Sierra Nevada,
however, was not uniform, since the second-lowest
showed the highest number of species. This may
indicate an ecotonal situation, where the vertical
distributions of oromediterranean species overlap
with those of cryoromediterranean species; a similar
increase in species richness in the Alpine-nival
ecotone was reported in the central Alps (Gottfried
et al. 1998).
Impacts of environmental and, in particular, of
climate change on biodiversity are expected to
strongly affect restricted endemic species that dwell
at high altitudes. In Sierra Nevada, such specialised
endemic species are the principal component of the
prevailing vegetation of the uppermost life zone (i.e.
especially the cryoromediterranean zone). The high-
altitude flora of Sierra Nevada appears to be
particularly vulnerable to climate warming, with a
high risk of warming-induced species loss.
In a European context, the proportions of local
endemics taxa of 27–67% (27–48% in ES-SNN,
(23–67% in ES-SNE) found on the Sierra Nevada
summits (Table II, Figure 3) are certainly out-
standing compared to other central to southern
European GLORIA sites, such as the NE-Car-
pathians, Rumanian Alps (7% Coldea & Pop
2004), NE-Alps, Austria (2–10%, Pauli et al.
2003), central Apennines, Italy (18–24%, Stanisci
et al. 2005) and Lefka Ori/Crete, Greece (31–36%,
Kazakis et al. 2007). Although the high degree of
endemism in Sierra Nevada has long been recog-
nized (Quezel 1953; Rivas Goday & Mayor Lopez
1966; Molero Mesa et al. 1996), our study presents
an almost continuous elevational increase of the
endemism ratio, documented through a standardised
sampling design.
The isolated geographic position of Sierra Nevada
with an outstandingly high elevation, protruding over
much lower surroundings, are suggested to be the
primary reasons for this high percentage of local
endemic taxa (compare Blanca et al. 1998; Gimenez
et al. 2004; Penas et al. 2005; Perez-Garcıa et al.
2007). Other factors specific to mountain environ-
ments that cause habitat separation, such as un-
common soil and geological conditions, or ‘stressful’
habitats such as low-temperature conditions, can
also be associated with the presence of endemic
plants (Kruckeberg & Rabinowitz 1985; Medail &
Verlaque 1997).
Biodiversity conservation and climate change
Climate projections using GCM models indicate a
rather uniform temperature increase on the Iberian
Peninsula during the twenty-first century. The
average projection is an increase of 0.48C/decade in
winter and of 0.78C/decade in summer, for the least
favourable scenario (A2 of the IPCC), and of 0.48Cand 0.68C/decade, respectively, for the most favour-
able scenario (B2 of the IPCC) (Fernandez-Gonzalez
et al. 2005). A general warming and associated
earlier snow-melt, combined with an expected
precipitation decrease (Mariotti et al. 2008), will
have a strong impact on the species composition of
high-mountain vegetation (Guisan et al. 1995). The
narrower the altitudinal distribution and the geogra-
phical range, the more severe is the potential
vulnerability to climate warming (Ohlemuller et al.
2008; Dirnbock et al. 2011). In Mediterranean
climates, where precipitation is widely absent during
the growing season, forecasted climatic changes are
expected to generally increase environmental severity
in high-mountain habitats, and are likely to lead to
serious biodiversity losses. In this context, species
present on the summits, such as Erigeron frigidus,
Nevadensia purpurea or Trisetum glaciale, with an area
of distribution situated at the highest altitudes of the
Sierra Nevada, will have serious difficulties to survive
if the trend continues. A similar critical situation can
be anticipated for other S-European high mountains
and for the High Atlas or for the fragmented low-
temperature areas of Iran’s mountains, where the
rate of endemism increases very sharply with altitude
(Noroozi et al. 2011). Continued observation and
more detailed studies in Sierra Nevada and new
Figure 5. Changes in species richness in relation to average soil
temperature at the four aspects for eight summits in Sierra
Nevada. Full circle¼MAC, empty circle¼TCA, Full triangle¼CUE, empty triangle¼CUP, Full square¼DIE, empty square¼PUL, Star¼MIR, Diamond¼MOR.
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monitoring in other mountains in Mediterranean-
type climates are required for a thorough assessment
of the rate and magnitude of expected species
declines.
Acknowledgements
This research was supported by GLORIA-EUROPE
(2001–2003; No. EVK2-CT-2000-00056) and by
the National Parks Network (Red de Parques
Nacionales) of the Spanish Ministry of the Environ-
ment, Project 2/2003.
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