THE IMPACT OF BANK DISTRESS ON COMMERCIAL BANKS IN NIGERIA (A CASE STUDY OF FIRST BANK OF NIGERIA...
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Transcript of THE IMPACT OF BANK DISTRESS ON COMMERCIAL BANKS IN NIGERIA (A CASE STUDY OF FIRST BANK OF NIGERIA...
CHAPTER ONE
1.0 INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
In any modern economy, the efficient production
and exchange of goods and services requires money and
bank is the instrument for affecting it. The last few
years have been both traumatic and revolutionary for
the banking industry. The industry produced the
largest number of technically insolvent and under
capitalized banks. The magnitude of distress in the
nation’s banking industry reached on unprecedented
level making it an issue of concern to the
government, the regulatory authority, the bankers and
the general public.
The Nigeria banking scene was characterized by
changes designed to promote banking in the country.
The changes may be categorized into phases, but due
to the nature of work, we will consider tow phase
1
namely; the era of laissez – fair banking (1834 –
1952), the era of limited was monopolized by foreign
banks, principally the African banking corporation
which was the precursor of the (BBWA) British bank
for West African the present First Bank of Nigeria,
the Barclays bank DCO (Dominion Colonial and
Overseas) the present day Union Banks, and the
British and French Bank, the for – runner of present
United Bank of Africa. Although, discrimination
against Nigerians by these banks led to the
establishment of some indigenous banks which
unfortunately offers litter or no competition to the
foreign banks essentially because of their weak
capital base or poor managerial capacity.
Consequently, all but three to the indigenous banks
failed. The survived includes the National Bank of
Nigeria established in 1933, the Agbonmagbe Bank (now
2
Wema Bank) established 1945 and the African
Continental Bank 1947.
A commission of inquiry headed by G.D. patron set
up in 1948 to investigate the business of banking in
Nigeria. Their report led to the enactment of the
first banking legislation in Nigeria, the banking
ordinance of 1952. The 1952 ordinance laid down the
standard and procedure for the conduct of banking
business by prescribing the mandatory minimum capital
requirement for the banks both expatiates and
indigenous regulations to Ʃ100, 000 and Ʃ12,500
respectively and it is also introduced regulations to
check bank failure. However, the entire indigenous
bank established in the country during this period
also all failed. The bank failures of this era were
attributed largely to the monopolistic structure of
the banking industry, which allowed the foreign banks
to enjoy exclusive patronage form British firms. The
3
indigenous banks that survived were able to make it
because of the support they got from their state
government.
The distress phenomenon in Nigeria banking
industry is of recent origin. The manifestation
became discernable with some policy shocks staring
1988 with Central bank of Nigeria (CBN) directive to
banks that naira backing for foreign exchange
application be lodged with CBN. This was followed in
1989 by another directive requiring public sector
deposits to be transferred to CBN. These two
directives exposed the precious liquidity position of
some banks and the distress they have subterraneous
harbored. What was thought to be a temporary
liquidity problem for few banks soon catches up with
a lot more banks.
It is important to stress in this work that
banking system was already in distress by the time
4
NDIC was established. By them, 7 (seven) banks were
known to be technically insolvent. The government at
that time, did not embark upon a clearing exercise
that would have removed from the system that
distressed institutions because it was feared that
such an action would lead to loss of public
confidence and flight of foreign capital more so
there was no deposit insurance institution to
expeditiously manage such bank closures. The NDIC was
nevertheless required to insure all banks. That means
that the corporation has been involved in managing
distressed banks even before it could settle down and
minister enough resources for this important task.
The intermediating role of banks and their
relevance both in the transmission of monetary
policies and in the payment system underscore their
importance as well as the problem that bank distress
at the prevailing dimension in our economy could
5
precipitate. Arising from their intermediation, banks
generate financial resources and put these at the
disposal of deficit economic growth in the form of
increased output. Therefore, an industry wide
insolvency of banks, such as the one experienced in
Nigeria, should be expected to retard the economy’s
rate of capital formation, reduce its level of
employment and output and ultimately the pace of
economic growth.
1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
A serious problem posed by widespread distress
among banks is the threat to banking habit and the
development of an inefficient payment mechanism. The
loss of confidence, the after math of the distress
that hit the banking sector forced several businesses
to take fewer risks by taking back their fund to well
established safe havens dominated by older generation
banks.
6
This research work is therefore concerned with
“Evaluating the impact of bank distress on the profit
growth of commercial banks”, using (A vase of
selected commercial banks).
1.3 PURPOSE/OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
The main purpose/objective of this study is to
have an overview of the effect of bank distress on
the profit growth of commercial banks. Investigate
into the reasons for bank failure in Nigeria.
Other objectives include:
1. To evaluate the cause of bank distress in
Nigeria. To find out the impact.
2. To find out the possible prevention strategies or
failure resolution options of bank distress.
1.4 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
1. What are the causes of bank distress?
2. What is the impact of bank distress?
7
3. What is the profit growth rate of commercial bank
during distress?
4. What are the effects of bank distress?
5. What are the possible solution options to this
phenomenon in the banking scene?
1.5 RESEARCH HYPOTHESES
H1: Distress has no effect on the average profit of
commercial banks.
H0: Distress has effect on the average profit of
commercial banks.
1.6 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
This research project will be of importance of
the following persons:
i. New generation banks, which may wish to know the
implication of banks distress in the banking
industry and how to restore the confidence of the
customers and uphold efficient payment mechanism.
8
ii. Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation: The work
could be of immense help to NDIC in the area of
distress management and prevention strategies.
And also, in the area of failure resolution
option in banking industry.
iii. Students who may wish to know the extent of
distress in the banking industry and the trend of
distress as it affect the modern banking will
also benefit from this bank.
1.7 SCOPE, LIMITATIONS AND DELIMITATIONS
While the banking impact distress in Nigeria will
theoretically serve as the population of study. The
project is designed to appraise the impact of bank
distress on the profit growth of First Bank of
Nigeria. It will also analyze the trend of this bank
profit within a period of 3 years (2011 – 2013).
9
1.8 DEFINITION OF TERMS
DISTRESS: It can be defined as an extreme suffering
caused by lack of money or a state of danger,
calamity and misfortunate acute poverty.
EVALUATION: This can also be defined as form of idea
or judgment of something and also to work out
something in numerical value.
IMPACT: This can be defined as a strong effect or
impression to bank. It is also a situation whereby
something will be to be press closely or firmly
together.
COMMERCIAL BANK: Commercial bank or business bank is
a type of bank that provides services, such as
accepting deposits, giving business loans and basic
investment products. Commercial bank can also refer
to a bank or a division of a bank that mostly deals
with deposit and loans from corporations or large
10
CHAPTER TWO
2.0 REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE
2.1 DEFINITIONS OF DISTRESS IN BANKING INDUSTRY
In ordinary parlance, the word “distress”
connotes “unhealthy situation” or a state of
inability or weakness, which prevents the achievement
of set and goals aspiration (Smith and Wall, 2009;
Ologun, 2007). Benson et al (2008) defined distress
as “a situation of complete or near loss of
stakeholders funds”. According to Alashi (2005),
distress is “a cessation of independent operation or
continuance without the assistance of relevant
authorities such as a deposit insurance institution”.
Thus, the traditional quantifiable measures of
failure (loss figures presented in standard financial
statement) are not very helpful in assessing the
degree or severity of distress of such a financial
institution (Alashi, 2005).
12
To evolve a working definition of distress, it is
desirable to synthesize those factors that will be
the unhealthy as well as state some broad set
obligations and aspiration of a typical financial
institution. A financial institution is described as
unhealthy, if it is unable to meet its obligation to
customers, owners and the economy occasioned by
severe financial, operational and managerial weakness
(Ologun, 2007).
Elebuta (2009), distress in banking when a fairly
reasonable proportion banks in the banking sector is
unable to meet their obligation to customers, owners
and the economy as a result of weakness in the
financial, operational and managerial capabilities
which renders them earlier illiquid or insolvent.
2.2 SYMPTOMS OF DISTRESSED BANKS IN NIGERIA
In recent times, bank failure has been an issue
of major concern to government, depositors, bankers
13
and promoters and indeed the public at large. This
concern stems from the crucial role banks plays in
the economy. The concern for the healthy and survival
of banks underscore the importance government
attached to close supervisions of banks, with the
primary objectives of identifying early warning signs
of distress in order to minimize the incidence of
failure. Regulators and researcher in response to
this concern have over the years been engaged in the
attempt to evolve reliable set of determinants for
the banks’ failure. The office of United States
controller of currency carried one of such analysis
out in 1988. The composite CAMEL rating emerged from
the studies.
The categorization of a financial organization as
a “problem” or “distressed” institution is usually
based on CAMEL rating system (Sinkey 1980; Ebibodaghe
1993 and Nyong 1994). Under this system, the
14
regulatory supervisory authorities assess a bank’s
performance in five area namely;
C – Capital Adequacy
A – Asset Quality
M – Management Competence
E – Earning Strength and
L – Liquidity Sufficiency.
Based on these parameters, appropriate financial
ratio has been developed to assess the condition of
banks to determine their health status, as well as
extent of distress. Under these parameters a banks’
capital adequacy ratio and ratio of non – performing
credit to shareholders funds among others are used to
make statements about the health status of the banks.
When these ratios deviate negatively from the
predetermined critical level by relevant authorities
the bank is described as haven – exhibited symptoms
of distress.
15
According to Ebhodaghe (2005), a distressed bank
is usually one where the evaluation depicts poor
condition in all or most of the five performance
factors as follows:
i. Gross under capitalization in relation to the
level of operation.
ii. High level of classified loan and advances.
iii. Liquidity reflected in the inability to meet
customers’ cash withdrawals.
iv. Low earnings resulting from huge operational
losses and
v. Weak management as reflected by poor credit
quality, inadequate internal controls, high rate
of frauds and forgeries, labour turnover e.t.c.
Egbojikwe (2005) identifies the following as the
common feature of a distressed bank:
Large volume of non – performing assets.
Persistent liquidity deficiency.
16
Accumulated losses which erodes shareholder’s
base.
The bank will in most cases require financing
assistance from regulatory authorities.
The interplay of these features as exposed above,
mostly lead to possible distress. Comparative
analysis has revealed that all the failed banks are
associated with one or more of these characteristics.
2.3 CAUSES OF DISTRESS IN BANKS
According to Ojo (2003), distress in banking is
connected to the prevailing economic recession, macro
– economic instability, poor asset quality,
mismatching of assets and liabilities, bad management
and insider abuse. Similarly, Ologun (2004) also
pointed out that inadequate legal framework and
structure, ownership, inadequate capital, poor
management, political instability, upsurge in number
of banks, illiquidity and insider abuse are the
17
contributing factors to bank distress. We shall
therefore x – ray some of these factors that account
for the precarious situation in the banks as follows:
a. The Inhibitive Policy Environment
Prior to the adoption of a comprehensive economic
programme under SAP, Nigeria’s banking system could
be described simply as highly regulated. Some of
these regulations had sometimes been counter –
productive and had contributed to the strains in the
system.
b. Macro – Economic Instability
The performance of any economy has a direct
impact on the financial sector. In recent years in
Nigeria, we have had a level of macro – economic
instability that has adversely affected the
performance of banking sector. Since the introduction
of SAP in 1985, the nation has witnessed a lot of
18
inconsistent and frequent changes in macro – economic
policies.
c. Unfavourable Policies of Government
The economic policies (monetary and fiscal) of
Nigeria have always charged at such a pace that both
players and spectators were at a time confused. Some
have been apportioned more than a fair share of the
blame for our economic woes. Looking at most of our
policies, one can point five levels of deficiency in
them. These levels are:
i. Wrong timing in policy changes.
ii. Bad choices on policy targets.
iii. Lack of internal linkage for the existing
economic base.
iv. Improper coordination of policy initiatives.
v. The human factor in policy implementation.
19
With all these, some harsh policies have
inflicted many damages on the especially the
sensitivity banking sector.
d. Political Instability and Interference
The political instability in our country
especially the June 1993 and 1994 political crisis
contributed in no small way to the worsening of the
financial situation our banks and other financial
institutions. The crisis nailed the coffin of about
80 of our finance houses and savings and local
companies to the liquidators’ grave. Since many banks
either had investment or their subsidiaries among
those finance companies they faced the same problem.
During this period, there were massive panic
withdrawals from banks, economic activities were at
their lowest ebb people fleeing en – mass to the
village and there was a general sense of insecurity.
20
Many banks especially the commercial banks have not
recovered from the economic setbacks of the period.
e. Indiscipline and Corruption in the Society
A society produces its type. There is no point
telling a child to be honest when all he sees around
him is but dishonesty. Since the late 70s the level
of discipline and integrity in Nigerian society has
gone drastically down: the quest for materialism has
become the order of the day. As a result, money no
matter its source has come to be worshipped as a
result of a status symbol. The end justifies the
means. With level of materialization and consequent
corruption pervading the society bankers have joined
the bandwagon. To them, their last resort is the
depositor’s fund kept in their trust. This accounts
for this high incidence of banks fraud and forgeries.
f. Lack of Experienced and Adequate Personnel
21
As the rapid expansion of the banking industry
began in the mid 80s there were no adequate
experienced personnel to cope with it. The few
experiences hands went for the high pecked job
thereby creating opportunities for both inexperienced
and those who had no business being in banking to
flood the industry. This was followed by rapid
promotion for these inexperienced hands due to the
polarization of the system. This led to the dilution
of standards and professionalism was thrown to the
wind. Honesty and integrity, which are hallmark of
banking, took secondary position. Materialism and
inordinate ambition to a mass wealth have become the
order of the day.
g. Fraud, Forgery and Insider Abuse
Fraud, forgeries and insider Abuse have become
very rampant in the banking sector, because the
staggering volume of money involved, they have
22
contributed in no small way in rendering the banks
insolvent. In the year 2001, 732 cases of fraud and
forgeries were reported out of which 388 were
successfully executed representing 53.7%. The amount
involved was N2.185 billion, while actual losses
totaled N1.07 billion, mainly through defalcation of
customers’ cash lodgment by bank employees,
substitution and depression of clearing cheques and
manipulation of customers’ accounts.
h. Poor Loan Administration
This has created the greatest internal problem
for Nigerian banks. The staggering volume of non –
performing assets or bad debts resulting from poor
laon administrations has left many banks in
precarious financial situations. Many loans grated
are not properly appraised. Others are not secured.
Many directors and management staff have used their
positions lend to their private companies, friends
23
and relatives without going through the due process
of appraisals. Some loans are grated on speculative
criteria.
i. Poor Internal Control
Despite the lofty objectives of a good internal
control, most of the banks and financial institutions
do have neither the financial nor the administrative
internal control unit. Where an internal control unit
exists, it is made very porous, powerless and
toothless bulldogs.
j. High Overhead Cost
Most of our banks are in the habit of incurring
huge capital expenses in setting up their branch and
corporate offices. Sometimes these exotic
architectural designs gulp a lot of money. These
expenses are smacks of immodesty and extravagance. In
their interior – décor, these banks exhibit signs if
imprudence. All these, tends to erode the capital
24
base if the banks and accumulate a lot of overhead
for the banks.
2.4 CLASSES OF DISTRESS
There are many classification of distress but for
the purpose of this paper and analytical convenience,
we shall use the following classifications:
i. Illiquid but solvent: This is a situation whereby
a bank cannot meet its customer’s obligation e.g.
withdrawal demand. However, the bank has
realizable assets more than its liabilities.
ii. Insolvent but liquid: This occurs when the
realizable assets of a bank are less than its
liabilities.
iii. Illiquid and insolvent: This is a situation
whereby a bank cannot meet its customer’s
obligations and the bank liabilities have far
exceeded its realizable assets. This is referred
25
to as absolute bank failure or terminal distress
(Gashinbaki, 2000).
2.5 PREDICTING POTENTIAL OF FAILURE IN NIGERIA
BANKING SECTOR
Manifestations and features of ill – heath were
given by the Central Bank of Nigeria Economic Review
(2005) to include: liquidity problems, distress
borrowing and resort to risky and speculative as well
as technical insolvency among banks. However,
Theodossior (2002) was of the opinion that the
determination of solvency of banks is an obstacle to
prompt action since financial distress may not be
apparent in the first instance. They asserted that:
ordinarily as long as a bank can meet all of its
obligations over the long run, it is considered
viable. Measuring such stream of income involves
calculating the Net Present Value of the expected
cash flows and it provides the economic measure of
26
solvency. However, such estimation can be very
difficult to undertake and subjective at best. On the
other hand, the reliance on the book value solvency
or the market value of the bank as a proxy for Net
Present is a very imperfect measure of its arbitrary
nature and the possibility that the bank can
manipulate the manner in which such activities are
presented.
The deficiency promoted the CBN and NDIC to
develop a standard rating system for revealing the
extent of distress in any bank in a consumption
measure categorized into sound, satisfactory,
marginally distressed and distressed. The parameters
that enabled this categorization is called CAMEL
(Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, Management
Competence, Earning Strength and Liquidity).
Banks adjusted to be distressed by this system
are placed on strict supervision or liquidated, but
27
no sooner than banks rated as sound by this system
enters the distress region. This however, translates
to mean that distress classification is equally a
medicine after death. This therefore calls for
preventive rather than creative measures in terms of
predicting probability of failure for effective
decision making capable of jumpstarting the
deteriorating performance of the banking sector.
2.6 EMERGENCE OF DISTRESS BANKS IN NIGERIA
The health Nigerian banks cannot be divorced from
their antecedents. As could be recalled, when modern
banking business commenced in Nigeria by 1892, it was
solely a business for foreigners. The skewness in the
ownership structure in favour of foreigner largely
contributed to the observed lack of access to banks’
credit to by indigenous Nigerian entrepreneurship
during that period. Nigerian entrepreneurs who came
into banking from late 1920s to early 1950s did so
28
with the principal aim of redressing the situation
and meeting the financial requirements of Nigerian
businesses. Due to problems such as inadequate
capital, mismanagement, overtrading, lack of
regulation and unfair competition from the foreign –
owned banks, 21 of the 25 indigenous banks that were
established up to 1954 failed. The failures were
resolved mainly through self liquidation. The mass
bank failure was a bitter experience for the economy
as it brought untold hardship to depositors who lost
their money and lost confidence in the ability of
Nigerians to manage a banking business.
It was not until government started to regulate
banking through the Banking Ordinance of 1952 and the
establishment of the Central Bank in 1959, which was
followed by the promulgation of the Banking Degree of
1969, which the bank started to stabilize in the
century. The oil boom, which commenced in 1973, and
29
the economic growth, which ensured, made banking to
thrive and to be very lucrative. The economic
downturn, noticeable from mid – 1981, brought strains
to the Nigerian economy that soon became depressed.
As economic agents were able to moderate their boom
consumption habits in line with the realities of the
depressed economy, the financial condition of
individuals, firms and governments worsened and they
were unable to honour their contractual obligations
of loan repayment to banks thus impairing banks’
portfolio quality. This economic predicament,
combined with other factors such as mismanagement,
adversely affected the health of many banks.
These factors examined here led some banks into
financial distress characterized by poor asset
quality, illiquidity, under – capitalization and
insolvency. By 1989, seven banks, mostly owned by
state governments were technically insolvent. The
30
situation has since deteriorated as a second
generation of distressed banks emerged. With the
exception of the slight decline from nine in 1990 to
eight in 1991, the number of distressed banks
increased from seven (7) in 1989 to twenty – eight
(28) in 1993, representing an increase of 300%. The
number peaked at alarming 60 as at end of 1995 out of
which 31 were not only insolvent but also terminally
depressed. The total number of distressed banks
however declined to 52 at the end of 1996.
Happily however, by the year 2000, the number had
substantially dropped to only 11, out of which three
were technically distressed and their licenses
revoked, while the remaining eight were recapitalized
and the broads/managements reconstituted.
2.7 THE ROLE OF BANKS IN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
It is widely acclaimed that banking system in
particular and the financial system in general, play
31
crucial role in economic development. By mobilizing
savings and channeling them for investments
especially in the real sectors, the banking system,
increases the quantum of goods and services produced
in the economy thus, national output increases and
the level of employment improves. At a broad levels
of generalization, empirical studies have established
strong evidence of a positive correlation between
real growth of output and bank assets (Adelman and
Morris, 1967; Goldsmith, 1969; Cameron, 1972;
McKinnon, 1973; Gurley and Shaw, 1976; Geffen and
Rose, 1991; Levine, 1992 among others).
Needless to say that the banking system is able
to play the positive role only if it is functioning
efficiently. However, if it is repressed or
distressed, in efficient and incapable o providing
timely and quality services, the banking system could
become a major hindrance to economic growth and
32
development as observed by Cameron (1972) and
McKinnon (1973). It is for this reason that
governments the world over take keen interest in the
performance of their financial system and would like
to see the system being “supply – leading” and
therefore catalystic for industrialization and
development. This was particularly the case in
Germany and Japan as reported by Patrick and Cameron
(1967).
Government’s interest in the banking sector is
usually aimed at ensuring a safe and sound system
were depositors and consumers are protected so as to
ensure monetary stability (Spong, 2009). Also,
government through in laws, policies and regulatory
institution exclusively regulates banks in order to
minimize bank and cost of failure (Dale, 1984).
33
However, in spite of government’s efforts to
protect the financial system, especially the banking
sub – sector, failures do occur.
The failures have had serious implications for
the financial system and by extension, the economy
(NDIC, 1998). A generalized state of banking distress
is expected to retard the economy’s rate of capital
formation, reduce the level of employment and lower
output, largely because banks will be unable to
excess financial resources and put them at the
disposal of the deficit economic units for increased
consumption and output.
Recent macroeconomic statistics in Nigeria
support these claims: real GDP growth was 2.3% in
1993, 1.3% in 1994 and 2.17% in 1995. Similarly,
manufacturing capability utilization fell from 37.2%
in 1993 to 30.4% in 1994 and 27.9% in 1995. While the
number of distressed banks for the corresponding
34
period was 38 in 1993; 45 in 1994 and 60 for 1996
(NDIC, 1998). Also, securities issued by banks to
fund owners become less attractive in the event of
widespread insolvency, thereby increasing the
holders’ risk exposure and also making them lose
confidence in banking system. This clearly undermines
the development of a good banking culture.
Another serious danger posed by generalized
distress among banks is the threat to the development
of an efficient payment mechanism. Settlement of
transaction becomes predominantly cash – based with
its associated risk. Also, the effectiveness of
monetary policy is reduced in direct proportion to
the extent of loss of confidence in the banking
system as reflected in the instability that would
characterize the demand for money and the proportion
of money in circulation that would be outside the
banking system as banks are no longer seen as safe
35
depositories. In Nigeria today, more than 50% of
money supply is estimated to be outside the banking
system (NDIC, 2008).
According to Utomi (2002), 80% of the country’s
money never passes through a bank. Until the 1990s,
the figure was 90%. Many Nigerians prefer it that
way.
Ede (2002) said, “in an age when electronic
commerce drives the world’s economies, Nigerian banks
remain “inhospitable” behemoths whose customers spend
hours or days to get the simplest transactions
completed”. As a result, many Nigerians squirrel away
naira notes at home, preferring to risk armed break –
in rather than face exorbitant transaction fees.
In Nigeria, one of the Africa’s most prosperous
yet economically dysfunctional nations, the simple
task of depositing your salary or taking it our again
can require hours of patience and a lifetime of
36
negotiating savvy. The result is that today, Africa’s
most populous country runs on cash.
“Everybody is getting ripped off and nobody wants
to rock the boat. So they either keep quiet or just
avoid banks altogether” Ede (2002).
2.8 CONSEQUENCES OF BANK DISTRESS
While the genesis of the crisis is traceable to
the deregulation and liberation of entry
requirements, the question has frequently been asked:
why did the government not into the necessary
guidelines to regulate the sub – sector right from
the beginning of deregulation? Moreover, why did the
government wait to react only as the problems arose?
(Ekpenyong, 1994:18). The weakness in government
policies in regulating the banking sub – sector in a
free market economy, which it experimented with and
the concomitant bank distress had far – reaching
37
consequences not only on the economy but also
virtually on every Nigerian.
Banks are intermediary institutions, which
collect deposits from the surplus spending unit and
efficiency channel and allocate them to deficit
spending units to accelerate economic growth and
development. By this role, banks also generate
employment. They find the it difficult fulfilling
their roles as engines of growth in the economy,
which they may not be able to do efficiently under
the present crisis situation because of the
difficulties in mobilizing deposits from the surplus
sector (Molokwu, 1994:51). Ebhodaghe (1994:30)
concurs the bank distress retards economy’s rate of
capital formation; reduce its level of employment and
ultimately the pace of economic growth.
Bank distress also engenders crisis of confidence
in the entire industry. This clearly paralyses the
38
development of a good banking culture. Several
circumstances in Nigeria contributed to the crisis of
confidence: withdrawal of public sector deposits;
June 12 crisis; and even the promulgation of Failed
Bank Degree. These sent an alarming signal to the
public who made huge withdrawals and made it was
impossible for even the healthy banks since investors
do not know which of the banks are actually
distressed.
Hence, the development of an enduring banking
culture, which has been at the forefront of banking
policy in the last three (3) decades, became
disrupted (Molokwu, 1994:17). More importantly as
Ebhodaghe (1996:20) argues, this development
increases the banks’ cost of intermediation, as banks
need to pay higher returns to attract and retain
deposits. Many banks at the height if tension offer
interest rates on deposits higher than the prevailing
39
market rates to boast their deposits and lure
customers and this further complicated the situation.
Coupled with the high cost of intermediation, there
will be great and pervasive uncertainty such that the
perceived real return on financial assets will be
lowered. Frequent government intervention through the
regulatory authorities adds to other indirect cost.
Finally, depositors’ fund in the event of liquidation
will be lost at least recoverable to the extent of
N50, 000 where there is explicit/implicit provision
for protection depositors.
Gilbert and Kochin (1994) and Ebhodaghe (1996)
concur that expenditure of economic agents are
constrained by the quality of credits made available
to them. Developments that reduce the total quantity
of bank credit or disrupt the operations of banks as
intermediaries will reduce spending and consequently
will affect aggregate economic performance adversely.
40
The extent that bank failures disrupt the process of
financial intermediation, inducing credit – granting
activities of banks, aggregate economic activities
may be adversely affected.
Ebhodaghe (1996) observes the trend of net
domestic credit to the economy and them compared it
with the trend of key economic parameters such as
rate of growth of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP),
the rate of manufacturing capacity utilization and
per capita income in Nigeria and compared the
variables with the level of distress in the system.
Appendix A presents the selected macroeconomic
indicators and the level of distress in the banking
system. In the analysis Ebhodaghe (1996) confirms
that assertion that developments, which disrupt the
operations of banks, as financial intermediaries will
adversely affect total quantity of bank credit. He
41
equally shows that performance in the real sector is
related to the stability in the banking industry.
Apart from the threats posed by bank distress to
the economy which affect everybody directly or
indirectly, it is worth discussing the other
stakeholders that suffer when a bank is in distress
or when it is liquidated.
Owners
In Nigeria, the inability or refusal of owners to
recapitalize distressed banks culminated into their
liquidation and total loss investment by owners of
such banks. This exposes them to risk and indirectly
discourage their feature participation in banking
business or even other productive activities within
the economy and therefore promotes investment abroad.
Employees
The employees of distress banks also suffer.
Rehabilitation and turnaround measures involve re –
42
sizing of banks and consequently certain jobs may be
eliminated or contracted. The loss of jobs leads to
economic disenfranchisement of many families thus
confounding the challenges of the trying environment
(Udezue: 1997). The attendant substantial increase in
the unemployment level negates government’s current
efforts at addressing the unemployment problem and
partly explains the current social unrest
particularly amongst the youth.
Depositors
Depositors also suffer when a bank is in distress
and incur some costs. In the event of liquidation,
they lose everything except if there is
implicit/explicit insurance cover. They also incur
additional cost of re – establishing relationship and
good rapport with other banks, which they have for
long developed with the failed banks.
43
Despite the preceding arguments that see distress
as negative and dysfunctional, there exist arguments
too that distress could indeed be functional, albeit
to some limited extent. Oboh (1999: 05) observes that
bank distress experience increase awareness of the
ethics and demands of the banking profession. Thus,
the regulatory authorities, banks and the public are
red – alert on the legal and professional banking
practice. It is also a fact that it has helped to
expunge the “bad eggs” and prepare the grounds for
importing the industry and restoring stability.
From the foregoing, it is clear that adequate
measures must be put in place to forestall future
occurrences. This is more important as bank distress
has many spills – over consequences.
CONCLUSION
44
This paper examines causes and consequences of
bank distress in Nigeria. The central idea is to
sensitize all the stakeholders on this all important
area within the hope that careful and systematic
monitoring of the affairs of banks would receive
complementary (in addition to the supervisory and
regulatory authorities) attention from several
quarters. With this, the life of banks could be
prolonged and all the negative consequences of
failure minimized. This is reinforced by the time –
honoured dictum that knowledge of causes and
consequences of failure in organizations energizes
the desire for organizations to survive.
45
CHAPTER THREE
3.0 RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY
3.1 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
In this chapter, research is connected with the
procedures for gathering or processing information
for the accomplishment of the research objectives. In
order to effectively and satisfactory conduct the
study, the researcher has done in mind, the method of
the research, the approach to research work upon
which the study will exhaustively conducted
(Creswell, J.W., 2008). View research as a process of
steps used to collect and analyze information to
increase our understanding of a topic or issue. It
consists of three steps: pose a question, collect
data to answer the question and present an answer to
the question.
The methodology of this research work is
theoretical and analytical in approach. Both primary
46
data and secondary for the purpose with the use of
questionnaire and the secondary data were collected
form record publications and commercial banks
journals. The study shall employ the survey research
method in the process of data collection. The method
entails identifying collection of data through
questionnaire administration.
3.2 RESEARCH DESIGN
According to Kumer (2005), “a research design is
the plan which guides the data collection and
analysis phases of a research project”. It is the
frame work which specifies the type of information to
be collected and source of data collection procedure.
3.3 SAMPLE AND SAMPLING TECHNIQUES
Sample is a four representation of the population
since it is impossible to study the whole population;
47
a sample is drawn from the population to make
generalization.
In obtaining the sample, the researcher took
cognizance of two of the features of scientific
research to which is the representation and
unbalances. To ensure that these features are present
in the sample strategies and simple random sampling
techniques were used. This asks the question on how
many are to be surveyed. The researcher used the
sample size of 25.
3.4 METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION
Data are unprocessed information that is
systematically collected to support facts earlier
gathered for the research work. The researcher makes
use of necessary techniques in ensuring the
successful completion of this work; the questionnaire
was used as the major instrument of data collection.
It was administered on a total of 25 respondents,
48
made of banks’ staffs. Some basic historic documents
were also relied upon for the purpose of data
collection. While the researcher contracted journals,
magazines and commercial publications,
3.5 DATA ANALYSIS TECHNIQUE
Data analysis is the application of logic to the
understanding of data that have been gathered about a
subject matter.
The analytical tools that may be involved or used
in this research analysis includes simple percentage
and Chi – square (X2) method will be used to calculate
the extent, the research variable answer to the
questionnaires and the research hypothesis
respectively.
Chi – square formula:
X2 = Ʃ(O – E) 2 E
DF (Degree of freedom) = N – 1
49
Where;
X2 = Chi square calculated value
O = Observed frequency
E = Expected frequency which is delivered by
While;
Df = Degree of freedom
N = Number of observation
∞ = Level of significant (5%).
50
CHAPTER FOUR
4.0 DATA PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS
4.1 INTRODUCTION
This chapter deals with the presentation,
analysis of data collected through the administration
of the questionnaire for analytical purpose, the
results and findings are put under two-sub-headed
based on the research questionnaire. Therefore, the
tools of data analysis were essentially statistical
in nature. These are the simple percentage method and
the application of the chi-square to test the
hypothesis.
4.2 PRESENTATION OF DATA
Thirty (30) questionnaires were distributed out
of which twenty five (25) were returned, and analyses
were based on (25).
4.3 RESPONSE TO THE QUESTIONNAIRE
51
As early mentioned, twenty-five (25) of the
questionnaire issued where well represented by 83% of
the total number of the questionnaire distributed.
This resources rate was seen to be satisfactory to
the researcher given the way Nigerians responds to
such research project. The questionnaire was designed
to obtain information from respondent on age, sex
marital states etc.
Table 4.3 (1) Sex sample or differentiation of
respondent
Response Frequency Percentage (%)Male 9 36Female 16 64Total 25 100
52
The analysis show that 64% of the respondents are
female this could be interpreted that majority of the
bank staff are female.
Table 4.3 (2) Sample response on respondent’s “age”
Age Frequency Percentage (%)Under 21yrs - 021-30yrs 19 7631-40 4 1641-50 2 850 and above -Total 25 100
The analysis on the table shows that the
substantial number of respondents fails into the
active between 21 yrs – 30 years.
Table 4.3 (3): Marital status of the respondent.
Marital Status
Qualification
Frequency Percentage
(%)SSEC/GCE - 0ND/NCE 19 76HND/BSC 6 42MSc/PhD - 0
53
Total 25 100The table above shows that the highest
educational qualification of the staffs is ND/NCE and
this constitutes 76% of the respondent.
Table 4.3 (5): Religion of the respondent
Religion Frequency Percentage (%)Christian 16 64Muslim 8 32Others 1 4Total 25 100
The table above indicates that 64% majority of
the respondents are Christians.
Table 4.3 (6): Years in service of the respondent
Years in service Frequency Percentage (%)0 – 2years 15 603 – 5years 7 286 – 10years 3 1210 years and
above
- 0
Total 25 100
54
From the table above it can be seen that 60%
majority of the staffs spend 0 to 3years in the in
the system.
Table 4.3 (7 – 12): Economic factors as causes of
bank distress are
S/
N
Response Agreed Disagre
e
Percenta
ge (%)
agreed
Percenta
ge (%)
disagree
d7 Poor credit
policy
administratio
n
20 5 80 20
8 Poor recovery
method
22 3 88 12
9 Insider
dealing/abuse
6 19 24 76
55
10 Inadequacies
of
professionall
y trained
manpower
13 12 52 48
11 Poor
management
10 15 40 60
12 Fraud in
banks
7 18 28 72
The table above indicates that majority of the
respondents agrees that economic factors of bank
distress are: poor credit policy administration, poor
recovery method, inadequacies of professionally
trained manpower which constitutes 80%, 88% and 52%
respectively, while those that disagreed on insider
dealings/Abuse, poor management and fraud in banks
which also constitutes 76%, 60% and 72% of the
respondents respectively.
Table 4.3 (13): Political instability is part of the
cause of bank distress
Response Frequency Percentage (%)56
Agreed 25 100Disagreed - 0Total 25 100
The above table indicates that political
instability is a part of the cause of bak distress
and this constitutes 100% i.e. all the total
respondents agree.
Table 4.3 (14): The major causes of bank distress is
economic instability.
Response Frequency Percentage (%)Agreed 25 100Disagreed 0 0Total 25 100
The above indicates that the major cause of bank
distress is economic instabiligy with 100% agree
respondents.
Table 4.3 (15): Distress has no effect on the average
profit of commercial banks
Response Frequency Percentage (%)Agree 6 24Disagree 19 76
57
Total 25 100
The above table shows that distress has effect on
the average profit of commercial banks in Nigeria by
76% of the respondent, while, 24% of the respondents
agrees that distress has no effect on the average
profit of commercial banks in Nigeria.
Table 4.3 (16): Fraudulent practices among the
practioners contributes to the causes of bank
distress.
Response Frequency Percentage (%)Agree 9 36Disagree 16 64Total 25 100
58
The above table shows that fraudulent practices
among the practioners does not contributes to the
causes of bank distress, supported by 64% of the
respondent.
Table 4.3 (17): Bank distress is as a result of lack
of adequate banking supervision.
Response Frequency Percentage (%)Agree 12 48Disagree 13 52Total 25 100
The table above review that 13 respondent
equivalent to 52% disagree that bank distress is as a
result of lack of adequate banking supervision
Table 4.3 (18): Under – capitalization of the
industry also contributes to the causes of the
distress.
Response Frequency Percentage (%)Agree 21 84%Disagree 4 16Total 25 100
59
The table above indicate that 21 of the
respondent equate 84% agree with the statement while
4 of the respondent of 16% disagree.
Table 4.3 (19): Under reliance on Forex trading
causes the bank distress.
Response Frequency Percentage (%)Agree 10 40Disagree 15 60Total 25 100
The table above review that 15 respondent
constituting 60% disagree to the statement while 10
respondents of 40% agree.
Table 4.3 (20): Bank distress was as a result of
rapid changes in government policies.
Response Frequency Percentage (%)Agreed 25 100Disagreed - -Total 25 100Source: Field survey 2012
60
The table shows that majority of the people agree
that bank distress was as a result of rapid change in
government policies.
Table 4.3 (21): Undue interference by shareholders
also contributes to the distress.
Response Frequency Percentage (%)Agreed 11 44Disagreed 14 56Total 25 100
The table above indicates that 14 respondent
consisting 56% disagree that undue interference by
shareholders also contributes to the distress while
11 respondent equivalent 44% agree.
4.3.1 TEST OF HYPOTHESIS
In order to test the hypothesis, the chi-square
method is made of the formula for chi-square shown
below:
X2 = Σ(O−E)2
E
61
Where, X2 = chi – square
O = Observed Frequency
E = Expected Frequency
Σ = Summation
H0: Distress has no effect on the average profit of
commercial banks.
H1: Distress has effect on the average profit of
commercial banks.
Respon
se
F0 Fe F0 – Fe (F0 –
Fe)2
(F0 –Fe)2
Fe
X2 cal
Agreed 6 12.5 -4.5 42.25 3.38Disagr
eed
19 12.5 4.5 42.25 3.38
Total 25 25 6.6
Significant = 0.05
Degree of freedom = (r – 1) (c – 1)
= (2 – 1) (2 – 1)
= 1
Critical value = 1, 0.05
X2 tabulated = 3.84
X2 calculated = 0.36
62
DECISION RULE
Since my X2 tabulated value is (3.84) is less
than my X2 calculated value (6.66) then H1 will be
accepted. Therefore, Distress has effect on the
average profit of commercial banks.
63
CHAPTER FIVE
5.0 SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
5.1 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
This research work is concerned with the distress
of profit growth in commercial banks in Nigeria
banking industries.
The review of 104 years of banking experience in
Nigeria has been characterized by significant growth
in the number, structure and the spread of the
financial institutions. In other words, the Nigerian
bankng sector had over the years undergone a series
of structural and institutional changes. The system
has moved from an under-developed state with few
banks in the 1960s to a more diversified and
competitive industry with an avalanche of commercial
and Merchant banks, as well as specialized banks.
However, this positive impact of the reforms was
undermined by the advent of distress in the banking
64
system, even though generally modest until 1989. The
distress in the industry had become generalized,
spreading to virtually all the system’s sub-sectors.
5.2 CONCLUSION
The main thrust of this study was an
investigation into the nature, extent and causes of
distress in the Nigeria financial industry,
particularly the banking sub-sector.
The study confirmed the presence of distress in
the banking industry, but generalized that the
distress could not be described as systematic since a
good number of banks remain healthy to which many
customers “flown for safety”. On the whole, 80.9% of
the banks are believed to be healthy, 11.1% believed
to the mildly distressed, and 8.09% confirmed to be
severely distressed. All the major factors causing
distress namely institutional, economic, and
political etc contributed in varying degrees to the
65
distress, rating institutional factors (in terms of
poor management, credit policy, ineffective machinery
for debt recovery, insider dealings, abuses, fraud
and poor credit administration) highest thus,
significant to the distress.
The findings of this study as shown above,
revealed that various distress resolution option were
used by the regulatory/supervisory authorities in
trying to address the problems of distress in Nigeria
banking system without any success. The resolution
framework appears to have some inadequacies
associated with it. Some of the inadequacies include
the lack of sufficient resources to handle failure
resolution and the ineffectiveness of holding actons
to handle distress.
Based on the above, we can conclude that the
ineffectiveness of the existing distress resolution
framework that resulted in a continuous increase in
66
the depth of distress and number of distress banks in
the system, can be attribute to the
inadequacies/lapses inherent in the operational
framework. This therefore, calls for reform of the
operational aspect of the existing distress
resolution framework for it to be effective in
addressing distress problems in the Nigeria banking
system.
5.3 RECOMMENDATIONS
In order to minimize the effect distress on banks
clientele and the economy as a whole and also avoid
the encroachment of the factors responsible for
distress into the banking system, the regulatory
authorities may have to use better measures of
evaluating the feature of distress at an early stage.
This will no doubt create sufficient lead-time to
apply remediable solution before serious damage is
done.
67
It can also be seen that the relative
ineffectiveness of the existing distress resolution
options can be traced to a great extent on the
inadequacies in the operational framework. This
therefore, calls for substantive reforms as they
affect banks distress resolution options.
Accordingly, the following recommendations are being
proposed:
a) Measures to minimize the undesirable effects of
holding actions
i. To the extent that banks on which holding actions
are imposed are not bidding for their own
account, they should be allowed to participate in
the foreign exchange transaction on behalf of
their customers since foreign exchange is sold on
cash and carry to the customers through their
banks. Thsis could minimize the loss of good
business and high network customers.
68
ii. Banks could allow lending to “first class
customers” beyond the level of preceding month’s
recoveries, with the prior approval of the
relevant supervisory agency as long as the bank’s
account with the CBN is not overdrawn. Indeed,
banks should no longer be allowed to overdrawn
their accounts with the CBN.
b) Need to Set aside financial resources to handle
bank distress
Since the government is so much concerned with
the need to deal with widespread bank insolvency in
the system, there is the need for an explicit
financial provision in the national budget to deal
with defaults and distress in the nation’s financial
sector. Such commitments on the part of the
government will go a long way in restoring public
confidence in the banking system.
c) Increased supervisory capacity.
69
There is need for increased bank supervisory
capacity especially in the off- site surveillance,
where emphasis should be on development of an early
warning model for early indemnification of distress,
and on – site inspection.
70
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Doguwa, S.I (2004) “an early warning model for
identification of problem banks in Nigeria”
Abuja, CBN: economic and financial review vol.
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Ebhodagbe, J.U. (2007), “deposit insurance: the
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72