An Environmental Scanfor the Mapua Institute of Technology

Serafin D. Talisayon

Professor, Technology Management CenterUniversity of the Philippines

Director for R&DCCLFI.Philippines

OutlineAn Environmental Scan for MIT

• “Megatrend One” (political) – 5 minutes

• “We are Interconnected” (transdisciplinal) – handout

• “People Power Virus” (political) - handout

• “Megatrend Two” (transdisciplinal) – handout

• “The Global Economy is Changing” (business, economics) – 30 minutes

• “Driving Forces Affecting Education” (transdisciplinal) –30 minutes

• “Schools of the Future” – handout

Megatrend One

Serafin D. Talisayon

Professor, Technology Management CenterUniversity of the Philippines

Director for R&DCCLFI.Philippines

1789: Frenchmen stormed the Bastille, a

state prison that was the symbol of absolute

despotism of the French monarchy

Remnant of

Berlin Wall, torn

down in 1989

the microprocessor:

powering millions of

personal computers

worldwide

The microprocessor placed tremendous computing power

and access to information in the hands of individuals and

households worldwide.

1500s: Protestant Reformation, a

power shift: Church hierarchy ����

scripture-based individual faith

1990s: Charismatic-pentecostal

movements, a shift: scripture &

doctrine ���� experience of Holy Spirit

1989: One man versus

tanks in Tienanmen

2001: Popular

moral outrage

ousted a second

Philippine

president

The New Economy:

Knowledge of the many has

become as important as

capital of the few

What IS going on?

Cold War period:

Bipolar world

Post-Berlin Wall:

US: a “world policeman”

Distribution of Power

US: a “world policeman”with weakening moral authority

Bipolar worldChina vs. US

MultipolarityEU, India, Brazil, Islamic bloc,

emerging economies

mixed with

A Megatrend: Democratization

Soviet Union and Eastern Europe,

China, Mongolia and Vietnam embrace

the market economy

End of military rule in many

Latin American countries

EDSA and other “people

power” revolutions

UN Universal Declaration

of Human Rights

Rapid growth of civil societies

?

Decolonization

South Africa

ends apartheid

Latin American countries

US civil rights

movement

French Revolution

Microprocessor

empowers individuals

& households

US Declaration of Independence

Knowledge economy

empowers workers

?

Protestant

Reformation

Democratization: a Trans-Societal Trend

Economic

• Central planning � market economies and free trade

• Economic growth �sustainable development

Political

• Monarchies � republics

• Decolonization

• Dictatorships � elections

• Rise of civil societiessustainable development

• Power shift in the knowledge economy: capital � knowledge

Technological

• Microprocessor + Internet: computing and networking power for millions of individuals

• Rise of civil societies

• “People power” pandemic

• Humanization of security

Organizations

• Pyramidal � flatter

• Hierarchies � networks

Megatrend One: Democratization

Authoritarian Egalitarian

Vertical Horizontal

Rigid Learning

Closed Open

Dogma Experience

Centralized Networked