Should the U.S. Government Increase the Debt Ceiling?
Transcript of Should the U.S. Government Increase the Debt Ceiling?
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Roque Vitanza
Caps 4362
April 14, 2013
Should the US Increase the Debt Ceiling to Shield the Nation from
Financial Harm?
Many Americans are concerned about the state of the American
economy, especially due to the increasing size of the national
debt. The United States debt has more than doubled in the last
six years (Government). The U.S. can no longer pay for the debt
it has incurred and must raise the debt ceiling to borrow more
money (over the legal limit) or default on the debt. Intense
negotiations are taking place to decide an appropriate
legislative action in congress and the Obama administration in
hopes that they can, “come up with a plan that solves our short-
term debt and deficit problems, avoids default, stabilizes the
economy, and proves to the American people that we can actually
get things done in this country and in this town.” (Obama).
Former Treasury Secretary Geithner wrote in his 14 Jan. 2013
letter to House Speaker John A. Boehner that the government might
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be “forced to stop, limit, or delay payment on obligations to
which the Nation has already committed—such as military
salaries.” (Geithner). The social problems related to increasing
the debt ceiling include economic instability, national security,
and global economic loss of confidence. Economic responsibility
and economic security for the United States are the issues that
closely surround this debate as different parties have different
perspectives on them. This debate aims at answering, “Should the
U.S. increase the debt ceiling to shield the nation from
financial harm?”, a question that echo’s from the house of
congress to the national media on a daily basis.
The state of the national debt is a socially significant
problem because it impacts not only all Americans but also the
world economy. Secretary of Treasurer Timothy Geithner noted in a
letter to congress, “Social Security and Medicare, tax refunds,
contractual payments to businesses for goods and services, and
payments to our investors” (Geithner) might be defaulted if the
debt is not controlled. In his letter, Geithner also stressed
the uncertainty of the Treasury Department in the government’s
ability to refund overpaid taxes, and he suggested, “Congress
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should act as early as possible to extend normal borrowing
authority.” The National Debt increases by $40 thousand every
second. (Geithner)
The debate over raising the debt ceiling has two sides.
Those who support raising the ceiling to prevent financial crisis
include such general parties as many fiscally liberal Americans,
and Wall Street executives. Specific parties to the supporters
include President Barack Obama, Federal Reserve Chair Ben
Bernanke, Former Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, and the US
Senate Banking Committee. The supporters argue the US needs to
maintain its economic integrity, the government cannot radically
cut spending, and the best way to pay the national bills is to
raise the limit on the national debt. The supporters value
solidarity, duty to the American people as their elective
representatives, and cautious economic decisions (where they
rather increase debt than default and risk an unknown economic
ripple effect). Current plans of the supporters include the
threat to use an executive order to raise the debt ceiling, as
well as a compromise to cut spending.
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The opposition includes such general parties as most fiscal
conservatives, many business owners, philanthropists and many
Republicans. Specific parties to the opponents include House
Speaker John Boehner, US Senators Marcos Rubio (R-FL) and Bob
Corker (R-TN). The opponents argue against raising the debt
ceiling because the payment of the national debt is merely
postponed, spending will continue irresponsibly, and that raising
the debt limit has not worked in the past. The oppositions’
current plans include sacrifices in the short term economic
growth in order to reduce the overall debt, and attempts to
balance financial difficulties through a “Dollar-per-Dollar”
legislation.
In order to understand the debate over raising the debt
ceiling certain terms will need to be defined. The most
important of such terms is the national debt. If the U.S.
government spends as much money as it makes in a given year, it
has a balanced budget. If they make more money than was spent,
they have a surplus budget. In contrast, if they spend more than
what they made, the economy is operating in a deficit. The
national debt- or federal debt- is the sum all past deficits
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minus any amounts that have since been paid. There are two
factors that determine the budget deficit: tax collected and
expenses incurred. These two factors are heavily influenced by
the state of the economy and any policies that might tamper with
taxation. (US Department)
To finance this debt, the U.S. Treasury must sell financial
assets – called securities, namely, bonds. Any person or
organization can purchase these bonds, domestically or otherwise
through banks, brokers or the Treasury’s website. These bonds
have a fixed interest rate; in essence, an individual is giving
the government a loan to be repaid in a later time along with a
profit. Bonds are for sell at a value lower than its face value
(what it is actually worth). So an individual would normally buy
a bond that will be worth $1000 in 5 years for $900 today.
There are two kinds of debt, money that was loaned to the
government by private citizens, organizations and foreign
investors (debt held by public), and money that the U.S.
government borrowed from itself (debt held by federal accounts).
The debt held by public is comprised of both foreign and domestic
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“(48% of Public Debt, 52% of Public Debt)” (US Department)
individuals and organizations, both types of debt (by federal
account and public) are considered equally important to be paid
off.
The scope of this research will focus on exploring the
debate over raising the ceiling on the current national debt.
The research will include past incidents of raising the debt
limits as well as discussion of the consequences to shed light on
the significance of the decisions and provide rational for the
decisions lawmakers make today. However, the focus will be on
current times and current financial problems. The report will
only include international data directly relevant to the federal
debt and will not delve too deeply into the economics of foreign
countries in order to control the massive amounts of information
surrounding this controversy. The paper will not talk about the
state or local levels of government, focusing only on the
national level because this is a federal decision made by
congress and the white house. The research will explore the
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governmental as well as the economic impact of the debt ceiling
and what might happen if it is raises.
The United States of America has been increasing the debt
ceiling every couple of years ever since it was enacted in 1917,
but it has rarely been accompanied by a national (or to a point,
global) economic recession. In the early days of the nation,
loans were taken out on a needed basis to undertake specific
projects or events (i.e. building the Panama Canal). More
aggressive endeavors required more aggressive loans, such as that
to finance the 1898 Spanish-American War. For this event Congress
authorized the Office of the Treasury to issue debt with specific
limits on how much the Treasury Department could borrow and a set
time for maturity (the point in time when the debt is repaid with
interest). Major events came in later years, World War I was an
unprecedented event with unprecedented costs, for this matter
Congress approved the Secretary of the Treasury to issue two
billion dollars in bonds, with a five billion dollar loan limit,
this came to be known as the First Liberty Loan Act of 1917
(Accountability). This Act allowed the Treasury to sell bonds in
order to raise money for the nations endeavors; this act is still
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the grounds under which the U.S. Treasury can issue bonds to
raise money today.
A few years later, the limit had been tapped out and more
loans were needed. Congress needed a new law to borrow even more
money. They enacted the Second Liberty Bond Act of 1917, where
the treasury could issue $9.5 billion in debt. Unlike the First
Liberty Loan Act, the treasury could freely choose what type of
securities (bonds, Certificate of Deposits etc) the Treasury
Department could issue, and Congress was given the power to raise
this debt limit if need be. By the end of the war, the treasury
had incurred a $43 billion loan (Austin, Mindy). For the next
decade, which included World War II, all debts were simply added
on to this one. By the end of World War II, Congress simplified
the law by eliminating different categories of debt through
different types of bonds and considered all types of debt a
single aggregated national debt. This altered the role of the
Treasury bond’s “by means of managing federal finances rather
than securities tied to specific projects or wars.” (Austin,
Mindy). This yielded today’s structure where there is a single
national debt portfolio for all government projects.
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After World War II the debt ceiling was raised for all
consecutive years between 1941 and 1945 to $300 billion. (Public
Debt Act of 1941) The end of World War II reduced the limit to
$275 billion, where it would remain until 1962. During the war
periods both Republican and Democratic parties approved the debt
limit in a single vote. The only major expense the U.S. incurred
between said dates was the Korean War, but it was financed
through tax increases rather than debt. Since March of 1962, the
debt limit has been raised 77 times (Accountability). These
gradual increases were small compared to those enacted in times
of war or economic depression. While they were ‘small’ changes in
percentage of total debt however, they do sum to large dollar
amounts. These ‘small’ and gradual increases have been
accumulating for decades and are a central theme in the debt
ceiling debate for parties who believe that this is a slippery
slope and future generations will have to deal with the current
generations’ debt.
In the past decade, during the fiscal years of 1998 to 2001,
the government operated in a surplus, increasing expenditures and
reducing the debt by paying of portions of it with the nations
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retained earnings. After 2001 however, debt has increased
substantially, mostly due to social security where payroll taxes
exceed the beneficiary’s payments (Austin, Mindy). By the end of
2001, it was evident that the economic outlook would soon
deteriorate and debt would have to be acquired as the government
started operating in a deficit. To be able to acquire new debt,
the debt limit would have to be raised as the debt was just below
it. In the last month of 2001 the Republican administration asked
congress to increase the debt limit by $750 billion (from $5,950
billion to $6,700 billion). In April of 2002, when the debt limit
was about to be reached, the Treasury held it below the ceiling
by invoking legislative powers to cease reinvestment of
government securities in the federal employees’ Thrift Saving
Plan fund (a defined contribution towards federal employees
retirement). As a result, the suspension of reinvestment gave way
to the issuance of new debt through bond sales to meet the
nations debt obligations. During the same month of April, the
debt was maintained at $5,949,975 million, $25 million shy of
meeting the debt limit (Accountability). At the end of this same
month, tax revenues were received and as a result, he government
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was able to carry out its obligations so as to not default and
reinstate the investing of the federal employee Thrift Saving
Plan.
The nation would again face trouble with the debt limit for
the second time in 2002. In the month of May, the Treasury
released a statement saying, ““absent extraordinary actions, the
government will exceed the statutory debt ceiling no later than
May 16,” it continued to say that “debt issuance suspension
period will begin no later than May 16 [2002].... [This] allows
the Treasury to suspend or redeem investments in two trust funds,
which will provide flexibility to fund the operations of the
government during this period” (CBO). To resolve the issue at
hand, the Treasury decided to reduce federal accounts held (debt
the government borrowed from itself) by replacing the debt with
non-debt instruments that did not pay interest or any kind of
profit (CBO). They claimed this would solve the current problem
in the short run, but the limit had to be raised soon or it would
again be met in June 2008, at the latest. As a result, the debt
ceiling was not reached and a crisis was avoided with a temporary
solution.
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By June 21 2008, the country was once again on the verge of
reaching the limit and the nation had large bills to pay for June
and the upcoming month of July. During 2002, Congress took
various steps to relieve the debt ceiling dilemma, the
supplemental appropriations bill (H. R. 4775) was passed by the
House on May 24, and it included debt language that paved way for
a debt ceiling change in meetings to come (CBO). However, the
supplemental appropriations bill (S. 2551) that was passed by the
Senate incorporated into H.R. 4775, specifically omitted ‘debt-
ceiling-increasing’ language. Even though the senate was
reluctant to increase the debt ceiling, by June 11, the senate
passed (S. 2578) to increase the debt ceiling by $450 billion
dollars, enough to fund the governments operations through the
fiscal year 2002 and half of fiscal year 2003, and thus the 2002
debt ceiling fiasco ended (CBO). The US was on the verge twice in
one year of reaching the debt limit, the republican party under
the Bush administration pushed hard to pass a debt increase while
the senate which was housed by a strong liberal majority
leadership, imposed it. This is inversely related to the current
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day situation where the parties are on the other side of the
table appropriately.
The debt limit talks would be a big part of the Republican
agenda again in the following year of 2003. The Bush
administration still pushed for a debt limit increase to carry
out the rest of its projects, while Democrat Senate leaders
opposed any further debt increases. By May of 2003 the debt was
held $15 million shy of the limit. “The adoption of the
conference report on the FY2004 budget resolution (H.Con.Res. 95;
H.Rept. 108-71) on April 11, 2003, in the House triggered the
“Gephardt rule” (House Rule XXVII) that deems to have passed
legislation (in this case, H.J.Res. 51) raising the debt limit to
accommodate the spending and revenue levels approved in the
adopted budget resolution” (Heniff). As a result the Senate could
create and carry out a joint legislation unilaterally (upon
approval from congress) without having to then pass the
legislation through the House of Representatives. This causes the
process to be quicker and may prove very beneficial (to a current
administration) in instances where legislation might easily pass
congress but would receive opposition in the House of
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Representatives (due to partisan issues). The Gephardt rule is
limited to debt ceiling legislation due to the urgency and
frequency of the matter. (It occurs with great frequency and when
it does it must be resolved quickly, in which case passing the
vote through another governmental branch might be too tedious and
would lag appropriate action).
Every year, the two parties pushed against each other on the
same agenda, the debt ceiling. The debt limit was always
increased enough to fund government activities for one or two
fiscal years and pay the debts already incurred for the same
amount of time. This meant that every other year the debt limit
was once again about to be breached. This happened in 2004, where
once again the nation was tens of millions of dollars shy of
reaching the limit, the treasury imposed the same legislative
strategies it did in the former two years so as to not default.
The year ended with a ‘debt limit suspension period’ until the
next year. The following three years (2005, 2006 and 2007) were
comprised of less dramatic debt fiascos, as republican president
bush took a more ‘liberal’ approach to the debt ceiling than in
his first term (ICAP). In May 2007, the house past a joint
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resolution between the two parties that raised the debt limit to
a modest $9.8 Billion. This goes to show the frequency with which
the debt ceiling is dealt with by all presidential
administrations. The modest increase was enough to stay clear of
the debt limit in these years of economic prosperity but would
prove to be insufficient with the financial troubles that were to
come.
The year 2008 brought with it a financial crisis. This year
was no exception to the debt limit increase; the limit was raised
as a clause in the Housing and Recovery Act of 2008 to $10.6
billion. The fall of Fanny Mae and Freddy Mac caused millions of
Americans to lose their life savings, homes and businesses their
credit lines. This brought even more emphases to the importance
of the treasury and their ability to operate. By October the
Senate passed a bipartisan Emergency Economic Stabilization Act
of 2008 (H.R. 1424) and included a debt limit increase to $11.32
billion. The debt limit was increased with two major bills that
were to come, including: the American Investment and Recovery Act
(to $12 billion, the 2009 H.J. Res. 45 (to $13 billion) (Austin,
Mindy). These bills were not specifically designed to tackle the
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nations debt problems, it was meant to rescue large corporations
whose demise would cripple the U.S. economy and many Americans
and to provide stimulate the economy to promote growth and limit
inflation. In order to carry out these very expensive ventures
though, the U.S. government found it necessary to increase the
debt limit again.
With a change in administration, the Democratic
administration of President Obama now too strongly supported the
debt limit increase, and the republicans, who fought for 8 years
to increase the debt limit now took a strong stance against it.
The 2011 debt-ceiling crisis was at hand and after scrutiny
concluded, with H.R. 1954, a bill that raised the limit to
$16,700 billion in the Balance Act of 2011 and Budget Control Act
of 2011, limit that is now once again being met and with great
debate.
This chronology emphasized on specific points for the
following reason. The first part entails the creation of the debt
limit and is followed by the greatest changes in it. In more
recent history, the Bush administration’s debt-ceiling agenda was
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covered with great detail because even though it was the
Republicans Party that was pushing the agenda before, it is now
the one opposing it. The 2002 debt ceiling is the greatest
example that depicts where both sides get their arguments from,
to either support or oppose the 2013 debt ceiling crisis.
Republicans now say they have learned that increasing the debt
ceiling will only postpone the inevitable and will continue to
come back every other year. Democrats on the other hand, say that
the stakes are too high to gamble, bringing the backbone of this
reports focus, should congress increase the debt limit [2013] to
shield the nation from economic harm?
The controversy over changing the ceiling for the national
debt has two sides. Those who support raising the ceiling to
prevent financial crisis include such general parties as many
fiscally liberal Americans and Wall Street executives. Specific
parties to the supporters include President Barack Obama, Federal
Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke, Former Treasury Secretary Timothy
Geithner, and the US Senate Banking Committee.
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Wall Street executives are general stakeholders in this
polarized dispute and have not stood idle in the sidelines.
Jaimie Dimon, Chief Executive of JPMorgan Chase publicly
supported former secretary Geithner with his concerns about the
debt ceiling. He states he is worried how the negative outcome of
this dispute (namely, not raising the debt ceiling) could disrupt
the process that JPMorgan and most other big banks use to
disburse federal payments. A non-partisan joint letter was made
by more than a dozen Wall Street executives, including the
presidents and CEOs of: Allstate Insurance Company, Bank of
America, BNY Mellon, Citi Group, JPMorgan & Chase, MetLife Inc.,
Morgan Stanley, Prudential Financial Inc., State Street
Corporation, US Bancorp, Wells Fargo & Company and Financial
Services Forum. In this letter sent directly to President Obama
they state “We write to you today to urge you to act this week to
reach an agreement that will ensure that our Nation continues to
meet all of its financial obligations, that will entail
meaningful and concrete steps to put our Nation on a sound fiscal
footing” (Financial Services Forum). These reputable executives
represent the business community whose interest lies not in
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politics but in the negative effects that not raising the debt
ceiling could have for private firms.
The most influential among the specific stakeholders is
President Barack Obama, who strongly stood against increasing the
debt limit in 2006. The then democratic senator stated, “The fact
that we are here today to debate raising America’s debt limit is
a sign of leadership failure. It is a sign that the U.S.
government can’t pay its own bills. ... I therefore intend to
oppose the effort to increase America’s debt limit.”
(Stephanopoulos). But has since drastically changed his position,
he defended his change of stance saying, “Nobody likes to be
tagged as having increased the debt limit for the United States
by a trillion dollars. As president, you start realizing, you
know what, we can't play around with this stuff. . . . [Raising
the limit is] important for the country.” (Stephanopoulos). He
stressed the importance of raising the debt limit in his address
to the nation through a press conference noting, “...the issue
here is whether or not America pays its bills. We are not a
deadbeat nation” (Kesler). The president who formerly voted
against the idea of increasing the debt ceiling while in the U.S.
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senate now sees it incumbent that the limit is raised so he can
fund the projects that his administration has been trying to
accomplish (e.g. Obama care) without risking a default on the
national debt.
Former Secretary of Treasury Timothy Geithner held his
office from 2009 to the first month of 2013. He also served as
the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York from 2003
to 2009. Secretary Geithner was Obama’s lead negotiator for the
2011 debt ceiling crisis and was the one who officially sent a
letter to Congress on December of 2012, noting that the
Government was about to reach the debt limit once more. He sent
the letter to Republican Speaker of the House John A. Boehner,
urging him that not raising the limit would cause “irrevocable”
damage. He also wrote, “It must be understood that the nation's
creditworthiness is not a bargaining chip or a hostage that can
be taken to advance any political agenda” (Geithner). Geithner’s
letter was the spark that initiated the debate over the debt
ceiling and while he is no longer the current Secretary of
Treasurer for the U.S. he is still as influential and reputable
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and is always present in the debate as one of the Presidents
financial consultants.
The supporters have three major arguments to support their
stance on the issues of economic integrity, economic security and
economic responsibility. On the issue of economic integrity,
supporters argue the US needs to maintain its economic integrity
by not defaulting on its debts. As president Obama noted in his
press release “America pays its bills. We are not a deadbeat
nation” (Kesler). Supporters (namely Democrats and Wall Street
Executives among many other citizens) argue that this goes beyond
reputation, as America holds a AAA credit rating (meaning they
are highly dependable and always pay you back). (Melvin,
Schlagenhauf and Talu) Wall street executives wrote on a letter
to the president, “a downgrade of America’s credit rating, would
be a tremendous blow to business and investor confidence- raising
interest rates for everyone who borrows, undermining the value of
the dollar and roiling stock and bond markets- and, therefore,
dramatically worsening our Nation’s already difficult economic
circumstances” (Financial). This is the main force for why
business executives have deemed it necessary to be active
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throughout this debate. It also summarizes the most plausible
effects that would affect the nation should the nation default on
its debt from a financial stand point.
Second, on the issue of economic security, the supporters
argue that the government cannot radically cut spending as
Republicans are asking them to do because it will cripple the
nations programs (e.g. TARF, Social Security, Medicare etc.).
Supporters don’t see the need to cut spending dramatically as
they are only paying for costs that have already been incurred.
They believe that if they do make a deal with the opposing side
right now, the drastic spending cuts would take a negative toll
on the nation especially with social security, which would be
failing their responsibility to fulfill the nations obligation to
the American people (Ruffing). Beyond the formerly mentioned
effects of defaulting which would decrease investor confidence
that would cripple the financial markets and value of the dollar,
Republicans strongly hold their ground stating that they will not
agree to a limit increase with out reciprocal spending cuts.
Supporters argue that, “The debt ceiling is not a question of
authorizing more spending. Raising the debt ceiling does not
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authorize more spending. It simply allows the country to pay for
spending that Congress has already committed to.” (Kesler). In
essence, they argue that the money that will be borrowed will
only be used to pay bills that congress (through the actions of
both Democrats and Republicans) has already incurred. They
emphasize this argument to show that their aim is not to continue
spending more (‘irresponsibly’ as Republicans argue) but to
handle expenditures previously incurred.
Third, supporters argue that the best way to pay the
national bills is to raise the limit on the national debt in
order to resolve both issues of economic integrity and
responsibility because the bills and their follow-through are the
nations financial responsibility. Supports argue that there are
only a limited number of options, and the lesser evil must be
undertaken which is simply to once again raise the debt limit.
Dr. Sahar Bahmani, the Director of the Center for Economic
Education Department reporter that the President commented in a
weekly press release, “We’re going to have to make sure that
people are looking at this in a responsible way, rather than just
through the lens of politics” (Bahmani), to urge Republicans to
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yield to the limit raise. Dr. Bahmani conducted a study after the
2011 debt crisis to pin point what would have happened should the
Democrats and Republicans not come to a compromise while raising
the limit. Her study concluded, “The value of the U.S. dollar
will most certainly decline, which comes with a set of other
problems. The depreciation of the U.S. dollar will cause U.S.
consumers to face higher prices on foreign goods, which is a
major burden for a country that is heavily dependent on foreign
imports and is a debtor nation with an extremely large trade
deficit” (Bahmani). This is a central argument that Democrats use
to support their stance in increasing the debt ceiling. They (the
supporters, namely, democrats) feel that even though raising the
debt ceiling is not a permanent solution to the debt dilemma, the
effects that are avoided (Bahmani’s concluding report) far
outweigh the unknown effect of raising the debt ceiling once more
for the time being.
Current plans of the supporters include the threat to use an
executive order to raise the debt ceiling, as well as a
compromise to cut spending. Many experts have studied the
unprecedented alternative of unilaterally issue new bonds by
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executive order, which would be usurping Congress’s borrowing
power. (Kinnander, Ola, and Sanchez) They concluded that the
President has the ability to sign an executive order based on
‘emergency’ or ‘extreme measures for extreme circumstances. While
a follow up would find the president and his administration
guilty of usurping congress’ power to borrow, they would have
bought enough time to workup new dealings while fixing the
usurpation of power. This would be feasible if and only if
parties can’t come to an agreement by their final hour. While
conducting this action is not a primary plan (unlike the next one
mentioned), threating to do this by insinuating that it could be
an alternative is a strategy the Obama administration is using.
It gives the opposing side, namely Republicans, additional
pressure to compromise during the negotiations.
The current primary plan is negotiation and sacrifice. The
final goal for the supporters is to avoid defaulting. What they
are willing to do is share sacrifice and create a balanced
budget. For this, “Republicans need to give up some of their tax
breaks… cutting spending is tough and it is a challenge to pick
and choose which areas to cut spending on because one must
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consider the long run repercussions of these decisions that are
being made on the economy.” (Bahmani). President Obama expressed
his willingness to, “construct a package that would be balanced,
would share sacrifice, would involve both parties taking on their
sacred cows, would involve some meaningful changes to Medicare,
Social Security and Medicaid, that would preserve the integrity
of the programs” (Obama). A milestone in the negotiations as the
President commits work together with the GOP, especially speaker
Boehner. This makes an agreement between the two sides more
likely and thus is the primary plan of action.
The opposition includes such general parties as the fiscal
conservatives and many Republicans. Specific parties to the
opponents include House Speaker John Boehner, US Senators Marcos
Rubio (R-FL) and Bob Corker (R-TN). Like the supporters, the
opponents also have three main arguments to back their stance on
the issues of economic responsibility and economic security.
First, on the issue of economic responsibility, the opponents
argue against raising the debt ceiling because the payment of the
national debt is merely postponed. Second, also on the issue of
economic responsibility, the opponents argue spending will
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continue irresponsibly. Third, on the issue of economic security,
the opponents argue that raising the debt limit has not worked in
the past. The opposition does not want the US government to
default; their primary objective is to get the congress to accept
the GOP’s deal to include bills including the ‘dollar-for-dollar’
spending cuts and tax increases (Croker), but they do believe
that if this cannot be achieved, a default is well underway. This
creates intense pressure for the Obama administration because
even though it is the Republicans who consider the default as an
ultimatum it is under Obama’s administration that it would occur
therefor Democrats would bare the blame for any negative outcomes
in retrospect.
Many academics consider unprecedented experimental
alternatives. Even though defaulting or dramatically tampering
the debt limit through unconventional means will probably have a
negative blow out, they maintain the notion that picking amongst
lesser evils is necessary. Conservative academics seem to favor
spending cuts, like Speaker Boehner and Senator Bob Corker, who
recently released his “Dollar-for-Dollar” Bill. A new approach
was pioneered by David Malpass, an economist who ran for the New
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York Senate in 2010 and served as Deputy Assistant Treasury
Secretary under President Ronald Reagan, Deputy Assistant
Secretary of State under President George H. W. Bush, and as
Chief Economist at Bear Stearns. Malpass introduced a very
popular notion to simply replace the debt limit with a new law
that “restrains future obligations but doesn’t threaten
nonpayment of past obligations.” (Malpass). Dr. Biggs, resident
scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, a public policy
research think tank comprised of over 50 scholars and experts,
opposes the increase arguing that, ““a large body of research
analyzing historical data indicates that” addressing our debt
crisis by cutting spending is “far more likely to reduce debt and
enhance the economy than raising taxes on American families and
job creators” (Biggs). This is a central theme for opposing tax
increases and favoring spending cuts to deal with the debt
crisis, which the opposition, namely Republicans, use as grounds
for their spending cut demands in the negotiations.
One of the main stakeholders for the opposition is John A.
Boehner who is the current speaker of the House of
Representatives, a member of the Republican Party and a U.S.
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representative from Ohio’s 8th Congressional District. He used to
be the House Majority Leader from 2006-2007 and the House
Minority leader from 2007-2011. As Speaker of the House, he is
second in the line of succession to the U.S. presidency after the
vice-president. Boehner summarized main argument in a press
conference where he stated, “The American people will not
tolerate our increasing the debt limit without significant
reductions in spending," (van de Water). He has held this idea
closely during the negotiations. Boehner’s main goal is to
introduce spending cuts in the Congressional bill if the
Republicans are to vote in favor of increasing the debt limit.
Another influential stakeholder is another member of the
Republican Party, Marco A. Rubio, a United States Senator from
Florida. He served as speaker of the Florida House of
Representatives from 2007-2008. He is a Cuban American native of
Miami and is very active in immigration reform. Unlike speaker
Boehner, Senator Marco Rubio is not influential because of his
power. Paul N. Van de Water, a Senior Fellow at the Center on
Budget and Policy Priorities, where he specializes in Medicare,
Social Security, and health coverage issues analyzed, “the
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American people listen to him and respect him, especially the
because of his Latin roots and conservative American values and
especially in the Latin demographics” (Van de Water). Senator
Rubio made a press release where he noted, “Our generation's
greatest challenge is an economy that isn't growing, alongside a
national debt that is. If we fail to confront this, our children
will be the first Americans ever to inherit a country worse off
than the one their parents were given.” (Rubio). His main concern
is that by viewing the past debt increases, it can be inferred
that there will always be more and more raises needed and
therefore the inevitable is just being postponed to later
generations, Responsibility is the backbone of his reasoning.
The first major issue that the opposition considers
paramount is economic responsibility. The opposition’s beliefs
were summarized by Sen. Rubio in a press release stating, “Our
generation's greatest challenge is an economy that isn't growing,
alongside a national debt that is. If we fail to confront this,
our children will be the first Americans ever to inherit a
country worse off than the one their parents were given.”
(Rubio). They believe that simply raising the debt limit any time
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new money is needed puts future generations at risk because this
money will need to be paid eventually. Even though the increase
needed to raise the debt ceiling is not great, the debt gradually
becomes greater making the problem harder to resolve for future
generations.
Another issue that the opposition considers of great
importance is economic security. The former issue relates to
responsibility, which holds as the bottom line that the nation
cannot defer its debt to generations that are yet to come. On the
other hand the opposition, mainly Republicans also value this
issue of economic security greatly because they know that a
default would result in a ‘recovery-ending event.’ For this, they
stand strong in their stance of spending cuts. Van de Water
summarized the negatives toll taxes would have stating, “Current
federal policies make it harder for job creators to start and
grow businesses. Taxes on individuals are complicated and set to
rise in less than two years. Corporate taxes will soon be the
highest in the industrialized world.” and goes to conclude,
“ Under this plan, public debt will equal 87% of our economy in
less than 10 years. This will scare away job creators and lead to
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higher taxes, higher interest rates and greater inflation.” (Van
de Water). Republicans use this argument to prove that spending
cuts are the correct choice over higher taxation because of the
domino effect that higher taxes could have on the economy and job
creation.
For the opposition, compromise is also a grave issue.
Republicans do believe that they should do the utmost to not let
the nation default on its loans, but not if they do not make the
democrats compromise with spending cuts. Kathy Ruffing, a Senior
Fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities,
specializing in federal budget issues pinpoints that the GOP’s
aim is to “defeat an increase in the debt limit unless it is the
last one we ever authorize and is accompanied by a plan for
fundamental tax reform, an overhaul of our regulatory structure,
a cut to discretionary spending, a balanced-budget amendment, and
reforms to save Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.”
(Ruffing). It is hard to accomplish this not only because there
is intense opposition to all these reforms, especially by the
democrats, but also because there is very little time to act. In
the case that congress fails to meet their demands they believe,
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“ automatic across-the-board spending reductions should be
triggered to close the gap. These public debt caps could go in
tandem with a Constitutional balanced budget amendment.” (Rubio).
These spending cuts are meant not as a solution but rather to
create pressure for both Democrats and Republicans to come to an
agreement. The spending cuts would be experienced across the
board meaning that it affects all projects and therefore the
interest of both parties.
The opposition’s current plans include sacrifices in the
short term in order to reduce the overall debt, and attempts to
balance financial difficulties through a “Dollar-per-Dollar”
legislation. The “Dollar-per-Dollar” is its primary plan which it
hopes to attach to the act that those in support of raising the
debt limit will issue, if they hope to get the oppositions vote
on it. This bill was introduced by Senator Bob Corker who noted,
“I’ve introduced dollar-for-dollar legislation that will raise
the debt ceiling by roughly $1 trillion in exchange for roughly
$1 trillion in reforms to Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.
This bill incorporates many of the recommendations made in the
bipartisan Simpson-Bowles and Domenici-Rivlin proposals. These
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proposals were commissioned by the bipartisan policy center, who
alter bills to include balanced legislations, which incorporates
the Republicans spending cuts into both health and defense funds.
Corker, who was one of the main authors of the bill includes in
the bills abstract, “This bill meets our obligations to older and
younger Americans. Young Americans expect us to solve our fiscal
issues so they aren’t saddled with debt and robbed of their
opportunity for the American dream. And seniors expect us to
honor the commitments we have made to them.” (Corker). It
provides a solution where congress would allow the debt limit to
be raised, and inversely cut spending to the same amount so that
the nation does not default and the debt does not increase. Its
goal is to allow congress to fix the debt crisis temporarily
without increasing the debt for other generations to deal with.
In essence the bulk of the bill’s discretionary funds would
be derived from the reformation of Medicare. Republicans want to
keep it free-for-service but let it compete side by side against
private organizations, giving the private citizens (namely,
seniors) the right to choose their preferred service. This in
turn would reduce the costs without sacrificing the spending cap
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on the program. It would also charge higher premiums for Medicare
and increase the age of eligibility to 67, thereby charging more
to less people. The bill also includes a social security reform
clause that does not go into detail on how it will be reformed
but does say that it will “enhance the progressivity of the
benefit calculations” and “slowly raise the retirement age and
benefit computation period to reflect longevity increases and
strengthen the solvency of the disability insurance program”
(Corker). This new computations come mainly form the fact that
people are dying at an older age so the government is paying more
and more per individual every generation. These alternations
would reflect this increased life longevity and make these funds
give out less money accounting for a major portion of savings
that are needed for the debt payment funding.
On the issue of economic integrity, supporters for raising the
debt ceiling hold the idea that the U.S. cannot default on the
debt that it has already incurred with its citizens and other
nations and organizations because people must have confidence and
faith in the consistency of the government’s actions and values,
namely, keeping its word. The strongest argument for the
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supporters of raising the debt ceiling is that defaulting on the
loan would hurt the United States credit rating. Supporters have
shown through statements made by economists that the US credit
rating is crucially important for an economy to grow because
people must conduct business within that nation. If the U.S. gets
downgraded, foreign investors would relocate their investments
somewhere else. The United States currently has an AAA rating; it
is the highest possible rating and it means that the obligator
has extremely high capacity to meet its financial commitments. A
single downgrade to AA+ signifies it has a strong capacity
(versus very strong. That single word will cause investors to
put their money elsewhere because there are many other easily
available AAA investments. This is important because foreign
investment accounts for 2% of the nation’s GDP, and to put that
in perspective, the nation’s GDP is currently growing at 0.4%
(Foreign), so a drop in two percent is catastrophic. These are
inferred speculations based on the following historical
occurrences.
Apart from the factual numbers, dropping in credit ratings has
many side effects. This has already happened before on August
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2011. The global market declined after the announcement, all
three major U.S. stock markets fell about 7% in one day (AAA).
This affected the United States market domestically and globally
and hurt the US dollar in relation to world currencies. This also
had a severe impact in other countries that are heavily dependent
on the United States financial health. Such a financial crisis
in 2008 set a global domino effect of economic hardship that lead
to a global recession. The supporters arguments, which stems from
the debt crisis of 2011 appeals to historical occurrences rather
than speculation and is therefor strong.
A great weakness that this argument presents is that while it
avoids negative consequences it does not address the underlying
problem of the debt. The United States could be downgraded for
not paying its bills on time and defaulting on some payments or
others, but if the debt increases again and again protecting the
integrity of the United States will be much costlier in the
future. Negative consequences will increase as the debt grows
and the government is knowingly accumulating more debt. Integrity
is regarded as the truthfulness and honesty of ones actions and
while this argument does make the United States remain truthful
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to those who it owes money to, it is not being consistent in the
sense that to pay for those debts it will tax individuals and cut
spending in some projects. So it is paying the nations debt by
taking money away from the citizen’s pockets; meanwhile, the
underlying debt problem still remains because the debt will still
be larger than the domestic income next year, creating another
deficit like this one (as shown in Exhibit B).
The opposition (namely, Republicans) has a strong argument for
why the United States should not just continue to raise the debt
ceiling when need be. The opposite of integrity is regarded as
hypocrisy. Those who oppose raising the debt ceiling believe that
the U.S. is not really showing integrity but rather postponing
the unavoidable default. The Republicans argue that it is
hypocritical for Democrats to want to raise the debt ceiling on
the grounds of integrity when in all honesty they are fixing the
problem for the current Obama administration, but worsening it
for the nation as a whole, especially for those who will have to
face this issue in the future when the debt is much greater. In
this sense, the opposition argues that true integrity would be to
take a hit now, and solve the real problem, be it by defaulting
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(highly unlikely) or by agreeing to conduct sever spending cuts
(so as to not spend more money). This inference is backed up by
historical reference. The United States debt is increasing at
higher rates than the GDP (Exhibit B), and the debt limit has
been raised in the past five administrations, over ten times in
the last decade alone (Exhibit C), meaning that simply increasing
the limit does not fix the debt problem but rather it postpones
it.
The weakness of the opposition arises due to the impossibility
of finding ways to implement spending cuts that go deeply enough
to maintain the government operational without it having to
sacrifice programs that are crucial to the nation (i.e. U.S.
Navy, Homeland Security, Medicare, Social Security etc.). The
Republicans lack evidence as they cannot prove that in the
future, the government will be unable to pay its debts, either
through innovative financial vehicles or through great fiscal
surpluses. In this case, they could raise the limit now and pay
off debt at some point in the future, where the economy is bound
to boom once more (due to the basic macro economic ‘business
cycle model’ that depict the economy as uprising waves (Appendix
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A)). The notion that a default will generate an unprecedented
wave of negative outcomes such as an increase in inflation and
unemployment and a decrease in the value of the dollar and
investment is now widely accepted (by both proponents and
opponents) as was reported by the former secretary of the
Treasury, Timothy Geithenr in his address to congress (Geithner)
who is now a reputable source due to his experience in the
nations economic affairs. Thus for most republicans, a default
was never a viable solution. While the opposition raises
valuable objections to raising the debt ceiling, there are no
viable alternative solutions that solve the root problems of the
debt-ceiling crisis and keep the nation from defaulting.
The supporters (Democrats) win this argument. The best way to
preserve the integrity of the United States and its financial
obligations is to raise the debt ceiling. The risk that this
problem will come back in a way that is even harder to tackle is
far outweighed by the negative effects of tackling it right now.
This is because even though the root of the problem is not
addressed by increasing the debt limit, the nation will not go
through economic harm, as it has been done dozens of times over
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the past decade. This gives the nation and politicians time to
come up with other alternatives and there is always the chance
that the U.S. might be able to pay this debt in the future
through economic surpluses or other innovations.
Economic security is another major argument central to this
debate. The supporters for raising the debt ceiling argue that
the limit must be raised without radically cutting government
expenditures as the opposing side would have it because it will
cripple many crucial programs that the U.S. Government funds. The
opposition argues that increasing the debt ceiling without
cutting spending is avoiding the real problem. Furthermore
opponents argue that the government would have to raise
individual and corporation taxes, and this will lead to increased
interest rates, which would cause greater inflation and stagnate
job creations crippling the economy.
The supporters (Democrats) have a strong case for raising the
debt ceiling without enacting spending cuts. Cutting funds from
discretionary programs is not enough money to meet the amount
needed to control the debt. The biggest cuts are aimed for health
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services like Obama Care and Social Security, other cuts proposed
by the Republicans would include 30% less to the Development and
Assistance Account (funds basic education and agricultural
programs), 41% less to the emergency food relief program, 67%
reduction to the international Disaster Assistance Account (funds
for clean water, emergency shelters, health services etc.), 52%
cut to donations of U.S. agricultural commodities to school
feeding programs among many others (Forsberg). It is evident that
these cuts undermine the U.S. foreign relation policy and
interest, which the U.S. has been working for a long time to
maintain. It would make the U.S. less influential in world
markets and foreign nation. The U.S. needs its influence across
the world to combat terrorism, conduct business operations and
massive financial projects, to plant military bases and conduct
joint military and scientific operations, all these crucial to
national defense and the notion of the U.S. being a role model
and beacon of prosperity to the rest of the world. Government
employees would also see less retirement funds and decreased
salaries. These effects are based on the professional opinion
made in a statement prepared by Douglas Holtz-Eakin in a
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statement on a hearing before the Committee on the Budget House
of Representatives, first session of the one hundred and twelfth
congress (United). Holtz-Eakin is a reputable source as he is an
American Economist and former Director of the Congressional
Budget Office, meaning he has a long-standing experience in
United States economic policy.
The supporters’ arguments also have many weaknesses. For one,
this argument is about maintaining economic security, and even
though the nation’s projects are very important to a high
percentage people, who, however noble, are expendable in the face
of an economic crisis that will have worse short and long-term
repercussions. It can be logically inferred that when any
organization, individual or nation is facing a debt problem, they
are having a spending problem. This means that the government
must not only figure out how to pay what is already owed, but
also figure out how to stop spending so that the problem does not
become bigger or happen again, which will surely happen if we
keep spending at a pace with which the US obviously cannot keep
up (as shown in Exhibit B). Their argument only states how to
overcome the effect of the debt crisis but not how to fix the
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cause. In this way, their argument is weak because it does not
address the core root of the problem (which would be spending
less to avoid this much debt), it only addresses how to contain
the negative effects temporarily (namely, increasing taxes to pay
for debts already incurred without regard to expenses that are to
come).
The opposition (namely, the GOP) believes that the correct
path to complement a raise in the debt ceiling is to cut
government spending across many programs (mentioned above). This
is a logical step for two reasons. First, simply raising the debt
ceiling alone and not cutting spending will inevitably lead to
another debt crisis in the near future. This is a strong argument
because there is strong evidence in the form of historical
precedence to back it up as the nation’s GDP is growing at a much
slower rate than the national debt (Exhibit B). Furthermore, from
an economic viewpoint, the only other option besides spending
cuts is tax increases to generate revenue. The opposition is
against raising taxes because, as Van de Water summarized, an
increase in taxes will be enough to stagnate job creation (Van de
Water). It will be harder for companies to grow and hire people,
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and it will be harder for business owners to start a new business
therefore hurting the growth of the economy.
A major weakness for the opposition who are pushing for major
cuts is that it is very transparent that they are pushing an
agenda that attacks social programs. The American people
sympathize with government employees who would get laid off or
get their wages decreased, especially soldiers. This creates a
weakness for their argument because they (as a political party)
lose credibility, which casts doubts and undermines their
evidence and intentions. Another flaw is that the domino effect
Van de Water relies on may be considered a stretch. If taxes are
increased firms may or may not lay off people (Van De Water). If
they do, it is hard to say how many people would be laid off. It
is hard to quantify this on pure speculation, and therefore the
argument becomes unstable due to lack of evidence. Furthermore,
spending cuts are just as likely to have the same effect (as tax
increases which are favored by the proponents) through different
means. If the government spends less, people will lose their jobs
across many programs because the biggest employer in the United
States is the U.S. Government. Apart from people who will
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directly lose their jobs, the U.S. will have less ‘stimulus’
money. This money is used to contract companies and workers for
jobs like highways, damns, etc., this alone would hurt employment
at a federal, state and local level.
On the matter of economic security, it is very hard to
establish dominance or a superior argument. The arguments the
opposition made for why tax breaks harm the economy through
unemployment and investment losses can also be made for why
spending cuts are harmful to social and educational programs.
Both of these are based on valid economic assumptions, but
assumptions non-the less. An increase in taxes would not make the
U.S. spend less money, but it would give it more money to be able
to pay the debts. Inversely, spending cuts do not give the U.S.
more money to pay its debt, but it makes the debt increase at
lower rates making it easier to pay. Both arguments provide
different means that have the same end. In essence, the
opposition’s plan would benefit the individual by not having the
government take money from citizens’ pockets but rather just have
the government spend less (and affecting government employees but
not all U.S. citizens). In this sense, the opposition’s plan
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makes a very strong case, but because the matter in dispute is
the economic security of the nation (as a whole), the supporters’
argument would be the superior one as it more beneficial to the
United States as a nation (not just citizens who do not work for
the government).
A third and equally crucial argument surrounds economic
responsibility. Supporters for raising the debt ceiling argue
that raising the limit is the responsible thing to do, seeing as
the nation has already incurred the bills, and it is the nation’s
financial responsibility to pay what it owes. The opposition
argues that to be economically responsible, the government cannot
keep increasing the limit every time it is reached because this
causes irresponsible spending and gradually increases the debt
without cessation building up a time bomb that future generations
will have to deal with. The arguments come down to the
interpretation of responsibility.
The biggest strength that the supporters (Democrats) have for
this argument is that it is simple and concise. This is because
responsibility is defined by moral, legal or mental
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accountability and that is exactly what the supporters are doing
in the following ways: First the United States has a legal
responsibility to pay the money it owes (because the government
is a legal entity). Secondly, it also has the moral
responsibility to be accountable for the debts that is has
already incurred in the past, like Obama said, ‘we are not a dead
beat nation’, so now it must be true to its word and pay
individuals and organizations their money back.
The biggest weakness for the supporter’s argument on economic
responsibility is that the argument is built on the premise of
‘what is responsibility’ and this can be inferred in different
ways. In one hand it can be argued that the responsible thing is
paying back the money that has been borrowed (meaning the
government is being accountable towards its lenders). On the
other hand, the opposition also builds their very different
argument on the same premise (being responsible). Both sides are
doing what they feel is the responsible thing to do yet both
arguments are logically valid. Therefore there is no way of
knowing whose idea of ‘responsibility’ is more valid.
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The strength for the opposition’s arguments yields from a
shared premise, their interpretation of responsibility. The
opposition (GOP) believes that moral accountability is saying
‘the buck stops here,’ meaning that the nation should change
course not just evade the obstacle (debt) because it will have to
be inherited by future generations. The opposition considers it
irresponsible to amount debt and leave it to future generations
that did not incur the debt but must anyhow pay it. This scenario
can be backed up through the evidence demonstrated in both
Exhibit B and Exhibit C. There is a clear upward trend showing
debt outpacing the nations GDP, if the government continues to
simply increase the debt limit, future generations are going to
be facing a debt exponentially greater than that of today (the
one incurred by this generation amounted by the one incurred by
future generations). This is why the course of action must be
altered and today’s debt must be paid in the present, however
unconventional.
The opposition’s argument’s major flaw, not unlike the
proponents, is that all argumentation stems from the
interpretation of responsibility and what is the government’s
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real responsibility. It is ambiguous and cannot be quantified;
therefor is a matter of values and hard to define. This presents
a weakness because when choosing between the opposition’s and the
proponent’s plan, which both aim at doing the responsible thing
in different ways, it seems only logical that it is better to
pick the lesser of evils (because the proponents postpone a
problem to an undefined future and the opponents will have it
settled today, while the nation is in a delicate economic
‘recovering’ situation).
I believe that the proponents’ best argue this issue. While
none of the arguments are wrong, and both the proponents and
opponents want to do what is easily considered ‘responsible’ (in
both cases), the proponents win this argument. I believe that
the proponents’ argument is stronger simply because the
oppositions’ argument is based on moral accountability for the
future, which is unpredictable and uncertain, while the
proponents’ idea of legal accountability is a clear and present
danger today.
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To evaluate this debate more thoroughly, this paper will now
present and analyze the moral reasoning behind opponents and
proponents through their obligations, values, consequences and
normative principles that are the foundation of their stance and
arguments. President Barrack Obama, the main supporter for the
pro side, aims to increase the debt ceiling and generate revenues
through tax increases to offset the debt his primary obligation
being to the United States government. This obligation is a
formal and legal one, as it is the duty of the President of the
United States to defend the nation from all threats to the best
of their ability (as they solemnly swear to do so in the
inauguration). Other proponents, like Secretary of the Treasury
Timothy Geithner are obligated to safeguard the financial
wellbeing of the U.S. economy and other supporters also believe
in shielding the nation from financial harm.
Aside from these obligations, proponents value security. They
believe that security serves as the root to the obligations they
have undertaken. Proponents also value reputation. They favor
the debt increase so that the nation does not default on its
loans in order to avoid a ripple effect of negative financial
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effects, which might damage the image of the US. Finally, the
supporters value duty. They perceive that the country has a duty
to both the people and to maintain financial balance.
The supporters believe that unless the debt ceiling is raised,
the economy and the US economic relationships worldwide will be
damaged. They perceive that raising the debt ceiling is the only
way for the government to maintain its obligation to protect the
country from default and economic ruin. These consequences were
characterized “irrevocable” damage by the former secretary of
treasury Timothy Geithner who explains, “It must be understood
that the nation's creditworthiness is not a bargaining chip or a
hostage that can be taken to advance any political agenda”
(Geithner). The creditworthiness, as previously mentioned, is
considered important by the proponents because “a downgrade of
America’s credit rating, would be a tremendous blow to business
and investor confidence- raising interest rates for everyone who
borrows, undermining the value of the dollar and roiling stock
and bond markets- and, therefore, dramatically worsening our
Nation’s already difficult economic circumstances” (Financial).
Proponents argue that this would be a very bad scenario
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especially nowadays, while the nation is recovering form a world
wide recession and is very susceptible to investor confidence and
speculation.
The supporters base their position and values on the normative
Principle of Consequences. The supporters believe that while
assessing consequences, the only thing that matters is the amount
of good or bad that results. They foresee the consequence of
raising the ceiling as generating the most good for the country.
By raising the debt ceiling, the supporters foresee a steady rate
for employment and continued confidence in the US economy by
investors, both foreign and domestic. Since the government would
not be forced to default, the country would also be able to
continue running and have an opportunity to reconfigure the
budget in the future. They also believe in the normative
Principle of Least Harm. This principle stresses than when there
are choices, the government and people need to select the choice
that will result in the least amount of damage. In this case,
raising the debt ceiling results in the lower amount of harm,
than that which would result from the government defaulting. This
is because if the government raises the debt ceiling, the problem
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will be temporarily solved, giving more time to come up with
solutions and innovations. The government will be able to borrow
more money and keep funding all its programs and pay for expenses
that have already been incurred. If the government defaulted on
the other hand, many people would loose their jobs seeing as how
the government, which is the biggest employer in the nation, must
fire employees because it cannot pay them, and this in turn slows
down the economy because it has less stimulus and money in
circulation to conduct businesses as investors will stop creating
business opportunities for fear of the economic environment as
previously mentioned. When weighing these two scenarios, the
first one, as proposed by the proponents will be less harmful to
the nation thus being in accordance with the principle of least
harm.
The opponents value responsibility. They are willing to
seek other ways of dealing with the debt ceiling because they
want the US government to act in a responsible way by not
spending more than the tax money brings into governmental
coffers. The opponents also value accountability. They see
raising the debt ceiling as a failure to be accountable for the
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debt and the inability to maintain a workable budget. Finally,
the opponents value courage. They believe that by taking a firm
position on the debt, the country will be forced to tighten its
“belt” in order to regain economic balance.
The opponents see the government as having an obligation to
the US citizens to regulate the economy in a way that allows for
social programs but not overspending the amount of money given by
the American people. The opponents would like the government to
cut back spending on certain programs in order to decrease the
amount of the debt and to maintain a higher value for US currency
around the world. With the increasing debt, the opposition
perceives that international markets will see the dollar as worth
less than it has in the past.
The opposition sees the raising of the debt ceiling without
decreasing spending as a pathway to further economic instability.
They also believe that if the debt ceiling is raised this time in
order to avert disaster, the government will continue to raise
the ceiling rather than address the overspending, which is the
fundamental problem. The opponents also believe that some of the
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programs continued due to the raised debt ceiling need to be
reduced because these programs are nonessential.
The opponents base their values and beliefs on the normative
Principle of Beneficence, which states that people have a moral
obligation to help or do “good” towards others. The opponents
believe that they should be guiding the government in ways that
will help the next generation, in this sense they are acting in
the best interest of others (namely, future generations) not only
themselves. If the government cannot control the budget so that
the nation does not default on the debt, then the government is
not meeting its obligation to assist and protect the people of
the US. They perceive the government as having a responsibility
to look out for the future. The opponents also base their stance
on the normative Principle of Categorical Imperative as described
by Kant. The opponents worry that if raising the debt ceiling is
a universal law, then it would always hold true such that every
time there is an economic crisis for default, the ceiling would
and should be raised. Historical precedence has been that
administrations simply raise the debt limit when it is met,
paving the way for future generations to do the same. If this
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administration simply raises the debt ceiling right now to avoid
the negative consequences, then why would any other not do the
same? In this sense, the proponents base their stance on the
normative principle of Categorical Imperative.
The interviews I conducted helped open my mind to new
perspectives and deepened the knowledge for analyzing the
implications that different solutions entailed. My first
interview was with the Honorable Richard Raymond, a democratic
United States Representative of Texas who has been in office
since 2009. Rep. Raymond favors an increase in the debt ceiling,
as most democrats do, but also explained his vision for a Federal
Balanced Budget Amendment, a notion that heavily influenced my
paper and altered my tentative solution completely. Rep. Raymond
believes priorities must always be made and these are very hard
decisions to make, he ended the interview saying, “You have hard
choices but my feeling is, if you don’t want to make hard choices
and hard decision you don’t have to run for office, nobody makes
you, its not mandatory” (Raymond). This inspired me to analyze
what really needs to be done for the greater and long-term good,
and follow through, because there are no perfect decisions, there
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are always counter arguments to be made but we have to follow
through.
My second Interview was with Councilwoman Chan, a Republican
from District 9 in San Antonio, Texas who has held office since
2009. Unlike Rep. Raymond, Councilwoman Chan does not support a
raise in the debt ceiling, but does not believe that a default
should be an option either. Like most Republicans she does not
favor tax increases but rather deep spending cuts; unlike most
Republicans however, councilwoman Chan supports the idea of a
Federal Budget Balance Amendment. The biggest influence
Councilwoman Chan had on my solution was the idea that
politicians need to be ‘pushed’ in order to get things done,
yielding the introduction of a ‘No Budget- No Pay’ clause in my
solution. She also made me decide that comprehensive across the
board cuts are fairer and more effective that prioritizing a few
programs and deeply cutting others.
After a thorough analysis of the arguments and related
evidence presented by both sides regarding an increase in the
federal debt ceiling, a final solution to this controversy has
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arisen. I believe that a two-part solution is needed; one
addresses the present day debt-ceiling crisis and fixes this
problem in the short term, the second part, in the long term.
First off, to solve the debt crisis in the short run, the
United States government should vote to increase the debt ceiling
in order to avoid default. Secondly, once the threat of a default
is gone, the government should, to solve this problem in the
long-run, pass a Balance Budget Amendment requiring congress to
balance the federal budget to the extent that expenditures do not
exceed revenues. Because the United States has a very large debt
(sixteen trillion USD (Government)) and has a very large and
complex financial structure, time is needed. To address this, the
government should create a special committee charged with the
responsibilities of seeing this through. In addition, a clause
is to be implemented within this amendment giving the executive
power (the president) or congress upon a majority 4/5th vote and
a signoff from the Supreme Court to borrow additional funds
(quantity and allocation disclosed before hand) under special
circumstances (wars, economic recessions, natural disasters,
etc.)
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The special committee created to oversee this solution
should be made up of: honorable judges (such as those appointed
in the United States Supreme Court), Macro Economic experts (such
as the chairman of the Federal Bank Ben Bernanke, and current or
former Secretaries of Treasury) and politicians serving in the
United States Senate from both major parties (seeing as how,
unlike members of the House of Representatives, these politicians
are elected for longer terms and serve larger geographical and
demographical areas avoiding special interests and the rapid
turnover that would be experienced by a member that must run for
election every two years instead of six). This committee should
analyze an acceptable implementation time, somewhere between the
years 2015-2020, at which point the government should have no
deficit.
Between the present time and the target date by which the
Balance Budget Amendment would be in effect, the government needs
to be running in, or near, a balanced budget. To address this,
the special committee alongside Congress should take the
following two actions to increase the wealth of the government:
First, enact a temporary strategic tax reform (to raise taxes in
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areas that do not threat job and business growth) to generate
revenue for the nation. Secondly, conduct comprehensive across
the board spending cuts to save the government money by
diminishing expenses as this debt accumulation is in most part
due to excessive government spending as seen in Exhibit ‘D’.
Finally, to assure the smooth and timely cooperation of congress,
a no-pay clause should be enacted whereby members of congress
will have their salaries frozen every time they fail to make a
decision by a deadline established by the special committee, and
reinstated when they make one.
This decision is tailored to address solve the problem while
addressing the needs and concerns of both the supporters and the
proponents. The decision to increase the debt ceiling is stems
from my belief that the United States cannot default on it’s deb
simply because the consequences of doing so are far too great.
Some possible and likely consequences included a downgrade in
credit rating and the partial or complete deletion of critical
government programs. This would create investor insecurity
causing the investment levels to decrease eliminating the growth
of the economy. This would also cause tens of millions of people
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their jobs, and in an economy that is not growing, no new jobs
are likely to be found. The lack of programs, money, jobs,
welfare and security that would result form cutbacks will
severely hurt the American standard of living. Many reputable
economist and politicians back this conclusion. First off, former
Secretary of Treasury, Timothy Geithner, who ensured this would
scenario, would be a “recovery-ending event” (Geithner). The
effects of a downgrade are evident by historical precedence, as
they have already occurred in the 2011 debt crisis.
A counter argument that this decision will face is that this
only solves the problem in the short run. This is evident in
historical precedence as shown in Exhibit ‘C’. Congresswoman
Chan, my second interviewee argued this point saying, “simply
raising the debt limit does not solve our debt problem, we just
get a little more time to spend more money and surely, a year
later, we will be having this debate, again and again as we have
been doing for the past decade” (Chan), and I agree. For this
reason, my solution then implements a Balanced Budget Amendment
for the United States at a federal level. A balanced budget is no
innovation; it is already employed in all U.S. states but Vermont
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(State). Texas, a state that is known for operating in surplus,
has the following balanced budget amendment in it’s constitution,
“Except in the case of emergency and imperative public necessity
and with a four-fifths vote of the total membership of each
House, no appropriation in excess of the cash and anticipated
revenue of the funds from which such appropriation is to be made
shall be valid”(Texas). Following these basic guidelines, the
government will only spend what the money they have or plan to
receive (through taxes or otherwise). This in turn creates a
strict allocation of resources that yield the following favorable
outcomes: Restricts the capabilities for politicians to add ‘Pork
Barrel’ legislations (legislations attached to bills to favor
personal benefit and/or favoring localized areas) into bills.
Creates Accountability for the money that is being spend, as
money in a very constricted budget is scrutinized, which in turn
makes sure that money is being invested where it will have the
greatest value. Because new spending is hard to enact (because it
must be proved to be more valuable than other expenditures and
the voted upon), politicians running for office will be less able
to favor and help special minority groups through funding thus
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diminishing incentive for special interest groups to heavily fund
campaigns creating fairer elections more focused on the
candidates merits.
The moral reasoning on which I base my position to increase
the debt ceiling accompanied by a Balanced Budget Amendment to
the United States Constitution and a combination of comprehensive
spending cuts and tax increases is, for one, the normative
principle of consequences. The principle of consequences, part of
Utilitarian Ethics, states that the only thing that matters is
the total amount of good or bad that is caused and the best
actions are those that produce the greatest amount of good over
the greatest amount of bad in the long-term (Normative). This
applies to my decision in various ways; for one, it avoids
defaulting, which is the other option that causes a lot of bad to
the nation and its citizens. Furthermore, even though spending
cuts and increased taxes are not favorable (as they don’t
directly benefit people in the short run), it does cause the most
amount of good in the long run. This is true seeing as how it
solves the roots of the debt crisis in the long run and reduces,
if not eliminates, the risk of the a default in the future or
Vitanza 65
more debt-ceiling crisis that may come in less ideal times (in
more economically troubled or politically unstable times).
The Principle of Need is another reasoning on which I base
my decision. This principle states that “Each person is
guaranteed the primary social goods that are necessary to meet
the normal costs of satisfying one's basic needs in the society
in which one lives, assuming there are sufficient social and
economic resources in his society to maintain the guaranteed
minimum” (Normative). This decision abides by these grounds in at
least two ways. For one, it ensures that the government does not
default, in which case American citizens would lose their jobs in
a shrinking economy where finding a new one would be extremely
challenging. Furthermore, it ensures that the government
maintains enough resources to fund the most crucial social
programs. These programs include: social security, armed forces,
health care and education, to ensure that members of society that
cannot afford medication, security (either by living in safe,
more expensive environments or investing in security measures),
or education (by investing in private schools and college) get
these basic services that are essential to both the individuals
Vitanza 66
and the nation alike. Finally, I value economic security. I value
economic security because in a capitalist nation, it provides (in
many ways) the means to shelter, education and most of all, peace
of mind (as people need not sleep worrying how they are going to
pay the next rent or buy their next meal for their children).
Aside from my two interviews I was also part of a civic
engagement. This civic engagement took place in the Texas Capitol
Building at Austin. Texas Rangers gathered in the capitol
building to express their complaints on the recently enacted
budget cuts to their representatives. These Texas Rangers varied
in rank and duties, some were law enforcers across the state, and
others concentrated in environmental progress in single counties.
Among the many stories told, one of these rangers expressed how
over half of his fellow rangers from Webb County (in Laredo,
Texas) lost their post due to cuts, after working together for
decades. He went on to say that the remaining ones were working
much harder and for a decreased wage. This in turn caused delays
in many programs, which in one case caused a small diary farm to
close, as their livestock ran away through what previously was a
‘county-maintained’ fence line that ranged through dozens of
Vitanza 67
fields. The owner of the diary farm had to pull his eldest son
from college to help sell the remaining livestock. His fellow
rangers that were laid off still can’t find a job and struggle to
feed their families, most are currently freelancers working in
ranches. This was crucially influential to me because I was used
to seeing these macro decision from the top down without really
considering how they cause a domino effect that change peoples
lives forever. It shed light on how some projects that seem
insignificant to most, mean the world to others and made me be
more conscious and careful when deciding where to draw the line.
This ultimately led me to favor across the board ‘comprehensive’
spending cuts instead of ‘prioritized’ spending cuts, where
heavily funded programs like the Army or Medicare are barely
divested at the expense of the complete obliteration of other
lesser known programs, and what better example than the many
smaller divisions of the Texas Rangers. This scenario embodied
the effects of financial decisions that affect the nation. In
this context, this civic engagement reminded me to keep in mind
that this is a government of the people, for the people, and to
the people – a notion that should never perish. For this notion,
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and the many reasons formerly stated, I believe that the United
States should increase the Federal Debt Ceiling, and follow
through with my proposed solution- without delay.
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Appendix B: Interview Questions
Questionnaire on the US Debt
By: Roque G. Vitanza
-Do you support an increase in the debt ceiling (versus a default)?
-How do you believe the government should raise the funds needed to pay off debt (raise taxes, cut spending or both)?
Vitanza 78
-How can we hold our politicians accountable for letting the nation come this close to the debt limit? Is there any party that deserves more blame than others?
-How would you think we could prevent the nation from coming this close to the debt ceiling in the future (A tentative solution per se)?
Appendix C: (Engagement Pictures)
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