Might did not make right Bush Doctrine in Mideast ended up in tatters
Transcript of Might did not make right Bush Doctrine in Mideast ended up in tatters
Beijing Foreign Language StudiesUniversity
Might Did not Make Right —Bush Doctrine in the Mideast Ended
up in Tatters
Term Paper for American Foreign Policy in the
Post-war Years
Might Did Not Make Right—Bush Doctrine in the Mideast Ended up in Tatters
Student Name: 杨杨杨
Student ID: 13011074
Date: December, 2013
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Might Did Not Make Right—Bush Doctrine in the Mideast Ended up in Tatters
Abstract
The “Bush Doctrine”, which asserted that the United
States should preemptively attack states that harbored
terrorists and act unilaterally if necessary, was
launched with power in the Mideast but ended in tatters.
On every issue that Bush administration prioritized—
promoting Arab-Israeli peace, liberating Lebanon from
Syrian and Iranian influence, stabilizing Iraq and
containing Iran—American’s foes grew stronger and its
allies fell weaker. The United States failed to achieve
its objectives in the realms of counter-terrorism,
democracy promotion and nuclear proliferation. The main
reason for its failure was that the Bush administration
relied too much on military force and too little on
diplomacy. In this paper, I firstly give a brief
Might Did Not Make Right—Bush Doctrine in the Mideast Ended up in Tatters
description of the Bush Doctrine; secondly make a review
of Bush policy in the Mideast; last I make an analysis of
the reasons for Bush policy’s failure in the Mideast.
Key words: the “Bush Doctrine”; Mideast; Failure;
Military Force
摘摘
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Might Did Not Make Right—Bush Doctrine in the Mideast Ended up in Tatters
1.The “Bush Doctrine”
The “Bush Doctrine”, though rarely used by members of
the Bush administration, revealed everything about George
W. Bush’s foreign policy. The September 11, 2001, attacks
on the United States put the “war on terrorism” atop of
the Bush agenda, and in the months after, Bush’s foreign
policy took on an aggressive tone, particularly towards
Mideast. The phrase the “Bush Doctrine” after 9/11
particularly described the policy that the United States
had the right to secure itself against countries that
harbor or give aid to terrorists.
1.1 The Four Planks of the “Bush Doctrine”
In the year after September 11, 2001, the Bush
administration put together the elements of a more far-
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reaching foreign policy doctrine based on pre-emptive
military strikes, unilateralism and prevention of the
emergence of rivals to the United States, which was
manifested in the Bush Doctrine. The main principles of
the Bush Doctrine were delineated in the National Security
Strategy of the United States 1:
The security environment confronting the United States
today is radically different from what we have faced
before. Yet the first duty of the United States Government
remains what it always has been: to protect the American
people and American interests. It is an enduring American
principle that this duty obligates the government to
anticipate and counter threats, using all elements of
national power, before the threats can do grave damage.
The greater the threat, the greater is the risk of
inaction – and the more compelling the case for taking
anticipatory action to defend ourselves, even if
uncertainty remains as to the time and place of the
enemy’s attack. There are few greater threats than a
terrorist attack with WMD.
1 The National Security Strategy of the United States was first published in 2002 and thenrevised in 2006. It is available online at the White House website: <http://www.whitehouse.gov/nsc/nss.html>
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To forestall or prevent such hostile acts by our
adversaries, the United States will, if necessary, act
preemptively in exercising our inherent right of self-
defense. The United States will not resort to force in all
cases to preempt emerging threats. Our preference is that
nonmilitary actions succeed. And no country should ever
use preemption as a pretext for aggression.
1.1.1 Preemption
The Bush Doctrine asserted that the United States
should preemptively attack a real or potential adversary
before it became a substantial threat in the future.
Accordingly, the Bush administration adopted a policy of
preventive war, which held that the United States should
depose regimes that represented a potential threat to the
security of the United Sates, even if that threat was not
immediate.
1.1.2 Unilateralism
Unilateralism granted the United States the right to
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act unilaterally if they thought necessary. Consequently,
the United Stated isolated itself more and more from
international law, which was evident when Bush told the
U.N. Security Council that the United States was going to
invade Iraq, with or without the council’s approval.
Ironically, this was in stark contrast with Bush’s
initial foreign policy, when he preached that they should
learn humility in dealing with other nations. In fact,
Bush was pushing the United States to a more obvious and
unabashed hegemony.
1.1.3 Military Primacy
In the Bush Doctrine, military strength has
fundamental role in the fight with terrorists and
American must do what is necessary to ensure their
nation’s security. Deeply influenced by neoconservatives,
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Bush laid emphasis on power and the necessity to resort
to military force to achieve its goals, which was
actually one of the main reasons why Mideast people
turned against him.
1.1.4 The Spread of Democracy
The Bush administration adopted a policy of spreading
democracy around the world, especially in the Mideast, as
a strategy for combating terrorism. In Bush’s own words,
it was to “advance liberty and hope as an alternative to
the enemy’s ideology of repression and fear” (2010). Bush
held that the United States should actively support
democratic governments around the world, especially in
the Mideast and depose regimes that harbor or support
terrorists.
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1.2 Criticism on the Bush Doctrine
The Bush Doctrine was subject to controversy and
incurred massive criticism. In 2008, polls showed that
there was more anti-Americanism than before the Bush
administration formed the Bush Doctrine. This increase,
if not solely caused by the Bush Doctrine, was at least
partially a result of implementing it.
Some politic critics, being suspicious of the
increasing willingness of the United States to use
military force unilaterally, accused the Bush
administration of foreign interventionism. Robert W.
Tucker and David C. Hendrickson opposed the Bush Doctrine
by arguing that it reflects a turn away from
international law, and marks the end of American
legitimacy in foreign affairs (2004). Joseph G. Peschek
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wrote that the United States under the guide of the Bush
Doctrine was acting as an “unabashed imperial power” and
the war on terrorism “have served to distract attention
from the domestic vulnerabilities of the Bush
administration” (2004).
Some commentators are suspicious of the Bush
Doctrine’s principle to promote democracy by arguing that
instead of supporting genuine democratic regimes driven
by local people, the Bush administration supported US-
friendly regimes installed by diplomats acting on behalf
of the United States. This is manifested in the way that
the United Sates acted in Afghanistan, where
parliamentary democracy was downplayed by the US. The
election of Karzai, the president of Afghanistan, had
been manipulated on the parts of the U.S. government.
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Kilhartkar and Ingalls called Karzai a U.S. ally (2007).
2.The Bush Doctrine in the Mideast
After 9/11, the Bush administration took an aggressive
stance toward the Mideast and exercised the main
principles of the Bush Doctrine there. The Bush
administration hewed to a neoconservative strategy in the
Mideast that sought to fundamentally reshape the region
through power and wars.
2.1 The War in Afghanistan
After 9/11, Bush denounced “war on terrorism” and the
US led a NATO invasion of Afghanistan, to dismantle the
al-Qaeda terrorist organization and to remove the Taliban
government from power. Bush demanded the Taliban to hand
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over Osama bin Laden and expel the al-Qaeda network which
was supporting the Taliban in its war with the Afghan
Northern Alliance. The Taliban recommended bin Laden to
leave the country and declined to extradite him.
Accordingly, the US launched Operation Enduring Freedom
with the UK and later joined by Germany and other western
allies, to attack the Taliban and al-Qaeda in conjunction
with the Northern Alliance.The U.S. and allies drove the
Taliban from power and gradually built new military bases
near major cities across the country.
In December 2001, the U.N. Security Council
established the International Security Assistance Force
(ISAF) to oversee security in the country and train the
Afghan National Security Forces. Although NATO members
provided the core of the force, only a portion of U.S.
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forces operated under NATO command. The majority remained
under direct American command.
The United States and its allies sought to help the
Afghans develop new specialties, such as civil order
brigades, counternarcotics, border surveillance, and
bring democracy to the Afghans. In the beginning, it
looked like a good war. The U.S. and its allies drove the
Taliban and al-Qaeda out, and helped place Hamid Karzai
in charge, hoping he would pacify Afghanistan. But
gradually the U.S. acted more like an occupying power,
which generated an insurgency.
International human rights organizations began to
criticize the U.S. for detaining alleged Taliban and al-
Qaeda combatant and refusing to grant these detainees
their rights as prisoners of war. Others alleged that
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numerous captured Taliban fighters possessed no link to
either al-Qaeda or the Taliban. Instead, these fighers
were misfortunately forced to join the Taliban military
during the American invasion. According to Human Rights
Watch, as of January 2004, “the public still [did] not
know who the detainees are, what they [had] allegedly
done, and whether and when they will be charged with
crimes or released. There [had] been no hearings to
determine the legal status of detainees and no judicial
review—in short, no legal process at all”.
2.2 Iraq Occupation
Different from the Afghan war which was an allied
military operation with the NATO, the U.S. invasion in
Iraq was carried out without the authorization of the
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United Nations Security Council.
Accusing the Iraqi government for having ties to
terrorist groups and developing weapons of mass
destruction (WMD), Bush had began publicly pressing Iraq
for regime change since early 2002. In March 2003, Bush
ultimately declared war on Iraq. Saddam Hussein was
deposed, but the cost was dear. Thousands of civilians
were killed during the invasion and by resistance
fighters. The death toll in Iraq was over 100,000 Iraqi
civilians and 400 U.S. soldiers.2
Throughout the course of the Iraq war, Bush was often
the target of harsh criticism, both in the U.S. and in
the rest of the world. Even governments of many countries
on the United Nations Security Council argued that the
2 Figures available on the website http://www.iraqbodycount.org/
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war broke international law.
Questions about the credibility of the Bush
administration’s pre-war claims were raised. Bush and his
cabinet tried to find excuses to attack Iraq immediately
after 9/11, such as associating it with 9/11, claiming
that Saddam Hussein possessed WMD and Iraq posed an
imminent threat. But these accusations lacked evidence.
The U.S. found no credible evidence of a collaborative
relationship between pre-invasion Iraq and al-Qaeda or of
Iraqi involvement in the 9/11 attacks. Failing to find
WMD in Iraq led to greater criticism of the invasion of
Iraq.
The Iraq invasion might have hurt U.S. efforts to
combat terrorism, given the increase in car bombing,
hostage abductions and beheadings in Iraq as well as oil-
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rich Saudi Arabia. The U.S. heavily used military power
worsened the condition in Iraq. The Bush administration
argued that war with Iraq was necessary to eliminate
Saddam Hussein’s arsenal of WMD, to diminish the threat
of international terrorism, and to promote democracy in
Iraq and the region. Yet little hard evidence was offered
in support of the administrion’s claims about the dangers
of Iraq (Pfiffner, 2004).
2.3 Iran—Axis of Evil
After 9/11, the United States alleged that Iran had
associations with al-Qaeda terrorists. The 9/11
Commission Report stated that 8 to 10 of the hijackers on
9/11 passed through Iran and their travel was facilitated
by Iranian border guards (Zagorin and Klein, 2004).
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Detectors from Iran’s intelligence service testified that
Iranian officials had “foreknowledge of the 9/11
attacks”, but the extent of Iranian involvement has been
questioned due to major differences between the religious
ideologies of Iran and al-Qaeda (Weisner and Shane,
2011). After a further investigation into a possible
Iranian role in the 9/11 was called for, President Bush
reiterated that there was no direct connection between
Iran and the attacks of September 11.
Later in 2002, Bush labeled Iran, along with North
Korea and Iraq as an “Axis of Evil”, warning that the
proliferation of long-range missiles developed by these
three countries constituted terrorism and threatened the
United States. Since 2003, the U.S. had been flying
unmanned aerial vehicles, launched from Iraq, over Iran
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to obtain intelligence on Iran’s nuclear program, only to
get little new information.
Iranian nuclear program was a major foreign policy of
the Bush administration. Bush made clear that an Iranian
enrichment program was unacceptable and the United States
would not allow Iran to possess a nuclear weapon or the
means to create a nuclear weapon. The U.S. called Iran to
stop enriching uranium and imposed sanctions on Iran for
continuing to do so, and the sanctions were later
tightened.
In 2009, after Bush’s second presidency term, Iran’s
nuclear program continued relatively unfettered, meaning
that Bush’s goal of ending Iran’s enrichment was not
achieved.
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2.4 Peace in Palestine and Israel
Bush’s policy regarding the Palestinian-Israeli
conflict has two main features: avoiding too much
involvement and favoring Israel, the second one being the
real reason for the failure of U.S. policy in the
Palestinian-Israeli peace talk.
In 2001, the United States vetoed a Security Council
resolution calling for a UN observer force to protect
Palestinians in the occupied territories and imposed for
conditions (Lynch, 2001):
No mention of Israeli settlements; no use of
the word “siege” to describe Israel’s actions in
the occupied territories; no reference to the
Fourth Geneva Convention regulating an occupying
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power’s conduct toward an occupied civilian
population; and no mention of the land-for peace
principle embodied in UN Resolution 242.
The above four U.S. “no mentions” clearly revealed
Bush’s bias toward Israel and its fundamental reluctance
to be involved in serious mediation of the conflict.
Bush’s assumption of the presidency in January 2001
coincided almost exactly with Ariel Sharon’s election as
prime minister of Israel a few weeks later. From the
outset, the Bush administration had almost
unquestioningly followed the course set by Sharon, except
for occasional mild remonstrations between them.
Bush’s bias against Palestine and favor for Israel had
long existed. He never received Arafat, the leader of
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Palestine, at the white house, despite hosting the
Israeli leader several times. Sharon’s portraying Arafat
as “Israel’s Usama bin Laden” after 9/11 added Bush’s
hostility toward the Palestinian leader. Later in 2002,
Bush called for the ouster of Arafat, which was largely
Sharon’s agenda. Bush even ordered U.S. diplomats never
to talk with Arafat again.
In September 2002, the Quartet, made up of the EU,
Russia, the UN and the US, had drafted the Road Map to
peace. Unhappy with the initial draft, the Bush
administration compelled the Quartet to accept a redraft
which accommodated Israel’s objections. It was not until
the late April 2003 that Bush finally officially launched
the Road Map. But the Road Map failed in the last,
because it was written ultimately in favor for Israel and
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Bush virtually did nothing to ensure Israel’s compliance
with the plan’s demands. The map allowed Israel to
continue colonizing the occupied territories while
prohibiting any Palestinian resistance. Apart from
exerting no pressure on Israel, the Bush administration
pushed hard on Palestine to implement the plan, including
choosing a new leadership, controlling violence by
militant Islamic organizations and so on. This led to
condemnation from Arafat, Arab and European governments.
Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak commented that Bush’s
policy had led to an “unprecedented hared” of Arabs for
the U.S. (Ewen and Goldenberg, 2004).
3.More Turmoil in the Mideast---What Went Wrong?
It seems impossible to credibly argue that the Bush
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administration achieved at addressing the problems in the
Mideast or advancing the United States national security.
In the realm of counterterrorism, the Bush Doctrine
failed: Although the United States did not suffer another
direct attack after 9/11, the terrorism situation
worsened as many other countries came under attack; in
the realm of democracy promotion, the Bush Doctrine
failed: the Iraqi democratization by military force did
not turn out effective and it was risky and costly; in
the realm of nuclear non-proliferation, the Bush Doctrine
failed: Iran’s nuclear program continues relatively
unfettered; in the realm of peace talk, the Bush Doctrine
failed: The Palestinian-Israel conflict still exists.
Scott Macleod in 2006 summarized five fatal mistakes
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of Bush’s Mideast policy:3
A. Bush ignored the Palestinians.
B. Bush invaded Iraq.
C. Bush misjudged Iran.
D. Bush hurt Israel.
E. Bush alienated Muslims
The situation in the Mideast did not become any better
than before the Bush administration set foot on the
region. The reason for the failure was the innate flaws
of Bush’s foreign policy---the Bush Doctrine in the
Mideast. It’s primacy on military force and its
peremptory unilateralism boomeranged on the United
Stated.
3 Macleod’s article is available online at the website http://content.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1563750,00.html
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Take the Afghanistan war for example. Although the US
military attack on Afghanistan was understandable and
predictable, it was carried out with little concern for
diplomacy, multilateralism and international law. During
the invasion, there were a large number of civilian
casualties and human rights abuses.
The invasion in Iraq was even without the
authorization from the United Nations Security Council,
which revealed the absolute unilateralism of the Bush
administration. The invasion in Iraq also incurred harsh
criticism from both Arab countries and American allies in
the UN. How could such a war as caused indignation in
many countries win? Bush’s policy in the Mideast was an
obvious representation of unilateralism, military
warlordism and moral absolutism.
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Might alone did not make right, however powerful that
might was. In fact, the Bush administration
underestimated the complexity of the Mideast issues and
overestimated its military power. Terrorism and nuclear
proliferation could not be eliminated solely by military
forces. Instead, it required diplomacy and negotiation.
The Bush administration, alas, did not intend to used
diplomacy and negotiation and barely had a strategy to
address the multifold issues in the Mideast.
4.Conclusion
In the first few month after George W. Bush took
office, foreign affairs never appeared to be the center
of his policy and if he showed any attitude toward
foreign policy, it would be humble and mild.
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Contrastingly, after 9/11, Bush put together the elements
of a far-from-humble and aggressive foreign policy
doctrine based on unilateralism, preemptive strikes and
prevention of the emergency of any possible rivals to US
supremacy. The Mideast became of the heart of the Bush
Doctrine and the Bush administration set foot on the area
and gradually lost his way and eventually got bogged
down.
Not having a clear strategy toward the intractable
issues in the Mideast, Bush relied most on military
forces, and because of its unilateralism and peremptory
actions, Bush sometimes found that he had to fight by
himself. Without reasonable diplomacy and negotiation and
relying heavily on its overestimated military forces, the
Bush administration failed almost every objective, as
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Osama bin Laden was not apprehended, new terrorists
groups emerged and got trained, nuclear proliferation was
exacerbated and Iraq became more unstable. Besides,
massive civilian casualties worsened American situation
in the Mideast. By the end of President Bush’s
presidency, he had left Barack Obama, the next President,
a much traumatized American image and a deeply wounded
Mideast.
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杨杨 杨杨杨,(2009 杨杨杨杨杨杨—),《 1967 杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨》(Peace Process—American Diplomacy and
the Arab-Israeli Conflict since 1967),杨杨杨 杨杨杨杨 杨 杨杨杨杨杨杨 杨杨杨 杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨、、夏。:。
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杨杨杨(2006 杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨杨 杨杨杨 杨杨杨杨杨杨), 。:。《》
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