Mass-balanced trophic and loop models of complex benthic systems in northern Chile (SE Pacific) to...
Transcript of Mass-balanced trophic and loop models of complex benthic systems in northern Chile (SE Pacific) to...
REVIEW
Mass-balanced trophic and loop models of complex benthicsystems in northern Chile (SE Pacific) to improvesustainable interventions: a comparative analysis
Marco Ortiz Æ Matthias Wolff
Received: 23 May 2007 / Revised: 5 December 2007 / Accepted: 26 February 2008 / Published online: 15 March 2008
� Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008
Abstract The capacity to withstand perturbations and
the propagation of direct and indirect effects of
harvesting were explored in seagrass and sand–gravel
subtidal subsystems of northern Chile using Ecopath II,
Ecosim and Loop Analysis theoretical frameworks. The
relative Ascendancy and Redundancy from Ecopath II
and Ecosim models and the holistic stability measure
(Fn) given by Loop Analysis, all suggest that the sand–
gravel subsystem is the more resistant and its fishery
more sustainable. This outcome is relevant since the
theoretical frameworks used are based on different
assumptions but arrive at similar conclusions. If the
fishery is included in the qualitative ecological models,
which were found locally stable only when the fishery is
self-controlled. While this conclusion is not new, its
relevance here is that it emerges from qualitative
multispecies modelling (Loop Analysis). Based on our
model predictions, the biomass removal of the sea star
Meyenaster gelatinosus would increase the standing
stock of the commercial scallop Argopecten purpuratus
only in the seagrass habitat, whereas the same man-
made intervention may have an opposite effect in the
sand–gravel habitat. We recommend to enunciate
holistic models based on the theoretical framework
used in the current work, which explore the reality from
different perspectives assuming different givens. Based
on these holistic explorations alternative and comple-
mentary management scenarios could be designed.
Keywords Ecopath � Ecosim �Mixed Trophic Impacts � Loop Analysis �Multispecies management � Northern Chile
Introduction
Since population models have not been sufficiently
successful in predicting the consequences of man-made
interventions in ecological systems (e.g. fisheries, pest
management, diseases and immunisation practices)
there is a need to consider the use of alternative
multispecies ‘‘holistic’’ modelling approaches (Larkin,
1977; Levins & Vandermeer, 1990; Levins, 1994,
1998b; Hilborn et al., 1995; Patten, 1997; Roberts,
1997; Levins & Lopez, 1999; Walters et al., 1999;
Robinson & Frid, 2003; Hawkins, 2004; Pikitch et al.,
2004; Arias-Gonzalez et al., 2004). At least two differ-
ent theoretical frameworks have been widely applied to
analyse and understand the underlying processes in
Handling editor: T. P. Crowe
M. Ortiz (&)
Instituto de Investigaciones Oceanologicas, Facultad de
Recursos del Mar, Universidad de Antofagasta,
PO Box 170, Antofagasta, Chile
e-mail: [email protected]
URL: www.uantof.cl/recursos_mar/mortiz/mortiz.htm
M. Wolff
Charles Darwin Research Station, Puerto Ayora,
Santa Cruz, Galapagos, Ecuador
e-mail: [email protected]
123
Hydrobiologia (2008) 605:1–10
DOI 10.1007/s10750-008-9362-8
complex natural aquatic systems. The Ecopath II
modelling approach considers the flows of energy or
matter between interconnected parts (variables, popula-
tions, functional groups) while Loop Analysis grasps the
qualitative nature of the interactions. The steady-state
Ecopath II (Christensen & Pauly, 1992) modelling
software is a useful tool by which the population
dynamics of the species or functional groups, their food
spectrum, trophic relationships, spatial distribution and
fisheries activities are simultaneously considered. The
potential role of mass-balance models for the manage-
ment of different aquatic systems has been previously
discussed (Christensen & Pauly, 1998; Jarre-Teich-
mann, 1998; Pauly et al., 2000; Christensen & Walters,
2004). Furthermore based on the density and diversity of
flows, systems can be characterised following ecological
theory of Ulanowicz (1986, 1997), and the propagation
of direct and indirect effects can be evaluated by the
Mixed Trophic Impacts (Ulanowicz & Puccia, 1990), a
routine of Ecopath II and also by Ecosim (Walters et al.,
1997). The other theoretical framework, termed Loop
Analysis (Levins, 1974, 1998a; Puccia & Levins, 1985),
is a useful qualitative technique to estimate the local
stability (sustainability) of the systems and to assess the
propagation of direct and indirect effects as response to
external perturbations (Ramsey & Veltman, 2005). This
approach has been applied widely in different fields of
the natural sciences (Li & Moyle, 1981; Giavelli &
Bodini, 1990; Levins & Vandermeer, 1990; Whitlatch &
Osman, 1994; Lane, 1998; Ortiz & Wolff, 2002c, 2004;
Ortiz, 2003; Ortiz & Stotz, 2007; Ortiz, 2007) and has
shown a high degree of predictability (after perturbation)
of natural phenomena (Briand & McCauley, 1978; Lane
& Bloiun, 1985; Lane & Collins, 1985; Lane, 1986;
Hulot et al., 2000; Ortiz, 2007).
Due to the difficulty in carrying out replicated
experiments to estimate the sustainability and the
propagation of direct and indirect effects of fishing
activities on the community or ecosystem level
(Lewontin & Levins, 1998; Maron et al., 2001), the
current study is the first attempt to compare quanti-
tative and qualitative small-scale models of benthic
subsystems along the Chilean coast and to recom-
mend adaptive human interventions. Based on these
models we characterise the food webs according to
Ulanowicz’s and Levins’s theoretical frameworks to:
(1) estimate the resistance of each subsystem to
external perturbations, and (2) assess the propagation
of higher-order effects within the subsystems.
Materials and methods
Description of the habitats
The models constructed represent the benthic subsys-
tem located at the southern extreme of Tongoy Bay
(30�150S–71�310W) (Northern Chile) (Fig. 1). Within
this benthic area, named management area of Puerto
Aldea, the seagrass and sand–gravel habitats concen-
trate the highest subsystem production (Ortiz & Wolff,
2002a) and support an intensive harvest of the red algae
Chondrocanthus chamissoi (ca. 114 t yr-1), the scal-
lop Argopecten purpuratus (ca. 16 t yr-1) and the crab
Cancer polyodon (ca. 0.4 t yr-1). Tongoy Bay is an
important upwelling centre (Daneri et al., 2000; Mon-
tecinos & Quiroz, 2000), which supplies nutrients to
the ecosystem and prevents the establishment of a
stable thermocline during summer through an inflow of
upwelling water into the bay. Surface water temper-
ature reaches 13�C as minimum in winter and 17�C as
maximum during summer (Jesse & Stotz, 2002).
The models were constructed to grasp the trophic
relationships for the most relevant species (commer-
cial resources) inhabiting the benthic communities.
Flows derived from epiphytes, microphytobenthos
and bacteria; and those leading to fishes, seals and
birds were not considered due to insufficient scientific
information. We are aware that realism is thus
reduced by our model configuration, but think that
the most relevant interdependencies and flows are
reflected. Since the configuration of all models
followed the same principle, this systematic error
should still allow for a comparative analysis.
Ecopath II, steady-state approach
It represents a steady-state modelling approach in
which the production of the system compartments is
balanced by consumption and exports (Fig. 2a, b).
The model uses a set of linear equations (one for each
species i or group of species). The basic mathematical
function can be expressed as:
dB�idt¼ Pi � ðBi �M2iÞ � Pi � ð1� EEiÞ � EXi; ð1Þ
where *, at steady state (=0); Bi, the biomass of i
(g m-2); Pi, the production of i (g m-2 yr-1); M2i,
mortality by predation of i (yr-1); EEi, the ecotrophic
efficiency of i (%); 1 - EEi, other mortalities of i
2 Hydrobiologia (2008) 605:1–10
123
(yr-1); EXi, the export of i (g m-2 yr-1). The
immigration and emigration are considered zero.
Furthermore, the direct and indirect impacts of
different management strategies on the communities
were evaluated by the Mixed Trophic Impact (MTI)
(Ulanowicz & Puccia, 1990) routine of Ecopath II
(Christensen & Pauly, 1992). For more details about
the benthic models see Ortiz & Wolff (2002a).
Ecosim, dynamic mass-balance approach
It describes a dynamic extension of the above
approach based on the initial conditions estimated
by Ecopath II. The mathematical ground of Ecosim
models consists of the biomass dynamics described in
the form of coupled differential functions as Eq. 1.
Additionally it uses the following function:
Cij ¼aij � vij � Bi � Bj
ð2vij þ aij � BjÞ; ð2Þ
where Cij is the consumption rates of j by compart-
ment i, aij represents the instantaneous mortality rate
on prey i caused by one unit of predator j biomass.
Also aij can be interpreted as the rate of effective
search by predator j for prey i. Each aij could be
estimated directly from the corresponding Ecopath II
models by: aij ¼ Qi=Bi � Bj (Qi, total consumption of
i). The vij represents the transfer rate between
TongoyBay
GuanaquerosBay
Coquimbo
BayPacificOcean
Study area
COQUIMBO
N
30° S
71° 20` W
5 km
500 m
Seagrass Sand-gravel Sand Mud
Pto.Aldea
CHILE
Upwelling
1
2
3
ab
c
Fig. 1 (a) Main littoral
types along the Chilean
coast: 1, dominated by
exposed compact rocky
shores; 2, dominated by
exposed sandy shores and 3,
mostly insular systems. (b)
The principal bay systems
of the IV Region of
Coquimbo (Chile). (c)
Study area of Puerto Aldea
located at southern of
Tongoy Bay
Hydrobiologia (2008) 605:1–10 3
123
Phytoplankton
B=28.0P/B=250.0
Ch.chamissoi
B=5.5 P/B=6.0
Rodophyta
B=6.0P/B=5.5
Ulva sp.
B=5.0P/B=6.0
H.tasmanica
B=450.0P/B=1.5
Detritus
Zooplankton
B=18.0P/B=40.0
A.purpuratus
B=90.0P/B=2.08
Taliepussp.B=1.3P/B=1.5
Infauna
B=65.0P/B=4.4
SmallEpifauna
B=29.5P/B=3.7
L.magallanica
B=0.6 P/B=0.7
P.barbiger
B=1.6P/B=1.95
M.gelatinosus
B=20.5P/B=1.2
H.helianthus
B=0.5P/B=0.6
C.polyodon
B=10.0P/B=1.1
LargeEpifauna
B=2.2 P/B=1.25
1
2
3
4
Seagrass habitat model
Q = 95.0
Q=20.9
Q=1.1
Q=102.5
Q=1.8
Q=12.35
Q=15.84
Q=368.75
Q=2880.0
Q=955.5
Q=891.0
Catches=0.01
Catches=7.5
Catches=0.15
**
Phytoplankton
B=36.0P/B=256.0
Ch.chamissoi
B=564.8P/B=6.0
Rodophyta
B=230.0P/B=5.5
Ulva sp.
B=70.0P/B=6.0
Detritus
Zooplankton
B=19.0 P/B=40.0
A.purpuratus
B=71.54P/B=2.08
C.trochiformis
B=90.0P/B=0.8
Tegula sp.
B=150.0P/B=2.2
Taliepus sp.
B=1.7P/B=1.5
Infauna
B=60.0P/B=4.4
P.chilensisB=70.0P/B=3.2
Small Epifauna
B=20.0P/B=3.7
L.magallanicaB=2.98P/B=0.7
P.barbiger
B=29.28 P/B=1.95
M.gelatinosus
B=46.76P/B=1.2
H.helianthus
B=0.43 P/B=0.6
C.polyodon
B=25.6P/B=1.1
LargeEpifauna
B=6.54 P/B=1.25
1
2
3
4Sand-gravel habitat model
Q=8.94
31.26=Q2.342=Q
Q=289.87
Q=250.0
Q=770.0
Q=882.0
Q=3040.00.5841=Q52.807=Q
Q=16.1
Q=891.0
Catches=0.15
Catches=7.5
Catches=113.9
M. gelatinosusH. helianthus
Q=233.8
Q=0.99
Small Epifauna
**
a
b
4 Hydrobiologia (2008) 605:1–10
123
compartment i and j. This parameter determines if the
control is top-down, mixed or bottom-up (Walters
et al., 1997). In the current study a mixed flow
control mechanism was used. For more details of the
models see Ortiz & Wolff (2002b).
Loop Analysis, qualitative approach
The loop models show the relationships as sign,
indicating the type of influence each variable has
upon another, that is, positive, negative or zero
(Fig. 3a, b). For instance, in ecological relationships,
(+,-) denotes a predator–prey or parasite–host
interaction, (-,-) represents competition between
two species, while (+,+), (+,0) and (-,0) represent
mutualism, commensalisms and amensalism, respec-
tively. Each variable is represented by a large circle
and edges representing direction and type of inter-
actions, i.e. if at one extreme there is an arrow, it
means positive effect, a circle means negative and
nothing means null effect. Loop Analysis is based
on the correspondence between differential equa-
tions near equilibrium and matrixes and their loop
diagrams. Therefore, in the benthic system the
element aij of the matrix and the loop diagram
represent the effect of variable j on the growth
variable i when the equation:
dXi
dt¼ fi � X1;X2; . . .;Xn; C1;C2; . . .;Cnð Þ; ð3Þ
where the change in time of the variable Xi is a
function fi of other interconnected variables Xn and
parameters Cn, is solved at equilibrium. The link from
Xj to Xi is similar to the aij in Levins (1968) as
follows:
aij ¼ofiðXÞx�
oXj; ð4Þ
where X* evaluated at equilibrium. The element of
the graph representing the link from j to i is sign (aij),
(positive, negative or zero) where the function sign
(X) is 1 when X [ 0, 0 when X = 0 and -1 when
X \ 0.
Local stability, as determined by the Routh–
Hurwitz criteria, translates into loop terms as Con-
dition 1, when Fk \ 0, for all k, i.e. Fk corresponds to
the negative feedback at every level which must
exceed the positive feedback. Condition 2: negative
feedback at higher levels cannot be too large
compared to a negative feedback at lower levels to
conserve the qualitative stability properties of the
systems. An approximation for this condition is a
sequence of inequalities, where the general expres-
sion is the following: Fn-2 Fn-1 + Fn-3 Fn [ 0. The
feedback for each level can be also calculated by the
estimation of the characteristic polynomial related to
the Jacobean interaction matrix, where the polyno-
mial now can be written in terms of the feedback
notation as: F0kn þ F1k
n�1 þ F2kn�2 � � � þ Fn�1kþ
Fn ¼ 0 where F0 : -1 and the Fn is the feedback of
the entire system (n = total number of variables in
the system). It is assumed that the system is locally
stable when Fn is negative. The stronger the negative
feedback Fn becomes, the greater will be the
resistance to external change (Levins, 1998a). Based
on this local stability criterion it is possible to
estimate the degree of resistance to perturbations (as
a measure of sustainability) of the system and
simultaneously explore strategies for its increase.
If the parameters [Cn in Eq. 3] of the system are
changing slow enough for the variables to track the
movement of the equilibrium, then the equilibrium
values of the variables, which are changing in
magnitude, and the direction of that change can be
evaluated as follows:
oXi
oCh¼
P ofjoCh�P
k
pðkÞij � F
ðcompÞn�k
Fn; ð5Þ
where Ch is the hth parameter that is changing as an
environmental impact (impact entering at h), ofj=oCh
is the effect of Ch parameter change on the state of
the jth variable, pij(k) is the path from the jth to the ith
b Fig. 2 Quantitative trophic models for the seagrass (a) and
sand–gravel (b) complex benthic systems. Vertical position of
each box approximates trophic level. The box size is in
proportion to the square root of the population or compartment
biomass. Biomass (g wet weight m-2), productivity (P/B)
(yr-1) and consumption (Q) (g wet weight m-2 yr-1) are
given (after Ortiz & Wolff, 2002a). (Note: For seagrass model
** means detritus is consumed by M. gelatinosus, H.helianthus, L. magallanica, C. polyodon, P. barbiger, Large
Epifauna, A. purpuratus, Small Epifauna, Infauna and Zoo-
plankton. For sand–gravel model ** means detritus is
consumed by M. gelatinosus, H. helianthus, L. magallanica,
C. polyodon, P. barbiger, Large Epifauna, A. purpuratus, C.trochiformis, Tegula sp., P. chilensis, Small Epifauna, Infauna
and Zooplankton)
Hydrobiologia (2008) 605:1–10 5
123
variable and includes k variables, Fn-k(comp) is the
feedback of the complementary subsystem. This
subsystem is formed by those variables not on the
path of pij(k); and Fn is the feedback of the whole
system, which integrates all variables of the system
(Puccia & Levins, 1985; Levins, 1998a). For details
about the model see Ortiz & Wolff (2002c). Recent
extensions of the theoretical aspects of Loop Analysis
are given by Jorgensen et al. (2000) and Dambacher
et al. (2002, 2003).
Results
Table 1 contains the resistance and/or sustainability
estimations for quantitative and qualitative ecological
subsystem models. Based on the results obtained by
Ecopath II and Loop Analysis the sand–gravel habitat
seems to be the most resistant or sustainable subsys-
tem. It is important to note that similar tendencies are
shown by Ulanowicz’s and Levins’s indices.
Although the trophic and loop models did not have
exactly the same configuration (see Figs. 2, 3), we
believe that they represent the principal variables and
ecological interactions underlying each subsystem.
The propagated direct and indirect effects as
response to a negative perturbation on the sea star
Meyenaster gelatinosus are shown in Table 2. This
species is considered by fishermen ‘‘undesirable’’
because it preys upon the commercial scallop Argo-
pecten purpuratus (Fig. 1). A similar response, using
the Mixed Trophic Impacts, Ecosim and Loop
Analysis approaches, is predicted for just seven
variables. In the seagrass model an increase in the
standing stock of the scallop A. purpuratus is
predicted at a reduction of the starfish M. gelatinosus.
However, its removal from the sand–gravel habitat,
Fig. 3 Qualitative ecological models for the seagrass (a) and
sand–gravel (b) complex benthic systems. Holistic sustainabil-
ity measures (Fn and 2� criterion) under two fishermen self-
dynamics. The capital letters correspond to management
scenarios, A, increasing the standing stock of juvenile scallops
(ApJ); B, increasing standing stock of recruits (ApR); C, D and
E, partial removal of the starfish predators L. magallanica(Lm), H. helianthus (Hh) and M. gelatinosus (Mg), respec-
tively; F, increase the available substrate (artificial) for
increasing algae settlement and h, harvest. The soft lines
indicate postulated relationships based on limited data (after
Ortiz & Wolff, 2002c)
b
F16
LE 14
Mg13
Hh12
Lm11
Ht10
SE9
CpA8
CpJ 7
I6
MF5
PP 4
ApR3
ApJ2
ApA1
Seagrass habitatEco-social model
Pb15
variables 14 and 15
h
h
AB
C
D
E
F16
F16
Fn = - 12.0; 2° criterion > 0
Fn = + 42.0; 2° criterion < 0
F21
LE 14
Mg20
Hh19
Lm18
SE13
CpA8
CpJ 7
I12
MF15
PP 4
ApR3
ApJ2
ApA1
Sand-Gravel habitatEco-social model
Pb17
S5 Ct
6
Pch9
OM10
ChCh 11
T sp16
A
h h
h
B C,D,E,F
variables:8,13,14,16,17,18,19,20
F21
F21
Fn = - 24.0; 2° criterion > 0 Fn = + 168.0; 2° criterion > 0
a
b
6 Hydrobiologia (2008) 605:1–10
123
yielded different responses by the different models
applied: while Mixed Trophic Impact (Ecopath II)
and Ecosim predicted a positive effect on the scallop,
the effect was negative when Loop Analysis was
used. Another effect of the removal of the sea star,
predicted by the two models, would be an increase in
the predatory crabs Cancer polyodon and Paraxan-
thus barbiger in the seagrass and sand–gravel
habitats, respectively. The molluscs Calyptraea
trochiformis and Tegula sp. would be positively
affected in the sand–gravel habitat.
Discussion
The coincidence between the measures ‘‘relative
Ascendency’’ (Ascendency/Capacity) and Redun-
dancy given by Ulanowicz (1986, 1997) and the
holistic stability measure (Fn) given by Levins
(1998a) shows that these indices may be consistent
as key measures of sustainability for natural systems.
This convergence appears quite relevant considering
that the models used here did not include connections
to other ecosystem compartments. Additionally,
through Loop Analysis we could extend the natural
ecological systems by integrating the activities of the
Table 2 Qualitative predictions for each variable (species and
group of species) in the seagrass and sand–gravel ecological
systems based on Mixed Trophic Impacts (routine of Ecopath
II), Ecosim (using mixed flow control mechanism) and Loop
Analysis, as response to the negative impact on the predatory
sea star M. gelatinosus
Ecological benthic system /model
Mg Hh Lm Cp Pb LE Ap Ct Te sp. Pch SE I Ht Chch R Ul sp. PP D FSeagrassMixed Trophic Impacts (Ecopath II) + + + + +– + + 0ECOSIM (with mixed flow control) –
– ––––
+ 0 + + + + + 0 0Loop Analysis 0 – – + – + +Sand-gravelMixed Trophic Impacts (Ecopath II) + + + + + + + + + + 0 0 0 0ECOSIM (with mixed flow control) + 0 + + + + + + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +Loop Analysis + + + + + + +
Species/groupsQualitative predictions
0
++
0 +0
0
–– –
–
– –––
–
–
– –
– –
–
The dark areas indicate similar expected responses. Mg, Hh and Lm represent the sea star species Meyenaster gelatinosus, Heliasterhelianthus and Luidia magallanica, respectively; Cp and Pb are the crabs Cancer polyodon and Paraxanthus barbiger, respectively;
LE includes the remainder crabs species such as Guadichaudia gaudichaudia, Hepatus chilense and Platymera gaudichaudia; Ap is
the scallop A. purpuratus; Ct represents the mollusc Calyptraea trochiformis; Te sp is the snail Tegula sp.; Pch represents the sea
squirts Pyura chilensis; SE includes small gastropods such as Nassarius sp., Nucula sp., Turritella sp., Mitrella sp. and the
polyplacophora Chiton sp.; I is the infauna which comprises polychaetes and other buried bivalves; Ht is the seagrass Heterozostera
tasmanica; Chch represents the rhodophyta Chondrocanthus chamissoi; R includes other rhodophyta; Ul sp. represents Ulva sp.; PP is
primary productivity (phytoplankton); D represents detritus and F is the fishermen (after Ortiz & Wolff, 2002a, c)
Table 1 Summary of holistic measures related to resistance to
perturbations or local stability (two criteria) for each benthic
system
Indices Seagrass Sand-gravel
Ecological benthic system
Ulanowicz (1986, 1997)
Ascendency A/C (%) 31.1 30.4
Redundancy (%) 51 53.8
Levins (1974, 1998b)
Loop Analysis Fn \ 0 -1 -96
Second criteria [ 0 No No
Extended systems
Fn \ 0
(a) -12 -24
(b) 42 168
Second criteria [ 0
(a) Yes Yes
(b) No No
The relative Ascendency (%) (A/C) and Redundancy (%) sensu
Ulanowicz (1986, 1997) and the holistic measures of
sustainability based on two criteria of local stability (sensu
Levins, 1974, 1998b) for ecological and extended (including
Fisherman as variable) model systems are also shown; (a) and
(b) represent the fishermen with a self-damped and self-
enhanced dynamic in extended model, respectively. Values in
bold indicate the most resistant or sustainable system
Hydrobiologia (2008) 605:1–10 7
123
fishermen into the models. Under this condition the
extended sand–gravel system is the most sustainable
one, but local stability is only reached if the fishery is
self-controlled, that is, if fishing effort and/or catch
quota are constrained. While non-linear quantitative
theoretical studies on the fishery effects on multispe-
cies systems have arrived at similar conclusions (May
et al., 1979; Beddington & May, 1980; Beddington &
Cooke, 1982; Azar et al., 1995), the relevant point
here is that the need for a regulation of fishing effort
and catch quota also emerged from a qualitative
multispecies modelling approach.
The positive responses of the competitor and prey
species (cascading effects) can be interpreted as
compensatory mechanisms, which may negatively
impact the stability of the modelled system. Com-
munities and ecosystems are subjected to several
types of natural perturbations, which may eventually
impact on the stability of the entire system, driving it
to some other moving equilibrium (Levins, 1998c).
Thus, if our objective is not only to increase the
standing stock of the commercial species studied
here, but also to conserve the natural systems, which
they inhabit, this response must be avoided. One way
may be trough fishing the crab C. polyodon and the
mollusc C. trochiformis as well (both are of com-
mercial importance). However, to establish a
definitive additional harvest it would be necessary
to monitor the trajectory of both systems under the
condition of a removal of the sea star. According to
the Ecopath II results, a removal of ca. 50% of
biomass of the sea star M. gelatinosus would possibly
be without changes in the system’s holistic properties
(i.e. Ecological Efficiency, Gross Efficiency and
Respiration/Biomass rate).
The models applied here confirm the need to
consider multispecies inter-relationships should be
considered if our interest is to advise a sustainable
fishery. External system perturbations like harvesting
can produce unexpected system responses, such as
the replacement of a predator or competitor, or
changes in the dominance of prey populations in
absence of predators, all responses widely reported
for perturbed systems. Even though other man-made
interventions, such as the simultaneous removal of
‘‘undesirable’’ predator species, may theoretically be
sustainable in population models, these abstractions
offer us only a proximate response without the
integration of ultimate and long-term effects. The
quantitative and qualitative theoretical frameworks
here presented, captured just a part of the different
types of interspecific relationships, which enabled us
to explore and answer with high robustness ecolog-
ical questions. We thus conclude that the above
modelling approaches should be used in other
ecological systems, especially, if our aim is to assess
the sustainability of different management options for
multispecies fisheries (Hilborn et al., 1995; Walters
& Korman, 1999; Walters et al., 1999).
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