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Transcript of Marketing Powerpoint Slide Deck for Template creation
Trade Defence Cases in the United States, Mexico and Beyond
Timothy C. Brightbill
C5 Forum on International Trade Disputes
October 12, 2016
OutlineI. Trade Defense Cases and Countries
II. US Solar Cases
III. US Steel Cases
IV. Signs Your Industry May Be Subject to a Trade Case
2
I. Trade Defense Cases and Countries Total antidumping measures in force as of June 2015:
• United States – 258
• India – 224
• Brazil – 159
• Turkey - 137
• China – 101
• European Union - 98
3
I. Trade Defense Cases and Countries Total countervailing duty measures in force as of June
2015:
• United States – 60
• Canada - 18
• European Union – 15
• Australia – 9
New reports due in mid-October 2016
4
I. Trade Defense Cases and Countries United States filed a series of new AD/CVD cases in
2015 and 2016
Largely driven by three major cases on steel flat-products – the first such cases in many years
5
SOLARWORLD AMERICAS
Presentation12/22/2015
Solar Cells and Modules:
Overview of AD/CVD Orders and Enforcement Issues
Solar I Trade Case Overview• “Solar I” – Original Investigation
• October 2011: AD/CVD petitions filed on Chinese cells/modules
• October 2012: Commerce Department issued final AD/CVD decisions
• November 2012: ITC reached final 6-0 affirmative injury determination
• December 2012: AD/CVD orders issued
• Duty Margins: AD CVD Combined
Trina 18.32% 15.97% 23.75%
Suntech 29.14% 14.78% 33.38%
Separate Rate/All Others
24.48% 15.24% 29.18%
China-Wide 249.96% 15.24% 265.20%
Solar I Trade Case Overview: Scope• Included:
• Chinese cells• Chinese modules made from Chinese cells• Modules made from Chinese cells, no matter where they are made into
modules• Excluded:
• Chinese modules made from non-Chinese cells• Thin-film solar products (NOT hybrid products)• Cells, not exceeding 10,000mm² in surface area, that are permanently
integrated into a consumer good whose function is other than power generation and that consumes the electricity generated by the integrated cell
Solar I Trade Case Overview• “Solar I” – Administrative Reviews
• Second Reviews:• Final results: current duty rates – most Chinese firms paying combined 26% - 32%
• Third Reviews (ongoing):• February 2016: Reviews initiated• December 2016 (unextended) or June 2017 (fully extended): Final results expected
AD CVD Combined
Yingli 12.19% 20.94% 33.13%
Suntech & JA Solar 8.52% 19.2% 27.72%
Trina 6.12% 19.2% 25.32%
Separate Rate/All Others 8.52% 19.2% 27.72%
China-Wide 238.95% 19.2% 259.89%
Effect of Solar I Trade Cases: Chinese Imports
$-
$50,000,000
$100,000,000
$150,000,000
$200,000,000
$250,000,000
$300,000,000
$350,000,000
$400,000,000
$450,000,000
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Effect of Solar I Trade Cases: Taiwanese Imports
$0
$10,000,000
$20,000,000
$30,000,000
$40,000,000
$50,000,000
$60,000,000
$70,000,000
$80,000,000
Jan
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Imp
ort
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Cu
sto
ms
Val
ue
(U.S
. Do
llars
)
Closing the Gap: Solar II Trade Case Overview• “Solar II” – Original Investigation
• December 2013: AD/CVD petitions filed
• February 2015: AD/CVD orders issued
• Duty Margins:
• Solar II” – first administrative reviews
have begun
China
AD Margin CVD Combined
Trina 26.71% 49.21% 59.95%Suntech 52.13% 27.64% 63.83%Renesola 78.42% 38.43% 116.85%Separate Rate/All Others 52.13% 38.43% 74.60%China-Wide 165.04% 38.43% 187.51%
TaiwanAD Margin
Gintech Energy 27.55%Motech Industries, Inc. 11.45%All Others 19.50%
Closing the Gap: Solar II Trade Case Overview -Scope
• Taiwan AD Order:• Cells from Taiwan, no matter where they are made into modules
• China AD/CVD Orders:• Modules from China made from cells from any country except China
• Chinese cells, and modules from China made from Chinese cells, are subject to the Solar I orders
• Country of origin of ingots and wafers is irrelevant for purposes of country of origin analysis
Effects of the Trade Cases• Prices and imports stabilized for more than a year
$-
$50,000,000
$100,000,000
$150,000,000
$200,000,000
$250,000,000
$300,000,000
$350,000,000
$400,000,000
$450,000,000
Jan
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Mar
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May
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No
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No
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No
v-1
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U.S. Solar Imports from China 2011 - 2015
Effects of the Trade Cases
$0
$20,000,000
$40,000,000
$60,000,000
$80,000,000
$100,000,000
$120,000,000
$140,000,000
$160,000,000
$180,000,000
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No
v-1
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Imp
ort
ed
Cu
sto
ms
Val
ue
(U.S
. Do
llars
)
U.S. Solar Imports from Taiwan - 2012-2015
Solar Court Appeals• Numerous court appeals from the Solar I case (DOC and ITC),
and Solar 2 cases (China, Taiwan, DOC and ITC) are ongoing
• Current scope appeals on bificial/hybrid products
Growth of Third Country Shipments
2014 2015 % Increase
Malaysia $895,826,367 $1,306,900,809 46%
Mexico $506,206,862 $911,898,922 80%
Singapore $57,592,018 $426,531,974 641%
South Korea $110,721,735 $403,658,335 265%
Vietnam $7,407,974 $176,934,837 2288%
“Hybrid”/Thin Film Cell Imports• Commerce has ruled that bifacial cells/modules are
subject to the AD/CVD orders. These are crystalline silicon cells with a layer of amorphous silicon to boost efficiency
• Scope rulings:
• SolarCity’s/Silevo’s Triex Cells
• Sunpreme’s Bi-Facial Cells
U.S. Solar Trade Cases - Summary• Most Chinese imports of cells and modules subject to
AD/CVD duties of about 30 percent
• U.S. demand still strong
• Prices had stabilized until recently
• U.S.- China settlement complicated by China’s AD cases against U.S. and EU polysilicon manufacturers
• Chinese relocation to third countries = overcapacity
III. US Steel Cases The U.S. steel industry filed a series of new trade
cases in 2015 and 2016 to address harm caused by dumping, subsidies and overcapacity
Three cases have been won, and orders are now in place: hot-rolled, cold-rolled and corrosion-resistant
Two additional cases are underway: plate and rebar
21
III. US Steel Cases The Obama Administration and Commerce
Department have placed greater emphasis on trade enforcement in recent years, in part to gain support for new trade agreements like TPP and for T-TIP negotiations
Steel subsidies and overcapacity have been a focus of recent OECD and even G20 talks
22
Page 23
AD/CVD Orders on Flat Products Carbon Steel Plate Products
• 1997 group
• 2000 group
Hot-Rolled Flat Products • 1999 Russia order
• 2001 group
Cold-Rolled Steel Products• 2015-16 cases
Corrosion-Resistant Steel Products• 2015-16 cases
• 2016 cases (ongoing)
• 2015-16 cases
Page 25
AD/CVD Orders on Flat Products –Cut-to-Length Steel Plate
1997 Order group• Antidumping Duty orders cover three countries: China,
Russia and the Ukraine
2000 Order group• Antidumping : India, Indonesia, and Korea• Countervailing Duty : India, Indonesia, and Korea
2016 Investigation group• Antidumping investigations on twelve countries: Austria,
Belgium, Brazil, China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Korea, South Africa, Taiwan, and Turkey
• Countervailing Duty investigations on three countries: Brazil, China, and Korea
Page 26
AD/CVD petitions filed on April 8, 2016• Austria, Belgium, Brazil, China, France, Germany, Italy,
Japan, Korea, South Africa, Taiwan, and Turkey
Expected dates:
• Sept. 2016: first preliminary CVD findings: affirmative on China (210.5%), negative on Korea
• Nov. 2016: USDOC preliminary AD findings
• March 2017: USDOC final AD/CVD findings
• April 2017: USITC final injury vote
Cut-to-Length Steel PlateNEW PETITIONS
Page 28
Hot-Rolled Steel Flat ProductsDUTY DEPOSIT RATES
Country Producer AD Rate CVD Rate Country Producer AD Rate CVD Rate
Australia (2015 Group) A-602-809 India (2001 Group) A-533-820 C-533-821
BlueScope Steel 29.37% SAIL all others 18.27%
All Others 29.37% Tata Steel 38.72% 102.74%
Brazil (2015 Group) A-351-845 C-351-846 All Others 42.39% 16.10%
CSN 33.14% 11.30% Indonesia (2001 Group) A-560-812 C-560-813
Usiminas 34.28% 11.09% PT Krakatau Steel 47.86% 10.21%
All Others 33.14% 11.20% All Others 47.86% 10.21%
China (2001 Group) A-570-865 Japan (2015 Group) A-588-874
Angang 90.83% JFE Steel Corp. 7.51%
Benxi Iron & Steel 90.83% Nippon Steel/Sumitomo 4.99%
Panzhihua I/S 65.59% All Others 5.58%
Shanghai Baosteel 12.39% Korea (2015 Group) A-580-883 C-580-884
Wuhan Iron & Steel 65.69% POSCO/Daewoo 3.89% 57.04%
PRC-Wide 90.83% Hyundai Steel 9.49% 3.89%
India (2001 Group) A-533-820 C-533-821 All Others 5.55% 3.89%
Essar Steel Ltd. 28.26% 76.88% Netherlands (2015 Group) A-421-813
Ispat Industries 0.00% 15.27% Tata Steel Ijmuiden 3.73%
JSW Steel 0.24% 76.88% All Others 3.73%
Page 29
Hot-Rolled Steel Flat ProductsDUTY DEPOSIT RATES
Country Producer AD Rate CVD Rate Country Producer AD Rate CVD Rate
Russia (1999 Group) A-821-809 Turkey (2015 Group) A-489-826 C-429-827
JSC Severstal 73.59% Colakoglu 7.15% 0.34%
All Others 184.56% Ergeli 3.66% 6.01%
Taiwan (2001 Group) A-583-835 All Others 6.67% 6.01%
China Steel Corp. 29.14% Ukraine (2001 Group) A-823-811
An Feng Steel 29.14% Country-wide 90.33%
All Others 20.28%
Thailand (2001 Group) A-549-817 United Kingdom (2015 Group) A-412-825
G Steel Public Co. 20.30% Tata Steel UK 33.06%
Nakornthai Strip Mill 8.23% All Others 33.06%
Sahaviriya Seel Indus. 9.04%
Siam Strip Mill Public 19.72%
All Others 3.86%
Page 31Page 31
Antidumping duty and countervailing duty orders cover seven countries
AD/CVD petitions filed on July 28, 2015
• Sept. 11, 2015: USITC affirmative initial injury vote
• Dec. 15, 2015: USDOC preliminary CVD findings
• Mar. 1, 2016: USDOC preliminary AD findings
• June 22, 2016: USITC first affirmative final injury votes
• July 21, 2016: USDOC final AD/CVD findings
• August 2016: USITC final injury vote
Cold-Rolled Steel Flat Products
Page 32
Final duty rates (AD and CVD)
Country Producer AD Rate CVD Rate Country Producer AD Rate CVD Rate
Brazil A-351-843 C-351-844 Korea A-580-881 C-580-882
CSN 19.58% 11.31% POSCO/Daewoo 6.32% 58.36%
Usiminas 35.43% 11.09% Hyundai Steel 34.33% 3.91%
All Others 19.58% 11.20% All Others 20.33% 3.91%
China A-570-029 C-570-030 Russia A-821-822 C-821-823
Angang Group 256.44% JSC Severstal 13.36% 0.62%
Benxi Iron & Steel 256.44% Novolipetsk Steel 1.04% 6.95%
Qian'an Golden Point 256.44% All Others 13.36% 6.95%
PRC-Wide 265.79% 256.44%
India A-533-865 C-533-866
JSW Steel Ltd. 7.60% 10.00%
All Others 7.60% 10.00%
Cold-Rolled Steel Flat ProductsDUTY DEPOSIT RATES
Page 33
Country Producer AD Rate
Japan A-588-873JFE Steel Corp. 71.35%Nippon Steel/Sumitomo 71.35%All Others 71.35%
United Kingdom A-412-824Caparo Precision Strip 5.40%
Tata Steel UK 25.56%All Others 22.92%
Final duty rates (AD and CVD)
Cold-Rolled Steel Flat ProductsDUTY DEPOSIT RATES
Page 35
Final duty rates (AD and CVD)Country Producer AD Rate CVD Rate Country Producer AD Rate CVD Rate
China A-570-026 C-570-027 India A-533-863 C-533-864
Angang Group PRC-Wide 241.07% JSW Steel 4.44% 29.46%
Baoshan Iron/Steel PRC-Wide 241.07% Uttam Galva Steel 3.05% 8.00%
Changshu Everbright PRC-Wide 241.07% All Others 3.86% 18.73%
Hebei Iron & Steel PRC-Wide 241.07% Italy A-475-832 C-475-833
Handan Iron & Steel PRC-Wide 235.66% Acciaieria Arvedi 12.63% excluded
Jiangyin Zhongcheng 209.97% PRC-Wide Marcegaglia 92.12% excluded
TISCO PRC-Wide 241.07% Ilva All Others 38.51%
Union Steel China 209.97% PRC-Wide All Others 12.63% 13.02%
Yieh Phui (China) 209.97% 39.05%
PRC-Wide 209.97% 39.05%
Corrosion-Resistant Steel Flat ProductsDUTY DEPOSIT RATES
Page 36
Final duty rates (AD and CVD)Country Producer AD Rate CVD Rate Country Producer AD Rate
Korea A-580-878 C-580-879 Taiwan A-583-856
Dongkuk Steel 8.75% All Others Prosperity Tieh 10.34%
Hyundai Steel 47.80% 1.19% Yieh Phui Enterpr. 10.34%
Union Steel 8.75% excluded All Others 10.34%
All Others 28.28% 1.19%
Corrosion-Resistant Steel Flat ProductsSCOPE OF THE ORDERS
Page 37
Mill Test Certificate RequiredA mill test certificate is required for steel products by 19 C.F.R. §141.89:
Iron or steel classifiable in Chapter 72 or headings 7301 to 7307, HTSUS (T.D. 53092, 55977)--Statement of the percentages by weight or carbon and any metallic elements contained in the articles, in the form of a mill analysis or mill test certificate.
Must be in English, or accompanied by an accurate English translation (19 C.F.R. § 141.86(d))
No ranges! Exact percentages only…
Page 38
I. Antidumping Orders for Concrete Reinforcing Bar (Rebar)
Belarus
China
Indonesia
Latvia
Moldova
Poland
Ukraine
Rebar 2000 cases:
Page 39
Current Rebar Antidumping Duties2000 Cases
Belarus: (Inv. A-822-804)
• All producers 114.53%
China: (Inv. A-570-860)
• Laiwu Steel 133.00%
• All other producers 133.00%
Indonesia: (Inv. A-560-811)• PT Gunung Gahapi Sakti 71.01%• Master Steel 71.01%• Mfg. Co. PT Bhirma Steel 71.01%• Krakatau Wajatama 71.01%• PT Jakarta Steel Perdana 71.01%• PT Pulogadung Steel 71.01%• Jakarta Cakra Tunggal 71.01%• PT Hanil Jaya Metal Works 71.01%• All others 60.46%
Latvia: (Inv. A-449-804)
• Liepajas Metalurgs 4.87%*
• All other producers 17.21%
Moldova: (Inv. A-841-804)
• All producers 232.86%
Poland: (Inv. A-455-803)• Stalexport 52.07%
• All other producers 47.13%
Ukraine: (Inv. A-823-809)
• All producers 41.69%
Page 40
Mexico: (Inv. A-201-844)• Deacero S.A.P.I. de C.V. (A-201-844-001)
20.58%
• Grupo Acerero S.A. de C.V. (A-201-844-002)66.70%
• Grupo Simec (A-201-844-003)
66.76%
• All Other producers (A-201-844-000)
20.58%Turkey: (Inv. C-489-819)
• Icdas Celik (C-489-819-002)1.25%
• All Other producers (C-489-819-000)1.25%
2013 Rebar Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Orders
New Rebar Cases Japan, Taiwan and Turkey
Preliminary ITC staff conference October 11
Potential AD/CVD duty deposits first half of 2017
41
IV. Signs that a Trade Case May Be Coming
Import surges / price declines from particular countries
Cases in other countries
US: Section 332 investigations
43
IV. Advice for Respondents in Trade Cases
Before a case:
Export to multiple countries
Dumping = selling below home market price or (fully loaded) cost of production
“Dump-proofing”
44
IV. Advice for Respondents in Trade Cases During a case:
Ask for extensions of time
Complete reporting of sales is essential
Verification process is critically important
Participate to the best of your ability, or face adverse facts available
Use reputable law firms and consultants – cheating is not worth it
Importer of record is liable for duties
US prospective system means duty amounts won’t be known for years after the time of importation
Commerce vs. ITC strategy (or both)
45
IV. Advice for Respondents in Trade Cases After a case: Foreign manufacturers may not pay the duties for their customers
(duty absorption) Circumvention and evasion are illegal – and US industries have new
tools Use new shipper reviews and admin. reviews to potentially reduce
duties Respondent selection process in US (two largest) Scope reviews Work with Customs and Border Protection
46