Investment Analysis: Bank of America Corporation 2014
Transcript of Investment Analysis: Bank of America Corporation 2014
Running head: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 1
Investment Analysis Paper on Bank of America Corporation
Robert E. Davis
Walden University
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 2
Investment Analysis Paper on Bank of America Corporation
Bank of America Corporation (BAC) is a registered publicly traded financial services
institution. Headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, BAC is categorically a bank and
financial holding company as presented within their United States Securities and Exchange
Commission (2012) 10K filings. BAC’s banking and nonbanking subsidiaries furnish a diverse
collection of financial products and services through five primary business segments: Global
Banking, Global Markets, Global Wealth & Investment Management, Consumer & Business
Banking, and Consumer Real Estate Services (Bank of America Corporation, 2014a). Since the
organization’s inception, retail banking operations have grown to encompass approximately
5,100 business centers, 16,300 automated teller machines (ATMs), as well as regional call
centers and technologically savvy banking platforms (Bank of America Corporation, 2014a).
Furthermore, BAC sustains over 53 million consumer and small business relationships (Bank of
America Corporation, 2014a).
Board of Directors
There are 15 available BAC seats on the board of directors. According to the 2014 proxy
statement, the BAC selection of directors is held annually and follows a majority balloting rule in
uncontested elections (Bank of America Corporation, 2014b). For transparency, within the BAC
proxy statement is the biographical history of each nominee eligible for selection as a member of
the firm’s highest oversight committee (Bank of America Corporation, 2014b). The BAC proxy
statement also presents the practices pertaining to how individuals are nominated and ratified for
board membership (Bank of America Corporation, 2014b). Currently, a substantial majority of
the BAC directors and chairperson are independent (Bank of America Corporation, 2014b).
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Lastly, the new nominees and incumbents up for reelection convey seasoned leadership with
diverse experiences appearing to possess the necessary qualifications, attributes, and skills to
allow effective oversight of the organization (Bank of America Corporation, 2014b; Carver,
2010).
Monitoring Potential of the Firm's Board of Directors
Formation of governance committees are necessary to ensure board members have varied
interests with the capability to integrate organizational values (Carver, 2010), high ethical
standards, and the insight to pose resolute queries to organizational administrators (Maharaj,
2009). And most importantly, governance committees should ensure board members sustain
independence from operational management and interact considering their overall purpose
(Maharaj, 2009). To ensure adherence to these suggested theoretical board membership
requirements, BAC has established a Corporate Governance Committee responsible for
recommending acceptable candidates to the Board of Directors for selection (Bank of America
Corporation, 2014b). In this matter, the Corporate Governance Committee assesses the Board’s
diversity when identifying and evaluating potential directors (Bank of America Corporation,
2014b). Specifically, the Corporate Governance Committee reviews relevant, accessible
information concerning each potential candidate, such as qualifications, experience, skills,
integrity, race, gender, ethnicity, as well as independence (Bank of America Corporation,
2014b).
Strengths and Weaknesses of Board Structure
Though BAC has deployed a Corporate Governance Committee, the board of directors
has strengths and weaknesses. From a governance perspective, the board’s structural strengths
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are initial monitoring of diversity, independence, as well as meeting attendance requirements
(Bank of America Corporation, 2014b). Whilst BAC structural fault in the board is the omission
of a formal diversity policy (Bank of America Corporation, 2014b; Carver, 2010).
Ethical Concerns
Given the current state of business affairs, it appears that BAC directors have not
significantly encouraged ethical behavior in business relationship. As a particular, the number
and associated accusations of legal claims raises a concern regarding the promotion of ethical
behavior by the BAC Board of Directors. Specifically, judicial contingent liabilities exist for
representations, warranties, servicing and foreclosure processes (Bank of America Corporation,
2013).
Competitive Financial Ratio Comparison
BAC is a registered publicly traded financial services organization. Wells Fargo &
Company (WFC) is a registered publicly traded financial services institution that competes in
BAC markets (“Bank of America Corporation's,” n.d.; Wells Fargo & Company, 2014). WFC
offers banking, insurance, investments, mortgage as well as consumer and commercial finance
(Wells Fargo & Company, 2014) to individuals, businesses, and institutions. In comparing the
aforementioned competitors, DuPont identity financial ratio enables singular and joint
profitability analysis of return on assets (ROA) and equity multiplier to produce a return on
equity (ROE) (Ross, Westerfield, & Jaffe, 2013). To assist in competitive financial ratio
analysis; the financial information in Table 1 was selectively extracted from the year-end
financial statements of BAC (Bank of America Corporation, 2014a) and WFC (Wells Fargo &
Company, 2014), respectively. Derivatively, the calculations in Table 2 show the ROE, profit
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margin, asset turnover, and equity multiplier over three years.
DuPont Identity
The DuPont identity calculation is a ROE ratio that reflects how well the stockholders
benefit from investing in the organizational formation (Ross et al., 2013). Under the DuPont
identity formula, ROE equals profit margin times total asset turnover times equity multiplier
(Ross et al., 2013). Thus, regarding organizational performance, ROE gauges the profit per
monetary unit of recorded worth (Ross et al., 2013).
Table 1
Selected Financial Information of BAC and WFC for 2011, 2012, and 2013 in Millions, Except
for the Share price as of December 31, 2013 and Earnings per share
BAC Year 2013 Year 2012 Year 2011
Net income $11,431 $4,188 $1,446
Revenue $89,801 $84,235 $94,426
Assets $2,102,273 $2,209,974 $2,129,046
Equity $232,685 $236,956 $230,101
Dividends paid $1,677 $1,909 $1,738
Share price as of
December 31, 2013
$15.57 $11.61 $5.56
Earnings per share $0.94 $0.26 $0.01
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WFC Year 2013 Year 2012 Year 2011
Net income $21,878 $18,897 $15,869
Revenue $83,780 $86,086 $80,948
Assets $1,527,015 $1,422,968 $1,313,867
Equity $171,008 $158,911 $141,687
Dividends paid $5,953 $4,565 $2,537
Share price as of
December 31, 2013
$45.40 $34.18 $27.56
Earnings per share $3.95 $3.40 $2.85
Table 2
BAC and WFC DuPont Identity for 2011, 2012, and 2013
ROE
NI/ Equity
Profit Margin
NI/ Revenue
Asset Turnover
Revenue/
Assets
Equity Multiplier
Assets/ Equity
BAC Year 2013 4.91% 12.72% .04 9.04
Year 2012 1.78% 4.97% .04 9.33
Year 2011 .62% 1.58% .04 9.25
WFC Year 2013 12.79% 26.11% .06 8.93
Year 2012 11.89% 21.95% .06 8.95
Year 2011 11.20% 19.60% .06 9.27
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Differences or Trends
Comparatively, BAC and WFC have divergent ROE ratios (see Table 2). At the end of
2011, BAC had .62%, and WFC had 11.20% ROEs. At the end of 2012, BAC had 1.78%, and
WFC had 11.89% ROEs. At the end of 2013, BAC had 4.91%, and WFC had 12.79% ROEs.
Summarily, BAC’s DuPont identity is trending upward from 2011 to 2013. Moreover, WFC’s
DuPont identity also rose from 2011 to 2013.
ROE increased for both BAC and WFC. BAC’s and WFC’s ROE increases are due to
increases in profit margins from 2011 to 2013 (see Table 1). The increase in profit margin
coincides with an increase net income from 2011 to 2013. Similarly, net income for BAC and
WFC increased during the three years from 2011 to 2013. Thus, BAC and WFC sustained a
growth trend in net income for the last three years. However, BAC revenues recovered from the
10.79% decrease occurring between 2011 and 2012, while WFC revenues decreased by 2.67%
between 2012 and 2013. Furthermore, the profit margin for both organizations is increasing.
Nevertheless, in Table 2, the profit margin demonstrates a significant contrast between the two
enterprises from 2011 to 2013.
BAC’s profit margin is semi-erratic with 1.58% in 2011, 4.97% in 2012, and 12.72% in
2013. WFC’s profit margin reflects relatively slow growth with 19.60% in 2011, 21.95% in
2012, and 26.11% in 2013. Consequently, an increase in WFC’s profit margin in 2013 is notably
less than BAC. As shown in Table 1, net income grew every year at BAC and WFC, but at an
exceptional higher rate between 2012 and 2013 for BAC. Additionally, BAC’s equity multiplier
varied upward from 9.25 in 2011 to 9.33 in 2012 then downward to 9.04 in 2013. In contrast,
WFC’s equity multiplier steadily trended downward from 9.27 in 2011 to 8.95 in 2012 to 8.93 in
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 8
2013.
Growth
A dividend growth model is typically utilized for calculating valuation of organizational
formations paying out dividends under three conditions: zero, constant, and differential growth
(Ross et al., 2013). Firms with more effective corporate governance have larger dividend
payouts (Adjaoud & Ben-Amar, 2010). However, this academic research finding can be
mitigated by deployed regulatory controls (Rexrode, 2014). Consequently, BAC has sustained
the same yearly dividend payout since 2009 at $.04 per common stock share (Bank of America
Corporation, n.d.b). For the dividend growth model zero growth sub-model, the dividend
amount would remain constant, which in-turn would make the derived stock price sensitive to
the applied discount rate (Ross et al., 2013).
Dividend Growth Model
Dividend growth comes under the customary caption of dividend policy (Ross et al.,
2013). Thereby, part two of an organization’s United States 10-K filing should convey the
primary market of traded enfranchising securities -- with low and high sales prices -- and
dividends paid during the prior two years (“Guide to SEC filings,” n.d.). Moreover, besides
dividend payment frequency and amount information, statements concerning future dividend
payouts are recorded within the 10-K form (“Guide to SEC filings,” n.d.). Thus, the
aforementioned required 10-K documentation can be construed as the corporation’s adopted
dividend policy.
In correspondence to the topic in this section, the dividend growth model provides the
present value of future dividends as reflected in the stock price (Ross et al., 2013). BAC has
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 9
paid quarterly $.01 dividend since 2009 (Bank of America Corporation, n.d.b). A firm’s growth
rate reflects the increasing rates of earnings and dividends. In the case of BAC, the overall
growth rate would only pertain to organizational earnings remiss of rising dividends.
The formula for the constant growth rate of dividends for a firm is:
P =Div
k − g. (1)
P is the present value of the common stock investment. Div is the expected dividend paid per
share at the next year end. As for the denominator, the appropriate discount rate is k, and g is the
firm’s growth rate. Moreover, to determine g, the following formula is brought into service:
g = Retention ratio x Return on retained earnings (ROE). (2)
In the above formula, retention ratio is the percentage relationship between retained
earnings and generated earnings (Ross et al., 2013). Return on retained earnings represents an
estimate of the historical ROE for the enterprise. Comparably, the dividend growth rate equates
to earnings growth rate based on the assumption that the dividends to earnings ratio is constant
(Ross et al., 2013).
The retention ratio is a required calculation for completing the growth in earnings that
employs the formula:
Retentionratio = 1 − Cashdividends
Netincome . (3)
Given the total dividend for 2013 is $.04 and net income $11,431,000,000, the BAC retention
ratio is 99.99%. Consequently, the firm’s ROE is equal to the growth rate in earnings. For 2013,
BAC’s ROE was 4.91% (see Table 3). Therefore, the estimated growth rate in earnings is 4.91%
(see Table 3).
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Table 3
BAC Growth Rate in Earnings and Price-to-Earnings Ratio Calculation
Analysis Formula Year 2013
ROE Net income / Equity 4.91%
Retention ratio 1 – (cash dividends / net
income)
99.99%
Growth rate in earnings Retention ratio x ROE 4.91%
Price-to-earnings ratio Market price per share /
Earnings per share
3.94%
Issues with Using the Growth Model
BAC’s current dividend constraints restrict application of the constant growth model.
Specifically, the organization is under United States Federal Reserve supervision and must seek
approval to increase the distribution amount of earnings to stockholders in the form of dividends
(Rexrode, 2014). The financial statements of BAC indicate the firm’s ROE is trending upward
(see Table 2), yet stockholders are not benefiting from the higher rates of returns in the form of
dividends due to the imposed 2009 distribution restriction. Therefore, the appropriate stock price
valuation tool for BAC is a zero-growth model (Ross et al., 2013).
Reasonableness of Constant Growth
As presented by Foerster and Sapp (2005), the dividend discount model is distinct from
the dividend growth model. In this regard, Foerster and Sapp (2005) and Ross, Westerfield, and
Jaffe (2013) corresponding formulas are the dividend discount model and the dividend discount
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model differential growth sub-model. Moreover, the Gordon growth model and the dividend
discount model constant growth sub-model have similar formulas (Foerster & Sapp, 2005; Ross
et al., 2013). Therefore, the dividend discount model and dividend growth model formulas
uniquely convert theoretical assumptions (Foerster & Sapp, 2005; Ross et al., 2013).
Annual Report
BAC’s previously planned growth strategy reflects relationship marketing theory to gain
a competitive advantage (Bank of America Corporation, 2014a; Szmigin, Canning, & Reppel,
2005). Thus, the strategic emphasis is focused on linking the company’s outstanding capabilities
with three groups: individuals, organizational formations, and institutional investors (Bank of
America Corporation, 2014a). Operationally, BAC is making more loans, attracting additional
deposits, achieving excellent results in the wealth management business, and sustaining a
leadership position in investment banking (Bank of America Corporation, 2014a). In support of
the adopted growth strategy, BAC is investing in industry-leading online and mobile banking
platforms as well as small business and wealth management (Bank of America Corporation,
2014a). Moreover, BAC is investing in systems that serve large corporate clients and
institutional investors (Bank of America Corporation, 2014a).
Projects such as online and mobile banking platforms, systems that serve large corporate
clients and institutional investors, as well as small business and wealth management services
have real options that impact the firm’s financial health (Ross et al., 2013). These real options
are adjustments that can occur with the undertaking of new projects such as online and mobile
banking (Ross et al., 2013). Nonetheless, BAC competitors are pursuing similar growth
strategies using real options in capital budgeting situations.
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Potential Real Options
Information technology (IT) has impacted all business sectors enormously (Acharya,
Kagan, & Lingam, 2008; Kotler & Keller, 2012). As particulars, increasing demand for online
banking products and services, rising competition from large financial institutions, potential
profitability improvements, and reduced marketing costs are the primary drivers behind IT
adoption by the banking industry (Acharya et al., 2008). At BAC, IT contributes directly to the
firm’s capability and availability in terms of furnishing financial products and services. In
considering the influence of the Internet on consumer demand, BAC is pursuing a strategy to
enable and improve the enterprise’s technology-based business systems. However, there are real
options available for utilization within BAC’s growth strategy. Whereby, during a new project,
BAC can consider real options for determining a strategic, tactical, or operational project path
(Ross et al., 2013). These options include project expansion, abandonment and timing
alternatives for IT projects (Ross et al., 2013).
Capital Budgeting Process
Given the size of BAC, the chief financial officer (CFO) does not have sole responsibility
for approving capital budgeting projects supporting the firm’s long-term strategic drives (Bank
of America Corporation, 2014a; Danielson & Scott, 2006). Specifically, the financial portfolio
committee manages the firm’s investments with membership consisting of executive-level
administrators (Bank of America Corporation, 2014a). Resultantly, the enterprise’s management
monitors investment activity to make decisional changes after acceptance through real options
(Bank of America Corporation, 2014a; Ross et al., 2013).
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 13
Beta
When measuring systematic risk through the lens of a diversified investor, beta represents
the sensitivity of a security to movements in the collective market (“Beta,” n.d; Ross et al.,
2013). Contextually, the average beta across all securities is one, when weighted by the
proportion of each security’s market value to that of the market portfolio (Ross et al., 2013).
Consequently, in assessing market changes, a beta of one denotes that a security's price moves
concurrently with the market (“Beta,” n.d). Whereas, a beta below one reflects the security's
price is less active than the market, and a beta exceeding one indicates the security's price is
more active than the market (“Beta,” n.d). Regarding BAC, the beta coefficient is 2.00 as of
August 1, 2014 (“Bank of America Corporation (BAC),” 2014); thus indicating a relatively high-
risk factor (Ross et al., 2013) and a stock price more sensitive than the equity securities market.
Expected Return – CAPM
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) describes the relationship between risk and return
that enables pricing a security (“Capital asset pricing model,” n.d.; Ross et al., 2013).
Mathematically, CAPM permit calculating an expected return for comparison to the required
return (“Capital asset pricing model,” n.d.; Ross et al., 2013). In this matter, the CAPM formula
for an individual stock is:
R� = R� + β × �R� − R��. (4)
RF is the risk-free rate; β is the responsiveness of a security to movements in the market
portfolio, and RM is the expected return on the market portfolio. Whereby, the variable Rs
represents the expected return. As a particular, the risk-free rate reflects the interest rate if an
investment is remiss of uncertainty. A common estimate for risk-free interest rate is United
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 14
States Treasury bills (Ross et al., 2013). The current interest rate for three month United States
Treasury bills is .03% as of August 1, 2014 (U. S. Department of the Treasury, 2014).
The expected market return formula is:
R� = R� + Riskpremium. (5)
RF is the risk-free rate, and risk premium is the applied rate of equity uncertainty. Whereby, RM
is the expected return on a market portfolio. Through investigation, the average historically-
based international equity premium is 6.9% or .069, thus 7% or .07 is an appropriate estimate for
the equity risk premium (Ross et al., 2013). Resultantly, the calculation for the expected market
return is .0703 (= .0003 + .07). Whereby, the CAPM is .1403 (= .0003 + 2.00 x (.0703 - .0003)).
Therefore, the expected rate of return for BAC is 14.03%.
Dividend Growth Model versus CAPM
The dividend growth model reflects the increasing rates of earnings and dividends (Ross
et al., 2013). In the case of BAC, the estimated growth rate in earnings is 4.91% (see Table 3).
However, regulatory constraints imposed by the United States Federal Reserve since 2009 have
mitigated BAC dividend growth to zero (Rexrode, 2014). Thus, the dividend growth model only
pertains to BAC earnings remiss of rising dividends. In this matter, the dividend growth model
formula for zero-growth for calculating the discount rate (dividend yield) is:
R� =Div
P . (6)
Div is the expected dividend paid per share at the next year end, and price per share of common
stock is P. Whereby, RS is the discount rate (Ross et al., 2013). Therefore, given a $.04 total
dividend for 2013 and a current price per share of $15.20; the discount rate is .26% (Amjaroen,
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 15
2014; “Equity detail,” 2014; StockOptionsChannel.com, 2014).
Contrastingly, CAPM is also applicable to BAC because generating the expected return
does not rely on dividend growth (Ross et al., 2013). Considering CAPM valuation depends on a
calculated equity beta, adopted risk-free rate, and market return rate (Ross et al., 2013); the
expected BAC return rate is 14.03% which is significantly higher than the expected market
return rate of 7.03%. However, because stocks have risk, the actual market return can result in
lower or higher value over a particular time span (Ross et al., 2013).
Debt and Equity
In accord with Ross et al. (2013), leverage reflects the amount of fixed cost of capital in a
firm’s capital structure relative to operating income as well as debt to equity ratio. Thereby,
leverage creates financial risk relating directly to the cost of capital (Ross et al., 2013).
Moreover, whenever the return on assets is greater than the cost of debt, additional leverage is
favorable (Ross et al., 2013). Consequently, Korteweg (2010) find optimal leverage is positively
related to tangible asset proportions and negatively related to profit volatility, depreciation, and
market-to-book ratios.
Organizational worth is evaluated considering debt and equity market value (Ross at el.,
2013). Strategically, achieving a relative high company valuation is beneficial to shareholders
(Ross at el., 2013). Therefore, financial managers typically attempt to maximize the firm’s value
through debt and equity management. When managing the debt and equity of the firm, leverage
can produce higher per share earnings (Ross at el., 2013). However, financial risk is also
elevated (Ross at el., 2013).
Equity
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 16
The market value of an equity instrument is constantly changing due to variations in
outstanding shares and stock price. Since BAC’s zero growth dividend is $.04 per annum, an
increase in retained earnings will increase equity. Nevertheless, mathematically, the market
value of equity is the stock price multiplied by the number of outstanding shares. Regarding this
calculation, as of August 8, 2014, BAC’s market value of equity is $159,841,072,000 (=
10,515,860,000 x $15.20) (Bank of America Corporation, n.d.c; “Bank of America Corporation
(BAC),” 2014). In contrast, the cost of equity capital is the same as the expected stock return
(Ross et al., 2013). Whereby, the CAPM formula (see Equation 4) can assist in determining the
cost of equity capital. Resultantly, the cost of equity for BAC is 14.03%.
Debt
BAC has outstanding long-term debt instruments. Thus, the after-tax cost of debt is
determinable. Computationally, the formula is:
Aftertaxcostofdebt = �1 − Taxrate�xBorrowingRate. (7)
Wherefore, the market value of debt and tax rate can represent estimated book valuations. For
BAC, as of June 30, 2014, the book value of long-term debt was $257 billion (Bank of America
Corporation, n.d.a), and the effective tax rate was 26.41% (“Bank of America Corporation
(BAC),” n.d.d). Considering BAC has multiple long-term debt issuances, an average yield
maturity rate for bonds was employed to estimate the borrowing rate of 3.83% (“Bonds,” n.d.).
Consequently, BAC’s after-tax cost of debt is 2.82% (= .7359 x .0383).
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
As conveyed, standard trade-off theory suggests there is an optimal capital structure
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(Ross et al., 2013). So, the question is: What is the optimal capital structure for a firm?
According to academic research, the optimal capital structure minimizes the weighted average
cost of capital (WACC) and thereby maximizes organizational value (Fernández, 2001).
Typically, firms are unable to identify this optimum capital structure point precisely (Eckbo,
2008). Resultantly, corporate officers find an optimum range within which to maintain the
firm’s capital structure. Supporting deployment of this debt policy measurement tool, based on a
study by Bancel and Mittoo (2004), the majority of European managers attempt to minimize the
WACC to assist in achieving capital structure optimization.
The combined value of capital for BAC is $416.8 billion (see Table 5). Utilizing the
equity and debt amounts, as well as a derived tax rate, the WACC for BAC is 7.18% (see
Appendix A). Therefore, interpretively, 7.18% BAC WACC reflects the expected financial
return to sustain organizational value (Ross et al., 2013). Moreover, the calculated WACC
permits usage as a discount rate for net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (IRR)
calculations because the resulting percentage reflects the firm’s risk and capital structure (Ross et
al., 2013).
Capital Budgeting Assumptions
WACC enables assessing the feasibility of projects (Ross at el., 2013). ). If utilized as an
evaluation approach for projects, there is an assumption that a high WACC conveys greater
financial risk when seeking capital financing. There is also the assumption when using the
WACC rate that the firm’s earnings will continue at the current rate. Additionally, though equity
value fluctuates with market pricing, there is an assumption that the WACC rate will remain
constant. Lastly, there is an assumption that the firm’s risk will remain unchanged throughout a
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 18
project’s life cycle (Ross et al., 2013).
Competitive Review of Debt and Equity Mix
WFC is a registered publicly traded financial services institution that competes in BAC
markets (“Bank of America Corporation's,” n.d.; Wells Fargo & Company, 2014). WFC and
BAC offer banking, insurance, investments, mortgage as well as consumer and commercial
finance (Wells Fargo & Company, 2014) to individuals, businesses, and institutions. Similarly,
BAC and WFC sustained upward trends in net income for the last three years. However, BAC
equity decreased from the 2012 level in 2013, while WFC equity increased year-over-year
between 2011 and 2013. Comparatively, the debt and equity mix of WFC and BAC enables
leverage analysis (Ross et al., 2013). To assist in competitive leverage analysis considering
current year events; the WFC financial information in Table 5 is a selective extraction from the
2014 second quarter financial statements.
Competitive Review
As of August 8, 2014, WFC’s market value of equity is 5.29 billion outstanding shares
multiplied by per share stock price of $50.00 which equals $264.5 billion (United States
Securities and Exchange Commission, 2014; “Wells Fargo & Company (WFC),” 2014b). The
market value of debt and tax rate can represent estimated book valuations (see Equation 7). For
WFC, as of June 30, 2014, the book value of long-term debt was $168 billion (“Wells Fargo &
Co (NYSE:WFC),” n.d.), and the effective tax rate was 30.63% (“Wells Fargo & Company
(WFC),” n.d.a). Moreover, beta for WFC is 0.89 (“Wells Fargo & Company (WFC),” 2014a).
Based on variable substitution (see Equation 4), WFC’s CAPM is calculated as 0.0626 (= .0003
+ 0.89 x (.0703 - .0003)), whereby the cost of equity for WFC is 6.26%.
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 19
Considering WFC has multiple long-term debt issuances, an average yield maturity rate
for bonds was employed to estimate the borrowing rate of 4.72% (“Bonds,” n.d.). Consequently,
WFC’s after-tax cost of debt is 3.27% (= .6937 x .0472). Furthermore, the combined value of
capital for WFC is $432.5 billion (see Table 5). Consequently, the WACC for WFC is 5.05%
(see Appendix B).
Table 5
Debt and Equity Information for BAC and WFC in Billions, Except for the Debt-equity ratio,
CAPM and WACC
BAC Value
Book value of long-term debt as of June, 30, 2014 $257.0
Market value of equity as of August 8, 2014 $159.8
Total combined value of capital $416,8
Debt-equity ratio 160.83%
CAPM 14.03%
WACC 7.18%
WFC Value
Book value of long-term debt as of June, 30, 2014 $168.0
Market value of equity as of August 8, 2014 $264.5
Total combined value of capital $432.5
Debt-equity ratio 63.51%
CAPM 6.26%
WACC 5.05%
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 20
BAC has a higher calculated debt-equity ratio than WFC (see Table 5). Furthermore,
BAC has a higher WACC rate than WFC, thus reflecting a higher overall expected return BAC
must earn to maintain the value of assets (Ross et al., 2013). Therefore, the lower calculated
WFC WACC percentage reflects a lower risk and capital structure rate (Ross et al., 2013). If
utilized as an evaluation approach for projects by WFC, the lower WACC communicates lesser
financial risk when seeking capital financing compared to BAC. In other words, WFC projects
require a lower return rate from raised capital than BAC. Nonetheless, WFC has increased
equity over the last three years (see Table 1) indicating WFC is decreasing leverage-based risk.
Capital Structure Theories
Empirically, academic evidence demonstrates industry classification, ownership
concentration, firm size, growth options, asset specificity, and profitability are primary
determinants of capital structure choice reflecting theoretical assumptions (Bhabra, Liu, &
Tirtiroglu, 2008). The fundamental assumption of the trade-off theory is leveraging exhibits
optimization adjustment where deviations from the target face gradual elimination (Eckbo,
2008). The key forecast of pecking-order theory is the strict ordering of financing. These two
concepts can represent broad organizing frameworks conceivably aiding in accounting for
numerous facts related to capital structuring (Eckbo, 2008). Nevertheless, it is also reasonable to
assess both theoretical explanations as elements of a wider factor set determining a firm’s capital
structure (Eckbo, 2008). Regarding this matter, scholars as well as practitioners appear prone to
see both theories in this more restrained approach (Eckbo, 2008; Ross et al., 2013).
Trade-off theory addresses a firm’s capital structure decision between the tax benefits,
distress costs and agency costs (Ross et al., 2013). Tax benefits accrue to a corporate issuer
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 21
through debt when the government regulator permits interest payments as a reduction in taxable
income, thereby enabling a tax shield (Ross et al., 2013). Distress denotes the direct legal and
administrative costs of reorganization or liquidation; while indirect costs include the impaired
ability to conduct business and agency costs (Ross et al., 2013). Contentiously, a trade-off exists
because a firm’s value increases through debt acquisition for organizations remitting corporate
taxes. Whereby, tax benefits are offset by the financial distress created with an increased risk of
failure due to the inability to pay creditors or investors (Bhabra et al., 2008; Ross et al., 2013).
Alternatively or correspondingly, pecking-order theory in pure form assumes timing is
the only consideration in issuing equity (Ross et al., 2013). Nevertheless, as prioritized, under
the pecking-order theory organizations should deploy internal financing before external
financing and issue the safest securities first for external financing. Moreover, the pecking-order
implies if there is a requirement for outside funding, issue debt before equity (Ross et al., 2013).
Lastly, only upon reaching the firm’s debt capacity should an organization consider equity
financing (Ross et al., 2013).
Similarly, trade-off and pecking-order theory in practical application require assessable
taxes, distress costs, and agency costs consideration (Ross et al., 2013). However, timing is an
important motivator under the pecking-order theory (Ross et al., 2013). Furthermore, pecking-
order theory primary inferences reflect having no leverage target value, profitable firms
exercising less debt, and retaining relatively large cash balances (Ross et al., 2013). Wherefore,
the attraction of interest tax shields and the threat of financial distress are secondary
consideration assumptions (Shyam-Sunder & Myers, 1999). Contrastingly, the trade-off theory
suggests an optimal amount of leverage exists for firms (Ross et al., 2013). Additionally, more
profitable firms generate greater debt capacity to capture the leverage benefits, and debt has a
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 22
lesser impact on public perception of capital overvaluation under the trade-off theory (Ross et al.,
2013).
BAC and WFC are two entities exemplifying utilization of capital structure theory.
Though the leverage ratio of WFC is higher than BAC; both financial services firms have
relatively high individual debt levels compared to equity (see Table 5). In replicating most
industry norms, BAC and WFC appear to have employed trade-off theory as a basis for high debt
financing rather than the pecking-order theory (Ross et al., 2013). Therefore, BAC and WFC are
receiving the tax benefits of debt financing. However, as previously stated, the trade-off theory
suggests that there is an optimal balance of debt financing and costs of distress as well as agency
(Ross et al., 2013).
Summary
BAC is a financial services firm with a previously planned growth strategy that reflects
relationship marketing theory to gain a competitive advantage (Bank of America Corporation,
2014a; Szmigin, Canning, & Reppel, 2005). Thus, BAC’s strategic emphasis is focused on
linking the enterprise’s outstanding capabilities with individuals, organizational formations, and
institutional investors (Bank of America Corporation, 2014a). Regarding this matter, in the last
three years, ROE increased for BAC. Whereby, BAC’s ROE increases are due to increases in
profit margins (see Table 1). BAC’s upward trend in profit margin (see Table 2) coincides with
an increase net income (see Table 1). Moreover, as of December 31, 2013, BAC’s ROE and
growth rate is 4.91%, which indicates a mature firm experiencing moderate expansion (see Table
3). However, regulatory constraints imposed by the United States Federal Reserve since 2009
have mitigated BAC dividend growth to zero (Rexrode, 2014).
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 23
For BAC, the 2013 price-to-earnings multiple of 3.94 is lower than the growth rate of
4.91% which can produce stock undervaluation cognitions and appear likely to have future value
increases (see Table 3). Furthermore, BAC’s beta of 2.00 indicates high stock price volatility to
market movement and a relatively high-risk factor (Ross et al., 2013). As a consequence,
utilizing the CAPM formula (see Equation 4), the expected investment return for BAC is
14.03%. This CAPM percentage represents a rate higher than the average historically-based
international equity premium of 7% (Ross et al., 2013). Whereas, the BAC WACC is 7.18%
(see Table 5). Whereby, the BAC WACC rate indicates a low risk of distress associated with
debt given the significantly high CAPM percentage.
Expected inflation apparently operates through the ability to capture aspects of the firm's
anticipated future (Frank & Goyal, 2009). When forecasted inflation is high, firms tend to have
higher leverage enabling higher real valuation of tax deductible debt (Frank & Goyal, 2009).
Thus, the trade-off theory predicts leverage having a positive relationship with expected inflation
(Frank & Goyal, 2009). Moreover, market timing in debt markets "results in a positive relation
between expected inflation and leverage if managers issue debt when expected inflation is high
relative to current interest rates" (Frank & Goyal, 2009, p. 10). Consequently, if needed, firms
should "issue more debt when current interest rates are low relative to historical levels" (Frank &
Goyal, 2009, p. 11).
Currently, Standard & Poor’s foresees international new debt and refinancing demand
rising up to $60 trillion between 2014 and 2018 for organizations, an increase from an estimated
$53 trillion for the 2013-2017 period (Hong, 2014). Rising bond yields were one of the reasons
companies were able to attract investors (Cherney, 2013). Despite the growth in yields, interest
rates have remained at relatively low levels, a state that has encouraged firms to continue
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 24
borrowing money (Cherney, 2013). Furthermore, in 2013, retaining investment-grade debt was a
money-losing maneuver for investors (Cherney, 2013). Nevertheless, corporate bonds
outperformed other debt offerings (Cherney, 2013). Therefore, given BAC strengths outweigh a
high debt management risk by most measures included in this analysis and a current price-to-
earnings ratio of 19.77 (= 15.22/.77), BAC stock is a recommended investment (“Bank of
America Corporation (BAC),” 2014).
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 25
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INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 31
Appendix A
Calculations for the weighted average cost of capital for BAC.
Weighted average cost of capital formula:
�� ��� =�
� + � × �� +�
� + � × �� × �1 − ���
S is market value of equity = $159,841,072,000
B is market value of debt (in thousands) = $257,000,000,000
RS is return on stock = 14.03%
RB is the borrowing rate on debt = 3.83%
tc is the average tax rate = tax / income before tax = $717,000,000/$3,008,000,000 = 23.84%
�� ��� =159,841
257,000 + 159,841 × 14.03% +257,000
257,000 + 159,841 × 3.83% × �1 − 23.84%�
�� ��� = .3834 × .1403 + .6166 × .0383 × .7616 = .7616 = 7.18%
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS 32
Appendix B
Calculations for the weighted average cost of capital for Capella, Inc.
Weighted average cost of capital formula:
�� ��� =�
� + � × �� +�
� + � × �� × �1 − ���
S is market value of equity = $262,495,000,000
B is market value of debt (in thousands) = $167,878,000,000
RS is return on stock = 6.26%
RB is the borrowing rate on debt = 4.72%
tc is the average tax rate = tax / income before tax = $2,869,000,000/$8,655,000,000 = 33.15%
�� ��� =262,495
167,878 + 262,495 × 6.26% +167,878
167,878 + 262,495 × 4.72% × �1 − 33.15%�
�� ��� = .6099 × .0626 + .3901 × .0.0472 × .6685 = .0505 = 5.05%