A simplified road user costs model for Portuguese highways
Transcript of A simplified road user costs model for Portuguese highways
Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers
http://dx.doi.org/10.1680/tran.12.00057
Paper 1200057
Received 19/06/2012 Accepted 14/02/2013
Keywords: management/mathematical modelling/roads & highways
ICE Publishing: All rights reserved
Transport
Refinement of a simplified road-user costmodelBatista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and PissarraCavaleiro
Refinement of a simplifiedroad-user cost modelj1 Bertha Maria Batista dos Santos PhD
Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering andArchitecture, University of Beira Interior, Covilha, Portugal
j2 Luıs Guilherme de Picado Santos PhDProfessor, Department of Civil Engineering, Architecture andGeoresources, Instituto Superior Tecnico, Technical University ofLisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
j3 Victor Manuel Pissarra Cavaleiro PhDProfessor, Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture,University of Beira Interior, Covilha, Portugal
j1 j2 j3
Two Portuguese universities (University of Beira Interior and University of Coimbra) researched and developed a
simplified road-user costs model for inclusion in a pavement management system, as well as input data for
Portuguese trunk road networks, between 2004 and 2007. The model can be used to calculate the average road-user
costs in relation to vehicle operating, accident, time and toll costs. This paper describes the main activities that led to
the model formulation and the input data, and presents a new development to simplify user costs estimation
considering changes in pavement condition and the influence of road work zones. These scenarios can then be easily
and reliably utilised within the process of road maintenance and rehabilitation, evaluating the needs and
consequences of road intervention actions for consideration in the cost–benefit and life-cycle cost analysis. This
paper also confirms the importance of these additional costs through a model application to a Portuguese road
network under private concession, comparing average costs with those for specific work zones and pavement
condition scenarios.
NotationAADT annual average daily traffic (vehicles/day)
AC accident cost ((A/km)/day))
AC j accident j cost ((A/km)/vehicle))
ac j accident j cost (police time cost) (A/accident)
ANA annual number of accidents with casualties
(accidents/year)
ANA j annual number of accidents j (accidents/year)
ANCk average number of casualties k by accident
(casualties/accident)
AR j accident j rate ((accidents/vehicle)/km))
C total cracked pavement area (m2/100 m2)
CCk casualty k cost ((A/km)/vehicle))
cck casualty k cost (A/casualty)
Cdi vehicle depreciation cost for vehicle i (A/km)
Cfi fuel cost for vehicle i (A/km)
cfi fuel consumption for vehicle i (l/km)
Cmi maintenance cost for vehicle i (A/km)
Cmdti total depreciation market price for vehicle i (less
tyres) (A)
Cmfi fuel market price (gasoline or diesel) (A/l)
Cmmti total maintenance market price for vehicle i (A)
Cmti tyre market price for vehicle i (A/tyre)
Cti tyre cost for vehicle i (A/km)
ctolli toll cost for vehicle i ((A/km)/vehicle)
dCf incremental increase in fuel cost owing to
maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) actions
((A/km)/day)
dVOT incremental increase in the value of time owing to
M&R actions ((A/km)/day)
EA annual exposure to accidents in sections and
intersections (total) ((vehicles km)/year)
FVOC,PSI VOC correction factor for a given PSI value
((A/km)/vehicle)
i vehicle class: i ¼ 1 for passenger car; i ¼ 2 for
utility; i ¼ 3 for heavy truck; i ¼ 4 for heavy bus
IRI international roughness index (mm/km for PSI
calculation)
j accident class: j ¼ 1 for accident with slight injury;
j ¼ 2 for accident with serious injury; j ¼ 3 for
accident with fatalities
k casualty class: k ¼ 1 for slight injury; k ¼ 2 for
serious injury; k ¼ 3 for fatalities
kmai annual average kilometrage for vehicle i (km/year)
1
L section length (km)
LM&R maintenance and rehabilitation zone length (km)
LPSI section length with a certain present serviceability
index (PSI) value (km)
m travel purpose: m ¼ 1 for travel in work time; m ¼ 2
for travel in non-work time
NAW national average wage ((A/h)/person)
NCk number of casualties k (casualties/year)
nti number of tyres for vehicle i
ORi,m occupancy rate for vehicle i and travel purpose m
(occupants/vehicle)
P pavement patching area (m2/100 m2)
PSI present serviceability index (0–5)
pi vehicle proportion for class i and AADT considered
R mean rut depth (mm)
RUC road-user cost ((A/km)/day)
RUCM&R road-user cost in maintenance and rehabilitation
zones ((A/km)/day)
RUCPSI incremental increase or decrease in RUC owing to
PSI ((A/km)/day)
RUCtotal total road-user cost ((A/km)/day)
S total pavement disintegrated area (with potholes and
ravelling) (m2/100 m2)
si average operating speed for vehicle i (km/h)
sM&Ri average operating speed in M&R sections, for
vehicle i (km/h)
TCm time cost for travel purpose m ((A/h)/occupant)
Toll toll cost ((A/km)/day)
tsli tyre service life for vehicle i (km)
VOC vehicle operating cost ((A/km)/day)
VOCi VOC for vehicle i (A/km)
VOT value of time ((A/km)/day)
VOTi value of time for vehicle i ((A/km)/vehicle)
VOTM&Ri value of time in M&R sections, for vehicle i
((A/km)/vehicle)
vsli vehicle i service life (years)
1. IntroductionA sustainable pavement system requires a comprehensive evalua-
tion framework that takes into account environmental, economic
and social indicators. The road-user costs are included in the social
class of indicators and can be defined as the costs experienced by
users when travelling along a certain length of a road. These costs
typically include costs related to the value of the travel time spent
by the driver and passengers, expenses of operating the vehicle and
costs of accidents. In some systems the costs of tolls and discomfort
are also considered. The sum of all or part of these costs (usually
the most significant) constitutes the road-user costs (RUC).
At this time the Portuguese Road Administration does not
consider the RUC in the evaluation process of road design,
maintenance or rehabilitation and therefore estimation of road life
cycle costs in Portugal, as in many other countries, does not
include this important aspect.
However, in road management, several RUC models with differ-
ent degrees of formulation and data requirements have been used
with good results around the world. Between 2004 and 2007
some of the most important ones were analysed to provide the
conceptual basis for a new simplified RUC model developed in a
doctoral thesis (Santos, 2007) and tested on the Portuguese trunk
road network (Santos et al., 2011a, 2011b).
The models considered in the definition of the conceptual frame-
work of the model were: the World Bank HDM-RUE – ‘Model-
ling road-user and environmental effects in HDM-4’ (Bennett and
Greenwood, 2004); the New Zealand vehicle operating cost
model (NZVOC) (Transfund, 2003); the Cost Benefit Analysis –
COBA (DfT et al., 2006a); the Manual ‘Techniques for manually
estimating road-user costs associated with construction projects’
used in the Texas department of transportation (TxDOT) (Daniels
et al., 1999); and the cost model integrated in the former
pavement management system (early 1990s) of the Portuguese
road administration (designated, at the time, as JAE – Junta
Autonoma de Estradas) (GEPA, 1995).
The review showed, as expected, that beyond the basic methodo-
logical approaches, there are three fundamental components of
RUC to be considered in an RUC model: vehicle operating costs,
accident costs and time costs. In general terms, this relationship
can be expressed as
RUC ¼ VOCþ ACþ VOT1:
These three main components, as well as a component related to
the tolling costs, were considered in the simplified RUC model
proposed in 2007. The model was developed aiming at simplicity,
reduced data requirements (selected data are usually available),
easy calibration, easy application and trustworthy results, provid-
ing average RUC values.
The main objective of this study is the refinement of the
simplified RUC model to fully integrate, in a sustained, simple
but reliable way, not only the average RUC but also the costs
related to the effect of work zones and pavement condition.
This improvement will enable a more realistic road cost analysis,
since these scenarios are not explicitly considered in the initial
formulation.
To sustain the refinements proposed, the paper presents
(a) a brief description of the main activities that led to the
original model formulation and input data definition
(b) an analysis to identify the critical parameters of the model
(c) a study of the approaches taken by some international
formulations, models and manuals in use such as ASTM,
HDM-4, TXDOT, NJDOT and TRB (ASTM, 1983; Bennett
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and Greenwood, 2004; Daniels et al., 1999; NJDOT, 2001;
The World Bank, 2010; Zaniewski, 1983)
(d ) the results and discussion of a case of application.
2. Road-user costs modelThe simplified road-user costs model proposed in Santos (2007)
was developed taking into account several main aspects: the
recognised conceptual principles; the application to trunk roads;
the impact of each component on the total user’s costs; the
availability of Portuguese official information; and four vehicle
classes as representative of the total traffic composition (passen-
ger car (PC), utility (U), heavy truck (HT) and heavy bus
(HB)).
The model framework adopted was essentially based on the
simplifications of the HDM-4 equations for the VOC, on the
COBA and the HDM-4 approach for the AC, and on the JAE
model and the HDM-4 equations for the VOT definition.
The results of all these considerations led to a model with the
three main cost components identified above: the VOC, including
costs for fuel, tyres, vehicle preventive maintenance and deprecia-
tion; the AC, considering costs for accident, police and medical
assistance for accident type and casualty costs (fatalities, serious
and slight injuries); and the VOT for work and non-work travel.
Eventually, when appropriate, a component related to tolling costs
may also be added.
The input values for the Portuguese average situation were
defined for 2006, the costs being updated in 2010. This definition
took into account the values used and recommended by the
existing methodologies and, in particular, the values obtained
from the Portuguese Road Haulage Association, companies and
official bodies such as ANTRAM (National Association of
Transportation of Goods), ANTROP (National Association of
Transportation of Passengers), INE (National Institute of Statis-
tics), the police and emergency services.
To validate the model, the Portuguese average values of the RUC
were computed with the proposed and reference models and the
results were compared (Santos et al., 2011a). The values obtained
confirmed that the contributions of the vehicle operation and the
value of time costs in total RUC for passenger cars (66% for
VOC and 34% for VOT) and heavy trucks (84% for VOC and
16% for VOT) are similar to those obtained in the reference
models. In terms of accident costs, no comparison study was
made because they usually comprise characteristic costs and
information from the network or section in analysis, so values for
different countries or even different regions of the same country
may be diverse.
The model was also tested with real data and for a real network.
The outcome was analysed by the network managers and accord-
ing to them the figures obtained were very acceptable.
The complete formulation of the model and the input data for
Portuguese conditions, which permit the calculation of average
values of the RUC, can be found in Appendix 1.
3. Sensitive parameters of the modelSeveral variability studies were carried out to identify the
sensitive parameters of the model. Tables 1 and 2 present some
results that show that the proposed model, as most of the existing
ones, is mainly sensitive to changes in the average operating
speed defined for each class of vehicle and type of road and to
consumption and fuel cost.
Besides being identified as critical parameters, speed and fuel
consumption and cost are also the main parameters in the
definition of the vehicle operating cost and the value of time, and
those that best reflect the main changes in the RUC due to
pavement condition and maintenance actions in the network
(work zones).
Thus, a careful consideration of these parameters in the RUC
calculations and the definition of correction factors in the values
Road type PC HT
Operating speed:
km/h
2/3 of operating
speed: km/h
˜VOT: % Operating speed:
km/h
2/3 of operating
speed: km/h
˜VOT: %
EN, ER 70 46.7 +50 50 33.3 +50
IC 80 53.3 +50 60 40.0 +50
IP 90 60.0 +50 80 53.3 +50
AE 120 80.0 +50 100 66.7 +50
PC, private cars; HT, heavy trucks; VOT, value of time; EN/ER, national and regional roads with two lanes (one in each direction) and ‘medium’design standards; IP and IC, main roads (principal and complementary roads) with two lanes (one in each direction) and ‘high’ design standards;AE, motorways with at least four lanes (two in each direction), median and ‘high’ design standards.
Table 1. Variability study for operating speed
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defined for an average situation are essential to forecast additional
RUC in sections where maintenance actions are planned, or to
compute the benefits associated with a better pavement condition.
4. Additional RUC due to work zones andpavement condition
Additional RUC due to maintenance intervention periods (work
zones) and changes in pavement condition can be included in the
proposed RUC formulation by considering specific parameter
values defined for a certain maintenance strategy or for a
particular pavement quality index.
4.1 Work zones
The main parameters that can lead to additional RUC in work
zones have been identified in several models and manuals in use,
such as HDM-4, TXDOT and NJDOT (Bennett and Greenwood,
2004; Daniels et al., 1999; NJDOT, 2001), as being the decrease
of operating speed leading to traffic delays, which increases the
VOT, and the consequent additional fuel consumption associated
with traffic congestion, increasing the VOC values.
In the 2007 model, the speed values were defined for each type
of road based on posted speed limit and typical Portuguese values
(for each type of vehicle), and were considered constants. For
fuel consumption, average consumption by type of vehicle was
adopted.
Work zone additional accident costs are also considered in some
approaches, such as Quadro (DfT et al., 2006b), by comparing
work zone accident rates with those for normal conditions;
however, rates in work zones are not commonly available, so they
are not considered in the proposed simplified model.
Nonetheless, from the parameters identified, the most significant
influence on RUC values in work zones is changes in operating
speeds. For the refinement of the RUC model formulation, these
changes and the consequent additional travel time (delay) were
incorporated by the consideration of work zone length, duration
of interventions and work zone posted speed limit. This last
depends on the timing of restrictions (hours of the day and days
of the week) and the legal framework of each country, which
normally applies lower posted speed limits at night. The values
adopted for work zone speed (constant values by road class and
time with restriction) also reflect the operating characteristics of
the traffic affected and configuration of the work zones.
Regarding fuel consumption, data collected in several studies,
empirical models developed from this information (which usually
relate fuel consumption to the operating speed of vehicles) and
mechanistic models (which relate fuel consumption to the forces
opposing motion, allowing application under different conditions)
show that maximum fuel consumption occurs for low and high
speeds, and minimal fuel consumption for speeds of 40–60 km/h
(Bennett and Greenwood, 2004; DfT et al., 2006a) (see Figure 1).
Taking into account the patterns of fuel consumption presented in
Figure 1 and considering the Portuguese legal framework for
trunk roads with high posted speed limits (100–120 km/h and at
least two lanes in each direction), which limits the private road
concessionaires to guarantee maximum operating speeds greater
than or equal to 2/3 of the posted limit in work zones (up to
10 km per set) in the daytime (7.00 a.m.–9.00 p.m.), in this
period and situation there is actually a decrease in fuel consump-
tion.
Lower speeds, up to 1/3 of the normal posted speed limit, are
allowed in work zones during the nighttime, when the volume of
traffic is usually low.
VOC component Parameters ˜ ˜VOC: %
PC HT
Fuel +20% cf +8.0 +15.6
Tyre +25% tsl �0.9 �0.9
�25% tsl +1.4 +1.5
Preventive maintenance +20% vsl +0.07 +0.01
+25% kma �0.9 �0.04
�25% kma +1.6 +0.06
Depreciation +20% vsl 26.0 �1.3
+25% kma 27.8 �2.7
�25% kma +9.0 +4.4
VOC, vehicle operating cost; PC, private cars; HT, heavy trucks; cf, fuel consumption (l/km);tsl, tyre service life (km); vsl, vehicle service life (years); kma, annual average kilometres(km/year). The numbers in bold represent the most significant variations.
Table 2. Variability study for vehicle operating parameters
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Taking into account the scenarios described, additional RUC in
work zones due to changes in fuel consumption were considered
for Portuguese national and regional roads, and eventually in
main roads with two lanes, operating at lower speeds (up to 1/3
of the posted speed limit). In such cases, in the daytime, there is
a high probability of frequent stops, resulting in an increased fuel
consumption associated with the movement at very low speeds.
For that reason, in this scenario, an increase of 20% in fuel
consumption was considered.
The choice of this additional consumption value is based on
representative PC vehicle manufacturer information that points to
urban fuel consumption values 20–30% higher than the combined
values (used for the definition of an average situation) and, for an
HT, the additional values of 30–40% that are commonly obtained
in fuel consumption models simulations such as those presented
above.
When traffic diversions are needed, changes in operating costs
and travel time should be considered in the same way as
described above.
The refinements proposed to consider the effects of the works
zones programmed in the RUC calculations are presented in
Equations 2–5.
RUCM&R ¼ dCf þ dVOT2:
dCf ¼ AADTX4
i¼1
(0:2 Cf ipi)
for sM&Ri<
1
3si and ER, EN
3:
dVOT ¼ AADTX4
i¼1
VOTM&Ripið Þ � VOT
4:
VOTM&Ri¼ 1
sM&Ri
X2
m¼1
TCmORi,mð Þ5:
This refinement was tested in order to evaluate, for several work
zone scenarios and Portuguese road classes, the influence of work
zones on unit RUC values (A/km), by vehicle (Teixeira, 2011).
The road classes considered were motorways (with at least four
lanes, median and ‘high’ design standards; AE), principal (IP)
and complementary (IC) main roads (with two lanes and ‘high’
design standards) and national (EN) and regional (ER) roads
(with two lanes and ‘medium’ design standards).
Some results can be observed in Figures 2 and 3. In these figures
the baseline scenario (range of 0%) represents the average unit
values of RUC for each vehicle class calculated with the initial
model formulation, and includes vehicle operating, travel time
and toll costs.
Through combined analysis of the charts and results and consid-
ering a typical traffic distribution of 80% for PC, 10% for U,
9% for HT and 1% for HB (based on traffic data provided by
road concessionaires and Portuguese average values), it can be
found that reducing the speed to 2/3 of the normal operation
speed without additional fuel consumption, during the daytime,
led to an additional cost of around 10% for motorways and 17–
20% for the remaining network. For a speed reduction to 1/3 of
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Fuel
con
sum
ptio
n: li
tres
/100
km
Vehicle speed: km/h(b)
Fuel IRC empirical 1993
Fuel COBA empirical 2002
Fuel HDM mechanical Portugueseconditions 2006
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0
Fuel
con
sum
ptio
n: li
tres
/100
km
Vehicle speed: km/h(a)
16014012010080604020
Fuel IRC empirical 1993
Fuel COBA empirical 2002
Fuel HDM mechanical Portugueseconditions 2006
Figure 1. Fuel consumption against vehicle speed for:
(a) passenger cars; and (b) heavy trucks
5
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the normal operation speed, without additional fuel consumption
on motorways but considering an additional fuel consumption of
20% on the remaining network, at nighttime, the additional user
cost rises to 42% (motorways) and 74–85% (for the remaining
network). A combined analysis considering that road works take
place during the day and night periods, with a day/night
distribution of traffic equal to 85%/15%, leads to additional
costs of about 15% for highways and 25–30% for the remaining
network.
4.2 Pavement condition
Changes in operating speed and the consequent additional travel
time due to the pavement conditions can be incorporated into the
proposed model formulation through consideration of the section
length within a certain pavement quality index and lower operat-
ing speeds.
However, the pavement conditions of the most important net-
works, such as the national ones, do not in general reach a level
Day: 2/3 speed, without additional fuel consumption, without toll (II)
Night: 1/3 speed, without additional fuel consumption, with toll (III)
HBHTU
(I) (I)(I)
(I)
(II) (II) (II)(II)
(III) (III)
(III)
(III)
(IV)(IV)
(IV)
(IV)
�30·0�20·0�10·0
010·020·030·040·050·060·070·080·0
PC
ΔRU
C: %
Day: 2/3 speed, without additional fuel consumption, with toll (I)
Night: 1/3 speed, without additional fuel consumption, without toll (IV)
Figure 2. RUC variations on motorways for different scenarios
and vehicle classes (2010 unit values)
HBHTU
(I) (I)
(I)
(I)
(II)(II)
(II)
(II)
0
10·0
20·0
30·0
40·0
50·0
60·0
70·0
80·0
90·0
100·0
PC
ΔRU
C: %
Day: 2/3 speed, without additional consumption of fuel (I)
Night: 1/3 speed, additional consumption of fuel (II)
Figure 3. RUC variations on principal main roads for different
scenarios and vehicle classes (2010 unit values)
6
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of degradation that significantly influences the normal operating
speed. On the other hand, it is also known that pavements in good
condition allow vehicles to maintain higher speeds with greater
comfort and security, reducing travel time and accident costs.
They also allow reductions in operating costs in terms of tyres,
maintenance and depreciation of the vehicle, but not necessarily
in fuel. The converse occurs for pavements in poor conditions.
To consider these scenarios, the condition of the pavements was
integrated into the initial RUC formulation only in the vehicle
operating costs calculations through a quality index representing
the functional and structural state of the pavements. The index
adopted was the ‘present serviceability index’ (PSI), which ranges
from 0 (for a pavement in a poor state) to 5 (for a new
pavement).
Equation 6 presents the PSI formulation adopted in the refine-
ment of the model. This equation was developed by Picado-
Santos et al. (2006) for the Portuguese trunk roads in order to
reflect the condition of the national road network and was used
by the Portuguese Road Administration during the first decade of
this century. The formulation is derived from the version used in
the pavement management system of the State of Nevada
(Sebaaly et al., 1996) and that developed during the AASHO
road test (HRB, 1962). Similar equations developed for and
representing other realities, can be incorporated in the model as
well.
PSI ¼ 5e�0:0002598IRI=2 � 0:002139R2
� 0:03 C þ S þ Pð Þ0:56:
The changes in VOC as a function of PSI (or IRI, the
international roughness index) have been treated in several stud-
ies by applying the regression analysis to real data, resulting in
several formulations such as those presented by HDM-4 (The
World Bank, 2010), TRB (Zaniewski, 1983), ASTM (ASTM,
1983) and by Picado-Santos et al. for Portuguese conditions
(Picado-Santos et al., 2006).
The study of these formulations, as well as an analysis of recent
data on Portuguese trunk road pavements condition (Picado-
Santos and Pereira, 2009) and average user cost (Santos, 2007),
was used to develop a mathematical model that reflects the
change of VOC as a function of PSI for Portuguese conditions.
Table 3 shows the set of correction factors that support the
proposed formulation (for PSI and IRI).
The range of PSI and IRI values was chosen to ensure that the
most extreme conceivable circumstances were examined as well
as the usual expected pavement conditions in operation. The range
examined was beyond values normally expected in Portugal.
In the range of values, ‘reference’ situation corresponds to the
current average state of Portuguese trunk road pavements, which
according to the latest available data presents a PSI of about 3.5
(Trindade and Horta, 2009), and the average vehicle operating
cost obtained by Santos (2007) for the same period. This scenario
constitutes the baseline with a correction factor of 1.
Given that the Portuguese road administration adopts a PSI equal
to or less than 2 as an indication of the need to intervene in the
pavement quality of the network, a correction factor of 1.05 was
defined for this scenario (based on the approaches studied). For
extreme scenarios a gain of 5% was considered for new
pavements and an increase of 15% for badly degraded pavements.
The analysis of the existing approaches and the characteristic
Portuguese values presented in Table 3 permitted the definition of
a new Portuguese VOC–PSI relation and thus the consideration
of this additional cost in determining the RUC, through Equations
7 and 8.
RUCPSI ¼ VOC FVOC,PSI � 1ð Þ7:
FVOC,PSI ¼ � 0:0006 PSI3 þ 0:0072 PSI2
� 0:0612 PSIþ 1:14988:
Figure 4 shows the curves obtained from the VOC correction
factors recommended by TRB-ASTM, the Portuguese model
(UC-UM) (Picado-Santos et al., 2006) and the proposed model
(RUC PT).
The aggregated correction factors presented in Figure 4 for the
TRB-ASTM approach were obtained by applying the Portuguese
VOC component distribution (for fuel, engine oil, tyres, main-
tenance and repair, and depreciation cost) obtained from data
collected in 2006 (Santos, 2007) to the disaggregated correction
factors recommended in the TRB-ASTM study. A similar proce-
dure was adopted for the distribution of traffic.
PSI IRI: m/km Correction factors for VOC
0 4.25 1.15
2.0 3.50 1.05
3.5 2.00 1.00
4.7 0.50 0.95
5.0 – 0.95
PSI, present serviceability index; IRI, international roughness index;VOC, vehicle operating cost.
Table 3. VOC correction factors, PSI and IRI for Portuguese model
calibration
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From analysis of Figure 4 it can be concluded that the trend of
the proposed mathematical model is similar to those others
studied, even if the correction factors for the worst pavements are
smaller. This can be justified by considering technological ad-
vances in vehicles and the type of road network data used (trunk
road), where low PSI values are not common.
Analyses of changes in VOC with IRI were also carried out, since
most of the existing formulations use IRI as the main parameter
for the computed PSI and VOC variation in trunk road networks.
This analysis is presented in Figure 5, where it is possible to
observe the curves obtained from HDM-4 and JAE RUC values
when applying the models to typical Portuguese VOC component
and traffic distribution. A curve representing the quadratic equa-
tion obtained from the IRI values considered for Portuguese
calibration is also included.
For trunk roads and current values of IRI (up to 3.5 m/km), most
of the models tested produce similar results. Higher values of
IRI, such as those considered in HDM-4, are not frequent in
Portuguese motorway networks under concession.
When interpreting Figures 4 and 5, it is necessary to be aware
that the index adopted in the proposed model for the definition of
the VOC correction factor is PSI, in which the calculation
depends not only on IRI but also on the pavement’s superficial
degradation (such as rutting, cracking, potholes, ravelling and
patching).
Some results obtained by applying the proposed refinement to
motorways and principal main roads are shown in Figures 6 and
7, where the RUC variation due to the pavement condition (PSI)
is compared with the average values obtained from the initial
model formulation. The average RUC constitutes the reference
scenario and corresponds to a variation of 0%.
From the analysis of Figures 6 and 7 it is possible to observe that
for the PSI indicative of need for intervention on the quality of
pavements (PSI ¼ 2), the additional cost of RUC is about 3% (for
all vehicle classes).
5. Model applicationsThe RUC formulation and input model values proposed were
applied to two Portuguese motorway networks under concession
with good results: Scutvias (A23) and Aenor (A7, A11).
5.1 Presentation of results
Tables 4 and 5 include the data provided by the private road
concessionaire Scutvias, in order to perform the RUC calcula-
tions, and some application results.
0·8
0·9
1·0
1·1
1·2
1·3
0 1 2 3 4 5
VO
C c
orre
ctio
n fa
ctor
: %
PSI
UC_UM (aggregate)RUC_PT (aggregate)TRB_ASTM (aggregate)
Figure 4. VOC correction factors for different PSI values and
models
0·8
0·9
1·0
1·1
1·2
1·3
0 1 2 3 4 5
VO
C c
orre
ctio
n fa
ctor
: %
IRI: m/km
JAE90 (aggregate)
HDM-4 default(aggregate)
HDM-4 calibrate (aggregate)
RUC_PT (aggregate)
Figure 5. VOC correction factors for different IRI values and
models
�6·0
�4·0
�2·0
0
2·0
4·0
6·0
8·0
10·0
12·0
ΔRU
C: %
PC U HT HB
PSI 0� PSI 2� PSI 3·5� PSI 4·7� PSI 5�
Figure 6. RUC variations on motorways for different scenarios of
pavement condition and vehicle classes (2010 unit values)
8
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5.2 Discussion of results
For average RUC values and comparing the results obtained from
the reference models (Bennett and Greenwood, 2004; DfT et al.,
2006a) and the proposed model (Santos, 2007), the main role of
the vehicle operation costs (approximately 60%) and the value of
time (approximately 20%) in total RUC is confirmed. Therefore,
knowing that the VOC is mostly influenced by pavement condi-
tion and the VOT by maintenance interventions (on a temporary
basis), a decrease in RUC can be expected when a pavement care
maintenance programme is applied, and at the same time a
reduction in the number of accidents.
It can be seen that toll costs also make a significant contribution
to RUC in a proportion similar to the value of time and that,
despite the small contribution of accident costs in the results
obtained for the networks analysed, this component will be more
significant in low to medium design standard roads. For that
reason they must also be considered in the calculations.
To validate the refinements proposed, the model was tested in a
maintenance (work zone) and pavement condition scenario, for a
unit section 1 km long, a speed reduction to 2/3 of the posted limit
(to 80 km/h), PSI equal to 2.0 and without deviations, according to
�6·0�4·0�2·0
02·04·06·08·0
10·012·014·0
ΔRU
C: %
PC U HT HB
PSI 0� PSI 2� PSI 3·5� PSI 4·7� PSI 5�
Figure 7. RUC variations on principal main roads for different
scenarios of pavement condition and vehicle classes (2010 unit values)
Data Scutvias (A23) 2010
Network length (km) 177.5
Total AADT 10 574
pia PC 0.7972
U 0.0648
HT 0.1289
HB 0.0091
Accidents With slight injury 59
With serious injury 10
With fatalities 2
Casualties Slight injury 88
Serious injury 15
Fatalities 2
Approximate toll cost (A/km) 0.20 (virtual tollb)
a Information processed from the traffic data provided by the roadconcessionaire.b The approximate toll cost values provided by Scutvias correspond toa uniform rate for all vehicle classes for 2006.PC, private cars; U, utility vehicles; HT, heavy trucks; HB, heavy buses.
Table 4. Data provided by road concessionaire Scutvias for 2010
Scutvias (A23) Scutvias (A23)
Average values Work zone (1 km) PSI ¼ 2.0 m/km
Costs RUC: (A/km)/day RUC: % RUC: (A/km)/day RUC: %
VOC 2613.90 58.41 2743.55 54.70
AC 90.72 2.03 90.72 1.81
VOT 822.30 18.37 1233.46 24.59
Toll 948.28 21.19 948.28 18.91
RUC 4475.21 100.00 5016.01 +12.08
The value in bold represents the additional RUC.
Table 5. Portuguese RUC model application results (2010 values)
9
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the Portuguese legal framework described above for a main road
network with work zones operating during the daytime.
The total RUC obtained from this scenario considers the delay
costs (VOT changes) and additional non-fuel components cost,
resulting in an increase of 12% compared with the average values
of RUC. This additional cost can be disaggregated into about 9%
due to changes in VOT and 3% due to the pavement condition
and demonstrates the importance of taking work zones and
pavement condition into account in RUC calculations.
6. ConclusionThe fact that user costs do not debit agency budgets as agency
costs do, combined with uncertainty regarding some values (value
of time, effects of agency activities on accident rates), may
incline transportation decision makers to give less credence to
user costs than to their own agency cost, restricting their ability
to find the lowest total cost solutions.
Conversely many road-user cost models with strong concep-
tual frameworks have been developed in the past and are in
use. Nevertheless, many countries or regions that wish to
consider RUC in their road life-cycle costs analysis lack the
means to obtain and update all the data required for these
models.
The simplified road-user cost model proposed solves the problem
of the amount of information needed to calibrate models such as
HDM-4, and allows easy application for different scenarios. With
the refinements proposed to include the effect of pavement
condition and work zones, the average user costs as well as those
associated with maintenance and rehabilitation intervention peri-
ods can be considered over the life of the infrastructure using
simple models.
The pavement condition was included by defining correction
factors to be applied to the vehicle operating costs (non-fuel
components). These factors reflect a variation of the average
RUC between �3% (for PSI ¼ 5) and 9% (for PSI ¼ 0), with an
additional cost of about 3% for PSI ¼ 2 (level for the need of
intervention in the pavement).
The effect of work zones was incorporated by setting lower
average speeds along the work sections (2/3 of the normal speed
for work ongoing during the daytime and 1/3 for nighttime) and
an additional fuel consumption of 20% for roads with ‘medium’
design standards operating at lower speeds (up to 1/3 of the
normal posted speed limit). When applied to the Portuguese road
network, for daytime works, these considerations result in an
additional cost of approximately 10% for motorways and 17–
20% for a two-lane type of network. For nighttime works, an
additional cost of 42% for motorways and 74–85% for a two-lane
type of network was obtained.
The scenarios tested show that in most cases of intervention the
user costs associated with work zones may increase significantly
and are higher than those due to pavement condition. The work
zone additional costs depend mainly on day/night operating speed
and traffic distribution and pavement condition must be main-
tained above PSI ¼ 2 to minimise additional RUC.
Although the additional user cost due to work zones is established
as the most significant factor, it is recommended that the effect of
pavement condition also be incorporated in the analysis. The
inclusion of this effect is justified in order to identify, from a user
cost perspective, the best time to perform the maintenance and
rehabilitation works to improve the pavement condition.
As a result, a simplified but trustworthy model such as the one
developed for the Portuguese trunk road network can help
decision makers to include user costs in life-cycle cost analysis
(LCCA). This will permit a more accurate technical and econom-
ic planning of the maintenance and operation actions and thereby
achieve optimal solutions.
Appendix 1
A1.1 Road-user cost model
A1.1.1 Model formulation
RUCtotal ¼ RUC 3 Lð Þ þ RUCM&R 3 LM&Rð Þ
þ RUCPSI 3 LPSIð Þ9:
RUC ¼ VOCþ ACþ VOTþ Toll10:
VOC ¼ AADTX4
i¼1
VOCi pið Þ11:
AC ¼ AADTX3
j¼1
ACj þX3
k¼1
CCk
0@
1A
12:
VOT ¼ AADTX4
i¼1
VOTi pið Þ13:
Toll ¼ AADTX4
i¼1
ctolli pið Þ14:
10
Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user costmodelBatista dos Santos, de Picado Santos andPissarra Cavaleiro
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Considered by vehicle class
VOCi ¼ Cf i þ Cti þ Cmi þ Cdi15:
Cf i ¼ cf i Cmf i16:
Cti ¼ nti Cmtið Þ=tsli17:
Cmi ¼ Cmmti= vsli kmaið Þ18:
Cdi ¼ Cmdti= vsli kmaið Þ19:
Data PC HT
Representative vehicle Car medium Truck articulated
Average operating speed (km/h) EN/ER IC IP AE EN/ER IC IP AE
70 80 90 120 50 60 80 100
Vehicle service life (year) 10 12
Annual average kilometrage (km/year) 20 000 85 000
Occupancy rate (occupants/vehicle) 2 (1 work driver + 1 non-work
passenger)
1 (1 work driver)
PC, private cars; HT, heavy trucks; EN/ER, national and regional roads with two lanes (one in each direction) and ‘medium’ design standards; IPand IC, main roads (principal and complementary roads) with two lanes (one in each direction) and ‘high’ design standards; AE, motorways withat least four lanes (two in each direction), median and ‘high’ design standards.
Table 6. Passenger car and heavy truck general input data values
Data PC HT
Fuel Gasoline: 5.9 litres/100 km Diesel: 44.0 litres/100 km
Diesel: 4.8 litres/100 km
Market price (31/12/2010): Market price (31/12/2010):
Gasoline 95: A1.485/litre Diesel: A1.270/litre
Diesel: A1.270/litre
Tyres nt ¼ 4 tyres/vehicle nt ¼ 12 tyres/vehicle
tsl ¼ 40 000 km tsl ¼ 200 000 km
Market price: A75/tyre Market price: A490/tyre
Preventive maintenance A1626/10 years A28 920/12 years
Depreciation A17 720/10 years A87 135/12 years
Value of time A6.93/h (work time) A9.61/h (work time)
Accident costs: A/accident Accident type With light injuries With serious injuries With fatalities
Police assistance 57.5 160.0 250.0
Medical assistance 18.0 103.50 103.5
Casualties costs (A/casualty) Light injuries: A40 000/casualty
Serious injuries: A90 000/casualty
Fatalities: A500 000/casualty
Toll cost A0.075/km A0.185/km
PC, passenger cars; HT, heavy trucks; nt, number of tyres per vehicle; tsl, tyre service life.
Table 7. Passenger car and heavy truck input data costs (2010
values)
11
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VOTi ¼1
si
X2
m¼1
TCm ORi,mð Þ20:
TCm¼1 ¼ NAW21:
TCm¼2 ¼ 0:25 NAW22:
And for the set of all vehicle classes (without vehicle class
disaggregation)
ACj ¼ ARj acj23:
CCk ¼ ANCk cckð ÞX3
j¼1
ARj
24:
EA ¼ 365 AADT L25:
ARj ¼ ANAj=EA26:
ANCk ¼ NCk=ANA27:
A1.1.2 Input data for Portuguese conditions
Tables 6 and 7 present the input data defined for passenger cars
and heavy trucks. A similar process was used for the utility and
heavy bus values.
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