2022 M&A and Capital Markets Outlook | UBS

18
Q1 2022 UBS Private Markets OneBank Coverage 2022 M&A and Capital Markets Outlook

Transcript of 2022 M&A and Capital Markets Outlook | UBS

Q1 2022

UBS Private Markets OneBank Coverage

2022 M&A and Capital Markets Outlook

1

Experienced team with holistic client focus

• Fully dedicated senior investment banking team aligned closely with UBS Private Wealth Management

• Provide bespoke solutions to meet corporate investment banking and individual wealth management objectives

• Deep execution experience across a wide range of prominent transactions, including M&A (Mergers & Acquisitions), private capital raises and IPOs

Capabilities suitable for private companies and owners, coupled with deep, global sector expertise

• Long track record of working with family owned and entrepreneur led businesses

• Integrated team that will leverage sector experts across UBS’ global footprint

• Strong understanding of sector trends and ongoing dialogue with key industry constituents

M&A is core business focus for UBS

• Strong expertise selling mid-sized private companies

• Deep knowledge of global buyer universe

• Dedicated private markets M&A team with significant execution expertise and proven track record

Access to both traditional and alternative capital pools

• Long-term expertise in negotiating, structuring, and distributing private capital transactions makes UBS ideally positioned to access relevant pools of demand

• Significant distribution partners include family offices, UHNW (Ultra High Net Worth) and long-term horizon investors

Introduction To UBS OneBank Coverage

UBS Global Banking Solutions for Wealth Management Clients

Delivering M&A and Capital Markets Advisory to Corporates, Founders,

Entrepreneurs, Families, and Ultra High Net Worth Individuals

US$55bnMarket Capitalization

150+Year heritage serving private, institutional and corporate clients worldwide

50+Countries

US$4.4tnInvested Assets (WM & GAM)

60,000+Employees

Source: Company Information as of 3Q2021

2

OneBank Coverage brings UBS Global Banking capabilities to Wealth Management Clients

UBS OneBank Coverage: Solutions

Global Industrials Group

Technology, Media, and Telecom

Financial Institutions Group

Consumer Products & Retail, Healthcare, Real Estate & Leisure

UBS Global Banking Capabilities and Sector Coverage

Alternative Capital Group(including coverage of Financial Sponsors, Sovereign Wealth

Funds and Pension Funds) and Private Funds Group

Public Capital Markets

• Providing independent capital markets advice, capital placement and underwriter across all capital markets

• Includes debt and equity solutions

PrivateFinancing Markets

• Advising managers of private assets seeking to raise capital, recapitalize, or liquidate their assets through privately negotiated transactions

M&A

• Providing strategic and tactical advice and global deal execution

3

2022 “Big Picture” Investment Themes Drive Activity

Technology, economic recovery, and ESG are expected to shape market activity

Next Generation Internet Healthcare InnovationDigital Economy

• Acceleration of e-commerce

• Digital customer experiences

• Innovation / disruptive financial technology, platforms, and wellness

• DTC brands

• Ongoing shift to cloud computing, software continues run but big data and AI will be massive

• Cybersecurity is critical

• 5G connectivity driving “Internet of Things” and the Edge

• Evolution of Web 3.0 and Metaverse, albeit years away

• Digital transforming healthcare with cost-effective, patient centered care

• Next generation genomics, life sciences, tools and diagonisis further become industrialized

• Renewed consumer wellness and nutrition focus

Industrial Technology & Renewables

• Continued focus on alternative transportation with EV market taking form

• Net-zero carbon transition: Greentech, Clean energy and carbon reduction

• Logistics technology, warehouse and freight automation, digitalization of supply chain

Services and Experiences over Goods

• Consumer spending shift as pandemic eases

• Return of travel, leisure, live entertainment, and sports

Shifting Real Estate Landscape

• Multi-family, single-family rental, life sciences, industrial / logistics leading REIT verticals as pandemic reshapes urban centers and work / life environments

• Digitilization of real estate services and property technology continues to expand

Tech / AI / Data Covid Recovery / Reopening Environmental, Social, Governance

4

Key Questions for 2022

Is inflation transitory or here to stay?

When will supply – demand mismatches resolve?

What is the outlook of growth and where is the “new normal”?

How will the Fed and economic policy makers respond?

Will corporate earnings continue to be strong?

Are we at the beginning of the end of the COVID-19 Pandemic?

Will virus mutations or signs of fading vaccine efficacy result in global disruption and new economic restrictions?

How will investor sentiment change as COVID-19 restrictions ease or tighten?

How should companies evolve / adapt in a post-Pandemic world?

Where are we in the current cycle?

How sustainable are public and private market valuations?

What happens to all the recent Unicorns?

Will 2022 capital markets activity match 2021 near-record levels?

Does M&A continue to be a tool for growth and diversification?

What happens to SPACs?

Will interest rate increases dampen corporate deal making?

Virus and Pandemic Trajectory

2

Market Activity

3

Macro Economic Environment

1

5

2,200

2,700

3,200

3,700

4,200

4,700

5,200

Jan-20 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21

S&

P 5

00

-0.2%

0.8%

1.8%

2.8%

3.8%

4.8%

5.8%

6.8%

Dec-14 Dec-16 Dec-18 Dec-20

12-m % change

2022 Market Backdrop Remains Constructive

GDP (Gross Domestic Product) Growth Interest Rates

Volatility

(10-year US Treasury Yield)

12-month % change in CPI S&P 500 Performance

Recent Performance

Source: Dealogic, FactSet, Worldbank.org, CDC.gov as of 12/31/2021

Notes: 1. Represents annual % change in US GDP as per worldbank.org

Daily Covid-19 Vaccination Doses

1.51%

The end of low rates?

!

!

2.3 3.0

2.2

(3.5)(4.0)

(3.0)

(2.0)

(1.0)

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

20

17

A

20

18

A

20

19

A

20

20

A

20

21

E

% C

hange (

Cale

ndar

Ave

rage)1

(34%) drop

113% rebound

3,386

4,766

2,237

SPP 3 mo. 6 mo. 12 mo.S&P 500 +9.4% +9.5% +26.9%

Core CPI – excludes volatile food and energy prices

!

HeadwindFavorable Neutral!

Recent spike in inflation

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

Dec-

11

Dec-

12

Dec-

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Dec-

14

Dec-

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Dec-

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Dec-

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Dec-

18

Dec-

19

Dec-

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Dec-

21

10-Y

ear

Tre

asu

ry Y

ield

core CPI

headline CPI0

20

40

60

80

Jan-19 Aug-19 Mar-20 Oct-20 May-21 Dec-21M

ark

et

Vola

tilit

y

82.7

17.2

(79%) drop

.0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

Dec-

20

Jan-2

1

Feb

-21

Mar-

21

Apr-

21

May-

21

Jun-2

1

Jul-2

1

Aug

-21

Sep

-21

Oct

-21

Nov-

21

Dec-

21

Dose

s A

dm

inis

tere

d (

mm

)

Total Doses Administered Daily

7-Day Avg Total Doses Daily

4.5 million

6

48%

42%

33% 33%

25% 24% 24% 21% 19%

16% 14%

Energy Real Estate Technology Financials Materials Healthcare ConsumerDiscretionary

Telecom Industrials ConsumerStaples

Utilities

Public Markets Performed in 2021Corporate earnings remain strong across most sectors driving S&P to all-time highs

S&P 500 Weighting12:

3% 3% 29% 11% 13% 2% 13% 10% 8% 6% 2%

Last 3-month % chg:

3% 16% 15% 2% 12% 13% 11% (2%) 7% 12% 12%

Last 6-month% chg:

2% 16% 16% 6% 6% 9% 10% (1%) 2% 11% 12%

S&P 500 FY2021 Performance: +27%

Source: S&P Global, FactSet as of December 31, 2021

Notes: Indices represented included: 1. S&P 500 / Energy -SEC (SPN01) 2. S&P 500 / Real Estate - SEC (VDPPK) 3. S&P 500 / Information Technology -SEC (SP701) 4. S&P 500 / Financials -SEC (SP621)5. S&P 500 / Materials -SEC (SPN37) 6. S&P 500 / Health Care - SEC (SP565) 7. S&P 500 / Consumer Discretionary -SEC (SP285) 8. S&P 500 / Communication Services -SEC (SP793)9. S&P 500 / Industrials -SEC (SP125) 10. S&P 500 / Consumer Staples -SEC (SP477) 11. S&P 500 / Utilities -SEC (SP821) 12. Based on GICS® sectors

10

98

7

653 421 11

Technology sector is driving majority of S&P gains

FY2021 Share Price Performance:

7

Private Market Start-up Funding Activity is Accelerating Private, high-growth companies continue to attract record levels of capital at massive valuations

• Massive value creation during private life-cycle phase

• Readily available and efficient capital for growth

• Broad universe of investors participating

• Attractive alternatives: IPO / M&A

1 1

75 4 3

13

5

15

30

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021YTD

11 20

61

11592

120

190 178 175

291

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021YTD

Decacorns becoming “New Unicorns”…

Source: Crunchbase NewsNote:

1. YTD as of 11/19/20212. YTD as of 7/19/2021

Key Drivers

Decacorn Count by Year1:

Unicorn Count by Year2:

1

…and Unicorns becoming “Mainstream”

2

1

2

(Companies valued over $10bn)

(Companies valued over $1bn)

8

Family Offices are a Significant Source of Capital

Health Tech

SmartMobility

Green Tech

Digital

Transformation

Automation

and Robotics

Investment priorities in the next 2–3 years

Key Considerations:

• Family Offices are institutional

• Portfolios are broadly diversified across a range of asset classes, including alternatives

• Despite economic turbulence and strains in international relations, family offices retain a risk-on frame of mind

• Family offices are investing in themes that will dominate the global economy in 2022

Strategic Asset Allocation

NetIncrease / decrease Increase

Fixed income developed markets -18%

Fixed income developing markets 3%

Equities developed markets 35%

Equities developing markets 56%

Private equity direct investments 42%

Private equity funds / funds of funds 26%

Hedge Funds 16%

Real estate 22%

Infrastructure 23%

Gold/precious metals 10%

Commodities 9%

Cash (or cash equivalent) -18%

Art and antiques 8% 10%

11%

14%

16%

24%

36%

25%

37%

53%

60%

48%

22%

17%

Planned changes to asset allocation in the next 5 years

Source: UBS GFO Report 2021, UBS Evidence Lab

9

Elevated M&A Activity Expected to Continue in 2022

US M&A volumes continue to set records

• Americas M&A volume of $2.0tn1 for 2021 (as of Dec 31st, 2021), represents an increase of nearly 2x vs.2020 Americas M&A volume of $1.1tn1

• Technology M&A continued its post COVID boom; activity broadened out across industry sectors

• SPAC M&A continuing at strong pace

Attractive market backdrop for M&A going forward

• Continued positive impact of fiscal and monetary policy (low interest rates and increased government spending)

• Significant available capital in both public and private markets

• Attractive valuation levels; strong performing companies at a premium to pre-Covid levels

• Increasing regulatory scrutiny of large transactions, particularly in the technology sector, may push buyers to focus on smaller targets

Corporates and Sponsors utilizing M&A to evolve and drive growth as economy recovers

• Overall return to risk-taking as many feel the worst is behind us, despite Omicron variant

• Opportunity to build scale, drive growth or enter adjacent markets in light of Covid-19 impact on traditional business models

• Significant value being placed on digital, technology-enabled and disruptive businesses that are well-positioned in the post-Covid world

• Appetite remains for high quality, resilient businesses as recovery builds

Sellers looking to capitalize on current valuations

• Sellers looking to capitalize on valuations that are at near or all-time highs across most sectors

• Corporates shedding non-core assets and Sponsors opportunistically monetizing portfolio companies

Note:1 All deals with disclosed deal value, excluding minority stake purchases, repurchases, spinoffs or withdrawn deals and deals less than $50 million

Source: Refinitiv—SDC Platinum as of 12/31/21

10

45 66 133

197 210

245 393 371 293 204

215 287

384 621

825

1,198

2,058

2,708 2,605

1,295

920

1,008

1,568

2,051

2,850

3,112

1,751

1,331

1,781 1,734 1,715

1,646

2,577

3,301

2,746

2,460

2,933 2,852

2,566

4,079

0

800

1,600

2,400

3,200

4,000

4,800

1/29/1900 2/2/1900 2/5/1900 2/9/1900 2/12/1900

0

700

1,400

2,100

2,800

3,500

4,200

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

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2000

2001

2002

2003

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2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

S&

P 5

00 In

dex

Deal V

alu

e ($

bn

)

Global M&A Deal Value by Year1

2002–20071982–1989

CAGR 35% CAGR 28%

1991–2000

CAGR 33%

Source: Refinitiv—SDC Platinum as of 12/31/21

2009–2021

CAGR 10%

Notes:1 All deals with disclosed deal value, excluding minority stake purchases, repurchases, spinoffs or withdrawn deals and deals less than $50 million; as of 12/31/2021

New record level

Value (US$bn)

45 66 133 197 210 245 393 371 293 204 215 287 384 621 825 1,198 2,058 2,708 2,605 1,295 920 1,008 1,568 2,051 2,850 3,112 1,751 1,331 1,781 1,734 1,715 1,646 2,577 3,301 2,746 2,460 2,933 2,852 2,566 4,079

% Y/Y Change

(45%) 48% 101% 48% 7% 17% 60% (6%) (21%)(30%) 5% 34% 34% 62% 33% 45% 72% 32% (4%) (50%)(29%) 10% 56% 31% 39% 9% (44%)(24%) 34% (3%) (1%) (4%) 57% 28% (17%)(10%) 19% (3%) (10%) 59%

11

Global Private Equity “Dry Powder” Continues to Build

Source: Pitchbook as of 12/31/2021

Note: 1. Other consists of Fund of Funds, Secondaries, and Co-investment fund categories

Global Private Equity Dry Powder ($bn):

Investors are sitting on $1.4 Trillion of uninvested capital, slightly below record levels seen in 2020. Capital is readily available to invest in companies across various size, sectors, and geographies

1

167 176 171 194 266

447 483 555 541

472 484 514 585 572

625 670

763

894

1,010 1,053

1,009

6 8 86

6

810

11 10

12 97

6 5

87

7

6

811

9

2 3 43

7

7

24

19 22

25 2931

38 43

51

61

79

79

90

102

87

2 4 87

12

39

62

73 67

77 8983

119 151

164149

159

185

186

195

186

2 1 13

2

8

10

1212

1117

18

1919

3439

37

61

69

74

66

179 193 192 213

293

508

589

671 651

597 627

653

767 790

883 926

1,044

1,225

1,364

1,435

1,357

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Private Equity Venture Capital Private Debt Real Assets Other

12

Attractive M&A Valuation Multiples and Shifting Buyer Mix

Valuations are at the Highest Levels in Almost a Decade

10.7

11.7

12.3 12.4

12.1

12.6 12.5

11.6 11.5

12.8

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

EV

/ E

BIT

DA

(x)

85%80% 83% 84% 86%

80% 80% 83% 82%79%

16% 20% 17% 16% 14%20% 20% 17% 18% 22%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Strategic Sponsor

Source: Refinitiv—SDC Platinum, Dealogic, as of 12/31/2021

Notes: 1 Represents buy-side deals with disclosed deal value, excluding minority stake purchases, repurchases, spinoffs or withdrawn deals and deals less than $50mm

Significant Uptick in Sponsor Activity¹

Percentage of Transactions between Sponsor and Strategic Buyers:

Sponsor activity increased in 2021

13Source: FactSet, Dealogic

Note: VIX and Forward P/E represent average value in a given year; size of bubbles represents IPO issuance in US$ as of 12/31/2021

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P 5

00 F

orw

ard

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(va

luation)

2017

2013

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2012

20212020

20182019

2015

2016

VIX (market volatility)

The US IPO Market is Open & ActiveThe IPO window has shifted to higher valuations as volatility continues to moderate

2021

Annual IPO Issuance: 2012 to 2021

IPO Volume and Offer to 1-Day Performance

341827 68 52 80 94No. of IPOs

76 57

Pricing vs. Range

(by count) (by volume)

Healthcare41%

TMT37%

Consumer11%

Industrial6%

Finance3%

Real Estate2%

Energy1%

TMT46%

Healthcare21%

Industrial16%

Consumer11%

Finance4%

Real Estate1% Energy

1%

2021 Issuance by Sector

8 41 6 2 10 10 11 13

1711

15 26 2538

64 4533

23

18 36 25 3220 20 11

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Q4 '19 Q1' 20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21

Prici

ng v

s. R

ange

Below In Range Above

9.1

23.2

43.0 45.1 47.0

32.2

21.3 17.2

13.3

6.0 7.1

16.9

31.2 29.3

42.4 43.8

30.0 34.7

0.0

12.5

25.0

37.5

50.0

Q4 '19 Q1' 20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21% C

hange O

ffer

to 1

-Day

Offer-1 Day Proceeds ($bn)

14

48%

42%

33%

33%

27%

25%

24%

24%

21%

19%

16%

14%

Energy

Real Estate

Technology

Financials

S&P 500

Materials

Healthcare

Con. Discretionary

Telecom

Industrials

Con. Staples

Utilities

70

95

120

145

170

195

220

245

Jan-19 Oct-19 Jul-20 Apr-21 Dec-21

Indexe

d P

rice

Perf

orm

ance

(%

)NASDAQ Dow Jones S&P 500 Russell 2000

12

15

19

22

25

Jan-19 Oct-19 Jul-20 Apr-21 Dec-21

S&

P 5

00 N

TM

P/E

(x)

0

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Mark

et

Vo

latilit

y

Volatility (VIX): 17.2

Sector Performance 2021Volatility as Measured by the VIX

S&P 500 Forward P/EEquity Markets Overview

US Equity Capital Markets Update

What factors are supportive of US equities?

▪ COVID-19 Vaccine: Vaccine optimism remains elevated as more than 508mm doses have been administered in the US; ~85% of adults in the US have received at least one dose; preliminary research suggests the booster can neutralize Omicron and its milder symptoms

▪ Unemployment: Jobless claims fell to 198k last week, which is near a 50-year low. The November unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, down from 4.6%

▪ FOMC meeting: Fed no longer sees inflation as “transitory” and is going to make addressing it a bigger priority going forward

What factors could become more challenging?

▪ COVID-Related Volatility: Daily cases in the US topped 120k for the first time in 3 months, creating higher volatility amid worries about the country’s ability to sustain previous reopening momentum

▪ Inflation Concerns: November’s PPI increased 9.6% YoY, which is the highest YoY increase seen since data started being collected in 2010

▪ Fed Tapering: Fed confirmed that it will double its tapering pace to $30bn per month; majority of Fed officials now expect 3 quarter point rate hikes in 2022 versus the 2 previously anticipated

2 Year Average = 19.8x

82.7

17.2

21.1x

Sources: FactSet, Dealogic, StreetAccount, WSJ, CDCNote: Excludes BDCs, SPACs, and deals less than $50mm. As of 12/31/2021

2 Year Average = 21.4

(79%) drop

Volatility Peak

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11.1

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.2

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.0

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.8 59

.7 87

.4

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4.4

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'17

1Q

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4Q

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1Q

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2Q

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4Q

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'20

2Q

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3Q

'20

4Q

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1Q

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2Q

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3Q

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4Q

'21

10.0 10.8 13.6

83.0

160.6

0

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40

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100

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160

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021YTD

($m

m)

60634 46 59 248

262295 234 230 335

SPAC IPO Market Overview

Source: Bloomberg, Dealogic, Company filingsNote: Market data as of 12/31/2021. Includes all US SPAC IPOs since 2016

As outlined by FINRA Regulatory Notice 08-54 (Dated October 2008), investing in SPAC IPOs entails certain risks and may not be suitable for some investors. Given the lack of any operating history or past performance of a SPAC, there is a risk that the SPAC manager(s) is unqualified to manage the investment. In addition, there is a risk that no acquisition will occur and the SPAC will be liquidated. The SPAC structure, which requires most of investor’s funds to be held in escrow and returned if an acquisition is not completed, does provide some downside, protection. Moreover, investors may be able to sell their SPAC units in the secondary market. However, investors must either bear the opportunity cost of waiting for a determination about whether an acquisition will occur or sell in the secondary market before the outcome is determined.

The SPAC IPO market experienced watershed growth in 2020, which continued well into March 2021 as issuance in Q1 2021 eclipsed 2020

On the heels of the record –breaking start to 2021, SPAC IPOs have recently slowed as investors digest supply

TMT remains the most active sector for SPACs

UBS believes issuance will continue as SPAC sponsors are able to raise capital to target a growing opportunity set of attractive private companies

No. of Deals

SPAC IPO Volume ($bn)

Avg. IPO ($mm)

SPAC IPOs by Sector

SPAC ”Dry Powder” ($bn)

By Deal Proceeds

Total Issuance by Sector ($bn)

General TMT FIG Consumer Energy Healthcare IndustrialsREL&L ESG Total

63.2 77.9 31.7 28.0 16.4 25.7 15.0 8.7 13.7 280.4

FIG11.3%

TMT27.8%

REL&L3.1%Healthcare

9.2%

Consumer10.0%

Energy5.9%

Industrials5.3%

General22.5%

ESG4.9%

16

Recent SPAC M&A Trends

Source: Bloomberg, Dealogic, Company filingsNote: Market data as of 12/31/2021. Unless otherwise stated, includes US SPAC IPOs ≥$50m since 2016

In line with the SPAC IPO market, the PIPE market as a critical part of the de-SPAC ecosystem experienced a retrenchment over the course of March, which decreased the frequency of business combination announcements

PIPE investors are further emphasizing the importance of disciplined and defensible valuations, the fundamental performance of SPAC targets, and diligence by SPAC sponsors

Despite current conditions, on the whole there has been a strong uptick in year-to-date SPAC M&A activity:

− $473.4bn of completed SPAC M&A volume (~200 transactions) in 2021. Average transaction size of ~ $2.4bn EV

− Deals closed and announced aggregate to ~$704.0bn in 2021

SPAC M&A Volume and Average Size Avg. Unit Return at Close of Business Combo (%)

SPAC Success Rates SPAC Outcomes Over Time

No. of Completed Deals

By Quarterly Vintage

15.1 23.3 24.6 88.9

473.4

230.6

1.2 1.1 0.91.4

2.4

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

($b

n)

($b

n)

Completed Announced Average Size

13 22 27 64 200

98%

2%

7 Liquidated

324 Completed

91%

98% 98%

100% 100%

86%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Co

un

t (#

)Liquidated Closed Business Combination

Combination Announced Seeking Combination

Success Rate

12.1

98.6

(0.5)

21.5

90.9

15.5

7.4 6.8

52.3 39.1

44.1

29.0

(9.8)

36.1

13.4

0.0

57.7

20.4

84.1

10.3

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

17

UBS Securities LLC1285 Avenue Of The AmericasNew York NY 10019Tel. +1-212-713 2000

www.ubs.com

The information in this discussion has been prepared by, and reflects the opinions and various investment views of, the speaker. UBS Financial Services Inc. has not independently verified such information and does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. This information is being provided to you for your information purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or an endorsement by UBS Financial Services Inc. of the author, the securities or views stated herein. Any specific securities discussed should not be considered a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any particular security. You should not assume that any investment in any of the securities was or will be profitable.

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Purpose. This presentation has been prepared by UBS Securities LLC ("UBS") for the exclusive use of the party to whom UBS delivers this presentation (together with its subsidiaries and affiliates, hereinafter the "Recipient").

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Conflicts of Interest. UBS Group may from time to time, as principal or agent, be involved in a wide range of commercial banking and investment banking activities globally (including investment advisory, asset management, research, securities issuance, trading (customer and proprietary) and brokerage), have long or short positions in, or may trade or make a market in any securities, currencies, financial instruments or other assets underlying the transaction to which this presentation relates. UBS Group’s banking, trading and/or hedging activities may have an impact on the price of the underlying asset and may give rise to conflicting interests or duties. UBS Group may provide services to any member of the same group as the Recipient or any other entity or person (a “Third Party”), engage in any transaction (on its own account or otherwise) with respect to the Rec ipient or a Third Party, or act in relation to any matter for itself or any Third Party, notwithstanding that such services, transactions or actions may be adverse to the Recipient or any member of its group, and UBS Group may retain for its own benefit any related remuneration or profit.

Research. This presentation may contain references to research produced by UBS Group. Research is produced for the benefit of the firm’s investing clients. The primary objectives of each analyst in the research department are: to analyze the securities, companies, industries and countries they cover and forecast their financial and economic performance; as a result, to form opinions on the value and future behavior of securities issued by the companies they cover; and to convey that information to UBS Group’s investing clients. Each issuer is covered by the Research Department at its sole discretion. The Research Department produces research independently of other business areas and groups of UBS Group.

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