Friday, February 21, 2020 - Sinarmas...

9
1 Today’s Market: IHSG diperkirakan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan melemah. Bursa AS ditutup melemah pada perdagangan Kamis (20/02). Harga batubara stabil di level USD 68,60 per Mt. Crude oil stabil di level USD 53,63 per barrel. Ru- piah melemah terhadap Dollar AS di level Rp 13.750. 10Yr Government Bonds Yield stabil di level 6,52%. Dari dalam negeri, Rapat Dewan Gubernur (RDG) Bank Indonesia memutuskan menurunkan BI 7DRRR sebesar 25bps menjadi 4,75% dari sebelumnya 5%. Suku bun- ga deposit facility dan lending facility masing-masing juga turun sebesar 25bps ke level 4% dan 5,5%. Sehubungan dengan industri, Kementerian Komunikasi dan Informatika (Kemkominfo) memastikan program pem- blokiran ponsel ilegal melalui control IMEI berlangsung mulai 18 April 2020. Kemkominfo mengklaim uji coba pro- gram ini sukses terlaksana pada 17-18 Februari lalu. Sehubungan dengan emiten, Bank Central Asia (BBCA) mencatatkan pendapatan bunga bersih 2019 IDR50.8tn (+12.1% YoY) dan laba bersih IDR28.6tn (+10.5% YoY). Hasil tersebut sejalan dengan estimasi. Sehubungan dengan emiten, Vale Indonesia (INCO) men- catatkan pendapatan sepanjang 2019 sebesar USD 782 juta (+0,6% YoY) dan laba bersih USD 57,4 juta (-5,1% YoY). Hasil tersebut tercatat sedikit di atas konsensus. Secara teknikal indeks hari Jumat (21/02), IHSG diprediksi bergerak di kisaran 5877-5966. Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research See pg. 6-8 for Technical Corner www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report Friday, February 21, 2020 IDX Statistics Closing JCI 5,942.49 Transaction Value Regular M arket (IDR tn) 5.191 Transaction Volume Regular M arket (mn shares) 3,559 Foreign Net Buy (Sell) (IDR bn) (168) Foreign Net Buy (Sell) (0.01) Total M arket Capitalization (IDR tn) 6,898.46 LQ45 968.54 0.43 (4.53) EIDO 24.00 (1.60) (6.47) IDX 21.17 (0.96) (6.41) DOW JONES 29,219.98 (0.44) 2.39 S&P 500 3,373.23 (0.38) 4.41 NASDAQ 9,750.97 (0.67) 8.67 FTSE 7,436.64 (0.27) (1.40) NIKKEI 23,479.15 0.34 (0.75) HANG SENG 27,609.16 (0.17) (2.06) STRAITS TIMES 3,198.68 (0.47) (0.75) KLSE 1,534.98 0.05 (3.39) USD/IDR 13,750.00 0.00 (0.84) EUR/IDR 14,836.60 0.21 (4.94) JPY/IDR 123.04 (0.16) (4.06) SGD/IDR 9,821.08 0.01 (5.01) AUD/IDR 9,101.74 (0.44) (6.84) GBP/IDR 17,712.55 0.06 (2.87) Crude Oil (USD/barrel) 53.63 7:51:03 A M (12.17) Coal (USD/mn tons) 68.60 2/20/2020 1.33 Natural Gas (USD/mmBtu) 1.89 7:51:03 A M (13.84) Gold (USD/ounce) 1,621.05 8:01:04 A M 6.86 Nickel (USD/mn tons) 12,670.00 2/20/2020 (9.66) Tins (USD/mn tons) 16,575.00 2/20/2020 (3.49) CPO (MYR/mn tons) 2,669.00 2/20/2020 (12.23) Rubber (JPY/kg) 161.00 2:37:31PM (9.19) Wheat (USD/bushel) 560.00 2/20/2020 0.22 Corn (USD/bushel) 378.50 2/20/2020 (2.39) Commodities Other Indices Closing 1-Day Chg (%) YTD Chg (%) Currency Spot Rate Rate (IDR) 1-Day Chg (%) YTD Chg (%) Price Last Transaction YTD Chg (%) IHSG naik sebanyak 13.7 poin (0.23%) ke level 5942.49. Sementara LQ45 naik sebanyak 4.1 poin (0.43%) ke level 968.54. Foreign net sell sebesar Rp 168.42 miliar. 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Millions Volume JCI Index

Transcript of Friday, February 21, 2020 - Sinarmas...

  • 1

    Today’s Market:

    IHSG diperkirakan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan

    melemah. Bursa AS ditutup melemah pada perdagangan

    Kamis (20/02). Harga batubara stabil di level USD 68,60

    per Mt. Crude oil stabil di level USD 53,63 per barrel. Ru-

    piah melemah terhadap Dollar AS di level Rp 13.750. 10Yr

    Government Bonds Yield stabil di level 6,52%.

    Dari dalam negeri, Rapat Dewan Gubernur (RDG) Bank

    Indonesia memutuskan menurunkan BI 7DRRR sebesar

    25bps menjadi 4,75% dari sebelumnya 5%. Suku bun-

    ga deposit facility dan lending facility masing-masing juga

    turun sebesar 25bps ke level 4% dan 5,5%.

    Sehubungan dengan industri, Kementerian Komunikasi

    dan Informatika (Kemkominfo) memastikan program pem-

    blokiran ponsel ilegal melalui control IMEI berlangsung

    mulai 18 April 2020. Kemkominfo mengklaim uji coba pro-

    gram ini sukses terlaksana pada 17-18 Februari lalu.

    Sehubungan dengan emiten, Bank Central Asia (BBCA)

    mencatatkan pendapatan bunga bersih 2019 IDR50.8tn

    (+12.1% YoY) dan laba bersih IDR28.6tn (+10.5% YoY).

    Hasil tersebut sejalan dengan estimasi.

    Sehubungan dengan emiten, Vale Indonesia (INCO) men-

    catatkan pendapatan sepanjang 2019 sebesar USD 782

    juta (+0,6% YoY) dan laba bersih USD 57,4 juta (-5,1%

    YoY). Hasil tersebut tercatat sedikit di atas konsensus.

    Secara teknikal indeks hari Jumat (21/02), IHSG diprediksi

    bergerak di kisaran 5877-5966.

    Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research See pg. 6-8 for Technical Corner

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

    Friday, February 21, 2020

    ID X Stat ist ics C lo sing

    JCI 5,942.49

    Transaction Value Regular M arket (IDR tn) 5.191

    Transaction Volume Regular M arket (mn shares) 3,559

    Foreign Net Buy (Sell) (IDR bn) (168)

    Foreign Net Buy (Sell) (0.01)

    Total M arket Capitalization (IDR tn) 6,898.46

    LQ45 968.54 0.43 (4.53)

    EIDO 24.00 (1.60) (6.47)

    IDX 21.17 (0.96) (6.41)

    DOW JONES 29,219.98 (0.44) 2.39

    S&P 500 3,373.23 (0.38) 4.41

    NASDAQ 9,750.97 (0.67) 8.67

    FTSE 7,436.64 (0.27) (1.40)

    NIKKEI 23,479.15 0.34 (0.75)

    HANG SENG 27,609.16 (0.17) (2.06)

    STRAITS TIM ES 3,198.68 (0.47) (0.75)

    KLSE 1,534.98 0.05 (3.39)

    USD/IDR 13,750.00 0.00 (0.84)

    EUR/IDR 14,836.60 0.21 (4.94)

    JPY/IDR 123.04 (0.16) (4.06)

    SGD/IDR 9,821.08 0.01 (5.01)

    AUD/IDR 9,101.74 (0.44) (6.84)

    GBP/IDR 17,712.55 0.06 (2.87)

    Crude Oil (USD/barrel) 53.63 7:51:03 AM (12.17)

    Coal (USD/mn tons) 68.60 2/20/2020 1.33

    Natural Gas (USD/mmBtu) 1.89 7:51:03 AM (13.84)

    Gold (USD/ounce) 1,621.05 8:01:04 AM 6.86

    Nickel (USD/mn tons) 12,670.00 2/20/2020 (9.66)

    Tins (USD/mn tons) 16,575.00 2/20/2020 (3.49)

    CPO (M YR/mn tons) 2,669.00 2/20/2020 (12.23)

    Rubber (JPY/kg) 161.00 2:37:31 PM (9.19)

    Wheat (USD/bushel) 560.00 2/20/2020 0.22

    Corn (USD/bushel) 378.50 2/20/2020 (2.39)

    C o mmo dit ies

    Other Indices C lo sing 1-D ay C hg (%)YT D

    C hg (%)

    C urrency Spo t R ate R ate ( ID R ) 1-D ay C hg (%)YT D

    C hg (%)

    P riceLast

    T ransact io n

    YT D

    C hg (%)

    IHSG naik sebanyak 13.7 poin (0.23%) ke level 5942.49.

    Sementara LQ45 naik sebanyak 4.1 poin (0.43%) ke level

    968.54. Foreign net sell sebesar Rp 168.42 miliar.

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    16,000

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    5,000

    5,500

    6,000

    6,500

    7,000

    Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20

    Millio

    ns

    Volume JCI Index

  • 2

    Daily Corporate and Industry News

    Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral (ESDM) menargetkan investasi Energi Baru Terbarukan dan Konserva-si Energi (EBTKE) sekitar US$ 20 miliar hingga 2024. Source: Investor Daily Kementerian Komunikasi dan Informatika (Kemkominfo) memastikan program pemblokiran ponsel ilegal melalui IMEI berlangsung mulai 18 April 2020. Kemkominfo mengklaim uji coba program ini sukses terlaksana pada 17-18 Februari lalu. Source: Kontan Mengantisipasi perlambatan ekonomi sebagai dampak wabah Virus Korona, Rapat Dewan Gubernur (RDG) Bank In-donesia memutuskan pemangkasan BI 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate (BI-7DRRR) sebesar 25 basis poin (bps) menjadi 4,75% dari sebelumnya 5%. Source: Investor Daily Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI) memutuskan besaran dividen sebesar 25% dari laba bersih perusahaan, senilai Rp3,85 triliun atau sebesar Rp 206,24 per lembar saham. rapat menyetujui pengangkatan Herry Sidharta sebagai Direktur Utama, Anggoro Eko Cahyo sebagai Wakil Direktur Utama. Source: Bisnis Indonesia PTPP (PTPP) menargetkan pendapatan Rp26 triliun dan laba Rp1,4 triliun pada 2020, dan kontrak baru IDR40tn.. Source: Bisnis Indonesia Bank Central Asia (BBCA) mencatatkan pendapatan bunga bersih 2019 IDR50.8tn (+12.1% YoY) dan laba bersih IDR28.6tn (+10.5% YoY). Source: Bisnis Indonesia Vale Indonesia (INCO) mencatatkan pendapatan sepanjang 2019 sebesar USD 782 juta (+0,6% YoY) dan laba bersih USD 57,4 juta (-5,1% YoY). Source: IQPlus Industri Jamu dan Farmasi Sido Muncul (SIDO) mencatatkan laba tahun berjalan sebesar Rp 807,68 miliar hingga akhir 2019, meningkat 21,64% dibanding periode sama tahun 2018 sebesar Rp 663,84 miliar. Source: Investor Daily Waskita Karya (WSKT) menargetkan penerimaan dana masuk ke kas internal sekitar Rp 14,5 triliun tahun ini. Source: Investor Daily Wijaya Karya Beton (WTON) berencana meningkatkan kapasitas precast menjadi 4 juta ton. WTON menganggarkan capex sebesar Rp 948 miliar. Source: Kontan Duta Intidaya (DAYA) peritel Watson menargetkan membuka 38 sampai 40 gerai di berbagai wilayah di Indonesia. Belanja modal dianggarkan mencapai Rp 40 miliar. Source: Kontan Apexindo Pratama Duta (APEX) berencana melakukan obligasi wajib konversi (OWK) yang akan dikonversi menjadi saham baru melalui penambahan modal tanpa memberikan hak memesan efek terlebih dahulu (private placement) pada awal Maret 2020. SourcE: Investor Daily

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

  • 3

    World Equity Indices

    Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

    WOR LD EQUIT Y IN D IC ES

    N O T IC KER

    1 INDU Index 29,568.57 24,680.57 681.54 2.39 20.75 18.49 4.24 4.18 8,557.99 8,557.99

    2 SPX Index 3,393.52 2,722.27 142.45 4.41 22.29 19.40 3.74 3.48 29,177.90 29,177.90

    3 CCM P Index 9,838.37 7,292.21 778.36 8.67 37.36 26.42 5.12 3.89 15,191.10 15,191.10

    4 SPTSX Index 17,970.51 15,891.94 880.63 5.16 18.11 16.14 1.94 1.75 2,729.57 2,062.23

    5 M EXBOL Index 45,955.41 38,265.51 1,233.52 2.83 17.50 14.69 2.15 1.90 5,538.29 #VALUE!

    6 SX5E Index 3,867.28 3,239.20 77.83 2.08 20.69 14.83 1.79 1.69 3,354.60 3,620.62

    7 UKX Index 7,727.49 7,004.43 (105.80) (1.40) 20.04 13.50 1.81 1.69 1,986.86 2,558.68

    8 CAC Index 6,111.41 5,152.30 84.24 1.41 22.51 15.12 1.74 1.64 1,858.83 2,006.23

    9 DAX Index 13,795.24 11,266.48 414.99 3.13 25.72 14.80 1.68 1.59 1,265.08 1,365.40

    10 IBEX Index 10,100.20 8,409.20 381.80 4.00 21.01 13.04 1.41 1.31 624.50 674.02

    11 FTSEM IB Index 25,483.05 19,535.50 1,573.79 6.70 16.58 12.45 1.26 1.20 561.12 605.61

    12 AEX Index 632.12 528.68 17.54 2.90 21.06 17.19 2.02 1.96 833.79 899.91

    13 SM I Index 11,270.00 9,228.86 537.59 5.06 23.55 17.47 2.83 2.64 1,335.24 1,357.64

    14 AS51 Index 7,197.20 6,083.60 463.63 6.94 21.20 19.02 2.29 2.20 2,154.31 1,425.72

    15 AS30 Index 7,289.70 6,162.70 436.50 6.42 21.71 18.86 2.22 2.18 2,338.84 1,547.84

    16 SHSZ300 Index 4,223.51 3,417.98 48.08 1.17 14.80 12.05 1.89 1.64 33,130.80 4,717.47

    17 SHASHR Index 3,444.44 2,814.01 (20.62) (0.65) 14.59 11.09 1.48 1.28 34,945.65 4,975.89

    18 SZASHR Index 1,974.42 1,502.73 171.09 9.49 39.59 18.55 2.77 2.71 26,070.48 3,712.16

    19 HSI Index 30,280.12 24,899.93 (580.59) (2.06) 11.37 10.62 1.22 1.12 18,184.85 2,336.48

    20 HSCEI Index 11,881.68 9,731.89 (254.09) (2.28) 8.80 8.34 1.17 1.04 13,360.21 1,716.59

    21 SENSEX Index 42,273.87 35,707.29 (83.62) (0.20) 25.19 22.19 3.22 3.12 76,553.81 1,063.96

    22 NIFTY Index 12,430.50 10,637.15 (87.60) (0.72) 23.63 21.35 2.94 2.84 89,948.83 1,250.13

    23 JCI Index 6,636.33 5,767.40 (357.05) (5.67) 18.39 14.16 1.96 1.98 6,898,463.47 497.76

    24 LQ45 Index 1,059.65 888.02 (45.93) (4.53) 16.13 14.22 2.32 2.14 4,473,161.78 322.76

    25 KSE100 Index 43,468.22 28,670.98 (253.43) (0.62) 9.37 6.70 1.24 1.08 6,469.01 41.93

    26 NKY Index 24,115.95 20,110.76 (121.59) (0.51) 20.76 18.37 1.75 1.71 382,531.24 3,414.85

    27 NEY Index 356.77 298.20 (3.80) (1.09) 14.41 13.85 1.13 1.10 449,754.39 4,014.95

    28 TPX Index 1,747.20 1,462.41 (39.61) (2.30) 15.68 14.54 1.18 1.19 636,629.02 5,683.17

    29 FBM KLCI Index 1,732.27 1,517.61 (53.78) (3.39) 17.62 15.39 1.54 1.43 988.11 236.18

    30 NZSE Index 2,019.39 1,603.06 85.66 4.45 27.22 28.06 2.41 2.44 165.61 104.93

    31 PCOM P Index 8,419.59 7,129.19 (402.26) (5.15) 16.20 14.68 1.88 1.67 9,216.74 181.40

    32 FSSTI Index 3,415.18 3,040.16 (24.15) (0.75) 11.94 12.94 1.08 1.06 563.57 402.23

    33 KOSPI Index 2,277.23 1,891.81 (20.43) (0.93) 19.39 12.06 0.85 0.89 1,420,516.49 1,175.55

    34 TWSE Index 12,197.64 10,180.04 (272.05) (2.27) 18.61 15.76 1.75 1.82 35,417.75 1,170.41

    35 SET Index 1,748.15 1,484.51 (88.60) (5.61) 17.27 15.38 1.59 1.57 15,753.21 500.26

    36 SET50 Index 1,164.72 994.55 (68.51) (6.41) 17.16 16.04 1.87 1.69 11,015.96 349.82

    37 VNINDEX Index 1,028.97 891.85 (22.86) (2.38) 14.59 13.31 2.17 2.18 3,211,550.12 138.22

    T railing

    12M2020E

    D o main

    C urrencyUSDLOW P OIN T %

    T railing

    12M2020E

    A sia/ P acif ic

    A merica

    52-WEEK C H A N GE YT D P ER (x) P B V (x) M A R KET C A P (B n)

    Euro pe

    H IGH

  • 4

    LQ45

    Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

    LQ45 Index

    HIGH LOW POINT %Trailing

    12M2020E

    Trailing

    12M2020E

    1 ADRO IJ 1,330 1,715 1,010 (225) (14.47) 6.09 6.94 0.81 0.80 42,541,329

    2 AKRA IJ 3,120 5,875 3,080 (830) (21.01) 17.33 15.12 1.53 1.43 12,525,848

    3 ANTM IJ 715 1,175 660 (125) (14.88) 21.36 18.31 0.86 0.85 17,181,997

    4 ASII IJ 5,975 8,025 5,925 (950) (13.72) 11.81 11.33 1.69 1.65 241,889,230

    5 BBCA IJ 34,000 35,300 25,700 575 1.72 29.65 29.18 4.99 4.84 838,270,340

    6 BBNI IJ 7,275 10,250 6,650 (575) (7.32) 8.81 7.79 1.11 1.07 135,668,976

    7 BBRI IJ 4,530 4,760 3,660 130 2.95 16.12 14.14 2.69 2.51 558,756,519

    8 BBTN IJ 1,780 2,750 1,745 (340) (16.04) 13.76 17.78 0.78 0.78 18,850,200

    9 BMRI IJ 7,800 8,175 6,275 125 1.63 13.25 11.88 1.78 1.78 364,000,000

    10 BRPT IJ 1,255 1,525 504 (255) (16.89) 635.34 45.87 6.85 1.43 111,715,712

    11 BSDE IJ 1,115 1,580 1,095 (140) (11.16) 7.05 8.91 0.74 0.73 21,460,066

    12 BTPS IJ 4,660 5,125 1,975 410 9.65 35.85 27.36 8.98 6.85 35,899,242

    13 CPIN IJ 6,375 8,000 4,190 (125) (1.92) 28.73 30.35 5.22 4.91 104,537,250

    14 CTRA IJ 905 1,335 855 (135) (12.98) 16.60 18.13 1.14 1.11 16,797,075

    15 ERAA IJ 1,785 2,270 965 (10) (0.56) 16.02 19.19 1.21 1.12 5,694,150

    16 EXCL IJ 2,860 3,730 1,995 (290) (9.21) - 27.43 1.60 1.54 30,567,567

    17 GGRM IJ 55,200 100,975 49,175 2,200 4.15 11.45 10.73 2.24 2.14 106,209,658

    18 HMSP IJ 1,990 4,030 1,900 (110) (5.24) 16.51 16.15 7.25 6.44 231,472,973

    19 ICBP IJ 10,750 12,550 8,950 (400) (3.59) 25.17 24.91 5.23 5.12 125,365,511

    20 INCO IJ 3,280 4,320 2,410 (360) (9.89) 413.40 47.95 1.26 1.22 32,591,191

    21 INDF IJ 7,000 8,300 5,850 (925) (11.67) 12.60 13.13 1.69 1.69 61,462,986

    22 INDY IJ 855 2,230 825 (340) (28.45) - 6.94 0.36 - 4,454,714

    23 INKP IJ 6,325 12,650 5,325 (1,375) (17.86) 8.16 - 0.64 - 34,603,967

    24 INTP IJ 16,300 22,875 16,000 (2,725) (14.32) 35.21 36.32 2.68 2.57 60,004,077

    25 ITMG IJ 10,075 24,475 9,800 (1,400) (12.20) 4.94 6.19 0.88 0.93 11,383,994

    26 JPFA IJ 1,445 2,970 1,280 (90) (5.86) 10.96 10.88 1.69 1.58 16,944,901

    27 JSMR IJ 4,850 6,450 4,500 (325) (6.28) 18.20 17.11 1.94 1.86 35,200,675

    28 KLBF IJ 1,410 1,690 1,260 (210) (12.96) 25.74 25.30 4.31 4.12 66,093,922

    29 LPPF IJ 3,230 6,775 2,940 (980) (23.28) 11.62 6.22 5.06 4.10 9,059,773

    30 MEDC IJ 700 1,040 620 (165) (19.08) - 5.12 0.74 0.28 12,544,318

    31 MNCN IJ 1,520 1,780 725 (110) (6.75) 8.53 10.08 1.70 1.81 21,699,677

    32 PGAS IJ 1,495 2,720 1,445 (675) (31.11) 12.27 10.93 1.02 0.97 36,241,055

    33 PTBA IJ 2,280 4,280 2,110 (380) (14.29) 5.80 6.23 1.48 1.46 26,267,103

    34 PTPP IJ 1,415 2,550 1,340 (170) (10.73) 7.50 7.12 0.68 0.64 8,772,855

    35 PWON IJ 535 815 510 (35) (6.14) 8.85 9.78 1.79 1.70 25,765,387

    36 SCMA IJ 1,395 1,870 1,080 (15) (1.06) 16.70 15.74 3.94 4.03 20,610,668

    37 SMGR IJ 11,400 14,450 10,075 (600) (5.00) 29.59 33.07 2.17 2.12 67,619,328

    38 SRIL IJ 214 372 208 (46) (17.69) 3.66 3.13 0.55 - 4,376,766

    39 TKIM IJ 7,975 13,475 5,575 (2,300) (22.38) 12.07 - 1.32 - 24,827,958

    40 TLKM IJ 3,820 4,500 3,431 (150) (3.78) 18.68 18.21 3.80 3.54 378,417,667

    41 TPIA IJ 9,025 10,600 4,680 (1,350) (13.01) 300.98 109.95 6.64 6.60 160,947,520

    42 UNTR IJ 17,700 28,900 17,600 (3,825) (17.77) 6.18 6.05 1.18 1.09 66,023,392

    43 UNVR IJ 7,600 10,105 7,575 (800) (9.52) 39.23 37.16 54.89 45.28 289,940,000

    44 WIKA IJ 1,965 2,500 1,635 (25) (1.26) 7.92 8.66 1.11 1.10 17,625,954

    45 WSKT IJ 1,140 2,230 1,115 (345) (23.23) 11.16 6.11 0.85 0.75 15,474,304

    MARKET CAP

    (Mn)LQ45 Index

    CHANGE YTD PER (x) PBV (x)

    12-Feb-20

    52-WEEK

  • 5

    Macro data

    Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

    D escript io n 1-D ay (%) 5-D ays (%) 1-M o nth (%) YT D (%)

    Property (0.58) 2.13 (4.07) (9.53)

    Basic Industry (0.19) 4.18 (7.47) (9.73)

    Trade (0.09) 0.68 (5.96) (8.53)

    Finance 0.25 0.18 (1.42) (0.40)

    M iscellaneous Industry 0.23 4.14 (10.09) (9.96)

    Consumer 0.81 1.88 (6.47) (5.61)

    Infrastructure (0.09) (1.08) (7.51) (10.55)

    Agriculture (0.51) 0.16 (6.86) (15.17)

    M ining 1.62 2.90 (3.53) (6.05)

    Jan-20 D ec-19

    0.38 3.61

    2.68 2.72

    0.39 0.34

    131.70 129.18

    F OR EX Spo t R ate 1-D ay (%) 1-M o nth (%) YT D (%)

    USD/IDR 13,750.00 - (0.81) 0.84

    USD/CNY 7.02 (0.36) (2.24) (0.86)

    USD/EUR 0.93 (0.05) 2.72 3.91

    USD/JPY 112.11 (0.01) (2.00) (3.12)

    USD/SGD 1.40 0.06 (3.59) (3.88)

    USD/AUD 1.51 (0.08) 3.41 6.00

    USD/GBP 0.78 0.01 1.32 2.92

    ( in %)

    5.68

    0.89

    1.46

    5.69

    6.52

    7.04

    Indonesia 5-Year Government Bonds Yield

    Indonesia 10-Year Government Bonds Yield

    Indonesia 15-Year Government Bonds Yield

    Lending and D epo sit R ates

    JIBOR (in IDR)

    LIBOR (in GBP)

    SIBOR ( in USD)

    Inflation M oM (in %)

    Foreign Reserves (in USD bn)

    Secto rs

    Eco no mic Indicato rs

    Inflation YTD (in %)

    Eco no mic P arameters

    Inflation YoY (in %)

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

  • Technical Corner

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

    JCI : MIXED MELEMAH

    Last price : 5.942

    Support : 5.910, 5.877

    Resistance : 5.966, 5.997

    JCI pada hari ini kami perkirakan akan bergerak MIXED MELEMAH dengan range 5.877 - 5.966. JCI break

    Resistance 5.940 berpeluang mencoba Resistance 5.966. Namun, jika JCI gagal bertahan diatas 5.940 akan

    kembali menguji Support 5.910 dan 5.877. Indikator Stoc osc dan MACD masih membentuk pola Reversal.

    Jakarta Composite Index (JCI)

    Summary of portfolio:

    Stock Recommendation Comment

    ASII HOLD ASII break Resistance 6.250, berpeluang melanjutkan penguatan denganmencoba Resistance 6.300 dan 6.400.

    SMRA HOLD SMRA gagal bertahan pada Support 915, berpeluang menguji Support 895 dan875. Namun, jika SMRA bertahan diatas Support 915, berpeluang mencoba

    Resistance 945 dan 960.

    BMRI HOLD BMRI breakout Resistance 7.975, berpeluang melanjutkan penguatan denganmencoba Resistance 8.050 dan 8.125.

    ADRO HOLD ADRO break Resistance 1.320, berpeluang melanjutkan penguatan denganmenguji Resitance 1.360 dan 1.385.

    Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com

    Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb

    5,850

    5,900

    5,950

    6,000

    6,050

    6,100

    6,150

    6,200

    6,250

    6,300

    6,350

    6,400

    5997

    5939

    5910

    5851

    5966

    5877

    COMPOSITE - Daily 2/20/2020 Open 5928.79, Hi 5960.71, Lo 5929.15, Close 5942.49 (0.2%) MA(Close,50) = 6,146.98

    5,942.49

    6,146.98

    Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100COMPOSITE - Stochastic %D(15,3,3) = 18.35, Stochastic %K(15,3) = 28.62

    18.3546 28.6159

    -50

    0

    50COMPOSITE - MACD(12,26) = -74.72, Signal(12,26,9) = -78.05

    -74.7187-78.0497

  • ASII : HOLD

    Last price : 6.275Target price : 6.300 (4.1%)Stop loss : 5.925 (-2.1%)

    ASII break Resistance 6.250, berpeluang melanjutkan penguatan dengan mencoba Resistance 6.300 dan 6.400.Namun, jika gagal bertahan diatas Resistance 6.250, akan kembali menguji Support 6.175 dan 6.100. ASII dilihat dariIndikator MACD mengindikasikan pola Reversal dan Stoc osc mengindikasikan pola Uptrend.

    SMRA : HOLD

    Last price : 905Target price : 985 (7.7%)Stop loss : 875 (-4.4%)

    Entry point 915 (19/2) sudah tercapai, SMRA gagal bertahan pada Support 915, berpeluang menguji Support 895 dan875. Namun, jika SMRA bertahan diatas Support 915, berpeluang mencoba Resistance 945 dan 960. SMRA dilihat dariIndikator MACD dan Stoc osc mengindikasikan pola Uptrend.

    Support : 6.175, 6.100Resistance : 6.300, 6.400

    Support : 895, 875Resistance : 945, 960

    Summarecon AgungTbk (SMRA)

    Astra International Tbk ( ASII )

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

    Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com

    Sep Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb 5,900

    6,000

    6,100

    6,200

    6,300

    6,400

    6,500

    6,600

    6,700

    6,800

    6,900

    7,000

    7,100

    7,200

    6175

    6250

    6300

    6100

    6000

    5925

    6400

    ASII - Daily 2/20/2020 Open 6275, Hi 6275, Lo 6125, Close 6275 (0.4%) MA(Close,50) = 6,685.00

    6,275

    6,685

    Sep Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb 0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100ASII - Stochastic %D(15,3,3) = 25.80, Stochastic %K(15,3) = 34.24

    25.8015 34.2428

    -200-150-100

    -500

    50 100ASII - MACD(12,26) = -175.74, Signal(12,26,9) = -178.56

    -175.741-178.558

    Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com

    Sep Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb 800

    850

    900

    950

    1,000

    1,050

    1,100

    1,150

    1,200

    1,250

    1,300

    915

    985

    960945

    895

    875

    850

    SMRA - Daily 2/20/2020 Open 930, Hi 935, Lo 900, Close 905 (0.0%) MA(Close,50) = 956.20

    905

    956.2

    Sep Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb

    20

    40

    60

    80

    SMRA - Stochastic %D(15,3,3) = 67.89, Stochastic %K(15,3) = 74.87

    67.8865 74.8677

    -40-30-20-10

    0 10 20SMRA - MACD(12,26) = -18.08, Signal(12,26,9) = -27.00

    -18.0798-27.0036

  • Bank Mandiri (Persero)Tbk (BMRI)

    Adaro Energy Tbk (ADRO)

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

    BMRI : HOLD

    Last price : 8.000Target price : 8.125 (4.2%)Stop loss : 7.600 (-2.6%)

    BMRI breakout Resistance 7.975, berpeluang melanjutkan penguatan dengan mencoba Resistance 8.050 dan 8.125.Namun, jika BMRI gagal bertahan diatas 8.000, berpeluang menguji Support 7.900 dan 7.825. BMRI dilihat dariIndikator MACD mengindikasikan pola Uptrend dan Stoc osc mengindikasikan pola Overbought.

    ADRO : HOLD

    Last price : 1.350Target price : 1.385 (4.9%)Stop loss : 1.265 (-4.2%)

    ADRO break Resistance 1.320, berpeluang melanjutkan penguatan dengan menguji Resitance 1.360 dan 1.385.Namun, jika ADRO gagal bertahan diatas 1.320, akan mencoba Support 1.290 dan 1.265. Indikator MACD mengindika-sikan pola Uptrend dan Stoc osc mengindikasikan pola Overbought.

    Support : 7.900, 7.825Resistance : 8.050, 8.125

    Support : 1.320, 1.290Resistance : 1.360, 1.385

    Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com

    Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb 6,800

    7,000

    7,200

    7,400

    7,600

    7,800

    8,000

    8,200

    8,400

    8,600

    7600

    7900

    7750

    7675

    7825

    7975

    8050

    8125

    BMRI - Daily 2/20/2020 Open 8025, Hi 8050, Lo 7925, Close 8000 (0.6%) MA(Close,50) = 7,663.50

    8,000

    7,663.5

    Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100BMRI - Stochastic %D(15,3,3) = 85.89, Stochastic %K(15,3) = 90.67

    85.8915 90.6746

    -200

    -100

    0

    100

    200BMRI - MACD(12,26) = 79.71, Signal(12,26,9) = 59.39

    79.7074 59.3904

    Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com

    Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb

    1,200

    1,250

    1,300

    1,350

    1,400

    1,450

    1,500

    1,550

    1,600

    1,650

    1,700

    1,750

    1,800

    13601385

    1420

    1320

    12901265

    ADRO - Daily 2/20/2020 Open 1315, Hi 1360, Lo 1310, Close 1350 (3.4%) MA(Close,50) = 1,432.10

    1,350

    1,432.1

    Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100ADRO - Stochastic %D(15,3,3) = 79.17, Stochastic %K(15,3) = 82.41

    79.1748 82.4074

    -50

    0

    50

    ADRO - MACD(12,26) = -22.80, Signal(12,26,9) = -33.24

    -22.8026-33.2374

  • PT Sinarmas Sekuritas

    Sinarmas Land Plaza Tower 3, 6th Fl.

    Jl. M. H. Thamrin no. 51

    Tel: +62 21 392 5550

    Fax: +62 21 392 5540

    [email protected]

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id

    Equity Research Team

    HEAD OF RESEARCH

    Evan Lie Hadiwidjaja

    Banking, Automotive

    Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 615

    [email protected]

    DEPUTY HEAD OF RESEARCH

    Wilbert

    Consumer Goods, Plantation, Pulp and Paper

    Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 611

    [email protected]

    EQUITY ANALYST

    Richard Suherman

    Commodities

    Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 610

    [email protected]

    EQUITY ANALYST

    Richardson Raymond

    Property, Industrial Estate

    Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 159

    [email protected]

    EQUITY ANALYST

    Paulina

    Retail, Cement, Digital

    Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 610

    [email protected]

    EQUITY ANALYST

    Anthony Angkawijaya

    Construction, Infrastructure, Petrochemical

    Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 611

    [email protected]

    TECHNICAL ANALYST

    Eddy Wijaya

    Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 159

    [email protected]

    DISCLAIMER

    This material is issued by PT Sinarmas Sekuritas, a member of Indonesia Stock Exchanges, represent the opinion of PT Sinarmas Sekuritas, derived its judg-

    ment from sources deemed reliable, however, PT Sinarmas Sekuritas and its affiliated cannot guarantee its accuracy and completeness. PT Sinarmas Seku-

    ritas or its affiliates may be involved in transactions contrary to any opinion herein or have positions in the securities recommended herein and may seek or

    will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this material. PT Sinarmas Sekuritas, its employees and its affiliates,

    expressly disclaim any and all liability for representation or warranties, expressed or implied, here in or omission there from or for any loss how so ever

    arising from any use of this material or its contents or otherwise arising in connection there with. Opinion expressed in this material are our present view

    and are subject to change without notice. For further information please contact our number +62 21 392 5550 or fax +62 21 392 2320.

    20200221 Daily Research1.pdf (p.1-5)20200221 Technical Corner.pdf (p.6-8)Disclaimer.pdf (p.9)