Thursday, January 9, 2020 - Sinarmas...

9
1 Today’s Market: IHSG diperkirakan bergerak menguat. Bursa AS ditutup menguat pada perdagangan Rabu (08/01) seiring dengan pernyataan Presiden AS yang mengindikasikan meredanya ketegangan antara AS-Iran. Harga batubara stabil di level USD 67,10 per Mt. Crude oil turun ke level USD 60,15 per barrel. Rupiah menguat terhadap Dollar AS di level Rp 13.885. 10Yr Government Bonds Yield naik ke level 7,08%. Dari dalam negeri, Bank Indonesia mencatat cadangan devisa per Desember 2019 mencapai USD 129,2 miliar, naik USD 2,6 miliar dari bulan sebelumnya. Dari dalam negeri, Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral (ESDM) berencana merilis kebijakan baru yakni, Kontraktor wajib menjual liquefied natural gas (LNG) kepada Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS), demi menye- diakan harga gas yang terjangkau bagi pelanggan industri. Sehubungan dengan emiten, Wijaya Karya (WIKA) me- nyiapkan belanja modal sebesar Rp 11,5 triliun pada 2020. Sehubungan dengan emiten, Smartfren Telecom (FREN) mencatatkan pelanggan 23,8 juta di akhir 2019, lebih ren- dah dari target awal 25-30 juta pelanggan. Secara teknikal indeks hari Kamis (09/01), IHSG diprediksi bergerak di kisaran 6210-6304. Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research See pg. 6-8 for Technical Corner www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report Thursday, January 9, 2020 IDX Statistics Closing JCI 6,225.69 Transaction Value Regular M arket (IDR tn) 5.597 Transaction Volume Regular M arket (mn shares) 4,472 Foreign Net Buy (Sell) (IDR bn) (0) Foreign Net Buy (Sell) 0.07 Total M arket Capitalization (IDR tn) 7,205.18 LQ45 1,005.45 (0.91) 2.31 EIDO 25.67 0.79 3.42 IDX 22.61 0.67 3.92 DOW JONES 28,745.09 0.56 23.22 S&P 500 3,253.05 0.49 29.77 NASDAQ 9,129.24 0.67 37.59 FTSE 7,574.93 0.01 12.59 NIKKEI 23,204.76 (1.57) 15.94 HANG SENG 28,087.92 (0.83) 8.68 STRAITS TIMES 3,245.89 (0.06) 5.77 KLSE 1,589.10 (1.36) (6.00) USD/IDR 13,865.00 (0.40) (0.01) EUR/IDR 15,447.73 (0.26) (0.93) JPY/IDR 127.06 (1.53) (0.61) SGD/IDR 10,274.49 (0.23) (0.40) AUD/IDR 9,554.93 0.40 (2.02) GBP/IDR 18,222.00 (0.01) (0.29) Crude Oil (USD/barrel) 60.15 8:03:25 AM (1.47) Coal (USD/mn tons) 67.10 1/8/2020 (0.89) Natural Gas (USD/mmBtu) 2.15 8:03:25 AM (1.60) Gold (USD/ounce) 1,558.59 8:13:25 A M 2.72 Nickel (USD/mn tons) 14,090.00 8:13:25 A M 0.46 Tins (USD/mn tons) 17,140.00 1/8/2020 (0.20) CPO (MYR/mn tons) 3,038.00 1/8/2020 (0.10) Rubber (JPY/kg) 176.00 7:44:45 AM (0.73) Wheat (USD/bushel) 553.25 8:03:12 A M (0.98) Corn (USD/bushel) 383.75 8:03:15 A M (1.03) Price Last Transaction YTD Chg (%) Commodities Other Indices Closing 1-Day Chg (%) YTD Chg (%) Currency Spot Rate Rate (IDR) 1-Day Chg (%) YTD Chg (%) IHSG turun sebanyak 53.7 poin (0.86%) ke level 6225.69. Sementara LQ45 turun sebanyak 9.2 poin (0.91%) ke level 1005.45. Foreign net sell sebesar Rp 0.09 miliar. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 Jan- 19 Feb- 19 Mar- 19 Apr- 19 May- 19 Jun- 19 Jul-19 Aug- 19 Sep- 19 Oct- 19 Nov- 19 Dec- 19 Jan- 20 Volume JCI Index

Transcript of Thursday, January 9, 2020 - Sinarmas...

  • 1

    Today’s Market:

    IHSG diperkirakan bergerak menguat. Bursa AS ditutup

    menguat pada perdagangan Rabu (08/01) seiring dengan

    pernyataan Presiden AS yang mengindikasikan meredanya

    ketegangan antara AS-Iran. Harga batubara stabil di level

    USD 67,10 per Mt. Crude oil turun ke level USD 60,15 per

    barrel. Rupiah menguat terhadap Dollar AS di level Rp

    13.885. 10Yr Government Bonds Yield naik ke level

    7,08%.

    Dari dalam negeri, Bank Indonesia mencatat cadangan

    devisa per Desember 2019 mencapai USD 129,2 miliar,

    naik USD 2,6 miliar dari bulan sebelumnya.

    Dari dalam negeri, Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya

    Mineral (ESDM) berencana merilis kebijakan baru yakni,

    Kontraktor wajib menjual liquefied natural gas (LNG)

    kepada Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS), demi menye-

    diakan harga gas yang terjangkau bagi pelanggan industri.

    Sehubungan dengan emiten, Wijaya Karya (WIKA) me-

    nyiapkan belanja modal sebesar Rp 11,5 triliun pada 2020.

    Sehubungan dengan emiten, Smartfren Telecom (FREN)

    mencatatkan pelanggan 23,8 juta di akhir 2019, lebih ren-

    dah dari target awal 25-30 juta pelanggan.

    Secara teknikal indeks hari Kamis (09/01), IHSG diprediksi

    bergerak di kisaran 6210-6304.

    Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research See pg. 6-8 for Technical Corner

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

    Thursday, January 9, 2020

    ID X Stat ist ics C lo sing

    JCI 6,225.69

    Transaction Value Regular M arket (IDR tn) 5.597

    Transaction Volume Regular M arket (mn shares) 4,472

    Foreign Net Buy (Sell) (IDR bn) (0)

    Foreign Net Buy (Sell) 0.07

    Total M arket Capitalization (IDR tn) 7,205.18

    LQ45 1,005.45 (0.91) 2.31

    EIDO 25.67 0.79 3.42

    IDX 22.61 0.67 3.92

    DOW JONES 28,745.09 0.56 23.22

    S&P 500 3,253.05 0.49 29.77

    NASDAQ 9,129.24 0.67 37.59

    FTSE 7,574.93 0.01 12.59

    NIKKEI 23,204.76 (1.57) 15.94

    HANG SENG 28,087.92 (0.83) 8.68

    STRAITS TIM ES 3,245.89 (0.06) 5.77

    KLSE 1,589.10 (1.36) (6.00)

    USD/IDR 13,865.00 (0.40) (0.01)

    EUR/IDR 15,447.73 (0.26) (0.93)

    JPY/IDR 127.06 (1.53) (0.61)

    SGD/IDR 10,274.49 (0.23) (0.40)

    AUD/IDR 9,554.93 0.40 (2.02)

    GBP/IDR 18,222.00 (0.01) (0.29)

    Crude Oil (USD/barrel) 60.15 8:03:25 AM (1.47)

    Coal (USD/mn tons) 67.10 1/8/2020 (0.89)

    Natural Gas (USD/mmBtu) 2.15 8:03:25 AM (1.60)

    Gold (USD/ounce) 1,558.59 8:13:25 AM 2.72

    Nickel (USD/mn tons) 14,090.00 8:13:25 AM 0.46

    Tins (USD/mn tons) 17,140.00 1/8/2020 (0.20)

    CPO (M YR/mn tons) 3,038.00 1/8/2020 (0.10)

    Rubber (JPY/kg) 176.00 7:44:45 AM (0.73)

    Wheat (USD/bushel) 553.25 8:03:12 AM (0.98)

    Corn (USD/bushel) 383.75 8:03:15 AM (1.03)

    P riceLast

    T ransact io n

    YT D

    C hg (%)C o mmo dit ies

    Other Indices C lo sing 1-D ay C hg (%)YT D

    C hg (%)

    C urrency Spo t R ate R ate ( ID R ) 1-D ay C hg (%)YT D

    C hg (%)

    IHSG turun sebanyak 53.7 poin (0.86%) ke level 6225.69.

    Sementara LQ45 turun sebanyak 9.2 poin (0.91%) ke level

    1005.45. Foreign net sell sebesar Rp 0.09 miliar.

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    Volume JCI Index

  • 2

    Daily Corporate and Industry News

    Bank Indonesia (BI) mencatat, posisi cadangan devisa (cadev) Indonesia pada akhir Desember 2019 mencapai US$ 129,2 miliar, naik US$ 2,6 miliar dibandingkan bulan sebelumnya yang senilai US$ 126,6 miliar. Kenaikan ini di-harapkan bisa menjaga stabilitas makroekonomi dan sistem keuangan serta nilai tukar (kurs) rupiah, di tengah tekanan eksternal seperti hubungan Iran dan Amerika Serikat (AS) yang memanas. Source: Investor Daily Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral (ESDM) memastikan perhitungan subsidi bahan bakar minyak (BBM) tidak akan terganggu akibat dari konflik antara Amerika Serikat dan Iran. Source: Kontan Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral (ESDM) berencana merilis kebijakan baru yakni, Kontraktor wajib menjual liquefied natural gas (LNG) kepada Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS), demi menyediakan harga gas yang ter-jangkau bagi pelanggan industri. Source: Kontan Hutchison 3 Indonesia membukukan total 40 juta pelanggan sepanjang 2019. Capaian tersebut ditopang oleh per-tambahan sebanyak 3 juta pelanggan baru Tri sepanjang tahun lalu. Source: Bisnis Indonesia Smartfren Telecom (FREN) mencatatkan pelanggan 23,8 juta di akhir 2019. Angka ini meleset dari target yang ditetapkan di awal tahun yaitu sekitar 25 juta—30 juta pelanggan. Source: Bisnis Indonesia Lippo Karawaci (LPKR) melalui anak usahanya sekaligus manajer dari Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, LMIRT Man-agement Ltd, menandatangani perjanjian jual beli dengan NWP Retail atas penjualan dua mal di Indonesia dengan nilai transaksi Rp 1,28 triliun. Source: Investor Daily Wijaya Karya (WIKA) menyiapkan belanja modal (capital expenditure/capex) sebesar Rp 11,5 triliun pada 2020. Source: Investor Daily Medco Energi Internasional (MEDC) menuntaskan divestasi kepemilikan asetnya pada blok minyak dan gas di Meksi-ko, Tunisia, dan Amerika Serikat (AS). Nilai pelepasan aset dari emiten yang dikendalikan oleh Arifin Panigoro terse-but sekitar US$ 63,74 juta. Source: Investor Daily Bumi Resources (BUMI) telah melunasi pokok dan kupon utang tranche A hingga US$ 313,8 juta hingga awal tahun ini. Pembayaran terakhir senilai US$ 11,6 juta telah diproses kemarin melalui agen fasilitas. Source: Investor Daily Central Omega Resources (DKFT) mengambil alih saham PT Bumi Konawe Abadi (BKA) sebanyak 180 ribu saham atau 30% dari total saham yang dikeluarkan oleh BKA. Aksi pengambilalihan saham tersebut dilakukan perseroan dari PT COR Industri Indonesia. Source: Investor Daily Lippo Karawaci (LPKR) telah mendivestasikan dua pusat belanja dengan nilai penjualan Rp 1.28 triliun. Pelepasan aset tersebut merupakan bagian strategi manajemen untuk fokus di bisnis inti, yakni properti. Source: Kontan

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

  • 3

    World Equity Indices

    Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

    WOR LD EQUIT Y IN D IC ES

    N O T IC KER

    1 INDU Index 28,872.80 23,703.25 206.65 0.72 19.76 17.33 4.27 3.96 8,166.17 8,166.17

    2 SPX Index 3,267.07 2,562.02 22.27 0.69 21.77 18.65 3.65 3.34 27,922.62 27,922.62

    3 CCM P Index 9,168.89 6,877.08 156.64 1.75 34.44 25.19 4.93 3.68 14,040.82 14,040.82

    4 SPTSX Index 17,230.58 14,644.09 104.39 0.61 17.46 15.18 1.84 1.65 2,641.84 2,030.15

    5 M EXBOL Index 45,599.57 38,265.51 929.89 2.14 17.29 14.23 2.14 1.87 5,480.38 290.34

    6 SX5E Index 3,801.13 3,037.13 27.41 0.73 20.37 14.53 1.79 1.67 3,324.30 3,695.95

    7 UKX Index 7,727.49 6,734.00 32.49 0.43 18.32 13.44 1.80 1.68 2,021.58 2,649.27

    8 CAC Index 6,065.74 4,730.55 52.94 0.89 21.60 14.86 1.76 1.63 1,849.56 2,056.34

    9 DAX Index 13,425.85 10,786.75 71.17 0.54 24.71 14.25 1.65 1.55 1,238.60 1,377.07

    10 IBEX Index 9,705.40 8,409.20 42.20 0.44 15.59 12.34 1.35 1.26 602.03 669.34

    11 FTSEM IB Index 24,003.64 19,016.16 325.65 1.39 14.36 11.73 1.23 1.15 533.73 593.40

    12 AEX Index 613.95 492.17 5.90 0.98 18.07 16.57 2.08 1.95 819.75 911.40

    13 SM I Index 10,755.68 8,617.93 35.22 0.33 25.06 16.79 2.78 2.48 1,273.79 1,308.73

    14 AS51 Index 6,893.70 5,722.40 199.92 2.99 20.35 18.14 2.22 2.13 2,052.92 1,411.59

    15 AS30 Index 7,002.80 5,783.30 196.70 2.89 21.01 17.91 2.16 2.12 2,236.82 1,538.03

    16 SHSZ300 Index 4,172.65 3,062.57 15.74 0.38 14.61 11.97 1.88 1.63 33,163.70 4,778.56

    17 SHASHR Index 3,444.44 2,650.93 17.46 0.55 14.61 11.12 1.49 1.29 34,824.63 5,017.89

    18 SZASHR Index 1,881.65 1,324.92 48.86 2.71 37.24 17.08 2.59 2.48 24,338.50 3,506.94

    19 HSI Index 30,280.12 24,899.93 (101.83) (0.36) 11.00 10.63 1.23 1.13 18,280.39 2,350.99

    20 HSCEI Index 11,881.68 9,731.89 (88.27) (0.79) 8.79 8.37 1.19 1.05 13,277.65 1,707.60

    21 SENSEX Index 41,809.96 35,287.16 (436.00) (1.06) 26.09 23.06 3.16 3.10 75,391.72 1,056.46

    22 NIFTY Index 12,293.90 10,583.65 (143.10) (1.18) 26.20 21.92 2.90 2.83 89,112.06 1,248.72

    23 JCI Index 6,636.33 5,767.40 (73.85) (1.17) 19.56 14.40 2.07 2.01 7,205,179.10 520.00

    24 LQ45 Index 1,059.65 888.02 (9.02) (0.89) 17.13 14.34 2.40 2.10 4,747,812.15 342.65

    25 KSE100 Index 42,835.08 28,670.98 622.48 1.53 9.58 6.42 1.28 1.10 6,699.01 43.20

    26 NKY Index 24,091.12 20,101.93 (73.73) (0.31) 18.77 17.98 1.80 1.71 382,722.19 3,507.99

    27 NEY Index 355.36 298.20 0.41 0.12 14.90 13.46 1.16 1.11 452,324.64 4,145.96

    28 TPX Index 1,747.20 1,462.41 1.37 0.08 15.65 14.53 1.23 1.21 648,004.54 5,939.55

    29 FBM KLCI Index 1,732.27 1,548.45 0.34 0.02 18.27 15.74 1.60 1.51 1,024.16 249.70

    30 NZSE Index 1,947.23 1,531.81 10.80 0.56 27.77 26.57 2.32 2.37 160.86 107.00

    31 PCOM P Index 8,419.59 7,469.41 (79.02) (1.01) 16.77 15.15 1.95 1.74 9,672.09 191.31

    32 FSSTI Index 3,415.18 3,040.16 23.06 0.72 12.26 12.89 1.10 1.08 570.29 422.41

    33 KOSPI Index 2,252.05 1,891.81 (23.54) (1.07) 16.91 11.63 0.85 0.88 1,393,086.44 1,200.08

    34 TWSE Index 12,197.64 9,584.63 (180.04) (1.50) 19.17 15.99 1.76 1.83 35,644.88 1,187.33

    35 SET Index 1,748.15 1,543.22 (20.57) (1.30) 18.70 15.39 1.67 1.64 16,483.41 542.99

    36 SET50 Index 1,164.72 1,041.28 (11.31) (1.06) 18.56 16.10 2.00 1.76 11,642.78 383.53

    37 VNINDEX Index 1,028.97 888.61 (12.01) (1.25) 15.62 13.35 2.26 2.22 3,240,248.45 139.80

    T railing

    12M2019E

    D o main

    C urrencyUSDLOW P OIN T %

    T railing

    12M2019E

    A sia/ P acif ic

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    52-WEEK C H A N GE YT D P ER (x) P B V (x) M A R KET C A P (B n)

    Euro pe

    H IGH

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    LQ45

    Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

    www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

    LQ45 Index

    HIGH LOW POINT %Trailing

    12M2019E

    Trailing

    12M2019E

    1 ADRO IJ 1,505 1,715 1,010 (50) (3.22) 6.80 7.75 0.90 0.89 48,138,873

    2 AKRA IJ 3,560 5,875 3,220 (390) (9.87) 19.77 17.10 1.74 1.65 14,292,314

    3 ANTM IJ 905 1,175 660 65 7.74 27.04 23.21 1.09 1.07 21,747,842

    4 ASII IJ 6,775 8,550 6,250 (150) (2.17) 13.40 12.80 1.92 1.86 274,276,073

    5 BBCA IJ 33,400 34,000 25,700 (25) (0.07) 29.13 28.58 4.91 4.75 823,477,334

    6 BBNI IJ 7,425 10,250 6,650 (425) (5.41) 8.90 8.83 1.17 1.16 138,466,274

    7 BBRI IJ 4,380 4,730 3,650 (20) (0.45) 15.91 15.40 2.72 2.67 540,254,648

    8 BBTN IJ 2,070 2,860 1,780 (50) (2.36) 16.00 18.10 0.91 0.90 21,921,300

    9 BMRI IJ 7,500 8,175 6,275 (175) (2.28) 12.88 12.77 1.78 1.79 350,000,000

    10 BRPT IJ 1,280 1,525 456 (230) (15.23) 639.40 46.16 6.90 1.03 113,940,478

    11 BSDE IJ 1,220 1,580 1,120 (35) (2.79) 7.71 9.59 0.81 0.80 23,480,969

    12 BTPS IJ 4,170 4,500 1,855 (80) (1.88) 32.08 24.65 8.04 6.13 32,124,429

    13 CPIN IJ 7,275 8,825 4,190 775 11.92 32.78 34.63 5.96 5.61 119,295,450

    14 CTRA IJ 1,015 1,335 855 (25) (2.40) 18.62 19.31 1.28 1.24 18,838,708

    15 ERAA IJ 1,710 2,590 965 (85) (4.74) 15.34 15.04 1.16 1.08 5,454,900

    16 EXCL IJ 3,300 3,730 1,995 150 4.76 - 55.84 1.87 1.86 35,270,269

    17 GGRM IJ 57,400 100,975 49,175 4,400 8.30 11.91 11.37 2.33 2.23 110,442,651

    18 HMSP IJ 2,270 4,030 1,900 170 8.10 18.83 18.26 8.27 7.32 264,042,035

    19 ICBP IJ 11,550 12,550 8,950 400 3.59 27.04 26.96 5.62 5.59 134,695,037

    20 INCO IJ 3,540 4,320 2,410 (100) (2.75) 440.25 51.07 1.35 1.30 35,174,639

    21 INDF IJ 8,225 8,225 5,850 300 3.79 14.80 15.25 1.99 1.97 72,219,008

    22 INDY IJ 1,245 2,260 1,050 50 4.18 - 9.98 0.52 0.50 6,486,689

    23 INKP IJ 7,975 13,700 5,325 275 3.57 10.15 - 0.79 - 43,631,089

    24 INTP IJ 18,200 22,875 17,000 (825) (4.34) 39.32 41.29 2.99 2.88 66,998,417

    25 ITMG IJ 11,725 24,475 10,050 250 2.18 5.67 6.77 1.01 1.07 13,248,371

    26 JPFA IJ 1,660 3,100 1,280 125 8.14 12.59 12.19 1.94 1.80 19,466,115

    27 JSMR IJ 5,075 6,450 4,550 (100) (1.93) 19.05 17.78 2.03 1.96 36,833,696

    28 KLBF IJ 1,585 1,690 1,260 (35) (2.16) 28.93 28.39 4.85 4.63 74,297,069

    29 LPPF IJ 4,150 7,325 2,940 (60) (1.43) 14.93 8.01 6.50 5.22 11,640,266

    30 MEDC IJ 915 1,060 620 50 5.78 - 7.33 0.96 0.18 16,397,135

    31 MNCN IJ 1,595 1,705 725 (35) (2.15) 8.95 10.63 1.79 1.90 22,770,385

    32 PGAS IJ 2,100 2,720 1,775 (70) (3.23) 17.00 15.15 1.41 1.33 50,907,167

    33 PTBA IJ 2,670 4,510 2,110 10 0.38 6.79 7.32 1.73 1.71 30,760,160

    34 PTPP IJ 1,625 2,550 1,340 40 2.52 8.61 7.49 0.78 0.71 10,074,833

    35 PWON IJ 540 815 535 (30) (5.26) 8.93 9.83 1.80 1.71 26,006,185

    36 SCMA IJ 1,400 2,030 1,080 (10) (0.71) 16.76 14.94 3.95 3.90 20,684,541

    37 SMGR IJ 12,000 14,450 10,075 0 0.00 31.14 35.08 2.28 2.23 71,178,240

    38 SRIL IJ 260 372 240 0 0.00 4.39 3.75 0.66 - 5,317,566

    39 TKIM IJ 11,300 13,950 5,575 1,025 9.98 16.88 - 1.85 - 35,179,426

    40 TLKM IJ 3,900 4,500 3,431 (70) (1.76) 19.07 18.07 3.88 3.60 386,342,645

    41 TPIA IJ 9,300 10,600 4,680 (1,075) (10.36) 306.03 111.80 6.75 6.71 165,851,738

    42 UNTR IJ 21,550 28,900 19,650 25 0.12 7.52 7.31 1.44 1.33 80,384,412

    43 UNVR IJ 8,325 10,105 8,070 (75) (0.89) 43.42 45.68 46.11 52.18 317,598,750

    44 WIKA IJ 2,080 2,500 1,635 90 4.52 8.38 9.26 1.18 1.16 18,657,499

    45 WSKT IJ 1,440 2,230 1,215 (45) (3.03) 14.10 6.93 1.08 0.92 19,546,489

    MARKET CAP

    (Mn)LQ45 Index

    CHANGE YTD PER (x) PBV (x)

    8-Jan-20

    52-WEEK

  • 5

    Macro data

    Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

    D escript io n 1-D ay (%) 5-D ays (%) 1-M o nth (%) YT D (%)

    Property (1.06) (2.90) (5.61) (2.90)

    Basic Industry (2.15) (3.27) (3.21) (3.27)

    Trade (1.02) (2.70) (2.58) (2.70)

    Finance (0.85) (1.16) 2.85 (1.16)

    M iscellaneous Industry (0.08) (2.42) 0.42 (2.42)

    Consumer (0.29) 2.10 1.66 2.10

    Infrastructure (0.98) (1.74) (0.77) (1.74)

    Agriculture (1.55) (5.92) (0.62) (5.92)

    M ining 0.19 1.62 6.62 1.62

    D ec-19 N o v-19

    2.72 3.61

    2.72 3.00

    0.34 0.14

    129.18 126.63

    F OR EX Spo t R ate 1-D ay (%) 1-M o nth (%) YT D (%)

    USD/IDR 13,865.00 - 1.05 0.01

    USD/CNY 6.95 (0.01) 1.34 0.25

    USD/EUR 0.90 (0.09) (0.45) 0.87

    USD/JPY 109.22 (0.09) (0.60) (0.56)

    USD/SGD 1.35 0.06 0.67 (0.33)

    USD/AUD 1.46 (0.07) (0.69) 2.13

    USD/GBP 0.76 (0.08) 0.30 1.15

    ( in %)

    5.83

    0.98

    1.46

    6.40

    7.08

    7.46

    Inflation M oM (in %)

    Foreign Reserves (in USD bn)

    Secto rs

    Eco no mic Indicato rs

    Inflation YTD (in %)

    Eco no mic P arameters

    Inflation YoY (in %)

    Indonesia 5-Year Government Bonds Yield

    Indonesia 10-Year Government Bonds Yield

    Indonesia 15-Year Government Bonds Yield

    Lending and D epo sit R ates

    JIBOR (in IDR)

    LIBOR (in GBP)

    SIBOR ( in USD)

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  • Technical Corner

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    JCI : MENGUAT

    Last price : 6.225

    Support : 6.210, 6.180

    Resistance : 6.274, 6.304

    JCI pada hari ini kami perkirakan akan bergerak MENGUAT dengan range 6.210 - 6.304. JCI breakdown

    Support 6.235 berpeluang melanjutkan pelemahan dengan menguji Support 6.210 dan 6.180. Namun, jika JCI

    bertahan diatas 6.250, maka berpeluang rebound dengan mencoba Resistance 6.274 dan 6.304. Indikator Stoc

    osc dan MACD mengindikasikan pola Downtrend.

    Jakarta Composite Index (JCI)

    Summary of portfolio:

    Stock Recommendation Comment

    ICBP BUY ON WEAKNESS ICBP berhasil breakout Resistance 11.475, berpeluang menguji Resistance11.700 dan 11.875. Namun, jika ICBP gagal bertahan diatas 11.475 akan

    kembali menguji Support 11.400 dan 11.300.

    UNTR HOLD UNTR belum berhasil breakout Resistance 21.650, dan cenderung bergeraksideway dengan range 21.150-21.600. Namun, jika UNTR break diatas 21.650,akan melanjutkan penguatan dengan mencoba Resistance 21.850 dan 22.150.

    MAPI REDUCE MAPI break Support 1.030 sebagai level Stop Loss, MAPI masih berpeluangmelanjutkan pelemahan dengan menguji Support 1.025 dan 1.010.

    ADHI REDUCE ADHI break Support 1.175 sebagai level Stop Loss, ADHI masih berpeluangmelanjutkan pelemahan dengan menguji Support di 1.155 dan 1.130.

  • Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP)

    United Tractors Tbk (UNTR)

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    ICBP : BUY ON WEAKNESS

    Last price : 11.550Target price : 12.050 (5.7%)Entry point : 11.400Stop loss : 11.100 (-2.6%)

    ICBP berhasil breakout Resistance 11.475, berpeluang menguji Resistance 11.700 dan 11.875. Namun, jika ICBPgagal bertahan diatas 11.475 akan kembali menguji Support 11.400 dan 11.300. ICBP dilihat dari Indikator Stoc oscdan MACD mengindikasikan pola Uptrend.

    UNTR : HOLD

    Last price : 21.550Target price : 22.375 (4.1%)Stop loss : 20.900 (-2.8%)

    UNTR belum berhasil breakout Resistance 21.650, dan cenderung bergerak sideway dengan range 21.150-21.600.Namun, jika UNTR break diatas 21.650, akan melanjutkan penguatan dengan mencoba Resistance 21.850 dan 22.150.Indikator MACD mengindikasikan pola Sideways dan Stoc osc mengindikasikan pola Golden cross.

    Support : 11.475, 11.400Resistance : 11.700, 11.875

    Support : 21.150, 20.925Resistance : 21.850, 22.150

    Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com

    Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2020

    20,000

    21,000

    22,000

    23,000

    24,000

    25,000

    26,000

    27,000

    28,000

    29,000

    20675

    21150

    20475

    20900

    21400

    218502215022375

    UNTR - Daily 1/8/2020 4:14:00 PM Open 21250, Hi 21600, Lo 21225, Close 21550 (1.4%) MA(Close,50) = 21,782.50

    21,550 21,782.5

    Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 20200

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100UNTR - Stochastic %D(15,3,3) = 49.94, Stochastic %K(15,3) = 50.25

    49.9386 50.2488

    -1,500

    -1,000

    -500

    0

    500UNTR - MACD(12,26) = -44.87, Signal(12,26,9) = -58.23

    -44.8693-58.2315

  • MAPI : REDUCE

    Last price : 1.035Stop loss : 1.030 (-2.8%)

    MAPI break Support 1.030 sebagai level Stop Loss, MAPI masih berpeluang melanjutkan pelemahan dengan mengujiSupport 1.025 dan 1.010. Namun, jika MAPI bertahan diatas Resistance 1.065 berpeluang mencoba Resistance 1.075dan 1.090. MAPI dilihat dari Indikator MACD dan Stoc osc mengindikasikan pola Bearish.

    ADHI : REDUCE

    Last price : 1.160Stop loss : 1.175 (-2.9%)

    ADHI break Support 1.175 sebagai level Stop Loss, ADHI masih berpeluang melanjutkan pelemahan dengan mengujiSupport di 1.155 dan 1.130. Namun, jika ADHI bertahan diatas Resistance 1.185 berpeluang mencoba Resistance1.195 dan 1.210. ADHI dilihat dari Indikator Stoc osc mengindikasikan pola Oversold dan MACD membentuk polaBearish.

    Support : 1.025, 1.010Resistance : 1.065, 1.090

    Support : 1.155, 1.130Resistance : 1.185, 1.210

    Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk (ADHI)

    Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk (MAPI)

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