UNCLASSIFIED
RCS: DD-A&T(O&A)823-590
Global Positioning System Ill Follow-On Production (GPS IIIF) As of FY 2021 President's Budget
Defense Acquisition Management Information Retrieval
(DAMIR)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Table of Contents
Common Acronyms and Abbreviations for MDAP Programs 3
Program Information 5
Responsible Office 5
References 6
Mission and Description 7
Executive Summary 8
Threshold Breaches 10
Schedule 11
Performance 12
Track to Budget 14
Cost and Funding 14
Charts 25
Risks 27
Low Rate Initial Production 29
Foreign Military Sales 30
Nuclear Costs 31
Unit Cost 32
Cost Variance 35
Contracts 39
Deliveries and Expenditures 40
Operating and Support Cost 41
UNCLASSIFIED 2
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Common Acronyms and Abbreviations for MDAP Programs
Acq O&M - Acquisition-Related Operations and Maintenance ACAT - Acquisition Category ADM - Acquisition Decision Memorandum APB - Acquisition Program Baseline APPN - Appropriation APUC - Average Procurement Unit Cost $B - Billions of Dollars BA - Budget Authority/Budget Activity Blk - Block BY - Base Year CAPE - Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation CARD - Cost Analysis Requirements Description CDD - Capability Development Document CLIN - Contract Line Item Number CPD - Capability Production Document CY - Calendar Year DAB - Defense Acquisition Board DAE - Defense Acquisition Executive DAMIR - Defense Acquisition Management Information Retrieval DoD - Department of Defense DSN - Defense Switched Network EMD - Engineering and Manufacturing Development EVM - Earned Value Management FOC - Full Operational Capability FMS - Foreign Military Sales FRP - Full Rate Production FY - Fiscal Year FYDP - Future Years Defense Program ICE - Independent Cost Estimate IOC - Initial Operational Capability Inc - Increment JROC - Joint Requirements Oversight Council $K - Thousands of Dollars KPP - Key Performance Parameter LRIP - Low Rate Initial Production $M - Millions of Dollars MDA - Milestone Decision Authority MDAP - Major Defense Acquisition Program MILCON - Military Construction N/A - Not Applicable O&M - Operations and Maintenance ORD - Operational Requirements Document OSD - Office of the Secretary of Defense O&S - Operating and Support PAUC - Program Acquisition Unit Cost
UNCLASSIFIED 3
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
PB - President's Budget PE - Program Element PEO - Program Executive Officer PM - Program Manager POE - Program Office Estimate RDT&E - Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation SAR - Selected Acquisition Report SCP - Service Cost Position TBD - To Be Determined TY - Then Year UCR - Unit Cost Reporting U.S. - United States USD(AT&L) - Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology and Logistics) USD(A&S) - Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition and Sustainment)
UNCLASSIFIED 4
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Program Information
Program Name
Global Positioning System III Follow-On Production (GPS IIIF)
DoD Component
Air Force
This is a United States Space Force program.
Responsible Office
Col Edward Byrne 483 N. Aviation El Segundo, CA 90245
Phone: 310-653-3211
Fax: 310-653-3005
DSN Phone: 633-3211
DSN Fax: 633-3005
Date Assigned: May 1,2019
UNCLASSIFIED 5
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
References
SAR Baseline (Development Estimate)
Component Acquisition Executive (CAE) Approved Acquisition Program Baseline (APB) dated September 12, 2018
Approved APB
Component Acquisition Executive (CAE) Approved Acquisition Program Baseline (APB) dated September 12, 2018
UNCLASSIFIED 6
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Mission and Description
The Global Positioning System (GPS) is a satellite-based radio navigation system developed and delivered by Air Force Space Command's Space and Missile Systems Center/Global Positioning Systems Directorate. GPS provides satellite signals to military and civil users worldwide to determine accurate Position, Navigation and Timing (PNT). GPS provides strategic and tactical support to the following DoD missions: Joint Operations by providing capabilities for PNT; Command, Control, Communications, and Intelligence; Special Operations; Military Operations in Urban Terrain; Defense-Wide Mission Support; Air Mobility; and Space Launch Orbital Support. GPS III Follow-On (GPS IIIF) complies with section 2281 of title 10, United States Code (USC), ensuring the continued sustainment and operation of GPS for military and civilian purposes, and section 50112 of title 51, USC, continuing as an international standard available on a continuous worldwide basis free of direct user fees.
GPS IIIF is an Acquisition Category IB program that, in concert with the GPS III program, comprises the next generation of space vehicles (SVs) providing significant enhancements to modernize the constellation originally delivered under the Naystar GPS program. GPS IIIF will deliver the next block of GPS III satellites beyond the first 10 GPS III SVs.
GPS IIIF will provide new capabilities to meet increased demands of both military and civilian users. Building on the technical baseline of GPS III satellites, the program will provide increased anti-jam capabilities for the military with Regional Military Protection capability. It also will add other new capabilities by hosting a Search-and-Rescue GPS payload designed to assist with the global search-and-rescue mission area and enable precision ranging measurements by hosting a Laser Retro-reflector Array. It will address the consolidation of telemetry, tracking, and commanding frequencies by enabling compliance with the Unified S-Band capabilities. Finally, the program will host a redesigned Nuclear Detonation Detection System (NDS) solution with a lower overall size and weight requirement.
The GPS IIIF program provides a Standard Positioning Service to a broad spectrum of civil users, including the four civil signals (L1 C/A, L1 C, L2C, and L5) flown on GPS III satellites. The Ll C signal is compatible with the European Galileo satellite navigation system signal, El. Ll C is also compatible with those signals planned for broadcast on Japan's Quasi-Zenith Satellite System (QZSS), a system meant to augment GPS services. This common civil signal will be jointly broadcast by up to 60 satellites from the GPS, Galileo, and QZSS constellations, further increasing the accuracy and availability of user PNT solutions. The program also benefits the civil community by hosting laser retroreflectors, used to refine the International Terrestrial Reference Frame, and particle sensors, used for space-based environmental monitoring.
Consistent with the program's support for military users, the GPS IIIF program provides Precise Positioning Service (PPS) for military operations and force enhancement. It also provides increased anti-jam power to the earth coverage Military-Code signals and anti-exploitation techniques in order to prevent unauthorized use of the GPS PPS signal. In addition, the program will support the United States NDS mission for worldwide monitoring and detection of nuclear events, as well as the international Cospas-Sarsat Search and Rescue mission for detection and location of emergency beacons, both via hosted payloads.
The GPS IIIF SVs build upon the GPS III program's approach to respond rapidly to warfighter capability requirements. The GPS IIIF program will also focus on space vehicle affordability, capability and future requirements, and resiliency. The Air Force is using its research laboratories to mature mission related capabilities and technologies (e.g. advanced clocks, amplifiers, crosslinks) to inform future PNT architectures.
On December 20, 2019, the President of the United States established the United States Space Force which assumed the responsibility for all major space acquisition programs. This program is now a United States Space Force program.
UNCLASSIFIED 7
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Executive Summary
Program Highlights Since Last Report
The MDA approved Milestone B certification on September 12, 2018. The certification included waivers granted for the requirements in section 2366(a)(3)(L), as it pertains to the development of an Independent Technical Risk Assessment (ITRA) and in 2366(a)(1) for the requirement of a Preliminary Design Review. The Milestone B ADM requires the program to conduct a Critical Design Review (CDR) and ITRA prior to returning for a Milestone C production decision.
The program successfully completed the initial Integrated Baseline Review and kicked off the CDR campaign in March 2019. Since CDR kickoff, the team has successfully conducted 50 out of 50 Qualification Review Boards and 65 out of 66 unit-level CDRs, including the Navigation Payload Element CDR on November 21, 2019. CY 2020 efforts will focus on closing out the Space Vehicle (SV) CDR campaign, supporting execution of the ITRA by the Air Force, conducting a Milestone C review, and exercising the first production option for SV13. The program will exercise production options beyond FY 2020 using an annual buy approach of one to four SVs per year, with the objective of procuring at least two SVs each year to realize significant cost savings through economies of scale.
There are no significant software-related issues with this program at this time.
UNCLASSIFIED 8
History of Significant Developments Since Program Initiation
March 2018
August 2018
GPS IIIF CDD approved.
GPS IIIF SCP approved. The GPS IIIF program obtained Milestone B certification and APB approvalon September 12, 2018.
September 2018
GPS IIIF awarded a competitively-procured contract on September 26, 2018 to Lockheed Martin Space. The Fixed Price Incentive/Award Fee contract includes non-recurring engineering, satellite simulators, and Space Vehicles 11-12.
September 2018
The program completed the initial Integrated Baseline Review for the scope awarded in September 2018. GPS IIIF initiated the Critical Design Review (CDR) campaign for the baseline technical design.
March 2019
November 2019 j Successfully held the Navigation Payload Element CDR.
March 2019
History of Significant Developments Since Program Initiation
Date Significant Development Description
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
UNCLASSIFIED 9
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Threshold Breaches
APB Breaches
Schedule Performance Cost
r-
E.
RDT&E r-
Procurement E
MILCON r-
Acq O&M E
O&S Cost Unit Cost Cost PAUC
APUC r-
Nunn-McCurdy Nunn-McCurdy Breaches
Current UCR Baseline PAUC None APUC None
Original UCR Baseline PAUC None APUC None
UNCLASSIFIED 10
Schedule Events
Events Ell r-S- AR Baseline
Development Estimate
Current APB Development
Objective/Threshold
I Current Estimate
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Schedule
SAR Baseline Current Objective II APB Objective and Threshold
'1.8 '1.9 '20 '21 '22
GPS IIIF
GPS IIIF tOilestone B B.mMI
GPS IIIF Critical Design Revi...
GPS IIIF Milestone C 111.="11
GPS IIIF SV11 AFL
GPS IIIF SV12 AFL
• Current Estimate • Current Estimate (Breach)
'23 '24 '25 '26 '27 '23 '29
GPS IIIF Milestone B Jul 2018 Jul 2018 Jan 2019 Sep 2018
GPS IIIF Critical Design Review Sep 2020 Sep 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2020
GPS IIIF Milestone C Dec 2020 Dec 2020 Jun 2021 Jun 2020
GPS IIIF SV11 AFL 1Jan 2028 Jan 2028 Jul 2028 Feb 2026
GPS IIIF SV12 AFL Oct 2028 Oct 2028 Apr 2029 Aug 2026
None
Acronyms and Abbreviations
AFL - Available for Launch GPS - Global Positioning System SV - Space Vehicle
UNCLASSIFIED 11
Performance Characteristics
SAR Baseline Development
Estimate
urfeht Development
Objective/Threshold
Demonstrated Performance
Current Estimate
Backward Compatibility
Position and Time Transfer Integrity
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Performance
All modifications made to the existing GPS Space Segment and Control Segment shall allow continued operation of existing ICD-GPS-200 and 700, ICD-GPS-800, IS-GPS -705, and SS-GPS-001 compliant UE and continued operation of legacy receivers (to include Federal augmentation system receivers).
All modifications made to the existing GPS Space Segment and Control Segment shall allow continued operation of existing ICD-GPS-200 and 700, ICD-GPS-800. IS -GPS-705, and SS-GPS-001 compliant UE and continued operation of legacy receivers (to include Federal augmentation system receivers).
(T=0) All modifications made to the existing GPS Space Segment and Control Segment shall allow continued operation of existing ICD-GPS-200 and 700, ICD-GPS-800, IS -GPS-705, and SS-GPS-001 compliant UE and continued operation of legacy receivers (to include Federal augmentation system receivers).
All modifications made to the existing GPS Space Segment and Control Segment shall allow continued operation of existing ICD-GPS-200 and 700, ICD-GPS-800, IS -GPS-705, and SS-GPS-001 compliant UE and continued operation of legacy receivers (to include Federal augmentation system receivers).
TBD
User Range Error (meters)
.2 2 1.1 TBD .2
.0001 .0001 (1=0) .0001 TBD .0001
Satellite Availability
'0.984 0.984 (T=0) 0.984 TBD 0.984
Sustainment (Operational) Availability 5.1.4.1
Achievement of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP
Achievement of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP
(T=0) Achievement of TBD the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP
Achievement of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP
Sustainment (Materiel) Availability 5.1.4.2
Achievement of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP
Achievement of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP
(T=0) Achievement of TBD the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP
Achievement of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP
Regional Military Protection
UNCLASSIFIED 12
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Each GPS III Follow- Each GPS III Follow-
On satellite shall On satellite shall provide a -140 dBW provide a -140 dBW (measured at a 5- (measured at a 5-degree minimum user degree minimum user elevation mask angle) elevation mask angle) regional high-power M- regional high-power M Code signal on both L1 -Code signal on both and L2 I L1 and L2
(T=0) Each GPS III TBD Follow-On satellite shall provide a -140 dBW (measured at a 5-degree minimum user elevation mask angle) regional high-power M-Code signal on both L1 and L2
Each GPS III Follow-On satellite shall provide a -140 dBW (measured at a 5-degree minimum user elevation mask angle) regional high-power M -Code signal on both L-1 and L2
System Survivability (5.1.2) mimi= vimmi The System Survivability KPP is satisfied by meeting the thresholds of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP (SS and CS; Position and Time Transfer Integrity KPP (SS and CS)); System Survivability System Survivability KPP and associated CSA (SS and CS)
I The System Survivability KPP is satisfied by meeting the thresholds of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP (SS and CS; Position and Time Transfer Integrity KPP (SS and CS)); System Survivability System Survivability KPP and associated CSA (SS and CS)
(T=0) The System TBD Survivability KPP is satisfied by meeting the thresholds of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP (SS and CS; Position and Time Transfer Integrity KPP (SS and CS)); System Survivability System Survivability KPP and associated CSA (SS and CS)
The System Survivability KPP is satisfied by meeting the thresholds of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP (SS and CS; Position and Time Transfer Integrity KPP (SS and CS)); System Survivability System Survivability KPP and associated CSA (SS and CS)
CDD dated March 20, 2018
None
CS - Control Segment CSA - Cyber Survivability Attributes dBW - decibel watt GPS - Global Positioning System ICD - Interface Control Documents IS - Interface Specification M-Code - Military Code O - Objective SS - Space Segment T - Threshold UE - User Equipment
UNCLASSIFIED 13
(Shared) (Sunk) GPS Ill Space Segment
Global Positioning System Ill - Follow-on (Sunk)
Global Positioning System III - Follow-on (Sunk)
Air Force 3600 07
67A019
Air Force 3600 05
653170
Air Force 3620 05
653170
Procurement
Air Force 3021 01
GPSO3C
Air Force 3022 01
23GPSF
1203265F
1203269F
1203269SF
111221W- 1 Global Positioning System Ill - Follow-on
1203269F
1203269SF
Global Positioning System III - Follow-on
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Track to Budget
General Notes
In December 2019, the Office of Management and Budget directed the DoD to establish new Space Force RDT&E and procurement appropriations. Beginning in FY 2021, space-related RDT&E funding, formerly under 3600F (RDT&E, Air Force) is contained in 3620SF (RDT&E, Space Force) and space procurement funding formerly under 3021F (Space Procurement, Air Force) is contained in 3022SF (Procurement, Space Force).
RDT&E
UNCLASSIFIED 14
Total Quantity
[ Quantity SAR Baseline Development
Estimate
Current APB Development
Current Estimate
2 2 2
20 20 20
22 22 22
RDT&E
Procurement
Total
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Cost and Funding
Cost Summary
Total Acquisition Cost
Appropriation
BY
SAR Baseline Development
Estimate
2018 $M
Current APB 1 Current
Development Estimate
Objective/Threshold
SAR Baseline Development
Estimate
TY $M
Current APB Current
Development Estimate
Objective
RDT&E 3160.8 3160.8 3476.9 3082.7 3549.2 3549.2 3479.4
Procurement 6113.0 6113.0 6724.3 6048.6 7222.3 7222.3 7219.7
Flyaway
5021.1
5945.3
Recurring
5021.1
5945.3 Non Recurring
0.0
0.0
Support
1027.5
1274.4
Other Support
1027.5
1274.4
Initial Spares
0.0
0.0
MILCON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Acq O&M 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 9273.8 9273.8 N/A 9131.3 10771.5 10771.5 10699.1
Current APB Cost Estimate Reference
SCP dated August 21, 2018
Cost Notes
No cost estimate for the program has been completed in the previous year.
UNCLASSIFIED 15
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Cost and Funding
Funding Summary
Appropriation Summary
FY 2021 President's Budget / December 2019 SAR (TY$ M)
Appropriation Prior FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 To
Complete Total I
RDT&E 614.4 447.9 263.5 267.5 294.7 286.3 177.1 1128.0 3479.4
Procurement 0.0 394.6 627.8 634.8 640.7 920.7 750.8 3250.3 7219.7
MILCON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Acq O&M 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
PB 2021 Total 614.4 842.5 891.3 902.3 935.4 1207.0 927.9 4378.3 10699.1
PB 2020 Total 629.1 877.5 907.9 1148.4 1190.9 1206.4 886.5 3924.8 10771.5
Delta -14.7 -35.0 -16.6 -246.1 -255.5 0.6 41.4 453.5 -72.4
Quantity Summary
-11M11 FY 2021 President's Budget! December 2019 SAR (TY$ M)
Quantity Undistributed Prior FY
2020 FY
2021 FY
2022 FY
2023 FY
2024 FY
2025 To
Complete Total
Development 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Production 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 2 8 20
PB 2021 Total 2 0 1 2 2 2 3 2 8 22
PB 2020 Total 2 0 1 2 3 3 3 2 6 22
Delta 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 0 0 2 0
UNCLASSIFIED 16
Annual Funding 3600 I RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Air Force ii
TV $1V1
Fiscal Year
Quantity End Item Recurring
Flyaway
Non End 1 Item
Recurring Flyaway
Non Recurring
Flyaway
Total rrt P
Total Total Flyaway Supporogram
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Cost and Funding
Annual Funding By Appropriation
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Subtotal 2
2.0 13.1 21.9 21.8 15.0 27.3 13.0 21.3
8.6 23.7 34.5
412.2 447.9
1062.3
UNCLASSIFIED 17
Annual Funding 3600 I RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Air Force
BY 2018 $N1
End Item 1 Recurring
Flyaway
Non End Item
Recurring Flyaway
Non Recurring
Flyaway
Total Support
Total Program
Total Flyaway
Fiscal Year
Quantity
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Subtotal 2
2.3 14.9 24.6 24.1 16.3 29.1 13.7 22.2
8.8 23.8 34.0
398.6 424.5
1036.9
UNCLASSIFIED 18
Annual Funding 3620 RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Space Force, Air Force
End Item Recurring
Flyaway
Non End Item
Recurring Flyaway
TY SIN
Non Recurring
Flyaway
Fiscal Year
Quantity Total Flyaway
Total Total Support Program
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
2021 263.5 2022 267.5 2023 294.7 2024 286.3 2025 177.1 2026 191.4 2027 173.7 2028 205.9 2029 89.2 2030 90.9 2031 92.8 2032 94.6 2033 96.6 2034 92.9
Subtotal 2417.1
UNCLASSIFIED 19
Annual Funding 3620 RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Space Force, Air Force
End Item Recurring
Flyaway
Non End Item
Recurring Flyaway
Fiscal Year
Quantity
BY 2018 $N1
Total Flyaway
Total Total Support Program
Non Recurring
Flyaway
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
2021 244.9 2022 243.7 2023 263.2 2024 250.7 2025 152.0 2026 161.1 2027 143.3 2028 166.6 2029 70.7 2030 70.7 2031 70.7 2032 70.7 2033 70.8 2034 66.7
Subtotal 2045.8
UNCLASSIFIED 20
Annual Funding 3021 I Procurement I Space Procurement, Air Force =
111 - TY VVII
Quantity Fiscal Year Recurring
Flyaway
Non Recurring
Flyaway I-
IF Non End End Item Item Recurring
Flyaway
Total 1 Total Total Flyaway Support Program
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
2020 1 333.3 25.0 358.3 36.3 394.6
Subtotal 1 333.3 25.0 358.3 36.3 394.6
UNCLASSIFIED 21
Quantity Fiscal Year Recurring
Flyaway
Non Recurring
Flyaway
Non End End Item
Item Recurring
Flyaway
1 Total Total Total Flyaway Support Program
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Annual Funding 3021 I Procurement I Space Procurement, Air Force
BY 2018 $M
2020 1 308.0 23.1 331.1 33.6 364.7
Subtotal 1 308.0 23.1 331.1 33.6 364.7
UNCLASSIFIED 22
Annual Funding 3022 I Procurement I Procurement, Space Force, Air Force
TY $1V1
Fiscal Year
Quantity End Item Recurring
Flyaway
Non End Item
Recurring Flyaway
Non Recurring
Flyaway
I Total Total Total Flyaway Support Program
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
2021 2 517.1 47.2 564.3 63.5 627.8
2022 2 486.7 67.7 554.4 80.4 634.8
2023 2 485.5 67.7 553.2 87.5 640.7
2024 3 757.3 74.0 831.3 89.4 920.7
2025 2 605.2 57.5 662.7 88.1 750.8
2026 2 543.8 66.7 610.5 121.1 731.6
2027 3 800.9 69.2 870.1 125.0 995.1
2028 3 806.3 72.4 878.7 144.2 1022.9
2029
14.5 14.5 110.0 124.5
2030
13.4 13.4 70.3 83.7 2031
13.7 13.7 67.6 81.3
2032
14.0 14.0 65.3 79.3
2033
3.1 3.1 62.7 65.8
2034
3.1 3.1 63.0 66.1
Subtotal 19 5002.8 584.2 5587.0 1238.1 6825.1
UNCLASSIFIED 23
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Annual Funding 3022 I Procurement I Procurement, Space Force, Air Force
BY 2018 $M 1=11P
Non End 1 Item
Recurring Flyaway
Fiscal Year
End Item Recurring
Flyaway
Quantity
I Total Total Total Flyaway Support Program
Non Recurring
Flyaway
2021 2 468.5 42.8 511.3 57.5 568.8 2022 2 432.3 60.1 492.4 71.4 563.8 2023 2 422.8 59.0 481.8 76.1 557.9 2024 3 646.5 63.2 709.7 76.3 786.0 2025 2 506.6 48.1 554.7 73.7 628.4 2026 2 446.2 54.7 500.9 99.4 600.3 2027 3 644.3 55.7 700.0 100.6 800.6 2028 3 635.9 57.1 693.0 113.8 806.8 2029
11.2 11.2 85.1 96.3 2030
10.2 10.2 53.3 63.5 2031
10.2 10.2 50.2 60.4 2032
10.2 10.2 47.6 57.8 2033
2.2 2.2 44.8 47.0 2034
2.2 2.2 44.1 46.3 Subtotal 19 4203.1 486.9 4690.0 993.9 5683.9
UNCLASSIFIED 24
-e- Aoq Cost (TYS) Acq Cost (SYS) - Percent Delivered Percent Expended
12000
13—
S
0
V!
3319 MR Submission Date
Development QTY Production QTY --•-• Total QTY
2019 SAR Submission Date
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Charts
GPS IIIF first began SAR reporting in September 2018
Program Acquisition Cost - GPS IIIF Base Year 2018 $M
Quantity - GPS IIIF
UNCLASSIFIED 25
ECC
-
"D.C.0 -
20C-
100 -
2019 SAR Submission Date
PAUC BYS —•— PAUC UCRB % Chg —•— PAUC Original % Chg APUC Original % Chg APUC BYS APUC UCRB % Chg
ry.)
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Unit Cost - GPS IIIF Base Year 2018 $M
UNCLASSIFIED 26
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Risks
Significant Schedule and Technical Risks
Significant Schedule and Technical Risks
1. Constellation Performance: Congress, DoD, and/or Air Force currently does not fund GPS Directorate to acquire 2-3 Space Vehicles (SVs) per year due to funding constraints, thus putting at risk constellation sustainment and performance.
2. Design Not Mature: GPS Ill Follow-On Production designs may not be sufficiently mature due to requirements changes driving expanded non-recurring engineering effort to establish the production line.
Space Modular Common Crypto: May not meet GPS IIIF operating environment requirements.
_Current Estimate (December 2019
1. Critical Design Review (CDR) Schedule: Updates to the GPS IIIF design may make it difficult to hold the 1-year CDR schedule.
2. Launch & Checkout Capability (LCC) Giver-Receiver: Potential disconnects in delivery dates for Government Furnished items may delay LCC readiness for integrated system testing and the Mission Readiness Campaign.
3. Performance Test Risk: New payloads and capabilities may result in unforeseen anomalies during testing.
4. National Security Agency (NSA) Certification: New NSA certification requirements may expand the Information Security boundary, which could drive schedule delays for Information Assurance milestones.
UNCLASSIFIED 27
3.
Risks and Sensitivity Analysis
Current Baseline Estimate (September 2018)
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Risks
Risk and Sensitivity Analysis
1. Total Acquisition Cost - $9,273.8 (Qty 22) PAUC - $421.536 (Qty 22); APUC - $305.65 (Qty 20). SCP was conducted at contract ceiling price; Non-Recurring Engineering (NRE) SV11-12 and simulators are Fixed Price Incentive Fee/Award Fee (FPIF/AF), SV13-32 are FPIF. This approach is intended to control cost in a manner consistent with the relative maturity of the requirements and technical baseline, production
; designs, and their associated execution risk.
Original Baseline Estimate (September 2018)
1. Milestone B APB (BY 2018 $M): Total Acquisition Cost - $9,273.8 (Qty 22) PAUC - $421.536 (Qty 22); APUC - $305.65 (Qty 20). SCP conducted at contract ceiling price; NRE SV11-12 and simulators are FPIF/AF, SV13-32 are FPIF. This approach is intended to control cost in a manner consistent with the relative maturity of the requirements and technical baseline, production designs, and their associated execution risk.
Revised Original Estimate (N/A)
None
Current Procurement Cost (December 2019)
1 Total Acquisition Cost - $9,127.1 (Qty 22) PAUC - $414.868 (Qty 22); APUC - $302.370 (Qty 20). Current estimates and funding profile are based upon a SCP, originally approved on July 13, 2018 (an SCP Addendum was signed August 21, 2018). SCP conducted at contract ceiling price; NRE SV11-12 and simulators are FPIF/AF, SV13-32 are FPIF. The program is expecting an updated SCP in May 2020 to support Milestone C.
UNCLASSIFIED 28
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Low Rate Initial Production
There is no LRIP for this program.
UNCLASSIFIED 29
Original UCR Baseline and Current Estimate (Base-Year Dollars)
% Change
BY 2018 VA BY 2018 $N1
Original UCR Baseline
(Sep 2018 APB)
Current Estimate (Dec 2019 SAR)
Item
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Unit Cost
Current UCR Baseline and Current Estimate (Base-Year Dollars)
Current UCR Baseline
Current Estimate (
(Sep 2018 APB) Dec 2019 SAR)
% Change
Program Acquisition Unit Cost
Cost
Quantity
Unit Cost
Average Procurement Unit Cost
9273.8 22
421.536
9131.3 22
415.059 -1.54
Cost
Quantity
Unit Cost
6113.0
20
305.650
6048.6
20
302.430 -1.05
Program Acquisition Unit Cost
Cost
Quantity
Unit Cost Average Procurement Unit Cost
9273.8 22
421.536
9131.3 22
415.059 -1.54
Cost
Quantity
Unit Cost
6113.0
20
305.650
6048.6
20
302.430 -1.05
UNCLASSIFIED 32
AM PAU A APU',:
c _ t.47..• ,e ' ., e. .)
P.
N.3r
N§C '•(</c •,‘" c•
ec
•4` .41, 42 crs
BY 2018 2018 $M
Fyipc APUC
TY PA
PAUC APUC
489.614 1.532 -2.623 0.000 0.000 -1.977 0.000 -0.223 -3.291 486.323
Current SAR Baseline to Current Estimate (TY $M)
Current SAR Baseline to Current Estimate (TY $M)
Initial APUC Development
Estimate
APUC Current Estimate Econ Qty
Changes
Eng Es
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
APB Unit Cost History
Original APB Sep 2018 421.536 305.650 489.614 361.115 APB as of January 2006 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Revised Original APB N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Prior APB N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Current APB Sep 2018 421.536 305.650 489.614 361.115 Prior Annual SAR Dec 2018 419.700 304.450 489.614 361.115 Current Estimate Dec 2019 415.059 302.430 486.323 360.985
SAR Unit Cost History
361.115 1.210 -2.885 0.000 0.000 1.790 0.000 -0.245 -0.130 360.985
UNCLASSIFIED 33
SAR Baseline History
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Milestone A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Milestone B N/A Jul 2018 N/A Sep 2018
Milestone C N/A Dec 2020 N/A Jun 2020
IOC N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Cost (TY $M) N/A 10771.5 N/A 10699.1
Total Quantity N/A 22 N/A 22
PAUC N/A 489.614 N/A 486.323
UNCLASSIFIED 34
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Cost Variance
1 Summary TY $M Item RDT&E Procurement MILCON Total
SAR Baseline (Development 3549.2 7222.3 10771.5 Estimate)
Previous Changes
Economic +11.4 +28.4 +39.8 Quantity
Schedule
Engineering
Estimating -11.4 -23.2 -34.6 Other
Support
-5.2 -5.2 Subtotal
Current Changes
Economic -1.9 -4.2 -6.1 Quantity
-57.7 -57.7 Schedule
Engineering
Estimating -67.9 +59.0 -8.9 Other
Support
+0.3 +0.3 Subtotal -69.8 -2.6 -72.4
Total Changes -69.8 -2.6 -72.4 Current Estimate 3479.4 7219.7 10699.1
UNCLASSIFIED 35
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF
December 2019 SAR
Summary BY 2018 $M
Item RDT&E Procurement MILCON Total SAR Baseline (Development 3160.8 6113.0 9273.8 Estimate)
Previous Changes
Economic
Quantity
Schedule
Engineering
Estimating -16.4 -19.6 -36.0 Other
Support
-4.4 -4.4
Subtotal -16.4 -24.0 -40.4
Current Changes
Economic
Quantity
-88.2 -88.2 Schedule
Engineering
Estimating -61.7 +47.1 -14.6 Other
Support
+0.7 +0.7
Subtotal -61.7 -40.4 -102.1
Total Changes -78.1 -64.4 -142.5
Current Estimate 3082.7 6048.6 9131.3
Previous Estimate: December 2018
UNCLASSIFIED 36
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
RDT&E
Current Change Explanations
$M
Base Year
Then Year
Revised escalation indices. (Economic) N/A -1.9 Revised estimate due to Congressional reduction in FY 2020 which increases
schedule risk. (Estimating) -14.3 -15.0
Revised estimate due to Small Business Innovative Research in FY 2019. (Estimating) -14.3 -14.7 Adjustment for current and prior escalation. (Estimating) +0.7 +0.7 Funds transferred within program from Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, -2044.3 -2415.7
Air Force appropriation to newly added Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation,
Space Force appropriation. (Estimating)
Funds transferred within program from Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, +2044.5 +2415.7 Air Force appropriation to newly added Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation,
Space Force appropriation. (Estimating)
Revised estimate due to Air Force-wide funding adjustments. (Estimating) -2.8 -2.6 Revised estimate due to due to higher priority defense planning guidance. (Estimating) -31.2 -36.3
RDT&E Subtotal -61.7 -69.8
Procurement
Current Change Explanations
$M
Base Year
Then Year
Revised escalation indices. (Economic) N/A -4.2 Total Quantity variance resulting from a decrease of 19 satellites from 20 to 1 (Space -4341.2 -5105.9
Procurement, Air Force (SPAF)). (Subtotal)
Quantity variance resulting from a decrease of 19 satellites from 20 to 1 (SPAF). (-4358.2) (-5125.8) (Quantity)
Allocation to Estimating resulting from Quantity change. (Estimating) (OR) (+17.0) (+19.9) Total Quantity variance resulting from an increase of 19 satellites from 0 to 19 +4341.2 +5159.0
(Procurement, Space Force, Air Force (PSFAF). (Subtotal)
Quantity variance resulting from an increase of 19 satellites from 0 to 19 (+4358.1) (+5179.0) (PSFAF). (Quantity)
Allocation to Estimating resulting from Quantity change. (Estimating) (OR) (-16.9) (-20.0) Additional quantity variance as a result of actual unit values verse average unit cost
values not accounted for in estimate model (SPAF). (Quantity) -88.1 -110.9
Revised estimate due to Air Force-wide funding adjustments (SPAF). (Estimating) -0.4 -0.4 Revised estimate in FY 2021 to buy down cost of reprogammability (SPAF). +65.1 +77.8
(Estimating)
Revised estimate due to Congressional reduction in FY 2020 which increases schedule risk (SPAF). (Estimating)
-18.4 -20.0
Adjustment for current and prior escalation. (Estimating) +0.1 +0.2 Funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force Procurement
appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement appropriation -4692.9 -5589.7
(SPAF). (Estimating)
Funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force Procurement appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement appropriation
+4692.5 +5589.7
(PSPAF). (Estimating)
Revised estimate due to Air Force wide inflation adjustment. (Estimating) -2.2 -2.6
UNCLASSIFIED 37
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Revised estimate to reflect application of new outyear indices (SPAF). (Estimating) +3.2 +4.1 Adjustment for current and prior escalation. (Support) +0.1 0.0 Support funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force -993.3 -1237.8
Procurement appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement appropriation (SPAF). (Support)
Support funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force +993.9 +1238.1 Procurement appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement appropriation (PSFAF). (Support)
Procurement Subtotal -40.4 -2.6
(OR) Quantity Related
UNCLASSIFIED 38
Contract Price
Initial Contract Price ($M) Current Contract Price ($M)
I Target Ceiling Qty Target Ceiling Qty Contractor
Estimated Price At Completion ($M)
Program Manager di
Schedule Variance Cost Variance
Contract Variance
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Contracts
Contract Identification
Appropriation:
Contract Name:
Contractor:
Contractor Location:
Contract Number:
Contract Type:
Award Date:
Definitization Date:
RDT&E
Global Positioning System III Follow-On (GPS IIIF)
Lockheed Martin Corporation
12257 S Wadsworth Blvd Littleton, CO 80125 FA8807-18-C-0009/1
Fixed Price Incentive(Firm Target) (FPIF)
September 26, 2018
September 26, 2018
1362.1 1499.7 2 1370.9 1647.1 2 1470.9 1470.9
Target Price Change Explanation
The difference between the Initial Contract Price Target and the Current Contract Price Target is due to the addition of a National Security Agency Information Assurance Security Requirements Directive.
Cumulative Variances To Date (12/22/2019) -1.2 -20.5 Previous Cumulative Variances 0.0 0.0 Net Change -1.2 -20.5
Cost and Schedule Variance Explanations
The unfavorable cumulative cost variance is due to a disconnect in claiming performance on an in negotiation Performance Based Payment (PBP).
The unfavorable cumulative schedule variance is due to continuing disconnects in claiming performance on subcontract PBPs. Almost all major subcontracts are now properly set in the baseline, but miscommunication between the Lockheed Martin Subcontracts and Business Operations teams has introduced false variances. Corrective action is in place and the Earned Value corrections are forecasted for the month end January 2020 data.
UNCLASSIFIED 39
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Deliveries and Expenditures
Deliveries
Planned to to — Actual to Date Total Quantity
Date
Percent Delivered
Delivered to Date
Development
2 0.00% Production
20 0.00%
Total Program Quantity Delivered
22 0.00%
Expended and Appropriated (TV $M)
Total Acquisition Cost 10699.1 Years Appropriated
13 Expended to Date 350.1 Percent Years Appropriated
48.15% Percent Expended 3.27% Appropriated to Date
1456.9 Total Funding Years 27 Percent Appropriated
13.62%
The above data is current as of February 10, 2020.
UNCLASSIFIED 40
Total O&S Cost $M
GPS IIIF
Current Development APB Objective/Threshold
Antecedent Item
I Current Estimate am (Antecedent)
UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Operating and Support Cost
Cost Estimate Details
Date of Estimate:
Source of Estimate:
Quantity to Sustain:
Unit of Measure:
Service Life per Unit:
Fiscal Years in Service:
The O&S costs for the GPS IIIF system will be captured in the sustainment of the Next Generation Operational Control System in a future update.
Sustainment Strategy
None Antecedent Information
For reporting purposes, the antecedent system for this program is GPS III.
I Antecedent Item (Antecedent) YYYY
Unit-Level Manpower Unit Operations Maintenance Sustaining Support Continuing System Improvements Indirect Support Other Total
Base Year N/A N/A N/A N/A
Then Year N/A N/A N/A 0.0
O&S Cost Variance
UNCLASSIFIED 41
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF
December 2019 SAR
Prior SAR Total O&S Estimates - Dec 2018 SAR
0.0
Programmatic/Planning Factors 0.0
Cost Estimating Methodology 0.0
Cost Data Update 0.0
Labor Rate 0.0
Energy Rate 0.0 Technical Input 0.0
Other 0.0
Total Changes 0.0
Current Estimate 0.0
Disposal Estimate Details
Date of Estimate:
Source of Estimate:
Disposal/Demilitarization Total Cost (BY 2018 $M):
UNCLASSIFIED 42
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