Global Positioning System Ill Follow-On Production (GPS IIIF)

UNCLASSIFIED

RCS: DD-A&T(O&A)823-590

Global Positioning System Ill Follow-On Production (GPS IIIF) As of FY 2021 President's Budget

Defense Acquisition Management Information Retrieval

(DAMIR)

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR

Table of Contents

Common Acronyms and Abbreviations for MDAP Programs 3

Program Information 5

Responsible Office 5

References 6

Mission and Description 7

Executive Summary 8

Threshold Breaches 10

Schedule 11

Performance 12

Track to Budget 14

Cost and Funding 14

Charts 25

Risks 27

Low Rate Initial Production 29

Foreign Military Sales 30

Nuclear Costs 31

Unit Cost 32

Cost Variance 35

Contracts 39

Deliveries and Expenditures 40

Operating and Support Cost 41

UNCLASSIFIED 2

UNCLASSIFIED

GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR

Common Acronyms and Abbreviations for MDAP Programs

Acq O&M - Acquisition-Related Operations and Maintenance ACAT - Acquisition Category ADM - Acquisition Decision Memorandum APB - Acquisition Program Baseline APPN - Appropriation APUC - Average Procurement Unit Cost $B - Billions of Dollars BA - Budget Authority/Budget Activity Blk - Block BY - Base Year CAPE - Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation CARD - Cost Analysis Requirements Description CDD - Capability Development Document CLIN - Contract Line Item Number CPD - Capability Production Document CY - Calendar Year DAB - Defense Acquisition Board DAE - Defense Acquisition Executive DAMIR - Defense Acquisition Management Information Retrieval DoD - Department of Defense DSN - Defense Switched Network EMD - Engineering and Manufacturing Development EVM - Earned Value Management FOC - Full Operational Capability FMS - Foreign Military Sales FRP - Full Rate Production FY - Fiscal Year FYDP - Future Years Defense Program ICE - Independent Cost Estimate IOC - Initial Operational Capability Inc - Increment JROC - Joint Requirements Oversight Council $K - Thousands of Dollars KPP - Key Performance Parameter LRIP - Low Rate Initial Production $M - Millions of Dollars MDA - Milestone Decision Authority MDAP - Major Defense Acquisition Program MILCON - Military Construction N/A - Not Applicable O&M - Operations and Maintenance ORD - Operational Requirements Document OSD - Office of the Secretary of Defense O&S - Operating and Support PAUC - Program Acquisition Unit Cost

UNCLASSIFIED 3


PB - President's Budget PE - Program Element PEO - Program Executive Officer PM - Program Manager POE - Program Office Estimate RDT&E - Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation SAR - Selected Acquisition Report SCP - Service Cost Position TBD - To Be Determined TY - Then Year UCR - Unit Cost Reporting U.S. - United States USD(AT&L) - Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology and Logistics) USD(A&S) - Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition and Sustainment)

UNCLASSIFIED 4

UNCLASSIFIED


Program Information

Program Name

Global Positioning System III Follow-On Production (GPS IIIF)

DoD Component

Air Force

This is a United States Space Force program.

Responsible Office

Col Edward Byrne 483 N. Aviation El Segundo, CA 90245

[email protected]

Phone: 310-653-3211

Fax: 310-653-3005

DSN Phone: 633-3211

DSN Fax: 633-3005

Date Assigned: May 1,2019

UNCLASSIFIED 5

UNCLASSIFIED


References

SAR Baseline (Development Estimate)

Component Acquisition Executive (CAE) Approved Acquisition Program Baseline (APB) dated September 12, 2018

Approved APB

Component Acquisition Executive (CAE) Approved Acquisition Program Baseline (APB) dated September 12, 2018

UNCLASSIFIED 6


Mission and Description

The Global Positioning System (GPS) is a satellite-based radio navigation system developed and delivered by Air Force Space Command's Space and Missile Systems Center/Global Positioning Systems Directorate. GPS provides satellite signals to military and civil users worldwide to determine accurate Position, Navigation and Timing (PNT). GPS provides strategic and tactical support to the following DoD missions: Joint Operations by providing capabilities for PNT; Command, Control, Communications, and Intelligence; Special Operations; Military Operations in Urban Terrain; Defense-Wide Mission Support; Air Mobility; and Space Launch Orbital Support. GPS III Follow-On (GPS IIIF) complies with section 2281 of title 10, United States Code (USC), ensuring the continued sustainment and operation of GPS for military and civilian purposes, and section 50112 of title 51, USC, continuing as an international standard available on a continuous worldwide basis free of direct user fees.

GPS IIIF is an Acquisition Category IB program that, in concert with the GPS III program, comprises the next generation of space vehicles (SVs) providing significant enhancements to modernize the constellation originally delivered under the Naystar GPS program. GPS IIIF will deliver the next block of GPS III satellites beyond the first 10 GPS III SVs.

GPS IIIF will provide new capabilities to meet increased demands of both military and civilian users. Building on the technical baseline of GPS III satellites, the program will provide increased anti-jam capabilities for the military with Regional Military Protection capability. It also will add other new capabilities by hosting a Search-and-Rescue GPS payload designed to assist with the global search-and-rescue mission area and enable precision ranging measurements by hosting a Laser Retro-reflector Array. It will address the consolidation of telemetry, tracking, and commanding frequencies by enabling compliance with the Unified S-Band capabilities. Finally, the program will host a redesigned Nuclear Detonation Detection System (NDS) solution with a lower overall size and weight requirement.

The GPS IIIF program provides a Standard Positioning Service to a broad spectrum of civil users, including the four civil signals (L1 C/A, L1 C, L2C, and L5) flown on GPS III satellites. The Ll C signal is compatible with the European Galileo satellite navigation system signal, El. Ll C is also compatible with those signals planned for broadcast on Japan's Quasi-Zenith Satellite System (QZSS), a system meant to augment GPS services. This common civil signal will be jointly broadcast by up to 60 satellites from the GPS, Galileo, and QZSS constellations, further increasing the accuracy and availability of user PNT solutions. The program also benefits the civil community by hosting laser retroreflectors, used to refine the International Terrestrial Reference Frame, and particle sensors, used for space-based environmental monitoring.

Consistent with the program's support for military users, the GPS IIIF program provides Precise Positioning Service (PPS) for military operations and force enhancement. It also provides increased anti-jam power to the earth coverage Military-Code signals and anti-exploitation techniques in order to prevent unauthorized use of the GPS PPS signal. In addition, the program will support the United States NDS mission for worldwide monitoring and detection of nuclear events, as well as the international Cospas-Sarsat Search and Rescue mission for detection and location of emergency beacons, both via hosted payloads.

The GPS IIIF SVs build upon the GPS III program's approach to respond rapidly to warfighter capability requirements. The GPS IIIF program will also focus on space vehicle affordability, capability and future requirements, and resiliency. The Air Force is using its research laboratories to mature mission related capabilities and technologies (e.g. advanced clocks, amplifiers, crosslinks) to inform future PNT architectures.

On December 20, 2019, the President of the United States established the United States Space Force which assumed the responsibility for all major space acquisition programs. This program is now a United States Space Force program.

UNCLASSIFIED 7


Executive Summary

Program Highlights Since Last Report

The MDA approved Milestone B certification on September 12, 2018. The certification included waivers granted for the requirements in section 2366(a)(3)(L), as it pertains to the development of an Independent Technical Risk Assessment (ITRA) and in 2366(a)(1) for the requirement of a Preliminary Design Review. The Milestone B ADM requires the program to conduct a Critical Design Review (CDR) and ITRA prior to returning for a Milestone C production decision.

The program successfully completed the initial Integrated Baseline Review and kicked off the CDR campaign in March 2019. Since CDR kickoff, the team has successfully conducted 50 out of 50 Qualification Review Boards and 65 out of 66 unit-level CDRs, including the Navigation Payload Element CDR on November 21, 2019. CY 2020 efforts will focus on closing out the Space Vehicle (SV) CDR campaign, supporting execution of the ITRA by the Air Force, conducting a Milestone C review, and exercising the first production option for SV13. The program will exercise production options beyond FY 2020 using an annual buy approach of one to four SVs per year, with the objective of procuring at least two SVs each year to realize significant cost savings through economies of scale.

There are no significant software-related issues with this program at this time.

UNCLASSIFIED 8

History of Significant Developments Since Program Initiation

March 2018

August 2018

GPS IIIF CDD approved.

GPS IIIF SCP approved. The GPS IIIF program obtained Milestone B certification and APB approvalon September 12, 2018.

September 2018

GPS IIIF awarded a competitively-procured contract on September 26, 2018 to Lockheed Martin Space. The Fixed Price Incentive/Award Fee contract includes non-recurring engineering, satellite simulators, and Space Vehicles 11-12.

September 2018

The program completed the initial Integrated Baseline Review for the scope awarded in September 2018. GPS IIIF initiated the Critical Design Review (CDR) campaign for the baseline technical design.

March 2019

November 2019 j Successfully held the Navigation Payload Element CDR.

March 2019

History of Significant Developments Since Program Initiation

Date Significant Development Description


UNCLASSIFIED 9

UNCLASSIFIED


Threshold Breaches

APB Breaches

Schedule Performance Cost

r-

E.

RDT&E r-

Procurement E

MILCON r-

Acq O&M E

O&S Cost Unit Cost Cost PAUC

APUC r-

Nunn-McCurdy Nunn-McCurdy Breaches

Current UCR Baseline PAUC None APUC None

Original UCR Baseline PAUC None APUC None

UNCLASSIFIED 10

Schedule Events

Events Ell r-S- AR Baseline

Development Estimate

Current APB Development

Objective/Threshold

I Current Estimate

UNCLASSIFIED


Schedule

SAR Baseline Current Objective II APB Objective and Threshold

'1.8 '1.9 '20 '21 '22

GPS IIIF

GPS IIIF tOilestone B B.mMI

GPS IIIF Critical Design Revi...

GPS IIIF Milestone C 111.="11

GPS IIIF SV11 AFL

GPS IIIF SV12 AFL

• Current Estimate • Current Estimate (Breach)

'23 '24 '25 '26 '27 '23 '29

GPS IIIF Milestone B Jul 2018 Jul 2018 Jan 2019 Sep 2018

GPS IIIF Critical Design Review Sep 2020 Sep 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2020

GPS IIIF Milestone C Dec 2020 Dec 2020 Jun 2021 Jun 2020

GPS IIIF SV11 AFL 1Jan 2028 Jan 2028 Jul 2028 Feb 2026

GPS IIIF SV12 AFL Oct 2028 Oct 2028 Apr 2029 Aug 2026

None

Acronyms and Abbreviations

AFL - Available for Launch GPS - Global Positioning System SV - Space Vehicle

UNCLASSIFIED 11

Performance Characteristics

SAR Baseline Development

Estimate

urfeht Development

Objective/Threshold

Demonstrated Performance

Current Estimate

Backward Compatibility

Position and Time Transfer Integrity

UNCLASSIFIED


Performance

All modifications made to the existing GPS Space Segment and Control Segment shall allow continued operation of existing ICD-GPS-200 and 700, ICD-GPS-800, IS-GPS -705, and SS-GPS-001 compliant UE and continued operation of legacy receivers (to include Federal augmentation system receivers).

All modifications made to the existing GPS Space Segment and Control Segment shall allow continued operation of existing ICD-GPS-200 and 700, ICD-GPS-800. IS -GPS-705, and SS-GPS-001 compliant UE and continued operation of legacy receivers (to include Federal augmentation system receivers).

(T=0) All modifications made to the existing GPS Space Segment and Control Segment shall allow continued operation of existing ICD-GPS-200 and 700, ICD-GPS-800, IS -GPS-705, and SS-GPS-001 compliant UE and continued operation of legacy receivers (to include Federal augmentation system receivers).

All modifications made to the existing GPS Space Segment and Control Segment shall allow continued operation of existing ICD-GPS-200 and 700, ICD-GPS-800, IS -GPS-705, and SS-GPS-001 compliant UE and continued operation of legacy receivers (to include Federal augmentation system receivers).

TBD

User Range Error (meters)

.2 2 1.1 TBD .2

.0001 .0001 (1=0) .0001 TBD .0001

Satellite Availability

'0.984 0.984 (T=0) 0.984 TBD 0.984

Sustainment (Operational) Availability 5.1.4.1

Achievement of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP


(T=0) Achievement of TBD the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP


Sustainment (Materiel) Availability 5.1.4.2



(T=0) Achievement of TBD the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP and Time Transfer Accuracy KPP thresholds satisfies this KPP


Regional Military Protection

UNCLASSIFIED 12

UNCLASSIFIED


Each GPS III Follow- Each GPS III Follow-

On satellite shall On satellite shall provide a -140 dBW provide a -140 dBW (measured at a 5- (measured at a 5-degree minimum user degree minimum user elevation mask angle) elevation mask angle) regional high-power M- regional high-power M Code signal on both L1 -Code signal on both and L2 I L1 and L2

(T=0) Each GPS III TBD Follow-On satellite shall provide a -140 dBW (measured at a 5-degree minimum user elevation mask angle) regional high-power M-Code signal on both L1 and L2

Each GPS III Follow-On satellite shall provide a -140 dBW (measured at a 5-degree minimum user elevation mask angle) regional high-power M -Code signal on both L-1 and L2

System Survivability (5.1.2) mimi= vimmi The System Survivability KPP is satisfied by meeting the thresholds of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP (SS and CS; Position and Time Transfer Integrity KPP (SS and CS)); System Survivability System Survivability KPP and associated CSA (SS and CS)

I The System Survivability KPP is satisfied by meeting the thresholds of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP (SS and CS; Position and Time Transfer Integrity KPP (SS and CS)); System Survivability System Survivability KPP and associated CSA (SS and CS)

(T=0) The System TBD Survivability KPP is satisfied by meeting the thresholds of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP (SS and CS; Position and Time Transfer Integrity KPP (SS and CS)); System Survivability System Survivability KPP and associated CSA (SS and CS)

The System Survivability KPP is satisfied by meeting the thresholds of the Availability of Position Accuracy KPP (SS and CS; Position and Time Transfer Integrity KPP (SS and CS)); System Survivability System Survivability KPP and associated CSA (SS and CS)

CDD dated March 20, 2018

None

CS - Control Segment CSA - Cyber Survivability Attributes dBW - decibel watt GPS - Global Positioning System ICD - Interface Control Documents IS - Interface Specification M-Code - Military Code O - Objective SS - Space Segment T - Threshold UE - User Equipment

UNCLASSIFIED 13

(Shared) (Sunk) GPS Ill Space Segment

Global Positioning System Ill - Follow-on (Sunk)

Global Positioning System III - Follow-on (Sunk)

Air Force 3600 07

67A019

Air Force 3600 05

653170

Air Force 3620 05

653170

Procurement

Air Force 3021 01

GPSO3C

Air Force 3022 01

23GPSF

1203265F

1203269F

1203269SF

111221W- 1 Global Positioning System Ill - Follow-on

1203269F

1203269SF

Global Positioning System III - Follow-on

UNCLASSIFIED


Track to Budget

General Notes

In December 2019, the Office of Management and Budget directed the DoD to establish new Space Force RDT&E and procurement appropriations. Beginning in FY 2021, space-related RDT&E funding, formerly under 3600F (RDT&E, Air Force) is contained in 3620SF (RDT&E, Space Force) and space procurement funding formerly under 3021F (Space Procurement, Air Force) is contained in 3022SF (Procurement, Space Force).

RDT&E

UNCLASSIFIED 14

Total Quantity

[ Quantity SAR Baseline Development

Estimate

Current APB Development

Current Estimate

2 2 2

20 20 20

22 22 22

RDT&E

Procurement

Total

UNCLASSIFIED


Cost and Funding

Cost Summary

Total Acquisition Cost

Appropriation

BY


Estimate

2018 $M

Current APB 1 Current


Objective/Threshold


Estimate

TY $M

Current APB Current


Objective

RDT&E 3160.8 3160.8 3476.9 3082.7 3549.2 3549.2 3479.4

Procurement 6113.0 6113.0 6724.3 6048.6 7222.3 7222.3 7219.7

Flyaway

5021.1

5945.3

Recurring

5021.1

5945.3 Non Recurring

0.0

0.0

Support

1027.5

1274.4

Other Support

1027.5

1274.4

Initial Spares

0.0

0.0

MILCON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Acq O&M 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Total 9273.8 9273.8 N/A 9131.3 10771.5 10771.5 10699.1

Current APB Cost Estimate Reference

SCP dated August 21, 2018

Cost Notes

No cost estimate for the program has been completed in the previous year.

UNCLASSIFIED 15

UNCLASSIFIED


Cost and Funding

Funding Summary

Appropriation Summary

FY 2021 President's Budget / December 2019 SAR (TY$ M)

Appropriation Prior FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 To

Complete Total I

RDT&E 614.4 447.9 263.5 267.5 294.7 286.3 177.1 1128.0 3479.4

Procurement 0.0 394.6 627.8 634.8 640.7 920.7 750.8 3250.3 7219.7

MILCON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Acq O&M 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

PB 2021 Total 614.4 842.5 891.3 902.3 935.4 1207.0 927.9 4378.3 10699.1

PB 2020 Total 629.1 877.5 907.9 1148.4 1190.9 1206.4 886.5 3924.8 10771.5

Delta -14.7 -35.0 -16.6 -246.1 -255.5 0.6 41.4 453.5 -72.4

Quantity Summary

-11M11 FY 2021 President's Budget! December 2019 SAR (TY$ M)

Quantity Undistributed Prior FY

2020 FY

2021 FY

2022 FY

2023 FY

2024 FY

2025 To

Complete Total

Development 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2

Production 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 2 8 20

PB 2021 Total 2 0 1 2 2 2 3 2 8 22

PB 2020 Total 2 0 1 2 3 3 3 2 6 22

Delta 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 0 0 2 0

UNCLASSIFIED 16

Annual Funding 3600 I RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Air Force ii

TV $1V1

Fiscal Year

Quantity End Item Recurring

Flyaway

Non End 1 Item

Recurring Flyaway

Non Recurring

Flyaway

Total rrt P

Total Total Flyaway Supporogram

UNCLASSIFIED


Cost and Funding

Annual Funding By Appropriation

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Subtotal 2

2.0 13.1 21.9 21.8 15.0 27.3 13.0 21.3

8.6 23.7 34.5

412.2 447.9

1062.3

UNCLASSIFIED 17

Annual Funding 3600 I RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Air Force

BY 2018 $N1

End Item 1 Recurring

Flyaway

Non End Item

Recurring Flyaway

Non Recurring

Flyaway

Total Support

Total Program

Total Flyaway

Fiscal Year

Quantity

UNCLASSIFIED


2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Subtotal 2

2.3 14.9 24.6 24.1 16.3 29.1 13.7 22.2

8.8 23.8 34.0

398.6 424.5

1036.9

UNCLASSIFIED 18

Annual Funding 3620 RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Space Force, Air Force

End Item Recurring

Flyaway

Non End Item

Recurring Flyaway

TY SIN

Non Recurring

Flyaway

Fiscal Year

Quantity Total Flyaway

Total Total Support Program

UNCLASSIFIED


2021 263.5 2022 267.5 2023 294.7 2024 286.3 2025 177.1 2026 191.4 2027 173.7 2028 205.9 2029 89.2 2030 90.9 2031 92.8 2032 94.6 2033 96.6 2034 92.9

Subtotal 2417.1

UNCLASSIFIED 19

Annual Funding 3620 RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Space Force, Air Force

End Item Recurring

Flyaway

Non End Item

Recurring Flyaway

Fiscal Year

Quantity

BY 2018 $N1

Total Flyaway

Total Total Support Program

Non Recurring

Flyaway

UNCLASSIFIED


2021 244.9 2022 243.7 2023 263.2 2024 250.7 2025 152.0 2026 161.1 2027 143.3 2028 166.6 2029 70.7 2030 70.7 2031 70.7 2032 70.7 2033 70.8 2034 66.7

Subtotal 2045.8

UNCLASSIFIED 20

Annual Funding 3021 I Procurement I Space Procurement, Air Force =

111 - TY VVII

Quantity Fiscal Year Recurring

Flyaway

Non Recurring

Flyaway I-

IF Non End End Item Item Recurring

Flyaway

Total 1 Total Total Flyaway Support Program

UNCLASSIFIED


2020 1 333.3 25.0 358.3 36.3 394.6

Subtotal 1 333.3 25.0 358.3 36.3 394.6

UNCLASSIFIED 21

Quantity Fiscal Year Recurring

Flyaway

Non Recurring

Flyaway

Non End End Item

Item Recurring

Flyaway

1 Total Total Total Flyaway Support Program

UNCLASSIFIED


Annual Funding 3021 I Procurement I Space Procurement, Air Force

BY 2018 $M

2020 1 308.0 23.1 331.1 33.6 364.7

Subtotal 1 308.0 23.1 331.1 33.6 364.7

UNCLASSIFIED 22

Annual Funding 3022 I Procurement I Procurement, Space Force, Air Force

TY $1V1

Fiscal Year

Quantity End Item Recurring

Flyaway

Non End Item

Recurring Flyaway

Non Recurring

Flyaway

I Total Total Total Flyaway Support Program

UNCLASSIFIED


2021 2 517.1 47.2 564.3 63.5 627.8

2022 2 486.7 67.7 554.4 80.4 634.8

2023 2 485.5 67.7 553.2 87.5 640.7

2024 3 757.3 74.0 831.3 89.4 920.7

2025 2 605.2 57.5 662.7 88.1 750.8

2026 2 543.8 66.7 610.5 121.1 731.6

2027 3 800.9 69.2 870.1 125.0 995.1

2028 3 806.3 72.4 878.7 144.2 1022.9

2029

14.5 14.5 110.0 124.5

2030

13.4 13.4 70.3 83.7 2031

13.7 13.7 67.6 81.3

2032

14.0 14.0 65.3 79.3

2033

3.1 3.1 62.7 65.8

2034

3.1 3.1 63.0 66.1

Subtotal 19 5002.8 584.2 5587.0 1238.1 6825.1

UNCLASSIFIED 23

UNCLASSIFIED


Annual Funding 3022 I Procurement I Procurement, Space Force, Air Force

BY 2018 $M 1=11P

Non End 1 Item

Recurring Flyaway

Fiscal Year

End Item Recurring

Flyaway

Quantity

I Total Total Total Flyaway Support Program

Non Recurring

Flyaway

2021 2 468.5 42.8 511.3 57.5 568.8 2022 2 432.3 60.1 492.4 71.4 563.8 2023 2 422.8 59.0 481.8 76.1 557.9 2024 3 646.5 63.2 709.7 76.3 786.0 2025 2 506.6 48.1 554.7 73.7 628.4 2026 2 446.2 54.7 500.9 99.4 600.3 2027 3 644.3 55.7 700.0 100.6 800.6 2028 3 635.9 57.1 693.0 113.8 806.8 2029

11.2 11.2 85.1 96.3 2030

10.2 10.2 53.3 63.5 2031

10.2 10.2 50.2 60.4 2032

10.2 10.2 47.6 57.8 2033

2.2 2.2 44.8 47.0 2034

2.2 2.2 44.1 46.3 Subtotal 19 4203.1 486.9 4690.0 993.9 5683.9

UNCLASSIFIED 24

-e- Aoq Cost (TYS) Acq Cost (SYS) - Percent Delivered Percent Expended

12000

13—

S

0

V!

3319 MR Submission Date

Development QTY Production QTY --•-• Total QTY

2019 SAR Submission Date

UNCLASSIFIED


Charts

GPS IIIF first began SAR reporting in September 2018

Program Acquisition Cost - GPS IIIF Base Year 2018 $M

Quantity - GPS IIIF

UNCLASSIFIED 25

ECC

-

"D.C.0 -

20C-

100 -

2019 SAR Submission Date

PAUC BYS —•— PAUC UCRB % Chg —•— PAUC Original % Chg APUC Original % Chg APUC BYS APUC UCRB % Chg

ry.)

UNCLASSIFIED


Unit Cost - GPS IIIF Base Year 2018 $M

UNCLASSIFIED 26


Risks

Significant Schedule and Technical Risks

Significant Schedule and Technical Risks

1. Constellation Performance: Congress, DoD, and/or Air Force currently does not fund GPS Directorate to acquire 2-3 Space Vehicles (SVs) per year due to funding constraints, thus putting at risk constellation sustainment and performance.

2. Design Not Mature: GPS Ill Follow-On Production designs may not be sufficiently mature due to requirements changes driving expanded non-recurring engineering effort to establish the production line.

Space Modular Common Crypto: May not meet GPS IIIF operating environment requirements.

_Current Estimate (December 2019

1. Critical Design Review (CDR) Schedule: Updates to the GPS IIIF design may make it difficult to hold the 1-year CDR schedule.

2. Launch & Checkout Capability (LCC) Giver-Receiver: Potential disconnects in delivery dates for Government Furnished items may delay LCC readiness for integrated system testing and the Mission Readiness Campaign.

3. Performance Test Risk: New payloads and capabilities may result in unforeseen anomalies during testing.

4. National Security Agency (NSA) Certification: New NSA certification requirements may expand the Information Security boundary, which could drive schedule delays for Information Assurance milestones.

UNCLASSIFIED 27

3.

Risks and Sensitivity Analysis

Current Baseline Estimate (September 2018)

UNCLASSIFIED


Risks

Risk and Sensitivity Analysis

1. Total Acquisition Cost - $9,273.8 (Qty 22) PAUC - $421.536 (Qty 22); APUC - $305.65 (Qty 20). SCP was conducted at contract ceiling price; Non-Recurring Engineering (NRE) SV11-12 and simulators are Fixed Price Incentive Fee/Award Fee (FPIF/AF), SV13-32 are FPIF. This approach is intended to control cost in a manner consistent with the relative maturity of the requirements and technical baseline, production

; designs, and their associated execution risk.

Original Baseline Estimate (September 2018)

1. Milestone B APB (BY 2018 $M): Total Acquisition Cost - $9,273.8 (Qty 22) PAUC - $421.536 (Qty 22); APUC - $305.65 (Qty 20). SCP conducted at contract ceiling price; NRE SV11-12 and simulators are FPIF/AF, SV13-32 are FPIF. This approach is intended to control cost in a manner consistent with the relative maturity of the requirements and technical baseline, production designs, and their associated execution risk.

Revised Original Estimate (N/A)

None

Current Procurement Cost (December 2019)

1 Total Acquisition Cost - $9,127.1 (Qty 22) PAUC - $414.868 (Qty 22); APUC - $302.370 (Qty 20). Current estimates and funding profile are based upon a SCP, originally approved on July 13, 2018 (an SCP Addendum was signed August 21, 2018). SCP conducted at contract ceiling price; NRE SV11-12 and simulators are FPIF/AF, SV13-32 are FPIF. The program is expecting an updated SCP in May 2020 to support Milestone C.

UNCLASSIFIED 28


Low Rate Initial Production

There is no LRIP for this program.

UNCLASSIFIED 29


Foreign Military Sales

None

UNCLASSIFIED 30

UNCLASSIFIED


Nuclear Costs

None

UNCLASSIFIED 31

Original UCR Baseline and Current Estimate (Base-Year Dollars)

% Change

BY 2018 VA BY 2018 $N1

Original UCR Baseline

(Sep 2018 APB)

Current Estimate (Dec 2019 SAR)

Item

UNCLASSIFIED


Unit Cost

Current UCR Baseline and Current Estimate (Base-Year Dollars)

Current UCR Baseline

Current Estimate (

(Sep 2018 APB) Dec 2019 SAR)

% Change

Program Acquisition Unit Cost

Cost

Quantity

Unit Cost

Average Procurement Unit Cost

9273.8 22

421.536

9131.3 22

415.059 -1.54

Cost

Quantity

Unit Cost

6113.0

20

305.650

6048.6

20

302.430 -1.05

Program Acquisition Unit Cost

Cost

Quantity

Unit Cost Average Procurement Unit Cost

9273.8 22

421.536

9131.3 22

415.059 -1.54

Cost

Quantity

Unit Cost

6113.0

20

305.650

6048.6

20

302.430 -1.05

UNCLASSIFIED 32

AM PAU A APU',:

c _ t.47..• ,e ' ., e. .)

P.

N.3r

N§C '•(</c •,‘" c•

ec

•4` .41, 42 crs

BY 2018 2018 $M

Fyipc APUC

TY PA

PAUC APUC

489.614 1.532 -2.623 0.000 0.000 -1.977 0.000 -0.223 -3.291 486.323

Current SAR Baseline to Current Estimate (TY $M)

Current SAR Baseline to Current Estimate (TY $M)

Initial APUC Development

Estimate

APUC Current Estimate Econ Qty

Changes

Eng Es

UNCLASSIFIED


APB Unit Cost History

Original APB Sep 2018 421.536 305.650 489.614 361.115 APB as of January 2006 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Revised Original APB N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Prior APB N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Current APB Sep 2018 421.536 305.650 489.614 361.115 Prior Annual SAR Dec 2018 419.700 304.450 489.614 361.115 Current Estimate Dec 2019 415.059 302.430 486.323 360.985

SAR Unit Cost History

361.115 1.210 -2.885 0.000 0.000 1.790 0.000 -0.245 -0.130 360.985

UNCLASSIFIED 33

SAR Baseline History

UNCLASSIFIED


Milestone A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Milestone B N/A Jul 2018 N/A Sep 2018

Milestone C N/A Dec 2020 N/A Jun 2020

IOC N/A N/A N/A N/A

Total Cost (TY $M) N/A 10771.5 N/A 10699.1

Total Quantity N/A 22 N/A 22

PAUC N/A 489.614 N/A 486.323

UNCLASSIFIED 34


Cost Variance

1 Summary TY $M Item RDT&E Procurement MILCON Total

SAR Baseline (Development 3549.2 7222.3 10771.5 Estimate)

Previous Changes

Economic +11.4 +28.4 +39.8 Quantity

Schedule

Engineering

Estimating -11.4 -23.2 -34.6 Other

Support

-5.2 -5.2 Subtotal

Current Changes

Economic -1.9 -4.2 -6.1 Quantity

-57.7 -57.7 Schedule

Engineering

Estimating -67.9 +59.0 -8.9 Other

Support

+0.3 +0.3 Subtotal -69.8 -2.6 -72.4

Total Changes -69.8 -2.6 -72.4 Current Estimate 3479.4 7219.7 10699.1

UNCLASSIFIED 35

UNCLASSIFIED GPS IIIF

December 2019 SAR

Summary BY 2018 $M

Item RDT&E Procurement MILCON Total SAR Baseline (Development 3160.8 6113.0 9273.8 Estimate)

Previous Changes

Economic

Quantity

Schedule

Engineering

Estimating -16.4 -19.6 -36.0 Other

Support

-4.4 -4.4

Subtotal -16.4 -24.0 -40.4

Current Changes

Economic

Quantity

-88.2 -88.2 Schedule

Engineering

Estimating -61.7 +47.1 -14.6 Other

Support

+0.7 +0.7

Subtotal -61.7 -40.4 -102.1

Total Changes -78.1 -64.4 -142.5

Current Estimate 3082.7 6048.6 9131.3

Previous Estimate: December 2018

UNCLASSIFIED 36


RDT&E

Current Change Explanations

$M

Base Year

Then Year

Revised escalation indices. (Economic) N/A -1.9 Revised estimate due to Congressional reduction in FY 2020 which increases

schedule risk. (Estimating) -14.3 -15.0

Revised estimate due to Small Business Innovative Research in FY 2019. (Estimating) -14.3 -14.7 Adjustment for current and prior escalation. (Estimating) +0.7 +0.7 Funds transferred within program from Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, -2044.3 -2415.7

Air Force appropriation to newly added Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation,

Space Force appropriation. (Estimating)

Funds transferred within program from Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, +2044.5 +2415.7 Air Force appropriation to newly added Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation,

Space Force appropriation. (Estimating)

Revised estimate due to Air Force-wide funding adjustments. (Estimating) -2.8 -2.6 Revised estimate due to due to higher priority defense planning guidance. (Estimating) -31.2 -36.3

RDT&E Subtotal -61.7 -69.8

Procurement

Current Change Explanations

$M

Base Year

Then Year

Revised escalation indices. (Economic) N/A -4.2 Total Quantity variance resulting from a decrease of 19 satellites from 20 to 1 (Space -4341.2 -5105.9

Procurement, Air Force (SPAF)). (Subtotal)

Quantity variance resulting from a decrease of 19 satellites from 20 to 1 (SPAF). (-4358.2) (-5125.8) (Quantity)

Allocation to Estimating resulting from Quantity change. (Estimating) (OR) (+17.0) (+19.9) Total Quantity variance resulting from an increase of 19 satellites from 0 to 19 +4341.2 +5159.0

(Procurement, Space Force, Air Force (PSFAF). (Subtotal)

Quantity variance resulting from an increase of 19 satellites from 0 to 19 (+4358.1) (+5179.0) (PSFAF). (Quantity)

Allocation to Estimating resulting from Quantity change. (Estimating) (OR) (-16.9) (-20.0) Additional quantity variance as a result of actual unit values verse average unit cost

values not accounted for in estimate model (SPAF). (Quantity) -88.1 -110.9

Revised estimate due to Air Force-wide funding adjustments (SPAF). (Estimating) -0.4 -0.4 Revised estimate in FY 2021 to buy down cost of reprogammability (SPAF). +65.1 +77.8

(Estimating)

Revised estimate due to Congressional reduction in FY 2020 which increases schedule risk (SPAF). (Estimating)

-18.4 -20.0

Adjustment for current and prior escalation. (Estimating) +0.1 +0.2 Funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force Procurement

appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement appropriation -4692.9 -5589.7

(SPAF). (Estimating)

Funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force Procurement appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement appropriation

+4692.5 +5589.7

(PSPAF). (Estimating)

Revised estimate due to Air Force wide inflation adjustment. (Estimating) -2.2 -2.6

UNCLASSIFIED 37


Revised estimate to reflect application of new outyear indices (SPAF). (Estimating) +3.2 +4.1 Adjustment for current and prior escalation. (Support) +0.1 0.0 Support funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force -993.3 -1237.8

Procurement appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement appropriation (SPAF). (Support)

Support funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force +993.9 +1238.1 Procurement appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement appropriation (PSFAF). (Support)

Procurement Subtotal -40.4 -2.6

(OR) Quantity Related

UNCLASSIFIED 38

Contract Price

Initial Contract Price ($M) Current Contract Price ($M)

I Target Ceiling Qty Target Ceiling Qty Contractor

Estimated Price At Completion ($M)

Program Manager di

Schedule Variance Cost Variance

Contract Variance

UNCLASSIFIED


Contracts

Contract Identification

Appropriation:

Contract Name:

Contractor:

Contractor Location:

Contract Number:

Contract Type:

Award Date:

Definitization Date:

RDT&E

Global Positioning System III Follow-On (GPS IIIF)

Lockheed Martin Corporation

12257 S Wadsworth Blvd Littleton, CO 80125 FA8807-18-C-0009/1

Fixed Price Incentive(Firm Target) (FPIF)

September 26, 2018

September 26, 2018

1362.1 1499.7 2 1370.9 1647.1 2 1470.9 1470.9

Target Price Change Explanation

The difference between the Initial Contract Price Target and the Current Contract Price Target is due to the addition of a National Security Agency Information Assurance Security Requirements Directive.

Cumulative Variances To Date (12/22/2019) -1.2 -20.5 Previous Cumulative Variances 0.0 0.0 Net Change -1.2 -20.5

Cost and Schedule Variance Explanations

The unfavorable cumulative cost variance is due to a disconnect in claiming performance on an in negotiation Performance Based Payment (PBP).

The unfavorable cumulative schedule variance is due to continuing disconnects in claiming performance on subcontract PBPs. Almost all major subcontracts are now properly set in the baseline, but miscommunication between the Lockheed Martin Subcontracts and Business Operations teams has introduced false variances. Corrective action is in place and the Earned Value corrections are forecasted for the month end January 2020 data.

UNCLASSIFIED 39

UNCLASSIFIED


Deliveries and Expenditures

Deliveries

Planned to to — Actual to Date Total Quantity

Date

Percent Delivered

Delivered to Date

Development

2 0.00% Production

20 0.00%

Total Program Quantity Delivered

22 0.00%

Expended and Appropriated (TV $M)

Total Acquisition Cost 10699.1 Years Appropriated

13 Expended to Date 350.1 Percent Years Appropriated

48.15% Percent Expended 3.27% Appropriated to Date

1456.9 Total Funding Years 27 Percent Appropriated

13.62%

The above data is current as of February 10, 2020.

UNCLASSIFIED 40

Total O&S Cost $M

GPS IIIF

Current Development APB Objective/Threshold

Antecedent Item

I Current Estimate am (Antecedent)


Operating and Support Cost

Cost Estimate Details

Date of Estimate:

Source of Estimate:

Quantity to Sustain:

Unit of Measure:

Service Life per Unit:

Fiscal Years in Service:

The O&S costs for the GPS IIIF system will be captured in the sustainment of the Next Generation Operational Control System in a future update.

Sustainment Strategy

None Antecedent Information

For reporting purposes, the antecedent system for this program is GPS III.

I Antecedent Item (Antecedent) YYYY

Unit-Level Manpower Unit Operations Maintenance Sustaining Support Continuing System Improvements Indirect Support Other Total

Base Year N/A N/A N/A N/A

Then Year N/A N/A N/A 0.0

O&S Cost Variance

UNCLASSIFIED 41

UNCLASSIFIED

GPS IIIF

December 2019 SAR

Prior SAR Total O&S Estimates - Dec 2018 SAR

0.0

Programmatic/Planning Factors 0.0

Cost Estimating Methodology 0.0

Cost Data Update 0.0

Labor Rate 0.0

Energy Rate 0.0 Technical Input 0.0

Other 0.0

Total Changes 0.0

Current Estimate 0.0

Disposal Estimate Details

Date of Estimate:

Source of Estimate:

Disposal/Demilitarization Total Cost (BY 2018 $M):

UNCLASSIFIED 42

Global Positioning System Ill Follow-On Production (GPS IIIF)

Documents

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