NORTH- WEST UNIVERSITY INVESTING IN SYSTEMATIC FACTORS BWIN 816 – Modern Portfolio Theory
Transcript of NORTH- WEST UNIVERSITY INVESTING IN SYSTEMATIC FACTORS BWIN 816 – Modern Portfolio Theory
BWIN 816 – Modern Portfolio Theory R. Yacumakis 21277087 Page 11 Page 10
BWIN 816 Ruan Yacumakis
21277087 27 June 2014
NORTH-WEST
UNIVERSITY INVESTING IN SYSTEMATIC FACTORS
BWIN 816 – Modern Portfolio Theory R. Yacumakis 21277087 Page 1
Table of Contents
1 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................... 2
2 A DESCRIPTION OF FACTOR INVESTING ................................................................................................... 3
2.1 CHARACTERISTICS OF A GOOD SYSTEMATIC FACTOR ........................................................................................... 3
2.1.1 Underpinning of the factors .............................................................................................................. 3
2.1.2 Criteria for a systematic factor ......................................................................................................... 4
2.2 COMMON FACTORS AND FACTOR CLASSIFICATIONS ........................................................................................... 5
2.2.1 Factor premium categories ............................................................................................................... 5
2.2.2 A list of available factors ................................................................................................................... 6
2.3 APPLICATION OF FACTOR INVESTING ............................................................................................................... 8
2.3.1 Benchmark portfolios that are passive but dynamic ........................................................................ 8
2.3.2 Three models used to implement factor investing ............................................................................ 9
3 TOPICAL CONSIDERATIONS FOR INVESTING IN SYSTEMATIC FACTORS .................................................. 10
3.1 GAIN UNDERSTANDING AND CONTROL OF PORTFOLIO FACTORS – NORWAY ......................................................... 10
3.2 DYNAMIC FACTORS AND BAD TIMES ............................................................................................................. 11
3.3 FACTOR SELECTION VS SECURITY SELECTION IN LARGE PORTFOLIOS ..................................................................... 12
3.4 TOTAL PORTFOLIO APPROACH .................................................................................................................... 13
3.5 INVESTABILITY ......................................................................................................................................... 14
3.6 LIQUIDITY OF ASSETS ................................................................................................................................. 14
3.7 WEIGHTING ............................................................................................................................................ 14
3.8 MACRO FACTOR INVESTING ....................................................................................................................... 15
4 VIABILITY OF FACTOR INVESTING IN SOUTH AFRICA – A CHECKLIST APPROACH .................................... 15
4.1 INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR VIABILITY CHECKLIST ................................................................................................... 15
4.2 COUNTRY CHECKLIST................................................................................................................................. 17
5 CONCLUSION ......................................................................................................................................... 18
6 REFERENCES .......................................................................................................................................... 19
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1 Introduction
In the world of investments, benchmark portfolios are used in setting up investment strategies
(Norwegian Ministry of Finance (NMF), 2013). Standard asset allocation methodology involves the
fund owner deciding on the weightings of available asset classes according to his risk-return
preferences, and then combining these asset weightings into a strategic benchmark portfolio (Ang,
2013). The task of the fund manager is then to invest in these asset classes according to the specified
weightings and other limitations set by the fund owner. Passive management would entail investing
in the benchmark portfolio via market capitalisation weighted indices within each asset class. This
would produce the so-called market return within each asset class, and the portfolio return would
simply be the asset weighted aggregation of the market returns. Active investment management on
the other hand, would entail the fund manager applying non-market weightings within the asset
classes based on his expert market readings and predictions. The goal of this approach is to obtain
returns in excess of the market returns after deducting for the relatively high active management
fees. (Ang, 2013; Koedijk, Slager & Stork, 2013; NMF, 2013)
In recent years, increased attention has been given to an alternative investment approach that does
not primarily weigh the portfolio according to asset classes, but rather using so-called systematic
factors. The basic idea behind factor investing is as follows: (note that stocks will be considered for
illustrative purposes, but the concept applies to other asset classes as well; although the necessary
data for other asset classes such as real estate might not be as readily available). Systematic factors
are different characteristics that influence stock values over time. Statistical analysis shows that the
bulk of stock price variation can be explained by no more than ten factors (NMF, 2013). If these
factors can be identified and measured in some way, an investor could hold specific weightings of
stocks that would make him insensitive to some of these factors and heavily geared towards the
movement of others. Tilting investments toward factors in this way is called factor investing, and it
has been proven to increase returns over time as opposed to holding market weightings (NMF,
2013). Tracking systematic factors is not a new concept, the theory has been around for decades.
However, the idea of investment allocation decisions based on systematic factors per se only
recently gained attention (Koedijk et al, 2013).
The goal of this essay is to describe the fundamentals of this investment approach and to present a
tool to help fund owners and managers in South Africa determine if using this approach is a good
one in their fund- and country-specific context.
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The focus of this paper will therefore be more on determining the viability of investing in systematic
factors and less on the mechanics of applying it, although the latter will briefly be looked at. The rest
of this essay is structured as follows: Section 2 introduces the basic concepts of systematic factors by
looking at how they are identified, which ones are currently popular, and how they can be used in
the investment process. Section 3 then considers the most relevant topical issues to take cognisance
of when considering using a factor investment approach. Section 4 then summarizes these matters
into a checklist that fund managers can use to determine the viability of investing in systematic
factors in the South-African context. Firstly a checklist is composed to help stakeholders determine
whether their specific fund is properly suited for factor investing according to its basic characteristics
such as mandate, size, risk appetite and other salient characteristics. Secondly, the South African
markets are evaluated against a country-wide checklist to determine whether it is advisable to
pursue factor investing in these markets, given that the specific fund is correctly positioned for it.
Section 5 concludes the paper.
2 A Description of Factor Investing
This section will develop the idea of factor investing by firstly looking at the basic criteria for a factor
to be consider a good factor to use, secondly listing the most popular factors that fulfil these criteria,
and finally giving a condensed description of how factors can be implemented in investments.
2.1 Characteristics of a good systematic factor
Firstly, an overview of important research in this field is hereby considered.
2.1.1 Underpinning of the factors
According to the Norwegian Ministry of Finance (2013), research on the underpinning of systematic
factors has brought these important points to the fore:
There are factors that have been thoroughly researched over different time periods and in
different markets and they’ve proven to consistently give above-market average returns.
Such factors are robust and preferable. The important question to ask is whether these
trends of increased returns will continue into the future.
The reasons as to why these factors yield such return premiums are not clear, and different
factors have divergent rationalizations. Some explanations include:
o Increased risk offers increased return.
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o Behavioural models can also explain these factors: Investors often act in non-
rational ways; hold on to old paradigms, thoughts or opinions for too long and
misjudge probabilities.
o Agency factors can also play a role.
The topic of systematic factors is an active research field, therefore stakeholders should stay
up to date with developments to avoid using outdated and incomplete information in their
operations.
Systematic factors are exploited in a competitive environment by focusing on the special
qualities or characteristics of a specific investor which enable him to harvest suitable factors
better than the average investor can. It is therefore important for an investor to be aware of
and utilise his inherent advantage. For example, an investor with a very long term outlook
can endure short term underperformance from factors. A model case of such an investor is
the Norwegian Pension Fund, as discussed in greater detail later.
Benchmark returns (passive returns) are the result of the asset allocation decision, taken by
the fund owner. Active returns are the result of the decisions taken by the fund manager to
deviate from the benchmark. Their sum leads to the total fund return. Research has shown
that 90% of the variance in return is historically caused by the asset allocation decision.
Equity and bond market returns form the most basic factors available to investors, and they
can easily and cheaply be invested in via passive index tracking funds. The way a fund invests
in these two factors is the most important factor decision taken by funds (Ang, 2013).
2.1.2 Criteria for a systematic factor
Out of the body of research on these factors, several key criteria exist that help identify a robust
systematic factor from which factor premiums ca be harvested. These criteria, as described by Ang
(2013) and Koedijk et al (2013) are now listed. A systematic factor should:
Be justified by academic research.
We must understand why the factor premiums arise as they do. Sound reasoning and historic data
should be used to support the implementation of a factor. Research in this area would allow the
discovery, validation, or discrediting of factors for use in the benchmark portfolio.
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Yield large premiums that are expected to persist in future.
Economists should be confident that the factors will still be influential in the near future. This will be
the case when the underlying behavioural patterns that cause them are believed to continue, at
least in the short term.
Historical data for bad times should be available.
For the purpose of knowing what to expect should the market turn downwards, it is important to
know how the factors perform in such bad times. Therefore sufficient return history should be
available for the chosen factors to allow accurate calculation of risk-adjusted returns. The fact that
investors can weather such bad times is the reason that they receive the factor premiums in the first
place.
Factors should be investable via liquid instruments that can be readily traded.
To make these strategies as cheap as possible, trading in relevant securities should be very cheap.
Another important factor for large institutions is whether the positions are scalable to their size (this
concept is discussed further in Section 3). Furthermore, if the negative or opposite side of the factor
can be shorted (eg. long value, short growth), it would lead to greater profits. However, if it isn’t
possible to short the necessary positions, the factor strategy would still reap premiums albeit not as
large.
These factors are dynamic, in that they change over time. Therefore it is very important for ongoing
research to be conducted on the definition of optimal systematic factors. Furthermore, statistical
analysis has suggested that 10 factors can usually capture most variation in return data. However, it
is not advisable to use so many for the sake of simplicity. A select few to cheaply include in a fund’s
benchmark would be the best route to take, according to NMF (2013).
2.2 Common factors and factor classifications
This subsection will list the most common factors and their classification.
2.2.1 Factor premium categories
Factors premiums can be classified in different ways, as described by Koedijk et al (2013) and
summarised below:
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Asset class
The more traditional way of allocating risk exposure. Factors in this classification include the
riskiness derived from passively investing in equities, bonds, real estate and commodities.
Style
Style premiums are harvested due to fundamental or technical differences in returns within asset
classes. These factor premiums have been harvested for many years, although they have only
recently been called that. The list in the following subsection mainly composes style factors. They
are also often called dynamic factors, for reasons discussed later in the paper.
Strategy
This type of factor premium is harvested by applying different strategies such as carry, merger
arbitrage or convertible arbitrage. These factors are not discussed in this essay.
Global market factors
Different premiums can also be harvested from investing in geographically diverse locations due to
their relative attractiveness.
Macro factors
Although more difficult to invest in directly, factors such as inflation and economic growth can also
yield premiums. This is discussed in greater detail in Section 3.
2.2.2 A list of available factors
The types of factor premiums are now described and mention is made of the asset classes they apply
to (this list is compiled from NMF, 2013; Ang, 2013 and Koedijk et al, 2013):
Value-Growth – equities, bonds, currencies, commodities
A factor premium is often received from buying securities with a market price that is lower than the
underlying fundamental book value thereof. Growth securities on the other hand show strong share
prices in relation to their underlying book value. A factor premium has existed in the long run for
buying value securities and selling growth securities.
Momentum – equities, bonds, currencies, commodities
Securities that have shown impressive growth in price during recent times are overweighed to
produce a momentum premium. This factor, maybe more than any other, can be ascribed to
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behavioural models since the market is overoptimistic about a certain security due to past
performance and therefore demand for it grows. The converse can also be true for securities with
prices that are consistently falling.
Low volatility – equities, commodities
Securities with low price volatility are preferable since they impose less risk on investors. Therefore,
their prices tend to grow faster than stocks that are highly volatile. Investing in low volatility
securities yields an interesting factor premium, since the investor is compensated not for taking on
more risk, but actually the converse.
Liquidity – equities, bonds
According to NMF (2013), there are four ways to profit from liquidity premiums and liquidity risk
premiums:
When the market slumps, buy securities with a high liquidity premium.
Passively invest in a characteristically low-liquidity asset class, such as unlisted real-estate.
Within an asset class, go long in the least liquid instruments in the market and short in the
most liquid ones. Thus the premium is received without being exposed to the market factor.
Provide in the liquidity needs of the market by presenting liquidity for substantial bond and
stock holdings (this is called acting as a market maker).
Size – equities
Smaller companies have a larger risk of going bust, and therefore yield a higher return to
compensate for this. Therefore a size premium (also called small cap premium) can be harvested by
overweighing small companies and cutting back on large ones. A factor premium can also be
obtained from investing in the emerging equity market, i.e. the unlisted space.
Term spread – bonds
This premium is harvested when long-term bonds are overweighed relative to short term bonds.
Long term bonds have greater volatility, and therefore greater risk, resulting in the factor premium.
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Credit – bonds
The difference between returns of safer and less safe bonds also produce a premium. The premium
compensates the investor for taking on credit risk. An example is the difference between returns on
a corporate bond and returns on a risk-free government bond.
Convexity – bonds
Bonds with higher convexity have also received factor premiums historically, although this type of
premium is not commonly used.
Other
Anomaly factors also exist, including calendar effects, IPO-anomaly, index change anomaly and the
accruals anomaly. These factors are not so common in the literature, and will not be discussed in this
paper.
2.3 Application of factor investing
2.3.1 Benchmark portfolios that are passive but dynamic
One way to apply factor investing is for a fund to use a passive, dynamic benchmark portfolio in the
investment strategy. An investor would choose a passive strategy for investing in systematic factors,
such as 5% preference towards value vs growth, 10% preference towards low-volatility vs high-
volatility and 5% toward momentum vs non-momentum securities. The portfolio is constructed with
non-market weights in accordance to the specified preferences. However, the shares that are
defined as value/growth, low/high-volatility or momentum/non-momentum shares might change
over time as their prices fluctuate according to market sentiment, leading to necessitated
rebalancing to reflect such changes. This is an illustration (detailed in Ang, 2013:33) of how
benchmark portfolios can be passive in the rules they specify, but dynamic in their composition over
time. Although index companies offer funds to utilize such an approach, an investor is best advised
to construct a benchmark portfolio that is tailored to his individual characteristics, as discussed in
Section 3 (Ang, 2013).
An important consideration is whether to use active or passive management to capitalize on factor
risk premiums. The question that needs to be answered is whether an active manager can obtain
returns (net of active management fees) in excess of a passively managed market-based index. If
exposure to the risk factors can be utilized more cheaply by investing in a static benchmark portfolio,
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then there is no need to pay an active manager obtaining additional alpha that is less than their
costs (Ang, 2013).
Also, it is important to decide on who chooses the factor exposures: The portfolio owner or the
manager? One solution is to delegate short-term decisions to the asset manager, long-term asset
weighting decisions to the owners, with dynamic factor strategies occupying the middle ground. If
the owners are aware of the dynamic factors involved in the portfolio, they would not be angry if
these factors underperform in the short-term, since it is to be expected of such strategies (as
described in Section 3). Clearly defining risk factors contained in the portfolio’s benchmark would
allow investors to commit to such factors in the long run (Ang, 2013).
2.3.2 Three models used to implement factor investing
Three ways to model factor investing are currently used globally. These models describe how to
imbed factor investing into the traditional investment management process so as to attain better
diversification in the portfolio or capitalise on a chosen set of factor premiums. These models are
now described.
Risk due diligence
This model does not change the investment process, but rather seeks to identify areas of
concentrated risk by using the systematic factor approach, especially on the strategic asset
allocation level. Processes such as stress testing and scenario testing are used to help investors gain
insight into the sensitivity of the portfolio to different underlying drivers. Thus an unwanted
concentration of factors can be identified and the portfolio can be better diversified. Factor investing
is therefore not rigorously implemented, but used as an aid to the current process flow (Koedijk et
al, 2014).
Factor tilts
This approach seeks to capitalise on a chosen set of factor premiums within current asset classes by
choosing asset weights in the optimal way. This approach is the most popular since the investment
process stays unchanged, but the return/risk relationship is improved by adding factor premiums to
the strategic asset allocation choice (Koedijk et al, 2014). This approach involves holding non-market
capitalization weightings of assets and creating customized indices, as described in Section 3.
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Factor optimization
The factor optimization approach seeks to apply factor across different assets, rather than within
asset types. The whole portfolio is constructed based on factors, and the key challenge is to then
translate factor weightings accurately into asset holdings. This approach is not widely used as of yet
Koedijk et al, 2014).
3 Topical Considerations for Investing in Systematic Factors
3.1 Gain understanding and control of portfolio factors – Norway
The Norwegian Government Pension Fund initiated an investigation into the fund’s active
management after exceptionally bad performance during the 2008-2009 recession. The fund owners
weren’t angry because of the losses incurred by the fund in this period, they understood the risks
involved in investing 60% of the portfolio in stocks. The disgruntlement arose due to the fact that the
active management return component of the fund was negative for the 2008-2009 period. The
Norwegian Ministry of Finance provides a benchmark, and the fund manager, Norges Bank
Investment Manager (NBIM), is then tasked to outperform this benchmark by applying different
weightings than that of the benchmark. Subtracting the return of the benchmark from the return of
the fund gives the active return. If this is not sufficiently large, the money could just as well have
been passively invested in index-tracking portfolios at lower management costs, yielding a higher net
return (Ang, 2013).
A task team was commissioned to investigate the causes of negative active returns and make
recommendations to the Ministry of Finance on the way forward (Koedijk et al, 2013). This report
was quickly dubbed the “Professors Report”, or Ang, Goetzmann and Schaefer (2009). Their findings
showed that systematic factors contributed a large portion of the fund’s performance before, during
and after the financial crisis. Therefore, the fund unwittingly reaped the premiums from investing in
systematic factors (such as value and low volatility); but this was at the cost of being exposed to the
risks that come with these factors. This situation is perfectly permissible, as long as the fund
managers and owners are totally aware and approving of such an approach. In that case the use of
factors in the investment strategy allows greater transparency and control in the dynamic factor
risks that the fund is exposed to beyond the market risk of the generic asset classes. This means that
the investor will take on risks that he is able to stomach and ride out short-run underperformance to
reap factor risk premiums in the long run (Ang, 2013).
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However, this should be clearly communicated to stakeholders so that they can expect times of
lower performance from the outset (NMF, 2013).
The report suggested that the fund invests in the liquidity factor (such a pension fund doesn’t need
quick liquidity) and the value factor (neglected by other investors, leading to low prices) (NMF,
2013). It also suggested that such factors be employed via passive management rather than active,
using a top-down approach in dynamic factors (Ang, 2013). Problems with such an approach would
however arise with investability, as detailed in a subsequent subsection.
From the other side, the fund manager NBIM suggested that the investment into systematic factors
be implemented into the operational management of the fund – i.e. include it in the active
management structure. Discretion is important to choose appropriate factors that are investable.
NBIM suggests that the factors should be clearly communicated, but they should not be
incorporated into the benchmark strategic fund level (NMF, 2013). As an alternative, the manager
developed a tool aimed at improving risk adjusted returns, namely an operational reference
portfolio for equities. It is used to tilt the portfolio in the direction of chosen systematic factors,
resulting in higher risk-adjusted returns. Adjusting these operational reference portfolios would then
be a major part of the active management process for NBIM. As at 2012 the fund manager has
already incorporated value and size systematic factors into the operational reference portfolios for
equities (NMF, 2013).
Clearly, a heavy debate exists on whether to apply factor investing on the higher strategic
benchmark level (where passive management would simply apply relevant factor investment at a
low cost); or at the active management level (using tools such as the operational reference portfolio)
to have a manager who is more in control of the factor weightings as he deems appropriate at the
time.
3.2 Dynamic factors and bad times
These factors are dynamic because they’re based on characteristics that change over time. They
perform well in market ups, but very poorly in market slumps. This is however acceptable, as stated
by Ang (2013): “Factor premiums are rewards for investors enduring losses during bad times.” That is
why factor investing, risky as it is, is not for every investor. He has to be able to weather the bad
times to reap his long time reward for factor risk exposure (Ang, 2013).
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To appropriately model an investor it is important to identify the bad times he may encounter and
understand how his liabilities, income stream, and loss tolerance aggravates these bad times (this is
done using utility functions) (Ang, 2013).
Mr Market is average investor. You need to clearly define your profile and select the appropriate
factors to invest in and the way to invest in them. The most important characteristic is the way you
define bad times, i.e. your bad outcomes (such as low growth, high volatility, low liquidity). Then,
assess how these bad outcomes align or misalign with bad times as defined by a specific factor, and
choose to invest in those factors which you are most suited to endure; where the bad times don’t
affect you that much. This can be done by asking these 3 questions, according to Ang (2013):
In which ways am I different from average? Comparative advantages and disadvantages. This
will determine which factors and factor investing strategy would suit you best.
How much loss can I tolerate in bad times? For each individual factor, determine your risk
appetite. If the factor were to have excessive negative returns, would you be able to bear it?
If, for a specific factor, you can’t afford any losses, it might be advisable to invest in the
opposite side of the factor.
Rebalancing. The optimal rebalancing execution buys when factors are at their lowest and
sells when they are at their highest. This is called factor timing, and it is only advised to
skilled active managers since many have inaccurately read the market and depleted a fund’s
value by buying high and selling low.
You will apply weightings to reflect your risk appetite, e.g. When assessing capital allocation along
the Capital Allocation Line used in the CAPM model, you might have a larger proportion of the risk-
free asset than the market if you are risk intolerant, and vice versa (Ang, 2013).
The factor portfolios are often constructed in such a way as to be market neutral, i.e. opposite
positions are taken in the opposing factors so as to only harvest the difference in returns of the two
poles. If such short positions are not taken on, the market factor will still be the main driver of
returns, as opposed to the factor premiums (Ang, 2013).
3.3 Factor selection vs security selection in large portfolios
For large portfolios, the vast number of securities that are held (often thousands) nearly eliminate
the advantages of security selection and result in the situation where factors (together with macro-
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economic risks) dominate the fund’s performance. This is especially true when the securities are
correlated, so that the net effect is actually that of the factor underlying them. For example: going
long in 1000 value shares and short in 1000 growth shares is actually one big bet on the value factor,
with no effect coming from the equity asset class (ANG, 2013).
The optimal way to then apply factor investing is when investors first choose the factors they want
exposure to and then buy appropriate assets that will allow them to do so. Some assets are indeed
factors in themselves (equities, bonds) but sometimes an asset’s performance can be split into many
different factors. Ang (2013) illustrates this with a flow-diagram mapping different factors giving rise
to the selection of corresponding asset classes all leading to the eventual portfolio return. Seeing it
this way, one factor can be applied using different asset classes. Thus, the investor first needs to
decide on his preferred factor to invest in, and then appropriate it in the cheapest way possible by
holding relevant asset classes (Ang, 2013).
3.4 Total Portfolio Approach
Some fund managers, such as the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB), managing the
Canada Pension Plan, choose their factors to invest in, and then apply asset allocations (straight
forward or complex) to achieve this. The CPPIB for example only invests in the factors stocks and
bonds. The way it does this gets interesting though, for example: The Plan funds a private equity
holding by shorting public equity and bonds so as to eventually only be exposed to the stock factor
of the private firm. Such an approach of setting factor-benchmarks is most appropriate for funds
that need to match liabilities, since they can do this more accurately by funnelling net investment in
the appropriate factors (Ang, 2013).
Therefore, applying a total portfolio approach using a reference portfolio (ex 65% stocks – 35%
bonds) allows the manager to invest in any asset class (such as private equity or real estate) if 1) he
stays within the specified risk limits on a portfolio level, and 2) he believes that it would give him
additional net return over the expenses of doing so (alpha).
The main advantage of such a levered approach (as opposed investing directly according to asset
classes) is that it enables the investor to control the fundamental factor risk exposure and
understand under which circumstances the fund might perform badly, and be prepared for such
occurrences and manage its potential impact. It identifies alpha more accurately.
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3.5 Investability
Investability can become a problem for large institutional investors (NMF, 2013). This issue can be
summarised in two parts: 1) Certain situations could arise where the optimal factor investing
strategy dictates buying large ownership stakes in individual companies. This would be unadvisable
to most investment houses, since they specialise in making investment decisions, not directing the
business operations of companies they own. 2) Large trading volumes could result from necessary
rebalancing. This is non-optimal in two ways: Firstly, the trading costs would be inappropriately
large; and more importantly this could be restricted by law for very large companies, since no single
investor is allowed to affect the share price by its individual dealings. The issue of investability and
scalability is very important to keep in mind when considering factor investing (NMF, 2013).
3.6 Liquidity of assets
A liquid asset (as needed for factor investing) is one that is easily tradable, or as stated by NMF
(2013): “if the purchase and sale of large orders can be executed swiftly at a low transaction cost
without appreciable changes to the price as the result of the transactions”. Aspects included in
determining the liquidity of an asset are:
How easy is it to find a counterparty to your transaction?
How high/low will the transaction costs be for executing the necessary trades?
Will the stock price change significantly due to the transactions be executed? If yes, this will
pose problems.
Liquidity premium is the amount received for providing liquidity.
Liquidity risk premium is for when returns fluctuate due to changes in liquidity (liquidities of
risky assets have historically been correlated).
The four ways to profit from liquidity premiums and liquidity risk premiums were mentioned
in Section 2.
3.7 Weighting
Different weighting methodologies exist, such as equal weighting for all stocks, or weighting
according to market value capitalization. Effective weighting is essential in successfully harvesting
risk premiums and capitalizing on the fund’s unique natural advantages (NMF, 2013).
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It’s near impossible for large funds to have a purely systematic factor weighting (as opposed to the
vanilla market capitalization weighting) due to abovementioned investability issues. Therefore, they
often rather start out with market value weighting and then slightly tilt the weightings towards
systematic factors to harvest their systematic risk premiums (NMF, 2013).
3.8 Macro Factor Investing
Apart from investing in easily tradable factors such as value or momentum, it is also possible (but
more difficult) to indirectly invest in macro factors such as economic growth, inflation and monetary
policy (interest rates). This can be done by employing different asset classes that are affected by
these macro factors in appropriate ways (see Ang and Ulrich (2012) for an example of a model that
can do this). If you know how an asset reacts to rising or falling times of a macro factor, you can go
long in assets that are positively correlated to the macro factor, and short on those with a negative
correlation. Examples of such strategies being used in practice are those used by the Alaska
Permanent Fund Corporation and the Bridgewater’s All Weather Strategy. Such macro factor
investing looks beyond the traditional view of allocation by asset class labels and invests
proportionately to the desired exposure to macro factors which are in line with the fund’s goals
(Ang, 2013).
4 Viability of Factor Investing in South Africa – A Checklist Approach
To assess the practicality of factor investing in South Africa, we need to consider several issues. The
question needs to be raised as to whether the South African financial markets are conducive to
factor investing. However, this only paints half the picture. If a South African fund owner or manager
is contemplating factor investing, he not only needs to assess the market in which he operates, but
also (perhaps more importantly) weigh up whether his specific fund is practically suited to the use of
factor investing. In this section, a fund-checklist is firstly developed for a fund owner or manager to
assess the suitability of factor investment to his fund. Thereafter, the South-African markets are also
measured against a country-wide checklist to determine if an investor who qualifies for factor
investing is advised to do so in this country.
4.1 Individual Investor Viability Checklist
The first question to ask should be whether the specific fund with its mandate, size, risk appetite and
other salient characteristics is properly suited for investing in systematic factors.
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Irrespective of the country in which a fund is situated, the composition of the fund should harmonize
with factor investing. Furthermore, it is important to consider whether such factors can and should
be applied at the benchmark decision level, the active management level, or both. This entails
determining which model discussed in Section 2 will suit the fund the best. The checklist for
determining the viability of factor investing for a specific fund is subsequently given:
I. Communication – What is the level of communication between fund owners and fund
managers? If managers are going to invest in systematic factors, this will most likely entail
times of slumped growth that need to be endured patiently for factor premiums to pay off.
If fund owners do not understand this, they might get agitated and take their money
elsewhere during bad times, which would be the worst possible thing to do. The complexity
of the relevant investment methodologies also plays a role here, and it should be
communicable to the fund owners.
II. Adaptability – If the stakeholders and processes are not ready for change, it might not be
advisable to attempt factor investing before all parties are well educated on the matter. For
a more conservative approach, the risk due diligence model is ideal to increase awareness of
latent systematic factors, while the factor tilts approach is ideal for the fund that is more
innovative and flexible in its strategies and which seeks to capitalise on factor premiums.
III. Size – If a fund is very large, investability issues might arise as discussed in Section 3. A very
large fund might be forced to take on controlling positions in smaller companies if it employs
rigorous factor investing; while a small fund might not be able to take appropriately small
positions cost-effectively.
IV. Time-horizon – Investors who are mainly orientated to the short term should rather steer
clear of factor investing, since factors tend to fall heavily during downturns. Long-term
investors are ideally suited to profit from factor premiums in the long run, albeit with some
short term slumps.
V. Trading costs – If the chosen factor investment style requires regular rebalancing, the
trading costs could become unaffordable. Therefore the fund needs access to relatively low
trading costs to effectively reap net profits from factor premiums.
VI. Liquidity needs – As mentioned in Section 3, funds that invest in the low liquidity factor
should be able to survive for long time periods without requiring excessive amounts of cash.
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If a fund consistently needs to make cash payments it might not be ideally suited for factor
investing.
VII. Bad times – Coinciding with some points above, it is important to know how an investor is
affected by bad times in terms of income/liability streams and his ability to absorb losses.
This will determine whether factor investing (which will lead to bad times at some point) is a
viable option to an investor.
4.2 Country Checklist
This subsection discusses whether factor investing is a good approach to use in South Africa overall.
A country checklist for the suitability of factor investing is set forth, and each point is applied to the
South African financial markets to illustrate the suitability of this approach here. The country
checklist is as follows:
I. Relevance – Are the main factors relevant to the country’s financial markets? Little empirical
research exists for South African systematic factors, so it is not certain whether these factors
are relevant in the local context. However, South Africa has a very well-developed market
with a lot of international investors and equities participating, so it is not a huge leap to
assume that the same factors that apply in the USA and Europe apply in South Africa as well.
II. Persistent – Will the factors persist in the future? If the first checkbox can be checked for
South Africa, it would be safe to assume that the behavioural patterns causing the
systematic factors will persist into the future, given that the research is for a substantial
historical period.
III. Data availability – Are there enough historical factor data available for bad times? South
African data are very readily available, this is a definite check.
IV. Instruments – Are there readily tradable, liquid assets that can be used to invest in the
factors? The South African financial markets are deep, liquid and diverse, so this is another
definite check.
V. Regulation – Will the regulator accept factor investing as compliant to the Prudent Investor
Rule (see Koedijk et al, 2013)? Since research in the field is scarce this might be a problem,
so the solution is for South African researchers to attempt reconciling the current regulatory
risk terminology with that of factor investing so as to garner confidence from the regulator.
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Overall, it seems that rigorous factor investing is still in its infant years globally, but as it gains track
the path will be opened for more confidence in the South African context. Nonetheless, with the
world class financial markets in South Africa there seems to be very little reason for factor investing
to be impossible here.
5 Conclusion
This essay investigated the use of systematic factors in the investment process. Factor premiums
provide excess returns for investors whose portfolios are adequately suited to utilise them. The most
important style factors identified in the literature include value, momentum, liquidity, volatility, size,
term spread, credit and convexity. There are several ways to imbed factor investing into the
investment process, such as risk due diligence, factor tilts and factor optimization. Many
considerations need to be made concerning topics such as investor bad times, investability,
weighting and liquidity before a decision can be made regarding the use of factor investing.
Checklists were presented to help fund managers determine whether their fund and their country
are adequately suited to the implementation of factor investing. It was found that although South
African markets are very well suited to this approach, there is a need for more research regarding
systematic factors in the country for it to gain confidence in the general investment circles.
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6 References
Ang, A. 2013. Asset Management: A Systematic Approach to Factor Investing. Oxford University
Press
Koedijk, C.G., Slager, A.M.H., Stork, P.A. 2013. Investing in Systematic Factor Premiums. Research
Report for Robeco, August 2013
Koedijk, C.G., Slager, A.M.H., Stork, P.A. 2014. Factor Investing in Practice: A Trustees’ Guide to
Implementation. Research Report for Robeco, January 2014
Norwegian Ministry of Finance (NMF) 2013. The Management of the Government Pension Fund in
2012, Meld. St. 27 (2012–2013) Report to the Storting