Millet System is Alive: Path-dependency in Turkish and Cypriot minority incorporation patterns
Transcript of Millet System is Alive: Path-dependency in Turkish and Cypriot minority incorporation patterns
Millet System is Alive:
Path-dependency in Turkish and Cypriot minority incorporation patterns
Huseyin Alptekin, University of Texas at Austin
I. Introduction
This study elaborates on the relationship between the institutional patterns of
minority incorporation/exclusion and minority formation/mobilization in Cyprus and
Turkey. It demonstrates that ethnic divisions in Cyprus and Turkey have been
(re)produced by the institutional design going back to the Ottoman millet1 system. Yet,
there seems to be an increasing gap between the popular demands and institutional
provision. While cultural groups have increasing internal heterogeneity and diversifying
demands, political institutions are unable to satisfy these demands. This paper argues that
this institutional inefficiency is a result of an inherent inertia of the political designs in
Turkey and Cyprus going back to the original millet system.
The millet system divided the groups based on religious lines. The following
political regimes up to day have kept this division as the primary indicator of majorities
and minorities in respective societies. As a result of this process, Turkish and Cypriot
political systems have been resistant to the societal demands for greater diversity within
the broad Muslim and non-Muslim groups and for further interaction demands between
Muslims and non-Muslims.
1 Although ‘millet’ is used as the equivalent of ‘nation’ in contemporary Turkish, the term referred to religious divisions rather than ethno-linguistic divisions in the Ottoman era.
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II. Minority-incorporation patterns
Scholars distinguish between different ways of incorporating minority groups.
Roger Brubaker’s distinction between French and German types of citizenship
demonstrates the different isntitutional patterns of incorporating or excluding minorities.
Soysal (1994) also distinguishes between corporatist, liberal, statist, and fragmental
regime types in terms of organizational configuration (centralized vs. decentralized) and
locus of action and authority (state vs. society). Weldon (2006) also distingusihes
between collectivistic-ethnic, collectivistic-civic, and individualistic-civic regimes
regarding different political and social tolerance levels of each. Following this line of
categorizations, I distinguish between different forms of minority incorporation patterns.
In the Turkish and Cypriot cases, these patterns seem highly durable.
I define ‘minority-incorporation patterns’ as the ‘patterns of inclusion-exclusion
carried out by the state for minority groups’. Minority incorporation patterns differ, first,
in terms of their level of inclusion. Hence, some minority incorporation patterns are more
inclusive for minority groups than others. Yet, the level of inclusion-exclusion might also
differ between individual and group levels as well as between social, cultural, economic,
and political spheres. A minority-incorporation pattern may include minorities on
individual-level (e.g., equal voting rights) but not on the group level (e.g., denying legal
recognition for minority groups). A minority-incorporation pattern may also include a
group culturally (e.g., supporting multi-lingual education), but not politically (e.g.,
banning ethnic political parties). Although a clear-cut distinction is hard to draw in many
cases, the conceptual distinctions between individual and group levels and between socio-
cultural and political spheres are discussed further below.
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I group minority incorporation patterns into four broad categories: liberal
multiculturalism, civic assimilationism, millet system/consociationalism, and ethnic
nationalism. Liberal multiculturalism values individuals more than the overall political
society or cultural communities. This emphasis on individuals leads liberal
multiculturalists to value culture and cultural communities, because culture is seen as a
context which provides existential stability and autonomous life choices for individuals
(Kymlicka, 1995; Tamir, 1993). Hence, culture is seen more or less instrumental to the
individual well-being. While recognizing cultural rights2, liberal multiculturalists either
do not tolerate cultural communities which oppress individuals or tolerate these groups to
some narrowly limited extent, but with the condition of ‘right to exit’ for individual
members. Hence, under liberal multiculturalist regimes, faith communities need to
moderate their illiberal practices and/or provide a fair opportunity of exit to their
members, whereas language and/or racial communities benefit from liberal
multiculturalism to the fullest extent.
Civic assimilationist regimes incorporate all the minority community members
within the country in a single way with no group-differentiated rights. The minority
group members are expected to assimilate into the mainstream society and minority
groups are expected to dissolve. When minority groups prove to be relatively persistent,
minority group members are expected to identify themselves with ‘the nation’ first, and
then with their particular communities.
The millet system incorporates minority communities as unitary and fixed blocs
without paying attention to individual demands. Accordingly, the Muslim and non-
2 Kymlicka (1995) lists cultural rights as self-government rights, polyethnic rights, and special representation rights. Young (1989) also supports group-differentiated rights.
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Muslims in the Ottoman Empire were divided strictly. Yet, the millet system in the
Ottoman Empire and, to a great extent, in Cyprus and Turkey suffered from various
problems. The milet system (1) does not appreciate the inherent value of diversity, but
accepts it as an inevitable fact; (2) defines diversity narrowly along a single spectrum; (3)
does not recognize intra-community diversity; and (4) promotes strict authority
hierarchies within and between ethnic groups. While consociationalism follows the millet
system in many aspects, it often provides a more egalitarian relationship between
majority and minority groups. Hence, it resembles the millet system except for the latter
half of the fourth (4) characteristic (promoting strict authority hierarchies between ethnic
groups).
Ethnic nationalism denies equal status, perhaps even citizenship, to the members
of minority groups. The policies range from the most brutal forms of ethnic cleansing to
denial of political rights.
Table 1: Four regimes of minority inclusion-exclusion by the majority: Characteristics Regimes
Individual-level inclusive
Group-level inclusive
Priority
Liberal multiculturalism
Yes Yes3 Individual
Civic assimilationism
Yes No Political community
Millet system/ consociationalism
No Yes4 Cultural community
Ethnic nationalism
No No Cultural community
None of these four regimes appear in pure forms in reality. States adopt different
patterns of incorporation for different minority groups. Therefore, we should examine
3 It should be noted that this inclusion has certain limits. Some illiberal groups are denied recognition and support even in the most open liberal multiculturalist systems. 4 As it will be explained below, millet system/consociationalism is not inclusive for all groups, but for the major ones.
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minority incorporation patterns ‘in pairs’. For instance, France has a consociational
regime for some national minorities (Corsica) while having a civic assimilationist regime
for current and/or recent immigrants (France-Moroccan immigrants). The United States
has a liberal multiculturalist regime for indigenous (native American) and some faith (the
Amish) groups, while it has long adopted a civic assimilationist regime (melting pot) for
immigrants. Turkey adopts a civic assimilationist regime for Kurds, and a mixture of
millet system and ethnic nationalism for non-Muslim minorities. Following Chandra and
Wilkinson’s (2008) structure-practice distinction,5 there will always be unrecognized
minority communities in every society. Therefore, even a relatively pure consociational
regime like Lebanon will exclude some groups which lack ‘practice’ or self-
consciousness and/or ascription. The opposite is also possible. For instance, while being
one of the most exclusive regimes, the ethnic nationalist regime of Germany from the
early 1930’s to mid-1940’s included some minority groups such as Catholic Germans.
Table 2: Patterns of minority inclusion-exclusion Pattern Paired examples Liberal multiculturalism
Australia-Aborigines; The US-the Amish and native Americans.
Civic assimilationism
France-immigrants; The US-immigrants; Turkey-Kurds.
Millet system/ consociationalism
Ottomans-Non-Muslims; Lebanon-the Druze; Cyprus (1960-1974)-Turkish Cypriots, Switzerland-French-speakers.
Ethnic nationalism
Germany (3rd Reich)-Jews, Gypsies, Slavs; Ottomans (1915-1923)-Armenians
5 Ethnic structure-practice distinction which distinguishes between all the ethnic categories and the categories activated in different contexts. Accordingly, ethnic structure refers to the distributions of attributes (e.g., language, skin color) in a given population whereas ethnic practice refers to activation of one or more of these attributes by agents as the defining characteristic ethnic identity (Chandra and Wilkinson, 2008).
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III. Path-dependencies in Cyprus and Turkey
The legacy of the Ottoman period was neither a common life based on shared
social, judicial and moral grounds nor an antagonism having the potential for violent
conflicts (mainly in the classical era until the 19th century). It was the peaceful coexistence
of separate/segregated communities, even in the same villages with very limited
interaction across communities. Muslim-Turkish and Orthodox-Greek identities in Cyprus,
and Muslim and non-Muslim identities in Turkey have remained as the legal distinction
between majorities and minorities up to day. However, the durability of the identities has
not stuck to single, one-dimensional patterns. Until recent periods, religious roots of the
identities were more significant than ethnic-linguistic roots. Yet, the picture has changed
significantly in the recent history with increasing heterogeneity within the ‘meta’
communities of Muslims and non-Muslims. While some previously silent cultural groups
have increasingly mobilized (e.g. Alevites and Kurds in Turkey), secular political
movements also have increasingly had differing attitudes (the leftist, pro-integrationist
Turks in Cyprus). Yet, the institutional designs of respective regimes have long resisted to
this internal diversification.
III.a. Enduring Identity Distinctions in Cyprus
III.a.1. The British rule
The division of the millet system in Cyprus continued in a different form under
the British administration period in Cyprus. “Village administrative councils were
segregated and handled community affairs separately, with specially formed Joint
Councils for the adjudication of matters common to both groups”( Calotychos, 1998: 5-
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6). For linguistic and religious reasons, the Greek and Turkish schools of Cyprus had
been separate before the British rule and remained so during it (Bryant, 1997: 56). Eighty
two years of British rule had taken no significant step to create harmony from separate
Greek and Turkish identities. It, rather, strictly followed the Ottoman way of communal
segregation.
The annexation of the island by the British in 1878 bolstered the demands of
enosis (the ideal of unification with the mainland Greece) by Greek Cypriots. In the year
of 1900, there were seven newspapers printed on the island and the newspapers were
yearning for the motherland Greece. Even the name of the most liberal one of the seven
was Enosis (Kızılyürek, 2002: 79). Although the motherland relinquished Megali Idea6
for a while after the Minor Asian Catastrophe (1919-1922), Greek Cypriots lost nothing
from their enthusiasm for enosis under the British administration.
The intensifying anti-colonial demands of the Greek population of the island and
violent acts of EOKA (National Organization of Freedom Fighters, Ethniki Organosis
Kyprion Agoniston) pushed the Turkish population closer to the British administration.
The millet system had already divided the two societies of the island, but the increasing
demands for enosis created a new phenomenon, antagonism, between the two societies.
Turkish Cypriots developed their nationalism as a defensive contra-nationalism against
enosis demands and soon ended up with their own violent organizaions. TMT (Turkish
Defense Organization, Türk Mukavemet Teşkilatı) was formed to retaliate against the
EOKA operations.
Together with changing international circumstance, escalated inter-communal
violence and violent acts against British administration obliged Britain to accept the 6 Megali Idea means the Great Idea in Greek and refers to the aim of the uniting all Greeks.
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independence of Cyprus. Cyprus was recognized as a sovereign state by virtue of a
constitution and three treaties, the Treaty of Guarantee, the Treaty of Alliance, and the
Treaty of Establishment, all of which came into force on August 16, 1960. “Drafted by
the Greek and Turkish governments, and not by the Cypriot themselves, it [1960
constitution] contained in it provisions for segregation at all levels between the Greek and
Turkish communities, thus making the constitution virtually unworkable” (Zarocostas,
1980: 108).
III.a.2. Post-Independence developments: one state, two nations
The 1960 constitution has in fact a sui generis form when compared to the
constitutions of other countries over the world. Its durability was guaranteed by the
guarantor countries, namely Turkey, Greece and Britain according to the Treaty of
Guarantee which was accepted as having the same authority as that of the constitution.
These countries recognize and guarantee the independence, territorial integrity and
security of the Republic of Cyprus, and also the state of affairs established by the Basic
Articles of its Constitution.7 Moreover, the first subsection of the Article 182 of the
Constitution does not allow any amendments of the Basic Articles. 8 Thus the only
possible way to change the Basic Articles of the Constitution is an agreement of the sides
of the 1959-60 Agreements. The Basic Articles of the Constitution have both a national
and international character because of the references from the constitution to Zurich,
Guarantee, Alliance Treaties and from these treaties to the Constitution. Thus, the
7 Treaty of Guarantee Article 2. 8 The Constitution of the Republic of Cyprus, Article 182-1: “The Articles or parts of Articles of this Constitution set out in Annex III hereto which have been incorporated from the Zurich Agreement dated 11th February, 1959, are the basic Articles of this Constitution and cannot, in any way, be amended, whether by way of variation, addition or repeal.”
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making, change, abolishment and implementation of Cypriot constitution were
internationalized (Özersay; 2002: 46).
The Constitution does not emphasize a Cypriot nation or public, instead it
mentions about Greek and Turkish communities. While the Greek community comprised
“all citizens of the Republic who are of Greek origin and whose mother tongue is Greek
or who share the Greek cultural traditions or who are members of the Greek-Orthodox
Church”9, the Turkish community comprised “all citizens of the Republic who are of
Turkish origin and whose mother tongue is Turkish or who share the Turkish cultural
traditions or who are Moslems”.10 In the third subsection of the Article 2, the remaining
population of the Republic had individually been allowed to choose one of these
communities to participate in.
The Communal Chambers were formed regarding the divided histories of the
communities. The Chambers have both executive and legislative powers which are shared
with the House of Representatives and Ministries. Thus, the Republic is compared to the
federal states because of the fact that the real balance was between Community Chambers
and the institutions at the center in a similar situation to the balance between the
executive and legislative branches in federal states (Özersay: 2002: 46). This federation
was basically on a communal basis, but there were also some regional regulations in the
Constitution such as the creation of separate municipalities for the Turkish inhabitants in
9 The Constitution of the Republic of Cyprus, Article 2-1. 10 The Constitution of the Republic of Cyprus, Article 2-2.
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the five largest towns of the Republic (Nicosia/Lefkoshe, Limassol,
Famagusta/Gazimagusa, Larnaca and Paphos).11
The political division in Cyprus was not just insular and it linked the divided
communities to the ‘motherlands’, namely Turkey and Greece. According to the
Constitution, the official languages are Greek and Turkish.12 Although the Republic had
its own flag of neutral design and color, “the Communal authorities and institutions shall
have the right to fly on holidays together with the flag of the Republic either the Greek or
the Turkish flag at the same time”.13 “The Greek and the Turkish Communities shall have
the right to celebrate respectively the Greek and the Turkish national holidays”. 14
Moreover, each of the Greek or Turkish Communities have the right to receive subsidies
from the Greek or the Turkish Government for institutions of education, culture, athletics
and charity belonging to communities respectively.15 Also “where either the Greek or
the Turkish Community considers that it has not the necessary number of schoolmasters,
professors or clergymen for the functioning of its institutions, such Community shall
have the right to obtain and employ such personnel to the extent strictly necessary to
meet its needs as the Greek or the Turkish Government respectively may provide”.16
The political order built by the mentioned treaties and the constitution did not
endure very long. While the violence is continuing in Cyprus, three guarantor states and
two communities declared their demands at a conference in London. President Makarios
proposed minority rights for Turks and the Turkish side claimed that the December 11 The Constitution of the Republic of Cyprus, Article 173-1 (the continuation of the separate municipalities would have been decided by the President and the Vice-President of the Republic within four years according to the same Article). 12 The Constitution of the Republic of Cyprus, Article 3-1. 13 The Constitution of the Republic of Cyprus, Article 4-3. 14 The Constitution of the Republic of Cyprus, Article 5. 15 The Constitution of the Republic of Cyprus, Article 108-1. 16 The Constitution of the Republic of Cyprus, Article 108-2.
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fighting proved that the two communities should be physically separated. These opposing
demands naturally could not meet on a point and there was no agreement in London.
III.a.3. 1974 military operation: From enosis to taksim
On April 21, 1967 a group of colonels took over power in Greece and democracy
was overthrown. The 1974 Turkish military operation following the coup in Cyprus
changed the Cypriot politics dramatically by creating two de facto political authorities in
the island for the first time in its history. The Turkish Cypriots proclaimed the Turkish
Federated State of Northern Cyprus in 1975 and Rauf Denktas was elected President. In
1983, Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus was declared to the world (yet, has still not
recognized by a single country except for Turkey). Its main two differences from the
Republic of Cyprus formed in 1960 were its secular character and nearly mono-ethnic
demographic structure. It is a democratic and secular republic according to its
constitution of 1985.17 The Citizenship Law which was accepted by the Republican
Assembly of the TRNC during its session on May 21, 1993 shows the impact of
memories of the pre-1974 period on the northern part of the island. “Persons who have
made investment … and have performed or likely to perform, extraordinary services in
science, politics and cultural sectors; … who have taken part in 1974 Peace Operation
and their spouses and children; and the widows and children of those killed in the Peace
Operation; … who have rendered services after August 1, 1958 in the cadres of the
Turkish Resistance Organization in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus”18 shall
17 The Constitution of TRNC, Article 1. 18 The Citizenship Law of the TRNC, Article 9/1.
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become citizens of the TRNC without requiring the satisfaction of conditions such as
residence or good conduct under previous paragraphs.
The Turkish Cypriot economy, after the division of the island, had many problems
despite the direct and indirect economic aids of Turkey. Turkish immigrants from
Anatolia to the island in the post-1974 period, created a division in the Turkish part of the
island. Now being Cypriot or not was a defining difference among the Anatolian rooted
Turks and Turkish Cypriots. Turkish Cypriots began to underline their Cypriot identity
(Kızılyürek, 2005: 20). CTP (Republican Turkish Party, Cumhuriyetçi Türk Partisi), the
first opposition party of Turkish Cypriots which has existed in the political arena since
December 27, 1970, became the voice of anxious and unsatisfied Turkish Cypriots.
While the intra-communal dissent in increasing in the northern and southern parts
of the island, The General Secretary of the UN, Kofi Annan wanted a meeting of the
sides in Cyprus without any preconditions in a report presented to the UNSC on June, 22,
1999. UNSC drew up the general solution framework consisting of unique sovereignty,
unique citizenship, and unique representation in the international arena in the decision of
1250 and invited the sides of the problem to start the negotiations in the decision of 1251.
Although the Turkish side voted in favor of the Annan Plan in the referendum of April
24, 2004, the Greek side rejected it with 76 percent of votes and joined the European
Union after one month.
The two alternatives for a solution for the problems in Cyprus are partition or
reintegration. The second alternative is much more probable, but in which form? A
unitary state is not acceptable in any form by Turkish Cypriots and does not have an
institutional predecessor in the island. A reintegration with a confederal structure is not
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acceptable to any Cypriot Greek political party. The remaining option is a federal
reintegration, but its content is disputed as it is in the Annan Plans. No matter which
option is chosen, both sides still rely on the dualistic identity structure going back to the
millet system.
III.b. Continuity in the Turkish Politics
III.b.1. Laicism
Turkey adopted laicism in 1937, but even before this date, it is very hard to call
Turkey and the preceding Ottoman Empire as a theocracy. Religion and the state were
not separate until 1937, but the dominant one had always been the state, not the religious
authority. Örf-i Sultani was the will and decisions of the Sultan as a secular leader. The
religious codes were sometimes manipulated and sometimes totally ignored for the sake
of the state interests (Heper, 2006: 55). On the other hand, the state had not allowed an
independent Sunni authority. The Sultan was the caliphate. The head of the religious
affairs, sheikh-ul Islam, was an officer who was appointed by the Sultan. Even after the
secularization attempts of the 19th century, the sheikh-ul Islam stayed in the cabinet of
ministers until 1916 (Keyder, 2001: 123-124).
The new Turkish Republic did not break the asymmetrical dependency between
the state and religion. Despite the harsh secularizing reforms, religious authority has been
controlled and monopolized by the Directorate of Religious Affairs. Thus, religion has
remained integrated to the state. However, what the state understands from the religion
vastly differs from the image of Islam in the minds of large social segments. While state
bans religious activity in the public sphere -which is defined very largely-, the religious
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demands of the periphery increasingly politicized and came to the peak especially in the
period between 1994 and 1997. 19 The religion as it is practiced by the public was
primitive and a barrier for the Turkish modernization in the eyes of the political elite. In
practice, the headscarf ban is being used in reference to a symbol of backwardedness
juxtaposed to the public sphere (Sözen, 2006: 274). Yet, the formal definition of religion
was relevant only for Islam. The minority religious communities (e.g. Orthodox Greek
Christians, Jews) were ignored and not interfered by the governments.
III.b.2. Nationalism
A taxonomy of nationalism draws the boundaries of the nation as either flexible or
immutable, or in a point between the two margins. When shared practices (mostly in a
given territory) are privileged in the definition of nation, a nation can include diverse
ethnic origins in our perceptions and understandings. When the ethnic origin is privileged
in the definition, only sharers of the common descent are entitled to be accepted into the
volk. The first kind of definition might be labeled as the French conception of nation
which entails a universalist, rationalist, assimilationist, and state-centered account. The
second kind of definition might be labeled as the German conception of nation which
entails a particularist, organic, differentialist, and Volk-centered account (Brubaker,
1998: 138). While the French model requires assimilation, the German model applies a
strict exclusion.
Turkish nationalism in this taxonomy is very close to the French model in terms
of Kurds and close to the German model in terms of non-Muslims. While Kurds have
19 The Welfare Party won the municipal elections in many cities including Istanbul and Ankara in March 1994 election. The coalition of Welfare and True Path Parties was removed from the government in the process of 28 February 1997 soft coup.
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been tried to be assimilated into the larger society, non-Muslim population has
consistently been excluded from the Turkish-Muslim majority. The organic vision of
society has defined the society not with reference to such categories as class or
individual, but on the basis of the duties and services of different occupation groups to
the state (Keyman and Icduygu, 2005. 6). The current problem of this policy is the
assimilation of various identity groups within the larger society from a multiculturalist
perspective, and the assimilation of the individual within the larger society from a liberal
perspective. Once the public is seen as a unique totality, various impositions in the name
of the nation are legitimized at the cost of the individual and identity groups. Yet, again,
this ‘totality’ consisted of Muslims only. Non-Muslims have never been the target of
assimilation projects.
III.b.3. Centralism
The Turkish state has never trusted to the periphery. Therefore, the peripheral
actors are suspected when they have acquired political and/or economic power. The
belief of the backwardedness of the society and the lack of trust for the peripheral actors
led to the newly emerged state to adopt centralist policies. The strong-state tradition in
Turkey has operated almost completely independently from the society and assumed the
capacity to transform the society from above. In this process, it has been the state, not the
government, that has constituted the primary context of politics, defined its boundaries,
and decided who can or cannot participate in it (Keyman and İçduygu, 2005: 5). Thus, the
state has produced a fixed ‘imagined consensus’ and imposed it to the society, because
the public was not capable of defining a development path for itself in this thought
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(Heper, 2006: 29, 97). While Muslim -but not Turkish speaking minorities- were linked
to the center through inclusive (but assimilationist) linkages, non-Muslims were often left
alone in their very limited autonomous social spheres.
IV. Theorizing continuity
The Ottoman millet system provided recognition to religious groups only. This
preference over religion continued under the Republics of Cyprus and Turkey, with
varying forms. Eventually the majorites and minorities of the new republics have been
created on the same lines drawn by the millet system. For instance, Turkey denied asylum
to Gagauz refugees during the first quarter of the Republic. These people are Turkish
speakers and believed to have Turkish-descendant, but are predominantly Orthodox
Christian. Turkey denied asylum right to these self-claimed ethnic Turks because of their
religion while accepting hundreds of thousands of ethnic Albanian, Macedonian, and
Bosnian immigrants. This latter group was seen as Turkish by the state due to their
religion (Sunni Muslim). The institutional design led these people to assimilate into the
Turkish nation. Same is true for the mutual exchange of minority populations between
Turkey and Greece in 1920’s. Greeks of Turkey (except for Istanbul residents) were sent
to Greece, Turks of Greece (except for Western Thrace residents) were sent to Turkey.
Yet, each country defined Greeks and Turks based on religion, not native language.
Hence, Turkish-speaking Orthodox Christians (especially from Karaman area) were
counted as Greek and sent to Greece. Same thing happened for Greek-speaking Muslim
populations (especially on the Aegean islands). They were counted as Turkish and sent to
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Turkey. Hence, institutional exclusion of non-mobilized groups resulted in peaceful and
centripetal minority attitudes.
Then, the question becomes how such a continutiy could exist despite numerous
critical junctures (e.g., devastating wars, coups, revolutions, boundary changes)
experienced in Cyprus and Turkey. This question requires an analysis of the insitutional
continutity. This paper’s position, on this subject, is in line with historical institutionalist
(HI) accounts of instituions rather than rational choice-based institutionalist (RCI)
analyses. The RCI approach in defining institutions focuses more on the ‘strategic’ role
of institutions than HI theorists’ focus on endurance and internalization of institutions.20
According to the RCI school, institutions seem like a strategic context including
arrangements that allocate de jure political power (Acemoglu and Robinson, 2006),
games and equilibria of games (Shepsle, 1978; 1989), and solution to collective action
problems (Olson, 1982; Buchanan and Tullock, 1962). A clear demonstration of this
approach could be seen in North’s (1990) definition of institutions as “ex ante agreements
over cooperation among politicians”, which “facilitate exchange among bargaining
parties” and “reduce uncertainty by creating a stable exchange structure”. In other words,
institutions are the “rules of the game” (North, 1994: 8), and instrumental products
serving for “the interests of maximizing the wealth or utility of principals” (North, 1981:
202).
HI scholarship goes one step further in assigning a constitutive role to institutions.
I believe this is an important and fruitful difference of HI. HI seems to be advantageous
20 According to the HI school, institutions shape not only strategies for given preferences, but also shape the preferences, interests, goals, and/or objectives (Hall, 1986; 1992; 1993: 292; Ikenberry, 1988; March and Olsen, 1984: 739; 1996: 249; Skowronek, 1992; Steinmo, 1989; Thelen and Steinmo, 1992; Waldner, 2002: 25; Weir, 1992).
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in explaining bounded nature of change. Path dependence (which is not determinism
given the contingency and unpredictability of the processes) explains why similar social
structural changes lead to different political outcomes. It also tells us why institutions
remain sticky for long periods of time even though they operate inefficiently. Pierson
(2000) lists various factors to explain this situation: (a) large set-up and fixed costs; (b)
learning effects, knowledge gained in the operation; (c) coordination effects, a linked
infrastructure; (d) adaptive expectations, self-fulfilling, projections about future. As Hall
and Taylor (1996: 938) demonstrates path dependency leads to unintended consequences
which may likely to be inefficient. In sum, political change is often bounded, because
institutions do not only shape strategies, but also preferences; those in charge of
institutions resist change to protect their advantageous status; and political change is
often thought to be costly given the uncertainty of alternatives.
I believe the bounded nature of change matters because as Skocpol (1985)
underlines, change never occurs from scratch. Even the collapsed regimes may leave their
legacies behind. Turkey and Cyprus could keep their institutional legacies despite
numerous revolutions, devastating wars, coups, and sharp regime changes in their modern
histories.21 Similarly, the minority incorporation patterns in Turkey and Cyprus could
stay quite stable up to date. The changes in the peripheral demands are currently
challenging the legal structures of the given regimes. Yet, the incorporation regimes in
Cyprus and Turkey are quite resistant given the reasons above, despite the ‘inefficiency’
of Cypriot and Turkish minority incorporation regimes.
21 For instance, Turkey pursued the Ottoman minority policy (assimilating Muslim subjects and excluding non-Muslims), state control of religion (Directorate of Religious Affairs has still more budget and personnel many ministries), and top-down modernization process. Cyprus also has never questioned the communal distinction drawn by the Ottoman millet system.
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V. Concluding Remarks
The mentioned state policies of laicism, nationalism and centralism are far from
satisfying peripheral demands today in Turkey. Similarly, Cyprus’ ‘sticky’ institutional
design relying on Muslim-non-Muslim divide is quite inefficient. The new and
strengthening diverse societal demands pose serious challenges not only to particular
policies of the ruling governments, but also, and more significantly, to the founding
principles of the existing minority incorporation/exclusion regimes in Cyprus and
Turkey.
This paper sees the roots of the inefficient minority policies (in terms of satisfying
societal demands) in the historical legacy of the millet system. The change is not
impossible, but needs patience, and a careful and dedicated institutional engineering to
succeed given the insensitivity and inflexibility of the current institutional frameworks as
well as the high level of institutional autonomy from the societal segments in Cyprus and
Turkey. Given the resistance of current institutional setting and high level of state
autonomy in both Cyprus and Turkey, the change is likely to be initiated and supported
by the international actors, most importantly the European Union.
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