Logistics Intelligence Applied to Natural Gas Business

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Petroleum User Group Conference 2007Logistics Intelligence Applied to

Natural Gas Business

Sidney Pereira dos Santos - Senior ConsultantRenato Cabral - GIS Consultant

Italo Madeira – Mechanical Engineer

PETROBRAS

February 27th, 2007


LNG

Natural GasField

Brazilian Natural Gas Business

Delivery Point

l zA $$GFPP Industrial Commercial NGV Residential

yCNGLPG

yLNG

PressureGradient

Gas pipeline

Compressor Station

GTL


Natural Gas Market in Brazil

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

35,0

40,0

45,0

50,0

4,1 4,2 3,9 4,5 5,0 5,3 4,67,3

8,3 9,3 9,0 9,98,2

Reinjection

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

(MMm3/d)

NG Market Growth1990 up to 1998 ⇒ 4.5 % per year.1999 up to 2005 ⇒ 18.5 % per year.

7,6 7,7 8,5 9,0 8,1 8,4 9,4 10,4

NG Import = 2.15

10,812,3

15,5

20,022,3

5.74

10.0710.40

13.8026,4

32,934,2

Sales

19.5022.69

Internal Production24,7

26,929,6

32,5

38,4

17,1 18,1 19,0 20,1 20,9 21,8

42,5 43,3

46,548,1

36,5


Natural Gas Market in Brazil – March 2005

Source: Brasil Energia, June 2006

Total = 39.57 MMm3/d

62,5%

14,1%

15,3%4,7%1,9%

1,5%

Industrial Power Generation NGV Cogeneration Residential Commercial


CEARÁ-MAR

0.2 MMm³/d

GUAMARÉ

2.1 MMm³/d

PILAR

1.4 MMm³/d

ATALAIA

1.6 MMm³/d

SANTIAGO

2.6 MMm³/d

CANDEIAS

2.0 MMm³/d

SÃO FRANCISCO do CONDE(MANATI)

2.0 MMm³/d

LAGOA PARDA

1.9 MMm³/d

BACIA DE CAMPOS

14.0 MMm³/d

Natural Gas Supply

BACIA DE SANTOS

1.1 MMm³/d

BOLÍVIA

25.0 MMm³/d

Total Gas Supply = 53.9 MMm3/d(1,903 MMSCFD)

Existing PPL = 5,845 kmPPL Expansion = 3,880 km


GFPP

Take-or-payAgreement

LDC

Deliver-or-payAgreement

Take-or-payAgreement

Gas Producers

TransmissionCo.

Ship-or-payAgreement

Shipper

Power Purchase

AgreementUtility

Business Chain


Transmission Logistics Management System


Scenario Builder• GIS System• Pipeline Data Model - APDM• Pipeline Hydraulic Simulator (SS, TS)• Easy and friendly Interface

OLGA• Business Modeling• Linear Programming



Linear Programming addresses:• Gas supply shortage• GFPP dispatch• Schedule maintenance• Gas nomination management• Operation contingencies• Business model

• Agreements and liabilities• Governmental directives

• Scenario forecasting



Scheduling

Volumes Gas Composition

HHVVolumes

[Nomination]

Demand

ProductionPipelineCapacity

Supervision

Quality ControlMeasuring

Dispatching

Delivery

OptimizationScheduled

Maintenance

OLGA


• Gas optimized dispatching• Commercial results• Liabilities• Restrictions• Performance

Reporting



Scenario Builder• GIS System• Pipeline Data Model - APDM• Pipeline Hydraulic Simulator (SS, TS)• Easy and friendly Interface

OLGA• Business Modeling• Linear Programming


ArcGIS Gas PipelineSimulator

APDM

ScenarioBuilder

Scenario Builder Functionality


• Thermo-hydraulic Simulation• Pipeline Expansion Planning• Scalability• Flexibility• Schematic vs Geographic Interface• Corporate wide• IT - compliant

Scenario Builder


GIS + APDM

Pipeline SimulatorModels

Scenarios Reports

Schematic Interface

Spreadsheet Interface

Geographic Interface

ScenarioBuilder

Scenario Builder


Model

Scenarios

Cloned Scenarios

Input Data

GIS

Schematics

Simulation Results

Ghraphics

Scenario Builder Interface


Petroleum User Group Conference 2007Logistics Intelligence Applied to

Natural Gas Business

Sidney Pereira dos Santos - Senior ConsultantRenato Cabral - GIS Consultant

Italo Madeira – Mechanical Engineer

PETROBRAS

February 27th, 2007

Logistics Intelligence Applied to Natural Gas Business

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