International Trade and the U.S. Congress
Transcript of International Trade and the U.S. Congress
International Trade and the U.S. CongressBy Matthew C. WellsPolitical Science 3080 - Senior ThesisOffices of U.S. Congressman Jim RamstadDr. Paul Soper, Internship DirectorUniversity of Minnesota – Fall 2003
The economy is the lifeblood of an industrialized nation,
and as businesses strive to compete for limited resources, the
fate of the nation balances on being able to provide a stable
market that remains competitive and profitable for business.
Despite the availability of inexpensive labor and products
overseas, conflicting opinions arise between maintaining the
status quo of a local economy and the cost-efficient pursuit of
international capitalist trade.
In the government policy making process, industries crucial
to the national economic infrastructure can often be given
preferential treatment. The temporary burden of tariffs and other
protectionist measures can help an industry restructure in order
to compete in the open market place, but in the long run they
create artificial markets dependant on subsidies which further
restrict trade and inhibit growth.
Through my internship with Republican Congressman Jim
Ramstad’s home office, representing Minnesota’s 3rd U.S.
Congressional district, I was granted an insight to governmental
office and was able to study the relationship of public service,
our elected officials, and the law making process. Congress and
the Executive Office of the President must strive to meet the
challenges that face our nation for now and for the future as the
tides of political opinion and favor rise and fall with each
election.
The laws and administration of government policy can have a
very important effect on the well being of the country. Our
nation can look to the past to see the negative effects that
tariffs can have, such as in the Smoot-Hawley Tariff of 1930,
examine the success that can be seen with the elimination of
trade barriers in measures such as the North American Free Trade
Agreement, and also examine the increasingly global marketplace
through the steel tariffs of 2002-2003.
The U.S. Congress
The United States Congress is a bicameral governing body
comprised of 535 members, each handling different aspects of
drafting legislation, planning, and oversight. The upper house,
or Senate, contains 100 members with two individuals representing
each of the 50 states. Office terms are for six years, with 1/3
of the membership up for election every two years. This
staggering helps minimize instability posed by the easily swayed
tide of public opinion. The lower house, called the House of
Representatives, contains 435 members who are up for election
every two years, and who specialize to a greater extent in their
committee assignments than their counterparts in the Senate. U.S.
Senators are responsible for many more issues and are placed on
more committees, as there are many fewer members than in the
House of Representatives. Districts of representation in the
House are proportioned by population, with an average of more
than 600,000 people in most.[1]
In the 108th Congress, Congressman Ramstad held a seat on
the Ways and Means Trade Subcommittee, which holds strong
authority in the drafting of bills and legislation regarding
nearly every aspect of tariffs and taxation for international
commerce and trade.[2] Currently with the Senate Finance
Committee, the House Ways and Means committee dominates the halls
of Congress in amending bills, informal negotiations, drafting
trade and omnibus legislation, and assigning committee conferees
to reconcile house and senate versions of bills in order to
present them to the President to be enacted into law.[3]
On the national level in the United States, Members of
Congress retain many different techniques and measures that can
affect both local interests and relations on both the local and
international spectrum. In relation to trade, Individuals that
come from primarily blue collar districts with high levels of
manufacturing generally support cost control and quota policies
that restrict inexpensive imports and provide a more competitive
business environment for the local economy. Individuals that
represent affluent districts comprised of corporate interests and
business owners often promote policies that increase profits
through open trade and lowered costs for labor and raw materials.
In many ways, the world has become interconnected, and
foreign policy can dictate economic relations with other
countries through trade, tariffs, and treaties. The effect of
policies on trade can be regarded as components of foreign policy
where different parts combine and intertwine with each other.
Tariff and commerce questions, immigration policy, foreign aid,
international security and national defense all affect trade
issues within international relations.[4] Other ramifications
include human rights, narcotics trafficking, environmental
regulations and numerous other individual situations.
The range of beliefs in policy regarding economics and trade
greatly varies, and has a history as far as can be traced. Early
sentiments of creating trade surpluses that resulted in the
accumulation of hard currencies such as gold and silver[5]
evolved into economic concepts that factor in domestic demand,
technological and productive capability, business competition
climate and global strategies.[6] As economic evaluations grow
more complicated, concepts of competing international economies
and complementary economies become intertwined with other
factors, including government actions.[7]
In the early years of the U.S., partisan views on tariffs
were the result of protective fiscal policies and principals put
forth by Secretary of the Treasury Alexander Hamilton as part of
his financial program of 1789, and continued with varying degrees
throughout the 19th century.[8] Substantial tariffs were
generally expounded and held up following the high revenue
generation needs required by the Civil War.[9] Lawmakers passed
laws representing the popular views of constituents and
industrialists, and levied tariffs as a tax against foreign
imports. This helped safeguard and promote industries such as
textiles and mining, which were essential for the development of
the country.[10]
By the turn of the 20th century, the national consciousness
had additionally grown to encompass the ideology of utilizing
government policy and the military to protect economic interests
abroad and strengthen international trade.[11] Indeed, certain
businesses survived and thrived solely through governmental
intervention, particularly in the steel industry subsidiaries
from Navy shipbuilding and the military. The combining of the
public good, private interest, and national security became
inexorably intertwined as government and military reliance on
private firms solidly established the connection of the economy
to public policy.[12]
The face of this modern period of American foreign diplomacy
began with the new acquisition of the Cuban and the Philippine
territories following the war with Spain in 1898.[13] The U.S.
broke free of its isolated continental land lock and entered into
the world of global politics. International acceptance for the
fledgling informal American colonial empire relied on
international cooperation and America’s ‘Open Door’ trade policy
that was reliant on the countries proximity to China.[14]
Trade policy depends on the continued success of trade
partners, as demonstrated with the passing of World War I. A new
international economic crisis was forming as the United States
found themselves the lessor of $10.3 billion war dollars to the
countries of Europe. To achieve repayment, Congress created a
tight fisted Debt Commission to collect funds through policies
that forbid any concessions or bargaining. While strict policy
was not completely adhered to, the Commission was in part a
reaction from Congress to gather some power back from the
Presidency lost during the war.[15] Regardless, the money was
attempted to be extracted from disparate and unenthusiastic
countries with war torn economies and little ability to pay.[16]
At home America was facing its own crises that would prove
crucial to foreign and domestic economic policy. Banks had
greatly over extended themselves in the 1920s through unsound
lending and extreme speculation and eventually leading in part to
the Great Crash of the New York Stock Exchange on October 29th,
1929[17]. American farm income also was sharply reduced in the
years following WWI as agricultural production in Europe
recovered, and world markets could not consume U.S.
overproduction. The 1920s saw farm foreclosures skyrocket as the
gross national value of farm products was nearly cut in half. In
response, Congress passed and the President signed the 1922
Fordney-McCumber Tariff Act, which attempted to provide higher
prices for farmers by raising the price of imported farm goods.
[18]
American financial woes were only made more difficult when
foreign countries were even more unable to repay war debts under
the system of high U.S. tariffs.[19] Retaliatory tariffs were
subsequently enacted by other countries, which subsequently
served to weaken the economy by constraining U.S. export markets.
[20]
While some individuals from both Republican and Democratic
corners correctly claimed that the tariffs were artificially
supporting domestic industry at a cost to the consumer,[21]
others claimed the increase of prosperity in the mid 1920s was a
result of tariff protectionism, and urged that existing tariffs
were not adequate to protect agricultural interests.[22] Fervent
lobbying of various interest groups[23] resulted in the passage
of the U.S. Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 by the protectionist
factions of the Republican controlled House and Senate
majorities.[24]
Tariffs can be useful tools that are demanded by
constituents to protect the economic viability of a district of
representation, such as the farm blocs that pushed the increased
agricultural tariffs of Smoot-Hawley[25] beyond even those of
Fordney-McCumber.[26] Capaigns hinge on the issue and being
elected can depend upon it as pressured interests peddle their
influence.[27] As the constituents gather their resources and
organize, so too do elected officials gather their political
capital to increase their influence through coalitions.[28]
The Republican majority of Congress in 1929-1930 held 15 of
the 25 seats of the Committee on Ways and Means and was able to
place subcommittee chairs that controlled specific tariff
interests specific to their district. Through established rules,
the Democratic minority was not represented and had no say in the
legislative committee drafting.[29]
House Ways and Means Committee Chair Willis Chatman Hawley
of Oregon and Senate Finance Committee Chair Reed Smoot of Utah
were both avid proponents of tariffs.[30] Their partisan
counterparts and certain members from farm belt states were not
as enthused about the prospects that the higher tariffs would
bring. Farmers were pleased that certain goods such as lumber and
shingles were limited in the tariff, but overall the numbers were
beguiling due to the tariffs on other manufactured goods
outweighing any possible positive effects.[31]
Rancor between House and Senate versions of the bill was
increased by President Hoover publicly decreeing some measures of
the Senate version as unsatisfactory following the House passage
of the bill.[32] The President disliked the Senate version which
allowed Congressional altering of tariffs, while members of
Congress claimed tariffs a form of taxation and therefore not a
right of the Executive branch.[33] After six months, eighteen
days and 1,253 amendments, the bill passed the Senate and was
headed for a conference committee to reconcile the differences
with the House bill.[34]
Conference committee members are the last line of authority
in directing how a bill proceeds to the President for signature
and passage into law. Rules are generally adopted by majority
leadership to tailor the committee conferees and determine the
structure of the proceedings. Little amendment action is possible
from outside of the committee due to the tenuous and provisional
nature of bill review. Ultimately the conference report comes out
of committee, is passed by both the House and the Senate, and
then is presented to the President.[35]
Membership on the Smoot-Hawley conference committee was
limited to five members from each body of Congress, with three
Republicans and two Democrats chosen. The votes which passed the
bill through Congress had members defecting from official party
stances of conservatives and liberals on both sides of the aisle,
but the bill was not in accordance with President Hoover’s will.
Various measures in the bill were opposed in one body of Congress
but supported in the other, and the bill traveled from committee
to the floor and back multiple times. With the country challenged
by the Great Depression, the measures begettingly became law.[36]
Despite the hoped for benefits of the tariffs, world trade
and American imports and exports had dropped to between 1/3rd and
1/4th of their original values in the years following the Great
Crash of 1929.[37] Other countries quickly realized that if the
excess of American farms and industry were to compete in their
home markets, retaliatory measures would be necessary to protect
their own markets and national interests, such as quotas to limit
imports and financial tariffs.[38]
In Italy, Mussolini argued that the United States held the
right to build a tariff wall to protect American markets, but
that Europe also reserved the ability to defend the economic
interests of their own countries. He remarked,
“That capacity of America to conquer the world markets has imposed on other nations the obligation to protect their ownmarkets…No one contests the right of America to construct a tariff wall and reject all protests under the pretext that tariff policy is an interior question. However, that policy has profound and well-known repercussion.”[39]
Retaliatory measures increased the duty of inexpensive Ford
automobiles in Italy from $350 to $815.50 on an $800 vehicle. The
counter-tariffs effectively dried up the growing Italian market
for American production cars to approximately 90% of what it had
been just months previously.[40]
By 1930, thirty-eight countries had protested the United
States’ tariff increases in the Smoot-Hawley bill.[41] In
Switzerland, where 10% of the population was dependant on watch
making and the supplying trades, U.S. tariffs on watches and
clocks infuriated and insulted the Swiss economy and national
pride. Swiss importers and citizens began a boycott of American
products while favoring purchases to American competitors.[42]
Closer to home, tariff exchanges resulted in a reduction of U.S./
Canadian trade in excess of 1 billion dollars between the two
countries, approximately 2/3rds to 3/4s of the level that existed
prior to Smoot Hawley.[43]
The Great Depression had begun, and tariffs enacted began to
build up constituencies and special interests that saw a benefit
from the measures, despite the unintended consequences to
commerce and industry. Others recognized that if a benefit could
be seen by an increase in trade with other countries, then a
mechanism to lessen the restrictions placed by tariffs would be
necessary.[44]
The Republican Senate and House majorities in 1930 had
ushered in the increased protectionist measures of Smoot-Hawley,
but the rise to power of Democratic majorities in the Congress of
1934 allowed the passage of the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act,
[45] which gave the President negotiating authority to enter into
agreements with other countries for reducing tariffs and
increasing trade. By the end of World War II, 32 such bilateral
country to country agreements had been struck by the President
with 27 countries, greatly affecting many of the dutiable imports
and exports of the United States.[46] After a return in 1942 to
levels of trade that existed prior to Smoot-Hawley and prior to
the Great Depression, U.S. exports flourished with the expansive
boom of global commerce.[47]
We have established the actions and pressures of Congress
have both domestic and international effect. With NAFTA, we will
further the examination of how multi-lateral agreements affecting
several countries are entered into, and how it benefits or hurts
different areas of economic activity.
The North American Free Trade Agreement
The increased tariffs produced benefits for various sectors
of the American economy, but the trade associations, industry and
farm blocs favored could not solely account for the entire
interest of the U.S. economy. Ancillary industries, parallel
industries, and ultimately the consumers who are dependant on low
tariff imports and materials bear the burden of the domestic
catering and protectionist measures that benefit particular
fields and industries. However, the diffused political capital of
consumers does not provide incentive and direction to lawmakers
as does the direct interests of producers who collectively lobby
for protective tariffs.[48]
Further developments in addressing trade policy would
continue through the second half of the twentieth century, with
the President taking on the burden of negotiating and initiating
trade policy. General Agreements on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)
between multiple countries were constructed to address
increasingly complex world economies and improve the impact of
addressing multiple tariffs rather than single items. New
negotiations would occur under a series of ‘rounds’ that could
address further needs and developments. After Smoot Hawley,
tariffs fell from 60% to less than 6% as a result of GATTs
between the 1930s and the 1980s.[49]
The power of the Executive branch to negotiate trade is
granted by Congress. In the Trade Act of 1974, the President was
granted ‘fast-track authority’ which required Congress to act
quickly on trade agreements that the President negotiated. The
U.S. President was also authorized by Congress in the 1979 Tokyo
Round to set codes with multiple countries simultaneously to
address important non-tariff trade barriers and concerns such as
product standards and government subsidized industries.[50] Fast-
track authority is examined periodically by Congress according to
the needs of a specific round of trade agreements, and would play
a large role in NAFTA politics.[51]
Executive and congressional decision making can have a
monumental impact on individuals and on businesses. Businesses
and trade associations in the U.S. and around the world have
gathered their resources to help direct government policies such
as taxation, tariffs, labor standards, pricing and the like. The
relationships that are forged between industry, government
agencies and elected officials create strong and lasting ties
amongst individuals with similar regulatory concerns for
constituents and the business power base. Due to the three sided
connection and the strong intrinsic nature of the views promoted,
the relationships forged are called ‘Iron Triangles’.[52] In the
United States, the first recorded associations and business
groups began in the 1700s, the most important of which still
remaining are the New York Chamber of Commerce, the New York
Stock Exchange, and prior to the Civil War, the American Iron and
Steel Institute.[53]
The ‘Iron Triangle’ relationship can often be convoluted,
even when all interested parties share a specific vision.
Opposing interests often form similar associations which can keep
particular agendas from dominating industry and policy matters.
[54] Leaders of different groups find that control over the
prosperity and welfare of a region is a matter of great concern
to its citizens. Those interests can rise above the electoral
politics as those who support their policy goals can rely on
their political support.[55] With NAFTA, winners and loser both
would face significant change without concrete foresight of
results.
In the law making process, even when political priorities
are aligned and bills are drafted, it is still important to have
coherent and solid policies which allow companies the leverage to
pursue business that can compete in the open market. Other hoped-
for policies include education friendly legislators that
encourage the development of skills to meet the needs of
business, regulations considerate to companies regarding human
resources, a lessened tax burden and others.[56] With the advent
of free trade agreements, foreign direct investment and laws
accommodating to international business, the role of
multinational corporations has rapidly expanded. In order to
streamline operations, secure sources of raw materials and
improve profitability, businesses operate in several countries
with controlling ownership of multiple entities or subsidiaries
that vertically integrate all aspects of operations from raw
material acquisition to end sales.[57]
A brief look at history will show that the struggle for the
comforts and securities of prosperous trade has been developing
for generations, ingrained in the sense of our common
consciousness. Multilateral trade agreements and conflicts of
trading between multiple countries are not new developments.
Remnants of prehistoric cultures offer evidence of dispersed
trade in the Upper Paleolithic Era from around 40,000 to 10,000
B.C.[58] In the more recent common era, the European Hanseatic
League was a commercial alliance of merchants and cities in
several countries which traded multilaterally with each other and
operated independent of military or territorial concerns from the
mid 12th to mid 17th centuries in the Baltic and North Sea areas.
[59] The conditions for cooperation in the League were likely
similar to requirements of modern nations entering into free
trade agreement such as NAFTA, or in the 80s, the Free Trade Area
of the U.S. and Canada. Areas like general government policy,
economic and political risk, banking and investment climates and
regulations, market conditions, geographical considerations,
trade infrastructure, and social-cultural conditions are all
facets to consider in the development of trade policy.[60]
In the 1980s, President Ronald Reagan of the United States
met with Prime Minister Brian Mulroney of Canada and proposed
that all tariff and non- tariff barriers to trade be eliminated
between the two countries. With the United States being the
dominant economic power in North America, the dissent and
opposition was short lived in comparison to Canada, whose
Parliament remained split over the matter until elections settled
clear majorities that offered their support. The resulting
bilateral agreement, called the U.S. Canada Free Trade Agreement
(FTA) addressed tariffs, investments, disputes and governance of
more than $150 billion dollars of trade between the two
countries. Its success led to the proposal of the trilateral
North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) between the U.S.,
Canada and Mexico.[61]
With the elder U.S. Bush Administration temporarily
approving NAFTA on December 17th, 1992, trade and investment
barriers were eliminated between the U.S., Canada and Mexico,
creating the world’s largest single market with $6 trillion in
gross domestic product and 360 million consumers.[62] Different
associations, trade blocks, multinational corporations and
Members of Congress came into conflict over the passage of free
trade agreements eliminating both trade tariffs and non-tariff
trade barriers (NTBs). Similar to Canadian opposition to the FTA,
many in the United States argued that jobs would be lost,
environmental concerns ignored, and other factors taken into
consideration that would limit widespread support for the trade
agreement between the three countries.[63] Complex networks of
jurisdictions, negotiations, bartering, authority, enactment, and
oversight comprises trade policy and would prove directly or
indirectly responsible for NAFTA’s passage.[64]
The bulk of Oval Office duties in negotiating trade policy
are relegated to the cabinets, departments, agencies, and
coordinating groups that make the Executive Office of the
Presidency.[65] President William Jefferson Clinton inherited the
NAFTA agreement from the previous Bush administration, and his
credibility as a world leader and a negotiator of foreign policy
was dependent on its approval by Congress before January 1st,
1994, or the agreement would sunset, ending it.[66]
A complete breakdown of interests and factors President
Clinton had to consider involving the NAFTA treaty is impossible
without a thorough examination that can identify the social,
economic and ideological mores of numerous participants.
Different views on trade and government intervention are held by
individuals depending on how they are affected. Those employed at
support jobs and who rely on government intervention and
regulations for the protection of an industry often support
subsidies and tariffs. Executives at transport companies and
corporations who are able to open valuable avenues of revenue
generation abroad are generally free traders who desire lessened
trade barriers and freedom from financial restrictions. Multiple
viewpoints are then represented at state and national offices
through the voting process for candidates who share their views
and promote their concerns. For the Members of Congress elected
to Washington, NAFTA is both a national and international issue.
Members are placed into various committees and are able to
vote up or down on different bills, but also are able to gain
crucial experience, pursue their districts needs, and develop
personal agendas through member placement in subcommittees and
specialty caucuses where they can broaden their expertise and
where their influence can be utilized. In specialty caucuses,
both current and former Members of Congress convene along with
public and private leaders to discuss opinions regarding
different issue areas and pursue agendas in their field of
interest like members from Steel producing states joining
interests in the Steel Caucus, which will be discussed in the
third section.
Coming from a district with a strong business interest in
medical technology, Congressman Ramstad founded and co-chairs the
Medical Technology Caucus. He also has been involved chairing the
House Law Enforcement Caucus, where his involvement led him to
authoring multiple anti-crime bills that were made into law.[67]
From session to session, members routinely rotate in and out of
committees, representing both major elected political parties.
The party who holds a majority of elected members in either the
house or the senate, however, is given a majority of the seats in
committee, and also authority over committee chair appointments.
The committee chairs control action on bills and usually have the
longest elected tenure and also hold political views aligned
closely with the political ideology of party leadership.[68]
Party leadership can reward members for their work with sought
after placements and committee chair positions, or can have them
taken away for obstructing party agendas.[69]
Individual members still must utilize complicated reasoning
and consider political positioning when faced with crucial
decisions that affect the lives of their constituents, such as
the far-reaching NAFTA measure, HR3450, that faced members in the
103rd Congress of 1993 and 1994. Various employers, workers,
farmers, capital interests, corporations, political groups, and
consumers lobbied arguments both for and against the NAFTA issue.
[70] The interests of so many differing factions make analysis of
such a broad topic problematic. Quite similar to Smoot Hawley,
the arguments can be streamlined into views that range from
dogmatic to rational in promoting labor and economic agendas.
Views could be conciliatory or contradictory to other viewpoints
in attempts to preserve and maintain a status quo of livelihoods
and business operations.
The political clout of these groups vary from district to
district, and greatly affects the way that officials are elected
and work with each other in any given election year. Politicians
and candidates campaign on various platforms, and their
incumbency or ability to get elected can rely on the record of
how they vote on ‘button’ issues. The public accordingly expects
Congress to pass laws that reflect majority opinions while
addressing national problems, and may likely offer support only
to candidates who support their top concerns.[71] Issues like
NAFTA could increase the profits of many businesses in one
district while shutting down a factory in another, causing
gridlock in the legislative and executive offices.
In Pennsylvania’s ‘Steel-Belt’, NAFTA was viewed as an
escalator to lost jobs and closed factories. Strong unions
promoted their anti-NAFTA views, proclaiming their steel
dependent economy as the ‘Rust Belt’ that would suffer even more
as jobs head south of the border to take advantage of lax
environmental regulation and inexpensive labor. In response to
their worries, a first term Congressman promptly began an Anti-
NAFTA Caucus in Washington.[72]
The views of worried employees and managers were not without
substantiation. From 1980 to 1986, Colgate-Palmolive was a global
corporation whose profits nearly quadrupled from $122.5 million
to $580.2 million. The widely successful company saw stock prices
and dividends nearly triple. Exports from the United States,
however, fell as labor and materials allowed foreign countries to
operate without the use of American labor and manufacturing.
Their domestic workforce was cut from 21,800 US employees to
6,410 as overseas employment increased 15% to 30,890.[73]
Questions regarding the regulation of tariffs and market
issues arose from different sectors, throwing uncertainty into
NAFTA’s passage with support or opposition fixed across regions,
states and individual businesses. In Washington, American
interests still dominated the legislative agenda, but their
elected officials were not the only players. In 1970, there were
157 registered foreign lobbyists working in the Washington, D.C.
area. By 1995, that number had grown to 554.[74] Conflicting
interests from different countries was common, like the Mexican
sugarcane industry and American corn sugar interests embattled
against each other regarding the sugar industry.[75],[76]
In Minnesota, where beet sugar is produced and many
businesses and livelihoods are dependent upon its production,
U.S. Congressman Collin Peterson stated that approximately 1/4 of
all businesses in the 8th congressional district would be out of
business if the sugar beet industry was wiped out from
international competition.[77] Other Minnesota businesses, such
as Bloomington based electronics retailer Best Buy, would see
benefits in increased sales and profits on inexpensive imports
from exporting foreign countries. With so much at stake, the
lines were drawn in attempts to reconcile the economic demands of
global change and the economies of existing infrastructures.
The anti-NAFTA side cites statistics that support overall
American job losses from increases in imports,[78] while many
pro-NAFTA businesses wave a big dollar sign of potential profit
increases in support of the free trade agreement. In 1990, US
exports to Canada and Mexico totaled $112.3 billion, while
imports from Canada and Mexico to the US amounted to $121.6
billion. Despite placing significant constraints on segments of
the economy, agreements like NAFTA promise to increase profits
from reduced tariff levels, the utilization of foreign labor, the
opening of new trade markets, lower consumer prices, and an
increased access to oil and natural gas reserves, all combining
to great potential benefits to US consumers and business. Further
regulation of issues such as intellectual property law and other
international legal matters also become items of interest to any
business operating beyond American borders.[79]
President Clinton began his press for NAFTA and his desired
changes, which included tougher environmental protections, worker
safety standards, and American presidential oversight. The scope
of NAFTA is monumental, but Clinton viewed it as another building
block of his administration to combine with taxation and health-
care reforms.[80] Former U.S. Presidents lined up in support of
the measure. Critics of the agreement, however, began making
Clinton’s promises to Canada and Mexico difficult. H. Ross Perot,
the 1992 third party Presidential candidate, consumer advocate
and corporate watchdog Ralph Nader, conservative Patrick
Buchanan, and liberal Jesse Jackson came out with others strongly
against the measure, as did the Democratic House Minority Leader
Dick Gephardt. Further complicating matters was a change in the
political majority in Canada, but became offset by rebounds in
the Mexican economy. [81]
President Clinton had to balance the economic benefit of the
U.S. with the angry voters and business owners who would be
displaced if the NAFTA agreement was made permanent. Having
focused on budget setting and the deficit for the first half of
the year, the Clinton administration had to tackle anti-NAFTA
groups who were bulwarking on Capitol Hill. Labor associations
like the AFL-CIO slated NAFTA as a litmus test of support from
legislators, and environmentalists urged clauses ensuring that
companies would not eagerly leave US soil to take advantage of
lax foreign restrictions on environmental standards.[82]
Clinton began combing his list of influential politicos who
would be of help to the NAFTA agreement, with both his
administration and his credibility as a negotiator of foreign
policy on the line. He appointed a US Trade Representative,
Mickey Kantor, who had not been firmly entrenched in the camps of
either the free trade or protectionist camps,[83] whom with
former Minnesotan Congressman Bill Frenzel, Jim Ramstad’s
predecessor, Clinton had a valuable insider who could help gather
key Republican votes and help sway Members of Congress like Newt
Gingrich, who was rising up through the conservative political
ranks. Through William Daley, brother to Chicago’s Mayor and
another cabinet level contender in Clinton’s fold, the President
had the ability to coordinate the congressional campaign and
connect with Democratic heavyweights.[84] In addition to former
Presidents Nixon, Ford, Carter, Reagan and Bush lending at least
their nods of approval for NAFTA, 300 economists from varying
schools of thought signed on, stating that jobs and income would
increase across the board. The Clinton administration began
pulling bi-partisan Congressional votes off the fences and into
their camp.[85]
The political maneuvering was not simply playing pat-a-cake
with Washington, however. Clinton had to pursue aggressively
against labor interests, drawing criticism from his own party,
but gathering respect from Members of Congress across the aisle.
Party politics could not be relied on in the matter, and fine-
tuning the agreement required concessions that catered to
interest blocs – namely textiles and the big three auto
manufacturers, both whom desired to keep foreign competition from
setting up shop in the Mexican or Canadian markets and then doing
tariff free business in the U.S. Also included were prohibitions
regarding sugar, and to a lesser extent, citrus production,
stifling to the Mexican economy, but not so much as to neglect
the benefit of the trade agreement.[86]
The President also knew the deal would profoundly affect the
U.S. economy and foreign policy. When he sent Vice President Gore
to debate NAFTA opponent and presidential candidate Ross Perot on
Larry King Live, the stakes were high, but Gore easily won. The
NAFTA agreement passed with votes to spare, 234-200 in the House,
and 61 to 38 in the Senate.[87] President Clinton spoke regarding
the measure:
“Just a few minutes ago, the House of Representatives voted to approve the North American Free Trade Agreement. NAFTA will expand our exports, create new jobs, and help us reassert America’s leadership in the global economy. This agreement is in the deep self-interest of the United States.It will help make working Americans, the world’s most productive workers, winners in the world economy.”[88]
He signed the measure into law on December 8th, 1993, and in
one broad stroke of his pen, Clinton had proved himself to be
worthy as chief negotiator of legislation and shaper of both
domestic and foreign policy.[89]
In the years that followed, detractors and proponents would
both find circumstance and figures to cite conversely
indemnifying or supporting the NAFTA measure. The left catering
liberal magazine The Nation states: Subsidized American farm
products have put many small Mexican farmers out of business,
with corporate interests and NAFTA jurisdiction leaving local
governments and controls powerless. With China’s government
arranging better deals on technology and controls on foreign
direct investment prior to entering the WTO, many of the hoped
for benefits were lost or marginalized in Mexico.[90] On the
flipside of arguments, the free-trade backing British newspaper,
The Economist, wrote that following the passage of NAFTA, U.S.
exports to Mexico grew 22 percent, and imports from Mexico gained
23 percent. [91] Despite NAFTA gains, Mexico was dealing with
prevailing financial difficulties, rampant inflation, budget
deficits and devaluation of its currency, and their NAFTA
honeymoon was short lived. Canadian and U.S. interests bailed out
the Mexican economy with billions in emergency credits, and later
the Clinton administration procured $50 billion in loans for the
lagging country.[92]
At any measure, the economy of Mexico has expanded, with
many workers seeing the benefits in new factories opened by
American companies to rebound from Asian competition. The seven
decade one party system was replaced with a multiparty democracy,
high school graduation rates have increased, and exports doubled
from 15% to 30% of the GDP, which itself increased from $403
billion to $594 billion. Many gains have only been seen by a
margin of Mexican companies, however, and much of the growth has
been isolated in border states.[93] Naturally some of these
developments are pragmatic in nature, but the circumstance that
factored into the decisions of the executive branch can be
examined in multiple arenas. In the following section, the
younger President Bush’s application and then repeal of steel
tariffs would be directly affected by the organization of world
economic trade that began with the passage of NAFTA by President
Clinton.
Tariff Case History: Congress, President Bush and the Steel Tariffs of 2002
In January of 1999, thousands of steel mill workers
descended into Washington D.C. to protest the effects of high
quality and inexpensive steel imports from foreign countries.
With a domestic steel industry workforce reeling from the
economic impact, workers numbering in the thousands were facing
unemployment or had lost their jobs already. President Clinton
clearly was at an impasse between his position in making foreign
policy and the domestic needs of the U.S.[94] In order to
understand Clinton’s positioning a bit better and the immediate
impact of the Bush administration’s first term, we will first
take a brief look at the history of the steel market in the U.S.
The control of mineral and ore resources and subsequent
industry can make a country a global power or the lack thereof
leaving a country economically subordinate to other countries and
secondary in foreign policy negotiations.[95] In the early 20th
century, vast resources of mineral deposits like iron and coal
gave the U.S. a strong position in industrial development and the
global marketplace.[96] Western Pennsylvanian coal, a majority of
the world’s petroleum production and northern Minnesotan iron
deposits gave the U.S. an abundance of the iron and fossil fuels
needed for steel production. The emergence of the industrial
revolution not only affected commerce, but also led to a shift in
nationalized power being dependent on industrial production and
mechanized armies rather than the traditional masses of
individual soldiers.[97]
Steel had been a vital component in the building of
railroads, the construction of urban cities, the emerging
automobile market, the changing tool and manufacturing markets,
and the development of integrated corporations and big business,
but the new development of military power drove a national
conjoining of military and business interests.[98] These
interests, further propelled by the U.S. entry as an
international global power following the Spanish-American
conflict, affected not only domestic steel production and
governmental relations with steelmakers, but also altered
relations abroad. The profits of making armor were remarkable;
industrialist Andrew Carnegie recognized the financial benefit of
military contracts, stating that railroads were too poor to
further business, and, “general trade may be better but there’s
no profit in that. Good thing we are to get more Armor this
year”[99]
Producing steel domestically for defense rather than abroad
was a security interest for the U.S., and it affected the
development of the industry.[100] Trading with other countries
offered strategic advantage or a disadvantage,[101] and the
awarding of navy contracts and government needs furthered the
U.S. steel industry in a short time, much faster than would any
amount of commercial interests. Fueled by military profiteering,
the emerging consolidated steel companies and their competitors
now turned to pressuring commercial markets with the same
political maneuvering and machinations that quickly brought steel
manufacturing to prominence.[102]
The protected nature of the steel industry, however, led to
difficulties as big steel ignored smaller consumers of steel in
the marketplace, and steel worker union led strikes forced larger
steel consumers, such as the automobile industry, to look
overseas for assured supplies of steel. New demands and
improvements were ignored and the emergence of better quality and
less expensive steel from international competitors ensued. This
foreign manufacturing advantage was strangely established with
post WWII reconstruction funds from the U.S. government and the
backing of dominant U.S. steel interests, whose dated furnaces
would get continuous supplies of scrap steel from the new
overseas producers. Steel formerly exported was now being
imported, and quality control in U.S. steel furnaces declined.
The U.S. position was still successful, but it fostered
complacency in the domestic industry and union guaranteed
production quotas replaced an industry response to steel
consumers and the adoption of new technologies. By the 1980s,
waves of high quality imported steel had, according to Thomas
Misa and his book A Nation of Steel, “wiped out domestic
producers.”[103]
Since 1968, lawmakers in Washington had held several methods
of maintaining controls of steel imports to the benefit of the
domestic industry. Measures included congressional quotas that
would peg domestic production output minimums against foreign
imports, escape clauses allowing temporary relief through the
General Agreement on Taxes and Tariffs, countervailing and anti-
dumping duties levied against foreign subsidized goods being into
domestic markets, and voluntary export restraints (VRAs) based on
mutual bilateral agreements.[104]
The execution of some of these methods, however, can result
in threatened economic conflict and retaliations from other
countries.[105] When the U.S. International Trade Commission
(ITC) found that some international steel products were injurious
to the domestic industry in the late 1970s, President Jimmy
Carter asked for voluntary trade constraints with leading
exporters. When only Japan complied, a three year agreement was
undertaken with them, and quota controls were enacted against
other suppliers. These types of trade adjustment measures are in
constant flux, with petitions and concessions constantly being
sought by firms in every country, sometimes with desired
outcomes, and other times with the efforts being denied. Once
achieved, the benefits are reaped, and when expired, they are
sought again for their substantial financial gains.[106]
Negotiations for tariffs can be interesting, as major issues
such as investment privileges, intellectual property rights,
strategic goals and political aims can hover above the
negotiating table along with discussions involving the price of
imported canned hams, or details involving the production and
shipping of poultry. Inevitably, marketplace changes and
developments make the negotiations a constantly changing
landscape. The floor of yesterday’s fought-for-minimums become
the ceiling of today’s surpluses that require proposing
concordances with different countries in order to harmonize
pricing and multilateral stability in several sectors. Despite
attempts by all interested parties to avert difficulty or promote
growth in negotiations, underlying and looming market conditions
can overpower any measures undertaken, nullifying disadvantages,
minimizing benefits and stupefying reciprocal attempts to achieve
a good deal.[107]
Negotiations must also pay attention to the domestic
constituencies whose support is needed for the crucial votes in
Congress. Proper deals can placate factions like the steel and
textile industries, and votes in Washington can be assured once
negotiations are finalized. Trade negotiations that offer
industry the most recourse to the international trade process
generally are supported.[108]
In Congress, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) is one
means by which effects of bills and other congressional actions
can be watched and analyzed. This analysis is undertaken for acts
already passed into law, but also for future planning in areas
like nuclear proliferation acts, belligerent country sanctions,
trade acts, banking regulations and other Acts of Congress.
Different sanctions are available tools to Federal Government,
affecting commercial relations, private commerce, government
assisted commerce, financing, and military procurements all
around the world.[109] At any time, these areas of Congressional
study can be affected by Executive branch decisions through
actions such as restricting travel and communication, the use of
licensing and inspections to limit goods coming and going at
port, changing tariff rates or quotas, reducing, increasing or
eliminating government assistance, and the denial of private
financing.[110],[111] Parallel industries and interests can be
affected to different extents by these actions, and costs can
vary for both countries depending on the political or economic
purpose beyond the methods employed.[112]
Throughout the late sixties, seventies and early 80s, U.S.
steel producer interests had secured noteworthy protections
against foreign imports. The lobbying by collective interests
from steel producing regions of the producers themselves, the
steelworker unions, and members of Congress themselves held more
clout than the individual efforts of domestic steel consumers.
[113]
Despite a weakened political strength that resulted from a
greatly reduced steel workforce shrinking to 236,000 in 1984 from
572,000 in 1960, the steel industry still has major proponents.
[114],[115],[116] John Heinz, a Republican from Pennsylvania on
the Senate Finance Committee, helped create bipartisan caucuses
of members representing steel districts in both the Senate and
the House. The Steel Caucus began moving quota legislation
through Congress and in 1982, the steel industry itself began
flooding the International Trade Commission with antidumping and
countervailing tariff petitions.[117] President Reagan reacted
quickly and began to negotiate new restraints on steel imports
from Europe. Steel again became an issue in the 1984 campaign,
when the commission ruled in favor of domestic producers under
antidumping laws and recommended that the White House impose
tariffs or quotas.[118]
Despite studies showing great costs to consumers and the
economy, the measures were justified as a means to further the
economic gains of the aging U.S. steel industry for retooling and
competitive modernization.[119] The efforts became adopted by
leadership of both parties in a presidential election year, as
the Democratic presidential challenger from Minnesota, Walter
Mondale, quickly declared his support for tight steel quotas.
[120] President Reagan responded to the recommendations of the
ITC by appointing the United States Trade Representative to again
negotiate with foreign governments for voluntary export
restraint. Congress specified if the Executive goals were not
met, further action would be undertaken.[121]
The Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR)
is crucial to the relationship involving trade between the
Executive and Legislative branches of government. The cabinet
level USTR is the primary negotiator between Congress and the
President on trade issues, and leads policy formulation and
negotiation as the official envoy to international trade
organizations. Other Executive groups, councils and departments
provide crucial advice on matters ranging from the budget to
national security and coordinating policy.[122]
President Clinton, and other presidents, had other offices
from which crucial feedback and advice could be gathered from
domestic and international venues. In addition to the DC budget
offices and the USTR, other traditional roles generally held in
high regard as emissaries between economic security and foreign
policy include the National Security Advisor, the Secretary of
State, the State Department, ambassadors, the Pentagon, and the
intelligence communities.[123] President Clinton faced pressures
in showing good faith in assisting countries rebounding from the
Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s, but at the same time he
offered tax breaks to a steel industry that was reeling from
increases in Japanese steel imports.[124]
Congress likewise undertook efforts to provide support for
the steel industry, but faced jurisdiction and legal differences
with the new World Trade Organization. On March 17, 1999, the
House of Representatives passed, by a landslide, a bill to impose
steel quotas for three years. The quotas were to be found illegal
under WTO rules, and placed the President under scrutiny from the
international community. Clinton vowed to veto it unless it was
rewritten,[125] but the Senate companion bill couldn’t gain the
votes necessary to end debate on the matter, effectively ending
its progress. Introduced by members of the House and Senate Steel
Caucuses, the bills still put public pressure on President
Clinton to act, and he agreed to impose over $400 million in
tariff protections on imported steel.[126]
The same genre of problems that President Clinton faced
would carry through to President Bush during his first term. It
was reported in January of 2002 in The Contractor, the industry
newsmagazine of mechanical contracting, that the ITC had
recommended President Bush to place tariffs up to 40% on low-cost
steel imports. Members of the industry association American Iron
and Steel Institute mentioned the decline of prices and steady
stream of foreign steel has led to further difficulties with the
U.S. industry staying competitive and operating at all.[127]
Indeed, while imports of foreign steel had actually gone down
from 37.7 million metric tons in 1998 to 29.7 million metric tons
in 2002,[128] the U.S. steel magnate Bethlehem Steel filed for
Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and government and industry
leaders alike were pressing for corporate consolidation.[129]
Under political pressure from the steel industry Bush had
initiated the ITC case in June of 2001. Following the ITC’s
recommendation and appealing to voters in key steel producing
states who were rightly worried about their pensions and
economies, Bush widely applied tariffs against several countries
and on many steel products in March of 2002. He wrote to
Congress:
In accordance with section 203(b) of the Trade Act of 1974, as amended (the “Act”), I hereby transmit documents to the Congress that describe the safeguard action that I have proclaimed on imports of certain steel products, pursuant tothe authority vested in me by section 203(a)(1) of the Act and as President of the United States, and the reasons for taking that action.
George W. BushThe White House, March 5, 2002[130]
The steel industry had requested even further safeguards,
while detractors said the tariffs would only prolong the
inevitable changes needed in the industry. Opponents also said
that the ruling would not be upheld at WTO appeals, and would be
damaging to trade in other sectors.[131]
Facing trade imbalances can put governmental policy at a
delicate position between domestic and foreign necessity. While
securing domestic supplies is an important factor in decision
making, policies that oblige sectors to remain in decline leads
to national sentiment for the support of displaced workers and
against losses in manufacturing.[132]
Despite this prevailing sentiment towards maintaining U.S.
job sectors, sources in Congress often have contradictory
opinions. Members of the Steel Caucus are likely to place
different context on the benefits to the industry and economic
climate at large than individuals who testify at hearings before
the Committee on Small Business. The Honorable committee Chairman
Donald Manzullo(R-IL) held a pair of hearings on the issue in
2002 that focused on the unintended consequences of steel tariffs
on American Manufacturers, including lost jobs and increased
competition from imports. Published by the US Government Printing
Office, the two volumes contain the testimony of small business
owners, operators and leaders regarding the increased prices and
lessened availability of steel and how their customers are not
willing to pay more for the increased costs. Bush’s 30% steel
tariffs took effect on March 11, 2002, and by the first hearing
of July in that same year, numerous media outlets had reported of
the high costs, and hundreds of emails and letters from steel
consuming businesses detailed the immediate hardships placed on
their businesses.[133]
The tariffs were intended to help the suffering U.S. steel
production industry, and did bring the industry financial and
market share relief from the onslaught of steel imports, having
an effect of staving of some of the dire consequence of
profitability and lack of competitiveness in the international
steel community. A letter from the Bethlehem Steel Company to the
Committee remarked, “..Millions of tons of domestic capacity
(have) shut down. Had the President not acted, there is no doubt
that other steel companies would have been forced out of
business, resulting further in supply shortfalls and additional
price increases.”[134] Another letter from a steel consumer
commented on the tariffs, “So far, no effect. We have been buying
primarily U.S. produced steels all along.”[135]
The international trade market problems do not affect
relations solely within the U.S. sphere, and other countries have
their own collective lobbying and trade organizations. Like the
aforementioned American Iron and Steel Institute, the Pig Iron
Association and Steel Products Associations cartels of early 20th
century Japan helped regulate steel controls sales and pricing,
especially in times of need.[136] At the same time the U.S. was
placing tariffs on foreign steel in 2002, the brisk market
demands for steel in burgeoning China led to a flood of Japanese
steel, and China threatened the modern Japan Iron & Steel
Federation group of steel producers with export curtailing
tariffs.[137]
The U.S. and the European Union (EU) were leading the world
in the use of countervailing duties, tariffs and anti-dumping
protections, but the world has been catching up in ways to
instigate or retaliate against unfair or injurious trade
practices. One agribusiness owner remarked to Congress that he
felt a canceled wheat order from China was part of retaliation
for the loss of business resulting from U.S. steel tariffs.[138]
Claude Barfield, resident scholar with the American Enterprise
Institute for Public Policy Research, states, “In 1990, the U.S.
had 193 antidumping orders in place, the EU 93, and all other
countries 118; in 1997 the United States had 294, the EU 135, and
all other countries 438.”[139]
Within the international community, Japan announced their
first retaliatory action against a trade partner by levying 15
percent tariffs against U.S. steel.[140],[141] These actions
joined the countries of Canada and the 25 nations of the EU, who
also applied tariffs to U.S. steel industries as retaliation to
the structuring of steel tariffs under the 2000 Byrd amendment.
Under the Byrd amendment, named after Senator Robert Byrd of West
Virginia, tariff revenues collected by the U.S. government on
foreign steel were given as additional subsidies to the domestic
industry, effectively doubling the benefit of the steel tariffs.
[142] While some anti-U.S. provisions were modest in their
economic impact, the total amount of threatened EU sanctions
alone was an imposing $2.2 billion dollars.[143]
On November 10th, 2003, the WTO ruled that the U.S. steel
import tariffs were illegal under the agreement, and in violation
of the international trade body bylaws. The decision marked that
U.S. actions were improper, and that the retaliatory action from
affected countries was thereby justifiable, and legal.[144]
Despite having recommended the U.S. tariffs, the ITC had also
estimated great domestic costs to the U.S., owing to $700 million
in lost profits and 26,000 lost jobs in other industries. The
ruling added legitimacy to the threat of massive sanctions from
the EU and other countries, giving President Bush a change of
heart. On December 5th, 2003, he lifted the steel import tariffs.
[145]
US Trade Representative Robert Zoellick deferred that the
U.S. broke no WTO rules and the decision to lift the tariffs was
made without regard to the ruling. He stated that after 20 months
of import steel tariffs, the domestic steel industry had
dramatically improved. The tariffs were lifted 16 months earlier
than promised to key steel producing areas, and even with key
financial and market gains, the United Steelworkers of America
said the administration betrayed workers and steel communities by
giving way to a bluff of European blackmail.[146]
In my personal correspondence with Congressman Ramstad’s
Chief of Staff, Dean Peterson, and Senior Legislative Assistant
on trade issues, Adam Peterman, the Representative from
Minnesota’s 3rd legislative district greatly supported the repeal
of tariffs on steel, stating:
“Jim was very supportive (of repealing) the steel tariffs asthe increase in steel prices was very damaging to the international competitiveness of Minnesota manufacturers.”
When questioned about which local steel interests were in
the blanket of western Twin Cities suburbs that Congressman
Ramstad represents, his Chief of Staff, Dean Peterson declared,
“all consumers!”[147] While the 3rd district has multiple
constituent and district pulls, Representative Ramstad is rated
as one of the top free-traders in Congress, based on his voting
record from the 107th Congress and according to the Cato
Institute, a Washington based political think tank.[148]
With little interest in the district for steel production,
the increased cost effectiveness of manufacturing with cheaper
foreign steel means greater ability to compete and post profits
through increased exports in the world market. More business
competition in the foreign market then results with less
expensive goods for consumers.
The Bush Administration was faced with decision making
pressures that are akin to every administration. In dealing with
foreign policy and international trade, measures must be
undertaken to address issues like import export imbalances and
the resulting flow of capital, the interests of domestic
producers and consumers, pressures from foreign governments, and
pressures related to political and strategic national security
concerns.[149] President Bush stated that he had acted on the ITC
report detailing the effects that excess steel production imports
were having on the steel industry. He had hoped the measures
would give the steel industry time to adjust, and make a
statement to the world that the U.S. was willing to trade fairly
with other countries.[150]
Conclusion
Smoot-Hawley showed us that when combined with other global
market conditions and prevailing economic difficulties,
protectionist measures can produce disastrous effects in
recessions at home and abroad. The implementation of high cost
tariffs results in increased amounts of retaliatory measures from
other countries, whose collective clout rivals the economic
strength of the U.S. Maintaining a world stage of agreed upon
environmental, economic, human, and strategic rights requires a
body of international oversight and forums to address grievances.
The expanding global economy, increased communication
technologies and reduction in trade barriers have brought new
problems along with hoped for benefits. Small local businesses
and farmers may now see competition from corporate chains that
operate in several countries with streamlined business operations
that vertically integrate material acquisition, product
development, manufacturing, shipping and sales. In the era of
free trade agreements such as NAFTA and the global trade
authority vested in the WTO, worldwide steel and metal industry
mergers and acquisitions nearly tripled to $71.7 billion in 2006.
[151]
The well funded and organized groups with consolidated power
and concerted efforts tend to have the resources and political
capital to affect decisions at every level of government, much
more so than the diffused interests of consumers or a dispersed
affected populace. Subsidies, quotas, tariffs and trade barriers
in the steel industry are helpful for allowing continued business
operations, retooling, an updating of technology, and increased
market competitiveness. Protectionism can also be harmful to
domestic manufacturing, construction and other steel consuming
factions, placing strains on government bonding and private
industry. Cutbacks and layoffs also occur at parallel industries
like mining and foundries, causing consumers and businesses to
suffer outside the districts and states that are targeted to
benefit from protectionist measures.
Members of Congress hold an interest in shaping trade and
government policy to appeal to conflicting factions of
constituents, unions and businesses. It is crucial to balance the
need for shorter term financial and industrial protectionism with
the longer term viability and increased growth of open and free
markets. Favoring particular sectors of industry can be
undertaken for strategic, economic and political reasons, and
these issues plague our policy makers and drive national
elections. Actions like President Bush’s application then repeal
of tariffs will be inevitable, as will the cyclical business
gains and losses that accompany efforts riding upon economic
advantages and disadvantages. Ultimately, public service must be
undertaken that provides a standard of living for individuals and
families whereupon businesses thrive.