How to create innovation ecosystem in Armenia: case study of a technology park
Transcript of How to create innovation ecosystem in Armenia: case study of a technology park
How to create an innovation ecosystem in
Armenia: case study of a technology park
MTE Master Thesis Report
Year: 2014
Company: Enterprise Incubator Foundation
Student: Areg Gevorgyan
Company supervisor: Sona Kochkanyan
MTE supervisor: Lebret Hervé
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Table of Contents 1. Executive summary ........................................................................................................................ 4
1.1. Overview of proposed approach .............................................................................................. 5 1.2 Highlights from selected model for the project .......................................................................... 6
2. Project Concept .............................................................................................................................. 8 2.1. Project background .................................................................................................................. 8 2.2. Mission, Objectives and Benefits ............................................................................................. 9
2.2.1. Mission .............................................................................................................................. 9 2.2.2. Objectives ....................................................................................................................... 10 2.2.3. Benefits of stakeholders .................................................................................................. 10
2.3. Technology Park Overview .................................................................................................... 11 2.3.1. Business incubator .......................................................................................................... 12 2.3.3. Co-working spaces ......................................................................................................... 14
3. Technical Design .......................................................................................................................... 15 4. Organizational structure ............................................................................................................... 16
4.1. Board of Trustees .................................................................................................................. 16 4.1.1 Board Duties .................................................................................................................... 17
4.2 Staffing .................................................................................................................................... 17 4.2.1 Executive Director ............................................................................................................ 18 4.2.2 Financial Manager/Accountant ........................................................................................ 18 4.2.3 Business Development Manager ..................................................................................... 18 4.3.4 Operations Manager ........................................................................................................ 19 4.3.5 Legal Consultant .............................................................................................................. 19 4.3.6 Support Staff ................................................................................................................. 19
5. Service Offerings .......................................................................................................................... 21 5.1 Standard Services: ................................................................................................................. 22 5.2 Additional Services ................................................................................................................. 23 5.3 Enterprise Counseling ............................................................................................................ 23 5.4 Training Services .................................................................................................................... 24 5.5 Financial and Commercialization Services ............................................................................. 25 5.6 Technology Counseling and R&D Support ............................................................................. 25
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5.7 Networking .............................................................................................................................. 26 6. Tenant selection ........................................................................................................................... 27
6.1 Technology Park Tenant Selection ......................................................................................... 27 6.1.1 Application process .......................................................................................................... 27 6.1.2 Tenant Recruitment .......................................................................................................... 28
6.2 Business Incubator Tenant Selection ..................................................................................... 28 6.2.1 Application Process: ........................................................................................................ 28 6.2.3 Evaluation Criteria ............................................................................................................ 28 6.2.4 Graduation Policies .......................................................................................................... 29
7. Marketing ..................................................................................................................................... 31 8. Budget and Financial Plan ........................................................................................................... 32
8.1 Projected income statement: .................................................................................................. 33 8.2 Projected cash flow ................................................................................................................ 33 8.3 Scenario analysis ................................................................................................................... 33
9. Opportunities and risks ................................................................................................................ 35 9.1 Strengths: ............................................................................................................................... 35 9.2 Challenges: ............................................................................................................................. 36
APPENDIX I – JEC Business Incubator Tenant Services Innovation Continuum Process .............. 37 APPENDIX II -- Projected Income Statement .................................................................................. 38 APPENDIX III -- Projected Cash Flow .............................................................................................. 39 APPENDIX IV – Pessimistic Scenario Analysis ............................................................................... 40 APPENDIX V – Optimistic Scenario Analysis .................................................................................. 41 Bibliography ..................................................................................................................................... 42
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1. Executive summary Enterprise Incubator Foundation (EIF) was established in 2002 within the framework of the
World Bank’s “Enterprise Incubator” project, the mission of the company is to support the
development of information and communication technology sector in Armenia through
creating a productive environment for innovation, technological advancement and company
growth. Nowadays EIF has become of the largest technology business incubators and consulting companies in the region, operating in Yerevan, Armenia.
The company has big experience in building linkages between business and research
communities in key technology markets. Examples of projects conducted by EIF are
Microsoft Innovation Center, Regional Mobile Applications Laboratories for ECA in
cooperation with Nokia, Armenian National Engineering Laboratories in cooperation with
National Instruments, Gyumri Technology Center, IBM Innovative Solutions and
Technology Center. Many of them include skill development component and implement
annual startup/team contests. Moreover EIF is conducting startup/team competitions such
as Science and Technology Entrepreneurship Program (STEP) and Innovation Matching
Grants Competition, as well as has established first Venture Fund in the region. We can
conclude that the company has created environment for support of ICT enterprises in all stages of development.
During the 12 years of operation in the ICT sector EIF has shown positive impact to sector,
contributing to the annual 20% growth1. The management team has prioritized
diversification of the operating sectors in the global strategy of the company for coming decade.
In 2014 in the framework of Trade Promotion and Quality Infrastructure program of
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development supported by Ministry of Economy
of Armenia, EIF was offered to contribute to the Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) for
Cluster Development component of the program. The management team of EIF has
chosen project for creation of technology cluster for engineering sector. The project was 1 “Enterprise Incubator” Foundation (2014) ICT Industry Report 2013
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chosen taking into account the studies2 that show how important are creation of business
clusters in modern technological world, as well as the project will also contribute to the
global strategy of the company. This should be an initiative, which will be focused on
technology transfer as a method for sourcing innovation, enterprise and economic development, and improving global competitiveness of the engineering sector of Armenia.
This report paper summarizes a research conducted to develop specific approaches for
creation of a Technology Park in Armenia, based on the exploration of worldwide experience.
1.1. Overview of proposed approach Jrvezh Engineering City (JEC) is to be a one of the catalysts for the transformation of the
regional and national economy. The proposed model presented in this project is designed
to promote R&D and new venture creation and will use technology commercialization and
entrepreneurship as the engine for economic growth. Armenia’s recognition as a high
technology innovation center depends on an investment in human and business capital
that will provide the necessary infrastructure and talent to entice investments. The Jrvezh
Engineering City (JEC) program is designed to accelerate the development of high tech
and engineering industry in Armenia and to serve as a focal point for fostering regional
economic development within Armenia, its bordering trading partners and the USA.
Ultimately, these achievements will result in the creation of new wealth and new high-value jobs. The technology park will provide such services as:
1. Identification of Armenia’s innovation with global, commercial potential;
2. Transfer of USA, European and other Global market technologies into Armenia for the
formation of new enterprises;
3. Identification of Armenia’s entrepreneurs in high-tech sector to lead new businesses;
4. Training of Armenia’s entrepreneurs for international business in high-tech sectors;
5. Connections to international capital and know-how networks;
2 Junfu Zhang, (2003) Growing Silicon Valley on a landscape: an agent-‐based approach to high-‐tech industrial clusters
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6. Generation of business engagement agreements between foreign and JEC entities that
can lead to future international business and technology transfer agreements;
7. Transfer of technology commercialization methodologies and entrepreneurship
education to local entrepreneurs and partners in order to bring sustainability to the region beyond the duration of the program.
1.2 Highlights from selected model for the project The Jrvezh Engineering City project model was selected after exploration of literature on
worldwide experience in technology park creation and technology commercialization.
Taking into consideration economic, geographical and industry issues existing in Armenia, Highlights of the Technology Park model are presented below:
1. The park will focus on developing adequate physical facilities to house small, medium
size and large technology companies. Including business incubator and co-working space
for small enterprises, as well as office building opportunities for medium and large companies.
2. The businesses and entrepreneurs invited to partake of the services and support
provided by the park would be selected on the basis of the economic significance and
importance of their business for the overall economy of Armenia, the level of development
of the products or product prototypes proposed, and the interest shown by the financial community and potential investors.
3. The economic results of this model could be significant and relatively short-term. The
gains achieved by strengthening and perfecting existing competitive enterprises could
provide seed money for future investments and open the door to the establishment of lines
of like products.
4. This proposes funding innovators and entrepreneurs with a focus on technology, as well
as, assisting currently successful businesses and industries to further growth by providing technological innovations in their business/industry.
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5. In order to ensure future innovators and entrepreneurs in Armenia, considerations will be
given to funding universities and research centers in the areas of technology and laboratories.
6. This model assumes identification of industries with high growth potential, assessment of their needs and challenges and detection of the solutions for future cooperation.
7. The universities and educational institutions are an important component of the value chain where the park is expected to build strong linkages with public and private sectors.
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2. Project Concept
2.1. Project background The policy to support investment in technology and science and its manipulation and
exploitation through technology transfer is supported at Presidential level with the intention of it being a greater part of the economy of Armenia in the future.
The growing market of offshored engineering services on one side, and Armenia’s
traditions and current capabilities on the other side, provide opportunities for Armenia to
penetrate global markets for engineering services. The intensified search for young talent
and access to market insights drives the global companies internationalize their R&D
activities. Since the 1980s, Engineering Service Outsourcing (ESO) has expanded from
basic scanning and digitizing engineering drawings to the outsourcing of new product
development, value-engineering and engineering consulting. Market sources estimate that
global spend on engineering services was around $930 billion in 2012, and will reach $1.4 trillion by 2020 – a 50 percent growth in less than a decade3.
Engineering sector survey4 identifies an opportunity for Armenia to become an engineering
R&D center for second-tier multinationals (current experience: National Instruments, ST Engineering, etc.). The strengths of Armenia for this purpose are:
• Inherited engineering traditions and workforce
• High level of education in mathematics and physics
• Limited yet expanding application of modern software packages
• Advanced information technology industry supporting to provide engineering
services by application of IT instruments
• Advanced IT industry and improving education in this sector favor the demand for
high-qualified specialists to be increased
• Educational and supporting initiatives of international organizations 3 Jim Routzong (2013) Robust Growth For Engineering Services Outsourcing 4 Economy and Values Research Center (2010) ENGINEERING DESIGN SECTOR RESEARCH AND FEASIBILITY STUDY
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This objective, however, requires a deliberate strategy to develop missing and upgrade the existing capabilities.
2.2. Mission, Objectives and Benefits
2.2.1. Mission
The mission of Jrvezh Engineering City (JEC) is to promote, stimulate and support
prosperity and growth of the engineering sector of Armenia, by recruiting and supporting
technology based start-up, local and foreign companies that employ highly skilled workers and develop the competitive strengths of the industry.
Armenia’s emergence as a high technology, innovation center and as a business gateway
in the Caucuses depends on an investment in human and business capital that will provide
the necessary infrastructure and talent to entice investments.
The primary focus of JEC is to assist regional, technology entrepreneurs to successfully
develop and market their concepts/products/services by benefiting from synergy within
engineering city tenants. As well as accelerate the development and growth of technology
companies in the Engineering sector of Armenia. The target clients are innovative
technology entrepreneurs and currently successful medium/big sized companies with
defensible intellectual property, large market potential and principals, who show a strong desire to grow their business.
The ultimate mission of JEC is to foster the development of the image of Armenia as center
for innovation and R&D in the region. The political developments in the region in the near
future particularly expected membership of Armenia in the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU)
and Eurasian Economic Community (EurasEC) can give opportunity of positioning Armenia
as the innovation hub for the Union. The JEC should be aimed to become catalyst for these
prospective by providing competitive facilities and expertise for innovative technology solutions and high-tech product development.
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2.2.2. Objectives
Main objectives of JEC project are:
• Creation of enabling infrastructure to foster R&D in the country, including facilities
and workforce development for high-tech engineering companies.
• Creation of innovation and entrepreneurship cluster for developing technology
solutions and promoting innovation, which asumes generation of critical amount of
innovation oriented brains, experts, visoners and business people in one place.
• Creation of favorable environment for attracting investments, by providing full
assistance in establishment of the business for foreign companies, including
facilities and workforce.
• Encourage job creation, by providing an environment conducive for fast growth of
the tenant companies.
2.2.3. Benefits of stakeholders
The JEC Program will benefit the overall Armenia’s economy by creating new opportunities
and generating high-value jobs. JEC expects to enhance the existing eco-system by
deploying key methodologies and facilitating new deal flow, which leads to the creation of new technology-based ventures and enhances existing Armenian technology companies.
Multiple stakeholders bring a variety of concerns and strengths to the project. All
stakeholders hope to benefit by the image of a successful program, and in turn bring credibility to the incubator clients.
The benefits of a JEC for different stakeholders are as follow:
For Tenants - It will enhances the chances of success, raise credibility, help improve skills,
create synergy among client-firms and facilitate access to market, information and capital. Specifically:
• Access to global markets
• Access to foreign innovation
• Entrepreneurship and technology training
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• International business development support
• New business deals
For Government- The engineering cluster will help to overcome market failures, promote
regional development and generate jobs, incomes and taxes.
For Private Sector- It helps to develop opportunities for acquiring innovations.
For Public Sector- It creates self-esteem and an entrepreneurial culture, together with local incomes as a majority of the graduating businesses stay within the regional area.
These are the desired outcomes of the Jrvezh Engineering City and emerging evidence
suggests that the benefits indicated above are realizable and, in many cases, prevail over
the net subsidy. It is worthy to mention that, often during the initial period of incubation, the
start-up entrepreneurs mainly create jobs for themselves and conserve their limited funds
and only when they graduate and leave the incubator some of them start to grow
exponentially creating employment, incomes and taxes, so the benefits in such cases can be achieved only in the long run.5
2.3. Technology Park Overview Technology parks are aimed to create environment for production and commercialization of
new technologies, by encouraging collaboration between tenant companies and research
centers. Tenants of technology parks are usually small or medium companies, which have
big potential for growth and new product development initiatives. In order to facilitate
successful fulfillment of the growth potential and implementation of these initiatives, the
technology park provides:
• supportive business environment and facilities
• professional, technical, administrative and legal assistance
• training and skill development services
• IT services
5 Junfu Zhang (2003) High-‐Tech Start-‐Ups and Industry Dynamics in SiliconValley
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It is commonly adopted practice to create partnerships between technology parks and
universities6. This gives tenants opportunity to:
• use pool of graduate and undergraduate students through internships
• have access to technology and intellectual property belonging to the university
• contractual use of university owned laboratories
• access to the university library system
The Technology Business Incubator (TBI’s) is an integral part of most technology parks
and a one of major contributor to their success7. Another concept of innovative
environment, which is suggested to be included in Technology Park is co-working space.
Both concepts will be discussed in the next chapters.
2.3.1. Business incubator
Business Incubators are defined as a location in which entrepreneurs can receive
proactive, value-added support and access to critical tools, information, education,
contacts, resources and capital that may otherwise be unaffordable, inaccessible or
unknown. The tenant companies generally remain in the incubator for approximately two to
four years8, after which it is intended that they graduate and become independent, self-
sustaining businesses.
Well-structured incubators provide business support services in order to enhance and to
develop business; upgrade skills and techniques; and to provide technological advice and
assistance, financial resources, and initial marketing assistance; and access to potential
investors and strategic partners, to name a few. Traditionally, incubators have a
management team who oversee the day-to-day operations, as well as, be the service
system to the enterprises. This focused help to selected firms has been shown to increase
their chances of long-term survival and ultimate success; the evidence also indicates that 6 Mahdi Moudi, Hamid Hajihosseini (2011) Science and Technology Parks, Tools for a Leap into Future 7 Rick Petree, Radoslav Petkov, Eugene Spiro, Institute for East-‐West Studies (2000) Technology Parks – Concept and Organization 8 Charles W. Wessner (2008) UNDERSTANDING RESEARCH, SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY PARKS: GLOBAL BEST PRACTICES
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the initial subsidy provided by the government in funding the incubator is returned in
various forms including increased taxes and social benefits such as stimulating
entrepreneurship and cultural change.
Technology business incubators are a specific type of business incubators, which focus on
new companies with more advanced technologies. The nature of technology incubators is
closely related with high technology development that is why universities and research
centers act as the main forces behind their development.
A typical Technology Business Incubator provides its clients not only with the rental space
at an affordable price but also a full range of business and specialized services aimed to
intensify technology utilization. TBIs generally have strict admission and exit criteria and
the set of business support services is designed to include those that facilitate technology
transfer and commercialization of new technologies. A common characteristic of
Technology Business Incubators is the physical and intangible supports they provide to
tenant firms, which are aimed to helping them commercialize knowledge-intensive products
and services.
The main objectives of TBIs in developing countries are economic development,
technology commercialization, property venture/real estate development and
entrepreneurship9.
All over the world technology business incubators are confirmed as one of the important
tools for the technology entrepreneurship and sustainable economic development of
specific regions. By providing business supporting services and enabling overhead costs to
be reduced by sharing facilities, TBIs can significantly improve the survival and growth of
start-ups and small companies at an early stage of development.
9 Organisation for Economy Co-‐operation and Development (1997) Technology Incubators: Nurturing small firms
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2.3.3. Co-working spaces
Co-working space is an idea, which has emerged from the commercial desk share
practices. The “co-workers” are individual or small team of entrepreneurs who are working
in common space10. The share of the space brings to share of knowledge, practices and open communication between entrepreneurs.
Generally co-working spaces offer the co-workers verity of membership packages, which include reserved desk for the client plus additional services depending on package.
The governing body is responsible for creation of enabling atmosphere and encouraging
the synergy within the co-workers space. Creation of the co-working community should be
the goal for management team.
For specific project of JEC, it is suggested that the Co-working space should be integrated
in the building of Business Incubator and be governed by same management team as
Business Incubator. This can bring to win-win situation by giving opportunity to tenants of
Business Incubator to have interactions with professionals from different areas, as well as
tenants of Co-working space can be interested to support one of the start-ups at Business
Incubator.
10 Anne Leforestier (2009) The Co-‐working space concept
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3. Technical Design Jrvezh Engineering City will be located on 3 acres of land nearby Bagrevand Street of
Jrvezh district. Significant factor for choosing this location is the fact that National
Instruments and several small engineering companies are already constructing their offices
on the neighboring lands. Initially basic infrastructure will be constructed on these 3 acres,
including construction of roads and utilities (gas, water, electricity, and internet), landscape gardening, and fencing.
2000 sq m of land will be used for construction of the Business Incubator, including building
and common use spaces. The Business Incubator’s building will include incubation space
800 sq meters; Co-working Space 800 sq meters and the rest of the space will be used for administrative and common use purposes.
The rest of the land will be divided to 40-45 land pieces of 500 sq m each and sold to
engineering companies to construct their offices. The revenues generated from sales of
land-pieces will be used to cover initial investments in the development of basic
infrastructure. The engineering companies will be demanded to follow certain design rules when constructing their offices to maintain certain image of the technology park.
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4. Organizational structure
The following Organizational Chart has been designed to maximize the efficiency and effectiveness of the Jrvezh Engineering City team, while controlling overhead expenses.
4.1. Board of Trustees Together with the directors of first tenant companies of JEC will be established JEC
Foundation. The Board of Trustees of the Jrvezh Engineering City will be appointed by JEC
Foundation. The Trustees should be representatives of companies that are tenants of JEC
or organizations that share the vision for JEC and are capable and willing to provide
expertise that would contribute to the ability of the JEC to fulfill its mission. The Board of
Trustees should consist of seven (7) members. The officers of the Board shall be
President, Vice-President, Secretary and Treasurer and will be determined by the Board of
Trustees. The suggested membership of the Board is as follows: 1. Representative from Ministry of Economy
Board of Trustees
Execu^ve Director
Legal Consultant
Accountant/ Finance Manager
Business Development Manager
Opera^ons Manager
IT specialist Administra^ve Assistant Cleaning Stuff Maitenance
Worker Security Stuff
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2. Representative from EIF
3. Representative from Yerevan’s Mayoral Office
4. Representative from local financial institution
5. Representative from tenant Company
6. Representative from tenant Company
7. Representative from tenant Company
The first three (3) members of the Board will be reappointed every three (3) years while the
remaining four (4) members will be reappointed every two (2) years. This rotation of
membership of members of the Board allows for continuity of leadership within the Board
while bringing in new members. Initial Board members will be appointed by the JEC
Foundation, but after the appointment of the initial Board, new Board members should also receive approval for membership by the currently seated Board members.
4.1.1 Board Duties
The primary functions of the Board of Trustees are:
• To establish policy guidelines for Technology Park operations
• To assist in screening prospective Technology Park tenants
• To be responsible for hiring the Executive Director
• To ensure the overall financial viability of the Technology Park
• To provide corporate governance and act as an external control mechanism
• To assist the Technology Park’s Executive Director in creating links to investment and
professional resources that support the success of Technology Park clients, and
• To promote the Technology Park in the community and generate awareness and
understanding of the Technology Park as an important economic development tool for
the region.
4.2 Staffing At start-up, the proposed JEC management staff would include a full-time Executive
Director, a Business Development Manager, an Operations Manager and a part-time
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Financial Manager and Legal Consultant. The staff would provide services to JEC’s tenants
and clients, organize trainings, cultivate resource networks, manage facility development,
and manage ongoing operations. Subsequent increases in staffing hours and levels would depend on increases in workload and funding availability.
4.2.1 Executive Director
A full-time Executive Director should be hired to manage the operations of the Jrvezh
Engineering City and provide direct business assistance to clients. He/she would report directly
to the Board of Trustees and will be ultimately accountable for the performance of JEC. The
Executive Director provides the daily energy and hands-on mentoring that is catalytic to JEC’s
mission. He/she must be experienced in technology start-ups, have a well-rounded
understanding of business management, facilitative leadership ability, and positive
interpersonal skills. A strong Executive Director will have an established network of venture
capitalists, angel investors, and bankers to support new venture financing. The Executive
Director should be well connected to professional and technical knowledge networks in the
community and serve as a channel to a resource network of service providers that provide
expert assistance to JEC’s clients.
4.2.2 Financial Manager/Accountant
A part-time Financial Manager/Accountant should be hired to establish and maintain financial
procedures and management for the JEC. He/she would report to the Executive Director and
will be responsible for advising and supporting tenants and clients of JEC in financial issues
and related matters by enabling them to make sound business choices. As an accountant
he/she would be responsible for applying accounting principles and procedures to analyze
financial information, prepare accurate and timely financial reports and statements and ensure
appropriate accounting control procedures.
4.2.3 Business Development Manager
The Business Development Manager should be hired on full time basis. He/she would report to
the Executive Director and will be responsible for identification of potential clients and tenants
for the Jrvezh Engineering City and assist in the development of business networks that can
help JEC to achieve its strategic objectives. The Business Development Manager will oversee
the networking program of JEC, as well as, the launch and management of the service provider
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network. The Business Development Manager needs to have extensive industry contacts and
practical, entrepreneurial experience.
4.3.4 Operations Manager
The Operations Manager will manage JEC’s facility and oversee daily operations and
administration of the Jrvezh Engineering City, including special events for client companies.
He/she should be responsible for identification of opportunities to increase profitability of JEC
by attracting new clients. On a daily bases he/she should ensure a smooth operation of various
processes and activities that will take place in JEC. The Operations Manager will report to
Executive Director.
4.3.5 Legal Consultant
The Legal Counsel will be responsible for handling legal issues of the JEC by preparing and
reviewing various legal documents, such as contracts, licenses, leases, sales, purchases, real
estate, etc. provided to JEC’s tenants with legal advice. He/she will apply for registration or
copyrights of the products, devices, processes, and trademarks of JEC’s tenants. Per the
Executive Director’s request, he/she will provide legal counsel to JEC’s tenants/clients on a
broad range of legal and regulatory issues. This is a part-time position with reporting to the
Executive Director.
4.3.6 Support Staff
• IT Specialist - Would be responsible for maintaining the computer systems of the JEC
by identifying computer system requirements, installing upgrades, and monitoring
system performance. He/she would also be responsible for ensuring the servers are
backed up, and that the server data is secure from unauthorized access. The IT
Specialist should assist and consult JEC’s tenants and clients in IT related issues.
He/she will report to the Operations Manager.
• Administrative Assistant - Should provide day-to-day administrative and secretarial
support to the managerial staff of JEC. He/she will report to the Operations Manager.
• Security Officer - It is proposed that four (4) security officers will work at JEC’s facility
to ensure 24-hour security of the park, and they will report to the Operations Manager.
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• Maintenance Worker - Given the size of the park, JEC’s management should hire
three (3) workers.
• Cleaning Staff - Given the size of the park, JEC’s management should hire five (6)
cleaners to keep the park in a clean and orderly condition.
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5. Service Offerings The Technology Park will provide services for two categories of tenants: first are the tenant
engineering companies of the park and second start-up/team tenants of the Business
Incubator.
A. Services offered at Technology Park: Technology Park services are designed to
increase the probability of successful development and growth of tenants beyond
what a tenant company could achieve on its own.
1. Standard Services A
2. Training Services
3. Networking
B. Services offered at Business Incubator: For the incubated firms Business
Incubator should go beyond providing basic infrastructure (telephone, fax, office/lab,
internet, etc.) and provide value-added supporting services which will allow them to
be more competitive. Offer of the value-added services is a key to the incubator’s
ability to successfully spinout graduates into the community and generate jobs and
wealth in the region.
1. Standard Services B
2. Additional Services
3. Enterprise Counseling
4. Training Services
5. Financial and Commercialization Services
6. Technology Counseling and R&D Support
7. Networking
Some of services have same names for both blocks and they are differentiated by A
(Stands for services of Technology Center) and B (stands for services of business
incubator) indexes, same logic will be used in the detailed descriptions of the services.
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5.1 Standard Services: A: The Technology Park will sell land pieces to selected engineering companies with prices
lower than the market prices. The tenants of the Technology Park will automatically
become members of JEC Foundation and pay membership fee, which will include Standard
services:
Office services
• Land to build office
• Security
• Postal services including usage of JEC’s address for receiving and sending mail
• Library containing relevant books and resource materials
IT services
• Access to high-speed internet
• Access to hosting and software
• Telephone line (local calls only)
• Company listing and information of the business on JEC’s website
B: The business premises at Business Incubator will be available at a discounted rental fee
and JEC should encourage tenants to leave them after the incubation period is finished.
Standard services will include:
Office services and equipment usage
• Office space for businesses including utilities and furniture
• Security
• Postal services including usage of JEC’s address for receiving and sending mail
• Shared office administration such as secretarial services and a receptionist
• Library containing relevant books and resource materials
IT services
• Access to computers
• Access to high-speed internet
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• Access to hosting and software
• Telephone line (local calls only)
• Company listing and information of the business on JEC’s website
• Shared printers, photocopying and fax equipment
5.2 Additional Services Access to the conference hall, meeting rooms, parking spaces, cafeteria and other
premises located in JEC’s building will be available for the Business Incubator tenants, as
well as, clients under commercial conditions.
Additional services include:
• Conference hall, conference and meeting rooms
• Conference equipment (projector, pc, microphones, etc.)
• Parking space
• Cafeteria services
5.3 Enterprise Counseling Business incubators have a critical role in supporting and nurturing early-stage businesses
through the provision of high quality business counseling. Evidence from the best practices
suggests that business counseling provided by incubator management can help to
decrease market failure rate for the tenants.
This type of business support services, typically provided in-house by incubator
management, include business planning, advice on accessing capital, marketing, the
identification of suitable business partners and general strategic advice. Other types of
services, such as specialist legal services and market research tend to be provided by
external specialist providers with whom incubator management have established
relationships. JEC’s enterprise counseling will include the following services:
Consulting
• Business plan creation
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• Consulting of diverse areas including business plan development, tax and customs,
financial management, accounting and website development
• Consulting on acquisition and protection of license
• Consulting and advisory service
o Legal
o Financial
o Managerial
o Technology
o Accelerate new business creation
o e-business Marketing Assistance
• Market assessment
• Consulting services and advisory in field of promotion and public relation
• Accelerating speed to market
• Exploring and identifying opportunities for export
Some of the services mentioned above can be provided as paid services also for tenants of
the Technology Park.
5.4 Training Services Training services of a technology center should provide insight into the principles of market
economy and business environment, as well as, help to upgrade professional and technical
skills of tenants. The Jrvezh Engineering City will have its Training Center which will serve
incubated start-ups as well as tenant engineering companies. The Training Center will
provide access to the range of general business-related trainings and specific technical
trainings designed for client. Business-related trainings will be applicable to any
engineering company and start-up operation including financial, legal, organizational,
marketing, insurance, etc. Appendix VII lists a sample of training courses which will
include, but not be limited to, the following services: (depending on demand and needs of
tenants some additional training can be provided):
Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan 25
• Professional business training courses
• Business management skills (planning, organizing, directing and controlling),
assessment and training
• General business skills training (marketing, finance, operations, bookkeeping and
team building), assessment and training
• Technical trainings (will be designed for specific need of the tenant)
• Language courses
5.5 Financial and Commercialization Services Enterprises going through the start-up phase often need financing and providing incubator
tenants with seed capital will help to accelerate their growth. Besides provision of seed
capital, the financial services of JEC will include assistance in financial arrangements and
fundraising, as well as, advice on their daily financial transactions. Thus, financial services
will include:
• Provision of seed capital for commercialization of products/services
• Assistance in fundraising
• Access to favorable financing resources
• Shared bookkeeping and accounting services
5.6 Technology Counseling and R&D Support Business Incubator should develop strong linkages with local universities and professional
networks, in order to develop embedded association with their resources. Importantly, this
will create the aura of respectability for both JEC and its tenants. Arrangements should
enable graduate students to work, at reduced remuneration and/or credits at tenant firms,
as well as, for university faculty to augment their incomes through consultant services.
This will help Business Incubator to:
• Provide tenants/clients with faculty/technologist consulting services, student interns
and employees
• Provide access to research specialists
• Assist with early engineering and prototype development
• Provide access to laboratory services and instruments
26 Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan
• Provide information on innovations and new technology
• Identify and match with partners from universities and research organizations
5.7 Networking Networking is very important and the Jrvezh Engineering City should help its tenants to
develop connections to resources to which otherwise they might not have access. Network
services will provide links and establish relationships with other organizations that can
promote and sustain the interests of JEC’s tenants.
JEC should also encourage the networking between tenants themselves. The research
suggests that it is quite common for business relationships to develop between tenants.
The important aspect of the internal networking encouraged by business incubators is the
informal exchange of ideas and advice between tenants. The development of these types
of synergies presupposes a degree of homogeneity, which in turn, is a function of the
business incubator’s admission criteria. Apart from business relationships, networking can
also serve the important purpose of helping entrepreneurs to overcome a sense of isolation
that is often associated with their activities.
For Jrvezh Engineering City’s and Business Incubator’s tenants, the following network
services will be available:
• Promote industries and networking opportunities
• Assistance with professional networking internally with other entrepreneurs and
externally with the business community
• Networking with other incubators and different support institutions (universities, local
government, local business centers etc.)
• Roundtables to discuss shared resources, ideas and services
Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan 27
6. Tenant selection Tenant selection and graduation (for teams/startups) have a critical role in order to have a
prosperous technology park. The ultimate goal of a tenant selection process is to determine
whether a good match exists between the park’s resources and mission and the applicant’s
needs and potential. This is a major phase in supporting the first principle of an effective
technology park which is delivering a positive impact on economic health by maximizing
the success of emerging companies. The JEC will have the following application processes
for two types of clients engineering companies who want to establish their offices in the
Technology Park and team/startups that want to be included in Business Incubator.
6.1 Technology Park Tenant Selection Two different models are proposed for the tenant selection process for the Technology
Park.
6.1.1 Application process
In this model the selection of tenants is being made in two steps:
1. Application: firstly all interested candidates are requested to send full application,
where they should indicate information about the current stage of business development,
financial documents for last two years, number of employees, market potential, and overall
potential for success.
2. Evaluation: and secondly evaluation process will be conducted by management team,
where they should check if the applicant’s business mission and objectives are in line with
the mission and objectives of JEC, eventual selection is being made by Executive Director.
Evaluation criteria can be the followings
• The business should be in Engineering/High-Tech sector.
• Applicants should be for-profit ventures.
• The applicant business must have the capacity for growth and provide economic
benefits to the area including creating new jobs and opportunities for regional
suppliers and vendors.
• The applicant must show the ability to pay JEC’s rents.
28 Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan
• The applicant must not be in direct competition with existing JEC’s businesses.
6.1.2 Tenant Recruitment In the second proposed model process of selection is going in opposite direction to the first model,
marketing team of JEC should conduct research based on specific criteria in order to identify
prospective tenants for Technology Park and present list of identified companies to the Executive
Director. After approval of the Executive Director marketing team should prepare individual
proposals for each candidate and contact them for recruitment. Criteria for the selection of
prospective tenants can be as in the previous section.
6.2 Business Incubator Tenant Selection
6.2.1 Application Process:
The proposed application process for prospective clients of Business Incubator includes
the following two steps:
1. Complete Application: All prospective clients would complete a brief application form.
A completed application provides JEC with a brief description of the applicant’s business
proposal, the current business status, and an initial sense of the required services and
facilities.
2. Provide Business Description or Business Plan: Prospective clients that complete
Step 1 and are determined to be potentially eligible would be required to support their initial
application with a business plan or written business description. JEC’s Executive Director
and an individual with expertise in the applicant’s industry would review the document. It
should provide more in-depth information about the current stage of business development,
status of the management team, market potential, and overall potential for success. At this
point, if the business description or business plan adequately addresses screening
selection criteria, the Executive Director could approve the applicant for acceptance to
JEC.
6.2.3 Evaluation Criteria
The criteria used to evaluate prospective clients throughout the application process should
be based on the mission and objectives of JEC and be compatible with the services and
Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan 29
facilities that can be supported by JEC. Below are the entrance criteria that shall be used to
evaluate prospects for the Business Incubator:
• The business should be a technology-related firm producing offerings that can be
commercialized within four years.
• Applicants should be for-profit ventures.
• The applicant business must have the capacity for growth and provide economic
benefits to the area including creating new jobs and opportunities for regional
suppliers and vendors.
• The applicant must show the ability to pay JEC’s rents while they develop a positive
cash flow.
• The applicant must have a management team that is capable of handling technical
and operational aspects of the business or understand the need for and be willing to
obtain needed technical assistance.
• The applicant must not be in direct competition with existing JEC’s businesses.
• The applicant must want to take advantage of and be able to benefit from the value-
added services and guidance of JEC. The applicant business must be willing to take
advice from the professional network and/or the Executive Director.
• Applicants should be in the early-stage of development – generally within the first
two years of business operations – not yet profitable and still growing.
6.2.4 Graduation Policies
Graduation criteria are key factors in the future success of companies leaving the program
of an incubator. Successful graduation of a client from the incubation unit is the objective of
JEC. Indeed, graduation is when a client company has matured to the point that they do
not need JEC’s assistance and are ready to operate independently. The elements which
should be examined for graduation of tenants from JEC are the existence of:
• An experienced management team
• Financial stability (grant + revenues to operate for 6-12 months)
• Significant product sales and a backlog of orders
• No continuing need for incubator services
30 Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan
Besides the above criteria, the policies for graduation from JEC should address time limits.
A maximum amount of time for a client to receive services should be 48 months, and this
can be customized by type of business and extended on a month-to-month basis for an
additional year if indicated.
Successful graduates of Business Incubator will be offered to become tenants of
Technology Park.
Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan 31
7. Marketing JEC is an initiative that will serve to bridge the Armenian entrepreneurs to access sources
of innovation and new markets from the region, USA, Europe and other global markets.
JEC marketing activities must be seen as an integral and fundamental part of JEC’s
management and success. The marketing objectives can be divided into Global and
Local/Regional marketing objectives as illustrated below. Both will ideally work hand-in-
hand to achieve the overall program objectives:
Local /Regional Objectives:
• Create awareness about new engineering ventures based on transferred innovation
• Encourage the development of local SMEs with a engineering/high-tech edge
• Establish technology-based businesses from entrepreneurial pool within Armenia
International Objectives:
• Attract technology ventures from interested customers, partners, scientists and
investors
• Facilitate linkage between international capital and know-how networks
• Secure new sources of U.S.A., European and other Global innovations to
be commercialized in Armenia for local and regional markets
• Liaise with promising technologies for commercial development and
training representatives
Strategic Alliances:
In the new economy, strategic alliances enable businesses to gain competitive advantage
through access to a partner's resources, including know-how, technologies, capital and
people. The JEC will team with EIF as strategic partners, who will add complementary
resources and capabilities, enabling JEC to grow and expand more quickly and efficiently.
The alliances listed below will add direct and indirect value to JEC.
JEC will build its reputation based on the quality of its strategic alliances and ability to
enhance the development of SMEs in country, which will ultimately increase private sector
competitiveness. JEC will seek to position itself as the ‘go-to’ organization for the transfer
of international technologies into Armenia.
32 Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan
8. Budget and Financial Plan The budget for project will be provided in the framework of Trade Promotion and Quality
Infrastructure program of International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Which
will cover 1) construction of basic infrastructure (including utilities, roads, etc.) and common use spaces; 2) construction of Business Incubator building.
This section of the business plan reviews the financial plans including income statement and cash flow. Following are a list of assumptions used in calculating the financials:
• Annually four tenants will be accepted in the Technology Park and will become
members of JEC Foundation. The membership fee of 250 $ will include security and
common expenses.
• Annually four tenants will be accepted in the Business Incubator.
• Success rate is calculated in the following manner: 3 out of four tenants will
complete the first two years successfully and two will complete third and fourth years
successfully.
• Tenants must graduate within four years.
• Tenants will pay 50% of the average market rental fees of AMD 2,500
• Additional Co-working space will be available for client rental at market prices 70$
per desk. It is assumed 5 clients will be accepted annually.
• Conference Hall and Meeting Rooms are estimated to be occupied twice per month
• Food services from cafeteria will be outsourced with an estimate of 600 $ monthly
profits.
• Tenants will receive a preliminary funding of 35,000 $ as seed funding
• Inflation rate is 4% per year
• The Incubator will have 50% equity in each tenant business and will receive 50% of
dividends after graduation.
• On the average each tenant will have five employees during the incubation period
and eight employees during the first year after graduation. Following this period, the
Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan 33
number of employees will increase by 20% annually until it reaches a total of
seventeen (17) employees.
• Productivity index within the Engineering/High-tech industry per employee is 28.2k $
with an increase annual productivity of 14.2%; productivity was calculated using
data from survey conducted by EIF.
• All utility costs are based on figures provided by GEDF
8.1 Projected income statement: Appendix II presents the projected income statement for the JEC. This exhibit indicates a
ten years profit and loss statement beginning 2015 with an anticipated break-even period in
the 9th year with a total amount of 9K $.
Three significant streams of revenue received by the incubator consist of Membership fees,
Rental fees, and share of Equity. Other sources of revenue will include the cafeteria,
conference hall and meeting rooms. Expenses incurred by the JEC will consist of salaries,
training, utilities and maintenance, stationary and supplies.
8.2 Projected cash flow Appendix III presents the projected ten-year cash flow. The cash inflow sources are the
revenues and expenses are the cash outflows. The projection of initial invested capital has
not been calculated, as well as revenues generated from the sales of the land-spaces and therefore the replacement costs have not been considered in the cash flow.
8.3 Scenario analysis Sensitivity analysis for optimistic and pessimistic scenarios has been performed considering the following variables:
• 2% increase and decrease in market rental fee for both scenarios
• Number of tenants entered in incubator will change to six in an optimistic scenario
and number of successful tenants will change to four out of six during the second
year and to three in third and fourth years.
34 Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan
• In worst case scenario three out of four tenants will be successful by the second
year, two in the third year and one during the fourth year.
• Rental fee for the conference hall and meeting rooms will increase and decrease by
2% for each scenario.
After taking into consideration the above mentioned changes, break-even will still be in 9th
year, but having 100K $ profit in the end of the eighth year in an optimistic scenario. In a
pessimistic scenario the incubator will have a loss of 25K at the end of the tenth year. Pessimistic and optimistic scenario analysis can be found in Appendix IV and Appendix V.
Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan 35
9. Opportunities and risks As with any new venture, there are potential risks to the success of the program. The
incubation of technology ventures requires a collaborative effort involving government, the
scientific community, academia, business, support organizations/associations and
investment networks. The current and future stakeholders of JEC must be prepared to work
together for the joint objectives.
The local infrastructure must be prepared to provide the proper incentives and environment
to innovate.
Lack of proactive and favorable government initiatives can limit the success of the
program.
Unfavorable credit for offset valuation of the program can limit the available funding to
accomplish all objectives outlined in the program.
The depth of potential and innovative technology and the commitment of local
entrepreneurs can hinder the ability to attract interest in a competitive foreign market. The
participants must be prepared to work with different business cultures in the rest of the
world, which may seem contradictory to the behavior of the local region. This program can
be transformational, but requires concentrated dedication, support and patience for
change.
One key factor is that this is a market-driven program and is vulnerable to economic factors outside the control of the program.
9.1 Strengths: 1. Early involvement of a sector champion in the project, in face of National Instruments.
2. Strong connections with partner educational institutions throughout the region.
3. Existing modern engineering laboratories at Armenian National Engineering
Laboratories, a center which is managed by EIF
4. A supportive funding organization, namely the World Bank and experienced partner
EIF.
5. A potentially strong local fund, financed by rents and services, which will enable operating security and a ready source of modest grant matching funds.
36 Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan
9.2 Challenges: 1. Creation of effective synergy between established companies at Technology Park with
the startup tenants at Business Incubator.
2. Identifying and responding to the demand for services in the region, as well as, for
those smaller entrepreneurs who must travel extensively from the region to meet with
experts and clients.
3. There is a possible need for small amounts of early stage, proof of concept funding for
technology start-ups.
4. Ensuring that the JEC facility is utilized effectively and devoted to economic
development activities.
5. Expand services to existing technology companies, which have high growth
opportunities.
6. In some cases, helping an existing company grow revenue and jobs has a higher return
than helping raw start-ups. Meeting this need requires having the right skill sets,
increasing JEC’s ability to provide timely consulting and working with private sector
resources to avoid inappropriate duplication.
7. Expanding regional technology leadership to assist regional efforts to develop particular industries and clusters.
Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan 37
APPENDIX I – JEC Business Incubator Tenant
Services Innovation Continuum Process
38 Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan
APPENDIX II -- Projected Income Statement
Revenu
e201
5201
6201
7201
8201
9202
0202
1202
2202
3202
4Ren
tal3Rev
enue:
Memb
er&fee&
from&T
P12'
000&&&&&
&&&&&&
24'000
&&&&&&&&&&
36'000
&&&&&&&&&
48'000
&&&&&&&&&
60'000
&&&&&&&&&&
72'000
&&&&&&&&&&
84'000
&&&&&&&&&&
96'000
&&&&&&&&&&
108'00
0&&&&&
&&Ren
tal&rev
enue&fr
om&BI
14'400
&&&&&&&&&&
14'976
&&&&&&&&&&
&15'
575&&&&&
&&&&&16'
198&&&&&
&&&&16'
846&&&&&
&&&&17'
520&&&&&
&&&&&18'
221&&&&&
&&&&&18'
949&&&&&
&&&&&19'
707&&&&&
&&&&&20'
496&&&&&
&&&&&Ren
tal&rev
enue&fr
om&CS
4'200
&&&&&&&&&&
&&8'4
00&&&&&
&&&&&&&&
12'600
&&&&&&&&&&
16'800
&&&&&&&&&
21'000
&&&&&&&&&
25'200
&&&&&&&&&&
26'208
&&&&&&&&&&
27'256
&&&&&&&&&&
28'347
&&&&&&&&&&
29'480
&&&&&&&&&&
Total
18'600
3333333333
35'376
3333333333
52'175
3333333333
68'998
333333333
85'846
333333333
102'72
033333
33116
'429
3333333
130'20
633333
33144
'054
3333333
157'97
633333
33Oth
er3reve
nues:
Revenu
e&from
&meetin
g&room
&and
&confe
rence&
hall
9'600
&&&&&&&&&&
&&9'9
84&&&&&
&&&&&&&&
10'383
&&&&&&&&&&
10'799
&&&&&&&&&
11'231
&&&&&&&&&
11'680
&&&&&&&&&&
12'147
&&&&&&&&&&
12'633
&&&&&&&&&&
13'138
&&&&&&&&&&
13'664
&&&&&&&&&&
Revenu
e&from
&cafet
eria7'2
00&&&&&
&&&&&&&
7'488
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&7'7
88&&&&&
&&&&&&&
8'099
&&&&&&&&&&
&&8'4
23&&&&&
&&&&&&&
8'760
&&&&&&&&&&
&&9'1
10&&&&&
&&&&&&&
9'475
&&&&&&&&&&
&&9'8
54&&&&&
&&&&&&&
10'248
&&&&&&&&&&
Total
16'800
3333333333
17'472
3333333333
18'171
3333333333
18'898
333333333
19'654
333333333
20'440
3333333333
21'257
3333333333
22'108
3333333333
22'992
3333333333
23'912
3333333333
Revenu
e&from
&equity
&invest
edI
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&&&
I&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
&&I
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&&&
I&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
&14'
000&&&&&
&&&&35'
560&&&&&
&&&&&68'
180&&&&&
&&&&&117
'390
&&&&&&&
191'48
5&&&&&
&&302
'908
&&&&&&&
Total3R
evenue
35'400
3333333333
52'848
3333333333
70'346
3333333333
87'896
333333333
119'50
033333
33158
'720
3333333
205'86
633333
33269
'703
3333333
358'53
133333
33484
'795
3333333
Expens
esSee
d&Mone
y140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&Sal
aries
70'000
&&&&&&&&&&
72'800
&&&&&&&&&&
&75'
712&&&&&
&&&&&78'
740&&&&&
&&&&81'
890&&&&&
&&&&85'
166&&&&&
&&&&&88'
572&&&&&
&&&&&92'
115&&&&&
&&&&&95'
800&&&&&
&&&&&99'
632&&&&&
&&&&&Tra
ining
25'000
&&&&&&&&&&
26'000
&&&&&&&&&&
&27'
040&&&&&
&&&&&28'
122&&&&&
&&&&29'
246&&&&&
&&&&30'
416&&&&&
&&&&&31'
633&&&&&
&&&&&32'
898&&&&&
&&&&&34'
214&&&&&
&&&&&35'
583&&&&&
&&&&&Uti
lities
35'000
&&&&&&&&&&
36'400
&&&&&&&&&&
&37'
856&&&&&
&&&&&39'
370&&&&&
&&&&40'
945&&&&&
&&&&42'
583&&&&&
&&&&&44'
286&&&&&
&&&&&46'
058&&&&&
&&&&&47'
900&&&&&
&&&&&49'
816&&&&&
&&&&&Inte
rnet
4'500
&&&&&&&&&&
&&4'6
80&&&&&
&&&&&&&&
4'867
&&&&&&&&&&
&&5'0
62&&&&&
&&&&&&&
5'264
&&&&&&&&&&
&&5'4
75&&&&&
&&&&&&&
5'694
&&&&&&&&&&
&&5'9
22&&&&&
&&&&&&&
6'159
&&&&&&&&&&
&&6'4
05&&&&&
&&&&&&&
Station
ary8'0
00&&&&&
&&&&&&&
8'320
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&8'6
53&&&&&
&&&&&&&
8'999
&&&&&&&&&&
&&9'3
59&&&&&
&&&&&&&
9'733
&&&&&&&&&&
&&10'
123&&&&&
&&&&&10'
527&&&&&
&&&&&10'
949&&&&&
&&&&&11'
386&&&&&
&&&&&Ma
itenanc
e500
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&&520
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&&&
541&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
562&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
585&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
608&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
633&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
658&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
684&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
712&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
Conting
ency&re
serve
10'000
&&&&&&&&&&
10'400
&&&&&&&&&&
&10'
816&&&&&
&&&&&11'
249&&&&&
&&&&11'
699&&&&&
&&&&12'
167&&&&&
&&&&&12'
653&&&&&
&&&&&13'
159&&&&&
&&&&&13'
686&&&&&
&&&&&14'
233&&&&&
&&&&&Tot
al3Expe
nses
293'00
033333
33299
'120
33333333
305'48
533333
33312
'104
3333333
318'98
833333
33326
'148
3333333
333'59
433333
33341
'338
3333333
349'39
133333
33357
'767
3333333
Net3Pr
ofitC25
7'600
333333
C246'2
7233333
33C23
5'139
333333
C224'2
0833333
3C19
9'489
333333
C167'4
2833333
3C12
7'728
333333
C71'63
433333
3339'1
4033333
3333333
127'02
933333
33
Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan 39
APPENDIX III -- Projected Cash Flow
Operation
al+Ac
tivitie
s:2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
Cash+In
flow
Rental+Re
venu
e:Mem
ber&fee&from
&TP12'00
0&&&&&&&&&
24'00
0&&&&&&&&&
36'00
0&&&&&&&&&
48'00
0&&&&&&&&&
60'00
0&&&&&&&&&
72'00
0&&&&&&&&&
84'00
0&&&&&&&&&
96'00
0&&&&&&&&&
108'0
00&&&&&&&
Rental&revenu
e&from&
BI14'40
0&&&&&&&&&
14'97
6&&&&&&&&&
15'57
5&&&&&&&&&
16'19
8&&&&&&&&&
16'84
6&&&&&&&&&
17'52
0&&&&&&&&&
18'22
1&&&&&&&&&
18'94
9&&&&&&&&&
19'70
7&&&&&&&&&
20'49
6&&&&&&&&&
Rental&revenu
e&from&
CS4'2
00&&&&&&&&&&&
8'400
&&&&&&&&&&&
12'60
0&&&&&&&&&
16'80
0&&&&&&&&&
21'00
0&&&&&&&&&
25'20
0&&&&&&&&&
26'20
8&&&&&&&&&
27'25
6&&&&&&&&&
28'34
7&&&&&&&&&
29'48
0&&&&&&&&&
Total
18'60
0+++++++++
35'37
6+++++++++
52'17
5+++++++++
68'99
8+++++++++
85'84
6+++++++++
102'7
20+++++++
116'4
29+++++++
130'2
06+++++++
144'0
54+++++++
157'9
76+++++++
Othe
r+reven
ues:
Revenu
e&from&
meeti
ng&ro
om&
and&c
onfer
ence&ha
ll9'6
00&&&&&&&&&&&
9'984
&&&&&&&&&&&
10'38
3&&&&&&&&&
10'79
9&&&&&&&&&
11'23
1&&&&&&&&&
11'68
0&&&&&&&&&
12'14
7&&&&&&&&&
12'63
3&&&&&&&&&
13'13
8&&&&&&&&&
13'66
4&&&&&&&&&
Revenu
e&from&
cafet
eria
7'200
&&&&&&&&&&&
7'488
&&&&&&&&&&&
7'788
&&&&&&&&&&&
8'099
&&&&&&&&&&&
8'423
&&&&&&&&&&&
8'760
&&&&&&&&&&&
9'110
&&&&&&&&&&&
9'475
&&&&&&&&&&&
9'854
&&&&&&&&&&&
10'24
8&&&&&&&&&
Total
16'80
0+++++++++
17'47
2+++++++++
18'17
1+++++++++
18'89
8+++++++++
19'65
4+++++++++
20'44
0+++++++++
21'25
7+++++++++
22'10
8+++++++++
22'99
2+++++++++
23'91
2+++++++++
Total+R
even
ue35'40
0+++++++++
52'84
8+++++++++
70'34
6+++++++++
87'89
6+++++++++
105'5
00+++++++
123'1
60+++++++
137'6
86+++++++
152'3
13+++++++
167'0
46+++++++
181'8
88+++++++
Cash+Outflo
wSalar
ies70'00
0&&&&&&&&&
72'80
0&&&&&&&&&
75'71
2&&&&&&&&&
78'74
0&&&&&&&&&
81'89
0&&&&&&&&&
85'16
6&&&&&&&&&
88'57
2&&&&&&&&&
92'11
5&&&&&&&&&
95'80
0&&&&&&&&&
99'63
2&&&&&&&&&
Training
25'00
0&&&&&&&&&
26'00
0&&&&&&&&&
27'04
0&&&&&&&&&
28'12
2&&&&&&&&&
29'24
6&&&&&&&&&
30'41
6&&&&&&&&&
31'63
3&&&&&&&&&
32'89
8&&&&&&&&&
34'21
4&&&&&&&&&
35'58
3&&&&&&&&&
Utilit
ies35'00
0&&&&&&&&&
36'40
0&&&&&&&&&
37'85
6&&&&&&&&&
39'37
0&&&&&&&&&
40'94
5&&&&&&&&&
42'58
3&&&&&&&&&
44'28
6&&&&&&&&&
46'05
8&&&&&&&&&
47'90
0&&&&&&&&&
49'81
6&&&&&&&&&
Interne
t4'5
00&&&&&&&&&&&
4'680
&&&&&&&&&&&
4'867
&&&&&&&&&&&
5'062
&&&&&&&&&&&
5'264
&&&&&&&&&&&
5'475
&&&&&&&&&&&
5'694
&&&&&&&&&&&
5'922
&&&&&&&&&&&
6'159
&&&&&&&&&&&
6'405
&&&&&&&&&&&
Statio
nary
8'000
&&&&&&&&&&&
8'320
&&&&&&&&&&&
8'653
&&&&&&&&&&&
8'999
&&&&&&&&&&&
9'359
&&&&&&&&&&&
9'733
&&&&&&&&&&&
10'12
3&&&&&&&&&
10'52
7&&&&&&&&&
10'94
9&&&&&&&&&
11'38
6&&&&&&&&&
Mait
enance
500
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
520
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
541
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
562
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
585
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
608
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
633
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
658
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
684
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
712
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
Conting
ency&re
serve
10'00
0&&&&&&&&&
10'40
0&&&&&&&&&
10'81
6&&&&&&&&&
11'24
9&&&&&&&&&
11'69
9&&&&&&&&&
12'16
7&&&&&&&&&
12'65
3&&&&&&&&&
13'15
9&&&&&&&&&
13'68
6&&&&&&&&&
14'23
3&&&&&&&&&
Total+Expen
ses
153'0
00+++++++
159'1
20+++++++
165'4
85+++++++
172'1
04+++++++
178'9
88+++++++
186'1
48+++++++
193'5
94+++++++
201'3
38+++++++
209'3
91+++++++
217'7
67+++++++
Net+cash+g
enerated
+from
+operation
al+activ
ites
J117'6
00+++++
J106'2
72+++++
J95'13
9++++++++
J84'20
8++++++++
J73'48
9++++++++
J62'98
8++++++++
J55'90
8++++++++
J49'02
4++++++++
J42'34
5++++++++
J35'87
9++++++++
Investin
g+Activit
ies:
Cash+In
flow
Revenu
e&from&
equit
y&invested
J&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
J&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
J&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
J&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
14'00
0&&&&&&&&&
35'56
0&&&&&&&&&
68'18
0&&&&&&&&&
117'3
90&&&&&&&
191'4
85&&&&&&&
302'9
08&&&&&&&
Cash+Outflo
wSeed
&Mon
ey140'0
00&&&&&&&
140'0
00&&&&&&&
140'0
00&&&&&&&
140'0
00&&&&&&&
140'0
00&&&&&&&
140'0
00&&&&&&&
140'0
00&&&&&&&
140'0
00&&&&&&&
140'0
00&&&&&&&
140'0
00&&&&&&&
Net+cash+g
enerated
+from
+investing+ac
tivite
sJ14
0'000
+++++
J140'0
00+++++
J140'0
00+++++
J140'0
00+++++
J126'0
00+++++
J104'4
40+++++
J71'82
0++++++++
J22'61
0++++++++
51'48
5+++++++++
162'9
08+++++++
Net+cash+g
enerated
J257'6
00+++++
J246'2
72+++++
J235'1
39+++++
J224'2
08+++++
J199'4
89+++++
J167'4
28+++++
J127'7
28+++++
J71'63
4++++++++
9'140
+++++++++++
127'0
29+++++++
40 Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan
APPENDIX IV – Pessimistic Scenario Analysis
Reven
ue201
5201
6201
7201
8201
9202
0202
1202
2202
3202
4Re
ntal3R
evenu
e:Me
mber&
fee&fro
m&TP
12'000
&&&&&&&&&
24'000
&&&&&&&&&
36'000
&&&&&&&&&
48'000
&&&&&&&&&
60'000
&&&&&&&&&
72'000
&&&&&&&&&
84'000
&&&&&&&&&
96'000
&&&&&&&&&
108'00
0&&&&&
&&Re
ntal&re
venue&
from&B
I14'
112&&&&&
&&&&14'
676&&&&&
&&&&15'
264&&&&&
&&&&15'
874&&&&&
&&&&16'
509&&&&&
&&&&17'
169&&&&&
&&&&17'
856&&&&&
&&&&18'
570&&&&&
&&&&19'
313&&&&&
&&&&20'
086&&&&&
&&&&Re
ntal&re
venue&
from&C
S4'1
16&&&&&
&&&&&&
8'232
&&&&&&&&&&
&12'
348&&&&&
&&&&16'
464&&&&&
&&&&20'
580&&&&&
&&&&24'
696&&&&&
&&&&25'
684&&&&&
&&&&26'
711&&&&&
&&&&27'
780&&&&&
&&&&28'
891&&&&&
&&&&Tot
al18'
22833333
333334'
90833333
333351'
61233333
333368'
33833333
333385'
08933333
3333101
'865
3333333
115'54
033333
33129
'282
3333333
143'09
333333
33156
'977
3333333
Other3
reven
ues:
Reven
ue&fro
m&meet
ing&ro
om&
and&co
nferen
ce&hal
l9'4
08&&&&&
&&&&&&
9'784
&&&&&&&&&&
&10'
176&&&&&
&&&&10'
583&&&&&
&&&&11'
006&&&&&
&&&&11'
446&&&&&
&&&&11'
904&&&&&
&&&&12'
380&&&&&
&&&&12'
875&&&&&
&&&&13'
391&&&&&
&&&&Re
venue&
from&c
afeter
ia7'2
00&&&&&
&&&&&&
7'488
&&&&&&&&&&
&7'7
88&&&&&
&&&&&&
8'099
&&&&&&&&&&
&8'4
23&&&&&
&&&&&&
8'760
&&&&&&&&&&
&9'1
10&&&&&
&&&&&&
9'475
&&&&&&&&&&
&9'8
54&&&&&
&&&&&&
10'248
&&&&&&&&&
Total
16'608
333333333
17'272
333333333
17'963
333333333
18'682
333333333
19'429
333333333
20'206
333333333
21'014
333333333
21'855
333333333
22'729
333333333
23'638
333333333
Reven
ue&fro
m&equ
ity&inv
ested
I&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
I&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
I&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
I&&&&&
&&&&&&&&&&
7'000
&&&&&&&&&&
&17'
780&&&&&
&&&&34'
090&&&&&
&&&&58'
695&&&&&
&&&&95'
743&&&&&
&&&&151
'454
&&&&&&&
Total3R
evenu
e34'
83633333
333352'
18133333
333369'
57533333
333387'
02033333
3333111
'518
3333333
139'85
233333
33170
'644
3333333
209'83
233333
33261
'565
3333333
332'06
933333
33
Expen
sesSee
d&Mon
ey140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&Sal
aries
70'000
&&&&&&&&&
72'800
&&&&&&&&&
75'712
&&&&&&&&&
78'740
&&&&&&&&&
81'890
&&&&&&&&&
85'166
&&&&&&&&&
88'572
&&&&&&&&&
92'115
&&&&&&&&&
95'800
&&&&&&&&&
99'632
&&&&&&&&&
Trainin
g25'
000&&&&&
&&&&26'
000&&&&&
&&&&27'
040&&&&&
&&&&28'
122&&&&&
&&&&29'
246&&&&&
&&&&30'
416&&&&&
&&&&31'
633&&&&&
&&&&32'
898&&&&&
&&&&34'
214&&&&&
&&&&35'
583&&&&&
&&&&Uti
lities
35'000
&&&&&&&&&
36'400
&&&&&&&&&
37'856
&&&&&&&&&
39'370
&&&&&&&&&
40'945
&&&&&&&&&
42'583
&&&&&&&&&
44'286
&&&&&&&&&
46'058
&&&&&&&&&
47'900
&&&&&&&&&
49'816
&&&&&&&&&
Intern
et4'5
00&&&&&
&&&&&&
4'680
&&&&&&&&&&
&4'8
67&&&&&
&&&&&&
5'062
&&&&&&&&&&
&5'2
64&&&&&
&&&&&&
5'475
&&&&&&&&&&
&5'6
94&&&&&
&&&&&&
5'922
&&&&&&&&&&
&6'1
59&&&&&
&&&&&&
6'405
&&&&&&&&&&
&Sta
tionar
y8'0
00&&&&&
&&&&&&
8'320
&&&&&&&&&&
&8'6
53&&&&&
&&&&&&
8'999
&&&&&&&&&&
&9'3
59&&&&&
&&&&&&
9'733
&&&&&&&&&&
&10'
123&&&&&
&&&&10'
527&&&&&
&&&&10'
949&&&&&
&&&&11'
386&&&&&
&&&&Ma
itenan
ce500
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&520
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&541
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&562
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&585
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&608
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&633
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&658
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&684
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&712
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&Co
ntinge
ncy&re
serve
10'000
&&&&&&&&&
10'400
&&&&&&&&&
10'816
&&&&&&&&&
11'249
&&&&&&&&&
11'699
&&&&&&&&&
12'167
&&&&&&&&&
12'653
&&&&&&&&&
13'159
&&&&&&&&&
13'686
&&&&&&&&&
14'233
&&&&&&&&&
Total3E
xpense
s293
'000
3333333
299'12
033333
33305
'485
3333333
312'10
433333
33318
'988
3333333
326'14
833333
33333
'594
3333333
341'33
833333
33349
'391
3333333
357'76
733333
33
?258'1
6433333
?246'9
3933333
?235'9
1033333
?225'0
8433333
?207'4
7033333
?186'2
9633333
?162'9
4933333
?131'5
0633333
?87'82
633333
333?25
'698
33333333
Net3P
rofit
Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan 41
APPENDIX V – Optimistic Scenario Analysis
Reven
ue201
5201
6201
7201
8201
9202
0202
1202
2202
3202
4Re
ntal3Re
venue:
Memb
er&fee
&from&T
P12'
000&&&&&
&&&&24'
000&&&&&
&&&&36'
000&&&&&
&&&&48'
000&&&&&
&&&&60'
000&&&&&
&&&&72'
000&&&&&
&&&&84'
000&&&&&
&&&&96'
000&&&&&
&&&&108
'000
&&&&&&&
Rental&
revenu
e&from
&BI14'
688&&&&&
&&&&15'
276&&&&&
&&&&15'
887&&&&&
&&&&16'
522&&&&&
&&&&17'
183&&&&&
&&&&17'
870&&&&&
&&&&18'
585&&&&&
&&&&19'
328&&&&&
&&&&20'
102&&&&&
&&&&20'
906&&&&&
&&&&Ren
tal&rev
enue&fr
om&CS
4'284
&&&&&&&&&&
&8'5
68&&&&&
&&&&&&
12'852
&&&&&&&&&
17'136
&&&&&&&&&
21'420
&&&&&&&&&
25'704
&&&&&&&&&
26'732
&&&&&&&&&
27'801
&&&&&&&&&
28'914
&&&&&&&&&
30'070
&&&&&&&&&
Total
18'972
333333333
35'844
333333333
52'739
333333333
69'658
333333333
86'603
333333333
103'57
433333
33117
'317
3333333
131'13
033333
33145
'015
3333333
158'97
633333
33Oth
er3rev
enues:
Revenu
e&from
&meeti
ng&roo
m&and
&confe
rence&
hall
9'792
&&&&&&&&&&
&10'
184&&&&&
&&&&10'
591&&&&&
&&&&11'
015&&&&&
&&&&11'
455&&&&&
&&&&11'
913&&&&&
&&&&12'
390&&&&&
&&&&12'
886&&&&&
&&&&13'
401&&&&&
&&&&13'
937&&&&&
&&&&Rev
enue&fr
om&ca
feteri
a7'2
00&&&&&
&&&&&&
7'488
&&&&&&&&&&
&7'7
88&&&&&
&&&&&&
8'099
&&&&&&&&&&
&8'4
23&&&&&
&&&&&&
8'760
&&&&&&&&&&
&9'1
10&&&&&
&&&&&&
9'475
&&&&&&&&&&
&9'8
54&&&&&
&&&&&&
10'248
&&&&&&&&&
Total
16'992
333333333
17'672
333333333
18'379
333333333
19'114
333333333
19'878
333333333
20'673
333333333
21'500
333333333
22'360
333333333
23'255
333333333
24'185
333333333
Revenu
e&from
&equit
y&inves
tedI
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&&I
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&&I
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&&I
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&&21'
000&&&&&
&&&&53'
340&&&&&
&&&&102
'270
&&&&&&&
176'08
5&&&&&
&&287
'228
&&&&&&&
454'36
1&&&&&
&&Tot
al3Reve
nue
35'964
333333333
53'515
333333333
71'117
333333333
88'772
333333333
127'48
133333
33177
'588
3333333
241'08
733333
33329
'575
3333333
455'49
733333
33637
'522
3333333
Expens
esSee
d&Mon
ey140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&140
'000
&&&&&&&
140'00
0&&&&&
&&Sal
aries
70'000
&&&&&&&&&
72'800
&&&&&&&&&
75'712
&&&&&&&&&
78'740
&&&&&&&&&
81'890
&&&&&&&&&
85'166
&&&&&&&&&
88'572
&&&&&&&&&
92'115
&&&&&&&&&
95'800
&&&&&&&&&
99'632
&&&&&&&&&
Trainin
g25'
000&&&&&
&&&&26'
000&&&&&
&&&&27'
040&&&&&
&&&&28'
122&&&&&
&&&&29'
246&&&&&
&&&&30'
416&&&&&
&&&&31'
633&&&&&
&&&&32'
898&&&&&
&&&&34'
214&&&&&
&&&&35'
583&&&&&
&&&&Uti
lities
35'000
&&&&&&&&&
36'400
&&&&&&&&&
37'856
&&&&&&&&&
39'370
&&&&&&&&&
40'945
&&&&&&&&&
42'583
&&&&&&&&&
44'286
&&&&&&&&&
46'058
&&&&&&&&&
47'900
&&&&&&&&&
49'816
&&&&&&&&&
Intern
et4'5
00&&&&&
&&&&&&
4'680
&&&&&&&&&&
&4'8
67&&&&&
&&&&&&
5'062
&&&&&&&&&&
&5'2
64&&&&&
&&&&&&
5'475
&&&&&&&&&&
&5'6
94&&&&&
&&&&&&
5'922
&&&&&&&&&&
&6'1
59&&&&&
&&&&&&
6'405
&&&&&&&&&&
&Sta
tionar
y8'0
00&&&&&
&&&&&&
8'320
&&&&&&&&&&
&8'6
53&&&&&
&&&&&&
8'999
&&&&&&&&&&
&9'3
59&&&&&
&&&&&&
9'733
&&&&&&&&&&
&10'
123&&&&&
&&&&10'
527&&&&&
&&&&10'
949&&&&&
&&&&11'
386&&&&&
&&&&Ma
itenan
ce500
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&520
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&541
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&562
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&585
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&608
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&633
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&658
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&684
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&712
&&&&&&&&&&
&&&&Co
ntinge
ncy&re
serve
10'000
&&&&&&&&&
10'400
&&&&&&&&&
10'816
&&&&&&&&&
11'249
&&&&&&&&&
11'699
&&&&&&&&&
12'167
&&&&&&&&&
12'653
&&&&&&&&&
13'159
&&&&&&&&&
13'686
&&&&&&&&&
14'233
&&&&&&&&&
Total3E
xpense
s293
'000
3333333
299'12
033333
33305
'485
3333333
312'10
433333
33318
'988
3333333
326'14
833333
33333
'594
3333333
341'33
833333
33349
'391
3333333
357'76
733333
33
Net3P
rofit
C257'0
3633333
C245'6
0533333
C234'3
6833333
C223'3
3333333
C191'5
0733333
C148'5
6033333
C92'50
633333
333C11
'762
33333333
106'10
633333
33279
'755
3333333
42 Master Thesis Report: Areg Gevorgyan
Bibliography
1. “Enterprise Incubator” Foundation (2014) ICT Industry Report 2013 2. Junfu Zhang, (2003) Growing Silicon Valley on a landscape: an agent-based approach to high-
tech industrial clusters 3. Jim Routzong (2013) Robust Growth For Engineering Services Outsourcing 4. Economy and Values Research Center (2010) ENGINEERING DESIGN SECTOR RESEARCH
AND FEASIBILITY STUDY 5. Junfu Zhang (2003) High-Tech Start-Ups and Industry Dynamics in SiliconValley 6. Mahdi Moudi, Hamid Hajihosseini (2011) Science and Technology Parks, Tools for a Leap into
Future 7. Rick Petree, Radoslav Petkov, Eugene Spiro, Institute for East-West Studies (2000) Technology
Parks – Concept and Organization 8. Charles W. Wessner (2008) UNDERSTANDING RESEARCH, SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
PARKS: GLOBAL BEST PRACTICES 9. Organisation for Economy Co-operation and Development (1997) Technology Incubators:
Nurturing small firms 10. Anne Leforestier (2009) The Co-working space concept