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Running Head: ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
Ensuring Sustainability ofIndustrialization
Balancing Trade-Off Resolution andGrowth – Example of Labor
Purang MehtaDePaul University (Graduated 2012)
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
ABSTRACT
There are trade-offs associated with the process ofindustrialization. This can be seen as a trade-offbetween development and growth over the short-term, butto ensure its continuation over the long-term theassociated trade-offs need to be addressed in mannerwhere the long-term process of industrialization doesnot get jeopardized. Here we use the factor input oflabor and consider how it responds to the evolution ofthe larger process of industrialization and the trade-offs it imposes in the course of this process. Weaddress the trade-offs by policy prescriptions thatseeks to meet both the objectives of addressing thetrade-off and ensuring the continuation of the processof industrialization. We identify the critical factorsto be addressed through this process as the adverseshocks on people’s income as firms begin to substitutecapital for labor and potential for curbingproductivity enhancing investments of firms by pressurefrom unions and others.
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
Economics is a field that seeks to study the efficient
allocation of scarce resources. It is these scarce
resources that result in the creation of an adversarial
relationship among different choices or pursuits,
whereby the pursuit of one choice or object requires
giving up a number of units of another object or
diminishment of another pursuit. It is from this that
the concept of “no free lunch” arises. Opportunity
costs are the cost incurred by the foregoing of the
next best alternative pursuit in favor of the current
pursuit.
Where opportunity costs arise due to the scarcity of
resources, trade-offs summarize the benefits acquired
and the costs incurred by a particular pursuit or
choice, and summarizes the adversarial relationship
among alternate pursuits by also taking into account
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
the implicit costs imposed by a foregone pursuit. The
trade-offs that occur within a larger, dynamic and
inter-related system, where individual markets and
industries are closely inter-related, results in the
imposition of a limited number of efficient and
sustainable outcomes in the course of achieving
industrialization. These efficient and sustainable
outcomes are those outcomes that allow for the
management of the various adversarial pursuits in such
a dynamic and inter-related economic system.
These outcomes are considered to be efficient by virtue
of the benefits exceed the costs, where the former is
acquired and latter incurred by the acquisition of a
particular outcome. These outcomes are sustainable by
virtue of ensuring or enabling the continuation of the
process of growth or the process of industrialization,
as is considered in this paper.
In order to attain these efficient and sustainable
outcomes the trade-offs have to be addressed via policy
measures and cannot be allowed to continue unaddressed.
Failure to address these can hamper the characteristics
of being either efficient or sustainable. Consider the
process of economic growth and industrialization. Given
a set of incentives or the initiation of either process
of growth or industrialization, it is those individuals
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
who will benefit initially that are better suited to
respond to these incentives or those that are directly
involved in the activities whereby which the process
is initiated. In this scenario, these are the investors
of capital who invest into projects designed to take
advantage of and exploit these incentive schemes and
the laborers who are employed by these projects or
undertakings. By this a segment of the labor force
directly benefits by realizing gains in wages or
earnings. This coupled with a rise in demand of the raw
materials or commodities that are inputs into the
production process can create pressure on the aggregate
price of an economy due to the rising aggregate demand.
This rising aggregate price or inflation then results
in the erosion of the real incomes, having a greater
influence on the incomes of that segment of the labor
force which is not employed in the these undertakings.
If this process is allowed to continue unhindered, the
individuals not employed by the undertakings will
continue to disproportionately face adverse effects of
inflation and the wider economy will struggle due to
the continued rise in prices. This will then result in
such undertakings, or rises in the units of output
through such undertakings, to become inefficient as the
costs imposed on society will exceed the benefits.
Also, the rising prices of inputs can hinder the
expansion of the production process along with
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
increasing the levels of dissatisfaction among the
segment of the labor force not employed in these
undertakings and demand implementation of measures that
may have adverse consequences on the growth process or
demand that the entire process of industrialization or
measures by which growth is pursued, be called off.
This highlights the need for addressing these trade-
offs to continue the process of growth and
industrialization.
The initiation of the process of industrialization is
not a sufficient condition by itself to realize the
goal of an industrialized economy, and requires the
trade-offs arising from this process to be addressed to
continue with the overall process. But simply
addressing the societal side effects of the process of
industrialization is also not sufficient by itself to
ensure the continuation of this process either. There
are also implications for the pursuit of economic
development of the population of a country with such
spurts in inflation, resulting in sharper declines of
real incomes of poorer individuals than on the incomes
of those that are relatively better off. Suppose that
the monetary authority increases the policy interest
rates to counter the effects of rising inflation and
reduce the money supply in the economy. By how much
should a country’s central bank raise the policy
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
interest rate, and seek to restrain the availability of
credit for businesses seeking to expand? How will it
mitigate the challenges of a rise in the prospects of
adverse selection due to the rate hikes? And how will
it make sure that by raising rates it does not result
in diminishing the incentive schemes put in place to
initiate the process of industrialization in the first
place? Will such a measure not affect the continuation
of the process of industrialization, still in its
infant stages and is there no policy alternative to
such a measure of that will better manage this trade-
off?
These issues highlighted here show the need for
balancing the various challenges an economy faces as
economic growth and development are both essential
components of the larger growth process. While there
may be a trade-off between these two objectives in the
short-run, in the long-run there exists a simultaneous
and pro-cyclical relationship between the two
objectives. This characteristic of a pro-cyclical
relationship implies that the failure to acquire one or
diminishment in the units acquired of one of these
objectives results in a failure or diminishment in the
units acquired of the other objective as well. This
simultaneous process, of dual causality, plays out over
multiple time periods and render itself to a dynamic
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
economic analysis. Given such simultaneity, what would
be the direction of causation to initiate the overall
growth process? I propose that it can be either one,
growth or development, as long as there remain
sufficient incentives to continue the growth process.
As per our earlier example, it could be growth, which
is the result of individuals taking advantage of the
incentive scheme created with the intent of initiating
the process of industrialization. But it could very
well also be that development of the population of a
country, acquired through international aid and poverty
alleviation efforts, initiates the process of growth.
Keeping this simultaneous and pro-cyclical relationship
over the long-run and the associated trade-offs that
need to be addressed to successfully manage the
adversarial relationship over the short-run so as to
attain that limited set of efficient and sustainable
outcomes, among all possible outcomes, in the path
towards attaining growth and becoming and
industrialized country, a policy framework is required
to address all these related issues. A policy framework
that allows the implementation of one particular
policy, among a range of potential policy prescriptions
on the basis of prevalent economic conditions and the
nature of the problem at hand would allow us to
consider the various issues that aid as well as hinder
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
the attainment of that limited set of efficient and
sustainable outcomes. To address the adverse effects of
industrialization or one such trade-off that arises
from this process, it is important that the policy
solution that is prescribed balances the need for
addressing the problem along with ensuring the
continuation of the process of growth. The failure to
address the latter and only focus on the former
objective can lead to unintended consequences. A policy
prescription based on a holistic approach will ensure
that both objectives are considered and neither one
completely ignored, which lead to jeopardizing the
entire process of industrialization.
In the remainder of this essay I will attempt to pursue
this holistic approach by addressing the societal
trade-off associated with labor and the impact of the
process of industrialization has on this critical
sector of the economy. I attempt to balance the two
objectives in my policy prescriptions, where I attempt
to address the implications of the trade-off while also
attempting to ensure that the pursuit of the process of
industrialization is not sacrificed in the process. I
start of by describing the manner in which labor is
impacted by the process of industrialization over time
and how its relationship with the other factors of
production are altered as the economy continues to
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
evolve. I further address how this transformation over
the course of industrialization results in trade-offs
associated with labor and how this has implications for
sustaining the process of industrialization. After this
analysis I recommend policies that seeks to balance the
two objectives of addressing the trade-offs as well as
sustenance of the process of industrialization to
ensure that the economy continually transitions towards
higher living standards and reaching the state of
becoming an industrialized economy.
As a country begins on the path towards becoming a
fully industrialized country, it is more likely to have
an abundance of labor resources relative to its capital
resources. This relative abundance of labor resources
implies that the cost of labor, the wages paid, will be
relatively lower than the cost of capital due to the
lower market clearing price of the labor market. In
this context, it will be more efficient to pursue labor
intensive production processes or industries that are
relatively more labor intensive. This pursuit of labor
intensive production processes will result in the
demand for labor to rise, and as a result the price of
labor, or wages paid to rise as well. This can result
in the efficiency, arising from the lower cost of
labor, to gradually diminish with the rise in wages.
The extent to which the rise in wages will result in
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
the diminishment of relative efficiency of labor will
depend on the extent to which a firm’s proportion of
total costs, that labor represents, will increase. The
smaller the proportion of labor costs, of the total
costs of a firm, the smaller the influence will be on
rising wages on the total cost structure of that firm
and hence the declines in the relative efficiency of
labor over the short-term.
As wages represent the price of labor, from a firm’s
perspective the demand for labor would be expected to
decline with rising wages. But the extent of the
decline in labor demanded to a rise in prices will
depend on the wage elasticity of labor demand. The
determinants of the elasticity of labor demand are (i)
availability of substitutes to labor as factor inputs
in the production process, (ii) the substitutability
among the factor inputs in a particular production
process, (iii) the price elasticity of demand for the
final product, in whose production the labor has been
employed, (iv) the proportion of total costs that labor
represents in the cost structure of a firm. Among these
determinants the most relevant in this scenario are the
proportion of total costs that labor represents and the
substitutability of among the factors of production. As
we had mentioned earlier, due to the relative abundance
of labor, compared to capital, and its lower relative
price will result in labor representing a smaller
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
proportion of the total costs of a firm. But
considering the aggregate economy wide demand for
labor, we would have to consider the wage elasticity of
labor demand for the aggregate demand curve and not
just that of a firm.
Considering the stage of industrialization process a
country is at and our conclusion that at this stage it
would be more efficient for industries to engage in
labor intensive production processes due to the
relative abundance of labor in the whole economy, the
relevance of the determinants we mentioned above for
the elasticity of labor demand for a firm would also
hold for the aggregate labor demand, as it is the
individual firms’ demand for labor that is summed up to
arrive at the aggregate demand for labor. Therefore,
because the proportion of total costs attributable to
labor is relatively lower and the impact of wage
increases on the total cost structure will not be very
great, these factors will result in relatively lower
elasticity, or relative inelasticity in labor demand.
The demand for labor will not be greatly influenced by
a hike in the wage rate in the short-term. Further the
substitutability or how easily one can substitute among
the factors of production, specifically capital and
labor in the short-term is low. This arises due to the
various factors such as difficulty in instantly
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
acquiring additional units of capital or relative
difficulty of incorporating them into the production
process along with constraints that may arise from
contractual obligations towards the units of labor
currently employed. These result in the firm’s and the
aggregate labor demand curve to be relatively inelastic
in the short-term. Thus, the demand for labor will not
drastically change or fall due to increments observed
in the wage rate over the short-term.
This coupled with a firm’s desire to pursue
profitability and increasing returns to scale in its
production processes will seek to add to its production
capacity. Due to the diminishing returns acquired on
acquiring additional units of labor beyond a certain
threshold at the firm’s current capital stock, the firm
will seek to add to its production capacity by
employing more units of capital. This low
responsiveness in the decline of units of labor
demanded with wage increments as well as various firms
adding to their capital stock will result in the
development of a complementary relationship between
capital and labor at an aggregate level. Further rises
in wages will spur individuals not already in the labor
market and engaged in other sectors of the economy,
which would be less productive than working at a
factory in terms of output per worker, to seek to enter
the labor force so as to attempt to reap rewards from
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
the rising wages in the labor market. Assuming that
these individuals that remain engaged in the less
productive areas of the economy is due to their
circumstances rather than choice, and that their
financial circumstances being vulnerable and earning
or producing only enough to meet subsistence levels or
little above that, to enable them to enter the labor
market would require large trade-offs in their personal
finances. In order to encourage their transition into
more productive areas of the economy, a policy to
encourage them to make this transition over the short
term will be discussed later.
The maintenance of this complementary relationship,
will over time result in marginal reductions in the
relative efficiency of hiring labor. With each marginal
increment in the wage rate, the potential for a rise in
the units of labor supply will also be gradually
exhausted. As the number of individuals who were
previously not in the labor force respond to the
incentive of rising wages and continue to enter the
labor force, the prospective entrants will being to
decline in numbers over the short and medium term.
Along with limits to how many additional units of labor
can be supplied by those already employed. This will
result in the relative abundance of labor to gradually
decline as the slack in the labor force of unemployed
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
units decline over the short to medium term. Declining
labor abundance and rising wage-rate will lead to
marginal declines in the efficiency associated with
hiring additional units of labor. This will directly
impact the costs a firm faces. With every marginal
increment in the wage rate, the labor costs as a
proportion of total costs of a firm will rise and start
assuming a larger share of the cost structure of that
firm. Over time, with further hikes in the wage rate,
the relative price of labor (compared to capital)
continues to rise. This has implications for the
profitability of the firm as well as the nature of the
relationship between the factors of capital and labor.
The rising costs of labor, a firm employs, results in
it reducing a firm’s profitability levels. A firm’s
share price, which reflects all future expected profits
discounted in present value terms, will reflect these
reduced profits in the present term along with the
impact these rising labor costs will have on future
expected profitability. These declines in future
profitability levels will result in investors losing
interest in this firm and either stop buying additional
shares of this firm or start selling its shares
altogether. At this point in order to revamp its cost
structure and regain profitability firms can pursue one
of three options or some combination of them. First,
start making adjustments to the production process such
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
that the efficiency and productivity of currently
employed laborers increases by investing in more units
of capital and reducing its reliance on labor. By
employing more units of capital at the same levels of
labor inputs, the firm can seek to acquire higher
levels of labor productivity. Second, firms can
substitute its units of labor for capital. The two
determinants of the elasticity of labor demand that in
the short-term prevented the decline in labor demanded
when there were hikes in the wage rate due to the
relative inelasticity of labor demand curve, now
results in the demand for labor being relatively more
elastic. As with rising wage rates and declining levels
of labor abundance over time, the share of labor costs
in the total cost structure of firms would have risen
to a substantial level such that further hikes in the
wage would result in there being a great impact on the
overall costs of the firm. This along with the relative
ease in which the factors can be substituted for one
another rises the constraints that operated over the
short-term gradually diminish with the passage of time.
This substitution of capital for labor will result in
previously employed laborers to become unemployed as
they are laid off. The third alternative, would be for
the firm to exit the industry and reorganize itself to
enter a different industry so as to keep its assets
operating in an industry for which it is better suited
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
for exploit new opportunities which are presented so as
to earn economic profits, beyond mere accounting
profits. This reorganization may require a change in
the asset structure where capital begins to assume a
larger share while labor diminishes. This will be even
more applicable with regard to industrialization, as
there will be opportunities to earn economic profits in
industries that rely more on capital and whose
production processes are capital intensive in nature.
All of these options require substituting away from
units of labor in favor of capital. Here the terms of
trade-off would be in terms of the units of labor that
are let go. To address this gradually levels of
unemployment and the adverse shocks this has on their
incomes would result in the temptation to make policy
choices that would seek to contain the adverse effects
on laborers but could hurt the continuation of the
process of industrialization and hamper the evolution
of a country’s economy towards being fully
industrialized. The primary motivation behind these
policy actions would be to protect laborers from
adverse shocks or attempt to address the consequences
of these trade-offs such as reduced incomes. These
policies, undertaken with these objectives and little
regard for ensuring the continuation of the process of
industrialization manifest themselves in the shape of
legislation that is pro-union or policies that limit
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
the ability of firms to make the necessary adjustments
to their asset structures, so as to either employ units
of productivity enhancing capital or adjust their
production processes in a manner that may replace the
units of labor that are currently employed. Such
policies can have a significant adverse impact on the
process of industrialization as it will hamper not only
the natural evolution towards a fully industrialized
state but also prevent the pursuit of productivity, of
the most important determinants in the process of
economic growth and long term living standards (Abel et
al., 2008) of a country.
Legislation that is pro-union or strengthens the
ability of unions to dictate terms of the production
process will ultimately result in attempts to reduce
the ease with which labor can be substituted for other
factors of production. These attempts will either
obstruct adoption of productivity enhancing technology
or attempt to enforce terms that limit the elasticity
of the labor demand curve. By doing so the impact on
employment of wage rate hikes is largely limited to a
relatively small impact, while the effect of these
hikes on the income of the laborers will be relatively
larger and beneficial to the laborers. Policy that aims
to regulate the ability of a firm to reorganize by
limiting the adoption of new productivity enhancing
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
technology, in the form of mandating a certain fixed
ratio of the factors of production employed by the
firm, will also seek to reduce the response of a firm
to a hike in the wage rate, which will take the form of
reduction in the units of labor demanded. These
policies prevent adoption of measure that will enhance
the productivity of the production process by either
increasing the productivity of labor, by raising the
capital stock per unit of labor, or by preventing an
improvement or hike in the production function, through
technological improvements, that will raise the amount
of output acquired from fixed units of capital and
labor. Rise in the labor productivity along with a rise
in the labor force participation rate are significant
aspects of and determinants in the long-term potential
GDP of a country (Taylor, 1997). Preventing these
productivity enhancing transformations will only result
in the process of growth and industrialization to slow
down or stagnate altogether. This will have a negative
impact on the long-term standards of living of a
country, precisely what policymakers sought to avoid
with the adoption of these policies, an unintended
consequence.
Along with policies that seek to limit the adverse
effects of industrialization, there will be attempts to
provide a mechanism by which laborers can smooth out
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
their consumption when faced with an adverse life
event. As discussed earlier, there is a case, in the
short-term, for the provision of a consumption
smoothing mechanism which will allow for individuals to
make a transition from less productive sectors of the
economy to those sectors where industrialization is
resulting in gains in productivity in certain sectors
of the economy and certain kinds of economic activity,
such as manufacturing. This was done with the intent to
make individuals shift from sectors of the economy
where are self-employed or other relatively
unproductive activities into the labor force so as to
be employed in the industrial activities with
relatively greater productivity levels. But in the
long-term, the case for policies that enable
individuals to smooth out consumption levels from
events such as getting unemployed is on the basis for
allowing them to manage these shocks until they are
able to find alternate employment. If individuals are
not equipped or enabled so as to deal with these
negative consequences, the resentment towards the
process of growth and industrialization will only grow
and demands will be made for preventing the further
pursuit of this process or for conditions that limit
the ability of firms substitute units of labor for
capital. Thus while it is required we address this
issue of smoothing out consumption, the manner in which
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
it is pursued can also have consequences on the
continuity of the process of industrialization.
To deal with the issue of substitution of labor in
favor of capital, to ensure that productivity enhancing
transformations are made to continue the process of
industrialization as well as the issue of adverse
effects on individuals’ incomes along the accompanying
rising unemployment is addressed in an appropriate
manner, the policies that are implemented needs to
balance these two objectives. Towards this purpose we
recommend policies to address each objective.
For the purpose of ensuring that productivity enhancing
transformations are pursued, we need to ensure not only
are the measures that hinder this are avoided but
rather an incentive scheme put in place to allow firms
to reorganize in a way that they can make the required
productivity enhancing transformations. The purpose of
an incentive scheme that encourages these
transformations is to formally institutionalize the
policy of encouraging such transformations rather than
the government choosing in which industries
productivity enhancing measures need to be taken. There
are certainly exceptions to this such as industries of
national interest and critical to the nation’s security
(for example), where government intervention is
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
justified. But beyond that it should be up to the firm
which transformations it wants to pursue. The scope of
policy in this regard is to only ensure relative non-
hindrance and an incentive scheme that encourages such
activity when it is in the firm’s best interest to do
so. This is not to say that the role of government
should be explicitly ban formation of unions, as in
specific industries and the associated labor units
employed by it may contain features such as relative
scarcity of the kind of labor (specific skill sets)
that the industry requires providing the laborers with
a degree of market power, but it should rather seek to
prevent them from being able to dictate the terms of
the production process or support such efforts by
providing legal sanction to efforts to dictate limits
on the production process.
An incentive scheme that would encourage such
productivity enhancing transformations will counter any
efforts that are made to dictate the production process
when the labor employed by the industry possesses a
degree of market power. The incentive scheme would take
the form of reductions in the marginal tax rates for
certain units of gains in output, at constant levels of
capital and labor, acquired from a transformation in
the production processes. By tying these reductions in
marginal tax rates, or on the amount paid in taxes for
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
every additional dollar (in the case of the US)
acquired as revenue, to gains in output arising from
demonstrable transformations in the production process;
we are rewarding firms for truly enhancing gains in
productivity rather than simply accumulating capital
for short periods to exploit the associated benefits.
These gains in output may not be acquired in the same
period as the transformations are made or even directly
attributable to changes made in the production
processes by the firm. The latter also reduces the
desired characteristic of simplicity in tax policy due
to the additional paperwork that would be needed to
demonstrate gains in output, but the benefits in the
form of productivity enhancing transformations would
exceed the costs these transformations impose. The
reduction in the level of marginal taxes, paid by a
firm, would take place as per a specific schedule which
explicitly states how much of a gain in output levels,
at constant levels of capital and labor, or specific
ranges of gains in output acquired would reduce the
marginal tax rate on the revenue earned by a firm.
Because different industries would experience the
benefits of productivity enhancing changes differently,
it is fundamentally the firm that will decide upon
whether to pursue or how much to pursue of these
productivity enhancing transformation. Also by
comparing the cost imposed to the benefits acquired in
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those industries, where suppliers of labor enjoyed a
degree of market power, the firm can themselves decide
whether to take steps to counter any efforts made by
the latter to dictate terms of the production process.
Also, tax breaks for research and development along
with employee training efforts would also assist with
the adoption of productivity enhancing transformations,
as simply changing the production process or making
acquisitions of technology is not sufficient in
ensuring these materialize as productivity gains. These
tax breaks would take the form of reduction in the
average tax rates instead of marginal tax rates, as in
the previous example, and consequently not affect the
quantity chosen for production but certainly
incentivize the desirable activities that it seeks to
reward. This is also why gains in output may not be
acquired in the same period as the one in which
transformations are made, as firms and its employees
learn how to most effectively take advantage of these
transformations.
The need for addressing adverse effects on labor,
arising from unemployment, so as to ensure that these
individuals can smooth out their consumption also needs
a balanced policy response. This response must not seek
to create a culture of entitlements or expenditures
that can balloon the debts and deficits of a country.
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
While the policy must provide laborers with a sense of
security in being able to manage adverse effects
arising from industrialization, it must not seek to
create a “culture” of dependence or entitlements or
skew the incentives in a manner that would encourage
them permanently reduce their labor supply. By
providing a support system, laborers would be more
willing to accept economy wide transformations as they
could then better manage adverse effects they may
experience. Apart from saving and access to credit,
most mechanisms that attempt to smooth out bumps in an
individual’s consumption levels would be through social
insurance programs. These social insurance programs
resemble private insurance practices in that they take
in contributions from the “policy holders” and pool
risks of these individuals together and make payments
out to these individuals when faced with an adverse
life event. An example of a social insurance program
that behaves like this are the unemployment insurance
programs where a portion of each taxpayers’ income is
withheld and put in this collective pool to reduce the
risk associated with one particular individual and then
are paid out according to their contributions, or
previous income level, when faced with an adverse event
such as becoming unemployed. Which mechanism is relied
upon to smooth out the consumption levels of
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
individuals would be associated with which kind of
adverse event we are trying to address.
As discussed, in the short-term to encourage
individuals who are poor and rely on economic
activities that just allows them to meet their basic
requirements, such as subsistence agriculture, and are
usually characterized by low productivity levels, a
choice between engaging in low-productivity activities
but ability to satisfy their basic requirements and
entering the relatively more uncertain labor market but
which are more productive and where they can earn more,
represent a large trade-off. Many poor individuals
would be hesitant to gamble away their fundamental
source of earnings, no matter how low, for a source of
earnings or incomes that are unstable but higher. This
is also an issue that or trade-off that needs to be
addressed when greater units of farmland are acquired
by firms to place their plants and facilities there. To
be willing to give up their holdings in farmland,
farmers would not only have to be compensated for the
market value of that piece of land but a premium or
other form of compensation that would compensate them
for the risk which is associated with them selling
their farmland. This needs to be kept in mind as
efforts are made to encourage people to enter the labor
force and leaving their relatively low productivity
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
activities in which they were previously employed. This
trade-off can be addressed by allowing individuals to
develop savings or access to credit, beyond the
compensation they receive, so as to better manage the
uncertainty associated with such transitions. By
allowing for policies that encourage financial
inclusion, these individuals would be better able to
and hence more willing to make the transition from
their previous economic activities and sources of
incomes and enter the labor force. These would also
enable them to make the necessary migration from rural
areas to areas where there are jobs and participate in
the labor force.
The trade-off that is imposed in the longer term in the
form of dealing with the adverse effects of
unemployment, at the stage of the industrialization
process where labor becomes a substitute to capital and
more units of capital are acquired by the firms at the
expense of units of labor, can also be dealt with by
providing greater financial access to individuals
allowing them to rely on these resources to smooth out
shocks to their income until find employment again. But
the more popular and preferred way of dealing with this
kind of trade-off is to provide them with unemployment
benefits. This allows them to smooth out their
consumption without adding to their debt levels during
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
periods of declines in their incomes. There is the
potential for undesirable effects with unemployment
benefit provision as well, especially with regard to
moral hazard. Among these are that this will allow
individuals to delay their entry into the labor force
until the last minute, as they can satisfy their needs
through receipts of unemployment benefits. During this
period not only are they not participating in the labor
force, which has an impact on output levels, they also
risk the sustainability of the pool, where different
individuals’ tax contributions are stored so as to
reduce risk by sharing them among all potential
contributors, by pursuing prolonged periods in which to
not re-enter the labor force and not contributing
towards sustaining this pool of contributions. To
prevent this kind of behavior, one would have to set
strict limitations on the period for which individuals
can continue to acquire unemployment benefits as well
as if possible a system of monitoring whether or not
individuals are spending their time in finding
alternate job opportunities.
To conclude, if policy attempts to not only deal with
the societal side effects of the process of
industrialization but also prescribe policy that would
not hamper further pursuit of this growth in the future
is necessary to acquire the natural evolution of an
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
economy towards the state of becoming an industrialized
one. Addressing these trade-offs would demonstrate to
individuals, who may be adversely affected by these
trade-offs, a willingness to address their concerns
with this process of industrialization would be more
willing to cooperate and even engage in the process
rather than grow resentful of this process. Addressing
trade-offs when coupled with policy making that would
also ensure the continuation of this process, would
encourage all economic agents to make the right
decisions and further propel the process of
industrialization and ensure an investment climate
favorable to this process. When these two objectives,
which may at times be at a conflict, are satisfied over
multiple periods and an expectation of such performance
by the policymakers takes root in the various economic
agents’ expectations, they would not only be willing to
engage in the process but start demanding similar
levels of performance in their policymaking and
administrative performance over future time periods as
well. Once an expectation for such type of performance
takes hold and is expected among the various
participants at times of elections or from those who
hold the prospect of being able to form a government,
the latter will begin to respond to these demands and
will attempt to meet and satisfy these expectations
over time. Such a transformation in the governance as
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
well as the institutions and institutional framework of
a country, will then result in meeting and satisfying
these objectives as the benchmark of good governance
and will be the goal to pursue for every
administration, regardless of the kind of
administration or political parties involved in the
formation of a government as these will then become
requirements the parties have to face in order to
regain control of the government. Of course, there will
always be vested interests who will attempt to obstruct
this process so as to safeguard their own, but these
will decline in relevance if individuals believe that
governments are committed to the process of growth and
industrialization in a sustainable manner where the
adverse effects from this process fall on the set of
individuals who are disproportionately affected by it,
are addressed.
ENSURING SUSTAINABILITY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION
References
Abel, A., Bernanke, B., Croushore, D. (2007).
Macroeconomics. Boston: Addison-Wesley, Pearson PLC.
Benjamin, D., Gunderson, M., & Riddell, C. (2002).
Demand for Labour in Competitive Labour
Markets – Chapter Notes. In Labour Market Economics
(5/e)
Retrieved from
highered.mcgraw-hill.com/sites/0070891540/student_view0
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chapter7/chapter_notes.html
Taylor, J. (1997). A Core of Practical Macroeconomics.
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 87(2)