Business Management for Logisticians
-
Upload
khangminh22 -
Category
Documents
-
view
1 -
download
0
Transcript of Business Management for Logisticians
This project has been funded with support from the European Commission. This publication reflects the views only of the author,
and the commission cannot be held responsible for any use which may be made of the information contained therein.
Business Management for Logisticians (Core management skills and Business Principles)
Kornélia Lazányi
&
Jan Vlachý
Business Management for Logisticians
2
Business Management for Logisticians
Kornélia Lazányi & Jan Vlachý
Poznan School of Logistics
Poznan, 2020
Business Management for Logisticians
4
Publisher:
Wyższa Szkoła Logistyki
Estkowskiego 6
61-755 Poznan, POLAND
www.wsl.com.pl
Editorial College:
Marek Fertsch, Ireneusz Fechner, Stanisław Krzyżaniak (chairman), Aleksander Niemczyk, Bogusław
Śliwczyński, Ryszard Świekatowski, Kamila Janiszewska
ISBN 978-83-62285-35-8 (Online)
Book has been edited by Wyższa Szkoła Logistyki.
Copyright © by Wyższa Szkoła Logistyki
Poznan 2020, Issue I
Editors: Kornélia Lazányi & Jan Vlachý
Technical editors:
Adrianna Toboła, Wyższa Szkoła Logistyki, Poznan, Poland
Eva Zaksevicka, Czech Technical University, Prague, Czech Republic
Cover design:
Miłosz Margański
The book has been written in Master Logistics Learning project (MLL) [2017-1-PL01-KA203-
038698] financed by ERASMUS+ programme.
This project has been funded with support from the European Commission. This publication reflects
the views only of the author, and the Commission cannot be held responsible for any use which may
be made of the information contained therein.
The book is open access and available at: logisticsmodule.eu
The entire book has "open-access" license and offers free access to the full text of all chapters via its
website. All chapters are released under the Creative Commons CC BY-NC license (Attribution-
Noncommercial).
Business Management for Logisticians
5
Authors of the Chapters: • Part A - Core Management Skills – prof. Kornélia Lazányi
• Part B - Business Principles – prof. Jan Vlachý
Reviewers:
• Dr. eng. Stanislaw Krzyzaniak – Lukasiewicz Research Network – Institute of Logistics
and Warehousing, Poznan, Poland
• PhD Péter Szikora, Keleti Faculty of Business and Management, Óbuda University,
Budapest, Hungary
Business Management for Logisticians
6
CONTENT
PART A – Core Management Skills
INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................. 10
1. Organisational design .................................................................................................. 12
1.1 Division of labour .................................................................................................. 12
1.2 Division of power ................................................................................................... 14
1.3 Coordination.......................................................................................................... 16
1.4 Configuration ......................................................................................................... 17
1.5 Deciding on organisational structures.................................................................... 19
2. Organisational processes and their evaluation ............................................................. 22
2.1 Value creation in the organisation ......................................................................... 22
2.2 Organisational processes ...................................................................................... 24
2.3 Value chain ........................................................................................................... 25
2.4 Decomposition ...................................................................................................... 27
2.5 Efficacy Indicators ................................................................................................. 28
3. Influencing others ......................................................................................................... 32
3.1 Trait-centered approach ........................................................................................ 32
3.2 Decision-based approach...................................................................................... 33
3.3 Personality-centered approach.............................................................................. 35
3.4 Motivation ............................................................................................................. 39
4. Organisational goals and their measurement ............................................................... 43
4.1 Measuring organisational performance ................................................................. 43
4.2 Fairness ................................................................................................................ 45
4.3 Goal setting theory ................................................................................................ 46
4.4 Management by Objectives ................................................................................... 47
5. Situational leadership ................................................................................................... 49
Business Management for Logisticians
7
5.1 Classical school .................................................................................................... 50
5.2 Classic era in America .......................................................................................... 50
5.3 Mechanisation and industrial production ............................................................... 52
5.4 Classical era in Europe ......................................................................................... 53
5.5 France ................................................................................................................... 54
5.6 Germany ............................................................................................................... 56
5.7 Contingencialist approach ..................................................................................... 57
6. Groups in the organisation ........................................................................................... 62
6.1 Group dynamics .................................................................................................... 63
6.2 Motivation ............................................................................................................. 64
6.3 Group Roles .......................................................................................................... 65
7. Communicating in the organisation .............................................................................. 67
7.1 The direction of communication............................................................................. 67
7.2 Effective communication ....................................................................................... 69
7.3 The forms of communication ................................................................................. 70
7.4 Nonverbal communication ..................................................................................... 71
7.5 Emotional communication ..................................................................................... 72
7.6 Emotional work ..................................................................................................... 74
8. Change Management ................................................................................................... 76
8.1 Analysis of the organisational environment ........................................................... 76
8.2 Change management strategies ........................................................................... 79
8.3 Change in leadership tactics ................................................................................. 82
8.4 The process of change management .................................................................... 83
1. The Role and Principles of Financial Management ....................................................... 91
1.1 Strategic Financial Management ........................................................................... 92
1.2 Operating Financial Management ......................................................................... 93
2. Financial Statements, Cash Flows and Financial Ratios .............................................. 94
Business Management for Logisticians
8
2.1 Structure of Financial Statements ......................................................................... 94
2.2 Cash Flows ........................................................................................................... 96
2.3 Analyzing Financial Ratios .................................................................................. 101
3. Intrinsic Value ............................................................................................................ 104
3.1 Annuities ............................................................................................................. 106
3.2 Perpetuities ......................................................................................................... 107
3.3 Different Compounding Periods .......................................................................... 108
4. Capital Budgeting Decisions ...................................................................................... 110
4.1 Selecting Independent Projects ........................................................................... 111
4.2 Selecting Mutually Exclusive Projects ................................................................. 113
5. Project Cash Flows .................................................................................................... 115
5.1 Forecasting Capital Budgeting Cash Flows ......................................................... 115
5.2 Uncertainty in Project Cash Flow Forecasts ........................................................ 117
6. Financial Planning ...................................................................................................... 121
6.1 Financial Forecast ............................................................................................... 124
6.2 Long Term Financial Planning ............................................................................. 126
7. Business Financing .................................................................................................... 128
7.1 Sources of Capital ............................................................................................... 128
7.2 Capital Structure and its Cost .............................................................................. 131
8. Working Capital Management .................................................................................... 135
8.1 Cash Conversion Cycle ....................................................................................... 136
8.2 Managing Trade Receivables .............................................................................. 137
8.3 Cash Management and Working Capital Financing ............................................. 138
9. Inventory Management............................................................................................... 143
9.1 Monitoring and Ordering Systems ....................................................................... 144
9.2 Formal Inventory Models ..................................................................................... 146
10. Pricing and Costing ................................................................................................ 149
Business Management for Logisticians
9
10.1 Determinants of Demand .................................................................................... 151
10.2 Product Costing .................................................................................................. 152
Business Management for Logisticians
10
INTRODUCTION
This book aims primarily at students and practitioners of Logistics and Supply Chain
Management, providing them with the relevant knowledge base in the domains of Management
and Economics. It may also help prepare for the European Qualification Framework Level 6
(European Senior Logistician) candidate qualification as defined by the European Logistics
Association. Essential topics from its Core Management Skills are included in Part A, while those
from Business Principles module are included in Part B.
Part A encompasses a wide variety of topics on organisational design, processes and their
evaluation. It focuses mainly on the soft elements of the organisations, such as communication,
motivation, leadership; and the combination of them, Management by Objectives.
Part B on the other hand describes the basic approaches connected to the financing
of businesses. From a strategic, as well as from an operative point of view, including cash-flow
management, costing, pricing, financing and budgeting decisions as well as their planning.
The book is complemented by the teaching materials students obtain during seminars,
as well as the online simulation, which, in the form of gamification supports the understanding
and obtaining of relevant necessary knowledge, skills and competences.
Additional resources might be useful for a successful preparation for the European Senior
Logistician exam, especially those listed in the references part.
Business Management for Logisticians
12
1. ORGANISATIONAL DESIGN
The concept of the company
Enterprises are micro-economic systems - of personnel and financial assets - in the
market environment that have their own goals and for this goal they continue to operate
The purpose of a company is to maintain itself; in the broader sense to:
• increase its efficiency,
• Increase its effectiveness.
The economic purpose of a company is to gain profits, which can be realised in the form of:
• income and / profit,
• money,
• increasing assets.
Most companies operate as organisations whose general characteristics are:
• a group of two or more people,
• that works together for a common goal,
• exert coordinated efforts to reach the organisational goal,
• has rules and structure regulate their activities.
One of the most important characteristics of companies is the organisational structure. Its task
is to divide actions rationally and logically between departments and individuals. The basic
features of organisational structure are division of , division of power, coordination
and configuration.
1.1 DIVISION OF LABOUR
The division of labour means dividing a larger task to smaller tasks and at the same time
assigning them to organisational units. While, before the first industrial revolution, the division
of labour was merely a characteristic of prentices and only lasted till the end of apprenticeship
(when they have learned how to deal with a ll the tasks related to their profession) after the
Business Management for Logisticians
13
industrial revolution, with the increasing complexity of the tasks and the mass production,
the division of labour became increasingly important, because one worker alone was not able
to perform each job efficiently. The essence of division of labour is that each unit
of the organisation (whether class, group or individual) deals with tasks best befitting to his/her
the comparative advantages and does not produce a whole product or service but just one part of
it.
Work can be divided along multiple principles. The assignment can be done by function,
product (group), consumer, region principle.
If we look at a car repair’s work, a functional division of labour would mean that while one
employee only changes tires, the other repairs engines, the third is responsible for polishing,
and so on.
Product based division on the other hand would choose the staff based on what they are
preparing. One is repairing cars, the other one trucks, and the third motorbikes.
The division of labour according to the regional principle is necessary, if the organisation
has several locations (there is a repair workshop in Budapest and another in Miskolc). In such
cases, it does not make sense to deliver (semi-finished) products between them and use
a functional or product-based division of labour, but both repair stations will organize their work
independent of each other.
The division of labour on the basis of customers is similar to the regional principle, though
- although production is on the same site - but the "distance" of customers does not allow them to
be served with the same product group. In this case, the distance between buyers indicates the
difference between buyers' choices and preferences. For example, it is not possible to sell
traditional shell and coating for those interested in tuning cars.
As it can be seen from the above examples, the principles of division of labour essentially
affect organisational processes. It is therefore important that you choose it properly. The answer
can be that the division of work in organisations can not only be organised along one sole
principle (one-dimensional organisation), but it is also possible to combine different work-sharing
principles.
If the division of labour takes place along two different principles - the work of the given
units is determined at the same time by two principles in the division of labour - it is possible to
Business Management for Logisticians
14
speak of a two-dimensional organisation, but there are also more (multidimensional)
organisations.
1.2 DIVISION OF POWER
The decisive element of organisational structure is the distribution of power between
organisational members (individuals and units). In relation to the allocation of powers, rights
related to decision making, commitment, agreement, negotiation, management, execution and
control should also be taken into account. The sharing of powers is ideally done
on a competence basis.
When designing a system of division of power, it is worth distinguishing between
decisions dealing with strategic or operational issues. Strategic decisions that determine
the organisation's long-term operation and competitiveness are generally dedicated to higher
levels of organisational hierarchy, while it is desirable to delegate operative decisions that allow
the management of day-to-day problems to lower levels of the organisation closer to the place
of emergence of the problem.
If strategic and operational decisions are made by people at the top of the organisational
hierarchy, the organisation is considered centralized. However, if some of the decision-making
powers - typically related to operational tasks - are delegated to the lower hierarchical levels
of the organisation, the organisation shows decentralized features.
Centralisation and division of powers may also be influenced by organisational size.
In smaller, simpler organisations where the depth of division of labour or the size of the
organisation does not justify a complex division of responsibilities, organisational units can only
get instructions from a single leader. From the point of view of subordinate units, such a system
is called a single line organisation. The advantage of such a form is the clear subordination and
superiority, as well as clear, straightforward relationships. However, with increasing
organisational size, however, the chain of command becomes more and more complex, longer
and slower, coordination tasks become more and more overwhelming for the higher ups.
In addition, in mechanistic, rarely, or only slightly changing organisations, personal dependency
is often formed between representatives of hierarchical levels independent of competences.
Business Management for Logisticians
15
If the organisation is bigger or the division of labour takes place over multiple dimensions,
the power relations become more complex - such organisations are called multi-line
organisations. They are characterized by high degree of specialisation and direct instruction
and information. The disadvantage of the system is that it is difficult to identify the responsible
persons when it comes to problems - since one unit has more than one manager at a time.
It is therefore difficult to connect competences with responsibilities. Multi-line hierarchy can be
a source of many conflicts, which, if tied to people, do not support organisational performance.
It is an important rule that one-dimensional organisations can also have multi-line
management, but for multidimensional organisations there cannot be a single-line leadership
because at least one hierarchical chain is built up along each dimension.
Coordination tools that coordinate the work of organisational units are important elements
of organisational structure. Coordination is nothing more than a targeted form of communication.
Accordingly, the direction may be vertical and horizontal. Coordination of organisational
processes in several ways feasible. The most obvious co-ordination tools are elements of the
organisation's written rules - technocratic solutions. These include different rules, policies,
procedures, or plans (strategic, operational, functional) and programs. The advantage of these
forms of coordination is that it has traces and can be retrieved. The instructions are clear to all
parties and can be communicated simultaneously with more than one person. While
organisational strategy might not be the best to communicate organisational goals to its members
– owing to its lengthy and more detailed nature – there are other means for such purposes, like
organisational mission and vision.
In order for an organisation to operate on a long-term basis, for its leaders to have an
easily communicable version of their strategic thinking organisations often use vision statements.
Vision seeks to outline where the organisation is headed and what values are guiding that
journey.
It introduces and simplifies the attempted future what the organization exists to achieve.
The vision statement is based on the company’s core beliefs and values that remain constant
regardless of the business environment, the profit level, or other external factors. It is the basis
of organisational culture.
If a strategic leader wants to go beyond the vision, however, by making a clearer
delineation of organisational goals and how the well-articulated and wide communicated vision
will be accomplished, he/she can create a mission statement. Like the vision, the mission also
Business Management for Logisticians
16
communicates the organization’s purposes; it is a way to express the vision in practical terms.
What does the organization exist to do? What are the objectives?
Vision and mission are basic form of articulation of strategic thinking, hence, they can be
used well, for communication purposes. However, in order for them to really influence
organisational processes and people within the organisation, they should be concrete and include
goal-oriented language. It should include measurable objectives. Every person within the
organization can evaluate whether his or her own activities will serve to help the company
achieve its mission, (for further details see Chapter 4.4).
The importance of mission and vision statement is clearly indicated by them being an
unavoidable part of not only internal communication, but every business plan be it prepared for
establishment, organisational change or loan retrieving purposes. (For the structure of a business
plan recommended by Forbes, see Appendix 1.)
1.3 COORDINATION
Tools that coordinate the work of organisational units are important elements
of organisational structure. Coordination is nothing more than a targeted form of communication.
Accordingly, the direction may be vertical and horizontal. The coordination of organisational
processes can be realized in several ways. The most obvious co-ordination tools are elements
of the organisation's written rules - technocratic solutions. These include different rules, policies,
procedures, or plans (strategic, operational, functional) and programs. The advantage of these
forms of coordination is that they have traces and can be retrieved. The instructions are clear
to all parties and can be communicated simultaneously with more than one person.
Person-oriented solutions, on the other hand operate along the organisational culture
and value system. Their aim is to support the identification of organisational members
with organisational culture. Such practices can be the methods of conflict management
or leadership training and selection. The advantage of this form of coordination is that it does not
only act on a cognitive level, but it also provides guidance - not just for pre-programmed
decisions, but also in individual situations. It is a disadvantage that it can only be influenced over
a long period of time and is difficult to modify. This form of coordination is integrated into
the organisational memory.
Business Management for Logisticians
17
The third form of co-ordination mechanism is that of structural apparatuses, which have
an effect through structuring an organisation in a given way. Their aim is to ensure
the consistency between managerial decisions and the functioning of organisational units.
Such solutions include ad hoc and permanent committees, project teams and product
management systems. It also includes the (mainly vertical) communication paths stemming from
division of labour, as well as matrix-type organisational solutions.
1.4 CONFIGURATION
Configuration is a secondary structural feature. It is created through the other three features
together. It is a visualisation technique, which makes the organisation's structure easier
to understand. Its features:
• hierarchical depth of the organisation (number of hierarchical levels)
• organisation's breadth-of-structure (number of subordinates directly belonging to a leader)
• size of organisational units (number of employees belonging to the given unit)
In the configuration, it is clearly indicated how a given organisation applies the division
of powers. The advantage of linear organisational solutions is that they are simple, easy to
review, subordination is clear, and their cost of designing and running is low. The two most
common forms of the single line - linear - organisations are the functional (function - based
division of labour) and the divisional (product or market - based division of labour).
Figure 1. Schematic graph (configuration) of a single-line organisation
Source: own study
1. level
2. level
3. level
Horizontal enlargement
Service path
Business Management for Logisticians
18
It is an easy to create organisational configuration that can be expanded in width
and depth and can easily outsource unnecessary activities / units. Such configuration is well
suited for small organisations with simple, homogeneous tasks, under stable operating conditions
with low innovation constraints. A large number of employees can be well coordinated with help
of it. The weak point of such structure lies in its nature. Because of the unequal division
of responsibilities, the top management is heavily laden and organisational communication
is happening only through formal channels and service paths. This makes it difficult
for the organisation to react to environmental changes.
Outsourcing can have a significant impact on an organisations bottom line. It can reduce
overheads, bring fresh expertise to the business, and free up resources for innovation and other
tasks. Nonetheless, before making the decision whether or not to outsource certain activities,
the strategic importance of the task has to be considered. Does the task in question serve
as a competitive advantage? How important is the task in the everyday operations of the
organization? Tasks of strategic importance that have a big impact on operational performance
have to be retained, and their organisational units incorporated to the organisational structure.
But not all tasks are like this. Some tasks are strategically important, but contribute little
to operational performance, so could be outsourced safely to a trusted partner, (in such cases
strategic alliances are supposed to be formed). Tasks, that are neither strategically important, nor
have a decisive impact on company performance have to be analysed from cost/benefit aspect
but can freely be outsourced.
One of the most common configurations of multi-line organisations is the matrix
organisation. The division of labour in this case takes place along two separate dimensions, and
the division of powers is multi-line.
Business Management for Logisticians
19
Figure 2. Schematic picture of a multiline, multi dimension organisation
Source: own study
Because of the multiline nature this configuration is characterized by multi-faceted nature.
It adapts more easily to changes in the organisational environment, and it manages complex
tasks that require significant innovation. Nevertheless, the disadvantage of multi-line
management is that it generates rivalry and power struggles between various managers.
In connection with common decisions stalling and passing on responsibility is a typical behaviour.
Another problem is that common decisions are made much slower than individual decisions
in linear organisms, so the organisation responds slowly to crisis situations.
1.5 DECIDING ON ORGANISATIONAL STRUCTURES
The organisational structure can optimally manage organisational processes when not
only taking into account the features of the organisation, but also that of the organisational
environment. We consider an element of the environment every condition, effect, and factor
Development R&D director
Production Director of production
Commerce Sales director
Corporate governances
product
(head of unit)
product
(head of unit)
product
(head of unit)
GOVERNING BODIES
A
B
C
Business Management for Logisticians
20
affecting, limiting and defining the behaviour and activity of the organisation and its constituent
individuals or groups.
The organisational environment is decomposed into spheres that interact with each other.
• macro environment - the widest system of relevant environmental factors
• micro environment - the industry environment of the given products / services
• operating environment - all elements that have a smaller or greater impact on the
organisation's operations and which are influenced more or less by organisational
operations
• internal environment - the basic features of the organisation
The strategically organized organisational structure therefore focuses on the corporate
environment and builds on the evaluation of competition and the relevant market rather than
focuses on the organisation alone and builds on the results of the past.
Figure 3. The spheres of the organisational environment
Source: Based on Burns, Stalker (1961)
In industries with fast market and technological changes, it is necessary to develop
organic organisational forms, while in the industries with stable markets and unchanged product
basket, it is mostly reasonable to create mechanistic forms. In addition, the environment may also
Macro environment (economic, social, political, technological, ecological,
regulatory environment)
Micro environment (dealers, buyers, potential market entrants,
producers of substitutes, competitors)
Operating environment (the company's strategic teams,
creditors, suppliers, buyers, labour, etc.)
Internal environment (financial, technological, human resources,
locations, culture, organisational structure, etc.)
Business Management for Logisticians
21
affect organisational system of distribution of power, as organisations in a volatile, precarious
environment are shall be more decentralized, while more predictable industries are characterized
by more centralized organisations.
MECHANISTIC STRUCTURE ORGANIC STRUCTURE
high degree of specialisation, programmed behaviour, routine tasks
the influence is based on the expertise
formalisation, instruction chains more horizontal rather than vertical
communication
centralisation decentralized decision-making
rigid hierarchy flexible, adaptive structure
tight control, supervision participative leadership
Figure 4. The characteristics of different structural forms
Source: Based on Burns, Stalker (1961)
Knowing these consistencies is important because adaptation is necessary for all long-term
viable organisations. Adaptation should not only appear in the organisation's strategy, but the
organisational structure must also support efficient and effective organisational behaviour.
Business Management for Logisticians
22
2. ORGANISATIONAL PROCESSES AND THEIR EVALUATION
2.1 VALUE CREATION IN THE ORGANISATION
The organisation is a system that has inputs (materials, money, human resources)
a transformation process (technology) and outputs (goods and services). This conversion
process is called a value-creating process in the economic language. The value-creating process
is therefore the acquisition, management and use of resources, to create value for the consumer.
In order to ensure value creation with a proper output, the organisation has to answer five basic
questions:
• For whom? Who is the target group of the organisation, what kind of markets
and submarkets does it want to target?
To answer this question, it is necessary to determine the needs of the selected target group
(necessity, which motivates purposeful action); of which some are latent, and some are already
formulated, which products, services they are willing to pay for (demand), and which ones they
would not only want but can buy (consumer demand).
• What? Which product, service (or combination) does it want to sell on the chosen market?
To answer this one needs to be aware of the fact that consumers want a product they value.
However, value can be a value of use (the set of properties of the product that makes it fit for the
claim), place value (the product's feature to be available in space, accessible to the buyer), time
value (the product is close to the moment of production of the claim time availability), and
property value (right of disposal over the product).
• How? How it wants its product and service to be produced; what kind of organisational
structure, infrastructure, technology, and human resources are needed for this?
Defining the organisation's products and services from the point of view of corporate value-
creating processes, the corporate value chain is the link of corporate activities creating corporate
value. It usually involves intra-corporal systems and processes. The realisation of the material
processes of the value chain, which is usually understood between companies, is called a value
chain.
Business Management for Logisticians
23
• How much? At what price does it want to sell the product, service, and what price
the selected target segment is willing to pay for it?
Pricing may be based on product and service costs, in which case we are talking about
product-oriented pricing, but we can also start from the demand for solvency when market-
oriented pricing is applied. independent of the chosen pricing method, the purpose of the
organisation is to maintain itself and to realize profits, so the total cost should be lower or (at least
as much) as the total revenue over the long run.
• When? When can it launch the product or service; within what timeframe can profit be
realized for the organisation?
Demand for products, services are changing in time. It is strategically important for the
organisation to target a market that is in an expanding phase, to create a product or service for
which demand can be forecasted, to offer them at a price at which demand is/can be sustained
on a long run. For this the product life-cycle, as well as the S curve of innovation shall be tightly
monitored.
Figure 5. The life-cycle and innovation curve of products and services
Source: own study
Time
S Curve 100%
Life-cycle
Innovators
2,5%
Early adopters
13,5%
Early majority
34%
Late majority
34%
Laggards
16%
Business Management for Logisticians
24
The whole set of elements of the system does not form a system without the connections
between elements. The system is therefore more than the sum of its parts. In most companies,
there is also a feedback between outputs and inputs that allows the organisation to integrate
feedback from the organisation's environment into organisational processes, and the necessary
intervention.
2.2 ORGANISATIONAL PROCESSES
While the structure of the organisations consists of units and their relationships, in case
of systems, we must take the organisational processes into account. Analysis of processes
enables the assessment and evaluation of organisations. Input-output relations are also relevant
for processes the same as for organisations. All processes need some kind of resources (human
work, energy, raw materials, information) and after a transformation process, each creates
an output is made available to the environment. Organisational processes most often receive
both their inputs from within the organisation - from other organisational processes - and create
outputs that are required by other units of the organisation; but there are also cross-border
processes, such as sales, or front-end in case of service providers (the moment of providing
the service).
Figure 6. Organisational processes
Source: own study
Input processes
Transformation
processes
Output
processes
Regulation
Business Management for Logisticians
25
Organisational processes are built upon each other. Their consistency and organisation
are one of the cornerstones of corporate competitiveness. Processes can contribute to the
organisation's competitiveness in two ways. Low-cost, cost-efficient, fast-run, error-free
processes enhance organisational efficiency, while processes generating customer satisfaction
and loyal customers that help to improve the organisation's environmental fit improve operational
efficiency.
The organisational processes can be divided into two parts from their customers’ point of
view. For some of the processes the customers are non-organisational members. Processes
reaching beyond the organisational boundaries are commonly called key processes. However,
most of the processes are within the organisation - which can be labelled supportive processes.
2.3 VALUE CHAIN
Processes can be distinguished not only by their customers but also by their purpose.
While operative processes are related to the daily routine of an organisation, management tasks
relate to planning, organizing, managing and controlling operative processes.
This is well depicted in the value chain model of Michael Porter, in which the processes
associated with organisational core activity are depicted sharply from the supportive processes
that enable them to emerge. The model is basically created for production companies,
and although the structure of service companies is often very similar to their production
companies, we can discover fundamental differences at system level.
Business Management for Logisticians
26
Figure 7. The value chain model of organization
Source: Based on Porter (1979)
With the help of the model, it is easy to understand that the value chain is nothing more
than a value-linking of corporate systems and processes that is designed to create a product that
meets the needs of consumers.
For production companies, the core processes are related to the creation of the product.
The operations in their case includes all the processes that will make (transform) the raw material
ready for use. Such processes are:
• the supply,
• inbound logistics,
• transformation processes,
• outbound logistics,
• promotion of marketing and sales,
• sales or maintenance and warranty services.
Supportive processes are those systems that enable the realisation of the core processes.
The importance of these systems for corporate strategy is not less than that of core processes,
Core processes
Procurement
Technical development
Human resource management
Organisational infrastructure
Inbound logistics
Operations Outbound logistics
Sales and marketing
After sales services
Sup
port
ive
pro
cesses
Business Management for Logisticians
27
in fact, very often, their added value is decisive for long-term successful operation. This group
includes:
• service processes (such as maintenance),
• management and organisational processes,
• strategic management processes,
• development and modernisation.
The value chain analysis helps to identify the interconnected elements involved in the
production of the products. It analyses how and to what extent each item produces added value
and helps to figure out how many enterprise resources those elements require. Value-chain
based assessment of systems can be the starting point for examining industry trends
and searching for industry benchmarks. What is more, the value chain approach of companies
enable the use of non-industry best practices as a functional benchmark and the incorporation
of them into corporate practice.
2.4 DECOMPOSITION
Organisational processes can be divided into activities that - like the processes and the
whole organisation - have input and output (output) the transformation between the two is the
activity itself. Accordingly, the processes presented above are nothing but the coherent chains
of activities that are defined in space and time and are intended to satisfy a need or to solve
a problem.
The term activity can refer to an arbitrary transformation, it can be a simple, easy-to-
automate task that does not require thinking, but it can also refer to complex physical
and / or mental tasks.
Although the organisational structure, by identifying the dimensions of work
and competence sharing, and by examining systems, by trying to evaluate the role of processes
in the value chain, is to support the work of corporate decision makers, the diversity
of organisational units and their processes often justify activity-based decomposition. When
decomposing organisations, it is important to define units that fosters that:
• a well-structured organisation is created,
Business Management for Logisticians
28
• optimize the execution of key processes,
• improve operational efficiency.
One important purpose of decomposition is that the performance of units created on the basis
of activity can be well identified and measurable. The purpose of decomposing is therefore
to create units of responsibility and accountability that can be defined for each unit
of the configuration - whether it is a group or, in extreme cases, a single person (who has
distinctly separate tasks and responsibilities from the others) - to determine the method
of measuring and monitoring the tasks delivered by the units.
To achieve this goal, different decomposition logics can be used by the organisation.
When functionally decomposed - as in the case of functional division of labour - the same
professional activities are organized into units, while decomposed on the basis of the division
of labour, activities are decomposed along the individual product groups, customer circles
or regional units. The logic of the process-oriented decomposition is principally different from the
logic of the decomposition along the division of labour. Here the chain of activities in input-output
relation are the basis of the internal logic of decomposition. If in an organisation the demarcation
of material and information processes is important, material / information-based decomposition
may also take place.
Decomposition can also help to distinguish strategically significant (eg core competence)
and less significant activities. In such cases we are talking about strategical decomposing
and entities created along these principles are called strategic business units (SBUs).
For strategic business units, it is particularly important that their activities are well identified and
measurable.
2.5 EFFICACY INDICATORS
Organisational operation and organisational processes can be evaluated from two
perspectives; efficiency and effectiveness. A process is effective if you can achieve the goal
of the process in a shorter time, with fewer errors or with fewer inputs. However, efficiency
is a more complex phenomenon. We consider a process effective when it enables
the organisation to solve cardinal issues / problems when it generates value for the organisation
or allows it to create a higher consumer value than before.
Business Management for Logisticians
29
Based on the fact whether inputs, outputs, process efficiency, or possibly other activity
dimensions can be best quantified an SBU can be regarded a cost, revenue, profit or investment
centre. The characteristics of the given units are summarized in the table below.
TYPE UNIT OF CONTROL PURPOSE OF CONTROL INCIDENCE OF UNITS
COST Costs and Expenses Increase efectiveness Reduce costs without
reducing outputs
Units with difficult quantizable outputs e.g.
administrative departments
REVENUE Realized traffic Improve efficiency
Increase sales volume
Units controlling processes beyond
organisational boundaries e.g. sales
divisions
PROFIT Profit Improve efficiency
Management of resources Divisions of divisional
organisations
INVESTMENT Return on investment Improve efficiency
Extensive fiscal management
Subsidiaries or individual organisations of holding organisations
Figure 8. Basic types of Strategic Business Units
Source: Based on Govindarajan (1986)
In cost centres, budget planning is typically carried out where the planning is based
on the budget of the previous year. As a result, the organisational unit's budget often separates
from the amount of tasks to be borne by the unit. In order to avoid such situation, it is best to
apply a nil budgetary cost planning every 3-5 years when the organisation attempts to quantify
some of the tasks performed by the unit (e.g. through the average working hours per week)
and determine the budget appropriation for the department. In the case of cost centres, the head
of the centre has a relatively large scope to use the costs that are available to him,
but the prerequisite for a rational allocation is to monitor and evaluate in some way the efficiency
and effectiveness of activities with difficult measurable outputs. Cost-based accounting can
also be applied to organisational units where the relationship between inputs and outputs is well-
known - one unit of output can be generated from a given amount of inputs.
Business Management for Logisticians
30
The establishment of revenue centres is justified when the head of a given organisational
unit cannot influence either the unit cost of inputs or the unit price of outputs, so the revenue from
the products / services sold by the unit is the best indicator of the effort of the organisational unit.
The profit centre is the complete opposite of such small range decision systems. In profit centres
the leader can influence the cost / price of both the inputs and the outputs. The head of the
centre can not only choose the inputs, but may also make product / service mix decisions. The
unit's activity can be measured well, and the performance of the unit can move not only in
positive, but in negative range as well. What's more, a deficit (loss-generating, negative profit-
making) organisation can measure its own efficiency and effectiveness change in the light of its
realized results.
Investment centres are the last kind of accountability units. Their autonomy is the largest
of all types of business units, since they can not only decide on their inputs and outputs, but
decisions on investments required to increase efficiency also fall within the competence of the
head of a department. Therefore, the activities of the centres are characterized not only by short-
term profitability but also by its long-term sustainability.
Conversion of units of the organisations into units of responsibility and accounting is often
not a simple or straightforward task. For multiple units, activities can be evaluated in multiple
ways. For this reason, it is the responsibility of the top management to determine the
classification of different business units and to delegate the decision-making powers necessary
for managing it to the head of that unit - decentralize.
Organisational performance from a strategic point of view, however, cannot only be
described by financial indicators. There are other elements, that have to be evaluated and
monitored for long term success, such es motivation or commitment of workers. To incorporate
further aspects, Robert S. Kaplan and David P. Norton (1996) have developed a balanced
scorecard (BSC). Besides the ever-important financial aspects the costumers are also viewed as
strategic stakeholders (for further details see Chapter 4.1 as well). BSC also views organizational
performance through the lenses of the quality and efficiency related to business processes,
hence processes are also a crucial part of the system. Last but not least, organisations not
reacting, or just lagging behind industrial changes cannot flourish, hence learning is also
incorporated into BSC. This aspect explores performance from the point of view of human capital,
Business Management for Logisticians
31
infrastructure, technology, culture and other capacities that are key to organisational change and
development.
Figure 9. Balanced scorecard
Source: LeanSixSigmaBelgium.com
FINANCIAL
To succeed financially, how should the entity
appear to their stockholders?
LEARNING AND GROWTH
To reach its vision,
how is the entity likely to sustain its
capacity to change and improve?
CUSTOMER
To reach its vision, how should the
entity appear to their customers?
INTERNAL PROCESSES
To satisfy their
stakeholders, what internal processes should the entity
master?
Vision and
Strategy
Business Management for Logisticians
32
3. INFLUENCING OTHERS
The international literature distinguishes between two different types of management.
The impact on people is rather called leadership (leadership of people), the impact
on organisations is labelled management (management of organisations). The leadership
is therefore an element of managerial activity that deals with the human resources, mobilizes
the organisational members to achieve organisational goals. It is an ability to influence a group
to reach organisational goals. Leadership is a way of management, where the leader does
not lead directly, but rather indirectly led effects his/her subordinates, uses indirect instruments;
does not command but influence. Accordingly, leadership style is closely related to motivation -
it is based on the understanding of what motivates people.
3.1 TRAIT-CENTERED APPROACH
The search for the ideal leader has not lost its relevance since the formation of human
societies. While in many societies the quest for the perfect leader was based on researches into
a range of physical characteristics (Ancient Egypt - high, flat forehead; or as in Ancient Sparta -
the physically improbable babies were dropped from Taygetos, while the strongest were chosen
as leaders), modern-day organisational science focuses on mental and emotional qualities
instead of physical attributes. Numerous studies have tried to determine what distinguishes
a manager from an employee and the effective leaders from ineffective ones.
From the trait - centred theories the approach that considers the emotional intelligence
of leaders as a cardinal feature has not lost its relevance to the present. The emotional
intelligence closely correlates with the ability to influence and thus gives the essence
of leadership. People with emotional intelligence are able to create a magnetic field that gives
them emotional appeal, so they often have an ever-growing social network and emotional support
system, they are more willing to accept themselves, and more easily enforce their will.
According to Mayer and Salovey's ability-based approach, emotional intelligence is the
ability to comprehend, perceive, evaluate and express emotions, raise them to the cognitive level,
understand them and their information content; and the ability to regulate the emotional
Business Management for Logisticians
33
and intellectual development of an individual. So, it is a set of cognitive abilities that allow the
identification, realisation, correct use and articulation of emotions.
Others consider emotional intelligence as a relationship of abilities and personalities that
allow the perception and treatment of emotions. The most commonly used is the model
of Reuven Bar-On (1944- ), in which emotional intelligence is depicted as the emotional,
personal, social and survival dimensions of intelligence, which is often more important
for the daily survival than the traditional cognitive aspect of life. Emotional intelligence is a tool for
understanding ourselves and others, for relating to others, for instant adaptation to environmental
change and a means of long-term survival. Emotional work means nothing more than 'common
sense' and the way in which the surrounding world is treated.
Bar-On has divided emotional intelligence into 5 components.
• intrapersonal: emotional awareness, self-awareness, self-validation, self-realisation
• interpersonal: empathy, ability to create and maintain social relationships
• adaptation: problem solving, feasibility study, flexibility
• stress management: stress tolerance, impulse control
• general mood: optimism, happiness
Daniel Goleman (1946- ) has another point of view regarding emotional intelligence.
In his interpretation, emotional intelligence embraces a wide range of emotional attitudes and
competences ranging from motives, personal characteristics to learned abilities.
The 25 competences he defined were divided into 5 main groups: self-awareness, motivation,
self-regulation, empathy and social skills. He thinks that all practical, work-related skills are based
on these five competencies, and emotional intelligence is the potential to enable the mastery
of them.
That is why it is particularly important for leaders to have a high emotional intelligence.
3.2 DECISION-BASED APPROACH
However, in many cases it is not sufficient for managers to have high emotional intelligence if the
subordinates (perhaps because of their lower level of emotional intelligence) do not feel that they
are not mere servants of the organisation, but also important parts of it. This momentum has
Business Management for Logisticians
34
been put into the centre of the research of decision - centred leadership theories, which typify
the management systems according to the process of decision-making and focus on how the
leader makes the decisions and what kind of the participation in decision making he/she allows
the subordinates. This issue, in the light of the structural features previously described, is easily
linked to the power system of the organisation, with its centralisation or decentralisation.
Kurt Lewin's (1890-1947) vision greatly simplified the situation of the leader. According
to his theory, either a leader involves the people concerned and decides democratically or makes
all the decisions alone and is considered autocratic or, - and this is not really a managerial
behaviour - leaves the organisation and its members alone in the decision-making situation
acting laisseiz-faire.
The autocratic style is characterized by authoritarianism, centralized power. The leader
dominates the group's activities. He decides alone on all relevant issues, holds strict discipline,
evaluates on a subjective basis. On the other hand, the functioning of the decentralized system
is based on democratic cooperation which is stemming from the common goals
of the organisational members. The task of the manager is to increase the participation
and activity of group members in decision-making situations and to objectively evaluate
performance.
The laissez fair system is difficult to imagine from the point of view of division of power,
as here the decision is not delegated to the lower level of the organisational hierarchy
by deliberate division of power. The system is extremely liberal, often leading to anarchic
operations, where the delivery of work is uncontrollable. The leader in such cases is not a real
leader, rather a passive participant in the organisation. He/she does not initiate, does, or only on
request, assist the work of the organisational members.
Rensis Likert (1903-1981) did not integrate the latter "leadership" style into his typology.
He was rather focused on the investigation of autocratic and democratic systems, which,
in his view, exclude each other. As a result of his research, he developed a four-tier leadership
typology, the only factor of which still being the degree of involvement of the subordinate
in the management process, but he further refined the former binary system, taking into account
the leaders's attitudes.
In his system, the exploitative autocratic leader is distrustful, motivating the employees
with threats, punishment (very rarely reward). He/she centralizes decision and control, uses
Business Management for Logisticians
35
downward communication. In contrast, there may be a different type of centralized system
in which the leader is benevolent. In such situations, the leader has some confidence in the
organisation's members and their qualities. He/she occasionally demands the opinions of the
subordinates, and allows them to decide on smaller matters, but always controls the decision on
his/her own. In such organisations the direction of communication is still dominantly downward.
The leader - opposed to the exploitative autocratic system - motivates mostly by reward.
The next level of confidence in the subordinates is consultative leadership. The leader
does not only involve a wide range of employees in the preparation and decision-making process
but seeks collective decisions on global issues. In such systems, communication works well
in both directions. The employees are motivated not only by reward but also by the participation,
since their ideas are incorporated into the organisational reality.
In the interpretation of Likert, the organisational form of total trust is the participative
leadership. Team members are not only involved in preparation and decision-making, but also
in targeting goals, defining performance indicators, and evaluating performance. The leader
requires the opinions and ideas of the subordinates, trusts their decisions. Subordinates are
evaluated and motivated by both financial and non-financial remunerations.
3.3 PERSONALITY-CENTERED APPROACH
The two systems, Lewin and Likert, clearly show that division of responsibilities is a very
important structural dimension and influences both the leaders and the subordinates strongly.
Decision-centred leadership typologies, however, just like every model, present organisational
reality and leadership systems in a very simplified way. For this reason, leadership literature
turned to developing further investigative aspects, and instead of the centralized nature
of decisions the personality of the leader and his/her focus of attention became the focal point
of researches.
The researchers at the University of Michigan (Likert and Hemphill) have defined a one-
dimensional continuum between two leadership styles based on managerial attention. The job-
centred style has scales measuring two job-oriented behaviours of goal emphasis and work
facilitation. In their system, the job - centred leader takes the time to break down, organize
and control tasks because he/she is primarily interested in organisational performance. During
Business Management for Logisticians
36
his/her work, he/she builds on legitimate, rewarding and coercive powers. On the other hand,
the employee-oriented leader concentrates on the social atmosphere of the working group,
creates a cohesive group, builds on group cohesion, because it is important for him/her that
the employees shall be satisfied. He/she constantly works on settling or even preventing
conflicts. For him/her, the task is only of secondary importance. His/her leadership style
is characterized by the division of power. The employees are motivated by the possibility
of participation and development. The employee - centred style focuses on two employee-
oriented behaviours: supportive leadership and interaction facilitation.
In the model of the University of Michigan, the two orientations are the two endpoints
of the leaders’ attention. A leader can focus his/her attention completely on the good relationship
with his/her colleagues or the task, but not the both of them at the very same time. However,
the Ohio University model has the potentiality of the “perfect leader”, the leader can create
a combination of focusing on the structure and paying attention to the subordinates.
The interesting point of the model is that the two types of attention are not considered as two
endpoints of a continuum but as separate dimensions. Accordingly, the two dimensions indicate
twofold attention as feasible. According to the system, attention to one area does not entail the
relative neglect of the other area.
By using the terminology of the model, the leader who achieves high value in the initiating
structure dimension can work out the tasks, processes, mechanisms for the subordinates in detail
and prescribe what to do and how to do it. On the other hand, the high-consideration leader is
interested in the subordinates, seeking a friendly, trusting, supportive atmosphere, and is
responsive to the feelings and human problems of the subordinates. Another interesting feature
of the model can not only measure the attention of the leader, but also predict its impact on the
organisation, as exemplified in the following table.
Business Management for Logisticians
37
Figure 10. The effect of the leader’s attention on the organisation
Source: own study
The model of the University of Ohio and that of the decision-focused approach are
synthetized in Robert Blake's (1918-2004) and Jane Mouton (1930-1987) leadership grid model,
which uses the utility curves known from microeconomics to indicate the leader’s impact on the
organisation. The two dimensions were labelled in this case concern for people and concern for
results. The design of the grid and the location of the utility curves suggest that a leader is
effective when paying maximum attention to both dimensions. The novelty of the grid approach is
that, while the earlier theories were designed to test and label the leader, the grid was designed
to point out the areas to be developed and to instruct the leader how to improve his leadership
style through trainings.
HIGH INITIATING STRUCTURE LOW INITIATING STRUCTURE
HIGH
CONSIDERATION
Good performance
Few complaints
Low fluctuation
Poor performance
Few complaints
Low fluctuation
LOW
CONSIDERATION
Good performance
Many complaints
High fluctuation
Poor performance
Many complaints
High fluctuation
Business Management for Logisticians
38
•
Figure 11. Blake-Mouton managerial grid
Source: own study
The middle of the system is a compromising leadership style labelled “middle of the road
management” with the ideology of achieving good organisational performance by creating
a balance between maintaining the expected work performance and a satisfactory level
of employee morale at the same time. On the same utility curve, there is also a leadership style
of power-obedience and a people - oriented leadership style. Thus, we can state that the grid
entails the continuum designed by the researchers of the University of Michigan. The model,
however, continued to develop and integrated the idea developed of the "perfect" leader
developed by the University of Ohio, who received the team manager name in this system.
However, based on the decision-oriented - and, in particular, Lewin’s - theories the grid also
points out the leadership style, where the leader is not involved in organisational management,
which is well matched up with the laissez-faire leading style.
Whether it is trait, decision or personality - centred approaches, there is a single
conclusion in common. They all emphasize the importance of the human dimension
Authority-obedience
management
Team manager
Impoverished manager
Country club manager
Peo
ple
concern
Task concern
1,9 9,9
1,1 9,1
Middle of road management
U1
U2
U3
5,5
Business Management for Logisticians
39
of leadership; even when they believe in the possibility of developing into a leader, and therefore
suggest leadership trainings for the process of becoming a perfect leader, or when emphasizing
the persistence of personality and the rigidity of attitudes, focusing on the selection of the ideal
leader. They do all this because leadership style can lead to increased organisational efficiency if
it increases employee motivation and satisfaction.
The 20th century management experts see the solution in transformational leadership,
in which, - as opposed to the former transactionalist approach where the employee does things in
exchange for certain benefits - the leader seeks to achieve his/her goals by creating and unifying
superior human goals and values. It transforms the workers' mindset and replaces former
suboptimal values (and attitudes) with a new value system.
Henry Mintzberg (1939-) made the same argument from the point of view of leadership
roles. He emphasised that, although leaders have traditionally a role in decision-making, such as
resource allocation, disruption or negotiation, the leadership's personal and information tasks are
also of cardinal importance. While the latter includes information gathering and distribution as
well as the role of a spokespersons, the most important role within interpersonal roles is that of
relationship-building and nurturing which underlines the importance of emotional intelligence
(already discussed in connection with trait - centred theories). This group also includes a wide
range of roles, such as that of the figurehead, along with public appearances and representation
of the organisation.
3.4 MOTIVATION
The relationship of the leaders and subordinates is cardinal for the organisational
situations. However, the organisational culture, the groups, and the incentive systems managed
by the organisation can be just as important. Employee satisfaction is determined by what
incentives the organisation uses and how it recognizes employee performance.
Motivation is the willingness to realize organisational goals. Willingness to achieve the
organisational goals that one can meet along with satisfying his/her own individual needs. It is an
urge to behave in a certain way. Leaders should therefore consciously seek to motivate their staff
members and not only to make them perform better, but also to increase their satisfaction with
work and business.
Business Management for Logisticians
40
Figure 12. Schematic model of motivation in organisations
Source: own study
There is, however, no universally accepted method for motivating subordinates.
The quest for finding the right reward and motivation system is as old as that for the ideal leader.
In the 20th century one of the best-known motivational theories was the one developed by
Abraham Harold Maslow (1908-1970). According to his theory, human needs are organized
hierarchically, and motivation can be achieved in different ways depending on the individual’s
actual level of needs
At the lowest level, physiological needs are placed. When an individual struggles
for sheer existence, it is most effective if the leader motivates him/her by the means associated
with it: accommodation, catering. Of course, money (payment), for which all these can be
purchased, can also be a good tool for motivating those on the lowest level of the motivational
pyramid. The second level of the pyramid is security, which is not only protection from war and
terror attacks, but also indicates that work can be carried out under safe conditions and with non-
harmful ingredients and materials. This also includes safety of work. If the employee is constantly
afraid of losing his/her job, the main driver of his behaviour will be the security motive.
OUTPUT TRANSFER VARIABLE INPUT
HUMAN COMPONENT -individual features
-group effects
ORGANISATIONAL COMPONENT
-technology -structure
PERFORMANCE
SATISFACTION
LEADER’S MOTIVATION STRATEGY
Business Management for Logisticians
41
The human is a social being. In order to identify him/herslef, to achieve his/her goals
he/she needs to search for partners. That is why the third degree of the motivational pyramid is
reserved for relationships, for the sense of belonging – as the last fundamental motive. But
feelings of belonging can be overwhelmed by the need for acceptance and appreciation - when
the worker is not just a member of a community, but his work is recognized and appreciated.
At the higher levels in the motivational hierarchy, the needs of the so-called mature
worker such as cognitive, aesthetic, and transcendental needs, can be found. This also includes
the need for self-realisation in which the individual values freedom, creativity and independence.
Although organisations rarely provide room for self-realisation at lower hierarchical levels,
employees can gain continuous motivation from the fact that self-realisation is present on the
higher hierarchical levels, in leadership positions.
There were many to criticize Maslow's theory. The most objectionable feature is that,
according to Maslow, the different levels of motivation become important only in succession - with
the previous level’s saturation. However, in most people, they are present and generating
motivation at the same time. What's more, when an individual encounters an unsatisfiable need,
he/she can go back to the already saturated level and seek motivation, positive impetus there
(e.g. grief eats). John Hunt (1938 -2015) started out from this theory when developing his theory
of workplace motivation. By developing his theory, he did not only notice that individual goals are
reflecting values, beliefs, experiences, but that they may also dynamically change, depending on
age and circumstances. In addition, goals may differ in strength and importance.
In his theory, the comfort associated with the physiological level is not lesser than
the structure motive describing the nature of work, or any other organisational motives. Relations,
recognition, power, and autonomy as a motive also appear in his system. However, he also
points out that motifs do not define behaviour, only affect it.
Although Maslow’s and Hunt's models are very complex and depict the diversity
of individual motivation, leaders still need tools and models that clearly indicate what incentives
they should use. Herzberg (1923-2000) tried to solve this problem and split the organisational
features into two groups - motivators and hygienic factors. In his interpretation, hygienic factors
are features, the lack of which creates great dissatisfaction, but the abundance of which does not
create motivation at all, at best produces neutral attitudes. Working conditions, relation of the
employees and that with the manager, as well as salary belong to this group. According to his
Business Management for Logisticians
42
idea, motivational factors are those that increase employee satisfaction (while their absence does
not lead to job dissatisfaction). Such motives may be the potential for development, promotion,
performance recognition, and the form of work itself. If managers motivate their subordinates by
vertical job enrichment rather than horizontal workload, they cannot only increase performance,
but may influence the motivational structure and self-image of the subordinates through the
notion of self-actualisation as well.
McClelland's (1917-1998) motivation theory is based on the possibility of parallel existence of
needs. He distinguished only three basic motifs, combining the typology of the hierarchy of
Maslow and the system of Herzberg's hygienic factors and motivators. In its system, workplace
motivation develops along three dimensions: relationship, performance and power. In order to be
able to determine which of them is the most influential in case of individual employees, staff
members were examined from six aspects:
• Importance of obeying rules
• Extent of responsibility
• Importance of individual performance
• Balance of reward and punishment
• Transparency of the organisation
• Team Spirit
Based on the answers to the above questions, he labelled people relation motivated if to
maintain social relations was important and a high desire for acceptance by others and the
desired to build friendly relationships for mutual understanding and compassion.
Performance-motivated employees, on the other hand, are striving for success. Their goal is
to exceed the performance of others or to achieve the same performance in less time. However,
they reject the situations that are of too high or too low risk.
Leaders are a very special group of organisational staff, hence, in their case it may be
important to define a basic motif, which - according to McClelland - is power, the ability to
influence others, and to strengthen own authority. Of course, leaders may also have other motifs,
as each organisational member can be characterised by a mixture of these three basic motifs.
Business Management for Logisticians
43
4. ORGANISATIONAL GOALS AND THEIR MEASUREMENT
The activities and performance of organisations can be measured and tested in many
dimensions. Previously, differences in effectiveness and efficiency have been discussed, but in
case of an organisation as an entity, performance can be measured from the point of view of
profitability and equitability.
Figure 13. Indices of organisational performance
Source: own study
4.1 MEASURING ORGANISATIONAL PERFORMANCE
Most organisations have specific performance requirements for their own operation. These
can be indicators for governance, organisational processes, products, services, or about the
market impact of the organisation. According to Robert S. Kaplan and David P. Norton (1996),
things that organisations cannot measure, cannot be managed by them either. However, the
exact definition of performance is the precondition for measuring it. Each organisation must be
Societal needs
Strategic goals
Operative goals
Outcome Impact Output Transformation Input
Effectiveness
Environment
Organisational processes
Efficiency Profitability Fairness
Business Management for Logisticians
44
able to determine the relevant organisational performance. The SIPOC method can be used to
help managers in this. The method focuses on five key corporate areas.
1. supplier - aspects of supplier selection (what institutional relationships does the
organisation possess, who are the "input" companies)
2. input - the quality criteria of inputs provided by suppliers
3. process - the quality, efficiency and effectiveness of the organisation's main activities and
services
4. output - Indicators of the organisation's products and services, and measurements of the
impact of the organisation on its external environment (customers, partners)
5. customer – aspects defining customer requirements (who are the customers of the
institution's products and services)
After the definition of performance, the next momentum is quantification. Indicators of the
performance shall be determined by the organisation (’s leader) and the optimal / expected level
of theirs must be determined.
Indicators, like metrics already discussed in case of decomposition units, are well defined if
they can measure the performance of a particular activity, process, or department at the highest
level, can take into account the power relation of the process owner or the organisational unit,
and which indicators it can relevantly influence by his/her decisions.
• Input Indicators - What is Available? What and how many resources are arriving into the
organisation or will be used? e.g. number of employees, number of cases received
• Output Indicators - What / How Much Does It Produce? e.g. Number of finished products
• Indicators measuring financial aspects - What is its financial management like? eg:
Expenditures, revenues, subsidies and their timing
• indicators of capacity utilisation - How much did it utilise its resources? e.g. calculating
useful running time for machines
• Efficiency indicators - How are the results related to the resources used? e.g. the size of
output per worker
• Effectiveness Indicators - What is the relationship of indirect effects and direct outputs of
performance of the institution with the strategic goals of the institution? e.g. the new ideas
developed by the R & D department and the proportion of products launched from it
Business Management for Logisticians
45
• Impact Measuring Indicators - What indicates the achievement of the medium and long-
term goals? e.g. whether new presentation and packaging has increased the brand loyalty
of consumers
• Turnaround Time Indicators – With what turnaround Time Does the Organisation Perform
its Tasks? e.g. the average time for dealing with a case
• Satisfaction Indicators - What do customers think about the quality of the services provided
by the organisation? e.g. score of customer satisfaction
4.2 FAIRNESS
A special part of organisational performance is the satisfaction and commitment of the
members of the organisation. Measuring members' performance and encouraging their activities,
however, is a very complicated task, especially when the management is trying to find a universal
tool. Most reward systems - whatever complex they may be - cannot properly serve their goals.
Employees often feel remuneration inequitable, disproportionate to their performance. The equity
theory calls attention to the fact that employees do not look at the reward in itself, rather they
consider how much input they have invested in a task and what they have received (result -
outcome) and then compare their input -outcome proportion with that of others. The theory also
points out that not the actual results, but the energy needed to achieve them is the basis for
comparison, so the rewards derived solely from the performance cannot lead to optimal results.
In case of discrepancy, most people first alter the input - changing the time and energy of
work. They try to adjust it to the - in their view, unfair - reward. Only in a very small percentage of
cases does unfairness trigger a process that results in the change of the result - in this case, in
the change of the level of reward, - even though this would mitigate the feeling of injustice.
In the short term, it also provides reasonable result (a decline in dissatisfaction) when an
individual re-evaluates his/her own abilities and competencies and adjusts their perceived level to
the level of the results, but in the long term, this has a negative effect not only on the person but
on the organisational performance as well. It curbs the individual's urge to develop, his/her need
for higher motives, and their self-esteem too. Likewise, it will yield suboptimal results if the image
of the reference person is distorted by the employee to see him/herself in a more positive colour
compared to the other person. Indeed, the sense of inequality puts any (small or big) reward, be
it of any nature, in a different colour.
Business Management for Logisticians
46
In addition, it is important to realize that not only the motivational structure of each person is
different, but motivation is actually a process that requires the individual, in this case the
employee, to realize that he/she has unmet needs.
According to the theory, a person who is perfectly satisfied with his/her situation can only
be motivated to action if he/she we create needs and thereby an internal tension beforehand.
This could happen for example through status products or through higher motifs such as
recognition of demand or self-realisation.
Figure 14. Schematic model of the process of motivation
Source: own study
4.3 GOAL SETTING THEORY
The goal setting theory states that the goals themselves are motivating forces. Well-
measured, clear goals, alike needs, induce behaviour. Determining the right goals will thus help
the organisation to increase employee performance - which can be done along multiple indicators
as described above.
According to the theory, post-behavioural rewarding or punishment does not motivate
employees in the long term because workers are not really aware of exactly what performance
URGE TO SATISFY THE
NEEDS NEEDS
MOTIVATED BEHAVIOUR
Unmet needs Decrease in
internal tension
Internal tension Drive Searching behaviour
Satisfied needs
Business Management for Logisticians
47
the organisation expects from them and why they have to behave in the given way or perform
certain activities. For this reason, Edwin Locke (1938- ) considers the preliminary determination
of organisational goals and raising awareness of workers in the workplace desirable.
According to the goal setting theory, specific goals lead to better performance than
vaguely formulated guidelines. This is especially true when the goals are challenging for the
individual (because in such cases higher order, e.g. self-realisation motives are activated) since
then their efforts to achieve the objectives are proportionately greater. To increase performance,
it is essential that the employees accept the goals set for them and that they are able to reach
those goal. It has a significant negative effect on the employees when they are unable to reach
their goals; either because they are not in their power to make the necessary decisions or to lack
the skills and competences required for the task.
Acceptance of performance goals will be enhanced if subordinates are involved in the
process of their definition. Participation also ensures that no unreachable goals would be
identified. However, the authorisation is important not only when defining the objectives, but also
in relation to the control process as well. Self-control is a stronger motivating factor than external
control. Whether it is possible to monitor the employee's performance - performance goals, or not
- continuous feedback is of utmost importance for sustained motivation.
4.4 MANAGEMENT BY OBJECTIVES
The process of goal setting and achievement is the core of the Management by
Objectives (MbO) philosophy. The essence of the system is to emphasize the leader's target-
setting role and to accept that subordinates are able and willing to work more efficiently for the
purposes they know and accept. The system is unique by not only involving employees in the
decision-making (goal - setting) process but also striving to define customized, specific goals
and timeframes for each employee. The disclosure of the objectives allows the performance
(goals) to be comparable and may also increase employee engagement with the goals.
The theory is well suited for simpler positions where performance indicators can be easily
and clearly identified. In such cases, it is possible to avoid games that are frequent in more
complex positions. While MbO is also a tool for controlling the subordinates, it concentrates on
the fact that it is much more likely that the goals will be accepted by involving the employees in
Business Management for Logisticians
48
the goal - setting, and with this increase employees' commitment, performance, and ultimately
satisfaction.
The dynamic design of the system and the constant re-design of goals will allow
individual goals to evolve in line with their competences and future aspirations, reflecting not only
the past performance of the subordinates, but their self-image and self-development needs as
well. Thus, the system is not only a suitable tool for increasing organisational performance, but it
also provides a good input for individual career planning and education development plans.
The system of Management by Objectives is best understood by studying its process,
which can be divided into four phases:
1, goal setting
2, realisation
3, evaluation
4, management training
The first phase of the process is the setting of goals, in which the leader seeks to define
more stimulating, more challenging goals, while the role of the subordinates is to reflect on the
reality (reachability) of those goals. In the goal setting phase targets for the given period are set
at all levels of the organisation. These goals are the breakdowns of higher goals at the lower
levels, up till the workgroup or individual levels. At this stage, it is very important that the leader,
together with the employees, cooperatively defines the goals so that the indicators can become
part of the employee's motivation system and generate satisfaction.
The process of goal - setting is followed by the implementation phase. This phase does
not differ radically from other performance evaluation systems. During the phase, individual
and group work is performed; however, throughout the delivery phase the subordinates
consciously strive to achieve the goals assigned to them, are able to evaluate their own progress
in a reflective way and have a clear picture of not only the aim to be achieved, but also
of its reason and importance.
The third phase is measurement or control. Commonly accepted goals always apply
to a given period of time. Performance is measured at the end of the period. However, the real
advantage of the system is not that it offers an opportunity to identify deviation from the set goals,
but that while the subordinates participate in setting targets, they are (or may be) also interested
Business Management for Logisticians
49
in exploring the causes for deviation at the end of the performance period. Deviations also
provides opportunities for determining individual growth / development strategies.
The fourth step of the process is leadership development. As through the introduction of
the process it numerously been emphasized, MbO is a participatory technique that presupposes
employee involvement in preparation and decision-making. Accordingly, evaluation does not only
point to organisational and employee shortcomings, but it also provides an opportunity to identify
areas to be developed for leaders. It can reveal the leader's shortcomings inf skills or knowledge,
which can be improved through leadership development programs. Leadership training is also
connected to an appropriate motivational system in the MbO, which ties the reward of the
managers to the performance indicators accepted by the organisation.
The main advantage of MEV is therefore that it encourages both managers
and employees to work for organisational purposes. While it offers better insight and participation
on the lower levels, it will stimulate leaders at higher levels with financial incentives to reach the
goals. The disadvantage of the system lies in the fact that while those on the lower levels seek to
protect themselves and seek lower performance targets during the target setting process,
managers are, as a result of the management reward system, interested in setting higher targets.
In addition to the features presented in connection with the goal-setting theory, the goal-
performance relationship is strongly influenced by the organisational culture, the individual's
commitment and the leadership-subordinate relationship.
5. SITUATIONAL LEADERSHIP
The leader as a person, or leadership as a process can never be interpreted in itself
(leaders need to be followed) and good leadership is never self-sufficient. The point of leadership
is that the leader encourages the employee and the whole organisation to reach
the organisational goals. Consequently, leadership style is ideally influenced by the leader's
personality, the personality of group members, the goals, needs of group members, group
situations, and organisational goals. There is, however, another factor that is closely related to
the functioning of organisations as open systems, namely the broader social, economic and
cultural environment that has a significant effect on management systems.
Business Management for Logisticians
50
Therefore, organisational theoretical trends are worth approaching from a situative
approach, and all trends shall be interpreted within their own social and economic context. For
this reason, numerous leadership theories will be presented in this chapter. In relation with each
of these trends, the relevant social and economic context will emerge so that the inner logic of
trends can be better understood.
5.1 CLASSICAL SCHOOL
Management and organisation as a science was born at the beginning of the 20th century.
Initial management systems sought organisation leadership and their ideal target status
regardless of environmental conditions. By the second half of the century, however,
the approaches that viewed organisations as open systems gained ground increasingly.
Management to be considered a separate discipline the management and organizing principles
of Taylor, Ford, Fayol and Weber were necessary. Among the causes of their development,
in addition to industrialisation, the expansion of markets (owing to the construction of roads, and
railway networks), and the growing of unskilled labour stemming from urbanisation was the most
relevant. The change in economic and social conditions necessitated the creation of thumb rules
that enabled the mobilisation of a huge number of employees for a given organisational purpose.
5.2 CLASSIC ERA IN AMERICA
Historical and economical background:
• colonialisation of America,
• large-scale exploration and exploitation of natural resources,
• rapid growth,
• expansion of markets.
Labour market situation:
• more than half (58%) of workers are immigrant,
• lack of linguistic competencies,
• unskilled labour,
• lack of industrial training,
Business Management for Logisticians
51
• long working hours (60+ per week),
• low wages,
• very strong fluctuation (worker are exchanged 4-8x annually).
At this time, capitalist entrepreneurs and managers were also uneducated. Engineers'
qualifications and experience were also limited, confined to technical - mainly constructor-
designer - knowledge. Leaders in general knew little about technology, productivity, wage
systems, and the effect of fatigue. The management of production was still patriarchal,
craftsmanship like (daily wage, direct management) in large plants as well. There was no long-
term HR. (Employees were dismissed if they were not needed on the next working day
or workers fled from inhumane working conditions.) As a result, productivity in the industry was
very low.
Frederick Winslow Taylor (1856-1915) wanted to offer an engineered approach to this
problem. The Taylorian system is based on a highly demarcated human image.
According to Taylor, mankind is lazy by nature and just thinks of entertainment. They can
only achieve happiness by consuming goods. Therefore, people can only be motivated for work
with financial means. Since hypotheses 1 and 2 contradict each other, for the sake of prosperity,
man must overcome his own nature with discipline. However, since man, at least blue-collar
workers, would (could) not do it on their own, they must therefore be subject to strict rules.
Accordingly, separation of physical and mental (blue and white collar) work was necessary.
Taylor did not entrust the worker with the task of searching for and developing the technology for
delivering a given task; it had to be planned and prescribed in advance with the use of scientific
knowledge.
Engineers, who possessed the science of increasing productivity (and who were
not subject to the principles set out above) were the best to create these rules, thereby giving
workers access to income, consumer goods and happiness.
According to Taylor, long working hours and low wages were the main obstacles to
industrial development. His purpose was to develop a system with high wages and low costs.
According to his theory, increase in productivity makes conflict between the employer and the
Business Management for Logisticians
52
employee "unnecessary", as they both profit from it at the same time. Employees receive higher
wage and bonuses in case of extra performance, the employer realizes a higher profit.
In line with his theory workers must work at a high rate for high wages, but they can only be
demanded performance that they can sustain on the long run without endangering their health.
However, not everyone is capable of this continuous high performance. It is therefore necessary
to select the (physical) workers. In Taylor's system, the task of management was to study
the character, nature and performance of workers, and then find the corresponding work / task for
them. To help determine the appropriate workload different methods and procedures have been
developed:
• time analysis (the workflow is divided into work elements/tasks, the time spent when
delivering the task in multiple ways is measured with a stopwatch and the new workflow is
combined from the shortest elements)
• uniform operation (tools, devices, various technology specifications, and elements of the
operation and their operation time shall be standardized)
• task management (the workers receive individual predefined tasks and their wages are
differentiated depending on their performance)
• functional management (job preparation and administration - theoretical work - is done at
the job office, the task of team leader/ foreman is to train, manage and control the work)
Taylor and his colleagues standardized the work of the worker by time analysis and motion
analysis, reducing its complexity. With this system, he denied the workers the opportunity of
developing and implementing the self-developed technology of the task prescribed for them.
Another disadvantage of the Taylorian-system is that it increased the number of unproductive
employees (the number of "economists" working in the bureau).
5.3 MECHANISATION AND INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
Technological progress and the increasing industrialisation required the further
development of the Taylorian system. Conveyor belt based production and the associated
management and organisational principles were formulated by Henry Ford (1863-1847).
He assigned the tasks and machines to the production process along its length.
The products to be processed were delivered by the workers on a conveyor belt, so that the work
Business Management for Logisticians
53
intensity was determined by the speed of the belt. For this, a broad standardisation of products
was necessary. The best example of this is the Ford T model, in case of which Ford itself stated
that he would satisfy all the demand on the market if the demand was for a black T-model type
car.
The introduced technical innovation, the conveyor belt, facilitated not only the production,
but also the organisation and its management. Coordination of the activities along the process
were "programmed" into the design of the production line. It united the time norms, made the lead
times and the unit time clear, and production easy to plan. Constant compliance with the rules
minimized workers' efforts. Rationalisation of the work organisation reduced the need for middle
management, the size of the huge unproductive group of personnel Taylor was criticized for,
and the chance of error.
5.4 CLASSICAL ERA IN EUROPE
The situative approach requires that American leadership theories be strictly isolated from
European schools. In Europe, there were completely different circumstances in which initial
management schools were established.
Economic and historical background:
• people of working age, mainly the unskilled workers and agricultural workers, are
emigrating,
• natural resources are explored, the volume of stocks is adequate,
• rapid growth, due to the industrial revolution and mechanisation,
• transformation of markets, struggle for traditional trade routes, colonialism and the
redistribution of the known world.
• Labour market situation:
• unmet demand on the labour market (despite the fact that urbanisation still accounted for
large numbers of immigration from agricultural areas)
• long working hours (50-60 hours a week)
• low wages,
• limited fluctuation - companies could not afford to lose a worker,
Business Management for Logisticians
54
• In addition to the unskilled - agricultural labour force, multiple generation of skilled workers
are emerging,
• local labour market - workers speak well on their native language.
At this time, production management was carried out even in big plants with patriarchal and
small craft industrial methodologies, but further development of manufacturing production began.
Workers were already paid weekly for the sake of not letting them leave, and fringe benefits
appeared alongside the traditional wages. Jobs, tasks could be inherited, which relocated the
burden of training from the organisation to the employee.
5.5 FRANCE
Due to its position on the Mediterranean sea, France was particularly in danger
of emigration. For this reason, local companies have quickly realized that manpower is not like
a tool or a simple machine. Other systems and processes are needed if they want to regard
workers holistic, and not the same as in the American mechanistic structures.
Henri Fayol's (1841-1925) system focuses on the person responsible for carrying out a task.
The organisation is shaped by the functionalist division of labour. Its corporate activities are as
follows:
• technical (production, machining, processing);
• commercial (procurement, sales, swap actions);
• financial (capital acquisition and capital consolidation);
• security (property and personal protection);
• accounting (inventory management, balance sheet preparation, cost accounting, statistics);
• management (planning, organizing, leading, coordination, control).
In this sense, management is the task of each organisational member. Managerial
activities are no longer a a privilege, nor a one-sided obligation of the organisation's leaders.
Of course, the higher a person is in the organisational hierarchy, the more important his
managerial role is. Management at Fayol, however, is not the same as the traditional
management in other systems. The exercise of managerial tasks, like other functions, is shared
between the top and bottom levels of the organisation's social organisation.
Business Management for Logisticians
55
The essence of management is creating an optimal synthesis between the functional
areas of the organisation by defining the organisation's overall action plan, coordinating
and synchronizing its efforts.
management consists of basic tasks:
• Design, is nothing more than researching the future and defining a detailed program for
action (multi-year plans). The principle of design is that individual interest must be
subordinated to the public interest, that is, the interests of the organisation must always be
placed over the interests of the individual. The aim of the design is to create stability,
whether it is displayed in the long-term economic benefits or the persistence of staff.
• Organizing means the establishment of the organisation's dual material and social
organisation. According to Fayol, personal contact is important. In his opinion, the strength
of the organisation lies in the unity of its members. In contrast to Taylor, he regards
moderate specialisation as ideal and a flat (few hierarchical levels) organisation. Each
organisational unit must be empowered, and the power shall be share between the various
departments and actors of the organisation in proportion to their responsibility. He regards
self-organisation and taking responsibility very highly.
• The aim of leading (direct control) is to instruct the execution of tasks with. The basis
of direct control is authority, and its purest form is paternalistic leadership. In order for the
chain of command to function properly, it is necessary to specify the hierarchy of the
system, to clarify the distribution of power and responsibilities.
• The paternalistic leader has the right of disposition and instruction, but he must also
assume responsibility for his decisions. The leader can force employees’ obedience
if obedience triggers hard work, steady, mindful and diligent work. Since the leader is also
responsible for maintaining discipline.
• Coordination is the task of unifying and synchronising work and the efforts to implement
them. In Fayol's system, the unity of the provision is of the utmost importance, that is, every
employee can receive instructions from only one person.
• Control means monitoring the compliance with issued rules and instructions.
The assessment is based on the principle of fairness, according to which the reward /
punishment must be in balance with the quality of the work performed. Anyone who has
worked for the organisation can be reprimanded with a fair pay, but unsuitable employees
Business Management for Logisticians
56
must be released. An important condition is that the one monitoring shall be competent and
impartial and that control is enforced at all levels of the organisation.
There are leaders situated on higher hierarchical levels in the Fayolian system as well that
also relate to all organisational activities, but the most obvious is of course management. These
positions - to distinguish it from the leadership task – is called are called governing positions.
In this definition, the role of governance is to direct the organisation to its goal, by making
the most of the resources available, and by exercising the six organisational functions together.
5.6 GERMANY
While France in the twentieth century, was struggling with the problems caused by
emigration, Germany – mostly owing to its central position - did not aim at retaining workers but
at increasing their efficiency. The philosophy of Taylorist structuralism was fundamentally well
matched with the national culture, and the military production very quickly adopted the Taylorian
principles. In the heavily civilized society, however, there have already been enormous
institutions, which could not be organized and controlled on the basis of Taylorist principles. The
same weakness occurred in the administrative departments of production companies.
For filling the gap, the theory developed by Max Weber (1864-1920) based on the
analysis of power systems was the most suitable. In developing his organisational concept,
Weber started from the idea that all human communities needed rules for social (inter)action.
In organisations, rules also form the basis of work performance, work organisation, and create
the starting point for leadership. In his interpretation, leadership (domination) is the probability
of obedience. According to Weber, for organisations the ideal of power is that of rational sources.
Since the starting point for rational domination is the belief in the rule of law and in the
orderly order of people commanded by the rule of law, Weber concluded that bureaucracy is the
most relevant organisational system for rational domination. Its reliability exceeds other
organisations’; it provides a suitable framework for rational creative work and the development of
efficient organisational activities as it is based on constant, foreseeable, predictable, comparable,
reasonable and professional formal procedures.
The ideal bureaucratic organisation is based on a functional division of labour.
Its hierarchy is clear and easy to understand, just like the rules underlying its operation. Although
Business Management for Logisticians
57
the system is - because of these - highly impersonal, Weber believes that impersonality is more
positive than a negative, since rules and procedures are common to all, control, promotion and
reward therefore exclude all subjectivity. Bureaucrats are selected and promoted based on their
knowledge, and professionality. In addition, impartiality a pro to the outer world as well, as
compliance with the rules uniforms the behaviour and decisions of the organisation - and its
employees – regarding external partners. Accordingly, the solution of a particular situation is
always the same for every clerk and client - the administration is impartial.
The bureaucratic work style results in a well-functioning organisation for a long time under
stable market conditions, and for large / well-staffed organisations, the thumb rules
recommended by the bureaucracy theory are also indispensable. That is why for public
organisations bureaucracy is still the most common form of organisation since it enables the
organisation to operate as a comprehensive and well-regulated system to suit a slowly changing
environment.
5.7 CONTINGENCIALIST APPROACH
By the middle of the XX. century it became clear for business leaders that they should not
only focus on internal affairs. They cannot find an ideal management system for their
organisation if they do not consider their organisational environment. However, in order to create
management systems that take into account the organisational environment, they need
to redefine the concept of the organisation. Former organisational theories considered companies
a black box with inputs (materials, money, human resources) a transformation process
(technology) and outputs (goods and services). However, this organisational image had to be
supplemented. Both managers and management researchers had to come up with the idea that
in ideal case there is a feedback between the organisational outputs and inputs that allows
feedback from the organisation's environment to be incorporated into organisational processes
and facilitates the necessary intervention. This external dependence is the reason for the fact that
no ideal way (no one best way) of organizing could be identified, that the most appropriate
solution for the organisation is contingent upon environmental and internal characteristics.
The pace of environmental change, therefore, determines not only the organisational structure
but also the management system.
Business Management for Logisticians
58
However, it is important to keep in mind that, for the time of the emergence of the
contingency theory, the members of the organisation are no longer equal to the actors of
Taylorian or Weberian systems. Due to scientific and technological developments, employees
already have a high level of professional skills, leadership knowledge, conflict-tolerance
and resolution ability, communication and cooperation willingness and capabilities. They adapt to
the organisational environment flexibly and fulfil various roles that are acceptable to them based
on their motivation and interest structure. Employees, therefore, have in mass become valuable
for the flexibility that the changes in the organisational environment have made necessary.
In the contingencialist organisational approach companies are open systems. They are
in continuous interaction with their environment. In this respect, we can consider an element of
the environment any condition, effect, and factor influencing, limiting and defining the behaviour
and activity of the organisation and its constituent individuals or groups.
In the contingencialist organisation, the leadership style must fit the conditions of the
management system, so the contingency models aim to identify the situational factors that
managers need to be aware of when creating their leadership style. Contingency leadership
models have two approaches. The schools - while agreeing that the leader, the management
needs to examine and fit to the organisational environment – there is no consensus regarding the
learnability and teachability of leadership.
There are some models that, based on personality - centred theories, examine
the attitudes of the leader to determine the solutions (organisational and management structure)
that fit with his style. Fiedler's (1922-2017) system, which is based on the Least Preferred Co-
worker questionnaire focuses on the leader-subordinate relationship from the situational factors.
The structure of the task and the potential power (position) of the leader are the examined
dimensions. Based on these, he tries to define the most appropriate organisational environment
for the leader's personality, orientation (task or relationship orientation).
According to the other school, leadership is a competence that can be learned, so after
examining and measuring environmental factors, a management style that fits in with the given
condition is defined. For instance, in the case of Vroom and Yetton's decision tree, the leader
must choose the befitting way of decision making after analysing the situation. When analysing
the organisational situation, he has to look at the nature of the problem that needs to be solved
Business Management for Logisticians
59
and the context in which it emerges, which are important features when choosing a leadership
style:
• what is the importance attributed to the quality of the decision (rationality)
• Does the leader have useful information and expertise?
• Does he know exactly what information he needs and where he can get them?
• Is it decisive for the implementation of the decision whether or not the subordinates accept
it?
• what is the likelihood that subordinates will accept the unilateral decision of the superiors?
• Is the motivation of the subordinates strong enough to achieve the objectives that the
problem that arose requires them to?
• Are the subordinates inclined to break into different parties solving a problem (conflict)?
• Due to the nature of the questions, the leadership style indicated by the situational
characteristics resemble the set of decision-oriented leadership approaches:
• Autocratic 1: The leader makes the decision alone
• Autocratic 2: the leader asks for information, but makes his decision alone
• Consultative 1: The leader shares his information regarding the situation with a selected
group of subordinates and asks for their information and advice. He decides alone, but
informs the employees about the outcome of the decision
• Consultative 2: The leader discusses the situation with the subordinates as a group. He
makes his decision based on voluntarily shared information
• Group: Leaders and subordinates consult, and the group makes the decision based on
voluntarily shared information.
Hersey and Blanchard's system is also based on the learnability of leadership skills and on
the leader's adaptation constraints. Its bottom line is that there is no best leadership style.
Management is effective if it meets all aspects of the organisational situation. It is up to the leader
to adapt flexibly to different situations and, if necessary, to change his leadership style. The
model measures the organisational situation through the maturity (expertise, intelligence, self-
reliance, willingness to take responsibility) of employees and formulates proposals for the extent
of task and relationship orientation.
Business Management for Logisticians
60
Figure 15. Leadership behaviour in relation to employee maturity
Source: own study
A directing leader is required if the maturity of the subordinates is low (e.g. for the
Taylorian, Fordian systems). The leader’s role in such organisational situations is decisive.
It is his job to prescribe tasks and to ensure the conditions for their delivery. He/she instructs and
regularly checks the staff.
If organisational members already have some expertise and increasing their maturity is
an organisational goal, an encouraging (coaching) leader is needed. In such a case, the leader’s
aim is to increase the self-confidence of the subordinates so that they would be able to work
independently on a long-term basis. To this end, the leader conducts bi-directional
communication, recognizes and rewards the subordinates’ results, engages them in decision-
making, and in some cases lets them make a decision.
Sup
port
ive
be
havio
ur
Directive behaviour
supporting coaching
directing delegating
high low
MATURITY OF EMPLOYEES
low
high
M4 M3 M2 M1
Business Management for Logisticians
61
Supportive style leadership is ideal if the organisation is to retain the adequately mature
workers (e.g. Fayolian system). To this end, the goal is to increase employee engagement
through the opportunities and features offered by the job. The task itself is not so much a goal as
a tool (for more details see the technique of Management by Objectives in Chapter 4.4).
If the maturity of the organisational members is high, the delegating leadership style is
sufficient, in which case the manager entrusts the right employees with the task and then let them
solve the problem independently (e.g. Weberian system). In such situations, the relationship
between the leader and the subordinate is factual and task-oriented, the motivation of the
subordinates is not the task of the leader he/she is only responsible for the creation and provision
of the necessary circumstances for work.
Business Management for Logisticians
62
6. GROUPS IN THE ORGANISATION
Staff performance is closely related to workplace satisfaction. It is a proven fact that the
performance of organisational members can be boosted by allowing them to meet their specific
social psychological needs. Although the role of leaders in organisational life is paramount,
the impact of peers has a significant influence as well. Individuals can be motivated not only by
economic incentives but also by various social and psychological factors. Behaviour is also
influenced by factors like, feelings, emotions and attitudes.
The informal working group is also an important organisational factor. The group has
a major role in determining the attitude and performance of individual workers. Accordingly,
the organisation as a social system influences the formation of organisational roles and develops
its own norms that are different from those provided by the formal organisation.
The group is a formation of two or more interdependent individuals who interact, act
collectively or cooperate for a common purpose. For this reason, the organisation can not only be
considered a group in itself, but it also includes a system of countless formal and informal groups,
depending on the size of the organisation.
For formal groups, it is easy to determine the ideal structure of the groups on the basis of
its size, composition, roles within the group, status, rules, norms and the composition of the
group. However, for informal groups, group membership is more likely to be decided by members
of the group, so the organisation has no direct impact on size or group composition. It is therefore
important to consciously address and manage the groups that emerge and has been deliberately
created and the factors that influence the behaviour of their members.
The behaviour of group members generally depends on the structure of the group, but the
personal resources of the group members, the nature of the task assigned to the group,
the performance of the group, the group members' satisfaction and the external conditions of the
group also have significant effect. Under the external conditions, the organisational structure as
an external feature of the group, the division of power and responsibilities within the organisation,
the organisational strategy and rules as well as the human resource management system
(recruitment, selection, performance measurement and evaluation, remuneration, training) shall
Business Management for Logisticians
63
be considered. The resources allocated to the group, the physical working conditions and the
organisational culture shall also be taken into account when analysing external factors.
6.1 GROUP DYNAMICS
For groups – especially for informal groups characterized by emergent development -
to be able to perform well, they must undergo three important phases. The first phase of the
group dynamics is forming. For formal groups this is the result of organisational decision and the
composition of the group is a given for group members but belonging to a particular group of
people in informal groups is often not such a clear situation. However, the first phase must end
before the group can enter the next phase. The second phase is the stage of debate (storming)
when members' value system, beliefs and attitudes collide with each other. When everyone can
tell their opinion - and ideally lives with this right. A prerequisite for well-functioning groups is to
expose the intra-group conflicts within this group development phase, so that it will not to be
source of conflicts at later stages.
One of the most important moments of group development is the phase of norming, which
is often neglected and forgotten through lack of time or awareness. This is the stage where group
members lay down the rules that govern the cooperation. They create the values, norms, and
thumb rules commonly accepted by the group members agree on the roles, responsibilities within
the group, and create the culture of the group. The established norms can apply to external
appearance, public behaviour, communication mode, as well as evaluation of performance,
attitude towards deadlines or the allocation of resources. If these rules are not recorded, are not
explicitly formulated for group members, the group may get stuck at the stage of storming and be
unable to achieve optimal performance.
The fourth phase is the phase of performance. Groups can concentrate on reaching their
goal if they have passed the three phases already presented. However, the unobstructed flow of
group dynamics is a necessary but not sufficient condition for optimal operation. It is also
important to understand the purpose, and motivations of the members and whit kind of fears they
might have regarding their group membership.
Business Management for Logisticians
64
6.2 MOTIVATION
For a human being the need for belonging is a fundamental motive, since man is a social
being. Group membership, social support, means strength and resources to achieve individual
and group goals. Inclusion by the group can increase the individual's self-esteem, as well as the
place and rank in the group and the status. The group, however, is primarily concerned with
transmitting the feeling of reception, security and acceptance. It strengthens the values
of individuals, stabilizes their belief system, and forms an indefinite framework.
However, group membership does not only have advantages. Before joining a group,
individuals should in any case consider the cost of the group membership and the risks
associated with it. It is expensive to belong to a group. It takes not just time and energy, but often
resources to sustain group membership. The other members of the group may, however, refuse
to accept personal investment. There may be internal tensions and contradictions (especially
when the phase of the standardisation is not properly closed), which leads to the rejection of the
individual. After considering all these, the individual should declare his/her group membership
preferences, that is, decide, whether or not to belonging to the group.
Although the groups also have dangers not only benefits even at the individual level,
organisations tend to form (formal) groups most of the time. The consequence of group existence
is the synergy effect, more knowledge and information, multilateral problem solving, a better
understanding of decision and acceptance of participation. Of course, the creation of groups also
poses a threat to the organisation. The first, and perhaps most common, is the insecure
responsibility resulting from group work or decision-making. If there is no specific person
in charge of a particular decision or task to whom one can apply, the measurement and
evaluation of performance is cumbersome. Therefore, in groups with inadequate group norms,
the phenomenon of social slacking - where members consider the performance of the weakest
member to be a standard and are unwilling to perform more than him - is frequent. This may also
be a typical behaviour when the balance of power within the group is shifted and a dominant
leader or intra-group click makes the decisions, taking away the right of participation from others.
Group pressures, however, can not only appear in relation to performance standards, but in
regard to any other object of membership, behaviour, or even purpose, for group members often
strive for conformation, contrary to the organisational purpose of diversity.
Business Management for Logisticians
65
6.3 GROUP ROLES
In a well-functioning group, group members do not do the same work, but share the work
along their comparative advantages. By the end of the standardisation phase roles within the
group also emerge. Three categories of group roles are known in the literature.
Figure 16. Group roles
Source: own study
In a slightly different way from the list on the pie chart, Meredith Belbin (1926-) clustered
the group roles, addressed them with fantasy labels and created the basic roles needed for
the composition of the ideal group. Her theory, regardless of the size of a group, indicates what
tasks (role duties) are needed to make a group work well. One of the most interesting parts of her
theory is that she did not only recognize a single leadership role but divided
the leadership/leadership tasks between multiple roles (at the same time allowing a group
member to fulfil multiple leadership roles). The first such role is that of the COORDINATOR.
Goal setting Taking initiative
Collection of information Providing
information Coordination Evaluation
Encouragement Conciliation Stimulation
Norming Tracking
Contemplation
Blocking Striving for recognition
Dominance Withdrawal
Business Management for Logisticians
66
The COORDINATOR is in fact a manager who aims to coordinate the work of the group
members and to make the most out of the competences of the members. In addition,
the RESOURCE INVESTIGATOR can also be considered as a management role, whose task is
to explore and secure the resources needed to operate the group. He is the connection between
the group and the outside world, he represents the interests of the group outward.
The MOTIVATOR is a typical leader. He has a strong impact on other members of the group,
controls and moves team members.
Belbin's system also draws attention to the fact that in a balanced group, not only leaders
but followers are needed as well. The PLANT is responsible for the continuous renewal of new
and innovative solutions. He is a creative member of the group. The task of the MONITOR-
EVALUATOR is to restrain the ideas that are too overwhelming from the idea-making reality.
Its main task is to evaluate new designs and solutions. He's the devil's advocate. In groups,
where people of such different role are together, are always in need of someone who, despite the
opposing positions, keeps the group together, ensures a harmonious operation. This person is a
TEAMWORKER. His task is to support intra-group communication and to ensure the satisfaction
of members.
The importance of group members in the implementation phase is also undeniable.
The IMPLEMENTER is a practical member within the group. Thanks to his high endurance
and stamina, self-discipline and good judgment, he works precisely and reliably. The role of the
COMPEMENTER in the las phase of the work is cardinal. His rigorous inspection and attention
make it possible to check the work of the group and to avoid mistakes. He is responsible for the
finishing steps, so that the team's work is really high quality.
Whether we talk about the ideal group in the Belbin sense or the common sense, we need to
distinguish between functional and dysfunctional teams. In dysfunctional groups (with suboptimal
performance), members are primarily in contact for the sake of information exchange and
decision-making to help each other perform their duties better. There is no need for collective
work. Their performance is the sum of the performance of the group members. Conversely,
functional (optimally working) groups and teams create a positive synergy as a result
of coordinated work. Their performance is greater than the sum of the performance of individuals.
For this, however, the active participation and commitment of all members is not sufficient, but it
is also important that the members complement each other while working together to achieve
common goals and only to achieve their individual goals. Team members must strive for finding a
Business Management for Logisticians
67
middle ground, constructive conflict management, and consensual decision-making in case of
individual differences. All this in an open atmosphere that allows criticism to be phrased.
•
7. COMMUNICATING IN THE ORGANISATION
Organisational operation is based on communication between organisational entities -
organisational levels, groups, individuals. Communication is also of paramount importance to the
leader, as he or she can practice the management functions (organizing, managing, controlling),
thereby enabling him to effect and motivate the subordinates. It is therefore cardinal that
functional forms and channels of communication are built up in the organisation. For these
channels to be built on the one hand, the leaders of the organisation are responsible – such
channels are called formal channels – on the other hand informal communication channels are
born as a result of the individual motivation of organisational members.
7.1 THE DIRECTION OF COMMUNICATION
Communication, in line with its nature - can be vertical - between organisational levels -
and horizontal - between different organisational units. While horizontal communication plays a
role in synchronising the individual activities of the organisation and in coordinating dependent
tasks, vertical communication supports the organisation's formal power structure.
There are three forms of vertical communication:
1, top-down (downward),
2, bottom-up (upward),
3, two-way.
Downward communication is a classic leadership tool. The leader - in accordance with
his / her habits and leadership style - instructs, informs, or asks his/her subordinates for a task to
be performed. Regarding the contents of the communication, instructions, explanations,
feedbacks, educational messages, as well as policies and instructions belong here.
Business Management for Logisticians
68
Upward communication occurs when the leader is able and willing to receive information
from the subordinates, and if the lower hierarchical levels have such a communication motivation.
The upward communication is characterized by the fact that the higher the level addressed by the
message the more aggregated the information is; the degree of processing and concentration is
growing with organisational levels. Their content includes reports, suggestions for development,
and reporting problems and complains.
In the case of two-way communication, a downward and upward communication is
present at the very same time. Although the other two forms are commonly referred to as
communication, the basic definition of communication can only be related to such interaction.
For the recipient's understanding and intention can only be made clear to the sending party when
it comes to the feedback. Intention is particularly important for communication, since not only the
sending or receiving of information can be deliberate, but the process of encoding and decoding
is also influenced by the intention of those concerned.
Figure 17. Schematic model of communication
Source: own study
Emotion, information
Receiving
Sending Coding
PURPOSE OF THE SENDER PURPOSE OF THE RECIEVER
Receiving
Feed-back Under-standing
Decoding message
CHANNEL
message
Business Management for Logisticians
69
7.2 EFFECTIVE COMMUNICATION
The purpose of the communication is to transfer a message from the sender
to the receiver. The message, however, can be very varied. We are talking about information
when the sender wants to communicate something exact to the receiver. Communication is in
this case is dominantly transferred by the meaning of the sentences. If the sender party intends
to communicate his/her feelings, moods and emotions, the expressive function of communication
comes to the forefront. These messages often contain exclamation and desire phrases. When
the sender wants to influence, he invites the host to act, and uses the calling role of
communication. In this case, the calling sentences have a primary role in communication.
The purpose of communication can be to build and maintain relationships. If communication is to
maintain and improve the relationship with the other person, communication linking function
prevails. It is common to use questionnaires to indicate that the communication is not our
intention, but the receiving of the other party's message. (Language is not merely a matter of
information, but it also has an aesthetic role. The use of the language for this purpose
(e.g. saying poetry, writing novels) is related to the aesthetic function of communication.)
Effective communication, besides the sender's intention, has many other prerequisites.
For example, the use of common language (or signal system) is not exhausted in the language
of communication, because the language has layers. Lack of linguistic stylistic elements and lack
of knowledge of the jargon can be a factor that negatively affects the effectiveness of
communication than if the parties try to communicate with them in a language that is not well-
known to them.
Language is, however, a sufficient condition for effective communication. Communication
parties must have a common axiom system, reference points, and preconceptions to be sure of
the message of the other party. (If we know how the content of the communication is encoded by
the sending party in the reference system, it is easier to decrypt the message and communicate
more smoothly.) The common reality, that is, the consensus of the world known by the parties
involved in communication, is also an important prerequisite for proper communication.
Information, knowledge transfer, what the recipient knows about something is related to it. If this
is missing, the process of communication is much longer, since instead of communicating
information, it is first necessary to establish a common reality by presenting the situation
and outlining its internal logic. Like the common reality, the context has a significant role
Business Management for Logisticians
70
in communication. A message - irrespective of the sender's intention - may be completely
different after the communication situation and the change of communication conditions.
A common interpretation framework and language that enables effective communication
requires the interpreting function of communication - communication when talking about
communication itself through communication. Communication is not just a channel - the sender
can send conflicting messages at the same time to the same situation. In this case, the purpose
of the communication is to clarify the sender's intention.
7.3 THE FORMS OF COMMUNICATION
The parties involved in communication often seek to interact with each other, or they are
separated in time, so there are different forms of communication depending on the sender's goal
and life situation. Besides written and oral communication, we can talk about nonverbal
communication as well.
In the case of written and oral communication, we use the language signal system.
In the case of written communication, the channel, the mediating medium is classically
the paper (previously replaced by stone blocks, clay tablets, textiles, animal skins, and papyrus,
and in the modern age, electronic communication is not necessarily materialized). In verbal
communication, the media through air and technology has enabled people to communicate with
people who are not in a room (phone calls via the Internet).
The advantage of the written communication is a tangible, verifiable note, which is usually
better formulated, more logical, lighter than verbal communication, as the sender has the time to
put his thoughts, feelings into words, words into sentences. Another positive thing is that the
message can be stored indefinitely and physically available later. The disadvantage is that writing
is more time consuming and more difficult than verbal communication; and that, in terms of
direction, written communication is mostly unidirectional in time, it lacks the feedback of the
receiving party and therefore there is no guarantee that the recipient will properly decode the
message. (In the case of modern info communication forms, the act of sending and receiving was
much closer in time, so the classic disadvantages of written communication could be easily
eliminated).
Business Management for Logisticians
71
Oral communication, on the other hand, offers quick and immediate feedback.
As a disadvantage, you may mention the sometimes very noisy communication medium
(channel) that can modify the content of the message or make it difficult to understand it. In
verbal communication, the message is often distorted when it comes to more than one sender to
the final recipient, or its original form is not or is difficult to decrypt. However, a decided
advantage over written communication that, in addition to the use of linguistic signs in the report
may be nuanced, also enrich the nonverbal signals.
7.4 NONVERBAL COMMUNICATION
Writing is man's own, but verbal (by voices) and nonverbal communication is also
possible by the animals. Nonverbal communication is the most ancient form of communication.
We do not even prove that some of the nonverbal signs inherited, born with us. These include
facial expressions expressing basic feelings. Another highlighted group of signs is acquired
through socialisation. Instinctive signs are characteristic of a culture, community, its values and
symbols. A third group of non-verbal signals to consciously learned conventions are included,
which aim to create one by a user defined and implemented. They are often linked
to professional and subcultures. The non-verbal signals transmit information to the outside world
of emotions that play a role in the regulation of social relations. Its role is most pronounced in the
transmission of difficult verbalizable emotional content.
There are many forms of nonverbal signals. We distinguish vocal, motion, position,
and emblematic signals. Vocal sound signals have a huge role in enriching oral communication.
The tone, the sound characteristics of the site includes a focus on language, intonation, speech
rate, rhythm, and voice break even with the volume. The vocal signals that specializes although
non-verbal signals, it is not necessary for its transmission to the sender and the recipient must be
a sky background. Vocal signals are also filled in by phone.
The main groups of Chinese signs are facial movement, gestures and posture (physical
activity). Within the face, we should pay attention to three distinct areas, and we are trying to
reach the signal system of nonverbal communication. One is the forehead and the eyebrows, the
other the eye (look), the third the mouth, and surroundings. It is interesting to note that although
a number of vocabulary deals with the nose as a means of nonverbal communication, the
importance of communication is negligible. Moving faces - touch any of the areas listed below -
Business Management for Logisticians
72
calls the literature mimic. Mimics are usually the spontaneous implications of oral communication.
The most difficult to become conscious / modifiable nonverbal signal system.
The gesture is the most elabourate signal system of Chinese communication.
This includes the movement of the hand, arm of the head and the foot. While the movement of
the head (nodding, shaking) is clear signals, the movement of the rest of the body usually tends
to lighten or amplify the message of verbal communication. Members usually follow the pace of
speech. (A special circle of hand gestures is the elements of sign language that can be used as a
learned language to facilitate communication with the spoken language.)
The nonverbal communication toolkit includes the message space and the signal system
of the different postures. Posture, as well as the intentions, actual state of mind and emotions of
the communicating parties are the same as the distances between the parties concerned. Edvard
Hall (1914-2009) also developed a separate scale for interpreting the message of spatial
distances. He has a confidential distance of 0-45 cm, and his personal distance is within 45-120
cm intervals. In terms of distance, the speaker's intention is not to communicate between two
actors, but to provide information between the sender and a larger organisation such as the host.
The last group of nonverbal signs is the emblems. These include signs related to our
outfits, clothing, and hair doing. Communication is a particularly varied way of accessories,
including jewellery, the language of which has historically been much more pronounced than it is
today. The same can be said about the fields of gifts, including flowers.
7.5 EMOTIONAL COMMUNICATION
Emotions influence organisational behaviour in many ways. This effect has direct modes
such as emotions that trigger different behaviours and are indirect, which influence behaviour
through mediating mechanisms such as motivation or perception. Integrative emotions
are intended to strengthen interpersonal relationships, such as love, loyalty, pride. In contrast,
distinctive emotions lead to differentiation within the group and the breakup of groups, such as
fear, anger, contempt. The third group of emotions is hidden emotions. Although these emotions
may originally belong to any of the first two types, their main feature is that they are distorted due
to self-control, suppression and camouflage. Very often this group of emotions is created by the
Business Management for Logisticians
73
body emotional manifestation, and communication requirements, but it can also lead to social
norms in the background of its development.
Expression of emotions is an important area of communication for three things. A clear
expression of emotions helps the host to understand the status of the sender (emotionally), what
he wants and what the other behaviour has on him. So, we need to be able to express our
feelings and moods. Most of these people are not able to put words in an adequate way, and
presuppose very high language skills when someone uses their poetic imagery to express their
feelings. One of the simplest ways of communicating emotional states is nonverbal
communication, which can not only mediate the basic emotions in a proper way, but with its
broad set of tools it can also give you complex and tense emotions, even without the help
of words.
The emotional intelligence is closely linked to how we are able to formulate our desires,
expectations, and words. Social building is a very important building block to know each other
what the other party desires and how to achieve satisfaction or motivation. However, since
communication of desires is even more complicated than emotional states, leaders are in a very
difficult situation when they want to increase employees' commitment or satisfaction because
they do not have information about desires.
The area of emotional communication includes the reactive feeling - thanks to the
negative feelings - of emotions. This differs from the previous one in that it offers the host party
feedback on its behaviour, its impact, and the situation. However, it does not do this
on a cognitive level, but indicates the impression that psychological and emotional events have
left behind. This form of emotional communication can be of paramount importance for leaders,
since emotional feedback is a good starting point for choosing an adequate leadership style,
creating workgroups, rewarding and incentive systems.
Emotional communication occupies an important place in understanding workplace
processes. Especially because emotional manifestations not only reflect the emotions, desires
and moods of the organisational members, but also influential ones. Observing the feelings of
others (to a certain extent) induces the emotional state in the contemplator, because the
emotional manifestations of others are automatically reflected, and are not deliberately imitated
with less intensity. This replicated emotional expression can also influence the sender and the
entire communication situation through the feedback process. For this reason, many
Business Management for Logisticians
74
organisations have explicit or implicit rules of permissible and unacceptable emotional
manifestations. Organisations guidelines they work out myths and stories to bring down and force
employees into the expected emotional manifestations.
7.6 EMOTIONAL WORK
While the influence of emotions on the functioning of the body (physiological and
physiognomic effects) cannot be influenced or rarely influenced, the regulation of emotions
transmitted through posture, facial expression, gestures or tone is the basis of our social
existence. Organisational members often try to shape their emotional communication in line with
organisational expectations, conceal their true feelings, or simply conceive them. This psychic
conversion process is regarded by the literature as emotional work.
Emotional work is when the individual changes his / her emotions from self-determination,
self-interest, and therefore receives no financial compensation. However, his actions can be
traced back to self-perpetuating behaviour in such cases, since the change of emotions is usually
the goal of compliance with social norms, so the maturity becomes socially compliant.
A distinctive feature of emotional work is that it belongs to the actor's private sphere. Although
there is work in the workplace, the emotional manifestation is decided independently, regardless
of organisational regulation.
For a large part of the staff, however, the volunteer's emotional work is insufficient.
Their daily work involves communicating certain emotions and emotional reactions.
The emotional manifestation of employees is not a private matter at all, but an auditor controlled
by the employer. This is especially true of the service sector, where an integral part of the work is
continuous communication with other people. Everything is public and is a part of the social
construct created by the customer and created by the client.
The emotions that employees feel or pretend to be in the workplace to satisfy the
demands of their work as if they were sensed by the literature as emotional work. In this sense,
emotional work belongs to the official sphere of organisations. Individuals are subject to
organisational expectations. The organisation rewards rewarding emotional manifestations in
accordance with its explicit or implicit rules in the form of salaries or other compensatory
Business Management for Logisticians
75
compensation. From the point of view of the individual and the degree of work done, three forms
of emotional work can be distinguished: Honest, superficial and deep emotional work.
In contrast to emotional work, where dissonance between the expected and actual
emotional states is indispensable, sincere emotional work can also be created by the fact that the
spontaneous emotional reaction of a person to a particular situation is in accordance with the
emotional requirements of the body. Although such in cases, no conscious effort or real work is
done, compensation for the right performance is the right for the employee. The advantage of
sincere emotional work is that the employee meets expectations without realizing the effort, thus
avoiding fatigue and negative psychological consequences while the organisational outcomes are
in line with the effort.
Since the organisation is only able to control the communicable emotions
of the emotionally measured dimension of emotions, the implicit or explicit rules usually refer to
emotional communication. If these rules correspond to the change of non-verbal communication
(facial expression, tone, voice, gestures), that is, emotional manifestations do not coincide with
current emotions, they are doing superficial emotional work. This form of emotional work often
leads to feelings of laziness among employees and can adversely affect performance and work
satisfaction.
While organisational emotional norms only regulate emotional manifestations and
communication, it may be necessary to change emotions for credibility. This is mostly done
through cognitive processes. People with good practice can reproduce appropriate emotions
regardless of the factors that trigger them. In such cases, the negative psychological and somatic
effects on the individual are much more moderate than in the case of surface emotional work.
Organisational standards governing emotional work include social, organisational
and occupational standards, as organisations are embedded systems. Social norms are often
transmitted by customers to the organisation and employees; determine what the good service is
and what the employee needs to do. They write the role that companies are only transmitting to
their employees. From this point of view, emotional work is not an organisation, it is a specific
culture and norm system, and it is not or can hardly be influenced by organisations.
Business Management for Logisticians
76
8. CHANGE MANAGEMENT
The contingencialist approach of organizing and, as well as the need for situational
appropriateness of leadership theory, unanimously draws attention to the need for organisations
to adapt to the world around them. They have to change to survive to achieve their goals.
Adaptation is necessary for all viable organisations in the long run, but the way in which
the change is made has already been decided by the organisation. The changes are basically
three ways to go; reactive, preactive and proactive. While organisations using reactive strategies
are subject to environmental change, preactive organisms are trying to make predictions
of environmental change trends and, in the knowledge of them, shape their future production to
best suit their environmental conditions. Proactive organisations themselves try to influence /
direct environmental factors and induce change in the factors determining organisational
processes.
8.1 ANALYSIS OF THE ORGANISATIONAL ENVIRONMENT
In order for managers to have optimal long-term, strategic decisions, for organisations to
be able to influence relevant environmental elements or to recognize the trends required for
preactive organisational changes, it is necessary to thoroughly examine the organisation's
environment. Without the thorough exploration of external (presented in this chapter) and internal
organisational factors (described in more detail in Chapter 5, 6, 7) strategic decisions cannot be
made.
The organisational environment is broken down into macro and micro environment as
described in the first chapter. The vast majority of organisations do not control the macro
environment, and can mostly only influence the micro environment. Knowledge of environmental
segments and processes is vital to long-term planning.
We can review the macro environment of the organisation through the PEST analysis, in
which we take into account and structure the longer-term environmental trends affecting
companies, thus enabling us to capture the major environmental factors that can influence
strategic decisions. PEST itself is an acronym that contains the following spheres:
Business Management for Logisticians
77
• Political - political
The main focus of the examination of political factors is the national legislature and the
functioning of the parliament, the predictability of economic policy, the content of tax policy,
changes in the laws of competition, laws governing the investments of foreigners, environmental
laws, government policy guidelines, labour law regulations and other corporate there are factors
affecting life directly or through regulators affecting its markets.
• Economic - economical
In the case of economic factors, fundamental economic indicators and characteristics should
be considered: such as GDP, GDP / head, GNP, GDP trends, economic growth or recession,
inflation rate, price level development, interest rate, and the characteristics of financial markets,
trends in investment and accumulation, employment rates, trends in employment and
unemployment. The level of development of the infrastructure and the extent to which it is
investing.
• Social - sociocultural
Socio-cultural factors include all factors that are linked to employees or consumers, or can be
linked to the organisation's basic and supportive processes, products and services. For example,
relevant demographic trends or characteristics of society and national culture.
• Technological - technology
Technological factors include the characteristics of technological infrastructure, and may
include variables for general research and development trends, such as the frequency of the
emergence of new scientific results and their pace of application.
The life and function of organisations are not only influenced by the macro-level environment
but have an impact on the industry or micro-environment relevant to their products, the most
accepted of which is Michael Porter's (1947-) five-forces model.
Business Management for Logisticians
78
Figure 18. Porter’s five forces model
Source: own study
The model assesses the actors of the relevant market environment both from the point of
view of the input-output processes and examines the market bargaining power of suppliers and
buyers, or their realistic power position (dictating or following) in relation to the audited
organisation. Particular attention is paid to the nature of input / output markets (monopoly /
oligopoly / perfect competition) and the resulting balance of power.
However, the model does not only analyse the micro-environment of the organisation,
but also assesses the current market competition by examining competitors. Like buyers
and suppliers, balance of power is at the focus of the investigation. However, the model does not
only want to analyse the potential, but also potential future scenarios, as organisations are a
Business Management for Logisticians
79
much better alternative than a reactive change - a more effective process - a pre-active,
organisational change that precedes environmental change. Investigating potential new entrants,
limiting market competition, and thorough market analysis of substitute products enables
business decision-makers to think about strategic product timing for a organisation's product or
service portfolio.
8.2 CHANGE MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES
When corporate executives are aware of the organisation's relevant environment
and know the internal processes and systems, they are able to decide whether the organisation
needs radical transformation or whether there is enough continuous, incremental renewal
and adaptation.
We consider radical changes affecting all or many of the essential features
of organisations, such as processes, technology, outputs, structure, culture, power relations,
behaviour. Radical changes are needed when promoting the organisation's external adaptation
and / or creating new configurations of organisational subsystem structures and processes.
Radical change is generally rapid, extends to the whole organisation, every hierarchical level,
and involves a large change in the organisation's features.
To make such radical changes successful, there is a need for a precise action plan along
which the top management - with the relatively small changes in the lower levels, - changes fast.
The advantage of radical change is that organisational processes are completely renewed and
inertial systems do not become a barrier to efficiency. The disadvantage is that those who are
seldom involved in planning and decision-making are rarely obliged to change the target
precisely for quick implementation. In the case of radical changes, it is very common for those
concerned not to know the target state of the change, and can only be inferior to the leader's
signals. This is why a great degree of organisational resistance is generated by the members
of the organisation from fear of the unknown.
Most people are uncertain, trying to preserve the status quo even if it is possibly
suboptimal. In the background of fear, both psychological and material reasons can be drawn.
Change, especially radical change, mostly affects material interests, affects the system of powers
and resource allocation schemes, so that more people may face the fear of losing financial
Business Management for Logisticians
80
and life security. This may also be linked to the anxiety that stems from the fact that meeting
our new (unknown) requirements is not yet secure, so it is not guaranteed that our performance,
and our income, will remain unchanged or even change positively. If the change involves
a reorganisation or threatens the existence of a particular organisational unit, the fears will
become more apparent to the affected.
The psychological causes of resistance to change include mistrust, dogmatism, teasing of
power positions, and perceptual filters, which may result in lower levels or changes being
underestimated by the importance or urgency of change and the appropriateness of decision-
making by the leader. This also includes the phenomenon of selective perception when
considering the correctness of our own behaviour as a standard, and rejecting any process
or activity that may challenge its standardisation.
An analogy to leading with agreed achievement targets exists an alternative strategy
of change management that seeks to reduce the fear generated by the involvement of those
concerned by taking into account their opinion instead of rolling resistance. For such incremental
(slow, gradual) changes, not everything is pre-planned, deciding. The initiator of change involves
many people in the process of change both in planning and in decision making - thereby
increasing commitment and reducing resistance to change. Incremental change is particularly
suitable for increasing the efficiency of organisational processes, optimizing systems
and structures.
In the case of incremental changes, only a few important organisational features change
at once, and the extent of change and the range of departments affected are also more limited
than in the case of radical changes. Accordingly, such a change (or initiative) can not only start
from the top management level. In such cases, the change is relatively slow, step-by-step, so the
result is less spectacular, which can be a problem of performance measurement,
on the one hand, and fear from the unknown is less apparent in the process of organisational
members.
Incremental change also allows you to reduce detection distortions. Those affected by
the change do not feel like outsiders, so the dissonance between the images of the need and the
result of the change in the leader and the subordinates may be reduced. Resistance to change
from now on is not based on personal inertia but objective difference of opinion. This may be the
Business Management for Logisticians
81
case when members of the organisational level / unit (not) affected by the change feel limited in
the change and would like to apply uniformly to all organisational units.
Whether it is radical or incremental, organisational change usually involves conscious,
controlled change. The leader / leaders of the change will decide upon the discrepancy between
the current and desirable target status, with regard to the need for change, its focus and the
speed of the change being made. In making this decision, the organisational problem grading
matrix developed by Dwight D. Eisenhower (1890-1969) can help. Critical tasks - precisely
because they are not only important, but also urgent - require immediate intervention. If the
extent of the problem justifies this, the organisational leaders must initiate a radical organisational
change. However, in the case of non-urgent but important issues, you have the ability to design
the process of change with stakeholders. In such cases, the leader (s) have the choice of using a
radical or incremental change management strategy.
Figure 19. Eisenhower matrix
Source: own study
Urgent problems that break the day-to-day work are usually of lesser importance,
management decisions are rarely needed, but management of their ongoing business is
indispensable. For this reason, it is best to delegate the problem of dealing with such problems
as soon as possible. Stakeholders can more easily decide whether the problem is chronic
or acute, and therefore require a system-level change (in this case, it must choose a change
management strategy) or can be handled with one-off and / or programmed decisions (in this
case, and enforcing the task).
Day-to-day work also involves countless less important and less urgent situations and
problems that do not require system-level change management. If the number of daily problems
IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT
URGENT Critical problems Interruptions
NOT URGENT Problems that require conscious
planning Daily tasks
Business Management for Logisticians
82
in a particular position is persistently high, it is desirable to look at the job responsibilities and the
competences of the person performing the job.
8.3 CHANGE IN LEADERSHIP TACTICS
Investigating the environmental and corporate characteristics that indicate the need for
change often determines the required change management strategy. However, leaders still have
the opportunity to decide on the change management tactics used. Depending on why and how
much resistance can be expected from the organisational members, who are the most likely to be
expected to do so or whose winning is essential to the change, the leader of the change may
have different positions. In addition to the strength of the stakeholder, the personal characteristics
of the leader and his style of leadership are also decisive when choosing change management
tactics. According to Paul Nutt (1939-), leaders can choose between four types of change
management tactics. For radical change, coercion and intervention tactics are best suited, while
in case of incremental changes, tactics based on participatory and expert persuasion can be
effective.
In the case of compelling tactics, the leader achieves the acceptance of the plan he has
prepared by means of power. The leader decides on the direction and content of the change
in one person and then communicates the tactical plan and the expected way of action and
behaviour to the affected. The leader does not aim to volunteer the stakeholder involved; gives
orders and obeys. The tactic is most effective for authoritarian personality leaders, or in cases
where the maturity of employees is low.
In the intervention tactics, the leader is a person initiator, leader and engine of change,
coordinating the course of change with direct management interventions. Personal involvement
in the process is very high - it designs, organizes, realizes, checks and corrects. The tactic is a
good task for centric executives, as they clearly see organisational processes and their problems.
(Relationship with organisational members is not a focal area during the change (either)).
It is ideal for leaders who prefer group decision making to change their participation
tactics. In such cases, the leader only gives the main direction of the activity and the limits to be
taken into account, leaving the idea to work out and coordinate the change to the creation.
The well-formed decision-making and change management group, with the benefits of the groups
Business Management for Logisticians
83
already discussed, can benefit from a broader acceptance of change, in addition to the benefits
of synergies and multiple perspectives.
Organisational changes may require the involvement of external experts, as strong
organisational culture and organisational inertia hinder the emergence of out-of-the-box solutions
that break new innovative routines. In the case of expert persuasion tactics, the leader relies on
the external experts he calls for the purpose and steps of the change, leaving the process of
change as leader (laisses faire). The task of external experts - beyond the development of the
change plan - is to convince the leader and the pertinent of the correctness of their change
strategy, which is supported by professional arguments.
8.4 THE PROCESS OF CHANGE MANAGEMENT
In the process of change, be it radical or incremental, choose the leader of any change
management tactics, one thing is permanent. Ideally, change is a starting and a final state, and
there is a section between the two, characterized by the dynamic evolution of organisational
power. For this reason, the process of change was Kurt Lewin (1890-1947) using a force field
graph. The model uses end-water comparisons. In the starting state, the body is frozen,
the processes are rigid, unchanged. This situation has to be melted according to the theory
(incremental change), - or, in the case of radical change, the symbolism of a crash would
be a better match - in order for the changes to take place. Water is constantly changing, and the
organisation has to behave like water as it changes. For defrosting, it is essential to disseminate
as broadly as possible the information that makes it possible to understand the situation so that
change can become a viable or even necessary scenario for as many stakeholders as possible.
The third phase of change is a period of stability when appropriate organisational
changes are followed up by new organisational rules, structural elements (division of labour,
division of powers)
Business Management for Logisticians
84
Figure 20. Force-field model of change
Source: own study
When the organisation is in a state of rest, the driving forces behind the change and the
dissuasive forces against change are in balance. In order for the change to begin, the forces
of driving and retention forces must point to change. The above figure, like all models, is
schematic because it represents the organisational forces in only two dimensions. Organisational
processes, however, form a dimensional force field in which each entity - individual, group,
organisational unit - is different. Change in such situations can only be formulated in a two-
dimensional relationship with a given strategic objective, in relation to a given goal.
Ideally, however, the process does not end with the re-freeze phase. The leaders
of the organisation should consciously seek to examine whether the change has enabled
the organisation to reach the status as previously defined and that the environmental
and organisational changes have not yet defined the ideal state to be achieved. The need for
Time
RESTRAINING FORCES
RESTRAINING FORCES
RESTRAINING FORCES
DRIVING FORCES
DRIVING FORCES
DRIVING FORCES
Organisational goal
Status quo
UNFREEZE REFREEZE CHANGE
Business Management for Logisticians
85
change - in particular in the turbulent economic and technological changes of the 21st century -
must be a constant feature of organisations so that the organisation can achieve its goal - self-
sustaining, serving the interests of the owner and the buyer.
Business Management for Logisticians
86
References for PART A
- Bar-On, R. (2006). The Bar-On model of emotional-social intelligence (ESI). Psicothema, 18.
- Batchelor, R. (1994). Henry Ford, mass production, modernism, and design (Vol. 1).
Manchester University Press.
- Belbin, M. (2004). Belbin team roles. Book Belbin Team Roles.
- Blake, R., & Mouton, J. (1964). The managerial grid: The key to leadership excellence.
Houston: Gulf Publishing Co.
- Burns, T., & Stalker, G. M. (1961). The management of innovation. London. Tavistock
Publishing. Cited in Hurley, RF and Hult, GTM (1998). Innovation, Market Orientation, and
Organisational Learning: An Integration and Empirical Examination. Journal of Marketing, 62,
42-54.
- Fayol, H. (2016). General and industrial management. Ravenio Books.
- Fiedler, F. E. (1967). A theory of leadership effectiveness. McGraw-Hill Series in
Management.
- Goleman, D. (2006). Emotional intelligence. Bantam.
- Govindarajan, V. (1986). Decentralization, strategy, and effectiveness of strategic business
units in multibusiness organizations. Academy of Management Review, 11(4), 844-856.
- Gunasekaran, A., Irani, Z., Choy, K. L., Filippi, L., & Papadopoulos, T. (2015). Performance
measures and metrics in outsourcing decisions: A review for research and applications.
International Journal of Production Economics, 161, 153-166.
- Hall, J. A., & Knapp, M. L. (Eds.). (2013). Nonverbal communication (Vol. 2). Walter de
Gruyter.
- Hemphill, J. K. (1949). Situational factors in leadership. Ohio State University. Bureau of
Educational Research Monograph.
- Hersey, P. (1984). The situational leader. New York: Warner Books.
- Hersey, P., Blanchard, K. H., & Johnson, D. E. (2007). Management of organizational
behavior (Vol. 9). Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice hall.
- Herzberg, F. (2017). Motivation to work. Routledge.
- Hull, P. (2013). 10 Essential Business Plan Components. Forbes, Feb 21, 2013,
https://www.forbes.com/sites/patrickhull/2013/02/21/10-essential-business-plan-
components/#306ad9bf5bfa
Business Management for Logisticians
87
- Hunt, J. G., & Hill, J. W. (1969). The new look in motivation theory for organizational research.
Human Organization, 28(2), 100.
- Kaplan, R. S., & Norton, D. P. (2007). Balanced scorecard. In Das Summa Summarum des
Management (pp. 137-148). Gabler.
- Lee, T. W., Locke, E. A., & Latham, G. P. (1989). Goal setting theory and job performance.
- Lewin, K. (1944). A research approach to leadership problems. The Journal of Educational
Sociology, 17(7), 392-398.
- Likert, R., & Likert, J. G. (1976). New ways of managing conflict. New York: McG
- Maslow, A. H. (2013). Toward a psychology of being. Simon and Schuster.
- McClelland, D. C. (1987). Human motivation. CUP Archive.
- Mfondoum, A. H. N., Tchindjang, M., Mfondoum, J. M., & Makouet, I. Eisenhower matrix*
Saaty AHP= Strong actions prioritization? Theoretical literature and lessons drawn from
empirical evidences. IAETSD-Journal for Advanced Research in Applied Sciences, 6, 13-27.
- Mintzberg, H. (1989). Mintzberg on management: Inside our strange world of organizations.
Simon and Schuster.
- Porter, M. E. (1979). The structure within industries and companies’ performance. Review of
economics and statistics, 61(2), 214-227.
- Porter, M. E. (2001). The value chain and competitive advantage. Understanding Business
Processes, 50-66.
- Porter, M. E. (2008). The five competitive forces that shape strategy. Harvard business
review, 86(1), 25-40.
- Taylor, F. W. (2004). Scientific management. Routledge.
- Weber, M. (2015). Bureaucracy. In Working in America (pp. 29-34). Routledge
Business Management for Logisticians
88
List of figures for PART A
Figure1. Schematic graph (configuration) of a single-line organisation ........................................ 17
Figure2. Schematic picture of a multiline, multi dimension organisation ....................................... 19
Figure3. The spheres of the organisational environment .............................................................. 20
Figure4. The characteristics of different structural forms .............................................................. 21
Figure5. The life-cycle and innovation curve of products and services ......................................... 23
Figure6. Organisational processes ................................................................................................ 24
Figure7. The value chain model of organization ............................................................................ 26
Figure8. Basic types of Strategic Business Units .......................................................................... 29
Figure9. Balanced scorecard ......................................................................................................... 31
Figure10. The effect f the leader’s attention on the organisation .................................................. 37
Figure11. Blake-Mouton managerial grid ....................................................................................... 38
Figure12. Schematic model of motivation in organisations ........................................................... 40
Figure13. Indices of organisational performance .......................................................................... 43
Figure14. Schematic model of the process of motivation .............................................................. 46
Figure15. Leadership behaviour in relation to employee maturity ................................................. 60
Figure16. Group roles .................................................................................................................... 65
Figure17. Schematic model of communication .............................................................................. 68
Figure18. Porter’s five forces model .............................................................................................. 78
Figure19. Eisenhower matrix ......................................................................................................... 81
Figure 20. Force-field model of change .............................................................................................. 84
Business Management for Logisticians
89
Appendix 1.
Contents of a Business Plan1
1. Mission statement and/or vision statement so the organization/its leaders can articulate what
they are trying to create;
2. Description of the organisation and its products or services;
3. Description of how the product or service is different from others on the market;
4. Market analysis that discusses the market one is on, or is about to enter, competitors, and
what type of market share one believes to be able to secure;
5. Description of the management team, including the experience of key team members and
previous successes;
6. How one plans to market the product or service;
7. Analysis of the organisation’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threat, which shows
that plans presented are realistic and have considered opportunities and challenges;
8. Cash flow statement that shows that you understand what the organisation’s needs are now
and will be in the future (a cash flow statement also can help to consider how cash flow could
impact growth);
9. Revenue projections;
10. Summary/conclusion that wraps everything together (this could be replaced by an executive
summary at the beginning of the plan).
1 As recommended by Hull (2013)
Business Management for Logisticians
91
1. THE ROLE AND PRINCIPLES OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
One way of describing the role of managers in firms is to classify their activities into the
following categories:
• Strategic management. This involves developing the aims and objectives for a business
and developing a strategy, i.e. the long-term plan, to achieve them. Normally, strategic
management involves decisions with their impact exceeding the one-year horizon.
• Operations management. This involves applying day-to-day control over the different
business functions to ensure that everything goes according to plan, and taking corrective
action when it does not.
• Risk management. The many different risks faced by a business need to be identified
and properly managed.
These management activities are not perfectly separate and distinct. When considering
a strategy, for example, managers must also carefully assess the risks involved, as well as its
impact on operations.
The finance function plays a fundamental role in each of the three areas. In particular,
financial management involves the following tasks:
• Financial planning. This allows managers to assess the potential impact of strategic
decisions on the future financial performance and health of the firm.
• Investment decisions. These relate to the optimal allocation of available funds in a way that
generates future income.
• Financing decisions. These relate to the optimal acquisition of funds needed to finance the
firm's activities.
• Financial control. This involves the reporting of financial information, which helps monitor
performance and detect when corrective action is needed.
• Other activities, such as capital markets operations, foreign exchange transactions, and
organization of payments.
Business Management for Logisticians
92
There are numerous links between the finance function and the tasks of other managers.
For example, firms' overall strategies always consider financial plans, which, in turn, normally
start from sales projections provided by the relevant departments. Within finance, there also
exists a distinction between strategic (long-term) financial management and operating (short-
term) financial management, each of which closely involves financial risk management.
1.1 STRATEGIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
The primary objective of a firm is generally understood to be shareholder wealth
maximization. This is the main reason for the unique role of financial management. Namely,
it deals with the quantification of wealth, i.e. valuation, which lets managers determine
appropriate strategies to accomplish this key objective2.
It is important to note that wealth maximization is a different criterion from profit
maximization, for several reasons:
• Lack of objectivity. Any profit measure is strongly influenced by particular accounting
policies employed by the firm, such as those relating to depreciation, inventory and bad
debts.
• Time horizon. It is unclear over which period profit should be maximized as, for example,
short term profits may be boosted at the expense of long term profits.
• Risk. The goal of profit maximization takes no account of the risks involved, which,
however, does impact overall wealth, because shareholders are concerned with risk.
• Opportunity cost. Managers can increase their firms' profits by reinvesting current profits
without considering that shareholders could achieve higher returns by investing the funds
in a business with similar risk.
In principle, there are two ways in which shareholder wealth can be measured3. The most
straightforward one considers the price at which the shares can actually be bought or sold.
While attractive due to its simplicity and accuracy, it faces two major obstacles:
2 Tirole (2006, pp. 15-64).
3 Damodaran (2015, pp. 10-14).
Business Management for Logisticians
93
• Price availability. Many firms, and certainly their business units, do not have their stock
traded or readily quoted on a stock exchange that would make their market price public.
• Price forecasts. Even when the past and current price of stock is known, which allows the
measurement of past performance, it is still hard to forecast future stock prices that would
help assess the impacts of current management actions.
Accordingly, investment wealth is usually determined using intrinsic valuation, which
therefore comprises the fundamental quantitative method used in financial management. Unlike
profit, which is an accounting measure based on historical performance, intrinsic valuation is
forward-looking, deriving value from forecasts of available cash flows in time, while
considering their risk.
1.2 OPERATING FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
In contrast to strategic financial management, operating financial management deals with
decisions and transactions that have a close-to-immediate impact, typically within the current
year. From the perspective of the firm's entire operations, they typically involve trade and
production, as well as cash and account balances needed to settle operations, and various kinds
of funding needed to finance operations. The aggregate is called working capital.
While working capital management generally focuses on efficiency, i.e. minimizing the cost of
working capital needed for operations, a particular concern of operating financial management is
the firm's liquidity. This expresses the firm's capability to meet all its cash obligations whenever
due.
Even though strategic financial management deals with wealth maximization as the
paramount objective, one may argue that potential lack of liquidity is the ultimate risk a firm can
encounter, as it leads directly to bankruptcy. This highlights the urgent need for expertise in
operating financial management, focusing primarily on the availability of cash and short-term
funding.
Nevertheless, the firm's capability to access additional funds or take corrective action related
to liquidity often depends on its position determined by past strategic decisions, such as raising
long-term capital or determining its structure. Accordingly, it needs to be considered in the
Business Management for Logisticians
94
process of financial planning, which thus becomes a process interconnecting the perspectives
of strategic and operating financial management.
2. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, CASH FLOWS AND FINANCIAL RATIOS
Financial statements are a standard means of financial control. The statements report
financial information, which helps monitor performance and detect when corrective action is
needed. They are used by firms' management, investors including shareholders, banks and other
lenders, as well as by other stakeholders such as tax authorities or major trading partners.
By definition, financial statements are backward-looking, and therefore less suited as a
resource for valuation or for taking strategic decisions. Nevertheless, subject to necessary
adjustments, they are often used for setting up financial plans and forecasts.
2.1 STRUCTURE OF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
The vast majority of companies world-wide uses double-entry accounting, which
aggregates financial information in a set of two basic statements, a balance sheet and an income
statement (also called profit and loss account or P&L account). Even though various accounting
standards are used in different countries and for different purposes4, the statements'
fundamental characteristics can be described as follows.
The balance sheet gives an account of the firm's financial position on a particular date.
It has two sides: assets, on the left, and financing, which itself has two parts, liabilities and
shareholders' equity, on the right. Assets and liabilities are normally listed in order of liquidity,
starting with the ones that are considered current, i.e. convertible into cash within one year. The
current assets and liabilities that are used for the firm's operations, on the aggregate, are called
working capital. Combined with operating long-term assets, designated as fixed assets, they
constitute the firm's operating capital.
4 A detailed conceptual comparison is provided by Popatia (2017).
Business Management for Logisticians
95
The difference between the value of assets and liabilities, by definition, is the firm's equity
(or net worth, or book value), consisting of paid-in equity and retained earnings.
Equity = Assets - Liabilities (2-1)
2017 2016 2017 2016
Cash and equivalents 10 12 Accounts payable 23 15
Short-term investments 69 65 Accrued expenses 78 62
Accounts receivable 163 138 Short-term debt 46 33
Inventories 134 119 Long-term debt 90 88
Net plant and equipment 184 167 Equity 323 303
Total assets 560 501 Total liabilities and equity 560 501
Figure 21. Balance sheet (as of December 31, € million)
Source: Emery, Finnerty, Stowe (207, p. 46), modified.
The income statement shows the firm's revenues and expenses during a particular
period. It indicates how the revenues from the sale of product and services are transformed into
net income. This normally takes several steps, first subtracting costs of goods sold, i.e. direct
costs of sales, and SGA (selling, general and administrative expenses), i.e. indirect overheads,
followed by depreciation and amortization. The resulting operating profit or loss (or EBIT, i.e.
earnings before interest and taxes) is followed by the non-operating section, which may include
items not directly related to the firm's primary business activity (such as sale of securities,
disposal of fixed assets or foreign exchange revaluation), but primarily subtracts from EBIT the
costs of financing, i.e. interest expenses, and income tax.
Business Management for Logisticians
96
Sales 547
Cost of goods solid -286
Selling, general and administrative exp. -186
Depreciation and amortization -23
Earning before interest and taxes 52
Interest expense -8
Earnings before tax 44
Income tax -11
Net income 33
Figure 22. Income statement (for 2018, € million)
Source: Emery, Finnerty, Stowe (207, p. 47), modified.
When companies publish their financial information in the form of an annual report, they
are usually required to include supplementary information, such as a statement of changes in
equity and a multitude of explanatory notes.
When considering information provided in the firm's financial statements, financial
analysis as well as the forecasts that are essential for valuation frequently need to deal with cash
flows, which are not explicit in the basic set of statements. Even though a statement of cash
flows is often part of published information in annual reports, understanding the financial position
of firms requires a working knowledge of the relationship between reported information and its
relation to cash flows5.
2.2 CASH FLOWS
There are several reasons why the revenues and expenses in a firm's income statement
for any period do not usually equate its cash inflows and outflows, and its net income therefore
5 Garrison, Noreen, Brewer (2018, pp. 684-724).
Business Management for Logisticians
97
differs from its net cash flow. In other words, this is due to the fact that some of the revenues
and expenses were not received or paid during the year. Net cash flow can therefore be derived
from net income as
Net cash flow = Net income - Noncash revenues + Noncash charges (2-2)
The most significant cases of noncash charges are depreciation and amortization.
Depreciation is a method of reallocating the cost of a long-term tangible asset over its useful life
span, while amortization relates to the same concept with intangible assets. Methods of
computing depreciation and the periods over which assets are depreciated may vary between
asset types within the same business, and they may be specified by law or accounting standards.
Depreciation expense generally begins when the asset is placed in service and there are several
standard methods of its computing, including straight-line, fixed percentage and declining
balance.
For example, an asset that initially costs € 10,000 (which is a cash payment) would be
allocated a € 2,000 annual depreciation cost (which is noncash) under a 5-year straght-line
schedule, with a simultaneous decrease of its net value until fully depreciated.
Figure 23. Asset depreciation
Source: own study
Net asset value
1 2 3 4 5 Years
€ 10,000
-€ 10,000
Cash flow
Business Management for Logisticians
98
Depreciation, as well as amortization, reduces net income but is not paid in cash, so it
needs to be added to net income when calculating net cash flow.
In many cases, the other noncash items roughly net out to zero, and therefore many analysts
simply assume that net cash flow equals net income plus depreciation and amortization.
However, to be exact, several other items need to be added and subtracted. They can be
subsumed in three categories6:
• Operating cash flows. Besides adding depreciation and amortization, any net increase in
operating assets (i.e. accounts receivable and inventory) has to be subtracted from, and
any net increase in operating liabilities (i.e. accounts payable) has to be added to net
income, which is the initial operating cash flow.
• Investing cash flows. Any net capital expenditure (CAPEX), i.e. purchases of plant and
equipment net of its disposals has to be subtracted.
• Financing cash flows. Net increase in short-term, as well as long-term debt has to be
added and dividends have to be subtracted.
Reported statements of cash flows usually separate these activities, calculating net cash flow
as the sum of operating, investing and financing cash flows as in Figure 2.4.7 Of course, another
way of determining net cash flow is simply subtracting the amount of cash at the beginning of the
reporting period from that at the end of the reporting period.
6 The list is not exhaustive. For example, investments in securities would be added to investing cash flows, while own stock repurchases reduce cash from financing activities.
7 Note that CAPEX can be determined as the increase in net plant and equipment plus depreciation; paid dividends as net income minus the increase in equity (i.e. retained earnings).
Business Management for Logisticians
99
Net income 33
Depreciation and amortization 23
Accounts receivable increase -25
Inventories increase -15
Accrued expenses increase 8
Accrued expenses increase 16
Net operating cash flow 40
Purchase of plant and equipment -40
Net investing cash flow -40
Short-term debt increase 13
Long-term debt increase 2
Purchase of short-term investments -4
Cash dividends -13
Net financing cash flow -2
Net cash flow -2
Figure24. Statement of cash flows (for 2018, € million)
Source: Emery, Finnerty, Stowe (207, p. 49), modified.
However, in financial decisions involving business valuation it is vital to determine
the stream of cash flows that the operations of the business will generate now and in the future,
rather than simply periodical changes of cash on accounts, which can be quite incidental due to
the nonrecurring nature of most financing and investment activities. Such a measure is called
free cash flow (FCF), and it is defined as the firm's after-tax operating profit (NOPAT, i.e. net
operating profit after taxes) minus the amount of new investment in working capital and fixed
assets necessary to sustain the business8.
FCF = NOPAT - Net investment in operating capital (2-3)
8 Damodaran (2015, pp. 516-561).
Business Management for Logisticians
100
This means that free cash flow calculation requires proper determination of the two
components.
Net operating profit after taxes is the amout of profit the firm would generate if it had no
debt and held no financial and other non-operating assets. It can be calculated as
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 - Tax rate) (2-4)
The commensurate tax rate can be estimated from the income statement, dividing
income tax by the firm's total income before taxes. In other words, income tax is allocated
proportionally to operating and non-operating pre-tax income.
Operating capital consists of working capital, which in turn subtracts operating current
assets and operating current liabilities, and operating long-term assets. Net investment in
operating capital over any period can be calculated from the balance sheet by subtracting its
net value at the beginning of the period from that at the end of the period. Note that this already
includes the factor of depreciation.
An alternative way of calculating free cash flow uses the cash flow report, starting with
operating cash flow, adjusted (in contrast to most published cash flow statements) for income
taxes not related to operations, and subtracting net long-term operating capital expenditure
(CAPEX). Put down in detail, this means that
FCF = EBIT × (1 - Tax rate) + Depreciation - Increase in receivables - Increase in
inventory + Increase in payables + Increase in accruals - CAPEX (2-
5)
Business Management for Logisticians
101
Earnings before interest and taxes 52
Income tax (25%) -13
Net operating profit after taxes 39
Depreciation and amortization 23
Accounts receivable increase -25
Inventories increase -15
Accounts payable increase 8
Accrued expenses increase 16
Purchase of plant and equipment -40
Free cash flow 6
After-tax interest expense -6
Net new debt 15
Cash dividends -13
Increase in nonoperating assets -2
0
Figure 25. Calculation and use of free cash flow (for 2018, € million)
Source: Author, based on data from Figures 2.2. and 2.4.
Free cash flow is distributed to investors according to their seniority, beginning with
creditors and followed by shareholders, with the rest remaining as the firm's non-operating assets
such as cash and marketable securities.
2.3 ANALYZING FINANCIAL RATIOS
Financial analysis focuses on techniques determining the firm's financial standing,
typically in comparison to similar firms, to assess financial plans, or in respect to trends
over time. Managers use it to identify situations in need of immediate attention and to assess the
Business Management for Logisticians
102
impact of decisions in financial forecasts, investors to assess the firm's credit standing or to
estimate fair share value.
One common technique uses financial ratios, which are an essential, quick and
relatively simple tool for the analysis and interpretation of financial statements. They can be
applied to examine various aspects of financial health, and are widely used for planning as well
as control purposes9.
Ratios can be grouped into categories, with each relating to a particular aspect of
financial performance or position. While there is no generally accepted list of ratios, nor a
standard method of calculating many of them, the following ones may be considered useful for
decision-making purposes.
Profitability. These ratios provide an indication of the firm's success in satisfying the
wealth creation objective.
Return on equity = Net income / Equity (2-6)
Return on assets = Net income / Total assets (2-7)
Return on capital employed = Net operating profit after taxes / Operating capital (2-8)
Gross profit margin = (Sales - Cost of goods sold) / Sales (2-9)
Operating profit margin = Net operating profit after taxes / Sales (2-10)
Net profit margin = Net income before extraordinary items / Sales (2-11)
Efficiency. These ratios (also called activity ratios) measure the efficiency with which
particular resources are used by the business.
Receivables turnover = Sales / Accounts receivable (2-12)
Inventory turnover = Cost of goods sold / Inventory (2-13)
Fixed asset turnover = Sales / Fixed assets (2-14)
Total asset turnover = Sales / Total assets (2-15)
Capital intensity = Operating capital / Sales (2-16)
9 Garrison, Noreen, Brewer (2018, pp. 725-744).
Business Management for Logisticians
103
Most efficiency ratios have reciprocal counterparts and either may be used, under
circumstances. These include average settlement periods, such as for payables or inventory, or
the sales revenue to capital employed ratio. Efficiency ratios can also be based on other types of
resources, besides those reported in firms' balance sheets. For example,
Sales revenue per employee = Sales / Number of employees (2-17)
It should be noted that there is a relationship between profitability and efficiency, and
ratios may be decomposed to identify and manage particular factors determining the firm's
overall performance. The most rudimentary break-down relates to the return on capital employed,
which can be determined by dividing the operating profit margin with capital intensity. This
demonstrates that performance can be enhanced by either increasing the profit margin, or by
decreasing the amount of capital used in operations.
Liquidity. These ratios examine the amount of liquid resources held and available to
meet maturing obligations.
Current ratio = Current assets / Current liabilities (2-18)
Quick ratio = (Curent assets - Inventory) / Current liabilities (2-19)
The right balance of sufficient liquidity without excessive funds tied in cash needs to be
found, differing for different kinds of businesses. The quick ratio is a more stringent test of
liquidity when inventory cannot be quickly converted into cash.
Leverage. These ratios (also called gearing ratios) are concerned with the relationship
between financing by the owners and that in the form of loans which have to be repaid,
constituting a financial risk for the firm. Alternatively, as with the interest coverage ratio, they may
consider the capacity to service the costs of debt.
Debt ratio = Total debt / (Total debt + Equity) (2-20)
Interest coverage ratio = EBIT / Interest expense (2-21)
Investment. These ratios assess the performance of shares in a business from the perspective
of shareholders not involved in its management.
Dividend payout ratio = Dividend payout / Net income (2-22)
Dividend yield = Dividend payout / Market capitalization (2-23)
Business Management for Logisticians
104
Price/earnings ratio = Market capitalization / Net income (2-24)
Price/sales ratio = Market capitalization / Sales (2-25)
Price to book ratio = Market capitalization / Equity (2-26)
Most of the investment ratios relate to market capitalization, which is a value determined by
multiplying the number of outstanding shares by the stock price, and can be considered an
estimate of the firm's market value.
3. INTRINSIC VALUE
Intrinsic valuation is based on the premise that any asset's value derives from its potential to
generate future earnings10. Furthermore, investors' demand will be influenced by their
opportunity cost of investing in other assets with a comparable risk characteristic.
The intrinsic value concept relates closely to the time value of money principle. There
are principally three reasons why most people and investors do not normally see an amount paid
now as equivalent in value to the same amount being received at a later time. They include the
opportunity cost of potentially making another profitable investment, the perceived risk in the
investment which should be compensated by a risk premium, and the expected loss in the
purchasing power of money, i.e. inflation.
Considering these factors in aggregate, as an opportunity cost of undertaking
an investment in the current market environment and with a commensurate risk
characteristic, which we shall designate c, this quantity defines a relationship between the
present value PV and the future value FV of any payment as
FV = PV (1 + c) (3-1)
The opportunity cost c is periodical, and different investment time horizons therefore
result in its compounding, with a generalization of Equation (3-1) as
10 Damodaran (2006, pp. 516-561).
Business Management for Logisticians
105
FVt = PV (1 + c)t (3-2)
To illustrate, depositing the amount PV = €10,000 with a bank paying interest c = 4% will
result in a balance FV1 = €10,000 (1 + 4%) = €10,400 by the end of the first interest-paying
period, and FV2 = €10,000 (1 + 4%)2 = €10,816 by the end of the second interest-paying period.
Note that in this particular case we are considering an actual investment yield; however, the
same value would be considered opportunity cost for alternative comparable investments.
When applying the time value of money framework for intrinsic valuation, present values
are calculated from future values, resulting in a reformulation of Equation (3-2) as in (3-3), where
the more common designation V (as value) is used instead of present value and CFt designates
the expected future cash income at time t (in years, assuming c is defined on an annual basis).
V = CFt / (1 + c)t (3-3)
Another term used for the valuation approach described in Equation (3-3), reverse
to compounding, is discounting the future cash flows, and the opportunity cost c is therefore
also called discount factor.
Usually, assets that need to be valued comprise multiple cash flows projected at
different points of time. Furthermore, any of the future cash flows may take negative and positive
values, CFt thus representing cash outflows as well as inflows in time. A typical case concerns
capital budgeting projects such as the construction of a production plant, which begin with cash
outflows at the time of construction, followed by net cash inflows due to the proceeds of selling
produced goods exceeding periodical expenses.
The value of such a general cash flow stream is simply the sum of all discounted cash
flows, positive or negative, called their net present value (NPV):
NPV = ∑𝐶𝐹𝑡
(1+𝑐)𝑡𝑁𝑡=0
(3-4)
Business Management for Logisticians
106
Even though Equation (3-4) constitutes a universal intrinsic valuation formula, its application is
not always practical, and it is then convenient to use one of the specific models described in the
following paragraphs11.
3.1 ANNUITIES
An annuity, by definition, is a series of cash flows made at fixed intervals and equal
in size. This is typical for assets such as bonds, as well as obligations including consumer loans,
mortgages, rental lease payments or insurance premiums.
Based on the timing of the initial cash flow, one may distinguish between three types of
annuity:
• Ordinary annuity. The cash flows occur at the end of each period.
• Annuity due. The payments are made at the beginning of each period.
• Deferred annuity. The initial cash flow is due at a different point of time in the future,
usually at the end of the second or a subsequent period, i.e. deferred by one or more
periods.
The most common ordinary annuity (or, simply, annuity) thus features cash flows as
illustrated in Figure 3.1. a), for the case of a 5-period annuity, compared to the annuity due
shown under b).
Figure 26. Cash flows of a 5-period annuity
Source: Vlachý (2018, p. 37), modified.
11 More detailed derivations are available in e.g. Capiński, Zastawniak (2003, pp. 21-38).
2 1
a) Ordinary annuity
4 3 7 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 5 6 7
b) Annuity due
Business Management for Logisticians
107
Annuities are characteristic in featuring a linear relationship between their present value
V and the periodical payments PMT described by
AnnuityV = AF × PMT (3-5)
The value AF, called annuity factor, depends solely on the number of annuity periods N
and the periodical discount rate c, and can be calculated as
AF = (1 / c) - 1 / [c × (1 + c)N ] (3-6)
Once an ordinary annuity payments stream can be valued according to Equations (3-5)
and (3-6), it is then simple to solve other problems relating to annuities.
Annuities due have a higher value compared to ordinary annuities, because each of the
payments gets pushed forward by one period, and therefore appreciate by exactly one
compounding step:
AnnuityDueV = AnnuityV × (1 + c)
In contrast, deferred annuities put away each payment by one or more, generally D,
periods, with a corresponding discounting of value as in
DeferredAnnuityByDPeriodsV = AnnuityV / (1 + c)D
Finally, it is possible to calculate the projected future value of any annuity with a known
present value at a future point of time using Equation (3-2).
3.2 PERPETUITIES
An annuity with an infinite flow of payments is called perpetuity. Even though, strictly
speaking, it may seem unrealistic to consider any projection of payments or revenue perpetual,
it is often practical to use such a conceptual model in cases such as sustainable free cash flows
from a mature business, or the yields from non-redeemable preferred stock.
It is possible to derive a perpetuity valuation formula by setting N ―> ∞ in Equation (3-5),
which conveniently results in the simple Equation (3-7)
Business Management for Logisticians
108
PerpetuityV = PMT / c (3-7)
Another useful equation can be derived for perpetuities whose payments are not
constant, but growing by the factor g, with PMTt = PMTt-1 × (1 + g). The value of such so-called
growth perpetuities with the payment PMT1 occuring at the end of the first period can then be
calculated12 as
GrowthPerpetuityV = PMT1 / (c - g) (3-8)
For example, a stream of perpetual annual payments of €10 and 10% annual opportunity
cost would therefore have a 10 / 10% = €100 present value. Assuming a 5% annual payments
growth, the value would increase to 10 / (10% - 5%) = €200.
It is to be noted that, mathematically, c always needs to be greater than g. However, Equation
(3-8) can also be used for valuing diminishing payments, i.e. ones with a negative g.
3.3 DIFFERENT COMPOUNDING PERIODS
It is important to recognize that any of the relationships between returns, and present and
future values, discussed in the present chapter assume consistent time horizons. For example,
the annuity factor calculated in Equation (3-6) with N = 12 and c = 2% may relate to an annuity
with 12 annual payments, provided the annual return is 2%, as well as a 3-year annuity paid
quarterly, where the 2% return would be quarterly, or a 1-year annuity with monthly payments
and a 2% monthly return.
This means that it is often necessary to convert equivalent returns for different time
horizons. In other words, we are looking for values of c that would give equal future values FVt for
different compounding time horizons t in Equation (3-2), i.e. FVt1 = PV (1 + c1)t1 = FVt2 = PV (1 +
c2)t2, which rearranges as
c2 = (1 + c1)t1/t2 - 1 (3-9)
A monthly return of c1 = 2%, where t1 = 12 (compounding periods per year) would thus
equate to a quarterly (t2 = 4) return c2 = (1 + 2%)12/4 - 1 = 6.12%.
12 Gordon, Shapiro (1956).
Business Management for Logisticians
109
The equivalent return on an annualized basis (when t = 1), which is normally used as a
benchmark, is called effective annual return. In the current case, its value would be EAR = (1 +
2%)12 - 1 = 26.82%.
This needs to be distinguished from the nominal annual return (or nominal interest rate),
often quoted by banks, which simply sums all percentage returns in a year without considering
compounding. For a 2% rate per month that would mean a 12 × 2% = 24% nominal interest rate
(note the substantial 2.82% difference when compounding is taken into account).
Business Management for Logisticians
110
4. CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS
Managers often consider decisions that involve an investment outlay today in the hope
of realizing future incomes. Such decisions, ranging from purchases of new equipment or its
replacements to the introduction of new products or distribution channels, constitute a critical
factor in the capability of the firm to create wealth for its shareholders.
The relevant decision-making process is called capital budgeting and may involve various
kinds of situations, such as:
• Expansion decisions. Should a new plant, warehouse, or other facility be acquired to
increase capacity and sales?
• Cost reduction decisions. Should new equipment be purchased to reduce costs?
• Equipment selection decisions. Which of several available machines should be
purchased?
• Equipment replacement decisions. Should old equipment be replaced now or later?
Capital budgeting decisions fall into two broad categories, screening decisions
and preference decisions.
Screening decisions relate to whether a proposed project is acceptable on a stand-alone
basis, using a suitable criterion. Because wealth maximization is the firm's overall objective,
screening is based on whether the project increases the value of the firm. By definition, this is the
case for projects which return a positive net present value. Provided the project decision is
independent of any other, it is therefore sufficient to calculate the net present value
of the forecasted project cash flows and accept all projects that have NPV > 0. Practitioners
sometimes use different criteria (such as payback, accounting rate of return, internal rate
of return, or profitability index), but they are either methodically inferior, or give identical results.
Preference decisions, in contrast, require a selection from several alternatives that would
otherwise pass a screening decision. This means that the projects are mutually exclusive. Such
a situation may arise due to various reasons. For example, a company may be considering
several different machines to replace an existing one on the assembly line, or several new
Business Management for Logisticians
111
product launches are being considered under the constraint of a limited capital budget or another
scarce resource, such as a skilled workforce. Under circumstances, different methods can be
used to resolve such problems.
Summarily, the following steps are normally taken when managing investment projects in
a professional business environment:
1. Determine investment funds available, dealing, if necessary, with capital rationing issues;
2. Identify projects with a potential to enhance shareholders' wealth;
3. Refine and classify the projects;
4. Evaluate proposed projects;
5. Approve the projects;
6. Monitor and control the projects, making necessary adjustments when necessary.
4.1 SELECTING INDEPENDENT PROJECTS
For screening, the fundamentally sound decision-making criterion is accepting projects
with a positive net present value, which directly determines their value-enhancement
potential13. For example, a project starting with an initial investment of €1,000 and anticipating
€200 net cash inflows in each of the following eight years would pass, assuming an 8%
opportunity cost of capital, because of its positive NPV = €149.
Another widely used measure is the internal rate of return (IRR). It can be defined as
the cost of capital that, when applied to the future cash flows of a project, will produce a net
present value exactly equal to zero. In other words, it meets the following condition, derived from
Equation (3-4):
0 = ∑𝐶𝐹𝑡
(1+𝐼𝑅𝑅)𝑡𝑁𝑡=0 (4-1)
In essence, IRR represents the annualized yield from an investment opportunity
and investments should be accepted which have an IRR exceeding the opportunity cost c.
13 Emery, Finnerty, Stowe (2007, pp. 221-222).
Business Management for Logisticians
112
In most real-life cases, IRR cannot be calculated by a closed-form rearrangement of Equation (4-
1), but needs to be figured out numerically, using iteration.
The internal rate of return has two convenient features. In the first place, it does not
require a precise estimate of the opportunity cost of capital (which may be difficult), stipulating
that the internal rate of return should simply be "sufficiently high", usually exceeding an arbitrary
value which the firm stipulates as its hurdle rate. It also allows adjustments of the hurdle rate,
based on policies or constraints regarding the number of projects the firm is capable or willing to
realize at a particular time.
The IRR in the problem above is 11.81%, and the project may therefore be accepted,
provided the firm is confident that its opportunity cost of capital lies below this value. However,
it would still be declined if management set its hurdle rate at 15% in order to constrain project
acceptance.
The internal rate of return criterion has several weaknesses. Above all, it does not directly
address the objective of maximizing wealth generation. When used for the ranking of projects,
it can therefore lead to the wrong decision, prioritizing a project with a lower NPV. This is
because the measure ignores the scale of investment. A further problem with using IRR relates to
its being ambiguous for projects with unconventional cash flow streams14.
Some managers base their decisions on the payback criterion. This simply considers the
time needed for an initial investment to be repaid out of the net cash inflows from a project.
The problem above thus has a payback of 5 years. Aside from its simplicity, however, payback
suffers from at least two major deficiencies. Firstly, it ignores the time value of money,
and secondly, it disregards any cash flows, positive or negative, beyond payback. Rather than for
taking substantial decisions, it is therefore only useful for project pre-screening, at best.
14 Such a project may have more than one IRR over its life, as explained by Hartman and Schafrick (2004).
Business Management for Logisticians
113
4.2 SELECTING MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS
Projects with a positive NPV should be undertaken if the business wishes to maximize
shareholder wealth. However, sometimes investment funds are limited. In such a case, not all
projects with a positive NPV can be undertaken and the rule requires modification to provide for
optimal capital rationing15.
The most simple approach uses a measure that represents the efficiency of funds
invested in the project, which is called profitability index (PI). It is calculated by dividing the
present value of all future cash inflows by the initial investment outlay I0 (= CF0) of the project
PI = Present value of future cash flows
Initial investment (4-2)
Obviously, independently considered projects with NPV > 0 will have PI > 1, and in this
context using the profitability index brings no additional benefit. However, it is a useful tool
for capital rationing when projects are ranked according to their profitability indices
and accepted until the capital budget constraint is reached. This ensures the highest possible
cummulative NPV from the funds available for investment.
This approach has a limitation when the total investment does not perfectly add up to the
capital constraint, i.e. when the marginal project is not scaleable (or the projects are not
sufficiently small to make the effect negligible). Other combinations of projects using more of the
available capital may then yield a higher net present value, and should be selected. Generally,
such problems can be solved using linear programming.
For example, the firm may consider three projects, requiring initial investment outlays AI0
= €4, BI0 = €3, CI0 = €5, and providing present values of future cash inflows APV = €5.8, BPV =
€4, CPV = €7. It can be easily determined that their ranked profitability indices are API = 1.45 >
CPI = 1.40 > BPI = 1.33. Assuming the capital budget is constrained by €9, projects A and C with
the highest profitability indices should be selected. However, provided the limit would be €8, this
method only allows investment in A (unless C could be downsized to €4), bringing an ANPV = 5.8
- 4 = €1.8. This contrasts with an investment combining B and C, which actually have the lowest
15 Damodaran (2006, pp. 227-283).
Business Management for Logisticians
114
profitability indices (still higher than 1), but provide a higher aggregate B+CNPV = 4 + 7 - 3 - 5 =
€3.
Firms may also find themselves in a position when they have to decide between two or
more competing investment projects aimed at meeting a continuous need and having different
life spans. Such situations are called replacement chains. Again, the proposal with the highest
stand-alone NPV need not be optimal, because a shorter life frees up capital and gives
opportunity to reinvest sooner in another project with a positive net present value16.
There are two ways to tackle this problem. One simply considers the equipment to be part of a
repeat chain of replacement and compares the alternatives based on their total NPV over the
shortest common period of time.
The other, and more universal one, also uses a common time horizon, but this time the
period is one year. The method uses the annuity concept, converting the project's net present
value into an annual annuity payments stream over its expected life. The criterion for selecting
the highest-value project is called equivalent annual annuity (EAA) and its calculation derives
from Equations (3-5) and (3-6) as
EAA = NPV / AF (4-3)
For example, we may consider alternative two- and three-year investments with 2NPV =
€100 and 3NPV = €150. Assuming a discount rate c = 10%, one solution considers a choice
between three consecutive 2-year investments, which have an aggregate 3×2NPV = 100 + 100 /
(1 + 10%)2 + 100 / (1 + 10%)4 = €250.95, and two consecutive 3-year investments, with 2×3NPV =
150 + 150 / (1 + 10%)3 = €262.70. Having the highest NPV over the six years, the second option
should be selected.
Alternatively, equivalent annual annuities can be used. While a two-year project has an
annuity factor 2AF = (1 / 10%) - 1 / [10% × (1 + 10%)2] = 1.74, and therefore 2EAA = 100 / 1.74 =
€57.6, the three-year project uses an annuity factor 3AF = (1 / 10%) - 1 / [10% × (1 + 10%)3] =
2.49, resulting in 3 EAA = 150 / 2.49 = €60.3. Based on its highest annualized value, the second
option should thus also be selected, consistently with the common investment horizon method.
16 Brigham, Ehrhardt (2011, pp. 406-408).
Business Management for Logisticians
115
5. PROJECT CASH FLOWS
In order to make correct capital budgeting assessments, decision-makers need to estimate
the two distinct types of variable appearing in the net present value-determining Equation (3-4).
Namely, they are the opportunity cost of capital, addressed in Chapter 7, and the periodical cash
flows which will be discussed in this Chapter.
5.1 FORECASTING CAPITAL BUDGETING CASH FLOWS
The only relevant cash flows that should be taken into account when appraising capital
budgeting decisions are the ones that can be impacted by the decision being assessed. This
simple principle implies several important points to bear in mind:
• Sunk costs. All past cash flows (such as the costs incurred in research) must be ignored,
because they cannot be influenced by the decision. The same regards irrevocable
commitments, even if the payment is due in the future.
• Differential cash flows. Any future cash flows that do not vary with the decision are
irrelevant. In the case of preference decisions, it is therefore sufficient to consider the
differential cash flows only and select the alternative which, compared to all others, shows
a positive net present value.
• Opportunity costs. Any potential benefits foregone by the decision must be taken into
account as an opportunity cost.
• Taxation. The value of projects is usually impacted by taxation, sometimes to a substantial
degree. All cash flows therefore need to be assessed on an after-tax basis.
Assume, for example, that there is an opportunity to spend €100,000 in order to save €6,000
perpetually on an existing project, with a 5% opportunity cost of capital and a 20% tax rate. In the
first place, it is completely irrelevant what the project has cost in the past, as that is a sunk cost.
Second, it does not matter what the forecasted cash flows actually are, because the project being
considered just impacts the difference in cash flows. Finally, the annual €6,000 saving will
Business Management for Logisticians
116
increase operating income by the same amount, resulting in a 20% × 6,000 tax liability. Upon
applying Equation (3-7), the project therefore has an NPV = (.80 × 6,000 / .05) - 100,000 = -
€4,000 and should be declined.
It may be noted that any decision, including screening, can be posited as a selection
between alternatives, because there always exists the option of taking no action.
Essentially, cash flows must always be taken into account, rather than accounting values,
and their timing has to be estimated properly. Also, any cash flows related to costs of financing,
such as interest payments, may not be included, because they are already being considered as
an opportunity cost by means of the discount rate.
Starting from these fundamental rules, it is usually necessary to consider several distinct
categories of forecasted cash flows when considering capital budgeting projects:
• Net initial investment outlay. Usually appears at the beginning of the project, and can be
positive as well as negative (when disinvestments are considered). It should include cash
expenditures for new capital assets, changes in net working capital, sale of any assets
being replaced, as well as possible tax impacts.
• Net operating cash flows. Normally appear as recurring over the whole useful life of the
project, and must include the taxation of operations.
• Non-operating cash flows. They can occur at various points during the life of the project,
and may include repair or overhaul costs, changes in working capital, insurance charges
etc.
• Net salvage value. Is the after-tax net cash flow from terminating the project at the end of
its useful life, and normally includes the proceeds of asset sales, cleanup and removal
expenses, release of working capital, and tax impacts.
Accordingly, one may assess a replacement project as follows: The firm currently uses
equipment with a remaining 4-year useful life, after which it would be fully depreciated and
operationally worthless. Its annual depreciations are €10,000 and it can now be sold for €30,000.
A replacement is being proposed, with a new and more efficient machine that would cost
€140,000, depreciated straight-line over seven years. After four years it is expected to have a
value equal to its book value. It would save the firm €24,000 annually in operating costs and
Business Management for Logisticians
117
decrease the need for inventory by €30,000. The firm's tax rate is 25%, its opportunity cost of
capital is 8%.
The net initial investment outlay cash flows include purchase of the new equipment
(-€140,000), sale of the old equipment (+€30,000), its tax impact due to the fact that the sale is
below a book value of €40,000, i.a. at a €10,000 loss (the firm saves 25% × 10,000 = €2,500 tax,
which is a positive cash flow), and the release of cash from inventory worth €30,000.
The difference in operating cash flows in each of the four years will be +€24,000, but these
have to be adjusted by the 25% × 24,000 = -€6,000 tax liability. The firm will also charge €20,000
depreciations, resulting in a 25% × 20,000 = +€5,000 tax saving. On the other hand, because of
its sale, it will lose the entitlement to depreciate the old equipment, and therefore have to pay
25% × 10,000 = -€2,500 more tax compared to the alternative of keeping it in on the books.
Finally, in four years time, the firm will be able to sell the new equipment (+€60,000), with no
tax impact, as the expecting selling price is equal to the book value. There also needs to be a
reversion of the initial working capital adjustment to its initial state, meaning a negative cash flow
of -€30,000, because if the old equipment were retained, the cash would have been released at
this point of time.
Summarily, the project cash flow forecasts are CF0 = -€77,500, CF1 = CF2 = CF3 = €20,500,
and CF4 = €50,500, which gives a positive net present value NPV = €12,450 when comparing the
alternatives of replacement with non-replacement. The equipment should therefore be replaced.
5.2 UNCERTAINTY IN PROJECT CASH FLOW FORECASTS
One major issue concerning the forecasts of future cash flows in capital budgeting projects
relates to the uncertainty in their estimates17. The risk may be due to external, as well as internal
factors. It is particularly important when projects involve large capital budgets and long time
horizons. In such cases, it may be useful to employ methods assessing this risk. Broadly, they
can be categorized in two groups, sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis18.
17 Anderson, Sweeney, Williams (2016, pp. 622-627).
18 Mun (2006, pp. 142-151).
Business Management for Logisticians
118
Sensitivity analyses study how the project's net present value would be impacted due to
changes in the estimate of a particular risk factor. Risk factors are the values that need to be
forecasted in order to make the cash flow estimates, and - under circumstances - may include
variables including the number of product units sold, the selling price, various cost components,
efficiency-related parameters such as claims and spoilage, but also interest, exchange or tax
rates.
It is characteristic of sensitivity analyses that NPV sensitivity towards any single factor is
investigated, assuming all other forecasts remain unchanged. For example, we may find that a
decrease in forecasted unit sales by 10% may reduce NPV by €3.2 million, that of 20% by €6.4
million, etc. On the other hand, if energy costs are 10% higher than expected, this may reduce
NPV by €1.4 million, while a 20% increase would reduce NPV by €2.8 million.
There are two common ways to display sensitivity analysis results. Setting up and
interpreting a tornado diagram is easier, because it simply consists of horizontal bar charts
comparing the NPV changes based on equal relative changes, positive or negative (such as -
10% and +10%), of each risk factor, ranking them vertically from highest to lowest.
Figure 27. Tornado diagram
Source: Vlachý (2018, p. 111), modified.
4,000 3,000 2,000 2,000 1,000 1,000 3,000 4,000
-€ €
0
Unit price
Unit sold
Unit costs
WACC
Tax rate
Business Management for Logisticians
119
A sensitivity graph charts the complete functional relationships between percentage
changes in each factor and the corresponding NPV changes. A steeper slope of a function
indicates higher sensitivity. This is a more computionally demanding approach, but provides
deeper insights on the risk profiles, in particular when some of the functional relationships are not
linear.
Figure 28. Sensitivity graph
Source: Vlachý (2018, p. 110), modified.
It is also possible to calculate break-even points. These are defined as the value of any
risk factor that would result in the project's net present value exactly equal to zero. It is usually
easy to calculate them using iteration. Break-even analysis appeals to many managers, because
it provides them with an intuitively coherent measure of the margin of safety in a project.
For example, a project proposal can forecast 300,000 product unit sales every year, resulting in a
positive net present value, but it would still break even when only 220,000 units are sold.
This may provide the ultimate decision-makers with sufficient confidence to approve the proposal.
-30% -20% -10% 30% 0% 20% 10%
€ 2,000
€ 4,000
€ 6,000
€ 8,000
€ 10,000
-€ 2,000
-€ 4,000
-€ 6,000
-€ 8,000
-€ 10,000
Unit price Unit sold Tax rate WACC Unit costs
Business Management for Logisticians
120
Whatever its form may be, sensitivity analysis is useful to assess and compare the
relative impacts of particular risks. Its findings can then be used to make adjustments to project
proposals improving their risk characteristics, or take decisions on mitigation strategies
and contingency plans.
In contrast to sensitivity analyses, scenario analysis considers more complex - and thus
realistic - situations when more variables are changed simultaneously to provide a particular
scenario. A number of such possible state of the world can be presented to managers, with each
drawing attention to variables that are vital to a project's success. Sometimes, generally
conceived optimistic, pessimistic and most likely scenarios are developed, while an alternative
approach prefers to focus on the consequences of particular events, such as a downturn i
n the business cycle, bad weather, or a supply chain disruption.
Statistical simulations (sometimes called Monte Carlo simulations) are an extension
of scenario analysis in that a complete distribution of key factors in the project is created
and a computer uses random number generation and a valuation model to calculate a multitude
of possible scenarios, which can then be thoroughly analyzed using statistical methods19.
This facilitates a much better understanding of project risks than either simple scenatio analysis,
or sensitivity analysis.
19 Mun (2006, pp. 73-85).
Business Management for Logisticians
121
6. FINANCIAL PLANNING
In contrast to capital budgeting, which concerns individual project decisions and tends to be
decentralized in most firms, financial planning relates to firms' overall strategies. Long-term
planning falls under the direct authority of senior management, often under close shareholders'
supervision.
Any business needs to develop plans for the future and finance lies at the heart of the
planning process. To ensure that limited resources are used as effectively as possible, managers
must carefully evaluate the financial implications of each possible course of action.
Developing plans for a business involves the following consequential steps:
• Setting the aims and objectives of the firm. The primary objective is usually
maximisation of shareholder wealth.
• Identifying the available options. Looking in the long term, these options would
constitute various possible strategies.
• Selecting an option (strategy) in the context of developing long-term plans. Each will be
considered with an assessment of the impact on future financial standing.
• Developing short-term plans. Ensures that day-to-day management decisions
and actions are consistent with the long-term plans.
Financial forecasts play a vital role in the final two steps of the planning process:
the evaluation of long-term strategies and the development of short-term plans. All three
main financial statements, i.e. a projected balance sheet, a projected income statement
and a projected cash flow statement may be used for planning purposes. So-called pro-forma
(or forecasted) financial statements, used primarily for long-term planning, then provide
a comprehensive picture of the expected future financial position, profitability and liquidity,
facilitating comparisons between the different strategies.
Broadly speaking, the statements employ similar methods and principles used
for conventional financial statements. In principle, however, short-term projections tend to focus
on the cash budget, because of the prevailing concern about liquidity, while long-term forecasts
concentrate on the balance sheet, due to its representation of value.
Business Management for Logisticians
122
There is also a difference between preparing pro-forma statements for relatively short,
and long time horizons. While it is often viable to prepare them in some detail in the shorter term,
simpler and less detailed statements are usually provided over longer periods, when less reliable
information is available and the costs of preparation would be inadequate.
The performance and position revealed by the projected financial statements always needs
to be critically examined. On the one hand, managers should always ask how the projections
were developed, what underlying assumptions were made and whether all relevant items have
been included, i.e. whether the forecasts are reliable. On the other hand, they need to be
confident that the firm's development under the plan is sustainable by asking questions such as:
• Are the cash flows satisfactory to meet all commitments, including contingencies?
• Is there a need for additional financing and is it feasible to obtain?
• Is the level of borrowing acceptable in terms of the firm's standing with creditors?
• Is the return on shareholders' investment satisfactory in relation to the returns involved?
• Does the firm use its assets efficiently?
The sustainability assessment can be made by analyzing financial ratios calculated from the
pro-forma statements, and making adjustments to the plan when necessary. Financial planning
therefore constitutes a process of evaluating the impact of alternative investing and financing
decisions, often with multiple feedbacks, as illustrated by Figure 6.1.
Business Management for Logisticians
123
Figure 29. Interaction of financial planning decisions
Source: Emery, Finnerty, Stowe (2007, p. 703), modified
Property, plant and equipment
Output
Inventories
Operating income
Net income
Retained earnings Dividends
Cash flow from operations
Internal cash generation
External funds requirements
External equity requirement
Net borrowing requirement
Debt repayment
Variable inputs
Demand
Capital budget
Long-term debt
Terms of issues
Total debt
Additional short-term debt
Capital expenditure
Sales revenue
Taxes
Interest expense
Noncash charges
Capital budgeting policy
Capital structure policy
Liquidity policy
Financing policy
Working capital increase
Business Management for Logisticians
124
Financial plans are updated on a regular basis, according to a planning cycle.
Each update appends the latest available information and renews the planning horizon. This is
one year or less for short-term plans and usually around five years for long-term plans, even
though this horizon may be substantially longer for some industries. Short-term plans may be
updated monthly, weekly, and even daily, long-term plans are usually updated annually
or quarterly.
6.1 FINANCIAL FORECAST
The starting point with most financial forecasts is a forecast of sales. Sales are a factor
that normally sets a limit to business growth and determines the level of operating activity.
When forecasting sales, conditions of the general economy, industry and competition are
considered. Approaches may be qualitative, such as sales force polling, expert panels
or consumer surveys, as well as quantitative, ranging from trend analyses to econometric
models. Often, seasonality (for short-term plans) or business cycles (for long-term plans) need to
be considered.Cash Budgeting
The most common tool of short-term financial planning is the cash budget, which
forecasts the firm's cash inflows and outflows during the planning horizon20. That allows
projection of cummulative cash balances and the planning of short-term transactions used to
cover cash shortfalls or use cash surpluses. A positive net cash flow can increase the cash
balance, reduce outstanding loans, finance the purchase of short-term liquid securities, or be
used elsewhere in the business. Conversely, negative net cash flows can reduce cash, or be
offset with additional borrowing or the sale of liquid securities.
Cash inflows are usually tied to sales, but also depend on the proportion between cash
and credit sales, where, in turn, the time delays involved in collecting depend on credit terms
and payment patterns. Some variable cash outflows, such as materials purchases or energy,
also usually depend on sales, while other cash expenditures, such as rent payments, are fixed
and do not fluctuate with current sales.
20 Garrison, Noreen, Brewer (2018, pp. 380-384).
Business Management for Logisticians
125
A simple example of a monthly cash budget can be illustrated as follows: A firm currently
(at year's beginning) has a €10,000 cash balance, which it considers minimum, while it does not
want to hold cash exceeding €20,000. Its cash sales are expected to be €80,000 in January,
growing by 3% every month, except July and October, when sales fall by 60%, reverting
to the June sales in November. Variable costs amount to 40% of sales, paid on 30-day credit,
fixed monthly costs (excluding depreciation) are €40,000. In March, a tax liability of €18,000 for
the previous year will have to be paid, and a new machine will be purchased for €50,000 in June.
The following Figure shows the free cash flow, as well as cummulative cash forecast from
operations for the next 12 months:
Figure 30. Monthly cash budget
Source: own study
Decisions then have to be taken and cash flows included in the budget regarding short-
term financial transactions. In compliance with its cash management policy, the firm may
consider negotiating a 4-month €10,000 deposit from February, additional deposits in April and
May, followed by a 2-month loan, etc.
Some of the cash flows in a cash budget tend to be quite predictable, while the timing of
others is rather uncertain; this requires firms to hold cash in precautionary reserve, as explained
in the context of working capital management in Chapter 8.
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cash 10,000 18,932 29,332 23,244 36,713 51,787 18,512 -2,939 -9,552 20,932 39,539 59,539 81,525
Sales 77,670 80,000 82,400 84,872 87,419 90,041 92,742 55,654 55,645 92,742 95,524 98,390 101,34
Variable cost -31,068 -32,000 -32,949 -33,949 -34,967 -36,016 -37,097 -22,258 -22,258 -37.097 -38,210 -39,356
Fixes coast -40,000 -40,000 -40,000 -40,000 -40,000 -40,000 -40,000 -40,000 -40,000 -40,000 -40,000 -40,000
Tax -18,000 -50,000
NCF 8.932 10,400 -6,088 13,469 15,073 -33,274 -21,452 -6,613 30,484 18,427 20,180 21.986
Business Management for Logisticians
126
6.2 LONG TERM FINANCIAL PLANNING
Two methods are commonly used for long-term planning over one year: the percent of
sales method, which is the simplest one, and full forecasted financial statements.
The percent of sales method (often called AFN, for Additional Funds Needed) is a crude
but practical way to estimate the funds required to finance growth21. It is much easier to apply
than forecasting the complete financial statements, but provides only balance sheet forecasts.
Its main assumption is that any growth in sales requires a growth of operating assets, i.e.
trade receivables, inventory and fixed assets. At the same, some working capital financing arises
spontaneously, through an increase of trade payables and accruals. Additional financing comes
from earnings retention. Any remaining financing that is needed must come from other sources,
such as additional borrowing or issuing new equity. Accordingly it is possibly to calculate net
additional external financing as
Additional financing needed = Required increase in assets - Increase in liabilities -
Increase in retained earnings (6-1)
In its simplest form, the method takes the following assumptions:
• Expenses including taxes can be expressed as a fixed percentage of sales; in other words,
the net profit margin on sales m remains constant.
• All operating assets (i.e. current assets and non-current assets) can be expressed as a
constant percentage of sales OpA / S.
• Operating current liabilities (trade payables and accruals) are spontaneously growing
and can be expressed as a constant percentage of sales OpL / S.
• The dividend payout ratio p remains constant.
Forecasting any periodical growth rate in sales g = (St - S0) / S0, Equation (6-1) can then be
itemized as
21 Brigham, Ehrhardt (2011, pp. 478-482).
Business Management for Logisticians
127
Additional financing needed = g OpA0 - g OpL0 - S0 (1 + g) m (1 - p) (6-2)
The resulting value needs to be assigned to particular sources of new financing, which
may include new short-term debt, long-term debt or equity, or any combination thereof.
This allows the construction of a pro-forma balance-sheet year by year over the whole planning
horizon. Using liquidity and leverage ratio analysis, adjustments to the plan are made as needed.
In principle, it is possible to adjust the financing structure decisions, the dividend payout ratio,
or the growth rate in sales to meet stipulated benchmarks.
Under circumstances, the method can be adjusted to allow for particular situations.
• Provided the firm has non-operating assets and liabilities, these would normally be
forecast at their current values (unless changes are made as part of management
decisions).
• Provided that non-current assets are not operating at full capacity, they need not
change until full capacity is reached.
• The dividend payout ratio may change, provided it is commensurate with the firm's
distribution policy
It should be noted that the growth rate in sales as well as the additional financing needed may
have negative values, which would imply a financing contraction. It is also possible to calculate
the self-supporting growth rate, which is the value of g in Equation (6-2) implying exactly zero
additional financing needed (in other words, it constitutes a break-even point); this may be of use
for firms that have limited access to external financing, or when such a reliance would be
considered too risky.
In contrast to the percent of sales method, the forecasted financial statement method
needs to simultaneously develop both pro-forma balance sheets and income statements. Usually,
its inputs include sales as well as other operating forecasts, such as in Figure 6.1. This makes
such a model much more realistic, but also difficult to handle. Besides, there needs to
be a resolution of feedbacks between the statements; for example, any adjustment of debt in the
balance sheet impacts interest expense, which in turn affects net income that may be retained,
but that would again require a recalculation of needed debt. It therefore becomes necessary to
use spreadsheet-based designs or automated forecasting modules of management information
systems (MIS) to prepare full forecasted statements.
Business Management for Logisticians
128
•
7. BUSINESS FINANCING
As we know already, one key function of financial management that normally arises
in the process of financial planning regards strategic decisions on business financing. Taking
such decisions influences business profitability, but also business risk.
Generally, firms' financing involves several sources. Short-term financing will be addressed
in more detail in Chapter 8. It uses instruments with a maturity shorter than one year,
but depending on the firm's working capital financing policies, some portions thereof may end up
being used for quite long periods, i.e. effectively as part of its capital. Long-term financing is
summarily called capital and will be addressed in this Chapter, which will first focus on the
possible sources of capital and financing instruments, and then on actual capital structure
decisions, their impacts, and the assessment of opportunity costs of capital for capital budgeting
decisions.
7.1 SOURCES OF CAPITAL
In order to exist, any firm needs equity, which represents the risk capital provided
by the owners, and forms the backbone of its financial structure22. For firms that are organized
as companies (the exact designation varies in different countries), equity takes the form
of ordinary shares of stock. There is no fixed rate of dividend and ordinary shareholders will
receive a dividend only if there is a net income available for distribution after all other investors,
such as creditors and preferred stockholders, have received their due. Similarly, they will receive
any proceeds from asset disposals if the business is wound up only after all other investors have
received their entitlements. Because of the high risks associated with ordinary shares, investors
will normally expect a relatively high rate of return.
However, there are two specific features, which may attract shareholders. One limits the
potential losses to the amount invested or committed to invest (this legal arrangement is called
22 Tirole (2006, pp. 75-102).
Business Management for Logisticians
129
limited liability), the other is the unlimited upside of potential returns. Ordinary shareholders also
control the business through their woting rights, which gives them the power to elect the directors
and to remove from office (the exact mechanism of exercising shareholder control also varies
under different legal environments).
From the firms' perspective, equity is attractive mainly because - in contrast to interest
and principal payments on debt - dividends are discretionary and firms can avoid paying them
when they lack the means to do so. Only when equity is completely depleted, would the firm be
obliged to file for bankruptcy. On the other hand, the opportunity cost of equity is higher than
that of debt, due to its higher risk for investors.
Firms obtain their equity from two sources: One is paid-in equity, provided by investors
at inception and - possibly - later in the life of the company when it needs to fund its further
growth. When the shares are distributed to the public, this typically entails significant one-time
flotation costs, which puts up the cost of equity, and thus motivates firms to use this form of
raising capital only when having a strong business case. Alternatively - and much more routinely
- firms supplement their equity with retained earnings, still bearing the opportunity cost, but
avoiding the transaction costs.
Beside ordinary shares (or common stock), some firms use preferred stock. These are
shares that normally pay a fixed dividend (making them similar to debt), but usually never repay
principal and firms may safely withhold dividends, provided common stockholders are not paid
either (making them similar to equity). Combining various features of financing instruments,
preferred stock is just one - admittedly most widely used - of the hybrid financing class, which
includes more exotic instuments such as convertibles and warrants.
Beyond equity, the second basic category of capital is long-term debt. Lenders enter into
a contract with firms, which states the interest rate, dates of interest payments, principal
repayments and - where relevant - additional agreements increasing security for the lender,
such as colleteral and loan covenants, which are restrictions on the business that form part of the
loan contract. For example, covenants may impose the right of lenders to receive regular
financial reports, an obligation to insure assets or not to sell certain assets, a restriction on further
borrowing, or a commitment to not exceed particular financial ratios. Assets pledged as collateral
may be seized and sold by the lenders in the event of default.
Business Management for Logisticians
130
Debt that is directly associated with a particular asset or set of assets belongs to
the category of asset-based finance23. Characteristically, it is then sufficient for lenders to focus
primarily on the revenue-generation capacity or liquidation value of such assets separately from a
full analysis of the firm. In some cases, loans are then granted without recourse to any other
obligations of the borrowing entity, assuming the respective assets' effective legal separation.
There are many distinct types of asset-based financing, including lease financing, which is most
common, as well as project financing, forfaiting, mortgage financing, commercial real estate
financing and loan securitization.
It is possible to issue loan capital that is subordinated to another class of loan capital on
the books. In such a case, holders of subordinated loan capital will not receive interest or
principal repayment until the claims of lenders ranked above them are met (such commitments
are called junior and senior, respectively).
Long-term debt can be provided directly by banks or other lenders, or it can be floated in
the capital market, taking the form of bonds. Generally, the opportunity cost of taking debt is
lower than that of using equity, because of the lower risk perceived by investors. Additionally, the
cost of debt decreases due to the fact that interest expenses - in contrast to dividends - are
deducted when determining the firm's earnings before taxes, which reduces after-tax cost. In
other words, taking debt creates a tax shield up to the maximum amount of taxes due by the
company from operations24.
23 Emery, Finnerty, Stowe (2007, pp. 608-633).
24 Some tax authorities constrain the tax shields firms may effectively use, using thin capitalization rules. In particular, these are aimed at loans extended between affiliated firms.
Business Management for Logisticians
131
7.2 CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND ITS COST
In the rudimentary case that a firm's capital consists of just two components, debt D and
equity E (each term stipulates their market values), with a debt ratio L = D / (D + E), its cost can
be determined as the weighted average of the component costs Dc and Ec, called the weighted
average cost of capital (WACC):
WACC = L × Dc + (1 - L) × Ec (7-1)
Provided the weighted average cost of capital uses realistic component costs, it can be
considered a fair estimate of the firm's opportunity cost of capital and thus used as the discount
rate for the assessment of its capital budgeting projects (by discounting estimated project cash
flows) or for the firm's valuation (by discounting forecasted free cash flows).
There are various ways of estimating the component costs of capital, but it has to be stressed
that opportunity costs always have to be applied. If, for example, the firm has taken a long-term
loan several years ago with 7% interest, its opportunity cost will not be 7%, but the rate at which it
would be borrowing now that might be substantially higher or lower. Similarly, there is an
opportunity cost to using equity even though there is no obligation to pay dividends, because the
capital could be used to earn a return if used otherwise.
• The cost of debt can be estimated from the yield on the debt of the firm, or a firm with a
similar risk profile (rating). This is easiest to determine for companies that have bonds
traded in the capital market, where an existing bond price allows calculation of the bond's
yield to maturity. Alternatively, other firms' bonds with comparable rating can be used, and
when no such instrument is available, it is possible to survey banks for their current loan
quotations.
• When deriving costs of debt from market-determined yields Dr, it is important to consider
the tax shield, which reduces the cost of debt Dc from the perspective of the borrower or
bond issuer. Designating the applicable marginal tax rate τ, this gives the relationship Dc =
(1 - τ) Dr, which can than be instated in Equation (7-1).
• The cost of equity estimate is often based on the capital asset pricing model (CAPM),
which introduces a measure of market risk sensitivity β to derive a simple linear
relationship between the risk of stock and its expected return as Er = Fr + β (Mr - Fr), where
Fr constitutes the risk-free rate and Mr the expected return of the stock market as a whole. It
Business Management for Logisticians
132
must be noted that raising new equity externally - in contrast to earnings' retention -
typically involves substantial flotation costs, which increases the cost of equity Ec above
the investors'
yield Er.
For example, a firm may have a target debt ratio L = 40% and face a marginal tax rate τ =
20%. It has a traded bond in the market, whose yield to maturity is Dr = 5%, the yield to maturity
of a treasury bond (i.e. the market's trisk-free rate) is Fr = 2%, the company stock's β = 1.2 and
the expected average return of the stock market is Mr = 7%. The stock's expected return will then
be Er = 2% + 1.2 (7% - 2%) = 8%, and its opportunity cost of capital WACC = 40% × (1 - 20%) ×
5% + (1 - 40%) × 8% = 6.4%.
While firms have a number of different opportunities to source capital, the primary problem
they need to resolve relates to the optimal debt-equity composition of capital. In other words, they
need to determine their target debt ratio L.
Similarly to other issues in finance, such a decision entails a trade-off between risk and
expected return. On the one hand, increasing leverage intensifies the firm's use of the tax
shield, even without considering the lower opportunity cost due to debt being less risky than
equity. On the other hand, any increase in debt increases the likelyhood of bankruptcy in the
case of adverse business developments which might result in capital depletion.
In theory, optimal capital structure for any particular company can be derived by combining
the impacts of several factors:
• Increasing debt increases the return on equity, provided the return on assets remains
unchanged.
• Increasing debt reduces the taxes paid by the company, because interest expenses
are deductible when calculating taxable income.
• Increasing debt increases the opportunity cost of equity, because the fixed claim of
debtholders causes the residual claim of stockholders to become riskier.
• Increasing debt increases the cost of debt, because it raises the probability of financial
distress, and thus the default risk on the debt.
• Very high levels of debt, which suggest a substantial risk of bankruptcy, may also lead to
the reduction of free cash flow due to the loss of some customers, i.e. sales, and
Business Management for Logisticians
133
potentially also production efficiency (tighter credit standards by suppliers, loss of key
employees).
The first two factors encourage firms to take on debt, the remaining ones make additional debt
progressively expensive. In the aggregate, this leads to a point where the costs outweight the
benefits of leverage, which should determine the firm's optimal capital structure.
In addition, asymmetric information between shareholders and managers leads to
shareholders perceiving capital-related decision, such as the forms of raising new capital, or
dividend distributions, as signals, which in turn impact the stock price.
Suppose, for example, that the firm knows of a highly profitable business opportunity requiring
a substantial capital investment. Its current shareholders would then have a strong incentive to
raise new debt, rather than equity, because they would not have to share the profits with new
investors. On the other hand, knowledge of potential issues that might reduce future earnings
encourages dilution through issuing new equity. Accordingly, the announcement of a stock
offering is often taken as a signal that the firm's prospects as seen by its own managers are not
good; conversely, a debt offering is taken as a positive signal.
While useful for a broader understanding of these factors and their impacts, it is unrealistic to
assume that most firms would actually use a quantitative economic model to optimize their capital
structure25. In practice, they usually combine quite simple rules:
• Firms benchmark their target capital structure to be in line with that of comparable
successful firms. This means that there tends to be a characteristic capital structure for
firms operating in the same market, in the same industry, with a similar structure of assets,
with similar business opportunities, and with a comparable ownership structure.
• Within bounds, firms raise the capital they need according to a pecking order, considering
the existence of flotation costs and asymmetric information. Broadly speaking, they first
raise capital internally by reinvesting net income and selling short-term marketable
securities. When that supply of funds has been exhausted, they will issue debt, and only as
a last resort will they issue common stock.
25 For a more detailed explanation of the theoretical concepts of capital structure, as well as empirical evidence on firm's actual approaches, see Baker, Martin (2011).
Business Management for Logisticians
134
• In order to mitigate the signaling problem, many publicly traded companies try to maintain a
reserve borrowing capacity, i.e. use more equity in normal times than is suggested by
the risk-cost trade-off or pecking order, so that debt can be used if an especially good
investment opportunity comes along.
Business Management for Logisticians
135
8. WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Working capital is the part of a firm's capital that is short-term in nature, in other words, current,
and is used in its day-to-day operations. It therefore relates to the firm's operations management.
The main elements of working capital thus include:
Operating current assets
• Cash (usually in part)
• Inventory
• Trade receivables
Operating current liabilities
• Trade payables
• Accruals
The amount invested in working capital at any point of time can then be assessed in the balance
sheet by subtracting the current assets and current liabilities, i.e.
Working capital = Operating current assets - Operating current liabilities (8-1)
Besides operating current assets and operating current liabilities, firms may own some
non-operating current assets or liabilities, such as marketable securities held in reserve, which
would not be used in the day-to-day operations of the company, and thus considered part
of working capital. Bank overdrafts and short term loans are also not considered operating, while
judgement needs to be employed to determine what part of cash (including current account
balances) is directly involved in operations.
The size and composition of working capital varies between different industries, and the
investment can be substantial. A manufacturing business, for example, will often invest heavily in
raw material, work in progress and finished goods. It will also normally sell its goods on credit,
giving rise to trade receivables. A retailer, meanwhile, holds only one form of inventory, finished
goods, which have been furthermore purchased on credit, and will sell the goods for cash rather
than on credit. Many service businesses hold virtually no inventory.
Business Management for Logisticians
136
8.1 CASH CONVERSION CYCLE
Working capital represents a net investment in short-term operating assets. These assets
are continually flowing in and out of the business and are essential for day-to-day operations.
The various elements of working capital are interrelated and can be perceived as part of a cycle
illustrated by Figure 16.1., which is commonly called the cash conversion cycle, or working
capital cycle.
Figure 31. Cash conversion cycle
Source: Vlachý (2018, p. 139)
Accordingly, cash is used to pay trade payables due on some date after the delivery of
materials, which then become inventory in different stages of production until finished goods are
sold on credit, resulting in a delay before cash is received from the sales. Receipt of cash
completes the cycle.
It is possible to quantify the cash conversion cycle in terms of the average investment
time (in days) for the main working capital elements and, based on those figures, calculate the
total time needed to finance the cash conversion cycle. Typically, average investment time is
estimated from the firm's financial statements, using the following ratios26:
Average collection period = Average trade receivables / Sales per day (8-2)
26 The ratios are often called simply average days receivable, average days payable, and average days in inventory.
Selling goods
Inventory conversion period Average collection period
Payables defeeral period Cash conversion period
Receiving materials Collecting cash
Paying for materials
Business Management for Logisticians
137
Payables deferral period = Average payables / CGS + SGA per day (8-3)
Inventory conversion period = Average inventory / CGS per day (8-4)
The average balance sheet items (receivables, payables, inventory) are normally
determined as the average of beginning- and end-of-period values, daily costs and revenues as
periodical totals divided by the number of days in the period. Accordingly, if a firm had sales of
€150 million in the last quarter, with €50 million receivables in its beginning and €60 million in its
end, its average collection period can be calculated as [(50+60) / 2] ÷ [150 / 90] = 33 days.
The management of working capital is an essential part of the firm's short-term planning
process, but the structure of the cash conversion cycle can also be influenced by particular
investments, such as in monitoring systems or inventory management infrastructure.
8.2 MANAGING TRADE RECEIVABLES
Selling goods or services on credit will result in costs incurred by the firm. These include
the costs of credit administration, of bad debts, and financing costs. These must be weighted
against the benefits of increased sales revenue from customers obtaining the incentive of
delayed payment. In fact, outside the retail business, selling on credit is the norm.
When a firm offers to sell on credit, however, it needs to have clear policies regarding:
• Which customers should receive credit
• How much credit should be offered
• What credit terms should be offered; these involve the length of credit and, possibly,
whether discounts will be offered for prompt payment
• What collection and risk-mitigation policies should be adopted
The first two policies relate primarily to the customer's credit standing, which is influenced by
a number of factors, financial as well as non-financial in nature. These may be assessed using
various sources of information, including trade or bank references, published financial
statements, credit agencies, or mutual relationship history.
Business Management for Logisticians
138
The length of credit depends primarily on custom within the industry, competition
and bargaining power, credit capacity, and marketing strategy. To encourage prompt payment,
a business may offer cash discounts.
The risk of non-payment is also mitigated by efficient collection policies, which include
customer relationship management, prompt issuance of invoices, receivable monitoring
and appropriate follow-up action. It can also be reduced by measures such as advance payment,
netting, third-party guarantees or insurance.
8.3 CASH MANAGEMENT AND WORKING CAPITAL FINANCING
The day-to day management of cash is planned and controlled by means of the cash
budget27. Most firms hold some amount of cash. Broadly speaking, there are three reasons why
they do so:
• To meet day-to-day commitments. Generally, any payments should be paid when they
fall due, which requires cash; failure to meet current commitments may jeopardize the
firm's survival. Strictly speaking, this is the only part of cash balances that should be
considered working capital.
• As a precaution. Whenever any future cash inflows or outflows are uncertain (and they
always are, to some degree), it is prudent to hold cash in reserve.
• To exploit opportunities. Holding cash facilitates making use of bargain opportunities,
such as purchasing supplies at a discount or acquiring the business of a competitor in
financial distress.
The amount of cash needed for business varies significantly, depending particularly on:
• The nature of the business, including its seasonality;
• Opportunity costs of holding cash and availability of contingency borrowing or selling
liquid assets;
• Economic conditions, including inflation;
27 See also Chapter 6.
Business Management for Logisticians
139
• Relationships with suppliers providing trade credit, which may be stretched as a means
of obtaining cash.
These and other factors, including the degree of risk aversion by managers and shareholders,
determine the particular policies that firms use for their cash management and working capital
financing needs. Each impacts risk as well as profitability.
One policy decision relates to current asset holdings. Besides inventory and accounts
receivable, which are determined by separate policies, these include cash and marketable
securities held as substitute for cash. Possible policies range from relaxed to restrictive,
with a moderate policy lying between the two extremes. A relaxed policy means a high level of
assets and hence a low asset turnover ratio, resulting in a low return on equity, other things held
constant28.Conversely, a restrictive policy result in low current assets, a high turnover, and hence
a relatively high ROE.
It is to be noted that there are possibilities to decrease the net cost of holding current assets
without increasing the risk of cash shortage. These cash management techniques include:
• Holding marketable securities in lieu of cash. This generates some yield as a non-
operating investment, even if usually much lower than operating assets.
• Arranging formal or informal credit lines with banks. Even though this often entails
commitment fees, they are normally lower than the opportunity cost of holding cash.
• Taking steps to reduce float, for example by using electronic payments systems,
improving payments monitoring, and netting liabilities.
• Reducing the need for transaction balances on separate accounts by cutting down the
number of accounts used, or by cash pooling.
The asset holding policy combines with the working capital financing policy. This
determines what part of working capital should be financed short-term, and what should be
financed long-term. One factor to be considered is the firm's particular break-up of working
capital needs between those that are seasonal or cyclical, and those that are essentially
28 Formally, this pattern appears from the Du Pont equation stipulating that ROE = Profit margin × Total asset turnover × Equity multiplier = Net income / Sales × Sales / Total assets × Total assets / Equity (Brigham, Ehrhardt, 2011, pp: 106-107).
Business Management for Logisticians
140
permanent even at the low point of the cycle. Managers may then choose between several
approaches, illustrated in Figure 8.2.:
• Aggressive approach. This finances all temporary current assets and a substantial part of
permanent current assets short-term, aiming at a cost reduction due to the usually lower
cost of short-term financing, compared to long-term, while accepting the risk of a sudden
rate increase or liquidity squeeze.
• Conservative approach. In contrast to the aggressive approach, this minimizes risk by
financing all permanent current assets, as well as a part of the seasonal assets long-term.
Any temporary cash surpluses would be used to purchase low-risk marketable securities
and only a small amount of seasonal needs would be financed by overdraft.
• In practice, most firms ultimately prefer some compromise between these extremes. A
popular one uses some form of maturity matching (called also self-liquidating) approach,
which calls for matching asset and liability maturities. All of the fixed assets plus the
permanent current assets are financed with long-term capital, but temporary current assets
are financed with short-term debt. Strictly speaking, this should mean that inventory
expected to be sold in 30 days would be financed with a 30-day bank loan, while a building
expected to last for 15 years would be financed with a 15-year mortgage bond.
Business Management for Logisticians
141
Figure 32. Working capital financing policies
Source: Brigham, Ehrhardt (2011, p. 641)
To the extent needed, short-term financing of working capital can relate to particular
assets, or may constitute a general liability of the firm.
• Trade receivables can be turned into cash by either factoring them, or having sales
invoices or bills of exchange29 discounted, all of which are forms of short-term asset-based
finance. When negotiated on a non-recourse basis, these methods also transfer the risk of
non-payment. A simpler, less formal way of using receivables as security pledges accounts
receivable.
• Inventory may also be used as security for short-term debt, using methods such as trust
receipts or warehouse financing.
On an unsecured basis, firms may use
29 Nowadays, bills of exchange are used mainly in the domain of international trade.
b) Aggressive policy
time
Temporary current assets
Permanent current assets
Fixed assets
L-T financing
time
Temporary current assets
Permanent current assets
Fixed assets
L-T financing
time
Temporary current assets
Permanent current assets
Fixed assets
L-T financing
S-T financing S-T financing
a) Conservative policy c) Maturity matching
Business Management for Logisticians
142
• Bank overdrafts, which enable a business to maintain a negative balance on their bank
accounts. It is very flexible and typically easy to arrange, but usually limited in amount. It is
also repayable on demand, and may therefore constitute liquidity risk for the firm
• Short-term bank loans, providing more financing security, but less flexibility than
overdrafts.
• Commercial paper, which is a debt security placed in the market. This is restricted to a
comparatively small number of large companies that offer very good credit risk, but then
often gives the borrowing firms very competitive terms.
Business Management for Logisticians
143
9. INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
A firm may hold inventory for various reasons, the most common of which is to meet
the immediate day-to-day requirements of customers and production. However, it also often
holds more than is strictly necessary for this purpose in order to mitigate risks. The risk may
relate to the possibility that future supplies will be interrupted or scarce, or that their cost will
increase. Businesses that mine or trade commodities often try to benefit from holding large
quantities when prices are expected to rise, while production firms mostly consider the potential
costs of disruption. Broadly speaking, the reasons are quite similar to the rationale of holding
cash.
For some types of business, inventory represent a substantial proportion of their total assets.
For instance, a car dealership that rents its premises may have nearly all of its total assets in the
form of inventory. Manufacturers also tend to invest heavily in inventory as they need to hold
three types: raw materials, work in progress and finished goods, each representing
a particular stage in the production cycle. Furthermore, for firms with seasonal demand, the
level of inventory may vary substantially over the year.
Firms that hold inventory primarily to meet the day-to-day requirements of production, as well
as their customers, will normally seek to minimize the total amount of inventory. This is because
there are significant costs associated with holding inventory, including:
• Storage and handling costs;
• The cost of financing inventory, including opportunity costs;
• The costs of damages and obsolence.
Note that savings in the cost of financing due to minimizing inventory would be taken
into account while assessing the corresponding impact of shortening the cash conversion cycle,
but the remaining two items relate specifically to inventory management.
Given the potentially high cost of holding inventory, it may be tempting to believe that the firm
should aggressively minimize inventory, perhaps even keeping its level close to zero. However,
there are also costs that arise when the level of inventory is too low. Under circumstances,
these may include:
Business Management for Logisticians
144
• Loss of sales or customer goodwill. This is due to being unable to provide required goods
immediately.
• Higher purchasing or transport cost. This is due to buying or transporting at a higher
price in order to replenish inventory quickly.
• Forfeited production capacity or inefficient production. This is due to shortage of raw
materials or other supplies.
To help manage inventory, a number of procedures and techniques have been developed,
some of which will be introduced in the following paragraphs. They can be broadly divided into
inventory control systems and inventory forecasting models, even though in practical usage the
methods frequently combine and overlap.
9.1 MONITORING AND ORDERING SYSTEMS
A well-organized system of recording inventory movements is a key element in managing
inventory. This involves proper procedures for monitoring inventory purchases, delivery,
movements between storage areas and warehouses, as well as usages. Periodic checks have to
be made to ensure that the amount of physical stock corresponds with what is indicated by the
inventories' records. There also need to be clear procedures for inventory reordering, whose
determination includes the assessment of lead time, i.e. the time between the placing of an order
and the receipt of the goods, and the likely level of demand. Carrying additional stock in reserve
will increase the cost of holding inventory. This must, however, be weighted against the cost of
running out of inventory, in terms of lost sales, production problems and so on.
Adopting any particular level of inventory control requires a careful consideration of costs
and benefits. This may lead to the implementation of different control levels according to the
nature of inventory. The ABC system is thus based on the idea of selective control levels,
recognizing that some items are more important than others and it makes good sense to direct
costly management effort to those items. It classifies the most important items as type "A", where
the most frequent and precise periodical reviews and forecasts would be applied, while the less
important items fall in the "B" category, and the even less important inventory items are
designated "C".
Business Management for Logisticians
145
The red line method is probably the simplest inventory control technique imaginable.
It would nowadays be used by relatively small unsophisticated firms, or for "C" items under the
ABC system, such as those used by cleaning or maintenance service not critical for operations.
The method actually originated with stockkeepers making a red line in a container or rack, which
indicated the reorder point, i.e. the level of inventory at which the item should be reordered.
Its use is quite limited; for example, it will only work for items that are all stored in one place,
and the proper positioning of the reorder point (red line) requires a good deal of experience.
Various kinds of computerized inventory control systems are becoming more
and more common, benefitting from the broad availability of the necessary hardware
and software. They can keep track of the stocks of all items at any location and at all times,
and signal when reorder points have been reached. They use different components, such as
point-of-sale (POS) systems, common in retailing where cashiers key or scan every purchase
into the cash register, standardized bar-code systems that can be applied in the whole supply
chain, or radio-frequency identification (RFID) systems, allowing a real-time automated
tracking of each individual inventory item wherever it may be located.
Complex manufacturing systems in highly competitive industries, such as automotive,
require sophisticated coordination and scheduling of deliveries and further processing of large
numbers of components from multiple suppliers. Such firm typically rely on computer-based
materials requirement planning (MRP) systems, planning backward from the production
schedule to make purchases and manage inventory, combining information about the production
and the supply processes.
Somewhat related is the concept of just-in-time systems, based on the idea
that materials should arrive exactly as they are needed in the production process. While attractive
due to its potential to greatly reduce inventory stock, the method relies on several factors,
including very sophisticated coordination and planning, as well as tight control and outstanding
supplier relationships, which make it practicable only under specific circumstances.
Business Management for Logisticians
146
9.2 FORMAL INVENTORY MODELS
One of the best ways to ensure that inventory will be available to meet future production
and sales needs involves preparing realistic forecasts. These may be developed in various
ways including the use of statistical techniques30, as well as reliance on the opinions of sales and
marketing staff.
A formal statistical model widely used by practitioners is the economic order quantity
(EOQ) model. It relies on several simplifying assumptions, which result in a conveniently simple
solution:
The main assumption is that inventory usage occurs at a constant rate. This means
that, in time, the stock will follow the pattern shown in Figure 9.1.
Figure 33. Inventory pattern for the EOQ model
Source: Anderson, Sweeney, Williams (2016, p. 461), modified
If the starting level of inventory is Q (as quantity), it will fall at a constant rate from this
initial point, until it is fully depleted and needs to be replenished to its starting level. It can be
easily seen that the average amount of inventory in stock will be Q / 2 units.
30 A more detailed description of inventory models, including their derivations, is provided by Anderson, Sweeney and Williams (2016, pp. 457-505).
Time
Inventory
Q
Q/2
Average inventory
Q/S
Business Management for Logisticians
147
The goal of solving the EOQ model is to choose the inventory ordering amount,
and the order frequency, that gives the lowest total costs of maintaining the inventory.
These depend on two separate factors, the ordering cost and the carrying cost, defined as
follows:
• The ordering cost (F) is the fixed cost of placing and delivering an order, unrelated to the
size of the order. It includes the cost of paperwork and communication with the supplier,
but also any fixed costs passed on to the customer, including handling and - possibly -
shipping.
• The annual carrying cost (C) is the variable cost per unit related to the amount of stock
in inventory, including storage costs, as well as the opportunity cost of financing the stock.
Designating S the annual sales (or usage, if the inventory is used internally) in unit terms
and P the purchase price per unit, the total annual cost of inventory (TC) can be expressed as
the sum of total annual carrying cost and the total annual ordering cost, i.e.
TC = Q / 2 × C + S / Q × F (9-1)
Using calculus, it is easy to derive the optimal order size Q* minimizing the value of TC,
which is then called the economic order quantity (EOQ), and given by
EOQ = Q* = √2𝐹𝑆
𝐶 (9-2)
Once the optimal order size is known, it can be used to determine the corresponding
order frequency as S / Q*.
For example, a storage room may dispatch items of stock at a constant rate of S =
20,000 units per year with a F = € 200 cost of executing one order and a C = € 50 cost of carrying
a unit in inventory per year. Using Equation (9-2), we determine that the economic order quantity
is 400 units. The order frequency should be 20,000 / 400 = 50 times per year (i.e. approximately
every week) and the total cost is 400 / 2 × 50 + 20,000 / 50 × 200 = € 20,000.
Business Management for Logisticians
148
Besides constant inventory usage (which, for instance, precludes seasonality), the EOQ
model assumes instantaneous inventory replenishment (i.e. no lead times, which is usually
unattainable) and full certainty in future demand. A firm can protect itself from either by
maintaining safety stocks.
There are two ways in which these factors may be taken into account in a refined EOQ
model. First, it is possible to simply put the reorder point back in time by the expected lead time,
plus the time needed to maintain the minimum safety stock. Second, the firm can estimate the
expected cost of stockout (i.e. the expected annualized cost of the firm running out of stock,
determined as the probability of a stockout times the cost of a stockout), instating it as the third
component of the total annual cost in Equation (9-1) before optimizing the order quantity.
More sophisticated inventory models assume probabilistic demand. While being much
more realistic and universal than variants of the EOQ model (for instance, it is quite simple to
include factors such as seasonality), they are much more demanding in terms of using statistical
techniques, including the estimation of particular statistical distributions' parameters. Besides the
basic uncertainty in demand, they may consider other kinds of uncertainty, such as that in actual
lead time. The possible approaches to solving such models include stochastical calculus, as well
as computer-based Monte Carlo simulations.
Business Management for Logisticians
149
10. PRICING AND COSTING
A vital ingredient of business economics is pricing. Pricing decisions are based on several
considerations involving primarily the characteristic of demand. An essential counterpart
to pricing is the process of allocating costs to particular products. Combining the two allows
firms to take vital business decisions on the product level, such as whether it should commence
or terminate its production. This is a separate, but complementary view to capital budgeting,
and thus needs to be part of the managers' perspective.
Generally speaking, economics searches for the profit-maximizing price and output for the
good or service a business sells. Its profit from any decision is the difference between predicted
revenues and costs. Increasing output and sales will increase profit, as long as the extra revenue
exceeds the extra cost incurred. Conversely, the firm will profit by cutting output if the cost saved
exceeds the revenue given up. Accordingly, if economic conditions change, the firm's optimal
price and output will change according to the impact on its marginal revenues and marginal
costs, i.e. the additional revenue gained and additional cost incurred on an incremental unit of
production31.
Marginal profit is the difference between marginal revenues and marginal costs,
and it is easy to show that the firm should commence or continue production for as long as there
is a positive marginal profit, i.e. marginal revenues exceed marginal costs. When this ceases to
be the case, production should be terminated. This is clearly illustrated by Figure 18.1., which
matches the maximum of the total profit function with the break-even point of the marginal profit
function.
.
Business Management for Logisticians
150
Figure 34. Total profit and marginal profit
Source: Samuelson, Marks (2016, p. 32)
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Quantity
Total profit
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Quantity
Marginal profit
Business Management for Logisticians
151
10.1 DETERMINANTS OF DEMAND
The basic economic formulation simply derives demand (in terms of quantity) from a one
or more factors, usually including the price, in the form of a demand function. There are several
ways in which demand can be estimated and forecasted.
Data can be collected using
• Consumer surveys. Asking potential customers about their plans and preferences, face to
face, by telephone, online, etc. When executed properly they are useful in providing
structured answers, but have substantial limitations due to biases and response accuracy.
• Controlled market studies. They allow observations of the market in a structured manner,
usually by selling the same product in several test markets while varying key demand
determinants. The analyses may then be cross-sectional (with different parameters
in different markets at the same time) or based on time series (varying the decision
variables over time in the same market).
• Uncontrolled market studies. Using data mining techniques, the vast amounts
of information available in propriatory databases or online are collected to track and
analyze consumer behaviour patterns.
The data is then usually processed and interpreted using regression analysis, a set of
statistical techniques using past observations that best summarizes the relationships among key
economic variables, such as the demand function. Forecasting uses either structural models
which identify how variables depend on each other, or nonstructural models which look at
patterns over time.
Aside from exact quantitative methods that aim at determination of the demand curve,
managers should be aware of more general demand determinants, facilitating qualitative
judgement. Of these, the following ones are usually the most important:
Business Management for Logisticians
152
• Clearly, the good's own price is a key determinant of demand. The sensitivity of sales to
changes in the good's price is called price elasticity. Demand can thus be elastic or
inelastic, which impacts optimal pricing decisions.
• Close behind is the level of income of the potential buyer of the good or service. A
product is called a normal good if an increase in income raises its sales. However, for a
small category of goods, called inferior goods, an increase in income causes a reduction in
spending.
• A third set of factors affecting demand are the prices of substitute goods, which compete
with and can substitute for the good in question, and the prices of complementary
goods, wherean increase in demand for the one causes an increase of demand for the
other.
One common business practice that lets companies benefit from diverse consumer demand
determinants is price discrimination. This occurs when a firm sells the same good or service to
different buyers at different prices. Two conditions need to be met for price discrimination to be
effective.
• The firm must be able to identify market segments that differ with respect to price
elasticity of demand, because it profits by charging a higher price to the more inelastic
market segment.
• It must be capable to enforce the different prices paid by the different segments, which
means that the payers of higher prices must be unable to take advantage of the lower
prices.
10.2 PRODUCT COSTING
In order to properly assess their product-related business decisions, firms need to be
aware of the cost structure of their individual products and services. For the purpose
of allocating costs, on the most general level, these are normally classified as either direct
or indirect. Direct costs can be easily traced to a specific cost object, such as a product, indirect
costs cannot. Indirect costs include common costs, which are incurred to support a number
of cost objects, but cannot be traced to them individually.
Another cost classification characterizes cost behaviour. Total variable cost varies
in direct proportion to changes in the level of activity (this may be, for example, units produced,
Business Management for Logisticians
153
units sold, direct labour-hours or machine-hours). In contrast, a fixed cost remains constant,
regardless of changes in the level of activity. Finally, semivariable costs contain both variable
and fixed cost elements
Based on particular business characteristics, the methods used to obtain the necessary
information, which is usually integrated in managerial accounting, may differ quite substantially.
For example, most manufacturing companies separate their manufacturing costs into two direct
cost categories, direct materials and direct labour, and one indirect cost category, manufacturing
overhead. Nonmanufacturing costs are then often divided into selling costs, which can be either
direct or indirect, and common administrative costs.
Several different methods are used to allocate costs to products32:
Job-order costing is used in situations where many different products, each with
individual and unique features, are produced in any given period. This may relate to custom
manufacturing or repair shops, large-scale construction projects, as well as service industries
including law firms, accountants, hospitals, advertising agencies and movie studios. Under this
system, materials and labour are immediately charged to the particular job using job cost sheets,
manufacturing overhead is allocated to products using a pre-determined and common allocation
base, such as direct labour-hours, direct labour cost or machine-hours.
Job-order costing is a common method using absorption costing, in which all
manufacturing costs are assigned to units of products, while all nonmanufacturing costs are
treated as period costs. An alternative approach, called activity-based absorption costing,
assigns all manufacturing overhead costs to products based on the activities performed to make
those products. First, costs are accumulated in activity cost pools, which are only then assigned
to products.
In contrast to job-order costing, process costing is used when firms produce a
continuous flow of units that are indistiguishable from one another. It is still an absorption costing
method, but accumulates costs by department, assigning them uniformly to all identical units that
pass through the department during a period.
32 Garrisson, Noreen, Brewer (2018, pp. 67-109, 154-195, 310-361).
Business Management for Logisticians
154
Activity-based costing (ABC) broadens the allocation base above that of absorption
costing methods to include directly attributable nonmanufacturing costs, but retains
manufacturing overhead costs as period costs. It uses activity cost pools as buckets for the
accumulation of costs relating to an activity measure, such as the number of transactions or an
activity's duration. Besides unit-level, activities can be defined as batch-level, product-level or
customer-level, for example, allowing for the setting up of highly customized costing systems.
Business Management for Logisticians
155
References for PART B
- Anderson, D.R., Sweeney, D.J., Williams, T.A. et al. An Introduction to Management Science:
Quantitative Approaches to Decision Making. 14th Ed. Mason (OH): Cengage, 2016.
- Baker, H.K., Martin, G.S. Capital Structure and Corporate Financing Decisions: Theory,
Evidence and Practice. Hoboken (NJ): John Wiley, 2011.
- Brigham, E.F., Ehrhardt, M.C. Financial Management: Theory and Practice. 13th Ed. Mason
(OH): Cengage, 2011.
- Capiński, M., Zastawniak, T. Mathematics for Finance: An Introduction to Financial
Engineering. London: Springer, 2003.
- Damodaran, A. Applied Corporate Finance. 4rd Ed. Hoboken (NJ): John Wiley, 2005.
- Emery, D.R., Finnerty, J.D., Stowe, J.D. Corporate Financial Management. 3rd Ed. Upper
Saddle River (NJ): Pearson, 2007.
- Garrison, R.H., Noreen, E.W., Brewer, P.C. Managerial Accounting. 16th Ed. New York (NY):
McGraw-Hill, 2018.
- Gordon, M.J., Shapiro, E. Capital Equipment Analysis: The Required Rate of Profit.
Management Science, 3(1): 101-110, 1956.
- Hartman, J.C., Schafrick, I.C. The Relevant Internal Rate of Return. The Engineering
Economist, 49(2): 139-158, 2004.
- Mun, J. Modeling Risk. Hoboken (NJ): John Wiley, 2006.
- Popatia, K. IFRS & GAAP: Reconiling Differences Between Accounting Systems and
Assessing the Proposed Changes to the IFRS Constitution. Northwestern Journal of
International Law & Business, 38(1): 137-159, 2017.
- Samuelson, W.F., Marks, S.G. Managerial Economics. 8th Ed. Hoboken (NJ): John Wiley,
2015.
- Tirole, J. The Theory of Corporate Finance. Princeton (NJ): Princeton University Press, 2006.
- Vlachý, J. Corporate Finance. Praha: Leges, 2018
Business Management for Logisticians
156
List of figures for PART B
Figure21. Balance sheet (as of December 31, € million) ............................................................... 95
Figure22. Income statement (for 2018, € million) .......................................................................... 96
Figure23. Asset depreciation ......................................................................................................... 97
Figure24. Statement of cash flows (for 2018, € million) ................................................................ 99
Figure25. Calculation and use of free cash flow (for 2018, € million).......................................... 101
Figure26. Cash flows of a 5-period annuity ................................................................................. 106
Figure27. Tornado diagram .......................................................................................................... 118
Figure28. Sensitivity graph ........................................................................................................... 119
Figure29. Interaction of financial planning decisions ................................................................... 123
Figure30. Monthly cash budget .................................................................................................... 125
Figure31. Cash conversion cycle ................................................................................................. 136
Figure32. Working capital financing policies ................................................................................ 141
Figure33. Inventory pattern for the EOQ model........................................................................... 146
Figure34. Total profit and marginal profit ..................................................................................... 150
Business Management for Logisticians
157
Kornélia Lazányi
has received her PhD in 2010 in management sciences. Being the researcher of business
management for over 20 years, she has dedicated her full attention to organisational processes
and organisational behaviour. She regards organisations as open, sociotechnical entities, where
the human factor is at least as important as other assets. Hence, the first part of the book introduces
theories and practices related to the management of people.
Jan Vlachý
has spent most of his professional career in various executive and advisory positions involving finance
and financial services. He also has twenty years of teaching experience, mainly in international
programmes, published four monographs and over thirty peer-revieved papers . His research interests
include corporate finance, financial markets and financial history. Readers are welcome to contact him