Regresi Linear Tugas Prakiraan Fixx

Tugas 1Regresi Linear Periode (x)Data PengamatanData Prakiraan

12212218.4664.31522.781

22344618.4664.31527.096

339911718.4664.31531.411

4371614818.4664.31535.726

5382519018.4664.31540.041

6473628218.4664.31544.356

7434930118.4664.31548.671

8496439218.4664.31552.986

9618154918.4664.31557.301

106310063018.4664.31561.616

Jumlah4223852677

1118.4664.31565.931

1218.4664.31570.246

1318.4664.31574.561

1418.4664.31578.876

1518.4664.31583.191

PeriodeData PengamatanPrakiraanMSEMAPE

12222.78115.148.484130.77028

22327.096

33931.411

43735.726

53840.041

64744.356

74348.671

84952.986

96157.301

106361.616

Metode eksponensial Periode (x)Data Pengamatan (y)ln y.ln yData Prakiraan

12213.0910424533.0910423.0800.11121.7624.30721991

22343.1354942166.2709883.0800.11121.7627.15261672

33993.66356164610.990683.0800.11121.7630.33109494

437163.61091791314.443673.0800.11121.7633.88164499

538253.6375861618.187933.0800.11121.7637.8478215

647363.85014760223.100893.0800.11121.7642.27827759

743493.76120011626.32843.0800.11121.7647.22736172

849643.89182029831.134563.0800.11121.7652.75578434

961814.11087386436.997863.0800.11121.7658.93136266

10631004.14313472641.431353.0800.11121.7665.82985257

Jumlah42238536.89577899211.9774

113.0800.11121.7673.53587791

123.0800.11121.7682.14396856

133.0800.11121.7691.75972006

143.0800.11121.76102.5010889

153.0800.11121.76114.4998396


12224.3072199117.48.523920.79137

22327.15261672

33930.33109494

43733.88164499

53837.8478215

64742.27827759

74347.22736172

84952.75578434

96158.93136266

106365.82985257

Metode pangkat sederhanaPeriode (x)Data Pengamatanlog xlog ylog log x log yData Prakiraan

12201.342423001.3020.45720.06320.063

2230.301031.3617280.09061910.4099211.3020.45720.06327.54398589

3390.4771211.5910650.22764470.7591311.3020.45720.06333.15398303

4370.602061.5682020.36247620.9441521.3020.45720.06337.81444243

5380.698971.5797840.48855911.1042211.3020.45720.06341.87597763

6470.7781511.6720980.60551941.3011451.3020.45720.06345.51626579

7430.8450981.6334680.71419071.3804411.3020.45720.06348.83989224

8490.903091.6901960.81557151.5263991.3020.45720.06351.91449278

9610.9542431.785330.91057881.7036381.3020.45720.06354.78675126

106311.79934111.7993411.3020.45720.06357.49047186

Jumlah4226.55976316.023635.215159410.92839

111.3020.45720.06360.05105046

121.3020.45720.06362.48813152

131.3020.45720.06364.81727575

141.3020.45720.06367.05105431

151.3020.45720.06369.19979323


12220.06318.87.555740.82947

22327.54398589

33933.15398303

43737.81444243

53841.87597763

64745.51626579

74348.83989224

84951.91449278

96154.78675126

106357.49047186

Metode saturassiPeriode (x)Data PengamatanData Prakiraan

12210.0454510.045450.01680.03359.5241.96420.08032129

2230.50.043480.250.021740.01680.03359.5241.96430.03003003

3390.3333330.025640.1111110.008550.01680.03359.5241.96435.97122302

4370.250.027030.06250.006760.01680.03359.5241.96439.92015968

5380.20.026320.040.005260.01680.03359.5241.96442.73504274

6470.1666670.021280.0277780.003550.01680.03359.5241.96444.84304933

7430.1428570.023260.0204080.003320.01680.03359.5241.96446.48074369

8490.1250.020410.0156250.002550.01680.03359.5241.96447.78972521

9610.1111110.016390.0123460.001820.01680.03359.5241.96448.85993485

10630.10.015870.010.001590.01680.03359.5241.96449.75124378

Jumlah4222.9289680.265121.5497680.10059

110.01680.03359.5241.96450.50505051

120.01680.03359.5241.96451.15089514

130.01680.03359.5241.96451.71042164

140.01680.03359.5241.96452.19985086

150.01680.03359.5241.96452.63157895


12220.0803212943.448.531950.92615

22330.03003003

33935.97122302

43739.92015968

53842.73504274

64744.84304933

74346.48074369

84947.78972521

96148.85993485

106349.75124378

Tugas 2Regresi Linear Periode (x)Data PengamatanData Prakiraan

16161.51

26357.22

34952.93

44348.64

54744.35

63840.06

73735.77

83931.48

92327.19

102222.9

Jumlah422

1118.61

1214.32

1310.03

145.74

151.45


16161.5116.86-8.544930.79534

26357.22

34952.93

44348.64

54744.35

63840.06

73735.77

83931.48

92327.19

102222.9

Metode eksponensial Periode (x)Data Pengamatan (y)ln y.ln yData Prakiraan

1614.11087386465.36901685

2634.14313472658.55979669

3493.89182029852.45986483

4433.76120011646.99533765

5473.85014760242.10002766

6383.6375861637.71464188

7373.61091791333.78606359

8393.66356164630.26670907

9233.13549421627.11395114

10223.09104245324.28960298

Jumlah42236.89577899

1121.75945548

1219.49286298

1317.46237206

1415.64338897

1514.01388183


16165.3690168519.96-8.52860.80777

26358.55979669

34952.45986483

44346.99533765

54742.10002766

63837.71464188

73733.78606359

83930.26670907

92327.11395114

102224.28960298

Metode pangkat sederhanaPeriode (x)Data Pengamatanlog xlog ylog log x log yData Prakiraan

16101.785330074.13

2630.301031.7993410.09061910.54165555.4065874

3490.4771211.6901960.22764470.80642846.73078464

4430.602061.6334680.36247620.98344641.41224777

5470.698971.6720980.48855911.16874637.7074009

6380.7781511.5797840.60551941.22931134.92773915

7370.8450981.5682020.71419071.32528432.73805118

8390.903091.5910650.81557151.43687530.95253373

9230.9542431.3617280.91057881.29941929.4586029

102211.34242311.34242328.18343995

Jumlah4226.55976316.023635.215159410.13359

1127.07753166

1226.10585231

1325.24281545

1424.4692256

1523.77035519


16174.1349.64-8.223230.90506

26355.4065874

34946.73078464

44341.41224777

54737.7074009

63834.92773915

73732.73805118

83930.95253373

92329.4586029

102228.18343995

Metode saturassiPeriode (x)Data PengamatanData Prakiraan

161142.8571429

26354.05405405

34944.7761194

44341.2371134

54739.37007874

63838.21656051

73737.43315508

83936.86635945

92336.43724696

102236.10108303

Jumlah422

1135.83061889

1235.60830861

1335.42234332

1435.26448363

1535.12880562


161142.8571429724.4-1.091060.98401

26354.05405405

34944.7761194

44341.2371134

54739.37007874

63838.21656051

73737.43315508

83936.86635945

92336.43724696

102236.10108303

Regresi Linear Tugas Prakiraan Fixx

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