PERSPEKTIF PEMBANGUNAN NASIONAL PASCA PEMILIHAN PRESIDEN 2014

Ir. DEDDY S. BRATAKUSUMAH, BE, MURP, MSc, PhDdeddys@bappenas.go.id0816968367

2014

UPAYA NEGARA(GOVERNANCE)

CITA CITA BANGSA BERNEGARA

KEHENDAK RAKYAT

UUD 1945

PEMERINTAH

MASYARAKAT

SWASTA

RENCANA

ALUR PIKIR KEDAULATAN RAKYAT

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

PROSES DALAM “GOVERNANCE”

PEMERINTAH SWASTA

MASYARAKAT

DEMOKRASI

PRIVATISASI

KEWIRAUSAHAAN

(ENTERPRENEURSHIP)

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

ARTI PEMBANGUNAN

1. MODERNISASI2. EVOLUSIONISME3. KETERGANTUNGAN (DEPENDENCY)4. PEMBELAJARAN (SOCIAL LEARNING)5. SOCIAL SYSTEM

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

ARTI PEMBANGUNAN(MENURUT TODARO)

THE CAPACITY OF A NATIONAL ECONOMY, WHOSE INITIAL ECONOMIC CONDITION HAS BEEN MORE OR LESS STATIC FOR A LONG TIME, TO GENERATE AND SUSTAIN AN ANNUAL INCREASE IN ITS “GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT” (GNP).

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

PANDANGAN BARU TENTANG PEMBANGUNAN

DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN TREATED BY ECONOMISTS AS IF IT WERE NOTHING MORE THAN AN EXERCISE IN APPLIED ECONOMICS, UNRELATED TO POLITICAL IDEAS, FORMS OF GOVERNMENT, AND THE ROLE OF PEOPLE IN SOCIETY

(EDGAR OWENS)

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

MENURUT WORLD BANK

THE CHALLENGE OF DEVELOPMENT …. IS TO IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF LIFE. ESPECIALLY IN THE WORLD’S POOR COUNTRIES, A BETTER QUALITY OF LIFE GENERALLY CALLS FOR HIGHER INCOMES-BUT IT INVOLVES MUCH MORE.

(BETTER EDUCATION, HIGHER STANDARDS OF HEALTH AND NUTRITION, LESS POVERTY, A CLEANER ENVIRONMENT, MORE EQUALITY OF OPPORTUNITY, GREATER INDIVIDUAL FREEDOM, AND A RICHER CULTURAL LIFE)

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

MASALAH YANG DIHADAPI BANGSA

KEMISKINAN KETIDAK SETARAAN PENGANGGURAN PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK KERUSAKAN LINGKUNGAN KETIMPANGAN PERKOTAAN DAN

PERDESAAN

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

NILAI INTI DARI PEMBANGUNAN

KEMAMPUAN UNTUK MEMENUHI KEBUTUHAN DASAR

MENUMBUHKAN PERCAYA DIRI SEBAGAI MANUSIA

MEMILIKI KEMAMPUAN UNTUK MENENTUKAN PILIHAN

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

QUESNAY1758

17th AND 18th

CENTURIES

ADAM SMITH1776

D.RICARDO1817

T.R.MALTHUS1798

KARL MARX1867

J.S.MILL1848

WALRAS,MARSHALL,

1890

J.M.KEYNES,1936

MODERNMAINSTREAMECONOMICS

RATIONALEXPECTATIONS

MACROECONOMICS

V.LENIN1914

RADICALECONOMICS

CHINA RUSIA

CHICAGOLIBERTARIANISM

PHYSIOCRATS MERCANTILISTS

CLASSICALSCHOOL

SOCIALISM

NEOCLASSICALECONOMICS

FAMILY TREE OF ECONOMICS

SAMUELSON AND NORDHAUS

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

POLITICAL ECONOMY SHIFT

CLASSSICAL- SUPPLY CREATES ITS OWN DEMAND

KEYNES- DEMAND MANAGEMENT- FISCAL POLICY

MONETARISTS- MONETARY POLICY

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

TEORI PEMBANGUNAN

1. THE LINEAR-STAGES THEORY2. STRUCTURAL-CHANGE MODELS3. THE INTERNATIONAL-DEPENDENCE

REVOLUTION4. THE NEOCLASSICAL

COUNTERREVOLUTION5. THE NEW GROWTH THEORY

(TODARO, 2000)

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

DEVELOPMENT AS TRANSFORMATION OF SOCIETY

A MOVEMENMT FROM TRADITIONAL RELATIONS, TRADITIONAL WAYS OF THINKING, TRADITIONAL WAYS OF DEALING WITH HEALTH AND EDUCATION, TRADITIONAL METHODS OF PRODUCTION TO MORE “MODERN” WAYS

(STIGLITZ,1998)

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

THE SUCCESSFUL TRANSFORMATION OF SOCIETY

1. RAISE THE GDP PER CAPITA2. RAISE STANDARD OF HEALTH AND

LITERACY3. REDUCE POVERTY4. SUSTAINING THE ENVIRONMENT

(STIGLITZ,1998)

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

THE STRATEGY INCLUDING

1. PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT2. PUBLIC SECTOR DEVELOPMENT3. COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT4. FAMILY DEVELOPMENT5. INDIVIDUAL DEVELOPMENT

(STIGLITZ,1998)

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

THE PRIORITY

1. EDUCATION2. INFRASTRUCTURE3. HEALTH4. KNOWLEDGE5. CAPACITY BUILDING

(STIGLITZ,1998)

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN EKONOMI

RENCANA KOMPREHENSIPDENGAN TARGET MENCAKUP SELURUH ASPEK EKONOMI NASIONAL

RENCANA SEKTORAL ATAU PARSIALRENCANA YANG MENCAKUP HANYA SEKTOR TERTENTU, MISALNYA PERTANIAN, INDUSTRI, PERDAGANGAN

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

PRAKTEK PERENCANAAN PEMBANGUNANAPRIL 1947: DASAR DASAR POKOK DARIPADA PLAN MENGATUR

EKONOMI INDONESIA1948: PLAN PRODUKSI TIGA TAHUN RI1952: TERBENTUK BIRO PERANCANG NEGARA1956 – 1960: RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN LIMA TAHUN (RPLT)1959: DEKRIT PRESIDEN, KEMBALI KE UUD 45

DIBENTUK DEWAN PERANCANG NASIONAL (DEPERNAS)

1961 – 1969: RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN SEMESTA BERENCANA1963: DEPERNAS MENJADI BAPPENAS1969 - 1998: RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN LIMA TAHUN (REPELITA I

S/D REPELITA VI)1997 KRISIS MONETER1999: DESENTRALISASI, OTDA, GBHN 19991999 – 2004 PROPENAS2005 RPJM (RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN JANGKA MENENGAH)

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

• RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN JANGKA PANJANG (RPJP)(DITETAPKAN DENGAN UNDANG UNDANG)

• RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN JANGKA MENENGAH (RPJM)(DITETAPKAN DENGAN PERATURAN PRESIDEN)

• RENCANA KERJA PEMERINTAH (RKP)(DITETAPKAN DENGAN PERATURAN PRESIDEN)

• RENCANA STRATEGIS KEMENTERIAN/LEMBAGA (RENSTRA K/L)(DITETAPKAN DENGAN PERATURAN PIMPINAN)

• RENCANA KERJA KEMENTERIAN/LEMBAGA (RENJA K/L)(DITETAPKAN DENGAN PERATURAN PIMPINAN)

• RENCANA KERJA DAN ANGGARAN KEMENTERIAN/LEMBAGA (RKA K/L)

• APBN(DITETAPKAN DENGAN UNDANG UNDANG)

JENIS JENIS RENCANA TINGKAT NASIONAL

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

* SEGI EKONOMI, PALING EFISIEN* SEGI POLITIS, PALING BISA DITERIMA* SEGI ADMINISTRASI, PALING BISA DILAKSANAKAN* SEGI ETIS FILOSOFIS, TIDAK BERTENTANGAN DENGAN NILAI-NILAI SOSIAL BUDAYA

RENCANA YANG BAIK BILA

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

BAGAN PERENCANAAN NASIONAL MULAI 2005

20 TAHUN 5 TAHUN TAHUNAN

VISI/MISI PRESIDEN

RPJP RPJM RKP

RENSTRA K/L

RENJA K/L

RKA K/L

APBN

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

Rancangan Teknokratis

RPJMN 2015-2019

RancanganRPJMN

2015-2019

Rancangan Akhir

RPJMN 2015-2019

Visi – Misi Presiden terpilih

Musrenbang RPJMN dan Sidang Kabinet

Arahan RPJPN 2005-2025

Isu Strategis Jangka Menengah 2015-2019 (Background Studies)

Evaluasi RPJMN 2010-2014

Aspirasi Masyarakat

KERANGKA PENYUSUNAN RPJMN

(SUMBER: BAPPENAS 2014)

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

NEW INDONESIA

GLOBAL AGENDA

ASEANCOMMUNITY

GLOBAL ISSUES

LOCAL AND NATIONALRESPONS

DOMESTICISSUES

2014

PERSPEKTIF DAN PROSPEK PASCA 2014

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

24

Developments Short terms Medium terms Long termsASEAN SECURITY POLITICAL COMMUNITY

Maintaining national stability and security

Strengthening and modernizing national military forces

Engaging China and other ASEAN members into dialogue on security concerns

ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY

Encouraging Indonesian to use or to consume national products

Strengthening national small and medium enterprises

Engaging China, India and other economic developed countries in to dialogue with ASEAN members on trade concerns

ASEAN SOCIAL CULTURE COMMUNITY

Encouraging people to people contact, for example, contact between religious leaders, businessmen, etc

Cooperation in promoting welfare, capacity building, disaster relief management , environment

Maintaining dialogue on social cultural issues.

ASEAN COMMUNITY

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

DOMESTIC ISSUES

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

1. Conservation and Environmental Issues2. Climate Change and Global Warming 3. World Population4. Food and Agriculture5. Poverty 6. Racism7. World Military Spending8. Global Financial Crisis

GLOBAL AGENDA

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH

“…..negara Indonesia, yang merdeka, bersatu, berdaulat, adil dan makmur…..”

HARAPAN KITA

TERIMA KASIH

DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH