Post on 29-Jan-2023
Jere Behrman, Pilyali Sengupta and Petra Todd
by
“Progressing Through Progresa: An ImpactAssessment of a School Subsidy Experiment"
PIER Working Paper 01-033
Penn Institute for Economic Research Department of Economics University of Pennsylvania
3718 Locust Walk Philadelphia, PA 19103-6297
pier@ssc.upenn.eduhttp://www.econ.upenn.edu/pier
http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=286295
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2e
age
perc
ent e
nrol
led
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
October 1997
++ + + + +
+
+
+
++
+ + + + + +
+
+
+
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6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
controlstreatments
age
perc
ent e
nrol
led
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
October 1998
++ + + + +
++
+
+
+
++ + + + +
+
+
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
controlstreatments
age
perc
ent e
nrol
led
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
November 1999
+ + + + + +
+
+
+
+
+
+ + + + + ++
+
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
controlstreatments
Figure 1a: Percentage Enrolled by Age, All Children
age
perc
ent e
nrol
led
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
October 1997
++ + + + +
+
+
+
+
++ + + + +
+
+
+
++
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
controlstreatments
age
perc
ent e
nrol
led
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
October 1998
++ + + + +
+
++
+
++ + + + +
+
+
+
++
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
controlstreatments
age
perc
ent e
nrol
led
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
November 1999
+ + + + + +
+
+
+
+
+
+ + + + + ++
+
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
controlstreatments
Figure 1b: Percentage Enrolled by Age, Girls Only
age
perc
ent e
nrol
led
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
October 1997
++ + + + +
+
+
+
++
+ + + + + ++
+
+
++
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
controlstreatments
age
perc
ent e
nrol
led
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
October 1998
++ + + + +
++
++
+
++ + + + +
++
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
controlstreatments
age
perc
ent e
nrol
led
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
November 1999
+ + + + + ++
+
+
+
+
+ + + + + ++
+
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
4060
8010
0
controlstreatments
Figure 1c: Percentage Enrolled by Age, Boys Only
age
est.
impa
ct
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
October 1998
+ + ++
++
+
+
+
+ +
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
age
est.
impa
ct
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
November 1999
+ + + ++ +
+
++ +
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
age
est.
impa
ct
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
++
+ ++ +
+ ++
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
Figure 2a: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Age, All Children
age
est.
impa
ct
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
October 1998
++
+ + + +
+
+
+
++
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
age
est.
impa
ct
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
November 1999
++ +
+ ++
+
++
++
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
age
est.
impa
ct
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
+ + +
+ +
+
+
+
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
Figure 2b: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Age, Girls Only
age
est.
impa
ct
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
October 1998
+ + +
+
+
++
+
+
+ +
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
age
est.
impa
ct
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
November 1999
+ + + +
++
+
+
+ +
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
age
est.
impa
ct
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
+
++
++
+ +
++ + +
6 8 10 12 14 16
-50
510
15
Figure 2c: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Age, Boys Only
age
aver
age
scho
olin
g ga
p
6 8 10 12 14 16
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
October, 1998
boysgirls
age
aver
age
scho
olin
g ga
p
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
Male-Female Difference
age
aver
age
scho
olin
g ga
p
6 8 10 12 14 16
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
November, 1999
boysgirls
age
aver
age
scho
olin
g ga
p
6 8 10 12 14 16
0.0
0.2
0.4
Male-Female Difference
Figure 3: Comparison of Schooling Gap for Girls and Boys, Control Group(Gap=Potential Grade Level-Actual Schooling Grade Level)
age
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
October 1998
++ + +
+
+ ++
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
age
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
November 1999
+ + ++
++
+
+
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
age
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
+ + + ++
+
+ +
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
Figure 4a: Average Treatment-Control Schooling Gap
(Gap=Potential Grade Level-Actual Schooling Grade Level)
age
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
October 1998
+ ++ +
+
+
++ +
+ +
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
age
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
November 1999
+ + ++ +
+
+
++
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
age
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
+ ++
++
+
++ +
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
Figure 4b: Average Treatment-Control Schooling Gap, Girls Only
(Gap=Potential Grade Level-Actual Schooling Grade Level)
age
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
October 1998
++ +
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
age
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
November 1999
++ +
+
+ + + +
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
age
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
+ + +
+
++
++
+
+
+
6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
Figure 4c: Average Treatment-Control Schooling Gap, Boys Only
(Gap=Potential Grade Level-Actual Schooling Grade Level)
age
8 10 12 14
010
2030
October 1998
+ +
+
+
+
+
++ +
++ + + +
+
+
+
+
++ +
++
+
+
+
+
+ + + ++
+ +
+
+
8 10 12 14
010
2030
bottom quartile2nd quartile3rd quartiletop quartile
age
8 10 12 14
010
2030
November 1999
++
+ ++
+ +
+
++
+ +
+
+
++
+ + +
+
+ ++
++ + + +
++
+
+
8 10 12 14
010
2030
bottom quartile2nd quartile3rd quartiletop quartile
age
8 10 12 14
010
2030
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
+
+
+ ++
+
+
+
++ + +
+
+
+
+
+ + ++
+
+
+
+ + + +
+
++ +
8 10 12 14
010
2030
bottom quartile2nd quartile3rd quartiletop quartile
Figure 5a: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Prob of Enrollment, All Children
age
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
October 1998
++
++ +
++ +
+
+
++
++
+
+
+
+
+ + + + +
+
+
+
+
+ + ++
++
+ +
+
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
bottom quartile2nd quartile3rd quartiletop quartile
age
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
November 1999
+ +
+ ++
++
+
++
++
+
+ +
+
++ +
+
+
+
+
++ ++ +
++ +
+
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
bottom quartile2nd quartile3rd quartiletop quartile
age
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
++
+ ++
+
+
+
+
++
+
+
+
+
+
++
+
+
+
++ ++ +
+ +
+
+
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
bottom quartile2nd quartile3rd quartiletop quartile
Figure 5b: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Prob of Enrollment, Girls
age
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
October 1998
++
+
+
+ +
++
+
+ ++ + +
++
+
+
++ +
++
+
+
+ ++
+ ++ +
+
+
+
+
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
bottom quartile2nd quartile3rd quartiletop quartile
age
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
November 1999
+
+
++
++
+
++ +
+ ++
+
+ +
++ +
+ +
++
++ + + +
+
+ +
+
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
bottom quartile2nd quartile3rd quartiletop quartile
age
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
++
+ +
++
+
+
+
++
+ +
+
+
+
++
+
+
+ +
+
++ + +
+
+ ++
8 10 12 14
-10
010
2030
bottom quartile2nd quartile3rd quartiletop quartile
Figure 5c: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Prob of Enrollment, Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
010
2030
4050
education level
perc
ent
With Treatment
0 0 0.1 0.2 0.62
11.2
17.8
26.1
37.6
4.5
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
010
2030
4050
education level
perc
ent
Without Treatment
0.1 0 0.1 0.5 1.75
26.2
15
23.425.8
2.3
Figure 6: Simulated Education Distribution at Age 14
Table 1Monthly Transfers for School Attendance under the PROGRESA Program
SchoolLevel
Grade Monthly Payment in Pesos Payment/Payment forPrevious Grade (%)
Females/Males (%)
Females Males Females MalesPrimary 3 70 70 --- --- 100
4 80 80 114 114 1005 105 105 131 131 1006 135 135 129 129 100
Secondary 1 210 200 156 148 1052 235 210 112 105 1123 255 225 109 107 113
(a) Source: Schultz (1999a, Table 1). Corresponds to first term of the 1998-99 school year.
Table 2Percentages Working for Pay and Average Monthly Earnings
for Control Group Children by Age and Sexage Fraction working for pay Percentage of children
who attend school amongthose who work for pay
Average MonthlyEarnings in Pesos for
Children who Work forPay (# of observations in
parentheses)Females Males Females Males Females Males
6 0 0 * * * *
7 0 0 * * * *
8 1.15 1.61 100 100 130(3)
1120(1)
9 1.00 2.72 100 90 20(1)
416(3)
10 1.09 1.58 80 83 340(2)
565(4)
11 1.69 4.26 67 72 700(2)
398(12)
12 3.66 9.43 62 62 511(10)
628(28)
13 4.50 14.63 14 23 566(15)
535(43)
14 7.96 23.91 5 22 631(27)
591(78)
15 15.61 41.26 5 15 596(25)
677(128)
16 13.22 48.65 3 11 526(25)
671(112)
Table 3aProgram Impacts on Proportion Enrolled (All Children)
(T-statistics in parentheses)Variable (all are indicator variables) Oct. 1997 Oct. 1998 Nov. 1999
age 6 0.89(80.60)
0.92(83.19)
0.96(80.30)
age 7 0.94(85.16)
0.97(90.87)
0.97(89.92)
age 8 0.94(84.71)
0.96(91.37)
0.98(95.45)
age 9 0.95(80.19)
0.96(87.42)
0.98(91.09)
age 10 0.94(84.14)
0.96(86.40)
0.96(92.84)
age 11 0.92(80.72)
0.93(84.56)
0.95(84.95)
age 12 0.83(71.26)
0.81(74.63)
0.86(82.51)
age 13 0.69(55.40)
0.74(65.17)
0.74(67.66)
age 14 0.57(42.89)
0.55(45.40)
0.63(57.25)
age 15 0.39(26.52)
0.43(33.46)
0.44(36.85)
age 16 0.31(16.91)
0.29(20.52)
0.32(25.47)
age 17 0.26(8.06)
* 0.23(16.83)
age 18 0.07(0.81)
* 0.16(10.39)
treatment*age 6 0.02(1.09)
0.00(0.16)
0.00(0.32)
treatment*age 7 0.00(0.19)
0.00(0.27)
0.01(0.73)
treatment*age 8 0.01(0.64)
0.01(0.55)
0.01(0.62)
treatment*age 9 0.00(0.18)
0.02(1.42)
0.00(0.03)
treatment*age 10 0.00(0.27)
0.0(0.35)
0.02(1.52)
treatment*age 11 0.01(0.59)
0.03(2.08)
0.02(1.37)
treatment*age 12 -0.01(-0.52)
0.09(6.27)
0.06(4.48)
treatment*age 13 0.03(1.66)
0.07(4.60)
0.10(7.54)
treatment*age 14 -0.01(-0.78)
0.16(10.68)
0.09(6.67)
treatment*age 15 0.04(2.21)
0.05(2.94)
0.09(6.10)
treatment*age 16 0.02(0.98)
0.06(3.10)
0.07(4.40)
treatment*age 17 -0.01(-0.12)
* 0.04(2.17)
treatment*age 18 0.04(0.36)
* 0.01(0.35)
p-value from chi-square test that impactsare 0 for all ages
0.5652 <0.0001 <0.0001
p-value from chi-square test that impactsare 0 for ages 12 and older
0.3456 <0.0001 <0.0001
Table 3bProgram Impacts on Proportion Enrolled (Girls)
(T-statistics in parentheses)Variable (all are indicator variables) Oct. 1997 Oct. 1998 Nov. 1999
age 6 0.89(57.95)
0.92(58.05)
0.96(57.22)
age 7 0.94(58.21)
0.97(64.49)
0.96(62.91)
age 8 0.94(60.12)
0.96(61.81)
0.98(67.05)
age 9 0.95(56.99)
0.96(61.80)
0.99(65.68)
age 10 0.93(58.19)
0.96(60.28)
0.97(66.38)
age 11 0.92(56.96)
0.94(59.54)
0.95(59.26)
age 12 0.81(47.19)
0.76(49.61)
0.83(56.78)
age 13 0.65(36.60)
0.69(41.76)
0.71(46.69)
age 14 0.52(26.62)
0.52(29.57)
0.60(37.17)
age 15 0.34(16.23)
0.36(18.89)
0.42(24.36)
age 16 0.23(8.25)
0.27(12.74)
0.28(14.57)
age 17 0.26(5.54)
* 0.24(11.76)
age 18 0(0.00)
* 0.13(5.84)
treatment*age 6 0.01(0.35)
0.00(0.17)
0.00(0.14)
treatment*age 7 0.01(0.62)
-0.01(-0.34)
0.01(0.69)
treatment*age 8 0.01(0.41)
0.01(0.43)
0.01(0.54)
treatment*age 9 0.02(0.75)
0.02(0.75)
-0.01(-0.40)
treatment*age 10 0.02(1.16)
0.01(0.33)
0.00(0.13)
treatment*age 11 0.00(0.03)
0.02(0.83)
0.01(0.62)
treatment*age 12 -0.04(-1.73)
0.11(5.79)
0.07(3.88)
treatment*age 13 0.02(1.04)
0.08(3.52)
0.11(5.66)
treatment*age 14 -0.03(-1.29)
0.14(6.43)
0.12(5.99)
treatment*age 15 0.02(0.93)
0.06(2.24)
0.11(4.94)
treatment*age 16 0.05(1.61)
0.08(2.92)
0.09(3.84)
treatment*age 17 -0.06(-1.01)
* 0.03(1.06)
treatment*age 18 0.12(0.73)
* 0.04(1.32)
p-value from chi-square test that impactsare 0 for all ages
0.37 <0.0001 <0.0001
p-value from chi-square test that impactsare 0 for ages 12 and older
0.21 <0.0001 <0.0001
Table 3cProgram Impacts on Proportion Enrolled (Boys)
(T-statistics in parentheses)Variable (all are indicator variables) Oct. 1997 Oct. 1998 Nov. 1999
age 6 0.90(56.33)
0.91(59.90)
0.95(56.39)
age 7 0.94(62.43)
0.96(64.32)
0.97(64.30)
age 8 0.95(60.08)
0.97(67.56)
0.98(68.00)
age 9 0.96(56.72)
0.96(62.12)
0.98(63.04)
age 10 0.95(61.13)
0.95(62.22)
0.95(64.98)
age 11 0.92(57.52)
0.93(60.33)
0.95(60.92)
age 12 0.85(53.74)
0.85(56.26)
0.88(59.97)
age 13 0.73(41.96)
0.79(50.64)
0.76(49.06)
age 14 0.61(33.99)
0.56(34.75)
0.66(43.67)
age 15 0.42(21.25)
0.50(28.44)
0.46(27.72)
age 16 0.38(15.42)
0.31(16.28)
0.36(21.19)
age 17 0.27(5.89)
* 0.23(12.05)
age 18 0.14(1.15)
* 0.18(8.76)
treatment*age 6 0.02(1.16)
0.00(0.05)
0.01(0.32)
treatment*age 7 -0.01(-0.36)
0.01(0.74)
0.01(0.34)
treatment*age 8 0.01(0.36)
0.01(0.38)
0.01(0.34)
treatment*age 9 -0.01(-0.50)
0.02(1.25)
0.01(0.46)
treatment*age 10 -0.02(-0.76)
0.00(0.16)
0.04(2.00)
treatment*age 11 0.02(0.82)
0.04(2.10)
0.03(1.31)
treatment*age 12 0.02(0.94)
0.06(3.05)
0.04(2.36)
treatment*age 13 0.02(1.09)
0.06(2.87)
0.10(5.00)
treatment*age 14 -0.00(-0.26)
0.18(8.66)
0.07(3.55)
treatment*age 15 0.05(2.01)
0.03(1.43)
0.08(3.69)
treatment*age 16 0.00(0.03)
0.03(1.46)
0.05(2.32)
treatment*age 17 0.04(0.61)
* 0.05(1.97)
treatment*age 18 -0.04(-0.26)
* -0.02(-0.75)
p-value from chi-square test that impactsare 0 for all ages
0.3023 <0.0001 <0.0001
p-value from chi-square test that impactsare 0 for ages 12 and older
0.5464 <0.0001 <0.0001
-- --
Table 4(a)Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 6 -> Age 7Grade (G)
2 1 NEP(3 | G) 0.14 0.06 0.03P(2 | G) 0.86 0.68 0.40P(1 | G) ... 0.25 0.37P(Drop | G) ... 0.01 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... 0.21No. obs 221 824 115P(G) 0.19 0.71 0.10
Eligible Control Transition MatrixAge 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)2 1 NE
P(3 | G) 0.13 0.08 0.03P(2 | G) 0.85 0.57 0.39P(1 | G) ... 0.33 0.41P(Drop | G) 0.02 0.02 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... 0.16No. obs 129 499 87.0P(G) 0.18 0.70 0.12
Tr eatment-Control DifferencesAge 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)2 1 NE
P(3 | G) 0.00 -.02 -.01P(2 | G) 0.01 0.11 0.01P(1 | G) ... -.08 -.05P(Drop | G) -.02 -.01 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... 0.05No. obs 350 1323 202p-value 0.18 0.00 0.79
-- --
Table 4(b)Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 7 -> Age 8Grade (G)
3 2 1 Drop NEP(4 | G) 0.28 0.11 0.05 ... 0.12P(3 | G) 0.71 0.66 0.21 0.60 0.20P(2 | G) ... 0.23 0.62 0.40 0.37P(1 | G) ... ... 0.10 ... 0.17P(Drop | G) 0.01 0.00 0.03 ... ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... 0.14No. obs 128 775 252 10.0 65.0
Eligible Control Transition MatrixAge 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)3 2 1 Drop NE
P(4 | G) 0.17 0.10 0.05 1.00 0.09P(3 | G) 0.83 0.59 0.22 ... 0.19P(2 | G) ... 0.30 0.58 ... 0.25P(1 | G) ... ... 0.14 ... 0.15P(Drop | G) ... 0.01 0.02 ... ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... 0.32No. obs 70.0 468 165 1.00 53.0
Tr eatment-Control DifferencesAge 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)3 2 1 Drop NE
P(4 | G) 0.11 0.01 -.00 -1.0 0.03P(3 | G) -.12 0.07 -.01 0.60 0.01P(2 | G) ... -.07 0.04 0.40 0.12P(1 | G) ... ... -.04 ... 0.02P(Drop | G) 0.01 -.00 0.01 ... ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... -.18No. obs 198 1243 417 11.0 118p-value 0.16 0.03 0.71 0.00 0.19
-- --
Table 4(c)Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 8 -> Age 9Grade (G)
4 3 2 1 Drop NEP(5 | G) 0.19 0.06 0.03 ... ... ...P(4 | G) 0.81 0.70 0.24 0.26 0.77 0.12P(3 | G) ... 0.23 0.54 0.23 0.08 0.14P(2 | G) ... ... 0.19 0.46 0.15 0.21P(1 | G) ... ... ... 0.05 ... 0.17P(Drop | G) ... 0.00 0.00 ... ... ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... 0.36No. obs 110 618 435 65.0 13.0 42.0P(G) 0.09 0.48 0.34 0.05 0.03 .
Eligible Control Transition MatrixAge 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(5 | G) 0.13 0.07 0.03 ... ... ...P(4 | G) 0.88 0.62 0.16 0.28 0.43 0.06P(3 | G) ... 0.30 0.60 0.17 0.43 0.31P(2 | G) ... ... 0.21 0.37 ... 0.03P(1 | G) ... ... ... 0.15 ... 0.11P(Drop | G) ... 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.14 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... 0.49No. obs 64.0 328 257 46.0 7.00 35.0P(G) 0.09 0.45 0.35 0.06 0.05 .
Tr eatment-Control DifferencesAge 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(5 | G) 0.07 -.01 0.00 ... ... ...P(4 | G) -.07 0.08 0.08 -.02 0.34 0.06P(3 | G) ... -.07 -.06 0.06 -.35 -.17P(2 | G) ... ... -.02 0.09 0.15 0.19P(1 | G) ... ... ... -.11 ... 0.05P(Drop | G) ... 0.00 -.01 -.02 -.14 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... -.13No. obs 174 946 692 111 20.0 77.0p-value 0.26 0.08 0.07 0.22 0.09 0.05
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Table 4(d)Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 9 -> Age 10Grade (G)
5 4 3 2 1 Drop NEP(6 | G) 0.26 0.06 0.02 ... ... 0.05 ...P(5 | G) 0.74 0.72 0.19 0.15 ... 0.53 ...P(4 | G) ... 0.22 0.60 0.24 0.47 0.21 0.26P(3 | G) ... ... 0.19 0.44 0.20 0.16 0.15P(2 | G) ... ... ... 0.14 0.20 ... 0.15P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.13 ... 0.07P(Drop | G) ... 0.01 0.01 0.03 ... 0.05 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.37No. obs 72.0 524 372 177 15.0 19.0 27.0P(G) 0.06 0.43 0.31 0.15 0.01 0.02 0.02
Eligible Control Transition MatrixAge 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(6 | G) 0.17 0.06 0.01 ... ... ... ...P(5 | G) 0.83 0.64 0.17 0.10 ... 0.25 ...P(4 | G) ... 0.30 0.59 0.17 0.12 0.50 0.22P(3 | G) ... ... 0.21 0.51 0.18 0.13 0.11P(2 | G) ... ... ... 0.20 0.47 ... 0.22P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.12 ... 0.06P(Drop | G) ... 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.12 0.13 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.39No. obs 48.0 266 223 92.0 17.0 8.00 18.0P(G) 0.07 0.40 0.33 0.14 0.03 0.01 0.03
Tr eatment-Control DifferencesAge 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(6 | G) 0.10 -.01 0.01 ... ... 0.05 ...P(5 | G) -.10 0.08 0.02 0.05 ... 0.28 ...P(4 | G) ... -.08 0.01 0.06 0.35 -.29 0.04P(3 | G) ... ... -.03 -.07 0.02 0.03 0.04P(2 | G) ... ... ... -.05 -.27 ... -.07P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.02 ... 0.02P(Drop | G) ... 0.00 -.01 0.01 -.12 -.07 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... -.02No. obs 120 790 595 269 32.0 27.0 45.0p-value 0.21 0.08 0.50 0.36 0.14 0.49 0.97
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Table 4(e)Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 10 -> Age 11Grade (G)
6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NEP(7 | G) 0.31 0.04 0.01 ... ... ... 0.09 ...P(6 | G) 0.67 0.75 0.20 0.15 ... ... 0.23 ...P(5 | G) ... 0.20 0.62 0.18 0.15 ... 0.23 ...P(4 | G) ... ... 0.16 0.44 0.20 0.50 0.14 0.11P(3 | G) ... ... ... 0.20 0.45 0.25 0.14 0.18P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.18 0.25 0.09 0.18P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.04P(Drop | G) 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.02 ... 0.09 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.50No. obs 90.0 438 392 172 55.0 4.00 22.0 28.0P(G) 0.07 0.36 0.33 0.14 0.05 0.00 0.02 0.02
Eligible Control Transition MatrixAge 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(7 | G) 0.32 0.10 0.02 ... ... ... 0.06 ...P(6 | G) 0.64 0.68 0.15 0.08 ... ... 0.18 ...P(5 | G) ... 0.19 0.62 0.19 0.09 ... 0.35 ...P(4 | G) ... ... 0.20 0.49 0.11 0.67 0.12 0.04P(3 | G) ... ... ... 0.20 0.51 ... 0.12 0.17P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.19 0.33 ... 0.09P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(Drop | G) 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.05 0.11 ... 0.18 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.70No. obs 50.0 280 230 102 47.0 3.00 17.0 23.0P(G) 0.07 0.37 0.31 0.14 0.06 0.00 0.02 0.03
Tr eatment-Control DifferencesAge 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(7 | G) -.01 -.06 -.00 ... ... ... 0.03 ...P(6 | G) 0.03 0.07 0.04 0.07 ... ... 0.05 ...P(5 | G) ... 0.01 0.00 -.01 0.06 ... -.13 ...P(4 | G) ... ... -.04 -.05 0.09 -.17 0.02 0.06P(3 | G) ... ... ... 0.00 -.06 0.25 0.02 0.00P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... -.01 -.08 0.09 0.09P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.04P(Drop | G) -.02 -.01 0.00 -.02 -.09 ... -.09 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... -.20No. obs 140 718 622 274 102 7.00 39.0 51.0p-value 0.82 0.00 0.51 0.44 0.22 0.65 0.82 0.55
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Table 4(f)Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 11 -> Age 12Grade (G)
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NEP(8 | G) 0.24 0.05 0.01 ... ... ... ... 0.09 ...P(7 | G) 0.72 0.66 0.21 0.13 ... ... ... 0.26 ...P(6 | G) ... 0.15 0.65 0.19 0.13 ... ... 0.04 ...P(5 | G) ... ... 0.12 0.47 0.17 0.15 ... 0.04 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... 0.18 0.48 0.30 ... 0.11 0.05P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.18 0.30 1.00 ... 0.05P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... 0.25 ... 0.04 0.33P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(Drop | G) 0.04 0.14 0.01 0.03 0.04 ... ... 0.41 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.57No. obs 50.0 369 370 198 77.0 20.0 1.00 46.0 21.0P(G) 0.04 0.32 0.32 0.17 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.04 0.02
Eligible Control Transition MatrixAge 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(8 | G) 0.17 0.04 0.00 ... ... ... ... ... ...P(7 | G) 0.62 0.54 0.15 0.07 ... ... ... 0.14 ...P(6 | G) ... 0.19 0.63 0.18 0.09 ... ... 0.14 ...P(5 | G) ... ... 0.19 0.51 0.20 ... ... 0.09 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... 0.18 0.50 0.33 0.33 0.05 ...P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.17 0.33 0.33 ... 0.13P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... 0.11 0.33 ... ...P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(Drop | G) 0.21 0.23 0.03 0.06 0.04 0.22 ... 0.59 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.87No. obs 29.0 246 216 124 46.0 9.00 3.00 22.0 15.0P(G) 0.04 0.35 0.30 0.17 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.02
Tr eatment-Control DifferencesAge 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(8 | G) 0.07 0.01 0.01 ... ... ... ... 0.09 ...P(7 | G) 0.10 0.12 0.06 0.06 ... ... ... 0.12 ...P(6 | G) ... -.04 0.02 0.01 0.04 ... ... -.09 ...P(5 | G) ... ... -.07 -.03 -.03 0.15 ... -.05 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... -.00 -.02 -.03 -.33 0.06 0.05P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.01 -.03 0.67 ... -.09P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... 0.14 -.33 0.04 0.33P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(Drop | G) -.17 -.09 -.02 -.03 -.00 -.22 ... -.18 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... -.30No. obs 79.0 615 586 322 123 29.0 4.00 68.0 36.0p-value 0.06 0.01 0.04 0.32 0.96 0.17 0.51 0.25 0.06
-- --
Table 4(g)Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 12 -> Age 13Grade (G)
8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NEP(9 | G) 0.25 0.06 0.01 ... ... ... ... ... 0.01 ...P(8 | G) 0.75 0.62 0.12 0.06 ... ... ... ... 0.09 ...P(7 | G) ... 0.24 0.58 0.16 0.10 ... ... ... 0.25 ...P(6 | G) ... ... 0.11 0.58 0.17 0.15 ... ... 0.04 ...P(5 | G) ... ... ... 0.16 0.51 0.15 ... ... 0.01 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.17 0.44 0.20 ... 0.02 0.13P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... ... 0.18 0.40 1.00 0.01 ...P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.13 ... 0.01 0.09P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(Drop | G) ... 0.08 0.19 0.03 0.03 0.09 0.27 ... 0.57 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.78No. obs 36.0 234 312 179 86.0 34.0 15.0 1.00 150 23.0P(G) 0.03 0.22 0.29 0.17 0.08 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.14 0.02
Eligible Control Transition MatrixAge 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(9 | G) 0.26 0.06 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(8 | G) 0.74 0.65 0.11 0.07 ... ... ... ... 0.03 ...P(7 | G) ... 0.16 0.46 0.14 0.11 ... ... ... 0.12 ...P(6 | G) ... ... 0.17 0.50 0.10 0.04 ... ... 0.01 ...P(5 | G) ... ... ... 0.18 0.39 0.15 ... ... 0.01 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.33 0.35 0.10 ... 0.03 0.10P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... ... 0.19 0.30 ... 0.04 0.05P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.30 ... ... 0.05P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.05P(Drop | G) ... 0.14 0.26 0.12 0.07 0.27 0.30 1.00 0.75 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.75No. obs 34.0 139 190 121 61.0 26.0 10.0 1.00 69.0 20.0P(G) 0.05 0.21 0.28 0.18 0.09 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.10 0.03
Tr eatment-Control DifferencesAge 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(9 | G) -.01 0.00 0.01 ... ... ... ... ... 0.01 ...P(8 | G) 0.01 -.03 0.01 -.00 ... ... ... ... 0.06 ...P(7 | G) ... 0.09 0.11 0.02 -.01 ... ... ... 0.13 ...P(6 | G) ... ... -.06 0.09 0.08 0.11 ... ... 0.03 ...P(5 | G) ... ... ... -.02 0.12 -.01 ... ... -.00 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... ... -.15 0.10 0.10 ... -.01 0.03P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... ... -.02 0.10 1.00 -.04 -.05P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... -.17 ... 0.01 0.04P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... -.05P(Drop | G) ... -.06 -.07 -.08 -.03 -.18 -.03 -1.0 -.18 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.03No. obs 70.0 373 502 300 147 60.0 25.0 2.00 219 43.0p-value 0.89 0.10 0.02 0.07 0.15 0.29 0.71 0.16 0.08 0.63
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Table 4(h)Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 13 -> Age 14Grade (G)
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NEP(10 | G) 0.35 0.06 0.02 ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.01 ...P(9 | G) 0.59 0.77 0.16 0.08 ... ... ... ... ... 0.05 ...P(8 | G) ... 0.14 0.54 0.14 0.10 ... ... ... ... 0.04 ...P(7 | G) ... ... 0.14 0.47 0.07 0.06 ... ... ... 0.20 ...P(6 | G) ... ... ... 0.11 0.60 0.19 0.25 ... ... 0.01 ...P(5 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.12 0.42 0.20 0.20 ... 0.02 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... ... ... 0.17 0.40 0.20 ... ... 0.11P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.05 0.20 ... 0.00 0.04P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.40 ... ... ...P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(Drop | G) 0.06 0.02 0.14 0.20 0.12 0.17 0.10 ... ... 0.67 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.86No. obs 34.0 146 213 168 84.0 36.0 20.0 5.00 ... 228 28.0P(G) 0.04 0.15 0.22 0.17 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.24 0.03
Eligible Control Transition MatrixAge 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(10 | G) 0.29 0.05 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(9 | G) 0.59 0.69 0.13 0.05 ... ... ... ... ... 0.01 ...P(8 | G) ... 0.20 0.56 0.08 0.07 ... ... ... ... 0.05 ...P(7 | G) ... ... 0.08 0.27 0.07 0.13 ... ... ... 0.05 ...P(6 | G) ... ... ... 0.11 0.51 0.22 0.18 ... ... 0.04 ...P(5 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.21 0.41 0.36 ... ... 0.01 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.27 0.33 ... 0.01 0.10P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.09 ... ... ... ...P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.67 ... ... ...P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(Drop | G) 0.12 0.05 0.24 0.49 0.14 0.25 0.09 ... ... 0.84 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.90No. obs 17.0 95.0 102 92.0 57.0 32.0 11.0 3.00 ... 153 10.0P(G) 0.03 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.10 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.27 0.02
Tr eatment-Control DifferencesAge 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(10 | G) 0.06 0.01 0.02 ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.01 ...P(9 | G) ... 0.08 0.03 0.03 ... ... ... ... ... 0.04 ...P(8 | G) ... -.06 -.02 0.06 0.03 ... ... ... ... -.01 ...P(7 | G) ... ... 0.06 0.20 0.00 -.07 ... ... ... 0.15 ...P(6 | G) ... ... ... 0.00 0.09 -.02 0.07 ... ... -.03 ...P(5 | G) ... ... ... ... -.09 0.01 -.16 0.20 ... 0.02 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... ... ... 0.17 0.13 -.13 ... -.01 0.01P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... -.04 0.20 ... 0.00 0.04P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... -.27 ... ... ...P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(Drop | G) -.06 -.03 -.09 -.29 -.02 -.08 0.01 ... ... -.17 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... -.04No. obs 51.0 241 315 260 141 68.0 31.0 8.00 ... 381 38.0p-value 0.73 0.33 0.08 0.00 0.62 0.14 0.84 0.66 . 0.00 0.83
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Table 4(i)Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 14 -> Age 15Grade (G)
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NEP(11 | G) ... 0.03 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(10 | G) 0.53 0.28 0.13 0.04 ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.03 ...P(9 | G) ... 0.24 0.68 0.22 0.08 ... ... ... ... ... 0.03 ...P(8 | G) ... ... 0.18 0.43 0.07 0.08 ... ... ... ... 0.02 ...P(7 | G) ... ... ... 0.13 0.40 0.08 0.25 ... ... ... 0.08 ...P(6 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.11 0.58 0.25 ... ... ... 0.01 ...P(5 | G) ... ... ... ... ... 0.15 0.06 0.33 ... ... 0.00 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.13 0.33 ... ... ... 0.03P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.00 ...P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(Drop | G) 0.47 0.46 0.02 0.17 0.34 0.12 0.31 0.33 ... ... 0.83 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.97No. obs 15.0 109 130 113 83.0 26.0 16.0 6.00 ... ... 343 38.0P(G) 0.02 0.13 0.15 0.13 0.10 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.04
Eligible Control Transition MatrixAge 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(11 | G) 0.27 0.06 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(10 | G) 0.36 0.23 0.08 0.02 ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.02 ...P(9 | G) ... 0.25 0.71 0.18 0.09 ... ... ... ... ... 0.02 ...P(8 | G) ... ... 0.17 0.38 0.08 0.04 ... ... ... ... 0.02 ...P(7 | G) ... ... ... 0.06 0.25 0.12 ... ... ... ... 0.06 ...P(6 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.08 0.38 0.08 ... ... ... 0.02 ...P(5 | G) ... ... ... ... ... 0.08 0.23 ... ... ... ... ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.05P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.50 ... ... ... ...P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.05P(Drop | G) 0.36 0.46 0.05 0.35 0.51 0.38 0.69 0.50 1.00 ... 0.85 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.90No. obs 11.0 69.0 78.0 65.0 53.0 26.0 13.0 2.00 1.00 ... 204 20.0P(G) 0.02 0.13 0.15 0.12 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.04
Tr eatment-Control DifferencesAge 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Drop NE
P(11 | G) -.27 -.03 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(10 | G) 0.17 0.04 0.05 0.03 ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.00 ...P(9 | G) ... -.01 -.03 0.04 -.01 ... ... ... ... ... 0.01 ...P(8 | G) ... ... 0.01 0.05 -.00 0.04 ... ... ... ... 0.00 ...P(7 | G) ... ... ... 0.07 0.15 -.04 0.25 ... ... ... 0.02 ...P(6 | G) ... ... ... ... 0.03 0.19 0.17 ... ... ... -.01 ...P(5 | G) ... ... ... ... ... 0.08 -.17 0.33 ... ... 0.00 ...P(4 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.13 0.33 ... ... ... -.02P(3 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... -.50 ... ... 0.00 ...P(2 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...P(1 | G) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... -.05P(Drop | G) 0.10 -.01 -.04 -.19 -.17 -.27 -.38 -.17 -1.0 ... -.02 ...P(NE | NE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.07No. obs 26.0 178 208 178 136 52.0 29.0 8.00 1.00 ... 547 58.0p-value 0.10 0.73 0.32 0.05 0.29 0.20 0.05 0.22 1.00 . 0.75 0.33
Table 5P-values from Pearson Chi-Squared Tests of Equality of
Schooling Transition MatricesHypothesis Tested age 6 age 7 age 8 age 9 age 10 age 11 age 12 age 13 age 14
Eligible Treatment andEligible Control TransitionMatrices are Equal(i.e. Treatment has noimpact)
0.0007 0.0071 0.0051 0.3027 0.2541 0.0055 0.0105<0.0001 0.0671
For Girls, EligibleTreatment and EligibleControl TransitionMatrices are Equal(i.e. Treatment has noimpact for Girls)
0.3604 0.7606 0.0421 0.2022 0.4437 0.0803 0.1763 0.0877 0.1371
For Boys, EligibleTreatment and EligibleControl TransitionMatrices are Equal(i.e. Treatment has noimpact for Boys)
0.0004 0.0462 0.0972 0.3812 0.3040 0.0942 0.1793 0.0073 0.4285
Non-eligible Treatmentand Non-eligible ControlTransition Matrices areEqual(i.e. No spillover effects)
0.2833 0.3682 0.2069 0.3064 0.3008 0.6452 0.6576 0.5269 0.9515
Eligible Control Matrix forGirls Equal to and EligibleControl Matrix for Boys(i.e. No gender differencein educational progressionpatterns)
0.1842 0.1766 0.3455 0.7161 0.3643 0.2835 0.1949 0.1278 0.5170
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Table 6Simulated Education Distribution at Age 14
for Treatment and Control ChildrenAfter Exposure to Treatment for 8 years, Age 6-14
grade treatment % control % treatment cdf control cdf0 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.051 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.052 0.06 0.10 0.07 0.163 0.23 0.47 0.30 0.624 0.59 1.74 0.89 2.365 1.98 4.97 2.87 7.336 11.2 26.2 14.1 33.57 17.8 15.0 31.9 48.58 26.1 23.4 58.0 71.99 37.6 25.8 95.5 97.710 4.47 2.28 100 100
_
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Table A.1(a)Av erage Schooling Gap (= potential grade level - actual grade level)
by age and treatment status
Oct. 97 Oct. 98 Nov. 99 Change from97 to 99
age con trt diff con trt diff con trt diff con trt diff
6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00( 0.00) ( 0.00) ( 0.00) ( 0.00)
7 0.20 0.18 -.02 0.25 0.21 -.04 0.27 0.24 -.03 0.07 0.06 -.02( 0.02) ( 0.02) ( 0.02) ( 0.02)
8 0.44 0.40 -.05 0.43 0.39 -.04 0.46 0.42 -.04 0.02 0.03 0.01( 0.02) ( 0.02) ( 0.02) ( 0.03)
9 0.66 0.62 -.03 0.61 0.54 -.07 0.59 0.59 0.00 -.07 -.03 0.04( 0.03) ( 0.03) ( 0.03) ( 0.05)
10 0.84 0.79 -.05 0.89 0.69 -.20 0.89 0.80 -.09 0.06 0.02 -.04( 0.04) ( 0.04) ( 0.04) ( 0.06)
11 0.99 1.00 0.01 0.93 0.89 -.05 1.03 0.89 -.14 0.04 -.11 -.15( 0.05) ( 0.05) ( 0.05) ( 0.07)
12 1.29 1.27 -.03 1.09 1.07 -.02 1.11 1.10 -.01 -.18 -.17 0.02( 0.06) ( 0.05) ( 0.06) ( 0.08)
13 1.70 1.57 -.13 1.46 1.38 -.07 1.46 1.36 -.11 -.23 -.21 0.02( 0.07) ( 0.07) ( 0.07) ( 0.09)
14 2.13 2.01 -.12 1.83 1.69 -.14 1.90 1.69 -.20 -.23 -.31 -.08( 0.08) ( 0.07) ( 0.08) ( 0.11)
15 2.62 2.62 0.00 2.31 2.27 -.04 2.54 2.23 -.31 -.08 -.39 -.31( 0.09) ( 0.09) ( 0.10) ( 0.13)
16 3.30 3.29 -.01 2.99 2.82 -.17 3.04 3.08 0.05 -.26 -.20 0.06( 0.11) ( 0.11) ( 0.11) ( 0.16)
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Table A.1(b)Av erage Schooling Gap (= potential grade level - actual grade level)
for female children, by age and treatment status
Oct. 97 Oct. 98 Nov. 99 Change from97 to 99
age con trt diff con trt diff con trt diff con trt diff
6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00( 0.00) ( 0.00) ( 0.00) ( 0.00)
7 0.18 0.19 0.00 0.22 0.21 -.01 0.27 0.25 -.02 0.09 0.06 -.02( 0.02) ( 0.02) ( 0.03) ( 0.04)
8 0.42 0.36 -.06 0.40 0.35 -.05 0.41 0.40 -.01 -.00 0.04 0.05( 0.03) ( 0.03) ( 0.04) ( 0.05)
9 0.58 0.59 0.01 0.58 0.52 -.06 0.60 0.54 -.06 0.02 -.04 -.06( 0.04) ( 0.05) ( 0.05) ( 0.07)
10 0.79 0.73 -.06 0.81 0.66 -.15 0.81 0.75 -.06 0.02 0.02 0.00( 0.06) ( 0.06) ( 0.06) ( 0.08)
11 0.94 0.93 -.01 0.82 0.83 0.01 0.94 0.78 -.16 -.00 -.15 -.15( 0.06) ( 0.07) ( 0.07) ( 0.10)
12 1.13 1.17 0.04 1.05 0.97 -.08 0.96 1.07 0.11 -.17 -.09 0.08( 0.08) ( 0.07) ( 0.07) ( 0.11)
13 1.61 1.54 -.08 1.40 1.37 -.04 1.37 1.32 -.06 -.24 -.22 0.02( 0.09) ( 0.09) ( 0.09) ( 0.13)
14 2.09 1.94 -.14 1.75 1.74 -.01 1.83 1.73 -.10 -.26 -.21 0.05( 0.11) ( 0.10) ( 0.11) ( 0.16)
15 2.47 2.60 0.13 2.35 2.27 -.09 2.33 2.17 -.16 -.14 -.43 -.28( 0.12) ( 0.13) ( 0.13) ( 0.18)
16 3.22 3.30 0.08 2.80 2.75 -.05 2.99 3.11 0.12 -.23 -.19 0.04( 0.16) ( 0.15) ( 0.16) ( 0.22)
-- --
Table A.1(c)Av erage Schooling Gap (= potential grade level - actual grade level)
for male children, by age and treatment status
Oct. 97 Oct. 98 Nov. 99 Change from97 to 99
age con trt diff con trt diff con trt diff con trt diff
6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00( 0.00) ( 0.00) ( 0.00) ( 0.00)
7 0.21 0.18 -.03 0.29 0.22 -.07 0.28 0.23 -.04 0.06 0.05 -.01( 0.02) ( 0.03) ( 0.03) ( 0.03)
8 0.47 0.43 -.04 0.47 0.42 -.04 0.50 0.44 -.06 0.03 0.01 -.02( 0.03) ( 0.03) ( 0.04) ( 0.05)
9 0.74 0.66 -.08 0.65 0.56 -.08 0.57 0.63 0.06 -.17 -.03 0.14( 0.05) ( 0.05) ( 0.05) ( 0.07)
10 0.88 0.84 -.04 0.97 0.72 -.25 0.97 0.85 -.12 0.10 0.02 -.08( 0.05) ( 0.06) ( 0.06) ( 0.08)
11 1.05 1.06 0.02 1.05 0.94 -.11 1.12 1.00 -.13 0.08 -.06 -.14( 0.07) ( 0.07) ( 0.07) ( 0.10)
12 1.44 1.36 -.08 1.13 1.17 0.04 1.26 1.13 -.13 -.18 -.23 -.05( 0.08) ( 0.08) ( 0.08) ( 0.12)
13 1.78 1.60 -.18 1.51 1.40 -.11 1.56 1.40 -.16 -.22 -.20 0.02( 0.09) ( 0.09) ( 0.10) ( 0.14)
14 2.16 2.06 -.10 1.91 1.64 -.27 1.96 1.66 -.30 -.21 -.40 -.19( 0.11) ( 0.10) ( 0.11) ( 0.15)
15 2.75 2.63 -.12 2.26 2.26 -.00 2.73 2.28 -.46 -.02 -.36 -.34( 0.12) ( 0.12) ( 0.14) ( 0.19)
16 3.38 3.28 -.10 3.18 2.88 -.30 3.07 3.06 -.01 -.31 -.22 0.09( 0.17) ( 0.15) ( 0.15) ( 0.23)
--
--
Tabl
e A
.2(a
)E
ligib
le C
ontr
ol T
rans
ition
Mat
rix fo
r G
irls
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)0.
12
0.07
0.05
P(2
| G
)0.
85
0.62
0.45
P(1
| G
)...
0.
300.
36P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
03
0.01
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...0.
14N
o. o
bs73
.0
254
42.0
P(G
)0.
20
0.69
0.11
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
for
Boy
sA
ge 6
->
Age
7G
rade
(G
)2
1N
EP
(3 |
G)
0.14
0.
100.
02P
(2 |
G)
0.86
0.
510.
33P
(1 |
G)
...
0.36
0.47
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.02
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...0.
18N
o. o
bs56
.0
245
45.0
P(G
)0.
16
0.71
0.13
Girl
-Boy
Diff
eren
ces
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)-.
02
-.04
0.03
P(2
| G
)-.
01
0.11
0.12
P(1
| G
)...
-.
06-.
11P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
03
-.02
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...-.
03N
o. o
bs12
9 49
987
.0p-
valu
e0.
44
0.05
0.57
--
--
-2
-
Tabl
e A
.2(b
)E
ligib
le C
ontr
ol T
rans
ition
Mat
rix fo
r G
irls
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)0.
15
0.12
0.05
1.
000.
04P
(3 |
G)
0.85
0.
660.
22
...0.
17P
(2 |
G)
...
0.22
0.58
...
0.29
P(1
| G
)...
...
0.12
...
0.21
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.01
0.03
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...
......
0.
29N
o. o
bs34
.0
212
74.0
1.
0024
.0P
(G)
0.10
0.
610.
21
0.00
0.07
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
for
Boy
sA
ge 7
->
Age
8G
rade
(G
)3
21
Dro
pN
EP
(4 |
G)
0.19
0.
090.
04
...0.
14P
(3 |
G)
0.81
0.
530.
22
...0.
21P
(2 |
G)
...
0.37
0.57
...
0.21
P(1
| G
)...
...
0.15
...
0.10
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.01
0.01
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...
......
0.
34N
o. o
bs36
.0
255
91.0
...
29.0
P(G
)0.
09
0.62
0.22
0.
000.
07
Girl
-Boy
Diff
eren
ces
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)-.
05
0.03
0.
011.
00
-.10
P(3
| G
)0.
05
0.12
-.00
...
-.04
P(2
| G
)...
-.
160.
01
...0.
08P
(1 |
G)
...
...-.
03
...0.
10P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
000.
02
......
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...-.
05N
o. o
bs70
.0
467
165
1.00
53.0
p-va
lue
0.60
0.
00
0.91
1.00
0.
58
--
--
-3
-
Tabl
e A
.2(c
)E
ligib
le C
ontr
ol T
rans
ition
Mat
rix fo
r G
irls
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(5 |
G)
0.06
0.
08
0.03
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
0.94
0.
63
0.17
0.32
0.
670.
11P
(3 |
G)
...
0.28
0.63
0.
12...
0.
33P
(2 |
G)
...
...0.
15
0.36
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
0.
16...
0.
17P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
010.
02
0.04
0.33
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
0.
39N
o. o
bs34
.0
175
119
25.0
3.00
18
.0P
(G)
0.09
0.
47
0.32
0.07
0.
05.
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
for
Boy
sA
ge 8
->
Age
9G
rade
(G
)4
3 2
1D
rop
NE
P(5
| G
)0.
20
0.06
0.
02...
...
...
P(4
| G
)0.
80
0.61
0.
150.
24
0.33
...P
(3 |
G)
...
0.33
0.57
0.
240.
67
0.29
P(2
| G
)...
...
0.25
0.
38...
0.
06P
(1 |
G)
...
......
0.
14...
0.
06P
(Dro
p | G
)...
...
0.01
...
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
0.59
No.
obs
30.0
15
313
8 21
.03.
00
17.0
P(G
)0.
08
0.42
0.
380.
06
0.05
.
Girl
-Boy
Diff
eren
ces
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(5 |
G)
-.14
0.
02
0.01
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
0.14
0.
03
0.02
0.08
0.
330.
11P
(3 |
G)
...
-.05
0.07
-.
12-.
67
0.04
P(2
| G
)...
...
-.10
-.
02...
-.
06P
(1 |
G)
...
......
0.
02...
0.
11P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
010.
01
0.04
0.33
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
-.
20N
o. o
bs64
.0
328
257
46.0
6.00
35
.0p-
valu
e0.
09
0.52
0.
330.
72
0.19
0.33
--
--
-4
-
Tabl
e A
.2(d
)E
ligib
le C
ontr
ol T
rans
ition
Mat
rix fo
r G
irls
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
4 3
21
Dro
p N
EP
(6 |
G)
0.18
0.
07
0.01
...
......
...
P(5
| G
)0.
82
0.65
0.
180.
09
...0.
20
...P
(4 |
G)
...
0.27
0.61
0.
120.
25
0.60
0.33
P(3
| G
)...
...
0.17
0.
50...
...
0.08
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
0.26
0.50
...
0.25
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
010.
02
0.03
0.25
0.
20...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
0.33
No.
obs
28.0
13
912
1 34
.04.
00
5.00
12
.0P
(G)
0.08
0.
41
0.35
0.10
0.
010.
01
0.03
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
for
Boy
sA
ge 9
->
Age
10
Gra
de (
G)
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(6
| G
)0.
15
0.06
0.
02...
...
...
...P
(5 |
G)
0.85
0.
61
0.16
0.10
...
0.33
...
P(4
| G
)...
0.
330.
56
0.21
0.
080.
33
...P
(3 |
G)
...
...0.
25
0.52
0.
230.
33
0.17
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
0.16
0.46
...
0.17
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
15
...0.
17P
(Dro
p | G
)...
...
0.01
0.
02
0.08
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...0.
50N
o. o
bs20
.0
127
102
58.0
13.0
3.
006.
00P
(G)
0.06
0.
39
0.31
0.18
0.
040.
01
0.02
Girl
-Boy
Diff
eren
ces
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
4 3
21
Dro
p N
EP
(6 |
G)
0.03
0.
02-.
01
......
...
...
P(5
| G
)-.
03
0.04
0.
02-.
02
...-.
13
...P
(4 |
G)
...
-.06
0.05
-.
090.
17
0.27
0.33
P(3
| G
)...
...
-.08
-.
02
-.23
-.33
-.
08P
(2 |
G)
...
......
0.
110.
04
...0.
08P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
-.15
...
-.17
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.01
0.01
0.
01
0.17
0.20
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
-.17
No.
obs
48.0
26
622
3 92
.017
.0
8.00
18.0
p-va
lue
0.79
0.
51
0.49
0.64
0.
540.
45
0.32
--
--
-5
-
Tabl
e A
.2(e
)E
ligib
le C
ontr
ol T
rans
ition
Mat
rix fo
r G
irls
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)0.
23
0.11
0.
01...
...
...
0.14
...
P(6
| G
)0.
77
0.71
0.
190.
07
......
0.
14
...P
(5 |
G)
...
0.16
0.63
0.
26
0.09
...
0.43
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
0.16
0.
48
0.05
1.00
0.
14...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
0.19
0.64
...
...
0.17
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
09
......
0.
08P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.02
0.01
...
0.14
...
0.14
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
0.75
No.
obs
26.0
14
510
5 42
.022
.0
1.00
7.00
12
.0P
(G)
0.07
0.
40
0.29
0.12
0.
060.
00
0.02
0.03
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
for
Boy
sA
ge 1
0 ->
Age
11
Gra
de (
G)
65
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(7 |
G)
0.42
0.
09
0.02
...
......
...
...P
(6 |
G)
0.50
0.
65
0.12
0.08
...
...
0.20
...P
(5 |
G)
...
0.23
0.62
0.
13
0.08
...
0.30
...P
(4 |
G)
...
...0.
23
0.50
0.
160.
50
0.10
0.
09P
(3 |
G)
...
......
0.
200.
40
...0.
20
0.18
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
28
0.50
...
0.09
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
08
0.03
0.
010.
08
0.08
...
0.20
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
0.
64N
o. o
bs24
.0
135
125
60.0
25.0
2.
0010
.0
11.0
P(G
)0.
06
0.34
0.
320.
15
0.06
0.01
0.
03
0.03
Girl
-Boy
Diff
eren
ces
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)-.
19
0.02
-.01
...
...
...0.
14
...P
(6 |
G)
0.27
0.
06
0.07
-.01
...
...
-.06
...P
(5 |
G)
...
-.07
0.01
0.
130.
01
...0.
13
...P
(4 |
G)
...
...-.
07
-.02
-.11
0.
500.
04
-.09
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
-.01
0.24
...
-.20
-.
02P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
-.19
-.
50...
-.
01P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
-.08
-.
010.
00
-.08
0.06
...
-.06
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
0.11
No.
obs
50.0
28
023
0 10
247
.0
3.00
17.0
23
.0p-
valu
e0.
09
0.44
0.
410.
22
0.26
0.39
0.
66
0.75
--
--
-6
-
Tabl
e A
.2(f
)E
ligib
le C
ontr
ol T
rans
ition
Mat
rix fo
r G
irls
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
6 5
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(8 |
G)
0.15
0.
05...
...
...
......
...
...P
(7 |
G)
0.69
0.
47
0.18
0.07
...
...
...0.
20
...P
(6 |
G)
...
0.18
0.60
0.
20
0.13
...
......
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
0.18
0.
51
0.17
...
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
0.15
0.54
0.
50...
0.
10...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
13
0.25
...
......
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
1.00
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
15
0.30
0.
030.
07
0.04
0.25
...
0.70
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...1.
00N
o. o
bs13
.0
134
115
55.0
24.0
4.
001.
00
10.0
9.00
P(G
)0.
04
0.37
0.
320.
15
0.07
0.01
0.
000.
03
0.02
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
for
Boy
sA
ge 1
1 ->
Age
12
Gra
de (
G)
76
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(8
| G
)0.
19
0.03
0.
01...
...
...
......
...
P(7
| G
)0.
56
0.63
0.
110.
07
......
...
0.08
...
P(6
| G
)...
0.
200.
66
0.16
0.
05...
...
0.25
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
0.19
0.
51
0.23
...
...0.
17
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
0.
200.
45
0.20
0.
50...
...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
23
0.40
0.
50...
0.
33P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.20
...
......
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
......
P(D
rop
| G)
0.25
0.
15
0.03
0.06
0.
050.
20
...0.
50
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
0.67
No.
obs
16.0
11
210
1 69
.022
.0
5.00
2.00
12
.06.
00P
(G)
0.05
0.
32
0.29
0.20
0.
060.
01
0.01
0.03
0.
02
Girl
-Boy
Diff
eren
ces
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
6 5
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(8 |
G)
-.03
0.
03-.
01
......
...
...
......
P(7
| G
)0.
13
-.15
0.07
0.
00...
...
...
0.12
...P
(6 |
G)
...
-.02
-.06
0.
040.
08
......
-.
25...
P(5
| G
)...
...
-.01
0.
00-.
06
......
-.
17...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
-.06
0.09
0.
30-.
50
0.10
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
-.10
-.
15
-.50
...
-.33
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
-.
201.
00
......
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
......
P(D
rop
| G)
-.10
0.
15
0.01
0.01
-.
000.
05
...0.
20
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
0.33
No.
obs
29.0
24
621
6 12
446
.0
9.00
3.00
22
.015
.0p-
valu
e0.
75
0.02
0.
480.
92
0.75
0.67
0.
220.
18
0.06
--
--
Tabl
e A
.2(g
)E
ligib
le C
ontr
ol T
rans
ition
Mat
rix fo
r G
irls
Age
12
-> A
ge 1
3G
rade
(G
)8
76
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(9
| G
)0.
41
0.02
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(8 |
G)
0.59
0.
61
0.07
0.
04...
...
...
...0.
05
...P
(7 |
G)
...
0.18
0.49
0.
17
0.12
...
...
...0.
10
...P
(6 |
G)
...
...0.
14
0.50
0.
12...
...
...
...
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...
...0.
15
0.46
...
...
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
0.23
0.
38
0.25
...
0.02
...P
(3 |
G)
...
...
...
...
...0.
25
......
0.
020.
10P
(2 |
G)
...
...
...
...
......
0.
50...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
200.
30
0.15
0.
080.
38
0.25
...
0.80
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
0.90
No.
obs
17.0
66
.0
94.0
54
.0
26.0
8.
004.
00
...41
.0
10.0
P(G
)0.
05
0.21
0.
29
0.17
0.
080.
03
0.01
0.
000.
13
0.03
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
for
Boy
sA
ge 1
2 ->
Age
13
Gra
de (
G)
87
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(9 |
G)
0.12
0.
10...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(8
| G
)0.
88
0.68
0.
14
0.09
...
......
...
...
...P
(7 |
G)
...
0.14
0.44
0.
12
0.11
...
......
0.
14...
P(6
| G
)...
...
0.20
0.
49
0.09
0.
06...
...
0.04
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
0.21
0.
34
0.22
...
...0.
04
...P
(4 |
G)
...
...
...
...0.
40
0.33
...
...0.
04
0.20
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
0.17
0.
50...
0.
07...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
0.17
...
...
0.10
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
0.
10P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
080.
23
0.09
0.
06
0.22
0.33
1.
000.
68
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
0.60
No.
obs
17.0
73
.0
96.0
67
.0
35.0
18
.0
6.00
1.00
28
.010
.0P
(G)
0.05
0.
21
0.27
0.
19
0.10
0.
050.
02
0.00
0.08
0.
03
Girl
-Boy
Diff
eren
ces
Age
12
-> A
ge 1
3G
rade
(G
)8
7 6
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(9
| G
)0.
29
-.08
...
......
...
...
...
......
P(8
| G
)-.
29
-.08
-.
06-.
05
......
...
...
0.05
...P
(7 |
G)
...
0.04
0.05
0.
050.
00
......
...
-.05
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
-.06
0.
010.
03
-.06
...
...-.
04
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
-.
060.
12
-.22
...
...-.
04
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
-.17
0.
04
0.25
...
-.01
-.20
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
......
0.
08-.
50
...-.
05
0.10
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
0.33
...
...
-.10
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...-.
10P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
110.
07
0.06
0.02
0.
15-.
08
-1.0
0.13
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...0.
30N
o. o
bs34
.0
139
190
121
61.0
26
.0
10.0
1.00
69
.020
.0p-
valu
e0.
05
0.05
0.
280.
52
0.72
0.
57
0.22
1.00
0.
44
0.23
--
--
-2
-
Tabl
e A
.2(h
)E
ligib
le C
ontr
ol T
rans
ition
Mat
rix fo
r G
irls
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
8 7
6 5
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(10
| G)
0.67
0.
04...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(9
| G
)0.
33
0.76
0.
13
0.02
...
......
...
...
0.02
...
P(8
| G
)...
0.
180.
51
0.02
0.
05...
...
...
...0.
02
...P
(7 |
G)
...
...0.
11
0.28
0.
05
0.08
...
...
...0.
03
...P
(6 |
G)
...
......
0.
160.
52
0.25
0.29
...
...
0.01
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
0.19
0.
500.
29
......
...
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
0.01
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
......
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.02
0.25
0.
51
0.19
0.
170.
14
......
0.
90...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
1.00
No.
obs
6.00
51
.055
.0
43.0
21
.0
12.0
7.
00...
...
91.0
7.
00P
(G)
0.02
0.
17
0.19
0.
15
0.07
0.
040.
02
0.00
0.
000.
31
0.02
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
for
Boy
sA
ge 1
3 ->
Age
14
Gra
de (
G)
98
76
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(1
0 | G
)0.
09
0.07
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(9 |
G)
0.73
0.
61
0.13
0.
08...
...
...
...
......
...
P(8
| G
)...
0.
230.
62
0.12
0.
08...
...
...
...0.
08
...P
(7 |
G)
...
...0.
04
0.27
0.
08
0.15
...
...
...0.
06
...P
(6 |
G)
...
...
...0.
06
0.50
0.
20...
...
...
0.08
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...
0.22
0.
350.
50
......
0.
02...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
0.
33...
0.
020.
33P
(3 |
G)
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
...
...
...
...
......
0.
67...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
18
0.09
0.
21
0.47
0.
11
0.30
...
...
...0.
74
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
0.67
No.
obs
11.0
44
.0
47.0
49
.0
36.0
20
.0
4.00
3.00
...
62.0
3.
00P
(G)
0.04
0.
16
0.17
0.
18
0.13
0.
070.
01
0.01
0.
000.
22
0.01
Girl
-Boy
Diff
eren
ces
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
8 7
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(10
| G)
0.58
-.
03...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...P
(9 |
G)
-.39
0.
15-.
00
-.06
...
...
......
...
0.02
...
P(8
| G
)...
-.
05
-.11
-.10
-.
04...
...
...
...-.
06
...P
(7 |
G)
...
...0.
07
0.01
-.04
-.
07...
...
...
-.03
...P
(6 |
G)
...
......
0.
100.
02
0.05
0.
29...
...
-.07
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...-.
03
0.15
-.21
...
...
-.02
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...-.
36
-.33
...
-.01
-.33
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
0.14
...
...
......
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
-.67
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)-.
18
-.07
0.04
0.
04
0.08
-.13
0.
14...
...
0.16
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
......
0.
33N
o. o
bs17
.0
95.0
102
92.0
57.0
32
.0
11.0
3.
00...
15
310
.00.
02
0.01
0.00
0.
27
0.02
p-va
lue
0.04
0.
290.
54
0.15
0.
89
0.73
0.
431.
00
.0.
06
0.11
--
--
-3
-
Tabl
e A
.2(i)
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
for
Girl
sA
ge 1
4 ->
Age
15
Gra
de (
G)
10
98
76
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(1
1 | G
)0.
33
0.09
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...P
(10
| G)
0.50
0.
17
0.10
...
......
...
...
...
...
0.03
...
P(9
| G
)...
0.
310.
77
0.15
...
......
...
...
...
0.03
...
P(8
| G
)...
...
0.10
0.
31
0.10
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(7
| G
)...
...
...
0.04
0.25
0.
11...
...
...
...
0.08
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
05
0.33
...
...
...
...0.
02
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.11
0.
20...
...
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...
......
...
0.50
...
...
......
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.17
0.
43
0.03
0.
50
0.60
0.44
0.
80
0.50
1.
00...
0.
84...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
No.
obs
6.00
35
.030
.0
26.0
20
.0
9.00
5.00
2.
00
1.00
...
116
7.00
P(G
)0.
02
0.14
0.
12
0.10
0.
080.
04
0.02
0.
01
0.00
0.
000.
46
0.03
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
for
Boy
sA
ge 1
4 ->
Age
15
Gra
de (
G)
10
98
76
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(1
1 | G
)0.
20
0.03
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...P
(10
| G)
0.20
0.
29
0.06
0.
03...
...
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(9 |
G)
...
0.18
0.67
0.
21
0.15
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(8 |
G)
...
...0.
21
0.44
0.
06
0.06
...
...
...
...0.
05
...P
(7 |
G)
...
......
0.
080.
24
0.12
...
...
...
...0.
05
...P
(6 |
G)
...
......
...
0.09
0.
410.
13
......
...
0.02
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...
...0.
06
0.25
...
...
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
0.08
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
0.08
P(D
rop
| G)
0.60
0.
50
0.06
0.
26
0.45
0.
350.
63
......
...
0.88
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
0.85
No.
obs
5.00
34
.048
.0
39.0
33
.0
17.0
8.
00...
...
...
88.0
13
.0P
(G)
0.02
0.
12
0.17
0.
14
0.12
0.
060.
03
0.00
0.
00
0.00
0.31
0.
05
Girl
-Boy
Diff
eren
ces
Age
14
-> A
ge 1
5G
rade
(G
)10
9
87
65
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(11
| G)
0.13
0.
06...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...P
(10
| G)
0.30
-.
120.
04
-.03
...
...
......
...
...
0.02
...P
(9 |
G)
...
0.14
0.10
-.
05
-.15
...
......
...
...
0.03
...P
(8 |
G)
...
...-.
11
-.13
0.04
-.
06...
...
...
...-.
05
...P
(7 |
G)
...
......
-.
040.
01
-.01
...
......
...
0.03
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
...-.
04
-.08
-.
13...
...
...
-.01
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.05
-.
05...
...
...
......
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...-.
08P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
...
......
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
......
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...-.
08P
(Dro
p | G
)-.
43
-.07
-.
030.
24
0.15
0.
09
0.18
0.50
1.
00
...-.
04
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
0.15
No.
obs
11.0
69
.0
78.0
65.0
53
.0
26.0
13
.0
2.00
1.00
...
204
20.0
p-va
lue
0.32
0.
31
0.53
0.34
0.
39
0.92
0.
671.
00
1.00
.0.
07
0.55
--
--
-4
-
--
--
Tabl
e A
.3(a
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)0.
15
0.04
0.02
P(2
| G
)0.
85
0.67
0.36
P(1
| G
)...
0.
270.
44P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
02...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
0.18
No.
obs
106
394
55.0
P(G
)0.
19
0.71
0.10
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)0.
12
0.07
0.05
P(2
| G
)0.
85
0.62
0.45
P(1
| G
)...
0.
300.
36P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
03
0.01
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...0.
14N
o. o
bs73
.0
254
42.0
P(G
)0.
20
0.69
0.11
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Girl
s O
nly
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)0.
03
-.03
-.03
P(2
| G
)-.
00
0.05
-.09
P(1
| G
)...
-.
030.
08P
(Dro
p | G
)-.
03
0.01
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...0.
04N
o. o
bs17
9 64
897
.0p-
valu
e0.
21
0.27
0.63
--
--
-2
-
Tabl
e A
.3(b
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)0.
25
0.10
0.
05...
0.
13P
(3 |
G)
0.74
0.
68
0.20
1.00
0.
22P
(2 |
G)
...
0.22
0.63
...
0.31
P(1
| G
)...
...
0.09
...
0.16
P(D
rop
| G)
0.01
0.
00
0.04
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
0.19
No.
obs
73.0
39
712
8 2.
0032
.0P
(G)
0.12
0.
63
0.20
0.00
0.
05
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)0.
15
0.12
0.05
1.
000.
04P
(3 |
G)
0.85
0.
660.
22
...0.
17P
(2 |
G)
...
0.22
0.58
...
0.29
P(1
| G
)...
...
0.12
...
0.21
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.01
0.03
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...
......
0.
29N
o. o
bs34
.0
212
74.0
1.
0024
.0P
(G)
0.10
0.
610.
21
0.00
0.07
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Girl
s O
nly
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)0.
10
-.02
-.
01-1
.0
0.08
P(3
| G
)-.
11
0.02
-.02
1.
000.
05P
(2 |
G)
...
0.00
0.05
...
0.02
P(1
| G
)...
...
-.04
...
-.05
P(D
rop
| G)
0.01
-.
010.
01
......
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...-.
10N
o. o
bs10
7 60
9 20
23.
00
56.0
p-va
lue
0.38
0.
61
0.89
0.08
0.
71
--
--
-3
-
Tabl
e A
.3(c
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(5 |
G)
0.17
0.
06
0.02
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
0.83
0.
74
0.27
0.21
0.
630.
10P
(3 |
G)
...
0.20
0.51
0.
290.
13
0.15
P(2
| G
)...
...
0.20
0.
460.
25
0.15
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
0.04
...
0.15
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.01
...
......
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
0.
45N
o. o
bs53
.0
304
183
24.0
8.00
20
.0P
(G)
0.09
0.
51
0.31
0.04
0.
03.
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(5 |
G)
0.06
0.
08
0.03
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
0.94
0.
63
0.17
0.32
0.
670.
11P
(3 |
G)
...
0.28
0.63
0.
12...
0.
33P
(2 |
G)
...
...0.
15
0.36
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
0.
16...
0.
17P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
010.
02
0.04
0.33
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
0.
39N
o. o
bs34
.0
175
119
25.0
3.00
18
.0P
(G)
0.09
0.
47
0.32
0.07
0.
05.
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Girl
s O
nly
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(5 |
G)
0.11
-.
02
-.01
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
-.11
0.
11
0.10
-.11
-.
04
-.01
P(3
| G
)...
-.
08-.
12
0.17
0.13
-.
18P
(2 |
G)
...
...0.
05
0.10
0.25
0.
15P
(1 |
G)
...
......
-.
12...
-.
02P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
00-.
02
-.04
-.33
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
0.
06N
o. o
bs87
.0
479
302
49.0
11.0
38
.0p-
valu
e0.
13
0.11
0.
060.
26
0.28
0.
39
--
--
-4
-
Tabl
e A
.3(d
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
4 3
21
Dro
p N
EP
(6 |
G)
0.22
0.
05
0.01
...
...0.
14
...P
(5 |
G)
0.78
0.
75
0.18
0.14
...
0.43
...
P(4
| G
)...
0.
190.
58
0.26
0.44
0.
290.
19P
(3 |
G)
...
...0.
22
0.46
0.33
0.
140.
19P
(2 |
G)
...
......
0.
11...
...
0.19
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
22
...0.
13P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
010.
01
0.03
...
......
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
0.31
No.
obs
32.0
27
918
7 70
.09.
00
7.00
16
.0P
(G)
0.05
0.
47
0.31
0.12
0.
020.
01
0.03
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
4 3
21
Dro
p N
EP
(6 |
G)
0.18
0.
07
0.01
...
......
...
P(5
| G
)0.
82
0.65
0.
180.
09
...0.
20
...P
(4 |
G)
...
0.27
0.61
0.
120.
25
0.60
0.33
P(3
| G
)...
...
0.17
0.
50...
...
0.08
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
0.26
0.50
...
0.25
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
010.
02
0.03
0.25
0.
20...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
0.33
No.
obs
28.0
13
912
1 34
.04.
00
5.00
12
.0P
(G)
0.08
0.
41
0.35
0.10
0.
010.
01
0.03
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Girl
s O
nly
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
4 3
21
Dro
pN
EP
(6 |
G)
0.04
-.
020.
00
......
0.
14...
P(5
| G
)-.
04
0.09
...
0.05
...
0.23
...P
(4 |
G)
...
-.07
-.03
0.
140.
19
-.31
-.
15P
(3 |
G)
...
...0.
05
-.04
0.33
0.
14
0.10
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
-.15
-.50
...
-.06
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
22
...0.
13P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
00-.
02
-.00
-.25
-.
20...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
-.02
No.
obs
60.0
41
830
8 10
413
.0
12.0
28
.0p-
valu
e0.
70
0.24
0.
510.
21
0.06
0.41
0.
60
--
--
-5
-
Tabl
e A
.3(e
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)0.
28
0.02
0.
02...
...
...
0.18
...P
(6 |
G)
0.67
0.
77
0.21
0.11
...
...
0.18
...P
(5 |
G)
...
0.19
0.61
0.
16
0.17
...
0.27
...P
(4 |
G)
...
...0.
15
0.49
0.
171.
00
......
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
0.22
0.50
...
0.09
0.
33P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
0.17
...
0.09
0.
11P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.04
0.
02
0.02
0.03
...
...
0.18
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
0.
56N
o. o
bs46
.0
212
185
74.0
18.0
2.
0011
.0
9.00
P(G
)0.
08
0.38
0.
330.
13
0.03
0.00
0.
020.
02
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)0.
23
0.11
0.
01...
...
...
0.14
...
P(6
| G
)0.
77
0.71
0.
190.
07
......
0.
14
...P
(5 |
G)
...
0.16
0.63
0.
26
0.09
...
0.43
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
0.16
0.
48
0.05
1.00
0.
14...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
0.19
0.64
...
...
0.17
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
09
......
0.
08P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.02
0.01
...
0.14
...
0.14
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
0.75
No.
obs
26.0
14
510
5 42
.022
.0
1.00
7.00
12
.0P
(G)
0.07
0.
40
0.29
0.12
0.
060.
00
0.02
0.03
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Girl
s O
nly
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)0.
05
-.09
0.01
...
...
...0.
04
...P
(6 |
G)
-.10
0.
06
0.02
0.04
...
...
0.04
...P
(5 |
G)
...
0.03
-.02
-.
100.
08
...-.
16
...P
(4 |
G)
...
...-.
01
0.01
0.12
...
-.14
...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
0.03
-.14
...
0.09
0.
17P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
0.08
...
0.09
0.
03P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.04
-.
000.
01
0.03
-.14
...
0.04
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
-.19
No.
obs
72.0
35
729
0 11
640
.0
3.00
18.0
21
.0p-
valu
e0.
47
0.01
0.
950.
57
0.27
1.00
0.
77
0.63
--
--
-6
-
Tabl
e A
.3(f
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
6 5
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(8 |
G)
0.30
0.
03
0.02
...
......
...
0.09
...
P(7
| G
)0.
70
0.64
0.
200.
13
......
...
0.30
...
P(6
| G
)...
0.
160.
66
0.13
0.
15...
...
...
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...0.
11
0.45
0.
150.
14
...0.
09
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
0.
240.
49
0.43
...
0.17
0.08
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
17
0.14
1.
00...
0.
08P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.29
...
0.04
0.17
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
......
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.16
0.02
0.
04
0.05
...
...0.
30
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
0.67
No.
obs
20.0
20
817
9 89
.041
.0
7.00
1.00
23
.012
.0P
(G)
0.03
0.
36
0.31
0.15
0.
070.
01
0.00
0.04
0.
02
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
6 5
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(8 |
G)
0.15
0.
05...
...
...
......
...
...P
(7 |
G)
0.69
0.
47
0.18
0.07
...
...
...0.
20
...P
(6 |
G)
...
0.18
0.60
0.
20
0.13
...
......
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
0.18
0.
51
0.17
...
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
0.15
0.54
0.
50...
0.
10...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
13
0.25
...
......
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
1.00
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
15
0.30
0.
030.
07
0.04
0.25
...
0.70
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...1.
00N
o. o
bs13
.0
134
115
55.0
24.0
4.
001.
00
10.0
9.00
P(G
)0.
04
0.37
0.
320.
15
0.07
0.01
0.
000.
03
0.02
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Girl
s O
nly
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
6 5
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(8 |
G)
0.15
-.
020.
02
......
...
...
0.09
...P
(7 |
G)
0.01
0.
17
0.01
0.06
...
...
...0.
10
...P
(6 |
G)
...
-.02
0.06
-.
070.
02
......
...
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...-.
07
-.06
-.02
0.
14...
0.
09...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
0.09
-.05
-.
07...
0.
070.
08P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
0.05
-.
111.
00
...0.
08P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.29
-1.0
0.
040.
17P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)-.
15
-.14
-.
02-.
03
0.01
-.25
...
-.40
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...-.
33N
o. o
bs33
.0
342
294
144
65.0
11
.02.
00
33.0
21.0
p-va
lue
0.15
0.
01
0.21
0.38
0.
98
0.45
0.16
0.
38
0.30
--
--
Tabl
e A
.3(g
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
12
-> A
ge 1
3G
rade
(G
)8
7 6
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(9
| G
)0.
33
0.05
0.
01...
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(8 |
G)
0.67
0.
58
0.14
0.05
...
...
......
0.
06...
P(7
| G
)...
0.
270.
54
0.20
0.
10...
...
...
0.27
...P
(6 |
G)
...
...0.
08
0.55
0.
12
0.20
...
...0.
02
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
0.
180.
56
0.20
...
...0.
01
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
0.17
0.
30...
...
0.02
0.
07P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.10
0.25
1.
000.
01
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
0.07
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.10
0.23
0.
01
0.05
0.
200.
75
...0.
60
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
0.87
No.
obs
15.0
10
515
8 76
.041
.0
10.0
4.
001.
00
94.0
15.0
P(G
)0.
03
0.20
0.
300.
15
0.08
0.
020.
01
0.00
0.18
0.
03
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
12
-> A
ge 1
3G
rade
(G
)8
76
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(9
| G
)0.
41
0.02
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(8 |
G)
0.59
0.
61
0.07
0.
04...
...
...
...0.
05
...P
(7 |
G)
...
0.18
0.49
0.
17
0.12
...
...
...0.
10
...P
(6 |
G)
...
...0.
14
0.50
0.
12...
...
...
...
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...
...0.
15
0.46
...
...
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
0.23
0.
38
0.25
...
0.02
...P
(3 |
G)
...
...
...
...
...0.
25
......
0.
020.
10P
(2 |
G)
...
...
...
...
......
0.
50...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
200.
30
0.15
0.
080.
38
0.25
...
0.80
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
0.90
No.
obs
17.0
66
.0
94.0
54
.0
26.0
8.
004.
00
...41
.0
10.0
P(G
)0.
05
0.21
0.
29
0.17
0.
080.
03
0.01
0.
000.
13
0.03
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Girl
s O
nly
Age
12
-> A
ge 1
3G
rade
(G
)8
7 6
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(9
| G
)-.
08
0.03
0.
01...
...
...
......
0.
01...
P(8
| G
)0.
08
-.03
0.06
0.
02...
...
...
...0.
02
...P
(7 |
G)
...
0.08
0.05
0.
03-.
02
......
...
0.17
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
-.06
0.
050.
01
0.20
...
...0.
02
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
0.
040.
10
0.20
...
...0.
01
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
-.06
-.
08-.
25
...-.
00
0.07
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
......
-.
150.
25
1.00
-.01
-.
10P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...-.
50
......
0.
07P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)...
-.
09-.
06
-.13
-.03
-.
180.
50
...-.
21
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
-.03
No.
obs
32.0
17
125
2 13
067
.0
18.0
8.
001.
00
135
25.0
p-va
lue
0.65
0.
17
0.18
0.06
0.
93
0.36
0.17
1.
000.
34
0.42
--
--
-2
-
Tabl
e A
.3(h
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
8 7
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(10
| G)
0.40
0.
030.
01
......
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(9 |
G)
0.53
0.
810.
14
0.04
...
......
...
...
0.03
...
P(8
| G
)...
0.
140.
54
0.14
0.
02...
...
...
...0.
04
...P
(7 |
G)
...
...0.
12
0.47
0.
07...
...
...
...0.
21
...P
(6 |
G)
...
......
0.
130.
63
0.25
0.14
...
...
......
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
15
0.56
0.29
...
...
0.01
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.13
0.43
...
...
...0.
09P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
07
0.02
0.19
0.
22
0.12
0.
060.
14
......
0.
70...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
......
0.
91N
o. o
bs15
.0
63.0
109
72.0
41.0
16
.0
7.00
...
...13
2 11
.0P
(G)
0.03
0.
140.
23
0.15
0.
09
0.03
0.02
0.
00
0.00
0.28
0.
02
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
8 7
6 5
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(10
| G)
0.67
0.
04...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(9
| G
)0.
33
0.76
0.
13
0.02
...
......
...
...
0.02
...
P(8
| G
)...
0.
180.
51
0.02
0.
05...
...
...
...0.
02
...P
(7 |
G)
...
...0.
11
0.28
0.
05
0.08
...
...
...0.
03
...P
(6 |
G)
...
......
0.
160.
52
0.25
0.29
...
...
0.01
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
0.19
0.
500.
29
......
...
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
0.01
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
......
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.02
0.25
0.
51
0.19
0.
170.
14
......
0.
90...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
1.00
No.
obs
6.00
51
.055
.0
43.0
21
.0
12.0
7.
00...
...
91.0
7.
00P
(G)
0.02
0.
17
0.19
0.
15
0.07
0.
040.
02
0.00
0.
000.
31
0.02
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Girl
s O
nly
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
8 7
65
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(10
| G)
-.27
-.
010.
01
......
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(9 |
G)
0.20
0.
04
0.01
0.02
...
...
......
...
0.01
...
P(8
| G
)...
-.
030.
03
0.12
-.02
...
...
......
0.
02...
P(7
| G
)...
...
0.01
0.
190.
03
-.08
...
......
0.
18...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
-.04
0.11
...
-.14
...
...
-.01
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
-.04
0.
06...
...
...
0.01
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.13
0.29
...
...
-.01
0.09
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
-.14
...
...
......
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.07
-.
00
-.06
-.29
-.
07
-.10
...
......
-.
20...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
......
-.
09N
o. o
bs21
.0
114
164
115
62.0
28
.0
14.0
...
...
223
18.0
0.02
0.
00
0.00
0.29
0.
02p-
valu
e0.
50
0.95
0.
860.
01
0.87
0.
47
0.67
..
0.
01
0.41
--
--
-3
-
Tabl
e A
.3(i)
Elig
ible
Tre
atm
ent T
rans
ition
Mat
rix, G
irls
Onl
yA
ge 1
4 ->
Age
15
Gra
de (
G)
10
98
76
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(1
1 | G
)...
0.
04...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
0 | G
)0.
57
0.18
0.
12
0.05
...
......
...
...
...
0.02
...
P(9
| G
)...
0.
220.
64
0.26
0.
09...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
P(8
| G
)...
...
0.20
0.
28
0.09
...
...
...
...
...0.
02
...P
(7 |
G)
...
......
0.
210.
41
0.25
0.
22...
...
...
0.07
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
13
0.50
0.
33...
...
...
...
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.25
...
1.00
...
...
......
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.43
0.
55
0.04
0.
21
0.28
...
0.44
...
...
...0.
86
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
1.
00N
o. o
bs7.
00
49.0
50.0
43
.0
32.0
4.
009.
00
1.00
...
...17
7 23
.0P
(G)
0.02
0.
13
0.13
0.
11
0.08
0.01
0.
02
0.00
0.
00
0.00
0.46
0.
06
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Girl
s O
nly
Age
14
-> A
ge 1
5G
rade
(G
)10
9
87
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(11
| G)
0.33
0.
09...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
0 | G
)0.
50
0.17
0.
10...
...
...
...
...
...
...0.
03
...P
(9 |
G)
...
0.31
0.77
0.
15...
...
...
...
...
...0.
03
...P
(8 |
G)
...
...0.
10
0.31
0.
10...
...
...
...
...
...
...P
(7 |
G)
...
......
0.
040.
25
0.11
...
...
...
...0.
08
...P
(6 |
G)
...
......
...
0.05
0.
33...
...
...
...
0.02
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...
...0.
11
0.20
...
...
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...0.
50
......
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
17
0.43
0.
03
0.50
0.
600.
44
0.80
0.
50
1.00
...
0.84
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
1.
00N
o. o
bs6.
00
35.0
30.0
26
.0
20.0
9.
005.
00
2.00
1.
00...
11
67.
00P
(G)
0.02
0.
14
0.12
0.
10
0.08
0.04
0.
02
0.01
0.
00
0.00
0.46
0.
03
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Girl
s O
nly
Age
14
-> A
ge 1
5G
rade
(G
)10
9
87
65
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(11
| G)
-.33
-.
04...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...P
(10
| G)
0.07
0.
01
0.02
0.05
...
...
......
...
...
-.01
...P
(9 |
G)
...
-.09
-.13
0.
10
0.09
...
......
...
...
-.01
...P
(8 |
G)
...
...0.
10
-.03
-.
01...
...
...
......
0.
02...
P(7
| G
)...
...
...
0.17
0.16
0.
14
0.22
...
......
-.
00...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
08
0.17
0.
33...
...
...
-.02
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.14
-.
201.
00
......
...
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
-.50
...
...
......
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
......
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
......
P(D
rop
| G)
0.26
0.
12
0.01
-.29
-.
32
-.44
-.
36-.
50
-1.0
...
0.03
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...N
o. o
bs13
.0
84.0
80
.069
.0
52.0
13
.0
14.0
3.
001.
00
...29
3 30
.0p-
valu
e0.
21
0.58
0.
640.
05
0.16
0.
44
0.15
0.22
1.
00.
0.32
1.
00
--
--
-4
-
--
--
Tabl
e A
.4(a
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)0.
12
0.08
0.03
P(2
| G
)0.
88
0.69
0.43
P(1
| G
)...
0.
230.
30P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
00...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
0.23
No.
obs
115
430
60.0
P(G
)0.
19
0.71
0.10
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)0.
14
0.10
0.02
P(2
| G
)0.
86
0.51
0.33
P(1
| G
)...
0.
360.
47P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
02...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
0.18
No.
obs
56.0
24
545
.0P
(G)
0.16
0.
710.
13
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Boy
s O
nly
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)-.
02
-.02
0.01
P(2
| G
)0.
02
0.17
0.
10P
(1 |
G)
...
-.13
-.17
P(D
rop
| G)
...
-.02
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...0.
06N
o. o
bs17
1 67
5 10
5p-
valu
e0.
70
0.00
0.
38
--
--
-2
-
Tabl
e A
.4(b
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)0.
33
0.11
0.
05...
0.
12P
(3 |
G)
0.67
0.
64
0.22
0.50
0.
18P
(2 |
G)
...
0.25
0.60
0.
500.
42P
(1 |
G)
...
...0.
11
...0.
18P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
010.
02
......
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...0.
09N
o. o
bs55
.0
378
124
8.00
33.0
P(G
)0.
09
0.63
0.
210.
01
0.06
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)0.
19
0.09
0.04
...
0.14
P(3
| G
)0.
81
0.53
0.22
...
0.21
P(2
| G
)...
0.
370.
57
...0.
21P
(1 |
G)
...
...0.
15
...0.
10P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
010.
01
......
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
0.34
No.
obs
36.0
25
591
.0
...29
.0P
(G)
0.09
0.
620.
22
0.00
0.07
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Boy
s O
nly
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)0.
13
0.02
0.
00...
-.
02P
(3 |
G)
-.13
0.
10-.
00
0.50
-.03
P(2
| G
)...
-.
130.
03
0.50
0.22
P(1
| G
)...
...
-.04
...
0.08
P(D
rop
| G)
...
-.00
0.01
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
-.25
No.
obs
91.0
63
321
5 8.
0062
.0p-
valu
e0.
17
0.01
0.
921.
00
0.10
--
--
-3
-
Tabl
e A
.4(c
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(5 |
G)
0.21
0.
07
0.04
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
0.79
0.
66
0.22
0.29
1.
000.
14P
(3 |
G)
...
0.27
0.56
0.
20...
0.
14P
(2 |
G)
...
...0.
18
0.46
...
0.27
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
0.05
...
0.18
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.00
0.00
...
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
0.27
No.
obs
57.0
31
425
1 41
.05.
00
22.0
P(G
)0.
08
0.46
0.
360.
06
0.03
.
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(5 |
G)
0.20
0.
06
0.02
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
0.80
0.
61
0.15
0.24
0.
33...
P(3
| G
)...
0.
330.
57
0.24
0.67
0.
29P
(2 |
G)
...
...0.
25
0.38
...
0.06
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
0.14
...
0.06
P(D
rop
| G)
...
...0.
01
......
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
0.
59N
o. o
bs30
.0
153
138
21.0
3.00
17
.0P
(G)
0.08
0.
42
0.38
0.06
0.
05.
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Boy
s O
nly
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(5 |
G)
0.01
0.
01
0.01
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
-.01
0.
05
0.07
0.05
0.
670.
14P
(3 |
G)
...
-.07
-.00
-.
04-.
67
-.16
P(2
| G
)...
...
-.07
0.
08...
0.
21P
(1 |
G)
...
......
-.
09...
0.
12P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
00-.
00
......
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
-.
32N
o. o
bs87
.0
467
389
62.0
8.00
39
.0p-
valu
e0.
91
0.46
0.
270.
57
0.04
0.05
--
--
-4
-
Tabl
e A
.4(d
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
4 3
21
Dro
pN
EP
(6 |
G)
0.30
0.
07
0.03
...
......
...
P(5
| G
)0.
70
0.69
0.
19
0.16
...
0.58
...P
(4 |
G)
...
0.24
0.63
0.
220.
50
0.17
0.
36P
(3 |
G)
...
...0.
15
0.43
...
0.17
0.09
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
0.16
0.50
...
0.09
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
000.
01
0.03
...
0.08
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...0.
45N
o. o
bs40
.0
245
185
107
6.00
12
.011
.0P
(G)
0.07
0.
40
0.31
0.
180.
01
0.02
0.
02
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
4 3
21
Dro
p N
EP
(6 |
G)
0.15
0.
06
0.02
...
......
...
P(5
| G
)0.
85
0.61
0.
160.
10
...0.
33
...P
(4 |
G)
...
0.33
0.56
0.
21
0.08
0.33
...
P(3
| G
)...
...
0.25
0.
52
0.23
0.33
0.
17P
(2 |
G)
...
......
0.
160.
46
...0.
17P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
0.15
...
0.17
P(D
rop
| G)
...
...0.
01
0.02
0.
08...
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
0.50
No.
obs
20.0
12
710
2 58
.013
.0
3.00
6.00
P(G
)0.
06
0.39
0.
310.
18
0.04
0.01
0.
02
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Boy
s O
nly
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
4 3
21
Dro
pN
EP
(6 |
G)
0.15
0.
01
0.01
...
......
...
P(5
| G
)-.
15
0.07
0.
030.
06
...0.
25
...P
(4 |
G)
...
-.09
0.07
0.
020.
42
-.17
0.36
P(3
| G
)...
...
-.11
-.
09-.
23
-.17
-.
08P
(2 |
G)
...
......
0.
000.
04
...-.
08P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
-.15
...
-.17
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.00
-.00
0.
01-.
08
0.08
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...-.
05N
o. o
bs60
.0
372
287
165
19.0
15
.0
17.0
p-va
lue
0.21
0.
31
0.22
0.79
0.
180.
75
0.35
--
--
-5
-
Tabl
e A
.4(e
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)0.
34
0.05
0.
01...
...
...
......
P(6
| G
)0.
66
0.73
0.
180.
18
......
0.
27...
P(5
| G
)...
0.
210.
64
0.19
0.
14...
0.
18...
P(4
| G
)...
...
0.17
0.
41
0.22
...
0.27
0.16
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
0.18
0.43
0.
500.
18
0.11
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
19
0.50
0.09
0.
21P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
0.
05P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
010.
00
0.03
0.
03...
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
0.
47N
o. o
bs44
.0
226
206
98.0
37.0
2.
0011
.0
19.0
P(G
)0.
07
0.35
0.
320.
15
0.06
0.00
0.
02
0.03
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)0.
42
0.09
0.
02...
...
...
......
P(6
| G
)0.
50
0.65
0.
120.
08
......
0.
20...
P(5
| G
)...
0.
230.
62
0.13
0.
08...
0.
30...
P(4
| G
)...
...
0.23
0.
50
0.16
0.50
0.
10
0.09
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
0.20
0.40
...
0.20
0.
18P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
0.28
0.
50...
0.
09P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.08
0.
03
0.01
0.08
0.
08...
0.
20...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
0.64
No.
obs
24.0
13
512
5 60
.025
.0
2.00
10.0
11
.0P
(G)
0.06
0.
34
0.32
0.15
0.
060.
01
0.03
0.
03
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Boy
s O
nly
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)-.
08
-.04
-.
01...
...
...
......
P(6
| G
)0.
16
0.08
0.
060.
10
......
0.
07...
P(5
| G
)...
-.
020.
02
0.06
0.06
...
-.12
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
-.07
-.
090.
06
-.50
0.17
0.
07P
(3 |
G)
...
......
-.
020.
03
0.50
-.02
-.
08P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
-.09
...
0.09
0.
12P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
0.
05P
(Dro
p | G
)-.
08
-.02
-.
00-.
05
-.05
...
-.20
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
-.
16N
o. o
bs68
.0
361
331
158
62.0
4.
0021
.0
30.0
p-va
lue
0.10
0.
16
0.30
0.19
0.
720.
37
0.50
0.
72
--
--
-6
-
Tabl
e A
.4(f
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
6 5
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(8 |
G)
0.20
0.
07
0.01
...
......
...
0.09
...
P(7
| G
)0.
73
0.68
0.
21
0.13
...
......
0.
22...
P(6
| G
)...
0.
140.
65
0.23
0.11
...
...
0.09
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...0.
12
0.50
0.19
0.
15...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
0.
130.
47
0.23
...
0.04
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
0.19
0.
38...
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.23
...
0.04
0.56
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
......
P(D
rop
| G)
0.07
0.
12
0.01
0.
020.
03
......
0.
52...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...0.
44N
o. o
bs30
.0
161
191
109
36.0
13
.0...
23
.09.
00P
(G)
0.05
0.
28
0.33
0.
190.
06
0.02
0.00
0.
040.
02
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
6 5
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(8 |
G)
0.19
0.
03
0.01
...
......
...
...
...P
(7 |
G)
0.56
0.
63
0.11
0.07
...
...
...0.
08
...P
(6 |
G)
...
0.20
0.66
0.
16
0.05
...
...0.
25
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...0.
19
0.51
0.
23...
...
0.17
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
0.20
0.45
0.
20
0.50
...
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
0.23
0.
40
0.50
...
0.33
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
0.
20...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
25
0.15
0.
030.
06
0.05
0.20
...
0.50
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...0.
67N
o. o
bs16
.0
112
101
69.0
22.0
5.
002.
00
12.0
6.00
P(G
)0.
05
0.32
0.
290.
20
0.06
0.01
0.
010.
03
0.02
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Boy
s O
nly
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
6 5
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(8 |
G)
0.01
0.
04-.
00
......
...
...
0.09
...P
(7 |
G)
0.17
0.
05
0.11
0.06
...
...
...0.
13
...P
(6 |
G)
...
-.06
-.01
0.
070.
07
......
-.
16...
P(5
| G
)...
...
-.07
-.
01-.
03
0.15
...
-.17
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
-.
070.
02
0.03
-.50
0.
04...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...-.
03
-.02
-.50
...
-.33
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
0.
03...
0.
040.
56P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)-.
18
-.03
-.
02-.
04
-.02
-.
20...
0.
02...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...-.
22N
o. o
bs46
.0
273
292
178
58.0
18
.0
2.00
35.0
15
.0p-
valu
e0.
21
0.21
0.
090.
22
0.92
0.
491.
00
0.22
0.
04
--
--
Tabl
e A
.4(g
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
12
-> A
ge 1
3G
rade
(G
)8
7 6
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(9
| G
)0.
19
0.07
0.
01...
...
...
......
...
...P
(8 |
G)
0.81
0.
65
0.10
0.
07...
...
...
...
0.13
...P
(7 |
G)
...
0.22
0.61
0.
140.
11
......
...
0.21
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
0.14
0.
600.
22
0.13
...
...0.
07
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
0.
150.
47
0.13
...
...0.
02
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
0.18
0.
50
0.27
...
0.02
0.25
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
......
0.
210.
45
......
...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
0.18
...
0.02
0.
13P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)...
0.
050.
14
0.05
0.02
0.
04
0.09
...
0.54
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
0.63
No.
obs
21.0
12
915
4 10
345
.0
24.0
11
.0...
56
.08.
00P
(G)
0.04
0.
23
0.28
0.
190.
08
0.04
0.
020.
00
0.10
0.01
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
12
-> A
ge 1
3G
rade
(G
)8
76
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(9
| G
)0.
12
0.10
...
...
...
......
...
...
...P
(8 |
G)
0.88
0.
68
0.14
0.
09...
...
...
......
...
P(7
| G
)...
0.
140.
44
0.12
0.
11...
...
...
0.14
...P
(6 |
G)
...
...0.
20
0.49
0.
09
0.06
...
...0.
04
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...
...0.
21
0.34
0.
22...
...
0.04
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
0.40
0.
33...
...
0.04
0.
20P
(3 |
G)
...
...
...
...
...0.
17
0.50
...
0.07
...P
(2 |
G)
...
...
...
...
...
...0.
17
......
0.
10P
(1 |
G)
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
0.10
P(D
rop
| G)
...
0.08
0.23
0.
09
0.06
0.
220.
33
1.00
0.68
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
0.
60N
o. o
bs17
.0
73.0
96
.0
67.0
35
.0
18.0
6.
001.
00
28.0
10.0
P(G
)0.
05
0.21
0.
27
0.19
0.
10
0.05
0.02
0.
000.
08
0.03
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Boy
s O
nly
Age
12
-> A
ge 1
3G
rade
(G
)8
7 6
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(9
| G
)0.
07
-.03
0.01
...
...
...
......
...
...P
(8 |
G)
-.07
-.
03
-.04
-.02
...
...
......
0.
13...
P(7
| G
)...
0.
090.
17
0.02
-.00
...
...
...0.
07
...P
(6 |
G)
...
...-.
06
0.11
0.14
0.
07...
...
0.04
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
-.06
0.12
-.
10...
...
-.02
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...-.
22
0.17
0.
27...
-.
020.
05P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.04
-.05
...
-.07
...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
0.02
...
0.02
0.
03P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
-.10
P(D
rop
| G)
...
-.03
-.09
-.
04-.
03
-.18
-.
24-1
.0
-.14
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
0.03
No.
obs
38.0
20
225
0 17
080
.0
42.0
17
.01.
00
84.0
18.0
p-va
lue
0.54
0.
41
0.06
0.52
0.
13
0.32
0.
401.
00
0.19
0.
83
--
--
-2
-
Tabl
e A
.4(h
)E
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
8 7
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(10
| G)
0.32
0.
080.
03
......
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(9 |
G)
0.63
0.
750.
18
0.11
...
...
......
...
0.07
...
P(8
| G
)...
0.
140.
54
0.14
0.
16...
...
...
...0.
04
...P
(7 |
G)
...
...0.
16
0.47
0.
07
0.10
...
......
0.
18...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
0.10
0.56
0.
15
0.31
...
...0.
02
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
0.09
0.
30
0.15
0.20
...
0.04
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
......
0.
200.
38
0.20
...
...0.
12P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...0.
08
0.20
...
0.01
0.06
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
0.40
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
05
0.02
0.09
0.
18
0.12
0.
25
0.08
...
...0.
63
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
...
0.82
No.
obs
19.0
83
.010
4 96
.043
.0
20.0
13
.0
5.00
...
96.0
17.0
P(G
)0.
04
0.17
0.21
0.
19
0.09
0.
04
0.03
0.01
0.
000.
19
0.03
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
87
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(10
| G)
0.09
0.
07...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(9
| G
)0.
73
0.61
0.
13
0.08
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(8 |
G)
...
0.23
0.62
0.
12
0.08
...
......
...
0.08
...
P(7
| G
)...
...
0.04
0.
27
0.08
0.
15...
...
...
0.06
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
0.06
0.
50
0.20
...
...
...0.
08
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...
...
...0.
22
0.35
0.50
...
...
0.02
...P
(4 |
G)
...
...
...
...
...
...0.
50
0.33
...
0.02
0.33
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.67
...
......
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.18
0.
09
0.21
0.
47
0.11
0.
30...
...
...
0.74
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
0.
67N
o. o
bs11
.0
44.0
47
.0
49.0
36
.0
20.0
4.
003.
00
...62
.0
3.00
P(G
)0.
04
0.16
0.
17
0.18
0.
13
0.07
0.01
0.
01
0.00
0.22
0.
01
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Boy
s O
nly
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
8 7
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(10
| G)
0.22
0.
02
0.03
...
......
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(9 |
G)
-.10
0.
13
0.06
0.03
...
...
......
...
0.07
...
P(8
| G
)...
-.
08-.
08
0.01
0.08
...
...
......
-.
04...
P(7
| G
)...
...
0.12
0.
20-.
01
-.05
...
......
0.
11...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
0.04
0.06
-.
050.
31
......
-.
06...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...-.
13
-.05
-.
350.
20
...0.
03
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.20
-.12
-.
13...
-.
02-.
22P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...0.
08
0.20
...
0.01
0.
06P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...-.
27
......
...
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
-.13
-.
07
-.13
-.29
0.
01-.
05
0.08
...
...-.
12
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
...
0.16
No.
obs
30.0
12
715
1 14
579
.0
40.0
17
.0
8.00
...
158
20.0
0.02
0.
01
0.00
0.20
0.
03p-
valu
e0.
25
0.20
0.
040.
01
0.51
0.
34
0.48
0.66
.
0.04
0.
59
--
--
-3
-
Tabl
e A
.4(i)
Elig
ible
Tre
atm
ent T
rans
ition
Mat
rix, B
oys
Onl
yA
ge 1
4 ->
Age
15
Gra
de (
G)
10
98
76
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(1
1 | G
)...
0.
02...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
0 | G
)0.
50
0.35
0.
14
0.04
...
......
...
...
...
0.03
...
P(9
| G
)...
0.
250.
70
0.20
0.
08...
...
...
...
...0.
03
...P
(8 |
G)
...
...0.
16
0.53
0.
06
0.09
...
...
...
...0.
02
...P
(7 |
G)
...
......
0.
090.
39
0.05
0.29
...
...
...0.
09
...P
(6 |
G)
...
......
...
0.10
0.
590.
14
......
...
0.01
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...
...0.
14
0.14
0.
20...
...
0.01
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...0.
29
0.40
...
......
0.
07P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
50
0.38
...
0.14
0.37
0.
140.
14
0.40
...
...0.
80
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
0.
93N
o. o
bs8.
00
60.0
80.0
70
.0
51.0
22
.0
7.00
5.00
...
...
166
15.0
P(G
)0.
02
0.13
0.
17
0.15
0.
11
0.05
0.01
0.
01
0.00
0.
000.
35
0.03
Elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
, Boy
s O
nly
Age
14
-> A
ge 1
5G
rade
(G
)10
9
87
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(11
| G)
0.20
0.
03...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
0 | G
)0.
20
0.29
0.
06
0.03
...
......
...
...
...
0.01
...
P(9
| G
)...
0.
180.
67
0.21
0.
15...
...
...
...
......
...
P(8
| G
)...
...
0.21
0.
44
0.06
0.
06...
...
...
...
0.05
...
P(7
| G
)...
...
...
0.08
0.24
0.
12...
...
...
...
0.05
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
09
0.41
0.13
...
...
...0.
02
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.06
0.
25...
...
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
0.
08P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
0.
08P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
60
0.50
0.
06
0.26
0.
45
0.35
0.63
...
...
...0.
88
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
0.
85N
o. o
bs5.
00
34.0
48.0
39
.0
33.0
17
.0
8.00
...
...
...88
.0
13.0
P(G
)0.
02
0.12
0.
17
0.14
0.
12
0.06
0.03
0.
00
0.00
0.
000.
31
0.05
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces,
Boy
s O
nly
Age
14
-> A
ge 1
5G
rade
(G
)10
9
87
65
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(11
| G)
-.20
-.
01...
...
...
...
......
...
...
......
P(1
0 | G
)0.
30
0.06
0.08
0.
02...
...
...
...
......
0.
02...
P(9
| G
)...
0.
07
0.03
-.01
-.
07...
...
...
......
0.
03...
P(8
| G
)...
...
-.05
0.
09-.
00
0.03
...
......
...
-.02
...
P(7
| G
)...
...
...
0.01
0.15
-.
070.
29
......
...
0.04
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
01
0.18
0.
02...
...
...
-.01
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.08
-.11
0.
20
......
0.
01...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
0.29
0.
40
......
...
-.01
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
......
0.
01...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
...
...-.
08P
(Dro
p | G
)-.
10
-.12
-.06
-.
11-.
08
-.22
-.
480.
40
......
-.
07...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
......
...
0.09
No.
obs
13.0
94
.012
8 10
984
.0
39.0
15
.0
5.00
...
...25
4 28
.0p-
valu
e0.
30
0.66
0.07
0.
660.
61
0.42
0.
141.
00
..
0.36
0.
54
--
--
-4
-
--
--
Tabl
e A
.5(a
)N
on-e
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)0.
08
0.08
0.08
P(2
| G
)0.
90
0.71
0.62
P(1
| G
)...
0.
200.
15P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
01
0.01
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...0.
15N
o. o
bs71
.0
268
26.0
P(G
)0.
19
0.73
0.07
Non
-elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)0.
20
0.10
0.06
P(2
| G
)0.
80
0.66
0.38
P(1
| G
)...
0.
240.
31P
(Dro
p | G
)...
...
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
0.25
No.
obs
46.0
19
716
.0P
(G)
0.18
0.
760.
06
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces
Age
6 -
> A
ge 7
Gra
de (
G)
21
NE
P(3
| G
)-.
11
-.02
0.01
P(2
| G
)0.
10
0.05
0.24
P(1
| G
)...
-.
04-.
16P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
01
0.01
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...-.
10N
o. o
bs11
7 46
542
.0P
(G)
0.19
0.
750.
07p-
valu
e0.
16
0.34
0.43
--
--
-2
-
Tabl
e A
.5(b
)N
on-e
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)0.
29
0.11
0.05
0.
500.
09P
(3 |
G)
0.68
0.
670.
25
0.50
0.45
P(2
| G
)...
0.
200.
61
...0.
18P
(1 |
G)
...
...0.
08
......
P(D
rop
| G)
0.03
0.
020.
02
......
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
0.27
No.
obs
38.0
30
561
.0
2.00
11.0
P(G
)0.
09
0.73
0.15
0.
000.
03
Non
-elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)0.
21
0.10
0.06
0.
25...
P(3
| G
)0.
79
0.68
0.28
0.
250.
18P
(2 |
G)
...
0.23
0.57
0.
500.
45P
(1 |
G)
...
...0.
09
...0.
27P
(Dro
p | G
)...
...
...
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...
......
0.
09N
o. o
bs52
.0
176
53.0
4.
0011
.0P
(G)
0.18
0.
590.
18
0.01
0.04
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces
Age
7 -
> A
ge 8
Gra
de (
G)
32
1D
rop
NE
P(4
| G
)0.
08
0.02
-.01
0.
250.
09P
(3 |
G)
-.10
-.
00
-.04
0.25
0.
27P
(2 |
G)
...
-.03
0.04
-.
50-.
27P
(1 |
G)
...
...-.
01
...-.
27P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
03
0.02
0.
02...
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...0.
18N
o. o
bs90
.0
481
114
6.00
22.0
P(G
)0.
13
0.67
0.
160.
01
0.03
p-va
lue
0.33
0.
29
0.88
0.47
0.
11
--
--
-3
-
Tabl
e A
.5(c
)N
on-e
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(5 |
G)
0.25
0.
080.
03
......
...
P(4
| G
)0.
69
0.75
0.27
0.
101.
00
0.14
P(3
| G
)...
0.
160.
61
0.25
...
0.43
P(2
| G
)...
...
0.07
0.
50...
0.
14P
(1 |
G)
...
...
...0.
05
...0.
14P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
06
0.01
0.02
0.
10...
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
...0.
14N
o. o
bs52
.0
235
99.0
20
.03.
00
7.00
P(G
)0.
13
0.56
0.24
0.
050.
02
.
Non
-elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(5 |
G)
0.21
0.
070.
01
......
...
P(4
| G
)0.
79
0.70
0.15
...
0.50
...
P(3
| G
)...
0.
230.
73
0.40
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
...0.
10
0.60
...
0.33
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...
......
P(D
rop
| G)
...
...
......
0.
50...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
...0.
67N
o. o
bs42
.0
165
67.0
10
.02.
00
3.00
P(G
)0.
15
0.57
0.23
0.
030.
01
.
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces
Age
8 -
> A
ge 9
Gra
de (
G)
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(5 |
G)
0.04
0.
01
0.02
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
-.09
0.
05
0.12
0.10
0.
500.
14P
(3 |
G)
...
-.07
-.13
-.
15...
0.
43P
(2 |
G)
...
...-.
03
-.10
...
-.19
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
0.05
...
0.14
P(D
rop
| G)
0.06
0.
01
0.02
0.10
-.
50...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
-.
52N
o. o
bs94
.0
400
166
30.0
5.00
10
.0P
(G)
0.13
0.
57
0.24
0.04
0.
01.
p-va
lue
0.24
0.
23
0.20
0.54
0.
170.
35
--
--
-4
-
Tabl
e A
.5(d
)N
on-e
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
4 3
21
Dro
p N
EP
(6 |
G)
0.28
0.
11
0.02
...
......
...
P(5
| G
)0.
72
0.75
0.
330.
09
...0.
75
...P
(4 |
G)
...
0.14
0.51
0.
251.
00
......
P(3
| G
)...
...
0.14
0.
41...
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
0.
22...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...0.
25P
(Dro
p | G
)...
...
...
0.03
...
0.25
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
...0.
75N
o. o
bs47
.0
223
120
32.0
2.00
4.
004.
00P
(G)
0.11
0.
52
0.28
0.07
0.
000.
01
0.01
Non
-elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
43
21
Dro
pN
EP
(6 |
G)
0.28
0.
090.
01
......
1.
00...
P(5
| G
)0.
72
0.74
0.24
0.
07...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
...
0.17
0.61
0.
25...
...
...P
(3 |
G)
...
...0.
13
0.61
...
......
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
0.07
1.
00...
...
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
...
...
......
...
...
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...
......
...
...
1.00
No.
obs
47.0
16
283
.0
28.0
1.
001.
00
1.00
P(G
)0.
15
0.50
0.26
0.
090.
00
0.00
0.00
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces
Age
9 -
> A
ge 1
0G
rade
(G
)5
4 3
21
Dro
p N
EP
(6 |
G)
...
0.02
0.00
...
...
-1.0
...P
(5 |
G)
...
0.01
0.09
0.
02...
0.
75...
P(4
| G
)...
-.
03-.
11
...1.
00
......
P(3
| G
)...
...
0.01
-.
20...
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
0.
15-1
.0
......
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
0.25
P(D
rop
| G)
...
......
0.
03...
0.
25...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
-.25
No.
obs
94.0
38
520
3 60
.03.
00
5.00
5.00
P(G
)0.
12
0.51
0.
270.
08
0.00
0.01
0.
01p-
valu
e1.
00
0.62
0.
470.
36
0.08
0.08
0.
58
--
--
-5
-
Tabl
e A
.5(e
)N
on-e
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)0.
11
0.07
0.
03...
...
...
0.10
...P
(6 |
G)
0.87
0.
78
0.22
0.11
...
...
0.60
...P
(5 |
G)
...
0.15
0.59
0.
25
0.44
...
......
P(4
| G
)...
...
0.15
0.
53
0.25
1.00
0.
10...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
0.11
0.25
...
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
0.06
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.02
...
0.02
...
...
...0.
20
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
1.
00N
o. o
bs47
.0
250
123
53.0
16.0
3.
0010
.0
1.00
P(G
)0.
09
0.50
0.
240.
11
0.03
0.01
0.
020.
00
Non
-elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)0.
08
0.08
0.
03...
...
...
......
P(6
| G
)0.
84
0.73
0.
200.
10
......
0.
67...
P(5
| G
)...
0.
180.
58
0.12
0.11
...
...
...P
(4 |
G)
...
...0.
18
0.59
...
......
...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
0.20
0.56
1.
00...
...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
33
......
...
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
08
0.01
0.
02...
...
...
0.33
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
1.
00N
o. o
bs37
.0
158
102
41.0
9.00
1.
003.
00
1.00
P(G
)0.
11
0.45
0.
290.
12
0.03
0.
000.
01
0.00
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces
Age
10
-> A
ge 1
1G
rade
(G
)6
5 4
32
1D
rop
NE
P(7
| G
)0.
03
-.01
0.00
...
...
...0.
10
...P
(6 |
G)
0.03
0.
06
0.02
0.02
...
...
-.07
...P
(5 |
G)
...
-.03
0.01
0.
12
0.33
...
......
P(4
| G
)...
...
-.03
-.
060.
25
1.00
0.10
...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
-.08
-.31
-1
.0...
...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...-.
27
......
...
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)-.
06
-.01
-.
00...
...
...
-.13
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
No.
obs
84.0
40
822
5 94
.025
.0
4.00
13.0
2.
00P
(G)
0.10
0.
48
0.26
0.11
0.
030.
00
0.02
0.00
p-va
lue
0.42
0.
23
0.97
0.38
0.
040.
05
0.85
1.00
--
--
-6
-
Tabl
e A
.5(f
)N
on-e
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
6 5
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(8 |
G)
0.30
0.
05...
...
...
......
...
...P
(7 |
G)
0.67
0.
68
0.18
0.18
...
...
...0.
14
...P
(6 |
G)
...
0.13
0.68
0.
17
0.06
...
...0.
43
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...0.
11
0.45
0.
310.
14
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
0.17
0.44
...
...
......
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
19
0.57
...
0.14
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.14
...
...0.
33P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
02
0.13
0.
030.
03
...0.
14
...0.
29
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
0.67
No.
obs
46.0
22
514
6 66
.016
.0
7.00
...
7.00
3.00
P(G
)0.
09
0.44
0.
280.
13
0.03
0.01
0.
000.
01
0.01
Non
-elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(8 |
G)
0.21
0.
030.
01
......
...
...
......
P(7
| G
)0.
63
0.69
0.17
0.
13...
...
...
0.33
...P
(6 |
G)
...
0.15
0.67
0.
21
0.07
...
...0.
33
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...0.
11
0.54
0.
20...
...
0.11
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
0.13
0.
531.
00
......
...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...
0.13
...
......
0.
33P
(2 |
G)
...
...
......
...
...
......
0.
33P
(1 |
G)
...
...
......
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.17
0.
120.
03
...0.
07
......
0.
22...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
......
...
...
0.33
No.
obs
24.0
13
798
.0
24.0
15
.0
1.00
...
9.00
3.00
P(G
)0.
08
0.44
0.32
0.
08
0.05
0.00
0.
000.
03
0.01
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces
Age
11
-> A
ge 1
2G
rade
(G
)7
6 5
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(8 |
G)
0.10
0.
02-.
01
......
...
...
......
P(7
| G
)0.
05
-.01
0.00
0.
06...
...
...
-.19
...P
(6 |
G)
...
-.02
0.01
-.
04
-.00
...
...0.
10
...P
(5 |
G)
...
...-.
00
-.09
0.11
0.
14...
-.
11...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
0.04
-.10
-1
.0...
...
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
0.05
0.
57...
0.
14-.
33P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.14
...
......
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
......
P(D
rop
| G)
-.14
0.
00-.
00
0.03
-.07
0.
14...
0.
06...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...0.
33N
o. o
bs70
.0
362
244
90.0
31.0
8.
00...
16
.06.
00P
(G)
0.08
0.
44
0.30
0.11
0.
040.
01
0.00
0.02
0.
01p-
valu
e0.
07
0.71
0.
820.
79
0.78
0.09
.
0.59
0.
51
--
--
Tabl
e A
.5(h
)N
on-e
ligib
le T
reat
men
t Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
8 7
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(10
| G)
0.27
0.
10
0.02
...
......
...
...
...
...
...P
(9 |
G)
0.62
0.
65
0.11
0.08
...
...
...
...
...0.
03
...P
(8 |
G)
...
0.17
0.58
0.
10
0.04
...
...
...
...0.
07
...P
(7 |
G)
...
...0.
16
0.46
0.
24...
...
...
...
0.08
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
0.06
0.48
0.
14...
...
...
0.01
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
04
0.71
...
...
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
......
0.
140.
67
......
...
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
0.
50...
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
0.
50...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
12
0.08
0.
130.
30
0.20
...
0.33
...
...0.
81
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
1.00
No.
obs
26.0
12
712
2 89
.025
.0
7.00
3.00
2.
00...
99
.03.
00P
(G)
0.05
0.
25
0.24
0.18
0.
050.
01
0.01
0.
00
0.00
0.20
0.
01
Non
-elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
87
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(10
| G)
0.24
0.
08
0.01
...
......
...
...
...
0.01
...
P(9
| G
)0.
64
0.72
0.
17
0.05
...
......
...
...
0.01
...
P(8
| G
)...
0.
190.
51
0.05
...
......
...
...
0.07
...
P(7
| G
)...
...
0.14
0.
47
0.10
0.33
...
...
...0.
10
...P
(6 |
G)
...
...
...0.
12
0.70
...
...
...
......
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...
0.05
...
...
...
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
......
...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.12
0.
01
0.17
0.
31
0.15
0.67
...
...
...0.
81
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
1.00
No.
obs
25.0
95
.0
71.0
59
.0
20.0
3.
002.
00
......
83
.04.
00P
(G)
0.07
0.
26
0.20
0.
16
0.06
0.01
0.
01
0.00
0.
000.
23
0.01
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces
Age
13
-> A
ge 1
4G
rade
(G
)9
8 7
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(10
| G)
0.03
0.
02
0.00
...
......
...
...
...-.
01
...P
(9 |
G)
-.02
-.
07
-.05
0.03
...
...
......
...
0.02
...
P(8
| G
)...
-.
020.
07
0.05
0.04
...
...
...
...-.
00
...P
(7 |
G)
...
...0.
01
-.01
0.14
-.
33...
...
...
-.02
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
-.06
-.22
0.
14...
...
...
0.01
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...-.
01
0.71
...
...
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
......
0.
14-.
33
......
...
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
0.
50...
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
0.
50...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)-.
00
0.07
-.04
-.
000.
05
-.67
0.33
...
...
0.00
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...N
o. o
bs51
.0
222
193
148
45.0
10
.0
5.00
2.00
...
182
7.00
P(G
)0.
06
0.26
0.
220.
17
0.05
0.
010.
01
0.00
0.
000.
21
0.01
p-va
lue
0.97
0.
12
0.74
0.52
0.
54
0.04
0.36
1.
00.
0.72
1.
00
--
--
-2
-
Tabl
e A
.5(i)
Non
-elig
ible
Tre
atm
ent T
rans
ition
Mat
rixA
ge 1
4 ->
Age
15
Gra
de (
G)
10
98
76
54
32
1D
rop
NE
P(1
1 | G
)0.
17
0.03
...
......
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
0 | G
)0.
42
0.41
0.
150.
11
......
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(9 |
G)
...
0.13
0.69
0.
09
0.05
...
......
...
...
0.02
...
P(8
| G
)...
...
0.09
0.
49
0.13
...
......
...
...
0.01
...
P(7
| G
)...
...
...
0.08
0.40
0.
07...
...
...
...
0.10
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
05
0.53
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(5 |
G)
...
......
...
...
0.13
0.67
0.
33...
...
0.01
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...P
(2 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...P
(Dro
p | G
)0.
42
0.43
0.
070.
23
0.38
0.
270.
33
0.67
...
...0.
84
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
1.00
No.
obs
12.0
12
010
7 53
.040
.0
15.0
3.
003.
00
......
15
34.
00P
(G)
0.02
0.
24
0.21
0.11
0.
08
0.03
0.01
0.
01
0.00
0.
000.
31
0.01
Non
-elig
ible
Con
trol
Tra
nsiti
on M
atrix
Age
14
-> A
ge 1
5G
rade
(G
)10
9
87
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(11
| G)
0.22
0.
06...
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
0 | G
)0.
33
0.31
0.
09
0.07
...
......
...
...
...
0.05
...
P(9
| G
)...
0.
170.
72
0.11
0.
08...
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(8 |
G)
...
...0.
11
0.39
0.
16...
...
...
...
...0.
04
...P
(7 |
G)
...
......
0.
070.
24
......
...
...
...
0.06
...
P(6
| G
)...
...
...
...0.
12
0.50
0.17
...
...
......
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
...
...0.
17
0.33
...
...
......
...
P(4
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
...0.
17
......
...
...
...P
(3 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...P
(1 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
0.44
0.
46
0.07
0.
36
0.40
0.
330.
33
......
...
0.85
...
P(N
E |
NE
)...
...
...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
1.00
No.
obs
9.00
96
.054
.0
28.0
25
.0
12.0
6.
00...
...
...
104
6.00
P(G
)0.
03
0.29
0.
16
0.08
0.
08
0.04
0.02
0.
00
0.00
0.
000.
31
0.02
Tr e
atm
ent-
Con
trol
Diff
eren
ces
Age
14
-> A
ge 1
5G
rade
(G
)10
9
87
65
43
21
Dro
p N
EP
(11
| G)
-.06
-.
03...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...P
(10
| G)
0.08
0.
10
0.06
0.04
...
...
......
...
...
-.04
...
P(9
| G
)...
-.
03-.
03
-.01
-.
03...
...
...
...
...0.
01
...P
(8 |
G)
...
...-.
02
0.10
-.04
...
...
...
...
...-.
03
...P
(7 |
G)
...
......
0.
000.
16
0.07
...
...
...
...0.
04
...P
(6 |
G)
...
......
...
-.07
0.
03-.
17
......
...
0.01
...
P(5
| G
)...
...
...
......
-.
030.
33
0.33
...
...0.
01
...P
(4 |
G)
...
......
...
...
...-.
17
......
...
0.01
...
P(3
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(2
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(1
| G
)...
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
......
...
P(D
rop
| G)
-.03
-.
03
-.01
-.13
-.
03
-.07
...
0.67
...
...-.
01
...P
(NE
| N
E)
...
......
...
...
......
...
...
...
...
...N
o. o
bs21
.0
216
161
81.0
65.0
27
.0
9.00
3.00
...
...
257
10.0
P(G
)0.
03
0.26
0.
190.
10
0.08
0.
030.
01
0.00
0.
00
0.00
0.31
0.
01p-
valu
e0.
91
0.41
0.
780.
76
0.64
0.
810.
68
1.00
..
0.
32
1.00
--
--
Tabl
e B
.1a
Est
imat
ed C
oeffi
cien
ts fr
om L
ogit*
Res
pons
e Va
riabl
e: D
=1
if E
nrol
led
in S
choo
l, 0
if no
t Enr
olle
dC
ontr
ol G
roup
Elig
ible
Chi
ldre
n A
ge 6
Varia
ble
Coe
ffS
td E
rror
T-
stat
P
rob>
|T|
inte
rcep
t -0
.09
0.30
-0
.30
0.76
62fe
mal
e 0.
130.
14
0.92
0.35
63F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.09
0.
210.
44
0.65
91M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.46
0.
231.
96
0.05
06F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
0.26
0.
460.
56
0.57
81M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
-0.2
8 0.
48-0
.59
0.55
31F
athe
rs y
ears
edu
catio
n m
issi
ng-0
.21
0.81
-0.2
6 0.
7979
Mot
hers
yea
rs e
duca
tion
mis
sing
-0.6
2 1.
12-0
.55
0.58
12F
athe
r w
as e
nrol
led
in s
choo
l0.
66
0.17
3.97
0.
0001
Mot
her
was
enr
olle
d in
sch
ool
0.60
0.
173.
51
0.00
04D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool
0.01
0.
090.
11
0.91
40D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool S
quar
ed-1
.31
1.08
-1.2
2 0.
2224
mis
sing
dis
tanc
e.
..
.in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 12
0.83
0.
282.
99
0.00
28in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 13
0.54
0.
272.
03
0.04
23in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 16
0.48
0.
261.
86
0.06
26in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 21
0.60
0.
361.
66
0.09
77in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 22
1.09
0.
323.
44
0.00
06in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 24
0.71
0.
252.
86
0.00
43in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 30
0.27
0.
151.
72
0.08
55m
issi
ng b
athr
oom
13.4
7 24
10.1
80.
01
0.99
55ho
use
has
mor
e th
an o
ne r
oom
0.57
0.
163.
54
0.00
04m
issi
ng n
umbe
r of
roo
ms
13.7
4 19
47.5
90.
01
0.99
44ho
use
has
runn
ing
wat
er
0.33
0.39
0.
870.
3866
mis
sing
info
rmat
ion
on w
ater
0.
240.
17
1.39
0.16
60ho
use
has
elec
tric
ity0.
06
0.15
0.38
0.
7068
mis
sing
ele
ctric
ity-2
7.92
30
98.7
2-0
.01
0.99
28fr
actio
n of
chi
ldre
n w
ho w
ork
in lo
calit
y1.
40
1.04
1.35
0.
1756
mis
sing
wor
k .
..
.
--
--
-2
-
Tabl
e B
.1b
Est
imat
ed C
oeffi
cien
ts fr
om L
ogit*
Res
pons
e Va
riabl
e: D
=1
if E
nrol
led
in S
choo
l, 0
if no
t Enr
olle
dC
ontr
ol G
roup
Elig
ible
Chi
ldre
n A
ge 7
Varia
ble
Coe
ffS
td E
rror
T-
stat
P
rob>
|T|
inte
rcep
t 0.
320.
38
0.83
0.40
59fe
mal
e -0
.03
0.17
-0
.18
0.85
54F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.12
0.
290.
43
0.66
61M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
-0.0
9 0.
30-0
.30
0.76
25F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
-0.6
0 0.
47-1
.28
0.20
06M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
-0.0
8 0.
60-0
.14
0.88
83F
athe
rs y
ears
edu
catio
n m
issi
ng14
.34
2944
.02
0.00
0.
9961
Mot
hers
yea
rs e
duca
tion
mis
sing
13.2
8 13
35.1
60.
01
0.99
21F
athe
r w
as e
nrol
led
in s
choo
l0.
65
0.21
3.15
0.
0016
Mot
her
was
enr
olle
d in
sch
ool
1.09
0.
234.
78
0.00
00D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool
0.00
0.
110.
02
0.98
36D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool S
quar
ed0.
86
1.60
0.54
0.
5914
mis
sing
dis
tanc
e.
..
.in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 12
1.13
0.
343.
35
0.00
08in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 13
0.17
0.
330.
53
0.59
62in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 16
1.25
0.
353.
60
0.00
03in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 21
0.67
0.
491.
37
0.17
14in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 22
1.12
0.
363.
08
0.00
20in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 24
1.07
0.
303.
55
0.00
04in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 30
0.41
0.
202.
07
0.03
85m
issi
ng b
athr
oom
15.1
7 24
87.1
40.
01
0.99
51ho
use
has
mor
e th
an o
ne r
oom
-0.1
1 0.
20-0
.56
0.57
79m
issi
ng n
umbe
r of
roo
ms
-1.6
3 1.
21-1
.35
0.17
73ho
use
has
runn
ing
wat
er
-0.1
90.
45
-0.4
30.
6696
mis
sing
info
rmat
ion
on w
ater
-0
.34
0.23
-1
.46
0.14
43ho
use
has
elec
tric
ity0.
62
0.19
3.28
0.
0010
mis
sing
ele
ctric
ity.
..
.fr
actio
n of
chi
ldre
n w
ho w
ork
in lo
calit
y1.
81
1.26
1.44
0.
1491
mis
sing
wor
k .
..
.
--
--
-3
-
Tabl
e B
.1c
Est
imat
ed C
oeffi
cien
ts fr
om L
ogit*
Res
pons
e Va
riabl
e: D
=1
if E
nrol
led
in S
choo
l, 0
if no
t Enr
olle
dC
ontr
ol G
roup
Elig
ible
Chi
ldre
n A
ge 8
Varia
ble
Coe
ffS
td E
rror
T-
stat
P
rob>
|T|
inte
rcep
t 1.
070.
43
2.48
0.01
31fe
mal
e 0.
020.
20
0.10
0.92
15F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.94
0.
452.
09
0.03
62M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.67
0.
441.
52
0.12
95F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
-1.4
0 0.
67-2
.08
0.03
76M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
0.09
1.
100.
08
0.93
76F
athe
rs y
ears
edu
catio
n m
issi
ng-1
.03
1.09
-0.9
4 0.
3449
Mot
hers
yea
rs e
duca
tion
mis
sing
11.6
2 17
14.3
60.
01
0.99
46F
athe
r w
as e
nrol
led
in s
choo
l0.
75
0.23
3.32
0.
0009
Mot
her
was
enr
olle
d in
sch
ool
0.83
0.
253.
34
0.00
08D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool
0.11
0.
130.
90
0.36
99D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool S
quar
ed-1
.27
1.71
-0.7
4 0.
4601
mis
sing
dis
tanc
e.
..
.in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 12
0.60
0.
381.
56
0.11
77in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 13
0.68
0.
421.
61
0.10
75in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 16
0.63
0.
391.
59
0.11
08in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 21
1.47
0.
771.
92
0.05
54in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 22
0.36
0.
390.
92
0.35
65in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 24
0.22
0.
340.
63
0.52
99in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 30
0.51
0.
232.
20
0.02
77m
issi
ng b
athr
oom
13.3
3 14
52.1
80.
01
0.99
27ho
use
has
mor
e th
an o
ne r
oom
0.60
0.
232.
57
0.01
01m
issi
ng n
umbe
r of
roo
ms
11.0
4 30
54.9
00.
00
0.99
71ho
use
has
runn
ing
wat
er
-0.5
30.
50
-1.0
60.
2893
mis
sing
info
rmat
ion
on w
ater
-0
.13
0.27
-0
.48
0.63
07ho
use
has
elec
tric
ity-0
.09
0.22
-0.4
2 0.
6728
mis
sing
ele
ctric
ity-1
0.75
39
24.1
7-0
.00
0.99
78fr
actio
n of
chi
ldre
n w
ho w
ork
in lo
calit
y-0
.05
1.41
-0.0
3 0.
9741
mis
sing
wor
k -0
.87
0.81
-1
.08
0.28
14
--
--
-4
-
Tabl
e B
.1d
Est
imat
ed C
oeffi
cien
ts fr
om L
ogit*
Res
pons
e Va
riabl
e: D
=1
if E
nrol
led
in S
choo
l, 0
if no
t Enr
olle
dC
ontr
ol G
roup
Elig
ible
Chi
ldre
n A
ge 9
Varia
ble
Coe
ffS
td E
rror
T-
stat
P
rob>
|T|
inte
rcep
t 0.
930.
47
1.98
0.04
77fe
mal
e -0
.36
0.22
-1
.61
0.10
64F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.04
0.
420.
11
0.91
48M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
1.08
0.
561.
92
0.05
43F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
-0.1
2 0.
83-0
.14
0.88
59M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
-0.5
7 1.
16-0
.49
0.62
22F
athe
rs y
ears
edu
catio
n m
issi
ng12
.85
2265
.85
0.01
0.
9955
Mot
hers
yea
rs e
duca
tion
mis
sing
12.1
8 13
70.0
80.
01
0.99
29F
athe
r w
as e
nrol
led
in s
choo
l0.
59
0.26
2.26
0.
0236
Mot
her
was
enr
olle
d in
sch
ool
1.06
0.
283.
74
0.00
02D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool
-0.0
0 0.
13-0
.01
0.98
81D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool S
quar
ed-0
.08
1.66
-0.0
5 0.
9593
mis
sing
dis
tanc
e.
..
.in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 12
1.46
0.
473.
12
0.00
18in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 13
0.43
0.
411.
05
0.29
45in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 16
1.56
0.
453.
44
0.00
06in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 21
1.49
0.
781.
92
0.05
47in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 22
0.93
0.
462.
03
0.04
23in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 24
0.78
0.
382.
09
0.03
68in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 30
0.11
0.
250.
46
0.64
80m
issi
ng b
athr
oom
13.2
1 32
06.0
00.
00
0.99
67ho
use
has
mor
e th
an o
ne r
oom
-0.0
1 0.
24-0
.03
0.97
85m
issi
ng n
umbe
r of
roo
ms
12.9
7 15
24.6
00.
01
0.99
32ho
use
has
runn
ing
wat
er
0.22
0.58
0.
370.
7115
mis
sing
info
rmat
ion
on w
ater
0.
270.
29
0.94
0.34
65ho
use
has
elec
tric
ity0.
42
0.24
1.76
0.
0782
mis
sing
ele
ctric
ity-1
2.22
47
83.4
3-0
.00
0.99
80fr
actio
n of
chi
ldre
n w
ho w
ork
in lo
calit
y0.
02
1.52
0.01
0.
9892
mis
sing
wor
k -0
.32
1.19
-0
.27
0.78
91
--
--
-5
-
Tabl
e B
.1e
Est
imat
ed C
oeffi
cien
ts fr
om L
ogit*
Res
pons
e Va
riabl
e: D
=1
if E
nrol
led
in S
choo
l, 0
if no
t Enr
olle
dC
ontr
ol G
roup
Elig
ible
Chi
ldre
n A
ge 1
0
Varia
ble
Coe
ffS
td E
rror
T-
stat
P
rob>
|T|
inte
rcep
t 0.
860.
41
2.12
0.03
40fe
mal
e -0
.06
0.19
-0
.32
0.74
85F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.40
0.
351.
16
0.24
60M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.68
0.
431.
58
0.11
31F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
11.9
4 23
6.19
0.05
0.
9597
Mot
hers
edu
catio
n >
= 9
yea
rs-0
.50
1.09
-0.4
6 0.
6468
Fat
hers
yea
rs e
duca
tion
mis
sing
12.4
6 10
89.2
60.
01
0.99
09M
othe
rs y
ears
edu
catio
n m
issi
ng12
.70
837.
660.
02
0.98
79F
athe
r w
as e
nrol
led
in s
choo
l0.
18
0.21
0.85
0.
3934
Mot
her
was
enr
olle
d in
sch
ool
0.72
0.
223.
22
0.00
13D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool
-0.0
3 0.
12-0
.24
0.81
22D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool S
quar
ed-0
.35
1.52
-0.2
3 0.
8152
mis
sing
dis
tanc
e.
..
.in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 12
0.65
0.
351.
88
0.06
05in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 13
0.91
0.
422.
18
0.02
91in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 16
0.92
0.
372.
45
0.01
44in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 21
1.83
0.
762.
40
0.01
63in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 22
0.63
0.
371.
68
0.09
28in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 24
0.41
0.
321.
30
0.19
46in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 30
0.68
0.
213.
27
0.00
11m
issi
ng b
athr
oom
13.6
8 19
75.9
40.
01
0.99
45ho
use
has
mor
e th
an o
ne r
oom
0.49
0.
212.
34
0.01
93m
issi
ng n
umbe
r of
roo
ms
12.4
5 28
02.6
50.
00
0.99
65ho
use
has
runn
ing
wat
er
-0.5
20.
49
-1.0
60.
2896
mis
sing
info
rmat
ion
on w
ater
-0
.01
0.25
-0
.05
0.95
83ho
use
has
elec
tric
ity0.
46
0.20
2.27
0.
0231
mis
sing
ele
ctric
ity-1
1.96
44
28.7
7-0
.00
0.99
78fr
actio
n of
chi
ldre
n w
ho w
ork
in lo
calit
y0.
45
1.33
0.34
0.
7371
mis
sing
wor
k -0
.89
1.20
-0
.74
0.45
88
--
--
-6
-
Tabl
e B
.1f
Est
imat
ed C
oeffi
cien
ts fr
om L
ogit*
Res
pons
e Va
riabl
e: D
=1
if E
nrol
led
in S
choo
l, 0
if no
t Enr
olle
dC
ontr
ol G
roup
Elig
ible
Chi
ldre
n A
ge 1
1
Varia
ble
Coe
ffS
td E
rror
T-
stat
P
rob>
|T|
inte
rcep
t 1.
880.
42
4.45
0.00
00fe
mal
e 0.
210.
17
1.17
0.24
02F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
-0.3
1 0.
25-1
.24
0.21
59M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.25
0.
330.
75
0.45
62F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
12.9
5 24
8.91
0.05
0.
9585
Mot
hers
edu
catio
n >
= 9
yea
rs-0
.84
0.80
-1.0
5 0.
2944
Fat
hers
yea
rs e
duca
tion
mis
sing
13.4
0 69
1.26
0.02
0.
9845
Mot
hers
yea
rs e
duca
tion
mis
sing
12.5
4 91
0.04
0.01
0.
9890
Fat
her
was
enr
olle
d in
sch
ool
-0.0
9 0.
21-0
.43
0.66
99M
othe
r w
as e
nrol
led
in s
choo
l1.
09
0.21
5.25
0.
0000
Dis
tanc
e to
Sec
onda
ry S
choo
l-0
.03
0.10
-0.3
3 0.
7451
Dis
tanc
e to
Sec
onda
ry S
choo
l Squ
ared
-0.6
2 1.
27-0
.49
0.62
60m
issi
ng d
ista
nce
..
..
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
120.
69
0.41
1.70
0.
0899
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
130.
11
0.36
0.30
0.
7673
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
160.
33
0.32
1.02
0.
3079
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
210.
09
0.46
0.19
0.
8516
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
220.
74
0.43
1.73
0.
0840
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
240.
03
0.31
0.09
0.
9269
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
300.
31
0.19
1.62
0.
1042
mis
sing
bat
hroo
m-1
.02
1.25
-0.8
2 0.
4128
hous
e ha
s m
ore
than
one
roo
m0.
21
0.19
1.12
0.
2646
mis
sing
num
ber
of r
oom
s14
.38
1759
.85
0.01
0.
9935
hous
e ha
s ru
nnin
g w
ater
0.
040.
45
0.09
0.92
99m
issi
ng in
form
atio
n on
wat
er
0.04
0.23
0.
190.
8475
hous
e ha
s el
ectr
icity
0.21
0.
191.
10
0.27
13m
issi
ng e
lect
ricity
0.69
24
91.8
60.
00
0.99
98fr
actio
n of
chi
ldre
n w
ho w
ork
in lo
calit
y-3
.51
1.21
-2.9
0 0.
0037
mis
sing
wor
k 12
.53
1611
.67
0.01
0.99
38
--
--
-7
-
Tabl
e B
.1g
Est
imat
ed C
oeffi
cien
ts fr
om L
ogit*
Res
pons
e Va
riabl
e: D
=1
if E
nrol
led
in S
choo
l, 0
if no
t Enr
olle
dC
ontr
ol G
roup
Elig
ible
Chi
ldre
n A
ge 1
2
Varia
ble
Coe
ffS
td E
rror
T-
stat
P
rob>
|T|
inte
rcep
t 1.
030.
31
3.32
0.00
09fe
mal
e 0.
540.
12
4.53
0.00
00F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.18
0.
180.
95
0.34
29M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.28
0.
201.
40
0.16
29F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
-0.2
3 0.
44-0
.51
0.61
09M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
0.03
0.
600.
05
0.95
69F
athe
rs y
ears
edu
catio
n m
issi
ng13
.89
946.
960.
01
0.98
83M
othe
rs y
ears
edu
catio
n m
issi
ng-0
.18
1.15
-0.1
5 0.
8786
Fat
her
was
enr
olle
d in
sch
ool
0.33
0.
142.
29
0.02
20M
othe
r w
as e
nrol
led
in s
choo
l0.
17
0.14
1.24
0.
2163
Dis
tanc
e to
Sec
onda
ry S
choo
l-0
.15
0.08
-1.9
8 0.
0472
Dis
tanc
e to
Sec
onda
ry S
choo
l Squ
ared
0.67
1.
000.
67
0.50
00m
issi
ng d
ista
nce
..
..
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
120.
37
0.28
1.34
0.
1799
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
130.
05
0.26
0.19
0.
8486
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
16-0
.08
0.24
-0.3
4 0.
7322
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
210.
25
0.34
0.74
0.
4600
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
220.
41
0.27
1.52
0.
1276
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
240.
36
0.25
1.41
0.
1577
indi
cato
r fo
r st
ate
300.
35
0.13
2.66
0.
0077
mis
sing
bat
hroo
m12
.57
1660
.22
0.01
0.
9940
hous
e ha
s m
ore
than
one
roo
m-0
.04
0.13
-0.3
5 0.
7292
mis
sing
num
ber
of r
oom
s-1
6.67
30
35.1
0-0
.01
0.99
56ho
use
has
runn
ing
wat
er
0.08
0.29
0.
280.
7783
mis
sing
info
rmat
ion
on w
ater
-0
.06
0.15
-0
.40
0.69
00ho
use
has
elec
tric
ity0.
17
0.14
1.23
0.
2204
mis
sing
ele
ctric
ity17
.91
3837
.25
0.00
0.
9963
frac
tion
of c
hild
ren
who
wor
k in
loca
lity
-2.3
9 0.
85-2
.79
0.00
52m
issi
ng w
ork
-0.5
01.
10
-0.4
60.
6484
--
--
-8
-
Tabl
e B
.1h
Est
imat
ed C
oeffi
cien
ts fr
om L
ogit*
Res
pons
e Va
riabl
e: D
=1
if E
nrol
led
in S
choo
l, 0
if no
t Enr
olle
dC
ontr
ol G
roup
Elig
ible
Chi
ldre
n A
ge 1
3
Varia
ble
Coe
ffS
td E
rror
T-
stat
P
rob>
|T|
inte
rcep
t 0.
970.
28
3.51
0.00
04fe
mal
e 0.
500.
11
4.70
0.00
00F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.25
0.
171.
53
0.12
57M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.24
0.
181.
32
0.18
71F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
-0.0
2 0.
43-0
.05
0.96
35M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
0.03
0.
490.
05
0.95
77F
athe
rs y
ears
edu
catio
n m
issi
ng-0
.15
0.92
-0.1
7 0.
8680
Mot
hers
yea
rs e
duca
tion
mis
sing
-1.0
1 0.
98-1
.03
0.30
37F
athe
r w
as e
nrol
led
in s
choo
l0.
22
0.13
1.72
0.
0850
Mot
her
was
enr
olle
d in
sch
ool
0.09
0.
120.
77
0.43
87D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool
-0.1
7 0.
07-2
.57
0.01
03D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool S
quar
ed1.
02
0.87
1.18
0.
2386
mis
sing
dis
tanc
e.
..
.in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 12
-0.3
0 0.
23-1
.30
0.19
44in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 13
-0.3
8 0.
23-1
.69
0.09
19in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 16
-0.0
9 0.
22-0
.39
0.69
30in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 21
-0.2
8 0.
31-0
.93
0.35
25in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 22
-0.1
4 0.
24-0
.58
0.56
28in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 24
-0.0
5 0.
22-0
.24
0.81
40in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 30
0.24
0.
122.
05
0.04
04m
issi
ng b
athr
oom
-1.5
4 1.
25-1
.23
0.21
89ho
use
has
mor
e th
an o
ne r
oom
0.24
0.
112.
15
0.03
17m
issi
ng n
umbe
r of
roo
ms
17.6
7 36
76.4
00.
00
0.99
62ho
use
has
runn
ing
wat
er
0.07
0.25
0.
300.
7668
mis
sing
info
rmat
ion
on w
ater
-0
.02
0.13
-0
.17
0.86
68ho
use
has
elec
tric
ity0.
19
0.12
1.55
0.
1219
mis
sing
ele
ctric
ity.
..
.fr
actio
n of
chi
ldre
n w
ho w
ork
in lo
calit
y-4
.28
0.79
-5.4
0 0.
0000
mis
sing
wor
k -1
.41
0.85
-1
.67
0.09
51
--
--
-9
-
Tabl
e B
.1i
Est
imat
ed C
oeffi
cien
ts fr
om L
ogit*
Res
pons
e Va
riabl
e: D
=1
if E
nrol
led
in S
choo
l, 0
if no
t Enr
olle
dC
ontr
ol G
roup
Elig
ible
Chi
ldre
n A
ge 1
4
Varia
ble
Coe
ffS
td E
rror
T-
stat
P
rob>
|T|
inte
rcep
t 0.
180.
28
0.64
0.52
29fe
mal
e 0.
420.
10
4.06
0.00
00F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.23
0.
161.
47
0.14
06M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
6 y
ears
0.45
0.
172.
58
0.00
99F
athe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
0.31
0.
430.
70
0.48
11M
othe
rs e
duca
tion
>=
9 y
ears
0.31
0.
570.
55
0.58
24F
athe
rs y
ears
edu
catio
n m
issi
ng0.
13
0.89
0.14
0.
8863
Mot
hers
yea
rs e
duca
tion
mis
sing
-0.8
0 0.
91-0
.89
0.37
52F
athe
r w
as e
nrol
led
in s
choo
l0.
15
0.13
1.14
0.
2537
Mot
her
was
enr
olle
d in
sch
ool
0.34
0.
122.
72
0.00
66D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool
-0.1
8 0.
06-2
.89
0.00
39D
ista
nce
to S
econ
dary
Sch
ool S
quar
ed0.
40
0.86
0.46
0.
6471
mis
sing
dis
tanc
e.
..
.in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 12
-0.0
7 0.
24-0
.28
0.77
59in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 13
-0.8
0 0.
23-3
.41
0.00
07in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 16
-0.7
1 0.
22-3
.18
0.00
15in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 21
-0.3
5 0.
31-1
.15
0.24
97in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 22
-0.6
0 0.
23-2
.57
0.01
03in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 24
0.04
0.
220.
19
0.85
05in
dica
tor
for
stat
e 30
0.38
0.
113.
34
0.00
08m
issi
ng b
athr
oom
16.7
1 18
71.5
50.
01
0.99
29ho
use
has
mor
e th
an o
ne r
oom
0.25
0.
112.
25
0.02
45m
issi
ng n
umbe
r of
roo
ms
..
..
hous
e ha
s ru
nnin
g w
ater
0.
400.
27
1.49
0.13
71m
issi
ng in
form
atio
n on
wat
er
0.22
0.13
1.
720.
0859
hous
e ha
s el
ectr
icity
0.16
0.
121.
36
0.17
52m
issi
ng e
lect
ricity
..
..
frac
tion
of c
hild
ren
who
wor
k in
loca
lity
-3.9
9 0.
82-4
.84
0.00
00m
issi
ng w
ork
15.3
923
54.8
1 0.
010.
9948