PRAKIRAAN CH DAN HHMEI, JUNI, JULIDI PD BETUNG

Siska Chrisvenny Rajagukguk13.11.2522Klimatologi

Langkah-Langkah

Korelasi data

Korelasi tertinggi/ terendah

Forecast

2013 526.8 224.8 102.1 336.9

4 bln terakhir 3 bln terakhir (A+2B)/3

0.47 0.91 0.76 0.95

-0.49 0.17 -0.05 0.94

-0.55 0.24 -0.02 0.90

0.65 -0.89 -0.37 0.89

0.15 -0.13 -0.04 0.85

TAHUN JAN FEB MAR APR

1980 248.9 264 140.5 202.3

1981 519 174 239 234

1982 403 179 165 180

1983 245 161 238 232

1984 303 284 396 198

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s/d 2012

  JAN FEB MAR  APR

198026 19 17 10

198127 18 17 13

198225 18 16 16

198320 15 14 13

198424 17 21 22

2013 23 18 12 19

4 bln terakhir 3 Bln terakhir (A+2B)/3

0.42 -0.43 -0.14 0.97

0.57 -0.45 -0.11 0.94

0.77 0.38 0.51 0.90

0.68 -0.13 0.14 0.88

0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.87

NEXT

s/d 2012

0.95

0.94

0.90

0.89

0.85

0.20

0.11

0.08

0.05

0.02

-0.04

-0.09

-0.12

-0.21

-0.36

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( - ) TERTINGGI

(+) TERENDAH

(+) TERTINGGI

2013FORECAST HH MEI JUNI JULI

13.8 8 5.6

KORELASI CH

0.97

0.94

0.90

0.88

0.87

0.25

0.14

0.03

0.01

0.00

-0.10

-0.10

-0.11

-0.14

-0.16

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(+) TERENDAH

(+) TERTINGGI ( - ) TERTINGGI

KORELASI HH

KORELASI (+) TERTINGGI (HUJAN)

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL

2012 0.95 430.7 258.1 133.3 277.4 199.1 89.1 7.3

2011 0.94 170.8 132 64 186.2 122.6 75.5 71.8

1982 0.90 403 179 165 180 103 70 109

1986 0.89 278 227 223 273 232 126 113

1997 0.85 327.5 186.1 189.1 316.7 275.5 16.6 2.5

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL0

50100150200250300350400450500

KORELASI (+) TERTINGGI

20122011198219861997

Axis Title

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JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL

2002 0.20 737.6 425.2 289 268.9 114.3 72.3 156.3

2007 0.11 140.6 831.4 83.6 266 180.3 70.4 0.7

1990 0.08 560.5 251.7 151.9 110.1 319.5 141.2 153

1983 0.05 245 161 238 232 261 113 0

2008 0.02 240.3 592.5 174.5 206.6 113.7 99.9 9.1

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL0

100200300400500600700800900

KORELASI (+) TERENDAH

20022007199019832008

Axis Title

KORELASI (-) TERTINGGI

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL

1996 -0.04 298.2 482.9 278.2 281.4 68.6 55.8 36

1999 -0.09 279.9 262 151.5 90.8 281.8 173.8 111.5

1987 -0.12 482 250 331 290 162 149 82

1988 -0.21 325 234 185 109 324 96 84

2004 -0.36 385.8 317 334.1 182.8 290.4 26.8 228.8

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL0

100

200

300

400

500

600

KORELASI (-) TERTINGGI

19961999198719882004+Sheet1!$E$77:$K$77

Axis Title

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korelasi (+)

tertinggi (HH)Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul

2006 0.97 28 26 14 21 8 6 32000 0.94 23 18 15 21 22 13 62002 0.90 30 28 16 24 11 12 152012 0.88 28 18 15 17 20 3 11991 0.87 28 26 14 21 8 6 3

Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Korelasi (+) Tertinggi

20062000200220121991

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korelasi (+) 

terendah

Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul

1989 0.25 19 26 19 19 31 15 12

1983 0.14 20 15 14 13 17 7 0

1998 0.03 12 24 22 22 21 20 20

2008 0.01 16 27 20 18 13 9 1

1984 0.00 24 17 21 22 13 7 8

Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Korelasi Positif Terendah

19891983199820081984

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korelasi (-) tertinggi

Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul

2004 -0.10 23 21 19 15 20 8 9

1993 -0.10 25 21 23 23 15 14 8

1981 -0.11 27 18 17 13 11 12 14

1980 -0.14 26 19 17 10 9 6 8

2011 -0.16 21 17 16 12 19 6 9

Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Korelasi Negatif Tertinggi

20041993198119802011

NEXT

NEXT

FORECAST

2013

MAY JUN JUL

KORELASI (+) TERTINGGI 186.44 75.44 60.72

KORELASI (+) TERENDAH 1099.72 75.44 60.72

KORELASI (-) 1099.72 75.44 60.72

CH

NEXT

FORECAST

2013

MAY JUN JUL

KORELASI (+) TERTINGGI 13.8  8 5.6

KORELASI (+) TERENDAH 19 16 8

KORELASI (-) 15 9 9.6

HH

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