Using Protection Motivation Theory to Predict Condom Usage and Assess HIV Health Communication...
Transcript of Using Protection Motivation Theory to Predict Condom Usage and Assess HIV Health Communication...
Running Head: PREDICTING CONDOM USE AND ASSESSING HIV COMMUNICATION
Using Protection Motivation Theory to Predict Condom Usage and
Assess HIV Health Communication Efficacy in Singapore
1 May O. Lwin,
2Andrea J. S. Stanaland and Desmond Chan
1 May O. Lwin is Associate Professor at the Division of Public and Promotional
Communication, Wee Kim Wee School of Communication and Information, Nanyang
Technological University, 31 Nanyang Link, WKWSCI Bldg Singapore 637718
Tel: (65) 6790 6669, Fax: (65) 67924329, Email: [email protected]
2Andrea J. S. Stanaland is Assistant Professor of Marketing, College of Business and
Economics, Radford University, Box 6917, Radford, VA, 24141
Tel: 540-831-6497, Email: [email protected]
Desmond K. Chan is on the teaching faculty at Catholic Junior College, Singapore.
Email : [email protected]
The authors would like to gratefully acknowledge the assistance of Chen Chengji and
Yang Xinrong who were students at Nanyang Technological University at the time of
research. We are also grateful to the editor and the anonymous reviewers for their
guidance throughout this review process.
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ABSTRACT
The number of individuals infected with HIV/AIDS continues to rise in Asia. Condom
use is considered to be the first line of defense against AIDS (UNAIDS, 2006). Using the
Protection Motivation Theory (Rogers, 1983), this research aims to first understand the factors
affecting condom usage intention among homosexual and heterosexual men in Singapore, and
then to utilize those findings to assess the efficacy of HIV-directed health communications. We
collected survey data from 484 men and analyzed the data using hierarchical regression and
structural equation modeling. We found self-efficacy to be a significant predictor for both
groups of men, together with perceived severity for homosexuals and response efficacy for
heterosexuals. Next, we analyzed HIV-directed condom usage communication materials and
found that the use of threat appeal themes is more commonly used than themes promoting self-
efficacy. Implications for health communications and policy are discussed.
INTRODUCTION
It has been nearly 25 years since human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) first struck the
world of medical science. HIV, the cause of the Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome
(AIDS), has since resulted in a worldwide epidemic that has claimed more than 25 million lives
(Ministry Of Health Singapore, 2006). In Asia, where the spread of HIV started later than the
rest of the world, expanding prevention programs to slow the spread of the disease remains a
serious challenge (Ruxrungtham, Brown & Phanuphak, 2004). Sexual transmission still
remains the main mode of HIV transmission among Singaporeans, accounting for 90% of the
cases in 2005, and a considerable increase in homosexual transmission has also been observed
in a review of the HIV infected cases from 1994 to 2003 (Sen et al., 2006). More recently,
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Singapore has also seen an uptick in overall HIV infections, with a 12% increase from 2005-
2006 and an 18% increase from 2006-2007 (Mesenas, 2008).
The increased number of infections no doubt serves as a reality check for Singapore,
which struggles in its policies between viewing HIV/AIDS as a disease and the morality of the
issues surrounding HIV. This is especially pronounced for the homosexual population. Mathi
(2006) suggests that the taboo on homosexuality and casual sex has rendered outreach and
health communication programs ineffective in targeting these groups that perhaps most require
education to protect themselves. There is also a consequent lack of trust from homosexual
groups to participate in the education programs because of Singapore‘s conservative
environment. The fight against HIV/AIDS is also challenging in the heterosexual context.
Local newspaper The Straits Times has reported that some Singaporean men, both married and
single, frequent neighboring Batam‘s shores every weekend to visit commercial sex workers
(Tan, 2004). In some of these cases, the men practiced unprotected sex which exposes them to
the risk of HIV as well as sexually transmitted infections.
Most preventive measures that tackle the spread of HIV/AIDS rely on risk avoidance
and/or risk reduction. Risk avoidance refers to practices that abstain from risk behaviors. Some
personal interventions include abstinence and keeping to one partner. Risk reduction refers to a
modification of existing risk behavior through safety precautions such as the use of condoms.
Published systematic reviews and meta-analyses of condom use studies have shown that when
condoms are used consistently and correctly, they are 80% to 95% effective in reducing the risk
of HIV infections (Hearst & Chen, 2003; Pinkerton & Abramson, 1997; Weller & Davis, 2004).
Condom use also has been shown to be more effective in HIV prevention than the reduction of
number of sexual partners (Reiss & Leik, 1989). It is thus imperative that health
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communicators understand the factors that influence an individual‘s formation of HIV-
protective behavioral intentions regarding condom use and how those factors might be utilized
to create targeted communication strategies. Protection Motivation Theory-based interventions
have been shown effective in many health information contexts (Fry & Prentice-Dunn, 2005).
As condom use has been identified as the first line of defense against AIDS (UNAIDS, 2006),
the current research seeks to examine the strength of theory-based Protection Motivation factors
to predict the intention to use condoms among heterosexual and homosexual men in Singapore
and to assess the efficacy of HIV-directed communication in Singapore along PMT dimensions.
LITERATURE REVIEW
Protection Motivation Theory (Rogers, 1983) is a stress-coping theory that is used to
study the effects of threatening health information on intended behaviors, and has been used to
predict condom use (Boer & Mashamba, 2005; Tanner et al., 1989). PMT postulates that when
a person is confronted with a health threat, two mediating cognitive processes - threat appraisal
and coping appraisal - are evoked. Threat appraisals can be described as the evaluation of the
seriousness of the threat (perceived severity) and likelihood of suffering from it (perceived
vulnerability). The threats may include physical harm, social threats, economic costs, and
danger to oneself and others. Faced with a threat, the person will attempt to cope with it.
Coping appraisal is the assessment of the effectiveness of the possible responses to the threat
(response efficacy), in this case the use of condoms, as well as the evaluation of the personal
ability to effectively perform the desired response (self-efficacy). The two appraisal processes
determine whether or not a person will respond with a maladaptive coping response or an
adaptive coping response. Maladaptive coping responses can include feelings of hopelessness,
wishful thinking, avoidance, or fatalism, among others (Rippetoe & Rogers, 1987) and result in
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the adoption of maladaptive behaviors. In the current context, adaptive behavior would be
reflected by the intention to use condoms, while maladaptive behavior would be deciding not to
use condoms. Supporting the usefulness of studying such adaptive intentions, meta-analyses
have shown that intention is a strong predictor of condom use and behavior (Sheeran & Orbell,
1998).
There has been widespread support for the relationships theorized in PMT. In their
extensive review of PMT-related research, Rogers and Prentice-Dunn (1997) report that prior
research has shown that increases in severity or vulnerability (or both) lead to higher intentions
for adaptive behavior and that increases in response efficacy and self-efficacy also lead to
higher intentions for adaptive behavior. Rogers (1983) similarly proposed those main effects,
but also proposed that an interaction effect will occur between the two types of appraisals: a
high threat appraisal will lead to adaptive coping response under conditions of high coping
appraisal (a person recognizes a threat and is capable of responding appropriately), but high
threat appraisal under the condition of low coping appraisal might actually lead to maladaptive
coping response. In other words, an individual who recognizes the threat of HIV but feels
powerless to properly protect himself from the virus (i.e., proper condom use) would be less
likely to form intentions toward that adaptive behavior.
The additive model holds within each appraisal process. When combining
components between the two processes, second-order interaction effects
occur…It is assumed that if response efficacy (or self-efficacy) is high, severity
and/or vulnerability will have a simple main effect on intentions; if response
efficacy (or self-efficacy) is low, increments in severity and/or vulnerability will
either have no effect or a boomerang effect, actually reducing intentions to
comply with the recommendations. (Rogers 1983, p. 170)
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The possibility for backlash against health information is echoed in Witte‘s (1992)
Extended Parallel Processing Model, a model developed to explain why fear appeals are
sometimes rejected. Witte argues that the threat x efficacy interaction is critical to
understanding message rejection. She also distinguishes between fear, a negatively-valenced
emotion, and threat, an external stimulus variable that may or may not be known by the
individual. EPPM focuses on two processes, danger control, which leads to message acceptance,
and fear control, which leads to message rejection. Witte thus summarizes EPPM (Witte, 1992,
p. 338) as follows:
When people fear an applicable and significant threat, and when they perceive a
response that would feasibly and effectively avert the threat, they are motivated
to control the danger (protection motivation) by thinking of strategies to avert the
threat (adaptive outcomes). When danger control processes are dominating,
individuals respond to the danger, not to their fear. Conversely, when perceived
threat is high, but perceived efficacy is low, fear control processes are
initiated…they become motivated to cope with their fear (defensive motivation)
by engaging in maladaptive responses (e.g., denial). When fear control
processes are dominating, individuals respond to their fear, not to the danger.
The heavy emphasis placed on fear by the EPPM makes it particularly suitable for health
communication contexts where levels of fear are manipulated in order to influence behavior.
The current research does not attempt to manipulate levels of threat or fear per say, but
examines the impact of the components of the threat appraisal on intended behavior, thus we
follow Protection Motivation Theory for this research.
Condom use has also been shown to differ based on men‘s sexual orientation. Studies
have indicated that discrimination and homophobia have increased sexual risks for gay men
through unprotected sex and inconsistent condom use (American Foundation for AIDS research,
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2006). Further, Scott-Sheldon et al. (2006) found that homosexual men associated condoms
with sexual and sensual connotations while heterosexual men associated condoms with their
preventive capabilities and impact on relationships. These differences suggest the need to treat
heterosexual and homosexual men as two distinct groups when it comes to studying protection
motivation and designing interventions to encourage condom use.
STUDY 1
According to prior work using PMT, strong threat and coping appraisals will elicit
stronger protection motivation. In their meta-analysis of PMT research, Floyd et al. (2000, p.
407) concluded that ―increases in threat severity, threat vulnerability, response efficacy, and
self-efficacy facilitated adaptive intentions or behaviors.‖ On the other hand, strong threat
appraisals may, instead of evoking a protection motivation, elicit a maladaptive behavior that is
focused on reducing anxiety in the form of avoidance or denial, especially when coupled with a
low coping appraisal (Rogers & Prentice-Dunn, 1997). If a person feels that he or she is
capable of successfully coping with a threat, then as the threat increases, so should the person‘s
intention to perform the adapting coping behavior. Supporting this idea, Rippetoe and Rogers
(1987, p. 601) stated that ―although a threat prompts an individual to act to protect him-or
herself, the most crucial factor in determining what specific coping strategies an individual uses
is the coping information received and resulting coping appraisals.‖ They found that high levels
of response-efficacy and self-efficacy strengthened adaptive coping strategies.
Because of the need for interventions to be tailored to different segments to increase
their effectiveness, we will test hypotheses on both homosexual and heterosexual groups.
An interaction effect between the threat and coping appraisals was postulated by Rogers
as part of the PMT model (1983), and there has been some support for that interaction in the
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literature. Rippetoe and Rogers (1987) found a significant interaction between self-efficacy and
coping in the context of the threat of breast cancer. The reported that ―enhancing people‘s
belief in their own ability to perform the recommended health practice increased their intentions
to use the practice and engage in a rational problem-solving approach. On the other hand, not
believing in one‘s ability to perform the response engendered feelings of hopelessness about
being able to stay healthy‖ (Rippetoe and Rogers 1987, p. 602). Thus women responded with
intentions to perform adaptive coping behavior (breast self-examinations) when they believed
they would be able to successfully do so. Similarly, Sturges and Rogers (1996) found that in
the context of tobacco use, adolescents and young adults only responded with adaptive coping
behaviors if they believed they could cope effectively with the danger (by refraining from
tobacco use).
We therefore expect a significant threat appraisal x coping appraisal interaction such that:
H1: under high levels of coping appraisal, increasing threat appraisals will lead to
intentions to perform adaptive coping behaviors (use of condoms), but
H2: under low levels of coping appraisal, increasing threat appraisals will lead to
intentions to perform maladaptive coping behaviors (not using condoms).
METHODOLOGY
Measures
All constructs were measured using multi-items scales that were adapted from existing
scales. Respondents answered questions on seven-point Likert scales ranging from 1 (strongly
disagree) to 7 (strongly agree).
Perceived Severity. Perceived severity (SEV in the model) refers to how people
perceive the seriousness of the consequences of the disease (Boer & Seydel, 1996). Expanding
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the scale used by Boer, Seydel and Stalpers (1993), we utilized a total of four questions for this
measure (e.g., ―HIV infection is a serious problem‖). A higher score indicates that the
respondent perceives HIV to be more severe.
Perceived Vulnerability. Perceived vulnerability (VUL) refers to the expectancy of
being exposed to the threat (Rogers & Prentice-Dunn, 1997). It may be assessed by the chance
of contracting the disease or the vulnerability of contracting the disease. The scale was adapted
from past PMT studies (Boer, Seydel, & Stalpers, 1993; Van der Velde & Van der Pilgt, 1991),
with a total of four questions (e.g., ―It is possible that I can contract HIV unknowingly‖). The
higher the score, the higher is the perceived vulnerability.
Response Efficacy. Response efficacy (EFF) refers to the beliefs of whether adopting a
particular response will be effective in reducing the disease threat (Rogers & Prentice-Dunn,
1997). In a study by Boer et al. (1993), response efficacy of mammographic behavior was
assessed with four questions on a 3-point scale. The four items formed a reliable scale of 0.67.
These questions were adapted to suit the HIV context. Four questions were used to assess
respondents‘ perception of how effective they deem using condoms is in protecting themselves
from HIV (e.g., ―Using condoms will protect me against becoming infected with HIV‖). A high
score indicates that respondents perceive that using condoms is effective in protecting
themselves from HIV.
Self-efficacy. Self-efficacy (SE) refers to the beliefs of whether one can perform the
coping response confidently and successfully (Rogers & Prentice-Dunn, 1997). Lwin & Saw‘s
(2007) four-question 7-point scale to assess self-efficacy with respect to myopia prevention
behavior was adapted to the HIV context. The construct of four questions measures the belief
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that the respondent is able to execute a recommended behavior successfully (e.g., ―It is easy to
use condoms‖). A higher score indicates that the respondents have higher self efficacy.
Protection Motivation. Protection motivation refers to the development of an intention
to adopt a protective behavior (Hodgkins & Orbell, 1998). It was thus operationalized as a
person‘s behavioral intention to use condoms to protect themselves from HIV. We adapted four
questions from Lwin & Saw‘s (2007) protection motivation four-item measure (e.g., ―I intend to
use condoms to protect myself from getting HIV‖), with higher scores indicated greater levels of
protection motivation.
Sample
Surveys were then given to participants recruited through convenience sampling and
snowballing. We visited a number of locations where heterosexuals or homosexuals gather (e.g.
bars, social clubs) and had our contacts who visit those establishments introduce us to their
friends whom in turn referred us to other respondents. This was a preferred method (over other
methods such as random sampling) due to the sensitive nature of the topic and difficulty in
identifying sexual orientation. Participants who are currently residing in Singapore were
considered eligible, with a total of 500 men recruited for the study. After omission of
respondents with incomplete or missing data, the final sample consisted of 484 men (N=484),
where 219 reported being homosexual and 265 are heterosexual. Most of the respondents were
aged 20-24 years old (45.2%). The sample‘s racial mix consisted of 79.1% Chinese, 11.8%
Malay, 7.8% Indian and 1.3% others (e.g. Eurasian, Caucasian). The racial profile of the
respondents is roughly consistent with the younger unmarried male demographic composition
of the Singapore population (Statistics Singapore, 2006).
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Measures were tested for unidimensionality by subjecting each construct to exploratory
factor analysis, involving principal component analysis and varimax rotation. Indicators that
had low factor loading were eliminated (per Hair et al., 2006, the factor loading for each item
must be at least .5). The internal reliability of all constructs was then assessed per the
recommended Cronbach‘s alpha of .70 (Nunally, 1978). Items with low reliability or with low
item-total correlations were eliminated, leaving each antecedent variable with three items while
the dependent variable remained at four (see Table 1). Convergent validity was examined using
the correlation of each item with its hypothesized scale. To confirm convergent validity, the
Pearson correlation coefficient should be .40 or above (Montazeri, Vahdaninia, Ebrahimi, &
Jarvandi, 2003), and all indicators satisfied the criterion.
Hierarchical Regression
To test for the hypothesized interactions, we ran a hierarchical regression analysis with
intention as the dependent variable (see Table 2) to analyze the interaction effect between threat
and coping with regards to protection motivation. The scores for severity and vulnerability were
pooled to get a measure of threat appraisal, while response-efficacy and self-efficacy were
combined to obtain a measure of coping appraisal. Each variable was then centered. Threat and
coping appraisals were then entered into the regression model first, followed by the interaction
term threat x coping. The two main variables were found to significantly predict intention (F
change = 97.516, p < 0.000), accounting for 28.8% of the variance. As for the interaction
between threat and coping, the F value increment when this variable was added to the model
was not significant (F change = 0.071, p > 0. 1). We also ran similar analyses for homosexuals
and heterosexuals separately, but as shown in Table 2, the interaction effects were also found to
be insignificant. The hypothesized interaction was thus not supported.
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Despite its theoretical rationale, support for this interaction has not been widespread in
the literature. Rogers and Prentice-Dunn (1997, p. 119) report that ―threat and coping appraisal
variables have been found to interact in about one half of the studies in which both classes of
variables have been tested. The interactions tend to appear when the threat manipulation is
especially strong‖. This suggests that the interaction effect described under conditions of high
threat appraisal and low coping appraisal might only appear under extreme threat conditions.
We did not attempt to manipulate a strong fear appeal in this study, perhaps explaining the lack
of the significant threat x coping interaction.
However, prior research has found significant main effects (Wurtele & Maddux, 1987;
Lwin & Saw, 2007), thus we will next consider the influence of each of the components,
perceived severity and perceived vulnerability (for threat appraisal), and response efficacy and
self-efficacy (for coping appraisal), on the level of protection motivation aroused. Research has
shown that increases in severity or vulnerability (the components of threat appraisal) will lead to
greater intentions to adopt adaptive behavior (Floyd, Prentice-Dunn & Rogers, 2000).
Protection motivation is also enhanced by the belief that the behavior (condom usage) is
effective in reducing the risk (response efficacy) and the expectation that one can execute the
behavior confidently (self-efficacy). Both response efficacy and self-efficacy have been shown
to strengthen intentions for adaptive behavior (Boer & Mashamba, 2005; Rippetoe & Rogers,
1987; Lwin & Saw, 2007; Wulfert & Wan, 1993). Thus, as each of the four cognitive
mediating variables increases in strength, greater protection motivation should be aroused,
leading to greater protective behavioral intentions. We therefore proceeded to test for main
effects for each sample.
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ANALYSIS AND RESULTS
SEM is used next in this study because it can explicitly account for measurement error
in the explanatory variables as opposed to traditional multivariate procedures (Hair et al., 2006),
and is considered to be particularly useful for health communication research (Stephenson,
Holbert & Zimmerman, 2006). We used AMOS 7.0 and SPSS to run the data analyses for
Study 1.
Measurement Models
CFA was performed to validate the scales used in measuring the latent constructs to
inspect for the presence of any offending estimates (Hair et al., 2006). We split up the CFA
analysis of the population into homosexual and heterosexual groups because of the adequacy of
sample size (nhetero= 265, nhomo= 219).
Goodness-of- fit. CFA was performed on the five PMT constructs for both homosexual
and heterosexual males. Fit indices were satisfactory for the homosexual model (χ2
= 177.4; d.f.
= 94,p = .00; RMSEA = .064 (90% CI = .049, .078); CFI = .951) and excellent for the
heterosexual model (χ2
= 132.3; d.f. = 94, p = .00; RMSEA = .039 (90% CI = .022, .054); CFI
= .977). Figures 1 and 2 represent the CFA models for homosexual and heterosexual subjects
respectively.
Reliability and Convergent Validity. The CFA models were subsequently tested for
construct reliability (CR) and variance extraction (VE) to examine if the indicators were
sufficient in representing their representative constructs (Moorman, 1995; Oliver & Bearden,
1985). Variance extraction is used as a measure of convergent validity (Ping, 2005). Fornell and
Larcker (1981) recommended that for a construct to display convergent validity, the variance
explained by the construct must be greater than the measurement errors. Based on the SEM
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construct reliability formula and the variance extracted measure given by Garver and Mentzer
(1999), calculations were performed. For both groups, CR results ranged from .74 to .90 while
VE results ranged from .49 to .70. The results for the constructs of both groups met the
recommended values for CR and VE (Fornell & Bookstein, 1982; Fornell & Larcker, 1981).
This confirmed the internal consistency of the constructs and that the respective indicators truly
represented the constructs.
To ensure that the indicators accurately measure the latent constructs that they are
supposed to measure, the individual factor loading for each construct was used to determine
convergent validity. Using the standardized loading from Maximum Likelihood Estimates for
each indicator, a critical ratio of 1.64 or higher indicates that the estimates are significant at p
< .05 (two-tailed; Hair et al., 2006). All the constructs within the models for both groups had
critical ratios higher than 1.64 and thus were statistically significant for their constructs.
The null models for both groups were first tested but the absolute, incremental and
parsimonious fit measures for the models of both groups were unsatisfactory. Model
respecification was thus carried out, drawing upon information from the modification indices as
well as construct correlation. The modifications were made based on theoretical grounds.
Severity and vulnerability constructs were correlated theoretically as established by Melamed et
al. (1996) while response efficacy and self-efficacy were correlated theoretically as coping
appraisals (Rogers & Prentice-Dunn, 1997). Figures 1 and 2 present the fitted models for both
homosexual and heterosexual males respectively. There was satisfactory model fit for the
homosexual PMT model (χ2
= 174.5; d.f. = 83, p = .00; RMSEA = .071 (90% CI = .056, .086);
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CFI = .938) and excellent model fit for the heterosexual PMT model (χ2
= 152.0; d.f. = 98, p
= .00; RMSEA = .046 (90% CI =.031,.059); CFI = .968).
Structural Models
Testing for main effects was carried out using the final fitted SEM models for both
groups. For the homosexual subjects, only perceived severity (SEV PM =..15) and self-
efficacy (SE PM =.60) were significantly (p<0.05 and p<0.001, respectively) and positively
related to their condom usage intention. In contrast, only the heterosexual subjects‘ response
efficacy (EFF PM =.23) and self-efficacy (SE PM = .43) were significantly (p < .001) and
positively related to their condom usage intention. Self-efficacy turned out to be the strongest
predictor of protection motivation for both groups. Finally, comparison of the effects between
the homosexual males and the heterosexual males on the various dimensions measured shows
that homosexual men have higher perceived self-efficacy and severity as compared to
heterosexual men, while heterosexual men have higher perceived response-efficacy than
homosexual men.
STUDY 2
With Study 1 having identified self-efficacy as a strong predictor of condom usage
intention for homosexual and heterosexual men in Singapore, we next move to the second
objective of systematically describing the themes of the HIV-directed social marketing
communication targeting those populations in order to assess their efficacy. A content analysis
was thus set up to code the local HIV-directed print materials in terms of the utilization of
themes that are relevant to each PMT dimension – severity, vulnerability, response-efficacy and
self-efficacy (Rogers, 1983).
Defining Sample and Unit of Analysis
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The mass HIV education campaigns by Singapore‘s Health Promotion Board (HPB) and
voluntary community organization Action for AIDS (AFA) included putting up posters,
distributing pamphlets and spreading information through television and newspapers (Quek &
Li, 2002). Materials such as pamphlets are often the medium of choice when health care
organizations provide information about a health care topic (Kline & Mattson, 2000). We look
at the specific HIV-directed print materials that target men in Singapore, including posters,
pamphlets, booklets and postcards.
METHODOLOGY
A total of 35 HIV-directed materials were sourced from HPB and AFA. Materials in the
final sample (N=28) were selected based on what was provided by the two organizations for
members of the public and whether they were published between year 2000 and 2007. As two
of the pamphlets were targeted at women specifically, they were excluded from the sample.
Five HIV-directed materials, which were dated before the year 2000, were also excluded from
the final sample and were later used to train the coders. Themes were operationalized as the
broad unifying ideas conveyed by the pictures, phrases or sentences in the HIV-directed
material.
Coding Categories
We categorized the themes found in the materials into four broad dimensions to reflect
PMT constructs: severity, vulnerability, response efficacy, and self efficacy. The general
information dimension includes the theme that gives background information about HIV/AIDS.
The social support dimension give discussions and dramatizations on social support norms to
avoid unsafe sex as well as encourage contact between readers and health care support groups
and professionals (Catania, Kegeles & Coates, 1990; Fishbein, Middlestadt, & Hitchcock, 1994).
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The severity dimension has themes that relate to depictions of the seriousness and the negative
outcomes of HIV/AIDS to the person and loved ones (Brouwers & Sorrentino, 1993) while the
vulnerability dimension has themes encouraging the readers to consider their susceptibility to
HIV infection (Boer & Seydel, 1996). The response efficacy dimension relates to the themes on
measures that are labeled as effective in avoiding the negative outcome of contracting HIV
infection (Boer, Seydel, & Stalpers, 1993). This is done through providing information on HIV
transmission and the effectiveness of the measures in reducing the risk of transmission. The
self-efficacy dimension relates to the themes on measures that help the person to believe he or
she can practice risk reduction confidently (Boer, Seydel, & Stalpers, 1993). Each theme was
explicitly stated in terms of its scope in the codebook so that it could be reliably coded by two
independent raters.
Coding Procedures
Prior to coding the final sample, two coders were trained in the use of coding categories
with other materials not found in the final sample. Both of the raters needed to be proficient in
English and Chinese because of the presence of these two languages in the materials in the final
sample. Two raters independently rated the HIV-directed material and coded it for the presence
or absence of themes (Yes/No). A third rater would be consulted if there was any disagreement.
The general reliability scores (Perreault and Leigh, 1989) for individual items ranged from 0.9
to 1.0, as listed in Table 4. Any discrepancies in coding were resolved through discussions
among the coders and the supervising researcher.
RESULTS
Prevalence of the themes noted are listed in Table 4. Of the PMT-related themes studied,
the response efficacy theme was the most represented (69%) while the self efficacy theme was
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the least represented (21%). The severity and vulnerability themes were both found in 64% of
the materials. Hence we deduce that the local HIV-directed materials targeting men focused
more on highlighting threat appraisals and condom effectiveness than providing information on
how to use condoms and negotiate condom use confidently. In the severity dimension, the most
common theme was that of HIV‘s fatality (43%). Other themes pertaining to severity like
‗HIV-related diseases‘ and the ‗incurability of HIV‘ were present in 39% of the materials. In the
vulnerability dimension, it was most commonly stressed that ‗HIV symptoms are not visible‘
and that one cannot tell whether a person has HIV by judging how healthy a person looks (57%).
Under the response efficacy dimension, the themes specific to the effectiveness of
keeping to one partner, condoms, abstinence in preventing HIV infections, were present in 46%,
69% and 7% of the materials respectively, with the theme of ‗effectiveness of condom‘ being
the most represented amongst all the other themes in response efficacy. In comparison, all the
themes in the self efficacy dimension were represented much less. ‗General statements on the
practice of safe sex (non-condom specific)‘ and ‗information on HIV testing‘ in the response
efficacy dimension were present in only 29% of the materials, while the theme of ‗condom
usage depiction and condom negotiation skills‘ were present in only 21% of the materials.
DISCUSSION
In Study 1, we found perceived severity and self-efficacy to be significantly and
positively related to the condom usage intention of homosexual subjects. Despite the increasing
rate of HIV sexual transmission among homosexual men in Singapore (MOH, 2006), perceived
vulnerability and response efficacy had no relationship to our subjects‘ intention to use
condoms. One possible explanation is that within the homosexual population, the risk of
contracting HIV and the effectiveness of condoms in HIV prevention are so widely appreciated
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that ceiling effects might weaken the impact of perceived vulnerability on intentions to use
condoms. In contrast, response efficacy and self efficacy had a positive impact on the condom
usage intention in heterosexual subjects. For this group, however, perceived severity and
vulnerability toward HIV/AIDS did not drive their intention to use condoms. One reason for
this could be that those variables drive intentions to keep to one partner rather than the intention
to use condoms. It is also possible that subjects discount the risk of contracting HIV within the
heterosexual population.
Self efficacy turned out to be the strongest predictor of condom usage intention for both
groups. This finding supports other applied PMT studies which also found self-efficacy to be
the strongest predictor of protection motivation (Floyd, Prentice–Dunn, & Rogers, 2000; Lwin
& Saw, 2007; Wurtele & Maddux, 1987). The finding would suggest that self-efficacy deserves
greater emphasis in health communications and policies to drive condom usage intention.
However, Study 2, which involved a content analysis of the HIV-directed materials targeting
both groups, found the specific theme relating to the demonstration and depiction of condom
usage and negotiation skills under the self-efficacy dimension to have a lower presence in the
materials than the themes for threat appraisals. We suggest the emphasis on threat appraisals in
the materials might be misdirected since self-efficacy exhibited stronger associations with
protection motivation for both groups. Albarracỉn et al. (2005) further supported this
recommendation through their meta-analysis of 354 HIV-prevention interventions. They found
that interventions which stressed educational information and behavioral skills training were
more effective than those that used fear appeals.
HIV social marketing campaigns and health communications can be based on the
significant focal points of the PMT model for each group. Kotler (1975) suggests that
Predicting Condom Use 20
successful social marketing requires the identification of target groups and the fixing of key
communication messages and channels to maximize the target group response. The findings
from Study 1 indicate that health communicators in Singapore should clearly segment the
homosexual male group from the heterosexual male group because each requires an emphasis
on different communication messages to increase condom usage intentions. The findings from
Study 2 suggest a further need to reinforce the focus on self-efficacy towards condom usage in
the present HIV-directed materials.
For homosexual men, the HIV prevention communication message should focus on self-
efficacy of condom use and the severity of HIV. The potential communication channels for
message dissemination can be health agencies, gay support groups and affiliates as well as
educators since in Singapore‘s context, it would be difficult for government policy makers to
reach out to this group as homosexual activities are not accepted by the community at large
(Cutter et al., 2004). Health agencies such as HPB and AFA can promote HIV-directed
materials that specifically target the local gay community and focus on the severity of HIV as a
fatal disease. It is also important to communicate that condom use is easy and affordable and
emphasize the demonstration of condom usage in the HIV-directed materials.
For heterosexual men, the HIV prevention communication message should focus on the
effectiveness of condom usage in combating HIV transmission and also the demonstration and
depiction of correct condom use and condom negotiation skills. The potential channels for
message dissemination can include health agencies, education in schools, National Service and
hospitals. Based on our findings, health agencies should emphasize the message that condoms
are simple, easy and affordable rather than use fear appeals in the promotional materials and
campaigns for heterosexual men.
Predicting Condom Use 21
In their meta-analysis of PMT research, Floyd, Prentice-Dunn and Rogers (2000, p. 422)
concluded:
Although all of the PMT variables exerted moderate effects in general,
some may be more important in one area of protection versus another.
Understanding the relative impact of the key variables associated with the
targeted protective behavior would be important in formulating treatment
interventions and persuasive communications. Reviews of specific health areas
must be used to determine the emphasis placed on different PMT variables
particular to that area (e.g., cancer prevention or adherence to medical-treatment
regimens). Such information may help to pinpoint areas for intervention, or at
the very least to identify obstacles to improved health or safety.
Similarly, Gilbert et al. (1998, p. 651) observe that the literature has ―begun to consider how
features of both the person and the situation shape the influence of the predictors specified by
PMT.‖ Our results support the idea that similar health-protective behavior (i.e., condom use)
can be differentially influenced by PMT components depending on characteristics of the
individual or population. In this case, different aspects of the PMT model were predictors of
condom usage intentions for homosexual versus heterosexual men.
Our study might also serve as a baseline study on the condom usage intention of men in
Singapore and future research should carry out longitudinal studies to measure condom usage
behavior and intentions. Weinstein and Nicolich (1993) encourage research to examine
temporal effects in the relationship between perceptions of risk and resulting risk behaviors.
The stability of the measures of protection motivation over longer periods should be a focus for
future research (Boer & Seydel, 1996). It would be appropriate to re-calibrate the model used in
the current research to capture the post-adoption period and determine how PMT components
relate to ongoing protection behaviors. It should also be considered that the effectiveness of the
Predicting Condom Use 22
interventions and the strategies behind them may be dependent on past condom use behavior,
age, ethnicity and other demographic factors (Albarracỉn et al., 2005).
In conclusion, the current research makes its contribution to the health communication
literature in several areas. First, we tested an omnibus model based on Protection Motivation
Theory using structural equation modeling. We believe that using Structural Equation
Modeling in this study is a strength because of SEM‘s usefulness in ―understanding
communication as a complex set of relations between variables‖ (Stephenson et al. 2006, p.
159). Second, we compared the omnibus models from samples representing two distinct
populations—homosexual men and heterosexual men. Although the anticipated interaction
between threat and coping was not found to be significant, our results showed that in fact
different PMT variables were significant in predicting condom usage for the different groups.
As mentioned, this also supports the contention in the literature that the predictive strength of
various PMT components might vary by individual, population, or other contextual differences.
Finally, we used the findings from our study 1 model to subsequently evaluate the potential
efficacy of publicly-available condom-promotion health communication materials in Singapore.
Rather than merely making recommendations based on our initial findings, we attempt to close
the loop by using those findings to assess actual health communication initiatives. Overall, we
found a PMT-based model effective in differentiating between the messages that might be most
effective in influencing protective behavioral intentions among homosexual and heterosexual
men in Singapore, and recommend that changes be made to existing communication materials
in order to effectively reach those groups.
Predicting Condom Use 25
TABLE 1: Constructs Loadings and Reliability
Constructs Item
Coding Item Descriptions
Factor
Loading
Severity SEV 1 HIV infection is a serious problem 0.76
SEV 2 Being HIV positive will incur the risk of a
weakening immune system and high medical bills.
0.87 0.81
SEV 3 Being HIV positive will most likely induce social
stigmatization.
0.82
Vulnerability VUL 1 It is possible that I will ever get HIV. 0.78
VUL 2 The chance that someone of my age in comparable
conditions gets HIV is rather large.
0.65 0.71
VUL 3 It is possible that I can contract HIV unknowingly. 0.71
Efficacy EFF 1 Using condoms ensures that I am protected against
HIV.
0.87
EFF 2 The use of condoms is effective in preventing
HIV.
0.86 0.88
EFF 4 The use of condoms reassures me that I am safe
from HIV.
0.88
Self-efficacy SE 1 It is easy to use condoms. 0.84
SE 3 I am not afraid to use condoms. 0.83 0.87
SE 4 I am able to use condoms effectively. 0.89
Protection
Motivation
INT 1 I intend to use condoms on myself or the other
party every time there is penetrative sex.
0.85
INT 2 I intend to use condoms to protect myself from
getting HIV.
0.81 0.87
INT 4 I would ensure the other party or I have a condom
to use before penetrative sex.
0.87
INT 5 I intend to use a condom regardless of how the
other party feels.
0.83
Predicting Condom Use 26
TABLE 2: Hierarchical regression results for threat, coping and threat x coping variables
*p < .05; **p < .01; ***p < .001
TABLE 4: Presence of PMT Themes in HIV-directed Materials
Dimensions Presence
of themes
(N=28)
Specific themes within each
dimension
Presence
of specific
themes in
materials
Perrault‘s
Index of
reliability
(Ir)
Severity
(Threat Appraisal)
64% Severity—Fatality 43% 1.00
Severity—AIDS related illnesses 39% 0.96
Severity—no cure or vaccine 39% 0.96
Vulnerability
(Threat Appraisal)
64% Everyone susceptible to contracting
HIV
43% 0.96
Ambiguity of partner‘s sexual
history/HIV status
54% 0.96
HIV symptoms are less visible 57% 0.93
Identification of specific risk groups 36% 0.93
Response Efficacy
(Coping Appraisal)
69% Effectiveness of condom use in
reducing HIV incidence
69% 1.00
Self-Efficacy
(Coping Appraisal)
21% Demonstration or depiction of
condom use and condom
negotiation skills
21% 0.96
Intention
Combined
(n = 484)
Homosexuals
(n = 219)
Heterosexuals
(n = 265)
Block 1
Coping .476*** .495*** .419***
Threat .160*** .144* .134*
Block R2 .288*** .214*** .326***
Block 2
Threat-Coping .010 .059 -.075
Block R2 .000 .005 .003
Total R2 .289*** .219*** .329***
Predicting Condom Use 27
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