The Equilibrium Analysis of a Closed Economy Model with Government and Money Market Sector
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Transcript of The Equilibrium Analysis of a Closed Economy Model with Government and Money Market Sector
ACTA UNIVERSITATIS DANUBIUS Vol 8, no. 5/2012
176
Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
The Equilibrium Analysis of a Closed Economy Model with
Government and Money Market Sector - II
Catalin Angelo Ioan1, Gina Ioan
2
Abstract: In this paper, we will continue the study of the dynamic equilibrium solutions in the purpose of investigating the dependence limits (potential output and interest rate limit). We find also an interesting linear relation between the potential output and interest rate limit.
Keywords: equilibrium; demand; income
JEL Classification: R12
1 Introduction
The purpose of this paper is to continue the analysis of a closed economy model
when the net exports are zero. After a correction of some errors founded in [2] we
have analyzed the dependence of the potential output and the interest rate limit on
the depending variables presented in the model.
2 The Model Equations ([5])
For the beginning let remind the model equations:
(1) D=C+I+G
(2) C=cYV+C0, C00, cY(0, 1)
(3) V=Y+TR-TI, TR0
(4) TI=riYY+T0, riY(0, 1), T0R
1 Associate Professor, PhD, Danubius University of Galati, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Romania, Address: 3 Galati Blvd, Galati, Romania, Tel.: +40372 361 102, fax: +40372 361 290, Corresponding author: [email protected]. 2 Assistant Professor, PhD in progress, Danubius University of Galati, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Romania, Address: 3 Galati Blvd, Galati, Romania, Tel.: +40372 361 102, fax: +40372 361 290, e-
mail: [email protected].
AUDŒ, Vol 8, no 5, pp. 176-185
ŒCONOMICA
177
(5) I=inYY+irr+I0, inY(0, 1), ir0, I00
(6) G= G
(7) D=Y
(8) MD=mdYY+mrr+M0M0, mdY0, mr0, M00
(9) MD=M
(10) dt
dY=(D-Y), 0
(11) dt
dr=(MD-M), 0
where:
D – the aggregate demand;
C – the consumer demand (a concave function of V);
I – the investment demand;
G – the government spending;
V – the disposable income;
Y – the aggregate supply (national income);
TR – the government transfers;
TI – taxes;
cY – the marginal propensity to consume, c=dV
dC(0, 1),
2
2
dV
cd0;
riY – the tax rate, riY(0, 1);
inY –the rate of investments, inY(0, 1);
ir – a factor of influence on the investment rate, ir0;
r – the interest rate;
MD – the money demand in the economy;
mdY – the rate of money demand in the economy;
ACTA UNIVERSITATIS DANUBIUS Vol 8, no. 5/2012
178
mr – a factor of influencing the demand for currency from the interest rate,
mr0;
M – themoney supply.
3 The Static Equilibrium
Let note for the beginning, the autonomous component:
(12) E=cY(TR-T0)+C0+I0+ G 0
In order to have the equilibrium, that is D=Y, from (1)-(6) we obtain:
(13)
YYYrYr
0rr
YYYrYr
YYYY0
in)ri1(c1mmdi
MMiEmY
in)ri1(c1mmdi
Emdin)ri1(c1MMr
We will note below, for simplification:
(14) = MMiEm 0rr
4 A result on the stability of solutions of a system of differential
equations of first order, linear, with constant coefficients satisfying
some conditions
Lemma
Let the system of differential equations:
f
e
Y
X
dc
ba
dt
dYdt
dX
, a, b, c, d, e, fR, a, b, d0, c, e, f0, X(0)=X0,
Y(0)=Y0.
Then X~
)t(Xlimt
, Y~
)t(Ylimt
, Y~
,X~
R if and only if:
1. (a-d)2+4bc=0 with the solution:
ŒCONOMICA
179
2
t2
da
00
t2
da
20
2
t2
da
20
t2
da
00
)da(
afce4te
b2
da
da
)da(ebf2bYX
2
dae
da
ceaf4YY
)da(
debf4e
)da(
bfde4Xte
da
)da(ebf2bYX
2
daX
2. (a-d)2+4bc0 and 12 are roots of the equation:
2-(a+d)+(ad-bc)=0:
e, fR with the solution:
bcad
afceek
b
aek
b
aY
bcad
bfdeekekX
t2
2t1
1
t2
t1
21
21
where:
12
0101
2
12
0202
1
bcad
afcebbY
bcad
bfdeaXa
k
bcad
afcebbY
bcad
bfdeaXa
k
3. (a-d)2+4bc0 and 1=+i, 2=-i, 0 are the roots of the equation:
2-(a+d)+(ad-bc)=0: e, fR with the solution:
bcad
afectsine
)bcad(2
)bfde(c2)ceaf)(ad(Y
2
adcX
1tcose
bcad
ceafYY
bcad
debftsine
)bcad(2
)ceaf(b2)debf)(ad(X
2
adbY
1tcose
bcad
bfdeXX
t00
t0
t00
t0
5 The Dynamic Equilibrium
Let the system of first order differential equations:
(15)
)MMD(dt
dr
)YD(dt
dY
, , 0
which becomes after (1)-(9):
ACTA UNIVERSITATIS DANUBIUS Vol 8, no. 5/2012
180
(16)
)MM(
E
r
Y
mmd
i
dt
drdt
dY
0rY
rY
where we note Y=1-cY(1-riY)-inY0
Using the above lemma, it follows that: Y~
)t(Ylimt
, r~)t(rlimt
, r~,Y~
R+ if
and only if:
1. (Y+mr)2+4irmdY=0 then:
2rY
0YY
t2
m
r
rY
rY
rY0r0r0
rY
t2
m
2
rY
Y0Y0
2rY
r0rt
2
m
2rY
0rr0
t2
m
rY
rY0r0r0
rY
)m(
MMEmd4
tei2
m
m
)m(EMMi2riY
2
m
em
EmdMM4rr
)m(
EmMMi4e
)m(
MMiEm4Y
tem
)m(EMMi2riY
2
mY
rY
rY
rY
rY
and:
YrrY
0YY
YrrY
0rr
mdim
MMEmdr~
mdim
MMiEmY~
2. (Y+mr)2+4irmdY0 and 12are roots of the equation:
2+(Y -
mr)-(Ymr+irmdY)=0 then:
YrrY
0YYt2
r
Y2t1
r
Y1
YrrY
0rrt2
t1
mdim
MMEmdek
iek
ir
mdim
MMiEmekekY
21
21
where:
ŒCONOMICA
181
12
YrrY
0rrY10Y1
YrrY
0YYr0r
2
12
YrrY
0YYr0r
YrrY
0rrY20Y2
1
mdim
MMiEmY
mdim
MMEmdiri
k
mdim
MMEmdiri
mdim
MMiEmY
k
and:
YrrY
0YY
YrrY
0rr
mdim
MMEmdr~
mdim
MMiEmY~
3. (Y+mr)2+4irmdY0 and 1=+i, 2=-i, 0 are roots of the
equation: 2+(Y-mr)-(Ymr+irmdY)=0 then:
YrrY
0YY
t
YrrY
0rrYY0YYr0
Yr0
t
YrrY
Y0Y0
YrrY
r0r
t
YrrY
Y0Yrr0rYr0
Yr0
t
YrrY
0rr0
mdim
)MM(Emd
tsine)mdim(2
))MM(iEm(md2)Emd)MM()(m(r
2
mcY
1
tcosemdim
Emd)MM(rr
mdim
Em)MM(i
tsine)mdim(2
)Emd)MM((i2)Em)MM(i)(m(Y
2
mbr
1
tcosemdim
)MM(iEmYY
and:
YrrY
0YY
YrrY
0rr
mdim
MMEmdr~
mdim
MMiEmY~
We will call Y~
- the potential output and r~ - the interest rate limit.
ACTA UNIVERSITATIS DANUBIUS Vol 8, no. 5/2012
182
6 The Analysis of Variation Limits
Therefore again:
(17)
YrrY
0YY
YrrY
0rr
mdim
MMEmdr~
mdim
MMiEmY~
From the above relations, we obtain:
(18) Er~iY~
rY
or, in original terms:
(19) r~iY~
inri1c1 rYYY =cY(TR-T0)+C0+I0+ G
We can easily write the relation (18) as:
(20) YY
r Er~
iY~
Because Y
ri
0 it follows that the dependence of the output potential of the interest
rate limit is inverse.
Because YrrY mdim 0 in order to have Y~0 it must that 0 that is:
(21) MMiEm 0rr 0
The first partial derivatives of Y~
are:
(22)
2YrrY
0YYr
r mdim
MMEmdi
m
Y~
0
(23) YrrY
r
mdim
m
E
Y~
0
(24)
2YrrY
Y0Yr
r mdim
MMEmdm
i
Y~
0
(25)
2YrrY
r
2
YrrY
0rrr
Y mdim
m
mdim
MMiEmmY~
0
ŒCONOMICA
183
But Y=1-cY(1-riY)-inY imply: 1cY
Y
, Y
Y
Y cri
, 1
inY
Y
, from where:
(26)
2YrrY
r
2
YrrY
0rrr
Y
Y
YY mdim
m
mdim
MMiEmm
c
Y~
c
Y~
0
(27)
2YrrY
rY
2
YrrY
0rrrY
Y
Y
YY mdim
mc
mdim
MMiEmmc
ri
Y~
ri
Y~
0
(28)
2YrrY
r
2
YrrY
0rrr
Y
Y
YY mdim
m
mdim
MMiEmm
in
Y~
in
Y~
0
(29) YrrY
r
0 mdim
i
MM
Y~
0
(30)
2YrrY
r
2
YrrY
0rrr
Y mdim
i
mdim
MMiEmi
md
Y~
0
Also, for
YrrY
0YY
mdim
MMEmdr~
0 we have:
(31)
2YrrY
0YYY
r mdim
MMEmd
m
r~
0
(32) YrrY
Y
mdim
md
E
r~
0
(33)
2YrrY
0YYY
r mdim
MMEmdmd
i
r~
0
(34)
2YrrY
Y
2
YrrY
0rrY
Y mdim
md
mdim
MMiEmmdr~
0 from where:
(35)
2YrrY
Y
2
YrrY
0rrY
Y
Y
YY mdim
md
mdim
MMiEmmd
c
r~
c
r~
0
(36)
2YrrY
YY
2
YrrY
0rrYY
Y
Y
YY mdim
cmd
mdim
MMiEmcmd
ri
r~
ri
r~
0
ACTA UNIVERSITATIS DANUBIUS Vol 8, no. 5/2012
184
(37)
2YrrY
Y
2
YrrY
0rrY
Y
Y
YY mdim
md
mdim
MMiEmmd
in
r~
in
r~
0
(38) YrrY
Y
0 mdimMM
r~
0
(39)
2YrrY
Y
2
YrrY
0rrY
Y mdimmdim
MMiEm
md
r~
0
7 Conclusions
As a general conclusion, we obtain the following:
the increase in absolute value of mr – the factor of influencing the demand
for currency from the interest rate imply the increasing of the potential output
and the decreasing of the interest rate limit;
the potential output and the interest rate limit are increasing at an increase of
the autonomous component;
the increase in absolute value of ir – the factor of influence on the investment
rate imply the decreasing of the potential output and the decreasing of the
interest rate limit;
the increase of cY – the marginal propensity to consumeimply the increasing
of the potential output and the increasing of the interest rate limit;
the increase of riY – the tax rate imply the decreasing of the potential output
and the decreasing of the interest rate limit;
the increase of inY – the rate of investments imply the increasing of the
potential output and the increasing of the interest rate limit;
the increase of M – the money supply imply the decreasing of the potential
output and the decreasing of the interest rate limit;
the increase of mdY – the rate of money demand in the economy imply the
decreasing of the potential output and the increasing of the interest rate limit.
ŒCONOMICA
185
8 References
Dornbusch, R.; Fischer, S. & Startz, R. (1997). Macroeconomics. Richard D. Irwin Publishers.
Ioan, G. & Ioan, C.A. (2011). The Equilibrium Analysis of a Closed Economy Model with Government and Money Market Sector. Acta Universitas Danubius. Oeconomica, Vol. 7, No. 5, pp. 127-143.
Mankiw, N.G. (2010). Macroeconomics. Worth Publishers.
Romer, D. (1996). Advanced Macroeconomics. McGraw-Hill.
Stancu, S. & Mihail, N. (2009). Macroeconomie. Modele statice și dinamice de comportament. Teorie
și aplicații/Macroeconomics. Static and dynamic models of behavior. Theory and Applications. Bucharest: Economică.