Systematic meta-analysis of individual selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor medications and...

12
http://anp.sagepub.com/ Australian and New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry http://anp.sagepub.com/content/early/2013/06/11/0004867413492219 The online version of this article can be found at: DOI: 10.1177/0004867413492219 published online 12 June 2013 Aust N Z J Psychiatry Nicholas Myles, Hannah Newall, Harvey Ward and Matthew Large malformations Systematic meta-analysis of individual selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor medications and congenital Published by: http://www.sagepublications.com On behalf of: The Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists can be found at: Australian and New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry Additional services and information for http://anp.sagepub.com/cgi/alerts Email Alerts: http://anp.sagepub.com/subscriptions Subscriptions: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsReprints.nav Reprints: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsPermissions.nav Permissions: What is This? - Jun 12, 2013 OnlineFirst Version of Record >> at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013 anp.sagepub.com Downloaded from

Transcript of Systematic meta-analysis of individual selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor medications and...

http://anp.sagepub.com/Australian and New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry

http://anp.sagepub.com/content/early/2013/06/11/0004867413492219The online version of this article can be found at:

 DOI: 10.1177/0004867413492219

published online 12 June 2013Aust N Z J PsychiatryNicholas Myles, Hannah Newall, Harvey Ward and Matthew Large

malformationsSystematic meta-analysis of individual selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor medications and congenital

  

Published by:

http://www.sagepublications.com

On behalf of: 

  The Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists

can be found at:Australian and New Zealand Journal of PsychiatryAdditional services and information for    

  http://anp.sagepub.com/cgi/alertsEmail Alerts:

 

http://anp.sagepub.com/subscriptionsSubscriptions:  

http://www.sagepub.com/journalsReprints.navReprints:  

http://www.sagepub.com/journalsPermissions.navPermissions:  

What is This? 

- Jun 12, 2013OnlineFirst Version of Record >>

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry00(0) 1 –11DOI: 10.1177/0004867413492219

© The Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists 2013 Reprints and permissions: sagepub.co.uk/journalsPermissions.navanp.sagepub.com

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

Introduction

Pregnancy is a time of increased vulnerability for depres-sion, with an incidence of between 10–15% (Bennett et al., 2004). Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) comprise the most frequently prescribed class of antide-pressant medication and are indicated for moderate to severe depression and anxiety disorders. Prescription data-bases suggest that 3–6% of pregnant women take an SSRI during pregnancy (Andrade et al., 2008), whilst large preg-nancy cohorts report prevalence of congenital malforma-tion at up to 5% (Queisser-Luft et al., 2002). Despite ultrasonographic and other antenatal screening, congenital

cardiac defects (Pradat et al., 2003) and neural tube defects (Detrait et al., 2005) occur in approximately one in 1000

Systematic meta-analysis of individual selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor medications and congenital malformations

Nicholas Myles1, Hannah Newall1, Harvey Ward2 and Matthew Large3

Abstract

Context: It has been suggested that the commonly prescribed class of antidepressants selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) are associated with birth defects. However, the teratogenic effect of individual SSRIs has not been previously compared using meta-analysis.

Objective: To determine the strength of the association between individual SSRIs and major, minor, and cardiac mal-formation among infants born to women taking these medications.

Data sources: Electronic search of CINAHL, EMBASE, Medline, PsycINFO, and ISI Web of Science using the search terms (SSRI OR antidepressant) AND (obstetric outcome OR malformation OR birth outcome OR teratogen), supple-mented by manual searching of published references and requests of primary researchers for unpublished data.

Study selection: There were 115 studies identified by electronic search and reviewed in full text, which yielded 16 papers reporting 36 data samples for major malformations, nine papers reporting 26 data samples for cardiac malforma-tions, and four papers reporting seven data samples for minor malformations.

Data synthesis: Fluoxetine (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.01–1.30) and paroxetine (OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.11–1.49) were associated with increased risk of major malformations. Paroxetine was associated with increased risk of cardiac malformations (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.12–1.86). Sertraline and citalopram were not significantly associated with congenital malformation. Between-sample heterogeneity was low and a range of methodological considerations had no significant impact on effect size. There was little evidence of publication bias.

Conclusions: Fluoxetine and paroxetine should be avoided in the first trimester and among those at risk of an unplanned pregnancy.

KeywordsAntidepressant, fluoxetine, malformation, paroxetine, SSRI, teratogen

1Department of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Woodville South, Australia2 Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Coffs Harbour Health Campus, Coffs Harbour, Australia

3 Department of Psychiatry, Prince of Wales Hospital, Randwick, Australia

Corresponding author:Matthew Large, The Euroa Centre, Prince of Wales Hospital, Barker Street, Randwick, NSW 2031, Australia. Email: [email protected]

492219 ANP00010.1177/0004867413492219ANZJP ArticlesMyles et al.2013

Review

ANP492219.indd 1 06/06/2013 10:42:48 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

2 ANZJP Articles

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

live births and may account for an increasing proportion of infant mortality (Rosano et al., 2000). Therefore, co-occur-rence of SSRI use and congenital malformations, including those associated with poor infant outcome, can be expected. All SSRIs are known to cross the maternal-placental barrier (Oberlander et al., 2004), and highly powered case–control studies suggest an association between SSRIs and specific congenital malformations (Alwan et al., 2007; Louik et al., 2007). Hence, the safety of SSRIs during pregnancy cannot be assumed and their widespread use is a cause of concern for both pregnant women taking these medications and their doctors (Einarson et al., 2001b).

It has been suggested that paroxetine is more teratogenic than other SSRIs (Udechuku et al., 2011). The US Food and Drug Administration accord paroxetine a pregnancy safety classification of D, which indicates that there is “positive evidence of human foetal risk based on adverse reaction data from investigational or marketing experience or stud-ies in humans”. However, this rating was based on non-peer-reviewed and unpublished data released by the manufacturer. Peer-reviewed analysis of this database revised the incidence of cardiac malformation in the study population downwards (Queisser-Luft et al., 2002), and subsequent meta-analyses of the possible teratogenic effects of paroxetine have yielded conflicting results (Bar-Oz et al., 2007; O’Brien et al., 2008; Wurst et al., 2010). Doubts about the safety of paroxetine have led to recommendations that its use be avoided in early pregnancy in favour of other antidepressants (Udechuku et al., 2011). Conversely, one small meta-analysis concluded fluoxetine was not associated with teratogenicity (Addis and Koren, 2000) and thus may represent a safer alternative. However, there are no published accounts of a meta-analysis that directly compares the teratogentic potential of common individual SSRIs that might indicate which are compara-tively safer. Previous studies have reported the teratogenic-ity of SSRIs as a medication class (Rahimi and Abdollahi, 2006) or have examined aggregates of newer antidepres-sants agents (including reboxetine, venlafaxine, and bupro-pion) (Einarson and Einarson, 2005). These studies might be of limited value to patients and clinicians because the teratogenic potential of specific agents might differ from the aggregate result for SSRI or non-SSRI medications as a class. A meta-analysis of individual SSRI medications would provide a more accurate assessment of each drug’s safety and guide alternative treatment where the teratogenic risk of one agent is unacceptable.

Primary research examining the effects of individual agents has significant limitations that can be addressed through meta-analysis. Studies of individual drugs are likely to have limited statistical power because of the smaller num-ber of subjects and the low population prevalence of con-genital malformation. Pooled weighted estimates of effect size has the potential to reduce type I errors by increasing power to detect true effects and simultaneously reduce the

risk of type II error by contextualizing chance findings. Furthermore, the commercial implications of adverse drug findings or negative studies of less interest to peer-reviewed journals may result in publication bias that can be addressed with quantitative meta-analytic measures.

Importantly, there are a range of methodological factors that potentially confound naturalistic studies of the associa-tion between antidepressants and congenital malformation. For example the use of historical data as a control or con-temporaneous controls without corrections for potentially confounding variables, such as age, might lead to inaccu-racy in estimates of teratogenic effect. Some studies have used patients taking antidepressants from other classes as a control group in order to avoid the confounding factors associated with depression (Wurst et al., 2010). However, this method might confound estimates of effect, because any independent teratogenic effect of other antidepressants could obscure the true estimate of the effect of SSRI medications.

We aimed to determine and compare the potential terato-genicity of each medication within the SSRI drug class using meta-analysis in order to provide clinically relevant information that may improve decision making by clini-cians and pregnant women. Our a priori hypothesis was that SSRI medications (fluoxetine, paroxetine, sertraline, and citalopram) are individually associated with an increased risk of major, minor, and cardiac malformation in those infants exposed in utero.

Methods

The methods are based on guidelines for Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) (Stroup et al., 2000).

Searches

The systematic search of English-language publications indexed in five electronic databases (CINAHL, EMBASE, Medline, PsycINFO, and ISI Web of Science) is shown in Figure 1. After exclusion of duplicates, all studies were retrieved and examined in full text by NM and HN. The reference lists of review articles and publications included for meta-analysis were hand-searched to locate additional articles not identified by electronic search. Authors of arti-cles that collected data on SSRI as a medication class were contacted with a request for agent-specific data.

Studies were included if they reported: (i) on cohorts of pregnant women exposed to SSRI medications and a con-temporaneously matched unexposed control group or on maternal exposure to SSRI in cohorts of those with and without foetal malformations; and (ii) raw data, odds ratio, risk ratio, difference in means, or any other analysable effect size comparing the incidence of major, minor, and/or cardiac malformation.

ANP492219.indd 2 06/06/2013 10:42:48 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

Myles et al. 3

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

Studies were excluded if they reported: (i) a control group which was not contemporaneously matched or not derived from the same population of women as the exposed group; (ii) a control group exposed to any antidepressant medication; (iii) exposure as a combination of SSRI with other antidepressant classes; or (iv) exposure as a compari-son of temporal variation.

Definition of SSRI exposure

Exposure was defined as exposure to any SSRI medication during the first trimester of pregnancy whether this occurred exclusively in the first trimester or continuously throughout pregnancy. Exposure was quantified differently across vari-ous studies. In larger retrospective cohort and case–control studies, exposure was defined by a surrogate marker, usu-ally prescription registries linked to obstetrics records; in prospective cohorts, exposure was usually quantified by

patient questionnaire or clinical assessment. Where possi-ble exposure was classified as occurring early (exclusively in the first trimester) or continuously (throughout all tri-mesters of pregnancy). There was insufficient data to com-pare the effect of SSRI dosing.

Definition of teratogenic outcome

Major congenital malformation was defined in the primary research and in this study because any anatomical defect likely to have a significant impact on normal functioning present at birth. These diagnoses were usually defined by International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes at birth and broadly included neural tube defects, cleft palate, car-diac malformations, abdominal wall defects, and renal sys-tem malformation. A number of studies confirmed the diagnosis at one year of life to exclude spontaneous remis-sion and disease of dubious clinical relevance. Antenatal

Figure 1. Flow chart of search strategy and results.

Search of MedLine (1985 to June 2011), Embase (1985 to June 2011), CINAHL (1985 to June 2011), PsycINFO (1985 to June2011) and ISI Web of Science (1985 to June 2011)

Strategy: [SSRI OR antidepressant] AND [obstetric outcome OR birth outcome OR malformation OR teratogen]

124 articles (excluding duplicates) identified, abstract reviewed

Nine excluded based on abstract

115 articles reviewed in full-text

16 papers reporting 36 samples examining risk of major malformation

Nine papers reporting 26 samples examining risk of cardiac malformation

96 excluded because of improper outcome or control group

Four papers reporting seven samples examining risk of minor malformation

ANP492219.indd 3 06/06/2013 10:42:49 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

4 ANZJP Articles

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

ultrasonographic evidence of malformation or non-live birth malformation was not defined as a measure of effect in the primary research.

Minor congenital malformation was defined by ICD codes in the primary research. Studies usually defined a malformation as minor if it was clinically obvious but unlikely to interfere with normal function or require correc-tive surgery. The definition of minor malformation broadly included external auricular malformation, tongue-tie, hypo-spadias, accessory nipples, and congenital ptosis.

Cardiac malformation is a subtype of major malforma-tion and was classified by ICD codes in many studies. Ventricular or atrial septal defects, vessel transposition, ventricular hypoplasia, outlet or valvular stenosis, aortic coarctation, and tetralogy of Fallot consisted the majority of diagnoses. The major difference in definition between studies was whether patent ductus arteriosus was included or excluded as an outcome.

There were some differences between studies in how some malformations were classified with respect to being minor or major but cardiac malformations, neural tube defects, cleft palate, abdominal wall, and renal malforma-tions were invariably classified as major. However, there was no evidence that the definitions of malformations were applied differently to exposed and non-exposed groups within studies.

Data extraction

HN and NM extracted the data independently. There were three disagreements in effect size, resolved by joint exami-nation of the papers. The following data were extracted:

•• the number of events in exposed and control groups for each outcome of interest or effect size data such as an odds ratio and 95% confidence interval or a risk ratio and 95% confidence interval

•• the sample size of exposed and control patients in each sample

•• the specific agent to which patients were exposed (paroxetine, fluoxetine, sertraline, citalopram); here, escitalopram was considered in analysis with citalo-pram because it is the S-stereoisomer of citalopram (Rosano et al., 2000)

•• the timing of exposure (early, continuous, or unspecified)

•• whether the study was a cohort study or a case–con-trol study (quality measure)

•• whether samples controlled for maternal age as a confounder either through logistic regression or case matching (quality measure)

•• whether samples controlled for parity as a con-founder either through logisitic regression or case matching (quality measure)

•• whether samples controlled for maternal use of alco-hol, tobacco, or illicit drugs either through logistic regression or case matching (quality measure)

•• whether samples excluded neonates with known genetic abnormalities (quality measure)

•• whether samples declared pharmaceutical industry funding as a potential conflict of interest (measure of publication bias).

Meta-analysis of effect size and assessment of possible publication bias

Comprehensive Meta Analysis version 2 (CMA, Biostat Eaglewood, NJ) was used to convert raw data and effect size data reported in the primary research to odds ratios and to calculate pooled odds ratios for individual SSRI agents and SSRIs as a pharmaceutical class. Odds ratios were cho-sen as the effect size measure because they were used as the outcome measure in most of the included studies and because odds ratios have been shown to be the least biased and most statistically powered way of dealing with meta-analysis of low-frequency events (Bradburn et al., 2007). Odds ratios were also used as the outcome measure in an earlier meta-analysis of antidepressants and congenital malformations (Addis and Koren, 2000). Odds ratios are not affected by population prevalence of events and thus provide a suitable statistic for pooled estimates of cohort and case–control studies. We were able to convert the effect size data from every study into odds ratios; however, because case–control studies by definition do not allow for estimation of population prevalence we were unable to report a meta-analytic estimate of either the absolute risk or the number of patients needed to harm.

Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic and between-group heterogeneity was assessed using Q-value statistics. A random-effects meta-analysis of independent groups was used on an a priori basis for all anal-yses because of between-study differences in the populations and study methodology. Random-effects meta-analysis requires only that thresholds are consistently applied within studies and allows for differences in the methods and studied populations, including differences such as the thresholds for inclusion in the exposure group and differences in the defini-tions of major, minor, and cardiac malformations.

An α-value ≤0.05 was considered statistically signifi-cant. We considered that the number of individual SSRI agents and the large number of possible malformations increases the possibility of type I error, so in an effort to address this we pooled different types of malformations and divided the analysis to congenital heart disease and the broader class of major malformation. With respect to SSRI agents, we elected not to use a Bonferroni correction for number of effect size calculations associated with individ-ual SSRI exposure. We elected to do this to avoid adversely

ANP492219.indd 4 06/06/2013 10:42:49 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

Myles et al. 5

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

affecting power to detect a true effect, thereby reducing risk of type II error. Furthermore, there is no consensus as to when Bonferroni corrections should be used in meta-analy-sis, especially considering that multiple comparisons to a control group may occur in only some analysed studies, spuriously reducing the power of studies where only a sin-gle comparison was made and adversely affecting the over-all significance of an aggregate effect.

Four different methods were used to consider publication bias, particularly because studies of low-frequency events are prone to chance findings when the absolute number of events is low and because of the possibility that pharmaceu-tical industry funding might have influenced publication. First, we inspected a funnel plot of effect size versus vari-ance for the presence of smaller samples, which may have been published because they reported either a high or low rate of teratogenic outcome. Second Duval and Teedie’s trim and fill method (Sutton et al., 2000) was used to exam-ine the possible effect of hypothetically missing samples on the pooled estimate of effect. Third, in the event of a signifi-cant result we planned to use the classic fail-safe N to deter-mine the number of studies with an effect size of zero that would be required to return a p-value >0.05. Fourth, sensi-tivity analysis was undertaken to determine whether indus-try funding had any significant impact on effect size.

Subgroup and sensitivity analysis of quality studies

We assessed whether between-study heterogeneity in effect size was related to methodological differences and overall study quality by examining a range of factors, including whether or not:

•• the studies employed a cohort or case–control design, considering the latter is likely to be more highly powered

•• medication exposure occurred in the first trimester, considering that teratogenicity is only possible dur-ing early organogenesis

•• the studies controlled for maternal age, considering that children born to older women have an increased risk of congenital malformation

•• the studies controlled for parity•• the studies controlled for tobacco, alcohol, or illicit

drug use, considering these substances are associated with an increased risk of congenital malformation

•• single gene or chromosomal defects were excluded from analysis, considering these defects are usually intrinsic and unrelated to medication exposure.

Studies were awarded a score based on giving one point for each of the above quality criteria, such that a sample could score a maximum of six points. A sensitivity analysis

of higher quality studies was performed excluding the stud-ies with a quality rating of three or less.

Results

The number of papers yielded for the meta-analyses of major malformations, cardiac malformations and minor malformations is outlined in Figure 1 and are detailed in the Supplementary Appendix (available online).

Searches

Major malformation was reported the outcome in 16 papers reporting on 36 individual samples included in the meta-analysis. This dataset reported an exposed sample size of 23,919 (mean per sample ± SD 664±944) and control sam-ple size of 2,585,550 (mean per sample 71,821±101,071). This data set included three samples derived from additional information provided by one author (Simon et al., 2002). Six authors were unable to provide additional information and the data derived from these samples (Kulin et al., 1998; Einarson et al., 2001a; Wen et al., 2006; Wogelius et al., 2006; Davis et al., 2007; Ramos et al., 2008) was included as an undifferentiated SSRI exposure group. One paper (Kallen and Otterblad Olausson, 2007) was excluded because it reported on a study which was the subject of another paper (Reis and Kallen, 2010); one paper (Einarson et al., 2001a) was excluded because it reported a combined sample which was the subject of two previous studies (Pastuszak et al., 1993; Kulin et al., 1998), and one paper (Malm et al., 2005) was excluded because it reported on a study with a subsequent update (Malm et al., 2011). Various other studies that examined SSRI impact on major malfor-mation were excluded because some mothers in the control group were exposed to other antidepressant medications (Costei et al., 2002; Queisser-Luft et al., 2002; Cole et al., 2007), the exposure group was exposed to heterogeneous antidepressant classes (Chun-Fai-Chan et al., 2005; Maschi et al., 2008; Merlob et al., 2009), the reported effect was based on comparisons of early and late exposure (Berard et al., 2007), or the control group was not contemporaneous to the exposure group (Goldstein et al., 1997) (Figure 1).

Cardiac malformation was reported as the outcome in nine papers reporting on 26 individual samples included in the meta-analysis. This dataset reported an exposed samples size of 22,412 (mean per sample 862±1046) and control sample size of 2,404,278 (mean per sample 92,472±109,121). One contacted author was unable to provide additional data and this sample (Wichman et al., 2009) was included as an undifferentiated SSRI exposure group. Two papers (Kallen and Otterblad Olausson, 2003; Kallen and Otterblad Olausson, 2007) were excluded because they reported on a study which was the subject of another more recent paper (Reis and Kallen, 2010). Some potential samples which examined risk of cardiac malformation following SSRI

ANP492219.indd 5 06/06/2013 10:42:49 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

6 ANZJP Articles

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

exposure were excluded because they only reported some types of malformation (Merlob et al., 2009), included con-trols exposed to other antidepressant classes (Cole et al., 2007), or the reported effect was based on comparisons of early and late exposure (Berard et al., 2007).

Minor malformation was the outcome reported in four papers reporting seven individual samples included in the meta-analysis. This dataset reported an exposed sample size of 2631 (mean per sample 374±288) and control sample size of 497,307 (mean per sample 71,058±65,143). No unpub-lished data was collected and two papers (Wen et al., 2006; Pedersen et al., 2009) reporting SSRI exposure not differen-tiated by agent were included as independent samples.

Major malformation

A forest plot of the meta-analysis of major malformation is shown in Supplementary Figure 1. We found that SSRI as a medication class are significantly associated with increased risk of major malformation in children exposed in utero (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.03–1.16, z=3.07, p=0.002). There was no heterogeneity (Q=31.0, p=0.66, I2=0).

Subgroup analysis of individual agents indicates paroxe-tine (eight samples, z=3.4, p=0.001) and fluoxetine (nine samples, z=2.0, p=0.04) were significantly associated with increased odds of major malformation, whilst citalopram (seven samples, z=0.6, p=0.55) and sertraline (six samples, z=0.1, p=0.88) were not (Q=7.05, df(Q)=3, p=0.07) (Table 1).

Subgroup analysis of study methodology, quality, and potential confounders indicated these had no significant impact on effect size (Table 1). When restricted to quality samples only, the effect size for paroxetine (four samples, z=2.8, p=0.005) and fluoxetine (five samples, z=2.1, p=0.04) remained significant and was altered by a magni-tude of +8.5% and +7% respectively (Table 2).

The funnel plot examining fluoxetine was symmetrical. Trim and fill analysis was unable to demonstrate any hypo-thetically missing samples. The fail-safe N indicated that two samples with an effect size of zero would be required to return a non-significant effect size.

The funnel plot examining paroxetine was skewed towards the right, indicating publication bias towards reporting a larger effect size. Trim and fill analysis identi-fied one missing study to the left of the mean, that if filled would return an adjusted odds ratio of 1.25 (95% CI 1.07–1.47, Q=9.4). The fail safe N indicated that 18 samples with an effect size of zero would be required to return a non-significant effect size. There were insufficient samples to determine whether industry funding impacted on heteroge-neity of effect size.

Cardiac malformation

A forest plot of the meta-analysis of cardiac malformation is shown in Supplementary Figure 2. We found that SSRI as

a medication class are not significantly associated with an increased risk of cardiac malformation in infants exposed in utero (OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.999−1.32, z=1.94, p=0.052). Heterogeneity was moderate (I2=34).

Subgroup analysis of individual agents indicated that par-oxetine was significantly associated with increased odds of cardiac malformation (eight samples, z=2.8, p=0.005), whilst citalopram (six samples, z=0.2, p=0.81), fluoxetine (six sam-ples, z=1.8, p=0.07), and sertraline (five samples, z=−0.5, p=0.61) were not (Q=6.4, df(Q)=3, p=0.09) (Table 2).

Subgroup analysis of study methodology, quality, and potential confounders indicated that these had no signifi-cant impact on effect size (Table 3). When restricted to quality samples only the effect size for paroxetine (five samples, z=2.4, p=0.02) remained significant and was altered by a magnitude of −2.1% (Table 4).

The funnel plot for paroxetine was symmetrical. Trim and fill analysis was unable to demonstrate any hypothetically missing samples. The classic fail safe N indicated that 10 studies with an effect size of zero would be required to return a non-significant effect size. Subgroup analysis of studies that reported funding bias was not significant (Table 4).

Minor malformation

A forest plot of the meta-analysis of minor malformation is shown in Supplementary Figure 3. We found that SSRI as a medication class are not significantly associated with an increased risk of minor malformation in infants exposed in utero (OR 1.16, 95% CI 0.79–1.71, z=0.75, p=0.45). Heterogeneity was moderate (I2=45).

There were insufficient samples for meaningful sub-group analysis of individual agents, methodological con-siderations, or potentially confounding variables.

The funnel plot was asymmetrical. Trim and fill analysis identified two asymmetrical studies to the left of mean which if trimmed would result in a greater, though non-significant effect size (OR 1.30, 95% CI 0.91–1.85). Subgroup analysis of funding bias was unable to be per-formed because no study reported industry funding.

Discussion

This meta-analysis suggests that children exposed in utero to SSRI medications have increased odds of developing major congenital malformations, although not cardiac or minor congenital malformations. Subgroup analysis sug-gests that the aggregate effect for major malformation is driven specifically by paroxetine (OR 1.29, p=0.001) and fluoxetine (OR 1.14, p=0.04), with citalopram and sertra-line exerting a non-significant impact on effect size. Consistent with previous meta-analyses, we demonstrated increased odds of cardiac malformation in infants exposed to paroxetine (OR 1.4, p=<0.01), an effect size larger than previously reported (Bar-Oz et al., 2007; Wurst et al.,

ANP492219.indd 6 06/06/2013 10:42:49 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

Myles et al. 7

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

2010). This meta-analysis is the first to suggest that fluox-etine is associated with foetal malformation.

Primary research into the teratogenic potential of antide-pressants inherently suffer significant methodological limi-tations including retrospective data collection, incomplete data regarding timing of the exposure and degree of medi-cation adherence, and difficulties separating the adverse effects of medication from the those associated with depres-sive illness or related comorbidity (Gentile, 2011). Methodological limitations have led some authors to con-clude that positive associations between SSRI exposure and congenital malformations might be a result of poor study quality (Tuccori et al., 2010) or covariation between antide-pressant use and lifestyle or other factors that may be caus-ative of birth defects (Gentile, 2011). However, there is no evidence to suggest that confounding methodological fac-tors are more likely to affect patients prescribed paroxetine or fluoxetine while sparing patients prescribed sertraline or citalopram. Hence, this study supports the notion that some SSRIs have small but measurable teratogenic potential. Furthermore, an analysis of individual SSRI agents is more

clinically relevant than previously published aggregate estimates because patients are usually only exposed to a single agent. While the possibility still exists that the appar-ent association between SSRI and congenital malformation is not causal, and even though it should be acknowledged that the risk of foetal malformation is not greatly elevated by any SSRI, the current evidence is that the already low risk of foetal malformation associated with fluoxetine and paroxetine is lower still, or non existent, with sertraline and citalopram.

There are, however, a variety of limitations inherent in the primary literature and our analysis that should be addressed. Whilst we were able to accurately estimate an increased risk of major malformation, this non-specific and diverse outcome may obscure the extent to which one or more specific subtypes drove an apparent increase in aggre-gated congenital defects. It is possible that increased odds of cardiac malformation may explain a large proportion of par-oxetine’s effect on major malformation and that paroxetine is not associated with non-cardiac malformations. The low population prevalence of particular congenital malformations

Table 1. Subgroup analysis of methodological and confounding considerations in meta-analysis of major malformations.

Sample size Effect size Between-sample heterogeneity Between-study heterogeneity

Q df(Q) p I2 Q df(Q) p

Agent considered Fluoxetine 9 1.14 (1.01–1.30) 9.11 8 0.33 12 7.1 3 0.07 Paroxetine 8 1.29 (1.11–1.49) 6.0 7 0.54 0 Sertraline 6 1.01 (0.88–1.17) 2.5 5 0.78 0 Citalopram 7 1.04 (0.92–1.17) 2.6 6 0.86 0

Study methodology Cohort 23 1.10 (1.03–1.17) 20.9 22 0.52 0 0.04 1 0.85 Case–control 13 1.08 (0.94–1.25) 10.1 12 0.61 0

Length of exposure Early 22 1.10 (1.02–1.18) 21.5 21 0.43 2 0.002 1 0.96 Continuous 14 1.10 (0.99–1.21) 9.6 13 0.73 0

Control for tobacco, alcohol, or illicit drug use Controlled 27 1.11 (1.04–1.19) 15.8 26 0.94 0 0.4 1 0.51 Uncontrolled 9 1.06 (0.95–1.19) 14.8 8 0.06 46

Control for maternal age Controlled 32 1.10 (1.04–1.17) 25.5 31 0.75 0 0.3 1 0.56 Uncontrolled 4 1.03 (0.84–1.27) 5.2 3 0.16 43

Control for maternal parity Controlled 25 1.12 (1.05–1.20) 21.3 24 0.62 0 1.3 1 0.25 Uncontrolled 11 1.04 (0.92–1.16) 8.5 10 0.58 0

Chromosomal or genetic abnormalities Included 22 1.07 (1.00–1.15) 11.0 21 0.96 0 1.99 1 0.16 Excluded 14 1.20 (1.05–1.36) 18.0 13 0.16 28

Effect size is given as OR (95% confidence interval).

ANP492219.indd 7 06/06/2013 10:42:49 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

8 ANZJP Articles

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

including the various subtypes of cardiac malformation inherently reduces the statistical precision of any primary investigation and therefore the data available for meta-anal-ysis. An increased odds of craniosynystosis, omphalocele, and anencephaly were noted in one powered case–control study of exposure to SSRI medications (Alwan et al., 2007); however, these associations were not replicated in another study of similar design (Louik et al., 2007). Also neither study reported an association with ventricular or atrial septal

defects, which is the predominant subtype reported exten-sively in other literature (Wogelius et al., 2006; Cole et al., 2007; Diav-Citrin et al., 2008).

Primary research into the possible teratogenic effects of SSRIs is naturalistic and are not driven by an experimental hypothesis about the association between particular medi-cations or particular malformations. Hence, by design these studies are prone to type I error and chance reporting of specific associations. Nevertheless the low between-study

Table 2. Sensitivity analysis of paroxetine and fluoxetine in meta-analysis of major malformations.

Sample size Effect size Between-sample heterogeneity

Q df(Q) p I2

Agent (quality samples only, i.e. more than three quality points)

Paroxetine 4 1.40 (1.11–1.78) 3.1 3 0.38 3 Fluoxetine 5 1.22 (1.01–1.47) 3.3 4 0.51 0

Effect size is given as OR (95% confidence interval).

Table 3. Subgroup analysis of methodological and confounding considerations in meta-analysis of cardiac malformations.

Sample size Effect size Between-sample heterogeneity Between-study heterogeneity

Q df(Q) p I2 Q df(Q) p

Individual agents Fluoxetine 6 1.25 (0.98–1.60) 7.4 5 0.19 33 6.4 1 0.09 Paroxetine 8 1.44 (1.12–1.86) 3.7 7 0.82 0 Sertraline 5 0.93 (0.70–1.24) 10.7 4 0.03 63 Citalopram 6 1.03 (0.80–1.32) 3.8 5 0.58 0

Study methodology Cohort 17 1.14 (0.95–1.36) 29.0 16 0.02 45 0.05 1 0.82 Case–control 9 1.18 (0.92–1.52) 8.5 8 0.39 6

Length of exposure Early 17 1.22 (1.01–1.48) 18.9 16 0.27 15 0.89 1 0.35 Continuous 9 1.06 (0.85–1.33) 17.2 8 0.03 54

Control for tobacco, alcohol, or illicit drug use Controlled 25 1.17 (1.01–1.34) 35.0 24 0.07 31 2.5 1 0.11 Uncontrolled 1 0.44 (0.13–1.47)

Control for maternal age Controlled 24 1.17 (1.01–1.35) 35.0 23 0.05 34 1.3 1 0.26 Uncontrolled 2 0.72 (0.32–1.64) 1.4 1 0.25 26

Control for maternal parity Controlled 20 1.15 (0.98–1.34) 31.0 19 0.04 38 0.06 1 0.81 Uncontrolled 6 1.21 (0.76–1.93) 6.6 5 0.25 24

Chromosomal or genetic abnormalities Included 15 1.09 (0.91–1.31) 22.0 14 0.08 36 1.0 1 0.31 Excluded 11 1.27 (1.00–1.62) 14.6 10 0.15 37

Effect size is given as OR (95% confidence interval).

ANP492219.indd 8 06/06/2013 10:42:49 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

Myles et al. 9

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

heterogeneity, non-significant subgroup analysis of meth-odological considerations, and lack of evidence for publi-cation bias suggest that the pooled estimates of effect size are statistically robust and broadly applicable to clinical practice.

Our analysis was also limited by the small number of samples that made it impossible to undertake subgroup analysis within groups of specific SSRI agents, including whether earlier exposure to fluoxetine or paroxetine was associated with an increased odds of malformation when compared to later exposure. As the reporting of individual SSRI agents is prone to the same methodological differ-ences and potential publication bias of SSRI medications as a class, it would have been advantageous to replicate our subgroup analysis at the level of individual agents. Recent recommendations (Gentile, 2011) for future research indi-cate an urgent need to differentiate the adverse effects of depression from iatrogenic outcomes and suggest that large prospective studies of patients with heterogeneous psychi-atric diagnoses are urgently needed. In addition we would also recommend future research be directed towards indi-vidual agents rather than SSRIs as a class. It is also prudent that individual or specific malformations be examined due to the effect that an aggregate estimate of major, minor, or cardiac malformation may have on confounding these spe-cific outcomes.

Regardless of these limitations, existing research appears to implicate fluoxetine and paroxetine. This sug-gests that neither paroxetine nor fluoxetine should be used electively as first line antidepressant therapy in those wish-ing to become pregnant or in the first trimester of preg-nancy when sertraline or citalopram might equally be prescribed. An argument might also be made for avoiding these medications where accidental pregnancy is likely. Some consideration ought also be given to whether fluox-etine should be placed with paroxetine as category D medi-cation in pregnancy. Such a recommendation would have little overall impact on the treatment of depression in this demographic group because citalopram and sertraline have comparable therapeutic effect in major depressive illness (Pradat et al., 2003).

When prescribing any medication with teratogenic potential, there is an inherent risk trade-off that must be considered. Gestational depression and anxiety is associ-ated with increased rates of postnatal depression (Lee and Chung, 2007), poor infant attachment, and long-term devel-opmental outcomes (Murray and Cooper, 1997); decreased use of antenatal care (Bonari et al., 2004); and increased rates of alcohol, tobacco, and illicit drug use which in them-selves may increase teratogenic risk. In those women with mild illness manifesting during pregnancy, use of psycho-logical therapies such as cognitive behavioural therapy are as effective as drug treatment. The effectiveness of psycho-logical therapies and SSRI medication is well validated (Dimidjian et al., 2006) and the former is likely to have comparable clinical efficacy whilst avoiding the risk of teratogenicity.

Unfortunately, depressed women are less likely to seek pre-pregnancy counselling (Bonari et al., 2004) and as a consequence are less likely to receive advice on medication switching prior to conception. In this circumstance, the small increased risk of foetal malformation associated with paroxetine or fluoxetine probably does not justify a change in antidepressant. Medication switching at this stage is unlikely to avoid critical first-trimester exposure, may put the woman at risk of illness relapse, and could potentially induce foetal withdrawal, which has been associated with premature delivery, stillbirth, and low birthweight (Cohen et al., 2006). Fluoxetine and paroxetine can also be consid-ered for treatment in illness refractory to other agents. Currently, there is insufficient evidence to recommend preferential use of newer antidepressant classes due to a paucity of literature examining individual agents suffi-ciently powered to detect significant effects (Einarson et al., 2001a, 2003; Chun-Fai-Chan et al., 2005; Djulus et al., 2006; Ramos et al., 2008; Wichman et al., 2009; Wisner et al., 2009).

Conclusions

Paroxetine and fluoxetine are associated with a small but significantly increased risk of major malformation, and

Table 4. Sensitivity analysis and publication bias for paroxetine in meta-analysis of cardiac malformation.

Sample size Effect size Between-sample heterogeneity Between-study heterogeneity

Q df(Q) p I2 Q df(Q) p

Agent (quality samples only, i.e. more than three quality points) Paroxetine 5 1.41 (1.06–1.87) 2.5 4 0.65 0

Publication bias based on funding Funding 2 1.32 (0.80–2.18) 0.2 1 0.69 0 0.14 1 0.71 No funding 6 1.47 (1.14–1.90) 3.4 5 0.64 0

Effect size is given as OR (95% confidence interval).

ANP492219.indd 9 06/06/2013 10:42:49 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

10 ANZJP Articles

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

paroxetine in particular is associated with cardiac malfor-mation. The alternative first-line SSRI medications sertra-line or citalopram should be considered as first-line SSRI treatments in pregnancy and women of childbearing age.

Funding

This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

Declaration of interest

Dr Large has received speakers fees from AstraZeneca. Drs Myles, Newall and Ward report no potential conflicts of interest. The authors alone are responsible for the content and writing of the paper.

ReferencesAddis A and Koren G (2000) Safety of fluoxetine during the first trimester

of pregnancy: a meta-analytical review of epidemiological studies. Psychological Medicine 30: 89–94.

Alwan S, Reefhuis J, Rasmussen SA, et al. (2007) Use of selective seroto-nin-reuptake inhibitors in pregnancy and the risk of birth defects. New England Journal of Medicine 356: 2684–2692.

Andrade SE, Raebel MA, Brown J, et al. (2008) Use of antidepressant medications during pregnancy: a multisite study. American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 198, 194: e1–e5.

Bar-Oz B, Einarson T, Einarson A, et al. (2007) Paroxetine and congenital malformations: meta-Analysis and consideration of potential con-founding factors. Clinical Therapeutics 29: 918–926.

Bennett HA, Einarson A, Taddio A, et al. (2004) Prevalence of depres-sion during pregnancy: systematic review. Obstetrics and Gynecology 103: 698–709.

Berard A, Ramos E, Rey E, et al. (2007) First trimester exposure to parox-etine and risk of cardiac malformations in infants: the importance of dosage. Birth Defects Research B 80: 18–27.

Bonari LP, Pinto N, Ahn NE, et al. (2004) Perinatal risks of untreated depression during pregnancy. Canadian Journal of Psychiatry 49: 726–735.

Bradburn MJ, Deeks JJ, Berlin JA, et al. (2007) Much ado about nothing: a comparison of the performance of meta-analytical methods with rare events. Statistics in Medicine 15: 53–77.

Chun-Fai-Chan B, Koren G, Fayez I, et al. (2005) Pregnancy outcome of women exposed to bupropion during pregnancy: a prospective com-parative study. American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 192: 932–936.

Cohen LS, Altshuler LL, Harlow BL, et al. (2006) Relapse of major depression during pregnancy in women who maintain or discontinue antidepressant treatment. JAMA 295: 499–507.

Cole JA, Modell JG, Haight BR, et al. (2007) Bupropion in pregnancy and the prevalence of congenital malformations. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety 16: 474–484.

Costei AM, Kozer E, Ho T, et al. (2002) Perinatal outcome following third trimester exposure to paroxetine. Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine 156: 1129–1132.

Davis RL, Rubanowisc D, McPhillips H, et al. (2007) Risks of congenital malformations and perinatal events among infants exposed to antide-pressant medications during pregnancy. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety 16: 1086–1094.

Detrait ER, George TM, Etchevers HC, et al. (2005) Human neural tube defects: developmental biology, epidemiology and genetics. Neurotxicology and Teratology 27: 515–524.

Diav-Citran O, Shechtman S, Weinbaum D, et al. (2008) Paroxetine and fluoxetine in pregnancy: a prospective, multicentre, controlled, observational study. British Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 66: 695–705.

Dimidjian S, Hollon SG, Dobson KS, et al. (2006) Randomized trial of behavioral activation, cognitive therapy, and antidepressant medica-tion in the acute treatment of adults with major depression. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 74: 658–670.

Djulus J, Koren G, Einarson TR, et al. (2006) Exposure to mirtazapine during pregnancy: a prospective, comparative study of birth out-comes. Journal of Clinical Psychiatry 67: 1280–1284.

Einarson A, Bonari L, Voyer-Lavigne S, et al. (2003) A multicentre pro-spective controlled study to determine the safety of trazodone and nefazodone use during pregnancy. Canadian Journal of Psychiatry 48: 106–110.

Einarson A, Fatoye B, Sarkar M, et al. (2001a) Pregnancy outcome fol-lowing gestational exposure to venlafaxine: a multicenter prospective controlled study. American Journal of Psychiatry 158: 1728–1730.

Einarson A, Selby P and Koren G (2001b) Abrupt discontinuation of psy-chotropic drugs during pregnancy: fear of teratogenic risk and impact of counselling. Journal of Psychiatry and Neuroscience 26: 44–48.

Einarson TR and Einarson A (2005) Newer antidepressants in pregnancy and rates of major malformations: a meta-analysis of prospective comparative studies. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety 14: 823–827.

Gentile S (2011) Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor exposure dur-ing pregnancy and the risk of birth defects. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica 123: 266–275.

Goldstein DJ, Corbin LA and Sundell KL (1997) Effects of first-trimester fluoxetine exposure on the newborn. Obstetrics and Gynecology 89: 713–718.

Kallen BA and Otterblad Olausson P (2003) Maternal drug use in early pregnancy and infant cardiovascular defect. Reproductive Toxicology 17: 255–261.

Kallen BA and Otterblad Olausson P (2007) Maternal use of selective ser-otonin re-uptake inhibitors in early pregnancy and infant congenital malformations. Birth Defects Research 79: 301–308.

Kulin NA, Pastuszak A, Sage SR, et al. (1998) Pregnancy outcome follow-ing maternal use of the new selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors: a prospective controlled multicenter study. JAMA 279: 609–610.

Lee DT and Chung TK (2007) Postnatal depression: an update. Best Practice and Research in Clinical Obstetrics and Gynaecology 21: 183–191.

Louik C, Lin AE, Werler MM, et al. (2007) First-trimester use of selec-tive serotonin-reuptake inhibitors and the risk of birth defects. New England Journal of Medicine 356: 2675–2683.

Malm H, Klaukka T and Neuvonen PJ (2005) Risks associated with selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors in pregnancy. Obstetrics and Gynecology 106: 1289–1296.

Malm HA, Artama M, Gissler M et al. (2011) Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and risk for major congenital anomalies. Obstetrics and Gynecology 118: 111–120.

Maschi S, Clavenna A, Campi R, et al. (2008) Neonatal outcome follow-ing pregnancy exposure to antidepressants: a prospective controlled cohort study. BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology 115: 283–289.

Merlob P, Birk E, Sirota L, et al. (2009) Are selective serotonin reup-take inhibitors cardiac teratogens? Echocardiographic screening of newborns with persistent heart murmur. Birth Defects Research 85: 837–841.

Murray L and Cooper P J (1997) Postpartum depression and child devel-opment. Psychological Medicine 27: 253–260.

O’Brien LE, Einarson TR, Sarka TR, et al. (2008) Does paroxetine cause cardiac malformations? Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology Canada 30: 696–701.

Oberlander TF, Misri S, Fitzgerald CE, et al. (2004) Pharmacologic fac-tors associated with transient neonatal symptoms following prenatal psychotropic medication exposure. Journal of Clinical Psychiatry 65: 230–237.

ANP492219.indd 10 06/06/2013 10:42:49 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from

Myles et al. 11

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 00(0)

Pastuszak A, Schick-Boschetto B, Zuber C, et al. (1993) Pregnancy out-come following first-trimester exposure to fluoxetine (Prozac). JAMA 269: 2246–2248.

Pedersen LH, Henriksen TB, Vestergaard M, et al. (2009) Selective sero-tonin reuptake inhibitors in pregnancy and congenital malformations: population based cohort study. BMJ 339: b3569.

Pradat P, Francannet C and Harris JA (2003) The epidemiology of cardio-vascular defects, Part I: a study based on data from three large regis-tries of congenital malformations. Pediatric Cardiology 24: 195–221.

Queisser-Luft A, Stolz A, Wiesel K, et al. (2002) Malformations in new-born: results based on 30,940 infants and fetuses from the Mainz congenital birth defect monitoring system (1990–1998). Archives of Gynecology and Obstetrics 266: 163–167.

Rahimi R, Nikfar S, Abdollahi M. (2006) Pregnancy outcomes following exposure to serotonin reuptake inhibitors: a meta-analysis of clinical trials. Reproductive Toxicology 22: 571–575.

Ramos E, St-Andre M, Rey E, et al. (2008) Duration of antidepressant use during pregnancy and risk of major congenital malformations. British Journal of Psychiatry 192: 344–350.

Reis M and Kallen B (2010) Delivery outcome after maternal use of antidepressant drugs in pregnancy: an update using Swedish data. Psychological Medicine 40: 1723–1733.

Rosano A, Botto L, Botting B, et al. (2000) Infant mortality and congenital anomalies from 1950 to 1994: an international perspective. Journal of Epidemology and Community Health 54: 660–666.

Simon GE, Cunningham ML and Davis RL (2002) Outcomes of prena-tal antidepressant exposure. American Journal of Psychiatry 159: 2055–2061.

Stroup DF, Berlin JA, Morton SC, et al. (2000) Meta-analysis of obser-vational studies in epidemiology: a proposal for reporting. Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) group. JAMA 283: 2008–2012.

Sutton AJ, Duval SJ, Tweedie RL, et al. (2000) Empirical assessment of effect of publication bias on meta-analyses. BMJ 320: 1574–1577.

Tuccori M, Montagnani A, Testi A, et al. (2010) Use of selective serotonin inhibitors during pregnancy and risk of major and cardiovascular mal-formations: an update. Postgraduate Medicine 122: 49–65.

Udechuku A, Hill R, Szego K, et al. (2011) Antidepressants in preg-nancy: a systematic review. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry 44: 978–996.

Wen SW, Yang Q, Garner P, et al. (2006) Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and adverse pregnancy outcomes. American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 194: 961–966.

Wichman CL, Moore KM, Lang TR, et al. (2009) Congenital heart disease associated with selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor use during preg-nancy. Mayo Clinic Proceedings 84: 23–27.

Wisner KL, Sit DK, Hanusa BH, et al. (2009) Major depression and anti-depressant treatment: impact on pregnancy and neonatal outcomes. American Journal of Psychiatry 166: 557–566.

Wogelius P, Norgaard M, Gislum M, et al. (2006) Maternal use of selec-tive serotonin reuptake inhibitors and risk of congenital malforma-tions. Epidemiology 17: 701–704.

Wurst KE, Poole C, Ephross SA, et al. (2010) First trimester paroxetine use and the prevalence of congenital, specifically cardiac, defects: a meta-analysis of epidemiological studies. Birth Defects Research 88: 159–170.

ANP492219.indd 11 06/06/2013 10:42:50 AM

at University of Sydney on June 13, 2013anp.sagepub.comDownloaded from