ResearchSpace@Auckland ...

249
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http://researchspace.auckland.ac.nz

ResearchSpace@Auckland

Copyright Statement The digital copy of this thesis is protected by the Copyright Act 1994 (New Zealand). This thesis may be consulted by you, provided you comply with the provisions of the Act and the following conditions of use:

• Any use you make of these documents or images must be for research or private study purposes only, and you may not make them available to any other person.

• Authors control the copyright of their thesis. You will recognise the author's right to be identified as the author of this thesis, and due acknowledgement will be made to the author where appropriate.

• You will obtain the author's permission before publishing any material from their thesis.

To request permissions please use the Feedback form on our webpage. http://researchspace.auckland.ac.nz/feedback

General copyright and disclaimer In addition to the above conditions, authors give their consent for the digital copy of their work to be used subject to the conditions specified on the Library Thesis Consent Form.

TEE EPIDEUTOLOGY OF I.TOTOR NEURON DrSEASE rN ScoTI.AIID 1989-90.

A PROSPECTTVE STUDY OF TNCTDENCE, CrrrNrcAL FEATURES AlrD PROGNOSrS

aND TNCORPORATTNG A CASE cotfTRorr gruDy oF allrEcEDENa

EITVTRONI,TENTAIJ FACTORS .

A thesis subuitted toTbs Faculty of ttedicine, university of Auckland, New zealand

forThe Degree of Doctor of l,tedicine, LggZ.

by

Andrew [artin Chancellor BHB, ttBChB, FRACP

To

Patricia and Blaine

"somehow in the race for success in sciencet ve areI??yi"g behind the patient. There is no inhereit conpe-titiveness or recip-rocity between the ;;I;;;;- "il"'Lrtof medicine- without a knowredge of ""i"n-"",-;;;;p;r-sionate wish to. improve the neinn of mankind is mean-ingress - - .The incieased comprexity oi technology-inadiagnostie and treatment optiont

^ix"L- even more criti-""+ the physician's skirt- in managing irrness "ni-in"art of communicating with patieits- and their lovedones. There but for the grace of God go yre arr, fora77 ot us and our fanirfes are or witt event|ailybecome patients.',

Louis R.Caplanl

IABI,E OF COIITETI!8

List of chapter contentsList of appendicesList of tablesList of figuresList of commonly used abbreviationsThesis synopsisList of publications arising from this thesisPreface: Statement of the authorrs contributionto this thesisAcknowledgrmentsDeclarationBody of thesisAppendicesReferences

5781011L218

192L2324159224

OutlineI,I8T OF CEAPTER CONTENTS

CEAPTER 1: TNTRODUCTTON TO THE THESTS. A BTSTORY OF THEEJART,Y DESCRTPTTONS OF UOTOR NEURON DISEA8E

The contributions by Edinburgh graduates to thefirst descriptions of MNDFormulation of the nodern concept of MNDTerninology relating to MNDWhy measure the incidence of MND?

CEAPTER 2: FORLDWfDE UORTALITY, INCfDENCE AIIDDISTRIBUTION OF ADULT ONSET I,TOTOR NEURON DISEJASESrncE 1950

IntroductionMethods of data retrieval for reviewAnalysis of existing studies

Mortality studiesfncidence studiesCrude ratesAge and_?ex specific incidence rates,standardised ratesCLustersWestern pacific forms of MND

Summary and criteria for the ideal studyof MND incidence

IntroductionMethods

Morbidity data retrievalMortality data retrieval

ResultsMorbidity dataMortality data

DiscussionMorbidity dataMortality data

21

25303337

38

39404L4L4444

454748

51

CEAPTER 3: THE SCOTTTSE UOTOR NEURON DISEASE REGISTER:uElrEoDoLocy, rNcrDEDrcE, DEttocRApHy AND crrrNrcArr FEATuRESOF PATIENT8 DIAGNOSED 1989-1990 55

IntroductionMe'LhodslrirlilliTli*r* *oClinicatly probable MNDResults

Discussion

CEAPTER l: TnE urrLrry oF EosprrArJ ttoRBrDrry DATA AlrDDEATE cERTrFrcATEs coDED Ag litoroR NEURON DrgEAsE(ICD 335) Itf ScoTLAlfD 1989-90

675770707L7477

97

989999101101101LO2103103105

OutlineCEAPTER 5 3 A CASE-CoNTRoIJ STUDy To EXAITINE PRIoREYPOTEESES CONCERNTNG TEE POS8IBLE ROLE OF CERTAINEITVIRONIIENTAL FACTORS ANTECEDENT TO TUE DBYELOPITENTOF IiIOTOR NEURON DrSEASE

fntroductionPreceding traunaoccupation, environmental toxins andxenobioticsSocial class and the environmentin childhood

MethodsPatientsControlsData collection

ResultsPatient characteristicsTraumaoccupation, environmental toxins andxenobioticsSocial class and the environmentin childhood

DiscussionSources of biasRisk factors

TraumaOccupation, environnental toxins andxenobioticsSocial class and the environmentin childhood

CEAPTER 6: TtrE PRoGNosTS oF IIIoToR NEuRoNDTsE]A8E

fntroductionMethods

PatientsStatistical methods

ResultsDiscussion

CIIAPTER 7: CONcLugIoNs.I(AXING UsE OF THE WORK FROt,t THrS THESTS

113

LL4tL4

115

115119119119L20L23L23L24

L25

L25L26L26L28L28

130

131

1t6

L47148148L49150151

161

OutlineI,T8T OF APPEIIDICES

APPENDIX A:

ST'I.{MARY OF THE CLINTCAL FEATT'RES OF28 PATIENTS EXCLUDED FROM THE MATN ANALYSES ].69

APPENDTX B:

DETATLS OF FAMILY MEMBERS TN 11 PEDTGREES WHERE AGENETIC BASTS FOR MOTOR NETIRON DISEASESEEI,TS LTKELY 19O

APPEIVDIX C:

SUI{MARY OF THE PATHOLOGICAL FEATURES OF15 PATIENTS TNCLUDED TN THE MAIN ANALYSES WHOI'NDERWENT AUTOPSY 2O3

APPENDIX Ds

QUESTIONNAIRE USED IN THE CASE_CONTROLSTUDY zuo

APPENDIX E3

TNFORMATION FOR MEDICAL PRACTITTONERS CONCERNINGTHE SCOTTTSH MOTOR NETIRON DISEASE REGTSTER 2L8

RBFERENCESS 224

2-Lz

2-2a2,

2-2b:

2-3a:

2-3b:

2-3cz

OutlineIJTST OF TABLEg

syndromes which nay mimic or resemble idiopathicII{ND

Studies of adult onset MND based only on- nortality (death certificate) dataA conparison of age specific rnortality ratesper lOOrOO0 between countriesRetrospective incidence studies of adult onset

MND most likely to have conplete or nearcomplete case ascertainnentRetrospective incidence studies of adult onset

MND where case ascertainment is likely to beincompleteRetrospective incidence studies of adurt onset

MND which rely exclusively or principally ontertiary referraL centres for Laseascertainment2-3d: A comparison of age and sex specific incidenceand age standardised incideirce, 4S_74 years,by country

3-1: SMNDR Registration form details3-22 physical signs by regio. ..="a-in theclassification of patients with MND3-3: Sunmary of diagnostil categories usea Uy theSMNDR

3-4: Arternatives for the distribution of crinicarsigns in the limbs and trunk for diagnosis ofdifferent categories of MND by the sfir.lpn3-5: summary of patients registered ,itn tne -br.ltlpn

but excluded from the main analyses3-6: Descriptive statistics comparinq tn" differencesbetween the means for seiected variabres3-72 First source of referrar to the sMNDR in 19g9-9o3-8: Clinical classification of MND subtypes atdisease onset and by January 1st. Lgg23-9: Anatomical site of onset of muscre weakness3-10: Relative.risks (RR) and 95t confidence rinitsfor clini"?l.subtypes of MND according to sex3-11: Age-sex specific inliaence rates for MND inScotland (1989_90)3-r2: standardised incidence ratios for the ninescottish regions and three island areas 19g9-90

56

57

58

59

62

83

83

8687

8889

82

84

85

60

61

90

92

91

8

4-1:

4-2 t4-3:

4-4:

4-5:

4-6 z

5-1:5-2 z

5-3a:5-3b:

5-3c:

5-3d:

5-4:

5-5:

5-6:5-7:5-8:

5-9a:

5-9b:

5-10:

6-1:

OutlineList of tables (cont)

fnternational classification of diseases_9(L979); 335, anterior horn ceII disordersSunmary of SHIPS in relation to the SMNDRsensitivity and positive predictive varue of a__ di3gngsis of l0lo as detirmined by snipsclassification of LL2 patients rnisioded as MNDby SHIpSSummary statistics relating to 1989-90 deathcertificates coded as ICD 335Errors in nortality data with respect to MND

Published case control studies of MNDPatients included in the case control studyFractures by case, control, sex and numberMatched case-control analysis, alI subjectslifetirne history of fralturesMatched case-control analysis of fractureswithin five years of syirptorn onsetDetails of patients with-r'tr.rp who sustained afracture within five years of symptom onsetDistribution of injurie3 by case, controland number of injuriesDistribution of op-rations by case, controland number of operationsElectric shocksBlood transfusionMatched case control analysis of occupation(nanual vs non-manual)Matched case-control analysis of

environrnental /occupatioial toxinsDetails of 19 patienls with MND in whom leadexposure hras reported over a period of morethan L2 monthsMatched case-control analysis of domesticanenities in the first :_O years of life

Studies of prognosis in MND

LO7108

109

110

111LL2

133135136

L37

L37

138

139

139139139

140

140

L4L

]-42

L54

2-Lz

2-Lz

2-2:

3-1:

3-2 z

3-3:

3-4:

5-1a-5-1d:

5-2 z

5-3:

5-15-8:

Appendix B:pedigrees of farnilial cases

OutlineLIST OF FIGURE8

Mean annual death rates per lOO,OOO populationfor MND in NorwayAge specific incidence of adult onset MNDin three countriescorrelation of age standardised incidence of

MND with degrees north latitude

Diagram to illustrate the organisation of theSII{NDR

Age specific incidence (959 cI) for 22gpatients with MND in dcotland 1989_90Age and sex specific incidence for 132 ma1es,97 females witn mtO in Scotland 1989_90Age adjusted standardised incidenc"-ritio= "rMND by region in Scotland 1989_90

Age standardised. mortarity ratios for rung cancerand MND in Scotland by deprivation-"it"goryDistribution of fractur6 frlquency by intervalbefore onset of symptons due to motor neuronqlseaseOdds ratio for a fracture occurring at variousintervals before the onset of ttttO iynptoms

Actuariar anarysis of survivar for 229 patientswith MND in Scotland 1989-90

64

63

65

95

96

93

143

L44

145

156-163

L92-202

10

OutlineIJIST OF COUIIO}IIJY USED ABBREVIETIONS

MND

ALS

PBP

PMA

PLS

NCS

EMG

CT

I{RI

Motor neuron disease

Anyotrophic lateral sclerosisProgressive bulbar palsy

Progressive muscular atrophy

Prinary lateral sclerosisNerve condution studies

Electromyography

Conputed tonographic scan

Magnetic resonance imaging

OPCS Office of population Censuses and SurveysSHIPS Scottish hospital in patient surveyrsD rnformation and statistics division of the

Common Services Agency for the ScottishHealth Service

SMNDA scottish Motor Neuron Disease AssociationSMNDR Scottish Motor Neuron Disease Register

Relative riskOdds ratioConfidence interval

RR

OR

CI

11

Outline![aEsrs SYNOPSIS

Discussion of results is includedter. The following is an abstract of theof this thesis.

at the end of each chap-

contents and conclusions

Cbapter 1

The part that 19th century Edinburgh medicine played infornulating the early concepts of motor neuron disease as a

nosorogical entity is described, incruding some hitherto unrecog-nised descriptions by graduates of Edinburgh Medical schoor,inctuding the first description of progressive burbar parsy.credit is given to the great European neurorogists, especialrycharcotrs landmark contribution of the definitive clinico-patho-logicat correlations.

Terrninorogy rerating to MND is discussed and the problemswhich have arisen over the nosology relating to diseases of motorneurons' The reguirement for a crearly defined crassificationsystem and the importance of measuring incidence in this diseaseare outlined.

Chapter 2

A comprehensive review of previous studies of incidence,nortality and distribution is presented. rt is suggested thatthe value of previous crinicar descriptions and epiderniologicalstudies of rnotor neuron disease (MND) have been linrited bymethodological problerns.

There appears to have been a real increase in mortatity fromMND over recent decades. comparison of incidence in different

L2

Outlineplaces is complicated by non standardised nethods of case-ascer-tainrnent and diagnosis but evidence is presented which challengesthe traditional concept that the distribution of MND in deve-Ioped countries is uniform and static. rt remains uncertain,from the evidence available, if age specific incidence continuesto rise into o1d age and the apparent ,'peak,t in late-niddle 1ifeis due to ascertainment bias. This is an important considerationon which to base aetiological hypotheses. In the northern hemi-sphere there is a weak positive correlation between standardised,age specific incidence and distance from the equator. There is a

high prevarence focus of an atypical MND/ALS on Guam, and whirean environmentar factor is probably responsible, its nature isuncertain. The relevance of other reported clusters of MND isdiscussed and the reguirements for the ideal study of MND inci-dence are outlined, which acted as the inpetus for the scottishMotor Neuron Disease Register (SMNDR).

chapt€r 3

The methodorogy of the SI{NDR is described. This is thefirst collaborative, popuration based, prospective, epidemiologi-cal study of MND and illustrates the feasibility of such a studyand the way in which scotland is suited (in terms of size andNational Health service structure) to such a project. Diagnosticcriteria are outlined for application to this and other largescale studies.

Of 257 patients registered with the SMNDR as possible MND

diagnosed in 1989 and 1990 in scotrand, 22g with proven (byautopsy), clinically definite or probable, sporadic or farnilialII{ND' form the basis of the description of incidence, distribu-

13

Outlinetion, clinical features and natural history contained in thischapter. The crude incidence was 2.24/loorooo/year and agespecific incidence continued to rise steepry with age into thevery elderly age bands. No evidence for clustering on the basisof scottish regions was found. 5t of patients had a family his-tory of MND; the clinicar pattern varied according to sex and&9€, with erderry women most rikery to present with, oF develop,progressive bulbar palsy.

Chapter IThe utility of the 1989-90 Scottish Hospital In-patient

statistics (sHrps) and i-989-90 death certificate coding (Reqi-strar General for scotland) by rnternational classification ofDiseases (rcD)-g, 335 (I.{ND) are anarysed as a tool for epidernio-logicar studies and heath care planning. coded hospital dis-charge data were an inaccurate record of a diagnosis of MND witha positive predictive value of a diagnosis of MND as determinedby sHrPS of 7oz- such data cannot, in their present form, beused as a reliabre rneasure of incidence in scotrand.

Greater care is required in the preparation ofsummaries and coding if these data are to be usefulcare pranning and epideniol0gicar research. However,as an irnportant source of case notification for theachieve a comprete sampre of patients. There was arsonatic farse positive rate (r.og) for nortarity datasource more closely approximated true incidence.

discharge

for health

SHfPS acted

SMNDR toa proble-

but this

L4

OutlineChapter s

A review of previous case control studies of environmentalrisks for MND is presented. rn order to test the hypothesis thatcertain environrnentar factors may play a rore in the aetiorogy ofMND, a case contror study of 103 incident patients (diagnosisdate May 1990-october 1991 i s7 from the above cohort (as de-scribed in chapter 3) and 46 diagnosed in 1991, a9e and sexmatched with conmunity contrors was conducted and is <lescribed.Measures htere taken to minimise potential sources of bias andthese are discussed.

Fractures were more common in patients than controls especi-ally in the in the five years prior to syrnptom onset (odds ratio= 15 (95t cr, 2.3-654). Manual workers srere over represented anda number of environmentar exposures of potential toxicity in_cruding exposure to lead (oR = 5.3 ,gst cr,1.5-11) and sorventsor chemicals (oR = 3.8, 958 cr 1.5-i.1) vrere found. The linritedextent of these associations favours a rnultifactoriar aetiologyfor MND' No rerationship to sociar class, poliovirus infectionor to factors which rnight increase the risk of enteroviral infec-tion in chirdhood (home space and domestic anenities) was found.

Cbapter 6

A comprehensive review of previous prognostic studies in MND

is presented. An actuarial anarysis of the survivar of thecohort of 229 incident patients (57 seen in person) in scotlandin 1989-90, with comprete forrow up for a mean of two years frorndiagnosis, is calcurated on the basis of the SMNDR crinicalclassification system.

The overarr 5ot survivar from diagnosis v/as L.2 years (95t

1_5

Outlinecr, 1-0-1-4) and from sympton onset, 2.5 years (95* cr, 2.2-3.oyears). There hrere significant differences in survival with a

poorer prognosis for: progressive bulbar parsy (pBp), femalesex and age > 65 years. The presence of pBp and ord age were thestrongest predictors of outcorne, the difference in survivalbetween the sexes was due to the higher frequency of pBp infernales. The overall five year survival frorn symptorn onset Iras

27-7* (95* cr, 19.9-36.0*) but for patients with pBp as thepresenting feature was onry 3.5t (95g cr, o.o-15t). These resurtssuggest that, in welr defined cohorts, survival can be predictedwith some confidence and are useful for the planning of treatrnenttrials.

Chapter Z

In this concluding chapter f consider thethe work contained in this thesis.

applications of

Appendix L

This appendix describes the clinical details of 2g patientsregistered with the sMNDR and diagnosed in 1989-90 but excludedfrom the analysis of incidence because of failure to fulfil SMNDR

diagnostic criteria (eg coexisting neurological disease or revi-sion of diagnosis with forrow up). This group represents part ofthe differentiar diagnosis of MND and highlights some of thedifficulties in rnaking the diagnosis when the disease is incom-pletely developed.

L6

OutlineAppendir B

A summary of the pathorogicar findings of those patientsincluded in the incidence analysis who underwent autopsy isrecorded. "By definition, alr patients had typical findings ofMND' including some with the recently described ubiquinatedinclusion bodies.

Appendix C

The resurts of pedigree searches of 11 families (5t ofincident patients) with a probabre genetic basis for !{ND arepresented. These families demonstrate that autosornal doninantinheritance is usual and illustrate clinical heterogeneity ofage and disease pattern.

Appendix D

Details of the questionnaire administered to subjects inthe case-control study.

Appendix E

Sarnple letter of explanation toafter patient registration with theRegister.

General Practitioners, sent

Scottish Motor Neuron Disease

L7

Outl,ine

I,I8T OF PUBLICATIONS ARISING FROI,! NORX

ASSOCTATED WTTH TIIrS THE8r8

(Excludes publications in abstract form)

chancellor AM, carstairs v, Erton RA, swingler RJ, !{arlow cp.Affruence, age and motor neuron disease Iretter]. J Epide-miol Community Health L9g2 ; t6zL72-L73.

Mitchell JD, Chancellor AM. Amyotrophic Tateral sclerosis-Aran'sEdinburgh_ inspiration? T'izproCeedings ot the third Europeanmeeting for the history of the neurosciences Lgg2

Chancellor Al'1, Mitchell JD, Swingler RJ. The first description ofidiopathic progressive bulbar paIsy. J IVeuroJ, n6urosurgPsych L9921In press.

chancellor AM, warlow cp. Adult onset motor neuron disease:I{orldwide mortality, incidence and distribution since 1950.J Neurol lfeurosurg psychiatry L992;ID press.

chancellor AM, swingler RJ, Fraser H, warrow cp. The scottishmotor neuron disease register: A prospective study of adultonset rnotor neuron disease in Scotland. Methodology, demo-graphy and clinical features of incident cases in-fgeg. .7Neurol Neurosurg psychiatry L992;fn press.

chancelror AM, Fraser H, swingrer RJ, clarke JA, warlow cp. Theutility of Scottish rnorbidity and rnortality data for epide-nriological studies of motor neuron disease. Suhnitted to JEpidenioT Community HeaTth Lgg2.

de Belleroche J, chancelror AM, King A, Hardy J, Lane R, HourdenH. Absence of linkage between chromosome 2L loci and fami-Iial amyotrophic lateral sclerosis Iletter]. Submitted toThe New EngTand Journal of l4edicine Lgg2.

chancelror AIu, Fraser H, srattery J, swingrer RJ, warrow cp. Theclinical features and prognosis of rnotor neuron disease: Aprospective population based study. rn preparation Lgg2.

chancellor AM, swingrer RJ, Fraser H, srattery J, warlow cp.Motor neuron disease and the environrnent: A case-controlstudy In preparation L992.

wirlison HJ, chancellor AM, whiteraw JW, warlow cp. The frequencyof anti-GM1 antibodies and paraproteins in rnotor nLurondisease: A population based case-control study. rn prepara-tion L992.

18

OutlinePREFACE! STATEI,IENT OF THE AUTHORIS CONTRIBUTION TO TETS

TEE8T8

My work for this thesis spanned two years and began on a

part time basis in June 1990, when working as Clinical NeurologyRegistrar for the Lothian Health Board. fn November 1990 I began

a full time Research Fellowship in the University of Edinburghbased in the Departnent of Clinical Neurosciences, Western Gen-

erar Hospitar. The thesis was conpleted in May Lg92.

The observations concerning the early descriptions of MotorNeuron Disease by Edinburgh graduates were ny own, based on

reading in the Royal College of Physiciansr of Edinburgh libraryand information from the British Librdry, London. The identifica-tion and compilation of the references to previous work essentialfor background reading including the review of the worldwideepiderniology of MND and the entry and organisation of all refer-ences within a medical reference database (Research Informationsysterns rrReference Managerrr) vras my own work. AII referencesquoted in this thesis have been viewed in the original except forparts of foreign language references, some of which hrere nottranslated in their entirety.

r vtas responsible for: the supervision and organisation ofpatient infornation conpiled by the Scottish Motor Neuron Regis-terr' ongoing adaptation of the patient database to the needs ofthe project; keeping collaborators with the project informed ofdevelopments by monthly newsletter; devising diagnostic criteriasuitabre for use by the project; classification of patientsaccording to these criteria; negotiating retrieval of Scottishhospital rnorbidity and mortality data for rnternational Classi-fication of diseases code 335 (Motor Neuron Disease) for 19g9-90

19

Outline

and the inspection of alr medical records (hospital, generalpractice and autopsy records) relating to the patients describedincluding the detairs of pedigrees :ior farniriar MND.

I approached the specialists and GPrs for pernission to see

all (n=103) patients in the case control study and interviewedthese patients with 103 control subjects at their homes in allregions of Scotland as necessary. The questionnaire for the case

control study was devised personally and all data entered into a

computerised database (dbase lV-registered trade rnark) myself. Isahr and exanined six patients from four of the pedigrees withfanilial UND and undertook correspondence to establish featuresof fanily members in other pedigrees. r collected and arrangedfor the storage and transportation of all blood samples includingthose for linkage analysis (not reported here).

The statistical analysis of demographic variables, inci-dence, distribution, and descriptive statistics relating to theclinical features of alt patients described herein was my own

work.

20

OutlineACKNOWLEDGI{ENT8

Many people have contributed to this thesis without whose

help it would never have reached fruition. The Scottish MotorNeuron Disease Register (SMNDR), funded by The scottish MotorNeurone Disease Association (SMNDA) was established in January1989' largely through the work of Dr.R.J.Swingler and I was rnost

fortunate to have the opportunity to build upon his work. The

SMNDR is a collaborative project and r am grateful to the neuro-logists, neurophysiologists and others in Scotland for theirregistrations and the permission to see their patients withoutwhose help this thesis would not have been possible. They inclu-ded:

Dr J.E.C. Hern, Dr. R. Knight (Aberdeen)i Dr. D.

Davidson, Dr. A. Forster, Dr. R. Roberts (Dundee) i Dr.

B. Ashworth, Dr. R.E. CuII, DE. E.H. Jellinek, Dr. A.

Mcrnnes, Dr. B. pentland, Dr. p.A.G. sandercock, pro-fessor c.p. Warlow, Dr. R. will (Edinburgh), Dr. J.p.Ballantyn€, professor p.O. Behan, Dr. f. Bone, pro-fessor F.I.Caird, Dr. f. Draper, Dr. W.F. Durward, Dr.

G. Jamal, Professor p. Kennedy, Dr. R. Metcalfe, Dr.M. Thomas, Dr. A.I. Weir (Glasgow); Dr. L.R. Fisher(Inverness) .

r am especially grateful to Mrs. Hazer Fraser, with whom rworked closely, and who rnanaged the large amount of secretarialwork associated with running the SMNDR database and helped in theretrieval of patient records. I would like to thank Miss Shona

Henderson and Mrs. Rita walker, SMNDA faniry care officers, for

2t

Outline

informing patients about the SMNDR and for their helpful liaisonwhen approaching patients. Dr. susan Holloway, Clinical Geneti-cist, helped with the description of pedigrees of fanilial MND

(Appendix B) by tracing the death certificates of affected and

unaffected reratives in Register House, Edinburgh i r haveappried measures of deprivation (chapter 5) to a cohort ofdeaths frorn MND based on work by Dr. Vera carstairs (EdinburghHealth Services Research Network). Much of the statisticalcomputation relating to the case contror study and to the progn-osis of Ir{ND vras done by Mr.J.slattery, Medical statistician.Dr. Jan BeII, neuropathologist at the Western General Hospital,Edinburgh, performed most of the autopsies described in Appendixc. susan McHugh, medical artist, was responsible for some ofthe graphical illustrations; Huub t{irrians, Dutch Medicarstudent, helped in translation of papers in German and Rosemarie

Bland, those in French. Dr. J.D.Mitchelr introduced me to thewritings of charles Bell. r wourd rike to thank The Davidcunmings Trust, based in Brenheirn, New Zearand for monetaryassistance with the purchase of items.of computer hardware.

Finarly, r am immensely gratefur to professor charles p.

Warlow for allowing me to join his Department to undertake thiswork, for his tireless instruction in the science of clinicalnedicine and his continuing guidance, support and encouragement,

both in personal and professional rnatters.

22

Outline

DECI,ARATTON

No work contained in this thesis has ever been presented fora degree or diplona at the University of Auckland or any otheruniversity, neither is it presentry being subnitted for a degreeor diploma, except to the university of Auckland.

23

CNAPTER 1

TNTRODUCTTON TO TEE TEE8Is.

A EISTORI Of TEE EARITI DESCRIPIIONS OF I|OTOR XEURON DISEASB

24

Chapter l-

t0. - -Life itself is a whoLe process of rediscovery otwhat our forebears have known-pain and preasure, ec-sta-sy and despair, beauty and ugliness. ana for even themost modest of those who have had the privirege ofworking in biomedicai science there has bebn the iedis-covery:,ot something that we can share even with Gali-7eo-the excitement of making a discovery.Sir C.C.Booth2.

" Now and again there is a man whose rife and wor? makean.enduring inpressjon and who, escaping the thralrs ofnationalism becomes a teacher and a lealCler.,,

From sir william oslerrs obituary on Jean-MartinCharcotJ.

THE CONTRIBUTIONS BY EDTNBURGH GRADUATES TO TEE

FIRST DE8CRIPTTONS OF I{OTOR NEURON DTSEASE

It difficult to disentangle the precise sequence of eventsin the rnid 19th century surrounding the early descriptions ofidiopathic motor neuron disease (MND) and its principal clinicalpresentations: amyotrophic laterar sclerosis (ALs), progressiveburbar palsy (PBP), progressive muscular atrophy (pMA) andprinary raterar sclerosis (pl,s). Virtuarly no disease subsequ-ently eponymousry endowed has been described by only one personand the process of rediscovery is a particular feature of theclinical practice of medicine2. Nowhere is this more truethan for MND, for while there is no doubt that the definitivesynthesis of the clinical and pathological features was crystal-lised in the writings of charcot4, whose name is associatedwith ilclassicalr' MND, many other physicians contributed to theearriest descriptions. of these there are four who, to a greateror lesser extent, b/ere associated with the rGolden Agerr of Edin-burgh medicine.

25

Chapter t-

A letter by R.vf.R.Robinson (L777-L966,, of preston, Engrand

dated JuIy 2l-st. L825, is quoted by the Edinburgh neuroanatomistand surgeon sir charles Belr (L274-18 42) , in his book on thenervous systems and is probably the first documented case of MND.

This contribution by Robinson and BeII to the early descriptionsof MND has not previously been recognised. Robinson was born inLancashire and graduated doctor of rnedicine at Edinburgh on 12thseptenber, 1800. He was president of Edinburgh,s Royal MedicarSociety, founded in L734 by a group of medical students after theacquisition of a fresh body for dissection and meeting initiallyin taverns

't -. -with the intention that a dissertation in Englishor _Lati\ pn some medicar subject...shou-Ld be conlposedand readt,o -

Robinsonrs doctorate was not, howeverr oD a neurologicarsubject (Disputatio medica inauguraTis de vesicea, urethraequenorbis); he became a Licentiate of the college of physicians(London) in 1807 and practised in Lancashire where he sras an

important influence in the board of.management of the prestonDispensdry, founded in L8o97. He wrote to charres Berr foradvice about a previously welr hronan of nearry 70 years.

" From the tirst of her complaint to the presentmoment she has been free from headaeh lsic) ind trompain, numbness, or debility ot the linbs. 'The visionand hearing are natural; tie appetite good; the bowersregular, and th9.2lgep naturar- ....sonb tew nonths agoshe had sone ctitticilty in using the tongue and inexpressing. particuTar -words. frnis ditticuTty hasgraduaTTy increased, and now she cannot protrude thetonguet ot even move it. she has rosi her speechartogether. ,.The tongue itself is soft and puTpf; butit retains its sense of taste and feeling. Tnt'd'egru-tination is inpaired and occasionaTly sni is distressedwith a sense of suftocation, in at€enpting to swarlowtood, which she is now obliged to ao iitn great care.

26

Chapter 1

she cannot hack up any thing from the throat, nor draw?!y thing trom the posterior nares by a baci< draught.The features of the face are quite-naturar, and'theskin retains its feeling. rie sariva occasionarlyflows from the mouth.',

No follow up is available to teII if the disease became

more widespread, neither is information available about theexamination of deep tendon reflexes which was not introduced intoclinical practice until 18758. BeII noticed the sinrilaritybetween this patientrs condition and the syndrome observed in a

dog after section of the lower cranial nerves and concluded thatthe patient was suffering from

00...a paralytic affection of the ninth nerve.',and noted that the0t...function of the titth nerve was entire.,'

He recommended nauseating rnedicines and Ieeches under thenastoid amongst other remedies. This syndrome cornbining anar-thria, impaired degrutition, ptyalism and impaired tongue move-ment, probably with mixed upper (slow clumsy tongue) and rower(soft, possibly wasted tongue) notor neuron signs, is undoubtedlydue to PBP and was published 30 years before that usualry quo-ted9 ' 10 as the first descriptions of pBp by Duchenne deBoulongne in 186011 and Leyd"r12 in 1870.

The Edinburgh contribution to early descriptions of l{ND isalso evident in the writings of Berl himserfS. charres Belrhras born in Edinburgh where he trained in anatomy and surgery.His contributions to neurorogy are numerou=13, incruding theformulation of the concept of a different function for the post-erior and anterior spinal roots; he is remembered by every

27

Chapter 1

medical student for Bellts palsy and for the long thoracic nerveof Bell but he also nade other, less well known, original clini-cal descriptions in neuroloqyL{r15. He was a surgeon in theNapoleonic htars; an author of beautifully illustrated books on

neuroanatorny and a medical artist (his paintings of opisthotonusin tetanus and gun shot wounds adorn the Edinburgh CoIIege ofSurgeonrs museum). fn the book which contains Robertsonfs let-ter5 he described a woman of 4L,

0t - -.apparentry in good hearth with weakness of theTeft toot, and tive weeks aftenrards, with weakness otth? right to.o!, .graduarry she w-as artogether de-prived of motion in her regs-... jt was remarkabre thats!9 experienced no dininution of the sensibirity of theskin of the affected parts...a tlea bite diitressedhe_r, yet she could not hove to scratch hersert. . .A yearafter the commencement of the compraint, the weaknessextended to the arms, and she Eegan-to experiencedifficuTly in her breathing. The accessory muscres ofrespiration in the neck and chest were thei seen to actwith remarkable force...and died in six weeks,'.

John Abercrornbie (L780-1844) r^/as born in Aberdeen and gra-duated MD from Edinburgh in 1803. He became physician to theKing in Scotland in 1828 but failed in his bid to become profes-sor of medicine; oxford awarded him the degree of Doctor ofMedicine and it was remarked of him by Dr. James Gregory,

"...that wee feLLow will some day be Edinburgh, s mostsought atter consuTtant',.

His portrait can be seen today in the Royal corlege ofPhysiciaD's, Edinburgh, as can the copy of his book on the brainand spinal cord which he donated to the libraryl6 and whichwas translated into French and quoted by Aran. He describes a

patient who had a scapulo-humerar syndrome, probabry a spinarrnuscular atrophy:

28

Chapter L

0t...a,young man, aged 14, who had nearly lost themuscul.ar.power of the upper part of aoti his arms,accompanied by a most renar*iole dininution of sub-stance of the principal muscres. The dertoid andbic_eps are reduced to Lhe appearance of mere membranesand the sarne affection exteicls in rather a Less degreeto the rnus-cl.es upon the scapular- the muscres upon'theforearm, however are turf and vigorous....i; otherrespects he is in perfect hearth. The affection hascome on gradually.

He speculates as to the lesion involved:nrt is inpossibre, r think, to expTain such cases asthese, except upon the principTe of rocar affections ofthe nerves, which are at fresent invorved in muchobscurity" .

six "cases of a peculiar species of pararys!snL7 areoutrined by the fourth Edinburgh graduate, John Darwarr (L7g6-1833). Darwall graduated MD from Edinburgh in 1821 with histhesis entitled "Diseases of Artisans with particular referenceto the inhabitants of Birmingham,' - where he was born and spentmuch of his 1ife18. His cases are heterogeneous and some may

have had brachial neuritis as the disease responsible for thepatchy linb weakness beginning in proximal arm muscles and spar-ing the burbar region, however, some may have had MND. Darwalldied of septicaemia forrowing a post mortem room accidentlg.

unfortunately it is unrikery that these four Edinburghgraduates ever exchanged ideas in person because a review of thechronology shows that they were never all residing simultaneouslyin Edinburgh2o.

29

Chapter 1

FORIIUIJATION oF TtrE ttoDERN coNcEPT oF l,toToR NEURON DrgEAgE

F-M- Aran (1817-1861), and his teacher c.M.A. Duchenne de

Boulogne (1805-1895) were responsible for the more definitivedescriptions of pIr{A, particularry the j uveni le, inheritedf orrns2L ' 22 although, to begin with, there was conf usionover the difference between the amyotrophies and muscular dys-trophies23. A patient with arnyotrophy and coric, thought tobe due to lead poisoning, prornpted Aran to wonder if lead rnight

be responsible for other, apparently idiopathic cases of ltpo21.

Duchenne noted the palatal weakness in pgpll.

" The patient courd not produce a large enough breath,not even to extinguish a candre. But lt we pinched thepatient's nose the breath emanating from tha mouth wassufficient...pronunciation of the tetters p and b wasmuch clearer when the nose was pinched shutj"

In Goldblattrs account of the history of motor neuron dis-

""="24 the descriptions of pMA by Aran and Duchenne in 1g4B-

50 were said to predate those of ALs. However, a review by

veltena25 of the case of prosper Lecompte, a French circusowner and patient of J. Cruveilheir (1791-1874), who was adnittedin 1850 and died in 1853, shows that descriptions of ALS hrere

documented about the same time as discussions of pMA. The de-scription of Lecompters illness leaves no doubt that he had a

combination of lower motor neuron (LMN) and upper motor neuron(uMN) signs, although there is no information on deep tendonreflexes. Intellect, sensation and sphincter function wereunaffected and the anterior roots were shrunken at autopsy.

Duchenne was a close and trusted friend of the great J-M

charcot (L825-1893). rn t-869 charcot described, in detail, boththe clinical and pathological features of ALS in two cases at the

30

Salp€triEre26.

Chapter 1

It is to Charcot that most of the credit isdue for setting down the definitive descriptions of ALS in lec-tures given in L874 and subsequently, based on 20 clinical casesand 5 autopsies4,27 . charcot recognised medulrary invor-vement and the UMN signs described as "spasmodic" and ',contrac-ture" as welr as the previously ernphasised atrophy of muscres.His preponderance of females is an early example of selectionbias, given the Salp€triErers use for

"...the con{inement of beggars, unwanted womanhood andthe intirm"J.

charcot also described a patient with isorated spasticquadraparesis due to degenerative disease of the pyramidaltract2S and w.H. Erb (1840-192r-) was also one of the earliestto draw attention to a chronic form of spastic spinal paral-ysis29 in L875, the year of the account of the tendon reflexes.rn his account of 16 cases, translated by saundby, Erb acknow-Iedged Charcotrs case report but felt that

" -. -not a singre_ exampre of the rear prinary rateralscTerosis existed in the Titerature'and

" .. -the disease approached the ,scl6rose rat4-rareamyotrophic', exceTTentry described by charcot, but theabsence of muscurar atrobny, of which no trace was everpresent, distinguishes it tron that...the anterior glreymatter cannot be naterially inplicated...the diseasemust be distinquished tron tie tortowing: chronictransverse nyelili", tabes dorsaris...murtiple screr-osis .and paralysis of the cauda equina, alsd the hemi-pLegic form from cerebral heniplegia...',

In nine of Erbrs patients the spasticity hras isolated butnearly half had disturbances of sensation (but not anaesthesia),

3l_

Chapter 1

two had "bladder feebleness as a temporaty condition". one had

bulbar involvement but non had sexual dysfunction, cognitivedisturbances, pain or bedsores.

Sir I{.R. Gowers (1845-1915) also entertained the possibil-ity of a "Pute" primary lateral sclerosis. spillane refers toGowerrs ttl{anual of diseases of the nervous system as the ,rnet)to-

Togical bibrs"1o. rn this authoritative text (viewed in theNationar Hospital ribrary, eueenrs square, London) Gowers expan-

ded the concept of PLS as a disease due to "sclerosis" of pyrarni-dal tracts manifesting only UMN signs while sparing sensation and

sphincter function. He separated this from nultiple sclerosisand the ataxias although some of his patients may have had here-ditary spastic paraparesis3O. The debate about whether pLS repre-sents a discrete entity has continued but recent clinicaL3L,32and pathologicar33r34 evidence supports the concept of an isora-ted UMN (corticospinal) degeneration as one of the subgroups ofmotor neuron disease. Gos/ers entertained the possible relation-ship of traurna to MND and also coined the terrn rrabiotrophytr todescribe the selective premature decay of a functionally relatedpopulation of n"uror,=35.

By the end of the nineteenth century, ds the anatony ofupper and lower motor neurons as separate anatomical structuresbecame acknowledged, the clinical descriptions of MND in itsvarious forms h/ere well docurnented in standard textbooks of theday, arthough the rerationship of pathorogy to clinical signsremained a matter of debat"36.

32

Chapter 1

TERllrNoLocY RETTATTNG To ttoroR NEuRoN DrgEegB

Charcot coined the term "sc76rose Tatlrale anyotrophiqus"3Tto emphasiq$ the pronounced degeneration of lateral corticospinaltracts principally in the cervical cord and noted the atrophy ofhypoglossar nucrei and the anterior but not dorsar roots."charcot's Disease,, is sometimes appried to "classicart, ALs as

well as to other diseases for which the founder of modern neuro-logy is nohr remembered. However, rnotor infornation is conveyedfrom higher centres to the brainstem in the cerebral pedunclesand pyranids, not by raterar corumns, so that the term ALs, ifriterally apptied, impries disease confined to the spinar cord(arthough this sras not as originally intended by charcot). rnaddition, gliosis is the najor histological finding in Mlru not"sc7erosis", derived from a Greek word for hard38, usualry ap-plied to overgrowth of fibrous tissue.

From the start there hras a confusion over when to use theterrns ALs, PMA and PBP. Charcot had included cases of pBp withhis list of earlier descriptions of ALs. Leydenl2 allottedthe syndrome of ALS to the category of either pMA or pBp dispen-sing with the former. Gowersr pathological illustrations in hisManual of Diseases of the Nervous systern3o show the sirnilar-ity of lesions in cases with clinically defined pLS, plrlA and ALS

he stated:

u r have not met with a singre case of progressivemuscuTar atrophy in which tie pyranidar -tra-cts wereunaf fected', (p373 ) .

He did not think Charcotrs introduction of the terrn ALS veryherpfur, with its irnprication that the primary lesion was the

33

Chapter L

degeneration of the pyramidal tracts, and that the atrophy of theanterior horn cerls was secondary or "deuteropathic,,.

" charcot's distinction js in effect givinq a nevr nameto an ord disease....a division i-nto -two c-l,asses[meaning PMA and ALs] (into which the same case mayfa77 at difterent periods) js J.ess in harmony with th;facts ot the disease than is a recognitibn of thevarying extent of the resion and the correspondingvariation of clinical character and cou,rse,,3o.

A unifying concept of diseases of the notor system hras

evolved by Brain and the terrn t'motor neurone disease,, introducedto apply to a spectrum of clinicar subtypes39, reaving authors todescribe more precisely to which clinical pattern they refer.This approach has influenced much British writing when discuss-ing this group of disorders and is a useful generic term whichhas withstood the ephemeral fashions of classification systems.

Today, the terms used today by authors under the rubric ofI'{ND often vary in their meaning4o. ALS in the North Americanliterature is usuaJ.ty applied to mean MND, with both uMN and LMN

involvement, either confined to spinal levels or with bulbarfeatures. However, even recent North American studies use ALs

to describe patients with onry LMN signs4L,42 and some

authors even separate MND and ALS as different disorder"43.The term PMA may be used to mean late onset chronic forms of

spinal muscular atrophy. However the evidence, based on clinicaland genetic studies, suggests a real subdivision between spinalmuscular atrophy and PMA. The latter being a disease of adultlife which blends clinically and pathologically into the othersubtypes of adult onset MND, while spinal rnuscular atrophy isprincipally an infantile and childhood disease usually of proxi-

an autosomal recessive

34

maI distribution with

Chapter 1

inheritanc,e44 ,45 .

A patient with both a combination of PBp and pMA nay arbi-trarily be classified by some as pBp46. whether pBp everrenains isolated to the brainstem, as the name irnplies, withoutspread to other levels is uncertain. There is increasing evi-dence, with the widespread use of rnagnetic resonance irnaging thatPLS, a numericalry small group, and much debated entity, is partof the spectrum of MND but with exclusively upper motor neuron(UlO[) signs32 '34.

The distribution of pathological changes does not necessari-Iy correlate with clinical features even in well st,udiedcases4T '48 and ALs, pBp, pMA and pLS, the usuarry acceptedprincipat clinical subtypes in adults, are almost certainlyvarieties of a single disease with the common pathological fea-ture of anterior horn cells loss and variable pyramidal tractinvolvement.

"Lou Gehrig's disease,, is the euphemism often used by rayArnericants, after the most famous first baseman in rnajor 1eaguehistory. Gehrig died in L94L but his declining batting averageand cinemagraphic evidence has been used as an indirect measure

of his muscular strength pointing to the onset of his illness in193849. "creeping parary.sis,,, a particurarry vivid descriptionof its effect, is sornetimes used to describe ltNo5o.

The most famous Britons to be affected are David Niven,actor, and Professor s. Hawking, present Lucasian professor ofmathematics at Cambridge University, who has been described as

the greatest theoretical physicist since AIbert Einstein5l.As described both in a recent television documentary of his lifeand work and in his book52, Hawking was tord, in 1963, that

35

Chapter 1

he had MND and courd expect to rive for two ye.r=52. His illnessdemonstrates a striking dichotomy between his great disabilityand his handicap, which is slight, dt reast as far as theoreticalphysics is concerned. His ilrness also raises irnportantquestions about predicting prognosis in MND.

The spelling of the word rrneuronrf in MND is also a source ofsome disagreement. Gourd nedical dictionary3S gives bothrrneuronerr and ,neuronrr as acceptabre. The word is derived fromthe Greek for sinew, string, nerve, related to the Latin mnervusrl

and to the Engrish 'sinewr. rt refers to the comprete nervecel1, including the cerr body, axon, and dendrites. wartonrsauthorit,ative textbook on neuromuscurar disorders53 usesrrneuronerr but in most medicar journals and in particurar, neuro-Iogical journals, the spelling rrneuronr is in most widespread andbecoming preferred although the Lancet uses rmotoneuronr orff motorneuronerr or rmotorneuronr. rn North America the ,e, inrrneuronrr is uniforrnry deleted although American authors publish-ing in British Journals may include the rrsrr54. rNeuronr is usedthroughout this thesis except when quoting a different sperringused by other authors.

36

Chapter 1

WHY TIEASURE TBE INCIDENCE OF IIOTOR NEURON DISEASE?

Despite recent advances in the understanding of those formsof MND which have a genetic basis45,55'56 and arthough condi-tions have been, and continue to be, described which may rnirnicMND (table 2-L), for the vast najority of patients with sporadicadurt onset disease the cause is unknown, the subject of much

speculation and a wide variety of diverse hypotheses of aetiopa-thogenesis5T-59 .

The possibility that environmental factors play a role inMND, particularly in the light of studies from the western paci-ric6o (chapter 2), is an appealing and recurring theme61.However, this hypothesis is not supported by the traditionarteaching that the distribution of MND in developed countries isuniform and static62-66. A recent editori aL67 has challengedthis view, suggtesting that the distribution of MND in tine andprace may not be as uniforrn as previously berieved. clearly anynon-randon distribution in place and tirne is important to identi-fy as a crue to potentiar environmentar risks.

As welr as studying ternporal and geographic trends, inci-dence studies offer an opportunity to collect population baseddata to help clarify some of the issues alluded to above anddiscussed in more detail in the subsequent chapters, ie accuratedemographic features, crinicar description, appropriate classi-fication and prognosis. Finally, and importantly, reliabrymeasuring the size of a problem allows the appropriate pranningand allocation of health care resources.

37

CHAPTER 23

roRrrDrrDE ltoRrAr,rrY, rNcrDENcE, AND DrgrRIBurIox

OF ADUI,T ONsEr UOIOR NEI'RON DrSEASE SrNCE 1950

38

Chapter 2

INTRODUCTION

"ft is from we77-arranged medico-statisticalgraphical inquiries that we are ultinately tovast inctease to our knowledge of the renotedisease . . .The vaTue of these t_'esearches. . .canbe estimated too highly.',Streeten creen, written in 1g4058.

and topo-expect a

causes ofscarceTy

The last published review of the epiderniology of MND was 10

years ago66 arthough the preparation of this thesis coinci-ded with a further analysis by KurtzkeS9. A thorough reap-praisal of previous research is appropriate as the backgroundto the incidence study which forrns the basis of this thesis.The aims of this chapter are therefore to:

(1) Critically review all publications concerned with themortality and incidence of adurt (>15 years) onset MND in de-fined populations. Publications were specifically reviewed forany evidence of a non-random distribution in place both betweenstudies and within populations. Sorne incidence studies alsocalculate, or include, a prevalence survey but studies exclusive-Iy of MND prevalence are not incorporated in this analysis as

they do not add further to aetiorogical considerations.(2) Review secular trends in this disease.(3) Examine the reports of clusters of MND which night

provide clues to environrnental influences.(4) Compare the epiderniology of sporadic MND with the West-

ern Pacific forms and summarise the results of the intensivesearch for the cause of this MND variant.

(5) Identify standards for future epidemiological studiesposs ible

39

of MND and research directions.

Chapter 2

T{ETHODS OI' DATA RETRTEVAI.I FOR REVIEW

This review was conducted according to recent guidelinesfor medical revier=7o,71. A comprehensive search by indi_vidual year using cambridge compact Disc Medline from January1965-June 1991 was used to identify all publications in English,or with English abstracts, dealing with the frequency (rnortalityor incidence) of adult onset MND in defined populations world-wide' The references in these pubrications v/ere used to crosscheck the thoroughness of this search and to locate papers pub-lished from 1950-1965. rn addition any papers dearing withsurvival or prognosis, which may contain incidence data andreports of crusters, were specifically sought. Alr papers werereviewed in the original.

Many population-based studies of MND have been publishedwhich vary widely in their quality. For the purposes of sys-tematic analysis these were divided into mortality studies, basedonry on death certificate data 72-86, and incidence studiesdivided according to their methodorogy. Varid comparisons be-tween studies can only be made if sinilar rnethodological stan-dards and diagnostic criteria are applied. while most epidernio-logical studies included the syndromes of amyotrophic lateralscrerosis (ALS), restricted progressive burbar palsy (pBp) andprogressive muscular atrophy (PMA) some studies were confined toALs. The best incidence studies used multiple sources'of caseascertainment, and/or were based on recognised systematic rnedicaldocumentation systemsST-97. The second group of incidence stu-dies were based on more than just tertiary referral records butthere was some doubt about the completeness of case findinggS-106. The third group were those in which incidence had been

40

Chapter 2

calculated using singre hospitar records, usuarly neurologydepartmentsr oF where data hrere inconplete in review, or wherethe diagnosis was based on unverified hospital discharge dataloT-LL7. There are a large number of published series of patientswith MND but these were not included if not specifically dealingwith incidence or the population denominator was unclearllS-L23. sorne syndromes may rnimic or resemble idiopathic MND butsuch studies of motor neuronopathy or neuropathy with recognisedcause were excluded (table 2-L,) .

AIIAIJYSIS OF EXTSTING STUDTES

l{ortality studies (Tables 2-Za,b)

According to the rules for selection of cause of death forprinary mortality tabulation by the world Health organisation,MND shourd be coded as the underrying cause even if it appears asa contributing fac1'or72. However, this may not be forlowed instandard practice and some studies have used rates for MND clas-sif ied as the trunderlying causerr and .excluded patients with l,lND

whose deaths were certified as due to another ".rr="73 whireothers have separated the two gro.,p"78 or used rates based onwherever the diagnosis appears on the death certificateTg.comparison of rates for subgroups of MND (ie ALs,pBprpMA) basedon death certificate data are cornplicated by changes in theInternational classification of Diseases (IcD) and non-standar-dised methods of diagnosis. rcD-9, introduced in Lg79, was afurther change from rcD-B with respect to MND56 (see chapter4) ' ALs had previously been recorded as a distinct entity (code

348-0, rcD-8), although some studies use ALs to refer to arr

Unir,,ersity of Aunklancl '

Pl ltL$cf'l l..i :1R.r.''

SC'r !rJCL OF I'i;:ii, -

FAI ili $tt;i]- &uui'' - -

4L

Chapter z

types of MND80. rn rcD-9 a new code, rcD-335, riras created forall anterior horn cell diseases with 335.2 for rmotor neuronediseaseff , which contains ,ALs; MND (burbar) (mixed type), and plrlA

(pure) r' (Tab1e 4-1) . A further ICD is planned for 1993. Deathcertificate data alone are therefore unlikely to be reliableenough for comparing rates of MND subgroups or even for conparingrates between different countries, particularly when these over-Iap rCD chang€s, and because of the confusion which exists overdiagnostic criteria (see below).

Age specific nortality rates, where given, usuarly rise toa peak between 60 and 75 years, followed by a sharp decline, butthis simply rnay reflect difficulties with diagnosis in the veryelderly. rn England and Wales, for birth cohorts after 19oofollowed up separately over time, mortality increases contin-uousry with age (c.Martyn, personar comrnunication), the same

finding has been reported from sweden75. Rates in males areconsistently higher than femares, usuarry around r-.5:1.

when international- rnortality figures srere last reviewed indeta !L72 , a rise from rgs2 to 1960. forrowed by a sharp farruntir L97L was observed in Japan whire in contrast, a rise inEuropean and Australasian rates and stationary figures for theusA were noted. There is more recent evidence from the uKz3,swed"n75' :JSA76'77, Fran."79, Norr.y82 (Fig 2-L)and most recently, scotland (Dr.R.J.swingler, personar communica-tion, paper in preparation) that nortality rates are continuingto rise with tirne (tabre 2-La), Fig 2-L gives the typical scareof the increase which has been observed in these studies.

rn the usA overalt ALs rnortality increased 462 for men and

492 for women between 1-977 and L986; the greatest increases in

42

Chapter z

age specific mortarity have occurred in the order agegroup=77 but increases are arso apparent in rniddre agegroups76. The question arises if this trend is artefactual,a result of improvement in diagnostic accuracy and increased caseascertainment (particurarry in the elderly where age specificrates are high), or due to changes in rcD coding. Hovrever,nortarity from MND does not correlate with the nurnber of neurolo-gists in the uK73 or the physician/popuration ratio in theusa81; there has been much less of a parallel increase in thenurnber of neurorogists in the uK than usA; technologicaladvances such as nucrear magnetic resonance inaging and theidentification of syndromes which rnirnic MND are rilcery to re-duce, rather than inflate rates and the disease is distinctiveand of such high lethality that significant changes in reportingseem unlikely. on this basis it seems rikely that the death rateincrease is real and the apparent decline in age specific nortal-ity is probably a measurement artifact. Mortality statistics may

be adequate for following trends in total MND rates within coun-tries

The interpretation of variation in mortality with place iscomplicated by changes over time, the use of different age bandsfor age specific rates, and variabre methods in the extraction ofdeath certificate information. A cornparison of standardisednortality rates for the age bands between 60 and 74 years (whererandom error and diagnostic bias are probably least) is presentedin table 2-2b; these data are extracted from those nortalitystudies in tabre 2-2a where this was possible. Higher rates areobserved in the uK compared with Finland and the usA.

whether the incidence of MND (as opposed to trends) can be

43

Chapter 2

studied adequately on the basis of mortarity data alone isuncertainTS. Arthough 7o-9og of patients diagnosed with MND

have this recorded on their death certificate72,73,L24,L2s,only one study from Japan has examined the false positive rateof death certificate coding (in i-965) by an extensive attempt toverify the diagnosis from other sources. As many as one thirdof males hrere coded as dying of MND without having it, but theaccuracy was better for females72.

Incidence studies (Table 2-3arbrcrd)1. crud€ rates The best incidence studies are presented in

table 2-3a together with the rnethods, crude incidence with calcu-lated 952 confidence interva L=L26 , prevalence rates (wherestated) and notes. Although crude incidence may differ betweenpopulations because of differences in age structure, when thestudies hrere divided according to the quality of their nethodo-Iogy, in general, the crude rates tended to reflect, the likelydegree of case ascertaj-nnent. There $/as a significant differencebetween the mean crude rate of those, studies in table 2-3a when

compared with all other studies (table 2-3b and 2-3c) (difference= 0.64/Loo,oOo/year 952 cr 0.L5-1.13) and when studies in table2-3a were compared with those which relied on single hospitalcase ascertainment (tabre 2-3c) (difference o.75/Loo,o00/year,95t cr 0.21-r-.3). However, there v/ere exceptionsr. for exarnpr€, a

row crude rate was seen in rsraer, based on a comprehensivesurvey of Jews as part of a national neurological disease regis-ter, and in sardinia, which used five separate sources of casefinding. The clairn of a low incidence in MexicolOo was basedon individuals with access to a government health programme and

44

Chapter 2

while medical facilities may have been excellent for those withaccess, it is not certain that all affected individuals with MND

were identified. A lower mortality in Mexico than any other of33 countries, incruding others in the deveroping third worrd,was observed in a rarge comparative anarysis of average ageadjusted rates, €rt least around 195086. rf this observationis not artefactual then it nay be evidence of an ethnic rrresis-tancerr r ot a resurt of environmentar factors.

2' Age and sex specific incidence rates, standardised ratesAge and sex specific rates in arr incidence studies, exceptRochester, show a steady rise to a peak, usually between 60 and75 years with a sharp decline after this (Fig 2-2). rn Rochesterthe rate appears to continue to rise with d9€, arthough thenumbers are snall and confidence intervals for the older agegroups are so wide that a decline cannot be excluded. This isof considerable interest from an aetiologicar viewpoint; if atrue decline occurs in the elderry then the disease is perhapsmore likery to refrect an environmental infruence rather thansinply a result of age related neuronal attrition. The nrajor-ity of reports show a nale predominance with a range betweenL-2zL to 2.ozr, but some show no sex differer,""99 or even a

femare predomin.n""8o. rncidence rates with time, arthoughreported as increasing, are unretiable in studies with snallnurnbersS8. rn rsraet this increase was considered to be dueto causes other than irnproved case ascertainmentSg.

Meaningful direct, statistical cornparisons of age and sexspecific rates between studies are complicated by methodologicaldifferences, the use of different age bands and because overrap

45

Chapter 2

with the same years of study are necessary to minimise possibledifferences due to changing incidence over tine. The age speci-fic rates for males and females combined frorn three of the bestincidence studies88,89t94 are protted in figure 2-2 todemonstrate the range. rt can be seen that there are differencesin incidence between the studies from Rochester and Israel and

the 958 confidence intervals for these two studies (not shown)

suggest the difference is rear. when the rates for the age

bands 45-74 years (like1y to be the rnost reliable for comparativepurposes) for males and females are standardised to the Scottishpopulation (table 2-3d), the differences between populations arealso apparent. when age standardised rates (over 4s-74 years)for nales and fenales conbined from those studies in tabl- 2-3a(excluding NW England where insufficient data for this calcula-tion are provided) are plotted against their degrees north lati-tude (Fig 2-3), there is a positive correration (p varue for theslope 0.05) with a factor of around three times higher in north-ern ratitudes. rt could be argued that this observationstrengthens the case for differences,in the distribution of MND

for, while this correlation may stirl be due to better caseascertainment, only the best incidence studies, which used multi-ple resources, are included. rf rear it rnay be due to genetic orenvironmental factors and is akin to the nuch debated correlationof murtiple screrosis prevalence with 1atitude127.

46

Chapter 2

3. clusters There are reports of conjugarL28,L29 andother non-consanguineous clusters of MND outside the WesternPacific, with rates much higher than would be expected by chance.Examples incrude peopre who work13o,L31 or rivel.32-L34in crose proximity; pray in the same sports team135; have beenv/ar evacueesT36 ' share an environrnental peculiarity such as highsoil sereniunL3T; or a common occupational exposure such asleatherl38 or texti1.L39 workers. Toxins from freshrycaught fish were irnplicated in a cluster in Wisconsinl40. rn oneexampre, al1 those affected were of Ashkenazi Jewishextractionl33. rt is not crear if the high incidence in Filipi-no men in Hawaii is because of a geneticalry susceptible poolwith a high predisposition to develop MND or whether otherfactors are responsible98,14L. other studies show a

significantl42 or non-significant73,8o,8L'97 uneven distributionbut most studies that have examined distribution within a popula-tion have dernonstrated geographical uniforrnity. It is difficultto know whether smarl clusters are purery due to chance, particu-larly when the overall poputation incidence is not known143. Arecent publication from north west Englandg6 atternpted to providefurther data in this regard by analysing the distribution of L73

cases according to postar areas and alrocated through a gridreference to 338 electoral wards. several wards had a signific-antry higher than expected rate but, as the authors point out,the actual number of wards showing this non random distributionmay not have been greater than the expected nornal variation.

one intriguing attenpt to demonstrate clustering of MND inrelation to an infectious aetiology has examined the correlationsbetween infectious disease notification rates in 1931-39 with

47

Chapter 2

nortality from MND in 1968 -7g. There was a specific positivecorrelation for polionyelitis but not for other infectious dis-easesi nor did polionyelitis correlate with other leading causes

of death144. The suggestion has been made that the risingrate of poliornyelitis during the early decades of this centuryaccounts for the present increasing trend in MND mortality (due

to subclinical infection). There is, howeverr no such correla-tion in scotland and no support for viral infection from labora-tory studiesr45. Although rate neurorogicar deteriorationafter poriornyeritis may resembre MND146, the rerationshipbetween previous poliornyelitis and sporadic MND remains a matterof debate.

l. llestern pacif ic f orns of l,tND The western pacif iccrusters are found in: (i) Guam, the southernmost and largest ofthe Mariana isrands, where the charnorro rndians areaffectedL4T-L49; (ii) the Kii peninsura of Japanl5o and (3)the Auyu and Jakai people of west New cuineal51. rn Guam, themost extensively studied of these endemic variates, the clinicalfeatures resemble sporadic MND/ALS, but in the same popurationthere is arso a high incidence of a parkinsonism/denentia comprex(PDc) and some patients have a combination of ALs and pDC. Thepathology of these Guamanian diseases includes extensive neuro-fibrilrary tangles in the cerebrum and brainstem of rnost pa-tients, and in the spinar cord of a minority, €rs well as ante-rior horn cerl ross in those with ALs152,L53. This differencesuggests that the sporadic and Western Pacific forms may have a

different aetiology but should the cause of these high incidencefoci be clarified then widespread repercussions for the under-

48

Chapter 2

standing of sporadic MND are possible.

As a result of systenatic surveys carried out in the early1950rs prevalence rates 5o-1oo times greater than in developedcountries hlere established. Since then it was thought that theserates were decriningl54-l-58, however, the accur-acy of some later reports has been questioned and the nostrecent prevalence survey of three vilIages, based on small nun-bers' suggests that rates are still as high as in the mid decades

of this centurylsg. Disease duration is thought to be sinilarto that in deveroped countries while the age of onset may be

increasingl53 ' l-59.

An environmental cause, or at least a genetically determinedhost response to an exogenous factor seemslikeIyla 1, 16 o-L62

. The disease is confined to a

particular area of the Mariana islands despite a shared origi-nal migration patternl63' there is no evidence for MendelianinheritancelSO and the disease is of no higher incidence inoffspring of affected than non affected Guamanians. MND

does not develop amongst those who have had a brief exposureto the irnplicated environmentl64 and the ratency for the deve-lopnent of MND, dS judged by studies of chamorro migrants tothe United States, is long165'156 inplying that an early expo-sure may be crucialr oF any proposed environmental factor must be

slowly actingr or ageing is interacting with an earlier environ-rnental f actor.failed167.

Attempts to transrnit the disease have

The putative environmental cause is unknown. The suggested

declining incidence coincided with adoption of a lifestyle closerto Western standards so factors associated with a prirnitive

49

Chapter zlifestyle may be important. Neurotoxins in the seeds of the nutcycad circinalis (farse sago palrn), and used by the natives ofGuam for the production of frour, are thought by some to beresponsibrel6S. A degenerative motor system disease withsinilarities to MND has been produced in primates by feedingthe cycad derived toxin BMAA (a-amino-B-rnethylaminoproprionicacid) L69 'L7o but motor neuron pathorogy can arso be inducedby other experirnental methodsLTL. Doses required for theseexperirnents are high and washing of the seeds, €rs is the custon,removes alr but minute traces of gy,Lg172, probabry to such lowrevels that toxicity is unrikelylTr. cadjusek and otherssuggest an alternative mechanismls8,L74'L75. In New GuineaIow concentrations of calcium and magnesium and high levels ofaluninium, silicon, titanium, chromium, iron and manganese arepresent in the well and spring water of those villages in whichMND is found and not in those which rie on the rnajor rargerivers which originate in the central highrands. Thebiochemical abnormarities in the water or diet in Guarn are resscertain but intraneuronal deposits of calcium and aluminiunsuggest that basic defects in mineral metabotisn rnight irnpairtransport of neurofiLarnent proteins, leading to neurofibrillarytangle forrnationLT6. The interested reader is referred else-where for details of the extensive debatel,77,L78.

50

Chapter 2

SulllilARy AllD CRITERIA FoR THE rDEAr, gTuDy oF ttND INCIDENCE

Mortality statistics in MND may be sufficient for studyingtrends with tirne, and possibry variation in prace, but arelikely to underestimate rates in the erderry, particularly innedically deprived areas, where age specific rates may be higherthan reported (see chapter 5 for discussion of deprivation and

MND). Death certificate data are subject to changes in codingpractice and there is little information on the frequency offalse positive coding. Nonetheless recent studies of mortalitydo show rising rates with tirne, particurarly in order agegroups. This is a consistent finding in a number of countries,and it nay be real rather than due to ascertainment bias but, ifso, its cause is uncertain. Kurtzke also concluded that therewas rr...evidence to support a real increase in the frequency ofALs'f69. rf rates realry are increasing, then this conplicatescomparisons between studies in different places conducted overdifferent periods.

There are certainly variations in reported incidence ratesin place, most of which can be explained on the basis of differ-ences in case ascertainment with higher rates tending to be frommore complete studies. However, there may be real differencesof two to four fold between well studied populations in developedcountries, suggesting a non random distribution of II{ND. The

evidence for an environmentar factor in the aetiorogy of thewestern Pacific forms is now very strong. The precise factorsresponsibre are unknown but rdy, if discovered, have irnportantinplications for research into the cause of sporadic MND. Areasof interest for future epiderniological research include studies

5t_

Chapter 2

of MND incidence in racial rninorities in developed countrieslthe developnent of sensitive rnethods for studying the distribu-tion of MND within populations, such as the computer assistedgeographicar rnapping techniques by grid referen".96i pro-spectively designed studies; and attention to Iife events andenvironnental exposures which may be remote frorn the developmentof MND.

criteria for the idear study of MND incidenceFrom this review the standards for studies of MND incidence

should be:

Standardised diagnostic criteria: The reader must be ableto understand clearly what is meant by MND. There are no uni-versally accepted criteria for the diagnosis and there is lackof agreement between neurologists in different countries presen-ted with the same case summaries, particularry when the diseaseis ctinically less fully developed, but pathologically provenl79.

A practical consensus statement for clinical and epidemiolo-gical studies is required which deals'with the problems of defin-ing the crinicar rirnits of MND (see chapter 1), reducing interobserver error in the interpretation of physicar signs (forexample when is a retained reflex in a wasted correspondingmyotome an UMN sign?) and to define the subgroups of MND whichmay have a different prognosis. A subcommittee of the WorldFederation of Neurology has recentry drafted proposals for a

system of classification of ALS, but this is so extraordinarilycomplex, and dependent on detaited electrophysiological evalua-tion, that it is quite unsuitable for application in large scaleepiderniological studies. rn chapter 3 diagnostic criteria which

52

Chapter 2

can be applied to large epideniological studies of patients who

will have been investigated by different centres, to differentdegrees with varying investigations, is presented in furl.

comprete case ascertainment.. A study design ensuring com-

plete case ascertainment is of overwhelrning importance when

studying variation of incidence in time and prace, seeking puta-tive environmental factorsr or when studying prognosis. rndeveloped countries most patients are likely to have attendedregional neurological services but conplete case ascertainmentcannot be guaranteed by studies which rely exclusively on datafrorn such sources. In particular, studies from specialised cen-

tres180'181 are rikery to be biased in favour of youngerpatients and possibly unusuar forms of MND. The erderry, where

age specific rates are high, but where diagnosis may be more

difficult, are particularly like1y to be missed without searchesusing multiple sources of case ascertainment. However, specialcare is required in the etderly as the diagnosis may be particu-larly difficult due to frairty, coexisting disease, or death fronother causes before the passage of time has ctarified the dia-gnosr-s. Multipre sources of case ascertainment should incrudeneurologists; a review of hospitar discharge datai an approach

to prirnary care physicians for identification of patients who

may not reach tertiary care centres, and finally, death certifi-cate rnonitoring. Patient organisations or farnily care workersmay provide useful information but cannot be used as the solesource as this is likeIy to lead to an underestirnate of the trueincidence and contamination by other diseases.

53

Chapter 2

WelT defined denominator and standard presentation of ratesby age, sex and race.' Accurate demographic information of thepopulation at risk must be available so that appropriate denomi-nators can be used. This may be a problem in deveroping coun-tries. The denominator in open upper age bands is sensitive tochanges in the overall population alte structure and becausenumbers are smalr in this age group, changes in age specificincidence within populations over tirne, ot differences betweenpopulations' may be misleading and result from the different age

structure of open upper age bands. Results of incidence studiesmay be interpreted differently by the use of variabre upper age

bands, this is illustrated in figure 3-2. Therefore, informationshourd be provided in five year age bands for the totar p:pula-tion to allow comparison over tirne and between studies for a

given age bandr oE combination of age bands.

Ptospective design and Targe population base.. Retrospectivestudies allow the passage of time to clarify diagnostic problemsbut are disadvantaged in other ways. ,prospective data collectionallows the application of standardised diagnostic criteria in-cluding electrodiagnostic tests. The low incidence of MND means

such studies require a large population base and hence widecorraboration and rigorous case nonitoring and folrow up.

No incidence studies are available which fulfil all thesecriteria and it is on this basis that The Scottish Motor Neuron

Disease Register (SMNDR) was established with a view to conduct-ing a prospective, population based, colraborative study of MND

incidence, distribution and prognosis and providing a resource

54

Chapter 2

for research activity into MND in Scotland. This is the firstsuch study of MND with this design.

55

rable 2-l: syn&ores rhich ray riric or reserble illD ard are irportantto distingrrish fror idiopatlic iltD

Ebysical factors:Cervical spndylotic ryeloradiculopaQylS2Radiation iyelipathy/piexopatxylS3:1es'Cranial inadiation and iniratirecal cherotheraovlS6Folloring severe electric shock43, 187, 188

lletabolic/Endocrinerlisorderss -

Eexosarinadase def iciencyl89, 190

Adrenoleukodystrophy ([yperinsulin

Phosphate def iciency/hyperparatiyroi6ir.l9l, 195

Related to raligancy or distrrbed immity:f{eningeal retastasis riti radiculopathy/cranial neurgp4eyhrltif ocal neuropat!1, and antibodiirs to' qangliosideslgS-2mGanglioside tierapyzur-- _--Plasra cell dyscrii iu2o2,2o3Subacute rotoi neuronopattry ?ilS, nitX tnplgra?9{0ther paraneoplastic {ru.i cell carcino;a2ls '206Foraren mgnur tutourszu/

Infestions:Post-Plio sYndrorel{6' 208-2LI

[uan irnmodef iciency vins : rononeruitis/ryelopasyphilitic ar11|ronhii reningoryelisir2l5,216Cysticercosisz

lorins/Itsrre:' kt;d2l},2I9, rercury220, ranganese22l, 222, selenirul 37, alup!4iur2238-ll-oralylarino-L-alanine ( lfeurolatlyrisr, Mric a I Isial 2rrc-arino-B-rethylarinoproprionic acid- in Cycad sds on' 61612158Doroic acid ingeslign^g;6r contarinated russels in canada225Solvent poisoningrrd, zzo

Pesticide exposure (pyrglhrin and chlordan e bass61227,228Aritriptyline overdose?rze

- floigre's syndrore (pseudoallergic reaction) with penici11in230Vascular:

Rbernatoid arthritis niti arteritis and neuropathy23lIschaeria of the anterior horns of tie spinal corAn2htulti-infarct state uiti bulbar palsy

0tber prirarily narorogicar diseases or^tp esociated rith otber disease:Benig fasciolations and crarpszrrSyringoryelia (rittrout sensory siEs123{Peroneal nscular atrophy riti pyiariE4l^f9atures235'236spastic paraparesis lviriors^gqil 61237,238Cyst of the conus redullariszrylryotrophy in rultisyster disease gg {q$eph disease2{OlllfD uitlr derentia of various typ$r0,2flSpinal ronorelic aryotrophy,

^fii:q]-cervical poliopati y212-215

X-linked bulbospinal atrophyz{o,4 /r

) lel

Uy2I2'2Lt

lfotes: A differential diagosis of tie idiopatxic anterior horn ceIIdisorders is not included. * ilay be classified niti adult onset HtfD.

56

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1969-71 1922-74 1gz*lrt 192&Bo rrigr-sg

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16

14

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70-79lsrael

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Fig 2-3: Correlation of age standardised incidence of MND with meandegrees north latitude in 8 populatlon based studles

6S 4455056

Degrees North Lailtude

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1

CITAPTER 3

rTB SCOTTISE IToToR NEURoN DISEA8B REGISTER3

l'iETEoDoLocy, INCTDENCE, DEldocRAPEy AttD cIrINIceL FEATUREB oF

PATTBNTS DIEGNOSED 1989-1990

66

Chapter 3

INTRODUCTION

u rt is sometimes said that crinicar observation hasTittre more to otter neurorogry, yet crinicar observa-tion continues to discover new syndromes and to rein-terpret oLd symptoms and I foresee great scope for itsti77 . "

Lord grain248

scotrand is in the north of the united Kingdorn (uK) and

covers an area of 30,414 square rniles between 54 3gr and Go 51t

3off north ratitude and between r Asr and 6 L4t west rongitude249.The population estimate for L989 was 5,OgO,7OO of whon 1Bt were

over 65 years2so. The country is divided into g regions, 3

island areas, 53 districts and L2LL postcode sectors and isserved by 3041 general practitioners. Neuromedical services are

provided by 19 consultant neurologists and 4 consurtantclinical neurophysiologists who are likely to see most but notaII patients with MND.

rn January L9g9 the SMNDR was launched with the aim ofprospectively achieving complete case ascertainment in order toreriabry study the incidence, denography, clinicar features and

prognosis of MND in scotrand and to provide a resource for re-search into this disease.

ITETBODS OF THE SCOTTTSH UOTOR NEURON DISEASE RECTSTER

1. All Scottish consultant neurologists and neurophysiolo-gists agreed to collaborate and acted as the principal source ofcase notification. They were requested to complete a sirnpleregistration form (table 3-1) which hras forwarded to the study

67

Chapter 3

coordinators based at the Western General Hospital, Edinburgh forinclusion on a centralised database. Collaborators were encour-

aged to register patients when the diagnosis of t{ND was firstentertained so that suspected, as well as definite cases, courd

be followed up, although the threshold of individuat collabora-tors with respect to the registration of suspected cases varied.

2. The two fanily care officers ernployed by the ScottishMotor Neurone Disease Association (SMNDA) offered patients theoption of self-referral to the register.

3. rn 1990 and 1991 a retter was sent to arl Gprs in scot-land, asking for detairs of any patients with MND in theirpractice diagnosed after January lst. 1989.

4. The Information and Statistics Division of the common

Service Agency for the Scottish Health Service provided a list ofaII patients discharged frorn Scottish hospitals in 1989 and 1990

coded by International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 9 as

code 335 (anterior horn celr disease). The records of all pa-

tients older than 15 years, not arready included on the regis-ter, vrere obtained and reviewed before inclusion.

5. A request was made to neuropathology departments for any

patients diagnosed at post mortern.

6. AII death certificates for 1989-90 identified fron theGeneral Register office for Scotland h/ere examined when fCD-9 335

lras recorded as the underlying cause of death or as a contribu-ting factor. GP practice records with their letters and surunaries

from hospital consultations were then requested from Hea1th

Boards.

7. Pedigrees were traced in farnilies where a genetic cause

seemed likely or possible. Information of personal details of

68

Chapter 3

unaffected or affected reratives (parents, chirdren, siblings,aunts, uncles and cousins) were obtained frorn the proband wher-ever possible to allow tracing of death certificate coding and insome cases, clinical notes.

After registration, clinical details included in dischargesummaries or outpatient correspondence and the reports of neuro-physiological investigations, hrere obtained to allow classifica-tion of MND subtypes based on clinicar features (see berow).After the patientts death the complete hospital and Gp recordswere scrutinised and pathology reports obtained when available.Figure 3-1 shows the structure of the SMNDR.

Patients were included on the register, ie considered inci-dent, if the diagnosis of MND had been made or suggested for thefirst tirne after December 31st 1998. At registration, the pa-

tient's GP was inforned of the aims of the study. Forlow up ofall patients $tas achieved principally through Gprs with a sixnonthly questionnaire concerning any revision of the diagnosis,any change of GP (to arlow transfer of folrow up) and simplecrinicar features, such as difficulty speaking or swarlowing,Iirnb weakness the date and place of death and if other fanilymembers were affected. Collaborators, who were informed of thestudyrs progress by a monthly newsletter, vrere also encouraged tosend copies of follow up correspondence from hospital clinics. A

paper file was maintained for each patient and the Dbase rvmanagement system for microcomputers was used to construct a

computerised database for compiling features of key interest and

to permit organised retrieval of data. Hospital ethical approvalwas obtained.

The 1989 population estimate for scotland and its

69

Chapter 3

regions250 (derived from the last population census in 1981)

was used for the calculation of rates and standardised incidence

ratios. A census in 1991 has not yet published population

figures. Age specific incidence was calculated using age at

diagnosis, usually in relation to the first hospital admission

for investigations. The significance of differences between the

means for ages according to sex was exanined using the Studentrs

t-test. Age adjusted standardised incidence ratios (of observed

to expected cases) were calculated for each of the 9 regions and

3 island areas using the indirect method2SL. confidence

intervals (CI) were calculated using the Confidence Intervals

Analysis Programme2S2 .

Diagnostie criteria

A set of sirnple but specific criteria suitable for applica-

tion to this, and other large scale studies !{as devised, using

aspects of the World Federation of Neurology Subcommittee on

Neuromuscular Diseases approach253. The criteria for dia-

gnosis are as follows:

The terrn rrmotor neuron diseasetr is used to encompass any

adult (>15 years) onset progressive motor system disorder (spora-

dic or fanilial) with the following categories:

1. Clinically definite ttND: A combination of lower motor

neuron (LmI) signs, clinically or by electrornyography (EMG) , and

upper motor neuron (UMN) signs (table 3-2), not due to longstand-

ing neurological disease, (eg previous stroke or recognised com-

pressive mononeuropathy), involving the brainstern and implica-

ting involvernent of one or more spinal regions. Three spinal re-

gions were used for classification of physical signs, they were:

70

Chapter 3

Cl-Tl (cervical region; neck and upper linb), T2-LL (thoracicregion) , L2-sacral segments (lurnbosacral region). If signs

were lirnited to the brainstem and only 1 spinal region (eg only

upper linbosigns as the sole nanifestation of involvement outside

the brainstem) then both UMN and LMN signs $rere required in thatregion, otherwise it htas not considered necessary for both IJMN

and LMN signs to be present in each of the involved regions.

Normal or brisk deep tendon reflexes in the presence of a clearlywasted corresponding myotome, €g triceps jerk in wasted tricepsmuscle, were used as evidence of UMN involvement.

Qualitications: fn addition the following were mandatory:

a progressively deteriorating course; the absence of sensory

signs (including visual abnormalities) apart from rnild vibrationsense loss in the elderlyp absence of sphincteric disturbance,parkinsonism, dementia and causes of syndrornes which may rninic

MND (table 2-L'), after appropriate investigations and follohr up.

Patients in this group vrere assigned a category which gave

an indication of the clinical pattern of the MND as follows:(1-1) ALS/PBP. CIinicaIIy definite MND which began with

Iinb synptoms but later developed bulbar features.(L-2) PBP/ALS. Clinically definite MND which began with

bulbar symptoms and later developed limb symptoms or began with

bulbar and Iinb synptorns sinultaneously.

2. Clinically probable ltNDs (2-L) PBP: A syndrorne inwhich dysarthria and dysphagia of UMN or LMN origin are thepredominant features (but which may be accompanied by sterno-nastoid weakness as the only [potentially] extrabulbar LMN sign)

in the absence of LMN limb signs but which nay be accompanied by

7L

Chapter 3

t[r{N linb signs (eg extensor plantar response) but not syrnptoms

(e9 difficulty walking) .

(2-2) Spinal ALs (2 regions) and (2-3) Spinal ALS (3

regions): Two and three regions (cervical, thoracic and lumbosa-

cral) involved respectively, with a combination of ttMN and LMN

signs, not necessarily both in the same region, but without

bulbar features and given the above qualifications, in particular

exclusion of cervical spondylotic nyelopathy. Patients regis-

tered with monomelic atrophy were not included in the calculation

of incidence data.

(2-4) PMA: An exclusively LMN motor disorder, including

absent deep tendon reflexes in affected myotomes, involving at

Ieast two regions with a clearly progressive course supported by

consistent neurophysiological investigations (see below) .

(2-5) PLS: An exclusively UMN motor system disorder (after

at least two EMG examinations separated by at least six months)

affecting aII four lirnbs with or without involvernent of the

brainstem, in the absence of a farnily history of gait distur-

bance and with no evidence of multiple sclerosis or MND mirnic

syndrornes after CSF immunological studies, visual evoked re-

sponses and magnetic resonance inaging of the brain or cervical

cord. Patients with unspecified spastic paraparesis were expli-

citly excluded. Diagnostic categories are summarised in table 3-

3 and the alternatives for the distribution of clinical signs

are shown in table 3-4.

The above classification was applied (i) at registration

(initial diagnosis) based on the documented features of the iII-

ness when patients first came to medical attention, oEr if

patients were identified through hospital discharge or nortality

72

Chapter 3

data, retrospectively, again based on the features at presenta-

tion and supported by hospital consultation documentation. (ii)

When the fuII extent of the disease htas established after follow

up, or aII available data (hospital notes, GP records and patho-

Iogy reports) had been reviewed after death, whichever came first

(tina7 diagnosisl.

Additional notes: Criteria for neurophysiological diagnosis

were not established prospectively and are difficult to appty

rigorously given the variation in clinical practice between

neurophysiologists. When available, particular attention was

paid to the results of nerve conduction studies and EMG:

1. To exclude other causes of LMN disease, in particular,

po lyneuropath ies , compres s ive neuropath ies / rad icu Iopathies ,

multifocal motor neuropathy196,L97 and myopathies.

2. To identify LMN involvement which was not evident on

ctinical examination and which could therefore be used to assist

subgroup classification. Equal weight was given to the finding

of dennervation potentials on EMG as to the clinical LMN signs

(table 3-2, when determining the extent of regional involvernent.

3. As a means of docurnenting spread of LMN abnormalities

and therefore the progressive nature of the disease, if this was

in doubt.

Myelography was usually performed when MND was incompletely

developed and confined to spinal segrments. An acellular cerebro-

spinal fluid (CSF) result was required before a clinically prob-

able diagnosis was attached but CSF examination was not consid-

ered mandatory for the diagnosis if clinically definite, as

defined above. In some instances support for the diagnosis was

obtained with swallowing tests (Bariun cine swallow) and muscle

73

Chapter 3

biopsy. Anti-ganglioside antibodies vtere not routinely per-

formed.

The diagnosis was considered proven by autopsy if this

showed LMN and t l,IN neuronal loss in the brainstem or spinal cord

and neuronal atrophy with loss of Nissl substance, corticospinal

tract degeneration and the absence of extensive central chromato-

Iysis, active neuronophagia, neurofibrillary tangles, abnormal

storage material, spongiform change and extensive inflammation.

REgUL,Tg

A total of 257 patients hrere registered with the SMNDR in

1989-90 but 28 patients were excluded from the main analyses

because an MND like syndrome coexisted with other neurological

disease; the diagnosis was subsequently shown not to be MND or

did not fulfil the criteria above (Table 3-5). The details of

these patients are presented in Appendix A. Unless otherwise

stated, ages refer to those at diagnosis.

Of the 229 patients with proven, clinically definite or

probable MND L32 (57.62) were men (mean age at diagnosis 63.1

years, SD L2.2 years, range L9.5-84.2 years) and 97 (42.42) were

women (nean age at diagnosis 67.4 years; SD 1L.0 yearsi range

30.4-9O.7 years), giving a male to female ratio of 1.4:1.

There was a significant difference in mean age between the sexes

of 5.4 years (95e" CI 2.3-8.6). For patients older than 65 years

the sex ratio was 1.1:l- compared to 1.9:1 for those younger than

55 years, a significant difference. A summary of the descriptive

statistics is presented in table 3-5.

Many patients were notified from rnultiple sources. However,

74

Chapter 3

the first source of referral is shown in table 3-7. 190 patients

(83t) were seen at some time by a neurologist and 188 (822) had

an EMG. Patients who had not seen a neurologist (n:37, 16t) were

older than the remainder with a difference in the means of 7.6

years (958 cI 0.4-14.9).

Table 3-8 shows the clinical pattern of MND based on infor-mation at the presentation to nedical attention (initial dia-gnosis) and the final classification with follow up (final dia-gnosis), after all records were reviewed, at the tirne of data

censoring on January 1st. t992 (this date also used for survivalestimates in Chapter 6). Table 3-8 documents the natural pro-

gression of MND with most patients who presented with PBP deve-

loping spinal involvement (PBP/ALS) and many patients with only

spinal disease (ALS), as the initial diagnosis, developing PBP

(ALS/PBP). Patients with PMA and PLS were in the ninority.The site of onset of MND (table 3-9) shows an approximately

one third division into those patients whose weakness began inthe upper linb, lower linb and bulbar region. Men were more

Iikety than women to present with weakness of the hand, a re-flection to some extent of the sex differences in clinical sub-

types (see below). However, onset in the lower linb showed no

difference between the sexes. Women were significantly more

likely to present with PBP and to have PBP as a component of MND

at any stage of the illness, whereas males were more likety tohave exclusively spinal disease (table 3-10). This hras particu-Iarly true of women over 65 years where there was a relative riskof 4 .5 (952 CI 2 . L-9 .6 years ) conpared to men ,over 55 years.

Three patients presented with shortness of breath as the princi-pal complaint and in one 60 year old male with PMA this was due

75

Chapter 3

to a highly selective diaphragmatic palsy with EMG evidence of

more widespread dennervation.

Eleven patients (5 8) had a fanily history of MND but none

were related to each other, the pedigree details are contained in

Appendix B. This group riras younger than the sporadic cases;

difference in means $ras 9.6 years (958 Cl, 5.5-13.6). The pat-

tern of fanilial disease suggested a probable or definite autoso-

mal doninant inheritance in aII but one fanily where X-linkage

appears likely (a diagnosis of x-linked bulbospinal

neuronopatny2aTl. In some families (SF,RP-appendix B) premature

death, or young age of unaffected members make interpretation of

inheritance more difficult. These families formed a heterogen-

eous sample of different clinical subtypes both within and be-

tween pedigrees.

In 15 (68) the diagnosis was proven by autopsy, the patho-

logical details of these patients are included in Appendix C.

The crude incidence for Scotland was 2.25/100,000/year (95t

CI L.96-2.541 lOO,OOO/year). Age and sex specific incidence rates

are presented in table 3-11 and figure 3-2 and continued to risesteeply to a peak between 75-84 years for women and 65-74 years

for men (fiq 3-3). There is then an apparent decline in rates

over 85 years. The age adjusted standardised incidence ratios

for individual regions showed some variation (table 3-L2; fig 3-

4'). However, 952 confidence linits overlapped with unity, indi-cating none were significantly different from the expected at the

p<0.05 level, although lower standardised ratios were observed

in the north east and island areas.

76

Chapter 3

DI8CUSSION

The epiderniological method may provide inportant clues tothe causes of MND by demonstrating temporal and geographical

trends in distribution. Difficulties arise in delineating the

optinun size for such a study: under-ascertainment and error indiagnosis wiII bias nortality studies based on very large popula-

tions, whereas random variation wilI lead to imprecise estimates

if too small a sample is used. In this project size has not

compromised diagnostic accuracy because data can be sought pro-

spectively and studied over several years.

Some studies of incidence and/or clinical features in MND

have relied on data collected from tertiary referral centres but,

in general, such studies give a lower incidence than those which

make a more concerted effort in case finding (Chapter 2). OnIy

two other countries, both frorn Scandinavia93 '95, reporteda higher crude incidence higher than Scotland but denorninators

were not provided in these papers so it is difficult to be sure

that this is not due to differences in age structure. The

previous study of MND incidence in Seotlandll2, based on unver-

ified hospital discharge data (L968-77), and therefore likely tobe contaminated with diseases other than MND, gave a high crude

average first discharge rate of 4.7 and 3.OL/IOO,OOO/year for men

and women respectively. Mortality statistics collected over the

same period gave average rates of L.57 and L.18/LOO,OOO/year (see

Chapter 4 for analysis and discussion of this source of data). A

further incidence study confined to the Lothian regionllo hras

inconplete in tracing case records and reported a range of

incidence over L968-75 of 1.0-1.9/LOO,OOO/year. The female to

male ratio is within linits previously described (between 1:1 and

77

Chapter 3

1:1.5).

A finding of aII studies that have examined age specificincidence, except that from Rochester, is a decline in rates inthe nost elderly age groups. Our data show that the highest age

specific incidence of 9.9/ lOO,OOO/year for nales and fernales

combined in the 65-74 year group !/as maintained into the 75-84

year group, given the confidence limits of this estinate (Table

3-11). Caution is needed in the interpretation of the apparent

decline in age specific incidence in the most elderly. Presenta-

tion of the data with an upper age band of >75, years rather than

>85 years (Fig 3-21, suggests that a true decline may not actual-fy occur, given the confidence limits. Proper comparison with

other studies needs careful attention to open ended upper age

bands (see page 54). The decline in rates over 85 years is

difficult to interpret, particularly because of the small nurn-

bers (n=2) and may be due to failure to diagnose the illness in

this age group (see also chapter 51, rather than poor ascertain-

ment of diagnosed patients. If rates really do continue to rise

into old age rather than decline, as .is generally reported, then

senescence must make a najor contribution to the development of

MND.

The age pattern of this population based cohort is older

than series which have been described based on referred samples,

particularly neurology departnental recordslSL'254'255 (table 2-

3c) and is the result of an unbiased patient group. The age dif-

ferences between patients who were, oF t/ere not seen, by a neuro-

Iogist (table 3-6) also inplies that studies based only on neuro-

logy departmental records are unlikely to reflect the true

demographic features of the disease. The diagnosis date (and

78

Chapter 3

therefore the decision about whether a patient was incident or

not) was standardised to the tirne when the diagnosis hras firstsuggested as possible.

The registration of patients by different collaboratorsvaried with respect to how far advanced the disease process was,

hence some neurologists preferred to register patients when the

diagnosis was first entertained and some preferred to aIlow the

passage of time to remove diagnostic doubt. Delay in registra-tion and the lower than anticipated rate of first registration by

neurologists was largely due to this factor. Those patients who

were eventually excluded (Table 3-5 and Appendix A), are a biased

group but represent a sample for which the diagnosis MND was

entertained and therefore form part of the differential dia-gnosis of this disease. Of particular note are patients who were

eventually diagnosed as cervical spondylotic nyelopathy. The

absence of bulbar involvernent (ie clinically probable MND)

should be a cautionary sign and prompt appropriate investiga-tion of the cervical spine.

The interpretation of the figures relating to the clinicalsubtypes is highly dependent on the way physicat signs are used

for the classification of patients. In this study, preserved

reflexes in the presence of a corresponding wasted myotome were

used as evidence of UMN involvement and therefore such patients

were classified as having ALS included in their subtype (ALS;

ALS/PBP; PBP/ALS). There rnay be little pathological basis fordividing sporadic MND into subgroups given the poor correlationbetween clinical pattern and pathological distribution of the

Iesions4T. However, appropriate classification is irnportant

to standardise patients who wiII be included in clinical trials

79

Chapter 3

and for prognostic reasons (see Chapter 6).

Differences in the sex ratio, d9€ (wonen older) and the

clinical patterns have been observed by others, including thepredilection of women, especially those in the older age groups,

to present with or develop PBP more commonly than,".94, 181 ,256 .

The 5? rate of familial MND is in accordance with other

studies which range from 2.7-10t65,257. patients with a

fanily history were younger than sporadic cases and formed aheterogeneous group of disease pattern with examples of most

subtypes represented, dS reported by others258,259 (see Appen-

dix B for details). The likely dominant inheritance seen in most

of the farnilies has been reported as the most common pattern inadult onset MND258'260,26L but inheritance was anbiguous inone of our kindreds (RP) and occasional recessive inheritance ofMND may o..ur262. X-linkage appears to be the inheritancepattern in one farnily (JH) with a presentation of bulbospinalneuronopathy (Kennedy syndrome55, 247 l. Although some farni-Iial MND is linked to chromosome 2L, this disease is geneticallyheterog"rr"orr=4 1 . The low frequency of farnilial MND and the

decreasing likelihood that as age increases a patient who pre-

sents with MND has a fanity history25T suggests that inheri-ted, as opposed to somatic, mutations make only a small contribu-tion to adult onset MND.

The distribution of patients within Scotland gives no cl.ear

evidence of non-random distribution and therefore in itselfprovides no evidence for an environmental etiology. Failure todemonstrate non uniformity rnay be due to the inadequate statisti-

cal pohrer of this sample so far and in the futurer ds SMNDR

80

Chapter 3

registrations accrue, distribution can be analysed by other means

such as by postcode.

81

Table 3-1: glfDR Registration fon details.(respnses 16, F, ucertain)

@neral:

llrscular yeakness

Progressive history

lisence of smsory sigs

Seen by a neurologist

Distrihtion of sip:

etlbar sigs

tlllX bulbar sigs

Illlf butbar sigs

tirb sigs

Ulll{ lirb siqs

IXll Iirb sigs

EG perforred?

Is tiere any suggestion of an alternative diagosis?

Is ttrere any associated disorder?

Is tie patient arare of ttre diagosis?

Date of onset

Date of diagosis

Is ttre diagosis def inite/probable/suspected?

82

lable 3-2: Itysical sigs by region rsed in tie classification of patiots rittr ttD

Region llpper rotor mron sigs Inuer rotor neuron sigs

Bulbar Dysarthria (ray be ml)r flasted tonge or cranial nsolatureDysphagia (ray Ue uU1* Fasciculation of the tongeSpastic,chusy tongue Dysphonia/reak cougb

Exaggerated jan jerk/facial jerks Palatal reakness/nasal escapSpastic tetraparesis tiasting/neahress/fasciculation ofExtensor plantar respnse(s) sternorastoid

Cervical Reflexes present in a rasted upper lirb Hasting/fasciculation C2-Tl

Iinger jerks Paradoxical breathing/diaphragatic palsy

Spastic tetraparesis/extensor lbsent upper lirb reflexesplantar(s),uitlout bulbar sigs

Ihoracic Spastic paraparesis Puaspinal/aMorinal fasciculationReflexes in rasted lorer lirb Paraspinal rastittg, truncal realoessExtensor plantar respnse(s) Intercostal ueakness/reduced vital capacity

Lrubo/sacral fasting/fasciolation t2-S2

ADsent lorer lirb reflexes

In deciding if bulbar involverent uas or was not present, no atterpt ras rade to distingish syrptorsdue to tlll{ as opposed to tllllf lesion(s).

Iable 3-3: Smary of tie diagostic categrie used by tbe Smln

r.Clinically definite lllD1-1 ArS/PBP

L-2 PBP/ArS

2. Clinically probable fD2-T PBP

2-2 ilS (2 rEions)2-t ilS (3 rEions)2-l H{A

2.5 PH

3. |0t nD3-1 Spasticparaparesis (unspecified)3-2 !tultisyster diseases3-3 l.liscellaneors

AIS= Aryotrophic lateral sclerosis; PBF Progressive bulbar palsy;tA= Progressive rrscular atrophy; PLS= Prirary lateral sclerosis;

83

lable 3-l: tlternatives for tDe distrihrtion of clinical sigs inthe lirbs and trud( for tb diaqosis of differentcategories of lltD by tXe $m (see tert for qulifications)

l.Clinically definite:

lhe least extent penissible for diagnosis:

Bulbar Ullll

or Bulbar Lml

and Ut (C) or trunk (I) or tt (t/S) tlllland llllll signs in tie sare spinal rEion

2-2. Clidcally probable XID (N, 2 regiom):

lfo bulbar sigms, 2 spinal regions corbining tllllf and ttltl signs E:

n ufi (r/s)U UHlf (T or C)

ttut

Hrf (r/s)uffi (c)

tt Ulllf (T or C)

ilil (r/s)w m{ (c)

fnnk tllll (I)nr m (c)

tt Ullf (T or C)

uril (T)

m (r/s)uor (c)

z-3.Clfuically probable nfD (ilS 3 regions):

lfo bulbar sigs, 3 spinal regions corbining tltlll and ulll sigs eg

tt

ut

tote: If Ut (C) UIX signs are present tben cannot be certaintiat tt ttlllt sigs are drre to disease of tie sare (C) regionor (T) region. lllll= Upper rotor neuron; Ullf= [,orer rotorneuron; U[= Upper lirb; [L= Iouer lirb.C= Cervicali I= ftoracici [= lurbosasral.

84

Iable 3-5: $mary of patients registered ritn tbe $m but ercludedfror the rain analyses (for rletails see fppendir f.)

f. Ohical featrre of lilD hrt ottrer narological featuresooeristed (n=8).

llllD associated niti derentia or atypical patiological features I

lll{D nitlt extrapyraridal sigs 2

Corbined neuonopatXy and neuopatXy witi plycytieria 1

tongtanding neurological disease raking diagosis uncertain I

B. Diagosis subseqmtty sbcn to be otler thar nD rittr follorq (n=15).

Cervical spndylotic ryelo ( radiculo )pathy

Cerebrovascular disease

llotor neuronopathy associated witi lyrpbora (paraneoplastic)

Polyryositis

Retropbyrangal turour

lfeuropathy and bydrocepablus

Deryelinating disease, probably late onset rultiple sclerosis

l{etabolic derangerents and debility

C. Diagosis ucertain hrt fail to fulfil Sl[D[ criteria for ttrediagosis of clinically rtefinite or probable nD (n=5).

tlonorelic siErs

Spastic paraparesis not otienise specified

Possible PIS, pssible rultiple sclerosis

ilrrestedt llllD/ non-progressive

Brainster lesion, non progressive

85

ch ll,F) a.)HdtlF|fl|rl rrt

oc\o -tlrf €.

o

rct <t or@@u1ttlfr)(N@(\t6to

F (\t -l'Foilc !t'oo@ coortttli.<l Gt tcl (l

ttF ct\odu'l Hrrl

cil r) Fr.0dr u.) o i.oOF C Ftrtl€N @gtt d cti citd<1. d!'

!t (\t (\t F lf'l FF Ctr .to !te,@@ @ot @c6d, .5+ +A3F Cno dCndc\t do <tF)

@c

d(D eF(\tF (\tts

d

6ad @!l6lcit F dlr<, F TI' F

r}t.C, Fd!tlfr |r)@t<t |rl r.o |rt

r.(to H-l ttodF ./)O FOr<t t<, t.C, r<, \4, F

6lr (\F 6lo\lav}( F)C Fts

!Efa -&r -Er

@d @ddH Ftdail oil

aFi a.Fiu)tu ct)h

oor

c{t ts cil Fctr c.) ctt FtHd

+r+l=z --

F

EO

rOF

<tlrl

(v)

lt,!r.ct

GI

H(J

frr|('i

elIE

B

6'CD

E:a9eag5

o\O €(v)nr(\l dF)Hd dd

c\lN 6lo Fts6tH 6td orodd dd d

aaEa-{Jao8-toE=oa6at{ dala ta-a .trE>

TEEBEa.1-aoErOgt8e'!a 6'c) +t

a5{Js866o .ctt' -a

.J E:g8l{C)f6 rfttsa;!

6'D

o,na

I=aAE8 n 5'+r +, E .tteE 5 '8

b€ H F^La e .4+rort32 t €51 s st'l.Cl E -E

ar;

rrt

'-.uq,u, >r!at'od).4

t,a5 +' P?tth Q urvt aE

e.dC)-a O E4QfEd+,P4.1 .!| (t'

R5 s g?t Y. 14 -q

C,;

tnl-E.6 q)Vt >. V,

OL.L?JE.tEE>r.i>.ovtEO +, E .=,glool+)Et .d (to9E- gDg.! .at .!o

ac qr cn En-.E-EaE.j

Iable 3-7: First sorce of refenal to ttre Scottish totor laron Disease fegister in 198990

?otal nrnber of incident Patiots

Collaborating rnruologists/neuropbysiologists

[ospital discbarge data

General Practitioners

gcottish llllD tssociation farily care officers

llortality data (deattr certificates)

Pattrology recnrG

Seeu by a narologist

fCs/Erc perforred

?n

12e (56.st)

{{ (letl

27 (Lztl

23 (10t)

5 (2t)

I (0.5t)

188 (82t)

leo (83t1

87

tctctd

Oi6lc\t

aoG'd

o'r.\r6a

a€*#d€*\o (\l:o<t6tGl(\lFoa--l

6P**d)q?*RaO.rC)dJSai-i

dP dPotF

ar) (\l

(vr to\olrt|f)d

ao(rddnro

o<fH

R=SS-

9..,RoirH

(t@ARoit

*aPH-(tr)61 6l

-)

F-t

g(\I

dGT

g Eg -E d=- 6'9 9A s,4 etu-r!. U,e -8 a@a

=e 4 5 E

E E E g 9c,;; eagaE'='= V qeao.-.=ctql 44I E" F i F'E 'a t n-H-dAActav'

Eii Eiiiir

qt

",. IABda!

E€d4=aE: EI6a]? &.

.1a!

.JC'='o

-8c) F3

-t ctraJ at-.d E

.J !E

ECEi^E.JH-,- -

6lOr.'td

*;6r{rgE6"?>.JI<te6+r6{JatgA+td6t'..+teoa

=.HcteC'

.JEt{

Iat4oIci(,@!

F'

oAA5F.

6re.;

Iqcit

ttCA

|r|tlEE2GI.E

+,c+Jq,taEioE|i--gog.!lHoJ43r,

l-Q'

+,.E

dg-.,;

Erl.!a4=€c>.

PI

9IEi.tt+)-l=e.At{o

.41

=A=Pc,TA

5f,

AAAE raPaF a?dfte

- -6 FFe 6rOOr !!| 9i.cn€d CIGIF {'oe, ! -:Fa 6" (\ldd c'l cild d N

||srE R aRg RaR 6" .., N

oag 5 5+- gRS o d S

oo.r3 R fiRs +RP cD ."t E

:.tttt-gF

'i.E.. €*€ € g

EAE=EE'ugFct4FE-tse€ g Hsg

EI-eTo4oEC>

g6

IHc,o+to.<IgaEdi!

art(DA.clate.

Table 3-10: Relative risks (nn) aDd 95t confirlence lirits for ttreclinical srrbtypes of llD according to ser

tR of a felale having lop as tle initiaf feature (PSP; ttP/ilS as initial diaEosis)

Ferales = l7 of. 97

lfales = 25 of. L32 RR= 2.5 (1.7-3.7)

tR of a ferate having EP at any stage of lllDFerales = 81 of 97

lfales = 73 of. I32 RR= 1.5 (1.3-1.8)

tR of a feHle over 65 years having PBP as tle initiaf featrre (PBP; ffP/fIS) as initial diagosis

ferales = 3l of 65

l{ales = 1{ of ?1 RR= {.5 (2.1-9.6)

tR of a Hle presenting ritl spinaf disease (ilS as initial diaEosis)

llales = 81 of 132

Ferales = 17 of 97 RR= 1.3 (1.0-1.7)

xf, of a Hle having only spinal disease (il,!i as finaf diaEcis)tlales = 91 of 132

Ferales = 17 ot 97 RR=1.1 (1.1-1.8)

tf of a Hle presenting rith HI (Hf as initial'diagosis)Itales = 20 of 132

Ferales = 2 of 97 RR= 7.1 (1.8-30)

lR of a rale rittr Plll only (as finaf diaEosis)Hales = 1{ of 132

Ferales = 2 of.97 RR= 5.1 (1.2-221

90

Ll -t!o@lrlH<IAIdtlrrororo ot grrooH

6r, ]oGl rfl 6lC'l Fa Gl

G)6lIG'

@

OroCr

|rlcil!o

aOr.al

d<tttt

F'c"

Ia".ftH

.flc!

G'

(\lo

Oraat

ct

(trttoIrflct

o

C'rd

o

ctF'oIoct

oioG'G'

rflroctH. 6'! 6l

?{dro(\lr!llflrnF

<t 6rl !trfl Gt H

{r ('r !trat cr d)OOG{d

roFI

oiIraltt{|It@ro

1r|o.alI

or

F'G'<r

ct(\lIoo

eF'ral

Ct!etutoo

C'r6to

(\l10oIoo

oFIdct

GOFDoIG'o

o

aa a;' aa ^ 6;' - e!6td

-vF vvQ) i-r.r(\l vvafi vv(D

-v<f Gr 6t

cte ^(\1 <.e' i!_

= gg- 99". S!so. :ggFi 3gS g:9R (\. B

A^ F= 6R- ?- c!cqo 6qtt iisor a\i-F (..'a\iol d|r)or d!

d vv<\l vvrO i-ri--a i;-ci .jiJa(i vvd G) H

C rt{ -tt?? r.r A|f|o|.t oO _9F@F F.

c" <tost ct\Fro F@tft -toF |rf Fif (\ld!? FH *FR *sN Eg6 *eG E6E EsE E E6 criirib 16rrrii ..clirn rrrsf at trlot- QE{o ql orF =g= gHE RRH RRn R=a 5=s a a

OFF @dor \ar\o6l dFQ QOiGI c/td.t -.F (\!q, rrir.Ofu 6;;,i ;.H6 9C+id roc\rs -t.f $3 !9 A6 -6ali eiFaa oeF Gtoc-t Oro(\l F€H =*F Es= 5se $=S +8T EFa € qcr (\td.,, aad ;;dt iiF ;=(i 6\Fd .al Crl

F,e \9o1r4 oqrlt ,o4b dq3! S.oB c Fio o. EF ( roto -l 1.o0r o@Ge edb i-=5 dt'n6 oa6 N-,!: S=A g8ie! B AF og+ Fmo qtltreb

=@d (oi{e rtoQ d!(t6 acrO qq{d c <l

!t 6tdo aari i-i- aFi-<ri dF- u1 .'lOr H 6l

{' C !t!t o'r:tt c'rs{ q== O}sCdr -rt.t -++ stoln !Q\9rP \9q-q'$ ngs S+S +*+ *lg* tbRs

rfld .O<rrat.dFl CtIFaGDratlltsC'6!.ct6l

!(l ONrt+cto'.o!OG'Fa Gt 6l

tfl

dI

deto.{<t(trF'd

ctoI

GItO

oor!tIrOo

H

oG'D

a"

d

6tI

oOcrlct

@ooet

oooI!t

oo

Flralo

oralG'Ioe

ct

a\a

ct

H(JiltalOrt{'..O\-oo

-! GtoGt€Ga ct(roC: Fl

g

t-l(J;t(l(t!L>rE>E: G'oGt

-l€d-lGt+r <, ct8€<.

6

gB"

HC'tralOrtF'.at\(, Gt

E: G'oettG. GIoGtEFI

5g

EF-

ortCN E:6A

do=tIorE<tEE:

T{J2o<tE:Aottra!aaF..oHhaEaO

B.<IH(J

^rato('r<'rAEER€38

Ei.EoEa <,g6{Jt81tt, q<tEi Ei'8E|o-qra!c,te.88>raJ |rl6htEcC:Oo>tt -a6uictr.

E:c)oa{ aJ€eCL.l{OCD

-ooLo@l4l615a,-jidIF'@Aa

Iable 3-12: Standadised incidence ratios for tle nine Scottish regions and

tiree island areas 1989-90 (0rkney and Sheilam corbined)

tegion Fopulation

(lotaf)

0bserved

n

Upected

n

Standardisedincidenoe ratio(e5t cI)

Borders

Central

Durfries/GaIIonay

fife

Grarpian

Eigbland

Iottrian

Stratlclyde

Tayside

Orkney/Shetland

Hestern Isles

Scotlad

102,700

27r,lN

1t7,500

34{,800

503,500

201,900

712,9N

2,3rL,2W

392,500

{,1570

3,0630

5,ogor7oo

I

10

{

1l

19

l0

12

110

13

2

0

229

5.36

12.05

6.85

15.60

2I.61

8.98

33.06

103.00

L8.62

L.92

1.5{

2n

1.19 (0.61-2.e{)

o.s3 (0.3e-1.52)

0.58 (0.15-1.{e)

0.71 (0.35-1.26)

0.88 (0.53-1.37)

1.11 (0.53-2.0s)

1.27 (0.92-1.721

1.07 (0.88-1.29)

o.12 (0.12-1.10)

1.0{ (0.13-3.76}

o.0o (0.00-{.e2)

1.00

92

=IFol.|.i5oo

zl!

E=o, P!EE;;gEEooaa6FO6o;E+E;.ep=oEEE4roo+E

'69eetcrio6

coxo6

=sI Ert =b"g$Eb->t-> eP+?E E€e9$gEEEEE'J

PE

Loo'AtoEov,oooocoL3ozl-oo=Eoo(,ooGfrFoc.9-(UIc6EtLoI

crtCDlr

E=o,otolIl-c

3E P<f g?l- O=3EE

o6o=

Fig 3-2: The Scottish Motor Neuron Disease Reglster 1989-90- Age specific incidence rates (n=229)

1*24 25-34 3+44 4$s4 5$64 6974

Age groups

r-oo

E1o-oooC)CopC'E

L(go

810q.ooo(,co5E'Ec

15-24 25-34 3*44 4$54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+

Age groups

Fig 3-3: The Scottish Motor Neurone Disease Reglster 1989'90Age and Sex Specific Incidence Rates

* Men (n=132)

* Women (n=97)

Age

L(Eo

ooqoC'

o(,co3(,tr

15-24 25-34 35-44 45-il 55-64 65-74 75-U 85+

;F4EO5a?

E6E

o6E(,

l_J

!l

6oo

EoEo6o

I

oIL

-€-E9F:FCt

F9aaFCIE;Oci

o{ACIqC)

Iool!Eooo

=

a!?Fq=ctOFi;

R

E}gE:sotoEg rC'rc ;^E8 FF8E FifrB E:Ei8EE

EH6sE.E1aE.E

=P8gf#TctctrlJ.

tat

cgo(oo

€ogE3o

dt

dC'

lo

+oaoo

6coo

'j.ec...-

CEAPTER I

Tf,E UTITJITY OF EOSPITAI' }TORBIDITY DATA AITD DEATE CERrIFICATES

coDED Ag ttOTOR ltEURoN DISEA8E (ICD 33s) Itt SCOIIIIAND 1989-90

97

Chapter 4

INTRODUCTION

" Physicians of the Utmost FameWere -ca77ed at once; but when they cameThey answered as they took their Fees,"There is no cure tor this Disease."

From rrHenry Kingrr, Hilaire BeIloc263

National Health Service manalters, adrninistrators and public

health specialists use norbidity and mortality data to plan the

appropriate allocation of health care resources. Therefore, it is

important that this infornation is as accurate as possible.

Sorne investigators, using unverified hospital discharge

rates, have reported an incidence of MND approximately two to

three times that measured by other ne.ns112. This discrepancy

suggests that a Iarge but unknovtn number of patients coded as

MND following hospital discharge do not actually have this dis-

ease.

More comrnonly, mortality statistics are used both to follow

trends and as an indirect measure of incidence of MND73 'L24

(see chapter 2), with the belief that such data have a hiqh

degree of a accuracy, given the generally fatal outcome of this

disease within a year or two of diagnosis. In L979 the ninth

revision of the IcD264 introduced an amended classification of

anterior horn cell disease and the clinical subtypes of MND were

included under the rubric 335.2 (table 4-1).

The accuracy of such routinely collected statistics depends

on: (1) The proportion of incident patients admitted to hospital

or dying from the disease (21 The precision of diagnosis at

discharge from hospital or at the tirne of death (3) The satis-

factory cornpletion of Scottish Morbidity Record (SMR 1) forms and

98

Chapter 4

death certificates (4) The appropriateness of IcD coding (5)

The accuracy of transcription of inforrnation to the Scottish

Hospitat In-Patient Statistics (SHIPS) and Registrar Generalrs

computer file and (6) The efficiency of the linkage programme

which retrieves first, rather than aII, discharges and the satis-

factory retrieval of death certificates for the relevant year'

There have been no formal studies to compare the accuracy of

hospital discharge data with other case finding rnethods, oE the

extent to which these data wilr identify all patients who develop

l{ND, yet this is an irnportant requirement f or studies which

require an unbiased and complete sample of cases- some inforna-

tion is available concerning the false negative rate of death

certificatesT3 'L24,L25 but much less is available concerning

the false positive ra1':e72. In this chapter I have cornpared

the accuracy of hospital discharge data and mortatity statis-

tics with the SMNDR.

uElrBoD8

The SMNDR Was considered as the rrgold standardrr for the

purpose of this study, although 2Lz of SMNDR registrations in

1989-90 had been ascertained for the first time from sHIPs and

2* fron nortalitY returns.

Uorbidity data retrieval

The inpatient and day case records summary sheet of hospital

morbidity in Scotland (SMR1) collects biographic, adninistrative

and clinical information relating to every hospital death, dis-

charge or transfer and includes a section pertaining to diagnosis

which should rrbe completed by the doctor on discharge of pa-

99

Chapter 4

tientn265. Clerical staff conplete the remaining details and

code the assigned diagnoses according to the ICD-9' This form is

the basis for data transferred to the SHIPS computer, although it

has novr been replaced by a computerised patient adrninistration

system in a nurnber of hosPitals.

A request was rnade to the Information and Statistics Divi-

sion of the common services Agency for the scottish Health ser-

vice for det,ails of all patients coded as ICD-9 335 in any part

of their discharge form for L989 and 1990, and which, through a

record linkage systen, was restricted to first discharge with

this diagnosis. This was available in the August following the

year of interest. The hospital records of aII such patients in

scotland who vrere not already registered with the SMNDR were

requested, with the permission of the consultant in charge of the

patient, through the relevant medical records officer (see chap-

ter 3). Patients who fulfilled the criteria for probable or

definite MND, htho were not already included on the SMNDR' and

who had been diagnosed on or after January 1st 1989 (incident) 'were therefore eligible for inclusion in the SMNDR and accord-

ingly registered. Other patients had been coded correctly but

were discovered to be prevalent to the SMNDR (diagnosis made

before January lst 1989), despite first adnission in that year'

The diagnoses of aII patients coded as ICD-335 who did not have

MND s/ere recorded and the records examined to try and determine

the reason for the error. The SMNDR was also used to identify

all patients diagnosed as definite MND and first discharged from

hospital in 1989 and 1990 who did not appear in the sHIPS'

r_00

Chapter 4

l{ortalitY data retrieval

A list of all deaths older than L5 years, coded as ICD 335

in position 1 or 2 on the death certificate, Itas retrieved by the

Registrar General I s Office for Scotland approxinately 1 year

after the end of the year of interest (see chapter 3) ' This

information enabled the retrieval of General Practice records'

which contain a copy of aII hospital correspondence, through the

relevant Health Board. This information liras treated along the

same lines as that derived from SHIPS (see above), SMNDR records

were searched to deternine the false negative rate of retrieval

for rnortality statistics.

RESULTg

ttorbidity data

A summary of the SHIPS data in relation to the SMNDR is

displayed in table 4-2. Of a total of 379 patients older than 15

years discharged for the first time in 1989-90, LAL hlere already

registered with SMNDR and 27 were known to be prevalent from

other sources, Ieaving 2LL for whom hospital records were re-

viewed for diagnostic details. LLz did not have MND, ie the

false positive rate was 303. 52 MND patients included on the

SMNDR (232 of incident cases) did not appear on SHIPS in the two

years examined. SHIPS overestirnated the incidence of MND by a

factor of L.6. Table 4-3 displays the utility of SHIPS in terms

of sensitivity (84?) and positive predictive value (7Ot) of a

diagnosis of MND as determined by ICD 335. If it is assumed that

alI patients discharged from hospitals in Scotland who did not

have MND were not coded as IcD-335 then, given this very large

true negative rate, dD hypothetical specificity would be close

Lo1

Chapter 4

to 1OO?.

Table 4-4 gives the diagnosis in the LL2 patients miscoded

as MND. The largest group were patients with a pseudobulbar palsy

due to cerebrovascular disease (38t). In 18t the coding accura-

tely reflected the medical summary but the diagnosis was incor-

rect, either because of a failure to meet standard criteria for

diagnosis, or because a rrprobablerr or rrpossiblerr diagnosis of MND

was disproven at follow up. L2* of miscoding appeared to be due

to a transcription error, dS no possible Source of confusion for

IcD 335 could be determined from the records'

trtortality data

Summary statistics relating the death certificates coded as

ICD 335 in relation to the SMNDR are displayed in table 4-5'

27 l28L deaths, (1Ot) contained false positive errors giving a

positive predictive value for mortality returns of 908' Again,

niscoding of patients with pseudobulbar/bulbar palsy was the rnost

common source of error. 12 (44*l of these errors htere due to

misdiagnosis although coding stas correct, 15 (558) were due to

rniscoding of other conditions (Table 4-6)'

seven of 95 SMNDR patients who died with MND were not

retrieved by the Registrar General, giving a false negative rate

of 62. However, inspection of these returns revealed that MND

$ras recorded as a cause of death in 3 cases, So presumably there

was a transcription error at some point in retrieval. As the

death rate of patients on the SMNDR wiII continue to rise, 8t

Ieast until LggL-z, when a steady state of rnortality will re-

flect incidence more closely, it is not possible to calculate

the sensitivity of a death certified as MND'

LO2

Chapter 4

DISCUSSION

l,torbidity data

This audit demonstrates that SHIPS is inaccurate. 308 of

patients coded with ICD 335 did not have MND and therefore these

data cannot, in their crude form, be used as a reliable guide to

the incidence of MND in Scotland which would have overestimated

the rate for 1989-90 by a factor of 1.6. This figure will faII

slightly if the same audit is repeated at a later date as the

number cases prevalent witn respect to the SMNDR wiII be less

however the problem of false positive coding will persist unless

measures are taken to correct its cause. 49 of 229 (2L*) of

incident patients were identified by SHIPS as the first source

of referral for the SMNDR and therefore this resource was neces-

sary to accurately deternine the incidence of MND in Scotland.

There are three major reasons for these errors. Firstly,

while the importance of accurate codinq may be appreciated by

many doctors, this task seems to receive a low priority. AI-

though medical staff make the diagnosis, they do not take

primary responsibility for the supervision of diagnostic coding,

which is delegated to clerical staff who may not be able to

interpret adequately the nuances of anbiguous nedical termino-

Iogy. In some cases records staff are left extracting informa-

tion from poorly worded letters rather than specifically listed

discharge diagnoses and hence take nedical conditions out of

context eg for rrpseudobulbar palsy due to cerebrovascular dis-

easerr some patients were assigned to the $tronq ICD or to both

ICD-335.2 and 437.9.

Secondly, the ICD classification does not allow practitio-

ners to indicate whether a diagnosis is firrnly established'

103

Chapter 4

requiring further infornation, or largely speculative' This is

in contrast to clinical practice lirhere revision is often re-

quired and the passage of tirne clarifies a diagnostic problen

(for example the differential diagnosis of spondylotic cervical

myelopathy and MND). It is this flaw, when the diagnosis did not

meet generally accepted minimal criteria for probable or definite

m{D266 (Chapter 3), which accounted for 18t of the diagnostic

inaccuracY (Table 4-4).

Finally, some of the errors arose because coding with the

ICD-9 can be ambiguous, for example the alphabetical listing

directs rbulbar (progressive) (chronic) tt and rrbulbar-pseudo (not

elsewhereclassified)||tolcD.335.2,whichrnaybeinappropriate.Although the accuracy of a general sample of mo'bidity

informagiorr26T and for a nurnber of other specific diseases in

ScotIand26S-27 L has previously been examined, and

while many epidemiological studies of MND have collected hospi-

tal discharge data as part of a case finding

exercise9L,92,94,95, some of whom have cornmented on their

inaccuracY95, none have forrnally evaluated their utility for

this disease. Neither have previous studies been able to compare

accuracy with a more or less independent case finding rnethod such

as the SMNDR.

The results indicate that more diligent efforts to ensure

correct coding are required. The nature and uses of SHIPS should

be made clear to the medical staff responsible for discharge

documents. Doctors should be encouraged to use clear and unam-

biguous terminology, preferably within a standardised discharge

format. Guidelines issued to area medical committees in 1990

have emphasised that a senior member of the clinical tearn should

l-04

Chapter 4

be responsible for .;od,ingz12. Regular audit of case records

is irnportant in this regard and quality assurance within the

Information and Statistics Division has noht been established

whereby experienced staff wilt blindly recode a randon sample of

SMR records to quantitate the accuracy of existing coding' As a

result of this review sources of error will be discussed with

coding staff and the SMNDR will continue to rnonitor SHIPS returns

to see if accuracy imProves.

Mortality data

Interpretation of variations in tirne and place which night

be used to generate aetiological hypotheses depends on an under-

standing of the accuracy of the data on which such comparisons

are based. In this study, mortality data were much more accurate

than sHIPsr 6s rnight be predicted. However, some of the problems

relating to discharge data also apply to death certificate co-

ding, in particular the miscoding due to other neurological

conditions, rnainly bulbar palsy of various causes, in turn due to

the difficulties with the ICD coding system.

Whether the incidence of MND can be studied adequately with

mortality data alone is controversialTS (see Chapter 2l '

Other studies of the accuracy of mortality data have shown that

70-90* of patients diagnosed with MND have this condition recor-

ded on their death certif icat e72 '-13 'L24 tL25. In Scotland

mortality data also have a low false negative rate. OnIy one

other study frorn Japan has examined the false positive rate of

death certificate coding (in 1965); an extensive attenpt to

verify the diagnosis frorn other sources showed that aS many as

one third of men were coded as dying of MND without having the

105

Chapter 4

disease, but the accuracy htas better for ton1"rr72' SMNDR

mortality statistics were much more accurate than this'

These findings have important implications for epideniolo-

gists interpreting trends in MND frequency. There is evidence

from a number of countries that the mortality from MND has in-

creased stead i 1y over the past 3 0

years73,75-77,79,82 and this is also the case in

Scotlandz73. This increase may be real, rather than due to

ascertainment bias or inproved diagnostic skills, but it would be

helpful to confirm this with other sources, e9 incidence data'

Frorn this analysis, it can be inferred that changes in the

ICD coding system, or alterations in coding practice, are likely

to have an effect on both morbidity and rnortality rates which

could be mistaken for a real variation in disease incidence'

Whether these results are applicable to other countries is

uncertain but the anomalies in ICD-9 will apply ever)rwhere.

L06

Iable l-1: International Classification of Disases-9(1979); 335, anterior lorn oell disorders.

335.0 ler&ig[offrann disease

Infurtile spinal nscular atroPbY

335.1 Siml tlsatlar atroPhY

Kugelberg{elander

Adult spinal ruscular atrophY

335.2 llotor leuron Disse

Aryotrophic lateral sclerosis

llotor neuron disease (bufbar) (dxed type)

Progressive nrscular atrophy (pure)

335.8 Other

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sDom is based on reiien of redical recorG atd deat! certificates.

1. hfbar or pseudobulbar palsy due to cerebrovascrrlar disease,

rultiple silerosis or rrnspcified (non-progressive)

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11

5

2

I

8

LL2

CITAPTER 5

A CA8E-CONTROIJ 8TUDY TO EXAITINE PRIOR EYPOTEESES CONCERNINC AEE

POSSIBI,E ROI,E OF CERTAIN EM/IRONT{ENTAI, FACTORS ANTECEDENtr IIO TEE

DEVEITOPUENT OF IiOTOR NEURON DISEASE.

113

Chapter 5

INTRODUCTION

" To restore the human subject at the centte thesuttering, affTicted, tighting, human subject - we mustdeepen ^- cate history to a narrative or taTe; onTy thendo ie have a ttwhl,' as we77 as a ttwhatt', a real petsan,i patient in relation to disease in relation to thephysical."

oliver sacks274

One framework for research into the aetiology of MND, is to

consider the potential interaction of ageing with environmental

factors which might be ternporally remote from the onset of

clinical disease275. Support for this hypothesis is derived

from the study of the Western Pacific forms of MND276, the low

concordance observed in twin studies277, and reports of MND

or MND-tike diseases in relation to a variety of exogenous tox-

ins2 L8,22O,22L '226,278 . Case-control studies have also

suggested that a number of environmental factors may be of

potential importance in increasinq risk for subsequent MND (see

table 5-1). This case-control study hras planned to examine the

following hypotheses relating to 'controversial issues:

1. Preceding trauma

,,... trauma-and particulatTy najor trauma to the limbs,is in fact a risk factor for anyottophic Tatetal scler-osis...it seerns a lead worth puVsuing in this othentisehopeTess disorder"

J.F.Kurtzke46

This statement is based on evidence from the close temporal

relationship of physical trauma to the development of MND in

nunerous anecdotal case reports2T9-286, in uncontrolled series of

patients published as recently as LggL43 and evidence from case-

114

Chapter 5

control studies, some of which have suggested a possible link

between blunt trauma, electric shock, surgical procedures or hard

physical labour/manual worklo1 '287-292 (Table 5-1). The interpre-

tation of fiany studies is Iirnited by rnethodological problems

which risk introducing important sources of bias, particularly

when pat,ients are a selected 9roup290'29L, orr as is often the

case, the investigators cannot avoid the recall bias inherent in

asking patients who have a vested interest in explaining their

disease. Furthermore, case-control studies based on a diagnosis

included on death certificates may result in associations which

are the consequence of the disease itself e9 superficial

injury78. The potential relationship of MND hrith trauma is

important, not only for aetiological considerations, but for

medico-legal proceedings. Therefore, this case-control study

sought to further examine this putative association.

2. Occupation, environmental toxins and xenobiotics

Exposure to single large doses of a neurotoxic substance, or

more prolonged cumulative exposure to low doses, could produce

motor neuron ceII loss. Occupational groups rnight provide clues

to such possible environmental risks; for example, it has been

suggested that 11 138I eather'J t L'

, textiIel39,

agricultural91,LL2,293 and manual workers292 may be at in-

creased risk. occupational exposure to a variety of minerals and

metals is also a potential mechanism of neuronal

attritio,,22O, 223, 294 .

Willians et dl, observed a patient who developed MND fol-

Iowing intoxication by the insecticide pyrethr,,t2 2 7 ' 228 ,

which is metabolised quickly to safer substances in rnammals but

115

Chapter 5

not insects, whom it paralyses and kills. This observation

suggests that some toxic substances may have the capacity toproduce MND directly or, that a genetically deternined biocheni-

cal aberration, conbined with the rrwrongrr environmental factors

might predispose to the development of disease (ecogenetic/xeno-

biotic hypothesis2gs). Patients with MND nay have a defect of

sulphur oxidation and rnethylation which results in a high

cysteine to sulphate ratio296 '297 . Therefore, an individualwith poor S-oxidation capacity on a genetic basis who acquires a

second insult, for example by the consumption of large anounts of

sulphur containing cornpounds (eg the brassicae group of veget-

ables) rnight then be prone to develop t*ttlo295.

Accordingly information was sought about all occupationsl

the subjectrs perceived toxic environmental exposure; the con-

surnption of brassicae (cabbage, cauliflower or brussel sprouts)

and an interest in the cultivation of vegetables.

3.Socia1 class and the environnent in childhood

The risk for MND could be related to factors associated with

socio-economic deprivation, or affluence. Measurement of social

class is fraught with difficulty, particularly for women employed

in the home. To avoid some of these difficulties, Carstairs has

devised a measure of socio-economic deprivation in Scot1and293

using information available from the last (1981) census which

allocates a numerical score to individual postcode sectors (which

contain an average of 6000 persons). Using the z-score technique

to give a single score, the percentage values are combined for

each postcode sector based on the four variables of car owner-

ship, degree of overcrowding, unemployment and social class. The

scores are distributed into seven categories within 0.3, 0.8, 1.5

116

Chapter 5

and >1.5 standard deviations (sd) either side of the mean

(+0.3sd to -0.3sd as the niddre category). one important advant-

age of this rnethod is that it can be applied to males and fe-males, regardless of occupation, whether working or not. When

standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) based on this scale are

calculated, a number of common causes of death (eg cancer of the

Iung) show a highly significant trend (Fig 5-1a), with higherratios from deprived areas.

In contrast fig 5-1b also shows the SMRs based on the 533

deaths from MND (ICD 335), in Scotland 1980-85, male and female.

This demonstrates the reverse trend, that is, higher SMRs inindividuals who live in areas of greater affluence. Confidence

Iirnits overlap with unity, and the Chi squared value for the

Poisson regression is 2.2L (ns) , but the graph does follow a

rrdose responsett relationship. Because of concern about accurate

diagnosis of the cause of death in the elderly, particularly fora rare neurological disease, the total group has been dividedinto those aged 20-74 years (fig 5-Lc) and aged >'75 years (fig5-1d). It is then apparent that elderly people largely account

for the overall trend in SMR with the Chi squared for the regres-

sion being 3.2 (p

may reflect a failure to diagnose MND in elderly patients from

deprived areas which probably are not so well supplied withrnedical services as affluent areas. Alternatively, if environ-

mental factors associated with affluence do predispose to MND,

the reason for the difference in the two age groups may be thatthe elderly have benefited less than younger people from impro-

vements in the standard of living since the second world war.

This observation argues strongly against factors associated with

LL7

Chapter 5

deprivation increasing the risk for subsequent MND but this issue

can also be addressed by the case control study'

A related question is the is;sue of the childhood environ-

ment and the risk of infection, particularly with poliovirus'

Although late deterioration after polionyelitis is weII recog-

nisedl46'2O8-2LL'299, the rnajority of case-control studies which

have examined the frequency of preceding poliomyelitis in pa-

tients or fanily do not support a causal association2SS-2go'

AIso the vast rnajority of patients with MND cannot recall an

episode of polionyelitis. The hypothesis Iinking the two dis-

eases, expounded by Uartyn74, hinges on the concept that a sub-

clinical infection depletes motor neurons and renders the indi-

vidual susceptible to age related neuronal depletion, or a second

insult. Unfortunately past exposure to polionyelitis cannot be

distinguished serologically from antibody due to immunisation,

introduced in the earlY 195Ors.

In an attempt to look for indirect evidence of a link be-

tween the two diseases Martyn noted a specific positive correla-

tion of MND nortality 1968-1978 with'poliomyelitis notification

rates 1931-39 in England and Wales; poliomyelitis did not corre-

Iate with other leading causes of death144. In addition, the

suggestion has been rnade that the rising rate of poliornyelitis

during the early decades of this century accounts for the present

increasing trend in MND rnortality. Population based epidemiolo-

gical investigations in the 195O's identified the major determi-

nants of Seroconversion as absence of domestic amenities, domes-

tic overcrowding and large sibship size3OO'301. With impro-

vements in hygiene the proportion of children who escaped infec-

tion in the relatively rrsaferr period (fron a clinical disease

l-18

Chapter 5

point of view) increased and paralytic poliornyelitis becane a

disease of areas well supplied in terms of standard of

housingT4.

Two possible predictions with respect to patients with MND

can be made iro. this information: either, (1) If conditions are

of a high standard of hygiene in childhood then later exposure

to poliovirus rnight result in greater, albeit subclinical' ner-

vous system damage because of greater vulnerability of motor

neurons at this age and therefore childhood affluence should

correlate with risk of UHO74, ds suggested by the recent observa-

tion in Scotland described above302, or (2) If childhood was

spent in circumstances of poor donestic hygiene then the nurnber

of individuals exposed to poliovirus infection would be greater

and thereby increase subsequent risk of MND, if the two are

related144.

Therefore this case control study design sought to seek any

difference in the childhood environment with respect to standard

of housing, domestic arnenities, overcrowding and social class of

the patientrs father

IIETHODS

Throughout, r|case|| or l|patient|l refers to a person affected

with MND, rrcontrolrr refers to an unaffected person and ttsubjectrl

refers to either case or control.

Patients

Incident patients in Scotland with MND vtere identified from

the Scottish Motor Neuron Disease Register (SMNDR) (Chapter 3) '

L1-9

Chapter 5

The nethod of identification of the 103 patients included in the

case-control study is described in table 5-2. Onty patient,s with

a nixture of upper and lower motor neuron signs vtere included

(SMNDR classification = ALS; ALS/PBP; PBP/ALS). In each case the

permission of the consultant neurologist or physician concerned

and the patient I s GP was sought before inclusion in the

study.

Controls

After discussion of the nature of the study with each pa-

tient t s Gp, an age and sex matched comrnunity control vtas identi-

fied from the practice age and sex reqister, usually computer-

ised, ds the person with the date of birth nearest to that of the

patient. In this way selection bias in obtaining controls was

avoided as the GPrs age and sex register constitutes a conplete

list of patients registered with a given practice (ie no records

are rnissing because the patient is unwell). One control was

identified for each patient. In two instances, after repeated

attempts, the first control could tt:t be located and then the

next subject in the age and sex register hras approached. One

control refused to cooperate and in this instance the GP also

declined further help, so a neighbouring practice assisted. The

only potential reasons for exclusion of a control was dementia

or psychological disturbance of such an extent to prevent ade-

quate cooperation with a questionnaire; in fact, in no instance

did this happen.

Data collection

I visited the case and then the corresponding control,

atl regions of Scotland, in their respective homes, usually

in

on

L20

Chapter 5

the same day, after arrangements had been made in advance of the

visit. For patients, details of the history and clinical fea-

tures as obtained by the SMNDR htere verified and updated if

discrepancies existed. A neurological examination was perforrned

particularly to confirm the distribution of physical signs,

which may have changed since registration with the SMNDR' Very

particular care was taken in the establishment of dates of symp-

torn onset. case and control were treated in an identical fashion

as far as the quest,ions pertaining to antecedent factors were

concerned. An equivaient date was assigned to controls corre-

sponding to the onset of symptoms due to MND in the patients and

only events prior to this date were recorded. Some prior indica-

tion of the nature of the questions was given in advance of the

visit and information was collected by standardised question-

naire. The spouse of the case was invited to contribute to the

answers and then, whenever possible the controlrs Spouse was

also used for help in ascertaining an accurate response' If no

Spouse was available for the case then the controlrs spouse htas

also excluded

The standardised questionnaire (Appendix D) recorded the

dates, anatomical location and nature of a77 trauma tequiting

medical consultation, including fracturesl blunt trauma; opera-

t,ions requiring a general anaesthetic; and any electric shocks

resulting in loss of consciousness, injury or post shock residual

syrnptoms. Trauma which rnay have been associated with the onset

of weakness was excluded by taking the history of the illness at

the outset of the patientrs interview. If the subject reported a

fracture or injury near the tine of the patientrs sympton onset

and there was any question of a weak limb predisposing to a

T2L

Chapter 5

fracture eg a foot drop resulting in upper lirnb fracture, then

the trauma hras excluded from analysis. FoIlowing the interviews

aII the GP practice records, which included reports fron accident

and emergency departments and results of x-rays, for the case and

control, lrere scrutinised to ascertain any injuries or operations

requiring medical consultation which may have been ornitted during

the subjectrs interview. Systematic GP records began with the

introduction of the National Health Service around 1948 and are

transferred to the nevr cP when a patient moves to a different

area and so represent a valuable source of unbiased information

prior to the development of MND. In one pair access to the notes

was denied by the cP but information regarding trauma was provi-

ded in letter form. In this way an account was obtained of the

subjectsr recaII of traumatic events (fractures, blunt trauma

requiring rnedical consultation and operations) i trauma according

to the GP records and this information could be analysed

separately or on the basis of best information frorn both sources.

A detailed Iifetirne employment history lvas obtained and

classified according to the Office .of Population and Censuses

and Surveys (OPCS) 303. Details of toxic exposures (solvents,

lead, minerals and ores) with regular contact over a period of

L2 months or more hrere recorded. Structured questions about

cigarette snoking and a history of atherosclerotic disease were

also included.

A lifetine residential history was recorded of residences

of more than 2 yearrs duration (limited to a maximum of the six

of greatest duration if there were more than this number but

always including residential details for the first 10 years of

childhood). For each residence information was collected on its

L22

Chapter 5

rocation whether urban (city or town), or rurar (village or

isolated house); the availability of domestic amenities (a

garden, separate bathroom with a fixed bath, running hot water,

and flush Iavatory); and residence size, (nurnber of occupants

per room and Per bedroom).

Data were entered, ds they were collected, intO a microcom-

puter using dbase IV (Borland Inc. ), for subsequent analysis by

The Statisticat Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS-X and SPSS-

pc) using chi square for categorical data and rank test for

continuous data. Confidence intervals lfere calculated using a

computerised analysis programme, applying a matched case control

rnethodl2 6 '252 .

REgUL,Tg

Patient Characteristics

The age and sex distribution of the patient group were

representative of the total population of incident patients with

MND, 1989-90. There were 51 males (mean age 63.4, range 35-85

years) and 42 females (mean age 67.L' range 28-86 years). HoW-

ever, not surprisingly, the mean survival from symptorn onset of

patients who died before I could include them, $/as shorter than

the 49 patients involved in the case-control study who had died

by January lst Lgg2, with a difference in the means of 6'4 months

(958 CI -O.L-Lz.gr. AII patients had a mixture of upper and

lower motor neuron signs in the tirnbs i 7L (692) also had a bul-

bar/pseudobulbar palsy (ALS /PBP; PBP;ALS), the remainder had

multilevel spinal disease without bulbar signs (ALS) ' The age of

controls was identical to that of patients, a result of the

matching Process.

L23

Chapter 5

l.Trauma

Tables 5-3a shows the total number of fractures by case or

control and sex. There was no significant difference in the

distribution of fracture frequency by case or control for men or

the total group, although the Chi square for females ltas just

significant (pcO.05). With matched case-control analysis there

was an overall non-significant excess of fractures in patients

(table 5-3b) and a significant excess of fractures (with a very

wide confidence interval) occurring within the prior five years

before symptorn onset, this remained significant when only those

fractures docurnented by the GPrs records hrere included (table

5- 3c) . Table 5-3d shows the details of patients' fractures

within 5 years of synpton onset. For the 4 patients with frac-

tures within one month of symptom onset lirnb weakness could not

have been responsible for the fracture, after this the increas-

ing intervar between fracture and slrmpton onset makes error even

Iess like1y. Figure 5-2 shows the distribution of fractures in

case and control by interval before first MND symptoms (or equi-

valent in control) and figure 5-3 the'odds ratios for a fracture

at variable intervals before symptom onset.

There was no significant difference in the number of non-

bony traumatic events requiring rnedical attention, nurnber of

operations, electric shocks or blood transfusions (Tables 5-4 to

5-71. There was no correlation between the site of fracture or

injury and the anatomical area in which the weakness began'

Patients were as good as controls (kappa:o.8) in recalling the

true number of events when GP records were conbined with sub-

jectrs recall and analysis of the results based on the patientsl

account only produced no further positive associations'

L24

Chapter 5

2. Occupation, environmental toxins and xenobiotics

No single occupational group was significantly over repre-

sented, although the numbers in each of the L6 categories defined

by the oPcs were small. The highest odds ratio (oR) of 3.0 (95t

CI, 0.5-30) vJas in unskilled and labouring occupations. OveraII

and for men, patients were significantly more likely to have

engaged in manual work than controls (table 5-8)'

There was an excess of patients who perceived they had been

exposed to some agents of potential toxicity (Table 5-9a) with an

odds ratio for lead exposure of 5.3 (958 CI, 1.5-11.0). Table 5-

9b details the nature of lead exposure in cases.

No difference was found in the number of tirnes per week that

patients ate members of the brassicae or in the frequency with

which they undertook vegetable gardening.

3.s0cial class and the environment in childbood

There was a non-significant trencl for patients to have had

no hot water or a fitted bath (Table 5-10). However, this htas

not supported by any difference in the availability of a flush

toilet; home space, ds judged by the presence of a garden or the

number of individuals per room in the house or rural versus

urban living. No patients gave a history of paralytic poliornyel+-

tis although 4 patients and 6 controls had contact with a fanily

member with polionyelitis (OR 0.7; O.L-2.8). The frequency of the

common chitdhood infections was the same in patient and control

groups. The social class of patientsr and the patientsr fathers

social class did not differ from that of controls. There were no

associations with pet ownership, vascular disease, hypertension

or tobacco use.

L25

Chapter 5

DISCUSsION

Sources of bias

The case-control method as a technique for establishing

aetiology is relatively weak, subject to many potential sources

of bias, rarely proves cause and effect, and rather than explain

alr cases, sirnpry identifies risk factors304-306'

In this study clinical homogeneity was achieved with prede-

termined specific diagnostic criteria for inclusion, ie a mixture

of nultilevel spinal involvement with or without bulbar palsy'

selection bias vras rninimised by using incident, rather than

prevalent, population based patients. Despite attempts to in-

clude aII incident patients in a given time period and achieving

a representative group in terms of demographic variables, there

was a non significant trend towards longer survival in those

included in the case-control study. There were practical diffi-

culties in timing appropriately involvement of patients at a

stage when the diagnosis was secure but distress was not caused

by approaching moribund patients. However, it seems unlikely that

factors associated with a Ionger survival are systematically

related to the issues examined.

Reca77 bias is a major source of systenatic case-control

study bias. This was reduced by not giving specific information

to subjects about the hypothesis under examination and, in addi-

tion, ds far as trauma htas concerned, I htas able to verify

events by the use of General Practice records. These are un-

biased for the knowledge of subsequent developrnent of MND, and

are a complete nedical history, dt least for events after L948

when the National Health Service was introduced. Recall bias did

L26

Chapter 5

not, however, appear to be influencing the account of injuries

obtained from patientsr as aII subjects, whether case or control,

approximated the true trauma rate (ie best information combining

both sources) equally weII, and when the results were analysed on

the basis of subject recall only, ro false positive associations

were made.

Unlike trauma, where this could be checked, recall bias may

have been contributing to the findings related to environmental

toxinsr ds there sras no reliable way of verification of this

information by independent means. On the other hand, the pro-

blem of over-matching rnay be spuriously nasking an association

between occupational related factors and MND dSr for example,

certain large employers in small towns engaged both patient and

control t ot a rural residence for the patient (and thereby a

Iikely association with agricultural occupation) was also likely

to apply to the control. However, overmatching wiII not have

resulted in spurious fatse-positive associations. Controls

were identified in an unbiased fashion from the comrnunity in

which the patients lived, .

Non-res pondent bias, for example that resulting from a

mailed questionnaire29L'3O7, was avoided by rny personal approach

as was membership bias by not identifying cases prirnarily from

charitable bodies (in Scotland, The Scottish MND Association) as

in some studies29o '3o7 .

Exposure suspicion (interviewer) bias hras possible but a

standardised questionnaire hras used; pre-specified hypotheses

were tested, every effort was taken to avoid eliciting a biased

account from patients and results were analysed after data

By only recording events beforecollection were comPlete.

L27

Chapter 5

symptom onset any associations ltere more Iikely to represent

prinary rather than secondary phenomena'

Any study has constraints in terms of tine and resources.

Wrong sample bias may have resulted from the numbers it was

possible to include (103 cases matched one to one), thereby

reducing statistical pohter of the analysis, particularly when

some factors are observed in only a few individuals.

FinaIIy, jnsensjtive measure bias may be operating if the

questions asked are not a good reflection of the putative expo-

sure or mechanism under examination. Taking a dietary history to

estimate the ingestion of sulphur containing compounds is a very

crude guide to this and questions about the absence domestic

amenities may be too indirect to neasure risk of enteroviral

infection.

Discussion of risk factors

1. Trauma

This study lends some further support to the cumulative

evidence which clairns an association of physical trauma' particu-

larly fractures, with MND. An overall non-significant trend was

mainly due to the much higher fracture rate in the five years

before synptorn onset. However, these findings are not supported

by any relationship of MND to non-fracture or operative trauma.

One of the Largest case-control studieszSS ' in two parts,

identified patients from (i) death certificates (with inforrnation

fron the spouse) and (ii) cases known to the ALS research group

(selected collaborating neurologists) versus a mixture of hospi-

tal and neighbourhood controls. This study was vulnerable to

selection bias, recall bias, and potential non-standardised data

L28

Chapter 5

collection. However, the two different methodological approa-

ches of this study were consistent in their conclusion, that

mechanical injuries were two to three tines more frequent in both

sexes heralding MND. A further study claiming a relationship of

MND to trauma was lirnited to males, cases were ascertained from

death certificates and used rnilitary records collected prior to

the development of MND as the source of information on trauma'

thereby avoided the major problem of recall bias' Lifetime

operations, injuries and fractures were more than twice as comnon

in ""="=287. A recent study which made a concerted effort to

achieve patient homogeneity, used a selection of control groups'

tested specific hypotheses and attenpted to minimise recall bias'

failed to dernonstrate any such relationsnip3oS'

when considering the cause of, or associations with, dis-

ease, the judgnent of the relevence of any association should be

based on a nurnber of factors3o9. Case-control studies are gener-

ally less persuasive than cohort studjes but follow up of a

group of patients with fractures to the development of MND would

require such enormous numbers and such a long tirne and as to make

it irnpracticable. How specific is the association? Trauma has a

potential role in parkinsonts disease3lo, Alzheinerrs disease3ll

and dystonia3l2 and so this may weaken the argument with respect

to MND. However, the association of MND and trauma is consis-

tent- almost aII comparisons of this relationship in MND have

been positive, whether or not statistically significant6g (table

s-1). was the association hypothesis testing or is it hypoth-

esjs generating? In this case-control study I ventured to test

prespecified nu1I hypotheses (the najor issues outlined above) '

Given the number of questions, however, some ttsignificantrr asso-

L29

Chapter 5

ciations could have occurred by chance (1 in 20 at the p:0'05

Ievel). There does not appear to be a clear bioTogical plaus-

ibiTity, unless tissue damage in sone way influences motor neuron

functi-on, perhaps mediated by trophic factors. It has not been

possible to demonstrate a dose-r€sprf,fl5;s relationship (eg in those

patients with fractures, that MND developed earlier); the asso-

ciation is not strong (ie not a common ocurrence in patients); on

the other hand, it could be argu.ed that there is a temporaT

relationship, of fractures with MND (clustered in the years

before syrnPtom onset) .

2. Occupation, environmental toxins and xenobiotics

AII the potential environmental toxins for which inforrna-

tj,on was sought resulted in an OR of more than 1'0 and 95t CIs

did not overlap with unity for exposure to lead and

solvent/chemicals (ie significant at p<0.05 level) ' Cornbining

aII the factors increased the statistical power of an association

between environmental toxins and MND, in a non-specific vtay

(Table 5-9a). However, this result must be interpreted with

great caution as there was no $'ay to avoid recall bias (see

above).

The major nervous systen effects of lead intoxication are

encephalopathy and motor neuropattry. The descriptions of selec-

tive motor involvement and amyotrophy date from Aran2l but

upper rnotor neuron signs have also been described in patients

with lead poisoning3ll. Lead is widespread in the environment'

with large increases in deposits (for example in quiescent

Greenland ice caps) which correspond to the onset of industriali-

sation in the mid eighteenth century and have accelerated since

Univorsity of A';:rl:!rrd l.:] : :Fl-i :, :.,''.i I 'ii;- | a,'

$Cl''l{:'i-i,t t}ir tr,'"1 }ii)'1,FAru(if t.-&,i'j,!Ci(U.*-*.,L,,

130

Chapter 5

the use of leaded petrol2l9. Individuals are likely to have

quite variable exposures314, for example due to occupation or

dietary habits315. The evidence for an association of lead and

!IND2L8,ztr -9.U the possibility of interactions of lead and other

minerals in MND is controversial294 '3L6'3L7 . A role for lead has

been suggested based on findings of increased levels in spinal

cord, muscle, plasma or CSF in patients with l{ND318-321. How-

ever these measurements are likely to be a crude reflection of

the direct motor neuron exposure. other case control studies

have also suggested that lead exposure may be important in the

aetiology of MND322 t323 (table 5-1) with the most recent study

frorn the Mayo grorrp3oS reporting a significant exposure in men,

OR= 5.5 (958 CI, L.44-21.0).

Some solvents are neurotoxic, usually producing a peri-

pheral neuropathy, toxic encephalopathy324 or extrapyramidal

syndrome226. The case reports of MND associated with insecti-

cide u=e227 '228 and a possible association with tolulene

use in Sweden325 and with textiIel39 and Ieather

workersl3S make it conceivable that occupational exposures are

important in increasing the risk for MND. There is no support

from this study to suggest that the consumption of brassicae is

greater in MND patients than controls295 '

3. 80cia1 class and the environnent in childhood

No correlation was found with highest social class of the

patient or the patientrs father. An occupational history which

included manual work had an OR = 2.6 (958 CI, 1.1-6'3)' thus

there is no further support, from this study, fot the possible

correlation of MND mortality with affluence302 '

131

Chapter 5

Although some factors related to socio-econornic deprivation

in early childhood (the absence of hot water or a bath) showed a

trend towards patients being relativety deprived, the evidence

based on this study is weak and does not favour a role of factors

related to deprivation, particularly communicable diseases,

including poliornyelitisr ds playing a part in the aetiology of

MND. These findings are consistent with others who have also

failed to show any relationship to home =p.""288, or polionrye-

litis288-29O '326.

It has been suggested that MND rnay not have a single etio-

logy, but rather, a vulnerable motor neuron cell population is

depleted by a variety of environmental or other factors acting

with age to produce MND as the final common pathway3oS'327 '

The finding that some factors examined in this study have a

Iinited association with MND favours the hypothesis that the

aetiolgy of MND is rnultifactorial and that the environment may be

important in increasing an individualrs risk for the subsequent

development of MND.

L32

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Iable 5-2: Patients inchded in ttre case oontrol sttdy

Patients registered nitl tXe S|IXDR nitl diaEosisdate lhy 1990-0ctober 1991 inclrsive

Died before inclrsion Pssible

Diagosis ipssiblei llltD

Farilial

Penission for inteniiel refused by

Consultant

General Practitioner

Relative

Did not spalr Brylish

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Seen rit! age and ser ratded oontrols

180

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Iable 5-3b: [atc1ed case-control analysis, all subjects lifetire history of fractue,yes or m (r). nnbers in parentnesis are based on GP records only **

Case and control

Case only

Control only

lleither

lhle

2L

11

15

1{

Ierale

5

L7

6

14

rlI

26 (r2l

28 (261

2L (2Ll

28 ({{)

Odds ratio (CI) 0.7(0.3-1.7) 2.S(1.1-8.8) 1.3 (0.7-2.s)

* Based on best infonation corbining patient,s recall and GP recorG.** pre lg{8/chilrtbood fractures nhich are not recorded in GP notes account for ttredifferences ritb tnre rate. 0R for only GP recorded fractures = L,2 (0.7-2,31

lable 5-3c: XatcDed casffitrol analysis of fractures rithin five years of syrytol omet.

nders in parentlesis are based on @ recods only

Case and control

Case only

Control only

lleitXer

llale

0

7

0

5{

toale'

0

8

I

33

lotal

0 (0)

15 (1lr)

I (1)

87 (88)

Odds ratio o (1.87 - o)

rFracture occurred overseas

0dds ratio based on GP records only = 11 (2'1-506)

8 (1.1-348) 15 (2.3-65{)

L37

Iable 5-3d: Iletails of patiots rittr lil) rbo srstained a fractue rit[in five years of syrytor onset

tge of hacture rechanisromet

69 reII (triP)

35 rell (drunk)

73 Assaulted

79 reII (?trip)

67 rett (?trip)

58 FelI fror roof

73 reII (trip)

{8 Road traffic accidmt

?l Uncertain

5s reII (triP)

27 tssaulted

72 rell (triP)

60 FeII fror roof

70 Road traffic accident

56 FeII fror roof

Practrre site

Bilateral Colles

Right CoIIes

hrltiple ribs,Rigbt rctacarpal

lfasal bones

Rigbt first retacarPal(corpund)

Right lateral ralleolus

Icft distal radius

Ieft Tibia and fibula

12tX tXoracic vertebra

Left Colles

llandible

teft CoIIs

3 ribs

Icft tibia and fibula*

Right tibia

Site of llID omet

Dysartiria

Riqbt band

Uysphagia

Dysartiria

Rigbt footdrop

teft band

Inft band

Right footdrop

Ri$t band

Dysartnria

Right footthop

Ieft leg

Right hand

night footlrop

Rigtt leg

Intewaluntil lltD

I ronti

I ronth

I ronttr

I rontl

3 rontis

6 ronttrs

10 rontis

11 rontls

25 rontis

30 rontis

3{ ronttrs

39 rontis

{8'rontb

50 rontXs

54 rontb

* All fractures above recorded in GP records, except tlis (occtrred overseas)

138

table 5-t: Distrihrtion of iniuries reqrriring dicaf attention, by case, control and nrnber of injuies'CoDines inforration bued on patient's recall and GP recorG.

nLber of iniuries

--j 0 1 2 3 | 5 7 8 lotal

Case272919910720103

Control 33 28 2L 13 6 I I 0 103

Chi sguare value 1.4, DF= 7 (ns)

rable 5-5: Distrihrtion of operations requiring gneraf anaetbetic, by case, control and nrnDer of operations.

&Sines inforration based ol patient's recall ard Gp reorG

nder of operations

0123158lotal

Case 15 35 20 19 5 5 0 103

Control 13 35 22 19 9 2 2 103

Chi sEnre value 5.7, DF= 7 (ns)

Iable 5-5: Blectric sbocfs (patient recall)

Ies Io

Case 8 95

Control { 99

Chi sErare l.{, DF=l (ns)

lable 5-7: Blood transfrsion (patient recalf)

Ies no lotal

11 92 103

15 88 103

Chi sErare 0.7, DF= I (ns)

L39

o"

Iro

6t

I@et

!t

.A

@

ooilIqI

rfl

CA

I@et

c)!t

H(.)J?|f)CA

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bgtsEc€55 ic, R ..' I

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rat6t

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etCA

I(tetct6l

lr!olo

e

H(J6Pratcn

o+)gqA<ta

ga9."r@!tR

isP...'

€>.8>..EEEEE$$E.E

table 5-gb: Details of 19 patients rit! tilD in sor lead erpoore ras reported over a perid of rore than 12 rontB'

Age Ser Details of lead erycure

65 [ale Plurber and labor[er. Jointing and relding of lead pipes.

17 llale labourer and driver. [andling lead in roof nork'

17 llale Drain layer and labotger. Reroving old lead pipes and fitting new'

55 tlale Electrician. Stripping and handting cables often rith lead.

59 llale Driver. Unloading and loading of lead cased containers and barrels'

50 llale Plruber. Reroving old lead pipes and fitting ner'

57 llale Roofer. ortting and fitting of roof flashing.

76 ltale Painter. Stripping and application of lead paints over several years.

{0 tlale Sbipni$t. fitting of lead sheeting in boats'

59 ltale thintenance engineer in a gas uorks. Jointing, uelding lead pipes'

62 tale Etestrician. [andling of lead cables.

55 lhle laDourer. Rooving of old lead pipes for ner'

65 llale Scrap retal dealer. [andlittg of sctap lead'

67 llale Roofer. ortting and fitting of lead flasbings'

60 llale tlecbanic. Soldering and bandling lead raterials, car fure erposure'

73 Ferale Fonn&y and retal rorker. florking riti lead Hterials.

56 lhle Glazier. Icad strip rrsed over rany years to supprt glass during fittittg'

75 llale lypesetter. Inad rat*ials.

63 llale flire rope raler. used rolten lead in galvanising shop.

llotes: Reported erposure in six controls of a sirilar nature to ttre above (see table 5-9a)'

L4L

@

I

ct

Cfr

e

t-

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|r|N

I

o

\rt

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',:? ':

Fact ctr rfl ctr ct={cit

6Eactt

2 S R R S

E>.8 >.E€-lF 6E,E(DQr+r+,sss E

o.L

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{J

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s-,

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+aC'oF.FIde4e+t6*IEEaJsct,Ao€€

C)

llcaagtoAo-=!

ao

$tlcaogIttRcl-=(,

TESRSTEFF

uuls

altC'roIIc

rof,ctclC)

o-=I

ro

t,ifc(\|(o

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6

toct6€(tt'.LoctfG)uo()trof6LCLoIt.ClItc6-o(,a.Eoo(EL

=.B ai- !t=arC'=LLncLxoxtt.tsllEF'6.jttcco63OEosFti tt.Z?

;jI

u)Etlr

o6|

o==

?PoctroY

9no9!

fi*

€*

fte

;€

fie

€3

roT

ci,ct(o!t

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I

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r//AW

olHootrogoolt6l-o=oEO -AHHh6EEs 9eg sF?Jps

?,tu 6E9 EE9 ;,T IF L

=- 6Ee sEgg!t.9oEE5c,:lF

E9-AE6Act6CD

lr

Fig 5-3: Odds ratio for a fracture occurring at variousintervals before the onset of MND symptoms

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0<5 <10 <15 40 <25 <30 <35 <& <45 >45

Interval (years)

.9(UEottIto

CIIAPTER 6

THE PROGNOSIS OF I{OTOR NEURON DISEASE

L46

Chapter 6

INTRODUCTION

,, Two years before [in 1953) I had been diagnosed assuffszring from ALS comnonly known as Lou Gehrig'salZ]it" "t motor neurone diiease and given to- under-stand that I onTy had one or two more yeats to live"',

Stephen W.Hawking, Lucasian profess^og of Mathenatics'Canbridge University, written in L988-"

There have been many retrospective studies of prognosis

in MND, usually in conjunction with incidence studies, and some

are population based. Two prospective studies are based on

patients referred to tertiary care facilities (table 6-1) ' De-

spite agreement on a generally poor prognosis for this disease

the conclusions of individual studies differ in a number of

inportant respects. Survival predictions can be hazardous, as

illustrated by the opening quote and several questions remain

unresolved or in doubt concerning the prognosis of MND:

(i) can reliable predictions of outcome be made based on

clinical features at presentation or during the course of the

illness? Reference is still made to the rrvariable outconerr of

this disease and while it is generally agreed that PMA has a

more benign "orrr="335 and that the presence of PBP is a poor

prognostic signloL,256,336,337, some studies have failed to

demonstrate any clear prognostic variables and estimates of

median survival, even for patients with a combination of upper

and lower motor neuron signs, vary frorn 48 months338 to L2

nonths256 from diagnosis (table 6-1).

(ii) Is old age a poor prognostic variable and is age an

independent risk factor, or does the increased frequency of PBP

in older patients account for the suggested poorer prognosis with

L47

Chapter 6

increasing ug.339? Some studies of selected patients255 '340

contradict the more widely held view that increasing age is a

poor prognostic factor.

(iii) Is their evidence for a subgroup of patients with MND

who have a prolonged survival? Estinates of 5 year survival vary

from 4-4O293 '34L and observations of rrresistancerr to progres-

sion for some patients have been made48.

Un1ike acute medical iLlness such as stroke, there are

difficulties in obtaining precise estimates of a time of onset

for a disease of insidious progression, while prognosis based on

date of diagnosis may vary with local practice. Predicting

outcome related to the clinical pattern of MND is also hindered

by a lack of internationally accepted diagnostic criteria, confu-

sion in terminology, or by too srnall numbers in some studies to

show any difference, should this exist88. These factors can

be improved by a prospective, population based study of weII

defined patients and aIlow reliable predictions based on present-

ing features and progress. There are no such studies to date

which fulfil aII these requirenents342 lcnapter 2l '

IIETHODs

Patients

This analysis of survival relates to all 229 patients inclu-

ded in chapter 3. Follow up was complete for a mean of 2 years

(range 1-3 years) . 57 patients (252) had been seen in person, as

part of the case control study, and 842 by a SMNDR collaborator'

At the tine of data censoring (January 1st L992) there had been

L44 deaths (72 rnales and 72 females) '

148

Chapter 6

statistical netbods

Data were collected and surnmarised using Dbase IV, a data-

base nanagement system for microcomputers (Borland Inc. ) for

subsequent analysis with The Statistical and Epideniological

Research Corporation (EGRET) package for survival analysis using

the Kaplan Meier techniq.r"343 arrd Coxrs proportional hazards

model. Calculations $tere based on day zero of follow up as

either (a) the date of onset or (b) the date when the diagnosis

had first been suggested as likely or probable. Patient groups

were analysed overall and according to d1e, sex, and clinical

subtypes as defined in Chapter 3.

Except for time zeto, the numbers at risk, included below

the survival curves (figures), for any given tine of follow (eg

I year, 1.5 years etc), are an approximate for that interval'

This is because the Kap1an-Meir statistic generates survival

intervals in fractions of years after each ttfailed[ individual.

Hence the quoted figures at risk represent the number at the

nearest tirne interval generated in the calculation before that

which I have plotted on the x axis and, at longer periods of

follow up, are over-estinates. For examPle, for survival by sex,

the number of nales at risk 4.8 years from synpton onset was 11

and at 5.2 years was 8. The number plotted corresponding to 5

years of follow up is 11.

L49

Chapter 6

REgULTg

FoIIow up was complete and survival curves are included at

the end of this chapter. The numbers at risk for any given tirne

of foltow up are included below the curves to further allow

comparisons of numbers on which individual curves are based (see

above). The numbers in each group at tirne zeto are also included

in table 3-8.

The overall 50? survival from onset was 2.5 years (95t Cf,

2.2-3.O years) and from diagnosis L.2 years (95t CI, 1.0-1.4).

There are no differences in the overall conclusions of survival

curve comparisons according to clinical and denographic vari-

ables whether curves are calculated from the time of onset or

from the tine of diagnosis.

There were significant differences in survival with poor

prognostic factors for: age (>55 years, P<o.oo1); gender (female

sex, pco.O1) and clinical pattern (PBP, P(O.OO1). PBP remained

a poor prognostic sign, whether considered as the presenting

feature (initial diagnosis PBP; PBP/ALS), or as a component of

the illness at any tirne (final diagnosis PBP; PBP/ALS; ALS/PBP) '

This conclusion is not altered by comparing patients htith PBP

with those $tith purely spinal disease (ALS) ie removing patients

nith PMA, who have an overall good prognosis (p<.005). cox|s

proportional hazards model showed that the difference in survival

between the sexes was accounted for by the greater proportion of

females with PBP, although age rernained a significant variable

(pco. os) .

Five year survival estimates can only be based on time from

s)rmpton onset at this stage of follow up. Overall 5 year survi-

L50

Chapter 6

val fron onset hras 27.7* but the small numbers at this tine of

follow up result in a large degree of uncertainty with 958 CI for

this estimate = 19.98-35.0*. Five year survival htas considerably

Iess for patients with PBP as the presenting feature (PBP;

PBP/ALS) = 3.5? (95? CI, O.O-15t) or for patients with PBP as a

component of the initial diagnosis (PBP; PBP/ALS; ALS/PBP) :

10.6? (95? Cr, 3.8*-21.48).

There were 15 patients on the SMNDR with survival for rnore

than five years from synptorn onset. Five had PMA subtype, 10 had

ALS as the initial diagnosis and in only two did PBP develop,

both in the few months before their death shortly after the

censoring date.

DISCUSgION

The interpretation of the figures relating to the clinical

subtypes is highly dependent on the way physical signs are used

in the classification of patients. In this study, preserved

reflexes in the presence of a corresponding wasted myotome were

used as evidence of UMN involvement and therefore such patients

were classified as having ALS included in their subtype (ALS;

ALS/PBP; PBP/ALS). In any event, there may be little pathologi-

cal basis for dividing sporadic MND into subgroups given the poor

correlation between clinical pattern and pathological distribu-

tion of the lesions47,48. However, appropriate classification is

important to standardise patients for prognostic studies and

planning treatment trials344.

Fanilial cases (n=11-) were not excluded from the survival

analysis as previous studies have Suggested, and this sample

r.51

ChaPter 6

confirrned, that their survival does not differ significantly

frorn sporadic adult onset MND and demographic and clinical fea-

tures are stronger predictors of outcome than whether the disease

appears to be inherited345. It is possible that patients who

are older at diagnosis were identified at a later stage of their

disease and hence have an apparently shortened survival but the

difference in survival according to age is also observed based

on time frorn onset so this observation is likely to be real'

studies which use retrospective approaches, or are based on

referral centres, are more likely to be biased towards younger

patients and produce much longer estinates of survival338'34L' A

study design ensuring complete case ascertainment is of major

importance when estirnating prognosis in MND'

My findings are similar to another population based, but

retrospective study in Denmarkg4 '256. Christensen et al de-

scribed 186 patients identified from hospital discharg€sr

including geriatric units. 1l't were from outside neurology

departments and the mean age of this cohort (65.9 years for rnen

and 62.4 years for women) makes significant ascertainment bias

unlikely. The nedian survival of this group vtas 12 months (95t

cI 1O-t-4 months) from diagnosis (23 nonths from onset), the 3

year survival L2z,5 year survival 4*. Otd age and a bulbar

onset were poor prognostic factors'

with respect to the questions posed in the introduction,

these results suggest that: (i) In weII defined cohorts survival

can be predicted with a high degree of confidence, that (ii) the

higher rnortality rate in females is largely related to the in-

creased frequency of PBP, but oId age rernains a significant

independent poor prognostic variable. (iii) As far as longevity

L52

Chapter 6

with tt{ND is concerned, aII survivors beyond f ive years from

symptom onset presented with PMA or ALS, without PBP, and in

only 2 did PBP develop, Iate in the course of the illness'

Reports of patient rrresistancerr to progression in ALs48

with 5 year survival of 2OZ are likely to be because the dis-

ease remains confined to spinal segments (numerically a much

smaller group) or to referral bias of atypical cases' Three of

the four patients surviving for more than 5 years in the study by

Christensen256 did not have bulbar symptoms until the fifth year

after diagnosis.

Clearly the clinical pattern of disease is of major inpor-

tance in predicting outcome from MND and needs to be considered

when making decisions about patient management, advising those

affected with this disease and planning treatrnent trials344 '

153

FctF-(D'q\rt-(-'<'=E=3=gasEFro_ t-l

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!. L. = a. 'd'4 e t=rtrtr a v, 6o;; ;; F X* s a s s€ a R ss Rc.t Kl

o4

5ts-B.EE E=8.- Ig 8€ AS'ilE $ =9 a

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o= e e I e e eSe o-

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=+a dq-i=,rlr .- E .-!^A^ E3 O -!E ,+. E !p s.d

tr c Fcqf -, = SE G!d f! tr.tro+H \.o rtt

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dcl6V, ]dE9gezE

t'@

ct!<tl<,@rr|

rtFct\ c.)@

Frr)rfttrl .t F ct! 6l

<'6IOFcoFl

The Scottish Motor Neuron Disease Register 1989'90Suruival from diagnosis, all patients

Survlval from diagnosls by sex

No. at rlsk(See text)

y2 .7.7 p<lo.Ol

F-----------------+-----------------{------------------}-----------------+---------------'l9767482417e

No. at rlsk

The Scottlsh Motor Neuron Dtsease Register 1989-90

Suruival from diagnosis bY age

No. at rlgk

Suruival from diagnosis, progresslve muscular atrophy

72 .12.8 F0.001

F-----------------+-------------t------.---------.1----.-'...-+'----'--'--1pq i7 56 it 18 7a

'72.9.4 50.005

Years

l-----------------+-----------------{------------------}-----..--""""+"""..""-'4zig tit tis io 35 21

No. at rlsk

The Scottlsh Motor Neuron Dlsease Reglster 1989'90Surulval from dlagnosls, bulbar palsy at any stage

No. st dsk

F-----------------{------------------f ----------------}1----------'-+----'----------{rfu titg is .l 24 15

ts----------------+-----------------t----------------'-l---'-'----------r'+-------'-'-_--''ric rirs ig it 24 16

PBP Or PBP/ALS OT

ALSPBP (Flnal dlagnoell)

Years

No. at rlsk

The Scottish Motor Neuron Disease Reglster 1989'90Surulval from dlagnosls, bulbar palsy at presentatlon

E.:?fo*

No.atrlsk rss rio uig dt 36 25

l---------------+-----------{--------------}--------------+---"----'{ig,isie12s5

72 t 15.3 p<0.001

ALS olALS/PBP

(lnltlsl dllgnodt)

a2 .8.9 p<O.OOi

Years

Years

F-----------------+-----------------{------------------}--------------+------------1Tg,is28 1255

No. at risk

The Scottish Motor Neuron Disease Register 1g8g-90Suruival from symptom onset, all patients

tlo. at dsk(see lexl)

Surulval from symptom onset by sex

X2 r 7.6 p<0.01

-t---------+-----------------r------------------l---------------+-------------{e7 86 {e 2s iz iz

No. at rlsk

The scottish Motor Neuron Disease Register lggg-g0Suruival from symptom onset by age

EEtJo

"{

No.8t rlsk

sullval from symptom onset, progresstve muscular atrophy

72.f.2 p<0.OOl

No. at rlsk

The scottish Motor Neuron Disease Reglster lggg-g0survival from symptom onset, burbar parsy at any stage

ru-.:E:ta

"{PBP or P8P/ALS orALVPBP (Ftnat dlagrrcetr)

No. at rlsk ?

E.:EJ1r,

}s

PBP or PBP/ALSor AL9FBP (Flnel dlagnorle)

r$i------------lir-------#------3?-----T;-------iNo. at rlsk

The scotfish Motor Neuron Disease Register lggg-gosuruival from symptom onset, bulbar patsy at presentation

o

EJos

l.lo. at rlsk

72 o24.8 p<O.OOl

ALS orALS/PBP

st"l---, PBP o. P8P/ALSt1 (lnlrtrl dtagnodr)*----L_

72.35.7 FO.OOI

z5.------S-------S-------ii-*---*i------------{No. at rlsk

CEAPTER 7

collctJugroNs- uArrNG ugE oF TrE roRK rNcrruDED rN rErg TIIEgrg

L64

;" Chapter 7

" The best test of a physician's suita.bi rity for thepractice of neu_rorogy- i; not his "iiiity-i; ^Z^ori.""inprobabre syndrom66 nut whether i"-""n continue tosupport a case of motor neurone disease and keep thepatient' his reratives and hin"Ji-i" a reasonabrycheerful frame of mind.',

Professor w. B.Mathew s352

" r tealised that a man's interrigence is not the surnof what he knows but the soundnes i of his iu-ageieit ofpnopre and his po*er to understand ""a

-Lo nLq- ii;;. "

Yevgeny yevtushenko353

r have highlighted the need for standardised diagnosticcriteria for l{ND. Arthough there is no rear difficulty inrecognising the disease at an advanced stage, there may be con_siderable diagnostic uncertainty at presentation to nedicalattention and there is confusion over the terninorogy used todescribe MND' Accurate diagnosis is essential if patients are tobe advised appropriatery, epidemiorogicar studies are to becompared usefully and well defined patients are to be recruitedin treatment trials. This study outlines simpre but conprehen_sive diagnostic crj-teria (chapter 2) which take account of varia-tion in clinical pattern at presentation and it is hoped thatthese criteria, which do have prognostic significance (chapter6), can be applied in future studies of MND.

This thesis has examined the traditionar concept of a uni-form worrdwide distribution of MND (chapter 2), highlighted thedifficurties in comparing popurations and thus rnight provide ani-mpetus to further studies of MND distribution, for exampre inirnrnigrant populations frorn deveroped countries or a search forclusters based on rarge numbers anarysed using snall geographicalareas.

155

Chapter 7

rnportantry, the SMNDR has developed a nover approach tostudies in MND by, for the first tine in this disease, prospect-ively recruiting population basec patients and enabling studiesof incident patients during rife (chapter 3). There hrere practi-cal difficulties experienced, particularly in tirning appropria-tely the invorvement of patients in studies, other than sirnpleregistration, such as the case-control study, dt a stage whenthe diagnosis was secure but that distress was not caused byapproaching moribund patients. The often aggressively deter_iorating course of MND also means that it is difficurt to includesome patients from distant regions in studies during rife.However, with an inforned corlaborative group, it was possibreto conduct this study of MND, in a relativery short space oftirner orl a scale which would be difficult for individual orsnall groups of neurorogists. This irnportant property of the

'MNDR may be usefur when considering treatnent triars.

The measurement of incidence afforded by this study isnecessary in placing in perspective the importanee of a particu-lar disease for delivery of health eare and to enable charities,such as the scottish Motor Neuron Disease Association, to promoteits interests and those of its members.

Traditionalry, studies of MND have reri-ed on statisticswhich are not rfpurpose built" for this disease ie retrospectivelyexamined norbidity and mortality data. This informatiori is proneto error due to nisdiagnosis, false positive coding and changesbrought about by the periodic alterations to the rnternationalclassification of Diseases used for coding. r have been abre toanalyse in detail the utirity of these data sources so thatbetter use and interpretation of studies based on this inforna-

L66

Chapter 7

tion is possible (chapter 41. However, such results must beinterpreted in the light of rocal practices which rnight differfrom systems enployed in Scotland.

rt comes as no surprise that in many patients there is noapparent cause for the disease. The case-control study (chapter5) identified a number of factors of potential inportance in thepathogenesis of MND, which crearly cannot exprain the totatityof MND' but which rnake a contribution to the weight of evidenceaccumurating from other epiderniological studies and may shape theapproach for basic neuroscience research.

Patients expect an honest but sensitive expranation of thenature of their irlness and what to expect frorn it354. r wasable to provide useful prognostic data (chapter 6) based on thediagnostic crassification system and so the contents of thisthesis have direct clinical application for the practising neuro-logist who is pranning patient management. r have arso been ableto review part of the differential diagnosis of MND as itarises in routine clinicar practice (tabre z-L and appendix A).

Not included in this thesis, but mentioned in the pubrica_tions list, hrere two laboratory based projects which were insti-gated or supported by the SMNDR and my work.. Firstly, a study ofantigangrioside antibodies in conjunction with workers in theneuroimmunorogrical laboratory at the rnstitute of Neurologicalsciences, Grasgow, examined the potential rore of anti-GMl anti_bodies and paraproteins in the pathogenesis of MND. secondly, rcorlected blood from some pedigrees (appendix c) to assist in thesearch for a genetic marker in famirial MND.

on a personal level this study has been important, not onlyfor learning methods in observationar epidemiology but for

1,67

Chapter 7

future clinical practice. This thesis has not discussed thehuman suffering to which r have been witness. Motor neurondisease is a tragic affliction which combines many of the mostdespairing features of irrness. rt can affect young adults withdependents; it is an inexorabry progressive terminar disease forthe majority; there is loss of independence and regression to anexistence which requires herp with feeding, toireting, washing,and the most sirnple of tasks, such as relief frorn an itch or anuncomfortable position. rt is frightening, especiarry when dys-phagia or respiratory failure develop and many patients becomelonely, bored, frustrated, angry or depressed. Despite theseobstacres, r have been struck with the rernarkable emotionarresirience of many sufferers in the face of such terribre circum-stances.

Arthough it is possibre to read about the feeri-ngrs ofsuffere"=355, who vividly portray the isolationSor356 andnihilistic approach of many doctors3iT, there can be no sub-stitute for the experience of patient contact and the ressonsinherent therein. This work has taught me much that is not con-tained in the preceding pages, particurarry about the probremsand nanagement of neurologicar disability ?nd that synptornatictreatruent, often rerativery sirnple in nature, combined with humancontact and support, can go a long way to easing the burden ofthis incurable, but not untreatable, disease.

168

APPENDTX A

SUlrUARv OF TEE CLINfCAIJ FEATURE8 OF 28 PATIENT8 REcTSTERED rfTETtrE SCOTTISH I.TOTOR NEURON DTSEASE REGISTER BUT EXCI,UDED FROTI TEE

UErDr ANAIJYSES

L69

Appendix A

A. PATIENTS WITH CLINICAL FEATURES OF

COEXTSTING ilEUROLOGICAL DISEASE (n=8).:.i

Hlf, fenale age 78, SMNDR No: ?.

rnitiaT diagnosis: pBp/ALS

Twelve nonth illness to death with mixed pseudobulbar andbulbar palsy' generalised wasting and fasciculation and patholo-gicalry brisk reflexes- There was an asyrnmetric intention tremorin both upper rinbs. Ncs/Evrc: compatibre with MND; cr scannormar apart from prominence of the ventricars and calcificationof the basar ganglia. Progressive deterioration in both motorsystem disease and her tremor. No autopsy.

FinaT diagnosis: MND with cerebelrar signs. possible roultisystem degeneration.

EE, nale age 93, srtNDR No: Lz. Referrar: corraboratorInitial diagnosis : ALS/pBp

sustained a rnild right henisphere stroke which recovered andhad a long-standing weakness of the I'eft arrn which appeared non-progressive. Then a 5 year history of difficurty walking andswarrowing with nasar regurgitation of fruids. past history ofcarcinoma of the colon. Examination showed dysarthria and bovj-necough, deafness, but no fascicuration of the tongue. He had adropped left shoulder with marked wasting of scapurar and pector-ar muscres on that side from c5 TL. Fasciculation in deltoidand small hand muscres, normar tone throughout and norrnal po!,rerin the rower limbs. Absent biceps and supinator reflex, brisktriceps and preserved lower Iimb reflexes, absent vibrationsensation at the ankle, sensation otherwise normal. Ncs/EMG:

I,IND BUT IIIIO EAVE OTEER

Refeual: Collaborator

L70

Appendix Anormal nerve conduction studies but notor unit potentiarin the left biceps, brachioradialis and right first dorsalosseous (FDI). Since then a very gradual deterioration insymptoms and in rinb weakness. Forrow-up continues.

Finar diagnosis: uncertain, excruded because of ronging neurological signs making diagnosis uncertain.

changes

inter-bulbar

stand-

rA, fenale age 56, SMNDR No: 51. Referrar: collaboratorfnitial diagnosis : pBp/ALS

27 months ilrness to death. presented with progressivedysphagia and dysarthria due to a mixed pseudoburbar and bulbarpalsy with normar rirnbs apart from brisk refrexes. A cr scan,EMG and csF were normal at this stage but cK was elevated at 3o7.26 nonths after the onset she was anarthric and disinterested,withdrawn, inappropriately euphoric and thought to be demented,creutzferdt-Jakob disease was considered. she continued to deter-iorate, rower motor neuron signs appeared in the upper rirnbs andshe became breathless.

At autopsy the cerebral hemisphere showed mild to moderateglobal cortical atrophy with accompanying ventricular dilatation.There were no focar abnormarities identified. sections of thefrontal cortex showed focal degenerative changes in the outerIayers of the grey natter with slight gliosis. The central whitematter was also gliotic and showed perivascular accumurations ofpigment laden rnacrophages. The white matter in the frontal lobestas pare consistent with a slight degree of corticar degenera_tion- These changes s/ere not apparent in sections frorn theoccipitar and tenporal lobes which were virtuarly normar inappearance and showed no spongy change. There were no Alzheimer

L7L

Appendix Adisease changes and no Lewy bodies identified. The medullashowed degenerative changes in the motor nuclei of the floor ofthe 4th ventricre confirmed by the presence of ubiquitinatedinclusions in these neurones. The cereberrum was normar. Thespinal cord showed a variety of degenerative changes in anteriorhorn ceIIs, including chromatolysis. some of these cells con-tained intensery ubiquitin-positive incrusions. Anterior rootswere somewhat shrunken and there was pallor of nyelin. peripheralmuscle and tongue showed denervation atrophy.

Final diagnosis: Motor neuron disease and dementia of front-aI lobe type with non-specific frontal lobe degenerative changes.

ET fenale, age 91, SlrNDR No: ?8. Referral: corraboratorInitial diagnosis: pBp

23 months ilrness to death. presented with progressivedysarthria and dysphagia with choking and drooting. past historyof gastric carcinoma. Exanination showed paralysis of tongue andpalate with only occasional monosylrabic words possible. No

wasting or fascicuration. Jaw jerk present and rinb tendonreflexes brisk and syrnmetricar but with no motor or sensorydeficit in the 1inbs. cr scan showed atrophic changes particu_larly in the posterior fossa; csF protein rnirdry erevated ato.88 g/r; Ncs/EMG: widespread neurogenic abnormality. progres-sive course, mentar function difficult to assess in view ofcommunication difficulties but not clearly demented. Developedwasting in both hands and quadriceps with weakness and patholo-gically brisk reflexes.

Autopsy showed rnild cortical atrophy and ventricular dilata-tion with anterior spinal nerve root thinning. Microscopical

L72

Appendix Aexamination showed a generalised loss of nerve cells accompaniedby reactive griosis, numerous senile praques and neurofibrilrarytangles. There vras pronounced rc,ss of rarger neurones in theregion of the motor cortex but nerve celr loss in the bulbarnucrei was less pronounced. Numerous Lewy bodies were identifiedwithin pignnented neurones. A small focus of lymphocytic infil_tration was noted within one of the fifth nerve roots, accompa-nied by focal denyelination but no evidence of inflanrmation else-where in the cNs or peripherar nerves. sections of the spinarcord showed patchy ross of anterior horn cells with negativestaining with ubiquitin. The gastric neoprasm showed an infir-trating moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma without rynrphnode metastases.

FinaL diagnosis:Lewy body disease and

disease?).

MND syndrome with pathological evidence ofAlzhej-rner disease changes (rnulti_system

EP, fenare age 52, gurIDR No: L2z. Referrar: corraboratorfnitial diagnosis: ALS (2 regions)Presented with a 6 month history of slowry progressive

difficutty walking and widespread rirnb cramps without sensory orbulbar slnnptoms. on examination there was a slight tremor of thehead and a rest tremor in the right hand which was ar.so presentin the outstretched position. she rooked a little bradykinetic.No burbar signsr Do wasting. scanty fasciculations in the quadri-ceps, weakness of the entire right leg except the quadriceps,particutarly affecting distal muscres and brisk reflexes through-out although the right ankle jerk depressed cornpared to the left.Normal sensation. EMG: cornpatibre with a diffuse disorder of

L73

Appendix Aanterior horn ceII origin. rn addition there was an abnormalityin the right peronear nerve, suggesting a co-existing lesion atthe right fiburar head. Normal myerogram, csF and protein elec-trophoresis. Probably slow1y worsening and appearance of burbarsYmPtoms.

Final diagnosis: MND with extrapyramidal disorder/parkin-sonism.

ar[c, male age 6L, StOlDR No: 161. Referral: collaboratorfnitial diagnosis : Multisystem atrophy13 month illness to death. commenced with slurred speech and

clumsiness of the reft side with unsteadiness of walking. Exarni-nation showed gait ataxia, dysarthria, reft upper motor neuronfacj'ar weakness and striking left sided ataxia with a rnild leftheniparesis and brisk reflexes with increased tone on the reft.rnitiarty thought to have a posterior fossa mass resion lying onthe reft side within the cereberrun perhaps with hydrocephalus,however cr scan normar. He deteriorated with the appearance ofwasting and fasciculation particularry on the left as well as hisprogressive pseudobulbar palsy. There !,ras no evidence of demen-tia. cr and MRr hrere normal as were EEG, csF, extensive broodtests and neuropsychology. EMG: typical of MND. Trial of sine-met was unhelpful. His disease progressed inexorabry and naso-gastric tube feeding was considered.

Final diaqnosis: Multi-system degeneration combining predo_ninant rnotor system disorder, extra-pyrarnidal and cerebelrarfeatures.

L74

Appendix A8C, nale ag€ 66, SUNDR No: 2O{.. Referral: gf,Ipg

Initial diagnosis: ALS (3 regions)L3 month illness to death. Presented with a 5 nonth history

of dragging of the left leg with a tendency for it to give hray

and then a progressive deterioration in gait with wasting of bothhand muscles progressing to generarised weakness but no cramps.on exarnination he warked with a spastic circumducted reft leg,had a mild birateral spastic paraparesis and fasciculation wasplentiful over the upper arms and the right EDB. There was grosswasting of the left side of arr intrinsic hand nuscles, the peri-scapurar and forearm muscres and both quadriceps. sternomastoidweak, brisk asymnetric refrexes. He had a recognised, rongstanding pigrnentary retinopathy (pR) and poor dark adaptation.rnvestigation revealed a high haematocrit which proved to be truepolycythaenia and a marrow trephine had features consistentwith, though not compretely diagnostic of, prirnary porycythemia,he underwent venesections. csF was normar as were biochernicaltests. He had an enrarged spreen but no evidence of a hyperne-phroma' Ncs/EMG: prolonged F v/ave latencies and srowed motorconduction in the right peronear nerve (37 m/sec) with smarrcompound muscre action potentiars but normal sensory studies.widespread denervation was observed affecting upper and rowerrimbs but the overall eLectrophysiorogicar diagnosis was of anixed axonal and dernyelinating neuropathy. An electroretinogranshowed a normal lrtave form with only rnildly reduced anptitudes andtherefore his pR was thought to be atypicar or possibly due tothe carrier state. His motor system disease progressed, no autop_sy hras perforned.

Final diagnosis: uncertain, conbined features of a neuono-

L75

pathy hrith clear UUN signsscribed in association with

Appendix A

and neuropathy (not that usually de_

polycythernia) .

88, female age 5{, SMNDR No: 333. Referral: Gp nailsbotInitial diagnosis: ALS

ssrs mother was armost certainly affected by MND with pro-gressive loss of rnobility, falls and difficurty swallowing andspeaking' ss had an illness of 21 rnonths to death. she presentedwith a one year history of behavioural and cognitive disturbancewith confusion and disorientation. she becarne vacant and disin-terested and her behaviour odd. 4 months later she was noted tobe quiet and withdrawn but otherwise normal, she then developedcramps' she resigned her teacherrs job and became distressed atthe prospect of developing her motherrs illness. she forlowedher relatives around to distraction, she was unable to firl informs, had no responsibility towards money and her memory deter-iorated- she was unabre to place jigsaw puzzres correctry. shedid not appear to understand her reading nateriar. A year afteronset she fell and broke her arm. Forlowing this, she had diffi_culty in hording up her head and wourd support it with her handeven when standing. Her walking deteriorated. she had a fewchoking attacks and lost the strength in her upper arms. Hermemory continued to deteriorate. she became withdrawn, stoopedand crooned constantry to herself answering every guestion with arrNorr. Her back muscre rost its tone and she was unabr_e to sup_port her trunk- Examination showed emotionar 1abi1ity, cogni-tive disturbance, foot drop, scoriosis, bent knees, widespreadfascicuration with normal tone and sensation. A neuropsychologi_car evaruation showed that she courd write quite comprex words

L76

Appendix Afrom dictation and read arone comprex passalres of script. rncontrast she made errors indicatin!, named body parts and naningindicated body parts. she hras easily distractable. csF wasnormal, €rD EMG showed a widespread neurogenic disturbance withdenervation potentials. Her cognitive function continued todeteriorate together with her rnotor systen disease and she beganto aspirate' At autopsy macroscopic appearances hrere normar.scattered senire plaques were seen in the parahippocampal cortex,but neurofibritlary tangles were scanty. No plagues or tangles inthe hippocampus or cortex samples. pyramidal tract nerve fibredepletion in the rnedulla and spinal cord. Anterior horns shrunkenand hyperchromatic. ubiquitin positive cytoplasm in a few ante_rior horn celIs.

Final diagnosis: MND with dementia and organic psychosis,although no neuropathologicar basis for the cognitive changres.

B. REGISTERED WITIT THE SITNDR BUT DTAGNOSTS REVTSED WTTEFoLLOw Up OR AUTOpgy (n=15).

FC, nale age 6?, SttNDR No: 13.

fnitial diagnosis: pMA

Referral: Collaborator

Presented with a 3 year history of rnild progressive asym-netric, principarty proximal muscle weakness without burbarinvorvement or uMN signs. cK 355 242. The possibirity of MND

was raised on NCS/EMG which showed normal nerve conduction stu-dies apart frorn an absent superficial peroneal sAp and there hrerewidespread motor unit potential abnormalities without spontaneousactivity. Because of a rarge number of polyphasic units heproceeded to a muscre biopsy which showed features of a pri.mary

L77

Appendix Atuyopathic process with inflarnrnatory changes, focar chronic in-flammation, atrophy and no fibre type grouping.

Final diagnosis: Chronic pollrrnyositis.

AB, nale age 4L, suNDR No: 25. Referrar! corraboratorIndiagnosjs.. ALS (2 regions).2 year history of progressive weakness particurarly in the

left leg without sensory or sphincter disturbance. on examina-tion he had fascicurations in some of the muscre groups of hisupper arms but no wasting. There was a nird asymmetric spasticparaparesis with reflexes generally brisk incruding his jaw jerk.cervicar spine X-rays showed some narrowing of the c5, c6, c7discs with snarr osteophytes in the posterior disc margins en-croaching on the spinar canar. There was indentation of thecontrast corumn at c5-6 and cG-7 with some compression of thecervical cord without evidence of nerve root inpingement. csFnormar' Ncs/EMG showed nild but definite LMN degeneration in awide spread distribution, MND was thought likely, but a furtherEI.{G 9 months rater showed no progression. rf anything, hisclinical situation irnproved and MRr showed nixed disc and osteo-phyte protrusion just touching the cord c5-6.

Finar diagnosis: cervicar spondyrosis causing rnyeropathy.Surgery is being considered.

J.78

Appendix AVcrfsmale age ?rl, gttllDR No: 31. Referral: Gp

Initiat diagnosis: ALS (3 regions)Presented with a 2-3 year history of difficurty warking

resulting in falrs. Examination showed wasting of her thighsand hand muscres and ross of power in the rower rimbs but nofasciculation or sensory signs. The reflexes $rere brisk with upgoing prantars. The possibility of MND was raised (GeriatricMedicine). Motor conduction studies showed mild reduction incompound muscre action potential arnpritude, variable F wavelatency, absent sural potentials and needle EMG occasional fi-brillations and positive sharp hraves in the regs with notor unitpotentiar abnormalities principalry in distar muscres. Thefindings hrere thought to suggest a chronic neuropathy but becauseof her brisk reflexes further investigations were undertaken anda diagnosis of normal pressure hydocephalus was made on the basisof the cr scan- Her verbal re was L2s, perfornance re, gg. sheunderwent ventricular pressure rnonitoring and right ventricularperitoneal shunt insertion.

Final diagnosis: chronic peripheral neuropathy of uncertaincause and normal pressure hydocephalus.

88, male age 6s, gIrtNDR No: 35. Referral! collaboratorInitial diagnosis: pBp

Presented with dysarthria and dysphagia over a 6 rnonthperiod' Examination showed evidence of palatal and larangealmuscle weakness. NMR scanning did not show a brain stem lesion.Ncs/EMG: normal nerve conduction studies, denervation potentialsin extensor digitorurn brevis and widespread motor unit potentialchanges with increased polyphasia and inpaired recruitment.

L79

Appendix AHowever, there was no change in these abnorrnalities over 2 se-quential examinations. subsequent review showed a hard swerlingin the right sub-mandibular region and he hras found to have somefurlness in the right tonsil and tongue base and cr scannin!, onthis occasion showed a non vascurar parapharyngeal space tumoursuspected to be an adenocystic carcinoma of the deep lobe of thesub-mandiburar gtand and his management was transferred to theENT surgeons.

Final diagnosis : Retro-pharyngeal tumour.

AE, fenale age: g3, SI{NDR No: 75. Referral: collaboratorfnitial diagnosis: ALS (2 regions)Presented with 7 month history of progressive weakness of

the left hand' on exarnination the craniar nerves hrere normar,there was wasting and weakness without fasciculation of the smalIrnuscres of the left hand and the forearm extensors but nowasting or fascicuration elsewhere. possibly slightly increasedtone in the reft arm and refrexes very brisk generarry with a fewbeats of clonus at the ankres. possibre urnar sensory ross inthe left hand- Ncs/EMG abnormatities srere confined to the leftupper linb without denervation potentiars. cervicar spine X-rayshowed gross spondylosis but in view of her age a cervical rnyero_gram was not thought appropriate. with folrow-up the initialsuggestion of MND was thought ress rikery as there was no pro_gression over J-g months.

FinaT diagnosis : Cervical rnyeloradiculopathy.

L80

Appendix A

nE, nare age 65, gttNDR No: 92. Referrar: corraboratorfnitial diagnosis: pMA

Two month history of weakness of the left arrn and wasting ofthe reft biceps muscre without pain. vague tingring over theleft shoulder. Examination showed wasting and weakness of theleft deltoid, biceps, brachoradialis and pectoralis rnuscle withpreservation of triceps bulk and widespread fasciculation of theshoulder girdle bilaterally and involving the quadriceps. Dirni-nished reflex at the left biceps and supinator but preserved inthe triceps, ho burbar involvement or crear upper motor neuronesigns. ltildry raised cK at zL7. rmmunogloburins normar, EMG

showed abnormalities in left deltoid biceps and triceps withmotor unit potential changes and positive sharp hraves. Nerveconduction studies normal. The findings were thought to suggesta c5-6 lesion. Myelogram not performed but no change with fol_low-up.

FinaT diagnosis: ?cervicar spondyrotic radicuropathy.

JFr nale age zg, gl.rNDR Nos 1{9. Referrar3 colraboratorInitial diagnosis: pMA

Presented with weakness to the extent that he was unableto open his left hand associated with some mild neck discomfort.Mode of onset was uncertain. There was some numbness over the cgarea on the lef t which was interrnittent. There sras wasting andweakness confined to the left upper lirnb particularly distallyaffecting the hypothenar and thenar eminences and wrist exten-sion' Reflexes vtere depressed in the upper lirnbs and absent atthe biceps, supinator and ankles. NCs lEvIe examination showeddelayed F wavesr Do denervation potentials and motor unit poten-

L81

Appendix Atial changes in both upper rimbs and the right leg and sterno-nastoid' cervical spine x-ray showed considerabre degenerativechanges in the lower and rnid cervicar spine. csF was normalapart from a mildly erevated protein at 0.69 glL. Forrow-up over13 rnonths showed no crinical deterioration.

Final diagnosis: polyradiculopathy due to cervicar spondylo-tic disease.

JB, male age 56, gtofDR No3 150. Referral: colraboratorInitial diagnosis: ALS (2 regions)Presented with pain and weakness of the reft upper rimb,

particurarly the left hand. The pain had a radicular quality andthere were occasionar paraesthesia but these were not impressive.There was wasting of the left FDr and weakness of 1B/TL in theleft hand and guestionable pyramidal distribution of weakness inthe remainder of the left upper linb. The refrexes hrere briskthroughout. There hrere no sensory signs. EMG examinationshowed motor unit potentiar changes confined to the reft arm,nyelograrn with cr scanning failed a: show any evidence of com_pression of cervical roots. However, with forrow-up there was nochange in his syrnptoms or signs.

FinaT diagnosis : uncertain, non-progressive cervical lesion.

RB, nale age 29, gIrrNDR No: 160. Referrar: corraboratorInitial diagnosis: ALS (3 regions)Presented with an 8 month history of progressive reft hand

and arrn weakness without pain or paraesthesia. Diabetes mellituscontrolled by diet. The abnormal signs v/ere confined to the leftupper linb with marked wasting of biceps but weakness affected

L82

Appendix Aall nuscle groups in the same limb. The deep tendon reflexeswere exaggerated throughout and there was no sensory ross.Ncs/EMG: the upper lirnbs were norrnal apart from an absent ulnarsensory action potential. There vtas some denervation in EDB and

TA and in addition motor unit potential abnornalities in all fourlirnbs and sternornastoid. A diagnosis of MND was revised when amyelogram showed considerable spondylotic change in the cervicalspine with obliteration of CG root pockets.

Final diagnosis: Spondylotic myeloradiculopathy.

rD, mare age 51, gttNDR No: 1?5. Referrals colraboratorf nitial dj_agnosis: pLS

Presented with a 2 year history of a very srowry progtres-sive irrness dominated by upper motor neuron symptoms and signsaffecting arl 4 rinbs in an asymmetric fashion worse on theright. However, this was accompanied by wasting of the right legof uncertain duration. There was also rnild bilateral wasting andweakness at the first dorsal interosseous but no definite bulbarfeatures. He had interrnittent tingling of the hands and feet.An MRI including the cervical cord and csF studies hrere normalbut he did not have EI.{G. with forrow-up he deveroped a leftoptic neuropathy but compressive causes $/ere excluded with ap-propniate irnaging.

Final diagnosis: Dernylinating disease of undetermined cause,possibly late onset rnultiple sclerosis.

PC, nare age 46, gllltDR No: 1g3. Referral: collaboratorfnitial diagnosis: ALS (2 regions)rnprecise history of clumsiness of the hands and difficurty

183

Appendix Awalking over several months. There was a history of arcoholabuse. oistal wasting and weakness of his limbs without fasci-culation- Brisk symmetrical refrexes, no sensory loss. serumproteins and erectrophoresis were normal. Neurophysiologicalstudies showed evidence of motor unit abnormalities in musclesinnervated by cg on either side, suggesting a lesion of cg notorroots. He had birateral rudinentary cervical ribs, and mj.nordegrees of root irnpingernent at c6-7 on the left and c5-6 on theright and the cervical cord appeared marginarly widened althoughthere hras no evidence of tonsilar prorapse. csF normar. Atfolrow-up 4 months later there had been no progression clinicallyor electrophysiorogicary. He deveroped a broncho-pneumonia anddied.

At autopsy the spreen was enrarged as were the rnajority ofthe rymph nodes in the chest and abdomen. Historogy showed theinternal architecture repraced by masses of tumour into whichthere were many Reed-sternberg-rike giant ceIls, the appearanceswere those of Hodgkins or T-cell lynphorna. Detaired historogicarexamination of the nervous system revealed extensive neuronalloss, astrocytosis and proliferation of microglia in both thala-mae but outwith these areas no abnormalities in the cortex,cerebral or cerebelrar hemispheres or brain stern. rn the spinalcord at c8 there was no evidence of tumour either within themeninges or within the spinal cord but there was some ross ofmotor neurons within the ventrar horn with an associated astro-cytosis and hyperplasia of microglia. A sample of other spinalIevels was normal, the right deltoid showed focal clustering of asmall number of contracted muscre fibres suggestive of neurogenicatrophy. The right nedian nerve rnras normal and the right ulnar

184

Appendix Anerve hras norrnal being both welr rnyerinated and popurated bynormar axons, there was no evidence of infiltration by tumour.

FinaL diagnosis: Motor neuronopathy associated with T-celllymphoma.

AR nale age 80, SUNDR No: Lg2. Referral: Gp

fnitial diagnsosis: pMA

Presented with unsteadiness of warking, possibry dysarthriaand dirninished refrexes of uncertain duration and was suspectedof having MND by a consultant physician. Also sustained black-outs thought to be due to transient ischaernic attacks. No rowermotor neuron signs or progression of neurorogical signs.

Final diagnosis: uncertain, possible cerebrovascurar dis-ease.

Jlfa nale, age ZS, gl,0{DR No: 2Lg. Referrals gHlpg

Initial diagnosis: ALS (extent?)The diagnosis was suggested by a consurtant neurorogist

during admission for diuretic induced.hyponatraernia' (sodiun 118) .

He stas noted to have wasting of the muscles of both hands withfascicuration and generally brisk refrexes but the remainingdetails at registration are scanty. No Ncs/EMG examination.subsequent forrow-up from the cP indicated that this diagnosishad not been substantiated and there $/as no change in his neuro-logical condition.

Finar diagnsosis; Hand wasting of uncertain cause, hypona-traemia.

L85

Appendix Aill'l male age Go, SUNDR No: 24o. Referral3 gHrpg

Initial diagnosis: pBp

Presented with a one year history of a burbar parsy withdysarthriac'and marked swallowing difficulties, mode of onsetuncertain' Examination showed a rnild upper motor neuron facialweaknessr rlo tongue fasciculation and a pseudobulbar palsy. Lirnbrefrexes hrere brisk without sensory disturbance. Ncs/El{c showeda mild motor neuropathy with no denervation potentiars. A dia-gnosis of MND l/as made (neurologist) but 10 months later thereappeared to have been little change in his bulbar parsy and anisolated vascular lesion in the rnedurra was suspected. An ![Rr ofthe head showed murtiple bilateral focal resions concentratedaround the inferior thalanus and internal capsule-basar ganglianregions. There was no change in erectrophysiorogicar appear-ances.

Final diagnosis: pseudobulbar palsy due to ischaenic leu-coencephalopathy.

JK, nale age 23. 8INDR No: 2gL. Referral: cp ]railshotInitial diagnosis: ALS (2 regions)Presented with a 3 month history of weakness and aching in

both legs without sensory synptorns. Examination showed smallrnuscl.e wasting in the hand, a tremor of uncertain type and a nildspastic paraparesis. An MRr scan showed straightening of thenormal cervical curvature with rnultiple offsets. The cord was

sonewhat atrophic at c3 where there was evidence of impingementand at c5-5 where impingenent was associated with oedema of thecord' Nerve conduction studies showed evidence of bilateralurnar entrapment at the elbow and an upper motor neuron pattern

186

Appendix Ain the lower Limbs but no other lower motor

FinaT diagnosis: Cervical rnyelopathytions for tardy ulnar palsy.

neuron signs.

and previous opera-

C.DIAGNO8I8 UNCERTAIN

FOR CI/TI|ICALLY DEFINTTE OR

OR FAILS TO FULFfIJ THE Sl,tNDR CRITERfA

PROBABLE II|ND (n=5)

lf8, female age l{, gtrtNDR No: 53. Referral3 collaboratorInitial diagnosis: ALS (2 regions)Presented with a 10 month history of weakness of the left

arm and pains around the erbow. Aware of occasionar fascicula-tion in the intrinsic muscres of the reft hand and a tendacy todrop objects. some neck discomfort. Examination showed fascicu-lation of the intrinsic muscres as well as the forearm muscresand wasting of the intrinsic muscles of the left hand with a norewidespread weakness of pectorars, rhomboids, triceps and intrin_sic muscurature. Triceps jerk absent, rimb reflexes otherwisebrisk and plantars equivocal. Ncs/EMG: normar nerve conductionstudies and possible fasciculation potentials in the rower lirnbsas werl as the affected rinb. Myerogram and csF normar. Thepatient was informed of the diagnosis of probable MND but hersituation remained entirery stabre with folrow-up.

FinaT diagnosis: Monornelic MND, non progressive.

LB' femare age s?, sMNDR No: 66. Referrar: corraboratorfnitial diagnosis: ALS (2 regions)Four month history of progressive weakness of the reft

ankle leading to a foot drop. Examination showed normar craniarnerves, brisk upper rinb refrexes and an asymmetric spastic

L87

Appendix Aparaparesis vtorse on the left without sensory abnormalities.Fasciculation was observed in the left quadriceps on one examina-tion. Lumbar radiculogram (orthopaedic service) and then a totalmyerogram did not show a compressive resion. Routine bloodtests, BL2 and folate, cr scan, EMG normar. Mildry raised csFprotein (o-53 g/L') but no oligocronar bands, vERrs normar. Atreview her signs were stabre, she complained of cramp but on thisoccasion no fasciculation was evident.

Final diagnosis: spastic paraparesis, cause uncertain,follow up continues.

irB, female age 6?, gIrtNDR No: o7t. Referral: colraboratorInitial diagnosis: pLS

Presented with a 2z year history of progressive dysarthriaand gait difficulty due to pseudobulbar palsy and asynmetricspastic quadraparesis without definite LMN or sensory signs. csF(including immunologicar studies), uRr, EMG normar. Excruded onthe basis of a history of a previous episode of possibre trans-verse myelitis 15 years previousry :ttd abnormal visual evokedresponses' although diagnosis is unclear and follow up continues.

Finar diagnosis: uncertain, possible pLS, possibre rnultipresclerosis.

w8, nare age 69, sMl{DR No: 188. Refenal: corraboratorfnitial diagnosis: ALS

Presented with an 18 month history of stiffness and weaknessof the left teg. A little weakness in the left hand. No otherabnormalities apart from a sright hesitancy of urine. No cramp.Exanination showed normal craniar nerves, cg-T1 weakness in the

L88

Appendix A

hands but no upper limb fascicuration. wasting of the reftquadriceps and fasciculation in several lower lirnb rnuscles withbirateral increase in leg tone anrl a mild spastic paraparesis.Normal upper lirnb reflexes. uild vibration sense irnpairrnent atthe toes. Ncs/EMG: delayed F vraves in both upper and lowerlimbs, absent sural sAp and sone motor unj-t potential changesaffecting the left lower lirnb onry. Normal cr scan, myelograrnand csF. Follohr-up 6 months rater showed no definite change.

FinaT diagnosis: possibry arrested MND, forrow up conti-nues.

Rr, nale age 66, SMNDR No: 3{{. Referrar corraboratorInitial diagnosis: pBp

Presented with srurring of speech which seemed to be pro-gressive but since a tentative diagnosis of MND in e/89 remainedrargery static. signs rather equivocal with crumsy tongue butnormal faciat jerks and no lower motor neuron involvement or lirnbsigns. Thrornbocythemia of uncertain cause. Awaiting MRr.

Finar diagnosis: Brainstem resion not yet diagnosed ?ar-rested UND, follow up continues

189

APPBNDIX B

DETArIJ8 OF TAUrTY ITEIIBER8 IN PEDIGRESS IIEERB A cENETIc cAUgB FoR

UOTOR NEURON DISEASE gEEUg LftrELy. (n=111.

190

Appendix B

Xey to pedigrees

rn all pedigrees a circre indicates a femare, square a mare.shading indicates affected with MND. A diagonal line indicates adeceased individuar and age at death is incruded (where known).If unshaded, cause of death was not I,{ND.

The proband on the sMNDR is indicated by initials. No faurilyhas more than one member on the sMNDR at this stage. != born.

Roman numerals are used for separate generations and indi_viduals numbered from right to reft for reference berow thefanily tree. The source of information is incruded.

191

tr

Itr

Appendix B

DD, fenale age G?, SMI{DR tfo: 60

2-22 ALs with burbar invorvement as for proband. Duration L7months (death certificate and farnily histo;tt. -

3'2'- (DD): SMNDR. 26 month ilrness. ALs with burbar invorve-ment.

L92

tr

Appendix B

DG, uale age lL, gttNDR No3 68

1'1: Progressive wasting disorder affecting the left arm but notelsewhere. Died 6 months later witti p"""tn""i" which wascertif ied cause of death (history frorn rarnily) . -

ALS and PBP.

2.22 Typical ALS with pBp

2.Lz (DG) SMNDR. Rapid (<L2 months) illness to death. Typical

(neurologist's report to SMNDR).

Details of earlier generation uncertain, birth and death certifi-cates of parents not in Register House (Edinburgh), nay have, died in England.

193

tr

m

Appendix B

GG, nale age 50, gltNDR No: SO

1.1: -Fiy" year h.istory of pro_gressive paralysis of arr tinbs. Nobulbar symptoms. -confined'to bed f-or fi-nar 6-L2 months, diedwith. pneurnbnia (nistory from farniry, death certif icates ofprevious generation not- in n"gi=["r House, Edinburgh).

2'L: (cG) SMNDR. 14 month illness. ALs pBp, autopsy (appendixC): typical pathologicat findings-of mlO.

b.1964

L94

tr

m

Appendix B

iIL, nale age 69, gl,tNDR No3 2Zg(Bulbospinal neuronopathy/Kennedy syndrone)Lz2z carrier? Detairs of her two brothers unknown.

2'22 Long duration of rrmotor neuron diseaser, similar illness toproband (history from family).2.3: (JL) suNDR. L2 yea{ history of progressive generarisedmuscular atrophy, faciar weakriess, -uut5ar parary-sis, tt;;;:comastia (seen in person 1991).

2'42 23 year his-tory of qeneralised progressive rnuscular atrophy,i:::l:iln face and burbar muscf"s. strikins shourder sirdretnvolvement (seen in person 1990).

b 1949 b 1956

195

tr

m

ry

Appendix B

iIB, male age tL, gltNDR No: L22

2.2: rrDystrophica myotonicail . (death certificate) . rrregitimate,father unkown, mother alive3'1: (JB) sl{NDR. Rapidry progressive muscurar atrophy withbreathlessness lseLn in p^ersLn-iiTgol3 '22 Died after 3 year irrness of progressive muscurar atrophywith bulbar ana respirai"d l"J"r""ment (seen in person

3 /9L')

4.L-4.9: AII children are younger than 25 years.

196

tr

Appendix B

m

IV

iIO, male age 66, gIr0fDR No: 2

1.1: Bulbar paralysis (death certificate). Rcords of parentscannot be traced.2-42 Progressive generalised weakness of muscres (died in theUsA, age uncertain, history frorn iarnify)2.6: Died at sea in world war II.3-2: one year his_tory of progressive muscurar atrophy with re_spiratory and truiuar symptorns. Autopsy: spi1al cord anteriorhorn cell loss and pirror of anterior and dorsar roots.Myelophages

. in- poster-ior corurnn nlcreii. lleurogenic atrophyof muscle. (Medical records)3'3: (Jo) sIr{NDR. 11 rnonth history of ALS. Autopsy: Anterior rootatrophy, spinar cord anteri6r noin cerr rbsls and posteriorcorurnn nyelophages. Astrocyti- gri"=l= -=-or-" -perivascular

lymphocytic cuffs.3'42 <L2 nonth history of progressive muscular weakness of ar1limbs. some parasrhesial. -i;;;;;yl

nypogrossal nucrei neuronloss, anterior horn cerr ross.-'N"urogenic atrophy of mus_cres- some posterior root ganglia cetr loss (rnedicar re-cords).

L97

tr

Appendix B

m

rv

Kll, nale age 52, Bl.llfDR No: 62

L.2z Died of pulnonary tuberculosis2'Lz Died of .lrr.tress.suggesting a progressive burbar pararysis(probandfs descripti6nl ' -)

3 '22 (KM) 'MNDR-

srowry progressive wasting and weakness oflinbs. principally irns. pIr{A.

b.1967

198

tr

Appendix B

m

TV

v

ttD, male age SG, gl.tNDR No! 2A3

L'22 Died of heart disease, mother not affected, father no record(death certificate).2'2i Died in canada of a neurological illness which involveddefinite wasting ?nd weakness bf muscres but detairs ="i"iv(history from fimily member).

2.3: -seven yea{ hi_story of wasting and weakness of the limbs,b-ecoming wheelchair bound, sp-eech disturbance in terminalphase only. Proband reports tfris illness closely resenbledhis own.

3 . 1: (MD) SMNDR. rrrness be.gan 3 /g7, diagnosis LL/go. rnexorablyprogressive, _ asymmetrit, generatis6a wastini and weaknesswith fasciculation. useieJs right arm, droopy head, birat-eral foot drop, needs assistanie for most iitivities. pMA

(Seen in person 3/92).

b 1950'r

199

Appendix B

RP, nals age ?6, g[ttDR t{o3 ga

2-L: Parkinsonisn and dementia (history from family).2.22 Motor neuron disease (death certificate).2.32 (RP) SMNDR. L4 rnonth illness. ALS with pBp.

RPrs father wa: illegitinate, therefore no information on pro-band.rs- paternar grandfather. MND not included on d6athcertificates of probandrs maternar grandparents.

tr

200

tr

Appendix B

8F, fenale age ?1, SultDR lfo: 31a

m

IV

L.2l

2.2r

4. 1:

rrLupus of the face and nose and exhaustioh,,of MND (Death certificate).(sr) SMNDR. Typical pBp/ALs.

Juvenile MND with pathological confirnationtailed report denied Uy pattrologistf.

but no mention

(access to de-

20L

Appendix B

tr

m

ry

plt nale age s6, B*ilDR tlo: 3oz

2.22 spastic parapregia (death certificate) and creeping paral-ysis (history from family)

3.42 wasted regs, wheer chair dependent, died of pneunonia(history from farnity) .

4.22 Died L2 months after diagnosis of MND. Generalised muscleweakness, . respiratory dis€ress and upper motor neuron signs(ALS). (Discussion with Gp).

4.42 10 year history of a progressive muscular atrophy (neurolo-gistrs diagnosis).

4.62 (tfi{) sl{NDR. Tive year. history, notr fully dependent for aIIactivities. progressive nusiurar atrop-hy biegining in theshoulders and later rnild bulbar invotveineit lJeen i; personLLIeL).

202

APPENDTX C

8UullARy oF aEE PATf,oLoGIclD FEATUREB oF TaogE pATIEttTs rNcr,UItED

rN THE l'tArN ANArrygEg wHo IINDERWENT Auropgy (l{=15t

203

Appendix C

JO, nale age 66, SMNDR No: oo2.

Diagnosis : ALS (Familial)Macroscopic appearance: Anterior root atrophy in the spinal

cord.

Microscopic apPearance: cerebral hernispheres normal andhypoglossar nucleus normar. striking depretion of anterior horncerls and pare roots. Myerophages present most obviousry in thedorsal column nuclei.

E8, female age ?2, sIrlNDR No: o23.

Diagnosis: pBp/ALS

I4acroscopic aPPearance: Thin cauda equina but otherwisenormal.

I{icroscopic appeatance: Neuronal depletion in the anteriorhorns of the spinar cord, degrenerative changes in survivingneurons' Associated increase of astrocytes and microglial cells,no ubiquinated incrusions identified. Myerin parror unequar oneither side in the crossed and uncrossed pyramidal tracts. Mirdpalror in the medurlary pyranids and depletion of neurons in thehypoglossal nuclei accompanied by gliosis.

GG, nale age:60, gl.tNDR No: OSO.

Diagnosis : ALS/pBp (familial)I4acroseopic appearance: parietal atrophy. Mild ventricurar

dilatation otherwise normal.

Iticroscopic appearance: cortex normarr. parlor of the centrarwhite matter; flea bite infarcts; focar atrophy of the folia inthe cerebellum. cortico-spinal tract nyelin depletion and accu_

204

Appendix C

mulation of rnyerinophages. Demyelination of the anterior rootsof the spinar cord with tract degeneration and rnyerin ross in theraterar and anterior cortico-spinar tracts. Depleti_on of ante_rior horn celr neurons, occasionar ubiquitin-positive inclusions.severe degeneration of anterior roots of the cauda-equina.Denervation atrophy of peripheral muscles. Terminal bronchopneu-monia.

l{G, female age 62 years, glrll{DR No: 06Z.Diagnosis: ALS/pBp

Macroscopie appearance: smalr pons and flattened pyramids,shrunken anterior roots of the spinar cord and arr regionsr pdF_ticularly at the cauda equina.

I[icroscopic examination.. cortex and hemispheres normar.sworlen neurons and depreted Nissl substance in the froor of thefourth ventricar. Demyerination of the pyranids, depretion ofanterior horn cerrs in the spinar cord, poorry myelinated corti_co-spinal tracts and shrunken anterior spinar roots. At thecauda equina the anterior roots contrasted rnarkedly with theposterior roots showing ross of myerin and increased corragenisa-tion. Hashimoto's dj-sease in the thyroid, nicroadenoma of thepituitary, terminal bronchopneumonia..

AII, feuale age 69, SI{NDR Nos 081.

Diagnosis: ALS/pBp

I{acroscopic aPPearance: Normal brain, cerebellum and brainstem' obvious atrophy of ventral roots of cervicar region in thecauda equina.

Microscopic examination: Loss of neurons in the ventral horn

205

Appendix C

and the cervical and lumbar regions, Do obvious abnormafity in

rnyelination. Carcinoma of the sigmoid colon.

IB, female age 67, SUNDR No: 09{.

Diagnosis: ALS/PBP

l{acroscopic appeatance: SIight general cortical atrophy,

dilated ventricles, brain stern and cerebellum normal. Shrinkage

of the anterior spinal roots in the cervical region and to a

lesser extent in the cauda equina.

ILicroscopic examination: Normal cortex. Focal abnormalities

of the neurons in the floor of the fourth ventricle and the

presence of rnyelinophages in cortico-spinal tract on both sides

at various levels in the brainstem. Myelin loss in the cortico-

spinal tracts and the pyramids. Depletion of Purkinje cells in

the cerebellum. Anterior horn cells of the spinal cord focally

swollen and loss of Nissl substance. Demyelination of the corti-

co-spinal tracts and the cauda equina. Denervation atrophy in

rnuscle.

Tl{, DaIe, age 80, SI{NDR No! 096.

Diagnosis: PBP/ALS

Samples of the nervous system deteriorated during transport-

ing and examination not possible.

JM, nale age 77, SUNDR Nos LO7.

Diagnosis: ALS/PBP

Irlacroscopic appearance: Moderate degree of cortical atrophy.

I,Iicroscopic appearance: Pyramids reduced in size with loss

of rnyelinated axons. Depletion of motor cells from the hypoglos-

206

Appendix C

sal nucrei and occasionar cytoprasmic incrusions on ubiquitinimmunocytochernistry. parror of nyerin in the spinar cord pyrarni-dar tracts and anterior horn cerr population reduced. peripheralnerves showed large axonal loss and secondary demyelination.Focal group atrophy in muscle.

COr, female age ?ST SIT|NDR No:1?6.

Diagnosis: pBp/ALs

I4acroscopic appearance: Cauda equina atrophy.Itlicroscopic appearance: Loss of neurones in the hypoglossal

nucrei and demylination in the lateral and anterior white columnsbut spinal cord structure well rnaintained.

l,tR, fenale age 61 , SMNDR No: 2OO.

Diagnosis: ALS/pBp

Macroscopic appearance.' Gaping central sulcus, otherwisenormal.

Microscopic appearance: Typicar spinal cord changes withloss of neurons in the central horn and palror of rnyelin stainingin the laterar and ventrar corumns, ross of neurons in the hypo_glossar nucrei, estabrished neurogenic atrophy of muscre.

SC, female age ?4, SMNDR No: ZOS.

Diagnosis: ALS/pBp.

I4acroscopic aPpearance: No external abnormality of the brainor spinal cord.

Microscopic appearance: Marked neuronar ross in the hypo-glossal nuclei and some ventrar horns in the spinal cord.shrinkage of the ventral nerve groups. parror of staining of

207

Appendix C

raterar and ventrar white corumns. Atrophy of ventral nerveroots and the spinal cord and cauda equina.

PT, nale age 66, SttNDR Nos zLg.

Diagnosis: ALS

I{acroscopic appearance: Normal.

Microscopic appeatance: Depletion of anterior horn celI neu-rons particularly in the lunbo-sacral region with associatedincrease of neurogliar cerls. pyramidar tract normar. Brainstem normal. Neurogenic atrophy without inflammation in muscle.

MC, female age 66, gItlNDR No: 232.

Diagnosis: pBp/ALS

Macroscopic appearance: Normar apart from an unconpricatedone centirnetre vascurar marformation in the cerebelrum.

Microscopic appearance: Mild spongiosis of the outermostlayers of the cerebrar cortex unaccompanied by praques, neurofi-brillary tangres or inframmation. Depletion of hypogrossalneurons, neyrinophages in the cortico-spinar tract. widespreaddegeneration and atrophy of skeletal muscles fibres includingsternomastoid, tongue and quadriceps.

rP, male age 74, SUNDR Nos 256.

Diagnosis: ALS/pBp

Awaiting report from the procurator Fiscal, Grasgohr. un-available as of 15.5.91.

208

Appendix C

AF, nale age 69, stltNDR No: 290.

Diagnosis: ALS/pBp

Itlacroscopic appearance: sright to moderate symmetricardilation of the ventricurar system and atrophy of the ventrarroots particularly in the cauda equina.

ttlicroscopic appearance: Loss of motor neurons in arl spinalsegments exanined. partiar atrophy of the nucrei of the l0wercraniar nerves, particurarry grosso-pharyngeal and hypogrossal.Clusters of nicroglial ceIIs tuithin the fifth nerve nuclei.Dennervation atrophy of muscre with normar peripheral(nedian, femoral) nerve.

209

APPENDTX D

QUESTTONNATRE usED rN THE cASE-coNTRorr gTUDv

21,O

Appendix D

Contents

1. Patient Details2. Clinical Features3. Past Medical History4. Trauma -prior to MND5. Toxin Exposure6. Fanily History7. Educational and Occupational History8. Residential History

1. Patient DetailsCCS Identification number:(odd numbers=case, even nunbers=corresponding controrRegister Study No:

Name:

Address:

Telephone No:

General Pratitionerrs name, address and terephone nurnber:

Neurologist or physician:

Patientfs date of birth (day/month/year):

Age:

Sex:

Date of fnterview (day/month/year) :

Throughout coding 1 for yes, 2 for no, 3 for canrt recarr.

2LL

Appendix D

2. Clinical features

Eistory

when did your symptoms rerating to MND begin? (rnonth/year)Total duration of slrrnptorns relating to MND (rnonths)

First Slznpton

1. Muscle cranps,2. Muscle twitching,3 ' Hand weakness or wasting or difficurty writing,4. other UL weakness or waiting,5. Footdrop,6' other LL weakness or wasting or difficurty warking,7. Difficulty swallowing,8. Difficulty speaking, -'9. Other (e.9. pain, iweating specify)Present Slmptons (code as above)

Signs at visitUMN bulbar signsLMN bulbar signsIIMN signs (arrns)ttMN signs (legs)LMN signs (arrns)LMN signs (legs)SMNDR CLassification:

Examine eye movement/ocular nobility(analysis not in this thesis)1. voluntary or saccadic movements (horizontal and verticar)Restricted excursionInability to naintain eccentri. qazeSlow saccadesHyponetric saccadesProlonged reaction tine2. Snooth pursuit (horizontal and vertical)Restricted excursionSaccadic pursuit3. Convergence

4. Optokinetic nyastagmus.Failure to generite slow phase velocities5. .Suppression of vestibulo-ocualar reflex.Failure to suppress

Date of Diagnosis of MND (fron records)

2L2

Appendix D

3. Past medical history(Record response from patient and rater as from Gp Notes)Have you ever suffered from:

Angina or a heart attack?(central chest pain related to exertion, relieved by rest and/orresulting in adrnission with a diagnosis of angina oi r.try

Strokes or TIAs?(sudden onset of a focal neurological/ocular cNS disturbance withno other explanation at fo1low up)

Leg Claudication?(Pain in the calf or buttock related to exertion and relieved byrest with absent foot pulses)

Slpertension(Higlt BP requiring treatment, record Bp before diagnosis of MNDin GPrs notes)

Previous fnfectionsMeasles

Chickenpox

Scarlet fever

Diptheria

Munps

Glandular feverPoliomyelitis

Yes/No/Canrt rememberIf Yes, how old?Yes/No/Canrt rememberIf Yes, how old?Yes/No/Canft rememberff Yes, how old?Yes/No/Canrt rememberIf Yes, how old?Yes/No/Canrt rememberff Yes, how old?Yes/No/Cantt rememberIf Yes, how old?Yes/No/Can I t remernberIf Yes, how old?

Did any of your farnily ever have polio?Yes/No/Canrt remember

If yes, hrere you living in the same houseas them? Yes/No/Canrt rernember

If yes, how old were you at the tirne?Record details of person

Have you received polio vaccination?

2L3

Appendix D

l. Trauma prior to MND

Recording the same information from the patient and the Gprecords.

Date Gp records began

How many fractures have you had? (nurnber)

How old? (age of first, age of last)Date of most recent fractureDetails of fractureLocation of most recent fracture?l=UL, 2=LL, 3=Head, 4=Spine, S=Ribs

Have you ever sustained another injury requiring rnedicalconsurtation, including severe erectric stiocks? (n)How old hrere you?

Date of most recent injuryDetails of injuryLocation of most recent injury (code as above)

Have you had a tonsillectony?Have you ever had a blood transfusion?Have you ever had an operation requiring a GA?

List all prior to onset of MND (excr. ,tonsirrectomy)oPeration Age (not coded)

Date of onset of MND

21,4

Appendix D

5. Toxin exposure

If response yes, specify detailsHave you ever worked in extraction of minerals or ores, manufac-ture of rnetals?

Have you vrorked with read as part of your occupation?Have you ever had an occupation with known exposure to solventsor chemicals (eg shoemakers, tanners, houje painters, rubberproduct .makers, compositors, typesetters, iaundry worker,petrol station attendants) ?

Have you ever bgen exposed to pesticides or herbicides, domesticor conmercial?

Have you ever been a pOW?

Snoking (Rol1 your own Loz=28 cigarettes)Current smoker?If Yes, n per dayEx smoker?When stopped (age)Max n/day when smoking

Are you vegetarian?

Do you keep or have you kept (for 2 ormore seasons) a vegetable garden?

Do you eat garlic?Do you eat cabbdg€, caulifloweror sprouts: 1

2 L-3lweek3 < l/week

6. Fanily bistoryHas anyone in your farnily had MND? yes=L, No=2Details:

{.= anyone in your faniry had any neurorogicar disorderincluding pD or ATD?Yes=l-, No=2

Draw a family tree for families with MND/PD/ATD

For deceased relatives:1=Fu11 name 2=Date of birth 3=year of death4=Town of residence at death S:cause of death if known

2L5

Appendix D

?. Educational and oceupational historyHow old hrere you when you left school?

Did you obtain any qualifications afterthe age of 18?

lnlt were your 4 principar jobs (begin with rnost recent)code according to opcs reeoll-1G, iicruae Military-i"r.ri"".Occupation Address Dates

what is the main occupation of your wife/husband?

what was the main occupation of your father when you hrere born?code patientts and father's social class (opcs 19go)L Professional (1)2 fnternediate occupations e,)3N Skilled occupations - non manual iti3M Skilled occupations - manual ei4 Partly skilled5 unskirred (s)

(6)

01' Professionat & retated supporting management, senior nationat & Local, goverrment managers02. Professionat and rel.ated in education, relfare and hea(th03. Literary, artistic, sports04. Professional and retated in science, engineering technotogy and simil,ar fietds05. l{anageriat06. Cterical,07. Sel. t ing08. Security09. Catering, cteaning, hairdressing. personat service10. Farming, fishing and retated11. llateriat processing, making and repairing (exclr.rding netat and etectricat)12. Processing, making, repairing (metat and etectricat)13. Painting, repetative assernbting, product inspecting, packaging and retated14. Construction, mining and retated not identified elserhere15. Transport operating, materiats moving and storing16. l,lisc. inclrding tabourers and unski l. [ed

2t6

Appendix D

8. Residential history(Each house of more that 1 year residence)House Number (1-6)

where was the 1st house you rived in after you were born?Address:

Was this your residence when you developed MND?(equivalent for controls)l=Large town 2=smarr town 3=Virrage 4=rsolated house

During which years? Fron/ToDid the house have a garden? yes/No/canrt remember

Did the house have a separatebathroom? yes/No/Canrt remember

Did the house have a runninghot water systern? yes/No/Canrt remernber

Did the house have a flushlavatorY? yes/No/canrt remember

How many bedrooms did the house have?

Who lived in the house?(include anyone staying for more than 5 rnonths)

Total adults:Total children (under 18):Total number of rooms:

Pet Exposure

Did dogs sleep in the house?Did cats sleep in the house?

Did you have regular contact with farm animals?

2L7

APPENDIX E

TEE sCOI[TI8E IIOTOR NEURON DISEJASE REGISTER3 IITFoRITA.IIIor roR

UEDICEL PRACTTrIONERS

2L8

Appendix E

Copy of the information sentregistration of a patient with theRegister. -:

to General practionioners upon

Scottish I[otor Neuron Disease

trhat is the Scottish UND register?A national register of patients with motor neuron disease is

being co-ordinated from the Department of clinical Neurosciences,western General Hospitar, Edinburgh, with financial support fromthe scottish Motor Neurone Disease Association. Ar1 the consul-tant neurologists and clinical neurophysiorogists in scotrand arecollaborating. The register has been approved by the hospitalethical committee and the Data Protection officer for the LothianHearth Board' we are ascertaining cases frorn arl of the cc.,nsul-tant neurologists and clinicar neurophysiologists in scotrand.Additional information is being obtained from the membershiplists of the scottish Motor Neurone Disease Association andcomputerised records of Hospital discharges and deaths held bythe common services Agency and the Registrar Generar for scot_Iand.

My do we need a Scottish Register?There are no rearry good epidemiorogicar studies of motor

neuron disease, most series consisting onry of a hundred or sopatients. what we want to do is estabrish prospectively aregister of all the cases presenting to medicar attention inscotrand, which wirr be about 70 a year. scotrand is an idealplace to do this si-nce it is geographicalry welr defined, veryfew patients in scotrand are unrikely to get health care outside

2L9

Appendix E

the country, and the number of cases coming to attention everyyear is reasonable. As the years go by, we wilr therefore,progressively build up an irnpressive series of patients. we areregistering the patients and then asking if we could have aphotocopy of the rerevant medical summary. This arrows us tocrassify the nature of the motor neuron disease. Arso, rir€ arecontacting the patients I general practitioners so that we canfind out some sirnpre follow up infornation and when the patientdies' From these very sinple data vre can look at incidence,geographical clustering, and natural history.

Eow will the register be constructed?

unrike many other surveys in which everyone is sent a ques-tionnaire at exactly the same time, the Register wirr have to bebuilt on a rrollingr basis so that doctors will be asked forinformation as their patients are registered, and subsequentrequests for help will follow at regular intervals from thatinitiar contact. we rearise that the progression of the condi-tion may mean that this could be problematic, although we believethat we have to work this way to ensure that the infornation we

obtain is properly gathered and organised for research use.Two separate, but related, computing systems are being used

one which wilI assist the administratj-on of the co-ordj-natingcentre in Edinburgh by charting contacts with those aiding theunitrs work, and the other on which the main research informationwirr be held- These systems wirr be modified and developed asnecessary to enable smooth operation of the work of the Co-ordi-nating Centre.

220

Appendix E

Who should be registered?

Because we wish to study the natural history of the diseasehre are trying to register patients as soon as possible, even whenthe diagnosis is onry suspected. rt wilr then be possible, dt a

later date, to reclassify patients after collating infornationfrom aII sources to produce a register of patients that conformto more rigorous diagnostic criteria. we have registeredpatients since January 1989 and if this rate of ascertainmentcontinues it seems likery that incidence will be eguar to orhigher than we predicted (50-1OO patients /year).

will the patients be inforned that they are registered?rf patients subrnit a request for disclosure of information

held on computer the Data Protection officer wiII inforrn us. we

have discussed this legal issue with the Data protection officerof the Lothian Health Board whose interpretation of the law isthat the release of such information is at the discretion of theconsurtant responsibre for the care of the patient and may bewitheTd it it is rikeTy to be danaging. There is no regarobrigation to telr people that they are on a cornputerised regis-ter- However we would not object if patients were told by thereferring doctor that sirnple data about them are being correctedin Edinburgh so that we can learn more about the disease (whetherthey are told the diagnosis precisery at this stage is entirelyup to the referring doctor).

self-referred patients, or those contacted through thesIt{NDA' will be asked to give written consent for their participa-tion (if necessary through a proxy), and for obtaining confirma-tion of their medicar diagnosis. Data on patients wirr be com-

22t

Appendix E

pletely confidential, both under the terms of the Data protectionAct and following normal medical conventions. patients will be

continuously recruited to the register, but can withdraw fron theregister at any tirne.

Hho silt be contacted?

At present there are no prans for approaching patientsdirectly but a case-control study of environmental factors ante-cedent to the development of motor neuron disease is planned and

contact will be made under a seperate cover concerning this. We

hope to set up a systen of systematic blood collection as part ofa study of the genetic contribution to sporadic motor neurondisease in conjunction with the MRc Hurnan Genetics Unit at thewestern General Hospitar, Edinburgh. Details of this wirl beposted at a later date after registration.

IIow sill patients be followed up?

we intend to folrow the patients' progress by writing totheir generar practitioners in the finst instance. Because we donot want to produce too much paper work for those registeringcasesr'any one GP is extraordinarily unlikely to have more thanone case at a time so that any extra work for him/her is minimal.

collaboration with other clinical and Medical ResearchThe Register is arso intended to be a research resource for

clinicians and scientists who may wish to pursue projects inrelation to motor neuron disease, subject to satisfactory scien-tific and ethical criteria being futfilled.

222

Appendix E

Eow to obtain Dore infornation.we hope that you wirl be reassured that this project is

scientificatry and ethicalry sound. rf you personarry have anyworries about registering patients wourd you prease let us knowas soon as possibre. Further information about the project isavailabre on request (see below) and we plan to send regurarnewsletters to doctors who have registered patients.

For further infornation write to:

Professor cp warlow, Dr AM chancerror or Mrs Hazel Fraser,Scottish Motor Neurone Disease Register,Neurosciences Trials UnitDepartment of Clinical Neurosciences,

Western General Hospital,Crewe Road,

Edinburgh EH4 2XU.

o31 332 43A7

223

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